The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1749 25.06% 28.03 3.718 77.64% 1.046 0.964
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 112 17.86% 21.09 -1.476 52.68% 0.006 -0.5004
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1142 43.23% 25.94 -1.156 69.0% -0.357 -0.1992
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 140 14.29% 31.79 5.121 75.71% 1.103 0.2794
Dances Up Earthquakes 89 37.08% 22.2 -0.159 58.43% 0.061 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1522 28.18% 28.39 2.729 78.45% 0.789 0.6107
Downpour Drenches the World 616 24.19% 20.54 -1.929 50.49% -0.513 -0.2602
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 511 21.57% 25.82 1.358 67.32% 0.605 0.0253
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1823 18.15% 31.88 2.926 83.0% 0.617 0.1709
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1488 24.29% 30.04 1.71 81.92% 0.547 0.0787
Finder of Paths Unseen 270 27.88% 15.5 -5.354 38.52% -0.911 -0.2077
Fractured Days Split the Sky 775 33.81% 23.17 -5.716 54.97% -1.43 -0.7304
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 998 39.26% 25.8 -0.459 65.83% -0.083 -0.2247
Heart of the Wildfire 1757 56.36% 24.1 0.173 68.01% -0.009 0.3321
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2295 25.51% 29.7 1.722 82.05% 0.332 -0.0636
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 153 14.38% 23.41 -3.536 60.78% -0.785 -1.1133
Lightning's Swift Strike 955 43.14% 26.9 0.003 73.93% 0.143 0.3673
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 199 30.81% 27.16 1.629 70.85% 0.348 0.03
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 491 32.44% 29.86 -1.475 82.48% -0.094 -0.4025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 388 31.19% 27.02 1.866 71.65% 0.244 0.2615
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1879 32.2% 28.23 1.404 76.8% 0.677 0.4611
Many Minds Move as One 1354 22.24% 29.14 1.032 78.88% 0.336 0.1163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1796 40.19% 27.08 -0.316 71.66% -0.014 0.1565
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 80 43.75% 20.91 0.211 55.0% 0.483 0.5484
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1391 29.56% 26.99 0.465 75.99% 0.221 0.1078
River Surges in Sunlight 1168 41.36% 27.76 -0.259 70.72% -0.087 -0.0324
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 54 29.63% 21.31 -4.216 51.85% -0.269 -0.1276
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 576 40.42% 26.82 -1.952 63.02% -0.598 -0.3452
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 228 34.07% 27.92 3.679 63.6% 0.62 0.4537
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1281 28.28% 27.74 -2.331 76.74% -0.56 -0.6942
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 13 23.08% 18.77 -0.66 46.15% -0.106 -0.3215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 581 53.1% 25.68 -2.0 67.47% -0.409 0.1502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 35.96% 22.84 2.259 56.18% 0.114 -0.0318
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 102 27.45% 25.48 3.504 65.69% 0.517 0.0351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 27.59% 22.02 7.009 55.17% 0.658 0.5835
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 386 33.16% 29.23 2.893 81.35% 0.668 0.6058
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 265 44.91% 25.81 -0.409 69.06% -0.218 -0.0194
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1266 29.48% 28.52 0.507 77.8% 0.153 0.2435
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 191 21.69% 20.53 -3.449 54.45% -0.597 -0.7306
Shifting Memory of Ages 786 41.71% 21.26 -3.688 56.49% -0.787 -0.4801
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 82 21.95% 16.82 -1.968 41.46% -0.558 -0.5877
Shroud of Silent Mist 896 44.18% 23.71 -0.888 64.96% -0.162 0.1602
Starlight Seeks its Form 1011 25.91% 24.21 -0.891 63.9% 0.06 -0.0415
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2437 27.68% 26.64 -1.175 81.49% 0.162 -0.3256
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1180 38.88% 24.53 -1.634 66.1% -0.156 0.0005
Thunderspeaker 1361 35.35% 27.72 1.999 72.08% 0.171 0.2098
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 162 29.63% 18.27 -4.574 47.53% -0.66 -0.5565
Towering Roots of the Jungle 193 21.76% 20.79 0.85 58.03% 0.396 0.5021
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1642 57.83% 22.8 -1.877 68.7% -0.192 -0.1187
Vital Strength of the Earth 873 35.13% 23.83 -3.066 65.06% -0.554 0.0491
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 182 23.76% 21.03 -2.893 53.85% -0.524 -0.052
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 384 34.2% 21.2 -2.896 60.16% -0.413 0.2298
Volcano Looming High 1237 38.8% 23.86 -1.391 66.94% -0.036 0.0309
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 332 20.24% 27.36 1.169 68.67% 0.442 0.0857

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 34 29.41% 23.88 -1.784 61.76% -0.372 -0.206
Blitz 0 378 26.26% 22.5 1.26 61.38% 0.406 0.6843
Dahan Insurrection 4 424 26.89% 44.63 5.99 64.62% -0.294 -0.5198
Despicable Theft 2 191 31.94% 23.43 -1.391 47.12% -0.563 0.1809
Elemental Invocation 1 295 38.64% 21.64 0.112 50.85% -0.459 0.2568
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1013 8.98% 32.86 1.524 75.22% 0.285 -0.3146
Powers Long Forgotten 1 334 38.25% 21.94 -1.6 48.8% -0.906 0.0431
Rituals of Terror 3 242 52.48% 29.01 -6.316 49.17% -0.952 -0.8266
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 223 52.91% 27.52 -4.554 51.12% -1.181 -0.2662
Second Wave 0 576 48.52% 30.43 4.876 67.19% 0.182 0.3496
The Great River 3 195 46.15% 21.82 -1.788 34.87% -0.775 0.3294
Varied Terrains 2 119 51.26% 21.87 -0.403 41.18% -0.407 0.3081
Ward the Shores 2 348 38.51% 27.97 -5.172 54.31% -1.244 -0.0645

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18409 36.58% 26.67 0.506 73.34% 0.625 0.8785
1 Thematic 1949 37.87% 28.12 -0.226 61.52% -0.242 0.3557
2 Archipelago 20 60.0% 31.85 -10.648 55.0% -0.604 0.0218
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3782 36.86% 25.64 0.128 72.21% 0.257 0.3404
2 Coastline 432 35.42% 27.42 1.87 75.69% 1.005 0.8618
2 Fragment 87 48.28% 23.71 1.229 64.37% 0.536 0.2677
2 Heart 51 41.18% 26.43 -6.463 82.35% -0.972 -1.385
2 Opposite Shores 486 32.92% 28.05 -0.422 81.28% -0.104 -0.0592
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.803 0.0% -0.275 1.2078
2 Thematic 566 33.57% 26.85 -1.92 56.54% -0.356 0.1217
2 Top to Top 88 43.18% 27.5 0.241 79.55% 0.531 0.3954
3 Archipelago 8 25.0% 37.25 -6.973 75.0% -0.254 -1.0531
3 Coastline 28 35.71% 34.61 8.371 78.57% 1.078 0.4555
3 Other 67 32.84% 24.6 0.0 70.15%
3 Round (Default) 1758 30.11% 27.58 0.407 77.59% 0.217 0.1078
3 Sunrise 9 55.56% 31.67 0.0 88.89%
3 Thematic 103 41.75% 24.06 -3.638 47.57% -0.663 -0.6137
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 15.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 17.0 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 37 18.92% 26.49 3.089 83.78% 0.833 0.0573
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 127 18.11% 34.69 5.387 77.17% 0.81 0.7822
4 Trapezoid (Default) 948 22.05% 22.75 -2.321 63.29% -0.824 -0.9704
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 59 11.86% 25.22 1.65 76.27% 0.17 -0.4485
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 27.0 0.0 54.55%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 11 54.55% 21.55 4.273 63.64% 0.104 -0.1587
6 Star 10 30.0% 29.2 0.0 90.0%
6 Thematic 56 25.45% 33.38 -0.019 55.36% -0.403 -0.1159
6 Two Centers (Default) 130 13.08% 23.5 -8.71 65.38% -1.484 -1.0031
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 4 0.0% 12.25 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 626 22.79 1.259 60.54% 0.099 0.2754
Aid From Lesser Spirits 555 23.65 2.192 60.36% 0.201 0.1216
All Things Weaken 726 21.55 0.935 54.41% -0.032 0.2469
Attenuated Essence 91 17.99 -0.378 45.05% -0.162 -0.153
Back Against the Wall 580 25.27 3.39 63.79% 0.04 0.081
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 99 17.65 -0.511 42.42% -0.168 0.0295
Burn Brightest Before the End 88 24.2 3.217 57.95% 0.397 0.4438
Disintegrating Ecosystem 633 21.04 1.778 57.19% 0.941 1.2139
Downward Spiral 825 21.85 -0.238 60.24% 0.126 0.2226
Erosion of Will 696 22.92 -0.247 56.9% -0.109 0.1474
Intensifying Exploitation 104 20.73 -1.952 50.0% -0.243 -0.0069
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 360 26.68 3.972 79.44% 1.278 0.6632
Memory Fades to Dust 838 22.62 -0.293 59.55% -0.13 0.1037
Power Corrodes the Spirit 748 22.7 -0.305 62.83% 0.037 0.262
Promising Farmlands 638 22.33 -1.368 58.46% -0.19 0.0422
Shattered Fragments of Power 83 24.43 1.466 54.22% -0.122 -0.0219
Slow Dissolution of Will 107 20.92 2.825 42.99% 0.634 0.9783
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 253 28.13 4.726 84.98% 1.509 0.8196
The Border of Life and Death 45 23.24 -0.273 57.78% -0.332 -0.8798
Thriving Communities 776 20.44 -2.534 55.03% -0.689 -0.46
Thriving Crops 44 27.41 5.664 75.0% 1.351 1.072
Unnatural Proliferation 737 22.31 0.991 52.51% 0.081 0.2664
Untended Land Crumbles 722 21.37 -0.712 55.12% -0.11 0.1276

