The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 609 28.29% 29.28 -0.04 87.03% -0.083 0.0631
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 462 44.37% 28.31 -0.273 78.57% -0.446 -0.2096
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 531 31.07% 30.42 0.394 88.7% 0.226 0.1401
Eyes Watch From the Trees 621 17.5% 34.94 2.268 93.24% 0.444 0.0791
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 530 25.52% 32.73 1.399 92.64% 0.641 0.3963
Fractured Days Split the Sky 191 40.31% 29.3 0.215 75.39% -0.799 -0.4535
Heart of the Wildfire 692 61.39% 25.41 -1.252 76.16% -0.24 0.1108
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 897 28.49% 30.5 0.407 89.74% 0.221 -0.0784
Lightning's Swift Strike 741 38.81% 29.86 0.403 84.75% 0.04 0.3084
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 426 30.99% 30.64 0.694 91.55% 0.45 0.1308
Many Minds Move as One 448 21.3% 33.01 1.647 94.64% 0.798 0.2771
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 571 43.94% 28.42 -0.246 81.26% -0.213 -0.407
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 521 33.65% 29.79 0.097 90.02% 0.421 0.47
River Surges in Sunlight 696 42.82% 30.25 0.573 79.6% -0.29 -0.1276
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 462 32.68% 29.07 -0.059 87.01% -0.013 0.1366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 502 49.4% 28.24 -0.269 77.89% -0.37 0.0799
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 496 30.57% 30.87 0.574 87.1% -0.025 -0.0922
Shroud of Silent Mist 21 42.86% 31.0 0.625 90.48% 0.251 0.2073
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1228 27.21% 27.66 -0.944 89.9% 0.083 0.0639
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 441 43.86% 28.17 -0.763 76.64% -0.501 -0.2849
Thunderspeaker 535 39.14% 29.61 0.042 82.06% -0.095 -0.0369
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 832 64.02% 24.27 -1.776 77.4% -0.092 -0.0725
Vital Strength of the Earth 551 37.89% 25.49 -1.844 72.6% -0.996 -0.1258
Volcano Looming High 189 38.62% 28.2 -0.312 88.36% 0.259 0.1968

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 105 34.62% 26.78 -1.562 80.0% -0.474 0.1033
Dahan Insurrection 4 194 23.71% 48.23 8.374 73.2% -1.415 -1.0147
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 41.0 5.127 100.0% 0.027 0.4563
Elemental Invocation 1 21 47.62% 29.33 0.139 80.95% -0.269 0.1125
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 403 9.68% 32.01 0.454 78.66% -1.691 -1.3256
Powers Long Forgotten 1 89 54.02% 30.24 0.624 70.79% -0.59 -0.148
Rituals of Terror 3 95 53.68% 36.36 3.411 63.16% -1.142 -0.5138
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 88 72.73% 36.4 3.923 65.91% -0.489 0.1604
Second Wave 0 166 45.18% 29.96 0.67 78.92% -0.402 0.0147
The Great River 3 37 67.57% 28.97 0.426 45.95% -1.717 -0.2456
Ward the Shores 2 131 41.98% 33.86 1.848 67.18% -1.129 -0.0924

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6196 38.14% 28.53 -0.381 83.7% -0.534 -0.1757
1 Thematic 715 45.31% 33.91 1.34 73.71% -0.654 -0.15
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1160 39.15% 28.46 -0.126 87.93% -0.043 0.153
2 Coastline 129 34.11% 29.71 0.471 90.7% 0.355 0.4972
2 Fragment 32 62.5% 26.0 -0.83 84.38% 0.032 0.4548
2 Heart 18 33.33% 30.5 0.61 100.0% 0.693 0.986
2 Opposite Shores 171 28.24% 29.52 0.082 89.47% -0.118 0.1065
2 Thematic 148 41.89% 34.53 1.033 79.73% -0.145 -0.1005
2 Top to Top 20 30.0% 28.85 -0.315 85.0% -0.272 -0.1371
3 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.5 4.51 100.0% 0.278 0.245
3 Other 31 35.48% 28.23 -0.221 87.1% -0.281 0.1348
3 Round (Default) 468 29.49% 28.9 -0.011 90.38% 0.133 0.1723
3 Thematic 35 42.86% 31.71 -1.251 71.43% -0.693 -1.0496
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 6.342 100.0% 0.066 0.2239
4 Other 18 16.67% 30.5 0.375 100.0% 0.558 0.6713
4 Thematic 52 21.15% 40.5 1.38 92.31% 0.85 -0.2363
4 Trapezoid (Default) 265 36.6% 27.33 -0.737 80.0% -0.495 -0.5123
5 Other 6 0.0% 32.5 1.177 100.0% 0.182 -0.0367
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 36.0 1.773 100.0% 0.111 -2.7169

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 256 22.48 -3.85 65.23% -2.479 -0.4087
Aid From Lesser Spirits 190 23.04 -3.702 62.11% -2.604 -0.6861
All Things Weaken 287 21.64 -4.346 59.93% -2.775 -0.6208
Back Against the Wall 214 24.93 -2.844 67.76% -2.304 -0.2082
Disintegrating Ecosystem 238 20.23 -5.131 60.5% -2.655 -0.431
Downward Spiral 336 21.52 -4.291 64.58% -2.33 -0.3129
Erosion of Will 260 22.31 -4.051 60.77% -2.593 -0.3837
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 152 26.75 -1.765 84.21% -1.318 -0.6132
Memory Fades to Dust 293 21.97 -4.156 64.16% -2.295 -0.0803
Power Corrodes the Spirit 289 22.15 -4.058 65.74% -2.453 -0.4333
Promising Farmlands 222 22.18 -4.131 65.77% -2.456 -0.2439
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 78 27.97 -1.142 91.03% -0.776 -0.3408
Thriving Communities 284 21.62 -4.339 64.44% -2.44 -0.3423
Unnatural Proliferation 243 21.87 -4.274 56.38% -2.81 -0.7327
Untended Land Crumbles 250 21.26 -4.435 62.8% -2.598 -0.4994

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1608 38.82% 28.11 -0.337 85.14% 0.339 -0.7502
B 1512 37.92% 28.12 -0.364 84.92% 0.263 -0.922
C 1674 34.38% 28.85 -0.032 86.14% 0.333 -1.0823
D 1558 36.83% 28.65 -0.056 85.37% 0.341 -0.8357
E 1507 36.9% 28.56 -0.149 85.93% 0.333 -0.9436
F 1466 36.3% 28.66 -0.14 85.4% 0.264 -0.9787
G 1320 37.03% 28.26 -0.275 85.15% 0.332 -0.8981
H 1324 35.33% 28.99 -0.077 85.88% 0.317 -0.9227
East 247 39.27% 38.31 2.593 82.19% 0.414 -0.5372
Northeast 246 43.5% 36.46 2.067 80.08% 0.615 -0.2749
Northwest 200 43.5% 33.63 0.22 67.0% -0.554 -1.5192
Southeast 196 37.24% 34.77 1.325 81.12% 0.325 -0.676
Southwest 172 37.21% 30.94 -1.081 79.07% 0.107 -0.5008
West 224 41.07% 35.46 1.187 77.23% 0.078 -0.6077

