The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1112 27.75% 30.43 0.192 85.34% -0.3 -0.4042
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 799 46.11% 29.02 1.953 78.22% 0.693 0.7542
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 965 31.46% 31.2 1.003 88.7% 0.335 0.1267
Downpour Drenches the World 117 30.77% 31.76 0.774 79.49% 0.015 0.347
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1150 19.45% 34.88 2.936 92.0% 1.238 0.733
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 966 26.42% 32.88 1.361 91.3% 0.047 -0.5175
Finder of Paths Unseen 50 42.0% 28.2 -0.072 72.0% -0.342 -0.0343
Fractured Days Split the Sky 407 39.56% 30.11 -1.846 74.45% -0.776 -0.8151
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 451 43.68% 31.6 0.269 82.26% 0.523 0.4332
Heart of the Wildfire 1147 60.58% 26.42 0.229 76.9% 0.744 1.09
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1608 28.45% 31.66 1.723 89.05% 0.771 0.2252
Lightning's Swift Strike 667 45.17% 28.58 0.459 79.31% 0.388 0.7576
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 43 27.91% 36.44 2.104 90.7% 0.664 -0.1176
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 354 32.48% 32.62 1.4 91.53% 0.774 0.2673
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 237 37.97% 30.18 -3.378 81.86% -0.656 -1.1958
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1172 32.76% 31.18 0.371 87.37% 0.434 0.3559
Many Minds Move as One 842 24.05% 32.93 0.417 90.86% -0.618 -1.2599
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1130 43.02% 29.77 -0.066 81.33% 0.093 -0.0473
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 889 33.22% 30.51 0.147 88.3% -0.306 -0.3149
River Surges in Sunlight 875 43.35% 30.24 -0.472 78.51% -0.451 -0.5761
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 369 43.75% 30.09 -2.15 71.54% -1.204 -0.8037
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 45 33.33% 37.44 0.775 82.22% -0.471 -0.827
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 829 32.45% 30.07 1.342 86.73% 0.445 0.3337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 437 55.38% 27.73 -1.301 73.0% -0.698 -0.279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 30.43% 34.65 2.949 78.26% -0.415 -0.2386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 16 37.5% 38.44 6.819 87.5% 0.632 0.7762
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 260 34.62% 31.4 0.621 89.62% -0.122 -0.1246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 186 46.77% 28.4 -1.725 76.34% -0.073 0.0326
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 896 30.87% 31.69 0.257 87.5% 0.294 0.0953
Shifting Memory of Ages 332 51.66% 28.06 -1.769 75.9% -0.154 0.0829
Shroud of Silent Mist 458 50.44% 29.27 -1.489 81.0% -0.038 0.0964
Starlight Seeks its Form 385 28.57% 31.52 -1.319 81.3% -0.576 -0.6441
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1795 27.98% 28.4 -1.521 88.47% 0.189 -0.0845
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 766 43.53% 28.63 0.77 77.68% 0.663 0.7378
Thunderspeaker 933 38.56% 30.08 0.559 80.6% -0.015 -0.0098
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1216 63.37% 24.82 -2.76 76.4% -0.608 -0.84
Vital Strength of the Earth 644 37.07% 25.83 -2.444 71.74% 0.314 1.1821
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 36 16.67% 28.89 -2.545 72.22% -0.536 -0.0934
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 219 46.12% 24.97 -1.695 71.69% -0.142 1.0262
Volcano Looming High 682 45.16% 27.81 -1.72 80.35% -0.337 -0.359

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 32.5 2.649 83.33% 0.214 0.2202
Blitz 0 193 33.33% 27.81 -0.219 78.76% -0.124 0.3725
Dahan Insurrection 4 300 24.33% 47.91 5.177 73.0% -0.714 -0.6464
Despicable Theft 2 86 38.37% 36.17 2.011 76.74% -0.42 0.0483
Elemental Invocation 1 120 51.67% 28.74 -0.751 69.17% -0.172 0.3727
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 685 10.07% 33.89 2.117 79.27% -0.59 -0.3987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 169 53.29% 31.86 -2.823 71.6% -0.518 -0.0862
Rituals of Terror 3 163 58.28% 35.75 4.985 59.51% -0.263 -0.5114
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 130 73.85% 36.75 3.754 66.92% -0.093 0.0089
Second Wave 0 369 46.61% 31.88 -0.543 74.8% -0.718 -0.1488
The Great River 3 95 66.32% 28.04 5.795 41.05% 0.034 1.7471
Varied Terrains 2 26 69.23% 34.31 0.425 61.54% -0.627 0.1115
Ward the Shores 2 220 43.64% 33.51 -0.333 64.09% -1.207 -0.3832

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11745 39.16% 29.18 -0.503 81.92% 0.415 0.9415
1 Thematic 1193 44.34% 33.48 2.533 74.27% 0.726 1.6512
2 Archipelago 13 53.85% 28.85 2.442 46.15% 0.265 1.2487
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2305 40.05% 29.22 -0.016 85.42% 0.092 0.4997
2 Coastline 248 38.31% 30.65 -0.518 87.5% 0.553 0.5994
2 Fragment 48 64.58% 27.54 0.0 79.17%
2 Heart 28 35.71% 29.61 1.335 100.0% 0.037 0.4781
2 Opposite Shores 313 32.05% 29.63 -2.653 86.58% -0.415 -0.0234
2 Thematic 296 44.26% 34.9 2.629 76.01% 0.357 1.1801
2 Top to Top 49 38.78% 31.14 0.652 91.84% 0.261 0.2745
3 Archipelago 3 0.0% 37.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 39.33 -4.917 83.33% -0.894 -1.1193
3 Other 48 35.42% 29.33 -5.253 87.5% -0.583 -1.4803
3 Round (Default) 1011 31.58% 30.23 0.615 88.03% 0.031 0.1746
3 Thematic 60 46.67% 30.57 -8.572 65.0% -0.742 -0.3754
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 35.67 0.0 66.67%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 26 19.23% 31.5 5.753 100.0% 0.127 -0.4783
4 Thematic 83 20.48% 39.53 -5.44 85.54% -0.206 -0.1082
4 Trapezoid (Default) 443 31.15% 28.62 0.78 81.72% 0.417 0.5798
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 15 26.67% 30.87 -0.937 93.33% 0.017 -0.6672
5 Thematic 7 71.43% 36.29 0.0 71.43%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 3.188 100.0% 0.015 0.2222
6 Other 4 50.0% 30.0 -1.978 100.0% 0.008 -0.2378
6 Star 5 40.0% 35.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 17 29.41% 41.53 -2.554 88.24% -0.063 0.0944
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 22.5% 34.88 0.945 100.0% 0.166 0.3753
7 Other 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 451 23.06 -2.552 63.19% -0.838 1.1541
Aid From Lesser Spirits 386 24.27 -3.482 63.99% -1.386 0.3816
All Things Weaken 532 22.01 -3.5 57.14% -1.164 0.9077
Back Against the Wall 430 25.15 -1.598 64.88% -0.89 1.0438
Disintegrating Ecosystem 451 21.41 -4.155 59.2% -1.328 0.7698
Downward Spiral 609 22.1 -2.598 62.4% -1.403 0.5065
Erosion of Will 503 23.42 -5.079 60.24% -2.138 -0.0436
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 258 27.57 -1.505 82.56% -0.12 0.4075
Memory Fades to Dust 584 23.23 -2.981 62.67% -1.114 0.9902
Power Corrodes the Spirit 555 22.97 -3.323 64.32% -1.23 0.6979
Promising Farmlands 464 22.84 -4.35 62.07% -1.506 0.5211
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 178 29.04 -4.084 89.89% -0.53 -0.0247
Thriving Communities 541 21.59 -4.941 60.63% -1.885 0.18
Unnatural Proliferation 519 22.14 -2.899 52.99% -1.209 0.7263
Untended Land Crumbles 521 21.69 -5.218 58.35% -2.009 0.0229

