The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1780 25.07% 27.94 3.65 77.42% 1.211 1.1058
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 122 18.03% 20.76 -0.711 52.46% 0.024 -0.4563
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1169 42.92% 25.66 -1.138 68.26% -0.107 0.0188
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 151 15.23% 32.36 7.233 76.82% 1.33 0.4834
Dances Up Earthquakes 105 36.19% 23.1 -0.219 60.95% 0.175 0.2113
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1566 28.02% 28.18 1.003 77.84% 0.405 0.2685
Downpour Drenches the World 661 23.75% 20.06 -3.705 49.32% -0.795 -0.588
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 544 20.99% 25.08 0.329 65.26% 0.417 -0.1943
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1883 18.0% 31.61 2.304 82.37% 0.662 0.2866
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1515 24.19% 29.84 1.843 81.39% 0.662 0.2718
Finder of Paths Unseen 277 27.9% 15.47 -5.328 38.27% -0.975 -0.2556
Fractured Days Split the Sky 789 33.46% 23.01 -3.272 54.63% -0.729 -0.1181
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1018 38.62% 25.54 -2.84 65.23% -0.657 -0.7564
Heart of the Wildfire 1781 56.16% 23.97 -0.624 67.6% 0.067 0.4041
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2341 25.35% 29.45 0.538 81.33% 0.343 -0.0878
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 163 13.5% 23.29 -2.861 60.12% -0.498 -0.813
Lightning's Swift Strike 974 43.23% 26.7 -0.083 73.2% -0.113 0.1172
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 29.81% 27.07 2.594 70.81% 0.779 0.335
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 499 32.32% 29.5 -3.826 81.36% -0.494 -0.8049
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 398 31.16% 26.75 1.236 71.11% 0.498 0.3551
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1927 31.97% 27.9 -0.986 75.87% 0.032 -0.1956
Many Minds Move as One 1385 21.88% 28.96 0.414 78.41% 0.191 -0.0513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1822 39.89% 26.97 0.065 71.35% 0.141 0.2504
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 109 43.12% 20.8 -0.173 51.38% -0.113 0.0056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1435 29.49% 26.72 -0.11 75.05% 0.014 -0.0319
River Surges in Sunlight 1186 41.58% 27.61 -1.988 70.15% -0.771 -0.6404
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 57 31.58% 21.42 -4.183 52.63% -0.408 -0.2326
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 589 40.03% 26.49 -2.409 62.14% -0.702 -0.404
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 236 33.76% 28.04 3.473 63.98% 0.57 0.4862
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1312 27.99% 27.53 0.112 76.07% 0.229 0.1179
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 18 22.22% 16.83 -0.567 44.44% 0.028 -0.0899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 591 53.39% 25.41 -3.78 66.67% -0.81 -0.3153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 93 38.71% 22.95 1.639 56.99% 0.15 0.0986
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 27.62% 26.26 8.961 66.67% 1.116 0.6055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 89 28.09% 21.97 1.023 55.06% 0.099 -0.0288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 393 33.84% 29.12 2.317 80.41% 0.459 0.4707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 267 44.57% 25.73 -2.858 68.91% -0.409 -0.2735
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1285 29.2% 28.32 0.587 77.28% 0.088 0.1362
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 195 21.76% 20.59 -3.388 54.36% -0.786 -1.0014
Shifting Memory of Ages 820 41.56% 20.86 -3.465 55.37% -0.791 -0.4963
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 89 20.22% 17.61 0.587 43.82% -0.157 -0.2751
Shroud of Silent Mist 922 44.02% 23.44 -1.249 63.99% -0.294 0.0342
Starlight Seeks its Form 1055 25.97% 23.69 -1.906 62.56% -0.062 -0.1616
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2477 27.67% 26.42 -2.045 80.74% -0.281 -0.8116
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1211 38.96% 24.47 0.596 65.81% 0.228 0.3047
Thunderspeaker 1387 35.33% 27.53 1.267 71.45% -0.069 -0.033
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 173 28.9% 18.54 -0.334 47.4% -0.36 -0.301
Towering Roots of the Jungle 219 23.74% 21.0 1.859 59.36% 0.7 0.85
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1655 57.8% 22.78 -1.484 68.64% 0.029 0.1749
Vital Strength of the Earth 889 34.72% 23.81 -0.134 65.13% 0.2 0.7677
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 185 23.91% 20.8 -3.683 53.51% -0.258 0.2633
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 390 34.19% 21.12 -4.134 60.0% -0.536 0.2053
Volcano Looming High 1273 38.49% 23.74 -0.969 66.54% 0.011 0.0258
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 347 19.65% 27.21 2.722 68.3% 0.776 0.4842

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 28.21% 22.44 -3.317 58.97% -0.557 -0.5844
Blitz 0 390 26.74% 22.27 -0.236 60.51% -0.295 -0.0448
Dahan Insurrection 4 427 26.7% 44.44 2.922 64.4% -0.492 -0.7405
Despicable Theft 2 192 31.77% 23.31 -6.752 46.88% -1.139 -0.6775
Elemental Invocation 1 307 40.39% 21.52 -1.932 49.51% -1.248 -0.5452
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1030 9.22% 32.82 2.573 75.05% 0.457 -0.0952
Powers Long Forgotten 1 343 37.24% 21.37 -5.084 47.52% -1.388 -0.7647
Rituals of Terror 3 243 52.26% 28.89 -6.399 48.97% -0.827 -0.6342
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 229 51.97% 27.26 -4.621 50.66% -1.222 -0.2994
Second Wave 0 587 48.46% 30.3 5.569 66.78% 0.182 0.2987
The Great River 3 197 45.69% 21.86 8.217 35.03% 0.057 1.1249
Varied Terrains 2 122 50.82% 22.17 5.797 41.8% 0.153 0.8943
Ward the Shores 2 354 38.14% 27.68 -3.919 53.67% -1.029 0.0548

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18696 36.59% 26.57 0.351 72.98% 0.266 0.7929
1 Thematic 1970 37.61% 28.02 -0.8 61.32% -0.437 0.4172
2 Archipelago 21 61.9% 30.9 -5.339 52.38% -0.334 0.7214
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3854 36.77% 25.64 1.872 72.11% 0.35 0.6283
2 Coastline 444 35.59% 27.28 1.574 75.45% 0.794 0.8971
2 Fragment 90 47.78% 23.18 -0.436 63.33% 0.2 0.213
2 Heart 54 40.74% 26.13 -3.509 81.48% -0.675 -0.5631
2 Opposite Shores 495 32.93% 28.07 2.633 81.21% 0.577 0.9132
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 587 33.22% 26.35 -2.947 55.71% -0.514 0.1751
2 Top to Top 90 43.33% 27.12 -1.968 78.89% 0.126 0.3684
3 Archipelago 8 25.0% 37.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Coastline 28 35.71% 34.61 0.0 78.57%
3 Other 69 31.88% 24.78 10.708 71.01% 1.059 0.4572
3 Round (Default) 1802 30.1% 27.51 1.761 77.3% 0.313 0.3186
3 Sunrise 9 55.56% 31.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Thematic 107 42.06% 24.36 -0.125 48.6% -0.189 -0.1043
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 15.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 12.75 -10.028 25.0% -0.366 -0.2287
4 Other 39 20.51% 27.08 6.091 84.62% 0.813 0.1943
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 131 17.56% 34.27 3.199 76.34% 0.114 0.3813
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1029 21.09% 21.54 -4.178 59.67% -1.679 -1.5144
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 45.5 4.572 100.0% 0.138 -0.7407
5 Other 60 13.33% 25.03 4.131 75.0% 0.157 -0.2292
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 27.0 0.0 54.55%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 11 54.55% 21.55 3.874 63.64% 0.03 -0.0007
6 Star 12 25.0% 26.75 0.737 83.33% 0.176 0.1592
6 Thematic 60 23.73% 33.03 1.481 56.67% -0.156 -0.0533
6 Two Centers (Default) 131 12.98% 23.52 -5.639 65.65% -1.149 -0.5841
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 5 0.0% 9.8 -3.985 20.0% -0.07 -0.5041

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 640 22.86 0.827 60.31% -0.121 0.1288
Aid From Lesser Spirits 562 23.71 4.143 60.5% 0.379 0.2602
All Things Weaken 735 21.44 -1.905 54.01% -0.9 -0.5627
Attenuated Essence 97 17.78 0.358 44.33% 0.254 0.2805
Back Against the Wall 591 25.12 0.316 63.45% -0.226 -0.2247
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 102 17.84 0.381 43.14% -0.089 0.1286
Burn Brightest Before the End 91 24.01 1.734 57.14% -0.067 -0.0861
Disintegrating Ecosystem 647 21.02 1.309 56.88% 0.64 1.0327
Downward Spiral 835 21.89 1.902 60.36% 0.382 0.49
Erosion of Will 703 22.96 1.313 56.76% -0.14 0.2125
Intensifying Exploitation 107 20.45 -1.608 48.6% -0.24 0.0051
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 367 26.31 -0.829 78.2% -0.085 -0.6096
Memory Fades to Dust 846 22.57 0.846 59.46% 0.433 0.6805
Power Corrodes the Spirit 760 22.59 -1.127 62.37% -0.354 -0.1323
Promising Farmlands 645 22.37 2.705 58.6% 0.399 0.6816
Shattered Fragments of Power 89 25.7 6.002 57.3% 0.544 0.6213
Slow Dissolution of Will 115 20.91 1.691 42.61% -0.038 0.359
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 259 28.13 4.04 84.56% 0.783 0.0874
The Border of Life and Death 49 23.04 1.361 59.18% 0.355 -0.2457
Thriving Communities 788 20.4 -1.822 54.82% -0.538 -0.1817
Thriving Crops 46 26.43 -1.41 71.74% 0.079 -0.117
Unnatural Proliferation 745 22.42 1.621 52.75% 0.117 0.2789
Untended Land Crumbles 733 21.35 -0.61 54.98% -0.128 0.1033

