The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 655 27.98% 29.22 -0.077 86.56% -0.125 0.0106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 500 44.2% 28.39 -0.251 79.0% -0.427 -0.1961
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 583 30.36% 30.5 0.394 89.02% 0.253 0.166
Eyes Watch From the Trees 678 17.51% 34.85 2.247 93.36% 0.494 0.1239
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 570 25.31% 32.56 1.3 92.28% 0.614 0.3588
Fractured Days Split the Sky 219 38.81% 29.41 0.186 75.8% -0.794 -0.4323
Heart of the Wildfire 734 61.42% 25.6 -1.164 76.84% -0.18 0.169
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 967 28.39% 30.55 0.42 89.76% 0.237 -0.0642
Lightning's Swift Strike 797 38.71% 29.88 0.387 84.69% 0.046 0.3078
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 503 30.82% 30.36 0.535 89.86% 0.232 -0.0577
Many Minds Move as One 491 21.27% 33.0 1.624 94.5% 0.778 0.2512
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 625 43.82% 28.78 -0.125 82.08% -0.108 -0.304
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 552 33.58% 29.82 0.085 89.49% 0.388 0.4322
River Surges in Sunlight 745 43.83% 30.34 0.613 79.33% -0.267 -0.1144
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 502 32.27% 29.04 -0.124 86.65% -0.042 0.1017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 541 49.17% 28.28 -0.239 78.19% -0.334 0.1079
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 531 30.06% 30.97 0.613 87.57% 0.027 -0.0456
Shroud of Silent Mist 112 50.89% 29.06 0.254 84.82% 0.176 0.1526
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1287 26.82% 27.65 -0.964 89.98% 0.09 0.0692
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 479 43.72% 28.28 -0.732 76.83% -0.482 -0.273
Thunderspeaker 573 38.81% 29.51 -0.035 81.85% -0.125 -0.0713
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 885 64.03% 24.32 -1.775 77.18% -0.087 -0.0735
Vital Strength of the Earth 589 38.67% 25.45 -1.867 73.17% -0.934 -0.0657
Volcano Looming High 246 41.87% 27.83 -0.454 86.99% 0.232 0.2032

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 116 35.65% 26.68 -1.621 78.45% -0.554 0.0269
Dahan Insurrection 4 207 23.67% 48.16 8.376 73.43% -1.432 -1.0287
Despicable Theft 2 16 31.25% 38.81 4.625 87.5% -0.005 0.3448
Elemental Invocation 1 38 50.0% 28.5 -0.161 73.68% -0.739 -0.367
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 426 10.09% 32.03 0.456 78.64% -1.699 -1.3349
Powers Long Forgotten 1 95 52.69% 30.31 0.664 71.58% -0.589 -0.1476
Rituals of Terror 3 101 51.49% 36.98 3.703 65.35% -1.07 -0.4361
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 93 74.19% 35.47 3.534 63.44% -0.569 0.0717
Second Wave 0 178 46.07% 29.65 0.489 77.53% -0.498 -0.0738
The Great River 3 50 76.0% 29.48 0.977 48.0% -1.52 -0.0984
Ward the Shores 2 137 41.61% 33.71 1.8 66.42% -1.219 -0.178

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6734 38.23% 28.59 -0.351 83.86% -0.546 -0.2184
1 Thematic 773 45.54% 33.61 1.25 73.35% -0.705 -0.2318
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1267 39.0% 28.45 -0.143 87.53% -0.093 0.1041
2 Coastline 145 37.24% 29.79 0.532 88.28% 0.331 0.4816
2 Fragment 33 63.64% 25.58 -1.013 81.82% -0.096 0.3087
2 Heart 19 36.84% 30.26 0.573 100.0% 0.797 1.1093
2 Opposite Shores 183 29.12% 29.53 0.108 90.16% -0.023 0.2003
2 Thematic 157 44.59% 34.48 1.023 79.62% -0.158 -0.129
2 Top to Top 23 34.78% 28.74 -0.28 86.96% -0.087 0.0533
3 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.5 4.43 100.0% 0.286 0.2391
3 Other 32 34.38% 28.44 -0.139 87.5% -0.246 0.1928
3 Round (Default) 520 29.62% 29.06 0.03 90.58% 0.148 0.2056
3 Thematic 39 38.46% 31.87 -1.245 71.79% -0.825 -1.1858
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 6.078 100.0% 0.055 0.2258
4 Other 24 16.67% 31.88 0.714 100.0% 0.64 0.7715
4 Thematic 55 20.0% 40.44 1.434 92.73% 0.806 -0.2539
4 Trapezoid (Default) 283 34.98% 27.38 -0.801 79.86% -0.552 -0.5142
5 Other 7 0.0% 32.29 0.727 100.0% 0.189 -0.0103
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 36.0 1.725 100.0% 0.104 -2.8526

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 282 22.61 -3.784 66.31% -2.444 -0.3738
Aid From Lesser Spirits 211 23.24 -3.617 63.51% -2.541 -0.6196
All Things Weaken 306 21.64 -4.379 59.48% -2.809 -0.6557
Back Against the Wall 240 24.89 -2.882 67.08% -2.363 -0.2666
Disintegrating Ecosystem 261 20.6 -4.962 61.3% -2.633 -0.4077
Downward Spiral 360 21.45 -4.359 64.44% -2.344 -0.3251
Erosion of Will 281 22.6 -3.917 61.57% -2.567 -0.3569
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 165 26.75 -1.782 84.24% -1.366 -0.6727
Memory Fades to Dust 317 22.25 -4.031 64.67% -2.277 -0.0613
Power Corrodes the Spirit 312 22.21 -4.043 66.03% -2.439 -0.4222
Promising Farmlands 233 22.38 -4.012 66.52% -2.433 -0.2192
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 84 28.17 -1.066 90.48% -0.816 -0.3858
Thriving Communities 310 21.53 -4.38 64.52% -2.467 -0.3714
Unnatural Proliferation 273 21.63 -4.42 54.95% -2.905 -0.8191
Untended Land Crumbles 282 21.38 -4.423 62.41% -2.623 -0.5269

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1759 38.27% 28.21 -0.338 85.05% 0.306 -0.7953
B 1649 38.04% 28.18 -0.359 84.84% 0.25 -0.9466
C 1806 34.74% 28.84 -0.064 85.88% 0.3 -1.1285
D 1702 36.96% 28.75 -0.026 85.72% 0.362 -0.829
E 1671 36.69% 28.68 -0.127 85.88% 0.317 -0.9816
F 1611 35.88% 28.83 -0.091 85.66% 0.261 -0.9931
G 1432 37.13% 28.29 -0.286 85.34% 0.325 -0.9171
H 1426 35.54% 28.96 -0.106 85.62% 0.271 -0.9864
East 267 39.33% 38.07 2.544 82.02% 0.413 -0.5465
Northeast 260 43.08% 36.27 2.018 80.0% 0.596 -0.3053
Northwest 217 45.62% 33.12 0.093 65.9% -0.587 -1.5619
Southeast 208 37.98% 34.87 1.401 81.25% 0.388 -0.6162
Southwest 186 36.56% 30.83 -1.115 79.03% 0.084 -0.5154
West 238 39.92% 35.58 1.331 78.15% 0.155 -0.545

