The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1194 27.6% 30.15 0.067 84.09% 0.13 -0.0177
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 856 45.6% 28.35 -1.672 76.17% -0.354 -0.2229
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1030 30.64% 30.95 1.19 87.67% 0.525 0.3807
Downpour Drenches the World 178 29.21% 28.07 -1.869 69.66% -0.335 -0.156
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 116 22.41% 27.72 2.072 76.72% 0.71 -0.0556
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1240 19.58% 34.5 3.022 90.73% 0.65 0.061
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1028 26.29% 32.42 1.024 89.59% 0.216 -0.2808
Finder of Paths Unseen 81 37.04% 20.98 -5.243 53.09% -0.995 -0.3313
Fractured Days Split the Sky 457 38.73% 28.93 -0.307 71.77% -0.065 0.5214
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 546 42.49% 30.88 1.522 80.22% 0.335 0.2401
Heart of the Wildfire 1223 60.41% 25.88 -2.786 75.06% -0.614 -0.3731
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1722 28.07% 31.41 2.202 87.92% 0.797 0.355
Lightning's Swift Strike 720 44.2% 28.02 -0.909 77.78% -0.058 0.1253
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 32.84% 31.55 1.271 80.6% 0.458 -0.0287
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 371 33.15% 32.13 -0.387 89.49% -0.276 -0.4435
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 257 37.35% 29.98 2.145 81.32% 0.304 0.1902
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1261 32.28% 30.78 2.12 86.04% 0.539 0.4068
Many Minds Move as One 921 23.83% 32.02 -1.263 88.06% -0.202 -0.4233
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1232 42.87% 29.39 2.236 79.71% 0.535 0.4925
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 949 33.05% 30.19 0.806 86.83% 0.034 -0.1434
River Surges in Sunlight 925 42.62% 29.57 -4.71 76.76% -1.044 -0.9738
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 394 42.24% 29.57 -0.613 70.56% -0.105 0.2059
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 78 33.33% 33.1 1.297 73.08% 0.05 -0.0639
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 894 32.21% 29.6 0.194 84.79% -0.003 -0.2409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 462 55.19% 27.51 -2.897 72.51% -0.32 0.2098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 44.44% 30.36 0.161 75.0% 0.542 0.4671
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 25 32.0% 31.48 -2.565 76.0% -0.102 -0.2074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 279 33.69% 31.29 2.215 88.17% 0.103 0.0845
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 194 45.88% 28.07 -0.568 75.26% -0.217 -0.0399
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 960 30.9% 31.17 1.248 85.52% 0.227 0.0368
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 27 37.04% 24.3 -0.191 62.96% -0.079 -0.4601
Shifting Memory of Ages 423 47.27% 26.13 -1.621 70.21% -0.306 0.0472
Shroud of Silent Mist 521 49.14% 28.17 -0.391 77.74% 0.153 0.4031
Starlight Seeks its Form 475 28.42% 29.0 -1.793 74.74% -0.369 -0.6301
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1893 28.01% 28.26 1.506 87.53% 0.569 0.0914
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 828 42.81% 27.76 -2.8 75.12% -0.552 -0.4896
Thunderspeaker 980 38.24% 29.82 -0.517 79.59% -0.11 -0.144
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 39.29% 23.04 1.285 60.71% 0.505 0.4658
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1283 63.18% 24.61 -1.562 75.76% -0.048 0.0451
Vital Strength of the Earth 674 37.05% 25.47 -4.037 70.33% -0.908 -0.3836
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 56 21.43% 27.27 0.258 69.64% 0.017 0.2778
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 239 43.1% 24.62 -1.877 70.29% -0.397 0.3791
Volcano Looming High 763 44.95% 27.24 0.408 77.85% 0.291 0.2483

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 50.0% 28.63 -13.292 75.0% -0.753 -1.0089
Blitz 0 223 31.08% 26.99 -3.178 73.99% -0.7 -0.5032
Dahan Insurrection 4 324 25.62% 46.86 3.886 70.37% -1.058 -1.5002
Despicable Theft 2 106 34.91% 31.7 -5.437 66.04% -1.422 -0.6097
Elemental Invocation 1 138 48.55% 26.94 -4.14 65.22% -0.767 -0.0641
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 733 10.37% 33.3 0.415 77.63% -0.402 -1.0467
Powers Long Forgotten 1 195 49.74% 29.23 -5.058 65.64% -1.235 -0.6002
Rituals of Terror 3 177 57.63% 33.47 -9.217 55.93% -1.769 -1.6682
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 139 70.5% 36.19 1.954 66.19% -0.286 0.7238
Second Wave 0 388 47.42% 31.87 4.981 74.23% 0.217 0.2833
The Great River 3 113 61.95% 25.94 -2.707 38.05% -1.156 0.0613
Varied Terrains 2 47 59.57% 26.62 -4.207 48.94% -1.026 -0.4033
Ward the Shores 2 235 42.55% 33.34 4.07 64.26% 0.155 1.2389

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12758 38.98% 28.77 0.092 80.44% 0.158 0.2116
1 Thematic 1297 43.64% 32.5 -0.436 71.78% -0.305 0.1726
2 Archipelago 13 53.85% 28.85 0.0 46.15%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2516 39.27% 28.73 0.106 83.55% 0.318 0.4004
2 Coastline 272 38.97% 29.78 0.613 83.82% 0.087 -0.0675
2 Fragment 51 62.75% 27.22 -0.139 76.47% -0.203 -0.4521
2 Heart 31 35.48% 30.03 5.765 100.0% 0.679 0.3916
2 Opposite Shores 335 32.34% 29.15 -2.672 85.07% -0.36 -0.3369
2 Thematic 336 41.37% 33.34 -0.229 72.02% -0.323 0.081
2 Top to Top 55 41.82% 31.22 2.587 90.91% 0.18 0.0143
3 Archipelago 5 40.0% 43.0 11.255 80.0% 0.46 -1.0888
3 Coastline 9 22.22% 32.0 -0.766 66.67% 0.03 -0.4832
3 Other 55 34.55% 25.93 -8.915 76.36% -1.349 -0.8081
3 Round (Default) 1115 31.06% 29.83 1.399 86.19% 0.576 0.4605
3 Thematic 65 47.69% 29.34 -2.989 61.54% 0.053 0.1328
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 39.4 11.805 80.0% 0.704 0.0298
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 26 19.23% 31.5 3.664 100.0% 0.808 -0.2754
4 Thematic 86 20.93% 38.69 -6.031 83.72% -0.047 -0.3091
4 Trapezoid (Default) 481 31.19% 28.1 -0.858 79.83% -0.06 -0.1422
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 23 17.39% 28.04 -0.98 82.61% -0.269 -0.5543
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 -7.588 55.56% -0.358 -0.4519
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.765 0.0% -0.369 -1.1699
6 Other 5 60.0% 27.0 -4.721 80.0% -0.402 -0.6354
6 Star 5 40.0% 35.8 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 19 26.32% 39.16 0.0 84.21%
6 Two Centers (Default) 52 17.31% 30.27 -6.972 86.54% -0.668 -0.5635
7 Other 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 483 23.05 -1.699 62.73% -0.467 -0.2248
Aid From Lesser Spirits 411 24.05 -0.469 63.26% -0.127 -0.2044
All Things Weaken 560 22.14 1.135 56.96% -0.068 0.3245
Attenuated Essence 15 21.53 1.671 66.67% 0.356 0.4632
Back Against the Wall 458 24.97 0.731 63.76% -0.393 -0.3351
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 10 18.3 -0.319 40.0% -0.352 -0.15
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 26.2 3.259 60.0% 0.292 0.5025
Disintegrating Ecosystem 475 21.47 -0.4 59.37% 0.179 0.6024
Downward Spiral 647 22.15 -1.357 61.98% -0.458 -0.2224
Erosion of Will 539 23.26 -0.749 59.55% -0.41 -0.1011
Intensifying Exploitation 16 25.56 2.086 50.0% -0.105 0.1827
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 276 27.57 4.205 81.88% 0.646 0.152
Memory Fades to Dust 624 23.22 0.424 62.18% -0.13 0.2067
Power Corrodes the Spirit 596 22.98 0.882 64.26% 0.481 0.7013
Promising Farmlands 495 22.77 0.255 61.82% 0.103 0.5562
Shattered Fragments of Power 14 23.86 -0.79 57.14% -0.499 -0.4475
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 18.76 -0.94 41.18% -0.462 -0.0629
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 185 29.02 3.568 89.73% 1.028 0.3171
The Border of Life and Death 8 17.75 -2.992 50.0% -0.393 -0.7288
Thriving Communities 585 21.36 -2.932 59.66% -0.549 -0.1858
Thriving Crops 6 38.5 5.812 83.33% 0.572 0.3737
Unnatural Proliferation 558 22.2 -0.537 53.05% -0.462 -0.247
Untended Land Crumbles 551 21.66 -1.635 57.89% -0.468 -0.1861

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3437 38.16% 28.68 0.076 82.02% -0.264 0.476
B 3281 36.97% 28.52 -0.401 81.41% -0.379 0.347
C 3512 35.32% 29.23 -0.009 82.89% -0.387 0.1951
D 3307 36.88% 28.92 -0.263 82.07% -0.27 0.4411
E 3211 36.81% 29.12 0.827 82.59% -0.094 0.4711
F 3135 36.72% 29.13 -0.387 82.46% -0.317 0.3531
G 2838 37.8% 28.55 -1.325 81.5% -0.899 -0.2475
H 2828 36.41% 29.3 0.998 82.0% -0.163 0.408
East 1073 40.45% 34.88 1.922 75.4% 0.154 0.6925
Northeast 496 39.11% 35.12 -1.538 75.0% -0.781 -0.1463
Northwest 394 42.39% 31.55 -4.643 62.94% -0.956 -0.1473
Southeast 366 37.16% 33.97 1.822 76.5% 0.229 0.9344
Southwest 355 37.18% 29.98 -3.014 72.96% -0.85 0.14
West 967 42.3% 31.54 -0.351 68.36% -0.565 0.3383

