The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1680 25.19% 28.06 0.591 77.8% 0.15 0.0584
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 90 15.56% 22.02 -0.935 55.56% -0.131 -0.6359
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1096 43.32% 26.29 0.607 70.26% 0.17 0.3415
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 121 15.7% 32.02 8.316 76.03% 1.549 0.7521
Dances Up Earthquakes 30 40.0% 25.8 1.852 70.0% 0.546 0.3777
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1438 28.22% 28.55 -1.38 79.07% -0.234 -0.425
Downpour Drenches the World 511 25.64% 21.52 -2.847 54.6% -0.628 -0.2811
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 447 21.52% 26.34 2.907 68.23% 0.802 0.3309
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1752 18.54% 32.11 2.917 83.73% 0.894 0.5403
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1420 24.4% 30.38 2.737 82.96% 0.715 0.359
Finder of Paths Unseen 248 27.94% 16.0 -1.603 39.52% -0.238 0.5046
Fractured Days Split the Sky 733 34.38% 24.0 -8.224 57.03% -1.96 -1.5414
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 935 39.12% 26.29 0.37 67.17% 0.106 0.103
Heart of the Wildfire 1697 56.29% 24.23 0.787 68.71% 0.549 0.8715
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2231 25.44% 29.88 0.996 82.74% 0.364 -0.1236
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 129 12.4% 25.58 0.256 66.67% 0.013 -0.5035
Lightning's Swift Strike 910 43.19% 27.19 3.91 74.73% 0.32 0.5201
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 180 31.28% 27.48 2.558 72.22% 0.364 -0.0966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 480 32.14% 30.14 0.149 83.33% 0.359 0.0406
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 374 31.82% 27.15 -1.069 72.46% -0.016 0.0765
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1793 32.07% 28.53 0.005 77.52% -0.124 -0.2718
Many Minds Move as One 1289 22.2% 29.52 -0.4 80.06% -0.09 -0.2414
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1739 39.9% 27.33 0.252 72.4% 0.001 0.1112
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 31 35.48% 22.65 -0.128 54.84% -0.013 0.0991
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1330 29.77% 27.31 -0.884 77.22% -0.4 -0.4611
River Surges in Sunlight 1142 41.87% 27.99 -0.789 71.37% -0.283 -0.2585
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 48 33.33% 22.71 0.735 54.17% 0.334 0.5713
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 551 39.89% 27.28 0.036 64.07% -0.048 0.0925
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 203 33.83% 27.88 1.293 63.55% -0.025 -0.0336
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1247 28.31% 28.03 1.547 77.71% 0.415 0.2853
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 6 16.67% 17.67 -3.129 50.0% -0.321 -0.7936
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 561 53.12% 26.07 0.65 68.81% 0.175 0.6994
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 82 37.8% 22.76 -2.691 56.1% -0.319 -0.2892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 92 28.26% 25.0 3.848 64.13% 1.098 0.6887
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 26.83% 21.23 -4.715 53.66% -0.94 -0.9022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 365 32.6% 29.47 -1.699 82.19% -0.433 -0.5878
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 255 43.92% 26.14 0.164 70.2% 0.307 0.4091
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1206 29.53% 28.88 0.343 78.94% 0.417 0.3116
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 162 20.0% 21.98 0.588 58.64% -0.076 -0.2879
Shifting Memory of Ages 738 41.71% 21.83 -4.341 58.13% -0.761 -0.3711
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 64 23.44% 17.03 -4.052 42.19% -0.884 -0.9319
Shroud of Silent Mist 839 44.8% 24.07 -3.266 66.15% -0.539 -0.1145
Starlight Seeks its Form 933 25.72% 24.7 -1.634 64.95% -0.216 -0.2537
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2371 27.65% 26.87 -0.458 82.24% 0.229 -0.3116
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1133 39.26% 24.87 0.573 67.08% 0.449 0.5332
Thunderspeaker 1304 35.43% 27.83 -0.844 72.78% -0.109 -0.1191
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 149 30.2% 18.88 2.345 48.99% 0.607 0.9796
Towering Roots of the Jungle 151 19.87% 20.44 -1.73 56.95% -0.29 -0.1046
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1602 58.21% 22.98 -1.895 69.41% -0.095 -0.0468
Vital Strength of the Earth 840 35.32% 24.2 -2.551 66.19% -0.713 -0.26
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 23.21% 21.5 -2.752 55.62% -0.784 -0.3049
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 347 34.97% 22.01 0.291 62.82% -0.067 0.6438
Volcano Looming High 1167 39.16% 24.32 -1.348 68.29% -0.121 -0.0515
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 285 19.72% 28.28 1.878 70.88% 0.577 0.3112

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 33.33% 24.47 -4.721 63.33% -0.519 -1.0198
Blitz 0 353 26.42% 22.44 -6.371 61.19% -0.923 -0.547
Dahan Insurrection 4 412 26.94% 44.99 5.218 65.29% -0.171 -0.6508
Despicable Theft 2 178 30.9% 23.87 -0.87 47.75% -0.624 -0.088
Elemental Invocation 1 270 40.0% 21.71 -0.508 51.48% -0.49 0.2521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 991 8.78% 33.05 2.613 75.48% 0.472 -0.1912
Powers Long Forgotten 1 312 37.42% 22.28 -7.52 50.0% -1.529 -0.9558
Rituals of Terror 3 236 53.39% 29.58 -1.441 50.0% -0.654 -0.8086
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 214 53.74% 28.2 -2.666 52.34% -0.866 -0.0852
Second Wave 0 540 48.6% 30.39 1.858 67.96% 0.07 0.1616
The Great River 3 189 47.62% 21.98 -1.776 34.92% -0.837 0.3317
Varied Terrains 2 116 50.86% 21.95 -5.966 41.38% -1.453 -0.5585
Ward the Shores 2 333 39.04% 28.77 -4.118 55.86% -0.91 -0.0325

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17499 36.65% 26.98 0.715 74.32% 0.56 0.9639
1 Thematic 1852 38.01% 28.55 -1.981 62.63% -0.733 -0.0245
2 Archipelago 19 63.16% 33.53 5.321 57.89% 0.086 0.7497
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3584 36.88% 25.95 -0.677 73.52% -0.015 0.174
2 Coastline 409 35.7% 27.61 3.365 76.04% 0.748 0.5784
2 Fragment 81 49.38% 24.15 -4.721 65.43% -0.519 -0.5246
2 Heart 47 36.17% 28.15 -3.428 89.36% -0.06 -0.3393
2 Opposite Shores 465 32.68% 28.44 2.747 82.8% 1.284 1.4233
2 Thematic 540 34.26% 27.33 -0.022 57.59% -0.359 0.2762
2 Top to Top 79 43.04% 27.97 9.178 81.01% 0.688 0.6146
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 42.57 0.0 85.71%
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 34.65 2.709 76.92% 0.245 -0.5943
3 Other 67 32.84% 24.6 9.261 70.15% 0.682 -0.155
3 Round (Default) 1681 30.3% 27.85 2.718 78.47% 0.782 0.7725
3 Sunrise 9 55.56% 31.67 -5.56 88.89% -0.486 -0.7907
3 Thematic 96 42.71% 25.02 0.0 50.0%
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 15.67 -9.177 33.33% -0.361 -0.1653
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 35 17.14% 27.23 0.0 85.71%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 13.0 0.637 0.0% -0.103 -0.151
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 119 17.65% 34.79 -1.25 77.31% -0.267 -0.1947
4 Trapezoid (Default) 869 22.44% 23.4 -2.853 65.59% -0.997 -0.9643
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 57 12.28% 25.44 -9.667 77.19% -0.513 -0.7917
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 27.0 -6.38 54.55% -0.259 -0.5038
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 60.0% 20.2 -7.109 60.0% -0.55 -0.5655
6 Star 10 30.0% 29.2 0.0 90.0%
6 Thematic 51 26.0% 34.71 9.187 56.86% 0.34 0.3946
6 Two Centers (Default) 125 13.6% 24.44 0.859 68.0% 0.064 0.4673
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 12.25 -7.643 25.0% -0.263 -0.9725

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 597 22.81 4.973 60.8% 1.137 1.1917
Aid From Lesser Spirits 533 23.55 -0.849 60.41% -0.429 -0.5571
All Things Weaken 700 21.54 1.163 54.71% -0.172 -0.0039
Attenuated Essence 73 17.84 -4.88 45.21% -0.781 -0.7225
Back Against the Wall 562 25.23 1.23 64.41% -0.083 -0.1116
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 85 17.09 -0.137 41.18% -0.115 0.0451
Burn Brightest Before the End 71 23.48 -2.908 57.75% -0.923 -0.899
Disintegrating Ecosystem 603 20.99 1.252 56.55% 0.033 0.3243
Downward Spiral 788 22.02 -2.203 60.79% -0.5 -0.4194
Erosion of Will 675 23.05 -0.371 57.33% -0.363 -0.2092
Intensifying Exploitation 90 21.39 2.593 51.11% 0.275 0.4514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 346 26.62 2.449 79.19% 0.981 0.5191
Memory Fades to Dust 798 22.8 0.731 60.28% 0.249 0.4666
Power Corrodes the Spirit 728 22.8 1.929 63.19% 0.474 0.5728
Promising Farmlands 614 22.57 -1.611 58.96% -1.043 -0.7159
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 24.71 -0.202 54.29% -0.571 -0.5004
Slow Dissolution of Will 89 20.1 -3.31 39.33% -1.548 -1.0945
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 242 28.04 1.759 84.3% 0.45 -0.2259
The Border of Life and Death 39 23.33 6.387 58.97% 0.282 -0.1852
Thriving Communities 745 20.66 -0.312 55.97% -0.179 0.0305
Thriving Crops 36 26.28 -0.367 69.44% 0.205 0.0027
Unnatural Proliferation 704 22.33 3.549 52.41% 0.662 0.7528
Untended Land Crumbles 690 21.51 -0.078 55.51% -0.56 -0.3663

