Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 27 19.23% 27.37 77.78% -0.545 -0.6234 -0.587
Blitz 0 1118 46.12% 26.45 68.52% -0.441 -0.2946 -0.925
Dahan Insurrection 4 2036 23.82% 54.54 79.37% 0.188 -0.0192 0.389
Despicable Theft 2 222 44.55% 35.02 74.32% -0.17 0.5122 -0.484
Elemental Invocation 1 255 52.55% 31.18 67.45% 0.048 0.7792 -0.345
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5360 13.04% 47.84 83.88% 0.797 0.1903 0.429
Powers Long Forgotten 1 656 57.19% 30.95 64.18% -0.126 0.3627 -0.766
Rituals of Terror 3 430 45.77% 39.75 68.6% -0.526 -0.4209 0.169
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 430 72.09% 33.82 54.19% -1.104 -0.1124 -0.978
Second Wave 0 4406 41.19% 28.72 77.44% 0.185 0.248 -0.026
The Great River 3 195 59.28% 31.48 53.33% -1.267 0.0809 -1.268
Varied Terrains 2 63 34.92% 26.38 65.08% -0.283 0.2794 -0.9
Ward the Shores 2 765 41.22% 34.72 60.52% -1.024 0.186 -0.786

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 45344 48.98% 29.33 69.15% -0.214 -0.0043 -0.333
1 Thematic 2673 54.98% 32.71 55.18% -0.033 0.5661 -0.276
2 Archipelago 49 34.69% 27.35 65.31% -0.776 -0.4192 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 17776 41.9% 33.49 78.8% 0.242 0.4023 0.085
2 Coastline 2246 36.11% 32.69 81.48% 0.491 0.5519 -0.239
2 Fragment 506 44.97% 32.31 77.08% 0.765 0.7014 0.159
2 Heart 300 45.36% 29.0 74.67% 0.303 0.0652 -0.469
2 Opposite Shores 3552 32.9% 32.72 83.14% 0.3 0.4336 -0.31
2 Thematic 1689 44.46% 37.69 65.19% -0.518 0.1184 0.353
2 Top to Top 567 38.55% 35.22 82.19% 0.228 0.2683 0.187
3 Archipelago 31 16.13% 43.26 90.32% 0.352 -0.7341 0.527
3 Coastline 138 38.24% 36.17 79.71% -0.154 -0.6524 1.467
3 Other 405 30.05% 32.06 85.93% 1.302 1.4115 0.13
3 Round (Default) 11051 34.78% 35.95 82.22% 0.362 0.3203 0.053
3 Sunrise 84 34.94% 44.19 83.33% 0.656 0.8522 0.871
3 Thematic 446 43.37% 37.8 69.96% -0.789 -0.7532 0.026
4 Archipelago 37 25.0% 40.16 83.78% -0.841 -1.0558 -0.926
4 Coastline 45 31.82% 35.42 93.33% 0.698 0.8204 -0.154
4 Leaf 41 43.9% 31.46 73.17% 0.082 -0.2932 0.238
4 Other 334 32.52% 36.97 85.63% 0.657 -0.1927 0.38
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3842 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0206 0.0
4 Thematic 1637 30.04% 47.46 78.38% 0.282 0.2643 0.308
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7253 28.56% 37.73 85.67% 0.461 0.2749 0.127
5 Archipelago 9 55.56% 41.56 100.0% 0.0 -1.2256 0.0
5 Coastline 28 0.0% 47.21 89.29% -0.2 -0.2427 -0.45
5 Other 333 30.32% 36.63 87.09% 0.325 -0.1836 0.323
5 Thematic 40 45.0% 33.4 75.0% -0.01 -0.3397 0.28
6 Archipelago 37 17.39% 39.89 91.89% 0.327 0.0216 -0.933
6 Coastline 50 14.29% 36.48 96.0% 0.456 -0.1878 0.095
6 Other 149 20.93% 31.12 86.58% -0.054 -0.4483 -0.465
6 Star 82 24.39% 36.11 79.27% -0.642 -0.1669 -0.749
6 Thematic 266 26.04% 33.49 75.19% -1.152 -0.7527 -0.904
6 Two Centers (Default) 572 17.43% 30.47 87.76% -0.498 -0.4546 -0.513
7 Archipelago 6 50.0% 34.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.5893 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 10 40.0% 16.5 30.0% -1.222 -1.9953 -0.581

