Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 22.5% 21.63 60.0% 0.551 -0.0071 -0.006
Blitz 0 458 44.49% 26.87 63.32% -0.657 -0.2343 -0.822
Dahan Insurrection 4 881 30.67% 49.31 69.47% -0.354 -0.8363 1.209
Despicable Theft 2 192 45.31% 26.09 56.25% -0.755 -0.2123 -0.314
Elemental Invocation 1 302 51.83% 27.06 52.32% -0.228 0.5095 -0.248
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3387 10.98% 48.28 78.24% 0.901 0.2447 1.601
Powers Long Forgotten 1 293 46.23% 28.0 62.12% -0.551 0.0112 -0.586
Rituals of Terror 3 210 43.06% 42.34 70.0% 0.69 0.5485 1.867
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 66.67% 25.81 35.42% 0.394 1.1431 -1.03
Second Wave 0 1843 44.15% 28.18 70.7% -0.2 -0.1052 0.116
The Great River 3 283 52.65% 25.75 38.16% 0.093 1.3382 -0.209
Varied Terrains 2 83 57.83% 20.87 38.55% 0.23 1.0984 -0.364
Ward the Shores 2 388 54.26% 27.72 46.39% -0.3 0.5547 -1.055

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13416 49.25% 26.04 60.14% -0.069 0.3039 0.157
1 Thematic 922 52.57% 29.22 47.83% 0.542 1.2559 0.005
2 Archipelago 37 51.35% 28.68 59.46% 0.492 1.016 -0.878
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5919 47.68% 26.56 63.36% 0.017 0.1777 0.337
2 Coastline 1268 45.22% 25.99 57.1% 0.718 0.525 -0.503
2 Fragment 211 52.43% 26.32 63.51% 0.027 -0.0208 0.93
2 Heart 104 45.63% 26.88 69.23% 0.061 -0.151 0.227
2 Opposite Shores 2332 31.91% 34.1 74.79% -0.177 -0.0448 -0.422
2 Thematic 643 46.48% 30.06 52.72% -0.132 0.5886 -0.022
2 Top to Top 283 49.46% 25.88 60.07% 0.398 0.3138 0.128
3 Archipelago 44 34.09% 31.18 77.27% 0.0 -0.5435 0.47
3 Coastline 78 57.69% 28.42 56.41% 0.0 -0.6304 0.888
3 Other 244 38.33% 26.25 68.85% -0.451 -1.3269 -0.371
3 Round (Default) 5147 38.53% 30.87 68.97% -0.308 -0.3314 0.257
3 Sunrise 24 54.55% 31.25 83.33% 0.0 -0.4466 0.535
3 Thematic 237 50.21% 25.89 45.99% -0.673 -0.6655 -0.867
4 Archipelago 35 40.0% 34.29 68.57% 0.0 -0.1516 -0.964
4 Coastline 42 26.19% 28.33 66.67% 0.0 0.1293 1.063
4 Leaf 30 41.38% 22.9 53.33% 0.413 0.8484 -0.346
4 Other 217 31.48% 25.18 58.53% -0.078 -0.6464 1.625
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Thematic 895 31.91% 44.94 72.51% -0.44 -0.3774 -0.182
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3231 35.93% 30.2 68.49% -0.61 -0.6048 -0.447
5 Archipelago 20 50.0% 40.45 75.0% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.334
5 Coastline 7 57.14% 27.43 85.71% 0.191 -0.8302 0.199
5 Other 337 29.52% 31.6 75.96% 0.97 0.6461 0.13
5 Thematic 53 34.62% 45.06 77.36% 1.196 1.0532 0.848
6 Archipelago 19 21.05% 39.32 78.95% 0.094 -0.9442 0.4
6 Coastline 7 0.0% 30.57 71.43% 0.0 -1.0581 0.0
6 Other 160 16.35% 27.02 71.88% -0.534 -0.5781 -0.462
6 Star 57 17.54% 27.33 66.67% -0.076 0.5566 -0.669
6 Thematic 716 16.83% 34.78 54.47% -1.383 -1.1794 -1.016
6 Two Centers (Default) 531 21.97% 31.74 65.16% -0.458 0.0167 -0.246
7 Archipelago 7 14.29% 36.14 57.14% 0.351 0.0274 0.489
7 Other 11 27.27% 26.64 45.45% -0.083 -0.7584 -1.007

