The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1550 25.81% 28.53 2.603 79.16% 0.719 0.5222
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 28 25.0% 22.46 0.617 53.57% 0.021 -0.6937
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1038 43.38% 26.58 -2.459 71.19% -0.333 -0.0647
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 79 16.46% 30.51 2.771 73.42% 0.482 -0.0856
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1311 28.75% 29.06 0.193 80.78% 0.002 -0.1284
Downpour Drenches the World 393 25.95% 22.84 -1.09 58.78% -0.325 -0.0555
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 322 22.74% 26.99 1.05 69.57% 0.412 -0.0195
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1600 18.86% 32.68 3.058 85.25% 0.859 0.4358
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1301 24.77% 30.77 1.357 84.4% 0.344 -0.1014
Finder of Paths Unseen 198 28.43% 15.31 -3.063 37.88% -0.677 -0.0203
Fractured Days Split the Sky 653 35.07% 24.93 -5.709 59.57% -1.348 -0.5395
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 840 40.05% 26.95 0.08 68.69% -0.172 -0.2892
Heart of the Wildfire 1576 57.66% 24.39 -3.105 69.23% -0.522 -0.2352
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2072 25.99% 30.18 0.882 83.83% 0.219 -0.1744
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 91 12.09% 26.36 2.679 68.13% 0.488 0.0836
Lightning's Swift Strike 849 42.59% 27.1 0.168 75.38% 0.473 0.7407
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 147 31.51% 28.76 3.745 74.83% 0.693 0.3417
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 444 32.73% 30.63 -0.56 84.91% 0.123 -0.318
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 342 32.46% 27.68 0.202 73.68% -0.355 -0.3978
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1635 31.8% 29.01 -0.386 79.51% -0.131 -0.3818
Many Minds Move as One 1166 22.74% 30.15 0.13 82.33% 0.094 -0.136
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1602 40.16% 27.69 1.306 73.66% 0.415 0.311
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1223 30.57% 27.93 -2.244 79.56% -0.376 -0.5323
River Surges in Sunlight 1078 41.95% 28.62 1.719 73.1% 0.227 0.3163
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 21 47.62% 21.95 -0.027 42.86% -0.379 -0.4907
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 501 41.2% 28.02 0.958 65.67% 0.018 0.4082
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 160 34.81% 28.38 -0.636 64.38% -0.781 -0.6434
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1136 29.58% 28.38 3.514 78.87% 0.832 0.6381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 530 53.58% 26.4 0.555 70.0% 0.278 0.7637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 41.18% 22.87 -4.432 57.35% -0.523 -0.4679
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 63 25.4% 25.24 0.408 61.9% -0.025 -0.4936
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 27.59% 20.45 -7.959 50.0% -1.374 -1.1583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 336 33.04% 29.88 -1.151 84.23% -0.583 -0.5536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 237 45.57% 26.66 0.993 71.73% 0.533 0.7055
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1128 29.8% 29.29 -0.143 80.05% -0.013 -0.1659
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 117 21.74% 20.79 -0.909 56.41% 0.075 -0.1244
Shifting Memory of Ages 648 42.88% 22.65 -0.465 60.96% 0.098 0.5467
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 20 20.0% 14.8 -3.283 35.0% -0.529 -0.8338
Shroud of Silent Mist 759 45.84% 24.85 -0.463 68.25% 0.146 0.4816
Starlight Seeks its Form 766 27.42% 25.61 -1.476 66.84% -0.087 -0.1423
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2224 27.9% 27.17 0.581 83.45% 0.435 -0.1876
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1057 40.28% 25.18 -2.931 67.74% -0.465 -0.2719
Thunderspeaker 1221 36.37% 28.27 0.143 74.04% 0.032 -0.0223
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 105 28.57% 17.29 3.257 44.76% 0.232 0.3657
Towering Roots of the Jungle 62 27.42% 22.39 0.391 62.9% 0.455 0.4638
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1513 59.59% 23.26 -3.131 70.32% -0.401 -0.3181
Vital Strength of the Earth 783 35.98% 24.69 0.153 67.82% 0.177 0.7718
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 140 20.86% 21.96 -0.614 57.86% -0.151 0.2888
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 320 36.25% 22.18 -2.011 63.75% -0.139 0.5518
Volcano Looming High 1053 40.36% 24.85 1.285 70.09% 0.648 0.7515
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 184 23.5% 27.75 2.909 71.2% 0.426 0.1737

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 28.57% 25.19 0.859 66.67% 0.089 -0.1317
Blitz 0 323 27.95% 23.24 -1.139 62.85% -0.431 -0.1439
Dahan Insurrection 4 393 27.23% 45.36 6.38 65.9% -0.214 -0.3289
Despicable Theft 2 155 32.9% 25.78 -4.06 52.26% -1.085 -0.3465
Elemental Invocation 1 241 42.74% 21.62 -1.892 51.04% -0.524 0.2323
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 874 9.38% 33.23 1.648 76.66% 0.048 -0.5341
Powers Long Forgotten 1 275 40.66% 23.51 -3.122 52.36% -0.876 -0.0223
Rituals of Terror 3 218 54.59% 30.32 -1.278 50.92% -0.491 -0.6612
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 196 56.12% 28.87 -1.693 53.57% -0.547 0.3641
Second Wave 0 487 47.31% 30.8 2.808 69.4% -0.484 -0.4048
The Great River 3 165 51.52% 22.18 -7.976 33.94% -1.261 0.1024
Varied Terrains 2 98 52.04% 21.99 2.775 41.84% -0.025 0.8542
Ward the Shores 2 304 39.47% 30.35 3.55 59.21% -0.191 0.7909

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16060 37.19% 27.37 0.162 75.73% 0.079 0.4232
1 Thematic 1707 39.43% 29.45 -0.516 64.91% -0.165 0.3623
2 Archipelago 17 64.71% 33.35 14.055 58.82% 0.145 0.6442
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3249 37.79% 26.66 -0.959 76.24% 0.041 0.325
2 Coastline 379 35.62% 27.93 5.052 77.04% 1.153 1.1822
2 Fragment 75 50.67% 24.85 -5.388 68.0% -0.787 -1.0238
2 Heart 39 33.33% 27.9 1.357 89.74% 0.251 0.1036
2 Opposite Shores 416 30.92% 28.66 -1.902 83.41% -0.415 -0.3559
2 Thematic 470 37.02% 28.3 -0.504 60.64% -0.202 0.1683
2 Top to Top 74 44.59% 27.8 -1.058 81.08% -0.097 0.0268
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 42.57 11.534 85.71% 0.718 -0.0795
3 Coastline 17 47.06% 32.71 -9.4 70.59% -0.505 -1.0546
3 Other 67 32.84% 24.6 -8.354 70.15% -0.771 -1.3084
3 Round (Default) 1513 30.5% 28.23 0.875 79.71% 0.519 0.4258
3 Sunrise 6 83.33% 36.5 11.941 100.0% 0.614 0.7654
3 Thematic 90 44.44% 26.08 -3.666 52.22% -1.138 -1.6561
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 -6.308 60.0% -1.072 -0.6387
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 34 17.65% 26.91 8.877 85.29% 0.248 0.2561
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 9.886 100.0% 0.454 0.3832
4 Thematic 103 20.39% 36.42 7.9 79.61% 0.593 0.7262
4 Trapezoid (Default) 712 24.86% 24.2 -0.35 68.26% 0.503 0.6098
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 9.52% 23.83 -14.957 73.81% -0.624 -1.1389
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 7 71.43% 24.57 -1.873 71.43% -0.051 0.5837
6 Star 7 42.86% 29.43 0.0 85.71%
6 Thematic 46 28.26% 34.0 0.944 52.17% -0.187 0.1362
6 Two Centers (Default) 108 13.89% 24.79 -2.637 70.37% -0.373 -0.4763
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 16.33 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 564 22.84 1.981 61.17% 0.247 0.3505
Aid From Lesser Spirits 498 23.61 -1.333 60.64% -0.3 -0.4444
All Things Weaken 663 21.64 -2.575 55.2% -0.854 -0.4877
Attenuated Essence 54 17.78 -1.477 46.3% -0.028 -0.0292
Back Against the Wall 533 25.27 2.651 64.54% 0.398 0.4631
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 50 17.04 -0.243 42.0% -0.113 0.1222
Burn Brightest Before the End 47 24.36 -1.542 57.45% -0.565 -0.4045
Disintegrating Ecosystem 563 21.0 -1.404 57.37% -0.129 0.2466
Downward Spiral 746 22.13 -1.003 61.53% -0.597 -0.5255
Erosion of Will 636 23.08 -2.126 57.55% -0.509 -0.2523
Intensifying Exploitation 62 21.53 2.384 51.61% 0.751 1.0254
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 324 26.7 -1.611 79.32% -0.016 -0.5023
Memory Fades to Dust 754 22.97 -0.424 60.74% -0.096 0.0873
Power Corrodes the Spirit 696 22.85 1.055 63.51% 0.355 0.5676
Promising Farmlands 580 22.79 2.804 60.34% 0.248 0.5712
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 24.96 2.716 56.25% 0.098 0.268
Slow Dissolution of Will 68 19.43 -0.859 38.24% -0.366 0.0174
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 219 27.92 2.317 84.93% 0.312 -0.3643
The Border of Life and Death 29 21.66 5.872 55.17% 0.941 0.425
Thriving Communities 701 20.75 -4.428 56.78% -1.302 -0.9783
Thriving Crops 20 30.5 6.565 75.0% 0.698 0.6998
Unnatural Proliferation 678 22.31 -0.405 52.21% -0.477 -0.2899
Untended Land Crumbles 648 21.52 -0.469 56.33% -0.271 0.0683

