Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 26.67% 20.07 50.0% -0.375 -0.3601 -0.06
Blitz 0 429 45.18% 27.31 65.03% 0.629 0.9167 -0.879
Dahan Insurrection 4 851 31.25% 50.2 70.39% 0.046 -0.1307 1.209
Despicable Theft 2 160 46.25% 27.02 59.38% -0.441 0.4199 -0.189
Elemental Invocation 1 282 52.67% 27.29 52.48% -0.794 0.1389 -0.271
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2996 11.75% 48.25 78.17% 1.007 0.3603 1.504
Powers Long Forgotten 1 263 46.95% 29.26 64.64% 0.048 0.994 -0.48
Rituals of Terror 3 193 44.79% 43.54 71.5% 0.266 0.3422 1.912
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 72.29% 26.72 33.73% -0.611 0.5045 -1.034
Second Wave 0 1713 44.26% 28.41 71.63% 0.514 0.5448 0.2
The Great River 3 262 54.2% 27.16 40.84% -1.181 0.2448 -0.259
Varied Terrains 2 65 60.0% 19.69 40.0% -0.802 -0.0273 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 355 56.5% 28.48 46.76% 0.047 1.0913 -1.099

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 12194 50.2% 26.59 61.14% 0.082 0.3422 0.078
1 Thematic 827 54.41% 29.33 47.76% 0.657 1.1232 -0.08
2 Archipelago 34 50.0% 29.74 58.82% 0.0 0.4734 -0.911
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5270 49.02% 27.5 65.03% 0.282 0.4678 0.4
2 Coastline 1129 46.45% 26.69 57.93% 0.094 0.077 -0.42
2 Fragment 183 49.44% 27.27 65.03% 0.112 -0.2041 0.846
2 Heart 90 46.67% 27.29 68.89% 0.056 -0.0383 0.17
2 Opposite Shores 2023 32.98% 33.38 74.79% 0.551 0.5115 -0.484
2 Thematic 570 48.06% 31.19 54.91% -0.321 -0.0346 0.089
2 Top to Top 252 50.0% 26.38 61.11% 0.447 0.4029 -0.093
3 Archipelago 41 36.59% 32.98 80.49% 0.643 -0.4967 0.809
3 Coastline 74 59.46% 28.92 58.11% -0.282 -1.032 0.989
3 Other 232 37.72% 26.62 69.83% -0.445 -0.9076 -0.257
3 Round (Default) 4550 38.83% 31.6 70.86% 0.764 0.5441 0.406
3 Sunrise 22 54.55% 32.55 81.82% 0.0 0.0754 0.579
3 Thematic 181 53.59% 26.92 46.41% -0.83 -1.1229 -1.014
4 Archipelago 35 40.0% 34.29 68.57% 0.236 0.4288 -0.927
4 Coastline 39 28.21% 30.51 71.79% 0.0 -0.3597 0.0
4 Leaf 24 47.83% 24.75 54.17% -0.184 -0.2923 0.0
4 Other 192 35.6% 26.68 62.5% -0.612 -0.8682 1.848
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% -0.486 -0.2394 0.0
4 Thematic 851 31.8% 46.12 73.91% -0.42 -0.1673 -0.027
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2966 36.06% 31.02 70.09% -0.198 0.0161 -0.364
5 Archipelago 20 50.0% 40.45 75.0% 0.0 0.2735 -0.318
5 Coastline 7 57.14% 27.43 85.71% 0.052 -0.0522 -0.077
5 Other 286 25.98% 31.83 77.62% -0.474 -1.0399 0.104
5 Thematic 41 32.5% 44.59 73.17% 0.0 -0.4203 -0.004
6 Archipelago 13 30.77% 40.08 76.92% 0.0 -0.9328 0.458
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 42.8 100.0% 0.45 -0.3477 0.0
6 Other 111 14.55% 26.9 80.18% -0.23 0.1962 -0.264
6 Star 37 21.62% 31.35 78.38% 0.04 0.1529 0.165
6 Thematic 567 14.21% 36.05 57.32% -0.191 -0.0894 -0.569
6 Two Centers (Default) 405 17.33% 33.48 66.67% -0.611 -0.8684 0.004
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 33.33 66.67% 0.0 1.0709 0.0
7 Other 10 30.0% 29.3 50.0% 0.324 -0.6913 -1.18

