The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	8684	45.5%	26.06	48.25%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	427	34.82%	29.46	60.89%	0.996	0.9117	0.001
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	30	30.0%	21.37	40.0%	0.173	-0.2793	0.824
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	117	45.3%	23.6	34.19%	-0.422	-0.2876	-0.503
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	52	40.38%	26.25	44.23%	1.064	0.2346	0.219
Dances Up Earthquakes	17	41.18%	11.35	23.53%	-0.392	-0.4339	-0.06
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	545	48.07%	28.45	62.2%	0.32	0.188	0.087
Downpour Drenches the World	128	40.63%	19.48	28.91%	-0.586	-0.3506	-0.247
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	307	31.6%	28.62	58.31%	1.637	1.0508	0.333
Eyes Watch From the Trees	284	29.23%	23.1	39.08%	-1.212	-1.6037	-0.034
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	490	37.22%	30.19	59.59%	0.131	-0.2862	0.241
Finder of Paths Unseen	87	42.53%	16.09	20.69%	-0.856	-0.1282	-0.221
Fractured Days Split the Sky	200	28.0%	15.36	20.5%	-0.639	-0.0044	-0.848
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	211	49.76%	21.93	35.07%	0.308	0.1792	-0.581
Heart of the Wildfire	497	73.04%	25.82	51.91%	-0.701	-0.3625	0.14
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	716	46.5%	32.51	62.99%	1.256	0.8441	0.536
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	93	38.71%	29.4	59.14%	0.825	0.5095	0.553
Lightning's Swift Strike	1109	50.86%	26.99	58.07%	0.565	0.7982	0.133
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	233	49.79%	30.21	43.35%	1.225	0.8264	0.506
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	132	33.33%	26.94	47.73%	0.248	-0.0801	-0.014
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	514	47.17%	29.05	57.98%	0.259	0.1755	1.093
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1433	58.25%	28.78	55.62%	0.189	-0.0054	-0.129
Many Minds Move as One	207	28.5%	23.83	37.2%	0.112	-0.091	0.673
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	539	31.6%	28.14	47.5%	-0.035	0.0996	-0.241
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	16	31.25%	24.63	31.25%	-0.751	-0.6776	-0.406
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	443	44.8%	26.19	53.72%	0.928	0.8422	0.612
River Surges in Sunlight	446	51.91%	27.28	48.21%	-0.306	-0.1755	0.213
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	25	28.0%	12.04	20.0%	-0.197	-0.0462	-0.287
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	300	52.0%	25.1	37.0%	-0.755	-0.4751	0.332
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	130	42.64%	22.83	31.54%	0.236	0.0966	-0.447
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	228	31.58%	25.95	47.81%	0.106	-0.0214	0.673
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	4	0.0%	10.0	25.0%	0.005	-0.1175
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	56	48.21%	13.82	16.07%	-0.335	0.1983	-0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	29	27.59%	16.72	34.48%	-0.471	-0.5181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	26	42.31%	29.27	61.54%	-0.424	-0.8984	0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	21	33.33%	17.9	33.33%	-0.155	-0.2966
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	60	46.67%	22.93	30.0%	-0.306	-0.3663	-0.66
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	80	55.0%	21.26	31.25%	-0.698	-0.5661	-0.212
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	304	38.82%	31.56	61.84%	0.268	0.3493	0.419
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	64	37.5%	27.09	50.0%	1.175	0.985	0.292
Shifting Memory of Ages	140	32.86%	20.46	30.0%	-0.75	-0.4873	-0.772
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	24	33.33%	14.63	16.67%	-0.32	-0.4127	-0.573
Shroud of Silent Mist	122	40.98%	16.98	26.23%	-0.691	-0.3589	-0.777
Starlight Seeks its Form	173	36.99%	23.64	41.62%	0.018	-0.0862	0.392
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	335	40.9%	26.34	48.36%	0.216	-0.2973	-0.318
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	292	53.61%	26.18	41.44%	-0.148	-0.0066	0.11
Thunderspeaker	369	42.28%	25.44	47.15%	1.12	1.1614	-0.13
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	55	36.36%	13.93	25.45%	-0.601	-0.5501	-0.278
Towering Roots of the Jungle	36	27.78%	17.67	30.56%	0.255	0.3752	-0.114
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	213	53.99%	20.68	30.52%	-0.235	-0.1397	0.044
Vital Strength of the Earth	90	32.18%	18.83	30.0%	-0.709	-0.1065	-0.32
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	54	31.48%	19.94	22.22%			-0.557
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	80	35.0%	16.15	12.5%	-0.522	0.164	-0.539
Volcano Looming High	469	45.2%	27.88	54.37%	0.368	0.4114	0.378
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	75	37.33%	26.69	57.33%	-0.259	-0.5639	0.301