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 65 0.0% 28.49 -9.062 80.0% -0.397 0.3789
Not Using Events or Tokens 368 39.19% 27.11 -4.924 74.18% -0.631 -0.2514
Skip Initial Invader Actions 432 5.98% 40.81 7.258 92.36% 1.278 0.6601
Start of Game Growth 701 13.41% 38.58 2.357 90.3% -0.11 -0.4582
Unlimited Undo 1310 30.45% 30.77 -3.668 85.65% -0.812 -0.8184
Using Tokens but Not Events 1575 31.16% 29.32 1.073 80.0% 0.339 0.3282

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1695 20.4 21.65%
II 4236 31.01 63.05%
III 8778 34.76 90.05%
IV 4937 38.07 98.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.031 Win Model: 0.231
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14194 39.51% 29.1 79.39%
2 3545 38.8% 29.33 83.53%
3 1212 31.71% 29.93 85.15%
4 595 29.41% 29.6 80.67%
5 14 14.29% 30.93 85.71%
6 86 23.26% 32.49 86.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 365
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7680
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2482
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4837
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 393
Lose: Invader deck ran out 137
Lose: Adversary condition 1346
Win: Sacrifice victory 84
Lose: Scenario condition 223
Win: Scenario condition 379
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1611
Lose: Spirit destroyed 109

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 896 32.63% 33.97 -1.3 82.25% -0.434 -0.582
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 552 58.36% 31.17 1.427 70.65% 0.301 0.4319
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 735 30.79% 35.06 2.095 85.71% 0.549 0.4045
Downpour Drenches the World 148 27.03% 28.34 -1.926 64.86% -0.409 -0.2293
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 125 20.0% 28.6 1.589 71.2% 0.305 -0.4605
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1003 21.47% 38.77 3.587 90.53% 0.67 0.0816
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 760 30.04% 35.79 1.914 85.79% 0.387 -0.11
Finder of Paths Unseen 65 56.92% 20.65 -5.543 44.62% -0.973 -0.3089
Fractured Days Split the Sky 292 46.23% 32.29 -4.075 69.18% -0.914 -0.3282
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 397 44.58% 33.82 -1.046 78.59% 0.031 -0.0641
Heart of the Wildfire 873 60.94% 30.55 -0.837 75.83% 0.055 0.2966
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1264 39.08% 33.83 0.757 83.7% 0.284 -0.1579
Lightning's Swift Strike 516 46.99% 32.86 -0.923 79.46% -0.19 -0.0072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 50 36.0% 33.06 1.897 76.0% 0.151 -0.3357
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 256 32.03% 36.52 -0.574 84.38% -0.268 -0.4359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 197 35.53% 36.64 4.752 82.74% 0.664 0.5508
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 976 43.65% 33.57 0.425 80.12% 0.085 -0.0475
Many Minds Move as One 684 28.34% 36.81 2.667 88.6% 0.513 0.2914
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 954 44.87% 33.83 1.798 79.87% 0.306 0.2641
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 770 38.49% 32.99 -0.702 79.22% -0.2 -0.3777
River Surges in Sunlight 746 43.09% 34.15 0.849 73.99% -0.07 0.0005
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 283 52.67% 32.81 0.629 68.2% 0.024 0.3343
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 79 30.38% 36.75 1.821 81.01% 0.281 0.1677
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 601 43.67% 32.23 0.636 78.37% 0.378 0.1404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 311 64.31% 28.77 -8.019 65.27% -1.011 -0.4815
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 41.67% 28.08 -4.577 58.33% -0.52 -0.5953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 31.58% 25.47 -3.066 52.63% -0.414 -0.5194
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 206 46.6% 32.35 0.421 76.7% 0.216 0.1971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 138 57.25% 34.2 0.032 78.99% -0.04 0.1371
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 754 39.44% 35.29 0.231 84.88% 0.259 0.0692
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 26 30.77% 26.73 0.086 65.38% 0.111 -0.27
Shifting Memory of Ages 351 49.29% 29.79 -1.42 70.09% -0.127 0.2265
Shroud of Silent Mist 412 64.96% 28.14 -2.252 67.23% -0.173 0.0768
Starlight Seeks its Form 612 27.61% 35.63 1.244 84.8% 0.546 0.285
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1536 33.64% 32.96 2.022 86.39% 0.746 0.2692
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 606 49.34% 30.69 -0.408 70.46% -0.097 -0.0345
Thunderspeaker 725 43.03% 35.27 0.938 78.76% 0.206 0.172
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 17 41.18% 26.12 -1.133 64.71% -0.061 -0.1003
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1046 75.41% 27.1 -0.935 71.22% 0.208 0.3008
Vital Strength of the Earth 474 44.94% 28.67 -4.232 66.88% -0.75 -0.2256
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 40 25.0% 32.08 0.045 62.5% -0.319 -0.059
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 194 45.88% 27.81 1.103 62.89% 0.213 0.9896
Volcano Looming High 638 45.02% 31.2 -1.315 76.8% -0.209 -0.2517

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 21.43% 27.86 -4.206 64.29% -0.561 -0.8163
Blitz 0 241 38.75% 27.82 -8.009 64.32% -1.38 -1.1826
Dahan Insurrection 4 287 26.13% 54.87 10.058 78.75% 0.509 0.0664
Despicable Theft 2 50 54.0% 34.98 -3.45 64.0% -0.731 0.0808
Elemental Invocation 1 104 60.58% 28.51 -3.983 55.77% -0.575 0.1278
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 454 12.47% 34.14 1.404 66.96% -0.297 -0.9419
Powers Long Forgotten 1 146 64.38% 30.23 -3.942 55.48% -0.752 -0.117
Rituals of Terror 3 127 51.97% 42.41 1.193 66.14% -0.116 -0.0148
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 88 70.45% 43.36 -10.378 70.45% -0.455 0.5545
Second Wave 0 986 49.7% 32.83 0.674 70.18% -0.293 -0.2269
The Great River 3 69 52.17% 31.62 -8.777 43.48% -1.407 -0.1898
Varied Terrains 2 29 41.38% 27.45 -4.189 51.72% -0.944 -0.3207
Ward the Shores 2 184 49.46% 34.45 -1.919 58.7% -0.622 0.4625

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 9072 42.36% 32.76 0.448 78.53% 0.023 0.0775
1 Thematic 1140 51.33% 34.01 -1.727 64.3% -0.731 -0.2537
2 Archipelago 10 30.0% 40.2 18.34 80.0% 0.454 0.5582
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2014 46.97% 31.35 -0.911 79.84% -0.12 -0.0382
2 Coastline 252 44.62% 32.57 0.145 81.35% 0.116 -0.0385
2 Fragment 55 61.82% 30.65 2.704 78.18% 0.067 -0.1821
2 Heart 42 45.24% 30.29 10.64 76.19% 0.615 0.3273
2 Opposite Shores 366 40.5% 31.71 0.33 81.15% 0.079 0.1023
2 Thematic 325 54.63% 33.29 -2.66 62.46% -0.743 -0.3392
2 Top to Top 45 40.0% 31.76 4.984 82.22% 0.158 -0.0078
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 8 25.0% 38.38 -8.662 87.5% -0.384 -0.8975
3 Other 43 39.53% 32.49 5.297 88.37% 0.641 1.1819
3 Round (Default) 860 34.62% 34.35 -0.397 84.53% -0.239 -0.3549
3 Sunrise 2 50.0% 22.5 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 76 44.74% 36.84 0.485 75.0% -0.442 -0.3614
4 Archipelago 5 60.0% 39.6 0.0 80.0%
4 Coastline 4 75.0% 40.75 0.0 75.0%
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 33.5 0.0 75.0%
4 Other 19 68.42% 32.42 0.367 84.21% 0.089 -0.9951
4 Thematic 90 30.34% 42.72 11.599 80.0% 0.447 0.1844
4 Trapezoid (Default) 296 37.63% 33.25 3.145 84.46% 0.55 0.4677
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 32 25.0% 36.66 -0.041 84.38% -0.349 -0.6341
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 36.75 0.0 75.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 33.33% 39.33 2.666 83.33% 0.088 -0.1454
6 Star 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 17 23.53% 42.24 0.207 88.24% -0.16 0.2603
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 35.0% 27.95 -7.466 65.0% -0.839 -0.735