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5037 34.52% 26.27 -0.311 73.93% -0.577 0.3492
B 4904 34.62% 26.2 0.385 73.12% -0.297 0.5547
C 5144 32.22% 26.77 -0.5 74.55% -0.653 0.0414
D 4827 33.87% 26.39 -0.652 73.57% -0.73 0.1204
E 4701 33.78% 26.8 0.173 74.66% -0.295 0.3733
F 4559 33.49% 26.86 -0.095 74.71% -0.498 0.2785
G 4067 34.76% 26.33 -0.992 73.52% -0.703 0.0588
H 4034 33.12% 26.79 -1.277 73.87% -0.763 -0.0318
East 1592 34.88% 30.26 -0.078 64.2% -0.312 0.5199
Northeast 724 34.99% 30.71 -2.414 63.4% -0.592 0.1273
Northwest 622 35.75% 27.68 2.871 53.86% 0.311 1.1287
Southeast 581 31.55% 29.06 2.635 63.34% 0.304 1.1402
Southwest 582 31.5% 25.52 -3.877 59.45% -1.237 0.1845
West 1510 35.45% 26.91 1.495 57.35% -0.241 0.617

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 80 0.0% 29.24 -14.837 78.75% -0.577 0.1301
Not Using Events or Tokens 432 38.2% 26.13 -0.341 71.76% -0.044 0.4459
Skip Initial Invader Actions 624 7.49% 40.04 5.886 90.22% 0.392 -0.3443
Start of Game Growth 956 13.4% 37.35 2.535 86.3% 0.075 -0.3818
Unlimited Undo 1847 28.38% 28.29 3.682 77.37% 0.874 0.8466
Using Tokens but Not Events 2185 29.3% 27.38 0.587 74.19% 0.203 0.0466

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4427 14.21 11.97%
II 5693 30.29 59.69%
III 11262 34.84 89.23%
IV 6418 38.62 98.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.11 Win Model: 0.653
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19664 36.78% 27.0 72.57%
2 5029 36.46% 26.94 75.14%
3 1833 31.18% 28.03 77.69%
4 1018 21.91% 24.63 67.19%
5 51 11.76% 25.12 74.51%
6 205 19.12% 26.74 64.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 527
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9782
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3167
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6293
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2992
Lose: Invader deck ran out 162
Lose: Adversary condition 1879
Win: Sacrifice victory 104
Lose: Scenario condition 278
Win: Scenario condition 455
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2016
Lose: Spirit destroyed 145

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1204 32.67% 32.31 0.772 78.57% 0.535 0.4437
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 70 25.71% 29.16 0.153 72.86% 0.345 -0.1596
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 691 56.02% 29.29 -0.703 65.7% -0.36 -0.1886
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 81 38.27% 31.53 0.116 72.84% -0.159 -0.9564
Dances Up Earthquakes 17 52.94% 31.35 2.779 76.47% 0.561 0.3926
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1077 30.29% 32.47 2.293 78.46% 0.435 0.2445
Downpour Drenches the World 441 25.68% 23.54 0.357 54.65% 0.196 0.5425
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 480 21.71% 25.97 2.134 62.71% 0.546 0.0744
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1359 23.59% 36.85 1.802 85.58% 0.189 -0.1645
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1055 28.84% 34.83 5.02 82.46% 1.066 0.7104
Finder of Paths Unseen 218 45.87% 18.01 -2.606 38.99% -0.565 0.1771
Fractured Days Split the Sky 441 38.04% 27.69 -4.035 59.86% -0.981 -0.5623
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 692 40.9% 28.92 -0.709 67.49% -0.171 -0.1737
Heart of the Wildfire 1150 59.53% 28.32 -4.098 69.83% -0.974 -0.6511
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1626 37.68% 32.88 2.181 80.69% 0.403 -0.0848
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 110 30.0% 27.54 3.751 61.82% 0.429 -0.0881
Lightning's Swift Strike 660 45.83% 31.27 -1.509 75.0% -0.512 -0.3122
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 38.97% 27.13 1.445 59.56% 0.191 -0.2696
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 346 32.08% 34.41 -0.397 79.19% -0.138 -0.4564
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 282 38.65% 32.57 1.776 73.05% 0.454 0.5464
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1361 39.72% 32.02 0.323 76.56% -0.036 -0.1833
Many Minds Move as One 952 27.8% 33.82 1.731 81.51% 0.356 0.2049
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1250 43.73% 31.9 -0.837 74.96% 0.031 0.1412
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 31 48.39% 21.03 -1.825 48.39% -0.3 -0.1883
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1067 38.93% 31.03 1.005 73.95% -0.17 -0.2313
River Surges in Sunlight 903 42.03% 32.52 -1.52 70.43% -0.512 -0.4879
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 50 28.0% 21.96 -4.659 48.0% -1.03 -0.7918
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 410 50.62% 29.48 0.671 61.95% 0.02 0.1597
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 194 31.96% 28.97 -2.364 64.95% -0.093 -0.102
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 787 42.24% 30.7 -1.743 73.95% -0.262 -0.3917
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 4 0.0% 38.5 4.774 100.0% 0.586 0.1134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 367 62.4% 28.41 -4.77 64.31% -0.734 -0.2095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 40.38% 26.58 3.143 58.49% 0.615 0.6443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 66 36.92% 30.15 3.518 69.7% 0.65 0.241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 42.37% 23.92 0.593 57.63% -0.039 -0.001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 279 42.96% 29.47 2.357 69.18% 0.238 0.083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 194 58.55% 30.63 -4.812 67.01% -0.841 -0.7384
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 913 39.8% 33.34 0.018 80.18% 0.185 0.0795
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 158 30.13% 23.91 2.804 55.06% 0.719 0.5078
Shifting Memory of Ages 603 47.43% 26.07 -0.646 61.19% 0.073 0.4627
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 69 42.03% 26.19 0.939 57.97% 0.177 0.1293
Shroud of Silent Mist 625 58.49% 26.02 -0.693 62.4% 0.085 0.5089
Starlight Seeks its Form 858 29.95% 32.06 -1.812 76.22% -0.281 -0.3188
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1939 32.11% 31.59 0.388 82.67% 0.256 -0.2846
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 820 46.08% 27.77 -2.844 64.15% -0.596 -0.5122
Thunderspeaker 953 40.08% 32.96 2.053 74.29% 0.593 0.5827
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 92 30.43% 22.08 -2.414 51.09% -0.133 0.2397
Towering Roots of the Jungle 159 35.85% 23.19 -0.481 59.12% -0.01 0.1753
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1283 72.22% 25.71 -3.638 67.19% -0.588 -0.54
Vital Strength of the Earth 598 42.81% 27.21 -2.489 63.71% -0.156 0.297
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 113 20.35% 22.83 -6.125 45.13% -0.742 -0.2622
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 267 45.69% 25.01 -3.797 55.81% -0.782 -0.0715
Volcano Looming High 936 42.26% 29.27 0.016 72.22% 0.402 0.4711
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 208 20.19% 31.88 4.57 74.52% 1.052 0.7859

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 16.13% 24.94 -10.918 58.06% -1.175 -1.6764
Blitz 0 396 35.44% 22.59 -6.484 52.02% -1.52 -1.1442
Dahan Insurrection 4 337 26.11% 52.45 9.696 74.78% 0.251 -0.2283
Despicable Theft 2 120 39.17% 25.19 -3.795 47.5% -0.675 -0.139
Elemental Invocation 1 204 45.59% 21.18 -4.971 39.71% -0.803 -0.0609
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 622 11.51% 32.73 1.802 62.38% -0.257 -0.92
Powers Long Forgotten 1 234 51.28% 26.35 -1.236 49.57% -0.426 0.1471
Rituals of Terror 3 156 47.44% 39.15 0.834 60.9% -0.267 -0.4216
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 118 61.02% 35.35 -12.781 57.63% -0.693 0.0881
Second Wave 0 1201 47.37% 31.83 2.19 67.78% 0.401 0.4933
The Great River 3 119 42.86% 26.12 -8.752 37.82% -0.948 0.2203
Varied Terrains 2 94 36.17% 20.24 -6.792 40.43% -0.956 -0.0615
Ward the Shores 2 254 44.49% 29.66 4.97 50.79% 0.358 1.2351

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12472 39.77% 30.59 0.492 73.12% 0.282 0.6856
1 Thematic 1514 45.83% 30.81 -0.679 58.19% 0.09 0.7985
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 36.36 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2923 43.07% 29.03 -1.013 73.32% -0.04 0.1485
2 Coastline 348 45.53% 30.59 0.241 75.86% 0.161 -0.0092
2 Fragment 87 60.92% 27.32 1.948 70.11% 0.231 0.2256
2 Heart 57 50.88% 31.63 2.23 77.19% -0.234 -0.513
2 Opposite Shores 572 42.23% 28.56 -2.932 70.8% -0.797 -0.658
2 Thematic 611 41.31% 26.5 3.117 51.39% 0.677 1.3125
2 Top to Top 61 36.07% 27.98 0.0 72.13%
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 25 44.0% 33.08 0.0 72.0%
3 Other 60 41.67% 34.3 10.519 88.33% 0.698 -0.1389
3 Round (Default) 1313 35.91% 32.11 2.217 78.22% 0.517 0.5073
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 32.0 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 118 42.37% 31.54 -4.96 63.56% -0.161 -0.4003
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 47.0 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 26 61.54% 31.77 6.169 80.77% 0.775 0.1006
4 Thematic 106 30.48% 39.78 0.0 73.58%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 427 38.03% 30.34 -2.714 75.64% -0.98 -0.9472
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 26.53% 31.06 -17.312 77.55% -0.632 -0.9108
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 33.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 30 26.67% 39.23 -11.809 80.0% -0.678 -0.6233
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 25.42% 29.34 1.625 69.49% -0.034 0.369
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 541 26.37 -3.564 59.89% -1.11 -1.0554
Aid From Lesser Spirits 447 27.07 2.647 61.07% 0.432 0.3041
All Things Weaken 615 26.03 3.143 57.07% 0.631 0.7991
Attenuated Essence 74 22.89 -0.318 55.41% 0.024 0.0823
Back Against the Wall 447 28.31 4.124 63.98% 0.7 0.6708
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 72 22.74 1.404 45.83% 0.075 0.2352
Burn Brightest Before the End 68 24.57 -0.389 48.53% -0.527 -0.5026
Disintegrating Ecosystem 554 24.05 -0.73 54.69% -0.117 0.1744
Downward Spiral 688 25.0 -0.945 59.16% -0.059 0.022
Erosion of Will 485 25.88 0.759 60.21% 0.048 0.2018
Intensifying Exploitation 88 23.76 2.096 52.27% 0.018 0.1943
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 325 31.72 2.801 79.38% 0.192 -0.2703
Memory Fades to Dust 642 24.79 -0.545 57.63% -0.229 -0.0121
Power Corrodes the Spirit 603 25.94 -2.2 59.7% -0.685 -0.5864
Promising Farmlands 521 23.72 -2.462 52.59% -0.621 -0.2943
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 21.85 4.713 44.78% 0.346 0.4159
Slow Dissolution of Will 74 24.85 -0.447 52.7% -0.296 0.1569
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 208 31.66 9.222 82.21% 1.097 0.4206
The Border of Life and Death 35 28.37 1.764 71.43% 0.597 0.1297
Thriving Communities 650 23.21 -2.809 52.92% -0.513 -0.3036
Thriving Crops 40 21.73 -0.971 50.0% -0.204 -0.4066
Unnatural Proliferation 632 26.2 0.905 57.12% -0.27 -0.1786
Untended Land Crumbles 599 25.17 -2.659 57.93% -1.17 -0.9757