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5313 34.45% 25.88 -0.781 72.56% -0.566 0.4216
B 5168 34.56% 25.85 -0.33 71.94% -0.408 0.4835
C 5419 32.32% 26.46 0.196 73.46% -0.288 0.4165
D 5074 33.6% 26.08 0.183 72.66% -0.098 0.8289
E 4967 33.54% 26.43 -0.281 73.42% -0.357 0.4129
F 4816 33.45% 26.47 -0.304 73.3% -0.398 0.4592
G 4306 34.32% 25.93 -0.36 72.25% -0.319 0.4963
H 4258 32.84% 26.37 -0.643 72.55% -0.461 0.3589
East 1684 34.64% 29.71 -0.195 62.77% -0.552 0.2621
Northeast 760 34.91% 30.11 -0.663 61.97% -0.519 0.2091
Northwest 649 35.34% 27.27 -0.654 53.31% -0.249 0.5938
Southeast 621 31.29% 28.46 -0.835 61.84% -0.566 0.2583
Southwest 620 31.02% 25.22 -0.705 58.71% -0.389 0.8616
West 1589 35.14% 26.61 2.025 56.77% 0.156 1.1035

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 83 0.0% 29.02 1.231 78.31% 0.316 1.0179
Not Using Events or Tokens 459 38.53% 25.46 -2.808 69.93% -0.716 -0.3438
Skip Initial Invader Actions 649 7.52% 39.77 5.191 89.52% 0.837 0.1903
Start of Game Growth 996 13.58% 36.9 0.536 85.14% -0.54 -1.0592
Unlimited Undo 1922 28.65% 28.17 2.554 76.59% 0.619 0.5269
Using Tokens but Not Events 2267 29.45% 27.2 0.903 73.45% -0.072 -0.0777

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4923 13.57 10.93%
II 5990 30.15 58.96%
III 11704 34.83 89.06%
IV 6668 38.65 98.97%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.163 Win Model: 0.44
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20699 36.71% 26.66 71.55%
2 5296 36.37% 26.62 73.92%
3 1917 31.01% 27.74 76.73%
4 1105 21.54% 24.02 65.25%
5 52 11.54% 25.37 75.0%
6 216 18.6% 26.0 62.96%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 535
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3298
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6540
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3477
Lose: Invader deck ran out 164
Lose: Adversary condition 2004
Win: Sacrifice victory 108
Lose: Scenario condition 281
Win: Scenario condition 463
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2119
Lose: Spirit destroyed 148

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1236 33.06% 32.15 0.257 78.16% 0.244 0.1619
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 92 20.65% 29.21 2.652 72.83% 0.782 0.2756
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 717 55.38% 29.19 0.717 65.83% 0.355 0.513
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 93 39.78% 31.8 5.152 73.12% 0.866 0.0431
Dances Up Earthquakes 57 36.84% 21.77 -3.474 52.63% -0.572 -0.6332
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1131 29.99% 32.17 1.527 77.45% 0.266 0.0883
Downpour Drenches the World 471 25.32% 23.4 -0.806 54.56% 0.081 0.3335
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 512 22.11% 26.2 2.158 63.28% 0.51 -0.0693
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1399 23.49% 36.63 2.787 85.06% 0.542 0.0958
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1109 28.34% 34.59 2.995 81.61% 0.544 0.0757
Finder of Paths Unseen 231 44.59% 17.58 -7.744 37.66% -1.37 -0.6671
Fractured Days Split the Sky 475 37.21% 26.91 -4.135 57.68% -1.188 -0.4884
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 722 41.0% 28.72 0.468 67.04% 0.13 -0.0108
Heart of the Wildfire 1187 59.7% 28.15 -0.921 69.33% -0.261 0.0804
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1679 37.26% 32.5 -1.311 79.75% -0.197 -0.5924
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 128 28.91% 26.45 -3.102 60.16% -0.508 -0.8363
Lightning's Swift Strike 672 46.2% 31.08 -1.262 74.4% -0.336 -0.1119
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 141 39.01% 26.96 -1.275 58.87% -0.33 -0.6486
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 356 32.3% 34.24 1.115 78.65% -0.07 -0.3785
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 299 38.8% 32.11 -0.061 71.57% -0.03 -0.0128
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1410 39.76% 31.78 1.431 75.96% 0.452 0.2352
Many Minds Move as One 985 27.99% 33.51 0.46 80.61% 0.129 -0.0912
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1279 43.59% 31.74 0.999 74.43% 0.14 0.3099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 82 53.66% 25.87 1.877 62.2% 0.657 0.7219
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1113 38.85% 30.72 -0.179 73.23% 0.195 0.0818
River Surges in Sunlight 925 41.78% 32.35 1.238 70.05% 0.147 0.2015
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 59 27.12% 24.05 5.545 50.85% 0.392 0.5329
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 428 50.35% 29.04 -1.725 60.75% -0.753 -0.4994
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 203 33.0% 28.78 0.762 64.53% 0.055 -0.1117
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 810 41.41% 30.61 1.23 73.46% 0.103 -0.0315
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 11 9.09% 27.73 -2.714 63.64% -0.612 -0.8279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 374 62.03% 28.42 0.297 64.44% 0.084 0.6439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 40.38% 26.58 0.0 58.49%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 74 36.99% 30.49 6.148 70.27% 0.888 0.4069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 68 44.12% 24.78 3.871 60.29% 0.712 0.6369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 287 43.16% 29.26 -0.018 68.64% 0.036 -0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 195 58.25% 30.48 -6.744 66.67% -0.224 -0.026
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 941 39.79% 33.07 0.188 79.6% 0.091 0.1816
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 188 31.18% 24.14 0.657 56.38% 0.228 0.0942
Shifting Memory of Ages 620 47.1% 25.87 -1.435 60.81% 0.106 0.4134
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 87 37.93% 25.61 -0.282 58.62% 0.165 0.1357
Shroud of Silent Mist 667 57.44% 25.35 -3.595 60.57% -0.804 -0.4821
Starlight Seeks its Form 910 29.56% 32.05 2.868 75.6% 0.508 0.406
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1992 32.01% 31.54 1.792 82.48% 0.834 0.3461
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 846 45.37% 27.43 -2.97 63.36% -0.619 -0.4626
Thunderspeaker 987 39.82% 32.63 -0.471 73.45% -0.152 -0.1129
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 109 33.03% 22.61 0.572 52.29% 0.233 0.3365
Towering Roots of the Jungle 186 36.02% 23.14 -0.958 58.6% -0.153 -0.0468
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1314 71.66% 25.49 -3.563 66.59% -0.552 -0.4792
Vital Strength of the Earth 622 42.44% 27.08 -0.253 63.18% -0.24 0.3627
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 127 22.05% 21.97 -4.377 44.09% -0.668 -0.1961
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 279 44.44% 24.46 -5.123 54.48% -0.941 -0.2986
Volcano Looming High 973 42.03% 29.0 -0.597 71.43% -0.011 0.0564
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 225 18.67% 31.76 2.848 74.67% 0.658 0.3013

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 17.14% 23.37 -5.325 54.29% -0.224 -0.0579
Blitz 0 417 34.13% 21.86 -7.545 50.36% -1.475 -1.1966
Dahan Insurrection 4 353 25.78% 52.12 10.514 74.5% 0.49 0.264
Despicable Theft 2 129 37.21% 25.33 2.223 47.29% -0.068 0.6754
Elemental Invocation 1 223 44.39% 22.29 1.43 40.36% -0.483 0.2327
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 644 11.27% 32.64 3.002 62.11% 0.074 -0.526
Powers Long Forgotten 1 245 50.2% 25.75 -5.4 48.57% -0.783 0.1661
Rituals of Terror 3 164 48.17% 38.43 1.982 59.76% -0.079 0.0463
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 120 60.0% 34.76 -11.391 56.67% -0.645 0.2691
Second Wave 0 1235 47.69% 31.85 4.798 67.69% 0.514 0.6824
The Great River 3 123 41.46% 25.27 -10.545 36.59% -1.025 0.0793
Varied Terrains 2 104 36.54% 19.01 -7.619 37.5% -1.31 -0.5948
Ward the Shores 2 261 43.68% 29.32 -4.258 50.57% -0.642 0.5377

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13059 39.43% 30.36 0.692 72.52% 0.349 0.6022
1 Thematic 1566 45.26% 30.58 -0.426 57.66% -0.282 0.3153
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 36.36 0.0 64.29%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3037 42.94% 28.8 -0.955 72.64% -0.151 -0.0676
2 Coastline 362 44.04% 30.25 -0.157 75.14% 0.294 0.1504
2 Fragment 89 60.67% 27.24 3.313 69.66% 0.087 -0.1806
2 Heart 61 52.46% 31.1 1.165 75.41% 0.206 -0.2069
2 Opposite Shores 603 42.28% 28.55 2.128 70.98% 0.628 0.6727
2 Thematic 634 40.76% 26.06 -3.004 50.63% -0.409 0.0689
2 Top to Top 69 40.58% 26.88 -2.697 68.12% -0.447 -0.5826
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 26 42.31% 31.81 -4.771 69.23% -0.136 -0.7585
3 Other 64 39.06% 32.84 -5.918 84.38% -0.541 -1.2236
3 Round (Default) 1386 36.04% 31.49 -2.462 76.41% -1.158 -1.2679
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 32.0 0.0 83.33%
3 Thematic 128 40.63% 31.24 2.58 63.28% 0.11 0.1587
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 47.0 0.0 83.33%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 34.33 6.311 83.33% 0.245 0.0407
4 Other 26 61.54% 31.77 5.461 80.77% 0.669 -0.1072
4 Thematic 108 31.78% 39.26 -3.497 72.22% -0.397 -0.4249
4 Trapezoid (Default) 434 37.64% 30.48 8.111 75.81% 0.562 0.4157
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 53 24.53% 29.62 -5.965 73.58% -0.837 -1.4555
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 33.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 3 0.0% 48.67 8.745 100.0% 0.213 0.3221
6 Thematic 32 25.0% 38.28 0.044 78.13% -0.102 0.1848
6 Two Centers (Default) 62 27.42% 29.73 4.653 69.35% -0.197 0.2839
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 559 26.29 0.031 59.57% -0.097 0.08
Aid From Lesser Spirits 463 26.88 -1.141 60.26% -0.52 -0.5991
All Things Weaken 634 25.97 -0.077 56.94% -0.321 -0.0421
Attenuated Essence 85 23.47 0.613 55.29% -0.281 -0.2718
Back Against the Wall 459 28.34 2.224 64.05% 0.268 0.309
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 81 23.25 1.185 46.91% -0.304 -0.1057
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 25.18 3.636 51.32% 0.564 0.6102
Disintegrating Ecosystem 564 23.88 -4.834 54.26% -0.837 -0.5641
Downward Spiral 708 24.9 -0.937 58.76% -0.402 -0.3051
Erosion of Will 506 25.83 0.426 60.08% 0.187 0.4436
Intensifying Exploitation 98 23.37 -1.856 52.04% -0.216 0.02
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 336 31.88 6.009 79.46% 0.986 0.3706
Memory Fades to Dust 661 24.96 2.493 58.25% 0.554 0.7875
Power Corrodes the Spirit 625 25.78 -1.476 59.68% 0.071 0.2958
Promising Farmlands 542 23.81 0.861 52.58% -0.208 0.0242
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 21.4 -4.437 43.06% -0.91 -0.8093
Slow Dissolution of Will 90 24.18 -1.479 52.22% -0.315 0.0287
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 31.69 4.901 82.38% 0.49 -0.2
The Border of Life and Death 40 28.02 0.805 70.0% 0.214 -0.3342
Thriving Communities 667 23.2 -0.744 53.07% 0.043 0.2722
Thriving Crops 46 21.46 -2.927 50.0% -0.326 -0.605
Unnatural Proliferation 645 26.0 -2.653 56.74% -0.369 -0.1844
Untended Land Crumbles 620 25.03 -1.702 57.26% -0.666 -0.4282

