Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 87 20.93% 22.07 63.22% 0.345 0.1248 -0.477
Blitz 0 1355 42.37% 24.93 64.5% -0.206 0.0811 -0.94
Dahan Insurrection 4 2362 23.08% 51.22 75.4% -0.207 -0.3222 0.586
Despicable Theft 2 344 37.43% 29.17 61.63% -0.512 0.226 -1.014
Elemental Invocation 1 364 48.63% 26.59 56.04% -0.781 -0.025 -0.734
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6151 13.2% 47.15 81.84% 0.733 0.1514 0.793
Powers Long Forgotten 1 814 53.64% 28.26 59.71% -0.761 0.0929 -0.741
Rituals of Terror 3 551 40.22% 37.42 68.42% 0.754 0.5834 0.142
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 499 67.94% 31.68 51.7% -0.095 0.8156 -0.8
Second Wave 0 5351 39.76% 27.99 75.67% 0.751 0.8302 0.079
The Great River 3 255 56.69% 28.62 45.49% -0.692 0.6718 -1.487
Varied Terrains 2 139 41.01% 21.12 49.64% -0.659 0.2209 -1.033
Ward the Shores 2 877 39.47% 32.27 56.67% -1.015 -0.033 -0.599

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 55080 47.22% 27.33 65.46% -0.069 0.2749 0.039
1 Thematic 3173 51.96% 30.66 52.1% -0.33 0.1972 0.187
2 Archipelago 64 32.81% 25.27 60.94% -0.224 0.2751 -0.121
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21518 41.25% 31.55 74.21% 0.112 0.3967 0.285
2 Coastline 2767 35.75% 31.13 77.92% 0.377 0.4063 0.168
2 Fragment 605 44.08% 30.77 75.87% 0.504 0.2668 0.479
2 Heart 373 46.15% 29.23 72.65% 0.403 0.2558 0.154
2 Opposite Shores 4236 32.81% 31.32 79.82% 0.345 0.4045 -0.058
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 1994 43.13% 35.07 61.18% -0.04 0.3299 0.467
2 Top to Top 698 37.91% 33.83 78.8% 0.846 0.9693 0.536
3 Archipelago 41 17.07% 38.12 80.49% 0.282 -0.516 0.956
3 Coastline 175 36.42% 33.74 77.14% 0.79 0.2406 1.519
3 Other 482 28.18% 29.88 80.91% -0.928 -1.4657 0.313
3 Round (Default) 13385 35.22% 34.71 79.08% 0.251 0.1585 0.18
3 Sunrise 98 36.08% 41.27 78.57% 0.416 0.5673 0.857
3 Thematic 539 41.26% 34.87 65.86% 0.385 -0.1335 0.112
4 Archipelago 64 24.59% 37.75 73.44% -0.67 -0.2368 -0.46
4 Coastline 56 29.09% 32.3 80.36% -0.423 -1.1832 0.022
4 Leaf 46 43.48% 31.24 73.91% 0.121 -0.0901 0.432
4 Other 375 31.08% 35.61 84.27% 0.692 0.6994 0.391
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1784 30.42% 46.08 76.51% -0.483 -0.3498 0.315
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8600 28.29% 35.32 80.88% -0.267 -0.1604 -0.18
5 Archipelago 11 45.45% 38.82 90.91% 0.315 0.4833 0.0
5 Coastline 47 4.55% 41.32 78.72% 0.899 0.3922 -0.711
5 Other 570 27.86% 31.87 78.95% 0.198 -0.3164 -0.163
5 Thematic 59 38.98% 27.25 55.93% -0.423 -1.4052 -0.326
6 Archipelago 58 15.91% 37.19 75.86% -0.178 -0.9079 -0.779
6 Coastline 72 6.98% 33.29 83.33% 0.338 -0.7014 -1.023
6 Other 246 20.63% 31.39 78.86% -0.953 -0.3175 -0.606
6 Star 131 30.53% 31.73 74.05% -0.693 -0.4485 -0.482
6 Thematic 505 22.82% 25.41 55.45% -1.24 -0.9169 -1.357
6 Two Centers (Default) 1021 17.62% 26.96 75.71% 0.024 -0.0796 -1.194
7 Archipelago 10 40.0% 21.7 60.0% -0.707 -0.1158 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 0.0
7 Other 24 33.33% 11.38 29.17% 0.0 -1.4367 -1.621

