Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 43 30.23% 25.56 53.49% -0.593 -0.62 0.779
Blitz 0 226 41.15% 33.32 55.75% -0.205 0.0457 0.849
Dahan Insurrection 4 585 25.64% 33.54 45.47% -0.545 -0.7935 0.199
Despicable Theft 2 73 34.25% 15.21 28.77% 0.084 0.5458 -0.437
Elemental Invocation 1 70 47.14% 14.63 24.29% -0.001 0.7014 -0.757
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 363 15.98% 35.25 60.06% 0.401 -0.152 1.55
Powers Long Forgotten 1 166 33.13% 18.92 46.99% -0.165 0.4585 -0.792
Rituals of Terror 3 107 44.86% 28.66 57.01% -0.614 -0.4212 -0.461
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 39.29% 8.04 7.14% 0.0 0.9223 -0.516
Second Wave 0 487 44.96% 24.14 58.32% -0.003 0.1147 0.135
The Great River 3 56 35.71% 13.68 25.0% -1.047 0.0213 -0.898
Varied Terrains 2 79 40.51% 12.91 26.58% -1.062 -0.3209 -1.474
Ward the Shores 2 76 36.84% 15.8 26.32% -1.043 0.0411 -0.123

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5483 41.08% 23.93 51.87% 0.135 0.6619 0.07
1 Thematic 482 34.3% 18.93 30.29% -0.107 0.7469 -0.947
2 Archipelago 16 43.75% 25.25 50.0% 0.045 1.1003 -0.343
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1886 42.8% 26.21 54.19% -0.183 0.0949 0.583
2 Coastline 280 40.43% 26.39 60.0% 0.359 0.4616 -0.359
2 Fragment 53 39.62% 26.51 50.94% 0.682 0.6952 1.724
2 Heart 64 56.25% 35.23 57.81% 0.554 0.6654 0.735
2 Opposite Shores 388 39.53% 24.46 55.15% 0.579 0.9151 -0.272
2 Thematic 255 32.94% 21.6 41.96% -0.906 -0.2164 0.084
2 Top to Top 47 27.66% 28.17 63.83% 0.292 0.5336 -0.057
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 26.75 62.5% 0.074 -0.647 -0.213
3 Coastline 14 28.57% 21.43 50.0% -0.612 -0.9528 0.279
3 Other 61 26.23% 23.25 59.02% -0.488 -1.0904 -0.487
3 Round (Default) 1423 43.45% 26.59 54.81% 0.479 0.4853 -0.014
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 75.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0616 0.559
3 Thematic 86 38.37% 18.42 47.67% 0.289 0.3736 -0.865
4 Archipelago 9 22.22% 9.11 33.33% -0.609 -0.4586 -0.572
4 Coastline 12 25.0% 25.58 75.0% 0.817 0.0588 0.305
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 32.75 62.5% 0.0 0.1371 0.372
4 Other 32 37.5% 19.84 56.25% 0.413 -0.2057 0.396
4 Thematic 75 38.67% 26.44 42.67% 0.193 0.4608 0.727
4 Trapezoid (Default) 453 35.84% 24.6 57.84% -0.979 -0.8145 -0.265
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 12.29 14.29% 0.0 -0.8784 -1.05
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 18.33 66.67% -0.33 -0.234 0.0
5 Other 93 34.41% 26.34 59.14% -0.139 -0.5249 0.153
5 Thematic 24 54.17% 45.67 33.33% -0.283 -1.0804 0.032
6 Archipelago 8 14.29% 24.0 62.5% 0.0 -1.1098 -0.309
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 13.0 33.33% 0.0 -0.8372 0.0
6 Other 50 34.0% 19.26 72.0% 0.433 0.4024 0.462
6 Star 53 18.87% 21.25 64.15% -0.503 -0.5198 0.012
6 Thematic 345 22.74% 27.26 34.2% 0.597 0.6996 -0.671
6 Two Centers (Default) 224 14.73% 20.03 55.8% -0.79 -0.2248 -0.48
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0747 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 6 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4343 0.374

