The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 774 27.55% 29.55 0.013 86.82% -0.098 0.0059
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 584 44.35% 28.69 -0.146 79.79% -0.295 -0.0976
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 684 29.82% 30.49 0.333 88.74% 0.233 0.1191
Eyes Watch From the Trees 807 17.56% 34.67 2.135 92.94% 0.44 0.0359
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 674 24.52% 32.46 1.212 92.14% 0.567 0.262
Fractured Days Split the Sky 272 37.87% 29.43 0.126 75.0% -0.827 -0.4783
Heart of the Wildfire 849 60.4% 25.75 -1.141 77.03% -0.14 0.1791
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1115 27.99% 30.75 0.472 89.96% 0.31 -0.033
Lightning's Swift Strike 943 37.91% 29.8 0.318 84.94% 0.088 0.314
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 678 30.68% 30.29 0.483 89.68% 0.274 -0.0126
Many Minds Move as One 575 20.77% 33.03 1.589 94.09% 0.669 0.1359
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 741 43.57% 28.88 -0.115 81.78% -0.081 -0.3059
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 629 32.48% 30.0 0.129 90.14% 0.529 0.5434
River Surges in Sunlight 887 42.32% 30.36 0.578 79.14% -0.289 -0.1679
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 599 33.06% 29.09 -0.173 86.31% -0.02 0.0827
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 645 48.84% 28.41 -0.209 78.91% -0.231 0.1736
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 622 29.84% 31.13 0.687 87.94% 0.107 -0.0052
Shifting Memory of Ages 72 36.11% 27.14 -0.984 86.11% -0.051 0.0737
Shroud of Silent Mist 224 50.0% 28.66 -0.031 84.38% 0.172 0.2279
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1428 26.9% 27.73 -0.96 89.92% 0.157 0.0974
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 563 42.7% 28.26 -0.775 77.44% -0.421 -0.2606
Thunderspeaker 661 38.64% 29.53 -0.074 81.39% -0.135 -0.1109
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 989 63.97% 24.44 -1.732 77.35% -0.025 -0.0529
Vital Strength of the Earth 661 39.61% 25.35 -1.966 72.01% -0.954 -0.1097
Volcano Looming High 367 41.42% 27.92 -0.485 86.92% 0.232 0.2429

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 132 34.35% 26.83 -1.576 78.79% -0.567 -0.0016
Dahan Insurrection 4 240 22.5% 47.89 8.319 73.33% -1.491 -1.0911
Despicable Theft 2 36 33.33% 35.06 2.85 75.0% -0.828 -0.5541
Elemental Invocation 1 60 51.67% 27.47 -0.565 68.33% -0.928 -0.4251
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 493 9.74% 32.02 0.415 78.5% -1.776 -1.4111
Powers Long Forgotten 1 119 49.57% 31.45 1.099 73.11% -0.557 -0.111
Rituals of Terror 3 111 54.05% 36.26 3.43 63.96% -1.077 -0.4317
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 107 72.9% 36.63 4.031 65.42% -0.494 0.1525
Second Wave 0 199 45.73% 29.32 0.276 76.38% -0.595 -0.1655
The Great River 3 73 72.6% 27.81 0.122 42.47% -1.864 -0.3907
Ward the Shores 2 166 43.98% 33.24 1.609 63.86% -1.366 -0.3344

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 7946 38.06% 28.68 -0.358 83.72% -0.125 -0.0383
1 Thematic 920 44.13% 33.62 1.275 75.0% -0.1 0.1774
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 21.0 -3.438 50.0% -0.663 -0.6566
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1503 39.53% 28.43 -0.174 87.69% 0.001 0.0264
2 Coastline 183 36.61% 29.62 0.385 85.79% 0.218 0.1934
2 Fragment 36 63.89% 26.25 -0.743 83.33% 0.021 0.2435
2 Heart 23 34.78% 29.48 0.289 100.0% 0.986 1.0861
2 Opposite Shores 235 27.35% 29.54 0.056 89.79% -0.034 0.0317
2 Thematic 195 44.62% 35.08 1.355 79.49% 0.177 0.1102
2 Top to Top 30 36.67% 28.27 -0.367 86.67% 0.038 -0.031
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 33.0 1.362 100.0% 0.008 0.8123
3 Coastline 4 50.0% 39.0 5.67 100.0% 0.753 0.6029
3 Other 36 33.33% 29.22 0.138 88.89% -0.038 0.1351
3 Round (Default) 603 28.36% 29.16 -0.007 90.38% -0.178 -0.2169
3 Thematic 47 46.81% 30.55 -1.441 65.96% -0.686 -1.0522
4 Coastline 1 0.0% 47.0 6.465 100.0% 0.041 0.1605
4 Other 25 16.0% 31.64 0.683 100.0% 0.587 0.518
4 Thematic 72 19.44% 38.86 0.838 88.89% 0.305 -0.6916
4 Trapezoid (Default) 334 33.23% 27.78 -0.662 81.74% -1.057 -1.0485
5 Other 10 20.0% 29.9 0.232 90.0% -0.209 -0.6703
5 Thematic 4 75.0% 37.75 1.099 75.0% -0.015 -2.4069

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 320 22.41 -3.937 64.69% -2.551 -0.4819
Aid From Lesser Spirits 249 23.55 -3.455 64.26% -2.539 -0.6267
All Things Weaken 352 21.61 -4.412 58.52% -2.878 -0.7184
Back Against the Wall 285 25.07 -2.815 68.07% -2.348 -0.2605
Disintegrating Ecosystem 301 21.01 -4.801 62.46% -2.623 -0.4011
Downward Spiral 415 21.43 -4.446 63.61% -2.441 -0.4191
Erosion of Will 324 22.72 -3.892 62.35% -2.578 -0.3699
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 190 26.89 -1.778 84.21% -1.394 -0.7152
Memory Fades to Dust 375 22.49 -3.951 64.8% -2.328 -0.113
Power Corrodes the Spirit 383 22.16 -4.075 65.54% -2.498 -0.4771
Promising Farmlands 286 22.44 -4.016 66.43% -2.449 -0.2411
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 110 28.3 -1.032 89.09% -0.956 -0.5449
Thriving Communities 370 21.58 -4.404 64.32% -2.504 -0.416
Unnatural Proliferation 313 21.28 -4.627 53.67% -2.989 -0.908
Untended Land Crumbles 340 21.28 -4.522 61.47% -2.679 -0.5772

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2097 37.58% 28.29 -0.341 85.17% 0.074 -0.6143
B 1941 37.49% 28.25 -0.369 84.85% 0.014 -0.7699
C 2142 34.26% 28.95 -0.05 86.27% 0.092 -0.9204
D 2009 36.74% 28.78 -0.059 85.61% 0.118 -0.659
E 1993 36.68% 28.76 -0.127 85.6% 0.064 -0.8301
F 1909 35.57% 29.05 -0.021 86.22% 0.084 -0.7572
G 1693 37.26% 28.34 -0.304 85.06% 0.068 -0.764
H 1685 35.12% 29.0 -0.123 85.46% 0.022 -0.817
East 332 40.66% 37.7 2.469 80.42% 0.014 -0.5617
Northeast 319 42.32% 36.38 1.989 79.94% 0.156 -0.369
Northwest 263 44.11% 33.34 0.201 68.44% -0.832 -1.4274
Southeast 246 37.8% 34.46 1.2 79.67% -0.094 -0.723
Southwest 225 38.67% 30.46 -1.238 76.89% -0.339 -0.5376
West 297 39.06% 35.48 1.35 77.78% -0.216 -0.5436

