The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 32.5 2.649 83.33% 0.214 0.2202
Blitz 0 193 33.33% 27.81 -0.219 78.76% -0.124 0.3725
Dahan Insurrection 4 300 24.33% 47.91 5.177 73.0% -0.714 -0.6464
Despicable Theft 2 86 38.37% 36.17 2.011 76.74% -0.42 0.0483
Elemental Invocation 1 120 51.67% 28.74 -0.751 69.17% -0.172 0.3727
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 685 10.07% 33.89 2.117 79.27% -0.59 -0.3987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 169 53.29% 31.86 -2.823 71.6% -0.518 -0.0862
Rituals of Terror 3 163 58.28% 35.75 4.985 59.51% -0.263 -0.5114
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 130 73.85% 36.75 3.754 66.92% -0.093 0.0089
Second Wave 0 369 46.61% 31.88 -0.543 74.8% -0.718 -0.1488
The Great River 3 95 66.32% 28.04 5.795 41.05% 0.034 1.7471
Varied Terrains 2 26 69.23% 34.31 0.425 61.54% -0.627 0.1115
Ward the Shores 2 220 43.64% 33.51 -0.333 64.09% -1.207 -0.3832

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 451 23.06 -2.552 63.19% -0.838 1.1541
Aid From Lesser Spirits 386 24.27 -3.482 63.99% -1.386 0.3816
All Things Weaken 532 22.01 -3.5 57.14% -1.164 0.9077
Back Against the Wall 430 25.15 -1.598 64.88% -0.89 1.0438
Disintegrating Ecosystem 451 21.41 -4.155 59.2% -1.328 0.7698
Downward Spiral 609 22.1 -2.598 62.4% -1.403 0.5065
Erosion of Will 503 23.42 -5.079 60.24% -2.138 -0.0436
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 258 27.57 -1.505 82.56% -0.12 0.4075
Memory Fades to Dust 584 23.23 -2.981 62.67% -1.114 0.9902
Power Corrodes the Spirit 555 22.97 -3.323 64.32% -1.23 0.6979
Promising Farmlands 464 22.84 -4.35 62.07% -1.506 0.5211
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 178 29.04 -4.084 89.89% -0.53 -0.0247
Thriving Communities 541 21.59 -4.941 60.63% -1.885 0.18
Unnatural Proliferation 519 22.14 -2.899 52.99% -1.209 0.7263
Untended Land Crumbles 521 21.69 -5.218 58.35% -2.009 0.0229

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3141 38.61% 29.18 -0.114 83.92% 0.295 0.98
B 3015 37.75% 29.09 0.324 83.42% -0.056 0.603
C 3201 35.4% 29.77 0.101 84.85% 0.15 0.5857
D 3011 37.52% 29.45 -0.095 83.89% 0.2 0.8717
E 2953 37.14% 29.51 0.163 84.15% 0.207 0.7018
F 2867 36.88% 29.69 -0.07 84.51% 0.213 0.8397
G 2599 38.73% 29.13 -0.387 83.72% -0.333 0.2216
H 2574 36.58% 29.72 0.341 83.68% -0.027 0.5906
East 983 41.0% 36.1 3.286 78.43% -0.04 0.5155
Northeast 454 40.53% 36.69 2.254 78.85% 0.067 0.671
Northwest 350 44.86% 33.39 -1.152 66.57% -0.93 -0.4552
Southeast 341 37.54% 34.82 -1.957 78.89% -1.108 -0.467
Southwest 319 38.87% 31.44 -1.868 77.12% -0.389 0.4855
West 867 44.18% 32.85 1.33 71.51% -0.095 0.6524