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4541 35.17% 26.7 -0.519 75.53% -0.538 0.3254
B 4403 35.38% 26.67 -0.298 74.77% -0.352 0.4688
C 4617 33.12% 27.26 0.307 76.39% -0.274 0.4242
D 4350 34.57% 26.96 -0.017 75.56% -0.319 0.5374
E 4232 34.57% 27.23 0.42 76.16% -0.172 0.5167
F 4094 34.46% 27.24 -0.117 76.26% -0.419 0.3993
G 3677 35.51% 26.9 0.245 75.66% -0.271 0.6095
H 3645 34.24% 27.41 -0.707 75.88% -0.401 0.3798
East 1448 37.09% 31.26 2.068 66.44% 0.071 0.8637
Northeast 657 36.99% 31.82 -2.097 65.91% -0.829 0.0519
Northwest 547 38.21% 28.66 -1.058 55.94% -0.596 0.275
Southeast 527 34.35% 29.99 2.971 65.09% 0.21 1.0686
Southwest 519 34.3% 26.21 -2.705 61.27% -0.693 0.5158
West 1341 37.73% 27.77 -1.436 59.58% -0.893 0.1675

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 77 0.0% 29.38 10.539 79.22% 0.861 1.5765
Not Using Events or Tokens 423 38.06% 26.18 -3.487 71.87% -0.495 -0.0211
Skip Initial Invader Actions 548 7.21% 40.06 6.587 90.15% 1.186 0.619
Start of Game Growth 865 13.76% 37.45 4.673 86.59% 0.0 -0.6641
Unlimited Undo 1657 28.77% 29.02 -0.095 79.72% -0.039 -0.016
Using Tokens but Not Events 2028 29.87% 27.74 0.932 75.1% -0.012 0.0359

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3609 15.45 13.22%
II 5262 30.45 60.64%
III 10511 34.8 89.44%
IV 5918 38.47 98.95%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.052 Win Model: 0.264
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17997 37.46% 27.48 74.23%
2 4599 37.06% 27.38 76.84%
3 1649 31.57% 28.37 78.84%
4 845 24.02% 25.64 70.06%
5 34 8.82% 23.21 70.59%
6 176 20.45% 27.16 65.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 475
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9141
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2969
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5801
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2233
Lose: Invader deck ran out 153
Lose: Adversary condition 1694
Win: Sacrifice victory 100
Lose: Scenario condition 252
Win: Scenario condition 439
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1904
Lose: Spirit destroyed 139

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1145 32.95% 32.62 2.06 79.21% 0.737 0.5406
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 37 24.32% 30.86 2.79 78.38% 0.872 0.1578
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 664 57.1% 29.52 -2.606 66.42% -0.475 -0.2067
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 62 40.32% 32.98 5.731 77.42% 1.455 0.8874
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 990 30.19% 32.94 1.45 80.0% 0.29 0.1595
Downpour Drenches the World 382 24.61% 23.43 -3.033 54.71% -0.354 -0.0842
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 386 22.02% 25.21 -2.777 61.14% -0.447 -0.8783
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1275 22.94% 37.28 2.903 86.67% 0.522 0.0988
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 977 28.79% 34.96 5.109 83.01% 1.226 0.7804
Finder of Paths Unseen 170 44.71% 17.83 -3.748 40.0% -0.372 0.2851
Fractured Days Split the Sky 394 39.59% 28.92 -5.1 62.69% -0.82 -0.0117
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 626 41.21% 29.84 -0.542 69.33% -0.312 -0.4298
Heart of the Wildfire 1058 60.11% 28.91 -3.09 71.36% -0.399 -0.1121
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1514 38.02% 33.12 1.818 81.37% 0.367 -0.0257
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 77 23.38% 25.91 -3.89 59.74% -1.05 -1.4544
Lightning's Swift Strike 603 46.84% 31.53 1.304 75.95% 0.404 0.6709
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 121 40.5% 27.72 -3.048 61.98% -0.605 -0.9565
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 322 31.99% 34.9 1.962 80.43% 0.535 0.0935
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 259 38.22% 33.07 -2.133 73.75% -0.379 -0.4215
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1249 40.98% 32.46 2.183 77.5% 0.64 0.389
Many Minds Move as One 872 28.26% 34.64 0.147 83.94% 0.249 0.0188
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1171 43.76% 32.56 -0.014 76.52% 0.098 -0.0062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 987 39.05% 31.55 1.704 75.79% 0.646 0.4897
River Surges in Sunlight 859 42.54% 32.91 -0.353 71.36% -0.223 -0.1338
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 20 25.0% 25.25 -0.315 60.0% -0.085 -0.1969
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 374 51.62% 29.78 -2.041 62.3% -0.913 -0.5233
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 168 29.17% 29.83 1.688 66.07% 0.255 0.3928
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 734 41.61% 31.47 -1.46 75.89% -0.24 -0.4333
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 355 63.66% 28.73 -3.506 65.07% -0.586 -0.1
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 41.46% 26.02 6.432 53.66% 0.345 0.4005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 41 31.71% 30.63 2.029 73.17% 0.398 -0.0701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 43.75% 24.06 -0.522 58.33% 0.051 0.2663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 264 43.51% 29.17 -2.149 68.56% -0.644 -0.6152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 178 58.76% 31.99 -7.164 70.79% -0.985 -0.8133
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 860 40.28% 33.99 2.903 81.74% 0.715 0.5625
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 102 26.73% 24.23 1.152 57.84% 0.387 0.188
Shifting Memory of Ages 559 48.3% 26.64 0.384 62.61% 0.173 0.6225
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 34 47.06% 26.21 0.132 52.94% -0.057 -0.3616
Shroud of Silent Mist 563 60.32% 26.62 -2.187 63.77% -0.243 0.0932
Starlight Seeks its Form 769 29.13% 33.14 -2.418 78.41% -0.444 -0.499
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1831 32.8% 31.92 2.008 83.62% 0.903 0.2805
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 747 48.18% 28.48 -1.037 65.86% -0.275 -0.0812
Thunderspeaker 905 40.99% 33.21 0.664 74.81% 0.049 -0.0046
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 74 31.08% 22.84 -4.216 51.35% -0.31 -0.1763
Towering Roots of the Jungle 88 46.59% 24.13 -0.277 62.5% 0.295 0.3042
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1208 73.07% 25.94 -2.521 67.8% -0.279 -0.1959
Vital Strength of the Earth 564 42.91% 27.82 -2.481 65.25% -0.429 0.1652
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 93 21.51% 22.84 -5.187 43.01% -0.677 -0.2372
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 240 46.67% 26.12 -4.207 58.33% -0.815 -0.1236
Volcano Looming High 862 42.36% 29.54 1.908 72.97% 0.631 0.7345
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 17.73% 31.6 2.048 75.89% 0.51 0.2579

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 17.86% 26.86 -3.443 64.29% -0.317 -0.5368
Blitz 0 346 37.39% 23.68 -6.659 54.91% -1.267 -0.9802
Dahan Insurrection 4 323 26.01% 53.06 9.093 75.85% -0.279 -0.3939
Despicable Theft 2 104 42.31% 27.12 0.332 50.96% -0.113 0.6258
Elemental Invocation 1 169 50.89% 22.38 -0.817 42.01% -0.13 0.626
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 577 11.89% 32.74 1.011 62.74% -0.508 -1.09
Powers Long Forgotten 1 206 52.91% 27.07 0.494 50.49% -0.229 0.6249
Rituals of Terror 3 138 50.72% 40.57 8.207 63.04% 0.005 -0.1654
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 111 64.86% 37.58 -10.886 61.26% -0.585 0.3254
Second Wave 0 1131 47.92% 31.92 -0.673 67.9% -0.576 -0.497
The Great River 3 100 45.0% 26.55 -7.649 36.0% -1.149 0.2146
Varied Terrains 2 75 41.33% 22.37 -4.245 44.0% -1.131 -0.2516
Ward the Shores 2 235 45.96% 29.8 -2.044 51.06% -1.028 -0.0467

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11506 40.31% 31.09 -0.049 74.4% 0.177 0.5212
1 Thematic 1386 47.52% 31.7 2.044 60.17% 0.199 0.7266
2 Archipelago 12 41.67% 36.42 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2684 44.23% 29.55 0.084 74.81% 0.136 0.4201
2 Coastline 329 45.73% 30.82 3.38 76.6% 0.813 0.8421
2 Fragment 80 63.75% 26.94 0.895 68.75% 0.268 0.0304
2 Heart 53 50.94% 31.49 7.589 77.36% 0.485 0.3374
2 Opposite Shores 492 39.75% 30.02 -0.823 75.61% -0.18 -0.1213
2 Thematic 553 41.67% 26.6 -5.106 51.18% -1.137 -0.7673
2 Top to Top 59 37.29% 28.93 -0.527 74.58% -0.143 -0.0199
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 16 43.75% 28.19 0.0 56.25%
3 Other 55 38.18% 33.89 3.983 87.27% 0.75 0.2126
3 Round (Default) 1179 35.46% 32.42 0.155 78.97% -0.181 -0.2739
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 32.8 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 107 43.93% 32.95 4.482 66.36% 0.52 0.002
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 24 58.33% 32.79 0.0 83.33%
4 Thematic 103 30.39% 40.53 -5.473 74.76% -0.651 -0.518
4 Trapezoid (Default) 376 39.47% 31.97 0.206 80.59% -0.327 -0.2202
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 47 27.66% 32.38 -2.999 80.85% 0.338 -0.1764
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 33.71 -15.578 71.43% -0.821 -0.1864
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 27 25.93% 41.85 10.626 85.19% 0.164 0.4867
6 Two Centers (Default) 43 30.23% 27.23 -13.577 65.12% -0.697 -0.8003
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 11.566 100.0% 0.035 0.6264

