Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 97 26.8% 28.22 77.32% 0.914 0.7277 0.884
Blitz 0 1419 37.84% 31.03 62.37% -0.703 -0.5716 -1.01
Dahan Insurrection 4 967 32.57% 43.36 54.29% -1.096 -1.3515 -0.436
Despicable Theft 2 182 42.31% 26.12 51.1% -1.163 -0.622 -0.762
Elemental Invocation 1 706 50.85% 29.99 50.71% -0.919 -0.0622 -1.341
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6456 19.19% 46.86 71.79% 0.686 -0.0852 0.045
Powers Long Forgotten 1 451 49.56% 29.24 56.76% -1.421 -0.4858 -0.246
Rituals of Terror 3 743 28.38% 75.55 69.99% 1.089 1.1852 0.436
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 583 66.15% 34.17 65.87% -0.957 0.2393 -0.833
Second Wave 0 4796 37.56% 28.21 77.23% 0.238 0.3239 -0.149
The Great River 3 268 42.16% 28.09 50.75% -0.912 0.4494 -1.857
Varied Terrains 2 210 45.71% 24.55 50.48% -0.518 0.2705 -1.141
Ward the Shores 2 487 39.16% 29.21 56.47% -0.954 0.0778 -1.276

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 88982 37.7% 36.28 70.84% 0.216 0.4075 -0.452
1 Thematic 3439 37.12% 33.28 66.62% -0.267 0.3781 -0.436
2 Archipelago 72 34.72% 32.6 65.28% -0.448 -0.0164 -0.939
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 20049 49.6% 31.62 68.42% -0.175 -0.1782 -0.686
2 Coastline 3058 45.68% 31.23 67.76% -0.292 -0.2361 -0.74
2 Fragment 631 56.69% 34.3 67.99% 0.124 -0.1421 0.342
2 Heart 374 54.01% 31.57 63.37% -1.091 -1.13 -0.607
2 Opposite Shores 4513 47.47% 29.12 65.81% -0.356 -0.3421 -1.267
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.7199 0.0
2 Thematic 1479 49.36% 32.67 60.18% -0.5 -0.3029 -0.816
2 Top to Top 718 49.51% 33.08 66.57% -0.543 -0.641 -0.635
3 Archipelago 57 50.88% 40.6 75.44% 0.882 0.4349 0.17
3 Coastline 116 37.39% 33.48 70.69% 0.628 -0.396 -0.046
3 Other 719 39.28% 30.0 71.77% 0.145 -0.2476 -0.629
3 Round (Default) 13080 44.98% 33.47 70.23% -0.164 -0.4995 -0.637
3 Sunrise 42 54.76% 37.67 69.05% 0.051 0.2937 1.044
3 Thematic 604 39.64% 56.31 67.72% 0.841 0.5569 -0.248
4 Archipelago 55 47.17% 38.44 80.0% 0.545 0.388 0.459
4 Coastline 45 35.56% 36.31 84.44% 0.149 -0.7895 0.472
4 Leaf 51 60.0% 29.88 56.86% -0.258 -0.4057 -0.863
4 Other 523 41.65% 33.38 79.16% 0.112 -1.2177 0.01
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 100.0% 0.0 0.3516 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.1011 0.0
4 Thematic 1653 33.7% 46.97 76.23% 0.373 0.2938 0.422
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7774 38.09% 33.38 73.19% -0.055 -0.2112 -0.662
5 Archipelago 22 77.27% 34.5 72.73% -0.517 0.1575 -0.781
5 Coastline 20 10.0% 46.65 90.0% 0.927 0.0152 0.526
5 Other 575 37.26% 31.58 78.96% 0.576 -0.4988 0.258
5 Thematic 89 34.83% 44.06 77.53% -0.306 -0.3127 1.118
6 Archipelago 47 23.4% 32.66 65.96% -0.071 -1.37 -0.704
6 Coastline 20 15.0% 44.05 80.0% 0.221 -0.5268 0.381
6 Other 190 37.23% 29.69 68.95% -0.403 -0.6065 0.178
6 Star 158 29.11% 31.55 70.25% 0.912 1.0117 0.438
6 Thematic 787 18.49% 33.89 57.31% -1.149 -0.5001 -0.331
6 Two Centers (Default) 731 28.65% 29.79 71.14% 0.073 -0.2617 -0.254
7 Archipelago 16 31.25% 48.44 81.25% -0.22 -0.1599 0.335
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 21 23.81% 19.81 57.14% -0.835 -0.4393 0.17

