Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 65 23.08% 18.88 56.92% -0.206 0.1635 -0.048
Blitz 0 528 43.51% 25.9 60.98% 0.069 0.5011 0.096
Dahan Insurrection 4 962 31.11% 48.32 68.4% -0.632 -0.658 0.398
Despicable Theft 2 233 45.06% 24.51 52.36% -0.85 -0.1904 -0.219
Elemental Invocation 1 378 50.4% 25.5 51.59% 0.466 0.9143 -0.612
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3977 10.38% 48.42 78.48% 0.832 0.2323 0.987
Powers Long Forgotten 1 351 44.86% 27.19 60.4% 0.031 0.6389 -0.298
Rituals of Terror 3 245 44.26% 39.29 65.71% -0.066 0.0587 -0.159
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 117 58.97% 24.18 35.9% -0.065 0.6736 -0.046
Second Wave 0 2116 43.92% 27.88 69.8% 0.272 0.3784 1.586
The Great River 3 338 52.52% 24.02 35.5% -0.551 0.624 -0.365
Varied Terrains 2 104 54.81% 22.01 41.35% -0.486 0.2503 -0.114
Ward the Shores 2 460 52.51% 25.97 44.57% -0.321 0.3612 -0.447

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 16566 48.26% 25.26 57.96% -0.453 -0.2284 0.375
1 Thematic 1068 51.92% 27.97 45.88% -0.412 0.1384 0.113
2 Archipelago 46 50.0% 25.09 56.52% 0.0 -0.3536 -0.049
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7220 47.34% 25.5 61.33% -0.189 -0.0773 -0.263
2 Coastline 1518 44.99% 24.71 55.01% -0.023 -0.112 0.178
2 Fragment 249 51.44% 25.39 63.45% 0.616 0.2772 0.84
2 Heart 132 39.69% 26.18 67.42% 0.0 -0.3272 0.36
2 Opposite Shores 2885 30.99% 34.48 74.04% 0.846 0.8825 0.565
2 Thematic 782 45.34% 28.19 50.26% 0.481 1.0097 -0.204
2 Top to Top 348 48.83% 24.08 55.46% 0.599 0.3923 -0.625
3 Archipelago 55 40.0% 31.2 74.55% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 91 53.85% 26.97 54.95% 0.368 -0.1533 0.0
3 Other 287 38.65% 24.68 65.16% -0.411 -1.1534 -0.174
3 Round (Default) 6372 38.26% 30.12 66.21% -0.27 -0.3658 -0.374
3 Sunrise 26 58.33% 30.73 84.62% 0.165 -0.5744 0.0
3 Thematic 306 50.17% 25.53 43.79% -0.514 -0.2722 -1.12
4 Archipelago 40 40.0% 33.6 70.0% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 51 27.45% 26.84 64.71% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 34 36.36% 20.21 47.06% -0.554 -1.1079 0.0
4 Other 249 30.49% 25.6 61.04% -0.378 -0.9254 0.613
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 992 31.82% 43.45 69.96% 0.451 0.9248 0.018
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3796 35.08% 29.19 67.49% 0.214 0.025 0.044
5 Archipelago 26 38.46% 31.12 57.69% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 9 55.56% 28.89 77.78% 0.0 -0.6104 0.555
5 Other 449 29.95% 30.37 74.83% -0.127 -0.4531 -0.072
5 Thematic 65 28.13% 41.49 80.0% 0.0 -0.4906 -0.039
6 Archipelago 24 16.67% 35.54 75.0% 0.0 -0.9253 0.0
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 31.88 75.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 244 18.11% 25.66 68.03% 0.0 0.2695 0.331
6 Star 83 22.89% 27.52 61.45% 0.0 0.7961 -0.719
6 Thematic 891 17.91% 33.58 52.75% 0.272 0.8523 -0.601
6 Two Centers (Default) 721 24.55% 28.62 60.33% 0.156 0.1329 -0.4
7 Archipelago 8 12.5% 38.63 62.5% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 17 23.53% 23.29 35.29% -0.222 -0.4774 -0.067

