Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 98 27.55% 30.29 71.43% -0.083 -0.3032 0.434
Blitz 0 363 29.69% 28.67 60.06% -0.435 -0.1482 -0.301
Dahan Insurrection 4 353 34.56% 45.17 54.39% -0.19 -0.3048 -0.386
Despicable Theft 2 154 41.56% 27.46 53.25% -1.1 -0.3616 -0.706
Elemental Invocation 1 595 42.02% 25.2 59.83% -0.264 0.4921 -0.756
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2622 14.56% 43.21 66.63% 0.851 0.2694 0.289
Powers Long Forgotten 1 151 45.03% 20.23 41.72% -0.568 0.2853 -0.666
Rituals of Terror 3 138 37.4% 32.22 56.52% -0.321 -0.4908 -0.955
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 100 51.0% 28.83 53.0% -0.086 0.8251 -0.382
Second Wave 0 1468 32.4% 27.29 72.68% -0.219 -0.14 0.059
The Great River 3 138 39.86% 24.35 42.75% -0.911 0.453 -1.574
Varied Terrains 2 157 42.68% 26.82 55.41% 0.127 1.0065 -1.257
Ward the Shores 2 250 18.07% 24.4 50.0% -0.248 0.7331 -0.918

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 49428 41.88% 31.97 63.1% 0.061 0.4049 -1.029
1 Thematic 936 34.45% 26.4 58.01% -0.399 0.1286 -0.638
2 Archipelago 122 47.11% 30.57 52.46% -0.882 -0.3829 -1.921
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10434 42.26% 32.34 65.31% 0.041 0.3258 -1.654
2 Coastline 1899 28.9% 31.73 75.88% 0.639 0.6681 -0.95
2 Fragment 459 55.6% 38.77 66.23% 0.469 0.2314 0.055
2 Heart 265 55.68% 35.35 60.0% 0.263 0.115 -0.996
2 Opposite Shores 2514 38.78% 31.13 65.71% -0.018 0.0415 -1.625
2 Thematic 560 40.25% 29.0 54.11% -0.061 0.309 -0.565
2 Top to Top 366 43.17% 34.95 72.4% 0.701 0.8243 -1.061
3 Archipelago 63 44.44% 40.03 87.3% 0.032 -0.7659 0.109
3 Coastline 74 28.38% 26.07 64.86% 0.523 -0.026 -0.995
3 Other 253 28.06% 22.43 60.08% -0.317 -0.8543 -0.311
3 Round (Default) 7092 39.16% 33.11 68.95% -0.148 -0.2409 -1.758
3 Sunrise 34 67.65% 37.62 91.18% -0.181 -0.0302 -0.079
3 Thematic 200 39.0% 35.3 65.0% 0.66 0.1421 0.396
4 Archipelago 48 45.83% 43.56 85.42% 0.172 0.6045 -0.995
4 Coastline 31 16.13% 30.94 77.42% -0.17 -0.9302 -0.431
4 Leaf 40 50.0% 28.8 47.5% 0.209 -0.0021 -1.995
4 Other 112 36.61% 30.92 79.46% 0.558 0.5658 -0.225
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.746 0.6759 0.0
4 Thematic 371 33.51% 33.67 71.43% -0.227 -0.0934 -0.595
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3813 37.1% 32.78 64.07% -0.636 -0.5295 -2.643
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.0 0.168 -0.137
5 Coastline 18 27.78% 28.61 77.78% 0.085 -0.4212 -0.274
5 Other 470 30.77% 32.49 73.19% -1.031 -1.5457 -2.232
5 Thematic 61 27.87% 27.28 62.3% 0.067 -0.9152 -1.503
6 Archipelago 64 12.7% 40.61 76.56% -0.024 -0.754 -1.739
6 Coastline 15 26.67% 21.6 46.67% -1.027 -2.0659 -1.015
6 Other 416 26.92% 28.79 69.71% -1.554 -0.9185 -2.652
6 Star 269 23.05% 33.61 73.98% -0.166 0.0785 -1.987
6 Thematic 619 40.91% 38.08 68.01% -1.232 -0.9093 -1.28
6 Two Centers (Default) 1585 16.39% 38.21 66.44% -1.264 -1.3675 -3.495
7 Archipelago 19 26.32% 58.42 73.68% 0.0 0.5915 -0.883
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 -0.851
7 Other 26 36.0% 22.85 42.31% 0.116 -1.3211 -1.634