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3311 30.63 51.68% -0.711 -0.4403 -1.001
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3021 32.52 56.01% -0.586 -0.5474 -0.859
All Things Weaken 1934 32.8 55.27% -0.266 0.195 -0.614
Attenuated Essence 39 26.67 38.46% -0.525 -0.3191 -0.901
Back Against the Wall 2872 32.23 53.38% -0.495 -0.333 -0.928
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 44 20.59 20.45% -1.42 -1.0057 -1.282
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 24.48 51.72% -0.675 -0.3701 -0.343
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3027 27.02 46.09% -0.867 -0.3407 -1.268
Downward Spiral 5237 26.06 53.71% -0.557 -0.2043 -1.138
Erosion of Will 3154 29.13 47.53% -0.486 -0.0773 -1.191
Intensifying Exploitation 33 26.73 54.55% -0.123 0.2639 -0.713
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 763 38.04 80.34% 0.041 -0.4845 0.118
Memory Fades to Dust 5357 25.49 50.21% -0.809 -0.328 -1.154
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1799 30.72 51.81% -0.382 -0.0774 -0.967
Promising Farmlands 2977 27.62 44.88% -1.36 -0.7739 -1.53
Shattered Fragments of Power 30 23.57 40.0% -0.467 -0.2882 -1.284
Slow Dissolution of Will 39 18.41 23.08% -1.492 -0.9586 -1.773
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 484 38.08 84.92% 0.943 0.2648 0.287
The Border of Life and Death 10 28.6 80.0% 0.652 0.5225 -0.214
Thriving Communities 1718 29.13 49.42% -0.603 -0.1099 -1.134
Thriving Crops 19 28.42 57.89% -0.315 -0.2273 -0.037
Tipping Point 955 29.14 48.38% 0.0 -0.1422 -1.217
Unnatural Proliferation 1942 32.0 50.41% -0.094 0.2029 -1.03
Untended Land Crumbles 1762 29.19 49.15% -0.475 -0.1172 -1.302

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 23123 38.84% 33.1 78.15% 0.319 1.1591 0.143
B 25220 37.52% 33.8 79.21% 0.026 0.8048 0.198
C 24713 38.17% 33.95 79.13% 0.312 0.9661 0.428
D 22385 37.06% 33.58 79.71% 0.157 0.9558 0.244
E 12764 41.08% 34.48 76.92% 0.286 0.9145 0.074
F 20573 38.57% 33.18 78.78% 0.136 0.8557 0.388
G 19865 39.94% 32.99 77.99% 0.061 0.8031 0.415
H 20183 38.42% 33.42 79.25% 0.163 0.8109 0.266
East 4918 40.46% 40.29 69.24% -0.812 -0.2078 -0.542
Northeast 3327 38.15% 41.34 70.3% -0.346 0.5345 -0.581
Northwest 2733 36.53% 42.29 72.78% -0.696 -0.0227 -0.552
Southeast 1202 38.53% 37.23 71.13% 0.297 0.9331 0.102
Southwest 1166 42.43% 34.34 65.35% -0.866 0.2981 -0.367
West 4636 41.87% 39.52 66.72% 0.204 1.1681 -0.994

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2859 0.0% 19.78 68.73% -0.971 -0.0876 0.189
Not Using Events or Tokens 8914 37.24% 22.61 74.27% -0.492 -0.1603 -0.752
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2586 17.09% 37.02 87.94% 0.797 0.2621 -0.353
Start of Game Growth 3500 19.62% 36.47 86.89% -0.389 -0.7195 0.222
Unlimited Undo 8941 35.94% 32.94 81.93% 0.149 0.1267 0.42
Using Tokens but Not Events 12282 24.01% 30.01 85.64% 0.447 0.3935 -0.048

