The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 715 27.73% 29.45 -0.009 86.99% -0.128 0.0053
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 548 43.61% 28.64 -0.177 79.74% -0.405 -0.1762
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 625 29.6% 30.69 0.444 89.76% 0.3 0.2142
Eyes Watch From the Trees 740 17.53% 34.81 2.19 93.38% 0.461 0.0879
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 617 25.16% 32.57 1.276 92.71% 0.644 0.3832
Fractured Days Split the Sky 254 38.58% 29.51 0.176 74.8% -0.895 -0.5273
Heart of the Wildfire 809 61.04% 25.62 -1.18 76.64% -0.207 0.1436
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1033 27.89% 30.64 0.433 90.03% 0.243 -0.0604
Lightning's Swift Strike 875 38.35% 29.81 0.338 84.91% 0.047 0.3062
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 599 30.88% 30.31 0.509 89.82% 0.239 -0.0342
Many Minds Move as One 532 21.32% 33.16 1.669 94.55% 0.78 0.265
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 690 44.33% 28.7 -0.188 81.45% -0.166 -0.3616
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 584 33.1% 29.94 0.099 89.73% 0.421 0.4666
River Surges in Sunlight 821 43.54% 30.38 0.601 79.29% -0.304 -0.1515
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 548 33.21% 29.07 -0.172 86.5% -0.062 0.0821
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 590 49.32% 28.38 -0.204 78.98% -0.28 0.1607
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 581 29.02% 31.14 0.653 87.95% 0.027 -0.0442
Shroud of Silent Mist 162 50.62% 29.09 0.24 86.42% 0.301 0.2816
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1363 27.01% 27.68 -0.974 89.95% 0.096 0.0764
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 518 43.52% 28.2 -0.795 76.83% -0.511 -0.3086
Thunderspeaker 621 38.87% 29.51 -0.067 81.8% -0.148 -0.0968
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 932 63.91% 24.32 -1.787 77.25% -0.097 -0.0896
Vital Strength of the Earth 626 39.26% 25.33 -1.95 72.52% -0.994 -0.1243
Volcano Looming High 311 41.48% 28.13 -0.363 88.1% 0.339 0.3155

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 127 35.71% 26.51 -1.684 77.95% -0.598 -0.0246
Dahan Insurrection 4 223 22.87% 48.18 8.418 73.99% -1.431 -1.0308
Despicable Theft 2 28 32.14% 36.46 3.597 78.57% -0.639 -0.3565
Elemental Invocation 1 48 50.0% 27.35 -0.662 66.67% -1.124 -0.6842
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 453 10.6% 31.99 0.436 78.37% -1.731 -1.3656
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 50.49% 30.81 0.817 71.43% -0.638 -0.1968
Rituals of Terror 3 107 54.21% 36.21 3.401 63.55% -1.112 -0.4678
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 102 72.55% 36.23 3.844 64.71% -0.565 0.077
Second Wave 0 187 44.92% 29.8 0.51 78.07% -0.521 -0.0928
The Great River 3 60 76.67% 27.87 0.256 43.33% -1.677 -0.2175
Ward the Shores 2 153 43.79% 33.48 1.734 66.01% -1.201 -0.1635

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7379 38.21% 28.65 -0.348 83.79% -0.524 -0.1913
1 Thematic 855 44.91% 33.58 1.24 74.15% -0.602 -0.1042
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1375 39.06% 28.49 -0.14 88.0% -0.107 0.093
2 Coastline 159 37.11% 29.57 0.383 86.16% 0.09 0.2445
2 Fragment 36 63.89% 26.25 -0.751 83.33% -0.107 0.2894
2 Heart 21 38.1% 29.38 0.25 100.0% 0.825 1.1468
2 Opposite Shores 209 28.85% 29.53 0.048 89.95% -0.134 0.0949
2 Thematic 171 43.27% 34.69 1.118 80.7% -0.063 -0.0022
2 Top to Top 28 35.71% 29.0 -0.06 89.29% 0.087 0.2194
3 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.5 4.587 100.0% 0.282 0.2438
3 Other 35 34.29% 29.14 0.139 88.57% -0.184 0.236
3 Round (Default) 555 29.55% 29.09 0.009 90.45% -0.016 0.0403
3 Thematic 42 40.48% 31.4 -1.398 71.43% -0.816 -1.1455
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 6.404 100.0% 0.05 0.175
4 Other 24 16.67% 31.88 0.716 100.0% 0.57 0.6819
4 Thematic 64 20.31% 40.0 1.223 92.19% 0.717 -0.3067
4 Trapezoid (Default) 307 33.88% 27.53 -0.775 80.78% -0.755 -0.7199
5 Other 8 12.5% 31.63 0.825 100.0% 0.373 0.1183
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 39.0 3.13 100.0% 0.34 -2.6027

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 301 22.58 -3.84 65.45% -2.518 -0.4447
Aid From Lesser Spirits 226 23.62 -3.43 64.6% -2.516 -0.5972
All Things Weaken 330 21.55 -4.434 58.18% -2.877 -0.7178
Back Against the Wall 265 25.14 -2.788 68.3% -2.336 -0.2426
Disintegrating Ecosystem 279 20.87 -4.857 62.72% -2.602 -0.3771
Downward Spiral 396 21.56 -4.343 64.39% -2.39 -0.3686
Erosion of Will 301 22.67 -3.901 62.46% -2.565 -0.3562
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 177 26.66 -1.874 84.75% -1.364 -0.6709
Memory Fades to Dust 345 22.28 -4.015 64.35% -2.312 -0.0936
Power Corrodes the Spirit 348 22.24 -4.02 65.8% -2.47 -0.4488
Promising Farmlands 264 22.6 -3.933 67.05% -2.421 -0.2068
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 97 28.43 -0.952 90.72% -0.776 -0.3646
Thriving Communities 343 21.64 -4.355 64.72% -2.483 -0.3897
Unnatural Proliferation 296 21.4 -4.557 54.05% -2.961 -0.8721
Untended Land Crumbles 311 21.17 -4.544 61.41% -2.666 -0.5599

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1926 38.28% 28.22 -0.354 85.1% 0.368 -0.744
B 1792 38.15% 28.27 -0.336 84.93% 0.313 -0.895
C 1979 34.45% 28.91 -0.069 86.15% 0.367 -1.0722
D 1855 37.1% 28.76 -0.051 85.66% 0.397 -0.8044
E 1840 36.31% 28.82 -0.091 85.98% 0.368 -0.9442
F 1756 35.71% 28.97 -0.048 86.1% 0.342 -0.924
G 1552 37.48% 28.25 -0.336 85.12% 0.354 -0.9032
H 1547 35.34% 28.97 -0.13 85.65% 0.32 -0.9458
East 294 40.14% 37.86 2.457 82.31% 0.417 -0.5643
Northeast 287 42.86% 36.45 2.028 80.49% 0.531 -0.4
Northwest 242 45.04% 33.22 0.102 67.36% -0.578 -1.577
Southeast 224 37.05% 34.59 1.3 80.8% 0.312 -0.714
Southwest 206 37.38% 30.68 -1.179 78.64% 0.044 -0.5759
West 268 38.06% 36.01 1.532 79.85% 0.196 -0.5285