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 522 26.63 3.009 60.73% 0.702 0.8057
Aid From Lesser Spirits 418 27.16 -2.635 61.48% -0.615 -0.7594
All Things Weaken 579 25.86 -0.124 56.48% -0.19 0.1762
Attenuated Essence 54 23.28 -1.86 55.56% -0.339 -0.3407
Back Against the Wall 428 28.32 0.966 64.02% 0.044 0.1094
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 52 21.37 0.478 42.31% -0.127 0.1076
Burn Brightest Before the End 50 25.46 -0.854 54.0% -0.316 -0.156
Disintegrating Ecosystem 520 24.25 0.52 55.19% 0.346 0.7217
Downward Spiral 648 25.07 -0.894 58.95% -0.147 -0.0746
Erosion of Will 458 25.89 -0.132 60.04% -0.055 0.2019
Intensifying Exploitation 66 21.8 -4.512 48.48% -0.676 -0.4024
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 307 31.89 4.189 79.8% 0.992 0.5052
Memory Fades to Dust 601 24.79 0.607 57.57% -0.232 -0.0493
Power Corrodes the Spirit 581 26.28 -1.004 60.59% -0.376 -0.1631
Promising Farmlands 490 23.99 -0.469 53.06% -0.221 0.1024
Shattered Fragments of Power 58 22.03 -3.56 46.55% -0.78 -0.61
Slow Dissolution of Will 50 25.92 -1.046 54.0% -0.073 0.3112
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 197 31.52 7.824 82.23% 1.434 0.7577
The Border of Life and Death 25 30.52 1.034 76.0% 0.232 -0.2844
Thriving Communities 608 23.57 -1.786 53.78% -0.631 -0.3065
Thriving Crops 25 19.08 5.276 40.0% 0.262 0.2634
Unnatural Proliferation 590 26.44 -0.832 58.31% -0.096 0.0909
Untended Land Crumbles 557 25.04 -1.599 58.17% -0.704 -0.3647

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3237 41.35% 30.83 1.803 76.12% 0.425 1.2878
B 3366 39.76% 31.2 0.709 76.02% -0.133 0.6877
C 3620 39.29% 31.06 0.252 76.46% -0.141 0.5566
D 3181 40.95% 31.03 -0.491 75.35% -0.438 0.4177
E 3148 40.11% 31.33 -0.262 76.52% -0.462 0.2261
F 3031 39.73% 30.51 -1.193 74.69% -0.592 0.2256
G 2712 42.7% 30.18 -0.865 72.9% -0.425 0.4559
H 2695 41.36% 31.3 0.045 76.47% -0.272 0.5083
East 1364 42.49% 32.22 4.691 60.41% 0.378 1.1709
Northeast 649 39.35% 30.77 -4.196 56.86% -1.197 -0.3166
Northwest 573 41.42% 30.25 -1.264 57.59% -0.069 0.802
Southeast 471 43.8% 33.71 -0.138 67.52% -0.155 0.7038
Southwest 465 45.14% 27.06 -1.522 57.2% -0.436 0.7731
West 1302 44.96% 29.31 -0.591 56.84% -0.658 0.4026

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 62 0.0% 34.32 0.0 83.87%
Not Using Events or Tokens 192 46.49% 26.44 -3.888 57.81% -0.524 -0.0501
Skip Initial Invader Actions 340 8.93% 44.99 3.209 90.59% 0.253 -0.3146
Start of Game Growth 498 12.17% 42.85 1.323 88.15% 0.258 -0.406
Unlimited Undo 1422 34.4% 31.1 0.208 75.81% 0.046 0.0689
Using Tokens but Not Events 1611 29.5% 32.19 0.808 75.17% 0.233 0.2807

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2908 15.45 13.27%
II 6840 30.45 70.85%
III 6767 34.8 91.03%
IV 2670 38.47 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.315 Win Model: 0.336
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13094 41.16% 30.97 72.22%
2 4131 43.71% 29.92 74.0%
3 1328 36.6% 32.23 77.64%
4 516 37.35% 34.33 80.81%
5 37 37.84% 29.51 75.68%
6 79 27.85% 33.1 73.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 382
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6010
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4565
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2638
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1633
Lose: Invader deck ran out 94
Lose: Adversary condition 1545
Win: Sacrifice victory 87
Lose: Scenario condition 196
Win: Scenario condition 365
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1570
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1325 41.04% 37.7 -0.209 72.68% 0.228 0.0315
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 26 30.77% 36.81 5.106 76.92% 1.36 0.6454
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 729 70.05% 30.08 -4.04 50.34% -1.441 -1.1729
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 107 44.86% 35.51 3.053 68.22% 0.58 0.0121
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1109 46.88% 37.57 -3.095 74.12% -0.285 -0.4163
Downpour Drenches the World 349 40.06% 31.11 -2.0 59.6% -0.096 0.174
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 523 39.77% 30.64 1.472 60.23% 0.532 0.1006
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1399 38.68% 40.78 3.604 79.2% 0.903 0.4797
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1122 49.73% 36.93 0.515 71.3% 0.312 -0.133
Finder of Paths Unseen 180 55.0% 23.38 -3.517 42.22% -0.584 0.0732
Fractured Days Split the Sky 522 51.83% 31.91 -6.248 51.53% -0.931 -0.1227
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 606 61.49% 33.41 0.422 62.87% 0.339 0.2213
Heart of the Wildfire 1600 73.94% 30.87 -1.097 56.69% -0.03 0.257
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2036 48.86% 37.01 -0.889 69.89% 0.06 -0.3326
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 107 45.79% 32.03 3.162 61.68% 0.747 0.3422
Lightning's Swift Strike 714 61.41% 36.37 1.89 68.63% 0.611 0.8783
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 152 57.89% 32.75 -1.321 63.16% 0.209 -0.1421
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 320 58.13% 37.52 -2.535 70.63% -0.198 -0.6387
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 287 55.24% 34.01 1.66 60.28% 0.225 0.1817
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1649 58.66% 34.34 -0.354 63.86% 0.032 -0.2183
Many Minds Move as One 947 38.41% 38.91 -1.249 77.82% -0.128 -0.3587
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1537 55.76% 35.75 -0.483 66.49% 0.058 -0.0459
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1161 51.91% 35.64 1.811 68.48% 0.47 0.3136
River Surges in Sunlight 1140 54.59% 38.62 -0.697 67.46% -0.532 -0.4432
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 50.0% 21.89 -2.666 38.89% -0.454 -0.5656
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 402 58.35% 32.6 -4.744 53.23% -1.013 -0.623
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 211 48.1% 33.27 -1.622 58.29% -0.562 -0.4242
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1180 54.71% 35.43 1.838 67.37% 0.608 0.4142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 326 76.07% 31.29 -8.03 53.07% -0.973 -0.4875
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 56.25% 25.0 -2.841 41.67% -0.189 -0.1331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 87 54.02% 33.54 3.245 60.92% 0.504 0.0357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 60.0% 20.2 -1.974 32.73% -0.357 -0.1417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 225 68.0% 30.35 -6.83 53.33% -0.476 -0.447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 155 65.81% 27.56 1.862 43.87% 0.264 0.436
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1061 48.25% 37.7 -0.103 72.2% 0.171 0.0184
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 125 39.2% 28.75 -4.546 54.4% -0.53 -0.7292
Shifting Memory of Ages 618 65.26% 29.5 -4.202 54.53% -0.966 -0.5173
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 29 44.83% 24.76 -0.576 55.17% 0.555 0.2507
Shroud of Silent Mist 634 74.76% 26.49 -0.977 44.32% -0.024 0.3117
Starlight Seeks its Form 753 53.23% 32.14 -1.457 58.96% -0.224 -0.2787
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2664 39.63% 37.39 6.332 79.54% 1.959 1.3356
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 777 61.37% 32.8 -1.26 59.97% -0.227 -0.0333
Thunderspeaker 941 54.36% 35.57 -1.054 63.66% -0.157 -0.2105
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 70 30.0% 23.77 -4.091 41.43% -0.111 0.0231
Towering Roots of the Jungle 81 60.49% 29.43 1.033 54.32% 0.233 0.2428
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1598 82.6% 29.43 -1.416 56.7% 0.281 0.3634
Vital Strength of the Earth 527 58.37% 31.2 -0.61 55.03% 0.288 0.8828
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 117 45.3% 25.97 -10.96 43.59% -0.961 -0.5217
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 270 53.33% 27.25 -4.69 47.41% -0.331 0.36
Volcano Looming High 1124 65.45% 31.6 -2.126 61.3% -0.064 0.0399
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 227 47.35% 30.59 -1.053 59.03% 0.004 -0.2486

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 30.43% 26.0 -12.22 47.83% -0.538 -0.7579
Blitz 0 366 47.53% 31.75 -1.767 54.1% 0.004 0.291
Dahan Insurrection 4 232 38.79% 54.46 3.854 69.4% 0.084 -0.0309
Despicable Theft 2 66 56.06% 27.39 -7.238 37.88% -0.688 0.0506
Elemental Invocation 1 115 66.09% 25.55 -6.987 39.13% -0.364 0.3917
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 928 13.58% 42.69 8.475 71.34% 1.064 0.4822
Powers Long Forgotten 1 133 61.65% 33.5 -2.507 49.62% -0.331 0.523
Rituals of Terror 3 67 64.18% 38.99 -11.31 52.24% -0.553 -0.7227
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 54 68.52% 36.76 -2.312 46.3% -0.316 0.5947
Second Wave 0 719 57.12% 35.33 2.003 58.41% 0.107 0.1865
The Great River 3 52 19.23% 23.13 -8.88 15.38% -0.288 1.0756
Varied Terrains 2 48 56.25% 15.9 -5.532 12.5% -0.856 0.0238
Ward the Shores 2 144 61.81% 32.08 -7.037 40.97% -0.664 0.3179

