The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1048 27.98% 30.27 0.362 85.31% -0.088 -0.2226
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 748 45.71% 28.75 -0.651 77.94% 0.131 0.1769
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 895 31.58% 31.08 0.504 88.6% 0.609 0.489
Downpour Drenches the World 62 32.26% 30.56 -0.214 80.65% -0.247 0.1019
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1090 19.24% 34.75 1.37 91.74% 0.528 0.1071
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 914 25.41% 32.95 1.589 91.9% 0.822 0.2596
Finder of Paths Unseen 28 46.43% 26.39 -2.352 64.29% -1.067 -0.6657
Fractured Days Split the Sky 387 39.02% 30.36 -1.887 75.45% -0.732 -0.6777
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 375 45.33% 31.49 0.136 81.07% -0.056 -0.0642
Heart of the Wildfire 1077 60.34% 26.18 0.06 76.23% 0.128 0.3545
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1521 28.56% 31.47 -0.23 88.76% 0.414 -0.109
Lightning's Swift Strike 641 45.13% 28.5 -1.776 79.1% -0.37 -0.1262
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 21 19.05% 39.29 3.368 100.0% 0.932 0.0785
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 341 32.06% 32.6 3.312 91.2% 0.452 -0.1572
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 222 36.49% 30.75 -0.465 83.78% -0.394 -0.772
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1069 32.37% 31.3 0.127 88.12% -0.177 -0.395
Many Minds Move as One 781 24.13% 32.88 2.111 91.55% 1.147 0.6078
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1041 42.68% 29.66 0.681 81.46% 0.265 -0.0522
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 841 33.45% 30.45 0.693 88.7% 0.332 0.3158
River Surges in Sunlight 843 42.75% 30.3 -0.404 79.0% -0.474 -0.4219
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 346 42.9% 30.22 -0.903 72.54% -0.251 0.1064
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 29 34.48% 39.14 2.873 82.76% 0.218 -0.0125
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 793 32.79% 29.86 -0.176 86.38% 0.033 -0.0011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 426 55.63% 27.68 -1.768 73.24% -0.452 0.015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 38.46% 32.08 -0.383 76.92% -0.075 0.0222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 60.0% 31.0 -1.915 80.0% -0.34 -0.5157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 244 34.02% 31.36 0.296 90.16% 0.73 0.6701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 176 45.45% 28.44 -0.255 76.14% -0.731 -0.5709
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 838 30.38% 31.58 0.474 87.59% 0.062 -0.2408
Shifting Memory of Ages 287 50.87% 28.12 -1.198 75.96% -0.225 -0.1861
Shroud of Silent Mist 419 48.93% 29.42 -0.225 81.62% -0.076 0.2488
Starlight Seeks its Form 332 27.71% 31.94 -0.256 81.33% 0.242 0.038
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1738 28.27% 28.33 0.145 88.38% 0.731 0.5447
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 724 43.57% 28.49 -0.705 77.21% 0.206 0.2905
Thunderspeaker 884 38.84% 29.99 0.668 80.66% -0.097 -0.1278
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1170 63.13% 24.83 -1.68 76.84% 0.443 0.3991
Vital Strength of the Earth 622 37.26% 25.75 -3.758 71.06% -1.388 -0.5936
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 18 5.56% 30.39 -0.878 77.78% -0.229 0.2231
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 206 47.09% 24.8 -0.822 71.36% 0.002 1.033
Volcano Looming High 618 44.17% 27.96 -1.097 81.55% -0.241 -0.2152

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 30.25 -1.816 75.0% -0.041 0.0676
Blitz 0 180 33.52% 27.56 0.78 78.33% -0.004 0.2629
Dahan Insurrection 4 292 23.29% 48.16 5.234 73.63% -1.079 -0.7462
Despicable Theft 2 74 39.19% 36.31 8.018 78.38% 0.655 0.906
Elemental Invocation 1 107 49.53% 28.79 0.548 69.16% 0.015 0.6629
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 663 10.26% 33.71 3.023 79.03% -0.318 -0.1523
Powers Long Forgotten 1 163 51.55% 32.12 1.912 72.39% 0.177 0.5025
Rituals of Terror 3 150 60.0% 35.18 4.422 58.67% -0.214 -0.3236
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 125 73.6% 36.66 2.741 66.4% -0.373 0.2835
Second Wave 0 345 46.67% 31.61 1.058 75.07% -0.369 0.1022
The Great River 3 94 67.02% 27.86 0.082 40.43% -0.741 0.7597
Varied Terrains 2 13 69.23% 37.69 2.462 61.54% -0.658 -0.123
Ward the Shores 2 211 43.13% 33.55 2.129 64.45% -0.592 0.5954

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11009 38.97% 29.13 -0.44 82.08% 0.208 0.6548
1 Thematic 1148 44.51% 33.47 1.651 74.39% 0.544 1.1464
2 Archipelago 10 60.0% 26.6 -5.691 30.0% -0.916 -0.2505
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2171 40.31% 29.09 -0.106 85.49% -0.326 0.0654
2 Coastline 229 38.43% 30.63 3.469 86.9% 0.277 0.3648
2 Fragment 46 63.04% 26.98 1.759 78.26% 0.079 0.1451
2 Heart 27 37.04% 29.44 -0.89 100.0% 0.227 0.4994
2 Opposite Shores 300 31.1% 29.97 -0.066 88.33% 0.671 1.1635
2 Thematic 277 45.49% 34.65 0.247 75.81% -0.663 -0.1951
2 Top to Top 46 39.13% 31.0 2.239 91.3% 0.638 0.9197
3 Archipelago 3 0.0% 37.0 -2.326 66.67% -0.602 -0.9847
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 44 34.09% 29.7 1.467 88.64% 0.116 -0.9736
3 Round (Default) 909 30.36% 30.01 -0.329 88.67% -0.437 -0.1685
3 Thematic 57 45.61% 30.96 -1.462 66.67% -0.352 -0.5759
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 35.67 1.794 66.67% 0.014 -0.8376
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 26 19.23% 31.5 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 82 19.51% 39.77 1.755 86.59% 0.016 0.1118
4 Trapezoid (Default) 426 31.46% 28.4 0.806 81.22% -0.067 -0.2039
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 14 28.57% 30.71 2.831 92.86% 0.053 0.3222
5 Thematic 7 71.43% 36.29 2.737 71.43% 0.016 -0.091
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 33.33% 30.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 38.25 1.215 100.0% 0.042 0.937
6 Thematic 15 20.0% 43.87 1.263 93.33% 0.239 0.6023
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 25.93% 34.22 -0.482 100.0% 0.031 0.4095
7 Other 1 0.0% 49.0 2.801 100.0% 0.003 -0.9328

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 421 23.03 -5.257 63.18% -1.934 -0.103
Aid From Lesser Spirits 358 24.37 -0.83 64.53% -0.861 0.7934
All Things Weaken 506 21.93 -7.537 57.11% -2.357 -0.3809
Back Against the Wall 413 24.96 -2.526 64.65% -1.026 0.8328
Disintegrating Ecosystem 421 21.36 -4.286 59.38% -1.218 0.7565
Downward Spiral 574 21.93 -3.542 62.72% -1.401 0.5009
Erosion of Will 465 23.54 -2.246 61.08% -0.898 1.1455
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 245 27.48 -0.606 82.86% -0.036 0.536
Memory Fades to Dust 539 23.12 -4.58 62.15% -1.736 0.2431
Power Corrodes the Spirit 513 22.97 -2.13 65.11% -0.639 1.2524
Promising Farmlands 434 22.87 -3.508 62.44% -1.354 0.6843
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 163 29.2 0.052 90.18% -0.118 0.3224
Thriving Communities 514 21.55 -6.933 60.7% -2.18 -0.2162
Unnatural Proliferation 475 22.03 -5.94 52.63% -1.997 -0.0907
Untended Land Crumbles 483 21.68 -3.533 59.21% -1.346 0.6889