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 27.5 -2.097 76.47% -1.787 0.2617
Not Using Events or Tokens 254 40.08% 25.99 -1.311 72.05% -0.845 -0.6244
Skip Initial Invader Actions 223 4.25% 40.98 3.519 95.07% 0.28 -0.4253
Start of Game Growth 358 11.27% 38.97 2.799 94.41% 0.606 0.1544
Unlimited Undo 615 32.55% 30.85 0.427 89.11% 0.392 -0.0252
Using Tokens but Not Events 784 33.95% 28.3 -0.596 83.04% -0.25 -0.3011

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 660 22.33 30.15%
II 2202 30.75 67.67%
III 4838 34.25 90.76%
IV 2598 37.47 98.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.067 Win Model: -0.339
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7528 38.96% 29.11 82.81%
2 1832 38.73% 29.19 87.28%
3 580 30.17% 29.22 88.97%
4 358 31.56% 29.67 82.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 199
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4258
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1369
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2539
Lose: Invader deck ran out 72
Lose: Adversary condition 573
Win: Sacrifice victory 38
Lose: Scenario condition 137
Win: Scenario condition 243
Lose: Blight pool ran out 822
Lose: Spirit destroyed 48

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 468 32.26% 34.68 0.427 85.68% 0.005 0.1409
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 298 59.12% 30.95 -0.759 72.82% -0.416 -0.185
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 399 34.67% 35.59 1.063 88.97% 0.519 0.4329
Eyes Watch From the Trees 545 21.81% 38.63 2.172 91.93% 0.559 0.1891
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 424 29.25% 36.15 1.231 88.44% 0.302 0.0468
Fractured Days Split the Sky 126 47.62% 34.17 0.529 74.6% -0.415 -0.0532
Heart of the Wildfire 486 59.67% 30.74 -0.754 77.78% 0.03 0.3796
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 678 41.19% 33.36 0.07 84.07% 0.054 -0.2475
Lightning's Swift Strike 531 42.0% 33.8 0.324 82.11% 0.058 0.3195
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 357 45.3% 33.09 -0.064 82.07% -0.089 -0.3783
Many Minds Move as One 375 28.49% 37.8 1.988 92.8% 0.779 0.252
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 493 47.43% 33.95 0.369 84.79% 0.327 0.1312
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 405 38.12% 34.18 0.22 85.93% 0.22 0.2648
River Surges in Sunlight 541 47.41% 33.58 0.258 75.05% -0.485 -0.3326
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 325 46.15% 32.47 -0.321 80.31% -0.125 0.0191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 407 61.43% 30.91 -0.658 71.25% -0.345 0.0971
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 424 38.77% 35.96 1.099 86.56% 0.21 0.1377
Shroud of Silent Mist 86 68.6% 28.15 -1.737 70.93% -0.263 -0.2864
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 996 34.58% 32.65 -0.404 89.56% 0.34 0.3196
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 334 49.7% 31.01 -1.13 73.95% -0.471 -0.262
Thunderspeaker 399 43.61% 35.02 0.573 80.45% -0.085 -0.0313
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 750 74.63% 27.25 -2.22 72.67% -0.147 -0.1335
Vital Strength of the Earth 437 43.94% 28.81 -2.182 67.73% -1.003 -0.1349
Volcano Looming High 189 44.09% 32.88 0.137 87.3% 0.398 0.3697

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 112 46.43% 30.21 -1.846 73.21% -0.559 0.0218
Dahan Insurrection 4 152 25.0% 55.85 10.534 84.21% -0.517 -0.1133
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 32.0 -0.582 33.33% -0.944 -0.5944
Elemental Invocation 1 23 65.22% 31.17 -0.994 69.57% -0.671 -0.2988
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 258 14.96% 33.4 -0.764 67.05% -2.016 -1.6513
Powers Long Forgotten 1 87 71.26% 31.79 -0.004 60.92% -0.499 -0.0578
Rituals of Terror 3 92 48.91% 44.42 4.67 71.74% -0.58 0.0542
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 56 66.07% 44.64 5.541 73.21% 0.098 0.7386
Second Wave 0 593 48.31% 33.05 0.116 73.02% -0.659 -0.2348
The Great River 3 27 55.56% 39.3 2.975 62.96% -1.248 0.1735
Ward the Shores 2 126 53.97% 36.88 1.782 63.49% -0.808 0.2338

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4384 44.51% 32.79 -0.171 80.45% -0.205 0.1224
1 Thematic 698 51.97% 34.71 0.386 66.33% -0.547 -0.0732
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 970 47.42% 32.4 -0.049 85.67% 0.057 0.2537
2 Coastline 125 41.6% 33.54 0.497 86.4% 0.153 0.3038
2 Fragment 23 73.91% 30.04 -0.676 78.26% 0.153 0.5576
2 Heart 25 56.0% 26.12 -2.684 64.0% -0.618 -0.3063
2 Opposite Shores 173 40.12% 32.78 -0.085 87.28% 0.003 0.2266
2 Thematic 151 52.0% 35.6 0.739 73.51% -0.049 -0.0209
2 Top to Top 26 50.0% 30.35 -1.323 80.77% -0.106 0.0339
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 44.2 4.373 100.0% 0.589 0.5422
3 Other 24 37.5% 32.17 -0.294 91.67% 0.368 0.8061
3 Round (Default) 425 37.26% 33.23 0.156 88.0% -0.022 0.0363
3 Thematic 45 44.44% 36.13 -0.346 71.11% -0.23 -0.5907
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 44.5 7.003 100.0% 0.548 0.719
4 Other 13 61.54% 32.08 0.336 84.62% 0.197 0.3281
4 Thematic 45 22.73% 43.78 1.761 86.67% 0.433 -0.6263
4 Trapezoid (Default) 169 38.46% 32.65 -0.639 86.39% -0.352 -0.3139
5 Other 10 20.0% 34.1 0.585 90.0% -0.349 -0.5479

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 235 26.11 -4.139 59.57% -2.502 -0.4316
Aid From Lesser Spirits 196 27.15 -3.54 62.24% -2.355 -0.433
All Things Weaken 235 26.0 -4.315 59.15% -2.51 -0.3563
Back Against the Wall 195 26.91 -3.769 63.08% -2.409 -0.3129
Disintegrating Ecosystem 220 24.33 -5.141 58.18% -2.566 -0.3403
Downward Spiral 284 26.23 -3.991 65.49% -2.1 -0.081
Erosion of Will 211 25.13 -4.601 61.61% -2.588 -0.3777
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 126 32.78 -1.026 86.51% -0.929 -0.2354
Memory Fades to Dust 227 24.33 -4.956 56.39% -2.57 -0.3551
Power Corrodes the Spirit 260 26.87 -3.771 67.69% -2.208 -0.1913
Promising Farmlands 217 23.95 -5.306 55.3% -2.634 -0.4209
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 30.52 -1.864 82.72% -1.251 -0.8206
Thriving Communities 271 24.24 -5.114 56.46% -2.609 -0.5129
Unnatural Proliferation 276 26.83 -3.81 61.96% -2.44 -0.3533
Untended Land Crumbles 246 25.59 -4.473 62.2% -2.386 -0.2896