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 437 26.63 0.102 60.41% 0.056 0.2983
Aid From Lesser Spirits 370 27.36 1.608 61.62% 0.343 0.2654
All Things Weaken 493 25.72 1.009 55.78% -0.1 0.2929
Attenuated Essence 15 25.33 0.641 66.67% 0.357 0.4637
Back Against the Wall 374 28.25 4.852 65.24% 0.525 0.5828
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 10 18.1 -3.016 40.0% -0.422 -0.2201
Burn Brightest Before the End 9 18.22 -2.645 33.33% -0.524 -0.3134
Disintegrating Ecosystem 427 24.48 -6.035 55.27% -1.286 -0.8625
Downward Spiral 534 26.08 -1.032 62.17% -0.282 -0.0465
Erosion of Will 394 25.77 -0.243 59.64% -0.189 0.1201
Intensifying Exploitation 20 17.5 -3.849 35.0% -0.785 -0.4978
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 260 32.2 3.139 80.38% 0.437 -0.0573
Memory Fades to Dust 503 24.72 -2.505 57.26% -0.523 -0.1866
Power Corrodes the Spirit 480 26.68 -0.554 62.5% -0.071 0.1491
Promising Farmlands 406 24.27 0.074 54.93% -0.233 0.2198
Shattered Fragments of Power 17 21.94 -2.155 41.18% -0.595 -0.5443
Slow Dissolution of Will 11 29.27 0.747 63.64% -0.107 0.2926
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 159 31.85 5.994 83.02% 0.876 0.1653
The Border of Life and Death 5 28.6 1.583 80.0% 0.226 -0.1094
Thriving Communities 501 24.47 -2.127 55.29% -0.541 -0.1779
Thriving Crops 10 20.4 -1.413 40.0% -0.435 -0.6332
Unnatural Proliferation 501 26.81 0.212 58.88% -0.387 -0.1717
Untended Land Crumbles 468 25.13 -0.829 57.69% -0.304 -0.0222

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2457 43.52% 32.38 0.242 80.22% -0.154 0.5866
B 2574 41.26% 33.01 0.096 80.69% -0.35 0.3762
C 2753 40.68% 32.95 -0.213 81.33% -0.347 0.2354
D 2446 41.9% 32.73 1.108 79.93% 0.096 0.8075
E 2399 41.17% 32.97 -0.497 80.99% -0.263 0.3019
F 2320 42.03% 32.29 -0.595 79.35% -0.393 0.2771
G 2089 43.04% 32.17 -0.561 77.98% -0.336 0.3161
H 2051 42.6% 32.75 1.199 80.55% 0.029 0.5999
East 994 48.08% 36.19 3.026 67.1% 0.18 0.719
Northeast 425 47.88% 36.82 -5.169 66.82% -1.094 -0.4594
Northwest 381 48.26% 35.85 -2.473 67.19% -0.766 0.0435
Southeast 374 45.82% 35.72 0.808 71.39% -0.219 0.4872
Southwest 353 51.0% 30.4 -3.695 64.31% -0.879 0.1113
West 944 51.39% 33.68 2.241 64.94% 0.061 0.9644

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 52 0.0% 35.25 0.0 86.54%
Not Using Events or Tokens 158 49.67% 29.42 -0.659 63.92% -0.363 0.0164
Skip Initial Invader Actions 288 8.07% 46.89 4.31 94.44% 0.799 0.1811
Start of Game Growth 417 11.14% 44.64 2.141 92.33% -0.007 -0.3552
Unlimited Undo 1147 37.73% 33.26 -1.753 81.34% -0.309 -0.3155
Using Tokens but Not Events 1208 31.21% 34.5 -0.198 79.97% -0.144 -0.1539

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1549 20.4 20.72%
II 5551 31.01 72.28%
III 5520 34.76 90.94%
IV 2203 38.07 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.266 Win Model: 0.311
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10325 43.59% 32.86 76.65%
2 3058 46.18% 31.9 79.33%
3 956 35.85% 34.24 83.68%
4 422 36.19% 35.72 84.12%
5 18 27.78% 34.28 77.78%
6 44 29.55% 34.86 77.27%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 317
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4885
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3758
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2174
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 340
Lose: Invader deck ran out 83
Lose: Adversary condition 1277
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 163
Win: Scenario condition 334
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1332
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1076 40.47% 39.76 1.007 76.95% 0.134 -0.0135
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 635 72.4% 31.42 -3.636 53.39% -0.673 -0.5426
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 922 49.46% 39.69 2.316 78.85% 0.456 0.3117
Downpour Drenches the World 175 42.29% 35.83 -0.221 67.43% -0.225 -0.0461
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 249 38.55% 30.72 2.023 61.04% 0.651 -0.1143
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1158 39.79% 42.3 4.505 82.56% 0.803 0.2142
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 919 50.87% 38.97 -0.008 75.3% 0.192 -0.3046
Finder of Paths Unseen 93 60.22% 28.32 -3.892 52.69% -0.586 0.078
Fractured Days Split the Sky 389 54.5% 36.59 -4.218 59.13% -0.563 0.023
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 420 65.63% 36.72 -0.491 69.76% 0.172 0.0769
Heart of the Wildfire 1347 75.28% 32.54 0.727 59.76% 0.104 0.3451
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1708 49.03% 38.6 1.03 73.3% 0.097 -0.3448
Lightning's Swift Strike 622 62.94% 37.09 3.981 69.45% 0.539 0.7223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 73 60.27% 37.47 -0.752 72.6% -0.145 -0.6322
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 269 59.48% 39.43 6.267 75.09% 0.966 0.7984
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 229 57.46% 36.2 -4.482 64.63% -0.765 -0.8784
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1287 60.17% 36.5 -1.839 67.99% -0.216 -0.3483
Many Minds Move as One 763 39.95% 41.84 2.27 84.01% 0.657 0.4359
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1249 58.1% 37.72 2.83 70.22% 0.795 0.7529
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 887 54.08% 37.9 4.215 73.51% 1.044 0.8666
River Surges in Sunlight 999 54.38% 39.71 -1.696 69.77% -0.21 -0.1402
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 321 60.75% 35.85 -0.806 59.81% -0.407 -0.097
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 96 48.96% 42.76 4.986 77.08% 0.78 0.6665
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 931 57.04% 37.04 -0.484 71.11% -0.128 -0.3653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 288 77.43% 32.76 -2.554 55.56% -0.506 0.0237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 64.29% 26.93 -4.075 42.86% -0.714 -0.7892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 23 56.52% 31.52 2.84 60.87% 0.644 0.538
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 183 72.13% 32.92 -4.658 57.38% -0.799 -0.8169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 114 74.56% 32.98 -9.265 54.39% -0.669 -0.4921
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 889 48.7% 39.22 0.274 74.8% 0.211 0.021
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 56 41.07% 32.16 3.714 60.71% 0.585 0.2041
Shifting Memory of Ages 425 69.41% 33.55 -1.24 62.12% -0.035 0.3184
Shroud of Silent Mist 475 78.32% 28.35 -4.091 48.21% -0.723 -0.4729
Starlight Seeks its Form 471 51.84% 34.96 -1.14 63.48% 0.034 -0.2272
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2234 41.87% 38.33 2.7 81.51% 0.966 0.4888
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 634 63.13% 34.79 -4.057 63.41% -0.797 -0.7336
Thunderspeaker 770 56.7% 38.08 -3.945 67.79% -0.607 -0.6409
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 22 40.91% 27.27 2.214 50.0% 0.461 0.4214
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1421 84.56% 30.24 -2.202 58.34% -0.145 -0.052
Vital Strength of the Earth 469 60.68% 32.34 -5.372 56.5% -0.52 0.0046
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 56 51.79% 35.54 2.83 58.93% 0.082 0.342
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 204 58.82% 29.99 -5.189 52.94% -0.573 0.2033
Volcano Looming High 892 66.78% 33.61 -1.324 64.8% -0.206 -0.249

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 13 30.77% 38.62 3.997 76.92% 0.612 0.3567
Blitz 0 293 48.81% 35.06 2.814 60.07% -0.447 -0.2499
Dahan Insurrection 4 185 37.3% 60.19 9.3 77.3% 0.222 -0.2209
Despicable Theft 2 41 70.73% 35.17 -5.232 46.34% -0.376 0.4359
Elemental Invocation 1 80 70.0% 31.11 -8.149 50.0% -1.488 -0.7852
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 811 13.82% 43.7 6.361 73.37% 0.676 0.0315
Powers Long Forgotten 1 111 67.57% 37.13 -4.401 55.86% -0.509 0.126
Rituals of Terror 3 58 68.97% 42.91 -6.266 56.9% -0.457 -0.3556
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 46 73.91% 41.28 -3.19 52.17% -0.129 0.8807
Second Wave 0 620 58.58% 36.17 0.872 60.16% -0.311 -0.245
The Great River 3 32 25.0% 30.47 -9.508 21.88% -0.705 0.5125
Varied Terrains 2 31 54.84% 19.42 -6.18 16.13% -0.872 -0.2491
Ward the Shores 2 117 64.96% 36.68 -9.238 47.01% -1.682 -0.5977

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 11073 57.27% 35.81 0.431 68.36% 0.411 0.4649
1 Thematic 838 56.89% 37.94 -3.433 57.16% -0.731 -0.2533
2 Archipelago 17 70.59% 35.47 -1.432 47.06% 0.144 0.2477
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2557 59.62% 35.37 0.616 68.56% 0.219 0.3008
2 Coastline 307 53.09% 37.11 2.172 72.31% 0.606 0.452
2 Fragment 62 67.21% 34.45 2.034 62.9% 0.327 0.0783
2 Heart 35 64.71% 34.86 -3.899 65.71% -0.241 -0.5279
2 Opposite Shores 516 57.09% 36.4 0.058 70.16% -0.045 -0.0217
2 Thematic 329 62.92% 33.99 -4.321 51.37% -0.677 -0.273
2 Top to Top 83 44.44% 38.95 0.512 77.11% 0.35 0.1836
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 30.33 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 39.75 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 61 54.1% 36.8 -6.491 75.41% -0.532 0.0088
3 Round (Default) 1077 59.12% 36.78 -0.835 71.22% -0.074 -0.1889
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 32.2 -11.415 60.0% -0.299 -0.0194
3 Thematic 47 74.47% 40.64 3.887 68.09% 0.319 0.3992
4 Archipelago 5 100.0% 39.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 43 58.14% 40.72 1.717 83.72% 0.156 -0.9282
4 Thematic 145 45.52% 46.57 2.023 77.24% -0.164 -0.4265
4 Trapezoid (Default) 497 47.89% 39.93 1.507 79.68% 0.385 0.302
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 26 38.46% 39.65 1.102 80.77% -0.056 -0.3408
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 0.0 100.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.024 0.0% -0.578 -0.4271
6 Other 6 33.33% 38.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 10 70.0% 39.3 -0.168 60.0% -0.028 -0.0411
6 Thematic 20 31.58% 55.05 6.216 90.0% 0.314 0.7347
6 Two Centers (Default) 24 29.17% 34.54 1.497 62.5% 0.174 0.2781

