Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 848 35.46% 34.0 -1.796 72.17% -0.591 -0.0229
Dahan Insurrection 4 570 34.74% 49.15 6.697 62.28% -0.844 -0.446
Despicable Theft 2 54 46.3% 33.15 0.553 66.67% -0.91 -0.6523
Elemental Invocation 1 310 50.32% 32.88 -1.457 61.29% -0.737 -0.2727
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4042 19.58% 47.29 4.488 74.57% -0.244 0.1223
Powers Long Forgotten 1 258 60.7% 31.16 -1.286 63.57% -0.659 -0.2135
Rituals of Terror 3 273 37.64% 41.86 3.285 69.23% -0.88 -0.2348
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 374 70.24% 37.16 1.891 69.52% -0.628 0.0167
Second Wave 0 2594 40.61% 28.58 -2.441 78.06% -0.667 -0.239
The Great River 3 137 45.99% 30.72 -1.172 62.04% -1.73 -0.2587
Ward the Shores 2 308 39.93% 32.46 -0.728 62.66% -1.472 -0.4383

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51519 37.7% 37.26 0.648 75.4% -1.494 -1.3104
1 Thematic 2361 39.21% 36.14 0.152 69.97% -1.416 -1.0424
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 37.2 2.58 100.0% 0.549 0.7644
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11709 52.58% 32.86 -0.828 70.15% -0.957 -0.8971
2 Coastline 1679 48.65% 33.56 -0.661 72.36% -0.888 -0.8726
2 Fragment 342 61.18% 35.2 0.084 69.3% -0.755 -0.4894
2 Heart 250 52.8% 31.9 -1.415 67.2% -1.418 -1.2646
2 Opposite Shores 2604 49.3% 29.54 -2.44 67.74% -1.235 -1.1359
2 Thematic 911 54.18% 32.2 -0.876 64.32% -0.736 -0.7695
2 Top to Top 382 48.17% 33.66 -0.655 70.42% -1.053 -1.0719
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 35.0 1.081 66.67% -0.032 1.0254
3 Coastline 74 39.73% 35.65 0.864 72.97% 0.114 -0.0882
3 Other 454 48.02% 34.21 -0.358 77.53% -0.218 -0.031
3 Round (Default) 6898 44.68% 34.96 -0.008 75.46% 0.098 0.0294
3 Sunrise 27 51.85% 38.04 1.688 77.78% 0.483 0.2154
3 Thematic 278 54.87% 33.4 -0.549 68.35% 0.269 -0.1292
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 42.75 4.218 75.0% -0.196 0.2441
4 Coastline 29 41.38% 39.48 2.483 82.76% 1.185 1.2381
4 Leaf 25 54.17% 30.28 -2.744 48.0% -0.301 -0.3252
4 Other 401 41.35% 35.05 0.289 80.55% 0.8 0.7001
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 28.0 1.038 100.0% 0.12 -0.7319
4 Thematic 1163 35.6% 43.17 2.62 77.3% 1.525 0.4454
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4785 39.99% 35.55 -0.065 76.18% 0.835 0.7525
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 47.25 5.031 75.0% -0.168 0.7377
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 40.0 4.158 100.0% 0.302 0.1078
5 Other 161 38.51% 38.61 1.998 90.06% 1.943 1.334
5 Thematic 40 40.0% 52.05 6.568 92.5% 2.613 -0.2675
6 Archipelago 3 66.67% 47.0 5.196 66.67% -0.182 0.5548
6 Other 1 0.0% 57.0 9.453 100.0% 0.108 -0.0454

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2561 33.19 -2.023 55.06% -1.354 0.7194
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2163 35.49 -0.815 60.29% -1.107 0.8125
All Things Weaken 2735 31.77 -2.577 53.46% -1.465 0.7052
Back Against the Wall 2241 34.58 -1.261 56.63% -1.265 0.8268
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2383 30.19 -3.563 52.16% -1.472 0.754
Downward Spiral 2731 32.6 -2.112 60.12% -1.132 0.8901
Erosion of Will 2387 33.04 -2.174 53.37% -1.396 0.8135
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1290 37.66 0.354 75.43% -0.397 0.2891
Memory Fades to Dust 2680 31.92 -2.419 56.83% -1.298 0.9204
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2669 33.12 -1.978 58.41% -1.213 0.8097
Promising Farmlands 2315 31.63 -2.855 53.13% -1.411 0.8023
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 930 38.67 1.022 82.15% -0.013 0.397
Thriving Communities 2727 31.13 -2.926 54.53% -1.383 0.712
Unnatural Proliferation 2941 34.55 -1.237 59.91% -1.163 0.923
Untended Land Crumbles 2722 30.02 -3.447 50.7% -1.587 0.5196

