The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1678 25.22% 28.07 1.114 77.83% 0.27 0.1628
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 88 15.91% 22.09 -0.592 56.82% 0.151 -0.3372
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1096 43.32% 26.29 0.526 70.26% 0.12 0.2629
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 116 15.52% 32.04 9.056 75.86% 1.597 0.8484
Dances Up Earthquakes 26 42.31% 26.69 2.317 73.08% 0.636 0.4596
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1436 28.26% 28.59 -1.01 79.18% -0.093 -0.3005
Downpour Drenches the World 499 25.65% 21.65 -2.721 55.51% -0.446 -0.126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 444 21.44% 26.34 2.828 68.24% 0.789 0.3487
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1749 18.51% 32.13 2.9 83.76% 0.845 0.5015
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1419 24.35% 30.39 2.77 83.02% 0.696 0.3413
Finder of Paths Unseen 247 28.05% 16.06 -1.355 39.68% -0.257 0.5277
Fractured Days Split the Sky 733 34.38% 24.0 -7.415 57.03% -1.801 -1.3526
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 934 39.06% 26.29 -0.074 67.13% -0.027 -0.0508
Heart of the Wildfire 1692 56.28% 24.23 0.703 68.74% 0.529 0.856
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2230 25.45% 29.88 0.844 82.74% 0.306 -0.1893
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 127 12.6% 25.43 -0.969 66.14% -0.276 -0.8389
Lightning's Swift Strike 908 43.29% 27.13 2.46 74.67% 0.006 0.2048
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 180 31.28% 27.48 3.247 72.22% 0.513 0.0647
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 480 32.14% 30.14 -0.203 83.33% 0.172 -0.1477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 374 31.82% 27.15 -0.593 72.46% -0.042 0.0825
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1791 32.05% 28.52 0.757 77.5% -0.028 -0.1838
Many Minds Move as One 1286 22.09% 29.52 -0.567 80.09% -0.174 -0.3804
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1736 39.97% 27.34 0.327 72.41% 0.025 0.1541
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 26 34.62% 21.38 -0.517 50.0% -0.062 0.0425
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1330 29.77% 27.31 -1.015 77.22% -0.42 -0.4698
River Surges in Sunlight 1142 41.87% 27.99 -1.215 71.37% -0.521 -0.4879
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 48 33.33% 22.71 0.689 54.17% 0.299 0.5068
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 551 39.89% 27.28 0.152 64.07% -0.068 0.0827
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 202 34.0% 27.92 2.012 63.86% 0.357 0.3658
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1247 28.31% 28.03 1.529 77.71% 0.41 0.3108
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 4 0.0% 17.75 -2.32 50.0% -0.103 -0.5939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 561 53.12% 26.07 0.614 68.81% 0.164 0.6759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 82 37.8% 22.76 -2.463 56.1% -0.486 -0.529
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 91 28.57% 25.27 5.308 64.84% 1.355 0.907
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 26.83% 21.23 -0.241 53.66% -0.336 -0.2779
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 365 32.6% 29.47 -1.532 82.19% -0.369 -0.5592
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 255 43.92% 26.14 0.204 70.2% 0.322 0.4059
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1206 29.53% 28.88 0.818 78.94% 0.415 0.3172
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 162 20.0% 21.98 0.918 58.64% -0.019 -0.213
Shifting Memory of Ages 738 41.71% 21.83 -4.447 58.13% -0.801 -0.4113
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 63 22.22% 16.78 -3.957 41.27% -0.914 -0.9652
Shroud of Silent Mist 837 44.79% 24.05 -3.718 66.07% -0.619 -0.2048
Starlight Seeks its Form 926 25.81% 24.65 -1.876 64.79% -0.357 -0.397
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2367 27.61% 26.9 -0.246 82.34% 0.264 -0.2385
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1131 39.33% 24.87 0.003 67.02% 0.152 0.2349
Thunderspeaker 1301 35.52% 27.86 -0.889 72.87% -0.153 -0.1589
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 149 30.2% 18.88 2.255 48.99% 0.59 0.9782
Towering Roots of the Jungle 151 19.87% 20.44 -1.551 56.95% -0.265 -0.0543
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1602 58.21% 22.98 -2.096 69.41% -0.124 -0.0471
Vital Strength of the Earth 840 35.32% 24.2 -2.126 66.19% -0.613 -0.1639
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 23.21% 21.5 -2.729 55.62% -0.794 -0.2994
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 347 34.97% 22.01 -0.645 62.82% -0.136 0.5571
Volcano Looming High 1163 38.95% 24.3 -2.505 68.27% -0.432 -0.3677
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 283 19.5% 28.26 1.447 70.67% 0.408 0.1594

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 33.33% 24.47 -3.086 63.33% -0.544 -1.1023
Blitz 0 353 26.42% 22.44 -6.226 61.19% -0.876 -0.4527
Dahan Insurrection 4 411 27.01% 44.94 4.928 65.21% -0.067 -0.5488
Despicable Theft 2 178 30.9% 23.87 -1.016 47.75% -0.639 -0.0959
Elemental Invocation 1 269 40.15% 21.6 -1.71 51.3% -0.702 0.036
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 991 8.78% 33.05 2.811 75.48% 0.438 -0.2182
Powers Long Forgotten 1 312 37.42% 22.28 -6.236 50.0% -1.252 -0.6894
Rituals of Terror 3 235 53.19% 29.62 -0.878 50.21% -0.475 -0.6167
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 214 53.74% 28.2 -2.802 52.34% -0.931 -0.1821
Second Wave 0 540 48.6% 30.39 1.597 67.96% -0.008 0.0868
The Great River 3 189 47.62% 21.98 -1.729 34.92% -0.843 0.4019
Varied Terrains 2 115 51.3% 21.98 -6.792 41.74% -1.418 -0.5496
Ward the Shores 2 333 39.04% 28.77 -2.741 55.86% -0.682 0.1724

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17453 36.67% 27.0 0.816 74.39% 0.531 0.9038
1 Thematic 1852 38.01% 28.55 -1.906 62.63% -0.754 -0.04
2 Archipelago 18 61.11% 34.33 14.724 61.11% 0.607 1.131
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3575 36.86% 25.96 -0.906 73.54% -0.191 -0.0299
2 Coastline 408 35.78% 27.59 2.836 75.98% 0.627 0.4341
2 Fragment 81 49.38% 24.15 -5.756 65.43% -0.563 -0.6108
2 Heart 47 36.17% 28.15 -3.366 89.36% -0.09 -0.3019
2 Opposite Shores 465 32.68% 28.44 2.788 82.8% 1.197 1.3297
2 Thematic 540 34.26% 27.33 -0.915 57.59% -0.655 0.0655
2 Top to Top 78 43.59% 27.85 8.376 80.77% 0.368 0.2839
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 42.57 0.0 85.71%
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 34.65 3.391 76.92% 0.288 -0.3428
3 Other 67 32.84% 24.6 9.317 70.15% 0.661 -0.2155
3 Round (Default) 1678 30.36% 27.85 2.649 78.43% 0.644 0.6209
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 35.63 2.695 100.0% 0.063 -0.3835
3 Thematic 96 42.71% 25.02 0.0 50.0%
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 15.67 -9.378 33.33% -0.406 -0.2762
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 35 17.14% 27.23 0.0 85.71%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 13.0 0.619 0.0% -0.123 0.3232
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 119 17.65% 34.79 2.58 77.31% -0.094 -0.0308
4 Trapezoid (Default) 867 22.38% 23.39 -2.817 65.63% -1.167 -1.1618
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 57 12.28% 25.44 2.015 77.19% -0.055 -0.3792
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 27.0 -6.113 54.55% -0.249 -0.3923
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 60.0% 20.2 -7.527 60.0% -0.635 -0.68
6 Star 10 30.0% 29.2 0.0 90.0%
6 Thematic 51 26.0% 34.71 9.552 56.86% 0.352 0.5556
6 Two Centers (Default) 125 13.6% 24.44 1.027 68.0% -0.014 0.4607
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 12.25 -8.039 25.0% -0.344 -1.0198

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 596 22.79 3.497 60.74% 0.808 0.8793
Aid From Lesser Spirits 531 23.53 -1.93 60.45% -0.607 -0.7172
All Things Weaken 699 21.56 1.051 54.79% -0.116 0.0614
Attenuated Essence 72 17.97 -3.622 45.83% -0.555 -0.5029
Back Against the Wall 559 25.24 1.917 64.58% 0.042 0.026
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 85 17.09 -0.541 41.18% -0.246 -0.0626
Burn Brightest Before the End 71 23.48 -1.792 57.75% -0.675 -0.5879
Disintegrating Ecosystem 603 20.99 0.936 56.55% -0.039 0.252
Downward Spiral 786 22.03 -1.753 60.81% -0.346 -0.2396
Erosion of Will 673 23.05 -0.003 57.36% -0.269 -0.1027
Intensifying Exploitation 90 21.39 2.61 51.11% 0.277 0.4647
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 346 26.62 1.134 79.19% 0.735 0.3075
Memory Fades to Dust 797 22.79 0.371 60.23% 0.126 0.3605
Power Corrodes the Spirit 727 22.83 2.667 63.27% 0.614 0.7102
Promising Farmlands 612 22.63 -0.886 59.15% -0.906 -0.5418
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 24.71 -0.095 54.29% -0.511 -0.4453
Slow Dissolution of Will 89 20.1 -2.98 39.33% -1.392 -0.9287
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 241 28.16 2.099 84.65% 0.547 -0.054
The Border of Life and Death 39 23.33 6.443 58.97% 0.297 -0.178
Thriving Communities 745 20.66 -0.635 55.97% -0.24 -0.0145
Thriving Crops 36 26.28 -0.368 69.44% 0.195 -0.03
Unnatural Proliferation 703 22.32 3.55 52.35% 0.67 0.7916
Untended Land Crumbles 688 21.52 0.043 55.52% -0.459 -0.227

