Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 144 29.17% 31.17 73.61% 0.028 0.3976 0.657
Blitz 0 547 26.99% 25.27 53.02% -0.038 0.394 -0.435
Dahan Insurrection 4 517 32.3% 39.19 49.71% -0.581 -0.6064 -0.786
Despicable Theft 2 236 35.59% 23.72 47.03% 0.133 0.7927 -0.767
Elemental Invocation 1 1004 40.18% 23.46 55.08% 0.003 0.4507 -0.197
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3626 14.25% 40.49 63.29% -0.198 -0.7975 0.422
Powers Long Forgotten 1 295 41.02% 17.84 36.61% -0.132 0.4759 -0.463
Rituals of Terror 3 201 35.57% 30.4 55.22% 0.995 1.1193 0.33
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 190 46.84% 26.38 47.89% -0.617 0.1214 -0.866
Second Wave 0 2332 31.7% 26.75 68.18% 0.027 0.1337 0.666
The Great River 3 214 37.38% 22.91 41.59% -0.075 1.1001 -0.722
Varied Terrains 2 292 39.04% 25.44 51.71% -0.332 0.4045 -0.962
Ward the Shores 2 401 21.75% 22.68 45.14% -0.953 -0.2706 0.372

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 73524 40.32% 29.37 58.64% -0.214 0.0102 -0.716
1 Thematic 1612 32.27% 22.67 50.06% -0.309 0.2415 -1.453
2 Archipelago 157 44.87% 30.05 50.32% 0.366 0.012 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16001 40.6% 31.11 63.58% -0.02 0.0913 -0.62
2 Coastline 2715 29.66% 29.77 71.71% 0.333 0.2435 -0.048
2 Fragment 638 50.71% 35.88 66.14% 0.338 -0.0005 1.139
2 Heart 385 55.73% 35.7 60.26% -0.21 -0.5369 0.357
2 Opposite Shores 3931 36.84% 29.65 62.25% 0.386 0.4226 -1.436
2 Thematic 895 39.53% 26.62 48.16% -0.641 -0.1127 -1.233
2 Top to Top 560 41.61% 33.89 70.18% 1.161 0.954 -0.382
3 Archipelago 88 38.64% 36.49 79.55% 0.207 0.3074 0.764
3 Coastline 113 31.86% 23.37 57.52% -0.146 -0.6672 0.224
3 Other 364 30.22% 21.72 56.59% 0.206 -0.5364 0.104
3 Round (Default) 11459 38.12% 31.68 65.58% -0.172 -0.2684 -1.081
3 Sunrise 51 62.75% 36.53 76.47% -0.219 -0.9582 0.245
3 Thematic 339 38.64% 31.75 57.23% -0.563 -0.321 -0.578
4 Archipelago 67 37.88% 41.97 79.1% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 66 31.82% 28.2 62.12% 0.0 0.2598 -1.01
4 Leaf 72 55.56% 23.82 38.89% 0.0 -0.5543 -1.517
4 Other 203 37.62% 28.23 70.44% 0.306 -0.241 -1.108
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 47.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 585 33.05% 30.55 66.5% 0.149 0.6222 -1.072
4 Trapezoid (Default) 6725 35.7% 30.32 59.76% -0.623 -0.8121 -1.778
5 Archipelago 17 29.41% 27.47 82.35% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 29 24.14% 27.97 68.97% 0.257 -0.3534 0.485
5 Other 748 28.05% 30.12 70.72% 0.123 -0.2036 0.071
5 Thematic 96 32.29% 28.41 60.42% 0.391 -0.0995 0.407
6 Archipelago 91 16.67% 37.77 69.23% 0.146 -0.7793 -0.743
6 Coastline 24 29.17% 26.54 54.17% 0.0 0.3287 0.265
6 Other 758 29.59% 28.84 64.25% -0.683 -0.4133 -1.429
6 Star 458 21.62% 30.14 64.63% -0.391 0.4047 -2.364
6 Thematic 986 43.08% 36.44 62.17% -0.823 -0.242 0.079
6 Two Centers (Default) 2530 19.1% 33.16 58.22% -0.713 -0.7363 -2.221
7 Archipelago 23 26.09% 53.78 69.57% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Coastline 2 50.0% 36.5 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.073
7 Other 56 28.3% 25.41 41.07% -0.776 -1.0318 -0.916

