Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 85 20.24% 22.02 62.35% 0.088 0.1033 -0.507
Blitz 0 1334 42.65% 25.07 64.92% -0.51 -0.2217 -0.902
Dahan Insurrection 4 2327 22.99% 51.6 75.98% 0.2 0.0233 0.567
Despicable Theft 2 338 37.5% 29.35 61.83% -0.959 -0.0977 -1.05
Elemental Invocation 1 353 49.01% 26.59 56.09% -1.26 -0.3271 -0.757
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6065 13.28% 47.31 82.21% 0.96 0.3138 0.745
Powers Long Forgotten 1 803 53.75% 28.4 60.02% -0.288 0.6581 -0.715
Rituals of Terror 3 537 40.9% 37.49 67.97% 0.35 0.4268 0.106
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 492 68.7% 31.86 51.63% -0.407 0.708 -0.803
Second Wave 0 5271 39.87% 28.02 75.66% 0.527 0.5575 0.052
The Great River 3 250 56.63% 28.84 46.0% 0.181 1.6062 -1.475
Varied Terrains 2 133 40.6% 20.69 49.62% -1.097 -0.3223 -1.049
Ward the Shores 2 868 39.65% 32.37 56.68% -1.345 -0.3001 -0.62

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 54110 47.49% 27.5 65.8% 0.131 0.3915 0.007
1 Thematic 3155 52.16% 30.74 52.2% -0.061 0.4049 0.126
2 Archipelago 61 34.43% 25.66 60.66% -0.976 -0.5022 -0.139
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21226 41.27% 31.68 74.53% 0.189 0.3743 0.263
2 Coastline 2714 35.58% 31.25 78.48% 0.827 0.81 0.144
2 Fragment 596 43.9% 30.95 76.01% 1.079 0.7631 0.438
2 Heart 366 47.06% 29.1 72.4% 0.482 0.3879 0.083
2 Opposite Shores 4173 32.81% 31.39 80.06% 0.682 0.6428 -0.08
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 1961 43.45% 35.29 61.35% -0.513 -0.2261 0.433
2 Top to Top 684 38.4% 33.9 78.95% 0.928 0.8839 0.496
3 Archipelago 41 17.07% 38.12 80.49% 0.335 -0.8044 0.919
3 Coastline 172 35.88% 33.81 77.33% -0.029 -0.7786 1.508
3 Other 474 28.6% 30.18 81.65% -0.536 -0.9993 0.406
3 Round (Default) 13170 35.2% 34.81 79.42% 0.641 0.4215 0.178
3 Sunrise 97 36.46% 41.09 78.35% -0.702 -0.6264 0.854
3 Thematic 520 40.85% 35.12 65.77% -0.186 -0.4782 0.137
4 Archipelago 61 25.0% 39.07 75.41% -0.567 -0.3738 -0.454
4 Coastline 56 29.09% 32.3 80.36% 0.422 0.0623 0.017
4 Leaf 42 42.86% 31.21 73.81% 0.0 -0.1085 0.317
4 Other 372 31.34% 35.51 84.14% 0.363 0.1065 0.386
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 1768 30.64% 46.28 76.81% 0.004 0.2565 0.334
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8475 28.29% 35.5 81.35% -0.108 0.1063 -0.13
5 Archipelago 10 50.0% 37.4 90.0% 0.0 0.2735 0.0
5 Coastline 46 4.65% 40.61 78.26% -0.256 -0.3602 -0.765
5 Other 545 28.08% 32.18 79.82% 0.466 -0.0999 -0.119
5 Thematic 55 41.82% 26.09 56.36% -0.711 -1.1318 -0.271
6 Archipelago 56 16.67% 37.07 76.79% 0.519 -0.4142 -0.798
6 Coastline 72 6.98% 33.29 83.33% 0.313 -0.4847 -1.007
6 Other 232 21.05% 32.06 80.6% -0.596 -0.1706 -0.391
6 Star 129 31.01% 31.99 74.42% -0.014 0.0989 -0.461
6 Thematic 481 23.54% 25.95 56.55% -0.391 -0.2893 -1.281
6 Two Centers (Default) 992 17.22% 27.05 76.01% -0.281 -0.5384 -1.128
7 Archipelago 10 40.0% 21.7 60.0% -0.728 0.3425 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 0.0
7 Other 24 33.33% 11.38 29.17% 0.0 -1.0157 -1.623