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 27.47 -2.169 77.78% -1.789 0.2642
Not Using Events or Tokens 289 38.3% 26.79 -0.974 74.05% -0.713 -0.4977
Skip Initial Invader Actions 265 4.33% 41.13 3.572 95.47% 0.334 -0.3525
Start of Game Growth 416 10.64% 39.12 2.808 94.47% 0.588 0.1193
Unlimited Undo 750 32.92% 30.86 0.452 89.07% 0.431 0.0077
Using Tokens but Not Events 933 32.52% 28.53 -0.546 83.07% -0.263 -0.314

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 774 22.37 30.49%
II 2607 30.88 67.36%
III 5732 34.39 90.72%
IV 3097 37.55 98.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.07 Win Model: 0.211
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8912 38.71% 29.2 82.79%
2 2195 38.75% 29.18 87.2%
3 671 29.06% 29.33 89.12%
4 432 30.56% 29.9 83.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 236
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5048
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1615
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3026
Lose: Invader deck ran out 86
Lose: Adversary condition 684
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 164
Win: Scenario condition 282
Lose: Blight pool ran out 969
Lose: Spirit destroyed 56

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 573 31.76% 34.84 0.484 86.56% 0.081 0.1857
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 356 57.34% 31.16 -0.691 73.31% -0.371 -0.1731
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 469 33.55% 35.48 0.98 88.49% 0.487 0.3729
Eyes Watch From the Trees 651 21.02% 38.77 2.259 92.47% 0.653 0.2493
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 532 29.38% 36.03 1.156 87.78% 0.251 -0.0543
Fractured Days Split the Sky 174 45.4% 33.93 0.348 74.71% -0.49 -0.1415
Heart of the Wildfire 585 60.17% 30.83 -0.708 78.12% 0.091 0.4101
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 829 41.04% 33.54 0.154 84.44% 0.133 -0.2093
Lightning's Swift Strike 654 40.74% 34.11 0.462 82.87% 0.116 0.3414
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 504 43.86% 33.58 0.165 82.94% 0.042 -0.2446
Many Minds Move as One 445 28.73% 37.58 1.893 92.58% 0.773 0.2404
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 606 47.33% 33.32 0.067 83.0% 0.221 -0.0034
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 482 38.46% 34.01 0.155 85.27% 0.206 0.2198
River Surges in Sunlight 683 46.77% 33.51 0.203 74.38% -0.503 -0.382
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 388 43.81% 32.35 -0.456 79.9% -0.208 -0.1052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 483 59.01% 31.51 -0.406 72.88% -0.255 0.1498
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 504 39.56% 35.63 0.968 86.11% 0.189 0.0772
Shifting Memory of Ages 97 42.27% 32.94 0.092 82.47% -0.102 0.0224
Shroud of Silent Mist 184 65.22% 29.4 -1.446 72.83% -0.242 -0.1854
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1116 33.63% 32.72 -0.401 89.43% 0.342 0.282
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 406 49.75% 30.87 -1.183 72.91% -0.479 -0.3187
Thunderspeaker 478 43.31% 35.21 0.667 81.17% 0.015 0.0389
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 828 75.18% 27.28 -2.202 72.22% -0.114 -0.1423
Vital Strength of the Earth 496 44.56% 28.71 -2.234 67.34% -0.981 -0.1368
Volcano Looming High 299 45.92% 32.69 0.023 86.29% 0.353 0.3633

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 138 43.48% 30.18 -1.973 72.46% -0.662 -0.096
Dahan Insurrection 4 173 23.7% 56.27 10.739 84.97% -0.487 -0.0862
Despicable Theft 2 14 64.29% 38.43 3.459 71.43% -0.141 0.1331
Elemental Invocation 1 47 61.7% 30.09 -1.138 65.96% -0.838 -0.3351
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 301 14.53% 33.59 -0.671 67.77% -2.026 -1.6609
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 71.43% 31.59 -0.062 60.2% -0.519 -0.0731
Rituals of Terror 3 109 49.54% 42.97 4.213 66.97% -0.779 -0.1343
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 71.23% 42.25 4.72 68.49% -0.101 0.5455
Second Wave 0 693 48.12% 33.11 0.128 73.02% -0.681 -0.2511
The Great River 3 40 52.5% 37.35 2.129 57.5% -1.651 -0.1777
Ward the Shores 2 140 54.29% 36.47 1.619 62.14% -0.862 0.1699

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5479 44.21% 32.76 -0.17 80.31% -0.006 0.0807
1 Thematic 809 51.82% 34.54 0.318 66.13% -0.421 -0.1443
2 Archipelago 3 0.0% 38.0 1.454 100.0% 0.074 0.0811
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1199 47.12% 32.4 -0.07 85.32% 0.132 0.1576
2 Coastline 166 42.17% 33.96 0.628 87.95% 0.405 0.3805
2 Fragment 28 75.0% 30.21 -0.678 78.57% 0.23 0.4526
2 Heart 28 57.14% 26.14 -2.595 64.29% -0.461 -0.361
2 Opposite Shores 217 37.67% 32.45 -0.289 85.25% -0.107 -0.0418
2 Thematic 200 54.77% 35.48 0.672 71.5% -0.218 -0.285
2 Top to Top 32 50.0% 30.66 -1.208 81.25% 0.046 -0.0229
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.33 3.4 66.67% -0.599 0.2057
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 44.2 4.608 100.0% 0.655 0.5048
3 Other 31 35.48% 33.13 0.127 93.55% 0.569 0.7416
3 Round (Default) 482 35.76% 33.49 0.198 88.38% -0.043 -0.0816
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 35.0 -0.34 100.0% 0.02 -0.2405
3 Thematic 49 44.9% 36.43 -0.274 73.47% -0.332 -0.6987
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 39.0 0.888 100.0% 0.007 0.5545
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 44.5 7.228 100.0% 0.58 0.6993
4 Other 14 64.29% 32.21 0.399 85.71% 0.211 0.1412
4 Thematic 59 24.14% 44.85 2.267 88.14% 0.177 -0.8193
4 Trapezoid (Default) 199 37.69% 32.69 -0.625 86.43% -0.457 -0.4486
5 Other 12 25.0% 33.17 0.267 83.33% -0.68 -1.1407
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 45.0 3.865 100.0% 0.246 -2.1452

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 285 26.29 -4.059 61.05% -2.494 -0.4241
Aid From Lesser Spirits 231 27.65 -3.293 64.07% -2.308 -0.3955
All Things Weaken 289 25.69 -4.475 58.13% -2.624 -0.4648
Back Against the Wall 233 26.78 -3.807 62.66% -2.443 -0.3561
Disintegrating Ecosystem 262 24.02 -5.354 56.87% -2.675 -0.4532
Downward Spiral 356 26.13 -4.089 65.45% -2.191 -0.1696
Erosion of Will 261 25.38 -4.497 60.92% -2.605 -0.3978
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 158 31.46 -1.679 82.91% -1.307 -0.6284
Memory Fades to Dust 303 24.53 -4.933 57.43% -2.612 -0.3976
Power Corrodes the Spirit 314 26.39 -4.102 64.33% -2.388 -0.3669
Promising Farmlands 268 23.76 -5.466 53.36% -2.789 -0.5812
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 107 30.62 -1.876 82.24% -1.37 -0.9582
Thriving Communities 322 24.34 -5.086 56.52% -2.636 -0.548
Unnatural Proliferation 333 26.5 -3.991 61.26% -2.519 -0.4385
Untended Land Crumbles 295 25.45 -4.59 61.02% -2.492 -0.3897