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2931 38.49% 29.07 0.338 83.96% -0.221 0.5473
B 2798 37.53% 28.97 -0.002 83.56% -0.083 0.6093
C 3003 35.06% 29.67 -0.054 84.98% -0.315 0.2489
D 2791 37.65% 29.29 0.539 83.88% 0.255 1.0228
E 2766 37.28% 29.42 -0.245 84.24% -0.179 0.4203
F 2672 36.65% 29.62 -0.789 84.62% -0.368 0.3415
G 2413 38.83% 28.96 0.162 84.0% 0.068 0.7936
H 2408 36.03% 29.59 0.001 83.76% 0.097 0.7875
East 941 41.34% 36.08 0.531 78.64% -0.895 -0.2723
Northeast 437 41.42% 36.68 1.677 78.95% 0.04 0.7216
Northwest 335 44.18% 33.64 1.425 67.46% 0.491 1.5582
Southeast 326 37.12% 35.09 0.837 80.06% 0.232 0.9595
Southwest 302 37.75% 31.7 1.114 78.15% 0.111 1.0816
West 826 43.58% 32.98 -0.394 72.03% -0.241 0.7619

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 55 0.0% 28.35 2.21 80.0% 0.221 2.232
Not Using Events or Tokens 339 39.5% 27.24 -1.224 74.93% -0.021 0.1932
Skip Initial Invader Actions 385 5.91% 41.0 3.288 93.77% 0.24 0.1462
Start of Game Growth 616 12.79% 39.18 2.301 91.88% -0.264 -0.9712
Unlimited Undo 1093 32.31% 31.38 0.536 88.56% 0.558 -0.1418
Using Tokens but Not Events 1321 31.65% 29.53 -1.458 81.23% -0.457 -0.5025

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1199 22.6 27.94%
II 3664 31.02 64.74%
III 7743 34.59 90.18%
IV 4292 37.83 98.97%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.072 Win Model: 0.714
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12253 39.61% 29.55 81.2%
2 3056 39.61% 29.76 85.63%
3 998 30.96% 30.19 87.58%
4 533 29.64% 30.25 82.74%
5 6 33.33% 36.33 100.0%
6 52 25.0% 37.46 98.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6777
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2199
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4205
Lose: Invader deck ran out 118
Lose: Adversary condition 1145
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 202
Win: Scenario condition 351
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1402
Lose: Spirit destroyed 93

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 784 32.82% 34.96 -0.705 85.33% -0.082 -0.2162
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 484 57.88% 31.39 -2.6 71.28% -0.981 -0.9351
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 635 32.02% 35.58 -0.047 87.09% -0.224 -0.3438
Downpour Drenches the World 49 24.49% 31.84 -1.363 71.43% -0.282 0.0668
Eyes Watch From the Trees 879 21.54% 39.07 2.248 91.58% 0.27 -0.151
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 666 30.38% 36.03 0.046 86.79% 0.133 -0.4286
Finder of Paths Unseen 22 54.55% 26.32 -3.267 59.09% -0.636 -0.2345
Fractured Days Split the Sky 245 46.94% 34.2 4.145 73.47% 0.315 0.3687
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 277 47.29% 36.32 1.877 82.67% 0.902 0.8933
Heart of the Wildfire 773 60.67% 31.08 0.48 77.62% 0.559 0.7851
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1105 40.11% 34.11 0.609 84.62% 0.889 0.3668
Lightning's Swift Strike 467 46.57% 33.4 -0.953 81.16% 0.142 0.3851
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 15 46.67% 35.8 0.29 93.33% 0.712 -0.142
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 228 30.7% 36.94 2.879 86.4% 0.732 0.1225
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 166 36.14% 36.06 0.879 83.13% -0.197 -0.5744
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 805 44.86% 34.13 -1.396 81.74% -0.181 -0.3993
Many Minds Move as One 590 29.81% 37.39 0.054 90.68% -0.346 -0.8852
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 830 45.55% 33.96 -0.872 81.69% 0.006 -0.3108
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 643 38.63% 34.55 1.618 84.29% 0.491 0.4749
River Surges in Sunlight 681 44.26% 34.56 -0.851 75.18% -0.72 -0.6681
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 250 53.23% 32.84 -1.089 67.2% -0.359 -0.0014
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 21.74% 42.09 3.965 91.3% 0.679 0.4483
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 518 45.07% 32.6 -0.994 79.15% -0.091 -0.1251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 290 66.21% 29.46 -4.128 66.55% -0.373 0.0936
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 33.33% 33.92 1.055 66.67% -0.008 0.09
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 33.33% 35.67 2.036 66.67% 0.047 -0.1285
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 186 48.39% 33.1 0.901 77.96% 0.445 0.3852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 129 56.59% 34.9 -6.034 81.4% -1.157 -0.997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 667 40.54% 35.76 1.876 85.61% 0.814 0.5118
Shifting Memory of Ages 254 49.61% 31.3 -1.694 73.62% -0.156 -0.1166
Shroud of Silent Mist 333 66.37% 29.35 -2.175 69.07% -0.558 -0.2339
Starlight Seeks its Form 314 32.8% 35.23 0.609 84.71% 0.6 0.3957
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1390 34.2% 33.14 -0.443 87.19% 0.287 0.1005
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 529 50.19% 31.12 -4.332 71.46% -1.257 -1.1724
Thunderspeaker 629 43.24% 35.79 -0.089 80.13% -0.036 -0.0674
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 973 75.62% 27.28 -2.27 71.53% 0.105 0.0613
Vital Strength of the Earth 440 45.45% 29.1 -1.879 68.18% 0.075 0.8696
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 12 16.67% 33.42 -0.871 66.67% -0.354 0.0985
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 173 45.66% 27.91 -2.433 63.01% -0.264 0.7673
Volcano Looming High 515 47.25% 32.64 0.18 80.58% 0.063 0.0889

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 42.8 3.987 100.0% 0.44 0.5482
Blitz 0 198 43.43% 30.42 2.587 70.71% 0.841 1.1079
Dahan Insurrection 4 251 25.9% 55.4 12.113 79.28% -0.498 -0.1656
Despicable Theft 2 32 59.38% 37.19 -3.161 65.63% -1.125 -0.8744
Elemental Invocation 1 84 64.29% 30.65 -4.296 60.71% -1.14 -0.4912
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 388 14.1% 34.34 -1.76 68.04% -0.472 -0.3064
Powers Long Forgotten 1 123 70.73% 32.03 -7.593 58.54% -1.127 -0.801
Rituals of Terror 3 120 51.67% 42.87 0.0 66.67%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 69.88% 43.86 0.0 72.29%
Second Wave 0 900 50.39% 32.88 0.261 70.67% -0.804 -0.3333
The Great River 3 59 54.24% 34.17 0.0 47.46%
Varied Terrains 2 6 66.67% 42.5 7.189 83.33% 0.262 0.7977
Ward the Shores 2 160 51.88% 36.19 -6.841 61.88% -1.425 -0.238

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7703 43.6% 33.11 0.277 79.74% 0.171 0.6185
1 Thematic 991 53.02% 34.77 0.687 65.69% -0.754 -0.1512
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 37.56 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1663 48.35% 32.4 -0.768 82.68% -0.022 0.3697
2 Coastline 213 42.45% 34.15 0.627 85.45% 0.3 0.3881
2 Fragment 43 65.12% 30.77 -0.959 79.07% 0.359 0.4248
2 Heart 34 52.94% 27.74 1.729 70.59% 0.082 0.3543
2 Opposite Shores 313 41.61% 32.43 -0.967 83.07% -0.092 0.4004
2 Thematic 272 56.83% 34.97 -0.599 67.28% -0.689 -0.2208
2 Top to Top 42 42.86% 32.14 1.527 83.33% 0.309 0.5913
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 42.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 40 40.0% 32.2 2.973 87.5% 0.439 -0.6503
3 Round (Default) 722 35.23% 34.7 -0.314 86.43% -0.46 -0.1915
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 63 46.03% 37.79 -1.177 77.78% 0.104 -0.1197
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 40.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 31.33 -6.259 66.67% -0.379 -0.1389
4 Other 16 62.5% 33.69 0.0 87.5%
4 Thematic 82 32.1% 42.72 0.449 81.71% 0.126 0.222
4 Trapezoid (Default) 257 37.89% 33.11 -4.156 84.82% -0.798 -0.9355
5 Other 22 36.36% 40.41 12.363 86.36% 0.197 0.4668
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 39.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 11 18.18% 45.82 1.564 100.0% 0.289 0.6522
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 30.0% 36.3 0.0 90.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 401 26.37 -6.457 59.35% -1.672 0.1598
Aid From Lesser Spirits 325 27.5 -5.225 61.85% -1.777 -0.1227
All Things Weaken 425 25.48 -2.235 55.29% -0.53 1.4464
Back Against the Wall 322 27.66 -2.753 63.35% -0.905 0.9537
Disintegrating Ecosystem 372 25.02 -2.552 57.26% -0.716 1.2588
Downward Spiral 473 26.27 -6.403 63.42% -1.839 0.0632
Erosion of Will 354 25.87 -3.387 59.89% -0.684 1.3595
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 32.26 -1.912 80.08% -0.761 -0.1891
Memory Fades to Dust 436 25.21 -4.24 57.57% -1.155 0.8243
Power Corrodes the Spirit 429 26.76 -1.814 63.4% -0.523 1.3693
Promising Farmlands 362 24.02 -4.785 54.14% -1.048 0.9908
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 145 31.47 -4.08 82.07% -0.484 -0.0433
Thriving Communities 444 24.84 -5.572 56.53% -1.645 0.3195
Unnatural Proliferation 443 27.14 -2.268 60.72% -0.661 1.2453
Untended Land Crumbles 404 25.05 -8.364 57.67% -2.124 -0.0898