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 776 31.3 2.43 53.87% 0.141 0.3836
Aid From Lesser Spirits 569 34.21 5.288 60.63% 0.847 0.7693
All Things Weaken 809 31.15 0.966 55.75% 0.126 0.518
Attenuated Essence 22 31.05 2.651 59.09% 0.38 0.4869
Back Against the Wall 594 32.34 -2.327 56.73% -0.83 -0.7727
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 25 28.88 0.978 60.0% 0.412 0.6139
Burn Brightest Before the End 19 29.74 1.663 52.63% 0.023 0.2328
Disintegrating Ecosystem 664 29.51 0.784 55.12% 0.186 0.61
Downward Spiral 828 29.74 0.662 53.38% 0.01 0.2454
Erosion of Will 708 29.96 -0.187 51.69% -0.379 -0.0698
Intensifying Exploitation 26 24.73 -0.562 46.15% -0.161 0.1269
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 323 37.56 1.273 75.54% 0.41 -0.0836
Memory Fades to Dust 767 30.81 1.261 56.06% 0.319 0.6558
Power Corrodes the Spirit 755 30.91 5.398 56.03% 0.904 1.1249
Promising Farmlands 630 28.8 4.062 51.27% 0.6 1.0532
Shattered Fragments of Power 23 27.83 1.162 39.13% -0.118 -0.0671
Slow Dissolution of Will 20 29.55 2.043 45.0% -0.007 0.3919
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 218 38.86 5.516 77.98% 0.621 -0.0901
The Border of Life and Death 8 21.88 -1.785 37.5% -0.097 -0.4322
Thriving Communities 757 28.01 0.016 47.69% -0.191 0.1723
Thriving Crops 15 28.8 1.924 53.33% 0.328 0.1302
Unnatural Proliferation 831 31.58 1.704 55.35% -0.061 0.1543
Untended Land Crumbles 790 29.55 1.526 52.15% 0.295 0.5769

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3213 57.61% 35.87 -1.255 68.85% -0.344 0.3964
B 3257 57.8% 36.18 0.366 69.27% 0.074 0.8
C 3659 55.98% 36.96 1.335 72.31% 0.146 0.7283
D 3096 58.98% 35.62 -0.625 68.6% -0.241 0.4707
E 3130 56.21% 36.65 0.49 70.83% 0.219 0.7843
F 2939 56.42% 36.27 0.49 69.62% -0.002 0.6679
G 2564 56.96% 36.11 0.741 68.95% 0.042 0.6938
H 2499 54.71% 36.7 -0.33 70.47% -0.191 0.3794
East 864 56.26% 39.53 0.586 60.76% -0.148 0.3911
Northeast 417 56.49% 38.34 -1.434 56.83% 0.082 0.7167
Northwest 406 56.19% 38.28 -1.355 58.13% -0.179 0.6302
Southeast 290 51.74% 41.99 -0.882 69.31% -0.265 0.4405
Southwest 262 52.31% 38.67 4.733 63.74% 0.888 1.8783
West 841 56.09% 38.75 -0.577 60.05% -0.277 0.6266

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 61 0.0% 38.95 0.0 73.77%
Not Using Events or Tokens 67 56.67% 33.37 6.22 61.19% 0.648 1.0271
Skip Initial Invader Actions 298 17.06% 54.04 13.104 89.6% 2.264 1.6461
Start of Game Growth 470 21.94% 49.78 5.115 85.32% -0.091 -0.4396
Unlimited Undo 1425 47.79% 38.11 -0.488 72.91% -0.221 -0.228
Using Tokens but Not Events 1398 49.48% 36.48 -0.183 69.31% 0.028 0.0177

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3120 20.4 10.1%
II 8131 31.01 68.21%
III 4607 34.76 94.51%
IV 1956 38.07 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.185 Win Model: 0.161
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11990 57.24% 35.97 67.5%
2 3878 58.96% 35.64 67.87%
3 1190 59.48% 36.77 71.26%
4 684 48.1% 41.5 79.39%
5 13 38.46% 32.38 61.54%
6 59 34.48% 42.22 69.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 313
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4295
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5351
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1926
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 487
Lose: Invader deck ran out 57
Lose: Adversary condition 2595
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 210
Win: Scenario condition 198
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2145
Lose: Spirit destroyed 155

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1206 51.79% 39.62 1.567 68.08% 0.692 0.5443
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 665 78.43% 32.23 -0.348 47.82% 0.076 0.2072
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 988 63.53% 37.58 -2.82 65.49% -0.286 -0.4304
Downpour Drenches the World 263 56.65% 31.41 -3.573 46.77% -0.506 -0.3267
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 311 49.52% 35.62 3.96 58.52% 0.858 0.0933
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1367 47.18% 42.01 1.816 74.54% 0.465 -0.124
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 943 57.6% 39.94 2.613 67.44% 0.757 0.2606
Finder of Paths Unseen 82 67.07% 30.94 -1.808 47.56% -0.079 0.5847
Fractured Days Split the Sky 393 60.05% 37.53 -4.968 55.47% -1.02 -0.4346
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 478 69.87% 37.65 0.557 62.76% 0.15 0.055
Heart of the Wildfire 1263 77.27% 32.94 -2.809 53.21% -0.63 -0.3891
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2166 58.44% 37.64 0.715 63.71% 0.175 -0.2674
Lightning's Swift Strike 727 72.55% 35.41 0.912 55.57% 0.337 0.5197
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 135 68.15% 39.5 1.069 65.93% 0.328 -0.1585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 299 62.42% 39.28 0.696 67.56% 0.047 -0.1208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 234 62.82% 39.24 4.191 65.38% 0.657 0.5437
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1487 71.43% 34.85 -0.865 56.96% -0.07 -0.2021
Many Minds Move as One 803 48.69% 43.08 2.783 77.33% 0.612 0.3907
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1473 59.81% 39.4 2.492 65.38% 0.536 0.4941
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 985 62.59% 36.68 -0.71 62.34% 0.176 -0.0017
River Surges in Sunlight 1220 60.82% 41.33 -0.142 67.87% -0.044 0.0263
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 331 69.09% 34.79 -0.574 51.96% -0.198 0.1128
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 136 61.03% 40.29 -0.62 60.29% 0.053 -0.06
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 955 63.45% 36.59 -1.063 63.35% 0.077 -0.1601
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 225 76.89% 30.27 -7.637 38.22% -1.353 -0.8232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 16 68.75% 29.75 2.149 43.75% 0.364 0.289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 36 75.0% 29.17 -1.456 41.67% -0.17 -0.2755
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 154 78.57% 32.75 -5.87 50.65% -0.554 -0.5728
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 118 80.34% 27.42 -6.575 33.05% -0.6 -0.4228
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1023 56.37% 39.37 0.149 67.64% 0.295 0.1047
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 68 54.41% 32.9 1.615 51.47% 0.32 -0.061
Shifting Memory of Ages 389 77.38% 32.15 -4.132 51.16% -0.508 -0.1549
Shroud of Silent Mist 470 83.55% 28.38 -3.581 40.0% -0.397 -0.1468
Starlight Seeks its Form 577 53.03% 36.49 -1.713 58.75% -0.076 -0.3369
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2810 52.49% 37.98 2.706 71.57% 0.879 0.4017
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 670 70.72% 34.24 -3.279 51.64% -0.588 -0.5246
Thunderspeaker 843 68.65% 38.0 -1.78 60.85% -0.284 -0.318
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 30 66.67% 27.4 1.127 46.67% 0.385 0.3453
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1642 87.61% 30.26 0.245 49.03% 0.328 0.421
Vital Strength of the Earth 487 71.05% 28.37 -7.538 33.68% -0.982 -0.4578
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 85 55.29% 30.27 0.131 41.18% 0.159 0.419
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 190 70.0% 31.99 -3.243 48.42% -0.568 0.2084
Volcano Looming High 1111 73.09% 34.41 -0.671 58.69% 0.066 0.0236

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 53.0 9.117 100.0% 0.278 0.0223
Blitz 0 185 51.35% 38.48 6.513 55.14% 0.253 0.4501
Dahan Insurrection 4 177 45.76% 60.05 15.094 67.23% 0.785 0.3424
Despicable Theft 2 12 58.33% 34.67 0.0 50.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 120 69.17% 31.01 -3.944 34.17% -2.208 -1.5052
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 781 18.6% 45.49 8.708 67.86% 1.027 0.3824
Powers Long Forgotten 1 99 70.71% 32.03 -7.812 39.39% -1.044 -0.4092
Rituals of Terror 3 51 72.55% 42.8 0.0 45.1%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 81.58% 36.55 0.038 36.84% 0.204 1.2128
Second Wave 0 335 55.56% 36.97 1.982 54.93% 0.134 0.2005
The Great River 3 35 40.0% 40.09 6.259 37.14% 0.052 1.2696
Varied Terrains 2 12 16.67% 19.42 -6.754 16.67% -0.469 0.1543
Ward the Shores 2 71 67.61% 29.97 -8.489 25.35% -0.783 0.3012

