Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 181 24.86% 23.87 66.3% -1.71 -1.3398 -0.275
Blitz 0 1773 36.04% 28.58 59.17% -0.81 -0.3787 -0.736
Dahan Insurrection 4 1287 30.22% 39.71 49.49% -0.863 -0.8887 -0.621
Despicable Theft 2 308 37.66% 22.96 45.45% -0.809 -0.1495 -0.316
Elemental Invocation 1 1045 47.89% 27.29 45.36% -0.799 -0.351 -1.839
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8355 19.44% 45.95 70.1% 1.119 0.5198 -0.355
Powers Long Forgotten 1 652 43.93% 24.94 50.0% -0.228 0.38 -0.226
Rituals of Terror 3 1313 22.31% 82.94 68.77% 2.045 2.17 1.998
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 765 60.86% 31.98 62.75% 0.427 1.1652 0.037
Second Wave 0 6346 37.11% 28.1 75.58% 0.179 0.2853 0.168
The Great River 3 374 40.11% 25.34 46.52% -0.682 0.4927 -0.473
Varied Terrains 2 388 42.27% 22.11 46.91% -0.207 0.5294 -1.046
Ward the Shores 2 657 37.44% 25.6 49.62% -0.845 -0.1623 -0.71

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 121891 37.17% 35.79 68.47% 0.412 0.6365 0.73
1 Thematic 4388 35.58% 31.43 64.31% 0.048 0.5977 -0.456
2 Archipelago 112 38.74% 29.68 54.46% 0.0 -0.3536 1.065
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27109 48.0% 30.1 65.13% 0.174 0.2856 0.008
2 Coastline 4114 44.64% 29.75 64.88% -0.132 -0.2215 0.059
2 Fragment 801 52.13% 32.22 66.54% 0.164 -0.1743 0.049
2 Heart 490 51.02% 31.35 63.88% -0.473 -0.8004 1.013
2 Opposite Shores 6372 45.37% 27.67 62.1% -0.112 -0.0753 -0.36
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2244 43.13% 30.47 55.35% -0.845 -0.3167 -1.029
2 Top to Top 1011 49.11% 31.8 64.19% 0.298 0.0911 0.308
3 Archipelago 127 55.12% 58.09 61.42% -0.255 -0.1543 -0.005
3 Coastline 165 34.76% 31.38 64.24% -0.235 -0.7564 0.179
3 Other 863 38.63% 28.16 68.71% -0.098 -0.8401 0.061
3 Round (Default) 18136 44.37% 32.31 67.24% 0.188 0.0924 -0.395
3 Sunrise 64 48.44% 30.56 59.38% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 1191 29.94% 61.5 63.31% -0.093 0.1488 -1.061
4 Archipelago 72 43.48% 36.29 79.17% -0.532 -0.4516 0.0
4 Coastline 55 38.18% 33.45 74.55% 0.0 0.2598 -0.178
4 Leaf 94 60.22% 29.39 60.64% 1.389 0.8347 0.0
4 Other 627 40.64% 32.04 76.24% 0.892 0.3447 -0.498
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 20.67 66.67% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2122 32.23% 44.5 70.31% -0.489 -0.0161 0.028
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10492 38.88% 30.8 67.82% -0.384 -0.573 -0.376
5 Archipelago 29 65.52% 33.79 68.97% -0.663 0.7832 0.0
5 Coastline 32 21.88% 39.16 81.25% 0.0 -0.6104 0.351
5 Other 892 39.84% 29.92 72.31% 0.444 0.1171 0.896
5 Thematic 124 37.9% 41.3 72.58% 0.89 0.3992 -0.335
6 Archipelago 70 17.14% 31.76 61.43% -0.261 -1.1865 -0.438
6 Coastline 38 21.05% 45.24 76.32% 0.0 0.3287 0.437
6 Other 391 33.16% 25.53 60.61% 0.371 0.6407 0.478
6 Star 255 25.49% 28.44 67.06% 0.082 0.878 0.259
6 Thematic 1396 19.45% 30.7 49.86% -0.734 -0.1534 0.908
6 Two Centers (Default) 1395 29.09% 26.51 62.65% -0.512 -0.5354 -1.232
7 Archipelago 24 29.17% 36.96 62.5% -0.554 -0.1477 0.0
7 Coastline 3 0.0% 7.33 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.434
7 Other 42 23.81% 17.36 40.48% -0.331 -0.5869 -0.692