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3141 38.61% 29.18 -0.114 83.92% 0.295 0.98
B 3015 37.75% 29.09 0.324 83.42% -0.056 0.603
C 3201 35.4% 29.77 0.101 84.85% 0.15 0.5857
D 3011 37.52% 29.45 -0.095 83.89% 0.2 0.8717
E 2953 37.14% 29.51 0.163 84.15% 0.207 0.7018
F 2867 36.88% 29.69 -0.07 84.51% 0.213 0.8397
G 2599 38.73% 29.13 -0.387 83.72% -0.333 0.2216
H 2574 36.58% 29.72 0.341 83.68% -0.027 0.5906
East 983 41.0% 36.1 3.286 78.43% -0.04 0.5155
Northeast 454 40.53% 36.69 2.254 78.85% 0.067 0.671
Northwest 350 44.86% 33.39 -1.152 66.57% -0.93 -0.4552
Southeast 341 37.54% 34.82 -1.957 78.89% -1.108 -0.467
Southwest 319 38.87% 31.44 -1.868 77.12% -0.389 0.4855
West 867 44.18% 32.85 1.33 71.51% -0.095 0.6524

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 63 0.0% 28.92 1.977 80.95% 0.158 2.3628
Not Using Events or Tokens 356 39.1% 27.37 1.553 75.28% 0.153 0.385
Skip Initial Invader Actions 411 6.05% 41.06 2.795 93.43% -0.163 -1.2911
Start of Game Growth 666 13.82% 39.05 1.047 91.74% 0.298 -0.1391
Unlimited Undo 1199 31.83% 31.63 1.148 88.49% 0.394 -0.1084
Using Tokens but Not Events 1442 32.0% 29.73 -0.79 81.14% -0.333 -0.1808

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1278 22.67 27.62%
II 3911 31.1 64.2%
III 8214 34.68 90.1%
IV 4623 37.94 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.155 Win Model: 0.418
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13050 39.79% 29.58 81.02%
2 3245 39.34% 29.89 85.64%
3 1103 32.03% 30.31 86.85%
4 551 29.58% 30.35 82.94%
5 7 28.57% 35.86 100.0%
6 70 27.14% 36.6 97.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 351
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2330
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4532
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 1254
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 207
Win: Scenario condition 360
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1496
Lose: Spirit destroyed 99

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 824 32.56% 34.84 -0.989 84.59% -0.212 -0.3169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 509 57.99% 31.53 -0.49 71.71% 0.221 0.2818
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 670 30.94% 35.72 0.549 87.31% 0.379 0.1708
Downpour Drenches the World 79 25.32% 32.75 -0.554 72.15% -0.367 -0.034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 935 21.54% 39.14 0.715 91.55% 0.131 -0.3745
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 701 30.0% 36.22 1.487 87.16% 0.381 -0.1836
Finder of Paths Unseen 37 59.46% 27.11 -3.41 56.76% -0.86 -0.5525
Fractured Days Split the Sky 256 47.27% 34.37 1.446 73.83% 0.255 0.2159
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 318 46.23% 36.27 -0.86 82.39% -0.395 -0.4849
Heart of the Wildfire 819 60.68% 30.98 -1.427 77.17% -0.23 0.1162
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1172 39.38% 34.34 1.152 85.07% 0.856 0.3098
Lightning's Swift Strike 483 46.47% 33.4 -0.946 80.95% -0.238 0.131
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 26 42.31% 38.19 1.453 92.31% -0.111 -0.8924
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 245 31.43% 36.88 0.348 85.31% -0.399 -0.9055
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 176 35.23% 36.63 2.273 83.52% 0.449 -0.0905
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 860 44.55% 34.28 -0.169 81.74% -0.212 -0.2907
Many Minds Move as One 625 29.42% 37.56 1.745 90.88% 0.455 -0.1869
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 873 45.83% 34.09 0.54 81.33% -0.324 -0.4643
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 680 38.14% 34.46 -1.003 83.97% -0.27 -0.279
River Surges in Sunlight 702 43.94% 34.6 0.179 75.21% -0.084 -0.2088
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 259 53.31% 33.16 2.486 68.34% 0.676 1.0769
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 44 29.55% 41.27 1.537 90.91% 0.329 -0.0267
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 545 44.49% 32.82 0.754 79.63% 0.534 0.4229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 297 66.33% 29.3 -2.933 65.99% -0.393 0.0266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 37.5% 33.25 -2.543 62.5% -0.344 -0.1669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 7 28.57% 35.57 -1.456 71.43% 0.035 0.1794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 191 48.69% 32.88 -5.895 77.49% -0.597 -0.5988
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 135 57.78% 34.46 -3.314 80.0% -0.223 -0.1181
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 701 40.0% 35.79 -0.312 86.02% 0.583 0.3837
Shifting Memory of Ages 286 48.6% 31.28 -3.24 72.73% -0.686 -0.4491
Shroud of Silent Mist 350 65.9% 29.54 -1.059 69.71% -0.064 0.0702
Starlight Seeks its Form 490 27.96% 37.32 1.664 87.96% 0.949 0.8816
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1454 33.75% 33.22 -1.186 87.14% 0.064 -0.2089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 561 50.27% 31.18 -1.329 71.48% -0.007 0.0672
Thunderspeaker 677 43.13% 35.91 0.849 80.35% 0.274 0.2788
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1004 75.58% 27.34 -2.229 71.81% 0.145 -0.0873
Vital Strength of the Earth 449 44.99% 29.15 -2.664 68.37% -0.413 0.4548
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 26 19.23% 34.88 0.792 69.23% -0.118 0.3247
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 179 46.37% 27.99 -2.388 63.13% -0.413 0.7554
Volcano Looming High 559 46.75% 32.7 -1.007 80.86% 0.425 0.4024

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 42.86% 39.0 -1.413 85.71% -0.101 -0.0951
Blitz 0 210 42.58% 30.36 -3.62 70.48% -0.683 -0.1869
Dahan Insurrection 4 264 25.38% 55.53 8.152 79.55% -0.238 -0.1704
Despicable Theft 2 40 62.5% 37.95 4.124 67.5% 0.096 0.5635
Elemental Invocation 1 91 64.84% 31.08 0.522 61.54% -0.126 0.4186
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 418 13.32% 34.69 0.183 68.9% -1.027 -0.8356
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 70.31% 32.14 0.118 59.38% 0.152 0.584
Rituals of Terror 3 124 52.42% 42.94 5.118 66.94% 0.257 0.0088
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 69.77% 44.37 11.531 72.09% -0.4 -0.2987
Second Wave 0 938 49.84% 33.0 -0.8 70.79% -1.334 -0.7649
The Great River 3 59 54.24% 34.17 0.0 47.46%
Varied Terrains 2 11 63.64% 39.27 1.807 72.73% -0.29 0.4482
Ward the Shores 2 166 51.2% 36.1 -1.843 61.45% -0.745 0.0782

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8305 42.93% 33.36 0.104 80.19% 0.48 1.0068
1 Thematic 1045 52.96% 34.96 1.636 66.32% 0.265 1.1898
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 37.56 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1776 47.92% 32.41 -0.773 82.6% 0.17 0.5779
2 Coastline 223 43.24% 33.84 -3.664 84.75% -0.133 -0.0868
2 Fragment 44 65.91% 30.57 -4.872 79.55% 0.097 0.2423
2 Heart 36 52.78% 28.08 -0.559 72.22% 0.173 0.6144
2 Opposite Shores 327 41.05% 32.42 -2.445 82.87% -0.434 -0.0429
2 Thematic 291 57.24% 34.58 -2.679 65.64% -1.03 -0.2071
2 Top to Top 43 41.86% 32.28 1.267 83.72% 0.082 0.0962
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 7 28.57% 43.86 4.692 100.0% 0.046 -0.1787
3 Other 40 40.0% 32.2 1.482 87.5% 0.379 -0.5183
3 Round (Default) 774 34.46% 35.04 1.641 86.3% 0.309 0.4533
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 65 44.62% 37.97 2.504 78.46% 0.26 0.6266
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 40.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 16 62.5% 33.69 0.0 87.5%
4 Thematic 86 30.59% 42.86 0.572 81.4% -0.152 -0.0546
4 Trapezoid (Default) 267 37.97% 33.42 0.512 85.02% -0.082 0.0807
5 Other 23 34.78% 39.87 -3.966 86.96% 0.019 -0.6648
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 39.5 0.0 75.0%
6 Thematic 13 15.38% 46.23 3.227 100.0% 0.075 0.2319
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 33.33% 35.0 -2.097 80.0% -0.496 -0.2873

