Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Starlight Seeks its Form

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
32088	43.69%	36.65	73.56%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	9067	21.77%	21.16	0.000	92.42%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	315	28.57%	32.09	-0.841	80.95%	-0.671	-0.12
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	276	34.42%	34.79	1.422	84.06%	-0.346	0.5317
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	308	56.33%	37.12	1.204	66.88%	-1.289	-0.1702
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	347	56.77%	39.39	1.674	65.42%	-1.386	0.1446
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	271	78.23%	43.52	5.476	61.25%	-0.826	0.7617
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	118	86.44%	42.49	5.47	51.69%	-1.178	0.3846
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	924	79.55%	47.15	7.843	47.51%	-1.449	0.8113
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	549	23.5%	28.44	-2.473	89.44%	-0.191	0.0533
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	600	30.55%	31.74	-0.638	92.0%	0.573	0.4469
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	863	38.14%	39.8	3.348	87.72%	0.542	0.6577
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	1134	37.92%	45.53	6.471	87.83%	0.091	0.4656
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	1157	38.38%	48.21	7.194	85.91%	-0.133	0.3326
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	343	46.36%	53.86	11.959	76.09%	-0.081	0.9045
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	1848	74.24%	43.78	6.444	45.78%	-1.669	-0.0934
The Kingdom of England	0	1	472	24.79%	30.48	-1.247	86.23%	-0.149	0.3671
The Kingdom of England	1	3	330	28.18%	35.31	2.034	83.94%	-0.285	0.324
The Kingdom of England	2	4	462	48.79%	33.89	-0.697	71.0%	-1.215	-0.0883
The Kingdom of England	3	6	739	50.69%	37.52	2.259	57.92%	-1.566	0.1778
The Kingdom of England	4	7	773	54.46%	43.09	3.112	64.17%	-1.816	-0.2376
The Kingdom of England	5	9	260	69.23%	42.8	4.968	45.38%	-1.003	0.734
The Kingdom of England	6	11	1680	54.05%	51.38	8.0	51.85%	-2.149	0.1496
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	336	28.27%	31.26	0.563	83.04%	0.055	0.9574
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	250	43.28%	32.79	1.944	78.0%	0.513	1.4033
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	495	40.0%	31.39	-1.453	38.99%	-2.664	-0.2617
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	457	53.61%	39.22	2.99	47.05%	-2.025	0.3596
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	393	47.58%	39.91	1.83	38.17%	-2.792	-0.3165
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	220	56.36%	45.2	8.62	46.36%	-1.043	1.0345
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	1966	56.41%	52.43	8.709	48.88%	-1.955	0.4122
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	118	12.71%	32.35	-0.951	93.22%	0.351	0.2271
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	40	25.0%	33.8	-0.455	82.5%	-0.525	0.3194
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	78	37.18%	36.82	1.3	80.77%	-0.429	0.3998
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	114	33.33%	45.54	5.51	80.7%	-0.59	0.2798
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	97	44.33%	40.52	3.405	60.82%	-1.558	-0.3221
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	82	53.66%	48.8	6.973	69.51%	-0.989	0.4426
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	795	57.99%	54.71	10.266	63.77%	-1.381	0.3179
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	360	26.46%	30.18	-0.915	88.61%	0.42	0.5872
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	200	42.5%	29.62	-1.212	84.0%	-0.082	-0.3056
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	354	44.76%	34.36	0.463	81.36%	-0.309	0.1439
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	533	51.41%	40.92	2.646	81.99%	-0.289	0.0211
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	417	65.71%	37.8	1.989	63.55%	-1.009	-0.0573
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	102	66.67%	42.06	1.104	67.65%	-1.229	-0.2478
