The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1907 25.13% 27.5 0.216 75.83% -0.142 -0.2385
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 169 17.16% 21.5 -2.706 53.85% -0.42 -0.7456
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 16 56.25% 14.06 -5.11 43.75% -0.981 -1.2424
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 51 27.45% 26.53 2.252 66.67% 0.45 -0.2707
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1250 42.3% 25.34 0.89 67.2% 0.156 0.4547
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 195 14.87% 31.85 6.164 75.9% 0.644 0.0547
Dances Up Earthquakes 189 31.75% 21.52 3.085 57.67% 0.768 0.9501
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1704 27.45% 27.82 1.454 76.94% 0.548 0.3692
Downpour Drenches the World 758 23.35% 19.16 -4.077 46.7% -0.696 -0.3371
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 677 19.23% 24.65 1.746 63.66% 0.253 -0.1862
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2068 17.59% 31.01 1.453 80.61% 0.53 0.1805
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1634 23.59% 29.33 0.485 79.87% 0.462 0.0613
Finder of Paths Unseen 325 30.86% 15.37 2.961 37.54% 0.352 1.4268
Fractured Days Split the Sky 860 32.56% 22.04 -4.706 52.44% -0.902 -0.446
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1137 37.57% 24.61 -4.211 62.97% -0.953 -1.0437
Heart of the Wildfire 1926 55.57% 23.61 -0.189 66.36% 0.593 1.0242
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2466 24.67% 29.35 1.332 80.98% 0.511 0.0685
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 204 13.73% 22.46 -3.564 57.35% -0.136 -0.6445
Lightning's Swift Strike 1061 42.88% 26.28 -0.494 71.54% 0.153 0.3165
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 234 30.04% 26.97 1.676 70.94% 0.115 -0.5639
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 538 32.96% 29.13 2.936 80.3% 0.551 0.1918
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 446 31.84% 26.03 -4.115 68.61% -0.662 -0.808
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2086 31.93% 27.37 0.057 74.26% 0.216 0.0394
Many Minds Move as One 1531 21.23% 28.35 -1.156 76.42% -0.234 -0.369
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1943 39.98% 26.56 -4.426 69.99% -0.819 -0.8959
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 194 46.91% 20.97 -0.44 53.61% 0.196 0.3871
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1539 29.45% 26.34 0.512 73.68% 0.421 0.3623
River Surges in Sunlight 1252 41.14% 27.33 0.351 69.25% 0.223 0.2676
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 78 28.21% 20.14 1.599 51.28% 0.4 0.6295
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 631 40.22% 26.33 -3.18 61.81% -0.378 -0.3294
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 275 31.87% 27.82 2.689 62.91% -0.368 -0.2009
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1407 27.24% 27.03 -0.693 74.48% -0.19 -0.3835
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 49 12.24% 20.33 4.43 51.02% 0.76 0.7459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 627 52.8% 24.74 -4.234 64.91% -0.95 -0.3253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 111 42.34% 23.11 0.0 58.56%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 139 24.46% 25.76 0.117 66.19% 0.154 -0.2813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 106 27.36% 22.92 -10.076 58.49% -0.389 -0.3665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 437 32.95% 28.57 0.475 77.12% -0.316 -0.4035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 286 44.41% 25.69 0.0 68.18%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1374 28.54% 27.93 0.954 76.06% 0.22 0.2779
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 13 15.38% 31.0 2.671 76.92% 0.697 0.1934
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 239 22.03% 20.15 -8.284 52.72% -1.224 -1.2606
Shifting Memory of Ages 886 41.18% 20.3 -1.796 54.06% -0.543 -0.1813
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 135 20.74% 17.1 -4.445 41.48% -0.809 -0.8268
Shroud of Silent Mist 1022 43.92% 22.8 -5.17 61.94% -0.71 -0.1866
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 17 29.41% 30.12 2.688 82.35% 0.878 0.5374
Starlight Seeks its Form 1227 26.32% 23.43 1.09 61.53% 0.514 0.3154
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2624 27.95% 26.09 -0.161 79.38% 0.53 -0.0851
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1335 39.53% 23.68 -2.336 63.15% -0.128 0.1048
Thunderspeaker 1497 34.81% 26.98 0.651 70.07% 0.323 0.3056
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 202 26.24% 18.58 3.177 47.03% 0.251 0.4514
Towering Roots of the Jungle 304 23.03% 20.65 0.122 57.89% 0.411 0.5775
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1751 57.03% 22.62 -2.003 67.9% -0.514 -0.464
Vital Strength of the Earth 957 33.72% 23.44 -2.401 63.74% -0.034 0.4367
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 216 23.72% 20.71 -2.476 54.63% -0.195 0.214
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 424 33.33% 21.02 -0.146 59.67% -0.326 0.341
Volcano Looming High 1429 37.65% 23.44 0.391 65.5% 0.186 0.1696
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 424 19.39% 27.16 2.699 68.16% 0.387 0.1069

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 52 26.92% 25.5 -6.462 63.46% -0.325 -0.3547
Blitz 0 434 25.87% 21.75 -2.273 58.76% -0.394 -0.1505
Dahan Insurrection 4 448 25.67% 44.52 17.052 64.73% 0.557 0.5702
Despicable Theft 2 219 30.59% 22.54 19.236 45.21% 0.57 1.336
Elemental Invocation 1 357 39.78% 20.47 -1.884 47.34% -0.146 0.6074
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1107 9.12% 32.44 4.321 73.98% 0.006 -0.5904
Powers Long Forgotten 1 382 33.95% 20.76 2.257 46.34% 0.202 0.9498
Rituals of Terror 3 263 49.81% 27.67 -7.705 47.15% -0.746 -0.2673
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 244 50.82% 27.14 -1.796 50.41% -0.245 0.4422
Second Wave 0 638 50.08% 29.31 0.149 64.11% -0.438 -0.4424
The Great River 3 216 44.44% 21.19 4.355 34.26% 0.033 1.1629
Varied Terrains 2 143 48.25% 21.86 2.276 40.56% 0.239 1.0184
Ward the Shores 2 374 37.7% 26.98 1.367 52.14% -0.022 0.8469

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20372 36.28% 26.19 0.137 71.62% -0.063 0.141
1 Thematic 2175 36.51% 27.09 -3.607 59.13% -1.169 -0.5597
2 Archipelago 22 63.64% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4244 36.29% 25.16 1.883 70.22% 0.213 0.2939
2 Coastline 479 35.28% 26.82 3.221 74.74% 0.933 0.8379
2 Fragment 97 45.36% 23.37 5.61 62.89% 0.197 0.1537
2 Heart 55 40.0% 25.65 0.0 80.0%
2 Opposite Shores 544 32.9% 27.64 -2.878 79.04% -0.379 -0.2478
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 635 32.44% 25.97 3.352 54.49% 0.08 0.4388
2 Top to Top 92 42.39% 27.41 0.0 79.35%
3 Archipelago 13 30.77% 37.54 0.0 84.62%
3 Coastline 30 33.33% 33.93 0.0 76.67%
3 Other 72 30.56% 24.61 8.141 70.83% 0.812 0.4263
3 Round (Default) 1976 29.62% 27.17 3.325 76.11% 0.955 0.9604
3 Sunrise 15 53.33% 34.0 1.251 93.33% 0.356 -0.2503
3 Thematic 114 41.23% 22.97 -7.835 45.61% -0.774 -1.205
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 32.8 0.0 60.0%
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 15.67 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 4 50.0% 12.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 44 27.27% 25.48 -6.616 79.55% -0.379 -1.2219
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 145 17.93% 32.05 0.731 71.03% -0.2 -0.4025
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1203 20.7% 21.17 -2.931 58.69% -0.507 -0.3169
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 45.5 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 64 12.5% 25.16 5.522 75.0% 0.173 0.012
5 Thematic 11 45.45% 27.0 0.0 54.55%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.5 0.0 100.0%
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 12 50.0% 19.75 0.0 58.33%
6 Star 13 23.08% 26.69 1.831 84.62% 0.126 0.5919
6 Thematic 68 22.39% 31.88 3.576 54.41% 0.542 0.7904
6 Two Centers (Default) 147 12.93% 22.47 -11.22 61.9% -0.896 0.3051
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 28.0 0.0 50.0%
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 7 0.0% 7.0 0.0 14.29%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 681 22.72 2.732 59.91% 0.872 1.0204
Aid From Lesser Spirits 594 23.95 1.146 61.11% 0.244 0.1309
All Things Weaken 786 21.28 -2.628 52.8% -0.458 -0.083
Attenuated Essence 130 19.22 5.471 49.23% 0.695 0.821
Back Against the Wall 619 24.85 -1.014 62.52% 0.204 0.2446
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 138 18.83 2.683 44.93% 0.116 0.3216
Burn Brightest Before the End 113 23.96 8.827 56.64% 1.055 1.0996
Disintegrating Ecosystem 681 20.86 -4.058 56.24% -0.753 -0.2553
Downward Spiral 891 21.62 -1.351 59.6% -0.026 0.2244
Erosion of Will 749 22.64 -1.873 55.54% -0.43 -0.1723
Intensifying Exploitation 134 19.96 3.4 46.27% 0.621 0.8401
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 388 26.15 -0.232 77.32% -0.166 -0.552
Memory Fades to Dust 906 22.56 -2.889 59.6% -0.215 -0.0101
Power Corrodes the Spirit 823 22.31 0.626 61.0% -0.245 -0.0469
Promising Farmlands 692 22.56 5.04 59.39% 0.892 1.2481
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 25.15 5.145 58.47% 1.065 1.2824
Slow Dissolution of Will 145 22.29 -0.108 47.59% -0.166 0.2633
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 280 27.94 2.46 83.93% 0.414 -0.2103
The Border of Life and Death 61 22.16 -2.692 57.38% -0.26 -0.5796
Thriving Communities 834 20.26 -1.563 54.2% -0.144 0.1752
Thriving Crops 60 24.07 -3.774 66.67% -0.27 -0.3886
Unnatural Proliferation 802 22.27 -0.018 51.87% -0.303 -0.213
Untended Land Crumbles 787 21.15 2.785 53.88% 0.737 0.9624

