The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	6589	49.64%	28.64	52.8%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	357	37.75%	31.11	63.31%	-0.012	-0.0766	0.062
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	90	47.78%	27.19	40.0%	-0.097	0.1224	-0.296
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	11	45.45%	32.36	72.73%	0.94	-0.069	-0.157
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	439	51.94%	30.49	66.29%	0.265	0.0504	0.256
Downpour Drenches the World	64	37.5%	22.42	32.81%	0.036	0.2809	-0.262
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	162	32.72%	29.24	58.64%	1.151	0.6036	-0.077
Eyes Watch From the Trees	207	31.4%	26.42	44.44%	-0.559	-1.0571	0.234
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	394	40.46%	32.37	63.96%	0.364	-0.0503	0.245
Finder of Paths Unseen	41	43.9%	21.39	29.27%	-1.059	-0.2885	0.087
Fractured Days Split the Sky	100	45.0%	25.6	37.0%	-0.574	0.0879	-0.349
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	130	57.69%	22.93	33.85%	-1.238	-1.2341	-0.995
Heart of the Wildfire	419	75.89%	27.1	53.7%	0.529	0.8942	-0.017
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	630	47.45%	33.22	63.17%	0.612	0.1746	0.498
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	20	45.0%	32.05	80.0%	1.311	0.8139
Lightning's Swift Strike	879	52.46%	28.01	60.86%	0.394	0.61	-0.102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	163	55.21%	33.37	43.56%	1.277	0.6559	0.18
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	108	37.96%	30.72	55.56%	0.185	-0.1255	0.037
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	401	48.5%	31.18	62.84%	1.224	1.1121	1.123
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1188	61.35%	30.72	59.09%	0.306	0.0577	-0.165
Many Minds Move as One	160	33.13%	28.04	42.5%	-0.557	-0.7305	0.771
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	424	33.33%	31.11	53.3%	-0.217	-0.1935	-0.308
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	351	46.57%	27.58	56.7%	0.346	0.1422	0.473
River Surges in Sunlight	370	54.2%	29.28	51.62%	-0.175	-0.1548	0.312
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	249	54.22%	27.98	42.17%	-0.637	-0.2888	0.388
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	88	49.43%	24.23	34.09%	-0.183	-0.1985	-0.713
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	179	34.64%	28.58	51.96%	-0.393	-0.5175	0.573
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	50	52.0%	14.82	18.0%	-0.946	-0.3677	-0.115
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	15	40.0%	21.07	40.0%	0.117	0.1525
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	5	60.0%	36.8	100.0%	1.561	1.0461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	12	41.67%	24.0	41.67%	0.67	0.9696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	46	50.0%	24.93	30.43%	-0.312	-0.4132	-0.64
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	68	61.76%	23.38	33.82%	-0.288	-0.0444	-0.062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	260	38.46%	33.21	65.38%	0.566	0.5702	0.602
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	27	29.63%	22.56	37.04%	-0.164	-0.4557	0.016
Shifting Memory of Ages	97	37.11%	23.35	35.05%	-1.085	-0.8628	-0.636
Shroud of Silent Mist	92	45.65%	18.02	27.17%	-1.494	-1.1881	-0.763
Starlight Seeks its Form	120	41.67%	25.94	45.0%	0.235	-0.0057	0.494
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	266	42.48%	28.3	51.13%	0.68	0.2476	-0.243
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	236	59.15%	29.44	46.61%	-0.666	-0.5474	0.548
Thunderspeaker	287	48.43%	27.8	50.17%	-0.487	-0.4843	-0.113
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	33	24.24%	14.33	27.27%	0.455	0.6298	-0.324
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	161	56.52%	23.37	34.78%	-0.849	-0.6805	0.15
Vital Strength of the Earth	70	32.84%	22.03	37.14%	-0.526	0.0473	-0.254
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	37	37.84%	22.35	21.62%	-1.106	-0.6863	-0.667
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	67	35.82%	17.3	13.43%	-0.557	0.2052	-0.48
Volcano Looming High	378	49.21%	30.84	59.79%	0.251	0.2201	0.364
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	20	25.0%	28.4	65.0%	0.929	0.3786	0.295

