Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 108 28.7% 28.34 76.85% 1.054 0.8337 0.68
Blitz 0 1494 37.61% 30.61 61.58% -0.944 -0.6569 -1.039
Dahan Insurrection 4 1062 31.44% 41.86 52.17% -1.297 -1.4122 -0.453
Despicable Theft 2 207 39.13% 24.64 49.28% -0.519 0.2194 -0.809
Elemental Invocation 1 760 49.74% 28.97 49.34% -1.695 -0.9391 -1.389
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6805 19.28% 46.66 71.42% 0.418 -0.1638 0.036
Powers Long Forgotten 1 489 48.98% 28.24 55.21% -1.255 -0.4014 -0.285
Rituals of Terror 3 899 27.37% 77.9 70.08% 2.159 1.9892 0.518
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 620 64.62% 33.52 64.84% -0.304 0.6068 -0.913
Second Wave 0 5147 37.4% 28.14 76.72% 0.133 0.212 -0.183
The Great River 3 291 41.92% 27.51 50.17% 0.189 1.5527 -1.909
Varied Terrains 2 256 45.31% 23.17 46.88% -1.132 -0.2526 -1.245
Ward the Shores 2 514 38.65% 28.38 55.06% -1.129 -0.1471 -1.317

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 95393 37.59% 36.25 70.55% 0.346 0.6902 -0.367
1 Thematic 3664 36.58% 32.88 66.32% 0.283 0.8104 -0.379
2 Archipelago 81 34.57% 31.49 59.26% -0.915 -0.4156 -0.985
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21553 49.12% 31.11 67.33% -0.174 0.1099 -0.714
2 Coastline 3281 45.79% 30.73 66.38% -0.461 -0.4317 -0.783
2 Fragment 653 56.62% 34.2 68.3% 1.105 0.8673 0.38
2 Heart 399 52.88% 31.64 63.91% 0.463 0.3152 -0.49
2 Opposite Shores 4841 46.99% 28.83 65.03% -0.051 0.0081 -1.232
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 1620 47.78% 32.21 59.14% 0.024 0.3936 -0.703
2 Top to Top 773 49.87% 32.91 66.24% 0.201 0.3242 -0.683
3 Archipelago 85 50.59% 58.51 72.94% 0.201 -0.5969 -0.077
3 Coastline 123 36.89% 32.75 69.11% -0.724 -1.2733 0.035
3 Other 751 38.93% 29.51 71.37% 0.377 -0.1605 -0.589
3 Round (Default) 14102 44.83% 33.29 69.72% 0.115 0.0222 -0.665
3 Sunrise 47 51.06% 35.53 63.83% -0.832 -0.6805 0.814
3 Thematic 737 36.6% 58.78 65.94% 0.044 -0.4742 -0.387
4 Archipelago 62 48.33% 38.11 80.65% 0.962 1.395 0.241
4 Coastline 47 38.3% 36.13 82.98% 0.094 -0.6661 0.418
4 Leaf 66 61.54% 27.21 57.58% -0.176 -0.3872 -0.938
4 Other 547 42.02% 33.36 78.79% 0.674 0.6822 -0.034
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 24.5 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1730 33.12% 46.52 75.38% -0.074 0.0596 0.405
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8477 38.71% 32.63 71.43% -0.036 0.0707 -0.807
5 Archipelago 24 79.17% 34.83 70.83% -0.664 -0.4962 -0.853
5 Coastline 21 9.52% 44.43 85.71% 0.0 -0.5066 0.41
5 Other 655 37.75% 30.57 75.73% 0.224 -0.2905 -0.003
5 Thematic 101 36.63% 41.72 72.28% -0.057 -1.0389 0.915
6 Archipelago 53 20.75% 35.25 69.81% 0.62 -0.1094 -0.491
6 Coastline 22 13.64% 41.14 77.27% -0.324 -1.3633 0.238
6 Other 238 34.75% 27.09 63.45% -0.452 0.1828 0.108
6 Star 175 28.57% 30.96 70.29% 0.456 0.7011 0.414
6 Thematic 935 18.67% 33.06 54.87% -0.333 -0.0102 -0.29
6 Two Centers (Default) 903 29.29% 29.15 70.43% -0.304 -0.4077 -0.321
7 Archipelago 18 27.78% 46.22 77.78% -0.583 0.009 0.347
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 11.0 0.0% -0.682 -0.3405 0.0
7 Other 24 29.17% 22.21 58.33% 0.139 -1.2979 0.085