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 415 26.74 0.557 60.72% 0.653 2.645
Aid From Lesser Spirits 346 27.47 -5.157 61.56% -1.532 0.2354
All Things Weaken 465 25.57 -4.666 55.27% -1.514 0.5575
Back Against the Wall 353 28.1 -2.071 64.87% -0.749 1.1853
Disintegrating Ecosystem 403 24.77 -6.439 56.33% -1.538 0.5596
Downward Spiral 498 26.27 -4.159 63.05% -1.69 0.2194
Erosion of Will 366 25.87 -4.63 60.11% -1.036 1.0591
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 246 32.42 -0.237 80.89% 0.357 0.8843
Memory Fades to Dust 457 25.24 -3.975 57.99% -0.525 1.5794
Power Corrodes the Spirit 450 26.67 -7.733 62.67% -1.836 0.0913
Promising Farmlands 382 24.09 -6.345 54.45% -1.81 0.2167
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 154 31.78 -1.058 82.47% -0.318 0.1876
Thriving Communities 467 24.85 -6.5 56.75% -1.482 0.5832
Unnatural Proliferation 464 27.01 -7.127 60.13% -1.717 0.2184
Untended Land Crumbles 428 25.29 -3.425 57.94% -1.078 0.9538

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2217 44.08% 32.97 -0.658 81.87% -0.456 0.2292
B 2322 41.61% 33.68 -0.239 82.6% -0.36 0.2989
C 2469 41.68% 33.75 -0.056 83.43% -0.091 0.3441
D 2187 42.59% 33.38 -0.599 81.3% -0.245 0.427
E 2158 41.83% 33.82 0.253 83.04% 0.307 0.8022
F 2081 42.97% 33.29 0.663 82.03% 0.074 0.7011
G 1885 43.72% 33.05 -0.689 80.27% -0.206 0.3491
H 1851 42.56% 33.25 0.701 81.85% 0.359 0.977
East 901 50.17% 37.32 3.036 69.59% 0.473 1.0284
Northeast 392 49.62% 38.24 1.376 69.9% 0.11 0.7146
Northwest 344 49.4% 37.04 -2.508 69.77% -0.719 -0.2443
Southeast 333 47.88% 36.86 1.458 74.17% 0.307 0.9483
Southwest 321 52.66% 31.15 -0.874 66.67% -0.114 0.7601
West 854 52.49% 34.61 -2.282 67.45% -1.233 -0.4861

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 51 0.0% 35.1 -0.669 86.27% 0.036 2.2409
Not Using Events or Tokens 148 50.35% 29.7 -4.068 64.86% -0.463 -0.2313
Skip Initial Invader Actions 268 8.3% 47.61 3.685 95.15% 0.96 -0.1677
Start of Game Growth 389 11.43% 45.41 2.58 93.57% 0.656 0.2187
Unlimited Undo 1023 38.78% 34.59 -0.191 84.65% -0.228 -0.7303
Using Tokens but Not Events 1060 32.28% 35.54 0.728 83.3% -0.187 -0.0348

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1190 22.67 25.63%
II 5102 31.1 73.13%
III 5109 34.68 91.15%
IV 2034 37.94 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.045 Win Model: 0.18
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9437 44.28% 33.53 78.44%
2 2712 47.06% 32.85 81.75%
3 858 35.86% 34.9 85.43%
4 387 36.1% 36.0 84.75%
5 9 55.56% 40.11 77.78%
6 32 28.13% 39.16 87.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 301
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4528
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3497
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2008
Lose: Invader deck ran out 76
Lose: Adversary condition 1172
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 149
Win: Scenario condition 312
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1245
Lose: Spirit destroyed 78

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 985 41.67% 40.54 2.507 79.39% 0.961 0.8565
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 585 75.0% 32.21 1.64 54.7% 0.408 0.4691
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 855 49.82% 40.27 1.227 80.47% 0.42 0.2122
Downpour Drenches the World 111 40.54% 40.24 -0.341 77.48% -0.02 0.3129
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1076 39.85% 42.97 1.54 84.11% 0.53 0.0247
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 847 51.54% 39.95 1.576 77.1% 0.677 0.1124
Finder of Paths Unseen 53 69.81% 33.89 -2.041 62.26% -0.379 -0.0707
Fractured Days Split the Sky 343 57.14% 38.8 -2.494 62.68% -0.992 -1.0308
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 347 66.18% 38.51 0.716 72.62% 0.152 0.0623
Heart of the Wildfire 1268 75.87% 32.88 -2.787 60.65% -0.436 -0.0897
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1550 49.84% 39.28 1.714 75.23% 0.399 -0.147
Lightning's Swift Strike 604 63.67% 37.13 0.188 69.37% -0.431 -0.0618
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 65.85% 41.54 2.0 85.37% 0.675 -0.1066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 245 60.41% 39.67 3.532 75.51% 0.452 -0.0546
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 202 60.7% 37.79 -4.449 67.33% -0.872 -1.412
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1129 61.51% 37.84 0.091 70.77% 0.021 -0.058
Many Minds Move as One 706 41.05% 42.77 2.762 85.84% 0.629 -0.0127
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1154 59.55% 37.94 1.16 70.62% 0.349 0.2084
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 808 55.42% 38.17 4.136 74.5% 0.798 0.7895
River Surges in Sunlight 952 54.97% 40.15 1.919 70.48% 0.351 0.2261
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 288 62.85% 36.87 -0.758 62.5% -0.095 0.3059
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 56 53.57% 43.79 1.531 76.79% -0.013 -0.3691
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 851 58.17% 37.76 -1.565 73.09% -0.291 -0.4022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 277 78.7% 32.73 -4.832 55.23% -0.502 -0.0832
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 81.25% 32.13 -1.219 50.0% 0.091 0.2683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 9 66.67% 33.67 -1.813 66.67% -0.144 0.0005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 168 72.62% 34.24 1.977 60.12% 0.427 0.4247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 110 74.55% 33.43 -5.093 55.45% -1.05 -0.9449
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 820 50.25% 39.9 3.089 76.22% 1.005 0.8061
Shifting Memory of Ages 341 73.9% 35.21 -1.71 65.4% -0.463 -0.2257
Shroud of Silent Mist 410 82.93% 29.89 -4.498 50.98% -0.79 -0.6552
Starlight Seeks its Form 372 56.32% 37.45 0.164 67.2% -0.148 -0.2161
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2076 42.8% 38.72 1.411 82.47% 0.995 0.7216
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 596 63.64% 35.83 -2.018 65.44% -0.742 -0.6676
Thunderspeaker 721 57.92% 38.94 1.08 69.35% 0.396 0.4011
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1333 85.27% 30.68 -1.232 59.26% 0.07 -0.1623
Vital Strength of the Earth 441 62.27% 33.27 -1.963 57.6% -0.304 0.5642
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 70.97% 35.58 -2.826 61.29% -0.622 -0.1791
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 183 61.2% 31.63 -5.195 55.74% -1.434 -0.2655
Volcano Looming High 779 68.38% 34.93 -0.407 67.78% 0.058 0.0355

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 46.75 2.935 100.0% 0.093 0.0989
Blitz 0 252 53.17% 34.54 6.218 61.9% -0.328 0.168
Dahan Insurrection 4 167 38.32% 61.94 9.76 80.24% 0.225 0.2931
Despicable Theft 2 33 84.85% 40.94 1.909 54.55% -0.202 0.2663
Elemental Invocation 1 68 73.53% 34.85 -1.997 57.35% -0.692 -0.1476
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 754 13.67% 44.13 2.883 74.54% -0.441 -0.2498
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 70.48% 38.45 -1.593 58.1% -0.253 0.1793
Rituals of Terror 3 54 70.37% 45.65 12.18 61.11% 0.305 0.0566
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 75.61% 44.22 16.783 56.1% 0.58 0.6812
Second Wave 0 589 58.84% 36.37 -2.114 60.61% -0.903 -0.3338
The Great River 3 30 23.33% 31.9 -7.168 23.33% -1.071 0.6418
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 20.0 -3.735 6.67% -1.042 -0.3036
Ward the Shores 2 108 66.67% 39.03 3.699 50.93% 0.129 0.9524

