The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1105 27.83% 30.4 0.155 85.34% -0.156 -0.231
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 790 46.25% 28.91 0.58 77.97% 0.146 0.2248
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 952 31.37% 31.21 1.273 88.76% 0.681 0.4567
Downpour Drenches the World 110 30.0% 32.2 1.337 79.09% -0.011 0.2539
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1139 19.2% 34.86 2.542 91.92% 0.956 0.4533
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 956 26.28% 32.91 1.355 91.42% 0.303 -0.2838
Finder of Paths Unseen 43 41.86% 27.47 -0.973 69.77% -0.406 -0.0499
Fractured Days Split the Sky 402 39.8% 30.08 -3.467 74.13% -1.431 -1.3494
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 444 43.47% 31.59 0.565 81.98% 0.483 0.3882
Heart of the Wildfire 1140 60.6% 26.4 -0.048 76.84% 0.579 0.9848
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1593 28.46% 31.62 1.878 89.01% 1.028 0.4249
Lightning's Swift Strike 662 45.21% 28.58 1.466 79.31% 0.932 1.2966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 37 29.73% 36.35 1.914 89.19% 0.043 -0.7064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 352 32.38% 32.64 1.206 91.48% 0.786 0.2221
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 236 37.71% 30.24 -4.222 82.2% -0.928 -1.4225
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1158 32.82% 31.15 -0.11 87.48% 0.036 -0.1153
Many Minds Move as One 830 23.91% 32.95 0.929 91.33% -0.035 -0.6205
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1121 43.01% 29.74 -0.083 81.27% 0.187 0.0176
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 883 33.22% 30.51 -0.481 88.34% -0.346 -0.4021
River Surges in Sunlight 869 43.31% 30.27 -0.985 78.6% -0.543 -0.6172
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 366 43.56% 30.14 -3.125 71.58% -1.301 -0.8744
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 43 34.88% 37.6 1.393 83.72% 0.144 -0.197
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 822 32.24% 30.09 2.471 86.62% 0.387 0.193
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 435 55.4% 27.69 -0.759 73.1% -0.353 0.1216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 22 31.82% 34.5 3.11 77.27% -0.225 -0.0451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 42.86% 38.43 5.65 85.71% 0.096 0.1511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 256 34.38% 31.4 0.805 89.84% -0.079 -0.1018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 185 46.49% 28.39 -0.188 76.22% 0.269 0.3848
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 883 30.65% 31.69 0.283 87.43% 0.057 -0.1347
Shifting Memory of Ages 322 51.09% 28.22 -0.666 76.71% 0.355 0.5697
Shroud of Silent Mist 451 49.89% 29.42 -0.39 81.6% 0.247 0.3808
Starlight Seeks its Form 375 28.53% 31.61 -0.862 81.33% -0.286 -0.4007
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1786 28.01% 28.37 -1.346 88.41% 0.061 -0.1773
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 758 43.73% 28.58 -0.087 77.57% 0.325 0.4554
Thunderspeaker 924 38.61% 30.01 -0.326 80.41% -0.311 -0.3286
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1199 63.19% 24.87 -1.247 76.9% 0.15 -0.0652
Vital Strength of the Earth 643 37.13% 25.83 -1.872 71.7% 0.201 1.0998
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 34 17.65% 28.91 -2.2 70.59% -0.884 -0.4615
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 218 46.33% 24.92 -1.992 71.56% -0.38 0.7342
Volcano Looming High 675 45.04% 27.81 -1.878 80.44% -0.34 -0.3603

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 32.5 2.927 83.33% 0.206 0.7019
Blitz 0 192 33.51% 27.73 -0.212 78.65% -0.044 0.3987
Dahan Insurrection 4 298 24.5% 47.84 3.429 72.82% -0.533 -0.436
Despicable Theft 2 83 39.76% 36.08 1.561 77.11% -0.419 0.0796
Elemental Invocation 1 119 51.26% 28.76 0.067 68.91% -0.082 0.464
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 682 10.12% 33.87 2.232 79.33% -0.343 -0.1115
Powers Long Forgotten 1 167 52.73% 31.95 -1.145 71.86% -0.42 -0.012
Rituals of Terror 3 159 59.12% 35.47 4.36 58.49% -0.429 -0.6648
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 128 73.44% 36.65 3.149 66.41% -0.458 -0.2319
Second Wave 0 369 46.61% 31.88 -0.756 74.8% -0.896 -0.2032
The Great River 3 94 67.02% 27.86 0.0 40.43%
Varied Terrains 2 26 69.23% 34.31 0.421 61.54% -0.853 -0.0664
Ward the Shores 2 218 43.12% 33.6 0.406 64.22% -1.002 -0.1214

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11624 39.14% 29.16 -0.286 81.9% 0.421 1.0844
1 Thematic 1179 44.78% 33.36 0.051 73.96% -0.453 0.6037
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 28.42 2.873 41.67% 0.104 0.5746
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2288 40.0% 29.22 0.348 85.49% 0.356 0.8744
2 Coastline 244 37.7% 30.68 0.339 87.7% 0.884 1.0849
2 Fragment 48 64.58% 27.54 2.547 79.17% 0.102 0.3997
2 Heart 28 35.71% 29.61 0.988 100.0% 0.037 0.4978
2 Opposite Shores 312 31.83% 29.69 -4.248 86.86% -0.937 -0.3978
2 Thematic 291 45.02% 34.77 2.235 75.95% 0.196 0.9784
2 Top to Top 49 38.78% 31.14 -0.133 91.84% 0.106 0.2342
3 Archipelago 3 0.0% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 39.33 -5.74 83.33% -0.85 -1.3572
3 Other 48 35.42% 29.33 -2.025 87.5% -0.374 -1.0377
3 Round (Default) 995 31.39% 30.23 0.493 88.14% 0.166 0.4709
3 Thematic 59 47.46% 30.81 -1.29 66.1% -0.194 0.0144
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 35.67 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 26 19.23% 31.5 6.581 100.0% 0.22 -0.4936
4 Thematic 83 20.48% 39.53 -3.678 85.54% -0.212 -0.1085
4 Trapezoid (Default) 442 31.22% 28.62 -0.189 81.67% -0.055 0.023
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 15 26.67% 30.87 0.08 93.33% 0.05 -0.4659
5 Thematic 7 71.43% 36.29 0.0 71.43%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 2.939 100.0% 0.018 -0.128
6 Other 4 50.0% 30.0 -1.865 100.0% 0.027 0.0717
6 Star 5 40.0% 35.8 -1.531 100.0% 0.005 0.7749
6 Thematic 15 20.0% 43.87 0.0 93.33%
6 Two Centers (Default) 37 21.62% 35.49 1.94 100.0% 0.08 0.2713
7 Other 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 450 23.06 -3.632 63.11% -1.341 0.6298
Aid From Lesser Spirits 378 24.25 -3.777 64.02% -1.267 0.5107
All Things Weaken 529 21.99 -3.69 56.9% -1.427 0.6214
Back Against the Wall 424 25.15 -0.36 65.09% -0.293 1.6464
Disintegrating Ecosystem 445 21.37 -5.329 59.1% -1.595 0.5334
Downward Spiral 605 22.04 -3.621 62.48% -1.592 0.3694
Erosion of Will 497 23.47 -4.374 60.56% -1.691 0.3905
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 256 27.57 -1.266 82.42% -0.738 -0.2363
Memory Fades to Dust 575 23.18 -3.662 62.26% -1.546 0.5953
Power Corrodes the Spirit 547 22.92 -4.394 64.35% -1.624 0.3566
Promising Farmlands 461 22.82 -4.709 62.04% -1.886 0.1352
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 177 29.06 -1.807 89.83% -0.211 0.2858
Thriving Communities 537 21.55 -4.513 60.52% -1.622 0.4375
Unnatural Proliferation 513 22.09 -4.269 52.83% -1.856 0.1005
Untended Land Crumbles 513 21.76 -4.453 58.87% -1.801 0.2324

