Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 114 28.07% 30.88 71.05% 0.152 0.3428 0.439
Blitz 0 443 28.15% 26.72 55.08% -0.452 -0.2343 -0.359
Dahan Insurrection 4 432 33.8% 40.79 50.0% -0.41 -0.663 -0.443
Despicable Theft 2 197 38.07% 24.62 47.21% -2.274 -1.6872 -0.757
Elemental Invocation 1 797 40.83% 24.57 56.71% -0.741 -0.002 -0.792
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3089 14.64% 42.18 65.68% 0.598 0.036 0.358
Powers Long Forgotten 1 235 43.4% 18.82 37.87% -0.778 -0.0187 -0.648
Rituals of Terror 3 163 37.18% 30.72 55.21% -0.364 -0.2441 -1.059
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 122 48.36% 28.7 54.1% 0.376 1.2836 -0.256
Second Wave 0 1946 32.31% 26.81 69.17% -0.062 0.0762 0.249
The Great River 3 173 36.99% 23.64 41.62% -1.822 -0.7217 -1.522
Varied Terrains 2 227 40.97% 24.74 50.22% 0.129 0.9051 -1.308
Ward the Shores 2 325 19.75% 23.01 45.23% -0.693 0.3818 -0.894

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 62748 40.92% 30.32 60.41% -0.362 -0.0298 -1.154
1 Thematic 1184 34.25% 25.09 55.07% 0.114 0.7993 -0.576
2 Archipelago 147 43.84% 29.98 48.98% -1.05 -0.4422 -2.354
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13369 41.43% 31.56 64.31% -0.155 -0.0351 -1.739
2 Coastline 2381 29.18% 30.16 72.66% -0.171 -0.2428 -1.127
2 Fragment 529 51.91% 37.06 65.97% 0.757 0.5723 -0.053
2 Heart 340 56.34% 36.01 58.24% 0.449 0.2921 -1.014
2 Opposite Shores 3289 37.34% 30.39 63.48% -0.415 -0.2635 -1.799
2 Thematic 715 40.95% 27.75 51.47% -0.199 0.3091 -0.633
2 Top to Top 485 41.44% 33.73 69.9% -0.193 -0.251 -1.168
3 Archipelago 73 41.1% 38.01 83.56% -0.69 -1.6414 -0.42
3 Coastline 94 28.72% 25.06 62.77% 1.179 0.7686 -1.019
3 Other 313 29.71% 22.23 59.11% -0.265 -1.0364 -0.415
3 Round (Default) 9270 38.62% 31.85 66.19% -0.404 -0.4948 -1.968
3 Sunrise 40 60.0% 37.48 87.5% 0.186 0.0898 0.047
3 Thematic 290 36.9% 32.6 58.97% -0.565 -0.5446 0.131
4 Archipelago 57 40.35% 44.91 84.21% 0.0 -0.5301 -1.316
4 Coastline 53 28.3% 29.53 66.04% 0.132 0.0465 -1.664
4 Leaf 61 57.38% 24.59 40.98% -0.268 -0.4293 -2.378
4 Other 154 38.31% 29.08 72.73% -0.239 -0.9496 -0.377
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4433 0.0
4 Thematic 472 34.61% 31.82 68.43% -0.121 0.0018 -0.69
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5252 35.85% 30.99 60.85% -0.921 -0.9236 -2.919
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.222 0.192 -0.188
5 Coastline 20 25.0% 29.75 75.0% 0.337 0.1906 -0.365
5 Other 636 28.23% 30.64 70.13% -0.85 -1.3636 -2.316
5 Thematic 80 33.75% 26.7 56.25% -0.15 -0.207 -1.382
6 Archipelago 75 14.86% 40.97 73.33% -0.439 -1.4774 -1.888
6 Coastline 17 29.41% 21.47 47.06% -0.241 -1.2005 -1.127
6 Other 580 25.86% 27.46 66.03% -1.14 -1.2438 -2.905
6 Star 383 21.67% 30.48 66.32% -1.074 -1.0879 -3.114
6 Thematic 836 44.23% 36.92 63.64% -0.893 -0.6069 -1.455
6 Two Centers (Default) 2055 17.03% 35.46 62.68% -1.605 -1.0725 -3.934
7 Archipelago 19 26.32% 58.42 73.68% 0.0 0.0647 -0.886
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.858
7 Other 39 27.78% 24.28 43.59% -0.636 -1.1945 -1.543

