The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1411 26.35% 28.83 0.513 80.3% 0.248 0.2123
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 975 44.14% 27.07 0.437 72.41% -0.125 0.0338
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 36 8.33% 33.97 6.79 83.33% 1.096 0.0839
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1206 29.49% 29.68 1.554 83.17% 0.418 0.2059
Downpour Drenches the World 320 28.13% 23.04 -1.325 58.75% -0.135 0.1123
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 242 20.75% 27.76 1.204 71.49% 0.145 -0.4176
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1451 18.93% 33.33 2.733 87.25% 0.627 0.1478
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1205 25.08% 31.22 1.703 85.98% 0.381 -0.0251
Finder of Paths Unseen 155 29.22% 15.63 -5.657 39.35% -1.788 -1.0254
Fractured Days Split the Sky 589 36.5% 26.04 -3.738 62.31% -1.159 -0.4966
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 723 40.58% 28.25 -0.992 72.48% -0.241 -0.2441
Heart of the Wildfire 1460 58.34% 24.6 -0.768 70.0% -0.135 0.2353
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1945 26.65% 30.53 0.146 84.99% 0.041 -0.3858
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 46 6.52% 30.22 4.6 80.43% 0.977 0.4847
Lightning's Swift Strike 799 43.25% 27.3 0.602 75.72% 0.247 0.4606
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 122 29.51% 28.38 0.818 75.41% 0.143 -0.4732
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 411 32.92% 31.23 3.401 86.62% 0.614 0.3285
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 307 34.85% 27.94 -0.933 75.57% -0.172 -0.2739
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1493 31.82% 29.69 0.346 81.85% 0.233 -0.0136
Many Minds Move as One 1079 22.98% 30.59 -0.114 83.87% -0.098 -0.2591
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1477 40.56% 28.01 -0.759 74.95% -0.286 -0.2519
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1111 30.87% 28.9 0.277 82.54% 0.37 0.2032
River Surges in Sunlight 1023 41.86% 28.79 2.092 73.8% 0.552 0.5791
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 451 41.78% 28.56 -0.517 66.96% -0.327 0.0116
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 119 30.25% 29.94 5.426 69.75% 1.086 1.0546
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1039 30.7% 28.72 0.849 80.75% 0.187 0.0771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 513 53.8% 26.53 -2.741 70.37% -0.494 0.081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 40.68% 23.73 3.451 59.32% 0.574 0.5973
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 30.56% 21.81 1.511 52.78% -0.012 -0.4642
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 46 23.91% 22.28 -3.564 54.35% -0.767 -0.5308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 318 33.33% 30.34 2.07 85.85% 0.895 0.8073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 214 46.26% 27.64 7.121 74.3% 0.71 0.9053
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1069 30.3% 29.91 -0.927 81.95% -0.231 -0.2529
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 81 22.22% 21.26 -1.893 58.02% -0.492 -0.8244
Shifting Memory of Ages 569 43.74% 23.28 -3.26 62.39% -0.566 -0.2844
Shroud of Silent Mist 676 46.37% 25.67 -1.742 70.56% -0.499 -0.2265
Starlight Seeks its Form 670 27.61% 26.28 1.26 68.66% 0.61 0.3898
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2115 27.95% 27.45 -0.389 84.49% 0.098 -0.3486
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 980 40.55% 25.94 -2.639 70.0% -0.508 -0.3864
Thunderspeaker 1141 37.14% 28.74 0.956 75.46% 0.247 0.2652
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 25.3% 15.6 -4.074 43.37% -0.853 -0.6488
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1424 60.72% 23.72 -2.915 72.33% -0.43 -0.2554
Vital Strength of the Earth 746 36.29% 24.9 -0.787 68.36% -0.356 0.2158
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 106 17.92% 22.38 -2.353 60.38% -0.438 -0.0559
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 288 38.89% 22.5 -5.528 64.58% -1.059 -0.3015
Volcano Looming High 958 41.65% 25.21 -1.53 71.4% -0.248 -0.2739
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 87 22.09% 28.6 4.988 77.01% 1.238 0.7047

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 33.33% 22.87 3.685 60.0% 0.587 0.4008
Blitz 0 286 28.07% 24.46 -2.758 67.13% -0.543 -0.4118
Dahan Insurrection 4 375 26.93% 45.88 12.273 67.2% 0.223 -0.0325
Despicable Theft 2 135 33.33% 28.12 2.706 57.78% -0.154 0.3877
Elemental Invocation 1 186 43.55% 23.49 -4.917 55.91% -1.27 -0.4131
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 818 9.66% 33.36 7.768 77.26% 1.238 0.467
Powers Long Forgotten 1 241 43.93% 25.26 -7.316 56.43% -2.111 -1.1765
Rituals of Terror 3 195 55.9% 31.97 0.477 53.33% -0.609 -0.513
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 175 60.0% 31.08 -2.492 57.14% -0.738 0.4583
Second Wave 0 439 45.33% 30.83 -1.477 70.16% -0.993 -0.9068
The Great River 3 154 53.9% 22.94 -0.488 35.06% -0.894 0.4671
Varied Terrains 2 78 55.13% 22.04 -0.773 41.03% -0.437 0.3515
Ward the Shores 2 274 39.78% 31.46 3.104 61.31% 0.429 1.4607

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14860 37.57% 27.78 0.442 77.23% 0.414 0.6053
1 Thematic 1550 41.29% 30.51 -0.373 67.03% -0.248 0.3967
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 31.31 13.448 56.25% 0.566 0.9981
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2945 38.27% 27.39 0.186 78.91% 0.372 0.3687
2 Coastline 335 38.81% 27.78 -1.651 77.61% -0.299 -0.2436
2 Fragment 66 51.52% 25.73 0.315 71.21% 0.157 -0.1091
2 Heart 34 35.29% 28.79 -12.51 94.12% -0.571 -0.6099
2 Opposite Shores 392 30.51% 29.0 2.134 84.69% 0.909 0.9236
2 Thematic 414 40.1% 29.58 -1.603 63.53% 0.086 0.2828
2 Top to Top 62 41.94% 29.32 -10.423 85.48% -0.522 -0.6203
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.0 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 36.21 9.408 78.57% 0.729 -0.2949
3 Other 62 32.26% 25.82 8.97 74.19% 1.053 0.6602
3 Round (Default) 1373 30.17% 28.4 1.875 80.77% 0.719 0.3838
3 Sunrise 3 100.0% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 75 46.67% 27.67 -8.007 58.67% -0.918 -1.2026
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 40.83 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 23.5 -4.728 50.0% -0.049 -0.9881
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 32 15.63% 27.66 -7.541 87.5% -1.324 -2.6535
4 Thematic 99 21.21% 36.32 3.39 78.79% 0.413 0.3339
4 Trapezoid (Default) 615 26.5% 25.18 -3.232 71.22% -0.574 -0.7305
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 39 10.26% 25.67 3.52 79.49% 1.219 0.1445
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 27.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 7 42.86% 29.43 0.0 85.71%
6 Thematic 41 29.27% 34.39 4.618 53.66% -0.208 0.4408
6 Two Centers (Default) 82 15.85% 24.52 -1.031 69.51% -0.621 -0.9552
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 16.33 -18.025 33.33% -0.743 -0.3468

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 536 22.76 -1.354 61.38% -0.343 -0.2133
Aid From Lesser Spirits 468 23.7 0.831 61.32% -0.159 -0.2775
All Things Weaken 626 21.97 -1.386 56.39% -0.454 -0.1464
Attenuated Essence 39 18.03 -1.53 48.72% -0.287 -0.2552
Back Against the Wall 497 25.0 0.708 63.98% 0.222 0.2523
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 14.82 -2.528 36.36% -0.28 -0.0937
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 26.12 2.491 57.69% 0.128 0.1986
Disintegrating Ecosystem 535 21.11 -0.854 57.76% -0.267 0.1085
Downward Spiral 708 22.17 1.853 62.29% 0.632 0.7979
Erosion of Will 605 23.25 0.092 58.18% -0.245 -0.0304
Intensifying Exploitation 44 20.16 -4.578 45.45% -0.889 -0.6479
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 304 27.14 -0.854 80.59% 0.037 -0.5439
Memory Fades to Dust 702 23.17 1.21 61.54% 0.01 0.3032
Power Corrodes the Spirit 658 22.75 0.693 63.22% 0.231 0.3916
Promising Farmlands 545 22.74 -0.519 60.92% -0.236 0.0605
Shattered Fragments of Power 36 24.19 1.375 55.56% -0.073 0.0147
Slow Dissolution of Will 46 19.33 -2.559 39.13% -0.675 -0.2815
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 208 28.14 -0.363 86.54% 0.191 -0.5208
The Border of Life and Death 19 16.0 -4.792 42.11% -0.39 -0.8692
Thriving Communities 658 21.13 -1.255 58.66% -0.368 -0.0682
Thriving Crops 14 30.21 1.303 71.43% -0.073 -0.1751
Unnatural Proliferation 625 22.1 -0.75 51.84% -0.522 -0.3524
Untended Land Crumbles 610 21.75 3.157 57.21% 0.242 0.5005

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4136 35.82% 27.17 -0.149 77.3% -0.15 0.9926
B 3982 35.81% 27.14 -0.518 76.62% -0.313 0.7417
C 4186 33.78% 27.7 -0.432 78.02% -0.379 0.5096
D 3978 35.33% 27.43 0.079 77.3% -0.144 0.9106
E 3831 34.8% 27.76 -0.28 78.07% -0.272 0.6322
F 3718 34.92% 27.82 -0.126 78.24% -0.33 0.674
G 3348 35.89% 27.38 0.128 77.66% -0.166 0.8019
H 3314 34.79% 28.09 -0.207 78.06% -0.284 0.709
East 1310 38.85% 32.27 -0.63 68.55% -0.37 0.6186
Northeast 602 38.7% 32.95 -0.239 68.11% -0.583 0.3662
Northwest 482 40.46% 29.78 0.489 58.3% -0.021 1.0203
Southeast 474 35.86% 30.7 0.855 66.88% -0.046 0.8725
Southwest 461 36.23% 27.34 -1.311 64.43% -0.428 1.0291
West 1194 40.12% 28.9 -1.639 62.14% -0.979 0.1275