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3680 40.49% 30.05 -0.651 73.78% -0.347 0.6409
B 3892 38.66% 30.23 0.199 73.33% -0.151 0.7401
C 4105 38.15% 30.1 -1.988 73.76% -0.687 0.0184
D 3658 40.24% 30.38 1.301 73.67% 0.202 1.1284
E 3643 39.94% 30.59 0.128 74.28% -0.217 0.5528
F 3501 39.09% 29.82 -0.025 72.75% -0.162 0.6953
G 3089 42.13% 29.53 0.566 71.19% 0.005 0.8204
H 3124 40.35% 30.43 -0.107 73.91% -0.478 0.3413
East 1542 41.89% 31.1 0.76 58.24% -0.449 0.3651
Northeast 730 38.96% 29.73 -2.717 55.21% -1.031 -0.3027
Northwest 667 39.15% 29.74 0.641 57.12% -0.158 0.6851
Southeast 532 43.67% 32.15 -0.305 64.1% -0.182 0.6419
Southwest 525 42.64% 25.83 -0.888 54.67% -0.187 1.0641
West 1493 42.61% 28.41 -1.993 55.26% -0.784 0.1632

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 78 0.0% 34.12 3.986 83.33% 0.838 1.5403
Not Using Events or Tokens 216 44.98% 25.14 -6.579 55.09% -0.837 -0.4652
Skip Initial Invader Actions 384 10.11% 44.91 5.861 89.06% -0.08 -0.7262
Start of Game Growth 562 12.84% 42.74 7.942 86.83% 0.938 0.4192
Unlimited Undo 1667 33.62% 30.18 1.081 73.55% 0.293 0.2002
Using Tokens but Not Events 1847 28.94% 31.57 0.062 73.63% 0.093 0.0878

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3771 13.57 11.67%
II 7659 30.15 70.18%
III 7522 34.83 90.92%
IV 2923 38.65 99.42%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.162 Win Model: 0.543
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14888 40.09% 30.14 70.14%
2 4692 43.05% 29.26 72.1%
3 1569 37.0% 31.36 75.33%
4 578 36.11% 32.87 77.16%
5 43 32.56% 26.51 67.44%
6 105 25.71% 33.1 73.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 435
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6676
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5069
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2888
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2432
Lose: Invader deck ran out 105
Lose: Adversary condition 1728
Win: Sacrifice victory 97
Lose: Scenario condition 211
Win: Scenario condition 395
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1722
Lose: Spirit destroyed 117

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1425 40.58% 37.34 2.141 72.0% 0.448 0.3651
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 109 38.53% 34.03 1.511 67.89% 0.55 0.0443
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 787 69.97% 29.58 -0.782 49.43% -0.105 0.0534
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 142 46.48% 35.16 2.608 65.49% 0.141 -0.6824
Dances Up Earthquakes 89 57.3% 30.29 0.641 58.43% 0.358 0.2971
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1240 46.88% 36.82 1.267 72.58% 0.44 0.2616
Downpour Drenches the World 440 38.22% 30.14 -3.1 57.27% -0.407 -0.1546
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 677 42.25% 31.1 -0.091 60.41% 0.196 -0.3832
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1537 39.01% 40.31 2.856 78.14% 0.833 0.3871
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1235 48.91% 36.15 -3.404 69.55% -0.415 -0.8829
Finder of Paths Unseen 237 52.74% 22.55 -1.838 40.08% -0.251 0.4521
Fractured Days Split the Sky 610 50.41% 31.09 -1.651 50.82% -0.355 0.3441
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 732 59.45% 32.48 1.597 60.93% 0.384 0.2431
Heart of the Wildfire 1738 73.36% 30.52 -1.364 56.21% -0.048 0.293
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2217 48.89% 36.67 0.794 69.37% 0.323 -0.0727
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 183 39.89% 31.52 3.092 59.02% 0.768 0.4398
Lightning's Swift Strike 770 60.84% 36.02 2.24 68.18% 0.641 0.8649
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 204 57.14% 32.07 4.176 61.76% 0.818 0.4998
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 350 57.88% 36.15 -4.0 67.71% -0.382 -0.6905
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 337 53.27% 33.33 0.175 59.35% 0.034 0.0513
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1858 58.59% 33.38 -1.444 62.11% -0.215 -0.4318
Many Minds Move as One 1034 37.34% 38.01 -1.986 76.02% -0.223 -0.4422
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1664 54.96% 35.06 -4.3 64.78% -0.737 -0.5666
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 104 72.12% 33.72 1.851 65.38% 0.432 0.4971
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1298 51.16% 34.74 -1.01 66.18% -0.091 -0.2044
River Surges in Sunlight 1231 53.44% 38.22 3.709 66.45% 0.469 0.5237
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 67 49.25% 27.43 -1.634 43.28% -0.685 -0.5439
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 440 57.67% 31.88 -6.636 52.05% -1.26 -1.0065
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 273 45.02% 32.81 3.145 56.41% 0.321 0.1545
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1298 53.97% 34.62 -3.044 65.33% -0.411 -0.5459
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 35.71% 41.79 4.109 78.57% 0.511 0.296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 349 74.21% 30.74 -3.359 52.15% -0.277 0.2827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 57.81% 23.36 1.631 39.06% 0.418 0.2721
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 112 56.25% 32.79 1.771 60.71% 0.541 0.0599
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 57.97% 21.51 -6.156 34.78% -0.697 -0.7717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 245 68.98% 30.14 -2.679 53.47% 0.012 -0.0501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 169 63.91% 27.04 -0.941 42.6% -0.244 -0.0457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1159 47.36% 36.67 1.58 70.32% 0.31 0.4005
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 172 41.52% 28.44 -3.488 54.65% -0.506 -0.6399
Shifting Memory of Ages 678 64.79% 29.13 -1.929 53.83% -0.38 -0.0729
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 90 46.67% 28.96 0.706 53.33% -0.091 -0.1206
Shroud of Silent Mist 741 71.93% 25.91 -2.461 43.59% -0.461 -0.1389
Starlight Seeks its Form 912 51.83% 31.81 3.4 58.33% 0.603 0.5013
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2993 37.69% 37.67 5.568 79.95% 1.45 0.9622
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 877 59.68% 31.77 -4.293 58.15% -0.583 -0.4268
Thunderspeaker 1037 53.19% 34.39 -1.164 61.81% -0.122 -0.0832
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 36.94% 26.95 1.296 43.24% 0.008 0.1109
Towering Roots of the Jungle 215 49.07% 26.66 -4.11 48.37% -0.8 -0.6931
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1718 82.0% 29.21 -1.763 56.4% -0.059 0.0141
Vital Strength of the Earth 590 56.37% 30.8 2.331 53.56% -0.027 0.5759
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 152 41.45% 24.7 -5.353 42.11% -0.833 -0.3616
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 314 50.32% 26.16 -2.445 46.18% -0.218 0.4248
Volcano Looming High 1250 64.31% 31.12 -1.956 60.24% -0.263 -0.1959
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 320 44.83% 30.82 -1.222 60.31% 0.13 -0.2264

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 24.14% 25.69 10.135 48.28% 0.53 0.6962
Blitz 0 402 46.25% 30.87 -4.952 52.74% -0.529 -0.2512
Dahan Insurrection 4 262 40.08% 54.22 17.692 68.32% 1.063 0.8367
Despicable Theft 2 88 54.55% 25.53 -6.901 36.36% -0.992 -0.2484
Elemental Invocation 1 143 57.34% 24.06 -7.616 36.36% -1.342 -0.6261
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1036 13.32% 42.15 4.531 70.08% 0.496 -0.1045
Powers Long Forgotten 1 150 58.67% 30.99 -12.519 46.0% -1.594 -0.6448
Rituals of Terror 3 76 63.16% 37.28 1.464 48.68% -0.231 -0.1059
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 58 68.97% 36.5 20.916 46.55% 0.413 1.328
Second Wave 0 799 55.79% 34.42 2.813 56.2% 0.178 0.3456
The Great River 3 59 20.34% 22.64 -5.071 15.25% -0.506 0.5984
Varied Terrains 2 57 56.14% 15.14 -11.34 10.53% -0.305 0.4105
Ward the Shores 2 159 61.01% 31.04 -4.758 39.62% -0.563 0.6165

