Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 41.67% 24.79 54.17% 0.347 0.399 0.58
Blitz 0 168 44.64% 38.75 61.31% 0.746 0.9468 0.757
Dahan Insurrection 4 324 26.23% 31.66 42.59% 0.51 0.2988 0.029
Despicable Theft 2 44 40.91% 14.5 22.73% -1.593 -0.7488 -0.175
Elemental Invocation 1 29 24.14% 6.14 6.9% -1.016 0.0549 -0.656
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 257 16.73% 35.28 58.75% 0.765 0.0404 1.497
Powers Long Forgotten 1 93 29.03% 19.34 44.09% 0.237 1.1425 -0.29
Rituals of Terror 3 54 57.41% 29.35 57.41% 0.174 0.2037 -0.42
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 37.5% 7.31 6.25% -0.389 0.8001 0.0
Second Wave 0 230 47.53% 26.6 62.61% 0.78 0.8608 0.198
The Great River 3 34 23.53% 13.91 26.47% 0.005 1.3925 -0.928
Varied Terrains 2 52 44.23% 15.46 32.69% -0.432 0.4689 -1.408
Ward the Shores 2 35 40.0% 16.89 28.57% 0.192 1.247 0.198

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3484 41.88% 25.09 52.73% 0.159 0.1895 -0.08
1 Thematic 270 35.19% 17.89 27.04% -0.143 0.2893 -1.294
2 Archipelago 9 33.33% 14.67 22.22% 0.013 0.5061 -0.384
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1059 42.34% 26.69 56.09% 0.138 0.0888 0.553
2 Coastline 155 38.96% 28.04 65.81% 0.103 0.0028 -0.505
2 Fragment 32 37.5% 34.84 65.63% 0.616 0.203 1.942
2 Heart 44 65.91% 40.57 59.09% -0.351 -0.4409 1.094
2 Opposite Shores 232 40.26% 23.11 52.16% 0.094 -0.0853 -0.406
2 Thematic 131 39.69% 23.26 43.51% -0.607 -0.4206 0.342
2 Top to Top 24 29.17% 25.13 45.83% 0.358 0.1587 -0.488
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 42.0 100.0% 0.314 -0.8067 0.0
3 Coastline 5 20.0% 29.4 60.0% 0.228 -0.4335 0.169
3 Other 41 29.27% 26.29 60.98% 0.309 -0.0253 -0.594
3 Round (Default) 797 41.21% 27.65 57.09% 0.158 -0.1077 0.367
3 Sunrise 4 0.0% 83.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5109 0.572
3 Thematic 43 44.19% 18.63 44.19% 0.6 0.1538 -0.645
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5573 0.0
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 11.5 50.0% 0.243 -0.3757 0.0
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 22.8 40.0% 0.0 0.8461 0.0
4 Other 21 38.1% 16.9 52.38% 0.802 0.0649 0.375
4 Thematic 41 31.71% 32.66 51.22% 0.084 0.2873 0.353
4 Trapezoid (Default) 241 38.75% 27.39 61.41% 0.187 0.5267 0.404
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 5.5 0.0% -1.143 -1.1434 -1.082
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 22.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.5279 0.0
5 Other 57 29.82% 24.49 59.65% 0.109 -0.6118 -0.194
5 Thematic 14 64.29% 46.14 21.43% -0.089 0.0708 -0.142
6 Archipelago 5 25.0% 15.0 40.0% -0.175 -0.8901 -0.327
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4888 0.0
6 Other 21 33.33% 22.19 71.43% -0.566 -0.1258 0.947
6 Star 39 20.51% 17.9 58.97% 0.078 0.3759 -0.303
6 Thematic 206 20.0% 22.15 27.67% -1.078 -1.0528 -0.522
6 Two Centers (Default) 99 16.16% 18.65 54.55% -0.449 -0.3507 -0.838
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5266 0.0
7 Other 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.4162 0.657