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5446 34.35% 25.66 -1.226 71.8% -0.674 0.3305
B 5300 34.28% 25.57 -1.444 71.13% -0.608 0.312
C 5555 32.21% 26.25 0.12 72.8% -0.181 0.5536
D 5193 33.54% 25.83 -0.515 71.89% -0.365 0.6131
E 5108 33.44% 26.24 -0.859 72.87% -0.464 0.3559
F 4954 33.25% 26.28 0.52 72.61% -0.214 0.6593
G 4411 34.0% 25.73 -0.39 71.62% -0.306 0.5033
H 4365 32.65% 26.23 -0.093 72.07% -0.323 0.4915
East 1717 34.38% 29.59 0.032 62.61% -0.515 0.3878
Northeast 779 34.45% 29.91 0.541 61.87% -0.166 0.6424
Northwest 668 34.48% 27.12 -0.599 53.44% -0.376 0.5243
Southeast 636 31.18% 28.39 -0.171 61.79% -0.521 0.3291
Southwest 640 30.99% 24.9 -0.946 57.97% -0.492 0.8833
West 1627 34.75% 26.39 -0.032 56.42% -0.445 0.5102

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 84 0.0% 28.68 -9.081 77.38% -0.306 0.4019
Not Using Events or Tokens 462 38.72% 25.35 -4.762 69.7% -0.881 -0.5132
Skip Initial Invader Actions 656 7.75% 39.72 6.087 89.48% 0.908 0.3228
Start of Game Growth 1003 13.48% 36.84 0.529 85.04% -0.681 -1.1945
Unlimited Undo 1956 28.71% 28.09 2.037 76.02% 0.262 0.1522
Using Tokens but Not Events 2312 29.45% 26.97 -0.861 72.75% -0.499 -0.525

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5130 13.33 10.57%
II 6087 30.1 58.53%
III 11876 34.83 89.0%
IV 6774 38.67 98.98%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.324 Win Model: 0.461
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21016 36.69% 26.56 71.21%
2 5414 36.3% 26.55 73.68%
3 1965 30.97% 27.69 76.54%
4 1192 20.72% 22.9 62.0%
5 56 17.86% 25.68 75.0%
6 224 17.94% 25.82 62.95%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 539
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10294
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3328
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6645
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3692
Lose: Invader deck ran out 165
Lose: Adversary condition 2045
Win: Sacrifice victory 109
Lose: Scenario condition 282
Win: Scenario condition 465
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2152
Lose: Spirit destroyed 151

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1251 32.67% 32.04 -2.05 77.94% -0.28 -0.3853
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 103 20.39% 29.46 0.683 71.84% 0.215 -0.2646
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 728 55.23% 29.2 1.361 65.93% 0.333 0.4584
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 100 39.0% 31.88 2.464 73.0% 0.491 -0.3558
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 36.99% 20.1 -5.129 45.21% -0.78 -0.7431
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1148 30.42% 32.19 2.075 77.35% 0.224 0.0868
Downpour Drenches the World 495 25.51% 23.24 -0.757 54.75% 0.134 0.3401
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 529 22.35% 26.42 2.303 63.71% 0.471 -0.1398
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1437 23.28% 36.64 4.865 84.83% 0.843 0.468
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1127 28.24% 34.39 -0.305 81.01% -0.332 -0.7225
Finder of Paths Unseen 241 43.98% 17.09 -7.784 36.51% -1.482 -0.7628
Fractured Days Split the Sky 486 36.78% 26.71 -3.641 57.2% -1.108 -0.4966
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 748 41.58% 28.55 -1.019 66.31% -0.373 -0.4724
Heart of the Wildfire 1202 59.88% 28.22 1.658 69.55% 0.512 0.8485
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1698 36.96% 32.54 0.203 79.68% 0.089 -0.3416
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 134 28.36% 26.75 1.689 60.45% 0.407 0.0926
Lightning's Swift Strike 681 45.74% 31.08 0.636 74.3% -0.4 -0.1699
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 148 37.84% 26.76 -1.008 58.78% -0.017 -0.461
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 369 31.98% 34.3 7.506 78.59% 1.165 0.8547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 311 38.59% 31.66 0.484 70.74% -0.005 -0.1479
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1436 39.8% 31.66 0.666 75.56% 0.169 -0.0589
Many Minds Move as One 1006 27.7% 33.38 1.405 80.32% 0.384 0.1412
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1291 43.42% 31.79 2.923 74.59% 0.578 0.6871
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 100 50.0% 24.88 0.119 58.0% 0.155 0.2738
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1131 38.76% 30.55 -1.767 72.77% -0.077 -0.123
River Surges in Sunlight 937 41.78% 32.35 2.19 69.69% -0.015 0.115
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 65 30.77% 23.35 -0.019 47.69% -0.787 -0.6112
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 433 50.0% 29.0 -0.959 60.74% -0.433 -0.1356
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 210 33.81% 28.5 0.382 63.81% -0.014 -0.0977
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 819 41.08% 30.63 0.546 73.38% -0.029 -0.1403
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 21.43% 25.86 -5.211 50.0% -0.978 -1.0958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 377 62.07% 28.32 0.191 64.19% 0.138 0.6326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 57 44.64% 25.98 -3.732 57.89% -0.254 -0.3055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 76 37.33% 30.74 6.684 71.05% 0.725 0.2144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 72 43.06% 24.93 0.997 61.11% 0.553 0.4256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 290 43.06% 29.34 3.484 68.97% 0.565 0.5763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 199 58.59% 30.38 -2.171 66.33% -0.34 -0.2048
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 960 39.73% 33.0 1.62 79.48% 0.548 0.5962
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 198 30.61% 24.27 0.148 56.57% 0.175 -0.0396
Shifting Memory of Ages 627 47.21% 25.88 0.712 60.77% 0.074 0.3687
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 100 33.0% 25.81 -0.612 60.0% 0.151 0.0327
Shroud of Silent Mist 679 56.87% 25.25 -2.148 60.24% -0.631 -0.3029
Starlight Seeks its Form 932 29.94% 31.78 -2.663 75.0% -0.47 -0.5696
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2016 31.78% 31.47 0.965 82.24% 0.53 -0.0001
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 868 45.14% 27.31 -1.571 63.25% -0.201 -0.1239
Thunderspeaker 994 39.84% 32.56 0.247 73.34% -0.149 -0.1123
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 33.33% 23.61 6.644 53.15% 0.793 0.8514
Towering Roots of the Jungle 199 34.17% 23.47 -0.744 59.3% -0.052 0.0979
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1332 71.82% 25.45 -1.088 66.44% 0.02 0.1658
Vital Strength of the Earth 629 42.13% 26.98 -1.963 62.96% -0.295 0.2734
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 23.48% 22.08 -1.453 44.7% -0.248 0.2735
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 289 44.64% 24.19 -4.023 53.98% -0.796 -0.0544
Volcano Looming High 1000 42.04% 28.96 0.525 71.4% 0.258 0.2726
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 239 17.99% 31.88 3.134 74.9% 0.578 0.2856

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 17.14% 23.37 -11.489 54.29% -0.577 -0.6047
Blitz 0 425 34.91% 21.76 -6.302 50.12% -1.119 -0.8684
Dahan Insurrection 4 362 25.41% 52.19 14.084 74.59% 0.851 0.6026
Despicable Theft 2 131 37.4% 24.94 -3.699 46.56% -0.116 0.346
Elemental Invocation 1 227 44.49% 21.95 -6.464 39.65% -1.035 -0.3318
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 664 11.23% 32.49 1.261 61.3% -0.524 -1.0766
Powers Long Forgotten 1 247 50.2% 25.71 -5.168 48.18% -0.663 -0.0398
Rituals of Terror 3 168 47.62% 37.83 0.545 58.93% 0.048 0.2405
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 120 60.0% 34.76 0.0 56.67%
Second Wave 0 1254 47.68% 31.79 3.273 67.54% 0.49 0.6077
The Great River 3 124 41.13% 25.06 -14.701 36.29% -1.046 0.0219
Varied Terrains 2 110 35.45% 18.7 -6.282 36.36% -1.278 -0.5366
Ward the Shores 2 264 43.56% 29.06 -5.264 50.0% -0.834 0.2502

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13338 39.38% 30.25 0.458 72.26% 0.478 1.0045
1 Thematic 1593 44.87% 30.52 1.179 57.38% 0.241 1.0956
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 36.36 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3091 42.9% 28.76 -1.272 72.4% -0.326 -0.0481
2 Coastline 364 44.08% 30.17 -2.594 75.0% 0.015 0.1177
2 Fragment 92 59.34% 27.6 4.578 70.65% 0.603 0.616
2 Heart 61 52.46% 31.1 1.788 75.41% -0.066 0.0451
2 Opposite Shores 610 41.79% 28.8 3.482 70.98% 0.645 0.9819
2 Thematic 647 40.25% 25.75 -4.329 49.77% -0.75 -0.0609
2 Top to Top 74 39.19% 27.24 -0.143 68.92% -0.108 0.1339
3 Archipelago 5 20.0% 39.6 6.149 80.0% 0.366 -0.3541
3 Coastline 26 42.31% 31.81 0.0 69.23%
3 Other 65 38.46% 32.88 -4.136 84.62% -0.244 -0.8459
3 Round (Default) 1424 35.92% 31.34 -1.339 75.98% -0.86 -0.8545
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 32.0 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 131 40.46% 31.1 2.394 62.6% 0.405 0.4899
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 47.0 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 34.33 2.361 83.33% 0.091 0.2276
4 Other 28 57.14% 30.64 -2.544 78.57% -0.008 -0.6272
4 Thematic 109 31.48% 38.9 -5.151 71.56% -0.558 -0.2906
4 Trapezoid (Default) 447 37.67% 30.12 -0.912 74.94% -0.657 -0.4925
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 53 24.53% 29.62 -11.796 73.58% -1.134 -1.5199
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 33.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 4 0.0% 51.25 11.625 100.0% 0.381 0.3636
6 Thematic 34 23.53% 37.47 -2.743 76.47% -0.339 -0.2357
6 Two Centers (Default) 65 27.69% 30.48 9.459 70.77% 0.531 1.0959
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 567 26.11 -1.084 58.91% -0.362 -0.1127
Aid From Lesser Spirits 473 27.03 2.146 60.68% 0.389 0.2704
All Things Weaken 643 25.77 -2.441 56.3% -0.497 -0.1604
Attenuated Essence 90 23.7 0.578 55.56% -0.342 -0.315
Back Against the Wall 470 28.53 4.141 64.68% 1.019 1.0202
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 87 22.97 -0.386 45.98% -0.49 -0.273
Burn Brightest Before the End 81 25.02 1.943 51.85% 0.429 0.4099
Disintegrating Ecosystem 568 23.87 -2.16 54.23% -0.24 0.1536
Downward Spiral 716 24.69 -4.585 58.24% -0.685 -0.5771
Erosion of Will 513 25.64 -4.068 59.65% -0.885 -0.5325
Intensifying Exploitation 107 23.53 0.065 52.34% 0.002 0.2472
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 342 31.92 1.818 79.82% 0.774 0.2497
Memory Fades to Dust 672 24.88 -1.769 58.18% -0.333 -0.0861
Power Corrodes the Spirit 635 25.89 2.872 60.0% 0.87 1.0923
Promising Farmlands 547 23.78 1.826 52.65% 0.12 0.4026
Shattered Fragments of Power 76 21.16 -4.257 42.11% -1.103 -1.0261
Slow Dissolution of Will 94 23.85 -7.863 51.06% -1.637 -1.2396
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 214 31.81 5.525 82.24% 0.476 -0.2195
The Border of Life and Death 41 28.2 4.574 70.73% 0.695 0.0946
Thriving Communities 677 23.11 -2.287 52.73% -0.403 -0.0468
Thriving Crops 49 22.43 1.492 53.06% 0.289 0.0927
Unnatural Proliferation 654 25.98 -2.416 56.57% -0.706 -0.544
Untended Land Crumbles 625 24.97 -1.509 57.12% -0.551 -0.3196

