The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	8271	46.12%	26.38	48.8%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	408	35.47%	29.9	61.27%	0.965	0.8615	0.006
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	28	32.14%	21.43	39.29%	-0.439	-0.9686	0.832
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	114	46.49%	23.73	34.21%	-0.4	-0.2432	-0.472
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	49	40.82%	24.69	40.82%	0.621	-0.2138	-0.142
Dances Up Earthquakes	6	33.33%	17.0	33.33%	0.196	0.0115	-0.063
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	526	49.24%	28.72	62.74%	0.117	-0.1294	0.105
Downpour Drenches the World	119	42.02%	20.31	30.25%	0.23	0.5709	-0.255
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	270	32.22%	28.46	57.04%	-0.122	-0.6379	0.406
Eyes Watch From the Trees	274	29.93%	23.59	40.51%	-0.867	-1.2787	0.0
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	475	37.76%	30.37	60.42%	0.528	0.1164	0.332
Finder of Paths Unseen	77	41.56%	16.75	22.08%	-0.55	0.1289	-0.24
Fractured Days Split the Sky	196	28.57%	15.67	20.92%	-0.672	-0.2132	-0.842
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	189	52.91%	21.96	34.92%	0.406	0.3532	-1.04
Heart of the Wildfire	481	74.01%	26.26	52.81%	0.204	0.5316	0.163
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	703	46.65%	32.56	62.73%	1.413	0.9338	0.52
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	78	42.31%	30.37	60.26%	0.815	0.4118	0.556
Lightning's Swift Strike	1054	51.05%	27.25	58.82%	0.993	1.2025	0.201
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	214	49.07%	29.94	41.12%	-0.336	-0.7235	0.398
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	128	34.38%	26.87	47.66%	-0.885	-1.1906	-0.017
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	490	47.65%	29.4	58.78%	0.84	1.0339	1.079
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1389	58.23%	29.03	56.01%	0.113	-0.0821	-0.101
Many Minds Move as One	200	29.0%	24.27	37.5%	-0.549	-0.7823	0.714
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	523	31.99%	28.58	47.99%	0.032	0.1568	-0.234
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	6	33.33%	30.67	50.0%	0.16	0.2384
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	430	45.22%	26.18	53.72%	0.882	0.7897	0.594
River Surges in Sunlight	433	52.78%	27.61	48.73%	-0.667	-0.7098	0.201
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	19	21.05%	8.21	15.79%			-0.266
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	287	52.61%	25.63	37.98%	-0.3	-0.1513	0.367
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	119	45.76%	23.22	31.09%	-0.075	-0.2378	-0.469
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	222	31.53%	26.06	48.2%	-0.822	-0.9986	0.68
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	1	0.0%	0.0	0.0%	-0.233	-0.7374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	54	50.0%	14.0	16.67%	-0.255	0.2421	-0.095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	27	29.63%	17.96	37.04%	0.154	0.1666
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	24	45.83%	31.71	66.67%	0.261	-0.181	0.442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	20	35.0%	18.8	35.0%	-0.789	-0.4928
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	59	45.76%	23.32	30.51%	0.178	0.1232	-0.65
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	76	57.89%	22.38	32.89%	-0.267	-0.0215	-0.161
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	298	38.93%	31.76	62.42%	0.175	0.0608	0.459
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	55	38.18%	25.8	47.27%	0.577	0.4437	-0.002
Shifting Memory of Ages	134	34.33%	21.1	31.34%	0.53	0.8909	-0.761
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	16	37.5%	13.38	18.75%	0.545	0.6511	-0.566
Shroud of Silent Mist	117	42.74%	17.5	27.35%	-0.018	0.3845	-0.739
Starlight Seeks its Form	165	37.58%	24.01	42.42%	0.114	0.0469	0.427
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	327	40.98%	26.51	48.62%	-0.995	-1.5149	-0.312
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	279	54.32%	26.76	42.29%	-0.201	-0.1192	0.258
Thunderspeaker	352	42.9%	25.53	46.88%	0.052	0.0475	-0.096
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	51	39.22%	14.33	25.49%	-0.477	-0.1294	-0.287
Towering Roots of the Jungle	32	28.13%	16.72	28.13%	-0.175	0.0098	-0.12
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	204	54.41%	20.91	30.88%	-0.554	-0.5403	0.025
Vital Strength of the Earth	85	32.93%	19.6	31.76%	-0.902	-0.3941	-0.306
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	54	31.48%	19.94	22.22%			-0.567
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	77	36.36%	16.52	12.99%	-0.19	0.4801	-0.543
Volcano Looming High	449	45.66%	28.29	55.23%	0.385	0.43	0.375
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	67	38.81%	27.58	61.19%	0.923	0.615	0.357

