The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1011 27.52% 30.15 0.32 85.46% 0.038 -0.0768
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 740 45.93% 28.68 -0.631 77.7% -0.222 -0.1257
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 881 31.51% 31.01 0.44 88.42% 0.58 0.4188
Downpour Drenches the World 48 33.33% 31.21 -0.148 85.42% -0.102 0.1508
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1071 19.02% 34.72 1.427 91.69% 0.509 0.0712
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 892 25.14% 32.94 1.83 92.04% 0.997 0.5088
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 55.56% 27.22 -1.458 66.67% -0.421 -0.0577
Fractured Days Split the Sky 383 38.9% 30.29 0.118 75.2% -0.487 -0.4315
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 349 44.7% 31.4 0.685 80.8% 0.356 0.3237
Heart of the Wildfire 1060 60.55% 26.04 -1.293 75.85% -0.38 -0.2051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1497 28.55% 31.46 1.055 88.64% 0.313 -0.1435
Lightning's Swift Strike 629 44.87% 28.51 -1.157 79.33% -0.473 -0.1991
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 15 20.0% 37.53 2.208 100.0% 0.843 0.0663
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 335 31.44% 32.36 0.734 91.04% 0.248 -0.3948
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 219 36.99% 30.69 -1.62 83.56% -0.808 -1.0742
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1037 32.21% 31.24 0.734 88.43% 0.243 -0.0239
Many Minds Move as One 770 24.09% 32.83 1.005 91.43% 0.235 -0.3676
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1019 42.91% 29.6 -0.025 81.45% -0.048 -0.2328
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 829 33.45% 30.38 -0.208 88.78% 0.119 0.1398
River Surges in Sunlight 828 43.0% 30.27 -0.898 79.11% -0.703 -0.7372
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 341 42.94% 30.2 -0.584 72.73% -0.038 0.3935
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 21 19.05% 39.43 2.127 90.48% 0.146 -0.1541
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 778 33.03% 29.77 -0.241 86.25% 0.24 0.1868
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 420 55.71% 27.64 -2.438 73.1% -1.11 -0.7004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 33.33% 34.44 0.847 88.89% 0.081 0.0882
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 50.0% 35.75 0.578 100.0% 0.388 0.0411
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 239 34.31% 31.34 1.374 89.96% 0.735 0.7547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 174 45.98% 28.53 0.751 77.01% -0.366 -0.1826
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 826 30.34% 31.57 0.498 87.53% -0.1 -0.387
Shifting Memory of Ages 271 51.66% 28.0 -0.108 76.38% 0.537 0.6116
Shroud of Silent Mist 404 49.26% 29.33 -0.042 81.44% -0.112 0.1241
Starlight Seeks its Form 315 28.57% 32.09 0.151 80.95% -0.102 -0.2409
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1715 28.35% 28.25 0.177 88.22% 0.666 0.4838
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 713 43.54% 28.5 0.467 77.14% 0.675 0.8595
Thunderspeaker 861 39.42% 29.85 0.779 80.6% 0.164 0.2282
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1158 63.09% 24.79 -1.885 76.68% 0.079 -0.0116
Vital Strength of the Earth 609 37.56% 25.76 -4.666 71.26% -1.058 -0.2495
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 15 0.0% 30.73 -1.23 80.0% -0.704 -0.3172
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 204 47.06% 24.81 -0.036 71.57% 0.536 1.71
Volcano Looming High 608 43.91% 27.91 -1.294 81.41% -0.643 -0.6473

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 75.0% 30.25 -0.96 75.0% 0.05 -0.152
Blitz 0 175 33.91% 27.28 -2.374 77.71% -0.529 -0.2717
Dahan Insurrection 4 286 23.08% 48.35 8.059 74.13% -0.87 -0.4569
Despicable Theft 2 73 38.36% 35.99 2.044 78.08% -0.198 0.2485
Elemental Invocation 1 101 51.49% 28.55 2.157 68.32% 0.433 0.9186
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 651 10.29% 33.57 2.811 78.65% -0.723 -0.4175
Powers Long Forgotten 1 159 50.96% 32.05 2.804 72.33% 0.319 0.5012
Rituals of Terror 3 149 59.73% 35.07 2.678 58.39% -0.99 -0.8693
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 122 72.95% 36.65 -0.085 66.39% -0.39 0.0251
Second Wave 0 338 47.04% 31.53 1.535 74.85% -0.595 -0.0294
The Great River 3 93 66.67% 27.98 1.931 40.86% -0.778 0.6196
Varied Terrains 2 6 33.33% 39.5 4.401 83.33% 0.007 0.5326
Ward the Shores 2 206 43.69% 33.36 -1.243 64.08% -0.939 0.223

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10812 38.89% 29.11 -0.262 82.16% 0.283 1.299
1 Thematic 1124 44.4% 33.41 1.746 74.11% 0.274 1.4467
2 Archipelago 10 60.0% 26.6 -5.708 30.0% -0.941 0.0429
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2122 40.54% 28.98 -0.465 85.53% -0.302 0.4496
2 Coastline 223 38.57% 30.18 -2.019 86.55% -0.344 0.258
2 Fragment 46 63.04% 26.98 2.474 78.26% 0.111 0.5587
2 Heart 26 38.46% 29.5 -0.724 100.0% 0.169 0.7077
2 Opposite Shores 296 31.19% 29.95 -0.249 88.18% 0.542 1.5345
2 Thematic 273 45.42% 34.68 0.402 76.19% -0.481 0.2173
2 Top to Top 45 40.0% 30.67 1.904 91.11% 0.638 1.1484
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.6 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 44 34.09% 29.7 3.803 88.64% 0.068 0.0328
3 Round (Default) 878 30.18% 29.96 0.014 88.84% -0.353 0.2417
3 Thematic 54 46.3% 30.59 -1.179 64.81% -0.378 -0.4154
4 Archipelago 2 100.0% 33.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 26 19.23% 31.5 1.761 100.0% 0.185 -0.0685
4 Thematic 82 19.51% 39.77 1.536 86.59% 0.028 0.5569
4 Trapezoid (Default) 418 31.58% 28.36 1.051 80.86% -0.519 -0.546
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 20.111 100.0% 0.069 -0.5099
5 Other 13 23.08% 30.85 5.708 92.31% 0.002 0.1703
5 Thematic 7 71.43% 36.29 2.75 71.43% 0.028 -0.2486
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 38.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 33.33% 30.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 4 25.0% 38.25 1.549 100.0% 0.029 0.8121
6 Thematic 13 23.08% 42.54 0.45 92.31% 0.088 -0.1906
6 Two Centers (Default) 25 28.0% 34.48 -0.214 100.0% 0.033 -0.0607
7 Other 1 0.0% 49.0 1.393 100.0% 0.0 -1.1518

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 413 22.92 -5.659 63.2% -1.855 0.0479
Aid From Lesser Spirits 347 24.08 -2.937 64.27% -1.1 0.6301
All Things Weaken 495 22.01 -5.74 57.58% -2.033 -0.0473
Back Against the Wall 401 24.82 -4.578 64.34% -1.668 0.1482
Disintegrating Ecosystem 415 21.28 -4.875 59.28% -1.934 0.1166
Downward Spiral 562 21.86 -3.35 62.99% -0.91 1.0832
Erosion of Will 453 23.41 -4.24 60.71% -1.499 0.5836
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 241 27.56 -0.21 82.99% 0.365 0.8063
Memory Fades to Dust 524 23.09 -4.344 62.02% -1.613 0.4714
Power Corrodes the Spirit 508 22.93 -2.053 65.16% -0.685 1.2536
Promising Farmlands 426 22.75 -3.346 61.97% -1.715 0.3308
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 159 29.04 -1.528 89.94% -0.847 -0.4227
Thriving Communities 507 21.68 -5.316 61.54% -1.863 0.1205
Unnatural Proliferation 466 22.06 -5.52 52.79% -2.059 -0.0941
Untended Land Crumbles 475 21.59 -4.131 58.95% -1.364 0.6296