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1083 27.1 43.77% 0.396 0.7068 0.881
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1086 31.79 54.05% -0.664 -0.6511 -0.191
All Things Weaken 1300 25.37 43.54% -0.023 0.4509 -0.434
Attenuated Essence 239 22.88 41.84% -1.182 -1.0357 -0.615
Back Against the Wall 1057 29.28 47.59% 0.32 0.4492 0.416
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 244 22.09 40.16% -0.746 -0.426 -0.225
Burn Brightest Before the End 214 27.15 43.46% -0.709 -0.5319 0.539
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1078 25.18 43.69% 0.307 0.687 0.516
Downward Spiral 1676 24.81 47.79% -0.327 -0.1335 1.024
Erosion of Will 1066 25.97 41.84% 0.077 0.4146 0.513
Intensifying Exploitation 216 23.78 39.81% -0.696 -0.3437 0.637
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 543 30.2 73.66% 0.309 -0.0546 0.732
Memory Fades to Dust 1587 23.73 42.03% -0.35 -0.0207 -0.05
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1325 25.65 44.38% 0.043 0.31 0.305
Promising Farmlands 1085 25.66 41.66% -0.043 0.4044 -0.82
Shattered Fragments of Power 188 26.62 43.09% 0.497 0.4961 0.437
Slow Dissolution of Will 274 21.81 39.42% 0.127 0.5378 -0.13
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 364 30.76 70.88% -0.435 -0.9936 -0.111
The Border of Life and Death 71 23.54 53.52% -0.095 -0.3401 -0.301
Thriving Communities 1330 24.23 41.73% -0.697 -0.4192 -0.2
Thriving Crops 97 21.85 42.27% -0.538 -0.6335 -0.24
Unnatural Proliferation 1404 27.71 48.36% -0.68 -0.4749 0.689
Untended Land Crumbles 1239 23.96 40.92% -0.227 0.0719 0.189

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 14893 37.64% 29.81 65.7% -0.117 0.8741 0.569
B 11539 39.57% 28.19 64.23% -0.023 0.8423 0.468
C 13213 38.01% 29.04 65.25% 0.403 1.1549 0.339
D 11665 39.25% 27.0 63.34% -0.439 0.5053 -0.089
E 9903 40.67% 27.02 62.69% 0.016 0.771 -0.329
F 9365 41.58% 26.49 60.95% -0.393 0.4812 -0.377
G 8447 40.46% 27.29 63.18% 0.064 0.9268 0.321
H 8623 41.09% 27.6 63.42% 0.309 1.1161 0.903
East 3493 34.6% 34.48 56.31% 0.208 0.9535 0.049
Northeast 2161 32.37% 34.87 56.83% -0.464 0.429 -0.392
Northwest 1916 32.16% 35.11 56.47% -0.462 0.2812 -0.302
Southeast 1826 25.38% 34.66 56.9% 0.326 1.3349 -0.394
Southwest 1678 26.21% 34.1 55.84% 0.136 1.2929 0.086
West 3071 34.71% 34.61 56.4% 0.534 1.5169 -0.88

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1417 0.0% 17.6 59.14% 0.25 0.9704 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 1691 48.24% 16.75 47.66% -0.385 0.0892 -0.162
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2304 13.64% 41.46 75.87% 0.805 0.0005 0.36
Start of Game Growth 3220 14.55% 38.28 75.22% 0.939 0.3727 0.489
Unlimited Undo 4997 30.97% 29.92 66.08% -0.751 -0.7236 -0.38
Using Tokens but Not Events 8107 24.51% 32.06 75.17% 0.303 0.2761 0.326

