The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 552 28.13% 29.33 0.0 86.96% -0.044 0.1029
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 444 44.14% 28.18 -0.33 77.7% -0.491 -0.2541
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 505 31.68% 30.34 0.346 88.51% 0.247 0.1604
Eyes Watch From the Trees 590 17.92% 34.89 2.258 93.22% 0.481 0.1121
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 510 25.93% 32.69 1.38 92.35% 0.628 0.3951
Fractured Days Split the Sky 172 41.28% 29.18 0.198 75.58% -0.75 -0.4167
Heart of the Wildfire 650 61.05% 25.56 -1.18 76.46% -0.201 0.146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 838 28.11% 30.46 0.376 89.5% 0.204 -0.0943
Lightning's Swift Strike 695 39.07% 29.79 0.363 84.32% 0.008 0.2763
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 350 30.86% 30.81 0.789 92.57% 0.568 0.2077
Many Minds Move as One 408 21.43% 32.86 1.587 94.36% 0.777 0.2634
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 519 44.29% 28.37 -0.228 81.12% -0.198 -0.3948
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 493 33.94% 29.73 0.077 89.66% 0.408 0.4551
River Surges in Sunlight 643 42.92% 30.1 0.518 79.47% -0.296 -0.1289
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 421 33.02% 29.04 -0.076 86.46% -0.056 0.0933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 468 49.79% 28.21 -0.277 77.35% -0.376 0.073
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 465 31.03% 30.83 0.551 86.88% 0.009 -0.0554
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1164 27.63% 27.63 -0.947 90.03% 0.13 0.111
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 416 44.1% 28.09 -0.808 75.96% -0.532 -0.317
Thunderspeaker 500 39.28% 29.71 0.106 82.2% -0.034 0.0256
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 800 63.45% 24.27 -1.771 77.75% -0.077 -0.0406
Vital Strength of the Earth 507 37.62% 25.56 -1.811 72.78% -0.949 -0.0844
Volcano Looming High 129 37.98% 28.49 -0.177 88.37% 0.289 0.1878

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 94 32.26% 27.55 -1.215 84.04% -0.164 0.4085
Dahan Insurrection 4 178 21.91% 48.41 8.348 73.03% -1.491 -1.0903
Elemental Invocation 1 14 50.0% 28.93 0.33 85.71% -0.04 0.425
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 378 8.99% 32.12 0.461 78.57% -1.706 -1.3305
Powers Long Forgotten 1 83 56.79% 29.76 0.379 68.67% -0.622 -0.1755
Rituals of Terror 3 92 53.26% 36.24 3.361 63.04% -1.12 -0.4981
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 74.12% 35.98 3.718 64.71% -0.51 0.114
Second Wave 0 161 44.72% 30.22 0.806 80.12% -0.309 0.11
The Great River 3 29 75.86% 27.83 0.222 44.83% -1.55 -0.065
Ward the Shores 2 122 42.62% 33.94 1.857 67.21% -1.067 -0.0369

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5734 38.42% 28.51 -0.402 83.61% -0.486 -0.1315
1 Thematic 667 45.13% 34.12 1.396 73.91% -0.573 -0.0755
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1075 39.04% 28.57 -0.067 88.19% -0.021 0.1688
2 Coastline 124 34.68% 29.77 0.556 91.94% 0.547 0.6815
2 Fragment 32 62.5% 26.0 -0.833 84.38% 0.046 0.4721
2 Heart 18 33.33% 30.5 0.604 100.0% 0.701 0.9912
2 Opposite Shores 162 28.57% 29.58 0.125 89.51% -0.087 0.14
2 Thematic 143 41.96% 34.53 0.996 79.02% -0.159 -0.115
2 Top to Top 15 26.67% 28.8 -0.392 86.67% -0.315 -0.1989
3 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.5 4.556 100.0% 0.231 0.1935
3 Other 28 35.71% 28.21 -0.191 85.71% -0.291 0.1105
3 Round (Default) 427 29.98% 28.52 -0.13 89.93% 0.036 0.0668
3 Thematic 33 39.39% 31.58 -1.322 69.7% -0.738 -1.0771
4 Other 17 17.65% 30.53 0.416 100.0% 0.534 0.6153
4 Thematic 49 20.41% 40.65 1.491 93.88% 1.096 0.0176
4 Trapezoid (Default) 248 36.69% 27.08 -0.821 78.63% -0.677 -0.71
5 Other 6 0.0% 32.5 1.213 100.0% 0.18 -0.0368

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 242 22.68 -3.751 66.12% -2.469 -0.4005
Aid From Lesser Spirits 175 23.2 -3.608 62.86% -2.571 -0.6539
All Things Weaken 259 21.74 -4.296 60.23% -2.773 -0.6128
Back Against the Wall 204 24.96 -2.843 67.16% -2.321 -0.229
Disintegrating Ecosystem 224 20.26 -5.123 60.27% -2.661 -0.4394
Downward Spiral 319 21.42 -4.326 63.95% -2.335 -0.3203
Erosion of Will 243 22.29 -4.087 60.08% -2.615 -0.404
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 136 26.38 -1.926 83.82% -1.367 -0.6548
Memory Fades to Dust 276 22.01 -4.143 64.13% -2.277 -0.0616
Power Corrodes the Spirit 263 21.91 -4.163 65.78% -2.473 -0.453
Promising Farmlands 208 22.19 -4.12 65.87% -2.459 -0.2444
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 74 28.31 -0.967 91.89% -0.667 -0.2495
Thriving Communities 272 21.41 -4.452 63.6% -2.492 -0.3846
Unnatural Proliferation 225 22.19 -4.146 57.78% -2.771 -0.6906
Untended Land Crumbles 227 21.04 -4.53 61.67% -2.647 -0.5513

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1485 39.08% 28.06 -0.346 84.92% 0.29 -0.7836
B 1382 38.01% 28.11 -0.356 84.73% 0.213 -0.9509
C 1563 34.51% 28.79 -0.051 85.99% 0.286 -1.1107
D 1461 36.64% 28.63 -0.055 85.35% 0.313 -0.8456
E 1398 37.71% 28.41 -0.202 85.84% 0.307 -0.9503
F 1345 36.49% 28.6 -0.155 85.28% 0.226 -0.9994
G 1230 37.62% 28.12 -0.323 84.72% 0.276 -0.9363
H 1223 35.36% 29.04 -0.051 85.94% 0.295 -0.927
East 232 38.36% 38.24 2.541 82.33% 0.361 -0.5746
Northeast 234 44.02% 36.51 2.05 79.49% 0.513 -0.3565
Northwest 191 43.98% 33.99 0.345 67.54% -0.533 -1.4779
Southeast 180 35.56% 34.87 1.341 80.56% 0.232 -0.7509
Southwest 161 36.02% 30.84 -1.174 78.88% 0.004 -0.621
West 210 39.05% 35.71 1.268 77.62% 0.005 -0.6602