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	1267	58.17%	48.6	5.885	71.03%	-1.012	0.1793
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	311	25.72%	31.16	-1.403	87.46%	-0.247	-0.3038
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	197	29.95%	37.76	3.055	88.32%	0.311	1.0848
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	230	40.0%	40.83	3.267	82.61%	-0.028	0.6823
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	314	59.87%	43.58	6.256	68.79%	-0.286	1.0524
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	202	65.84%	43.58	4.85	63.86%	-0.991	0.3937
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	210	82.86%	42.66	5.996	42.86%	-1.481	0.4561
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	1127	73.56%	55.58	8.901	52.71%	-1.905	0.1144

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	11	18.18%	24.18	81.82%	-0.05	-0.2517	0.0
Blitz	0	103	34.95%	33.13	83.5%	0.439	0.696	-0.716
Dahan Insurrection	4	114	44.74%	49.02	57.89%	0.307	0.7205	-0.87
Despicable Theft	2	54	40.74%	35.43	77.78%	-0.844	-0.398	0.39
Elemental Invocation	1	200	44.5%	31.16	80.0%	0.095	0.5805	0.431
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	1212	15.85%	49.07	73.1%	-0.752	-0.4461	-0.064
Powers Long Forgotten	1	38	68.42%	31.58	76.32%	-0.461	-0.2793	-0.701
Rituals of Terror	3	45	39.47%	43.24	84.44%	-0.443	-0.3221	0.214
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	29	44.83%	49.0	93.1%	0.799	1.2141	0.638
Second Wave	0	496	31.91%	28.5	80.44%	-0.473	0.0927	0.084
The Great River	3	51	49.02%	30.12	60.78%	-1.531	-0.1337	-0.662
Varied Terrains	2	20	35.0%	35.55	85.0%	0.051	0.5769	0.0
Ward the Shores	2	68	14.71%	37.16	85.29%	-1.109	0.0527	0.336

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	21289	45.17%	36.2	71.85%	0.263	1.2794	-0.871
1	Thematic	403	43.77%	33.37	69.73%	0.369	1.5419	-0.338
2	Archipelago	68	47.06%	32.47	63.24%	-0.908	0.0755	-1.012
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	3547	46.92%	36.95	73.53%	-0.205	0.546	-1.321
2	Coastline	665	31.07%	36.85	83.46%	0.102	0.704	-0.601
2	Fragment	200	54.27%	50.94	78.0%	0.348	0.7956	0.538
2	Heart	84	38.1%	31.57	70.24%	-0.668	-0.1295	0.043
2	Opposite Shores	862	40.3%	35.44	78.54%	-0.397	0.595	-1.11
2	Thematic	185	49.19%	32.72	65.41%	-0.133	0.5656	-0.91
2	Top to Top	130	39.23%	39.94	79.23%	-0.463	0.0472	-0.67
3	Archipelago	42	50.0%	38.52	90.48%	0.296	0.4689	-0.159
3	Coastline	22	36.36%	27.05	72.73%	0.579	-0.2037	0.516
3	Other	83	42.17%	31.3	78.31%	0.198	0.1619	0.148
3	Round (Default)	2283	40.68%	35.95	75.87%	-0.54	0.0548	-1.354
3	Sunrise	17	58.82%	42.18	94.12%	0.021	0.0579	0.765
3	Thematic	52	57.69%	33.67	69.23%	-0.507	-0.5442	0.187
4	Archipelago	23	52.17%	41.96	91.3%	0.0	-0.7111	-0.322
4	Coastline	10	0.0%	33.8	100.0%	0.159	0.2761	0.045
4	Leaf	8	62.5%	24.25	50.0%	0.051	0.6137	0.0
4	Other	24	33.33%	32.38	87.5%	0.507	0.2529	-0.298
4	Thematic	138	40.15%	39.77	83.33%	-1.691	-1.1616	-0.358
4	Trapezoid (Default)	814	34.24%	39.94	83.42%	-0.603	-0.6301	-1.124
5	Archipelago	8	50.0%	33.63	87.5%	0.0	-0.5788	-0.27
5	Coastline	6	16.67%	40.5	100.0%	0.029	-0.5358	0.022
5	Other	158	31.21%	36.68	80.38%	-0.729	-0.5606	-1.264
5	Thematic	25	24.0%	29.12	84.0%	0.029	-0.2475	-0.527
6	Archipelago	23	17.39%	44.43	86.96%	0.045	-0.2108	-1.533
6	Coastline	3	33.33%	35.67	100.0%	0.004	-0.585	0.021
6	Other	119	21.85%	31.41	84.03%	-2.084	-1.2748	-1.836
6	Star	101	26.73%	39.36	72.28%	-0.608	0.1755	-1.02
6	Thematic	204	31.68%	43.13	89.22%	-0.127	-0.4053	-0.712
6	Two Centers (Default)	458	23.36%	51.47	82.97%	-0.983	-1.0773	-1.651
7	Archipelago	8	50.0%	64.38	87.5%	0.0	-0.5774	-0.55
7	Other	4	25.0%	38.75	75.0%	0.095	-1.0574	-1.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	1012	36.23	52.27%	-1.11	0.7926	-0.638
Aid From Lesser Spirits	901	39.34	58.93%	-0.927	0.8033	-0.24
All Things Weaken	1026	35.58	53.41%	-1.374	0.6114	-0.486
Back Against the Wall	907	40.15	58.65%	-1.075	0.7418	-0.336
Disintegrating Ecosystem	986	34.04	49.9%	-1.444	0.606	-0.797
Downward Spiral	1034	35.46	59.57%	-1.22	0.7735	-0.335
Erosion of Will	977	35.35	51.28%	-1.715	0.368	-0.673
