Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 130 24.03% 23.65 62.31% -0.753 -0.562 -0.224
Blitz 0 1486 40.51% 24.05 62.45% -0.602 -0.3849 -0.856
Dahan Insurrection 4 2497 22.64% 50.3 74.25% -0.15 -0.4033 0.611
Despicable Theft 2 413 36.01% 28.14 59.81% -0.21 0.3762 -0.946
Elemental Invocation 1 439 45.33% 24.82 51.25% -1.149 -0.4097 -0.895
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6627 13.17% 46.51 80.65% 0.245 -0.3167 0.797
Powers Long Forgotten 1 910 51.16% 26.95 56.7% -1.052 -0.2927 -0.748
Rituals of Terror 3 621 39.29% 36.49 66.99% -0.601 -0.4809 0.119
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 547 65.81% 30.84 51.19% -0.14 0.7677 -0.829
Second Wave 0 5914 38.97% 27.76 75.04% -0.031 0.1076 0.105
The Great River 3 292 53.61% 26.18 41.44% -1.152 -0.0516 -1.665
Varied Terrains 2 238 43.28% 20.61 42.44% -0.51 0.2657 -0.817
Ward the Shores 2 949 39.32% 31.11 54.79% -0.888 0.1864 -0.593

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 62801 46.63% 26.33 63.26% 0.422 0.755 0.236
1 Thematic 3544 50.4% 29.39 50.79% 0.279 0.9649 0.372
2 Archipelago 77 31.17% 25.19 59.74% 0.539 1.1469 0.202
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24339 40.41% 30.47 71.98% 0.318 0.4379 0.352
2 Coastline 3075 35.39% 30.42 76.46% 0.626 0.5542 0.305
2 Fragment 680 44.19% 29.41 73.53% 0.421 0.2362 0.629
2 Heart 422 46.25% 29.33 71.56% 1.288 1.1313 0.472
2 Opposite Shores 4823 33.24% 30.77 77.9% 0.684 0.8351 0.018
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0816 0.0
2 Thematic 2191 42.12% 33.86 59.56% 0.107 0.6147 0.556
2 Top to Top 813 38.13% 32.95 76.38% 0.566 0.5077 0.456
3 Archipelago 53 16.98% 38.68 77.36% -0.05 -1.0018 1.262
3 Coastline 201 35.18% 32.13 75.62% 0.118 -0.2923 1.304
3 Other 537 28.44% 28.81 79.52% 0.201 -0.5707 0.325
3 Round (Default) 15097 35.65% 34.06 77.37% 0.531 0.4398 0.152
3 Sunrise 111 35.45% 40.42 79.28% 1.402 1.3057 0.936
3 Thematic 591 42.2% 33.57 63.28% 0.025 0.0458 0.14
4 Archipelago 78 22.67% 36.96 71.79% -0.054 -0.5843 -0.293
4 Coastline 59 31.03% 32.03 77.97% 0.189 0.1028 0.035
4 Leaf 53 41.51% 30.83 73.58% 0.344 0.1826 0.792
4 Other 413 31.62% 34.62 83.29% 0.563 -0.1475 0.374
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4433 0.0
4 Thematic 1862 30.01% 45.35 75.46% -0.459 -0.3363 0.194
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9584 28.17% 34.06 78.53% -0.452 -0.4544 -0.327
5 Archipelago 14 50.0% 36.79 78.57% 0.0 -0.0301 0.1
5 Coastline 53 4.0% 37.83 73.58% -0.401 -0.5466 -0.828
5 Other 729 28.67% 30.88 76.54% -0.13 -0.6441 -0.344
5 Thematic 73 39.73% 26.29 52.05% 0.539 0.4816 -0.586
6 Archipelago 65 13.73% 37.4 76.92% 0.0 -1.0381 -0.973
6 Coastline 93 6.25% 37.63 80.65% 0.246 -0.7138 -0.915
6 Other 364 18.82% 29.22 71.15% -1.125 -1.2284 -1.311
6 Star 174 29.89% 30.7 72.99% -0.902 -0.9153 -0.968
6 Thematic 641 22.22% 25.62 53.04% -1.432 -1.146 -1.517
6 Two Centers (Default) 1258 17.29% 25.6 70.19% -2.04 -1.5067 -1.495
7 Archipelago 10 40.0% 21.7 60.0% 0.0 0.0647 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 28 28.57% 9.75 25.0% -0.398 -0.9567 -1.672