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5023 34.49% 26.27 -0.458 73.94% -0.616 0.3025
B 4893 34.64% 26.21 0.385 73.17% -0.242 0.5992
C 5131 32.22% 26.76 -0.798 74.57% -0.697 -0.014
D 4819 33.88% 26.39 -0.455 73.58% -0.607 0.2349
E 4690 33.77% 26.82 0.549 74.73% -0.116 0.5353
F 4545 33.46% 26.87 0.092 74.79% -0.366 0.3944
G 4055 34.79% 26.32 -0.988 73.54% -0.645 0.1125
H 4027 33.18% 26.81 -1.158 73.98% -0.662 0.0565
East 1592 34.88% 30.26 -1.054 64.2% -0.538 0.2756
Northeast 724 34.99% 30.71 -2.146 63.4% -0.507 0.1605
Northwest 622 35.75% 27.68 2.389 53.86% 0.175 0.9802
Southeast 581 31.55% 29.06 1.835 63.34% 0.194 0.8993
Southwest 582 31.5% 25.52 -3.441 59.45% -1.084 0.3055
West 1510 35.45% 26.91 2.383 57.35% 0.184 0.9775

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 80 0.0% 29.24 -14.712 78.75% -0.586 0.1328
Not Using Events or Tokens 431 38.29% 26.1 -10.194 71.69% -0.383 0.1017
Skip Initial Invader Actions 622 7.51% 40.08 6.229 90.35% 0.654 -0.0771
Start of Game Growth 954 13.43% 37.38 2.906 86.37% 0.132 -0.3144
Unlimited Undo 1845 28.41% 28.31 3.854 77.45% 0.964 0.9305
Using Tokens but Not Events 2181 29.36% 27.4 0.735 74.23% 0.195 0.033

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4409 14.25 11.95%
II 5675 30.3 59.77%
III 11248 34.84 89.24%
IV 6404 38.61 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.085 Win Model: 0.653
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19616 36.8% 27.02 72.63%
2 5019 36.44% 26.93 75.13%
3 1829 31.25% 28.04 77.69%
4 1016 21.85% 24.62 67.22%
5 51 11.76% 25.12 74.51%
6 205 19.12% 26.74 64.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9771
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3162
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6279
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2977
Lose: Invader deck ran out 162
Lose: Adversary condition 1870
Win: Sacrifice victory 104
Lose: Scenario condition 278
Win: Scenario condition 454
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2010
Lose: Spirit destroyed 145

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1204 32.67% 32.31 0.628 78.57% 0.494 0.3868
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 70 25.71% 29.16 0.355 72.86% 0.377 -0.1118
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 691 56.02% 29.29 -0.73 65.7% -0.406 -0.2625
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 80 37.5% 31.25 -0.153 72.5% -0.178 -0.9264
Dances Up Earthquakes 15 60.0% 30.33 2.381 73.33% 0.427 0.2502
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1073 30.31% 32.47 2.274 78.56% 0.574 0.3672
Downpour Drenches the World 439 25.8% 23.43 -0.799 54.44% -0.029 0.2907
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 479 21.76% 25.94 1.474 62.63% 0.373 -0.0678
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1357 23.55% 36.85 1.007 85.56% -0.025 -0.3685
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1054 28.87% 34.86 5.633 82.54% 1.253 0.8983
Finder of Paths Unseen 218 45.87% 18.01 -2.406 38.99% -0.487 0.2975
Fractured Days Split the Sky 439 38.22% 27.81 -3.383 60.14% -0.986 -0.5382
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 692 40.9% 28.92 -0.563 67.49% -0.077 -0.1008
Heart of the Wildfire 1149 59.49% 28.34 -3.294 69.89% -0.803 -0.4764
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1623 37.69% 32.89 2.374 80.71% 0.447 -0.0479
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 110 30.0% 27.54 2.813 61.82% 0.116 -0.4468
Lightning's Swift Strike 659 45.9% 31.25 -2.415 74.96% -0.729 -0.5303
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 38.97% 27.13 2.18 59.56% 0.282 -0.1658
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 345 31.88% 34.51 1.186 79.42% 0.142 -0.1775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 282 38.65% 32.57 1.48 73.05% 0.401 0.5263
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1355 39.82% 32.08 1.228 76.68% 0.16 0.0042
Many Minds Move as One 950 27.65% 33.82 1.657 81.47% 0.224 0.0173
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1248 43.72% 31.92 -0.745 75.0% 0.025 0.1543
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 29 51.72% 21.34 -1.792 48.28% -0.323 -0.2175
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1064 39.04% 31.08 0.686 74.06% -0.243 -0.2927
River Surges in Sunlight 902 42.08% 32.56 -0.437 70.51% -0.374 -0.3409
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 49 26.53% 22.18 -4.517 48.98% -0.939 -0.7305
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 409 50.74% 29.46 -0.435 61.86% -0.141 0.0098
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 193 31.61% 29.12 -0.77 65.28% 0.252 0.2614
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 786 42.29% 30.74 -0.582 74.05% -0.056 -0.1549
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 4 0.0% 38.5 5.775 100.0% 0.703 0.2116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 367 62.4% 28.41 -4.728 64.31% -0.745 -0.2328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 40.38% 26.58 3.6 58.49% 0.644 0.6008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 65 37.5% 29.57 2.889 69.23% 0.76 0.3118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 42.37% 23.92 0.846 57.63% -0.03 0.0281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 279 42.96% 29.47 2.302 69.18% 0.182 -0.0086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 194 58.55% 30.63 -4.68 67.01% -0.827 -0.7431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 907 39.85% 33.43 1.315 80.37% 0.333 0.2356
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 156 30.52% 23.69 2.286 54.49% 0.61 0.4155
Shifting Memory of Ages 600 47.67% 26.08 -0.879 61.17% 0.014 0.4038
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 67 40.3% 26.7 1.369 59.7% 0.418 0.3662
Shroud of Silent Mist 624 58.59% 26.06 -0.304 62.5% 0.167 0.5809
Starlight Seeks its Form 856 29.91% 32.05 -1.741 76.17% -0.278 -0.3184
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1937 32.14% 31.63 -0.067 82.76% 0.272 -0.2305
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 818 46.19% 27.8 -2.848 64.18% -0.728 -0.6445
Thunderspeaker 951 40.17% 32.97 1.579 74.34% 0.566 0.5604
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 92 30.43% 22.08 -3.568 51.09% -0.419 -0.0303
Towering Roots of the Jungle 158 36.08% 23.04 -2.775 58.86% -0.399 -0.1889
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1282 72.28% 25.73 -3.131 67.24% -0.49 -0.4128
Vital Strength of the Earth 597 42.88% 27.21 -2.775 63.65% -0.263 0.1856
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 113 20.35% 22.83 -6.001 45.13% -0.77 -0.2758
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 267 45.69% 25.01 -3.536 55.81% -0.717 -0.024
Volcano Looming High 934 42.35% 29.25 -0.067 72.16% 0.446 0.5106
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 207 20.29% 31.84 4.066 74.4% 0.93 0.6808

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 17.24% 25.93 0.0 62.07%
Blitz 0 393 35.46% 22.54 -7.772 51.91% -1.947 -1.5235
Dahan Insurrection 4 336 26.19% 52.61 14.039 75.0% 0.544 0.0624
Despicable Theft 2 119 39.5% 25.4 -2.14 47.9% -0.42 0.1223
Elemental Invocation 1 204 45.59% 21.18 -4.857 39.71% -0.799 -0.0609
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 620 11.54% 32.69 0.701 62.26% -0.461 -1.1172
Powers Long Forgotten 1 232 51.29% 26.5 0.293 50.0% -0.032 0.5305
Rituals of Terror 3 155 47.74% 39.41 1.097 61.29% -0.114 -0.2565
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 118 61.02% 35.35 -12.704 57.63% -0.867 -0.1177
Second Wave 0 1200 47.41% 31.82 1.942 67.75% 0.334 0.4284
The Great River 3 118 43.22% 26.34 -6.226 38.14% -0.67 0.5752
Varied Terrains 2 94 36.17% 20.24 -6.967 40.43% -1.001 -0.1331
Ward the Shores 2 254 44.49% 29.66 5.206 50.79% 0.421 1.2754

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12444 39.8% 30.59 0.459 73.13% 0.28 0.6532
1 Thematic 1510 45.89% 30.83 -1.189 58.21% -0.066 0.6478
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 36.36 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2915 43.16% 29.09 -0.539 73.45% 0.089 0.2504
2 Coastline 347 45.66% 30.68 1.315 76.08% 0.244 0.0512
2 Fragment 87 60.92% 27.32 2.1 70.11% 0.277 0.2289
2 Heart 56 51.79% 30.98 -11.838 76.79% -0.415 -0.6271
2 Opposite Shores 568 41.99% 28.58 -3.777 70.77% -1.075 -0.9428
2 Thematic 609 41.45% 26.54 3.828 51.4% 0.609 1.329
2 Top to Top 61 36.07% 27.98 0.0 72.13%
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 25 44.0% 33.08 0.0 72.0%
3 Other 60 41.67% 34.3 7.77 88.33% 0.833 -0.0434
3 Round (Default) 1310 35.99% 32.14 2.699 78.32% 0.743 0.7202
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 32.0 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 118 42.37% 31.54 -4.275 63.56% -0.1 -0.0923
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 47.0 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 26 61.54% 31.77 5.186 80.77% 0.652 0.0836
4 Thematic 106 30.48% 39.78 0.0 73.58%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 427 38.03% 30.34 -2.888 75.64% -0.953 -0.948
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 26.53% 31.06 -18.263 77.55% -0.687 -1.0109
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 33.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 30 26.67% 39.23 -10.835 80.0% -0.615 -0.4107
6 Two Centers (Default) 59 25.42% 29.34 1.684 69.49% 0.075 0.5493
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 541 26.37 -3.259 59.89% -1.081 -1.0104
Aid From Lesser Spirits 447 27.07 2.011 61.07% 0.209 0.0992
All Things Weaken 615 26.03 2.935 57.07% 0.561 0.7385
Attenuated Essence 73 22.79 -1.276 54.79% -0.307 -0.2551
Back Against the Wall 447 28.31 4.094 63.98% 0.707 0.6911
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 72 22.74 1.211 45.83% -0.031 0.1525
Burn Brightest Before the End 68 24.57 -0.646 48.53% -0.561 -0.4745
Disintegrating Ecosystem 554 24.05 -0.947 54.69% -0.151 0.14
Downward Spiral 687 24.98 -1.504 59.1% -0.203 -0.097
Erosion of Will 485 25.88 -0.194 60.21% -0.084 0.0818
Intensifying Exploitation 86 23.56 -0.239 52.33% -0.273 -0.0847
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 325 31.72 2.464 79.38% 0.104 -0.324
Memory Fades to Dust 642 24.79 -0.746 57.63% -0.266 -0.0313
Power Corrodes the Spirit 601 25.91 -3.136 59.57% -0.867 -0.7713
Promising Farmlands 521 23.72 -1.173 52.59% -0.31 0.054
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 21.85 3.15 44.78% 0.168 0.2331
Slow Dissolution of Will 73 25.19 0.496 53.42% -0.108 0.3554
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 208 31.66 8.906 82.21% 1.053 0.4516
The Border of Life and Death 33 30.09 6.313 75.76% 1.067 0.5912
Thriving Communities 650 23.21 -2.944 52.92% -0.571 -0.3451
Thriving Crops 40 21.73 -0.942 50.0% -0.276 -0.5003
Unnatural Proliferation 628 26.17 0.356 57.01% -0.396 -0.2746
Untended Land Crumbles 599 25.17 -1.418 57.93% -0.773 -0.5405