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2064 35.23 50.78% 0.174 0.2782 -0.103
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1855 39.28 59.95% 0.293 0.1486 0.258
All Things Weaken 2184 33.63 51.05% -0.097 0.2685 -0.094
Attenuated Essence 555 31.42 53.15% 0.326 0.3245 -0.18
Back Against the Wall 1878 38.78 57.29% 0.149 0.2136 0.097
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 543 31.13 45.12% -0.118 0.1171 -0.167
Burn Brightest Before the End 472 34.9 55.72% 0.734 0.8941 -0.036
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2040 32.56 48.53% -0.093 0.2825 -0.264
Downward Spiral 2275 33.05 55.25% 0.024 0.0957 0.042
Erosion of Will 2114 33.87 49.24% -0.366 -0.11 -0.247
Intensifying Exploitation 562 29.37 44.84% -0.038 0.2365 -0.447
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 954 37.41 70.13% 0.831 0.3446 0.491
Memory Fades to Dust 2361 33.04 52.69% 0.136 0.3185 -0.104
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2259 33.28 52.81% 0.286 0.4985 -0.143
Promising Farmlands 2113 33.35 49.74% -0.339 -0.0157 -0.238
Shattered Fragments of Power 446 34.72 54.93% 0.437 0.6077 0.024
Slow Dissolution of Will 523 29.67 41.3% -0.123 0.2605 -0.5
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 691 36.96 72.36% 0.874 0.1978 0.462
The Border of Life and Death 161 30.77 60.87% -0.083 -0.5991 0.15
Thriving Communities 2194 32.37 49.5% -0.018 0.3056 -0.2
Thriving Crops 292 32.14 53.08% -0.154 -0.1522 0.025
Unnatural Proliferation 2381 35.87 53.84% 0.273 0.4594 0.04
Untended Land Crumbles 2251 32.32 50.47% -0.641 -0.3019 -0.251

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 18591 38.43% 31.57 64.31% 0.065 0.9285 0.47
B 19060 37.85% 32.24 64.92% 0.131 0.952 0.387
C 21248 37.27% 32.84 65.99% 0.229 0.9271 0.607
D 16372 37.37% 31.84 66.52% 0.192 1.0483 0.42
E 17706 38.5% 33.64 65.5% 0.235 0.9232 0.643
F 15580 38.63% 32.92 65.59% -0.103 0.7151 0.537
G 13837 38.01% 32.68 65.91% 0.176 1.056 0.562
H 14108 38.21% 32.78 65.62% 0.266 1.0461 0.558
East 2176 36.77% 32.77 63.79% -0.42 0.3725 -0.998
Northeast 1530 37.02% 34.03 65.16% 0.195 1.0756 -0.182
Northwest 1319 37.97% 33.63 64.22% -0.117 0.7538 -0.728
Southeast 1110 37.97% 34.75 65.23% 0.198 1.0565 -0.773
Southwest 1031 38.24% 33.9 63.34% -0.945 0.2643 -0.662
West 2011 38.64% 32.19 61.66% -0.101 0.959 -0.843

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 557 0.0% 20.21 69.84% -0.233 0.4826 -0.542
Not Using Events or Tokens 707 24.66% 22.0 78.5% 0.058 0.532 -1.018
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2056 9.53% 41.84 74.61% 0.39 -0.1775 0.163
Start of Game Growth 2602 14.6% 39.11 72.48% 0.254 -0.4109 0.049
Unlimited Undo 10297 32.83% 39.29 72.68% 0.38 0.4026 1.223
Using Tokens but Not Events 7240 20.75% 24.79 73.98% -0.002 0.0461 -0.864