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4069 33.36 54.19% 0.07 0.1992 -0.495
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3487 35.54 57.59% -0.184 -0.3028 -0.343
All Things Weaken 4513 31.73 51.67% -0.446 -0.1387 -0.58
Attenuated Essence 334 30.39 48.5% -0.357 -0.3253 -0.723
Back Against the Wall 3617 34.39 54.38% -0.101 -0.071 -0.37
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 349 33.4 50.14% -0.286 -0.1004 -0.58
Burn Brightest Before the End 277 32.02 45.49% 0.332 0.4024 -0.527
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3871 30.32 50.5% -0.21 0.1662 -0.66
Downward Spiral 4567 32.37 57.5% 0.063 0.2289 -0.402
Erosion of Will 3912 32.51 51.28% -0.155 0.0598 -0.712
Intensifying Exploitation 353 28.37 46.46% 0.183 0.4244 -0.824
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2098 37.61 73.21% 0.863 0.2818 0.06
Memory Fades to Dust 4485 31.6 54.67% -0.148 0.1444 -0.597
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4430 32.03 54.06% -0.31 -0.1486 -0.552
Promising Farmlands 3864 31.18 51.16% 0.145 0.441 -0.671
Shattered Fragments of Power 320 33.94 51.56% 0.221 0.3095 -0.458
Slow Dissolution of Will 332 29.24 43.67% -0.07 0.3234 -0.943
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1575 38.52 78.79% 0.753 0.0412 0.412
The Border of Life and Death 134 31.62 54.48% 0.188 -0.2911 -0.203
Thriving Communities 4532 30.83 52.14% 0.058 0.3577 -0.554
Thriving Crops 196 34.64 58.16% 0.086 -0.0157 -0.139
Unnatural Proliferation 4848 34.77 58.19% 0.09 0.259 -0.272
Untended Land Crumbles 4489 29.85 49.12% -0.172 0.086 -0.753

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 30012 42.22% 33.01 70.33% -0.546 0.597 -0.051
B 32331 41.99% 32.96 69.88% -0.467 0.5877 -0.131
C 40065 39.52% 35.73 71.0% -0.313 0.5754 -0.004
D 28414 43.69% 32.16 69.41% -0.5 0.554 -0.179
E 28272 41.35% 33.79 70.81% -0.387 0.5177 0.053
F 28031 41.12% 34.54 71.33% -0.267 0.737 0.12
G 24057 41.94% 33.85 70.55% -0.173 0.7952 0.067
H 23410 42.59% 33.87 70.55% -0.193 0.7994 -0.001
East 5812 36.17% 40.02 67.03% -0.357 0.6313 -0.871
Northeast 3561 33.13% 43.5 67.59% 0.442 1.3913 -0.198
Northwest 3105 32.93% 39.7 67.05% -0.518 0.5237 -0.792
Southeast 2499 31.26% 35.43 65.27% -0.478 0.4398 -0.379
Southwest 2403 32.28% 34.07 63.92% -0.598 0.8592 -1.511
West 5517 36.04% 39.07 65.49% -0.355 0.7519 -1.062

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1050 0.0% 23.58 80.95% -0.25 0.4132 -0.291
Not Using Events or Tokens 85 38.36% 24.06 78.82% -0.124 0.3698 0.992
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4641 10.48% 46.92 86.96% 1.938 1.315 0.026
Start of Game Growth 7434 14.38% 45.72 83.8% -0.063 -0.4754 0.275
Unlimited Undo 14551 29.92% 38.38 78.26% -0.007 -0.102 0.342
Using Tokens but Not Events 15929 28.47% 30.16 76.19% -0.248 -0.173 -0.391

