Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 106 27.36% 31.02 70.75% -0.186 -0.7439 0.499
Blitz 0 410 28.96% 27.1 56.34% -0.602 -0.1791 -0.301
Dahan Insurrection 4 404 33.17% 41.99 51.24% -0.349 -0.8315 -0.405
Despicable Theft 2 175 41.14% 27.02 52.0% -0.013 0.53 -0.71
Elemental Invocation 1 684 41.14% 24.24 58.63% -0.572 0.1658 -0.763
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2909 14.43% 42.39 65.93% 0.228 -0.4287 0.362
Powers Long Forgotten 1 200 42.5% 19.09 39.5% -1.028 -0.4657 -0.652
Rituals of Terror 3 153 36.99% 31.32 55.56% -0.55 -0.6923 -1.109
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 111 47.75% 28.69 53.15% 0.794 1.5432 -0.309
Second Wave 0 1767 32.46% 26.88 70.18% -0.161 -0.0662 0.116
The Great River 3 160 38.13% 24.57 43.13% -0.353 0.8924 -1.526
Varied Terrains 2 203 40.89% 24.35 48.77% -0.515 0.3534 -1.358
Ward the Shores 2 286 20.0% 23.62 47.2% -1.55 -0.696 -0.895

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 56790 41.15% 30.97 61.54% -0.367 0.006 -1.128
1 Thematic 1080 33.96% 25.69 55.37% -0.357 0.3576 -0.692
2 Archipelago 137 45.59% 30.57 51.09% -0.054 0.47 -1.92
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12152 42.04% 32.03 64.57% -0.105 0.0566 -1.704
2 Coastline 2194 28.89% 30.69 73.93% -0.453 -0.6465 -1.043
2 Fragment 494 53.47% 37.79 65.99% -0.532 -0.5804 0.03
2 Heart 317 55.38% 35.85 57.73% -0.71 -0.9223 -1.034
2 Opposite Shores 2997 37.66% 30.91 64.7% -0.344 -0.2115 -1.694
2 Thematic 642 40.63% 28.1 51.87% -0.612 0.108 -0.622
2 Top to Top 429 42.42% 34.68 71.33% 0.307 0.2223 -1.125
3 Archipelago 71 42.25% 39.08 85.92% 0.03 -0.5131 -0.19
3 Coastline 81 29.63% 25.07 61.73% 0.576 -0.054 -1.106
3 Other 287 30.66% 22.75 60.28% 0.624 -0.2525 -0.299
3 Round (Default) 8335 38.83% 32.16 66.78% -0.519 -0.5417 -1.872
3 Sunrise 39 61.54% 37.54 87.18% 0.622 0.1756 -0.008
3 Thematic 249 36.14% 33.43 61.85% -0.658 -0.6503 0.207
4 Archipelago 56 41.07% 45.07 83.93% 0.134 -0.0177 -1.297
4 Coastline 47 25.53% 29.64 65.96% -0.91 -0.7811 -1.627
4 Leaf 57 59.65% 23.96 38.6% -0.917 -0.4817 -2.337
4 Other 137 37.23% 29.38 74.45% 0.872 0.3039 -0.116
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 425 34.2% 32.59 69.41% -0.635 -0.5723 -0.648
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4570 36.4% 31.71 62.1% -0.903 -0.898 -2.794
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.164
5 Coastline 19 26.32% 27.11 73.68% 0.0 -1.0209 -0.331
5 Other 574 28.85% 31.21 71.6% -0.464 -0.7877 -2.175
5 Thematic 72 34.72% 27.58 59.72% -0.341 -0.4836 -1.136
6 Archipelago 73 15.28% 41.0 73.97% 0.201 -0.8375 -1.925
6 Coastline 16 31.25% 22.81 50.0% 0.049 -1.0088 -1.079
6 Other 487 25.05% 27.31 67.35% -1.336 -1.3805 -2.761
6 Star 331 21.75% 31.18 68.28% -1.622 -0.9898 -2.683
6 Thematic 729 43.03% 37.38 65.57% -0.533 -0.3289 -1.38
6 Two Centers (Default) 1824 16.45% 36.32 64.09% -1.102 -0.6277 -3.674
7 Archipelago 19 26.32% 58.42 73.68% 0.0 -0.3239 -0.838
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.841
7 Other 31 31.03% 20.52 38.71% -0.632 -1.3071 -1.626