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5091 33.54 53.84% 0.033 0.3432 -0.001
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4369 35.67 57.4% 0.091 0.1039 0.023
All Things Weaken 5711 31.57 51.11% -0.372 0.1017 -0.228
Attenuated Essence 1177 33.21 52.17% -0.008 0.1382 -0.271
Back Against the Wall 4497 34.5 54.12% -0.726 -0.5968 -0.017
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1179 32.23 48.94% -0.005 0.3151 -0.452
Burn Brightest Before the End 963 34.14 50.05% -0.147 0.0297 -0.017
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4888 30.21 50.0% -0.365 0.0149 -0.212
Downward Spiral 5815 31.85 56.35% 0.794 0.9879 -0.296
Erosion of Will 4991 32.21 50.71% -0.295 0.0432 -0.384
Intensifying Exploitation 1189 31.58 50.13% -0.478 -0.1253 -0.325
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2651 37.1 71.71% 0.101 -0.2626 0.414
Memory Fades to Dust 5750 31.27 53.62% -0.439 -0.1097 -0.553
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5689 31.64 53.38% -0.105 0.1615 -0.202
Promising Farmlands 4970 30.98 51.03% -0.257 0.1905 -0.061
Shattered Fragments of Power 944 34.3 52.65% -0.041 -0.0416 -0.29
Slow Dissolution of Will 1198 32.74 47.75% -0.36 0.0512 -0.035
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 2006 38.0 76.97% 0.677 0.1187 0.528
The Border of Life and Death 392 35.34 63.52% 0.162 -0.0828 0.114
Thriving Communities 5733 30.68 51.96% 0.012 0.2893 -0.096
Thriving Crops 646 34.17 58.05% -0.994 -1.0894 -0.078
Unnatural Proliferation 6099 34.36 57.55% -0.025 0.1802 -0.109
Untended Land Crumbles 5648 29.75 48.67% -0.81 -0.5104 -0.332

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 41516 41.56% 31.6 66.96% 0.093 1.0849 0.327
B 44933 41.51% 31.61 66.13% 0.034 0.899 0.083
C 55151 38.41% 34.69 68.47% 0.338 1.0894 0.304
D 39278 42.91% 30.74 65.49% -0.191 0.7534 -0.015
E 39513 40.47% 32.48 67.03% 0.406 1.1605 0.296
F 38497 40.64% 33.11 67.82% -0.099 0.7757 0.277
G 32995 41.17% 32.7 67.38% 0.062 0.9245 0.477
H 32353 41.82% 32.5 66.97% -0.085 0.7218 0.174
East 8653 32.58% 38.87 61.77% 0.254 0.9992 -0.113
Northeast 5655 28.94% 42.77 61.77% 0.281 1.1739 0.423
Northwest 4663 30.06% 36.37 60.75% -0.155 0.5881 -0.204
Southeast 3662 29.87% 32.21 58.71% -0.173 0.8353 -0.052
Southwest 3536 30.98% 30.68 56.76% -1.214 -0.0577 -1.436
West 8151 33.01% 37.94 60.18% -0.216 0.7667 -0.562

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1487 0.0% 24.56 77.34% 0.967 1.6872 -0.364
Not Using Events or Tokens 162 46.53% 23.12 80.86% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5844 10.5% 44.38 81.54% -0.099 -0.9038 -0.656
Start of Game Growth 9339 14.23% 43.45 79.18% 0.6 0.0332 0.362
Unlimited Undo 18708 29.89% 35.88 73.69% -0.022 0.0052 -0.246
Using Tokens but Not Events 21724 29.35% 28.8 71.84% -0.164 -0.1914 -0.655

