Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
21976	45.72%	32.07	70.69%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	8324	29.54%	23.1	0.000	87.29%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	341	42.94%	30.2	0.051	72.73%	-0.032	0.5195
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	242	52.08%	33.12	2.992	68.18%	-0.075	0.8025
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	263	62.74%	36.68	5.79	61.98%	-0.185	0.9338
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	286	69.82%	35.48	2.446	53.85%	-1.052	0.4789
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	125	88.8%	33.97	-2.1	32.8%	-0.316	1.2709
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	59	81.36%	38.07	16.218	32.2%	0.384	1.9468
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	304	70.39%	45.65	4.64	34.54%	-2.222	0.0386
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	653	37.81%	27.19	-0.271	81.62%	-0.307	-0.0629
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	558	42.91%	30.6	-0.472	82.62%	-0.715	-0.8414
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	867	42.96%	42.21	6.264	82.12%	0.411	0.5265
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	725	46.69%	45.61	7.626	75.86%	-0.031	0.3434
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	453	46.34%	48.91	7.783	78.37%	-0.674	-0.2077
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	209	60.29%	48.16	15.631	56.94%	0.19	1.1751
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	379	84.01%	41.73	6.204	34.3%	-1.106	0.4688
The Kingdom of England	0	1	474	36.79%	27.45	-1.005	72.78%	-0.551	-0.0351
The Kingdom of England	1	3	314	44.05%	32.08	3.257	64.97%	-0.839	-0.2295
The Kingdom of England	2	4	440	57.18%	33.48	4.058	59.55%	0.031	1.1579
The Kingdom of England	3	6	427	71.66%	33.89	3.832	47.54%	-1.073	0.6708
The Kingdom of England	4	7	393	56.63%	38.16	2.97	44.02%	-1.902	-0.3228
The Kingdom of England	5	9	83	78.05%	36.54	16.01	21.69%	0.123	1.8607
The Kingdom of England	6	11	706	53.97%	45.28	4.226	32.29%	-2.362	-0.0634
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	367	48.63%	29.84	-1.612	70.84%	-0.859	0.0437
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	190	62.11%	28.73	0.383	56.84%	-0.213	0.6774
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	420	46.76%	32.92	6.674	39.52%	-0.655	1.7479
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	367	56.28%	35.69	1.38	34.88%	-2.299	0.085
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	277	49.46%	43.26	-1.118	47.29%	-3.016	-0.5404
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	173	63.01%	52.14	11.679	58.38%	-0.937	1.1406
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	666	54.52%	50.35	8.855	44.44%	-1.446	0.9214
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	25	36.0%	33.28	1.54	92.0%	0.689	0.5644
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	15	20.0%	38.67	3.166	80.0%	-0.315	0.5294
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	24	37.5%	42.58	7.443	91.67%	0.704	1.5326
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	10	50.0%	50.7	11.199	90.0%	0.629	1.4987
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	6	83.33%	49.33	9.186	83.33%	0.399	1.6341
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	21	95.24%	29.81	1.63	14.29%	-1.558	-0.1271
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	25	75.0%	42.44	6.311	36.0%	-1.787	-0.0881
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	333	37.84%	26.33	-0.76	79.88%	0.364	0.5313
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	221	46.36%	30.24	1.476	78.28%	0.669	0.4457
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	343	51.9%	34.02	1.523	76.97%	-0.632	-0.1788
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	312	61.54%	39.13	5.772	71.79%	0.22	0.5296
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	193	74.09%	36.33	5.336	57.51%	-0.695	0.2566
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	61	77.05%	40.15	8.069	59.02%	-0.133	0.8478