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12863 64.43% 35.85 -0.136 60.9% -0.048 0.0058
1 Thematic 837 64.28% 38.09 -2.114 49.94% -0.493 -0.0156
2 Archipelago 15 86.67% 44.67 -0.985 73.33% -0.215 -0.111
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2989 67.43% 35.68 -0.598 60.72% -0.174 -0.092
2 Coastline 340 61.18% 39.31 6.297 70.59% 1.054 0.8997
2 Fragment 65 74.6% 33.43 0.0 52.31%
2 Heart 39 80.56% 37.23 18.677 66.67% 0.616 0.3285
2 Opposite Shores 598 63.76% 36.2 0.635 57.86% -0.389 -0.3658
2 Thematic 263 72.41% 33.08 -1.219 37.64% -0.624 -0.2209
2 Top to Top 107 54.21% 37.48 6.501 65.42% 1.138 0.9718
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 36.0 1.118 75.0% 0.492 -1.0567
3 Coastline 7 57.14% 35.43 0.0 57.14%
3 Other 55 52.73% 40.49 -6.068 81.82% -0.257 0.2838
3 Round (Default) 1272 63.83% 36.96 2.069 61.24% 0.194 0.0785
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 -2.803 62.5% -0.306 -0.0262
3 Thematic 52 76.92% 34.21 -1.377 32.69% -0.204 -0.1241
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 7.5 -11.393 0.0% -0.077 -0.7517
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 8 75.0% 43.75 9.578 75.0% 0.763 0.4199
4 Other 33 65.63% 41.03 -8.941 75.76% -0.764 -1.848
4 Thematic 116 52.59% 47.34 -2.496 62.07% -0.151 -0.4133
4 Trapezoid (Default) 565 53.02% 39.22 -4.595 69.2% -1.25 -1.3326
5 Other 28 48.15% 48.64 15.908 89.29% 1.137 0.8517
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 48.0 8.147 100.0% 0.266 0.417
6 Other 9 37.5% 51.44 -5.099 66.67% -1.022 -1.2552
6 Star 3 100.0% 39.0 1.467 66.67% -0.293 -0.3058
6 Thematic 6 83.33% 44.0 3.956 66.67% 0.372 0.7927
6 Two Centers (Default) 20 40.0% 31.9 -3.574 55.0% -0.367 -0.2624

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 887 31.37 2.151 47.69% 0.263 0.5052
Aid From Lesser Spirits 776 34.63 3.594 55.8% 0.383 0.3053
All Things Weaken 986 31.71 0.821 48.48% -0.223 0.1696
Attenuated Essence 43 34.74 3.711 53.49% 0.618 0.7247
Back Against the Wall 726 33.17 3.267 51.52% 0.444 0.5017
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 41 28.85 0.297 39.02% -0.29 -0.0884
Burn Brightest Before the End 21 30.57 0.901 42.86% -0.178 0.0326
Disintegrating Ecosystem 860 29.17 -0.734 45.47% -0.317 0.1067
Downward Spiral 1048 31.52 -0.368 51.24% -0.35 -0.114
Erosion of Will 942 30.0 0.765 43.95% -0.208 0.1014
Intensifying Exploitation 42 23.83 -0.815 30.95% -0.263 0.0245
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 424 36.82 -0.027 63.44% 0.134 -0.3595
Memory Fades to Dust 983 31.13 0.944 48.22% 0.184 0.5208
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1067 30.34 -0.58 46.86% -0.442 -0.2212
Promising Farmlands 881 29.85 -1.021 45.97% -0.103 0.3499
Shattered Fragments of Power 30 32.13 4.076 50.0% 0.498 0.5491
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 22.4 -3.001 31.43% -0.7 -0.3008
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 280 39.66 9.526 73.93% 1.131 0.4205
The Border of Life and Death 8 16.5 -4.398 25.0% -0.28 -0.6151
Thriving Communities 929 29.01 -2.699 43.16% -0.681 -0.3185
Thriving Crops 13 25.85 -1.624 38.46% -0.324 -0.5217
Unnatural Proliferation 1029 30.92 0.42 44.61% -0.235 -0.0202
Untended Land Crumbles 1018 30.48 -1.727 46.66% -0.353 -0.0716

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3708 63.49% 36.45 -0.013 61.76% -0.034 0.7061
B 3741 62.28% 36.35 -0.099 61.72% -0.01 0.7158
C 4286 64.63% 36.36 0.84 61.04% 0.121 0.7029
D 3536 64.27% 36.11 -0.669 61.4% -0.017 0.6948
E 3596 64.43% 36.67 0.321 62.54% 0.091 0.6566
F 3303 63.31% 36.75 0.282 62.76% 0.139 0.8093
G 2953 63.67% 36.36 0.729 62.41% 0.153 0.8046
H 2919 63.76% 36.95 -0.449 63.31% 0.008 0.5784
East 845 65.36% 39.57 1.147 50.18% 0.375 0.9143
Northeast 357 65.73% 39.79 -0.155 45.94% -0.355 0.2802
Northwest 304 66.01% 37.42 -2.139 42.43% -0.66 0.1489
Southeast 282 64.54% 37.74 3.941 50.0% 0.486 1.1916
Southwest 231 67.1% 33.11 -2.136 44.16% -0.159 0.8313
West 690 66.13% 35.98 -2.585 43.77% -0.414 0.4901

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 32 0.0% 43.56 2.356 75.0% 0.239 1.0152
Not Using Events or Tokens 84 71.43% 39.27 5.669 54.76% 0.355 0.7339
Skip Initial Invader Actions 437 15.35% 56.36 9.981 90.39% 1.256 0.6379
Start of Game Growth 641 18.04% 53.51 6.227 87.83% 0.11 -0.2385
Unlimited Undo 1544 57.1% 38.67 -2.758 67.29% -0.431 -0.438
Using Tokens but Not Events 1159 54.39% 37.47 1.576 64.88% 0.502 0.4921

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4173 20.4 5.32%
II 8851 31.01 59.59%
III 5841 34.76 91.71%
IV 1444 38.07 99.58%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.116 Win Model: -0.119
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13776 64.43% 35.98 60.14%
2 4382 66.64% 36.02 60.29%
3 1380 63.76% 36.92 60.87%
4 719 53.57% 40.44 67.87%
5 14 61.54% 49.29 85.71%
6 38 51.35% 39.63 63.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 221
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5289
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5136
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1428
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 465
Lose: Invader deck ran out 165
Lose: Adversary condition 4124
Win: Sacrifice victory 81
Lose: Scenario condition 236
Win: Scenario condition 136
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2827
Lose: Spirit destroyed 201

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 688 71.37% 42.84 1.159 61.34% 0.402 0.2542
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 359 90.53% 33.81 -6.533 38.72% -1.089 -0.9585
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 536 89.74% 33.72 -4.787 38.81% -0.79 -0.9345
Downpour Drenches the World 139 71.94% 33.04 -3.226 40.29% -0.126 0.053
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 177 76.84% 35.96 2.335 49.72% 0.518 -0.2473
Eyes Watch From the Trees 758 71.79% 43.8 4.657 60.42% 0.919 0.3298
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 635 76.66% 42.0 3.552 56.06% 0.964 0.4669
Finder of Paths Unseen 68 61.76% 38.24 -6.067 58.82% -0.383 0.2815
Fractured Days Split the Sky 302 77.15% 42.09 -2.229 50.0% -0.514 0.072
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 247 90.69% 36.29 2.713 43.72% 0.648 0.5532
Heart of the Wildfire 1543 85.51% 36.71 0.805 46.92% 0.024 0.2652
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1237 75.57% 37.77 -2.417 47.62% -0.497 -0.9392
Lightning's Swift Strike 261 91.51% 31.74 -9.991 33.33% -0.981 -0.7977
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 79.17% 43.15 4.729 56.94% 0.565 0.0783
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 190 91.05% 39.89 2.192 51.05% 0.31 0.1427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 93 88.17% 39.98 -0.304 51.61% 0.284 0.1704
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1128 78.88% 39.81 -0.06 52.3% 0.129 -0.0032
Many Minds Move as One 461 62.69% 47.7 0.211 71.58% 0.275 0.0538
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 592 83.56% 34.77 -5.001 39.53% -0.664 -0.7062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 585 85.1% 37.26 -4.287 48.21% -0.509 -0.6866
River Surges in Sunlight 703 81.38% 41.28 3.231 51.07% 0.392 0.462
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 141 87.23% 34.01 -2.989 33.33% 0.095 0.4059
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 88 67.05% 44.65 3.85 60.23% 0.768 0.6546
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 593 79.76% 41.02 0.044 56.32% -0.027 -0.264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 119 88.24% 33.29 6.825 32.77% 0.176 0.7053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 76.92% 50.31 0.0 69.23%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 79.17% 41.08 0.249 58.33% 0.316 0.2104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 116 89.66% 39.99 11.509 51.72% 0.395 0.3767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 93 90.32% 39.66 -7.492 50.54% -0.663 -0.4862
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 423 73.52% 40.36 -2.492 50.35% -0.551 -0.7406
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 40 67.5% 35.67 3.735 45.0% 0.569 0.1878
Shifting Memory of Ages 323 87.31% 35.33 -3.76 43.96% -0.92 -0.5668
Shroud of Silent Mist 259 90.73% 34.18 -7.912 41.7% -0.489 -0.2385
Starlight Seeks its Form 450 77.33% 41.62 4.29 56.89% 0.772 0.5108
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2492 59.7% 42.56 1.323 66.61% 0.619 0.1422
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 483 84.44% 36.09 -0.723 42.03% -0.39 -0.3266
Thunderspeaker 434 87.56% 38.08 -6.703 46.31% -0.814 -0.8481
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 78.95% 34.47 3.45 47.37% 0.725 0.686
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1726 93.16% 34.68 -1.457 44.44% -0.488 -0.3948
Vital Strength of the Earth 200 84.0% 30.54 1.614 26.5% -0.125 0.3991
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 49 77.55% 32.04 -4.495 30.61% -0.855 -0.5944
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 114 87.72% 30.64 0.78 28.07% 0.139 0.9155
Volcano Looming High 691 89.44% 35.38 3.693 45.01% 0.754 0.7108

