The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1469 26.19% 28.67 0.999 79.71% 0.356 0.2529
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1002 43.64% 26.89 -0.688 71.96% -0.088 0.0718
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 52 13.46% 31.92 4.703 76.92% 0.647 -0.1889
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1253 29.58% 29.42 0.806 82.28% 0.208 0.076
Downpour Drenches the World 350 28.0% 23.09 0.201 58.86% 0.153 0.471
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 270 21.56% 27.67 1.416 71.11% 0.274 -0.2104
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1522 19.04% 33.01 2.967 86.2% 0.695 0.2422
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1247 24.8% 31.1 2.591 85.57% 0.664 0.2121
Finder of Paths Unseen 167 29.52% 15.08 -7.597 37.72% -1.716 -1.0497
Fractured Days Split the Sky 615 35.93% 25.87 -1.594 61.95% -0.335 0.3426
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 766 40.78% 27.48 -2.439 70.37% -0.556 -0.4943
Heart of the Wildfire 1505 58.46% 24.68 0.515 70.03% 0.324 0.5834
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2003 26.38% 30.4 1.629 84.57% 0.716 0.3226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 68 8.82% 26.43 -1.684 69.12% -0.38 -0.7751
Lightning's Swift Strike 823 42.84% 27.25 1.263 75.58% 0.279 0.5324
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 127 30.71% 28.07 0.854 74.8% 0.297 -0.2567
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 421 32.85% 31.17 5.122 86.22% 0.721 0.4849
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 321 33.96% 27.95 1.077 75.08% 0.097 -0.1544
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1556 31.75% 29.41 -0.105 80.91% 0.068 -0.2564
Many Minds Move as One 1115 22.86% 30.45 0.231 83.41% -0.113 -0.3128
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1529 40.75% 27.83 0.513 74.17% 0.098 0.0697
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1153 30.61% 28.61 -0.849 81.7% 0.167 0.0251
River Surges in Sunlight 1050 41.92% 28.7 2.388 73.43% 0.3 0.4166
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 469 42.09% 28.36 0.677 66.52% -0.051 0.2862
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 137 31.62% 29.02 2.732 67.88% 0.529 0.3806
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1067 30.18% 28.44 -1.521 79.48% -0.58 -0.7479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 522 53.64% 26.49 -0.093 70.31% 0.043 0.5866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 42.62% 24.08 3.435 60.66% 0.773 0.8588
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 26.53% 25.22 4.44 61.22% 0.658 0.2881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 52 26.92% 22.5 -0.331 55.77% -0.06 0.1056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 325 32.92% 30.23 2.433 85.54% 0.536 0.5675
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 227 45.81% 27.04 -0.201 72.69% 0.264 0.4344
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1103 29.94% 29.47 -2.534 80.6% -0.614 -0.7097
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 94 21.28% 20.36 -0.942 55.32% -0.172 -0.4129
Shifting Memory of Ages 598 42.79% 22.92 -3.842 61.54% -0.702 -0.324
Shroud of Silent Mist 713 46.27% 25.19 -3.243 69.14% -0.853 -0.4823
Starlight Seeks its Form 708 27.68% 26.1 0.142 68.08% 0.102 -0.1041
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2173 27.94% 27.27 -0.386 83.85% 0.074 -0.6431
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1019 40.37% 25.55 -3.199 68.89% -0.596 -0.4146
Thunderspeaker 1175 36.66% 28.46 -0.355 74.72% -0.146 -0.1319
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 89 24.72% 15.56 -3.705 42.7% -0.69 -0.5845
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1455 60.39% 23.59 -2.132 71.55% -0.573 -0.4323
Vital Strength of the Earth 762 36.05% 24.81 -1.853 68.11% -0.356 0.1861
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 121 18.18% 22.26 -0.877 59.5% -0.193 0.145
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 301 37.54% 22.48 -2.112 64.45% -0.231 0.485
Volcano Looming High 997 40.92% 25.08 -0.517 70.81% 0.001 -0.0321
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 132 26.72% 27.18 2.392 70.45% 0.335 -0.1023

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 29.41% 25.12 4.722 64.71% 0.774 0.8255
Blitz 0 301 28.33% 23.7 -5.275 64.78% -1.183 -0.9824
Dahan Insurrection 4 379 27.18% 45.66 10.382 66.49% -0.549 -0.7607
Despicable Theft 2 145 32.41% 26.81 -3.69 55.17% -0.66 0.1844
Elemental Invocation 1 214 42.52% 22.5 -3.937 53.27% -1.261 -0.1898
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 838 9.55% 33.33 6.958 77.09% 1.083 0.3584
Powers Long Forgotten 1 256 42.52% 24.23 -6.564 54.3% -1.818 -0.9126
Rituals of Terror 3 206 56.8% 31.16 -1.392 51.94% -0.935 -0.9047
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 186 57.53% 29.47 -4.414 54.3% -0.993 0.1959
Second Wave 0 464 46.77% 30.8 4.003 70.26% 0.625 0.706
The Great River 3 156 53.21% 22.88 -3.961 34.62% -1.668 -0.2807
Varied Terrains 2 90 50.0% 21.49 -2.43 41.11% -0.923 -0.0223
Ward the Shores 2 288 38.89% 30.61 -4.765 59.72% -1.226 -0.1708

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15366 37.43% 27.61 0.303 76.61% 0.282 0.3129
1 Thematic 1623 40.42% 29.92 -1.269 65.68% -0.365 0.0667
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 31.31 0.0 56.25%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3069 38.05% 27.08 0.321 77.84% 0.458 0.4093
2 Coastline 350 37.43% 27.57 0.777 76.86% 0.348 0.2476
2 Fragment 69 50.72% 25.71 -0.686 71.01% -0.138 -0.5505
2 Heart 34 35.29% 28.79 0.0 94.12%
2 Opposite Shores 404 29.85% 29.0 2.698 84.41% 0.777 0.5974
2 Thematic 436 38.76% 28.94 0.606 62.16% 0.332 0.5184
2 Top to Top 64 43.75% 29.39 -1.356 85.94% -0.087 -0.2861
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.0 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 36.21 0.0 78.57%
3 Other 65 32.31% 25.22 -2.689 72.31% -0.156 -0.49
3 Round (Default) 1428 30.55% 28.42 2.04 80.46% 0.608 0.3416
3 Sunrise 5 100.0% 36.0 13.108 100.0% 0.669 1.1802
3 Thematic 79 45.57% 27.42 -0.949 58.23% -0.109 -0.5559
4 Archipelago 8 50.0% 37.25 0.703 75.0% -0.317 -0.8743
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 33 15.15% 26.82 -1.566 84.85% -0.115 -0.8521
4 Thematic 101 20.79% 36.36 -2.074 79.21% -0.377 -0.1738
4 Trapezoid (Default) 652 25.77% 24.68 -4.883 69.63% -1.055 -0.7147
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 41 9.76% 24.41 -9.597 75.61% -0.891 -1.6121
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 27.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 7 42.86% 29.43 0.0 85.71%
6 Thematic 43 30.23% 34.3 3.499 53.49% -0.146 -0.1209
6 Two Centers (Default) 92 16.3% 25.17 3.081 70.65% 0.418 0.5162
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.224 0.0% -0.132 0.3946
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 16.33 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 544 22.76 -0.546 61.21% -0.331 -0.192
Aid From Lesser Spirits 486 23.79 3.283 61.32% 0.666 0.6068
All Things Weaken 643 21.82 -2.06 55.99% -0.643 -0.2886
Attenuated Essence 45 17.24 -2.951 44.44% -0.589 -0.4785
Back Against the Wall 512 25.18 3.463 64.45% 0.793 0.8691
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 16.6 0.51 42.5% 0.167 0.3774
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 25.91 2.903 60.0% 0.739 0.8596
Disintegrating Ecosystem 546 21.01 -2.471 57.33% -0.696 -0.327
Downward Spiral 725 22.22 2.341 62.21% 0.523 0.7201
Erosion of Will 619 23.3 2.004 58.16% 0.159 0.4261
Intensifying Exploitation 50 20.02 -1.838 46.0% -0.278 -0.0079
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 27.03 -0.59 80.19% -0.023 -0.5343
Memory Fades to Dust 715 23.17 0.339 61.54% -0.075 0.2362
Power Corrodes the Spirit 666 22.76 0.488 63.21% 0.163 0.4581
Promising Farmlands 563 22.82 1.051 60.75% -0.026 0.3098
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 24.15 0.095 55.0% -0.147 -0.0385
Slow Dissolution of Will 54 19.2 -1.412 35.19% -1.082 -0.6819
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 215 27.88 -0.477 85.12% -0.088 -0.7013
The Border of Life and Death 23 19.13 5.129 47.83% 0.554 0.2612
Thriving Communities 680 20.95 -2.513 57.79% -0.949 -0.6158
Thriving Crops 15 29.93 1.722 73.33% 0.224 0.1369
Unnatural Proliferation 652 22.45 2.52 52.76% 0.194 0.3416
Untended Land Crumbles 629 21.56 -2.954 56.6% -0.823 -0.5156

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4302 35.81% 27.01 0.135 76.66% -0.187 0.7183
B 4147 35.55% 26.97 0.007 75.89% -0.233 0.5959
C 4374 33.49% 27.56 0.527 77.46% -0.127 0.5531
D 4120 35.0% 27.27 -0.16 76.63% -0.319 0.5341
E 3991 34.71% 27.57 0.221 77.3% -0.238 0.4637
F 3884 34.67% 27.51 -0.349 77.27% -0.276 0.5055
G 3459 35.85% 27.18 -0.618 76.87% -0.438 0.334
H 3453 34.55% 27.76 -1.232 76.95% -0.636 0.1324
East 1373 37.95% 31.66 0.354 67.37% -0.286 0.5762
Northeast 626 37.86% 32.5 0.459 67.41% -0.366 0.3811
Northwest 506 39.72% 29.59 1.928 57.91% 0.256 1.0896
Southeast 499 35.27% 30.0 -0.914 65.33% -0.343 0.4329
Southwest 481 35.55% 26.78 -2.453 62.79% -0.889 0.4303
West 1254 39.15% 28.42 -1.775 61.0% -0.79 0.2163