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2903 23.83% 33.34 66.66% -0.049 -0.4664 -0.086
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 425 19.38% 29.02 53.88% -0.796 -1.4525 0.297
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 23 30.43% 27.22 47.83% -0.299 -0.4571 0.271
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 72 23.61% 34.35 66.67% -0.731 -1.5911 0.715
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 779 41.27% 26.86 61.49% -0.709 -0.5718 0.846
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 175 32.76% 25.07 57.14% 0.0 -1.0295 -0.216
Dances Up Earthquakes 128 34.92% 23.63 54.69% -0.769 -0.8057 -0.365
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1359 33.72% 25.85 65.71% -0.01 -0.3647 0.624
Downpour Drenches the World 890 25.88% 25.27 50.45% 0.362 0.4857 -0.064
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 528 32.12% 29.21 61.93% 1.088 0.5175 1.279
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2544 20.11% 28.59 78.14% 0.794 0.1483 -0.047
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1388 31.91% 30.87 70.53% 0.181 -0.3133 -0.335
Finder of Paths Unseen 248 31.17% 19.63 46.37% -0.375 0.2134 -0.259
Fractured Days Split the Sky 775 28.81% 39.71 72.77% -0.937 -0.49 -0.036
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 699 50.0% 27.46 56.08% -0.057 -0.2423 -0.703
Heart of the Wildfire 1088 53.26% 27.91 58.27% 1.119 1.2619 0.101
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3205 32.56% 35.83 68.83% -0.144 -0.818 -0.122
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 524 23.28% 26.6 67.56% 0.4 -0.1281 -0.054
Lightning's Swift Strike 1090 40.96% 24.24 60.55% -1.379 -1.3464 -0.876
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 436 41.24% 27.5 52.75% 0.158 -0.494 0.387
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 956 36.85% 28.17 70.71% 0.962 0.466 -0.761
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2012 33.13% 32.45 70.73% -0.154 -0.3935 0.173
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2429 43.15% 30.78 60.23% 0.083 -0.3428 0.809
Many Minds Move as One 846 35.65% 27.96 67.38% 0.005 -0.504 0.757
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7662 36.99% 30.19 64.02% 0.83 0.5604 0.805
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 729 34.14% 24.99 58.44% 0.571 0.4568 0.238
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1195 34.28% 26.81 66.86% 0.65 0.3559 -0.202
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1847 30.69% 35.42 65.4% 0.688 0.4234 0.615
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 118 33.9% 26.31 50.85% -0.048 -0.4786 -0.626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 274 45.88% 21.82 59.12% 0.08 0.5081 -0.368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 28.36% 21.11 63.24% 0.021 0.0246 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 197 27.92% 28.17 60.91% 0.431 -0.3216 -0.276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 258 20.95% 38.54 72.48% 0.416 0.0976 0.235
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 792 40.89% 27.41 67.68% -0.708 -0.8869 0.599
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 590 41.86% 26.98 67.63% 0.222 0.1792 -0.039
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 968 33.78% 37.87 72.62% 0.188 -0.1783 0.234
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 12 41.67% 37.42 75.0% 0.28 -0.261 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 330 28.66% 27.26 51.82% -0.324 -0.5687 -0.694
Shifting Memory of Ages 1110 34.09% 25.56 51.08% -0.249 0.0451 -1.016
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 274 34.07% 26.19 50.0% 0.235 0.0714 1.233
Shroud of Silent Mist 742 43.87% 26.31 61.46% -0.757 -0.5754 -0.186
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 12 16.67% 24.75 50.0% 0.609 0.1987 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 1089 35.85% 28.31 59.5% 0.291 0.0486 0.117
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1469 38.48% 29.47 58.88% -0.233 -1.1848 -0.016
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1496 29.55% 31.69 68.25% -0.897 -0.8544 -0.135
Thunderspeaker 2715 40.12% 34.32 68.55% 0.227 0.0316 0.129
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 255 38.96% 24.04 49.8% -0.282 -0.4502 -0.077
Towering Roots of the Jungle 158 41.56% 28.47 67.09% 0.401 0.2897 -0.428
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 666 56.45% 26.87 60.66% -0.242 -0.3924 -0.703
Vital Strength of the Earth 997 27.48% 25.95 67.9% -0.075 0.2832 -0.466
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 581 28.25% 24.96 44.75% 0.193 0.4368 -0.166
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 923 34.94% 24.98 64.25% -0.453 0.2287 -0.261
Volcano Looming High 1080 42.43% 27.67 60.0% -0.116 -0.4401 -0.751
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 261 36.02% 27.72 58.62% -0.831 -1.3487 0.044

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 91.17%
River's Bounty 92.6%
Wash Away 83.57%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14631 12.25 21.09%
II 16454 29.91 71.53%
III 10948 34.94 87.64%
IV 3654 38.9 99.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3083
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9311
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11139
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3592
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6647
Lose: Invader deck ran out 582
Lose: Adversary condition 3430
Win: Sacrifice victory 89
Lose: Scenario condition 550
Win: Scenario condition 862
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6028
Lose: Spirit destroyed 373

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.864 Win Model: -0.087

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.308 Win Model: -0.118
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 17843 48.44% 25.38 56.96%
2 13220 43.62% 27.59 62.87%
3 7019 38.68% 29.89 65.89%
4 5188 33.61% 31.92 67.71%
5 449 28.99% 28.35 71.27%
6 1968 20.57% 30.23 58.08%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)