The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	9939	44.61%	25.3	46.88%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	474	35.38%	28.32	57.81%	0.048	-0.1238	0.757
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	51	37.25%	18.35	31.37%	-0.435	-0.9251	-0.212
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles	3	33.33%	3.0	0.0%	-0.496	-0.6469
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine	46	39.13%	33.46	60.87%	0.88	0.2811	0.915
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	128	42.19%	22.13	32.03%	-0.155	0.0199	-0.061
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	68	38.24%	25.56	44.12%	0.42	-0.3906	-0.208
Dances Up Earthquakes	40	37.5%	13.78	30.0%	-0.084	0.0515	-0.217
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	598	47.49%	27.88	60.7%	0.189	-0.0114	-0.154
Downpour Drenches the World	158	37.97%	20.54	30.38%	-0.396	-0.1074	0.306
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	386	33.42%	28.49	59.07%	1.206	0.7173	0.184
Eyes Watch From the Trees	329	28.75%	22.48	37.08%	-0.083	-0.5013	0.431
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	543	37.27%	29.18	57.83%	0.758	0.5045	0.001
Finder of Paths Unseen	107	39.25%	14.99	20.56%			-0.168
Fractured Days Split the Sky	210	27.62%	15.21	20.0%	0.194	0.7303	-0.285
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	249	49.0%	21.48	34.14%	0.035	0.0916	-0.497
Heart of the Wildfire	547	71.66%	25.78	51.92%	0.488	0.8089	0.43
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	778	46.13%	31.97	62.21%	-0.031	-0.4513	-0.105
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	128	35.16%	26.98	53.13%	0.567	0.2541	0.011
Lightning's Swift Strike	1252	50.28%	26.25	56.63%	0.129	0.3521	-0.261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	273	47.99%	29.87	44.32%	-0.029	-0.5301	0.777
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	155	34.84%	25.34	43.87%			-0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	593	46.45%	27.9	55.82%	0.886	0.653	-0.221
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1561	57.45%	28.27	54.71%	-0.042	-0.2384	0.696
Many Minds Move as One	257	27.63%	21.72	34.63%	-0.722	-0.8274	-0.503
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	594	30.69%	27.23	45.79%	-0.182	-0.1984	0.554
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	43	44.19%	22.7	27.91%	-0.49	-0.3834	-0.102
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	499	45.38%	25.67	52.91%	-0.114	-0.2602	-0.282
River Surges in Sunlight	502	50.1%	25.66	45.42%	-0.529	-0.4872	-0.666
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	35	25.71%	9.09	14.29%	-0.488	-0.4056	-0.038
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	336	52.24%	24.07	35.42%	0.075	0.2487	-0.347
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	164	44.17%	22.94	32.93%	0.527	0.638	1.02
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	247	30.77%	24.93	45.75%	-0.097	-0.3064	-0.052
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	15	46.67%	24.53	46.67%			0.384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	72	50.0%	13.15	16.67%	-0.225	0.4224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	31	29.03%	16.94	35.48%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	42	40.48%	27.52	57.14%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	27	29.63%	21.26	40.74%			-0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	67	43.28%	21.18	28.36%	-0.35	-0.3741	-0.125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	85	51.76%	20.69	30.59%	-0.164	-0.0573
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	323	39.01%	30.62	59.75%	-0.593	-0.8711	-0.081
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle	11	45.45%	34.91	63.64%	-0.401	-0.7947	-0.138
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	90	36.67%	27.77	53.33%	0.475	0.5002	-0.339
Shifting Memory of Ages	164	32.32%	18.75	26.83%			-0.332
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	40	32.5%	18.63	30.0%	-0.078	-0.0736	0.297
Shroud of Silent Mist	143	39.86%	16.41	25.87%	-0.414	0.1923	-0.029
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded	1	0.0%	17.0	0.0%	-0.339	-0.5732
Starlight Seeks its Form	211	37.91%	22.86	41.23%	0.154	0.1412	-0.441
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	372	40.32%	25.47	46.77%	0.112	-0.4915	0.402
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	339	51.78%	25.84	41.0%	0.008	0.1517	0.054
Thunderspeaker	398	41.92%	25.33	46.98%	0.735	0.8498	-0.029
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	73	36.99%	14.52	24.66%	-0.313	-0.3699	-0.341
Towering Roots of the Jungle	63	33.33%	19.3	33.33%	0.362	0.5215	-0.379
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	233	52.36%	19.66	28.76%	-0.275	-0.2434	-0.19
Vital Strength of the Earth	104	31.68%	17.16	25.96%	-0.465	0.0275
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	60	33.33%	19.27	21.67%	-0.302	0.1104	-0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	95	31.58%	14.47	10.53%	-0.579	0.3251	-0.038
Volcano Looming High	542	43.91%	27.36	52.95%	0.553	0.4278	-0.005
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	115	39.13%	29.02	58.26%	0.343	0.1074	0.852

