Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 28.57% 26.86 100.0% 0.812 1.2524 0.0
Blitz 0 1113 40.4% 32.36 66.49% -0.866 -0.6104 -1.126
Dahan Insurrection 4 751 36.8% 48.84 60.19% -0.258 0.0437 -0.481
Despicable Theft 2 110 50.0% 33.65 64.55% -0.417 0.1282 -0.281
Elemental Invocation 1 473 49.68% 32.44 60.68% -0.875 -0.2638 -0.735
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5277 19.71% 47.56 73.03% -0.786 -0.5914 -0.104
Powers Long Forgotten 1 357 57.3% 33.3 63.59% -0.611 -0.3655 -0.263
Rituals of Terror 3 493 36.53% 65.22 69.57% 2.421 1.5848 0.276
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 463 70.35% 36.32 68.68% -0.949 -0.4232 -0.868
Second Wave 0 3722 38.87% 28.31 78.75% -0.551 0.0218 -0.044
The Great River 3 183 45.36% 30.6 57.38% -2.02 -0.3812 -1.789
Varied Terrains 2 54 50.0% 31.85 64.81% -1.093 -0.3472 -0.501
Ward the Shores 2 392 41.21% 32.12 61.22% 0.168 1.2228 -1.018

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 70516 38.35% 37.45 73.67% 0.434 0.8794 -0.697
1 Thematic 2864 39.42% 35.07 70.08% -0.125 0.5073 -0.765
2 Archipelago 36 41.67% 34.75 80.56% -0.554 -0.5407 -0.07
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15770 51.79% 33.03 70.93% -0.23 0.1149 -0.76
2 Coastline 2310 47.3% 33.58 72.42% 0.07 0.1529 -0.677
2 Fragment 499 56.74% 37.31 72.14% 0.489 0.5767 0.439
2 Heart 291 51.2% 31.97 68.73% -0.196 0.4154 -0.527
2 Opposite Shores 3544 48.01% 29.98 68.57% -0.627 -0.2488 -1.475
2 Thematic 1137 53.48% 33.55 64.91% -0.346 0.1717 -1.111
2 Top to Top 541 49.17% 33.94 69.32% 0.097 0.236 -0.807
3 Archipelago 20 45.0% 33.5 75.0% 0.193 -0.7842 -0.823
3 Coastline 96 41.05% 35.59 73.96% 0.322 -0.3274 -0.127
3 Other 570 44.21% 33.06 77.89% 0.218 -0.8537 -0.57
3 Round (Default) 9595 45.03% 35.08 75.29% -0.275 -0.0825 -0.549
3 Sunrise 33 54.55% 41.61 78.79% 0.0 0.3199 0.924
3 Thematic 404 51.12% 42.53 69.31% -0.506 -0.7512 -0.196
4 Archipelago 39 40.54% 37.03 82.05% -0.247 -0.6491 0.65
4 Coastline 40 37.5% 38.55 87.5% 0.179 0.3768 0.467
4 Leaf 31 53.33% 31.32 54.84% 0.258 0.7486 -0.455
4 Other 454 40.71% 34.66 81.28% 0.346 -0.1946 -0.043
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1448 33.29% 47.84 78.04% 0.948 0.9537 0.452
4 Trapezoid (Default) 6028 39.52% 35.44 76.46% -0.482 -0.6229 -0.466
5 Archipelago 13 69.23% 35.08 76.92% 0.0 -0.3169 0.0
5 Coastline 8 25.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.499 0.2416 1.119
5 Other 315 36.62% 36.7 87.62% -0.094 -0.2696 0.335
5 Thematic 64 37.5% 48.33 89.06% -0.065 -0.0999 1.292
6 Archipelago 21 28.57% 42.24 95.24% 0.189 -0.5619 0.073
6 Coastline 10 10.0% 54.6 100.0% 0.023 -0.6846 0.853
6 Other 94 33.7% 33.63 79.79% -0.215 0.4821 -0.51
6 Star 71 28.17% 35.79 76.06% -0.474 0.0581 -0.139
6 Thematic 293 21.23% 43.65 81.57% -0.958 -0.4594 0.442
6 Two Centers (Default) 249 35.89% 35.74 85.54% -0.926 -0.7003 -0.495
7 Archipelago 10 40.0% 55.3 100.0% 0.0 -0.7346 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 7 42.86% 40.14 100.0% 0.376 -0.3952 0.323

