The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 759 27.31% 29.57 0.033 87.09% -0.061 0.0534
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 577 44.02% 28.72 -0.136 79.9% -0.293 -0.0869
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 671 29.36% 30.58 0.358 88.97% 0.24 0.1348
Eyes Watch From the Trees 787 17.75% 34.72 2.16 92.88% 0.442 0.0494
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 660 24.73% 32.44 1.205 92.12% 0.575 0.284
Fractured Days Split the Sky 267 37.45% 29.63 0.211 75.66% -0.81 -0.4564
Heart of the Wildfire 839 60.89% 25.67 -1.173 76.76% -0.15 0.178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1092 28.03% 30.76 0.482 90.02% 0.307 -0.0233
Lightning's Swift Strike 913 38.06% 29.87 0.347 85.1% 0.115 0.3505
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 663 30.62% 30.27 0.47 89.59% 0.265 -0.0227
Many Minds Move as One 562 20.89% 33.1 1.631 94.31% 0.737 0.206
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 729 43.6% 28.85 -0.125 81.76% -0.08 -0.295
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 615 33.06% 29.93 0.103 89.92% 0.514 0.5375
River Surges in Sunlight 861 43.02% 30.32 0.554 78.86% -0.3 -0.1692
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 590 33.05% 29.06 -0.19 86.27% -0.031 0.0842
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 632 48.58% 28.44 -0.196 79.11% -0.219 0.1984
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 607 29.59% 31.13 0.669 87.97% 0.104 0.0063
Shifting Memory of Ages 57 33.33% 26.65 -1.263 84.21% -0.292 -0.2013
Shroud of Silent Mist 210 50.48% 28.59 -0.042 84.76% 0.204 0.2334
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1415 26.79% 27.74 -0.956 89.96% 0.165 0.1166
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 547 42.67% 28.3 -0.747 77.7% -0.411 -0.2371
Thunderspeaker 653 38.8% 29.53 -0.08 81.47% -0.122 -0.09
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 979 64.01% 24.44 -1.727 77.43% -0.019 -0.0368
Vital Strength of the Earth 653 39.48% 25.39 -1.944 72.28% -0.944 -0.09
Volcano Looming High 356 41.29% 27.96 -0.463 87.08% 0.261 0.2428

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 131 34.62% 26.87 -1.554 78.63% -0.581 -0.0117
Dahan Insurrection 4 232 22.41% 48.31 8.518 74.57% -1.398 -0.9993
Despicable Theft 2 35 34.29% 35.03 2.822 74.29% -0.86 -0.5903
Elemental Invocation 1 57 49.12% 27.75 -0.489 68.42% -1.016 -0.552
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 485 9.9% 31.93 0.378 78.14% -1.788 -1.4219
Powers Long Forgotten 1 114 50.89% 30.9 0.866 71.93% -0.58 -0.1356
Rituals of Terror 3 111 54.05% 36.26 3.43 63.96% -1.087 -0.4416
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 106 73.58% 36.42 3.951 65.09% -0.507 0.1384
Second Wave 0 196 44.9% 29.64 0.409 77.55% -0.541 -0.112
The Great River 3 69 73.91% 28.32 0.368 44.93% -1.688 -0.2248
Ward the Shores 2 159 44.03% 33.41 1.659 64.78% -1.295 -0.2609

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7799 38.02% 28.68 -0.349 83.87% -0.088 0.0845
1 Thematic 909 44.33% 33.61 1.271 74.81% -0.06 0.3018
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 21.0 -3.306 50.0% -0.617 -0.3905
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1467 39.34% 28.42 -0.181 87.66% -0.032 0.0191
2 Coastline 175 36.0% 29.65 0.395 85.71% 0.134 0.1409
2 Fragment 36 63.89% 26.25 -0.753 83.33% -0.006 0.2505
2 Heart 23 34.78% 29.48 0.277 100.0% 0.962 1.104
2 Opposite Shores 224 28.25% 29.48 0.039 89.29% -0.089 0.0013
2 Thematic 187 44.92% 34.96 1.323 80.21% 0.267 0.2258
2 Top to Top 30 36.67% 28.27 -0.361 86.67% 0.013 -0.0179
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 33.0 1.471 100.0% 0.008 1.0903
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 40.33 6.268 100.0% 0.667 0.4685
3 Other 36 33.33% 29.22 0.133 88.89% -0.109 0.0657
3 Round (Default) 587 28.96% 29.1 -0.01 90.29% -0.25 -0.3238
3 Thematic 46 45.65% 30.89 -1.337 67.39% -0.692 -1.094
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 6.349 100.0% 0.031 0.0808
4 Other 25 16.0% 31.64 0.681 100.0% 0.544 0.4306
4 Thematic 72 19.44% 38.86 0.814 88.89% 0.258 -0.8263
4 Trapezoid (Default) 330 33.33% 27.75 -0.693 81.52% -1.224 -1.3108
5 Other 9 11.11% 32.11 1.068 100.0% 0.325 -0.2781
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 37.75 1.17 75.0% -0.012 -2.7747

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 319 22.45 -3.922 64.89% -2.546 -0.4724
Aid From Lesser Spirits 240 23.59 -3.446 64.17% -2.54 -0.6218
All Things Weaken 347 21.6 -4.408 58.5% -2.869 -0.6987
Back Against the Wall 279 25.1 -2.807 68.1% -2.345 -0.2539
Disintegrating Ecosystem 293 20.94 -4.848 62.46% -2.627 -0.4019
Downward Spiral 409 21.37 -4.462 63.57% -2.446 -0.4226
Erosion of Will 321 22.79 -3.862 62.62% -2.566 -0.3567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 185 26.74 -1.864 84.32% -1.404 -0.7172
Memory Fades to Dust 361 22.54 -3.918 65.1% -2.304 -0.0849
Power Corrodes the Spirit 375 22.24 -4.029 65.87% -2.483 -0.4587
Promising Farmlands 284 22.54 -3.975 66.9% -2.432 -0.2183
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 107 28.32 -1.009 89.72% -0.89 -0.48
Thriving Communities 360 21.63 -4.377 64.44% -2.499 -0.4046
Unnatural Proliferation 307 21.33 -4.591 53.75% -2.988 -0.9012
Untended Land Crumbles 335 21.4 -4.447 62.09% -2.651 -0.5452

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2053 37.76% 28.28 -0.343 85.14% 0.142 -0.6181
B 1904 37.64% 28.26 -0.358 84.93% 0.081 -0.7756
C 2095 34.36% 28.94 -0.053 86.3% 0.154 -0.9345
D 1970 36.86% 28.79 -0.048 85.69% 0.194 -0.656
E 1949 36.59% 28.75 -0.139 85.63% 0.119 -0.8457
F 1869 35.64% 29.04 -0.018 86.25% 0.143 -0.7715
G 1648 37.06% 28.31 -0.33 85.01% 0.112 -0.7929
H 1651 34.99% 29.01 -0.127 85.65% 0.096 -0.8182
East 325 40.92% 37.6 2.416 80.62% 0.043 -0.606
Northeast 313 42.81% 36.18 1.9 79.55% 0.163 -0.4356
Northwest 263 44.11% 33.34 0.203 68.44% -0.807 -1.4765
Southeast 242 37.19% 34.6 1.261 80.58% -0.013 -0.719
Southwest 218 38.07% 30.57 -1.232 77.52% -0.287 -0.5602
West 292 39.04% 35.63 1.413 78.08% -0.153 -0.552