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 128 32.17 51.56% 0.066 0.2051 0.342
Aid From Lesser Spirits 126 35.27 63.49% 0.048 -0.0114 1.456
All Things Weaken 146 26.8 39.73% -0.433 -0.0782 0.062
Attenuated Essence 155 28.3 45.81% -0.358 -0.2472 0.032
Back Against the Wall 123 32.15 47.97% -0.332 -0.2561 0.453
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 149 29.23 43.62% -0.522 -0.3114 0.262
Burn Brightest Before the End 115 32.12 49.57% -0.698 -0.5776 -0.023
Disintegrating Ecosystem 113 27.88 42.48% -0.426 -0.057 0.345
Downward Spiral 157 28.0 50.96% 0.915 1.1117 0.577
Erosion of Will 140 25.68 37.14% -0.982 -0.7152 0.036
Intensifying Exploitation 156 27.21 39.74% -0.804 -0.5341 -0.248
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 54 38.31 85.19% 1.48 0.9691 1.48
Memory Fades to Dust 133 31.97 51.13% 0.422 0.7333 0.038
Power Corrodes the Spirit 131 28.64 50.38% 0.427 0.7216 0.458
Promising Farmlands 143 26.27 39.86% -0.123 0.2131 -0.141
Shattered Fragments of Power 112 32.58 47.32% -0.238 -0.1289 0.256
Slow Dissolution of Will 138 30.17 47.1% -0.299 0.1007 0.209
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 43 29.91 62.79% 0.122 -0.491 0.083
The Border of Life and Death 48 30.6 60.42% 0.008 -0.2844 0.366
Thriving Communities 151 26.4 47.02% -0.667 -0.3343 -0.017
Thriving Crops 73 33.0 47.95% -0.337 -0.4234 0.435
Unnatural Proliferation 157 29.46 52.87% -0.162 -0.0142 0.451
Untended Land Crumbles 139 27.94 45.32% -0.973 -0.6662 -0.001

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1651 38.0% 25.6 57.18% -0.006 0.8992 0.062
B 1645 37.92% 25.77 56.23% 0.165 0.9937 0.365
C 1752 38.66% 25.98 56.85% 0.248 0.9276 0.252
D 1462 37.5% 23.39 52.12% 0.151 1.0044 0.186
E 1404 40.26% 25.66 54.7% 0.225 0.9262 0.177
F 1248 39.97% 26.44 56.97% 0.164 0.9455 0.412
G 1262 39.78% 25.83 55.31% 0.113 0.8849 0.004
H 1175 40.02% 26.13 56.09% 0.165 0.9335 0.419
East 541 31.11% 23.96 36.78% 0.353 1.2143 -0.182
Northeast 360 26.46% 24.65 34.17% -0.24 0.5067 -0.331
Northwest 375 29.14% 21.18 26.67% -0.729 0.1046 -0.822
Southeast 308 27.36% 22.54 29.55% -0.372 0.404 -0.319
Southwest 289 24.65% 19.54 28.03% -0.257 1.0626 -0.323
West 521 32.69% 20.85 30.71% 0.011 1.0173 0.067

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 33 0.0% 15.48 60.61% 0.237 1.0682 -0.327
Not Using Events or Tokens 65 17.54% 15.94 33.85% -1.089 -0.6483 -0.033
Skip Initial Invader Actions 119 15.74% 33.9 70.59% -0.769 -1.331 -0.093
Start of Game Growth 229 23.96% 36.75 65.94% 1.057 0.5184 1.569
Unlimited Undo 871 37.76% 29.8 54.19% 0.282 0.3229 0.567
Using Tokens but Not Events 837 29.56% 27.22 59.02% 0.383 0.3593 0.606