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10019 58.8% 36.58 -0.097 69.95% -0.118 0.4087
1 Thematic 787 57.65% 39.16 0.449 59.34% -0.195 0.7299
2 Archipelago 12 83.33% 38.42 -11.453 50.0% -0.997 -0.0131
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2299 60.66% 36.17 -1.54 70.16% -0.527 -0.1196
2 Coastline 276 54.35% 37.72 -1.445 73.19% -0.127 -0.0809
2 Fragment 57 67.86% 34.75 1.034 63.16% 0.453 0.5987
2 Heart 32 64.52% 36.06 0.0 68.75%
2 Opposite Shores 462 59.44% 37.33 1.606 72.94% 0.221 0.6126
2 Thematic 278 71.22% 36.93 1.433 55.04% 0.425 1.248
2 Top to Top 73 42.25% 40.4 0.0 79.45%
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 30.33 7.938 33.33% 0.134 -0.3101
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 59 55.93% 38.05 2.45 77.97% 0.647 -0.25
3 Round (Default) 952 59.96% 37.95 0.028 73.74% -0.458 -0.3144
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 40.25 0.0 75.0%
3 Thematic 43 74.42% 40.93 0.0 67.44%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 39 53.85% 40.62 10.117 82.05% 0.493 -0.1126
4 Thematic 128 46.88% 47.6 0.89 79.69% -0.329 -0.2313
4 Trapezoid (Default) 464 50.0% 40.44 2.614 81.47% 0.483 0.6461
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 21 38.1% 43.43 0.92 90.48% 0.165 -0.5186
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 3 33.33% 57.0 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 11 50.0% 55.18 3.771 90.91% 0.056 0.2132
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 31.25% 40.63 0.442 68.75% -0.473 -0.2642

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 731 31.32 -3.974 53.76% -1.227 0.7644
Aid From Lesser Spirits 538 34.26 -5.687 60.59% -1.71 0.0573
All Things Weaken 755 31.22 -4.132 55.5% -1.421 0.6505
Back Against the Wall 566 32.48 -3.54 57.07% -1.366 0.5681
Disintegrating Ecosystem 624 29.68 -6.743 55.45% -1.982 0.1152
Downward Spiral 780 30.03 -2.721 54.1% -0.771 1.1383
Erosion of Will 667 30.14 -2.458 52.02% -0.69 1.4048
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 301 38.02 -0.243 76.41% -0.235 0.2923
Memory Fades to Dust 717 30.72 -3.541 55.79% -1.117 0.9878
Power Corrodes the Spirit 703 30.82 -4.505 56.05% -1.326 0.6013
Promising Farmlands 597 28.67 -3.599 51.09% -1.064 0.9624
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 208 38.72 0.849 77.88% -0.062 0.4437
Thriving Communities 708 28.2 -6.618 48.31% -1.856 0.2091
Unnatural Proliferation 777 31.66 -3.329 55.73% -1.235 0.7005
Untended Land Crumbles 745 29.75 -5.781 52.48% -1.573 0.4593

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2866 58.9% 36.91 1.027 71.0% 0.356 1.0414
B 2954 58.92% 37.01 0.276 70.99% 0.137 0.796
C 3291 58.02% 37.71 0.911 73.81% 0.238 0.6739
D 2774 60.04% 36.59 -1.009 70.69% -0.154 0.5184
E 2820 57.22% 37.46 0.183 72.55% 0.166 0.6609
F 2636 57.75% 37.2 -0.624 71.78% 0.042 0.6686
G 2310 58.13% 36.94 -0.506 70.91% 0.007 0.5615
H 2257 55.93% 37.63 0.519 72.4% 0.174 0.7923
East 767 59.74% 41.13 0.65 62.97% -0.529 0.026
Northeast 358 62.18% 39.89 2.217 58.38% -0.085 0.5199
Northwest 349 61.1% 40.0 3.281 60.46% 0.344 0.8184
Southeast 255 54.55% 43.31 -2.075 71.37% -0.477 0.164
Southwest 233 54.55% 38.55 5.622 63.52% 0.546 1.4202
West 750 59.17% 40.13 0.429 62.27% -0.124 0.6234

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 60 0.0% 39.4 -3.808 75.0% -0.379 1.8256
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 60.38% 33.43 2.219 61.67% 0.255 0.4874
Skip Initial Invader Actions 264 18.92% 53.49 6.453 91.29% 0.276 -0.8519
Start of Game Growth 420 23.37% 49.99 4.944 87.38% 0.036 -0.4012
Unlimited Undo 1192 50.66% 39.88 1.503 77.6% 0.057 -0.4454
Using Tokens but Not Events 1246 51.22% 37.41 -1.415 71.83% -0.235 -0.0835

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2496 22.67 11.86%
II 7510 31.1 68.34%
III 4228 34.68 94.56%
IV 1837 37.94 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.34 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10874 58.72% 36.79 69.14%
2 3472 60.65% 36.59 69.73%
3 1056 60.3% 37.95 73.86%
4 626 49.36% 41.96 80.99%
5 9 44.44% 41.67 77.78%
6 34 33.33% 46.94 73.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 294
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3940
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4953
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1808
Lose: Invader deck ran out 56
Lose: Adversary condition 2388
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 196
Win: Scenario condition 189
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2025
Lose: Spirit destroyed 148

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1086 52.45% 40.35 0.89 69.24% 0.174 0.0695
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 605 79.97% 32.64 -1.524 47.93% -0.542 -0.4806
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 917 63.21% 38.65 -3.574 67.83% -0.779 -0.9868
Downpour Drenches the World 136 61.03% 37.38 1.235 57.35% -0.146 0.1867
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1269 47.91% 42.68 1.543 75.89% 0.489 -0.0162
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 873 57.18% 40.55 1.792 68.5% 0.308 -0.2564
Finder of Paths Unseen 50 74.0% 33.62 -3.711 52.0% -0.639 -0.3308
Fractured Days Split the Sky 361 60.94% 39.3 1.861 58.73% -0.417 -0.4555
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 399 71.68% 39.03 1.233 65.41% 0.276 0.1861
Heart of the Wildfire 1150 78.34% 33.66 -1.907 54.78% -0.336 0.0096
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2006 59.17% 38.15 -0.005 64.81% -0.09 -0.6365
Lightning's Swift Strike 664 72.21% 36.09 1.554 57.83% 0.377 0.7459
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 84 73.81% 42.96 0.264 71.43% 0.21 -0.5722
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 280 62.86% 39.73 -0.61 68.57% -0.06 -0.5672
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 210 64.76% 39.29 -4.317 66.19% -0.713 -1.2523
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1344 72.48% 35.47 -1.791 58.41% -0.249 -0.3275
Many Minds Move as One 730 49.11% 43.92 0.567 79.45% -0.057 -0.6992
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1321 59.73% 40.03 2.547 68.21% 0.58 0.4398
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 913 63.37% 37.69 2.609 64.51% 0.826 0.8169
River Surges in Sunlight 1179 61.5% 41.7 4.232 68.45% 1.04 0.9148
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 311 70.32% 35.17 -4.828 52.41% -0.948 -0.5477
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 80 60.0% 43.83 4.612 61.25% 0.363 0.0075
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 868 64.16% 37.8 1.218 65.44% 0.436 0.3252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 218 76.61% 30.78 -1.169 39.45% -0.052 0.3675
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 88.89% 29.78 -9.985 44.44% -1.064 -0.8868
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 9 66.67% 39.11 -3.54 66.67% -0.381 -0.236
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 146 78.77% 33.84 5.368 52.74% 0.898 0.8955
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 107 83.18% 28.67 2.457 34.58% 0.299 0.4039
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 961 56.37% 39.95 3.213 68.78% 0.705 0.5059
Shifting Memory of Ages 320 82.81% 34.58 -0.846 55.0% -0.125 0.1116
Shroud of Silent Mist 393 85.71% 29.6 0.323 41.48% 0.175 0.3093
Starlight Seeks its Form 447 57.27% 39.21 1.184 63.98% -0.07 -0.1381
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2643 52.78% 38.33 -0.839 72.53% -0.038 -0.3115
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 637 70.93% 34.75 -0.101 52.75% -0.045 0.0296
Thunderspeaker 778 69.11% 38.89 -1.062 62.72% -0.457 -0.4522
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1582 87.52% 30.33 -2.258 49.18% -0.087 -0.3192
Vital Strength of the Earth 467 71.95% 29.06 -1.197 34.69% -0.344 0.5236
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 40 62.5% 32.8 -3.139 47.5% -0.517 -0.0741
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 172 69.77% 33.22 4.655 51.16% 0.87 2.0379
Volcano Looming High 997 74.02% 35.17 1.151 60.48% 0.529 0.5069