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 31 0.0% 27.48 -1.919 77.42% -1.648 0.391
Not Using Events or Tokens 222 42.13% 25.14 -1.633 69.37% -0.93 -0.7095
Skip Initial Invader Actions 191 3.83% 41.29 3.594 95.29% 0.532 -0.1741
Start of Game Growth 302 10.62% 39.29 2.818 94.04% 0.333 -0.126
Unlimited Undo 498 33.26% 30.78 0.449 89.56% 0.43 0.0274
Using Tokens but Not Events 663 34.48% 28.02 -0.644 83.41% -0.214 -0.2603

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 566 22.34 30.57%
II 1889 30.71 67.39%
III 4119 34.23 90.82%
IV 2206 37.48 98.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.086 Win Model: -0.256
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6420 39.08% 29.09 82.63%
2 1573 38.27% 29.32 87.92%
3 475 30.74% 28.64 88.0%
4 312 32.69% 29.44 82.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3628
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1165
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2157
Lose: Invader deck ran out 60
Lose: Adversary condition 483
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 121
Win: Scenario condition 212
Lose: Blight pool ran out 715
Lose: Spirit destroyed 39

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 393 33.59% 34.64 0.439 86.01% 0.047 0.1936
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 249 61.69% 30.86 -0.766 72.29% -0.428 -0.1915
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 333 37.65% 35.54 1.104 87.99% 0.484 0.3975
Eyes Watch From the Trees 476 22.46% 38.8 2.243 92.02% 0.575 0.2056
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 367 29.7% 36.34 1.316 88.56% 0.31 0.0768
Fractured Days Split the Sky 98 45.92% 34.61 0.638 76.53% -0.376 -0.0425
Heart of the Wildfire 429 59.67% 30.83 -0.691 77.86% -0.01 0.3371
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 589 43.17% 33.58 0.221 84.38% 0.116 -0.1818
Lightning's Swift Strike 456 42.76% 33.73 0.297 82.24% 0.036 0.3045
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 246 45.64% 33.19 0.026 82.52% -0.053 -0.4134
Many Minds Move as One 306 30.59% 37.51 1.885 92.48% 0.761 0.2476
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 425 47.73% 33.6 0.194 83.53% 0.177 -0.0199
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 359 37.33% 34.21 0.236 86.07% 0.189 0.2361
River Surges in Sunlight 467 45.49% 33.9 0.407 76.02% -0.493 -0.3264
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 277 47.65% 32.16 -0.39 79.78% -0.163 -0.0138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 348 64.08% 30.21 -0.989 69.25% -0.487 -0.0373
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 379 40.48% 35.91 1.099 86.54% 0.209 0.1446
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 889 36.72% 32.42 -0.431 89.2% 0.325 0.3056
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 290 50.69% 30.97 -1.115 74.14% -0.447 -0.2314
Thunderspeaker 338 42.31% 35.12 0.583 80.18% -0.154 -0.0938
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 695 74.5% 27.06 -2.351 71.94% -0.26 -0.2241
Vital Strength of the Earth 376 44.95% 28.66 -2.224 67.02% -1.076 -0.2113
Volcano Looming High 99 45.83% 33.16 0.25 90.91% 0.703 0.6018

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 92 48.91% 29.52 -2.047 70.65% -0.619 -0.0468
Dahan Insurrection 4 131 25.19% 56.49 10.737 85.5% -0.331 0.0698
Elemental Invocation 1 8 62.5% 34.25 0.693 87.5% 0.156 0.6216
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 223 15.0% 33.72 -0.666 67.26% -1.981 -1.6057
Powers Long Forgotten 1 78 74.36% 30.62 -0.539 56.41% -0.668 -0.221
Rituals of Terror 3 80 43.75% 47.01 5.682 78.75% -0.324 0.298
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 65.31% 44.76 5.421 73.47% 0.056 0.6803
Second Wave 0 512 49.32% 32.83 0.025 72.66% -0.661 -0.2421
The Great River 3 22 50.0% 36.45 1.445 54.55% -1.726 -0.2409
Ward the Shores 2 115 53.04% 37.57 1.962 65.22% -0.732 0.2983

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3598 44.88% 32.81 -0.188 80.46% -0.193 0.1613
1 Thematic 637 51.51% 34.85 0.413 66.41% -0.545 -0.0477
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 816 49.14% 32.25 -0.036 85.54% 0.097 0.2862
2 Coastline 105 43.81% 33.29 0.484 85.71% 0.207 0.3417
2 Fragment 21 71.43% 30.81 -0.345 80.95% 0.277 0.7027
2 Heart 25 56.0% 26.12 -2.669 64.0% -0.577 -0.2867
2 Opposite Shores 158 42.04% 32.77 -0.05 87.34% 0.058 0.2847
2 Thematic 134 51.88% 35.94 0.867 74.63% 0.023 0.0668
2 Top to Top 25 48.0% 30.24 -1.421 80.0% -0.13 -0.0139
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 42.75 3.592 100.0% 0.273 0.2352
3 Other 23 39.13% 31.96 -0.324 91.3% 0.363 0.7649
3 Round (Default) 376 37.6% 33.03 0.141 88.03% 0.02 0.051
3 Thematic 36 47.22% 36.08 -0.514 69.44% -0.394 -0.7334
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 47.0 9.521 100.0% 0.382 0.5043
4 Other 12 66.67% 31.58 0.321 83.33% 0.252 0.3329
4 Thematic 40 20.51% 44.02 1.583 87.5% 0.505 -0.5728
4 Trapezoid (Default) 142 41.55% 32.19 -0.698 85.21% -0.256 -0.2881
5 Other 7 28.57% 33.57 0.84 85.71% -0.337 -0.5538

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 188 26.06 -4.147 60.64% -2.415 -0.3466
Aid From Lesser Spirits 170 27.48 -3.408 64.12% -2.241 -0.3248
All Things Weaken 206 26.1 -4.24 59.22% -2.422 -0.2615
Back Against the Wall 165 27.18 -3.542 65.45% -2.232 -0.1401
Disintegrating Ecosystem 190 24.28 -5.109 58.95% -2.488 -0.2662
Downward Spiral 237 26.16 -4.025 64.14% -2.099 -0.0846
Erosion of Will 182 25.71 -4.313 64.29% -2.411 -0.1992
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 104 32.84 -1.031 86.54% -0.898 -0.1862
Memory Fades to Dust 192 24.34 -4.877 56.25% -2.508 -0.2921
Power Corrodes the Spirit 226 26.88 -3.752 67.7% -2.134 -0.1143
Promising Farmlands 192 24.54 -5.003 57.81% -2.469 -0.2547
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 65 29.98 -2.082 80.0% -1.352 -0.9353
Thriving Communities 239 23.97 -5.219 55.23% -2.614 -0.5073
Unnatural Proliferation 242 26.38 -4.04 59.92% -2.476 -0.3955
Untended Land Crumbles 203 25.76 -4.336 63.55% -2.267 -0.1721