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 72 0.0% 27.64 -3.742 77.78% -0.606 0.2247
Not Using Events or Tokens 409 37.63% 26.55 1.105 73.11% 0.092 0.5333
Skip Initial Invader Actions 510 6.9% 39.92 4.466 90.59% 0.604 0.0418
Start of Game Growth 823 13.79% 37.37 4.137 87.12% 0.508 -0.0309
Unlimited Undo 1578 29.01% 29.31 -1.014 80.8% -0.168 -0.1274
Using Tokens but Not Events 1917 30.39% 27.83 0.46 75.85% 0.236 0.2122

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3201 16.23 13.96%
II 5022 30.54 61.29%
III 10127 34.77 89.58%
IV 5699 38.37 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.044 Win Model: 0.368
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17199 37.76% 27.75 75.13%
2 4329 37.48% 27.77 78.36%
3 1551 31.61% 28.6 79.88%
4 782 24.68% 26.13 71.23%
5 33 9.09% 23.91 72.73%
6 155 21.94% 27.7 65.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 445
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8822
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2864
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5585
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1842
Lose: Invader deck ran out 149
Lose: Adversary condition 1609
Win: Sacrifice victory 96
Lose: Scenario condition 246
Win: Scenario condition 424
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1834
Lose: Spirit destroyed 133

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1102 33.51% 32.78 0.853 79.58% 0.549 0.4464
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 643 56.79% 29.9 0.69 67.34% 0.252 0.4126
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 36 41.67% 30.64 4.394 72.22% 0.648 -0.1877
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 920 30.5% 33.36 1.589 81.52% 0.554 0.4223
Downpour Drenches the World 331 25.08% 23.75 -0.723 54.68% -0.104 0.2143
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 350 21.71% 25.61 3.926 62.29% 0.738 0.2532
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1201 22.18% 37.58 3.886 87.76% 0.891 0.4382
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 909 29.19% 34.82 2.932 83.06% 0.72 0.2682
Finder of Paths Unseen 150 46.67% 18.16 -2.906 40.67% -0.337 0.3297
Fractured Days Split the Sky 369 40.92% 29.92 -7.705 64.77% -1.241 -0.5631
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 572 42.48% 30.35 0.724 70.98% -0.064 -0.0025
Heart of the Wildfire 1019 60.45% 29.29 -0.538 72.33% 0.363 0.6231
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1465 38.2% 33.23 2.572 81.91% 0.675 0.281
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 51 15.69% 28.55 -3.766 70.59% -0.581 -0.9764
Lightning's Swift Strike 586 46.84% 31.66 0.614 76.28% 0.284 0.5377
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 99 40.4% 28.66 0.518 64.65% 0.024 -0.5297
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 306 31.37% 35.31 4.397 81.05% 0.603 0.3669
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 243 37.45% 33.88 1.311 75.72% 0.013 -0.2377
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1185 41.77% 32.57 2.935 77.81% 0.832 0.5082
Many Minds Move as One 822 27.26% 35.2 0.365 84.91% 0.335 0.135
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1124 43.9% 32.78 1.115 77.14% 0.176 0.1477
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 925 38.53% 31.71 -0.193 76.22% 0.135 -0.0071
River Surges in Sunlight 828 43.05% 33.21 0.173 71.98% 0.021 0.1379
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 355 51.28% 30.19 -1.571 63.66% -0.296 0.041
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 153 28.76% 29.97 2.055 66.67% 0.167 0.0185
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 703 42.17% 31.86 -0.065 76.81% -0.173 -0.3409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 344 63.37% 28.95 1.239 65.7% 0.326 0.8697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 43.24% 25.7 -10.945 54.05% -1.01 -0.9238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 30 33.33% 30.93 4.57 73.33% 0.77 0.4004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 43 41.86% 24.4 -1.732 58.14% -0.032 0.1336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 252 43.6% 29.63 -2.152 69.84% -0.178 -0.1467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 171 58.24% 32.83 1.837 73.1% 0.134 0.3042
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 846 40.24% 34.1 -1.318 81.91% -0.114 -0.2094
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 85 24.71% 24.12 -6.117 56.47% -1.124 -1.3646
Shifting Memory of Ages 531 48.02% 26.69 -1.695 63.09% -0.469 -0.0905
Shroud of Silent Mist 525 61.83% 27.03 -1.103 64.76% -0.17 0.2005
Starlight Seeks its Form 737 29.04% 33.7 -0.436 79.78% -0.39 -0.5961
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1771 32.79% 32.05 2.929 84.02% 1.101 0.3844
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 720 48.18% 28.71 -5.434 66.67% -1.036 -0.8543
Thunderspeaker 858 41.72% 33.49 -0.078 75.41% 0.155 0.1693
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 31.75% 22.97 -2.224 52.38% -0.326 -0.22
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1167 73.84% 26.16 -3.919 68.47% -0.868 -0.7279
Vital Strength of the Earth 536 43.66% 28.08 0.385 65.67% 0.328 0.87
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 86 22.09% 23.08 -8.252 43.02% -1.635 -1.2967
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 226 46.02% 26.81 -6.156 60.18% -1.06 -0.3436
Volcano Looming High 808 42.22% 29.65 -0.018 73.51% 0.299 0.2663
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 106 16.98% 31.72 2.711 76.42% 0.762 0.3241

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 15.0% 27.95 7.853 65.0% 0.249 0.3011
Blitz 0 324 37.77% 24.4 -4.984 56.79% -1.052 -0.8516
Dahan Insurrection 4 310 25.81% 53.53 10.746 76.77% 0.215 0.0041
Despicable Theft 2 88 43.18% 27.7 -6.797 51.14% -1.261 -0.4165
Elemental Invocation 1 153 51.63% 22.43 -8.065 41.83% -1.485 -0.4135
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 539 11.61% 33.08 1.888 64.01% -0.506 -1.2307
Powers Long Forgotten 1 192 54.69% 26.99 -5.548 50.0% -1.117 -0.2114
Rituals of Terror 3 136 50.74% 40.52 -7.861 63.24% -0.123 -0.0928
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 109 66.06% 38.27 -0.577 62.39% -0.552 0.6371
Second Wave 0 1103 48.23% 32.06 -1.851 68.27% -0.889 -0.8077
The Great River 3 95 45.26% 27.54 -4.463 37.89% -0.956 0.4319
Varied Terrains 2 63 44.44% 23.73 1.352 46.03% -0.112 0.7893
Ward the Shores 2 219 46.58% 30.51 -11.107 52.51% -1.724 -0.6692

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10909 40.49% 31.45 0.472 75.36% 0.316 0.3466
1 Thematic 1328 48.02% 31.9 -2.043 60.54% -0.182 0.2503
2 Archipelago 12 41.67% 36.42 -3.748 66.67% -0.27 0.2225
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2490 44.9% 29.83 -1.227 75.66% -0.23 -0.2787
2 Coastline 317 45.25% 30.71 5.933 76.34% 0.812 0.7111
2 Fragment 76 64.47% 26.95 -10.012 68.42% -1.138 -1.5509
2 Heart 49 48.98% 30.43 9.261 75.51% 0.689 0.5991
2 Opposite Shores 469 40.22% 30.4 1.101 76.55% 0.491 0.3108
2 Thematic 519 42.86% 27.48 0.162 52.99% 0.334 0.5202
2 Top to Top 54 38.89% 29.2 0.0 75.93%
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 16 43.75% 28.19 0.0 56.25%
3 Other 54 37.04% 34.28 6.647 88.89% 0.737 0.4029
3 Round (Default) 1092 35.5% 32.85 -0.237 80.49% -0.276 -0.5424
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 25.33 6.59 66.67% 0.354 0.8649
3 Thematic 96 42.71% 33.23 0.492 66.67% 0.074 -0.3725
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 24 58.33% 32.79 4.388 83.33% 0.323 -0.4148
4 Thematic 99 31.63% 41.58 4.296 76.77% 0.105 0.3081
4 Trapezoid (Default) 353 39.77% 32.17 -3.505 81.59% -1.16 -0.8195
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 3.208 100.0% 0.116 0.1155
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 40 22.5% 34.52 -8.372 82.5% -0.227 -0.9477
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 -16.804 60.0% -0.664 -0.5041
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 39.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 24 29.17% 40.21 -7.263 83.33% -0.219 -0.194
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 29.27% 27.66 -3.032 65.85% -0.398 -0.3004

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 499 26.46 -0.543 60.32% -0.357 -0.2179
Aid From Lesser Spirits 411 27.32 2.117 62.04% 0.625 0.5663
All Things Weaken 556 25.92 2.955 56.65% 0.438 0.7924
Attenuated Essence 45 23.8 1.008 57.78% 0.163 0.2738
Back Against the Wall 419 28.34 3.891 64.2% 0.1 0.1761
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 38 20.66 -0.897 42.11% -0.17 0.0411
Burn Brightest Before the End 39 25.92 2.361 53.85% 0.112 0.2323
Disintegrating Ecosystem 493 24.04 -1.195 54.16% -0.151 0.2177
Downward Spiral 621 25.24 -0.446 59.26% -0.308 -0.1114
Erosion of Will 441 25.91 4.03 60.09% 0.667 0.9337
Intensifying Exploitation 53 24.21 0.873 54.72% -0.139 0.1315
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 292 31.68 1.566 79.11% 0.267 -0.2442
Memory Fades to Dust 573 24.72 -0.658 57.77% 0.147 0.4586
Power Corrodes the Spirit 549 26.42 1.375 61.2% 0.026 0.3205
Promising Farmlands 468 24.03 -2.703 53.42% -0.938 -0.6018
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 22.89 -2.182 50.0% -0.246 -0.1371
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 26.68 0.064 52.63% -0.346 0.0544
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 190 31.26 2.746 81.58% 0.659 0.046
The Border of Life and Death 17 32.94 6.161 82.35% 0.655 0.3628
Thriving Communities 578 23.74 -2.787 54.15% -0.405 -0.072
Thriving Crops 19 18.42 -3.779 42.11% 0.011 -0.0757
Unnatural Proliferation 572 26.57 -0.915 58.57% -0.036 0.1118
Untended Land Crumbles 537 25.13 0.135 58.47% 0.302 0.6093

