Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 30.77% 21.08 53.85% -0.016 0.0352 0.15
Blitz 0 403 44.61% 27.51 66.75% 0.785 0.9857 -0.878
Dahan Insurrection 4 830 31.68% 50.7 71.33% 0.868 0.657 1.221
Despicable Theft 2 155 45.81% 27.5 60.0% -0.497 0.3475 -0.178
Elemental Invocation 1 279 52.52% 27.39 52.69% -0.418 0.6532 -0.28
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2915 11.85% 48.3 78.28% 1.194 0.4691 1.483
Powers Long Forgotten 1 256 47.06% 29.66 64.84% -0.66 0.246 -0.519
Rituals of Terror 3 182 41.99% 44.47 74.73% 0.881 0.9115 1.87
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 81 74.07% 27.38 34.57% -0.161 1.0278 -1.044
Second Wave 0 1686 44.07% 28.61 72.0% 0.428 0.5087 0.173
The Great River 3 256 53.91% 27.41 41.02% -1.813 -0.4252 -0.271
Varied Terrains 2 58 55.17% 20.62 43.1% -0.54 0.3615 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 353 56.82% 28.45 46.46% -0.658 0.3975 -1.245

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 11874 50.07% 26.82 61.78% 0.254 0.2848 0.125
1 Thematic 807 54.77% 29.49 47.71% -0.032 0.3997 -0.091
2 Archipelago 34 50.0% 29.74 58.82% 0.0 0.4929 -0.892
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5129 49.02% 27.76 65.7% 0.398 0.3494 0.414
2 Coastline 1088 46.79% 27.03 58.09% 0.019 -0.0815 -0.417
2 Fragment 177 48.84% 27.66 66.1% 0.33 -0.0831 0.775
2 Heart 88 47.73% 27.65 69.32% -0.42 -0.5096 0.145
2 Opposite Shores 1971 32.92% 33.27 74.94% 0.553 0.3729 -0.475
2 Thematic 553 49.18% 31.86 55.88% -0.315 -0.1279 0.134
2 Top to Top 219 50.23% 27.81 65.75% 0.702 0.5027 0.047
3 Archipelago 41 36.59% 32.98 80.49% 0.229 -0.8918 0.815
3 Coastline 73 60.27% 29.32 58.9% -0.006 -0.6682 0.972
3 Other 228 37.5% 26.73 70.18% -0.822 -1.1561 -0.282
3 Round (Default) 4401 39.15% 31.67 71.3% 0.796 0.5296 0.285
3 Sunrise 22 54.55% 32.55 81.82% 0.0 0.5109 0.587
3 Thematic 168 54.76% 27.61 47.62% -0.098 -0.5444 -1.047
4 Archipelago 35 40.0% 34.29 68.57% 0.248 -0.3089 -0.99
4 Coastline 39 28.21% 30.51 71.79% 0.751 0.1332 0.0
4 Leaf 22 52.38% 25.0 59.09% -1.128 -0.2819 0.0
4 Other 181 36.67% 28.14 65.19% 0.09 -0.647 1.823
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% -0.522 0.0437 0.0
4 Thematic 839 31.66% 46.6 74.49% 0.015 0.2183 -0.132
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2823 36.33% 31.8 71.94% -0.175 0.1649 -0.109
5 Archipelago 20 50.0% 40.45 75.0% 0.0 -0.0008 -0.287
5 Coastline 7 57.14% 27.43 85.71% 0.067 -0.4605 -0.059
5 Other 274 26.77% 32.16 78.47% 0.696 -0.0252 0.136
5 Thematic 41 32.5% 44.59 73.17% 0.0 0.1602 -0.088
6 Archipelago 13 30.77% 40.08 76.92% 0.0 -0.7151 0.472
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 45.25 100.0% 0.18 -0.3086 0.0
6 Other 107 14.15% 27.05 81.31% -0.771 -0.3313 -0.383
6 Star 35 17.14% 31.09 80.0% -0.686 -0.3883 0.167
6 Thematic 529 14.29% 36.85 58.98% 0.225 0.2502 -0.457
6 Two Centers (Default) 381 18.42% 34.28 68.24% -0.918 -0.8202 -0.016
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 33.33 66.67% 0.0 0.5266 0.0
7 Other 10 30.0% 29.3 50.0% 0.344 -1.0726 -1.213

