The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1172 27.44% 30.24 1.526 84.56% 0.41 0.2512
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 838 45.63% 28.64 -1.115 76.97% -0.241 -0.1197
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1010 31.15% 31.1 2.381 88.22% 0.925 0.7567
Downpour Drenches the World 163 30.06% 29.07 -1.081 73.01% -0.238 -0.0587
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 87 21.84% 27.22 1.287 77.01% 0.51 -0.211
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1214 19.5% 34.7 4.042 91.35% 0.921 0.3318
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1016 26.6% 32.49 -0.025 89.86% -0.138 -0.6091
Finder of Paths Unseen 68 41.18% 23.82 -5.542 60.29% -1.221 -0.5271
Fractured Days Split the Sky 442 38.24% 29.33 -1.627 72.85% -0.446 0.2381
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 519 42.77% 30.94 0.996 80.73% 0.288 0.1871
Heart of the Wildfire 1201 60.18% 26.09 -1.79 75.85% -0.254 -0.0101
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1690 28.07% 31.51 2.513 88.34% 0.624 0.1745
Lightning's Swift Strike 709 44.74% 28.18 -0.473 78.28% 0.015 0.218
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 34.55% 32.93 -1.747 83.64% -0.074 -0.7705
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 364 32.69% 32.31 -1.65 90.38% -0.465 -0.7047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 251 37.85% 29.96 1.47 81.67% 0.596 0.4357
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1235 32.55% 30.91 1.564 86.56% 0.539 0.3939
Many Minds Move as One 902 24.0% 32.26 -0.337 88.8% -0.177 -0.3975
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1203 42.99% 29.41 0.665 80.05% 0.231 0.2218
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 926 33.12% 30.26 0.263 87.47% 0.162 0.02
River Surges in Sunlight 910 43.11% 29.75 -3.717 77.25% -0.969 -0.9662
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 391 42.56% 29.52 -1.78 70.33% -0.319 -0.0488
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 66 36.36% 34.97 3.765 77.27% 0.454 0.3249
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 878 32.46% 29.79 1.266 85.54% 0.239 0.0255
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 461 55.31% 27.57 1.188 72.67% 0.407 0.8425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 41.18% 31.21 -0.768 76.47% 0.234 0.2331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 29.17% 31.25 -2.414 75.0% -0.193 -0.2014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 270 33.33% 31.56 6.644 89.63% 1.178 1.1057
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 190 46.84% 28.31 -0.015 75.79% -0.067 -0.009
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 943 31.14% 31.25 -0.326 85.79% -0.288 -0.4169
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 20 40.0% 26.9 1.52 75.0% 0.327 -0.0363
Shifting Memory of Ages 398 48.23% 26.6 -2.044 71.61% -0.477 -0.0698
Shroud of Silent Mist 497 49.3% 28.53 -1.842 78.87% -0.515 -0.2002
Starlight Seeks its Form 445 28.76% 29.57 -3.477 76.4% -0.614 -0.8865
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1865 28.11% 28.26 0.44 87.72% 0.33 -0.1652
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 809 42.82% 28.14 -2.013 76.27% -0.48 -0.4496
Thunderspeaker 967 38.55% 29.85 -0.481 79.73% -0.226 -0.2455
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 42.11% 22.26 0.319 63.16% 0.337 0.2734
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1263 63.39% 24.64 -1.542 76.09% 0.106 0.1674
Vital Strength of the Earth 672 37.01% 25.49 -2.887 70.54% -0.938 -0.3857
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 47 19.15% 28.91 2.071 74.47% 0.296 0.5521
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 233 44.21% 24.73 -1.472 70.39% -0.504 0.393
Volcano Looming High 733 45.02% 27.25 -1.95 78.44% -0.234 -0.2239

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 57.14% 32.71 4.428 85.71% 0.186 0.107
Blitz 0 216 32.09% 27.86 1.151 76.39% -0.332 -0.1852
Dahan Insurrection 4 317 25.24% 47.02 4.325 70.66% -1.007 -1.2136
Despicable Theft 2 100 37.0% 32.93 -5.124 69.0% -1.411 -0.7281
Elemental Invocation 1 133 50.38% 27.37 -5.034 66.17% -0.967 -0.2354
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 716 10.2% 33.63 2.293 78.63% 0.094 -0.5125
Powers Long Forgotten 1 185 50.27% 30.12 -5.981 68.11% -1.229 -0.7408
Rituals of Terror 3 176 57.39% 33.43 -9.567 55.68% -1.979 -1.874
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 135 71.85% 36.03 -5.578 65.93% -0.679 0.3129
Second Wave 0 376 46.81% 31.83 2.964 74.47% 0.015 0.0777
The Great River 3 104 63.46% 26.96 -3.664 39.42% -1.228 0.1201
Varied Terrains 2 42 61.9% 26.55 -5.013 47.62% -1.446 -0.8829
Ward the Shores 2 232 42.24% 33.23 1.096 63.79% -0.436 0.7732

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12507 38.98% 28.89 0.29 80.9% 0.278 0.4877
1 Thematic 1254 43.86% 32.82 -1.207 72.57% -0.455 0.1434
2 Archipelago 13 53.85% 28.85 0.0 46.15%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2466 39.71% 28.86 0.22 84.14% 0.397 0.5572
2 Coastline 264 38.26% 29.87 -3.791 84.47% -0.83 -0.7695
2 Fragment 49 63.27% 26.98 -3.005 77.55% -0.035 -0.0981
2 Heart 28 35.71% 29.61 0.0 100.0%
2 Opposite Shores 329 32.01% 29.33 -0.202 85.71% 0.178 0.3116
2 Thematic 323 42.41% 33.89 1.173 73.37% 0.356 0.9921
2 Top to Top 54 40.74% 30.94 2.229 90.74% 0.503 0.5432
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.0 10.288 80.0% 0.368 -0.7185
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 41.14 16.257 85.71% 0.446 -0.0519
3 Other 53 35.85% 26.91 -9.437 79.25% -1.118 -1.0084
3 Round (Default) 1071 31.59% 30.04 1.36 87.11% 0.536 0.4951
3 Thematic 64 48.44% 29.8 -1.997 62.5% -0.411 -0.3747
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 35.67 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 26 19.23% 31.5 3.785 100.0% 0.599 -0.2509
4 Thematic 86 20.93% 38.69 -2.956 83.72% -0.101 -0.1181
4 Trapezoid (Default) 466 30.9% 28.35 0.182 80.9% 0.37 0.1832
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 21 19.05% 27.95 -1.799 85.71% -0.079 -0.5871
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 -7.396 55.56% -0.225 -0.5554
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.395 0.0% -0.314 -0.9574
6 Other 5 60.0% 27.0 -3.595 80.0% -0.383 -0.7779
6 Star 5 40.0% 35.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 19 26.32% 39.16 -1.114 84.21% 0.076 0.4744
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 18.37% 32.12 -4.024 91.84% -0.243 -0.1992
7 Other 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 473 23.07 -0.324 63.0% 0.004 0.2748
Aid From Lesser Spirits 398 24.15 -2.098 63.57% -0.648 -0.6094
All Things Weaken 552 22.01 -0.861 56.88% -0.5 -0.0391
Attenuated Essence 13 20.77 -1.109 69.23% 0.239 0.445
Back Against the Wall 445 25.03 -0.131 64.49% -0.313 -0.1509
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 6 19.83 -0.566 50.0% -0.148 0.266
Burn Brightest Before the End 6 17.67 -2.126 50.0% -0.221 0.0836
Disintegrating Ecosystem 469 21.58 1.503 59.7% 0.55 1.0761
Downward Spiral 636 22.16 0.068 62.26% 0.029 0.3822
Erosion of Will 533 23.26 -0.53 59.47% -0.366 0.0421
Intensifying Exploitation 11 28.36 2.052 54.55% -0.201 0.1862
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 272 27.68 3.461 82.72% 0.768 0.2424
Memory Fades to Dust 617 23.35 1.372 62.56% -0.015 0.466
Power Corrodes the Spirit 592 22.99 0.402 64.19% 0.211 0.5159
Promising Farmlands 486 22.75 -1.243 61.93% 0.007 0.5928
Shattered Fragments of Power 7 30.86 3.23 85.71% 0.417 0.5953
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 18.25 -2.18 37.5% -0.735 -0.2009
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 183 28.94 1.16 89.62% 0.555 -0.1226
The Border of Life and Death 7 14.71 -4.347 42.86% -0.642 -0.7716
Thriving Communities 575 21.5 -1.803 60.17% -0.309 0.184
Thriving Crops 6 38.5 5.699 83.33% 0.578 0.666
Unnatural Proliferation 546 22.3 0.211 53.3% -0.425 -0.1283
Untended Land Crumbles 548 21.56 -2.889 57.66% -0.867 -0.5091

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3348 38.31% 28.8 -0.477 82.65% -0.157 0.6833
B 3201 37.27% 28.67 -0.986 82.04% -0.244 0.535
C 3420 35.39% 29.38 -0.347 83.6% -0.132 0.5223
D 3219 36.96% 29.15 0.684 82.95% 0.207 1.0058
E 3149 37.05% 29.28 1.27 83.11% 0.139 0.7675
F 3063 36.94% 29.26 -0.5 83.02% -0.215 0.5048
G 2770 38.26% 28.78 -0.159 82.42% -0.25 0.4919
H 2746 36.4% 29.43 0.463 82.56% 0.01 0.6584
East 1043 40.56% 35.17 0.88 76.13% 0.009 0.6134
Northeast 488 39.34% 35.43 -1.159 75.82% -0.595 0.2856
Northwest 383 43.34% 31.95 -2.598 63.71% -0.546 0.1264
Southeast 357 37.54% 34.11 -0.657 77.03% -0.19 0.4458
Southwest 341 37.54% 30.42 -3.386 74.19% -0.649 0.516
West 931 42.96% 32.0 0.973 69.39% -0.082 0.8824

