Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 20.45% 21.52 61.36% 0.362 0.4057 -0.319
Blitz 0 472 44.23% 26.6 62.71% -0.336 -0.1214 -0.853
Dahan Insurrection 4 892 30.63% 49.15 69.51% 0.09 -0.1977 1.219
Despicable Theft 2 201 45.27% 26.0 55.22% -0.361 0.3499 -0.303
Elemental Invocation 1 310 52.1% 27.21 52.9% 0.052 0.7535 -0.265
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3477 10.95% 48.15 78.08% 1.164 0.5637 1.605
Powers Long Forgotten 1 301 46.33% 27.6 61.13% -0.488 0.3492 -0.646
Rituals of Terror 3 217 43.52% 41.29 68.2% -0.221 -0.1603 1.775
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 66.67% 25.81 35.42% 0.0 0.9869 -1.016
Second Wave 0 1891 44.02% 28.1 70.49% 0.472 0.7216 0.129
The Great River 3 289 52.25% 25.58 38.06% -0.647 0.419 -0.288
Varied Terrains 2 87 56.32% 21.99 40.23% 0.383 1.2125 -0.344
Ward the Shores 2 395 54.06% 27.52 46.08% -0.864 0.3199 -1.033

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13963 49.13% 25.8 59.78% 0.079 0.3527 0.145
1 Thematic 949 52.87% 28.88 47.21% -0.666 -0.0912 -0.012
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 26.95 58.54% -0.856 -0.1783 -0.87
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6142 47.78% 26.26 62.85% 0.02 0.0886 0.347
2 Coastline 1307 44.97% 25.85 56.92% 0.13 -0.0893 -0.455
2 Fragment 217 52.36% 26.2 64.06% 0.914 0.647 0.952
2 Heart 110 44.95% 26.85 68.18% 0.182 -0.2881 0.124
2 Opposite Shores 2422 32.36% 34.0 74.07% 0.231 0.2085 -0.325
2 Thematic 659 46.11% 29.57 52.05% -0.068 0.3049 -0.033
2 Top to Top 294 49.65% 25.56 59.86% 0.411 0.1537 0.142
3 Archipelago 45 35.56% 31.29 77.78% 0.199 -0.7236 0.487
3 Coastline 80 56.25% 27.71 55.0% -0.423 -1.3864 0.817
3 Other 249 37.96% 26.09 68.67% 0.142 -0.6216 -0.375
3 Round (Default) 5330 38.58% 30.71 68.44% 0.012 -0.141 0.29
3 Sunrise 24 54.55% 31.25 83.33% 0.0 -0.078 0.576
3 Thematic 242 49.59% 25.57 45.45% -0.348 -0.4951 -0.837
4 Archipelago 36 41.67% 33.33 66.67% -0.169 -0.6957 -0.936
4 Coastline 43 25.58% 28.56 67.44% 0.503 0.4463 1.076
4 Leaf 30 41.38% 22.9 53.33% 0.0 -0.0909 -0.343
4 Other 224 30.94% 25.24 59.38% 1.243 0.5583 1.517
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Thematic 905 31.78% 44.66 72.15% -0.225 -0.403 -0.149
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3307 35.96% 30.04 68.07% -0.158 -0.4873 -0.372
5 Archipelago 26 38.46% 31.12 57.69% -2.208 -0.937 -0.332
5 Coastline 7 57.14% 27.43 85.71% 0.0 -0.5305 0.206
5 Other 351 28.9% 31.78 75.78% 0.837 0.087 0.198
5 Thematic 54 33.96% 44.74 77.78% 0.376 -0.0103 0.851
6 Archipelago 23 17.39% 36.09 73.91% -0.833 -1.804 0.306
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 31.88 75.0% 0.334 -0.2458 0.0
6 Other 194 16.06% 26.06 69.07% -0.096 -0.5132 -0.632
6 Star 67 23.88% 27.28 62.69% -0.104 0.2314 -0.7
6 Thematic 740 16.83% 34.69 54.73% 0.204 0.1556 -0.988
6 Two Centers (Default) 587 22.26% 30.2 62.86% -0.346 -0.1317 -0.214
7 Archipelago 7 14.29% 36.14 57.14% 0.0 -0.12 0.488
7 Other 13 23.08% 22.54 38.46% -0.283 -1.3638 -0.997

