The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	7184	48.05%	27.65	51.02%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	376	36.36%	30.48	62.23%	0.126	-0.0177	0.109
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	8	25.0%	26.38	50.0%	0.723	0.0099	0.426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	101	48.51%	25.6	36.63%	-0.459	-0.1948	-0.434
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	21	42.86%	23.57	52.38%	-0.643	-1.4521	-0.321
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	478	50.21%	29.67	65.06%	0.343	0.1785	0.168
Downpour Drenches the World	83	37.35%	20.18	27.71%	-0.514	-0.2404	-0.466
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	195	30.77%	28.99	57.44%	0.316	-0.1111	0.346
Eyes Watch From the Trees	236	30.08%	24.77	41.95%	-0.001	-0.3609	0.167
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	419	39.0%	31.6	62.77%	0.305	-0.1392	0.159
Finder of Paths Unseen	57	47.37%	17.93	22.81%	-0.724	-0.0355	-0.175
Fractured Days Split the Sky	151	31.79%	18.25	25.17%	-1.023	-0.4338	-0.718
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	149	55.03%	22.17	32.89%	0.055	-0.0094	-1.039
Heart of the Wildfire	433	75.29%	26.66	53.12%	0.641	0.9685	-0.021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	657	47.02%	32.59	62.56%	0.799	0.5042	0.508
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	39	43.59%	33.69	64.1%	0.132	-0.2382	0.989
Lightning's Swift Strike	935	51.78%	27.48	59.57%	-0.095	0.2452	-0.103
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	179	51.96%	32.44	43.58%	0.828	0.3544	0.299
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	119	35.29%	28.39	51.26%	-0.581	-0.9411	0.019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	428	48.71%	31.23	62.38%	0.852	0.8591	1.176
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1261	60.49%	30.05	57.73%	0.25	-0.045	-0.154
Many Minds Move as One	173	31.21%	26.0	39.31%	-0.815	-0.9608	0.748
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	459	33.19%	30.1	51.2%	-0.189	-0.2468	-0.304
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	377	45.74%	26.95	55.7%	0.171	0.0067	0.638
River Surges in Sunlight	394	54.71%	28.46	49.49%	-0.657	-0.5587	0.304
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	2	0.0%	0.0	0.0%	-0.221	-0.3563
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	262	54.2%	27.16	40.84%	-0.611	-0.135	0.33
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	97	48.96%	24.37	32.99%	0.202	0.1674	-0.851
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	191	32.98%	27.61	50.26%	-0.536	-0.7907	0.662
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	52	51.92%	14.54	17.31%	-0.471	0.05	-0.109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	17	41.18%	20.53	41.18%	0.356	0.4969
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	13	53.85%	37.46	84.62%	0.234	-0.3449
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	15	33.33%	21.6	40.0%	-0.403	-0.0527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	51	47.06%	24.55	33.33%	0.642	0.6258	-0.637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	72	61.11%	23.63	34.72%	0.304	0.553	-0.088
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	271	38.38%	32.59	63.84%	0.356	0.2463	0.534
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	35	28.57%	23.34	40.0%	0.222	0.0607	0.154
Shifting Memory of Ages	114	35.09%	21.07	31.58%	-0.62	-0.2759	-0.67
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	3	66.67%	25.67	33.33%	0.048	-0.2616	-0.313
Shroud of Silent Mist	103	43.69%	17.9	27.18%	-0.055	0.2768	-0.727
Starlight Seeks its Form	133	39.1%	24.37	42.86%	0.008	-0.1668	0.564
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	284	42.61%	27.53	50.35%	0.015	-0.6947	-0.245
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	250	56.63%	28.84	46.0%	0.772	0.9842	0.389
Thunderspeaker	303	46.53%	26.82	48.51%	-0.277	-0.2976	-0.103
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	36	27.78%	14.86	27.78%	-0.168	0.0297	-0.255
Towering Roots of the Jungle	9	22.22%	19.56	33.33%	-0.144	-0.1721	-0.033
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	177	56.5%	22.64	33.9%	0.185	0.2506	0.132
Vital Strength of the Earth	74	30.99%	20.84	35.14%	-0.318	0.2164	-0.269
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	48	29.17%	19.06	18.75%	-0.432	0.1353	-0.682
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	71	35.21%	17.24	14.08%	0.041	0.8	-0.551
Volcano Looming High	394	48.73%	30.3	58.88%	0.195	0.3322	0.363
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	41	26.83%	28.34	60.98%	1.141	0.8297	0.062