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 26.91 -2.281 75.76% -1.815 0.2292
Not Using Events or Tokens 239 40.77% 25.57 -1.444 71.55% -0.815 -0.5961
Skip Initial Invader Actions 202 3.65% 41.04 3.514 95.05% 0.246 -0.458
Start of Game Growth 325 10.51% 39.18 2.847 94.46% 0.61 0.1557
Unlimited Undo 553 32.71% 30.75 0.43 89.33% 0.41 -0.002
Using Tokens but Not Events 715 34.88% 27.99 -0.674 82.94% -0.238 -0.286

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 606 22.34 30.03%
II 2042 30.75 67.58%
III 4446 34.26 90.89%
IV 2374 37.47 98.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.068 Win Model: -0.329
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6931 38.86% 29.09 82.7%
2 1683 38.17% 29.21 87.7%
3 520 30.58% 28.99 88.65%
4 334 32.93% 29.66 82.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 182
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3914
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1265
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2320
Lose: Invader deck ran out 65
Lose: Adversary condition 518
Win: Sacrifice victory 35
Lose: Scenario condition 129
Win: Scenario condition 230
Lose: Blight pool ran out 766
Lose: Spirit destroyed 44

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 443 32.28% 34.7 0.44 86.23% 0.047 0.1935
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 273 60.89% 30.8 -0.781 72.16% -0.412 -0.1751
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 355 36.72% 35.44 1.049 87.89% 0.481 0.395
Eyes Watch From the Trees 505 22.16% 38.69 2.215 92.08% 0.609 0.244
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 395 29.37% 36.24 1.275 88.61% 0.331 0.0858
Fractured Days Split the Sky 115 46.09% 34.75 0.731 76.52% -0.331 0.0149
Heart of the Wildfire 459 59.69% 30.73 -0.734 77.78% 0.031 0.3811
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 628 42.72% 33.47 0.157 84.08% 0.106 -0.1934
Lightning's Swift Strike 493 41.78% 33.8 0.304 82.15% 0.036 0.3043
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 295 44.98% 33.42 0.1 83.39% 0.015 -0.3043
Many Minds Move as One 331 29.88% 37.72 1.946 92.45% 0.767 0.2464
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 463 48.36% 33.73 0.26 83.8% 0.25 0.0555
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 378 37.57% 34.18 0.233 86.24% 0.242 0.2909
River Surges in Sunlight 509 46.85% 33.88 0.409 76.03% -0.434 -0.272
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 301 47.18% 32.34 -0.331 79.73% -0.138 0.0112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 374 62.3% 30.46 -0.856 70.05% -0.403 0.0468
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 398 39.55% 35.93 1.104 86.43% 0.227 0.1594
Shroud of Silent Mist 14 64.29% 28.36 -1.627 71.43% -0.35 -0.3938
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 941 35.65% 32.56 -0.405 89.37% 0.347 0.3283
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 310 50.32% 30.94 -1.147 73.87% -0.463 -0.2468
Thunderspeaker 362 42.82% 35.15 0.621 80.11% -0.113 -0.0556
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 721 74.31% 27.09 -2.306 72.12% -0.193 -0.1734
Vital Strength of the Earth 402 44.28% 28.71 -2.204 67.16% -1.038 -0.1678
Volcano Looming High 147 44.44% 32.4 -0.136 87.07% 0.346 0.2839

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 100 48.0% 29.67 -2.06 71.0% -0.64 -0.0633
Dahan Insurrection 4 144 25.69% 55.95 10.546 84.03% -0.501 -0.1
Elemental Invocation 1 14 71.43% 34.36 0.326 78.57% -0.182 0.1992
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 240 14.77% 33.73 -0.648 67.92% -1.975 -1.6092
Powers Long Forgotten 1 83 72.29% 31.3 -0.215 59.04% -0.569 -0.1279
Rituals of Terror 3 88 47.73% 44.88 4.792 72.73% -0.566 0.0618
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 52 63.46% 44.73 5.443 73.08% 0.04 0.6896
Second Wave 0 548 49.36% 32.71 -0.02 72.08% -0.687 -0.2708
The Great River 3 25 52.0% 38.12 2.223 60.0% -1.516 -0.0444
Ward the Shores 2 121 52.89% 37.01 1.738 63.64% -0.836 0.2007

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3941 44.51% 32.75 -0.208 80.16% -0.225 0.1337
1 Thematic 662 51.38% 34.85 0.413 66.31% -0.547 -0.0431
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 900 48.33% 32.36 -0.014 85.67% 0.067 0.2623
2 Coastline 112 42.86% 33.22 0.399 85.71% 0.135 0.2778
2 Fragment 22 72.73% 29.91 -0.765 77.27% 0.076 0.4983
2 Heart 25 56.0% 26.12 -2.647 64.0% -0.604 -0.3114
2 Opposite Shores 163 41.98% 32.87 0.005 87.73% 0.065 0.2899
2 Thematic 141 52.14% 35.87 0.844 74.47% 0.022 0.0671
2 Top to Top 26 50.0% 30.35 -1.313 80.77% -0.102 0.0328
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 44.2 4.575 100.0% 0.635 0.6011
3 Other 24 37.5% 32.17 -0.274 91.67% 0.345 0.7602
3 Round (Default) 399 37.94% 33.08 0.133 88.22% -0.023 0.0164
3 Thematic 39 43.59% 37.15 -0.252 71.79% -0.345 -0.7013
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 44.5 7.275 100.0% 0.576 0.7348
4 Other 12 66.67% 31.58 0.251 83.33% 0.168 0.2814
4 Thematic 44 23.26% 43.75 1.625 86.36% 0.462 -0.6246
4 Trapezoid (Default) 152 38.82% 32.48 -0.644 86.18% -0.337 -0.3538
5 Other 9 22.22% 34.22 0.825 88.89% -0.345 -0.5638

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 211 25.8 -4.288 59.24% -2.506 -0.4359
Aid From Lesser Spirits 178 27.32 -3.496 63.48% -2.305 -0.387
All Things Weaken 215 26.07 -4.287 58.6% -2.472 -0.3178
Back Against the Wall 179 27.03 -3.684 64.25% -2.319 -0.2226
Disintegrating Ecosystem 202 24.24 -5.18 57.92% -2.543 -0.3188
Downward Spiral 261 25.8 -4.187 63.6% -2.151 -0.1344
Erosion of Will 196 25.28 -4.549 62.24% -2.552 -0.3427
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 115 32.62 -1.135 85.22% -1.048 -0.3432
Memory Fades to Dust 207 24.22 -4.946 55.56% -2.563 -0.348
Power Corrodes the Spirit 234 26.92 -3.734 67.95% -2.16 -0.1398
Promising Farmlands 205 24.25 -5.151 56.59% -2.555 -0.3419
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 73 30.11 -2.054 80.82% -1.337 -0.9015
Thriving Communities 251 23.94 -5.263 55.38% -2.636 -0.5383
Unnatural Proliferation 260 26.78 -3.818 61.54% -2.432 -0.3542
Untended Land Crumbles 222 25.65 -4.421 63.06% -2.316 -0.2169

