Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 33.33% 26.33 83.33% 0.0 -0.4468 0.0
Blitz 0 294 47.93% 29.52 67.69% 0.665 1.1219 -1.069
Dahan Insurrection 4 692 33.38% 54.47 75.14% 0.05 0.0699 1.223
Despicable Theft 2 111 46.85% 31.11 67.57% 0.128 0.6407 0.064
Elemental Invocation 1 227 56.19% 30.1 57.71% -0.046 0.653 -0.301
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2352 12.74% 49.54 80.48% -0.42 -0.3791 1.117
Powers Long Forgotten 1 197 51.02% 32.87 71.07% -0.105 0.4573 -0.88
Rituals of Terror 3 147 41.78% 46.44 77.55% 0.276 -0.012 1.584
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 65 76.92% 30.68 38.46% -0.665 -0.2348 -0.688
Second Wave 0 1373 43.21% 29.69 74.36% 0.096 0.5579 -0.028
The Great River 3 214 54.67% 30.56 45.79% -0.42 1.347 -0.542
Varied Terrains 2 18 61.11% 30.0 61.11% -0.519 0.3093 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 288 58.89% 31.52 50.0% -0.996 -0.2523 -1.139

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9454 50.82% 28.82 65.9% 0.42 0.9704 0.17
1 Thematic 641 58.48% 31.8 50.08% -0.389 0.6086 -0.299
2 Archipelago 24 45.83% 33.71 70.83% -0.213 0.4046 -0.7
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3804 51.05% 30.38 71.03% 0.245 0.6547 0.35
2 Coastline 789 47.59% 30.11 62.23% 0.076 0.2114 -0.342
2 Fragment 143 46.38% 29.83 71.33% -0.133 -0.1374 0.236
2 Heart 74 44.59% 29.22 74.32% -0.207 0.2676 -0.055
2 Opposite Shores 1508 33.2% 33.82 77.65% 0.805 1.1586 -0.469
2 Thematic 374 57.8% 35.94 63.1% 0.369 1.2983 0.029
2 Top to Top 163 49.37% 28.94 73.62% -0.092 0.0342 0.202
3 Archipelago 34 35.29% 35.68 85.29% -0.8 -0.6208 0.825
3 Coastline 54 59.26% 33.65 64.81% 0.038 -0.3785 0.879
3 Other 173 40.83% 31.5 79.77% -0.263 -0.9818 -0.471
3 Round (Default) 3230 39.74% 34.02 76.5% -0.115 0.0785 0.099
3 Sunrise 16 75.0% 35.0 75.0% 0.313 0.4622 0.496
3 Thematic 128 64.84% 32.09 52.34% 0.054 0.0686 -1.094
4 Archipelago 22 54.55% 43.09 68.18% 0.0 -0.4195 -1.035
4 Coastline 34 29.41% 32.76 73.53% 0.0 -0.0727 0.0
4 Leaf 17 43.75% 30.94 76.47% 0.0 -0.0965 0.0
4 Other 110 47.71% 36.56 88.18% -0.051 -0.6667 1.529
4 Thematic 732 30.55% 49.16 76.23% -0.288 -0.0052 -0.403
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2126 37.35% 34.99 79.44% 0.374 0.5619 -0.109
5 Archipelago 19 52.63% 42.58 78.95% 0.0 -0.3838 -0.31
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.0 0.1073 0.0
5 Other 157 21.57% 40.51 95.54% 1.134 0.5029 0.482
5 Thematic 34 36.36% 50.0 79.41% 0.217 -0.7579 -0.214
6 Archipelago 9 44.44% 48.0 88.89% 0.141 0.0704 0.333
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 45.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.9494 0.0
6 Other 66 12.31% 33.48 92.42% -0.297 -0.5393 -0.678
6 Star 19 21.05% 42.63 94.74% 0.07 0.6156 0.149
6 Thematic 248 13.47% 53.19 86.69% 0.127 0.1728 0.452
6 Two Centers (Default) 208 16.91% 46.43 84.62% -1.579 -1.116 0.71
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.048 -0.1733 0.0
7 Other 6 50.0% 39.0 66.67% 0.047 -0.3138 -0.781

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 679 27.59 43.59% -1.858 -0.1278 -0.538
Aid From Lesser Spirits 713 32.67 55.68% -0.72 0.8556 0.109
All Things Weaken 792 27.46 45.33% -1.822 0.0562 0.189
Back Against the Wall 683 30.71 49.49% -2.264 -0.6268 -0.195
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1 40.0 100.0% 0.127 1.5751 0.0
Disintegrating Ecosystem 696 27.24 44.83% -1.451 0.3919 -0.195
Downward Spiral 1027 27.09 51.02% -1.134 0.5645 -0.286
Erosion of Will 674 28.52 44.21% -1.804 0.0963 -0.613
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 347 33.78 78.39% -0.258 0.242 0.637
Memory Fades to Dust 961 26.58 45.89% -1.578 0.2979 -0.513
Power Corrodes the Spirit 843 28.27 47.81% -1.471 0.2337 0.075
Promising Farmlands 698 27.14 42.41% -1.683 0.1928 -0.473
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 31.0 100.0% 0.149 1.3044 0.0
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 230 34.07 76.52% -0.452 -0.2418 0.089
Thriving Communities 792 26.46 45.58% -1.678 0.1927 -0.427
Unnatural Proliferation 896 28.86 49.22% -1.234 0.5198 -0.207
Untended Land Crumbles 781 26.49 43.28% -1.1 0.7145 -0.68

