Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 136 27.21% 26.67 75.0% 0.225 0.2693 0.696
Blitz 0 1606 37.35% 29.95 60.46% -0.355 -0.1402 -0.981
Dahan Insurrection 4 1166 31.21% 40.74 50.51% -0.375 -0.6632 -0.415
Despicable Theft 2 254 38.19% 23.1 45.67% -1.574 -0.8639 -0.849
Elemental Invocation 1 834 47.84% 28.2 49.88% -0.692 0.009 -1.385
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7412 19.35% 46.16 70.64% 0.438 -0.1616 0.061
Powers Long Forgotten 1 561 46.07% 26.42 52.41% -1.119 -0.2816 -0.365
Rituals of Terror 3 1074 24.21% 80.96 69.74% 1.263 1.3237 0.611
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 683 63.2% 32.8 63.84% -0.806 0.1808 -0.921
Second Wave 0 5662 37.25% 28.13 76.17% 0.277 0.5267 -0.162
The Great River 3 333 41.14% 26.43 48.65% -1.066 -0.0 -2.002
Varied Terrains 2 312 43.27% 22.21 45.19% -1.661 -0.8315 -1.3
Ward the Shores 2 591 37.37% 26.58 51.95% -1.352 -0.1682 -1.378

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 106064 37.23% 35.96 69.63% 0.335 0.6082 -0.253
1 Thematic 3958 35.87% 32.19 65.74% 0.133 0.7078 -0.273
2 Archipelago 99 37.37% 29.94 54.55% -1.116 -0.4385 -0.912
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 23808 48.52% 30.57 66.28% 0.003 0.0717 -0.689
2 Coastline 3590 45.06% 30.23 65.82% 0.263 0.0446 -0.736
2 Fragment 725 53.6% 33.19 67.86% 0.832 0.5654 0.469
2 Heart 438 52.51% 32.12 64.61% 0.463 -0.0071 -0.249
2 Opposite Shores 5428 46.52% 28.09 63.65% -0.252 -0.2745 -1.166
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5053 0.0
2 Thematic 1891 44.94% 31.11 57.54% -0.641 -0.2678 -0.719
2 Top to Top 871 48.61% 32.54 66.48% 0.289 0.0319 -0.569
3 Archipelago 107 57.94% 58.02 62.62% 0.556 -0.367 -0.378
3 Coastline 140 34.53% 32.37 68.57% 0.841 -0.1226 -0.099
3 Other 806 39.13% 28.91 70.1% 0.163 -0.6011 -0.548
3 Round (Default) 15769 44.87% 32.79 68.18% 0.086 -0.0673 -0.686
3 Sunrise 56 46.43% 33.2 64.29% 0.115 0.037 0.709
3 Thematic 954 32.25% 60.29 64.26% -0.118 -0.2658 -0.368
4 Archipelago 68 46.15% 36.91 79.41% 0.205 -0.322 0.293
4 Coastline 51 39.22% 34.92 78.43% -0.522 -0.5786 0.125
4 Leaf 74 61.64% 26.66 55.41% -0.909 -0.9999 -0.991
4 Other 574 42.13% 32.83 77.87% 0.343 -0.3416 0.084
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 20.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1843 32.61% 45.9 74.39% -0.22 -0.3975 0.351
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9345 38.84% 31.72 69.8% -0.149 -0.4781 -0.848
5 Archipelago 24 79.17% 34.83 70.83% 0.0 1.2714 -0.903
5 Coastline 28 25.0% 41.46 85.71% -0.292 -0.8227 0.359
5 Other 763 38.84% 30.58 74.71% -0.049 -0.7987 -0.079
5 Thematic 111 35.14% 42.52 72.97% 1.204 0.8179 1.165
6 Archipelago 58 18.97% 33.98 67.24% 0.0 -0.9706 -0.46
6 Coastline 25 12.0% 43.44 76.0% 0.0 -0.5799 -0.03
6 Other 300 31.54% 25.43 60.33% -0.293 -0.7104 0.212
6 Star 220 26.36% 28.43 66.82% -0.476 -0.1404 0.078
6 Thematic 1142 18.61% 31.3 51.23% -0.717 -0.7656 -0.294
6 Two Centers (Default) 1122 28.29% 28.18 66.49% -0.367 -0.1523 -0.228
7 Archipelago 22 31.82% 40.32 68.18% -0.137 -0.2573 -0.41
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 11.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 26 30.77% 21.5 57.69% 0.378 -0.7038 0.091

