Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 113 28.32% 30.96 70.8% 0.471 0.5156 0.407
Blitz 0 426 29.05% 27.19 56.1% -0.691 -0.4769 -0.206
Dahan Insurrection 4 424 33.49% 41.0 50.24% -0.394 -0.6819 -0.469
Despicable Theft 2 183 39.34% 26.24 50.82% -0.268 0.4423 -0.689
Elemental Invocation 1 758 40.82% 24.69 57.52% -0.35 0.3511 -0.757
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3013 14.64% 42.25 65.72% 0.596 -0.0043 0.34
Powers Long Forgotten 1 218 42.2% 18.83 38.99% -0.965 -0.1278 -0.672
Rituals of Terror 3 156 37.58% 31.07 55.13% -0.64 -0.5797 -1.069
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 118 48.31% 28.52 53.39% -0.013 0.9736 -0.335
Second Wave 0 1860 32.52% 26.89 69.46% -0.415 -0.1652 0.223
The Great River 3 169 37.87% 24.0 42.6% -1.437 -0.3715 -1.537
Varied Terrains 2 216 39.81% 24.76 49.07% -0.034 0.7949 -1.314
Ward the Shores 2 305 19.74% 23.17 45.25% -1.877 -0.6937 -0.906

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 60094 41.03% 30.62 60.87% -0.423 -0.1493 -1.151
1 Thematic 1122 34.27% 25.27 54.63% -0.679 -0.1038 -0.627
2 Archipelago 144 44.06% 30.18 49.31% -1.033 -0.3554 -2.283
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12867 41.77% 31.69 64.19% -0.314 -0.2455 -1.752
2 Coastline 2294 29.14% 30.29 72.97% -0.674 -0.8932 -1.112
2 Fragment 514 52.65% 37.3 65.56% -0.076 -0.3427 -0.045
2 Heart 330 56.23% 36.19 57.88% 0.114 -0.356 -1.017
2 Opposite Shores 3169 37.49% 30.65 63.9% -0.433 -0.4555 -1.771
2 Thematic 682 40.59% 27.89 52.05% 0.145 0.5186 -0.567
2 Top to Top 455 41.54% 33.88 69.89% -0.411 -0.6682 -1.14
3 Archipelago 72 41.67% 38.54 84.72% -0.624 -1.5468 -0.205
3 Coastline 91 29.67% 25.49 63.74% 1.425 0.4616 -0.997
3 Other 299 30.43% 22.63 59.87% 0.128 -0.6357 -0.331
3 Round (Default) 8814 38.76% 31.96 66.47% -0.529 -0.6825 -1.939
3 Sunrise 40 60.0% 37.48 87.5% 0.16 0.0819 -0.018
3 Thematic 270 37.41% 32.81 60.37% -0.197 -0.3444 0.141
4 Archipelago 57 40.35% 44.91 84.21% 0.0 -0.5272 -1.318
4 Coastline 51 29.41% 29.63 64.71% -0.977 -1.0338 -1.665
4 Leaf 60 56.67% 25.0 41.67% -0.126 -0.2167 -2.362
4 Other 145 37.93% 29.27 74.48% 0.615 -0.0696 -0.286
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 449 34.15% 32.06 68.6% -0.625 -0.8022 -0.677
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4899 36.28% 31.53 61.75% -0.623 -0.9527 -2.861
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.0 1.2714 -0.168
5 Coastline 20 25.0% 29.75 75.0% 0.385 -0.1455 -0.361
5 Other 607 28.6% 30.85 71.0% -0.355 -1.1051 -2.268
5 Thematic 77 32.47% 26.88 57.14% -0.081 -0.4674 -1.356
6 Archipelago 75 14.86% 40.97 73.33% -0.72 -1.691 -1.889
6 Coastline 17 29.41% 21.47 47.06% -0.281 -0.8607 -1.101
6 Other 527 24.29% 27.61 66.79% -1.209 -1.6255 -2.778
6 Star 364 22.25% 30.31 65.93% -2.551 -2.2161 -3.073
6 Thematic 796 43.69% 37.04 64.07% -1.002 -1.0507 -1.419
6 Two Centers (Default) 1957 16.71% 35.71 63.0% -1.722 -1.5074 -3.864
7 Archipelago 19 26.32% 58.42 73.68% 0.0 -0.12 -0.89
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.851
7 Other 34 28.13% 21.71 41.18% 0.147 -0.9346 -1.669