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	442	40.78	75.57%	-0.446	-0.0049	0.133
Memory Fades to Dust	1110	34.52	53.96%	-1.205	0.8789	-0.534
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1066	35.38	56.66%	-1.329	0.6095	-0.439
Promising Farmlands	936	34.86	52.14%	-1.615	0.4306	-0.706
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	306	38.45	76.47%	-0.503	-0.0786	-0.074
Thriving Communities	1046	34.32	52.29%	-1.466	0.5181	-0.639
Unnatural Proliferation	1151	37.01	55.08%	-1.188	0.7769	-0.418
Untended Land Crumbles	1044	34.86	54.12%	-1.384	0.6096	-0.589

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	6355	42.52%	36.45	73.91%	0.288	1.0856	0.37
B	6471	41.32%	37.25	74.86%	0.155	0.8988	0.217
C	7652	40.15%	38.02	76.19%	0.4	0.9684	0.387
D	5646	41.37%	37.06	76.67%	0.303	1.099	0.292
E	6284	41.16%	38.06	73.87%	0.146	0.7936	0.373
F	5558	42.44%	37.25	74.56%	0.111	0.8349	0.273
G	5124	41.04%	37.1	75.35%	0.357	1.0888	0.372
H	5156	41.28%	37.1	75.16%	0.289	1.0017	0.376
East	758	39.84%	37.94	78.36%	-0.42	0.3492	-1.488
Northeast	546	39.41%	38.54	79.3%	0.11	0.97	-0.64
Northwest	463	40.09%	38.89	77.75%	-0.742	0.335	-0.559
Southeast	343	35.59%	40.44	82.8%	-0.165	0.5413	-0.166
Southwest	319	36.19%	39.79	80.56%	-0.787	0.3384	0.316
West	685	42.88%	37.35	74.31%	-0.004	0.9503	-0.123

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	169	0.0%	25.71	82.84%	-0.591	1.5384	0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens	255	23.46%	23.73	92.16%	-0.46	-0.285	0.049
Skip Initial Invader Actions	666	10.05%	52.97	91.29%	0.341	0.1986	1.694
Start of Game Growth	885	15.07%	50.5	89.04%	0.356	-0.4044	-0.467
Unlimited Undo	3888	35.95%	46.5	85.91%	0.947	0.3433	1.708
Using Tokens but Not Events	2467	24.11%	29.95	84.56%	-0.262	-0.4188	-0.517

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	1426	100.0%	40.5	100.0%	-0.226	-0.341	-0.063
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	222	100.0%	35.19	100.0%	0.016	0.1119	0.348
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	434	100.0%	34.25	100.0%	0.045	-0.1158	-0.661
Downpour Drenches the World	365	100.0%	46.38	100.0%	-0.161	0.0915	0.044
Eyes Watch From the Trees	717	100.0%	37.56	100.0%	-0.121	-0.559	-0.205
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	485	100.0%	34.47	100.0%	-0.592	-1.0799	-0.303
Finder of Paths Unseen	169	100.0%	47.67	100.0%	0.158	0.5211	1.331
Fractured Days Split the Sky	752	100.0%	46.71	100.0%	0.568	0.6238	-0.064
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	861	100.0%	35.99	100.0%	-0.687	-0.7189	-0.013
Heart of the Wildfire	461	100.0%	34.55	100.0%	-0.233	-0.0589	-0.929
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	1567	100.0%	40.54	100.0%	0.095	-0.3613	0.707
Lightning's Swift Strike	379	198.42%	31.6	130.87%	-0.008	0.2661	0.086
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	101	53.47%	38.84	66.34%	-0.515	-1.2918	-0.643
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	155	35.06%	41.68	82.58%	0.313	-0.3299	0.541
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	370	38.65%	48.38	84.86%	1.414	1.1471	0.737
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	1064	100.0%	38.44	100.0%	-0.46	-0.727	-0.641
Many Minds Move as One	410	100.0%	37.68	100.0%	-0.204	-0.807	-0.181
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	768	100.0%	40.1	100.0%	-0.023	-0.2077	0.22
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	375	100.0%	34.1	100.0%	-0.241	-0.2206	0.096
River Surges in Sunlight	644	141.02%	38.73	112.42%	-0.496	-0.5306	0.028
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	301	38.21%	44.29	85.05%	0.585	1.0158	0.339
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	148	45.89%	53.11	76.35%	-0.111	-0.4115	-0.147
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	971	100.0%	45.69	100.0%	-0.196	-0.2489	-0.138
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	83	260.71%	28.39	148.19%	1.112	1.5221	-0.993
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	29	28.57%	33.14	79.31%	0.012	0.0189	0.783