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	40	27.5%	17.0	-1.315	27.5%	-0.318	0.0485
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	6	33.33%	11.5	0.0	16.67%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	15	40.0%	17.8	0.0	20.0%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	18	22.22%	16.72	-10.624	22.22%	-0.365	-0.0835
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	13	46.15%	24.92	6.907	23.08%	-0.144	0.3976
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	2	0.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0%
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	3	66.67%	8.33	-5.185	0.0%	-0.142	2.0087
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	220	44.09%	21.19	1.239	34.55%	0.351	0.8423
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	131	41.22%	24.85	-9.802	35.88%	-0.574	-0.3023
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	66	19.7%	22.47	18.965	16.67%	0.47	1.1015
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	82	30.49%	28.15	0.0	26.83%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	18	44.44%	28.89	20.937	11.11%	0.31	1.3867
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	8	25.0%	11.25	0.0	0.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	54	53.7%	30.57	0.0	5.56%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	299	39.46%	22.88	-4.356	41.47%	-0.442	-0.3097
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	283	39.22%	26.52	-7.777	48.41%	-0.544	-0.3538
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	244	49.59%	31.8	-1.622	43.85%	-0.059	-0.2576
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	207	53.62%	29.84	2.569	29.95%	-0.182	0.0873
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	101	52.48%	32.8	20.177	35.64%	0.538	0.6394
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	39	56.41%	35.95	0.0	23.08%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	73	63.01%	35.99	16.792	23.29%	0.613	1.8793
The Kingdom of England	0	1	271	34.69%	21.1	4.928	38.38%	0.869	1.2115
The Kingdom of England	1	3	119	41.18%	23.47	6.778	33.61%	0.155	0.3539
The Kingdom of England	2	4	127	43.31%	26.76	-4.312	34.65%	-0.174	0.3354
The Kingdom of England	3	6	86	41.86%	26.83	8.821	24.42%	0.134	1.395
The Kingdom of England	4	7	96	42.71%	19.78	0.0	10.42%
The Kingdom of England	5	9	20	25.0%	10.35	0.0	5.0%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	70	27.14%	24.54	0.0	14.29%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	201	46.77%	20.7	-2.547	30.35%	-0.893	-0.596
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	136	58.82%	18.88	0.0	18.38%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	93	18.48%	18.66	-10.651	5.38%	-0.641	0.1684
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	86	33.72%	21.34	0.0	8.14%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	35	28.57%	18.63	0.0	2.86%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	42	38.1%	24.17	0.0	7.14%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	164	32.93%	23.62	-9.769	6.71%	-0.308	1.0383
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	116	28.45%	17.58	-7.086	32.76%	-0.586	-0.4491
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	37	27.03%	21.22	0.0	35.14%
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	37	32.43%	22.89	-6.612	35.14%	-0.118	0.2108
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	55	43.64%	29.84	11.599	32.73%	0.222	0.2124
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	36	58.33%	28.25	-8.997	30.56%	-0.521	0.0314
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	42	35.71%	27.05	1.234	23.81%	-0.248	0.41
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	46	30.43%	29.74	0.0	23.91%
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	220	37.27%	19.91	-7.755	38.18%	-0.408	-0.2196
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	197	35.53%	23.92	-4.45	39.09%	-0.391	-0.2965
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	179	50.56%	23.99	-2.061	36.87%	-0.485	-0.2722
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	126	64.29%	33.26	15.7	43.65%	0.274	0.5922
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	63	38.1%	24.17	-11.225	28.57%	-1.016	-0.5015
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	55	50.91%	25.09	8.179	21.82%	-0.005	0.5304
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	126	45.24%	20.91	0.137	11.9%	-0.444	0.2111
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	264	33.71%	22.19	0.572	45.83%	0.315	0.7577
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	119	57.14%	18.82	-3.233	24.37%	-0.418	0.2781
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	120	44.17%	25.35	-2.902	35.0%	-0.118	0.2442
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	75	50.67%	28.76	-6.93	33.33%	-0.26	0.6252
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	54	50.0%	17.48	-9.03	11.11%	-0.482	0.3084
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	0.0	16.67%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	62	64.52%	29.48	0.0	6.45%