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3774 40.19% 29.97 -0.973 73.4% -0.6 0.4053
B 3983 38.54% 30.16 1.309 73.14% 0.104 1.0239
C 4193 38.17% 30.02 -1.597 73.46% -0.719 0.0151
D 3745 39.91% 30.29 0.285 73.46% -0.219 0.759
E 3728 40.01% 30.48 -0.483 73.87% -0.398 0.4218
F 3569 39.08% 29.72 -0.444 72.43% -0.473 0.4003
G 3153 42.03% 29.51 0.859 71.11% -0.018 0.7914
H 3175 40.11% 30.43 1.262 73.89% 0.009 0.8241
East 1570 41.52% 30.98 -1.509 57.77% -0.808 0.0942
Northeast 747 38.47% 29.6 -1.293 54.62% -1.152 -0.3436
Northwest 678 38.66% 29.47 -1.86 56.49% -0.641 0.2589
Southeast 540 43.2% 32.15 3.567 64.07% 0.253 1.1036
Southwest 540 41.82% 25.64 -1.687 54.07% -0.575 0.8008
West 1523 42.09% 28.22 -1.848 54.69% -1.028 -0.0727

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 80 0.0% 34.16 2.545 83.75% 0.795 1.5026
Not Using Events or Tokens 218 44.55% 25.11 -4.536 55.05% -0.621 -0.2527
Skip Initial Invader Actions 387 10.29% 44.96 5.093 88.89% 0.128 -0.4569
Start of Game Growth 567 12.9% 42.75 5.506 86.6% 0.657 0.1432
Unlimited Undo 1694 33.29% 30.06 0.238 73.26% 0.221 0.1115
Using Tokens but Not Events 1884 28.71% 31.6 1.472 73.41% 0.158 0.1326

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3901 13.33 11.46%
II 7813 30.1 70.0%
III 7646 34.83 90.95%
IV 2971 38.67 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.309 Win Model: 0.734
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15203 39.97% 30.03 69.87%
2 4771 42.89% 29.25 71.89%
3 1611 36.91% 31.23 74.98%
4 592 35.93% 32.55 76.52%
5 43 32.56% 26.51 67.44%
6 111 25.23% 33.53 73.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 442
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6790
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5157
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2936
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2558
Lose: Invader deck ran out 106
Lose: Adversary condition 1751
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 222
Win: Scenario condition 402
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1751
Lose: Spirit destroyed 119

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1439 40.46% 37.3 1.615 71.99% 0.369 0.2633
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 116 38.79% 34.2 2.937 68.1% 0.969 0.489
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 797 69.72% 29.61 1.49 49.69% 0.473 0.5991
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 151 47.02% 34.78 -0.038 64.24% -0.259 -1.1058
Dances Up Earthquakes 108 56.48% 30.69 0.426 60.19% 0.338 0.3751
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1256 46.44% 36.77 2.333 72.53% 0.725 0.5883
Downpour Drenches the World 457 37.22% 30.22 -2.231 57.77% -0.125 0.0818
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 698 41.83% 31.18 -1.483 60.6% -0.275 -0.8854
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1565 38.69% 40.27 3.819 78.08% 0.923 0.5474
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1255 48.6% 36.04 -1.338 69.32% -0.131 -0.5211
Finder of Paths Unseen 248 52.82% 22.65 -1.731 39.92% -0.171 0.5489
Fractured Days Split the Sky 617 50.16% 30.82 -1.507 50.41% 0.152 0.763
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 760 58.97% 32.28 0.284 60.79% 0.308 0.2084
Heart of the Wildfire 1756 73.24% 30.39 -2.995 55.98% -0.465 -0.1282
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2240 48.88% 36.62 1.435 69.33% 0.467 0.0365
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 198 39.59% 31.9 4.55 59.6% 0.844 0.5296
Lightning's Swift Strike 782 60.54% 35.88 0.19 67.9% 0.227 0.4566
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 210 56.46% 32.06 2.107 61.9% 0.575 0.131
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 354 58.36% 36.14 0.045 67.8% 0.326 0.0155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 347 52.6% 33.29 1.302 59.37% 0.386 0.2436
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1888 58.48% 33.27 -0.801 61.86% -0.054 -0.2815
Many Minds Move as One 1050 37.15% 37.92 -1.127 75.62% -0.185 -0.4275
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1681 54.74% 35.0 -4.089 64.6% -0.838 -0.7285
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 128 70.31% 32.38 0.415 63.28% 0.392 0.5105
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1320 50.99% 34.81 1.809 66.44% 0.596 0.55
River Surges in Sunlight 1239 53.18% 38.15 2.829 66.18% 0.197 0.3277
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 72 50.0% 28.15 2.787 43.06% -0.137 0.0391
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 451 57.81% 31.65 -4.843 51.66% -0.818 -0.5205
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 282 44.64% 32.41 -1.958 56.03% -0.254 -0.3378
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1318 53.76% 34.61 1.809 65.33% 0.419 0.3075
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 32 37.5% 39.41 0.836 75.0% 0.346 0.2283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 351 73.79% 30.57 -12.087 51.85% -1.044 -0.5492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 58.21% 22.82 -2.473 37.31% -0.207 -0.258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 112 56.25% 32.79 0.898 60.71% 0.103 -0.4076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 57.97% 21.51 -1.324 34.78% -0.247 -0.3747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 250 68.8% 29.8 -8.873 52.4% -1.268 -1.2558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 172 64.53% 26.94 -2.768 42.44% -0.431 -0.2956
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1170 47.26% 36.61 0.979 70.09% -0.028 0.0201
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 179 41.01% 28.78 -0.134 55.31% -0.106 -0.3211
Shifting Memory of Ages 683 64.9% 29.05 -6.152 53.59% -1.237 -0.9423
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 100 48.0% 28.31 -0.99 52.0% -0.451 -0.5694
Shroud of Silent Mist 751 71.64% 25.81 -3.818 43.54% -0.346 -0.0184
Starlight Seeks its Form 937 51.72% 31.52 -0.821 57.63% -0.265 -0.3638
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3048 37.34% 37.71 5.551 80.02% 1.53 0.9991
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 889 59.55% 31.65 -3.037 57.71% -0.396 -0.3192
Thunderspeaker 1052 53.09% 34.18 -1.511 61.31% -0.152 -0.1158
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 38.46% 27.36 3.002 43.59% -0.142 -0.0835
Towering Roots of the Jungle 221 50.0% 26.76 -2.251 48.87% -0.122 0.0274
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1734 81.82% 29.17 -0.361 56.34% 0.017 0.1628
Vital Strength of the Earth 600 56.26% 30.79 1.825 53.33% 0.035 0.6026
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 156 41.67% 25.08 -2.099 42.95% -0.338 0.1828
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 322 49.69% 26.1 -3.331 46.27% -0.232 0.5095
Volcano Looming High 1275 64.12% 30.93 -2.184 59.84% -0.127 -0.1118
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 333 44.88% 30.98 0.727 60.66% 0.193 -0.0996

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 22.58% 25.58 -0.431 48.39% 0.203 0.176
Blitz 0 404 46.27% 30.83 -3.477 52.72% 0.037 0.2877
Dahan Insurrection 4 263 39.92% 54.3 17.711 68.44% 0.55 0.3011
Despicable Theft 2 89 55.06% 25.55 -3.381 35.96% -0.459 0.0026
Elemental Invocation 1 149 58.39% 23.89 -7.537 36.24% -1.192 -0.4889
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1054 13.19% 42.23 7.689 70.11% 1.181 0.6281
Powers Long Forgotten 1 152 59.21% 30.96 -7.956 46.05% -0.839 -0.2159
Rituals of Terror 3 78 62.82% 37.15 1.599 48.72% -0.14 0.0529
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 66.67% 36.48 5.862 46.67% 0.416 1.3388
Second Wave 0 811 56.08% 34.37 1.354 56.1% -0.031 0.0859
The Great River 3 60 20.0% 22.27 -12.39 15.0% -0.798 0.2701
Varied Terrains 2 57 56.14% 15.14 0.0 10.53%
Ward the Shores 2 165 60.61% 30.32 -7.116 38.18% -1.264 -0.1806