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3054 41.93% 30.95 -0.241 76.42% -0.41 0.4948
B 3174 40.3% 31.47 1.078 76.87% -0.006 0.8224
C 3380 39.67% 31.41 -0.261 77.31% -0.424 0.2561
D 2988 41.39% 31.41 -0.425 76.37% -0.405 0.4483
E 2956 40.14% 31.71 0.467 77.74% -0.191 0.5103
F 2845 40.03% 30.92 0.513 75.89% -0.008 0.7728
G 2559 42.52% 30.58 -1.968 74.05% -0.85 -0.078
H 2526 41.08% 31.64 1.058 77.55% -0.124 0.6447
East 1290 43.22% 32.74 0.971 61.47% -0.466 0.3955
Northeast 609 40.46% 31.55 -1.938 58.29% -0.889 -0.1422
Northwest 535 42.69% 30.93 -1.429 58.69% -0.656 0.1778
Southeast 448 43.82% 34.1 2.26 68.3% 0.281 1.0563
Southwest 435 46.19% 27.26 -4.082 57.7% -0.947 0.3725
West 1231 45.86% 29.76 -1.422 57.6% -0.835 0.1713

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 61 0.0% 34.2 2.496 83.61% -0.075 0.7556
Not Using Events or Tokens 183 47.73% 26.95 -5.705 59.02% -0.758 -0.3172
Skip Initial Invader Actions 329 8.9% 45.13 3.654 90.88% 0.384 -0.178
Start of Game Growth 484 12.29% 43.02 5.438 88.43% 0.085 -0.4537
Unlimited Undo 1368 34.71% 31.24 -0.87 76.17% -0.168 -0.1274
Using Tokens but Not Events 1514 29.66% 32.51 0.162 75.69% 0.019 -0.0042

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2595 16.23 14.3%
II 6503 30.54 71.27%
III 6448 34.77 91.0%
IV 2565 38.37 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.59 Win Model: 0.647
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12419 41.42% 31.34 73.15%
2 3872 44.15% 30.15 74.66%
3 1228 36.62% 32.63 79.07%
4 490 37.7% 34.67 81.84%
5 30 33.33% 31.7 76.67%
6 72 29.17% 32.72 73.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 367
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5724
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4362
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2533
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1341
Lose: Invader deck ran out 92
Lose: Adversary condition 1464
Win: Sacrifice victory 85
Lose: Scenario condition 184
Win: Scenario condition 353
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1506
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1264 40.97% 38.41 -0.144 74.21% 0.079 -0.024
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 705 70.31% 30.35 1.462 51.35% 0.027 0.187
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 80 43.75% 36.46 4.831 70.0% 0.984 0.1488
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1066 47.74% 38.2 1.035 75.42% 0.327 0.195
Downpour Drenches the World 309 41.69% 32.0 2.072 60.84% 0.37 0.6882
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 457 40.04% 30.75 3.434 60.61% 0.813 0.3281
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1337 38.83% 41.22 3.507 80.18% 0.587 0.1339
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1071 49.77% 37.35 0.838 71.99% 0.416 -0.0359
Finder of Paths Unseen 159 57.86% 23.96 -3.515 44.03% -0.289 0.3778
Fractured Days Split the Sky 492 53.58% 33.11 -3.538 53.46% -0.656 0.0223
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 561 62.86% 33.94 1.904 64.17% 0.622 0.6831
Heart of the Wildfire 1544 74.55% 31.03 -3.175 56.87% -0.596 -0.3358
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1958 49.08% 37.48 1.223 70.79% 0.169 -0.225
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 84 50.0% 32.08 -2.37 60.71% -0.359 -0.7544
Lightning's Swift Strike 689 61.46% 36.55 -0.29 68.94% -0.091 0.1628
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 135 59.26% 34.73 3.525 66.67% 0.579 0.0256
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 306 57.84% 38.24 2.032 72.22% 0.146 -0.0901
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 275 56.2% 34.23 1.805 60.73% 0.352 0.1005
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1547 59.75% 34.89 -1.331 64.77% -0.328 -0.6525
Many Minds Move as One 903 38.62% 39.73 -2.427 79.62% -0.284 -0.484
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1470 56.43% 36.27 1.902 67.55% 0.352 0.3243
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1095 52.21% 35.93 1.688 68.95% 0.473 0.3312
River Surges in Sunlight 1122 54.75% 38.8 0.677 67.91% 0.163 0.2797
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 386 59.22% 33.29 -0.164 54.4% -0.042 0.295
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 179 45.81% 35.36 2.846 64.25% 0.394 0.2461
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1136 55.77% 35.67 1.641 67.87% 0.66 0.4922
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 315 76.83% 31.9 2.004 54.29% 0.288 0.8317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 59.09% 25.02 -2.354 40.91% -0.096 -0.0105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 57 52.63% 34.21 3.108 64.91% 0.461 0.0913
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 52.27% 20.52 -9.865 36.36% -1.097 -0.9311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 220 68.18% 30.76 -1.836 54.09% -0.516 -0.4852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 153 66.01% 27.58 -6.747 43.79% -1.558 -1.3878
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1025 48.19% 38.1 0.411 72.98% 0.318 0.2228
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 109 41.28% 30.62 1.371 58.72% 0.347 0.1061
Shifting Memory of Ages 590 65.48% 29.95 -3.852 55.76% -0.496 -0.118
Shroud of Silent Mist 602 76.08% 26.63 -2.403 44.35% -0.712 -0.3411
Starlight Seeks its Form 700 52.82% 32.8 0.844 60.43% 0.096 -0.1107
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2569 40.24% 37.35 4.703 79.41% 1.236 0.5188
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 743 61.67% 33.29 0.242 61.1% 0.096 0.2775
Thunderspeaker 883 55.44% 36.4 -0.957 65.35% -0.064 -0.0495
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 31.25% 24.61 -3.313 42.19% -0.64 -0.5343
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1560 83.1% 29.58 -3.133 56.86% -0.468 -0.3275
Vital Strength of the Earth 512 59.3% 31.3 -4.757 54.88% -0.695 -0.1526
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 46.36% 26.97 -0.847 45.45% -0.285 0.0533
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 262 54.2% 27.66 -3.287 48.09% -0.667 0.0492
Volcano Looming High 1077 65.52% 32.04 -2.334 61.93% -0.141 -0.1734
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 173 47.09% 32.32 0.808 63.01% 0.114 -0.3232

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 33.33% 28.48 -2.383 52.38% -0.187 -0.1356
Blitz 0 356 48.02% 32.08 -2.778 54.49% -0.216 -0.0154
Dahan Insurrection 4 219 39.27% 56.14 3.506 71.69% -0.13 -0.341
Despicable Theft 2 56 60.71% 30.43 -9.285 41.07% -1.107 -0.2626
Elemental Invocation 1 110 68.18% 26.31 0.139 40.0% -0.094 0.9765
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 901 13.77% 42.67 1.52 71.37% -0.154 -0.8787
Powers Long Forgotten 1 130 61.54% 33.68 0.824 50.0% 0.18 1.086
Rituals of Terror 3 64 65.63% 40.81 -14.299 54.69% -0.423 -0.3927
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 67.92% 37.04 -10.256 47.17% -0.587 0.6014
Second Wave 0 700 57.74% 35.37 2.82 58.43% 0.292 0.3729
The Great River 3 47 17.02% 23.62 -10.842 17.02% -1.367 0.0205
Varied Terrains 2 43 58.14% 16.14 -9.11 11.63% -0.627 0.274
Ward the Shores 2 137 62.04% 32.9 -8.114 41.61% -0.94 0.1148

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13186 55.58% 34.45 0.227 65.58% 0.11 0.1407
1 Thematic 949 54.55% 35.62 -7.391 53.64% -1.183 -0.7506
2 Archipelago 23 69.57% 30.13 12.787 34.78% 0.294 0.7865
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3139 57.47% 33.71 0.095 65.24% 0.088 0.0391
2 Coastline 365 52.33% 36.0 2.725 70.68% 0.525 0.4244
2 Fragment 88 66.67% 33.2 7.876 60.23% 0.995 0.5823
2 Heart 50 61.22% 29.78 -6.642 54.0% -0.63 -0.7195
2 Opposite Shores 708 55.19% 34.13 2.374 65.11% 0.308 0.1284
2 Thematic 388 58.51% 31.23 -1.838 47.16% -0.499 -0.3119
2 Top to Top 97 50.53% 37.85 -0.226 74.23% -0.204 -0.4039
3 Archipelago 7 71.43% 33.29 0.0 42.86%
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 40.38 7.955 76.92% 0.741 0.0795
3 Other 67 56.72% 35.99 0.036 71.64% -0.679 -1.0133
3 Round (Default) 1352 56.71% 34.78 -1.451 66.94% -0.637 -0.9027
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 6.218 80.0% 0.248 0.7587
3 Thematic 60 68.33% 39.98 8.018 68.33% 0.45 0.0036
4 Archipelago 9 100.0% 38.0 0.0 44.44%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 55 61.82% 34.22 -5.504 67.27% -1.229 -1.967
4 Thematic 161 46.58% 46.06 7.147 77.64% 0.804 1.0075
4 Trapezoid (Default) 558 49.46% 39.42 2.156 78.67% 0.19 0.5304
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 44 46.51% 35.34 3.427 72.73% 0.507 -0.2138
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 31.0 -8.223 60.0% -0.175 -0.0151
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.67 0.0% -0.338 -0.827
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 10 70.0% 39.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 33 37.5% 43.09 -3.979 69.7% -0.523 -0.498
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 25.58% 27.42 -1.317 51.16% -0.275 -0.1769
7 Other 2 50.0% 27.5 11.538 50.0% 0.141 -1.2748