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1238 44.14% 32.95 0.056 84.73% 0.389 -0.7129
B 1205 43.39% 32.85 -0.089 83.82% 0.232 -0.9641
C 1328 42.01% 33.4 0.266 85.32% 0.407 -1.0215
D 1170 42.37% 32.68 -0.183 83.08% 0.149 -1.0423
E 1130 42.87% 32.99 0.076 83.89% 0.26 -1.0393
F 1123 44.53% 32.5 -0.226 82.99% 0.168 -1.0864
G 1043 45.73% 31.96 -0.388 81.02% 0.135 -1.1071
H 1012 44.65% 32.27 -0.327 82.61% 0.214 -1.043
East 231 42.11% 40.13 2.329 76.62% 0.168 -0.7917
Northeast 236 48.94% 37.32 0.958 69.07% -0.013 -0.9137
Northwest 196 45.26% 37.36 0.945 71.43% -0.003 -0.9775
Southeast 189 45.99% 37.0 1.396 77.78% 0.568 -0.4358
Southwest 194 53.13% 29.89 -2.547 63.4% -0.422 -1.0219
West 236 48.07% 36.24 0.533 69.07% -0.141 -0.8408

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 35.23 -0.741 83.87% -1.087 0.9617
Not Using Events or Tokens 81 51.85% 27.88 -2.152 58.02% -0.926 -0.7055
Skip Initial Invader Actions 176 4.02% 49.14 4.823 96.02% 0.786 0.0807
Start of Game Growth 263 8.85% 45.26 3.261 93.16% 0.057 -0.395
Unlimited Undo 574 39.38% 34.25 0.398 85.54% 0.201 -0.2158
Using Tokens but Not Events 544 34.31% 34.7 0.567 87.5% 0.342 0.2914

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 595 22.33 27.23%
II 2833 30.75 73.77%
III 2752 34.25 91.17%
IV 1133 37.47 99.29%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.008 Win Model: -0.041
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5106 45.54% 33.06 78.55%
2 1486 46.9% 32.67 84.19%
3 489 38.52% 33.61 86.71%
4 232 35.93% 34.78 86.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 162
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2426
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1940
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1121
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Lose: Adversary condition 575
Win: Sacrifice victory 29
Lose: Scenario condition 95
Win: Scenario condition 208
Lose: Blight pool ran out 674
Lose: Spirit destroyed 37

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 576 40.45% 40.39 1.235 80.9% 0.181 0.317
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 377 78.99% 31.24 -2.506 51.72% -0.632 -0.4005
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 560 50.0% 40.18 1.359 80.18% 0.409 0.3222
Eyes Watch From the Trees 630 39.17% 42.99 2.642 84.92% 0.603 0.2332
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 513 54.3% 39.72 1.111 77.78% 0.287 0.0316
Fractured Days Split the Sky 174 58.62% 38.9 1.041 67.24% -0.255 0.1067
Heart of the Wildfire 789 74.65% 33.05 -1.844 62.36% -0.231 0.118
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 932 51.35% 38.86 0.613 75.75% 0.1 -0.2022
Lightning's Swift Strike 647 64.13% 37.51 0.296 71.1% 0.139 0.4001
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 450 63.17% 36.78 -0.11 70.67% 0.001 -0.2885
Many Minds Move as One 420 41.9% 42.3 2.367 85.48% 0.653 0.1261
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 697 60.43% 37.56 0.241 71.31% 0.076 -0.12
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 502 55.71% 38.42 0.661 77.69% 0.385 0.4292
River Surges in Sunlight 782 56.83% 39.19 0.925 69.57% -0.201 -0.0488
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 478 60.67% 36.63 -0.338 71.34% 0.015 0.1593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 352 75.28% 33.41 -1.753 56.82% -0.474 -0.0313
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 517 48.64% 39.71 0.952 76.21% 0.038 -0.0343
Shroud of Silent Mist 127 83.46% 29.38 -3.235 50.39% -0.56 -0.5833
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1407 44.99% 38.41 0.661 83.08% 0.581 0.5598
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 361 67.04% 34.82 -1.125 62.88% -0.286 -0.0766
Thunderspeaker 431 57.44% 38.87 0.346 70.77% -0.1 -0.0461
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 979 85.44% 30.53 -2.718 59.35% -0.213 -0.1995
Vital Strength of the Earth 383 61.78% 33.54 -1.813 59.53% -0.542 0.3266
Volcano Looming High 262 68.2% 34.05 -1.056 67.18% -0.016 -0.0448

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 146 45.89% 35.3 -1.669 66.44% -0.611 -0.0303
Dahan Insurrection 4 98 38.78% 61.96 11.745 81.63% 0.267 0.6701
Despicable Theft 2 6 50.0% 49.83 6.751 83.33% 0.268 0.6177
Elemental Invocation 1 22 68.18% 35.27 0.068 63.64% -0.203 0.1689
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 471 13.79% 44.0 2.596 78.98% -0.626 -0.2617
Powers Long Forgotten 1 67 70.15% 39.73 0.637 59.7% -0.401 0.0399
Rituals of Terror 3 41 70.73% 44.54 4.107 60.98% -0.332 0.3025
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 69.23% 47.81 5.763 65.38% 0.038 0.6789
Second Wave 0 383 57.07% 36.93 -0.436 62.66% -0.719 -0.2948
The Great River 3 16 25.0% 29.94 -3.737 18.75% -2.689 -1.268
Ward the Shores 2 84 63.1% 39.58 0.676 53.57% -0.929 0.1121

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5648 59.28% 36.47 0.005 70.59% 0.039 0.3665
1 Thematic 540 54.56% 40.64 0.575 64.07% -0.242 0.2312
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1311 60.69% 35.33 -0.859 68.42% -0.531 -0.3341
2 Coastline 154 52.6% 37.32 0.162 74.03% -0.165 -0.014
2 Fragment 29 78.57% 35.24 -0.18 68.97% -0.078 0.3259
2 Heart 19 61.11% 39.21 1.073 84.21% 0.328 0.6398
2 Opposite Shores 250 60.4% 37.43 0.323 76.8% 0.038 0.261
2 Thematic 160 73.13% 36.94 -0.794 56.25% -0.377 -0.3481
2 Top to Top 39 37.84% 38.49 -0.019 76.92% -0.441 -0.3007
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 43.89 3.622 88.89% 0.529 0.4824
3 Other 44 56.82% 38.61 0.489 79.55% -0.359 0.0796
3 Round (Default) 528 59.32% 37.52 0.191 75.76% -0.397 -0.3388
3 Thematic 20 90.0% 42.5 1.945 70.0% 0.604 0.2433
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 48.0 4.926 100.0% 0.161 0.3316
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 40.5 0.84 100.0% 0.122 0.1857
4 Other 33 48.48% 41.42 1.979 84.85% 0.088 0.219
4 Thematic 79 40.51% 47.3 2.061 83.54% 0.427 -0.6328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 249 52.61% 39.96 0.854 81.93% -0.431 -0.3931
5 Other 11 36.36% 45.27 3.577 100.0% 0.66 0.4614
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 51.0 1.83 100.0% 0.051 -2.9056

