The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1505 26.05% 28.69 2.162 79.6% 0.622 0.4813
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 4 25.0% 18.75 -0.302 50.0% 0.008 -0.7668
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1015 43.18% 26.88 0.775 71.92% 0.272 0.4826
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 58 13.79% 30.55 1.685 74.14% 0.248 -0.6009
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1282 29.16% 29.17 -0.405 81.36% -0.091 -0.2312
Downpour Drenches the World 374 26.74% 23.01 0.096 59.09% 0.167 0.4836
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 287 22.03% 27.46 1.657 70.73% 0.378 -0.0663
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1552 18.8% 32.85 2.793 85.76% 0.644 0.2616
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1271 24.72% 30.84 0.825 84.89% 0.394 -0.0482
Finder of Paths Unseen 179 28.65% 14.81 -5.123 37.43% -1.048 -0.3982
Fractured Days Split the Sky 628 35.35% 25.4 -2.891 60.83% -0.731 -0.1537
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 791 40.25% 27.17 -2.271 69.79% -0.384 -0.3841
Heart of the Wildfire 1540 58.1% 24.65 2.007 70.0% 0.669 0.9554
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2041 26.0% 30.26 1.285 84.08% 0.442 0.0938
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 78 10.26% 25.64 -0.709 66.67% -0.22 -0.535
Lightning's Swift Strike 833 42.44% 27.23 1.273 75.63% 0.597 0.916
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 31.85% 28.54 3.456 75.0% 0.781 0.2712
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 427 32.86% 31.01 2.029 85.95% 0.691 0.3773
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 330 33.03% 27.79 3.751 74.85% 0.9 0.7328
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1592 31.47% 29.22 0.041 80.46% 0.102 -0.1994
Many Minds Move as One 1134 22.76% 30.35 1.621 83.07% 0.293 0.127
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1568 40.46% 27.73 0.615 73.72% 0.001 -0.0299
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1182 30.45% 28.34 -1.01 80.88% 0.073 -0.0672
River Surges in Sunlight 1059 41.75% 28.71 1.071 73.47% 0.119 0.2295
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 5 40.0% 18.4 -1.557 40.0% -0.517 -0.6698
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 479 41.84% 28.05 -1.219 65.76% -0.558 -0.0814
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 146 32.64% 28.33 -0.397 65.75% -0.147 -0.228
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1100 29.82% 28.25 -0.301 78.82% -0.274 -0.4887
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 527 53.7% 26.46 0.947 70.21% 0.217 0.763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 42.19% 23.2 -2.393 57.81% -0.34 -0.0604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 54 24.07% 25.35 4.597 62.96% 0.94 0.4508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 29.09% 21.56 -1.53 52.73% -0.127 0.1816
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 332 32.83% 29.99 -0.055 84.64% -0.221 -0.2317
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 231 46.32% 26.94 0.113 72.29% 0.374 0.6234
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1117 29.92% 29.34 -2.847 80.21% -0.636 -0.7446
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 103 19.61% 20.66 -0.707 56.31% 0.014 -0.1078
Shifting Memory of Ages 618 42.69% 22.72 -2.329 61.0% -0.389 -0.0194
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 5 0.0% 4.0 -8.492 0.0% -1.286 -1.5833
Shroud of Silent Mist 727 46.07% 24.94 -3.198 68.5% -0.612 -0.229
Starlight Seeks its Form 720 27.5% 25.92 -0.123 67.64% -0.089 -0.2694
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2200 27.8% 27.22 -0.532 83.64% 0.159 -0.5957
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1037 40.19% 25.36 -2.744 68.27% -0.473 -0.2434
Thunderspeaker 1191 36.78% 28.42 -0.042 74.48% -0.1 -0.0966
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 95 26.32% 16.0 -1.224 43.16% -0.326 -0.1685
Towering Roots of the Jungle 18 16.67% 24.0 1.596 77.78% 0.845 0.8289
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1485 59.7% 23.38 -3.337 70.77% -0.934 -0.8667
Vital Strength of the Earth 769 35.85% 24.75 -0.122 68.01% 0.214 0.7593
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 129 20.31% 22.49 0.037 58.91% -0.309 0.2309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 309 37.22% 22.29 -0.684 63.75% -0.088 0.6811
Volcano Looming High 1015 40.69% 24.92 -0.968 70.25% -0.209 -0.0762
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 159 23.42% 28.04 2.216 71.7% 0.3 -0.0125

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 29.41% 25.12 8.79 64.71% 0.681 0.6474
Blitz 0 309 28.25% 23.49 -4.273 63.75% -1.098 -0.7828
Dahan Insurrection 4 385 27.01% 45.63 6.544 66.49% -0.492 -0.706
Despicable Theft 2 151 32.45% 25.95 -6.239 52.98% -1.432 -0.4478
Elemental Invocation 1 226 41.59% 21.97 -3.194 52.21% -0.819 0.1523
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 855 9.36% 33.29 2.889 76.96% 0.111 -0.5602
Powers Long Forgotten 1 260 41.86% 23.86 -7.623 53.46% -1.733 -0.7699
Rituals of Terror 3 210 56.19% 30.56 -5.586 50.95% -1.329 -1.2939
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 187 57.22% 29.32 -8.563 54.01% -1.69 -0.5769
Second Wave 0 471 46.58% 30.83 3.704 70.06% 0.298 0.3684
The Great River 3 161 52.17% 22.47 -4.827 34.16% -1.275 0.1174
Varied Terrains 2 92 51.09% 21.53 -3.122 41.3% -0.888 0.0102
Ward the Shores 2 290 38.62% 30.4 -4.193 59.31% -1.182 -0.2054

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15654 37.24% 27.5 0.393 76.27% 0.343 0.4899
1 Thematic 1659 39.9% 29.75 -0.472 65.46% -0.009 0.4333
2 Archipelago 16 62.5% 31.31 0.0 56.25%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3130 37.95% 26.92 -0.648 77.19% 0.081 0.1624
2 Coastline 357 36.69% 27.52 1.391 76.75% 0.447 0.3398
2 Fragment 73 50.68% 25.37 0.435 69.86% -0.037 -0.3521
2 Heart 34 35.29% 28.79 0.0 94.12%
2 Opposite Shores 405 30.02% 28.92 0.915 84.2% 0.246 0.14
2 Thematic 445 38.65% 28.69 -2.895 61.57% -0.666 -0.4681
2 Top to Top 71 43.66% 27.89 -0.964 81.69% 0.113 0.0442
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.0 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 14 50.0% 36.21 0.0 78.57%
3 Other 65 32.31% 25.22 -5.138 72.31% -0.46 -0.7287
3 Round (Default) 1450 30.44% 28.43 2.309 80.28% 0.41 0.2247
3 Sunrise 5 100.0% 36.0 16.363 100.0% 1.026 1.2222
3 Thematic 82 43.9% 27.38 1.588 57.32% -0.117 -0.3503
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 -2.863 60.0% -1.15 -1.0605
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 25.5 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 34 17.65% 26.91 0.929 85.29% 0.246 -0.1362
4 Thematic 102 20.59% 36.38 6.342 79.41% 0.441 0.6882
4 Trapezoid (Default) 694 24.93% 24.16 -2.183 68.16% -0.547 -0.1852
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 42 9.52% 23.83 -10.021 73.81% -0.896 -1.3523
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 0.0 55.56%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 60.0% 27.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Star 7 42.86% 29.43 0.0 85.71%
6 Thematic 43 30.23% 34.3 1.803 53.49% -0.365 -0.1935
6 Two Centers (Default) 103 14.56% 25.35 2.719 71.84% 0.54 0.404
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 3 0.0% 16.33 0.0 33.33%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 549 22.71 0.396 61.02% -0.088 0.0872
Aid From Lesser Spirits 491 23.66 3.08 60.9% 0.562 0.5074
All Things Weaken 650 21.77 -2.303 55.69% -0.584 -0.3064
Attenuated Essence 49 18.47 1.002 46.94% -0.243 -0.1554
Back Against the Wall 517 25.25 5.861 64.8% 1.453 1.5295
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 42 17.71 3.191 45.24% 0.612 0.8011
Burn Brightest Before the End 39 25.26 1.814 56.41% 0.03 0.2669
Disintegrating Ecosystem 554 21.09 -0.507 57.58% -0.076 0.3088
Downward Spiral 734 22.19 -0.541 62.13% -0.172 -0.0329
Erosion of Will 629 23.11 -0.989 57.55% -0.507 -0.2191
Intensifying Exploitation 52 20.54 1.598 48.08% 0.481 0.7099
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 315 27.07 0.586 80.32% 0.144 -0.3949
Memory Fades to Dust 724 23.08 0.839 61.19% 0.159 0.4201
Power Corrodes the Spirit 679 22.77 1.569 63.33% 0.553 0.815
Promising Farmlands 568 22.75 2.412 60.39% 0.214 0.526
Shattered Fragments of Power 42 24.05 0.773 54.76% -0.232 -0.0468
Slow Dissolution of Will 55 19.38 0.678 36.36% -0.798 -0.452
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 216 27.97 2.244 85.19% -0.024 -0.6541
The Border of Life and Death 25 19.84 3.917 52.0% 0.672 0.2141
Thriving Communities 693 20.89 -1.783 57.43% -0.629 -0.2904
Thriving Crops 17 28.94 0.604 70.59% 0.173 0.1861
Unnatural Proliferation 661 22.33 1.803 52.34% 0.11 0.2443
Untended Land Crumbles 634 21.63 -1.401 56.78% -0.231 0.1497

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4398 35.41% 26.84 -0.42 76.13% -0.312 0.5066
B 4263 35.44% 26.8 -0.034 75.21% -0.3 0.4689
C 4482 33.31% 27.39 1.052 76.89% 0.039 0.6721
D 4204 34.65% 27.09 -0.46 76.05% -0.398 0.3822
E 4098 34.46% 27.41 0.369 76.77% -0.193 0.4253
F 3965 34.42% 27.41 0.055 76.95% -0.102 0.629
G 3551 35.55% 27.07 0.114 76.34% -0.294 0.5061
H 3535 34.15% 27.61 -1.196 76.58% -0.514 0.2089
East 1393 37.76% 31.58 1.23 67.19% -0.046 0.7873
Northeast 631 37.72% 32.4 -1.038 67.19% -0.499 0.1928
Northwest 516 39.15% 29.16 -0.585 57.17% -0.452 0.3525
Southeast 509 35.17% 29.95 -0.089 65.23% -0.398 0.3324
Southwest 502 34.86% 26.54 -1.84 62.35% -0.617 0.6827
West 1290 38.45% 28.19 0.687 60.62% -0.105 0.8042

