The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 32.5 2.927 83.33% 0.206 0.7019
Blitz 0 192 33.51% 27.73 -0.212 78.65% -0.044 0.3987
Dahan Insurrection 4 298 24.5% 47.84 3.429 72.82% -0.533 -0.436
Despicable Theft 2 83 39.76% 36.08 1.561 77.11% -0.419 0.0796
Elemental Invocation 1 119 51.26% 28.76 0.067 68.91% -0.082 0.464
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 682 10.12% 33.87 2.232 79.33% -0.343 -0.1115
Powers Long Forgotten 1 167 52.73% 31.95 -1.145 71.86% -0.42 -0.012
Rituals of Terror 3 159 59.12% 35.47 4.36 58.49% -0.429 -0.6648
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 128 73.44% 36.65 3.149 66.41% -0.458 -0.2319
Second Wave 0 369 46.61% 31.88 -0.756 74.8% -0.896 -0.2032
The Great River 3 94 67.02% 27.86 0.0 40.43%
Varied Terrains 2 26 69.23% 34.31 0.421 61.54% -0.853 -0.0664
Ward the Shores 2 218 43.12% 33.6 0.406 64.22% -1.002 -0.1214

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 450 23.06 -3.632 63.11% -1.341 0.6298
Aid From Lesser Spirits 378 24.25 -3.777 64.02% -1.267 0.5107
All Things Weaken 529 21.99 -3.69 56.9% -1.427 0.6214
Back Against the Wall 424 25.15 -0.36 65.09% -0.293 1.6464
Disintegrating Ecosystem 445 21.37 -5.329 59.1% -1.595 0.5334
Downward Spiral 605 22.04 -3.621 62.48% -1.592 0.3694
Erosion of Will 497 23.47 -4.374 60.56% -1.691 0.3905
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 256 27.57 -1.266 82.42% -0.738 -0.2363
Memory Fades to Dust 575 23.18 -3.662 62.26% -1.546 0.5953
Power Corrodes the Spirit 547 22.92 -4.394 64.35% -1.624 0.3566
Promising Farmlands 461 22.82 -4.709 62.04% -1.886 0.1352
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 177 29.06 -1.807 89.83% -0.211 0.2858
Thriving Communities 537 21.55 -4.513 60.52% -1.622 0.4375
Unnatural Proliferation 513 22.09 -4.269 52.83% -1.856 0.1005
Untended Land Crumbles 513 21.76 -4.453 58.87% -1.801 0.2324

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3109 38.59% 29.17 -0.038 83.92% 0.041 0.7778
B 2973 37.61% 29.09 0.459 83.59% 0.117 0.8146
C 3175 35.35% 29.76 0.127 84.79% -0.159 0.3109
D 2980 37.48% 29.46 0.28 83.96% 0.207 0.9169
E 2930 37.23% 29.47 -0.402 84.06% -0.285 0.2589
F 2836 36.86% 29.68 -0.072 84.52% 0.118 0.7799
G 2568 38.58% 29.13 -0.494 83.76% -0.301 0.3302
H 2553 36.41% 29.73 0.793 83.67% 0.128 0.7923
East 968 41.43% 36.03 4.044 78.31% 0.369 1.0303
Northeast 446 40.81% 36.67 1.677 78.92% -0.066 0.5939
Northwest 345 44.93% 33.39 -2.158 66.67% -0.695 -0.0846
Southeast 334 37.72% 34.83 -2.597 79.04% -0.955 -0.4242
Southwest 314 38.54% 31.39 -2.751 77.07% -0.517 0.4516
West 856 44.28% 32.83 3.135 71.5% 0.374 1.1794

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 63 0.0% 28.92 -0.567 80.95% -0.34 1.8891
Not Using Events or Tokens 353 39.46% 27.27 -1.548 75.07% -0.366 -0.1396
Skip Initial Invader Actions 407 6.11% 41.02 3.535 93.37% -0.611 -1.5908
Start of Game Growth 659 13.82% 39.05 1.814 91.65% 0.356 -0.1008
Unlimited Undo 1184 31.9% 31.59 1.524 88.51% 0.413 -0.1384
Using Tokens but Not Events 1429 31.8% 29.73 0.197 81.18% -0.037 0.1185