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 413 30.9 -3.887 53.75% -2.099 -0.0282
Aid From Lesser Spirits 318 34.29 -2.242 62.26% -1.739 0.1824
All Things Weaken 439 31.49 -3.613 56.95% -1.994 0.1592
Back Against the Wall 311 31.34 -3.611 54.98% -2.073 0.0237
Disintegrating Ecosystem 354 28.78 -4.913 54.24% -2.065 0.1607
Downward Spiral 435 30.56 -4.013 56.78% -1.95 0.0689
Erosion of Will 375 30.07 -4.216 52.27% -2.117 0.0937
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 173 38.22 -0.352 78.03% -0.934 -0.24
Memory Fades to Dust 416 30.05 -4.397 54.57% -2.085 0.1305
Power Corrodes the Spirit 399 30.34 -4.133 56.64% -1.996 0.0209
Promising Farmlands 345 28.67 -5.012 52.75% -2.188 0.0255
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 122 38.1 -0.577 77.05% -1.084 -0.6541
Thriving Communities 385 27.57 -5.556 48.31% -2.372 -0.2766
Unnatural Proliferation 445 30.93 -3.722 55.06% -2.055 0.0319
Untended Land Crumbles 431 29.39 -4.568 52.2% -2.151 -0.0553

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1637 59.4% 36.58 -0.125 71.72% 0.323 -0.7785
B 1620 59.03% 36.73 -0.08 72.16% 0.357 -0.839
C 1814 60.44% 36.98 0.199 73.76% 0.481 -0.9472
D 1524 59.27% 36.19 -0.37 71.19% 0.293 -0.8975
E 1606 57.19% 37.5 0.384 74.28% 0.469 -0.8305
F 1491 58.24% 36.75 -0.072 71.97% 0.343 -0.9109
G 1271 58.76% 36.67 -0.123 71.52% 0.339 -0.903
H 1265 55.83% 37.51 0.167 73.83% 0.36 -0.8977
East 247 57.89% 43.53 1.922 70.85% 0.432 -0.5283
Northeast 208 61.06% 40.06 0.112 60.58% -0.287 -1.1884
Northwest 207 57.77% 40.71 0.321 64.25% 0.027 -0.9476
Southeast 156 54.19% 43.58 1.734 73.72% 0.521 -0.4838
Southwest 138 51.09% 38.08 -1.897 65.94% -0.358 -0.9573
West 247 56.68% 42.96 1.335 69.23% 0.201 -0.4985

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 38.62 -1.49 70.59% -1.352 0.6963
Not Using Events or Tokens 40 68.42% 31.65 -2.266 60.0% -0.414 -0.1939
Skip Initial Invader Actions 196 16.67% 53.88 5.424 93.37% 1.19 0.4852
Start of Game Growth 277 20.51% 50.94 4.128 89.89% 0.238 -0.2133
Unlimited Undo 671 50.54% 39.73 1.067 79.43% 0.387 -0.03
Using Tokens but Not Events 651 54.6% 37.15 -0.164 73.58% 0.025 -0.0257

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1378 22.33 13.79%
II 4329 30.75 68.88%
III 2423 34.25 94.72%
IV 997 37.47 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.121 Win Model: -0.042
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6213 58.81% 36.83 70.03%
2 1962 61.01% 36.07 69.52%
3 599 59.3% 37.81 75.96%
4 353 49.58% 41.78 82.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2258
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2865
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 984
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 1278
Win: Sacrifice victory 41
Lose: Scenario condition 100
Win: Scenario condition 125
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1166
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 655 52.6% 39.2 0.916 68.24% 0.098 0.2339
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 389 79.9% 31.78 -2.231 45.5% -0.497 -0.2656
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 575 61.32% 39.08 0.885 69.91% 0.342 0.255
Eyes Watch From the Trees 808 46.46% 43.09 2.694 77.23% 0.509 0.1393
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 596 56.13% 40.01 1.082 68.46% 0.169 -0.0868
Fractured Days Split the Sky 200 59.0% 40.01 1.305 63.0% -0.152 0.2098
Heart of the Wildfire 753 79.97% 32.77 -1.867 53.92% -0.131 0.2184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1346 58.91% 37.79 0.144 64.78% -0.048 -0.3495
Lightning's Swift Strike 725 68.55% 36.78 -0.141 61.1% 0.023 0.2843
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 620 72.21% 36.02 -0.594 61.29% -0.009 -0.2985
Many Minds Move as One 438 48.28% 43.55 3.01 80.14% 0.771 0.2437
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 840 59.9% 39.11 0.607 67.26% 0.135 -0.0607
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 561 62.48% 37.99 0.383 67.2% 0.186 0.2301
River Surges in Sunlight 1000 63.99% 40.72 1.83 67.7% 0.274 0.4266
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 559 63.85% 37.62 -0.204 64.94% 0.019 0.1634
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 328 79.57% 30.34 -3.191 40.24% -0.736 -0.2943
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 670 52.25% 40.0 1.203 69.1% 0.136 0.0637
Shroud of Silent Mist 102 89.22% 27.89 -3.945 38.24% -0.67 -0.6927
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1884 52.98% 37.86 0.329 71.97% 0.3 0.2793
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 423 70.07% 34.81 -1.111 54.37% -0.263 -0.0537
Thunderspeaker 487 68.31% 39.23 0.743 64.89% 0.22 0.2743
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1225 87.06% 29.96 -3.293 48.82% -0.322 -0.3087
Vital Strength of the Earth 371 71.7% 29.95 -3.5 39.08% -0.971 -0.1028
Volcano Looming High 418 73.68% 35.4 -0.512 62.2% 0.122 0.0934

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 102 49.02% 36.89 -1.549 60.78% -0.655 -0.0735
Dahan Insurrection 4 87 52.87% 54.48 8.224 62.07% -0.289 0.1147
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 53.67 7.903 100.0% 0.517 0.8666
Elemental Invocation 1 27 74.07% 33.22 -2.087 44.44% -0.808 -0.4352
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 455 15.81% 44.6 2.56 71.43% -0.642 -0.2778
Powers Long Forgotten 1 52 71.15% 39.71 1.021 55.77% -0.228 0.2136
Rituals of Terror 3 39 74.36% 42.38 2.591 43.59% -0.612 0.0223
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 18 88.89% 42.83 3.598 44.44% -0.152 0.4883
Second Wave 0 204 56.16% 37.15 -0.387 55.39% -0.735 -0.3115
The Great River 3 11 36.36% 31.64 -3.052 18.18% -2.068 -0.6471
Ward the Shores 2 25 48.0% 40.6 1.334 52.0% -0.841 0.2007