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3109 38.59% 29.17 -0.038 83.92% 0.041 0.7778
B 2973 37.61% 29.09 0.459 83.59% 0.117 0.8146
C 3175 35.35% 29.76 0.127 84.79% -0.159 0.3109
D 2980 37.48% 29.46 0.28 83.96% 0.207 0.9169
E 2930 37.23% 29.47 -0.402 84.06% -0.285 0.2589
F 2836 36.86% 29.68 -0.072 84.52% 0.118 0.7799
G 2568 38.58% 29.13 -0.494 83.76% -0.301 0.3302
H 2553 36.41% 29.73 0.793 83.67% 0.128 0.7923
East 968 41.43% 36.03 4.044 78.31% 0.369 1.0303
Northeast 446 40.81% 36.67 1.677 78.92% -0.066 0.5939
Northwest 345 44.93% 33.39 -2.158 66.67% -0.695 -0.0846
Southeast 334 37.72% 34.83 -2.597 79.04% -0.955 -0.4242
Southwest 314 38.54% 31.39 -2.751 77.07% -0.517 0.4516
West 856 44.28% 32.83 3.135 71.5% 0.374 1.1794

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 63 0.0% 28.92 -0.567 80.95% -0.34 1.8891
Not Using Events or Tokens 353 39.46% 27.27 -1.548 75.07% -0.366 -0.1396
Skip Initial Invader Actions 407 6.11% 41.02 3.535 93.37% -0.611 -1.5908
Start of Game Growth 659 13.82% 39.05 1.814 91.65% 0.356 -0.1008
Unlimited Undo 1184 31.9% 31.59 1.524 88.51% 0.413 -0.1384
Using Tokens but Not Events 1429 31.8% 29.73 0.197 81.18% -0.037 0.1185

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1271 22.65 27.69%
II 3863 31.08 64.22%
III 8139 34.66 90.12%
IV 4566 37.91 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.209 Win Model: 0.439
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12913 39.81% 29.56 80.99%
2 3217 39.28% 29.87 85.7%
3 1087 31.95% 30.33 87.03%
4 550 29.64% 30.35 82.91%
5 7 28.57% 35.86 100.0%
6 65 24.62% 37.42 98.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 350
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7125
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2301
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4475
Lose: Invader deck ran out 125
Lose: Adversary condition 1234
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 206
Win: Scenario condition 357
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 98

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 817 32.72% 34.82 -1.971 84.7% -0.709 -0.7842
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 507 58.02% 31.52 0.475 71.6% 0.518 0.5963
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 661 30.91% 35.69 0.572 87.29% 0.3 0.076
Downpour Drenches the World 73 26.03% 32.73 -0.158 72.6% -0.269 -0.0041
Eyes Watch From the Trees 929 21.57% 39.13 1.49 91.5% 0.249 -0.2539
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 695 30.26% 36.15 1.131 87.05% 0.565 -0.0214
Finder of Paths Unseen 31 58.06% 27.87 -1.271 58.06% -0.248 0.1075
Fractured Days Split the Sky 252 47.62% 34.24 -0.565 73.41% -0.12 -0.0381
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 309 46.6% 36.18 -1.065 82.2% -0.316 -0.4106
Heart of the Wildfire 811 60.67% 30.98 -2.156 77.19% -0.392 0.0133
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1156 39.64% 34.28 1.059 85.03% 1.101 0.4973
Lightning's Swift Strike 479 46.86% 33.34 -2.055 80.79% -0.375 -0.0102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 23 43.48% 37.65 1.905 91.3% -0.222 -0.9715
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 242 30.99% 36.8 -0.917 85.54% -0.44 -1.0037
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 171 35.67% 36.42 4.042 83.63% 0.537 0.0428
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 847 44.76% 34.19 -0.729 81.7% -0.186 -0.3377
Many Minds Move as One 616 29.53% 37.5 1.671 90.75% 0.392 -0.1939
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 867 45.8% 34.04 0.115 81.31% -0.427 -0.5965
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 669 38.32% 34.47 -1.36 84.01% -0.276 -0.332
River Surges in Sunlight 697 44.11% 34.54 -1.235 75.04% -0.682 -0.7564
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 255 52.96% 33.17 4.498 67.84% 0.205 0.6311
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 42 28.57% 41.21 2.627 90.48% 0.649 0.3084
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 540 44.71% 32.8 0.64 79.63% 0.571 0.3777
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 297 66.33% 29.3 -3.401 65.99% -0.557 -0.0824
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 37.5% 33.25 -0.92 62.5% -0.35 -0.1704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 7 28.57% 35.57 -0.878 71.43% 0.052 0.1076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 191 48.69% 32.88 -3.811 77.49% -0.318 -0.3402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 57.78% 34.46 -3.191 80.0% -0.337 -0.2217
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 695 40.35% 35.77 0.116 85.9% 0.574 0.3829
Shifting Memory of Ages 282 48.23% 31.45 -0.588 73.4% -0.072 0.1428
Shroud of Silent Mist 346 65.9% 29.43 -2.057 69.36% -0.094 0.0405
Starlight Seeks its Form 457 27.79% 36.93 1.377 87.31% 0.666 0.5513
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1443 34.01% 33.17 -1.143 87.04% 0.046 -0.1931
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 549 50.37% 31.04 -2.369 71.22% -0.718 -0.5881
Thunderspeaker 671 43.07% 35.95 1.251 80.33% 0.424 0.4067
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1000 75.68% 27.32 -1.921 71.8% 0.377 0.1617
Vital Strength of the Earth 445 45.39% 29.1 -2.184 68.09% -0.342 0.5561
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 25 20.0% 34.24 0.523 68.0% -0.013 0.4094
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 178 46.07% 28.06 -0.726 63.48% -0.029 1.0849
Volcano Looming High 553 47.26% 32.66 -0.37 80.83% 0.44 0.4192

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 39.67 -4.87 83.33% -0.25 0.2463
Blitz 0 207 43.0% 30.22 -3.547 70.05% -0.482 -0.0391
Dahan Insurrection 4 260 25.77% 55.35 5.727 79.23% -0.372 -0.2751
Despicable Theft 2 38 60.53% 37.61 3.382 65.79% 0.04 0.5387
Elemental Invocation 1 88 64.77% 30.49 -2.909 60.23% -0.593 -0.0476
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 413 13.48% 34.69 1.8 69.25% -0.095 0.1362
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 70.4% 32.14 1.942 59.2% 0.178 0.5854
Rituals of Terror 3 124 52.42% 42.94 5.319 66.94% 0.191 -0.045
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 69.77% 44.37 11.863 72.09% -0.352 -0.1262
Second Wave 0 931 50.22% 32.9 -0.982 70.57% -1.217 -0.5248
The Great River 3 59 54.24% 34.17 0.0 47.46%
Varied Terrains 2 11 63.64% 39.27 1.11 72.73% -0.495 0.2912
Ward the Shores 2 166 51.2% 36.1 0.224 61.45% -0.579 0.3022

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8204 43.02% 33.31 0.088 80.06% 0.51 1.1731
1 Thematic 1034 53.14% 34.85 0.943 66.05% 0.019 1.0761
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 37.56 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1756 47.72% 32.46 -0.468 82.74% 0.375 0.8936
2 Coastline 223 43.24% 33.84 -4.252 84.75% -0.369 -0.1688
2 Fragment 44 65.91% 30.57 -5.275 79.55% 0.061 0.359
2 Heart 36 52.78% 28.08 -1.067 72.22% 0.263 0.7238
2 Opposite Shores 323 40.94% 32.47 -1.685 82.97% -0.4 0.1387
2 Thematic 287 57.69% 34.66 -1.758 65.85% -0.842 -0.0602
2 Top to Top 43 41.86% 32.28 1.498 83.72% 0.083 0.2109
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 43.86 5.239 100.0% 0.042 -0.4656
3 Other 40 40.0% 32.2 1.592 87.5% 0.443 -0.2208
3 Round (Default) 762 34.95% 34.94 2.165 86.09% 0.237 0.5419
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 63 46.03% 37.79 0.0 77.78%
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 40.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 16 62.5% 33.69 0.0 87.5%
4 Thematic 84 31.33% 42.89 2.247 82.14% 0.155 0.2589
4 Trapezoid (Default) 265 38.26% 33.31 -0.391 84.91% -0.027 0.0511
5 Other 23 34.78% 39.87 -2.743 86.96% 0.047 -0.4694
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 39.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 12 16.67% 46.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 38.46% 33.38 -4.678 76.92% -0.567 -0.3753