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1136 44.58% 32.94 0.074 84.77% 0.425 -0.6649
B 1108 43.4% 32.88 -0.042 84.12% 0.276 -0.9091
C 1218 42.85% 33.38 0.279 85.22% 0.417 -0.9976
D 1062 42.25% 32.65 -0.168 83.05% 0.161 -1.0156
E 1038 43.39% 32.82 0.026 83.53% 0.247 -1.0298
F 1015 45.34% 32.44 -0.221 82.96% 0.175 -1.0677
G 953 46.27% 31.74 -0.474 80.59% 0.102 -1.1284
H 932 45.38% 32.12 -0.338 82.3% 0.23 -1.0104
East 214 41.71% 40.47 2.361 76.64% 0.156 -0.795
Northeast 225 47.32% 37.86 1.157 70.67% 0.075 -0.8153
Northwest 186 44.75% 37.63 0.924 71.51% -0.083 -1.0475
Southeast 177 45.14% 37.1 1.369 77.4% 0.527 -0.4746
Southwest 184 54.4% 29.84 -2.605 63.04% -0.44 -1.0484
West 219 47.69% 36.72 0.68 69.86% -0.133 -0.8189

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 35.0 -0.776 83.33% -1.045 0.9988
Not Using Events or Tokens 74 54.05% 27.07 -2.526 54.05% -1.04 -0.8208
Skip Initial Invader Actions 163 4.35% 49.6 4.97 95.71% 0.826 0.1218
Start of Game Growth 245 9.5% 45.47 3.27 92.65% 0.012 -0.4426
Unlimited Undo 492 39.14% 33.92 0.204 84.15% 0.043 -0.3694
Using Tokens but Not Events 485 34.95% 34.61 0.529 86.6% 0.268 0.2208

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 550 22.34 27.45%
II 2614 30.75 73.49%
III 2493 34.26 91.38%
IV 1021 37.47 99.22%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.017 Win Model: -0.041
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4626 45.52% 33.06 78.21%
2 1383 47.79% 32.64 84.24%
3 456 39.12% 33.55 87.06%
4 213 36.32% 34.79 85.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 151
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2202
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1779
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1010
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 522
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 87
Win: Scenario condition 198
Lose: Blight pool ran out 631
Lose: Spirit destroyed 34

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 532 40.41% 40.53 1.203 81.02% 0.175 0.3217
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 356 78.87% 31.44 -2.492 52.25% -0.616 -0.3791
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 520 49.42% 40.09 1.284 80.0% 0.389 0.3031
Eyes Watch From the Trees 595 39.12% 43.06 2.631 85.21% 0.626 0.2612
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 477 53.78% 39.85 1.101 77.78% 0.293 0.0483
Fractured Days Split the Sky 145 58.62% 39.19 1.143 68.97% -0.172 0.1732
Heart of the Wildfire 729 74.49% 33.29 -1.778 62.96% -0.191 0.1594
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 881 51.49% 38.92 0.578 75.71% 0.098 -0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike 607 64.4% 37.37 0.166 70.35% 0.108 0.3766
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 397 62.88% 36.69 -0.165 70.28% -0.013 -0.3326
Many Minds Move as One 386 43.26% 42.12 2.258 84.97% 0.639 0.1188
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 633 60.22% 37.76 0.28 71.88% 0.129 -0.0658
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 471 54.91% 38.64 0.703 78.13% 0.411 0.4602
River Surges in Sunlight 733 55.98% 39.53 1.023 70.26% -0.178 -0.0162
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 425 60.24% 37.04 -0.209 72.0% 0.053 0.2027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 329 75.08% 33.6 -1.75 57.14% -0.475 -0.0252
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 484 48.44% 39.81 0.965 76.45% 0.056 -0.0114
Shroud of Silent Mist 35 80.0% 31.09 -2.84 54.29% -0.567 -0.6106
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1342 45.08% 38.4 0.617 83.01% 0.583 0.5638
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 334 66.77% 34.46 -1.376 61.08% -0.374 -0.1573
Thunderspeaker 400 56.14% 38.94 0.283 70.75% -0.133 -0.0757
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 954 85.37% 30.6 -2.736 59.64% -0.202 -0.1821
Vital Strength of the Earth 347 62.14% 33.66 -1.797 59.37% -0.534 0.3366
Volcano Looming High 209 69.71% 33.87 -1.224 66.03% -0.073 -0.1355

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 141 46.1% 35.42 -1.667 66.67% -0.608 -0.0314
Dahan Insurrection 4 91 39.56% 62.67 12.029 83.52% 0.43 0.8305
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 57.0 9.695 100.0% 0.096 0.5251
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 34.28 -0.217 61.11% -0.172 0.2095
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 447 13.36% 44.18 2.626 79.42% -0.603 -0.2371
Powers Long Forgotten 1 61 70.49% 39.97 0.602 59.02% -0.433 0.0083
Rituals of Terror 3 35 71.43% 46.0 4.935 65.71% -0.059 0.5686
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 68.0% 47.08 5.401 64.0% -0.049 0.6008
Second Wave 0 363 57.18% 37.03 -0.379 63.09% -0.674 -0.2574
The Great River 3 15 26.67% 30.33 -3.674 20.0% -2.61 -1.1385
Ward the Shores 2 80 61.25% 39.69 0.628 53.75% -0.968 0.0687

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5259 59.2% 36.51 -0.045 70.72% 0.066 0.4244
1 Thematic 517 54.37% 40.85 0.608 64.6% -0.208 0.2955
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1209 60.27% 35.43 -0.88 68.65% -0.526 -0.3304
2 Coastline 137 51.09% 37.6 0.237 74.45% -0.17 -0.0274
2 Fragment 27 76.92% 35.44 -0.228 70.37% -0.064 0.358
2 Heart 19 61.11% 39.21 1.049 84.21% 0.362 0.6545
2 Opposite Shores 216 60.65% 38.28 0.762 79.63% 0.228 0.4525
2 Thematic 149 72.48% 36.97 -0.803 56.38% -0.388 -0.3435
2 Top to Top 37 37.14% 38.81 0.093 78.38% -0.348 -0.2135
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 43.89 3.538 88.89% 0.521 0.4876
3 Other 42 54.76% 38.38 0.214 78.57% -0.435 -0.0195
3 Round (Default) 480 59.0% 37.75 0.258 76.46% -0.36 -0.3208
3 Thematic 20 90.0% 42.5 1.868 70.0% 0.569 0.2123
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 48.0 4.944 100.0% 0.17 0.3281
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 40.0 2.196 100.0% 0.086 0.1132
4 Other 29 44.83% 42.38 2.168 86.21% 0.105 0.2182
4 Thematic 77 40.26% 47.32 1.927 83.12% 0.303 -0.7831
4 Trapezoid (Default) 226 52.21% 40.07 0.794 81.86% -0.449 -0.4658
5 Other 8 37.5% 45.63 3.216 100.0% 0.517 0.2982
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 51.0 1.696 100.0% 0.048 -2.7794