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7881 34.73% 36.34 72.4% 0.057 0.0215 0.329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1688 49.25% 34.43 67.77% -0.243 -0.0847 -0.215
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 123 26.02% 16.2 33.33% -0.447 -1.4599 0.176
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2726 41.75% 31.05 71.2% -0.021 -0.2333 -0.366
Downpour Drenches the World 914 32.64% 28.63 59.85% 0.268 0.5154 -0.137
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1153 33.25% 29.71 62.53% 0.255 -0.3077 -0.203
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3766 36.41% 34.07 75.78% 0.114 -0.3655 0.015
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3041 36.43% 34.3 74.05% 0.765 0.3584 0.38
Finder of Paths Unseen 909 34.73% 31.49 64.14% -0.073 0.6895 0.428
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1780 36.39% 34.88 67.02% -0.279 0.3829 -0.044
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1525 43.36% 28.86 64.66% -0.147 -0.1499 -0.229
Heart of the Wildfire 5591 58.16% 30.23 62.44% -0.556 -0.1863 -0.275
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8933 35.19% 36.18 74.82% 0.139 -0.2876 0.389
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 175 25.71% 27.63 49.71% 0.366 -0.1271 -0.724
Lightning's Swift Strike 2356 44.84% 30.32 71.18% -0.137 0.0764 -0.19
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 480 47.08% 37.55 60.83% 0.433 -0.1828 -0.118
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 862 36.32% 35.6 71.69% -0.646 -0.9316 0.608
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1062 47.73% 30.79 63.47% -0.46 -0.5622 0.233
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5087 40.09% 36.72 72.46% -0.133 -0.3792 0.164
Many Minds Move as One 3092 35.64% 39.63 77.55% 0.375 0.214 0.79
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4211 40.26% 34.05 70.77% -0.266 -0.2316 0.151
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2945 43.9% 32.27 71.41% -0.203 -0.3702 0.099
River Surges in Sunlight 3684 38.2% 34.15 72.86% 0.221 0.2486 0.252
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 997 41.18% 31.54 65.7% -0.468 -0.1293 -0.512
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 606 44.21% 39.39 67.82% 0.376 0.3449 0.557
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3892 41.07% 34.89 71.38% 0.269 0.1585 -0.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 949 52.87% 27.56 67.97% -0.528 0.0475 -0.164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 48.42% 29.74 63.16% -0.695 -0.6715 0.428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 126 38.1% 33.5 71.43% 0.892 0.4397 0.12
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 126 41.6% 34.86 64.29% 0.496 0.7316 0.115
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 523 43.44% 32.76 71.89% 0.656 0.569 -0.141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 357 49.16% 29.73 71.99% 0.16 0.355 0.257
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3422 34.28% 39.07 77.76% 0.124 0.1024 0.543
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 348 31.7% 33.09 64.37% 0.435 0.1028 0.312
Shifting Memory of Ages 1657 45.75% 28.47 63.85% -0.355 -0.0735 -0.2
Shroud of Silent Mist 1382 45.88% 26.96 66.5% -0.096 0.1769 -0.442
Starlight Seeks its Form 2014 33.4% 33.39 71.75% 0.216 -0.0038 0.185
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2739 39.52% 33.35 76.71% 0.326 0.4482 0.479
Thunderspeaker 3314 36.56% 32.31 70.94% -0.141 -0.1227 -0.062
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 140 38.85% 23.41 42.86% 0.44 0.6443 -0.593
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 7486 62.64% 28.79 63.45% -0.526 -0.3512 -0.379
Vital Strength of the Earth 1956 38.39% 27.24 72.24% -0.121 0.4513 -0.763
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 405 36.82% 34.3 63.21% -0.195 0.1864 -0.222
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 740 47.83% 32.74 60.68% -0.754 0.0034 -0.504
Volcano Looming High 3775 46.51% 31.41 66.78% -0.287 -0.3136 -0.243
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 359 36.49% 26.63 55.43% 0.227 -0.3068 -0.468

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.54%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 68.64%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.7%
Stubborn Solidity 92.64%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 26337 16.77 5.9%
II 55673 30.59 72.32%
III 48591 34.74 90.26%
IV 20199 38.3 99.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1551
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43178
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 39606
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19811
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6953
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2336
Lose: Adversary condition 18214
Win: Sacrifice victory 867
Lose: Scenario condition 1430
Win: Scenario condition 799
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15618
Lose: Spirit destroyed 437

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.992 Win Model: -0.102

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.308 Win Model: -0.086
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 93079 37.68% 36.16 70.7%
2 30831 49.09% 31.83 67.5%
3 14470 44.5% 33.96 70.3%
4 10006 37.83% 34.8 74.07%
5 467 35.14% 28.82 73.23%
6 1947 24.99% 31.81 65.18%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)