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3539 40.82% 30.33 0.391 74.6% 0.05 0.9761
B 3723 38.98% 30.49 -0.4 73.97% -0.145 0.7058
C 3936 38.41% 30.51 -0.898 74.9% -0.314 0.3809
D 3482 40.52% 30.59 0.348 74.15% -0.094 0.7564
E 3477 40.12% 30.83 0.705 75.06% 0.036 0.7045
F 3341 39.05% 30.08 0.192 73.54% -0.049 0.7275
G 2956 42.71% 29.73 -1.218 71.68% -0.331 0.4301
H 2985 40.56% 30.67 0.88 74.81% 0.101 0.8316
East 1492 42.09% 31.38 1.509 58.78% -0.27 0.5619
Northeast 711 39.15% 30.04 1.434 55.84% -0.131 0.5883
Northwest 637 40.06% 30.05 0.533 57.61% -0.362 0.4556
Southeast 511 44.09% 32.58 -3.0 64.77% -0.79 0.0467
Southwest 499 43.66% 26.12 -5.518 55.31% -1.058 0.3634
West 1428 43.43% 28.72 -1.585 55.81% -0.492 0.3664

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 34.26 -0.488 82.43% 0.234 0.9409
Not Using Events or Tokens 209 45.05% 25.74 -6.18 56.46% -0.624 -0.1348
Skip Initial Invader Actions 366 9.78% 44.72 4.346 89.62% 0.464 -0.2721
Start of Game Growth 535 12.55% 42.45 1.936 86.92% -0.074 -0.5316
Unlimited Undo 1583 33.88% 30.37 -2.298 73.97% -0.527 -0.5547
Using Tokens but Not Events 1745 28.84% 31.85 3.457 74.21% 0.827 0.6714

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3463 14.21 12.01%
II 7390 30.29 70.32%
III 7245 34.84 91.08%
IV 2830 38.62 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.007 Win Model: 0.222
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14230 40.48% 30.39 70.75%
2 4507 43.23% 29.47 72.66%
3 1486 37.05% 31.93 77.05%
4 568 36.4% 32.9 77.11%
5 39 35.9% 28.0 71.79%
6 98 25.51% 32.88 73.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 411
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6445
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4901
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2797
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2150
Lose: Invader deck ran out 100
Lose: Adversary condition 1668
Win: Sacrifice victory 91
Lose: Scenario condition 208
Win: Scenario condition 381
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1665
Lose: Spirit destroyed 111

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1386 40.25% 37.49 0.71 72.37% 0.447 0.3552
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 42.17% 35.18 1.577 69.88% 0.309 -0.1957
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 771 70.0% 29.65 -5.948 49.55% -1.013 -0.8414
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 125 44.8% 35.62 3.756 68.0% 0.483 -0.3142
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 66.67% 32.41 1.875 62.96% 0.366 0.1981
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1186 46.74% 37.04 0.078 73.02% 0.039 -0.152
Downpour Drenches the World 407 38.77% 30.89 0.827 58.72% 0.164 0.5108
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 634 42.27% 31.35 3.567 61.04% 0.796 0.3247
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1496 38.67% 40.49 3.997 78.41% 0.728 0.3749
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1203 49.54% 36.54 0.844 70.32% 0.215 -0.1408
Finder of Paths Unseen 211 55.45% 22.36 -8.409 39.34% -1.327 -0.585
Fractured Days Split the Sky 582 51.3% 31.35 -2.62 51.03% -0.439 -0.0211
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 689 60.26% 32.55 -0.987 61.1% -0.271 -0.2737
Heart of the Wildfire 1682 73.53% 30.7 -1.057 56.42% 0.033 0.3561
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2161 48.77% 36.84 -0.227 69.64% -0.074 -0.562
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 163 40.49% 31.16 -1.268 57.67% -0.317 -0.8338
Lightning's Swift Strike 744 60.68% 36.1 2.474 68.15% 0.649 0.8492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 181 59.12% 31.46 -7.379 60.22% -0.613 -1.0728
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 339 58.28% 36.64 -2.161 68.73% -0.346 -0.6641
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 316 54.29% 33.78 2.715 60.13% 0.704 0.7965
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1779 58.77% 33.73 -1.297 62.84% -0.241 -0.3885
Many Minds Move as One 1007 37.65% 38.43 2.931 76.86% 0.676 0.525
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1628 55.32% 35.42 -0.318 65.54% 0.06 0.1704
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 39 79.49% 36.26 3.528 74.36% 1.034 1.1454
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1259 51.64% 35.05 -1.108 66.96% -0.33 -0.3907
River Surges in Sunlight 1184 54.25% 38.26 3.724 66.81% 0.55 0.5745
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 53.45% 26.84 -2.044 41.38% -0.425 -0.1874
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 426 57.92% 32.45 1.16 53.05% -0.104 0.0359
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 250 47.18% 32.77 -3.815 56.4% -0.709 -0.7181
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1264 54.47% 34.94 0.819 65.9% 0.017 -0.1124
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 12 16.67% 47.08 5.568 91.67% 0.898 0.4257
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 340 75.0% 31.02 -2.647 52.65% -0.214 0.3102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 58.33% 23.25 -6.893 38.33% -0.812 -0.7823
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 55.88% 32.82 -3.251 59.8% 0.111 -0.2981
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 67 56.72% 21.67 -2.028 35.82% -0.06 -0.0216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 241 68.88% 30.27 -2.353 53.53% -0.55 -0.7046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 64.2% 27.22 2.608 43.21% 0.204 0.3061
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1119 47.62% 36.86 -2.96 70.69% -0.267 -0.372
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 155 41.56% 29.35 5.136 56.77% 0.98 0.7683
Shifting Memory of Ages 657 64.73% 29.26 -2.563 54.19% -0.411 -0.0214
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 62 48.39% 27.71 -2.994 54.84% 0.062 0.0145
Shroud of Silent Mist 689 73.15% 26.09 -4.892 43.69% -0.798 -0.3741
Starlight Seeks its Form 852 52.43% 31.5 -2.157 57.86% -0.141 -0.1785
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2855 38.63% 37.57 6.796 79.79% 1.84 1.299
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 840 60.05% 32.36 -0.265 59.29% 0.033 0.1166
Thunderspeaker 998 53.66% 34.6 -7.293 62.02% -1.133 -1.1436
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 98 34.69% 26.27 1.23 42.86% -0.271 0.1009
Towering Roots of the Jungle 171 54.12% 27.98 -0.546 50.88% -0.043 0.1421
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1676 82.21% 29.34 -0.817 56.68% 0.129 0.1769
Vital Strength of the Earth 557 57.01% 30.48 -6.247 53.86% -0.807 -0.3541
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 135 43.7% 25.91 2.151 43.7% 0.166 0.6458
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 302 50.99% 26.35 -5.28 46.36% -0.775 -0.0642
Volcano Looming High 1203 64.64% 31.41 0.322 61.01% 0.348 0.4167
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 294 45.05% 31.22 0.194 60.88% 0.235 -0.0308

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 25.0% 25.04 -15.469 46.43% -0.401 -0.902
Blitz 0 396 46.7% 31.07 -2.159 53.03% 0.02 0.3963
Dahan Insurrection 4 256 40.23% 54.07 10.061 67.97% 0.274 -0.2054
Despicable Theft 2 81 54.32% 26.64 -5.867 38.27% -0.51 0.026
Elemental Invocation 1 133 59.4% 24.77 -7.393 38.35% -0.749 -0.0067
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 996 13.15% 42.42 4.479 70.58% 0.143 -0.5195
Powers Long Forgotten 1 143 60.14% 32.3 -9.15 48.25% -0.622 -0.0485
Rituals of Terror 3 75 62.67% 37.4 0.0 49.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 68.42% 35.91 -6.624 45.61% -0.892 -0.1108
Second Wave 0 771 56.66% 34.57 -4.976 56.55% -1.421 -1.3291
The Great River 3 56 17.86% 22.77 -8.906 14.29% -0.331 0.8373
Varied Terrains 2 56 57.14% 15.41 -8.931 10.71% -0.723 0.1717
Ward the Shores 2 155 60.65% 31.35 2.415 40.0% 0.117 0.9945