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2083 44.54% 32.92 -0.735 82.19% -0.108 0.6601
B 2175 42.33% 33.51 1.124 82.8% 0.49 1.1831
C 2313 42.11% 33.54 -0.463 83.14% -0.075 0.4891
D 2043 42.98% 33.2 0.372 81.2% 0.104 0.8727
E 2012 42.26% 33.58 -0.488 82.5% -0.029 0.5705
F 1953 43.7% 33.08 -0.265 81.87% 0.041 0.7506
G 1757 43.95% 32.98 0.696 80.19% 0.157 0.8825
H 1715 43.48% 32.92 -2.343 81.28% -0.637 0.0531
East 847 50.42% 37.23 2.027 69.42% 0.34 0.9622
Northeast 372 49.87% 38.17 2.214 69.62% 0.391 1.0719
Northwest 328 49.38% 37.34 -1.954 70.73% -0.682 0.3849
Southeast 306 48.51% 36.78 0.772 74.51% 0.301 1.0287
Southwest 300 54.03% 30.76 -3.119 66.0% -0.334 0.6369
West 808 52.51% 34.7 1.803 67.82% 0.404 1.4069

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 49 0.0% 34.94 0.0 85.71%
Not Using Events or Tokens 134 47.24% 30.74 -0.812 67.16% 0.11 0.3241
Skip Initial Invader Actions 249 7.69% 47.8 0.364 95.18% 0.097 0.004
Start of Game Growth 361 10.61% 45.65 3.199 93.91% 0.819 0.111
Unlimited Undo 957 39.67% 34.47 0.451 84.85% -0.131 -0.831
Using Tokens but Not Events 986 32.2% 35.22 1.455 83.06% -0.02 -0.0657

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1104 22.6 25.36%
II 4765 31.02 72.7%
III 4769 34.59 90.84%
IV 1902 37.83 99.37%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.271 Win Model: 0.002
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8772 44.9% 33.29 77.96%
2 2552 47.31% 32.86 81.94%
3 811 36.91% 34.61 85.33%
4 372 36.49% 35.74 84.68%
5 8 62.5% 41.63 75.0%
6 25 28.0% 39.76 92.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 276
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4213
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3236
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1882
Lose: Invader deck ran out 74
Lose: Adversary condition 1114
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 145
Win: Scenario condition 298
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1169
Lose: Spirit destroyed 72

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 928 41.75% 40.22 1.214 79.09% 0.451 0.3166
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 561 76.07% 31.88 -2.142 53.48% -0.583 -0.5374
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 818 49.63% 40.33 2.182 80.68% 0.884 0.7645
Downpour Drenches the World 61 45.9% 40.92 1.143 78.69% 0.34 0.6883
Eyes Watch From the Trees 996 39.43% 43.16 2.673 84.64% 0.702 0.281
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 792 51.58% 39.97 2.449 77.02% 0.762 0.1997
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 79.49% 32.44 -2.187 58.97% -0.024 0.3771
Fractured Days Split the Sky 327 57.8% 38.98 0.405 63.3% -0.522 -0.4676
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 303 66.23% 39.09 0.458 74.59% 0.019 0.0107
Heart of the Wildfire 1182 75.38% 33.1 -3.216 61.42% -0.556 -0.3291
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1451 50.56% 39.05 -0.622 75.05% -0.46 -0.9829
Lightning's Swift Strike 576 64.69% 37.01 -3.048 69.44% -0.642 -0.3988
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 21 76.19% 41.57 1.571 85.71% 0.098 -0.756
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 237 60.34% 39.53 -0.831 75.11% -0.121 -0.7309
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 184 60.11% 38.79 1.912 70.11% 0.17 -0.2074
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1018 62.13% 37.92 -0.919 71.61% -0.37 -0.5881
Many Minds Move as One 668 41.14% 42.73 3.337 85.93% 0.853 0.3141
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1087 60.37% 37.71 -0.902 70.1% -0.654 -0.9709
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 781 55.47% 38.03 0.345 74.52% 0.074 0.0587
River Surges in Sunlight 898 55.49% 40.11 0.885 70.6% -0.307 -0.2545
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 271 62.73% 36.75 1.079 62.36% 0.127 0.4842
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 30 56.67% 44.63 2.393 76.67% 0.258 0.0281
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 805 58.01% 38.05 2.818 73.91% 0.795 0.7605
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 273 78.75% 32.87 4.576 55.68% 0.913 1.3796
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 5 100.0% 32.8 -5.238 60.0% -0.599 -0.501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 75.0% 35.0 -1.675 75.0% -0.049 -0.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 155 73.55% 33.73 -2.931 58.71% -0.303 -0.3627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 104 75.96% 33.58 -1.593 55.77% -0.301 -0.1403
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 781 50.71% 39.69 -0.046 75.8% -0.092 -0.3939
Shifting Memory of Ages 309 74.11% 35.23 -2.099 65.7% -0.707 -0.6682
Shroud of Silent Mist 376 82.71% 29.94 -0.367 51.06% 0.249 0.573
Starlight Seeks its Form 319 56.59% 37.06 -1.228 67.08% -0.336 -0.5405
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1960 42.96% 38.69 0.992 82.6% 1.044 0.8584
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 565 64.12% 35.89 -2.366 66.02% -0.451 -0.3665
Thunderspeaker 681 57.21% 38.89 0.544 69.31% -0.226 -0.257
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1286 85.38% 30.54 -3.721 58.86% -0.633 -0.6767
Vital Strength of the Earth 432 62.18% 33.31 -6.887 57.87% -1.051 -0.2561
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 9 77.78% 49.0 4.045 88.89% 0.302 0.7538
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 160 60.62% 32.46 0.509 59.38% 0.72 1.7512
Volcano Looming High 709 69.07% 34.82 0.482 68.41% 0.341 0.3669

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 46.33 1.883 100.0% 0.144 0.2525
Blitz 0 245 53.88% 34.0 -2.168 62.04% -0.436 -0.1691
Dahan Insurrection 4 159 38.36% 62.13 15.545 80.5% 0.153 0.4859
Despicable Theft 2 26 80.77% 41.58 0.306 57.69% -0.323 -0.0725
Elemental Invocation 1 61 73.77% 35.05 -1.587 59.02% -0.225 0.4229
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 712 13.63% 43.88 4.644 74.44% 0.052 0.2177
Powers Long Forgotten 1 95 69.47% 39.83 0.318 62.11% 0.055 0.3808
Rituals of Terror 3 53 69.81% 45.4 13.878 60.38% 0.099 -0.0109
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 75.0% 43.67 0.0 55.0%
Second Wave 0 561 58.93% 36.6 1.907 61.5% 0.183 0.6539
The Great River 3 28 21.43% 32.54 0.0 25.0%
Varied Terrains 2 10 80.0% 15.9 -9.098 0.0% -1.809 -1.2739
Ward the Shores 2 107 67.29% 38.96 -1.183 50.47% -0.426 0.7608