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13896 54.93% 34.12 0.074 64.92% -0.022 0.3217
1 Thematic 997 54.23% 35.41 1.73 53.66% -0.036 0.4917
2 Archipelago 23 69.57% 30.13 0.0 34.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3311 56.69% 33.22 -0.813 64.24% 0.028 0.3119
2 Coastline 390 52.05% 36.16 5.412 71.28% 1.415 1.4439
2 Fragment 96 62.11% 32.21 -3.573 59.38% -0.238 -0.4753
2 Heart 51 60.0% 30.2 11.467 54.9% 0.356 0.2086
2 Opposite Shores 727 55.12% 33.87 -1.313 64.79% 0.305 0.3637
2 Thematic 402 57.96% 31.15 1.225 47.26% 0.095 0.4648
2 Top to Top 103 49.5% 36.17 -8.963 70.87% -0.822 -0.6985
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 28.44 -8.221 33.33% -0.73 -1.5274
3 Coastline 14 28.57% 37.5 -8.88 71.43% -0.288 -0.837
3 Other 75 57.33% 34.15 -3.213 66.67% -0.078 -0.6153
3 Round (Default) 1448 56.44% 34.33 1.36 65.95% 0.628 0.5351
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 64 65.63% 39.14 4.46 67.19% 0.374 -0.1439
4 Archipelago 10 90.0% 34.2 -9.115 40.0% -0.095 0.3384
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 64 62.5% 31.44 -5.352 59.38% -1.05 -1.0423
4 Thematic 168 45.83% 45.08 -1.965 75.6% -0.254 -0.1205
4 Trapezoid (Default) 581 49.57% 38.77 -3.064 77.28% -0.447 -0.3403
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 47 45.65% 34.79 2.22 70.21% 0.328 -0.1863
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 31.0 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.5 13.128 50.0% 0.482 -0.2479
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 10 70.0% 39.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 39 36.84% 37.69 -5.141 61.54% -0.093 0.23
6 Two Centers (Default) 49 24.49% 26.39 3.436 48.98% 0.148 0.0444
7 Other 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 869 30.97 -1.021 53.28% -0.496 -0.392
Aid From Lesser Spirits 670 33.85 1.469 60.15% -0.041 -0.1855
All Things Weaken 955 30.42 -0.326 53.82% -0.462 -0.0955
Attenuated Essence 96 27.14 -1.417 43.75% -0.366 -0.3674
Back Against the Wall 685 32.47 5.198 57.37% 0.775 0.8401
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 125 28.06 1.384 49.6% 0.272 0.5072
Burn Brightest Before the End 84 31.81 -2.864 54.76% -0.62 -0.4591
Disintegrating Ecosystem 791 28.73 0.28 53.86% -0.022 0.3543
Downward Spiral 966 29.53 0.093 53.21% 0.143 0.2146
Erosion of Will 811 29.6 -0.859 50.8% -0.2 0.0566
Intensifying Exploitation 103 25.06 -4.017 43.69% -0.893 -0.6185
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 400 36.66 1.592 72.75% 0.291 -0.1953
Memory Fades to Dust 914 30.39 0.572 55.58% 0.23 0.4125
Power Corrodes the Spirit 864 30.45 -2.987 54.98% -0.431 -0.2186
Promising Farmlands 754 28.46 -1.902 50.93% -0.231 0.0915
Shattered Fragments of Power 80 29.16 1.732 46.25% 0.017 0.1877
Slow Dissolution of Will 91 27.47 -1.963 43.96% -0.802 -0.4179
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 257 37.83 0.178 75.88% -0.042 -0.7184
The Border of Life and Death 35 26.26 1.804 40.0% -0.169 -0.6853
Thriving Communities 924 27.65 2.754 47.94% 0.407 0.7311
Thriving Crops 51 27.24 -0.177 52.94% -0.036 -0.0345
Unnatural Proliferation 941 31.45 -0.644 54.84% -0.447 -0.2606
Untended Land Crumbles 936 29.07 -1.43 51.39% -0.522 -0.1834

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4197 55.6% 33.39 -0.255 63.66% 0.022 0.8853
B 4275 56.03% 33.97 -0.245 64.8% -0.065 0.7567
C 4744 53.06% 35.03 0.41 68.13% -0.087 0.6113
D 3900 57.0% 33.6 -0.023 64.49% 0.089 0.9449
E 4031 54.13% 34.5 -1.315 66.31% -0.144 0.5444
F 3773 54.83% 34.48 0.548 65.89% 0.005 0.8225
G 3254 55.41% 34.31 -0.761 65.49% -0.159 0.721
H 3167 52.33% 34.64 0.364 66.25% 0.054 0.8348
East 1066 53.67% 36.64 -1.495 57.04% -0.179 0.6134
Northeast 522 52.78% 35.11 -2.498 52.68% -0.465 0.4161
Northwest 502 51.0% 35.01 -1.276 53.98% -0.099 0.7721
Southeast 365 52.07% 38.67 5.99 64.11% 0.778 1.6369
Southwest 334 49.7% 34.54 -1.729 57.19% -0.153 1.0561
West 1030 52.68% 35.63 -0.257 55.53% -0.178 0.8826

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 36.49 -0.021 68.92% -0.138 0.578
Not Using Events or Tokens 79 48.61% 34.14 21.711 63.29% 0.534 1.0081
Skip Initial Invader Actions 339 17.52% 52.01 3.477 85.55% 0.069 -0.4985
Start of Game Growth 553 23.3% 47.48 -0.31 81.01% 0.018 -0.6463
Unlimited Undo 1865 45.32% 34.85 0.601 65.68% 0.177 0.2
Using Tokens but Not Events 1833 46.21% 34.18 -0.335 64.81% 0.012 0.0598

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4836 15.45 7.53%
II 9824 30.45 66.86%
III 5573 34.8 94.6%
IV 2379 38.47 99.75%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.289 Win Model: -0.311
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 15011 54.82% 34.17 64.04%
2 5045 56.49% 33.52 63.73%
3 1603 56.41% 34.42 66.0%
4 810 50.25% 39.66 75.68%
5 38 45.95% 26.97 52.63%
6 105 32.69% 32.63 55.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 362
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5209
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6352
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2346
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1890
Lose: Invader deck ran out 68
Lose: Adversary condition 3135
Win: Sacrifice victory 89
Lose: Scenario condition 241
Win: Scenario condition 219
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2514
Lose: Spirit destroyed 187

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1497 51.34% 37.29 2.473 63.86% 0.458 0.2614
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 57 63.16% 36.72 3.682 64.91% 0.967 0.2524
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 767 75.82% 30.83 -7.66 45.37% -1.391 -1.1228
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 52.76% 38.84 7.113 69.29% 1.205 0.638
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1166 61.55% 36.09 3.175 62.86% 0.57 0.4386
Downpour Drenches the World 516 52.52% 27.54 -0.122 42.05% -0.194 0.0753
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 694 49.42% 32.88 -0.484 56.34% -0.185 -0.6169
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1658 46.74% 40.07 1.363 70.99% 0.396 -0.027
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1154 55.99% 37.65 1.54 63.34% 0.215 -0.23
Finder of Paths Unseen 190 56.32% 23.99 -3.38 35.26% -0.421 0.2362
Fractured Days Split the Sky 548 52.01% 32.0 -4.584 47.45% -0.623 0.1849
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 744 67.07% 33.41 0.243 55.78% 0.05 -0.0676
Heart of the Wildfire 1503 76.72% 31.38 -3.416 50.3% -0.625 -0.3376
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2703 54.91% 36.84 1.939 59.49% -0.171 -0.5637
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 136 45.59% 31.44 1.03 52.21% 0.107 -0.2977
Lightning's Swift Strike 828 72.52% 34.31 -1.709 53.26% -0.798 -0.5306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 233 65.67% 37.7 4.579 64.38% 0.432 0.0804
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 367 60.16% 37.26 2.471 63.22% -0.009 -0.4498
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 322 59.63% 36.77 5.326 59.63% 0.679 0.6357
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1922 69.72% 32.81 -0.201 53.17% -0.132 -0.3828
Many Minds Move as One 1010 47.92% 41.25 1.562 74.06% 0.648 0.4174
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1916 58.19% 38.16 3.35 61.69% 0.401 0.2966
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1231 60.96% 35.23 0.844 59.71% 0.193 0.0371
River Surges in Sunlight 1419 58.77% 40.53 4.797 65.19% 0.459 0.5482
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 68.0% 32.2 0.967 60.0% 0.246 0.1345
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 440 65.98% 31.87 -0.042 47.5% -0.165 0.2249
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 302 50.83% 36.44 -3.239 51.99% -0.669 -0.5311
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1200 60.32% 34.79 -1.782 58.67% -0.551 -0.7447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 254 77.17% 29.28 -2.328 37.01% -0.533 -0.0472
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 64.86% 24.08 1.024 35.14% 0.083 0.1384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 108 62.96% 29.86 3.629 50.93% 0.28 -0.1888
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 61 70.49% 32.41 4.083 44.26% 0.316 0.5316
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 187 78.07% 31.12 1.73 47.59% 0.241 0.27
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 136 76.3% 26.73 -3.48 33.82% -0.247 -0.0748
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1138 56.12% 37.67 -1.714 64.59% 0.039 -0.1132
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 203 53.2% 30.89 1.141 49.75% 0.519 0.3204
Shifting Memory of Ages 565 69.63% 28.39 -3.924 45.49% -0.451 -0.0021
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 38 52.63% 37.82 4.223 73.68% 0.98 0.6753
Shroud of Silent Mist 675 75.33% 25.35 -2.303 35.85% -0.056 0.28
Starlight Seeks its Form 983 53.21% 32.73 -1.445 53.2% -0.206 -0.261
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3362 50.34% 36.42 0.769 68.5% 0.304 -0.3194
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 788 68.62% 33.21 -2.71 50.0% -0.304 -0.11
Thunderspeaker 1025 64.03% 35.4 -3.143 56.49% -0.466 -0.5199
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 72 58.33% 30.26 5.822 52.78% 1.086 1.2198
Towering Roots of the Jungle 102 60.78% 25.71 -1.206 43.14% -0.155 -0.1459
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1908 86.29% 29.32 -1.888 47.54% -0.054 0.0293
Vital Strength of the Earth 562 68.68% 26.81 -4.161 32.21% -0.807 -0.2126
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 160 52.2% 27.49 -4.07 40.0% -1.126 -0.6872
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 233 67.38% 29.91 -2.31 45.06% 0.066 0.7571
Volcano Looming High 1369 71.44% 32.6 -0.204 55.59% 0.22 0.323
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 276 58.33% 28.54 -3.739 48.91% -0.526 -0.7787