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4475 100.0% 36.53 100.0% -0.023 -0.1824 0.175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2102 100.0% 33.85 100.0% -0.168 -0.0461 -0.085
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5144 100.0% 32.67 100.0% 0.278 0.11 -0.278
Downpour Drenches the World 284 100.0% 34.07 100.0% -0.128 0.051 0.075
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 217 100.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.541 -0.1802 -0.493
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5879 100.0% 35.79 100.0% 0.011 -0.5776 0.018
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4929 100.0% 32.46 100.0% -0.173 -0.644 -0.223
Finder of Paths Unseen 163 100.0% 33.53 100.0% 0.069 0.7632 0.158
Fractured Days Split the Sky 733 100.0% 38.43 100.0% -0.895 -0.211 0.135
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 590 100.0% 37.79 100.0% 0.338 0.2371 0.218
Heart of the Wildfire 2740 100.0% 36.19 100.0% -0.475 -0.2305 0.349
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5222 100.0% 40.14 100.0% 0.197 -0.2529 0.623
Lightning's Swift Strike 3419 123.45% 33.05 106.58% 0.028 0.2311 -0.127
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 143 37.32% 32.36 73.43% -0.356 -1.0531 -0.458
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 445 37.3% 39.53 81.35% -0.288 -0.5275 0.711
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 649 30.08% 41.43 83.98% -0.179 -0.3391 0.457
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2347 100.0% 38.48 100.0% -0.194 -0.3389 0.059
Many Minds Move as One 1119 100.0% 35.45 100.0% -0.079 -0.3004 0.518
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10376 100.0% 39.1 100.0% 0.424 0.4147 0.31
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5241 100.0% 33.62 100.0% -0.019 -0.1608 0.231
River Surges in Sunlight 5927 111.04% 38.35 103.48% 0.457 0.4597 0.092
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 786 32.59% 35.43 78.88% -0.244 0.026 -0.619
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 234 38.6% 42.47 82.91% 0.752 0.6231 0.345
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2956 100.0% 37.9 100.0% -0.116 -0.3299 0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1642 131.14% 30.79 112.06% 0.017 0.453 -0.261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 38.57% 29.17 68.06% 0.387 0.3861 -0.355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 80 34.18% 34.38 70.0% -0.402 -0.4104 0.436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 354 39.83% 34.37 77.97% 0.013 -0.0593 0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 366 41.23% 36.64 80.05% 0.078 0.1362 0.488
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3262 101.13% 37.42 100.34% 0.418 0.29 0.099
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 44 15.91% 31.25 75.0% 0.51 0.1473 -0.397
Shifting Memory of Ages 684 100.0% 32.71 100.0% 0.163 0.5699 -0.242
Shroud of Silent Mist 763 100.0% 32.88 100.0% 0.081 0.3957 -0.39
Starlight Seeks its Form 707 100.0% 38.2 100.0% 0.114 -0.1585 0.792
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2382 100.0% 34.85 100.0% 0.013 -0.4817 -0.272
Thunderspeaker 3704 100.51% 40.2 100.59% 0.117 0.0976 0.365
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 33 42.42% 18.52 33.33% -1.063 -1.1258 -1.557
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1405 100.0% 31.59 100.0% -0.008 0.0535 -0.339
Vital Strength of the Earth 2560 109.56% 29.72 104.34% -0.557 -0.0046 -0.097
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 109 39.05% 35.18 75.23% 0.026 0.2816 -0.118
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 311 39.53% 30.15 72.99% 0.114 1.0103 -0.986
Volcano Looming High 1344 100.0% 35.9 100.0% 0.222 0.2322 0.227

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20244 21.03 40.98%
II 43805 31.04 77.16%
III 26924 34.74 89.76%
IV 6835 38.02 99.01%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8293
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23517
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32229
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6715
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1056
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1460
Lose: Adversary condition 6053
Win: Sacrifice victory 197
Lose: Scenario condition 706
Win: Scenario condition 2078
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14957
Lose: Spirit destroyed 547

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.67 Win Model: -0.131

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.218 Win Model: 0.022
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 48150 49.35% 29.53 68.33%
2 26737 40.38% 33.58 78.8%
3 12123 34.83% 35.95 81.99%
4 9389 28.86% 39.44 84.49%
5 253 27.9% 35.0 84.19%
6 1156 20.38% 31.73 84.08%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)