Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 22.22% 17.56 55.56% -0.913 -0.9918 -0.208
Blitz 0 307 47.85% 29.28 68.08% 1.338 1.4848 -1.033
Dahan Insurrection 4 712 33.15% 53.82 74.3% -0.191 -0.3985 1.276
Despicable Theft 2 119 47.9% 30.47 66.39% -0.138 0.5447 0.08
Elemental Invocation 1 234 55.36% 29.61 56.84% 0.141 0.8727 -0.34
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2477 12.5% 49.11 79.53% 1.154 0.5471 1.271
Powers Long Forgotten 1 206 51.22% 32.67 71.36% 0.796 1.2839 -0.85
Rituals of Terror 3 150 41.61% 46.19 77.33% 0.908 1.0129 1.541
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 66 75.76% 30.21 37.88% -0.946 0.0456 -0.685
Second Wave 0 1439 43.37% 29.42 73.8% 0.742 0.8048 -0.065
The Great River 3 221 55.66% 29.88 44.34% -1.679 -0.3307 -0.399
Varied Terrains 2 25 56.0% 25.64 56.0% -0.468 0.0947 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 301 58.67% 30.65 48.84% -0.613 0.5966 -1.083

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9792 50.63% 28.49 65.26% -0.023 0.187 0.136
1 Thematic 655 58.45% 31.57 49.77% -0.357 0.2419 -0.334
2 Archipelago 25 44.0% 33.48 72.0% 0.288 0.6449 -0.802
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3989 50.22% 29.92 70.12% 0.145 0.3047 0.372
2 Coastline 852 48.07% 29.34 60.45% -0.153 -0.0923 -0.489
2 Fragment 145 45.71% 29.72 71.03% 0.535 0.4714 0.225
2 Heart 78 46.15% 28.65 73.08% -0.064 -0.3017 -0.034
2 Opposite Shores 1577 33.2% 33.8 77.17% 0.457 0.591 -0.497
2 Thematic 393 55.5% 36.14 63.36% 0.819 1.4551 0.143
2 Top to Top 175 50.59% 28.59 69.71% -0.209 -0.1685 0.019
3 Archipelago 36 36.11% 34.81 83.33% 0.08 -1.0067 0.777
3 Coastline 59 61.02% 32.46 62.71% -0.303 -0.8005 0.868
3 Other 189 38.38% 29.99 76.72% 0.085 0.1949 -0.181
3 Round (Default) 3434 39.17% 33.33 75.07% 0.008 -0.033 0.193
3 Sunrise 19 63.16% 33.74 78.95% 0.483 0.6789 0.534
3 Thematic 140 60.71% 30.3 50.0% -1.082 -1.0461 -1.04
4 Archipelago 23 52.17% 41.22 65.22% -0.446 -0.661 -1.071
4 Coastline 34 29.41% 32.76 73.53% 0.0 0.1222 0.0
4 Leaf 17 43.75% 30.94 76.47% 0.0 -0.3753 0.0
4 Other 111 48.18% 36.27 87.39% -0.292 -1.1412 1.571
4 Thematic 761 31.23% 48.43 75.56% -0.093 -0.1106 -0.229
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2214 37.49% 34.57 78.55% 0.017 -0.1691 -0.002
5 Archipelago 19 52.63% 42.58 78.95% 0.0 -1.2256 -0.3
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.317 0.2738 0.0
5 Other 192 21.93% 37.26 89.58% 0.275 -0.2332 0.526
5 Thematic 37 33.33% 47.57 75.68% -0.302 -0.6324 -0.134
6 Archipelago 11 36.36% 41.73 81.82% -0.344 -0.6486 0.403
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 45.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.6437 0.0
6 Other 71 12.86% 32.21 90.14% 0.076 -0.3185 -0.613
6 Star 23 17.39% 37.39 86.96% 0.23 0.7057 0.199
6 Thematic 326 12.11% 44.05 71.47% -0.596 -0.1976 -0.091
6 Two Centers (Default) 245 18.03% 42.8 80.0% -0.675 -0.6314 0.713
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5893 0.0
7 Other 7 42.86% 33.43 57.14% 0.189 -0.5835 -0.881