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3530 40.86% 30.34 0.075 74.62% -0.018 0.9002
B 3715 39.01% 30.51 -0.083 74.02% -0.007 0.8339
C 3929 38.43% 30.51 -1.194 74.9% -0.354 0.3293
D 3474 40.58% 30.59 0.256 74.21% -0.003 0.8395
E 3467 40.12% 30.86 1.096 75.14% 0.207 0.8585
F 3331 39.17% 30.11 0.421 73.64% 0.034 0.7942
G 2949 42.67% 29.74 -0.913 71.69% -0.191 0.5666
H 2979 40.61% 30.7 0.823 74.89% 0.152 0.8702
East 1491 42.12% 31.4 1.946 58.82% 0.031 0.8444
Northeast 711 39.15% 30.04 1.315 55.84% -0.004 0.6638
Northwest 636 40.13% 30.03 -0.179 57.55% -0.336 0.4687
Southeast 511 44.09% 32.58 -2.83 64.77% -0.73 -0.0241
Southwest 495 43.81% 26.17 -7.809 55.35% -1.53 -0.1399
West 1422 43.55% 28.75 -0.891 55.84% -0.269 0.5249

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 34.26 0.067 82.43% 0.239 0.9581
Not Using Events or Tokens 208 45.27% 25.86 -4.816 56.73% -0.52 -0.0353
Skip Initial Invader Actions 366 9.78% 44.72 4.699 89.62% 0.483 -0.2475
Start of Game Growth 535 12.55% 42.45 2.305 86.92% 0.075 -0.3712
Unlimited Undo 1580 33.94% 30.37 -2.438 73.99% -0.614 -0.6472
Using Tokens but Not Events 1738 28.85% 31.86 3.044 74.28% 0.903 0.7403

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3445 14.25 12.02%
II 7377 30.3 70.34%
III 7232 34.84 91.07%
IV 2823 38.61 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.008 Win Model: 0.128
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14195 40.51% 30.4 70.77%
2 4494 43.27% 29.5 72.72%
3 1483 37.13% 31.95 77.14%
4 568 36.4% 32.9 77.11%
5 39 35.9% 28.0 71.79%
6 98 25.51% 32.88 73.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 409
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4893
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2790
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2133
Lose: Invader deck ran out 100
Lose: Adversary condition 1664
Win: Sacrifice victory 91
Lose: Scenario condition 208
Win: Scenario condition 381
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1665
Lose: Spirit destroyed 111

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1382 40.29% 37.48 -0.053 72.43% 0.289 0.1824
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 42.17% 35.18 1.933 69.88% 0.369 -0.119
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 770 69.96% 29.69 -4.952 49.61% -0.849 -0.7061
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 125 44.8% 35.62 4.003 68.0% 0.495 -0.2532
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 66.67% 32.41 1.977 62.96% 0.365 0.1882
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1184 46.73% 37.04 -0.255 73.06% 0.102 -0.1056
Downpour Drenches the World 407 38.77% 30.89 1.918 58.72% 0.426 0.7463
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 628 42.2% 31.35 3.759 60.99% 0.773 0.3322
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1493 38.75% 40.54 4.806 78.5% 0.85 0.5069
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1200 49.67% 36.57 1.161 70.42% 0.237 -0.1174
Finder of Paths Unseen 211 55.45% 22.36 -8.175 39.34% -1.264 -0.4797
Fractured Days Split the Sky 581 51.38% 31.4 -1.409 51.12% -0.273 0.1753
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 686 60.53% 32.4 -1.964 60.93% -0.377 -0.4002
Heart of the Wildfire 1680 73.62% 30.67 -1.876 56.37% -0.146 0.1811
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2159 48.72% 36.86 1.04 69.66% 0.196 -0.2995
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 162 40.74% 31.35 -1.12 58.02% -0.282 -0.8452
Lightning's Swift Strike 743 60.76% 36.1 2.14 68.1% 0.506 0.7048
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 180 59.44% 31.63 -5.22 60.56% -0.451 -0.899
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 339 58.28% 36.64 -2.4 68.73% -0.412 -0.7314
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 315 54.46% 33.73 3.401 60.0% 0.895 1.0198
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1774 58.77% 33.73 -1.49 62.85% -0.21 -0.3659
Many Minds Move as One 1005 37.62% 38.44 2.546 76.92% 0.717 0.5099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1625 55.36% 35.41 -0.746 65.54% -0.001 0.128
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 34 79.41% 39.68 5.423 82.35% 1.366 1.4706
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1255 51.65% 35.01 -2.551 66.93% -0.643 -0.6929
River Surges in Sunlight 1183 54.3% 38.26 3.769 66.78% 0.48 0.5128
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 58 53.45% 26.84 -1.368 41.38% -0.237 -0.029
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 426 57.92% 32.45 2.279 53.05% 0.015 0.1663
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 250 47.18% 32.77 -3.645 56.4% -0.658 -0.6484
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1263 54.52% 34.93 -0.557 65.87% -0.307 -0.4062
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 12 16.67% 47.08 5.94 91.67% 0.932 0.441
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 340 75.0% 31.02 -2.356 52.65% -0.161 0.3505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 58.33% 23.25 -6.864 38.33% -0.896 -0.9394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 55.88% 32.82 -5.4 59.8% -0.223 -0.6717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 67 56.72% 21.67 -3.825 35.82% -0.239 -0.1809
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 241 68.88% 30.27 -2.096 53.53% -0.591 -0.7813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 161 64.6% 26.98 -2.523 42.86% -0.042 0.0413
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1117 47.62% 36.87 -2.836 70.73% -0.231 -0.3289
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 155 41.56% 29.35 3.316 56.77% 0.649 0.4542
Shifting Memory of Ages 656 64.68% 29.28 -1.036 54.27% -0.057 0.3326
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 62 48.39% 27.71 -4.924 54.84% -0.151 -0.2029
Shroud of Silent Mist 689 73.15% 26.09 -4.771 43.69% -0.824 -0.4098
Starlight Seeks its Form 850 52.44% 31.56 -1.449 58.0% 0.001 -0.0388
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2845 38.69% 37.55 6.862 79.75% 1.785 1.2825
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 838 59.95% 32.37 -0.387 59.31% -0.064 0.0187
Thunderspeaker 997 53.61% 34.59 -8.301 61.99% -1.385 -1.3907
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 96 33.33% 26.44 3.374 43.75% 0.056 0.4444
Towering Roots of the Jungle 170 54.44% 28.15 -0.001 51.18% -0.021 0.1896
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1673 82.24% 29.32 -1.156 56.6% 0.097 0.1748
Vital Strength of the Earth 554 57.32% 30.64 -4.023 54.15% -0.424 0.0254
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 134 44.03% 25.75 0.361 43.28% -0.158 0.336
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 302 50.99% 26.35 -5.067 46.36% -0.785 -0.0922
Volcano Looming High 1201 64.58% 31.39 0.649 60.95% 0.413 0.4773
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 292 44.67% 31.12 0.506 60.62% 0.231 -0.0178

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 25.0% 25.04 -11.304 46.43% -0.397 -0.955
Blitz 0 394 46.94% 30.97 -4.113 52.79% -0.307 0.116
Dahan Insurrection 4 256 40.23% 54.07 9.72 67.97% 0.156 -0.326
Despicable Theft 2 80 55.0% 26.98 -1.063 38.75% -0.146 0.3964
Elemental Invocation 1 133 59.4% 24.77 -7.095 38.35% -0.712 0.0258
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 992 13.2% 42.33 2.516 70.46% -0.038 -0.6947
Powers Long Forgotten 1 143 60.14% 32.3 -8.723 48.25% -0.6 -0.0375
Rituals of Terror 3 75 62.67% 37.4 0.0 49.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 57 68.42% 35.91 -6.55 45.61% -0.879 -0.1296
Second Wave 0 770 56.6% 34.59 -4.788 56.62% -1.386 -1.2912
The Great River 3 56 17.86% 22.77 -8.497 14.29% -0.323 0.9223
Varied Terrains 2 56 57.14% 15.41 -9.073 10.71% -0.753 0.1155
Ward the Shores 2 155 60.65% 31.35 2.912 40.0% -0.036 0.8179