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 414 26.72 0.267 60.63% 0.771 2.7422
Aid From Lesser Spirits 341 27.5 -4.829 61.58% -1.65 0.1276
All Things Weaken 459 25.43 -6.06 54.68% -2.033 0.0162
Back Against the Wall 346 28.06 -1.679 64.74% -0.543 1.3959
Disintegrating Ecosystem 399 24.79 -8.086 56.39% -2.191 -0.0633
Downward Spiral 492 26.14 -6.191 62.8% -1.914 0.0467
Erosion of Will 365 25.86 -5.274 60.0% -1.303 0.7789
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 243 32.36 -1.25 80.66% 0.271 0.7725
Memory Fades to Dust 453 25.25 -5.249 57.84% -0.969 1.1715
Power Corrodes the Spirit 446 26.62 -7.38 62.56% -1.906 0.0746
Promising Farmlands 382 24.09 -5.779 54.45% -1.651 0.3711
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 31.71 0.47 82.35% -0.335 0.1612
Thriving Communities 464 24.91 -5.758 56.9% -1.649 0.41
Unnatural Proliferation 460 27.08 -7.628 60.43% -1.984 -0.0274
Untended Land Crumbles 421 25.16 -4.416 57.72% -1.411 0.6225

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2186 44.18% 32.96 -0.836 81.93% -0.415 0.3209
B 2296 41.75% 33.62 -0.184 82.49% -0.526 0.1708
C 2443 41.88% 33.7 0.356 83.34% 0.173 0.6427
D 2162 42.55% 33.36 -0.039 81.27% -0.118 0.591
E 2135 41.91% 33.76 0.346 82.9% 0.265 0.8098
F 2050 43.38% 33.18 0.199 81.8% -0.015 0.6468
G 1864 43.68% 33.03 -0.798 80.2% -0.399 0.2315
H 1830 42.66% 33.21 0.578 81.8% 0.468 1.1322
East 888 50.68% 37.21 2.06 69.48% 0.161 0.8229
Northeast 387 50.26% 38.12 1.873 69.77% 0.324 0.984
Northwest 339 50.15% 37.01 -4.457 69.62% -1.091 -0.4808
Southeast 326 48.61% 36.76 0.795 74.23% 0.299 0.8305
Southwest 314 53.21% 31.04 0.386 66.56% 0.255 1.2237
West 839 52.96% 34.58 -2.647 67.34% -0.994 -0.1881

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 35.0 0.544 86.0% 0.066 2.2954
Not Using Events or Tokens 148 50.35% 29.7 -6.155 64.86% -1.157 -0.93
Skip Initial Invader Actions 262 8.08% 47.69 5.137 95.04% 0.901 -0.0795
Start of Game Growth 382 11.35% 45.45 2.83 93.46% 0.474 0.0172
Unlimited Undo 1011 38.75% 34.54 -0.53 84.57% -0.437 -0.988
Using Tokens but Not Events 1046 32.1% 35.5 1.654 83.27% 0.141 0.2965

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1176 22.65 25.6%
II 5028 31.08 72.93%
III 5053 34.66 91.05%
IV 2017 37.91 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.053 Win Model: 0.174
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9324 44.38% 33.47 78.29%
2 2683 47.01% 32.88 81.85%
3 846 36.33% 34.8 85.22%
4 383 36.48% 35.91 84.86%
5 9 55.56% 40.11 77.78%
6 29 31.03% 38.38 86.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 297
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4474
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3436
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 76
Lose: Adversary condition 1165
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 147
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1234
Lose: Spirit destroyed 78

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 969 41.74% 40.44 3.031 79.26% 0.925 0.8499
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 581 75.34% 32.13 1.545 54.56% 0.914 0.9924
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 848 49.76% 40.27 0.502 80.54% 0.35 0.1253
Downpour Drenches the World 100 39.0% 41.36 0.909 80.0% 0.167 0.4313
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1050 39.31% 43.16 2.404 84.57% 0.709 0.2055
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 839 51.31% 39.96 2.239 77.12% 0.912 0.3251
Finder of Paths Unseen 49 73.47% 33.43 -1.044 61.22% -0.088 0.2674
Fractured Days Split the Sky 343 57.14% 38.8 -1.905 62.68% -0.919 -0.8375
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 338 66.47% 38.6 -0.838 72.78% -0.462 -0.5566
Heart of the Wildfire 1253 75.74% 32.94 -2.67 60.81% -0.3 0.1053
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1528 49.97% 39.22 1.496 75.2% 0.433 -0.1703
Lightning's Swift Strike 596 63.68% 37.14 1.098 69.46% -0.21 0.155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 36 72.22% 41.67 2.778 86.11% 0.836 0.0867
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 245 60.41% 39.67 3.123 75.51% 0.383 -0.1806
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 200 60.8% 37.67 -5.331 67.0% -1.166 -1.6603
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1107 61.38% 37.79 -0.641 70.73% -0.405 -0.5564
Many Minds Move as One 700 41.12% 42.76 1.737 85.86% 0.403 -0.183
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1140 59.75% 37.93 1.797 70.61% 0.587 0.4176
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 803 55.51% 38.12 2.105 74.35% 0.285 0.2286
River Surges in Sunlight 945 55.27% 40.13 1.028 70.37% 0.005 -0.0692
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 284 63.38% 36.74 -1.051 62.32% 0.005 0.4317
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 52 53.85% 43.67 2.23 76.92% 0.294 -0.0467
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 837 57.83% 37.83 -2.61 73.36% -0.422 -0.6156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 276 78.99% 32.68 -8.625 55.07% -0.803 -0.3281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 81.25% 32.13 -0.202 50.0% 0.361 0.5401
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 62.5% 36.0 -0.269 75.0% 0.178 0.2337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 167 72.46% 34.17 1.097 59.88% 0.168 0.1452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 108 75.0% 33.73 -1.725 56.48% -0.285 -0.1689
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 816 50.12% 39.84 2.295 76.1% 0.547 0.3552
Shifting Memory of Ages 334 73.95% 35.35 -1.378 65.87% -0.264 -0.0491
Shroud of Silent Mist 400 83.0% 29.94 -3.742 51.25% -0.655 -0.5212
Starlight Seeks its Form 365 55.46% 37.55 0.838 67.67% 0.092 -0.0224
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2045 42.95% 38.68 0.116 82.35% 0.302 0.0633
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 588 63.82% 35.86 -2.556 65.65% -0.785 -0.6548
Thunderspeaker 714 57.78% 38.92 0.571 69.33% 0.135 0.1182
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1318 85.28% 30.71 0.885 59.33% 0.812 0.5964
Vital Strength of the Earth 441 62.27% 33.27 -3.344 57.6% -0.604 0.2941
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 27 70.37% 36.22 -3.286 59.26% -0.824 -0.4006
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 180 61.11% 31.72 -4.727 56.11% -1.304 -0.1901
Volcano Looming High 766 68.1% 35.07 0.405 68.28% -0.043 -0.0639

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 46.75 1.446 100.0% 0.045 0.5408
Blitz 0 250 53.6% 34.3 3.871 62.0% -0.138 0.3054
Dahan Insurrection 4 166 38.55% 61.89 5.901 80.12% -0.598 -0.5011
Despicable Theft 2 31 83.87% 41.06 2.14 54.84% -0.135 0.3642
Elemental Invocation 1 65 73.85% 35.03 -0.714 58.46% -0.217 0.3287
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 752 13.57% 44.08 2.626 74.47% -0.555 -0.3236
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 71.15% 38.23 -6.214 57.69% -0.974 -0.5665
Rituals of Terror 3 54 70.37% 45.65 11.61 61.11% 0.228 -0.0083
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 75.61% 44.22 17.83 56.1% 0.563 0.7888
Second Wave 0 581 58.62% 36.5 -2.31 61.1% -0.963 -0.2707
The Great River 3 30 23.33% 31.9 -6.725 23.33% -1.044 0.5372
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 20.0 -4.058 6.67% -1.175 -0.3886
Ward the Shores 2 108 66.67% 39.03 3.021 50.93% 0.086 0.9669