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 702 27.4 43.45% -0.687 -0.4159 -0.492
Aid From Lesser Spirits 730 32.55 55.75% 0.342 0.3806 0.159
All Things Weaken 814 27.27 45.21% -0.116 0.345 0.255
Attenuated Essence 12 13.67 25.0% -0.806 -0.6003 -0.362
Back Against the Wall 704 30.57 49.29% -0.608 -0.4464 -0.104
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 21 21.24 47.62% -0.22 0.1941 0.367
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 21.88 50.0% -0.39 -0.0857 -0.168
Disintegrating Ecosystem 715 27.16 44.48% -0.401 0.1259 -0.07
Downward Spiral 1059 26.81 50.9% 0.102 0.4548 -0.231
Erosion of Will 700 28.25 44.14% -0.226 0.1821 -0.516
Intensifying Exploitation 13 22.54 46.15% -0.04 0.3471 -0.172
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 354 33.48 78.25% 0.292 -0.2335 0.683
Memory Fades to Dust 997 26.44 46.04% -0.266 0.2153 -0.409
Power Corrodes the Spirit 865 27.89 47.05% -1.177 -0.8729 0.143
Promising Farmlands 714 27.21 42.86% 0.33 0.916 -0.347
Shattered Fragments of Power 7 25.14 57.14% 0.024 0.2025 0.0
Slow Dissolution of Will 12 24.42 50.0% 0.139 0.6728 0.509
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 243 34.11 76.13% 0.748 0.0698 0.237
The Border of Life and Death 6 30.67 66.67% 0.31 0.1808 0.0
Thriving Communities 823 26.3 44.84% -0.762 -0.2692 -0.333
Thriving Crops 2 0.0 0.0% -0.711 -0.6232 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 922 28.68 48.92% -0.36 -0.0634 -0.077
Untended Land Crumbles 815 26.36 43.31% -0.223 0.1349 -0.571

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8024 40.5% 33.21 74.0% 0.167 1.0075 0.105
B 6280 41.72% 32.35 73.6% 0.03 0.8084 -0.133
C 7152 40.49% 32.42 74.11% -0.186 0.4682 -0.107
D 6240 41.32% 31.61 73.25% 0.013 0.8126 -0.442
E 5338 42.95% 31.79 73.1% 0.128 0.7566 -0.09
F 5066 44.85% 31.63 70.33% -0.356 0.3631 -0.674
G 4724 42.92% 31.73 72.31% 0.031 0.7725 0.2
H 4786 43.69% 32.03 72.54% -0.067 0.5811 -0.106
East 1909 37.61% 42.35 67.16% -0.149 0.4546 -0.819
Northeast 1105 35.49% 43.42 69.86% 0.02 0.9005 -0.346
Northwest 1018 35.74% 42.9 67.68% -0.482 0.1911 0.429
Southeast 893 26.52% 44.15 71.11% -0.588 0.0486 -0.575
Southwest 825 27.17% 43.19 70.67% -0.276 0.8888 0.332
West 1721 38.08% 42.27 66.94% -0.137 0.827 -0.257

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 710 0.0% 21.89 72.11% -1.809 -0.9261 0.864
Not Using Events or Tokens 774 54.47% 22.42 60.98% -0.271 0.0607 -0.913
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1312 10.44% 47.34 87.5% 0.935 0.4002 1.093
Start of Game Growth 1845 14.71% 44.01 85.53% -0.222 -0.5519 -0.852
Unlimited Undo 2707 32.96% 35.18 78.46% -0.273 -0.295 0.125
Using Tokens but Not Events 4474 25.74% 34.04 82.1% 0.479 0.425 0.29