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1271 22.65 27.69%
II 3863 31.08 64.22%
III 8139 34.66 90.12%
IV 4566 37.91 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.209 Win Model: 0.439
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12913 39.81% 29.56 80.99%
2 3217 39.28% 29.87 85.7%
3 1087 31.95% 30.33 87.03%
4 550 29.64% 30.35 82.91%
5 7 28.57% 35.86 100.0%
6 65 24.62% 37.42 98.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 350
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7125
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2301
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4475
Lose: Invader deck ran out 125
Lose: Adversary condition 1234
Win: Sacrifice victory 80
Lose: Scenario condition 206
Win: Scenario condition 357
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 98

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 50.0% 39.67 -4.87 83.33% -0.25 0.2463
Blitz 0 207 43.0% 30.22 -3.547 70.05% -0.482 -0.0391
Dahan Insurrection 4 260 25.77% 55.35 5.727 79.23% -0.372 -0.2751
Despicable Theft 2 38 60.53% 37.61 3.382 65.79% 0.04 0.5387
Elemental Invocation 1 88 64.77% 30.49 -2.909 60.23% -0.593 -0.0476
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 413 13.48% 34.69 1.8 69.25% -0.095 0.1362
Powers Long Forgotten 1 125 70.4% 32.14 1.942 59.2% 0.178 0.5854
Rituals of Terror 3 124 52.42% 42.94 5.319 66.94% 0.191 -0.045
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 86 69.77% 44.37 11.863 72.09% -0.352 -0.1262
Second Wave 0 931 50.22% 32.9 -0.982 70.57% -1.217 -0.5248
The Great River 3 59 54.24% 34.17 0.0 47.46%
Varied Terrains 2 11 63.64% 39.27 1.11 72.73% -0.495 0.2912
Ward the Shores 2 166 51.2% 36.1 0.224 61.45% -0.579 0.3022

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 414 26.72 0.267 60.63% 0.771 2.7422
Aid From Lesser Spirits 341 27.5 -4.829 61.58% -1.65 0.1276
All Things Weaken 459 25.43 -6.06 54.68% -2.033 0.0162
Back Against the Wall 346 28.06 -1.679 64.74% -0.543 1.3959
Disintegrating Ecosystem 399 24.79 -8.086 56.39% -2.191 -0.0633
Downward Spiral 492 26.14 -6.191 62.8% -1.914 0.0467
Erosion of Will 365 25.86 -5.274 60.0% -1.303 0.7789
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 243 32.36 -1.25 80.66% 0.271 0.7725
Memory Fades to Dust 453 25.25 -5.249 57.84% -0.969 1.1715
Power Corrodes the Spirit 446 26.62 -7.38 62.56% -1.906 0.0746
Promising Farmlands 382 24.09 -5.779 54.45% -1.651 0.3711
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 153 31.71 0.47 82.35% -0.335 0.1612
Thriving Communities 464 24.91 -5.758 56.9% -1.649 0.41
Unnatural Proliferation 460 27.08 -7.628 60.43% -1.984 -0.0274
Untended Land Crumbles 421 25.16 -4.416 57.72% -1.411 0.6225

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2186 44.18% 32.96 -0.836 81.93% -0.415 0.3209
B 2296 41.75% 33.62 -0.184 82.49% -0.526 0.1708
C 2443 41.88% 33.7 0.356 83.34% 0.173 0.6427
D 2162 42.55% 33.36 -0.039 81.27% -0.118 0.591
E 2135 41.91% 33.76 0.346 82.9% 0.265 0.8098
F 2050 43.38% 33.18 0.199 81.8% -0.015 0.6468
G 1864 43.68% 33.03 -0.798 80.2% -0.399 0.2315
H 1830 42.66% 33.21 0.578 81.8% 0.468 1.1322
East 888 50.68% 37.21 2.06 69.48% 0.161 0.8229
Northeast 387 50.26% 38.12 1.873 69.77% 0.324 0.984
Northwest 339 50.15% 37.01 -4.457 69.62% -1.091 -0.4808
Southeast 326 48.61% 36.76 0.795 74.23% 0.299 0.8305
Southwest 314 53.21% 31.04 0.386 66.56% 0.255 1.2237
West 839 52.96% 34.58 -2.647 67.34% -0.994 -0.1881

