The Great River - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	8499	45.8%	26.23	48.57%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	419	34.77%	29.66	61.1%	0.738	0.6498	-0.001
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	30	30.0%	21.37	40.0%	-0.127	-0.6402	0.817
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	115	46.09%	23.86	34.78%	-0.3	-0.1215	-0.497
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	51	41.18%	26.08	43.14%	1.19	0.29	0.205
Dances Up Earthquakes	12	33.33%	12.25	25.0%	-0.069	-0.1439	-0.063
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	537	48.42%	28.67	62.76%	0.379	0.1823	0.078
Downpour Drenches the World	123	42.28%	19.91	30.08%	-0.018	0.2742	-0.243
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	286	32.52%	28.34	56.99%	0.692	0.1294	0.334
Eyes Watch From the Trees	279	29.75%	23.35	39.78%	-1.087	-1.5077	-0.014
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	485	36.98%	30.22	60.0%	0.303	-0.13	0.294
Finder of Paths Unseen	83	40.96%	16.39	21.69%	-0.799	-0.1216	-0.215
Fractured Days Split the Sky	198	28.28%	15.52	20.71%	-0.458	0.1147	-0.84
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	204	50.49%	21.96	35.78%	0.362	0.2672	-1.04
Heart of the Wildfire	489	73.42%	25.99	52.15%	-1.041	-0.7253	0.129
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	711	46.26%	32.6	63.01%	1.38	0.9665	0.533
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	88	38.64%	29.32	59.09%	0.609	0.314	0.555
Lightning's Swift Strike	1085	50.97%	27.1	58.43%	0.661	0.8932	0.2
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	227	49.34%	29.93	42.29%	0.529	0.2161	0.393
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	130	33.85%	26.98	47.69%	-0.549	-0.8653	-0.014
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	505	47.02%	29.12	58.22%	0.386	0.4121	1.09
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1413	58.44%	28.89	55.91%	0.268	0.0716	-0.112
Many Minds Move as One	204	28.43%	24.0	37.25%	-0.532	-0.7301	0.728
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	533	31.58%	28.31	47.65%	-0.209	-0.0545	-0.239
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	14	28.57%	22.07	28.57%	-0.217	-0.2039	-0.132
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	438	45.08%	26.18	53.88%	1.162	1.0503	0.6
River Surges in Sunlight	441	52.27%	27.38	48.53%	-0.372	-0.3396	0.198
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	24	25.0%	10.29	16.67%	-0.593	-0.3273	-0.285
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	292	52.4%	25.48	37.67%	-0.327	-0.1411	0.357
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	125	44.35%	23.29	32.0%	0.348	0.1546	-0.463
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	227	31.28%	26.0	48.02%	-0.475	-0.642	0.677
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	3	0.0%	13.33	33.33%	0.102	-0.2092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	56	48.21%	13.82	16.07%	-0.741	-0.1711	-0.097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	28	28.57%	17.32	35.71%	0.303	0.2282
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	26	42.31%	29.27	61.54%	-0.601	-1.0563	0.412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	20	35.0%	18.8	35.0%	-0.43	-0.4771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	59	45.76%	23.32	30.51%	0.425	0.362	-0.661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	77	57.14%	22.09	32.47%	-0.291	-0.1161	-0.227
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	302	39.07%	31.6	61.92%	0.115	0.1778	0.426
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	60	36.67%	27.1	50.0%	0.689	0.5487	0.315
Shifting Memory of Ages	136	33.82%	20.91	30.88%	-0.135	0.2204	-0.758
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	18	33.33%	14.44	16.67%	0.202	0.2205	-0.575
Shroud of Silent Mist	121	41.32%	17.12	26.45%	-0.335	0.0009	-0.769
Starlight Seeks its Form	171	37.43%	23.81	42.11%	-0.327	-0.4113	0.401
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	333	41.14%	26.43	48.65%	-0.062	-0.5545	-0.322
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	285	54.23%	26.58	41.75%	-0.08	0.1158	0.133
Thunderspeaker	364	42.86%	25.6	47.25%	0.831	0.8891	-0.083
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	52	38.46%	14.06	25.0%	-0.654	-0.4944	-0.29
Towering Roots of the Jungle	35	28.57%	17.69	31.43%	0.209	0.3312	-0.117
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	209	54.07%	20.83	30.62%	-0.672	-0.6373	0.051
Vital Strength of the Earth	85	32.93%	19.6	31.76%	-0.258	0.3309	-0.322
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	54	31.48%	19.94	22.22%			-0.539
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	77	36.36%	16.52	12.99%	-0.152	0.4713	-0.532
Volcano Looming High	463	45.36%	28.19	55.08%	0.367	0.4144	0.391
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	74	37.84%	26.58	56.76%	0.299	-0.0403	0.287