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3419 33.64 54.26% -1.334 0.5755 -0.671
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2911 35.96 59.02% -1.269 0.4163 -0.49
All Things Weaken 3729 32.45 53.18% -1.518 0.4814 -0.72
Back Against the Wall 3055 34.68 55.09% -1.596 0.3515 -0.527
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3213 30.63 51.32% -1.42 0.6452 -0.859
Downward Spiral 3727 32.82 58.55% -1.264 0.699 -0.611
Erosion of Will 3311 32.98 52.16% -1.483 0.6243 -0.866
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1738 37.82 74.4% -0.502 0.1139 -0.124
Memory Fades to Dust 3689 32.21 55.9% -1.073 0.9844 -0.745
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3651 32.87 56.29% -1.782 0.1963 -0.667
Promising Farmlands 3239 31.68 52.11% -1.665 0.4372 -0.823
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1292 38.86 80.42% -0.129 0.2002 0.268
Thriving Communities 3729 31.48 53.39% -1.239 0.811 -0.733
Unnatural Proliferation 4011 35.13 59.06% -1.252 0.6921 -0.427
Untended Land Crumbles 3744 30.26 49.97% -1.325 0.7016 -0.918

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 22703 43.47% 34.8 74.07% -0.23 0.5297 -0.005
B 24641 42.84% 34.57 73.46% -0.089 0.5871 -0.11
C 30525 40.7% 37.33 74.3% 0.134 0.6591 0.011
D 21777 44.93% 33.81 73.17% -0.183 0.5431 -0.132
E 21480 42.68% 35.57 74.28% 0.224 0.7844 0.07
F 21356 42.22% 36.1 74.71% 0.189 0.879 0.08
G 18324 43.01% 35.3 73.83% 0.181 0.8762 0.085
H 18151 43.71% 35.37 73.89% -0.034 0.6263 -0.002
East 4305 40.42% 40.96 72.64% -0.702 -0.0224 -0.842
Northeast 2479 39.14% 43.79 73.62% 0.639 1.2091 -0.195
Northwest 2216 36.8% 42.74 73.74% -0.544 0.2981 -0.742
Southeast 1704 35.96% 39.33 75.35% -0.004 0.5228 -0.496
Southwest 1619 35.95% 37.99 73.75% -0.135 0.8067 -1.066
West 4079 39.52% 40.22 71.32% 0.054 1.0538 -1.042

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 768 0.0% 22.08 84.9% -0.921 1.1981 -1.761
Not Using Events or Tokens 56 41.67% 25.63 83.93% -0.839 -0.5982 1.031
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3841 10.53% 48.48 90.6% 0.979 0.6098 0.249
Start of Game Growth 6008 14.13% 47.13 87.45% -0.454 -1.0764 0.069
Unlimited Undo 11293 30.79% 40.68 83.34% 0.601 -0.0294 0.411
Using Tokens but Not Events 11757 28.5% 31.37 81.42% -0.131 -0.0874 -0.383