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4595 33.33 53.84% 0.022 0.0939 -0.4
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3934 35.55 57.55% -0.037 -0.1083 -0.234
All Things Weaken 5131 31.71 51.65% -0.602 -0.3424 -0.474
Attenuated Essence 760 32.95 52.5% -0.038 -0.0735 -0.21
Back Against the Wall 4082 34.53 54.56% -0.163 -0.1093 -0.28
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 783 32.9 49.68% -0.638 -0.4928 -0.433
Burn Brightest Before the End 628 33.71 50.96% -0.244 -0.2278 -0.222
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4412 30.26 50.61% -0.399 -0.2109 -0.571
Downward Spiral 5262 32.09 57.05% -0.338 -0.2642 -0.331
Erosion of Will 4472 32.37 51.21% -0.235 -0.0802 -0.641
Intensifying Exploitation 808 30.99 50.5% -0.031 0.1049 -0.474
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2387 37.22 72.39% 0.648 0.0344 0.124
Memory Fades to Dust 5145 31.62 54.56% -0.264 -0.0604 -0.479
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5098 31.74 53.88% -0.26 -0.0853 -0.477
Promising Farmlands 4432 30.98 51.24% -0.299 -0.1012 -0.584
Shattered Fragments of Power 630 34.78 55.24% 0.468 0.4704 -0.207
Slow Dissolution of Will 771 31.66 45.91% -0.297 0.0012 -0.582
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1797 38.28 78.19% 0.809 0.1121 0.482
The Border of Life and Death 266 34.78 62.03% 0.572 0.0742 0.138
Thriving Communities 5141 30.65 51.92% -0.231 -0.0751 -0.469
Thriving Crops 424 33.9 58.49% 0.185 -0.1271 -0.021
Unnatural Proliferation 5492 34.43 57.87% -0.086 0.0229 -0.227
Untended Land Crumbles 5088 29.78 49.02% -0.071 0.1108 -0.655

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 36160 41.99% 32.09 68.25% -0.055 0.9207 -0.037
B 39041 41.72% 32.07 67.62% -0.179 0.7103 -0.147
C 48221 38.75% 34.99 69.49% 0.098 0.7906 0.003
D 34276 43.16% 31.3 67.05% -0.322 0.5728 -0.171
E 34145 40.81% 32.92 68.59% -0.21 0.5194 0.062
F 33744 40.87% 33.75 69.36% -0.165 0.6665 0.12
G 28705 41.44% 33.09 68.6% -0.1 0.6793 0.087
H 28290 41.96% 33.04 68.37% -0.237 0.5459 0.022
East 7360 33.44% 39.36 63.97% -0.182 0.6268 -0.791
Northeast 4695 29.9% 43.08 64.03% 0.398 1.196 -0.267
Northwest 3946 30.67% 37.21 63.1% 0.075 0.8083 -0.842
Southeast 3153 30.1% 33.27 60.74% 0.198 1.0912 -0.336
Southwest 3045 30.84% 31.74 59.15% -0.634 0.6236 -1.771
West 6966 33.57% 38.36 62.45% -0.213 0.7849 -0.992

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1278 0.0% 24.01 77.7% -0.214 0.4538 -0.074
Not Using Events or Tokens 139 46.4% 24.2 81.29% 1.579 2.0 1.215
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5292 10.45% 45.24 83.62% 0.037 -0.7323 0.117
Start of Game Growth 8556 14.3% 44.2 80.77% 0.218 -0.22 0.247
Unlimited Undo 16884 29.87% 36.88 75.52% 0.048 -0.0172 0.294
Using Tokens but Not Events 18835 28.68% 29.3 73.73% -0.012 -0.0545 -0.491