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9978 33.6% 34.41 68.61% 0.288 -0.1301 -0.222
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1007 31.48% 31.9 55.81% 0.574 -0.0825 0.05
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 49 28.57% 26.0 59.18% -0.092 -0.2493 0.258
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 355 32.39% 32.02 65.92% 0.632 -0.2284 0.768
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2136 47.46% 33.8 65.17% 0.297 0.4345 0.164
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 536 44.03% 20.94 41.23% 0.075 -0.9548 -0.832
Dances Up Earthquakes 610 44.39% 29.31 56.23% 0.851 0.8149 0.364
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3453 39.87% 29.2 67.94% -0.172 -0.5264 -0.766
Downpour Drenches the World 2001 31.78% 25.53 52.57% -0.705 -0.5815 -0.188
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2504 34.38% 28.92 61.06% 0.492 -0.0791 -0.296
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4852 36.38% 32.42 71.35% -0.528 -1.1743 -0.064
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3987 35.22% 32.19 70.05% 0.135 -0.3587 0.06
Finder of Paths Unseen 1659 36.29% 27.54 56.36% 0.526 1.1141 -0.182
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2442 37.14% 32.27 62.16% -0.272 0.1747 0.041
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2396 42.4% 26.45 60.06% 0.364 0.1784 0.078
Heart of the Wildfire 7119 56.16% 28.21 58.88% -0.812 -0.6696 -0.638
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11522 34.95% 34.74 71.52% 0.23 -0.4446 0.668
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 807 30.24% 26.42 50.19% -0.391 -0.919 -0.734
Lightning's Swift Strike 2991 44.31% 28.29 68.94% -0.22 -0.1877 -0.707
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 893 43.67% 35.12 60.69% 0.729 0.0764 0.332
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1106 36.12% 33.7 68.26% -0.382 -0.878 0.164
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1515 44.93% 29.78 61.12% -0.997 -1.2365 0.125
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7080 39.46% 34.09 67.29% 0.36 -0.0656 -0.746
Many Minds Move as One 4432 33.3% 41.71 72.02% 0.239 -0.2703 0.18
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5292 40.26% 32.46 66.89% 0.229 -0.0407 -0.369
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 767 40.37% 25.44 55.8% 0.2 0.0857 0.396
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3716 42.8% 30.92 69.05% -0.377 -0.6706 -0.108
River Surges in Sunlight 4490 37.58% 32.78 70.53% 0.093 -0.0784 0.382
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 276 43.12% 29.7 48.55% -0.086 -0.1973 0.274
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1469 38.48% 29.47 58.88% 0.185 0.1201 -0.543
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1120 45.89% 39.89 61.07% 0.161 0.0305 0.41
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4860 40.27% 32.99 67.3% 0.538 0.2732 0.026
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 310 32.57% 31.48 54.84% -0.042 -0.4723 0.017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1167 51.47% 25.82 65.55% -0.728 -0.3001 -0.112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 176 49.43% 26.6 58.52% 0.0 0.004 0.564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 477 40.46% 31.38 62.89% -0.253 -1.0055 -0.335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 197 43.88% 30.55 59.39% 0.376 0.0573 1.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 675 42.3% 30.08 65.48% -0.382 -0.5611 -0.161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 463 45.55% 27.35 66.09% 0.828 0.7853 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4018 34.07% 37.43 75.21% 0.841 0.4752 0.777
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 63 36.51% 35.38 74.6% 0.417 -0.1239 0.086
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 968 31.81% 32.15 62.29% -0.137 -0.3818 0.036
Shifting Memory of Ages 2304 45.68% 26.18 58.33% -0.652 -0.3574 0.272
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 624 42.79% 24.58 46.79% -0.284 -0.4477 -0.01
Shroud of Silent Mist 2057 45.21% 24.27 60.77% -0.873 -0.691 -0.317
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 74 51.35% 25.46 59.46% -0.208 -0.6179 -0.702
Starlight Seeks its Form 3527 35.95% 29.75 63.4% 0.454 0.212 -0.082
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3446 38.74% 31.8 73.36% -0.097 -0.0546 0.444
Thunderspeaker 4417 35.66% 31.61 68.21% 0.768 0.5731 0.075
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 383 42.41% 25.67 45.17% 0.211 0.0422 0.629
Towering Roots of the Jungle 856 34.74% 24.92 54.32% 0.132 0.0207 0.101
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 9212 61.02% 27.81 61.22% -0.261 -0.4122 -0.405
Vital Strength of the Earth 2477 37.75% 26.18 70.97% -0.818 -0.4597 0.852
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 890 36.87% 33.38 59.66% -0.278 -0.0349 -0.187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1021 45.58% 29.47 56.71% -0.935 -0.2535 -1.213
Volcano Looming High 5228 45.99% 28.94 62.89% 0.294 -0.0301 -0.361
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1120 39.53% 26.79 56.79% -0.615 -1.1331 0.422

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.7%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 67.83%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.92%
Stubborn Solidity 92.98%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 42566 12.25 4.6%
II 73568 29.91 71.35%
III 64694 34.94 90.29%
IV 26537 38.9 99.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1954
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57575
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 51675
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 25843
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20222
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2872
Lose: Adversary condition 22672
Win: Sacrifice victory 1308
Lose: Scenario condition 1744
Win: Scenario condition 962
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19975
Lose: Spirit destroyed 563

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.475 Win Model: -0.093

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.341 Win Model: -0.054
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 127229 37.1% 35.59 68.29%
2 42364 46.93% 30.83 64.24%
3 20090 43.8% 32.75 67.07%
4 13274 38.31% 32.05 68.7%
5 836 39.04% 28.06 67.22%
6 3572 24.96% 28.5 57.75%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)