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 44.44% 43.56 -6.074 66.67% -0.235 -0.4557
Blitz 0 372 33.6% 43.45 4.622 49.46% -0.396 -0.1095
Dahan Insurrection 4 211 45.02% 57.57 23.33 63.98% 1.032 0.9173
Despicable Theft 2 19 57.89% 31.16 0.0 42.11%
Elemental Invocation 1 143 64.34% 28.62 -4.118 31.47% -0.632 0.124
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 916 18.61% 44.34 4.259 66.05% 0.609 0.0271
Powers Long Forgotten 1 131 61.07% 27.16 -7.326 33.59% -0.982 -0.1282
Rituals of Terror 3 62 64.52% 39.47 0.0 43.55%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 56 69.64% 28.88 -10.952 28.57% -0.642 0.269
Second Wave 0 407 55.2% 36.05 3.172 53.32% 0.289 0.3681
The Great River 3 58 31.03% 34.71 0.0 32.76%
Varied Terrains 2 23 30.43% 23.83 -1.551 21.74% -0.283 0.5964
Ward the Shores 2 89 62.92% 27.07 -1.704 23.6% -0.321 0.6604

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 16275 62.02% 34.13 -0.362 57.51% 0.127 0.4707
1 Thematic 1014 60.45% 34.89 -3.148 45.46% -0.454 0.0734
2 Archipelago 26 76.92% 43.31 22.596 65.38% 0.722 1.2213
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3792 64.75% 33.86 -0.091 57.65% 0.171 0.4557
2 Coastline 431 61.86% 38.72 5.533 68.21% 0.838 0.8671
2 Fragment 86 69.05% 32.12 -0.466 52.33% 0.042 -0.1953
2 Heart 46 74.42% 36.65 -1.231 65.22% -0.063 -0.2103
2 Opposite Shores 877 60.23% 34.41 4.665 53.25% 0.672 0.7316
2 Thematic 327 66.77% 32.56 -0.099 38.53% -0.137 0.2335
2 Top to Top 127 53.54% 36.88 9.124 63.78% 0.306 0.4296
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 73 53.42% 38.51 -1.647 73.97% -0.101 -0.6382
3 Round (Default) 1818 59.87% 33.42 -2.43 54.57% -0.173 -0.2662
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 72 63.89% 36.11 4.402 44.44% 0.331 -0.1873
4 Archipelago 11 54.55% 49.18 0.0 72.73%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 14 85.71% 37.79 -7.867 64.29% -0.881 -1.0919
4 Other 44 58.14% 34.32 -8.782 63.64% -0.535 -0.527
4 Thematic 135 51.85% 43.51 -2.297 56.3% -0.713 -0.5796
4 Trapezoid (Default) 726 54.63% 36.76 1.727 62.81% -0.097 0.0099
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 9.267 0.0% 0.141 0.3095
5 Other 51 50.0% 39.49 -10.435 70.59% -0.566 -1.0811
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 57.0 6.649 100.0% 0.116 -0.6134
6 Other 13 50.0% 40.15 -16.013 53.85% -0.683 -0.0478
6 Star 10 60.0% 38.8 6.402 80.0% 0.248 0.493
6 Thematic 15 40.0% 45.67 3.081 80.0% 0.156 0.479
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 46.88% 35.34 13.033 65.63% 0.514 0.4104

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1048 31.16 5.635 47.61% 0.956 1.0592
Aid From Lesser Spirits 924 34.57 3.922 55.74% 0.545 0.4005
All Things Weaken 1191 31.04 -2.26 47.19% -0.716 -0.3496
Attenuated Essence 159 31.92 2.917 50.31% 0.316 0.3147
Back Against the Wall 829 32.87 3.629 50.9% 0.494 0.5588
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 164 26.76 -2.561 39.63% -0.555 -0.3197
Burn Brightest Before the End 123 28.47 0.702 39.02% -0.225 -0.0645
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1011 28.73 -0.158 45.0% 0.032 0.4077
Downward Spiral 1242 30.81 1.667 50.4% 0.162 0.234
Erosion of Will 1094 29.88 0.345 44.52% -0.073 0.1839
Intensifying Exploitation 144 24.88 -3.489 33.33% -0.944 -0.6703
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 519 36.53 11.235 63.01% 1.719 1.2324
Memory Fades to Dust 1183 30.73 2.808 47.25% 0.585 0.7684
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1238 29.68 0.659 45.72% -0.239 -0.0258
Promising Farmlands 1033 29.45 -0.028 45.11% -0.207 0.1159
Shattered Fragments of Power 117 31.71 3.464 43.59% 0.174 0.3447
Slow Dissolution of Will 159 26.47 2.233 35.85% 0.152 0.5355
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 323 39.09 5.182 72.14% 0.853 0.1764
The Border of Life and Death 38 33.08 1.69 55.26% -0.016 -0.532
Thriving Communities 1083 28.24 0.05 41.18% -0.487 -0.1628
Thriving Crops 75 26.72 -3.926 46.67% -0.433 -0.4317
Unnatural Proliferation 1206 30.78 2.527 44.53% 0.487 0.6739
Untended Land Crumbles 1191 29.9 -0.511 46.1% -0.121 0.2181

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4985 60.86% 34.35 0.664 57.57% -0.097 0.7663
B 4973 60.26% 34.24 1.133 57.69% 0.027 0.8484
C 5587 61.53% 34.14 -0.977 56.63% -0.556 0.1422
D 4625 61.5% 34.13 -1.233 57.71% -0.401 0.4555
E 4658 62.72% 34.72 1.213 58.5% -0.208 0.4799
F 4269 61.08% 34.63 -0.349 58.54% -0.339 0.4787
G 3749 61.52% 34.69 -0.536 58.58% -0.47 0.4102
H 3789 61.82% 35.04 0.059 59.2% -0.271 0.5095
East 1044 60.65% 36.96 -0.235 47.61% 0.041 0.8334
Northeast 452 60.98% 37.37 0.156 45.13% -0.75 0.1305
Northwest 379 60.58% 35.85 1.463 43.01% 0.062 0.9335
Southeast 356 57.3% 35.33 0.81 47.47% -0.14 0.719
Southwest 315 58.41% 30.51 2.977 40.63% -0.157 1.0525
West 884 60.54% 33.93 -1.81 42.31% -0.705 0.3551

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 46 0.0% 38.91 -5.973 67.39% -0.141 0.5744
Not Using Events or Tokens 101 63.37% 36.63 12.005 50.5% 0.464 0.9378
Skip Initial Invader Actions 674 13.57% 56.13 7.137 78.34% 0.29 -0.2777
Start of Game Growth 911 16.82% 52.9 7.216 78.59% 0.774 0.1093
Unlimited Undo 2152 51.32% 36.91 1.365 60.87% -0.185 -0.1617
Using Tokens but Not Events 1668 50.74% 34.6 -0.121 58.39% -0.012 0.036

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6455 15.45 4.03%
II 10694 30.45 58.62%
III 7149 34.8 91.64%
IV 1757 38.47 99.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.209 Win Model: 0.293
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17406 61.89% 34.15 56.67%
2 5654 64.02% 34.49 57.36%
3 1961 59.79% 33.74 55.02%
4 922 54.58% 37.67 61.82%
5 40 51.28% 34.17 57.5%
6 72 46.48% 39.9 70.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 259
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6109
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1739
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2114
Lose: Invader deck ran out 199
Lose: Adversary condition 5041
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 267
Win: Scenario condition 155
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3364
Lose: Spirit destroyed 240

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 820 68.62% 40.41 -5.417 56.95% -0.963 -1.1594
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 32 68.75% 43.06 6.211 62.5% 0.997 0.2828
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 423 87.23% 31.44 -6.585 34.75% -0.371 -0.1021
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 79 70.89% 29.58 0.708 37.97% 0.174 -0.3935
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 673 85.59% 31.84 3.193 37.44% 0.375 0.2444
Downpour Drenches the World 280 61.07% 28.24 -2.507 34.29% -0.523 -0.2534
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 381 72.7% 32.46 -0.973 45.14% -0.209 -0.641
Eyes Watch From the Trees 873 69.54% 41.89 4.165 57.39% 0.69 0.2667
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 815 74.2% 39.38 1.405 52.02% 0.087 -0.3578
Finder of Paths Unseen 124 55.65% 29.93 -3.394 41.13% -0.72 -0.0629
Fractured Days Split the Sky 381 70.08% 37.11 -4.998 43.57% -0.859 -0.0512
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 377 81.96% 31.61 1.193 38.73% -0.068 -0.1859
Heart of the Wildfire 1891 82.56% 34.38 -2.742 43.89% -0.055 0.2326
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1424 73.87% 37.46 -0.528 47.89% 0.373 -0.0201
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 70 65.71% 28.83 -0.808 35.71% -0.188 -0.5928
Lightning's Swift Strike 294 90.41% 30.38 -1.514 31.97% -0.469 -0.2015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 203 73.27% 43.46 7.955 55.17% 0.948 0.5966
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 217 90.78% 38.89 -3.135 50.23% -0.075 -0.5158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 112 83.04% 36.96 -3.417 47.32% -0.369 -0.4115
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1435 76.01% 37.63 -1.622 49.2% -0.505 -0.7561
Many Minds Move as One 582 59.62% 43.88 0.43 65.64% 0.416 0.186
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 742 79.03% 32.03 -4.744 35.85% -0.742 -0.8457
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 720 83.17% 35.49 -1.149 45.69% -0.646 -0.8022
River Surges in Sunlight 790 79.87% 40.05 0.231 49.24% -0.45 -0.3613
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 14 71.43% 29.57 0.097 35.71% -0.131 -0.2431
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 186 81.72% 29.28 -5.481 27.42% -0.633 -0.2428
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 140 63.57% 41.29 20.415 55.71% 0.633 0.7709
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 684 77.19% 39.8 5.295 54.82% 0.359 0.1652
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 181 76.24% 26.1 0.0 23.76%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 76.0% 38.76 13.724 48.0% 0.552 0.6073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 97 76.29% 39.11 10.46 53.61% 1.494 1.0253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 70.59% 33.09 0.0 47.06%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 139 86.33% 36.98 -18.615 46.76% -0.496 -0.4672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 117 87.18% 34.24 -16.591 42.74% -0.687 -0.5152
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 493 71.4% 38.47 0.22 48.88% 0.691 0.5383
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 109 59.63% 38.85 -0.352 53.21% -0.343 -0.542
Shifting Memory of Ages 441 82.73% 32.28 -5.241 39.91% -0.761 -0.3123
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 29 89.66% 40.48 4.984 55.17% 0.709 0.4045
Shroud of Silent Mist 365 84.11% 31.1 -0.994 38.63% 0.349 0.6853
Starlight Seeks its Form 732 73.5% 37.71 1.752 52.46% 0.121 0.0662
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2875 58.5% 41.38 2.714 64.9% 0.974 0.3514
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 559 80.65% 34.49 1.762 40.79% 0.613 0.807
Thunderspeaker 501 83.83% 36.61 2.494 44.71% 0.102 0.0482
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 57 71.93% 20.19 -4.343 21.05% -0.375 -0.2414
Towering Roots of the Jungle 134 61.94% 23.67 -1.557 28.36% -0.241 -0.2318
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2096 91.17% 33.18 -2.825 42.13% -0.752 -0.6694
Vital Strength of the Earth 246 82.11% 28.4 -4.94 23.58% -0.687 -0.0921
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 91 68.89% 31.33 3.453 34.07% 0.35 0.7892
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 132 84.85% 29.61 3.129 28.03% 0.269 0.9598
Volcano Looming High 990 86.06% 31.63 1.752 39.19% 0.496 0.5999
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 192 70.31% 33.3 1.107 50.52% 0.62 0.368

