Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 142 27.46% 26.72 73.94% -0.161 0.03 1.057
Blitz 0 1632 37.0% 29.79 60.42% -0.358 -0.1401 -0.976
Dahan Insurrection 4 1193 31.09% 40.51 50.38% -0.384 -0.6373 -0.432
Despicable Theft 2 266 37.22% 22.48 44.36% -1.829 -1.2425 -0.88
Elemental Invocation 1 846 47.28% 27.97 49.65% -1.295 -0.5556 -1.387
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7565 19.31% 46.18 70.61% 0.432 -0.1299 0.055
Powers Long Forgotten 1 570 45.52% 26.16 51.93% -1.48 -0.7199 -0.356
Rituals of Terror 3 1120 23.57% 81.68 69.55% 1.681 1.8012 0.65
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 696 63.17% 32.6 63.79% -0.404 0.5031 -0.923
Second Wave 0 5814 37.15% 28.13 76.01% 0.047 0.1852 -0.155
The Great River 3 335 40.9% 26.34 48.36% -0.698 0.4022 -1.999
Varied Terrains 2 325 43.38% 22.41 45.85% -0.343 0.4331 -1.324
Ward the Shores 2 598 37.44% 26.56 51.84% -0.929 0.1451 -1.378

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 108903 37.26% 35.88 69.32% 0.212 0.5443 -0.256
1 Thematic 4053 35.79% 31.98 65.53% 0.1 0.7858 -0.27
2 Archipelago 104 36.54% 29.37 52.88% -0.863 -0.2555 -0.943
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24418 48.39% 30.56 66.2% 0.22 0.34 -0.669
2 Coastline 3688 45.03% 30.16 65.75% 0.238 0.1655 -0.725
2 Fragment 735 53.55% 33.1 67.62% 0.596 0.411 0.449
2 Heart 443 52.14% 31.99 64.56% 0.318 0.1607 -0.265
2 Opposite Shores 5586 46.58% 27.98 63.28% -0.197 -0.0458 -1.175
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.66 0.4214 0.0
2 Thematic 1945 44.31% 31.23 57.38% -0.567 -0.0587 -0.713
2 Top to Top 905 48.33% 32.03 65.64% 0.147 0.0889 -0.58
3 Archipelago 113 56.64% 59.28 62.83% 0.422 -0.53 -0.513
3 Coastline 141 34.29% 32.14 68.09% -0.188 -0.5979 -0.096
3 Other 814 39.11% 28.86 70.02% 0.186 -0.585 -0.54
3 Round (Default) 16234 44.67% 32.73 68.11% 0.073 -0.0186 -0.677
3 Sunrise 60 46.67% 31.63 61.67% -0.074 -0.1703 0.701
3 Thematic 992 32.12% 60.94 64.42% 0.289 0.3098 -0.32
4 Archipelago 69 45.45% 36.8 79.71% 0.346 -0.1841 0.29
4 Coastline 51 39.22% 34.92 78.43% 0.0 -0.0857 0.133
4 Leaf 75 60.81% 27.27 56.0% -0.214 -0.3755 -0.784
4 Other 576 42.16% 32.89 77.78% 1.126 0.4148 0.067
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 20.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4433 0.0
4 Thematic 1875 32.48% 45.74 73.87% -0.152 -0.0295 0.328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9548 38.68% 31.45 69.28% -0.681 -0.6835 -0.893
5 Archipelago 27 70.37% 36.3 74.07% 0.021 -0.0089 -0.89
5 Coastline 29 24.14% 40.03 82.76% -0.325 -0.471 0.11
5 Other 792 38.68% 30.49 74.37% 0.296 -0.2177 -0.103
5 Thematic 112 35.71% 42.49 72.32% 0.101 0.0436 1.144
6 Archipelago 60 18.33% 32.85 65.0% -0.946 -1.9843 -0.445
6 Coastline 30 10.0% 45.13 76.67% 0.869 -0.0904 -0.028
6 Other 330 31.1% 25.15 59.39% -0.326 -0.4302 0.138
6 Star 233 26.18% 28.07 66.95% 0.072 0.058 0.016
6 Thematic 1180 18.69% 31.31 50.93% -0.837 -0.551 -0.287
6 Two Centers (Default) 1171 28.15% 28.05 66.1% -0.669 -0.1359 -0.216
7 Archipelago 22 31.82% 40.32 68.18% 0.0 0.0647 -0.377
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 11.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 28 32.14% 20.57 53.57% -0.208 -0.7664 -0.046