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5989 33.68% 25.18 -0.354 70.15% -0.144 0.6551
B 5867 33.78% 25.13 -0.187 69.35% -0.237 0.4932
C 6146 31.69% 25.87 1.151 71.41% 0.498 1.1021
D 5719 32.96% 25.34 -0.543 70.24% -0.046 0.7109
E 5604 33.3% 25.81 -0.491 71.47% -0.021 0.5636
F 5433 32.93% 25.79 1.937 71.08% 0.927 1.6292
G 4850 33.57% 25.32 -0.685 70.23% -0.247 0.5104
H 4805 32.05% 25.88 0.18 70.8% 0.201 0.832
East 1886 33.53% 28.59 0.824 60.23% 0.266 1.0498
Northeast 863 33.87% 28.92 -1.465 59.44% -0.18 0.5817
Northwest 741 33.11% 26.58 -1.037 52.63% -0.096 0.7459
Southeast 693 30.06% 27.27 1.0 59.16% 0.307 0.9464
Southwest 693 30.92% 24.14 -4.179 55.7% -0.56 0.4849
West 1787 33.59% 25.58 -2.57 54.62% -0.616 0.1601

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 86 0.0% 28.37 -5.482 76.74% -0.114 0.7597
Not Using Events or Tokens 492 38.25% 24.79 -1.834 67.68% -0.251 0.1255
Skip Initial Invader Actions 706 7.93% 38.84 -0.581 87.39% -0.266 -0.5572
Start of Game Growth 1070 13.49% 36.26 -1.3 83.64% -0.558 -1.1149
Unlimited Undo 2141 27.58% 27.52 -1.372 74.26% -0.058 0.0054
Using Tokens but Not Events 2567 29.58% 26.64 2.029 71.29% 0.47 0.3427

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6043 12.44 9.53%
II 6636 29.94 57.59%
III 12755 34.9 88.75%
IV 7272 38.84 99.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.204 Win Model: -0.166
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 22931 36.31% 26.13 69.77%
2 5925 35.81% 26.07 71.88%
3 2164 30.61% 27.48 75.69%
4 1374 20.31% 22.1 60.19%
5 59 16.95% 25.49 74.58%
6 253 17.06% 24.79 59.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 572
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11026
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3576
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7135
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4587
Lose: Invader deck ran out 172
Lose: Adversary condition 2254
Win: Sacrifice victory 123
Lose: Scenario condition 294
Win: Scenario condition 485
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2319
Lose: Spirit destroyed 163

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1337 32.36% 31.81 -1.018 77.26% 0.053 -0.0428
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 148 21.62% 28.86 5.483 69.59% 0.588 0.2628
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 16 25.0% 31.25 0.769 87.5% 0.588 0.3266
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 154 20.13% 40.86 5.529 87.66% 1.169 0.448
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 782 54.62% 28.68 -2.01 65.22% -0.222 0.0763
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 32.28% 33.35 5.365 74.8% 0.533 -0.0569
Dances Up Earthquakes 126 39.68% 23.17 -0.488 53.17% -0.039 0.143
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1253 30.26% 31.96 -0.702 76.62% 0.158 -0.0208
Downpour Drenches the World 577 28.13% 23.79 0.834 54.25% 0.225 0.5839
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 603 23.29% 27.08 2.303 65.01% 0.578 0.1387
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1542 22.99% 36.13 -0.443 83.79% 0.289 -0.0607
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1234 28.41% 33.89 -3.952 79.58% -0.496 -0.8959
Finder of Paths Unseen 289 44.64% 17.12 -9.578 35.29% -1.505 -0.4309
Fractured Days Split the Sky 536 35.21% 26.7 -0.722 56.72% -0.33 0.1258
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 860 40.93% 28.08 -0.901 65.81% -0.068 -0.1587
Heart of the Wildfire 1293 59.61% 27.93 0.702 68.52% 0.324 0.7548
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1823 36.18% 32.19 -2.187 78.77% -0.036 -0.479
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 180 28.33% 27.56 1.008 62.22% 0.555 0.046
Lightning's Swift Strike 731 45.75% 30.8 -1.774 73.73% 0.221 0.3844
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 177 36.72% 27.4 3.686 60.45% 0.635 -0.0436
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 395 31.98% 33.44 5.429 76.96% 0.732 0.3731
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 346 37.86% 30.83 0.219 69.65% -0.022 -0.1684
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1547 39.86% 31.35 1.198 74.79% 0.349 0.1715
Many Minds Move as One 1086 27.31% 32.72 -3.149 78.36% -0.519 -0.6535
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1377 43.24% 31.34 0.721 73.86% 0.55 0.4734
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 171 46.2% 24.89 -3.93 57.31% -0.82 -0.6287
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1219 37.88% 29.93 -6.816 71.45% -1.034 -1.0928
River Surges in Sunlight 992 41.38% 32.16 -1.489 68.95% -0.177 -0.1328
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 79 31.65% 23.29 2.345 48.1% 0.087 0.317
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 467 50.0% 28.67 -0.598 59.96% 0.233 0.2816
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 238 34.03% 28.29 -5.438 61.76% -0.908 -0.7418
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 864 40.09% 30.42 5.235 72.8% 0.981 0.7877
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 42 21.43% 17.4 -12.895 30.95% -0.953 -0.9677
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 399 62.41% 27.73 -1.789 62.66% -0.182 0.4427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 46.38% 25.72 -11.045 54.93% -0.711 -0.6958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 101 38.0% 31.68 8.808 71.29% 0.298 -0.1374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 83 43.37% 23.14 -9.203 55.42% -0.207 -0.1846
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 307 43.09% 28.85 -0.628 68.08% 0.098 0.0113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 217 57.41% 29.83 -9.995 64.52% -0.352 0.0572
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1031 38.74% 32.72 -1.233 79.24% 0.234 0.2915
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 13 30.77% 37.15 1.496 92.31% 0.683 0.1797
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 240 28.99% 25.44 -2.061 58.33% 0.066 0.0294
Shifting Memory of Ages 687 46.14% 25.08 -6.894 58.81% -1.024 -0.6623
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 129 31.01% 24.6 -3.225 56.59% -0.244 -0.2614
Shroud of Silent Mist 761 55.2% 24.16 -5.574 57.82% -0.6 -0.0759
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 40.0% 30.65 -2.625 70.0% -0.388 -0.7285
Starlight Seeks its Form 1016 29.53% 30.87 4.817 72.64% 0.578 0.3791
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2133 31.63% 31.23 2.469 81.34% 1.04 0.4254
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 930 44.38% 27.02 -5.973 62.04% -0.959 -0.7261
Thunderspeaker 1072 39.55% 32.0 1.685 72.01% 0.542 0.5246
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 141 31.91% 23.04 -6.994 51.77% -0.648 -0.4482
Towering Roots of the Jungle 259 33.59% 23.79 -2.08 60.23% -0.063 0.1037
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1421 70.62% 25.02 -2.142 64.95% -0.281 -0.2306
Vital Strength of the Earth 672 41.82% 26.53 -0.055 61.9% 0.232 0.7021
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 156 29.49% 22.46 -12.259 46.15% -0.875 -0.4655
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 321 42.99% 23.51 -5.92 52.96% -0.396 0.2706
Volcano Looming High 1107 41.13% 28.48 2.164 70.01% 0.458 0.4414
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 299 18.06% 30.93 0.08 72.91% 0.688 0.4081

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 17.07% 24.37 6.808 56.1% 0.367 0.338
Blitz 0 463 33.98% 21.0 -5.644 48.38% -0.952 -0.7082
Dahan Insurrection 4 385 25.19% 52.36 11.993 75.06% 0.114 0.1278
Despicable Theft 2 148 37.16% 23.94 -1.332 44.59% -0.3 0.4664
Elemental Invocation 1 248 43.15% 21.86 -3.024 40.32% -0.106 0.6472
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 743 10.98% 31.66 -1.394 58.82% -0.339 -0.9356
Powers Long Forgotten 1 266 48.87% 24.51 -12.147 46.24% -1.108 -0.36
Rituals of Terror 3 180 46.11% 37.01 -18.327 57.22% -0.706 -0.2276
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 137 56.93% 32.4 3.688 53.28% 0.37 1.0577
Second Wave 0 1300 47.46% 31.72 1.062 67.31% 0.334 0.3301
The Great River 3 130 40.77% 24.92 0.0 36.15%
Varied Terrains 2 125 35.2% 18.96 -5.314 36.8% -0.347 0.4329
Ward the Shores 2 291 41.24% 28.55 1.73 49.48% 0.207 1.0761

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14876 38.25% 29.84 0.142 71.03% -0.306 -0.1023
1 Thematic 1703 43.9% 30.18 -0.455 56.72% -0.369 0.2398
2 Archipelago 16 43.75% 36.69 0.0 62.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3382 42.02% 28.29 0.026 71.08% 0.334 0.4147
2 Coastline 389 45.62% 29.97 3.209 74.04% 0.356 0.2606
2 Fragment 107 61.32% 27.19 0.464 69.16% 0.088 0.0451
2 Heart 67 56.72% 31.24 13.725 73.13% 0.173 -0.2883
2 Opposite Shores 660 41.04% 28.71 -1.83 69.7% -0.218 -0.086
2 Thematic 696 39.14% 25.93 1.925 50.0% 0.217 0.5757
2 Top to Top 80 38.75% 26.76 -6.811 67.5% -0.373 -0.4623
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 48.17 0.0 83.33%
3 Coastline 28 39.29% 33.89 0.0 71.43%
3 Other 66 37.88% 32.91 3.986 84.85% 0.259 -0.126
3 Round (Default) 1574 36.29% 30.83 -0.051 74.65% 0.106 0.1115
3 Sunrise 7 14.29% 33.14 0.0 85.71%
3 Thematic 144 38.89% 30.06 0.0 60.42%
4 Archipelago 8 62.5% 43.75 0.0 87.5%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 32.6 0.0 60.0%
4 Leaf 10 50.0% 33.0 0.0 90.0%
4 Other 32 56.25% 30.66 0.0 78.13%
4 Thematic 114 31.86% 38.8 11.533 71.93% 0.478 0.2761
4 Trapezoid (Default) 491 38.37% 29.84 1.359 74.75% 0.621 0.811
5 Archipelago 3 100.0% 42.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 56 23.21% 30.0 -5.843 73.21% -0.204 -0.3644
5 Thematic 5 80.0% 29.4 0.0 60.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 49.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 33.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Star 5 0.0% 41.0 0.0 80.0%
6 Thematic 43 25.58% 34.12 -5.674 65.12% -0.534 -0.2854
6 Two Centers (Default) 75 26.67% 29.24 -7.195 66.67% -0.288 0.9138
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 28.5 -11.813 50.0% -0.317 0.8387