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 259 21.71% 21.42 53.28% 0.582 0.4797 0.411
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 53 37.25% 22.09 52.83% 0.679 0.8388 -0.494
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 41.82% 27.91 67.27% 0.677 -0.1587 -0.667
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 134 39.55% 17.92 41.79% 0.077 -0.0546 -0.364
Downpour Drenches the World 173 34.68% 21.06 46.24% 0.408 0.7266 -0.012
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 665 32.18% 29.27 64.21% -0.17 -0.6548 0.641
Eyes Watch From the Trees 263 34.35% 29.6 55.13% -0.552 -1.0056 0.028
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 159 25.79% 26.54 51.57% -0.305 -0.7571 -0.471
Finder of Paths Unseen 149 37.41% 21.43 44.3% 0.498 1.1646 -0.047
Fractured Days Split the Sky 145 31.72% 27.52 46.9% -0.792 -0.1145 0.563
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 195 43.81% 20.41 35.9% -0.327 -0.265 -0.382
Heart of the Wildfire 82 35.37% 17.89 32.93% -0.79 -0.5306 -0.86
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 237 35.44% 30.3 59.49% 0.726 0.3325 0.031
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 102 20.59% 18.18 35.29% -0.166 -0.5618 0.009
Lightning's Swift Strike 60 40.0% 22.7 55.0% -0.582 -0.3279 -0.212
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 120 37.5% 25.97 55.83% 0.755 0.2015 0.531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 47 25.53% 20.17 51.06% -0.396 -0.6316 -0.091
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 113 33.04% 23.43 39.82% -0.4 -0.6508 -0.204
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 233 30.47% 26.24 52.79% -0.176 -0.4999 0.176
Many Minds Move as One 121 31.67% 22.89 53.72% -0.485 -0.6846 0.645
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 236 36.48% 28.37 47.03% 0.089 0.061 0.481
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 118 33.62% 18.54 44.92% 0.284 0.142 0.133
River Surges in Sunlight 81 35.0% 25.95 62.96% 0.324 0.4411 -0.004
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 110 34.26% 23.68 47.27% -0.054 0.2836 0.35
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 400 42.25% 31.29 51.5% -0.332 -0.48 0.182
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 179 24.16% 21.78 49.72% 0.563 0.3956 0.409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 43.48% 29.17 69.57% 0.764 1.3077 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 32.88% 27.77 61.64% -0.426 -0.34 -0.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 46 32.61% 31.09 63.04% 0.193 -0.1768 -0.039
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 30.65% 20.63 53.23% 0.54 0.7054 0.154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 30 36.67% 18.53 40.0% -0.023 0.0085 -0.352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 26 23.08% 20.54 57.69% 0.585 0.7556 -0.21
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 73 46.58% 32.99 65.75% -0.433 -0.5283 0.61
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 445 31.38% 29.61 62.47% 0.197 -0.0434 0.487
Shifting Memory of Ages 149 33.78% 20.79 49.66% 0.201 0.5795 1.236
Shroud of Silent Mist 140 37.86% 19.34 42.86% -0.693 -0.3226 -0.066
Starlight Seeks its Form 171 29.82% 24.2 60.82% 0.716 0.5097 0.656
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 167 41.57% 24.26 43.11% 0.265 -0.452 -0.455
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 125 29.6% 19.85 36.8% -0.4 -0.2179 -0.484
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 93 51.61% 20.29 48.39% -0.373 -0.233 -0.613
Vital Strength of the Earth 77 36.49% 18.57 48.05% -0.825 -0.2829 -1.73
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 100 33.67% 23.02 49.0% -0.219 0.1187 -0.319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 34 38.24% 21.56 58.82% 0.027 0.7436 0.0
Volcano Looming High 121 44.17% 24.52 50.41% -0.125 -0.1582 -0.041
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 106 40.57% 29.34 45.28% -0.025 -0.4623 0.222

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 93.27%
Sudden Ambush 90.39%
Voice of Thunder 94.86%
Words of Warning 98.59%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2588 16.23 8.19%
II 2748 30.54 69.07%
III 1404 34.77 89.6%
IV 365 38.37 98.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1225
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1769
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 357
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2159
Lose: Invader deck ran out 48
Lose: Adversary condition 376
Win: Sacrifice victory 18
Lose: Scenario condition 43
Win: Scenario condition 148
Lose: Blight pool ran out 665
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.125 Win Model: -0.142

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.068 Win Model: 0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3786 41.23% 24.43 50.53%
2 1676 42.01% 26.67 55.91%
3 874 41.01% 27.71 57.55%
4 321 38.13% 26.78 57.63%
5 77 34.21% 27.57 53.25%
6 371 19.19% 20.47 40.43%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)