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2859 38.44% 28.99 0.093 84.05% -0.361 0.4361
B 2738 37.73% 28.88 0.142 83.53% -0.112 0.6314
C 2946 35.06% 29.63 -0.219 84.96% -0.458 0.1105
D 2732 37.7% 29.23 0.511 83.86% 0.437 1.2329
E 2706 37.22% 29.39 -0.046 84.37% -0.45 0.1969
F 2611 36.81% 29.58 -0.538 84.64% -0.326 0.3977
G 2361 38.75% 28.89 0.062 83.99% -0.184 0.5476
H 2359 36.09% 29.54 0.42 83.72% 0.026 0.7386
East 918 41.39% 36.07 1.253 78.54% -0.52 0.2486
Northeast 421 42.04% 36.67 2.021 78.86% 0.254 1.1137
Northwest 328 44.51% 33.44 -0.467 66.77% -0.666 0.4107
Southeast 317 36.59% 34.97 1.114 79.81% 0.04 0.7459
Southwest 292 37.67% 31.42 -0.351 77.74% 0.188 1.3134
West 810 43.58% 32.85 -0.052 71.6% -0.337 0.6164

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 28.2 1.194 79.63% 0.089 2.218
Not Using Events or Tokens 337 39.43% 27.24 -2.041 75.07% -0.175 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 377 5.77% 41.0 3.378 93.9% 0.767 0.6249
Start of Game Growth 602 12.93% 39.13 2.643 91.86% 0.084 -0.6761
Unlimited Undo 1059 32.5% 31.3 0.372 88.48% 0.57 -0.0344
Using Tokens but Not Events 1285 31.57% 29.56 -1.101 81.4% -0.553 -0.7095

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1169 22.56 27.8%
II 3591 30.98 64.69%
III 7593 34.53 90.24%
IV 4210 37.77 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.147 Win Model: 0.85
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12030 39.52% 29.52 81.25%
2 2991 39.84% 29.65 85.66%
3 965 30.78% 30.14 87.67%
4 524 29.77% 30.23 82.44%
5 5 20.0% 37.8 100.0%
6 48 27.08% 37.1 97.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 323
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6652
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2152
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4123
Lose: Invader deck ran out 113
Lose: Adversary condition 1106
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 201
Win: Scenario condition 344
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1384
Lose: Spirit destroyed 93

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 770 33.03% 34.87 -1.734 85.19% -0.392 -0.5066
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 476 57.81% 31.38 -0.877 71.64% 0.047 0.1431
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 620 32.31% 35.6 0.535 87.26% 0.205 0.0438
Downpour Drenches the World 37 21.62% 31.05 -1.961 64.86% -0.598 -0.3457
Eyes Watch From the Trees 865 21.78% 39.06 2.557 91.68% 1.074 0.6362
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 658 30.44% 36.06 0.51 86.78% -0.062 -0.5498
Finder of Paths Unseen 16 50.0% 26.31 -3.696 56.25% -0.932 -0.5687
Fractured Days Split the Sky 238 47.48% 34.07 5.43 73.11% 0.389 0.445
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 265 48.3% 36.07 1.071 82.26% 0.631 0.599
Heart of the Wildfire 754 60.61% 31.06 0.461 77.59% 0.592 0.7662
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1083 40.19% 34.03 -0.533 84.3% -0.053 -0.5097
Lightning's Swift Strike 458 46.61% 33.48 1.589 81.44% 0.791 1.0652
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 11 54.55% 33.91 0.463 90.91% 0.838 0.0618
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 224 30.8% 36.88 0.781 86.16% -0.062 -0.7053
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 164 35.98% 36.38 2.879 84.15% 0.622 0.356
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 793 45.04% 34.12 0.405 81.59% 0.003 -0.2633
Many Minds Move as One 579 29.69% 37.46 0.707 90.67% -0.273 -0.8756
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 817 45.17% 34.01 -0.727 81.88% 0.061 -0.1244
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 636 38.74% 34.57 2.188 84.28% 0.347 0.3679
River Surges in Sunlight 667 44.14% 34.52 0.905 75.41% -0.054 -0.0881
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 242 52.08% 33.12 0.891 68.18% 0.229 0.6604
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 18 22.22% 41.78 3.253 88.89% 0.555 0.2542
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 505 45.63% 32.57 -2.016 78.81% -0.387 -0.4401
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 289 66.09% 29.53 -2.215 66.78% -0.073 0.3364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 30.0% 35.0 0.234 70.0% -0.165 -0.1585
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 40.0% 34.2 -0.803 60.0% -0.252 -0.5993
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 181 47.51% 32.99 -0.63 77.35% -0.21 -0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 127 55.91% 35.25 -5.364 82.68% -0.737 -0.5541
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 658 40.64% 35.74 1.137 85.56% 0.513 0.2259
Shifting Memory of Ages 248 50.0% 31.18 -3.571 73.39% -0.936 -0.8609
Shroud of Silent Mist 323 66.56% 29.32 -1.776 69.04% -0.532 -0.2955
Starlight Seeks its Form 276 34.42% 34.79 0.373 84.06% 0.583 0.4442
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1377 34.23% 33.1 -0.302 87.15% 0.439 0.2575
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 523 50.38% 31.12 -4.349 71.32% -1.104 -0.9189
Thunderspeaker 625 43.36% 35.75 -1.041 80.16% -0.138 -0.0736
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 962 75.55% 27.26 -1.788 71.41% 0.2 0.109
Vital Strength of the Earth 435 45.75% 29.07 -4.258 67.82% -0.873 -0.0647
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 11 18.18% 31.91 -2.29 63.64% -0.478 -0.0914
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 172 45.35% 27.95 1.714 63.37% 0.231 1.4051
Volcano Looming High 493 47.75% 32.59 -0.775 80.73% -0.101 -0.1052

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 40.5 -0.861 100.0% 0.097 -0.1048
Blitz 0 194 43.81% 30.16 -0.491 70.1% -0.153 0.1047
Dahan Insurrection 4 250 26.0% 55.32 8.041 79.2% -1.212 -0.799
Despicable Theft 2 31 58.06% 37.68 -2.43 67.74% -0.895 -0.4494
Elemental Invocation 1 79 62.03% 31.2 -2.428 63.29% -0.828 -0.3424
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 384 13.98% 34.37 1.628 67.97% -0.172 0.1333
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 71.07% 32.12 -4.795 58.68% -0.706 -0.5245
Rituals of Terror 3 120 51.67% 42.87 10.012 66.67% 0.314 0.4353
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 69.88% 43.86 8.592 72.29% 0.665 1.0804
Second Wave 0 887 50.45% 32.93 0.809 70.91% -0.531 0.0349
The Great River 3 59 54.24% 34.17 -6.856 47.46% -2.112 -0.7147
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 41.4 3.323 80.0% 0.064 0.5901
Ward the Shores 2 159 51.57% 36.3 -0.009 62.26% -1.05 0.1114

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7540 43.66% 33.08 0.086 79.67% 0.128 1.1442
1 Thematic 975 53.07% 34.8 1.46 65.64% -0.603 0.5696
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 37.56 0.0 77.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1626 48.34% 32.43 -0.223 82.84% 0.308 1.0594
2 Coastline 209 41.83% 34.22 1.272 85.65% 0.066 0.6686
2 Fragment 42 64.29% 30.74 0.87 78.57% 0.848 1.2952
2 Heart 33 54.55% 27.36 3.058 69.7% 0.125 0.663
2 Opposite Shores 305 42.05% 32.46 0.278 82.95% 0.292 1.284
2 Thematic 270 56.88% 34.88 -2.278 67.04% -1.23 -0.5313
2 Top to Top 42 42.86% 32.14 -0.873 83.33% 0.218 0.7281
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 6 33.33% 42.5 3.547 100.0% 0.514 -0.2691
3 Other 38 39.47% 32.45 0.128 89.47% 0.249 0.2134
3 Round (Default) 701 35.71% 34.66 -0.342 86.45% -0.441 0.1535
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 63 46.03% 37.79 3.954 77.78% 0.372 0.3344
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 -7.198 80.0% -0.407 -1.1182
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 40.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 31.33 -5.507 66.67% -0.208 0.3544
4 Other 16 62.5% 33.69 0.477 87.5% 0.144 -0.1104
4 Thematic 81 31.25% 42.74 1.117 81.48% 0.038 0.5672
4 Trapezoid (Default) 255 37.8% 33.15 -4.214 85.1% -0.96 -0.9875
5 Other 21 38.1% 38.71 0.922 85.71% 0.795 0.9632
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 50.0% 39.5 -7.072 75.0% -0.546 0.2635
6 Thematic 10 20.0% 45.4 2.047 100.0% 0.34 0.061
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 33.33% 36.22 0.0 88.89%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 390 26.46 -5.413 59.49% -1.368 0.5354
Aid From Lesser Spirits 320 27.47 -6.018 61.88% -2.038 -0.3083
All Things Weaken 420 25.5 -3.332 55.24% -1.034 0.9515
Back Against the Wall 317 27.55 -4.051 63.09% -1.196 0.6206
Disintegrating Ecosystem 365 25.02 -2.426 57.26% -1.231 0.8198
Downward Spiral 463 26.33 -6.262 63.71% -1.764 0.2294
Erosion of Will 350 25.79 -7.04 59.71% -1.875 0.2081
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 229 32.13 -1.955 79.91% -0.799 -0.3575
Memory Fades to Dust 427 25.13 -6.906 57.14% -2.605 -0.5205
Power Corrodes the Spirit 419 26.7 -2.425 63.01% -0.72 1.2183
Promising Farmlands 357 24.03 -4.673 54.06% -1.228 0.8179
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 143 31.63 2.392 82.52% 0.42 0.8451
Thriving Communities 432 24.82 -4.479 56.71% -1.18 0.8036
Unnatural Proliferation 436 27.05 -4.556 60.55% -1.128 0.8369
Untended Land Crumbles 395 25.13 -8.033 57.97% -2.197 -0.2041