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4318 26.26% 34.22 69.57% 0.483 0.2864 0.044
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 161 31.06% 36.76 60.87% 0.563 -0.1513 0.395
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 633 41.76% 27.91 62.4% -0.005 0.2637 0.21
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 276 46.01% 28.45 50.0% -0.459 -1.0268 -0.221
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1164 35.23% 29.19 73.54% -0.051 -0.1815 0.303
Downpour Drenches the World 2187 32.11% 35.87 60.49% -0.214 0.0558 -0.063
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1985 32.21% 30.01 64.23% -0.167 -0.5983 -0.144
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1865 27.23% 33.38 75.76% 0.446 0.0229 -0.04
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1218 33.78% 32.17 72.58% -0.063 -0.5086 -0.041
Finder of Paths Unseen 1079 37.53% 35.7 65.99% -0.725 -0.0683 0.456
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2435 25.7% 37.94 64.85% -0.379 0.4292 -0.303
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1974 47.24% 32.84 64.03% 0.325 0.2075 0.077
Heart of the Wildfire 1130 52.35% 29.97 60.0% 0.075 0.3617 -0.43
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4646 31.51% 35.36 70.56% -0.056 -0.4486 0.265
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 299 30.64% 31.59 64.21% 0.148 -0.257 -0.247
Lightning's Swift Strike 1039 32.23% 27.31 74.4% -0.399 -0.1317 -0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 658 42.47% 39.09 66.41% 0.115 -0.2367 -0.05
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 504 30.34% 31.15 61.71% 0.494 0.0526 0.869
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1667 34.35% 40.89 65.39% 0.423 0.3805 0.807
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2849 36.96% 34.23 69.18% 0.045 -0.2061 -0.116
Many Minds Move as One 1296 33.87% 34.05 71.14% 0.583 0.3528 0.445
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2297 34.43% 32.45 67.91% -0.154 -0.2582 0.268
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1202 37.48% 31.21 69.38% -0.466 -0.6224 0.105
River Surges in Sunlight 1486 32.88% 32.33 75.37% -0.449 -0.3598 0.077
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 61 39.34% 32.8 63.93% 0.157 0.0451 0.279
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 763 36.61% 31.0 63.04% -0.28 0.1094 -0.489
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1422 37.39% 39.97 61.04% -0.304 -0.1663 -0.109
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3154 28.12% 38.72 66.58% 0.515 0.3216 0.377
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 246 38.62% 25.45 75.2% 1.171 1.6563 0.051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 123 42.15% 28.88 66.67% 0.189 0.2444 0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 203 47.29% 32.07 68.47% 0.443 -0.0251 0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 133 45.11% 30.0 69.92% -0.7 -0.4848 -0.124
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 224 37.5% 28.11 66.96% -1.211 -1.1819 0.919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 189 46.28% 29.0 70.9% -0.162 0.0106 -0.502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1327 29.81% 34.58 70.76% 0.614 0.4613 0.199
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 488 30.31% 30.31 66.8% -0.142 -0.3405 -0.245
Shifting Memory of Ages 2417 37.14% 33.54 66.2% -0.136 0.3127 0.033
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 186 34.95% 31.05 60.22% 0.053 -0.2519 0.022
Shroud of Silent Mist 935 41.52% 26.18 62.46% -0.139 0.197 -0.367
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2415 35.98% 32.02 67.78% -0.07 -0.6932 -0.102
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1224 34.76% 34.19 72.79% 0.255 0.4491 0.537
Thunderspeaker 1427 32.39% 31.56 68.75% -0.632 -0.6857 -0.657
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 220 31.36% 24.52 60.91% 0.564 0.6985 0.367
Towering Roots of the Jungle 200 45.0% 30.52 67.5% 0.538 0.5474 -0.261
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1305 56.89% 33.17 62.68% -0.478 -0.3947 0.131
Vital Strength of the Earth 877 22.95% 21.14 64.42% -0.026 0.5683 -2.385
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 664 41.03% 37.13 64.46% -0.31 0.1297 0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 274 39.56% 25.99 58.39% 0.079 0.7703 -0.766
Volcano Looming High 2260 43.77% 35.13 71.55% 0.07 0.173 0.499
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 639 37.05% 32.68 66.2% 0.08 -0.1725 -0.032

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 38.21%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 20.45%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 28.39%
Shape the Self Anew 19.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18932 15.45 7.04%
II 23770 30.45 63.67%
III 25905 34.8 88.2%
IV 14255 38.47 99.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1331
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22496
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14838
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14095
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11218
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1623
Lose: Adversary condition 7607
Win: Sacrifice victory 470
Lose: Scenario condition 467
Win: Scenario condition 317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8126
Lose: Spirit destroyed 274

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.348 Win Model: -0.143

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.129 Win Model: 0.249
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 50983 41.82% 31.88 62.98%
2 16426 40.88% 32.38 66.42%
3 7546 38.37% 32.82 69.36%
4 4357 36.42% 32.81 65.37%
5 595 28.55% 29.82 69.58%
6 2955 23.96% 37.01 68.7%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)