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 63 0.0% 28.92 1.977 80.95% 0.158 2.3628
Not Using Events or Tokens 356 39.1% 27.37 1.553 75.28% 0.153 0.385
Skip Initial Invader Actions 411 6.05% 41.06 2.795 93.43% -0.163 -1.2911
Start of Game Growth 666 13.82% 39.05 1.047 91.74% 0.298 -0.1391
Unlimited Undo 1199 31.83% 31.63 1.148 88.49% 0.394 -0.1084
Using Tokens but Not Events 1442 32.0% 29.73 -0.79 81.14% -0.333 -0.1808

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1278 22.67 27.62%
II 3911 31.1 64.2%
III 8214 34.68 90.1%
IV 4623 37.94 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: 0.418
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13050 39.79% 29.58 81.02%
2 3245 39.34% 29.89 85.64%
3 1103 32.03% 30.31 86.85%
4 551 29.58% 30.35 82.94%
5 7 28.57% 35.86 100.0%
6 70 27.14% 36.6 97.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 351
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2330
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4532
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 1254
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 207
Win: Scenario condition 360
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1496
Lose: Spirit destroyed 99

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 39.0 -1.413 85.71% -0.101 -0.0951
Blitz 0 210 42.58% 30.36 -3.62 70.48% -0.683 -0.1869
Dahan Insurrection 4 264 25.38% 55.53 8.152 79.55% -0.238 -0.1704
Despicable Theft 2 40 62.5% 37.95 4.124 67.5% 0.096 0.5635
Elemental Invocation 1 91 64.84% 31.08 0.522 61.54% -0.126 0.4186
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 418 13.32% 34.69 0.183 68.9% -1.027 -0.8356
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 70.31% 32.14 0.118 59.38% 0.152 0.584
Rituals of Terror 3 124 52.42% 42.94 5.118 66.94% 0.257 0.0088
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 69.77% 44.37 11.531 72.09% -0.4 -0.2987
Second Wave 0 938 49.84% 33.0 -0.8 70.79% -1.334 -0.7649
The Great River 3 59 54.24% 34.17 0.0 47.46%
Varied Terrains 2 11 63.64% 39.27 1.807 72.73% -0.29 0.4482
Ward the Shores 2 166 51.2% 36.1 -1.843 61.45% -0.745 0.0782

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 415 26.74 0.557 60.72% 0.653 2.645
Aid From Lesser Spirits 346 27.47 -5.157 61.56% -1.532 0.2354
All Things Weaken 465 25.57 -4.666 55.27% -1.514 0.5575
Back Against the Wall 353 28.1 -2.071 64.87% -0.749 1.1853
Disintegrating Ecosystem 403 24.77 -6.439 56.33% -1.538 0.5596
Downward Spiral 498 26.27 -4.159 63.05% -1.69 0.2194
Erosion of Will 366 25.87 -4.63 60.11% -1.036 1.0591
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 246 32.42 -0.237 80.89% 0.357 0.8843
Memory Fades to Dust 457 25.24 -3.975 57.99% -0.525 1.5794
Power Corrodes the Spirit 450 26.67 -7.733 62.67% -1.836 0.0913
Promising Farmlands 382 24.09 -6.345 54.45% -1.81 0.2167
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 154 31.78 -1.058 82.47% -0.318 0.1876
Thriving Communities 467 24.85 -6.5 56.75% -1.482 0.5832
Unnatural Proliferation 464 27.01 -7.127 60.13% -1.717 0.2184
Untended Land Crumbles 428 25.29 -3.425 57.94% -1.078 0.9538

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2217 44.08% 32.97 -0.658 81.87% -0.456 0.2292
B 2322 41.61% 33.68 -0.239 82.6% -0.36 0.2989
C 2469 41.68% 33.75 -0.056 83.43% -0.091 0.3441
D 2187 42.59% 33.38 -0.599 81.3% -0.245 0.427
E 2158 41.83% 33.82 0.253 83.04% 0.307 0.8022
F 2081 42.97% 33.29 0.663 82.03% 0.074 0.7011
G 1885 43.72% 33.05 -0.689 80.27% -0.206 0.3491
H 1851 42.56% 33.25 0.701 81.85% 0.359 0.977
East 901 50.17% 37.32 3.036 69.59% 0.473 1.0284
Northeast 392 49.62% 38.24 1.376 69.9% 0.11 0.7146
Northwest 344 49.4% 37.04 -2.508 69.77% -0.719 -0.2443
Southeast 333 47.88% 36.86 1.458 74.17% 0.307 0.9483
Southwest 321 52.66% 31.15 -0.874 66.67% -0.114 0.7601
West 854 52.49% 34.61 -2.282 67.45% -1.233 -0.4861