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15113 53.98% 33.68 -0.259 64.07% -0.339 0.0344
1 Thematic 1073 53.75% 34.58 -1.801 52.0% -0.624 0.0903
2 Archipelago 24 70.83% 30.88 11.54 37.5% 0.368 0.8921
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3571 56.0% 32.83 0.406 63.57% -0.068 0.0928
2 Coastline 414 51.69% 36.24 3.87 71.26% 0.25 0.0573
2 Fragment 100 61.62% 32.07 0.578 58.0% -0.197 -0.2449
2 Heart 60 57.63% 30.68 2.079 58.33% 0.73 0.5179
2 Opposite Shores 797 55.3% 33.24 -0.938 63.24% -0.193 -0.0611
2 Thematic 446 56.95% 30.96 -0.093 46.64% -0.337 0.3831
2 Top to Top 116 46.49% 36.84 5.707 72.41% 0.383 0.2987
3 Archipelago 14 64.29% 26.93 0.0 28.57%
3 Coastline 19 22.22% 34.05 -8.497 57.89% -0.323 -0.9535
3 Other 79 58.23% 34.01 9.166 67.09% 0.356 -0.5203
3 Round (Default) 1569 56.02% 34.02 0.644 65.52% 0.14 0.1167
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 73 61.64% 37.9 14.032 64.38% 0.921 0.9291
4 Archipelago 10 90.0% 34.2 0.0 40.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 64 62.5% 31.44 0.0 59.38%
4 Thematic 176 45.45% 43.89 -14.154 73.86% -0.781 -0.7181
4 Trapezoid (Default) 615 50.73% 38.18 -2.518 75.61% -0.561 -0.5554
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 52 50.98% 34.5 0.0 71.15%
5 Thematic 10 20.0% 40.3 3.574 80.0% 0.229 0.0859
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 8 25.0% 43.75 13.153 62.5% 0.55 0.5059
6 Star 11 63.64% 40.0 5.133 63.64% 0.161 0.7932
6 Thematic 43 40.48% 39.0 0.802 60.47% -0.072 0.1324
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 27.59% 27.0 -8.436 50.0% -0.767 -0.2928
7 Other 3 33.33% 18.33 2.936 33.33% 0.045 -0.6309

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 910 30.97 1.092 53.08% 0.099 0.1703
Aid From Lesser Spirits 709 34.3 5.714 61.07% 0.759 0.6492
All Things Weaken 1018 30.53 3.542 54.03% 0.362 0.5388
Attenuated Essence 130 26.43 -2.301 43.85% -0.387 -0.3353
Back Against the Wall 715 32.65 2.949 57.76% 0.405 0.3899
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 174 27.01 -0.773 46.55% 0.071 0.255
Burn Brightest Before the End 114 31.12 -1.774 54.39% -0.248 -0.1611
Disintegrating Ecosystem 834 28.57 1.593 53.24% 0.482 0.7729
Downward Spiral 1020 29.32 1.811 52.65% 0.156 0.2615
Erosion of Will 867 29.46 0.04 50.63% -0.019 0.1467
Intensifying Exploitation 125 24.62 -2.295 44.0% -0.677 -0.4888
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 419 36.47 4.706 72.32% 0.781 0.3527
Memory Fades to Dust 972 30.5 2.267 55.86% 0.328 0.5626
Power Corrodes the Spirit 909 30.47 6.316 55.01% 1.44 1.5363
Promising Farmlands 794 28.03 -2.317 49.75% -0.75 -0.3854
Shattered Fragments of Power 109 29.52 2.212 48.62% 0.256 0.322
Slow Dissolution of Will 123 25.97 -5.132 39.84% -0.775 -0.3118
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 272 37.62 5.11 75.74% 0.891 0.29
The Border of Life and Death 46 26.8 3.099 45.65% 0.502 0.0266
Thriving Communities 978 27.38 -3.139 47.24% -0.654 -0.428
Thriving Crops 60 27.62 0.634 53.33% 0.051 -0.1738
Unnatural Proliferation 993 31.49 2.475 55.09% 0.184 0.3063
Untended Land Crumbles 982 29.08 1.151 51.63% 0.179 0.4111

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4529 55.28% 33.14 0.051 63.28% 0.093 1.0116
B 4641 55.52% 33.56 1.105 63.99% 0.242 1.0831
C 5194 51.65% 34.77 2.013 67.81% 0.543 1.2258
D 4253 56.7% 32.99 -1.729 63.06% -0.411 0.4312
E 4356 53.69% 34.1 1.103 65.45% 0.271 0.9228
F 4056 54.35% 34.07 -2.353 65.19% -0.446 0.3137
G 3504 55.05% 33.79 -0.619 64.41% 0.028 0.7852
H 3437 51.75% 34.24 0.971 65.29% 0.142 0.86
East 1168 53.13% 35.86 2.219 55.22% 0.268 1.0812
Northeast 581 51.55% 34.06 -3.912 50.43% -0.795 -0.1276
Northwest 547 49.26% 34.65 0.261 53.56% 0.402 1.2066
Southeast 398 53.03% 38.41 -2.391 63.32% -0.469 0.2368
Southwest 375 49.87% 34.23 -1.783 56.53% -0.462 0.9281
West 1122 51.7% 35.11 2.012 54.63% 0.113 0.9063

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 89 0.0% 35.79 -3.684 67.42% -0.473 0.2457
Not Using Events or Tokens 81 47.3% 33.3 -15.085 61.73% -0.271 0.2143
Skip Initial Invader Actions 370 18.03% 51.56 7.92 84.59% 0.524 -0.2071
Start of Game Growth 598 24.01% 47.28 9.039 80.43% 1.224 0.7776
Unlimited Undo 2035 44.69% 34.65 2.778 65.11% 0.25 0.217
Using Tokens but Not Events 1979 46.28% 33.87 -0.158 64.22% 0.137 -0.0249

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5523 14.25 7.26%
II 10522 30.3 66.96%
III 5960 34.84 94.56%
IV 2541 38.61 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.233 Win Model: -0.12
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16329 53.87% 33.7 63.11%
2 5452 55.97% 33.23 63.17%
3 1743 55.93% 34.03 65.23%
4 852 50.94% 39.01 74.18%
5 48 46.81% 29.83 60.42%
6 122 33.88% 33.36 55.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 399
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5569
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6814
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2506
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2403
Lose: Invader deck ran out 73
Lose: Adversary condition 3332
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 264
Win: Scenario condition 235
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2660
Lose: Spirit destroyed 198

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1561 50.64% 37.04 1.96 63.55% 0.435 0.3277
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 101 55.45% 37.16 5.639 59.41% 0.8 0.3112
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 812 75.68% 30.32 -0.512 44.7% -0.175 -0.0318
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 169 55.62% 37.79 5.551 66.27% 0.892 0.1432
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 59.26% 29.81 -0.148 48.15% -0.126 -0.3029
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1239 60.47% 35.57 -0.248 62.15% 0.196 -0.0111
Downpour Drenches the World 588 52.21% 27.65 -2.795 42.18% -0.564 -0.244
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 804 49.25% 32.82 4.258 56.59% 0.724 0.2837
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1751 46.71% 39.65 1.514 70.19% 0.29 -0.0537
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1232 55.61% 37.15 -1.163 62.58% -0.064 -0.4182
Finder of Paths Unseen 257 59.92% 23.27 -4.977 32.3% -0.907 -0.1226
Fractured Days Split the Sky 634 52.05% 30.2 0.307 44.79% 0.331 0.7795
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 810 66.17% 33.02 -0.146 55.19% -0.141 -0.1647
Heart of the Wildfire 1576 76.63% 31.02 -0.898 49.87% 0.026 0.3527
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2868 54.45% 36.55 2.045 58.89% 0.337 -0.1584
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 182 48.35% 31.92 -1.851 53.85% -0.279 -0.8413
Lightning's Swift Strike 901 71.3% 33.29 -3.288 50.83% -0.737 -0.5389
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 279 65.95% 38.46 3.22 65.59% 0.727 0.2793
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 380 60.48% 36.88 1.596 62.63% 0.161 -0.1585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 358 57.82% 36.35 -1.413 59.22% -0.695 -0.5699
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2049 68.89% 32.44 3.2 52.56% 0.486 0.3298
Many Minds Move as One 1085 47.46% 40.44 0.84 72.81% 0.211 0.0042
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2084 57.45% 37.66 2.212 60.84% 0.28 0.4094
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 37 64.86% 28.81 0.107 48.65% 0.095 0.1998
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1310 61.03% 34.86 1.908 59.01% 0.137 0.0871
River Surges in Sunlight 1481 58.87% 40.24 1.429 64.75% -0.033 0.0006
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 49 59.18% 28.57 0.178 51.02% 0.12 0.3277
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 482 65.42% 30.82 -3.619 44.81% -0.844 -0.6924
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 361 49.58% 36.93 4.392 52.91% 0.444 0.4537
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1301 59.09% 34.22 1.841 56.96% 0.308 0.2086
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 7 85.71% 40.86 4.785 71.43% 0.654 0.163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 261 75.86% 29.15 2.635 36.78% 0.126 0.6379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 44 65.91% 22.64 6.672 34.09% 0.508 0.4645
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 137 65.69% 28.71 -1.572 47.45% -0.276 -0.7239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 74 71.62% 31.07 1.39 43.24% 0.519 0.5773
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 210 75.71% 30.7 3.88 47.62% 0.575 0.3842
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 146 75.17% 25.87 -6.238 32.19% -0.695 -0.6118
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1166 55.8% 37.41 0.431 64.15% 0.155 0.0574
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 247 51.22% 29.19 -5.413 47.77% -0.43 -0.6241
Shifting Memory of Ages 603 68.72% 28.44 3.262 45.61% 0.671 1.0603
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 92 58.7% 33.63 0.165 58.7% 0.019 -0.0322
Shroud of Silent Mist 750 74.47% 24.41 -6.295 34.4% -1.115 -0.7009
Starlight Seeks its Form 1130 52.93% 32.18 -0.32 52.92% 0.085 0.0453
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3506 49.97% 36.11 1.356 67.88% 0.509 0.0065
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 828 67.56% 32.66 0.591 49.03% 0.046 0.1288
Thunderspeaker 1075 63.25% 35.28 0.682 56.19% -0.04 -0.0457
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 96 52.08% 26.2 -8.374 43.75% -1.303 -0.9139
Towering Roots of the Jungle 221 57.47% 24.76 -2.946 39.82% -0.665 -0.4545
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1997 85.95% 28.98 -3.539 47.12% -0.227 -0.1498
Vital Strength of the Earth 582 67.53% 26.25 -8.025 31.62% -1.173 -0.7242
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 180 51.4% 28.11 3.136 39.44% -0.282 0.2125
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 252 64.29% 28.98 -0.06 44.05% 0.041 0.7334
Volcano Looming High 1468 70.98% 32.38 1.954 55.45% 0.448 0.512
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 351 56.13% 28.8 -0.908 48.15% -0.216 -0.4647