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2043 44.63% 32.92 -0.414 82.23% -0.076 0.7214
B 2110 42.69% 33.43 0.702 82.75% 0.181 0.9247
C 2266 42.24% 33.53 -0.455 83.14% -0.197 0.3712
D 1994 43.23% 33.13 -0.136 81.19% 0.161 0.957
E 1971 42.23% 33.54 -0.859 82.39% -0.145 0.5026
F 1915 43.57% 33.1 -0.048 81.98% 0.196 0.9203
G 1715 44.04% 32.94 0.939 80.23% 0.207 0.9386
H 1681 43.65% 32.94 -2.001 81.38% -0.552 0.1602
East 837 50.18% 37.25 4.623 69.41% 0.635 1.4039
Northeast 370 50.14% 38.12 2.951 69.46% 0.61 1.4703
Northwest 324 50.0% 37.24 -0.818 70.37% -0.29 0.7869
Southeast 303 48.33% 36.7 -0.612 74.26% 0.129 0.8356
Southwest 294 53.77% 30.76 -5.502 65.99% -0.763 0.3624
West 795 52.75% 34.65 0.444 67.55% -0.078 0.8755

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 49 0.0% 34.94 0.0 85.71%
Not Using Events or Tokens 134 47.24% 30.74 -0.396 67.16% 0.13 0.3054
Skip Initial Invader Actions 248 7.72% 47.68 0.026 95.16% -0.217 -0.3589
Start of Game Growth 356 10.76% 45.58 4.17 93.82% 0.956 0.1951
Unlimited Undo 945 39.87% 34.38 0.806 84.76% 0.056 -0.5481
Using Tokens but Not Events 961 31.99% 35.23 0.057 83.35% -0.342 -0.4981

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1085 22.56 25.25%
II 4669 30.98 72.67%
III 4665 34.53 90.87%
IV 1858 37.77 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.435 Win Model: -0.064
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8584 44.94% 33.27 77.91%
2 2504 47.42% 32.84 81.87%
3 790 37.26% 34.65 85.44%
4 369 36.24% 35.76 84.82%
5 7 71.43% 36.71 71.43%
6 23 30.43% 39.43 91.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 270
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4120
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3166
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1840
Lose: Invader deck ran out 72
Lose: Adversary condition 1091
Win: Sacrifice victory 59
Lose: Scenario condition 144
Win: Scenario condition 297
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1148
Lose: Spirit destroyed 70

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 910 41.8% 40.22 2.046 79.34% 0.737 0.6221
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 552 76.41% 31.82 -2.711 53.44% -0.592 -0.4961
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 804 49.75% 40.24 0.997 80.35% 0.39 0.2286
Downpour Drenches the World 48 50.0% 40.71 1.781 81.25% 0.778 1.0302
Eyes Watch From the Trees 983 39.24% 43.14 3.146 84.54% 0.596 0.1588
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 781 52.05% 39.9 1.572 76.7% 0.341 -0.1469
Finder of Paths Unseen 31 80.65% 33.19 -1.633 61.29% -0.105 0.2583
Fractured Days Split the Sky 323 57.28% 38.97 0.871 63.78% -0.539 -0.4834
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 291 66.21% 39.09 1.036 74.57% 0.129 0.0968
Heart of the Wildfire 1165 75.45% 33.17 -1.769 61.63% -0.314 -0.1391
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1431 50.85% 39.04 -0.113 75.26% -0.154 -0.6104
Lightning's Swift Strike 568 64.54% 37.17 -3.488 69.89% -0.602 -0.3274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 13 76.92% 40.0 1.812 84.62% 0.706 -0.0702
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 231 59.74% 39.32 -2.758 74.46% -0.388 -1.0306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 180 60.34% 38.74 -2.009 70.0% -0.253 -0.5191
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 995 62.26% 37.87 -0.527 71.56% -0.05 -0.3168
Many Minds Move as One 661 41.58% 42.64 2.178 85.78% 0.627 0.0244
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1069 60.45% 37.72 -1.769 70.44% -0.623 -0.8078
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 768 55.63% 37.96 -1.22 74.35% -0.488 -0.4674
River Surges in Sunlight 879 55.67% 40.15 1.991 70.99% 0.36 0.3261
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 263 62.74% 36.68 0.939 61.98% -0.145 0.2866
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 20 55.0% 44.75 3.135 75.0% 0.42 0.1197
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 795 58.24% 37.87 1.184 73.58% 0.382 0.329
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 273 78.75% 32.87 2.761 55.68% 0.721 1.1313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 100.0% 36.0 -1.59 66.67% 0.066 0.0726
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 75.0% 35.0 -0.536 75.0% 0.188 -0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 154 73.38% 33.73 -2.78 58.44% -0.517 -0.4977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 102 76.47% 33.16 -9.362 54.9% -0.502 -0.319
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 771 51.11% 39.63 -1.247 75.62% -0.557 -0.844
Shifting Memory of Ages 299 74.25% 34.85 -4.588 64.88% -1.077 -1.0018
Shroud of Silent Mist 370 83.24% 29.83 -2.499 50.54% -0.146 0.0898
Starlight Seeks its Form 308 56.33% 37.12 -0.594 66.88% -0.343 -0.4822
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1932 42.96% 38.66 1.21 82.51% 1.146 0.9643
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 558 64.21% 35.94 -1.809 66.13% -0.19 -0.0052
Thunderspeaker 666 57.59% 38.96 0.48 69.52% -0.28 -0.2158
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1272 85.4% 30.52 -3.323 58.88% -0.401 -0.4911
Vital Strength of the Earth 429 61.92% 33.38 -1.922 58.04% -0.395 0.4135
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 5 100.0% 40.4 1.089 80.0% 0.343 0.7302
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 158 60.76% 32.38 -3.646 58.86% -0.138 1.0363
Volcano Looming High 694 69.55% 34.72 1.198 68.16% 0.507 0.5028

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 46.5 2.908 100.0% 0.252 0.0502
Blitz 0 241 54.36% 33.99 -1.152 62.66% -0.285 -0.028
Dahan Insurrection 4 156 37.82% 61.95 15.493 80.77% 0.511 0.9238
Despicable Theft 2 26 80.77% 41.58 -1.665 57.69% -0.429 0.0166
Elemental Invocation 1 60 73.33% 34.82 -4.509 58.33% -0.179 0.307
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 708 13.71% 43.91 2.783 74.58% -0.341 -0.0354
Powers Long Forgotten 1 90 68.89% 40.01 0.752 62.22% 0.003 0.1844
Rituals of Terror 3 53 69.81% 45.4 15.55 60.38% 0.123 0.2446
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 75.0% 43.67 0.0 55.0%
Second Wave 0 553 58.7% 36.67 0.741 61.66% -0.301 0.2646
The Great River 3 28 21.43% 32.54 -7.269 25.0% -0.929 0.4684
Varied Terrains 2 4 50.0% 17.5 -8.006 0.0% -1.147 -0.621
Ward the Shores 2 104 67.31% 39.12 0.0 50.96%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9227 59.12% 36.54 -0.363 70.08% -0.136 0.88
1 Thematic 756 58.03% 39.04 0.424 59.26% -0.066 1.1068
2 Archipelago 10 80.0% 42.3 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2100 60.74% 36.32 1.181 70.71% 0.545 1.2965
2 Coastline 263 54.37% 37.81 -0.618 73.38% -0.316 0.2866
2 Fragment 52 68.63% 35.21 0.644 63.46% 0.357 0.8045
2 Heart 31 63.33% 36.68 -8.997 70.97% -0.583 -0.045
2 Opposite Shores 412 60.1% 37.0 1.592 72.09% 0.539 1.5308
2 Thematic 255 71.37% 36.57 0.306 54.51% 0.056 0.7548
2 Top to Top 72 41.43% 40.78 -7.288 80.56% -0.294 0.2164
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 25.6 -10.388 20.0% -0.951 -0.7778
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 -7.782 75.0% -0.188 -0.9707
3 Other 58 55.17% 38.0 -4.735 77.59% -0.185 -0.2203
3 Round (Default) 859 59.7% 37.97 -0.801 74.27% 0.289 0.8834
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 40.25 -7.166 75.0% -0.236 -0.1994
3 Thematic 39 76.92% 39.87 1.332 64.1% 0.187 0.1489
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 2.461 50.0% 0.353 0.4699
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 39 53.85% 40.62 -4.842 82.05% -0.437 -0.6908
4 Thematic 120 48.33% 47.37 -2.178 80.0% -0.206 0.3226
4 Trapezoid (Default) 425 50.82% 39.93 0.728 80.47% 0.672 0.6445
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 16.757 100.0% 0.245 -0.3334
5 Other 16 37.5% 45.75 0.0 93.75%
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 3 33.33% 46.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 44.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 8 71.43% 48.88 0.0 87.5%
6 Two Centers (Default) 13 38.46% 41.46 1.079 69.23% 0.13 0.036