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1052 44.81% 32.92 0.073 84.79% 0.382 -0.6913
B 1023 43.68% 32.79 -0.091 83.77% 0.218 -0.9462
C 1128 42.98% 33.36 0.27 85.46% 0.406 -0.9905
D 986 42.57% 32.66 -0.136 83.27% 0.164 -0.9941
E 950 43.94% 32.85 0.021 83.68% 0.201 -1.0562
F 938 46.08% 32.31 -0.266 82.52% 0.122 -1.1044
G 872 47.65% 31.72 -0.455 80.85% 0.123 -1.0892
H 844 45.84% 32.04 -0.361 82.23% 0.191 -1.0306
East 199 42.13% 40.47 2.412 76.88% 0.176 -0.7602
Northeast 215 48.13% 37.67 1.076 70.23% 0.033 -0.8365
Northwest 177 44.19% 37.78 1.009 72.32% -0.027 -0.9719
Southeast 166 46.34% 36.71 1.197 76.51% 0.462 -0.5211
Southwest 176 54.29% 29.55 -2.75 61.93% -0.531 -1.1565
West 209 47.09% 36.84 0.75 70.33% -0.116 -0.781

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 35.44 -0.605 85.19% -0.897 1.1415
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 60.0% 26.7 -2.646 51.67% -0.977 -0.7566
Skip Initial Invader Actions 150 4.05% 50.25 5.118 96.0% 0.908 0.2017
Start of Game Growth 228 9.78% 45.68 3.209 92.54% -0.091 -0.5501
Unlimited Undo 444 40.24% 33.9 0.216 84.46% 0.089 -0.3129
Using Tokens but Not Events 448 35.39% 34.55 0.469 86.38% 0.22 0.1743

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 519 22.34 28.13%
II 2413 30.71 73.64%
III 2295 34.23 91.59%
IV 933 37.48 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.004 Win Model: -0.016
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4256 45.88% 33.12 78.38%
2 1280 48.36% 32.59 84.14%
3 428 39.11% 33.37 86.68%
4 196 37.95% 34.52 85.2%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 146
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2032
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1641
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 923
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 475
Win: Sacrifice victory 22
Lose: Scenario condition 82
Win: Scenario condition 187
Lose: Blight pool ran out 582
Lose: Spirit destroyed 34

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 499 40.68% 40.85 1.316 81.96% 0.202 0.3488
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 335 78.14% 31.4 -2.544 51.94% -0.665 -0.4285
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 477 49.68% 40.08 1.255 79.87% 0.343 0.2568
Eyes Watch From the Trees 561 39.18% 43.01 2.583 85.03% 0.586 0.2173
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 445 54.28% 39.92 1.088 77.98% 0.276 0.043
Fractured Days Split the Sky 131 58.02% 39.61 1.315 70.23% -0.127 0.2064
Heart of the Wildfire 663 73.76% 33.42 -1.788 63.2% -0.231 0.1162
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 831 52.07% 38.93 0.564 75.69% 0.076 -0.2215
Lightning's Swift Strike 569 65.02% 37.15 0.015 69.77% 0.039 0.3072
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 327 64.42% 36.23 -0.322 69.42% -0.042 -0.4029
Many Minds Move as One 352 43.75% 42.08 2.222 84.94% 0.612 0.0985
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 582 60.52% 38.02 0.428 72.85% 0.168 -0.0286
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 445 54.75% 38.68 0.693 77.98% 0.358 0.4054
River Surges in Sunlight 703 56.24% 39.4 0.926 69.84% -0.24 -0.0733
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 398 60.55% 36.91 -0.284 71.61% 0.007 0.1561
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 314 75.48% 33.61 -1.787 57.32% -0.506 -0.0564
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 459 48.68% 39.61 0.828 75.82% -0.011 -0.0756
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1281 44.5% 38.51 0.624 83.29% 0.553 0.5341
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 319 66.77% 34.62 -1.334 61.76% -0.373 -0.1579
Thunderspeaker 376 56.27% 39.0 0.267 71.01% -0.159 -0.0993
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 907 85.38% 30.63 -2.767 59.98% -0.23 -0.1935
Vital Strength of the Earth 331 61.52% 34.08 -1.628 61.03% -0.487 0.377
Volcano Looming High 136 71.85% 34.04 -0.986 66.18% -0.041 -0.1415

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 132 44.7% 35.79 -1.514 67.42% -0.581 -0.0083
Dahan Insurrection 4 85 38.82% 62.72 12.067 83.53% 0.411 0.812
Elemental Invocation 1 13 92.31% 31.46 -1.28 53.85% -0.241 0.2241
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 426 13.32% 44.43 2.713 80.28% -0.546 -0.1703
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 72.41% 39.71 0.501 58.62% -0.405 0.0424
Rituals of Terror 3 32 68.75% 46.09 4.847 65.63% -0.166 0.4559
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 70.83% 46.63 5.206 62.5% -0.06 0.5641
Second Wave 0 345 57.27% 36.9 -0.468 62.61% -0.698 -0.2793
The Great River 3 13 23.08% 31.31 -3.203 23.08% -2.464 -0.979
Ward the Shores 2 74 58.11% 41.0 1.101 56.76% -0.878 0.1527

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4908 58.93% 36.58 -0.051 70.84% 0.091 0.4454
1 Thematic 495 53.75% 40.97 0.609 64.85% -0.193 0.3041
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1112 59.86% 35.69 -0.806 69.42% -0.496 -0.3064
2 Coastline 129 51.94% 37.32 0.117 73.64% -0.191 -0.0561
2 Fragment 26 76.0% 35.23 -0.389 69.23% -0.11 0.3155
2 Heart 19 61.11% 39.21 1.027 84.21% 0.378 0.6685
2 Opposite Shores 196 61.22% 37.89 0.543 78.57% 0.146 0.3725
2 Thematic 140 72.86% 37.01 -0.827 56.43% -0.403 -0.3588
2 Top to Top 34 37.5% 39.32 0.283 79.41% -0.259 -0.1422
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 43.89 3.508 88.89% 0.499 0.4609
3 Other 39 53.85% 38.49 0.181 79.49% -0.414 -0.0124
3 Round (Default) 437 59.77% 37.58 0.187 76.2% -0.384 -0.3531
3 Thematic 17 94.12% 44.65 3.198 76.47% 0.808 0.469
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 48.0 4.956 100.0% 0.164 0.2865
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 40.0 2.278 100.0% 0.086 0.1652
4 Other 27 48.15% 41.7 1.872 85.19% 0.04 0.1214
4 Thematic 72 40.28% 46.44 1.595 81.94% 0.13 -0.9483
4 Trapezoid (Default) 211 52.61% 40.39 0.925 82.94% -0.431 -0.4639
5 Other 8 37.5% 45.63 3.214 100.0% 0.519 0.3021
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 51.0 1.697 100.0% 0.045 -2.7223