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 920 27.11 43.37% 0.708 0.7794 0.059
Aid From Lesser Spirits 925 32.0 54.38% -0.08 -0.1903 0.498
All Things Weaken 1101 26.15 44.6% 0.873 1.0503 0.46
Attenuated Essence 144 25.06 46.53% 0.08 0.1322 0.277
Back Against the Wall 890 29.61 47.98% 0.505 0.4892 0.309
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 166 22.48 41.57% 0.073 0.257 0.501
Burn Brightest Before the End 128 26.65 40.63% -0.619 -0.5319 0.019
Disintegrating Ecosystem 905 25.4 42.76% -0.341 -0.0494 0.143
Downward Spiral 1425 25.49 48.49% 0.164 0.2696 0.027
Erosion of Will 897 26.62 42.81% -0.468 -0.3024 -0.203
Intensifying Exploitation 119 23.88 41.18% -0.445 -0.2568 -0.31
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 462 31.24 75.97% -0.169 -0.5971 0.737
Memory Fades to Dust 1356 24.49 42.85% -0.452 -0.217 0.034
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1126 26.22 45.2% -0.146 -0.05 0.323
Promising Farmlands 927 26.25 42.07% -0.411 -0.0465 -0.158
Shattered Fragments of Power 109 25.54 44.95% 0.573 0.6383 0.186
Slow Dissolution of Will 174 21.7 39.08% -0.856 -0.3925 -0.265
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 315 31.77 72.38% 0.487 -0.1143 0.684
The Border of Life and Death 47 23.21 55.32% -1.065 -1.5404 -0.727
Thriving Communities 1123 24.95 43.01% -0.328 -0.1029 -0.119
Thriving Crops 64 22.91 45.31% -0.448 -0.6724 -0.585
Unnatural Proliferation 1190 28.09 49.33% -0.109 0.0134 0.25
Untended Land Crumbles 1069 24.58 41.25% -0.4 -0.1682 -0.329

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11971 38.44% 30.38 67.5% 0.171 1.0891 0.006
B 9341 40.18% 29.2 66.5% 0.251 1.0925 -0.196
C 10714 38.64% 29.66 67.21% 0.0 0.6833 -0.219
D 9524 39.88% 28.16 65.29% -0.088 0.7549 -0.402
E 7990 41.03% 28.18 65.41% 0.267 0.9185 -0.242
F 7543 42.27% 27.81 63.34% 0.16 0.9195 -0.74
G 6984 40.7% 28.31 65.03% 0.148 0.9057 -0.09
H 7143 41.76% 28.61 65.41% -0.021 0.6978 -0.364
East 2925 34.7% 36.2 58.77% -0.296 0.5177 -0.69
Northeast 1797 32.87% 36.56 59.43% -0.114 0.5538 0.016
Northwest 1587 33.04% 36.87 58.79% -0.38 0.4248 0.445
Southeast 1501 24.78% 36.46 59.29% 0.078 0.7836 -0.28
Southwest 1400 26.14% 35.73 58.29% -0.095 1.295 0.487
West 2591 35.18% 36.27 58.82% -0.085 0.709 -0.564

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1096 0.0% 18.71 62.5% -1.187 -0.4684 0.932
Not Using Events or Tokens 1304 49.56% 17.71 48.54% -0.546 -0.0611 -0.981
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1970 14.82% 41.97 77.11% 0.315 -0.4161 0.854
Start of Game Growth 2796 14.92% 38.48 76.54% 1.511 1.0644 -0.43
Unlimited Undo 4234 31.08% 31.12 69.01% 0.249 0.2157 -0.066
Using Tokens but Not Events 6703 25.25% 32.12 76.68% 0.877 0.715 -0.052