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 15865 53.5% 33.43 -0.728 63.6% -0.246 0.0068
1 Thematic 1107 53.63% 34.15 -2.854 51.13% -0.849 -0.2511
2 Archipelago 25 68.0% 29.64 -12.19 36.0% -0.389 0.2362
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3752 55.78% 32.66 0.142 62.95% -0.107 -0.0231
2 Coastline 437 51.83% 36.16 3.517 70.94% 0.547 0.4039
2 Fragment 104 61.76% 32.19 2.776 57.69% -0.26 -0.5283
2 Heart 63 58.06% 30.44 -0.977 57.14% -0.341 -0.7538
2 Opposite Shores 833 55.07% 33.1 1.464 62.79% 0.19 0.2349
2 Thematic 474 56.12% 30.93 0.503 46.84% 0.166 0.6444
2 Top to Top 118 45.69% 36.93 8.109 72.88% 0.745 0.6095
3 Archipelago 14 64.29% 26.93 0.0 28.57%
3 Coastline 19 22.22% 34.05 0.0 57.89%
3 Other 81 58.02% 33.77 4.186 66.67% 0.359 -0.3233
3 Round (Default) 1646 55.34% 33.97 1.449 65.31% -0.123 -0.2325
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 38.6 0.0 80.0%
3 Thematic 76 60.53% 37.04 -2.96 63.16% 0.024 0.0725
4 Archipelago 10 90.0% 34.2 0.0 40.0%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 5 80.0% 29.0 0.0 40.0%
4 Other 67 59.7% 30.79 3.521 58.21% 0.542 -0.2339
4 Thematic 186 45.16% 43.39 4.587 73.66% 0.842 0.8142
4 Trapezoid (Default) 643 50.23% 37.89 -1.001 75.12% -0.244 -0.3902
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 53 51.92% 33.85 3.115 69.81% 0.099 -0.5193
5 Thematic 12 25.0% 33.58 -6.483 66.67% -0.21 -0.315
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 10 20.0% 35.0 -10.704 50.0% -0.311 -0.5742
6 Star 12 66.67% 40.0 1.205 66.67% 0.099 0.2079
6 Thematic 49 37.5% 35.59 -6.508 55.1% -0.578 -0.2908
6 Two Centers (Default) 63 28.57% 27.92 3.333 52.38% 0.061 0.5418
7 Other 4 25.0% 13.75 -8.838 25.0% -0.171 -0.6835

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 936 31.16 4.825 53.53% 0.569 0.7462
Aid From Lesser Spirits 733 34.32 3.897 60.98% 0.201 0.1219
All Things Weaken 1053 30.36 -1.545 53.47% -0.602 -0.3227
Attenuated Essence 151 26.3 -0.777 43.71% -0.473 -0.4638
Back Against the Wall 739 32.75 3.524 58.19% 0.513 0.5543
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 193 26.96 -2.249 46.11% -0.734 -0.5363
Burn Brightest Before the End 131 32.45 6.917 57.25% 0.845 0.8921
Disintegrating Ecosystem 862 28.41 -2.394 52.78% -0.566 -0.2935
Downward Spiral 1045 29.31 0.581 52.54% -0.127 -0.0302
Erosion of Will 897 29.65 4.222 51.17% 0.756 1.0129
Intensifying Exploitation 142 24.47 -1.074 42.96% -0.25 -0.0143
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 430 36.4 2.943 71.86% 0.309 -0.3065
Memory Fades to Dust 1005 30.57 1.69 55.72% -0.187 0.0463
Power Corrodes the Spirit 946 30.31 -0.291 54.65% -0.187 0.0382
Promising Farmlands 821 28.04 0.609 49.82% 0.077 0.3091
Shattered Fragments of Power 120 28.85 0.222 47.5% -0.021 0.0798
Slow Dissolution of Will 139 25.24 -4.454 38.13% -1.028 -0.6845
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 282 37.29 -0.826 75.18% -0.196 -0.886
The Border of Life and Death 55 28.64 3.929 50.91% 0.437 -0.1109
Thriving Communities 1017 27.25 -2.608 46.9% -0.824 -0.5952
Thriving Crops 70 26.97 -1.701 51.43% -0.156 -0.4351
Unnatural Proliferation 1027 31.49 1.911 54.92% -0.023 0.1617
Untended Land Crumbles 1016 28.94 -1.725 51.28% -0.425 -0.1872

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4756 54.97% 32.84 -0.924 62.62% -0.084 0.9031
B 4846 55.31% 33.29 -1.249 63.39% -0.195 0.6966
C 5478 50.77% 34.73 2.606 67.78% 0.509 1.2136
D 4460 56.3% 32.81 0.479 62.69% 0.151 1.0779
E 4603 53.06% 33.91 0.772 65.0% 0.205 0.9756
F 4246 54.13% 33.87 0.957 64.6% 0.218 1.0756
G 3670 54.49% 33.49 -0.407 63.73% 0.04 0.8561
H 3594 51.55% 34.04 -0.218 64.86% -0.029 0.7904
East 1226 52.33% 35.32 -1.059 54.57% -0.154 0.6602
Northeast 613 50.33% 33.51 -2.867 49.59% -0.875 -0.1465
Northwest 579 48.44% 34.03 -0.459 52.5% -0.263 0.5804
Southeast 423 52.49% 37.41 -1.443 62.17% 0.453 1.2768
Southwest 401 49.87% 33.32 -3.019 55.11% -0.919 0.3315
West 1180 51.36% 34.61 0.813 53.9% 0.162 1.1091

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 99 0.0% 35.4 1.63 67.68% 0.368 1.0702
Not Using Events or Tokens 82 46.67% 32.89 -15.547 60.98% -0.488 -0.1156
Skip Initial Invader Actions 391 17.55% 50.84 4.446 83.63% 0.697 0.0509
Start of Game Growth 642 24.72% 46.36 1.426 78.82% -0.108 -0.6268
Unlimited Undo 2099 44.25% 34.38 -2.097 64.6% -0.371 -0.4636
Using Tokens but Not Events 2063 46.12% 33.75 0.488 63.98% 0.151 0.1458

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5947 13.57 7.05%
II 11021 30.15 67.14%
III 6177 34.83 94.54%
IV 2607 38.65 99.69%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.241 Win Model: -0.005
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 17123 53.41% 33.43 62.63%
2 5723 55.73% 33.09 62.68%
3 1827 55.27% 33.92 64.92%
4 891 50.28% 38.71 73.85%
5 51 48.0% 28.08 56.86%
6 137 33.09% 31.9 54.01%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5772
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7161
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2572
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2722
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Lose: Adversary condition 3469
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 241
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2744
Lose: Spirit destroyed 205

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1603 51.06% 36.77 0.155 63.01% -0.014 -0.0963
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 135 51.11% 36.73 4.44 58.52% 0.601 0.0945
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 844 75.3% 30.15 -1.703 44.55% -0.405 -0.2464
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 187 56.68% 38.25 8.127 66.84% 1.259 0.4353
Dances Up Earthquakes 88 53.41% 26.14 -1.784 46.59% -0.03 -0.0903
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1284 60.61% 35.43 2.655 61.76% 0.443 0.2649
Downpour Drenches the World 639 51.33% 26.82 -4.071 40.69% -0.755 -0.502
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 851 49.47% 32.43 -1.393 55.93% -0.066 -0.6451
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1799 46.41% 39.69 6.607 70.21% 1.303 0.8562
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1276 55.34% 36.85 0.886 61.99% 0.129 -0.3389
Finder of Paths Unseen 272 59.19% 22.69 -5.767 31.25% -0.934 -0.2312
Fractured Days Split the Sky 663 52.64% 29.99 1.273 44.34% 0.103 0.8025
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 863 66.05% 32.64 -0.631 54.58% -0.139 -0.2805
Heart of the Wildfire 1634 76.48% 30.66 -3.485 49.2% -0.579 -0.2376
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2991 53.95% 36.32 2.173 58.64% 0.346 -0.0496
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 205 46.83% 31.14 -0.593 52.2% -0.234 -0.5625
Lightning's Swift Strike 926 70.89% 33.07 -1.231 50.32% -0.144 0.0801
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 306 65.03% 37.91 3.217 65.03% 0.631 0.3132
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 395 60.71% 36.76 3.956 62.28% 0.487 0.1782
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 383 56.92% 35.66 -0.127 58.22% 0.096 0.1138
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2122 68.76% 32.21 -1.318 52.12% -0.25 -0.4666
Many Minds Move as One 1112 47.48% 40.14 1.506 72.21% 0.146 -0.0739
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2119 57.36% 37.53 2.134 60.64% 0.443 0.6132
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 120 68.33% 26.78 -0.713 44.17% -0.122 -0.0566
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1397 61.31% 34.46 0.586 57.84% 0.114 0.0005
River Surges in Sunlight 1543 58.95% 40.09 2.785 63.77% 0.014 0.0687
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 84 61.9% 31.18 3.547 41.67% 0.314 0.4553
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 501 65.33% 30.72 0.177 45.11% -0.222 0.0312
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 400 51.26% 36.53 2.152 50.75% 0.084 -0.083
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1335 58.48% 33.96 -0.704 56.55% -0.003 -0.1378
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 34 61.76% 36.97 3.983 70.59% 0.939 0.7238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 263 76.05% 29.05 -6.113 36.5% -0.602 -0.0428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 64.58% 23.13 1.874 35.42% 0.256 0.1104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 154 66.23% 29.31 2.99 48.7% 0.558 0.0768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 80 70.0% 29.86 -7.566 41.25% -0.941 -1.0162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 222 74.77% 30.17 -2.406 46.85% -0.156 -0.218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 148 75.51% 25.63 -7.363 31.76% -0.45 -0.2515
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1188 55.86% 37.13 -1.051 63.72% 0.161 0.2511
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 275 51.46% 28.68 -1.97 46.91% -0.311 -0.4448
Shifting Memory of Ages 637 69.45% 28.51 1.443 46.0% 0.424 0.731
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 117 58.12% 34.58 5.574 60.68% 0.924 0.8939
Shroud of Silent Mist 790 73.98% 23.97 -5.782 33.54% -1.25 -0.928
Starlight Seeks its Form 1225 52.74% 31.68 -1.045 51.27% -0.361 -0.463
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3607 50.01% 35.96 1.744 67.51% 0.552 0.0643
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 868 67.32% 32.0 -3.621 48.04% -0.553 -0.3965
Thunderspeaker 1109 63.2% 34.94 -1.814 55.18% -0.692 -0.6535
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 111 50.45% 26.41 0.923 45.05% 0.41 0.5128
Towering Roots of the Jungle 255 57.25% 24.83 -1.592 38.82% -0.419 -0.3126
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2041 85.67% 28.91 -1.13 47.08% -0.12 -0.0463
Vital Strength of the Earth 615 66.5% 26.71 2.885 32.03% 0.404 1.0066
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 201 50.5% 27.43 -2.483 38.81% -0.418 0.0538
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 267 63.67% 28.47 -2.9 43.07% -0.481 0.1621
Volcano Looming High 1526 70.45% 32.13 -0.196 54.78% 0.003 0.07
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 388 57.99% 28.74 0.104 47.94% -0.108 -0.4642