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	386	70.73%	42.85	8.027	52.85%	-0.543	0.649
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	353	37.96%	29.22	2.174	83.29%	0.599	0.543
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	229	54.82%	37.93	2.834	71.62%	-0.288	0.486
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	206	58.25%	38.33	6.825	77.18%	0.1	0.8103
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	192	81.25%	31.41	3.512	39.06%	-0.527	0.812
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	144	72.92%	38.64	0.442	45.83%	-1.037	0.348
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	67	91.04%	34.34	-3.338	22.39%	-1.499	0.4387
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	325	71.69%	50.04	5.092	30.77%	-1.994	0.0249

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	3	0.0%	33.67	100.0%	0.204	0.0023	0.0
Blitz	0	270	49.81%	28.78	65.56%	-0.082	0.1753	-1.36
Dahan Insurrection	4	655	34.05%	54.51	74.2%	-0.565	-0.1515	1.244
Despicable Theft	2	96	45.83%	30.11	67.71%	-0.526	-0.0797	-0.567
Elemental Invocation	1	208	54.11%	30.43	59.62%	-0.747	-0.2613	-0.395
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	2067	12.36%	49.52	81.91%	-0.279	0.0269	1.216
Powers Long Forgotten	1	188	51.34%	33.02	70.74%	0.796	0.9779	-0.851
Rituals of Terror	3	135	41.79%	45.24	80.0%	-0.603	-0.4822	2.183
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	57	75.44%	30.95	38.6%	0.188	0.603	-0.675
Second Wave	0	1236	42.81%	29.44	74.11%	-0.669	-0.1028	-0.513
The Great River	3	203	54.19%	30.68	45.32%	-1.216	0.1821	-0.526
Varied Terrains	2	6	33.33%	41.5	83.33%	0.079	0.605	0.0
Ward the Shores	2	225	52.23%	33.31	57.78%	-0.878	0.284	-1.078

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	8635	50.76%	28.81	65.94%	0.077	1.0935	0.238
1	Thematic	601	58.71%	31.73	49.92%	0.563	1.7352	-0.229
2	Archipelago	22	45.45%	34.0	77.27%	-1.252	-0.2687	-0.505
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	3437	51.01%	30.59	71.25%	-0.06	0.6919	0.415
2	Coastline	687	45.96%	30.1	64.19%	0.102	0.7048	-0.33
2	Fragment	118	42.98%	28.94	74.58%	0.765	1.2129	0.369
2	Heart	68	39.71%	27.44	73.53%	0.107	0.6455	-0.988
2	Opposite Shores	1359	32.78%	33.34	76.67%	0.131	1.1236	-0.466
2	Thematic	326	58.02%	34.74	63.5%	-0.357	0.3419	-0.227
2	Top to Top	149	50.0%	28.63	73.83%	0.635	1.145	0.253
3	Archipelago	25	36.0%	38.84	88.0%	0.327	0.4999	0.844
3	Coastline	51	62.75%	33.92	62.75%	0.339	-0.4436	0.852
3	Other	162	41.14%	31.89	79.63%	-0.393	-0.4288	-0.374
3	Round (Default)	2841	38.76%	33.87	77.44%	0.283	0.878	0.117
3	Sunrise	14	78.57%	33.64	71.43%	0.018	0.0545	0.512
3	Thematic	123	66.67%	32.07	51.22%	-1.23	-1.2678	-1.026
4	Archipelago	22	54.55%	43.09	68.18%	0.503	-0.2083	-1.164
4	Coastline	32	28.13%	33.06	75.0%	-0.961	-0.8446	0.0
4	Leaf	16	46.67%	31.63	75.0%	0.058	0.6206	0.0
4	Other	106	47.62%	36.91	87.74%	-1.006	-1.2602	1.734
4	Thematic	676	30.71%	50.2	75.59%	-0.159	0.3702	-0.55
4	Trapezoid (Default)	1959	38.23%	35.21	78.66%	-0.001	-0.0286	-0.173
5	Archipelago	19	52.63%	42.58	78.95%	0.0	-0.5788	-0.323
5	Other	101	27.0%	47.1	94.06%	-0.118	0.0498	0.395
5	Thematic	32	35.48%	50.78	78.13%	0.058	-0.2183	-0.307
6	Archipelago	6	50.0%	42.0	83.33%	0.0	-0.2557	0.0
6	Coastline	2	0.0%	45.5	100.0%	0.0	-0.5891	0.0
6	Other	41	19.51%	37.85	90.24%	0.207	1.0166	-0.224
6	Star	17	23.53%	40.06	94.12%	0.088	0.8712	0.14
6	Thematic	172	17.16%	50.41	85.47%	0.41	0.1313	0.633
6	Two Centers (Default)	151	18.54%	51.26	90.73%	0.031	-0.0628	0.332
7	Other	3	33.33%	44.67	100.0%	0.077	-1.0751	0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	617	27.56	44.08%	-1.178	0.7252	-0.44
Aid From Lesser Spirits	641	32.55	54.76%	-1.023	0.707	0.051
All Things Weaken	701	27.48	45.22%	-1.945	0.0401	0.134
Back Against the Wall	621	30.59	49.44%	-0.883	0.9338	-0.228
Disintegrating Ecosystem	629	27.29	45.15%	-1.369	0.6818	-0.272
Downward Spiral	940	26.92	49.79%	-1.66	0.3332	-0.371
Erosion of Will	613	28.56	44.05%	-1.471	0.6123	-0.556