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 35.71% 44.07 -0.471 57.14% -0.492 -1.0501
Blitz 0 420 31.43% 42.43 -4.948 46.9% -0.487 -0.0638
Dahan Insurrection 4 219 45.21% 57.48 7.104 63.93% 0.118 -0.3636
Despicable Theft 2 25 48.0% 26.88 0.744 36.0% 0.051 0.5934
Elemental Invocation 1 159 62.26% 27.02 -6.948 30.19% -0.582 0.1562
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 960 18.17% 43.71 1.208 65.0% -0.268 -0.9247
Powers Long Forgotten 1 140 58.57% 26.67 -7.159 33.57% -0.732 -0.1697
Rituals of Terror 3 65 64.62% 39.37 15.647 43.08% 0.268 0.126
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 63.93% 26.51 -9.521 26.23% -0.166 0.5832
Second Wave 0 440 55.4% 36.18 4.908 53.64% 0.833 0.9277
The Great River 3 63 28.57% 32.6 -13.474 30.16% -0.538 0.7072
Varied Terrains 2 30 30.0% 20.47 -11.707 16.67% -0.979 -0.1106
Ward the Shores 2 98 59.18% 26.05 -3.602 22.45% -0.334 0.5202

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17619 61.4% 33.64 0.84 56.63% 0.695 1.068
1 Thematic 1088 59.83% 34.0 -3.365 44.21% -0.349 0.3651
2 Archipelago 31 77.42% 41.94 0.0 64.52%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4097 64.0% 33.36 -0.535 56.92% 0.313 0.4744
2 Coastline 465 61.12% 37.76 -3.581 66.67% -0.087 -0.28
2 Fragment 92 66.67% 31.59 -12.866 52.17% -0.245 -0.2928
2 Heart 52 71.43% 35.87 0.469 63.46% 0.378 0.1656
2 Opposite Shores 927 60.09% 34.1 -2.879 53.07% -0.153 -0.0203
2 Thematic 367 65.21% 30.78 -3.674 35.69% -1.33 -0.6094
2 Top to Top 145 53.79% 36.88 2.802 64.83% 0.679 0.5942
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 35.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 8 50.0% 31.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 75 54.67% 38.33 6.438 73.33% 0.484 -0.3921
3 Round (Default) 1985 59.41% 32.77 1.131 53.3% 0.438 0.4146
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 80 63.75% 36.01 5.124 45.0% 0.053 0.0604
4 Archipelago 14 64.29% 59.0 0.0 78.57%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 14 85.71% 37.79 0.0 64.29%
4 Other 44 58.14% 34.32 -11.504 63.64% -0.601 -1.1694
4 Thematic 142 52.11% 42.39 9.082 54.93% 0.448 0.5114
4 Trapezoid (Default) 793 53.92% 36.53 1.387 61.66% -0.159 -0.1534
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 60 50.85% 38.2 -1.288 66.67% -0.959 -1.2829
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 14 46.15% 41.36 6.321 57.14% 0.11 0.0653
6 Star 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 81.82%
6 Thematic 15 40.0% 45.67 0.0 80.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 41 39.02% 33.27 4.465 60.98% 0.266 0.7398

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1095 31.01 0.822 47.4% -0.121 -0.0503
Aid From Lesser Spirits 966 34.37 0.754 55.28% -0.354 -0.4639
All Things Weaken 1264 30.65 -0.674 46.44% -0.553 -0.376
Attenuated Essence 209 32.25 -0.679 51.2% -0.141 -0.0891
Back Against the Wall 877 32.97 3.755 51.08% 0.099 0.0831
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 228 26.89 1.596 39.47% 0.155 0.3388
Burn Brightest Before the End 150 28.51 1.407 40.0% -0.004 0.0832
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1066 28.58 -2.205 44.93% -0.427 -0.1354
Downward Spiral 1326 30.68 0.384 50.23% -0.162 -0.0558
Erosion of Will 1154 29.84 3.478 44.71% 0.517 0.6833
Intensifying Exploitation 194 25.01 -1.698 33.51% -0.726 -0.5382
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 548 36.02 -4.052 61.68% -1.049 -1.4771
Memory Fades to Dust 1244 30.55 -1.998 47.19% -0.409 -0.1741
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1302 29.62 -0.517 45.62% -0.343 -0.2469
Promising Farmlands 1092 29.46 -2.286 45.24% -0.774 -0.4093
Shattered Fragments of Power 146 31.14 -1.591 43.15% -0.455 -0.3897
Slow Dissolution of Will 211 26.45 0.206 36.02% -0.425 0.0383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 340 38.93 -0.693 72.06% -0.193 -0.7938
The Border of Life and Death 56 34.41 3.279 55.36% 0.05 -0.4253
Thriving Communities 1147 28.09 -1.922 41.06% -0.391 -0.1651
Thriving Crops 91 26.43 -1.917 43.96% -0.607 -0.8312
Unnatural Proliferation 1269 30.8 4.526 44.84% 0.701 0.8228
Untended Land Crumbles 1271 29.59 -0.399 45.4% -0.247 -0.0148

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5407 60.32% 33.86 -1.103 56.57% -0.364 0.5544
B 5432 59.64% 33.67 0.499 56.68% 0.049 0.8902
C 6021 61.07% 33.63 0.314 55.64% -0.052 0.631
D 5006 61.0% 33.73 0.279 56.87% -0.115 0.7276
E 5046 62.34% 34.34 1.786 57.81% 0.157 0.8085
F 4643 60.13% 34.08 0.497 57.59% -0.09 0.6695
G 4077 60.61% 34.27 0.715 57.71% 0.086 0.8433
H 4100 60.91% 34.54 0.312 58.39% -0.022 0.6969
East 1126 60.23% 35.66 -2.696 45.56% -0.354 0.4596
Northeast 481 60.62% 36.52 -1.039 43.87% -0.113 0.5544
Northwest 420 60.14% 34.88 0.407 41.67% 0.044 0.8486
Southeast 386 56.99% 33.96 -3.35 45.34% -0.436 0.2692
Southwest 349 58.17% 29.37 -0.134 38.97% 0.287 1.6769
West 969 59.88% 32.92 -3.058 40.97% -0.484 0.3094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 60 0.0% 38.47 -1.732 66.67% -0.362 0.3572
Not Using Events or Tokens 104 63.46% 36.03 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 721 13.15% 55.98 14.158 76.42% 1.01 0.2796
Start of Game Growth 982 17.18% 52.16 6.511 75.87% 0.602 0.1554
Unlimited Undo 2371 50.37% 36.54 0.878 60.06% 0.009 -0.0246
Using Tokens but Not Events 1870 50.83% 34.28 1.094 58.02% 0.371 0.2089

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7308 14.25 3.8%
II 11420 30.3 58.55%
III 7626 34.84 91.61%
IV 1860 38.61 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.45 Win Model: 0.367
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18843 61.23% 33.62 55.76%
2 6106 63.45% 33.95 56.58%
3 2139 59.58% 33.22 53.86%
4 994 53.94% 37.34 60.87%
5 49 52.08% 33.57 55.1%
6 83 42.68% 39.1 68.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6903
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6519
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1841
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2728
Lose: Invader deck ran out 210
Lose: Adversary condition 5392
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 280
Win: Scenario condition 161
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3545
Lose: Spirit destroyed 256

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 882 67.61% 39.26 5.931 55.1% 0.789 0.6823
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 69 60.87% 41.17 1.854 59.42% -0.253 -0.7415
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 436 87.16% 31.13 0.515 34.17% -0.156 -0.0126
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 105 70.48% 28.71 4.299 36.19% 0.479 -0.2696
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 77.78% 26.37 0.707 18.52% -0.345 -0.5219
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 699 85.55% 31.53 -5.019 36.91% -1.273 -1.4802
Downpour Drenches the World 340 61.47% 27.87 -1.502 34.41% -0.288 0.0322
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 425 72.71% 31.76 1.118 44.24% 0.171 -0.2696
Eyes Watch From the Trees 922 68.77% 41.08 3.453 56.07% 0.304 -0.039
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 859 73.31% 39.14 0.58 51.8% 0.184 -0.1705
Finder of Paths Unseen 188 60.64% 26.29 -3.141 34.04% -1.114 -0.3293
Fractured Days Split the Sky 416 68.03% 36.77 15.37 43.27% 1.574 2.0219
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 432 80.32% 30.32 -4.445 37.04% -0.393 -0.4171
Heart of the Wildfire 1986 81.72% 34.16 -2.407 43.71% -0.586 -0.2589
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1568 72.04% 37.08 1.565 47.51% 0.231 -0.2641
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 93 66.67% 25.69 -4.504 29.03% -1.047 -1.6097
Lightning's Swift Strike 307 89.51% 30.23 -8.765 32.25% -0.189 0.0091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 260 70.54% 43.6 8.839 55.0% 0.706 0.2578
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 228 90.35% 38.66 8.926 50.44% 1.157 0.8371
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 121 78.51% 34.73 -2.511 44.63% -0.093 0.0317
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1567 75.0% 36.89 -0.037 48.12% -0.012 -0.1684
Many Minds Move as One 635 58.27% 43.2 5.633 64.09% 0.999 0.7923
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 806 77.03% 31.12 -6.171 34.62% -0.756 -0.6268
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 42 71.43% 19.69 -2.855 21.43% -0.461 -0.3563
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 765 81.91% 34.94 -1.291 45.23% 0.074 0.0242
River Surges in Sunlight 822 78.47% 39.39 2.308 48.54% 0.252 0.2854
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 26 73.08% 30.65 17.505 38.46% 0.943 1.1512
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 211 80.09% 28.91 -0.355 27.49% -0.052 0.0987
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 171 61.99% 40.5 0.607 54.39% -0.191 -0.1821
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 730 75.07% 38.51 -3.3 52.88% -0.242 -0.341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 5 0.0% 44.0 8.651 60.0% 0.594 0.1034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 182 76.37% 26.08 -1.104 23.63% -0.191 0.321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 71.43% 34.61 -14.641 42.86% -0.353 -0.3962
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 131 73.28% 37.7 1.627 51.91% -0.008 -0.4559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 70.59% 33.09 0.0 47.06%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 140 86.43% 36.86 0.0 46.43%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 119 86.55% 34.38 4.748 42.86% 0.085 0.1691
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 520 71.35% 37.74 -3.146 48.08% -0.613 -0.7106
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 54.55% 40.43 15.276 54.55% 0.612 0.4178
Shifting Memory of Ages 467 81.76% 31.9 1.503 39.83% 0.104 0.494
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 79.45% 32.78 0.098 42.47% 0.027 -0.0241
Shroud of Silent Mist 386 83.68% 30.88 -2.102 38.34% -0.04 0.3741
Starlight Seeks its Form 832 72.84% 36.81 -3.345 51.2% -0.381 -0.4213
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3030 57.53% 41.1 4.053 64.52% 1.036 0.5338
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 595 79.29% 33.78 -0.905 40.0% -0.142 -0.059
Thunderspeaker 545 82.72% 35.78 -0.695 43.12% -0.118 -0.124
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 63 71.43% 21.29 -10.569 23.81% -0.187 0.2021
Towering Roots of the Jungle 211 60.66% 25.54 -0.825 33.18% -0.111 0.0998
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2190 90.91% 32.97 0.989 41.92% 0.243 0.3208
Vital Strength of the Earth 257 81.32% 27.52 -8.413 22.57% -0.579 -0.1297
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 69.16% 30.83 -4.39 33.94% -0.611 -0.1163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 146 81.51% 29.06 -2.618 28.77% 0.246 0.9388
Volcano Looming High 1075 84.84% 31.22 0.12 38.88% -0.102 -0.0379
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 263 69.2% 32.86 3.224 48.29% 0.392 0.143