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 608 25.97 -0.798 58.22% -0.172 -0.0229
Aid From Lesser Spirits 507 27.41 3.611 61.14% 0.04 -0.0729
All Things Weaken 684 26.01 -2.645 57.02% -0.357 0.0183
Attenuated Essence 137 24.01 1.3 56.2% 0.188 0.3135
Back Against the Wall 501 28.62 -0.914 65.07% -0.012 0.0289
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 106 22.94 0.678 48.11% 0.763 0.9685
Burn Brightest Before the End 102 24.9 -0.002 52.94% -0.058 -0.0129
Disintegrating Ecosystem 609 23.44 -2.949 52.55% -0.53 -0.0318
Downward Spiral 757 24.41 -3.823 57.46% -0.461 -0.2109
Erosion of Will 542 25.78 -1.56 59.96% 0.222 0.4797
Intensifying Exploitation 136 23.48 -1.045 53.68% -0.093 0.1262
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 358 31.4 0.0 77.93%
Memory Fades to Dust 723 24.61 -3.475 57.54% -0.811 -0.6062
Power Corrodes the Spirit 670 25.99 1.296 60.15% 0.002 0.2003
Promising Farmlands 578 23.84 1.618 52.6% -0.108 0.2486
Shattered Fragments of Power 106 21.51 -1.614 42.45% -0.445 -0.2278
Slow Dissolution of Will 118 22.6 2.568 49.15% 0.446 0.8756
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 236 31.64 2.016 81.36% 0.592 -0.0328
The Border of Life and Death 50 30.52 6.541 74.0% 0.282 -0.0377
Thriving Communities 721 23.01 1.868 52.98% 0.79 1.1091
Thriving Crops 64 23.95 -0.599 54.69% -0.058 -0.1769
Unnatural Proliferation 690 25.83 3.529 56.09% 0.717 0.8063
Untended Land Crumbles 667 24.93 0.667 57.27% 0.508 0.7334

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4216 39.77% 29.48 0.809 71.7% 0.267 1.0661
B 4396 37.85% 29.85 -0.322 72.02% -0.022 0.7082
C 4613 37.57% 29.52 -0.269 71.95% -0.239 0.3649
D 4131 39.69% 29.89 0.847 72.48% 0.214 0.9711
E 4075 39.7% 30.11 -0.02 72.74% -0.132 0.453
F 3928 38.13% 29.35 -2.104 71.33% -0.618 0.0841
G 3521 41.16% 29.17 -0.585 70.24% -0.342 0.4149
H 3538 39.39% 29.95 -0.871 72.61% -0.099 0.5319
East 1695 40.34% 30.69 0.153 57.11% -0.283 0.5001
Northeast 794 38.21% 29.53 2.932 54.28% 0.122 0.884
Northwest 718 37.75% 29.32 -0.66 55.85% -0.316 0.5259
Southeast 579 42.36% 31.53 0.324 62.35% -0.036 0.603
Southwest 589 41.23% 25.08 -4.15 52.63% -0.471 0.5742
West 1641 41.31% 27.93 0.153 54.05% -0.239 0.5365

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 84 0.0% 33.79 0.0 83.33%
Not Using Events or Tokens 229 45.05% 25.08 6.432 55.02% 0.354 0.7306
Skip Initial Invader Actions 415 10.62% 44.11 4.328 86.51% 0.563 0.2716
Start of Game Growth 605 12.96% 42.06 -0.243 84.79% 0.152 -0.4051
Unlimited Undo 1822 32.56% 29.6 -2.79 71.84% -0.818 -0.7545
Using Tokens but Not Events 2017 28.61% 31.07 0.722 71.79% 0.052 -0.0756

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4586 12.44 10.27%
II 8538 29.94 69.83%
III 8317 34.9 90.92%
IV 3234 38.84 99.44%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.378 Win Model: -0.295
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 16886 38.83% 29.63 68.76%
2 5191 42.44% 28.94 70.8%
3 1771 36.95% 30.84 73.91%
4 649 37.25% 32.18 76.58%
5 46 30.43% 27.17 67.39%
6 132 25.0% 31.27 66.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 466
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7389
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5629
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3195
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3218
Lose: Invader deck ran out 114
Lose: Adversary condition 1896
Win: Sacrifice victory 99
Lose: Scenario condition 244
Win: Scenario condition 433
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1866
Lose: Spirit destroyed 126

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1522 40.55% 36.83 -2.373 71.22% -0.086 -0.1822
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 158 36.71% 32.84 4.487 63.92% 0.802 0.476
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 20 42.11% 34.6 1.812 65.0% 0.214 -0.0473
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 91 34.07% 36.87 4.389 70.33% 0.819 0.0982
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 855 69.56% 29.78 3.26 50.41% 0.428 0.7267
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 185 44.86% 36.12 7.327 67.03% 0.547 -0.0422
Dances Up Earthquakes 175 54.29% 28.51 0.882 54.86% 0.336 0.5177
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1328 46.64% 36.36 -2.097 71.31% -0.41 -0.5883
Downpour Drenches the World 519 37.6% 29.56 4.365 56.26% 0.641 1.0004
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 797 41.91% 31.02 -1.471 59.97% -0.239 -0.6781
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1693 38.5% 39.61 2.324 76.67% 0.337 -0.0126
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1334 47.82% 35.81 1.501 68.82% 0.157 -0.243
Finder of Paths Unseen 289 52.94% 22.73 -6.558 39.79% -0.691 0.3833
Fractured Days Split the Sky 650 49.92% 30.5 -3.682 50.15% -0.208 0.2479
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 847 58.11% 31.59 -1.206 59.27% -0.233 -0.3242
Heart of the Wildfire 1861 72.49% 29.84 -5.855 54.81% -0.908 -0.4768
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2353 48.36% 36.38 0.71 68.98% 0.307 -0.1357
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 225 37.5% 32.63 -1.066 60.0% -0.309 -0.8177
Lightning's Swift Strike 837 60.14% 35.86 2.008 67.26% -0.127 0.0358
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 250 53.82% 32.24 4.394 61.6% 0.638 -0.041
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 377 57.45% 36.21 6.467 67.9% 0.598 0.2391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 381 51.32% 32.71 -3.317 57.74% -0.541 -0.6875
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2041 58.31% 32.65 0.964 60.51% 0.114 -0.0629
Many Minds Move as One 1131 36.65% 37.15 -0.111 74.18% 0.266 0.1318
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1764 54.29% 34.74 -0.307 64.17% 0.095 0.0185
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 210 62.86% 31.44 1.318 60.95% -0.253 -0.062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1403 50.68% 34.63 2.096 65.72% 0.432 0.3733
River Surges in Sunlight 1319 52.83% 37.98 -6.43 65.88% -0.609 -0.5644
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 94 47.87% 27.4 -2.459 44.68% -0.077 0.153
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 478 56.42% 31.26 -1.339 51.05% 0.067 0.1161
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 311 45.31% 32.02 5.411 54.98% 0.305 0.4714
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1389 53.1% 34.31 -0.45 64.65% 0.059 -0.1347
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 65 36.92% 30.58 -4.923 55.38% -0.939 -0.953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 362 73.2% 30.4 0.553 51.66% -0.17 0.4548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 56.34% 23.32 9.372 39.44% 0.379 0.3949
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 139 52.52% 32.71 -2.524 60.43% -0.408 -0.843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 60.0% 21.43 -9.703 34.67% -0.716 -0.6935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 268 67.91% 29.43 -10.891 51.87% -0.907 -0.9944
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 191 65.97% 26.43 -3.838 41.88% -0.203 0.2057
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1244 46.85% 36.13 -5.1 68.97% -0.738 -0.6803
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 19 36.84% 35.47 0.917 73.68% 0.258 -0.2462
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 210 41.83% 28.22 -3.663 52.86% -0.429 -0.4659
Shifting Memory of Ages 735 64.67% 28.71 -5.029 52.93% -0.628 -0.2663
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 132 46.97% 26.69 -6.328 50.0% -0.642 -0.6589
Shroud of Silent Mist 818 70.66% 25.15 -1.85 42.67% -0.09 0.4338
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 23 47.83% 35.61 4.812 78.26% 1.337 0.9963
Starlight Seeks its Form 1048 50.72% 30.89 0.953 56.2% 0.154 -0.0446
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3262 37.04% 37.23 2.449 78.66% 0.921 0.3062
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 966 59.04% 31.24 1.481 56.42% 0.137 0.3703
Thunderspeaker 1135 53.26% 33.75 4.007 60.44% 0.742 0.725
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 143 41.96% 26.94 1.753 43.36% 0.159 0.3596
Towering Roots of the Jungle 288 48.24% 27.56 -2.709 51.39% -0.232 -0.0652
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1811 81.38% 28.96 0.161 55.94% 0.385 0.4349
Vital Strength of the Earth 644 54.74% 30.59 2.108 52.95% 0.337 0.8075
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 189 38.62% 25.81 -2.127 44.97% -0.148 0.2614
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 350 49.71% 25.83 -6.467 46.29% -0.73 -0.063
Volcano Looming High 1368 63.21% 30.55 -3.971 59.14% -0.427 -0.4431
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 376 44.53% 31.17 1.84 61.44% 0.237 -0.043

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 21.88% 26.09 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 445 44.24% 29.79 0.241 51.46% 0.156 0.3991
Dahan Insurrection 4 292 39.73% 53.9 10.261 67.81% -0.188 -0.1745
Despicable Theft 2 101 56.44% 25.42 0.0 35.64%
Elemental Invocation 1 174 57.47% 22.22 -5.433 32.76% -0.313 0.4403
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1125 12.97% 42.01 0.959 69.33% -0.386 -0.9826
Powers Long Forgotten 1 159 56.6% 30.36 0.0 45.28%
Rituals of Terror 3 83 62.65% 36.27 0.0 46.99%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 74 64.86% 34.08 0.0 43.24%
Second Wave 0 841 56.17% 34.38 1.898 56.12% -0.045 -0.0492
The Great River 3 65 20.0% 21.89 -6.607 15.38% -0.195 0.935
Varied Terrains 2 71 54.93% 15.66 0.308 12.68% 0.029 0.8093
Ward the Shores 2 183 57.92% 29.41 -0.355 37.16% -0.188 0.6812