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 356 30.9 -3.933 53.65% -2.093 -0.0248
Aid From Lesser Spirits 265 35.1 -1.887 65.28% -1.609 0.3077
All Things Weaken 385 31.71 -3.559 57.66% -1.949 0.2105
Back Against the Wall 260 30.93 -3.905 53.46% -2.13 -0.0382
Disintegrating Ecosystem 293 28.89 -5.0 54.27% -2.085 0.1369
Downward Spiral 378 30.5 -4.135 56.61% -1.97 0.0444
Erosion of Will 326 30.33 -4.178 52.76% -2.097 0.1139
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 148 38.62 -0.268 79.05% -0.883 -0.171
Memory Fades to Dust 355 30.15 -4.414 54.93% -2.064 0.1522
Power Corrodes the Spirit 345 30.21 -4.297 55.94% -2.027 -0.0076
Promising Farmlands 291 28.85 -5.011 53.26% -2.167 0.0474
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 110 38.11 -0.613 76.36% -1.103 -0.6858
Thriving Communities 318 28.32 -5.226 51.26% -2.243 -0.1359
Unnatural Proliferation 388 30.7 -3.96 54.12% -2.116 -0.0355
Untended Land Crumbles 378 29.43 -4.659 51.85% -2.163 -0.0678

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1391 58.83% 36.89 -0.087 72.39% 0.235 -0.838
B 1373 58.29% 37.15 0.05 73.42% 0.32 -0.8447
C 1555 60.93% 36.86 0.056 73.38% 0.346 -1.0502
D 1297 58.85% 36.26 -0.438 71.24% 0.17 -0.9882
E 1387 56.92% 37.67 0.389 74.69% 0.381 -0.8756
F 1253 57.57% 37.1 0.0 72.94% 0.272 -0.9538
G 1105 58.54% 36.61 -0.244 71.31% 0.193 -1.0197
H 1071 55.67% 37.84 0.282 75.07% 0.332 -0.8894
East 218 57.34% 43.78 1.95 71.56% 0.382 -0.5538
Northeast 184 59.78% 40.64 0.312 61.96% -0.277 -1.1464
Northwest 191 56.84% 40.61 0.121 63.87% -0.151 -1.0963
Southeast 142 54.61% 43.35 1.539 73.24% 0.379 -0.6039
Southwest 126 51.59% 37.78 -1.996 65.87% -0.416 -1.0409
West 221 55.2% 43.26 1.399 70.14% 0.159 -0.5057

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 38.06 -1.832 69.7% -1.455 0.5835
Not Using Events or Tokens 35 66.67% 32.06 -2.213 60.0% -0.463 -0.2425
Skip Initial Invader Actions 184 16.67% 53.98 5.418 92.93% 1.219 0.5135
Start of Game Growth 249 20.82% 51.12 4.001 89.16% 0.095 -0.3639
Unlimited Undo 567 50.0% 40.05 1.141 80.07% 0.415 0.0123
Using Tokens but Not Events 582 55.72% 36.98 -0.257 73.02% 0.014 -0.0319

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1189 22.34 14.72%
II 3740 30.71 69.47%
III 2092 34.23 94.65%
IV 861 37.48 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.133 Win Model: 0.108
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5426 58.39% 36.98 70.31%
2 1655 60.43% 36.37 70.33%
3 499 59.76% 37.93 76.55%
4 302 49.34% 42.02 83.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1950
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2491
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 848
Lose: Invader deck ran out 28
Lose: Adversary condition 1110
Win: Sacrifice victory 36
Lose: Scenario condition 85
Win: Scenario condition 113
Lose: Blight pool ran out 979
Lose: Spirit destroyed 68

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 559 51.61% 39.13 0.798 67.62% 0.029 0.1752
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 344 80.47% 31.69 -2.355 45.06% -0.539 -0.3027
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 512 61.06% 39.38 0.946 70.7% 0.361 0.2742
Eyes Watch From the Trees 700 46.63% 43.09 2.599 77.0% 0.465 0.0959
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 521 57.31% 39.8 0.873 67.37% 0.114 -0.1193
Fractured Days Split the Sky 171 60.82% 40.12 1.381 63.16% -0.131 0.2025
Heart of the Wildfire 680 79.88% 32.66 -1.978 53.53% -0.175 0.1728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1192 58.63% 37.93 0.141 65.1% -0.061 -0.3589
Lightning's Swift Strike 625 68.64% 37.11 -0.073 61.92% 0.029 0.2974
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 431 70.7% 36.4 -0.443 62.41% -0.006 -0.3672
Many Minds Move as One 383 48.95% 43.02 2.718 78.59% 0.64 0.1262
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 750 59.09% 39.42 0.681 67.87% 0.134 -0.0628
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 498 61.74% 37.97 0.273 66.87% 0.131 0.1787
River Surges in Sunlight 873 62.53% 41.16 1.958 68.5% 0.268 0.4355
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 498 64.44% 37.44 -0.301 64.86% 0.006 0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 264 76.89% 31.66 -2.742 43.56% -0.654 -0.2049
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 606 52.98% 40.27 1.302 69.8% 0.167 0.1029
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1725 53.22% 37.72 0.239 71.77% 0.281 0.2619
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 393 69.31% 34.78 -1.221 53.94% -0.324 -0.1087
Thunderspeaker 423 67.3% 39.41 0.704 65.01% 0.167 0.2266
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1130 87.03% 29.73 -3.494 48.05% -0.395 -0.359
Vital Strength of the Earth 325 70.46% 30.06 -3.573 39.38% -1.021 -0.156
Volcano Looming High 233 73.82% 35.31 -0.606 62.66% 0.08 -0.0214

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 91 45.05% 38.57 -1.061 64.84% -0.593 -0.0206
Dahan Insurrection 4 79 53.16% 54.99 8.489 63.29% -0.204 0.1965
Elemental Invocation 1 12 83.33% 26.0 -4.938 25.0% -1.049 -0.5833
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 409 14.39% 44.29 2.292 70.17% -0.75 -0.3749
Powers Long Forgotten 1 46 69.57% 40.96 1.518 58.7% -0.104 0.3431
Rituals of Terror 3 34 76.47% 40.88 1.751 38.24% -0.765 -0.1427
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 100.0% 43.08 3.705 46.15% 0.075 0.6994
Second Wave 0 179 57.87% 37.32 -0.295 55.87% -0.679 -0.2604
The Great River 3 7 42.86% 30.29 -3.763 14.29% -1.818 -0.3328
Ward the Shores 2 24 45.83% 39.92 0.961 50.0% -0.909 0.1211

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6098 63.76% 37.04 0.022 64.4% -0.134 0.2208
1 Thematic 488 59.63% 41.57 0.9 59.63% -0.161 0.3363
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1303 65.64% 36.41 -0.202 63.24% -0.182 0.0077
2 Coastline 130 69.23% 38.4 1.071 70.77% 0.342 0.477
2 Fragment 29 66.67% 31.48 -2.398 44.83% -0.629 -0.203
2 Heart 26 73.91% 36.31 -0.173 65.38% -0.135 0.1557
2 Opposite Shores 252 67.86% 34.72 -1.004 58.73% -0.356 -0.1292
2 Thematic 125 75.61% 33.17 -1.879 38.4% -0.274 -0.2294
2 Top to Top 44 59.09% 39.18 0.732 70.45% 0.026 0.1424
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.2 2.191 80.0% 0.374 0.3363
3 Other 34 55.88% 42.65 2.148 85.29% 0.324 0.7259
3 Round (Default) 571 65.55% 37.01 -0.053 63.92% -0.118 -0.0865
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 46.0 2.903 100.0% 0.18 -0.073
3 Thematic 30 83.33% 29.1 -4.268 26.67% -0.368 -0.707
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 26.0 -10.315 0.0% -0.534 -0.4538
4 Other 23 65.22% 42.65 2.294 82.61% 0.355 0.4364
4 Thematic 52 51.92% 46.6 2.604 65.38% 1.097 0.0188
4 Trapezoid (Default) 308 51.15% 39.44 0.024 69.48% -0.285 -0.3173
5 Other 6 33.33% 47.67 3.994 100.0% 0.495 0.2782