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	1	0.0%	0.0	-8.499	0.0%	-0.22	-0.2929
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	1	0.0%	0.0	-3.389	0.0%	-0.162	-0.2863
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	2	0.0%	0.0	-6.395	0.0%	-0.352	-0.545
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	1	0.0%	0.0	-4.687	0.0%	-0.134	0.3199
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	190	47.37%	21.87	-0.074	34.74%	-0.068	0.3031
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	122	41.8%	25.48	-4.71	36.89%	-0.662	-0.2319
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	57	19.3%	23.44	9.529	15.79%	0.233	0.7056
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	63	28.57%	32.6	0.0	30.16%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	17	41.18%	26.41	0.0	5.88%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	3	66.67%	16.33	0.0	0.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	49	59.18%	31.06	0.0	4.08%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	258	41.09%	24.25	0.936	44.57%	0.458	0.6717
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	238	39.92%	27.24	3.508	49.58%	0.508	0.5148
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	211	50.24%	33.5	2.869	45.97%	-0.112	-0.008
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	182	56.04%	30.9	-1.47	30.22%	-0.533	-0.2423
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	85	54.12%	32.59	-7.248	34.12%	-0.467	-0.1426
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	34	52.94%	33.71	-6.312	17.65%	-0.107	0.2448
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	57	68.42%	33.46	-10.512	17.54%	-0.111	1.168
The Kingdom of England	0	1	221	35.75%	21.77	-3.665	40.27%	-0.508	-0.1704
The Kingdom of England	1	3	100	47.0%	25.1	-9.79	35.0%	-0.309	0.1776
The Kingdom of England	2	4	103	42.72%	27.24	-8.434	35.92%	-0.545	0.05
The Kingdom of England	3	6	72	45.83%	27.14	6.865	22.22%	-0.135	0.9523
The Kingdom of England	4	7	83	48.19%	22.29	-6.645	12.05%	-0.27	0.7783
The Kingdom of England	5	9	9	22.22%	12.11	0.0	11.11%
The Kingdom of England	6	11	63	30.16%	26.62	0.0	15.87%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	162	46.91%	21.21	-0.846	32.1%	-0.478	0.0123
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	104	60.58%	20.0	2.759	19.23%	-0.024	0.8133
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	75	17.33%	20.03	-7.074	5.33%	-0.713	0.4832
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	70	38.57%	23.87	-6.69	10.0%	-0.971	0.3133
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	26	30.77%	21.85	0.0	3.85%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	40	35.0%	24.38	0.0	7.5%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	156	33.33%	23.52	0.0	6.41%
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	86	31.4%	19.05	3.258	36.05%	0.264	0.5712
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	28	28.57%	21.96	0.0	35.71%
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	24	29.17%	27.17	-10.332	41.67%	-0.315	0.0496
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	44	47.73%	31.27	5.541	34.09%	-0.146	0.1122
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	26	61.54%	33.85	0.57	38.46%	-0.215	0.539
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	31	35.48%	31.32	0.0	32.26%
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	39	28.21%	29.74	0.0	25.64%
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	198	38.89%	20.38	-4.333	38.38%	-0.679	-0.422
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	167	37.72%	25.87	-2.194	43.11%	-0.372	-0.1719
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	144	54.86%	25.29	-4.344	38.19%	-0.755	-0.4504
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	109	67.89%	33.92	-0.978	44.04%	-0.602	-0.2277
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	48	35.42%	26.23	-7.627	31.25%	-0.285	0.4604
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	46	50.0%	25.28	20.521	19.57%	0.42	1.561
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	113	44.25%	20.25	-10.439	11.5%	-0.304	0.7433
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	220	37.27%	23.34	-0.409	48.18%	0.252	0.5041
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	100	59.0%	19.89	-3.746	26.0%	-0.247	0.5028
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	97	47.42%	26.84	-5.083	36.08%	-0.5	-0.1229
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	57	57.89%	35.51	-6.192	42.11%	-0.173	0.6347
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	42	47.62%	18.33	-8.826	11.9%	-1.236	-0.1584
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	0.0	16.67%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	55	65.45%	31.04	-5.967	7.27%	-0.166	1.4519