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 35.29% 38.94 -4.803 47.06% -0.739 -0.5731
Blitz 0 432 31.02% 41.99 -0.114 46.76% 0.106 0.384
Dahan Insurrection 4 226 43.81% 56.95 6.779 63.27% -0.018 -0.2444
Despicable Theft 2 28 53.57% 28.32 4.846 39.29% 0.109 0.8522
Elemental Invocation 1 178 59.55% 27.43 -1.805 28.09% -0.79 -0.0741
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 987 18.49% 43.47 1.83 64.34% -0.223 -0.8233
Powers Long Forgotten 1 153 56.86% 25.6 -4.893 32.03% -0.702 0.2478
Rituals of Terror 3 70 64.29% 37.37 -5.398 40.0% -0.821 -0.6957
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 63.93% 26.51 0.0 26.23%
Second Wave 0 455 55.56% 36.08 3.285 53.41% 0.124 0.2924
The Great River 3 66 27.27% 31.12 -13.948 28.79% -0.87 0.2345
Varied Terrains 2 34 26.47% 21.41 -0.463 20.59% -0.327 0.3884
Ward the Shores 2 101 59.41% 25.65 -5.435 21.78% -0.52 0.6603

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 18463 61.15% 33.26 -0.648 55.8% 0.201 0.4542
1 Thematic 1110 59.64% 33.96 3.327 44.23% 0.637 1.2341
2 Archipelago 31 77.42% 41.94 0.0 64.52%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4299 63.7% 33.04 -0.378 56.15% -0.035 0.0487
2 Coastline 488 60.91% 36.91 -3.489 64.75% -0.516 -0.6589
2 Fragment 96 67.02% 30.8 -5.682 50.0% -0.936 -1.204
2 Heart 58 72.73% 34.22 -2.141 58.62% -0.309 -0.7217
2 Opposite Shores 956 59.94% 34.07 0.97 52.62% -0.019 0.026
2 Thematic 388 65.03% 30.3 -1.015 35.31% 0.217 0.6955
2 Top to Top 153 51.63% 37.59 9.92 65.36% 0.992 0.8568
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 32.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 9 44.44% 27.56 2.851 44.44% -0.07 -0.6927
3 Other 78 53.85% 37.42 -4.478 71.79% -0.345 -1.0278
3 Round (Default) 2091 59.35% 32.72 1.307 53.23% -0.039 -0.1489
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 36.5 0.0 62.5%
3 Thematic 92 65.22% 34.91 0.792 42.39% -0.047 0.002
4 Archipelago 14 64.29% 59.0 0.0 78.57%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 14 85.71% 37.79 0.0 64.29%
4 Other 47 55.56% 33.91 -1.867 61.7% -0.564 -1.3401
4 Thematic 144 51.39% 42.31 2.669 54.86% -0.125 -0.1526
4 Trapezoid (Default) 813 54.14% 36.75 8.779 62.36% 1.722 1.5758
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 63 51.61% 38.52 9.108 68.25% 0.283 -0.3356
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 16 46.67% 42.13 8.137 62.5% 0.424 0.1613
6 Star 11 63.64% 42.73 0.0 81.82%
6 Thematic 22 54.55% 39.45 -3.057 59.09% -0.434 -0.1471
6 Two Centers (Default) 53 41.51% 30.53 -4.202 56.6% -0.774 -0.2934
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.863 0.0% -0.29 -0.8025

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1145 30.89 1.444 46.9% -0.079 0.0976
Aid From Lesser Spirits 990 34.37 4.438 55.25% 0.483 0.4036
All Things Weaken 1309 30.43 -0.429 45.76% -0.558 -0.2785
Attenuated Essence 234 31.54 -0.885 50.0% -0.137 -0.128
Back Against the Wall 919 32.74 1.4 50.27% -0.249 -0.2082
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 268 26.44 -1.06 37.31% -0.676 -0.4777
Burn Brightest Before the End 168 28.89 2.58 39.88% -0.045 0.0015
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1106 28.6 1.642 45.12% 0.27 0.5426
Downward Spiral 1358 30.54 -0.172 49.93% -0.062 0.0355
Erosion of Will 1198 29.59 -1.203 44.24% -0.409 -0.1526
Intensifying Exploitation 225 24.7 -0.955 32.44% -0.469 -0.2336
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 570 35.79 -0.157 61.05% -0.379 -0.9945
Memory Fades to Dust 1293 30.45 1.25 46.95% -0.012 0.2212
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1339 29.49 -0.129 45.41% -0.148 0.0771
Promising Farmlands 1121 29.32 -0.387 45.05% -0.037 0.1951
Shattered Fragments of Power 173 31.04 2.372 42.77% 0.192 0.2927
Slow Dissolution of Will 237 26.96 1.132 36.71% -0.239 0.1049
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 352 38.87 5.135 71.59% 0.337 -0.3524
The Border of Life and Death 61 36.48 16.127 59.02% 1.543 0.9956
Thriving Communities 1184 28.05 1.319 40.96% 0.029 0.2581
Thriving Crops 105 27.02 -0.227 42.86% -0.62 -0.8995
Unnatural Proliferation 1323 30.81 1.835 44.9% -0.059 0.1263
Untended Land Crumbles 1314 29.47 -0.125 44.98% -0.189 0.0485

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5714 59.95% 33.63 0.953 55.79% -0.116 0.8717
B 5699 59.28% 33.47 1.042 56.2% 0.041 0.9321
C 6280 61.04% 33.42 0.697 55.38% 0.064 0.7689
D 5218 60.58% 33.44 -0.574 56.36% -0.108 0.8185
E 5241 62.01% 34.05 -0.075 57.13% -0.289 0.4816
F 4871 60.0% 33.74 -0.198 56.87% -0.237 0.6198
G 4294 60.36% 33.92 0.304 57.01% 0.03 0.8456
H 4330 61.09% 34.05 -0.751 57.39% -0.277 0.5433
East 1174 60.49% 35.24 0.522 44.72% -0.063 0.7511
Northeast 511 61.18% 35.71 -2.794 42.27% -1.235 -0.507
Northwest 443 59.95% 34.51 -0.201 41.08% -0.315 0.5277
Southeast 413 58.11% 33.51 0.384 44.07% -0.343 0.481
Southwest 372 58.87% 29.16 -1.539 38.44% -0.67 0.5806
West 1009 59.88% 32.71 2.186 40.73% 0.454 1.402

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 66 0.0% 38.89 6.907 68.18% 0.842 1.5439
Not Using Events or Tokens 106 63.21% 36.27 8.643 50.94% 0.471 0.8428
Skip Initial Invader Actions 736 13.57% 55.76 6.958 75.27% 0.137 -0.5093
Start of Game Growth 1006 17.68% 51.94 5.789 74.75% 0.409 -0.1096
Unlimited Undo 2459 50.52% 36.33 1.854 59.78% 0.361 0.2682
Using Tokens but Not Events 1974 50.84% 34.08 1.272 57.35% 0.062 0.056

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7875 13.57 3.54%
II 11862 30.15 58.29%
III 7880 34.83 91.69%
IV 1929 38.65 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.443 Win Model: 0.386
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 19717 60.97% 33.26 55.0%
2 6394 63.17% 33.62 55.74%
3 2260 59.56% 33.1 53.58%
4 1018 53.95% 37.51 61.39%
5 53 53.85% 33.58 56.6%
6 104 45.63% 36.32 62.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 278
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6745
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1910
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3088
Lose: Invader deck ran out 215
Lose: Adversary condition 5648
Win: Sacrifice victory 103
Lose: Scenario condition 289
Win: Scenario condition 164
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3698
Lose: Spirit destroyed 268

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 894 67.71% 39.12 2.451 54.92% 0.287 0.2044
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 83 62.65% 41.05 6.435 57.83% 0.488 -0.0184
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 448 86.38% 31.02 1.727 34.15% 0.417 0.5751
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 119 68.91% 28.48 1.32 36.13% 0.248 -0.5753
Dances Up Earthquakes 78 75.64% 25.67 0.203 26.92% 0.116 0.0551
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 723 85.34% 31.14 -3.119 36.38% -0.495 -0.673
Downpour Drenches the World 374 61.76% 26.99 -3.882 33.42% -0.643 -0.3901
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 451 72.73% 31.79 3.21 44.35% 0.593 0.0139
Eyes Watch From the Trees 939 68.48% 40.9 3.698 56.02% 0.796 0.3492
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 908 72.55% 38.6 1.194 51.1% 0.256 -0.2124
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 61.0% 25.69 -4.321 33.0% -0.499 0.2039
Fractured Days Split the Sky 427 66.74% 36.65 5.871 43.09% 0.401 1.0999
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 462 80.09% 29.55 -2.26 35.71% -0.482 -0.6228
Heart of the Wildfire 2060 81.18% 33.74 -2.58 43.2% -0.335 0.0059
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1603 71.65% 37.09 5.082 47.6% 0.916 0.52
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 105 62.86% 23.51 -8.088 26.67% -0.644 -0.972
Lightning's Swift Strike 312 89.03% 29.94 -5.194 31.73% -0.791 -0.5671
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 280 70.5% 42.7 3.156 53.93% 0.489 0.1705
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 236 89.41% 37.81 -7.523 48.73% -1.038 -1.3466
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 126 78.57% 34.85 4.343 45.24% 0.675 0.6924
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1629 74.72% 36.72 3.35 47.76% 0.204 -0.012
Many Minds Move as One 655 57.56% 42.39 -3.513 62.75% -0.539 -0.7592
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 829 76.33% 30.55 -7.449 33.9% -1.036 -0.8655
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 100 68.0% 16.25 -5.07 16.0% -0.826 -0.7612
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 792 81.77% 34.47 -2.762 44.44% -0.538 -0.6516
River Surges in Sunlight 836 78.57% 39.29 4.383 48.44% 0.429 0.4841
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 32 78.13% 30.69 5.067 37.5% 0.43 0.5706
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 219 78.54% 28.14 -5.504 26.48% -0.409 -0.1556
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 186 62.37% 40.03 2.663 53.23% 0.085 -0.0817
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 738 75.34% 38.49 2.06 52.71% -0.358 -0.4925
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 13 46.15% 36.0 0.746 46.15% -0.429 -0.6449
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 184 76.63% 26.1 -2.158 23.91% 0.025 0.5845
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 71.43% 34.61 0.0 42.86%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 138 71.74% 38.25 1.202 52.17% -0.165 -0.647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 71.43% 32.14 -16.494 45.71% -0.32 -0.3944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 143 86.01% 36.45 -3.441 45.45% -0.504 -0.5665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 122 86.07% 33.89 -4.026 41.8% -0.382 -0.184
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 528 71.21% 37.44 -1.187 47.73% 0.242 0.3323
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 128 53.91% 40.62 0.55 54.69% 0.021 -0.1129
Shifting Memory of Ages 468 81.8% 31.94 12.139 39.96% 0.475 0.7827
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 84 77.38% 32.23 5.05 42.86% 0.797 0.7669
Shroud of Silent Mist 423 82.98% 30.7 1.447 38.53% 0.343 0.6649
Starlight Seeks its Form 882 72.22% 36.22 0.881 50.34% 0.328 0.2265
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3111 57.35% 40.91 4.768 64.26% 1.143 0.6556
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 624 78.81% 33.03 -2.091 39.1% -0.179 -0.0228
Thunderspeaker 556 82.16% 35.32 -4.902 42.45% -0.829 -0.7898
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 71.88% 20.95 -13.74 23.44% -0.31 -0.2064
Towering Roots of the Jungle 231 60.17% 25.7 1.747 33.33% 0.281 0.3873
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2227 90.62% 32.92 2.324 41.98% 0.565 0.6379
Vital Strength of the Earth 259 81.47% 27.49 -3.129 22.78% -0.003 0.6002
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 111 69.72% 31.19 11.835 35.14% 0.836 1.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 151 79.47% 28.63 -3.952 28.48% -0.295 0.3481
Volcano Looming High 1117 84.33% 31.0 0.866 38.76% 0.26 0.3269
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 281 68.68% 32.41 -0.462 47.69% 0.205 -0.152