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2851 33.65 49.35% -0.182 0.1284 0.101
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2478 38.72 59.16% 0.188 0.2017 1.319
All Things Weaken 3080 32.57 49.77% -0.426 0.0483 0.697
Attenuated Essence 1234 31.41 52.59% -0.298 -0.151 0.637
Back Against the Wall 2539 37.85 56.4% -0.007 0.1226 0.736
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1157 30.91 45.98% -0.567 -0.2475 0.556
Burn Brightest Before the End 1023 34.06 53.18% -0.185 -0.0081 0.539
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2830 31.18 47.1% 0.031 0.4113 0.677
Downward Spiral 3225 31.42 53.02% -0.238 -0.0443 0.455
Erosion of Will 2890 32.6 48.24% -0.429 -0.0913 0.516
Intensifying Exploitation 1193 28.99 44.84% -0.638 -0.2851 0.642
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1406 35.08 66.15% 0.177 -0.1861 0.914
Memory Fades to Dust 3344 31.22 50.45% -0.303 0.0267 0.386
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3190 31.74 50.41% -0.792 -0.5251 0.394
Promising Farmlands 2903 32.0 48.12% -0.26 0.1873 0.289
Shattered Fragments of Power 963 33.64 53.17% -0.046 -0.046 0.562
Slow Dissolution of Will 1140 29.69 42.19% -0.323 0.0881 0.401
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 955 35.28 69.53% 0.847 0.2887 0.708
The Border of Life and Death 353 32.46 60.62% -0.611 -0.8559 -0.035
Thriving Communities 3121 31.09 48.54% -0.264 0.0137 0.799
Thriving Crops 602 30.58 52.99% 0.711 0.6159 0.31
Unnatural Proliferation 3287 34.78 52.69% -0.294 -0.0897 0.803
Untended Land Crumbles 3104 30.98 48.9% -0.699 -0.3994 0.318

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 29411 36.5% 29.38 60.44% 0.062 1.0535 0.505
B 29932 36.51% 30.06 60.95% 0.508 1.3729 0.562
C 32912 36.1% 30.69 61.88% 0.364 1.1164 0.652
D 25837 36.42% 29.58 61.74% 0.007 0.9518 0.099
E 27599 37.1% 31.02 61.21% 0.338 1.0929 0.284
F 24534 37.59% 30.64 61.48% 0.252 1.1262 0.469
G 21392 37.15% 30.6 62.11% 0.091 0.9531 0.577
H 21970 37.76% 30.83 61.65% 0.189 0.9961 0.687
East 3598 36.77% 29.89 57.37% -0.875 -0.1295 -0.177
Northeast 2448 37.36% 31.76 59.64% -0.114 0.7791 -1.102
Northwest 2132 37.83% 31.61 58.96% -0.816 -0.0731 -0.85
Southeast 1819 39.81% 31.9 57.78% 0.141 1.1494 -0.269
Southwest 1677 40.26% 31.55 57.19% 0.69 1.8468 -0.79
West 3256 38.62% 29.59 55.62% -0.821 0.1616 -0.661

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1009 0.0% 16.47 59.86% -0.362 0.3576 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 1113 23.66% 20.71 71.88% 0.387 0.8616 1.097
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3104 9.71% 37.57 68.75% 0.439 -0.3662 -1.247
Start of Game Growth 4365 14.67% 34.08 67.1% 0.32 -0.2471 0.552
Unlimited Undo 15514 32.29% 36.18 67.79% 0.114 0.1415 0.899
Using Tokens but Not Events 12243 21.34% 23.15 67.45% -0.19 -0.2169 -0.208

