Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 78 25.64% 30.45 75.64% 0.806 0.8574 0.514
Blitz 0 341 29.55% 29.58 61.29% -0.876 -0.6749 -0.294
Dahan Insurrection 4 318 33.33% 45.35 54.72% -0.696 -0.9073 -0.416
Despicable Theft 2 140 42.86% 29.16 56.43% -0.688 0.1562 -0.634
Elemental Invocation 1 552 42.75% 25.46 60.51% -1.118 -0.0466 -0.74
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2462 14.88% 43.6 66.33% 0.237 -0.4874 0.267
Powers Long Forgotten 1 132 45.45% 20.67 41.67% -1.093 -0.187 -0.673
Rituals of Terror 3 121 37.72% 32.68 58.68% -0.144 -0.1141 -0.876
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 96 52.08% 29.21 53.13% -0.898 0.291 -0.52
Second Wave 0 1325 32.47% 27.77 73.96% -0.231 -0.15 0.171
The Great River 3 129 39.53% 24.89 44.19% -1.509 -0.1215 -1.379
Varied Terrains 2 147 42.18% 26.98 55.1% -0.727 0.1743 -1.217
Ward the Shores 2 232 18.61% 24.78 50.0% -0.79 0.2652 -0.962

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 46428 42.27% 32.49 63.75% -0.122 -0.0912 -1.017
1 Thematic 865 34.39% 26.72 59.54% -0.278 0.1539 -0.562
2 Archipelago 112 46.85% 31.06 56.25% -0.364 0.1289 -1.475
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9477 42.86% 32.98 66.2% -0.003 -0.052 -1.67
2 Coastline 1732 29.52% 32.34 75.98% 0.378 0.2773 -0.913
2 Fragment 437 54.27% 39.37 67.05% -0.008 -0.4209 -0.001
2 Heart 250 56.22% 35.2 59.6% 0.084 -0.0055 -1.072
2 Opposite Shores 2269 39.51% 31.82 66.68% -0.278 -0.4578 -1.566
2 Thematic 489 40.7% 29.53 55.01% -0.239 -0.0524 -0.507
2 Top to Top 334 43.41% 35.53 71.86% -0.147 -0.346 -1.128
3 Archipelago 60 46.67% 40.82 88.33% 0.255 -0.8658 0.099
3 Coastline 67 29.85% 26.46 64.18% -0.272 -0.9336 -0.96
3 Other 234 27.35% 22.31 61.11% 0.728 0.3937 -0.205
3 Round (Default) 6528 39.2% 33.27 69.56% -0.066 -0.3319 -1.787
3 Sunrise 30 66.67% 37.77 93.33% 0.0 0.5109 -0.105
3 Thematic 176 42.05% 34.55 64.2% -0.103 -0.5494 0.352
4 Archipelago 46 47.83% 43.15 84.78% 0.428 -0.1288 -1.052
4 Coastline 28 14.29% 29.79 78.57% -0.116 -0.7347 -0.591
4 Leaf 38 50.0% 28.55 47.37% -2.246 -1.4001 -1.959
4 Other 100 35.0% 30.25 80.0% 0.597 -0.1406 -0.296
4 Thematic 332 34.14% 33.98 72.89% 0.011 0.2142 -0.525
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3258 37.28% 34.74 67.68% -0.667 -0.3267 -2.488
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.0 -0.0008 -0.116
5 Coastline 18 27.78% 28.61 77.78% 0.178 -0.3498 -0.316
5 Other 432 30.23% 32.94 75.23% -0.345 -1.0665 -2.108
5 Thematic 58 25.86% 26.91 63.79% -0.891 -0.7312 -1.574
6 Archipelago 57 12.5% 38.51 77.19% 0.05 -0.6653 -1.723
6 Coastline 12 25.0% 24.5 58.33% 0.042 -0.4465 -0.567
6 Other 366 26.23% 30.39 73.77% -1.784 -1.3438 -2.63
6 Star 251 22.31% 34.36 74.9% 0.003 0.3012 -1.873
6 Thematic 573 41.75% 38.85 69.63% -0.6 -0.5749 -1.418
6 Two Centers (Default) 1465 16.42% 38.94 67.17% -0.98 -0.8822 -3.513
7 Archipelago 19 26.32% 58.42 73.68% -0.723 -0.1965 -0.985
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.878
7 Other 24 39.13% 21.58 41.67% -0.202 -1.6185 -1.536