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 25.0% 24.13 6.71 37.5% 0.251 0.0307
Blitz 0 102 61.76% 35.18 -0.062 45.1% 0.065 0.3521
Dahan Insurrection 4 55 67.27% 49.78 -6.738 36.36% -0.516 -0.631
Despicable Theft 2 31 61.29% 26.06 3.578 22.58% 0.258 0.9968
Elemental Invocation 1 55 63.64% 28.95 2.698 23.64% 0.489 1.245
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 588 26.19% 49.22 10.705 60.88% 1.345 0.7631
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 69.81% 27.11 -8.741 24.53% -0.446 0.4072
Rituals of Terror 3 30 56.67% 46.7 -13.118 50.0% -0.536 -0.7066
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 92.86% 37.18 -6.683 28.57% -0.69 0.2206
Second Wave 0 261 68.73% 38.06 -2.42 44.06% -0.202 -0.1223
The Great River 3 15 40.0% 28.53 -8.916 6.67% -0.048 1.3156
Varied Terrains 2 16 68.75% 26.31 -0.262 25.0% -0.147 0.7321
Ward the Shores 2 54 77.78% 27.26 -5.798 18.52% -0.831 0.1502

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11235 76.58% 36.27 -0.02 48.65% 0.096 0.44
1 Thematic 395 65.57% 34.49 -6.333 36.71% -0.472 0.0557
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2598 79.41% 35.82 2.826 47.61% 0.368 0.6527
2 Coastline 297 79.8% 36.75 -0.849 49.16% -0.258 -0.2285
2 Fragment 47 76.6% 36.72 -4.167 48.94% -0.154 -0.3917
2 Heart 33 87.88% 38.33 20.4 57.58% 0.613 0.4657
2 Opposite Shores 480 77.24% 34.6 -2.015 42.08% -0.847 -0.7876
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 179 79.89% 35.37 7.396 33.52% 0.904 1.274
2 Top to Top 115 92.17% 35.0 4.623 42.61% 0.034 0.1569
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 46 78.26% 44.98 0.0 71.74%
3 Round (Default) 1223 76.02% 33.85 -4.027 45.05% -1.082 -1.1749
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 29 82.76% 33.55 0.0 27.59%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 47.0 6.71 80.0% 0.251 0.0396
4 Other 21 71.43% 44.52 10.282 71.43% 0.491 0.4987
4 Thematic 125 60.0% 46.87 -8.084 54.4% -0.656 -0.5227
4 Trapezoid (Default) 339 78.21% 37.84 5.079 48.97% 0.631 0.7378
5 Other 14 38.46% 38.64 11.217 50.0% 0.45 -0.0643
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 5 80.0% 17.6 0.0 20.0%
6 Star 9 33.33% 27.44 0.0 22.22%
6 Thematic 34 17.65% 64.59 2.982 73.53% 0.146 0.4694
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 19.93 -3.385 26.67% -0.539 -0.6426

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 928 35.92 3.87 45.69% 0.381 0.4848
Aid From Lesser Spirits 738 39.27 6.517 52.3% 1.023 0.8787
All Things Weaken 1037 34.32 3.189 40.02% 0.223 0.5886
Attenuated Essence 112 35.96 10.29 48.21% 1.67 1.6687
Back Against the Wall 716 38.91 5.133 50.0% 0.65 0.7149
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 127 35.91 0.645 50.39% 0.144 0.3792
Burn Brightest Before the End 80 33.46 4.64 41.25% 0.564 0.7241
Disintegrating Ecosystem 919 34.23 4.242 44.5% 0.769 1.1447
Downward Spiral 923 34.29 3.741 43.66% 0.551 0.6235
Erosion of Will 886 35.73 -0.277 42.89% -0.141 0.1156
Intensifying Exploitation 127 28.51 2.267 31.5% 0.026 0.2998
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 334 39.02 2.127 53.89% 0.443 -0.044
Memory Fades to Dust 1032 34.58 3.999 43.41% 0.618 0.8012
Power Corrodes the Spirit 956 35.02 5.561 44.25% 0.808 1.0205
Promising Farmlands 862 33.1 2.483 39.33% 0.258 0.581
Shattered Fragments of Power 96 34.16 4.391 43.75% 0.398 0.5682
Slow Dissolution of Will 127 30.76 0.69 33.07% 0.15 0.5337
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 200 43.52 3.058 63.0% 0.386 -0.2904
The Border of Life and Death 26 34.23 8.196 53.85% 0.992 0.4754
Thriving Communities 954 33.05 2.538 41.4% 0.083 0.407
Thriving Crops 53 33.0 2.253 43.4% 0.602 0.6035
Unnatural Proliferation 1019 36.33 2.592 44.46% 0.327 0.5134
Untended Land Crumbles 981 33.38 -0.704 39.76% -0.247 0.0923

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3042 76.67% 35.08 0.286 46.09% 0.134 0.9973
B 3502 77.0% 36.02 -1.585 48.57% -0.022 0.7994
C 3758 76.63% 36.53 -2.045 49.07% -0.211 0.4874
D 2911 79.21% 35.46 0.436 46.96% 0.061 0.9173
E 3016 78.49% 35.34 0.361 46.39% 0.294 0.9825
F 2864 76.84% 36.29 0.392 48.88% 0.042 0.8599
G 2442 76.25% 35.18 0.668 45.86% 0.151 1.0309
H 2418 76.23% 36.35 1.728 49.01% 0.421 1.2018
East 559 65.47% 39.22 3.997 40.79% 0.269 1.0613
Northeast 255 62.35% 42.76 1.539 45.1% 0.053 0.9334
Northwest 209 61.72% 42.98 1.504 45.45% 0.148 1.0189
Southeast 228 57.02% 42.49 -4.453 48.25% -0.727 0.1324
Southwest 205 60.98% 41.93 1.681 47.32% -0.119 1.0904
West 477 67.3% 38.97 3.94 40.04% -0.033 1.0275

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 13 0.0% 35.46 14.39 46.15% 0.496 1.2117
Not Using Events or Tokens 32 81.25% 42.13 12.84 56.25% 0.216 0.6898
Skip Initial Invader Actions 178 45.66% 53.46 11.356 74.72% 1.069 0.5015
Start of Game Growth 404 47.37% 50.91 10.888 70.3% 1.501 0.8363
Unlimited Undo 1755 70.57% 37.34 -3.234 53.39% -0.374 -0.3512
Using Tokens but Not Events 803 71.39% 33.51 -1.972 43.34% -0.79 -0.7426

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5332 15.45 2.85%
II 6742 30.45 48.9%
III 4093 34.8 90.25%
IV 1104 38.47 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.032 Win Model: 0.075
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11680 76.19% 36.21 48.24%
2 3748 79.69% 35.83 46.56%
3 1283 75.9% 34.0 45.28%
4 487 74.12% 40.47 51.33%
5 14 38.46% 28.0 21.43%
6 59 28.81% 46.44 54.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 152
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3649
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3242
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1079
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1454
Lose: Invader deck ran out 93
Lose: Adversary condition 3804
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 171
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3246
Lose: Spirit destroyed 258