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 51 0.0% 35.1 -0.669 86.27% 0.036 2.2409
Not Using Events or Tokens 148 50.35% 29.7 -4.068 64.86% -0.463 -0.2313
Skip Initial Invader Actions 268 8.3% 47.61 3.685 95.15% 0.96 -0.1677
Start of Game Growth 389 11.43% 45.41 2.58 93.57% 0.656 0.2187
Unlimited Undo 1023 38.78% 34.59 -0.191 84.65% -0.228 -0.7303
Using Tokens but Not Events 1060 32.28% 35.54 0.728 83.3% -0.187 -0.0348

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1190 22.67 25.63%
II 5102 31.1 73.13%
III 5109 34.68 91.15%
IV 2034 37.94 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.045 Win Model: 0.18
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9437 44.28% 33.53 78.44%
2 2712 47.06% 32.85 81.75%
3 858 35.86% 34.9 85.43%
4 387 36.1% 36.0 84.75%
5 9 55.56% 40.11 77.78%
6 32 28.13% 39.16 87.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 301
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4528
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3497
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2008
Lose: Invader deck ran out 76
Lose: Adversary condition 1172
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 149
Win: Scenario condition 312
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1245
Lose: Spirit destroyed 78

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 46.75 2.935 100.0% 0.093 0.0989
Blitz 0 252 53.17% 34.54 6.218 61.9% -0.328 0.168
Dahan Insurrection 4 167 38.32% 61.94 9.76 80.24% 0.225 0.2931
Despicable Theft 2 33 84.85% 40.94 1.909 54.55% -0.202 0.2663
Elemental Invocation 1 68 73.53% 34.85 -1.997 57.35% -0.692 -0.1476
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 754 13.67% 44.13 2.883 74.54% -0.441 -0.2498
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 70.48% 38.45 -1.593 58.1% -0.253 0.1793
Rituals of Terror 3 54 70.37% 45.65 12.18 61.11% 0.305 0.0566
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 75.61% 44.22 16.783 56.1% 0.58 0.6812
Second Wave 0 589 58.84% 36.37 -2.114 60.61% -0.903 -0.3338
The Great River 3 30 23.33% 31.9 -7.168 23.33% -1.071 0.6418
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 20.0 -3.735 6.67% -1.042 -0.3036
Ward the Shores 2 108 66.67% 39.03 3.699 50.93% 0.129 0.9524

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 731 31.32 -3.974 53.76% -1.227 0.7644
Aid From Lesser Spirits 538 34.26 -5.687 60.59% -1.71 0.0573
All Things Weaken 755 31.22 -4.132 55.5% -1.421 0.6505
Back Against the Wall 566 32.48 -3.54 57.07% -1.366 0.5681
Disintegrating Ecosystem 624 29.68 -6.743 55.45% -1.982 0.1152
Downward Spiral 780 30.03 -2.721 54.1% -0.771 1.1383
Erosion of Will 667 30.14 -2.458 52.02% -0.69 1.4048
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 301 38.02 -0.243 76.41% -0.235 0.2923
Memory Fades to Dust 717 30.72 -3.541 55.79% -1.117 0.9878
Power Corrodes the Spirit 703 30.82 -4.505 56.05% -1.326 0.6013
Promising Farmlands 597 28.67 -3.599 51.09% -1.064 0.9624
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 208 38.72 0.849 77.88% -0.062 0.4437
Thriving Communities 708 28.2 -6.618 48.31% -1.856 0.2091
Unnatural Proliferation 777 31.66 -3.329 55.73% -1.235 0.7005
Untended Land Crumbles 745 29.75 -5.781 52.48% -1.573 0.4593