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 678 31.25 -3.228 53.69% -1.272 0.6307
Aid From Lesser Spirits 504 34.57 -0.63 61.51% -0.455 1.2752
All Things Weaken 699 31.31 -5.324 56.22% -1.793 0.1923
Back Against the Wall 521 32.3 -3.197 57.01% -1.26 0.5561
Disintegrating Ecosystem 581 29.81 -4.466 56.45% -1.425 0.625
Downward Spiral 711 29.88 -4.739 53.87% -1.439 0.5542
Erosion of Will 632 29.9 -5.137 51.42% -1.527 0.5556
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 275 37.87 -0.115 76.0% -0.294 0.147
Memory Fades to Dust 656 30.84 -2.862 56.25% -0.713 1.3707
Power Corrodes the Spirit 648 30.85 -2.836 56.33% -0.952 0.9865
Promising Farmlands 547 28.68 -4.045 51.37% -1.142 0.9035
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 191 38.17 -1.153 77.49% -0.577 -0.1521
Thriving Communities 652 28.26 -5.996 48.93% -1.8 0.1838
Unnatural Proliferation 721 31.81 -2.835 56.45% -0.985 0.9794
Untended Land Crumbles 695 29.93 -6.009 53.09% -1.831 0.1627

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2609 59.41% 36.75 0.292 70.91% 0.243 1.0401
B 2689 59.15% 36.9 0.324 71.1% 0.201 0.9447
C 3012 58.89% 37.56 -0.007 73.71% 0.031 0.5991
D 2535 60.3% 36.65 0.536 71.4% 0.339 1.1346
E 2599 57.7% 37.38 -0.339 72.6% -0.054 0.5934
F 2407 57.8% 37.3 0.469 72.25% 0.228 0.9518
G 2134 57.97% 37.06 -0.837 71.37% -0.209 0.5223
H 2072 56.19% 37.65 -0.224 72.73% 0.128 0.8404
East 711 60.51% 40.89 -0.23 62.73% -0.136 0.6327
Northeast 334 63.66% 39.16 -1.602 57.19% -0.343 0.5167
Northwest 331 62.31% 39.22 -1.108 58.91% -0.197 0.8793
Southeast 236 55.13% 43.42 1.93 72.46% 0.34 1.0461
Southwest 221 55.71% 37.79 0.145 62.9% 0.248 1.3736
West 707 59.52% 39.66 -0.361 61.53% -0.131 0.8232

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 54 0.0% 40.06 0.0 75.93%
Not Using Events or Tokens 58 58.82% 33.1 -4.208 60.34% -0.681 -0.5065
Skip Initial Invader Actions 242 20.25% 53.01 3.192 91.74% 0.077 -0.0649
Start of Game Growth 383 24.34% 49.82 3.185 87.99% 0.58 -0.1801
Unlimited Undo 1083 51.44% 39.64 1.132 78.12% 0.385 -0.2186
Using Tokens but Not Events 1124 50.6% 37.54 -1.437 72.51% -0.546 -0.7029

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2271 22.56 12.02%
II 6928 30.98 68.36%
III 3915 34.53 94.48%
IV 1677 37.77 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.15 Win Model: -0.36
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10044 59.02% 36.76 69.24%
2 3182 60.77% 36.65 70.02%
3 959 60.25% 37.91 74.14%
4 579 50.26% 41.56 80.31%
5 4 50.0% 48.75 75.0%
6 23 45.45% 45.61 82.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 271
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3645
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4565
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1653
Lose: Invader deck ran out 53
Lose: Adversary condition 2155
Win: Sacrifice victory 67
Lose: Scenario condition 186
Win: Scenario condition 179
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1879
Lose: Spirit destroyed 138

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 998 51.86% 40.25 2.482 69.54% 0.714 0.5995
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 575 80.14% 32.58 -0.092 48.0% 0.17 0.2662
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 848 62.69% 38.91 1.502 68.87% 0.472 0.3112
Downpour Drenches the World 81 66.67% 33.43 -1.022 49.38% -0.269 -0.016
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1197 47.44% 42.82 2.961 76.36% 0.794 0.3562
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 815 57.56% 40.1 2.008 68.22% 0.601 0.113
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 77.78% 29.0 -2.898 38.89% -0.616 -0.2522
Fractured Days Split the Sky 319 58.31% 40.04 1.714 62.38% 0.033 0.0886
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 335 71.94% 38.93 -2.268 65.67% -0.233 -0.2646
Heart of the Wildfire 1068 78.36% 33.66 -1.3 54.96% -0.413 -0.2383
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1894 59.61% 38.04 0.888 64.63% 0.154 -0.3019
Lightning's Swift Strike 624 71.31% 35.96 3.023 58.33% 0.719 0.993
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 29 55.17% 46.62 4.832 75.86% 1.03 0.2528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 263 61.22% 40.3 0.72 69.96% -0.025 -0.6676
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 197 64.47% 39.77 -2.834 67.51% -0.532 -0.7984
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1219 72.14% 35.49 0.838 58.57% 0.436 0.1689
Many Minds Move as One 688 48.62% 44.17 3.72 80.23% 0.634 0.0315
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1243 59.52% 39.85 0.589 68.22% 0.09 -0.0954
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 821 62.67% 37.66 -3.89 65.41% -1.064 -1.0428
River Surges in Sunlight 1142 61.19% 41.56 -0.579 68.21% -0.747 -0.7815
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 286 69.82% 35.48 -0.608 53.85% -0.302 0.1291
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 32 56.25% 42.0 2.311 59.38% 0.117 -0.1837
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 816 64.58% 37.64 0.946 64.95% 0.338 0.285
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 212 76.89% 30.56 -3.766 39.15% -0.409 0.0009
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 37.25 0.821 75.0% 0.58 0.5868
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 66.67% 52.67 6.251 100.0% 0.906 0.559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 135 79.26% 33.31 -2.803 51.11% -0.366 -0.3468
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 100 82.0% 28.68 -2.977 34.0% -0.302 -0.1194
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 903 56.16% 39.82 0.295 68.66% 0.302 0.0154
Shifting Memory of Ages 286 82.17% 34.66 0.894 55.59% 0.327 0.4023
Shroud of Silent Mist 352 85.8% 28.42 -1.043 38.35% -0.0 0.2361
Starlight Seeks its Form 347 56.77% 39.39 0.009 65.42% -0.116 -0.2549
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2518 52.54% 38.37 1.034 73.39% 0.707 0.525
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 602 71.45% 34.66 -4.108 53.32% -0.85 -0.665
Thunderspeaker 730 69.41% 38.65 -0.46 62.6% -0.201 -0.137
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1509 87.44% 30.27 -3.041 49.37% -0.305 -0.3961
Vital Strength of the Earth 448 71.88% 28.8 -0.758 34.15% 0.194 1.003
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 23 65.22% 30.65 -3.536 39.13% -0.887 -0.4997
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 155 70.32% 32.17 -6.905 48.39% -1.2 -0.0257
Volcano Looming High 885 74.01% 34.95 -2.763 60.23% -0.35 -0.3545