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1738 100.0% 39.88 100.0% -0.138 -0.2975 0.008
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 459 100.0% 32.29 100.0% -0.644 -0.5227 -0.131
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 752 100.0% 30.41 100.0% 0.239 0.0707 0.182
Downpour Drenches the World 264 100.0% 34.53 100.0% -0.12 0.0589 0.933
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 67 100.0% 30.27 100.0% 0.438 -0.2832 0.625
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1423 100.0% 31.39 100.0% 0.838 0.2496 0.166
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 845 100.0% 33.24 100.0% -0.496 -0.9671 0.112
Finder of Paths Unseen 54 100.0% 29.17 100.0% -0.566 0.1282 -0.451
Fractured Days Split the Sky 570 100.0% 47.04 100.0% 1.034 1.7187 0.889
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 310 100.0% 31.9 100.0% -0.481 -0.5818 -0.704
Heart of the Wildfire 640 100.0% 30.07 100.0% -0.023 0.2209 -0.03
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2031 100.0% 41.22 100.0% -0.035 -0.485 0.596
Lightning's Swift Strike 574 315.36% 29.1 183.28% -0.415 -0.2117 -1.082
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 100 37.0% 32.4 52.0% 0.133 -0.5642 -0.605
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 679 39.38% 31.51 78.35% 0.399 0.1595 0.767
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1296 35.87% 36.11 78.16% -0.059 -0.219 0.885
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1267 100.0% 36.18 100.0% -0.153 -0.2984 -0.372
Many Minds Move as One 449 100.0% 32.69 100.0% 0.784 0.5629 0.188
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4101 100.0% 35.84 100.0% 0.255 0.246 0.494
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 664 100.0% 29.98 100.0% -0.139 -0.2804 0.791
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1082 100.0% 41.54 100.0% 0.108 -0.1058 -0.107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 127 455.62% 24.54 335.43% -0.269 0.1672 -0.456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 32.0% 29.2 84.0% 0.914 0.9134 -0.294
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 60 26.32% 31.7 71.67% 0.138 0.1299 0.002
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 599 43.17% 30.26 74.12% 0.275 0.2027 -0.533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 457 42.89% 29.3 73.09% -0.538 -0.4799 -0.514
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 730 104.93% 41.67 102.47% 0.369 0.2409 0.432
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 45 20.0% 24.56 60.0% 0.267 -0.0957 -0.859
Shifting Memory of Ages 489 100.0% 35.43 100.0% -0.558 -0.1508 -0.158
Shroud of Silent Mist 449 100.0% 31.24 100.0% 0.529 0.8435 -0.471
Starlight Seeks its Form 422 100.0% 40.64 100.0% 0.14 -0.1331 0.974
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 810 100.0% 33.83 100.0% 0.338 -0.1571 0.106
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 786 100.0% 35.43 100.0% 0.015 0.0449 0.262
Thunderspeaker 1726 101.39% 39.59 101.04% 0.232 0.2132 0.529
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 31 20.0% 19.29 41.94% -0.645 -0.7079 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 417 100.0% 29.53 100.0% -0.587 -0.5252 -0.128
Vital Strength of the Earth 545 191.79% 31.99 145.32% -0.441 0.1113 0.008
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 169 13.77% 33.38 50.3% -0.55 -0.2937 -1.485
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 604 37.39% 28.35 73.01% -0.566 0.331 -0.172
Volcano Looming High 593 100.0% 31.89 100.0% 0.013 0.0234 -0.276

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 90.38%
River's Bounty 91.87%
Wash Away 81.78%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6158 21.03 30.12%
II 10312 31.04 74.1%
III 6878 34.74 88.59%
IV 2313 38.02 99.27%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1853
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5881
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7146
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2276
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 428
Lose: Invader deck ran out 397
Lose: Adversary condition 2354
Win: Sacrifice victory 54
Lose: Scenario condition 420
Win: Scenario condition 675
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3929
Lose: Spirit destroyed 248

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.463 Win Model: -0.131

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.04 Win Model: 0.056
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10512 51.17% 28.73 64.24%
2 7346 46.87% 30.91 69.78%
3 3795 39.39% 33.43 75.44%
4 3186 35.63% 38.32 78.31%
5 155 18.54% 34.83 87.1%
6 667 15.28% 41.05 76.91%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)