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2414 34.43 50.33% 0.4 0.4716 0.03
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2120 38.61 59.39% 0.536 0.4647 0.363
All Things Weaken 2592 33.09 50.46% 0.314 0.5728 0.006
Attenuated Essence 848 31.82 53.18% 0.388 0.3519 -0.01
Back Against the Wall 2151 38.42 57.0% 0.417 0.4708 0.268
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 819 31.05 45.54% -0.244 -0.0985 0.021
Burn Brightest Before the End 720 34.77 53.47% 0.137 0.1534 0.035
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2384 31.77 47.65% 0.359 0.5472 -0.147
Downward Spiral 2719 32.26 54.36% 0.192 0.2662 0.132
Erosion of Will 2427 33.13 48.62% -0.255 -0.1003 -0.139
Intensifying Exploitation 829 29.18 45.24% 0.126 0.2619 -0.263
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1153 35.87 67.48% 0.201 -0.4136 0.495
Memory Fades to Dust 2794 31.9 51.11% -0.181 0.0227 0.007
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2637 32.61 51.57% -0.188 -0.0135 -0.023
Promising Farmlands 2468 32.65 48.91% 0.234 0.4321 -0.131
Shattered Fragments of Power 656 34.17 53.96% 0.453 0.4558 0.046
Slow Dissolution of Will 778 29.22 41.65% -0.046 0.2525 -0.447
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 810 35.83 70.49% 0.619 -0.0776 0.536
The Border of Life and Death 240 32.94 62.08% 0.322 -0.1758 0.394
Thriving Communities 2598 31.53 48.85% 0.085 0.2416 -0.098
Thriving Crops 440 31.54 54.09% 0.577 0.2648 0.089
Unnatural Proliferation 2772 35.25 52.89% 0.232 0.3405 0.174
Untended Land Crumbles 2590 31.6 49.73% 0.046 0.2277 -0.144

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 23215 37.28% 30.32 62.12% 0.456 1.4313 0.517
B 23675 37.1% 30.95 62.6% 0.115 1.0047 0.447
C 26295 36.4% 31.52 63.48% 0.306 0.9981 0.634
D 20362 36.79% 30.53 63.73% 0.263 1.1583 0.459
E 21725 37.76% 32.32 63.4% 0.406 1.1358 0.691
F 19346 38.01% 31.6 63.32% 0.282 1.1131 0.551
G 16930 37.47% 31.6 64.09% 0.415 1.1947 0.625
H 17276 37.94% 31.77 63.56% 0.203 0.9861 0.578
East 2720 37.73% 31.46 60.33% -0.307 0.5022 -1.098
Northeast 1922 37.91% 32.83 61.91% 0.057 0.8555 -0.263
Northwest 1671 39.36% 32.65 61.1% -0.416 0.3172 -0.856
Southeast 1416 40.13% 33.25 61.02% -0.803 0.0909 -0.729
Southwest 1305 41.25% 32.96 59.92% -0.55 0.7085 -0.542
West 2515 39.91% 31.18 58.69% -0.42 0.5775 -1.017

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 717 0.0% 17.92 63.18% -1.105 -0.4369 -0.681
Not Using Events or Tokens 896 25.24% 21.36 73.1% 0.308 0.729 -0.218
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2482 9.95% 40.41 72.6% 0.851 0.0815 0.242
Start of Game Growth 3262 15.04% 37.17 69.71% 0.32 -0.1175 0.025
Unlimited Undo 12646 32.47% 37.62 69.53% 0.016 -0.0498 1.199
Using Tokens but Not Events 9167 20.66% 23.75 71.1% 0.362 0.3189 -0.874