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 35.0 0.544 86.0% 0.066 2.2954
Not Using Events or Tokens 148 50.35% 29.7 -6.155 64.86% -1.157 -0.93
Skip Initial Invader Actions 262 8.08% 47.69 5.137 95.04% 0.901 -0.0795
Start of Game Growth 382 11.35% 45.45 2.83 93.46% 0.474 0.0172
Unlimited Undo 1011 38.75% 34.54 -0.53 84.57% -0.437 -0.988
Using Tokens but Not Events 1046 32.1% 35.5 1.654 83.27% 0.141 0.2965

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1176 22.65 25.6%
II 5028 31.08 72.93%
III 5053 34.66 91.05%
IV 2017 37.91 99.41%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.053 Win Model: 0.174
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 9324 44.38% 33.47 78.29%
2 2683 47.01% 32.88 81.85%
3 846 36.33% 34.8 85.22%
4 383 36.48% 35.91 84.86%
5 9 55.56% 40.11 77.78%
6 29 31.03% 38.38 86.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 297
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4474
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3436
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1991
Lose: Invader deck ran out 76
Lose: Adversary condition 1165
Win: Sacrifice victory 68
Lose: Scenario condition 147
Win: Scenario condition 308
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1234
Lose: Spirit destroyed 78

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 46.75 1.446 100.0% 0.045 0.5408
Blitz 0 250 53.6% 34.3 3.871 62.0% -0.138 0.3054
Dahan Insurrection 4 166 38.55% 61.89 5.901 80.12% -0.598 -0.5011
Despicable Theft 2 31 83.87% 41.06 2.14 54.84% -0.135 0.3642
Elemental Invocation 1 65 73.85% 35.03 -0.714 58.46% -0.217 0.3287
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 752 13.57% 44.08 2.626 74.47% -0.555 -0.3236
Powers Long Forgotten 1 104 71.15% 38.23 -6.214 57.69% -0.974 -0.5665
Rituals of Terror 3 54 70.37% 45.65 11.61 61.11% 0.228 -0.0083
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 75.61% 44.22 17.83 56.1% 0.563 0.7888
Second Wave 0 581 58.62% 36.5 -2.31 61.1% -0.963 -0.2707
The Great River 3 30 23.33% 31.9 -6.725 23.33% -1.044 0.5372
Varied Terrains 2 15 66.67% 20.0 -4.058 6.67% -1.175 -0.3886
Ward the Shores 2 108 66.67% 39.03 3.021 50.93% 0.086 0.9669

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 719 31.36 -3.303 53.82% -1.187 0.784
Aid From Lesser Spirits 534 34.33 -4.558 60.86% -1.315 0.4631
All Things Weaken 742 31.27 -3.202 55.8% -1.215 0.8333
Back Against the Wall 559 32.42 -4.838 56.89% -1.788 0.151
Disintegrating Ecosystem 616 29.8 -6.503 55.84% -2.057 0.0711
Downward Spiral 769 29.98 -3.454 54.1% -1.11 0.8514
Erosion of Will 663 30.09 -4.225 51.89% -1.303 0.7787
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 294 38.11 1.019 76.87% 0.548 1.0496
Memory Fades to Dust 707 30.73 -3.998 55.87% -1.259 0.8818
Power Corrodes the Spirit 694 30.69 -5.934 55.62% -1.77 0.2102
Promising Farmlands 591 28.72 -4.791 51.27% -1.358 0.6634
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 204 38.71 -0.017 77.94% -0.183 0.3133
Thriving Communities 696 28.23 -6.299 48.42% -1.772 0.2874
Unnatural Proliferation 768 31.63 -5.626 55.6% -1.796 0.1608
Untended Land Crumbles 734 29.81 -5.512 52.72% -1.439 0.5944