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 415 32.08 -3.401 50.36% -1.833 0.2349
Aid From Lesser Spirits 353 34.22 -2.488 54.67% -1.69 0.2266
All Things Weaken 483 31.36 -3.924 48.45% -1.943 0.2166
Back Against the Wall 323 33.86 -2.565 53.87% -1.663 0.4293
Disintegrating Ecosystem 423 28.71 -5.094 44.44% -2.03 0.1912
Downward Spiral 538 32.44 -3.221 55.95% -1.563 0.4516
Erosion of Will 465 30.51 -4.293 46.88% -1.981 0.2308
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 194 36.28 -1.62 61.34% -1.425 -0.7133
Memory Fades to Dust 451 30.74 -4.098 49.22% -1.879 0.3371
Power Corrodes the Spirit 495 30.95 -4.025 49.49% -1.867 0.1529
Promising Farmlands 413 30.2 -4.399 46.49% -1.954 0.2602
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 39.84 0.485 74.62% -0.621 -0.204
Thriving Communities 417 29.27 -4.811 44.36% -2.056 0.0506
Unnatural Proliferation 479 30.94 -4.086 45.93% -2.018 0.0621
Untended Land Crumbles 483 29.94 -4.573 44.72% -2.054 0.0408

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1663 62.61% 37.32 0.06 65.24% 0.456 -0.6167
B 1656 61.14% 37.43 0.092 65.28% 0.442 -0.7227
C 1937 64.03% 36.86 -0.073 64.27% 0.441 -0.9559
D 1621 64.5% 36.89 -0.175 64.1% 0.425 -0.7334
E 1689 64.45% 37.35 0.121 65.19% 0.488 -0.769
F 1555 62.98% 37.42 0.143 65.66% 0.495 -0.7313
G 1402 63.68% 36.62 -0.475 63.05% 0.309 -0.9032
H 1364 62.85% 37.63 0.156 66.2% 0.51 -0.7112
East 248 61.54% 42.21 1.622 56.85% 0.18 -0.7554
Northeast 170 68.64% 38.75 -0.21 47.06% -0.146 -1.0156
Northwest 133 66.67% 38.56 -0.59 46.62% -0.206 -1.1511
Southeast 155 61.29% 39.23 -0.218 55.48% 0.014 -0.9689
Southwest 125 65.6% 35.73 -1.869 52.8% 0.037 -0.5881
West 181 61.11% 39.97 0.378 52.49% 0.036 -0.6296

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 41.63 -0.518 75.0% -0.805 1.234
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 77.42% 31.19 -2.812 48.39% -0.598 -0.3774
Skip Initial Invader Actions 285 10.36% 56.34 5.958 96.49% 1.179 0.4729
Start of Game Growth 383 13.79% 54.26 5.259 94.26% 1.021 0.5616
Unlimited Undo 634 61.49% 39.69 0.788 69.4% 0.154 -0.2481
Using Tokens but Not Events 483 56.64% 38.56 0.417 70.39% 0.158 0.1116

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1724 22.34 7.89%
II 4279 30.71 61.86%
III 2846 34.23 91.88%
IV 679 37.48 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.071 Win Model: -0.436
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6603 63.4% 37.41 64.12%
2 1916 66.86% 36.07 61.43%
3 635 65.72% 36.99 63.46%
4 374 51.48% 40.51 69.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 136
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2575
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2587
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 671
Lose: Invader deck ran out 91
Lose: Adversary condition 1870
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Scenario condition 116
Win: Scenario condition 62
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1298
Lose: Spirit destroyed 80

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 343 71.72% 43.34 2.491 62.68% 0.529 0.6752
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 194 91.75% 33.87 -1.877 36.6% -0.29 -0.0534
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 283 89.75% 33.29 -2.439 36.75% -0.397 -0.4835
Eyes Watch From the Trees 392 75.58% 41.83 1.684 55.36% 0.271 -0.0985
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 326 82.52% 39.13 0.287 50.0% 0.059 -0.1738
Fractured Days Split the Sky 124 83.06% 43.77 2.246 52.42% 0.005 0.3382
Heart of the Wildfire 737 88.69% 35.39 -1.854 44.64% -0.205 0.1427
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 642 74.41% 38.06 -0.792 48.44% -0.287 -0.5844
Lightning's Swift Strike 267 90.6% 36.28 -1.144 43.45% -0.157 0.1111
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 325 80.92% 40.86 0.721 54.46% 0.157 -0.2036
Many Minds Move as One 223 63.23% 47.78 4.35 71.3% 0.758 0.2444
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 345 84.06% 34.5 -1.947 38.84% -0.318 -0.5147
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 304 85.15% 37.8 -0.103 49.01% 0.12 0.1671
River Surges in Sunlight 468 83.87% 38.69 0.226 45.09% -0.109 0.0576
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 297 80.13% 42.36 1.498 59.6% 0.397 0.5465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 171 87.13% 38.13 -0.244 46.2% -0.027 0.4226
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 183 79.78% 38.52 -0.504 48.09% -0.141 -0.2058
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1412 62.6% 42.33 2.15 66.78% 0.657 0.6377
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 298 83.56% 34.86 -1.774 38.26% -0.372 -0.1571
Thunderspeaker 268 88.06% 37.87 -0.372 45.52% -0.054 0.0057
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1007 93.55% 34.77 -2.166 44.29% -0.208 -0.1712
Vital Strength of the Earth 153 84.97% 30.85 -3.849 28.1% -0.925 -0.0604
Volcano Looming High 133 88.72% 38.11 -0.56 51.88% 0.064 -0.0374

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 41 73.17% 37.2 -1.251 43.9% -0.432 0.1408
Dahan Insurrection 4 21 71.43% 61.1 11.186 61.9% 0.385 0.7856
Elemental Invocation 1 6 66.67% 33.17 -3.294 33.33% -0.786 -0.3206
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 196 26.02% 47.03 3.425 61.22% -0.279 0.0964
Powers Long Forgotten 1 19 89.47% 29.42 -4.599 15.79% -1.236 -0.7893
Rituals of Terror 3 13 76.92% 49.08 5.378 46.15% -0.161 0.4612
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 94.12% 40.53 0.902 35.29% -0.597 0.0274
Second Wave 0 111 78.18% 35.63 -1.571 39.64% -0.563 -0.1442
The Great River 3 6 33.33% 27.83 -6.431 0.0% -1.814 -0.3287
Ward the Shores 2 20 85.0% 35.3 -1.112 25.0% -0.872 0.1585