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7018 64.3% 36.81 0.008 63.74% -0.194 0.1328
1 Thematic 536 61.19% 40.74 0.708 57.84% -0.231 0.243
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1555 66.07% 36.29 -0.198 62.89% -0.233 -0.036
2 Coastline 150 69.33% 38.65 1.159 72.0% 0.339 0.4895
2 Fragment 38 63.89% 35.16 -0.653 55.26% -0.392 0.0124
2 Heart 27 75.0% 36.67 0.108 66.67% -0.078 0.234
2 Opposite Shores 298 66.11% 35.54 -0.67 60.74% -0.346 -0.1224
2 Thematic 137 76.3% 32.85 -1.947 37.96% -0.259 -0.2306
2 Top to Top 50 54.0% 39.72 0.985 72.0% -0.013 0.127
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.2 2.337 80.0% 0.401 0.3541
3 Other 38 60.53% 43.05 2.455 86.84% 0.42 0.8589
3 Round (Default) 648 66.72% 36.73 -0.189 63.43% -0.19 -0.1321
3 Sunrise 4 25.0% 38.5 0.157 75.0% -0.136 -0.3336
3 Thematic 30 83.33% 29.1 -4.209 26.67% -0.32 -0.6808
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 26.0 -10.196 0.0% -0.518 -0.4546
4 Other 24 62.5% 42.88 2.333 83.33% 0.336 0.4668
4 Thematic 67 52.24% 46.1 2.392 64.18% 1.193 0.1333
4 Trapezoid (Default) 351 52.01% 39.68 0.147 70.37% -0.241 -0.2031
5 Other 6 33.33% 47.67 3.918 100.0% 0.483 0.2837

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 496 31.24 -3.714 47.98% -1.922 0.1486
Aid From Lesser Spirits 415 34.19 -2.39 55.18% -1.671 0.2504
All Things Weaken 559 31.22 -3.871 47.94% -1.957 0.1961
Back Against the Wall 379 33.87 -2.433 54.09% -1.646 0.4508
Disintegrating Ecosystem 492 28.86 -4.967 44.72% -2.033 0.1924
Downward Spiral 616 32.37 -3.21 55.52% -1.581 0.4378
Erosion of Will 533 30.39 -4.274 46.53% -1.998 0.2121
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 226 36.54 -1.448 62.83% -1.385 -0.6911
Memory Fades to Dust 512 30.77 -3.997 49.22% -1.873 0.3425
Power Corrodes the Spirit 566 30.72 -4.095 48.94% -1.9 0.1169
Promising Farmlands 482 30.03 -4.418 46.27% -1.974 0.2395
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 157 39.3 0.227 72.61% -0.787 -0.3571
Thriving Communities 493 28.72 -5.005 42.6% -2.122 -0.026
Unnatural Proliferation 568 30.77 -4.094 45.42% -2.044 0.0426
Untended Land Crumbles 554 29.96 -4.506 45.13% -2.047 0.0491

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1901 63.24% 37.34 0.148 65.44% 0.514 -0.5876
B 1934 61.66% 37.24 0.078 64.84% 0.461 -0.7354
C 2241 64.9% 36.55 -0.16 63.36% 0.437 -0.9917
D 1863 64.98% 36.82 -0.162 64.04% 0.452 -0.7389
E 1972 64.79% 37.2 0.115 64.91% 0.502 -0.7973
F 1815 63.33% 37.2 0.097 64.85% 0.495 -0.7592
G 1598 63.94% 36.76 -0.321 63.58% 0.376 -0.8665
H 1574 63.61% 37.6 0.222 66.2% 0.557 -0.6999
East 278 62.45% 42.12 1.706 56.83% 0.275 -0.6853
Northeast 191 67.89% 38.48 -0.288 46.6% -0.2 -1.1013
Northwest 150 67.79% 38.1 -0.625 46.0% -0.192 -1.167
Southeast 174 62.07% 38.89 -0.337 54.6% -0.025 -1.0294
Southwest 138 64.49% 35.45 -1.878 52.17% 0.031 -0.569
West 212 62.09% 39.67 0.23 51.42% -0.054 -0.7531

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 41.63 -0.606 75.0% -0.86 1.1889
Not Using Events or Tokens 43 67.44% 31.84 -2.579 48.84% -0.734 -0.513
Skip Initial Invader Actions 300 11.19% 56.07 5.933 96.33% 1.203 0.4981
Start of Game Growth 416 14.63% 53.89 5.235 93.75% 0.97 0.5178
Unlimited Undo 753 59.7% 40.14 1.029 70.92% 0.225 -0.1915
Using Tokens but Not Events 555 56.87% 38.09 0.246 69.01% 0.077 0.0264

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1994 22.33 7.42%
II 4915 30.75 61.16%
III 3290 34.25 91.73%
IV 784 37.47 99.49%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.043 Win Model: -0.494
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7571 64.03% 37.11 63.39%
2 2266 66.81% 36.19 61.87%
3 714 66.71% 36.73 63.03%
4 432 52.21% 40.73 69.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2976
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2941
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 776
Lose: Invader deck ran out 105
Lose: Adversary condition 2175
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 124
Win: Scenario condition 67
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1527
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 388 72.42% 43.65 2.604 63.4% 0.579 0.7146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 213 92.02% 34.38 -1.684 38.03% -0.221 0.0104
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 315 89.52% 33.73 -2.286 38.1% -0.349 -0.4357
Eyes Watch From the Trees 470 73.45% 43.13 2.209 58.3% 0.389 0.0192
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 364 81.87% 39.79 0.507 51.37% 0.131 -0.1247
Fractured Days Split the Sky 148 80.41% 42.44 1.582 49.32% -0.09 0.271
Heart of the Wildfire 845 86.34% 35.95 -1.686 45.68% -0.173 0.1767
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 724 74.41% 38.03 -0.789 48.48% -0.259 -0.5608
Lightning's Swift Strike 294 91.47% 36.26 -1.135 43.54% -0.113 0.1482
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 451 80.04% 39.96 0.35 52.11% 0.097 -0.193
Many Minds Move as One 267 64.42% 48.33 4.758 73.03% 0.919 0.392
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 375 84.27% 34.38 -2.045 38.67% -0.314 -0.5106
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 343 84.5% 38.21 0.025 50.15% 0.166 0.2101
River Surges in Sunlight 558 81.8% 39.17 0.323 45.7% -0.106 0.0467
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 340 76.18% 42.48 1.427 59.71% 0.387 0.5314
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 200 87.5% 37.44 -0.659 44.0% -0.129 0.3134
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 230 74.35% 39.92 -0.104 50.87% -0.071 -0.1427
Shroud of Silent Mist 96 90.63% 34.23 -2.555 40.63% -0.363 -0.3857
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1563 62.56% 42.42 2.131 67.05% 0.678 0.6571
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 331 83.38% 34.48 -1.963 37.46% -0.402 -0.1931
Thunderspeaker 301 88.7% 37.67 -0.493 45.18% -0.06 -0.0064
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1093 93.14% 34.86 -2.127 44.56% -0.189 -0.1758
Vital Strength of the Earth 186 85.48% 30.72 -4.026 27.42% -0.956 -0.088
Volcano Looming High 266 88.72% 36.49 -1.262 47.74% -0.099 -0.1278

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 53 67.92% 39.08 -0.481 49.06% -0.32 0.2606
Dahan Insurrection 4 25 76.0% 58.28 9.632 56.0% 0.223 0.6263
Despicable Theft 2 2 50.0% 46.5 2.849 50.0% -0.196 0.1534
Elemental Invocation 1 14 64.29% 41.14 0.338 50.0% -0.489 -0.1162
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 250 25.2% 47.61 3.663 62.4% -0.195 0.1693
Powers Long Forgotten 1 21 90.48% 32.38 -3.232 23.81% -0.926 -0.4845
Rituals of Terror 3 13 76.92% 49.08 5.309 46.15% -0.179 0.4558
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 94.12% 40.53 0.825 35.29% -0.62 0.021
Second Wave 0 125 75.0% 36.02 -1.45 40.0% -0.613 -0.1892
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 28.0 -6.185 0.0% -1.924 -0.5028
Ward the Shores 2 21 85.71% 34.67 -1.43 23.81% -0.913 0.1283