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 381 30.96 -3.87 53.54% -2.088 -0.0182
Aid From Lesser Spirits 288 34.86 -1.952 64.58% -1.634 0.2842
All Things Weaken 411 31.6 -3.599 57.18% -1.968 0.1866
Back Against the Wall 287 31.28 -3.68 54.7% -2.071 0.0255
Disintegrating Ecosystem 316 28.81 -4.987 54.11% -2.075 0.149
Downward Spiral 403 30.49 -4.098 56.58% -1.962 0.0546
Erosion of Will 353 30.08 -4.273 52.41% -2.105 0.1049
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 160 38.38 -0.318 78.13% -0.921 -0.2163
Memory Fades to Dust 389 30.2 -4.384 55.01% -2.064 0.1512
Power Corrodes the Spirit 369 30.28 -4.208 56.37% -2.002 0.0177
Promising Farmlands 314 28.66 -5.066 52.55% -2.195 0.0178
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 116 38.12 -0.571 76.72% -1.073 -0.637
Thriving Communities 348 28.05 -5.345 50.29% -2.275 -0.1775
Unnatural Proliferation 410 30.93 -3.806 54.88% -2.08 -0.0028
Untended Land Crumbles 407 29.47 -4.586 52.33% -2.139 -0.0406

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1503 58.77% 36.74 -0.127 71.99% 0.248 -0.842
B 1480 58.74% 36.93 -0.027 72.7% 0.317 -0.8685
C 1688 60.27% 36.98 0.13 73.7% 0.392 -1.0229
D 1395 58.95% 36.24 -0.411 71.25% 0.208 -0.9691
E 1481 57.49% 37.49 0.333 74.14% 0.386 -0.8906
F 1362 57.95% 36.93 -0.023 72.47% 0.295 -0.9483
G 1173 58.47% 36.67 -0.187 71.44% 0.239 -0.9915
H 1165 55.21% 37.85 0.31 74.94% 0.349 -0.8913
East 236 57.2% 43.83 2.01 71.61% 0.409 -0.5415
Northeast 198 60.61% 40.56 0.318 62.12% -0.241 -1.1312
Northwest 198 57.36% 40.82 0.241 64.14% -0.091 -1.0562
Southeast 149 54.05% 43.77 1.738 73.83% 0.452 -0.5499
Southwest 132 50.76% 38.1 -1.951 65.91% -0.432 -1.0405
West 238 55.88% 42.93 1.19 68.91% 0.084 -0.6016

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 38.06 -1.764 69.7% -1.409 0.6355
Not Using Events or Tokens 35 66.67% 32.06 -2.187 60.0% -0.459 -0.2405
Skip Initial Invader Actions 192 17.02% 53.81 5.393 93.23% 1.224 0.5196
Start of Game Growth 263 20.85% 51.02 4.065 89.73% 0.187 -0.2677
Unlimited Undo 614 50.77% 39.67 1.012 79.15% 0.373 -0.0388
Using Tokens but Not Events 608 55.81% 37.02 -0.22 73.03% 0.015 -0.0329

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1267 22.34 14.29%
II 4032 30.75 69.07%
III 2237 34.26 94.77%
IV 928 37.47 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.134 Win Model: 0.032
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5800 58.71% 36.89 70.17%
2 1794 60.54% 36.27 70.07%
3 547 58.9% 38.0 76.42%
4 323 48.92% 42.03 82.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 180
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2086
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2673
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 915
Lose: Invader deck ran out 32
Lose: Adversary condition 1186
Win: Sacrifice victory 39
Lose: Scenario condition 93
Win: Scenario condition 119
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1064
Lose: Spirit destroyed 77

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 607 51.32% 39.01 0.791 67.38% 0.04 0.1858
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 365 79.95% 31.89 -2.222 45.75% -0.489 -0.2524
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 543 61.44% 39.22 0.944 70.35% 0.374 0.2883
Eyes Watch From the Trees 752 46.86% 43.1 2.672 77.26% 0.521 0.1554
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 550 56.83% 39.9 0.979 67.82% 0.158 -0.0867
Fractured Days Split the Sky 179 60.34% 39.98 1.326 62.57% -0.147 0.1984
Heart of the Wildfire 714 79.86% 32.54 -2.004 53.22% -0.164 0.1865
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1281 58.54% 37.79 0.105 64.64% -0.061 -0.3604
Lightning's Swift Strike 678 69.17% 36.73 -0.189 60.91% 0.022 0.2905
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 546 71.56% 36.04 -0.613 60.99% -0.036 -0.3553
Many Minds Move as One 402 49.13% 43.29 2.874 79.35% 0.724 0.2034
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 797 59.25% 39.15 0.571 67.13% 0.111 -0.0833
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 534 62.26% 38.12 0.419 67.42% 0.197 0.2454
River Surges in Sunlight 949 63.21% 40.87 1.879 67.86% 0.277 0.439
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 536 63.6% 37.48 -0.294 64.55% -0.003 0.1472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 305 78.69% 30.83 -2.997 41.31% -0.701 -0.2512
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 640 52.82% 40.13 1.251 69.38% 0.164 0.0966
Shroud of Silent Mist 16 81.25% 30.81 -2.901 43.75% -0.51 -0.5537
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1814 53.31% 37.83 0.312 72.05% 0.322 0.3029
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 404 70.15% 34.78 -1.131 54.21% -0.262 -0.046
Thunderspeaker 449 67.63% 39.23 0.672 64.37% 0.184 0.2419
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1192 86.87% 29.9 -3.363 48.57% -0.349 -0.3292
Vital Strength of the Earth 342 71.35% 29.92 -3.575 38.89% -1.001 -0.1309
Volcano Looming High 339 73.16% 35.54 -0.468 63.13% 0.148 0.0857

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 98 46.94% 37.16 -1.58 61.22% -0.719 -0.1426
Dahan Insurrection 4 84 52.38% 55.02 8.521 63.1% -0.202 0.1982
Despicable Theft 2 1 100.0% 54.0 9.512 100.0% 0.35 0.779
Elemental Invocation 1 19 84.21% 30.21 -3.35 36.84% -0.807 -0.4263
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 432 14.79% 44.57 2.487 71.06% -0.683 -0.3174
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 71.43% 39.49 0.882 55.1% -0.239 0.2024
Rituals of Terror 3 37 75.68% 41.38 2.141 40.54% -0.675 -0.047
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 18 88.89% 42.83 3.54 44.44% -0.149 0.5008
Second Wave 0 189 56.91% 37.3 -0.284 56.08% -0.669 -0.2526
The Great River 3 9 44.44% 28.44 -4.485 11.11% -2.056 -0.5848
Ward the Shores 2 25 48.0% 40.6 1.362 52.0% -0.81 0.2267