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	24	62.5%	41.04	91.67%	0.985	0.6378	0.845
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	89	37.08%	37.51	82.02%	1.041	1.0606	0.734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	90	44.44%	32.63	82.22%	0.313	0.4964	-0.713
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	635	100.0%	41.47	100.0%	0.199	-0.088	0.289
Shifting Memory of Ages	902	100.0%	40.44	100.0%	-0.23	-0.1547	-0.228
Shroud of Silent Mist	367	100.0%	30.83	100.0%	-0.242	-0.006	-0.667
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	899	100.0%	36.56	100.0%	-0.077	-0.259	0.295
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	443	100.0%	40.15	100.0%	0.105	0.2902	0.807
Thunderspeaker	500	100.0%	37.49	100.0%	-0.065	-0.001	-0.436
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	438	100.0%	36.6	100.0%	-0.455	-0.5459	0.041
Vital Strength of the Earth	277	137.18%	29.88	120.22%	-0.344	0.4651	-0.549
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	103	50.49%	42.74	70.87%	-0.216	0.1704	-0.113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	100	48.0%	34.61	74.0%	-0.543	0.6309	-0.659
Volcano Looming High	779	100.0%	36.6	100.0%	0.022	0.0174	0.361

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	1271	4.591	33.817	75.22%
Animated Wrackroot	786	3.678	33.312	83.33%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	1008	4.062	34.24	80.85%
Birds Cry Warning	1744	5.669	39.497	76.83%
Blood Draws Predators	2180	4.989	37.951	80.18%
Call of the Dahan Ways	3783	4.606	36.765	77.82%
Call To Bloodshed	1698	4.349	35.373	80.27%
Call to Ferocity	1952	5.623	40.262	79.76%
Call to Guard	4454	5.7	39.474	77.41%
Call To Isolation	2201	5.766	40.719	79.51%
Call To Migrate	816	3.767	34.01	83.7%
Call To Tend	822	4.219	32.066	71.78%
Call to Trade	1468	6.0	36.493	66.83%
Carapaced Land	4769	5.718	38.852	76.05%
Confounding Mists	2350	4.455	32.48	72.26%
Cycles of Time and Tide	2623	5.253	37.789	75.71%
Dark and Tangled Woods	2856	4.767	35.2	77.17%
Delusions of Danger	1052	3.788	32.752	80.32%
Dessicating Winds	1339	4.886	35.803	77.0%
Devouring Ants	979	4.92	35.867	77.02%
Dire Metamorphosis	676	5.41	37.49	75.3%
Disorienting Landscape	1159	4.274	34.041	78.77%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	3807	4.61	35.334	78.54%
Drift Down Into Slumber	3273	5.298	36.598	74.52%
Drought	853	6.416	39.492	71.04%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	690	3.184	30.683	82.32%
Elemental Boon	3215	4.786	37.086	80.56%
Elusive Ambushes	3133	4.694	35.487	77.15%
Encompassing Ward	2466	4.592	33.301	73.76%
Enticing Splendor	1963	5.119	37.699	78.15%
Entrancing Apparitions	1736	3.506	30.929	78.46%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	974	6.49	39.194	69.2%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	3502	4.792	35.655	77.5%
Fire in the Sky	2976	4.76	35.615	78.49%
Fleshrot Fever	867	4.67	35.315	76.01%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	583	5.118	37.403	77.19%
Gift of Constancy	4351	6.006	41.289	78.53%
Gift of Living Energy	2036	5.281	38.846	80.16%
Gift of Nature's Connection	2755	5.07	37.254	78.87%
Gift of Power	3324	5.122	37.828	78.79%
Gift of Twinned Days	2235	5.048	36.674	76.78%
Gnawing Rootbiters	565	6.055	39.63	74.87%
Gold's Allure	1692	5.351	38.795	79.79%
Guardian Serpents	3859	5.165	37.258	77.17%
Haunted by Primal Memories	3504	4.763	35.424	77.2%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	3538	5.338	38.063	77.73%
Here There be Monsters	781	5.22	39.105	81.31%
Infested Aquifers	1042	5.174	36.768	74.18%
Inflame the Fires of Life	1721	4.385	34.723	79.95%
Land of Haunts and Embers	252	5.659	36.984	71.03%
Like Calls to Like	474	4.698	34.361	74.47%
Lure of the Unknown	2086	4.332	35.277	80.87%
Mesmerized Tranquility	3008	5.824	39.562	75.6%
Nature's Resilience	5495	5.185	36.699	75.71%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	1256	4.627	35.283	77.39%
Poisoned Dew	868	5.036	36.692	74.54%
Portents of Disaster	1167	5.439	39.113	80.38%
Promises of Protection	3487	5.687	40.264	78.81%
Prowling Panthers	750	3.393	32.119	83.6%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	1157	4.365	34.23	78.74%