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5044 25.57% 33.23 68.36% 0.463 0.3692 0.108
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 548 30.16% 35.6 58.76% 0.836 0.3277 0.094
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 739 41.43% 26.72 60.08% -0.707 -0.5099 0.175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 430 46.74% 29.14 52.09% 0.382 -0.491 -0.186
Dances Up Earthquakes 413 28.33% 27.36 48.67% 0.062 -0.0773 0.32
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1443 35.72% 28.47 70.96% -0.146 -0.3682 0.238
Downpour Drenches the World 2836 31.58% 33.49 55.71% -0.583 -0.2774 -0.025
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2508 32.59% 30.26 64.75% 0.759 0.2041 0.047
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2224 26.71% 32.37 74.28% 0.077 -0.3498 -0.061
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1476 33.74% 30.61 68.77% -0.019 -0.4323 -0.201
Finder of Paths Unseen 1375 37.17% 33.63 61.45% -0.556 0.0996 0.375
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2922 24.66% 35.77 61.74% 0.145 0.6902 -0.177
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2268 46.32% 31.96 62.65% -0.311 -0.3951 0.105
Heart of the Wildfire 1342 51.31% 28.56 57.82% -0.441 -0.1254 -0.385
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5330 32.72% 34.73 68.84% 0.397 -0.0469 0.34
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 550 27.55% 29.58 64.91% -0.026 -0.3194 -0.241
Lightning's Swift Strike 1196 34.1% 26.53 72.41% -0.124 0.1377 -0.412
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 854 44.78% 37.3 63.58% 0.448 0.1204 0.046
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 570 30.86% 30.72 60.7% -0.274 -0.6492 0.903
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2146 32.51% 38.32 61.65% 0.378 0.4782 0.844
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3365 36.85% 32.91 66.78% -0.231 -0.4302 -0.095
Many Minds Move as One 1666 33.03% 32.27 67.47% -0.12 -0.3348 0.383
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2873 33.02% 31.1 65.26% -0.085 0.0623 0.343
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 364 39.84% 28.23 58.24% 0.094 0.1387 -0.14
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1451 38.46% 30.78 68.16% 0.49 0.3872 0.261
River Surges in Sunlight 1866 30.46% 29.85 70.69% -0.438 -0.441 0.206
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 190 34.74% 27.77 47.89% -0.387 -0.0988 -0.683
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 910 36.3% 29.29 60.22% -0.484 -0.2813 -0.384
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1721 37.23% 39.17 58.92% 0.757 0.5433 -0.093
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3843 28.34% 37.7 64.79% 0.64 0.4817 0.445
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 277 27.44% 31.98 59.21% 0.234 -0.149 0.188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 304 39.8% 25.72 75.33% 0.622 1.1987 -0.523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 144 40.85% 30.16 68.75% 0.497 0.4372 0.092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 344 43.02% 29.77 61.63% 0.012 -0.4167 0.208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 163 43.56% 28.17 66.26% -0.704 -0.6983 0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 255 36.08% 27.0 64.71% -0.636 -0.6951 0.829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 219 46.33% 27.86 66.21% -0.798 -0.591 -0.28
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1507 30.17% 33.57 69.28% 0.62 0.652 0.271
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 670 31.03% 28.72 64.03% 0.016 -0.1297 -0.14
Shifting Memory of Ages 2708 36.09% 32.73 64.11% 0.166 0.4908 -0.013
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 593 32.43% 29.53 59.19% -0.032 0.0161 -0.146
Shroud of Silent Mist 1172 40.19% 25.05 60.07% -0.687 -0.3187 -0.215
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2883 35.72% 30.52 65.59% -0.123 -0.6064 -0.073
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1457 33.66% 32.87 70.62% 0.613 0.7729 0.579
Thunderspeaker 1722 32.55% 30.4 66.72% -0.256 -0.2252 -0.687
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 315 28.89% 24.66 61.9% 0.222 0.4127 0.286
Towering Roots of the Jungle 531 40.68% 29.96 61.77% -0.237 -0.0912 0.194
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1577 57.55% 31.79 60.43% -0.403 -0.3829 0.051
Vital Strength of the Earth 1091 23.64% 20.23 62.6% 0.164 0.7454 -2.358
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 851 39.76% 35.68 62.04% -0.042 0.441 0.287
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 326 37.85% 25.29 57.36% -0.156 0.4634 -0.839
Volcano Looming High 2821 45.17% 34.03 68.49% -0.012 0.0236 0.459
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 962 35.31% 32.03 64.55% 0.076 -0.2414 0.049

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 39.38%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 21.36%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 29.45%
Shape the Self Anew 20.22%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25493 13.76 6.43%
II 28576 30.19 62.72%
III 30823 34.82 88.2%
IV 16773 38.63 99.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1637
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26776
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17571
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16581
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16862
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1832
Lose: Adversary condition 9093
Win: Sacrifice victory 575
Lose: Scenario condition 516
Win: Scenario condition 351
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9527
Lose: Spirit destroyed 344

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.326 Win Model: -0.148

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.208 Win Model: 0.158
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 62035 40.98% 30.53 60.73%
2 20155 40.24% 31.69 65.07%
3 9421 38.17% 31.69 66.71%
4 5585 35.86% 31.51 62.78%
5 742 27.74% 28.88 67.65%
6 3727 24.39% 34.82 64.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)