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2502 34.21 50.08% -0.183 0.0683 0.053
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2171 38.65 59.37% 0.64 0.5819 0.396
All Things Weaken 2684 32.85 50.15% -0.167 0.1676 0.025
Attenuated Essence 914 31.35 52.84% 0.166 0.1997 -0.0
Back Against the Wall 2223 38.21 56.91% 0.396 0.4313 0.282
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 889 31.39 46.68% 0.21 0.4275 0.106
Burn Brightest Before the End 769 34.62 53.32% 0.236 0.2466 0.071
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2455 31.55 47.37% -0.105 0.2396 -0.127
Downward Spiral 2816 31.97 54.08% 0.065 0.1824 0.144
Erosion of Will 2501 32.96 48.5% -0.19 0.0843 -0.121
Intensifying Exploitation 882 29.17 45.24% 0.156 0.367 -0.208
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1192 35.51 66.78% 0.077 -0.4961 0.497
Memory Fades to Dust 2909 31.58 50.84% -0.186 0.0663 0.03
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2752 32.43 51.49% -0.024 0.1808 0.005
Promising Farmlands 2567 32.58 49.16% 0.332 0.5865 -0.099
Shattered Fragments of Power 710 33.56 52.96% -0.123 -0.0489 -0.013
Slow Dissolution of Will 850 29.45 41.88% -0.085 0.2962 -0.373
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 833 35.66 70.23% 0.253 -0.4207 0.571
The Border of Life and Death 263 33.72 62.74% 0.693 0.0921 0.473
Thriving Communities 2702 31.34 48.7% -0.166 0.116 -0.06
Thriving Crops 480 31.26 54.37% 0.33 0.1901 0.129
Unnatural Proliferation 2882 35.14 53.02% 0.258 0.4619 0.2
Untended Land Crumbles 2676 31.41 49.48% -0.207 -0.0173 -0.119

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 24418 36.98% 30.04 61.76% 0.274 1.2723 0.532
B 24837 36.89% 30.7 62.3% 0.156 1.0779 0.463
C 27536 36.35% 31.32 63.12% 0.308 1.0369 0.641
D 21387 36.61% 30.33 63.52% 0.288 1.2467 0.463
E 22734 37.6% 32.08 63.09% 0.428 1.2468 0.701
F 20288 37.81% 31.32 62.82% 0.064 0.9454 0.57
G 17717 37.35% 31.35 63.58% 0.135 0.9601 0.632
H 18126 37.88% 31.46 63.03% 0.174 1.0133 0.596
East 2881 37.95% 31.28 60.08% 0.06 0.9346 -1.116
Northeast 2008 38.43% 32.78 61.65% -0.043 0.7091 -0.228
Northwest 1751 39.62% 32.6 60.77% -0.318 0.5741 -0.847
Southeast 1490 40.55% 33.12 60.67% -0.378 0.461 -0.767
Southwest 1375 42.06% 32.74 59.35% -0.196 1.1084 -0.544
West 2634 40.2% 30.95 58.12% -0.939 0.011 -1.1

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 779 0.0% 17.54 62.39% -1.364 -0.6352 -0.621
Not Using Events or Tokens 926 25.32% 21.26 72.57% -0.082 0.2633 -0.204
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2581 9.92% 40.19 72.49% 1.056 0.4528 0.267
Start of Game Growth 3430 14.92% 36.8 69.56% 0.082 -0.4216 -0.005
Unlimited Undo 13192 32.51% 37.34 69.35% 0.296 0.1885 1.226
Using Tokens but Not Events 9736 20.84% 23.51 70.56% 0.392 0.3626 -0.951