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2823 58.8% 36.93 1.018 71.17% 0.202 0.9384
B 2907 58.77% 37.03 -0.141 71.1% -0.205 0.4925
C 3253 58.08% 37.73 1.321 73.84% 0.285 0.7548
D 2742 60.09% 36.59 -1.299 70.71% -0.412 0.2975
E 2782 57.21% 37.47 -0.153 72.57% -0.231 0.3134
F 2596 57.68% 37.3 0.034 72.0% -0.091 0.5705
G 2280 58.23% 36.98 -0.801 71.05% -0.129 0.5023
H 2228 55.89% 37.62 0.196 72.35% -0.08 0.585
East 756 59.95% 41.03 0.722 62.83% -0.439 0.2223
Northeast 349 62.64% 39.7 4.057 58.17% 0.195 0.8551
Northwest 342 61.47% 39.79 3.999 59.94% 0.257 0.8677
Southeast 253 54.58% 43.15 -1.949 71.15% -0.678 -0.1469
Southwest 231 54.59% 38.32 5.423 63.2% 0.412 1.3802
West 741 59.35% 39.99 0.171 61.94% -0.378 0.4274

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 58 0.0% 39.86 3.233 75.86% 0.279 2.5084
Not Using Events or Tokens 60 60.38% 33.43 1.88 61.67% 0.234 0.4603
Skip Initial Invader Actions 259 19.29% 53.26 6.612 91.51% 0.16 -0.8197
Start of Game Growth 411 23.4% 49.95 3.555 87.83% 0.067 -0.3897
Unlimited Undo 1174 50.66% 39.81 1.471 77.68% -0.063 -0.615
Using Tokens but Not Events 1224 51.15% 37.35 -1.507 71.57% -0.554 -0.3984

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2458 22.65 11.92%
II 7415 31.08 68.36%
III 4176 34.66 94.61%
IV 1809 37.91 99.72%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.319 Win Model: 0.264
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 10733 58.69% 36.8 69.19%
2 3426 60.61% 36.61 69.79%
3 1041 60.31% 37.97 73.97%
4 618 49.35% 41.96 80.91%
5 8 50.0% 41.75 75.0%
6 32 35.48% 46.78 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4891
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1780
Lose: Invader deck ran out 55
Lose: Adversary condition 2345
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 196
Win: Scenario condition 188
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1999
Lose: Spirit destroyed 146

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 56.0 10.092 100.0% 0.441 0.9367
Blitz 0 161 54.66% 36.16 5.941 54.66% 0.16 0.6027
Dahan Insurrection 4 153 45.75% 59.96 10.898 68.63% 0.06 0.1573
Despicable Theft 2 8 62.5% 41.75 10.711 62.5% 0.193 0.6918
Elemental Invocation 1 86 70.93% 35.73 0.125 47.67% -0.029 0.5168
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 687 19.41% 45.3 6.027 69.0% 0.539 0.7704
Powers Long Forgotten 1 88 73.86% 34.8 0.0 43.18%
Rituals of Terror 3 51 72.55% 42.8 14.345 45.1% 0.25 0.0144
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 32 90.63% 39.31 0.0 37.5%
Second Wave 0 315 56.23% 37.19 3.096 55.24% 0.354 1.0465
The Great River 3 29 41.38% 37.41 0.0 31.03%
Ward the Shores 2 54 66.67% 34.28 -4.487 31.48% -0.611 0.2703

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 810 31.42 -1.993 47.78% -0.825 1.1455
Aid From Lesser Spirits 713 34.72 0.166 56.24% -0.023 1.7548
All Things Weaken 913 31.7 -2.742 48.74% -0.78 1.2687
Back Against the Wall 671 33.09 -3.469 51.12% -1.083 0.8566
Disintegrating Ecosystem 792 29.43 -2.153 46.46% -0.576 1.5518
Downward Spiral 973 31.79 -4.012 52.0% -1.07 0.8913
Erosion of Will 864 30.07 -5.314 44.21% -1.525 0.5567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 388 36.88 -2.368 63.66% -0.904 -0.4018
Memory Fades to Dust 895 31.4 -3.24 48.72% -1.005 1.1357
Power Corrodes the Spirit 983 30.72 -5.419 47.71% -1.467 0.5135
Promising Farmlands 804 30.2 -5.181 46.52% -1.348 0.6737
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 261 39.91 1.543 74.71% 0.211 0.7072
Thriving Communities 846 29.29 -2.586 43.62% -0.775 1.2846
Unnatural Proliferation 937 31.05 -1.483 44.82% -0.587 1.37
Untended Land Crumbles 934 30.87 -2.251 47.32% -0.588 1.4453