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4073 29.66 50.53% -0.26 -0.009 -0.482
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3644 31.89 55.13% -0.228 -0.2856 -0.264
All Things Weaken 2613 31.34 52.97% -0.082 0.2525 -0.16
Attenuated Essence 452 26.65 47.35% 0.089 0.1223 -0.796
Back Against the Wall 3425 31.55 52.93% 0.179 0.2135 -0.352
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 446 25.16 43.05% -0.709 -0.4916 -0.605
Burn Brightest Before the End 364 29.36 45.6% -0.055 -0.0442 -0.439
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3738 26.2 45.51% -0.494 -0.1494 -0.702
Downward Spiral 6666 24.6 51.71% -0.215 -0.0981 -0.56
Erosion of Will 3831 28.11 46.2% -0.464 -0.19 -0.646
Intensifying Exploitation 450 23.34 40.44% -0.586 -0.3748 -0.996
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1010 34.96 75.94% 0.043 -0.5295 0.428
Memory Fades to Dust 6790 24.05 48.34% -0.533 -0.2802 -0.548
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2444 28.97 49.71% -0.215 -0.0103 -0.417
Promising Farmlands 3670 26.31 43.38% -0.582 -0.3275 -0.987
Shattered Fragments of Power 385 28.97 47.53% -0.461 -0.387 -0.734
Slow Dissolution of Will 431 24.45 38.05% -0.431 -0.0495 -1.098
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 645 34.8 79.22% 0.483 -0.1911 0.382
The Border of Life and Death 122 26.38 61.48% 0.544 -0.0563 -0.225
Thriving Communities 2360 27.32 46.61% -0.658 -0.3763 -0.635
Thriving Crops 198 26.3 55.05% -0.254 -0.3942 -0.945
Tipping Point 955 29.14 48.38% 0.0 0.3945 -0.637
Unnatural Proliferation 2546 30.28 48.82% 0.02 0.224 -0.584
Untended Land Crumbles 2339 27.47 46.0% -0.396 -0.2062 -0.701

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 32131 37.5% 30.27 71.94% 0.044 1.042 0.145
B 34504 36.35% 30.8 72.8% 0.115 1.0373 0.152
C 34462 36.93% 31.06 72.9% 0.344 1.0732 0.203
D 30761 36.19% 30.74 73.37% 0.083 1.0421 0.213
E 20081 38.77% 30.73 69.47% 0.15 0.9696 -0.025
F 28647 37.05% 30.17 72.17% -0.072 0.8098 0.285
G 27527 38.29% 29.94 71.48% 0.153 0.9781 0.291
H 27956 37.56% 30.52 72.79% 0.201 1.0401 0.249
East 6546 38.19% 35.71 62.39% -0.155 0.72 -0.494
Northeast 4438 36.22% 36.57 63.05% -0.002 0.7501 -0.453
Northwest 3635 34.41% 37.39 65.03% -0.205 0.6871 -0.552
Southeast 1944 32.94% 30.6 58.8% -0.542 0.2968 -0.374
Southwest 1917 36.13% 28.09 53.78% -0.414 0.8907 -0.963
West 6158 39.3% 34.94 60.0% -0.079 0.8708 -0.943

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4524 0.0% 16.2 55.48% -1.151 -0.4223 0.932
Not Using Events or Tokens 13704 35.49% 19.06 63.85% -0.415 -0.0688 -0.973
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3526 16.38% 34.88 81.93% 0.313 -0.2897 0.921
Start of Game Growth 4833 18.54% 33.63 80.1% 0.061 -0.4431 -0.117
Unlimited Undo 12779 33.04% 29.35 73.42% 0.094 -0.0133 0.161
Using Tokens but Not Events 17394 23.42% 28.0 79.33% 0.563 0.5329 -0.023