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1519 43.68% 32.83 -0.018 84.0% 0.196 -0.4923
B 1509 43.76% 32.86 -0.063 83.43% 0.086 -0.6979
C 1621 41.9% 33.27 0.194 84.95% 0.231 -0.7821
D 1405 42.47% 32.67 -0.179 82.7% 0.013 -0.7641
E 1410 41.45% 33.0 0.051 83.62% 0.068 -0.826
F 1369 43.64% 32.71 -0.135 83.71% 0.104 -0.7367
G 1271 45.07% 32.17 -0.327 81.27% 0.011 -0.8213
H 1252 43.68% 32.41 -0.277 82.27% 0.035 -0.8038
East 291 43.75% 39.79 2.155 75.95% 0.083 -0.4931
Northeast 287 50.7% 37.6 1.147 69.69% -0.023 -0.5473
Northwest 239 46.75% 37.68 1.142 71.55% -0.095 -0.6898
Southeast 236 45.49% 37.08 1.341 76.69% 0.398 -0.2312
Southwest 230 52.19% 30.39 -2.31 65.65% -0.376 -0.5749
West 278 48.0% 36.7 0.62 69.78% -0.243 -0.5706

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 35.0 -0.771 83.33% -1.08 0.9725
Not Using Events or Tokens 111 47.75% 29.45 -1.477 64.86% -0.726 -0.5108
Skip Initial Invader Actions 209 5.8% 48.26 4.645 96.17% 0.868 0.1818
Start of Game Growth 302 9.36% 44.98 3.245 93.71% 0.052 -0.4165
Unlimited Undo 703 39.85% 33.97 0.254 84.64% 0.136 -0.2872
Using Tokens but Not Events 716 32.35% 34.73 0.591 86.73% 0.217 0.1659

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 760 22.37 27.76%
II 3458 30.88 74.06%
III 3427 34.39 90.84%
IV 1376 37.55 99.27%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.039 Win Model: 0.209
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6334 45.36% 32.98 78.4%
2 1854 46.19% 32.81 84.14%
3 552 37.02% 33.74 87.32%
4 281 35.36% 35.3 86.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3018
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2388
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1362
Lose: Invader deck ran out 53
Lose: Adversary condition 732
Win: Sacrifice victory 41
Lose: Scenario condition 112
Win: Scenario condition 234
Lose: Blight pool ran out 824
Lose: Spirit destroyed 49

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 686 40.67% 40.34 1.199 80.47% 0.172 0.2767
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 435 77.42% 31.44 -2.372 52.87% -0.596 -0.3979
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 662 50.0% 40.37 1.505 81.57% 0.509 0.3956
Eyes Watch From the Trees 768 38.25% 42.91 2.637 85.16% 0.615 0.2112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 608 52.39% 39.49 1.009 76.97% 0.243 -0.0623
Fractured Days Split the Sky 224 58.48% 38.02 0.616 65.18% -0.328 0.0201
Heart of the Wildfire 936 75.21% 32.96 -1.817 61.86% -0.218 0.1003
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1109 51.77% 38.83 0.67 76.01% 0.135 -0.2081
Lightning's Swift Strike 751 63.86% 37.48 0.338 71.24% 0.162 0.3881
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 639 62.17% 36.83 -0.018 70.42% -0.008 -0.2945
Many Minds Move as One 519 39.96% 42.59 2.443 86.13% 0.661 0.1276
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 844 59.62% 37.4 0.156 71.09% 0.055 -0.1692
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 603 55.67% 38.21 0.548 77.11% 0.322 0.3364
River Surges in Sunlight 917 57.08% 39.08 0.898 69.14% -0.194 -0.0733
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 607 59.64% 37.05 -0.242 72.49% 0.052 0.1549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 424 75.94% 33.32 -1.669 56.84% -0.415 -0.0101
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 598 49.58% 39.65 0.98 76.09% 0.082 -0.0296
Shifting Memory of Ages 107 77.57% 33.01 -1.479 60.75% -0.197 -0.0725
Shroud of Silent Mist 228 84.21% 29.32 -3.14 51.75% -0.492 -0.4352
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1583 44.09% 38.57 0.753 83.58% 0.619 0.5589
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 444 65.24% 35.88 -0.496 66.44% -0.077 0.0839
Thunderspeaker 530 56.33% 38.63 0.295 70.19% -0.113 -0.089
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1083 85.54% 30.38 -2.753 58.91% -0.216 -0.2444
Vital Strength of the Earth 467 62.88% 33.24 -1.828 59.31% -0.527 0.317
Volcano Looming High 410 68.22% 34.17 -1.045 67.56% -0.011 -0.0006

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 171 47.37% 35.47 -1.408 67.84% -0.48 0.0856
Dahan Insurrection 4 119 39.5% 61.29 11.432 79.83% 0.192 0.592
Despicable Theft 2 11 63.64% 44.45 4.142 63.64% -0.21 0.0636
Elemental Invocation 1 40 70.0% 35.83 0.132 62.5% -0.205 0.2974
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 550 12.9% 43.28 2.226 76.55% -0.843 -0.4779
Powers Long Forgotten 1 73 68.49% 39.66 0.821 60.27% -0.345 0.1018
Rituals of Terror 3 41 70.73% 44.54 4.142 60.98% -0.343 0.302
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 36 72.22% 43.58 3.932 55.56% -0.342 0.3047
Second Wave 0 444 57.11% 36.66 -0.516 61.49% -0.799 -0.3689
The Great River 3 21 19.05% 32.05 -2.834 23.81% -2.752 -1.2791
Ward the Shores 2 94 65.96% 38.5 0.237 50.0% -1.08 -0.0484

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6775 59.26% 36.33 0.015 70.3% 0.3 0.3862
1 Thematic 647 56.52% 39.34 0.19 60.74% -0.078 0.1986
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 78.0 18.666 100.0% 0.045 0.0516
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1595 60.92% 35.48 -0.709 69.09% -0.412 -0.3864
2 Coastline 194 51.55% 37.8 0.374 76.29% -0.008 -0.0325
2 Fragment 32 70.97% 35.16 -0.354 68.75% -0.172 0.0504
2 Heart 24 65.22% 37.04 0.037 75.0% 0.016 0.1164
2 Opposite Shores 306 58.17% 37.67 0.349 76.8% 0.039 0.104
2 Thematic 192 72.92% 36.24 -0.846 54.69% -0.288 -0.3552
2 Top to Top 46 40.91% 38.98 0.349 78.26% -0.201 -0.2704
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 44.0 4.534 100.0% 0.172 0.9767
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 43.9 3.658 90.0% 0.537 0.3865
3 Other 52 53.85% 39.58 1.003 82.69% -0.174 -0.0011
3 Round (Default) 627 59.29% 37.53 0.168 75.76% -0.577 -0.6154
3 Thematic 27 85.19% 39.52 0.917 62.96% 0.316 -0.0499
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 48.0 4.936 100.0% 0.12 0.2393
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 40.5 0.743 100.0% 0.083 0.1545
4 Other 36 50.0% 42.06 2.306 86.11% 0.066 -0.0029
4 Thematic 96 43.75% 47.52 2.161 81.25% 0.033 -0.9633
4 Trapezoid (Default) 332 50.6% 39.88 0.646 81.93% -0.869 -0.8613
5 Other 12 41.67% 44.92 3.414 100.0% 0.618 0.1571
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 51.67 2.736 100.0% 0.32 -2.0719
6 Other 1 100.0% 39.0 3.455 100.0% 0.144 -0.0337