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 28.49 -11.146 80.0% -0.553 0.3301
Not Using Events or Tokens 367 39.31% 27.18 -1.169 74.39% -0.29 0.0419
Skip Initial Invader Actions 426 6.07% 40.77 4.507 92.25% 0.226 -0.3092
Start of Game Growth 690 13.63% 38.66 0.841 90.58% -0.138 -0.4682
Unlimited Undo 1274 31.17% 31.07 -1.108 86.66% -0.299 -0.3206
Using Tokens but Not Events 1557 31.33% 29.34 0.547 80.15% 0.312 0.258

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1555 21.03 23.22%
II 4147 31.04 63.35%
III 8638 34.74 90.1%
IV 4858 38.02 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.15 Win Model: 0.048
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13894 39.54% 29.24 79.9%
2 3457 39.1% 29.52 84.38%
3 1174 32.23% 30.01 85.52%
4 578 29.24% 29.79 81.49%
5 12 16.67% 31.25 91.67%
6 83 24.1% 33.66 89.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 359
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7561
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2442
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4761
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 259
Lose: Invader deck ran out 135
Lose: Adversary condition 1332
Win: Sacrifice victory 83
Lose: Scenario condition 218
Win: Scenario condition 372
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1570
Lose: Spirit destroyed 106

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 863 32.37% 34.28 -1.995 83.2% -0.245 -0.4045
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 536 58.24% 31.32 1.796 70.71% 0.142 0.2636
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 713 30.9% 35.13 0.549 86.12% 0.349 0.1814
Downpour Drenches the World 128 28.13% 29.17 -1.207 66.41% -0.181 -0.0019
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 95 17.89% 29.54 1.713 72.63% 0.48 -0.2413
Eyes Watch From the Trees 981 21.55% 38.84 3.743 90.83% 0.994 0.4048
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 744 30.28% 35.85 2.434 85.89% 0.483 0.0118
Finder of Paths Unseen 57 59.65% 21.02 -7.307 43.86% -1.336 -0.6416
Fractured Days Split the Sky 272 47.06% 33.71 -0.697 72.43% -0.08 0.6049
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 377 45.09% 34.52 0.185 79.84% 0.367 0.2654
Heart of the Wildfire 859 60.77% 30.57 -2.583 75.79% -0.503 -0.2589
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1234 38.97% 33.92 0.102 83.79% 0.077 -0.3724
Lightning's Swift Strike 501 46.4% 33.18 2.3 80.24% 0.381 0.5848
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 29.27% 34.0 0.52 80.49% -0.017 -0.7137
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 253 31.62% 36.64 0.882 84.58% -0.113 -0.3524
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 185 34.59% 36.9 6.945 83.24% 0.596 0.436
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 932 44.0% 33.9 1.4 80.79% 0.457 0.3118
Many Minds Move as One 668 28.57% 36.99 1.277 88.77% -0.122 -0.3434
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 932 45.29% 33.73 0.722 79.83% 0.009 0.0002
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 747 38.74% 33.2 -2.815 79.92% -0.711 -0.8528
River Surges in Sunlight 735 43.19% 34.08 -1.491 73.88% -0.644 -0.641
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 275 52.38% 33.06 2.583 68.73% 0.508 0.7778
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 70 30.0% 37.01 1.558 81.43% 0.216 0.0864
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 575 44.08% 32.41 -0.156 78.78% 0.261 0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 308 64.94% 28.94 -3.37 65.58% -0.285 0.1506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 22 40.91% 30.64 -1.835 63.64% -0.128 -0.1286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 33.33% 27.33 -1.514 53.33% -0.455 -0.4632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 203 46.31% 32.43 -0.272 76.85% 0.033 -0.0389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 137 57.66% 34.45 2.853 79.56% -0.093 -0.0345
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 738 39.48% 35.41 0.271 85.09% 0.239 0.1107
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 15 26.67% 25.07 0.138 60.0% 0.108 -0.2552
Shifting Memory of Ages 336 48.51% 30.18 0.108 70.83% 0.294 0.7015
Shroud of Silent Mist 393 65.05% 28.31 -3.333 67.18% -0.483 -0.1676
Starlight Seeks its Form 591 28.26% 35.81 0.928 84.94% 0.523 0.2499
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1515 33.91% 33.06 2.2 86.67% 0.968 0.4727
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 589 49.91% 30.65 -3.107 70.46% -0.473 -0.4423
Thunderspeaker 711 43.18% 35.29 -0.716 78.76% -0.105 -0.1238
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 15 33.33% 25.07 -0.339 60.0% 0.037 -0.0265
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1033 75.39% 27.11 -2.843 71.15% -0.353 -0.2913
Vital Strength of the Earth 467 45.18% 28.82 -4.501 67.45% -0.845 -0.2926
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 35 20.0% 32.97 0.682 65.71% -0.083 0.1732
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 193 45.6% 27.91 1.328 63.21% 0.398 1.2943
Volcano Looming High 614 45.16% 31.59 -2.419 77.69% -0.426 -0.4163

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 27.27% 24.82 -12.245 54.55% -1.402 -1.4807
Blitz 0 230 40.17% 29.01 -6.023 66.96% -1.026 -0.8791
Dahan Insurrection 4 282 26.24% 55.14 10.749 79.08% 0.416 0.2086
Despicable Theft 2 44 59.09% 36.59 -1.72 65.91% -0.413 0.27
Elemental Invocation 1 100 63.0% 28.96 -8.369 57.0% -1.022 -0.2902
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 445 12.73% 34.45 2.516 67.87% -0.093 -0.6992
Powers Long Forgotten 1 141 65.96% 31.19 -3.108 57.45% -0.62 -0.1321
Rituals of Terror 3 126 51.59% 42.26 -11.931 65.87% -0.764 -0.6584
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 88 70.45% 43.36 -13.64 70.45% -0.792 0.1996
Second Wave 0 973 49.74% 32.87 1.263 70.4% -0.049 0.0139
The Great River 3 65 53.85% 33.15 1.921 46.15% -0.522 0.8259
Varied Terrains 2 23 43.48% 29.0 -3.708 52.17% -0.989 -0.4259
Ward the Shores 2 175 50.29% 35.05 -4.381 59.43% -1.038 0.1715

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8858 42.56% 32.96 0.75 79.0% 0.071 0.2811
1 Thematic 1105 52.34% 34.39 -0.57 65.16% -0.424 0.1748
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 37.56 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1947 47.51% 31.57 -1.164 80.33% -0.01 0.1501
2 Coastline 245 43.85% 32.71 -2.008 81.63% -0.317 -0.2562
2 Fragment 54 61.11% 30.94 4.286 79.63% 0.66 0.5969
2 Heart 40 47.5% 29.9 9.826 75.0% 0.765 0.5275
2 Opposite Shores 351 40.8% 31.75 -2.051 81.2% -0.346 -0.212
2 Thematic 314 55.91% 33.86 0.051 63.69% -0.37 0.2659
2 Top to Top 44 40.91% 31.55 -13.931 81.82% -0.603 -0.5628
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 38.38 -12.4 87.5% -0.338 -0.836
3 Other 43 39.53% 32.49 6.241 88.37% 0.846 0.9561
3 Round (Default) 830 34.54% 34.54 0.116 84.58% -0.059 -0.1006
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 69 44.93% 37.59 2.382 78.26% 0.293 0.3288
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 40.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 18 66.67% 32.33 0.123 83.33% 0.047 -0.8024
4 Thematic 90 30.34% 42.72 8.689 80.0% 0.308 0.2907
4 Trapezoid (Default) 284 36.4% 33.0 1.089 84.51% 0.593 0.4061
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.72 0.0% -0.607 -0.6499
5 Other 31 25.81% 36.77 2.248 83.87% 0.327 -0.1812
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 40.0% 39.2 4.337 80.0% 0.168 -0.2269
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 9.387 100.0% 0.184 0.659
6 Thematic 15 13.33% 43.53 -6.339 93.33% -0.589 -0.1898
6 Two Centers (Default) 19 31.58% 27.63 -11.635 63.16% -1.211 -1.1671