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 824 27.08 42.84% -0.211 -0.0718 -0.203
Aid From Lesser Spirits 836 32.13 55.14% -0.523 -0.582 0.345
All Things Weaken 985 26.51 44.47% 0.056 0.4106 0.37
Attenuated Essence 90 24.99 43.33% -0.048 0.063 -0.04
Back Against the Wall 823 29.5 47.87% -0.387 -0.3106 0.13
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 101 21.49 39.6% -0.169 0.0421 0.281
Burn Brightest Before the End 90 26.59 38.89% -0.285 -0.1641 -0.087
Disintegrating Ecosystem 832 25.88 43.63% -0.571 -0.2027 0.12
Downward Spiral 1266 26.06 49.68% -0.313 -0.1169 -0.044
Erosion of Will 812 27.33 43.47% 0.069 0.3361 -0.258
Intensifying Exploitation 73 23.84 41.1% -0.492 -0.2213 0.146
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 423 32.13 77.3% 0.389 -0.1222 0.758
Memory Fades to Dust 1207 25.59 44.49% -0.487 -0.1751 0.035
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1018 26.92 46.07% -0.329 -0.0346 0.287
Promising Farmlands 830 26.75 43.25% -0.04 0.2958 -0.248
Shattered Fragments of Power 78 24.37 46.15% 0.101 0.2094 -0.052
Slow Dissolution of Will 103 21.35 36.89% 0.129 0.5294 0.038
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 281 32.49 72.95% 0.106 -0.5072 0.457
The Border of Life and Death 30 28.27 66.67% 0.368 0.0753 -0.201
Thriving Communities 1007 25.5 44.19% -0.809 -0.4763 -0.199
Thriving Crops 36 26.03 47.22% 0.067 -0.0194 -0.354
Unnatural Proliferation 1086 28.41 49.82% 0.171 0.3186 0.136
Untended Land Crumbles 975 25.1 42.15% -0.398 -0.0911 -0.466

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10242 39.56% 31.08 69.45% -0.147 0.7579 0.052
B 7999 41.23% 30.16 68.78% 0.094 0.9222 -0.161
C 9096 39.65% 30.39 69.78% -0.036 0.6442 -0.157
D 8101 40.52% 29.35 68.0% -0.256 0.5971 -0.338
E 6829 41.76% 29.31 67.99% -0.16 0.5417 -0.178
F 6476 43.31% 29.03 65.81% -0.159 0.6226 -0.693
G 5993 41.54% 29.41 67.4% 0.179 0.9509 0.036
H 6149 42.61% 29.66 67.54% -0.201 0.5675 -0.268
East 2449 35.19% 38.26 61.86% -0.089 0.7727 -0.639
Northeast 1475 33.31% 38.67 62.92% -0.046 0.7012 -0.047
Northwest 1320 33.84% 38.94 62.42% 0.943 1.7765 0.332
Southeast 1202 24.73% 38.69 62.9% -0.759 0.017 -0.681
Southwest 1125 26.19% 37.87 62.22% -0.991 0.3287 0.326
West 2179 36.25% 38.39 61.96% 0.736 1.7416 -0.435

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 909 0.0% 19.85 66.23% -0.484 0.3465 1.125
Not Using Events or Tokens 1055 51.65% 19.37 52.89% -0.862 -0.4207 -0.969
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1688 14.48% 42.99 79.09% -0.266 -0.8277 1.173
Start of Game Growth 2421 15.16% 39.52 78.4% 0.555 0.0163 -0.545
Unlimited Undo 3547 32.21% 32.02 71.3% -0.237 -0.1962 -0.01
Using Tokens but Not Events 5679 25.93% 32.45 78.48% 0.579 0.5558 -0.082