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 70 0.0% 27.91 -5.384 78.57% -0.703 -0.0393
Not Using Events or Tokens 401 38.16% 26.63 -1.068 73.57% -0.054 0.4401
Skip Initial Invader Actions 495 6.9% 39.98 4.323 90.71% 0.68 0.0579
Start of Game Growth 801 14.05% 37.47 2.85 87.39% 0.039 -0.3732
Unlimited Undo 1538 29.34% 29.54 1.675 81.6% 0.368 0.273
Using Tokens but Not Events 1862 30.56% 27.98 -0.092 76.15% -0.139 -0.0637

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2918 16.77 14.84%
II 4864 30.59 61.57%
III 9858 34.74 89.71%
IV 5531 38.3 98.97%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.158 Win Model: 0.32
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16608 37.98% 27.98 75.86%
2 4157 37.83% 28.01 79.29%
3 1490 31.29% 28.64 80.27%
4 742 25.2% 26.6 72.64%
5 30 6.67% 26.3 80.0%
6 144 22.22% 27.25 64.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 431
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8594
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2785
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5423
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1565
Lose: Invader deck ran out 145
Lose: Adversary condition 1554
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 237
Win: Scenario condition 420
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1797
Lose: Spirit destroyed 127

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1054 32.76% 33.05 1.36 79.98% 0.237 0.2012
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 628 57.03% 29.85 -1.746 67.36% -0.389 -0.2303
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 26 42.31% 29.54 3.098 69.23% 0.41 -0.6026
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 875 31.04% 33.68 1.285 82.4% 0.544 0.3316
Downpour Drenches the World 306 25.49% 23.6 -1.371 54.25% -0.615 -0.3685
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 315 22.54% 24.56 1.286 61.27% 0.669 0.1059
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1160 22.11% 37.83 5.584 88.36% 1.249 0.7693
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 869 29.95% 34.87 1.316 83.31% 0.117 -0.2891
Finder of Paths Unseen 131 45.04% 18.71 -2.344 41.22% -0.529 0.2334
Fractured Days Split the Sky 360 41.67% 30.43 -3.301 65.83% -0.675 -0.0126
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 534 42.51% 30.45 -0.263 71.72% 0.004 0.0018
Heart of the Wildfire 983 60.02% 29.4 -2.438 72.43% -0.497 -0.1266
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1437 38.53% 33.39 4.134 82.39% 0.963 0.5366
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 40 20.0% 29.35 1.522 72.5% 0.246 -0.2462
Lightning's Swift Strike 571 47.19% 31.73 -1.683 76.53% -0.122 0.0907
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 90 37.78% 29.18 -0.389 67.78% -0.02 -0.6359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 294 29.59% 35.34 1.133 81.63% 0.161 -0.1243
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 225 36.44% 34.37 0.374 77.33% 0.053 -0.0487
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1140 42.45% 32.56 0.811 77.81% 0.352 0.1058
Many Minds Move as One 783 27.31% 35.63 1.442 85.82% 0.114 -0.0472
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1087 43.83% 32.94 0.642 77.55% 0.043 0.0773
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 894 38.97% 31.96 1.334 77.07% 0.629 0.4614
River Surges in Sunlight 814 42.93% 33.33 1.564 72.24% 0.139 0.166
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 331 51.67% 30.72 -0.735 64.65% -0.297 0.0417
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 143 27.27% 29.71 -2.74 66.43% -0.729 -0.7603
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 674 42.05% 32.02 3.613 77.3% 0.317 0.2066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 331 63.44% 28.8 2.31 65.26% 0.303 0.8789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 40.0% 26.69 -3.552 57.14% -0.246 -0.2226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 24 33.33% 32.46 5.146 79.17% 0.919 0.4669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 41.46% 25.2 0.663 60.98% 0.364 0.5999
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 239 44.77% 30.35 0.263 71.55% 0.226 0.1383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 166 58.79% 33.0 1.87 73.49% 0.061 0.2563
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 820 40.29% 34.46 -1.442 82.8% -0.508 -0.5293
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 71 23.94% 26.14 -1.435 63.38% -0.084 -0.4158
Shifting Memory of Ages 494 48.58% 27.12 -2.075 64.78% -0.281 0.0004
Shroud of Silent Mist 504 63.02% 27.18 1.076 64.88% 0.311 0.5839
Starlight Seeks its Form 717 29.01% 33.8 -1.973 80.47% -0.637 -0.8569
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1731 32.97% 32.1 -0.818 84.17% -0.054 -0.5011
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 700 48.56% 29.14 -1.808 67.71% -0.0 0.1214
Thunderspeaker 829 41.98% 33.77 -0.558 75.87% -0.067 -0.048
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 58 34.48% 24.21 -0.044 55.17% 0.029 0.2331
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1144 73.92% 26.35 -2.535 69.23% -0.311 -0.1368
Vital Strength of the Earth 519 44.12% 28.12 -2.121 65.51% -0.51 0.0618
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 73 23.29% 24.78 -3.917 47.95% -0.881 -0.4994
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 217 46.54% 27.41 2.22 61.75% -0.408 0.349
Volcano Looming High 774 42.52% 29.77 -1.423 73.64% -0.279 -0.3055
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 72 16.67% 31.56 2.019 76.39% 0.558 0.0242

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 15.79% 27.32 6.986 63.16% 0.226 0.0398
Blitz 0 299 37.58% 24.97 -5.437 57.86% -1.068 -0.9373
Dahan Insurrection 4 304 25.33% 53.49 0.765 76.64% -0.456 -0.711
Despicable Theft 2 81 44.44% 29.44 3.525 54.32% -0.108 0.4333
Elemental Invocation 1 143 54.55% 23.69 -4.289 44.06% -1.381 -0.5246
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 510 11.88% 33.26 0.326 65.1% -0.541 -1.3126
Powers Long Forgotten 1 177 58.19% 27.93 -6.135 51.41% -1.127 -0.192
Rituals of Terror 3 135 50.37% 40.82 -12.14 63.7% -0.305 -0.2094
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 68.32% 39.96 -3.684 65.35% -0.877 0.3193
Second Wave 0 1082 48.06% 32.24 0.398 68.76% -0.312 -0.226
The Great River 3 90 46.67% 28.27 -4.644 38.89% -1.303 0.0589
Varied Terrains 2 56 44.64% 23.39 -1.363 44.64% -0.696 0.0926
Ward the Shores 2 212 48.11% 31.52 -4.981 54.25% -0.999 0.0327

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10496 41.0% 31.69 0.722 76.06% 0.797 0.9886
1 Thematic 1275 48.69% 32.39 -1.644 61.41% 0.195 0.8398
2 Archipelago 11 36.36% 38.36 -0.686 72.73% -0.31 0.1221
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2390 45.36% 30.05 -0.747 76.44% 0.413 0.4094
2 Coastline 307 45.75% 30.64 -1.872 75.9% -0.214 -0.1579
2 Fragment 73 65.75% 27.15 -3.334 68.49% -0.726 -0.992
2 Heart 49 48.98% 30.43 6.716 75.51% 1.013 0.9739
2 Opposite Shores 450 40.13% 30.54 0.863 76.67% 0.411 0.4249
2 Thematic 490 44.38% 27.69 -1.375 53.27% 0.042 0.2385
2 Top to Top 54 38.89% 29.2 -0.899 75.93% 0.024 -0.074
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 16 43.75% 28.19 -6.024 56.25% -0.6 -1.6239
3 Other 50 40.0% 33.46 9.351 88.0% 0.788 0.3957
3 Round (Default) 1046 34.77% 33.08 0.034 81.07% -0.25 -0.5856
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 87 41.38% 33.41 -10.215 67.82% -0.737 -1.0216
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 23 56.52% 33.48 2.779 86.96% -0.336 -1.666
4 Thematic 98 30.93% 41.58 3.409 76.53% -0.135 -0.2143
4 Trapezoid (Default) 336 40.0% 32.47 1.317 82.74% -0.084 -0.2409
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 39 23.08% 35.41 0.925 84.62% 0.1 -0.9743
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 39.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 24 29.17% 40.21 2.894 83.33% -0.262 0.3868
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 30.77% 27.15 -0.39 64.1% -0.702 -1.0364

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 487 26.43 0.18 60.57% 0.21 0.3393
Aid From Lesser Spirits 401 27.31 2.305 61.6% 0.199 0.0802
All Things Weaken 543 25.67 2.797 55.99% 0.625 0.9327
Attenuated Essence 38 23.76 -0.22 60.53% 0.301 0.3334
Back Against the Wall 413 28.31 4.918 64.65% 0.675 0.7047
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 34 20.56 0.97 41.18% -0.071 0.1153
Burn Brightest Before the End 34 25.03 0.844 52.94% -0.111 -0.0406
Disintegrating Ecosystem 477 24.0 0.2 53.88% -0.066 0.3102
Downward Spiral 598 25.43 -0.981 60.03% -0.186 -0.0201
Erosion of Will 429 25.54 0.546 59.21% -0.081 0.1335
Intensifying Exploitation 45 22.71 -1.695 53.33% -0.111 0.1309
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 285 31.79 2.268 79.65% 0.224 -0.3571
Memory Fades to Dust 561 24.83 1.065 58.11% 0.355 0.6479
Power Corrodes the Spirit 534 26.46 2.037 61.8% 0.505 0.666
Promising Farmlands 456 24.32 -0.824 54.61% -0.572 -0.2758
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 23.1 0.166 48.72% -0.139 -0.0507
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 26.91 -0.976 54.29% -0.511 -0.1175
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 182 31.51 5.838 81.87% 1.394 0.6827
The Border of Life and Death 14 31.71 3.749 78.57% 0.258 -0.2214
Thriving Communities 563 23.8 -2.645 54.17% -0.299 0.0007
Thriving Crops 18 19.44 -2.628 44.44% 0.201 0.0989
Unnatural Proliferation 562 26.52 -0.353 58.36% -0.169 0.0007
Untended Land Crumbles 524 25.12 -1.403 58.21% -0.357 -0.099