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 17387 52.76% 32.9 -0.58 62.59% -0.355 -0.1508
1 Thematic 1209 52.57% 32.94 3.179 48.88% -0.046 0.5625
2 Archipelago 26 69.23% 29.23 0.0 34.62%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4183 54.84% 32.16 -1.079 61.97% -0.306 -0.2252
2 Coastline 489 51.13% 35.92 -0.565 70.76% -0.18 -0.2756
2 Fragment 112 63.64% 31.77 3.145 57.14% 0.324 0.2807
2 Heart 64 58.06% 30.16 0.0 56.25%
2 Opposite Shores 950 54.18% 32.98 -0.344 60.95% -0.413 -0.2813
2 Thematic 520 54.62% 30.39 5.327 46.35% 0.521 0.8794
2 Top to Top 131 46.51% 37.24 6.355 73.28% 0.766 0.6769
3 Archipelago 15 60.0% 28.6 0.0 33.33%
3 Coastline 20 21.05% 32.35 -6.607 55.0% -0.195 -0.3669
3 Other 89 59.55% 32.96 0.0 65.17%
3 Round (Default) 1839 53.36% 33.78 1.004 64.71% -0.004 0.0018
3 Sunrise 13 46.15% 32.69 0.0 61.54%
3 Thematic 86 56.98% 36.71 13.568 62.79% 1.04 0.6095
4 Archipelago 11 81.82% 36.27 0.0 45.45%
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 37.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Leaf 6 66.67% 24.17 0.0 33.33%
4 Other 71 59.15% 30.83 0.0 59.15%
4 Thematic 192 43.75% 42.77 -2.209 72.4% -0.32 -0.5218
4 Trapezoid (Default) 710 50.42% 37.15 2.023 73.66% 0.206 0.3957
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 95.0 0.0 100.0%
5 Other 66 55.38% 33.77 0.0 69.7%
5 Thematic 13 30.77% 32.85 -5.054 61.54% -0.311 0.0273
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 23.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 12 25.0% 33.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 16 56.25% 30.88 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 57 35.71% 35.04 -13.75 54.39% -0.381 -0.1324
6 Two Centers (Default) 77 31.17% 27.48 -13.771 48.05% -0.327 0.875
7 Other 4 25.0% 13.75 0.0 25.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 993 31.1 -1.522 53.58% -0.36 -0.2113
Aid From Lesser Spirits 788 34.16 -1.377 60.79% -0.776 -0.8892
All Things Weaken 1117 30.3 1.706 53.36% 0.156 0.5311
Attenuated Essence 191 26.74 -4.772 45.03% -0.855 -0.7293
Back Against the Wall 787 32.29 1.44 56.67% -0.01 0.0309
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 228 26.81 -0.29 45.61% -0.167 0.0386
Burn Brightest Before the End 159 31.52 -0.537 54.72% -0.309 -0.2644
Disintegrating Ecosystem 928 28.24 -2.124 52.8% -0.242 0.2558
Downward Spiral 1129 28.92 -1.28 51.55% -0.335 -0.0851
Erosion of Will 957 29.5 2.959 50.78% 0.269 0.5262
Intensifying Exploitation 184 23.96 -2.791 40.76% -0.32 -0.1011
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 471 35.96 0.545 70.91% 0.026 -0.3602
Memory Fades to Dust 1071 30.47 1.486 55.56% 0.303 0.5085
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1026 30.13 -0.414 54.19% -0.051 0.1468
Promising Farmlands 884 27.98 -2.058 49.32% -0.695 -0.3388
Shattered Fragments of Power 154 29.25 -1.271 47.4% -0.316 -0.0983
Slow Dissolution of Will 183 25.01 -1.948 37.7% -0.255 0.1749
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 299 36.82 0.127 74.58% -0.189 -0.8134
The Border of Life and Death 74 31.11 1.101 59.46% 0.047 -0.2732
Thriving Communities 1094 27.32 -0.89 47.26% -0.152 0.1678
Thriving Crops 85 26.38 11.511 49.41% 1.48 1.3615
Unnatural Proliferation 1101 31.5 0.086 54.86% -0.303 -0.213
Untended Land Crumbles 1082 28.76 -3.708 51.02% -0.755 -0.5298

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 5298 54.03% 32.54 0.129 62.0% -0.127 0.6723
B 5364 54.12% 32.67 -0.415 62.01% -0.344 0.3865
C 6050 50.24% 34.19 -1.046 66.53% -0.454 0.15
D 4960 55.34% 32.5 1.192 61.88% 0.026 0.7833
E 5110 52.05% 33.43 -1.725 63.84% -0.591 -0.0064
F 4691 53.34% 33.34 -0.286 63.65% -0.107 0.5953
G 4054 54.0% 33.0 1.679 62.6% 0.14 0.8974
H 3991 50.97% 33.56 -0.292 63.87% -0.248 0.3833
East 1332 51.02% 34.22 -0.895 52.63% -0.381 0.4027
Northeast 662 49.17% 32.77 3.949 48.49% 0.198 0.9599
Northwest 639 47.33% 33.49 2.886 51.8% 0.294 1.1366
Southeast 464 51.08% 35.86 -2.003 59.05% -0.475 0.1643
Southwest 439 48.74% 32.33 0.071 53.08% -0.122 0.9234
West 1295 50.04% 33.74 -0.563 52.43% -0.515 0.2606

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 111 0.0% 34.86 -7.632 67.57% -0.596 0.2781
Not Using Events or Tokens 86 45.57% 33.17 0.0 61.63%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 451 15.63% 48.13 -3.718 79.16% -0.83 -1.1214
Start of Game Growth 726 22.54% 44.66 -0.284 76.03% -0.123 -0.6799
Unlimited Undo 2320 43.38% 33.9 0.898 63.79% 0.187 0.2502
Using Tokens but Not Events 2329 44.94% 33.25 0.885 62.73% 0.141 0.0134

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6871 12.44 6.61%
II 11941 29.94 66.77%
III 6733 34.9 94.53%
IV 2837 38.84 99.68%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.21 Win Model: 0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 18775 52.64% 32.84 61.49%
2 6366 54.86% 32.75 61.88%
3 2046 53.49% 33.66 64.13%
4 966 50.1% 38.06 72.88%
5 64 52.38% 29.17 59.38%
6 165 33.54% 30.55 50.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 452
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6288
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7716
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2801
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3435
Lose: Invader deck ran out 84
Lose: Adversary condition 3774
Win: Sacrifice victory 98
Lose: Scenario condition 295
Win: Scenario condition 265
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2951
Lose: Spirit destroyed 223

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1680 50.21% 36.12 -3.141 61.9% -0.189 -0.2853
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 201 47.26% 35.99 -3.543 60.2% 0.091 -0.2346
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 6 16.67% 33.5 0.52 66.67% 0.135 -0.1262
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 121 39.67% 29.51 3.431 51.24% 0.678 -0.0428
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 884 74.6% 29.87 -0.237 44.0% -0.21 0.089
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 229 56.77% 37.69 3.262 66.81% 0.198 -0.3911
Dances Up Earthquakes 152 52.63% 24.84 -5.13 42.76% -0.306 -0.1239
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1383 60.03% 35.08 2.228 61.1% 0.394 0.2152
Downpour Drenches the World 788 50.0% 26.33 -2.783 40.61% -0.187 0.1725
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 986 49.59% 31.86 -0.437 54.67% -0.009 -0.4485
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1967 46.26% 39.32 -0.855 69.5% 0.036 -0.3137
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1385 54.66% 36.41 4.503 60.65% 0.488 0.0874
Finder of Paths Unseen 341 54.84% 21.0 -4.651 29.33% -0.341 0.7334
Fractured Days Split the Sky 711 50.63% 29.23 -4.787 43.46% -0.164 0.2917
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 963 64.59% 31.69 -3.733 52.86% -0.491 -0.5817
Heart of the Wildfire 1761 75.57% 30.52 1.453 49.01% 0.741 1.1719
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3195 53.91% 35.72 0.812 57.56% 0.484 0.0411
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 274 47.45% 31.91 7.748 51.82% 0.896 0.387
Lightning's Swift Strike 979 69.81% 32.87 7.43 50.36% 1.071 1.2336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 372 66.94% 37.07 0.904 63.98% 0.04 -0.6384
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 426 60.76% 35.96 0.0 60.8%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 421 55.82% 34.7 2.26 56.53% 0.128 -0.0181
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2328 68.29% 31.7 0.1 51.16% -0.273 -0.4504
Many Minds Move as One 1206 47.18% 39.53 2.396 71.31% 0.573 0.4384
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2238 56.67% 37.03 2.762 59.83% 0.581 0.5041
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 257 65.63% 25.44 0.772 41.25% 0.518 0.7094
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1495 60.56% 34.15 0.732 57.32% 0.147 0.0883
River Surges in Sunlight 1643 57.97% 39.49 -0.353 62.33% -0.247 -0.2026
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 110 64.55% 31.96 -3.129 45.45% -0.653 -0.4236
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 544 64.76% 29.96 -2.866 43.93% -0.147 -0.0975
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 439 50.69% 35.49 -6.083 49.43% -0.821 -0.6539
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1418 57.95% 33.7 -0.874 56.14% -0.038 -0.232
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 90 50.0% 30.86 0.687 52.22% 0.15 0.1354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 278 74.37% 28.51 -9.556 35.61% -0.653 -0.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 62.75% 24.27 29.575 37.25% 0.569 0.5843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 188 67.02% 30.03 -11.741 48.94% -0.237 -0.6722
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 68.18% 28.41 -14.39 38.64% -0.392 -0.3689
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 241 74.27% 29.14 6.141 44.81% 0.404 0.3166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 162 73.29% 25.2 -7.301 32.1% -0.337 0.0717
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1246 55.43% 36.27 -6.706 61.96% -0.747 -0.6897
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 15 33.33% 33.27 3.094 66.67% 0.55 0.0466
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 307 50.98% 29.08 -2.062 46.58% -0.129 -0.1662
Shifting Memory of Ages 682 69.41% 28.31 1.931 45.31% 0.347 0.7095
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 181 54.7% 32.46 -9.447 55.8% -1.017 -1.0344
Shroud of Silent Mist 870 73.36% 23.58 -5.136 33.1% -0.717 -0.1931
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 30 50.0% 17.7 -4.652 30.0% -0.475 -0.8153
Starlight Seeks its Form 1410 52.7% 31.31 3.816 50.64% 0.72 0.5211
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3807 49.91% 35.61 -0.721 66.75% 0.19 -0.4248
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 950 66.0% 31.55 -0.011 47.26% 0.051 0.2837
Thunderspeaker 1191 62.12% 34.46 -2.24 54.07% -0.267 -0.2839
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 156 51.92% 27.26 -0.136 46.15% 0.087 0.2873
Towering Roots of the Jungle 343 57.14% 24.22 -8.691 37.03% -1.134 -0.9677
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2156 84.76% 28.52 0.788 46.29% 0.419 0.4691
Vital Strength of the Earth 673 64.49% 26.43 -3.096 31.2% -0.066 0.4042
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 228 51.98% 27.82 -9.019 40.35% -0.91 -0.5003
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 288 63.89% 27.64 -6.642 40.63% -1.185 -0.5184
Volcano Looming High 1667 70.01% 31.67 0.778 53.87% 0.214 0.1975
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 472 58.9% 28.41 4.453 47.03% 1.09 0.8101