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 33.33% 27.33 -15.659 33.33% -0.339 -0.5951
Blitz 0 81 67.9% 39.15 -7.667 51.85% -0.484 -0.2872
Dahan Insurrection 4 48 70.83% 53.35 -4.439 39.58% -0.614 -1.0561
Despicable Theft 2 16 68.75% 26.69 -12.62 18.75% -0.618 0.1941
Elemental Invocation 1 38 71.05% 33.92 -0.132 26.32% -0.334 0.3691
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 441 24.72% 49.07 10.775 61.9% 1.289 0.6445
Powers Long Forgotten 1 37 81.08% 34.54 -2.275 32.43% -0.072 0.5635
Rituals of Terror 3 20 70.0% 51.45 0.0 50.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 92.0% 39.88 0.0 32.0%
Second Wave 0 225 71.88% 39.01 -2.561 46.22% -0.83 -0.7634
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 6 83.33% 41.5 7.08 50.0% 0.303 0.9263
Ward the Shores 2 34 88.24% 33.74 -14.015 23.53% -0.575 0.5097

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8847 79.04% 38.45 -0.454 51.79% -0.28 -0.2256
1 Thematic 323 73.37% 38.81 -4.619 41.49% -1.472 -0.9948
2 Archipelago 6 100.0% 42.0 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1987 81.68% 38.1 -0.261 50.73% -0.313 -0.2311
2 Coastline 225 81.33% 37.78 3.225 49.33% 0.503 0.3487
2 Fragment 35 85.71% 34.97 -6.97 42.86% -0.095 -0.3436
2 Heart 25 96.0% 40.88 3.184 64.0% 0.163 -0.1244
2 Opposite Shores 392 78.77% 35.93 0.144 44.13% 0.327 0.3499
2 Thematic 148 85.81% 36.22 1.677 33.11% 0.292 0.6951
2 Top to Top 92 91.3% 36.79 4.782 46.74% 0.504 0.3374
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 40 77.5% 46.33 8.889 75.0% 0.859 1.3998
3 Round (Default) 873 83.16% 38.21 0.929 51.2% 0.169 0.0534
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 24 87.5% 38.63 -0.745 33.33% -0.382 -0.3014
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 19 68.42% 44.84 -17.58 73.68% -0.359 -1.4426
4 Thematic 122 59.84% 47.39 -8.306 55.74% -0.049 -0.311
4 Trapezoid (Default) 273 79.55% 39.43 0.24 49.82% -0.718 -0.8003
5 Other 8 57.14% 47.88 -5.691 75.0% -0.206 -0.4904
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 40.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 2 100.0% 34.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 8 37.5% 30.88 0.0 25.0%
6 Thematic 16 6.25% 67.44 13.451 75.0% 0.415 0.8355
6 Two Centers (Default) 7 57.14% 32.29 0.0 42.86%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 763 36.72 4.531 46.79% 0.756 0.9987
Aid From Lesser Spirits 625 40.1 7.219 53.76% 1.067 0.9898
All Things Weaken 874 34.87 4.468 40.62% 0.516 0.9086
Attenuated Essence 26 31.27 0.86 42.31% 0.187 0.2942
Back Against the Wall 603 39.37 4.674 50.58% 0.532 0.5894
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 29 42.14 8.112 65.52% 1.39 1.5918
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 34.45 1.561 41.38% -0.099 0.1118
Disintegrating Ecosystem 781 34.46 0.684 44.69% -0.009 0.415
Downward Spiral 766 35.0 1.609 44.13% 0.164 0.3994
Erosion of Will 764 35.99 2.417 42.54% 0.115 0.4247
Intensifying Exploitation 32 32.59 3.561 34.38% 0.431 0.7186
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 274 40.93 0.436 56.57% 0.193 -0.3013
Memory Fades to Dust 869 35.35 5.612 44.53% 1.03 1.3661
Power Corrodes the Spirit 826 35.62 1.213 45.16% 0.267 0.487
Promising Farmlands 741 33.45 5.019 39.27% 0.909 1.3618
Shattered Fragments of Power 26 36.58 4.846 53.85% 0.757 0.8083
Slow Dissolution of Will 23 28.3 0.398 26.09% -0.119 0.2805
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 170 43.77 9.434 62.94% 0.86 0.1491
The Border of Life and Death 5 39.8 6.929 60.0% 0.665 0.3297
Thriving Communities 784 33.9 -1.571 42.73% -0.156 0.2066
Thriving Crops 8 42.75 3.582 62.5% 0.488 0.2903
Unnatural Proliferation 865 36.85 5.26 45.32% 1.023 1.2381
Untended Land Crumbles 836 34.02 2.433 40.79% 0.63 0.9122

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2335 79.98% 37.7 0.875 49.89% 0.023 0.7633
B 2652 79.52% 38.84 0.507 52.64% 0.031 0.7565
C 2989 79.81% 38.57 1.863 51.52% 0.162 0.7442
D 2259 82.55% 37.62 -1.337 49.76% -0.238 0.473
E 2311 81.52% 37.94 -0.889 49.76% -0.201 0.3642
F 2200 80.09% 38.9 -0.225 52.95% -0.112 0.5585
G 1875 79.21% 38.04 0.212 50.08% -0.11 0.5413
H 1850 79.16% 38.82 0.029 52.54% -0.052 0.5186
East 461 71.8% 41.73 3.422 43.38% -0.102 0.4373
Northeast 209 67.94% 43.77 -2.338 45.45% -0.684 -0.0489
Northwest 173 67.63% 43.28 0.34 45.09% 0.283 1.0926
Southeast 174 63.79% 45.11 0.908 52.87% 0.286 0.9922
Southwest 162 65.43% 43.12 0.644 50.0% 0.161 1.151
West 402 71.64% 40.41 3.213 41.54% 0.315 1.2186

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 30 83.33% 42.5 13.787 56.67% 0.557 0.9361
Skip Initial Invader Actions 138 49.63% 55.62 7.519 79.71% 0.563 -0.0547
Start of Game Growth 306 48.18% 52.43 4.16 72.88% 0.504 0.1558
Unlimited Undo 1271 75.87% 41.45 0.337 59.4% 0.199 0.1928
Using Tokens but Not Events 556 73.22% 37.67 0.682 50.54% 0.251 0.2406

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3648 20.4 3.23%
II 5511 31.01 49.9%
III 3412 34.76 90.53%
IV 917 38.07 99.78%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.407 Win Model: -0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9207 78.84% 38.48 51.44%
2 2907 81.97% 37.67 48.92%
3 923 82.77% 38.41 51.57%
4 414 74.15% 42.06 52.66%
5 4 33.33% 36.0 50.0%
6 33 30.3% 49.09 54.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 118
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3050
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2704
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 895
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 301
Lose: Invader deck ran out 77
Lose: Adversary condition 3203
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 147
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2678
Lose: Spirit destroyed 210