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	8	0.0%	17.0	0.565	37.5%	0.146	0.2746
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	3	33.33%	8.0	-2.947	0.0%	-0.574	-0.5296
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	2	0.0%	0.0	-6.938	0.0%	-0.377	-0.4678
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	2	50.0%	36.5	20.764	50.0%	0.259	0.6645
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	1	100.0%	0.0	-13.749	0.0%	-0.508	1.2102
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	194	46.39%	21.68	-1.223	34.54%	-0.146	0.2912
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	122	41.8%	25.48	-4.656	36.89%	-0.582	-0.2368
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	59	20.34%	22.64	0.358	15.25%	-0.156	0.3399
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	65	27.69%	31.6	-9.228	29.23%	-0.512	0.4888
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	17	41.18%	26.41	0.0	5.88%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	3	66.67%	16.33	0.0	0.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	50	58.0%	30.44	-11.426	4.0%	-0.204	1.712
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	262	40.46%	24.38	1.235	44.66%	0.246	0.4271
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	248	38.71%	27.27	3.459	49.19%	0.308	0.3348
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	219	50.23%	33.82	5.049	46.58%	0.156	0.1843
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	187	55.08%	30.53	-2.058	29.95%	-0.778	-0.518
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	86	53.49%	32.21	-6.78	33.72%	-0.585	-0.2444
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	34	52.94%	33.71	-7.108	17.65%	-0.155	0.2097
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	58	67.24%	33.43	7.442	17.24%	-0.16	1.1426
The Kingdom of England	0	1	227	34.8%	21.46	-3.7	39.65%	-0.569	-0.2564
The Kingdom of England	1	3	102	47.06%	25.43	5.838	36.27%	0.7	0.997
The Kingdom of England	2	4	105	42.86%	26.83	-6.563	35.24%	-0.711	-0.1554
The Kingdom of England	3	6	72	45.83%	27.14	9.217	22.22%	-0.201	0.9019
The Kingdom of England	4	7	85	47.06%	21.76	-8.584	11.76%	-0.777	0.2228
The Kingdom of England	5	9	10	20.0%	10.9	-7.709	10.0%	-0.264	1.4719
The Kingdom of England	6	11	65	29.23%	26.43	4.173	15.38%	-0.355	1.5555
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	172	47.67%	20.99	-2.417	31.98%	-0.631	-0.2142
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	108	62.04%	20.46	8.757	20.37%	0.456	1.2169
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	76	17.11%	20.08	-2.233	5.26%	-0.375	0.8593
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	74	39.19%	23.32	-4.437	9.46%	-1.007	0.3117
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	26	30.77%	21.85	0.0	3.85%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	40	35.0%	24.38	0.0	7.5%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	157	33.12%	23.37	-10.385	6.37%	-0.336	1.0616
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	90	30.0%	19.2	1.624	36.67%	0.369	0.6331
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	30	26.67%	24.5	14.332	40.0%	0.605	1.0366
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	25	28.0%	28.84	2.572	44.0%	-0.04	0.2405
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	45	46.67%	32.44	13.237	35.56%	0.262	0.2984
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	26	61.54%	33.85	0.117	38.46%	-0.104	0.5264
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	33	33.33%	30.36	-0.285	30.3%	-0.373	0.2136
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	39	28.21%	29.74	0.0	25.64%
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	200	39.0%	20.53	-1.991	39.0%	-0.132	0.1354
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	174	36.78%	25.64	-1.191	42.53%	-0.386	-0.2749
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	147	53.74%	25.15	-2.157	38.1%	-0.484	-0.2661
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	111	67.57%	33.68	-1.753	43.24%	-0.505	-0.1982
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	50	36.0%	25.66	-7.292	30.0%	-0.831	-0.0605
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	46	50.0%	25.28	0.0	19.57%
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	115	44.35%	19.9	-8.895	11.3%	-0.571	0.4312
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	226	36.73%	23.36	0.692	48.23%	0.414	0.6109
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	102	57.84%	19.5	-3.757	25.49%	-0.442	0.3488
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	99	47.47%	26.82	-2.17	36.36%	-0.361	-0.1388
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	59	57.63%	35.37	3.042	42.37%	-0.03	0.9601
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	44	50.0%	19.66	-0.613	13.64%	-0.958	0.1855
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	6	66.67%	30.83	0.0	16.67%
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	55	65.45%	31.04	0.0	7.27%