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 846 31.1 -1.505 53.78% -0.238 -0.0991
Aid From Lesser Spirits 648 34.03 2.665 60.65% 0.171 0.1122
All Things Weaken 927 30.5 0.439 53.94% -0.042 0.3123
Attenuated Essence 72 28.0 5.872 45.83% 0.862 0.9732
Back Against the Wall 663 32.31 3.455 57.01% 0.276 0.3518
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 95 27.71 1.551 47.37% -0.067 0.1435
Burn Brightest Before the End 75 33.24 3.625 58.67% 0.611 0.7317
Disintegrating Ecosystem 764 28.85 -1.118 54.19% -0.061 0.3078
Downward Spiral 934 29.63 1.122 53.43% 0.148 0.3444
Erosion of Will 785 29.76 2.421 51.08% 0.272 0.5387
Intensifying Exploitation 86 26.08 1.212 46.51% 0.267 0.5375
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 379 37.14 2.221 74.14% 0.017 -0.4945
Memory Fades to Dust 878 30.51 -0.645 55.58% -0.278 0.0338
Power Corrodes the Spirit 849 30.63 2.879 55.24% 0.391 0.6859
Promising Farmlands 726 28.63 0.439 51.1% 0.049 0.3854
Shattered Fragments of Power 68 29.76 1.366 47.06% -0.107 0.0017
Slow Dissolution of Will 79 27.62 0.285 44.3% -0.141 0.2588
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 247 38.22 3.686 76.92% 0.747 0.1341
The Border of Life and Death 25 24.28 6.112 36.0% 0.456 0.1636
Thriving Communities 889 27.62 -1.611 47.58% -0.306 0.027
Thriving Crops 42 26.98 -1.892 52.38% -0.053 -0.1394
Unnatural Proliferation 912 31.61 0.539 55.26% -0.346 -0.1979
Untended Land Crumbles 902 29.28 -1.795 52.0% -0.746 -0.439

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3971 56.4% 33.85 -0.683 64.52% -0.219 0.6861
B 4028 56.41% 34.44 0.637 65.71% -0.03 0.7982
C 4492 53.55% 35.42 1.863 69.06% 0.132 0.8122
D 3700 57.79% 34.03 -1.365 65.3% -0.495 0.3583
E 3819 54.64% 35.07 0.669 67.5% -0.033 0.668
F 3583 55.21% 34.83 0.758 66.68% -0.114 0.6676
G 3073 56.17% 34.8 -0.407 66.48% -0.248 0.5235
H 2993 52.83% 35.12 -1.087 67.26% -0.457 0.3111
East 1010 54.37% 37.16 0.664 57.62% -0.038 0.8233
Northeast 493 53.46% 35.94 0.696 53.75% -0.174 0.5723
Northwest 476 52.11% 35.79 -1.326 55.04% -0.035 0.7985
Southeast 343 52.2% 38.98 -0.84 64.43% -0.374 0.4013
Southwest 321 50.16% 35.12 -2.299 57.94% -0.263 1.056
West 985 53.26% 36.14 -1.296 56.24% -0.745 0.2613

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 71 0.0% 36.38 13.1 69.01% 0.559 1.3903
Not Using Events or Tokens 77 50.0% 33.14 -6.944 62.34% -0.501 -0.0602
Skip Initial Invader Actions 327 17.81% 52.65 5.993 86.85% 0.477 -0.0851
Start of Game Growth 529 22.99% 48.36 5.584 82.61% 0.692 0.1534
Unlimited Undo 1771 45.51% 35.23 -1.511 66.57% -0.49 -0.4494
Using Tokens but Not Events 1708 47.2% 34.71 -0.358 65.75% 0.018 -0.0059

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4432 16.23 7.9%
II 9384 30.54 67.17%
III 5338 34.77 94.57%
IV 2288 38.37 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.355 Win Model: 0.387
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14250 55.44% 34.5 64.64%
2 4800 57.21% 33.92 64.46%
3 1495 56.77% 34.98 67.22%
4 770 50.26% 40.67 77.92%
5 35 47.06% 27.0 54.29%
6 92 34.07% 34.97 58.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 348
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4987
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6091
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2255
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1552
Lose: Invader deck ran out 65
Lose: Adversary condition 3003
Win: Sacrifice victory 89
Lose: Scenario condition 234
Win: Scenario condition 213
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2425
Lose: Spirit destroyed 180

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1441 51.67% 37.57 -0.992 64.47% -0.186 -0.2891
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 746 76.21% 31.41 -1.809 46.51% -0.385 -0.2246
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 113 55.75% 38.7 1.144 68.14% 0.243 -0.593
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1134 61.34% 36.16 0.149 62.96% 0.256 0.1246
Downpour Drenches the World 461 52.49% 27.42 -0.14 42.08% 0.245 0.5636
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 626 49.36% 33.72 2.718 57.99% 0.752 0.2669
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1601 46.78% 40.45 -0.119 71.58% 0.172 -0.2809
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1112 56.4% 37.95 -0.138 63.76% 0.101 -0.3508
Finder of Paths Unseen 163 60.74% 24.74 -0.379 35.58% 0.1 0.7668
Fractured Days Split the Sky 503 55.27% 33.44 -5.188 49.3% -0.8 -0.1217
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 680 67.5% 34.05 0.46 56.76% 0.109 0.1702
Heart of the Wildfire 1445 76.83% 31.82 -0.313 51.14% 0.16 0.4196
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2525 56.36% 36.5 0.155 60.63% -0.11 -0.5037
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 103 50.49% 32.47 2.229 54.37% 0.349 -0.0466
Lightning's Swift Strike 798 72.74% 34.55 0.649 54.14% 0.168 0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 214 68.22% 37.93 3.528 64.95% 0.717 0.1634
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 359 60.11% 37.31 -1.476 63.51% -0.536 -0.7722
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 307 58.96% 36.98 5.154 60.59% 0.499 0.2477
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1842 70.47% 33.01 -0.853 53.42% -0.085 -0.4085
Many Minds Move as One 961 48.49% 41.86 1.5 75.34% 0.495 0.2951
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1841 58.39% 38.18 3.805 61.92% 0.739 0.7105
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1190 61.21% 35.53 1.735 60.17% 0.417 0.2757
River Surges in Sunlight 1367 59.47% 40.51 3.171 65.4% 0.032 0.149
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 431 66.43% 31.93 -4.344 47.56% -0.667 -0.3291
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 287 51.4% 37.2 6.729 53.31% 1.155 1.007
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1159 60.99% 35.16 -1.188 59.71% -0.049 -0.2161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 240 76.67% 29.86 -4.763 37.92% -1.022 -0.4778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 59.38% 23.66 -11.634 34.38% -0.615 -0.5288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 62.64% 29.09 0.65 50.55% 0.045 -0.3243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 68.42% 32.77 13.572 43.86% 0.158 0.3235
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 181 77.35% 31.19 -7.719 47.51% -1.102 -1.071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 130 76.74% 26.95 6.919 33.85% 0.653 0.824
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1100 56.61% 38.16 -2.415 65.45% -0.46 -0.5551
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 179 53.07% 30.49 -0.519 48.04% 0.103 -0.1381
Shifting Memory of Ages 541 69.76% 28.78 -1.696 46.03% -0.305 0.0731
Shroud of Silent Mist 634 77.53% 25.76 -7.782 36.12% -1.569 -1.1981
Starlight Seeks its Form 892 51.96% 33.43 -0.425 54.37% 0.116 -0.0906
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3251 50.32% 36.71 2.399 69.06% 0.69 -0.0266
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 763 69.43% 33.63 -5.214 50.46% -0.658 -0.4759
Thunderspeaker 977 64.75% 36.03 0.63 57.63% 0.375 0.3895
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 60.0% 28.83 -0.082 50.0% 0.245 0.3501
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1859 86.36% 29.58 -1.427 47.98% -0.237 -0.0966
Vital Strength of the Earth 538 69.33% 27.31 -2.568 32.71% 0.04 0.5826
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 147 49.32% 27.82 0.798 42.18% 0.252 0.5901
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 222 69.37% 30.29 1.547 45.05% -0.046 0.6705
Volcano Looming High 1322 71.94% 32.81 -1.615 55.82% 0.001 -0.0323
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 239 58.58% 30.33 -0.078 52.3% -0.075 -0.5125

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 47.0 7.755 75.0% -0.265 -0.213
Blitz 0 276 39.86% 39.88 -1.745 50.72% -0.922 -0.7208
Dahan Insurrection 4 206 44.66% 57.01 -7.314 63.11% -1.228 -1.4394
Despicable Theft 2 19 57.89% 31.16 -13.005 42.11% -0.609 0.235
Elemental Invocation 1 132 65.91% 29.53 -8.38 31.82% -0.977 0.094
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 886 18.89% 44.67 0.945 66.48% 0.055 -0.67
Powers Long Forgotten 1 117 64.1% 29.09 -5.62 35.9% -0.857 0.0489
Rituals of Terror 3 62 64.52% 39.47 7.587 43.55% 0.569 0.5988
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 73.58% 30.51 -9.531 30.19% -1.329 -0.1402
Second Wave 0 396 56.09% 36.12 2.339 53.28% 0.003 0.0837
The Great River 3 58 31.03% 34.71 -0.451 32.76% -0.651 0.7363
Varied Terrains 2 20 25.0% 23.6 4.772 20.0% -0.434 0.4667
Ward the Shores 2 83 62.65% 27.58 -11.889 24.1% -0.455 0.6005

