Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 21.05% 24.68 89.47% 0.396 0.8361 0.0
Blitz 0 126 34.43% 33.21 84.13% 0.031 0.2871 -0.413
Dahan Insurrection 4 128 44.53% 49.28 57.81% -0.865 -0.5634 -0.753
Despicable Theft 2 61 39.34% 36.21 80.33% 0.671 1.216 0.69
Elemental Invocation 1 237 44.73% 31.68 78.06% -0.394 0.2173 0.116
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1364 15.67% 49.72 73.39% -0.351 -0.1571 -0.182
Powers Long Forgotten 1 40 70.0% 30.85 75.0% -0.439 -0.1937 -0.776
Rituals of Terror 3 49 42.86% 43.12 79.59% -0.861 -1.6968 -0.307
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 30 46.67% 48.33 93.33% 0.073 0.5986 0.662
Second Wave 0 609 32.4% 29.74 80.13% -0.44 0.1327 0.196
The Great River 3 57 49.12% 31.16 59.65% -0.551 1.0875 -0.521
Varied Terrains 2 29 44.83% 35.0 75.86% -0.778 -0.0327 0.482
Ward the Shores 2 79 16.46% 36.85 86.08% 0.283 1.3377 0.307

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24346 44.85% 36.5 72.24% 0.012 0.4579 -0.745
1 Thematic 463 41.5% 33.11 71.49% 0.145 0.7765 -0.248
2 Archipelago 74 47.3% 33.93 63.51% -1.102 -1.0891 -1.217
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4143 46.61% 36.9 73.4% -0.231 0.1139 -1.25
2 Coastline 760 30.87% 36.89 83.68% 0.17 0.2528 -0.446
2 Fragment 223 54.5% 49.87 78.03% 0.668 0.7556 0.488
2 Heart 111 45.95% 34.04 65.77% -0.641 -0.0293 -0.545
2 Opposite Shores 996 41.11% 35.9 78.01% 0.005 0.3834 -1.109
2 Thematic 233 45.92% 33.21 65.67% -0.541 -0.0239 -1.012
2 Top to Top 162 40.74% 39.99 78.4% -0.355 -0.2153 -0.671
3 Archipelago 45 48.89% 39.0 91.11% 0.109 -0.8687 -0.105
3 Coastline 30 40.0% 28.23 70.0% 0.593 -0.0559 0.195
3 Other 94 41.49% 31.05 79.79% 0.961 -0.1107 0.184
3 Round (Default) 2728 41.56% 36.33 75.55% -0.815 -0.6233 -1.45
3 Sunrise 18 61.11% 42.67 94.44% 0.479 0.7987 0.707
3 Thematic 74 45.95% 39.65 77.03% 0.893 0.647 0.195
4 Archipelago 26 50.0% 43.88 92.31% 0.086 -0.3161 -0.274
4 Coastline 14 0.0% 32.43 100.0% 0.221 0.4185 0.048
4 Leaf 9 66.67% 25.11 44.44% -0.742 -0.251 -0.769
4 Other 32 31.25% 34.5 87.5% 0.167 -0.3742 -0.362
4 Thematic 154 39.22% 39.79 83.77% -0.193 -0.1868 -0.286
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1076 37.69% 42.14 82.34% -0.733 -0.8743 -1.24
5 Archipelago 8 50.0% 33.63 87.5% 0.118 -0.1986 -0.084
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 38.86 100.0% 0.233 -0.024 0.124
5 Other 188 32.09% 37.09 80.85% -0.659 -0.8339 -1.319
5 Thematic 30 26.67% 29.8 86.67% 0.168 0.1337 -0.436
6 Archipelago 28 17.86% 46.86 89.29% 0.109 -0.6416 -1.468
6 Coastline 4 25.0% 38.75 100.0% 0.009 -0.6986 0.017
6 Other 148 25.0% 32.59 84.46% -1.496 -0.7993 -2.068
6 Star 119 24.37% 39.17 74.79% -0.851 -0.3187 -1.715
6 Thematic 240 30.67% 43.8 86.67% -1.884 -1.385 -0.938
6 Two Centers (Default) 527 23.34% 51.33 83.87% -1.067 -0.8411 -1.778
7 Archipelago 8 50.0% 64.38 87.5% 0.0 -0.7346 -0.514
7 Other 9 44.44% 31.78 66.67% 0.205 -0.5669 -1.108

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1155 36.86 52.73% -1.261 0.6486 -0.623
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1035 39.73 58.65% -1.139 0.5453 -0.243
All Things Weaken 1175 35.95 53.87% -1.336 0.6638 -0.478
Back Against the Wall 1051 40.22 58.61% -1.359 0.589 -0.344
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1126 34.48 50.89% -1.432 0.6337 -0.758
Downward Spiral 1194 35.4 58.96% -1.547 0.4162 -0.391
Erosion of Will 1140 35.69 51.4% -1.58 0.5274 -0.707
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 501 41.06 75.85% -0.367 0.2494 0.126
Memory Fades to Dust 1292 35.21 55.42% -0.916 1.1412 -0.543
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1234 35.76 56.73% -1.244 0.735 -0.49
Promising Farmlands 1110 35.27 52.61% -1.317 0.7852 -0.689
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 357 39.11 77.31% -0.049 0.2803 0.012
Thriving Communities 1202 34.4 52.58% -1.389 0.6601 -0.679
Unnatural Proliferation 1327 37.56 55.99% -1.144 0.8 -0.38
Untended Land Crumbles 1200 35.31 53.92% -1.37 0.6569 -0.622