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16141 53.32% 33.39 -0.197 63.56% 0.213 0.7393
1 Thematic 1127 53.3% 33.82 -3.938 50.4% -1.006 -0.1515
2 Archipelago 26 69.23% 29.23 -8.298 34.62% -0.481 0.5739
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3812 55.61% 32.59 -0.466 62.7% -0.008 0.2696
2 Coastline 442 51.47% 36.26 5.185 71.27% 1.019 1.1218
2 Fragment 105 62.14% 32.04 -2.204 57.14% -0.378 -0.365
2 Heart 64 58.06% 30.16 -5.925 56.25% -0.8 -0.6883
2 Opposite Shores 849 54.74% 33.01 -0.47 62.43% 0.018 0.3539
2 Thematic 483 55.9% 31.05 1.816 47.2% 0.119 0.809
2 Top to Top 121 45.38% 37.35 12.116 73.55% 1.056 1.2983
3 Archipelago 14 64.29% 26.93 0.0 28.57%
3 Coastline 19 22.22% 34.05 0.0 57.89%
3 Other 84 58.33% 33.04 -2.779 64.29% -0.426 -1.0279
3 Round (Default) 1680 54.94% 33.89 3.145 65.12% 0.727 0.7332
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 77 59.74% 36.56 -11.415 62.34% -0.663 -0.5785
4 Archipelago 10 90.0% 34.2 0.0 40.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 69 60.87% 31.06 1.487 59.42% 0.961 0.3424
4 Thematic 188 44.68% 42.93 0.511 72.87% 0.206 0.4738
4 Trapezoid (Default) 654 50.15% 37.8 1.605 74.92% 0.682 0.846
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 57 55.36% 34.14 13.572 71.93% 0.646 0.2602
5 Thematic 12 25.0% 33.58 -9.718 66.67% -0.236 -1.0338
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 11 18.18% 31.82 -15.115 45.45% -1.041 -1.0716
6 Star 15 53.33% 32.0 -17.794 53.33% -1.197 -1.2137
6 Thematic 51 36.0% 36.16 4.489 56.86% 0.313 0.416
6 Two Centers (Default) 63 28.57% 27.92 5.011 52.38% 0.267 0.832
7 Other 4 25.0% 13.75 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 942 31.22 5.216 53.72% 0.702 0.9509
Aid From Lesser Spirits 740 34.3 2.601 60.95% 0.054 -0.064
All Things Weaken 1071 30.31 -2.714 53.31% -0.983 -0.6461
Attenuated Essence 158 26.76 2.233 44.94% 0.222 0.2483
Back Against the Wall 747 32.6 -0.499 57.7% -0.388 -0.3874
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 196 26.99 1.958 45.92% -0.278 -0.0608
Burn Brightest Before the End 137 32.26 1.171 56.93% -0.335 -0.3534
Disintegrating Ecosystem 869 28.38 -1.14 52.82% -0.172 0.2213
Downward Spiral 1057 29.26 0.207 52.41% -0.103 0.0055
Erosion of Will 901 29.63 1.31 51.05% -0.193 0.1592
Intensifying Exploitation 153 23.72 -6.637 41.18% -1.356 -1.1106
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 438 36.39 3.754 71.69% 0.553 0.0289
Memory Fades to Dust 1023 30.58 0.707 55.91% 0.114 0.3614
Power Corrodes the Spirit 958 30.24 -0.214 54.49% -0.031 0.1907
Promising Farmlands 832 28.13 2.208 50.0% 0.379 0.6615
Shattered Fragments of Power 129 29.03 3.483 47.29% 0.254 0.3304
Slow Dissolution of Will 146 25.15 -3.275 38.36% -0.649 -0.2524
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 282 37.29 2.107 75.18% 0.324 -0.3712
The Border of Life and Death 62 30.02 3.241 56.45% 0.939 0.3378
Thriving Communities 1023 27.24 -1.849 46.92% -0.506 -0.149
Thriving Crops 71 26.87 0.54 50.7% 0.085 -0.1112
Unnatural Proliferation 1036 31.45 2.054 54.83% 0.204 0.366
Untended Land Crumbles 1028 28.94 -1.226 51.36% -0.27 -0.0383

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4845 54.74% 32.81 -0.505 62.52% -0.164 0.8406
B 4928 55.07% 33.22 0.137 63.27% 0.047 0.9669
C 5584 50.45% 34.69 2.086 67.78% 0.375 1.1095
D 4533 56.15% 32.74 0.377 62.5% -0.034 0.9436
E 4699 52.87% 33.83 0.602 64.76% 0.048 0.8676
F 4323 54.03% 33.76 -0.791 64.35% -0.312 0.5612
G 3734 54.35% 33.36 -0.717 63.42% -0.164 0.6449
H 3661 51.4% 33.97 0.6 64.76% 0.155 0.9703
East 1251 52.0% 34.97 -0.618 53.96% -0.088 0.8145
Northeast 622 49.76% 33.18 -4.802 49.2% -1.144 -0.3356
Northwest 592 47.71% 33.82 0.194 52.2% -0.174 0.7264
Southeast 435 52.42% 37.03 -1.023 61.38% 0.237 1.0879
Southwest 406 49.5% 33.34 -2.666 55.17% -0.447 0.9288
West 1198 50.84% 34.52 3.046 53.76% 0.38 1.3351

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 104 0.0% 35.38 3.143 68.27% 0.744 1.4514
Not Using Events or Tokens 84 46.75% 32.87 3.406 60.71% 0.12 0.4878
Skip Initial Invader Actions 402 17.05% 50.43 0.363 83.08% -0.317 -0.9016
Start of Game Growth 660 24.19% 46.03 0.527 78.33% -0.288 -0.8024
Unlimited Undo 2133 43.97% 34.23 -2.122 64.32% -0.119 -0.228
Using Tokens but Not Events 2116 45.91% 33.7 0.126 63.85% 0.068 0.0424

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6096 13.33 7.04%
II 11189 30.1 67.15%
III 6278 34.83 94.52%
IV 2644 38.67 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.238 Win Model: 0.062
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17422 53.22% 33.38 62.54%
2 5817 55.51% 33.04 62.49%
3 1866 54.93% 33.77 64.58%
4 904 50.22% 38.61 73.78%
5 55 51.85% 28.8 60.0%
6 143 31.69% 31.26 53.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 427
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5866
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7273
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2609
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2831
Lose: Invader deck ran out 79
Lose: Adversary condition 3517
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 279
Win: Scenario condition 242
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2783
Lose: Spirit destroyed 206

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1614 50.9% 36.59 -4.822 62.7% -0.899 -1.0046
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 146 51.37% 36.11 2.419 58.9% 0.413 -0.0673
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 847 75.27% 30.22 3.587 44.75% 0.826 0.9513
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 194 56.7% 37.81 2.515 65.98% 0.273 -0.5739
Dances Up Earthquakes 99 56.57% 25.8 -1.571 45.45% -0.16 -0.1237
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1299 60.45% 35.31 0.745 61.59% 0.189 0.0523
Downpour Drenches the World 661 50.98% 26.94 -1.549 41.15% -0.306 -0.0993
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 870 48.97% 32.55 4.214 56.21% 0.683 0.0722
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1837 46.04% 39.54 3.575 69.95% 0.726 0.351
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1293 55.31% 36.77 1.756 61.79% 0.162 -0.2284
Finder of Paths Unseen 281 59.43% 22.68 -4.878 31.32% -1.091 -0.3714
Fractured Days Split the Sky 672 52.08% 29.73 -2.401 44.05% -0.125 0.4863
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 883 65.8% 32.46 -1.343 54.47% -0.109 -0.209
Heart of the Wildfire 1657 76.21% 30.63 -2.399 49.31% -0.223 0.1138
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3021 53.94% 36.26 1.682 58.52% 0.338 -0.0927
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 221 47.06% 30.96 -0.759 52.04% -0.152 -0.4664
Lightning's Swift Strike 936 70.56% 33.04 -0.422 50.32% -0.114 0.1155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 312 65.38% 37.79 4.219 65.06% 0.976 0.5316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 406 60.55% 36.48 2.463 62.07% 0.573 0.2628
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 388 56.7% 35.57 -0.437 58.25% 0.172 0.0294
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2165 68.73% 32.15 -0.572 52.06% -0.176 -0.4037
Many Minds Move as One 1133 47.75% 40.03 2.335 72.11% 0.666 0.4228
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2127 57.29% 37.48 -3.679 60.6% -0.671 -0.5617
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 141 67.38% 27.89 1.008 46.1% 0.14 0.2587
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1416 61.12% 34.44 1.349 57.91% 0.294 0.248
River Surges in Sunlight 1564 58.88% 39.97 1.907 63.36% -0.149 -0.0183
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 89 64.04% 32.82 6.065 44.94% 0.833 1.0089
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 512 65.29% 30.59 -0.293 44.92% -0.146 0.1514
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 407 51.36% 36.23 1.13 50.37% -0.056 -0.1393
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1340 58.49% 33.98 1.608 56.64% 0.296 0.1851
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 50 62.0% 37.08 4.367 66.0% 0.758 0.6398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 265 76.14% 29.07 -2.694 36.6% -0.555 -0.0601
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 49 65.31% 23.63 3.432 36.73% 0.333 0.2818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 161 66.46% 29.2 4.853 48.45% 0.726 0.2156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 69.51% 29.33 -14.17 40.24% -1.531 -1.6591
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 226 74.34% 29.78 -7.092 46.02% -0.826 -0.8144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 75.51% 25.63 -2.493 31.76% -0.226 -0.0904
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1198 55.9% 36.95 -2.905 63.36% -0.286 -0.2376
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 282 51.6% 29.23 2.388 47.52% 0.207 -0.008
Shifting Memory of Ages 643 69.27% 28.52 3.144 46.03% 0.753 1.047
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 127 59.84% 34.39 3.224 59.84% 0.582 0.4635
Shroud of Silent Mist 802 74.0% 24.07 -2.624 33.92% -0.383 -0.0553
Starlight Seeks its Form 1281 52.78% 31.59 0.065 51.13% -0.063 -0.1621
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3644 50.0% 35.88 1.329 67.32% 0.528 -0.0029
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 876 67.28% 31.9 -5.685 47.95% -0.858 -0.7807
Thunderspeaker 1126 62.96% 34.94 -0.252 55.24% -0.283 -0.2472
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 49.57% 26.85 -0.655 46.15% 0.13 0.189
Towering Roots of the Jungle 262 57.25% 24.72 -1.663 38.55% -0.524 -0.3745
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2059 85.6% 28.87 -1.909 46.96% -0.424 -0.2781
Vital Strength of the Earth 645 65.27% 26.75 1.217 31.94% -0.157 0.4113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 207 50.97% 27.62 -2.927 39.61% -0.664 -0.1431
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 270 63.7% 28.38 -4.1 42.96% -0.634 0.1073
Volcano Looming High 1546 70.58% 32.06 2.137 54.72% 0.415 0.4299
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 399 57.64% 28.39 -0.543 47.37% 0.161 -0.1315