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 36.84% 37.95 0.0 47.37%
Blitz 0 453 30.68% 40.63 -9.122 45.47% -0.448 -0.2051
Dahan Insurrection 4 266 43.61% 54.83 9.119 60.9% 0.103 0.1168
Despicable Theft 2 38 55.26% 28.32 0.0 39.47%
Elemental Invocation 1 215 60.93% 26.09 -4.442 26.98% -0.49 0.2629
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1095 18.4% 42.66 3.155 62.47% 0.202 -0.3941
Powers Long Forgotten 1 172 54.65% 23.69 -6.201 29.07% -0.397 0.3507
Rituals of Terror 3 75 64.0% 35.53 0.0 37.33%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 70 61.43% 26.39 0.0 27.14%
Second Wave 0 492 55.76% 35.71 -1.664 52.85% -0.458 -0.4625
The Great River 3 82 30.49% 28.15 -14.961 26.83% -0.303 0.8263
Varied Terrains 2 47 29.79% 26.36 13.86 27.66% 0.334 1.1134
Ward the Shores 2 109 56.88% 24.29 0.0 21.1%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20260 60.55% 32.67 -0.431 54.81% 0.058 0.2623
1 Thematic 1204 58.14% 32.72 -2.353 42.61% -0.235 0.3739
2 Archipelago 53 56.6% 26.32 0.0 41.51%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4734 62.95% 32.48 2.049 55.2% 0.572 0.6522
2 Coastline 536 60.41% 36.23 -1.517 62.69% -0.296 -0.3915
2 Fragment 103 65.0% 29.72 -11.553 48.54% -0.608 -0.6509
2 Heart 71 69.12% 34.99 -0.692 61.97% 0.104 -0.3574
2 Opposite Shores 1075 58.24% 33.15 3.93 50.6% -0.079 0.053
2 Thematic 443 62.13% 28.75 -6.521 33.63% -0.892 -0.533
2 Top to Top 165 51.52% 36.91 9.727 64.85% 0.437 0.3486
3 Archipelago 7 85.71% 32.71 0.0 57.14%
3 Coastline 11 36.36% 32.73 24.01 45.45% 0.208 0.0359
3 Other 81 53.16% 37.38 8.22 71.6% 0.352 -0.0334
3 Round (Default) 2302 58.12% 32.51 -0.797 52.87% 0.528 0.5334
3 Sunrise 10 60.0% 29.2 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 107 67.29% 36.7 12.676 45.79% 0.848 0.417
4 Archipelago 15 66.67% 56.93 0.0 73.33%
4 Coastline 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Leaf 14 85.71% 37.79 0.0 64.29%
4 Other 55 48.08% 32.91 0.0 60.0%
4 Thematic 160 49.38% 40.85 -2.308 52.5% -0.098 -0.3002
4 Trapezoid (Default) 863 54.83% 36.42 -5.701 61.18% -0.781 -0.5911
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 71 57.14% 37.1 0.0 63.38%
5 Thematic 4 25.0% 12.25 0.0 25.0%
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 18 41.18% 41.17 0.0 61.11%
6 Star 13 61.54% 40.0 0.0 76.92%
6 Thematic 29 55.17% 39.55 -8.195 55.17% -0.101 0.147
6 Two Centers (Default) 58 39.66% 30.67 0.0 56.9%
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1209 30.78 -1.475 46.9% -0.44 -0.2912
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1059 34.5 -0.895 55.62% -0.141 -0.2537
All Things Weaken 1404 30.41 3.591 46.01% 0.554 0.9291
Attenuated Essence 293 31.5 2.778 49.83% 0.117 0.2425
Back Against the Wall 985 32.2 -1.588 49.14% -0.551 -0.5104
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 331 26.95 0.695 39.27% 0.182 0.3874
Burn Brightest Before the End 213 29.11 1.224 39.44% -0.197 -0.1526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1189 28.21 -2.854 44.24% -0.783 -0.2848
Downward Spiral 1444 30.33 -2.746 49.72% -0.29 -0.0399
Erosion of Will 1290 29.37 -1.281 43.88% -0.58 -0.3225
Intensifying Exploitation 279 24.18 -2.549 31.9% -0.645 -0.4263
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 615 35.6 -2.447 60.33% -0.011 -0.3969
Memory Fades to Dust 1383 30.51 -0.468 47.51% -0.041 0.1639
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1432 29.08 -0.532 44.55% -0.104 0.0937
Promising Farmlands 1191 29.35 0.033 45.34% -0.049 0.3067
Shattered Fragments of Power 221 31.35 3.15 44.34% 0.357 0.5747
Slow Dissolution of Will 300 27.12 -2.742 38.33% -0.493 -0.0631
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 379 38.24 7.076 70.18% 0.788 0.1642
The Border of Life and Death 77 34.23 -2.449 54.55% -0.446 -0.7656
Thriving Communities 1271 27.83 -1.484 40.28% -0.482 -0.1623
Thriving Crops 138 27.53 0.818 43.48% -0.096 -0.215
Unnatural Proliferation 1422 30.61 3.489 44.66% 0.323 0.413
Untended Land Crumbles 1405 29.18 2.565 44.34% 0.248 0.4733

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6250 59.09% 33.17 0.544 55.07% 0.071 0.8708
B 6242 58.6% 32.9 0.124 55.24% 0.007 0.7369
C 6835 60.36% 32.92 -0.145 54.44% 0.1 0.7044
D 5782 59.93% 32.75 -1.376 55.02% -0.172 0.5852
E 5787 61.18% 33.4 0.975 55.85% 0.319 0.9035
F 5356 59.27% 33.2 0.023 55.86% -0.081 0.6215
G 4712 59.76% 33.38 0.563 56.05% 0.222 0.979
H 4781 60.45% 33.42 1.133 56.01% -0.008 0.6236
East 1310 59.33% 34.05 -0.367 43.13% 0.013 0.7969
Northeast 584 58.49% 34.0 -6.894 40.24% -0.95 -0.1886
Northwest 496 58.18% 33.66 -0.564 40.12% 0.322 1.1641
Southeast 452 58.19% 33.21 5.658 43.81% 0.306 0.9456
Southwest 413 57.87% 29.02 -0.051 38.5% 0.363 1.408
West 1120 57.96% 31.77 -3.31 39.73% -0.528 0.2474

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 83 0.0% 39.12 3.358 69.88% 0.036 0.9096
Not Using Events or Tokens 123 57.72% 33.66 -8.04 48.78% -0.119 0.2576
Skip Initial Invader Actions 776 14.45% 55.49 7.344 74.74% 0.66 0.3682
Start of Game Growth 1065 18.32% 51.47 7.316 73.8% 0.431 -0.1257
Unlimited Undo 2695 50.04% 35.72 -0.881 59.04% -0.061 0.0023
Using Tokens but Not Events 2222 49.56% 33.42 3.023 55.67% 0.469 0.3419

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9037 12.44 3.35%
II 12814 29.94 57.72%
III 8538 34.9 91.73%
IV 2093 38.84 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.302 Win Model: -0.353
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 21628 60.31% 32.62 53.97%
2 7089 62.07% 32.9 54.39%
3 2496 58.5% 32.88 53.17%
4 1087 53.7% 36.96 60.07%
5 61 60.0% 32.57 52.46%
6 121 45.0% 36.22 61.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 302
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7738
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7209
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2071
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3981
Lose: Invader deck ran out 234
Lose: Adversary condition 6095
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 320
Win: Scenario condition 184
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3954
Lose: Spirit destroyed 284

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 931 67.71% 38.34 4.78 53.38% -0.042 -0.1386
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 149 57.72% 35.94 0.215 50.34% 0.176 -0.1496
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 19 57.89% 32.37 3.186 42.11% 0.68 0.4183
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 176 51.7% 34.82 5.045 51.14% 0.988 0.2676
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 465 85.16% 30.98 10.779 34.19% 0.27 0.5687
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 156 67.95% 29.06 -2.806 37.82% -0.102 -0.6912
Dances Up Earthquakes 158 70.89% 25.92 -0.203 29.11% -0.016 0.1655
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 744 84.68% 31.03 14.514 36.42% 0.427 0.2485
Downpour Drenches the World 412 60.92% 26.44 -10.674 32.77% -0.942 -0.5827
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 534 72.66% 31.87 -5.081 44.57% -0.751 -1.1901
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1019 68.41% 40.33 -0.175 55.15% -0.15 -0.4991
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 952 71.82% 38.41 2.011 50.74% 0.573 0.1725
Finder of Paths Unseen 226 61.95% 24.85 -9.277 30.53% -0.851 0.2238
Fractured Days Split the Sky 471 65.39% 35.76 0.348 42.68% 0.174 0.6294
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 526 78.9% 29.12 -5.872 35.55% -0.759 -0.8498
Heart of the Wildfire 2203 80.54% 33.52 -2.402 43.03% -0.344 0.0867
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1733 70.47% 36.47 2.484 46.91% 0.604 0.1611
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 141 60.99% 21.95 -3.034 23.4% -0.497 -1.0056
Lightning's Swift Strike 326 87.35% 29.04 -11.881 30.67% -0.63 -0.4669
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 305 68.65% 42.33 11.64 53.44% 0.518 -0.1611
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 253 88.54% 36.59 -4.093 47.04% -0.067 -0.4257
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 132 76.52% 34.61 0.0 45.45%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1774 73.79% 35.98 0.307 46.73% 0.359 0.1815
Many Minds Move as One 702 56.7% 41.63 2.275 61.4% 0.362 0.227
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 873 75.81% 29.86 -2.196 32.99% -0.391 -0.4676
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 191 71.2% 19.72 -4.131 22.51% -0.551 -0.3596
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 846 80.57% 33.83 -3.902 43.38% -0.295 -0.3538
River Surges in Sunlight 856 78.34% 39.02 0.327 48.25% 0.13 0.1745
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 46 71.74% 27.09 0.0 30.43%
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 223 78.03% 27.99 -8.846 26.46% -0.162 -0.1133
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 226 63.27% 39.13 4.319 52.65% 0.416 0.583
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 787 74.08% 37.27 -2.882 50.83% -0.204 -0.3976
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 39 58.97% 36.46 4.037 51.28% 0.253 0.2381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 186 76.88% 26.31 0.0 24.19%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 71.88% 32.69 0.0 37.5%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 153 70.59% 37.97 -13.895 52.29% -0.217 -0.6516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 72.5% 30.63 -0.09 42.5% -0.159 -0.136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 155 86.45% 35.72 -13.344 44.52% -0.376 -0.4627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 127 85.83% 32.69 -13.469 40.16% -0.283 0.126
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 561 70.23% 36.19 -13.251 45.99% -0.461 -0.4036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 19 63.16% 22.42 -1.666 26.32% -0.015 -0.519
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 155 52.9% 40.23 9.34 53.55% 0.316 0.2788
Shifting Memory of Ages 499 80.32% 31.43 0.873 39.48% 0.127 0.4889
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 110 70.0% 33.3 3.825 46.36% 0.445 0.4278
Shroud of Silent Mist 468 80.56% 29.8 -0.211 37.39% 0.075 0.5987
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 28 53.57% 21.43 -7.989 32.14% -0.844 -1.1847
Starlight Seeks its Form 982 71.18% 35.22 1.256 48.57% 0.057 -0.1416
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3304 56.74% 40.57 2.456 63.89% 0.743 0.1276
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 653 78.07% 32.66 -0.088 38.74% 0.285 0.5182
Thunderspeaker 587 81.68% 34.41 -14.544 41.23% -0.294 -0.3116
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 71.05% 19.79 0.0 21.05%
Towering Roots of the Jungle 305 60.66% 25.96 -0.953 33.44% 0.011 0.1776
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2384 89.43% 32.21 -0.135 41.11% 0.217 0.2674
Vital Strength of the Earth 277 79.42% 26.68 2.792 22.38% 0.302 0.7717
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 135 70.68% 30.34 -1.709 33.33% 0.144 0.5535
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 166 77.11% 27.25 -6.948 27.11% -0.394 0.2726
Volcano Looming High 1203 83.54% 30.68 -5.87 38.57% -0.671 -0.6872
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 341 66.86% 32.87 16.859 46.63% 1.601 1.321