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9884 58.79% 36.59 -0.004 69.99% 0.057 0.7204
1 Thematic 784 57.49% 39.18 2.445 59.44% 0.42 1.4763
2 Archipelago 10 80.0% 42.3 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2269 60.58% 36.19 -1.812 70.25% -0.543 -0.0252
2 Coastline 276 54.35% 37.72 -0.798 73.19% -0.142 0.0583
2 Fragment 57 67.86% 34.75 1.583 63.16% 0.385 0.6831
2 Heart 32 64.52% 36.06 -8.38 68.75% -0.413 0.0478
2 Opposite Shores 450 59.47% 37.41 2.109 72.89% 0.608 1.1467
2 Thematic 273 71.43% 36.8 1.036 54.95% 0.323 1.105
2 Top to Top 73 42.25% 40.4 -13.439 79.45% -0.617 -0.4891
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 30.33 8.359 33.33% 0.186 -0.0324
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 59 55.93% 38.05 -0.896 77.97% -0.371 -1.0346
3 Round (Default) 937 59.96% 37.98 0.03 73.85% -0.229 0.0758
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 40.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 43 74.42% 40.93 2.736 67.44% 0.328 0.5364
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 39 53.85% 40.62 5.6 82.05% 0.12 -0.5942
4 Thematic 124 47.58% 47.49 -0.27 79.03% -0.782 -0.6786
4 Trapezoid (Default) 460 49.78% 40.51 2.873 81.52% 0.526 0.6041
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 20 40.0% 43.55 -2.041 90.0% 0.037 -0.4795
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 57.0 3.22 66.67% -0.362 0.408
6 Thematic 10 55.56% 52.8 4.195 90.0% 0.075 0.3155
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 33.33% 42.0 6.465 73.33% 0.188 0.3796

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 719 31.36 -3.303 53.82% -1.187 0.784
Aid From Lesser Spirits 534 34.33 -4.558 60.86% -1.315 0.4631
All Things Weaken 742 31.27 -3.202 55.8% -1.215 0.8333
Back Against the Wall 559 32.42 -4.838 56.89% -1.788 0.151
Disintegrating Ecosystem 616 29.8 -6.503 55.84% -2.057 0.0711
Downward Spiral 769 29.98 -3.454 54.1% -1.11 0.8514
Erosion of Will 663 30.09 -4.225 51.89% -1.303 0.7787
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 294 38.11 1.019 76.87% 0.548 1.0496
Memory Fades to Dust 707 30.73 -3.998 55.87% -1.259 0.8818
Power Corrodes the Spirit 694 30.69 -5.934 55.62% -1.77 0.2102
Promising Farmlands 591 28.72 -4.791 51.27% -1.358 0.6634
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 204 38.71 -0.017 77.94% -0.183 0.3133
Thriving Communities 696 28.23 -6.299 48.42% -1.772 0.2874
Unnatural Proliferation 768 31.63 -5.626 55.6% -1.796 0.1608
Untended Land Crumbles 734 29.81 -5.512 52.72% -1.439 0.5944

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2823 58.8% 36.93 1.018 71.17% 0.202 0.9384
B 2907 58.77% 37.03 -0.141 71.1% -0.205 0.4925
C 3253 58.08% 37.73 1.321 73.84% 0.285 0.7548
D 2742 60.09% 36.59 -1.299 70.71% -0.412 0.2975
E 2782 57.21% 37.47 -0.153 72.57% -0.231 0.3134
F 2596 57.68% 37.3 0.034 72.0% -0.091 0.5705
G 2280 58.23% 36.98 -0.801 71.05% -0.129 0.5023
H 2228 55.89% 37.62 0.196 72.35% -0.08 0.585
East 756 59.95% 41.03 0.722 62.83% -0.439 0.2223
Northeast 349 62.64% 39.7 4.057 58.17% 0.195 0.8551
Northwest 342 61.47% 39.79 3.999 59.94% 0.257 0.8677
Southeast 253 54.58% 43.15 -1.949 71.15% -0.678 -0.1469
Southwest 231 54.59% 38.32 5.423 63.2% 0.412 1.3802
West 741 59.35% 39.99 0.171 61.94% -0.378 0.4274

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 58 0.0% 39.86 3.233 75.86% 0.279 2.5084
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 60.38% 33.43 1.88 61.67% 0.234 0.4603
Skip Initial Invader Actions 259 19.29% 53.26 6.612 91.51% 0.16 -0.8197
Start of Game Growth 411 23.4% 49.95 3.555 87.83% 0.067 -0.3897
Unlimited Undo 1174 50.66% 39.81 1.471 77.68% -0.063 -0.615
Using Tokens but Not Events 1224 51.15% 37.35 -1.507 71.57% -0.554 -0.3984

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2458 22.65 11.92%
II 7415 31.08 68.36%
III 4176 34.66 94.61%
IV 1809 37.91 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.319 Win Model: 0.264
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10733 58.69% 36.8 69.19%
2 3426 60.61% 36.61 69.79%
3 1041 60.31% 37.97 73.97%
4 618 49.35% 41.96 80.91%
5 8 50.0% 41.75 75.0%
6 32 35.48% 46.78 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4891
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1780
Lose: Invader deck ran out 55
Lose: Adversary condition 2345
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 196
Win: Scenario condition 188
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1999
Lose: Spirit destroyed 146

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1079 52.42% 40.33 0.953 69.14% -0.017 -0.0924
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 599 80.1% 32.69 -0.297 48.08% -0.32 -0.2414
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 912 63.34% 38.63 -0.927 67.87% -0.038 -0.2626
Downpour Drenches the World 127 62.2% 36.82 0.711 56.69% -0.08 0.1847
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1257 47.73% 42.67 1.202 75.82% 0.366 -0.1374
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 867 57.11% 40.48 -0.199 68.28% -0.334 -0.9204
Finder of Paths Unseen 47 74.47% 32.74 -3.489 53.19% -0.545 -0.189
Fractured Days Split the Sky 359 60.72% 39.16 1.153 58.5% -0.322 -0.2401
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 392 71.68% 38.96 1.736 65.31% 0.487 0.392
Heart of the Wildfire 1135 78.41% 33.5 -3.278 54.71% -0.446 -0.0408
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1988 59.15% 38.15 1.085 64.84% 0.103 -0.5005
Lightning's Swift Strike 659 72.3% 36.01 -1.198 57.66% -0.134 0.2311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 76 71.05% 42.57 0.48 69.74% 0.16 -0.5892
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 278 62.95% 39.67 -4.501 68.35% -0.717 -1.2805
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 206 65.05% 39.54 -1.797 66.99% 0.064 -0.4307
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1326 72.34% 35.53 -1.237 58.6% -0.152 -0.3036
Many Minds Move as One 719 48.89% 44.03 1.148 79.69% 0.189 -0.3968
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1314 59.82% 39.97 3.05 68.19% 0.745 0.5751
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 906 63.41% 37.67 1.709 64.35% 0.385 0.3286
River Surges in Sunlight 1174 61.42% 41.71 3.549 68.4% 0.647 0.5726
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 310 70.23% 35.21 -3.217 52.58% -0.773 -0.3464
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 66 60.61% 39.8 1.701 56.06% 0.046 -0.2949
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 860 64.18% 37.78 0.853 65.35% 0.304 0.1108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 218 76.61% 30.78 -4.423 39.45% -0.577 -0.1026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 85.71% 33.86 -9.525 57.14% -0.469 -0.2897
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 66.67% 49.17 4.803 100.0% 0.797 0.8527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 145 78.62% 33.74 4.798 52.41% 0.74 0.7175
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 106 83.02% 28.57 -1.521 33.96% -0.045 0.0706
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 953 56.32% 39.84 2.33 68.84% 0.667 0.4754
Shifting Memory of Ages 312 82.69% 34.4 -2.708 54.81% -0.473 -0.2578
Shroud of Silent Mist 381 85.53% 29.32 2.439 40.94% 0.756 0.8902
Starlight Seeks its Form 435 57.47% 39.25 1.523 64.14% 0.047 -0.0679
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2629 52.72% 38.34 -0.433 72.54% -0.116 -0.3547
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 633 70.91% 34.73 -0.523 52.61% -0.343 -0.2123
Thunderspeaker 772 69.26% 38.81 -0.618 62.82% -0.083 -0.1
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1578 87.48% 30.32 -2.264 49.18% -0.153 -0.3682
Vital Strength of the Earth 466 71.89% 29.03 -1.174 34.55% -0.321 0.5776
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 38 65.79% 33.21 -0.294 50.0% -0.091 0.3322
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 171 69.59% 32.96 1.195 50.88% 0.272 1.3868
Volcano Looming High 984 73.98% 35.09 -0.028 60.16% 0.179 0.1577