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15426 62.76% 34.47 0.16 58.32% 0.426 0.4569
1 Thematic 986 61.26% 35.34 -4.345 46.04% -0.36 0.0719
2 Archipelago 25 76.0% 42.6 13.327 64.0% 0.368 0.8613
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3601 65.02% 34.23 -1.839 58.23% -0.469 -0.5173
2 Coastline 410 61.86% 38.65 2.417 68.05% -0.038 -0.1382
2 Fragment 84 69.51% 32.33 8.613 52.38% 0.425 0.0127
2 Heart 43 75.0% 37.47 11.755 67.44% 0.466 0.3762
2 Opposite Shores 818 60.66% 33.92 2.263 52.69% -0.007 -0.1872
2 Thematic 314 67.63% 32.59 0.893 38.22% 0.139 0.3261
2 Top to Top 126 53.97% 36.81 -0.007 63.49% -0.112 -0.3118
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 70 54.29% 39.2 4.663 75.71% -0.132 -0.4663
3 Round (Default) 1730 60.16% 34.03 -0.777 55.66% -0.831 -1.0973
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 67 67.16% 36.42 14.388 43.28% 1.249 0.8023
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 48.7 4.368 70.0% 0.148 -0.4089
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 81.82% 45.18 9.991 81.82% 0.686 1.5323
4 Other 42 58.54% 34.83 4.939 64.29% 0.114 -0.6235
4 Thematic 131 51.91% 44.21 -5.761 58.02% -1.298 -1.0943
4 Trapezoid (Default) 679 53.85% 36.96 0.261 64.21% -0.813 -0.4727
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 48 53.19% 41.96 0.556 75.0% -0.229 -0.9502
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 -9.234 0.0% -0.552 -0.3917
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 50.0% 47.45 0.0 63.64%
6 Star 7 85.71% 34.14 5.942 71.43% 0.101 0.3989
6 Thematic 11 54.55% 47.09 17.213 81.82% 0.376 0.4018
6 Two Centers (Default) 30 46.67% 34.57 5.682 63.33% 0.136 0.2341

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1020 31.03 4.251 47.16% 0.631 0.7696
Aid From Lesser Spirits 892 34.62 3.64 55.72% 0.239 0.1801
All Things Weaken 1151 31.41 3.498 47.96% 0.479 0.8336
Attenuated Essence 131 31.61 0.858 50.38% -0.1 0.0111
Back Against the Wall 802 32.95 2.553 50.87% 0.153 0.2289
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 139 27.12 -1.152 39.57% -0.136 0.0744
Burn Brightest Before the End 103 29.17 2.565 40.78% 0.248 0.3683
Disintegrating Ecosystem 975 28.87 0.136 45.23% 0.052 0.4212
Downward Spiral 1201 30.97 -1.535 50.79% -0.116 0.0806
Erosion of Will 1055 30.09 3.826 44.83% 0.65 0.9173
Intensifying Exploitation 128 25.45 -1.728 35.16% -0.444 -0.1743
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 499 36.15 0.85 62.32% 0.069 -0.4423
Memory Fades to Dust 1140 30.78 1.245 47.11% -0.063 0.2486
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1193 29.8 -2.168 46.1% -0.56 -0.2651
Promising Farmlands 1000 29.56 2.399 45.4% -0.009 0.3275
Shattered Fragments of Power 94 31.09 1.017 41.49% -0.083 0.0257
Slow Dissolution of Will 129 25.2 -2.706 32.56% -1.249 -0.849
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 304 38.92 -0.491 72.37% -0.134 -0.747
The Border of Life and Death 32 32.78 7.44 56.25% 0.717 0.4249
Thriving Communities 1051 28.27 -1.078 41.48% -0.577 -0.2442
Thriving Crops 53 30.96 3.265 54.72% 0.493 0.4068
Unnatural Proliferation 1168 30.74 3.099 44.26% 0.129 0.2773
Untended Land Crumbles 1155 30.04 0.585 46.32% -0.014 0.293

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4724 61.3% 34.59 -0.506 58.07% -0.2 0.7052
B 4699 60.77% 34.52 0.317 58.2% -0.077 0.751
C 5285 61.99% 34.55 -0.249 57.5% -0.054 0.6263
D 4383 62.09% 34.59 2.189 58.61% 0.347 1.2008
E 4414 63.06% 34.94 0.435 59.24% -0.097 0.6042
F 4043 61.73% 35.02 -1.987 59.44% -0.349 0.4319
G 3559 62.06% 35.02 1.283 59.45% 0.212 0.9833
H 3577 61.9% 35.46 0.947 60.16% 0.018 0.7867
East 1005 61.71% 37.36 -2.026 47.96% -0.401 0.461
Northeast 435 61.52% 37.71 -1.982 45.52% -0.542 0.2043
Northwest 363 61.88% 36.21 1.96 43.25% 0.281 1.1148
Southeast 338 59.17% 35.57 -2.545 47.34% -0.274 0.5013
Southwest 299 59.87% 30.41 -4.691 40.13% -0.892 0.4273
West 844 61.88% 34.27 -0.038 42.54% -0.198 0.8079

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 43 0.0% 38.72 -8.671 67.44% -0.298 0.5329
Not Using Events or Tokens 99 63.64% 36.2 -9.308 49.49% -0.549 -0.108
Skip Initial Invader Actions 580 14.16% 55.92 9.662 82.93% 0.819 0.2571
Start of Game Growth 811 17.35% 52.5 8.422 82.0% 1.444 0.9052
Unlimited Undo 1974 53.27% 36.54 -2.955 62.21% -0.583 -0.5422
Using Tokens but Not Events 1560 50.69% 34.87 1.701 59.1% 0.302 0.2783

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5898 16.23 4.22%
II 10269 30.54 58.62%
III 6855 34.77 91.73%
IV 1695 38.37 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.473 Win Model: 0.482
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16520 62.63% 34.49 57.45%
2 5366 64.34% 34.68 57.68%
3 1868 60.11% 34.3 56.0%
4 867 53.88% 38.04 63.21%
5 36 57.14% 37.97 63.89%
6 60 52.54% 40.27 70.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6210
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5868
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1677
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1714
Lose: Invader deck ran out 189
Lose: Adversary condition 4814
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 262
Win: Scenario condition 149
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3259
Lose: Spirit destroyed 234

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 793 69.1% 41.24 1.792 58.51% 0.224 0.1208
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 407 87.71% 32.0 -4.068 35.63% -1.195 -1.0353
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 59 72.88% 28.47 0.113 35.59% -0.069 -0.9046
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 645 85.43% 31.71 -2.607 36.74% -0.351 -0.4824
Downpour Drenches the World 256 62.11% 28.51 -5.946 34.77% -0.732 -0.414
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 353 72.8% 32.88 -0.128 46.18% 0.067 -0.4172
Eyes Watch From the Trees 851 69.69% 42.15 2.12 57.81% 0.465 0.0118
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 752 73.77% 40.06 2.452 53.59% 0.679 0.227
Finder of Paths Unseen 107 56.07% 30.6 -6.533 43.93% -0.746 -0.0792
Fractured Days Split the Sky 352 73.3% 39.25 -3.427 46.31% -0.489 0.189
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 350 82.0% 31.65 -1.593 38.57% 0.052 0.1134
Heart of the Wildfire 1798 83.67% 35.02 -4.307 44.49% -0.555 -0.295
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1393 74.23% 37.7 2.978 48.17% 0.666 0.2723
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 42 66.67% 29.5 0.75 38.1% 0.086 -0.3088
Lightning's Swift Strike 289 90.59% 30.45 0.518 32.18% -0.042 0.2115
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 179 72.07% 42.91 5.69 54.19% 0.795 0.2411
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 213 90.61% 39.04 2.145 50.23% 0.042 -0.1936
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 108 84.26% 37.56 18.951 48.15% 0.98 0.729
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1360 76.09% 38.16 3.704 50.15% 0.531 0.2066
Many Minds Move as One 556 60.61% 44.77 3.593 67.09% 0.689 0.4888
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 702 80.26% 32.68 -4.806 36.61% -1.295 -1.3228
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 707 83.57% 35.7 4.17 46.25% 0.79 0.6477
River Surges in Sunlight 766 79.89% 40.28 1.15 49.48% 0.175 0.2922
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 179 83.24% 29.83 -7.552 27.93% -0.324 0.0135
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 136 62.5% 41.17 -1.553 55.88% 0.477 0.3284
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 666 77.33% 39.78 0.559 54.95% 0.408 0.2401
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 180 76.11% 25.93 -7.703 23.33% -1.136 -0.5919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 73.91% 37.22 -5.687 43.48% -0.355 -0.2689
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 74.7% 37.06 4.918 49.4% 0.743 0.3738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 70.59% 33.09 -5.481 47.06% -0.36 -0.1942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 138 86.23% 37.25 -2.026 47.1% -0.485 -0.4541
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 115 86.96% 34.83 -7.984 43.48% -0.728 -0.5578
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 469 72.92% 39.24 1.794 49.47% 0.483 0.3881
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 89 58.43% 39.46 1.503 55.06% 0.169 -0.0717
Shifting Memory of Ages 416 83.65% 32.79 -1.075 40.63% -0.206 0.172
Shroud of Silent Mist 334 85.93% 31.78 -2.509 38.62% -0.781 -0.4098
Starlight Seeks its Form 684 73.68% 38.02 3.282 53.07% 0.509 0.3026
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2784 58.79% 41.62 3.346 65.19% 1.091 0.374
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 530 81.85% 34.93 2.593 40.94% 0.794 0.9756
Thunderspeaker 486 84.16% 36.64 -0.777 44.65% -0.141 -0.1273
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 52 71.15% 20.15 -8.265 21.15% -0.97 -0.8645
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2053 91.33% 33.38 0.921 42.47% 0.018 0.158
Vital Strength of the Earth 243 82.3% 28.58 -3.404 23.87% -1.304 -0.7622
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 80 67.5% 31.1 3.737 33.75% 0.438 0.7761
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 129 85.27% 29.71 0.746 27.91% 0.202 0.9184
Volcano Looming High 951 86.44% 31.7 0.274 39.01% -0.106 -0.1387
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 159 72.96% 34.39 4.125 52.2% 0.775 0.3374