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 27.47 -2.101 77.78% -1.741 0.3138
Not Using Events or Tokens 273 39.1% 26.37 -1.155 72.89% -0.807 -0.5887
Skip Initial Invader Actions 248 4.64% 41.01 3.5 95.16% 0.254 -0.44
Start of Game Growth 386 10.96% 39.2 2.845 94.56% 0.619 0.156
Unlimited Undo 684 33.03% 30.89 0.48 89.18% 0.437 0.016
Using Tokens but Not Events 859 33.86% 28.28 -0.64 82.31% -0.306 -0.3579

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 718 22.34 30.64%
II 2424 30.81 67.74%
III 5278 34.31 90.79%
IV 2853 37.5 98.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.065 Win Model: -0.299
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8259 38.86% 29.16 82.83%
2 2000 38.67% 29.23 87.55%
3 621 30.27% 29.25 88.89%
4 393 31.04% 29.85 83.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 220
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4645
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1511
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2789
Lose: Invader deck ran out 80
Lose: Adversary condition 633
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 146
Win: Scenario condition 266
Lose: Blight pool ran out 890
Lose: Spirit destroyed 51

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 516 31.78% 34.84 0.454 86.43% 0.046 0.1792
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 325 57.28% 31.21 -0.711 73.23% -0.416 -0.1873
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 434 33.95% 35.39 0.9 88.25% 0.432 0.3456
Eyes Watch From the Trees 598 21.72% 38.75 2.219 92.31% 0.617 0.2442
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 471 30.15% 35.95 1.097 87.47% 0.191 -0.069
Fractured Days Split the Sky 147 42.18% 34.95 0.774 77.55% -0.337 0.0308
Heart of the Wildfire 536 59.89% 30.96 -0.68 78.54% 0.084 0.4341
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 746 41.86% 33.5 0.129 84.72% 0.136 -0.1678
Lightning's Swift Strike 576 41.67% 33.91 0.341 82.64% 0.074 0.3336
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 423 43.88% 33.49 0.062 82.98% -0.016 -0.2889
Many Minds Move as One 414 28.47% 37.78 1.947 92.75% 0.766 0.2512
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 542 46.83% 33.89 0.282 84.69% 0.301 0.1059
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 441 38.18% 33.98 0.117 85.03% 0.144 0.1902
River Surges in Sunlight 614 47.47% 33.62 0.218 74.76% -0.512 -0.36
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 351 44.44% 32.52 -0.363 80.91% -0.133 0.0112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 436 59.63% 31.32 -0.521 72.02% -0.33 0.1104
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 459 39.08% 35.85 1.026 86.49% 0.2 0.1284
Shroud of Silent Mist 132 64.39% 29.36 -1.488 72.73% -0.298 -0.3176
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1066 33.9% 32.77 -0.401 89.4% 0.305 0.2853
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 363 49.03% 30.92 -1.208 73.55% -0.506 -0.3034
Thunderspeaker 430 43.26% 35.39 0.69 81.16% -0.022 0.029
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 780 74.84% 27.3 -2.225 72.56% -0.14 -0.1317
Vital Strength of the Earth 459 43.57% 28.86 -2.239 67.54% -1.043 -0.1726
Volcano Looming High 242 46.44% 32.69 0.01 86.78% 0.357 0.3338

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 127 42.52% 30.71 -1.842 74.02% -0.634 -0.0608
Dahan Insurrection 4 164 23.78% 55.99 10.531 84.15% -0.563 -0.1635
Despicable Theft 2 9 55.56% 37.44 2.549 66.67% -0.541 -0.2589
Elemental Invocation 1 34 58.82% 30.68 -1.121 70.59% -0.713 -0.2734
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 280 14.86% 33.46 -0.749 67.14% -2.025 -1.6587
Powers Long Forgotten 1 91 71.43% 31.69 -0.073 60.44% -0.522 -0.0805
Rituals of Terror 3 99 46.46% 44.45 4.712 70.71% -0.676 -0.0322
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 62 69.35% 43.69 5.167 70.97% 0.004 0.6458
Second Wave 0 659 48.78% 33.05 0.07 72.99% -0.698 -0.2695
The Great River 3 33 54.55% 37.7 2.232 57.58% -1.574 -0.1142
Ward the Shores 2 136 53.68% 36.88 1.764 63.24% -0.849 0.188

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4840 43.95% 32.87 -0.168 80.58% -0.292 0.041
1 Thematic 746 51.02% 34.77 0.369 66.62% -0.605 -0.1068
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1064 46.99% 32.49 -0.05 85.9% 0.006 0.2059
2 Coastline 139 43.88% 33.49 0.45 86.33% 0.134 0.2883
2 Fragment 27 74.07% 30.89 -0.378 81.48% 0.222 0.6174
2 Heart 27 55.56% 26.59 -2.453 66.67% -0.565 -0.2432
2 Opposite Shores 194 39.38% 32.55 -0.231 86.6% -0.15 0.0795
2 Thematic 179 53.93% 35.64 0.705 72.63% -0.124 -0.0634
2 Top to Top 30 50.0% 30.93 -1.045 83.33% 0.043 0.1747
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 44.2 4.514 100.0% 0.616 0.578
3 Other 27 40.74% 32.41 -0.078 92.59% 0.403 0.8228
3 Round (Default) 448 36.47% 33.29 0.101 87.95% -0.116 -0.0599
3 Thematic 48 43.75% 36.52 -0.223 72.92% -0.154 -0.4836
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 44.5 7.191 100.0% 0.584 0.7094
4 Other 14 64.29% 32.21 0.409 85.71% 0.214 0.3258
4 Thematic 53 23.08% 44.58 2.08 86.79% 0.436 -0.5881
4 Trapezoid (Default) 186 38.17% 32.9 -0.55 87.1% -0.313 -0.2788
5 Other 11 18.18% 34.18 0.644 90.91% -0.325 -0.5804
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 34.0 -3.05 100.0% 0.013 -2.9298

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 252 26.15 -4.17 59.92% -2.513 -0.4394
Aid From Lesser Spirits 214 27.6 -3.349 64.49% -2.261 -0.3422
All Things Weaken 254 25.92 -4.373 59.06% -2.538 -0.3795
Back Against the Wall 211 27.05 -3.726 63.98% -2.38 -0.2859
Disintegrating Ecosystem 233 24.24 -5.213 57.94% -2.59 -0.3659
Downward Spiral 316 25.98 -4.173 64.56% -2.178 -0.1574
Erosion of Will 232 25.45 -4.51 62.07% -2.554 -0.3455
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 140 32.24 -1.308 85.0% -1.109 -0.4165
Memory Fades to Dust 250 24.85 -4.789 58.4% -2.522 -0.3037
Power Corrodes the Spirit 279 26.62 -3.967 65.95% -2.299 -0.2781
Promising Farmlands 240 24.15 -5.281 55.83% -2.641 -0.4267
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 88 30.81 -1.732 84.09% -1.192 -0.7808
Thriving Communities 295 24.48 -5.059 56.61% -2.621 -0.5278
Unnatural Proliferation 301 26.66 -3.941 61.46% -2.491 -0.4015
Untended Land Crumbles 266 25.63 -4.49 62.03% -2.419 -0.3133