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 56.0 6.767 100.0% 0.243 0.2492
Blitz 0 162 54.32% 36.54 13.712 54.94% 0.597 1.0929
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 45.16% 60.44 16.195 69.03% 0.516 0.584
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 41.75 10.581 62.5% 0.168 0.6355
Elemental Invocation 1 86 70.93% 35.73 -1.976 47.67% -0.056 0.4879
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 694 19.21% 45.57 8.009 69.16% 0.849 1.0411
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 73.86% 34.8 0.0 43.18%
Rituals of Terror 3 51 72.55% 42.8 13.652 45.1% 0.191 -0.0574
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 90.63% 39.31 0.0 37.5%
Second Wave 0 316 56.05% 37.13 1.343 55.06% -0.044 0.5257
The Great River 3 29 41.38% 37.41 0.0 31.03%
Ward the Shores 2 55 67.27% 34.22 -4.739 30.91% -0.824 -0.0006

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11579 65.15% 36.65 -0.381 62.52% 0.327 0.8537
1 Thematic 784 65.18% 39.05 -1.984 51.4% -0.194 0.731
2 Archipelago 12 91.67% 48.42 7.164 83.33% 0.291 1.2753
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2693 68.26% 36.44 -0.132 62.16% -0.084 0.3235
2 Coastline 312 60.58% 39.36 -2.02 71.47% -0.611 -0.5651
2 Fragment 64 74.19% 33.72 -1.576 53.13% 0.038 0.1832
2 Heart 38 80.0% 36.39 -3.892 65.79% -0.286 0.1554
2 Opposite Shores 536 65.73% 36.01 5.141 59.14% 0.75 1.1415
2 Thematic 222 74.55% 34.14 0.423 39.19% 0.067 0.8905
2 Top to Top 91 54.95% 39.6 2.961 69.23% 0.018 0.0322
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 4.561 57.14% 0.225 -0.0003
3 Other 50 58.0% 43.54 -0.632 88.0% -0.299 -1.1962
3 Round (Default) 1115 65.56% 37.69 -0.303 63.32% -0.558 -0.4139
3 Sunrise 7 57.14% 39.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 51 78.43% 34.37 1.865 33.33% -0.278 0.0882
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 40.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 32 65.63% 42.31 1.871 78.13% 0.241 -0.3638
4 Thematic 107 51.4% 48.29 4.818 63.55% -0.118 -0.0209
4 Trapezoid (Default) 516 54.58% 40.37 6.86 72.09% 0.391 0.5545
5 Other 28 48.15% 48.64 0.083 89.29% 0.082 -0.602
6 Other 5 0.0% 75.2 12.088 100.0% 0.003 -0.2431
6 Star 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 2 50.0% 47.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 45.45% 42.64 0.0 72.73%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 818 31.41 -2.859 47.8% -0.92 1.0714
Aid From Lesser Spirits 718 34.76 -0.971 56.27% -0.278 1.4897
All Things Weaken 922 31.75 -2.405 48.81% -0.723 1.3484
Back Against the Wall 680 33.21 -1.845 51.47% -0.665 1.2691
Disintegrating Ecosystem 801 29.42 -2.342 46.44% -0.584 1.5131
Downward Spiral 976 31.81 -3.291 52.05% -0.877 1.0315
Erosion of Will 878 30.1 -4.868 44.31% -1.475 0.6197
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 396 36.83 -1.896 63.38% -0.823 -0.2957
Memory Fades to Dust 902 31.35 -4.11 48.56% -1.203 0.902
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1000 30.7 -4.796 47.7% -1.221 0.7063
Promising Farmlands 810 30.28 -3.595 46.79% -0.923 1.1038
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 264 39.89 1.228 74.62% 0.182 0.6873
Thriving Communities 853 29.35 -0.904 43.73% -0.261 1.804
Unnatural Proliferation 947 31.06 -1.302 44.88% -0.545 1.3907
Untended Land Crumbles 946 30.87 -3.052 47.36% -0.758 1.274

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3280 64.23% 37.45 0.19 64.09% 0.195 0.8797
B 3324 63.31% 37.35 0.591 64.05% 0.212 0.871
C 3834 65.71% 37.0 0.235 62.68% -0.011 0.425
D 3193 65.27% 36.99 0.159 63.14% 0.335 1.0069
E 3209 65.16% 37.51 1.557 64.41% 0.562 1.0574
F 2966 64.47% 37.47 -0.385 64.33% 0.037 0.6632
G 2668 64.17% 37.06 -0.236 63.91% 0.18 0.735
H 2651 65.21% 37.72 -0.279 64.99% 0.109 0.7269
East 777 65.68% 40.43 1.887 51.48% -0.076 0.4787
Northeast 319 66.04% 41.0 1.324 47.34% -0.441 0.163
Northwest 263 65.65% 38.97 0.832 44.49% -0.356 0.118
Southeast 260 65.0% 38.3 0.991 50.77% 0.267 0.9075
Southwest 206 68.93% 33.67 -4.583 44.66% -0.549 0.3255
West 610 67.27% 37.19 -1.035 45.41% -0.212 0.5353

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 44.77 5.606 76.67% 0.192 2.3966
Not Using Events or Tokens 77 70.13% 39.95 -11.063 55.84% -0.622 -0.3902
Skip Initial Invader Actions 385 15.34% 55.77 8.302 92.99% 1.008 -0.1198
Start of Game Growth 577 17.93% 53.4 7.527 90.29% 0.992 0.5549
Unlimited Undo 1326 57.43% 40.79 0.186 71.64% 0.013 -0.4892
Using Tokens but Not Events 1007 55.07% 38.28 -1.994 67.23% -0.332 -0.18

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3442 22.67 6.1%
II 8056 31.1 59.96%
III 5438 34.68 91.76%
IV 1336 37.94 99.63%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.587 Win Model: 0.397
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12423 65.17% 36.81 61.75%
2 3946 67.55% 36.6 61.73%
3 1215 65.51% 37.73 62.96%
4 656 54.52% 41.59 70.43%
5 14 61.54% 49.29 85.71%
6 18 35.29% 53.61 83.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 209
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4927
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4706
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1323
Lose: Invader deck ran out 153
Lose: Adversary condition 3766
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 204
Win: Scenario condition 123
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2599
Lose: Spirit destroyed 189

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 615 72.68% 43.88 2.789 63.09% 0.478 0.3736
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 327 91.74% 34.98 0.954 40.06% 0.306 0.3666
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 510 90.59% 34.47 1.201 40.0% 0.235 0.0271
Downpour Drenches the World 72 76.39% 38.53 -3.507 45.83% -0.913 -0.5803
Eyes Watch From the Trees 716 72.37% 44.04 5.149 60.75% 0.958 0.4523
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 593 76.86% 42.58 -0.24 56.66% -0.261 -0.8255
Finder of Paths Unseen 44 70.45% 47.23 3.798 72.73% 0.798 1.1062
Fractured Days Split the Sky 268 79.1% 44.33 3.112 53.73% -0.526 -0.5645
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 226 92.04% 36.94 -0.459 44.25% -0.255 -0.3446
Heart of the Wildfire 1397 85.93% 36.81 -3.304 46.6% -0.687 -0.3414
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1129 75.53% 38.62 1.086 49.25% 0.224 -0.322
Lightning's Swift Strike 247 92.65% 32.68 0.513 34.41% 0.084 0.4536
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 87.8% 44.98 1.581 60.98% 0.001 -0.7807
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 163 92.02% 41.29 -2.261 53.37% -0.746 -1.2528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 83 90.36% 40.28 2.574 50.6% 0.064 -0.4762
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1000 79.78% 40.88 2.038 53.7% 0.479 0.4008
Many Minds Move as One 426 62.68% 49.05 6.766 73.94% 0.928 0.286
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 557 84.86% 35.49 1.014 40.39% -0.326 -0.4665
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 547 85.53% 38.17 -0.53 49.54% -0.288 -0.2968
River Surges in Sunlight 667 81.72% 41.43 -0.642 51.12% -0.288 -0.4125
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 131 87.79% 34.69 10.211 34.35% 0.92 1.3201
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 46 73.91% 51.39 7.257 65.22% 0.709 0.3528
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 544 80.33% 41.66 -0.896 57.72% -0.02 -0.1306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 115 87.83% 32.79 9.326 31.3% 0.374 0.7933
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 66.67% 51.0 2.09 66.67% 0.169 0.346
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 73.33% 45.93 0.0 66.67%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 113 89.38% 40.15 0.0 51.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 86 90.7% 40.86 -6.817 52.33% -0.251 -0.1462
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 394 74.11% 41.44 -0.482 52.28% -0.327 -0.5257
Shifting Memory of Ages 249 93.98% 36.07 -2.152 43.78% -0.709 -0.4715
Shroud of Silent Mist 248 92.34% 35.23 -2.524 43.15% -0.568 -0.4337
Starlight Seeks its Form 363 78.24% 42.73 0.91 58.4% 0.006 -0.0614
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2310 60.38% 43.32 2.24 68.18% 0.734 0.4606
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 449 84.38% 36.59 2.101 42.76% 0.309 0.3837
Thunderspeaker 418 88.28% 38.78 1.237 47.61% -0.001 0.0042
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1589 93.77% 35.36 -1.563 45.81% -0.188 -0.4198
Vital Strength of the Earth 193 86.01% 31.07 -3.871 26.94% -1.123 -0.2553
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 31 77.42% 36.35 -2.208 38.71% -0.407 0.0364
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 104 90.38% 30.4 1.104 25.96% 0.189 1.3577
Volcano Looming High 635 91.18% 35.45 0.449 44.72% 0.34 0.3183