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	153	54.25%	23.09	1.03	35.29%	-0.108	0.2911
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	89	47.19%	28.36	-1.373	39.33%	-0.408	-0.1
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	42	19.05%	25.88	-1.011	19.05%	-0.325	0.447
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	51	31.37%	34.16	1.92	31.37%	-0.48	0.6242
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	14	42.86%	30.57	0.0	7.14%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	1	0.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	46	63.04%	33.09	0.0	4.35%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	204	43.14%	26.34	-3.713	47.55%	-0.273	-0.0801
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	175	45.14%	30.78	-1.998	55.43%	-0.543	-0.5363
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	168	54.17%	36.33	1.601	49.4%	-0.852	-0.8412
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	137	67.15%	36.4	-0.822	35.04%	-1.163	-0.8503
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	60	61.67%	38.2	6.758	40.0%	-0.315	-0.0539
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	30	60.0%	38.2	-12.322	20.0%	-0.561	0.0484
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	46	76.09%	35.67	-2.802	17.39%	-0.632	0.7435
The Kingdom of England	0	1	161	44.1%	25.79	-4.431	47.2%	-1.002	-0.6931
The Kingdom of England	1	3	82	48.78%	28.6	-0.584	40.24%	-0.378	-0.0664
The Kingdom of England	2	4	82	47.56%	32.43	-0.106	41.46%	-0.22	0.5184
The Kingdom of England	3	6	57	56.14%	31.46	0.0	24.56%
The Kingdom of England	4	7	56	62.5%	27.39	-8.536	16.07%	-0.432	0.809
The Kingdom of England	5	9	6	33.33%	18.17	-6.902	16.67%	-0.034	1.5639
The Kingdom of England	6	11	42	38.1%	33.52	-9.929	19.05%	-0.668	1.296
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	119	51.26%	23.54	-3.095	35.29%	-0.669	-0.1708
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	82	67.07%	19.93	-6.31	17.07%	-1.361	-0.437
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	59	15.25%	23.53	1.38	6.78%	-0.649	0.3959
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	50	48.0%	29.8	5.124	14.0%	-0.307	1.0922
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	19	26.32%	25.58	0.911	5.26%	-0.216	1.222
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	28	50.0%	34.82	0.0	10.71%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	109	44.95%	30.39	5.321	7.34%	-0.485	0.918
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	48	37.5%	21.33	1.823	41.67%	-0.056	0.2169
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	19	36.84%	24.68	-1.294	42.11%	-0.361	0.0536
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	9	33.33%	20.11	-2.957	22.22%	-0.358	-0.0897
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	30	50.0%	33.77	15.459	36.67%	0.755	1.0894
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	10	80.0%	41.0	0.91	40.0%	-0.477	0.4294
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	16	56.25%	39.56	0.0	37.5%
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	16	50.0%	43.44	3.626	31.25%	0.086	1.1439
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	144	43.75%	24.03	1.093	46.53%	0.59	0.7569
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	121	41.32%	28.16	-0.409	47.11%	-0.172	-0.0225
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	113	60.18%	28.49	-0.61	43.36%	-0.156	0.0206
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	86	70.93%	37.5	7.063	48.84%	0.363	0.7735
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	33	48.48%	34.21	-8.547	39.39%	-0.411	0.2835
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	37	54.05%	26.81	-6.573	21.62%	-0.699	0.2051
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	76	57.89%	29.04	-2.841	17.11%	-0.486	0.5396
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	162	42.59%	26.65	-2.444	54.94%	-0.689	-0.5389
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	74	64.86%	24.65	-4.032	32.43%	-0.513	0.3665
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	81	50.62%	30.74	-6.454	41.98%	-0.46	-0.1153
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	42	61.9%	41.5	4.772	50.0%	-0.036	1.0621
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	28	53.57%	24.89	-7.163	17.86%	-1.169	-0.1188
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	0.0	16.67%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	49	73.47%	34.84	3.148	8.16%	-0.566	1.34

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	4251	49.52	28.04	52.01%	-0.168	0.0403	-0.14
1	Thematic	2	100.0	29.0	50.0%
2	Coastline	1552	51.55	29.67	51.55%	-0.594	-0.5351	-0.197
3	Coastline	515	53.31	31.04	59.61%	0.235	-0.6804	0.516
4	Coastline	226	35.4	30.12	64.6%	-0.088	-0.8537	0.802
5	Coastline	12	41.67	13.75	33.33%	0.106	-0.7454	-0.415
6	Coastline	27	11.54	14.93	33.33%	-0.221	-0.642	-0.431
7	Coastline	3	0.0	7.33	0.0%			-0.145