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6106 100.0% 38.1 100.0% 0.25 0.2021 0.247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1325 100.0% 35.79 100.0% -0.144 -0.0801 -0.317
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2138 100.0% 32.8 100.0% -0.333 -0.5709 -0.385
Downpour Drenches the World 235 100.0% 35.89 100.0% 0.222 0.6139 -0.136
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2941 100.0% 35.67 100.0% 0.027 -0.3883 -0.038
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2361 100.0% 35.57 100.0% 0.54 -0.0545 0.193
Finder of Paths Unseen 295 100.0% 38.61 100.0% -0.023 0.3811 0.931
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1267 100.0% 38.42 100.0% -0.13 -0.0879 -0.061
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 738 100.0% 33.67 100.0% -0.518 -0.5351 -0.173
Heart of the Wildfire 4442 100.0% 32.09 100.0% -0.219 0.1092 -0.29
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6831 100.0% 38.04 100.0% 0.351 -0.2834 0.263
Lightning's Swift Strike 1858 145.52% 32.27 122.01% -0.224 0.0492 -0.248
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 116 43.1% 44.07 77.59% 0.143 -0.6895 -0.473
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 639 39.25% 39.69 78.72% -0.15 -0.7221 0.627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 808 50.68% 32.68 69.43% -1.056 -1.4804 0.102
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3684 100.0% 38.75 100.0% 0.434 0.2266 0.125
Many Minds Move as One 2301 100.0% 37.9 100.0% 0.124 -0.3888 0.57
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3274 100.0% 36.81 100.0% 0.088 -0.195 0.04
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2285 100.0% 34.14 100.0% -0.006 0.0266 -0.096
River Surges in Sunlight 2904 116.47% 37.03 109.09% -0.186 -0.1799 0.1
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 727 44.69% 33.89 71.39% 0.085 0.5297 -0.465
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 171 50.88% 42.6 67.25% -0.15 -0.3933 0.281
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3047 100.0% 36.66 100.0% 0.045 -0.0987 -0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 795 151.56% 28.62 125.41% -0.019 0.4826 -0.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 43 37.21% 35.42 76.74% -0.035 0.1033 0.522
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 58.18% 46.82 78.18% 0.439 0.3614 0.293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 410 45.45% 34.98 74.15% 0.208 0.2057 -0.39
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 285 50.7% 31.49 74.04% 0.141 0.2105 -0.093
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2805 100.0% 40.38 100.0% 0.536 0.2748 0.454
Shifting Memory of Ages 916 100.0% 32.28 100.0% 0.285 0.3074 -0.007
Shroud of Silent Mist 903 100.0% 30.33 100.0% -0.274 -0.0296 -0.171
Starlight Seeks its Form 1040 100.0% 36.68 100.0% 0.002 -0.2095 0.54
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2224 100.0% 35.22 100.0% 0.136 0.2467 0.34
Thunderspeaker 2299 100.0% 34.86 100.0% 0.555 0.4595 -0.156
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 6443 100.0% 29.62 100.0% -0.191 -0.288 -0.515
Vital Strength of the Earth 1533 124.82% 28.32 114.94% -0.744 0.1389 -0.941
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 102 29.41% 43.52 80.39% 0.308 0.7083 0.688
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 602 48.5% 35.4 65.28% -0.394 0.6484 -0.738
Volcano Looming High 2758 100.0% 34.07 100.0% 0.029 0.014 -0.414

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.63%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 68.8%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.84%
Stubborn Solidity 92.45%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16491 22.62 7.71%
II 45168 31.05 73.1%
III 39506 34.62 90.31%
IV 16283 37.86 99.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1269
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35111
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32448
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16037
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1982
Lose: Adversary condition 14928
Win: Sacrifice victory 643
Lose: Scenario condition 1234
Win: Scenario condition 691
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12781
Lose: Spirit destroyed 324

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.533 Win Model: -0.214

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.107 Win Model: 0.255
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 73863 38.4% 37.35 73.55%
2 24013 51.11% 32.88 70.44%
3 10669 44.95% 35.65 75.4%
4 7996 38.5% 36.86 76.96%
5 168 33.53% 34.82 86.9%
6 739 28.57% 39.13 82.81%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-09-29 02:31:34 (Pacific Time)