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1363 43.76% 33.01 0.044 84.89% 0.435 -0.6771
B 1334 43.24% 33.04 -0.019 84.26% 0.303 -0.9048
C 1441 41.77% 33.43 0.236 85.43% 0.457 -0.9825
D 1263 42.49% 32.74 -0.18 83.14% 0.205 -0.9966
E 1254 41.98% 33.01 0.04 83.97% 0.285 -1.0275
F 1235 44.06% 32.57 -0.234 83.24% 0.225 -1.041
G 1138 44.89% 32.1 -0.391 81.2% 0.155 -1.1015
H 1115 44.29% 32.36 -0.338 82.6% 0.247 -1.0187
East 266 42.59% 39.85 2.125 75.94% 0.156 -0.8246
Northeast 256 48.24% 37.68 1.025 69.92% 0.007 -0.924
Northwest 216 45.71% 37.87 1.114 72.22% 0.047 -0.9525
Southeast 219 45.16% 37.29 1.448 77.17% 0.539 -0.4871
Southwest 212 51.9% 30.01 -2.51 64.62% -0.357 -0.9766
West 258 47.84% 36.74 0.657 69.77% -0.105 -0.8304

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 35.23 -0.718 83.87% -1.047 1.0069
Not Using Events or Tokens 96 46.88% 29.64 -1.461 64.58% -0.726 -0.5081
Skip Initial Invader Actions 198 4.08% 48.68 4.716 96.46% 0.86 0.1661
Start of Game Growth 288 8.42% 45.2 3.27 93.75% 0.104 -0.3595
Unlimited Undo 626 39.8% 33.96 0.22 84.5% 0.1 -0.3207
Using Tokens but Not Events 611 33.45% 34.77 0.594 87.4% 0.347 0.2945

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 656 22.34 28.2%
II 3106 30.81 74.11%
III 3034 34.31 91.1%
IV 1245 37.5 99.2%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.021 Win Model: -0.098
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5616 44.95% 33.13 78.76%
2 1649 46.87% 32.76 84.23%
3 517 37.98% 33.67 86.85%
4 259 35.27% 35.27 86.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 185
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2673
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2136
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1231
Lose: Invader deck ran out 49
Lose: Adversary condition 632
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 106
Win: Scenario condition 224
Lose: Blight pool ran out 728
Lose: Spirit destroyed 40

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 622 40.19% 40.51 1.253 81.03% 0.182 0.3151
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 398 78.34% 31.32 -2.468 52.51% -0.615 -0.3865
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 601 49.92% 40.3 1.436 80.87% 0.446 0.3601
Eyes Watch From the Trees 691 38.61% 43.01 2.643 85.09% 0.603 0.23
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 557 53.6% 39.38 0.939 76.66% 0.202 -0.0585
Fractured Days Split the Sky 206 58.25% 37.91 0.542 64.08% -0.402 -0.0343
Heart of the Wildfire 856 75.0% 32.93 -1.895 62.03% -0.25 0.0997
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1028 51.57% 38.99 0.694 76.17% 0.126 -0.1779
Lightning's Swift Strike 698 63.98% 37.64 0.357 71.49% 0.149 0.4083
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 528 62.74% 37.09 0.03 71.59% 0.036 -0.2372
Many Minds Move as One 457 41.23% 42.54 2.462 86.21% 0.691 0.1757
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 765 59.89% 37.69 0.255 71.76% 0.068 -0.127
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 550 55.76% 38.21 0.559 77.27% 0.332 0.3774
River Surges in Sunlight 850 56.87% 39.18 0.889 69.29% -0.227 -0.0748
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 536 59.89% 36.8 -0.303 72.01% 0.024 0.1682
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 377 75.6% 33.22 -1.792 56.23% -0.478 -0.0368
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 551 48.54% 39.61 0.875 75.86% 0.006 -0.0658
Shroud of Silent Mist 169 83.43% 29.88 -2.886 52.66% -0.457 -0.4769
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1480 44.59% 38.48 0.681 83.31% 0.583 0.5631
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 394 66.67% 35.28 -0.846 64.47% -0.203 -0.0002
Thunderspeaker 475 56.96% 38.7 0.257 70.32% -0.126 -0.0743
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1023 85.28% 30.53 -2.724 59.24% -0.228 -0.2202
Vital Strength of the Earth 416 61.93% 33.67 -1.725 60.34% -0.513 0.3574
Volcano Looming High 325 67.9% 34.09 -1.045 67.69% -0.016 -0.0391

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 159 45.91% 35.55 -1.446 67.3% -0.534 0.0394
Dahan Insurrection 4 105 37.14% 61.86 11.616 80.95% 0.166 0.5659
Despicable Theft 2 9 55.56% 44.56 4.071 66.67% -0.191 0.0913
Elemental Invocation 1 31 70.97% 36.29 0.543 64.52% -0.128 0.312
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 498 13.46% 43.86 2.511 78.51% -0.675 -0.3091
Powers Long Forgotten 1 70 68.57% 39.71 0.77 60.0% -0.349 0.0918
Rituals of Terror 3 41 70.73% 44.54 4.129 60.98% -0.325 0.3188
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 67.86% 47.57 5.594 64.29% -0.047 0.5952
Second Wave 0 419 56.46% 37.03 -0.394 62.77% -0.748 -0.3199
The Great River 3 19 21.05% 30.95 -3.39 21.05% -2.775 -1.315
Ward the Shores 2 90 65.56% 38.87 0.404 51.11% -1.003 0.0345

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6111 59.09% 36.45 0.013 70.53% 0.047 0.3794
1 Thematic 592 55.86% 39.77 0.259 61.82% -0.354 0.1441
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1422 60.81% 35.44 -0.772 68.99% -0.471 -0.2708
2 Coastline 175 52.0% 37.66 0.32 75.43% -0.107 0.0475
2 Fragment 29 78.57% 35.24 -0.206 68.97% -0.08 0.3161
2 Heart 22 66.67% 37.91 0.48 77.27% 0.095 0.4169
2 Opposite Shores 277 59.57% 37.53 0.336 77.26% 0.064 0.2932
2 Thematic 174 72.41% 36.83 -0.744 55.75% -0.419 -0.3578
2 Top to Top 44 40.48% 38.57 0.095 77.27% -0.372 -0.2402
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 43.89 3.555 88.89% 0.544 0.5061
3 Other 48 54.17% 39.23 0.783 81.25% -0.267 0.1528
3 Round (Default) 564 59.0% 37.76 0.261 76.6% -0.347 -0.2911
3 Thematic 21 85.71% 42.62 1.955 71.43% 0.554 0.2249
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 48.0 4.949 100.0% 0.166 0.291
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 40.5 0.857 100.0% 0.128 0.174
4 Other 33 48.48% 41.42 1.935 84.85% 0.095 0.2075
4 Thematic 88 43.18% 47.28 2.055 81.82% 0.212 -0.8121
4 Trapezoid (Default) 291 51.2% 39.82 0.68 81.44% -0.478 -0.4432
5 Other 12 41.67% 44.92 3.426 100.0% 0.722 0.4667
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 49.5 3.401 100.0% 0.296 -2.6473

