Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 56 19.64% 19.98 57.14% -0.167 -0.1946 -0.306
Blitz 0 483 44.05% 26.36 62.32% -0.372 -0.1218 -0.875
Dahan Insurrection 4 914 31.21% 48.87 69.37% 0.351 0.1018 1.22
Despicable Theft 2 206 45.63% 25.64 54.37% -0.434 0.0274 -0.329
Elemental Invocation 1 327 51.53% 26.49 52.29% -0.073 0.6302 -0.28
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3602 10.77% 48.07 78.01% 1.169 0.6167 1.605
Powers Long Forgotten 1 314 46.96% 27.83 61.46% 0.641 1.2647 -0.574
Rituals of Terror 3 227 44.25% 40.5 67.4% -0.151 0.0417 1.769
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 104 61.54% 25.31 36.54% -0.291 0.6316 -1.115
Second Wave 0 1934 43.92% 28.01 70.48% 0.554 0.6708 0.137
The Great River 3 305 51.15% 24.75 36.39% -1.512 -0.4436 -0.494
Varied Terrains 2 94 55.32% 22.39 41.49% 0.223 0.964 0.013
Ward the Shores 2 413 53.16% 27.02 45.76% -0.308 0.7762 -1.006

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 14733 49.16% 25.59 58.91% 0.087 0.6136 0.052
1 Thematic 978 52.42% 28.57 46.73% -0.45 0.4046 -0.038
2 Archipelago 42 50.0% 27.0 59.52% 0.337 1.3916 -0.912
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6395 47.43% 26.06 62.44% 0.319 0.5969 0.331
2 Coastline 1366 44.21% 25.43 56.44% 0.2 0.303 -0.429
2 Fragment 230 52.0% 25.71 63.91% 0.829 0.8422 0.941
2 Heart 117 42.24% 26.26 66.67% -0.144 -0.0325 0.323
2 Opposite Shores 2542 31.88% 34.09 74.11% 0.556 0.8926 -0.308
2 Thematic 682 45.94% 29.08 51.32% -0.51 0.18 -0.043
2 Top to Top 315 47.9% 24.84 58.1% -0.525 -0.2833 0.044
3 Archipelago 46 36.96% 32.15 78.26% 0.829 0.1082 0.912
3 Coastline 82 56.1% 27.21 53.66% -0.232 -0.5719 1.113
3 Other 255 39.04% 25.72 67.45% -0.56 -1.1616 -0.445
3 Round (Default) 5631 38.5% 30.39 67.61% 0.153 0.1587 0.272
3 Sunrise 24 54.55% 31.25 83.33% 0.0 -0.0616 0.561
3 Thematic 246 49.19% 25.83 45.93% -0.065 0.0192 -0.877
4 Archipelago 37 40.54% 33.14 67.57% -0.034 0.1167 -0.944
4 Coastline 44 25.0% 27.91 65.91% 0.419 -0.3394 1.002
4 Leaf 30 41.38% 22.9 53.33% 0.0 0.1371 -0.345
4 Other 228 30.84% 25.36 60.09% 0.613 -0.0056 1.279
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Thematic 913 31.61% 44.39 71.74% -0.572 -0.3046 -0.153
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3425 35.78% 29.67 67.39% -0.414 -0.2496 -0.477
5 Archipelago 26 38.46% 31.12 57.69% 0.0 -0.8784 -0.342
5 Coastline 7 57.14% 27.43 85.71% 0.0 0.0963 0.208
5 Other 371 30.6% 31.25 73.58% -0.132 -0.5177 0.157
5 Thematic 58 31.58% 43.52 79.31% 0.974 0.1764 0.845
6 Archipelago 24 16.67% 35.54 75.0% 0.367 -0.7431 0.255
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 31.88 75.0% 0.0 -0.8372 0.0
6 Other 213 15.09% 25.67 68.54% 0.035 0.0046 -0.675
6 Star 71 22.54% 26.83 61.97% -0.498 -0.5147 -0.823
6 Thematic 783 17.31% 34.33 53.77% -0.51 -0.4067 -1.005
6 Two Centers (Default) 612 22.0% 29.69 62.25% -1.317 -0.7523 -0.29
7 Archipelago 7 14.29% 36.14 57.14% 0.0 -0.0747 0.42
7 Other 15 26.67% 26.4 40.0% -0.703 -1.1371 -0.656