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 76 0.0% 29.39 6.441 78.95% 0.072 0.8613
Not Using Events or Tokens 419 37.69% 26.33 -1.626 72.32% -0.502 -0.1006
Skip Initial Invader Actions 522 6.79% 40.13 7.067 90.8% 1.308 0.6754
Start of Game Growth 836 13.64% 37.5 3.64 87.2% -0.12 -0.6707
Unlimited Undo 1610 28.93% 29.28 0.225 80.56% 0.194 0.2369
Using Tokens but Not Events 1960 29.92% 27.91 1.719 75.92% 0.427 0.3898

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3371 15.91 13.76%
II 5120 30.5 61.04%
III 10280 34.78 89.55%
IV 5775 38.4 98.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.017 Win Model: 0.357
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17530 37.54% 27.64 74.8%
2 4414 37.35% 27.6 77.73%
3 1576 31.57% 28.57 79.57%
4 826 24.09% 25.64 69.98%
5 34 8.82% 23.21 70.59%
6 166 20.48% 27.64 66.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 462
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8954
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2908
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5661
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2007
Lose: Invader deck ran out 150
Lose: Adversary condition 1642
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 247
Win: Scenario condition 428
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1857
Lose: Spirit destroyed 133

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1117 33.51% 32.66 1.346 79.23% 0.74 0.6002
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 8 0.0% 35.63 4.98 87.5% 0.783 0.0075
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 653 56.99% 29.67 -0.223 66.77% -0.017 0.1939
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 46 43.48% 33.02 5.047 78.26% 1.181 0.3317
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 950 30.31% 33.1 -0.305 80.63% 0.147 0.0072
Downpour Drenches the World 356 24.16% 23.6 -0.61 55.06% 0.207 0.5228
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 365 22.19% 25.64 3.857 62.19% 0.863 0.4181
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1232 22.44% 37.58 4.366 87.58% 0.908 0.5255
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 934 28.94% 35.07 5.726 83.4% 1.412 0.9697
Finder of Paths Unseen 155 45.16% 17.81 -6.848 40.0% -1.217 -0.567
Fractured Days Split the Sky 384 40.36% 29.29 -6.567 63.54% -0.965 -0.3872
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 595 42.02% 30.09 -0.137 70.42% -0.189 -0.1893
Heart of the Wildfire 1033 60.31% 29.16 -0.842 72.02% 0.313 0.5991
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1480 38.09% 33.18 -0.034 81.69% -0.027 -0.3756
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 61 21.31% 28.3 -0.232 67.21% -0.236 -0.5508
Lightning's Swift Strike 593 46.79% 31.63 1.514 76.05% 0.364 0.6835
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 104 39.42% 29.6 1.191 66.35% 0.02 -0.4896
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 312 32.37% 35.08 1.977 80.77% 0.065 -0.2487
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 247 37.65% 33.9 3.064 75.71% 0.512 0.3442
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1213 41.29% 32.44 3.062 77.66% 0.933 0.6322
Many Minds Move as One 842 27.96% 35.0 0.543 84.44% 0.348 0.1816
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1138 43.79% 32.8 1.347 77.15% 0.241 0.21
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 950 38.67% 31.76 1.407 76.21% 0.234 0.093
River Surges in Sunlight 840 43.03% 33.07 0.079 71.67% -0.018 0.0922
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 12.5% 25.38 0.536 62.5% 0.131 -0.0223
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 362 51.4% 30.01 -2.996 62.98% -0.94 -0.4625
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 160 29.38% 29.88 1.741 66.88% 0.272 0.1904
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 716 41.82% 31.67 -0.277 76.4% 0.174 -0.0404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 352 63.35% 28.88 1.657 65.63% 0.399 0.9453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 42.11% 25.03 -9.651 52.63% -0.702 -0.4222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 37 35.14% 31.41 3.399 75.68% 0.711 0.2218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 45 42.22% 24.04 -5.682 57.78% -0.494 -0.1852
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 253 43.82% 29.64 -3.957 69.96% -0.485 -0.4953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 176 58.86% 32.14 -4.383 71.02% -0.822 -0.5722
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 851 40.24% 34.04 -1.833 81.79% -0.191 -0.2993
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 90 24.72% 23.82 -5.638 55.56% -1.159 -1.2804
Shifting Memory of Ages 545 48.26% 26.67 -1.805 62.94% -0.733 -0.3632
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 11 54.55% 19.91 -3.086 36.36% -0.467 -0.764
Shroud of Silent Mist 540 61.04% 26.9 -2.273 64.63% -0.204 0.1791
Starlight Seeks its Form 751 28.63% 33.48 1.054 79.36% 0.024 -0.1561
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1797 32.7% 31.99 2.357 83.92% 1.29 0.5354
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 729 48.14% 28.56 -4.922 66.39% -0.735 -0.5057
Thunderspeaker 875 41.6% 33.29 -1.307 74.97% -0.189 -0.1853
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 66 30.3% 23.14 -5.381 51.52% -0.667 -0.5092
Towering Roots of the Jungle 32 34.38% 19.19 -3.463 43.75% -0.519 -0.5345
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1188 73.2% 26.0 -3.652 67.93% -0.633 -0.5654
Vital Strength of the Earth 555 42.7% 27.91 -1.049 65.23% -0.147 0.3988
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 89 21.35% 22.74 -4.838 42.7% -0.79 -0.2504
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 232 45.26% 26.41 -5.731 59.48% -0.826 -0.0563
Volcano Looming High 820 42.33% 29.63 1.354 73.29% 0.542 0.6744
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 120 17.5% 32.17 4.542 77.5% 1.229 0.916

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 16.0% 30.08 4.689 72.0% 0.933 0.899
Blitz 0 336 37.61% 24.19 -3.861 56.25% -0.771 -0.4556
Dahan Insurrection 4 313 25.88% 53.22 8.583 76.36% -0.138 -0.3528
Despicable Theft 2 95 42.11% 26.68 -6.744 49.47% -1.191 -0.206
Elemental Invocation 1 157 52.23% 22.23 -6.712 41.4% -0.944 0.028
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 548 11.6% 32.99 2.58 63.69% -0.341 -1.0118
Powers Long Forgotten 1 195 54.36% 27.06 -3.835 50.26% -0.794 0.1683
Rituals of Terror 3 136 50.74% 40.52 -9.808 63.24% -0.179 -0.144
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 65.45% 37.92 -3.069 61.82% -0.74 0.3736
Second Wave 0 1112 48.2% 31.99 -2.064 68.17% -0.649 -0.5786
The Great River 3 96 45.83% 27.49 -6.558 37.5% -1.181 0.2109
Varied Terrains 2 70 44.29% 23.29 -0.358 45.71% -0.27 0.6288
Ward the Shores 2 221 46.61% 30.24 -11.22 52.04% -1.467 -0.4908

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11161 40.31% 31.31 0.606 74.98% 0.486 0.6332
1 Thematic 1351 47.72% 31.7 -1.112 60.25% -0.071 0.3709
2 Archipelago 12 41.67% 36.42 -3.376 66.67% -0.213 0.3411
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2565 44.37% 29.75 0.012 75.48% 0.178 0.2586
2 Coastline 320 45.45% 30.77 5.588 76.56% 0.65 0.5432
2 Fragment 77 64.94% 27.0 -5.242 68.83% -0.087 -0.4023
2 Heart 52 51.92% 31.19 4.789 76.92% 0.337 0.2721
2 Opposite Shores 474 40.0% 30.19 -2.465 75.95% -0.303 -0.4094
2 Thematic 531 42.45% 27.15 -2.664 52.54% -0.467 -0.269
2 Top to Top 56 37.5% 29.41 8.848 76.79% 1.039 0.9703
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 16 43.75% 28.19 0.0 56.25%
3 Other 55 38.18% 33.89 3.666 87.27% 0.076 -0.1927
3 Round (Default) 1126 35.98% 32.61 -0.669 79.75% -0.405 -0.5903
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 32.8 3.714 80.0% 0.52 0.7164
3 Thematic 99 42.42% 32.75 1.004 65.66% -0.207 -0.4398
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 24 58.33% 32.79 3.885 83.33% 0.335 -0.0469
4 Thematic 100 31.31% 41.16 -3.388 76.0% -0.506 -0.2594
4 Trapezoid (Default) 361 39.44% 32.06 -2.988 80.89% -1.538 -1.1762
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 3.142 100.0% 0.119 0.2692
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 41 21.95% 33.68 -13.444 80.49% -0.902 -1.3579
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 39.33 0.0 83.33%
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 27 25.93% 41.85 9.423 85.19% 0.258 0.4297
6 Two Centers (Default) 42 30.95% 27.88 1.011 66.67% 0.077 -0.0591