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 493 30.73 -3.928 52.94% -2.142 -0.0725
Aid From Lesser Spirits 383 33.84 -2.408 60.57% -1.827 0.0855
All Things Weaken 525 30.86 -3.835 55.24% -2.073 0.0864
Back Against the Wall 374 31.78 -3.346 56.42% -2.028 0.0587
Disintegrating Ecosystem 434 29.1 -4.683 55.3% -2.025 0.1972
Downward Spiral 528 29.88 -4.286 54.92% -2.031 -0.0093
Erosion of Will 457 30.02 -4.172 52.52% -2.105 0.1025
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 209 37.42 -0.641 76.08% -1.064 -0.3854
Memory Fades to Dust 500 30.33 -4.164 55.6% -2.045 0.1695
Power Corrodes the Spirit 478 30.35 -4.083 55.86% -2.031 -0.0095
Promising Farmlands 416 28.2 -5.232 50.96% -2.277 -0.0692
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 142 37.73 -0.675 76.76% -1.124 -0.7129
Thriving Communities 475 27.72 -5.446 48.63% -2.358 -0.2704
Unnatural Proliferation 536 31.34 -3.435 56.53% -1.987 0.0937
Untended Land Crumbles 521 29.8 -4.338 53.74% -2.108 -0.0058

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1958 58.73% 36.67 -0.072 72.01% 0.247 -0.4411
B 1991 58.93% 36.74 -0.03 72.38% 0.298 -0.4858
C 2186 60.11% 37.04 0.226 73.97% 0.412 -0.6008
D 1884 59.2% 36.24 -0.317 71.34% 0.226 -0.5511
E 1950 57.18% 37.33 0.313 73.9% 0.361 -0.533
F 1807 57.96% 36.73 -0.079 71.89% 0.256 -0.5851
G 1538 58.15% 36.86 -0.003 72.3% 0.296 -0.5363
H 1535 55.98% 37.39 0.167 73.81% 0.301 -0.5386
East 295 58.31% 43.22 1.824 69.15% 0.317 -0.2588
Northeast 255 64.31% 38.44 -0.343 56.47% -0.402 -0.9263
Northwest 258 59.92% 39.26 0.018 60.08% -0.145 -0.7397
Southeast 188 55.61% 43.12 1.66 71.28% 0.408 -0.2214
Southwest 167 51.2% 38.31 -1.711 65.27% -0.364 -0.5629
West 290 56.9% 42.96 1.516 68.62% 0.156 -0.1714

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 36 0.0% 39.36 -1.036 72.22% -1.162 0.8909
Not Using Events or Tokens 48 63.04% 32.19 -2.158 60.42% -0.506 -0.2912
Skip Initial Invader Actions 213 16.27% 53.95 5.486 93.9% 1.185 0.4983
Start of Game Growth 311 20.52% 50.92 4.259 90.68% 0.419 -0.0499
Unlimited Undo 806 50.32% 39.58 1.014 78.66% 0.331 -0.0918
Using Tokens but Not Events 816 51.92% 37.47 -0.068 74.51% 0.004 -0.0469

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1648 22.37 12.8%
II 5225 30.88 68.52%
III 2914 34.39 94.54%
IV 1225 37.55 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.14 Win Model: 0.236
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7460 58.95% 36.6 69.45%
2 2390 60.63% 36.19 70.04%
3 706 59.74% 37.77 76.06%
4 456 49.12% 41.73 82.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 210
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2714
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3446
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1210
Lose: Invader deck ran out 42
Lose: Adversary condition 1546
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 134
Win: Scenario condition 142
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1415
Lose: Spirit destroyed 107

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 765 53.14% 39.59 1.057 69.54% 0.113 0.2175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 468 79.66% 32.18 -2.066 47.22% -0.465 -0.2673
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 677 62.43% 38.87 0.818 69.28% 0.292 0.1785
Eyes Watch From the Trees 971 46.8% 43.06 2.672 77.34% 0.467 0.0633
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 670 56.8% 40.03 1.151 68.81% 0.17 -0.1353
Fractured Days Split the Sky 243 58.85% 40.06 1.338 62.96% -0.19 0.1586
Heart of the Wildfire 864 79.77% 32.99 -1.788 54.51% -0.155 0.1637
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1585 59.87% 37.78 0.122 64.92% -0.071 -0.4141
Lightning's Swift Strike 875 69.26% 36.94 -0.037 61.71% 0.021 0.2471
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 814 72.45% 35.98 -0.599 61.18% -0.041 -0.328
Many Minds Move as One 539 47.77% 43.76 3.091 81.08% 0.772 0.2394
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 997 60.4% 38.95 0.55 67.0% 0.091 -0.1335
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 650 62.69% 38.25 0.526 68.15% 0.21 0.2243
River Surges in Sunlight 1153 64.17% 40.51 1.693 67.22% 0.199 0.3192
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 656 63.71% 37.7 -0.14 65.55% 0.01 0.1131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 373 79.36% 30.38 -3.158 40.21% -0.756 -0.3516
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 770 53.78% 40.1 1.27 69.87% 0.151 0.0387
Shifting Memory of Ages 102 83.33% 37.67 0.786 68.63% 0.53 0.6544
Shroud of Silent Mist 221 86.43% 28.38 -3.781 40.27% -0.709 -0.6528
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2103 52.59% 38.14 0.475 73.23% 0.333 0.2736
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 523 71.02% 34.63 -1.152 53.92% -0.281 -0.1206
Thunderspeaker 590 68.76% 39.23 0.741 65.42% 0.195 0.2188
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1328 87.24% 30.09 -3.228 49.25% -0.344 -0.3723
Vital Strength of the Earth 468 70.94% 29.61 -3.679 38.03% -1.059 -0.2144
Volcano Looming High 603 75.12% 35.36 -0.499 62.02% 0.108 0.1185

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 120 52.5% 36.33 -1.65 59.17% -0.633 -0.0672
Dahan Insurrection 4 99 54.55% 55.62 8.793 64.65% -0.143 0.257
Despicable Theft 2 5 60.0% 40.4 2.162 60.0% -0.083 0.1908
Elemental Invocation 1 61 75.41% 34.33 -1.411 45.9% -0.741 -0.239
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 533 17.46% 44.07 2.447 70.36% -0.647 -0.2817
Powers Long Forgotten 1 80 76.25% 34.04 -1.045 41.25% -0.671 -0.2247
Rituals of Terror 3 44 70.45% 44.32 3.481 47.73% -0.511 0.1344
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 40.5 2.509 40.0% -0.33 0.3172
Second Wave 0 231 56.52% 36.94 -0.474 54.98% -0.747 -0.3169
The Great River 3 15 26.67% 33.2 -2.342 20.0% -2.258 -0.7852
Ward the Shores 2 32 59.38% 37.34 0.063 43.75% -0.999 0.0327