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	319	34.33	78.37%	0.012	0.4528	0.553
Memory Fades to Dust	873	26.63	46.05%	-1.344	0.7406	-0.518
Power Corrodes the Spirit	759	28.37	48.22%	-1.548	0.3899	-0.003
Promising Farmlands	631	27.05	42.63%	-1.608	0.4382	-0.497
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	204	34.68	77.45%	-0.325	0.0998	0.086
Thriving Communities	719	26.59	46.59%	-0.968	1.0152	-0.453
Unnatural Proliferation	804	28.73	49.38%	-1.648	0.3168	-0.333
Untended Land Crumbles	689	26.36	44.7%	-1.566	0.4277	-0.682

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	6776	41.04%	33.56	75.24%	-0.087	0.7107	-0.027
B	5310	42.23%	32.98	74.67%	-0.545	0.1986	-0.09
C	6112	41.22%	32.96	75.29%	0.215	0.7836	-0.198
D	5229	42.87%	32.39	73.99%	-0.047	0.7484	-0.378
E	4472	43.8%	32.67	74.53%	-0.465	0.1825	-0.047
F	4281	45.76%	32.35	71.27%	-0.216	0.5083	-0.6
G	3954	43.27%	32.54	73.85%	0.522	1.2536	0.291
H	4029	44.57%	32.88	73.81%	-0.186	0.5263	-0.033
East	1560	40.82%	43.68	68.53%	-0.067	0.7021	-0.926
Northeast	852	40.73%	45.75	72.65%	-0.2	0.6599	-0.423
Northwest	787	41.38%	45.19	69.63%	-0.264	0.8127	0.439
Southeast	669	30.02%	46.76	74.89%	-0.446	0.2601	-0.687
Southwest	611	30.46%	45.89	75.78%	1.268	2.393	0.418
West	1398	41.29%	43.91	68.53%	-0.679	0.2753	-0.206

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	631	0.0%	22.76	74.64%	-0.856	1.2728	0.782
Not Using Events or Tokens	674	58.05%	23.12	61.13%	-0.009	0.1658	-0.865
Skip Initial Invader Actions	1132	11.44%	48.61	90.72%	1.028	0.8857	1.224
Start of Game Growth	1580	15.54%	45.22	88.54%	0.185	-0.5759	-0.561
Unlimited Undo	2298	34.7%	36.03	80.24%	0.346	-0.2575	0.011
Using Tokens but Not Events	3768	25.76%	34.34	83.57%	0.858	0.7017	0.511

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1422	100.0%	41.31	100.0%	-0.152	-0.2663	-0.071
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	388	100.0%	33.7	100.0%	-0.251	-0.1547	-0.121
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	641	100.0%	31.2	100.0%	-0.089	-0.2499	0.064
Downpour Drenches the World	99	100.0%	37.06	100.0%	-0.272	-0.0197	0.351
Eyes Watch From the Trees	1145	100.0%	32.01	100.0%	-0.248	-0.6861	-0.046
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	736	100.0%	34.13	100.0%	0.34	-0.1474	0.173
Finder of Paths Unseen	14	100.0%	44.5	100.0%	0.188	0.5519	0.143
Fractured Days Split the Sky	537	100.0%	48.16	100.0%	-0.119	-0.0626	0.798
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	193	100.0%	32.98	100.0%	0.678	0.6464	-1.01
Heart of the Wildfire	491	100.0%	30.78	100.0%	-0.383	-0.2085	0.215
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1676	100.0%	42.6	100.0%	0.162	-0.2945	0.614
Lightning's Swift Strike	465	331.34%	29.96	186.88%	0.587	0.8616	-0.748
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	44	43.18%	35.27	34.09%	0.149	-0.6279	-0.822
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	619	40.49%	32.02	78.68%	1.015	0.3722	0.72
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	1177	37.04%	36.37	79.35%	0.332	0.0656	0.742
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1043	100.0%	36.12	100.0%	-0.264	-0.5307	-0.347
Many Minds Move as One	353	100.0%	33.67	100.0%	0.497	-0.106	0.021
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	3259	100.0%	36.6	100.0%	0.581	0.3957	0.462
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	545	100.0%	30.5	100.0%	-0.194	-0.1728	0.855
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	894	100.0%	43.5	100.0%	-0.299	-0.3519	-0.407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	106	453.95%	24.73	333.02%	-0.628	-0.2177	-0.781
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	7	28.57%	32.14	100.0%	0.424	0.4303	0.587
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	11	33.33%	27.91	72.73%	-0.649	-0.9961	0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	559	43.17%	30.7	74.06%	-0.487	-0.4675	-0.533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	414	43.42%	30.68	76.09%	-0.513	-0.3305	0.2