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15152 53.97% 33.67 -0.343 64.05% -0.448 -0.0448
1 Thematic 1075 53.64% 34.56 -1.894 52.0% -0.702 0.0065
2 Archipelago 24 70.83% 30.88 11.219 37.5% 0.355 1.0195
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3577 55.97% 32.81 0.022 63.54% -0.156 0.0325
2 Coastline 415 51.57% 36.25 4.632 71.33% 0.383 0.2134
2 Fragment 100 61.62% 32.07 1.522 58.0% -0.141 -0.1466
2 Heart 60 57.63% 30.68 2.107 58.33% 0.703 0.4236
2 Opposite Shores 797 55.3% 33.24 -1.157 63.24% -0.25 -0.1107
2 Thematic 449 56.79% 31.16 1.934 46.99% 0.03 0.6646
2 Top to Top 116 46.49% 36.84 5.903 72.41% 0.486 0.4123
3 Archipelago 14 64.29% 26.93 0.0 28.57%
3 Coastline 19 22.22% 34.05 -8.906 57.89% -0.331 -1.1704
3 Other 79 58.23% 34.01 9.86 67.09% 0.406 -0.4313
3 Round (Default) 1573 56.0% 34.05 1.184 65.54% 0.346 0.3362
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 73 61.64% 37.9 13.011 64.38% 0.824 0.5848
4 Archipelago 10 90.0% 34.2 0.0 40.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 65 61.54% 30.95 -20.717 58.46% -0.82 -1.4941
4 Thematic 176 45.45% 43.89 -14.847 73.86% -0.753 -0.6808
4 Trapezoid (Default) 617 50.73% 38.18 -2.306 75.53% -0.587 -0.5534
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 52 50.98% 34.5 0.0 71.15%
5 Thematic 10 20.0% 40.3 3.197 80.0% 0.27 0.0251
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 8 25.0% 43.75 11.985 62.5% 0.564 0.5481
6 Star 11 63.64% 40.0 5.198 63.64% 0.228 0.8464
6 Thematic 43 40.48% 39.0 -1.279 60.47% -0.109 -0.0547
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 27.59% 27.0 -7.91 50.0% -0.506 -0.1026
7 Other 3 33.33% 18.33 3.484 33.33% 0.07 -0.6389

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 911 30.99 1.677 53.13% 0.256 0.311
Aid From Lesser Spirits 709 34.3 4.81 61.07% 0.531 0.4029
All Things Weaken 1020 30.54 2.249 54.02% 0.282 0.4499
Attenuated Essence 131 26.23 -3.287 43.51% -0.566 -0.5079
Back Against the Wall 716 32.67 3.827 57.82% 0.683 0.6547
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 177 27.15 0.064 46.89% 0.193 0.3526
Burn Brightest Before the End 115 31.23 0.693 54.78% 0.131 0.1555
Disintegrating Ecosystem 835 28.59 2.16 53.29% 0.553 0.8439
Downward Spiral 1020 29.32 1.649 52.65% 0.136 0.2173
Erosion of Will 867 29.46 -0.197 50.63% -0.042 0.1118
Intensifying Exploitation 125 24.62 -2.112 44.0% -0.65 -0.4736
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 420 36.49 4.896 72.38% 0.881 0.4194
Memory Fades to Dust 973 30.51 2.19 55.91% 0.343 0.5598
Power Corrodes the Spirit 911 30.44 5.34 54.88% 1.138 1.237
Promising Farmlands 795 28.0 -3.306 49.69% -0.931 -0.6041
Shattered Fragments of Power 111 28.99 -1.558 47.75% -0.344 -0.2736
Slow Dissolution of Will 124 26.18 -3.406 40.32% -0.492 -0.039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 272 37.62 3.023 75.74% 0.715 0.0384
The Border of Life and Death 46 26.8 3.056 45.65% 0.505 0.037
Thriving Communities 983 27.38 -2.465 47.2% -0.573 -0.3633
Thriving Crops 60 27.62 -0.925 53.33% -0.079 -0.2821
Unnatural Proliferation 993 31.49 2.782 55.09% 0.281 0.3727
Untended Land Crumbles 984 29.08 1.231 51.63% 0.184 0.3782

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4538 55.24% 33.11 -0.254 63.22% 0.046 0.9722
B 4645 55.52% 33.56 1.132 63.98% 0.236 1.0868
C 5213 51.52% 34.78 2.245 67.83% 0.555 1.25
D 4261 56.71% 32.99 -1.862 63.06% -0.407 0.4436
E 4369 53.69% 34.11 1.234 65.44% 0.213 0.882
F 4066 54.34% 34.04 -2.606 65.13% -0.507 0.2701
G 3510 55.04% 33.77 -1.257 64.36% -0.085 0.6768
H 3445 51.77% 34.24 0.908 65.28% 0.102 0.8329
East 1172 53.04% 35.93 3.699 55.38% 0.479 1.3114
Northeast 584 51.29% 34.19 -2.231 50.68% -0.452 0.2669
Northwest 547 49.26% 34.65 0.965 53.56% 0.481 1.2987
Southeast 399 53.15% 38.44 -1.648 63.41% -0.332 0.5046
Southwest 376 50.0% 34.27 -1.438 56.65% -0.409 1.0129
West 1124 51.7% 35.09 0.385 54.63% -0.251 0.6071

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 89 0.0% 35.79 -4.256 67.42% -0.524 0.1832
Not Using Events or Tokens 81 47.3% 33.3 -16.752 61.73% -0.359 0.1303
Skip Initial Invader Actions 370 18.03% 51.56 7.737 84.59% 0.627 -0.1091
Start of Game Growth 602 24.02% 47.26 8.621 80.23% 0.87 0.413
Unlimited Undo 2038 44.68% 34.67 2.746 65.11% 0.191 0.1633
Using Tokens but Not Events 1983 46.34% 33.89 0.29 64.25% 0.258 0.1017

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5540 14.21 7.26%
II 10550 30.29 66.98%
III 5969 34.84 94.57%
IV 2545 38.62 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.149 Win Model: -0.215
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16370 53.85% 33.69 63.1%
2 5462 55.92% 33.23 63.18%
3 1747 55.92% 34.05 65.25%
4 855 50.88% 38.96 74.04%
5 48 46.81% 29.83 60.42%
6 122 33.88% 33.36 55.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 400
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5578
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6834
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2510
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2419
Lose: Invader deck ran out 73
Lose: Adversary condition 3338
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 264
Win: Scenario condition 235
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2662
Lose: Spirit destroyed 198

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1561 50.64% 37.04 1.246 63.55% 0.313 0.2209
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 101 55.45% 37.16 6.416 59.41% 1.072 0.567
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 813 75.71% 30.33 0.309 44.77% 0.111 0.2823
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 172 55.81% 37.68 3.652 65.7% 0.486 -0.3107
Dances Up Earthquakes 31 61.29% 30.87 0.227 51.61% -0.016 -0.1839
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1241 60.53% 35.59 1.446 62.21% 0.537 0.3457
Downpour Drenches the World 591 52.28% 27.64 -2.392 42.13% -0.53 -0.1832
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 805 49.19% 32.84 5.106 56.65% 0.935 0.4642
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1751 46.71% 39.65 1.924 70.19% 0.33 -0.0235
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1232 55.61% 37.15 -0.255 62.58% 0.15 -0.2062
Finder of Paths Unseen 260 59.62% 23.07 -5.754 31.92% -0.983 -0.2409
Fractured Days Split the Sky 638 52.04% 30.05 -1.264 44.51% -0.02 0.3979
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 815 66.13% 33.03 -0.035 55.34% -0.049 -0.052
Heart of the Wildfire 1577 76.64% 31.02 -0.955 49.84% -0.013 0.3104
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2874 54.41% 36.55 2.847 58.91% 0.479 -0.0083
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 182 48.35% 31.92 -1.981 53.85% -0.306 -0.823
Lightning's Swift Strike 903 71.25% 33.23 -2.997 50.72% -0.436 -0.2361
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 280 66.07% 38.51 4.908 65.71% 0.89 0.4299
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 380 60.48% 36.88 1.581 62.63% 0.112 -0.2069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 359 57.66% 36.25 -2.907 59.05% -0.67 -0.5772
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2051 68.92% 32.43 2.96 52.51% 0.424 0.2762
Many Minds Move as One 1087 47.37% 40.36 -0.4 72.68% 0.127 -0.0245
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2086 57.45% 37.63 1.643 60.79% 0.096 0.2066
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 43 67.44% 29.67 0.815 51.16% 0.283 0.3944
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1315 61.02% 34.84 1.745 58.94% 0.07 0.0092
River Surges in Sunlight 1481 58.87% 40.24 2.058 64.75% 0.127 0.1516
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 49 59.18% 28.57 0.123 51.02% 0.047 0.285
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 482 65.42% 30.82 -3.316 44.81% -0.836 -0.6955
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 361 49.58% 36.93 3.86 52.91% 0.294 0.2853
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1302 59.05% 34.19 1.082 56.91% 0.211 0.0811
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 9 88.89% 44.0 6.017 77.78% 0.748 0.2757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 261 75.86% 29.15 -0.197 36.78% -0.114 0.4102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 65.91% 22.64 6.39 34.09% 0.48 0.5097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 137 65.69% 28.71 -2.666 47.45% -0.471 -0.88
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 74 71.62% 31.07 1.547 43.24% 0.49 0.5287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 210 75.71% 30.7 1.06 47.62% -0.037 -0.1913
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 146 75.17% 25.87 -6.112 32.19% -0.747 -0.6445
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1166 55.8% 37.41 0.858 64.15% 0.194 0.0892
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 252 51.0% 29.02 -4.514 47.62% -0.202 -0.4137
Shifting Memory of Ages 605 68.82% 28.4 3.131 45.45% 0.657 1.0467
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 92 58.7% 33.63 0.187 58.7% 0.138 0.0897
Shroud of Silent Mist 751 74.5% 24.44 -5.651 34.49% -0.899 -0.4748
Starlight Seeks its Form 1131 52.97% 32.17 0.215 52.87% 0.176 0.1384
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3511 50.01% 36.12 2.061 67.93% 0.684 0.1433
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 833 67.51% 32.56 0.548 48.86% 0.033 0.1172
Thunderspeaker 1078 63.35% 35.21 -0.231 56.03% -0.25 -0.2607
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 53.54% 26.44 -6.302 44.44% -1.152 -0.7792
Towering Roots of the Jungle 222 57.66% 24.85 -2.773 40.09% -0.633 -0.4475
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2002 85.89% 28.98 -2.754 47.15% -0.101 -0.0529
Vital Strength of the Earth 583 67.41% 26.24 -7.033 31.56% -1.247 -0.7934
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 180 51.4% 28.11 2.066 39.44% -0.379 0.1004
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 252 64.29% 28.98 -2.137 44.05% -0.163 0.5472
Volcano Looming High 1469 70.93% 32.36 1.406 55.41% 0.335 0.4038
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 357 56.58% 28.7 -1.291 47.9% -0.392 -0.6578