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10255 41.24% 35.26 -0.36 74.99% 0.338 -0.4455
B 11223 42.01% 34.6 -0.6 73.79% 0.305 -0.5757
C 14919 39.61% 38.04 0.814 74.89% 0.438 -0.674
D 9595 43.66% 33.59 -0.989 72.91% 0.265 -0.6086
E 9621 41.14% 35.89 -0.021 74.74% 0.399 -0.5887
F 9960 39.93% 37.23 0.485 75.66% 0.408 -0.5293
G 8125 41.24% 36.25 0.144 74.12% 0.387 -0.5408
H 8054 44.22% 35.84 0.061 73.5% 0.387 -0.5498
East 805 43.75% 40.09 1.406 69.07% -0.507 -1.1799
Northeast 894 45.41% 37.76 1.088 72.15% -0.232 -0.8559
Northwest 825 38.83% 36.94 0.63 70.18% -0.38 -1.0727
Southeast 647 38.85% 36.41 0.062 72.49% -0.4 -1.1285
Southwest 502 40.64% 32.42 -1.451 72.11% -0.508 -0.8028
West 690 44.1% 36.27 -0.029 65.8% -0.83 -1.2507

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 604 0.0% 21.26 -6.715 85.43% -1.3 0.7566
Not Using Events or Tokens 42 51.43% 24.9 -3.351 88.1% 0.401 0.6165
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3108 10.13% 49.9 4.549 91.6% 0.866 0.1773
Start of Game Growth 4547 13.3% 47.77 3.932 89.49% 0.462 -0.0072
Unlimited Undo 8794 30.54% 41.03 1.74 83.24% 0.344 -0.0759
Using Tokens but Not Events 8323 29.03% 31.01 -2.568 82.41% -0.155 -0.2073

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4502 36.88% 36.47 0.526 75.59% 0.056 0.1721
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 970 53.42% 31.32 -1.244 70.93% -0.23 -0.0208
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1638 44.9% 33.0 -0.74 73.32% -0.119 -0.2222
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2187 36.91% 35.37 0.307 79.06% 0.14 -0.2504
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1802 38.78% 34.85 -0.011 76.3% -0.011 -0.3002
Fractured Days Split the Sky 795 38.49% 38.11 1.122 75.35% -0.053 0.2995
Heart of the Wildfire 3546 59.69% 32.15 -1.438 65.37% -0.312 0.0176
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5177 39.05% 37.99 1.14 77.63% 0.291 -0.0373
Lightning's Swift Strike 2405 48.4% 33.6 -0.467 71.77% -0.175 0.0632
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2312 42.82% 39.1 1.132 77.12% 0.319 0.033
Many Minds Move as One 1715 39.02% 35.81 0.532 81.22% 0.325 -0.2039
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2565 41.57% 36.88 0.472 75.83% 0.037 -0.1757
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1788 45.51% 34.37 -0.121 75.17% 0.07 0.095
River Surges in Sunlight 2796 43.64% 35.85 0.305 73.43% -0.09 0.0414
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2379 43.55% 36.75 0.098 73.52% -0.174 -0.0559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1190 51.78% 31.43 -1.217 71.43% -0.22 0.1995
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2059 35.91% 39.93 1.551 80.43% 0.346 0.252
Shifting Memory of Ages 149 50.0% 33.49 -0.805 71.14% -0.255 -0.1749
Shroud of Silent Mist 434 47.88% 30.85 -1.748 75.81% -0.145 -0.1227
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1750 38.58% 35.33 0.304 80.29% 0.332 0.5095
Thunderspeaker 1669 42.11% 34.28 -0.357 73.88% -0.169 -0.1342
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 5384 64.3% 29.48 -2.445 65.75% -0.31 -0.3258
Vital Strength of the Earth 1628 42.95% 30.5 -2.014 70.33% -0.459 0.3964
Volcano Looming High 1598 47.8% 34.18 -0.879 71.9% -0.074 -0.0942

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.72%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 70.1%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.98%
Stubborn Solidity 92.56%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11563 22.35 8.35%
II 33171 30.84 73.45%
III 29421 34.35 90.47%
IV 11960 37.52 99.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 964
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26196
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23918
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11813
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1315
Lose: Adversary condition 10473
Win: Sacrifice victory 435
Lose: Scenario condition 908
Win: Scenario condition 548
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9330
Lose: Spirit destroyed 215

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.467 Win Model: -0.228

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.131 Win Model: -0.809
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 54207 37.74% 37.22 75.21%
2 17798 52.18% 32.42 69.61%
3 7690 45.16% 34.87 75.31%
4 6420 39.11% 37.01 76.67%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-03-30 02:56:02 (Pacific Time)