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 991 26.66 42.89% -0.675 -0.4251 0.029
Aid From Lesser Spirits 998 32.04 54.21% 0.719 0.6011 0.644
All Things Weaken 1184 25.88 44.43% -0.052 0.2855 0.537
Attenuated Essence 184 23.94 44.02% -0.392 -0.3654 0.176
Back Against the Wall 956 29.57 47.8% 0.327 0.3285 0.335
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 197 22.12 40.1% -0.224 -0.0068 0.319
Burn Brightest Before the End 163 26.05 39.26% -0.421 -0.4394 0.017
Disintegrating Ecosystem 974 25.05 42.92% -0.155 0.2381 0.173
Downward Spiral 1516 25.18 48.42% -0.197 -0.0884 0.061
Erosion of Will 965 26.09 41.76% -0.412 -0.06 -0.115
Intensifying Exploitation 159 24.17 38.99% -0.975 -0.7291 -0.311
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 500 30.46 74.2% -0.185 -0.7093 0.751
Memory Fades to Dust 1443 24.14 42.13% -0.717 -0.4701 0.106
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1210 25.89 44.46% -0.552 -0.3299 0.288
Promising Farmlands 994 25.98 41.55% -0.159 0.1239 -0.081
Shattered Fragments of Power 142 24.82 40.85% 0.031 0.1076 -0.066
Slow Dissolution of Will 221 21.9 40.27% -0.186 0.2111 0.077
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 331 31.81 72.51% 0.435 -0.2606 0.681
The Border of Life and Death 55 23.65 52.73% -0.427 -1.0276 -0.862
Thriving Communities 1221 24.58 42.18% -0.496 -0.139 -0.068
Thriving Crops 79 22.29 41.77% -1.166 -1.3622 -1.005
Unnatural Proliferation 1273 27.88 49.1% 0.151 0.3131 0.265
Untended Land Crumbles 1123 24.23 40.69% -0.925 -0.694 -0.288

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 13149 38.26% 29.85 66.19% 0.169 1.1735 0.022
B 10178 40.0% 28.63 65.24% 0.133 1.0529 -0.215
C 11718 38.71% 29.19 65.82% 0.152 0.8867 -0.224
D 10373 39.7% 27.58 64.0% -0.233 0.7448 -0.386
E 8734 40.58% 27.64 64.09% -0.043 0.7767 -0.255
F 8286 41.67% 27.08 62.01% -0.024 0.8493 -0.739
G 7562 40.24% 27.71 63.79% -0.004 0.8051 -0.14
H 7704 41.28% 28.11 64.38% 0.086 0.9009 -0.347
East 3092 34.36% 35.46 57.76% -0.297 0.6058 -0.747
Northeast 1908 32.37% 35.87 58.44% -0.667 0.1414 -0.063
Northwest 1691 32.48% 36.12 57.72% -0.056 0.8439 0.351
Southeast 1603 24.65% 35.8 58.52% 0.316 1.1664 -0.195
Southwest 1492 25.93% 35.06 57.24% -0.591 0.7843 0.552
West 2735 34.78% 35.56 57.77% 0.163 1.1177 -0.513

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1187 0.0% 18.05 60.57% -1.055 -0.3468 0.875
Not Using Events or Tokens 1458 47.9% 17.29 48.56% 0.033 0.4012 -0.957
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2056 14.19% 41.7 76.56% 1.568 0.9828 0.825
Start of Game Growth 2930 14.62% 38.12 75.67% -0.478 -0.992 -0.369
Unlimited Undo 4502 30.8% 30.69 67.95% -0.162 -0.2717 0.054
Using Tokens but Not Events 7271 24.78% 31.67 75.62% -0.026 -0.0514 0.045

