Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 30.77% 26.79 56.41% -0.277 -0.2325 0.741
Blitz 0 212 43.4% 34.54 56.6% -0.766 -0.5516 0.835
Dahan Insurrection 4 537 25.51% 33.07 45.62% 0.381 0.0931 0.172
Despicable Theft 2 72 34.72% 15.42 29.17% 0.21 0.9206 -0.336
Elemental Invocation 1 61 40.98% 11.7 18.03% -1.101 -0.3995 -0.712
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 350 16.57% 34.82 59.43% 0.614 0.0143 1.419
Powers Long Forgotten 1 151 30.46% 19.14 46.36% -0.618 0.2194 -0.685
Rituals of Terror 3 95 44.21% 29.77 60.0% 0.429 0.4893 -0.41
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 39.29% 8.04 7.14% -0.534 0.453 -0.496
Second Wave 0 433 44.55% 24.14 57.27% -0.418 -0.1677 -0.056
The Great River 3 52 38.46% 14.06 25.0% -0.893 0.1732 -0.932
Varied Terrains 2 76 42.11% 13.42 27.63% -1.13 -0.3005 -1.453
Ward the Shores 2 64 39.06% 16.03 26.56% -0.764 0.4194 -0.007

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5150 41.26% 24.16 52.02% 0.011 0.2841 0.003
1 Thematic 446 34.38% 18.52 29.15% -0.117 0.458 -1.069
2 Archipelago 14 35.71% 26.79 50.0% 0.099 0.7761 -0.356
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1748 42.52% 26.36 54.58% -0.382 -0.3136 0.569
2 Coastline 250 40.89% 26.69 60.4% 0.133 -0.0857 -0.5
2 Fragment 50 40.0% 26.74 52.0% 0.095 -0.1721 1.803
2 Heart 60 56.67% 36.1 56.67% 0.205 -0.2655 0.855
2 Opposite Shores 365 40.11% 24.85 55.62% 0.811 0.789 -0.293
2 Thematic 237 32.49% 21.88 42.62% -0.248 0.1248 0.078
2 Top to Top 45 28.89% 28.67 64.44% 0.95 0.6925 -0.085
3 Archipelago 6 33.33% 28.0 66.67% -0.42 -1.343 0.0
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 23.08 53.85% -0.215 -1.1785 0.211
3 Other 53 28.3% 24.43 60.38% 0.619 -0.1449 -0.507
3 Round (Default) 1313 42.82% 26.5 53.85% -0.247 -0.3999 -0.003
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 75.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.078 0.598
3 Thematic 79 36.71% 17.96 48.1% 0.501 0.3534 -0.772
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 11.71 42.86% 0.093 -0.4337 -0.579
4 Coastline 11 27.27% 24.73 72.73% 0.217 0.1602 0.288
4 Leaf 8 50.0% 32.75 62.5% 0.0 -0.0909 0.349
4 Other 30 40.0% 19.63 53.33% 0.509 -0.1757 0.421
4 Thematic 68 36.76% 26.19 41.18% -0.935 -1.1129 0.53
4 Trapezoid (Default) 412 36.01% 25.46 59.95% -0.918 -1.2475 -0.007
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 12.29 14.29% 0.0 1.2714 -1.025
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 22.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.0
5 Other 86 36.05% 26.85 59.3% 0.561 -0.1884 -0.048
5 Thematic 21 57.14% 44.43 33.33% 0.167 -0.2197 0.03
6 Archipelago 8 14.29% 24.0 62.5% 0.132 -0.8384 -0.333
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 13.0 33.33% 0.0 -0.5799 0.0
6 Other 46 32.61% 18.93 69.57% 0.285 -0.1319 0.536
6 Star 49 20.41% 21.61 65.31% 0.392 0.7272 0.07
6 Thematic 320 22.64% 24.59 30.94% -0.725 -0.7733 -0.564
6 Two Centers (Default) 205 15.12% 19.47 54.15% -1.592 -1.3769 -0.608
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.12 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 6 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.0813 0.376