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2933 42.21% 31.23 0.18 77.26% -0.386 0.7568
B 3045 40.51% 31.64 0.202 77.37% -0.242 0.8135
C 3255 39.69% 31.6 0.062 77.85% -0.417 0.4707
D 2865 41.7% 31.73 0.11 77.28% -0.404 0.6504
E 2840 40.12% 31.91 0.724 78.31% -0.202 0.7019
F 2717 40.6% 31.09 0.35 76.33% -0.366 0.6381
G 2463 42.92% 30.94 -0.559 74.95% -0.602 0.3658
H 2428 41.42% 31.68 0.044 77.84% -0.388 0.6043
East 1234 43.81% 32.97 -1.536 61.83% -0.821 0.1669
Northeast 585 41.44% 31.81 -1.201 58.8% -0.857 0.0926
Northwest 517 42.24% 31.3 0.835 59.38% -0.633 0.4081
Southeast 428 43.53% 34.2 -0.151 68.46% -0.148 0.7703
Southwest 411 47.43% 27.96 -2.905 58.88% -0.92 0.5372
West 1173 46.25% 30.34 -1.319 58.65% -0.667 0.4396

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 56 0.0% 34.64 -2.855 85.71% -0.167 0.4962
Not Using Events or Tokens 175 47.62% 27.47 -5.454 60.0% -0.747 -0.2526
Skip Initial Invader Actions 322 8.78% 45.23 5.979 91.3% 0.477 -0.1456
Start of Game Growth 472 12.39% 43.06 4.106 89.19% 0.389 -0.0232
Unlimited Undo 1332 34.91% 31.41 -0.365 76.88% 0.036 -0.0592
Using Tokens but Not Events 1466 30.13% 32.81 0.859 76.53% 0.209 0.2845

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2368 16.77 15.33%
II 6299 30.59 71.39%
III 6238 34.74 90.97%
IV 2492 38.3 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.469 Win Model: 0.879
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11937 41.98% 31.63 73.94%
2 3726 44.54% 30.25 75.01%
3 1167 35.97% 32.81 79.69%
4 472 37.66% 34.96 82.63%
5 25 24.0% 33.0 80.0%
6 70 30.0% 32.59 72.86%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 359
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5534
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4232
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2460
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1131
Lose: Invader deck ran out 90
Lose: Adversary condition 1417
Win: Sacrifice victory 79
Lose: Scenario condition 176
Win: Scenario condition 348
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1472
Lose: Spirit destroyed 99

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1229 40.91% 38.7 1.498 74.78% 0.576 0.5402
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 699 70.34% 30.42 -1.166 51.5% -0.293 -0.1347
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 59 40.68% 35.44 3.539 67.8% 0.708 -0.3041
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1026 48.53% 38.55 -0.345 76.22% 0.32 0.1072
Downpour Drenches the World 293 41.92% 31.67 1.006 60.07% 0.37 0.6167
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 432 40.51% 30.55 2.632 60.42% 0.791 0.228
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1298 38.37% 41.34 2.986 80.51% 0.653 0.1739
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1043 50.62% 37.59 0.063 72.39% 0.244 -0.162
Finder of Paths Unseen 143 58.74% 24.88 -4.83 46.15% -0.613 0.1488
Fractured Days Split the Sky 471 53.63% 33.93 -1.09 54.99% -0.166 0.4964
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 539 63.57% 34.07 -1.274 64.19% -0.076 -0.0786
Heart of the Wildfire 1491 74.92% 31.47 -2.887 57.75% -0.374 -0.0038
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1930 49.11% 37.54 0.412 70.83% -0.007 -0.4337
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 70 50.0% 33.59 -0.044 64.29% 0.152 -0.3403
Lightning's Swift Strike 675 61.7% 36.76 0.243 69.19% 0.261 0.4742
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 59.65% 34.13 -0.567 65.79% 0.12 -0.4953
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 293 58.36% 38.52 4.449 73.04% 0.656 0.3699
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 267 56.02% 34.06 -6.903 60.3% -0.969 -1.071
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1505 59.76% 35.2 0.91 65.58% 0.446 0.1994
Many Minds Move as One 878 38.7% 40.14 0.229 80.41% 0.107 -0.0545
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1428 56.69% 36.33 0.293 67.51% 0.242 0.2763
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1053 53.06% 36.17 1.393 69.42% 0.47 0.3031
River Surges in Sunlight 1103 54.6% 39.0 2.88 68.18% 0.28 0.3072
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 374 60.05% 33.55 -2.345 54.55% -0.49 -0.1512
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 165 46.06% 35.37 -1.07 64.24% -0.002 -0.0334
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1096 55.71% 36.0 2.203 68.43% 0.564 0.4539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 311 76.85% 32.01 2.205 54.34% 0.194 0.7691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 58.54% 24.59 -4.195 39.02% -0.399 -0.3762
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 55.1% 33.94 3.623 63.27% 0.819 0.3673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 53.85% 22.1 -8.944 41.03% -0.772 -0.5357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 214 67.76% 30.89 -1.598 54.21% -0.158 -0.2451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 69.47% 31.37 -3.909 51.15% -0.661 -0.4656
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 990 47.87% 38.4 -0.933 73.33% 0.021 -0.0006
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 99 42.42% 30.43 -1.432 57.58% 0.09 -0.2418
Shifting Memory of Ages 547 65.69% 30.65 -4.59 56.86% -0.547 -0.2654
Shroud of Silent Mist 572 76.05% 26.8 -3.863 44.93% -0.868 -0.5952
Starlight Seeks its Form 666 51.6% 33.07 1.607 61.11% 0.632 0.4116
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2502 40.6% 37.39 1.775 79.46% 0.72 0.2733
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 729 62.04% 33.48 -0.63 61.45% 0.199 0.3208
Thunderspeaker 859 55.48% 36.72 -1.757 65.89% -0.06 -0.0413
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 55 29.09% 24.47 -4.098 43.64% -0.56 -0.3557
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1537 83.24% 29.69 -2.328 57.12% -0.32 -0.1455
Vital Strength of the Earth 503 59.36% 31.59 -1.67 55.47% 0.033 0.6047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 98 48.98% 27.08 -10.435 45.92% -1.774 -1.3927
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 251 55.78% 28.18 -3.126 49.0% -0.723 0.0339
Volcano Looming High 1034 65.44% 32.55 -2.154 62.96% -0.274 -0.3007
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 47.86% 31.97 1.014 60.99% 0.367 -0.167

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 31.58% 30.32 -3.776 57.89% -0.292 -0.4783
Blitz 0 349 48.41% 32.16 -5.658 54.44% -1.095 -0.9634
Dahan Insurrection 4 208 38.46% 57.43 8.24 73.56% 0.402 0.1473
Despicable Theft 2 52 61.54% 32.1 -12.589 44.23% -1.03 -0.4885
Elemental Invocation 1 97 68.04% 27.77 -4.435 43.3% -1.047 -0.19
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 883 13.71% 42.95 2.317 72.03% 0.048 -0.7236
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 64.0% 34.54 -3.775 51.2% -0.523 0.4113
Rituals of Terror 3 63 66.67% 41.46 1.197 55.56% -0.001 0.0945
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 70.59% 38.49 -12.446 49.02% -0.45 0.7472
Second Wave 0 690 57.99% 35.44 3.118 58.55% 0.062 0.1482
The Great River 3 43 18.6% 25.28 -6.017 18.6% -0.932 0.4292
Varied Terrains 2 43 58.14% 16.14 -10.691 11.63% -1.059 -0.2705
Ward the Shores 2 135 62.22% 33.25 -11.146 42.22% -1.326 -0.2941

