The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	5494	51.99%	30.58	56.55%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	288	37.76%	33.8	68.75%	0.321	0.1727	0.198
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	71	53.52%	29.54	42.25%	-0.083	0.0481	-0.404
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	388	53.09%	31.91	69.85%	1.398	1.2528	-0.171
Downpour Drenches the World	37	48.65%	27.97	35.14%	-0.101	0.0779	0.007
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	76	27.63%	29.38	59.21%	1.625	0.86	-0.567
Eyes Watch From the Trees	169	34.32%	29.47	49.7%	-0.832	-1.4211	0.059
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	333	42.17%	34.74	69.07%	0.04	-0.4567	0.239
Finder of Paths Unseen	23	60.87%	31.52	43.48%	-0.504	0.1601	-0.067
Fractured Days Split the Sky	65	49.23%	28.17	38.46%	-0.86	-0.2745	0.094
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	102	65.69%	26.17	39.22%	0.286	0.1909	-0.716
Heart of the Wildfire	379	77.57%	27.84	54.62%	0.29	0.5313	-0.146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	532	46.79%	34.48	68.05%	0.323	-0.1193	0.534
Lightning's Swift Strike	734	53.57%	29.79	64.85%	0.592	0.7747	-0.08
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	136	56.62%	33.64	38.97%	0.411	-0.0763	0.232
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	84	38.1%	33.06	59.52%	-0.589	-0.7567	0.034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	332	48.34%	32.96	64.76%	1.161	1.0479	1.168
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1092	61.43%	31.5	60.99%	0.363	0.2311	-0.396
Many Minds Move as One	123	37.4%	32.49	48.78%	0.249	0.0281	1.011
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	363	36.19%	34.22	57.85%	-0.569	-0.6116	-0.518
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	297	49.32%	29.52	61.28%	-0.481	-0.6584	0.254
River Surges in Sunlight	330	56.53%	30.75	53.64%	-0.289	-0.2187	0.108
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	222	55.86%	29.86	44.14%	-1.317	-1.0067	0.311
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	52	43.14%	25.85	36.54%	-1.134	-1.2473	-0.462
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	138	35.51%	32.54	60.87%	-0.53	-0.7674	0.623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	35	57.14%	18.69	25.71%	-0.326	0.2033	-0.141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	8	37.5%	23.75	50.0%	0.571	0.4958
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	3	33.33%	5.33	0.0%	-0.105	-0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	39	51.28%	27.77	35.9%	-0.447	-0.4656	-0.72
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	60	66.67%	24.7	36.67%	-0.515	-0.3386	-0.248
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	239	38.91%	34.09	66.95%	0.125	-0.0647	0.617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	13	46.15%	29.15	30.77%	0.371	-0.0101	0.077
Shifting Memory of Ages	72	43.06%	28.03	41.67%	0.279	0.6326	-0.577
Shroud of Silent Mist	68	54.41%	21.84	35.29%	-0.494	-0.2435	-0.403
Starlight Seeks its Form	84	44.05%	28.5	50.0%	-0.033	-0.2946	0.452
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	225	45.33%	29.15	52.89%	0.103	-0.3741	-0.578
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	207	61.17%	31.35	51.21%	-0.674	-0.6108	0.318
Thunderspeaker	252	48.81%	29.88	53.57%	0.221	0.1867	0.006
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	22	18.18%	12.27	22.73%	-0.201	-0.2403	-0.263
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	132	62.88%	26.89	40.91%	-0.539	-0.4462	0.448
Vital Strength of the Earth	55	38.46%	25.11	43.64%	0.132	0.6563	-0.036
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	11	27.27%	26.73	63.64%	0.88	1.1408
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	51	37.25%	20.27	15.69%	-0.24	0.5363	-0.4
Volcano Looming High	330	53.03%	33.65	64.55%	1.188	1.1453	0.312