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 3248 64.09% 37.42 0.361 64.04% 0.149 0.8854
B 3283 63.21% 37.34 0.585 64.06% 0.162 0.8593
C 3795 65.7% 36.96 0.155 62.66% 0.023 0.493
D 3165 65.16% 37.0 0.055 63.16% 0.233 0.9428
E 3180 65.28% 37.46 0.831 64.34% 0.403 0.9472
F 2935 64.57% 37.44 0.014 64.26% 0.084 0.7454
G 2640 63.94% 37.07 0.162 63.94% 0.288 0.9194
H 2627 65.12% 37.72 -0.175 65.02% 0.05 0.7144
East 767 65.75% 40.19 0.087 51.37% -0.007 0.6545
Northeast 314 66.77% 40.21 -3.572 46.5% -0.869 -0.2087
Northwest 261 65.77% 38.54 -1.07 44.06% -0.594 0.016
Southeast 256 65.23% 37.92 -0.94 50.39% 0.187 0.7184
Southwest 204 68.63% 33.66 -4.429 44.61% -1.005 -0.0367
West 606 67.22% 37.01 -0.589 45.21% -0.171 0.6342

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 30 0.0% 44.77 5.062 76.67% 0.165 2.394
Not Using Events or Tokens 77 70.13% 39.95 -11.945 55.84% -0.631 -0.4047
Skip Initial Invader Actions 377 14.86% 55.37 10.682 92.84% 0.987 0.0072
Start of Game Growth 569 17.65% 53.1 8.205 90.16% 1.403 0.9459
Unlimited Undo 1302 57.25% 40.77 0.477 71.66% 0.123 -0.4289
Using Tokens but Not Events 1000 55.15% 38.28 -1.286 67.2% -0.252 -0.097

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3405 22.65 6.08%
II 7980 31.08 59.94%
III 5376 34.66 91.8%
IV 1322 37.91 99.62%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.337 Win Model: 0.406
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 12293 65.17% 36.81 61.76%
2 3904 67.45% 36.56 61.73%
3 1203 65.58% 37.62 62.84%
4 653 54.62% 41.41 70.29%
5 12 54.55% 49.83 83.33%
6 18 35.29% 53.61 83.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 206
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4873
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4662
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 151
Lose: Adversary condition 3726
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 203
Win: Scenario condition 121
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2576
Lose: Spirit destroyed 185

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 41.0 0.0 50.0%
Blitz 0 75 70.67% 41.0 10.293 54.67% 0.563 1.0061
Dahan Insurrection 4 44 70.45% 54.14 -12.067 40.91% -0.751 -0.6537
Despicable Theft 2 12 83.33% 35.58 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 37 72.97% 33.89 0.0 27.03%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 391 24.81% 48.78 4.038 62.66% 0.066 0.2979
Powers Long Forgotten 1 32 87.5% 36.06 -11.989 31.25% -0.448 -0.0406
Rituals of Terror 3 20 70.0% 51.45 17.347 50.0% 0.461 0.2254
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 20 90.0% 41.15 0.0 35.0%
Second Wave 0 208 71.5% 39.16 5.857 46.63% 0.58 1.2728
The Great River 3 14 42.86% 30.57 0.0 7.14%
Varied Terrains 2 1 100.0% 63.0 0.0 100.0%
Ward the Shores 2 32 90.63% 35.84 -2.722 25.0% -0.386 0.4953