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12815 55.87% 34.65 0.723 66.0% 0.443 0.6345
1 Thematic 930 55.12% 36.24 -2.795 54.62% -0.206 0.4387
2 Archipelago 23 69.57% 30.13 -10.122 34.78% -0.725 -0.2933
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3014 57.63% 34.01 -0.552 65.86% 0.097 0.0933
2 Coastline 354 52.54% 35.88 -1.137 70.06% 0.048 0.1039
2 Fragment 83 67.07% 32.42 -2.408 57.83% -0.449 -0.7153
2 Heart 48 59.57% 30.75 -4.131 56.25% -0.584 -0.623
2 Opposite Shores 684 55.08% 34.15 1.229 65.06% 0.397 0.4117
2 Thematic 380 58.68% 31.2 -0.792 47.11% -0.062 0.1353
2 Top to Top 96 51.06% 38.24 3.526 75.0% 0.645 0.5467
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 30.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 63 53.97% 35.79 -2.988 73.02% -0.081 -0.4735
3 Round (Default) 1307 57.21% 35.13 -0.361 67.64% -0.175 -0.5103
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 38.33 0.0 77.78%
3 Thematic 52 71.15% 39.33 -7.571 67.31% -0.216 -0.5006
4 Archipelago 9 100.0% 38.0 0.0 44.44%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 45 60.0% 40.33 6.883 82.22% 0.357 -0.9726
4 Thematic 159 45.91% 46.21 10.279 77.99% 1.054 0.9741
4 Trapezoid (Default) 549 49.36% 39.4 1.473 78.51% -0.111 -0.2673
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 39 42.11% 34.74 4.052 69.23% 0.634 -0.4408
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 38.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 10 70.0% 39.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 29 35.71% 47.0 -2.611 75.86% -0.626 0.0231
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 29.73% 28.41 -3.216 51.35% -0.342 -0.6768
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 839 31.15 3.483 53.87% 0.729 0.8583
Aid From Lesser Spirits 632 34.06 2.7 60.76% 0.407 0.2883
All Things Weaken 904 30.55 -1.971 53.98% -0.737 -0.4292
Attenuated Essence 65 26.05 -2.216 43.08% -0.64 -0.6083
Back Against the Wall 652 32.21 1.379 56.75% 0.29 0.3203
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 27.65 -1.292 48.75% -0.391 -0.2052
Burn Brightest Before the End 61 32.54 1.421 55.74% -0.061 0.0092
Disintegrating Ecosystem 746 28.96 -2.255 54.42% -0.412 -0.0358
Downward Spiral 905 29.74 1.787 53.7% 0.543 0.7093
Erosion of Will 763 29.6 -2.265 50.72% -0.476 -0.2617
Intensifying Exploitation 73 25.33 -0.828 43.84% -0.272 -0.0309
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 375 37.2 5.115 74.4% 0.879 0.2979
Memory Fades to Dust 856 30.59 -1.036 55.84% -0.099 0.1935
Power Corrodes the Spirit 832 30.72 2.008 55.41% 0.185 0.3458
Promising Farmlands 710 28.73 0.441 51.27% -0.165 0.1314
Shattered Fragments of Power 62 29.94 1.045 48.39% -0.211 -0.1231
Slow Dissolution of Will 67 27.42 0.402 43.28% -0.067 0.3256
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 239 38.26 2.612 76.57% 0.064 -0.6478
The Border of Life and Death 22 23.09 2.366 36.36% 0.101 -0.3789
Thriving Communities 861 27.76 -0.373 47.74% 0.003 0.3026
Thriving Crops 40 26.27 -4.039 50.0% -0.389 -0.4905
Unnatural Proliferation 900 31.71 2.218 55.67% 0.097 0.2663
Untended Land Crumbles 889 29.35 -0.144 52.19% 0.134 0.3917

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3831 56.5% 34.1 -0.881 64.92% -0.157 0.9853
B 3884 56.6% 34.62 -0.693 66.04% -0.011 1.0439
C 4319 54.24% 35.62 0.51 69.34% 0.113 1.0006
D 3567 58.12% 34.41 -1.01 66.13% -0.079 0.9754
E 3686 54.65% 35.3 0.365 67.93% 0.103 1.0076
F 3474 55.02% 35.05 1.261 67.13% 0.265 1.2695
G 2980 56.38% 35.04 0.504 66.95% 0.202 1.1699
H 2903 53.26% 35.45 -0.02 68.0% 0.083 1.0757
East 980 54.5% 37.52 0.659 58.06% 0.17 1.1585
Northeast 475 53.59% 36.29 1.265 54.11% 0.135 1.0841
Northwest 458 52.63% 36.44 -1.787 55.9% -0.384 0.6575
Southeast 331 51.67% 39.68 0.995 65.56% -0.038 0.8798
Southwest 308 50.65% 35.61 -5.346 58.77% -0.583 0.8738
West 954 53.63% 36.62 0.042 57.02% 0.181 1.2883

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 71 0.0% 36.38 7.386 69.01% 0.574 1.2379
Not Using Events or Tokens 74 50.75% 33.86 8.852 63.51% 0.442 0.9358
Skip Initial Invader Actions 322 17.46% 52.86 9.377 87.27% 0.567 -0.0554
Start of Game Growth 517 22.55% 48.62 7.768 83.17% 1.174 0.7621
Unlimited Undo 1716 45.63% 35.6 -1.426 67.48% -0.317 -0.4125
Using Tokens but Not Events 1654 47.55% 34.97 -1.326 66.2% -0.2 -0.1241

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4195 16.77 8.25%
II 9151 30.59 67.27%
III 5197 34.74 94.55%
IV 2233 38.3 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.017 Win Model: -0.072
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13856 55.77% 34.73 65.09%
2 4624 57.29% 34.12 64.81%
3 1437 57.25% 35.18 67.71%
4 750 49.87% 41.08 78.8%
5 27 42.31% 27.59 51.85%
6 82 34.57% 36.28 59.76%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 344
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4854
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5948
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2200
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1364
Lose: Invader deck ran out 62
Lose: Adversary condition 2938
Win: Sacrifice victory 88
Lose: Scenario condition 225
Win: Scenario condition 209
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2368
Lose: Spirit destroyed 176

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1406 51.89% 37.91 1.963 65.15% 0.725 0.689
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 734 76.5% 31.54 1.425 46.87% 0.359 0.5172
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 96 56.25% 39.28 4.581 69.79% 0.848 -0.1641
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1113 61.78% 36.28 0.169 63.07% 0.074 -0.1385
Downpour Drenches the World 423 52.72% 27.83 -2.382 42.32% -0.112 0.1351
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 570 50.0% 33.64 2.592 57.02% 0.69 0.1273
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1567 47.09% 40.71 2.194 72.05% 0.705 0.2252
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1088 57.18% 38.15 0.57 63.88% 0.196 -0.2098
Finder of Paths Unseen 151 62.25% 24.54 -2.273 34.44% -0.739 0.0227
Fractured Days Split the Sky 490 55.51% 33.67 -6.352 49.8% -0.804 -0.1415
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 637 67.82% 34.61 -0.073 57.93% 0.139 0.136
Heart of the Wildfire 1412 76.85% 31.94 -0.223 51.2% 0.081 0.4509
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2455 56.89% 36.52 -0.466 60.86% -0.308 -0.7349
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 78 48.72% 30.41 0.295 50.0% -0.09 -0.5825
Lightning's Swift Strike 790 72.72% 34.61 -2.0 54.18% -0.367 -0.1542
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 193 69.43% 37.69 4.679 64.25% 0.985 0.3694
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 346 59.77% 37.49 -2.991 64.16% -0.259 -0.5452
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 299 58.19% 36.81 6.908 60.54% 0.99 0.8881
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1774 70.64% 33.23 -1.518 53.78% -0.325 -0.5714
Many Minds Move as One 932 48.49% 42.23 4.266 75.97% 1.039 0.8773
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1775 58.93% 38.1 1.937 62.03% 0.552 0.5867
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1159 61.47% 35.6 0.422 60.31% 0.366 0.1989
River Surges in Sunlight 1328 60.17% 40.47 3.306 65.74% 0.403 0.4302
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 425 66.9% 32.12 -4.139 47.76% -0.919 -0.5797
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 273 52.94% 37.18 1.27 52.75% 0.07 0.0383
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1136 60.99% 35.37 1.407 60.12% -0.051 -0.1615
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 239 76.57% 29.94 -2.037 38.08% -0.414 0.1616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 56.67% 25.23 -12.012 36.67% -0.463 -0.4398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 67 65.67% 26.61 0.558 47.76% 0.244 -0.2078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 70.91% 31.09 -0.724 41.82% -0.304 -0.0681
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 175 77.71% 31.9 -4.863 49.14% -0.487 -0.5738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 128 76.38% 26.69 -11.495 32.81% -0.692 -0.4961
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1081 56.22% 38.35 -2.739 65.86% -0.237 -0.2581
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 152 53.95% 31.72 -0.134 49.34% -0.079 -0.4108
Shifting Memory of Ages 521 70.33% 29.05 -3.073 46.45% -0.41 -0.129
Shroud of Silent Mist 619 78.44% 26.23 -3.198 36.83% -0.672 -0.3987
Starlight Seeks its Form 845 52.49% 33.61 -0.113 54.2% 0.075 -0.1446
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3180 50.69% 36.73 -0.825 69.06% 0.289 -0.1577
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 753 69.83% 33.79 0.404 50.6% 0.051 0.1726
Thunderspeaker 950 65.96% 36.08 -1.846 57.26% -0.067 -0.0484
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 51 66.67% 29.18 2.814 50.98% 0.575 0.7798
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1827 86.45% 29.67 -1.052 48.28% -0.031 0.1436
Vital Strength of the Earth 532 69.92% 27.28 -6.533 32.33% -0.991 -0.4191
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 135 51.49% 26.99 -2.465 40.0% -0.07 0.3118
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 221 69.23% 30.37 -2.134 45.25% -0.363 0.3942
Volcano Looming High 1276 72.02% 33.04 -2.2 56.11% -0.12 -0.1467
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 202 59.9% 31.14 1.073 53.96% 0.244 -0.2899

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 53.71 11.465 85.71% 0.497 0.3106
Blitz 0 249 43.78% 40.7 3.382 53.01% -0.791 -0.6601
Dahan Insurrection 4 202 45.05% 58.02 -1.408 64.36% -0.702 -0.9567
Despicable Theft 2 18 55.56% 32.89 -0.583 44.44% -0.198 0.3434
Elemental Invocation 1 130 66.15% 29.86 -8.619 32.31% -1.128 -0.2712
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 877 18.85% 44.82 5.682 66.7% 0.779 0.0074
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 65.18% 30.04 -7.717 37.5% -0.75 0.185
Rituals of Terror 3 61 63.93% 39.13 2.453 42.62% -0.056 0.0398
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 74.51% 31.35 -8.402 31.37% -0.813 0.3841
Second Wave 0 388 56.48% 36.03 1.356 53.09% -0.158 -0.0724
The Great River 3 52 30.77% 33.5 -3.049 30.77% -1.076 0.2857
Varied Terrains 2 19 26.32% 19.21 -14.075 15.79% -0.734 0.0541
Ward the Shores 2 82 63.41% 27.91 -2.703 24.39% 0.167 1.199