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 27.47 -2.127 77.78% -1.754 0.3021
Not Using Events or Tokens 280 38.83% 26.58 -1.074 73.57% -0.745 -0.5293
Skip Initial Invader Actions 260 4.42% 41.08 3.525 95.38% 0.286 -0.401
Start of Game Growth 409 10.33% 39.16 2.821 94.62% 0.621 0.1508
Unlimited Undo 727 32.86% 30.87 0.463 89.13% 0.419 -0.0012
Using Tokens but Not Events 902 33.1% 28.4 -0.609 82.59% -0.298 -0.3503

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 761 22.35 30.49%
II 2555 30.84 67.44%
III 5621 34.35 90.82%
IV 3029 37.52 98.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.067 Win Model: 0.196
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8746 38.67% 29.2 82.91%
2 2139 38.78% 29.19 87.19%
3 654 29.66% 29.28 88.99%
4 427 30.44% 29.94 83.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 232
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4956
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1586
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2962
Lose: Invader deck ran out 83
Lose: Adversary condition 669
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 157
Win: Scenario condition 276
Lose: Blight pool ran out 946
Lose: Spirit destroyed 56

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 561 31.73% 34.95 0.537 86.81% 0.112 0.2267
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 345 57.43% 31.23 -0.665 73.62% -0.356 -0.1495
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 457 33.99% 35.46 0.979 88.4% 0.489 0.3835
Eyes Watch From the Trees 635 20.92% 38.74 2.231 92.44% 0.641 0.248
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 511 30.0% 35.98 1.134 87.87% 0.26 -0.0303
Fractured Days Split the Sky 170 45.88% 33.78 0.289 74.12% -0.512 -0.1584
Heart of the Wildfire 567 59.96% 30.7 -0.773 77.78% 0.059 0.3872
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 800 41.28% 33.46 0.127 84.5% 0.132 -0.1985
Lightning's Swift Strike 627 41.21% 33.96 0.384 82.46% 0.085 0.3206
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 485 44.47% 33.47 0.118 82.47% 0.01 -0.2774
Many Minds Move as One 439 28.44% 37.7 1.947 92.94% 0.814 0.2833
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 586 47.07% 33.49 0.128 83.45% 0.239 0.0247
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 470 37.95% 34.11 0.185 85.53% 0.211 0.2352
River Surges in Sunlight 664 47.21% 33.42 0.172 74.4% -0.486 -0.3558
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 380 44.21% 32.33 -0.466 80.0% -0.199 -0.0836
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 474 59.28% 31.47 -0.428 72.78% -0.265 0.1515
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 490 39.47% 35.78 1.027 86.53% 0.217 0.1194
Shifting Memory of Ages 60 38.33% 33.0 -0.006 81.67% -0.233 -0.1422
Shroud of Silent Mist 175 64.57% 29.37 -1.47 72.57% -0.244 -0.2142
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1109 33.57% 32.71 -0.409 89.36% 0.328 0.2794
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 392 48.97% 30.92 -1.168 73.21% -0.484 -0.31
Thunderspeaker 464 43.1% 35.28 0.687 81.47% 0.026 0.0587
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 814 75.25% 27.39 -2.133 72.85% -0.079 -0.0969
Vital Strength of the Earth 485 43.92% 28.76 -2.226 67.42% -0.999 -0.1448
Volcano Looming High 282 46.24% 32.84 0.114 87.23% 0.452 0.4331

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 132 43.18% 30.3 -1.942 72.73% -0.666 -0.0965
Dahan Insurrection 4 170 24.12% 56.15 10.678 84.71% -0.499 -0.101
Despicable Theft 2 11 63.64% 38.82 3.525 72.73% -0.172 0.0976
Elemental Invocation 1 43 60.47% 29.81 -1.277 65.12% -0.921 -0.4564
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 298 14.68% 33.71 -0.6 68.12% -1.991 -1.6245
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 71.13% 31.81 0.045 60.82% -0.488 -0.043
Rituals of Terror 3 106 49.06% 43.21 4.285 67.92% -0.753 -0.1079
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 69 71.01% 43.78 5.404 72.46% 0.101 0.7461
Second Wave 0 686 48.18% 33.09 0.126 73.03% -0.683 -0.2547
The Great River 3 37 54.05% 37.16 2.042 56.76% -1.661 -0.198
Ward the Shores 2 137 53.28% 36.94 1.834 63.5% -0.818 0.2163

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5269 44.12% 32.75 -0.172 80.34% -0.025 0.1477
1 Thematic 785 51.42% 34.66 0.35 66.5% -0.417 -0.0548
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 37.0 1.248 100.0% 0.063 0.2898
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1164 47.08% 32.37 -0.087 85.4% 0.107 0.1584
2 Coastline 157 44.59% 33.73 0.583 87.9% 0.432 0.439
2 Fragment 27 74.07% 30.89 -0.373 81.48% 0.374 0.6301
2 Heart 27 55.56% 26.59 -2.435 66.67% -0.413 -0.271
2 Opposite Shores 214 37.74% 32.4 -0.289 85.51% -0.128 -0.0378
2 Thematic 197 55.1% 35.42 0.639 71.57% -0.205 -0.2461
2 Top to Top 31 51.61% 30.45 -1.288 80.65% 0.015 -0.0154
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 3.368 66.67% -0.614 0.4674
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 44.2 4.606 100.0% 0.634 0.4362
3 Other 30 36.67% 33.0 0.118 93.33% 0.553 0.7272
3 Round (Default) 472 35.67% 33.54 0.214 88.56% -0.072 -0.1454
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 35.0 -0.237 100.0% 0.022 -0.2542
3 Thematic 49 44.9% 36.43 -0.276 73.47% -0.332 -0.7339
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 39.0 0.914 100.0% 0.006 0.5146
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 44.5 7.327 100.0% 0.59 0.6401
4 Other 14 64.29% 32.21 0.408 85.71% 0.192 0.0783
4 Thematic 58 24.56% 44.81 2.237 87.93% 0.175 -0.9093
4 Trapezoid (Default) 198 37.88% 32.68 -0.64 86.36% -0.523 -0.6101
5 Other 12 25.0% 33.17 0.267 83.33% -0.688 -1.2917
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 45.0 3.927 100.0% 0.281 -2.4812

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 279 26.37 -4.032 61.29% -2.493 -0.4196
Aid From Lesser Spirits 227 27.81 -3.219 64.76% -2.267 -0.3489
All Things Weaken 278 25.82 -4.396 58.63% -2.584 -0.4137
Back Against the Wall 230 26.8 -3.798 62.61% -2.444 -0.3524
Disintegrating Ecosystem 254 24.08 -5.33 57.09% -2.671 -0.4466
Downward Spiral 347 26.11 -4.102 65.13% -2.187 -0.1645
Erosion of Will 253 25.55 -4.435 61.66% -2.583 -0.3738
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 151 31.62 -1.587 83.44% -1.246 -0.5599
Memory Fades to Dust 283 24.58 -4.916 57.24% -2.611 -0.3926
Power Corrodes the Spirit 300 26.48 -4.053 65.0% -2.36 -0.3359
Promising Farmlands 260 23.82 -5.435 54.23% -2.748 -0.5342
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 103 30.56 -1.89 82.52% -1.332 -0.9226
Thriving Communities 308 24.4 -5.065 56.49% -2.642 -0.5474
Unnatural Proliferation 322 26.48 -3.985 61.18% -2.514 -0.4278
Untended Land Crumbles 285 25.41 -4.598 60.7% -2.492 -0.3862