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 216 29.77 47.22% -0.223 0.0264 0.337
Aid From Lesser Spirits 205 35.69 62.93% 0.901 0.7831 1.523
All Things Weaken 241 25.91 39.42% -0.598 -0.261 0.176
Attenuated Essence 233 28.16 47.64% 0.803 0.8294 0.277
Back Against the Wall 185 31.68 47.57% -0.143 -0.1418 0.726
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 238 27.96 42.44% -0.672 -0.4545 0.153
Burn Brightest Before the End 206 31.04 48.54% -0.256 -0.275 0.119
Disintegrating Ecosystem 191 27.13 42.41% -0.616 -0.223 0.435
Downward Spiral 269 27.03 49.07% 0.124 0.2322 0.347
Erosion of Will 214 26.99 42.06% -0.154 0.1987 0.168
Intensifying Exploitation 259 26.75 41.31% -0.831 -0.5851 0.048
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 102 33.96 77.45% 0.013 -0.5108 1.302
Memory Fades to Dust 246 29.44 47.97% 0.061 0.3084 0.124
Power Corrodes the Spirit 227 26.94 47.58% -0.347 -0.1252 0.579
Promising Farmlands 223 25.56 40.81% -0.217 0.0662 -0.343
Shattered Fragments of Power 197 30.41 42.64% -0.517 -0.44 0.457
Slow Dissolution of Will 241 28.71 41.91% -0.766 -0.369 0.271
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 67 28.96 62.69% 0.255 -0.4402 0.233
The Border of Life and Death 73 28.29 58.9% 0.218 -0.383 0.456
Thriving Communities 246 24.91 45.93% -0.704 -0.3477 0.171
Thriving Crops 121 27.71 47.11% -0.094 -0.2904 0.092
Unnatural Proliferation 253 28.68 48.22% -0.241 -0.0787 0.368
Untended Land Crumbles 248 27.21 42.34% -0.886 -0.6541 0.087

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2760 36.81% 24.89 56.7% -0.091 0.9139 0.172
B 2800 37.58% 25.07 55.61% 0.085 1.0042 0.361
C 3041 38.74% 24.99 55.51% 0.159 0.8938 0.184
D 2505 37.65% 23.51 52.42% 0.036 1.0137 0.286
E 2462 39.73% 24.55 53.66% 0.01 0.8296 0.031
F 2299 39.53% 25.3 55.11% 0.01 0.8839 0.327
G 2152 38.22% 24.74 54.41% 0.113 0.922 -0.115
H 2118 40.41% 24.97 54.2% -0.092 0.723 0.357
East 962 30.31% 25.1 39.81% 0.407 1.3095 -0.131
Northeast 641 26.92% 26.18 38.69% -0.245 0.563 -0.458
Northwest 608 29.09% 24.35 33.55% 0.251 1.1505 -0.05
Southeast 528 28.14% 25.87 35.61% 0.613 1.4632 -0.211
Southwest 548 29.12% 22.47 31.2% -1.199 0.1768 -0.935
West 943 32.87% 22.56 34.25% -0.043 0.9116 0.144

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 69 0.0% 18.36 65.22% -0.042 0.6656 -0.309
Not Using Events or Tokens 116 26.73% 16.87 37.07% 0.093 0.4609 -0.12
Skip Initial Invader Actions 237 11.48% 29.72 70.89% -0.077 -0.6621 -0.153
Start of Game Growth 410 17.89% 33.49 69.02% -0.442 -0.9563 0.995
Unlimited Undo 1355 34.29% 29.09 55.65% 0.289 0.1797 0.905
Using Tokens but Not Events 1390 27.02% 26.23 60.72% 0.182 0.1564 0.286