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3726 30.15 51.26% -0.261 -0.086 -0.627
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3359 32.27 55.73% -0.149 -0.2036 -0.415
All Things Weaken 2258 31.91 54.47% 0.075 0.368 -0.296
Attenuated Essence 236 25.69 45.34% 0.146 0.2297 -1.064
Back Against the Wall 3170 31.71 53.19% 0.243 0.2907 -0.557
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 226 24.66 41.59% -0.376 -0.1723 -0.622
Burn Brightest Before the End 185 26.08 45.41% -0.252 -0.0645 -1.303
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3430 26.56 45.69% -0.491 -0.082 -0.862
Downward Spiral 6014 25.12 52.31% -0.431 -0.3036 -0.759
Erosion of Will 3512 28.44 46.67% -0.755 -0.4719 -0.847
Intensifying Exploitation 223 21.09 40.81% -1.099 -0.8513 -1.097
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 903 36.05 77.96% 0.989 0.4737 0.334
Memory Fades to Dust 6161 24.65 49.26% -0.233 0.0037 -0.749
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2084 29.77 50.43% -0.277 -0.0593 -0.605
Promising Farmlands 3366 26.89 44.03% -0.577 -0.2818 -1.168
Shattered Fragments of Power 196 27.31 47.45% -0.117 0.0845 -1.083
Slow Dissolution of Will 210 22.09 35.24% -0.343 0.0416 -1.511
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 558 36.24 80.82% -0.256 -0.8374 0.38
The Border of Life and Death 66 23.74 54.55% 0.412 -0.1053 -0.931
Thriving Communities 2022 27.9 48.02% -0.418 -0.0793 -0.796
Thriving Crops 84 23.02 48.81% -0.104 -0.1468 -1.122
Tipping Point 955 29.14 48.38% 0.0 0.0 -0.838
Unnatural Proliferation 2235 30.67 49.17% -0.317 -0.1763 -0.757
Untended Land Crumbles 2063 28.06 46.87% -0.808 -0.3596 -0.933

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27829 37.97% 31.39 74.59% 0.054 0.9159 0.158
B 30173 36.69% 31.89 75.13% -0.391 0.4259 0.133
C 29672 37.37% 32.25 75.74% 0.134 0.8129 0.385
D 26754 36.31% 31.88 76.09% 0.047 0.8511 0.249
E 16576 39.65% 31.99 72.27% 0.087 0.7558 0.032
F 24724 37.56% 31.4 74.97% -0.597 0.2017 0.37
G 23876 39.11% 31.08 73.97% -0.276 0.55 0.319
H 24323 37.9% 31.61 75.19% -0.114 0.6589 0.26
East 5816 39.24% 37.32 64.56% -0.849 -0.0032 -0.474
Northeast 3937 37.02% 38.19 65.35% -0.515 0.2558 -0.503
Northwest 3233 35.43% 38.99 67.49% 0.239 1.0462 -0.498
Southeast 1626 35.12% 32.23 61.99% -0.265 0.6044 -0.24
Southwest 1587 38.6% 29.62 57.09% -0.649 0.6323 -0.593
West 5477 40.5% 36.56 62.37% -0.248 0.7484 -0.952

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3696 0.0% 17.52 60.77% -1.074 -0.2781 0.764
Not Using Events or Tokens 11400 36.41% 20.51 68.09% -0.251 0.1367 -0.68
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3162 16.54% 35.61 84.28% 0.766 0.1517 0.361
Start of Game Growth 4258 19.1% 34.6 82.81% -0.288 -0.8696 0.116
Unlimited Undo 10884 34.38% 30.88 77.09% -0.008 0.0355 0.223
Using Tokens but Not Events 14935 23.15% 28.54 81.81% 0.004 -0.0545 -0.197