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14985 62.98% 34.64 0.723 58.6% 0.22 0.4111
1 Thematic 970 61.55% 35.7 -3.077 46.49% -1.054 -0.4085
2 Archipelago 24 75.0% 41.92 2.669 62.5% -0.049 0.3828
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3509 65.55% 34.4 -1.287 58.51% -0.413 -0.4167
2 Coastline 400 61.4% 38.53 3.15 68.5% 0.204 0.2599
2 Fragment 82 71.25% 31.95 -0.726 51.22% -0.035 -0.3011
2 Heart 42 76.92% 37.21 -10.8 66.67% -0.285 -0.3241
2 Opposite Shores 769 61.28% 33.53 -0.676 52.54% -0.416 -0.4022
2 Thematic 307 68.52% 32.82 -1.621 38.44% -0.907 -0.7097
2 Top to Top 123 53.66% 37.48 10.446 65.04% 1.121 1.0235
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 60 53.33% 39.4 19.57 80.0% 0.538 0.1456
3 Round (Default) 1677 60.75% 34.07 -1.004 55.64% -0.74 -1.0753
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 67 67.16% 36.42 8.565 43.28% 0.608 0.3236
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 48.7 4.029 70.0% 0.233 0.0758
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 81.82% 45.18 10.358 81.82% 0.503 0.3546
4 Other 42 58.54% 34.83 -0.689 64.29% 0.012 -1.3178
4 Thematic 122 51.64% 47.16 12.642 62.3% 0.271 0.1917
4 Trapezoid (Default) 654 54.53% 37.06 -1.246 64.22% -0.758 -0.9143
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 -2.795 0.0% -0.684 -0.01
5 Other 42 60.98% 42.12 2.488 73.81% -0.19 -1.2647
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 50.0% 47.45 0.0 63.64%
6 Star 6 83.33% 33.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 10 50.0% 46.8 10.093 80.0% 0.102 0.7503
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 40.74% 34.56 10.35 62.96% 0.445 0.1108

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1003 30.91 1.497 46.76% -0.014 0.1156
Aid From Lesser Spirits 872 34.58 4.423 55.73% 0.402 0.2832
All Things Weaken 1128 31.32 2.43 47.7% 0.137 0.445
Attenuated Essence 106 32.49 3.43 51.89% 0.618 0.6499
Back Against the Wall 789 32.9 1.545 50.7% -0.223 -0.1936
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 119 27.84 0.098 41.18% -0.071 0.1156
Burn Brightest Before the End 91 28.79 2.69 39.56% 0.285 0.3551
Disintegrating Ecosystem 956 28.86 0.025 44.98% -0.063 0.3131
Downward Spiral 1178 31.08 -0.873 50.93% -0.138 0.0278
Erosion of Will 1038 30.0 2.796 44.51% 0.384 0.5989
Intensifying Exploitation 110 25.49 0.796 34.55% 0.032 0.2733
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 490 36.11 1.915 62.04% 0.32 -0.2613
Memory Fades to Dust 1116 30.87 3.331 47.31% 0.448 0.7404
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1166 30.01 1.546 46.4% 0.253 0.4137
Promising Farmlands 983 29.51 2.186 45.47% 0.226 0.522
Shattered Fragments of Power 86 31.07 1.867 41.86% -0.199 -0.1112
Slow Dissolution of Will 113 25.24 -1.71 33.63% -0.874 -0.4804
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 301 39.04 0.394 72.76% 0.22 -0.4913
The Border of Life and Death 26 31.35 5.751 53.85% 0.615 0.1358
Thriving Communities 1039 28.22 -1.359 41.39% -0.629 -0.3292
Thriving Crops 45 29.91 2.195 51.11% 0.204 0.1023
Unnatural Proliferation 1152 30.82 1.832 44.53% 0.13 0.2987
Untended Land Crumbles 1132 30.07 1.366 46.29% 0.194 0.4521

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4570 61.59% 34.76 0.314 58.38% -0.066 1.0767
B 4542 61.29% 34.59 -1.226 58.41% -0.336 0.7187
C 5103 62.59% 34.69 -0.497 57.67% -0.263 0.625
D 4231 62.48% 34.56 0.454 58.4% -0.065 0.9891
E 4260 63.38% 35.01 -0.37 59.39% -0.277 0.6273
F 3928 62.06% 35.34 0.608 60.06% 0.02 1.0246
G 3471 62.54% 35.02 0.039 59.49% -0.161 0.8076
H 3479 62.24% 35.51 0.321 60.25% -0.143 0.8497
East 975 62.49% 38.18 0.439 49.03% -0.037 0.9508
Northeast 420 62.05% 38.7 0.944 46.67% 0.107 1.0563
Northwest 349 62.36% 36.92 1.381 43.84% 0.227 1.2686
Southeast 330 60.0% 36.22 1.59 48.18% 0.229 1.1472
Southwest 290 60.34% 31.02 -0.331 41.03% -0.156 1.3005
West 821 62.15% 34.75 3.298 43.12% 0.281 1.3874

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 42 0.0% 38.6 -5.399 66.67% -0.098 0.5651
Not Using Events or Tokens 96 65.63% 37.33 -1.639 51.04% -0.138 0.356
Skip Initial Invader Actions 547 14.29% 55.98 9.416 84.46% 0.781 0.1586
Start of Game Growth 768 17.68% 52.49 4.52 82.94% 0.423 0.0108
Unlimited Undo 1914 54.43% 36.86 0.505 63.11% 0.038 -0.0572
Using Tokens but Not Events 1486 51.25% 34.65 -1.938 59.08% -0.377 -0.3016

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5650 16.77 4.32%
II 10008 30.59 58.6%
III 6670 34.74 91.84%
IV 1657 38.3 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.099 Win Model: 0.327
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16057 62.87% 34.69 57.75%
2 5207 64.81% 34.72 57.86%
3 1805 60.65% 34.33 56.01%
4 832 54.47% 38.56 63.94%
5 29 71.43% 38.69 62.07%
6 55 48.15% 40.44 69.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 243
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6049
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5713
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1639
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1526
Lose: Invader deck ran out 185
Lose: Adversary condition 4714
Win: Sacrifice victory 92
Lose: Scenario condition 259
Win: Scenario condition 149
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3188
Lose: Spirit destroyed 228

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 770 69.22% 41.5 0.107 58.96% -0.224 -0.2597
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 393 88.04% 32.5 -5.534 36.9% -0.926 -0.7678
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 38 71.05% 29.16 2.923 39.47% 0.685 -0.3273
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 609 86.54% 32.34 0.488 37.6% 0.558 0.346
Downpour Drenches the World 239 63.18% 29.27 -3.657 35.15% -0.857 -0.6096
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 325 72.92% 33.35 3.326 47.08% 0.572 0.0092
Eyes Watch From the Trees 822 70.45% 42.67 1.962 58.52% 0.521 0.042
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 729 74.04% 40.18 0.067 53.64% 0.145 -0.2614
Finder of Paths Unseen 100 56.0% 31.1 -6.086 46.0% -0.605 0.1575
Fractured Days Split the Sky 343 74.05% 40.0 -1.824 47.23% -0.285 0.3774
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 321 85.36% 32.87 -0.914 39.88% 0.104 0.1009
Heart of the Wildfire 1730 84.24% 35.66 -2.816 45.43% -0.304 0.0666
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1368 74.25% 37.69 2.948 47.95% 0.277 -0.1497
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 36 69.44% 30.25 3.31 38.89% 0.316 -0.177
Lightning's Swift Strike 284 90.43% 30.26 -1.067 31.69% -0.026 0.1872
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 160 71.25% 43.21 7.496 53.75% 0.622 0.0063
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 212 90.57% 39.13 9.427 50.47% 1.191 0.9049
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 107 84.11% 37.35 0.843 47.66% 0.4 0.2973
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1317 76.06% 38.18 -1.17 49.96% -0.088 -0.3348
Many Minds Move as One 541 61.18% 45.03 0.432 67.65% 0.541 0.3795
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 685 80.38% 33.2 -1.69 37.52% -0.551 -0.5164
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 684 83.89% 35.93 1.723 46.78% 0.36 0.1934
River Surges in Sunlight 753 80.21% 40.45 1.948 49.8% 0.375 0.4025
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 174 83.33% 30.37 -6.63 28.16% -1.386 -1.047
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 133 62.41% 41.65 2.849 56.39% 0.5 0.4683
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 650 77.85% 40.12 4.416 55.38% 0.884 0.7738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 143 88.81% 30.6 -4.798 27.27% -0.984 -0.4083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 75.0% 40.5 -6.312 50.0% -0.539 -0.5155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 68 79.41% 36.79 3.115 47.06% 0.284 -0.1682
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 70.59% 33.09 -5.852 47.06% -0.354 -0.1177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 127 86.61% 38.78 -0.297 50.39% 0.238 0.1507
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 106 90.57% 36.81 -4.974 46.23% -0.596 -0.4
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 455 72.53% 39.58 0.659 49.67% 0.054 0.0324
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 79 62.03% 39.47 4.259 54.43% 0.799 0.4672
Shifting Memory of Ages 394 84.01% 33.19 -1.131 41.12% -0.179 0.1022
Shroud of Silent Mist 319 86.21% 32.25 -2.884 40.13% -0.082 0.1906
Starlight Seeks its Form 643 74.65% 38.24 1.163 53.34% 0.47 0.2499
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2725 59.15% 41.82 3.967 65.43% 1.158 0.7106
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 519 83.01% 35.05 0.028 40.66% -0.072 0.0494
Thunderspeaker 478 84.52% 36.82 -1.027 44.77% 0.167 0.1855
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 47 76.6% 21.94 -6.587 23.4% -1.447 -1.2425
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2005 91.72% 33.31 -1.742 42.14% -0.377 -0.2021
Vital Strength of the Earth 229 82.1% 28.86 -4.581 24.45% -1.183 -0.6107
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 76 68.42% 30.57 -2.952 31.58% -0.398 -0.0161
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 128 85.94% 29.48 -2.057 27.34% 0.019 0.7761
Volcano Looming High 939 86.37% 31.68 -1.636 38.87% -0.234 -0.26
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 113 72.57% 32.67 1.597 49.56% 0.532 -0.002