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 197 30.72 47.72% 0.08 0.152 0.418
Aid From Lesser Spirits 188 34.76 61.7% 0.712 0.6414 1.412
All Things Weaken 230 25.88 39.13% -0.327 -0.0683 0.08
Attenuated Essence 216 27.63 46.3% 0.792 0.7558 0.142
Back Against the Wall 174 32.11 47.13% -0.111 -0.0578 0.715
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 220 28.05 42.27% 0.201 0.3463 0.155
Burn Brightest Before the End 197 31.17 48.22% 0.017 0.0328 0.111
Disintegrating Ecosystem 182 27.74 43.41% 0.359 0.5473 0.499
Downward Spiral 247 26.88 48.18% -0.226 -0.152 0.368
Erosion of Will 197 26.83 41.62% 0.407 0.5621 0.117
Intensifying Exploitation 241 27.49 42.32% 0.199 0.335 0.105
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 34.63 79.35% 0.188 -0.4265 1.544
Memory Fades to Dust 225 29.9 48.44% 0.452 0.6553 0.109
Power Corrodes the Spirit 211 27.31 47.39% -0.156 0.0187 0.555
Promising Farmlands 212 25.82 40.09% 0.036 0.2341 -0.271
Shattered Fragments of Power 179 30.72 43.58% -0.365 -0.3623 0.384
Slow Dissolution of Will 227 28.96 42.29% -0.339 -0.0412 0.244
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 64 28.98 62.5% -0.79 -1.487 0.255
The Border of Life and Death 70 27.69 58.57% 0.437 -0.0609 0.389
Thriving Communities 224 25.15 47.32% -0.377 -0.2203 0.214
Thriving Crops 111 28.74 46.85% -0.041 -0.3528 0.181
Unnatural Proliferation 239 28.64 48.12% -0.106 0.0027 0.326
Untended Land Crumbles 232 27.42 43.53% -0.506 -0.3238 0.095

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2553 36.78% 25.15 57.11% 0.488 1.4628 0.216
B 2616 37.95% 25.21 55.35% 0.086 0.9754 0.369
C 2805 38.24% 25.04 55.37% 0.116 0.8086 0.176
D 2326 37.79% 23.67 52.41% 0.032 0.9268 0.308
E 2278 39.91% 24.82 53.73% -0.238 0.491 0.054
F 2106 39.35% 25.63 55.41% -0.081 0.75 0.327
G 2003 38.62% 24.88 54.42% 0.397 1.1765 -0.107
H 1967 40.41% 25.1 53.84% 0.54 1.3227 0.391
East 887 29.6% 24.11 38.78% -0.149 0.6605 -0.015
Northeast 589 26.24% 24.85 37.18% -0.558 0.2401 -0.503
Northwest 567 29.26% 22.87 31.57% 0.048 0.7814 -0.309
Southeast 490 28.07% 23.7 33.06% -0.053 0.8404 -0.196
Southwest 503 28.94% 20.4 28.63% -0.912 0.3461 -0.959
West 871 32.95% 21.28 32.49% 0.266 1.2635 0.214

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 67 0.0% 18.66 65.67% -0.384 0.2835 -0.333
Not Using Events or Tokens 103 26.14% 16.7 34.95% -1.326 -0.9055 -0.161
Skip Initial Invader Actions 216 12.23% 29.86 70.83% 0.649 -0.1202 -0.074
Start of Game Growth 384 18.93% 33.54 69.01% -0.148 -0.5858 1.237
Unlimited Undo 1269 34.25% 28.72 55.32% 0.098 0.0328 0.73
Using Tokens but Not Events 1301 26.58% 26.44 60.88% 1.355 1.3117 0.451