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 35.71% 44.07 -4.767 57.14% -0.467 -0.9676
Blitz 0 420 31.43% 42.43 -4.863 46.9% -0.484 -0.1081
Dahan Insurrection 4 220 45.0% 57.22 3.16 63.64% 0.037 -0.4429
Despicable Theft 2 25 48.0% 26.88 0.84 36.0% 0.022 0.5578
Elemental Invocation 1 159 62.26% 27.02 -6.734 30.19% -0.549 0.1935
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 960 18.17% 43.71 1.767 65.0% -0.245 -0.9079
Powers Long Forgotten 1 142 58.45% 26.42 -8.559 33.1% -1.082 -0.5084
Rituals of Terror 3 65 64.62% 39.37 16.176 43.08% 0.31 0.1563
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 63.93% 26.51 -8.499 26.23% -0.143 0.6386
Second Wave 0 440 55.4% 36.18 4.458 53.64% 0.716 0.8083
The Great River 3 63 28.57% 32.6 -13.207 30.16% -0.49 0.6786
Varied Terrains 2 30 30.0% 20.47 -11.179 16.67% -0.943 -0.0481
Ward the Shores 2 98 59.18% 26.05 -3.911 22.45% -0.317 0.5603

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17663 61.4% 33.62 0.72 56.58% 0.685 1.0889
1 Thematic 1089 59.78% 33.97 -2.928 44.17% -0.209 0.4993
2 Archipelago 31 77.42% 41.94 0.0 64.52%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4101 64.02% 33.34 -0.605 56.89% 0.31 0.4988
2 Coastline 468 61.16% 37.69 -2.706 66.45% -0.083 -0.2532
2 Fragment 92 66.67% 31.59 0.0 52.17%
2 Heart 52 71.43% 35.87 0.336 63.46% 0.355 0.0752
2 Opposite Shores 927 60.09% 34.1 -2.482 53.07% -0.129 0.0099
2 Thematic 367 65.21% 30.78 -4.147 35.69% -1.348 -0.7129
2 Top to Top 145 53.79% 36.88 2.848 64.83% 0.569 0.4959
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 32.71 -6.379 57.14% -0.44 -1.1593
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 31.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 76 55.26% 38.41 6.785 73.68% 0.633 -0.204
3 Round (Default) 1991 59.43% 32.77 1.206 53.34% 0.385 0.3751
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 80 63.75% 36.01 4.603 45.0% 0.038 -0.2012
4 Archipelago 14 64.29% 59.0 0.0 78.57%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 14 85.71% 37.79 0.0 64.29%
4 Other 44 58.14% 34.32 -11.716 63.64% -0.652 -1.3265
4 Thematic 142 52.11% 42.39 8.265 54.93% 0.378 0.4498
4 Trapezoid (Default) 795 54.04% 36.51 0.766 61.64% -0.247 -0.2138
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 61 50.0% 38.26 1.108 67.21% -0.633 -0.9122
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 14 46.15% 41.36 9.537 57.14% 0.19 0.1739
6 Star 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 81.82%
6 Thematic 15 40.0% 45.67 0.0 80.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 39.02% 33.27 4.801 60.98% 0.178 0.5817

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1100 31.0 1.547 47.36% 0.053 0.1072
Aid From Lesser Spirits 966 34.37 1.011 55.28% -0.255 -0.3831
All Things Weaken 1266 30.63 -1.246 46.37% -0.794 -0.6257
Attenuated Essence 211 32.35 0.638 51.18% -0.048 0.0099
Back Against the Wall 877 32.97 5.138 51.08% 0.354 0.3251
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 228 26.89 1.067 39.47% 0.113 0.2734
Burn Brightest Before the End 150 28.51 1.624 40.0% 0.04 0.0644
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1068 28.61 -1.762 45.04% -0.331 -0.04
Downward Spiral 1328 30.67 0.736 50.23% -0.114 -0.0332
Erosion of Will 1155 29.83 4.404 44.68% 0.637 0.7908
Intensifying Exploitation 202 24.88 -1.941 33.17% -0.812 -0.6356
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 549 35.99 -4.046 61.57% -0.912 -1.3737
Memory Fades to Dust 1246 30.51 -2.755 47.11% -0.585 -0.3681
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1303 29.63 0.015 45.66% -0.31 -0.2112
Promising Farmlands 1093 29.45 -2.853 45.2% -0.847 -0.5195
Shattered Fragments of Power 148 30.97 -2.379 42.57% -0.731 -0.6609
Slow Dissolution of Will 213 26.65 1.364 36.62% -0.175 0.2783
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 340 38.93 -0.071 72.06% -0.08 -0.7558
The Border of Life and Death 56 34.41 3.519 55.36% 0.028 -0.4392
Thriving Communities 1149 28.08 -1.937 41.08% -0.362 -0.1532
Thriving Crops 92 26.62 -0.991 44.57% -0.517 -0.7201
Unnatural Proliferation 1272 30.84 5.439 44.97% 0.975 1.066
Untended Land Crumbles 1273 29.57 -0.881 45.33% -0.456 -0.2623

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5420 60.3% 33.83 -1.169 56.53% -0.35 0.5759
B 5445 59.59% 33.65 0.281 56.66% 0.059 0.9104
C 6037 61.06% 33.6 0.119 55.59% -0.06 0.6349
D 5016 61.0% 33.73 1.056 56.9% 0.111 0.9616
E 5055 62.37% 34.32 1.543 57.76% 0.174 0.8425
F 4651 60.17% 34.07 0.432 57.58% -0.065 0.7118
G 4088 60.67% 34.25 0.833 57.66% 0.069 0.831
H 4115 60.98% 34.53 0.348 58.37% -0.031 0.7
East 1127 60.18% 35.63 -2.024 45.52% -0.364 0.4679
Northeast 481 60.62% 36.52 -1.939 43.87% -0.34 0.3794
Northwest 420 60.14% 34.88 0.568 41.67% 0.056 0.8739
Southeast 387 56.85% 33.87 -3.893 45.22% -0.454 0.3829
Southwest 349 58.17% 29.37 0.091 38.97% 0.284 1.7058
West 969 59.88% 32.92 -2.904 40.97% -0.461 0.397

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 60 0.0% 38.47 -0.727 66.67% -0.181 0.5258
Not Using Events or Tokens 104 63.46% 36.03 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 721 13.15% 55.98 14.797 76.42% 1.097 0.3606
Start of Game Growth 982 17.18% 52.16 6.262 75.87% 0.571 0.1134
Unlimited Undo 2377 50.41% 36.49 0.296 59.91% -0.091 -0.1185
Using Tokens but Not Events 1877 50.91% 34.22 0.137 57.91% 0.178 0.0216

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7333 14.21 3.79%
II 11441 30.29 58.51%
III 7641 34.84 91.61%
IV 1862 38.62 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.473 Win Model: 0.385
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18888 61.22% 33.59 55.71%
2 6113 63.46% 33.94 56.55%
3 2147 59.64% 33.22 53.89%
4 996 54.03% 37.32 60.84%
5 50 51.02% 33.74 56.0%
6 83 42.68% 39.1 68.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6917
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6527
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1843
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2745
Lose: Invader deck ran out 210
Lose: Adversary condition 5405
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 280
Win: Scenario condition 161
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3553
Lose: Spirit destroyed 257

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 882 67.61% 39.26 5.393 55.1% 0.732 0.6406
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 69 60.87% 41.17 0.428 59.42% -0.495 -0.9995
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 437 87.19% 31.11 0.455 34.1% -0.172 -0.0012
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 105 70.48% 28.71 4.281 36.19% 0.509 -0.2877
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 77.78% 26.37 0.813 18.52% -0.326 -0.4945
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 701 85.59% 31.56 -2.808 36.95% -0.916 -1.1072
Downpour Drenches the World 341 61.29% 27.79 -0.879 34.31% -0.219 0.1277
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 428 72.9% 31.87 4.979 44.39% 0.7 0.2286
Eyes Watch From the Trees 922 68.77% 41.08 2.472 56.07% 0.206 -0.1477
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 862 73.29% 39.14 2.0 51.86% 0.546 0.1903
Finder of Paths Unseen 188 60.64% 26.29 -3.004 34.04% -0.928 -0.1857
Fractured Days Split the Sky 420 67.62% 36.68 9.9 43.1% 1.161 1.5789
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 436 80.05% 30.16 -4.341 36.7% -0.56 -0.5631
Heart of the Wildfire 1991 81.66% 34.12 -2.472 43.65% -0.576 -0.2529
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1570 72.01% 37.06 1.409 47.45% 0.212 -0.2753
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 93 66.67% 25.69 -4.689 29.03% -1.136 -1.6525
Lightning's Swift Strike 307 89.51% 30.23 -8.817 32.25% -0.195 0.0049
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 262 70.0% 43.27 7.617 54.58% 0.597 0.1373
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 230 90.43% 38.53 6.644 50.0% 0.761 0.4421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 121 78.51% 34.73 -3.131 44.63% -0.118 -0.0251
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1573 74.9% 36.76 -1.939 47.93% -0.331 -0.4785
Many Minds Move as One 635 58.27% 43.2 6.856 64.09% 1.133 0.9815
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 813 76.98% 30.99 -5.49 34.44% -0.808 -0.6976
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 43 72.09% 19.65 -2.684 20.93% -0.395 -0.2831
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 765 81.91% 34.94 -1.6 45.23% 0.056 -0.0049
River Surges in Sunlight 824 78.4% 39.36 3.122 48.54% 0.545 0.5688
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 26 73.08% 30.65 17.295 38.46% 0.945 1.1832
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 214 79.91% 28.71 -0.929 27.1% -0.514 -0.3737
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 171 61.99% 40.5 0.843 54.39% -0.09 -0.0986
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 730 75.07% 38.51 -3.04 52.88% -0.176 -0.306
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 5 0.0% 44.0 9.188 60.0% 0.678 0.2053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 182 76.37% 26.08 0.125 23.63% -0.148 0.3768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 71.43% 34.61 -13.971 42.86% -0.345 -0.3156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 131 73.28% 37.7 2.006 51.91% 0.017 -0.3922
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 70.59% 33.09 0.0 47.06%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 140 86.43% 36.86 0.0 46.43%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 86.55% 34.38 5.811 42.86% 0.181 0.2833
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 520 71.35% 37.74 -3.498 48.08% -0.646 -0.7507
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 54.55% 40.43 17.963 54.55% 0.448 0.2369
Shifting Memory of Ages 467 81.76% 31.9 1.249 39.83% 0.127 0.5172
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 75 77.33% 31.91 0.097 41.33% 0.057 0.0091
Shroud of Silent Mist 386 83.68% 30.88 -1.997 38.34% -0.009 0.4153
Starlight Seeks its Form 833 72.87% 36.85 -3.43 51.26% -0.267 -0.3046
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3037 57.5% 41.1 4.093 64.54% 1.052 0.5114
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 596 79.16% 33.72 -1.68 39.93% -0.288 -0.2039
Thunderspeaker 547 82.42% 35.65 -1.911 42.96% -0.198 -0.2087
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 71.43% 21.29 -10.407 23.81% -0.179 0.1935
Towering Roots of the Jungle 213 60.56% 25.56 -1.01 33.33% -0.052 0.1331
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2190 90.91% 32.97 1.016 41.92% 0.223 0.2713
Vital Strength of the Earth 257 81.32% 27.52 -8.206 22.57% -0.558 -0.1051
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 69.16% 30.83 -4.721 33.94% -0.475 0.0046
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 146 81.51% 29.06 -5.094 28.77% -0.182 0.5284
Volcano Looming High 1076 84.85% 31.2 0.245 38.85% 0.014 0.0831
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 264 69.32% 32.95 4.523 48.48% 0.705 0.4397