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4674 33.34 53.79% -0.215 0.0356 -0.399
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4013 35.56 57.69% 0.147 0.0897 -0.22
All Things Weaken 5246 31.65 51.49% -0.805 -0.4702 -0.471
Attenuated Essence 815 32.64 51.29% -0.593 -0.5595 -0.26
Back Against the Wall 4170 34.47 54.39% -0.485 -0.4501 -0.294
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 861 32.87 49.25% -0.549 -0.332 -0.422
Burn Brightest Before the End 698 33.35 49.71% -0.665 -0.6547 -0.301
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4500 30.15 50.38% -0.625 -0.2801 -0.584
Downward Spiral 5364 31.98 56.82% -0.457 -0.3395 -0.336
Erosion of Will 4542 32.27 51.01% -0.631 -0.3561 -0.646
Intensifying Exploitation 874 31.18 50.11% -0.181 0.0296 -0.475
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2434 37.24 72.35% 0.531 -0.0415 0.139
Memory Fades to Dust 5249 31.5 54.3% -0.44 -0.188 -0.486
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5219 31.75 53.84% -0.355 -0.1508 -0.469
Promising Farmlands 4538 30.91 51.08% -0.241 0.0133 -0.581
Shattered Fragments of Power 691 34.55 53.84% -0.368 -0.2937 -0.263
Slow Dissolution of Will 848 31.98 46.34% -0.168 0.2133 -0.539
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1839 38.18 77.87% 0.204 -0.4698 0.477
The Border of Life and Death 293 34.86 62.46% 0.425 -0.1753 0.153
Thriving Communities 5252 30.6 51.85% -0.167 0.1143 -0.465
Thriving Crops 458 34.12 59.39% 0.213 0.0733 0.002
Unnatural Proliferation 5592 34.39 57.74% -0.052 0.1512 -0.225
Untended Land Crumbles 5205 29.73 48.91% -0.347 -0.1567 -0.654

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 37142 41.82% 31.96 67.97% -0.129 0.8693 -0.037
B 40048 41.64% 31.99 67.4% -0.079 0.8436 -0.137
C 49531 38.64% 34.92 69.31% 0.214 0.9429 0.015
D 35208 43.06% 31.19 66.76% -0.326 0.6331 -0.167
E 35143 40.77% 32.82 68.24% -0.138 0.6809 0.052
F 34643 40.8% 33.64 69.06% -0.053 0.829 0.123
G 29503 41.3% 32.98 68.31% 0.031 0.8563 0.093
H 29109 41.88% 32.94 68.08% -0.16 0.6792 0.019
East 7563 33.17% 39.37 63.65% -0.377 0.498 -0.817
Northeast 4847 29.62% 43.2 63.73% 0.409 1.1614 -0.295
Northwest 4058 30.71% 37.06 62.76% -0.096 0.7961 -0.87
Southeast 3220 30.0% 33.16 60.5% -0.394 0.4453 -0.312
Southwest 3107 30.84% 31.64 58.83% -0.691 0.6141 -1.774
West 7146 33.5% 38.38 62.2% 0.082 1.0315 -1.009

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1307 0.0% 24.31 77.89% 0.139 0.868 -0.055
Not Using Events or Tokens 141 45.67% 24.13 81.56% 1.324 1.6693 1.215
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5391 10.41% 45.14 83.44% 0.102 -0.5004 0.123
Start of Game Growth 8686 14.3% 44.12 80.64% 0.631 0.1274 0.26
Unlimited Undo 17226 29.82% 36.68 75.2% -0.222 -0.3286 0.295
Using Tokens but Not Events 19407 28.82% 29.14 73.27% -0.209 -0.2386 -0.513