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4288 33.41 54.08% -0.145 -0.0408 -0.454
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3657 35.65 57.89% 0.198 0.0532 -0.294
All Things Weaken 4764 31.9 51.99% -0.43 -0.0643 -0.522
Attenuated Essence 501 32.14 51.3% -0.297 -0.2983 -0.408
Back Against the Wall 3809 34.51 54.5% -0.009 0.0558 -0.349
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 503 33.67 51.09% -0.244 -0.0094 -0.492
Burn Brightest Before the End 426 33.79 51.17% 0.292 0.4521 -0.269
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4060 30.38 50.74% -0.204 0.1718 -0.622
Downward Spiral 4813 32.36 57.41% -0.212 -0.1405 -0.373
Erosion of Will 4132 32.45 51.21% -0.42 -0.1634 -0.704
Intensifying Exploitation 525 30.41 49.71% -0.377 -0.1029 -0.539
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2210 37.52 72.9% 0.298 -0.189 0.091
Memory Fades to Dust 4726 31.8 54.89% 0.169 0.3516 -0.533
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4693 31.91 54.06% -0.509 -0.2964 -0.541
Promising Farmlands 4093 31.17 51.5% -0.453 -0.1303 -0.633
Shattered Fragments of Power 438 34.12 53.88% -0.152 0.0186 -0.341
Slow Dissolution of Will 511 31.08 45.4% -0.55 -0.1657 -0.706
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1664 38.64 78.73% 0.071 -0.605 0.455
The Border of Life and Death 193 34.63 59.59% 0.107 -0.4096 0.229
Thriving Communities 4809 30.74 51.99% -0.444 -0.1204 -0.529
Thriving Crops 297 34.33 57.91% -0.308 -0.3067 0.029
Unnatural Proliferation 5115 34.74 58.3% 0.079 0.2655 -0.244
Untended Land Crumbles 4761 29.86 49.09% -0.43 -0.0914 -0.702

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 32530 42.21% 32.66 69.45% 0.043 0.9063 -0.032
B 34904 41.96% 32.69 69.16% -0.032 0.789 -0.108
C 43129 39.3% 35.42 70.47% 0.132 0.8298 0.014
D 30784 43.52% 31.9 68.48% -0.088 0.768 -0.159
E 30617 41.2% 33.46 69.91% -0.024 0.6641 0.068
F 30323 41.16% 34.22 70.47% 0.185 1.0032 0.137
G 25915 41.7% 33.55 69.85% 0.16 1.04 0.097
H 25363 42.34% 33.57 69.74% -0.009 0.7717 0.035
East 6410 35.08% 39.91 65.69% 0.532 1.3248 -0.832
Northeast 3997 31.77% 43.52 65.87% -0.089 0.7916 -0.255
Northwest 3437 32.11% 38.78 65.41% -0.31 0.5611 -0.786
Southeast 2768 30.93% 34.5 63.33% -0.21 0.6487 -0.392
Southwest 2675 31.87% 33.18 61.83% -0.306 0.9035 -1.566
West 6097 35.02% 38.9 64.18% -0.223 0.8372 -0.998

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1117 0.0% 24.13 80.04% 0.063 0.779 -0.205
Not Using Events or Tokens 98 39.53% 23.03 75.51% 0.924 1.3979 0.941
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4908 10.38% 46.29 85.49% 0.453 -0.1139 0.092
Start of Game Growth 7853 14.31% 45.09 82.62% 0.079 -0.5856 0.287
Unlimited Undo 15441 29.93% 37.81 77.16% -0.048 -0.0251 0.325
Using Tokens but Not Events 17139 28.7% 29.84 75.07% -0.098 -0.0507 -0.463