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 8316 64.83% 36.73 -0.003 63.53% -0.211 -0.1246
1 Thematic 638 63.48% 39.37 0.358 54.55% -0.269 0.008
2 Archipelago 5 100.0% 41.6 3.929 60.0% -0.001 0.0057
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1859 67.04% 36.3 -0.219 63.1% -0.264 -0.2383
2 Coastline 191 63.35% 39.23 1.15 73.3% 0.247 0.2223
2 Fragment 50 68.75% 35.48 -0.587 58.0% -0.33 -0.1077
2 Heart 28 76.0% 36.89 0.194 67.86% -0.043 0.0571
2 Opposite Shores 363 64.74% 36.01 -0.484 61.98% -0.327 -0.2613
2 Thematic 153 75.5% 33.44 -1.663 39.22% -0.187 -0.2541
2 Top to Top 68 54.41% 39.25 0.865 72.06% 0.011 -0.0575
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 54.0 8.322 100.0% 0.164 0.9682
3 Coastline 5 40.0% 41.2 2.334 80.0% 0.372 0.2212
3 Other 45 55.56% 43.98 2.742 88.89% 0.49 0.6624
3 Round (Default) 764 67.98% 36.97 -0.148 64.27% -0.231 -0.2703
3 Sunrise 5 40.0% 43.2 2.813 80.0% -0.003 -0.2633
3 Thematic 32 84.38% 29.38 -4.061 28.13% -0.311 -0.6768
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 39.5 -2.521 50.0% -0.51 -0.4382
4 Other 26 57.69% 43.12 2.323 84.62% 0.323 0.2536
4 Thematic 78 55.13% 45.9 2.301 64.1% 1.158 0.1613
4 Trapezoid (Default) 417 53.14% 39.95 0.253 71.7% -0.241 -0.2325
5 Other 11 36.36% 45.91 3.195 90.91% 0.187 -0.2739

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 603 31.11 -3.79 47.6% -1.968 0.1013
Aid From Lesser Spirits 496 33.84 -2.546 54.23% -1.726 0.1872
All Things Weaken 668 31.68 -3.624 49.1% -1.93 0.2295
Back Against the Wall 475 33.87 -2.441 54.74% -1.648 0.4392
Disintegrating Ecosystem 583 29.47 -4.653 47.0% -1.971 0.2514
Downward Spiral 715 31.98 -3.416 53.85% -1.677 0.3449
Erosion of Will 622 30.38 -4.262 46.46% -2.029 0.1788
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 274 37.09 -1.126 64.96% -1.32 -0.641
Memory Fades to Dust 618 30.99 -3.93 49.68% -1.892 0.3225
Power Corrodes the Spirit 686 30.55 -4.177 48.25% -1.955 0.0659
Promising Farmlands 577 30.03 -4.369 46.62% -1.987 0.2213
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 192 39.69 0.393 73.44% -0.801 -0.3891
Thriving Communities 600 28.94 -4.888 43.33% -2.119 -0.0305
Unnatural Proliferation 689 30.96 -3.975 45.57% -2.049 0.0316
Untended Land Crumbles 658 30.17 -4.415 45.74% -2.056 0.0466

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2253 63.79% 37.57 0.302 66.18% 0.518 -0.1694
B 2354 62.52% 37.05 -0.024 64.4% 0.398 -0.3857
C 2683 64.98% 36.74 -0.105 63.85% 0.398 -0.6152
D 2257 65.64% 36.83 -0.177 64.24% 0.412 -0.3651
E 2315 64.86% 37.37 0.186 65.31% 0.461 -0.4331
F 2146 64.19% 37.21 0.081 65.0% 0.444 -0.3972
G 1884 64.22% 36.83 -0.275 64.23% 0.354 -0.4782
H 1890 64.04% 37.71 0.284 66.61% 0.544 -0.2949
East 305 63.16% 42.02 1.785 56.39% 0.221 -0.3548
Northeast 236 70.21% 37.62 -0.511 44.92% -0.302 -0.8267
Northwest 168 69.46% 38.47 -0.311 47.62% -0.107 -0.702
Southeast 203 64.04% 38.25 -0.444 52.71% -0.103 -0.7323
Southwest 159 66.67% 34.35 -2.288 49.06% -0.152 -0.3509
West 238 63.71% 39.78 0.42 51.68% -0.059 -0.3858

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 24 0.0% 41.63 -0.762 75.0% -0.932 1.1212
Not Using Events or Tokens 48 66.67% 32.35 -2.302 50.0% -0.657 -0.4421
Skip Initial Invader Actions 315 12.26% 55.53 5.795 95.56% 1.035 0.3486
Start of Game Growth 447 16.33% 53.3 5.104 92.84% 0.966 0.4971
Unlimited Undo 924 57.82% 40.41 1.13 72.19% 0.238 -0.1846
Using Tokens but Not Events 654 53.81% 38.94 0.519 71.25% 0.109 0.0585

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2368 22.37 7.14%
II 5805 30.88 60.72%
III 3914 34.39 91.98%
IV 970 37.55 99.59%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.01 Win Model: -0.409
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8975 64.71% 36.94 62.94%
2 2728 66.83% 36.39 62.61%
3 839 67.5% 37.04 64.12%
4 515 53.32% 40.96 70.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 169
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3556
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3448
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 962
Lose: Invader deck ran out 119
Lose: Adversary condition 2585
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 150
Win: Scenario condition 78
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1816
Lose: Spirit destroyed 127

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 449 72.83% 43.53 2.219 63.25% 0.465 0.5697
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 247 92.31% 34.97 -1.623 40.08% -0.214 -0.0157
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 388 89.95% 34.51 -2.094 40.21% -0.332 -0.4456
Eyes Watch From the Trees 568 72.21% 43.75 2.239 60.21% 0.35 -0.0538
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 436 80.05% 41.1 0.874 54.59% 0.191 -0.1146
Fractured Days Split the Sky 189 79.37% 44.01 2.244 54.5% 0.068 0.4162
Heart of the Wildfire 1009 86.18% 36.59 -1.547 47.27% -0.15 0.1682
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 894 75.59% 37.93 -0.906 48.1% -0.272 -0.6144
Lightning's Swift Strike 363 91.16% 36.94 -0.978 45.18% -0.083 0.1428
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 639 79.5% 40.52 0.593 53.52% 0.121 -0.1662
Many Minds Move as One 321 61.99% 48.88 4.816 74.14% 0.9 0.3674
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 432 85.65% 34.33 -2.317 38.19% -0.404 -0.6281
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 417 85.58% 37.94 -0.336 49.4% 0.064 0.0785
River Surges in Sunlight 662 81.49% 39.96 0.574 47.58% -0.07 0.0504
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 410 77.8% 42.5 1.272 60.0% 0.338 0.4406
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 236 88.14% 37.93 -0.571 45.34% -0.117 0.2874
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 288 74.65% 40.83 0.058 52.78% -0.046 -0.1582
Shifting Memory of Ages 73 94.52% 37.95 -0.145 50.68% 0.163 0.2876
Shroud of Silent Mist 161 91.3% 35.02 -1.99 42.86% -0.23 -0.1733
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1815 60.87% 43.03 2.209 68.54% 0.647 0.5872
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 379 83.64% 35.8 -1.447 41.16% -0.279 -0.119
Thunderspeaker 344 88.66% 37.91 -0.539 45.93% -0.089 -0.065
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1252 93.45% 35.29 -2.051 45.85% -0.175 -0.203
Vital Strength of the Earth 225 85.78% 30.73 -4.167 27.11% -1.026 -0.1824
Volcano Looming High 410 90.98% 35.31 -1.874 44.88% -0.2 -0.1898

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 60 66.67% 40.6 0.058 53.33% -0.189 0.3769
Dahan Insurrection 4 28 78.57% 55.36 7.918 50.0% -0.073 0.3269
Despicable Theft 2 6 83.33% 29.17 -4.984 16.67% -0.917 -0.6434
Elemental Invocation 1 28 75.0% 34.54 -2.349 28.57% -0.922 -0.4194
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 279 23.66% 48.14 3.537 63.08% -0.315 0.0497
Powers Long Forgotten 1 24 91.67% 34.46 -2.355 29.17% -0.748 -0.3019
Rituals of Terror 3 13 76.92% 49.08 5.124 46.15% -0.208 0.437
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 94.12% 40.53 0.6 35.29% -0.666 -0.0197
Second Wave 0 148 72.11% 37.47 -0.998 43.92% -0.531 -0.1012
The Great River 3 12 41.67% 30.5 -4.665 8.33% -1.955 -0.482
Ward the Shores 2 26 88.46% 34.38 -1.756 23.08% -0.956 0.0761