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 21.44 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 106 60.38% 33.85 0.0 43.4%
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 63.93% 51.08 31.265 40.98% 0.681 0.1989
Despicable Theft 2 40 60.0% 23.55 6.668 20.0% 0.217 0.7602
Elemental Invocation 1 60 60.0% 26.95 -6.528 21.67% -0.49 0.2482
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 640 26.25% 49.05 9.413 60.31% 1.013 0.3567
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 70.97% 28.16 -9.681 27.42% -0.247 0.315
Rituals of Terror 3 31 54.84% 45.19 0.0 48.39%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 31 93.55% 38.03 -5.844 32.26% -0.074 0.6746
Second Wave 0 280 67.39% 38.13 2.243 44.29% -0.116 -0.0218
The Great River 3 17 41.18% 26.41 0.0 5.88%
Varied Terrains 2 20 70.0% 22.45 -13.516 20.0% -0.431 0.437
Ward the Shores 2 55 76.36% 26.76 -8.992 18.18% -0.137 0.7176

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12180 75.62% 35.51 -0.248 47.54% 0.301 0.6741
1 Thematic 429 64.72% 33.27 -4.564 35.2% -0.256 0.4581
2 Archipelago 7 100.0% 44.71 18.205 57.14% 0.519 1.0423
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2834 78.3% 35.4 -0.351 47.04% -0.083 0.0784
2 Coastline 330 79.09% 35.78 -0.709 47.88% -0.173 -0.3666
2 Fragment 47 76.6% 36.72 0.0 48.94%
2 Heart 38 86.84% 36.26 0.3 52.63% -0.403 -0.6149
2 Opposite Shores 529 74.76% 33.33 -0.137 40.64% -0.283 -0.1505
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 184 78.26% 34.41 -10.81 32.61% -0.427 0.293
2 Top to Top 121 92.56% 35.58 11.041 44.63% 0.504 0.4191
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 49 79.59% 45.78 0.0 73.47%
3 Round (Default) 1326 74.64% 33.58 2.774 44.8% 0.162 0.1386
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 33 78.79% 30.82 -9.889 24.24% -0.439 -0.4309
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 47.0 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 21 71.43% 44.52 12.614 71.43% 0.4 -0.1676
4 Thematic 128 58.59% 45.77 -12.512 53.13% -0.336 -0.2728
4 Trapezoid (Default) 379 76.27% 36.92 -3.33 46.97% -0.91 -0.9047
5 Other 17 50.0% 34.88 14.07 47.06% 0.549 0.225
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.67 -11.768 33.33% -0.156 -0.2989
6 Other 5 80.0% 17.6 0.0 20.0%
6 Star 12 33.33% 24.83 5.46 25.0% 0.175 0.8074
6 Thematic 42 16.67% 65.38 8.558 76.19% 0.535 0.739
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 45.0% 24.85 -11.949 35.0% -0.282 0.1928

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 964 35.41 -0.891 44.61% -0.479 -0.408
Aid From Lesser Spirits 770 39.25 3.82 52.08% -0.035 -0.1448
All Things Weaken 1082 33.92 1.257 39.19% -0.154 0.0227
Attenuated Essence 141 34.11 -1.613 43.97% -0.412 -0.3599
Back Against the Wall 757 38.86 2.627 49.8% -0.247 -0.2621
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 167 34.8 0.625 47.31% 0.264 0.4476
Burn Brightest Before the End 116 33.7 7.118 43.1% 1.048 1.1346
Disintegrating Ecosystem 967 33.78 0.392 43.64% -0.216 0.075
Downward Spiral 997 33.99 6.061 43.43% 0.808 0.9138
Erosion of Will 931 35.58 3.182 42.75% 0.082 0.2482
Intensifying Exploitation 171 27.76 -0.867 30.41% -0.461 -0.2733
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 344 38.78 6.753 53.2% 0.013 -0.4153
Memory Fades to Dust 1083 34.36 4.263 43.31% 0.68 0.9149
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1027 34.9 3.024 44.5% 0.462 0.5575
Promising Farmlands 912 32.64 0.844 38.71% 0.177 0.5416
Shattered Fragments of Power 130 34.72 5.991 44.62% 0.658 0.7238
Slow Dissolution of Will 161 29.97 2.385 31.68% 0.218 0.6811
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 216 42.94 3.036 61.57% -0.055 -0.6558
The Border of Life and Death 38 30.58 -3.69 42.11% -0.789 -1.2647
Thriving Communities 1014 32.98 5.547 41.52% 1.069 1.2941
Thriving Crops 64 30.58 -0.998 39.06% 0.07 -0.1549
Unnatural Proliferation 1086 36.32 3.535 44.75% 0.4 0.5219
Untended Land Crumbles 1029 32.94 1.645 39.07% 0.176 0.4083

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3324 75.77% 34.41 -1.449 45.28% -0.371 0.5471
B 3799 75.52% 35.55 0.204 48.07% 0.079 0.9198
C 4117 75.75% 35.69 0.755 47.75% 0.097 0.7801
D 3171 78.04% 34.79 -0.076 45.98% 0.279 1.121
E 3252 77.33% 34.78 -0.485 45.66% -0.093 0.5587
F 3197 75.31% 35.56 0.241 47.79% 0.139 0.8991
G 2633 75.08% 34.84 2.101 45.39% 0.413 1.1709
H 2611 75.23% 35.77 3.057 48.03% 0.357 1.0752
East 593 64.08% 38.43 1.805 39.97% 0.239 1.0524
Northeast 274 59.49% 41.88 -4.045 44.53% -0.593 0.074
Northwest 226 59.11% 42.53 0.828 45.58% 0.214 1.0191
Southeast 245 54.69% 42.06 -1.615 47.76% -0.551 0.1547
Southwest 220 58.18% 42.03 0.457 47.73% 0.011 1.4006
West 516 64.66% 37.92 -3.705 39.15% -0.659 0.135

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 21 0.0% 36.67 9.166 47.62% 0.384 1.1025
Not Using Events or Tokens 58 63.79% 29.4 19.034 37.93% 0.668 1.1528
Skip Initial Invader Actions 200 44.27% 51.44 2.771 71.0% -0.024 -0.7544
Start of Game Growth 452 45.95% 49.5 4.418 67.48% 0.416 -0.0305
Unlimited Undo 1900 69.63% 36.57 -0.611 52.26% 0.147 0.1134
Using Tokens but Not Events 875 70.02% 32.76 2.857 42.4% 0.48 0.3176

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6027 14.25 2.69%
II 7207 30.3 48.72%
III 4359 34.84 90.3%
IV 1168 38.61 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.557 Win Model: 0.316
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12669 75.21% 35.43 47.1%
2 4076 78.55% 35.29 45.93%
3 1393 74.57% 33.71 45.01%
4 530 72.62% 39.39 49.43%
5 18 47.06% 24.67 22.22%
6 75 28.0% 47.19 57.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 162
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3886
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1141
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1932
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 4057
Win: Sacrifice victory 100
Lose: Scenario condition 180
Win: Scenario condition 35
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3450
Lose: Spirit destroyed 272

