Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 38.46% 24.23 53.85% -0.401 -0.3857 0.599
Blitz 0 172 45.35% 38.37 60.47% -0.239 0.0487 0.766
Dahan Insurrection 4 373 24.93% 30.63 41.82% 0.244 0.0671 -0.108
Despicable Theft 2 45 42.22% 14.18 22.22% -1.631 -0.7698 -0.216
Elemental Invocation 1 34 29.41% 8.26 11.76% -0.202 0.7311 -0.661
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 266 16.92% 34.65 57.89% 0.234 -0.4129 1.458
Powers Long Forgotten 1 100 28.0% 19.11 44.0% -0.479 0.4667 -0.405
Rituals of Terror 3 62 56.45% 29.03 56.45% 0.048 0.1245 -0.344
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 21 42.86% 8.24 4.76% -1.16 -0.0442 -0.34
Second Wave 0 261 46.46% 25.96 61.69% -0.101 -0.0706 0.175
The Great River 3 36 27.78% 14.86 27.78% -0.1 1.3253 -0.932
Varied Terrains 2 60 40.0% 14.9 31.67% -0.556 0.219 -1.422
Ward the Shores 2 35 40.0% 16.89 28.57% 0.47 1.5141 0.22

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3778 42.12% 25.0 52.59% 0.026 0.2859 -0.057
1 Thematic 331 38.07% 17.65 25.68% -0.796 -0.3304 -1.185
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 19.8 30.0% 0.578 1.051 -0.34
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1164 42.56% 26.38 55.76% 0.195 0.3802 0.529
2 Coastline 165 37.8% 27.32 64.85% 0.176 0.159 -0.414
2 Fragment 32 37.5% 34.84 65.63% 0.0 -0.3163 1.964
2 Heart 46 63.04% 38.8 56.52% -0.688 -0.7826 1.087
2 Opposite Shores 246 42.04% 23.2 51.63% 0.14 0.1003 -0.446
2 Thematic 146 38.36% 22.75 43.15% -0.296 -0.0094 0.086
2 Top to Top 29 31.03% 26.76 51.72% 0.535 0.4917 -0.477
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 42.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1399 0.0
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 29.4 60.0% 0.0 -0.7498 0.146
3 Other 46 26.09% 25.7 63.04% 0.275 -0.1882 -0.573
3 Round (Default) 873 41.17% 27.27 56.93% 0.361 0.1413 0.336
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 83.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0754 0.537
3 Thematic 57 42.11% 18.14 50.88% 1.295 1.0029 -0.71
4 Archipelago 5 20.0% 10.8 40.0% 0.28 0.4732 0.0
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 18.0 66.67% 0.283 -0.0768 0.0
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 22.8 40.0% 0.0 -0.1085 0.0
4 Other 22 36.36% 17.32 54.55% 0.0 -0.2566 0.373
4 Thematic 49 30.61% 31.14 48.98% -0.481 -0.2282 0.687
4 Trapezoid (Default) 263 37.02% 26.83 61.6% 0.45 0.6646 0.092
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 5.5 0.0% -0.796 -0.5227 -1.089
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 22.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.1045 0.0
5 Other 61 32.79% 24.0 55.74% -0.33 -0.8952 -0.171
5 Thematic 17 52.94% 40.94 29.41% -0.177 -0.5977 -0.134
6 Archipelago 6 20.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.41 -0.5227 -0.331
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.575 -1.373 0.0
6 Other 22 36.36% 22.64 72.73% 0.057 0.4833 0.871
6 Star 40 22.5% 18.02 57.5% 0.191 0.3037 -0.373
6 Thematic 235 20.09% 21.46 27.23% -1.102 -1.0002 -0.591
6 Two Centers (Default) 114 14.04% 19.45 57.02% 0.432 0.1751 -0.4
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0709 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.427 -0.1129 0.0
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.0157 0.549