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 21.44 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 106 60.38% 33.85 0.0 43.4%
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 63.93% 51.08 30.546 40.98% 0.599 0.1198
Despicable Theft 2 40 60.0% 23.55 6.335 20.0% 0.185 0.7205
Elemental Invocation 1 60 60.0% 26.95 0.0 21.67%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 640 26.25% 49.05 10.478 60.31% 1.098 0.4355
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 70.97% 28.16 -8.749 27.42% -0.191 0.3825
Rituals of Terror 3 32 53.13% 43.78 -6.425 46.88% -0.298 -0.452
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 31 93.55% 38.03 -6.268 32.26% -0.09 0.6917
Second Wave 0 280 67.39% 38.13 4.056 44.29% -0.022 0.0703
The Great River 3 17 41.18% 26.41 0.0 5.88%
Varied Terrains 2 20 70.0% 22.45 -12.989 20.0% -0.402 0.493
Ward the Shores 2 55 76.36% 26.76 -8.351 18.18% -0.139 0.7387

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12212 75.59% 35.48 -0.044 47.47% 0.411 0.8144
1 Thematic 429 64.72% 33.27 -3.368 35.2% -0.039 0.6698
2 Archipelago 7 100.0% 44.71 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2842 78.25% 35.37 -0.858 46.97% -0.141 0.0477
2 Coastline 330 79.09% 35.78 -0.339 47.88% -0.07 -0.2396
2 Fragment 48 75.0% 35.96 -15.842 47.92% -0.353 -0.3593
2 Heart 38 86.84% 36.26 0.21 52.63% -0.403 -0.6819
2 Opposite Shores 530 74.62% 33.27 -1.887 40.57% -0.561 -0.4219
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 185 77.84% 34.22 -8.615 32.43% -0.309 0.3256
2 Top to Top 121 92.56% 35.58 12.345 44.63% 0.547 0.4735
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 49 79.59% 45.78 0.0 73.47%
3 Round (Default) 1328 74.68% 33.61 3.101 44.88% 0.273 0.263
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 33 78.79% 30.82 -2.429 24.24% -0.173 -0.4123
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 47.0 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 21 71.43% 44.52 12.897 71.43% 0.407 -0.267
4 Thematic 128 58.59% 45.77 -10.458 53.13% -0.34 -0.2684
4 Trapezoid (Default) 379 76.27% 36.92 -2.63 46.97% -0.457 -0.4239
5 Other 17 50.0% 34.88 12.898 47.06% 0.452 0.1729
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.67 -9.383 33.33% -0.164 -0.4093
6 Other 5 80.0% 17.6 0.0 20.0%
6 Star 12 33.33% 24.83 8.881 25.0% 0.268 0.8869
6 Thematic 42 16.67% 65.38 6.903 76.19% 0.354 0.4078
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 42.86% 23.67 -6.425 33.33% -0.298 0.1055

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 964 35.41 -0.31 44.61% -0.352 -0.2969
Aid From Lesser Spirits 770 39.25 3.812 52.08% -0.019 -0.1473
All Things Weaken 1083 33.9 1.292 39.15% -0.15 0.0179
Attenuated Essence 142 33.87 -1.941 43.66% -0.36 -0.3014
Back Against the Wall 759 38.94 4.785 49.93% 0.127 0.0982
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 167 34.8 1.734 47.31% 0.478 0.6379
Burn Brightest Before the End 116 33.7 8.199 43.1% 1.184 1.2082
Disintegrating Ecosystem 968 33.8 0.907 43.7% -0.12 0.1717
Downward Spiral 999 34.0 6.751 43.44% 0.968 1.049
Erosion of Will 933 35.52 2.848 42.66% 0.112 0.2653
Intensifying Exploitation 173 27.89 -1.263 30.64% -0.644 -0.467
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 345 38.74 6.336 53.04% 0.102 -0.3598
Memory Fades to Dust 1086 34.42 6.021 43.46% 0.945 1.1623
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1030 34.91 3.797 44.47% 0.571 0.6703
Promising Farmlands 912 32.64 1.781 38.71% 0.273 0.6004
Shattered Fragments of Power 132 34.2 4.441 43.94% 0.596 0.6662
Slow Dissolution of Will 161 29.97 1.132 31.68% 0.04 0.4936
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 216 42.94 3.273 61.57% -0.047 -0.7231
The Border of Life and Death 38 30.58 -3.533 42.11% -0.806 -1.2733
Thriving Communities 1017 32.95 4.755 41.4% 0.864 1.0731
Thriving Crops 64 30.58 -0.625 39.06% 0.105 -0.0972
Unnatural Proliferation 1088 36.32 3.705 44.67% 0.303 0.3943
Untended Land Crumbles 1031 32.92 2.656 38.99% 0.235 0.4291

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3339 75.67% 34.35 -1.159 45.16% -0.254 0.6724
B 3805 75.48% 35.53 -0.033 48.04% 0.06 0.911
C 4124 75.69% 35.63 0.157 47.67% 0.077 0.7715
D 3182 77.99% 34.76 -0.409 45.91% 0.177 1.0274
E 3261 77.27% 34.76 -0.456 45.66% -0.057 0.6121
F 3199 75.33% 35.57 0.779 47.8% 0.228 1.0045
G 2641 74.96% 34.78 1.97 45.29% 0.408 1.1692
H 2617 75.25% 35.78 3.59 48.03% 0.407 1.1381
East 593 64.08% 38.43 2.15 39.97% 0.238 1.0701
Northeast 274 59.49% 41.88 -5.786 44.53% -0.657 0.062
Northwest 227 58.85% 42.34 1.807 45.37% 0.416 1.2345
Southeast 245 54.69% 42.06 -2.238 47.76% -0.397 0.4394
Southwest 220 58.18% 42.03 -2.637 47.73% -0.148 1.2743
West 517 64.53% 37.84 -4.515 39.07% -0.69 0.1685

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 36.67 9.695 47.62% 0.448 1.1545
Not Using Events or Tokens 58 63.79% 29.4 19.461 37.93% 0.718 1.2076
Skip Initial Invader Actions 200 44.27% 51.44 3.295 71.0% 0.008 -0.7281
Start of Game Growth 452 45.95% 49.5 4.473 67.48% 0.572 0.1148
Unlimited Undo 1903 69.63% 36.55 -0.561 52.23% 0.148 0.1209
Using Tokens but Not Events 880 69.97% 32.69 2.646 42.27% 0.391 0.2351

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6052 14.21 2.68%
II 7224 30.29 48.71%
III 4363 34.84 90.28%
IV 1168 38.62 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.521 Win Model: 0.306
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12702 75.17% 35.39 47.03%
2 4086 78.48% 35.25 45.86%
3 1395 74.6% 33.74 45.09%
4 530 72.62% 39.39 49.43%
5 18 47.06% 24.67 22.22%
6 76 27.63% 46.57 56.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 162
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3889
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3459
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1141
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1952
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 4070
Win: Sacrifice victory 100
Lose: Scenario condition 180
Win: Scenario condition 35
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3452
Lose: Spirit destroyed 272