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 848 27.13 42.81% -0.4 -0.2245 -0.11
Aid From Lesser Spirits 857 31.91 54.49% -0.886 -0.9398 0.345
All Things Weaken 1012 26.23 44.17% -0.076 0.2169 0.412
Attenuated Essence 103 23.86 43.69% 0.06 0.1438 -0.135
Back Against the Wall 834 29.4 47.72% -0.553 -0.5058 0.176
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 114 21.3 39.47% 0.067 0.2704 0.126
Burn Brightest Before the End 97 26.98 39.18% 0.191 0.3789 -0.001
Disintegrating Ecosystem 845 25.65 42.96% -1.452 -1.0431 0.14
Downward Spiral 1307 25.96 49.35% 0.098 0.2253 -0.03
Erosion of Will 835 27.05 43.59% 0.3 0.5829 -0.266
Intensifying Exploitation 84 23.62 38.1% 0.053 0.3003 -0.147
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 433 31.9 76.67% -0.135 -0.6505 0.767
Memory Fades to Dust 1246 25.28 43.82% -0.753 -0.5159 0.054
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1038 26.71 45.76% -0.56 -0.342 0.281
Promising Farmlands 850 26.74 43.18% 0.14 0.4345 -0.192
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 24.28 44.44% -0.67 -0.4689 -0.12
Slow Dissolution of Will 117 20.97 36.75% 0.011 0.3957 -0.107
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 291 32.39 72.51% 0.509 -0.0725 0.561
The Border of Life and Death 37 25.95 62.16% 0.042 -0.4748 -0.634
Thriving Communities 1032 25.28 43.9% -0.902 -0.5634 -0.118
Thriving Crops 43 25.7 48.84% 0.695 0.6522 -0.451
Unnatural Proliferation 1112 28.32 49.55% 0.032 0.1719 0.213
Untended Land Crumbles 1002 24.92 41.62% -0.512 -0.0633 -0.443

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10608 39.36% 30.79 68.56% -0.038 0.8238 0.01
B 8291 40.87% 29.88 68.07% 0.411 1.2283 -0.125
C 9447 39.57% 30.06 68.71% -0.12 0.5586 -0.164
D 8402 40.24% 29.04 67.14% -0.106 0.6982 -0.33
E 7089 41.64% 28.96 67.03% -0.08 0.5886 -0.209
F 6692 43.03% 28.67 64.82% -0.138 0.6609 -0.68
G 6198 41.23% 29.09 66.7% 0.195 1.0205 0.031
H 6360 42.4% 29.31 66.86% 0.035 0.8074 -0.282
East 2538 34.82% 37.61 60.91% -0.743 0.1031 -0.718
Northeast 1538 32.79% 37.91 61.57% -0.628 0.1426 -0.035
Northwest 1375 33.14% 38.28 61.38% 0.449 1.2563 0.3
Southeast 1262 24.34% 37.9 61.57% 0.723 1.5921 -0.624
Southwest 1177 26.05% 37.12 60.83% -1.11 0.1722 0.466
West 2257 35.89% 37.74 60.97% 0.204 1.1999 -0.472

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 927 0.0% 19.64 65.59% -0.411 0.3845 1.092
Not Using Events or Tokens 1118 51.74% 19.06 51.34% -1.131 -0.7432 -0.943
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1753 15.31% 42.56 77.75% -0.153 -0.7673 1.07
Start of Game Growth 2489 15.1% 39.25 77.74% 0.708 0.1265 -0.421
Unlimited Undo 3680 31.96% 31.66 70.3% -0.27 -0.2261 0.011
Using Tokens but Not Events 5872 26.04% 32.3 77.76% 0.254 0.1959 -0.009