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 428 26.7 -1.524 60.51% -0.502 -0.2309
Aid From Lesser Spirits 364 27.18 -1.174 60.99% -0.16 -0.1211
All Things Weaken 484 25.67 0.669 55.58% -0.043 0.4177
Attenuated Essence 10 22.4 -0.884 50.0% -0.059 0.1463
Back Against the Wall 367 28.09 2.357 64.85% 0.401 0.5628
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 7 17.29 -4.536 28.57% -0.751 -0.3364
Burn Brightest Before the End 4 7.0 -8.753 0.0% -1.111 -0.806
Disintegrating Ecosystem 424 24.62 -0.948 55.66% -0.332 0.1944
Downward Spiral 522 26.15 -1.304 62.07% -0.517 -0.164
Erosion of Will 390 25.78 0.122 59.74% 0.023 0.4318
Intensifying Exploitation 14 14.43 -5.886 21.43% -1.435 -1.0484
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 257 32.21 0.549 80.16% -0.086 -0.6118
Memory Fades to Dust 491 24.87 -2.715 57.43% -0.579 -0.0973
Power Corrodes the Spirit 471 26.66 0.709 62.42% 0.053 0.3572
Promising Farmlands 400 24.14 -1.006 54.75% -0.199 0.3866
Shattered Fragments of Power 13 20.92 -2.164 38.46% -0.506 -0.3271
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 27.67 0.124 55.56% -0.486 0.0482
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 158 31.87 4.175 82.91% 0.769 0.0907
The Border of Life and Death 4 25.75 -0.024 75.0% 0.228 0.0984
Thriving Communities 492 24.51 -4.316 55.28% -1.303 -0.8104
Thriving Crops 7 11.71 -6.572 28.57% -0.778 -0.6902
Unnatural Proliferation 491 26.62 -3.139 58.86% -0.982 -0.6856
Untended Land Crumbles 456 25.25 -0.431 58.11% -0.045 0.3134

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2398 43.59% 32.48 0.546 80.57% -0.019 0.8214
B 2498 41.08% 33.14 0.165 81.02% -0.332 0.4469
C 2672 40.79% 33.16 -0.047 81.85% -0.346 0.3081
D 2363 42.01% 32.83 -0.069 80.03% -0.243 0.5558
E 2320 41.54% 33.14 -1.214 81.21% -0.579 0.0496
F 2255 42.41% 32.5 -1.473 79.78% -0.674 0.0456
G 2024 43.24% 32.32 -1.745 78.36% -0.628 0.114
H 1996 42.57% 32.88 1.895 80.71% 0.224 0.8718
East 956 49.16% 36.71 1.868 68.2% -0.351 0.2529
Northeast 411 48.78% 37.58 -1.702 68.37% -0.719 0.1615
Northwest 369 48.75% 36.3 0.607 68.29% -0.207 0.4658
Southeast 355 46.59% 36.15 -0.764 72.68% -0.45 0.1866
Southwest 342 52.06% 30.84 -1.456 65.5% -0.499 0.6657
West 912 52.0% 34.08 1.101 66.01% -0.361 0.6035

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 52 0.0% 35.25 0.0 86.54%
Not Using Events or Tokens 154 48.98% 29.77 1.574 64.94% -0.034 0.2981
Skip Initial Invader Actions 283 8.21% 46.94 3.581 94.35% 0.662 0.1267
Start of Game Growth 408 11.39% 44.87 2.522 92.65% 0.198 -0.132
Unlimited Undo 1097 38.09% 33.71 -2.423 82.32% -0.548 -0.5701
Using Tokens but Not Events 1174 31.62% 34.85 1.158 80.75% 0.121 0.0669

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1439 21.03 22.1%
II 5422 31.04 72.46%
III 5394 34.74 90.86%
IV 2157 38.02 99.4%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.065 Win Model: 0.239
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10071 43.88% 33.08 77.18%
2 2954 46.69% 32.13 79.86%
3 921 35.69% 34.36 83.82%
4 409 35.14% 35.62 84.11%
5 17 29.41% 34.35 76.47%
6 40 25.0% 34.88 77.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 314
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4768
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3681
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2128
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 230
Lose: Invader deck ran out 83
Lose: Adversary condition 1255
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 159
Win: Scenario condition 327
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1308
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1054 41.03% 40.06 1.595 77.8% 0.274 0.1146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 627 72.68% 31.5 -4.443 53.59% -0.816 -0.6942
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 896 49.55% 39.81 0.874 79.24% 0.245 0.0771
Downpour Drenches the World 154 41.56% 38.27 1.831 72.73% 0.285 0.4643
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 188 38.3% 32.55 2.673 65.43% 0.812 0.0905
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1132 39.82% 42.64 4.134 83.3% 0.852 0.2628
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 898 51.17% 39.08 -1.862 75.39% -0.126 -0.5974
Finder of Paths Unseen 81 65.43% 29.6 -3.329 55.56% -0.335 0.3587
Fractured Days Split the Sky 370 55.41% 37.64 -3.959 60.54% -0.57 0.1145
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 398 66.25% 37.75 1.782 71.61% 0.515 0.414
Heart of the Wildfire 1322 75.57% 32.61 -2.756 59.83% -0.734 -0.4898
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1668 49.0% 38.68 0.225 73.62% 0.085 -0.3652
Lightning's Swift Strike 616 63.24% 37.11 4.283 69.48% 0.839 1.0429
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 66 65.15% 39.86 3.279 77.27% 0.263 -0.4338
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 261 59.39% 39.25 0.957 74.33% -0.005 -0.2442
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 222 58.37% 36.77 -1.471 66.22% 0.046 -0.1134
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1251 60.71% 36.91 -0.305 68.98% 0.211 0.0661
Many Minds Move as One 751 40.19% 42.05 0.287 84.42% 0.272 0.0513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1226 58.46% 37.74 2.352 70.31% 0.668 0.6587
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 860 54.62% 38.0 3.62 73.84% 0.711 0.5697
River Surges in Sunlight 982 54.92% 39.86 0.301 70.06% 0.204 0.2069
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 314 60.83% 35.93 -1.95 60.19% -0.514 -0.2435
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 84 48.81% 42.26 2.882 76.19% 0.547 0.4181
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 913 57.28% 37.09 -1.324 71.3% -0.368 -0.5819
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 286 77.97% 32.76 2.834 55.59% 0.471 0.9066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 26 65.38% 25.35 -6.878 38.46% -0.968 -0.969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 20 55.0% 29.1 -2.858 55.0% -0.126 -0.1343
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 180 72.22% 33.16 -6.04 57.78% -0.978 -1.0505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 114 74.56% 32.98 -2.061 54.39% -0.128 -0.0693
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 863 49.36% 39.48 1.727 75.55% 0.637 0.5089
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 44 36.36% 31.05 1.345 56.82% 0.342 -0.0213
Shifting Memory of Ages 400 71.75% 34.14 0.049 63.0% 0.156 0.5634
Shroud of Silent Mist 451 80.04% 29.06 -4.415 49.89% -0.591 -0.2763
Starlight Seeks its Form 444 52.29% 35.75 -1.129 64.64% -0.011 -0.2834
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2190 42.07% 38.34 1.917 81.46% 0.711 0.2162
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 624 63.5% 35.17 -3.454 64.26% -0.564 -0.5339
Thunderspeaker 756 56.95% 38.26 -2.658 68.12% -0.158 -0.1772
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 16 37.5% 26.56 -1.995 50.0% -0.124 -0.1871
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1404 84.8% 30.43 -1.099 58.76% 0.069 0.1306
Vital Strength of the Earth 461 61.09% 32.6 -6.419 56.83% -0.794 -0.2412
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 47 55.32% 37.34 6.259 61.7% 0.718 0.974
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 193 60.1% 30.66 -8.772 53.89% -1.156 -0.2597
Volcano Looming High 864 66.86% 33.88 -2.531 65.28% -0.345 -0.3354

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 30.77% 38.62 5.639 76.92% 1.056 0.9777
Blitz 0 284 50.0% 34.91 2.278 60.21% -0.296 -0.1491
Dahan Insurrection 4 182 37.91% 60.77 9.448 78.02% -0.005 -0.2115
Despicable Theft 2 37 78.38% 38.97 -1.732 51.35% -0.421 0.2618
Elemental Invocation 1 77 68.83% 31.83 -9.226 51.95% -0.973 -0.2413
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 794 13.99% 43.79 4.665 73.68% 0.655 0.0483
Powers Long Forgotten 1 109 67.89% 37.62 -5.369 56.88% -0.354 0.1344
Rituals of Terror 3 57 70.18% 43.67 -7.582 57.89% -0.571 -0.466
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 72.09% 42.16 -14.279 53.49% -0.483 0.5088
Second Wave 0 611 58.62% 36.18 0.287 59.9% -0.632 -0.5696
The Great River 3 32 25.0% 30.47 -8.944 21.88% -0.665 0.6827
Varied Terrains 2 25 52.0% 17.6 -7.149 8.0% -0.632 -0.0693
Ward the Shores 2 115 66.09% 37.31 -8.913 47.83% -1.654 -0.4446

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10788 57.69% 36.08 0.66 68.85% 0.687 0.8964
1 Thematic 816 57.32% 38.51 -3.343 58.21% -0.665 -0.0664
2 Archipelago 13 76.92% 40.31 16.263 53.85% 0.373 0.7297
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2482 59.81% 35.63 -0.006 69.1% 0.384 0.5438
2 Coastline 298 54.7% 37.15 1.46 72.15% 0.777 0.8381
2 Fragment 60 66.1% 34.13 -1.966 61.67% 0.047 -0.0162
2 Heart 35 64.71% 34.86 -4.717 65.71% -0.204 -0.4421
2 Opposite Shores 500 58.32% 36.81 0.286 71.2% 0.076 0.2092
2 Thematic 312 65.71% 35.38 -2.773 53.21% -0.552 0.0841
2 Top to Top 80 42.31% 39.25 0.415 77.5% 0.498 0.5385
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 30.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 61 54.1% 36.8 -17.871 75.41% -1.215 -1.1053
3 Round (Default) 1047 59.2% 37.11 -1.085 71.92% 0.088 0.0471
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 32.2 -12.025 60.0% -0.274 -0.0781
3 Thematic 46 73.91% 40.39 2.71 67.39% 0.209 0.2454
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 39.8 4.532 60.0% -0.308 -0.5222
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 42 57.14% 40.71 0.0 83.33%
4 Thematic 141 46.1% 46.56 1.256 77.3% -0.467 -0.4843
4 Trapezoid (Default) 488 48.57% 39.91 -2.289 80.12% -0.474 -0.6603
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 23 39.13% 42.83 5.069 86.96% 0.832 0.3241
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -18.269 0.0% -0.734 -1.0387
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 10 70.0% 39.3 3.564 60.0% 0.225 0.7006
6 Thematic 15 35.71% 55.73 5.387 93.33% 0.271 0.6697
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 26.09% 34.39 -0.839 60.87% -0.224 -0.1809