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6555 64.08% 36.97 0.042 64.23% -0.19 0.1685
1 Thematic 510 60.78% 41.02 0.766 58.24% -0.216 0.2876
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1438 66.09% 36.12 -0.294 62.31% -0.269 -0.0736
2 Coastline 141 69.5% 38.77 1.288 72.34% 0.374 0.5167
2 Fragment 31 68.97% 32.42 -1.901 48.39% -0.561 -0.1389
2 Heart 27 75.0% 36.67 0.08 66.67% -0.102 0.1907
2 Opposite Shores 265 67.92% 35.21 -0.742 60.0% -0.348 -0.1232
2 Thematic 133 75.57% 33.37 -1.769 39.1% -0.227 -0.1825
2 Top to Top 49 53.06% 40.1 1.141 73.47% 0.047 0.1813
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.2 2.26 80.0% 0.36 0.3267
3 Other 37 59.46% 43.0 2.454 86.49% 0.393 0.8089
3 Round (Default) 615 65.58% 36.8 -0.133 63.41% -0.195 -0.1562
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 46.0 2.968 100.0% 0.177 -0.0465
3 Thematic 30 83.33% 29.1 -4.177 26.67% -0.305 -0.6613
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 26.0 -10.304 0.0% -0.538 -0.5107
4 Other 24 62.5% 42.88 2.399 83.33% 0.331 0.4444
4 Thematic 64 51.56% 45.5 2.149 62.5% 1.103 0.0162
4 Trapezoid (Default) 328 51.38% 39.52 0.068 69.82% -0.301 -0.3177
5 Other 6 33.33% 47.67 4.0 100.0% 0.487 0.269

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 453 31.63 -3.565 49.01% -1.882 0.1884
Aid From Lesser Spirits 383 34.23 -2.42 55.09% -1.675 0.2432
All Things Weaken 524 31.05 -4.01 47.52% -1.977 0.1777
Back Against the Wall 348 33.65 -2.615 53.16% -1.69 0.4064
Disintegrating Ecosystem 469 28.87 -4.982 44.78% -2.024 0.1999
Downward Spiral 576 32.46 -3.187 55.9% -1.57 0.4464
Erosion of Will 502 30.67 -4.176 47.41% -1.962 0.2478
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 209 36.02 -1.736 60.77% -1.467 -0.7622
Memory Fades to Dust 483 30.77 -4.056 49.28% -1.877 0.3383
Power Corrodes the Spirit 536 30.89 -4.037 49.25% -1.883 0.1372
Promising Farmlands 443 30.24 -4.366 46.73% -1.955 0.2577
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 39.56 0.342 73.24% -0.724 -0.2884
Thriving Communities 453 29.17 -4.824 44.15% -2.068 0.0301
Unnatural Proliferation 522 30.84 -4.085 45.79% -2.028 0.05
Untended Land Crumbles 520 30.0 -4.533 45.0% -2.054 0.0443

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1793 62.75% 37.33 0.103 65.31% 0.491 -0.5981
B 1798 61.43% 37.36 0.123 65.18% 0.477 -0.7079
C 2086 65.02% 36.55 -0.181 63.37% 0.439 -0.9759
D 1756 64.72% 36.85 -0.164 64.12% 0.45 -0.7272
E 1841 64.67% 37.32 0.155 65.18% 0.518 -0.7588
F 1677 63.05% 37.32 0.123 65.24% 0.497 -0.7459
G 1489 63.59% 36.7 -0.404 63.33% 0.346 -0.8844
H 1464 63.06% 37.52 0.155 65.92% 0.531 -0.7089
East 269 61.94% 42.07 1.631 56.51% 0.213 -0.7382
Northeast 187 68.28% 38.25 -0.383 45.99% -0.2 -1.0904
Northwest 146 66.9% 37.86 -0.735 45.21% -0.245 -1.2096
Southeast 165 61.21% 39.21 -0.265 55.15% -0.03 -1.0316
Southwest 129 64.34% 36.09 -1.645 53.49% 0.083 -0.5257
West 201 61.5% 39.65 0.207 51.24% -0.042 -0.7281

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 41.63 -0.545 75.0% -0.837 1.2068
Not Using Events or Tokens 34 73.53% 30.88 -3.05 47.06% -0.73 -0.511
Skip Initial Invader Actions 294 11.07% 56.23 6.026 96.6% 1.365 0.6606
Start of Game Growth 400 14.47% 54.0 5.208 93.75% 0.879 0.4249
Unlimited Undo 709 61.18% 39.9 0.913 70.1% 0.191 -0.2211
Using Tokens but Not Events 515 57.23% 38.24 0.299 69.51% 0.111 0.0632

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1862 22.34 7.57%
II 4602 30.75 61.54%
III 3069 34.26 91.85%
IV 729 37.47 99.45%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.067 Win Model: -0.482
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7082 63.79% 37.29 63.87%
2 2094 67.1% 36.04 61.37%
3 680 65.63% 36.82 63.09%
4 406 51.61% 40.53 68.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 141
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2777
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2769
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 721
Lose: Invader deck ran out 95
Lose: Adversary condition 2033
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 120
Win: Scenario condition 66
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1405
Lose: Spirit destroyed 92

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 366 72.4% 43.48 2.521 63.11% 0.533 0.6789
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 207 91.79% 34.12 -1.836 37.2% -0.294 -0.0574
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 293 89.76% 33.42 -2.408 37.2% -0.396 -0.482
Eyes Watch From the Trees 428 74.59% 42.73 2.088 57.48% 0.352 -0.0135
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 343 82.22% 39.71 0.519 51.31% 0.113 -0.1315
Fractured Days Split the Sky 133 82.71% 43.38 2.106 51.88% -0.011 0.3351
Heart of the Wildfire 778 87.87% 35.62 -1.763 44.99% -0.209 0.141
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 684 74.08% 38.09 -0.755 48.39% -0.288 -0.5878
Lightning's Swift Strike 280 91.04% 36.19 -1.183 43.21% -0.163 0.1055
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 398 81.91% 39.89 0.393 52.01% 0.099 -0.2208
Many Minds Move as One 243 64.2% 48.42 4.73 73.25% 0.885 0.3648
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 359 84.12% 34.45 -2.0 38.72% -0.332 -0.5268
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 320 84.33% 38.11 0.018 49.69% 0.133 0.1824
River Surges in Sunlight 504 83.03% 38.92 0.273 45.44% -0.118 0.0444
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 312 80.13% 42.54 1.576 60.26% 0.418 0.5673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 189 87.3% 37.72 -0.498 44.97% -0.114 0.3356
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 197 79.7% 39.49 -0.083 50.25% -0.055 -0.1226
Shroud of Silent Mist 30 83.33% 38.87 0.071 53.33% 0.159 0.1147
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1492 62.66% 42.25 2.092 66.55% 0.638 0.6186
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 319 82.76% 34.62 -1.883 37.93% -0.409 -0.1931
Thunderspeaker 281 88.61% 37.61 -0.508 44.84% -0.092 -0.0348
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1052 93.35% 34.76 -2.144 44.3% -0.209 -0.1895
Vital Strength of the Earth 170 85.29% 30.69 -3.988 27.65% -0.964 -0.0934
Volcano Looming High 220 87.73% 36.09 -1.426 46.82% -0.149 -0.2111

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 47 70.21% 38.34 -0.723 46.81% -0.351 0.2255
Dahan Insurrection 4 21 71.43% 61.1 11.187 61.9% 0.399 0.7995
Elemental Invocation 1 10 70.0% 37.9 -0.717 40.0% -0.586 -0.2049
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 217 26.73% 47.36 3.618 61.75% -0.207 0.1587
Powers Long Forgotten 1 21 90.48% 32.38 -3.179 23.81% -0.916 -0.4741
Rituals of Terror 3 13 76.92% 49.08 5.327 46.15% -0.172 0.4561
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 94.12% 40.53 0.899 35.29% -0.596 0.0532
Second Wave 0 119 77.12% 35.73 -1.515 39.5% -0.579 -0.1627
The Great River 3 7 28.57% 28.0 -6.197 0.0% -1.931 -0.4591
Ward the Shores 2 20 85.0% 35.3 -1.076 25.0% -0.86 0.1764

