Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 25.0% 24.81 67.92% 0.101 -0.0391 -0.514
Blitz 0 1239 43.8% 25.67 66.59% -0.181 -0.0696 -0.865
Dahan Insurrection 4 2201 23.03% 52.9 77.6% 0.523 0.2877 0.486
Despicable Theft 2 290 40.97% 30.94 65.86% -0.851 -0.2084 -0.761
Elemental Invocation 1 301 50.17% 28.89 61.79% -1.098 -0.2963 -0.436
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5746 13.3% 47.5 82.89% 1.033 0.2587 0.598
Powers Long Forgotten 1 734 54.86% 29.46 61.58% -0.709 0.0638 -0.751
Rituals of Terror 3 474 44.04% 38.51 67.93% 0.446 0.4623 0.148
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 463 69.76% 32.42 52.48% -0.708 0.3485 -1.014
Second Wave 0 4874 40.74% 28.29 76.32% 0.116 0.196 0.003
The Great River 3 229 59.65% 30.06 47.6% -1.295 -0.1663 -1.439
Varied Terrains 2 102 44.12% 22.91 54.9% -0.086 0.6065 -1.083
Ward the Shores 2 822 40.17% 33.39 58.64% -0.624 0.2387 -0.738

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 49922 48.28% 28.32 67.33% 0.019 0.2199 -0.24
1 Thematic 2934 53.12% 31.57 53.51% -0.235 0.4849 -0.151
2 Archipelago 54 37.04% 27.93 66.67% 0.439 0.6935 -0.239
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19586 41.53% 32.48 76.5% 0.283 0.2912 0.133
2 Coastline 2490 35.71% 31.79 79.76% 0.331 0.1264 -0.097
2 Fragment 549 44.23% 31.82 76.87% 0.836 0.5583 0.307
2 Heart 338 48.63% 29.87 73.67% 0.175 -0.0452 -0.091
2 Opposite Shores 3887 32.76% 31.88 81.19% 0.049 0.1061 -0.275
2 Thematic 1836 43.41% 36.43 63.18% 0.026 0.4777 0.365
2 Top to Top 631 37.95% 34.76 80.51% 0.652 0.5546 0.378
3 Archipelago 38 15.79% 38.68 81.58% 0.446 -0.3458 0.784
3 Coastline 148 38.36% 34.95 78.38% 0.539 -0.0285 1.641
3 Other 440 28.31% 31.03 83.64% -0.037 -0.0658 0.312
3 Round (Default) 12148 34.92% 35.27 80.53% 0.427 0.2015 0.115
3 Sunrise 89 32.95% 42.48 82.02% -0.304 -1.289 0.949
3 Thematic 481 42.5% 36.64 68.19% 0.152 0.349 0.055
4 Archipelago 50 26.53% 43.06 82.0% 0.661 -0.5248 -0.653
4 Coastline 52 27.45% 32.4 82.69% -0.685 -1.2712 -0.128
4 Leaf 42 42.86% 31.21 73.81% 0.0 -0.6987 0.291
4 Other 351 31.5% 36.2 85.19% 0.942 -0.415 0.362
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1795 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1703 29.93% 46.84 77.75% -0.1 -0.2986 0.378
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7854 28.56% 36.57 83.61% 0.076 -0.1679 0.018
5 Archipelago 9 55.56% 41.56 100.0% 0.0 0.3165 0.0
5 Coastline 40 2.7% 44.77 85.0% 0.0 0.1933 -0.389
5 Other 447 30.02% 33.56 82.55% 0.45 -0.6073 0.026
5 Thematic 44 40.91% 30.36 68.18% -0.295 -0.7734 0.02
6 Archipelago 44 16.67% 36.95 84.09% 0.07 -0.6661 -0.492
6 Coastline 68 7.69% 32.87 83.82% -1.104 -1.3444 -0.99
6 Other 197 22.86% 32.92 84.26% 0.877 0.1401 -0.22
6 Star 119 31.93% 31.43 73.95% -0.369 -0.4261 -0.42
6 Thematic 378 25.2% 28.0 60.05% -1.916 -1.1617 -1.207
6 Two Centers (Default) 824 17.09% 28.55 80.22% -0.538 -1.1174 -0.714
7 Archipelago 9 33.33% 23.22 66.67% -0.408 0.3683 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0521 0.0
7 Other 18 22.22% 11.17 22.22% -0.681 -1.0932 -1.707