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3761 30.12 51.21% -0.036 0.0676 -0.545
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3393 32.24 55.73% 0.264 0.1195 -0.337
All Things Weaken 2289 31.88 54.35% -0.132 0.234 -0.209
Attenuated Essence 251 25.45 45.02% -0.067 -0.0682 -1.021
Back Against the Wall 3195 31.64 53.11% 0.102 0.1673 -0.476
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 249 25.33 42.57% -0.157 0.0782 -0.557
Burn Brightest Before the End 199 25.99 44.72% -0.418 -0.2571 -1.291
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3475 26.51 45.64% -0.427 -0.0514 -0.786
Downward Spiral 6089 25.05 52.32% -0.282 -0.2095 -0.675
Erosion of Will 3548 28.42 46.73% -0.107 0.1495 -0.77
Intensifying Exploitation 238 21.13 40.76% -0.736 -0.4622 -1.064
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 911 36.05 77.72% 0.548 0.0614 0.386
Memory Fades to Dust 6209 24.63 49.17% -0.373 -0.1903 -0.657
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2113 29.7 50.26% -0.537 -0.3239 -0.545
Promising Farmlands 3386 26.86 44.0% -0.41 -0.0869 -1.081
Shattered Fragments of Power 210 27.79 47.62% -0.133 0.0373 -1.063
Slow Dissolution of Will 231 22.43 35.5% -0.425 -0.0415 -1.492
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 564 36.33 81.03% 0.457 -0.2191 0.472
The Border of Life and Death 72 25.58 58.33% 1.065 0.5486 -0.72
Thriving Communities 2058 27.75 47.62% -0.608 -0.2839 -0.733
Thriving Crops 103 25.52 51.46% 0.191 0.1926 -1.067
Tipping Point 955 29.14 48.38% 0.0 0.0 -0.754
Unnatural Proliferation 2266 30.6 49.07% -0.483 -0.2964 -0.679
Untended Land Crumbles 2081 27.96 46.71% -0.552 -0.2125 -0.865

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 28274 37.93% 31.25 74.25% -0.021 0.8421 0.153
B 30611 36.66% 31.77 74.85% -0.24 0.5809 0.145
C 30261 37.11% 31.99 75.08% -0.049 0.6495 0.255
D 27144 36.25% 31.77 75.82% 0.05 0.9058 0.256
E 16923 39.43% 31.88 72.04% 0.073 0.7619 0.042
F 25176 37.51% 31.25 74.56% -0.444 0.374 0.35
G 24274 39.04% 30.95 73.68% -0.154 0.7268 0.338
H 24741 37.91% 31.48 74.8% -0.134 0.647 0.255
East 5911 38.92% 37.09 64.3% -0.602 0.1903 -0.473
Northeast 4008 36.68% 37.93 65.02% -0.428 0.4532 -0.52
Northwest 3292 35.04% 38.66 67.04% 0.224 1.0947 -0.492
Southeast 1673 34.55% 31.98 61.63% -0.409 0.4498 -0.226
Southwest 1639 38.04% 29.3 56.74% -0.411 0.7986 -0.628
West 5571 40.18% 36.3 62.09% -0.505 0.5551 -0.958

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3795 0.0% 17.29 59.87% -1.316 -0.5999 0.789
Not Using Events or Tokens 11639 36.24% 20.33 67.6% -0.268 0.2061 -0.672
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3200 16.65% 35.6 84.16% 0.591 0.0237 0.292
Start of Game Growth 4315 19.05% 34.57 82.71% 0.53 -0.1344 0.185
Unlimited Undo 11126 34.08% 30.68 76.61% -0.037 -0.0137 0.236
Using Tokens but Not Events 15167 23.14% 28.48 81.57% -0.094 -0.0461 -0.18