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 19.71 0.0 28.57%
Blitz 0 101 61.39% 34.94 -5.522 44.55% -0.736 -0.5349
Dahan Insurrection 4 53 67.92% 50.83 -9.777 37.74% -0.896 -1.1075
Despicable Theft 2 28 64.29% 25.43 -8.207 21.43% -0.661 0.1836
Elemental Invocation 1 50 62.0% 28.68 -10.978 22.0% -0.157 0.9143
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 554 25.81% 49.15 10.222 60.83% 0.808 0.0837
Powers Long Forgotten 1 51 70.59% 27.8 -9.77 25.49% -0.361 0.5451
Rituals of Terror 3 27 59.26% 51.89 15.385 55.56% 0.978 1.0077
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 92.0% 39.88 0.0 32.0%
Second Wave 0 253 69.05% 38.4 7.787 44.66% 0.497 0.578
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 26.27 -1.826 26.67% -0.234 0.6669
Ward the Shores 2 50 78.0% 27.94 -1.49 20.0% -0.323 0.7327

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10710 76.91% 36.66 -0.363 49.23% -0.066 -0.0351
1 Thematic 388 65.98% 34.81 -6.949 37.11% -0.92 -0.4877
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2483 79.9% 35.98 0.566 47.76% 0.12 0.0709
2 Coastline 278 80.58% 37.58 1.986 50.72% 0.207 0.1062
2 Fragment 46 76.09% 37.17 11.859 50.0% 0.411 -0.0014
2 Heart 32 90.63% 37.56 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 450 77.51% 35.08 3.942 43.11% 0.362 0.1825
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 171 80.12% 34.67 -2.729 31.58% -0.562 -0.3757
2 Top to Top 113 92.04% 34.95 -1.438 42.48% -0.701 -0.9001
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 46 78.26% 44.98 6.903 71.74% 0.545 0.2109
3 Round (Default) 1118 78.44% 35.32 -0.909 47.32% -0.305 -0.5714
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 29 82.76% 33.55 2.363 27.59% -0.053 -0.4993
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 45.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 20 70.0% 43.8 0.0 70.0%
4 Thematic 123 60.16% 47.24 4.496 55.28% -0.026 0.1772
4 Trapezoid (Default) 316 77.24% 37.78 -0.834 47.78% -0.487 -0.1471
5 Other 14 38.46% 38.64 -0.125 50.0% 0.213 -0.5077
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 5 80.0% 17.6 -14.763 20.0% -0.314 0.126
6 Star 9 33.33% 27.44 0.0 22.22%
6 Thematic 28 14.29% 67.11 8.062 75.0% 0.224 0.249
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 42.86% 19.86 -0.043 28.57% 0.171 0.2694

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 892 35.9 4.404 45.63% 0.632 0.7709
Aid From Lesser Spirits 717 39.22 7.412 52.16% 0.753 0.6942
All Things Weaken 995 34.44 3.526 40.3% 0.406 0.7607
Attenuated Essence 89 34.22 6.05 43.82% 0.759 0.8697
Back Against the Wall 687 38.98 5.885 49.93% 0.62 0.696
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 110 37.41 5.228 53.64% 0.777 0.9879
Burn Brightest Before the End 65 32.71 0.182 40.0% -0.181 -0.0602
Disintegrating Ecosystem 890 34.27 3.675 44.38% 0.625 0.994
Downward Spiral 888 34.38 2.372 43.69% 0.528 0.7248
Erosion of Will 861 36.02 9.688 43.32% 1.493 1.76
Intensifying Exploitation 105 28.08 0.697 31.43% 0.006 0.276
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 319 39.44 4.903 54.23% 0.536 0.0245
Memory Fades to Dust 996 34.49 3.367 43.27% 0.577 0.8885
Power Corrodes the Spirit 931 35.06 2.885 44.36% 0.35 0.645
Promising Farmlands 832 33.11 1.689 39.06% 0.263 0.599
Shattered Fragments of Power 82 34.28 6.078 45.12% 0.584 0.6924
Slow Dissolution of Will 103 30.82 2.353 31.07% -0.052 0.3484
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 193 43.94 10.862 63.73% 1.129 0.5161
The Border of Life and Death 22 32.82 -0.649 50.0% 0.378 0.0859
Thriving Communities 908 33.13 0.004 41.63% -0.291 0.042
Thriving Crops 41 34.17 1.423 43.9% 0.18 0.0932
Unnatural Proliferation 984 36.56 7.066 44.92% 1.031 1.1784
Untended Land Crumbles 952 33.7 4.767 40.44% 0.562 0.8686

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2859 77.45% 35.6 0.448 46.8% -0.011 0.8943
B 3282 77.71% 36.77 0.782 49.7% 0.034 0.8622
C 3561 77.4% 37.27 1.002 50.15% 0.179 0.8587
D 2782 79.5% 35.69 -0.122 47.16% -0.162 0.6916
E 2843 79.09% 35.77 -0.128 46.89% 0.191 0.892
F 2717 77.99% 36.76 -0.128 49.72% -0.149 0.6326
G 2334 76.31% 35.36 -3.297 46.02% -0.528 0.2434
H 2290 76.26% 36.63 1.624 49.43% 0.159 0.9276
East 542 66.24% 39.25 0.655 40.59% 0.596 1.4575
Northeast 245 63.67% 42.62 0.787 44.49% -0.078 0.6685
Northwest 198 62.63% 42.73 3.922 44.44% 0.138 0.9712
Southeast 218 57.8% 42.78 2.995 48.62% -0.017 0.759
Southwest 195 61.03% 41.87 -1.181 47.18% -1.024 0.2947
West 458 67.47% 38.79 -2.742 39.52% -0.58 0.4258

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 11 0.0% 33.18 -10.313 45.45% -0.806 0.025
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 80.65% 41.13 0.0 54.84%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 168 46.06% 53.05 -1.617 74.4% -0.549 -1.1116
Start of Game Growth 379 46.81% 51.39 5.302 71.5% 0.908 0.3689
Unlimited Undo 1643 71.71% 38.35 0.214 54.96% -0.037 0.0044
Using Tokens but Not Events 698 70.89% 35.23 0.393 47.13% 0.052 0.0286

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4958 16.23 2.96%
II 6461 30.54 49.0%
III 3941 34.77 90.36%
IV 1064 38.37 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.36 Win Model: -0.024
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11145 76.52% 36.6 48.81%
2 3575 80.13% 36.0 46.8%
3 1178 78.18% 35.4 47.45%
4 460 73.25% 40.56 50.65%
5 14 38.46% 28.0 21.43%
6 52 26.92% 46.19 53.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3517
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3112
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1039
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1206
Lose: Invader deck ran out 86
Lose: Adversary condition 3654
Win: Sacrifice victory 91
Lose: Scenario condition 166
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3128
Lose: Spirit destroyed 248