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	163	51.53%	22.19	-6.72	33.74%	-1.203	-0.8191
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	97	45.36%	27.21	-4.368	37.11%	-0.826	-0.5783
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	51	19.61%	23.59	2.278	15.69%	-1.034	-0.1355
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	58	31.03%	34.71	12.455	32.76%	-0.014	0.9361
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	14	42.86%	30.57	0.0	7.14%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	2	50.0%	11.0	2.722	0.0%	-0.247	1.3287
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	46	63.04%	33.09	0.0	4.35%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	219	42.92%	25.75	1.784	46.58%	0.276	0.5138
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	194	44.33%	29.8	-2.326	53.09%	-0.992	-0.9047
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	182	52.2%	34.57	-1.486	47.25%	-0.385	-0.2436
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	168	55.36%	31.18	-2.184	30.36%	-0.42	-0.2338
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	65	58.46%	36.29	-6.257	38.46%	-0.812	-0.4584
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	30	60.0%	38.2	0.0	20.0%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	47	76.6%	35.72	0.0	17.02%
The Kingdom of England	0	1	187	39.57%	23.89	-3.783	44.39%	-0.683	-0.309
The Kingdom of England	1	3	92	45.65%	25.98	-7.115	35.87%	-1.021	-0.6831
The Kingdom of England	2	4	89	46.07%	30.47	1.38	39.33%	0.02	0.6828
The Kingdom of England	3	6	62	51.61%	28.92	-4.182	22.58%	-0.051	1.0752
The Kingdom of England	4	7	70	52.86%	24.84	-2.812	14.29%	-0.793	0.437
The Kingdom of England	5	9	7	28.57%	15.57	0.0	14.29%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	42	38.1%	33.52	0.0	19.05%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	140	50.0%	22.63	-0.903	34.29%	-0.291	0.157
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	91	63.74%	19.85	2.277	17.58%	-0.298	0.4035
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	67	16.42%	21.7	-1.376	5.97%	-0.753	0.2505
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	58	46.55%	27.0	-4.503	12.07%	-1.077	0.1997
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	19	26.32%	25.58	0.0	5.26%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	37	37.84%	26.35	-5.104	8.11%	-0.399	0.5442
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	154	33.12%	23.03	-1.894	5.84%	-0.638	0.7972
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	62	33.87%	21.1	-0.535	40.32%	-0.344	-0.1099
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	22	31.82%	23.91	4.244	40.91%	0.03	0.5098
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	15	26.67%	23.0	9.386	33.33%	0.353	0.915
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	33	48.48%	31.52	-9.71	33.33%	-0.275	0.1365
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	20	75.0%	37.95	3.974	40.0%	-0.18	0.5007
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	28	39.29%	28.82	1.12	28.57%	-0.146	0.3834
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	22	36.36%	43.36	7.762	36.36%	0.052	1.1162
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	161	41.61%	22.63	-3.813	42.86%	-0.77	-0.5383
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	132	39.39%	26.88	0.085	44.7%	-0.331	-0.2677
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	121	57.02%	26.6	-8.035	40.5%	-0.791	-0.6441
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	91	68.13%	36.75	15.905	48.35%	0.522	0.8855
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	42	38.1%	26.88	-4.543	30.95%	-0.322	0.3191
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	38	52.63%	26.11	0.0	21.05%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	86	55.81%	26.28	-6.888	15.12%	-0.942	0.1128
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	185	40.54%	25.22	-4.187	51.89%	-0.9	-0.7957
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	84	60.71%	22.25	-3.384	28.57%	-0.957	-0.0719
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	87	48.28%	28.62	-7.843	39.08%	-0.851	-0.3438
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	48	58.33%	39.77	0.706	47.92%	-0.295	0.7728
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	33	45.45%	21.12	-7.154	15.15%	-0.581	0.3525
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	0.0	16.67%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	51	70.59%	33.47	0.0	7.84%