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1478 43.74% 32.84 -0.01 84.1% 0.196 -0.5646
B 1463 43.22% 33.0 -0.002 84.01% 0.117 -0.7403
C 1564 41.9% 33.23 0.177 84.91% 0.222 -0.8672
D 1370 42.46% 32.68 -0.176 82.85% 0.014 -0.8365
E 1363 42.22% 32.85 -0.008 83.27% 0.043 -0.9225
F 1336 43.83% 32.64 -0.169 83.61% 0.083 -0.8308
G 1227 44.9% 32.13 -0.351 81.26% -0.007 -0.9124
H 1204 43.34% 32.51 -0.232 82.81% 0.06 -0.8541
East 285 43.97% 39.75 2.112 76.14% 0.063 -0.5867
Northeast 280 50.54% 37.65 1.122 70.0% -0.05 -0.6489
Northwest 234 46.49% 37.89 1.21 72.22% -0.089 -0.7583
Southeast 230 44.74% 37.4 1.501 77.39% 0.424 -0.2819
Southwest 226 52.68% 30.21 -2.432 65.04% -0.454 -0.7274
West 274 48.34% 36.63 0.567 69.71% -0.274 -0.6724

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 35.15 -0.616 84.85% -0.89 1.1668
Not Using Events or Tokens 105 45.71% 29.67 -1.426 64.76% -0.757 -0.5411
Skip Initial Invader Actions 205 5.42% 48.25 4.606 96.1% 0.846 0.1592
Start of Game Growth 298 9.15% 44.93 3.215 93.62% 0.054 -0.4166
Unlimited Undo 679 39.75% 33.88 0.218 84.39% 0.114 -0.306
Using Tokens but Not Events 672 33.18% 34.49 0.476 86.31% 0.187 0.1347

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 732 22.35 27.73%
II 3336 30.84 74.07%
III 3310 34.35 90.97%
IV 1342 37.52 99.25%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.039 Win Model: 0.219
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6097 45.21% 32.99 78.46%
2 1803 46.5% 32.78 84.25%
3 541 37.04% 33.78 87.43%
4 279 35.61% 35.26 86.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 202
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2917
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2300
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1328
Lose: Invader deck ran out 52
Lose: Adversary condition 699
Win: Sacrifice victory 39
Lose: Scenario condition 109
Win: Scenario condition 231
Lose: Blight pool ran out 797
Lose: Spirit destroyed 46

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 663 41.03% 40.42 1.258 80.84% 0.202 0.3166
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 423 77.73% 31.56 -2.359 53.19% -0.598 -0.3922
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 649 49.61% 40.44 1.502 81.66% 0.497 0.3915
Eyes Watch From the Trees 741 38.02% 42.99 2.629 85.43% 0.614 0.221
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 595 53.03% 39.41 0.953 76.81% 0.224 -0.0665
Fractured Days Split the Sky 221 58.82% 37.91 0.54 64.71% -0.353 0.0003
Heart of the Wildfire 918 75.05% 32.96 -1.859 61.87% -0.238 0.0905
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1085 51.91% 38.83 0.644 75.94% 0.123 -0.2076
Lightning's Swift Strike 741 63.64% 37.53 0.328 71.39% 0.151 0.3866
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 609 62.6% 36.97 0.018 70.94% 0.011 -0.276
Many Minds Move as One 502 40.12% 42.6 2.438 86.25% 0.675 0.1447
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 821 59.46% 37.63 0.243 71.62% 0.073 -0.1415
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 583 55.86% 38.19 0.545 77.19% 0.323 0.3468
River Surges in Sunlight 896 57.08% 39.09 0.88 69.31% -0.204 -0.0733
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 585 59.66% 36.97 -0.284 72.48% 0.041 0.1555
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 406 75.37% 33.44 -1.645 57.39% -0.427 -0.0103
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 582 49.4% 39.58 0.906 75.77% 0.034 -0.0628
Shifting Memory of Ages 73 80.82% 33.16 -1.271 61.64% -0.101 -0.0098
Shroud of Silent Mist 212 83.49% 29.65 -2.996 52.36% -0.482 -0.4525
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1557 44.06% 38.6 0.744 83.56% 0.606 0.5579
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 432 64.97% 35.73 -0.586 66.2% -0.116 0.0582
Thunderspeaker 508 56.02% 38.77 0.313 70.47% -0.123 -0.0907
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1071 85.47% 30.46 -2.751 59.2% -0.218 -0.2358
Vital Strength of the Earth 446 62.47% 33.39 -1.82 59.64% -0.534 0.3202
Volcano Looming High 378 68.97% 33.94 -1.144 67.2% -0.026 -0.0442

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 168 47.02% 35.4 -1.495 67.26% -0.528 0.0413
Dahan Insurrection 4 111 36.94% 61.92 11.632 81.08% 0.167 0.5653
Despicable Theft 2 11 63.64% 44.45 4.102 63.64% -0.211 0.0582
Elemental Invocation 1 38 71.05% 36.05 0.314 63.16% -0.157 0.3074
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 534 13.29% 43.48 2.342 77.34% -0.769 -0.4028
Powers Long Forgotten 1 73 68.49% 39.66 0.799 60.27% -0.341 0.1038
Rituals of Terror 3 41 70.73% 44.54 4.124 60.98% -0.34 0.3054
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 71.43% 44.06 4.142 57.14% -0.304 0.3414
Second Wave 0 434 56.81% 36.9 -0.44 62.44% -0.761 -0.3326
The Great River 3 21 19.05% 32.05 -2.874 23.81% -2.758 -1.2949
Ward the Shores 2 92 65.22% 38.57 0.237 50.0% -1.089 -0.0548

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6573 59.21% 36.43 0.039 70.55% 0.246 0.4186
1 Thematic 633 56.51% 39.3 0.121 60.66% -0.191 0.1711
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 78.0 18.62 100.0% 0.04 0.2671
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1542 60.87% 35.51 -0.711 69.2% -0.417 -0.3655
2 Coastline 192 51.04% 37.77 0.313 76.04% -0.053 -0.0457
2 Fragment 32 70.97% 35.16 -0.381 68.75% -0.184 0.0725
2 Heart 24 65.22% 37.04 0.03 75.0% 0.004 0.1455
2 Opposite Shores 298 58.39% 37.6 0.304 76.85% 0.04 0.1305
2 Thematic 189 73.02% 36.52 -0.761 55.56% -0.331 -0.3729
2 Top to Top 46 40.91% 38.98 0.316 78.26% -0.22 -0.2505
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 44.0 4.505 100.0% 0.177 1.2593
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 43.9 3.625 90.0% 0.557 0.3584
3 Other 50 56.0% 39.36 0.875 82.0% -0.198 -0.0237
3 Round (Default) 600 58.96% 37.56 0.146 75.83% -0.538 -0.6116
3 Thematic 25 84.0% 40.84 1.299 68.0% 0.406 0.0041
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 48.0 4.913 100.0% 0.131 0.1816
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 40.5 0.794 100.0% 0.095 0.0673
4 Other 35 48.57% 42.03 2.181 85.71% 0.033 -0.0813
4 Thematic 92 44.57% 47.66 2.283 82.61% 0.117 -0.9674
4 Trapezoid (Default) 325 50.77% 39.8 0.631 81.85% -0.755 -0.8416
5 Other 12 41.67% 44.92 3.403 100.0% 0.646 0.0427
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 49.5 3.567 100.0% 0.285 -2.4777
6 Other 1 100.0% 39.0 3.351 100.0% 0.138 -0.0242