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4225 79.05% 39.21 0.541 53.4% 0.062 0.421
1 Thematic 186 80.65% 38.55 -0.105 40.86% -0.154 0.3495
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1055 82.65% 37.45 -0.36 48.82% -0.192 0.0035
2 Coastline 84 79.76% 37.26 -0.654 45.24% -0.368 -0.2257
2 Fragment 20 90.0% 37.6 -0.325 45.0% -0.306 0.1163
2 Heart 9 88.89% 38.33 0.34 55.56% 0.043 0.3358
2 Opposite Shores 217 83.33% 34.85 -1.82 43.32% -0.535 -0.3105
2 Thematic 56 78.57% 36.57 -1.125 39.29% -0.07 -0.0249
2 Top to Top 32 93.75% 31.81 -2.389 34.38% -0.434 -0.2993
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.5 8.65 100.0% 0.611 0.5778
3 Other 28 78.57% 44.29 2.412 71.43% 0.187 0.6024
3 Round (Default) 378 81.48% 37.91 0.084 50.26% -0.124 -0.0853
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 -8.961 0.0% -0.475 -0.6979
3 Thematic 13 92.31% 38.0 -0.395 38.46% 0.214 -0.1425
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 53.5 8.772 100.0% 0.676 0.7032
4 Other 15 73.33% 47.8 3.358 80.0% 0.385 0.4984
4 Thematic 84 64.29% 46.35 1.081 55.95% 0.441 -0.6449
4 Trapezoid (Default) 148 84.14% 36.93 -1.136 45.27% -0.603 -0.6203
5 Other 2 100.0% 55.5 7.269 100.0% 0.488 0.27
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 9.207 100.0% 0.45 -2.3776

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 394 37.03 -1.595 48.48% -1.2 0.87
Aid From Lesser Spirits 305 38.46 -0.79 49.18% -1.117 0.801
All Things Weaken 424 34.68 -2.83 40.8% -1.509 0.6452
Back Against the Wall 295 39.17 -0.541 50.85% -1.089 1.0074
Disintegrating Ecosystem 402 34.03 -3.166 44.03% -1.381 0.8432
Downward Spiral 372 33.65 -3.385 40.05% -1.569 0.4478
Erosion of Will 389 35.32 -2.498 41.39% -1.491 0.7184
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 133 40.59 -0.01 54.14% -0.978 -0.2732
Memory Fades to Dust 458 35.15 -2.637 44.54% -1.376 0.8389
Power Corrodes the Spirit 409 34.84 -2.744 43.03% -1.408 0.6119
Promising Farmlands 365 32.19 -4.128 36.16% -1.731 0.482
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 88 43.68 1.317 62.5% -0.695 -0.2592
Thriving Communities 382 34.21 -3.037 43.98% -1.365 0.7327
Unnatural Proliferation 416 36.79 -1.756 46.15% -1.3 0.7775
Untended Land Crumbles 412 33.29 -3.489 38.59% -1.601 0.4979

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1130 80.0% 38.66 0.045 51.86% 0.522 -0.5671
B 1272 81.31% 38.66 -0.057 52.44% 0.502 -0.6834
C 1490 80.39% 38.56 0.048 51.61% 0.51 -0.905
D 1087 82.8% 37.83 -0.278 49.68% 0.474 -0.703
E 1090 81.28% 38.19 -0.118 50.28% 0.473 -0.8038
F 1087 80.61% 38.73 0.159 52.35% 0.558 -0.6848
G 926 80.82% 37.41 -0.594 48.49% 0.383 -0.8477
H 887 79.98% 38.15 -0.206 50.73% 0.479 -0.7614
East 145 71.03% 43.12 0.671 48.28% 0.218 -0.7329
Northeast 101 74.26% 43.25 0.718 47.52% 0.136 -0.7536
Northwest 99 72.73% 41.92 0.342 47.47% 0.272 -0.6932
Southeast 93 74.19% 41.04 0.048 48.39% 0.241 -0.7601
Southwest 96 75.0% 39.36 -0.934 45.83% 0.228 -0.3807
West 133 70.68% 43.32 0.421 49.62% 0.162 -0.524

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 40.0 -0.355 60.0% -0.31 1.7337
Not Using Events or Tokens 21 95.24% 38.62 0.622 52.38% 0.295 0.5136
Skip Initial Invader Actions 79 43.59% 56.22 5.514 84.81% 0.929 0.2249
Start of Game Growth 168 53.89% 50.58 3.809 72.62% 0.383 -0.0711
Unlimited Undo 550 73.59% 43.14 1.755 62.55% 0.355 -0.0574
Using Tokens but Not Events 258 77.47% 37.83 -1.004 50.0% -0.278 -0.3257

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1709 22.34 3.28%
II 2741 30.75 49.65%
III 1644 34.26 90.88%
IV 465 37.47 99.57%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.246 Win Model: -0.476
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4422 79.12% 39.21 52.92%
2 1480 82.76% 36.95 47.3%
3 412 81.07% 38.23 50.97%
4 245 77.69% 40.69 50.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 56
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1476
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1333
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 456
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 1625
Win: Sacrifice victory 35
Lose: Scenario condition 78
Win: Scenario condition 18
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1352
Lose: Spirit destroyed 89

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 194 71.13% 42.36 2.485 50.0% 0.541 0.6876
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 89 87.64% 34.37 -1.021 30.34% -0.31 -0.0735
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 156 91.67% 31.23 -2.472 25.0% -0.427 -0.5124
Eyes Watch From the Trees 142 71.83% 43.99 3.535 52.11% 0.526 0.1613
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 113 92.04% 36.53 -0.205 36.28% 0.034 -0.2108
Fractured Days Split the Sky 53 77.36% 46.94 3.714 52.83% 0.374 0.7193
Heart of the Wildfire 293 86.69% 33.21 -2.203 32.08% -0.3 0.0506
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 424 81.84% 32.86 -0.59 24.76% -0.08 -0.3801
Lightning's Swift Strike 135 93.33% 34.47 -1.035 31.11% -0.086 0.1829
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 137 87.59% 37.5 0.131 40.15% 0.139 -0.1807
Many Minds Move as One 100 69.0% 49.31 6.315 67.0% 1.131 0.611
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 199 78.89% 39.07 0.912 41.71% 0.312 0.1175
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 118 81.36% 38.02 0.738 38.98% 0.083 0.1317
River Surges in Sunlight 217 85.71% 38.81 0.941 36.41% 0.011 0.1725
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 169 79.29% 40.39 0.818 44.38% 0.113 0.2626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 144 94.44% 29.66 -2.976 15.97% -0.883 -0.4332
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 84 78.57% 35.17 -1.525 32.14% -0.391 -0.4587
Shroud of Silent Mist 6 100.0% 35.67 -0.249 33.33% -0.038 -0.0818
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 646 67.8% 41.0 2.347 56.35% 0.699 0.68
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 139 85.61% 33.09 -1.751 24.46% -0.423 -0.2065
Thunderspeaker 120 96.67% 34.67 -1.037 30.83% -0.155 -0.0977
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 418 94.98% 34.81 -1.108 37.08% -0.003 0.0164
Vital Strength of the Earth 85 84.71% 32.0 -2.17 23.53% -0.574 0.2965
Volcano Looming High 123 91.06% 30.44 -3.291 25.2% -0.57 -0.6321