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 425 70.99% 41.4 -0.388 49.88% 0.035 -0.0571
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 24 66.67% 31.83 -1.553 41.67% -0.016 -0.5204
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 164 85.98% 33.14 -10.5 32.93% -0.15 0.0212
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 61.82% 35.4 -5.201 45.45% -0.828 -1.6252
Dances Up Earthquakes 10 70.0% 30.4 2.116 30.0% 0.197 0.0287
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 298 86.58% 30.21 2.61 26.85% 0.251 0.0605
Downpour Drenches the World 157 68.79% 28.87 -3.957 28.66% -0.01 0.3367
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 245 77.55% 33.75 0.589 46.94% 0.297 -0.1737
Eyes Watch From the Trees 344 68.31% 39.78 7.602 46.51% 0.637 0.2833
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 305 85.57% 34.23 -4.798 35.08% -0.683 -1.0387
Finder of Paths Unseen 71 47.89% 25.55 -4.558 33.8% -0.251 0.4909
Fractured Days Split the Sky 190 72.11% 41.35 -3.652 43.68% -0.321 0.0975
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 189 83.07% 28.61 0.0 28.57%
Heart of the Wildfire 942 84.82% 28.89 2.931 27.6% 0.218 0.5413
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 925 71.57% 36.69 3.633 40.22% 0.39 -0.0977
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 24 75.0% 28.04 0.0 33.33%
Lightning's Swift Strike 129 90.7% 31.78 -4.865 27.13% -0.307 -0.1073
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 70 85.51% 41.19 8.103 50.0% 0.669 0.2089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 79 93.67% 33.89 0.383 36.71% -0.059 -0.3774
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 62 82.26% 30.98 8.799 25.81% 0.418 0.5109
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 664 85.54% 35.77 0.005 41.11% -0.058 -0.205
Many Minds Move as One 251 66.53% 46.35 3.818 62.95% 0.59 0.4382
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 416 77.4% 33.96 0.909 36.06% -0.035 0.0754
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 20 65.0% 15.15 -4.031 15.0% -0.462 -0.3506
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 295 80.68% 35.11 3.422 38.31% 0.036 -0.0253
River Surges in Sunlight 329 84.5% 39.03 -7.0 39.21% -0.506 -0.4818
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 100.0% 31.86 -1.267 22.73% -0.205 0.0331
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 74 78.38% 34.92 13.872 29.73% 0.367 0.5076
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 119 64.71% 43.24 -1.713 52.94% -0.292 -0.3011
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 378 77.51% 40.62 11.395 47.62% 1.642 1.5119
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 2 50.0% 30.5 -1.219 50.0% 0.085 -0.3871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 104 92.31% 27.01 15.379 8.65% 0.384 0.9081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 87.5% 39.5 -5.844 43.75% -0.392 -0.3625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 45 75.0% 27.49 -4.073 26.67% -0.502 -0.9115
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 50.0% 16.36 -5.682 18.18% -0.651 -0.6131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 82.35% 30.45 0.0 27.45%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 51 88.24% 29.04 -15.89 17.65% -0.159 -0.0571
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 163 80.98% 34.26 -4.49 32.52% -0.42 -0.5249
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 69.09% 30.16 -5.574 38.18% -0.33 -0.5415
Shifting Memory of Ages 186 84.41% 35.02 -3.855 34.95% -0.496 -0.1063
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 85.71% 53.19 6.462 85.71% 0.633 0.5851
Shroud of Silent Mist 164 80.49% 26.38 -2.265 21.95% 0.024 0.4476
Starlight Seeks its Form 286 80.07% 38.48 6.654 46.85% 0.473 0.4353
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1429 61.23% 41.3 2.141 57.24% 0.462 -0.079
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 232 84.05% 31.55 12.907 26.72% 0.383 0.4673
Thunderspeaker 203 89.66% 33.78 -2.156 31.03% -0.358 -0.3679
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 82.5% 29.77 3.44 32.5% 0.535 0.907
Towering Roots of the Jungle 115 66.09% 22.63 -5.763 28.7% -0.544 -0.3587
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 761 91.72% 33.63 -3.092 37.71% -0.858 -0.8096
Vital Strength of the Earth 109 81.65% 30.67 -10.957 23.85% -0.532 -0.0788
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 53.66% 33.21 0.279 33.33% 0.15 0.6296
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 74.55% 25.47 0.0 21.82%
Volcano Looming High 477 87.21% 31.51 3.862 30.61% -0.14 -0.0711
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 85 67.06% 33.53 2.077 43.53% 0.404 0.1383

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 49 61.22% 26.27 0.0 22.45%
Dahan Insurrection 4 56 80.36% 41.98 -4.095 12.5% -0.052 -0.5319
Despicable Theft 2 12 66.67% 25.17 0.0 16.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 42 40.48% 20.0 -10.106 14.29% -0.264 0.4788
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 237 29.11% 40.41 19.889 36.71% 0.843 0.1802
Powers Long Forgotten 1 37 67.57% 26.24 -10.814 18.92% -0.186 0.3876
Rituals of Terror 3 22 68.18% 38.91 0.0 18.18%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 87.91% 24.82 0.0 1.65%
Second Wave 0 100 59.6% 40.18 6.389 45.0% 0.202 0.2937
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 16.33 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 29.0 0.0 25.0%
Ward the Shores 2 20 45.0% 20.55 0.0 15.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5676 77.06% 34.7 -0.928 40.13% -0.175 0.2284
1 Thematic 537 74.81% 27.74 2.656 13.22% -0.071 0.6382
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1147 83.78% 35.25 0.981 38.71% 0.224 0.4129
2 Coastline 141 77.3% 35.3 2.467 43.26% 0.386 0.2158
2 Fragment 14 92.86% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 0.0 44.44%
2 Opposite Shores 183 76.5% 36.96 -0.054 39.34% -0.122 0.0172
2 Thematic 65 56.92% 27.72 -5.799 13.85% -0.231 0.4037
2 Top to Top 76 88.16% 36.39 6.094 40.79% 0.378 0.3045
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 20 75.0% 46.95 -3.562 70.0% -0.233 -1.0698
3 Round (Default) 416 76.87% 37.8 -1.555 46.15% -0.191 -0.2009
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 16 37.5% 20.31 -2.235 18.75% -0.244 -0.4831
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 0.0 72.73%
4 Thematic 49 65.31% 48.8 -2.843 48.98% -0.022 0.0502
4 Trapezoid (Default) 185 80.0% 36.24 -1.311 38.92% -0.156 -0.1228
5 Other 13 84.62% 34.31 -5.711 46.15% -0.161 -0.4397
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 0.0 22.22%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 28.0 3.647 40.0% 0.142 0.5449
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 481 34.46 4.182 33.68% 0.228 0.2827
Aid From Lesser Spirits 354 40.47 -0.105 46.61% -0.477 -0.6049
All Things Weaken 479 33.73 -0.863 33.19% -0.074 0.0938
Attenuated Essence 84 31.08 3.991 35.71% 0.244 0.3023
Back Against the Wall 347 36.5 11.755 36.31% 0.847 0.8178
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 27.66 4.167 28.97% 0.246 0.4061
Burn Brightest Before the End 68 38.32 7.877 47.06% 0.869 0.8935
Disintegrating Ecosystem 431 34.6 7.633 37.82% 0.951 1.2427
Downward Spiral 497 32.4 1.863 31.59% 0.077 0.1581
Erosion of Will 456 33.3 -2.593 31.8% -0.48 -0.3261
Intensifying Exploitation 84 33.37 5.795 40.48% 0.511 0.6882
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 109 41.28 0.0 49.54%
Memory Fades to Dust 467 33.88 4.334 35.12% 0.447 0.6645
Power Corrodes the Spirit 508 33.79 -1.895 34.06% -0.381 -0.2822
Promising Farmlands 431 33.0 2.203 33.41% 0.526 0.8529
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 39.76 16.003 48.15% 1.011 1.0811
Slow Dissolution of Will 73 30.99 0.794 31.51% -0.338 0.1155
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 88 44.78 16.279 59.09% 0.544 -0.1324
The Border of Life and Death 14 31.14 13.199 42.86% 0.55 0.0823
Thriving Communities 507 33.41 -2.475 34.91% -0.135 0.0745
Thriving Crops 22 35.68 5.338 50.0% 0.092 -0.1111
Unnatural Proliferation 483 35.26 0.414 34.78% -0.244 -0.153
Untended Land Crumbles 529 33.16 4.989 32.7% 0.816 1.01

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1377 80.16% 34.33 1.789 38.71% 0.402 1.3285
B 1565 79.17% 35.62 -2.105 41.02% -0.596 0.255
C 1641 79.51% 37.1 1.063 43.81% 0.3 0.9948
D 1290 80.62% 35.08 1.923 40.08% 0.347 1.1976
E 1435 78.47% 35.12 0.96 40.07% 0.24 0.9086
F 1441 75.69% 34.53 0.623 40.04% 0.182 0.9582
G 1170 77.35% 36.13 -4.131 41.45% -0.792 -0.0309
H 1170 79.15% 35.88 -2.234 40.68% -0.375 0.3559
East 308 58.12% 32.84 -3.577 25.65% -0.497 0.3353
Northeast 121 63.64% 32.2 -5.305 23.97% -0.895 -0.1761
Northwest 168 76.05% 29.52 -6.11 14.88% -0.344 0.474
Southeast 160 54.37% 31.93 3.913 26.25% 0.236 1.0725
Southwest 254 77.17% 27.37 0.0 11.42%
West 469 75.85% 28.56 2.832 13.01% 0.149 1.0076

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 35.0 6.389 50.0% 0.202 0.9086
Not Using Events or Tokens 32 71.88% 37.34 1.213 37.5% -0.083 0.4061
Skip Initial Invader Actions 100 55.1% 54.71 14.026 73.0% 0.939 0.2032
Start of Game Growth 162 56.88% 49.9 3.189 64.2% 0.085 -0.372
Unlimited Undo 758 67.2% 40.97 -0.66 55.01% 0.054 0.0267
Using Tokens but Not Events 529 68.69% 35.84 -1.149 41.21% -0.248 -0.404

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2725 14.21 1.03%
II 3412 30.29 29.78%
III 1873 34.84 89.59%
IV 593 38.62 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.193 Win Model: -0.285
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6258 76.71% 34.12 37.79%
2 1622 81.69% 35.27 38.59%
3 449 76.34% 38.2 46.99%
4 247 76.52% 38.72 42.11%
5 9 77.78% 31.67 33.33%
6 18 55.56% 28.5 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 27
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1656
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 994
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 583
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 997
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 2060
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 108
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1974
Lose: Spirit destroyed 105