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 483 30.75 -3.943 53.0% -2.144 -0.0712
Aid From Lesser Spirits 372 33.91 -2.389 60.75% -1.813 0.1046
All Things Weaken 507 31.15 -3.732 56.21% -2.042 0.1278
Back Against the Wall 362 31.74 -3.391 56.35% -2.035 0.0562
Disintegrating Ecosystem 421 29.17 -4.698 55.34% -2.033 0.192
Downward Spiral 508 30.1 -4.207 55.51% -2.016 0.0073
Erosion of Will 447 30.1 -4.172 52.57% -2.11 0.099
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 204 37.48 -0.648 75.98% -1.071 -0.3846
Memory Fades to Dust 487 30.31 -4.211 55.65% -2.05 0.1682
Power Corrodes the Spirit 463 30.52 -4.04 56.59% -2.008 0.0154
Promising Farmlands 401 28.32 -5.208 51.37% -2.262 -0.0477
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 138 37.9 -0.638 76.81% -1.132 -0.7222
Thriving Communities 459 27.62 -5.527 48.15% -2.392 -0.2969
Unnatural Proliferation 522 31.22 -3.526 56.32% -2.005 0.0819
Untended Land Crumbles 500 29.81 -4.34 53.8% -2.11 -0.0047

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1905 58.79% 36.69 -0.081 72.13% 0.277 -0.4831
B 1927 58.92% 36.8 -0.036 72.65% 0.332 -0.5246
C 2131 60.07% 37.01 0.19 73.91% 0.429 -0.6593
D 1812 58.46% 36.47 -0.242 72.02% 0.267 -0.5828
E 1887 57.39% 37.32 0.276 73.82% 0.383 -0.5826
F 1750 58.02% 36.68 -0.14 71.6% 0.26 -0.6541
G 1498 57.97% 36.94 0.006 72.5% 0.329 -0.5766
H 1491 56.02% 37.49 0.185 74.04% 0.342 -0.5723
East 282 59.22% 43.26 1.874 69.86% 0.381 -0.2685
Northeast 248 64.11% 38.6 -0.279 57.26% -0.328 -0.9263
Northwest 251 60.0% 39.27 -0.022 60.16% -0.122 -0.7913
Southeast 185 55.98% 43.21 1.705 71.89% 0.482 -0.2241
Southwest 160 51.57% 38.45 -1.61 66.25% -0.284 -0.5569
West 281 57.65% 43.03 1.541 69.4% 0.246 -0.1526

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 39.36 -1.101 72.22% -1.213 0.8435
Not Using Events or Tokens 47 62.22% 32.7 -1.971 61.7% -0.472 -0.2561
Skip Initial Invader Actions 207 16.75% 53.87 5.509 93.72% 1.13 0.4428
Start of Game Growth 303 21.07% 50.85 4.245 90.76% 0.463 -0.0076
Unlimited Undo 779 50.4% 39.66 1.043 79.08% 0.355 -0.0652
Using Tokens but Not Events 783 52.34% 37.41 -0.082 74.33% 0.005 -0.0469

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1594 22.35 12.99%
II 5076 30.84 68.75%
III 2827 34.35 94.62%
IV 1189 37.52 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.138 Win Model: 0.156
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7240 58.92% 36.68 69.65%
2 2326 60.54% 36.25 70.21%
3 675 59.52% 37.84 76.3%
4 445 49.44% 41.6 82.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 206
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2635
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3362
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1174
Lose: Invader deck ran out 41
Lose: Adversary condition 1495
Win: Sacrifice victory 45
Lose: Scenario condition 126
Win: Scenario condition 136
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1362
Lose: Spirit destroyed 104

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 746 53.42% 39.58 1.086 69.71% 0.135 0.2495
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 453 79.42% 32.13 -2.094 47.02% -0.474 -0.2682
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 666 62.41% 38.88 0.829 69.37% 0.307 0.2014
Eyes Watch From the Trees 953 46.84% 42.98 2.637 77.02% 0.45 0.0572
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 657 56.86% 40.05 1.153 68.95% 0.176 -0.1147
Fractured Days Split the Sky 240 59.17% 39.92 1.283 62.5% -0.2 0.1542
Heart of the Wildfire 845 80.14% 33.02 -1.765 54.67% -0.138 0.1905
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1557 59.86% 37.76 0.129 64.87% -0.071 -0.4012
Lightning's Swift Strike 843 69.51% 36.86 -0.056 61.57% 0.027 0.2627
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 780 72.79% 35.74 -0.708 60.51% -0.061 -0.3487
Many Minds Move as One 520 47.78% 43.75 3.117 80.96% 0.778 0.2473
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 970 60.85% 38.83 0.504 66.7% 0.088 -0.1267
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 632 62.9% 38.15 0.478 67.88% 0.2 0.224
River Surges in Sunlight 1127 64.23% 40.57 1.737 67.44% 0.217 0.3471
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 643 63.91% 37.6 -0.169 65.47% 0.017 0.1319
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 365 79.45% 30.35 -3.184 40.0% -0.762 -0.345
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 748 53.49% 39.98 1.207 69.39% 0.128 0.0304
Shifting Memory of Ages 79 84.81% 36.46 0.255 65.82% 0.414 0.505
Shroud of Silent Mist 201 86.57% 28.82 -3.553 41.29% -0.651 -0.6216
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2076 52.65% 38.08 0.453 73.03% 0.327 0.2787
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 510 71.26% 34.6 -1.158 53.92% -0.283 -0.1084
Thunderspeaker 576 68.87% 39.19 0.726 65.1% 0.189 0.2215
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1307 87.26% 30.12 -3.216 49.35% -0.334 -0.3522
Vital Strength of the Earth 443 71.33% 29.85 -3.573 38.83% -1.025 -0.1715
Volcano Looming High 573 75.57% 35.46 -0.424 62.48% 0.144 0.1252

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 116 52.59% 36.5 -1.548 59.48% -0.62 -0.0504
Dahan Insurrection 4 96 54.17% 55.14 8.577 63.54% -0.194 0.2044
Despicable Theft 2 5 60.0% 40.4 2.199 60.0% -0.072 0.1973
Elemental Invocation 1 57 75.44% 34.82 -1.189 47.37% -0.689 -0.2246
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 519 17.74% 44.22 2.524 70.71% -0.626 -0.2592
Powers Long Forgotten 1 63 73.02% 37.68 0.291 50.79% -0.385 0.0596
Rituals of Terror 3 44 70.45% 44.32 3.509 47.73% -0.495 0.1503
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 40.5 2.515 40.0% -0.329 0.3165
Second Wave 0 224 56.5% 36.96 -0.46 54.91% -0.743 -0.3144
The Great River 3 14 28.57% 33.64 -2.188 21.43% -2.201 -0.7372
Ward the Shores 2 30 56.67% 38.33 0.551 46.67% -0.908 0.1259