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 23 86.96% 33.48 -2.305 30.43% -0.459 0.1174
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 94.87% 35.1 0.498 7.69% -1.089 -0.6887
Elemental Invocation 1 3 66.67% 49.67 3.189 66.67% 0.195 0.5764
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 101 25.74% 41.91 1.603 40.59% -0.717 -0.3511
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 71.43% 51.29 7.088 57.14% 0.489 0.9301
Rituals of Terror 3 7 100.0% 36.57 0.219 14.29% -0.465 0.163
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 -2.981 1.14% -1.952 -1.302
Second Wave 0 36 66.67% 35.42 -1.853 33.33% -0.689 -0.2731
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.322 22.22% -0.57 0.4668

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1922 83.35% 36.49 0.46 39.39% 0.061 0.4194
1 Thematic 300 89.33% 29.83 -1.149 11.0% -0.324 0.1797
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 432 86.81% 34.43 -1.278 32.87% -0.444 -0.2483
2 Coastline 46 78.26% 40.59 1.578 52.17% 0.086 0.2284
2 Fragment 5 100.0% 42.6 3.747 60.0% 0.613 1.0351
2 Heart 2 50.0% 43.0 3.379 50.0% -0.037 0.2558
2 Opposite Shores 76 89.47% 39.66 1.416 46.05% 0.162 0.3863
2 Thematic 22 81.82% 31.32 -3.777 9.09% -1.24 -1.195
2 Top to Top 40 97.5% 35.1 -0.808 35.0% -0.361 -0.2269
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 -0.969 33.33% 0.077 0.0433
3 Other 11 72.73% 53.27 6.991 81.82% 0.934 1.3498
3 Round (Default) 130 76.15% 41.1 1.717 50.0% 0.236 0.2751
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 -5.904 0.0% -0.487 -0.7106
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 25.5 -4.687 0.0% -0.183 -0.5399
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 7.541 80.0% 0.432 0.5452
4 Thematic 31 64.52% 49.68 2.659 54.84% 0.875 -0.211
4 Trapezoid (Default) 62 70.97% 38.79 -0.462 41.94% -0.448 -0.4651
5 Other 4 75.0% 50.0 1.603 75.0% 0.065 -0.1534

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 220 35.0 -1.249 32.73% -1.096 0.974
Aid From Lesser Spirits 152 38.72 0.526 42.76% -0.73 1.1884
All Things Weaken 203 34.22 -1.698 32.51% -1.183 0.9719
Back Against the Wall 158 34.98 -1.342 32.28% -1.126 0.9697
Disintegrating Ecosystem 186 33.76 -1.919 34.41% -1.039 1.1847
Downward Spiral 204 30.51 -3.208 25.0% -1.394 0.6232
Erosion of Will 201 31.97 -2.567 25.87% -1.382 0.8273
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 37 45.46 3.058 56.76% -0.323 0.3816
Memory Fades to Dust 191 32.32 -2.65 27.75% -1.409 0.8063
Power Corrodes the Spirit 205 31.51 -2.804 26.34% -1.375 0.6454
Promising Farmlands 156 32.42 -2.371 28.85% -1.263 0.9495
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 36 44.25 3.01 55.56% -0.113 0.3224
Thriving Communities 214 31.59 -3.113 28.5% -1.384 0.7136
Unnatural Proliferation 209 33.67 -1.942 30.14% -1.26 0.8173
Untended Land Crumbles 222 30.49 -3.792 23.87% -1.692 0.4061

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 492 84.55% 35.48 -0.755 35.16% 0.069 -1.0202
B 524 83.59% 37.65 0.436 42.37% 0.398 -0.7874
C 632 82.75% 39.28 1.536 46.36% 0.633 -0.7814
D 469 81.66% 36.02 -0.498 37.74% 0.125 -1.0519
E 484 81.2% 36.13 -0.206 37.81% 0.225 -1.0522
F 463 84.88% 35.96 -0.417 38.23% 0.228 -1.0152
G 367 79.84% 37.66 0.577 40.87% 0.402 -0.8281
H 422 81.75% 38.48 0.627 42.89% 0.34 -0.9001
East 51 66.67% 46.47 2.713 45.1% 0.33 -0.6207
Northeast 44 88.64% 40.07 0.428 31.82% 0.12 -0.77
Northwest 74 90.54% 31.35 -1.552 12.16% -0.632 -1.5966
Southeast 46 73.91% 45.15 3.361 45.65% 0.92 -0.0817
Southwest 195 86.15% 27.53 -2.636 7.69% -0.703 -1.3111
West 61 75.41% 43.26 1.883 36.07% 0.33 -0.3555

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 -2.808 21.43% -0.169 0.05
Skip Initial Invader Actions 26 46.15% 59.77 6.541 80.77% 0.949 0.2446
Start of Game Growth 57 49.12% 53.44 4.795 70.18% 0.34 -0.1146
Unlimited Undo 265 75.47% 42.5 2.372 52.83% 0.399 -0.0133
Using Tokens but Not Events 133 78.95% 40.07 0.991 48.12% 0.122 0.0741

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 920 22.34 0.54%
II 1281 30.75 25.53%
III 676 34.26 86.69%
IV 218 37.47 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.161 Win Model: -0.278
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2230 84.17% 35.65 35.7%
2 620 86.94% 35.43 35.16%
3 146 75.34% 41.68 51.37%
4 99 68.69% 42.73 47.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 582
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 323
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 217
Lose: Invader deck ran out 20
Lose: Adversary condition 932
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 58
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 895
Lose: Spirit destroyed 54

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 826 74.06% 43.85 1.901 46.37% 0.489 0.6348
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 447 90.38% 33.31 -3.237 21.7% -0.651 -0.4142
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 427 91.57% 32.0 -3.54 20.61% -0.608 -0.6938
Eyes Watch From the Trees 680 84.68% 38.75 -0.158 33.09% 0.046 -0.3191
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 652 89.42% 34.94 -1.899 26.07% -0.21 -0.4552
Fractured Days Split the Sky 462 80.95% 46.07 2.968 43.07% 0.264 0.6093
Heart of the Wildfire 1624 89.27% 34.99 -2.814 29.5% -0.358 -0.0075
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1571 74.79% 41.94 0.643 42.46% 0.174 -0.1253
Lightning's Swift Strike 930 92.78% 30.59 -4.471 17.96% -0.844 -0.5752
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 966 90.04% 36.42 -1.492 30.12% -0.133 -0.4528
Many Minds Move as One 511 73.92% 52.07 6.232 64.38% 1.285 0.7645
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 681 85.71% 35.96 -1.971 28.93% -0.253 -0.4476
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 689 88.95% 37.06 -1.036 31.49% -0.03 0.0187
River Surges in Sunlight 1220 88.42% 43.27 2.214 40.0% 0.436 0.5978
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 882 79.93% 45.67 2.2 50.11% 0.456 0.6052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 521 74.86% 36.39 -2.032 24.18% -0.456 -0.0062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 506 84.78% 36.0 -2.198 26.88% -0.458 -0.5255
Shroud of Silent Mist 6 100.0% 42.33 1.717 50.0% 0.471 0.4267
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4893 56.69% 47.37 3.928 61.6% 0.975 0.9559
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 495 87.85% 35.52 -1.844 26.46% -0.222 -0.0062
Thunderspeaker 506 88.93% 34.69 -2.336 22.33% -0.456 -0.3987
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2903 94.28% 35.7 -2.15 32.59% -0.061 -0.0417
Vital Strength of the Earth 387 86.3% 32.69 -3.379 20.67% -0.713 0.1575
Volcano Looming High 596 89.93% 34.82 -2.359 29.36% -0.228 -0.2902