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2319 34.65 50.54% 0.254 0.3255 -0.011
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2040 38.71 59.46% 0.18 0.0707 0.332
All Things Weaken 2478 33.28 50.61% 0.013 0.1896 -0.014
Attenuated Essence 758 31.53 52.77% 0.033 0.0851 -0.1
Back Against the Wall 2056 38.58 57.15% 0.389 0.3738 0.214
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 724 31.4 46.55% -0.265 -0.081 0.01
Burn Brightest Before the End 652 34.89 54.45% 0.268 0.3553 0.007
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2280 31.76 47.41% -0.572 -0.281 -0.205
Downward Spiral 2591 32.54 54.88% -0.181 -0.0753 0.116
Erosion of Will 2330 33.54 49.18% 0.104 0.2697 -0.151
Intensifying Exploitation 741 29.06 44.4% -0.496 -0.3079 -0.308
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1092 36.15 68.22% -0.006 -0.4339 0.475
Memory Fades to Dust 2642 32.16 51.44% -0.515 -0.2804 -0.027
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2517 32.88 52.13% -0.069 0.027 -0.056
Promising Farmlands 2345 32.83 49.0% -0.032 0.3319 -0.167
Shattered Fragments of Power 596 34.2 53.86% 0.208 0.2739 0.008
Slow Dissolution of Will 702 29.08 41.45% -0.33 0.1328 -0.5
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 770 36.05 71.04% 0.638 0.0367 0.538
The Border of Life and Death 220 33.4 63.64% 1.158 0.6824 0.421
Thriving Communities 2478 31.61 48.95% -0.138 0.0873 -0.148
Thriving Crops 392 31.59 53.57% 0.262 0.0379 0.065
Unnatural Proliferation 2648 35.46 53.02% 0.133 0.2552 0.148
Untended Land Crumbles 2480 31.67 49.88% -0.122 0.1098 -0.19

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21813 37.37% 30.64 62.71% 0.388 1.3059 0.487
B 22306 37.21% 31.26 63.19% 0.303 1.1437 0.409
C 24746 36.54% 31.89 64.25% 0.329 1.0122 0.634
D 19177 36.92% 30.84 64.36% 0.229 1.071 0.413
E 20516 38.02% 32.64 63.99% 0.432 1.0835 0.664
F 18196 38.11% 31.91 63.89% 0.305 1.0647 0.528
G 16015 37.6% 31.82 64.44% 0.316 1.0738 0.573
H 16344 38.21% 32.0 64.01% 0.255 0.9735 0.562
East 2543 37.26% 31.78 61.15% -0.882 -0.0689 -1.097
Northeast 1795 37.4% 33.03 62.56% -0.139 0.5288 -0.179
Northwest 1552 38.83% 32.86 62.05% -0.009 0.7955 -0.805
Southeast 1310 39.71% 33.73 62.6% -0.461 0.2446 -0.661
Southwest 1200 40.6% 33.46 61.33% -0.609 0.781 -0.565
West 2351 39.63% 31.52 59.59% -0.444 0.3495 -0.964

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 671 0.0% 18.44 64.53% -0.997 -0.2782 -0.512
Not Using Events or Tokens 811 24.17% 21.06 75.09% -0.13 0.3551 -1.108
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2356 9.88% 40.45 73.13% 0.73 -0.0011 0.223
Start of Game Growth 3059 14.75% 37.34 70.42% 0.048 -0.3985 0.036
Unlimited Undo 12056 32.52% 38.05 70.22% 0.053 0.0195 1.19
Using Tokens but Not Events 8617 20.72% 23.96 71.36% -0.039 -0.2014 -0.871