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8096 64.85% 36.75 0.015 63.62% -0.15 0.0227
1 Thematic 632 63.29% 39.52 0.41 54.91% -0.188 0.1735
2 Archipelago 4 100.0% 39.75 3.178 50.0% -0.212 0.0146
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1806 67.13% 36.16 -0.283 62.62% -0.287 -0.2357
2 Coastline 183 65.03% 39.11 1.161 73.22% 0.258 0.2658
2 Fragment 50 68.75% 35.48 -0.578 58.0% -0.336 -0.0796
2 Heart 28 76.0% 36.89 0.207 67.86% -0.047 0.0946
2 Opposite Shores 356 64.33% 36.03 -0.483 62.08% -0.34 -0.2493
2 Thematic 147 76.55% 33.23 -1.684 38.78% -0.139 -0.1804
2 Top to Top 65 55.38% 39.4 0.973 72.31% 0.021 -0.0099
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 54.0 8.305 100.0% 0.153 1.2351
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.2 2.329 80.0% 0.344 0.1452
3 Other 45 55.56% 43.98 2.767 88.89% 0.45 0.6244
3 Round (Default) 744 68.19% 36.78 -0.201 63.84% -0.309 -0.3823
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 43.2 2.885 80.0% -0.013 -0.2899
3 Thematic 32 84.38% 29.38 -4.048 28.13% -0.306 -0.7077
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 39.5 -2.415 50.0% -0.527 -0.5552
4 Other 26 57.69% 43.12 2.343 84.62% 0.235 0.1208
4 Thematic 77 55.84% 45.45 2.152 63.64% 1.1 0.0157
4 Trapezoid (Default) 405 52.74% 40.18 0.372 72.35% -0.337 -0.4237
5 Other 10 40.0% 47.5 4.183 100.0% 0.653 0.0496

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 582 31.13 -3.788 47.59% -1.977 0.0957
Aid From Lesser Spirits 487 33.92 -2.509 54.41% -1.72 0.1981
All Things Weaken 652 31.62 -3.662 48.93% -1.942 0.2284
Back Against the Wall 455 33.99 -2.387 55.16% -1.638 0.4535
Disintegrating Ecosystem 573 29.38 -4.696 46.77% -1.98 0.2451
Downward Spiral 706 32.02 -3.397 53.97% -1.674 0.3485
Erosion of Will 614 30.53 -4.19 46.91% -2.013 0.1962
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 264 37.01 -1.161 64.77% -1.327 -0.6409
Memory Fades to Dust 601 30.82 -4.005 49.25% -1.912 0.3068
Power Corrodes the Spirit 668 30.58 -4.166 48.35% -1.953 0.0706
Promising Farmlands 566 29.98 -4.404 46.47% -1.996 0.2183
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 191 39.64 0.379 73.3% -0.809 -0.3991
Thriving Communities 579 28.89 -4.91 43.18% -2.13 -0.035
Unnatural Proliferation 662 30.95 -3.969 45.47% -2.053 0.0334
Untended Land Crumbles 643 30.07 -4.459 45.41% -2.071 0.0349

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2201 63.75% 37.52 0.27 66.02% 0.556 -0.2046
B 2278 62.63% 37.11 0.018 64.66% 0.458 -0.3987
C 2590 65.11% 36.75 -0.087 63.94% 0.457 -0.6315
D 2199 65.65% 36.88 -0.136 64.39% 0.472 -0.3781
E 2260 64.94% 37.3 0.165 65.13% 0.507 -0.4581
F 2097 64.31% 37.14 0.055 64.81% 0.49 -0.4237
G 1839 64.16% 36.8 -0.279 64.22% 0.406 -0.4991
H 1841 64.11% 37.64 0.249 66.38% 0.579 -0.3351
East 298 63.64% 42.04 1.82 56.71% 0.272 -0.3777
Northeast 232 70.56% 37.42 -0.594 44.4% -0.298 -0.8971
Northwest 166 69.7% 38.16 -0.403 46.99% -0.098 -0.7678
Southeast 198 64.14% 38.54 -0.307 53.54% -0.04 -0.7465
Southwest 158 66.46% 34.47 -2.255 49.37% -0.134 -0.4066
West 235 64.1% 39.61 0.373 51.49% -0.026 -0.4245

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 41.63 -0.729 75.0% -0.927 1.1297
Not Using Events or Tokens 48 66.67% 32.35 -2.287 50.0% -0.653 -0.4374
Skip Initial Invader Actions 311 12.42% 55.57 5.807 95.5% 1.04 0.3532
Start of Game Growth 442 16.51% 53.3 5.095 92.76% 0.95 0.4798
Unlimited Undo 901 58.08% 40.33 1.106 71.81% 0.222 -0.1983
Using Tokens but Not Events 639 54.31% 38.77 0.468 70.89% 0.107 0.0544

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2304 22.35 7.2%
II 5656 30.84 60.68%
III 3816 34.35 91.95%
IV 943 37.52 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.005 Win Model: -0.403
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8749 64.71% 36.98 63.05%
2 2650 67.02% 36.28 62.26%
3 819 67.69% 36.87 63.74%
4 501 53.21% 41.11 71.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 166
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3466
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3357
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 935
Lose: Invader deck ran out 119
Lose: Adversary condition 2520
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 143
Win: Scenario condition 75
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1768
Lose: Spirit destroyed 123

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 440 72.27% 43.43 2.194 62.95% 0.45 0.5644
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 241 92.95% 34.74 -1.708 39.42% -0.225 -0.0189
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 370 89.73% 34.25 -2.196 39.46% -0.354 -0.4595
Eyes Watch From the Trees 559 72.48% 43.79 2.292 60.29% 0.369 -0.024
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 423 80.61% 40.88 0.82 54.14% 0.182 -0.1086
Fractured Days Split the Sky 184 78.8% 44.23 2.358 54.89% 0.076 0.4299
Heart of the Wildfire 974 86.3% 36.48 -1.564 47.02% -0.149 0.179
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 848 75.21% 38.09 -0.839 48.82% -0.262 -0.5922
Lightning's Swift Strike 352 91.45% 36.63 -1.099 44.6% -0.095 0.1415
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 584 79.28% 40.5 0.549 53.77% 0.11 -0.1771
Many Minds Move as One 313 62.3% 48.86 4.821 74.12% 0.91 0.3789
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 424 85.61% 34.14 -2.358 37.74% -0.41 -0.6244
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 408 85.26% 37.82 -0.386 49.02% 0.048 0.0716
River Surges in Sunlight 646 81.18% 39.9 0.564 47.37% -0.078 0.0519
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 397 77.33% 42.37 1.242 59.7% 0.334 0.4491
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 231 87.88% 37.81 -0.614 45.02% -0.127 0.29
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 280 75.0% 40.57 0.002 52.14% -0.052 -0.1495
Shifting Memory of Ages 55 92.73% 39.13 0.444 52.73% 0.224 0.3149
Shroud of Silent Mist 150 90.67% 35.27 -1.908 43.33% -0.221 -0.1913
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1778 60.79% 43.0 2.214 68.45% 0.646 0.5981
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 372 83.6% 35.59 -1.54 40.59% -0.306 -0.1322
Thunderspeaker 333 88.59% 37.92 -0.505 45.95% -0.075 -0.043
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1225 93.39% 35.18 -2.11 45.55% -0.189 -0.2074
Vital Strength of the Earth 221 85.97% 30.76 -4.125 27.15% -1.013 -0.159
Volcano Looming High 387 90.7% 35.38 -1.843 44.96% -0.197 -0.2159