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 21.44 0.0 33.33%
Blitz 0 126 59.52% 31.0 0.0 38.89%
Dahan Insurrection 4 65 63.08% 49.14 0.0 40.0%
Despicable Theft 2 50 60.0% 24.12 -12.819 20.0% -0.192 0.5737
Elemental Invocation 1 73 52.05% 24.11 0.0 20.55%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 702 26.21% 48.6 6.868 59.54% 0.738 0.1417
Powers Long Forgotten 1 73 67.12% 25.55 -8.846 23.29% -0.162 0.5855
Rituals of Terror 3 34 52.94% 42.09 0.0 44.12%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 33 90.91% 37.85 0.0 33.33%
Second Wave 0 309 68.09% 37.7 -4.292 44.01% -0.062 -0.0668
The Great River 3 17 41.18% 26.41 0.0 5.88%
Varied Terrains 2 28 64.29% 18.86 -3.993 14.29% -0.386 0.3941
Ward the Shores 2 65 73.85% 25.75 1.658 16.92% -0.106 0.7637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 14032 74.14% 34.44 -0.783 46.09% -0.464 -0.2599
1 Thematic 519 63.71% 31.16 2.58 32.95% -0.103 0.506
2 Archipelago 11 63.64% 28.45 0.0 36.36%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3179 77.07% 34.68 1.607 46.08% 0.189 0.2699
2 Coastline 359 78.27% 34.96 3.331 47.08% 0.643 0.5474
2 Fragment 63 76.19% 34.71 12.579 44.44% 0.943 0.9003
2 Heart 39 87.18% 35.9 -0.027 51.28% -0.131 -0.592
2 Opposite Shores 574 73.38% 32.93 3.319 40.24% 0.054 0.1856
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Thematic 238 65.55% 28.66 -3.988 28.15% -0.314 0.0449
2 Top to Top 133 90.23% 35.24 -1.542 45.11% -0.337 -0.426
3 Coastline 3 33.33% 54.67 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 53 79.25% 43.98 11.268 69.81% 0.444 0.0583
3 Round (Default) 1472 74.06% 32.82 -2.005 43.89% -0.546 -0.5404
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 7.33 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 43 65.12% 30.51 0.0 30.23%
4 Leaf 7 100.0% 36.43 0.0 57.14%
4 Other 22 72.73% 42.5 0.0 68.18%
4 Thematic 131 57.25% 44.73 0.0 51.91%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 416 75.97% 35.89 -3.069 45.19% -0.302 -0.1119
5 Other 22 57.14% 35.55 0.0 50.0%
5 Thematic 4 50.0% 20.0 0.0 25.0%
6 Other 9 66.67% 20.33 0.0 22.22%
6 Star 15 33.33% 27.2 0.0 33.33%
6 Thematic 58 13.79% 61.17 2.287 70.69% 0.021 0.2697
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 53.85% 24.08 -1.013 33.33% -0.104 1.0972

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 1072 34.82 8.875 43.84% 1.126 1.2747
Aid From Lesser Spirits 840 39.07 -0.132 51.9% -0.298 -0.411
All Things Weaken 1185 33.61 -2.228 39.24% -0.277 0.0981
Attenuated Essence 207 32.19 -4.454 41.06% -0.618 -0.4926
Back Against the Wall 828 38.54 1.308 49.28% -0.145 -0.1044
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 242 33.21 -1.613 43.39% -0.354 -0.148
Burn Brightest Before the End 169 34.08 -2.664 42.01% -0.946 -0.9011
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1062 33.33 6.715 43.13% 1.095 1.5925
Downward Spiral 1108 33.93 5.7 43.59% 0.657 0.9067
Erosion of Will 1021 35.33 3.602 42.9% 0.657 0.9146
Intensifying Exploitation 246 29.77 1.179 35.37% 0.261 0.4802
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 376 38.21 -9.951 52.66% -0.583 -0.9688
Memory Fades to Dust 1204 34.22 1.407 43.52% 0.718 0.9233
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1121 34.15 -1.573 43.09% -0.357 -0.1592
Promising Farmlands 1011 32.69 4.492 38.77% 0.596 0.9525
Shattered Fragments of Power 181 33.13 -1.49 41.44% -0.549 -0.3313
Slow Dissolution of Will 206 29.59 -0.273 31.07% -0.228 0.2018
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 232 43.56 3.776 63.36% 0.343 -0.2816
The Border of Life and Death 49 30.27 0.0 42.86%
Thriving Communities 1117 32.75 -1.092 41.18% -0.056 0.2631
Thriving Crops 91 31.57 2.048 43.96% 0.221 0.1027
Unnatural Proliferation 1178 36.25 5.074 44.57% 0.247 0.3368
Untended Land Crumbles 1129 32.46 4.478 38.44% 0.397 0.6225

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3824 74.34% 33.41 -0.201 44.19% 0.042 0.8415
B 4257 74.22% 34.89 -0.454 47.15% -0.126 0.6045
C 4661 74.32% 34.51 -2.663 46.11% -0.39 0.2146
D 3598 77.03% 33.83 2.397 44.58% 0.536 1.2925
E 3687 76.16% 34.08 2.551 45.1% 0.633 1.2177
F 3647 74.01% 34.4 -2.712 46.07% -0.422 0.2804
G 2991 73.98% 33.91 0.328 44.07% 0.083 0.8406
H 2985 74.08% 34.74 -0.777 46.53% -0.239 0.3924
East 712 58.57% 35.45 -0.119 37.5% -0.346 0.4374
Northeast 338 52.37% 38.54 1.78 41.72% 0.07 0.8311
Northwest 282 51.96% 38.78 2.287 41.84% 0.021 0.8635
Southeast 297 49.49% 39.58 5.491 45.45% 0.147 0.7864
Southwest 265 52.08% 39.39 -1.939 44.91% -0.153 0.8918
West 625 59.46% 34.77 -4.402 36.32% -0.341 0.4351

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 26 0.0% 36.77 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 86 67.44% 27.76 0.0 36.05%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 224 42.79% 49.75 11.142 68.3% 0.495 0.2033
Start of Game Growth 502 44.02% 48.46 4.346 65.54% 0.194 -0.3625
Unlimited Undo 2112 68.34% 35.54 0.65 50.71% 0.41 0.4737
Using Tokens but Not Events 974 68.67% 32.01 1.216 41.68% 0.602 0.4745

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7267 12.44 2.41%
II 8034 29.94 48.21%
III 4844 34.9 90.36%
IV 1316 38.84 99.85%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.062 Win Model: -0.216
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 14619 73.71% 34.31 45.59%
2 4576 76.71% 34.34 44.78%
3 1553 73.74% 32.92 44.11%
4 572 72.36% 38.17 47.55%
5 24 52.17% 26.38 29.17%
6 117 31.62% 42.63 52.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 175
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4324
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3804
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1289
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2855
Lose: Invader deck ran out 104
Lose: Adversary condition 4481
Win: Sacrifice victory 110
Lose: Scenario condition 192
Win: Scenario condition 37
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3793
Lose: Spirit destroyed 296