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	113	61.95%	25.94	-1.635	38.05%	-0.286	-0.0227
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	69	52.17%	31.62	-6.983	43.48%	-0.883	-0.5368
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	32	25.0%	30.47	-4.96	21.88%	-0.488	0.3419
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	35	40.0%	40.09	12.1	37.14%	0.415	1.4063
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	14	42.86%	30.57	0.0	7.14%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	35	60.0%	34.2	1.418	2.86%	-1.05	0.9626
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	174	43.68%	29.49	-4.289	53.45%	-0.637	-0.5516
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	144	48.61%	34.1	-0.672	62.5%	-0.138	-0.2335
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	130	53.85%	39.68	3.582	54.62%	-0.014	-0.0248
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	106	65.09%	39.87	6.132	41.51%	-0.272	-0.0746
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	51	68.63%	41.43	-1.431	43.14%	-0.568	-0.3655
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	29	62.07%	39.52	0.0	20.69%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	41	85.37%	39.02	-9.993	19.51%	-0.329	1.0094
The Kingdom of England	0	1	136	50.0%	28.36	-1.514	51.47%	0.263	0.5287
The Kingdom of England	1	3	67	58.21%	31.84	-1.54	44.78%	-0.564	-0.3806
The Kingdom of England	2	4	71	50.7%	34.94	-1.151	45.07%	0.085	0.8219
The Kingdom of England	3	6	53	54.72%	31.19	-7.865	24.53%	-0.542	0.5977
The Kingdom of England	4	7	50	70.0%	30.68	-8.745	18.0%	-0.759	0.287
The Kingdom of England	5	9	4	25.0%	27.25	-6.148	25.0%	-0.203	1.4378
The Kingdom of England	6	11	37	43.24%	38.05	-1.905	21.62%	-0.94	1.1015
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	101	55.45%	25.71	-4.31	38.61%	-0.673	-0.2703
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	64	78.13%	23.52	-4.19	21.88%	-0.638	0.3173
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	49	18.37%	25.37	2.751	8.16%	-0.146	0.9275
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	27	40.74%	33.67	1.884	18.52%	-0.334	0.9536
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	15	26.67%	28.4	-9.331	6.67%	-0.444	0.9578
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	27	51.85%	36.11	5.524	11.11%	-0.365	0.5633
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	101	45.54%	30.55	1.067	7.92%	-1.367	-0.0229
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	28	46.43%	24.57	-5.426	50.0%	-0.602	-0.5855
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	5	40.0%	28.8	6.655	40.0%	0.434	0.8641
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	7	28.57%	22.71	-3.618	28.57%	-0.226	0.2148
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	15	46.67%	31.93	-0.518	26.67%	-0.372	0.0133
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	9	77.78%	42.44	6.18	44.44%	-0.113	0.506
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	15	53.33%	42.2	0.396	40.0%	-0.745	0.0381
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	7	42.86%	50.57	0.0	42.86%
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	116	47.41%	26.43	-6.111	50.0%	-1.016	-0.8361
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	102	44.12%	31.01	-0.39	51.96%	-0.234	-0.2083
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	89	62.92%	30.64	1.705	44.94%	-0.179	0.0436
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	69	73.91%	40.71	5.783	52.17%	0.041	0.4685
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	26	53.85%	40.27	8.033	46.15%	0.216	0.8243
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	21	71.43%	38.29	0.0	33.33%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	61	63.93%	31.89	-7.463	16.39%	-0.791	0.0958
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	132	47.73%	29.11	-3.976	59.85%	-0.465	-0.3439
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	57	80.7%	28.77	8.283	36.84%	0.124	0.7648
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	66	57.58%	35.0	-3.108	48.48%	-0.953	-0.5271
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	36	66.67%	44.75	-8.873	52.78%	-0.427	0.6876
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	19	73.68%	35.26	-1.587	26.32%	-0.281	0.6234
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	-1.846	16.67%	-0.425	1.071
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	35	77.14%	38.37	-8.281	8.57%	-0.509	1.3313