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7606 40.97% 33.61 74.98% 0.232 1.0096 0.081
B 5955 42.14% 32.91 74.58% -0.076 0.6271 -0.122
C 6775 41.01% 32.92 75.38% -0.266 0.2614 -0.159
D 5870 41.9% 32.28 74.57% -0.309 0.4262 -0.358
E 5035 43.25% 32.52 74.62% 0.122 0.7057 -0.088
F 4811 45.34% 32.28 71.34% -0.333 0.3741 -0.678
G 4483 43.07% 32.36 73.48% 0.215 0.8574 0.198
H 4549 44.12% 32.6 73.62% -0.235 0.4097 -0.118
East 1765 39.31% 44.06 69.63% -0.236 0.3557 -0.818
Northeast 991 37.93% 46.19 74.17% 0.464 1.1411 -0.195
Northwest 912 37.89% 45.76 71.82% -0.187 0.2508 0.451
Southeast 792 28.12% 47.54 76.52% -0.452 0.2117 -0.78
Southwest 725 28.83% 46.78 76.69% 0.174 1.3457 0.467
West 1579 39.53% 44.34 69.85% 0.325 1.1427 -0.248

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 688 0.0% 22.43 73.98% -1.77 0.306 0.844
Not Using Events or Tokens 736 55.83% 22.92 62.09% -0.211 -0.0393 -0.965
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1232 10.84% 48.74 90.18% 0.531 -0.5279 1.093
Start of Game Growth 1735 15.16% 45.22 87.95% 0.027 -0.3953 -0.643
Unlimited Undo 2559 34.1% 36.08 80.46% 0.216 -0.1998 0.016
Using Tokens but Not Events 4245 26.23% 34.39 83.13% 0.079 0.1941 0.399

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1607 100.0% 41.67 100.0% 0.045 -0.1343 -0.048
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 426 100.0% 33.6 100.0% 0.436 0.4501 -0.077
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 707 100.0% 31.15 100.0% 0.835 0.5896 0.227
Downpour Drenches the World 186 100.0% 40.83 100.0% 0.243 0.6309 1.281
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1 100.0% 30.0 100.0% 0.064 0.2989 0.0
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1345 100.0% 31.75 100.0% 0.591 0.1174 0.019
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 801 100.0% 34.2 100.0% 0.49 0.0437 0.236
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 100.0% 35.72 100.0% -1.419 -1.0553 -0.366
Fractured Days Split the Sky 550 100.0% 47.88 100.0% 1.286 1.3895 0.865
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 276 100.0% 32.87 100.0% 0.127 0.0627 -0.703
Heart of the Wildfire 605 100.0% 30.53 100.0% 0.156 0.4148 0.132
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1912 100.0% 42.2 100.0% -0.19 -0.773 0.573
Lightning's Swift Strike 532 318.35% 30.35 181.58% -0.273 -0.0051 -0.983
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 83 39.76% 34.9 54.22% 0.467 -0.3471 -0.612
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 658 39.97% 31.75 78.88% -0.424 -0.9664 0.681
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1243 36.93% 36.43 79.32% 0.001 -0.4769 0.808
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1211 100.0% 36.83 100.0% 0.422 0.3011 -0.421
Many Minds Move as One 420 100.0% 32.99 100.0% 1.126 0.5026 0.076
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3822 100.0% 36.8 100.0% 0.108 -0.0192 0.494
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 622 100.0% 30.7 100.0% -0.083 -0.1663 0.698
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1002 100.0% 43.38 100.0% -0.479 -0.6526 -0.253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 122 440.12% 24.84 318.03% -0.22 0.1727 -0.604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 20 40.0% 29.95 85.0% 0.366 0.463 -0.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 28.57% 34.35 80.65% -0.096 -0.0215 0.202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 589 42.81% 30.47 74.36% -0.121 -0.157 -0.572
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 434 44.11% 30.27 75.58% -0.844 -0.841 -0.114
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 702 100.43% 42.15 100.0% -0.335 -0.5345 0.325
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 3 0.0% 43.0 100.0% 0.174 0.469 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 413 100.0% 39.3 100.0% -0.299 -0.0698 -0.403
Shroud of Silent Mist 426 100.0% 31.51 100.0% 0.12 0.3034 -0.664
Starlight Seeks its Form 377 100.0% 43.01 100.0% -0.462 -0.6181 0.841
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 770 100.0% 34.26 100.0% -0.076 -0.3398 0.052
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 747 100.0% 36.24 100.0% 0.424 0.4869 0.198
Thunderspeaker 1639 100.12% 40.41 100.0% 0.032 -0.0439 0.463
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 2 0.0% 22.0 100.0% 0.024 0.2292 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 402 100.0% 29.98 100.0% -0.1 -0.3623 -0.146
Vital Strength of the Earth 515 181.63% 33.07 134.37% -0.555 0.1984 -0.427
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 94 18.28% 47.07 70.21% -0.187 0.3909 -0.765
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 582 37.72% 28.88 74.4% -0.5 0.6496 -0.201
Volcano Looming High 562 100.0% 32.61 100.0% -0.613 -0.6168 -0.432

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 90.31%
River's Bounty 91.8%
Wash Away 81.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5600 22.63 31.71%
II 9926 31.12 74.25%
III 6674 34.7 88.72%
IV 2226 37.97 99.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1774
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5712
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6884
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2190
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9
Lose: Invader deck ran out 384
Lose: Adversary condition 2291
Win: Sacrifice victory 54
Lose: Scenario condition 408
Win: Scenario condition 663
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3813
Lose: Spirit destroyed 244

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.872 Win Model: -0.149

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.283 Win Model: 0.308
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10157 51.37% 29.07 64.85%
2 6986 47.37% 31.26 70.71%
3 3559 40.05% 34.22 77.02%
4 3063 35.4% 38.85 79.2%
5 120 17.09% 38.58 95.0%
6 541 15.86% 46.63 86.69%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)