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 137 31.47 49.64% -0.541 -0.3657 0.306
Aid From Lesser Spirits 134 34.77 62.69% 0.133 0.0786 1.422
All Things Weaken 160 26.38 39.38% -0.446 -0.1525 -0.006
Attenuated Essence 171 27.96 45.61% -0.615 -0.5309 -0.032
Back Against the Wall 131 32.64 48.85% -0.305 -0.2572 0.56
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 162 28.92 43.21% -0.257 -0.0539 0.239
Burn Brightest Before the End 132 31.36 48.48% -0.685 -0.4975 -0.126
Disintegrating Ecosystem 128 27.2 40.63% -0.456 -0.0466 0.26
Downward Spiral 181 27.3 49.72% -0.649 -0.5211 0.452
Erosion of Will 152 26.68 39.47% 0.384 0.6673 0.122
Intensifying Exploitation 168 27.88 41.67% 0.074 0.3221 -0.099
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 61 36.43 83.61% 0.959 0.4438 1.483
Memory Fades to Dust 144 31.28 50.0% 0.25 0.4868 0.005
Power Corrodes the Spirit 146 28.05 47.95% -0.211 0.0065 0.523
Promising Farmlands 157 25.45 39.49% -0.083 0.2113 -0.202
Shattered Fragments of Power 126 32.6 46.83% 0.079 0.2808 0.314
Slow Dissolution of Will 156 29.72 46.15% -0.012 0.3718 0.213
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 45 29.67 62.22% 0.161 -0.4199 0.038
The Border of Life and Death 53 29.94 58.49% -0.139 -0.6567 0.303
Thriving Communities 162 25.97 47.53% 0.239 0.5777 0.006
Thriving Crops 82 32.43 50.0% 0.054 0.0117 0.256
Unnatural Proliferation 170 29.22 51.18% 0.088 0.2286 0.334
Untended Land Crumbles 154 28.55 46.1% -0.032 0.4172 0.036

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1786 37.82% 25.38 56.89% -0.016 0.8455 0.11
B 1804 37.93% 25.75 56.26% 0.199 1.016 0.379
C 1907 38.61% 25.72 56.58% 0.411 1.0903 0.204
D 1585 37.62% 23.38 52.05% 0.231 1.0354 0.26
E 1520 39.82% 25.45 55.0% 0.363 1.0315 0.167
F 1385 39.62% 26.13 56.9% 0.22 1.0189 0.301
G 1377 39.29% 25.63 55.7% 0.284 1.1095 0.039
H 1292 40.11% 25.59 55.57% -0.12 0.6527 0.353
East 627 30.19% 23.36 37.48% 0.135 0.9808 -0.074
Northeast 415 25.36% 23.63 34.7% 0.653 1.4242 -0.354
Northwest 428 27.63% 20.58 27.57% -0.363 0.4448 -0.776
Southeast 356 27.32% 22.0 30.9% 0.105 0.9742 -0.292
Southwest 366 29.04% 18.8 27.32% -1.567 -0.2857 -0.397
West 630 34.02% 20.0 30.32% -0.52 0.4764 0.046

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 34 0.0% 15.03 58.82% -0.522 0.2736 -0.331
Not Using Events or Tokens 70 17.74% 16.63 37.14% 0.399 0.7866 -0.007
Skip Initial Invader Actions 136 16.8% 32.58 69.85% -0.049 -0.6634 0.068
Start of Game Growth 255 23.87% 35.46 66.27% 0.464 -0.1176 1.373
Unlimited Undo 960 37.28% 29.88 54.48% -0.133 -0.0896 0.544
Using Tokens but Not Events 951 29.19% 26.88 58.46% 0.082 0.0235 0.62