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 384 21.26% 20.03 50.52% 0.518 0.4122 0.214
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 169 32.54% 26.91 62.13% 0.244 -0.2358 0.406
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 78 42.11% 21.51 52.56% -0.445 -0.3194 -0.649
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 130 42.31% 25.92 60.0% 0.061 -0.7861 -0.783
Dances Up Earthquakes 69 42.03% 31.13 57.97% 0.154 0.1904 0.727
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 227 38.77% 18.78 44.93% -0.059 -0.1958 -0.864
Downpour Drenches the World 285 30.88% 21.0 48.77% -0.723 -0.5163 0.03
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 878 34.06% 28.08 60.93% 0.076 -0.5348 0.368
Eyes Watch From the Trees 483 33.47% 27.78 54.87% 0.89 0.5148 -0.244
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 280 27.5% 29.48 57.5% 1.229 0.8382 -0.137
Finder of Paths Unseen 220 39.45% 20.45 42.27% -0.571 0.1486 0.049
Fractured Days Split the Sky 317 30.6% 28.36 49.84% 0.848 1.4593 0.242
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 317 39.87% 22.27 43.22% -0.151 -0.2505 0.001
Heart of the Wildfire 168 38.69% 17.82 38.1% -1.135 -0.798 -0.691
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 389 32.47% 33.43 62.47% 0.782 0.3519 0.726
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 250 25.2% 20.56 42.0% 0.108 -0.2068 -0.129
Lightning's Swift Strike 91 38.46% 23.01 57.14% -0.57 -0.34 -0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 210 37.14% 27.69 59.05% 0.781 0.3362 0.578
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 82 30.86% 22.88 54.88% -0.487 -0.7971 -0.042
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 193 31.77% 26.04 45.08% 0.342 0.1995 0.603
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 402 28.86% 26.02 55.22% 0.018 -0.2098 -0.188
Many Minds Move as One 234 31.47% 22.36 54.7% 0.525 0.2821 0.001
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 404 35.16% 29.33 49.01% -0.739 -0.6303 0.494
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 127 41.73% 31.71 49.61% -0.016 0.1026 -0.053
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 204 32.18% 18.92 44.61% 0.207 0.1607 0.079
River Surges in Sunlight 144 34.04% 29.44 65.28% 0.555 0.685 0.619
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 120 43.33% 28.2 52.5% 0.183 0.3589 0.632
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 196 38.34% 23.32 48.47% -0.231 0.0673 -0.174
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 655 41.19% 30.17 51.91% 0.113 0.0292 0.253
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 251 24.0% 21.59 51.79% -0.145 -0.2562 0.535
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 31 38.71% 24.81 51.61% -0.493 -0.6108 0.557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 42 40.0% 24.14 59.52% -0.451 0.0438 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 112 30.36% 27.41 62.5% 0.233 0.1818 0.508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 113 32.74% 28.42 61.06% -0.404 -0.9141 0.388
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 116 52.59% 23.02 37.07% -0.338 -0.4655 -1.568
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 54 35.19% 18.09 44.44% -0.347 -0.3348 -0.575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 44 25.0% 22.05 61.36% -0.072 0.063 -0.271
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 112 40.18% 28.43 59.82% 0.181 0.2296 0.456
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 609 31.29% 28.88 61.25% 0.72 0.5051 0.2
Shifting Memory of Ages 200 33.17% 20.25 46.5% -0.505 -0.2105 0.714
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 137 38.24% 21.53 47.45% -0.031 -0.1498 -0.278
Shroud of Silent Mist 234 39.32% 19.83 47.01% -0.539 -0.211 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 343 27.41% 24.82 62.68% 0.733 0.6336 0.586
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 309 41.88% 25.06 42.72% 0.338 -0.1927 -0.452
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 244 31.97% 22.31 44.67% -0.129 -0.0516 -0.176
Towering Roots of the Jungle 163 37.42% 26.52 51.53% -0.319 -0.1693 1.228
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 175 50.0% 20.51 52.57% -0.073 0.0732 -0.459
Vital Strength of the Earth 104 35.64% 20.32 50.96% -0.783 -0.2153 -1.853
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 179 35.03% 22.31 47.49% -0.867 -0.3461 -0.822
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 70 28.57% 17.86 48.57% 0.007 0.7486 -0.622
Volcano Looming High 210 39.23% 22.62 48.1% 0.282 0.2968 0.128
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 247 41.22% 26.83 47.37% 0.634 0.3416 -0.089

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 92.76%
Sudden Ambush 90.11%
Voice of Thunder 94.83%
Words of Warning 98.64%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4418 13.33 7.88%
II 4551 30.1 68.53%
III 2380 34.83 89.08%
IV 612 38.67 99.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 347
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2055
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2879
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 601
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3732
Lose: Invader deck ran out 76
Lose: Adversary condition 608
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 58
Win: Scenario condition 286
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1156
Lose: Spirit destroyed 138

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.687 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.474 Win Model: 0.152
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6022 40.35% 23.38 49.75%
2 2969 41.55% 26.02 54.5%
3 1567 42.65% 26.34 55.07%
4 594 36.09% 24.46 55.72%
5 125 37.9% 28.93 52.8%
6 684 19.79% 23.65 46.64%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)