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9121 33.99% 35.14 69.94% 0.325 0.2306 0.307
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 596 28.02% 32.44 59.73% 0.854 0.3777 0.413
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1988 47.82% 33.79 65.85% -0.074 0.0382 -0.197
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 427 44.5% 19.16 37.47% -0.061 -0.8741 -0.851
Dances Up Earthquakes 280 41.58% 31.99 63.57% 0.18 0.1711 0.548
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3154 39.9% 29.76 69.25% -0.378 -0.5177 -0.247
Downpour Drenches the World 1671 31.46% 25.92 53.38% 0.116 0.3434 -0.262
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2034 34.29% 29.26 61.9% 0.304 -0.2652 -0.049
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4468 36.65% 32.95 72.65% 0.181 -0.2065 0.098
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3647 35.94% 32.94 71.26% 0.056 -0.3383 0.284
Finder of Paths Unseen 1411 35.01% 28.37 58.75% -0.43 0.2981 0.401
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2233 36.75% 33.02 63.68% -0.486 0.1543 0.023
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2110 42.02% 26.93 61.18% -0.178 -0.3119 -0.209
Heart of the Wildfire 6507 56.95% 28.83 60.26% -0.328 0.0009 -0.213
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10646 35.23% 35.0 72.0% 0.269 -0.1544 0.429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 568 32.75% 27.99 49.65% 0.341 0.035 -0.533
Lightning's Swift Strike 2754 44.08% 29.03 70.04% 0.257 0.4951 -0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 733 44.47% 35.78 61.53% 0.445 0.0374 0.122
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1027 36.27% 33.99 69.23% 0.465 0.1457 0.711
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1346 45.37% 30.03 61.59% -0.597 -0.6778 0.352
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6261 39.3% 35.17 69.13% -0.101 -0.2934 0.154
Many Minds Move as One 3964 33.81% 41.37 73.86% -0.184 -0.4001 0.701
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4941 40.54% 33.01 68.0% 0.188 0.3275 0.308
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 384 38.64% 26.33 57.81% 0.124 0.2052 -0.473
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3470 43.09% 31.34 70.14% -0.121 -0.1992 0.22
River Surges in Sunlight 4243 37.69% 33.29 71.44% -0.133 -0.007 0.303
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 186 45.16% 30.12 46.24% 0.046 0.2247 -0.318
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1291 38.59% 29.8 60.5% -0.244 0.0349 -0.517
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 917 44.15% 40.76 63.36% 0.211 0.0883 0.499
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4550 40.38% 33.41 68.37% 0.069 -0.0577 0.099
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 152 29.61% 34.47 59.87% -0.431 -0.5437 -0.439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1079 52.24% 26.24 65.52% 0.085 0.6005 -0.147
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 151 50.33% 26.49 56.29% -1.12 -1.1384 0.188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 352 37.5% 32.52 65.34% -0.261 -0.7641 0.15
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 177 42.05% 31.22 59.89% -1.004 -1.1962 0.152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 623 41.82% 31.13 67.58% -0.014 -0.0726 -0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 420 46.89% 28.06 67.38% 0.173 0.2542 0.254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3815 33.98% 37.97 75.86% 0.37 0.4494 0.618
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 748 32.89% 32.77 64.3% 0.059 -0.1273 0.366
Shifting Memory of Ages 2109 45.42% 26.61 59.65% -0.472 -0.205 -0.326
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 365 36.99% 25.1 52.6% -0.331 -0.4494 0.221
Shroud of Silent Mist 1833 45.39% 25.15 62.47% -0.283 0.0681 -0.442
Starlight Seeks its Form 2999 35.41% 30.37 65.46% 0.316 0.1981 0.1
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3181 38.99% 32.36 74.79% 0.736 0.8532 0.53
Thunderspeaker 4063 35.73% 31.63 68.67% 0.156 0.1884 0.019
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 307 42.16% 25.02 42.67% 0.494 0.5071 -0.62
Towering Roots of the Jungle 547 34.5% 25.17 55.03% 0.265 0.3941 -0.312
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 8609 61.52% 28.24 62.06% 0.03 0.1561 -0.321
Vital Strength of the Earth 2300 37.99% 26.56 72.13% 0.535 1.1346 -0.605
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 706 37.13% 32.18 58.78% 0.097 0.5907 -0.341
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 928 46.22% 30.43 57.76% -0.375 0.3225 -0.543
Volcano Looming High 4692 45.75% 29.73 64.36% -0.013 0.0347 -0.169
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 890 38.92% 26.6 56.29% -0.171 -0.4609 -0.186

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.6%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 67.97%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.87%
Stubborn Solidity 92.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 36194 13.42 5.0%
II 66077 30.13 71.54%
III 58880 34.83 90.31%
IV 24313 38.67 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1809
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52398
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 46517
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23721
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15060
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2664
Lose: Adversary condition 20861
Win: Sacrifice victory 1139
Lose: Scenario condition 1613
Win: Scenario condition 910
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18252
Lose: Spirit destroyed 520

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.265 Win Model: -0.106

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.279 Win Model: -0.012
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 113803 37.2% 35.71 69.17%
2 37888 47.56% 31.19 65.36%
3 17987 44.11% 33.13 68.0%
4 12048 38.29% 32.86 70.48%
5 722 37.71% 28.43 68.84%
6 3016 24.09% 29.35 59.65%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)