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 766 31.35 1.977 54.05% 0.28 0.5512
Aid From Lesser Spirits 557 34.23 2.478 60.68% 0.474 0.5127
All Things Weaken 798 31.17 1.482 55.76% 0.353 0.814
Attenuated Essence 17 34.65 3.49 70.59% 0.692 0.8981
Back Against the Wall 584 32.55 3.25 57.19% 0.249 0.4107
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 15 33.67 3.12 66.67% 0.537 0.9515
Burn Brightest Before the End 15 30.73 1.94 53.33% 0.134 0.4386
Disintegrating Ecosystem 657 29.45 -1.42 54.95% -0.28 0.2468
Downward Spiral 814 29.84 -0.834 53.56% -0.435 -0.0822
Erosion of Will 698 29.95 -0.425 51.58% -0.188 0.2199
Intensifying Exploitation 19 26.58 -1.466 47.37% -0.41 -0.0228
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 37.93 5.274 76.04% 0.858 0.3325
Memory Fades to Dust 756 30.78 0.979 55.82% -0.1 0.3816
Power Corrodes the Spirit 746 30.83 2.001 55.76% 0.066 0.371
Promising Farmlands 621 28.69 1.032 51.05% 0.112 0.6981
Shattered Fragments of Power 18 28.83 0.816 38.89% -0.327 -0.1481
Slow Dissolution of Will 13 29.0 -0.229 46.15% -0.43 0.1039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 216 39.02 9.026 78.24% 1.109 0.4314
The Border of Life and Death 7 25.0 -0.851 42.86% 0.036 -0.0932
Thriving Communities 743 28.14 -1.062 48.05% -0.44 0.0526
Thriving Crops 7 27.43 -0.034 57.14% 0.106 0.1942
Unnatural Proliferation 815 31.72 2.872 55.83% 0.321 0.6182
Untended Land Crumbles 779 29.5 -1.447 51.99% -0.232 0.1256

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3116 57.89% 36.21 -0.71 69.58% -0.483 0.3568
B 3184 57.99% 36.37 -0.291 69.6% -0.375 0.4036
C 3562 56.58% 37.22 1.441 72.8% -0.108 0.5456
D 3018 59.31% 35.84 -1.553 69.05% -0.683 0.1158
E 3044 56.55% 36.93 1.059 71.42% -0.076 0.553
F 2848 56.79% 36.55 -0.568 70.26% -0.563 0.1565
G 2495 57.46% 36.37 0.354 69.46% -0.324 0.4174
H 2436 54.89% 36.94 -0.383 71.02% -0.363 0.2854
East 830 57.61% 40.32 1.969 61.93% 0.022 0.6262
Northeast 393 58.67% 39.21 1.642 57.76% 0.228 1.1088
Northwest 389 57.11% 38.42 -3.259 58.35% -0.689 -0.0163
Southeast 277 53.09% 42.49 -0.638 70.4% -0.33 0.3059
Southwest 249 54.25% 38.66 2.232 63.86% 0.064 1.2281
West 811 57.18% 39.15 -2.135 60.79% -0.679 0.2852

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 61 0.0% 38.95 -8.154 73.77% -0.31 0.5733
Not Using Events or Tokens 66 57.63% 33.88 4.753 62.12% 0.411 0.7426
Skip Initial Invader Actions 290 17.54% 53.7 10.649 89.66% 1.453 0.9181
Start of Game Growth 458 22.3% 49.66 4.901 85.59% 0.221 -0.1096
Unlimited Undo 1345 48.88% 38.75 -0.768 74.28% -0.347 -0.3686
Using Tokens but Not Events 1356 50.08% 36.78 -0.48 70.13% -0.049 -0.1025

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2918 21.03 10.59%
II 7979 31.04 68.24%
III 4501 34.74 94.49%
IV 1929 38.02 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.098 Win Model: 0.523
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11678 57.68% 36.27 68.05%
2 3757 59.5% 35.96 68.49%
3 1159 59.52% 37.06 71.87%
4 670 48.66% 41.48 79.7%
5 10 40.0% 37.5 70.0%
6 53 34.62% 41.28 67.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 307
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4194
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5252
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1899
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 326
Lose: Invader deck ran out 57
Lose: Adversary condition 2538
Win: Sacrifice victory 81
Lose: Scenario condition 206
Win: Scenario condition 197
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2116
Lose: Spirit destroyed 154

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1164 52.37% 39.92 2.694 68.38% 1.149 0.9902
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 646 78.29% 32.43 0.195 47.99% 0.255 0.3771
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 966 63.63% 37.94 -0.968 66.25% 0.046 -0.1214
Downpour Drenches the World 247 57.89% 32.32 -2.0 48.99% -0.166 0.0128
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 249 50.2% 36.16 3.552 59.04% 0.744 0.0225
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1342 47.46% 42.35 3.876 75.26% 0.875 0.2857
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 920 57.73% 40.26 3.042 67.93% 0.751 0.2793
Finder of Paths Unseen 74 68.92% 30.89 -2.632 45.95% -0.264 0.4301
Fractured Days Split the Sky 385 60.26% 37.9 -5.308 56.1% -0.943 -0.2582
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 456 70.18% 37.79 -0.486 63.16% 0.192 0.0905
Heart of the Wildfire 1233 78.26% 32.94 -3.063 53.28% -0.504 -0.2597
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2123 58.68% 37.7 0.12 63.78% 0.248 -0.2016
Lightning's Swift Strike 694 72.54% 35.9 1.807 57.49% 0.511 0.7148
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 120 69.17% 41.09 3.216 68.33% 0.701 0.0039
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 288 62.85% 39.62 4.04 68.4% 0.549 0.3091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 225 63.56% 39.42 4.016 65.78% 0.444 0.2846
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1448 72.04% 34.9 -0.887 57.11% -0.166 -0.3113
Many Minds Move as One 784 48.91% 43.34 2.535 77.81% 0.487 0.2664
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1384 59.32% 39.65 1.034 67.12% 0.356 0.3467
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 963 63.09% 36.95 -2.316 62.82% -0.265 -0.4067
River Surges in Sunlight 1205 61.17% 41.52 0.094 68.22% 0.135 0.1377
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 324 69.66% 34.99 1.267 52.16% 0.258 0.5278
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 125 60.0% 40.79 1.953 60.0% 0.42 0.2911
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 931 63.47% 36.65 -4.084 63.37% -0.357 -0.5704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 223 76.68% 30.38 -7.914 38.57% -0.909 -0.4728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 71.43% 26.71 -2.111 35.71% -0.281 -0.2822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 80.0% 29.57 -0.571 43.33% -0.126 -0.1345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 153 78.43% 32.87 -7.292 50.98% -0.836 -0.9085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 114 81.58% 27.98 -5.404 33.33% -0.675 -0.617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1007 56.18% 39.44 -0.529 67.63% 0.085 -0.0433
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 58.18% 30.98 0.189 45.45% 0.017 -0.3462
Shifting Memory of Ages 364 77.47% 33.04 -3.387 53.02% -0.144 0.2635
Shroud of Silent Mist 440 83.37% 28.82 -3.448 40.0% -0.47 -0.1552
Starlight Seeks its Form 540 54.63% 37.32 -0.788 60.19% -0.051 -0.3241
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2764 52.72% 38.07 2.617 71.78% 0.879 0.3836
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 658 70.95% 34.25 -3.421 51.82% -0.471 -0.4404
Thunderspeaker 826 68.85% 38.17 -1.565 61.14% -0.189 -0.208
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 66.67% 26.0 -1.899 44.44% 0.02 -0.0429
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1627 87.62% 30.23 -0.95 48.86% -0.029 0.0328
Vital Strength of the Earth 484 71.07% 28.51 -7.683 33.88% -1.211 -0.6585
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 78 56.41% 29.83 -2.142 38.46% -0.628 -0.3724
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 186 69.89% 32.17 -3.524 48.92% -0.457 0.4396
Volcano Looming High 1077 73.63% 34.73 -0.238 59.15% -0.021 -0.0112