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9403 59.01% 36.58 0.12 70.15% 0.651 1.0985
1 Thematic 765 57.74% 39.04 -0.992 59.08% -0.43 0.1727
2 Archipelago 10 80.0% 42.3 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2132 60.82% 36.36 0.732 70.87% 0.723 1.1141
2 Coastline 268 54.85% 37.72 0.917 73.13% 0.032 0.1204
2 Fragment 54 69.81% 34.39 -3.933 61.11% -0.193 -0.1268
2 Heart 31 63.33% 36.68 -7.743 70.97% -0.389 -0.1166
2 Opposite Shores 419 59.57% 37.02 0.229 72.08% 0.234 0.7265
2 Thematic 262 71.76% 36.54 -0.428 54.2% -0.118 0.35
2 Top to Top 72 41.43% 40.78 0.0 80.56%
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 25.6 -10.129 20.0% -0.984 -1.3674
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 59 55.93% 38.05 -3.521 77.97% -0.174 -1.2628
3 Round (Default) 871 59.45% 37.99 -0.354 74.28% 0.207 0.4757
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 40.25 -7.575 75.0% -0.309 -0.5281
3 Thematic 40 77.5% 40.1 3.233 65.0% 0.131 -0.0927
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 39 53.85% 40.62 2.187 82.05% 0.02 -0.4257
4 Thematic 120 48.33% 47.37 -4.242 80.0% -0.467 -0.371
4 Trapezoid (Default) 434 50.69% 40.2 2.423 80.88% 1.001 0.8637
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 17 35.29% 45.59 6.371 94.12% 0.468 0.7374
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 -3.501 50.0% -0.549 0.339
6 Star 1 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 9 62.5% 50.22 11.473 88.89% 0.267 0.6303
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 35.71% 41.5 -1.022 71.43% -0.092 0.2859

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 687 31.37 -1.937 53.86% -0.781 1.0508
Aid From Lesser Spirits 508 34.54 -2.56 61.42% -0.841 0.8138
All Things Weaken 712 31.24 -5.533 55.9% -1.656 0.3204
Back Against the Wall 533 32.43 -0.167 57.41% -0.339 1.5193
Disintegrating Ecosystem 593 29.91 -4.562 56.66% -1.305 0.6698
Downward Spiral 722 29.98 -2.87 54.16% -0.853 1.0489
Erosion of Will 644 30.01 -2.929 51.71% -1.051 0.9923
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 281 37.98 -0.155 76.16% -0.19 0.382
Memory Fades to Dust 671 30.69 -5.093 55.89% -1.284 0.6951
Power Corrodes the Spirit 661 30.9 -2.25 56.58% -0.685 1.2067
Promising Farmlands 554 28.6 -4.616 51.08% -1.215 0.8237
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 194 38.62 1.823 77.84% -0.156 0.2847
Thriving Communities 657 28.33 -5.426 49.16% -1.456 0.5086
Unnatural Proliferation 729 31.83 -2.698 56.38% -0.845 1.0613
Untended Land Crumbles 707 29.91 -4.988 53.04% -1.386 0.6486

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2661 59.23% 36.8 0.709 70.99% 0.39 1.1584
B 2735 59.18% 36.99 0.517 71.26% 0.276 0.9688
C 3080 58.63% 37.6 0.292 73.67% 0.009 0.5738
D 2591 60.0% 36.66 -0.192 71.29% 0.002 0.7699
E 2643 57.5% 37.44 -0.628 72.76% -0.113 0.4864
F 2447 57.67% 37.33 1.029 72.29% 0.326 1.0352
G 2166 57.81% 37.08 -0.732 71.42% -0.255 0.4714
H 2103 56.36% 37.62 -1.631 72.61% -0.373 0.3169
East 726 60.5% 40.83 -1.068 62.4% -0.437 0.1856
Northeast 337 63.39% 39.21 -1.915 57.27% -0.266 0.4149
Northwest 334 62.05% 39.37 -1.189 59.28% -0.229 0.8381
Southeast 242 55.0% 43.21 -0.173 71.49% -0.248 0.48
Southwest 224 55.86% 37.74 -0.187 62.5% -0.056 0.915
West 718 59.72% 39.71 3.345 61.56% 0.698 1.7013

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 56 0.0% 39.63 -3.54 75.0% -0.252 1.7597
Not Using Events or Tokens 58 58.82% 33.1 -3.963 60.34% -0.67 -0.4562
Skip Initial Invader Actions 249 19.67% 52.89 3.949 91.97% 0.424 0.3303
Start of Game Growth 394 23.65% 49.8 1.706 88.32% 0.609 -0.0981
Unlimited Undo 1106 50.89% 39.68 0.444 78.12% 0.022 -0.6779
Using Tokens but Not Events 1140 50.5% 37.57 -1.944 72.63% -0.756 -0.8015

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2319 22.6 11.99%
II 7049 31.02 68.49%
III 3973 34.59 94.54%
IV 1717 37.83 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.005 Win Model: 0.115
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10230 58.9% 36.79 69.29%
2 3234 60.84% 36.65 70.04%
3 973 60.1% 37.94 74.2%
4 588 50.17% 41.74 80.61%
5 5 40.0% 47.6 80.0%
6 28 40.74% 44.46 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 276
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3701
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4656
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1688
Lose: Invader deck ran out 53
Lose: Adversary condition 2199
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 188
Win: Scenario condition 182
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1905
Lose: Spirit destroyed 139

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1028 52.24% 40.27 2.02 69.36% 0.675 0.5408
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 581 80.17% 32.62 0.503 48.02% 0.188 0.2339
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 865 62.85% 38.86 0.77 68.67% 0.338 0.2178
Downpour Drenches the World 92 64.13% 34.75 0.384 54.35% 0.131 0.4793
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1212 47.52% 42.74 1.621 76.16% 0.319 -0.1021
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 833 57.16% 40.49 3.547 68.55% 0.903 0.3415
Finder of Paths Unseen 27 74.07% 32.67 -2.554 51.85% -0.273 0.128
Fractured Days Split the Sky 341 59.82% 39.22 -0.828 59.24% -0.352 -0.2973
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 352 72.16% 38.88 -0.673 65.06% -0.029 -0.0371
Heart of the Wildfire 1091 78.36% 33.71 -1.684 55.18% -0.145 0.082
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1912 59.67% 38.07 0.544 64.7% 0.05 -0.4724
Lightning's Swift Strike 633 71.68% 35.98 -0.352 58.14% -0.059 0.1846
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 44 61.36% 46.09 3.419 77.27% 0.584 -0.27
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 269 62.08% 40.06 -1.769 69.52% -0.069 -0.6782
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 199 64.82% 39.53 -2.6 66.83% -0.117 -0.4946
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1250 71.79% 35.6 -0.362 58.88% -0.009 -0.2271
Many Minds Move as One 703 48.58% 44.2 2.729 80.23% 0.521 -0.0181
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1271 59.83% 39.91 1.899 68.29% 0.669 0.3521
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 849 63.2% 37.6 -1.551 64.78% -0.374 -0.3899
River Surges in Sunlight 1155 61.25% 41.64 1.68 68.23% -0.227 -0.175
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 299 69.8% 35.46 -0.79 53.51% -0.176 0.1811
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 46 56.52% 39.91 0.965 54.35% -0.252 -0.4821
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 827 64.44% 37.67 0.728 65.05% 0.328 0.2941
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 213 76.53% 30.7 -2.371 39.44% -0.327 0.1399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 83.33% 36.83 -2.995 66.67% -0.392 -0.2945
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 66.67% 52.67 1.237 100.0% 0.027 -0.1485
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 140 78.57% 33.37 -3.784 51.43% -0.583 -0.6423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 101 82.18% 28.59 -4.756 33.66% -0.705 -0.5448
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 916 56.24% 39.76 1.011 68.45% 0.34 0.0378
Shifting Memory of Ages 297 82.49% 34.49 -2.337 55.22% -0.48 -0.4409
Shroud of Silent Mist 363 85.67% 28.67 -1.672 39.12% -0.122 0.2026
Starlight Seeks its Form 373 57.64% 39.18 -0.492 65.15% -0.142 -0.3465
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2548 52.67% 38.42 1.43 73.31% 0.756 0.5696
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 612 71.55% 34.78 -0.65 53.1% -0.042 0.0427
Thunderspeaker 742 69.37% 38.9 3.737 63.07% 0.585 0.5543
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1521 87.28% 30.33 -2.196 49.44% -0.003 -0.0471
Vital Strength of the Earth 454 72.03% 28.86 -2.395 34.14% -0.186 0.6086
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 27 66.67% 32.19 -1.249 44.44% -0.264 0.1884
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 161 70.19% 32.37 -1.922 49.07% -0.25 0.7815
Volcano Looming High 915 73.99% 34.95 -2.914 60.11% -0.489 -0.463