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 458 70.02% 40.35 -2.217 48.47% -0.044 -0.1398
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 66 59.09% 35.26 1.203 45.45% 0.054 -0.2713
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 7 28.57% 21.86 -5.891 28.57% -0.319 -0.5804
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 38 60.53% 46.76 7.475 68.42% 1.261 0.5401
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 176 84.09% 32.34 -9.044 32.39% -0.243 0.0554
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 67 62.69% 32.54 0.0 40.3%
Dances Up Earthquakes 42 57.14% 28.52 -3.55 35.71% -0.447 -0.2649
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 328 84.15% 29.78 -0.318 27.13% -0.062 -0.2409
Downpour Drenches the World 183 65.57% 27.36 8.394 26.78% 0.374 0.7335
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 284 77.11% 32.47 -1.755 44.37% -0.157 -0.5967
Eyes Watch From the Trees 383 66.84% 38.97 -12.412 45.95% -0.471 -0.8207
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 356 83.71% 32.91 -1.096 33.99% -0.221 -0.6215
Finder of Paths Unseen 88 42.05% 23.39 0.0 30.68%
Fractured Days Split the Sky 208 69.23% 39.42 0.0 41.83%
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 247 82.59% 26.23 -2.776 24.7% -0.146 -0.2366
Heart of the Wildfire 1028 84.31% 28.43 -10.098 27.33% -0.64 -0.2091
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 967 71.25% 36.15 6.858 39.81% 0.33 -0.1127
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 30 73.33% 28.5 0.0 33.33%
Lightning's Swift Strike 136 88.97% 30.93 0.0 26.47%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 115 76.32% 38.47 -1.875 46.96% 0.161 -0.5176
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 92 91.3% 33.34 0.0 36.96%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 71 80.28% 29.18 -2.031 22.54% -0.173 -0.3191
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 766 84.07% 34.67 7.015 39.82% 0.715 0.5383
Many Minds Move as One 283 65.37% 45.94 -1.696 62.19% -0.27 -0.4047
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 445 76.18% 33.06 1.795 34.61% 0.294 0.2169
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 72 73.61% 27.64 -3.2 33.33% -0.211 -0.019
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 342 78.07% 33.66 -5.108 37.13% -0.304 -0.3636
River Surges in Sunlight 367 82.02% 38.09 0.867 38.69% 0.34 0.3847
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 33 90.91% 28.58 -5.4 21.21% -0.231 -0.0012
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 83 80.72% 33.57 -4.829 27.71% -0.131 -0.0818
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 136 65.44% 42.63 8.972 51.47% 0.544 0.7107
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 419 75.18% 39.82 -1.75 46.54% 0.125 -0.0686
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 21 47.62% 33.81 0.0 47.62%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 107 91.59% 26.25 -7.546 8.41% -0.06 0.5644
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 21 90.48% 35.86 0.0 33.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 60 76.27% 32.72 18.93 38.33% 0.572 0.1375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 50.0% 17.71 0.0 20.83%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 54 81.48% 29.19 -9.878 25.93% -0.401 -0.4884
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 54 85.19% 27.43 -12.333 16.67% -0.261 0.1475
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 177 79.1% 33.58 0.0 32.77%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 5 40.0% 53.2 7.751 80.0% 0.639 0.1354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 67 70.15% 28.27 0.0 34.33%
Shifting Memory of Ages 217 82.49% 33.06 -16.511 33.18% -0.291 0.071
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 50 70.0% 43.68 1.9 62.0% 0.169 0.152
Shroud of Silent Mist 188 79.26% 25.6 0.0 21.81%
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 2 100.0% 56.5 4.873 100.0% 0.317 -0.0229
Starlight Seeks its Form 363 75.76% 37.53 10.494 46.28% 0.346 0.1476
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1571 60.66% 40.46 1.9 55.82% 0.653 0.0382
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 263 79.09% 30.27 -4.39 26.24% -0.603 -0.3699
Thunderspeaker 225 86.67% 32.29 -2.047 29.78% -0.088 -0.1055
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 45 80.0% 27.67 0.0 31.11%
Towering Roots of the Jungle 171 66.67% 22.61 -7.139 28.07% -0.212 -0.0455
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 842 90.5% 32.99 -1.472 36.82% -0.073 -0.0225
Vital Strength of the Earth 117 77.78% 29.04 -5.95 22.22% -0.479 -0.0091
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 53 51.92% 32.81 1.203 33.96% 0.054 0.4635
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 64 71.88% 23.19 0.0 18.75%
Volcano Looming High 549 84.88% 30.44 -5.274 28.96% -0.869 -0.8859
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 107 67.29% 33.44 1.347 42.99% 0.473 0.193

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 66 54.55% 25.05 2.716 22.73% -0.173 0.0699
Dahan Insurrection 4 59 76.27% 40.51 -9.294 11.86% -0.186 -0.173
Despicable Theft 2 14 64.29% 31.86 0.0 28.57%
Elemental Invocation 1 66 45.45% 19.77 -0.181 12.12% -0.195 0.5576
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 278 28.06% 40.56 0.0 38.85%
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 59.18% 20.22 -7.693 14.29% -0.374 0.3737
Rituals of Terror 3 25 72.0% 39.4 0.0 16.0%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 183 87.43% 24.69 0.0 1.64%
Second Wave 0 111 59.09% 39.57 10.909 44.14% 0.638 0.6334
The Great River 3 8 25.0% 11.25 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 16 50.0% 21.69 0.0 12.5%
Ward the Shores 2 22 45.45% 21.91 0.0 18.18%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6459 75.92% 33.75 1.059 39.02% 0.814 1.018
1 Thematic 602 71.71% 26.94 -0.167 13.12% -0.138 0.4713
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1298 81.9% 34.46 0.122 38.29% 0.163 0.2433
2 Coastline 162 74.07% 35.27 10.663 43.21% 0.433 0.3383
2 Fragment 16 93.75% 36.69 2.138 43.75% -0.029 -0.0715
2 Heart 22 68.18% 43.77 -3.73 50.0% -0.186 -0.6473
2 Opposite Shores 196 75.0% 35.94 -17.735 37.76% -0.665 -0.5334
2 Thematic 81 56.79% 24.49 -3.091 11.11% -0.197 0.1619
2 Top to Top 83 86.75% 35.94 -0.664 39.76% -0.327 -0.4163
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 64.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 39.0 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 21 71.43% 45.81 0.0 66.67%
3 Round (Default) 506 73.27% 36.86 -6.792 44.86% -0.509 -0.5037
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 23 43.48% 18.74 -0.318 17.39% -0.062 -0.4931
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 70.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 13.33 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 11 72.73% 51.18 20.437 72.73% 0.556 -0.2871
4 Thematic 53 64.15% 46.21 4.323 47.17% 0.183 -0.0191
4 Trapezoid (Default) 198 79.29% 35.46 -4.917 38.38% -0.104 0.0862
5 Other 16 87.5% 32.44 0.0 37.5%
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 5 80.0% 27.0 0.0 40.0%
6 Star 2 100.0% 41.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 33.11 0.0 22.22%
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 52.94% 31.65 1.203 47.06% 0.054 1.2558
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 519 34.41 3.317 34.3% 0.332 0.4806
Aid From Lesser Spirits 381 40.01 -2.871 45.93% -0.218 -0.3308
All Things Weaken 523 33.68 3.331 33.46% 0.059 0.4336
Attenuated Essence 121 30.36 -3.017 33.06% -0.1 0.0255
Back Against the Wall 384 36.68 0.548 37.24% -0.184 -0.1429
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 138 28.81 -0.604 31.16% 0.254 0.4595
Burn Brightest Before the End 86 36.27 -3.565 41.86% -0.516 -0.4713
Disintegrating Ecosystem 470 33.74 -1.047 37.02% 0.065 0.5629
Downward Spiral 544 32.48 6.831 32.17% 0.735 0.9847
Erosion of Will 501 32.53 -1.136 30.94% -0.188 0.0699
Intensifying Exploitation 119 30.46 -6.301 33.61% -0.933 -0.7135
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 120 41.13 10.926 49.17% 0.202 -0.1836
Memory Fades to Dust 526 33.6 3.649 35.17% 0.549 0.7544
Power Corrodes the Spirit 551 33.63 1.244 33.76% 0.392 0.5901
Promising Farmlands 480 32.73 4.998 33.33% 0.274 0.6304
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 39.52 -3.33 46.75% -0.487 -0.2699
Slow Dissolution of Will 109 30.79 4.194 33.03% 0.331 0.7609
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 93 44.2 0.0 59.14%
The Border of Life and Death 18 32.33 0.0 44.44%
Thriving Communities 555 32.86 11.927 34.23% 0.956 1.2752
Thriving Crops 27 30.78 -15.281 40.74% -0.345 -0.4641
Unnatural Proliferation 525 35.18 3.997 35.05% 0.702 0.7919
Untended Land Crumbles 582 32.87 0.452 32.13% -0.191 0.0337

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1594 77.89% 33.53 -8.293 38.21% -1.071 -0.2711
B 1790 76.82% 35.01 5.97 40.56% 0.869 1.5991
C 1862 77.38% 35.95 1.544 42.53% 0.505 1.1098
D 1500 78.2% 33.99 -5.495 38.8% -1.055 -0.2985
E 1688 77.49% 34.33 0.957 39.51% 0.452 1.0368
F 1620 74.91% 33.49 -1.802 38.7% -0.048 0.6542
G 1332 76.13% 35.53 2.121 40.99% 0.361 1.1183
H 1327 77.17% 34.93 1.469 39.71% 0.186 0.8171
East 356 57.58% 30.51 5.072 23.6% 0.497 1.2803
Northeast 143 65.03% 30.36 0.62 22.38% -0.014 0.7481
Northwest 198 72.08% 28.57 -0.139 15.15% 0.03 0.8719
Southeast 175 53.14% 29.73 -0.318 24.0% -0.062 0.5772
Southwest 268 75.0% 26.43 -0.318 11.19% -0.062 0.9831
West 530 72.78% 27.48 -1.685 12.83% -0.373 0.4023

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4 0.0% 27.25 0.0 25.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 39 69.23% 35.56 0.0 38.46%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 110 51.85% 54.78 14.259 73.64% 0.754 0.4623
Start of Game Growth 180 53.37% 48.81 3.715 63.33% 0.606 0.0492
Unlimited Undo 851 64.94% 39.58 5.223 53.11% 1.202 1.2661
Using Tokens but Not Events 552 68.07% 35.14 3.336 39.67% -0.09 -0.2169

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3237 12.44 0.9%
II 3803 29.94 29.45%
III 2087 34.9 89.17%
IV 673 38.84 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.118 Win Model: 0.015
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7113 75.36% 33.18 36.79%
2 1829 80.1% 34.49 37.89%
3 548 72.76% 36.98 45.26%
4 265 75.47% 37.51 41.13%
5 12 83.33% 29.83 25.0%
6 33 54.55% 29.18 39.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 28
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1837
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1097
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 663
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1404
Lose: Invader deck ran out 48
Lose: Adversary condition 2263
Win: Sacrifice victory 47
Lose: Scenario condition 120
Win: Scenario condition 11
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2158
Lose: Spirit destroyed 124