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5246 25.35% 33.11 68.62% 0.361 0.2664 0.144
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 650 29.17% 36.11 60.46% 0.796 0.3204 0.156
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 777 41.59% 26.34 59.85% -0.324 -0.2116 0.103
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 525 47.81% 27.02 47.81% -0.534 -1.3474 -0.299
Dances Up Earthquakes 523 29.17% 28.68 51.82% 0.596 0.5868 0.329
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1529 35.72% 28.34 70.57% 0.197 0.0575 0.217
Downpour Drenches the World 2975 31.62% 33.44 55.7% -0.067 0.16 0.004
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2594 32.7% 30.24 64.53% 0.182 -0.3873 0.087
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2302 26.64% 32.2 73.76% 0.154 -0.2338 -0.041
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1546 33.27% 30.21 68.24% -0.014 -0.4082 -0.237
Finder of Paths Unseen 1417 37.48% 33.2 60.55% -0.731 -0.0027 0.368
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3101 24.37% 35.17 61.4% -0.108 0.5326 -0.179
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2336 46.4% 31.7 62.16% -0.317 -0.4502 0.139
Heart of the Wildfire 1408 51.32% 28.08 57.1% -0.661 -0.3321 -0.432
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5555 32.98% 34.34 67.97% -0.005 -0.4286 0.342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 591 26.83% 29.3 64.81% 0.321 0.0147 -0.185
Lightning's Swift Strike 1260 34.92% 26.2 70.95% -0.312 -0.0746 -0.468
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 907 44.7% 36.87 62.95% 0.084 -0.3236 0.046
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 597 30.81% 30.36 60.47% 0.077 -0.2423 0.95
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2286 32.44% 37.99 61.59% 0.26 0.1788 0.813
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3516 36.95% 32.46 65.76% -0.533 -0.7255 -0.133
Many Minds Move as One 1738 33.04% 31.96 66.8% -0.108 -0.324 0.39
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2946 32.82% 30.93 65.07% -0.069 0.0711 0.385
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 490 38.16% 29.02 59.8% 0.03 0.1107 -0.071
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1516 38.4% 30.6 67.55% 0.101 0.0229 0.268
River Surges in Sunlight 1958 29.94% 29.82 70.74% -0.026 0.0998 0.222
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 215 34.42% 28.75 50.7% 0.27 0.4479 -0.647
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 939 36.03% 29.21 60.28% -0.33 -0.0512 -0.381
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1846 37.2% 38.88 58.99% 0.683 0.5603 -0.063
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4005 28.09% 37.76 64.99% 0.593 0.4657 0.464
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 350 26.57% 32.57 61.71% 0.267 0.1542 0.345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 326 38.96% 25.46 76.07% 0.504 1.0194 -0.648
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 152 39.33% 29.85 68.42% 0.178 0.1597 0.121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 386 42.49% 29.68 61.4% -0.066 -0.5686 0.153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 168 43.45% 27.92 66.07% -0.374 -0.5653 0.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 266 35.34% 26.65 63.91% -0.428 -0.4874 0.851
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 226 46.22% 27.59 65.49% -0.541 -0.4595 -0.284
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1554 30.11% 33.24 68.73% -0.127 -0.0474 0.304
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 708 30.78% 28.59 63.7% -0.382 -0.5685 -0.126
Shifting Memory of Ages 2840 36.17% 32.25 62.96% -0.002 0.265 -0.056
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 685 33.33% 30.24 59.42% 0.19 0.0713 -0.051
Shroud of Silent Mist 1225 40.16% 24.79 59.76% -0.418 -0.0665 -0.243
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2999 35.41% 30.37 65.46% 0.264 -0.2491 -0.069
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1547 33.05% 32.65 70.46% 0.494 0.6119 0.589
Thunderspeaker 1803 32.53% 30.18 65.89% -0.146 -0.1141 -0.635
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 338 27.51% 25.05 63.02% 0.883 0.8962 0.217
Towering Roots of the Jungle 637 40.19% 28.99 59.97% -0.204 -0.074 -0.04
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1641 57.32% 31.66 60.21% -0.238 -0.1114 0.053
Vital Strength of the Earth 1141 23.57% 20.4 63.28% 0.639 1.2386 -2.387
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 883 39.34% 35.37 62.17% 0.046 0.54 0.309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 348 38.62% 25.08 56.03% -0.531 0.1668 -0.858
Volcano Looming High 2912 45.25% 33.79 67.82% -0.17 -0.1222 0.456
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1035 35.37% 31.6 63.86% -0.243 -0.5332 0.048

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 39.54%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 21.44%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 29.59%
Shape the Self Anew 20.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27066 13.42 6.34%
II 29791 30.13 62.53%
III 32082 34.83 88.27%
IV 17382 38.67 99.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1712
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27893
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18262
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17183
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18300
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1875
Lose: Adversary condition 9400
Win: Sacrifice victory 595
Lose: Scenario condition 526
Win: Scenario condition 363
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9857
Lose: Spirit destroyed 355

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.312 Win Model: -0.143

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.198 Win Model: 0.173
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 64796 40.87% 30.23 60.3%
2 20926 40.0% 31.53 65.02%
3 9915 38.04% 31.57 66.35%
4 5967 35.54% 31.01 61.92%
5 778 27.35% 28.71 66.97%
6 3939 24.89% 34.61 64.41%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)