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2547 23.74% 34.93 68.94% -0.078 -0.185 0.071
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 212 18.57% 28.61 55.19% -0.273 -0.7617 0.362
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 679 43.26% 27.63 60.82% 0.525 0.6686 -0.05
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 112 35.71% 25.33 56.25% -0.229 -0.9772 -0.471
Dances Up Earthquakes 18 44.44% 26.17 66.67% 0.003 -0.1736 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1168 33.97% 26.04 66.27% 0.391 0.1836 0.206
Downpour Drenches the World 701 24.86% 25.39 52.64% 0.409 0.729 0.055
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 392 33.25% 28.32 59.44% 0.837 0.3967 0.029
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2065 20.9% 29.45 80.05% 0.745 0.4019 0.122
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1181 31.46% 31.1 72.73% -0.68 -1.034 0.118
Finder of Paths Unseen 192 31.41% 19.89 47.4% -0.421 0.3634 -0.537
Fractured Days Split the Sky 691 28.26% 42.32 76.41% -0.031 0.4168 0.957
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 567 50.09% 28.38 58.73% -0.555 -0.5782 -0.651
Heart of the Wildfire 901 55.48% 28.19 57.6% 0.08 0.4067 -0.088
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2819 32.94% 37.1 71.34% 0.521 0.0261 0.45
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 270 34.81% 28.8 61.11% 0.186 -0.3771 -1.143
Lightning's Swift Strike 867 41.73% 25.71 63.21% 0.584 0.7821 -0.826
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 298 39.53% 27.8 53.02% -0.129 -0.5768 -0.32
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 850 37.51% 29.13 72.82% -0.672 -0.9915 0.736
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1697 34.09% 33.71 73.25% 0.074 0.1989 0.828
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1918 42.73% 31.8 63.09% 0.141 -0.0155 -0.139
Many Minds Move as One 707 35.53% 28.3 68.88% 0.118 -0.0884 0.043
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6514 36.76% 31.18 65.87% 0.29 0.4197 0.43
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 72 38.89% 29.26 59.72% 0.617 0.7217 0.076
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1000 33.64% 27.25 69.4% -0.193 -0.2426 0.698
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1622 30.46% 36.09 66.15% 0.267 0.1681 0.245
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 19 26.32% 24.63 68.42% 0.469 -0.0225 -0.082
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 236 45.91% 22.92 61.44% -0.659 -0.1476 1.146
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 26.32% 19.36 63.54% -0.018 -0.0611 -0.218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 99 21.21% 31.21 65.66% -0.251 -0.6996 -0.143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 173 19.41% 35.77 68.21% 0.084 0.1422 -0.279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 713 40.75% 28.16 69.28% -0.827 -1.0178 -0.334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 535 41.05% 27.69 69.16% -0.009 0.0742 -0.374
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 900 33.82% 38.86 73.22% -0.36 -0.4576 0.683
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 209 29.33% 28.46 57.42% 0.19 -0.0042 -0.215
Shifting Memory of Ages 978 33.57% 26.75 52.25% -0.316 0.0732 -0.019
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 114 35.96% 23.71 50.0% 0.678 0.6262 0.431
Shroud of Silent Mist 620 44.37% 27.89 64.19% -0.487 -0.0726 -0.591
Starlight Seeks its Form 857 36.45% 30.0 61.26% -0.001 -0.0411 0.435
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1216 38.84% 30.23 62.01% -0.784 -1.2862 -0.21
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1224 29.3% 32.61 71.41% -0.522 -0.4387 0.581
Thunderspeaker 2335 41.26% 35.8 70.19% -0.283 -0.2889 0.476
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 164 34.78% 23.92 50.61% 0.174 0.5628 -0.22
Towering Roots of the Jungle 72 48.61% 27.4 68.06% 0.823 1.0331 -0.135
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 575 58.0% 27.15 59.83% -0.082 -0.0051 0.201
Vital Strength of the Earth 770 28.13% 28.18 72.34% 0.021 0.4705 0.145
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 483 26.32% 25.67 45.34% 0.127 0.6215 -1.313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 810 34.69% 25.64 66.17% -0.305 0.3881 -0.222
Volcano Looming High 909 42.27% 28.95 62.16% 0.224 0.2884 -0.277
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 155 35.48% 29.57 63.87% -0.353 -0.6019 -0.48

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 0.0%
Flash Floods 90.99%
River's Bounty 92.34%
Wash Away 83.23%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11267 14.25 23.09%
II 13737 30.3 72.26%
III 9205 34.84 88.0%
IV 3095 38.61 99.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2599
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7844
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9348
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3041
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4174
Lose: Invader deck ran out 503
Lose: Adversary condition 2988
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 505
Win: Scenario condition 791
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5122
Lose: Spirit destroyed 316

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.097 Win Model: -0.148

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.059 Win Model: 0.057
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14505 49.41% 26.22 59.07%
2 10843 44.38% 28.36 64.52%
3 5675 38.71% 30.73 68.88%
4 4476 34.34% 33.18 69.06%
5 324 29.06% 29.05 70.99%
6 1481 18.8% 32.16 60.9%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)