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 33.33% 40.06 14.572 50.0% 0.24 0.2124
Blitz 0 434 30.88% 41.8 -1.26 46.54% 0.111 0.3616
Dahan Insurrection 4 238 44.54% 56.2 6.099 62.61% -0.178 -0.4266
Despicable Theft 2 30 56.67% 29.07 7.066 40.0% 0.507 0.9684
Elemental Invocation 1 179 59.22% 27.28 -0.548 27.93% -0.547 0.1557
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1000 18.45% 43.33 2.785 64.2% 0.434 -0.119
Powers Long Forgotten 1 157 56.05% 25.06 -7.662 31.21% -1.094 -0.4705
Rituals of Terror 3 70 64.29% 37.37 -4.752 40.0% -0.825 -0.632
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 63.93% 26.51 0.0 26.23%
Second Wave 0 464 55.56% 36.0 3.885 53.45% 0.367 0.484
The Great River 3 69 26.09% 29.77 -11.917 27.54% -0.921 0.1468
Varied Terrains 2 36 27.78% 21.86 -0.682 22.22% -0.128 0.6127
Ward the Shores 2 103 58.25% 25.16 -8.925 21.36% -0.851 0.2327

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18747 60.99% 33.17 -0.216 55.65% 0.331 0.8572
1 Thematic 1125 59.2% 33.63 -4.752 43.82% -0.561 0.2928
2 Archipelago 31 77.42% 41.94 0.0 64.52%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4385 63.47% 32.96 0.568 55.99% 0.183 0.4612
2 Coastline 493 60.69% 36.73 -3.715 64.5% -0.142 -0.0393
2 Fragment 97 66.32% 30.48 -5.491 49.48% -0.428 -0.4155
2 Heart 60 73.68% 35.05 5.705 60.0% 0.703 0.8149
2 Opposite Shores 975 60.12% 33.93 -2.252 52.41% -0.641 -0.3048
2 Thematic 403 64.34% 30.28 -0.71 35.24% 0.037 0.7261
2 Top to Top 156 51.92% 37.4 0.719 65.38% 0.552 0.7943
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 32.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 27.56 3.199 44.44% -0.01 -0.3504
3 Other 80 53.16% 37.59 -4.304 72.5% -0.279 -0.8811
3 Round (Default) 2131 59.18% 32.72 1.393 53.4% 0.227 0.2329
3 Sunrise 10 60.0% 29.2 -10.765 50.0% -0.367 -0.429
3 Thematic 95 66.32% 35.96 4.294 44.21% 0.202 0.2869
4 Archipelago 14 64.29% 59.0 0.0 78.57%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 14 85.71% 37.79 0.0 64.29%
4 Other 49 54.35% 33.47 -6.016 61.22% -0.469 -1.0881
4 Thematic 144 51.39% 42.31 11.225 54.86% 0.312 0.5796
4 Trapezoid (Default) 817 54.37% 36.81 7.474 62.42% 1.499 1.6628
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 65 53.13% 37.98 -1.326 66.15% -0.459 -0.8447
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 12.25 7.667 25.0% 0.277 -0.5206
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 16 46.67% 42.13 2.782 62.5% 0.048 0.0174
6 Star 12 66.67% 39.17 -17.481 75.0% -0.743 -0.7606
6 Thematic 22 54.55% 39.45 -3.818 59.09% -0.811 -0.7079
6 Two Centers (Default) 54 40.74% 30.76 13.334 57.41% 0.825 1.3897
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.779 0.0% -0.305 -0.7391

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1151 30.89 0.27 47.0% -0.352 -0.1022
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1004 34.45 6.374 55.48% 0.838 0.72
All Things Weaken 1326 30.41 -0.453 45.78% -0.45 -0.1132
Attenuated Essence 241 31.67 0.175 50.21% -0.039 -0.0127
Back Against the Wall 929 32.58 -0.764 49.95% -0.55 -0.5491
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 283 26.32 -0.076 37.1% -0.494 -0.2765
Burn Brightest Before the End 176 28.76 2.332 38.64% -0.327 -0.3453
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1123 28.46 -0.543 44.79% -0.282 0.1108
Downward Spiral 1376 30.46 -1.782 49.78% -0.414 -0.306
Erosion of Will 1214 29.63 0.187 44.32% -0.197 0.155
Intensifying Exploitation 234 24.68 -0.612 32.48% -0.353 -0.1071
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 580 35.85 1.438 61.03% -0.144 -0.668
Memory Fades to Dust 1303 30.5 2.648 47.05% 0.188 0.435
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1352 29.47 -2.125 45.34% -0.713 -0.4911
Promising Farmlands 1135 29.42 1.607 45.37% 0.437 0.7195
Shattered Fragments of Power 182 31.45 2.446 43.41% 0.031 0.1074
Slow Dissolution of Will 249 26.65 -0.767 36.14% -0.635 -0.2383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 355 38.8 4.401 71.27% 0.14 -0.5551
The Border of Life and Death 63 36.3 13.0 58.73% 1.205 0.6043
Thriving Communities 1191 28.05 1.031 40.97% -0.114 0.2425
Thriving Crops 110 27.08 -1.835 42.73% -0.862 -1.0585
Unnatural Proliferation 1337 30.72 0.369 44.8% -0.308 -0.146
Untended Land Crumbles 1327 29.47 -0.02 44.91% -0.389 -0.1576

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5826 59.94% 33.56 1.036 55.72% -0.002 1.0029
B 5788 59.1% 33.41 1.716 56.2% 0.275 1.1944
C 6364 61.06% 33.36 0.693 55.25% 0.007 0.7414
D 5314 60.53% 33.37 -0.192 56.27% 0.015 0.9931
E 5329 61.72% 33.92 -0.727 56.91% -0.276 0.5439
F 4941 59.76% 33.72 0.772 56.83% -0.061 0.8124
G 4364 60.22% 33.78 -0.507 56.83% 0.03 0.8394
H 4415 61.07% 33.91 0.11 57.15% -0.024 0.7908
East 1198 60.37% 35.09 -0.199 44.57% -0.193 0.7092
Northeast 520 61.66% 35.67 -2.099 42.31% -0.95 -0.1422
Northwest 447 60.09% 34.41 -0.978 40.94% -0.415 0.4854
Southeast 420 57.62% 33.33 -0.811 44.05% -0.072 0.7781
Southwest 378 58.47% 29.07 -3.237 38.36% -0.941 0.4351
West 1030 59.53% 32.66 2.914 40.68% 0.457 1.4115

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 73 0.0% 39.0 7.699 69.86% 1.503 2.2106
Not Using Events or Tokens 106 63.21% 36.27 9.08 50.94% 0.243 0.6107
Skip Initial Invader Actions 736 13.57% 55.76 4.306 75.27% -0.573 -1.1575
Start of Game Growth 1008 17.74% 51.9 8.52 74.7% 0.927 0.4127
Unlimited Undo 2503 50.53% 36.14 -0.682 59.53% -0.228 -0.3378
Using Tokens but Not Events 2011 50.72% 34.04 1.392 57.24% 0.125 0.0989

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8067 13.33 3.53%
II 12013 30.1 58.27%
III 7997 34.83 91.7%
IV 1957 38.67 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.693 Win Model: 0.362
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20020 60.8% 33.16 54.84%
2 6521 63.0% 33.52 55.54%
3 2307 59.42% 33.12 53.79%
4 1024 54.08% 37.53 61.43%
5 55 55.56% 33.13 54.55%
6 107 46.23% 36.16 62.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 284
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7247
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6824
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1937
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3227
Lose: Invader deck ran out 221
Lose: Adversary condition 5726
Win: Sacrifice victory 105
Lose: Scenario condition 290
Win: Scenario condition 170
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3733
Lose: Spirit destroyed 270

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 903 67.7% 38.97 -0.247 54.71% 0.105 -0.001
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 96 61.46% 39.92 4.078 57.29% 0.576 0.0958
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 453 86.09% 31.11 3.168 34.22% 0.347 0.4727
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 68.5% 28.49 2.334 36.22% 0.467 -0.3801
Dances Up Earthquakes 91 72.53% 24.92 -1.818 25.27% -0.426 -0.3888
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 729 85.32% 31.11 -1.874 36.35% -0.321 -0.458
Downpour Drenches the World 380 61.58% 26.86 -4.88 33.42% -0.553 -0.3467
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 464 73.28% 31.87 3.438 44.4% 0.55 -0.061
Eyes Watch From the Trees 964 68.57% 41.01 7.357 56.33% 1.166 0.7909
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 921 72.28% 38.55 2.908 50.92% 0.392 0.0017
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 61.0% 25.69 -2.958 33.0% -0.477 0.243
Fractured Days Split the Sky 435 66.44% 36.42 0.756 42.76% -0.0 0.6108
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 477 79.87% 29.32 -1.492 35.43% 0.043 -0.0571
Heart of the Wildfire 2085 80.97% 33.75 -1.002 43.26% 0.083 0.4194
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1634 71.64% 37.13 3.75 47.74% 0.663 0.2326
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 110 62.73% 23.08 -5.659 25.45% -0.491 -0.8052
Lightning's Swift Strike 314 88.78% 29.81 -8.01 31.53% -0.999 -0.769
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 284 70.21% 42.45 -0.38 53.52% -0.029 -0.4734
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 237 89.45% 37.74 -12.673 48.52% -0.691 -1.0012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 128 78.91% 35.2 3.837 46.09% 0.51 0.3673
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1660 74.59% 36.58 0.093 47.41% -0.366 -0.5935
Many Minds Move as One 668 56.89% 42.41 2.514 62.72% 0.315 0.0721
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 836 76.53% 30.53 -3.41 33.85% -0.345 -0.236
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 114 70.18% 17.87 -3.659 19.3% -0.621 -0.5022
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 803 81.65% 34.34 -2.504 44.21% -0.456 -0.5022
River Surges in Sunlight 838 78.5% 39.19 -0.788 48.33% -0.282 -0.1516
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 37 81.08% 30.27 1.511 35.14% -0.065 0.1105
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 219 78.54% 28.14 0.0 26.48%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 188 62.23% 40.08 4.289 53.19% 0.152 0.0682
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 754 74.93% 38.13 -0.921 52.25% -0.221 -0.3318
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 21 66.67% 38.43 2.348 57.14% 0.258 0.1397
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 184 76.63% 26.1 -4.907 23.91% -0.098 0.3971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 72.41% 34.24 -2.626 41.38% -0.252 -0.3032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 143 72.03% 37.71 0.905 51.75% 0.482 -0.0286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 71.43% 32.14 -13.729 45.71% -0.193 -0.3211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 144 85.42% 36.6 1.585 45.83% -0.01 0.0013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 123 85.37% 33.61 -9.738 41.46% -0.642 -0.5067
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 542 71.03% 37.0 -5.102 47.05% -0.73 -0.6817
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 134 53.73% 41.06 3.741 55.22% 0.248 0.0329
Shifting Memory of Ages 474 81.61% 31.81 0.523 39.87% 0.319 0.6133
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 87 77.01% 32.55 4.227 43.68% 0.783 0.6643
Shroud of Silent Mist 429 82.52% 30.7 0.203 38.46% 0.054 0.3812
Starlight Seeks its Form 904 72.23% 35.86 -2.814 49.78% -0.204 -0.303
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3136 57.34% 40.92 5.364 64.32% 1.28 0.7494
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 631 78.89% 33.14 -0.577 39.3% -0.015 0.062
Thunderspeaker 558 81.87% 35.19 -12.813 42.29% -0.839 -0.8031
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 71.88% 20.95 -14.379 23.44% -0.284 -0.2258
Towering Roots of the Jungle 240 60.83% 25.95 2.917 34.17% 0.704 0.854
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2247 90.57% 32.86 -1.496 41.88% -0.331 -0.1851
Vital Strength of the Earth 263 80.99% 27.23 -4.965 22.43% -0.446 0.1218
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 113 70.27% 31.58 12.221 36.28% 1.426 1.9474
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 156 78.85% 28.19 -6.014 28.21% -0.655 0.0863
Volcano Looming High 1138 84.27% 31.05 -0.252 38.93% 0.018 0.0324
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 299 66.89% 32.37 2.97 45.48% 0.224 -0.0678