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 425 70.99% 41.4 0.122 49.88% 0.073 -0.0342
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 24 66.67% 31.83 -1.364 41.67% -0.044 -0.5326
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 164 85.98% 33.14 -10.406 32.93% -0.191 -0.0477
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 61.82% 35.4 -5.311 45.45% -0.868 -1.6159
Dances Up Earthquakes 9 77.78% 33.78 4.134 33.33% 0.371 0.1947
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 298 86.58% 30.21 2.167 26.85% 0.2 -0.0071
Downpour Drenches the World 157 68.79% 28.87 -4.55 28.66% -0.08 0.2403
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 244 77.87% 33.66 -5.157 46.72% -0.204 -0.6444
Eyes Watch From the Trees 344 68.31% 39.78 5.105 46.51% 0.265 -0.0782
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 305 85.57% 34.23 -6.451 35.08% -0.879 -1.2329
Finder of Paths Unseen 71 47.89% 25.55 -5.303 33.8% -0.297 0.4876
Fractured Days Split the Sky 190 72.11% 41.35 -3.751 43.68% -0.297 0.1512
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 189 83.07% 28.61 0.0 28.57%
Heart of the Wildfire 942 84.82% 28.89 2.505 27.6% 0.249 0.5757
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 925 71.57% 36.69 3.732 40.22% 0.485 -0.0107
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 24 75.0% 28.04 -13.638 33.33% -0.208 -0.7706
Lightning's Swift Strike 129 90.7% 31.78 -4.441 27.13% -0.285 -0.0864
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 70 85.51% 41.19 6.286 50.0% 0.501 0.0534
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 78 94.87% 34.32 7.331 37.18% 0.097 -0.2229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 62 82.26% 30.98 8.203 25.81% 0.377 0.5018
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 662 85.8% 35.88 -0.152 41.24% -0.107 -0.2625
Many Minds Move as One 249 66.67% 46.47 2.521 63.05% 0.24 0.0333
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 416 77.4% 33.96 0.587 36.06% -0.111 0.0188
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 20 65.0% 15.15 -4.608 15.0% -0.455 -0.3505
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 295 80.68% 35.11 2.774 38.31% 0.014 -0.0353
River Surges in Sunlight 329 84.5% 39.03 -8.422 39.21% -0.6 -0.5666
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 100.0% 31.86 -0.82 22.73% -0.167 0.0417
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 74 78.38% 34.92 14.39 29.73% 0.401 0.5522
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 119 64.71% 43.24 -2.092 52.94% -0.218 -0.2092
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 378 77.51% 40.62 9.71 47.62% 1.404 1.3052
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 2 50.0% 30.5 -1.875 50.0% 0.05 -0.4408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 104 92.31% 27.01 20.527 8.65% 0.485 0.9973
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 87.5% 39.5 -2.418 43.75% -0.352 -0.3956
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 45 75.0% 27.49 -4.361 26.67% -0.496 -0.9445
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 50.0% 16.36 -5.584 18.18% -0.61 -0.5512
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 82.35% 30.45 0.0 27.45%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 51 88.24% 29.04 -18.674 17.65% -0.167 -0.083
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 163 80.98% 34.26 -7.477 32.52% -0.398 -0.4956
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 54 68.52% 30.28 -10.662 38.89% -0.15 -0.3448
Shifting Memory of Ages 186 84.41% 35.02 -4.144 34.95% -0.506 -0.116
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 85.71% 53.19 7.623 85.71% 0.851 0.7996
Shroud of Silent Mist 164 80.49% 26.38 -5.444 21.95% -0.241 0.1731
Starlight Seeks its Form 286 80.07% 38.48 7.508 46.85% 0.867 0.8271
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1427 61.25% 41.3 1.738 57.25% 0.562 0.0592
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 232 84.05% 31.55 12.524 26.72% 0.372 0.4555
Thunderspeaker 202 89.6% 33.81 0.0 31.19%
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 82.5% 29.77 0.851 32.5% 0.336 0.7247
Towering Roots of the Jungle 97 65.98% 25.92 -0.737 34.02% 0.321 0.5315
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 761 91.72% 33.63 -3.974 37.71% -0.922 -0.845
Vital Strength of the Earth 109 81.65% 30.67 -9.162 23.85% -0.474 -0.0253
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 53.66% 33.21 0.91 33.33% 0.21 0.7041
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 74.55% 25.47 0.0 21.82%
Volcano Looming High 476 87.18% 31.52 3.545 30.67% 0.322 0.3867
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 84 66.67% 33.19 -2.311 42.86% 0.072 -0.1768

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 49 61.22% 26.27 -2.635 22.45% -0.106 0.3166
Dahan Insurrection 4 56 80.36% 41.98 -3.509 12.5% -0.046 -0.528
Despicable Theft 2 12 66.67% 25.17 0.0 16.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 42 40.48% 20.0 -11.228 14.29% -0.268 0.4701
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 237 29.11% 40.41 8.643 36.71% 0.361 -0.2954
Powers Long Forgotten 1 37 67.57% 26.24 -10.772 18.92% -0.171 0.3912
Rituals of Terror 3 22 68.18% 38.91 0.0 18.18%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 87.91% 24.82 0.0 1.65%
Second Wave 0 100 59.6% 40.18 6.681 45.0% 0.205 0.2991
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 16.33 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 29.0 0.0 25.0%
Ward the Shores 2 20 45.0% 20.55 0.0 15.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5649 77.11% 34.79 -0.959 40.25% -0.081 0.2918
1 Thematic 537 74.81% 27.74 1.051 13.22% -0.102 0.6122
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1145 83.93% 35.32 1.556 38.78% 0.333 0.4945
2 Coastline 141 77.3% 35.3 1.455 43.26% 0.376 0.1833
2 Fragment 14 92.86% 38.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 0.0 44.44%
2 Opposite Shores 183 76.5% 36.96 -0.024 39.34% -0.1 0.0319
2 Thematic 65 56.92% 27.72 -6.426 13.85% -0.27 0.4505
2 Top to Top 76 88.16% 36.39 7.165 40.79% 0.605 0.5201
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 20 75.0% 46.95 -5.678 70.0% -0.417 -1.2933
3 Round (Default) 416 76.87% 37.8 -2.35 46.15% -0.34 -0.3631
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 16 37.5% 20.31 -2.051 18.75% -0.246 -0.2379
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 0.0 72.73%
4 Thematic 49 65.31% 48.8 -2.904 48.98% -0.02 0.0433
4 Trapezoid (Default) 185 80.0% 36.24 -0.961 38.92% -0.127 -0.1222
5 Other 13 84.62% 34.31 -6.571 46.15% -0.191 -0.5149
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 0.0 22.22%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 28.0 6.14 40.0% 0.195 0.669
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 480 34.49 4.423 33.75% 0.387 0.4581
Aid From Lesser Spirits 354 40.47 0.034 46.61% -0.52 -0.6295
All Things Weaken 479 33.73 -1.525 33.19% -0.184 -0.0071
Attenuated Essence 82 30.72 3.545 35.37% 0.325 0.3772
Back Against the Wall 347 36.5 10.592 36.31% 0.725 0.7092
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 105 27.94 4.108 29.52% 0.218 0.4015
Burn Brightest Before the End 68 38.32 7.26 47.06% 0.755 0.8417
Disintegrating Ecosystem 431 34.6 6.565 37.82% 0.874 1.1658
Downward Spiral 494 32.43 1.531 31.58% 0.199 0.3054
Erosion of Will 455 33.38 -2.55 31.87% -0.551 -0.3851
Intensifying Exploitation 84 33.37 5.27 40.48% 0.523 0.7111
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 109 41.28 0.0 49.54%
Memory Fades to Dust 465 34.03 4.386 35.27% 0.394 0.6293
Power Corrodes the Spirit 507 33.85 -1.285 34.12% -0.419 -0.3234
Promising Farmlands 429 33.15 4.48 33.57% 0.597 0.9611
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 39.76 17.451 48.15% 1.366 1.4319
Slow Dissolution of Will 73 30.99 -0.965 31.51% -0.554 -0.0904
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 88 44.78 6.33 59.09% 0.184 -0.4176
The Border of Life and Death 14 31.14 13.409 42.86% 0.628 0.1522
Thriving Communities 507 33.41 -3.626 34.91% -0.477 -0.2515
Thriving Crops 21 36.24 9.781 52.38% 0.483 0.2585
Unnatural Proliferation 480 35.33 0.547 35.0% -0.006 0.1163
Untended Land Crumbles 529 33.16 5.007 32.7% 0.823 1.0555

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1373 80.25% 34.36 1.672 38.75% 0.381 1.299
B 1561 79.31% 35.7 -1.1 41.13% -0.522 0.3189
C 1635 79.62% 37.2 1.763 43.98% 0.44 1.1227
D 1289 80.61% 35.09 1.428 40.11% 0.259 1.101
E 1430 78.46% 35.18 0.75 40.14% 0.217 0.8687
F 1438 75.78% 34.55 -0.315 40.06% 0.065 0.8247
G 1166 77.36% 36.2 -4.257 41.51% -0.791 -0.0336
H 1166 79.16% 35.98 -1.419 40.82% -0.268 0.4507
East 308 58.12% 32.84 -3.708 25.65% -0.535 0.2784
Northeast 121 63.64% 32.2 -5.042 23.97% -0.897 -0.2293
Northwest 168 76.05% 29.52 -6.271 14.88% -0.341 0.4643
Southeast 160 54.37% 31.93 1.122 26.25% 0.069 0.7745
Southwest 254 77.17% 27.37 0.0 11.42%
West 469 75.85% 28.56 3.948 13.01% 0.246 1.0398

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 35.0 6.681 50.0% 0.205 0.9234
Not Using Events or Tokens 32 71.88% 37.34 0.175 37.5% -0.159 0.3257
Skip Initial Invader Actions 100 55.1% 54.71 14.485 73.0% 0.95 0.2196
Start of Game Growth 161 56.6% 50.03 3.574 64.6% 0.321 -0.1249
Unlimited Undo 756 67.24% 40.97 -2.367 55.03% -0.137 -0.1704
Using Tokens but Not Events 529 68.69% 35.84 -0.967 41.21% -0.183 -0.3456

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2711 14.25 1.03%
II 3400 30.3 29.82%
III 1871 34.84 89.63%
IV 592 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.106 Win Model: -0.199
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6231 76.76% 34.2 37.89%
2 1620 81.79% 35.32 38.64%
3 449 76.34% 38.2 46.99%
4 247 76.52% 38.72 42.11%
5 9 77.78% 31.67 33.33%
6 18 55.56% 28.5 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 27
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1655
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 992
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 582
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 980
Lose: Invader deck ran out 43
Lose: Adversary condition 2057
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 108
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1970
Lose: Spirit destroyed 105