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 56.0 10.092 100.0% 0.441 0.9367
Blitz 0 161 54.66% 36.16 5.941 54.66% 0.16 0.6027
Dahan Insurrection 4 153 45.75% 59.96 10.898 68.63% 0.06 0.1573
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 41.75 10.711 62.5% 0.193 0.6918
Elemental Invocation 1 86 70.93% 35.73 0.125 47.67% -0.029 0.5168
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 687 19.41% 45.3 6.027 69.0% 0.539 0.7704
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 73.86% 34.8 0.0 43.18%
Rituals of Terror 3 51 72.55% 42.8 14.345 45.1% 0.25 0.0144
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 90.63% 39.31 0.0 37.5%
Second Wave 0 315 56.23% 37.19 3.096 55.24% 0.354 1.0465
The Great River 3 29 41.38% 37.41 0.0 31.03%
Ward the Shores 2 54 66.67% 34.28 -4.487 31.48% -0.611 0.2703

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11452 65.16% 36.64 -0.203 62.52% 0.489 1.1522
1 Thematic 781 65.04% 39.11 -0.401 51.6% 0.255 1.3116
2 Archipelago 11 90.91% 47.91 0.0 81.82%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2661 68.11% 36.41 0.126 62.19% 0.118 0.6358
2 Coastline 310 60.32% 39.39 -2.107 71.61% -0.416 -0.2151
2 Fragment 64 74.19% 33.72 -2.51 53.13% 0.022 0.3205
2 Heart 37 82.35% 36.81 -4.001 67.57% -0.046 0.4146
2 Opposite Shores 534 65.98% 35.96 1.396 58.99% 0.022 0.561
2 Thematic 219 74.65% 33.92 1.291 38.81% 0.178 0.96
2 Top to Top 91 54.95% 39.6 6.746 69.23% 0.242 0.3695
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 6.946 57.14% 0.391 -0.116
3 Other 50 58.0% 43.54 0.846 88.0% -0.005 -0.6688
3 Round (Default) 1105 65.52% 37.66 -0.568 63.26% -0.603 -0.2987
3 Sunrise 7 57.14% 39.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 48 81.25% 31.1 -5.453 29.17% -1.217 -1.0093
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 40.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 32 65.63% 42.31 3.55 78.13% 0.162 -0.5523
4 Thematic 106 51.89% 47.69 2.329 63.21% 0.146 0.2493
4 Trapezoid (Default) 514 54.6% 40.28 7.2 71.98% 0.247 0.3249
5 Other 26 44.0% 48.85 2.47 88.46% 0.004 -0.5128
6 Other 5 0.0% 75.2 10.883 100.0% 0.003 0.0475
6 Star 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 2 50.0% 47.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 45.45% 42.64 0.0 72.73%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 810 31.42 -1.993 47.78% -0.825 1.1455
Aid From Lesser Spirits 713 34.72 0.166 56.24% -0.023 1.7548
All Things Weaken 913 31.7 -2.742 48.74% -0.78 1.2687
Back Against the Wall 671 33.09 -3.469 51.12% -1.083 0.8566
Disintegrating Ecosystem 792 29.43 -2.153 46.46% -0.576 1.5518
Downward Spiral 973 31.79 -4.012 52.0% -1.07 0.8913
Erosion of Will 864 30.07 -5.314 44.21% -1.525 0.5567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 388 36.88 -2.368 63.66% -0.904 -0.4018
Memory Fades to Dust 895 31.4 -3.24 48.72% -1.005 1.1357
Power Corrodes the Spirit 983 30.72 -5.419 47.71% -1.467 0.5135
Promising Farmlands 804 30.2 -5.181 46.52% -1.348 0.6737
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 261 39.91 1.543 74.71% 0.211 0.7072
Thriving Communities 846 29.29 -2.586 43.62% -0.775 1.2846
Unnatural Proliferation 937 31.05 -1.483 44.82% -0.587 1.37
Untended Land Crumbles 934 30.87 -2.251 47.32% -0.588 1.4453

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3248 64.09% 37.42 0.361 64.04% 0.149 0.8854
B 3283 63.21% 37.34 0.585 64.06% 0.162 0.8593
C 3795 65.7% 36.96 0.155 62.66% 0.023 0.493
D 3165 65.16% 37.0 0.055 63.16% 0.233 0.9428
E 3180 65.28% 37.46 0.831 64.34% 0.403 0.9472
F 2935 64.57% 37.44 0.014 64.26% 0.084 0.7454
G 2640 63.94% 37.07 0.162 63.94% 0.288 0.9194
H 2627 65.12% 37.72 -0.175 65.02% 0.05 0.7144
East 767 65.75% 40.19 0.087 51.37% -0.007 0.6545
Northeast 314 66.77% 40.21 -3.572 46.5% -0.869 -0.2087
Northwest 261 65.77% 38.54 -1.07 44.06% -0.594 0.016
Southeast 256 65.23% 37.92 -0.94 50.39% 0.187 0.7184
Southwest 204 68.63% 33.66 -4.429 44.61% -1.005 -0.0367
West 606 67.22% 37.01 -0.589 45.21% -0.171 0.6342

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 44.77 5.062 76.67% 0.165 2.394
Not Using Events or Tokens 77 70.13% 39.95 -11.945 55.84% -0.631 -0.4047
Skip Initial Invader Actions 377 14.86% 55.37 10.682 92.84% 0.987 0.0072
Start of Game Growth 569 17.65% 53.1 8.205 90.16% 1.403 0.9459
Unlimited Undo 1302 57.25% 40.77 0.477 71.66% 0.123 -0.4289
Using Tokens but Not Events 1000 55.15% 38.28 -1.286 67.2% -0.252 -0.097

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3405 22.65 6.08%
II 7980 31.08 59.94%
III 5376 34.66 91.8%
IV 1322 37.91 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.337 Win Model: 0.406
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12293 65.17% 36.81 61.76%
2 3904 67.45% 36.56 61.73%
3 1203 65.58% 37.62 62.84%
4 653 54.62% 41.41 70.29%
5 12 54.55% 49.83 83.33%
6 18 35.29% 53.61 83.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 206
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4873
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4662
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 151
Lose: Adversary condition 3726
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 203
Win: Scenario condition 121
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2576
Lose: Spirit destroyed 185

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 609 72.58% 43.79 1.982 63.05% 0.236 0.1609
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 322 91.61% 35.0 2.701 40.06% 0.4 0.4791
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 506 90.71% 34.45 0.015 39.92% 0.098 -0.127
Downpour Drenches the World 63 77.78% 39.24 -2.703 47.62% -0.677 -0.412
Eyes Watch From the Trees 707 72.59% 44.02 6.759 60.68% 1.186 0.6831
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 588 76.83% 42.53 2.191 56.63% 0.311 -0.2755
Finder of Paths Unseen 42 69.05% 47.12 3.525 71.43% 0.398 0.7542
Fractured Days Split the Sky 265 79.25% 44.52 6.107 54.34% 0.313 0.3946
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 223 92.38% 36.99 1.961 44.39% 0.233 0.1383
Heart of the Wildfire 1342 86.25% 36.74 -4.413 46.72% -0.916 -0.5103
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1117 75.36% 38.58 1.409 49.15% 0.231 -0.3727
Lightning's Swift Strike 247 92.65% 32.68 1.295 34.41% 0.226 0.591
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 33 90.91% 43.94 1.654 60.61% 0.001 -0.7485
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 163 92.02% 41.29 -1.809 53.37% -0.545 -1.1089
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 83 90.36% 40.28 6.697 50.6% 0.194 -0.3004
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 985 79.67% 40.78 1.628 53.4% 0.211 0.0598
Many Minds Move as One 417 63.55% 49.03 9.16 74.1% 1.534 0.9477
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 547 85.14% 35.37 -0.097 40.59% -0.41 -0.5798
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 543 85.61% 38.23 -1.763 49.72% -0.639 -0.6955
River Surges in Sunlight 662 81.74% 41.47 1.182 51.21% -0.056 -0.1303
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 131 87.79% 34.69 9.691 34.35% 0.801 1.2273
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 44 75.0% 49.91 6.502 63.64% 0.809 0.4677
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 540 80.37% 41.73 0.377 57.96% 0.177 -0.017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 115 87.83% 32.79 7.935 31.3% 0.262 0.7366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 66.67% 51.0 1.229 66.67% -0.078 0.102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 73.33% 45.93 -9.713 66.67% -0.443 -0.3874
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 113 89.38% 40.15 -11.771 51.33% -0.484 -0.5067
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 85 90.59% 41.07 0.0 52.94%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 387 74.16% 41.37 -0.19 52.2% -0.209 -0.4001
Shifting Memory of Ages 237 94.09% 35.57 -3.894 42.62% -0.897 -0.682
Shroud of Silent Mist 243 92.18% 34.95 -3.375 42.39% -0.706 -0.5716
Starlight Seeks its Form 352 78.13% 43.14 0.419 59.38% -0.025 -0.14
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2296 60.31% 43.34 3.546 68.25% 0.929 0.6903
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 447 84.3% 36.49 -0.711 42.51% -0.412 -0.2822
Thunderspeaker 411 88.32% 38.65 0.661 47.69% 0.023 0.0056
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1583 93.75% 35.35 -2.014 45.8% -0.359 -0.5749
Vital Strength of the Earth 192 85.94% 31.11 -3.355 27.08% -0.972 -0.0734
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 28 75.0% 37.54 -1.065 42.86% -0.359 0.064
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 103 90.29% 30.2 -0.121 25.24% -0.123 0.9918
Volcano Looming High 624 91.19% 35.41 0.277 44.55% 0.247 0.2263