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 2821 61.06% 37.63 -1.843 36.8% -0.182 -0.2786
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 682 39.74% 31.73 5.779 34.75% 1.402 1.0767
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 41 85.37% 30.1 -0.903 26.83% -0.169 -0.431
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 339 64.5% 33.59 2.158 38.35% 0.635 -0.086
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1088 83.09% 30.24 -7.784 19.58% -0.698 -0.3992
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 626 66.13% 33.15 -4.443 36.1% -0.096 -0.6851
Dances Up Earthquakes 412 70.15% 27.42 -2.866 28.16% 0.065 0.2463
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1458 79.19% 24.64 -4.636 14.95% -0.027 -0.2052
Downpour Drenches the World 1202 58.95% 26.79 -1.948 22.8% -0.155 0.2045
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1570 74.43% 25.23 0.313 24.01% 0.304 -0.1357
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2209 77.76% 33.17 -5.59 28.93% -0.418 -0.7677
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1742 80.2% 29.87 -0.065 22.39% 0.42 0.0198
Finder of Paths Unseen 791 55.12% 26.29 -1.289 25.66% -0.239 0.8351
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2000 55.65% 36.91 -1.609 32.5% -0.631 -0.1755
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1324 80.44% 25.17 -3.352 16.09% -0.093 -0.1837
Heart of the Wildfire 5316 81.99% 29.3 -5.476 23.57% -0.984 -0.5527
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5275 70.54% 38.25 1.429 38.22% 0.606 0.1637
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 342 67.54% 23.01 -4.358 17.54% -0.205 -0.7134
Lightning's Swift Strike 1188 88.11% 26.21 -5.965 12.12% -0.125 0.0381
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1642 72.39% 28.03 -0.079 19.98% 0.153 -0.5261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 648 84.65% 32.86 -1.493 29.17% -0.218 -0.5773
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 572 65.85% 34.02 6.655 31.99% 0.768 0.6219
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4358 80.45% 30.93 -2.821 24.55% -0.627 -0.804
Many Minds Move as One 1819 64.96% 45.97 4.624 53.38% 0.969 0.834
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1821 76.31% 30.39 -3.512 24.93% -0.292 -0.3685
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 590 69.66% 19.37 -4.817 14.07% -0.996 -0.8041
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1598 81.05% 32.12 -2.991 27.03% 0.151 0.0924
River Surges in Sunlight 2406 81.61% 39.55 0.877 35.25% 0.159 0.204
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 239 60.67% 22.79 -5.697 16.74% -0.353 -0.1235
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 525 63.24% 37.33 -7.471 27.81% -0.887 -0.8383
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 758 68.66% 32.5 -1.058 28.5% -0.304 -0.1376
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2917 59.43% 43.97 -1.377 46.93% -0.034 -0.2279
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 149 60.4% 32.99 2.431 38.93% 0.804 0.7893
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 514 75.1% 33.63 8.063 21.01% 0.694 1.3182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 121 73.55% 21.7 0.0 12.4%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 440 72.77% 33.45 -3.142 36.36% -0.067 -0.5018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 147 78.91% 24.65 -12.656 14.97% -0.381 -0.3585
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 273 76.19% 30.79 19.246 19.41% 0.676 0.5887
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 359 80.78% 26.55 -6.91 13.65% -0.353 0.0562
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1390 73.02% 34.27 -5.018 30.14% -0.305 -0.247
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 39 87.18% 28.51 -1.427 28.21% -0.055 -0.5591
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 429 71.79% 26.71 -6.458 26.81% -0.759 -0.7961
Shifting Memory of Ages 1291 67.39% 33.78 -2.312 29.05% -0.319 0.0431
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 356 52.53% 33.33 8.864 33.71% 1.539 1.5214
Shroud of Silent Mist 969 81.32% 26.5 -9.223 18.37% -0.338 0.1859
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 55 80.0% 39.64 5.604 47.27% 1.01 0.6699
Starlight Seeks its Form 2900 66.66% 37.13 1.262 38.93% 0.625 0.4268
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 16971 48.11% 44.59 6.336 56.42% 1.664 1.0491
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1266 81.98% 31.38 -4.539 23.22% -0.409 -0.1754
Thunderspeaker 1506 73.71% 28.25 -4.911 17.13% -0.748 -0.7652
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 253 66.8% 17.76 -10.226 8.3% -0.062 0.138
Towering Roots of the Jungle 811 61.65% 24.03 -5.497 24.04% -0.082 0.0844
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 6489 89.78% 31.98 -2.113 28.19% -0.228 -0.1781
Vital Strength of the Earth 570 73.86% 25.86 -4.549 13.86% -0.118 0.352
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 493 52.54% 16.9 8.638 14.0% 0.604 1.0136
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 503 75.15% 27.05 -5.186 17.5% -0.699 -0.0323
Volcano Looming High 3422 80.37% 30.04 -2.795 23.44% 0.287 0.2709
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 839 71.96% 26.77 -4.267 25.63% -0.822 -1.1018

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 62.5% 48.63 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 531 43.79% 40.98 -3.124 38.61% -0.625 -0.3813
Dahan Insurrection 4 338 59.94% 40.72 -0.882 17.46% -0.425 -0.4111
Despicable Theft 2 34 76.47% 29.59 0.0 14.71%
Elemental Invocation 1 169 61.45% 30.14 -2.821 16.57% -0.472 0.2808
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3444 27.93% 47.01 3.885 42.89% 0.008 -0.5886
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 50.0% 41.89 0.0 47.32%
Rituals of Terror 3 273 22.79% 75.66 49.043 42.86% 0.454 0.9327
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 65.63% 38.22 -2.369 18.75% -0.291 0.3964
Second Wave 0 167 53.89% 39.62 -5.2 35.93% -0.568 -0.5724
The Great River 3 54 53.7% 30.57 -16.361 5.56% -0.228 0.9012
Varied Terrains 2 54 48.15% 35.7 0.0 29.63%
Ward the Shores 2 45 82.22% 27.78 0.0 6.67%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 57293 71.35% 34.37 0.718 34.34% 0.145 0.3486
1 Thematic 1824 49.56% 35.22 0.526 28.29% -0.669 -0.0605
2 Archipelago 24 54.55% 29.79 0.0 12.5%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5589 77.78% 33.55 -2.53 32.46% -0.91 -0.8301
2 Coastline 1047 67.82% 34.5 9.737 33.52% 0.943 0.8484
2 Fragment 79 86.08% 35.84 6.272 30.38% -0.165 -0.208
2 Heart 151 79.47% 37.46 0.0 34.44%
2 Opposite Shores 1515 77.15% 30.37 -3.078 21.98% -0.031 0.1005
2 Thematic 313 48.24% 45.92 -4.22 24.28% -0.025 0.3333
2 Top to Top 289 72.32% 36.52 4.289 38.41% 0.263 0.1739
3 Archipelago 10 50.0% 47.7 0.0 10.0%
3 Coastline 25 48.0% 27.0 24.854 32.0% 0.815 0.6431
3 Other 84 70.24% 35.86 0.0 39.29%
3 Round (Default) 2415 67.99% 31.13 0.253 29.44% -0.25 -0.2443
3 Sunrise 6 50.0% 41.67 0.0 50.0%
3 Thematic 112 19.64% 75.1 -14.08 41.07% -0.172 -0.6032
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 13.75 0.0 0.0%
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 67.67 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 24.0 0.0 16.67%
4 Other 36 75.0% 49.61 0.0 61.11%
4 Thematic 194 25.77% 64.0 0.0 62.89%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1106 66.91% 32.06 -2.508 26.85% -0.809 -0.6191
5 Coastline 11 9.09% 50.45 0.0 72.73%
5 Other 42 57.14% 43.0 0.0 50.0%
5 Thematic 12 25.0% 68.83 0.0 66.67%
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 27.75 -2.242 25.0% -0.009 -0.6619
6 Coastline 7 71.43% 47.71 0.0 71.43%
6 Other 30 56.67% 27.43 17.776 26.67% 0.507 0.4684
6 Star 13 61.54% 36.0 0.0 38.46%
6 Thematic 85 22.35% 44.91 12.393 47.06% 0.084 0.3319
6 Two Centers (Default) 281 19.93% 46.06 -2.787 45.55% -0.549 0.6526
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 3496 34.72 0.075 30.12% -0.124 0.0245
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2711 40.14 4.918 39.58% 0.761 0.6484
All Things Weaken 3692 34.13 3.05 29.39% 0.477 0.8522
Attenuated Essence 880 29.24 2.53 26.02% 0.486 0.6116
Back Against the Wall 2497 38.79 6.113 37.0% 0.713 0.7545
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 855 29.13 0.721 24.44% 0.065 0.2707
Burn Brightest Before the End 587 32.22 3.058 27.09% 0.345 0.3897
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3395 32.34 2.846 28.72% 0.351 0.8484
Downward Spiral 3700 33.58 1.935 29.89% 0.269 0.5196
Erosion of Will 3256 33.07 1.614 26.97% 0.087 0.3445
Intensifying Exploitation 886 28.17 3.048 24.38% 0.658 0.8775
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1046 38.74 0.826 40.73% 0.191 -0.195
Memory Fades to Dust 3733 32.79 3.748 26.92% 0.395 0.5999
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3517 32.82 1.422 27.75% 0.205 0.4028
Promising Farmlands 3428 31.56 1.392 25.38% 0.078 0.4339
Shattered Fragments of Power 607 31.65 2.291 26.85% 0.194 0.4113
Slow Dissolution of Will 947 27.8 0.309 21.12% -0.173 0.2561
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 649 43.01 -1.059 50.39% -0.093 -0.7169
The Border of Life and Death 176 27.84 2.047 28.98% 0.196 -0.1238
Thriving Communities 3597 32.67 1.663 27.5% 0.092 0.4116
Thriving Crops 347 27.93 2.625 29.39% 0.289 0.1706
Unnatural Proliferation 3809 35.9 2.399 31.08% 0.075 0.1646
Untended Land Crumbles 3472 31.9 3.621 25.52% 0.531 0.7561

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 11555 70.16% 34.27 1.361 33.83% 0.053 0.8523
B 12446 70.45% 33.78 0.086 32.53% -0.136 0.5948
C 14857 71.67% 33.82 0.588 32.66% -0.2 0.4048
D 10587 72.72% 33.18 -1.17 31.87% -0.22 0.537
E 11991 72.7% 33.21 -1.632 31.75% -0.41 0.1745
F 10694 69.01% 34.95 -0.302 34.35% -0.248 0.4541
G 8612 69.55% 33.95 -0.118 33.65% -0.187 0.5701
H 8546 68.55% 34.8 -0.592 34.82% -0.149 0.4826
East 1508 40.45% 48.11 4.839 35.61% 0.243 1.0268
Northeast 689 36.72% 54.12 1.019 39.62% -0.675 0.0868
Northwest 727 37.03% 31.87 -10.611 25.31% -0.512 0.33
Southeast 605 31.74% 44.38 1.496 38.35% 0.099 0.738
Southwest 454 42.07% 41.83 12.393 40.75% 0.084 1.1289
West 1400 39.1% 41.12 0.436 33.14% 0.026 0.8016

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 49 0.0% 32.59 -3.216 38.78% -0.279 0.5948
Not Using Events or Tokens 253 69.17% 28.68 0.0 9.88%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2479 20.87% 61.32 10.63 72.57% 1.448 1.1571
Start of Game Growth 3708 24.7% 57.46 8.629 69.5% 0.812 0.2552
Unlimited Undo 7067 58.21% 44.89 2.184 54.73% 0.604 0.6679
Using Tokens but Not Events 3487 54.28% 34.9 -3.595 34.99% -0.677 -0.804

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34376 12.44 2.41%
II 25463 29.94 46.18%
III 10070 34.9 90.65%
IV 2767 38.84 99.82%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.118 Win Model: 0.058
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 59509 70.56% 34.51 34.27%
2 8802 75.76% 33.72 30.4%
3 2579 66.89% 31.81 29.74%
4 1330 61.34% 36.27 32.93%
5 32 43.75% 37.5 37.5%
6 424 24.53% 43.9 44.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 802
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8988
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11509
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2641
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12080
Lose: Invader deck ran out 449
Lose: Adversary condition 18917
Win: Sacrifice victory 478
Lose: Scenario condition 1257
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14383
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1111

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)