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	4654	47.55	26.99	50.19%	0.406	0.6656	-0.139
1	Thematic	2	100.0	29.0	50.0%
2	Coastline	1680	50.84	28.74	49.94%	-0.137	-0.1535	-0.095
3	Coastline	557	51.44	30.24	57.81%	-0.166	-0.9155	0.684
4	Coastline	238	36.13	29.55	63.03%	0.304	-0.0555	0.609
5	Coastline	18	27.78	12.0	27.78%	-0.571	-0.6757	-0.622
6	Coastline	31	13.33	16.32	35.48%	0.155	-0.643	-0.33
7	Coastline	3	0.0	7.33	0.0%			-0.117

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	276	28.97	51.45%	-0.536	-0.3609	0.513
Aid From Lesser Spirits	207	33.46	57.49%	0.76	0.7064	0.917
All Things Weaken	286	25.62	42.31%	-0.097	0.1966	0.354
Attenuated Essence	45	28.89	62.22%	1.053	1.1366	0.129
Back Against the Wall	169	28.18	46.75%	-0.432	-0.3843	-0.406
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	34	25.0	55.88%	-0.038	0.165	-0.099
Burn Brightest Before the End	17	33.47	64.71%	0.334	0.5214	-0.264
Disintegrating Ecosystem	206	26.15	46.12%	0.635	1.0435	0.463
Downward Spiral	272	27.53	50.0%	0.226	0.3534	0.875
Erosion of Will	243	27.26	46.09%	-0.245	0.0379	0.631
Intensifying Exploitation	27	26.63	37.04%	0.865	1.1128	0.629
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	104	33.66	74.04%	0.173	-0.3422	0.003
Memory Fades to Dust	260	26.17	46.15%	0.181	0.4178	0.714
Power Corrodes the Spirit	257	25.58	39.3%	-0.321	-0.103	-0.486
Promising Farmlands	185	25.11	40.54%	-0.043	0.252	-0.226
Shattered Fragments of Power	20	26.2	30.0%	0.477	0.6788	0.246
Slow Dissolution of Will	29	22.86	37.93%	0.174	0.5578	0.243
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	60	32.82	68.33%	1.138	0.5568	0.722
The Border of Life and Death	8	30.13	50.0%	-0.014	-0.5309	0.678
Thriving Communities	249	27.55	46.18%	-0.581	-0.242	0.399
Thriving Crops	14	22.07	28.57%	-0.165	-0.2077	0.35
Unnatural Proliferation	249	27.78	48.19%	-0.212	-0.0715	-0.272
Untended Land Crumbles	229	26.91	48.03%	-0.198	0.2506	0.33

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	1865	51.16%	27.71	53.03%	-0.117	0.7449	-0.514
B	1816	49.64%	27.51	51.65%	-0.096	0.7205	-0.166
C	1649	44.19%	27.77	52.64%	-0.101	0.5784	-0.222
D	1108	43.72%	26.38	46.39%	-0.896	-0.0918	-0.563
E	1399	46.16%	28.82	56.4%	0.037	0.7051	0.259
F	1312	44.46%	28.59	52.74%	0.022	0.8206	0.0
G	905	49.83%	28.34	52.49%	0.136	0.9616	0.072
H	868	48.85%	27.98	45.16%	-0.061	0.7117	-0.62
East	2	100.0%	29.0	50.0%
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	12	0.0%	28.75	66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens	57	50.0%	20.63	33.33%	-0.371	0.0164
Skip Initial Invader Actions	134	27.13%	41.86	70.9%	0.598	-0.0164	0.116
Start of Game Growth	261	27.34%	39.54	75.86%	1.189	0.6077	1.395
Unlimited Undo	455	41.93%	28.31	51.21%	-0.569	-0.5252	0.542
Using Tokens but Not Events	659	40.43%	22.98	49.01%	-0.784	-0.842	-0.562

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1941	15.74	0.93%
II	2107	30.48	39.87%
III	2274	34.79	85.53%
IV	862	38.41	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.127 Win Model: 0.305

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	4717	47.23%	26.76	49.65%
2	1635	51.93%	29.5	51.5%
3	552	51.36%	30.11	57.79%
4	230	35.65%	29.74	63.48%
5	17	29.41%	11.24	29.41%
6	33	12.5%	16.0	33.33%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	18
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	1926
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	832
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	859
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	993
Lose: Invader deck ran out	9
Lose: Adversary condition	235
Win: Sacrifice victory	30
Lose: Scenario condition	1220
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1012
Lose: Spirit destroyed	50

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River