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 75 70.67% 41.0 10.293 54.67% 0.563 1.0061
Dahan Insurrection 4 44 70.45% 54.14 -12.067 40.91% -0.751 -0.6537
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 35.58 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 37 72.97% 33.89 0.0 27.03%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 391 24.81% 48.78 4.038 62.66% 0.066 0.2979
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 87.5% 36.06 -11.989 31.25% -0.448 -0.0406
Rituals of Terror 3 20 70.0% 51.45 17.347 50.0% 0.461 0.2254
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 41.15 0.0 35.0%
Second Wave 0 208 71.5% 39.16 5.857 46.63% 0.58 1.2728
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 32 90.63% 35.84 -2.722 25.0% -0.386 0.4953

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7933 80.04% 39.19 0.1 52.75% 0.407 1.0703
1 Thematic 296 76.01% 39.64 -2.696 42.57% -0.413 0.6435
2 Archipelago 5 100.0% 45.0 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1750 82.91% 38.88 -0.53 52.17% -0.201 0.3167
2 Coastline 198 82.32% 38.24 -1.199 49.49% -0.268 -0.0673
2 Fragment 31 90.32% 37.97 8.215 45.16% 0.527 0.825
2 Heart 21 95.24% 40.95 0.0 61.9%
2 Opposite Shores 349 82.47% 36.16 4.361 43.55% 0.592 1.1303
2 Thematic 142 85.92% 36.82 -1.355 33.8% -0.319 0.4627
2 Top to Top 77 89.61% 36.91 -5.345 48.05% -0.816 -0.6876
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 36 75.0% 46.19 4.092 75.0% 0.375 -0.2894
3 Round (Default) 734 84.74% 39.05 1.407 52.59% 0.261 0.5653
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 21 85.71% 40.62 0.0 38.1%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 66.67% 47.33 0.0 77.78%
4 Thematic 117 59.83% 48.31 0.0 58.12%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 241 78.06% 40.14 -1.358 52.28% -0.46 -0.3825
5 Other 7 66.67% 54.71 0.0 85.71%
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 30.88 0.0 25.0%
6 Thematic 13 7.69% 65.0 3.872 69.23% -0.014 0.2273
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 45.2 0.0 60.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 696 36.74 -3.419 46.55% -0.761 1.21
Aid From Lesser Spirits 574 40.19 3.411 53.83% 0.625 2.4025
All Things Weaken 811 34.82 -2.813 40.57% -0.552 1.4972
Back Against the Wall 558 39.57 -2.8 50.72% -0.943 0.9962
Disintegrating Ecosystem 721 34.59 -4.406 45.08% -0.982 1.1459
Downward Spiral 695 35.23 -2.481 44.32% -0.462 1.499
Erosion of Will 703 36.23 -0.659 43.24% -0.239 1.8424
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 248 41.62 0.856 57.26% 0.102 0.6037
Memory Fades to Dust 798 35.11 -4.763 43.61% -1.002 1.1389
Power Corrodes the Spirit 748 35.84 -2.658 45.45% -0.615 1.3657
Promising Farmlands 688 33.28 0.054 38.66% -0.05 1.9712
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 160 43.77 4.03 62.5% 0.611 1.1073
Thriving Communities 712 34.63 -0.207 44.1% -0.017 2.0425
Unnatural Proliferation 801 36.81 0.182 45.07% 0.058 2.0151
Untended Land Crumbles 761 34.13 -3.19 40.6% -0.618 1.4157

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2042 81.62% 38.38 0.005 50.69% 0.01 0.746
B 2359 80.62% 39.56 -1.524 53.75% -0.293 0.4042
C 2644 80.54% 39.25 0.266 52.69% 0.075 0.5444
D 1973 83.52% 38.46 -0.658 50.89% -0.182 0.5274
E 2037 82.33% 38.84 0.514 51.2% -0.182 0.3626
F 1953 81.16% 39.78 0.953 54.53% 0.2 0.8615
G 1662 80.28% 38.74 -0.351 51.02% -0.05 0.5809
H 1639 79.77% 39.63 2.31 53.81% 0.562 1.2263
East 429 73.43% 42.41 0.27 44.52% 0.132 0.7937
Northeast 189 70.37% 45.28 1.806 48.15% -0.306 0.3539
Northwest 161 68.94% 43.19 -1.672 45.34% -0.81 -0.1996
Southeast 164 65.85% 44.93 3.338 52.44% -0.062 0.4693
Southwest 152 67.11% 43.53 4.964 50.66% 0.55 1.5179
West 376 72.34% 40.94 -1.215 42.55% -0.637 0.1682

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 88.89% 40.22 8.661 51.85% 0.388 0.6145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 120 47.86% 57.19 6.209 84.17% 0.805 -0.1748
Start of Game Growth 278 48.0% 53.31 2.058 75.18% -0.296 -0.753
Unlimited Undo 1078 77.3% 42.51 2.323 60.48% 0.534 -0.0176
Using Tokens but Not Events 477 75.96% 38.72 -3.233 51.57% -0.438 -0.2834

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3097 22.65 3.36%
II 4959 31.08 50.01%
III 3114 34.66 90.56%
IV 845 37.91 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.699 Win Model: 0.511
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8257 79.87% 39.23 52.39%
2 2575 83.41% 38.35 49.9%
3 777 84.04% 39.25 53.02%
4 376 72.85% 43.06 55.32%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 27 29.63% 49.41 51.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2782
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2439
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 826
Lose: Invader deck ran out 68
Lose: Adversary condition 2932
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 134
Win: Scenario condition 26
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2440
Lose: Spirit destroyed 194