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	5329	45.43	25.66	47.91%	0.598	0.9183	-0.498
1	Thematic	2	100.0	29.0	50.0%
2	Coastline	1940	48.76	27.4	47.68%	0.3	0.0944	-0.481
3	Coastline	662	49.77	29.34	56.04%	-0.082	-1.0741	0.51
4	Coastline	265	37.74	28.48	60.0%	-0.844	-0.8472	0.806
5	Coastline	28	35.71	14.86	39.29%	-0.162	-0.8864	-0.66
6	Coastline	40	10.26	15.93	35.0%	0.179	-1.0326	-0.471
7	Coastline	3	0.0	7.33	0.0%			-0.081

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	296	29.02	51.35%	0.188	0.2352	0.658
Aid From Lesser Spirits	219	33.22	57.53%	0.233	0.1174	0.975
All Things Weaken	307	25.51	42.35%	-0.188	-0.0455	0.353
Attenuated Essence	51	27.31	56.86%	-0.365	-0.3799	0.236
Back Against the Wall	183	28.57	48.09%	0.522	0.5098	-0.332
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	44	25.23	54.55%	-0.432	-0.2779	-0.351
Burn Brightest Before the End	37	29.78	59.46%	-0.514	-0.4895	-0.223
Disintegrating Ecosystem	219	26.18	46.58%	1.287	1.4814	0.759
Downward Spiral	301	26.83	48.84%	0.611	0.656	0.846
Erosion of Will	263	27.43	46.77%	0.791	0.957	0.831
Intensifying Exploitation	38	25.79	34.21%	-0.26	-0.1415	0.442
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	114	33.18	71.93%	0.303	-0.2467	0.004
Memory Fades to Dust	284	26.38	46.83%	0.058	0.2496	0.927
Power Corrodes the Spirit	279	25.0	38.71%	-0.098	0.0058	-0.388
Promising Farmlands	201	25.47	40.8%	-0.575	-0.3562	0.284
Shattered Fragments of Power	34	26.29	35.29%	0.082	0.1396	0.631
Slow Dissolution of Will	40	23.02	40.0%	0.736	1.0868	0.286
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	68	32.6	64.71%	-0.324	-1.0023	1.158
The Border of Life and Death	12	37.75	66.67%	1.016	0.5753	0.691
Thriving Communities	280	27.05	46.07%	0.072	0.2607	0.562
Thriving Crops	17	21.47	29.41%			0.272
Unnatural Proliferation	273	27.66	48.35%	0.573	0.6285	-0.217
Untended Land Crumbles	249	26.76	46.99%	-0.304	-0.0897	0.375

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	2126	49.67%	26.7	51.27%	-0.65	0.3015	-0.689
B	2102	48.02%	26.45	49.86%	-0.082	0.7825	-0.294
C	1917	43.18%	26.63	50.44%	-0.014	0.683	-0.434
D	1278	41.03%	24.76	43.51%	-0.168	0.6979	-0.877
E	1634	43.98%	27.22	52.82%	-0.024	0.6622	-0.04
F	1531	43.52%	27.5	51.21%	-0.372	0.413	-0.11
G	1041	47.55%	27.05	50.34%	-0.578	0.1853	-0.203
H	1015	46.9%	26.62	43.74%	-0.274	0.4661	-0.751
East	2	100.0%	29.0	50.0%
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	12	0.0%	28.75	66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens	74	49.32%	19.0	32.43%	-0.839	-0.3608
Skip Initial Invader Actions	146	24.82%	41.59	70.55%	0.477	-0.3006	0.224
Start of Game Growth	276	26.57%	39.25	75.0%	0.231	-0.1925	1.332
Unlimited Undo	532	39.39%	27.14	49.25%	0.246	0.2071	0.693
Using Tokens but Not Events	788	37.19%	21.53	45.69%	-0.327	-0.4193	-0.48

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	2478	14.01	0.97%
II	2334	30.25	39.46%
III	2519	34.83	85.39%
IV	940	38.62	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.879 Win Model: 0.671

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	5430	44.93%	25.34	47.18%
2	1860	50.43%	28.48	49.78%
3	655	49.85%	29.31	56.18%
4	257	37.35%	28.62	60.31%
5	27	37.04%	14.48	40.74%
6	42	9.76%	15.69	33.33%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	23
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	2131
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	912
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	934
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	1495
Lose: Invader deck ran out	11
Lose: Adversary condition	245
Win: Sacrifice victory	36
Lose: Scenario condition	1337
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1087
Lose: Spirit destroyed	60

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-02 09:50:53 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-02 09:50:53 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River