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	5480	45.18	25.53	47.68%	0.604	0.95	-0.481
1	Thematic	2	100.0	29.0	50.0%
2	Coastline	1987	48.41	27.25	47.51%	0.277	0.1669	-0.495
3	Coastline	683	49.27	29.02	55.64%	-0.18	-1.1053	0.501
4	Coastline	270	37.04	28.46	59.63%	-0.627	-0.5669	0.818
5	Coastline	29	34.48	15.52	41.38%	0.06	-0.3627	-0.679
6	Coastline	43	9.52	15.72	34.88%	-0.149	-0.9481	-0.451
7	Coastline	3	0.0	7.33	0.0%			-0.085

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	297	29.03	51.52%	-0.087	0.0297	0.656
Aid From Lesser Spirits	223	33.1	57.4%	0.553	0.4617	0.987
All Things Weaken	314	25.33	42.04%	-0.653	-0.3908	0.354
Attenuated Essence	52	27.25	55.77%	0.315	0.2834	0.097
Back Against the Wall	186	28.34	47.31%	-0.256	-0.2245	-0.319
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	46	26.43	56.52%	0.493	0.6435	0.25
Burn Brightest Before the End	40	28.8	57.5%	-0.505	-0.5451	-0.357
Disintegrating Ecosystem	224	26.91	47.77%	1.692	1.9079	0.947
Downward Spiral	309	26.7	48.54%	0.116	0.2166	0.792
Erosion of Will	267	27.23	46.07%	0.083	0.2801	0.839
Intensifying Exploitation	40	25.07	32.5%	-0.392	-0.2122	0.363
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	119	32.8	71.43%	0.879	0.2844	-0.025
Memory Fades to Dust	287	26.23	46.34%	-1.051	-0.8357	0.937
Power Corrodes the Spirit	284	24.96	39.08%	0.278	0.4805	-0.368
Promising Farmlands	203	25.39	40.39%	-0.481	-0.2618	0.31
Shattered Fragments of Power	35	25.97	34.29%	0.278	0.2879	0.638
Slow Dissolution of Will	45	22.2	37.78%	-0.287	-0.0142	0.302
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	69	32.13	63.77%	-0.419	-1.1187	1.16
The Border of Life and Death	13	37.69	69.23%	1.053	0.6044	0.694
Thriving Communities	286	26.84	45.8%	0.108	0.3058	0.566
Thriving Crops	17	21.47	29.41%			0.297
Unnatural Proliferation	279	27.56	48.39%	0.805	0.9559	-0.196
Untended Land Crumbles	252	26.81	47.62%	0.624	0.8133	0.374

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	2183	49.15%	26.5	51.03%	-0.499	0.4717	-0.697
B	2162	47.57%	26.43	49.86%	0.239	1.121	-0.3
C	1970	42.78%	26.53	50.25%	-0.386	0.3084	-0.457
D	1324	40.14%	24.44	42.82%	-0.796	0.1196	-0.891
E	1675	44.22%	26.98	52.42%	-0.21	0.5503	-0.085
F	1569	43.1%	27.41	51.18%	-0.018	0.8341	-0.01
G	1069	47.14%	26.81	49.95%	-0.731	0.0705	-0.231
H	1043	46.5%	26.49	43.72%	-0.079	0.7301	-0.724
East	2	100.0%	29.0	50.0%
Northeast	1	100.0%	42.0	100.0%

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	12	0.0%	28.75	66.67%
Not Using Events or Tokens	77	51.32%	18.84	32.47%	-0.792	-0.3996
Skip Initial Invader Actions	152	23.81%	42.24	71.71%	1.032	0.3144	0.261
Start of Game Growth	284	26.52%	39.5	75.35%	0.888	0.3965	1.347
Unlimited Undo	557	38.69%	26.62	48.29%	-0.426	-0.5067	0.622
Using Tokens but Not Events	819	37.13%	21.49	45.67%	-0.242	-0.2745	-0.455

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	2574	13.69	0.97%
II	2386	30.18	39.35%
III	2582	34.82	85.48%
IV	957	38.64	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.514 Win Model: 0.638

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	5585	44.69%	25.2	46.95%
2	1904	50.05%	28.34	49.63%
3	675	49.41%	29.04	55.85%
4	262	36.64%	28.59	59.92%
5	28	35.71%	15.18	42.86%
6	45	9.09%	15.51	33.33%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	24
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	2187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	929
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	951
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	1581
Lose: Invader deck ran out	11
Lose: Adversary condition	248
Win: Sacrifice victory	37
Lose: Scenario condition	1362
Lose: Blight pool ran out	1109
Lose: Spirit destroyed	60

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-17 03:38:37 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:The Great River

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-17 03:38:37 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
The Great River