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 351 20.98% 19.27 49.86% 0.294 0.2001 -0.043
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 143 31.47% 27.53 62.24% 0.254 -0.254 0.418
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 68 37.88% 22.51 54.41% -0.039 0.1588 -0.468
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 117 43.59% 26.88 60.68% 0.072 -0.8015 -0.632
Dances Up Earthquakes 46 36.96% 31.93 60.87% 0.62 0.4809 0.619
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 214 36.92% 18.59 43.93% -0.166 -0.388 -0.928
Downpour Drenches the World 265 32.83% 21.46 49.81% 0.4 0.7062 0.187
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 860 33.61% 28.08 61.05% -0.589 -1.143 0.347
Eyes Watch From the Trees 450 34.38% 27.51 53.33% 0.341 -0.0867 -0.224
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 252 26.59% 26.62 54.76% 0.573 0.1599 -0.498
Finder of Paths Unseen 204 39.11% 19.99 41.67% -0.216 0.4396 0.102
Fractured Days Split the Sky 292 30.48% 27.66 47.95% -0.36 0.1859 0.377
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 299 39.6% 21.54 41.81% -0.422 -0.5064 -0.309
Heart of the Wildfire 150 37.33% 18.97 39.33% -0.271 0.0443 -0.53
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 355 33.33% 32.07 61.41% 0.666 0.2221 0.596
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 231 23.38% 19.69 39.83% -0.006 -0.2996 -0.105
Lightning's Swift Strike 82 39.02% 24.02 57.32% -0.66 -0.398 0.125
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 198 36.36% 27.39 57.58% 0.434 0.1062 0.577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 76 28.0% 22.75 56.58% 0.349 -0.0262 -0.075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 164 31.29% 23.08 42.07% 0.051 0.1506 0.178
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 365 27.95% 25.55 54.52% 0.273 0.0736 -0.2
Many Minds Move as One 205 31.53% 21.81 52.68% -0.222 -0.4362 -0.099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 385 35.34% 29.2 48.83% -1.034 -0.886 0.549
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 84 48.81% 29.67 41.67% -0.122 -0.0774 -0.168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 191 32.8% 18.32 42.93% -0.307 -0.4094 0.079
River Surges in Sunlight 131 36.72% 28.25 63.36% 0.471 0.4684 0.795
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 105 45.71% 29.16 53.33% 0.238 0.5263 0.613
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 177 36.78% 23.81 49.72% -0.733 -0.5295 -0.153
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 607 40.66% 30.05 51.57% -0.083 -0.2968 0.261
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 241 24.58% 21.79 51.87% 0.418 0.2601 0.619
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 28.57% 28.29 57.14% 0.529 0.1461 0.558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 39 40.54% 24.82 61.54% -0.08 0.4967 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 106 30.19% 27.4 62.26% 0.086 0.0266 0.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 106 33.96% 28.1 61.32% 0.289 -0.1397 0.404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 116 52.59% 23.02 37.07% -0.837 -0.8313 -1.611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 48 35.42% 18.52 43.75% 0.349 0.2901 -0.533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 42 23.81% 22.19 61.9% 0.354 0.561 -0.329
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 107 40.19% 28.92 59.81% 0.296 0.3285 0.484
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 589 31.68% 28.72 60.61% -0.093 -0.2379 0.227
Shifting Memory of Ages 194 33.16% 20.16 46.39% -0.853 -0.5277 0.691
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 120 39.5% 21.42 48.33% 0.687 0.7349 -0.318
Shroud of Silent Mist 218 40.83% 20.31 47.25% -0.36 0.0083 0.038
Starlight Seeks its Form 315 28.89% 24.66 61.9% 0.624 0.5578 0.631
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 287 42.66% 24.31 41.46% -0.357 -0.84 -0.547
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 226 31.42% 22.31 44.69% -0.306 -0.1467 -0.067
Towering Roots of the Jungle 138 34.06% 26.52 52.9% 0.012 0.1577 1.703
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 155 49.35% 21.25 52.9% -0.303 -0.283 -0.44
Vital Strength of the Earth 97 36.17% 19.73 51.55% 0.601 1.1825 -1.798
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 167 36.36% 22.38 47.31% -0.608 -0.1243 -0.746
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 64 28.13% 17.8 46.88% -0.022 0.5971 -0.618
Volcano Looming High 193 37.5% 22.36 47.15% -0.172 -0.1361 0.095
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 228 41.59% 26.48 46.05% 0.19 -0.1276 -0.155

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Manifestation of Power and Glory 92.86%
Sudden Ambush 90.1%
Voice of Thunder 94.88%
Words of Warning 98.62%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4120 13.76 8.01%
II 4250 30.19 68.52%
III 2196 34.82 89.21%
IV 562 38.63 98.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1900
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2690
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 552
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3458
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 579
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Scenario condition 58
Win: Scenario condition 262
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1074
Lose: Spirit destroyed 132

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.448 Win Model: -0.131

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.2 Win Model: 0.234
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 5648 40.54% 23.57 49.84%
2 2749 41.35% 26.23 54.82%
3 1443 42.15% 26.36 54.4%
4 541 36.3% 25.04 56.93%
5 116 39.13% 29.79 54.31%
6 631 19.87% 22.01 44.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)