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5276 28.03% 34.74 80.67% 0.33 0.1331 0.378
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 46 23.91% 36.54 78.26% 1.431 0.7165 1.504
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2401 40.85% 32.13 74.51% -0.514 -0.246 0.002
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 161 40.0% 30.44 70.19% 0.793 0.2257 -0.358
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6307 28.28% 30.56 78.42% 0.025 -0.1056 -0.21
Downpour Drenches the World 620 29.85% 28.91 64.19% 0.438 0.7077 -0.18
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 702 30.62% 29.13 64.53% 0.285 -0.1464 -0.141
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7160 24.73% 33.42 80.67% 0.23 -0.1935 -0.143
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5891 28.78% 30.65 80.12% -0.201 -0.6462 -0.032
Finder of Paths Unseen 362 35.38% 27.12 59.39% -0.648 0.0094 0.269
Fractured Days Split the Sky 951 29.78% 34.35 71.4% -0.742 0.0658 0.082
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 932 38.11% 32.67 70.6% -0.296 -0.4135 -0.088
Heart of the Wildfire 3191 47.51% 34.22 73.49% 0.31 0.5971 0.283
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6069 31.18% 38.52 82.14% 0.037 -0.3563 0.636
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 230 24.02% 24.18 50.87% -0.286 -0.6909 -1.573
Lightning's Swift Strike 4085 32.66% 30.72 76.65% -0.674 -0.4063 -0.369
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 305 34.78% 28.25 65.9% 0.456 0.1046 -0.128
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 564 36.25% 35.85 75.89% 0.632 0.1905 0.896
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 890 27.48% 38.02 75.96% 0.188 0.145 0.51
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2963 40.3% 35.95 74.38% 0.003 -0.2472 0.056
Many Minds Move as One 1415 34.35% 32.55 76.25% -0.409 -0.6394 0.384
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12406 32.97% 37.27 79.49% 0.21 0.1064 0.348
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6306 31.63% 31.42 78.75% -0.308 -0.4643 0.122
River Surges in Sunlight 6668 28.66% 36.88 81.06% -0.386 -0.2969 0.236
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 39 20.51% 23.85 53.85% -0.279 -0.3906 -0.306
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1093 30.23% 33.06 73.65% 0.363 0.7529 -0.505
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 673 33.8% 36.44 69.09% 0.194 0.3311 0.057
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3548 33.37% 35.8 76.04% 0.177 -0.0167 0.098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1854 43.52% 29.33 70.93% -0.245 0.2404 -0.326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 127 36.29% 26.15 66.14% -0.645 -0.5897 -0.451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 150 32.21% 29.05 63.33% 0.355 -0.1134 -0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 160 31.17% 28.67 62.5% -0.342 -0.1266 0.582
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 450 39.59% 33.12 74.0% -0.228 -0.1992 0.344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 426 39.76% 33.69 75.12% 0.569 0.7415 0.65
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3722 34.67% 36.02 79.63% -0.016 -0.1682 0.171
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 268 29.48% 27.97 69.03% 0.581 0.3823 -0.999
Shifting Memory of Ages 1057 37.83% 28.55 71.81% -0.391 0.0579 -0.174
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 58 29.31% 27.78 62.07% 0.291 -0.0136 0.108
Shroud of Silent Mist 1070 38.51% 29.04 70.75% 0.039 0.3751 -0.608
Starlight Seeks its Form 1224 34.76% 34.19 72.79% 0.169 0.1139 0.601
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2902 39.34% 32.66 75.53% -0.243 -0.866 -0.121
Thunderspeaker 4231 29.63% 38.17 80.48% -0.2 -0.2534 0.485
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 148 30.41% 21.16 41.22% 0.41 0.544 -0.863
Towering Roots of the Jungle 108 33.33% 26.69 61.11% 0.044 0.0538 0.471
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1683 55.87% 30.65 67.97% -0.052 0.0304 -0.172
Vital Strength of the Earth 2985 29.22% 28.16 76.08% 0.081 0.6752 0.105
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 304 32.99% 26.98 55.59% -0.284 0.1558 -0.088
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 415 38.6% 26.49 63.37% -1.022 -0.3305 -0.912
Volcano Looming High 1801 41.99% 33.22 73.74% -0.322 -0.219 0.153
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 377 35.11% 27.94 58.09% 0.139 -0.1135 -0.586

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29353 15.45 33.74%
II 50661 30.45 76.17%
III 31034 34.8 89.52%
IV 7917 38.47 99.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9897
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27076
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36850
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7786
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7664
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1661
Lose: Adversary condition 6880
Win: Sacrifice victory 229
Lose: Scenario condition 817
Win: Scenario condition 2276
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17189
Lose: Spirit destroyed 640

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.079 Win Model: -0.126

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.209 Win Model: 0.063
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 58500 47.48% 27.49 64.64%
2 32268 39.81% 31.76 74.72%
3 14676 35.13% 34.6 78.74%
4 10960 28.62% 37.16 80.43%
5 531 25.89% 29.27 72.13%
6 2030 19.84% 27.6 70.79%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)