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 696 36.74 -3.419 46.55% -0.761 1.21
Aid From Lesser Spirits 574 40.19 3.411 53.83% 0.625 2.4025
All Things Weaken 811 34.82 -2.813 40.57% -0.552 1.4972
Back Against the Wall 558 39.57 -2.8 50.72% -0.943 0.9962
Disintegrating Ecosystem 721 34.59 -4.406 45.08% -0.982 1.1459
Downward Spiral 695 35.23 -2.481 44.32% -0.462 1.499
Erosion of Will 703 36.23 -0.659 43.24% -0.239 1.8424
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 248 41.62 0.856 57.26% 0.102 0.6037
Memory Fades to Dust 798 35.11 -4.763 43.61% -1.002 1.1389
Power Corrodes the Spirit 748 35.84 -2.658 45.45% -0.615 1.3657
Promising Farmlands 688 33.28 0.054 38.66% -0.05 1.9712
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 160 43.77 4.03 62.5% 0.611 1.1073
Thriving Communities 712 34.63 -0.207 44.1% -0.017 2.0425
Unnatural Proliferation 801 36.81 0.182 45.07% 0.058 2.0151
Untended Land Crumbles 761 34.13 -3.19 40.6% -0.618 1.4157

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2042 81.62% 38.38 0.005 50.69% 0.01 0.746
B 2359 80.62% 39.56 -1.524 53.75% -0.293 0.4042
C 2644 80.54% 39.25 0.266 52.69% 0.075 0.5444
D 1973 83.52% 38.46 -0.658 50.89% -0.182 0.5274
E 2037 82.33% 38.84 0.514 51.2% -0.182 0.3626
F 1953 81.16% 39.78 0.953 54.53% 0.2 0.8615
G 1662 80.28% 38.74 -0.351 51.02% -0.05 0.5809
H 1639 79.77% 39.63 2.31 53.81% 0.562 1.2263
East 429 73.43% 42.41 0.27 44.52% 0.132 0.7937
Northeast 189 70.37% 45.28 1.806 48.15% -0.306 0.3539
Northwest 161 68.94% 43.19 -1.672 45.34% -0.81 -0.1996
Southeast 164 65.85% 44.93 3.338 52.44% -0.062 0.4693
Southwest 152 67.11% 43.53 4.964 50.66% 0.55 1.5179
West 376 72.34% 40.94 -1.215 42.55% -0.637 0.1682

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 7 0.0% 49.57 0.0 71.43%
Not Using Events or Tokens 27 88.89% 40.22 8.661 51.85% 0.388 0.6145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 120 47.86% 57.19 6.209 84.17% 0.805 -0.1748
Start of Game Growth 278 48.0% 53.31 2.058 75.18% -0.296 -0.753
Unlimited Undo 1078 77.3% 42.51 2.323 60.48% 0.534 -0.0176
Using Tokens but Not Events 477 75.96% 38.72 -3.233 51.57% -0.438 -0.2834

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3097 22.65 3.36%
II 4959 31.08 50.01%
III 3114 34.66 90.56%
IV 845 37.91 99.76%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.699 Win Model: 0.511
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 8257 79.87% 39.23 52.39%
2 2575 83.41% 38.35 49.9%
3 777 84.04% 39.25 53.02%
4 376 72.85% 43.06 55.32%
5 3 50.0% 48.0 66.67%
6 27 29.63% 49.41 51.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2782
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2439
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 826
Lose: Invader deck ran out 68
Lose: Adversary condition 2932
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 134
Win: Scenario condition 26
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2440
Lose: Spirit destroyed 194

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 27 88.89% 34.07 0.0 33.33%
Dahan Insurrection 4 52 86.54% 44.4 16.94 13.46% 0.665 0.7617
Despicable Theft 2 8 100.0% 37.75 0.0 25.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 18 77.78% 37.44 0.0 33.33%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 143 30.07% 42.8 5.972 39.86% 0.082 0.3131
Powers Long Forgotten 1 11 81.82% 41.45 0.0 36.36%
Rituals of Terror 3 14 92.86% 56.43 0.0 28.57%
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 90.34% 25.32 0.0 1.14%
Second Wave 0 67 61.19% 39.81 -1.58 43.28% -0.479 0.2137
Ward the Shores 2 9 77.78% 37.56 0.0 22.22%