Purifying Flame	1381	4.795	35.043	76.18%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	5273	5.389	38.129	77.28%
Rain of Blood	955	6.032	41.245	78.32%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	831	3.626	30.56	76.29%
Reaching Grasp	766	5.178	37.624	77.68%
Renewing Boon	1179	5.837	37.316	70.31%
Renewing Rain	1623	5.795	36.356	68.33%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	2174	5.28	37.922	77.37%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	2331	5.01	37.364	78.98%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	2289	4.129	35.301	82.09%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	3670	5.084	36.116	74.33%
Savage Mawbeasts	576	3.938	34.165	83.51%
Scour the Land	654	7.306	40.986	63.3%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	759	4.618	34.462	74.31%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	1438	4.985	37.029	78.86%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	1015	5.373	38.818	77.73%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	898	4.556	36.082	80.51%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	1740	5.812	39.95	76.67%
Sky Stretches to Shore	3293	5.95	39.983	75.86%
Song of Sanctity	564	4.498	32.498	72.52%
Spur On with Words of Fire	2208	5.868	40.281	76.68%
Steam Vents	3847	5.195	37.135	76.61%
Strong and Constant Currents	1737	6.509	41.204	73.29%
Sucking Ooze	1419	6.32	41.298	74.7%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	1165	3.514	32.427	82.83%
Swarming Wasps	1205	5.108	38.863	80.75%
Teeming Rivers	1555	5.392	38.226	77.11%
Territorial Strife	1874	5.613	38.93	76.89%
Terror Turns to Madness	842	4.692	34.239	75.42%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	2225	4.993	36.238	76.99%
Thriving Chokefungus	899	4.597	33.041	71.75%
Tormenting Rotflies	426	4.826	34.526	73.0%
Treacherous Waterways	1914	5.341	37.713	75.71%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	1295	5.127	36.051	74.59%
Uncanny Melting	896	5.085	35.838	74.67%
Unquenchable Flames	1795	4.736	36.409	79.94%
Veil the Night's Hunt	2171	4.63	36.774	80.93%
Visions of Fiery Doom	1020	3.608	32.228	81.27%
Voracious Growth	1100	4.107	31.275	72.55%
Weep for What is Lost	582	6.003	40.01	77.49%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	737	4.313	33.478	77.07%
Angry Bears	680	4.315	34.928	82.06%
Bargains of Power and Protection	549	5.831	35.687	64.48%
Blazing Renewal	791	6.331	38.434	70.42%
Bloodwrack Plague	1033	5.752	39.037	74.06%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	765	5.146	35.861	78.43%
Cleansing Floods	1020	4.775	34.426	74.61%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	451	4.0	32.14	76.72%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	329	5.198	33.824	67.78%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	545	5.38	35.642	74.86%
Dream of the Untouched Land	564	4.09	30.417	71.28%
Entwined Power	439	4.487	36.301	82.23%
Fire and Flood	978	4.515	35.323	80.27%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	494	5.767	39.638	78.95%
Focus the Land's Anguish	464	6.623	38.022	69.18%
Forests of Living Obsidian	1935	5.443	40.217	83.15%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	140	3.579	27.5	70.71%
Indomitable Claim	2820	6.051	40.147	76.52%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	1912	6.173	40.598	77.3%
Infinite Vitality	1091	5.808	36.88	69.29%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	525	6.069	39.659	78.1%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	1862	6.187	39.842	75.62%
Irresistible Call	597	5.154	34.064	68.68%
Manifest Incarnation	691	5.059	38.016	81.04%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	680	5.351	36.057	72.35%
Mists of Oblivion	469	4.354	34.682	80.6%
Paralyzing Fright	2341	6.245	42.404	80.69%
Pent-Up Calamity	1942	5.361	38.725	80.23%
Pillar of Living Flame	480	3.9	32.431	79.58%
Poisoned Land	404	4.933	34.074	75.0%
Powerstorm	1390	5.725	40.087	79.64%
Pyroclastic Flow	1170	5.52	37.791	75.9%
Savage Transformation	419	4.647	37.561	79.47%