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2255 23.96% 36.27 71.04% 0.316 0.2133 0.139
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 600 44.3% 28.67 62.83% -0.733 -0.573 0.159
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 49 32.65% 25.33 61.22% -0.572 -1.4076 -0.206
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1023 35.3% 26.99 68.52% -0.022 -0.1533 0.122
Downpour Drenches the World 552 22.95% 25.46 53.26% -0.071 0.2467 0.169
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 226 27.11% 28.81 64.16% -0.297 -0.7822 0.441
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1774 20.49% 30.24 83.2% 0.265 -0.188 0.217
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1022 33.43% 31.92 75.54% 0.261 -0.1916 0.076
Finder of Paths Unseen 125 31.45% 21.82 52.0% -0.943 -0.2767 -0.469
Fractured Days Split the Sky 642 29.02% 43.74 78.35% -0.55 0.1284 0.851
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 426 48.82% 28.87 61.27% -1.124 -1.0628 -0.64
Heart of the Wildfire 782 57.76% 28.31 58.06% 0.049 0.3086 0.045
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2476 33.71% 38.41 74.52% -0.101 -0.4943 0.696
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 102 28.43% 28.92 68.63% 0.989 0.5937 -1.499
Lightning's Swift Strike 738 41.94% 26.59 65.99% -0.101 0.1529 -1.118
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 192 37.37% 28.33 53.13% 0.102 -0.4516 -0.195
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 779 38.23% 30.01 75.35% 0.309 0.0731 0.883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1519 35.09% 34.49 74.85% 0.379 0.1282 0.81
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1591 42.7% 33.46 67.06% -0.273 -0.5967 -0.337
Many Minds Move as One 587 35.17% 29.03 72.23% -0.294 -0.4936 -0.041
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5389 37.65% 32.97 69.46% 0.224 0.1964 0.5
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 868 35.28% 28.01 72.47% -0.062 -0.2043 0.6
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1380 30.08% 37.66 68.77% 1.011 0.8435 0.241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 201 47.59% 24.52 66.17% 0.679 1.2228 1.136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 26.03% 20.36 63.01% -0.683 -0.5976 -0.299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 51 27.45% 36.92 74.51% 0.589 0.2193 -0.332
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 126 21.95% 30.64 64.29% -0.438 -0.2725 -0.072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 664 41.76% 28.86 71.39% -0.062 -0.0312 -0.464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 508 41.49% 28.24 70.47% 0.498 0.6682 -0.398
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 837 34.81% 39.89 75.27% -0.18 -0.2756 0.547
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 122 31.97% 27.28 58.2% 0.817 0.5764 0.299
Shifting Memory of Ages 887 33.94% 27.8 53.89% -0.567 -0.1889 -0.101
Shroud of Silent Mist 554 46.44% 29.28 66.79% 0.219 0.5894 -0.529
Starlight Seeks its Form 677 36.63% 33.17 67.06% 0.933 0.7262 0.588
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1044 41.53% 31.34 65.42% -0.356 -1.0729 -0.063
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1008 31.39% 33.12 73.91% 0.261 0.4427 0.389
Thunderspeaker 2089 41.44% 37.33 72.57% -0.354 -0.3402 0.628
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 110 34.26% 23.68 47.27% -0.063 0.043 -0.107
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 523 59.27% 27.88 60.04% 0.787 0.9273 0.125
Vital Strength of the Earth 685 28.68% 29.52 75.04% -0.15 0.3919 0.141
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 365 19.11% 24.38 41.64% -0.291 0.0468 -1.479
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 717 35.7% 26.55 69.46% -0.06 0.6563 -0.151
Volcano Looming High 779 44.81% 29.92 65.08% -0.528 -0.5612 -0.332
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 81 28.4% 28.54 62.96% 0.298 -0.139 -0.873

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 90.66%
River's Bounty 92.16%
Wash Away 82.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8963 16.23 24.36%
II 12271 30.54 72.88%
III 8257 34.77 88.23%
IV 2761 38.37 99.09%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2181
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7045
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8386
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2710
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2561
Lose: Invader deck ran out 456
Lose: Adversary condition 2688
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 466
Win: Scenario condition 755
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4646
Lose: Spirit destroyed 288

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.985 Win Model: -0.143

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.052 Win Model: 0.099
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 12808 50.3% 26.99 60.7%
2 9333 45.77% 29.1 66.15%
3 4836 39.32% 31.59 71.4%
4 3966 34.77% 35.05 72.39%
5 250 26.02% 28.89 73.2%
6 1059 16.24% 34.14 65.34%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)