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	622	100.0%	41.73	100.0%	0.432	0.1451	0.368
Shifting Memory of Ages	336	100.0%	40.77	100.0%	0.243	0.3178	-0.342
Shroud of Silent Mist	361	100.0%	31.47	100.0%	-0.288	-0.0517	-0.439
Starlight Seeks its Form	301	100.0%	44.29	100.0%	0.932	0.793	1.064
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	696	100.0%	33.59	100.0%	0.182	-0.0001	0.126
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	661	100.0%	36.67	100.0%	-0.194	-0.0095	0.177
Thunderspeaker	1475	100.0%	40.95	100.0%	0.003	0.0676	0.434
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	370	100.0%	30.29	100.0%	0.148	0.057	-0.202
Vital Strength of the Earth	471	176.14%	33.68	134.39%	-0.446	0.3631	-0.529
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	45	17.78%	42.56	55.56%	-1.286	-0.8989	-0.805
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	547	38.43%	29.12	74.04%	0.668	1.842	-0.206
Volcano Looming High	500	100.0%	32.54	100.0%	-0.459	-0.4633	-0.374

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	573	3.232	31.347	71.9%
Animated Wrackroot	92	2.435	32.25	77.17%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	248	2.863	31.907	75.81%
Birds Cry Warning	556	4.142	35.876	75.0%
Blood Draws Predators	1699	3.816	36.052	79.99%
Call of the Dahan Ways	1189	3.394	35.135	77.29%
Call To Bloodshed	915	3.21	33.368	80.44%
Call to Ferocity	375	3.728	34.272	78.13%
Call to Guard	1413	3.691	33.97	76.5%
Call To Isolation	774	4.2	36.096	75.84%
Call To Migrate	192	3.417	35.339	81.25%
Call To Tend	829	2.89	30.93	77.8%
Call to Trade	282	3.663	32.989	74.11%
Carapaced Land	730	3.399	31.807	73.97%
Confounding Mists	1674	3.351	32.539	76.28%
Cycles of Time and Tide	2169	3.645	36.0	79.81%
Dark and Tangled Woods	580	2.817	28.869	74.83%
Delusions of Danger	524	2.893	32.082	78.82%
Dessicating Winds	140	3.55	36.579	77.86%
Devouring Ants	275	2.935	30.625	76.36%
Dire Metamorphosis	79	3.684	30.342	65.82%
Disorienting Landscape	243	2.901	31.671	75.72%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	810	3.105	30.696	74.94%
Drift Down Into Slumber	741	3.452	30.278	70.04%
Drought	185	3.222	27.027	62.16%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	137	1.92	29.504	79.56%
Elemental Boon	1183	3.79	35.331	79.54%
Elusive Ambushes	2570	3.442	34.322	80.54%
Encompassing Ward	2774	2.998	31.819	77.65%
Enticing Splendor	697	3.659	35.217	79.34%
Entrancing Apparitions	1080	3.133	32.244	78.06%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	116	4.828	31.638	55.17%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	1616	3.381	31.631	73.95%
Fire in the Sky	1070	3.363	31.766	74.77%
Fleshrot Fever	275	3.513	34.335	80.73%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	336	3.699	33.854	78.87%
Gift of Constancy	929	4.329	34.473	72.34%
Gift of Living Energy	565	4.319	37.381	78.94%
Gift of Nature's Connection	825	3.758	34.975	78.79%
Gift of Power	941	3.683	35.107	79.06%
Gift of Twinned Days	1089	4.125	37.228	77.59%
Gnawing Rootbiters	147	4.748	33.463	66.67%
Gold's Allure	83	3.952	31.735	67.47%
Guardian Serpents	1063	3.545	33.869	77.7%
Haunted by Primal Memories	976	2.947	30.345	75.92%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	356	3.823	35.02	73.88%
Here There be Monsters	91	3.11	30.582	70.33%
Infested Aquifers	333	3.505	34.144	78.08%
Inflame the Fires of Life	126	3.452	33.389	72.22%
Land of Haunts and Embers	60	3.383	26.6	56.67%
Like Calls to Like	1160	3.534	33.086	76.72%
Lure of the Unknown	332	3.352	32.967	79.52%
Mesmerized Tranquility	820	3.923	35.533	78.05%
Nature's Resilience	2727	2.485	28.858	71.65%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	715	3.629	35.385	78.18%
Poisoned Dew	444	3.358	32.25	75.0%
Portents of Disaster	399	3.842	34.674	76.94%
Promises of Protection	835	3.564	33.769	75.57%
Prowling Panthers	108	3.194	34.139	78.7%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	1255	1.961	28.268	74.66%