Sea Monsters	1104	5.881	42.734	82.16%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	638	5.056	39.404	84.8%
Sleep and Never Waken	1518	5.926	39.866	75.89%
Smothering Infestation	643	4.754	34.008	74.03%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	539	5.495	36.199	74.03%
Storm-Swath	785	5.154	37.59	78.73%
Strangling Firevine	841	4.552	35.811	81.57%
Sweep into the Sea	860	6.31	39.334	68.72%
Talons of Lightning	1011	4.519	34.594	78.54%
Terrifying Nightmares	775	4.759	33.966	73.81%
The Jungle Hungers	1888	5.752	38.229	75.64%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	370	6.197	34.349	60.54%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	1905	5.207	37.51	77.38%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	464	5.433	34.2	69.61%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	1671	4.881	35.534	76.96%
Tigers Hunting	1637	5.082	41.349	86.68%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	148	3.318	30.723	83.78%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	1475	5.677	39.706	79.46%
Tsunami	726	5.193	33.661	70.25%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	792	4.494	34.284	78.03%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	2236	5.26	40.288	84.39%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	1086	4.642	34.854	77.44%
Unrelenting Growth	1052	4.787	34.626	75.29%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	367	5.556	36.471	72.75%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	437	4.135	34.323	82.15%
Vengeance of the Dead	279	4.907	34.591	76.34%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	2848	5.941	42.623	81.32%
Voice of Command	1254	5.625	38.458	74.96%
Volcanic Eruption	296	5.361	32.791	71.96%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	2021	5.524	36.912	73.92%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	654	5.737	39.358	77.52%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	1464	4.54	34.152	76.84%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	1537	5.113	36.338	76.64%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Boon of Reimagining	34.15%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars	17.68%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky	24.14%
Shape the Self Anew	16.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	4307	22.56	13.42%
II	10105	30.98	66.48%
III	11292	34.53	87.95%
IV	6384	37.77	99.89%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	576
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	9766
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	6612
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	6315
Lose: Invader deck ran out	911
Lose: Adversary condition	3483
Win: Sacrifice victory	211
Lose: Scenario condition	242
Win: Scenario condition	124
Lose: Blight pool ran out	3738
Lose: Spirit destroyed	110

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.785 Win Model: -0.216

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	279	6.09%	25.98	96.77%	95.78%
-2	37	2.78%	27.3	100.0%	94.81%
-1	65	17.74%	21.06	89.23%	93.64%
0	8050	21.64%	20.51	92.53%	92.23%
1	1248	25.96%	24.48	90.95%	90.54%
2	1228	28.77%	28.36	89.41%	88.52%
3	1219	36.57%	31.28	82.61%	86.14%
4	1752	34.06%	37.42	88.3%	83.36%
5	1257	43.34%	36.62	68.66%	80.14%
6	2760	46.44%	40.96	75.69%	76.48%
7	2720	47.0%	44.16	71.88%	72.39%
8	1829	57.03%	44.99	64.84%	67.87%
9	1337	60.51%	47.32	57.97%	63.0%
10	5043	68.19%	46.64	49.53%	57.84%
11	2535	64.58%	50.45	52.9%	52.51%
12	125	68.8%	52.74	44.8%	47.12%
13	82	57.32%	65.6	53.66%	41.8%
14	187	37.43%	79.12	64.71%	36.66%
15	129	68.99%	54.95	31.78%	31.81%
16	91	79.12%	48.08	19.78%	27.32%
17	79	75.95%	48.75	13.92%	23.25%
18	8	75.0%	54.63	25.0%	19.62%
19	1	100.0%	46.0	0.0%	16.44%
25	27	96.3%	63.48	11.11%	5.11%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.255 Win Model: 0.577

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	21814	45.2%	36.14	71.74%
2	5772	44.52%	36.94	74.64%
3	2394	39.88%	35.96	78.49%
4	1001	34.47%	39.67	84.22%
5	195	27.84%	35.08	83.59%
6	912	25.82%	45.66	83.44%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.