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3545 30.26 51.23% -0.094 0.066 -0.805
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3213 32.31 55.87% 0.337 0.2503 -0.603
All Things Weaken 2103 32.23 54.68% -0.244 0.0981 -0.455
Attenuated Essence 141 25.16 39.01% -0.454 -0.3803 -1.272
Back Against the Wall 3054 31.86 53.14% -0.255 -0.1802 -0.746
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 130 24.67 36.15% -0.496 -0.3051 -0.854
Burn Brightest Before the End 113 25.36 44.25% -0.517 -0.3935 -1.298
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3256 26.71 45.92% -0.244 0.1284 -1.059
Downward Spiral 5633 25.52 52.87% -0.367 -0.2302 -0.913
Erosion of Will 3340 28.77 47.1% -0.564 -0.2695 -1.011
Intensifying Exploitation 135 22.09 43.7% -0.709 -0.4709 -0.91
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 833 37.09 79.35% 0.628 0.0959 0.233
Memory Fades to Dust 5773 25.03 49.66% -0.665 -0.3846 -0.903
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1963 30.15 51.2% -0.019 0.134 -0.741
Promising Farmlands 3159 27.15 44.32% -0.797 -0.4505 -1.327
Shattered Fragments of Power 124 26.28 50.0% 0.702 0.897 -1.306
Slow Dissolution of Will 127 21.28 36.22% -0.259 0.1924 -1.686
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 528 36.75 81.63% 0.145 -0.5957 0.221
The Border of Life and Death 38 22.66 50.0% -0.681 -1.1136 -1.286
Thriving Communities 1891 28.42 48.65% -0.615 -0.3168 -0.936
Thriving Crops 54 26.69 57.41% 0.774 0.6711 -0.718
Tipping Point 955 29.14 48.38% 0.0 0.5571 -1.009
Unnatural Proliferation 2078 31.4 49.86% -0.817 -0.6718 -0.849
Untended Land Crumbles 1893 28.82 48.23% -0.524 -0.2244 -1.07

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 25622 38.22% 32.1 76.17% -0.029 0.9649 0.143
B 27823 37.13% 32.73 77.0% -0.184 0.7337 0.199
C 27364 37.76% 32.97 77.15% 0.057 0.7991 0.404
D 24731 36.65% 32.62 77.65% -0.075 0.8769 0.231
E 14791 40.12% 33.05 74.26% 0.057 0.8377 0.022
F 22789 38.07% 32.2 76.77% -0.044 0.8484 0.393
G 21945 39.46% 31.95 75.89% -0.15 0.7051 0.359
H 22299 38.18% 32.46 77.18% -0.091 0.7569 0.279
East 5401 39.51% 38.59 66.54% -0.155 0.6147 -0.524
Northeast 3660 37.5% 39.57 67.51% -0.629 0.1586 -0.514
Northwest 3002 35.79% 40.43 69.62% -0.521 0.463 -0.547
Southeast 1409 36.13% 34.11 64.94% -0.796 0.0787 -0.11
Southwest 1369 39.71% 31.41 59.97% -0.23 0.9781 -0.513
West 5058 40.89% 37.89 64.23% -0.383 0.5508 -0.967

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3336 0.0% 18.31 63.82% -1.392 -0.7629 0.418
Not Using Events or Tokens 10187 36.94% 21.4 70.68% -0.067 0.439 -0.708
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2914 16.89% 36.3 85.96% 0.866 0.2306 -0.073
Start of Game Growth 3928 19.5% 35.37 84.57% -0.037 -0.4265 0.252
Unlimited Undo 9970 35.15% 31.83 79.57% 0.235 0.2796 0.437
Using Tokens but Not Events 13724 23.55% 29.2 83.77% 0.499 0.472 -0.137