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4543 79.11% 39.26 0.538 53.62% 0.033 0.3607
1 Thematic 196 80.1% 38.77 -0.101 41.33% -0.19 0.2836
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1134 82.54% 37.67 -0.285 49.12% -0.175 0.0216
2 Coastline 95 80.0% 37.44 -0.51 46.32% -0.314 -0.1628
2 Fragment 21 90.48% 37.33 -0.694 42.86% -0.374 0.0298
2 Heart 9 88.89% 38.33 0.301 55.56% 0.031 0.3436
2 Opposite Shores 232 83.98% 34.59 -1.949 42.24% -0.574 -0.3509
2 Thematic 57 78.95% 36.37 -1.337 38.6% -0.121 -0.0925
2 Top to Top 35 88.57% 33.89 -1.523 40.0% -0.303 -0.1628
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.5 8.568 100.0% 0.629 0.5815
3 Other 31 77.42% 45.55 2.982 74.19% 0.319 0.7573
3 Round (Default) 410 82.68% 37.37 -0.167 48.78% -0.141 -0.0832
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 -8.93 0.0% -0.458 -0.6551
3 Thematic 14 92.86% 37.5 -1.214 35.71% 0.082 -0.279
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 53.5 8.738 100.0% 0.691 0.7543
4 Other 16 68.75% 46.06 2.438 75.0% 0.16 0.2917
4 Thematic 88 62.5% 46.86 1.234 56.82% 0.544 -0.5162
4 Trapezoid (Default) 171 76.19% 38.19 -0.888 47.95% -0.538 -0.4997
5 Other 2 100.0% 55.5 7.45 100.0% 0.521 0.3225
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 9.279 100.0% 0.479 -2.4777

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 424 36.84 -1.741 47.88% -1.244 0.8267
Aid From Lesser Spirits 338 37.95 -1.054 47.63% -1.189 0.7333
All Things Weaken 451 34.8 -2.812 41.24% -1.512 0.641
Back Against the Wall 316 38.89 -0.729 50.0% -1.131 0.9652
Disintegrating Ecosystem 430 33.84 -3.294 43.49% -1.416 0.8097
Downward Spiral 397 33.97 -3.252 41.06% -1.546 0.473
Erosion of Will 417 35.32 -2.532 41.49% -1.506 0.7041
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 136 40.55 -0.093 54.41% -0.994 -0.3006
Memory Fades to Dust 488 35.17 -2.618 44.67% -1.372 0.8435
Power Corrodes the Spirit 438 35.29 -2.575 44.29% -1.379 0.6375
Promising Farmlands 396 32.42 -4.027 36.87% -1.71 0.5036
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 96 43.83 1.32 62.5% -0.703 -0.2732
Thriving Communities 417 34.47 -2.945 44.6% -1.359 0.7364
Unnatural Proliferation 450 36.95 -1.693 46.44% -1.302 0.7841
Untended Land Crumbles 442 33.38 -3.476 38.91% -1.605 0.4912

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1218 79.47% 38.78 0.069 52.13% 0.546 -0.5554
B 1385 80.67% 38.62 -0.138 52.35% 0.499 -0.6969
C 1606 80.25% 38.68 0.072 51.87% 0.538 -0.891
D 1183 82.5% 38.06 -0.197 50.13% 0.509 -0.6815
E 1183 80.73% 38.22 -0.17 50.21% 0.469 -0.8302
F 1183 80.49% 38.55 -0.004 51.73% 0.541 -0.7131
G 981 80.27% 37.66 -0.52 49.13% 0.417 -0.8257
H 967 79.25% 38.39 -0.136 50.98% 0.503 -0.754
East 153 70.59% 43.55 0.718 49.02% 0.243 -0.7165
Northeast 107 73.83% 43.39 0.728 47.66% 0.154 -0.7469
Northwest 100 72.0% 41.81 0.214 47.0% 0.24 -0.7348
Southeast 97 72.16% 41.73 0.244 49.48% 0.279 -0.7249
Southwest 102 73.53% 39.64 -0.907 46.08% 0.273 -0.3269
West 139 69.78% 43.49 0.318 49.64% 0.129 -0.5707

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 40.0 -0.551 60.0% -0.326 1.7227
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 90.91% 37.95 0.137 50.0% 0.144 0.3645
Skip Initial Invader Actions 82 44.44% 56.35 5.533 85.37% 0.978 0.2731
Start of Game Growth 191 48.95% 50.71 3.88 72.77% 0.408 -0.0439
Unlimited Undo 592 74.45% 43.05 1.719 62.33% 0.357 -0.0599
Using Tokens but Not Events 280 77.09% 38.19 -0.89 51.07% -0.267 -0.3177

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1836 22.33 3.27%
II 2953 30.75 49.88%
III 1769 34.25 91.07%
IV 503 37.47 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.255 Win Model: -0.549
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4751 79.16% 39.27 53.17%
2 1592 82.65% 37.14 47.55%
3 446 82.06% 37.65 49.33%
4 272 72.49% 41.41 52.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 60
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1591
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1442
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 493
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 1739
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 88
Win: Scenario condition 19
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1451
Lose: Spirit destroyed 96

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 200 71.0% 42.95 2.634 51.5% 0.585 0.7206
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 89 87.64% 34.37 -1.182 30.34% -0.327 -0.0957
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 164 91.46% 31.45 -2.624 25.61% -0.451 -0.5378
Eyes Watch From the Trees 152 71.05% 44.55 3.611 53.29% 0.528 0.1576
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 121 91.74% 37.21 -0.119 38.02% 0.057 -0.1989
Fractured Days Split the Sky 63 80.95% 46.79 3.864 52.38% 0.474 0.8351
Heart of the Wildfire 323 86.69% 33.22 -2.411 31.89% -0.337 0.0118
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 455 81.32% 33.8 -0.361 27.25% -0.002 -0.3041
Lightning's Swift Strike 142 93.66% 34.39 -1.24 30.99% -0.115 0.1463
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 157 86.62% 37.08 -0.315 38.85% 0.033 -0.2569
Many Minds Move as One 124 67.74% 50.33 6.681 69.35% 1.205 0.6783
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 202 79.21% 39.19 0.783 42.08% 0.288 0.0923
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 123 81.3% 38.11 0.557 39.02% 0.033 0.0775
River Surges in Sunlight 229 85.59% 38.93 0.848 37.12% 0.028 0.1805
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 174 79.31% 40.17 0.504 43.68% 0.052 0.1962
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 148 94.59% 29.76 -3.125 16.22% -0.897 -0.455
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 89 78.65% 35.72 -1.407 33.71% -0.325 -0.397
Shroud of Silent Mist 23 95.65% 33.0 -1.747 26.09% -0.356 -0.3791
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 688 67.88% 41.36 2.375 57.12% 0.726 0.7051
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 144 86.11% 32.94 -1.962 24.31% -0.434 -0.2248
Thunderspeaker 123 96.75% 35.07 -0.956 31.71% -0.116 -0.0622
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 436 94.95% 34.89 -1.288 37.16% -0.027 -0.0139
Vital Strength of the Earth 87 85.06% 32.56 -2.056 25.29% -0.486 0.3818
Volcano Looming High 144 91.67% 31.35 -2.964 27.78% -0.433 -0.4614