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3902 79.01% 39.33 0.582 53.77% 0.072 0.4266
1 Thematic 174 81.03% 38.76 0.105 41.38% -0.091 0.4064
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 965 82.59% 37.12 -0.479 48.08% -0.216 -0.0268
2 Coastline 78 78.21% 38.08 -0.276 47.44% -0.299 -0.1645
2 Fragment 19 89.47% 38.53 0.031 47.37% -0.266 0.1592
2 Heart 9 88.89% 38.33 0.363 55.56% 0.05 0.3409
2 Opposite Shores 198 83.76% 34.73 -1.875 42.93% -0.559 -0.3319
2 Thematic 55 78.18% 36.05 -1.327 38.18% -0.138 -0.0941
2 Top to Top 31 93.55% 32.23 -2.224 35.48% -0.427 -0.3106
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.5 8.738 100.0% 0.607 0.5694
3 Other 26 76.92% 43.42 2.059 69.23% 0.12 0.5223
3 Round (Default) 350 82.0% 37.93 0.113 50.29% -0.113 -0.082
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 -9.087 0.0% -0.484 -0.7368
3 Thematic 13 92.31% 38.0 -0.392 38.46% 0.19 -0.1492
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 53.5 8.843 100.0% 0.681 0.7604
4 Other 15 73.33% 47.8 3.496 80.0% 0.396 0.4772
4 Thematic 81 66.67% 45.48 0.908 54.32% 0.415 -0.6626
4 Trapezoid (Default) 140 84.67% 36.56 -1.226 44.29% -0.601 -0.6338
5 Other 2 100.0% 55.5 7.396 100.0% 0.504 0.2868
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 9.185 100.0% 0.439 -2.3286

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 369 36.9 -1.698 47.97% -1.248 0.82
Aid From Lesser Spirits 281 38.54 -0.805 49.47% -1.151 0.766
All Things Weaken 393 35.21 -2.589 42.24% -1.481 0.679
Back Against the Wall 269 39.43 -0.44 51.67% -1.091 1.0011
Disintegrating Ecosystem 375 34.19 -3.064 44.53% -1.376 0.8452
Downward Spiral 346 33.7 -3.353 40.17% -1.583 0.4308
Erosion of Will 357 35.19 -2.589 40.9% -1.539 0.6722
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 123 40.74 0.079 54.47% -0.981 -0.2694
Memory Fades to Dust 425 35.31 -2.569 45.18% -1.379 0.8368
Power Corrodes the Spirit 371 34.64 -2.845 42.32% -1.453 0.5666
Promising Farmlands 341 32.16 -4.153 36.07% -1.76 0.4546
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 80 43.86 1.324 62.5% -0.743 -0.3261
Thriving Communities 358 34.14 -3.136 43.85% -1.416 0.6908
Unnatural Proliferation 379 36.24 -2.039 44.85% -1.383 0.6975
Untended Land Crumbles 383 32.99 -3.651 37.86% -1.655 0.4405

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1041 79.73% 38.61 0.022 51.87% 0.511 -0.5618
B 1181 81.22% 38.57 -0.082 52.16% 0.487 -0.677
C 1368 80.47% 38.61 0.072 51.83% 0.507 -0.8893
D 1009 82.85% 37.82 -0.26 49.65% 0.472 -0.6859
E 999 81.18% 38.27 -0.111 50.65% 0.468 -0.7889
F 1014 80.59% 38.62 0.097 52.07% 0.533 -0.6926
G 851 81.01% 37.24 -0.675 48.06% 0.361 -0.8511
H 827 80.58% 38.2 -0.179 50.91% 0.483 -0.7381
East 141 72.34% 42.4 0.464 46.81% 0.148 -0.7883
Northeast 97 75.26% 42.7 0.592 46.39% 0.107 -0.7622
Northwest 94 73.4% 41.14 0.098 45.74% 0.195 -0.7499
Southeast 90 74.44% 40.63 -0.075 47.78% 0.173 -0.8101
Southwest 91 78.02% 39.42 -0.641 46.15% 0.372 -0.253
West 128 71.88% 43.01 0.456 49.22% 0.166 -0.4995

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 40.0 -0.086 60.0% -0.295 1.7434
Not Using Events or Tokens 19 94.74% 36.74 -0.359 47.37% 0.098 0.3181
Skip Initial Invader Actions 76 44.0% 56.49 5.787 85.53% 1.024 0.3184
Start of Game Growth 161 55.63% 50.17 3.703 72.05% 0.367 -0.0925
Unlimited Undo 507 72.92% 43.3 1.784 62.92% 0.356 -0.0461
Using Tokens but Not Events 239 78.21% 37.57 -1.14 49.79% -0.279 -0.3248

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1578 22.34 3.23%
II 2546 30.71 50.04%
III 1518 34.23 90.91%
IV 423 37.48 99.53%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.278 Win Model: -0.475
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4087 79.1% 39.33 53.29%
2 1360 82.63% 36.72 46.76%
3 384 81.51% 38.26 51.04%
4 234 78.79% 40.22 49.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 51
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1362
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1248
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 415
Lose: Invader deck ran out 33
Lose: Adversary condition 1502
Win: Sacrifice victory 32
Lose: Scenario condition 72
Win: Scenario condition 18
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1253
Lose: Spirit destroyed 79

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 179 74.3% 41.6 2.115 48.04% 0.488 0.6342
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 83 87.95% 32.78 -1.802 26.51% -0.473 -0.2369
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 152 91.45% 30.94 -2.636 24.34% -0.43 -0.5165
Eyes Watch From the Trees 126 73.02% 44.12 3.561 52.38% 0.585 0.2155
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 107 92.52% 36.93 -0.075 37.38% 0.09 -0.1434
Fractured Days Split the Sky 48 75.0% 45.23 2.782 47.92% 0.148 0.4818
Heart of the Wildfire 275 88.73% 32.64 -2.522 30.91% -0.337 0.01
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 243 78.6% 37.58 0.015 38.27% -0.079 -0.3771
Lightning's Swift Strike 118 92.37% 34.86 -0.892 31.36% -0.048 0.2205
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 116 89.66% 36.53 -0.424 37.93% 0.07 -0.2911
Many Minds Move as One 87 67.82% 48.44 5.76 64.37% 1.0 0.4871
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 185 80.0% 38.96 0.874 41.08% 0.309 0.112
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 115 81.74% 37.82 0.542 38.26% 0.057 0.1045
River Surges in Sunlight 208 86.06% 38.58 0.696 35.58% -0.027 0.1398
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 149 79.19% 40.9 0.966 45.64% 0.177 0.3263
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 142 95.07% 29.5 -3.266 15.49% -0.894 -0.445
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 79 78.48% 34.08 -2.095 29.11% -0.504 -0.5681
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 592 66.89% 40.99 2.26 55.74% 0.678 0.659
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 127 86.61% 33.52 -1.6 25.2% -0.352 -0.1368
Thunderspeaker 113 97.35% 33.73 -1.425 28.32% -0.21 -0.1502
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 399 94.74% 34.98 -1.063 37.34% 0.028 0.0647
Vital Strength of the Earth 84 84.52% 31.69 -2.43 22.62% -0.632 0.2324
Volcano Looming High 68 86.76% 35.81 -0.861 38.24% 0.061 -0.0402