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1962 35.56 50.97% -0.061 0.0775 -0.141
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1756 39.53 59.85% 0.554 0.495 0.228
All Things Weaken 2056 33.97 51.26% -0.312 0.0426 -0.141
Attenuated Essence 462 31.83 52.16% 0.116 0.2275 -0.23
Back Against the Wall 1777 39.27 57.57% 0.052 0.1284 0.062
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 467 31.6 44.97% -0.111 0.0996 -0.221
Burn Brightest Before the End 408 35.02 54.66% 0.654 0.7751 -0.103
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1936 32.74 48.66% -0.242 0.1264 -0.304
Downward Spiral 2154 33.38 55.71% 0.341 0.5378 0.004
Erosion of Will 2001 34.37 50.02% -0.044 0.2234 -0.277
Intensifying Exploitation 479 29.84 45.3% -0.377 -0.1064 -0.425
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 899 37.61 70.3% 0.387 -0.1239 0.454
Memory Fades to Dust 2244 33.2 52.67% 0.098 0.4096 -0.144
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2140 33.34 52.85% -0.291 0.004 -0.188
Promising Farmlands 1979 33.8 50.43% -0.087 0.2489 -0.239
Shattered Fragments of Power 373 34.43 53.89% 0.389 0.4974 -0.016
Slow Dissolution of Will 451 30.48 42.35% -0.226 0.1739 -0.468
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 650 37.04 72.77% 0.182 -0.4308 0.387
The Border of Life and Death 135 31.61 62.22% 0.139 -0.1532 0.001
Thriving Communities 2083 32.51 49.74% -0.318 0.0144 -0.237
Thriving Crops 259 32.23 53.67% -0.203 -0.2894 -0.06
Unnatural Proliferation 2237 36.19 54.0% -0.089 0.0593 0.009
Untended Land Crumbles 2134 32.8 51.17% -0.542 -0.2346 -0.291

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 16889 38.88% 32.32 65.49% 0.172 1.0772 0.501
B 17370 38.32% 32.89 65.94% 0.327 1.1556 0.389
C 19530 37.68% 33.49 67.02% 0.283 0.963 0.602
D 15014 37.46% 32.43 67.59% 0.189 1.0419 0.432
E 16353 38.72% 34.29 66.48% 0.305 1.0066 0.635
F 14269 38.92% 33.64 66.91% 0.297 1.0782 0.558
G 12766 38.18% 33.35 66.89% 0.265 1.0362 0.578
H 12998 38.53% 33.3 66.51% 0.033 0.8016 0.536
East 1977 37.39% 33.17 65.0% -0.163 0.6984 -1.128
Northeast 1398 37.59% 34.32 66.38% -0.13 0.6163 -0.179
Northwest 1208 38.9% 34.29 65.65% -0.214 0.6192 -0.722
Southeast 1008 38.94% 35.13 66.27% 0.187 0.963 -0.833
Southwest 939 39.08% 34.76 65.07% -0.723 0.5964 -0.519
West 1811 39.41% 32.81 63.11% -0.817 0.1894 -0.852

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 460 0.0% 20.88 69.13% -0.733 0.0973 -0.531
Not Using Events or Tokens 631 25.3% 22.16 79.24% 0.835 1.2755 -0.984
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1905 9.48% 42.43 75.17% 0.415 -0.1474 0.556
Start of Game Growth 2392 14.06% 39.68 73.16% 0.058 -0.4807 -0.446
Unlimited Undo 9408 33.23% 40.13 73.67% 0.31 0.3506 1.253
Using Tokens but Not Events 6529 21.26% 25.23 75.08% -0.129 -0.1522 -0.821