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 60 66.67% 40.6 0.086 53.33% -0.178 0.3915
Dahan Insurrection 4 28 78.57% 55.36 7.907 50.0% -0.081 0.3169
Despicable Theft 2 4 75.0% 33.0 -2.614 25.0% -0.549 -0.2798
Elemental Invocation 1 18 72.22% 38.78 -0.363 44.44% -0.517 -0.0523
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 274 23.72% 47.87 3.438 62.77% -0.318 0.0482
Powers Long Forgotten 1 24 91.67% 34.46 -2.377 29.17% -0.753 -0.3082
Rituals of Terror 3 13 76.92% 49.08 5.153 46.15% -0.199 0.4458
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 94.12% 40.53 0.601 35.29% -0.674 -0.029
Second Wave 0 139 73.19% 36.77 -1.279 41.73% -0.595 -0.1663
The Great River 3 12 41.67% 30.5 -4.646 8.33% -1.946 -0.4824
Ward the Shores 2 26 88.46% 34.38 -1.738 23.08% -0.947 0.0866

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5340 78.8% 39.47 0.457 54.04% 0.119 0.2911
1 Thematic 218 76.61% 38.68 -0.392 41.74% -0.244 0.118
2 Archipelago 3 100.0% 34.33 -0.942 33.33% -0.03 0.1972
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1282 82.84% 38.55 -0.044 51.48% -0.027 0.0249
2 Coastline 139 80.58% 37.28 -0.661 46.04% -0.24 -0.2328
2 Fragment 22 90.91% 36.68 -1.1 40.91% -0.364 -0.1083
2 Heart 15 93.33% 34.13 -2.42 46.67% -0.345 -0.2034
2 Opposite Shores 276 82.91% 34.43 -2.155 41.3% -0.542 -0.4513
2 Thematic 66 80.3% 37.8 -0.834 42.42% -0.037 -0.079
2 Top to Top 45 84.44% 37.4 -0.131 51.11% 0.081 0.0504
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.5 8.351 100.0% 0.631 0.433
3 Other 34 76.47% 45.59 2.791 73.53% 0.366 0.5406
3 Round (Default) 519 83.43% 37.76 -0.147 49.9% -0.046 -0.1198
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 -9.375 0.0% -0.462 -0.7385
3 Thematic 15 93.33% 36.4 -1.826 33.33% -0.059 -0.4609
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 8.191 100.0% 0.878 0.85
4 Other 18 66.67% 47.33 2.617 77.78% 0.245 0.1306
4 Thematic 104 61.54% 47.02 1.196 56.73% 0.388 -0.6961
4 Trapezoid (Default) 190 76.47% 38.93 -0.791 50.0% -0.456 -0.5427
5 Other 3 100.0% 44.0 2.011 66.67% 0.073 -0.5304
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 9.237 100.0% 0.457 -2.3051

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 484 37.08 -1.763 47.93% -1.303 0.7702
Aid From Lesser Spirits 393 39.02 -0.649 51.15% -1.118 0.8
All Things Weaken 518 34.61 -3.048 40.54% -1.605 0.5648
Back Against the Wall 382 38.86 -0.907 49.74% -1.217 0.8744
Disintegrating Ecosystem 504 34.51 -3.125 45.04% -1.422 0.8029
Downward Spiral 463 34.7 -3.035 43.2% -1.52 0.5034
Erosion of Will 477 35.71 -2.483 42.56% -1.523 0.6857
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 167 41.11 0.01 56.89% -0.979 -0.2928
Memory Fades to Dust 554 35.6 -2.596 45.85% -1.405 0.8135
Power Corrodes the Spirit 514 35.59 -2.565 45.33% -1.41 0.6135
Promising Farmlands 466 32.92 -3.935 38.41% -1.715 0.4986
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 111 42.67 0.605 59.46% -0.894 -0.4841
Thriving Communities 495 34.19 -3.21 43.64% -1.46 0.6349
Unnatural Proliferation 550 37.02 -1.823 46.55% -1.36 0.7263
Untended Land Crumbles 527 33.17 -3.784 38.33% -1.705 0.4004

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1432 79.96% 38.66 -0.167 51.82% 0.395 -0.3651
B 1646 80.63% 39.16 0.002 53.58% 0.42 -0.4366
C 1869 79.93% 39.15 0.143 53.08% 0.451 -0.638
D 1380 82.97% 38.19 -0.297 50.51% 0.392 -0.4585
E 1426 80.36% 38.36 -0.32 50.49% 0.324 -0.6414
F 1402 80.04% 39.23 0.169 53.64% 0.473 -0.4408
G 1160 80.29% 38.26 -0.353 50.69% 0.349 -0.5564
H 1140 79.42% 38.99 -0.001 52.54% 0.428 -0.4861
East 176 70.45% 44.22 0.963 50.57% 0.321 -0.3282
Northeast 124 72.58% 44.13 0.966 49.19% 0.184 -0.4144
Northwest 112 71.43% 42.21 0.131 47.32% 0.181 -0.4892
Southeast 111 71.17% 41.62 0.053 49.55% 0.217 -0.4895
Southwest 112 72.32% 39.42 -1.267 45.54% 0.12 -0.1525
West 159 67.92% 43.96 0.354 50.31% 0.043 -0.3553

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 40.0 -1.034 60.0% -0.407 1.6493
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 90.91% 37.95 -0.015 50.0% 0.125 0.3407
Skip Initial Invader Actions 92 43.96% 55.71 4.838 83.7% 0.657 -0.0299
Start of Game Growth 213 47.64% 51.44 4.071 74.18% 0.487 0.0167
Unlimited Undo 706 74.33% 43.46 1.837 63.6% 0.408 -0.0121
Using Tokens but Not Events 334 76.9% 38.25 -0.956 51.2% -0.275 -0.327

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2108 22.35 3.18%
II 3453 30.84 50.33%
III 2134 34.35 91.05%
IV 602 37.52 99.67%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.197 Win Model: -0.405
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5576 78.73% 39.45 53.59%
2 1854 82.73% 37.79 49.3%
3 557 82.76% 37.97 50.27%
4 310 72.31% 42.01 53.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 67
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1918
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1703
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 590
Lose: Invader deck ran out 51
Lose: Adversary condition 2015
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Scenario condition 100
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1668
Lose: Spirit destroyed 115

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 219 71.69% 42.99 2.329 51.6% 0.446 0.5603
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 106 89.62% 35.6 -0.869 33.02% -0.261 -0.0551
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 185 91.89% 32.06 -2.691 27.03% -0.488 -0.5938
Eyes Watch From the Trees 167 70.66% 45.33 3.579 55.09% 0.496 0.103
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 150 92.0% 38.07 0.086 40.0% 0.089 -0.2022
Fractured Days Split the Sky 90 84.44% 47.41 4.136 54.44% 0.546 0.8997
Heart of the Wildfire 368 87.5% 33.4 -2.598 32.34% -0.385 -0.0569
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 518 81.08% 34.31 -0.507 28.96% -0.069 -0.399
Lightning's Swift Strike 158 94.3% 34.35 -1.534 31.01% -0.2 0.0364
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 213 89.2% 37.41 -0.279 39.91% 0.032 -0.255
Many Minds Move as One 136 68.38% 50.51 6.37 69.85% 1.123 0.5925
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 223 80.72% 39.22 0.647 42.15% 0.237 0.022
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 149 83.89% 38.42 0.508 40.27% 0.053 0.0773
River Surges in Sunlight 258 84.11% 40.22 1.201 40.7% 0.079 0.209
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 209 79.43% 40.47 0.555 44.98% 0.058 0.1731
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 152 94.74% 30.11 -3.221 17.11% -0.891 -0.4739
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 108 80.56% 36.06 -1.299 34.26% -0.322 -0.4193
Shifting Memory of Ages 25 96.0% 41.92 1.833 52.0% 0.517 0.6075
Shroud of Silent Mist 42 95.24% 34.05 -1.816 30.95% -0.326 -0.2969
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 822 63.5% 42.66 2.505 60.1% 0.658 0.6098
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 161 86.96% 33.04 -2.134 24.84% -0.468 -0.2937
Thunderspeaker 133 96.24% 35.86 -0.895 33.83% -0.13 -0.0974
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 487 95.28% 35.75 -1.198 39.43% -0.009 -0.0269
Vital Strength of the Earth 95 86.32% 32.12 -2.587 24.21% -0.634 0.2198
Volcano Looming High 197 91.88% 31.48 -3.207 27.92% -0.478 -0.4965