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 23 86.96% 33.48 -2.566 30.43% -0.51 0.0626
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 94.87% 35.1 0.107 7.69% -1.114 -0.7135
Elemental Invocation 1 2 50.0% 64.5 6.614 100.0% 0.233 0.6987
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 83 27.71% 42.59 1.789 42.17% -0.618 -0.2426
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 66.67% 48.67 5.494 50.0% 0.228 0.6746
Rituals of Terror 3 7 100.0% 36.57 0.224 14.29% -0.41 0.212
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 100.0% 37.0 -0.008 13.33% -0.636 -0.0121
Second Wave 0 29 68.97% 33.52 -2.998 27.59% -0.854 -0.4347
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.117 22.22% -0.595 0.4355

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1714 83.26% 36.84 0.318 40.08% 0.035 0.3893
1 Thematic 132 89.39% 36.0 0.087 22.73% -0.167 0.3303
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 411 86.86% 33.89 -1.604 31.39% -0.494 -0.3045
2 Coastline 43 79.07% 40.28 1.418 51.16% 0.08 0.2151
2 Fragment 5 100.0% 42.6 3.811 60.0% 0.642 1.0673
2 Heart 2 50.0% 43.0 3.365 50.0% -0.032 0.2583
2 Opposite Shores 67 88.06% 39.01 1.03 43.28% 0.055 0.2815
2 Thematic 22 81.82% 31.32 -3.703 9.09% -1.208 -1.1638
2 Top to Top 39 97.44% 34.46 -1.329 33.33% -0.469 -0.3528
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 -0.621 33.33% 0.115 0.0769
3 Other 11 72.73% 53.27 6.999 81.82% 0.959 1.3608
3 Round (Default) 119 77.31% 40.32 1.506 47.9% 0.238 0.2687
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 -5.559 0.0% -0.457 -0.7103
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 25.5 -4.553 0.0% -0.196 -0.5353
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 8.007 80.0% 0.526 0.6069
4 Thematic 29 68.97% 48.45 2.543 51.72% 0.867 -0.2112
4 Trapezoid (Default) 57 73.68% 38.77 -0.179 42.11% -0.329 -0.3617
5 Other 3 66.67% 49.33 0.69 66.67% -0.148 -0.3646

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 195 35.48 -1.456 34.36% -1.126 0.9419
Aid From Lesser Spirits 134 39.17 0.447 44.03% -0.739 1.1776
All Things Weaken 177 34.86 -1.751 34.46% -1.159 1.0008
Back Against the Wall 143 35.64 -1.186 33.57% -1.059 1.0329
Disintegrating Ecosystem 160 34.09 -2.185 34.38% -1.12 1.101
Downward Spiral 168 30.83 -3.358 25.6% -1.405 0.6097
Erosion of Will 170 32.32 -2.799 26.47% -1.412 0.7993
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 36 44.89 2.611 55.56% -0.383 0.3289
Memory Fades to Dust 163 32.89 -2.718 28.83% -1.403 0.8126
Power Corrodes the Spirit 168 32.41 -2.964 29.17% -1.387 0.6328
Promising Farmlands 138 33.28 -2.284 31.88% -1.163 1.0511
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 34 45.41 3.22 58.82% -0.093 0.3245
Thriving Communities 183 32.39 -3.104 31.15% -1.325 0.7815
Unnatural Proliferation 176 34.01 -2.149 31.25% -1.266 0.814
Untended Land Crumbles 184 30.76 -4.102 24.46% -1.731 0.3646

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 459 84.53% 35.22 -1.029 34.2% 0.005 -1.0678
B 470 83.83% 37.48 0.241 41.7% 0.357 -0.8073
C 589 83.36% 39.2 1.478 45.84% 0.636 -0.7608
D 433 81.76% 35.85 -0.662 37.18% 0.09 -1.0686
E 436 81.19% 36.4 -0.269 38.53% 0.2 -1.0563
F 417 84.89% 35.92 -0.566 37.89% 0.194 -1.0321
G 328 79.88% 38.01 0.691 41.46% 0.429 -0.7835
H 386 82.12% 37.89 0.24 41.19% 0.262 -0.959
East 48 70.83% 45.02 2.068 41.67% 0.201 -0.735
Northeast 43 88.37% 39.63 0.243 30.23% 0.072 -0.7978
Northwest 74 90.54% 31.35 -1.999 12.16% -0.596 -1.5413
Southeast 42 76.19% 44.1 2.184 42.86% 0.55 -0.4328
Southwest 32 75.0% 41.59 -0.443 40.63% 0.017 -0.6085
West 57 77.19% 43.05 1.268 35.09% 0.086 -0.5796

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 -2.729 21.43% -0.124 0.096
Skip Initial Invader Actions 24 45.83% 59.5 6.281 79.17% 0.908 0.2021
Start of Game Growth 55 49.09% 53.09 4.699 69.09% 0.352 -0.1075
Unlimited Undo 244 75.82% 42.89 2.348 53.69% 0.408 0.0058
Using Tokens but Not Events 121 80.99% 39.72 0.816 47.11% 0.132 0.0856

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 699 22.34 0.72%
II 1168 30.71 25.86%
III 608 34.23 87.17%
IV 191 37.48 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.039 Win Model: -0.297
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1854 83.71% 36.84 39.0%
2 586 86.86% 34.86 33.45%
3 135 76.3% 41.04 49.63%
4 91 71.43% 42.29 46.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 526
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 298
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 190
Lose: Invader deck ran out 19
Lose: Adversary condition 767
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 47
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 766
Lose: Spirit destroyed 39

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 766 75.03% 43.74 2.025 46.21% 0.554 0.7002
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 428 90.42% 33.19 -3.133 21.5% -0.595 -0.3583
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 415 91.57% 31.9 -3.483 20.48% -0.582 -0.6684
Eyes Watch From the Trees 648 84.85% 38.7 -0.076 33.02% 0.081 -0.288
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 629 89.67% 34.69 -1.941 25.44% -0.205 -0.4379
Fractured Days Split the Sky 410 81.95% 45.2 2.685 41.46% 0.239 0.573
Heart of the Wildfire 1547 89.26% 34.81 -2.799 29.09% -0.341 0.0066
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1428 75.07% 41.33 0.478 41.11% 0.173 -0.1249
Lightning's Swift Strike 913 92.97% 30.27 -4.547 17.31% -0.857 -0.5884
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 796 90.81% 36.23 -1.382 29.65% -0.093 -0.4541
Many Minds Move as One 466 73.12% 51.73 6.152 63.52% 1.289 0.7753
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 645 86.34% 36.01 -1.815 29.15% -0.193 -0.3897
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 625 88.62% 37.01 -0.982 31.36% -0.005 0.0427
River Surges in Sunlight 1152 88.27% 43.09 2.228 39.76% 0.46 0.6271
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 804 80.35% 45.09 2.047 48.76% 0.442 0.591
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 484 74.38% 36.76 -1.758 24.79% -0.376 0.0731
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 466 84.12% 36.24 -2.03 27.47% -0.411 -0.4752
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4569 56.47% 47.28 3.977 61.26% 0.996 0.9772
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 475 87.79% 35.31 -1.89 25.89% -0.224 -0.0086
Thunderspeaker 485 89.07% 34.62 -2.26 22.27% -0.418 -0.3583
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2783 94.25% 35.55 -2.153 32.2% -0.05 -0.0139
Vital Strength of the Earth 353 86.69% 32.58 -3.375 20.4% -0.689 0.1752
Volcano Looming High 421 90.74% 33.57 -2.833 26.84% -0.303 -0.4038