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 21.44 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 114 60.53% 32.4 -4.284 41.23% -0.428 -0.1773
Dahan Insurrection 4 62 62.9% 50.26 -10.192 40.32% -0.138 -0.3866
Despicable Theft 2 46 63.04% 25.57 8.596 21.74% 0.29 0.7523
Elemental Invocation 1 67 56.72% 25.49 -5.469 20.9% 0.093 0.7954
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 660 26.52% 49.1 6.119 60.0% -0.09 -0.6425
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 70.31% 27.61 -6.388 26.56% -0.351 0.2729
Rituals of Terror 3 33 51.52% 42.45 -10.445 45.45% -0.189 0.0041
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 90.63% 36.84 -8.203 31.25% -0.111 0.8112
Second Wave 0 295 67.7% 38.06 1.305 44.41% -0.41 -0.2926
The Great River 3 17 41.18% 26.41 0.0 5.88%
Varied Terrains 2 23 69.57% 21.87 -1.777 17.39% -0.519 0.2217
Ward the Shores 2 55 76.36% 26.76 0.0 18.18%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12924 75.07% 34.94 0.033 46.69% 0.161 0.6877
1 Thematic 462 65.08% 32.36 -2.231 34.2% -0.307 0.5472
2 Archipelago 7 100.0% 44.71 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2988 77.84% 35.08 0.164 46.62% 0.126 0.4036
2 Coastline 341 78.59% 35.35 1.788 47.51% 0.109 0.2114
2 Fragment 51 72.55% 35.2 5.222 45.1% 0.048 0.0606
2 Heart 38 86.84% 36.26 0.0 52.63%
2 Opposite Shores 554 74.23% 33.01 -0.228 40.07% -0.367 -0.0303
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 205 72.68% 31.87 -7.089 30.73% -0.813 -0.123
2 Top to Top 124 91.94% 35.32 1.491 44.35% 0.246 0.4881
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 50 78.0% 44.86 0.0 72.0%
3 Round (Default) 1398 74.73% 33.42 1.007 44.71% 0.166 0.1716
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 36 75.0% 31.44 16.396 27.78% 0.885 0.9693
4 Leaf 6 100.0% 39.17 -15.187 66.67% -0.42 -0.2832
4 Other 21 71.43% 44.52 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 129 58.14% 45.42 -17.185 52.71% -0.442 -0.1739
4 Trapezoid (Default) 385 76.12% 36.99 2.925 47.01% -0.47 -0.3057
5 Other 19 55.56% 37.16 12.0 52.63% 0.508 0.1219
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 9 66.67% 20.33 -0.794 22.22% 0.045 0.0141
6 Star 13 38.46% 27.15 7.586 30.77% 0.32 0.3029
6 Thematic 47 14.89% 65.98 7.899 76.6% 0.019 0.1224
6 Two Centers (Default) 27 48.15% 22.22 -3.485 29.63% -0.414 0.1512

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1010 34.86 -0.901 43.66% -0.343 -0.0934
Aid From Lesser Spirits 805 39.08 4.622 52.05% 1.003 0.8843
All Things Weaken 1128 33.84 4.725 39.36% 0.653 0.9906
Attenuated Essence 175 32.8 2.708 42.29% 0.631 0.6573
Back Against the Wall 774 38.91 6.743 50.0% 0.441 0.4419
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 207 33.57 1.733 44.44% 0.118 0.3351
Burn Brightest Before the End 130 33.81 7.461 42.31% 0.728 0.7089
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1000 33.48 0.489 43.3% 0.135 0.5283
Downward Spiral 1056 33.93 4.55 43.47% 0.769 0.8771
Erosion of Will 965 35.48 3.625 42.59% 0.213 0.5652
Intensifying Exploitation 203 28.61 3.818 32.51% 0.171 0.417
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 356 38.62 3.408 53.09% 0.645 0.1207
Memory Fades to Dust 1127 34.32 1.351 43.39% 0.031 0.2784
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1068 34.66 1.108 44.01% 0.164 0.3855
Promising Farmlands 956 32.6 4.541 38.6% 0.572 0.8552
Shattered Fragments of Power 153 33.79 2.998 43.14% 0.399 0.4756
Slow Dissolution of Will 181 30.13 4.332 32.6% 0.56 0.9568
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 219 43.11 12.196 62.1% 0.496 -0.1988
The Border of Life and Death 40 29.05 -11.34 40.0% -0.368 -0.9688
Thriving Communities 1067 32.87 3.258 41.33% 0.335 0.6913
Thriving Crops 75 30.83 0.56 41.33% 0.278 0.0814
Unnatural Proliferation 1128 36.14 1.657 44.24% -0.263 -0.1004
Untended Land Crumbles 1064 32.68 -1.667 38.72% -0.373 -0.1418

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3529 75.18% 33.91 -0.342 44.72% -0.069 0.936
B 3995 74.94% 35.32 2.579 47.73% 0.367 1.2868
C 4349 75.25% 35.12 -0.013 46.82% -0.099 0.6353
D 3358 77.6% 34.2 -1.511 45.03% -0.508 0.4703
E 3418 76.96% 34.45 0.293 45.35% 0.046 0.8661
F 3376 74.93% 35.15 1.3 47.25% 0.149 1.0224
G 2779 74.73% 34.54 1.498 45.05% 0.081 0.8903
H 2765 74.98% 35.24 -1.196 47.2% -0.301 0.5134
East 633 62.24% 37.45 -3.838 39.18% -0.422 0.4803
Northeast 292 57.53% 41.66 0.842 44.52% -0.209 0.5995
Northwest 240 57.32% 42.26 -1.073 45.42% -0.605 0.2945
Southeast 267 52.81% 40.68 -1.039 46.44% 0.25 1.1002
Southwest 237 55.7% 41.16 -2.718 46.84% -0.236 1.1393
West 554 63.29% 37.0 0.597 38.45% 0.296 1.251

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 38.92 16.307 54.17% 1.32 2.0279
Not Using Events or Tokens 76 67.11% 28.54 5.621 36.84% 0.535 0.9027
Skip Initial Invader Actions 206 44.44% 51.74 15.867 70.87% 1.235 0.6501
Start of Game Growth 469 45.34% 49.39 2.182 66.95% 0.025 -0.4886
Unlimited Undo 1966 69.18% 36.16 -2.79 51.68% -0.314 -0.4237
Using Tokens but Not Events 908 69.91% 32.64 0.227 42.29% 0.075 0.0491

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6547 13.33 2.5%
II 7537 30.1 48.43%
III 4545 34.83 90.3%
IV 1231 38.67 99.84%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.391 Win Model: 0.121
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13449 74.67% 34.84 46.24%
2 4293 77.79% 34.85 45.35%
3 1468 74.57% 33.56 44.96%
4 538 72.47% 39.27 49.26%
5 20 52.63% 27.85 30.0%
6 92 30.43% 45.08 54.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 164
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4053
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3585
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1204
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2315
Lose: Invader deck ran out 100
Lose: Adversary condition 4253
Win: Sacrifice victory 106
Lose: Scenario condition 187
Win: Scenario condition 35
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3577
Lose: Spirit destroyed 281