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 172 49.42% 46.48 -0.702 52.33% -0.67 -0.093
Dahan Insurrection 4 130 72.31% 47.81 3.141 23.85% -0.993 -0.5924
Elemental Invocation 1 14 64.29% 34.64 -3.367 21.43% -1.023 -0.6421
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1041 31.7% 46.44 1.953 43.42% -0.572 -0.2062
Powers Long Forgotten 1 35 68.57% 42.54 -0.425 42.86% -0.617 -0.175
Rituals of Terror 3 15 35.71% 70.4 9.069 66.67% -0.269 0.3592
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 68.75% 42.75 -0.756 25.0% -1.078 -0.4286
Second Wave 0 67 56.72% 44.4 1.108 43.28% -0.305 0.1108
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 30.67 -5.09 0.0% -0.974 0.4974
Ward the Shores 2 27 96.3% 32.56 -2.863 11.11% -1.074 -0.0379

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14962 78.97% 40.4 0.298 41.26% -0.253 0.106
1 Thematic 439 70.16% 42.3 -0.045 34.62% -0.556 -0.0525
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1590 84.84% 40.05 0.489 39.62% 0.07 0.2655
2 Coastline 241 75.1% 39.41 -0.407 36.93% -0.196 -0.0534
2 Fragment 34 94.12% 36.59 -1.241 29.41% -0.557 -0.1344
2 Heart 29 72.41% 56.24 6.684 75.86% 0.602 0.8942
2 Opposite Shores 395 85.53% 31.88 -3.792 21.01% -1.034 -0.8097
2 Thematic 78 82.05% 36.33 -2.002 16.67% -0.714 -0.6693
2 Top to Top 60 85.0% 42.42 1.065 45.0% -0.106 0.0281
3 Coastline 1 100.0% 25.0 -5.867 0.0% -0.175 -0.2085
3 Other 37 83.78% 43.73 1.852 51.35% 0.176 0.5914
3 Round (Default) 520 81.73% 38.52 -0.143 35.19% 0.211 0.2495
3 Thematic 8 62.5% 45.38 0.603 37.5% 0.024 -0.3323
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 -10.073 0.0% -0.295 -0.267
4 Other 20 85.0% 51.3 3.825 65.0% 0.567 0.6798
4 Thematic 45 62.22% 44.51 0.154 35.56% 0.669 -0.4169
4 Trapezoid (Default) 300 85.52% 37.34 -0.887 31.67% 0.322 0.3046
5 Other 17 47.06% 59.29 4.612 82.35% 0.557 0.3381
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 56.0 6.954 66.67% 0.705 -2.1225

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1160 37.15 -1.984 33.28% -1.097 0.9734
Aid From Lesser Spirits 906 40.51 -0.337 39.85% -0.791 1.1271
All Things Weaken 1176 36.7 -2.153 33.08% -1.092 1.0627
Back Against the Wall 814 39.94 -0.647 38.7% -0.863 1.2333
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1092 34.09 -3.553 30.77% -1.223 1.0005
Downward Spiral 1190 35.82 -2.715 32.27% -1.129 0.8878
Erosion of Will 1038 35.45 -2.824 29.29% -1.293 0.9164
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 333 44.16 0.912 48.65% -0.596 0.1087
Memory Fades to Dust 1235 34.45 -3.379 28.02% -1.318 0.8967
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1142 35.22 -2.959 30.65% -1.236 0.784
Promising Farmlands 1103 33.8 -3.8 27.38% -1.419 0.7939
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 199 47.53 2.328 56.78% -0.297 0.1386
Thriving Communities 1161 35.0 -3.093 30.66% -1.224 0.8741
Unnatural Proliferation 1242 37.77 -1.629 33.74% -1.052 1.0254
Untended Land Crumbles 1139 33.9 -3.549 27.66% -1.348 0.7509

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2989 78.51% 40.59 0.143 40.78% 0.606 -0.4831
B 3006 79.26% 40.32 0.166 40.75% 0.657 -0.5282
C 4017 81.14% 39.29 -0.229 38.76% 0.612 -0.8026
D 2741 83.39% 38.89 -0.435 37.72% 0.597 -0.5803
E 2981 81.56% 39.79 -0.155 39.22% 0.604 -0.6731
F 2574 78.31% 41.01 0.424 42.11% 0.696 -0.5469
G 2292 81.85% 38.84 -0.515 37.3% 0.537 -0.6931
H 2224 79.3% 40.67 0.229 40.78% 0.638 -0.6024
East 159 72.33% 43.21 0.062 27.67% 0.092 -0.8584
Northeast 114 68.42% 43.23 0.116 30.7% 0.223 -0.6672
Northwest 108 66.67% 42.83 0.43 31.48% 0.52 -0.445
Southeast 104 67.31% 44.41 1.05 33.65% 0.61 -0.3918
Southwest 88 67.05% 40.99 -0.992 36.36% 0.51 -0.0981
West 120 71.67% 40.56 -0.52 29.17% 0.485 -0.2006

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 1.365 60.0% -0.262 1.7825
Not Using Events or Tokens 79 82.28% 38.44 -0.499 13.92% -0.248 -0.0294
Skip Initial Invader Actions 682 29.75% 65.16 7.668 84.02% 1.152 0.448
Start of Game Growth 1002 31.56% 62.47 6.847 81.64% 0.681 0.2266
Unlimited Undo 2081 68.08% 50.82 4.373 63.14% 0.788 0.3754
Using Tokens but Not Events 635 80.16% 37.32 -1.238 34.33% -0.214 -0.262

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7110 22.34 3.78%
II 7687 30.75 46.53%
III 3173 34.26 91.11%
IV 810 37.47 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.334 Win Model: -1.089
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15478 78.68% 40.53 41.25%
2 2373 84.19% 38.31 35.06%
3 559 82.11% 38.86 35.96%
4 370 80.65% 39.35 34.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2855
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3503
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 795
Lose: Invader deck ran out 121
Lose: Adversary condition 5684
Win: Sacrifice victory 96
Lose: Scenario condition 493
Win: Scenario condition 34
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4629
Lose: Spirit destroyed 308

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-12-23 01:48:01 (Pacific Time)