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 25 88.0% 35.28 -1.983 36.0% -0.309 0.26
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 94.87% 35.1 0.129 7.69% -1.197 -0.7984
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 23.67 -6.615 0.0% -0.691 -0.422
Elemental Invocation 1 9 77.78% 40.33 0.455 44.44% -0.147 0.3176
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 117 26.5% 42.13 1.456 41.03% -0.745 -0.3783
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 75.0% 48.63 5.518 50.0% 0.341 0.7861
Rituals of Terror 3 7 100.0% 36.57 -0.013 14.29% -0.458 0.1871
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 -3.487 1.14% -2.245 -1.5999
Second Wave 0 46 63.04% 36.83 -1.565 36.96% -0.721 -0.2919
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 -0.219 22.22% -0.618 0.4162

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2460 81.63% 38.01 0.555 43.05% 0.048 0.2202
1 Thematic 322 88.2% 30.74 -1.295 13.35% -0.296 0.0656
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 542 88.01% 35.7 -1.069 36.16% -0.306 -0.2541
2 Coastline 59 81.36% 40.05 1.135 50.85% 0.133 0.1402
2 Fragment 7 100.0% 46.29 4.903 71.43% 0.941 1.197
2 Heart 6 66.67% 34.67 -1.557 33.33% -0.553 -0.4108
2 Opposite Shores 82 87.8% 38.45 0.435 42.68% 0.007 0.0973
2 Thematic 26 73.08% 31.08 -4.573 7.69% -1.511 -1.5525
2 Top to Top 49 97.96% 35.86 -0.556 36.73% -0.182 -0.2127
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 -1.344 33.33% 0.052 -0.1468
3 Other 15 73.33% 55.6 7.62 86.67% 1.2 1.3739
3 Round (Default) 168 79.76% 41.49 1.688 50.6% 0.323 0.2495
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 -6.561 0.0% -0.494 -0.7705
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 25.5 -4.967 0.0% -0.216 -0.6176
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 7.35 80.0% 0.461 0.3475
4 Thematic 32 62.5% 50.38 3.003 56.25% 1.005 -0.079
4 Trapezoid (Default) 82 74.39% 37.57 -1.096 39.02% -0.434 -0.5207
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.209 60.0% -0.158 -0.7616

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 262 35.6 -1.567 34.73% -1.235 0.838
Aid From Lesser Spirits 195 38.5 -0.091 42.05% -0.947 0.9715
All Things Weaken 250 34.26 -2.427 32.8% -1.427 0.7428
Back Against the Wall 194 34.9 -2.055 31.96% -1.411 0.6807
Disintegrating Ecosystem 229 34.36 -2.228 35.81% -1.214 1.0103
Downward Spiral 258 32.24 -3.145 29.07% -1.482 0.5407
Erosion of Will 247 34.09 -2.211 31.17% -1.391 0.8185
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 49 44.35 1.898 55.1% -0.628 0.0585
Memory Fades to Dust 231 32.54 -3.093 28.57% -1.559 0.6599
Power Corrodes the Spirit 254 33.39 -2.582 31.1% -1.401 0.6225
Promising Farmlands 195 33.48 -2.467 31.79% -1.359 0.8545
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 45 46.84 3.776 62.22% -0.035 0.3744
Thriving Communities 272 33.32 -2.852 32.72% -1.404 0.6907
Unnatural Proliferation 257 34.7 -1.994 32.68% -1.334 0.752
Untended Land Crumbles 267 31.63 -3.934 26.97% -1.775 0.331

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 600 85.83% 36.47 -0.76 38.0% 0.131 -0.6293
B 667 83.51% 38.28 0.205 43.93% 0.353 -0.5044
C 769 84.01% 39.75 1.156 47.2% 0.564 -0.5251
D 606 83.17% 37.0 -0.349 40.1% 0.193 -0.6569
E 626 82.59% 36.62 -0.471 39.14% 0.206 -0.7596
F 622 78.14% 38.95 0.281 45.18% 0.288 -0.626
G 475 80.84% 38.64 0.675 43.16% 0.442 -0.4633
H 526 82.13% 38.87 0.351 43.92% 0.312 -0.6022
East 57 63.16% 46.26 2.218 43.86% 0.208 -0.4418
Northeast 51 86.27% 38.92 -0.147 29.41% -0.096 -0.6953
Northwest 79 89.87% 31.51 -1.732 12.66% -0.604 -1.2736
Southeast 47 72.34% 45.72 3.135 46.81% 0.786 0.0801
Southwest 201 85.57% 28.16 -2.802 9.45% -0.491 -0.7641
West 69 71.01% 44.0 2.035 37.68% 0.452 0.0536

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 -3.241 21.43% -0.237 -0.021
Skip Initial Invader Actions 35 48.57% 59.63 6.9 82.86% 1.276 0.5888
Start of Game Growth 72 47.22% 52.63 3.972 68.06% 0.132 -0.338
Unlimited Undo 389 68.89% 45.41 3.1 60.15% 0.491 0.0713
Using Tokens but Not Events 211 61.14% 45.04 2.294 61.61% 0.255 0.2028

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1065 22.35 0.66%
II 1629 30.84 28.55%
III 875 34.35 88.69%
IV 298 37.52 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.059 Win Model: -0.327
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2791 82.41% 37.22 39.73%
2 769 87.52% 36.2 37.19%
3 186 78.49% 42.16 52.15%
4 121 71.07% 41.33 44.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 769
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 456
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 296
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 1109
Win: Sacrifice victory 13
Lose: Scenario condition 67
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1063
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1080 74.05% 44.35 1.677 46.3% 0.491 0.6048
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 529 90.36% 33.6 -3.201 22.31% -0.589 -0.3834
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 492 91.87% 31.97 -3.802 20.53% -0.618 -0.7236
Eyes Watch From the Trees 852 85.43% 38.87 -0.235 33.8% 0.121 -0.2719
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 761 88.96% 35.66 -1.81 27.6% -0.157 -0.4479
Fractured Days Split the Sky 694 76.8% 46.5 2.168 42.8% 0.121 0.475
Heart of the Wildfire 2051 89.46% 35.3 -2.81 30.08% -0.289 0.039
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2159 74.53% 42.24 0.499 42.75% 0.19 -0.1397
Lightning's Swift Strike 1140 92.79% 31.8 -4.043 20.79% -0.645 -0.4094
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1629 89.0% 36.17 -2.164 29.28% -0.253 -0.5406
Many Minds Move as One 676 72.3% 52.75 6.38 65.83% 1.35 0.8191
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 818 85.91% 36.19 -2.132 29.1% -0.264 -0.4785
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 784 88.76% 37.57 -0.962 32.65% 0.029 0.053
River Surges in Sunlight 1489 87.09% 44.35 2.283 41.97% 0.489 0.6199
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1162 77.97% 46.48 2.091 50.95% 0.443 0.5575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 604 76.16% 36.12 -2.268 23.84% -0.431 -0.014
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 674 80.42% 38.14 -1.795 31.31% -0.324 -0.4209
Shifting Memory of Ages 170 87.65% 42.68 0.622 42.35% 0.246 0.3372
Shroud of Silent Mist 288 87.85% 34.46 -3.572 25.69% -0.589 -0.56
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6228 55.73% 48.41 4.326 63.9% 1.079 1.0309
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 609 88.32% 36.11 -1.756 28.24% -0.134 0.0399
Thunderspeaker 613 87.28% 35.2 -2.444 23.16% -0.436 -0.4037
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3366 94.5% 36.11 -2.09 33.66% 0.002 -0.0165
Vital Strength of the Earth 448 85.71% 32.9 -3.511 21.43% -0.699 0.155
Volcano Looming High 1044 88.51% 36.12 -2.307 31.7% -0.195 -0.2133