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 514 26.59 1.961 60.51% 0.064 0.2396
Aid From Lesser Spirits 411 27.32 1.245 62.04% 0.481 0.4266
All Things Weaken 566 25.87 2.516 56.54% 0.396 0.6734
Attenuated Essence 46 24.04 0.872 58.7% 0.244 0.3318
Back Against the Wall 421 28.35 6.253 64.13% -0.024 0.0522
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 44 20.5 -1.223 40.91% -0.327 -0.1376
Burn Brightest Before the End 42 26.21 1.333 54.76% -0.038 0.1993
Disintegrating Ecosystem 503 24.32 3.957 55.07% 1.306 1.6912
Downward Spiral 632 25.13 -1.767 59.02% -0.313 -0.1736
Erosion of Will 445 25.89 5.529 60.0% 1.355 1.6429
Intensifying Exploitation 60 22.88 0.329 51.67% 0.119 0.3483
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 295 31.73 2.789 79.32% 0.318 -0.2213
Memory Fades to Dust 583 24.72 -1.835 57.63% -0.384 -0.1233
Power Corrodes the Spirit 562 26.43 1.153 61.03% -0.017 0.2456
Promising Farmlands 476 24.04 -2.592 53.57% -0.713 -0.401
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 22.71 -1.826 50.0% -0.086 0.0989
Slow Dissolution of Will 42 26.17 -1.812 52.38% -0.291 0.0557
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 192 31.34 3.924 81.77% 0.999 0.3686
The Border of Life and Death 20 31.65 4.925 80.0% 1.126 0.668
Thriving Communities 587 23.67 -2.311 54.0% -0.285 0.053
Thriving Crops 23 16.83 -7.09 34.78% -1.187 -1.1733
Unnatural Proliferation 579 26.61 2.12 58.72% 0.429 0.5639
Untended Land Crumbles 545 25.17 1.285 58.53% 0.455 0.8358

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3123 41.9% 30.96 0.513 76.43% -0.124 0.6948
B 3250 40.04% 31.33 -0.117 76.43% -0.457 0.3114
C 3487 39.55% 31.22 -0.69 76.8% -0.61 0.0236
D 3052 41.18% 31.33 -0.245 76.15% -0.41 0.3703
E 3031 40.11% 31.52 -0.04 77.14% -0.47 0.1489
F 2922 39.74% 30.84 1.198 75.63% 0.101 0.8314
G 2615 42.57% 30.4 -2.337 73.5% -0.906 -0.1061
H 2588 40.94% 31.48 1.471 77.09% -0.142 0.5807
East 1315 42.78% 32.53 3.423 61.14% 0.398 1.2314
Northeast 625 39.74% 31.23 -2.107 57.76% -0.633 0.0582
Northwest 551 42.17% 30.54 -2.296 58.08% -0.781 0.0237
Southeast 456 43.49% 34.06 3.185 68.2% 0.384 1.1142
Southwest 449 45.19% 27.16 -3.291 57.46% -0.673 0.6262
West 1259 45.39% 29.5 -0.784 57.19% -0.795 0.114

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 62 0.0% 34.32 4.382 83.87% 0.549 1.3375
Not Using Events or Tokens 189 47.25% 26.78 -2.766 58.73% -0.496 -0.095
Skip Initial Invader Actions 335 8.76% 45.1 3.127 90.75% 0.271 -0.3623
Start of Game Growth 490 12.16% 43.02 4.253 88.37% 0.257 -0.2935
Unlimited Undo 1389 34.35% 31.15 -0.616 75.95% -0.291 -0.2482
Using Tokens but Not Events 1544 29.35% 32.37 -1.238 75.45% -0.223 -0.2597

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2727 15.91 13.93%
II 6629 30.5 71.16%
III 6574 34.78 91.03%
IV 2612 38.4 99.43%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.516 Win Model: 0.675
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12700 41.21% 31.19 72.78%
2 3969 43.86% 30.07 74.5%
3 1267 36.95% 32.4 78.37%
4 499 37.42% 34.48 81.16%
5 31 32.26% 30.68 74.19%
6 76 28.95% 33.66 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5839
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4444
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2580
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1465
Lose: Invader deck ran out 92
Lose: Adversary condition 1497
Win: Sacrifice victory 85
Lose: Scenario condition 186
Win: Scenario condition 354
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1524
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1291 40.65% 38.06 -0.95 73.51% -0.063 -0.2036
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 10 30.0% 31.8 3.842 70.0% 0.853 0.0782
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 715 70.17% 30.24 -1.407 50.91% -0.634 -0.4226
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 89 46.07% 36.0 5.364 68.54% 1.076 0.2273
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1084 47.41% 37.71 -1.759 74.45% -0.1 -0.2399
Downpour Drenches the World 331 39.82% 31.75 3.262 60.73% 0.783 1.099
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 486 38.89% 30.57 1.313 60.08% 0.391 -0.0531
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1364 38.64% 40.89 2.82 79.47% 0.722 0.34
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1089 49.68% 37.18 0.967 71.63% 0.385 -0.0575
Finder of Paths Unseen 162 57.41% 23.83 -4.246 43.83% -0.543 0.1067
Fractured Days Split the Sky 499 52.82% 32.72 -6.149 52.91% -1.2 -0.6224
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 579 61.76% 33.68 0.535 63.56% 0.425 0.4253
Heart of the Wildfire 1557 74.25% 31.04 -1.372 56.9% -0.207 0.0792
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1973 49.01% 37.4 1.594 70.7% 0.622 0.2736
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 91 46.15% 30.93 -2.611 58.24% -0.332 -0.6476
Lightning's Swift Strike 695 61.22% 36.64 3.613 69.21% 1.012 1.3307
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 144 58.33% 32.97 0.994 63.19% 0.255 -0.2543
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 310 57.74% 38.02 -0.472 71.61% -0.172 -0.4863
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 279 55.76% 34.18 4.215 60.57% 0.491 0.3236
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1592 59.19% 34.6 -1.222 64.38% -0.085 -0.3865
Many Minds Move as One 923 38.33% 39.29 -1.197 78.66% 0.163 -0.0031
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1493 55.86% 35.99 0.842 66.98% 0.34 0.3091
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1116 52.39% 35.85 1.943 68.82% 0.411 0.2703
River Surges in Sunlight 1127 54.59% 38.75 1.578 67.79% 0.306 0.4161
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 7 57.14% 19.57 -3.249 42.86% -0.141 -0.294
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 393 58.42% 33.13 -1.333 54.2% -0.271 0.2059
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 191 45.26% 34.42 2.651 62.3% 0.525 0.4439
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1155 55.29% 35.58 2.212 67.71% 0.714 0.4994
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 319 77.12% 31.77 -4.908 53.92% -0.732 -0.1863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 57.78% 24.47 -6.709 40.0% -0.291 -0.0114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 68 47.06% 34.43 4.737 63.24% 0.651 0.1617
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 52.27% 20.52 -8.25 36.36% -0.902 -0.593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 221 68.33% 30.62 -4.088 53.85% -0.594 -0.6042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 155 65.81% 27.56 -9.014 43.87% -1.552 -1.3029
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1033 48.49% 38.0 0.757 72.7% 0.426 0.3175
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 118 39.83% 29.43 -2.379 55.93% -0.376 -0.4975
Shifting Memory of Ages 599 65.16% 29.83 -2.653 55.43% -0.231 0.1384
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 15 60.0% 25.2 -0.512 60.0% 0.43 0.1329
Shroud of Silent Mist 612 75.49% 26.57 -2.155 44.44% -0.502 -0.1194
Starlight Seeks its Form 723 53.08% 32.34 -2.293 59.34% -0.649 -0.8288
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2613 39.87% 37.39 5.747 79.53% 1.584 0.8289
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 753 61.73% 33.14 -3.98 60.69% -0.589 -0.3595
Thunderspeaker 908 54.8% 36.07 -1.237 64.54% -0.168 -0.1645
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 68 29.41% 23.16 -3.426 39.71% -0.646 -0.4881
Towering Roots of the Jungle 36 58.33% 26.67 -0.108 47.22% -0.033 -0.0486
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1576 82.86% 29.5 -1.335 56.79% 0.153 0.22
Vital Strength of the Earth 518 58.99% 31.18 -3.71 54.83% -0.426 0.1201
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 113 46.02% 26.74 -1.205 45.13% -0.22 0.3196
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 265 53.58% 27.35 -8.424 47.55% -1.061 -0.291
Volcano Looming High 1095 65.36% 31.79 -2.56 61.55% -0.149 -0.0166
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 204 46.31% 30.75 -0.168 59.31% 0.071 -0.2421

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 33.33% 28.48 -4.267 52.38% -0.313 -0.3463
Blitz 0 359 47.62% 32.08 0.833 54.6% 0.345 0.6602
Dahan Insurrection 4 227 38.77% 54.61 -1.096 69.6% -0.595 -0.8097
Despicable Theft 2 60 58.33% 29.2 -7.593 40.0% -0.964 0.0205
Elemental Invocation 1 111 67.57% 26.07 0.096 39.64% -0.142 0.83
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 911 13.62% 42.57 2.842 71.13% -0.086 -0.7567
Powers Long Forgotten 1 130 61.54% 33.68 -3.683 50.0% -0.276 0.6863
Rituals of Terror 3 65 64.62% 40.18 -12.431 53.85% -0.461 -0.4262
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 67.92% 37.04 -10.352 47.17% -0.514 0.599
Second Wave 0 704 57.77% 35.42 3.575 58.52% 0.388 0.4585
The Great River 3 51 19.61% 23.59 -4.825 15.69% -1.516 -0.124
Varied Terrains 2 45 57.78% 15.42 -14.058 11.11% -0.921 -0.0229
Ward the Shores 2 140 62.86% 32.56 -2.573 41.43% -0.202 0.7746