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 5511 78.93% 39.45 0.446 53.98% 0.085 0.1717
1 Thematic 229 77.29% 38.24 -0.57 41.05% -0.257 0.0195
2 Archipelago 5 100.0% 45.0 4.496 60.0% 0.518 0.5253
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1326 82.88% 38.53 -0.082 51.51% -0.096 -0.0702
2 Coastline 147 81.63% 37.52 -0.551 46.94% -0.257 -0.2816
2 Fragment 22 90.91% 36.68 -1.142 40.91% -0.43 -0.2072
2 Heart 15 93.33% 34.13 -2.449 46.67% -0.397 -0.2972
2 Opposite Shores 280 82.44% 34.61 -2.114 41.43% -0.612 -0.5466
2 Thematic 76 80.26% 36.91 -1.15 38.16% -0.106 -0.1732
2 Top to Top 48 85.42% 38.58 0.506 54.17% 0.184 0.1151
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 52.5 8.158 100.0% 0.587 0.4362
3 Other 34 76.47% 45.59 2.753 73.53% 0.289 0.4615
3 Round (Default) 535 83.74% 37.96 -0.099 50.47% -0.126 -0.1646
3 Sunrise 1 100.0% 22.0 -9.44 0.0% -0.489 -0.7487
3 Thematic 15 93.33% 36.4 -1.789 33.33% -0.029 -0.3947
4 Leaf 3 100.0% 53.33 8.127 100.0% 0.826 0.898
4 Other 18 66.67% 47.33 2.47 77.78% 0.118 0.0482
4 Thematic 106 60.38% 47.44 1.414 57.55% 0.487 -0.5099
4 Trapezoid (Default) 197 77.32% 39.02 -0.875 50.25% -0.599 -0.5912
5 Other 5 80.0% 52.4 5.575 80.0% 0.214 -0.2469
5 Thematic 1 100.0% 57.0 9.233 100.0% 0.475 -1.9168

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 504 37.1 -1.743 48.02% -1.297 0.7725
Aid From Lesser Spirits 416 39.11 -0.615 51.44% -1.115 0.7978
All Things Weaken 536 34.71 -2.996 40.86% -1.593 0.5659
Back Against the Wall 396 38.95 -0.851 50.0% -1.212 0.8748
Disintegrating Ecosystem 526 34.46 -3.133 45.06% -1.42 0.8017
Downward Spiral 474 34.77 -3.008 43.46% -1.515 0.5065
Erosion of Will 494 35.82 -2.439 42.91% -1.515 0.6927
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 176 41.35 0.111 57.39% -0.964 -0.2851
Memory Fades to Dust 571 35.63 -2.591 45.71% -1.417 0.7979
Power Corrodes the Spirit 533 35.56 -2.579 45.4% -1.414 0.6071
Promising Farmlands 485 32.89 -3.984 38.14% -1.738 0.4702
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 112 42.47 0.497 58.93% -0.923 -0.5116
Thriving Communities 509 34.01 -3.301 43.03% -1.487 0.6009
Unnatural Proliferation 561 37.04 -1.826 46.52% -1.369 0.7116
Untended Land Crumbles 547 33.4 -3.691 38.76% -1.699 0.4035

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1478 80.51% 38.7 -0.172 51.89% 0.405 -0.2827
B 1723 80.51% 39.42 0.116 54.15% 0.445 -0.3389
C 1924 80.14% 39.18 0.133 53.07% 0.451 -0.562
D 1419 83.23% 38.1 -0.364 50.39% 0.391 -0.3869
E 1469 80.6% 38.39 -0.305 50.58% 0.336 -0.5587
F 1442 80.04% 39.42 0.246 54.16% 0.499 -0.3422
G 1196 80.05% 38.38 -0.314 50.92% 0.355 -0.4774
H 1185 79.78% 38.98 -0.035 52.57% 0.429 -0.4101
East 188 70.21% 43.79 0.859 48.94% 0.263 -0.3134
Northeast 132 73.48% 43.83 0.94 48.48% 0.188 -0.3363
Northwest 113 70.8% 42.46 0.268 47.79% 0.184 -0.4111
Southeast 112 70.54% 41.87 0.234 50.0% 0.255 -0.3744
Southwest 116 72.41% 39.08 -1.452 44.83% 0.055 -0.1438
West 170 67.65% 43.4 0.169 48.24% -0.075 -0.4022

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 40.0 -1.171 60.0% -0.421 1.6321
Not Using Events or Tokens 22 90.91% 37.95 -0.042 50.0% 0.12 0.3344
Skip Initial Invader Actions 94 45.16% 55.86 4.916 84.04% 0.704 0.0177
Start of Game Growth 217 47.69% 51.71 4.149 74.65% 0.509 0.0402
Unlimited Undo 721 74.44% 43.42 1.798 63.52% 0.398 -0.0255
Using Tokens but Not Events 341 75.89% 38.42 -0.884 51.61% -0.268 -0.3191

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2184 22.37 3.16%
II 3567 30.88 50.41%
III 2207 34.39 91.12%
IV 619 37.55 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.176 Win Model: -0.381
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 5760 78.87% 39.42 53.49%
2 1925 82.85% 37.86 49.35%
3 571 83.01% 38.11 50.79%
4 321 72.33% 42.31 54.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 69
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1984
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1763
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 606
Lose: Invader deck ran out 51
Lose: Adversary condition 2082
Win: Sacrifice victory 53
Lose: Scenario condition 101
Win: Scenario condition 20
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1729
Lose: Spirit destroyed 119

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 230 70.87% 43.57 2.509 52.61% 0.469 0.5738
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 106 89.62% 35.6 -0.949 33.02% -0.267 -0.0692
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 191 92.15% 32.5 -2.519 28.27% -0.425 -0.5382
Eyes Watch From the Trees 170 70.59% 45.43 3.546 55.29% 0.495 0.0912
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 154 92.21% 37.64 -0.206 38.96% 0.034 -0.2709
Fractured Days Split the Sky 92 83.7% 47.6 3.971 54.35% 0.503 0.8511
Heart of the Wildfire 380 87.63% 33.54 -2.612 32.63% -0.383 -0.0647
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 541 80.96% 34.76 -0.327 29.94% -0.024 -0.3663
Lightning's Swift Strike 160 94.38% 34.48 -1.562 31.25% -0.198 0.0279
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 234 88.89% 38.26 0.095 42.31% 0.123 -0.164
Many Minds Move as One 143 69.23% 51.1 6.573 71.33% 1.183 0.6502
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 224 80.8% 39.32 0.594 42.41% 0.229 0.0044
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 160 84.38% 38.48 0.485 40.63% 0.07 0.0842
River Surges in Sunlight 274 85.04% 39.97 1.047 40.15% 0.061 0.1814
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 218 78.44% 40.97 0.674 45.87% 0.076 0.1789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 157 94.27% 30.31 -3.196 17.83% -0.862 -0.457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 111 81.08% 36.35 -1.247 35.14% -0.288 -0.4
Shifting Memory of Ages 49 97.96% 39.02 0.573 42.86% 0.305 0.4293
Shroud of Silent Mist 45 95.56% 34.04 -1.869 31.11% -0.321 -0.2642
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 842 62.95% 42.87 2.496 60.57% 0.659 0.5989
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 166 87.35% 33.22 -2.127 25.3% -0.459 -0.2984
Thunderspeaker 135 96.3% 36.22 -0.834 34.81% -0.115 -0.091
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 493 95.13% 35.76 -1.265 39.35% -0.021 -0.0489
Vital Strength of the Earth 99 85.86% 32.09 -2.734 24.24% -0.68 0.1643
Volcano Looming High 207 92.27% 31.9 -3.056 28.99% -0.431 -0.4204