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 445 30.87 -3.905 53.48% -2.123 -0.0495
Aid From Lesser Spirits 346 33.86 -2.428 60.69% -1.807 0.1117
All Things Weaken 466 31.66 -3.512 57.73% -1.975 0.1838
Back Against the Wall 330 31.4 -3.598 55.15% -2.074 0.0198
Disintegrating Ecosystem 385 28.87 -4.855 54.55% -2.067 0.1576
Downward Spiral 477 30.6 -3.961 57.23% -1.941 0.0799
Erosion of Will 408 29.85 -4.31 51.72% -2.146 0.0625
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 192 37.81 -0.499 77.08% -1.001 -0.308
Memory Fades to Dust 456 30.21 -4.31 55.26% -2.067 0.1512
Power Corrodes the Spirit 434 30.34 -4.132 56.22% -2.024 -0.0032
Promising Farmlands 371 28.36 -5.178 51.48% -2.253 -0.0388
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 134 37.78 -0.714 76.12% -1.16 -0.7493
Thriving Communities 418 27.67 -5.512 48.33% -2.386 -0.293
Unnatural Proliferation 486 30.99 -3.704 55.35% -2.052 0.0372
Untended Land Crumbles 465 29.47 -4.538 52.26% -2.166 -0.0599

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1782 58.98% 36.6 -0.15 71.66% 0.318 -0.7941
B 1791 58.87% 36.84 -0.01 72.75% 0.421 -0.7865
C 1972 60.09% 37.09 0.249 74.19% 0.529 -0.9101
D 1666 58.36% 36.35 -0.32 71.55% 0.314 -0.8876
E 1737 56.99% 37.48 0.363 74.32% 0.491 -0.8212
F 1621 58.44% 36.71 -0.111 71.81% 0.356 -0.9099
G 1386 58.55% 36.73 -0.108 71.86% 0.379 -0.8775
H 1375 55.73% 37.57 0.191 74.18% 0.411 -0.8553
East 265 58.11% 43.66 1.98 70.57% 0.494 -0.4868
Northeast 229 62.01% 39.31 -0.031 58.95% -0.207 -1.1383
Northwest 238 59.49% 39.4 -0.067 60.5% -0.018 -1.0174
Southeast 172 54.97% 43.59 1.722 72.67% 0.555 -0.4707
Southwest 147 51.37% 38.64 -1.64 66.67% -0.216 -0.8356
West 264 56.82% 43.13 1.462 69.32% 0.315 -0.4097

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 39.36 -1.18 72.22% -1.28 0.774
Not Using Events or Tokens 47 62.22% 32.7 -1.996 61.7% -0.475 -0.2576
Skip Initial Invader Actions 203 16.58% 53.89 5.482 93.6% 1.147 0.4529
Start of Game Growth 294 20.69% 50.87 4.168 90.48% 0.378 -0.0848
Unlimited Undo 726 49.5% 39.9 1.109 79.75% 0.379 -0.042
Using Tokens but Not Events 726 53.03% 37.47 -0.043 74.38% 0.03 -0.0224

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1491 22.34 13.55%
II 4692 30.81 68.78%
III 2637 34.31 94.65%
IV 1097 37.5 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.138 Win Model: -0.067
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6729 58.74% 36.75 69.77%
2 2146 60.86% 36.19 70.04%
3 636 58.93% 38.02 76.73%
4 406 49.51% 41.62 82.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 201
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2458
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3104
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1082
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1393
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 111
Win: Scenario condition 131
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1264
Lose: Spirit destroyed 92

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 706 52.91% 39.33 0.935 68.84% 0.097 0.2298
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 429 79.21% 32.24 -2.073 47.09% -0.464 -0.2359
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 618 62.24% 39.07 0.885 70.06% 0.339 0.2532
Eyes Watch From the Trees 885 46.37% 43.11 2.681 77.51% 0.49 0.1172
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 635 56.15% 40.13 1.146 68.98% 0.176 -0.0848
Fractured Days Split the Sky 228 58.77% 40.1 1.377 62.72% -0.171 0.1973
Heart of the Wildfire 800 80.03% 33.03 -1.774 54.75% -0.117 0.2336
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1462 59.44% 37.71 0.073 64.64% -0.071 -0.3749
Lightning's Swift Strike 785 68.54% 36.78 -0.158 61.15% 0.001 0.2599
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 709 72.88% 35.67 -0.744 60.37% -0.049 -0.3223
Many Minds Move as One 484 48.03% 43.8 3.118 81.2% 0.819 0.3041
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 907 59.89% 39.15 0.612 67.59% 0.127 -0.0682
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 607 62.35% 38.24 0.485 68.2% 0.214 0.2602
River Surges in Sunlight 1057 63.95% 40.73 1.777 67.83% 0.238 0.3906
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 603 63.33% 37.53 -0.267 65.01% -0.008 0.1366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 348 79.6% 30.55 -3.103 40.8% -0.718 -0.2767
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 709 52.9% 40.02 1.194 69.39% 0.134 0.0622
Shroud of Silent Mist 152 86.18% 28.92 -3.446 41.45% -0.602 -0.6222
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1996 52.71% 38.02 0.403 72.65% 0.32 0.2996
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 466 70.47% 34.78 -1.117 54.51% -0.277 -0.074
Thunderspeaker 530 68.62% 39.32 0.783 65.47% 0.223 0.2741
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1256 86.9% 30.14 -3.223 49.44% -0.322 -0.3139
Vital Strength of the Earth 408 71.81% 29.9 -3.525 39.22% -0.992 -0.1221
Volcano Looming High 505 74.85% 35.48 -0.472 62.38% 0.123 0.0994

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 107 49.53% 37.16 -1.3 61.68% -0.55 0.0228
Dahan Insurrection 4 89 53.93% 54.8 8.407 62.92% -0.228 0.1714
Despicable Theft 2 5 60.0% 40.4 2.208 60.0% -0.063 0.2191
Elemental Invocation 1 41 70.73% 36.17 -0.857 51.22% -0.645 -0.205
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 485 16.91% 44.57 2.605 71.55% -0.61 -0.2446
Powers Long Forgotten 1 56 73.21% 38.88 0.718 53.57% -0.283 0.1585
Rituals of Terror 3 41 70.73% 43.56 3.105 46.34% -0.579 0.065
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 18 88.89% 42.83 3.62 44.44% -0.148 0.4941
Second Wave 0 219 56.42% 36.95 -0.515 54.79% -0.764 -0.3356
The Great River 3 14 28.57% 33.64 -2.195 21.43% -2.193 -0.7336
Ward the Shores 2 28 53.57% 38.5 0.498 46.43% -0.968 0.0689