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	13	7.69%	16.46	0.059	30.77%	-0.074	0.3081
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	3	33.33%	8.0	-2.716	0.0%	-0.479	-0.3223
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	4	0.0%	5.25	-1.426	0.0%	-0.446	-0.3972
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	3	33.33%	24.33	5.468	33.33%	0.051	0.4577
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	1	0.0%	0.0	-8.505	0.0%	-0.306	0.5503
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	1	100.0%	0.0	-11.675	0.0%	-0.454	1.303
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	196	45.92%	21.97	2.966	35.2%	0.222	0.6821
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	123	41.46%	25.27	-8.288	36.59%	-0.134	0.1886
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	60	20.0%	22.27	-1.091	15.0%	-0.214	0.2971
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	68	26.47%	30.21	-9.211	27.94%	-1.023	-0.0166
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	17	41.18%	26.41	0.0	5.88%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	3	66.67%	16.33	0.0	0.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	50	58.0%	30.44	-7.957	4.0%	-0.139	1.6749
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	270	40.37%	24.04	-0.811	43.7%	-0.539	-0.3553
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	250	38.4%	27.05	0.693	48.8%	-0.242	-0.241
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	223	50.67%	33.59	4.414	46.19%	0.116	0.1243
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	188	55.32%	30.52	-1.661	29.79%	-0.833	-0.6364
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	87	52.87%	31.84	-6.845	33.33%	-0.25	-0.0234
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	34	52.94%	33.71	0.0	17.65%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	58	67.24%	33.43	8.909	17.24%	-0.102	1.1469
The Kingdom of England	0	1	229	34.5%	21.57	-2.078	39.74%	-0.33	-0.0149
The Kingdom of England	1	3	105	45.71%	24.7	-0.639	35.24%	0.366	0.6259
The Kingdom of England	2	4	106	42.45%	26.58	-5.767	34.91%	-0.564	-0.0778
The Kingdom of England	3	6	73	45.21%	26.77	-9.339	21.92%	-0.318	0.7359
The Kingdom of England	4	7	87	47.13%	21.51	-7.886	11.49%	-1.093	-0.1344
The Kingdom of England	5	9	12	33.33%	14.0	-0.079	8.33%	-0.593	0.9881
The Kingdom of England	6	11	67	28.36%	25.64	-3.047	14.93%	-0.672	1.174
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	176	47.16%	20.68	-3.487	31.25%	-0.812	-0.493
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	113	59.29%	19.76	-0.706	19.47%	-0.488	0.3134
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	77	16.88%	19.82	-0.924	5.19%	-0.242	0.8904
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	74	39.19%	23.32	-1.514	9.46%	-0.634	0.549
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	29	31.03%	20.38	-4.887	3.45%	-0.553	0.7615
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	40	35.0%	24.38	0.0	7.5%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	157	33.12%	23.37	-10.203	6.37%	-0.351	1.0321
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	95	29.47%	19.02	-0.665	36.84%	0.287	0.5504
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	32	31.25%	24.53	9.142	40.63%	0.564	1.0573
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	25	28.0%	28.84	1.778	44.0%	0.013	0.3482
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	47	48.94%	32.21	5.516	34.04%	-0.665	-0.704
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	27	62.96%	33.63	-4.744	37.04%	-0.421	0.1037
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	33	33.33%	30.36	-2.775	30.3%	-0.618	-0.121
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	42	26.19%	30.5	1.858	26.19%	-0.573	0.4723
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	202	38.61%	20.56	4.9	39.11%	0.663	0.9111
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	176	36.93%	25.46	-1.435	42.05%	-0.457	-0.4058
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	152	52.63%	24.54	-4.104	36.84%	-0.658	-0.4662
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	114	65.79%	33.35	2.857	42.98%	-0.261	-0.0258
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	51	35.29%	26.45	4.094	31.37%	-0.327	0.4371
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	48	52.08%	25.56	5.552	20.83%	-0.039	1.0474
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	115	44.35%	19.9	-4.231	11.3%	-0.208	0.7046
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	229	36.24%	23.05	-1.662	47.6%	0.017	0.2318
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	103	58.25%	19.5	-4.602	25.24%	-0.473	0.3562
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	104	46.15%	26.05	-1.7	35.58%	-0.148	0.1374
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	60	58.33%	34.78	2.141	41.67%	0.025	1.0751
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	44	50.0%	19.66	5.896	13.64%	-0.188	0.7824
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	0.0	16.67%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	55	65.45%	31.04	0.0	7.27%