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 433 70.6% 41.31 4.833 49.88% 0.571 0.4656
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 33 69.7% 32.45 0.802 45.45% 0.25 -0.2304
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 167 86.23% 33.22 2.731 32.93% -0.15 -0.0248
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 56 60.71% 34.77 -10.072 44.64% -0.214 -1.0609
Dances Up Earthquakes 23 69.57% 28.78 -1.709 39.13% -0.085 -0.0486
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 315 85.4% 29.88 -1.632 26.67% -0.519 -0.6553
Downpour Drenches the World 165 67.88% 28.12 -6.485 27.88% -0.613 -0.4062
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 251 76.89% 33.27 -10.677 46.22% -0.36 -0.9713
Eyes Watch From the Trees 355 67.32% 39.61 2.88 46.76% 0.72 0.3444
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 322 85.71% 33.58 -3.546 34.16% -0.816 -1.2066
Finder of Paths Unseen 80 45.0% 25.1 -1.62 33.75% 0.104 0.8235
Fractured Days Split the Sky 197 71.07% 40.3 -7.612 42.64% -0.704 -0.0926
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 213 81.69% 26.86 -5.676 25.82% -1.142 -1.2417
Heart of the Wildfire 968 84.58% 28.69 -2.254 27.48% -0.452 -0.1148
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 940 71.49% 36.49 0.313 40.11% 0.399 -0.0311
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 26 76.92% 29.46 11.391 34.62% 0.49 0.1756
Lightning's Swift Strike 134 89.55% 30.92 -4.838 26.12% -0.277 -0.0473
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 85 80.95% 41.49 3.601 50.59% 0.071 -0.3729
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 82 93.9% 33.88 2.851 36.59% 0.064 -0.2465
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 63 82.54% 30.49 0.0 25.4%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 710 85.21% 35.06 -1.319 40.42% 0.131 -0.0967
Many Minds Move as One 263 66.16% 46.67 12.358 63.5% 1.357 1.1143
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 423 77.3% 33.74 -0.826 35.7% -0.329 -0.2196
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 40 70.0% 23.27 3.175 27.5% 0.637 0.756
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 313 79.23% 34.34 -1.489 38.02% 0.206 0.1602
River Surges in Sunlight 345 83.48% 38.33 -1.632 38.84% -0.086 0.0445
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 96.0% 30.64 0.0 24.0%
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 75 78.67% 34.79 -2.234 29.33% -0.221 0.0773
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 129 65.12% 41.86 0.094 50.39% -0.576 -0.6593
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 383 77.81% 40.53 1.118 47.52% -0.184 -0.2949
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 64.29% 36.21 2.957 50.0% 0.249 0.1315
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 104 92.31% 27.01 0.0 8.65%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 88.89% 38.0 3.08 38.89% -0.084 -0.135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 75.0% 28.31 4.756 28.57% 0.286 -0.2244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 47.83% 15.65 -10.072 17.39% -0.214 -0.3416
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 82.35% 30.45 0.0 27.45%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 51 88.24% 29.04 0.0 17.65%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 169 80.47% 33.82 -0.535 32.54% 0.218 0.2666
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 62 70.97% 29.18 -4.211 35.48% -0.637 -0.8525
Shifting Memory of Ages 198 83.33% 34.21 -2.269 34.34% -0.354 -0.0599
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 27 77.78% 49.15 6.719 77.78% 0.435 0.3166
Shroud of Silent Mist 173 79.77% 26.14 0.195 21.97% 0.148 0.476
Starlight Seeks its Form 326 77.91% 37.7 3.48 46.32% 0.774 0.6747
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1467 61.01% 41.07 3.08 56.92% 0.922 0.392
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 243 81.48% 30.96 0.208 26.75% 0.353 0.4305
Thunderspeaker 209 89.0% 33.53 1.563 31.1% 0.128 0.1639
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 43 79.07% 27.7 -13.373 30.23% -0.439 -0.3806
Towering Roots of the Jungle 135 66.67% 21.73 0.745 26.67% 0.068 0.2174
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 789 91.38% 33.31 -2.0 37.26% -0.639 -0.4932
Vital Strength of the Earth 110 80.91% 30.39 -8.5 23.64% -0.191 0.3771
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 44 53.49% 33.11 14.795 34.09% 0.484 1.0052
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 74.55% 25.47 0.0 21.82%
Volcano Looming High 490 86.73% 31.4 -1.169 30.82% 0.2 0.2151
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 92 68.48% 33.04 2.948 41.3% -0.147 -0.4392

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 54 55.56% 26.3 -1.193 24.07% 0.092 0.3422
Dahan Insurrection 4 57 78.95% 41.25 0.0 12.28%
Despicable Theft 2 12 66.67% 25.17 0.0 16.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 45 37.78% 18.67 -9.443 13.33% -0.314 0.3888
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 248 28.63% 40.75 11.81 37.9% 1.352 0.7993
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 64.1% 24.9 0.0 17.95%
Rituals of Terror 3 22 68.18% 38.91 0.0 18.18%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 87.91% 24.82 0.0 1.65%
Second Wave 0 102 60.4% 39.61 0.0 44.12%
The Great River 3 4 50.0% 12.25 -6.545 0.0% -0.124 0.9443
Varied Terrains 2 5 40.0% 23.2 -6.135 20.0% -0.138 0.6034
Ward the Shores 2 21 42.86% 19.57 -11.893 14.29% -0.258 0.8254

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5964 76.79% 34.29 -0.167 39.57% -0.277 0.2495
1 Thematic 554 73.6% 27.32 -4.405 13.18% -0.718 0.1364
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1182 83.25% 35.14 1.263 38.75% 0.074 0.3523
2 Coastline 142 76.76% 35.4 11.42 43.66% 0.34 0.443
2 Fragment 15 93.33% 37.47 0.361 46.67% -0.101 -0.0879
2 Heart 19 63.16% 42.26 22.06 47.37% 0.595 0.7067
2 Opposite Shores 185 76.22% 36.69 0.0 38.92%
2 Thematic 70 57.14% 26.63 -1.011 12.86% -0.276 0.4131
2 Top to Top 77 88.31% 36.77 11.05 41.56% 0.245 0.4872
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 20 75.0% 46.95 0.0 70.0%
3 Round (Default) 450 75.72% 36.9 -0.547 45.56% 0.244 0.25
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 17 35.29% 19.12 -5.705 17.65% -0.088 -0.0035
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 10.765 72.73% 0.612 -0.0074
4 Thematic 50 64.0% 47.82 -3.062 48.0% -0.035 0.2324
4 Trapezoid (Default) 189 79.89% 36.34 0.624 39.68% -0.036 0.1277
5 Other 15 86.67% 33.07 -5.531 40.0% -0.494 -0.8796
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 20.75 -9.752 25.0% -0.442 -0.4725
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 0.0 22.22%
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 55.56% 29.0 6.524 44.44% 0.342 0.907
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 492 34.42 2.82 33.74% 0.355 0.6048
Aid From Lesser Spirits 365 40.32 7.045 46.58% 0.386 0.2681
All Things Weaken 501 33.74 2.181 33.33% 0.089 0.4259
Attenuated Essence 98 30.46 0.458 33.67% -0.283 -0.2563
Back Against the Wall 362 36.42 4.24 36.46% 0.4 0.4006
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 113 27.06 -7.026 27.43% -0.409 -0.192
Burn Brightest Before the End 77 38.21 5.878 46.75% 0.549 0.53
Disintegrating Ecosystem 445 34.36 0.689 37.75% -0.167 0.2265
Downward Spiral 508 32.31 4.923 31.69% 0.772 0.8806
Erosion of Will 470 32.7 -5.53 31.06% -1.13 -0.7776
Intensifying Exploitation 99 31.83 -1.715 37.37% -0.414 -0.1684
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 114 40.61 -5.548 48.25% -0.535 -1.0592
Memory Fades to Dust 487 33.65 2.267 34.7% 0.044 0.2911
Power Corrodes the Spirit 523 33.73 6.346 34.03% 0.753 0.9748
Promising Farmlands 449 32.69 2.282 33.18% 0.334 0.6169
Shattered Fragments of Power 59 40.92 13.818 50.85% 1.154 1.2311
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 31.57 5.681 33.72% 0.664 1.0613
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 91 45.18 10.07 60.44% 0.433 -0.2621
The Border of Life and Death 14 31.14 0.0 42.86%
Thriving Communities 525 33.3 1.182 34.67% -0.229 0.1279
Thriving Crops 23 34.13 -11.291 47.83% -0.164 -0.3602
Unnatural Proliferation 498 35.23 5.038 34.94% 0.615 0.777
Untended Land Crumbles 543 33.21 5.269 32.78% 0.392 0.6235

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1442 79.58% 34.12 0.009 38.83% 0.382 1.3868
B 1634 78.64% 35.19 -0.188 40.51% 0.013 0.9325
C 1724 78.82% 36.49 -0.749 43.16% 0.179 0.9136
D 1364 79.69% 34.57 -0.501 39.59% 0.013 0.9909
E 1510 78.48% 35.08 4.528 40.4% 0.933 1.7529
F 1493 75.39% 34.1 -0.947 39.52% -0.029 0.8451
G 1231 77.17% 35.81 1.722 41.19% 0.506 1.3156
H 1228 78.34% 35.35 -0.863 40.15% -0.0 0.8146
East 320 57.19% 31.8 -9.407 24.69% -0.523 0.3801
Northeast 126 64.29% 31.41 -0.79 23.02% -0.299 0.5086
Northwest 178 75.14% 29.05 -0.877 14.61% -0.531 0.3691
Southeast 162 53.7% 31.54 -5.705 25.93% -0.088 0.7625
Southwest 257 76.26% 27.05 -8.37 11.28% -0.222 1.1538
West 488 74.54% 28.07 -1.415 12.91% -0.013 0.942

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 27.25 1.654 25.0% -0.148 0.5603
Not Using Events or Tokens 33 72.73% 38.06 0.0 39.39%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 102 54.0% 54.94 21.47 73.53% 0.768 0.1837
Start of Game Growth 167 55.15% 49.2 -1.81 63.47% 0.097 -0.4174
Unlimited Undo 789 65.99% 40.11 -2.875 53.74% -0.208 -0.3177
Using Tokens but Not Events 537 68.48% 35.5 -2.889 40.6% -0.47 -0.4958

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2891 13.33 0.97%
II 3549 30.1 29.61%
III 1943 34.83 89.35%
IV 619 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: -0.164
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6565 76.35% 33.72 37.32%
2 1666 81.33% 35.14 38.54%
3 484 75.16% 37.26 46.28%
4 252 76.19% 38.61 42.46%
5 11 81.82% 30.45 27.27%
6 24 54.17% 26.42 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 27
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1029
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 609
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1135
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Lose: Adversary condition 2127
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 111
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2039
Lose: Spirit destroyed 110