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7582 64.46% 36.75 -0.033 63.56% -0.241 0.0914
1 Thematic 582 62.54% 40.33 0.639 57.04% -0.219 0.2795
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1680 66.27% 36.32 -0.245 63.04% -0.288 -0.0879
2 Coastline 164 66.46% 39.16 1.3 73.17% 0.303 0.4573
2 Fragment 45 65.12% 35.69 -0.385 57.78% -0.339 0.0566
2 Heart 28 76.0% 36.89 0.197 67.86% -0.054 0.2678
2 Opposite Shores 325 64.62% 35.99 -0.534 62.15% -0.351 -0.1222
2 Thematic 144 76.76% 32.98 -1.816 38.19% -0.167 -0.1059
2 Top to Top 58 53.45% 39.93 1.215 72.41% 0.009 0.1408
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.2 2.309 80.0% 0.373 0.3344
3 Other 43 55.81% 43.81 2.675 88.37% 0.422 0.8423
3 Round (Default) 700 68.05% 36.91 -0.143 64.29% -0.207 -0.1514
3 Sunrise 4 25.0% 38.5 0.102 75.0% -0.158 -0.3523
3 Thematic 30 83.33% 29.1 -4.228 26.67% -0.28 -0.6095
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 26.0 -10.388 0.0% -0.544 -0.4978
4 Other 25 60.0% 42.92 2.302 84.0% 0.282 0.3941
4 Thematic 73 54.79% 45.26 2.08 63.01% 1.215 0.191
4 Trapezoid (Default) 382 51.19% 40.22 0.322 72.51% -0.206 -0.1718
5 Other 7 28.57% 47.57 3.702 100.0% 0.474 0.2196

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 530 31.23 -3.748 47.92% -1.948 0.1258
Aid From Lesser Spirits 450 34.03 -2.491 54.67% -1.707 0.2123
All Things Weaken 601 31.55 -3.713 48.75% -1.937 0.2215
Back Against the Wall 427 33.99 -2.386 54.8% -1.637 0.4566
Disintegrating Ecosystem 537 29.25 -4.797 46.18% -2.0 0.2249
Downward Spiral 657 32.12 -3.35 54.49% -1.641 0.3797
Erosion of Will 565 30.58 -4.184 46.9% -2.003 0.206
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 241 36.95 -1.258 64.32% -1.346 -0.6538
Memory Fades to Dust 557 30.71 -4.044 49.01% -1.905 0.313
Power Corrodes the Spirit 614 30.57 -4.198 48.37% -1.943 0.0776
Promising Farmlands 520 30.18 -4.353 46.92% -1.965 0.2493
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 175 39.36 0.246 72.57% -0.821 -0.4097
Thriving Communities 535 28.83 -4.967 42.99% -2.128 -0.0342
Unnatural Proliferation 627 30.72 -4.107 44.98% -2.072 0.017
Untended Land Crumbles 606 29.96 -4.534 45.21% -2.067 0.0392

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2061 63.38% 37.45 0.199 65.7% 0.534 -0.5778
B 2097 61.93% 37.24 0.058 64.9% 0.463 -0.7449
C 2425 64.84% 36.71 -0.115 63.92% 0.458 -0.9809
D 2051 65.02% 36.98 -0.105 64.75% 0.488 -0.7142
E 2116 64.73% 37.39 0.187 65.5% 0.527 -0.7849
F 1949 63.54% 37.17 0.042 64.8% 0.487 -0.7784
G 1730 63.52% 36.72 -0.379 63.76% 0.366 -0.8905
H 1709 63.62% 37.85 0.325 67.06% 0.607 -0.6585
East 290 63.67% 41.93 1.694 56.55% 0.255 -0.7259
Northeast 204 67.98% 38.54 -0.202 47.06% -0.225 -1.1562
Northwest 159 68.99% 37.87 -0.638 45.91% -0.179 -1.1783
Southeast 194 63.92% 38.53 -0.397 53.61% -0.063 -1.0883
Southwest 147 65.99% 34.76 -2.152 50.34% -0.083 -0.7029
West 225 63.39% 39.45 0.245 51.11% -0.07 -0.7947

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 41.63 -0.725 75.0% -0.921 1.1331
Not Using Events or Tokens 47 65.96% 32.64 -2.164 51.06% -0.612 -0.3944
Skip Initial Invader Actions 305 11.0% 56.02 5.888 96.39% 1.177 0.4838
Start of Game Growth 431 15.06% 53.76 5.192 93.74% 0.976 0.5132
Unlimited Undo 828 58.0% 40.43 1.135 71.98% 0.244 -0.1771
Using Tokens but Not Events 599 55.3% 38.5 0.363 70.12% 0.089 0.0362

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2143 22.34 7.51%
II 5289 30.81 60.81%
III 3577 34.31 91.86%
IV 869 37.5 99.54%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.001 Win Model: -0.49
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8181 64.28% 37.03 63.16%
2 2457 66.54% 36.35 62.39%
3 770 67.58% 36.95 64.03%
4 470 51.82% 41.06 71.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 161
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3244
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3149
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 861
Lose: Invader deck ran out 118
Lose: Adversary condition 2343
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 131
Win: Scenario condition 69
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1644
Lose: Spirit destroyed 114

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 412 71.84% 43.59 2.44 63.11% 0.52 0.6526
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 221 92.31% 34.44 -1.712 38.46% -0.211 0.0176
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 348 89.66% 33.85 -2.301 38.22% -0.37 -0.4558
Eyes Watch From the Trees 527 72.14% 43.76 2.398 59.96% 0.407 0.0335
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 396 81.57% 39.95 0.455 51.77% 0.11 -0.1501
Fractured Days Split the Sky 168 79.17% 43.25 1.923 51.79% -0.029 0.3388
Heart of the Wildfire 904 86.46% 36.22 -1.591 46.46% -0.145 0.2054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 784 75.22% 38.33 -0.645 49.36% -0.21 -0.5137
Lightning's Swift Strike 319 91.51% 36.18 -1.197 43.26% -0.108 0.1513
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 513 79.14% 40.07 0.38 52.44% 0.081 -0.1922
Many Minds Move as One 289 62.28% 48.78 4.892 74.05% 0.937 0.4217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 395 84.81% 34.13 -2.245 37.97% -0.367 -0.5626
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 364 85.12% 38.1 -0.112 50.0% 0.139 0.1845
River Surges in Sunlight 603 81.17% 39.53 0.407 46.43% -0.098 0.0539
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 364 76.1% 42.36 1.298 59.34% 0.34 0.4844
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 215 87.44% 37.29 -0.737 43.72% -0.141 0.2997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 251 74.1% 40.08 -0.102 51.39% -0.072 -0.1441
Shroud of Silent Mist 128 89.84% 35.55 -1.769 43.75% -0.199 -0.2192
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1661 61.88% 42.76 2.211 67.79% 0.677 0.6566
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 346 83.82% 34.67 -1.919 38.15% -0.382 -0.1794
Thunderspeaker 315 88.57% 37.64 -0.571 45.08% -0.083 -0.0316
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1156 93.43% 34.88 -2.17 44.72% -0.19 -0.1818
Vital Strength of the Earth 210 85.24% 30.75 -4.068 27.14% -0.994 -0.124
Volcano Looming High 334 89.82% 35.5 -1.739 45.21% -0.182 -0.2056

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 58 67.24% 40.1 -0.017 51.72% -0.201 0.3718
Dahan Insurrection 4 25 76.0% 58.28 9.484 56.0% 0.182 0.5813
Despicable Theft 2 2 50.0% 46.5 2.836 50.0% -0.193 0.0892
Elemental Invocation 1 16 68.75% 38.56 -0.572 43.75% -0.592 -0.1526
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 264 24.62% 47.79 3.603 62.88% -0.239 0.1264
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 91.3% 34.96 -1.973 30.43% -0.653 -0.2121
Rituals of Terror 3 13 76.92% 49.08 5.292 46.15% -0.164 0.4795
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 94.12% 40.53 0.695 35.29% -0.655 -0.0136
Second Wave 0 133 72.73% 36.62 -1.238 41.35% -0.596 -0.1678
The Great River 3 8 25.0% 27.75 -6.316 0.0% -2.057 -0.597
Ward the Shores 2 23 86.96% 35.52 -1.064 26.09% -0.817 0.2203