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7419 42.88% 36.89 74.03% 0.018 0.777 0.363
B 7630 41.49% 37.7 75.2% 0.13 0.8069 0.223
C 8944 40.36% 38.4 76.12% 0.192 0.7167 0.395
D 6629 41.47% 37.19 76.68% 0.131 0.8578 0.256
E 7405 41.41% 38.55 74.14% 0.277 0.8367 0.39
F 6518 42.53% 37.75 75.15% 0.251 0.9412 0.316
G 5935 40.9% 37.39 75.48% 0.208 0.9029 0.4
H 5986 41.56% 37.38 75.28% 0.251 0.9121 0.383
East 913 37.89% 38.46 78.31% -0.607 0.0729 -1.343
Northeast 643 37.66% 38.85 79.32% 0.191 0.7611 -0.434
Northwest 540 38.42% 39.0 77.59% -0.26 0.582 -0.507
Southeast 421 33.97% 41.02 82.66% -0.227 0.2996 -0.045
Southwest 391 34.37% 40.61 81.07% 0.03 0.9712 0.032
West 827 40.07% 37.84 74.97% -0.54 0.4599 -0.428

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 192 0.0% 26.35 82.29% -0.549 1.5703 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 280 24.63% 24.59 90.71% -0.067 0.1735 -0.169
Skip Initial Invader Actions 771 10.54% 52.85 91.05% 0.602 0.2327 1.831
Start of Game Growth 1018 15.54% 50.06 89.0% 0.511 -0.1117 -0.604
Unlimited Undo 4499 36.14% 46.49 86.0% 1.135 0.5041 1.625
Using Tokens but Not Events 2789 24.61% 29.91 83.94% -0.66 -0.6162 -0.497

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1662 100.0% 40.8 100.0% 0.195 0.147 0.025
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 263 100.0% 35.08 100.0% -0.199 -0.1347 0.528
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 485 100.0% 34.17 100.0% 0.987 0.7485 -0.591
Downpour Drenches the World 615 100.0% 47.26 100.0% -0.214 0.1774 -0.096
Eyes Watch From the Trees 815 100.0% 37.6 100.0% 0.208 -0.2073 -0.169
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 560 100.0% 34.44 100.0% -0.122 -0.7165 -0.256
Finder of Paths Unseen 259 100.0% 46.73 100.0% -0.064 0.3407 1.226
Fractured Days Split the Sky 920 100.0% 47.42 100.0% 0.307 0.349 0.054
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1018 100.0% 36.01 100.0% -0.557 -0.5741 -0.008
Heart of the Wildfire 527 100.0% 34.48 100.0% -0.459 -0.1304 -0.72
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1878 100.0% 40.57 100.0% 0.527 -0.107 0.527
Lightning's Swift Strike 435 219.04% 32.47 140.23% -0.009 0.2645 0.151
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 186 51.61% 41.01 68.28% 0.091 -0.7415 -0.574
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 183 39.01% 43.05 81.42% 0.633 0.0611 0.797
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 533 40.34% 51.44 84.62% 1.32 0.8952 0.909
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1261 100.0% 38.89 100.0% 0.346 0.1392 -0.404
Many Minds Move as One 491 100.0% 38.45 100.0% -0.067 -0.579 0.033
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 885 100.0% 40.03 100.0% 0.478 0.1947 0.183
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 445 100.0% 34.35 100.0% -0.224 -0.1909 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight 694 151.58% 38.63 117.0% -0.1 -0.0945 -0.05
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 333 38.44% 44.04 84.38% -0.151 0.2931 0.235
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 291 46.71% 54.78 77.32% 0.424 0.1805 -0.218
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1161 100.0% 45.54 100.0% 0.019 -0.1248 -0.243
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 94 274.74% 28.21 158.51% 0.028 0.5299 -0.795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 31.82% 34.47 73.33% -0.57 -0.4316 0.19
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 39 53.85% 40.46 89.74% 0.364 0.2865 0.959
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 100 36.0% 36.15 81.0% -0.834 -0.8365 0.744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 97 44.33% 31.84 79.38% -1.383 -1.314 -0.981
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 737 100.0% 41.31 100.0% 0.368 0.1061 0.328
Shifting Memory of Ages 1022 100.0% 40.52 100.0% 0.088 0.1099 -0.087
Shroud of Silent Mist 416 100.0% 31.25 100.0% -0.059 0.1861 -0.726
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1040 100.0% 36.68 100.0% -0.233 -0.4022 0.2
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 508 100.0% 40.13 100.0% 0.309 0.4194 0.877
Thunderspeaker 615 100.0% 37.19 100.0% -0.38 -0.4754 -0.758
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 502 100.0% 36.95 100.0% 0.197 0.1002 -0.044
Vital Strength of the Earth 310 147.42% 29.69 125.81% -0.527 0.3559 -0.789
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 181 50.83% 44.08 71.82% 0.212 0.6133 0.12
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 110 47.27% 33.73 73.64% -0.923 0.1189 -0.651
Volcano Looming High 909 100.0% 36.62 100.0% 0.228 0.2122 0.404

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 33.67%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 17.22%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 24.09%
Shape the Self Anew 15.82%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4962 22.62 13.24%
II 11646 31.05 66.84%
III 13109 34.62 88.17%
IV 7454 37.86 99.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 655
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11369
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7654
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7373
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1006
Lose: Adversary condition 4019
Win: Sacrifice victory 253
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 142
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4295
Lose: Spirit destroyed 129

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.791 Win Model: -0.205

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.327 Win Model: 0.299
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 25004 44.86% 36.45 72.16%
2 6690 44.39% 36.97 74.6%
3 2878 40.75% 36.41 77.9%
4 1296 37.1% 41.53 83.26%
5 224 28.25% 35.34 83.48%
6 1079 26.0% 45.74 83.69%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-09-29 02:31:34 (Pacific Time)