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2866 58.9% 36.91 1.027 71.0% 0.356 1.0414
B 2954 58.92% 37.01 0.276 70.99% 0.137 0.796
C 3291 58.02% 37.71 0.911 73.81% 0.238 0.6739
D 2774 60.04% 36.59 -1.009 70.69% -0.154 0.5184
E 2820 57.22% 37.46 0.183 72.55% 0.166 0.6609
F 2636 57.75% 37.2 -0.624 71.78% 0.042 0.6686
G 2310 58.13% 36.94 -0.506 70.91% 0.007 0.5615
H 2257 55.93% 37.63 0.519 72.4% 0.174 0.7923
East 767 59.74% 41.13 0.65 62.97% -0.529 0.026
Northeast 358 62.18% 39.89 2.217 58.38% -0.085 0.5199
Northwest 349 61.1% 40.0 3.281 60.46% 0.344 0.8184
Southeast 255 54.55% 43.31 -2.075 71.37% -0.477 0.164
Southwest 233 54.55% 38.55 5.622 63.52% 0.546 1.4202
West 750 59.17% 40.13 0.429 62.27% -0.124 0.6234

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 60 0.0% 39.4 -3.808 75.0% -0.379 1.8256
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 60.38% 33.43 2.219 61.67% 0.255 0.4874
Skip Initial Invader Actions 264 18.92% 53.49 6.453 91.29% 0.276 -0.8519
Start of Game Growth 420 23.37% 49.99 4.944 87.38% 0.036 -0.4012
Unlimited Undo 1192 50.66% 39.88 1.503 77.6% 0.057 -0.4454
Using Tokens but Not Events 1246 51.22% 37.41 -1.415 71.83% -0.235 -0.0835

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2496 22.67 11.86%
II 7510 31.1 68.34%
III 4228 34.68 94.56%
IV 1837 37.94 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.34 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10874 58.72% 36.79 69.14%
2 3472 60.65% 36.59 69.73%
3 1056 60.3% 37.95 73.86%
4 626 49.36% 41.96 80.99%
5 9 44.44% 41.67 77.78%
6 34 33.33% 46.94 73.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 294
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3940
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4953
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1808
Lose: Invader deck ran out 56
Lose: Adversary condition 2388
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 196
Win: Scenario condition 189
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2025
Lose: Spirit destroyed 148

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 56.0 6.767 100.0% 0.243 0.2492
Blitz 0 162 54.32% 36.54 13.712 54.94% 0.597 1.0929
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 45.16% 60.44 16.195 69.03% 0.516 0.584
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 41.75 10.581 62.5% 0.168 0.6355
Elemental Invocation 1 86 70.93% 35.73 -1.976 47.67% -0.056 0.4879
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 694 19.21% 45.57 8.009 69.16% 0.849 1.0411
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 73.86% 34.8 0.0 43.18%
Rituals of Terror 3 51 72.55% 42.8 13.652 45.1% 0.191 -0.0574
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 90.63% 39.31 0.0 37.5%
Second Wave 0 316 56.05% 37.13 1.343 55.06% -0.044 0.5257
The Great River 3 29 41.38% 37.41 0.0 31.03%
Ward the Shores 2 55 67.27% 34.22 -4.739 30.91% -0.824 -0.0006