Purifying Flame	538	3.548	30.978	69.89%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	992	3.284	31.198	73.08%
Rain of Blood	359	3.192	31.482	75.49%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	253	2.652	30.704	76.28%
Reaching Grasp	1527	3.444	34.703	83.24%
Renewing Boon	450	3.469	32.782	75.33%
Renewing Rain	687	3.313	32.677	76.27%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	321	3.629	36.04	78.19%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	672	3.467	32.646	73.36%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	285	2.358	30.193	80.35%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	1783	3.501	32.979	75.72%
Savage Mawbeasts	113	1.681	28.044	82.3%
Scour the Land	77	4.117	29.714	62.34%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	504	3.946	35.063	75.79%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	363	3.78	35.868	79.06%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	189	3.772	38.275	82.54%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	99	3.758	35.03	75.76%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	581	4.573	36.971	74.7%
Sky Stretches to Shore	2278	4.008	36.524	80.55%
Song of Sanctity	1802	2.714	30.746	77.08%
Spur On with Words of Fire	743	4.3	37.001	77.25%
Steam Vents	723	3.138	33.214	78.7%
Strong and Constant Currents	1592	3.979	35.724	78.33%
Sucking Ooze	498	3.863	34.586	75.9%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	1481	3.207	33.547	81.3%
Swarming Wasps	193	3.554	36.098	78.24%
Teeming Rivers	1713	3.697	35.615	79.45%
Territorial Strife	462	3.42	30.162	69.91%
Terror Turns to Madness	362	3.105	31.923	75.69%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	657	3.508	34.903	78.39%
Thriving Chokefungus	456	3.434	33.943	78.29%
Tormenting Rotflies	87	3.529	31.517	65.52%
Treacherous Waterways	527	3.372	35.184	83.49%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	1262	3.805	34.12	77.18%
Uncanny Melting	2236	2.846	29.859	71.69%
Unquenchable Flames	143	2.748	32.266	75.52%
Veil the Night's Hunt	638	3.599	33.998	75.71%
Visions of Fiery Doom	223	2.655	30.816	73.54%
Voracious Growth	1053	2.963	31.425	76.54%
Weep for What is Lost	206	4.005	33.675	74.27%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	1619	1.986	28.036	75.6%
Angry Bears	156	3.186	32.359	76.28%
Bargains of Power and Protection	683	4.129	34.963	73.79%
Blazing Renewal	310	4.268	32.394	67.42%
Bloodwrack Plague	419	4.079	33.928	70.17%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	611	3.543	31.303	71.69%
Cleansing Floods	1275	3.35	32.472	78.12%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	105	2.333	30.343	84.76%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	154	3.325	30.708	72.08%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	189	3.132	29.106	77.78%
Dream of the Untouched Land	468	3.476	32.976	74.36%
Entwined Power	298	3.594	34.389	80.2%
Fire and Flood	842	3.205	32.05	78.03%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	328	4.418	36.082	76.83%
Focus the Land's Anguish	347	4.34	30.415	64.84%
Forests of Living Obsidian	267	3.7	34.045	75.66%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	57	2.702	29.895	78.95%
Indomitable Claim	1022	4.085	33.283	71.04%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	312	4.984	34.647	63.14%
Infinite Vitality	362	3.865	30.116	62.98%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	118	4.229	33.229	75.42%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	575	4.085	31.661	66.61%
Irresistible Call	326	4.166	29.963	60.12%
Manifest Incarnation	195	2.826	30.615	77.95%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	446	3.937	34.657	77.35%
Mists of Oblivion	233	3.481	32.704	74.68%
Paralyzing Fright	572	3.857	30.825	68.71%
Pent-Up Calamity	339	4.204	34.298	72.86%
Pillar of Living Flame	149	2.268	27.389	71.14%
Poisoned Land	87	1.793	25.506	68.97%
Powerstorm	550	4.355	35.705	75.45%
Pyroclastic Flow	158	3.494	31.234	72.78%
Savage Transformation	107	3.065	33.757	83.18%