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 381 72.97% 43.4 1.78 52.49% 0.159 0.0562
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 154 87.66% 34.49 -3.519 34.42% -0.078 0.082
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 33 60.61% 40.3 7.978 54.55% 0.944 0.108
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 275 87.27% 30.46 -3.025 26.55% -0.1 -0.2313
Downpour Drenches the World 126 77.78% 30.09 -0.164 26.98% 0.336 0.6544
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 206 80.1% 34.0 4.226 47.09% 0.67 0.185
Eyes Watch From the Trees 302 66.89% 41.49 3.347 49.34% 0.345 -0.1079
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 261 86.97% 35.81 -0.783 37.55% 0.291 -0.1613
Finder of Paths Unseen 46 47.83% 26.93 -11.898 34.78% -0.571 0.0953
Fractured Days Split the Sky 172 75.0% 42.77 -2.014 45.93% -0.337 0.3408
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 172 84.88% 30.33 -7.682 30.81% -0.772 -0.7104
Heart of the Wildfire 880 85.23% 28.97 -0.965 27.39% -0.303 -0.043
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 870 72.18% 37.33 1.034 40.69% 0.539 0.1454
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 17 82.35% 36.76 3.036 47.06% 0.36 -0.0349
Lightning's Swift Strike 117 94.02% 32.79 -3.943 27.35% -0.245 0.009
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 89.09% 40.42 2.464 49.09% 0.239 -0.3151
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 69 97.1% 35.16 -2.434 37.68% 0.138 -0.0976
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 56 85.71% 32.52 1.593 26.79% -0.004 -0.2548
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 578 86.85% 37.23 0.595 42.56% 0.383 0.0594
Many Minds Move as One 235 67.23% 47.02 -0.06 64.26% -0.005 -0.2052
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 349 78.22% 37.25 1.022 40.4% 0.204 0.1757
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 268 82.09% 35.53 -1.007 38.06% -0.255 -0.3972
River Surges in Sunlight 314 85.35% 39.29 -5.023 39.17% -0.724 -0.6073
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 69 81.16% 34.93 -7.839 28.99% -0.379 -0.0413
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 97 68.04% 44.81 1.21 54.64% 0.188 0.0394
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 330 77.27% 40.11 2.813 45.15% 0.284 0.1168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 103 93.2% 26.48 -1.287 7.77% -0.523 0.0206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 22 90.91% 34.0 -0.313 31.82% -0.317 -0.6863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 50.0% 11.0 -11.174 12.5% -0.367 -0.2014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 49 85.71% 31.69 -6.852 28.57% -0.479 -0.4482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 50 90.0% 29.62 -15.769 18.0% -0.329 -0.1579
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 156 81.41% 33.95 -8.059 31.41% -0.236 -0.3312
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 40 72.5% 33.92 -0.132 45.0% 0.065 -0.1754
Shifting Memory of Ages 173 86.13% 35.9 -1.933 35.84% -0.157 0.2213
Shroud of Silent Mist 142 83.8% 27.3 -8.501 21.83% -0.687 -0.3161
Starlight Seeks its Form 255 80.78% 38.44 0.054 46.27% 0.342 0.1352
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1310 60.92% 42.03 7.343 58.32% 1.664 0.9469
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 220 84.55% 31.8 3.687 26.36% 0.368 0.55
Thunderspeaker 189 89.95% 33.17 -6.553 29.1% -0.41 -0.3957
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 83.33% 27.78 -12.452 22.22% -0.349 -0.2432
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 709 92.81% 34.53 -0.32 39.07% 0.558 0.6987
Vital Strength of the Earth 97 84.54% 32.37 -3.156 24.74% -0.359 0.1834
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 34 50.0% 31.62 -1.147 29.41% 0.037 0.3754
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 51 74.51% 25.92 -13.614 21.57% -0.607 0.1099
Volcano Looming High 409 89.98% 31.32 1.377 29.83% 0.189 0.1557
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 56 66.07% 37.3 1.488 50.0% 0.59 0.1528

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -0.766 0.0% -0.069 -0.0172
Blitz 0 45 60.0% 27.71 -2.937 24.44% -0.627 -0.4258
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 0.0 13.46%
Despicable Theft 2 10 80.0% 30.2 0.0 20.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 35 45.71% 23.4 -12.526 17.14% -0.518 0.5527
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 203 31.53% 40.43 4.928 36.45% -0.211 -0.9362
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 70.97% 27.45 -12.078 19.35% -0.53 0.3763
Rituals of Terror 3 19 78.95% 45.05 3.808 21.05% -0.103 -0.073
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 180 88.33% 24.76 -2.75 1.11% -0.026 1.163
Second Wave 0 94 58.51% 40.18 3.529 44.68% 0.129 0.2099
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 19 47.37% 21.63 -11.841 15.79% -0.292 0.7637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5020 78.11% 35.9 1.053 41.59% 1.029 1.0592
1 Thematic 489 80.37% 28.12 -8.033 12.27% -0.459 -0.0265
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.085 0.0% -0.175 0.3181
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1006 85.49% 35.56 1.319 37.97% 0.705 0.6558
2 Coastline 118 75.42% 35.93 0.034 44.07% -0.022 -0.1223
2 Fragment 13 100.0% 36.69 -6.175 46.15% -0.557 -0.9697
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 -5.884 44.44% -0.419 -0.5089
2 Opposite Shores 162 78.4% 37.88 -2.071 39.51% -0.068 -0.2474
2 Thematic 55 56.36% 30.47 -6.694 14.55% -0.256 -0.0694
2 Top to Top 67 92.54% 35.09 -0.91 37.31% 0.267 0.0676
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 17 70.59% 50.29 0.0 76.47%
3 Round (Default) 366 79.51% 39.43 0.685 48.36% 0.041 -0.2253
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 10 50.0% 23.7 0.0 20.0%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 7 57.14% 47.86 7.943 57.14% 0.081 -0.6564
4 Thematic 46 65.22% 49.63 -3.519 50.0% -0.078 0.1253
4 Trapezoid (Default) 161 78.88% 37.55 9.339 40.99% 0.358 0.698
5 Other 9 88.89% 47.0 -1.988 66.67% -0.263 -0.9841
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -2.167 0.0% -0.133 0.0269
6 Other 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 -0.766 22.22% -0.069 -0.0436
6 Two Centers (Default) 2 100.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 438 35.17 1.841 34.47% -0.281 -0.1427
Aid From Lesser Spirits 339 40.58 6.496 46.9% 0.756 0.6974
All Things Weaken 452 34.06 1.75 33.41% -0.171 0.1842
Attenuated Essence 54 30.5 0.763 35.19% -0.072 0.0393
Back Against the Wall 331 36.12 3.201 35.35% 0.207 0.2831
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 64 24.94 -1.724 26.56% -0.241 -0.0305
Burn Brightest Before the End 32 36.22 -2.113 40.63% -0.032 0.0891
Disintegrating Ecosystem 383 34.55 6.409 36.81% 0.933 1.3022
Downward Spiral 450 32.58 1.372 31.33% 0.315 0.5113
Erosion of Will 428 33.82 0.901 32.48% 0.094 0.3612
Intensifying Exploitation 47 33.43 3.862 44.68% 0.556 0.8259
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 99 42.31 -0.569 50.51% -0.341 -0.8521
Memory Fades to Dust 427 33.85 0.534 34.43% 0.087 0.3989
Power Corrodes the Spirit 475 34.09 5.787 34.11% 0.821 1.1162
Promising Farmlands 391 33.77 -0.799 33.76% -0.378 -0.0417
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 38.45 10.78 44.74% 0.964 1.0724
Slow Dissolution of Will 39 33.92 4.576 35.9% 0.011 0.4115
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 45.51 3.705 60.49% 0.283 -0.3297
The Border of Life and Death 10 18.8 -4.281 20.0% -0.392 -0.6847
Thriving Communities 474 33.44 3.553 34.18% 0.202 0.5344
Thriving Crops 14 38.86 -12.802 57.14% -0.287 -0.3736
Unnatural Proliferation 447 35.78 3.052 35.35% 0.057 0.2044
Untended Land Crumbles 488 33.51 3.878 32.58% 0.604 0.9112

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1200 81.42% 35.33 -1.693 39.58% -0.121 0.7843
B 1377 81.05% 36.99 0.999 42.85% 0.157 0.9856
C 1427 81.01% 38.23 1.71 44.85% 0.313 0.993
D 1131 82.05% 36.12 -0.161 40.94% 0.031 0.8841
E 1249 79.9% 35.85 1.542 40.27% 0.089 0.7907
F 1287 76.15% 35.13 -3.969 40.48% -0.725 0.0565
G 1039 79.4% 37.52 4.522 43.02% 0.746 1.5181
H 1014 79.19% 37.28 1.243 42.21% 0.563 1.3312
East 256 64.06% 34.21 -4.263 25.78% -0.472 0.3894
Northeast 103 66.99% 34.51 -7.0 25.24% -0.349 0.3978
Northwest 154 80.52% 30.67 -4.671 14.94% -0.392 0.4409
Southeast 129 62.79% 32.8 -4.06 25.58% -0.421 0.3548
Southwest 249 77.91% 27.68 -5.378 11.24% -0.42 0.8997
West 441 78.68% 29.45 -6.99 12.93% -0.309 0.6969

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 40.91%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 82 58.54% 56.73 7.73 75.61% 0.838 0.2759
Start of Game Growth 131 57.25% 51.48 4.27 65.65% 0.152 -0.3869
Unlimited Undo 667 69.57% 42.09 -0.746 56.52% 0.092 0.1332
Using Tokens but Not Events 464 68.32% 37.02 2.402 43.1% 0.069 0.0451