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 152 54.61% 35.28 0.462 55.26% 0.177 0.4443
Dahan Insurrection 4 151 46.36% 59.64 13.304 68.21% 0.243 0.5758
Despicable Theft 2 7 57.14% 39.0 0.0 57.14%
Elemental Invocation 1 80 71.25% 35.61 -4.896 47.5% -1.143 -0.495
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 666 19.42% 45.16 8.555 68.77% 0.069 0.2355
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 73.86% 34.8 0.0 43.18%
Rituals of Terror 3 50 74.0% 42.34 0.0 44.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 90.63% 39.31 -1.611 37.5% -0.067 0.59
Second Wave 0 300 57.05% 36.72 -0.271 54.0% -0.447 0.0235
The Great River 3 28 39.29% 38.07 2.27 32.14% -0.599 0.9017
Ward the Shores 2 51 66.67% 34.82 -8.372 33.33% -1.016 0.1713

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10915 65.03% 36.69 0.838 62.79% 0.847 1.2948
1 Thematic 766 64.75% 39.19 0.649 51.7% -0.046 0.5569
2 Archipelago 10 90.0% 47.2 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2543 67.97% 36.34 -0.95 62.13% 0.084 0.4755
2 Coastline 295 59.66% 39.64 -1.159 72.88% -0.141 -0.0526
2 Fragment 61 72.88% 34.08 -3.273 54.1% -0.051 0.0151
2 Heart 35 81.25% 37.49 4.421 68.57% 0.531 0.8026
2 Opposite Shores 515 66.28% 35.74 -4.881 58.83% -1.033 -0.5398
2 Thematic 208 76.7% 33.55 -1.127 37.98% 0.025 0.4926
2 Top to Top 85 55.29% 38.28 -0.916 68.24% 0.06 0.3422
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 -9.217 57.14% -0.483 -1.1218
3 Other 47 57.45% 43.98 -2.054 89.36% -0.178 -1.2672
3 Round (Default) 1029 65.69% 37.79 1.561 63.85% -0.097 0.1711
3 Sunrise 7 57.14% 39.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 40 80.0% 31.82 2.271 35.0% 0.249 0.025
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 40.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 31 64.52% 42.19 0.0 77.42%
4 Thematic 104 50.96% 47.94 -0.146 63.46% 0.135 0.2307
4 Trapezoid (Default) 505 54.38% 40.07 2.862 71.88% 0.162 0.0247
5 Other 24 47.83% 47.79 6.087 87.5% 0.449 0.7188
6 Other 4 0.0% 71.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 2 50.0% 47.5 -7.956 50.0% -0.524 -0.1611
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 45.45% 42.64 1.237 72.73% 0.027 0.4049

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 767 31.24 -5.134 47.46% -1.431 0.4007
Aid From Lesser Spirits 683 34.55 -0.529 55.49% -0.632 1.022
All Things Weaken 876 31.72 -3.024 48.86% -1.088 0.8883
Back Against the Wall 639 33.19 -4.018 51.64% -1.222 0.6367
Disintegrating Ecosystem 757 29.3 -5.744 46.1% -1.366 0.6086
Downward Spiral 929 31.86 -4.208 52.31% -1.275 0.627
Erosion of Will 818 30.2 -4.814 44.74% -1.497 0.5464
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 368 37.09 0.351 64.67% -0.261 0.3116
Memory Fades to Dust 849 31.38 -1.471 49.0% -0.75 1.2295
Power Corrodes the Spirit 931 30.88 -1.869 48.34% -0.736 1.1559
Promising Farmlands 766 30.3 -6.082 46.87% -1.788 0.2508
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 253 40.01 -1.8 75.1% -0.776 -0.3352
Thriving Communities 795 29.04 -4.686 42.89% -1.512 0.4518
Unnatural Proliferation 903 30.91 -4.669 44.63% -1.617 0.2893
Untended Land Crumbles 889 30.8 -3.307 47.02% -1.072 0.9626

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3081 63.91% 37.43 0.27 64.33% -0.014 0.7542
B 3114 63.34% 37.3 0.126 64.26% 0.109 0.8017
C 3593 65.53% 36.93 -0.166 63.07% 0.002 0.5665
D 3024 65.16% 36.97 0.09 63.23% 0.03 0.7982
E 3047 65.14% 37.41 -0.941 64.29% -0.154 0.4451
F 2809 64.56% 37.44 -0.482 64.51% -0.182 0.528
G 2526 63.6% 37.06 1.0 64.13% 0.394 1.1201
H 2523 64.82% 37.77 0.848 65.32% 0.344 1.0346
East 740 65.58% 40.36 -0.606 51.76% -0.189 0.4332
Northeast 305 67.11% 40.45 4.445 47.21% 0.019 0.7
Northwest 248 66.8% 38.77 -3.68 44.76% -0.846 0.2212
Southeast 246 64.63% 37.89 -0.681 50.0% -0.327 0.4013
Southwest 197 68.53% 33.79 -1.597 45.69% -0.283 0.6878
West 580 67.47% 37.16 0.034 45.86% -0.232 0.7716

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 28 0.0% 43.14 19.807 75.0% 0.215 2.2268
Not Using Events or Tokens 76 69.74% 40.26 14.356 56.58% 1.294 1.5087
Skip Initial Invader Actions 362 14.04% 54.68 1.084 92.82% -0.162 -0.2556
Start of Game Growth 542 17.38% 52.61 0.834 90.04% -0.405 -1.113
Unlimited Undo 1237 57.01% 40.82 1.935 72.35% 0.449 -0.2506
Using Tokens but Not Events 935 54.13% 38.54 -0.766 68.24% -0.04 -0.0855

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3217 22.6 6.22%
II 7619 31.02 60.1%
III 5148 34.59 91.71%
IV 1270 37.83 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.14 Win Model: 0.348
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11734 65.01% 36.86 62.01%
2 3736 67.46% 36.46 61.7%
3 1115 65.65% 37.76 63.77%
4 642 54.15% 41.34 70.25%
5 10 66.67% 47.5 80.0%
6 17 35.29% 51.35 82.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 199
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4661
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4460
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1260
Lose: Invader deck ran out 148
Lose: Adversary condition 3516
Win: Sacrifice victory 66
Lose: Scenario condition 199
Win: Scenario condition 119
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2452
Lose: Spirit destroyed 174

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 581 72.63% 43.79 0.329 63.34% 0.245 0.1107
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 314 91.72% 34.79 -2.651 39.49% -0.247 -0.2007
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 483 90.68% 34.23 -1.971 39.34% -0.172 -0.2918
Downpour Drenches the World 47 74.47% 41.34 1.015 53.19% 0.056 0.4047
Eyes Watch From the Trees 693 72.9% 43.83 4.205 60.17% 0.619 0.1978
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 560 76.74% 42.35 -7.069 56.61% -1.67 -2.232
Finder of Paths Unseen 29 75.86% 44.83 2.794 68.97% 0.71 1.111
Fractured Days Split the Sky 253 80.24% 44.04 5.821 53.75% 0.618 0.672
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 213 92.96% 36.68 -4.452 43.66% -0.592 -0.601
Heart of the Wildfire 1264 86.03% 37.06 1.549 47.63% 0.443 0.6694
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1071 75.7% 38.3 -1.222 48.65% -0.101 -0.6232
Lightning's Swift Strike 240 92.44% 32.43 -4.916 33.75% -0.625 -0.3819
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 22 90.91% 44.27 -0.465 63.64% 0.036 -0.8182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 136 91.91% 43.57 2.237 61.03% 0.362 -0.2474
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 82 90.24% 40.11 1.281 50.0% -0.072 -0.449
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 927 80.13% 40.58 1.62 53.29% 0.425 0.2072
Many Minds Move as One 407 63.14% 48.78 3.001 73.46% 0.409 -0.13
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 539 85.29% 35.25 -6.024 40.45% -0.539 -0.8556
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 523 85.44% 38.3 -1.433 50.1% 0.002 -0.0137
River Surges in Sunlight 656 81.72% 41.45 1.807 51.07% 0.387 0.4394
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 129 88.37% 34.34 -0.771 33.33% -0.165 0.1931
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 27 74.07% 50.37 4.256 66.67% 0.506 0.2756
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 522 79.89% 41.78 1.335 57.85% 0.364 0.3299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 114 87.72% 32.58 -10.285 30.7% -0.569 -0.1023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 50.0% 53.67 5.516 66.67% 0.527 0.6247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 78.57% 47.86 4.301 71.43% 0.724 0.5485
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 111 89.19% 40.51 -2.242 52.25% -0.148 -0.2073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 85 90.59% 41.07 12.666 52.94% 0.519 0.6793
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 370 74.32% 41.11 -1.431 52.16% -0.318 -0.6204
Shifting Memory of Ages 207 94.2% 36.15 -1.437 43.96% -0.199 -0.1602
Shroud of Silent Mist 224 92.41% 35.06 -2.508 42.86% -0.113 0.2115
Starlight Seeks its Form 290 77.59% 43.66 1.23 61.03% 0.192 -0.0122
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2200 60.67% 43.18 2.634 68.05% 0.76 0.5739
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 441 84.32% 36.39 -0.965 42.4% -0.109 -0.0247
Thunderspeaker 402 88.06% 38.67 -3.263 47.76% -0.522 -0.5526
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1523 94.09% 35.37 -2.45 45.96% -0.133 -0.1764
Vital Strength of the Earth 168 84.52% 31.57 -2.599 29.76% -0.4 0.3952
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 20 70.0% 38.6 -2.247 50.0% -0.269 0.1832
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 101 90.1% 29.98 -7.913 24.75% -1.01 0.0209
Volcano Looming High 584 90.92% 35.14 -0.799 43.84% 0.201 0.2268