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5695 27.99% 34.08 78.95% 0.323 0.2285 0.398
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 205 29.9% 31.57 62.93% 0.969 0.4928 0.644
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2572 40.23% 31.36 72.86% 0.126 0.238 0.067
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 238 39.41% 30.4 66.81% -0.342 -1.1554 -0.33
Dances Up Earthquakes 148 30.14% 26.64 54.73% -0.36 -0.3694 -0.839
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7084 27.56% 29.54 76.5% 0.069 -0.0711 -0.108
Downpour Drenches the World 846 29.58% 28.14 62.88% -0.25 -0.022 -0.015
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1026 31.47% 28.82 64.52% 0.225 -0.3441 -0.145
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8068 24.45% 32.13 78.3% -0.177 -0.5649 -0.068
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6522 28.57% 29.77 78.01% -0.028 -0.4217 -0.036
Finder of Paths Unseen 510 35.84% 26.31 58.04% -0.763 -0.0345 0.227
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1088 28.07% 32.29 67.92% -0.623 0.0173 -0.148
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1178 37.05% 31.31 67.66% 0.43 0.2967 -0.019
Heart of the Wildfire 3445 46.76% 33.39 72.1% 0.468 0.7971 0.305
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6538 31.09% 38.08 81.29% 0.672 0.2488 0.709
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 377 24.47% 23.7 51.19% 0.306 0.0 -1.648
Lightning's Swift Strike 4428 32.5% 30.03 75.38% 0.144 0.3817 -0.317
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 436 32.94% 25.65 59.4% -0.394 -0.8019 -0.178
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 662 35.63% 33.61 72.05% -0.552 -0.8713 0.751
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1072 26.55% 36.29 72.48% -0.631 -0.7123 0.492
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3463 39.99% 34.4 71.67% 0.066 -0.1269 0.039
Many Minds Move as One 1627 33.99% 31.4 73.39% -0.394 -0.6101 0.367
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13732 32.8% 36.25 77.34% 0.317 0.4566 0.336
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 466 38.26% 30.68 67.38% 0.694 0.7746 0.144
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7055 31.24% 30.31 76.48% 0.211 0.1329 0.167
River Surges in Sunlight 7151 28.78% 36.02 79.36% -0.02 0.1059 0.305
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 137 29.32% 26.95 53.28% -0.833 -0.6546 0.383
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1328 29.59% 31.85 69.65% -0.674 -0.3946 -0.287
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 972 34.68% 36.52 67.7% 0.378 0.2552 0.01
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3839 32.83% 35.36 74.58% 0.352 0.2247 0.224
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 86 27.91% 31.62 61.63% -0.166 -0.279 -0.633
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1969 43.23% 28.74 70.04% -0.262 0.2535 -0.254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 167 31.48% 23.56 60.48% -1.04 -1.0582 -0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 288 32.63% 28.58 62.15% -0.057 -0.5604 -0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 197 31.75% 28.08 61.42% 1.011 0.8197 0.403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 505 38.95% 31.69 71.49% -0.146 -0.2047 0.416
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 467 38.38% 32.56 73.66% 0.35 0.4311 0.759
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4017 34.2% 35.44 78.52% 0.131 0.2103 0.245
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 390 30.0% 27.97 65.9% 0.155 -0.0316 -0.404
Shifting Memory of Ages 1198 36.49% 27.77 69.78% -0.163 0.1042 -0.015
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 231 31.6% 26.82 59.31% -0.052 -0.1703 0.167
Shroud of Silent Mist 1305 36.64% 27.16 67.13% -0.283 0.0683 -0.591
Starlight Seeks its Form 1547 33.05% 32.65 70.46% 0.628 0.5104 0.635
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3181 38.99% 32.36 74.79% 0.524 0.0112 -0.008
Thunderspeaker 4648 30.1% 37.0 78.46% 0.558 0.59 0.541
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 240 32.08% 21.9 43.75% -0.211 -0.1975 -0.673
Towering Roots of the Jungle 352 41.19% 27.33 59.09% 0.263 0.3921 -0.265
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1876 55.65% 30.0 67.22% 0.227 0.3537 -0.042
Vital Strength of the Earth 3217 29.22% 27.42 74.91% -0.245 0.3546 0.177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 423 32.43% 26.4 53.43% 0.461 0.9542 -0.107
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 476 37.36% 24.74 59.45% -1.073 -0.3754 -0.983
Volcano Looming High 2140 40.84% 31.51 70.98% -0.182 -0.1339 0.124
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 632 32.49% 27.34 57.75% 0.204 -0.0858 -0.377

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 36146 13.42 30.51%
II 56068 30.13 75.71%
III 34084 34.83 89.37%
IV 8679 38.67 99.06%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11021
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29712
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 40636
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8535
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12743
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1807
Lose: Adversary condition 7466
Win: Sacrifice victory 258
Lose: Scenario condition 868
Win: Scenario condition 2372
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18846
Lose: Spirit destroyed 713

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.717 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.28 Win Model: 0.299
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 66669 46.8% 26.47 62.46%
2 36396 39.24% 30.8 72.71%
3 16545 35.57% 33.94 77.1%
4 12068 28.47% 35.9 78.35%
5 725 26.43% 29.1 69.52%
6 2574 19.37% 26.68 66.55%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)