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 53.0 8.958 100.0% 0.279 0.2002
Blitz 0 182 52.2% 37.68 3.13 54.4% 0.016 0.1625
Dahan Insurrection 4 170 46.47% 60.16 11.107 67.65% 0.264 0.0566
Despicable Theft 2 12 58.33% 34.67 -2.853 50.0% -0.356 0.327
Elemental Invocation 1 93 69.89% 33.91 -8.882 44.09% -1.284 -0.5521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 753 18.9% 45.36 5.749 67.73% 0.188 -0.418
Powers Long Forgotten 1 94 70.21% 32.57 -12.325 40.43% -1.097 -0.609
Rituals of Terror 3 51 72.55% 42.8 0.0 45.1%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 85.71% 37.86 -0.878 37.14% 0.022 1.0144
Second Wave 0 331 55.62% 37.03 1.383 54.98% 0.105 0.1672
The Great River 3 33 36.36% 39.0 2.508 33.33% -0.47 0.8781
Varied Terrains 2 12 16.67% 19.42 -4.658 16.67% -0.613 -0.0501
Ward the Shores 2 68 70.59% 31.29 -4.538 26.47% -1.058 0.1518

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12440 64.56% 36.1 -0.117 61.51% 0.083 0.293
1 Thematic 824 64.44% 38.34 -1.723 50.36% -0.197 0.402
2 Archipelago 12 91.67% 48.42 0.0 83.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2908 67.83% 35.92 -0.052 61.21% -0.063 0.0972
2 Coastline 335 60.9% 39.13 2.734 70.15% 0.106 0.167
2 Fragment 65 74.6% 33.43 -4.965 52.31% -0.087 -0.1506
2 Heart 38 80.0% 36.39 0.0 65.79%
2 Opposite Shores 582 64.48% 36.42 2.612 58.42% -0.345 -0.211
2 Thematic 256 72.44% 32.96 -2.014 37.11% -0.836 -0.1998
2 Top to Top 107 54.21% 37.48 -0.628 65.42% -0.04 0.0001
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 48.0 9.84 100.0% 0.727 -0.3595
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 13.023 57.14% 0.5 0.0017
3 Other 52 55.77% 42.83 4.034 86.54% 0.526 0.6359
3 Round (Default) 1223 64.59% 36.96 -0.344 61.16% -0.48 -0.5212
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 -4.436 62.5% -0.34 -0.144
3 Thematic 52 76.92% 34.21 -3.109 32.69% -0.257 -0.2211
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 8 75.0% 43.75 11.35 75.0% 0.738 0.3627
4 Other 32 65.63% 42.31 -2.672 78.13% -0.413 -1.2622
4 Thematic 114 53.51% 47.13 0.3 61.4% -0.101 -0.1179
4 Trapezoid (Default) 559 53.06% 39.23 -3.891 69.23% -1.362 -1.5488
5 Other 28 48.15% 48.64 14.556 89.29% 0.949 0.4409
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 48.0 7.696 100.0% 0.151 -0.1542
6 Other 9 37.5% 51.44 -3.923 66.67% -0.909 -1.3038
6 Star 3 100.0% 39.0 2.282 66.67% -0.296 0.1797
6 Thematic 5 80.0% 42.2 4.256 60.0% 0.246 0.6448
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 37.27 -4.258 66.67% -0.148 -0.1048

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 865 31.37 1.222 47.51% -0.176 0.0947
Aid From Lesser Spirits 760 34.57 2.139 55.66% 0.043 0.0821
All Things Weaken 964 31.8 2.779 48.76% 0.145 0.6053
Attenuated Essence 20 32.35 2.697 55.0% 0.339 0.5451
Back Against the Wall 715 33.11 2.73 51.33% 0.54 0.7017
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 23 29.17 0.021 43.48% -0.217 0.1977
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 29.31 0.904 43.75% -0.078 0.2266
Disintegrating Ecosystem 846 29.31 -0.105 45.98% -0.303 0.2236
Downward Spiral 1029 31.5 -1.202 51.31% -0.472 -0.1195
Erosion of Will 923 30.05 -0.276 44.2% -0.368 0.0406
Intensifying Exploitation 25 25.2 -0.927 36.0% -0.434 -0.0475
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 418 37.1 5.897 63.88% 0.831 0.3061
Memory Fades to Dust 952 31.19 -0.175 48.21% -0.182 0.2996
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1044 30.43 -1.815 47.13% -0.672 -0.3678
Promising Farmlands 857 30.14 0.638 46.56% -0.069 0.5172
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 30.41 1.103 50.0% -0.12 0.059
Slow Dissolution of Will 22 25.14 -1.759 40.91% -0.352 0.1821
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 275 39.51 0.614 73.45% -0.009 -0.6865
The Border of Life and Death 7 12.71 -8.112 14.29% -0.917 -1.0465
Thriving Communities 912 29.08 -1.785 43.31% -0.514 -0.0212
Thriving Crops 9 24.11 -2.473 44.44% -0.35 -0.2622
Unnatural Proliferation 1008 30.96 0.381 44.74% -0.287 0.01
Untended Land Crumbles 1005 30.54 -1.273 46.77% -0.359 -0.0008

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3565 63.58% 36.69 -1.002 62.38% -0.198 0.6419
B 3602 62.83% 36.56 -1.328 62.35% -0.149 0.6292
C 4171 64.93% 36.51 0.596 61.33% 0.069 0.7227
D 3450 64.64% 36.46 0.182 62.09% 0.134 0.9335
E 3496 64.73% 36.89 0.429 63.01% 0.091 0.7194
F 3206 63.6% 36.96 0.97 63.16% 0.284 1.0031
G 2862 63.98% 36.48 0.078 62.65% -0.015 0.7272
H 2834 64.1% 37.31 1.01 64.08% 0.258 0.9065
East 830 65.34% 39.54 0.746 50.0% -0.05 0.5546
Northeast 347 65.61% 39.74 -2.966 45.53% -0.822 0.0585
Northwest 297 66.22% 37.6 -0.619 42.42% -0.129 0.5437
Southeast 277 64.62% 37.67 0.501 49.82% 0.019 0.6553
Southwest 228 67.54% 32.8 -2.902 43.42% -0.506 0.6588
West 675 66.57% 36.11 0.483 43.7% -0.079 0.8848

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 44.77 0.0 76.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens 83 71.08% 39.61 1.784 55.42% -0.163 0.1686
Skip Initial Invader Actions 422 15.18% 56.59 10.278 91.23% 0.6 0.065
Start of Game Growth 618 17.54% 54.26 12.019 89.48% 1.452 1.1216
Unlimited Undo 1484 57.1% 39.33 -2.098 68.53% -0.322 -0.3435
Using Tokens but Not Events 1103 54.71% 38.0 2.363 66.55% 0.426 0.3716

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3929 21.03 5.52%
II 8631 31.04 59.67%
III 5713 34.74 91.67%
IV 1418 38.02 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.015 Win Model: -0.041
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13336 64.56% 36.24 60.74%
2 4271 66.97% 36.18 60.64%
3 1329 64.56% 37.03 60.95%
4 709 53.82% 40.53 67.98%
5 14 61.54% 49.29 85.71%
6 32 54.84% 42.94 68.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 216
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5016
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1403
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 320
Lose: Invader deck ran out 161
Lose: Adversary condition 4017
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 229
Win: Scenario condition 132
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2750
Lose: Spirit destroyed 198

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 674 71.66% 43.18 1.835 62.02% 0.54 0.3808
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 351 91.17% 34.2 -4.771 39.32% -0.438 -0.3159
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 528 89.96% 33.96 -5.064 39.2% -0.553 -0.7211
Downpour Drenches the World 111 79.28% 37.5 0.477 45.05% -0.042 0.1372
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 145 78.62% 36.7 2.59 51.03% 0.598 -0.1232
Eyes Watch From the Trees 751 72.06% 43.9 5.849 60.59% 1.018 0.4296
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 623 77.01% 42.05 0.265 55.86% 0.365 -0.106
Finder of Paths Unseen 62 67.74% 41.94 -2.741 64.52% 0.038 0.7322
Fractured Days Split the Sky 292 76.71% 42.95 -2.015 51.71% -0.422 0.2627
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 239 91.21% 36.39 -2.671 43.51% -0.331 -0.4323
Heart of the Wildfire 1501 85.37% 36.76 -0.055 46.97% 0.16 0.4041
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1205 75.91% 38.1 -0.287 48.05% 0.055 -0.3948
Lightning's Swift Strike 258 91.8% 31.97 -8.415 33.72% -0.866 -0.6629
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 60 83.33% 44.37 5.335 58.33% 0.521 -0.176
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 183 91.8% 40.3 1.219 51.91% 0.304 0.0644
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 91 90.11% 40.86 6.213 52.75% 0.901 0.7416
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1086 79.72% 40.37 0.842 53.13% 0.3 0.1551
Many Minds Move as One 444 62.84% 48.64 4.352 72.97% 0.757 0.5359
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 581 83.94% 35.0 -3.299 39.76% -0.311 -0.3202
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 580 85.32% 37.44 -2.355 48.45% -0.279 -0.4212
River Surges in Sunlight 699 81.56% 41.33 3.813 51.07% 0.533 0.5354
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 140 87.86% 34.25 0.197 33.57% -0.151 0.1192
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 72 72.22% 46.63 1.831 61.11% 0.357 0.2282
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 577 80.42% 41.35 3.204 57.02% 0.758 0.544
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 119 88.24% 33.29 6.782 32.77% 0.631 1.0673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 76.92% 50.31 9.375 69.23% 0.494 0.4935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 79.17% 41.08 -0.494 58.33% -0.052 -0.0606
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 115 89.57% 39.88 -16.209 51.3% -0.357 -0.4296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 91 91.21% 40.35 -1.64 51.65% -0.072 -0.0134
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 418 73.68% 40.54 -4.377 50.48% -1.101 -1.2293
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 28 64.29% 34.82 0.374 39.29% 0.091 -0.2718
Shifting Memory of Ages 312 88.46% 35.24 -2.386 43.91% -0.369 0.0383
Shroud of Silent Mist 256 91.41% 34.58 -7.906 42.19% -0.703 -0.3884
Starlight Seeks its Form 426 77.93% 41.39 1.148 56.34% 0.352 0.079
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2435 59.79% 42.76 0.699 66.98% 0.472 -0.0234
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 480 84.55% 36.14 -0.675 42.08% -0.177 -0.1463
Thunderspeaker 431 87.94% 38.29 -7.001 46.64% -1.217 -1.2366
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 16 81.25% 34.31 1.496 43.75% 0.098 0.0346
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1694 93.51% 34.77 -3.589 44.51% -0.922 -0.8609
Vital Strength of the Earth 199 84.42% 30.39 -8.543 26.13% -0.902 -0.3495
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 43 76.74% 33.28 -2.622 34.88% -0.287 -0.0306
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 112 87.5% 30.24 -2.136 26.79% -0.18 0.7162
Volcano Looming High 679 89.84% 35.22 0.635 44.62% 0.229 0.2389