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 306 72.22% 45.06 1.106 54.58% 0.056 -0.0189
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 137 91.97% 36.42 0.073 35.77% 0.221 0.2993
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 218 90.83% 32.44 -1.97 27.52% -0.085 -0.3096
Downpour Drenches the World 39 74.36% 41.21 -1.2 43.59% -0.184 0.0807
Eyes Watch From the Trees 211 72.51% 45.27 5.911 54.98% 0.814 0.3108
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 196 92.86% 37.51 2.556 38.78% 0.408 -0.1787
Finder of Paths Unseen 14 57.14% 50.71 1.619 64.29% 0.202 0.5583
Fractured Days Split the Sky 133 83.46% 46.8 0.767 50.38% -0.078 0.0042
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 114 97.37% 36.62 5.437 36.84% 0.854 0.7589
Heart of the Wildfire 584 90.41% 31.76 -6.579 29.11% -0.955 -0.5497
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 682 78.3% 38.5 9.167 39.44% 1.774 1.1701
Lightning's Swift Strike 107 93.46% 33.97 -10.426 29.91% -0.523 -0.158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 20 95.0% 50.2 4.307 55.0% 0.708 -0.0408
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 55 100.0% 36.15 4.623 36.36% 0.537 -0.0268
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 45 93.33% 32.33 -6.5 22.22% -0.282 -0.7766
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 396 88.64% 40.22 3.442 46.21% 0.76 0.6081
Many Minds Move as One 184 70.11% 50.52 -8.74 69.57% -1.04 -1.6259
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 269 81.78% 39.28 0.115 42.75% 0.006 -0.1636
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 187 84.49% 38.64 5.663 41.18% 0.657 0.6004
River Surges in Sunlight 275 87.64% 40.92 -1.899 41.45% -0.482 -0.5561
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 60 81.67% 37.82 -6.817 31.67% -0.323 0.1033
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 16 68.75% 63.5 12.384 75.0% 0.604 0.2626
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 264 81.06% 41.39 0.156 45.83% -0.169 -0.3625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 97 93.81% 26.89 -12.021 8.25% -0.467 0.0079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 100.0% 44.75 -7.747 50.0% -0.225 -0.0452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 100.0% 36.5 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 42 92.86% 35.9 -9.105 33.33% -0.353 -0.3755
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 91.84% 30.22 -12.067 18.37% -0.519 -0.4027
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 138 83.33% 35.83 -7.141 34.06% -0.689 -0.8802
Shifting Memory of Ages 119 93.28% 35.75 -8.879 31.09% -0.714 -0.4996
Shroud of Silent Mist 107 93.46% 31.93 -1.858 25.23% -0.188 -0.0534
Starlight Seeks its Form 160 88.13% 40.3 3.364 45.0% 0.816 0.7014
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1064 62.97% 43.44 4.76 60.34% 1.283 1.0444
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 187 88.24% 33.65 -2.093 27.27% -0.272 -0.1419
Thunderspeaker 165 94.55% 35.48 -2.613 31.52% -0.651 -0.6683
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 592 95.44% 35.57 -2.354 38.85% -0.285 -0.5007
Vital Strength of the Earth 88 86.36% 31.23 -12.021 21.59% -0.467 0.4316
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 4 75.0% 41.25 -6.576 25.0% -0.5 -0.0772
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 31 83.87% 33.23 0.0 29.03%
Volcano Looming High 302 91.72% 32.6 -4.397 30.46% -0.642 -0.6631

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 27 88.89% 34.07 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 16.94 13.46% 0.665 0.7617
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 37.44 0.0 33.33%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 143 30.07% 42.8 5.972 39.86% 0.082 0.3131
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 81.82% 41.45 0.0 36.36%
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 67 61.19% 39.81 -1.58 43.28% -0.479 0.2137
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.0 22.22%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3626 82.43% 38.44 -0.864 43.44% -0.237 0.4255
1 Thematic 391 88.24% 30.48 0.0 12.53%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 811 88.53% 36.7 1.067 38.35% 0.324 0.8418
2 Coastline 76 81.58% 40.42 2.728 51.32% 0.006 0.207
2 Fragment 9 100.0% 45.56 1.161 66.67% -0.076 0.2223
2 Heart 14 71.43% 42.93 -6.462 50.0% -0.33 0.131
2 Opposite Shores 119 84.03% 41.2 11.42 42.86% 0.686 1.2246
2 Thematic 38 68.42% 39.26 0.0 15.79%
2 Top to Top 57 94.74% 36.98 4.518 38.6% 0.171 0.2988
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 0.0 81.25%
3 Round (Default) 225 82.22% 41.96 -2.855 51.56% -0.23 0.0744
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 39.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 -10.322 80.0% -0.306 -1.02
4 Thematic 40 70.0% 51.3 12.798 52.5% 0.227 0.3312
4 Trapezoid (Default) 108 75.0% 39.01 -3.598 42.59% 0.005 0.0829
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 24.0 -5.437 0.0% -0.045 0.7254
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 49.5 -10.552 25.0% -0.18 0.0611
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 363 36.29 -0.626 36.09% -0.368 1.603
Aid From Lesser Spirits 279 39.94 0.776 44.8% -0.212 1.5658
All Things Weaken 375 34.71 -3.985 33.6% -0.65 1.3988
Back Against the Wall 271 35.97 -2.963 33.58% -0.871 1.0684
Disintegrating Ecosystem 306 34.63 -4.929 36.27% -0.902 1.226
Downward Spiral 375 32.62 -1.696 29.87% -0.063 1.898
Erosion of Will 339 34.72 -7.626 32.15% -1.355 0.727
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 45.59 0.271 56.16% -0.057 0.4445
Memory Fades to Dust 351 34.14 -2.1 32.48% -0.353 1.7879
Power Corrodes the Spirit 380 34.27 0.487 32.89% 0.291 2.2721
Promising Farmlands 307 34.41 -1.181 33.55% -0.319 1.7024
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 67 47.51 5.804 62.69% 0.74 1.2366
Thriving Communities 382 34.3 -0.909 34.82% 0.094 2.1535
Unnatural Proliferation 370 34.93 -3.562 32.43% -0.767 1.1895
Untended Land Crumbles 402 33.19 -2.026 30.6% -0.295 1.7387

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 863 85.75% 38.24 0.511 41.95% -0.095 0.6412
B 1007 83.81% 38.98 0.78 44.89% 0.214 0.9116
C 1082 84.2% 40.13 0.06 46.58% -0.214 0.2552
D 835 84.79% 37.66 0.229 41.44% 0.233 0.9429
E 915 84.26% 37.44 -1.664 40.66% -0.53 0.0145
F 880 78.86% 39.32 -1.346 45.34% -0.4 0.2617
G 725 82.48% 38.98 -1.018 43.45% -0.301 0.3297
H 736 82.74% 38.65 0.75 42.8% 0.254 0.9183
East 163 75.46% 43.21 5.019 33.74% 0.048 0.7092
Northeast 72 83.33% 42.53 11.391 29.17% 0.128 0.7877
Northwest 128 90.63% 32.96 11.391 14.06% 0.128 0.7382
Southeast 72 75.0% 43.82 5.019 37.5% 0.048 0.5788
Southwest 219 84.47% 28.78 -9.178 10.5% -0.26 0.7084
West 381 85.83% 31.25 -9.178 12.6% -0.26 0.5456

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 88.24% 39.88 10.214 29.41% 0.439 0.6652
Skip Initial Invader Actions 63 60.32% 57.48 8.229 76.19% 0.554 -0.4261
Start of Game Growth 100 54.0% 53.2 5.959 68.0% 0.509 0.0523
Unlimited Undo 497 72.84% 45.6 2.249 60.56% 0.628 0.0765
Using Tokens but Not Events 368 71.2% 39.27 -6.838 47.28% -1.732 -1.5768

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1494 22.65 0.8%
II 2343 31.08 29.19%
III 1293 34.66 88.94%
IV 430 37.91 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.269 Win Model: -0.392
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4037 82.98% 37.78 40.48%
2 1114 87.07% 37.31 39.23%
3 249 81.93% 43.18 53.41%
4 154 72.08% 41.92 46.1%
5 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0%
6 5 100.0% 30.0 20.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1137
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 670
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 423
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 1567
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 79
Win: Scenario condition 9
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1514
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1671 71.02% 46.18 1.546 45.6% 0.355 0.2796
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 734 90.19% 34.6 -2.981 23.02% -0.65 -0.5711
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 746 92.76% 31.48 -3.213 19.3% -0.262 -0.4864
Downpour Drenches the World 257 77.04% 42.7 0.95 36.19% 0.374 0.6386
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1204 85.04% 39.75 -0.206 35.13% 0.45 -0.0534
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 995 88.54% 35.93 -4.286 27.94% -0.754 -1.3404
Finder of Paths Unseen 130 76.15% 47.82 2.821 52.31% 0.762 1.1174
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1000 73.8% 50.25 0.818 45.7% 0.121 0.2025
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 592 90.2% 34.4 -5.67 23.99% -1.12 -1.2149
Heart of the Wildfire 3198 90.26% 35.22 -5.06 29.14% -0.456 -0.0504
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3035 73.97% 42.76 1.479 43.16% 0.546 -0.0577
Lightning's Swift Strike 871 93.21% 28.89 -8.774 13.32% -0.812 -0.4474
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 281 87.5% 40.47 -1.341 34.52% 0.159 -0.5896
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 432 92.81% 37.78 -1.329 33.33% 0.246 -0.3174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 240 82.08% 46.17 8.0 45.83% 1.535 1.0408
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2500 88.59% 36.12 -3.566 28.52% -0.553 -0.705
Many Minds Move as One 1005 74.3% 51.49 6.226 61.59% 1.492 0.9061
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1116 85.91% 36.94 -2.214 30.56% -0.137 -0.3064
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1055 89.28% 37.3 -2.307 31.94% 0.11 0.0542
River Surges in Sunlight 1762 86.36% 44.14 3.807 40.01% 0.701 0.6265
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 321 69.47% 45.21 -5.985 33.64% -0.984 -0.5572
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 151 79.87% 48.54 2.028 41.06% 0.356 0.0152
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1654 75.76% 48.16 2.366 50.73% 0.584 0.3903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 434 76.27% 35.44 -1.252 21.89% 0.074 0.5483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 95.65% 33.43 -4.257 21.74% -0.733 -0.5539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 92.31% 47.92 3.61 53.85% 0.623 0.6783
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 182 78.02% 35.01 -6.824 22.53% -0.413 -0.436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 138 88.41% 36.87 1.468 26.81% 0.093 0.2091
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 933 79.42% 38.73 -3.846 32.58% -0.348 -0.5391
Shifting Memory of Ages 573 82.72% 44.74 -1.642 39.79% -0.082 0.1325
Shroud of Silent Mist 530 90.94% 34.31 -6.22 25.47% -1.103 -0.9685
Starlight Seeks its Form 1073 78.56% 47.4 1.808 47.9% 0.486 0.3711
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 10315 52.54% 48.7 7.302 61.14% 1.777 1.538
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 799 87.59% 36.86 -0.859 29.16% 0.051 0.1813
Thunderspeaker 866 86.61% 35.64 -3.907 22.86% -0.598 -0.6157
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4539 94.4% 35.47 -2.88 31.95% 0.03 -0.1854
Vital Strength of the Earth 336 83.33% 32.51 -5.51 18.45% -0.859 0.0395
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 54 72.22% 37.54 -2.412 25.93% -0.51 -0.087
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 266 86.09% 35.0 -0.925 26.32% 0.238 1.3522
Volcano Looming High 1996 89.93% 34.3 -4.725 27.51% -0.576 -0.5965