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 41.0 1.149 50.0% -0.152 -0.0435
Blitz 0 74 70.27% 40.78 8.422 54.05% 0.243 0.5098
Dahan Insurrection 4 42 71.43% 54.67 17.73 42.86% 0.447 0.7792
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 35.58 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 37 72.97% 33.89 -6.977 27.03% -0.595 0.0535
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 373 24.93% 48.42 3.165 62.73% 0.21 0.3755
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 87.1% 36.68 13.542 32.26% 0.277 0.6029
Rituals of Terror 3 18 77.78% 48.78 2.322 44.44% -0.049 -0.1582
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 41.15 0.0 35.0%
Second Wave 0 198 72.08% 38.52 -0.269 45.45% -0.193 0.2776
The Great River 3 13 38.46% 30.38 0.0 7.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 28 89.29% 36.79 9.598 28.57% 0.237 1.4244

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7524 79.94% 39.22 -0.536 52.9% -0.289 0.1579
1 Thematic 285 76.49% 39.66 3.272 42.81% 0.339 0.9422
2 Archipelago 5 100.0% 45.0 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1687 83.05% 38.85 -0.986 52.1% -0.549 -0.1574
2 Coastline 187 82.35% 38.37 -2.486 49.73% -0.441 -0.3525
2 Fragment 30 90.0% 37.37 0.0 43.33%
2 Heart 21 95.24% 40.95 9.013 61.9% 0.582 0.8537
2 Opposite Shores 340 82.89% 35.57 2.727 42.35% 0.191 0.684
2 Thematic 117 84.62% 38.22 0.118 38.46% 0.054 0.5219
2 Top to Top 67 88.06% 38.42 -4.613 52.24% -0.48 -0.1976
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 36 75.0% 46.19 5.846 75.0% 0.319 -0.7704
3 Round (Default) 693 84.7% 38.81 0.65 52.09% -0.287 -0.0183
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 20 90.0% 39.75 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 66.67% 47.33 6.845 77.78% 0.315 -0.1306
4 Thematic 117 59.83% 48.31 0.0 58.12%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 234 78.7% 39.75 1.976 51.71% -0.293 -0.4298
5 Other 7 66.67% 54.71 0.0 85.71%
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 30.88 7.016 25.0% 0.257 1.1513
6 Thematic 8 0.0% 65.13 0.501 75.0% -0.186 0.1767
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 45.2 0.0 60.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 658 37.08 -0.168 47.57% -0.393 1.4389
Aid From Lesser Spirits 540 39.78 -1.511 52.78% -0.536 1.1183
All Things Weaken 763 34.96 -3.784 40.89% -1.024 0.9523
Back Against the Wall 534 39.69 1.66 51.12% -0.406 1.4531
Disintegrating Ecosystem 695 34.65 -3.985 45.47% -0.75 1.2244
Downward Spiral 662 35.3 -2.988 44.56% -0.994 0.908
Erosion of Will 669 36.17 -2.915 43.2% -0.957 1.0871
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 236 41.58 -1.476 56.78% -0.723 -0.1505
Memory Fades to Dust 766 35.37 -0.496 44.39% -0.491 1.4882
Power Corrodes the Spirit 708 35.9 -1.905 45.76% -0.57 1.3221
Promising Farmlands 655 32.93 -3.936 37.86% -1.062 0.9768
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 43.57 1.307 61.64% 0.035 0.4757
Thriving Communities 679 34.37 -2.403 43.45% -0.461 1.5029
Unnatural Proliferation 766 36.72 -2.591 44.78% -0.873 1.0328
Untended Land Crumbles 716 34.16 -2.341 40.78% -0.773 1.262

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1947 81.54% 38.3 -1.76 50.54% -0.377 0.3911
B 2258 80.6% 39.71 0.853 54.25% 0.166 0.8583
C 2528 80.71% 39.21 -1.28 52.61% -0.297 0.2676
D 1878 83.38% 38.41 0.399 50.75% 0.087 0.8556
E 1936 81.87% 38.73 1.556 51.14% 0.272 0.8708
F 1867 81.26% 39.71 1.715 54.37% 0.416 1.1261
G 1589 80.44% 38.75 -0.704 51.1% -0.305 0.4211
H 1565 79.83% 39.45 0.307 53.42% 0.081 0.7714
East 396 73.99% 42.74 1.73 46.21% 0.009 0.6314
Northeast 182 72.53% 44.76 4.678 47.8% 0.471 1.1524
Northwest 149 69.13% 43.0 -0.941 46.31% -0.542 0.5246
Southeast 155 68.39% 44.19 -2.95 52.9% -0.818 -0.0898
Southwest 145 68.97% 42.6 3.196 50.34% 0.396 1.3663
West 341 71.26% 41.45 0.501 44.87% -0.186 0.8171

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 26 92.31% 39.58 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 112 47.71% 56.92 6.076 83.93% 0.397 0.3034
Start of Game Growth 263 48.85% 53.07 2.409 75.67% 0.145 -0.5625
Unlimited Undo 1034 77.21% 42.52 2.407 60.54% 0.584 -0.1155
Using Tokens but Not Events 445 74.66% 39.37 1.625 53.26% 0.042 -0.003

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2938 22.6 3.37%
II 4715 31.02 50.1%
III 2956 34.59 90.66%
IV 812 37.83 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.436 Win Model: 0.133
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7835 79.79% 39.26 52.53%
2 2456 83.46% 38.36 50.16%
3 736 83.97% 39.04 52.58%
4 369 73.15% 42.88 55.01%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 22 31.82% 45.91 50.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 99
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2643
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2321
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 795
Lose: Invader deck ran out 63
Lose: Adversary condition 2783
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 129
Win: Scenario condition 26
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2308
Lose: Spirit destroyed 187