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 27.33 -15.066 33.33% -0.246 -0.3241
Blitz 0 78 69.23% 39.72 -9.127 52.56% -0.531 -0.3848
Dahan Insurrection 4 46 69.57% 54.11 -15.105 41.3% -0.382 -0.5887
Despicable Theft 2 14 78.57% 30.5 -11.673 21.43% -0.276 0.4071
Elemental Invocation 1 38 71.05% 33.92 2.285 26.32% -0.212 0.5196
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 429 25.17% 49.19 10.689 62.47% 1.457 0.8508
Powers Long Forgotten 1 34 85.29% 33.94 -18.984 29.41% -0.967 -0.4782
Rituals of Terror 3 20 70.0% 51.45 0.0 50.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 92.0% 39.88 3.661 32.0% -0.149 0.8434
Second Wave 0 220 71.23% 39.21 2.104 46.36% -0.035 0.0273
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 35.6 -1.797 40.0% -0.374 0.1888
Ward the Shores 2 33 90.91% 34.76 -15.284 24.24% -0.416 0.7933

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8629 79.4% 38.68 -0.321 52.09% 0.228 0.4373
1 Thematic 315 74.29% 39.45 -1.017 42.54% -0.372 0.2263
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 42.0 0.236 50.0% -0.178 0.1794
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1914 82.18% 38.47 0.822 51.36% 0.248 0.4078
2 Coastline 214 82.24% 37.63 0.24 48.6% 0.257 0.3178
2 Fragment 33 87.88% 35.67 -13.721 42.42% -0.351 -0.4142
2 Heart 21 95.24% 40.95 0.0 61.9%
2 Opposite Shores 374 80.97% 36.27 0.077 44.65% 0.622 0.7552
2 Thematic 148 85.81% 36.22 -4.68 33.11% -0.043 0.5932
2 Top to Top 91 91.21% 36.56 1.703 46.15% 0.175 0.2155
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 40 77.5% 46.33 8.316 75.0% 0.833 0.9428
3 Round (Default) 852 83.69% 38.4 0.968 51.41% 0.344 0.3027
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 24 87.5% 38.63 -3.691 33.33% -0.417 -0.3813
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 68.42% 44.84 -11.157 73.68% -0.155 -1.0042
4 Thematic 121 60.33% 47.79 -1.343 56.2% -0.354 -0.3715
4 Trapezoid (Default) 272 79.48% 39.26 -1.724 49.63% -0.746 -0.9326
5 Other 7 66.67% 54.71 9.017 85.71% 0.342 -0.1661
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 2 100.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 30.88 0.0 25.0%
6 Thematic 16 6.25% 67.44 13.162 75.0% 0.614 1.0125
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 57.14% 32.29 -13.533 42.86% -0.375 -0.3311

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 747 36.76 4.053 46.72% 0.528 0.799
Aid From Lesser Spirits 617 40.05 4.459 53.65% 0.644 0.6829
All Things Weaken 855 34.78 1.801 40.47% -0.023 0.4374
Attenuated Essence 20 30.45 0.322 40.0% -0.089 0.1162
Back Against the Wall 595 39.33 1.722 50.42% 0.21 0.3719
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 22 44.0 7.199 68.18% 1.069 1.4831
Burn Brightest Before the End 18 35.61 2.009 44.44% 0.011 0.3156
Disintegrating Ecosystem 769 34.54 0.621 44.86% -0.18 0.3469
Downward Spiral 754 34.88 -1.151 43.9% -0.32 0.0324
Erosion of Will 752 36.06 2.634 42.69% 0.103 0.5115
Intensifying Exploitation 26 34.69 2.294 38.46% 0.064 0.4514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 40.95 -1.748 56.67% -0.233 -0.7587
Memory Fades to Dust 855 35.12 2.662 43.98% 0.666 1.147
Power Corrodes the Spirit 809 35.69 0.284 45.24% -0.025 0.2796
Promising Farmlands 731 33.46 2.144 39.12% 0.108 0.6941
Shattered Fragments of Power 17 42.0 5.798 70.59% 0.985 1.1637
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 25.12 -2.168 23.53% -0.396 0.138
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 169 43.72 4.049 62.72% 0.4 -0.2779
The Border of Life and Death 2 32.0 1.189 50.0% 0.159 0.0293
Thriving Communities 767 34.17 -2.653 43.29% -0.428 0.0653
Thriving Crops 6 52.67 11.437 83.33% 1.211 1.2992
Unnatural Proliferation 853 36.8 4.046 45.13% 0.679 0.9757
Untended Land Crumbles 820 34.05 -0.43 40.61% -0.174 0.184

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2256 80.57% 37.88 -0.499 50.0% -0.027 0.8128
B 2575 80.11% 38.93 -1.163 52.62% -0.232 0.5466
C 2921 80.26% 38.71 1.261 51.66% 0.194 0.8479
D 2191 83.11% 38.08 0.148 50.39% 0.051 0.8499
E 2254 81.94% 38.3 0.331 50.35% 0.113 0.7418
F 2149 80.6% 39.19 -0.289 53.42% -0.026 0.6934
G 1816 79.69% 38.19 -0.497 50.33% 0.006 0.7482
H 1801 79.31% 39.1 0.983 52.97% 0.391 1.0396
East 456 72.37% 42.06 2.069 43.86% 0.126 0.73
Northeast 206 68.93% 44.24 -5.265 46.12% -0.976 -0.0952
Northwest 172 68.02% 43.53 6.28 45.35% 0.7 1.3733
Southeast 173 64.16% 45.37 4.289 53.18% 0.411 1.0471
Southwest 161 65.84% 43.39 -0.893 50.31% 0.15 1.3146
West 397 72.04% 40.8 4.606 42.07% 0.143 1.1071

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 30 83.33% 42.5 13.585 56.67% 0.813 1.1453
Skip Initial Invader Actions 129 50.0% 56.08 -1.37 81.4% -0.216 -0.7511
Start of Game Growth 295 48.29% 52.67 -0.978 73.56% -0.505 -0.8356
Unlimited Undo 1227 76.31% 41.66 0.517 59.58% 0.332 0.3103
Using Tokens but Not Events 536 72.97% 37.88 0.135 50.56% 0.142 0.0879

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3489 21.03 3.24%
II 5397 31.04 49.88%
III 3341 34.74 90.6%
IV 901 38.02 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.115 Win Model: -0.161
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8979 79.22% 38.73 51.75%
2 2799 82.7% 37.96 49.3%
3 902 83.26% 38.6 51.77%
4 412 74.26% 42.06 52.67%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 33 30.3% 49.09 54.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 113
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2989
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2647
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 879
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 191
Lose: Invader deck ran out 75
Lose: Adversary condition 3150
Win: Sacrifice victory 76
Lose: Scenario condition 143
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2628
Lose: Spirit destroyed 210