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2345 23.65% 35.64 69.89% 0.273 0.1297 0.124
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 21 23.81% 22.1 42.86% 0.422 -0.2908 -0.334
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 616 44.28% 28.59 62.5% 0.142 0.4063 0.212
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 69 30.43% 24.23 56.52% -0.018 -0.8265 -0.448
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1045 35.06% 26.86 68.04% -0.056 -0.2206 0.144
Downpour Drenches the World 587 23.29% 25.43 53.32% 0.503 0.7762 0.148
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 246 27.35% 28.29 63.41% -0.007 -0.4336 0.583
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1810 20.43% 30.16 82.43% 0.068 -0.2914 0.118
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1050 32.71% 31.72 74.86% 0.296 -0.1487 0.05
Finder of Paths Unseen 144 32.87% 19.67 46.53% -1.138 -0.4501 -0.487
Fractured Days Split the Sky 657 28.81% 43.11 77.32% -0.231 0.3579 0.841
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 442 48.18% 28.67 61.31% -0.048 -0.1123 -0.654
Heart of the Wildfire 806 57.4% 28.01 57.32% -0.373 -0.0449 -0.021
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2584 33.77% 37.61 72.79% 0.617 0.3218 0.57
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 119 25.21% 27.98 64.71% -0.313 -0.6837 -1.614
Lightning's Swift Strike 762 41.36% 26.47 64.96% -0.455 -0.1149 -0.878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 214 36.79% 28.41 55.61% 0.7 0.2266 -0.181
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 795 37.96% 29.81 74.59% 0.55 0.1893 0.807
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1547 34.97% 34.37 74.53% 0.25 0.2573 0.839
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1664 42.45% 33.02 66.29% 0.324 0.0292 -0.247
Many Minds Move as One 605 34.95% 28.38 70.58% -0.673 -0.819 0.083
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5620 37.27% 32.55 68.43% -0.225 -0.2835 0.466
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 901 34.63% 27.62 70.92% -0.27 -0.4334 0.632
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1425 29.76% 37.3 67.86% 0.092 -0.1631 0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 205 48.17% 24.39 66.34% 0.662 1.1834 1.294
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 77 25.97% 20.3 62.34% -0.183 -0.0416 -0.214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 61 24.59% 38.26 75.41% 0.437 -0.1419 -0.254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 134 20.61% 31.51 64.93% -0.345 0.0057 -0.067
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 669 41.59% 28.75 71.0% -0.162 -0.1778 -0.415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 516 41.63% 28.08 69.96% 0.311 0.5597 -0.352
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 857 34.58% 39.62 74.56% -0.248 -0.3577 0.629
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 136 29.41% 26.29 58.09% 0.632 0.4701 0.244
Shifting Memory of Ages 934 33.94% 27.21 53.0% -0.126 0.2183 -0.132
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 28 21.43% 17.46 32.14% -0.722 -1.031 0.095
Shroud of Silent Mist 569 45.73% 28.67 65.38% -0.802 -0.4704 -0.556
Starlight Seeks its Form 748 37.17% 31.13 63.24% 0.218 0.0436 0.461
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1083 41.23% 30.99 64.36% 0.594 -0.116 -0.062
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1061 30.58% 33.02 73.89% 0.823 1.035 0.502
Thunderspeaker 2169 41.62% 36.86 71.23% -0.144 -0.1649 0.581
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 122 32.5% 22.75 46.72% -0.052 0.1462 -0.03
Towering Roots of the Jungle 15 20.0% 27.67 66.67% 0.771 0.743 -0.196
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 533 59.09% 27.58 59.66% 0.087 0.1529 0.161
Vital Strength of the Earth 703 28.0% 29.21 74.11% -0.253 0.2812 0.175
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 377 19.57% 24.16 41.38% -0.582 -0.0145 -1.394
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 731 35.15% 26.44 68.81% -0.216 0.5431 -0.095
Volcano Looming High 811 43.77% 29.31 63.75% -1.027 -0.89 -0.561
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 98 27.55% 27.15 60.2% -0.037 -0.348 -0.733

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 90.73%
River's Bounty 92.25%
Wash Away 82.78%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9507 15.74 23.67%
II 12553 30.48 72.64%
III 8409 34.79 88.16%
IV 2833 38.41 99.08%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7169
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8557
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2781
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2966
Lose: Invader deck ran out 466
Lose: Adversary condition 2754
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 470
Win: Scenario condition 764
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4762
Lose: Spirit destroyed 295

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.744 Win Model: -0.145

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.006 Win Model: 0.057
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13158 50.38% 26.75 60.08%
2 9618 45.71% 28.86 65.55%
3 5002 39.01% 31.49 70.87%
4 4134 34.59% 34.22 70.75%
5 263 25.1% 28.57 72.24%
6 1127 15.97% 33.54 63.8%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)