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 23 86.96% 33.48 -2.485 30.43% -0.503 0.0783
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 94.87% 35.1 0.267 7.69% -1.174 -0.7708
Elemental Invocation 1 5 60.0% 53.6 5.783 80.0% 0.513 0.8851
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 108 26.85% 42.24 1.717 41.67% -0.673 -0.3084
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 75.0% 48.63 5.882 50.0% 0.381 0.8226
Rituals of Terror 3 7 100.0% 36.57 0.132 14.29% -0.439 0.1958
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 -3.438 1.14% -2.376 -1.7356
Second Wave 0 40 65.0% 35.08 -2.143 32.5% -0.811 -0.3866
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.024 22.22% -0.616 0.4249

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2060 83.06% 36.97 0.489 40.49% 0.038 0.3653
1 Thematic 309 88.67% 30.61 -1.069 12.94% -0.203 0.271
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 468 86.75% 34.83 -1.243 33.97% -0.438 -0.2415
2 Coastline 47 78.72% 40.96 1.564 53.19% 0.083 0.2343
2 Fragment 5 100.0% 42.6 3.582 60.0% 0.604 1.0086
2 Heart 2 50.0% 43.0 3.289 50.0% -0.03 0.2819
2 Opposite Shores 79 87.34% 39.06 0.994 44.3% 0.067 0.2905
2 Thematic 22 81.82% 31.32 -3.926 9.09% -1.267 -1.2385
2 Top to Top 42 97.62% 35.45 -0.729 35.71% -0.321 -0.1805
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 -0.948 33.33% 0.091 0.0442
3 Other 11 72.73% 53.27 6.869 81.82% 0.912 1.3501
3 Round (Default) 137 77.37% 41.36 1.795 50.36% 0.274 0.3323
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 -5.809 0.0% -0.467 -0.6643
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 25.5 -4.975 0.0% -0.216 -0.5771
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 7.562 80.0% 0.459 0.5898
4 Thematic 32 62.5% 50.38 2.7 56.25% 0.85 -0.2101
4 Trapezoid (Default) 72 73.61% 38.03 -0.751 40.28% -0.454 -0.4161
5 Other 4 75.0% 50.0 1.231 75.0% 0.037 -0.162

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 234 35.24 -1.362 33.33% -1.136 0.935
Aid From Lesser Spirits 163 38.58 0.253 42.33% -0.812 1.1097
All Things Weaken 216 33.72 -2.218 31.48% -1.31 0.8439
Back Against the Wall 167 34.83 -1.621 31.74% -1.215 0.8812
Disintegrating Ecosystem 195 34.64 -1.678 36.41% -1.004 1.2216
Downward Spiral 212 30.71 -3.379 25.47% -1.46 0.5585
Erosion of Will 217 32.88 -2.415 28.11% -1.369 0.841
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 42 45.24 2.802 57.14% -0.368 0.3258
Memory Fades to Dust 204 32.4 -2.796 27.94% -1.447 0.7679
Power Corrodes the Spirit 222 32.47 -2.592 28.83% -1.332 0.6854
Promising Farmlands 165 32.68 -2.495 29.7% -1.3 0.9129
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 38 45.34 3.406 57.89% -0.066 0.3647
Thriving Communities 229 32.35 -2.959 30.57% -1.35 0.7454
Unnatural Proliferation 226 33.96 -1.974 30.97% -1.255 0.8317
Untended Land Crumbles 230 30.53 -4.007 23.91% -1.754 0.3417

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 519 84.78% 35.78 -0.774 35.84% 0.062 -1.0396
B 558 83.33% 37.85 0.285 42.83% 0.342 -0.8543
C 661 83.06% 39.43 1.388 46.6% 0.592 -0.8366
D 506 82.02% 36.38 -0.454 38.54% 0.129 -1.0615
E 534 81.46% 36.2 -0.343 38.01% 0.186 -1.1131
F 499 84.57% 36.63 -0.24 39.88% 0.263 -0.9913
G 406 80.05% 38.11 0.689 41.87% 0.429 -0.8137
H 453 81.46% 38.57 0.494 43.05% 0.294 -0.9629
East 52 65.38% 46.96 2.595 46.15% 0.199 -0.7609
Northeast 46 86.96% 40.3 0.448 32.61% 0.077 -0.8243
Northwest 74 90.54% 31.35 -1.791 12.16% -0.717 -1.6916
Southeast 47 72.34% 45.72 3.286 46.81% 0.719 -0.2854
Southwest 199 85.43% 28.25 -2.606 9.55% -0.379 -0.9787
West 66 74.24% 44.62 2.44 39.39% 0.421 -0.2784

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 -2.897 21.43% -0.149 0.0712
Skip Initial Invader Actions 27 44.44% 59.7 6.56 81.48% 1.022 0.3173
Start of Game Growth 60 46.67% 53.37 4.727 70.0% 0.313 -0.1386
Unlimited Undo 280 75.36% 42.38 2.078 52.5% 0.331 -0.0864
Using Tokens but Not Events 134 79.1% 40.24 0.885 48.51% 0.122 0.0708

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 953 22.33 0.52%
II 1380 30.75 26.38%
III 722 34.25 87.4%
IV 247 37.47 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.106 Win Model: -0.299
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2377 83.8% 36.19 37.02%
2 662 86.71% 35.66 35.8%
3 153 76.47% 41.89 51.63%
4 110 70.0% 42.14 46.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 626
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 360
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 245
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 970
Win: Sacrifice victory 6
Lose: Scenario condition 61
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 948
Lose: Spirit destroyed 56

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 890 73.57% 43.98 1.943 46.29% 0.545 0.6811
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 470 90.21% 33.33 -3.236 21.7% -0.6 -0.3683
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 445 91.69% 31.94 -3.644 20.45% -0.59 -0.6761
Eyes Watch From the Trees 713 84.13% 39.06 -0.062 33.94% 0.116 -0.2541
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 677 88.77% 35.12 -1.887 26.44% -0.168 -0.4239
Fractured Days Split the Sky 512 79.1% 46.24 2.795 43.36% 0.282 0.6431
Heart of the Wildfire 1733 88.91% 35.26 -2.748 29.95% -0.293 0.056
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1743 75.39% 41.75 0.531 42.05% 0.205 -0.0966
Lightning's Swift Strike 1017 92.91% 30.94 -4.329 18.88% -0.729 -0.4672
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1173 89.75% 35.79 -1.958 28.56% -0.185 -0.4747
Many Minds Move as One 565 72.34% 52.45 6.376 65.31% 1.358 0.8307
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 725 85.06% 35.97 -2.091 28.69% -0.258 -0.4538
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 713 88.9% 37.33 -0.92 32.12% 0.048 0.0922
River Surges in Sunlight 1306 88.57% 43.09 2.06 39.59% 0.459 0.6117
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 970 78.56% 46.1 2.279 50.62% 0.5 0.6442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 532 74.81% 36.59 -1.94 24.62% -0.37 0.0721
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 558 85.13% 36.5 -1.984 28.14% -0.341 -0.4136
Shroud of Silent Mist 98 88.78% 31.28 -4.481 19.39% -0.876 -0.8991
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5279 56.6% 47.57 4.01 62.04% 1.045 1.0239
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 515 87.94% 35.93 -1.646 27.57% -0.106 0.103
Thunderspeaker 526 88.4% 34.81 -2.384 22.43% -0.422 -0.3681
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3017 94.33% 35.78 -2.158 32.78% -0.016 -0.0022
Vital Strength of the Earth 399 86.22% 32.7 -3.47 20.8% -0.684 0.184
Volcano Looming High 754 88.99% 34.82 -2.604 29.18% -0.257 -0.2857