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 25 88.0% 35.28 -1.995 36.0% -0.311 0.2544
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 94.87% 35.1 0.088 7.69% -1.189 -0.7883
Despicable Theft 2 3 100.0% 23.67 -6.705 0.0% -0.703 -0.4287
Elemental Invocation 1 9 77.78% 40.33 0.331 44.44% -0.176 0.3267
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 118 26.27% 41.99 1.309 40.68% -0.776 -0.4114
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 75.0% 48.63 5.486 50.0% 0.344 0.7899
Rituals of Terror 3 7 100.0% 36.57 -0.032 14.29% -0.447 0.1982
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 -3.523 1.14% -2.219 -1.5726
Second Wave 0 47 61.7% 37.53 -1.268 38.3% -0.684 -0.2544
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 -0.26 22.22% -0.615 0.4172

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2520 81.63% 38.11 0.558 43.33% 0.09 0.1767
1 Thematic 332 87.95% 30.72 -1.429 13.25% -0.382 -0.1046
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 578 88.58% 35.92 -1.038 36.51% -0.276 -0.2501
2 Coastline 62 80.65% 40.23 1.116 51.61% 0.17 0.1448
2 Fragment 7 100.0% 46.29 4.837 71.43% 0.941 1.1635
2 Heart 6 66.67% 34.67 -1.379 33.33% -0.481 -0.3812
2 Opposite Shores 85 88.24% 38.29 0.292 42.35% 0.008 0.0733
2 Thematic 26 73.08% 31.08 -4.651 7.69% -1.589 -1.6553
2 Top to Top 49 97.96% 35.86 -0.61 36.73% -0.161 -0.2298
3 Coastline 3 66.67% 32.0 -1.491 33.33% 0.04 -0.1108
3 Other 16 75.0% 53.44 6.637 81.25% 1.013 1.1857
3 Round (Default) 176 80.68% 41.63 1.744 51.14% 0.355 0.3161
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 -6.571 0.0% -0.485 -0.7454
3 Thematic 4 100.0% 36.0 -0.974 25.0% 0.113 -0.2535
4 Other 5 40.0% 56.4 7.107 80.0% 0.45 0.381
4 Thematic 32 62.5% 50.38 2.682 56.25% 0.713 -0.2842
4 Trapezoid (Default) 87 71.26% 39.05 -0.647 42.53% -0.415 -0.4068
5 Other 5 80.0% 44.6 -0.082 60.0% -0.19 -0.6503
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 90.0 17.94 100.0% 0.104 -0.1

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 269 35.5 -1.661 34.57% -1.249 0.8203
Aid From Lesser Spirits 206 39.28 0.224 43.69% -0.889 1.0242
All Things Weaken 260 34.56 -2.292 33.46% -1.394 0.7657
Back Against the Wall 202 34.98 -2.062 32.18% -1.407 0.6805
Disintegrating Ecosystem 233 34.62 -2.154 36.48% -1.198 1.0246
Downward Spiral 268 32.13 -3.27 28.73% -1.521 0.5006
Erosion of Will 256 34.38 -2.13 32.03% -1.364 0.8436
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 51 43.57 1.518 52.94% -0.707 -0.0288
Memory Fades to Dust 240 33.07 -2.895 30.0% -1.499 0.7157
Power Corrodes the Spirit 260 33.38 -2.664 31.15% -1.422 0.599
Promising Farmlands 204 33.65 -2.445 32.35% -1.349 0.8587
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 49 45.78 3.184 59.18% -0.186 0.2258
Thriving Communities 282 33.2 -2.942 32.27% -1.426 0.6624
Unnatural Proliferation 262 34.81 -1.99 32.82% -1.341 0.7397
Untended Land Crumbles 272 31.84 -3.889 27.57% -1.756 0.3461

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 625 85.76% 36.77 -0.687 38.88% 0.111 -0.5772
B 692 83.53% 38.53 0.304 44.51% 0.339 -0.4442
C 792 83.96% 39.83 1.123 47.35% 0.51 -0.5027
D 631 83.52% 37.22 -0.297 40.57% 0.175 -0.6029
E 656 82.32% 37.0 -0.364 40.09% 0.189 -0.7058
F 646 78.02% 38.94 0.214 45.2% 0.239 -0.6021
G 494 81.38% 38.85 0.67 43.52% 0.394 -0.4378
H 547 82.27% 38.96 0.315 44.06% 0.265 -0.5737
East 60 63.33% 47.0 2.406 45.0% 0.331 -0.2453
Northeast 63 84.13% 38.92 -0.231 28.57% -0.204 -0.7287
Northwest 82 89.02% 32.59 -1.523 14.63% -0.473 -1.0682
Southeast 48 70.83% 46.65 3.286 47.92% 0.831 0.2023
Southwest 202 85.15% 28.47 -2.773 9.9% -0.463 -0.6617
West 70 70.0% 44.66 2.093 38.57% 0.466 0.1387

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 14 100.0% 28.71 -3.255 21.43% -0.239 -0.0238
Skip Initial Invader Actions 36 50.0% 59.86 6.957 83.33% 1.308 0.6214
Start of Game Growth 73 47.95% 52.84 3.893 68.49% 0.101 -0.3683
Unlimited Undo 400 69.25% 45.54 3.12 60.5% 0.507 0.0839
Using Tokens but Not Events 221 59.73% 45.55 2.442 62.9% 0.288 0.2368

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1093 22.37 0.64%
II 1677 30.88 28.68%
III 920 34.39 88.7%
IV 306 37.55 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.125 Win Model: -0.266
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2861 82.38% 37.3 39.95%
2 812 87.93% 36.33 37.44%
3 196 79.59% 42.3 52.55%
4 127 68.5% 42.57 47.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 809
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 472
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 303
Lose: Invader deck ran out 26
Lose: Adversary condition 1136
Win: Sacrifice victory 14
Lose: Scenario condition 68
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1097
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1120 73.64% 44.38 1.629 46.34% 0.47 0.5739
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 541 90.57% 33.68 -3.132 22.55% -0.566 -0.3683
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 506 92.09% 32.05 -3.75 20.75% -0.597 -0.7111
Eyes Watch From the Trees 863 85.27% 38.97 -0.193 34.07% 0.122 -0.2819
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 783 88.89% 35.74 -1.809 27.84% -0.16 -0.4652
Fractured Days Split the Sky 707 76.24% 46.88 2.297 43.56% 0.143 0.491
Heart of the Wildfire 2127 89.27% 35.41 -2.744 30.32% -0.274 0.0443
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2253 74.08% 42.4 0.572 43.01% 0.199 -0.1433
Lightning's Swift Strike 1174 92.83% 31.84 -4.015 20.87% -0.644 -0.4177
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1696 88.96% 36.33 -2.08 29.66% -0.234 -0.5212
Many Minds Move as One 701 73.0% 52.47 6.292 65.19% 1.337 0.8042
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 844 86.1% 36.18 -2.119 29.15% -0.26 -0.4842
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 795 88.66% 37.8 -0.861 33.21% 0.048 0.0617
River Surges in Sunlight 1528 87.09% 44.3 2.276 41.95% 0.489 0.6092
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1204 77.74% 46.58 2.082 51.08% 0.436 0.539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 645 77.67% 35.69 -2.492 23.1% -0.492 -0.0871
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 728 80.22% 38.28 -1.723 31.73% -0.302 -0.4139
Shifting Memory of Ages 228 87.72% 42.37 0.565 41.67% 0.276 0.4007
Shroud of Silent Mist 323 89.16% 33.65 -3.822 23.84% -0.667 -0.611
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6405 55.78% 48.39 4.322 63.84% 1.074 1.0139
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 623 88.42% 36.21 -1.714 28.57% -0.128 0.0323
Thunderspeaker 637 86.66% 35.44 -2.342 23.55% -0.419 -0.3948
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3477 94.45% 36.05 -2.113 33.48% -0.01 -0.0375
Vital Strength of the Earth 464 85.56% 32.82 -3.554 21.34% -0.708 0.1364
Volcano Looming High 1133 88.44% 36.23 -2.227 31.95% -0.179 -0.1681