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 234 56.41% 44.52 -0.721 48.29% -0.552 0.0175
Dahan Insurrection 4 158 75.95% 47.36 3.225 22.78% -0.9 -0.5019
Despicable Theft 2 4 75.0% 51.0 6.383 50.0% 0.379 0.6483
Elemental Invocation 1 59 84.75% 34.37 -2.506 22.03% -0.927 -0.4629
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1296 29.32% 48.63 1.825 46.68% -0.688 -0.3212
Powers Long Forgotten 1 41 63.41% 44.15 0.01 46.34% -0.631 -0.1857
Rituals of Terror 3 15 35.71% 70.4 9.012 66.67% -0.26 0.3851
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 68.75% 42.75 -0.771 25.0% -1.086 -0.4403
Second Wave 0 82 57.32% 42.91 0.608 40.24% -0.377 0.0522
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 47.5 2.954 25.0% -0.687 0.7761
Ward the Shores 2 32 93.75% 32.19 -3.085 9.38% -1.281 -0.2467

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19225 78.81% 40.88 0.527 42.35% -0.001 0.1718
1 Thematic 628 74.68% 39.39 -1.287 30.1% -0.451 -0.0895
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 42.67 0.009 33.33% -0.439 -0.2124
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2070 85.7% 39.75 0.233 38.94% 0.088 0.1395
2 Coastline 346 75.72% 41.14 0.295 41.04% 0.016 0.0229
2 Fragment 39 92.31% 37.41 -1.131 30.77% -0.507 -0.2509
2 Heart 65 83.08% 39.92 -0.6 38.46% -0.612 -0.4704
2 Opposite Shores 513 85.74% 31.99 -3.774 21.25% -0.963 -0.8722
2 Thematic 83 81.93% 36.27 -2.908 15.66% -0.766 -0.8072
2 Top to Top 85 88.24% 41.44 0.472 42.35% -0.133 -0.1636
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.0 -2.735 0.0% -0.362 0.7195
3 Coastline 2 100.0% 47.0 5.422 50.0% 0.465 0.2666
3 Other 50 86.0% 46.44 2.825 56.0% 0.2 0.3743
3 Round (Default) 637 81.95% 38.87 -0.183 35.79% 0.091 0.017
3 Thematic 9 66.67% 47.78 0.8 44.44% 0.394 -0.0074
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 68.0 12.045 100.0% 0.455 0.5049
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 -10.269 0.0% -0.351 -0.3795
4 Other 30 76.67% 50.27 3.257 63.33% 0.258 0.1443
4 Thematic 130 28.46% 63.51 2.858 69.23% 1.229 0.1448
4 Trapezoid (Default) 353 85.71% 37.78 -0.954 32.86% 0.057 -0.03
5 Other 18 50.0% 59.56 5.161 83.33% 0.506 -0.0978
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 68.29 5.612 85.71% 0.846 -1.9168

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1490 37.4 -2.038 33.96% -1.122 0.9509
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1162 41.11 -0.169 41.14% -0.783 1.135
All Things Weaken 1538 36.4 -2.512 32.25% -1.194 0.9763
Back Against the Wall 1099 40.84 -0.355 40.95% -0.822 1.2697
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1436 34.6 -3.451 31.75% -1.223 1.0016
Downward Spiral 1517 36.13 -2.755 32.63% -1.17 0.8532
Erosion of Will 1367 35.49 -3.031 29.41% -1.357 0.8518
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 422 44.02 0.661 48.58% -0.659 0.0269
Memory Fades to Dust 1580 35.38 -3.072 30.19% -1.256 0.9628
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1456 35.46 -3.085 31.04% -1.295 0.7289
Promising Farmlands 1399 33.93 -3.899 27.73% -1.457 0.7572
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 260 48.32 2.422 58.85% -0.311 0.099
Thriving Communities 1496 35.11 -3.242 31.02% -1.275 0.82
Unnatural Proliferation 1590 37.89 -1.804 33.9% -1.124 0.9628
Untended Land Crumbles 1466 34.21 -3.625 28.31% -1.389 0.7165

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3862 79.38% 40.72 0.099 41.09% 0.719 -0.0412
B 3978 79.73% 40.38 0.031 40.82% 0.735 -0.1222
C 5064 80.91% 39.52 -0.316 39.16% 0.691 -0.3977
D 3502 83.46% 39.24 -0.428 38.61% 0.708 -0.1418
E 3842 81.9% 39.94 -0.235 39.59% 0.696 -0.2696
F 3381 79.11% 41.11 0.366 42.41% 0.804 -0.1095
G 2928 81.08% 39.89 -0.221 39.79% 0.697 -0.2082
H 2801 78.53% 41.42 0.38 42.52% 0.764 -0.15
East 274 54.01% 52.74 1.224 45.99% 0.33 -0.319
Northeast 184 54.35% 51.63 0.961 45.11% 0.347 -0.2519
Northwest 161 52.8% 49.99 0.804 44.72% 0.575 -0.0948
Southeast 168 49.4% 52.76 1.792 50.0% 0.69 -0.0156
Southwest 186 61.29% 43.68 -1.936 39.78% 0.19 -0.0832
West 215 45.58% 54.38 1.18 53.49% 0.676 0.2774

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 1.314 60.0% -0.272 1.7842
Not Using Events or Tokens 101 86.14% 37.72 -0.873 10.89% -0.427 -0.2116
Skip Initial Invader Actions 955 28.57% 65.24 7.354 82.83% 1.116 0.4291
Start of Game Growth 1348 30.36% 62.7 6.608 81.16% 0.637 0.1667
Unlimited Undo 2694 68.14% 51.0 4.207 62.81% 0.779 0.3591
Using Tokens but Not Events 836 73.16% 40.54 -0.753 40.91% -0.189 -0.2417

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8993 22.35 3.74%
II 10115 30.84 47.66%
III 4105 34.35 91.23%
IV 1084 37.52 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.257 Win Model: -1.063
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19956 78.66% 40.9 42.11%
2 3138 84.92% 38.23 34.93%
3 684 82.31% 39.29 36.84%
4 519 68.8% 45.53 44.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 327
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3690
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4710
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1066
Lose: Invader deck ran out 153
Lose: Adversary condition 7248
Win: Sacrifice victory 152
Lose: Scenario condition 576
Win: Scenario condition 38
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5890
Lose: Spirit destroyed 447

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)