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 19.71 0.0 28.57%
Blitz 0 95 63.16% 36.35 2.755 46.32% -0.247 -0.1162
Dahan Insurrection 4 53 67.92% 50.83 -10.522 37.74% -0.928 -1.1833
Despicable Theft 2 26 61.54% 26.46 1.611 23.08% -0.079 0.4622
Elemental Invocation 1 49 63.27% 29.27 -2.113 22.45% 0.16 1.0168
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 542 25.83% 49.18 10.179 61.07% 1.228 0.4569
Powers Long Forgotten 1 48 75.0% 29.54 -4.514 27.08% -0.631 0.3039
Rituals of Terror 3 23 65.22% 51.35 20.44 52.17% 0.474 0.5699
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 92.0% 39.88 0.0 32.0%
Second Wave 0 247 69.51% 38.45 1.338 44.94% -0.119 -0.033
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 13 61.54% 26.62 -6.368 30.77% -0.254 0.535
Ward the Shores 2 47 80.85% 27.87 -7.225 19.15% -0.729 0.303

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10242 77.69% 37.2 0.607 50.01% 0.395 0.5858
1 Thematic 378 67.46% 35.55 -5.382 37.83% -0.835 -0.19
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2424 80.16% 36.03 -0.047 47.61% 0.339 0.3356
2 Coastline 259 80.31% 37.42 1.332 49.81% 0.444 0.4999
2 Fragment 44 75.0% 36.18 4.925 47.73% 0.666 0.3996
2 Heart 32 90.63% 37.56 -5.421 56.25% -0.254 -0.2926
2 Opposite Shores 438 77.8% 34.95 -5.387 42.92% -0.303 -0.2885
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.013 0.0% -0.233 0.4872
2 Thematic 164 81.71% 35.64 -0.591 32.93% -0.202 -0.0051
2 Top to Top 111 91.89% 35.14 -0.17 43.24% 0.011 -0.0869
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 11.003 100.0% 0.19 -0.8345
3 Other 44 77.27% 45.36 13.151 72.73% 0.47 0.0771
3 Round (Default) 1083 78.67% 35.61 0.375 47.74% 0.329 -0.007
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 -10.432 0.0% -0.168 0.0751
3 Thematic 27 81.48% 34.33 -8.764 29.63% -0.091 -0.3749
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 45.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 20 70.0% 43.8 -3.375 70.0% -0.21 -1.5397
4 Thematic 123 60.16% 47.24 2.836 55.28% -0.125 -0.2041
4 Trapezoid (Default) 306 78.48% 37.83 -3.621 47.71% -0.493 -0.6493
5 Other 13 41.67% 41.62 2.189 53.85% 0.015 -1.0597
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 22.0 -6.237 25.0% -0.319 -0.5222
6 Star 9 33.33% 27.44 0.0 22.22%
6 Thematic 24 4.17% 71.21 12.186 83.33% 0.314 0.9628
6 Two Centers (Default) 12 41.67% 18.83 -9.141 25.0% -0.04 -0.3746

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 874 36.04 2.382 45.77% 0.229 0.3582
Aid From Lesser Spirits 705 39.12 3.341 51.91% 0.363 0.2444
All Things Weaken 973 34.54 3.774 40.49% 0.67 0.9774
Attenuated Essence 79 33.28 2.635 43.04% 0.333 0.3648
Back Against the Wall 680 39.04 5.591 50.15% 0.638 0.6681
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 90 37.17 4.483 52.22% 0.623 0.8087
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 33.54 1.546 41.07% 0.122 0.1925
Disintegrating Ecosystem 870 34.33 3.962 44.48% 0.675 1.0511
Downward Spiral 849 34.59 2.844 43.82% 0.543 0.7091
Erosion of Will 843 35.88 6.885 42.94% 1.113 1.3272
Intensifying Exploitation 93 28.97 1.911 33.33% 0.298 0.5397
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 312 39.45 -1.772 54.17% -0.026 -0.6076
Memory Fades to Dust 976 34.52 1.308 43.24% 0.178 0.4708
Power Corrodes the Spirit 897 35.25 2.568 44.82% 0.611 0.772
Promising Farmlands 807 33.34 4.26 39.28% 0.572 0.8677
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 33.44 7.767 44.0% 1.073 1.1611
Slow Dissolution of Will 87 31.77 5.804 33.33% 0.761 1.1542
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 189 43.88 8.021 63.49% 0.941 0.2298
The Border of Life and Death 17 36.29 5.963 52.94% 0.766 0.2865
Thriving Communities 879 33.32 1.344 41.98% 0.339 0.6384
Thriving Crops 37 35.19 0.498 45.95% -0.04 -0.1416
Unnatural Proliferation 955 36.45 3.965 44.61% 0.535 0.704
Untended Land Crumbles 930 33.61 3.587 40.11% 0.477 0.7346

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2745 77.91% 35.99 -0.746 47.32% -0.312 0.8302
B 3149 78.17% 37.07 0.381 50.05% -0.102 0.9535
C 3446 77.96% 37.45 1.138 50.23% -0.013 0.8753
D 2692 79.86% 35.96 0.332 47.51% 0.034 1.0877
E 2725 80.0% 36.14 0.046 47.08% -0.127 0.7774
F 2609 78.26% 37.26 0.941 50.56% 0.095 1.0995
G 2255 77.12% 35.83 -2.577 46.56% -0.586 0.3827
H 2212 76.82% 36.76 -0.2 49.59% -0.189 0.8037
East 522 67.24% 40.05 1.173 41.76% 0.476 1.4638
Northeast 237 64.56% 43.04 0.274 45.15% 0.39 1.3392
Northwest 194 62.37% 42.73 1.7 44.85% 0.223 1.2643
Southeast 205 58.05% 44.03 6.465 51.22% 0.173 1.0911
Southwest 183 61.2% 42.98 -2.158 49.73% -1.056 0.4011
West 443 67.72% 39.43 0.886 40.63% -0.332 0.775

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 80.65% 41.13 -12.47 54.84% -0.275 0.2197
Skip Initial Invader Actions 160 47.77% 54.5 3.44 76.25% 0.221 -0.4016
Start of Game Growth 350 47.55% 52.39 6.542 72.29% 1.005 0.5926
Unlimited Undo 1575 72.71% 38.82 -0.899 55.68% 0.1 0.0053
Using Tokens but Not Events 649 71.18% 35.67 -1.21 47.46% -0.232 -0.1563

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4667 16.77 3.02%
II 6264 30.59 49.15%
III 3826 34.74 90.51%
IV 1030 38.3 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.151 Win Model: 0.076
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10666 77.31% 37.15 49.57%
2 3474 80.39% 36.04 46.66%
3 1139 78.31% 35.7 47.94%
4 450 73.99% 40.66 50.67%
5 9 25.0% 33.56 33.33%
6 49 24.49% 46.33 53.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 141
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3422
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3027
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1005
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 980
Lose: Invader deck ran out 84
Lose: Adversary condition 3571
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 162
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3036
Lose: Spirit destroyed 243

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 371 73.58% 43.83 4.264 53.1% 0.626 0.5899
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 154 87.66% 34.49 -3.747 34.42% -0.322 -0.1632
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 26 61.54% 40.19 7.34 53.85% 1.065 0.0527
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 260 88.85% 31.34 -4.584 26.92% -0.189 -0.4016
Downpour Drenches the World 120 80.0% 30.51 0.115 26.67% -0.106 0.1409
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 185 78.38% 33.48 3.065 47.03% 0.479 -0.0839
Eyes Watch From the Trees 298 66.78% 41.47 1.957 49.33% 0.313 -0.1664
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 248 87.9% 36.11 -0.898 37.1% -0.46 -0.8666
Finder of Paths Unseen 43 51.16% 28.81 -5.842 37.21% -0.378 0.3841
Fractured Days Split the Sky 162 77.78% 43.56 -6.837 46.91% -0.514 0.1486
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 161 86.96% 31.24 -4.612 31.68% -0.33 -0.3322
Heart of the Wildfire 860 85.58% 28.93 -3.044 27.56% -0.418 -0.0477
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 846 72.22% 37.48 0.052 40.66% 0.41 -0.0169
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 12 83.33% 34.17 -2.214 41.67% -0.249 -0.7419
Lightning's Swift Strike 116 93.97% 32.9 -7.807 27.59% -0.236 -0.023
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 52 90.38% 39.38 1.577 46.15% -0.013 -0.6292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 68 98.53% 35.68 6.872 38.24% 0.708 0.4223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 54 87.04% 31.31 -8.988 24.07% -0.864 -0.9663
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 548 86.68% 37.29 0.758 42.15% 0.293 0.0466
Many Minds Move as One 232 67.24% 47.23 1.695 64.66% 0.737 0.5756
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 346 78.32% 37.46 0.281 40.75% -0.046 -0.0121
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 259 82.24% 35.82 -1.352 38.61% -0.115 -0.2819
River Surges in Sunlight 310 85.48% 39.57 -4.036 39.68% -0.685 -0.6573
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 68 80.88% 35.06 0.57 29.41% 0.118 0.4571
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 92 70.65% 44.33 5.273 53.26% 0.677 0.6458
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 313 77.96% 40.41 4.73 45.37% 0.603 0.4929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 100 93.0% 26.53 -12.047 8.0% -0.133 0.4428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 100.0% 44.0 0.889 50.0% -0.053 -0.0299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 17 94.12% 33.82 0.605 29.41% -0.44 -0.8921
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 66.67% 14.67 -14.546 16.67% -0.254 -0.0181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 48 87.5% 32.35 -7.443 29.17% -0.529 -0.6162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 50 90.0% 29.62 -15.152 18.0% -0.303 -0.1079
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 154 81.82% 34.25 -13.924 31.82% -0.392 -0.413
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 36 75.0% 36.14 1.125 47.22% 0.48 0.1478
Shifting Memory of Ages 167 88.62% 36.46 -2.033 35.93% -0.278 0.0031
Shroud of Silent Mist 137 86.86% 28.29 -9.637 22.63% -1.031 -0.7578
Starlight Seeks its Form 240 80.42% 38.85 1.827 46.25% 0.357 0.1371
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1292 60.99% 42.06 6.956 58.2% 1.633 1.1858
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 215 85.12% 31.88 -0.958 26.05% -0.106 0.0159
Thunderspeaker 187 90.91% 33.4 -5.333 29.41% -0.193 -0.174
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 17 88.24% 29.41 -0.741 23.53% -0.575 -0.3702
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 690 92.9% 34.55 -2.563 38.7% -0.043 0.1309
Vital Strength of the Earth 96 84.38% 32.42 7.444 25.0% 0.799 1.3707
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 30 56.67% 32.0 1.83 30.0% 0.011 0.3931
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 50 76.0% 26.44 -6.168 22.0% -0.106 0.6512
Volcano Looming High 402 90.05% 31.27 -2.553 29.35% -0.415 -0.4412
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 47 65.96% 37.02 1.512 48.94% 0.34 -0.1941