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2714 23.42% 34.04 67.54% -0.514 -0.6195 -0.014
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 297 19.66% 28.79 53.87% 0.302 -0.1783 0.383
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 723 42.12% 27.27 60.72% -0.287 -0.161 -0.036
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 144 30.56% 23.87 55.56% -0.134 -0.9813 -0.446
Dances Up Earthquakes 65 32.31% 22.77 49.23% 0.19 0.2272 -0.224
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1229 33.93% 25.81 65.99% 0.111 -0.0255 0.167
Downpour Drenches the World 800 24.78% 24.96 50.88% -0.737 -0.5303 -0.184
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 445 32.21% 28.33 58.88% -0.111 -0.7214 0.086
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2204 20.71% 29.08 79.04% 0.052 -0.3234 0.024
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1260 30.89% 30.81 71.43% -0.328 -0.7183 -0.004
Finder of Paths Unseen 213 31.13% 19.9 47.42% -0.37 0.3494 -0.432
Fractured Days Split the Sky 734 28.65% 40.97 75.07% 0.361 0.9717 0.885
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 606 49.83% 27.67 57.92% 0.048 -0.0512 -0.711
Heart of the Wildfire 971 54.24% 28.14 58.5% 1.053 1.3898 -0.164
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2974 33.05% 36.43 70.01% -0.193 -0.624 0.425
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 325 31.38% 26.61 58.46% -0.203 -0.5172 -1.235
Lightning's Swift Strike 950 40.0% 24.88 62.11% -0.321 -0.0912 -0.946
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 348 40.75% 27.48 52.01% 0.334 -0.1103 -0.273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 895 37.0% 28.5 71.73% -0.232 -0.543 0.701
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1847 33.35% 32.81 71.68% -0.025 -0.1671 0.708
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2091 42.97% 31.38 61.93% 0.087 -0.1411 -0.079
Many Minds Move as One 745 35.78% 28.15 68.19% 0.374 0.1311 0.094
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6898 36.7% 30.7 64.9% 0.195 0.3046 0.373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 357 29.3% 25.12 56.86% 0.581 0.6991 -0.51
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1083 34.38% 26.82 68.05% 0.224 0.1784 0.578
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1709 30.38% 35.6 65.42% 0.051 -0.0602 0.324
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 71 33.8% 29.63 60.56% 0.881 0.763 1.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 248 45.65% 22.63 61.29% -0.334 0.1603 0.993
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 114 26.55% 19.74 62.28% -0.083 -0.1341 -0.218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 151 23.84% 28.97 60.93% -0.281 -0.7918 -0.729
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 207 20.2% 37.27 70.53% 1.031 0.903 0.306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 748 41.15% 27.86 68.85% 0.012 0.0234 -0.394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 556 41.78% 27.15 67.63% -0.859 -0.7239 -0.405
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 920 34.17% 38.44 72.83% -0.355 -0.3062 0.633
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 251 29.32% 28.21 54.98% -0.356 -0.5706 -0.073
Shifting Memory of Ages 1046 33.88% 26.02 51.43% -0.196 0.0983 -0.011
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 183 32.24% 23.7 46.45% -0.272 -0.3901 0.336
Shroud of Silent Mist 668 44.78% 27.24 62.28% -0.484 -0.1567 -0.542
Starlight Seeks its Form 945 36.02% 29.17 60.21% 0.186 0.0871 0.346
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1303 38.31% 29.76 60.48% 0.133 -0.397 -0.175
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1345 29.89% 31.86 69.52% -0.542 -0.4653 0.563
Thunderspeaker 2479 40.63% 34.95 69.22% 0.522 0.5583 0.424
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 196 38.34% 23.32 48.47% -0.418 -0.3593 -0.137
Towering Roots of the Jungle 106 39.62% 29.17 72.64% 1.739 1.8883 0.456
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 606 57.67% 27.16 60.07% 0.684 0.83 0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth 867 27.22% 26.94 69.9% -0.303 0.2656 -0.119
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 519 26.33% 25.56 45.66% -0.209 0.3124 -1.165
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 857 35.02% 25.23 64.88% -0.446 0.295 -0.145
Volcano Looming High 975 43.11% 28.37 60.92% -0.228 -0.2133 -0.278
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 196 34.18% 28.26 61.22% -0.187 -0.4787 -0.227

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 91.01%
River's Bounty 92.41%
Wash Away 83.19%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12654 13.33 21.87%
II 14812 30.1 71.88%
III 9837 34.83 87.92%
IV 3275 38.67 99.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2765
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8380
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10046
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3216
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5178
Lose: Invader deck ran out 530
Lose: Adversary condition 3178
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 521
Win: Scenario condition 822
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5515
Lose: Spirit destroyed 345

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.246 Win Model: -0.169

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.014 Win Model: 0.145
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 15895 49.3% 25.74 57.89%
2 11728 43.95% 27.93 63.7%
3 6179 38.71% 30.26 67.55%
4 4708 34.1% 32.54 68.05%
5 366 29.83% 28.81 69.13%
6 1702 19.01% 30.9 59.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)