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 151 54.97% 35.19 0.045 54.97% 0.202 0.4597
Dahan Insurrection 4 150 46.67% 59.3 11.649 68.0% 0.576 0.989
Despicable Theft 2 7 57.14% 39.0 -4.783 57.14% -0.393 0.053
Elemental Invocation 1 78 71.79% 35.53 -5.05 47.44% -1.073 -0.5875
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 660 19.3% 44.75 6.292 68.48% 0.015 0.3201
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 73.86% 34.8 7.314 43.18% 0.365 0.547
Rituals of Terror 3 50 74.0% 42.34 0.0 44.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 88.89% 40.96 0.0 40.74%
Second Wave 0 294 56.85% 36.73 -0.936 54.08% -0.638 -0.0727
The Great River 3 26 38.46% 37.35 2.263 30.77% -0.399 0.9989
Ward the Shores 2 50 68.0% 35.02 -6.72 34.0% -0.57 0.5914

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10691 65.06% 36.65 0.197 62.7% 0.16 1.1759
1 Thematic 734 64.03% 39.22 3.418 52.72% 0.3 1.4724
2 Archipelago 10 90.0% 47.2 0.0 80.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2500 67.97% 36.26 -1.125 61.92% -0.272 0.4792
2 Coastline 290 59.31% 39.73 -0.878 73.1% -0.414 0.1886
2 Fragment 59 71.93% 33.68 -9.421 52.54% -0.935 -0.4871
2 Heart 35 81.25% 37.49 -2.254 68.57% -0.06 0.4786
2 Opposite Shores 497 65.05% 36.27 -1.048 60.56% -0.111 0.8816
2 Thematic 203 76.62% 33.57 -1.303 37.93% -0.495 0.203
2 Top to Top 84 54.76% 38.51 5.073 69.05% 0.938 1.4486
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 54.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 38.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 47 57.45% 43.98 1.578 89.36% 0.127 0.0908
3 Round (Default) 992 65.72% 37.57 0.416 63.91% -0.009 0.5862
3 Sunrise 7 57.14% 39.43 0.0 71.43%
3 Thematic 39 79.49% 31.9 5.746 35.9% 0.622 0.5839
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 -6.574 0.0% -0.28 -0.163
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 40.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Other 31 64.52% 42.19 -6.061 77.42% -0.538 -0.792
4 Thematic 104 50.96% 47.94 1.235 63.46% 0.215 0.7441
4 Trapezoid (Default) 498 54.34% 40.05 3.969 71.89% 0.82 0.7934
5 Other 23 47.83% 45.87 4.109 86.96% 0.259 0.4268
6 Other 4 0.0% 71.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 1 100.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 2 50.0% 47.5 -9.539 50.0% -0.509 -0.7873
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 45.45% 42.64 1.622 72.73% 0.027 -0.0666

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 750 31.33 -4.833 47.73% -1.459 0.4435
Aid From Lesser Spirits 667 34.37 -0.745 55.17% -0.518 1.2119
All Things Weaken 852 31.63 -3.073 48.71% -0.966 1.0195
Back Against the Wall 622 33.11 -4.137 51.45% -1.353 0.4633
Disintegrating Ecosystem 744 29.38 -4.717 46.37% -1.117 0.9333
Downward Spiral 907 31.8 -4.163 52.26% -1.144 0.8492
Erosion of Will 808 30.21 -4.947 44.8% -1.448 0.6352
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 361 37.01 -0.192 64.54% -0.191 0.2505
Memory Fades to Dust 829 31.15 -2.71 48.61% -0.92 1.1641
Power Corrodes the Spirit 900 30.77 -2.382 48.22% -0.825 1.1132
Promising Farmlands 755 30.36 -4.059 47.15% -1.068 0.9783
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 248 39.94 -2.995 75.0% -0.854 -0.4289
Thriving Communities 778 29.03 -4.104 43.06% -1.28 0.7037
Unnatural Proliferation 877 30.92 -4.125 44.7% -1.467 0.4977
Untended Land Crumbles 869 30.86 -0.462 47.3% -0.183 1.8105

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3017 63.79% 37.38 0.255 64.43% -0.029 0.7683
B 3050 63.27% 37.19 -1.602 64.13% -0.365 0.3786
C 3504 65.38% 36.93 0.137 63.21% 0.064 0.6324
D 2956 65.22% 36.89 1.066 63.19% 0.247 1.0425
E 2978 64.88% 37.36 -0.926 64.3% -0.284 0.3631
F 2754 64.62% 37.4 -0.756 64.52% -0.264 0.4605
G 2479 63.59% 37.03 2.094 64.1% 0.718 1.4494
H 2469 64.86% 37.74 0.299 65.29% 0.189 0.9017
East 720 65.6% 40.09 0.261 51.81% -0.123 0.6455
Northeast 293 67.81% 39.53 2.051 46.42% -0.149 0.7114
Northwest 228 64.32% 39.96 -1.671 47.81% -0.699 0.3772
Southeast 239 64.02% 38.2 2.142 51.05% 0.128 0.8339
Southwest 195 68.21% 33.95 -0.61 46.15% -0.234 0.8916
West 556 66.25% 37.64 0.301 47.3% 0.059 1.013

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 27 0.0% 41.33 0.0 74.07%
Not Using Events or Tokens 70 72.86% 35.94 16.789 52.86% 1.157 1.3323
Skip Initial Invader Actions 352 13.26% 54.71 0.029 93.47% -0.559 -0.7011
Start of Game Growth 528 16.86% 52.66 2.152 90.53% 0.348 -0.4121
Unlimited Undo 1208 57.01% 40.74 2.796 72.43% 0.8 0.1959
Using Tokens but Not Events 901 53.09% 38.68 -1.649 69.15% -0.54 -0.6964

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3131 22.56 6.32%
II 7464 30.98 60.02%
III 5044 34.53 91.67%
IV 1238 37.77 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.099 Win Model: 0.132
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11475 64.99% 36.83 62.01%
2 3665 67.27% 36.47 61.77%
3 1076 65.61% 37.59 63.94%
4 635 54.11% 41.35 70.24%
5 9 66.67% 42.56 77.78%
6 17 35.29% 51.35 82.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 197
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4565
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4362
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1228
Lose: Invader deck ran out 145
Lose: Adversary condition 3432
Win: Sacrifice victory 65
Lose: Scenario condition 198
Win: Scenario condition 118
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2399
Lose: Spirit destroyed 168

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 572 72.2% 43.82 -0.58 63.46% -0.121 -0.2355
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 308 91.56% 34.97 -1.16 39.94% 0.034 0.1299
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 474 90.51% 34.3 -2.954 39.66% -0.193 -0.3542
Downpour Drenches the World 38 71.05% 40.95 -0.13 55.26% -0.075 0.1774
Eyes Watch From the Trees 686 72.91% 43.82 3.437 60.2% 0.556 0.1183
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 552 76.77% 42.55 -5.407 57.25% -0.865 -1.3528
Finder of Paths Unseen 26 73.08% 46.35 2.897 73.08% 0.784 1.1473
Fractured Days Split the Sky 244 80.33% 43.81 -0.105 53.28% -0.185 -0.1295
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 204 92.65% 36.73 -7.261 43.63% -1.31 -1.3415
Heart of the Wildfire 1240 86.17% 37.0 0.361 47.5% 0.326 0.5005
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1057 75.66% 38.28 -2.069 48.63% -0.367 -0.823
Lightning's Swift Strike 239 92.41% 32.44 -4.707 33.89% -0.737 -0.4628
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 18 88.89% 45.28 2.206 66.67% 0.706 -0.0708
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 134 91.79% 43.94 1.872 61.94% 0.352 -0.2908
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 79 89.87% 39.37 -5.405 49.37% -0.593 -0.8594
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 912 80.46% 40.49 0.4 53.07% 0.228 -0.0385
Many Minds Move as One 397 62.22% 49.01 5.768 74.06% 0.982 0.379
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 535 85.18% 35.31 -3.15 40.56% -0.256 -0.4407
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 517 85.27% 38.38 -0.357 50.29% 0.195 0.2157
River Surges in Sunlight 649 81.52% 41.51 2.527 51.16% 0.275 0.2407
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 125 88.8% 33.97 -9.121 32.8% -0.322 0.1087
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 19 73.68% 49.37 3.577 68.42% 0.506 0.2059
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 506 79.64% 41.79 -3.985 57.91% -0.434 -0.4863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 114 87.72% 32.58 -4.349 30.7% -0.429 -0.0188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 25.0% 50.5 0.188 50.0% -0.244 -0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 76.92% 47.38 1.874 69.23% 0.352 0.005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 108 88.89% 40.9 -0.884 52.78% -0.008 0.011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 85 90.59% 41.07 -1.911 52.94% -0.091 0.0918
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 363 74.66% 41.23 2.304 52.62% 0.472 0.1856
Shifting Memory of Ages 205 94.63% 35.94 -2.802 43.41% -0.328 -0.2527
Shroud of Silent Mist 217 92.63% 35.24 -1.413 43.32% -0.013 0.2229
Starlight Seeks its Form 271 78.23% 43.52 2.801 61.25% 0.861 0.7213
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2161 60.38% 43.25 3.649 68.39% 1.13 0.9481
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 433 84.03% 36.34 -0.948 42.26% -0.116 0.0691
Thunderspeaker 397 88.41% 38.56 -2.968 47.61% -0.334 -0.2696
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1497 94.05% 35.42 -0.73 46.03% 0.215 0.1245
Vital Strength of the Earth 167 84.43% 31.46 -4.288 29.34% -0.543 0.2655
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 17 70.59% 37.59 -1.753 47.06% -0.23 0.1566
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 97 89.69% 30.23 -10.211 25.77% -0.281 0.8937
Volcano Looming High 578 90.83% 35.19 -0.398 43.94% 0.273 0.2681