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8361 34.48% 35.98 71.43% -0.064 -0.2607 0.33
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 135 34.81% 33.86 65.93% 0.868 0.1531 0.426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1795 48.82% 34.21 66.85% -0.013 0.2549 -0.227
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 258 41.86% 20.12 39.92% -0.104 -0.6718 -0.732
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2863 40.69% 30.64 70.49% -0.068 -0.1988 -0.312
Downpour Drenches the World 1227 32.38% 26.74 56.15% -0.108 0.1614 -0.179
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1463 33.61% 29.0 61.24% 0.415 -0.0173 -0.165
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4019 36.57% 33.52 74.35% 0.005 -0.4177 0.006
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3289 36.29% 33.72 72.64% -0.2 -0.645 0.266
Finder of Paths Unseen 1061 33.05% 30.34 63.24% -0.374 0.2831 0.401
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1947 36.4% 34.58 66.31% 0.744 1.5515 0.009
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1770 42.15% 28.08 63.73% 0.027 -0.0903 -0.164
Heart of the Wildfire 5917 57.83% 29.59 61.35% -0.273 0.0143 -0.233
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9519 35.13% 35.69 73.64% -0.089 -0.4818 0.398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 356 30.34% 28.62 50.56% -0.39 -0.795 -0.785
Lightning's Swift Strike 2486 44.87% 29.83 70.64% -0.183 0.0844 -0.191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 559 46.69% 36.79 61.9% 0.51 0.1585 -0.001
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 915 36.66% 34.81 70.6% -0.401 -0.8422 0.624
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1143 47.23% 30.69 63.17% 0.173 0.1304 0.333
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5530 40.08% 36.2 71.32% 0.129 -0.1216 0.159
Many Minds Move as One 3415 34.91% 40.19 76.13% 0.352 0.1211 0.791
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4523 40.73% 33.64 69.53% 0.44 0.3355 0.209
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3153 43.81% 31.87 71.14% 0.489 0.3327 0.16
River Surges in Sunlight 3880 38.43% 33.78 72.29% 0.633 0.7223 0.269
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 39 33.33% 31.38 58.97% 0.056 -0.0556 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1114 40.53% 30.81 63.73% -0.352 0.038 -0.672
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 704 44.16% 41.36 66.48% -0.093 0.0445 0.526
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4155 40.62% 34.36 70.23% -0.285 -0.4785 -0.001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1009 52.89% 26.88 66.5% -0.891 -0.4055 -0.163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 120 50.83% 29.69 62.5% 0.612 0.6677 0.479
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 214 37.38% 32.5 68.22% 0.164 -0.3045 0.095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 145 43.06% 33.68 62.76% -0.697 -0.481 0.165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 555 42.99% 31.47 69.37% -1.208 -1.1791 -0.179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 371 48.38% 29.08 70.62% -0.861 -0.6885 0.267
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3573 34.38% 38.78 77.13% 1.068 0.9151 0.605
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 486 32.02% 33.79 67.28% 0.652 0.4536 0.454
Shifting Memory of Ages 1840 45.79% 27.77 62.07% -0.795 -0.3458 -0.308
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 110 36.36% 26.54 61.82% 0.213 -0.0917 0.633
Shroud of Silent Mist 1541 44.96% 26.8 66.06% -0.002 0.3338 -0.406
Starlight Seeks its Form 2415 35.98% 32.02 67.78% -0.103 -0.1584 0.096
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2902 39.34% 32.66 75.53% -0.208 -0.014 0.461
Thunderspeaker 3653 36.33% 32.0 69.7% 0.057 0.0028 -0.045
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 200 42.21% 24.02 43.5% -0.221 -0.0872 -0.788
Towering Roots of the Jungle 169 42.26% 26.67 55.62% -0.058 -0.0487 -0.855
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 7819 62.29% 28.56 62.83% -0.355 -0.2718 -0.343
Vital Strength of the Earth 2115 38.62% 27.05 72.34% 0.73 1.3247 -0.712
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 501 35.94% 35.15 64.47% 0.188 0.6276 -0.197
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 808 47.27% 32.08 59.41% -0.603 0.088 -0.549
Volcano Looming High 4071 46.56% 30.94 66.18% -0.002 0.1015 -0.198
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 585 38.29% 27.34 57.09% 0.367 0.1143 0.006

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Jagged Shards Push From the Earth 85.53%
Plows Shatter On Rocky Ground 68.44%
Scarred and Stony Land 90.78%
Stubborn Solidity 92.76%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29430 15.45 5.53%
II 58956 30.45 72.08%
III 52186 34.8 90.3%
IV 21729 38.47 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1625
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46416
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41802
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21268
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9471
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2456
Lose: Adversary condition 19058
Win: Sacrifice victory 962
Lose: Scenario condition 1483
Win: Scenario condition 836
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16454
Lose: Spirit destroyed 470

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.472 Win Model: -0.075

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.365 Win Model: -0.087
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 99777 37.55% 36.11 70.39%
2 33201 48.55% 31.57 66.49%
3 15606 44.3% 33.77 69.75%
4 10820 38.36% 34.02 72.48%
5 560 36.64% 27.61 69.11%
6 2337 24.92% 31.0 63.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)