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 392 71.68% 42.53 -4.481 51.28% -0.035 -0.2319
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 8 87.5% 28.38 -2.446 25.0% -0.206 -0.9206
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 158 87.34% 34.27 -8.99 34.18% -0.639 -0.3706
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 64.1% 39.08 2.267 53.85% 0.301 -0.2664
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 282 87.59% 30.6 8.764 26.95% 0.389 0.2584
Downpour Drenches the World 139 73.38% 30.6 5.232 29.5% 0.734 1.0037
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 223 79.37% 34.09 0.968 47.53% 0.356 -0.0759
Eyes Watch From the Trees 316 67.72% 40.6 -2.733 47.78% -0.755 -1.1785
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 282 86.88% 34.96 0.353 35.82% -0.12 -0.5647
Finder of Paths Unseen 51 49.02% 27.18 -2.821 35.29% -0.276 0.3815
Fractured Days Split the Sky 179 74.3% 42.0 -1.485 44.13% -0.734 0.074
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 178 83.71% 29.44 -9.565 29.78% -0.8 -0.9173
Heart of the Wildfire 904 85.18% 28.88 -0.024 27.32% -0.313 -0.0259
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 883 72.25% 37.23 -4.218 40.66% -0.915 -1.3078
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 20 80.0% 32.45 -6.151 40.0% -0.371 -0.7751
Lightning's Swift Strike 118 94.07% 32.7 -1.925 27.12% -0.149 0.1182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 59 89.83% 41.93 15.693 52.54% 1.351 1.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 70 97.14% 35.47 10.671 38.57% 0.393 -0.0484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 58 82.76% 31.4 -9.157 25.86% -0.118 -0.1608
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 604 86.26% 36.71 -0.809 42.22% 0.066 -0.1848
Many Minds Move as One 238 67.65% 46.7 -1.209 63.45% -0.473 -0.7038
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 382 77.75% 35.31 -6.356 37.96% -0.978 -1.0819
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 280 82.14% 34.84 -1.531 37.14% -0.264 -0.4202
River Surges in Sunlight 321 85.05% 39.49 8.309 39.56% 0.575 0.6636
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 6 100.0% 42.5 7.067 50.0% 0.555 0.4435
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 71 80.28% 34.25 -3.439 28.17% -0.307 0.0827
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 102 66.67% 44.37 10.933 53.92% 0.661 0.7988
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 343 77.26% 40.11 6.374 45.77% 1.089 0.8953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 103 93.2% 26.48 0.0 7.77%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 100.0% 43.29 8.199 50.0% 0.524 0.58
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 35 80.0% 27.91 -3.579 25.71% -0.584 -1.052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 45.45% 13.73 -1.625 18.18% 0.062 0.2778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 82.35% 30.45 -7.169 27.45% -0.265 -0.2363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 50 90.0% 29.62 0.0 18.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 158 81.65% 34.28 12.03 32.28% 0.602 0.4492
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 45 73.33% 33.36 0.714 44.44% 0.163 -0.0361
Shifting Memory of Ages 177 85.31% 35.89 3.404 36.16% 0.234 0.6832
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 9 100.0% 53.78 13.268 88.89% 1.716 1.4115
Shroud of Silent Mist 152 82.24% 26.84 -3.242 21.71% -0.733 -0.3971
Starlight Seeks its Form 264 80.68% 38.03 -1.314 45.83% -0.109 -0.1639
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1371 61.05% 41.72 3.087 57.84% 0.54 -0.0829
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 227 85.02% 31.72 1.969 26.43% 0.08 0.2739
Thunderspeaker 199 89.45% 33.79 3.43 31.16% 0.244 0.1898
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 86.96% 27.3 0.697 21.74% -0.145 -0.0111
Towering Roots of the Jungle 32 68.75% 22.09 -1.314 28.13% -0.049 -0.0392
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 739 92.29% 34.08 -1.842 38.57% -0.418 -0.3348
Vital Strength of the Earth 103 83.5% 31.68 -4.501 24.27% -0.119 0.4751
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 34 50.0% 31.62 0.0 29.41%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 54 74.07% 24.87 -10.162 20.37% -0.728 -0.0364
Volcano Looming High 433 90.3% 31.35 0.407 30.25% -0.184 -0.0808
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 70 65.71% 35.21 -0.267 47.14% 0.177 -0.0755

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 48 60.42% 26.44 -9.777 22.92% -0.653 -0.3662
Dahan Insurrection 4 54 83.33% 43.54 0.0 12.96%
Despicable Theft 2 11 72.73% 27.45 -8.877 18.18% -0.071 0.6674
Elemental Invocation 1 37 45.95% 22.7 -9.294 16.22% -0.624 0.132
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 207 31.4% 40.42 10.386 36.71% 0.677 0.0957
Powers Long Forgotten 1 33 69.7% 27.91 3.828 21.21% 0.382 1.2353
Rituals of Terror 3 19 78.95% 45.05 0.0 21.05%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 181 88.4% 24.96 17.128 1.66% 0.436 1.3471
Second Wave 0 94 58.51% 40.18 0.0 44.68%
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 16.33 -0.505 0.0% -0.274 1.0892
Varied Terrains 2 2 50.0% 21.0 -11.183 0.0% -0.478 0.4017
Ward the Shores 2 19 47.37% 21.63 0.0 15.79%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5264 77.74% 35.39 -0.319 40.98% -0.096 0.2477
1 Thematic 495 79.8% 28.16 2.936 12.53% -0.016 0.5114
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1064 85.06% 35.19 -0.703 37.88% -0.127 0.1575
2 Coastline 126 76.19% 35.5 0.602 42.86% -0.266 -0.2371
2 Fragment 13 100.0% 36.69 0.0 46.15%
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 0.0 44.44%
2 Opposite Shores 163 77.91% 38.04 0.0 39.88%
2 Thematic 57 57.89% 31.16 12.98 15.79% 0.427 0.7966
2 Top to Top 70 90.0% 36.29 16.321 40.0% 0.612 0.7348
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 2.265 33.33% 0.124 -0.4252
3 Other 17 70.59% 50.29 2.161 76.47% -0.093 -0.6309
3 Round (Default) 383 78.85% 38.89 1.722 47.78% 0.381 0.2879
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 12 41.67% 19.75 -11.814 16.67% -0.304 -0.8228
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 0.0 72.73%
4 Thematic 47 65.96% 49.47 5.28 48.94% -0.096 0.0371
4 Trapezoid (Default) 170 79.41% 36.84 -1.601 40.0% -0.282 -0.1755
5 Other 11 90.91% 40.55 -9.477 54.55% -0.543 -1.0575
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 11.506 100.0% 0.444 -0.595
6 Other 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 0.0 22.22%
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 66.67% 26.0 -12.496 33.33% -0.18 -0.2833

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 457 34.67 0.388 33.92% -0.195 -0.0909
Aid From Lesser Spirits 347 40.6 9.144 46.97% 0.723 0.5781
All Things Weaken 461 34.09 6.202 33.62% 0.666 1.0318
Attenuated Essence 64 30.19 1.114 34.38% 0.023 0.0215
Back Against the Wall 335 36.16 11.678 35.52% 0.672 0.7375
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 79 24.48 -0.076 24.05% -0.511 -0.2761
Burn Brightest Before the End 48 38.42 6.713 47.92% 1.136 1.2966
Disintegrating Ecosystem 401 34.24 1.616 36.41% 0.013 0.3887
Downward Spiral 462 32.47 0.947 31.17% 0.067 0.1387
Erosion of Will 436 33.85 6.009 32.8% 0.727 0.9838
Intensifying Exploitation 66 32.89 3.302 40.91% 0.143 0.4172
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 104 41.3 -4.639 49.04% -0.526 -1.0126
Memory Fades to Dust 441 33.9 6.097 34.92% 0.74 0.9231
Power Corrodes the Spirit 491 34.08 5.244 34.62% 0.974 1.1868
Promising Farmlands 406 33.51 0.438 33.5% -0.217 0.106
Shattered Fragments of Power 42 38.69 7.304 45.24% 0.39 0.5604
Slow Dissolution of Will 52 32.21 0.403 34.62% 0.058 0.4417
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 83 45.82 16.836 61.45% 0.88 0.2038
The Border of Life and Death 10 18.8 0.0 20.0%
Thriving Communities 483 33.35 -2.403 34.16% -0.334 -0.0099
Thriving Crops 19 35.79 5.762 52.63% 0.536 0.537
Unnatural Proliferation 459 35.73 4.641 35.29% 0.23 0.4167
Untended Land Crumbles 510 33.11 0.769 32.16% 0.005 0.3443

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1267 81.14% 34.75 -2.247 38.83% -0.788 0.0752
B 1459 80.4% 36.41 -0.682 42.15% -0.185 0.6366
C 1500 80.67% 37.83 0.358 44.47% 0.071 0.7691
D 1192 81.46% 35.75 -0.99 40.77% -0.23 0.6257
E 1318 79.21% 35.36 0.447 39.91% 0.14 0.828
F 1341 75.99% 34.84 0.867 40.19% 0.112 0.9303
G 1083 78.95% 37.0 -0.426 42.57% 0.098 0.9781
H 1071 79.83% 36.88 1.118 41.92% 0.099 0.8796
East 267 63.3% 34.04 1.772 25.84% -0.214 0.5789
Northeast 109 66.06% 34.26 0.779 25.69% 0.166 1.047
Northwest 157 80.25% 30.8 5.812 15.29% 0.223 1.0944
Southeast 132 62.12% 32.37 -4.775 25.0% -0.343 0.516
Southwest 249 77.91% 27.68 0.0 11.24%
West 446 78.48% 29.44 -1.49 13.0% -0.293 0.7671

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 25 76.0% 41.28 1.827 40.0% 0.154 0.628
Skip Initial Invader Actions 89 55.06% 56.19 6.674 75.28% 0.355 -0.2124
Start of Game Growth 146 56.85% 51.55 9.226 67.12% 1.055 0.3901
Unlimited Undo 706 67.85% 41.61 -1.254 56.09% -0.212 -0.1887
Using Tokens but Not Events 506 69.17% 36.22 -1.636 41.3% -1.107 -1.0596

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2427 15.45 0.74%
II 3216 30.45 29.88%
III 1754 34.8 89.68%
IV 555 38.47 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.11 Win Model: 0.026
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5797 77.8% 34.8 38.5%
2 1493 82.72% 35.43 38.04%
3 409 78.48% 39.48 48.9%
4 230 76.09% 39.37 43.04%
5 8 75.0% 35.63 37.5%
6 15 60.0% 30.07 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1554
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 940
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 545
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 760
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 1962
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 102
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1879
Lose: Spirit destroyed 102