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 293 72.01% 45.02 0.524 55.63% 0.293 0.1582
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 133 91.73% 36.35 -5.629 35.34% -0.87 -0.8242
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 215 90.7% 32.43 -12.595 27.44% -0.454 -0.5741
Downpour Drenches the World 25 72.0% 41.12 -0.887 48.0% -0.088 0.2608
Eyes Watch From the Trees 199 72.36% 45.04 -2.411 54.27% -0.11 -0.5305
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 189 93.12% 37.32 -10.571 38.1% -1.385 -1.9466
Finder of Paths Unseen 10 50.0% 54.5 4.288 70.0% 0.662 1.0634
Fractured Days Split the Sky 124 83.06% 46.73 -0.087 52.42% -0.239 -0.1849
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 105 98.1% 35.98 -5.713 35.24% -1.297 -1.3056
Heart of the Wildfire 472 88.35% 34.1 1.468 34.11% 0.545 0.7712
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 638 79.15% 37.28 7.21 36.36% 1.436 0.9139
Lightning's Swift Strike 105 93.33% 34.32 -9.781 30.48% -0.571 -0.3273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 9 88.89% 46.44 10.243 44.44% 0.725 -0.1292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 50 100.0% 35.12 8.486 34.0% 0.419 -0.1909
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 44 93.18% 32.41 3.036 22.73% 0.069 -0.308
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 381 88.45% 40.12 6.028 45.93% 1.181 0.9633
Many Minds Move as One 179 69.83% 51.28 4.09 71.51% 0.442 -0.0968
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 263 82.13% 39.38 7.278 42.97% 0.972 0.655
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 184 84.24% 38.52 -3.84 40.76% -0.284 -0.3001
River Surges in Sunlight 268 87.31% 41.14 0.837 42.16% -0.272 -0.2199
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 59 81.36% 38.07 0.0 32.2%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 11 72.73% 57.55 6.955 72.73% 0.71 0.4797
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 254 81.1% 40.95 1.998 46.06% 0.196 0.1614
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 96 93.75% 26.89 -16.034 8.33% -0.449 0.0179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 100.0% 52.33 7.829 66.67% 0.707 0.8042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 1 100.0% 51.0 4.615 100.0% 0.268 0.0925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 41 92.68% 36.2 -8.493 34.15% -0.709 -0.7683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 48 91.67% 30.44 -12.256 18.75% -0.354 -0.1931
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 136 83.09% 35.98 0.0 34.56%
Shifting Memory of Ages 114 92.98% 36.06 -4.02 31.58% -0.534 -0.4954
Shroud of Silent Mist 97 93.81% 31.38 0.431 23.71% 0.008 0.3324
Starlight Seeks its Form 148 89.19% 39.68 -2.773 43.92% -0.308 -0.5125
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1023 63.54% 43.18 3.842 60.12% 1.121 0.9349
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 182 87.91% 33.59 -4.922 26.92% -0.187 -0.1023
Thunderspeaker 159 94.97% 35.27 -1.473 32.08% 0.033 0.0024
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 579 95.34% 35.66 -11.518 39.21% -1.342 -1.3859
Vital Strength of the Earth 87 86.21% 31.28 0.0 21.84%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 31 83.87% 33.23 8.884 29.03% 0.574 1.6048
Volcano Looming High 280 91.43% 32.88 -6.783 31.07% -0.486 -0.4603

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 27 88.89% 34.07 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 48 91.67% 38.92 4.343 8.33% -0.147 0.1854
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 -0.915 25.0% -0.139 0.1113
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 37.44 -6.655 33.33% -0.241 0.4077
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 137 27.01% 41.92 2.478 38.69% 0.018 0.1843
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 81.82% 41.45 0.0 36.36%
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 10.27 28.57% 0.063 -0.0466
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 62 58.06% 39.89 3.68 43.55% -0.087 0.3837
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.0 22.22%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3348 82.32% 38.64 0.966 44.0% 0.696 1.1432
1 Thematic 391 88.24% 30.48 -5.597 12.53% -0.935 -0.3321
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 779 88.58% 36.49 -1.687 37.87% 0.107 0.4986
2 Coastline 74 81.08% 40.35 -1.89 51.35% -0.012 0.0764
2 Fragment 7 100.0% 46.29 4.857 71.43% 0.094 0.1599
2 Heart 12 66.67% 45.42 8.518 58.33% 0.506 0.778
2 Opposite Shores 114 85.09% 39.74 0.949 41.23% -0.053 0.4402
2 Thematic 38 68.42% 39.26 10.27 15.79% 0.063 0.5311
2 Top to Top 56 94.64% 36.34 0.0 37.5%
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 0.0 81.25%
3 Round (Default) 216 81.94% 42.48 -0.81 52.78% -0.666 -0.3977
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 39.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 6.131 100.0% 0.022 -0.8295
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Thematic 38 68.42% 49.29 0.0 52.63%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 104 74.04% 39.33 3.756 43.27% 0.169 0.0322
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 45.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 350 36.1 -0.241 35.71% -0.202 1.6296
Aid From Lesser Spirits 269 39.8 -0.07 44.61% -0.132 1.5226
All Things Weaken 345 35.36 -3.478 34.78% -0.358 1.6183
Back Against the Wall 260 35.81 3.374 33.46% 0.467 2.3253
Disintegrating Ecosystem 295 34.86 -1.247 36.95% -0.056 1.9187
Downward Spiral 342 32.56 -5.076 29.82% -0.77 1.1323
Erosion of Will 331 34.84 -2.519 32.63% -0.567 1.4766
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 71 45.59 5.66 56.34% 0.561 1.1332
Memory Fades to Dust 322 34.55 -0.62 33.54% 0.11 2.089
Power Corrodes the Spirit 343 33.96 -3.796 32.07% -0.667 1.2244
Promising Farmlands 290 34.18 1.337 33.1% 0.238 2.2767
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 63 47.32 -6.862 61.9% -0.426 0.0153
Thriving Communities 362 34.48 -4.536 35.08% -0.63 1.3338
Unnatural Proliferation 341 35.4 -2.632 33.43% -0.652 1.254
Untended Land Crumbles 370 33.24 -1.359 30.81% -0.009 2.0251

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 816 86.03% 38.14 1.058 42.03% 0.442 1.2099
B 941 83.21% 38.99 1.548 44.95% 0.473 1.1652
C 1018 84.38% 40.13 0.835 46.86% 0.465 1.0295
D 805 84.47% 37.73 -1.018 41.61% -0.093 0.6748
E 857 84.25% 37.59 0.176 41.07% 0.097 0.6958
F 834 78.54% 39.53 -2.099 45.92% -0.456 0.2539
G 661 82.0% 39.39 0.227 44.63% 0.024 0.7502
H 696 82.9% 38.81 -0.617 43.1% -0.204 0.4864
East 160 75.63% 42.52 1.668 33.75% -0.172 0.4503
Northeast 70 84.29% 40.66 0.0 28.57%
Northwest 126 91.27% 31.77 -4.127 13.49% -0.437 0.6302
Southeast 69 75.36% 42.23 -4.224 37.68% -0.263 0.4647
Southwest 217 84.79% 28.65 0.0 10.6%
West 378 85.98% 30.86 10.27 12.43% 0.063 1.0664

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 0.0 21.43%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 58 58.62% 56.43 1.783 75.86% 0.123 0.0297
Start of Game Growth 94 52.13% 52.64 0.0 68.09%
Unlimited Undo 480 72.08% 45.77 4.19 60.83% 0.937 0.2374
Using Tokens but Not Events 271 61.25% 46.0 2.984 62.73% 0.306 0.2608

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1398 22.6 0.86%
II 2183 31.02 29.04%
III 1226 34.59 88.66%
IV 414 37.83 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.3 Win Model: 0.421
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3759 82.92% 37.92 40.76%
2 1070 87.1% 36.96 38.69%
3 239 81.59% 43.24 54.39%
4 149 71.14% 42.33 46.98%
6 4 100.0% 31.5 25.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1075
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 623
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 408
Lose: Invader deck ran out 35
Lose: Adversary condition 1465
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 79
Win: Scenario condition 6
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1413
Lose: Spirit destroyed 82