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 152 49.34% 45.58 -1.021 50.66% -0.734 -0.1618
Dahan Insurrection 4 116 70.69% 47.43 3.126 24.14% -0.961 -0.56
Elemental Invocation 1 10 60.0% 38.1 -1.793 30.0% -0.683 -0.218
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 984 31.5% 46.41 2.082 43.5% -0.542 -0.1663
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 93.75% 39.25 -1.79 31.25% -0.683 -0.236
Rituals of Terror 3 15 35.71% 70.4 9.319 66.67% -0.226 0.3962
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 73.33% 43.47 -0.447 26.67% -0.98 -0.3562
Second Wave 0 56 58.93% 43.54 0.682 41.07% -0.347 0.0714
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 30.67 -4.993 0.0% -0.961 0.5241
Ward the Shores 2 27 96.3% 32.56 -2.802 11.11% -1.076 -0.045

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13866 79.08% 40.23 0.333 40.88% -0.209 0.1454
1 Thematic 402 70.65% 41.45 -0.265 33.58% -0.561 -0.0642
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1455 84.47% 40.23 0.661 40.0% 0.135 0.3245
2 Coastline 223 74.44% 38.63 -0.729 34.98% -0.253 -0.1181
2 Fragment 32 93.75% 36.16 -1.357 28.13% -0.581 -0.1557
2 Heart 29 72.41% 56.24 6.82 75.86% 0.657 0.9473
2 Opposite Shores 375 84.76% 31.54 -3.898 20.0% -1.058 -0.8313
2 Thematic 77 81.82% 36.52 -1.718 16.88% -0.648 -0.6036
2 Top to Top 55 85.45% 40.44 0.2 40.0% -0.259 -0.1428
3 Coastline 1 100.0% 25.0 -5.658 0.0% -0.166 -0.2042
3 Other 36 83.33% 44.33 2.224 52.78% 0.285 0.6865
3 Round (Default) 490 82.04% 38.23 -0.162 34.49% 0.233 0.2645
3 Thematic 8 62.5% 45.38 0.915 37.5% 0.068 -0.2708
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 -9.908 0.0% -0.282 -0.2018
4 Other 19 84.21% 51.11 3.858 63.16% 0.552 0.633
4 Thematic 39 69.23% 41.74 -0.43 30.77% 0.505 -0.5733
4 Trapezoid (Default) 284 85.82% 36.52 -1.124 29.58% 0.276 0.2433
5 Other 17 47.06% 59.29 4.749 82.35% 0.588 0.371
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 56.0 7.479 66.67% 0.735 -2.0318

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1068 36.87 -2.044 32.58% -1.101 0.9674
Aid From Lesser Spirits 845 40.47 -0.264 39.88% -0.764 1.153
All Things Weaken 1083 36.61 -2.064 32.78% -1.06 1.0997
Back Against the Wall 748 39.42 -0.772 37.83% -0.864 1.228
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1017 34.08 -3.452 30.68% -1.192 1.0296
Downward Spiral 1103 35.82 -2.597 32.37% -1.092 0.9223
Erosion of Will 966 35.43 -2.743 29.3% -1.266 0.945
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 313 43.62 0.756 47.6% -0.607 0.105
Memory Fades to Dust 1152 34.24 -3.351 27.6% -1.302 0.9133
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1062 34.75 -3.089 29.47% -1.261 0.7593
Promising Farmlands 1042 33.56 -3.822 26.78% -1.42 0.795
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 188 47.57 2.461 56.91% -0.255 0.1617
Thriving Communities 1068 34.94 -3.023 30.52% -1.192 0.9144
Unnatural Proliferation 1152 37.68 -1.546 33.51% -1.019 1.0612
Untended Land Crumbles 1049 33.59 -3.587 26.88% -1.346 0.749

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2802 78.72% 40.52 0.201 40.65% 0.614 -0.4596
B 2764 78.86% 40.24 0.206 40.45% 0.653 -0.5116
C 3789 81.38% 38.97 -0.281 37.98% 0.605 -0.7917
D 2546 83.29% 38.5 -0.522 36.84% 0.574 -0.5841
E 2709 81.67% 39.52 -0.201 38.46% 0.586 -0.6706
F 2388 78.18% 40.88 0.425 41.83% 0.69 -0.536
G 2139 81.86% 38.83 -0.45 37.31% 0.551 -0.6619
H 2065 79.31% 40.45 0.249 40.29% 0.649 -0.5727
East 143 74.83% 41.98 -0.205 25.87% 0.053 -0.8828
Northeast 103 71.84% 41.54 -0.157 27.18% 0.177 -0.6919
Northwest 100 68.0% 42.28 0.444 31.0% 0.51 -0.4347
Southeast 94 69.15% 43.88 0.96 32.98% 0.637 -0.3458
Southwest 85 68.24% 39.89 -1.192 34.12% 0.433 -0.1923
West 110 74.55% 39.33 -0.487 27.27% 0.562 -0.1031

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 49.0 -1.223 50.0% -0.46 1.5785
Not Using Events or Tokens 68 82.35% 38.68 -0.136 16.18% -0.128 0.092
Skip Initial Invader Actions 608 30.08% 65.0 7.691 83.88% 1.139 0.4327
Start of Game Growth 919 31.55% 62.28 6.915 81.61% 0.709 0.2495
Unlimited Undo 1937 68.77% 50.31 4.24 62.16% 0.774 0.3714
Using Tokens but Not Events 617 79.93% 36.97 -1.299 33.39% -0.237 -0.2828

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6659 22.34 3.81%
II 7119 30.71 46.28%
III 2883 34.23 90.95%
IV 751 37.48 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.36 Win Model: -1.108
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14340 78.81% 40.34 40.84%
2 2196 83.74% 38.25 34.79%
3 528 82.39% 38.58 35.23%
4 348 81.79% 38.37 32.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 249
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2589
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3233
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 738
Lose: Invader deck ran out 116
Lose: Adversary condition 5292
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 470
Win: Scenario condition 31
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4340
Lose: Spirit destroyed 274

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2024-11-22 01:58:16 (Pacific Time)