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4922 100.0% 35.51 100.0% 0.325 0.2029 0.307
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2295 101.0% 32.59 100.61% 0.206 0.4465 -0.061
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 51 54.9% 31.18 72.55% 0.744 -0.257 -0.302
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5652 100.0% 31.58 100.0% -0.036 -0.2634 -0.26
Downpour Drenches the World 427 100.0% 30.46 100.0% 0.221 0.5466 -0.096
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 463 100.0% 30.53 100.0% 0.06 -0.4398 0.349
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6409 100.0% 34.64 100.0% 0.149 -0.3121 0.105
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5410 100.0% 31.44 100.0% 0.269 -0.1608 -0.133
Finder of Paths Unseen 275 100.0% 29.88 100.0% -0.005 0.8176 0.312
Fractured Days Split the Sky 851 100.0% 36.22 100.0% -0.63 -0.0325 0.17
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 765 100.0% 34.48 100.0% -0.365 -0.3661 -0.026
Heart of the Wildfire 2961 100.0% 35.19 100.0% 0.297 0.6812 0.342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5636 100.99% 39.47 100.64% 0.186 -0.3087 0.728
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 69 18.84% 23.71 47.83% 0.214 -0.3328 -0.872
Lightning's Swift Strike 3737 126.51% 32.09 109.15% -0.113 0.0699 -0.038
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 226 34.84% 29.59 68.58% 0.334 -0.2033 -0.208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 506 35.63% 37.14 77.87% 0.408 0.1169 0.753
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 768 28.27% 39.22 79.3% 0.196 0.0484 0.474
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2640 100.0% 37.27 100.0% 0.008 -0.2434 0.084
Many Minds Move as One 1239 100.0% 34.08 100.0% -0.472 -0.6295 0.458
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11383 100.0% 38.05 100.0% 0.188 0.199 0.342
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5749 100.0% 32.52 100.0% 0.119 -0.027 0.293
River Surges in Sunlight 6324 114.48% 37.59 105.58% 0.119 0.1564 0.17
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 946 31.3% 33.34 74.95% -0.081 0.1787 -0.526
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 448 34.01% 38.09 74.11% 0.151 0.1 0.34
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3277 100.0% 36.76 100.0% 0.027 -0.1473 0.122
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1755 136.09% 30.01 115.95% -0.423 0.1894 -0.372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 34.78% 27.15 67.37% 0.274 0.378 -0.623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 38.89% 24.14 55.56% -0.083 -0.6644 -0.309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 128 31.71% 30.71 64.84% 0.111 0.1572 0.554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 403 38.89% 33.58 75.93% -0.011 0.0693 0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 398 39.85% 34.87 77.14% -0.295 -0.0869 0.592
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3503 103.25% 36.6 101.43% 0.263 0.342 0.119
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 155 26.45% 29.46 67.74% 0.398 0.076 -0.972
Shifting Memory of Ages 879 100.0% 30.54 100.0% 0.176 0.4409 -0.06
Shroud of Silent Mist 926 100.0% 30.72 100.0% -0.402 -0.0345 -0.501
Starlight Seeks its Form 953 100.0% 35.54 100.0% 0.063 -0.1648 0.598
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2648 100.0% 33.66 100.0% -0.093 -0.4489 -0.134
Thunderspeaker 3995 101.63% 39.06 101.48% -0.051 -0.0219 0.393
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 96 32.29% 21.88 38.54% -0.574 -0.3342 -1.085
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1549 100.0% 31.27 100.0% -0.122 0.0688 -0.214
Vital Strength of the Earth 2789 111.81% 28.76 107.42% -0.138 0.4194 0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 210 38.42% 27.71 56.19% -0.883 -0.4733 -0.338
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 360 40.0% 28.24 68.06% -1.153 -0.425 -0.882
Volcano Looming High 1562 100.0% 34.56 100.0% 0.084 0.1032 0.229
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 116 100.0% 31.22 100.0% 0.422 -0.1715 -0.152

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24475 17.67 37.0%
II 47150 30.7 76.74%
III 28887 34.75 89.61%
IV 7347 38.22 99.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9052
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25216
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 34511
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7219
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4090
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1545
Lose: Adversary condition 6427
Win: Sacrifice victory 212
Lose: Scenario condition 765
Win: Scenario condition 2188
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16043
Lose: Spirit destroyed 591

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.729 Win Model: -0.103

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.211 Win Model: 0.08
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 53041 48.56% 28.49 66.49%
2 29410 40.04% 32.65 76.75%
3 13303 34.87% 35.22 80.3%
4 10085 28.8% 38.37 82.81%
5 386 27.4% 31.53 78.24%
6 1634 20.39% 29.09 75.03%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)