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 954 26.9 43.29% 0.254 0.3261 0.01
Aid From Lesser Spirits 959 31.77 53.7% -0.577 -0.6482 0.502
All Things Weaken 1134 25.93 44.44% -0.198 0.0609 0.494
Attenuated Essence 159 24.01 45.28% -0.552 -0.5878 0.203
Back Against the Wall 915 29.6 47.76% -0.33 -0.2758 0.372
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 179 21.77 40.78% -0.77 -0.625 0.476
Burn Brightest Before the End 150 26.39 40.67% -0.504 -0.4877 0.004
Disintegrating Ecosystem 929 25.22 42.95% -0.209 -0.0207 0.17
Downward Spiral 1467 25.31 48.47% -0.27 -0.1956 0.041
Erosion of Will 930 26.27 42.04% -1.128 -0.973 -0.145
Intensifying Exploitation 139 25.29 41.73% -0.154 -0.0178 -0.13
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 480 30.81 75.21% 0.16 -0.4542 0.787
Memory Fades to Dust 1397 24.33 42.59% -0.902 -0.6985 0.114
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1151 26.07 45.18% -0.345 -0.1699 0.366
Promising Farmlands 959 26.0 41.4% -0.953 -0.7548 -0.125
Shattered Fragments of Power 122 25.0 42.62% -0.701 -0.698 0.116
Slow Dissolution of Will 191 22.35 39.27% -0.247 0.0515 0.056
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 323 31.8 72.76% 0.852 0.1555 0.778
The Border of Life and Death 52 23.58 53.85% 0.223 -0.2748 -0.832
Thriving Communities 1168 24.89 42.55% -0.592 -0.4353 -0.062
Thriving Crops 73 23.1 45.21% -0.027 -0.339 -1.007
Unnatural Proliferation 1234 27.82 48.87% -0.766 -0.6577 0.241
Untended Land Crumbles 1088 24.42 41.08% -1.061 -0.8791 -0.308

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12469 38.38% 30.08 66.85% 0.108 1.0834 -0.007
B 9730 40.13% 28.89 65.92% 0.024 0.9137 -0.208
C 11165 38.77% 29.41 66.48% -0.114 0.5781 -0.207
D 9923 39.73% 27.88 64.75% -0.32 0.5756 -0.381
E 8349 40.86% 27.91 64.73% -0.2 0.5298 -0.258
F 7886 41.96% 27.46 62.74% 0.058 0.8898 -0.745
G 7250 40.54% 28.06 64.46% -0.123 0.6561 -0.131
H 7394 41.62% 28.37 64.96% 0.208 0.9912 -0.343
East 2992 34.59% 35.9 58.46% -0.213 0.5968 -0.672
Northeast 1841 32.62% 36.25 59.1% -0.053 0.7448 -0.032
Northwest 1628 32.69% 36.5 58.42% -0.593 0.1403 0.439
Southeast 1544 24.8% 36.19 59.2% 0.655 1.5487 -0.266
Southwest 1441 26.02% 35.43 58.08% -0.38 0.8776 0.536
West 2652 34.97% 35.92 58.41% -0.143 0.8543 -0.553

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1146 0.0% 18.34 61.52% -1.133 -0.4653 0.9
Not Using Events or Tokens 1386 48.64% 17.47 48.77% 0.315 0.7362 -0.996
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2001 14.59% 41.79 76.91% 0.163 -0.6057 0.82
Start of Game Growth 2858 14.79% 38.26 76.21% 0.411 -0.0269 -0.388
Unlimited Undo 4370 31.08% 30.89 68.54% -0.155 -0.2208 -0.043
Using Tokens but Not Events 6943 25.16% 31.89 76.39% 0.801 0.7579 0.016