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13431 55.34% 34.31 -0.058 65.31% -0.334 -0.1867
1 Thematic 966 54.41% 35.52 -3.787 53.62% -0.93 -0.4877
2 Archipelago 23 69.57% 30.13 0.0 34.78%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3199 57.11% 33.47 -0.564 64.8% -0.087 -0.0056
2 Coastline 371 52.29% 36.24 9.678 71.16% 1.698 1.5908
2 Fragment 94 63.44% 32.89 5.037 60.64% 0.762 0.4462
2 Heart 50 61.22% 29.78 -8.692 54.0% -0.097 -0.1622
2 Opposite Shores 710 55.04% 34.1 0.3 65.07% -0.002 -0.1078
2 Thematic 391 58.82% 31.29 5.662 47.31% 0.4 0.5982
2 Top to Top 100 51.02% 37.1 -7.81 73.0% -0.576 -0.6441
3 Archipelago 9 66.67% 28.44 -8.451 33.33% -0.745 -2.0627
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 40.38 8.947 76.92% 0.887 0.0641
3 Other 69 55.07% 35.74 4.598 71.01% 0.27 0.0018
3 Round (Default) 1395 56.15% 34.65 0.297 66.59% -0.168 -0.3537
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 6.604 80.0% 0.236 0.4318
3 Thematic 61 67.21% 39.33 7.373 67.21% 0.668 0.4352
4 Archipelago 10 90.0% 34.2 -13.935 40.0% -0.507 -0.4175
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 58 60.34% 32.64 -9.882 63.79% -1.499 -1.8813
4 Thematic 165 46.06% 45.51 2.302 76.36% 0.041 0.2884
4 Trapezoid (Default) 572 49.48% 39.05 0.668 77.97% 0.178 0.5392
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 45 45.45% 34.93 3.059 71.11% 0.41 -0.0456
5 Thematic 5 40.0% 31.0 -4.337 60.0% -0.044 -0.2998
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.088 0.0% -0.183 -0.6619
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 10 70.0% 39.3 0.0 60.0%
6 Thematic 37 33.33% 38.43 -6.602 62.16% -0.479 -0.3076
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 23.4% 26.32 -2.596 48.94% 0.114 -0.0219
7 Other 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 856 31.11 0.73 53.74% -0.226 -0.0506
Aid From Lesser Spirits 655 33.99 2.988 60.61% 0.277 0.2225
All Things Weaken 935 30.41 -0.143 53.8% -0.044 0.2336
Attenuated Essence 85 27.26 2.796 43.53% 0.132 0.2195
Back Against the Wall 670 32.4 6.058 57.16% 0.461 0.537
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 27.54 -0.256 47.66% -0.24 -0.0508
Burn Brightest Before the End 80 32.26 1.953 56.25% -0.014 0.2236
Disintegrating Ecosystem 769 28.79 0.024 54.1% 0.05 0.4352
Downward Spiral 944 29.71 2.969 53.6% 0.411 0.5506
Erosion of Will 790 29.7 2.618 51.01% 0.334 0.6224
Intensifying Exploitation 88 25.68 0.965 45.45% 0.124 0.3529
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 386 36.94 -0.295 73.32% -0.406 -0.9444
Memory Fades to Dust 887 30.38 -0.352 55.36% -0.262 -0.0014
Power Corrodes the Spirit 854 30.56 -1.596 55.15% -0.15 0.1121
Promising Farmlands 738 28.57 -0.383 51.08% -0.005 0.307
Shattered Fragments of Power 73 28.86 -0.677 45.21% -0.526 -0.3415
Slow Dissolution of Will 82 28.09 0.232 46.34% 0.08 0.4263
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 250 38.12 4.319 76.8% 0.935 0.3053
The Border of Life and Death 29 25.41 1.971 37.93% -0.329 -0.7864
Thriving Communities 901 27.49 -1.89 47.39% -0.355 -0.0169
Thriving Crops 45 27.38 4.021 53.33% 0.497 0.5103
Unnatural Proliferation 922 31.62 0.873 55.31% -0.208 -0.073
Untended Land Crumbles 913 29.15 -1.16 51.59% -0.628 -0.2475

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4049 55.9% 33.66 0.358 64.21% 0.164 0.9829
B 4119 56.31% 34.18 -0.067 65.19% -0.158 0.6109
C 4597 53.28% 35.21 1.18 68.61% 0.068 0.7015
D 3778 57.31% 33.82 -2.176 64.9% -0.688 0.092
E 3903 54.27% 34.85 0.314 67.08% 0.033 0.6513
F 3650 54.98% 34.72 0.527 66.44% -0.117 0.614
G 3147 55.54% 34.6 -0.129 66.09% -0.117 0.6832
H 3057 52.44% 34.94 -1.029 66.86% -0.36 0.3631
East 1032 54.08% 36.9 1.571 57.27% 0.086 0.9194
Northeast 506 53.07% 35.53 -0.095 53.16% -0.094 0.5978
Northwest 489 51.33% 35.23 -2.97 54.19% -0.474 0.3305
Southeast 352 51.43% 38.48 -0.204 63.64% 0.004 0.7348
Southwest 325 49.54% 34.69 -0.607 57.23% 0.124 1.4238
West 1003 52.9% 35.83 -0.949 55.73% -0.697 0.2124

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 74 0.0% 36.49 5.747 68.92% 0.388 1.1771
Not Using Events or Tokens 77 50.0% 33.14 -6.564 62.34% -0.475 -0.0737
Skip Initial Invader Actions 334 17.48% 51.98 0.625 85.63% 0.125 -0.5084
Start of Game Growth 536 22.73% 47.99 2.662 81.9% 0.154 -0.3965
Unlimited Undo 1797 45.42% 35.16 -0.41 66.33% -0.37 -0.3271
Using Tokens but Not Events 1754 46.59% 34.38 -1.289 65.17% -0.076 -0.1127

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4584 15.91 7.72%
II 9533 30.5 67.04%
III 5423 34.78 94.56%
IV 2323 38.4 99.74%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.053 Win Model: -0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14514 55.21% 34.37 64.4%
2 4879 56.92% 33.75 64.17%
3 1542 56.11% 34.8 66.8%
4 792 50.0% 40.1 76.77%
5 36 45.71% 26.72 52.78%
6 100 31.31% 32.75 55.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 352
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5066
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6178
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2290
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1690
Lose: Invader deck ran out 65
Lose: Adversary condition 3045
Win: Sacrifice victory 89
Lose: Scenario condition 239
Win: Scenario condition 215
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2452
Lose: Spirit destroyed 182

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1460 51.48% 37.43 -1.131 64.18% -0.274 -0.4146
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 13 69.23% 40.38 5.049 84.62% 1.146 0.3712
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 754 75.8% 31.2 -4.045 46.15% -0.874 -0.6633
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 119 53.78% 38.86 4.539 68.91% 0.644 -0.2053
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1142 61.44% 36.21 4.249 63.05% 0.926 0.7859
Downpour Drenches the World 476 51.68% 27.53 0.316 42.44% 0.211 0.5269
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 654 49.69% 33.44 1.646 57.49% 0.317 -0.1273
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1622 46.85% 40.32 0.701 71.39% 0.386 0.0039
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1124 56.15% 37.79 -2.039 63.52% -0.106 -0.5484
Finder of Paths Unseen 172 58.72% 24.03 -3.347 34.88% -0.308 0.3419
Fractured Days Split the Sky 516 54.65% 33.05 -1.889 48.84% -0.213 0.3641
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 695 67.34% 33.88 -1.317 56.4% -0.236 -0.2358
Heart of the Wildfire 1464 76.58% 31.67 -1.673 50.82% -0.196 0.0897
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2565 56.29% 36.42 0.26 60.43% -0.02 -0.3689
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 113 47.79% 32.04 2.248 53.1% 0.347 0.0318
Lightning's Swift Strike 802 72.63% 34.59 3.027 54.24% 0.395 0.7138
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 220 68.64% 37.95 4.449 65.0% 0.761 0.2519
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 364 60.11% 37.29 3.167 63.46% 0.239 -0.0753
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 311 58.84% 36.72 1.133 59.81% -0.158 -0.3256
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1883 70.0% 32.89 -1.005 53.32% -0.152 -0.4535
Many Minds Move as One 976 48.25% 41.86 2.746 75.41% 0.738 0.5722
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1873 58.24% 38.19 4.009 61.83% 0.733 0.7015
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1205 61.12% 35.51 2.305 60.17% 0.284 0.1437
River Surges in Sunlight 1388 59.22% 40.54 3.733 65.27% 0.268 0.3788
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 81.82% 38.0 3.535 81.82% 0.901 0.7481
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 433 66.13% 31.92 -3.473 47.58% -0.325 0.1518
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 291 51.38% 37.27 2.346 53.26% -0.015 -0.0965
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1176 60.44% 35.0 -0.496 59.35% -0.238 -0.4528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 248 77.02% 29.41 -6.392 37.1% -1.049 -0.5034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 62.86% 24.0 -4.94 34.29% -0.501 -0.2222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 96 63.54% 29.82 4.612 51.04% 0.609 0.1201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 58 68.97% 32.21 6.584 43.1% -0.002 0.3066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 185 77.84% 30.96 -5.123 47.03% -1.087 -1.0969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 131 76.15% 26.75 -1.717 33.59% 0.243 0.492
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1116 56.24% 37.94 -1.524 65.05% -0.278 -0.3866
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 185 54.05% 31.01 -1.055 49.73% 0.051 -0.0709
Shifting Memory of Ages 552 69.82% 28.77 0.51 46.01% 0.236 0.6053
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 19 47.37% 33.53 2.143 68.42% 0.647 0.3493
Shroud of Silent Mist 646 76.86% 25.54 -7.967 35.76% -1.411 -1.0282
Starlight Seeks its Form 932 52.63% 33.23 1.617 54.18% 0.599 0.4186
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3284 50.26% 36.62 1.78 68.82% 0.555 -0.1997
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 772 69.01% 33.53 -2.401 50.39% -0.34 -0.1105
Thunderspeaker 990 64.47% 35.87 0.521 57.47% 0.501 0.5039
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 60.0% 28.83 -2.392 50.0% -0.522 -0.3638
Towering Roots of the Jungle 37 56.76% 25.51 -2.515 45.95% -0.321 -0.3367
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1874 86.36% 29.47 -3.953 47.76% -0.926 -0.859
Vital Strength of the Earth 551 68.78% 26.97 -7.463 32.3% -0.983 -0.4371
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 148 48.98% 27.98 -0.069 42.57% 0.339 0.8789
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 223 69.06% 30.26 -4.147 44.84% -0.546 0.2235
Volcano Looming High 1340 71.64% 32.76 -0.398 55.82% 0.161 0.2935
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 260 57.69% 28.87 -3.957 49.23% -0.686 -0.9986