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 342 58.53% 42.23 0.152 41.52% -0.266 0.1772
Dahan Insurrection 4 216 73.02% 48.23 2.383 19.91% -0.757 -0.6599
Despicable Theft 2 28 89.29% 34.96 0.0 17.86%
Elemental Invocation 1 97 70.1% 36.63 -2.912 19.59% -0.472 0.0742
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2030 32.02% 48.88 2.086 42.41% -0.128 0.1031
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 52.58% 45.94 0.0 51.55%
Rituals of Terror 3 107 34.91% 76.27 14.414 41.12% 0.366 0.1298
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 64.71% 42.71 0.0 23.53%
Second Wave 0 115 56.52% 43.86 8.947 40.87% 0.578 1.27
The Great River 3 22 54.55% 36.59 -4.737 4.55% -0.853 0.7282
Varied Terrains 2 21 57.14% 45.81 2.122 38.1% -0.477 0.3093
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 30751 77.43% 40.73 -0.452 40.95% 0.051 0.7143
1 Thematic 780 72.56% 39.56 -2.736 27.82% -0.915 0.1417
2 Archipelago 10 70.0% 46.1 0.0 10.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3070 86.38% 40.12 0.89 38.83% 0.117 0.6351
2 Coastline 554 75.77% 41.66 0.459 39.89% -0.121 0.0792
2 Fragment 45 86.67% 40.2 4.002 35.56% 0.042 0.3407
2 Heart 86 82.56% 38.24 -5.805 34.88% -1.33 -0.8697
2 Opposite Shores 745 84.27% 34.58 -3.749 23.76% -0.822 -0.2833
2 Thematic 143 65.73% 47.97 12.565 20.98% 0.881 1.6631
2 Top to Top 140 85.0% 41.94 4.342 43.57% 0.051 0.179
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 32.67 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 51.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 56 85.71% 46.18 9.76 53.57% 0.064 -0.6004
3 Round (Default) 1067 81.16% 40.26 -0.27 38.14% -0.52 -0.215
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 32 37.5% 62.28 0.48 25.0% -0.121 0.0874
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 7.978 0.0% -0.017 -0.054
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 34 76.47% 49.97 16.799 61.76% 1.059 0.3452
4 Thematic 161 25.47% 67.23 15.046 68.94% -0.042 0.062
4 Trapezoid (Default) 541 84.2% 39.21 -1.082 32.35% -0.719 -0.6414
5 Coastline 6 16.67% 69.5 2.841 100.0% 0.012 -0.5751
5 Other 26 57.69% 56.27 1.676 73.08% -0.4 -0.9166
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 66.0 0.751 100.0% 0.008 -0.6259
6 Other 7 85.71% 30.43 0.0 14.29%
6 Star 4 75.0% 46.75 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 12 25.0% 65.58 -0.343 66.67% 0.02 0.261
6 Two Centers (Default) 60 28.33% 87.13 8.55 80.0% 0.347 0.5383

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2291 37.16 -3.72 32.78% -1.124 0.8466
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1805 41.7 0.511 41.55% -0.34 1.4377
All Things Weaken 2408 36.79 -2.796 32.14% -0.784 1.2646
Back Against the Wall 1695 40.71 -0.318 39.23% -0.533 1.4065
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2210 34.54 -4.337 30.72% -1.089 1.0391
Downward Spiral 2375 36.2 -3.612 32.29% -0.899 1.0617
Erosion of Will 2086 35.83 -2.654 29.53% -0.936 1.1459
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 668 43.96 -1.908 47.16% -0.974 -0.4724
Memory Fades to Dust 2404 34.88 -5.447 28.58% -1.429 0.7119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2276 35.05 -5.072 29.44% -1.354 0.6264
Promising Farmlands 2193 34.57 -3.159 28.27% -0.855 1.1664
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 411 47.48 2.917 55.72% -0.014 0.4823
Thriving Communities 2357 34.88 -3.857 29.66% -0.956 1.1034
Unnatural Proliferation 2516 37.98 -2.93 33.43% -0.877 1.0796
Untended Land Crumbles 2217 34.2 -4.323 27.56% -1.111 0.9219

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6035 79.33% 40.92 -0.28 40.05% -0.286 0.4505
B 6392 77.57% 40.54 -0.391 39.13% -0.374 0.3229
C 7928 79.12% 40.55 0.712 39.35% -0.021 0.4487
D 5507 81.51% 40.06 0.071 38.86% -0.06 0.6499
E 6287 81.2% 40.1 -0.612 38.51% -0.324 0.22
F 5560 76.86% 41.55 1.034 41.6% -0.126 0.5355
G 4438 79.22% 40.88 0.093 40.45% -0.199 0.4315
H 4387 76.99% 42.22 -0.283 42.53% -0.246 0.4185
East 657 53.73% 52.29 -0.224 37.6% -0.928 -0.2666
Northeast 305 46.56% 56.84 2.484 41.97% -0.071 0.5886
Northwest 238 46.22% 55.13 3.488 43.7% 0.173 0.783
Southeast 237 48.1% 52.56 4.441 45.15% 0.266 0.7967
Southwest 238 58.4% 44.83 -0.992 39.5% -0.081 0.8871
West 581 53.18% 50.39 11.222 38.55% 1.081 1.887

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 55.0 1.798 70.59% -0.137 2.0922
Not Using Events or Tokens 124 75.81% 41.47 4.518 11.29% 0.173 0.3993
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1265 26.63% 66.84 7.028 81.19% 1.34 0.3598
Start of Game Growth 2078 28.5% 62.29 6.436 77.33% 0.251 -0.2054
Unlimited Undo 3884 68.36% 51.79 3.795 63.29% 0.86 0.3089
Using Tokens but Not Events 1663 66.95% 41.27 -2.064 40.53% -0.675 -0.5201

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14789 22.65 3.33%
II 15597 31.08 48.23%
III 6311 34.66 90.57%
IV 1676 37.91 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.422 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31723 77.2% 40.83 40.74%
2 4671 84.77% 39.08 35.35%
3 1143 80.66% 41.33 38.93%
4 740 70.15% 45.36 42.03%
5 10 30.0% 61.4 80.0%
6 86 34.88% 77.1 72.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 475
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5621
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7351
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1626
Lose: Invader deck ran out 294
Lose: Adversary condition 11958
Win: Sacrifice victory 285
Lose: Scenario condition 923
Win: Scenario condition 44
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9092
Lose: Spirit destroyed 704

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)