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 60.0 7.942 100.0% 0.143 -0.0591
Blitz 0 73 71.23% 40.52 0.0 53.42%
Dahan Insurrection 4 41 73.17% 54.05 18.395 41.46% 0.233 0.6458
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 35.58 -1.546 25.0% -0.25 0.1965
Elemental Invocation 1 36 75.0% 33.94 -7.189 27.78% -0.405 0.0807
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 371 25.07% 48.39 2.711 62.8% 0.178 0.483
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 87.1% 36.68 10.996 32.26% 0.203 0.3852
Rituals of Terror 3 15 73.33% 50.6 14.127 46.67% 0.377 0.4986
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 41.15 -4.365 35.0% -0.24 0.1751
Second Wave 0 191 71.58% 38.34 1.348 45.03% 0.111 0.6768
The Great River 3 13 38.46% 30.38 0.0 7.69%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 63.0 8.065 100.0% 0.207 0.7331
Ward the Shores 2 27 88.89% 35.85 0.0 25.93%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7342 79.73% 39.3 -0.386 53.15% 0.028 1.0447
1 Thematic 281 76.16% 39.7 4.277 43.06% 0.451 1.6233
2 Archipelago 5 100.0% 45.0 0.0 60.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1655 83.08% 38.86 -0.701 52.15% -0.203 0.5484
2 Coastline 186 82.8% 38.25 -1.766 49.46% -0.38 0.2227
2 Fragment 30 90.0% 37.37 0.0 43.33%
2 Heart 20 95.0% 39.8 5.133 60.0% 0.507 1.0451
2 Opposite Shores 337 82.74% 35.55 -0.31 42.43% -0.239 0.7532
2 Thematic 115 84.35% 38.14 1.553 38.26% 0.252 0.9501
2 Top to Top 66 87.88% 38.73 -5.853 53.03% -0.632 -0.1216
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 36 75.0% 46.19 0.0 75.0%
3 Round (Default) 688 84.74% 38.75 0.654 51.89% -0.342 0.2531
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 20 90.0% 39.75 0.0 40.0%
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 18 66.67% 47.33 5.498 77.78% 0.474 0.2205
4 Thematic 117 59.83% 48.31 0.0 58.12%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 229 78.22% 39.63 9.965 51.97% 0.182 0.155
5 Other 7 66.67% 54.71 0.0 85.71%
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Star 7 28.57% 27.57 0.0 14.29%
6 Thematic 6 0.0% 69.0 1.817 83.33% -0.095 -0.3737
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 60.0% 45.2 0.0 60.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 642 37.0 -2.709 47.35% -0.881 1.0218
Aid From Lesser Spirits 530 39.91 -0.401 53.21% -0.366 1.3642
All Things Weaken 745 35.16 -2.089 41.48% -0.697 1.2884
Back Against the Wall 524 39.56 -0.685 51.15% -0.593 1.224
Disintegrating Ecosystem 677 34.8 -3.038 45.79% -0.543 1.5069
Downward Spiral 646 35.36 -2.105 44.89% -0.615 1.3781
Erosion of Will 653 36.19 -3.578 43.34% -1.02 1.0632
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 230 41.89 1.861 57.83% 0.038 0.4787
Memory Fades to Dust 751 35.16 -3.267 43.81% -1.103 0.981
Power Corrodes the Spirit 685 35.91 -3.11 45.84% -0.748 1.1903
Promising Farmlands 638 32.9 -3.759 37.77% -0.914 1.1323
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 43.46 0.517 61.27% -0.356 0.0689
Thriving Communities 666 34.38 -3.172 43.39% -0.468 1.5159
Unnatural Proliferation 754 36.78 -1.313 44.96% -0.592 1.3729
Untended Land Crumbles 701 34.2 -0.349 40.94% -0.298 1.6951

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1898 81.22% 38.4 -0.613 50.9% -0.104 0.6931
B 2214 80.48% 39.72 0.626 54.43% 0.157 0.9005
C 2471 80.63% 39.31 -0.037 52.93% -0.009 0.5593
D 1849 83.5% 38.41 0.419 50.78% 0.189 0.9849
E 1904 81.67% 38.7 -0.386 51.1% -0.189 0.4584
F 1836 81.16% 39.63 0.464 54.25% 0.201 0.9252
G 1563 80.31% 38.69 -1.993 51.06% -0.571 0.161
H 1535 79.57% 39.46 0.887 53.36% 0.061 0.7738
East 391 74.17% 42.74 1.885 46.29% -0.112 0.6565
Northeast 178 73.03% 44.68 5.428 47.75% 0.469 1.3288
Northwest 143 69.23% 43.07 1.817 46.85% -0.095 0.9816
Southeast 152 69.08% 44.21 1.224 53.29% -0.188 0.518
Southwest 142 69.72% 42.25 2.286 50.0% 0.405 1.5304
West 334 71.26% 41.37 1.817 44.91% -0.095 0.8589

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 9.965 71.43% 0.182 2.3114
Not Using Events or Tokens 26 92.31% 39.58 0.0 50.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 111 48.15% 56.71 6.447 83.78% 0.482 0.3393
Start of Game Growth 259 49.22% 52.94 3.666 75.68% 0.207 -0.5537
Unlimited Undo 1017 77.22% 42.54 2.006 60.67% 0.532 -0.072
Using Tokens but Not Events 439 74.31% 39.31 -0.314 53.3% -0.121 -0.2779

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2858 22.56 3.46%
II 4619 30.98 50.12%
III 2907 34.53 90.61%
IV 797 37.77 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.343 Win Model: 0.173
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7648 79.57% 39.34 52.77%
2 2416 83.48% 38.35 50.17%
3 731 83.99% 38.98 52.39%
4 364 72.78% 42.84 55.22%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 19 31.58% 44.68 47.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 99
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2599
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2274
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 781
Lose: Invader deck ran out 63
Lose: Adversary condition 2705
Win: Sacrifice victory 66
Lose: Scenario condition 128
Win: Scenario condition 24
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2261
Lose: Spirit destroyed 181