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 37.5% 47.0 -12.95 75.0% -0.319 -0.3526
Blitz 0 283 38.87% 40.33 0.532 51.24% -0.293 0.022
Dahan Insurrection 4 207 44.44% 57.26 -6.311 63.29% -0.99 -1.204
Despicable Theft 2 19 57.89% 31.16 -12.666 42.11% -0.333 0.6518
Elemental Invocation 1 139 64.75% 28.93 -5.987 31.65% -0.871 0.1004
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 895 18.69% 44.58 2.297 66.37% 0.163 -0.5074
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 63.33% 28.49 -9.904 35.0% -0.977 -0.0141
Rituals of Terror 3 62 64.52% 39.47 14.417 43.55% 0.463 0.4974
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 70.91% 29.4 -14.548 29.09% -0.562 0.5512
Second Wave 0 399 56.06% 36.14 -0.855 53.38% -0.411 -0.3407
The Great River 3 58 31.03% 34.71 1.438 32.76% -0.52 0.8719
Varied Terrains 2 22 31.82% 24.91 10.876 22.73% -0.068 0.8306
Ward the Shores 2 86 63.95% 27.24 -6.192 23.26% -0.752 0.2244

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15707 62.65% 34.35 0.348 58.11% 0.702 0.8498
1 Thematic 997 60.88% 35.05 -6.168 45.64% -0.525 -0.0826
2 Archipelago 25 76.0% 42.6 0.0 64.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3669 64.82% 34.05 -1.474 57.94% -0.12 -0.0389
2 Coastline 416 61.93% 38.58 3.455 68.03% 0.404 0.2976
2 Fragment 84 69.51% 32.33 7.902 52.38% 0.475 0.1597
2 Heart 44 75.61% 37.05 0.86 65.91% 0.153 0.0876
2 Opposite Shores 844 60.33% 34.11 2.978 52.73% 0.141 0.0353
2 Thematic 317 66.98% 32.63 5.537 38.49% 0.803 1.0013
2 Top to Top 127 53.54% 36.88 -5.362 63.78% -0.702 -0.7708
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 39.4 0.0 80.0%
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 71 54.93% 38.92 5.155 74.65% 0.396 0.1273
3 Round (Default) 1761 59.93% 33.84 -1.398 55.31% -0.414 -0.5993
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 67 67.16% 36.42 0.0 43.28%
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 48.7 0.0 70.0%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 11 81.82% 45.18 0.0 81.82%
4 Other 44 58.14% 34.32 -4.106 63.64% -0.404 -0.7865
4 Thematic 135 51.85% 43.51 -8.466 56.3% -1.723 -1.4764
4 Trapezoid (Default) 691 53.63% 36.92 0.927 64.25% -0.34 0.0212
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 49 52.08% 41.1 2.278 73.47% -0.073 -0.5291
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 -3.311 0.0% -0.356 -0.6122
6 Archipelago 2 50.0% 62.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 11 50.0% 47.45 0.0 63.64%
6 Star 8 75.0% 36.25 6.623 75.0% 0.147 -0.004
6 Thematic 12 50.0% 48.33 20.502 83.33% 0.787 0.9583
6 Two Centers (Default) 32 46.88% 35.34 4.183 65.63% 0.103 -0.0329

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1029 31.11 6.132 47.33% 0.815 0.9903
Aid From Lesser Spirits 902 34.62 3.307 55.88% 0.311 0.2559
All Things Weaken 1171 31.3 1.011 47.74% -0.054 0.2232
Attenuated Essence 142 31.95 0.327 51.41% -0.202 -0.1142
Back Against the Wall 814 32.92 1.847 50.86% 0.123 0.1996
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 146 27.88 0.33 41.78% -0.02 0.1696
Burn Brightest Before the End 110 28.5 -1.466 40.0% -0.45 -0.2129
Disintegrating Ecosystem 984 28.81 -0.388 45.12% -0.047 0.338
Downward Spiral 1219 30.84 -2.12 50.45% -0.551 -0.4115
Erosion of Will 1069 29.94 0.645 44.62% 0.119 0.4069
Intensifying Exploitation 132 25.08 -2.403 34.09% -0.781 -0.5517
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 507 36.36 6.994 62.72% 0.984 0.4449
Memory Fades to Dust 1153 30.72 -0.727 47.09% -0.308 -0.0472
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1205 29.79 -1.949 46.06% -0.395 -0.1328
Promising Farmlands 1009 29.58 1.384 45.49% -0.153 0.1592
Shattered Fragments of Power 102 30.79 0.521 41.18% -0.38 -0.1954
Slow Dissolution of Will 140 26.04 0.169 34.29% -0.533 -0.1871
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 310 39.01 3.567 72.58% 0.307 -0.3233
The Border of Life and Death 36 33.5 6.345 58.33% 0.761 0.3028
Thriving Communities 1062 28.22 0.928 41.34% -0.291 0.0471
Thriving Crops 64 27.59 -2.7 46.88% -0.422 -0.4086
Unnatural Proliferation 1181 30.73 -1.552 44.37% -0.855 -0.7205
Untended Land Crumbles 1170 29.99 0.08 46.24% -0.123 0.2577

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4819 61.04% 34.45 -1.149 57.83% -0.357 0.462
B 4791 60.71% 34.38 -0.085 57.98% -0.164 0.604
C 5388 61.91% 34.42 -0.455 57.24% -0.2 0.4338
D 4464 61.81% 34.41 1.284 58.33% 0.165 0.9451
E 4485 62.84% 34.9 1.7 59.18% 0.228 0.8468
F 4116 61.35% 34.87 -1.933 59.18% -0.387 0.3441
G 3624 61.83% 34.94 1.905 59.35% 0.172 0.972
H 3656 61.99% 35.36 1.541 59.96% 0.053 0.7754
East 1017 61.18% 37.17 -3.356 47.69% -0.568 0.265
Northeast 440 61.28% 37.61 -3.949 45.23% -1.155 -0.4636
Northwest 371 61.08% 35.95 1.488 42.86% 0.482 1.2866
Southeast 342 58.48% 35.34 -6.092 47.08% -0.704 0.0261
Southwest 304 59.54% 30.21 -3.929 39.8% -0.612 0.6874
West 860 61.31% 34.04 -0.812 42.21% -0.312 0.5975

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 39.32 8.696 68.18% 0.491 1.28
Not Using Events or Tokens 99 63.64% 36.2 -13.105 49.49% -0.89 -0.4892
Skip Initial Invader Actions 593 14.21% 55.86 7.808 82.46% 0.672 0.0388
Start of Game Growth 829 17.6% 52.4 7.039 81.54% 0.925 0.3751
Unlimited Undo 2013 53.31% 36.5 -2.749 62.1% -0.678 -0.6347
Using Tokens but Not Events 1596 50.71% 34.96 3.867 59.09% 0.619 0.5815

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6063 15.91 4.17%
II 10420 30.5 58.56%
III 6971 34.78 91.64%
IV 1717 38.4 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.292 Win Model: 0.468
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16816 62.5% 34.36 57.24%
2 5468 64.13% 34.6 57.52%
3 1902 59.96% 34.11 55.57%
4 883 53.58% 37.91 63.08%
5 38 54.05% 35.97 60.53%
6 64 50.79% 40.98 71.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 252
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6309
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5948
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1699
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1846
Lose: Invader deck ran out 192
Lose: Adversary condition 4885
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 264
Win: Scenario condition 150
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3294
Lose: Spirit destroyed 237

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 804 68.87% 40.87 -2.204 57.84% -0.358 -0.4982
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 8 75.0% 49.13 9.873 87.5% 1.234 0.4593
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 418 88.04% 31.78 -1.998 35.17% -1.069 -0.8581
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 68 72.06% 30.43 2.976 39.71% 0.237 -0.6124
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 663 85.52% 31.8 -0.683 37.25% -0.224 -0.3646
Downpour Drenches the World 265 60.75% 28.2 -4.197 34.72% -0.238 0.0782
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 363 72.18% 32.92 2.395 46.56% 0.364 -0.0803
Eyes Watch From the Trees 860 69.66% 42.02 0.295 57.56% -0.029 -0.4113
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 782 73.88% 39.64 1.326 52.56% -0.077 -0.5195
Finder of Paths Unseen 109 55.05% 30.04 -3.922 43.12% -0.3 0.3492
Fractured Days Split the Sky 367 70.84% 37.7 -8.175 44.41% -1.061 -0.4833
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 362 82.6% 31.61 -2.704 38.67% -0.424 -0.4239
Heart of the Wildfire 1826 83.15% 34.8 -3.759 44.3% -0.775 -0.4893
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1408 74.07% 37.54 2.04 47.94% 0.507 0.1579
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 51 68.63% 27.73 -1.97 35.29% -0.193 -0.508
Lightning's Swift Strike 291 90.66% 30.4 4.071 31.96% 0.001 0.3198
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 72.13% 43.2 8.157 54.35% 0.851 0.3413
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 215 90.7% 39.19 14.617 50.7% 0.877 0.5632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 108 84.26% 37.56 16.229 48.15% 0.471 0.3036
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1388 75.99% 37.84 2.275 49.57% 0.152 -0.1491
Many Minds Move as One 562 60.5% 44.52 3.944 66.55% 0.128 -0.0385
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 711 80.08% 32.52 -4.785 36.57% -0.859 -0.8901
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 710 83.36% 35.63 -1.562 46.2% -0.486 -0.6263
River Surges in Sunlight 768 79.82% 40.18 1.009 49.35% -0.013 0.0978
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 62.5% 30.13 -0.308 37.5% -0.313 -0.4666
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 180 82.78% 29.67 -4.996 27.78% 0.035 0.512
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 139 63.31% 41.12 -0.19 55.4% -0.213 -0.2945
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 672 77.08% 39.82 2.575 55.06% 0.554 0.3393
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 181 76.24% 26.1 -7.116 23.76% -0.926 -0.3803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 75.0% 38.13 1.888 45.83% 0.157 0.4367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 90 75.56% 38.58 8.42 52.22% 1.279 0.7897
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 70.59% 33.09 0.0 47.06%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 138 86.23% 37.25 -3.009 47.1% -0.918 -0.9284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 115 86.96% 34.83 -6.872 43.48% -0.638 -0.3887
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 474 72.57% 39.19 0.409 49.58% 0.278 0.1697
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 92 57.61% 39.28 3.347 54.35% 0.02 -0.101
Shifting Memory of Ages 432 84.03% 32.71 -0.597 40.51% -0.462 -0.093
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 9 88.89% 53.89 11.641 88.89% 1.312 1.0149
Shroud of Silent Mist 343 86.01% 31.87 -0.51 39.07% -0.497 -0.1138
Starlight Seeks its Form 696 73.28% 37.84 4.62 52.87% 0.73 0.5498
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2811 58.65% 41.45 2.123 64.92% 0.697 -0.058
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 542 81.7% 34.77 0.481 40.96% 0.346 0.5754
Thunderspeaker 492 84.35% 36.53 -0.389 44.31% -0.499 -0.496
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 53 71.7% 20.13 -8.501 20.75% -0.729 -0.5716
Towering Roots of the Jungle 69 57.97% 17.25 -3.201 20.29% -0.615 -0.6308
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2067 91.29% 33.33 1.368 42.38% -0.001 0.0662
Vital Strength of the Earth 245 82.04% 28.44 -2.504 23.67% -0.564 -0.0184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 84 67.47% 32.11 9.009 35.71% 1.029 1.569
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 130 84.62% 29.48 2.607 27.69% 0.207 0.9761
Volcano Looming High 966 86.02% 31.6 1.642 39.03% 0.454 0.5864
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 175 73.71% 34.17 3.703 52.0% 0.637 0.3243