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2538 62.12% 39.38 -3.51 38.97% -0.448 -0.5394
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 338 37.57% 27.02 5.341 30.47% 1.345 0.8406
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 987 84.9% 31.21 1.293 19.96% -0.199 -0.0283
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 467 68.31% 33.78 2.358 36.62% 0.409 -0.3878
Dances Up Earthquakes 97 78.35% 28.28 1.127 26.8% 0.159 -0.0091
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1264 79.51% 26.05 -0.667 15.9% -0.193 -0.3837
Downpour Drenches the World 964 58.98% 27.22 -2.731 22.72% -0.251 0.096
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1289 75.06% 25.42 -1.875 24.2% -0.121 -0.5918
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1974 79.88% 33.85 -0.547 29.08% -0.343 -0.6967
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1542 82.49% 31.14 -1.321 23.61% -0.117 -0.4727
Finder of Paths Unseen 591 53.81% 27.17 -2.716 27.07% -0.312 0.4301
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1701 60.38% 38.71 -3.667 33.98% -0.467 -0.0483
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1203 81.3% 25.88 -4.681 16.13% -0.333 -0.3353
Heart of the Wildfire 4616 84.29% 31.02 -2.537 25.35% -0.365 -0.0419
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4477 70.54% 38.99 2.154 38.4% 0.29 -0.1979
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 219 68.49% 23.51 0.972 19.63% -0.112 -0.6292
Lightning's Swift Strike 1145 88.98% 26.61 -1.608 12.4% -0.846 -0.6465
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1365 71.41% 28.25 -0.424 19.05% -0.157 -0.6174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 604 86.02% 33.9 6.699 30.13% 0.474 0.155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 477 69.12% 34.79 -2.649 33.54% -0.804 -0.7111
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3885 81.99% 31.83 -5.348 25.12% -0.845 -0.9919
Many Minds Move as One 1552 67.31% 47.84 2.157 55.99% 0.557 0.4052
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1617 78.45% 32.01 -0.626 26.53% 0.272 0.3826
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 128 64.06% 15.21 -5.197 10.94% -0.805 -0.6935
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1393 84.55% 34.26 0.941 29.72% -0.056 -0.1173
River Surges in Sunlight 2237 82.46% 40.67 -0.055 36.52% 0.027 0.0512
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 197 65.99% 22.5 6.506 16.75% 1.253 1.4911
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 450 63.78% 39.86 -2.302 30.44% -0.278 -0.1374
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 564 70.13% 33.28 3.289 29.26% 0.523 0.5145
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2609 61.96% 44.83 4.575 47.91% 0.798 0.6686
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 13 30.77% 48.23 12.534 69.23% 1.944 1.472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 499 75.75% 33.64 -13.561 20.64% -0.474 0.0504
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 77.27% 24.16 -1.914 13.64% -0.402 -0.3722
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 303 75.75% 34.05 3.737 37.29% 0.487 0.078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 82.68% 26.05 -1.847 14.96% -0.431 -0.3933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 238 75.21% 31.95 8.289 20.17% 0.646 0.4911
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 179 80.45% 33.63 -8.004 24.58% -0.486 -0.3841
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1294 73.96% 35.41 2.904 30.91% 0.715 0.6099
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 337 71.81% 27.21 0.036 28.19% 0.538 0.3266
Shifting Memory of Ages 1083 71.6% 35.51 -3.538 30.47% -0.492 -0.1023
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 209 49.76% 33.13 1.779 32.54% 0.378 0.3305
Shroud of Silent Mist 841 83.59% 27.95 -1.212 19.14% -0.371 0.0533
Starlight Seeks its Form 2347 69.32% 39.09 0.15 40.99% 0.27 0.2322
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 14943 48.99% 45.19 5.49 56.88% 1.361 0.8205
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1153 83.94% 32.35 -1.003 24.02% -0.699 -0.6151
Thunderspeaker 1328 75.98% 30.02 -3.821 18.45% -0.716 -0.7262
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 207 67.63% 17.8 1.108 8.21% -0.493 -0.1207
Towering Roots of the Jungle 582 64.09% 24.92 1.312 24.4% 0.499 0.6841
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5870 90.85% 32.86 -0.817 29.18% -0.471 -0.4229
Vital Strength of the Earth 477 74.42% 26.86 -8.692 14.47% -0.742 -0.2891
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 378 50.53% 16.38 -5.102 13.49% -0.055 0.4245
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 424 77.36% 29.52 -1.102 20.05% 0.383 1.0936
Volcano Looming High 3076 81.09% 30.69 -1.577 23.86% -0.806 -0.7372
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 574 74.17% 29.43 3.999 28.92% 0.571 0.3058

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 507 44.49% 41.32 -16.748 38.66% -0.701 -0.3246
Dahan Insurrection 4 321 60.0% 41.68 -3.351 18.38% -0.437 -0.9169
Despicable Theft 2 31 83.87% 32.45 0.0 16.13%
Elemental Invocation 1 145 61.27% 31.14 -14.051 16.55% -0.164 0.5784
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3120 28.62% 47.52 5.825 43.17% 1.126 0.4628
Powers Long Forgotten 1 108 51.85% 42.77 -10.175 48.15% -0.109 0.4643
Rituals of Terror 3 225 24.11% 76.1 20.651 42.67% 1.184 1.0298
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 37.44 0.0 18.52%
Second Wave 0 147 54.42% 38.8 -3.001 35.37% -0.298 -0.2055
The Great River 3 49 59.18% 31.06 -11.547 4.08% -0.119 1.0496
Varied Terrains 2 44 47.73% 36.73 7.67 31.82% -0.293 0.6024
Ward the Shores 2 42 88.1% 29.76 0.0 7.14%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48792 72.73% 35.76 0.336 35.65% 0.213 0.6167
1 Thematic 1687 49.38% 35.6 0.925 28.99% 0.294 1.003
2 Archipelago 22 50.0% 29.45 0.0 9.09%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4800 79.08% 34.53 -1.254 33.08% -0.238 -0.0491
2 Coastline 893 69.78% 35.48 0.772 33.71% 0.41 0.2403
2 Fragment 74 86.49% 35.34 -3.701 29.73% -0.616 -0.6222
2 Heart 137 81.02% 37.56 17.852 33.58% 0.561 0.2819
2 Opposite Shores 1296 79.15% 31.47 -2.253 22.61% -0.781 -0.642
2 Thematic 278 50.72% 46.77 -1.245 24.1% -0.649 -0.0141
2 Top to Top 226 74.78% 37.68 -3.269 39.38% -0.317 -0.3908
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 19.6 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 27.44 31.078 33.33% 1.089 0.2503
3 Other 74 74.32% 39.09 4.897 43.24% 0.729 -0.108
3 Round (Default) 2064 69.96% 32.03 -2.112 30.43% -0.573 -0.5826
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 50.0 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 78 20.51% 81.17 22.851 43.59% 0.227 -0.0118
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 13.75 -12.106 0.0% -0.529 -0.5663
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 24.0 -9.201 16.67% -0.135 0.4805
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 2.72 60.0% -0.182 -0.8567
4 Thematic 183 23.5% 65.6 0.897 65.03% -0.437 -0.3649
4 Trapezoid (Default) 932 71.47% 33.04 2.438 27.15% -0.289 -0.2556
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 0.0 70.0%
5 Other 36 55.56% 43.08 27.31 52.78% 1.215 0.9357
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 17 64.71% 26.88 -12.612 23.53% -0.449 -0.4646
6 Star 11 54.55% 34.18 0.0 36.36%
6 Thematic 76 22.37% 43.86 -6.268 46.05% 0.235 0.2888
6 Two Centers (Default) 201 21.89% 49.68 1.213 48.76% -0.417 -0.0135
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3123 35.45 4.998 31.06% 0.751 0.806
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2441 40.22 5.429 39.08% 0.529 0.4012
All Things Weaken 3295 34.72 2.153 29.8% 0.34 0.5076
Attenuated Essence 585 29.45 4.564 25.81% 0.555 0.6135
Back Against the Wall 2252 39.3 4.981 37.34% 0.69 0.6612
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 574 29.0 4.083 25.09% 0.619 0.7795
Burn Brightest Before the End 421 31.64 5.342 25.18% 0.833 0.8576
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3009 32.94 2.496 29.28% 0.48 0.7715
Downward Spiral 3286 34.42 2.443 30.61% 0.388 0.4686
Erosion of Will 2877 33.8 3.884 27.53% 0.415 0.5689
Intensifying Exploitation 598 28.09 -0.89 23.41% 0.003 0.1802
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 927 40.2 2.41 42.39% 0.562 0.0998
Memory Fades to Dust 3337 33.28 3.905 27.18% 0.626 0.8429
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3143 33.35 2.825 28.19% 0.312 0.4108
Promising Farmlands 3034 32.16 1.334 25.87% 0.237 0.5643
Shattered Fragments of Power 429 31.3 7.164 24.94% 1.01 1.0802
Slow Dissolution of Will 636 28.12 1.064 20.91% -0.418 0.0356
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 584 43.64 3.146 50.68% 0.476 -0.2004
The Border of Life and Death 110 27.77 0.327 30.0% -0.1 -0.5679
Thriving Communities 3221 33.19 2.879 27.85% 0.514 0.7233
Thriving Crops 219 27.43 -0.574 27.4% -0.066 -0.2691
Unnatural Proliferation 3461 36.22 4.342 31.41% 0.541 0.6321
Untended Land Crumbles 3079 32.36 3.338 25.82% 0.637 0.8304

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9788 72.65% 35.25 -0.726 34.39% -0.215 0.7111
B 10537 71.93% 35.01 0.515 33.59% -0.06 0.7912
C 12762 73.03% 35.01 0.474 33.75% -0.074 0.6206
D 8879 74.83% 34.74 -0.531 33.44% -0.335 0.5155
E 10269 74.68% 34.35 -0.692 32.64% -0.258 0.411
F 9095 70.74% 36.35 0.965 35.78% -0.047 0.7296
G 7248 71.75% 35.41 -0.853 34.85% -0.309 0.4524
H 7302 69.78% 35.99 -0.954 35.92% -0.375 0.3553
East 1330 39.92% 49.29 8.897 37.14% 0.081 0.9134
Northeast 576 35.42% 55.8 10.954 42.01% 0.555 1.2739
Northwest 670 37.46% 31.91 -1.005 25.52% 0.472 1.2898
Southeast 566 31.45% 44.53 -0.558 38.52% -0.228 0.6082
Southwest 423 42.55% 42.04 -9.608 40.9% -0.879 0.5426
West 1280 39.69% 41.14 2.773 33.52% -0.661 0.197

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 40 0.0% 31.6 -1.453 40.0% 0.065 0.7722
Not Using Events or Tokens 166 74.1% 37.42 12.931 13.25% 1.099 1.5882
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2230 21.69% 61.66 8.353 73.14% 0.836 0.0997
Start of Game Growth 3334 25.01% 57.94 8.38 70.16% 0.711 0.2537
Unlimited Undo 6387 59.51% 45.82 0.807 55.83% 0.324 0.2966
Using Tokens but Not Events 3147 55.23% 36.36 -1.707 36.57% -0.25 -0.4063

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28328 14.21 2.63%
II 22375 30.29 46.4%
III 8882 34.84 90.55%
IV 2445 38.62 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.038 Win Model: 0.212
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 50821 71.81% 35.88 35.54%
2 7526 77.51% 34.54 30.85%
3 2198 68.97% 32.83 30.85%
4 1146 64.13% 37.89 34.21%
5 25 40.0% 34.96 36.0%
6 314 25.16% 46.01 46.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 720
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7916
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10153
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2337
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8162
Lose: Invader deck ran out 413
Lose: Adversary condition 16870
Win: Sacrifice victory 424
Lose: Scenario condition 1150
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12837
Lose: Spirit destroyed 988

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-24 05:20:05 (Pacific Time)