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 41 65.85% 29.49 -2.329 26.83% -0.631 -0.4994
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 0.0 13.46%
Despicable Theft 2 10 80.0% 30.2 -13.271 20.0% -0.195 0.3461
Elemental Invocation 1 32 50.0% 25.59 -8.186 18.75% -0.595 0.2616
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 190 30.0% 40.32 -2.336 37.37% -0.453 -1.2242
Powers Long Forgotten 1 29 75.86% 29.34 -9.427 20.69% -0.949 -0.0147
Rituals of Terror 3 19 78.95% 45.05 -4.753 21.05% -0.722 -0.6265
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 180 88.33% 24.76 -10.916 1.11% -0.586 0.6103
Second Wave 0 91 58.24% 40.98 11.404 46.15% 1.162 1.2475
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 18 50.0% 22.83 -12.154 16.67% -0.215 0.8171

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4827 78.35% 36.11 -0.247 41.74% 0.509 0.7003
1 Thematic 480 81.67% 28.57 -0.97 12.5% -0.126 0.5192
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 981 85.93% 35.52 0.245 37.61% 0.765 0.7615
2 Coastline 114 75.44% 35.97 -3.742 43.86% -0.637 -0.5808
2 Fragment 11 100.0% 39.18 0.0 54.55%
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 -4.099 44.44% -0.559 -0.5979
2 Opposite Shores 156 78.85% 37.97 -0.715 39.74% 0.297 0.311
2 Thematic 50 62.0% 33.52 -5.998 16.0% -0.161 0.0356
2 Top to Top 66 92.42% 34.77 -11.341 36.36% -0.352 -0.4503
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 17 70.59% 50.29 0.0 76.47%
3 Round (Default) 354 79.94% 39.66 3.643 48.59% 0.867 0.5313
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 10 50.0% 23.7 -3.673 20.0% -0.013 -0.2975
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 -10.03 0.0% -0.588 -0.7366
4 Other 7 57.14% 47.86 0.824 57.14% -0.079 -1.4088
4 Thematic 46 65.22% 49.63 -1.525 50.0% -0.206 -0.2858
4 Trapezoid (Default) 159 79.25% 37.2 3.26 40.25% 0.666 0.5088
5 Other 9 88.89% 47.0 1.974 66.67% 0.161 -0.9138
6 Other 2 100.0% 41.5 -12.577 50.0% -0.483 -0.6863
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 8 25.0% 37.25 -7.822 25.0% -0.078 0.5707
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 100.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 427 35.15 1.811 34.43% -0.156 -0.0263
Aid From Lesser Spirits 334 40.52 1.426 46.71% 0.238 0.1193
All Things Weaken 441 34.0 -3.934 33.33% -0.742 -0.4345
Attenuated Essence 47 30.47 4.271 36.17% 0.713 0.7451
Back Against the Wall 320 36.13 3.424 35.0% 0.202 0.2316
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 57 24.84 4.133 26.32% 0.67 0.8563
Burn Brightest Before the End 27 37.44 7.614 40.74% 0.811 0.8818
Disintegrating Ecosystem 372 34.1 -0.028 35.75% -0.368 0.0079
Downward Spiral 434 32.76 3.097 31.11% 0.407 0.5727
Erosion of Will 419 34.02 2.014 32.7% 0.416 0.6302
Intensifying Exploitation 39 32.67 0.63 43.59% -0.018 0.2236
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 96 42.86 1.629 52.08% -0.108 -0.6898
Memory Fades to Dust 417 33.78 2.664 34.05% 0.293 0.5859
Power Corrodes the Spirit 462 34.04 1.176 33.77% 0.096 0.2568
Promising Farmlands 379 33.96 -1.355 34.04% -0.412 -0.1162
Shattered Fragments of Power 34 36.21 5.184 38.24% 0.205 0.2934
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 33.18 -0.611 34.21% -0.211 0.1819
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 80 45.38 -0.139 60.0% -0.094 -0.8061
The Border of Life and Death 9 18.33 -2.314 22.22% -0.291 -0.7707
Thriving Communities 464 33.49 3.968 34.27% 0.505 0.8049
Thriving Crops 14 38.86 -7.188 57.14% -0.412 -0.514
Unnatural Proliferation 435 35.57 6.284 34.71% 0.511 0.6802
Untended Land Crumbles 480 33.44 -0.268 32.29% -0.188 0.0697

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1158 82.04% 35.69 -0.358 39.81% -0.043 1.0997
B 1325 81.13% 37.11 0.729 42.79% -0.101 0.9543
C 1393 81.12% 38.36 4.361 44.94% 0.711 1.5992
D 1093 82.25% 36.13 -0.987 40.71% -0.227 0.8271
E 1209 80.31% 35.89 -1.738 40.2% -0.324 0.58
F 1250 76.32% 35.46 -2.058 41.04% -0.413 0.5907
G 998 79.96% 37.35 2.135 42.69% 0.264 1.2318
H 985 79.7% 37.43 1.066 41.93% 0.169 1.1616
East 244 66.8% 35.75 -2.206 27.05% -0.41 0.5783
Northeast 98 70.41% 36.28 -3.301 26.53% -0.248 0.7015
Northwest 151 82.12% 31.28 -2.33 15.23% -0.336 0.7048
Southeast 122 66.39% 34.68 -6.706 27.05% -0.56 0.3585
Southwest 244 79.51% 28.25 -0.409 11.48% 0.122 1.5788
West 434 79.95% 29.93 -1.248 13.13% -0.351 0.7564

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 40.91%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 77 59.74% 57.58 12.234 76.62% 0.893 0.2708
Start of Game Growth 121 55.37% 52.79 3.832 68.6% 0.387 -0.0249
Unlimited Undo 649 69.49% 42.21 -2.529 56.7% -0.363 -0.4578
Using Tokens but Not Events 449 68.15% 37.29 5.125 43.65% 0.759 0.834

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2181 16.77 0.64%
II 2999 30.59 30.21%
III 1621 34.74 89.27%
IV 530 38.3 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.636 Win Model: -0.126
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5339 78.61% 35.5 39.11%
2 1379 83.54% 35.65 37.85%
3 381 79.27% 40.3 49.61%
4 215 75.35% 39.45 42.33%
5 5 80.0% 52.4 60.0%
6 12 66.67% 32.5 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1429
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 885
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 521
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 553
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 1857
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 96
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1789
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2271 64.49% 40.99 -0.642 40.73% 0.372 0.3362
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 928 86.75% 31.44 -3.045 19.94% -0.62 -0.4615
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 237 70.04% 38.08 5.201 43.88% 1.054 0.0416
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 962 88.25% 29.37 -4.237 17.46% -1.183 -1.3953
Downpour Drenches the World 604 67.83% 32.06 -2.113 26.16% -0.36 -0.1126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 957 75.39% 26.16 -1.405 25.71% -0.03 -0.5929
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1606 81.18% 35.65 -2.891 31.13% 0.041 -0.4387
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1277 83.95% 32.73 -4.349 25.29% -0.469 -0.8757
Finder of Paths Unseen 371 59.84% 28.33 -5.485 28.57% -0.702 0.0601
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1393 65.54% 42.53 -4.969 37.69% -0.588 0.0746
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 991 83.55% 27.99 -4.481 17.46% -0.865 -0.8677
Heart of the Wildfire 4027 86.34% 32.5 -2.53 26.6% -0.272 0.0978
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4041 71.94% 39.72 0.582 39.12% -0.045 -0.4715
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 138 72.46% 21.79 -3.093 18.12% -0.201 -0.6939
Lightning's Swift Strike 990 90.99% 27.66 -7.554 12.73% -0.945 -0.7316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 798 75.66% 33.4 -1.563 23.06% 0.209 -0.4072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 545 87.45% 35.15 0.511 31.38% 0.511 0.225
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 350 74.79% 39.16 0.849 38.86% 1.179 1.0766
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3323 84.36% 33.25 -2.853 26.21% -0.343 -0.5896
Many Minds Move as One 1330 69.6% 48.86 9.522 57.97% 1.674 1.513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1390 80.76% 33.42 -4.149 27.55% 0.155 0.1891
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1234 86.21% 34.98 -3.329 30.15% -0.151 -0.3181
River Surges in Sunlight 2077 83.08% 41.45 -1.083 37.31% -0.173 -0.1451
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 394 67.01% 41.81 -1.446 31.22% -0.397 -0.0577
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 405 72.0% 34.46 1.06 29.38% 0.449 0.4171
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2215 66.31% 46.75 4.03 50.2% 0.597 0.4866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 470 77.23% 34.74 2.836 21.28% -0.082 0.4938
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 86.57% 26.43 2.384 13.43% 0.078 0.1014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 129 71.88% 32.08 4.636 34.11% 0.979 0.5266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 80.0% 28.72 -0.18 21.33% 0.035 0.2706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 218 77.06% 32.54 -5.968 19.72% -0.38 -0.4671
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 85.37% 34.75 1.416 25.0% 0.324 0.52
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1146 75.65% 37.14 0.503 31.94% 0.343 0.3216
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 243 70.37% 26.32 0.179 27.16% 0.397 0.0649
Shifting Memory of Ages 879 75.6% 37.61 -0.728 32.65% 0.048 0.3292
Shroud of Silent Mist 693 84.42% 29.8 -3.791 21.21% -0.575 -0.3024
Starlight Seeks its Form 1926 70.98% 41.21 5.045 43.3% 1.055 0.8349
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 13046 50.25% 46.26 4.009 58.07% 1.406 0.9593
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1013 85.18% 33.5 -3.212 24.98% -1.408 -1.2865
Thunderspeaker 1090 79.91% 31.95 -8.639 19.91% -1.147 -1.1283
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 136 56.62% 14.68 -6.126 8.82% -0.391 -0.187
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5289 92.21% 33.92 -2.085 30.31% -0.228 -0.0537
Vital Strength of the Earth 377 81.96% 31.09 -5.581 17.24% -0.33 0.2418
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 325 50.15% 15.46 8.316 11.69% 1.307 1.6883
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 363 82.37% 31.28 -0.263 21.21% -0.284 0.4729
Volcano Looming High 2485 86.74% 32.28 -2.715 25.75% -0.389 -0.4156
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 321 74.06% 30.93 2.45 31.46% 0.543 0.0092