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 342 72.81% 44.13 5.126 53.22% 1.179 1.0307
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 140 92.14% 36.27 -7.515 35.71% -0.215 -0.0842
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 231 90.91% 32.57 3.01 28.14% 0.031 -0.1139
Downpour Drenches the World 61 77.05% 35.56 -3.706 37.7% -0.307 -0.1273
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 111 74.77% 29.07 1.825 38.74% 0.426 -0.3394
Eyes Watch From the Trees 249 70.28% 43.71 2.421 52.21% 0.203 -0.3861
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 218 92.2% 37.14 5.553 38.53% 0.387 -0.1102
Finder of Paths Unseen 21 57.14% 35.81 -8.559 42.86% -0.61 0.0545
Fractured Days Split the Sky 146 81.51% 45.96 0.23 49.32% 0.089 0.6746
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 133 93.98% 34.77 -4.883 35.34% -0.944 -1.0389
Heart of the Wildfire 775 86.32% 28.95 -5.757 27.1% -1.079 -0.838
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 761 76.48% 38.24 1.248 40.21% 0.386 -0.0562
Lightning's Swift Strike 111 93.69% 33.4 -3.942 28.83% -0.623 -0.4398
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 34 94.12% 43.56 4.249 50.0% 0.792 0.3057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 62 100.0% 34.84 -0.262 35.48% -0.056 -0.2234
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 46 93.48% 33.04 14.978 23.91% 0.595 0.4815
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 445 89.21% 39.31 0.717 44.27% -0.145 -0.2777
Many Minds Move as One 202 70.3% 49.36 10.136 67.33% 0.988 0.7663
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 292 80.48% 38.18 -1.873 40.75% -0.614 -0.656
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 212 82.55% 37.58 0.938 40.09% 0.106 -0.0714
River Surges in Sunlight 295 86.44% 40.4 2.848 40.68% 0.177 0.2467
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 65 81.54% 35.26 -9.61 29.23% -0.406 -0.0957
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 38 71.05% 46.95 3.169 50.0% 0.207 0.0935
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 284 79.58% 40.67 1.421 45.07% 0.266 0.0288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 99 93.94% 26.8 -2.218 8.08% -0.591 -0.0614
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 100.0% 43.7 20.719 50.0% 0.706 0.6312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 100.0% 29.33 -4.581 33.33% -0.22 -0.3256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 43 90.7% 35.07 0.0 32.56%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 91.84% 30.22 0.0 18.37%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 151 82.78% 34.93 -2.737 32.45% -0.025 -0.215
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 22 81.82% 37.68 6.919 45.45% 0.697 0.3156
Shifting Memory of Ages 136 91.18% 36.52 6.622 33.82% 0.805 1.1582
Shroud of Silent Mist 118 92.37% 30.8 -0.846 25.42% 0.136 0.3865
Starlight Seeks its Form 191 84.82% 39.58 -2.534 46.07% -0.041 -0.3024
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1169 62.1% 42.43 4.117 58.34% 1.049 0.5717
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 196 87.24% 32.73 -5.401 26.02% -0.614 -0.551
Thunderspeaker 171 93.57% 35.04 -5.334 31.58% -0.097 -0.131
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 6 83.33% 20.5 2.054 16.67% -0.108 -0.1469
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 620 94.52% 35.07 -6.184 38.55% -0.575 -0.4817
Vital Strength of the Earth 89 86.52% 31.17 -7.405 21.35% -0.381 0.1437
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 13 61.54% 24.15 -8.225 15.38% -0.703 -0.4424
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 43 83.72% 29.42 -3.747 23.26% -0.437 0.3395
Volcano Looming High 346 92.2% 32.0 1.527 29.48% -0.093 -0.1356

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 32 81.25% 33.09 -5.781 31.25% -0.693 -0.4962
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 0.0 13.46%
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 23 65.22% 34.48 -14.92 26.09% -0.727 -0.0242
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 159 30.19% 42.43 5.88 39.62% 0.611 -0.0337
Powers Long Forgotten 1 21 80.95% 32.52 2.181 23.81% 0.273 0.9084
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 76 60.53% 39.83 8.34 43.42% 0.275 0.3407
Ward the Shores 2 14 64.29% 29.36 -8.248 21.43% -0.252 0.8326

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4178 80.71% 37.11 0.363 42.32% 0.525 0.5794
1 Thematic 416 86.54% 29.77 -6.378 12.5% -0.724 -0.2459
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 905 88.18% 36.09 -0.67 37.57% -0.34 -0.2576
2 Coastline 97 78.35% 37.52 0.151 46.39% -0.25 -0.4043
2 Fragment 11 100.0% 39.18 2.044 54.55% -0.009 -0.258
2 Heart 16 68.75% 43.06 8.336 50.0% 0.333 0.0456
2 Opposite Shores 130 83.85% 39.72 -0.358 40.77% 0.019 0.0416
2 Thematic 41 68.29% 38.61 -0.533 17.07% -0.185 0.2187
2 Top to Top 63 95.24% 36.43 4.875 38.1% 0.414 0.2483
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 12.713 81.25% 0.375 0.9157
3 Round (Default) 269 79.55% 39.86 -1.585 47.96% -0.638 -0.7534
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 6 83.33% 39.5 0.0 33.33%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 0.0 80.0%
4 Thematic 41 68.29% 52.0 26.996 53.66% 0.448 0.1856
4 Trapezoid (Default) 131 76.34% 36.99 1.442 38.93% -0.399 -0.4815
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 1 100.0% 59.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 4 50.0% 49.5 0.0 25.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 100.0% 21.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 393 35.65 -2.67 35.37% -0.651 -0.4084
Aid From Lesser Spirits 306 40.16 7.414 45.42% 0.969 0.8917
All Things Weaken 413 34.47 0.001 34.14% 0.074 0.4661
Attenuated Essence 20 25.4 1.679 30.0% 0.272 0.3792
Back Against the Wall 298 35.87 4.431 33.89% 0.166 0.2233
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 24 17.5 -1.366 12.5% -0.237 -0.0354
Burn Brightest Before the End 12 28.67 2.708 16.67% -0.157 0.053
Disintegrating Ecosystem 335 34.37 3.959 36.42% 0.657 1.0805
Downward Spiral 404 32.62 0.641 30.45% -0.144 0.0914
Erosion of Will 377 34.01 1.808 31.83% 0.418 0.7272
Intensifying Exploitation 16 35.63 6.66 50.0% 1.048 1.3358
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 82 44.32 7.486 53.66% 0.447 -0.0471
Memory Fades to Dust 383 33.76 1.54 33.16% 0.559 0.8955
Power Corrodes the Spirit 422 33.95 4.45 32.94% 0.565 0.7851
Promising Farmlands 344 34.13 4.361 34.01% 0.993 1.446
Shattered Fragments of Power 15 34.53 5.372 33.33% 0.427 0.4784
Slow Dissolution of Will 15 38.6 5.206 46.67% 0.409 0.8081
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 72 46.19 -8.63 61.11% -0.685 -1.3959
The Border of Life and Death 6 15.17 -8.359 16.67% -0.742 -1.0775
Thriving Communities 422 33.36 1.767 33.41% 0.117 0.4795
Thriving Crops 6 36.33 5.367 50.0% 0.613 0.4148
Unnatural Proliferation 399 34.9 8.009 32.83% 1.1 1.3146
Untended Land Crumbles 439 33.57 6.798 31.89% 0.926 1.2074

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 994 84.0% 36.66 -0.565 40.24% -0.278 0.4625
B 1138 82.6% 37.78 -0.354 43.15% -0.423 0.3027
C 1220 82.95% 38.89 0.146 44.92% -0.356 0.2263
D 936 84.4% 37.02 1.624 40.92% 0.141 0.852
E 1045 82.87% 36.61 -0.236 39.9% -0.284 0.281
F 1099 77.62% 36.4 -1.7 41.86% -0.167 0.5038
G 827 81.5% 37.68 -0.677 41.96% -0.433 0.2185
H 837 81.48% 38.3 3.901 42.53% 0.275 0.8459
East 184 73.37% 40.67 1.89 31.52% 0.082 0.6209
Northeast 78 79.49% 41.18 -3.33 29.49% -0.094 0.5406
Northwest 133 88.72% 33.05 3.932 15.04% 0.382 1.1911
Southeast 84 76.19% 40.64 -5.671 33.33% -0.62 0.0861
Southwest 224 84.82% 29.01 11.559 11.16% 0.704 1.6938
West 393 84.99% 31.24 0.626 13.23% 0.244 1.1479

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 21 80.95% 44.38 19.363 42.86% 1.736 2.1148
Skip Initial Invader Actions 71 60.56% 56.7 7.452 74.65% 0.383 -0.2342
Start of Game Growth 111 54.95% 52.66 0.67 67.57% 0.137 -0.2111
Unlimited Undo 554 72.2% 44.39 2.179 59.21% 0.575 0.5684
Using Tokens but Not Events 416 69.95% 38.06 1.093 44.47% -0.371 -0.3811

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1805 20.4 0.72%
II 2646 31.01 29.48%
III 1435 34.76 89.27%
IV 461 38.07 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.527 Win Model: 0.342
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4621 81.26% 36.54 39.65%
2 1248 86.46% 36.55 38.3%
3 293 79.52% 41.08 49.83%
4 178 73.03% 40.27 43.26%
5 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0%
6 6 100.0% 34.83 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1266
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 762
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 453
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 234
Lose: Invader deck ran out 38
Lose: Adversary condition 1709
Win: Sacrifice victory 31
Lose: Scenario condition 85
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1649
Lose: Spirit destroyed 97