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2628 23.73% 34.62 68.42% 0.076 -0.0183 0.04
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 253 18.33% 28.93 54.94% 0.015 -0.4926 0.377
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 699 42.8% 27.54 60.94% 0.2 0.3973 -0.026
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 129 31.78% 24.22 55.04% -0.27 -1.143 -0.483
Dances Up Earthquakes 44 36.36% 24.05 50.0% -0.502 -0.6409 -0.643
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1197 34.1% 25.97 66.42% 0.51 0.2872 0.211
Downpour Drenches the World 735 25.07% 25.24 52.24% 0.053 0.3591 -0.053
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 413 32.77% 28.2 59.56% 0.634 0.0795 0.011
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2115 20.86% 29.39 79.76% 0.837 0.4094 0.084
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1219 31.09% 31.03 72.19% -0.63 -1.0433 0.014
Finder of Paths Unseen 203 31.68% 20.25 47.78% 0.101 0.7565 -0.444
Fractured Days Split the Sky 717 28.49% 41.41 75.31% -0.065 0.4805 0.901
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 585 50.43% 27.97 57.78% -0.597 -0.6816 -0.667
Heart of the Wildfire 937 55.16% 28.02 57.42% -0.071 0.2449 -0.151
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2880 32.94% 36.85 70.94% 0.432 -0.0119 0.42
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 281 34.52% 28.22 60.5% -0.183 -0.4766 -1.16
Lightning's Swift Strike 907 41.2% 25.44 62.62% -0.107 0.1552 -0.892
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 322 41.88% 27.76 51.86% -0.2 -0.5272 -0.295
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 871 37.92% 28.95 72.45% 0.523 0.1469 0.726
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1764 33.51% 33.24 72.56% -0.18 -0.0799 0.779
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1986 42.68% 31.62 62.99% 0.545 0.3455 -0.122
Many Minds Move as One 726 35.89% 28.35 68.73% 0.287 0.0725 0.029
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6700 36.55% 30.94 65.45% 0.116 0.2633 0.411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 208 35.27% 27.02 55.29% 0.33 0.3749 -0.124
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1028 33.9% 26.98 68.77% -0.206 -0.3086 0.696
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1677 30.0% 35.75 65.53% 0.066 -0.0923 0.259
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 46 36.96% 28.02 56.52% 0.327 -0.0561 0.712
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 241 45.33% 23.02 62.24% -0.026 0.5505 1.113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 104 26.21% 19.37 63.46% 0.531 0.4715 -0.212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 123 24.39% 29.1 60.98% -0.548 -0.9762 -0.161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 189 20.54% 35.86 68.78% 0.953 0.9587 0.111
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 733 41.2% 28.08 69.3% 0.383 0.3242 -0.358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 546 41.42% 27.39 68.32% -0.449 -0.2425 -0.389
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 911 33.85% 38.63 73.0% -0.025 0.0076 0.66
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 224 30.18% 28.59 57.59% 0.005 -0.14 -0.237
Shifting Memory of Ages 1010 33.3% 26.35 51.88% -0.278 0.0469 0.001
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 137 32.85% 23.85 48.91% -0.582 -0.5333 0.419
Shroud of Silent Mist 637 44.6% 27.53 63.42% -0.288 0.0802 -0.613
Starlight Seeks its Form 910 36.3% 29.29 60.22% -0.326 -0.3921 0.422
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1257 39.09% 29.83 60.7% -0.431 -0.9145 -0.206
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1286 29.36% 31.99 70.14% -0.197 -0.0378 0.583
Thunderspeaker 2397 40.68% 35.3 69.75% -0.034 -0.0035 0.442
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 177 36.78% 23.81 49.72% -0.467 -0.2764 -0.251
Towering Roots of the Jungle 88 43.18% 27.97 69.32% 1.116 1.2622 -0.131
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 588 57.9% 27.09 59.35% -0.406 -0.3863 0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth 815 27.26% 27.52 71.53% -0.116 0.465 0.1
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 506 26.41% 25.62 45.85% 0.497 0.9807 -1.236
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 839 34.89% 25.35 65.32% -0.455 0.1641 -0.121
Volcano Looming High 945 42.99% 28.61 61.38% -0.665 -0.6292 -0.272
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 182 34.07% 28.25 61.54% -0.219 -0.5361 -0.272

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 91.03%
River's Bounty 92.37%
Wash Away 83.18%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11842 13.76 22.6%
II 14219 30.19 72.04%
III 9480 34.82 87.99%
IV 3176 38.63 99.15%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2674
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8081
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9656
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3120
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4591
Lose: Invader deck ran out 512
Lose: Adversary condition 3062
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 513
Win: Scenario condition 801
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5299
Lose: Spirit destroyed 330

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.334 Win Model: -0.151

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.06 Win Model: 0.035
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 15085 49.32% 25.96 58.7%
2 11236 44.44% 28.13 64.05%
3 5868 38.72% 30.56 68.35%
4 4578 34.28% 32.92 68.61%
5 341 28.49% 29.24 70.67%
6 1609 19.05% 31.29 59.98%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)