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5224 28.07% 34.83 80.88% 0.287 0.1431 0.347
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 23 39.13% 44.09 82.61% 1.783 1.0698 1.542
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2374 41.01% 32.25 74.89% -0.376 -0.1125 -0.017
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 147 40.41% 30.39 69.39% 0.369 -0.4397 -0.307
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6189 28.31% 30.72 78.99% 0.162 -0.003 -0.219
Downpour Drenches the World 596 30.05% 28.65 63.09% -0.146 0.1269 -0.221
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 674 30.1% 29.06 64.69% 0.279 -0.1479 -0.169
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7025 24.79% 33.6 81.25% 0.393 0.0336 -0.116
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5804 28.76% 30.78 80.5% -0.093 -0.5371 -0.066
Finder of Paths Unseen 345 36.26% 27.54 59.71% -1.217 -0.5289 0.233
Fractured Days Split the Sky 939 29.84% 34.43 71.78% -0.927 -0.3377 0.069
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 895 38.12% 33.0 71.17% -0.622 -0.6864 -0.114
Heart of the Wildfire 3144 47.42% 34.34 73.63% 0.138 0.4654 0.27
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5987 31.19% 38.71 82.6% 0.376 0.0815 0.67
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 198 23.35% 25.33 52.53% -0.049 -0.4192 -1.423
Lightning's Swift Strike 4046 32.6% 30.81 76.87% -0.535 -0.1947 -0.414
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 296 35.86% 28.67 66.89% 0.367 -0.1071 -0.136
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 551 36.31% 35.94 76.04% -0.037 -0.3978 0.863
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 867 27.57% 38.2 76.36% -0.228 -0.2212 0.489
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2916 40.53% 36.1 74.62% -0.11 -0.4044 0.035
Many Minds Move as One 1388 34.66% 32.86 76.73% 0.012 -0.1337 0.373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12225 33.11% 37.4 79.73% 0.288 0.2295 0.342
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6202 31.56% 31.6 79.38% -0.056 -0.2194 0.195
River Surges in Sunlight 6601 28.67% 37.04 81.44% -0.245 -0.1464 0.237
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 28.0% 21.64 52.0% -0.142 -0.2778 -0.549
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1061 30.58% 33.02 73.89% 0.147 0.6227 -0.547
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 650 34.46% 36.8 69.85% 0.279 0.2437 0.09
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3498 33.48% 35.94 76.39% -0.15 -0.4045 0.141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1834 43.45% 29.53 71.37% 0.222 0.7435 -0.322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 123 37.5% 26.38 66.67% -0.673 -0.5319 -0.518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 132 32.06% 30.02 65.15% 0.962 0.384 -0.079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 151 31.03% 29.13 62.91% -0.09 0.26 0.6
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 441 39.63% 32.98 73.92% -0.151 -0.1665 0.232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 422 39.42% 33.72 74.88% -0.238 0.0109 0.641
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3689 34.66% 36.08 79.83% -0.172 -0.2817 0.128
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 243 28.81% 28.33 69.55% 1.101 0.9388 -0.928
Shifting Memory of Ages 1033 37.94% 28.72 72.6% -0.099 0.2458 -0.167
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 35 28.57% 27.06 57.14% -0.145 -0.4543 0.41
Shroud of Silent Mist 1044 38.67% 29.05 70.98% -0.101 0.23 -0.636
Starlight Seeks its Form 1184 34.66% 34.34 73.06% 0.159 -0.0153 0.56
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2870 39.36% 32.8 75.82% 0.242 -0.4676 -0.137
Thunderspeaker 4191 29.66% 38.34 80.82% 0.288 0.2669 0.476
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 137 31.39% 20.28 38.69% -0.411 -0.2128 -0.971
Towering Roots of the Jungle 73 32.88% 26.38 60.27% -0.049 -0.0773 0.833
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1662 55.98% 30.72 68.23% 0.316 0.3818 -0.173
Vital Strength of the Earth 2957 29.04% 28.22 76.33% 0.428 0.9625 0.078
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 283 34.31% 27.16 54.77% -0.662 -0.0944 -0.128
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 405 38.82% 26.81 63.95% -0.748 0.0104 -0.95
Volcano Looming High 1762 42.5% 33.3 74.29% -0.646 -0.5088 0.171
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 340 33.92% 28.36 59.71% 0.583 0.2722 -0.624

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28462 15.74 34.32%
II 50045 30.48 76.24%
III 30677 34.79 89.51%
IV 7815 38.41 99.05%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9762
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26759
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36431
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7684
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7004
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1646
Lose: Adversary condition 6807
Win: Sacrifice victory 229
Lose: Scenario condition 797
Win: Scenario condition 2258
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16994
Lose: Spirit destroyed 628

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.479 Win Model: -0.112

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.234 Win Model: 0.072
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 57497 47.74% 27.66 64.96%
2 31799 39.87% 31.89 75.02%
3 14433 35.1% 34.7 79.06%
4 10807 28.66% 37.35 80.86%
5 500 25.94% 29.43 73.0%
6 1963 19.97% 27.83 71.42%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)