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 363 36.29 -0.626 36.09% -0.368 1.603
Aid From Lesser Spirits 279 39.94 0.776 44.8% -0.212 1.5658
All Things Weaken 375 34.71 -3.985 33.6% -0.65 1.3988
Back Against the Wall 271 35.97 -2.963 33.58% -0.871 1.0684
Disintegrating Ecosystem 306 34.63 -4.929 36.27% -0.902 1.226
Downward Spiral 375 32.62 -1.696 29.87% -0.063 1.898
Erosion of Will 339 34.72 -7.626 32.15% -1.355 0.727
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 73 45.59 0.271 56.16% -0.057 0.4445
Memory Fades to Dust 351 34.14 -2.1 32.48% -0.353 1.7879
Power Corrodes the Spirit 380 34.27 0.487 32.89% 0.291 2.2721
Promising Farmlands 307 34.41 -1.181 33.55% -0.319 1.7024
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 67 47.51 5.804 62.69% 0.74 1.2366
Thriving Communities 382 34.3 -0.909 34.82% 0.094 2.1535
Unnatural Proliferation 370 34.93 -3.562 32.43% -0.767 1.1895
Untended Land Crumbles 402 33.19 -2.026 30.6% -0.295 1.7387

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 863 85.75% 38.24 0.511 41.95% -0.095 0.6412
B 1007 83.81% 38.98 0.78 44.89% 0.214 0.9116
C 1082 84.2% 40.13 0.06 46.58% -0.214 0.2552
D 835 84.79% 37.66 0.229 41.44% 0.233 0.9429
E 915 84.26% 37.44 -1.664 40.66% -0.53 0.0145
F 880 78.86% 39.32 -1.346 45.34% -0.4 0.2617
G 725 82.48% 38.98 -1.018 43.45% -0.301 0.3297
H 736 82.74% 38.65 0.75 42.8% 0.254 0.9183
East 163 75.46% 43.21 5.019 33.74% 0.048 0.7092
Northeast 72 83.33% 42.53 11.391 29.17% 0.128 0.7877
Northwest 128 90.63% 32.96 11.391 14.06% 0.128 0.7382
Southeast 72 75.0% 43.82 5.019 37.5% 0.048 0.5788
Southwest 219 84.47% 28.78 -9.178 10.5% -0.26 0.7084
West 381 85.83% 31.25 -9.178 12.6% -0.26 0.5456

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 88.24% 39.88 10.214 29.41% 0.439 0.6652
Skip Initial Invader Actions 63 60.32% 57.48 8.229 76.19% 0.554 -0.4261
Start of Game Growth 100 54.0% 53.2 5.959 68.0% 0.509 0.0523
Unlimited Undo 497 72.84% 45.6 2.249 60.56% 0.628 0.0765
Using Tokens but Not Events 368 71.2% 39.27 -6.838 47.28% -1.732 -1.5768

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1494 22.65 0.8%
II 2343 31.08 29.19%
III 1293 34.66 88.94%
IV 430 37.91 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.269 Win Model: -0.392
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4037 82.98% 37.78 40.48%
2 1114 87.07% 37.31 39.23%
3 249 81.93% 43.18 53.41%
4 154 72.08% 41.92 46.1%
5 1 0.0% 62.0 0.0%
6 5 100.0% 30.0 20.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1137
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 670
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 423
Lose: Invader deck ran out 36
Lose: Adversary condition 1567
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 79
Win: Scenario condition 9
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1514
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 342 58.53% 42.23 0.152 41.52% -0.266 0.1772
Dahan Insurrection 4 216 73.02% 48.23 2.383 19.91% -0.757 -0.6599
Despicable Theft 2 28 89.29% 34.96 0.0 17.86%
Elemental Invocation 1 97 70.1% 36.63 -2.912 19.59% -0.472 0.0742
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2030 32.02% 48.88 2.086 42.41% -0.128 0.1031
Powers Long Forgotten 1 97 52.58% 45.94 0.0 51.55%
Rituals of Terror 3 107 34.91% 76.27 14.414 41.12% 0.366 0.1298
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 64.71% 42.71 0.0 23.53%
Second Wave 0 115 56.52% 43.86 8.947 40.87% 0.578 1.27
The Great River 3 22 54.55% 36.59 -4.737 4.55% -0.853 0.7282
Varied Terrains 2 21 57.14% 45.81 2.122 38.1% -0.477 0.3093
Ward the Shores 2 35 91.43% 32.31 0.0 8.57%