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 75 70.67% 41.0 7.867 54.67% 0.349 0.8445
Dahan Insurrection 4 45 68.89% 55.31 5.885 42.22% -0.367 -0.2989
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 35.58 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 37 72.97% 33.89 0.0 27.03%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 402 25.87% 48.88 4.025 62.19% 0.333 0.5251
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 87.5% 36.06 0.0 31.25%
Rituals of Terror 3 20 70.0% 51.45 16.226 50.0% 0.234 -0.0138
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 41.15 0.0 35.0%
Second Wave 0 212 71.56% 39.29 6.381 46.7% 0.812 1.3815
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 32 90.63% 35.84 0.0 25.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8029 80.06% 39.21 0.281 52.77% 0.349 0.8761
1 Thematic 299 75.59% 39.84 0.964 43.14% -0.006 0.919
2 Archipelago 5 100.0% 45.0 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1776 82.6% 38.88 -1.51 52.03% -0.534 -0.1265
2 Coastline 201 82.59% 38.16 -2.017 49.25% -0.546 -0.4999
2 Fragment 31 90.32% 37.97 8.373 45.16% 0.551 0.6962
2 Heart 21 95.24% 40.95 0.0 61.9%
2 Opposite Shores 354 82.44% 36.49 5.544 44.07% 0.919 1.3105
2 Thematic 142 85.92% 36.82 -1.447 33.8% -0.109 0.7141
2 Top to Top 81 90.12% 37.14 -2.279 48.15% -0.455 -0.4417
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 36 75.0% 46.19 0.0 75.0%
3 Round (Default) 753 84.86% 38.98 -0.134 52.19% -0.246 -0.1025
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 21 85.71% 40.62 0.0 38.1%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 66.67% 47.33 0.0 77.78%
4 Thematic 118 60.17% 48.08 -12.23 57.63% -0.475 -0.3778
4 Trapezoid (Default) 243 78.24% 40.24 0.905 52.67% -0.079 0.0844
5 Other 7 66.67% 54.71 0.0 85.71%
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 30.88 0.0 25.0%
6 Thematic 14 7.14% 66.14 4.239 71.43% 0.081 0.2383
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 45.2 0.0 60.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 701 36.66 -3.509 46.36% -0.751 1.2411
Aid From Lesser Spirits 586 40.18 2.082 53.75% 0.343 2.1105
All Things Weaken 817 34.8 -3.514 40.51% -0.665 1.4067
Back Against the Wall 567 39.55 -2.637 50.79% -0.774 1.1598
Disintegrating Ecosystem 725 34.65 -3.223 45.24% -0.697 1.4007
Downward Spiral 704 35.33 -0.325 44.6% 0.014 1.9234
Erosion of Will 711 36.12 -1.46 42.9% -0.405 1.69
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 253 41.91 3.765 58.1% 0.682 1.2098
Memory Fades to Dust 807 35.2 -2.539 43.74% -0.628 1.4767
Power Corrodes the Spirit 761 35.97 -0.833 45.73% -0.351 1.5767
Promising Farmlands 696 33.34 0.499 38.79% 0.069 2.096
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 161 43.83 2.111 62.73% 0.237 0.7426
Thriving Communities 725 34.6 -3.008 44.0% -0.62 1.4452
Unnatural Proliferation 813 36.76 -1.729 44.9% -0.398 1.5373
Untended Land Crumbles 774 34.25 -3.469 40.83% -0.756 1.2759

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2069 81.57% 38.47 0.373 50.8% 0.06 0.7451
B 2392 80.72% 39.57 -1.837 53.8% -0.399 0.2597
C 2680 80.43% 39.2 -0.745 52.46% -0.334 0.1018
D 2006 83.54% 38.52 0.794 50.95% 0.107 0.7791
E 2069 82.36% 38.8 -0.007 50.94% -0.35 0.1455
F 1991 81.17% 39.82 0.618 54.55% 0.053 0.6793
G 1676 80.26% 38.76 -0.264 51.07% -0.08 0.4747
H 1662 79.75% 39.61 0.555 53.67% 0.107 0.7251
East 433 73.21% 42.57 0.7 44.8% 0.147 0.7021
Northeast 190 70.0% 45.46 0.41 48.42% -0.542 0.0629
Northwest 162 68.52% 43.42 -1.912 45.68% -0.812 -0.3375
Southeast 167 65.87% 45.14 5.619 52.69% 0.11 0.7512
Southwest 155 66.45% 43.65 2.313 50.97% 0.189 1.0631
West 379 72.03% 41.01 -1.43 42.74% -0.731 0.0164

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 88.89% 40.22 7.969 51.85% 0.35 0.5818
Skip Initial Invader Actions 122 47.9% 57.68 4.896 84.43% 0.366 -0.7615
Start of Game Growth 281 47.84% 53.65 2.809 75.44% -0.114 -0.5514
Unlimited Undo 1095 77.47% 42.6 2.227 60.73% 0.58 0.078
Using Tokens but Not Events 480 75.9% 38.85 -2.885 51.88% -0.419 -0.2665

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3141 22.67 3.37%
II 5031 31.1 50.09%
III 3142 34.68 90.55%
IV 862 37.94 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.423 Win Model: 0.424
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8357 79.87% 39.25 52.44%
2 2613 83.23% 38.39 49.87%
3 796 84.17% 39.18 52.64%
4 379 73.07% 43.06 55.41%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 28 28.57% 50.54 53.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 106
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2807
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2477
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 843
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 2971
Win: Sacrifice victory 71
Lose: Scenario condition 137
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2470
Lose: Spirit destroyed 197