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	5612	44.81	25.36	47.38%	0.544	0.8871	-0.499
1	Thematic	4	100.0	29.5	50.0%	0.185	0.9019
2	Coastline	2019	48.34	27.1	47.25%	-0.08	-0.1536	-0.495
3	Coastline	699	48.57	28.75	54.94%	-0.411	-1.0459	0.518
4	Coastline	272	37.13	28.42	59.56%	-0.179	-0.2367	0.838
5	Coastline	30	33.33	15.0	40.0%	0.218	0.0124	-0.648
6	Coastline	43	9.52	15.72	34.88%	-0.293	-1.2173	-0.472
7	Coastline	3	0.0	7.33	0.0%			-0.114

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	300	28.93	51.33%	0.162	0.386	0.666
Aid From Lesser Spirits	226	33.06	57.52%	0.855	0.7978	0.976
All Things Weaken	321	25.1	41.43%	-0.739	-0.3799	0.354
Attenuated Essence	56	26.71	55.36%	-0.004	0.0162	0.105
Back Against the Wall	188	28.24	47.34%	-0.114	-0.0686	-0.313
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	48	25.85	54.17%	0.017	0.2007	0.266
Burn Brightest Before the End	42	28.05	54.76%	-0.086	-0.0825	-0.365
Disintegrating Ecosystem	225	26.91	48.0%	1.323	1.6548	0.971
Downward Spiral	310	26.62	48.39%	-0.297	-0.1725	0.792
Erosion of Will	270	27.29	46.3%	0.031	0.2881	0.847
Intensifying Exploitation	41	25.78	34.15%	0.011	0.2372	0.372
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	120	32.8	71.67%	0.47	-0.127	-0.023
Memory Fades to Dust	292	26.13	46.23%	-0.401	-0.1417	0.921
Power Corrodes the Spirit	288	24.86	38.54%	-0.214	-0.0066	-0.378
Promising Farmlands	205	25.29	40.0%	-0.896	-0.6445	0.309
Shattered Fragments of Power	36	25.89	33.33%	-0.396	-0.2967	0.566
Slow Dissolution of Will	47	22.11	38.3%	-0.481	-0.0882	0.305
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	69	32.13	63.77%	-0.355	-1.0771	1.19
The Border of Life and Death	13	37.69	69.23%	0.592	-0.0093	0.702
Thriving Communities	291	26.47	45.02%	-1.152	-0.8971	0.578
Thriving Crops	17	21.47	29.41%			0.298
Unnatural Proliferation	286	27.28	47.55%	-0.224	-0.0023	-0.044
Untended Land Crumbles	255	26.9	47.45%	0.397	0.5885	0.392

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	2235	48.99%	26.25	50.51%	-0.391	0.5749	-0.739
B	2200	47.25%	26.32	49.55%	0.146	1.033	-0.296
C	2007	42.54%	26.41	49.98%	-0.146	0.557	-0.468
D	1347	40.04%	24.25	42.46%	-0.949	-0.0202	-0.901
E	1701	44.13%	26.82	52.15%	-0.104	0.6807	-0.044
F	1602	42.65%	27.21	50.75%	-0.154	0.6911	-0.034
G	1098	46.26%	26.42	49.36%	-0.771	0.0377	-0.262
H	1061	46.28%	26.5	43.83%	0.138	0.9543	-0.708
East	4	100.0%	29.5	50.0%	0.185	1.0012
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	12	0.0%	28.75	66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens	77	51.32%	18.84	32.47%	-0.328	0.0118
Skip Initial Invader Actions	157	23.68%	41.85	70.06%	0.37	-0.231	0.233
Start of Game Growth	289	26.41%	39.34	74.39%	0.425	-0.1074	1.333
Unlimited Undo	562	38.34%	26.46	48.04%	-0.718	-0.8035	0.64
Using Tokens but Not Events	831	37.2%	21.42	45.37%	-0.109	-0.1371	-0.435

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	2664	13.46	0.94%
II	2432	30.14	39.39%
III	2620	34.84	85.46%
IV	968	38.67	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.355 Win Model: 0.527

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	5724	44.32%	25.02	46.63%
2	1934	50.0%	28.2	49.38%
3	688	48.91%	28.84	55.38%
4	264	36.74%	28.56	59.85%
5	29	34.48%	14.66	41.38%
6	45	9.09%	15.51	33.33%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	2219
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	948
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	962
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	1652
Lose: Invader deck ran out	11
Lose: Adversary condition	250
Win: Sacrifice victory	37
Lose: Scenario condition	1386
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1135
Lose: Spirit destroyed	60

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-31 04:00:51 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-31 04:00:51 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River