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	3556	52.14	29.92	55.74%	0.168	0.2224	0.018
1	Thematic	2	100.0	29.0	50.0%
2	Coastline	1288	53.04	31.67	55.28%	0.364	0.2097	-0.301
3	Coastline	437	56.19	32.29	61.33%	0.051	-0.4624	0.048
4	Coastline	193	34.72	32.47	70.47%	-0.067	0.1642	0.554
5	Coastline	3	0.0	8.33	0.0%
6	Coastline	13	25.0	23.54	53.85%	-0.53	-1.3308	-0.328
7	Coastline	1	0.0	22.0	0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	235	30.3	53.62%	-0.075	0.1677	0.554
Aid From Lesser Spirits	178	33.03	57.3%	1.224	1.1468	0.788
All Things Weaken	245	26.02	42.45%	-0.973	-0.5803	0.344
Attenuated Essence	7	35.57	71.43%	1.257	1.3641	0.449
Back Against the Wall	149	28.76	48.99%	0.243	0.3008	-0.326
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	11	21.0	45.45%	0.387	0.5884	-0.106
Burn Brightest Before the End	7	34.14	85.71%	1.525	1.735
Disintegrating Ecosystem	178	26.75	47.19%	0.336	0.7601	0.541
Downward Spiral	233	27.95	51.07%	0.752	0.9876	0.661
Erosion of Will	213	27.76	46.95%	-0.25	0.0594	0.279
Intensifying Exploitation	8	33.38	50.0%	0.834	1.1212	0.532
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	85	33.99	75.29%	0.011	-0.483	0.006
Memory Fades to Dust	219	26.69	46.58%	0.765	1.1018	0.374
Power Corrodes the Spirit	237	26.1	40.51%	0.013	0.2339	-0.628
Promising Farmlands	155	24.86	40.65%	-0.37	0.0831	-0.793
Shattered Fragments of Power	6	27.17	50.0%	0.296	0.3471
Slow Dissolution of Will	8	21.0	25.0%	-0.199	0.2005	0.403
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	50	33.24	70.0%	0.846	0.1356	0.682
Thriving Communities	211	28.38	49.76%	0.868	1.2313	0.173
Thriving Crops	4	20.0	25.0%	0.006	-0.1913	-0.166
Unnatural Proliferation	219	27.79	49.32%	0.086	0.3006	-0.282
Untended Land Crumbles	192	27.21	46.88%	0.112	0.3941	0.265

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	1447	54.61%	30.53	58.05%	-0.38	0.36	-0.469
B	1389	52.24%	30.39	56.95%	-0.47	0.2563	0.156
C	1262	48.41%	30.83	58.95%	-0.052	0.53	-0.192
D	824	48.36%	30.26	54.13%	-0.199	0.5128	-0.228
E	1053	49.76%	32.08	64.39%	0.068	0.6335	0.558
F	1002	48.05%	31.89	58.58%	-0.424	0.2463	0.297
G	684	54.4%	31.29	57.02%	-0.707	-0.0549	0.272
H	646	53.25%	30.36	48.14%	-0.235	0.3356	-0.587
East	2	100.0%	29.0	50.0%
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	12	0.0%	28.75	66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens	43	52.38%	24.33	41.86%
Skip Initial Invader Actions	98	31.18%	43.24	75.51%	0.203	-0.4146	0.196
Start of Game Growth	211	30.58%	40.7	79.62%	-0.043	-0.3917	0.934
Unlimited Undo	324	53.02%	32.89	59.88%	-0.464	-0.4709	0.576
Using Tokens but Not Events	461	47.33%	27.66	59.87%	-0.453	-0.4629	0.226

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	1082	20.4	1.29%
II	1755	31.01	40.97%
III	1934	34.76	85.37%
IV	723	38.07	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.043 Win Model: 0.065

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	3587	52.05%	29.81	55.42%
2	1272	53.47%	32.07	56.21%
3	428	55.97%	32.15	61.45%
4	191	34.55%	32.46	70.16%
5	3	0.0%	0.0	0.0%
6	13	25.0%	25.23	53.85%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	14
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	1636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	711
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	721
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	240
Lose: Invader deck ran out	8
Lose: Adversary condition	200
Win: Sacrifice victory	25
Lose: Scenario condition	1050
Lose: Blight pool ran out	842
Lose: Spirit destroyed	47

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River