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	6373	44.04	24.73	46.21%	0.392	0.7049	0.641
1	Thematic	4	100.0	29.5	50.0%
2	Coastline	2346	47.18	26.01	45.61%	-0.405	-0.4129	-1.027
3	Coastline	814	46.36	28.1	53.19%	0.591	-0.2179	0.382
4	Coastline	311	38.26	26.95	56.59%	-0.583	-0.4877
5	Coastline	37	32.43	15.27	35.14%
6	Coastline	49	12.5	16.04	36.73%
7	Coastline	3	0.0	7.33	0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	314	28.91	51.91%			-0.139
Aid From Lesser Spirits	242	32.6	56.61%	-0.575	-0.5054	-0.084
All Things Weaken	347	25.08	41.5%	-0.262	0.1344	-0.145
Attenuated Essence	74	27.01	54.05%	0.258	0.3332
Back Against the Wall	202	28.76	48.02%	0.222	0.2023	-0.038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	66	28.08	53.03%	0.11	0.3953	0.697
Burn Brightest Before the End	59	27.88	54.24%	0.471	0.6966
Disintegrating Ecosystem	245	26.31	46.12%	0.445	0.7276	-0.415
Downward Spiral	336	27.18	49.7%	0.287	0.5194	1.089
Erosion of Will	298	27.36	46.31%			-0.05
Intensifying Exploitation	60	26.87	43.33%	0.262	0.5983	0.49
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	129	32.16	69.77%	-0.24	-0.7951
Memory Fades to Dust	324	25.6	45.06%	-0.166	0.173	0.227
Power Corrodes the Spirit	318	24.66	38.36%	0.356	0.586	0.508
Promising Farmlands	231	24.79	38.53%	-0.182	0.1735	-0.264
Shattered Fragments of Power	54	27.81	37.04%	0.27	0.3269	0.855
Slow Dissolution of Will	70	22.06	37.14%	-0.574	-0.2495	-0.426
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	78	32.05	65.38%	0.464	-0.1759	-0.157
The Border of Life and Death	14	35.0	64.29%
Thriving Communities	329	25.82	44.07%	-0.103	0.1285	-0.68
Thriving Crops	23	25.65	39.13%	0.512	0.3556	0.582
Unnatural Proliferation	321	27.41	47.98%	0.657	0.7832	0.973
Untended Land Crumbles	293	26.19	45.73%	-0.264	-0.057	0.826

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	2540	47.53%	25.66	49.49%	-0.385	0.5492	-0.328
B	2564	46.66%	25.62	48.17%	-0.067	0.7649	0.329
C	2308	42.1%	25.5	47.75%	-1.28	-0.5189	-0.033
D	1542	38.74%	23.51	41.25%	0.162	1.0429	-0.232
E	1927	43.51%	26.26	51.06%	0.049	0.7669	0.397
F	1859	42.13%	26.05	48.41%	-0.033	0.8059	0.067
G	1279	44.86%	25.46	47.69%	0.557	1.3781	0.102
H	1215	45.54%	25.44	42.47%	0.02	0.8025	-0.569
East	4	100.0%	29.5	50.0%
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	16	0.0%	27.19	62.5%	-0.073	0.7738
Not Using Events or Tokens	81	51.9%	18.81	33.33%	0.701	1.0658
Skip Initial Invader Actions	185	22.47%	38.19	64.86%	0.77	-0.0229
Start of Game Growth	321	26.52%	37.6	70.72%	0.037	-0.4885	-0.113
Unlimited Undo	677	36.04%	24.58	44.31%	-0.778	-0.7118	-0.351
Using Tokens but Not Events	959	36.83%	21.67	45.88%	-0.104	-0.1044	-0.177

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	3226	12.31	0.96%
II	2736	29.92	39.69%
III	2901	34.93	85.01%
IV	1076	38.88	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.42 Win Model: 0.273

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	6523	43.39%	24.3	45.3%
2	2228	49.19%	27.29	48.07%
3	798	46.92%	28.35	53.88%
4	304	37.83%	26.94	56.58%
5	35	34.29%	15.43	37.14%
6	51	12.0%	15.84	35.29%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	30
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	2445
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	1075
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1070
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	2139
Lose: Invader deck ran out	11
Lose: Adversary condition	278
Win: Sacrifice victory	39
Lose: Scenario condition	1521
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1261
Lose: Spirit destroyed	70

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River