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4791 25.85% 33.51 68.46% 0.539 0.4325 0.111
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 420 31.98% 34.61 58.33% 0.835 0.3462 0.211
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 710 41.57% 27.18 60.85% -0.453 -0.3101 0.227
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 385 47.53% 28.91 51.69% 0.126 -0.6225 -0.192
Dances Up Earthquakes 225 20.44% 21.48 41.78% -0.077 -0.2533 0.199
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1357 34.76% 28.7 72.0% -0.094 -0.3014 0.276
Downpour Drenches the World 2641 31.71% 33.85 56.42% -0.567 -0.247 0.021
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2354 32.64% 30.14 64.44% 0.645 0.2041 -0.004
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2106 26.73% 32.9 75.21% 0.23 -0.1134 0.006
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1414 33.88% 30.91 69.38% -0.596 -0.9503 -0.152
Finder of Paths Unseen 1260 37.44% 34.41 63.33% -0.309 0.4751 0.426
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2764 25.13% 36.08 62.19% -0.278 0.1699 -0.223
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2190 46.6% 32.2 63.06% -0.546 -0.5692 0.087
Heart of the Wildfire 1286 51.6% 28.98 58.71% -0.321 0.0058 -0.39
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5135 32.17% 34.85 69.33% 0.367 -0.1282 0.353
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 488 26.95% 30.17 65.37% 0.2 -0.3626 -0.184
Lightning's Swift Strike 1152 33.74% 26.65 72.66% -0.21 -0.0115 -0.406
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 797 43.97% 37.66 63.86% 0.445 -0.0032 -0.009
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 553 31.09% 30.98 61.48% 0.918 0.5989 0.884
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1994 33.23% 38.76 61.94% -0.176 -0.0515 0.829
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3214 36.97% 33.38 67.58% 0.068 -0.0881 -0.068
Many Minds Move as One 1576 32.63% 32.53 68.21% -0.162 -0.3691 0.33
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2757 33.44% 31.32 65.69% -0.308 -0.1787 0.363
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 121 42.98% 29.82 64.46% 0.087 0.1919 -0.34
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1391 38.54% 30.94 68.08% 0.085 0.0356 0.288
River Surges in Sunlight 1767 31.27% 30.33 71.42% 0.069 0.1024 0.187
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 166 35.54% 28.8 47.59% -0.617 -0.4091 -0.721
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 857 36.45% 30.0 61.26% -0.17 -0.0188 -0.392
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1605 37.74% 39.32 59.25% 0.555 0.5647 -0.103
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3670 28.59% 37.81 64.96% 0.12 0.0216 0.458
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 124 22.58% 32.9 66.13% 0.434 -0.0567 0.209
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 290 39.31% 25.87 74.83% 0.323 0.8352 -0.633
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 138 40.44% 30.56 68.84% 0.93 0.8866 0.123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 296 43.24% 30.07 63.51% -0.4 -0.8482 0.286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 154 43.51% 29.09 68.83% 0.52 0.5787 0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 244 36.48% 27.36 65.57% 0.316 0.1253 0.826
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 211 46.19% 27.92 67.3% -0.094 -0.0103 -0.369
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1453 29.77% 33.72 69.3% 0.249 0.1508 0.272
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 625 31.03% 29.17 64.48% 0.197 0.0025 -0.134
Shifting Memory of Ages 2628 36.47% 32.68 64.31% -0.12 0.2696 -0.006
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 475 35.65% 31.04 60.63% 0.15 0.0989 -0.025
Shroud of Silent Mist 1120 40.54% 25.26 60.71% -0.434 -0.0195 -0.269
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2771 35.54% 30.85 66.22% -0.003 -0.5057 -0.064
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1378 33.77% 33.22 70.9% -0.076 0.0069 0.538
Thunderspeaker 1648 32.44% 30.71 67.29% -0.06 -0.0652 -0.614
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 287 30.66% 24.37 60.63% -0.468 -0.0791 0.259
Towering Roots of the Jungle 458 40.83% 30.52 63.32% 0.055 0.265 0.175
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1474 57.3% 32.3 61.6% -0.07 0.0073 0.08
Vital Strength of the Earth 1027 23.23% 20.15 61.93% -0.599 -0.1495 -2.495
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 789 40.1% 36.2 62.74% -0.257 0.2377 0.364
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 311 38.06% 25.22 57.23% -0.997 -0.304 -0.829
Volcano Looming High 2689 44.59% 34.38 69.39% -0.122 -0.0582 0.507
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 881 35.27% 32.31 65.72% 0.239 -0.0099 0.059

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 39.07%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 21.22%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 29.22%
Shape the Self Anew 19.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23501 14.25 6.67%
II 27062 30.3 63.01%
III 29375 34.84 88.13%
IV 16055 38.61 99.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1564
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25505
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16713
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15871
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15176
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1775
Lose: Adversary condition 8607
Win: Sacrifice victory 540
Lose: Scenario condition 500
Win: Scenario condition 342
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9075
Lose: Spirit destroyed 325

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.394 Win Model: -0.135

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.11 Win Model: 0.13
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 58620 41.1% 30.88 61.41%
2 19102 40.44% 32.02 65.54%
3 8902 38.2% 31.89 67.05%
4 5214 35.95% 31.72 63.2%
5 706 28.02% 29.05 68.13%
6 3449 24.12% 35.3 65.96%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)