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 312 72.44% 45.25 2.073 54.81% 0.169 0.0646
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 137 91.97% 36.42 3.044 35.77% 0.431 0.4916
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 219 90.87% 32.58 4.871 27.85% 0.44 0.232
Downpour Drenches the World 40 75.0% 41.65 -1.969 45.0% -0.392 -0.0593
Eyes Watch From the Trees 215 73.02% 45.44 5.047 55.35% 0.704 0.1984
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 196 92.86% 37.51 3.46 38.78% 0.441 -0.1238
Finder of Paths Unseen 15 60.0% 48.8 -4.308 60.0% -0.205 0.1029
Fractured Days Split the Sky 135 82.96% 47.3 3.88 51.11% 0.177 0.1381
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 115 96.52% 36.85 6.225 37.39% 0.881 0.7912
Heart of the Wildfire 593 90.39% 31.78 -6.28 29.17% -0.873 -0.5268
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 695 77.99% 38.78 8.552 40.14% 1.403 0.8572
Lightning's Swift Strike 107 93.46% 33.97 -11.547 29.91% -0.727 -0.3577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 21 95.24% 50.67 3.978 57.14% 0.708 -0.0736
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 56 100.0% 36.59 10.091 37.5% 0.832 0.3248
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 45 93.33% 32.33 -3.102 22.22% -0.206 -0.7453
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 410 89.02% 40.03 1.039 45.61% 0.233 0.1548
Many Minds Move as One 186 70.43% 50.24 -6.543 68.82% -0.961 -1.6033
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 272 81.25% 39.49 1.094 43.01% 0.183 0.042
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 189 84.13% 38.88 7.259 41.8% 0.944 0.9352
River Surges in Sunlight 275 87.64% 40.92 -1.854 41.45% -0.572 -0.6968
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 60 81.67% 37.82 -10.205 31.67% -0.491 -0.0903
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 16 68.75% 63.5 15.623 75.0% 0.357 0.0013
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 268 81.34% 41.41 -0.02 45.9% -0.327 -0.4374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 97 93.81% 26.89 -10.012 8.25% -0.384 0.0352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 100.0% 44.75 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 100.0% 36.5 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 42 92.86% 35.9 -9.522 33.33% -0.342 -0.3446
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 91.84% 30.22 -11.344 18.37% -0.462 -0.3572
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 141 83.69% 35.55 -6.048 33.33% -0.988 -1.1864
Shifting Memory of Ages 121 93.39% 35.88 -4.021 31.4% -0.344 -0.1074
Shroud of Silent Mist 107 93.46% 31.93 -2.978 25.23% -0.376 -0.2412
Starlight Seeks its Form 164 87.8% 40.82 3.611 45.73% 0.571 0.5031
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1070 62.8% 43.46 4.233 60.28% 0.965 0.6913
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 187 88.24% 33.65 -4.108 27.27% -0.391 -0.3163
Thunderspeaker 166 94.58% 35.6 14.187 31.93% 0.639 0.644
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 595 95.46% 35.56 -1.541 38.82% -0.208 -0.4401
Vital Strength of the Earth 88 86.36% 31.23 -10.012 21.59% -0.384 0.484
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 4 75.0% 41.25 -11.696 25.0% -0.685 -0.2422
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 31 83.87% 33.23 0.0 29.03%
Volcano Looming High 306 91.83% 32.59 -4.544 30.39% -0.783 -0.8051

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 27 88.89% 34.07 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 14.356 13.46% 0.517 0.5847
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 21 66.67% 37.76 2.104 28.57% -0.16 0.3839
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 145 30.34% 42.74 4.328 40.0% 0.374 0.5653
Powers Long Forgotten 1 16 87.5% 36.38 -4.46 25.0% -0.58 -0.1476
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 67 61.19% 39.81 -1.206 43.28% -0.335 0.2341
Ward the Shores 2 10 80.0% 41.1 14.497 30.0% 0.249 1.0731

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3667 82.33% 38.52 -0.41 43.58% 0.302 0.8288
1 Thematic 396 88.38% 30.41 -4.46 12.37% -0.58 0.3454
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 819 88.52% 36.75 0.944 38.46% 0.451 0.8586
2 Coastline 76 81.58% 40.42 -3.102 51.32% -0.206 -0.1596
2 Fragment 9 100.0% 45.56 2.461 66.67% 0.093 0.2385
2 Heart 14 71.43% 42.93 -7.644 50.0% -0.39 0.0516
2 Opposite Shores 119 84.03% 41.2 9.131 42.86% 0.591 0.9826
2 Thematic 38 68.42% 39.26 0.0 15.79%
2 Top to Top 59 94.92% 36.39 -4.777 37.29% -0.199 -0.1856
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 19.81 33.33% 0.26 0.0356
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 0.0 81.25%
3 Round (Default) 229 82.53% 41.97 -0.781 51.53% 0.065 0.2086
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 39.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 -10.485 80.0% -0.366 -0.9713
4 Thematic 40 70.0% 51.3 12.2 52.5% 0.237 0.3348
4 Trapezoid (Default) 109 74.31% 39.55 -1.476 43.12% 0.047 0.2102
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 -3.861 50.0% -0.127 1.0807
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 49.5 -8.221 25.0% -0.189 -0.0319
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 369 36.29 -1.216 36.04% -0.599 1.3923
Aid From Lesser Spirits 281 39.96 0.027 44.84% -0.43 1.3376
All Things Weaken 377 34.76 -4.083 33.69% -0.682 1.39
Back Against the Wall 271 35.97 -2.663 33.58% -0.681 1.2526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 308 34.77 -2.626 36.69% -0.374 1.724
Downward Spiral 378 32.66 -1.691 29.89% -0.078 1.831
Erosion of Will 346 34.9 -2.606 32.66% -0.804 1.2913
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 45.59 1.112 56.16% -0.059 0.4681
Memory Fades to Dust 354 34.25 -2.398 32.77% -0.461 1.6432
Power Corrodes the Spirit 386 34.32 0.047 32.9% 0.056 1.9837
Promising Farmlands 312 34.47 -0.868 33.65% -0.273 1.7537
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 68 47.66 5.87 63.24% 0.777 1.2829
Thriving Communities 386 34.37 -1.231 34.97% 0.009 2.0733
Unnatural Proliferation 372 34.86 -4.118 32.26% -0.994 0.9409
Untended Land Crumbles 408 33.23 -2.732 30.64% -0.467 1.5647

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 870 85.86% 38.33 0.789 42.18% 0.125 0.8101
B 1016 83.76% 39.06 0.913 44.98% 0.2 0.8584
C 1098 83.97% 40.09 -0.73 46.36% -0.392 0.0432
D 841 84.78% 37.78 -0.551 41.62% 0.016 0.6876
E 932 84.01% 37.67 -0.737 41.09% -0.161 0.3344
F 892 79.04% 39.43 0.303 45.63% 0.156 0.7825
G 732 82.65% 38.98 -0.731 43.44% -0.139 0.4157
H 744 82.66% 38.74 0.675 43.01% 0.116 0.7337
East 168 76.19% 42.68 5.401 32.74% 0.048 0.6035
Northeast 72 83.33% 42.53 12.912 29.17% 0.16 0.7644
Northwest 128 90.63% 32.96 12.912 14.06% 0.16 0.6344
Southeast 77 76.62% 42.61 -0.756 35.06% -0.531 0.1098
Southwest 219 84.47% 28.78 -8.959 10.5% -0.301 0.5734
West 381 85.83% 31.25 -8.959 12.6% -0.301 0.4466

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 88.24% 39.88 10.896 29.41% 0.443 0.6757
Skip Initial Invader Actions 64 60.94% 57.52 7.441 76.56% 0.415 -0.713
Start of Game Growth 102 54.9% 53.32 3.688 68.63% 0.288 -0.149
Unlimited Undo 499 72.95% 45.66 2.069 60.72% 0.572 0.0696
Using Tokens but Not Events 372 70.7% 39.34 -6.373 47.04% -1.855 -1.7029

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1503 22.67 0.8%
II 2378 31.1 29.39%
III 1307 34.68 88.91%
IV 434 37.94 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.186 Win Model: -0.023
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4083 82.9% 37.85 40.58%
2 1124 87.1% 37.31 39.23%
3 253 82.21% 43.17 53.36%
4 155 71.61% 42.28 46.45%
5 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0%
6 6 100.0% 34.83 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 684
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 427
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 1582
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 80
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1528
Lose: Spirit destroyed 89