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 193 52.85% 45.63 -0.703 50.26% -0.644 -0.0633
Dahan Insurrection 4 135 72.59% 47.68 3.079 23.7% -0.99 -0.5865
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 67.0 10.803 100.0% 0.184 0.5334
Elemental Invocation 1 25 68.0% 39.52 -1.422 36.0% -0.667 -0.2949
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1105 31.4% 46.85 1.892 44.07% -0.598 -0.2335
Powers Long Forgotten 1 35 68.57% 42.54 -0.503 42.86% -0.633 -0.192
Rituals of Terror 3 15 35.71% 70.4 9.004 66.67% -0.275 0.3596
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 68.75% 42.75 -0.811 25.0% -1.076 -0.4357
Second Wave 0 74 55.41% 44.26 1.097 43.24% -0.296 0.1278
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 47.5 3.085 25.0% -0.663 0.7586
Ward the Shores 2 29 93.1% 32.24 -3.028 10.34% -1.156 -0.1147

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16128 78.81% 40.63 0.468 41.8% -0.207 0.1208
1 Thematic 464 70.04% 42.22 -0.191 34.7% -0.573 -0.0994
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1771 85.09% 39.37 0.194 38.0% 0.089 0.2856
2 Coastline 268 77.24% 38.91 -0.62 35.82% -0.19 -0.0389
2 Fragment 34 94.12% 36.59 -1.299 29.41% -0.557 -0.1532
2 Heart 61 81.97% 39.64 -0.496 37.7% -0.658 -0.3461
2 Opposite Shores 413 84.95% 31.98 -3.716 21.31% -0.943 -0.7194
2 Thematic 79 82.28% 36.27 -2.209 16.46% -0.64 -0.6113
2 Top to Top 61 85.25% 42.03 0.897 44.26% -0.098 0.0416
3 Coastline 1 100.0% 25.0 -5.728 0.0% -0.154 -0.2016
3 Other 38 84.21% 43.29 1.694 50.0% 0.144 0.5828
3 Round (Default) 553 80.83% 38.96 0.11 36.17% 0.404 0.4616
3 Thematic 8 62.5% 45.38 0.311 37.5% 0.12 -0.2414
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 -10.094 0.0% -0.259 -0.1961
4 Other 20 85.0% 51.3 3.879 65.0% 0.607 0.7378
4 Thematic 62 48.39% 51.82 1.34 48.39% 1.079 0.0196
4 Trapezoid (Default) 318 85.71% 37.21 -0.915 31.45% 0.497 0.5353
5 Other 17 47.06% 59.29 4.746 82.35% 0.613 0.4145
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 56.0 6.521 66.67% 0.742 -2.2142

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1245 37.29 -1.975 33.73% -1.081 0.9894
Aid From Lesser Spirits 968 40.65 -0.299 40.08% -0.78 1.1417
All Things Weaken 1278 36.84 -2.131 33.26% -1.082 1.0718
Back Against the Wall 885 40.15 -0.584 39.21% -0.846 1.2508
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1201 34.43 -3.423 31.47% -1.184 1.0421
Downward Spiral 1275 35.95 -2.697 32.47% -1.119 0.9001
Erosion of Will 1143 35.27 -2.985 28.87% -1.321 0.8889
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 356 43.89 0.729 48.03% -0.626 0.0675
Memory Fades to Dust 1327 34.75 -3.257 28.86% -1.272 0.9433
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1217 35.12 -3.07 30.24% -1.262 0.7549
Promising Farmlands 1190 33.92 -3.796 27.65% -1.41 0.8035
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 214 47.0 2.002 55.61% -0.364 0.066
Thriving Communities 1269 35.05 -3.122 30.73% -1.224 0.8722
Unnatural Proliferation 1324 37.9 -1.65 34.06% -1.054 1.0326
Untended Land Crumbles 1218 34.02 -3.562 27.91% -1.35 0.7461

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3236 78.73% 40.57 0.13 40.7% 0.744 -0.3575
B 3254 78.94% 40.25 0.055 40.57% 0.766 -0.4297
C 4339 80.85% 39.35 -0.238 38.86% 0.747 -0.6819
D 2942 83.4% 38.88 -0.475 37.73% 0.73 -0.461
E 3254 81.73% 39.76 -0.175 39.18% 0.745 -0.5535
F 2782 78.53% 40.97 0.378 42.02% 0.831 -0.4234
G 2472 81.63% 38.91 -0.537 37.46% 0.668 -0.5746
H 2406 79.12% 40.97 0.358 41.52% 0.808 -0.4493
East 177 66.67% 45.82 0.346 32.77% 0.272 -0.6882
Northeast 122 65.57% 44.61 0.185 32.79% 0.372 -0.529
Northwest 119 63.87% 44.23 0.461 33.61% 0.613 -0.3614
Southeast 121 61.98% 46.69 1.15 38.84% 0.696 -0.3079
Southwest 107 62.62% 43.46 -0.855 40.19% 0.573 -0.0267
West 139 64.03% 44.38 -0.128 35.97% 0.672 -0.0271

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 1.379 60.0% -0.266 1.7825
Not Using Events or Tokens 82 82.93% 37.8 -0.782 13.41% -0.302 -0.0815
Skip Initial Invader Actions 742 29.09% 65.19 7.588 83.83% 1.123 0.4183
Start of Game Growth 1084 30.56% 62.62 6.857 81.92% 0.719 0.2672
Unlimited Undo 2267 68.23% 50.74 4.281 62.81% 0.768 0.3514
Using Tokens but Not Events 682 77.84% 38.27 -1.014 36.51% -0.174 -0.2248

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7652 22.33 3.75%
II 8323 30.75 46.94%
III 3420 34.25 91.14%
IV 905 37.47 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.381 Win Model: -1.337
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16672 78.53% 40.75 41.76%
2 2631 84.52% 37.69 33.64%
3 592 81.25% 39.25 36.82%
4 405 78.11% 40.49 36.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 280
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3074
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3825
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 888
Lose: Invader deck ran out 134
Lose: Adversary condition 6114
Win: Sacrifice victory 112
Lose: Scenario condition 518
Win: Scenario condition 34
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4956
Lose: Spirit destroyed 365

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-01-22 01:48:30 (Pacific Time)