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 21.44 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 111 60.36% 33.09 -3.698 42.34% -0.175 0.1028
Dahan Insurrection 4 62 62.9% 50.26 -10.908 40.32% -0.177 -0.4028
Despicable Theft 2 42 61.9% 23.67 2.453 19.05% -0.347 0.3962
Elemental Invocation 1 64 59.38% 25.66 -10.335 20.31% -0.64 0.0761
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 651 26.57% 49.29 15.647 60.52% 1.474 0.8734
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 70.31% 27.61 -4.974 26.56% -0.252 0.6975
Rituals of Terror 3 33 51.52% 42.45 -6.897 45.45% -0.095 0.0301
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 31 93.55% 38.03 0.0 32.26%
Second Wave 0 287 66.78% 38.06 5.422 44.25% 0.537 0.7055
The Great River 3 17 41.18% 26.41 0.0 5.88%
Varied Terrains 2 21 71.43% 22.81 0.875 19.05% -0.254 0.4612
Ward the Shores 2 55 76.36% 26.76 0.0 18.18%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 12697 75.2% 35.04 0.029 46.85% 0.732 0.985
1 Thematic 452 65.41% 32.76 -0.23 34.73% 0.288 0.8854
2 Archipelago 7 100.0% 44.71 0.0 57.14%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2954 77.89% 35.11 1.442 46.61% 0.669 0.7526
2 Coastline 339 78.47% 35.22 -5.9 47.2% -0.269 -0.4118
2 Fragment 50 74.0% 35.34 0.571 46.0% -0.234 -0.5022
2 Heart 38 86.84% 36.26 0.0 52.63%
2 Opposite Shores 545 74.54% 33.05 -1.112 40.18% -0.298 -0.2532
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 193 75.13% 33.25 -5.104 31.61% -0.233 0.2453
2 Top to Top 123 92.68% 35.17 -6.496 43.9% -0.386 -0.5209
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 50 78.0% 44.86 -8.226 72.0% -0.424 -1.107
3 Round (Default) 1369 74.56% 33.29 -1.636 44.41% -0.256 -0.3653
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 34 76.47% 29.91 -7.39 23.53% -0.066 -0.017
4 Leaf 5 100.0% 47.0 0.0 80.0%
4 Other 21 71.43% 44.52 0.0 71.43%
4 Thematic 129 58.14% 45.42 -18.533 52.71% -0.492 -0.5195
4 Trapezoid (Default) 383 76.25% 37.06 10.385 47.26% 0.578 0.432
5 Other 19 55.56% 37.16 13.019 52.63% 0.476 -0.1425
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 26.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 8 62.5% 20.0 -0.899 25.0% -0.208 -0.4707
6 Star 13 38.46% 27.15 5.959 30.77% 0.152 0.2608
6 Thematic 45 15.56% 66.42 10.526 77.78% 0.299 0.586
6 Two Centers (Default) 25 48.0% 22.96 -2.061 32.0% -0.35 0.1307

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 991 35.07 0.375 44.0% -0.112 0.0653
Aid From Lesser Spirits 795 39.06 4.863 51.95% 0.847 0.7673
All Things Weaken 1112 33.92 6.091 39.48% 0.942 1.2209
Attenuated Essence 168 32.84 2.925 42.26% 0.502 0.5112
Back Against the Wall 769 38.95 8.86 50.07% 1.111 1.1525
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 192 34.3 4.832 46.35% 0.801 0.9986
Burn Brightest Before the End 123 32.97 0.496 40.65% -0.677 -0.6299
Disintegrating Ecosystem 987 33.5 -2.285 43.26% -0.257 0.0151
Downward Spiral 1040 33.96 6.44 43.56% 1.283 1.3806
Erosion of Will 953 35.52 7.299 42.71% 0.897 1.1536
Intensifying Exploitation 194 28.43 5.227 31.96% 0.441 0.6772
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 351 38.47 -2.812 52.71% -0.246 -0.8611
Memory Fades to Dust 1117 34.3 3.999 43.33% 0.672 0.9053
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1057 34.75 2.742 44.09% 0.069 0.2945
Promising Farmlands 943 32.51 2.897 38.28% 0.007 0.2395
Shattered Fragments of Power 149 33.89 5.15 43.62% 0.874 0.9746
Slow Dissolution of Will 172 29.5 0.849 30.81% -0.143 0.2005
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 218 43.07 15.883 61.93% 1.081 0.3915
The Border of Life and Death 40 29.05 -9.83 40.0% -0.355 -0.9024
Thriving Communities 1050 32.86 4.0 41.33% 0.582 0.811
Thriving Crops 72 30.46 3.467 40.28% 0.687 0.4076
Unnatural Proliferation 1113 36.2 4.021 44.29% -0.035 0.1499
Untended Land Crumbles 1056 32.76 2.589 38.83% 0.4 0.6379

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3470 75.17% 33.99 0.305 44.81% 0.169 1.1564
B 3933 75.08% 35.37 2.722 47.8% 0.408 1.2996
C 4268 75.32% 35.16 -1.882 46.95% -0.478 0.2265
D 3314 77.66% 34.3 -1.174 45.2% -0.458 0.4691
E 3364 77.06% 34.51 1.305 45.42% 0.356 1.1263
F 3325 75.05% 35.13 -0.481 47.19% -0.086 0.7712
G 2741 74.71% 34.54 1.034 44.98% 0.047 0.8627
H 2717 75.13% 35.37 0.075 47.44% -0.044 0.776
East 612 63.07% 38.07 -4.042 39.71% -0.797 0.0171
Northeast 284 58.45% 42.05 5.781 45.07% 0.656 1.3847
Northwest 236 57.45% 42.17 1.079 45.34% -0.007 0.8361
Southeast 254 53.54% 41.6 -1.895 47.24% -0.354 0.4702
Southwest 227 57.27% 41.97 -2.634 47.58% -0.477 0.7733
West 543 64.02% 37.28 1.077 38.67% 0.431 1.3783

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 38.92 15.561 54.17% 1.195 1.8969
Not Using Events or Tokens 76 67.11% 28.54 0.842 36.84% 0.142 0.5138
Skip Initial Invader Actions 206 44.44% 51.74 16.441 70.87% 1.141 0.4943
Start of Game Growth 465 45.51% 49.44 2.421 67.1% 0.03 -0.4887
Unlimited Undo 1947 69.29% 36.29 0.51 51.93% 0.557 0.4648
Using Tokens but Not Events 903 69.97% 32.68 2.253 42.3% 0.106 0.1004

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6411 13.57 2.54%
II 7436 30.15 48.56%
III 4473 34.83 90.32%
IV 1204 38.65 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.402 Win Model: 0.301
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13211 74.8% 34.95 46.42%
2 4234 78.02% 34.93 45.42%
3 1437 74.44% 33.41 44.61%
4 535 72.5% 39.4 49.53%
5 20 52.63% 27.85 30.0%
6 87 29.89% 45.82 56.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 163
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3989
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3550
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1177
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2232
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 4191
Win: Sacrifice victory 102
Lose: Scenario condition 182
Win: Scenario condition 35
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3528
Lose: Spirit destroyed 277