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1695 71.19% 46.06 1.06 45.31% 0.246 0.1412
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 752 90.43% 34.44 -3.669 22.74% -0.675 -0.6143
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 749 92.66% 31.45 -3.382 19.23% -0.382 -0.5904
Downpour Drenches the World 272 77.21% 42.75 1.921 36.76% 0.635 0.9676
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1216 85.19% 39.77 -0.125 35.2% 0.463 -0.0427
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1001 88.61% 35.86 -6.229 27.77% -1.333 -1.8976
Finder of Paths Unseen 139 76.98% 47.11 1.902 51.08% 0.59 0.8983
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1019 73.99% 50.14 0.946 45.53% 0.13 0.0916
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 628 89.65% 34.16 -5.558 23.41% -1.12 -1.2101
Heart of the Wildfire 3240 90.33% 35.14 -4.854 28.98% -0.266 0.0796
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3073 74.1% 42.66 -0.847 42.89% 0.111 -0.4349
Lightning's Swift Strike 877 93.26% 28.93 -5.56 13.34% -0.715 -0.3457
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 296 88.14% 40.95 0.488 35.81% 0.552 -0.2295
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 435 92.86% 37.88 -0.579 33.56% 0.346 -0.1607
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 241 81.74% 46.28 8.702 46.06% 1.266 0.7263
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2524 88.58% 36.03 -4.636 28.29% -0.815 -0.8937
Many Minds Move as One 1025 74.12% 51.64 7.376 61.95% 1.655 1.0133
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1133 85.85% 36.97 -1.801 30.54% -0.043 -0.1835
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1058 89.31% 37.3 -2.826 31.95% 0.046 0.0367
River Surges in Sunlight 1769 86.3% 44.17 3.581 40.08% 0.554 0.4286
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 322 69.57% 45.14 -4.34 33.54% -0.479 -0.0785
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 156 80.52% 48.81 2.222 41.67% 0.421 0.0651
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1665 75.86% 48.12 1.673 50.69% 0.514 0.4026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 434 76.27% 35.44 -1.335 21.89% 0.074 0.493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 92.59% 32.0 -7.173 18.52% -1.368 -1.1915
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 15 93.33% 45.2 -3.023 46.67% -0.341 -0.1964
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 183 78.14% 34.95 -6.283 22.4% -0.41 -0.4122
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 138 88.41% 36.87 2.116 26.81% 0.17 0.2751
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 946 79.6% 38.74 -2.456 32.66% 0.063 -0.1361
Shifting Memory of Ages 583 82.68% 44.78 -0.88 39.97% 0.132 0.3695
Shroud of Silent Mist 536 91.04% 34.24 -4.029 25.37% -0.421 -0.2869
Starlight Seeks its Form 1111 78.76% 47.29 2.044 47.61% 0.584 0.5162
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 10499 52.07% 48.82 7.183 61.41% 1.757 1.4841
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 805 87.56% 36.83 -0.736 29.07% 0.109 0.1837
Thunderspeaker 872 86.24% 35.68 -3.024 22.82% -0.552 -0.5469
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4561 94.41% 35.46 -3.402 31.92% -0.134 -0.366
Vital Strength of the Earth 337 83.38% 32.5 -5.354 18.4% -0.615 0.2532
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 62 72.58% 38.05 -0.379 27.42% -0.063 0.3796
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 271 85.61% 34.83 -2.893 25.83% -0.266 0.9027
Volcano Looming High 2013 89.92% 34.31 -4.073 27.52% -0.382 -0.4039

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 343 58.36% 42.2 -1.513 41.4% -0.595 -0.099
Dahan Insurrection 4 216 73.02% 48.23 2.368 19.91% -0.727 -0.6596
Despicable Theft 2 28 89.29% 34.96 0.0 17.86%
Elemental Invocation 1 100 69.0% 36.99 -2.574 20.0% -0.677 -0.133
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2050 31.95% 48.83 2.031 42.29% -0.221 -0.0292
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 52.58% 45.94 0.0 51.55%
Rituals of Terror 3 107 34.91% 76.27 14.384 41.12% 0.442 0.1943
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 64.71% 42.71 0.0 23.53%
Second Wave 0 115 56.52% 43.86 8.848 40.87% 0.575 1.1442
The Great River 3 26 57.69% 36.19 -5.265 3.85% -1.413 0.3
Varied Terrains 2 23 60.87% 48.26 7.354 43.48% 0.068 0.8061
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 31168 77.2% 40.78 -0.588 41.06% -0.18 0.3472
1 Thematic 783 72.54% 39.61 0.614 27.84% -0.176 0.7493
2 Archipelago 10 70.0% 46.1 0.0 10.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3100 86.26% 40.11 0.39 38.77% -0.073 0.3347
2 Coastline 560 75.85% 41.6 0.796 39.64% -0.173 -0.127
2 Fragment 45 86.67% 40.2 0.0 35.56%
2 Heart 86 82.56% 38.24 -6.6 34.88% -1.328 -0.8867
2 Opposite Shores 765 84.42% 34.75 -2.176 24.18% -0.401 -0.0098
2 Thematic 143 65.73% 47.97 13.203 20.98% 1.022 1.8447
2 Top to Top 140 85.0% 41.94 5.279 43.57% 0.086 0.0996
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 32.67 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 51.5 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 56 85.71% 46.18 2.004 53.57% -0.311 -1.2086
3 Round (Default) 1092 81.32% 40.32 -0.321 38.1% -0.402 -0.2581
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 33 36.36% 62.58 2.354 27.27% -0.044 0.3231
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 7.629 0.0% -0.016 0.2104
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 34 76.47% 49.97 21.45 61.76% 0.923 0.3174
4 Thematic 161 25.47% 67.23 15.488 68.94% 0.044 0.1416
4 Trapezoid (Default) 549 84.43% 39.06 -1.131 31.88% -0.462 -0.2984
5 Coastline 6 16.67% 69.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 26 57.69% 56.27 0.678 73.08% -0.395 -1.0792
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 66.0 0.694 100.0% 0.025 -0.7222
6 Other 7 85.71% 30.43 0.0 14.29%
6 Star 5 80.0% 42.2 -1.656 40.0% -0.046 1.1614
6 Thematic 13 30.77% 62.62 -8.07 61.54% -0.498 -0.3409
6 Two Centers (Default) 60 28.33% 87.13 3.872 80.0% -0.005 0.2035

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2322 37.12 -3.741 32.69% -1.168 0.8234
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1826 41.7 -0.15 41.51% -0.622 1.1451
All Things Weaken 2446 36.76 -3.485 32.05% -0.986 1.086
Back Against the Wall 1723 40.8 0.478 39.35% -0.393 1.5409
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2230 34.55 -4.113 30.76% -1.011 1.0868
Downward Spiral 2412 36.17 -3.589 32.26% -0.903 1.0056
Erosion of Will 2095 35.79 -3.409 29.4% -1.121 0.9743
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 680 43.85 -2.423 46.91% -1.082 -0.5547
Memory Fades to Dust 2426 34.85 -5.163 28.52% -1.375 0.7296
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2298 35.04 -4.161 29.42% -1.028 0.8998
Promising Farmlands 2208 34.58 -2.878 28.26% -0.772 1.2548
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 413 47.47 1.299 55.69% -0.418 0.0881
Thriving Communities 2382 34.88 -3.56 29.64% -0.972 1.0928
Unnatural Proliferation 2538 38.0 -1.987 33.45% -0.704 1.2308
Untended Land Crumbles 2245 34.2 -4.09 27.53% -1.105 0.9272

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6112 79.21% 40.95 0.243 40.07% -0.173 0.5121
B 6489 77.45% 40.54 -0.306 39.13% -0.286 0.3727
C 8032 78.99% 40.58 0.3 39.4% -0.129 0.3063
D 5587 81.49% 40.09 0.22 38.91% -0.062 0.6105
E 6356 81.12% 40.11 -0.829 38.55% -0.347 0.1485
F 5646 76.72% 41.56 -0.131 41.59% -0.288 0.3383
G 4505 78.84% 40.9 0.104 40.49% -0.16 0.3947
H 4449 76.91% 42.26 0.147 42.59% -0.143 0.4749
East 662 53.78% 52.28 2.892 37.61% -0.4 0.1556
Northeast 307 46.58% 56.7 1.2 41.69% -0.553 0.0511
Northwest 240 46.25% 55.09 4.078 43.75% 0.205 0.6796
Southeast 239 48.12% 52.53 1.073 45.19% -0.259 0.3818
Southwest 239 58.58% 44.76 -2.997 39.33% -0.603 0.2713
West 583 53.17% 50.39 8.023 38.59% 0.534 1.2816

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 55.0 4.063 70.59% 0.243 2.4475
Not Using Events or Tokens 124 75.81% 41.47 4.285 11.29% 0.134 0.3663
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1276 26.79% 66.77 7.073 81.03% 1.325 0.1965
Start of Game Growth 2121 28.49% 62.25 6.792 77.23% 0.304 -0.1334
Unlimited Undo 3921 68.4% 51.73 3.389 63.12% 0.808 0.3056
Using Tokens but Not Events 1705 67.54% 40.93 -4.079 39.82% -1.082 -0.9296

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14971 22.67 3.31%
II 15808 31.1 48.36%
III 6401 34.68 90.58%
IV 1706 37.94 99.71%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.281 Win Model: 0.037
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 32144 76.99% 40.88 40.86%
2 4727 84.72% 39.09 35.33%
3 1168 80.82% 41.36 38.87%
4 748 70.47% 45.19 41.58%
5 10 30.0% 61.4 80.0%
6 89 35.96% 75.89 70.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 478
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5702
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7473
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1656
Lose: Invader deck ran out 306
Lose: Adversary condition 12089
Win: Sacrifice victory 287
Lose: Scenario condition 939
Win: Scenario condition 44
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9196
Lose: Spirit destroyed 716

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-27 02:54:44 (Pacific Time)