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2278 16.23 0.7%
II 3092 30.54 30.17%
III 1678 34.77 89.45%
IV 545 38.37 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.857 Win Model: 0.301
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5545 78.21% 35.25 38.97%
2 1422 82.98% 35.62 37.97%
3 390 79.23% 40.11 49.74%
4 217 75.12% 39.68 42.86%
5 6 66.67% 43.67 50.0%
6 13 61.54% 30.0 30.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1482
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 912
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 535
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 637
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 1898
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 101
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1823
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2342 63.69% 40.58 -0.395 40.39% 0.435 0.3318
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 938 86.46% 31.29 -4.865 19.94% -0.485 -0.3248
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 300 71.33% 36.85 3.272 41.67% 0.809 -0.0266
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1119 80.16% 26.34 -7.411 15.73% -1.253 -1.3848
Downpour Drenches the World 671 67.61% 31.08 -2.489 25.34% -0.408 -0.0896
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1060 75.05% 25.69 -0.959 24.62% -0.093 -0.5773
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1653 80.81% 35.1 -3.16 30.37% -0.528 -0.9808
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1316 83.51% 32.46 -2.988 25.15% -0.176 -0.6284
Finder of Paths Unseen 399 59.9% 27.72 -5.665 28.07% -0.68 -0.0133
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1447 64.89% 41.69 -7.114 36.77% -1.43 -0.7525
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1062 82.3% 26.77 -6.082 16.57% -1.259 -1.1972
Heart of the Wildfire 4164 86.1% 32.18 -1.459 26.27% -0.085 0.1751
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4100 71.71% 39.52 1.095 38.88% 0.222 -0.1714
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 165 73.94% 22.28 -1.751 17.58% -0.215 -0.6102
Lightning's Swift Strike 999 90.87% 27.67 -1.594 12.91% 0.068 0.3217
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 849 75.24% 33.72 2.851 23.56% 0.508 -0.0457
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 557 87.0% 34.89 3.554 31.24% 0.778 0.5426
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 357 74.44% 38.89 -0.496 38.66% 0.676 0.4248
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3497 84.05% 32.84 -0.635 25.85% -0.106 -0.43
Many Minds Move as One 1371 69.49% 48.47 6.499 57.48% 1.383 1.1828
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1425 80.25% 33.09 -4.443 27.3% -0.422 -0.4495
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1260 85.62% 34.82 -1.366 30.0% -0.13 -0.2715
River Surges in Sunlight 2102 83.05% 41.26 2.263 37.11% 0.318 0.4348
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 405 65.43% 41.17 -8.35 30.86% -0.94 -0.6031
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 425 71.43% 34.21 4.305 29.65% 0.988 0.8395
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2294 65.72% 46.53 5.397 49.96% 0.706 0.539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 470 77.23% 34.74 0.0 21.28%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 86.57% 26.43 -11.481 13.43% -0.141 -0.0551
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 186 75.14% 32.83 3.351 34.41% 0.684 0.3144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 80.26% 28.64 -0.555 21.05% 0.316 0.482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 218 77.06% 32.54 0.0 19.72%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 164 85.37% 34.75 -3.222 25.0% -0.201 -0.0306
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1188 74.75% 36.21 -4.759 31.14% -0.116 -0.211
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 271 71.96% 26.51 0.998 26.57% 0.272 0.0316
Shifting Memory of Ages 928 75.16% 37.16 -0.311 32.22% 0.084 0.4623
Shroud of Silent Mist 723 84.09% 29.44 -2.658 20.89% -0.358 0.0126
Starlight Seeks its Form 2024 70.65% 40.53 3.134 42.44% 0.774 0.568
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 13432 50.02% 46.05 6.764 57.94% 1.775 1.0582
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1035 85.01% 33.41 -0.509 25.02% -0.117 0.0644
Thunderspeaker 1124 78.56% 31.49 -6.081 19.66% -1.075 -1.0614
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 139 57.55% 14.68 -2.623 8.63% -0.069 0.0363
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5434 91.94% 33.67 -1.159 30.07% -0.097 0.0431
Vital Strength of the Earth 379 82.06% 31.0 -4.99 17.15% -0.472 0.0699
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 332 50.9% 15.81 6.675 12.05% 0.822 1.1599
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 375 81.6% 30.83 -1.856 20.8% -0.675 0.0416
Volcano Looming High 2564 85.83% 31.94 -2.776 25.39% -0.658 -0.6906
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 379 74.34% 30.52 1.232 31.13% 0.568 0.1307

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 5.245 57.14% -0.544 -0.4924
Blitz 0 454 47.31% 42.36 1.816 40.09% -0.323 -0.1227
Dahan Insurrection 4 283 64.54% 43.2 2.772 18.37% 0.236 0.0249
Despicable Theft 2 29 89.66% 34.69 0.0 17.24%
Elemental Invocation 1 130 63.78% 34.0 -5.652 18.46% -0.228 0.8428
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2716 30.34% 48.28 4.831 43.67% 0.687 -0.0379
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 51.92% 44.41 -1.865 50.0% -0.118 0.7879
Rituals of Terror 3 172 26.9% 72.62 12.229 39.53% 0.17 0.2004
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 68.0% 38.2 -9.041 20.0% -0.019 1.1699
Second Wave 0 133 54.89% 41.45 0.027 38.35% -0.322 -0.2406
The Great River 3 46 63.04% 33.09 0.0 4.35%
Varied Terrains 2 35 54.29% 43.23 -2.851 40.0% -0.529 0.3722
Ward the Shores 2 41 87.8% 29.88 0.0 7.32%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 42440 74.04% 37.26 -0.072 37.22% -0.077 -0.0461
1 Thematic 1420 54.86% 35.04 -0.812 28.1% -0.014 0.4179
2 Archipelago 21 52.63% 30.86 -14.305 9.52% -0.563 -0.0698
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4090 81.49% 36.32 -0.253 35.04% -0.36 -0.4089
2 Coastline 772 71.39% 37.0 0.159 34.84% -0.692 -0.7922
2 Fragment 64 85.94% 37.41 8.808 32.81% 0.171 -0.242
2 Heart 120 83.33% 36.91 6.342 35.0% 0.285 0.195
2 Opposite Shores 1113 79.95% 32.61 3.274 23.27% 0.118 -0.062
2 Thematic 236 54.24% 45.91 5.458 22.46% -0.065 0.1218
2 Top to Top 201 76.12% 37.6 -1.815 38.81% -0.102 -0.3013
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 19.6 -14.108 0.0% -0.292 -1.4131
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 25.21 0.0 28.57%
3 Other 74 74.32% 39.09 5.569 43.24% 0.654 0.3202
3 Round (Default) 1649 75.2% 34.47 -1.287 32.57% -0.614 -0.8798
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 36.0 -7.473 33.33% -0.476 0.0349
3 Thematic 52 26.92% 71.56 46.142 34.62% 0.351 -0.0958
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 28.8 0.0 20.0%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 16.14 60.0% 0.774 0.0364
4 Thematic 171 24.56% 67.04 -22.211 67.84% -0.152 0.0517
4 Trapezoid (Default) 792 76.17% 33.42 -2.964 27.9% -0.954 -0.6134
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 -7.434 70.0% -0.099 -0.6266
5 Other 31 51.61% 47.19 0.925 61.29% 0.207 -0.5139
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 10 80.0% 31.2 -10.765 20.0% -0.021 0.4189
6 Star 8 62.5% 44.13 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 54 20.37% 48.59 -2.165 50.0% -0.337 -0.3122
6 Two Centers (Default) 148 22.97% 53.78 -0.428 52.03% 0.505 0.6025
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2856 35.96 3.301 31.51% 0.26 0.3984
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2235 40.63 6.147 39.73% 0.758 0.6985
All Things Weaken 3006 35.38 4.422 30.64% 0.576 0.9308
Attenuated Essence 370 28.61 4.723 24.59% 0.731 0.8422
Back Against the Wall 2083 39.72 7.128 38.02% 1.055 1.1311
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 358 29.25 3.337 25.14% 0.179 0.3898
Burn Brightest Before the End 276 31.25 4.697 23.55% 0.207 0.3279
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2725 33.59 2.048 29.83% 0.292 0.661
Downward Spiral 2962 35.19 2.314 31.36% 0.385 0.5819
Erosion of Will 2594 34.19 1.343 27.83% -0.093 0.1742
Intensifying Exploitation 379 28.58 2.555 23.75% 0.238 0.508
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 835 41.77 2.833 44.31% 0.567 0.0563
Memory Fades to Dust 3017 33.57 2.188 27.21% 0.205 0.517
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2840 33.83 1.241 28.45% -0.016 0.2785
Promising Farmlands 2747 33.0 0.251 26.76% -0.005 0.3308
Shattered Fragments of Power 255 30.8 4.271 23.92% 0.558 0.6672
Slow Dissolution of Will 379 28.56 1.552 22.43% -0.065 0.3351
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 528 45.13 3.97 52.65% 0.489 -0.1238
The Border of Life and Death 72 26.1 2.766 27.78% 0.389 0.0962
Thriving Communities 2932 33.83 3.325 28.62% 0.319 0.6522
Thriving Crops 140 27.24 -2.88 27.14% -0.4 -0.4863
Unnatural Proliferation 3141 36.74 3.564 32.09% 0.255 0.4024
Untended Land Crumbles 2773 32.87 2.33 26.14% 0.288 0.5949

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8437 74.8% 36.72 -0.123 35.82% -0.191 0.7136
B 9040 73.98% 36.42 -0.515 34.91% -0.351 0.4774
C 11068 74.46% 36.28 -1.539 35.07% -0.251 0.4295
D 7646 76.81% 36.23 0.09 35.08% -0.198 0.6555
E 8726 76.98% 36.16 0.193 34.54% -0.144 0.5572
F 7773 72.53% 38.12 0.099 37.66% -0.262 0.5196
G 6260 74.39% 36.95 0.116 36.34% -0.326 0.4452
H 6207 72.2% 37.89 -0.132 38.09% -0.101 0.6677
East 1028 46.89% 50.21 11.856 37.65% 0.8 1.6618
Northeast 468 38.25% 54.69 2.704 41.24% -0.421 0.3262
Northwest 609 37.93% 31.84 -5.07 25.29% -1.587 -0.7538
Southeast 385 40.78% 48.74 0.431 42.86% -0.295 0.4804
Southwest 365 45.21% 43.05 -6.257 40.82% -0.817 0.5023
West 1130 41.24% 40.1 10.786 32.74% 0.596 1.6023

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 38 0.0% 31.63 -24.096 39.47% -0.688 0.1427
Not Using Events or Tokens 154 75.97% 37.73 0.277 11.04% 0.328 0.7694
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1902 22.32% 63.17 10.71 75.45% 1.391 0.8293
Start of Game Growth 2862 25.18% 59.6 8.7 72.61% 0.963 0.4243
Unlimited Undo 5572 61.46% 47.45 1.72 58.08% 0.77 0.8109
Using Tokens but Not Events 2600 58.12% 38.73 -2.535 39.31% -0.704 -0.7269

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23326 16.23 2.7%
II 20084 30.54 46.94%
III 7999 34.77 90.52%
IV 2191 38.37 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.153 Win Model: -0.002
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44154 73.3% 37.31 37.05%
2 6432 79.61% 35.75 32.09%
3 1766 74.29% 35.11 32.79%
4 999 67.17% 39.11 36.04%
5 21 28.57% 37.43 42.86%
6 228 25.44% 50.47 50.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 606
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7125
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9215
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2107
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5027
Lose: Invader deck ran out 372
Lose: Adversary condition 15234
Win: Sacrifice victory 378
Lose: Scenario condition 1090
Win: Scenario condition 53
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11505
Lose: Spirit destroyed 888

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)