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 10.195 57.14% -0.027 -0.2128
Blitz 0 444 47.94% 42.55 9.043 40.32% 0.745 0.8763
Dahan Insurrection 4 277 64.86% 43.24 -4.13 18.05% -0.267 -0.5221
Despicable Theft 2 29 89.66% 34.69 0.0 17.24%
Elemental Invocation 1 129 64.29% 33.8 -4.264 17.83% -0.631 0.2254
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2619 30.89% 48.73 9.474 43.91% 1.254 0.4833
Powers Long Forgotten 1 103 51.46% 44.61 -11.47 50.49% -0.275 0.6602
Rituals of Terror 3 167 26.51% 73.8 12.326 40.12% 0.712 0.8075
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 68.0% 38.2 -10.857 20.0% -0.039 1.1582
Second Wave 0 126 54.76% 41.79 -7.536 38.89% -0.627 -0.5409
The Great River 3 46 63.04% 33.09 0.0 4.35%
Varied Terrains 2 31 48.39% 46.26 1.858 45.16% 0.328 1.117
Ward the Shores 2 41 87.8% 29.88 -12.986 7.32% -0.533 0.4992

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 40776 74.53% 37.77 0.515 37.76% -0.172 0.019
1 Thematic 1378 55.88% 35.29 -0.008 28.08% -0.888 -0.2433
2 Archipelago 21 52.63% 30.86 -7.39 9.52% -0.716 -0.2843
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3967 81.9% 36.6 -0.965 35.32% -0.619 -0.6225
2 Coastline 735 71.58% 37.33 -1.68 34.97% -0.801 -0.7451
2 Fragment 61 85.25% 38.11 5.801 34.43% 0.392 0.1253
2 Heart 119 84.03% 36.74 -0.168 34.45% -0.303 -0.3414
2 Opposite Shores 1086 80.09% 32.51 0.62 23.2% -0.178 -0.1639
2 Thematic 225 52.44% 45.96 6.114 22.22% 0.322 0.5192
2 Top to Top 193 76.68% 38.52 6.69 39.9% 0.621 0.5232
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 24.5 -7.715 0.0% -0.048 -0.495
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 25.21 2.488 28.57% -0.394 -1.4183
3 Other 73 73.97% 39.63 16.841 43.84% 1.554 1.161
3 Round (Default) 1585 75.52% 34.73 -1.105 32.56% -0.729 -1.0646
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 44.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 52 26.92% 71.56 20.343 34.62% 0.152 -0.132
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 -18.09 0.0% -0.382 -0.5392
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 22.971 100.0% 0.701 -0.2377
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 28.8 -0.68 20.0% -0.668 -0.8159
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 25.856 60.0% 0.657 -0.6728
4 Thematic 171 24.56% 67.04 11.003 67.84% 0.468 0.3884
4 Trapezoid (Default) 779 76.29% 33.6 -4.171 28.11% -1.392 -1.5482
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 53.78 0.0 77.78%
5 Other 29 51.72% 50.45 2.51 65.52% 0.255 -0.8194
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 37.0 -5.046 50.0% -0.046 -1.3451
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 9 88.89% 34.67 15.039 22.22% 0.346 0.1422
6 Star 8 62.5% 44.13 11.814 50.0% 0.122 0.2215
6 Thematic 50 22.0% 49.1 -5.491 50.0% -0.8 -0.1508
6 Two Centers (Default) 139 23.74% 54.32 -2.809 52.52% -0.185 -0.5194
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2776 36.13 4.066 31.7% 0.618 0.748
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2177 40.76 7.177 39.83% 1.009 0.8901
All Things Weaken 2940 35.5 3.909 30.71% 0.506 0.8138
Attenuated Essence 312 28.33 2.634 24.04% 0.399 0.4312
Back Against the Wall 2041 39.85 8.347 38.17% 1.212 1.242
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 320 29.4 1.446 25.62% 0.099 0.2852
Burn Brightest Before the End 244 30.8 4.42 22.95% 0.275 0.345
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2658 33.73 2.119 29.91% 0.338 0.7142
Downward Spiral 2905 35.42 4.293 31.67% 0.898 1.064
Erosion of Will 2517 34.59 3.319 28.29% 0.465 0.6798
Intensifying Exploitation 326 28.47 2.032 23.62% 0.121 0.3621
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 818 42.01 1.721 44.62% 0.495 -0.086
Memory Fades to Dust 2919 33.77 2.483 27.34% 0.313 0.6061
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2781 34.11 1.979 28.77% 0.268 0.4294
Promising Farmlands 2675 33.24 0.32 26.99% 0.136 0.4316
Shattered Fragments of Power 219 29.96 1.842 22.37% -0.121 -0.0333
Slow Dissolution of Will 318 28.81 2.482 22.96% 0.39 0.7827
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 509 45.36 1.405 52.65% 0.108 -0.604
The Border of Life and Death 62 24.26 1.769 24.19% 0.433 -0.047
Thriving Communities 2863 33.95 2.549 28.82% 0.573 0.8727
Thriving Crops 120 28.82 0.697 29.17% 0.178 0.0766
Unnatural Proliferation 3063 36.92 3.166 32.26% 0.327 0.4962
Untended Land Crumbles 2695 33.07 1.377 26.31% 0.086 0.3444

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8102 75.38% 37.18 -0.421 36.25% -0.334 0.809
B 8711 74.26% 36.8 -1.027 35.24% -0.692 0.3635
C 10602 75.43% 37.04 -0.464 35.86% -0.386 0.5025
D 7363 77.38% 36.51 -0.313 35.31% -0.403 0.651
E 8408 77.2% 36.5 0.057 34.86% -0.327 0.5774
F 7534 72.8% 38.51 -0.05 38.11% -0.5 0.5039
G 6048 74.73% 37.29 -0.399 36.71% -0.505 0.4628
H 6005 72.55% 38.18 -1.861 38.3% -0.725 0.268
East 1008 46.43% 50.53 7.681 37.9% 0.005 0.9931
Northeast 460 38.48% 54.86 4.55 41.3% -0.994 -0.0451
Northwest 596 38.09% 31.8 -2.67 25.17% -0.688 0.3536
Southeast 371 39.62% 49.65 1.0 43.94% 0.009 0.9274
Southwest 336 47.92% 45.15 -1.705 42.86% -0.733 0.7237
West 1083 42.01% 40.43 6.364 32.69% -0.312 0.7947

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 38 0.0% 31.63 -3.338 39.47% 0.012 0.6759
Not Using Events or Tokens 154 75.97% 37.73 -3.601 11.04% 0.095 0.589
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1822 22.37% 63.53 11.723 75.96% 1.9 1.2779
Start of Game Growth 2773 25.26% 59.78 5.927 72.88% -0.021 -0.4329
Unlimited Undo 5385 61.89% 47.88 1.633 58.53% 0.623 0.5284
Using Tokens but Not Events 2545 58.76% 38.96 -2.434 39.49% -0.437 -0.3612

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22183 16.77 2.73%
II 19498 30.59 47.24%
III 7773 34.74 90.63%
IV 2130 38.3 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.382 Win Model: 0.195
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 42440 73.79% 37.82 37.56%
2 6227 79.94% 35.97 32.31%
3 1699 74.57% 35.42 32.84%
4 986 67.14% 39.33 36.31%
5 18 27.78% 43.67 50.0%
6 214 26.64% 51.07 50.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 584
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6929
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9004
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2049
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4254
Lose: Invader deck ran out 367
Lose: Adversary condition 14886
Win: Sacrifice victory 368
Lose: Scenario condition 1071
Win: Scenario condition 51
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11159
Lose: Spirit destroyed 862

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)