Sea Monsters	477	3.702	34.581	76.94%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	83	3.928	31.988	68.67%
Sleep and Never Waken	322	4.472	31.78	60.56%
Smothering Infestation	382	3.359	31.861	76.44%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	178	3.506	28.854	67.42%
Storm-Swath	254	3.02	31.858	78.74%
Strangling Firevine	75	3.12	31.707	73.33%
Sweep into the Sea	1004	4.162	34.474	72.31%
Talons of Lightning	462	3.4	29.911	68.83%
Terrifying Nightmares	262	4.279	32.821	66.03%
The Jungle Hungers	249	4.08	31.438	63.45%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	106	4.519	30.415	62.26%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	843	3.473	34.12	79.0%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	102	4.039	29.735	60.78%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	393	3.455	32.618	73.03%
Tigers Hunting	371	3.9	36.946	80.05%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	54	2.889	33.093	81.48%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	563	4.052	34.512	75.49%
Tsunami	979	2.218	27.725	75.08%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	253	3.036	31.091	74.31%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	912	3.709	34.209	79.17%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	496	3.512	32.571	74.19%
Unrelenting Growth	462	3.21	31.675	75.54%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	114	4.421	30.009	60.53%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	115	4.348	35.991	75.65%
Vengeance of the Dead	97	3.113	31.361	74.23%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	1269	4.56	41.29	82.82%
Voice of Command	555	3.834	34.494	76.22%
Volcanic Eruption	83	2.096	24.301	67.47%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	675	3.551	32.227	74.07%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	468	4.03	35.132	79.27%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	979	3.536	31.601	73.44%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	856	4.103	33.463	71.5%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Boon of Vigor	0.0%
Flash Floods	90.37%
River's Bounty	91.88%
Wash Away	81.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	5061	22.56	31.69%
II	8964	30.98	74.3%
III	5972	34.53	88.88%
IV	1979	37.77	99.19%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1602
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	5119
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	6206
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1947
Lose: Invader deck ran out	346
Lose: Adversary condition	2113
Win: Sacrifice victory	45
Lose: Scenario condition	347
Win: Scenario condition	616
Lose: Blight pool ran out	3415
Lose: Spirit destroyed	220

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.052 Win Model: -0.262

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	410	11.73%	28.4	94.63%	94.49%
-2	118	5.45%	31.25	98.31%	92.96%
-1	292	18.46%	26.68	91.78%	91.04%
0	6731	29.85%	21.67	86.91%	88.66%
1	1570	35.4%	25.29	86.05%	85.76%
2	1355	42.34%	28.39	79.7%	82.25%
3	1335	50.79%	30.85	71.31%	78.11%
4	1639	47.8%	36.35	75.53%	73.31%
5	1100	52.37%	36.81	62.91%	67.89%
6	1851	60.14%	38.76	61.48%	61.94%
7	1372	56.5%	41.03	52.33%	55.61%
8	1074	61.42%	45.66	58.01%	49.09%
9	765	59.19%	49.01	52.94%	42.61%
10	1137	73.65%	41.89	34.21%	36.37%
11	848	69.93%	38.02	21.7%	30.55%
12	149	40.94%	54.21	42.95%	25.3%
13	50	69.39%	43.94	16.0%	20.68%
14	58	20.69%	86.47	79.31%	16.71%
15	42	59.52%	58.9	30.95%	13.38%
16	6	50.0%	61.83	33.33%	10.63%
17	45	91.11%	48.42	13.33%	8.39%
18	21	71.43%	41.33	0.0%	6.58%
21	1	100.0%	127.0	100.0%	3.11%
22	1	100.0%	59.0	0.0%	2.41%
25	3	100.0%	83.33	33.33%	1.12%
26	3	66.67%	125.33	66.67%	0.86%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.385 Win Model: 0.398

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	9282	51.33%	29.04	64.89%
2	6241	46.77%	31.25	71.32%
3	3183	40.07%	34.03	76.88%
4	2836	35.97%	39.29	78.56%
5	62	20.97%	48.11	93.55%
6	372	18.97%	47.21	88.17%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.