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 332 72.89% 44.36 1.428 53.31% 0.292 0.1323
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 139 92.09% 36.53 3.263 35.97% 0.184 0.3058
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 227 91.19% 32.72 2.499 28.19% -0.087 -0.2545
Downpour Drenches the World 58 77.59% 37.4 0.209 39.66% 0.223 0.4019
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 80 76.25% 28.48 -0.452 37.5% 0.136 -0.5858
Eyes Watch From the Trees 235 71.91% 44.41 2.892 53.62% 0.594 0.0054
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 210 92.86% 37.01 0.791 38.1% 0.316 -0.1555
Finder of Paths Unseen 17 58.82% 43.06 -15.841 52.94% -0.568 0.1261
Fractured Days Split the Sky 141 82.98% 46.53 -1.363 49.65% -0.224 0.4603
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 129 94.57% 35.16 -2.772 35.66% -0.293 -0.394
Heart of the Wildfire 727 86.8% 29.52 -4.897 27.51% -0.67 -0.4258
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 745 76.91% 38.44 2.348 40.27% 0.307 -0.1424
Lightning's Swift Strike 109 93.58% 33.53 -6.172 29.36% -0.242 -0.0383
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 24 95.83% 47.63 -3.812 54.17% -0.035 -0.7317
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 58 100.0% 35.72 -5.45 36.21% -0.159 -0.3991
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 46 93.48% 33.04 12.12 23.91% 0.386 0.2263
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 440 89.32% 39.29 -1.344 44.09% -0.442 -0.5874
Many Minds Move as One 196 70.92% 49.63 2.286 67.86% 0.347 0.126
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 289 80.97% 38.24 -4.572 40.83% -0.915 -0.9242
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 201 84.08% 38.12 -0.943 40.8% -0.028 -0.1699
River Surges in Sunlight 290 87.24% 40.29 1.18 40.34% 0.2 0.2022
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 63 82.54% 36.38 -6.78 30.16% -0.318 -0.0483
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 27 74.07% 54.81 5.04 62.96% 0.507 0.3776
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 278 80.58% 40.93 -0.144 45.32% 0.375 0.1612
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 99 93.94% 26.8 -6.24 8.08% -0.824 -0.3877
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 100.0% 43.7 7.023 50.0% 0.6 0.5995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 100.0% 36.5 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 43 90.7% 35.07 -9.854 32.56% -0.081 -0.1531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 91.84% 30.22 0.0 18.37%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 149 83.89% 34.93 -7.774 32.21% -0.853 -0.9817
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 20 90.0% 35.35 3.078 40.0% 0.195 -0.1678
Shifting Memory of Ages 132 91.67% 36.46 4.589 33.33% 0.643 1.0505
Shroud of Silent Mist 113 92.04% 30.88 -5.741 24.78% -0.02 0.2951
Starlight Seeks its Form 184 86.96% 41.08 6.801 47.83% 1.017 0.7442
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1125 62.22% 42.99 4.419 59.2% 0.985 0.4896
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 191 88.48% 33.41 -3.887 26.7% -0.525 -0.4944
Thunderspeaker 167 94.61% 35.51 -5.712 31.74% -0.214 -0.2332
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 4 75.0% 11.25 -5.42 0.0% -0.459 -0.5217
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 605 95.37% 35.63 4.367 39.01% 0.59 0.651
Vital Strength of the Earth 88 86.36% 31.23 0.0 21.59%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 11 63.64% 28.55 -4.222 18.18% -0.339 -0.0832
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 34 82.35% 32.82 0.081 29.41% 0.243 1.1398
Volcano Looming High 323 91.64% 32.07 -4.249 29.41% -1.073 -1.0631

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 30 83.33% 33.23 -5.907 33.33% -0.282 -0.1358
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 0.0 13.46%
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 22 68.18% 36.05 -18.638 27.27% -0.567 0.1647
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 153 31.37% 42.16 0.111 38.56% -0.593 -1.1997
Powers Long Forgotten 1 20 85.0% 34.15 2.664 25.0% 0.106 0.5944
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 73 60.27% 39.3 2.382 42.47% -0.294 -0.2313
Ward the Shores 2 13 69.23% 31.62 -9.8 23.08% -0.275 0.9346

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4012 81.21% 37.65 0.661 42.85% 0.465 0.6751
1 Thematic 406 87.93% 30.37 -0.998 12.81% -0.445 0.1536
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 873 88.32% 36.48 1.143 38.14% 0.249 0.4091
2 Coastline 92 78.26% 37.63 -1.218 45.65% -0.257 -0.1958
2 Fragment 9 100.0% 45.56 19.515 66.67% 0.625 0.5612
2 Heart 16 68.75% 43.06 5.334 50.0% 0.135 -0.1033
2 Opposite Shores 128 84.38% 39.46 -6.648 39.84% -1.13 -0.996
2 Thematic 41 68.29% 38.61 0.207 17.07% 0.056 0.692
2 Top to Top 60 95.0% 36.78 12.471 38.33% 0.477 0.5172
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 16.352 81.25% 0.672 0.7815
3 Round (Default) 252 81.75% 40.58 -1.717 49.21% -0.19 -0.231
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 39.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Thematic 40 70.0% 51.3 0.0 52.5%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 126 76.98% 37.28 -2.949 38.89% -0.665 -0.8514
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 49.5 0.0 25.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 386 35.93 0.575 36.01% 0.213 0.4842
Aid From Lesser Spirits 297 40.16 8.222 45.45% 1.207 1.2453
All Things Weaken 404 34.7 3.212 34.16% 0.483 0.9432
Attenuated Essence 11 26.64 2.406 36.36% 0.659 0.8643
Back Against the Wall 289 35.88 3.986 33.56% 0.1 0.262
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 11 13.09 -7.284 9.09% -0.788 -0.3739
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 25.3 -2.786 10.0% -1.039 -0.7347
Disintegrating Ecosystem 322 34.62 3.557 36.65% 0.351 0.8775
Downward Spiral 401 32.7 2.991 30.42% 0.389 0.7416
Erosion of Will 364 34.42 0.221 31.87% -0.383 0.0254
Intensifying Exploitation 11 37.0 5.146 54.55% 0.805 1.192
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 78 44.63 2.829 53.85% -0.229 -0.7546
Memory Fades to Dust 374 33.88 -0.091 32.89% 0.19 0.6717
Power Corrodes the Spirit 412 34.02 2.141 32.77% 0.192 0.4971
Promising Farmlands 335 33.88 -1.253 33.13% -0.275 0.311
Shattered Fragments of Power 7 40.0 6.917 42.86% 0.765 0.9437
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 38.88 4.883 50.0% 0.554 1.0881
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 71 46.49 -5.279 61.97% -0.258 -0.9363
The Border of Life and Death 4 22.75 -0.931 25.0% -0.177 -0.3066
Thriving Communities 412 33.65 -0.786 33.74% -0.458 0.0355
Thriving Crops 5 38.8 4.404 60.0% 0.545 0.6331
Unnatural Proliferation 395 34.94 5.704 32.66% 0.586 0.8825
Untended Land Crumbles 430 33.4 4.899 31.4% 0.638 0.9956

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 944 84.85% 37.31 -2.419 40.78% -0.452 0.3879
B 1085 83.41% 38.18 -1.973 43.5% -0.629 0.1502
C 1171 83.69% 39.64 2.37 45.86% 0.204 0.858
D 908 84.58% 37.26 0.557 41.08% 0.144 0.9434
E 1005 83.18% 37.14 0.393 40.4% -0.047 0.5817
F 1061 77.66% 36.73 -3.036 42.22% -0.34 0.3793
G 788 82.36% 38.47 2.081 43.15% 0.397 1.1387
H 809 82.2% 38.35 2.23 42.4% 0.173 0.821
East 175 75.43% 41.99 -11.899 32.57% -0.21 0.3937
Northeast 74 82.43% 42.32 3.481 29.73% 0.215 1.0963
Northwest 131 90.08% 32.94 -1.475 14.5% -0.067 0.6054
Southeast 81 76.54% 41.85 -1.759 34.57% -0.265 0.3717
Southwest 224 84.82% 29.01 6.436 11.16% 0.318 1.4828
West 390 85.64% 31.27 -16.812 13.08% -0.325 0.6393

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 19 78.95% 42.74 16.376 36.84% 0.788 1.1204
Skip Initial Invader Actions 70 61.43% 56.94 5.522 75.71% 0.459 -0.076
Start of Game Growth 110 55.45% 52.77 0.717 68.18% 0.151 -0.179
Unlimited Undo 547 72.39% 44.51 0.752 59.41% 0.36 0.3384
Using Tokens but Not Events 404 69.8% 38.39 -1.519 44.8% -0.996 -1.0499

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1695 21.03 0.77%
II 2555 31.04 29.35%
III 1399 34.74 89.14%
IV 454 38.02 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.512 Win Model: -0.23
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4443 81.84% 37.08 40.11%
2 1205 86.56% 36.85 38.59%
3 276 81.52% 41.8 51.09%
4 172 73.84% 40.34 43.02%
5 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0%
6 6 100.0% 34.83 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1233
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 734
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 447
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 136
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1672
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 84
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1614
Lose: Spirit destroyed 95