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4917 78.95% 39.38 0.518 53.87% 0.021 0.354
1 Thematic 208 78.37% 38.72 -0.184 41.35% -0.226 0.2719
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1206 82.34% 38.04 -0.218 50.0% -0.172 0.0284
2 Coastline 113 79.65% 37.47 -0.598 46.02% -0.364 -0.2095
2 Fragment 21 90.48% 37.33 -0.682 42.86% -0.361 0.0353
2 Heart 10 90.0% 36.7 -0.9 50.0% -0.219 0.103
2 Opposite Shores 254 83.79% 34.48 -2.0 41.73% -0.587 -0.3575
2 Thematic 60 80.0% 36.13 -1.468 38.33% -0.136 -0.0752
2 Top to Top 42 85.71% 36.02 -0.634 47.62% -0.09 0.0416
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.5 8.39 100.0% 0.61 0.5722
3 Other 32 75.0% 46.06 3.147 75.0% 0.318 0.7383
3 Round (Default) 464 83.19% 37.4 -0.239 48.71% -0.165 -0.1087
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 -9.22 0.0% -0.473 -0.6668
3 Thematic 14 92.86% 37.5 -1.114 35.71% 0.122 -0.2069
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 8.242 100.0% 0.847 0.8933
4 Other 17 64.71% 46.94 2.719 76.47% 0.146 0.2585
4 Thematic 93 61.29% 46.55 1.131 55.91% 0.518 -0.5062
4 Trapezoid (Default) 181 76.4% 38.64 -0.726 49.17% -0.515 -0.4807
5 Other 2 100.0% 55.5 7.456 100.0% 0.525 0.2703
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 9.486 100.0% 0.489 -2.4543

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 446 36.76 -1.86 47.53% -1.302 0.7711
Aid From Lesser Spirits 363 38.18 -0.972 48.48% -1.185 0.7341
All Things Weaken 487 34.71 -2.937 41.07% -1.563 0.5955
Back Against the Wall 353 39.16 -0.657 50.71% -1.142 0.9524
Disintegrating Ecosystem 458 34.1 -3.252 43.89% -1.442 0.7823
Downward Spiral 436 34.29 -3.175 41.97% -1.548 0.4734
Erosion of Will 444 35.69 -2.406 42.34% -1.503 0.7052
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 148 40.04 -0.431 53.38% -1.086 -0.3937
Memory Fades to Dust 522 35.41 -2.605 45.4% -1.394 0.8245
Power Corrodes the Spirit 476 35.57 -2.502 45.17% -1.391 0.6295
Promising Farmlands 425 32.53 -4.071 37.18% -1.745 0.4692
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 102 43.58 1.132 61.76% -0.76 -0.3492
Thriving Communities 454 34.17 -3.156 43.61% -1.439 0.6547
Unnatural Proliferation 494 36.7 -1.898 45.95% -1.366 0.7231
Untended Land Crumbles 478 33.18 -3.682 38.28% -1.68 0.4262

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1332 79.8% 38.58 -0.107 51.58% 0.544 -0.5678
B 1503 80.52% 38.84 -0.083 52.76% 0.542 -0.6663
C 1730 79.76% 38.84 0.059 52.25% 0.564 -0.8748
D 1279 82.64% 38.2 -0.204 50.35% 0.54 -0.6621
E 1303 80.58% 38.43 -0.156 50.65% 0.502 -0.8104
F 1283 80.22% 38.85 0.062 52.53% 0.586 -0.6799
G 1066 80.43% 37.94 -0.44 49.91% 0.475 -0.7815
H 1040 78.88% 38.87 0.03 52.02% 0.564 -0.7016
East 160 70.0% 43.41 0.651 48.75% 0.277 -0.7039
Northeast 114 72.81% 42.88 0.495 46.49% 0.13 -0.8012
Northwest 105 72.38% 41.36 -0.004 45.71% 0.24 -0.7596
Southeast 103 70.87% 41.63 0.178 49.51% 0.299 -0.7264
Southwest 106 72.64% 39.32 -1.113 45.28% 0.238 -0.3822
West 145 68.28% 43.56 0.416 49.66% 0.192 -0.5327

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 40.0 -0.876 60.0% -0.392 1.6625
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 90.91% 37.95 0.083 50.0% 0.143 0.3608
Skip Initial Invader Actions 89 45.45% 55.89 5.263 84.27% 0.837 0.1432
Start of Game Growth 204 48.77% 50.99 4.0 73.53% 0.468 0.0047
Unlimited Undo 637 74.06% 43.2 1.715 62.79% 0.361 -0.0594
Using Tokens but Not Events 303 76.85% 38.07 -1.023 50.83% -0.301 -0.3532

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1967 22.34 3.2%
II 3200 30.81 50.16%
III 1922 34.31 91.1%
IV 553 37.5 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.241 Win Model: -0.573
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5138 78.94% 39.38 53.43%
2 1715 82.38% 37.41 48.16%
3 501 82.44% 37.69 49.3%
4 288 72.28% 41.61 52.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 63
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1729
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1572
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 543
Lose: Invader deck ran out 47
Lose: Adversary condition 1873
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 93
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1549
Lose: Spirit destroyed 110

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 205 71.22% 43.21 2.581 52.2% 0.541 0.6734
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 101 89.11% 35.41 -0.824 32.67% -0.247 -0.0187
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 166 91.57% 31.57 -2.758 25.9% -0.493 -0.5786
Eyes Watch From the Trees 162 70.37% 45.26 3.715 54.94% 0.522 0.1488
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 140 92.14% 38.39 0.289 40.71% 0.119 -0.1411
Fractured Days Split the Sky 78 83.33% 46.74 3.893 52.56% 0.481 0.8493
Heart of the Wildfire 343 87.17% 33.43 -2.475 32.36% -0.365 -0.0153
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 492 81.5% 33.83 -0.596 27.64% -0.09 -0.3942
Lightning's Swift Strike 150 94.0% 34.25 -1.483 30.67% -0.19 0.0697
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 187 88.24% 37.54 -0.154 40.11% 0.051 -0.2221
Many Minds Move as One 129 68.22% 50.15 6.394 68.99% 1.126 0.6109
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 211 80.09% 39.2 0.683 42.18% 0.25 0.0547
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 133 82.71% 38.74 0.77 41.35% 0.114 0.1601
River Surges in Sunlight 244 84.43% 39.27 0.835 38.11% 0.004 0.1559
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 193 79.79% 39.79 0.302 43.01% 0.001 0.1451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 150 94.67% 29.93 -3.201 16.67% -0.911 -0.4698
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 95 78.95% 36.19 -1.258 34.74% -0.297 -0.3688
Shroud of Silent Mist 34 97.06% 36.94 -0.169 38.24% 0.02 0.0002
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 729 67.49% 41.5 2.215 57.61% 0.666 0.6457
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 153 86.93% 33.1 -2.08 24.84% -0.471 -0.2678
Thunderspeaker 127 96.85% 34.98 -1.141 31.5% -0.17 -0.1192
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 461 95.01% 35.77 -1.04 39.48% 0.011 0.0192
Vital Strength of the Earth 90 85.56% 32.28 -2.408 24.44% -0.596 0.2736
Volcano Looming High 151 92.05% 31.8 -2.9 29.14% -0.414 -0.4375