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	269	29.41	52.04%	-0.345	-0.1991	0.575
Aid From Lesser Spirits	196	33.57	57.14%	0.049	-0.0861	0.905
All Things Weaken	273	25.84	42.49%	0.835	1.1317	0.326
Attenuated Essence	30	30.13	60.0%	0.697	0.7322	0.163
Back Against the Wall	167	28.28	47.31%	0.529	0.5593	-0.438
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	30	24.9	56.67%	0.367	0.5528	-0.119
Burn Brightest Before the End	13	36.38	69.23%	0.205	0.2781	-0.273
Disintegrating Ecosystem	197	26.24	46.19%	0.502	0.8514	0.389
Downward Spiral	260	27.98	50.77%	0.645	0.785	0.788
Erosion of Will	232	27.74	46.98%	0.205	0.4082	0.576
Intensifying Exploitation	20	26.4	30.0%	-0.38	-0.1304	0.712
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	99	34.43	75.76%	0.842	0.2379	0.013
Memory Fades to Dust	247	26.37	45.75%	0.963	1.245	0.622
Power Corrodes the Spirit	253	25.77	39.92%	-0.47	-0.3087	-0.501
Promising Farmlands	178	24.74	40.45%	-0.267	0.0303	-0.42
Shattered Fragments of Power	17	26.12	29.41%	-0.321	-0.2187	0.472
Slow Dissolution of Will	20	25.45	40.0%	-0.523	-0.1664	0.391
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	53	32.87	69.81%			0.829
The Border of Life and Death	3	56.33	100.0%	0.587	0.1096	0.738
Thriving Communities	235	27.66	47.23%	0.127	0.432	0.146
Thriving Crops	12	21.5	33.33%	0.179	0.0891	0.436
Unnatural Proliferation	241	27.86	48.55%	0.67	0.8182	-0.289
Untended Land Crumbles	220	27.07	48.18%	0.32	0.5727	0.313

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	1716	52.75%	28.76	54.9%	0.075	1.2492	-0.345
B	1664	50.81%	28.62	53.79%	-0.143	0.9367	-0.06
C	1503	45.3%	28.71	54.56%	-0.242	0.6829	-0.285
D	1013	45.45%	27.66	48.96%	-0.806	0.2819	-0.494
E	1301	47.64%	29.56	57.88%	-0.607	0.3155	0.239
F	1200	45.28%	29.35	54.08%	-0.663	0.3846	0.021
G	832	51.45%	29.18	53.97%	0.339	1.3435	0.117
H	805	50.56%	28.65	46.21%	0.255	1.2769	-0.646
East	2	100.0%	29.0	50.0%
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	12	0.0%	28.75	66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens	48	48.94%	22.63	37.5%	-0.764	-0.2612
Skip Initial Invader Actions	115	29.09%	41.82	73.04%	0.798	0.0801	0.009
Start of Game Growth	238	28.76%	39.4	77.31%	0.955	0.5797	1.165
Unlimited Undo	414	44.69%	28.99	52.66%	-0.601	-0.6669	0.444
Using Tokens but Not Events	573	44.31%	25.16	53.93%	-0.831	-0.7564	-0.21

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1620	16.9	0.99%
II	1995	30.61	40.4%
III	2155	34.74	85.29%
IV	819	38.28	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.144 Win Model: 0.224

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	4303	49.27%	27.83	51.52%
2	1517	52.41%	30.35	52.93%
3	511	53.14%	30.84	59.49%
4	218	34.86%	30.34	65.14%
5	11	45.45%	12.73	36.36%
6	29	10.71%	14.66	31.03%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	16
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	1820
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	798
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	816
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	701
Lose: Invader deck ran out	9
Lose: Adversary condition	225
Win: Sacrifice victory	29
Lose: Scenario condition	1160
Lose: Blight pool ran out	966
Lose: Spirit destroyed	49

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-02-17 05:14:24 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-02-17 05:14:24 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River