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4009 26.44% 34.72 69.79% -0.049 -0.1522 -0.005
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 597 42.28% 28.15 62.65% 0.529 0.6889 0.219
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 157 41.4% 34.76 65.61% -0.249 -1.0848 0.582
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1075 36.47% 29.73 74.7% 0.02 -0.1114 0.288
Downpour Drenches the World 1992 32.09% 36.83 61.75% -0.063 0.2556 -0.064
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1757 32.23% 30.81 66.36% -0.105 -0.5897 -0.088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1739 27.64% 33.82 76.19% -0.071 -0.524 -0.092
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1140 34.96% 32.6 73.42% -0.102 -0.5543 -0.042
Finder of Paths Unseen 988 37.96% 36.7 68.12% -0.59 0.0766 0.471
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2199 25.63% 38.98 66.89% -0.17 0.508 -0.252
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1854 47.6% 32.98 64.13% -0.677 -0.6156 0.035
Heart of the Wildfire 1035 52.52% 30.28 60.48% -0.412 -0.152 -0.475
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4270 31.0% 36.5 73.14% 0.407 0.0135 0.31
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 223 32.58% 32.66 65.02% 0.182 -0.2131 -0.149
Lightning's Swift Strike 970 32.26% 27.81 76.19% 0.435 0.6891 -0.416
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 595 43.94% 39.76 67.56% 0.84 0.2864 -0.015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 463 31.96% 31.49 61.34% -0.301 -0.5364 0.891
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1483 35.9% 42.47 66.89% 0.26 0.009 0.708
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2666 37.12% 34.8 70.14% 0.139 -0.1853 -0.134
Many Minds Move as One 1206 34.75% 34.71 71.56% 0.427 0.2272 0.372
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2092 35.46% 33.29 69.22% 0.033 0.0052 0.237
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1070 39.12% 32.84 72.62% 0.049 -0.0927 0.056
River Surges in Sunlight 1334 33.53% 33.44 77.66% -0.152 -0.0347 0.071
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 677 36.63% 33.17 67.06% 0.019 0.3564 -0.305
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1333 37.79% 40.91 62.34% 0.521 0.373 -0.081
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2877 27.69% 38.81 67.22% 0.314 0.1462 0.299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 229 39.74% 25.51 74.67% -0.287 0.2574 0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 115 43.36% 29.35 66.96% -0.56 -0.4744 -0.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 141 51.06% 32.3 67.38% 0.355 -0.0148 0.188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 44.88% 30.38 71.65% 0.45 0.6151 -0.194
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 210 36.19% 29.25 70.0% 0.328 0.3595 0.926
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 181 46.11% 29.36 71.27% 0.16 0.3306 -0.515
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1267 30.43% 34.9 70.96% 0.256 0.1606 0.172
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 414 29.44% 31.59 68.84% 0.066 -0.1752 -0.154
Shifting Memory of Ages 2296 36.9% 33.79 66.68% -0.308 0.0698 -0.001
Shroud of Silent Mist 874 42.59% 26.5 63.04% -0.531 -0.1605 -0.484
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2152 34.05% 33.14 71.14% 0.017 -0.6992 -0.047
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1123 34.32% 34.71 73.64% 0.22 0.4017 0.519
Thunderspeaker 1298 32.25% 32.49 71.11% -0.3 -0.286 -0.63
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 171 29.82% 24.2 60.82% -0.063 0.0421 0.023
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1229 57.24% 33.92 64.2% -0.496 -0.3559 0.187
Vital Strength of the Earth 774 23.25% 21.48 64.86% -0.455 0.0872 -2.143
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 613 41.67% 38.1 65.58% -0.175 0.1634 0.265
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 252 40.24% 25.98 58.73% -0.562 0.154 -0.774
Volcano Looming High 2040 43.47% 36.16 73.92% 0.406 0.3728 0.605
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 518 37.6% 34.12 68.73% 0.537 0.0992 0.043

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 37.66%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 19.97%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 27.95%
Shape the Self Anew 18.76%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16820 16.23 7.29%
II 22190 30.54 63.88%
III 24323 34.77 88.13%
IV 13406 38.37 99.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1224
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13898
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13256
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9402
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1571
Lose: Adversary condition 7188
Win: Sacrifice victory 451
Lose: Scenario condition 450
Win: Scenario condition 290
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7668
Lose: Spirit destroyed 240

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.734 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.328 Win Model: 0.302
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 47858 42.22% 32.41 63.65%
2 14940 41.45% 32.98 67.14%
3 6923 38.36% 32.96 70.04%
4 3754 36.63% 34.54 68.73%
5 543 27.78% 30.21 71.82%
6 2721 24.06% 37.85 70.05%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)