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1905 67.49% 44.22 0.59 43.88% 0.807 0.6591
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 829 90.23% 33.37 -1.294 21.47% -0.294 -0.1631
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 842 91.33% 30.4 -3.18 18.17% -0.924 -1.0692
Downpour Drenches the World 388 70.88% 37.45 -3.113 32.47% 0.115 0.2943
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 594 76.43% 27.12 -0.316 27.95% 0.485 -0.2804
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1357 83.63% 38.21 -0.44 33.53% 0.29 -0.2985
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1086 87.85% 35.22 0.506 27.26% 0.195 -0.3018
Finder of Paths Unseen 227 65.2% 34.98 -4.778 37.0% -0.147 0.5171
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1185 69.37% 46.83 -1.87 41.86% -0.283 0.3029
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 830 87.47% 29.79 -6.294 18.67% -1.175 -1.2695
Heart of the Wildfire 3529 88.91% 34.21 -3.392 28.14% -0.62 -0.3783
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3434 72.71% 41.43 0.121 41.38% 0.21 -0.2325
Lightning's Swift Strike 924 92.19% 28.39 -4.043 13.2% -0.08 0.1032
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 623 76.05% 35.96 1.626 22.63% 0.42 -0.0672
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 489 89.12% 36.16 -3.365 32.11% -0.143 -0.3107
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 287 78.4% 42.9 -2.567 42.51% -0.494 -0.6072
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2768 86.8% 35.24 -1.91 27.85% -0.009 -0.141
Many Minds Move as One 1151 72.7% 49.99 4.865 59.86% 1.507 1.2858
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1224 83.63% 35.49 -4.035 29.41% -0.09 -0.132
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1107 88.43% 36.48 -4.852 30.98% -0.479 -0.6563
River Surges in Sunlight 1894 84.67% 43.13 -1.526 39.12% 0.237 0.3066
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 340 68.53% 44.67 2.864 33.24% 0.001 0.3118
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 274 76.38% 39.38 -0.274 33.58% 0.102 -0.0117
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1903 69.52% 47.95 3.388 50.97% 0.488 0.2506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 461 77.22% 34.82 -6.234 21.26% -0.506 0.0235
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 86.49% 26.14 -9.054 13.51% -0.868 -0.9433
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 87.1% 36.13 -1.082 32.26% 0.309 0.2032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 189 78.31% 34.84 -0.915 22.22% -0.131 -0.1496
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 146 86.99% 36.27 -11.897 26.71% -0.186 -0.0088
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1051 77.93% 37.44 -0.876 31.4% 0.633 0.4428
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 135 71.85% 27.68 0.859 29.63% 0.702 0.3207
Shifting Memory of Ages 722 79.09% 40.42 -3.325 34.49% -0.538 -0.1843
Shroud of Silent Mist 581 88.81% 32.97 -3.686 24.27% -0.56 -0.3097
Starlight Seeks its Form 1407 73.85% 43.77 1.417 44.85% 0.95 0.6889
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11500 51.41% 47.96 5.332 60.34% 1.801 1.3241
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 866 86.36% 35.62 -2.384 27.6% -0.464 -0.4015
Thunderspeaker 978 84.25% 34.0 -6.205 20.96% -0.607 -0.6409
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 82 60.98% 14.65 -5.315 6.1% -0.937 -0.9766
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4755 93.77% 35.15 -0.343 31.63% 0.141 0.2346
Vital Strength of the Earth 353 81.59% 31.78 -5.58 18.13% -0.455 0.0691
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 97 72.16% 32.24 -0.955 22.68% 0.225 0.4854
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 289 84.08% 33.93 -1.622 24.91% 0.06 0.8357
Volcano Looming High 2187 88.84% 33.65 -1.128 27.11% 0.06 0.0175

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 62.0 14.887 100.0% 0.671 0.4152
Blitz 0 375 54.96% 42.08 2.277 40.0% -0.615 -0.4183
Dahan Insurrection 4 254 68.77% 44.95 -0.008 18.11% 0.342 -0.1002
Despicable Theft 2 29 89.66% 34.69 0.556 17.24% -0.157 0.6549
Elemental Invocation 1 107 68.22% 36.86 3.209 19.63% 0.252 0.955
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2267 30.22% 48.94 3.468 43.41% -0.021 -0.6653
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 53.06% 46.18 0.0 52.04%
Rituals of Terror 3 124 32.52% 75.8 7.784 40.32% 0.326 0.4276
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 65.0% 41.6 0.0 25.0%
Second Wave 0 119 56.3% 43.72 11.155 41.18% 0.737 0.8032
The Great River 3 35 60.0% 34.2 4.071 2.86% -0.242 0.9756
Varied Terrains 2 24 58.33% 49.33 23.11 45.83% 0.486 1.1088
Ward the Shores 2 36 91.67% 32.25 -2.775 8.33% -0.487 0.5974

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 34956 76.13% 39.46 0.153 39.43% -0.77 -0.7163
1 Thematic 996 64.46% 39.9 1.93 30.52% -0.697 -0.2196
2 Archipelago 13 61.54% 47.77 4.621 15.38% -0.06 0.0436
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3480 83.82% 38.18 -2.484 36.87% -0.964 -0.8819
2 Coastline 628 74.12% 39.98 -0.708 37.74% -0.892 -1.0461
2 Fragment 51 84.31% 38.67 6.294 33.33% -0.114 -0.3631
2 Heart 103 84.47% 38.77 9.429 37.86% 0.856 0.5683
2 Opposite Shores 892 81.48% 33.95 -0.776 23.88% -0.928 -0.9046
2 Thematic 182 57.14% 48.83 9.28 23.08% 0.192 0.5952
2 Top to Top 171 78.36% 38.51 -1.258 39.77% -0.742 -0.9079
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 32.67 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 87.5% 44.13 7.62 50.0% 0.613 0.099
3 Other 64 81.25% 42.59 -0.427 48.44% 0.07 0.6108
3 Round (Default) 1264 78.16% 37.99 -1.457 36.08% -0.631 -0.7468
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 35 37.14% 64.03 1.843 28.57% -0.022 0.0583
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 0.0 60.0%
4 Thematic 165 25.45% 66.9 7.962 68.48% 0.17 -0.0921
4 Trapezoid (Default) 586 83.7% 38.87 5.406 32.59% 0.933 0.8507
5 Coastline 8 12.5% 52.13 -8.752 75.0% -0.197 -0.8487
5 Other 27 55.56% 54.19 -7.418 70.37% -0.039 -0.3238
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 74.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 66.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 85.71% 30.43 21.774 14.29% 0.186 -0.0474
6 Star 7 71.43% 40.29 24.579 42.86% 0.402 0.3892
6 Thematic 24 20.83% 55.63 -10.022 58.33% -0.652 -0.2316
6 Two Centers (Default) 101 20.79% 66.88 -0.344 63.37% -0.328 -0.2235
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -5.861 0.0% -0.008 -0.6203

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2508 36.63 3.483 31.98% 0.696 0.9388
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1969 41.24 5.143 40.53% 0.667 0.59
All Things Weaken 2661 36.19 2.145 31.38% 0.489 0.8818
Attenuated Essence 126 29.18 3.415 25.4% 0.67 0.7763
Back Against the Wall 1860 40.34 5.77 38.71% 0.966 1.0232
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 111 31.73 3.676 31.53% 0.659 0.8604
Burn Brightest Before the End 85 29.04 2.307 18.82% -0.145 0.0651
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2404 34.19 1.587 30.28% 0.269 0.6928
Downward Spiral 2616 35.99 4.601 32.11% 0.695 0.9302
Erosion of Will 2258 35.28 2.202 28.79% 0.416 0.7254
Intensifying Exploitation 111 24.77 0.467 17.12% 0.033 0.3207
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 734 43.08 3.911 45.5% 0.61 0.1159
Memory Fades to Dust 2643 34.27 1.056 27.7% 0.002 0.3387
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2499 34.58 2.706 28.85% 0.468 0.6888
Promising Farmlands 2396 33.93 0.795 27.42% 0.264 0.7173
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 33.53 5.288 28.57% 0.711 0.762
Slow Dissolution of Will 101 25.97 0.661 17.82% -0.154 0.2448
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 446 47.22 9.231 55.38% 1.461 0.75
The Border of Life and Death 23 24.61 0.169 26.09% 0.225 -0.1109
Thriving Communities 2589 34.71 5.131 29.51% 0.975 1.338
Thriving Crops 36 28.36 3.071 30.56% 0.642 0.4444
Unnatural Proliferation 2761 37.74 5.217 33.14% 0.893 1.1079
Untended Land Crumbles 2415 33.67 1.992 26.79% 0.462 0.7439

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6852 77.5% 39.49 -0.619 38.59% -0.268 0.4725
B 7290 75.92% 39.15 -0.108 37.82% -0.234 0.4921
C 8996 77.53% 39.12 -0.445 37.93% -0.322 0.2605
D 6232 79.9% 38.64 -1.175 37.28% -0.496 0.2149
E 7197 78.81% 38.41 -1.619 36.81% -0.417 0.148
F 6471 74.91% 40.17 0.842 39.47% -0.179 0.4909
G 5101 76.98% 39.47 0.063 38.91% -0.283 0.3685
H 5056 74.97% 40.62 0.05 40.82% -0.228 0.3424
East 830 49.64% 51.18 1.908 37.95% -0.649 -0.1101
Northeast 358 41.9% 56.07 -0.526 43.02% -1.236 -0.6015
Northwest 310 44.19% 48.98 -4.443 39.35% -0.913 -0.1035
Southeast 298 41.95% 51.95 6.818 45.64% 0.153 0.8589
Southwest 279 52.69% 45.46 -0.267 41.94% -0.605 0.3848
West 720 48.33% 49.04 3.353 39.31% -0.362 0.5418

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 18 0.0% 51.94 0.0 66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens 140 77.86% 40.05 2.439 10.71% 0.306 0.6848
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1521 23.79% 65.05 7.379 77.98% 1.094 0.4767
Start of Game Growth 2431 26.38% 61.11 7.234 75.07% 1.092 0.7434
Unlimited Undo 4537 64.62% 49.83 3.176 60.74% 1.042 1.0351
Using Tokens but Not Events 2058 62.45% 40.57 1.511 40.18% -0.088 -0.0986

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17829 20.4 3.03%
II 17263 31.01 48.17%
III 6916 34.76 90.49%
IV 1844 38.07 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.405 Win Model: -0.251
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 36192 75.68% 39.61 39.29%
2 5362 82.12% 37.47 33.85%
3 1351 77.79% 38.87 36.64%
4 790 70.39% 44.77 41.65%
5 14 28.57% 48.14 57.14%
6 143 25.87% 61.63 60.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 521
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6154
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8128
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1787
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1462
Lose: Invader deck ran out 327
Lose: Adversary condition 13353
Win: Sacrifice victory 317
Lose: Scenario condition 979
Win: Scenario condition 47
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10000
Lose: Spirit destroyed 777

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)