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 19.71 0.0 28.57%
Blitz 0 101 61.39% 34.94 -7.156 44.55% -0.495 -0.18
Dahan Insurrection 4 53 67.92% 50.83 0.0 37.74%
Despicable Theft 2 28 64.29% 25.43 -1.427 21.43% -0.233 0.7512
Elemental Invocation 1 52 61.54% 28.06 -7.4 21.15% -0.501 0.4705
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 563 25.75% 49.14 8.893 60.75% 0.572 -0.0984
Powers Long Forgotten 1 51 70.59% 27.8 -9.246 25.49% -0.299 0.6639
Rituals of Terror 3 28 57.14% 50.04 11.929 53.57% 0.824 0.8589
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 92.0% 39.88 0.0 32.0%
Second Wave 0 257 69.02% 38.21 1.786 44.36% -0.045 0.0254
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 16 68.75% 26.31 -1.126 25.0% -0.619 0.2797
Ward the Shores 2 50 78.0% 27.94 4.042 20.0% 0.162 1.1379

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 10941 76.8% 36.43 -0.525 48.88% -0.095 0.0522
1 Thematic 390 65.64% 34.69 -8.389 36.92% -0.815 -0.3727
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2531 79.89% 35.92 1.975 47.73% 0.353 0.4344
2 Coastline 285 80.0% 37.13 -1.144 49.82% -0.362 -0.4687
2 Fragment 47 76.6% 36.72 6.787 48.94% 0.208 -0.108
2 Heart 32 90.63% 37.56 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 457 77.19% 34.89 2.691 42.89% 0.291 0.1852
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 174 79.89% 35.14 1.177 32.76% 0.21 0.4076
2 Top to Top 113 92.04% 34.95 0.611 42.48% -0.193 -0.2618
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 46 78.26% 44.98 6.032 71.74% 0.315 0.0466
3 Round (Default) 1148 77.51% 34.87 -1.414 46.78% -0.184 -0.3691
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 29 82.76% 33.55 0.569 27.59% -0.152 -0.3849
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 45.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 20 70.0% 43.8 0.0 70.0%
4 Thematic 123 60.16% 47.24 0.0 55.28%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 323 77.12% 37.57 1.889 47.99% 0.302 0.6635
5 Other 14 38.46% 38.64 -7.424 50.0% -0.307 -0.7633
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 5 80.0% 17.6 -16.916 20.0% -0.306 0.3707
6 Star 9 33.33% 27.44 0.0 22.22%
6 Thematic 30 13.33% 65.33 3.706 73.33% 0.037 0.2079
6 Two Centers (Default) 15 46.67% 19.93 2.672 26.67% 0.165 0.0291

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 905 36.02 6.084 45.86% 0.902 1.0778
Aid From Lesser Spirits 725 39.27 11.561 52.28% 1.586 1.5311
All Things Weaken 1010 34.39 3.759 40.2% 0.285 0.5624
Attenuated Essence 98 34.9 9.784 45.92% 1.327 1.4145
Back Against the Wall 699 38.91 4.877 49.79% 0.302 0.3786
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 116 37.34 7.193 53.45% 1.075 1.2641
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 33.55 4.751 41.1% 0.398 0.6355
Disintegrating Ecosystem 903 34.15 3.282 44.19% 0.544 0.9295
Downward Spiral 901 34.38 3.304 43.73% 0.625 0.7641
Erosion of Will 871 35.82 4.59 43.05% 0.743 1.0313
Intensifying Exploitation 109 28.11 1.276 31.19% 0.074 0.3036
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 323 39.24 3.024 53.87% 0.212 -0.3269
Memory Fades to Dust 1009 34.52 5.718 43.31% 0.882 1.1425
Power Corrodes the Spirit 946 35.07 4.122 44.4% 0.574 0.8364
Promising Farmlands 843 33.08 0.735 39.15% 0.191 0.5033
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 33.36 5.357 43.68% 0.771 0.9562
Slow Dissolution of Will 114 32.12 5.249 35.09% 0.725 1.0711
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 196 43.81 8.201 63.78% 1.131 0.5012
The Border of Life and Death 25 33.52 2.632 52.0% 0.841 0.3833
Thriving Communities 923 33.03 1.436 41.39% -0.01 0.3282
Thriving Crops 46 34.13 4.328 45.65% 0.839 0.8525
Unnatural Proliferation 1007 36.36 6.117 44.49% 0.806 0.9405
Untended Land Crumbles 966 33.5 2.431 40.06% 0.302 0.6825

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2927 77.15% 35.36 -0.902 46.46% -0.298 0.5213
B 3377 77.51% 36.32 -0.51 49.01% -0.059 0.7097
C 3637 77.02% 36.88 -0.198 49.6% 0.01 0.6433
D 2832 79.44% 35.64 1.216 47.25% 0.101 0.8816
E 2906 78.85% 35.63 0.503 46.7% 0.145 0.7635
F 2771 77.54% 36.5 -0.609 49.26% -0.417 0.3141
G 2371 76.51% 35.37 -0.705 46.1% -0.095 0.7043
H 2329 76.1% 36.53 2.421 49.38% 0.333 1.0562
East 548 65.88% 39.31 0.02 40.88% -0.056 0.7775
Northeast 249 63.05% 42.74 4.732 44.98% 0.622 1.3132
Northwest 201 62.19% 42.79 5.204 44.78% 0.268 1.0723
Southeast 220 57.27% 42.76 -1.514 48.64% -0.703 0.028
Southwest 197 60.41% 41.86 -0.866 47.21% -0.514 0.7855
West 463 67.17% 38.87 -0.266 39.74% -0.248 0.6609

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 12 0.0% 33.0 -6.224 41.67% -0.656 0.1335
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 80.65% 41.13 0.0 54.84%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 171 45.51% 52.67 -4.836 73.68% -0.682 -1.3155
Start of Game Growth 394 47.69% 50.36 1.442 69.54% 0.463 -0.0874
Unlimited Undo 1693 71.05% 37.83 -0.265 54.28% -0.007 0.0364
Using Tokens but Not Events 747 71.29% 34.32 -1.039 44.98% -0.417 -0.4539

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5106 15.91 2.92%
II 6571 30.5 48.87%
III 4007 34.78 90.22%
IV 1079 38.4 99.81%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.212 Win Model: 0.074
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11378 76.41% 36.39 48.47%
2 3641 80.03% 35.92 46.72%
3 1208 77.3% 34.97 46.94%
4 467 73.22% 40.37 50.75%
5 14 38.46% 28.0 21.43%
6 55 27.27% 45.53 52.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3571
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3157
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1054
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1315
Lose: Invader deck ran out 89
Lose: Adversary condition 3714
Win: Sacrifice victory 91
Lose: Scenario condition 168
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3175
Lose: Spirit destroyed 250

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 386 72.8% 43.19 2.095 52.07% 0.289 0.1488
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 2 100.0% 21.0 -3.801 0.0% -0.257 -1.0322
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 157 87.9% 34.48 -2.969 34.39% -0.431 -0.2197
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 33 60.61% 40.3 5.687 54.55% 0.603 -0.2462
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 278 87.41% 30.43 -6.892 26.62% -0.749 -0.8891
Downpour Drenches the World 131 75.57% 30.37 0.559 28.24% 0.344 0.6598
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 214 79.91% 34.36 3.021 48.13% 0.327 -0.1175
Eyes Watch From the Trees 309 67.64% 41.13 0.187 48.54% -0.403 -0.7848
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 267 86.89% 35.77 -1.089 37.45% -0.136 -0.5784
Finder of Paths Unseen 48 47.92% 27.08 -4.601 35.42% -0.286 0.3638
Fractured Days Split the Sky 176 73.86% 42.28 -0.797 44.89% -0.426 0.1518
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 173 84.97% 30.15 -6.442 30.64% -0.657 -0.6568
Heart of the Wildfire 887 85.12% 29.02 -0.516 27.51% -0.32 -0.0335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 877 72.29% 37.39 1.387 40.94% 0.392 0.0431
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 19 78.95% 32.89 1.547 42.11% 0.091 -0.224
Lightning's Swift Strike 117 94.02% 32.79 -3.827 27.35% -0.264 0.055
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 89.09% 40.42 14.969 49.09% 0.951 0.4415
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 69 97.1% 35.16 -12.742 37.68% -0.177 -0.4906
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 57 84.21% 31.95 9.304 26.32% 0.612 0.4441
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 595 86.89% 37.17 2.662 42.86% 0.676 0.3748
Many Minds Move as One 235 67.23% 47.02 4.055 64.26% 0.052 -0.114
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 352 78.41% 37.22 3.694 40.34% 0.183 0.1513
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 273 82.42% 35.16 -4.621 37.73% -0.725 -0.8657
River Surges in Sunlight 315 85.4% 39.36 -4.691 39.37% -0.551 -0.4411
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 5 100.0% 39.0 3.962 40.0% 0.122 -0.031
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 69 81.16% 34.93 0.0 28.99%
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 99 66.67% 44.33 5.784 53.54% 0.52 0.4391
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 335 77.31% 40.16 5.092 45.37% 0.708 0.4937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 103 93.2% 26.48 -2.195 7.77% -0.613 -0.0666
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 12 100.0% 44.0 0.0 50.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 26 92.31% 30.5 -5.675 26.92% -0.833 -1.3221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 50.0% 11.0 -12.44 12.5% -0.448 -0.1396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 49 85.71% 31.69 -8.051 28.57% -0.059 -0.0691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 50 90.0% 29.62 0.0 18.0%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 156 81.41% 33.95 -10.496 31.41% -0.363 -0.4718
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 41 73.17% 33.1 -4.432 43.9% -0.042 -0.1639
Shifting Memory of Ages 174 85.63% 36.06 -0.595 36.21% 0.225 0.5943
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 2 100.0% 32.5 4.271 50.0% 0.221 -0.0766
Shroud of Silent Mist 143 83.22% 27.31 -6.876 21.68% -0.523 -0.1402
Starlight Seeks its Form 258 80.23% 38.09 -1.797 45.74% 0.09 -0.0904
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1327 60.89% 41.98 3.829 58.33% 1.133 0.3779
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 222 84.68% 31.69 2.591 26.13% 0.228 0.457
Thunderspeaker 194 90.21% 33.49 -0.335 30.41% 0.266 0.2693
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 83.33% 27.78 -12.742 22.22% -0.177 -0.0189
Towering Roots of the Jungle 13 84.62% 25.23 -2.327 30.77% -0.079 -0.0948
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 718 92.76% 34.35 -1.114 38.86% 0.316 0.3832
Vital Strength of the Earth 98 84.69% 32.27 -2.504 24.49% -0.519 0.0271
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 34 50.0% 31.62 -6.235 29.41% -0.105 0.435
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 51 74.51% 25.92 -12.742 21.57% -0.177 0.5929
Volcano Looming High 418 89.95% 31.49 4.23 30.38% 0.813 0.9457
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 58 65.52% 36.02 0.805 48.28% 0.133 -0.1802