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 284 72.18% 44.93 7.485 55.28% 0.894 0.7791
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 131 91.6% 36.27 -6.304 35.11% -0.938 -0.8417
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 214 90.65% 32.5 -1.31 27.57% -0.095 -0.2565
Downpour Drenches the World 22 81.82% 37.77 -2.22 40.91% -0.212 0.0409
Eyes Watch From the Trees 197 72.59% 45.03 -2.154 54.31% -0.14 -0.5777
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 185 93.51% 37.62 -6.616 38.92% -1.127 -1.6143
Finder of Paths Unseen 7 57.14% 54.29 5.516 71.43% 0.738 1.1017
Fractured Days Split the Sky 122 83.61% 46.76 0.06 52.46% -0.021 0.035
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 83 97.59% 38.86 2.345 43.37% 0.312 0.2803
Heart of the Wildfire 466 88.63% 33.85 -2.159 33.48% 0.026 0.2007
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 621 79.39% 36.72 4.04 35.1% 0.728 0.2718
Lightning's Swift Strike 104 93.27% 34.48 -9.46 30.77% -0.314 -0.0394
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 8 87.5% 40.5 -1.363 37.5% -0.247 -1.0235
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 50 100.0% 35.12 0.505 34.0% 0.073 -0.5696
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 44 93.18% 32.41 1.897 22.73% 0.08 -0.1861
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 375 89.33% 39.77 2.178 45.07% 0.578 0.3112
Many Minds Move as One 176 69.32% 51.35 5.28 71.59% 0.704 0.1014
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 259 81.85% 39.1 6.251 42.08% 0.264 0.0788
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 184 84.24% 38.52 2.612 40.76% 0.131 0.1521
River Surges in Sunlight 265 87.17% 40.74 -1.357 42.26% -0.355 -0.3896
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 59 81.36% 38.07 8.415 32.2% 0.53 0.9616
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 8 87.5% 63.63 10.054 87.5% 1.198 0.8979
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 250 81.2% 40.61 -6.518 45.2% -0.159 -0.2118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 96 93.75% 26.89 -6.518 8.33% -0.159 0.2508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 100.0% 52.33 5.337 66.67% 0.498 0.5053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 41 92.68% 36.2 -8.427 34.15% -0.913 -0.8937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 48 91.67% 30.44 -3.451 18.75% -0.25 -0.0672
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 136 83.09% 35.98 -8.869 34.56% -0.216 -0.5031
Shifting Memory of Ages 113 92.92% 36.18 -5.315 31.86% -0.84 -0.7646
Shroud of Silent Mist 96 94.79% 30.99 -4.678 22.92% -0.447 -0.2108
Starlight Seeks its Form 118 86.44% 42.49 -0.5 51.69% -0.103 -0.2421
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1014 63.51% 43.07 3.226 59.86% 0.957 0.7749
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 181 87.85% 33.66 5.166 27.07% 0.192 0.3765
Thunderspeaker 155 94.84% 35.1 -8.815 31.61% -0.846 -0.7821
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 576 95.31% 35.74 -4.559 39.41% -0.293 -0.3839
Vital Strength of the Earth 87 86.21% 31.28 0.0 21.84%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1 100.0% 22.0 -11.422 0.0% -0.451 -0.0646
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 30 83.33% 32.47 0.0 26.67%
Volcano Looming High 273 91.21% 33.11 1.822 31.5% 0.571 0.5663

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 27 88.89% 34.07 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 48 91.67% 38.92 3.14 8.33% -0.303 0.1103
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 1.351 25.0% 0.148 0.5941
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 37.44 -1.109 33.33% -0.053 0.4326
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 136 26.47% 41.54 -0.589 38.24% -0.439 -0.134
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 81.82% 41.45 -8.013 36.36% -0.236 -0.0545
Rituals of Terror 3 12 91.67% 48.75 0.0 25.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 62 58.06% 39.89 2.852 43.55% 0.027 0.5929
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.0 22.22%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3294 82.3% 38.54 0.123 43.81% 0.365 1.3812
1 Thematic 390 88.21% 30.49 -4.49 12.56% -0.789 0.384
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 745 88.46% 36.62 1.749 38.26% 0.596 1.3476
2 Coastline 72 80.56% 40.33 0.0 51.39%
2 Fragment 7 100.0% 46.29 0.0 71.43%
2 Heart 12 66.67% 45.42 1.546 58.33% 0.202 0.7403
2 Opposite Shores 109 86.24% 38.95 -1.782 39.45% -0.365 0.6274
2 Thematic 36 66.67% 35.75 2.836 13.89% 0.376 1.0741
2 Top to Top 56 94.64% 36.34 0.0 37.5%
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 0.0 81.25%
3 Round (Default) 212 82.55% 42.45 2.832 52.83% 0.244 0.8383
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 39.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Thematic 38 68.42% 49.29 0.0 52.63%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 104 74.04% 39.33 -4.49 43.27% -0.835 -0.8618
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 3 66.67% 45.33 0.0 33.33%
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 345 35.97 -0.011 35.65% -0.017 1.8863
Aid From Lesser Spirits 264 39.97 0.546 45.08% -0.047 1.6824
All Things Weaken 342 35.38 -4.587 34.8% -0.637 1.3484
Back Against the Wall 254 35.26 -4.928 32.28% -0.821 0.9955
Disintegrating Ecosystem 290 34.64 0.809 36.21% 0.304 2.3539
Downward Spiral 338 32.65 -4.321 30.18% -0.673 1.3201
Erosion of Will 322 34.81 -0.961 32.61% -0.233 1.8505
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 68 44.22 4.248 55.88% 0.667 1.108
Memory Fades to Dust 317 34.5 -0.034 33.44% 0.072 2.1557
Power Corrodes the Spirit 338 34.04 -3.264 32.25% -0.634 1.3039
Promising Farmlands 281 33.9 -1.129 32.38% -0.26 1.7861
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 60 47.3 -0.918 63.33% 0.034 0.459
Thriving Communities 353 34.5 -1.295 35.13% -0.048 1.9356
Unnatural Proliferation 334 35.63 -1.799 34.13% -0.464 1.5
Untended Land Crumbles 362 33.06 -0.4 30.39% 0.052 2.0457

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 789 86.06% 37.96 2.46 41.83% 0.462 1.2596
B 911 83.53% 38.95 0.024 44.9% -0.244 0.4991
C 1000 84.5% 40.19 1.339 47.0% 0.448 1.0167
D 791 84.32% 37.76 -0.51 41.72% -0.111 0.6851
E 838 84.25% 37.54 -0.778 41.05% -0.121 0.5263
F 813 78.47% 39.44 0.701 45.88% 0.074 0.7978
G 648 82.1% 39.2 -0.281 44.29% -0.215 0.5169
H 687 82.82% 38.8 -0.611 43.09% -0.328 0.3847
East 157 75.16% 41.86 2.675 33.76% 0.151 0.9195
Northeast 70 84.29% 40.66 19.069 28.57% 0.606 1.4663
Northwest 126 91.27% 31.77 -4.035 13.49% -0.432 0.645
Southeast 69 75.36% 42.23 -3.296 37.68% -0.588 0.1185
Southwest 217 84.79% 28.65 -8.392 10.6% -0.216 0.9088
West 376 85.9% 30.48 14.335 12.23% 0.441 1.3952

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 0.0 21.43%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 55 58.18% 56.07 -4.073 74.55% -0.496 -0.6387
Start of Game Growth 94 52.13% 52.64 -2.801 68.09% -0.337 -1.0978
Unlimited Undo 476 72.06% 45.8 7.259 60.92% 1.401 0.7972
Using Tokens but Not Events 266 60.9% 45.52 2.393 62.78% 0.248 0.0916

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1372 22.56 0.8%
II 2142 30.98 29.04%
III 1200 34.53 88.42%
IV 404 37.77 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.527 Win Model: 0.35
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3701 82.9% 37.79 40.56%
2 1030 87.09% 36.96 38.74%
3 235 82.13% 43.23 54.47%
4 148 71.62% 42.14 46.62%
6 4 100.0% 31.5 25.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1049
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 611
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 399
Lose: Invader deck ran out 35
Lose: Adversary condition 1435
Win: Sacrifice victory 22
Lose: Scenario condition 79
Win: Scenario condition 6
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1391
Lose: Spirit destroyed 80