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 818 31.41 -2.859 47.8% -0.92 1.0714
Aid From Lesser Spirits 718 34.76 -0.971 56.27% -0.278 1.4897
All Things Weaken 922 31.75 -2.405 48.81% -0.723 1.3484
Back Against the Wall 680 33.21 -1.845 51.47% -0.665 1.2691
Disintegrating Ecosystem 801 29.42 -2.342 46.44% -0.584 1.5131
Downward Spiral 976 31.81 -3.291 52.05% -0.877 1.0315
Erosion of Will 878 30.1 -4.868 44.31% -1.475 0.6197
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 396 36.83 -1.896 63.38% -0.823 -0.2957
Memory Fades to Dust 902 31.35 -4.11 48.56% -1.203 0.902
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1000 30.7 -4.796 47.7% -1.221 0.7063
Promising Farmlands 810 30.28 -3.595 46.79% -0.923 1.1038
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 264 39.89 1.228 74.62% 0.182 0.6873
Thriving Communities 853 29.35 -0.904 43.73% -0.261 1.804
Unnatural Proliferation 947 31.06 -1.302 44.88% -0.545 1.3907
Untended Land Crumbles 946 30.87 -3.052 47.36% -0.758 1.274

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3280 64.23% 37.45 0.19 64.09% 0.195 0.8797
B 3324 63.31% 37.35 0.591 64.05% 0.212 0.871
C 3834 65.71% 37.0 0.235 62.68% -0.011 0.425
D 3193 65.27% 36.99 0.159 63.14% 0.335 1.0069
E 3209 65.16% 37.51 1.557 64.41% 0.562 1.0574
F 2966 64.47% 37.47 -0.385 64.33% 0.037 0.6632
G 2668 64.17% 37.06 -0.236 63.91% 0.18 0.735
H 2651 65.21% 37.72 -0.279 64.99% 0.109 0.7269
East 777 65.68% 40.43 1.887 51.48% -0.076 0.4787
Northeast 319 66.04% 41.0 1.324 47.34% -0.441 0.163
Northwest 263 65.65% 38.97 0.832 44.49% -0.356 0.118
Southeast 260 65.0% 38.3 0.991 50.77% 0.267 0.9075
Southwest 206 68.93% 33.67 -4.583 44.66% -0.549 0.3255
West 610 67.27% 37.19 -1.035 45.41% -0.212 0.5353

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 44.77 5.606 76.67% 0.192 2.3966
Not Using Events or Tokens 77 70.13% 39.95 -11.063 55.84% -0.622 -0.3902
Skip Initial Invader Actions 385 15.34% 55.77 8.302 92.99% 1.008 -0.1198
Start of Game Growth 577 17.93% 53.4 7.527 90.29% 0.992 0.5549
Unlimited Undo 1326 57.43% 40.79 0.186 71.64% 0.013 -0.4892
Using Tokens but Not Events 1007 55.07% 38.28 -1.994 67.23% -0.332 -0.18

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3442 22.67 6.1%
II 8056 31.1 59.96%
III 5438 34.68 91.76%
IV 1336 37.94 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.587 Win Model: 0.397
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12423 65.17% 36.81 61.75%
2 3946 67.55% 36.6 61.73%
3 1215 65.51% 37.73 62.96%
4 656 54.52% 41.59 70.43%
5 14 61.54% 49.29 85.71%
6 18 35.29% 53.61 83.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 209
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4927
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4706
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1323
Lose: Invader deck ran out 153
Lose: Adversary condition 3766
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 204
Win: Scenario condition 123
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2599
Lose: Spirit destroyed 189

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 75 70.67% 41.0 7.867 54.67% 0.349 0.8445
Dahan Insurrection 4 45 68.89% 55.31 5.885 42.22% -0.367 -0.2989
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 35.58 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 37 72.97% 33.89 0.0 27.03%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 402 25.87% 48.88 4.025 62.19% 0.333 0.5251
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 87.5% 36.06 0.0 31.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 20 70.0% 51.45 16.226 50.0% 0.234 -0.0138
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 41.15 0.0 35.0%
Second Wave 0 212 71.56% 39.29 6.381 46.7% 0.812 1.3815
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 32 90.63% 35.84 0.0 25.0%