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1573 71.18% 46.07 -0.753 45.71% -0.134 -0.2686
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 713 90.46% 34.47 -5.073 23.0% -0.662 -0.6162
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 724 92.54% 31.34 -6.392 18.92% -1.176 -1.296
Downpour Drenches the World 177 75.14% 42.18 0.912 35.03% 0.288 0.637
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1161 84.91% 39.8 1.488 35.14% 0.593 0.1723
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 959 88.84% 36.02 -1.22 28.26% -0.161 -0.7226
Finder of Paths Unseen 88 79.55% 47.32 -0.513 52.27% 0.277 0.6784
Fractured Days Split the Sky 951 73.82% 50.44 3.66 46.27% 0.267 0.3216
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 538 91.26% 34.81 -7.19 25.09% -1.812 -1.821
Heart of the Wildfire 2911 89.89% 35.79 0.008 30.54% 0.386 0.6129
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2912 74.14% 42.69 0.162 43.1% 0.385 -0.1375
Lightning's Swift Strike 865 93.28% 28.87 -4.605 13.29% -0.437 -0.1931
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 189 85.71% 42.24 0.415 37.57% 0.39 -0.4637
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 408 92.4% 37.84 -0.383 33.58% 0.189 -0.4202
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 214 83.64% 44.27 10.238 42.99% 1.494 1.117
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2381 88.73% 36.25 -2.727 28.94% -0.301 -0.5186
Many Minds Move as One 963 74.22% 51.41 9.099 61.47% 1.468 0.9293
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1049 85.67% 36.9 -3.681 30.51% -0.526 -0.8425
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1017 89.07% 37.37 -2.422 31.96% -0.315 -0.3307
River Surges in Sunlight 1736 86.39% 44.0 0.888 39.86% 0.35 0.4024
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 306 70.26% 45.78 0.716 34.64% -0.373 -0.015
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 95 75.79% 49.05 0.766 40.0% -0.22 -0.45
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1588 76.01% 48.0 1.224 50.44% 0.322 0.2882
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 426 76.06% 35.45 0.0 21.83%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 100.0% 34.38 -3.138 25.0% -0.068 0.0296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 100.0% 54.5 3.429 75.0% 0.212 0.0366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 179 77.65% 35.2 -1.154 22.91% 0.095 0.0354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 89.63% 36.76 -1.39 26.67% -0.132 0.0287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 903 79.62% 38.86 2.415 32.89% 0.732 0.43
Shifting Memory of Ages 529 82.04% 45.21 1.588 40.45% 0.567 0.6062
Shroud of Silent Mist 500 90.8% 34.65 -1.983 26.2% -0.096 0.2283
Starlight Seeks its Form 978 79.45% 47.43 2.828 48.06% 0.719 0.5143
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9641 53.63% 48.28 4.601 60.57% 1.324 1.1376
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 773 88.34% 36.78 -6.971 29.11% -1.067 -0.9823
Thunderspeaker 833 87.03% 35.69 -4.654 23.17% -0.637 -0.6682
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4391 94.42% 35.54 -3.662 32.18% -0.176 -0.2198
Vital Strength of the Earth 330 83.64% 32.41 -2.337 18.48% -0.302 0.4925
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 32 71.88% 38.0 -1.634 28.13% -0.13 0.322
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 257 86.38% 34.89 -3.423 26.07% -0.347 0.6838
Volcano Looming High 1867 89.77% 34.58 -4.973 28.17% -0.609 -0.5833

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 324 59.26% 41.65 -3.132 41.05% -0.399 -0.1318
Dahan Insurrection 4 210 73.81% 47.93 2.331 20.0% -0.34 -0.0069
Despicable Theft 2 28 89.29% 34.96 -6.008 17.86% -0.254 -0.0029
Elemental Invocation 1 93 72.04% 36.11 -3.856 19.35% -0.595 0.0533
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1913 31.36% 49.12 0.29 43.07% -0.109 0.0574
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 52.58% 45.94 0.0 51.55%
Rituals of Terror 3 100 35.35% 74.36 9.174 40.0% 0.159 0.0498
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 64.71% 42.71 0.0 23.53%
Second Wave 0 111 56.76% 43.27 4.284 39.64% 0.075 0.5462
The Great River 3 12 50.0% 40.5 -5.087 8.33% -1.054 0.4465
Varied Terrains 2 17 64.71% 44.35 17.975 35.29% 0.638 1.1739
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 29039 77.81% 40.7 -1.329 40.94% -0.176 0.2715
1 Thematic 756 73.02% 39.45 2.787 27.91% 0.167 0.7698
2 Archipelago 10 70.0% 46.1 -5.708 10.0% -0.619 0.0472
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2932 86.56% 39.97 -0.265 38.68% -0.161 0.2303
2 Coastline 522 76.63% 42.0 2.748 41.19% 0.522 0.6103
2 Fragment 44 88.64% 39.66 -2.404 34.09% -0.64 -0.5746
2 Heart 71 81.69% 40.32 0.191 39.44% -0.106 0.1657
2 Opposite Shores 700 84.84% 34.41 -4.021 23.71% -0.987 -0.4942
2 Thematic 136 67.65% 46.1 4.015 19.12% -0.475 -0.0069
2 Top to Top 129 88.37% 40.52 -0.002 41.09% 0.134 0.4161
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 32.67 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 51.5 0.139 66.67% 0.041 -0.5977
3 Other 55 87.27% 45.55 5.975 52.73% 0.892 -0.197
3 Round (Default) 993 81.37% 39.91 2.56 37.97% 0.372 0.6404
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 29 37.93% 62.86 4.4 24.14% -0.012 -0.2361
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 4.361 100.0% 0.006 0.0139
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 34 76.47% 49.97 0.0 61.76%
4 Thematic 159 25.79% 66.7 0.0 69.18%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 499 84.27% 38.85 1.942 32.06% 0.03 -0.1072
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 69.8 3.107 100.0% 0.063 -0.4492
5 Other 24 58.33% 57.17 -6.7 75.0% -0.223 0.0458
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 85.71% 30.43 0.0 14.29%
6 Star 4 75.0% 46.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 66.11 -2.843 66.67% -0.273 0.0902
6 Two Centers (Default) 54 25.93% 90.87 5.255 83.33% -0.251 0.1268

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2185 37.34 -3.767 33.27% -1.23 0.6012
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1723 41.52 -0.591 41.27% -0.626 1.028
All Things Weaken 2279 36.83 -4.23 32.29% -1.224 0.7523
Back Against the Wall 1624 40.71 -3.241 39.41% -1.169 0.6902
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2111 34.59 -4.869 30.93% -1.222 0.7528
Downward Spiral 2252 36.24 -2.686 32.55% -0.767 1.1354
Erosion of Will 1996 35.74 -3.388 29.41% -1.103 0.941
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 628 44.14 -0.875 47.93% -0.592 -0.02
Memory Fades to Dust 2279 35.12 -4.383 29.14% -1.236 0.7437
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2162 35.22 -3.974 29.93% -1.076 0.8155
Promising Farmlands 2083 34.5 -2.652 28.13% -0.777 1.2619
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 390 47.39 0.276 55.9% -0.309 0.1321
Thriving Communities 2232 34.97 -4.005 29.88% -1.103 0.8614
Unnatural Proliferation 2366 38.22 -2.671 33.98% -1.042 0.8637
Untended Land Crumbles 2093 34.2 -4.714 27.66% -1.325 0.7099

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5676 79.49% 40.89 1.219 40.22% 0.015 0.7833
B 6042 77.9% 40.48 -0.955 39.09% -0.465 0.2275
C 7519 79.43% 40.38 0.356 39.21% -0.376 0.1883
D 5204 81.89% 40.03 0.18 38.93% -0.156 0.6118
E 5937 81.5% 40.09 -0.353 38.61% -0.384 0.2157
F 5202 77.89% 41.32 0.097 41.14% -0.428 0.2812
G 4207 79.49% 40.8 0.232 40.41% -0.336 0.3895
H 4100 77.18% 42.37 0.754 43.0% -0.316 0.3739
East 628 54.3% 51.86 5.03 37.42% -0.442 0.1803
Northeast 288 47.57% 56.38 5.093 41.67% -0.205 0.4766
Northwest 224 47.32% 54.63 -7.401 43.3% -0.811 0.256
Southeast 231 48.48% 52.23 3.788 44.59% 0.216 0.9438
Southwest 230 59.13% 44.74 -3.408 40.0% -0.452 0.5186
West 557 53.68% 49.97 0.074 38.6% -0.764 0.2398

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 0.0 60.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 122 76.23% 41.34 -2.763 10.66% -0.296 -0.0815
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1216 26.3% 66.85 7.382 81.33% 1.308 1.2143
Start of Game Growth 1932 28.48% 62.3 4.521 77.17% -0.424 -1.1319
Unlimited Undo 3623 69.27% 51.86 6.305 63.26% 1.453 0.7529
Using Tokens but Not Events 1389 67.7% 41.81 0.296 40.96% -0.426 -0.4711

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13875 22.6 3.42%
II 14752 31.02 47.61%
III 6007 34.59 90.51%
IV 1613 37.83 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.006 Win Model: 0.381
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29971 77.59% 40.79 40.72%
2 4432 85.24% 38.97 35.4%
3 1064 81.02% 40.91 38.82%
4 698 69.35% 45.48 42.41%
5 7 28.57% 65.0 85.71%
6 75 33.33% 79.68 73.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 457
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5348
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6859
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1567
Lose: Invader deck ran out 277
Lose: Adversary condition 11270
Win: Sacrifice victory 269
Lose: Scenario condition 860
Win: Scenario condition 43
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8635
Lose: Spirit destroyed 662

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-16 02:17:41 (Pacific Time)