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1525 70.93% 46.21 -1.733 45.97% -0.579 -0.6934
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 694 90.35% 34.54 -4.644 23.05% -0.685 -0.5891
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 715 92.59% 31.42 -2.292 19.16% 0.086 -0.0748
Downpour Drenches the World 149 74.5% 41.16 -1.112 34.23% -0.182 0.0704
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1153 84.9% 39.84 0.379 35.21% 0.139 -0.2987
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 944 88.98% 36.02 -1.636 28.28% -0.331 -0.8192
Finder of Paths Unseen 60 81.67% 48.77 1.576 55.0% 0.415 0.7789
Fractured Days Split the Sky 935 74.01% 50.34 5.246 46.1% 0.437 0.4935
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 526 91.25% 34.84 -5.574 25.1% -1.359 -1.3909
Heart of the Wildfire 2827 90.05% 35.63 -0.858 30.42% 0.092 0.267
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2874 74.08% 42.68 1.381 43.08% 0.494 0.0374
Lightning's Swift Strike 863 93.26% 28.77 -6.18 13.09% -1.057 -0.7826
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 126 89.68% 40.4 -0.704 36.51% 0.18 -0.5971
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 405 92.35% 37.95 1.902 33.83% 0.533 -0.11
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 206 83.5% 42.96 7.592 41.75% 0.882 0.6152
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2347 88.87% 36.18 -3.388 28.8% -0.538 -0.8044
Many Minds Move as One 952 74.24% 51.28 8.996 61.34% 1.624 1.0209
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1023 85.41% 37.12 0.875 30.99% 0.354 0.1689
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1003 88.92% 37.25 -4.059 31.7% -0.695 -0.6747
River Surges in Sunlight 1726 86.37% 44.02 -0.466 39.92% -0.018 -0.0526
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 304 70.39% 45.65 -2.456 34.54% -1.047 -0.6155
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 66 72.73% 47.73 2.43 37.88% 0.125 -0.1753
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1559 76.07% 48.03 2.238 50.48% 0.487 0.4346
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 426 76.06% 35.45 17.915 21.83% 0.576 0.9857
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 100.0% 34.38 -1.621 25.0% 0.132 0.1386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 100.0% 50.33 4.983 66.67% 0.56 0.2137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 176 77.27% 35.16 -1.836 22.73% -0.177 -0.1581
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 134 89.55% 36.6 -3.255 26.12% -0.533 -0.3499
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 896 79.91% 38.74 -0.985 32.59% 0.059 -0.2275
Shifting Memory of Ages 518 81.85% 45.35 1.434 40.73% 0.183 0.2577
Shroud of Silent Mist 483 90.48% 34.54 -1.491 25.88% 0.057 0.2937
Starlight Seeks its Form 924 79.55% 47.15 3.816 47.51% 0.852 0.7124
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9333 54.3% 48.18 4.423 60.57% 1.145 0.9634
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 767 88.51% 36.82 -3.471 29.2% -0.467 -0.2825
Thunderspeaker 822 86.86% 35.74 -1.472 23.24% -0.2 -0.1358
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4353 94.44% 35.53 -2.798 32.16% -0.129 -0.2198
Vital Strength of the Earth 326 83.74% 32.33 -6.473 18.4% -0.38 0.4282
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 29 72.41% 36.17 -2.411 24.14% -0.389 -0.0021
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 248 86.29% 35.11 -1.406 26.61% -0.109 1.0655
Volcano Looming High 1816 89.81% 34.57 -3.582 28.19% -0.282 -0.2863

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 319 58.93% 41.62 -4.007 41.07% -0.488 -0.2303
Dahan Insurrection 4 209 73.68% 47.99 3.191 20.1% -0.62 -0.2065
Despicable Theft 2 27 88.89% 35.19 0.0 18.52%
Elemental Invocation 1 92 72.83% 36.2 -0.516 19.57% -0.33 0.1562
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1764 29.54% 49.73 2.586 44.84% 0.186 0.4912
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 52.58% 45.94 0.0 51.55%
Rituals of Terror 3 98 36.08% 73.8 3.07 39.8% -0.824 -0.7027
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 64.71% 42.71 0.0 23.53%
Second Wave 0 111 56.76% 43.27 -1.791 39.64% -0.38 0.1862
The Great River 3 8 25.0% 45.25 -1.627 12.5% -0.299 1.0986
Varied Terrains 2 17 64.71% 44.35 0.131 35.29% -0.551 -0.0251
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 28302 78.17% 40.63 -1.411 40.89% -0.701 0.3148
1 Thematic 750 73.2% 39.46 13.552 27.87% 0.181 1.3541
2 Archipelago 7 57.14% 53.0 0.0 14.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2890 86.61% 39.9 -0.245 38.55% -0.426 0.3257
2 Coastline 509 76.23% 41.89 1.866 41.06% -0.111 0.4917
2 Fragment 42 88.1% 40.36 8.062 35.71% 0.213 0.661
2 Heart 70 82.86% 40.46 12.924 40.0% 0.366 0.9047
2 Opposite Shores 689 85.03% 34.34 -4.238 23.8% -1.234 -0.2419
2 Other 1 100.0% 35.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 129 67.44% 45.67 15.667 18.6% -0.001 0.6973
2 Top to Top 127 88.19% 40.49 -0.773 40.94% -0.173 0.3369
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 32.67 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 6 83.33% 51.5 -1.23 66.67% 0.018 -0.765
3 Other 55 87.27% 45.55 -9.0 52.73% -0.31 -0.3459
3 Round (Default) 967 81.39% 39.57 -1.514 37.23% -0.567 0.028
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 29 37.93% 62.86 6.001 24.14% 0.061 0.0234
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 5.828 100.0% 0.014 0.1305
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 34 76.47% 49.97 0.0 61.76%
4 Thematic 159 25.79% 66.7 40.004 69.18% 0.364 0.8931
4 Trapezoid (Default) 483 84.38% 38.17 0.718 31.26% -0.2 -0.2274
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 69.8 4.273 100.0% 0.102 -0.463
5 Other 23 56.52% 58.43 -6.532 78.26% -0.311 -0.1431
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 85.71% 30.43 -1.774 14.29% 0.018 0.8272
6 Star 4 75.0% 46.75 5.548 50.0% 0.093 0.877
6 Thematic 8 25.0% 65.5 -7.236 62.5% -0.451 -0.7293
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 26.42% 91.94 12.424 84.91% 0.782 0.6881

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2133 37.23 -3.186 33.1% -0.991 0.9124
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1683 41.52 0.474 41.35% -0.374 1.3555
All Things Weaken 2222 36.79 -4.096 32.27% -1.251 0.7342
Back Against the Wall 1589 40.77 -1.087 39.65% -0.748 1.0681
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2079 34.59 -3.888 30.93% -1.063 0.9878
Downward Spiral 2217 36.18 -2.443 32.48% -0.701 1.2924
Erosion of Will 1965 35.72 -3.09 29.36% -1.062 1.0209
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 618 44.13 0.463 47.9% -0.48 -0.0393
Memory Fades to Dust 2232 35.1 -3.863 29.17% -1.033 1.0514
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2112 35.26 -3.385 30.11% -0.893 1.0457
Promising Farmlands 2038 34.5 -1.874 28.31% -0.645 1.401
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 381 47.5 0.394 56.17% -0.246 0.1782
Thriving Communities 2185 34.89 -3.621 29.75% -0.901 1.0825
Unnatural Proliferation 2314 38.1 -2.801 33.84% -0.942 1.0224
Untended Land Crumbles 2056 34.18 -3.392 27.72% -0.928 1.0653

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5540 79.6% 40.73 -0.09 40.0% -0.233 0.5646
B 5854 78.49% 40.46 -0.329 39.24% -0.483 0.2605
C 7370 79.66% 40.23 0.23 38.96% -0.282 0.2867
D 5087 81.97% 39.93 0.165 38.79% -0.257 0.5389
E 5805 81.59% 40.01 -0.563 38.5% -0.43 0.2175
F 5071 78.32% 41.19 -0.08 40.92% -0.411 0.3134
G 4101 79.74% 40.78 0.745 40.45% -0.295 0.4367
H 4022 77.34% 42.35 2.157 42.99% -0.051 0.6609
East 619 54.28% 51.78 4.371 37.32% -0.407 0.3616
Northeast 283 47.7% 56.23 7.475 41.34% 0.198 1.058
Northwest 221 47.06% 54.83 2.224 43.44% -0.087 0.9899
Southeast 227 48.02% 52.29 4.795 44.49% 0.111 0.8172
Southwest 222 59.01% 44.84 -7.236 40.09% -0.451 0.6746
West 546 53.48% 50.16 3.481 38.83% -0.251 0.7034

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 0.0 60.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 122 76.23% 41.34 -1.29 10.66% -0.197 -0.0223
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1202 26.44% 66.85 5.832 81.28% 0.691 0.5488
Start of Game Growth 1887 28.84% 62.47 6.29 77.48% 0.192 -0.5689
Unlimited Undo 3559 69.34% 51.83 5.895 63.14% 1.309 0.7053
Using Tokens but Not Events 1349 68.53% 41.62 -1.248 40.55% -0.572 -0.7282

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13534 22.56 3.43%
II 14391 30.98 47.36%
III 5873 34.53 90.52%
IV 1576 37.77 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.707 Win Model: 0.255
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 29217 77.95% 40.73 40.68%
2 4358 85.27% 38.88 35.29%
3 1038 81.02% 40.62 38.15%
4 681 69.03% 45.18 42.14%
5 7 28.57% 65.0 85.71%
6 73 34.25% 80.42 73.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 447
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5227
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6655
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1531
Lose: Invader deck ran out 263
Lose: Adversary condition 11016
Win: Sacrifice victory 263
Lose: Scenario condition 795
Win: Scenario condition 43
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8482
Lose: Spirit destroyed 652

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)