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6146 24.61% 32.44 67.6% 0.586 0.1679 0.139
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1187 32.54% 36.29 60.57% 0.657 0.0009 0.511
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 52 21.15% 29.67 63.46% -0.768 -0.9254 0.737
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 429 36.36% 34.9 70.63% 0.489 -0.3708 0.891
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 908 41.54% 25.33 57.82% -0.809 -0.6711 -1.619
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 686 45.11% 28.32 50.44% 0.419 -0.6102 0.65
Dances Up Earthquakes 953 34.14% 28.37 51.63% 0.322 0.2857 0.28
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1872 35.23% 27.71 68.91% 0.686 0.3313 -1.048
Downpour Drenches the World 3647 32.48% 32.6 54.18% -0.686 -0.5624 -0.142
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3085 33.0% 30.27 64.15% -0.033 -0.6038 0.241
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2819 26.44% 31.31 72.47% 0.409 -0.2366 0.264
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1854 32.48% 29.05 66.83% -0.556 -1.0502 -0.512
Finder of Paths Unseen 1679 37.84% 32.06 58.73% 0.5 1.0884 0.102
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3671 24.66% 34.03 59.85% 0.026 0.4728 0.232
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2665 45.3% 30.92 61.13% -0.011 -0.1966 -0.41
Heart of the Wildfire 1699 49.79% 27.86 56.74% -0.69 -0.5467 0.435
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6561 33.96% 33.17 64.91% 0.047 -0.6277 0.106
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 757 27.02% 29.32 63.54% 0.342 -0.186 0.379
Lightning's Swift Strike 1457 34.97% 25.86 69.25% -0.763 -0.7304 -0.957
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1139 44.06% 34.53 59.53% -0.212 -0.8642 -0.63
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 703 31.9% 30.66 60.88% -0.512 -1.0072 0.167
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2891 32.57% 37.18 60.29% 0.314 0.0745 0.301
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4131 37.01% 31.64 64.0% -0.271 -0.6965 0.13
Many Minds Move as One 2044 33.51% 31.8 66.29% -0.271 -0.7799 0.678
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3399 32.42% 30.44 64.22% -0.331 -0.601 -0.03
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1105 42.16% 28.85 59.37% -0.229 -0.343 0.125
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1810 38.53% 30.19 67.4% 0.293 -0.0006 0.784
River Surges in Sunlight 2352 28.07% 29.03 70.2% 0.109 -0.062 -0.423
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 329 37.5% 29.45 50.46% -0.433 -0.5445 -0.419
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1089 35.85% 28.31 59.5% 0.172 0.1064 -0.783
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2296 37.11% 38.37 57.58% 1.318 1.1875 0.268
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4805 27.35% 37.12 63.81% 0.271 0.0069 0.192
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 731 31.87% 33.19 60.88% 0.415 -0.0155 0.402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 406 38.61% 24.33 74.38% -0.628 -0.1998 -0.764
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 185 41.53% 30.02 69.19% 0.0 0.004 -0.477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 515 44.08% 29.56 61.17% -0.529 -1.2822 0.117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 189 42.33% 26.34 62.96% -0.434 -0.7529 -1.141
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 308 36.04% 26.77 64.29% 0.791 0.6121 0.53
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 262 42.91% 27.19 66.41% -1.012 -1.0548 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1805 29.17% 31.38 65.6% 0.391 0.0245 -0.401
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 70 41.43% 23.84 52.86% 0.14 -0.4007 -1.589
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 893 31.12% 29.06 62.49% -0.532 -0.7763 0.358
Shifting Memory of Ages 3275 36.7% 31.02 60.49% -0.624 -0.3292 0.103
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1096 33.46% 30.77 59.76% 0.111 -0.0525 0.353
Shroud of Silent Mist 1428 40.3% 24.27 58.26% -0.593 -0.4106 -0.093
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 109 40.74% 34.48 68.81% 0.569 0.1593 0.479
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3527 35.95% 29.75 63.4% 0.274 -0.6782 -0.434
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1901 32.29% 31.91 69.12% 0.928 0.9703 1.0
Thunderspeaker 2091 32.02% 29.8 64.99% -0.481 -0.6764 0.459
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 431 28.31% 25.62 64.04% 0.603 0.4341 1.066
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1029 39.59% 28.98 57.63% -0.16 -0.2712 0.005
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1915 56.53% 30.99 59.63% -0.627 -0.7774 -0.313
Vital Strength of the Earth 1424 21.99% 19.56 59.34% 0.187 0.5455 -1.217
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1199 40.48% 33.34 57.63% 0.828 1.0715 0.084
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 412 37.56% 24.07 53.88% -0.599 0.0824 -0.502
Volcano Looming High 3329 45.16% 33.7 67.26% 0.605 0.2811 0.857
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1360 36.18% 31.69 64.93% 0.08 -0.4379 0.698

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 40.59%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 22.12%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 30.42%
Shape the Self Anew 21.09%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34249 12.25 6.0%
II 34898 29.91 61.91%
III 37568 34.94 88.22%
IV 19963 38.9 99.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2052
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32622
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21176
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19728
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 24684
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2102
Lose: Adversary condition 10809
Win: Sacrifice victory 710
Lose: Scenario condition 603
Win: Scenario condition 438
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11342
Lose: Spirit destroyed 412

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.26 Win Model: -0.147

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.363 Win Model: 0.102
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 76193 40.22% 29.24 58.45%
2 24852 39.4% 31.04 64.2%
3 12256 37.72% 31.36 65.47%
4 7617 35.34% 30.32 60.84%
5 905 26.75% 28.44 66.52%
6 4855 26.26% 33.3 61.28%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)