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2412 62.75% 40.4 -0.656 40.22% 0.285 0.0889
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 145 40.69% 25.48 0.44 27.59% 0.947 0.2326
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 969 85.55% 31.31 -0.622 19.92% -0.287 -0.019
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 358 70.11% 36.31 5.391 40.5% 0.826 0.2584
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1152 80.03% 26.38 -0.178 16.06% 0.275 0.1439
Downpour Drenches the World 770 64.5% 29.32 -3.868 24.03% -0.013 0.2562
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1152 75.13% 25.54 -0.683 24.39% 0.112 -0.3194
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1726 80.29% 34.53 -1.31 29.66% -0.241 -0.6637
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1428 83.4% 31.7 -0.781 23.74% -1.082 -1.5269
Finder of Paths Unseen 443 57.56% 27.75 0.137 27.77% -0.049 0.6082
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1542 62.52% 40.89 -0.98 36.12% 0.0 0.8085
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1118 81.93% 26.63 -0.337 16.73% -0.223 -0.3409
Heart of the Wildfire 4349 85.19% 31.68 -2.06 25.85% -0.347 -0.0599
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4227 70.57% 39.59 2.987 39.13% 0.734 0.3412
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 185 75.14% 23.3 5.028 20.0% 0.836 0.4313
Lightning's Swift Strike 1092 88.99% 26.7 -4.593 12.45% -0.979 -0.712
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1058 69.73% 29.75 -5.518 20.79% -0.726 -1.0773
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 579 86.46% 34.37 -3.827 30.74% -0.534 -0.9755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 408 70.27% 36.84 -3.385 36.76% -0.255 -0.2984
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3665 83.23% 32.52 -1.789 25.7% -0.386 -0.6366
Many Minds Move as One 1427 69.0% 48.63 8.854 57.25% 1.191 0.9605
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1478 79.54% 32.75 -0.623 27.0% 0.113 0.0089
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1310 84.95% 34.55 0.874 29.85% 0.252 0.0958
River Surges in Sunlight 2152 83.07% 40.98 -0.452 36.76% -0.388 -0.2986
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 57.29% 26.68 -1.86 19.79% -0.583 -0.6944
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 418 63.88% 40.85 -6.289 31.1% -0.916 -0.5258
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 464 70.81% 33.14 -0.039 28.45% -0.01 0.1275
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2444 63.49% 45.83 0.594 49.18% 0.528 0.335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 480 77.29% 34.46 -1.2 21.04% -0.122 0.3635
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 85.71% 26.67 -1.979 14.29% 0.213 0.2684
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 249 74.6% 34.54 6.742 38.15% 1.286 0.8172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 80.26% 28.64 0.0 21.05%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 76.34% 32.78 4.713 20.09% 0.364 0.3929
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 168 83.93% 34.54 -5.227 25.0% -0.015 0.1572
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1230 74.39% 35.92 -0.774 31.06% 0.14 -0.013
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 293 72.7% 26.34 -0.334 26.28% 0.251 0.0519
Shifting Memory of Ages 1016 72.78% 36.37 -2.963 31.4% -1.026 -0.5774
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 56.63% 33.35 3.64 37.35% 0.964 0.6595
Shroud of Silent Mist 777 84.43% 28.7 -3.426 20.08% -0.759 -0.4235
Starlight Seeks its Form 2117 70.19% 40.29 3.35 42.18% 0.647 0.5918
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 13952 49.77% 45.81 7.911 57.63% 1.946 1.3227
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1056 84.83% 33.37 2.169 25.09% 0.123 0.3166
Thunderspeaker 1209 77.67% 30.81 -2.606 18.94% -1.053 -1.1065
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 150 58.67% 14.85 -7.981 8.67% -0.979 -0.8445
Towering Roots of the Jungle 363 64.74% 22.28 -1.677 20.39% -0.036 -0.0269
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5549 91.4% 33.44 -3.157 29.88% -0.355 -0.2725
Vital Strength of the Earth 400 81.0% 30.71 0.467 17.0% -0.124 0.47
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 351 50.14% 16.13 -1.315 12.82% 0.421 0.8602
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 391 79.8% 30.22 -6.811 20.2% -1.205 -0.5138
Volcano Looming High 2678 85.42% 31.54 -1.902 25.06% -0.253 -0.1499
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 454 73.29% 29.93 -0.037 30.4% 0.243 -0.0089

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 492 44.83% 41.99 0.28 39.23% -0.522 -0.2351
Dahan Insurrection 4 290 63.67% 43.17 1.788 18.28% -0.432 -0.5474
Despicable Theft 2 31 83.87% 32.45 -11.268 16.13% -0.159 0.5789
Elemental Invocation 1 140 62.04% 32.25 -9.103 17.14% -1.159 -0.4023
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2859 29.66% 48.65 9.047 44.49% 0.77 0.1879
Powers Long Forgotten 1 105 52.38% 43.99 -12.915 49.52% -0.158 0.6957
Rituals of Terror 3 191 24.21% 74.65 20.401 41.36% 1.367 1.1965
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 37.44 2.132 18.52% -0.222 0.6884
Second Wave 0 135 55.56% 41.01 -10.369 37.78% -0.545 -0.4654
The Great River 3 48 60.42% 31.71 -11.096 4.17% -0.136 1.2271
Varied Terrains 2 39 51.28% 38.79 -11.487 35.9% -0.531 0.3483
Ward the Shores 2 42 88.1% 29.76 1.26 7.14% -0.163 0.818

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 44737 73.5% 36.66 -0.54 36.57% -0.344 0.0004
1 Thematic 1504 53.32% 35.8 2.593 29.45% -0.638 -0.1107
2 Archipelago 21 52.63% 30.86 0.0 9.52%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4328 80.43% 35.61 -1.553 34.33% -0.587 -0.3025
2 Coastline 838 70.3% 35.84 -3.216 33.77% -1.047 -1.0182
2 Fragment 65 86.15% 37.89 13.919 33.85% 0.636 0.3988
2 Heart 126 84.13% 36.96 6.681 34.92% 0.168 0.0199
2 Opposite Shores 1147 79.67% 32.6 2.395 23.71% 0.415 0.474
2 Thematic 251 52.99% 46.57 7.165 23.9% 0.095 0.4655
2 Top to Top 213 76.06% 37.07 -0.537 38.03% -0.519 -0.3955
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 19.6 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 25.21 21.876 28.57% 0.536 -0.0136
3 Other 74 74.32% 39.09 19.773 43.24% 1.261 0.7233
3 Round (Default) 1793 73.34% 33.65 -0.987 31.9% -0.392 -0.4844
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 36.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Thematic 63 22.22% 77.21 21.313 39.68% 0.315 -0.2031
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 28.8 0.0 20.0%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 18.83 60.0% 0.247 0.2544
4 Thematic 179 23.46% 66.07 -4.662 65.92% -0.245 -0.1116
4 Trapezoid (Default) 842 73.66% 32.94 -1.286 27.55% -0.11 -0.0034
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 0.0 70.0%
5 Other 36 55.56% 43.08 4.658 52.78% 0.068 -0.4467
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 7.744 33.33% -0.105 -0.8348
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 13 76.92% 30.46 -9.3 23.08% -0.787 -0.1519
6 Star 9 66.67% 41.78 -6.034 44.44% -0.509 -0.2648
6 Thematic 62 19.35% 46.68 -7.192 48.39% -0.015 0.3076
6 Two Centers (Default) 186 22.58% 51.65 3.872 50.54% 1.033 0.9293
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2942 35.68 2.402 31.27% 0.524 0.6278
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2293 40.5 5.718 39.64% 0.784 0.6391
All Things Weaken 3105 35.25 3.908 30.56% 0.548 0.9139
Attenuated Essence 449 29.04 2.862 26.06% 0.593 0.5918
Back Against the Wall 2139 39.64 6.254 37.96% 0.761 0.8257
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 438 28.84 1.736 24.66% 0.15 0.3847
Burn Brightest Before the End 342 31.14 3.661 23.98% 0.281 0.4415
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2814 33.32 0.772 29.53% -0.055 0.3204
Downward Spiral 3066 34.93 2.295 31.08% 0.36 0.4317
Erosion of Will 2701 33.95 2.16 27.62% 0.153 0.4097
Intensifying Exploitation 477 28.55 3.008 23.27% 0.33 0.6037
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 867 41.0 -1.196 43.14% -0.476 -0.9623
Memory Fades to Dust 3133 33.49 4.501 27.35% 0.762 0.9448
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2944 33.7 3.796 28.4% 0.537 0.7495
Promising Farmlands 2839 32.73 0.578 26.45% -0.361 -0.0385
Shattered Fragments of Power 330 30.92 4.089 24.55% 0.471 0.6413
Slow Dissolution of Will 469 28.78 3.325 22.39% 0.217 0.6007
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 548 44.59 2.979 52.01% 0.439 -0.2374
The Border of Life and Death 86 26.5 1.24 29.07% 0.484 -0.0321
Thriving Communities 3039 33.49 0.73 28.13% -0.235 0.0887
Thriving Crops 166 27.64 3.089 27.71% 0.44 0.4413
Unnatural Proliferation 3252 36.56 3.787 31.89% 0.405 0.5912
Untended Land Crumbles 2890 32.62 1.641 25.78% -0.205 0.134

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8968 73.78% 36.1 -0.259 35.15% -0.026 0.8375
B 9620 73.19% 35.84 0.026 34.37% 0.078 0.8993
C 11694 73.96% 35.78 0.562 34.53% 0.139 0.8372
D 8043 75.97% 35.73 -0.015 34.53% 0.013 0.8689
E 9272 75.71% 35.42 -1.65 33.84% -0.056 0.6324
F 8254 71.5% 37.46 0.415 37.06% 0.249 1.0667
G 6591 73.41% 36.51 0.579 36.02% 0.213 1.0936
H 6636 71.24% 37.17 0.079 37.25% 0.066 0.8464
East 1120 44.73% 50.73 4.833 38.66% -0.241 0.5521
Northeast 519 36.03% 55.68 7.804 42.39% 0.225 1.1058
Northwest 639 37.25% 31.84 -8.27 25.35% -0.884 -0.0129
Southeast 410 40.0% 48.54 1.542 43.17% 0.091 0.9504
Southwest 395 43.54% 43.55 2.353 42.28% 0.384 1.5931
West 1201 39.97% 40.93 2.94 33.72% -0.149 0.9114

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 38 0.0% 31.63 0.0 39.47%
Not Using Events or Tokens 156 75.64% 37.78 4.812 11.54% 0.458 0.9319
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2112 21.56% 62.31 8.029 73.77% 1.053 0.4858
Start of Game Growth 3116 24.95% 58.8 5.989 71.08% 0.484 -0.1806
Unlimited Undo 5925 60.26% 47.06 3.216 57.37% 0.6 0.6236
Using Tokens but Not Events 2919 56.06% 37.41 -2.084 37.68% -0.29 -0.242

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25118 15.45 2.72%
II 20909 30.45 46.75%
III 8317 34.8 90.59%
IV 2279 38.47 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.055 Win Model: -0.251
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 46552 72.72% 36.76 36.46%
2 6799 78.67% 35.33 31.77%
3 1918 72.26% 34.32 32.12%
4 1050 65.52% 38.42 35.33%
5 25 40.0% 34.96 36.0%
6 279 25.45% 48.63 48.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 659
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9558
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2184
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6165
Lose: Invader deck ran out 383
Lose: Adversary condition 15794
Win: Sacrifice victory 393
Lose: Scenario condition 1114
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11989
Lose: Spirit destroyed 913

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)