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2291 37.16 -3.72 32.78% -1.124 0.8466
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1805 41.7 0.511 41.55% -0.34 1.4377
All Things Weaken 2408 36.79 -2.796 32.14% -0.784 1.2646
Back Against the Wall 1695 40.71 -0.318 39.23% -0.533 1.4065
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2210 34.54 -4.337 30.72% -1.089 1.0391
Downward Spiral 2375 36.2 -3.612 32.29% -0.899 1.0617
Erosion of Will 2086 35.83 -2.654 29.53% -0.936 1.1459
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 668 43.96 -1.908 47.16% -0.974 -0.4724
Memory Fades to Dust 2404 34.88 -5.447 28.58% -1.429 0.7119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2276 35.05 -5.072 29.44% -1.354 0.6264
Promising Farmlands 2193 34.57 -3.159 28.27% -0.855 1.1664
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 411 47.48 2.917 55.72% -0.014 0.4823
Thriving Communities 2357 34.88 -3.857 29.66% -0.956 1.1034
Unnatural Proliferation 2516 37.98 -2.93 33.43% -0.877 1.0796
Untended Land Crumbles 2217 34.2 -4.323 27.56% -1.111 0.9219

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 6035 79.33% 40.92 -0.28 40.05% -0.286 0.4505
B 6392 77.57% 40.54 -0.391 39.13% -0.374 0.3229
C 7928 79.12% 40.55 0.712 39.35% -0.021 0.4487
D 5507 81.51% 40.06 0.071 38.86% -0.06 0.6499
E 6287 81.2% 40.1 -0.612 38.51% -0.324 0.22
F 5560 76.86% 41.55 1.034 41.6% -0.126 0.5355
G 4438 79.22% 40.88 0.093 40.45% -0.199 0.4315
H 4387 76.99% 42.22 -0.283 42.53% -0.246 0.4185
East 657 53.73% 52.29 -0.224 37.6% -0.928 -0.2666
Northeast 305 46.56% 56.84 2.484 41.97% -0.071 0.5886
Northwest 238 46.22% 55.13 3.488 43.7% 0.173 0.783
Southeast 237 48.1% 52.56 4.441 45.15% 0.266 0.7967
Southwest 238 58.4% 44.83 -0.992 39.5% -0.081 0.8871
West 581 53.18% 50.39 11.222 38.55% 1.081 1.887

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 17 0.0% 55.0 1.798 70.59% -0.137 2.0922
Not Using Events or Tokens 124 75.81% 41.47 4.518 11.29% 0.173 0.3993
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1265 26.63% 66.84 7.028 81.19% 1.34 0.3598
Start of Game Growth 2078 28.5% 62.29 6.436 77.33% 0.251 -0.2054
Unlimited Undo 3884 68.36% 51.79 3.795 63.29% 0.86 0.3089
Using Tokens but Not Events 1663 66.95% 41.27 -2.064 40.53% -0.675 -0.5201

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14789 22.65 3.33%
II 15597 31.08 48.23%
III 6311 34.66 90.57%
IV 1676 37.91 99.7%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.422 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 31723 77.2% 40.83 40.74%
2 4671 84.77% 39.08 35.35%
3 1143 80.66% 41.33 38.93%
4 740 70.15% 45.36 42.03%
5 10 30.0% 61.4 80.0%
6 86 34.88% 77.1 72.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 475
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5621
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7351
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1626
Lose: Invader deck ran out 294
Lose: Adversary condition 11958
Win: Sacrifice victory 285
Lose: Scenario condition 923
Win: Scenario condition 44
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9092
Lose: Spirit destroyed 704

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2025-10-19 02:56:39 (Pacific Time)