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 278 21.3% 20.91 52.88% -0.078 -0.2222 0.236
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 21 19.05% 25.86 71.43% 0.631 -0.0821 0.655
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 57 40.0% 21.61 50.88% -0.86 -0.5965 -0.522
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 72 37.5% 28.0 66.67% 0.551 -0.2573 -0.698
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 142 38.73% 17.49 40.14% -1.0 -1.1644 -0.568
Downpour Drenches the World 192 34.38% 21.17 47.4% 0.352 0.6255 0.084
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 716 31.84% 28.93 64.11% 0.445 0.0182 0.554
Eyes Watch From the Trees 291 33.45% 28.95 54.64% -0.189 -0.5492 -0.085
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 174 24.71% 25.93 51.72% 0.102 -0.3425 -0.589
Finder of Paths Unseen 158 36.54% 21.38 44.3% -0.129 0.5592 -0.021
Fractured Days Split the Sky 170 31.18% 26.24 44.71% -0.62 -0.031 0.485
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 212 41.71% 20.75 39.62% 0.516 0.4522 -0.48
Heart of the Wildfire 90 36.67% 17.8 34.44% -0.641 -0.3136 -0.693
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 251 35.86% 30.36 59.36% 0.105 -0.1898 0.012
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 126 18.25% 18.43 36.51% 0.258 -0.1122 0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike 62 38.71% 23.32 56.45% 0.279 0.6194 -0.223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 128 37.5% 26.7 57.81% 0.367 -0.1065 0.485
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 50 24.0% 18.96 48.0% -0.736 -1.0968 -0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 125 29.84% 22.86 39.2% 0.401 0.4082 -0.005
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 257 29.18% 25.95 53.31% -0.077 -0.3718 0.143
Many Minds Move as One 144 30.07% 21.89 51.39% -0.324 -0.4699 0.242
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 267 34.85% 27.9 47.19% 0.531 0.4731 0.483
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 134 34.85% 18.32 43.28% -0.286 -0.4497 -0.101
River Surges in Sunlight 86 34.12% 25.83 62.79% 0.159 0.2577 0.079
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 13 30.77% 29.69 76.92% 0.837 0.7014 0.667
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 122 32.5% 22.75 46.72% -0.498 -0.0219 0.252
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 430 41.16% 30.52 51.4% -0.27 -0.305 0.079
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 190 23.81% 21.83 50.53% 1.134 0.8793 0.464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 43.48% 29.17 69.57% 0.885 1.4066 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 78 33.33% 27.27 61.54% -0.175 -0.0339 -0.095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 58 34.48% 29.09 60.34% 0.067 -0.5115 -0.09
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 31.75% 20.78 53.97% 0.825 1.1758 0.089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 36 33.33% 15.44 33.33% -1.405 -1.4213 -0.473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 28 21.43% 20.54 60.71% 0.46 0.7088 -0.287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 77 48.05% 32.09 62.34% -0.906 -1.016 0.461
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 461 31.37% 29.37 62.04% 0.141 -0.0212 0.454
Shifting Memory of Ages 161 34.38% 20.31 47.83% -0.926 -0.5819 1.154
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 14 42.86% 15.71 42.86% -0.451 -0.7606 -0.199
Shroud of Silent Mist 155 41.29% 20.28 46.45% 1.276 1.6075 -0.08
Starlight Seeks its Form 198 30.3% 24.07 59.6% 0.459 0.2849 0.61
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 186 41.08% 23.51 43.01% 0.065 -0.6448 -0.667
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 137 31.39% 20.28 38.69% -0.043 0.1683 -0.493
Towering Roots of the Jungle 34 44.12% 25.94 58.82% 0.356 0.3276 1.612
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 100 51.0% 20.9 50.0% 0.241 0.3071 -0.587
Vital Strength of the Earth 82 39.24% 18.66 46.34% -0.659 -0.1253 -1.8
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 31.78% 22.28 47.71% -0.044 0.5228 -0.587
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 40 32.5% 18.82 52.5% -0.544 0.2145 0.0
Volcano Looming High 139 41.3% 22.86 48.2% -0.339 -0.202 -0.103
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 127 39.37% 27.91 44.88% -0.35 -0.6607 0.059

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 93.22%
Sudden Ambush 90.23%
Voice of Thunder 94.9%
Words of Warning 98.56%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2838 15.74 8.17%
II 3023 30.48 68.67%
III 1536 34.79 88.74%
IV 400 38.41 99.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 231
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1930
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 392
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2390
Lose: Invader deck ran out 57
Lose: Adversary condition 403
Win: Sacrifice victory 19
Lose: Scenario condition 43
Win: Scenario condition 166
Lose: Blight pool ran out 743
Lose: Spirit destroyed 94

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.081 Win Model: -0.147

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.085 Win Model: -0.093
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4143 41.62% 24.27 50.08%
2 1828 42.13% 26.35 55.53%
3 967 40.79% 27.19 57.7%
4 355 36.16% 26.34 58.03%
5 83 36.59% 26.67 49.4%
6 421 18.57% 20.35 40.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)