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 246 57.72% 43.58 -1.082 46.34% -0.622 -0.0558
Dahan Insurrection 4 164 74.39% 46.98 3.071 21.95% -0.941 -0.5403
Despicable Theft 2 4 75.0% 51.0 6.461 50.0% 0.392 0.6663
Elemental Invocation 1 59 84.75% 34.37 -2.544 22.03% -0.937 -0.4347
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1361 29.17% 48.91 1.894 47.17% -0.685 -0.3198
Powers Long Forgotten 1 41 63.41% 44.15 0.02 46.34% -0.628 -0.1817
Rituals of Terror 3 15 35.71% 70.4 8.992 66.67% -0.261 0.3838
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 68.75% 42.75 -0.779 25.0% -1.085 -0.4382
Second Wave 0 83 56.63% 42.72 0.47 39.76% -0.434 -0.0045
The Great River 3 4 25.0% 47.5 2.945 25.0% -0.695 0.7785
Ward the Shores 2 32 93.75% 32.19 -3.094 9.38% -1.286 -0.2544

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 19871 78.83% 40.83 0.5 42.23% -0.009 0.0776
1 Thematic 637 74.57% 39.34 -1.3 29.83% -0.452 -0.1748
2 Archipelago 3 66.67% 42.67 0.02 33.33% -0.446 -0.4393
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2169 86.03% 39.66 0.204 38.73% 0.052 0.0778
2 Coastline 365 75.34% 41.32 0.352 41.1% -0.028 -0.0523
2 Fragment 39 92.31% 37.41 -1.151 30.77% -0.537 -0.3146
2 Heart 67 83.58% 39.36 -0.762 37.31% -0.652 -0.5517
2 Opposite Shores 533 86.09% 32.22 -3.694 21.76% -0.969 -0.9039
2 Thematic 86 81.4% 36.51 -2.82 16.28% -0.748 -0.8144
2 Top to Top 91 89.01% 41.77 0.647 42.86% -0.129 -0.1981
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 30.0 -2.742 0.0% -0.382 0.4223
3 Coastline 2 100.0% 47.0 5.341 50.0% 0.435 0.2845
3 Other 51 86.27% 45.98 2.627 54.9% 0.11 0.283
3 Round (Default) 677 81.83% 39.1 -0.12 36.48% 0.054 0.0154
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 64.0 12.561 100.0% 0.45 0.1895
3 Thematic 9 66.67% 47.78 0.757 44.44% 0.388 0.0217
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 68.0 11.949 100.0% 0.432 0.5513
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 23.0 -10.292 0.0% -0.37 -0.298
4 Other 30 76.67% 50.27 3.22 63.33% 0.179 0.1097
4 Thematic 135 27.41% 64.16 2.862 70.37% 1.21 0.2134
4 Trapezoid (Default) 362 84.96% 38.05 -0.919 33.43% -0.032 -0.024
5 Other 21 57.14% 58.95 5.593 80.95% 0.595 0.1345
5 Thematic 8 25.0% 69.5 5.447 87.5% 0.865 -1.527

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1544 37.43 -2.014 34.07% -1.121 0.9481
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1201 41.12 -0.136 41.13% -0.782 1.1313
All Things Weaken 1600 36.55 -2.433 32.56% -1.182 0.9773
Back Against the Wall 1133 40.68 -0.429 40.51% -0.845 1.2422
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1498 34.44 -3.53 31.38% -1.25 0.9723
Downward Spiral 1573 36.12 -2.741 32.68% -1.169 0.8527
Erosion of Will 1416 35.59 -2.962 29.66% -1.344 0.8631
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 435 44.1 0.721 48.74% -0.653 0.0255
Memory Fades to Dust 1635 35.24 -3.126 29.91% -1.274 0.9412
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1516 35.5 -3.035 31.07% -1.291 0.7299
Promising Farmlands 1451 34.02 -3.832 27.98% -1.444 0.7643
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 270 48.0 2.296 58.15% -0.338 0.073
Thriving Communities 1546 35.02 -3.282 30.85% -1.289 0.7988
Unnatural Proliferation 1643 37.78 -1.843 33.6% -1.137 0.9434
Untended Land Crumbles 1511 34.21 -3.623 28.33% -1.395 0.7072

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4013 79.64% 40.64 0.077 40.92% 0.734 0.0464
B 4161 79.97% 40.26 -0.006 40.54% 0.747 -0.0366
C 5256 80.96% 39.58 -0.289 39.25% 0.71 -0.3028
D 3622 83.54% 39.35 -0.36 38.85% 0.743 -0.0348
E 4009 81.93% 39.91 -0.237 39.51% 0.71 -0.1845
F 3509 79.13% 41.17 0.411 42.52% 0.833 -0.0073
G 2999 80.73% 39.88 -0.237 39.71% 0.703 -0.1285
H 2904 78.39% 41.41 0.383 42.53% 0.781 -0.0582
East 283 53.0% 53.23 1.269 47.0% 0.355 -0.2212
Northeast 196 54.59% 51.69 0.924 45.41% 0.385 -0.1393
Northwest 165 51.52% 50.25 0.796 44.85% 0.548 -0.0471
Southeast 172 48.26% 53.4 1.806 51.16% 0.69 0.0611
Southwest 190 60.53% 44.11 -1.938 40.53% 0.198 -0.0006
West 222 44.14% 55.03 1.206 54.5% 0.628 0.301

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 53.2 1.17 60.0% -0.31 1.743
Not Using Events or Tokens 104 83.65% 37.82 -0.811 10.58% -0.449 -0.2343
Skip Initial Invader Actions 986 28.08% 65.43 7.423 82.96% 1.146 0.4594
Start of Game Growth 1389 30.18% 62.76 6.609 81.07% 0.615 0.1463
Unlimited Undo 2757 68.36% 50.96 4.195 62.68% 0.78 0.3565
Using Tokens but Not Events 873 73.04% 40.79 -0.662 41.58% -0.159 -0.2102

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9336 22.37 3.8%
II 10442 30.88 47.53%
III 4265 34.39 91.14%
IV 1118 37.55 99.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.237 Win Model: -1.046
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 20616 78.67% 40.85 41.99%
2 3283 85.19% 38.22 34.91%
3 725 82.07% 39.52 37.52%
4 537 67.98% 46.03 45.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 345
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3830
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4850
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1099
Lose: Invader deck ran out 156
Lose: Adversary condition 7517
Win: Sacrifice victory 158
Lose: Scenario condition 599
Win: Scenario condition 38
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6106
Lose: Spirit destroyed 463

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)