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2537 62.11% 39.38 -3.713 38.98% -0.481 -0.5883
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 336 37.2% 26.9 4.34 30.36% 1.187 0.6981
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 987 84.9% 31.21 1.222 19.96% -0.19 -0.0473
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 466 68.24% 33.8 1.406 36.7% 0.326 -0.4223
Dances Up Earthquakes 88 77.27% 27.84 0.783 26.14% 0.129 -0.0477
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1263 79.57% 26.07 -0.334 15.91% -0.056 -0.2636
Downpour Drenches the World 953 58.93% 27.24 -2.934 22.67% -0.195 0.125
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1288 75.04% 25.44 -2.19 24.22% -0.15 -0.59
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1958 79.87% 33.88 -0.769 29.11% -0.419 -0.7626
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1540 82.53% 31.14 -1.666 23.57% -0.202 -0.5565
Finder of Paths Unseen 585 54.19% 27.35 -2.328 27.18% -0.248 0.5364
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1698 60.42% 38.78 -2.56 34.04% -0.238 0.2104
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1201 81.27% 25.9 -5.159 16.15% -0.239 -0.2622
Heart of the Wildfire 4615 84.29% 31.03 -2.632 25.35% -0.338 -0.0108
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4471 70.54% 38.99 1.631 38.4% 0.21 -0.2854
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 219 68.49% 23.51 0.968 19.63% -0.096 -0.6591
Lightning's Swift Strike 1145 88.98% 26.61 -1.251 12.4% -0.81 -0.6118
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1352 71.21% 28.28 -0.363 19.16% -0.05 -0.4976
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 604 86.02% 33.9 3.344 30.13% 0.383 0.064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 476 69.05% 34.64 -3.709 33.4% -1.019 -0.8941
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3882 82.0% 31.84 -5.42 25.14% -0.852 -1.0085
Many Minds Move as One 1549 67.38% 47.89 1.796 56.04% 0.488 0.2814
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1616 78.44% 32.03 -0.52 26.55% 0.215 0.3447
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 104 59.62% 14.43 -5.699 10.58% -0.831 -0.7256
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1390 84.52% 34.29 1.044 29.78% 0.035 -0.0149
River Surges in Sunlight 2236 82.45% 40.66 -0.877 36.49% 0.002 0.035
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 197 65.99% 22.5 5.341 16.75% 1.188 1.3965
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 449 63.7% 39.9 -2.352 30.51% -0.314 -0.1627
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 557 70.29% 33.2 2.804 29.08% 0.44 0.4495
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2608 61.95% 44.82 3.573 47.89% 0.712 0.6135
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 6 33.33% 55.17 16.668 83.33% 2.078 1.5869
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 499 75.75% 33.64 -13.743 20.64% -0.465 0.0468
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 77.27% 24.16 -2.313 13.64% -0.392 -0.4351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 301 76.0% 34.04 4.035 37.21% 0.554 0.1059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 125 83.2% 26.46 -0.543 15.2% -0.659 -0.6008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 238 75.21% 31.95 7.9 20.17% 0.615 0.4248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 179 80.45% 33.63 -7.784 24.58% -0.425 -0.3418
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1294 73.96% 35.41 3.415 30.91% 0.862 0.7638
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 337 71.81% 27.21 -0.005 28.19% 0.583 0.3886
Shifting Memory of Ages 1083 71.6% 35.51 -1.699 30.47% -0.186 0.2032
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 208 50.0% 32.95 1.453 32.21% 0.343 0.291
Shroud of Silent Mist 840 83.57% 27.98 -1.294 19.17% -0.376 0.0381
Starlight Seeks its Form 2339 69.39% 39.17 0.315 41.09% 0.317 0.2773
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 14912 49.03% 45.23 5.919 56.93% 1.468 0.9651
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1152 84.01% 32.37 -1.252 24.05% -0.707 -0.6235
Thunderspeaker 1325 76.08% 30.01 -4.534 18.42% -0.867 -0.8725
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 207 67.63% 17.8 1.033 8.21% -0.428 -0.0392
Towering Roots of the Jungle 571 63.75% 24.8 1.028 24.34% 0.607 0.8176
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5847 90.88% 32.9 -0.884 29.25% -0.39 -0.3129
Vital Strength of the Earth 477 74.42% 26.86 -8.352 14.47% -0.876 -0.4267
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 377 50.66% 16.42 -4.648 13.53% -0.058 0.436
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 424 77.36% 29.52 -2.259 20.05% 0.233 0.9258
Volcano Looming High 3071 81.13% 30.71 -0.813 23.87% -0.776 -0.7115
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 568 73.9% 29.46 3.219 29.05% 0.543 0.2936

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 507 44.49% 41.32 -13.367 38.66% -0.794 -0.3714
Dahan Insurrection 4 319 60.06% 41.83 -2.709 18.5% -0.21 -0.6925
Despicable Theft 2 31 83.87% 32.45 0.0 16.13%
Elemental Invocation 1 145 61.27% 31.14 -13.904 16.55% -0.161 0.5769
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3120 28.62% 47.52 5.87 43.17% 1.189 0.5325
Powers Long Forgotten 1 108 51.85% 42.77 -10.528 48.15% -0.122 0.4402
Rituals of Terror 3 225 24.11% 76.1 21.636 42.67% 1.362 1.2201
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 37.44 0.0 18.52%
Second Wave 0 146 54.11% 38.6 -5.841 34.93% -0.645 -0.5508
The Great River 3 49 59.18% 31.06 -11.789 4.08% -0.114 1.1314
Varied Terrains 2 44 47.73% 36.73 7.2 31.82% -0.298 0.5703
Ward the Shores 2 42 88.1% 29.76 0.0 7.14%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 48655 72.76% 35.79 0.358 35.69% 0.184 0.5573
1 Thematic 1687 49.38% 35.6 1.645 28.99% 0.349 1.0635
2 Archipelago 22 50.0% 29.45 0.0 9.09%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4787 79.11% 34.53 -1.888 33.07% -0.417 -0.2553
2 Coastline 893 69.78% 35.48 1.291 33.71% 0.413 0.2201
2 Fragment 68 85.29% 36.69 -8.861 32.35% -0.094 -0.1424
2 Heart 137 81.02% 37.56 18.081 33.58% 0.559 0.3465
2 Opposite Shores 1294 79.2% 31.42 -3.002 22.49% -0.974 -0.8412
2 Thematic 278 50.72% 46.77 -1.345 24.1% -0.725 -0.005
2 Top to Top 226 74.78% 37.68 -3.376 39.38% -0.334 -0.4186
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 19.6 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 27.44 31.67 33.33% 1.121 0.4911
3 Other 74 74.32% 39.09 3.114 43.24% 0.482 -0.3946
3 Round (Default) 2051 70.01% 32.12 -1.144 30.52% -0.497 -0.5198
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 50.0 0.0 60.0%
3 Thematic 78 20.51% 81.17 23.73 43.59% 0.398 0.4057
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 13.75 -12.381 0.0% -0.54 -0.6912
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 24.0 -8.011 16.67% -0.12 0.3153
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 5.748 60.0% -0.092 -0.6604
4 Thematic 183 23.5% 65.6 1.349 65.03% -0.466 -0.4027
4 Trapezoid (Default) 931 71.44% 32.96 0.856 27.07% -0.529 -0.5242
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 0.0 70.0%
5 Other 36 55.56% 43.08 27.819 52.78% 1.242 0.9185
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 17 64.71% 26.88 -11.627 23.53% -0.36 -0.4044
6 Star 11 54.55% 34.18 0.0 36.36%
6 Thematic 76 22.37% 43.86 -6.689 46.05% 0.213 0.4166
6 Two Centers (Default) 201 21.89% 49.68 1.238 48.76% -0.423 0.0516
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3116 35.45 5.038 31.07% 0.821 0.8918
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2434 40.23 4.645 39.11% 0.446 0.3364
All Things Weaken 3288 34.76 2.475 29.87% 0.394 0.5713
Attenuated Essence 580 29.35 4.028 25.69% 0.518 0.5693
Back Against the Wall 2248 39.35 5.708 37.41% 0.76 0.7445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 569 29.07 4.03 25.13% 0.637 0.8211
Burn Brightest Before the End 419 31.48 4.665 24.82% 0.696 0.7826
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3006 32.96 2.392 29.31% 0.481 0.7721
Downward Spiral 3283 34.42 2.294 30.61% 0.414 0.5204
Erosion of Will 2871 33.79 3.39 27.52% 0.35 0.5159
Intensifying Exploitation 592 28.26 -0.591 23.65% 0.066 0.2543
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 924 40.2 0.624 42.42% 0.362 -0.0664
Memory Fades to Dust 3331 33.27 4.125 27.17% 0.701 0.9357
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3137 33.37 2.985 28.24% 0.393 0.4893
Promising Farmlands 3023 32.21 1.146 25.93% 0.24 0.6044
Shattered Fragments of Power 424 31.05 4.93 24.53% 0.646 0.7118
Slow Dissolution of Will 633 28.15 0.898 21.01% -0.362 0.101
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 584 43.64 1.196 50.68% 0.062 -0.5394
The Border of Life and Death 109 27.73 -0.68 30.28% 0.036 -0.4398
Thriving Communities 3214 33.18 2.481 27.82% 0.423 0.6481
Thriving Crops 218 27.28 -1.167 27.06% -0.123 -0.3471
Unnatural Proliferation 3452 36.26 4.583 31.46% 0.523 0.6449
Untended Land Crumbles 3076 32.38 2.969 25.85% 0.606 0.8382

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 9757 72.64% 35.28 -0.887 34.43% -0.204 0.7142
B 10519 71.97% 35.02 0.259 33.59% -0.119 0.7222
C 12722 73.07% 35.03 0.343 33.77% -0.107 0.5759
D 8835 74.88% 34.8 -0.424 33.51% -0.282 0.5602
E 10246 74.69% 34.37 -0.752 32.67% -0.243 0.4087
F 9062 70.73% 36.4 0.851 35.84% -0.007 0.753
G 7230 71.77% 35.42 -1.177 34.87% -0.415 0.3423
H 7285 69.79% 36.01 -1.148 35.94% -0.421 0.297
East 1330 39.92% 49.29 9.017 37.14% 0.097 0.9104
Northeast 576 35.42% 55.8 10.956 42.01% 0.583 1.2503
Northwest 670 37.46% 31.91 -1.075 25.52% 0.504 1.3091
Southeast 566 31.45% 44.53 1.145 38.52% -0.01 0.6952
Southwest 423 42.55% 42.04 -10.007 40.9% -0.907 0.4833
West 1280 39.69% 41.14 2.113 33.52% -0.761 0.0325

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 32.41 17.824 41.03% 0.542 1.261
Not Using Events or Tokens 166 74.1% 37.42 2.31 13.25% 0.844 1.3293
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2227 21.66% 61.68 7.587 73.15% 0.732 0.0008
Start of Game Growth 3324 24.92% 57.97 7.837 70.19% 0.632 0.1857
Unlimited Undo 6383 59.52% 45.83 0.94 55.84% 0.368 0.3351
Using Tokens but Not Events 3145 55.25% 36.38 -2.918 36.6% -0.482 -0.6441

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28225 14.25 2.64%
II 22334 30.3 46.42%
III 8859 34.84 90.59%
IV 2440 38.61 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.109 Win Model: 0.184
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 50684 71.84% 35.91 35.58%
2 7505 77.52% 34.55 30.85%
3 2185 69.02% 32.92 30.94%
4 1145 64.1% 37.83 34.15%
5 25 40.0% 34.96 36.0%
6 314 25.16% 46.01 46.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 719
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7898
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10139
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2333
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8098
Lose: Invader deck ran out 410
Lose: Adversary condition 16830
Win: Sacrifice victory 423
Lose: Scenario condition 1150
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12811
Lose: Spirit destroyed 987

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)