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 430 71.1% 41.29 4.676 49.77% 0.609 0.527
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 32 71.88% 33.47 5.788 46.88% 0.904 0.3976
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 166 86.14% 33.28 7.968 33.13% 0.09 0.248
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 61.82% 35.4 0.0 45.45%
Dances Up Earthquakes 17 70.59% 25.88 -0.545 29.41% 0.4 0.3389
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 308 85.71% 29.98 -0.247 26.95% -0.092 -0.2698
Downpour Drenches the World 164 68.29% 28.29 -2.459 28.05% -0.141 0.1113
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 250 77.2% 33.4 -3.279 46.4% -0.158 -0.7369
Eyes Watch From the Trees 351 68.09% 39.5 4.038 46.44% 0.642 0.1954
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 320 85.63% 33.54 -2.657 34.06% -0.569 -1.0369
Finder of Paths Unseen 76 46.05% 24.7 -7.183 32.89% -0.37 0.3329
Fractured Days Split the Sky 195 71.28% 40.61 -1.837 43.08% -0.084 0.6154
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 204 82.35% 27.37 -5.333 26.47% -1.056 -1.1975
Heart of the Wildfire 962 84.48% 28.65 -2.32 27.34% -0.621 -0.2797
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 934 71.52% 36.55 0.641 40.15% 0.373 -0.0231
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 25 76.0% 27.84 -1.936 32.0% -0.208 -0.5365
Lightning's Swift Strike 132 90.15% 31.24 -4.507 26.52% -0.298 -0.0737
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 81 80.0% 40.49 3.477 48.15% 0.25 -0.0688
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 82 93.9% 33.88 0.968 36.59% -0.182 -0.4903
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 63 82.54% 30.49 -14.445 25.4% -0.335 -0.3172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 691 85.53% 35.28 -0.595 40.52% 0.157 -0.0598
Many Minds Move as One 252 66.67% 46.26 -2.46 62.7% -0.219 -0.439
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 420 77.38% 33.88 3.873 35.95% 0.258 0.428
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 32 68.75% 18.34 1.276 18.75% 0.085 0.1497
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 309 79.61% 34.4 -0.803 37.86% 0.322 0.2085
River Surges in Sunlight 345 83.48% 38.33 -0.472 38.84% -0.032 0.0227
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 96.0% 30.64 2.753 24.0% 0.485 0.6261
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 75 78.67% 34.79 -0.693 29.33% -0.189 0.0637
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 127 65.35% 42.06 1.809 50.39% -0.216 -0.3823
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 381 77.69% 40.41 -3.005 47.24% -0.521 -0.6552
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 7 71.43% 35.29 0.904 42.86% -0.052 -0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 104 92.31% 27.01 0.0 8.65%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 17 88.24% 38.65 1.211 41.18% -0.147 -0.2928
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 75.0% 28.31 6.738 28.57% 0.447 -0.0349
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 50.0% 16.36 0.0 18.18%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 82.35% 30.45 0.0 27.45%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 51 88.24% 29.04 0.0 17.65%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 168 80.95% 34.02 3.031 32.74% 0.478 0.5681
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 61 70.49% 29.66 3.034 36.07% 0.126 -0.0076
Shifting Memory of Ages 193 83.42% 34.56 -2.321 34.72% -0.342 -0.0342
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 24 83.33% 49.83 6.277 79.17% 0.447 0.4172
Shroud of Silent Mist 170 80.0% 26.36 2.95 22.35% 0.672 0.994
Starlight Seeks its Form 308 78.9% 38.18 6.176 46.75% 1.085 0.9829
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1455 61.37% 41.13 4.434 56.91% 0.807 0.3199
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 238 82.35% 30.86 -5.836 26.05% -0.416 -0.2602
Thunderspeaker 207 88.89% 33.25 -7.944 30.43% -0.45 -0.4108
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 80.49% 29.05 -12.311 31.71% -0.265 -0.162
Towering Roots of the Jungle 130 66.92% 21.12 -6.433 26.15% -0.812 -0.7052
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 782 91.43% 33.27 -1.589 37.08% -0.502 -0.4286
Vital Strength of the Earth 109 81.65% 30.67 0.0 23.85%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 43 52.38% 32.44 -9.979 32.56% -0.069 0.4021
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 74.55% 25.47 0.0 21.82%
Volcano Looming High 485 86.8% 31.33 -0.681 30.52% 0.13 0.1977
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 89 67.42% 32.79 -1.572 41.57% -0.455 -0.8113

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 51 58.82% 25.24 -10.488 21.57% -0.219 0.0593
Dahan Insurrection 4 57 78.95% 41.25 -4.639 12.28% -0.036 -0.2621
Despicable Theft 2 12 66.67% 25.17 0.0 16.67%
Elemental Invocation 1 44 38.64% 19.09 -9.482 13.64% -0.377 0.3387
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 244 28.28% 40.65 11.858 37.3% 1.01 0.4097
Powers Long Forgotten 1 39 64.1% 24.9 -8.389 17.95% -0.274 0.6754
Rituals of Terror 3 22 68.18% 38.91 0.0 18.18%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 87.91% 24.82 0.0 1.65%
Second Wave 0 102 60.4% 39.61 -3.31 44.12% -0.307 -0.139
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 16.33 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 5 40.0% 23.2 -3.585 20.0% -0.089 0.6264
Ward the Shores 2 20 45.0% 20.55 0.0 15.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5871 77.0% 34.36 0.621 39.6% 0.159 0.4122
1 Thematic 549 73.91% 27.39 -1.94 13.11% -0.317 0.281
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1172 83.53% 35.01 0.325 38.4% 0.098 0.1819
2 Coastline 141 77.3% 35.3 0.0 43.26%
2 Fragment 15 93.33% 37.47 3.76 46.67% -0.037 -0.3052
2 Heart 18 61.11% 41.06 0.0 44.44%
2 Opposite Shores 185 76.22% 36.69 -3.124 38.92% -0.302 -0.257
2 Thematic 67 56.72% 26.9 -6.779 13.43% -0.176 0.302
2 Top to Top 76 88.16% 36.39 0.0 40.79%
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 20 75.0% 46.95 0.0 70.0%
3 Round (Default) 440 75.85% 36.85 -0.716 45.23% 0.254 0.1445
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 16 37.5% 20.31 0.0 18.75%
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 17.934 72.73% 0.673 -0.1031
4 Thematic 49 65.31% 48.8 0.0 48.98%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 185 80.0% 36.24 0.0 38.92%
5 Other 14 85.71% 33.5 -2.46 42.86% -0.219 -0.8378
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 4 75.0% 20.75 -11.413 25.0% -0.528 -0.7913
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 0.0 22.22%
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 62.5% 32.63 6.89 50.0% 0.384 0.8649
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 486 34.36 0.071 33.33% -0.695 -0.5187
Aid From Lesser Spirits 362 40.27 5.326 46.41% 0.75 0.6712
All Things Weaken 496 33.76 5.927 33.47% 0.568 0.8474
Attenuated Essence 91 30.71 2.133 34.07% -0.012 -0.0026
Back Against the Wall 354 36.37 4.02 36.16% 0.229 0.27
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 112 27.09 -3.632 27.68% -0.614 -0.416
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 38.38 7.141 47.37% 0.618 0.6648
Disintegrating Ecosystem 443 34.33 2.853 37.7% 0.684 0.9566
Downward Spiral 507 32.26 1.298 31.56% 0.405 0.5018
Erosion of Will 467 32.76 -5.805 31.26% -0.529 -0.2727
Intensifying Exploitation 94 32.24 0.465 38.3% 0.008 0.2435
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 112 41.17 8.563 49.11% 0.062 -0.5534
Memory Fades to Dust 482 33.58 1.375 34.65% -0.002 0.2311
Power Corrodes the Spirit 519 33.67 3.589 33.91% 0.305 0.5303
Promising Farmlands 443 32.77 1.376 33.18% 0.253 0.4854
Shattered Fragments of Power 55 39.44 -0.717 47.27% -0.208 -0.1075
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 30.8 4.427 31.25% 0.374 0.7177
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 90 45.12 15.267 60.0% 0.753 0.0636
The Border of Life and Death 14 31.14 0.0 42.86%
Thriving Communities 520 33.29 2.847 34.62% 0.092 0.321
Thriving Crops 23 34.13 -8.134 47.83% -0.133 -0.4118
Unnatural Proliferation 495 35.14 3.862 34.75% 0.531 0.7163
Untended Land Crumbles 540 33.13 5.446 32.59% 0.432 0.6696

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1416 79.77% 34.17 2.077 38.7% 0.72 1.7072
B 1617 78.79% 35.24 -0.631 40.57% -0.043 0.848
C 1703 79.14% 36.41 -2.404 42.81% -0.327 0.3783
D 1339 80.13% 34.59 -0.854 39.43% -0.014 0.913
E 1481 78.66% 34.92 2.939 39.91% 0.592 1.362
F 1473 75.53% 34.18 -0.926 39.51% -0.206 0.6507
G 1209 77.42% 35.84 1.566 41.11% 0.386 1.2018
H 1210 78.51% 35.42 0.326 40.17% 0.064 0.8836
East 314 57.64% 32.21 -7.633 25.16% -0.199 0.615
Northeast 123 64.23% 31.67 -7.033 23.58% -0.232 0.4968
Northwest 174 75.14% 29.2 2.944 14.94% 0.243 1.0859
Southeast 161 54.04% 31.73 -4.639 26.09% -0.036 0.7879
Southwest 256 76.56% 27.16 -7.901 11.33% -0.169 1.0819
West 479 75.1% 28.26 -4.786 12.94% -0.276 0.6719

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 27.25 1.748 25.0% -0.154 0.5482
Not Using Events or Tokens 33 72.73% 38.06 18.186 39.39% 0.518 0.89
Skip Initial Invader Actions 100 55.1% 54.71 0.0 73.0%
Start of Game Growth 165 55.83% 48.99 -11.165 63.03% -0.465 -0.984
Unlimited Undo 783 66.37% 40.22 -1.073 53.9% 0.036 -0.0561
Using Tokens but Not Events 535 68.36% 35.51 -2.958 40.75% -0.409 -0.415

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2849 13.57 0.98%
II 3506 30.15 29.61%
III 1911 34.83 89.38%
IV 604 38.65 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.054 Win Model: -0.035
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6466 76.57% 33.78 37.32%
2 1651 81.53% 35.04 38.28%
3 473 75.42% 37.3 46.09%
4 247 76.52% 38.72 42.11%
5 10 80.0% 30.8 30.0%
6 23 56.52% 27.57 34.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 27
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1685
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1016
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 594
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1094
Lose: Invader deck ran out 46
Lose: Adversary condition 2109
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 111
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2022
Lose: Spirit destroyed 110