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2642 61.49% 38.51 -2.952 38.15% 0.117 0.0117
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 474 37.55% 29.65 2.552 33.33% 0.964 0.4843
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1012 84.19% 30.85 -3.874 19.86% -0.087 0.0385
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 517 67.7% 33.71 7.329 36.56% 1.093 0.2457
Dances Up Earthquakes 272 70.96% 28.25 0.681 28.68% 0.438 0.4749
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1312 79.54% 25.94 -1.922 15.85% -0.597 -0.7342
Downpour Drenches the World 1050 59.58% 26.85 -1.365 22.57% 0.124 0.3303
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1371 74.58% 25.2 -2.001 24.0% -0.014 -0.6253
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2056 79.12% 33.74 1.977 29.28% 0.517 0.1415
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1611 81.94% 30.71 -2.216 23.15% -0.464 -0.854
Finder of Paths Unseen 683 54.9% 26.43 -1.984 26.21% -0.021 0.6982
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1863 57.17% 37.37 -5.258 32.9% -0.738 -0.1269
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1248 80.93% 25.47 -5.293 16.03% -0.49 -0.5901
Heart of the Wildfire 4859 83.31% 30.35 -3.869 24.82% -0.505 -0.1685
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4652 70.01% 38.73 2.386 38.33% 0.684 0.2529
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 267 69.29% 23.7 -0.44 18.35% -0.646 -0.9607
Lightning's Swift Strike 1165 88.82% 26.47 -2.914 12.27% -0.809 -0.5793
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1460 71.21% 28.25 1.047 19.45% 0.114 -0.3301
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 624 85.51% 33.43 -3.35 29.81% 0.188 -0.1224
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 503 67.93% 33.71 -4.724 32.21% -0.428 -0.5704
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4035 81.22% 31.58 -0.477 25.03% 0.348 0.12
Many Minds Move as One 1678 66.07% 46.83 3.151 54.71% 0.84 0.597
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1683 77.87% 31.52 -2.086 26.14% -0.068 0.0411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 354 71.47% 18.88 -3.061 13.56% -0.4 -0.2814
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1509 81.86% 32.87 -0.243 27.97% -0.498 -0.5439
River Surges in Sunlight 2298 82.32% 40.43 4.148 36.34% 0.436 0.566
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 217 63.13% 23.24 6.363 17.97% 0.525 0.7008
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 487 64.48% 38.68 -0.495 28.95% -0.683 -0.3854
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 638 68.25% 32.51 0.42 28.21% 0.244 0.1604
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2774 60.44% 44.33 1.038 47.4% 0.124 0.0131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 73 53.42% 37.52 6.525 50.68% 1.511 1.3929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 500 75.8% 33.62 0.672 20.6% -0.147 0.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 92 77.17% 24.36 1.331 14.13% 0.229 0.1777
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 350 74.35% 34.06 0.075 37.71% 0.167 -0.3437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 131 83.21% 26.15 1.368 15.27% 0.129 0.0013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 260 75.77% 30.91 -1.929 18.85% -0.801 -0.7892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 223 78.48% 30.24 -3.478 21.08% -0.754 -0.618
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1326 73.6% 35.03 -1.089 30.62% 0.13 0.1789
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 369 72.09% 27.29 1.766 28.18% 0.228 0.0126
Shifting Memory of Ages 1170 69.01% 35.43 1.115 30.51% -0.054 0.2407
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 272 52.94% 32.54 5.308 32.35% 1.367 1.2486
Shroud of Silent Mist 891 83.05% 27.54 -1.788 18.86% -0.288 0.04
Starlight Seeks its Form 2578 67.38% 37.97 -0.381 39.64% 0.414 0.3146
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 15621 48.68% 44.91 7.774 56.58% 1.796 1.266
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1194 83.49% 31.94 -2.689 23.79% -0.247 -0.1702
Thunderspeaker 1393 75.09% 29.38 -4.035 18.09% -0.551 -0.5148
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 214 67.76% 17.94 -6.654 8.88% -0.361 -0.302
Towering Roots of the Jungle 694 61.96% 24.22 -2.955 24.35% 0.177 0.3265
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 6177 90.43% 32.45 -1.47 28.67% -0.277 -0.1304
Vital Strength of the Earth 531 73.82% 25.98 -3.662 13.75% -0.778 -0.2099
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 431 51.97% 16.2 -4.235 12.99% -0.753 -0.2321
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 452 76.11% 28.39 -6.023 19.03% -0.96 -0.2191
Volcano Looming High 3214 80.97% 30.46 0.395 23.68% -0.04 -0.0251
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 724 72.61% 26.91 -4.111 25.83% -0.592 -0.884

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 62.5% 48.63 -12.696 50.0% -0.147 -0.1745
Blitz 0 520 44.14% 41.02 -11.728 38.46% -1.402 -1.1521
Dahan Insurrection 4 327 60.12% 41.24 -9.554 18.04% -0.792 -1.0411
Despicable Theft 2 33 78.79% 30.48 -12.454 15.15% -0.113 0.3488
Elemental Invocation 1 149 61.64% 30.91 -8.811 16.78% -0.565 0.1373
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3205 28.58% 47.19 1.851 42.93% 0.387 -0.1658
Powers Long Forgotten 1 109 51.38% 42.38 -14.413 47.71% -0.34 0.2835
Rituals of Terror 3 242 24.07% 76.18 16.73 42.98% 0.666 0.8584
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 37.44 0.0 18.52%
Second Wave 0 155 54.84% 38.59 -4.117 35.48% -0.683 -0.5661
The Great River 3 50 58.0% 30.44 0.0 4.0%
Varied Terrains 2 47 44.68% 36.17 6.257 31.91% 0.224 0.9654
Ward the Shores 2 43 86.05% 29.07 0.0 6.98%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51848 72.12% 35.1 -0.598 34.97% -0.211 0.3157
1 Thematic 1732 49.36% 35.46 0.076 28.7% -0.597 0.2574
2 Archipelago 24 54.55% 29.79 5.57 12.5% 0.573 1.6279
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5109 78.43% 34.1 0.996 32.79% 0.123 0.4006
2 Coastline 947 69.6% 35.17 0.807 33.79% -0.035 0.0676
2 Fragment 75 86.67% 35.63 11.797 30.67% 0.22 0.2326
2 Heart 145 81.38% 38.15 4.042 35.17% -0.025 0.0868
2 Opposite Shores 1369 78.87% 31.28 -1.48 22.86% -0.542 -0.2058
2 Thematic 288 49.65% 46.6 6.279 24.65% -0.051 0.6383
2 Top to Top 247 72.47% 36.79 -1.451 38.87% -0.05 0.1918
3 Archipelago 9 44.44% 46.89 18.432 11.11% -0.175 -0.8951
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 27.44 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 75 74.67% 39.49 10.996 44.0% 0.732 0.1303
3 Round (Default) 2172 69.38% 31.67 -3.326 30.16% -0.868 -0.8622
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 88 21.59% 79.08 4.809 43.18% 0.145 0.2291
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 13.75 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 24.0 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 9.653 60.0% 0.385 -0.234
4 Thematic 183 23.5% 65.6 0.0 65.03%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 999 69.38% 32.16 -1.195 26.83% -0.097 0.0667
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 0.0 70.0%
5 Other 39 58.97% 41.46 -7.741 48.72% -0.778 -1.1644
5 Thematic 12 25.0% 68.83 -9.406 66.67% -0.039 -0.8367
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Coastline 4 50.0% 33.25 19.374 50.0% 0.524 -0.3133
6 Other 24 58.33% 24.17 -15.957 20.83% -0.683 -0.7136
6 Star 12 58.33% 33.58 8.796 33.33% -0.006 -0.0233
6 Thematic 81 22.22% 43.85 1.14 45.68% -0.018 0.0854
6 Two Centers (Default) 259 20.46% 47.51 0.881 46.72% 0.456 1.0208
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3260 35.12 3.034 30.61% 0.312 0.5614
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2545 40.14 5.619 39.21% 0.925 0.8062
All Things Weaken 3431 34.54 3.524 29.73% 0.65 0.9867
Attenuated Essence 680 29.05 2.156 25.74% 0.392 0.4184
Back Against the Wall 2347 38.94 3.123 36.98% 0.373 0.3746
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 664 28.95 2.658 24.7% 0.347 0.5639
Burn Brightest Before the End 480 31.83 3.812 26.25% 0.517 0.4985
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3139 32.72 2.668 29.02% 0.423 0.8157
Downward Spiral 3454 33.97 1.494 30.14% 0.412 0.5203
Erosion of Will 3007 33.5 1.845 27.2% -0.026 0.3263
Intensifying Exploitation 721 27.95 0.88 23.16% -0.143 0.1027
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 964 39.67 -1.184 41.8% 0.154 -0.3706
Memory Fades to Dust 3472 33.01 2.435 26.96% 0.281 0.5283
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3279 33.05 1.378 27.87% 0.082 0.3034
Promising Farmlands 3186 31.93 2.08 25.74% 0.366 0.6487
Shattered Fragments of Power 495 32.14 6.082 27.07% 0.855 0.9323
Slow Dissolution of Will 726 27.87 2.282 20.66% 0.118 0.5151
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 612 43.13 6.662 50.0% 1.192 0.497
The Border of Life and Death 133 27.74 0.15 28.57% -0.011 -0.6119
Thriving Communities 3350 33.01 2.159 27.73% 0.382 0.7382
Thriving Crops 258 26.68 0.425 26.36% 0.208 0.0121
Unnatural Proliferation 3588 36.04 3.674 31.19% 0.333 0.4948
Untended Land Crumbles 3213 32.23 3.802 25.71% 0.575 0.8063

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10396 71.7% 34.71 -0.35 33.92% -0.259 0.7462
B 11149 71.35% 34.64 0.989 33.37% -0.112 0.808
C 13518 72.45% 34.54 0.284 33.37% -0.203 0.5319
D 9564 73.78% 34.1 -0.232 32.84% -0.193 0.785
E 10941 73.69% 33.74 -1.282 32.07% -0.554 0.266
F 9745 69.83% 35.76 0.852 35.17% -0.131 0.7431
G 7778 70.45% 34.65 -1.024 34.16% -0.18 0.629
H 7804 69.07% 35.36 0.394 35.21% -0.243 0.5715
East 1381 39.97% 48.99 -0.381 36.86% -0.663 0.2399
Northeast 600 35.0% 55.85 8.13 42.17% 0.327 1.1349
Northwest 693 37.12% 31.91 1.118 25.54% 0.198 1.0982
Southeast 578 31.49% 44.57 6.755 38.58% 0.428 1.2785
Southwest 434 42.4% 41.91 1.631 40.55% 0.129 1.5043
West 1322 39.36% 41.02 -4.637 33.28% -0.987 -0.032

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 46 0.0% 31.48 0.0 36.96%
Not Using Events or Tokens 178 73.03% 35.77 -11.142 12.92% -0.174 0.1938
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2338 21.21% 61.29 8.418 72.58% 1.287 0.702
Start of Game Growth 3513 24.83% 57.57 8.052 69.68% 0.737 0.2233
Unlimited Undo 6654 58.79% 45.47 4.912 55.46% 1.227 1.1173
Using Tokens but Not Events 3273 54.38% 35.49 -3.756 35.59% -0.836 -0.8613

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 30580 13.33 2.5%
II 23403 30.1 46.13%
III 9331 34.83 90.62%
IV 2566 38.67 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.058 Win Model: -0.147
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 53935 71.26% 35.23 34.88%
2 8005 76.86% 34.24 30.82%
3 2312 68.51% 32.46 30.58%
4 1213 62.81% 36.89 33.55%
5 29 44.83% 32.41 31.03%
6 386 24.09% 44.57 44.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 738
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8323
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10562
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2452
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9656
Lose: Invader deck ran out 426
Lose: Adversary condition 17635
Win: Sacrifice victory 441
Lose: Scenario condition 1169
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13391
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1027

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)