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 23 86.96% 33.48 -2.61 30.43% -0.516 0.0569
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 94.87% 35.1 0.174 7.69% -1.176 -0.7765
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 23.67 -6.615 0.0% -0.693 -0.4101
Elemental Invocation 1 6 66.67% 48.83 3.743 66.67% 0.286 0.7252
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 113 27.43% 42.58 1.791 42.48% -0.654 -0.288
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 75.0% 48.63 5.621 50.0% 0.34 0.7814
Rituals of Terror 3 7 100.0% 36.57 -0.005 14.29% -0.457 0.1865
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 -3.407 1.14% -2.248 -1.6061
Second Wave 0 41 63.41% 35.83 -2.043 34.15% -0.814 -0.3854
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 -0.182 22.22% -0.629 0.4081

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2249 83.06% 37.51 0.548 41.84% -0.03 0.303
1 Thematic 315 88.57% 30.58 -1.254 13.02% -0.349 0.1492
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 505 87.33% 35.31 -1.147 35.05% -0.437 -0.2366
2 Coastline 49 79.59% 40.76 1.351 53.06% 0.04 0.1942
2 Fragment 6 100.0% 44.83 4.67 66.67% 0.837 1.2329
2 Heart 3 33.33% 50.0 6.249 66.67% 0.172 0.4942
2 Opposite Shores 80 87.5% 38.86 0.714 43.75% -0.037 0.1925
2 Thematic 22 81.82% 31.32 -3.975 9.09% -1.311 -1.2502
2 Top to Top 43 97.67% 36.21 -0.424 37.21% -0.285 -0.1532
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 -1.229 33.33% 0.045 0.0069
3 Other 12 66.67% 54.33 7.209 83.33% 0.947 1.3673
3 Round (Default) 148 79.05% 41.14 1.578 50.0% 0.23 0.2861
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 -6.276 0.0% -0.504 -0.6982
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 25.5 -5.14 0.0% -0.244 -0.5732
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 7.488 80.0% 0.455 0.5673
4 Thematic 32 62.5% 50.38 2.835 56.25% 0.936 -0.0881
4 Trapezoid (Default) 74 74.32% 37.59 -1.029 39.19% -0.482 -0.4474
5 Other 4 75.0% 50.0 1.355 75.0% 0.035 -0.2197

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 245 34.8 -1.763 32.24% -1.249 0.8241
Aid From Lesser Spirits 176 39.41 0.467 44.32% -0.784 1.135
All Things Weaken 231 33.91 -2.307 32.03% -1.347 0.8121
Back Against the Wall 179 34.64 -1.961 31.28% -1.327 0.7672
Disintegrating Ecosystem 212 34.73 -1.847 36.79% -1.069 1.1559
Downward Spiral 234 31.87 -3.084 28.21% -1.414 0.607
Erosion of Will 233 33.67 -2.244 30.04% -1.358 0.8511
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 44 44.34 2.246 54.55% -0.51 0.1824
Memory Fades to Dust 216 32.47 -2.948 28.24% -1.494 0.7242
Power Corrodes the Spirit 239 33.26 -2.423 30.54% -1.329 0.6923
Promising Farmlands 184 33.88 -2.107 32.61% -1.237 0.9773
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 41 46.41 3.792 60.98% 0.005 0.4162
Thriving Communities 257 33.06 -2.784 32.68% -1.318 0.7748
Unnatural Proliferation 235 34.49 -1.91 32.34% -1.262 0.827
Untended Land Crumbles 249 31.29 -3.892 26.1% -1.729 0.3771

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 560 85.54% 36.07 -0.765 36.79% 0.114 -0.9979
B 596 83.72% 38.26 0.338 43.79% 0.367 -0.8415
C 707 83.88% 39.44 1.172 46.53% 0.558 -0.8808
D 546 82.6% 36.84 -0.38 39.74% 0.173 -1.0285
E 581 81.76% 36.59 -0.371 39.07% 0.199 -1.1129
F 541 83.36% 37.06 -0.274 40.85% 0.249 -1.0169
G 433 80.14% 38.71 0.803 43.19% 0.45 -0.8067
H 491 82.08% 38.93 0.514 43.99% 0.334 -0.9321
East 52 65.38% 46.96 2.585 46.15% 0.226 -0.7546
Northeast 48 85.42% 39.65 0.109 31.25% -0.044 -0.9755
Northwest 76 90.79% 31.67 -1.669 13.16% -0.552 -1.5514
Southeast 47 72.34% 45.72 3.213 46.81% 0.766 -0.2594
Southwest 201 85.57% 28.16 -2.72 9.45% -0.471 -1.0907
West 66 74.24% 44.62 2.386 39.39% 0.444 -0.2806

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 -3.208 21.43% -0.233 -0.0151
Skip Initial Invader Actions 33 45.45% 59.27 6.528 81.82% 1.106 0.4129
Start of Game Growth 67 47.76% 53.24 4.503 70.15% 0.249 -0.2143
Unlimited Undo 328 75.3% 43.3 2.384 54.88% 0.397 -0.0232
Using Tokens but Not Events 161 75.16% 40.75 0.797 50.93% 0.067 0.0147

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1012 22.34 0.69%
II 1469 30.81 26.96%
III 798 34.31 88.35%
IV 275 37.5 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.062 Win Model: -0.339
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2573 83.75% 36.72 38.44%
2 704 87.07% 36.02 36.65%
3 165 77.58% 41.81 51.52%
4 112 70.54% 41.78 45.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 699
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 392
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 273
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 1031
Win: Sacrifice victory 7
Lose: Scenario condition 63
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1000
Lose: Spirit destroyed 57

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 980 73.54% 44.44 1.874 47.04% 0.527 0.6596
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 511 90.61% 33.6 -3.233 22.31% -0.6 -0.3713
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 479 91.65% 32.15 -3.718 20.88% -0.61 -0.6959
Eyes Watch From the Trees 773 84.46% 39.38 -0.054 34.41% 0.105 -0.2684
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 727 89.0% 35.43 -1.892 27.1% -0.179 -0.4394
Fractured Days Split the Sky 632 78.96% 45.09 1.826 40.51% 0.069 0.4367
Heart of the Wildfire 1918 89.09% 35.41 -2.782 30.29% -0.294 0.0564
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1983 75.14% 41.89 0.419 42.16% 0.164 -0.1394
Lightning's Swift Strike 1080 92.76% 31.42 -4.215 19.91% -0.7 -0.4407
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1469 89.23% 35.87 -2.225 28.59% -0.268 -0.5414
Many Minds Move as One 607 71.95% 52.92 6.473 66.23% 1.371 0.856
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 771 85.18% 36.25 -2.143 29.31% -0.277 -0.4726
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 747 88.74% 37.23 -1.1 31.86% -0.006 0.04
River Surges in Sunlight 1406 87.75% 43.77 2.114 40.9% 0.452 0.6045
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1050 77.33% 46.89 2.318 51.9% 0.47 0.6147
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 554 75.45% 36.57 -2.034 24.73% -0.382 0.0591
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 617 82.01% 37.57 -1.883 30.31% -0.343 -0.4146
Shroud of Silent Mist 174 83.91% 37.89 -2.345 32.18% -0.368 -0.3873
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5796 55.68% 48.27 4.271 63.6% 1.068 1.0478
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 549 87.77% 36.32 -1.618 28.6% -0.102 0.1008
Thunderspeaker 579 87.39% 35.11 -2.468 22.97% -0.448 -0.3973
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3187 94.38% 35.96 -2.187 33.26% -0.03 -0.0221
Vital Strength of the Earth 417 85.13% 33.07 -3.47 21.82% -0.698 0.1719
Volcano Looming High 913 88.28% 36.12 -2.25 31.76% -0.191 -0.2138