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 701 36.66 -3.509 46.36% -0.751 1.2411
Aid From Lesser Spirits 586 40.18 2.082 53.75% 0.343 2.1105
All Things Weaken 817 34.8 -3.514 40.51% -0.665 1.4067
Back Against the Wall 567 39.55 -2.637 50.79% -0.774 1.1598
Disintegrating Ecosystem 725 34.65 -3.223 45.24% -0.697 1.4007
Downward Spiral 704 35.33 -0.325 44.6% 0.014 1.9234
Erosion of Will 711 36.12 -1.46 42.9% -0.405 1.69
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 253 41.91 3.765 58.1% 0.682 1.2098
Memory Fades to Dust 807 35.2 -2.539 43.74% -0.628 1.4767
Power Corrodes the Spirit 761 35.97 -0.833 45.73% -0.351 1.5767
Promising Farmlands 696 33.34 0.499 38.79% 0.069 2.096
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 161 43.83 2.111 62.73% 0.237 0.7426
Thriving Communities 725 34.6 -3.008 44.0% -0.62 1.4452
Unnatural Proliferation 813 36.76 -1.729 44.9% -0.398 1.5373
Untended Land Crumbles 774 34.25 -3.469 40.83% -0.756 1.2759

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2069 81.57% 38.47 0.373 50.8% 0.06 0.7451
B 2392 80.72% 39.57 -1.837 53.8% -0.399 0.2597
C 2680 80.43% 39.2 -0.745 52.46% -0.334 0.1018
D 2006 83.54% 38.52 0.794 50.95% 0.107 0.7791
E 2069 82.36% 38.8 -0.007 50.94% -0.35 0.1455
F 1991 81.17% 39.82 0.618 54.55% 0.053 0.6793
G 1676 80.26% 38.76 -0.264 51.07% -0.08 0.4747
H 1662 79.75% 39.61 0.555 53.67% 0.107 0.7251
East 433 73.21% 42.57 0.7 44.8% 0.147 0.7021
Northeast 190 70.0% 45.46 0.41 48.42% -0.542 0.0629
Northwest 162 68.52% 43.42 -1.912 45.68% -0.812 -0.3375
Southeast 167 65.87% 45.14 5.619 52.69% 0.11 0.7512
Southwest 155 66.45% 43.65 2.313 50.97% 0.189 1.0631
West 379 72.03% 41.01 -1.43 42.74% -0.731 0.0164

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 88.89% 40.22 7.969 51.85% 0.35 0.5818
Skip Initial Invader Actions 122 47.9% 57.68 4.896 84.43% 0.366 -0.7615
Start of Game Growth 281 47.84% 53.65 2.809 75.44% -0.114 -0.5514
Unlimited Undo 1095 77.47% 42.6 2.227 60.73% 0.58 0.078
Using Tokens but Not Events 480 75.9% 38.85 -2.885 51.88% -0.419 -0.2665

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3141 22.67 3.37%
II 5031 31.1 50.09%
III 3142 34.68 90.55%
IV 862 37.94 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.423 Win Model: 0.424
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8357 79.87% 39.25 52.44%
2 2613 83.23% 38.39 49.87%
3 796 84.17% 39.18 52.64%
4 379 73.07% 43.06 55.41%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 28 28.57% 50.54 53.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 106
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2807
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2477
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 843
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 2971
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 137
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2470
Lose: Spirit destroyed 197

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 27 88.89% 34.07 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 14.356 13.46% 0.517 0.5847
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 21 66.67% 37.76 2.104 28.57% -0.16 0.3839
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 145 30.34% 42.74 4.328 40.0% 0.374 0.5653
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 87.5% 36.38 -4.46 25.0% -0.58 -0.1476
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 67 61.19% 39.81 -1.206 43.28% -0.335 0.2341
Ward the Shores 2 10 80.0% 41.1 14.497 30.0% 0.249 1.0731