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1810 69.43% 44.99 -1.222 44.48% 0.554 0.3945
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 792 90.03% 33.78 -3.937 21.84% -0.816 -0.6944
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 785 92.1% 31.23 -2.727 19.11% -0.306 -0.4743
Downpour Drenches the World 360 72.22% 38.88 -1.961 33.61% 0.257 0.4357
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 509 76.03% 27.44 -0.838 28.29% 0.623 -0.0985
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1289 84.32% 39.21 0.661 34.68% 0.565 -0.0241
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1060 88.02% 35.47 -0.547 27.55% 0.303 -0.168
Finder of Paths Unseen 190 73.16% 39.87 -4.62 42.11% -0.147 0.5471
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1099 72.98% 48.79 0.501 43.86% 0.464 1.1484
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 809 88.26% 30.22 -6.54 18.91% -1.608 -1.7092
Heart of the Wildfire 3428 89.6% 34.66 -2.352 28.56% -0.27 -0.0254
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3275 73.65% 42.01 0.665 42.29% 0.712 0.2626
Lightning's Swift Strike 912 92.75% 28.55 -6.016 13.16% -0.824 -0.6202
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 591 77.12% 36.57 0.854 22.17% 0.116 -0.5813
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 466 90.73% 36.98 -3.023 33.05% 0.142 -0.0974
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 280 78.57% 43.52 -2.103 43.57% -0.128 -0.2882
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2684 87.36% 35.59 -1.354 28.13% 0.332 0.1868
Many Minds Move as One 1111 72.7% 50.35 1.997 60.22% 0.959 0.7383
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1193 84.38% 35.98 -5.375 29.76% -0.211 -0.2202
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1101 88.55% 36.61 -4.074 31.15% -0.198 -0.3393
River Surges in Sunlight 1844 85.4% 43.8 0.746 39.64% 0.569 0.5715
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 340 68.53% 44.67 1.568 33.24% 0.017 0.2872
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 222 78.54% 44.22 1.992 38.74% 0.729 0.5994
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1773 73.6% 47.79 1.549 50.42% 0.47 0.2566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 453 76.82% 35.23 -3.197 21.63% -0.832 -0.3958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 84.85% 28.48 -7.379 15.15% -0.527 -0.5276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 25 92.0% 39.24 1.738 36.0% 0.334 0.3256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 189 78.31% 34.84 -1.787 22.22% -0.376 -0.4481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 144 88.19% 36.77 -1.67 27.08% -0.125 -0.0667
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1023 78.49% 37.67 -3.359 31.48% -0.333 -0.4616
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 103 66.99% 28.02 -0.545 31.07% 0.736 0.3727
Shifting Memory of Ages 667 82.16% 42.15 -2.799 36.13% -0.482 -0.0747
Shroud of Silent Mist 567 89.42% 33.27 -6.059 24.51% -0.86 -0.5453
Starlight Seeks its Form 1283 76.54% 45.24 1.149 46.22% 0.992 0.7195
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11213 51.68% 48.34 7.048 60.84% 2.12 1.6245
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 841 87.14% 36.17 -5.23 28.06% -1.584 -1.5533
Thunderspeaker 946 85.84% 34.61 -3.967 21.35% -1.34 -1.3591
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 35 82.86% 24.34 -2.492 14.29% -0.247 -0.31
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4689 94.09% 35.35 -0.085 31.88% 0.227 0.2887
Vital Strength of the Earth 345 81.74% 32.17 -4.682 18.26% 0.029 0.5813
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 89 74.16% 33.79 -2.363 23.6% -0.009 0.2466
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 284 84.15% 34.14 -4.798 25.35% -0.418 0.4784
Volcano Looming High 2120 88.96% 33.86 -1.571 27.31% 0.339 0.3489

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 62.0 14.091 100.0% 0.757 0.6783
Blitz 0 360 56.98% 41.94 -0.381 40.56% -0.723 -0.5761
Dahan Insurrection 4 237 70.34% 46.6 -1.924 18.57% -0.178 -0.3852
Despicable Theft 2 28 89.29% 34.96 0.0 17.86%
Elemental Invocation 1 107 68.22% 36.86 2.743 19.63% 0.006 0.7373
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2167 31.33% 48.9 4.9 42.82% 0.62 0.0137
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 53.06% 46.18 18.383 52.04% 0.498 0.9863
Rituals of Terror 3 121 32.5% 77.32 22.359 41.32% 1.148 1.2528
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 65.0% 41.6 0.387 25.0% -0.104 0.8877
Second Wave 0 118 56.78% 43.48 0.04 40.68% -0.008 0.0548
The Great River 3 29 51.72% 34.72 -2.509 3.45% -0.523 0.8255
Varied Terrains 2 24 58.33% 49.33 20.176 45.83% 0.353 0.9153
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 33916 76.5% 39.87 -0.525 39.87% -0.809 -0.5995
1 Thematic 875 70.51% 40.06 3.151 28.91% -0.342 0.2563
2 Archipelago 12 58.33% 48.92 12.181 16.67% 0.254 0.6111
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3337 84.69% 39.17 -1.752 37.88% -0.885 -0.7247
2 Coastline 596 75.76% 41.07 2.27 39.26% -0.28 -0.2189
2 Fragment 49 85.71% 39.65 7.093 34.69% 0.182 0.1188
2 Heart 99 83.84% 38.13 3.031 36.36% 0.345 0.1073
2 Opposite Shores 849 82.43% 34.59 0.469 24.5% -0.689 -0.5549
2 Thematic 176 58.52% 48.41 4.719 21.59% 0.259 0.8957
2 Top to Top 163 81.6% 40.05 -1.317 41.1% -0.841 -0.8001
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 32.67 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 51.5 17.059 66.67% 1.307 0.8089
3 Other 58 86.21% 45.69 -0.134 53.45% -0.119 -0.0093
3 Round (Default) 1202 79.03% 38.86 -3.217 37.02% -0.949 -0.9904
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 34 35.29% 65.18 45.756 29.41% 0.504 0.5398
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 -8.068 60.0% -0.522 -1.3713
4 Thematic 164 25.61% 66.84 4.148 68.29% 0.304 0.2871
4 Trapezoid (Default) 582 84.11% 38.94 3.726 32.65% 0.929 0.7428
5 Coastline 8 12.5% 52.13 -13.502 75.0% -0.496 -0.5384
5 Other 27 55.56% 54.19 -10.441 70.37% -0.081 -0.5896
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 85.71% 30.43 20.872 14.29% 0.228 -0.1666
6 Star 6 83.33% 35.17 -2.587 33.33% -0.001 0.4743
6 Thematic 22 22.73% 53.82 -9.862 54.55% -1.127 -0.7285
6 Two Centers (Default) 68 27.94% 82.37 1.011 76.47% -0.177 -0.133
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -3.866 0.0% -0.001 -0.7741

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2467 36.76 2.203 32.14% 0.403 0.6737
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1932 41.37 4.46 40.73% 0.565 0.6038
All Things Weaken 2601 36.49 1.834 31.72% 0.275 0.736
Attenuated Essence 87 30.68 1.838 27.59% 0.281 0.4862
Back Against the Wall 1815 40.45 3.84 38.79% 0.516 0.6777
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 32.6 2.84 34.33% 0.585 0.999
Burn Brightest Before the End 52 28.83 0.621 19.23% -0.284 0.0205
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2362 34.29 1.311 30.36% 0.245 0.7721
Downward Spiral 2546 36.18 3.881 32.4% 0.674 1.027
Erosion of Will 2217 35.46 1.806 28.91% 0.281 0.6893
Intensifying Exploitation 78 25.35 -0.702 17.95% -0.27 0.1166
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 722 43.35 3.123 45.98% 0.316 -0.2093
Memory Fades to Dust 2591 34.45 0.84 27.94% 0.055 0.5363
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2438 34.76 1.192 29.0% 0.127 0.4315
Promising Farmlands 2357 34.15 0.323 27.66% 0.063 0.6494
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 39.04 5.782 41.67% 0.87 1.0491
Slow Dissolution of Will 70 26.39 -0.309 20.0% -0.21 0.3235
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 438 47.23 6.792 55.25% 0.991 0.3135
The Border of Life and Death 13 16.92 -4.337 15.38% -0.269 -0.3987
Thriving Communities 2538 34.73 2.491 29.43% 0.362 0.855
Thriving Crops 26 24.38 -1.66 23.08% -0.134 -0.0461
Unnatural Proliferation 2703 37.84 4.144 33.11% 0.527 0.8235
Untended Land Crumbles 2380 33.8 0.082 26.93% -0.159 0.1991

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6601 78.31% 40.12 0.081 39.22% -0.523 0.317
B 7014 76.5% 39.7 -0.633 38.47% -0.575 0.2034
C 8704 78.23% 39.65 -0.556 38.49% -0.616 0.0384
D 6007 80.8% 39.16 -1.248 37.87% -0.761 0.0387
E 6916 79.74% 39.09 -1.058 37.57% -0.625 0.0035
F 6249 75.66% 40.5 0.023 39.65% -0.662 0.0576
G 4924 77.76% 40.04 0.284 39.58% -0.604 0.1376
H 4846 75.89% 41.3 0.423 41.58% -0.51 0.1378
East 766 52.48% 51.1 -0.822 36.29% -1.317 -0.7127
Northeast 332 44.58% 57.05 6.655 42.47% -0.57 0.311
Northwest 266 45.11% 54.24 1.997 43.61% -0.569 0.1039
Southeast 280 44.29% 50.72 -0.606 43.21% -0.497 0.1394
Southwest 261 55.94% 45.15 0.897 40.61% -0.463 0.7012
West 643 51.17% 50.89 2.353 39.66% -0.444 0.5207

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 18 0.0% 51.94 -23.178 66.67% -0.563 0.3202
Not Using Events or Tokens 138 77.54% 40.63 2.081 10.87% -0.292 0.0403
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1389 25.63% 66.14 9.325 79.7% 1.539 1.0036
Start of Game Growth 2283 27.66% 61.65 7.039 76.04% 0.375 0.0448
Unlimited Undo 4273 66.87% 50.24 0.291 61.22% 0.541 0.519
Using Tokens but Not Events 1825 66.41% 41.1 1.09 40.11% -0.43 -0.4835

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16926 21.03 3.13%
II 16835 31.04 48.23%
III 6779 34.74 90.54%
IV 1798 38.02 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.29 Win Model: -0.053
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 35024 76.22% 40.0 39.7%
2 5128 83.18% 38.39 34.79%
3 1280 78.75% 39.88 37.81%
4 785 70.72% 44.81 41.66%
5 14 28.57% 48.14 57.14%
6 107 32.71% 69.5 66.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 509
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6037
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7935
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1743
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 882
Lose: Invader deck ran out 321
Lose: Adversary condition 13037
Win: Sacrifice victory 310
Lose: Scenario condition 963
Win: Scenario condition 45
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9799
Lose: Spirit destroyed 757

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)