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2620 61.51% 38.61 -4.514 38.24% -0.425 -0.5076
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 447 36.69% 28.64 2.643 32.66% 1.206 0.7001
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1006 84.39% 30.99 -2.161 19.98% 0.224 0.3823
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 508 67.52% 33.72 4.006 36.61% 0.834 0.0103
Dances Up Earthquakes 245 70.2% 28.31 0.784 28.98% 0.374 0.3135
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1285 79.58% 26.06 -0.243 16.03% -0.011 -0.1893
Downpour Drenches the World 1014 59.33% 27.16 -0.226 22.88% 0.101 0.3536
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1343 74.72% 25.35 -1.49 24.2% 0.06 -0.5195
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2024 79.39% 33.81 3.471 29.2% 0.664 0.2179
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1576 81.92% 30.9 -3.22 23.41% -0.442 -0.9099
Finder of Paths Unseen 635 55.12% 27.09 0.368 26.77% 0.183 0.8863
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1822 57.79% 37.56 -4.729 33.1% -0.585 0.1145
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1238 81.02% 25.46 -6.98 15.99% -0.63 -0.7709
Heart of the Wildfire 4765 83.65% 30.65 -3.228 25.08% -0.541 -0.1999
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4593 70.02% 38.79 2.235 38.32% 0.668 0.2726
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 246 68.7% 23.75 -0.053 19.11% -0.455 -0.7829
Lightning's Swift Strike 1160 88.77% 26.51 -3.529 12.33% -0.613 -0.3888
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1415 71.0% 28.08 -0.981 18.94% -0.221 -0.5396
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 617 85.5% 33.47 -4.946 29.66% -0.303 -0.611
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 495 68.22% 33.95 -6.736 32.73% -0.454 -0.437
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3993 81.35% 31.63 -1.312 25.02% 0.009 -0.2075
Many Minds Move as One 1636 66.12% 47.15 3.199 55.13% 0.787 0.567
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1651 78.29% 31.84 -1.089 26.41% -0.052 0.1182
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 316 72.15% 18.78 -1.985 13.29% -0.399 -0.3337
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1490 81.83% 32.99 -3.749 28.32% -0.434 -0.5476
River Surges in Sunlight 2279 82.21% 40.51 3.589 36.46% 0.402 0.4569
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 210 64.29% 21.84 -5.684 16.67% -0.256 -0.1154
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 464 64.22% 39.36 -0.244 29.74% -0.459 -0.2063
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 614 68.47% 32.32 -0.891 28.5% 0.281 0.1143
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2731 60.51% 44.45 3.394 47.67% 0.794 0.6597
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 53 50.94% 36.34 4.105 50.94% 1.233 1.0172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 499 75.75% 33.64 0.0 20.64%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 91 76.92% 24.36 2.622 14.29% 0.389 0.2437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 335 75.9% 34.03 2.852 37.31% 0.468 -0.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 131 83.21% 26.15 0.418 15.27% -0.106 -0.1807
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 244 74.18% 31.25 -10.532 19.67% -0.69 -0.7525
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 205 78.54% 30.93 -5.682 21.95% -0.973 -0.7743
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1315 73.69% 35.09 -4.546 30.65% -0.348 -0.2573
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 361 72.85% 27.24 -1.13 27.98% -0.462 -0.5963
Shifting Memory of Ages 1152 69.39% 35.26 -1.608 30.38% -0.455 -0.1474
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 257 52.53% 32.22 2.117 31.52% 0.447 0.4172
Shroud of Silent Mist 862 83.06% 27.62 -4.746 19.03% -0.22 0.1022
Starlight Seeks its Form 2507 67.81% 38.22 -0.134 39.89% 0.27 0.1681
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 15420 48.74% 44.94 6.682 56.58% 1.654 1.1662
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1178 83.43% 32.08 -1.665 23.94% 0.157 0.3131
Thunderspeaker 1359 75.28% 29.69 -4.483 18.32% -0.296 -0.2572
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 214 67.76% 17.94 -1.064 8.88% 0.244 0.3474
Towering Roots of the Jungle 665 61.95% 24.39 -1.68 24.66% 0.486 0.5923
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 6107 90.48% 32.53 -0.928 28.79% -0.293 -0.2201
Vital Strength of the Earth 496 73.99% 26.7 -1.008 14.31% -0.478 0.1248
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 414 51.21% 16.17 -3.19 13.29% -0.098 0.3739
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 433 76.91% 29.07 -9.115 19.63% -0.762 -0.1195
Volcano Looming High 3180 80.89% 30.48 -0.573 23.71% -0.151 -0.0841
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 686 72.7% 27.6 -3.212 26.68% -0.353 -0.7093

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 71.43% 55.57 0.0 57.14%
Blitz 0 516 44.49% 41.33 4.556 38.76% 0.39 0.6685
Dahan Insurrection 4 325 59.88% 41.42 -3.632 18.15% -0.534 -0.7595
Despicable Theft 2 33 78.79% 30.48 -12.988 15.15% -0.234 0.5099
Elemental Invocation 1 149 61.64% 30.91 -1.295 16.78% -0.006 0.7103
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3179 28.69% 47.21 2.11 42.94% 0.334 -0.2664
Powers Long Forgotten 1 109 51.38% 42.38 -12.533 47.71% -0.19 0.7594
Rituals of Terror 3 235 23.93% 75.71 11.221 42.55% 0.21 0.3354
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 27 70.37% 37.44 0.0 18.52%
Second Wave 0 153 54.9% 38.94 8.242 35.95% 0.563 0.7305
The Great River 3 50 58.0% 30.44 -7.844 4.0% -0.021 1.084
Varied Terrains 2 47 44.68% 36.17 -1.908 31.91% -0.008 0.7072
Ward the Shores 2 43 86.05% 29.07 -9.487 6.98% -0.042 1.1381

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 50837 72.24% 35.31 -0.552 35.19% -0.526 -0.2727
1 Thematic 1703 49.26% 35.61 4.124 28.95% -0.324 0.2738
2 Archipelago 23 52.38% 31.09 21.066 13.04% 0.653 1.2785
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5011 78.49% 34.11 -0.75 32.75% -0.526 -0.4425
2 Coastline 935 69.64% 35.11 0.13 33.58% -0.472 -0.6154
2 Fragment 74 86.49% 35.34 0.0 29.73%
2 Heart 144 81.25% 38.28 14.459 35.42% 1.316 0.903
2 Opposite Shores 1326 79.09% 31.62 4.953 23.15% 0.472 0.517
2 Thematic 285 49.82% 46.13 -6.343 24.21% -0.422 0.0563
2 Top to Top 235 73.62% 37.87 4.897 40.0% 0.31 0.1742
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 25.83 7.405 0.0% -0.202 -1.0011
3 Coastline 18 50.0% 27.44 0.0 33.33%
3 Other 75 74.67% 39.49 7.991 44.0% 0.146 -0.5371
3 Round (Default) 2158 69.28% 31.66 -0.779 30.17% -0.192 -0.3017
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 41.67 -14.223 50.0% -0.383 -0.6693
3 Thematic 88 21.59% 79.08 8.865 43.18% 0.177 0.2258
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 13.75 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 24.0 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 35 77.14% 49.11 1.637 60.0% -0.292 -1.0676
4 Thematic 183 23.5% 65.6 0.0 65.03%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 980 69.91% 32.43 -0.15 27.04% 0.435 0.2892
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 48.4 0.0 70.0%
5 Other 36 55.56% 43.08 0.0 52.78%
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 75.09 0.0 72.73%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 37.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Coastline 4 50.0% 33.25 21.768 50.0% 0.575 -0.0526
6 Other 24 58.33% 24.17 -7.892 20.83% -1.008 -1.2707
6 Star 11 54.55% 34.18 0.0 36.36%
6 Thematic 80 22.5% 43.41 -0.965 45.0% -0.153 0.1345
6 Two Centers (Default) 250 21.2% 46.74 -0.742 46.0% -0.03 0.4507
7 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -12.883 0.0% -0.324 -0.836

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3207 35.23 2.725 30.78% 0.245 0.422
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2506 40.22 8.398 39.23% 1.293 1.2132
All Things Weaken 3384 34.63 4.545 29.79% 0.774 1.0535
Attenuated Essence 653 29.19 2.276 25.73% 0.374 0.3834
Back Against the Wall 2311 39.14 5.132 37.21% 0.733 0.7744
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 642 28.57 0.892 24.14% -0.135 0.0628
Burn Brightest Before the End 465 31.8 5.044 26.02% 0.648 0.695
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3095 32.78 2.342 29.11% 0.4 0.6721
Downward Spiral 3396 34.11 1.359 30.27% 0.178 0.2752
Erosion of Will 2958 33.58 1.698 27.28% 0.033 0.29
Intensifying Exploitation 676 28.12 2.451 23.82% 0.512 0.7473
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 947 39.93 2.375 42.13% 0.511 -0.1048
Memory Fades to Dust 3425 33.07 1.765 27.01% 0.24 0.4733
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3222 33.25 3.274 28.15% 0.459 0.6841
Promising Farmlands 3128 32.04 3.152 25.86% 0.674 0.9066
Shattered Fragments of Power 473 31.95 7.571 26.64% 1.071 1.1715
Slow Dissolution of Will 693 27.82 0.927 20.63% -0.069 0.2748
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 604 43.23 4.969 50.0% 0.397 -0.2932
The Border of Life and Death 127 28.52 4.334 29.13% 0.087 -0.4606
Thriving Communities 3304 33.1 3.371 27.78% 0.343 0.5722
Thriving Crops 245 26.75 -0.162 26.53% 0.111 -0.1686
Unnatural Proliferation 3539 36.09 4.081 31.28% 0.496 0.681
Untended Land Crumbles 3171 32.26 3.102 25.7% 0.217 0.4548

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10241 71.84% 34.83 -0.126 34.06% -0.371 0.6168
B 10953 71.42% 34.73 0.904 33.43% -0.218 0.6736
C 13279 72.54% 34.61 -0.745 33.41% -0.575 0.1303
D 9339 73.82% 34.28 -0.177 33.13% -0.329 0.598
E 10741 73.9% 33.87 -1.35 32.21% -0.668 0.1024
F 9559 69.96% 35.88 0.457 35.28% -0.347 0.5102
G 7590 70.75% 34.96 -0.326 34.44% -0.409 0.4066
H 7643 69.21% 35.54 -0.11 35.48% -0.465 0.3548
East 1353 39.76% 49.26 5.9 37.1% -0.059 0.7555
Northeast 591 35.03% 55.76 6.998 41.96% 0.176 0.904
Northwest 689 37.19% 31.89 -1.482 25.54% -0.537 0.3065
Southeast 573 31.76% 44.45 2.238 38.39% -0.244 0.5797
Southwest 432 42.59% 41.92 3.14 40.51% -0.152 1.0989
West 1313 39.33% 41.12 -0.062 33.43% -0.736 0.2112

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 46 0.0% 31.48 -4.589 36.96% -0.91 -0.2079
Not Using Events or Tokens 176 73.3% 36.18 -5.499 13.07% -0.519 -0.1465
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2310 21.29% 61.27 8.841 72.6% 1.537 0.8905
Start of Game Growth 3473 24.83% 57.56 8.76 69.71% 0.667 0.1483
Unlimited Undo 6566 58.97% 45.6 5.055 55.6% 1.256 1.1635
Using Tokens but Not Events 3229 54.48% 35.72 -7.024 35.86% -1.505 -1.5106

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29841 13.57 2.53%
II 23061 30.15 46.26%
III 9186 34.83 90.56%
IV 2529 38.65 99.8%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.027 Win Model: -0.03
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 52893 71.36% 35.44 35.1%
2 7832 76.99% 34.31 30.84%
3 2298 68.41% 32.45 30.59%
4 1194 63.14% 37.19 33.84%
5 25 40.0% 34.96 36.0%
6 375 24.53% 43.94 44.27%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 729
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10436
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2418
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9212
Lose: Invader deck ran out 420
Lose: Adversary condition 17361
Win: Sacrifice victory 435
Lose: Scenario condition 1161
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13188
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1010

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-24 03:18:25 (Pacific Time)