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -4.424 0.0% -0.046 -0.0797
Blitz 0 47 59.57% 26.53 -9.423 23.4% -0.759 -0.4438
Dahan Insurrection 4 54 83.33% 43.54 -2.978 12.96% -0.134 -0.3485
Despicable Theft 2 10 80.0% 30.2 0.0 20.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 35 45.71% 23.4 -12.161 17.14% -0.376 0.596
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 206 31.55% 40.61 12.288 36.89% 0.854 0.1834
Powers Long Forgotten 1 31 70.97% 27.45 -9.9 19.35% -0.318 0.6447
Rituals of Terror 3 19 78.95% 45.05 0.0 21.05%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 180 88.33% 24.76 0.0 1.11%
Second Wave 0 94 58.51% 40.18 -6.213 44.68% -0.535 -0.4646
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 42.0 6.34 0.0% -0.04 0.8589
Ward the Shores 2 19 47.37% 21.63 -10.422 15.79% -0.1 0.876

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5089 78.09% 35.81 1.043 41.52% 0.461 0.6082
1 Thematic 492 80.08% 28.03 -7.812 12.2% -0.94 -0.4979
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.235 0.0% -0.105 0.4496
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1019 85.28% 35.51 2.408 38.08% 0.643 0.7242
2 Coastline 120 75.83% 36.02 3.401 44.17% 0.528 0.4217
2 Fragment 13 100.0% 36.69 -4.589 46.15% -0.388 -0.7039
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 0.0 44.44%
2 Opposite Shores 163 77.91% 38.04 0.349 39.88% -0.14 -0.246
2 Thematic 55 56.36% 30.47 -10.223 14.55% -0.27 -0.0722
2 Top to Top 68 92.65% 35.47 10.694 38.24% 0.753 0.685
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 17 70.59% 50.29 -1.74 76.47% -0.145 -0.4139
3 Round (Default) 374 79.41% 39.23 -3.405 48.13% -0.188 -0.3728
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 10 50.0% 23.7 0.0 20.0%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 6.449 72.73% 0.571 0.189
4 Thematic 47 65.96% 49.47 6.34 48.94% -0.04 0.2074
4 Trapezoid (Default) 164 79.27% 37.23 2.496 40.24% 0.123 0.4842
5 Other 10 90.0% 42.3 -13.918 60.0% -0.218 -0.6735
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -2.103 0.0% -0.044 -0.2998
6 Other 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 -4.424 22.22% -0.046 0.1253
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 66.67% 26.0 -19.376 33.33% -0.574 -0.7101

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 442 35.17 3.635 34.62% 0.271 0.4469
Aid From Lesser Spirits 346 40.66 8.397 47.11% 0.842 0.7868
All Things Weaken 454 34.09 5.469 33.48% 0.442 0.7191
Attenuated Essence 59 30.86 0.805 35.59% -0.021 0.0668
Back Against the Wall 333 36.13 -0.653 35.44% -0.333 -0.2568
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 69 24.38 -9.229 24.64% -1.5 -1.3103
Burn Brightest Before the End 38 37.08 -0.086 44.74% 0.115 0.3526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 387 34.59 9.238 36.95% 1.284 1.6691
Downward Spiral 454 32.52 -0.851 31.28% -0.034 0.1051
Erosion of Will 429 33.74 -1.375 32.4% -0.122 0.1665
Intensifying Exploitation 51 33.25 1.187 43.14% 0.07 0.2992
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 41.66 -1.826 50.0% -0.423 -0.9618
Memory Fades to Dust 428 33.77 -3.229 34.35% -0.5 -0.2393
Power Corrodes the Spirit 479 34.19 4.871 34.45% 0.697 0.9589
Promising Farmlands 396 33.69 -2.515 33.84% -0.493 -0.1807
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 37.58 8.939 42.5% 0.84 1.0249
Slow Dissolution of Will 43 33.79 3.908 37.21% 0.477 0.8236
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 81 45.51 12.984 60.49% 0.422 -0.2081
The Border of Life and Death 10 18.8 0.0 20.0%
Thriving Communities 475 33.49 2.247 34.32% 0.188 0.5264
Thriving Crops 17 35.06 -6.638 52.94% -0.254 -0.2404
Unnatural Proliferation 453 35.74 5.173 35.32% 0.479 0.614
Untended Land Crumbles 496 33.26 -2.096 32.26% -0.237 0.1439

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1225 81.39% 35.26 -3.329 39.59% -0.578 0.2407
B 1404 80.84% 36.93 1.244 42.88% 0.147 0.9152
C 1460 80.96% 38.11 0.715 44.79% 0.139 0.772
D 1150 82.0% 36.16 2.116 41.22% 0.221 1.001
E 1264 79.91% 35.75 0.018 40.27% -0.136 0.4823
F 1307 76.13% 35.06 -0.222 40.4% -0.085 0.6459
G 1053 79.3% 37.21 1.406 42.64% 0.299 1.0991
H 1028 79.28% 37.19 -0.087 42.22% 0.284 1.0067
East 260 63.85% 34.0 -3.843 25.38% -0.537 0.2965
Northeast 104 67.31% 34.59 -6.113 25.0% -0.381 0.3102
Northwest 155 80.65% 30.74 -0.063 14.84% -0.129 0.6754
Southeast 132 62.12% 32.37 -6.89 25.0% -0.665 0.0652
Southwest 249 77.91% 27.68 -7.022 11.24% -0.335 0.9647
West 442 78.73% 29.48 0.961 12.9% -0.086 0.8236

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 77.27% 42.36 0.0 40.91%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 83 57.83% 56.78 7.255 75.9% 0.639 0.0062
Start of Game Growth 139 58.27% 51.63 5.056 66.91% 0.53 -0.0209
Unlimited Undo 681 69.46% 42.05 1.762 56.68% 0.358 0.4009
Using Tokens but Not Events 480 68.54% 37.09 0.698 43.13% -0.508 -0.5455

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2315 15.91 0.73%
II 3131 30.5 30.15%
III 1708 34.78 89.52%
IV 546 38.4 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.125 Win Model: -0.024
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5618 78.16% 35.16 38.91%
2 1438 82.89% 35.65 38.18%
3 399 79.2% 39.92 49.37%
4 224 75.89% 39.73 43.3%
5 7 71.43% 37.43 42.86%
6 14 57.14% 27.86 28.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 17
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1510
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 923
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 536
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 669
Lose: Invader deck ran out 39
Lose: Adversary condition 1911
Win: Sacrifice victory 40
Lose: Scenario condition 102
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1843
Lose: Spirit destroyed 100