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 369 36.29 -1.216 36.04% -0.599 1.3923
Aid From Lesser Spirits 281 39.96 0.027 44.84% -0.43 1.3376
All Things Weaken 377 34.76 -4.083 33.69% -0.682 1.39
Back Against the Wall 271 35.97 -2.663 33.58% -0.681 1.2526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 308 34.77 -2.626 36.69% -0.374 1.724
Downward Spiral 378 32.66 -1.691 29.89% -0.078 1.831
Erosion of Will 346 34.9 -2.606 32.66% -0.804 1.2913
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 45.59 1.112 56.16% -0.059 0.4681
Memory Fades to Dust 354 34.25 -2.398 32.77% -0.461 1.6432
Power Corrodes the Spirit 386 34.32 0.047 32.9% 0.056 1.9837
Promising Farmlands 312 34.47 -0.868 33.65% -0.273 1.7537
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 47.66 5.87 63.24% 0.777 1.2829
Thriving Communities 386 34.37 -1.231 34.97% 0.009 2.0733
Unnatural Proliferation 372 34.86 -4.118 32.26% -0.994 0.9409
Untended Land Crumbles 408 33.23 -2.732 30.64% -0.467 1.5647

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 870 85.86% 38.33 0.789 42.18% 0.125 0.8101
B 1016 83.76% 39.06 0.913 44.98% 0.2 0.8584
C 1098 83.97% 40.09 -0.73 46.36% -0.392 0.0432
D 841 84.78% 37.78 -0.551 41.62% 0.016 0.6876
E 932 84.01% 37.67 -0.737 41.09% -0.161 0.3344
F 892 79.04% 39.43 0.303 45.63% 0.156 0.7825
G 732 82.65% 38.98 -0.731 43.44% -0.139 0.4157
H 744 82.66% 38.74 0.675 43.01% 0.116 0.7337
East 168 76.19% 42.68 5.401 32.74% 0.048 0.6035
Northeast 72 83.33% 42.53 12.912 29.17% 0.16 0.7644
Northwest 128 90.63% 32.96 12.912 14.06% 0.16 0.6344
Southeast 77 76.62% 42.61 -0.756 35.06% -0.531 0.1098
Southwest 219 84.47% 28.78 -8.959 10.5% -0.301 0.5734
West 381 85.83% 31.25 -8.959 12.6% -0.301 0.4466

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 88.24% 39.88 10.896 29.41% 0.443 0.6757
Skip Initial Invader Actions 64 60.94% 57.52 7.441 76.56% 0.415 -0.713
Start of Game Growth 102 54.9% 53.32 3.688 68.63% 0.288 -0.149
Unlimited Undo 499 72.95% 45.66 2.069 60.72% 0.572 0.0696
Using Tokens but Not Events 372 70.7% 39.34 -6.373 47.04% -1.855 -1.7029

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1503 22.67 0.8%
II 2378 31.1 29.39%
III 1307 34.68 88.91%
IV 434 37.94 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.186 Win Model: -0.023
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4083 82.9% 37.85 40.58%
2 1124 87.1% 37.31 39.23%
3 253 82.21% 43.17 53.36%
4 155 71.61% 42.28 46.45%
5 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0%
6 6 100.0% 34.83 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 684
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 427
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 1582
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 80
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1528
Lose: Spirit destroyed 89