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8965 34.06% 35.26 69.98% -0.034 -0.1281 0.314
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 527 29.22% 31.6 58.82% 0.802 0.294 0.351
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1939 47.9% 33.92 66.22% -0.238 -0.0409 -0.175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 401 44.64% 19.1 37.41% -0.012 -0.8847 -0.912
Dances Up Earthquakes 187 42.25% 32.57 64.71% 0.482 0.3435 0.617
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3087 40.09% 30.0 69.68% -0.058 -0.2801 -0.246
Downpour Drenches the World 1602 31.44% 25.82 53.18% -0.191 0.1151 -0.291
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1917 34.34% 29.17 61.71% 0.693 0.1388 -0.059
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4372 36.72% 33.13 73.01% 0.42 -0.007 0.094
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3580 36.11% 33.12 71.54% 0.195 -0.2183 0.273
Finder of Paths Unseen 1345 34.8% 28.59 59.26% -0.266 0.3895 0.404
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2180 37.1% 33.2 63.9% -0.315 0.2303 0.042
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2045 42.13% 27.09 61.52% -0.402 -0.4861 -0.171
Heart of the Wildfire 6378 57.0% 28.95 60.41% -0.085 0.2302 -0.202
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10404 35.39% 35.12 72.25% 0.157 -0.2866 0.47
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 518 32.82% 27.89 49.23% -0.236 -0.5297 -0.761
Lightning's Swift Strike 2702 44.18% 29.1 69.95% -0.169 0.0929 -0.163
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 678 45.58% 35.26 61.06% 0.268 -0.0594 0.11
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 994 36.26% 34.2 69.42% 0.155 -0.2204 0.677
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1290 45.48% 30.26 62.4% 0.408 0.5077 0.356
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6067 39.64% 35.43 69.62% 0.099 -0.1004 0.181
Many Minds Move as One 3847 34.37% 41.27 74.58% 0.469 0.254 0.778
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4894 40.56% 33.07 68.19% 0.068 0.2154 0.299
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 301 38.33% 26.19 57.48% 0.071 0.1152 -0.493
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3407 43.22% 31.41 70.36% 0.122 0.0199 0.236
River Surges in Sunlight 4151 37.73% 33.37 71.96% 0.155 0.1524 0.321
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 170 45.29% 30.57 46.47% 0.45 0.7386 -0.372
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1257 39.09% 29.83 60.7% -0.78 -0.5772 -0.597
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 863 44.37% 40.91 63.5% 0.15 -0.0642 0.546
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4500 40.4% 33.43 68.38% -0.277 -0.4352 0.079
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 86 30.23% 28.03 59.3% -0.202 -0.5848 -0.515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1071 52.26% 26.38 65.92% 0.386 0.9621 -0.136
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 146 50.0% 26.99 57.53% -0.179 -0.2387 0.156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 328 37.8% 32.69 65.55% 0.37 -0.0579 0.252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 167 41.57% 31.82 61.68% -0.163 -0.1576 0.176
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 602 42.11% 31.19 68.44% -0.429 -0.4883 -0.167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 409 47.67% 28.22 67.73% 0.278 0.4841 0.259
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3767 34.04% 38.15 76.06% 0.272 0.304 0.624
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 694 33.57% 32.93 64.55% 0.067 -0.0783 0.346
Shifting Memory of Ages 2041 45.02% 26.85 60.41% -0.459 -0.1342 -0.337
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 325 38.77% 25.47 52.0% -0.164 -0.1161 0.303
Shroud of Silent Mist 1783 45.26% 25.27 62.65% -0.642 -0.2738 -0.432
Starlight Seeks its Form 2883 35.72% 30.52 65.59% -0.009 -0.0748 0.119
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3131 39.13% 32.34 74.8% 0.369 0.5289 0.512
Thunderspeaker 3987 35.81% 31.55 68.72% -0.23 -0.1998 -0.003
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 287 42.66% 24.31 41.46% -0.556 -0.3654 -0.722
Towering Roots of the Jungle 474 34.53% 25.18 54.22% -0.05 0.0958 -0.352
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 8478 61.74% 28.3 62.11% -0.121 -0.1014 -0.321
Vital Strength of the Earth 2257 38.09% 26.62 72.18% 0.391 0.9722 -0.578
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 680 36.93% 32.25 58.68% -0.642 -0.1581 -0.345
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 904 46.56% 30.99 58.52% -0.125 0.4943 -0.48
Volcano Looming High 4582 45.78% 29.93 64.56% -0.154 -0.1183 -0.162
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 816 39.02% 26.87 56.62% -0.149 -0.4668 -0.114

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.58%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 68.04%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.84%
Stubborn Solidity 92.91%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34823 13.76 5.11%
II 64424 30.19 71.65%
III 57542 34.82 90.33%
IV 23825 38.63 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1778
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51215
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 45420
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23260
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13943
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2630
Lose: Adversary condition 20455
Win: Sacrifice victory 1098
Lose: Scenario condition 1587
Win: Scenario condition 895
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17826
Lose: Spirit destroyed 507

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.165 Win Model: -0.101

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.274 Win Model: -0.012
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 110842 37.17% 35.8 69.47%
2 36904 47.7% 31.19 65.49%
3 17488 44.28% 33.2 68.08%
4 11813 38.44% 33.11 70.99%
5 688 38.12% 28.39 69.04%
6 2879 24.12% 29.49 60.02%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)