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2372 63.43% 40.61 0.697 40.47% 0.495 0.3551
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 33 60.61% 30.12 2.692 33.33% 1.27 0.4952
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 949 86.51% 31.23 -1.734 19.81% -0.313 -0.1023
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 314 71.02% 37.16 4.435 42.36% 0.999 0.1498
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1132 80.12% 26.34 -7.328 15.81% -0.99 -1.1301
Downpour Drenches the World 691 67.97% 31.18 -2.213 25.62% 0.027 0.3434
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1113 74.98% 25.59 -1.668 24.44% -0.067 -0.5112
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1674 80.63% 34.88 -3.584 30.11% -0.812 -1.1939
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1335 83.37% 32.23 -2.227 24.87% -0.234 -0.6766
Finder of Paths Unseen 415 59.04% 27.78 -4.075 27.95% -0.448 0.2017
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1473 64.15% 41.61 -3.013 36.73% -0.351 0.2267
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1083 82.36% 26.53 -7.372 16.34% -1.181 -1.1811
Heart of the Wildfire 4215 85.98% 32.1 -1.755 26.24% -0.176 0.1099
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4141 71.53% 39.54 0.218 38.98% 0.246 -0.1027
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 174 75.29% 21.75 -2.535 17.24% -0.458 -0.7733
Lightning's Swift Strike 1009 90.76% 27.54 -6.056 12.88% -0.625 -0.3062
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 873 75.11% 33.45 4.245 23.25% 0.539 0.0299
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 575 86.71% 34.39 -2.39 30.78% 0.147 -0.1674
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 364 74.1% 38.8 2.658 38.74% 0.867 0.7
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3561 83.83% 32.83 0.195 25.86% 0.111 -0.1901
Many Minds Move as One 1385 69.44% 48.38 4.772 57.33% 1.237 1.0713
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1437 80.14% 32.96 -5.601 27.07% -1.315 -1.3464
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1280 85.3% 34.63 0.247 29.77% 0.124 -0.0163
River Surges in Sunlight 2118 83.08% 41.21 3.324 37.06% 0.508 0.6183
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 23 73.91% 27.52 -0.967 21.74% -0.132 -0.2854
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 408 64.95% 41.05 -8.36 30.88% -0.661 -0.1839
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 440 71.26% 33.85 1.229 29.32% 0.413 0.3321
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2344 65.26% 46.56 5.278 49.96% 0.756 0.5409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 473 77.38% 34.76 6.755 21.35% 0.315 0.8611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 67 86.57% 26.43 0.0 13.43%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 207 76.21% 34.28 7.647 36.71% 1.412 0.9232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 76 80.26% 28.64 2.764 21.05% -0.026 0.2822
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 219 77.17% 32.39 -14.681 19.63% -0.176 -0.186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 167 84.43% 34.27 -7.867 24.55% -0.148 0.1012
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1194 74.62% 36.18 -8.147 31.16% -0.732 -0.8411
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 279 71.68% 26.58 0.138 26.88% -0.019 -0.1401
Shifting Memory of Ages 961 74.97% 36.94 -1.128 31.84% -0.342 0.027
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 26 50.0% 29.42 0.393 34.62% 0.612 0.3148
Shroud of Silent Mist 730 83.97% 29.25 -3.598 20.68% -0.715 -0.3319
Starlight Seeks its Form 2054 70.64% 40.61 2.308 42.55% 0.544 0.3642
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 13625 49.99% 45.92 7.385 57.78% 1.921 1.1666
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1039 85.07% 33.42 1.702 25.02% 0.535 0.7637
Thunderspeaker 1137 78.36% 31.36 -6.122 19.53% -1.263 -1.2596
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 58.33% 14.97 -1.83 9.03% -0.042 0.1155
Towering Roots of the Jungle 145 66.9% 22.23 -2.311 19.31% -0.176 -0.1914
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5484 91.81% 33.58 -0.526 30.0% 0.055 0.1226
Vital Strength of the Earth 382 81.68% 30.81 -6.097 17.02% -0.358 0.1879
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 341 51.03% 15.84 -2.301 12.02% -0.163 0.3767
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 378 81.22% 30.65 -5.517 20.63% -0.864 -0.0945
Volcano Looming High 2611 85.66% 31.71 -3.493 25.09% -0.727 -0.595
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 410 74.08% 30.06 0.264 30.24% 0.325 0.0124

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 463 46.59% 41.93 -6.551 39.52% -1.193 -0.8784
Dahan Insurrection 4 285 64.44% 43.36 8.085 18.6% 0.155 -0.059
Despicable Theft 2 30 86.67% 33.53 -11.802 16.67% -0.122 0.8627
Elemental Invocation 1 131 63.28% 33.74 -8.332 18.32% -0.04 0.9316
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2747 30.14% 48.5 5.432 44.05% 0.765 0.094
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 51.92% 44.41 0.421 50.0% -0.067 0.8958
Rituals of Terror 3 173 26.74% 73.15 1.326 39.88% 0.03 0.0648
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 37.44 4.509 18.52% -0.085 1.0279
Second Wave 0 133 54.89% 41.45 3.682 38.35% 0.292 0.3616
The Great River 3 46 63.04% 33.09 0.0 4.35%
Varied Terrains 2 37 54.05% 40.89 -6.62 37.84% -0.718 0.1809
Ward the Shores 2 41 87.8% 29.88 0.0 7.32%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 43162 73.94% 37.09 -0.259 37.07% -0.06 0.0869
1 Thematic 1452 54.2% 35.35 0.295 28.65% -0.413 0.0295
2 Archipelago 21 52.63% 30.86 0.0 9.52%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4179 81.24% 36.05 -0.146 34.75% -0.173 -0.0915
2 Coastline 800 71.52% 36.55 -1.026 34.25% -1.011 -1.1175
2 Fragment 64 85.94% 37.41 18.745 32.81% 0.557 0.2418
2 Heart 120 83.33% 36.91 0.0 35.0%
2 Opposite Shores 1124 80.05% 32.53 0.37 23.22% -0.57 -0.6757
2 Thematic 237 54.01% 45.72 0.645 22.36% -0.24 -0.0423
2 Top to Top 202 76.24% 37.74 0.453 39.11% 0.098 0.0296
3 Archipelago 5 60.0% 19.6 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 14 64.29% 25.21 0.0 28.57%
3 Other 74 74.32% 39.09 8.564 43.24% 1.011 0.7421
3 Round (Default) 1689 74.9% 34.31 -1.409 32.45% -0.277 -0.4622
3 Sunrise 3 66.67% 36.0 -9.689 33.33% -0.609 -0.4131
3 Thematic 54 25.93% 71.94 32.339 35.19% 0.374 0.1407
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 27.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 28.8 0.0 20.0%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 0.0 60.0%
4 Thematic 171 24.56% 67.04 0.0 67.84%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 805 75.44% 33.32 1.328 27.83% 0.258 0.6199
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 -12.357 70.0% -0.102 -0.3285
5 Other 35 57.14% 44.31 -6.872 54.29% -0.756 -1.2116
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 7.956 33.33% -0.019 -0.9449
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 22.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 11 81.82% 33.91 11.631 27.27% 0.312 0.9882
6 Star 8 62.5% 44.13 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 57 21.05% 48.05 -5.329 49.12% -0.31 -0.1387
6 Two Centers (Default) 158 22.78% 54.22 2.455 52.53% 0.329 0.1933
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2891 35.87 2.463 31.48% 0.249 0.4243
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2257 40.5 4.667 39.57% 0.608 0.5531
All Things Weaken 3032 35.42 5.666 30.8% 0.954 1.2308
Attenuated Essence 400 28.72 2.787 25.25% 0.451 0.5388
Back Against the Wall 2109 39.66 5.165 37.93% 0.512 0.5885
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 373 29.11 2.319 24.93% 0.066 0.2557
Burn Brightest Before the End 297 31.44 6.152 24.24% 0.75 0.9873
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2759 33.5 3.468 29.76% 0.556 0.9415
Downward Spiral 2990 35.15 1.71 31.34% 0.211 0.3503
Erosion of Will 2637 34.08 -0.129 27.68% -0.545 -0.2572
Intensifying Exploitation 411 28.94 3.578 24.33% 0.413 0.6421
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 848 41.29 -1.513 43.63% -0.37 -0.9091
Memory Fades to Dust 3057 33.53 1.951 27.25% 0.177 0.4374
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2870 33.76 -0.826 28.36% -0.448 -0.1856
Promising Farmlands 2782 32.86 0.334 26.6% -0.077 0.2354
Shattered Fragments of Power 286 30.93 4.65 24.83% 0.752 0.9368
Slow Dissolution of Will 412 29.16 2.89 23.54% 0.265 0.6111
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 536 45.02 4.772 52.61% 0.734 0.1038
The Border of Life and Death 75 26.87 4.597 29.33% 0.376 -0.0814
Thriving Communities 2973 33.69 1.165 28.42% -0.308 0.0308
Thriving Crops 148 26.99 -3.91 27.03% -0.458 -0.4442
Unnatural Proliferation 3178 36.7 2.968 32.1% 0.174 0.3081
Untended Land Crumbles 2814 32.77 1.203 25.98% -0.079 0.3014

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 8612 74.64% 36.52 0.222 35.59% -0.219 0.5997
B 9221 73.77% 36.22 -0.559 34.75% -0.266 0.5021
C 11280 74.37% 36.17 -1.643 34.96% -0.321 0.312
D 7775 76.64% 36.12 1.342 34.97% -0.002 0.778
E 8884 76.76% 36.02 0.119 34.42% -0.143 0.4755
F 7931 72.33% 37.89 -0.208 37.41% -0.275 0.4557
G 6380 74.2% 36.86 0.273 36.33% -0.175 0.6248
H 6317 72.07% 37.73 0.951 37.88% -0.001 0.7221
East 1051 46.34% 50.34 3.0 38.06% -0.353 0.4804
Northeast 479 37.58% 55.07 6.958 41.96% 0.025 0.7168
Northwest 617 37.93% 31.7 -6.978 25.12% -1.603 -0.7988
Southeast 391 40.66% 48.67 -0.287 42.97% -0.016 0.7142
Southwest 376 44.68% 43.04 -5.291 40.96% -0.383 0.9159
West 1150 40.96% 40.14 7.877 32.87% 0.699 1.6086

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 38 0.0% 31.63 0.0 39.47%
Not Using Events or Tokens 155 75.48% 37.49 -16.172 10.97% -0.014 0.3871
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1957 22.15% 63.17 10.066 75.27% 1.082 0.4494
Start of Game Growth 2937 25.32% 59.42 7.795 72.22% 0.958 0.4074
Unlimited Undo 5683 61.25% 47.38 4.609 57.94% 1.133 1.1758
Using Tokens but Not Events 2652 57.61% 38.72 0.203 39.29% -0.599 -0.6359

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23844 15.91 2.7%
II 20388 30.5 46.88%
III 8109 34.78 90.55%
IV 2217 38.4 99.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.117 Win Model: -0.054
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 44914 73.17% 37.16 36.91%
2 6557 79.53% 35.56 31.9%
3 1807 73.99% 34.92 32.65%
4 1012 66.7% 38.96 35.87%
5 25 40.0% 34.96 36.0%
6 243 25.93% 50.73 50.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 620
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7226
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9344
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2132
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5362
Lose: Invader deck ran out 378
Lose: Adversary condition 15410
Win: Sacrifice victory 380
Lose: Scenario condition 1094
Win: Scenario condition 54
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11666
Lose: Spirit destroyed 892

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-26 05:36:00 (Pacific Time)