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 343 58.36% 42.2 -1.513 41.4% -0.595 -0.099
Dahan Insurrection 4 216 73.02% 48.23 2.368 19.91% -0.727 -0.6596
Despicable Theft 2 28 89.29% 34.96 0.0 17.86%
Elemental Invocation 1 100 69.0% 36.99 -2.574 20.0% -0.677 -0.133
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2050 31.95% 48.83 2.031 42.29% -0.221 -0.0292
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 52.58% 45.94 0.0 51.55%
Rituals of Terror 3 107 34.91% 76.27 14.384 41.12% 0.442 0.1943
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 64.71% 42.71 0.0 23.53%
Second Wave 0 115 56.52% 43.86 8.848 40.87% 0.575 1.1442
The Great River 3 26 57.69% 36.19 -5.265 3.85% -1.413 0.3
Varied Terrains 2 23 60.87% 48.26 7.354 43.48% 0.068 0.8061
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2322 37.12 -3.741 32.69% -1.168 0.8234
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1826 41.7 -0.15 41.51% -0.622 1.1451
All Things Weaken 2446 36.76 -3.485 32.05% -0.986 1.086
Back Against the Wall 1723 40.8 0.478 39.35% -0.393 1.5409
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2230 34.55 -4.113 30.76% -1.011 1.0868
Downward Spiral 2412 36.17 -3.589 32.26% -0.903 1.0056
Erosion of Will 2095 35.79 -3.409 29.4% -1.121 0.9743
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 680 43.85 -2.423 46.91% -1.082 -0.5547
Memory Fades to Dust 2426 34.85 -5.163 28.52% -1.375 0.7296
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2298 35.04 -4.161 29.42% -1.028 0.8998
Promising Farmlands 2208 34.58 -2.878 28.26% -0.772 1.2548
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 413 47.47 1.299 55.69% -0.418 0.0881
Thriving Communities 2382 34.88 -3.56 29.64% -0.972 1.0928
Unnatural Proliferation 2538 38.0 -1.987 33.45% -0.704 1.2308
Untended Land Crumbles 2245 34.2 -4.09 27.53% -1.105 0.9272

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6112 79.21% 40.95 0.243 40.07% -0.173 0.5121
B 6489 77.45% 40.54 -0.306 39.13% -0.286 0.3727
C 8032 78.99% 40.58 0.3 39.4% -0.129 0.3063
D 5587 81.49% 40.09 0.22 38.91% -0.062 0.6105
E 6356 81.12% 40.11 -0.829 38.55% -0.347 0.1485
F 5646 76.72% 41.56 -0.131 41.59% -0.288 0.3383
G 4505 78.84% 40.9 0.104 40.49% -0.16 0.3947
H 4449 76.91% 42.26 0.147 42.59% -0.143 0.4749
East 662 53.78% 52.28 2.892 37.61% -0.4 0.1556
Northeast 307 46.58% 56.7 1.2 41.69% -0.553 0.0511
Northwest 240 46.25% 55.09 4.078 43.75% 0.205 0.6796
Southeast 239 48.12% 52.53 1.073 45.19% -0.259 0.3818
Southwest 239 58.58% 44.76 -2.997 39.33% -0.603 0.2713
West 583 53.17% 50.39 8.023 38.59% 0.534 1.2816

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 55.0 4.063 70.59% 0.243 2.4475
Not Using Events or Tokens 124 75.81% 41.47 4.285 11.29% 0.134 0.3663
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1276 26.79% 66.77 7.073 81.03% 1.325 0.1965
Start of Game Growth 2121 28.49% 62.25 6.792 77.23% 0.304 -0.1334
Unlimited Undo 3921 68.4% 51.73 3.389 63.12% 0.808 0.3056
Using Tokens but Not Events 1705 67.54% 40.93 -4.079 39.82% -1.082 -0.9296

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14971 22.67 3.31%
II 15808 31.1 48.36%
III 6401 34.68 90.58%
IV 1706 37.94 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.281 Win Model: 0.037
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32144 76.99% 40.88 40.86%
2 4727 84.72% 39.09 35.33%
3 1168 80.82% 41.36 38.87%
4 748 70.47% 45.19 41.58%
5 10 30.0% 61.4 80.0%
6 89 35.96% 75.89 70.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 478
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5702
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7473
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1656
Lose: Invader deck ran out 306
Lose: Adversary condition 12089
Win: Sacrifice victory 287
Lose: Scenario condition 939
Win: Scenario condition 44
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9196
Lose: Spirit destroyed 716

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-27 02:54:44 (Pacific Time)