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 207 53.62% 45.19 -0.86 49.28% -0.675 -0.1017
Dahan Insurrection 4 158 75.95% 47.36 3.191 22.78% -0.915 -0.5155
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 67.0 10.541 100.0% 0.173 0.4554
Elemental Invocation 1 29 72.41% 37.48 -2.244 31.03% -0.863 -0.4237
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1209 30.02% 47.77 1.749 45.33% -0.687 -0.3214
Powers Long Forgotten 1 35 68.57% 42.54 -0.672 42.86% -0.68 -0.2385
Rituals of Terror 3 15 35.71% 70.4 8.96 66.67% -0.282 0.3619
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 68.75% 42.75 -0.91 25.0% -1.097 -0.4553
Second Wave 0 77 55.84% 43.49 0.723 41.56% -0.369 0.0592
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 47.5 2.948 25.0% -0.685 0.7748
Ward the Shores 2 29 93.1% 32.24 -3.11 10.34% -1.173 -0.136

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17798 78.54% 40.93 0.533 42.46% -0.224 0.1092
1 Thematic 555 73.15% 40.76 -0.831 31.71% -0.69 -0.192
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1922 85.48% 39.45 0.124 38.24% 0.017 0.2169
2 Coastline 300 77.33% 40.1 -0.176 38.67% -0.149 0.0061
2 Fragment 37 91.89% 38.0 -0.82 32.43% -0.545 -0.1489
2 Heart 61 81.97% 39.64 -0.629 37.7% -0.728 -0.4057
2 Opposite Shores 447 84.75% 31.99 -3.812 21.48% -1.02 -0.7909
2 Thematic 80 82.5% 36.23 -2.751 16.25% -0.819 -0.7575
2 Top to Top 74 86.49% 43.46 1.309 47.3% -0.085 0.047
3 Coastline 2 100.0% 47.0 5.586 50.0% 0.515 0.4772
3 Other 42 83.33% 44.88 2.409 52.38% 0.183 0.6028
3 Round (Default) 590 81.19% 38.92 -0.047 36.1% 0.259 0.3151
3 Thematic 9 66.67% 47.78 0.865 44.44% 0.29 -0.0398
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 -10.35 0.0% -0.297 -0.2503
4 Other 22 81.82% 52.18 4.205 68.18% 0.608 0.7204
4 Thematic 104 34.62% 58.9 2.101 61.54% 1.078 0.0543
4 Trapezoid (Default) 332 86.02% 37.4 -0.954 31.93% 0.355 0.3895
5 Other 17 47.06% 59.29 4.648 82.35% 0.485 0.2298
5 Thematic 6 33.33% 67.17 5.983 83.33% 0.782 -2.1614

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1381 37.51 -2.019 34.25% -1.11 0.9636
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1061 40.91 -0.283 40.62% -0.801 1.1179
All Things Weaken 1406 36.74 -2.347 33.14% -1.144 1.0151
Back Against the Wall 1000 40.65 -0.452 40.5% -0.831 1.2632
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1333 34.65 -3.454 31.96% -1.212 1.0123
Downward Spiral 1402 36.12 -2.781 32.67% -1.165 0.8561
Erosion of Will 1264 35.34 -3.114 29.03% -1.371 0.8379
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 386 44.2 0.756 48.96% -0.638 0.055
Memory Fades to Dust 1459 35.12 -3.223 29.47% -1.282 0.9363
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1339 35.29 -3.163 30.62% -1.304 0.717
Promising Farmlands 1282 33.94 -3.919 27.69% -1.458 0.7564
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 236 47.98 2.25 58.05% -0.325 0.0857
Thriving Communities 1383 35.33 -3.134 31.45% -1.243 0.8503
Unnatural Proliferation 1449 37.87 -1.827 33.89% -1.121 0.9689
Untended Land Crumbles 1339 34.2 -3.632 28.23% -1.385 0.721

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3553 79.0% 40.78 0.108 41.23% 0.746 -0.3658
B 3611 79.0% 40.43 0.022 40.93% 0.757 -0.4508
C 4693 80.85% 39.48 -0.328 39.14% 0.723 -0.7165
D 3240 83.38% 39.23 -0.421 38.55% 0.741 -0.461
E 3543 81.53% 40.02 -0.187 39.77% 0.736 -0.5762
F 3088 78.72% 41.14 0.367 42.49% 0.838 -0.4275
G 2702 81.01% 39.37 -0.468 38.53% 0.672 -0.5854
H 2623 78.56% 41.41 0.399 42.55% 0.802 -0.4643
East 245 59.59% 49.65 0.818 40.41% 0.404 -0.5764
Northeast 164 59.15% 48.48 0.644 39.63% 0.415 -0.5158
Northwest 147 56.46% 47.36 0.612 40.14% 0.656 -0.3438
Southeast 150 52.67% 51.18 1.569 47.33% 0.742 -0.2838
Southwest 130 55.38% 47.34 -0.377 46.15% 0.6 -0.0197
West 186 51.61% 50.45 0.51 46.77% 0.65 -0.0748

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 1.374 60.0% -0.275 1.779
Not Using Events or Tokens 101 86.14% 37.72 -0.864 10.89% -0.413 -0.1956
Skip Initial Invader Actions 884 29.85% 64.99 7.391 82.92% 1.118 0.4243
Start of Game Growth 1249 30.68% 62.69 6.723 81.59% 0.685 0.2223
Unlimited Undo 2513 68.0% 51.16 4.331 63.39% 0.799 0.3782
Using Tokens but Not Events 765 74.34% 39.59 -0.95 39.08% -0.204 -0.256

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8308 22.34 3.8%
II 9291 30.81 47.7%
III 3801 34.31 91.11%
IV 999 37.5 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.333 Win Model: -1.269
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18441 78.35% 41.0 42.3%
2 2860 84.75% 37.95 34.34%
3 634 81.55% 39.34 37.07%
4 464 72.23% 43.39 40.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 308
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3413
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4331
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 981
Lose: Invader deck ran out 141
Lose: Adversary condition 6655
Win: Sacrifice victory 136
Lose: Scenario condition 553
Win: Scenario condition 38
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5437
Lose: Spirit destroyed 406

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-02-27 02:06:44 (Pacific Time)