Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 114 28.07% 30.88 71.05% 0.573 0.5457 0.436
Blitz 0 448 28.05% 26.59 54.91% -0.331 -0.0806 -0.36
Dahan Insurrection 4 446 33.86% 40.24 49.55% -0.879 -1.1274 -0.45
Despicable Theft 2 198 37.88% 24.68 47.47% -2.064 -1.6025 -0.749
Elemental Invocation 1 810 40.67% 24.43 56.79% -0.596 0.1064 -0.797
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3123 14.7% 42.09 65.51% 0.358 -0.1948 0.366
Powers Long Forgotten 1 237 43.04% 18.85 37.97% -0.547 0.0762 -0.686
Rituals of Terror 3 167 37.5% 30.56 55.09% -0.309 -0.1166 -1.065
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 126 49.21% 28.53 53.97% 0.2 1.1226 -0.266
Second Wave 0 1967 32.22% 26.77 69.04% -0.05 0.067 0.267
The Great River 3 176 36.93% 23.43 41.48% -1.6 -0.5325 -1.552
Varied Terrains 2 229 40.61% 24.66 50.22% 0.313 1.0538 -1.325
Ward the Shores 2 326 19.69% 22.94 45.09% -0.832 0.2522 -0.895

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 63282 40.88% 30.26 60.31% -0.3 0.2265 -1.16
1 Thematic 1212 34.2% 24.89 54.54% -0.097 0.7571 -0.633
2 Archipelago 147 43.84% 29.98 48.98% -0.972 0.0831 -2.364
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13523 41.36% 31.54 64.35% -0.064 0.2143 -1.738
2 Coastline 2397 29.24% 30.14 72.51% -0.122 -0.0198 -1.149
2 Fragment 534 52.17% 37.08 66.29% 0.775 0.7874 -0.056
2 Heart 343 55.85% 35.91 58.6% 0.417 0.5287 -1.018
2 Opposite Shores 3313 37.43% 30.42 63.51% -0.133 0.2032 -1.8
2 Thematic 720 40.95% 27.7 51.39% -0.235 0.4543 -0.624
2 Top to Top 488 41.8% 33.75 70.08% 0.143 0.385 -1.172
3 Archipelago 74 40.54% 37.84 83.78% -0.309 -1.0299 -0.424
3 Coastline 94 28.72% 25.06 62.77% 0.723 0.3831 -1.024
3 Other 318 29.87% 21.97 58.81% -0.228 -0.8305 -0.401
3 Round (Default) 9388 38.54% 31.84 66.17% -0.435 -0.4295 -1.986
3 Sunrise 40 60.0% 37.48 87.5% 0.169 0.1071 0.041
3 Thematic 292 36.64% 32.38 58.56% -0.664 -0.5792 0.088
4 Archipelago 58 39.66% 44.14 82.76% -0.693 -0.5422 -1.324
4 Coastline 53 28.3% 29.53 66.04% 0.0 -0.7584 -1.672
4 Leaf 63 55.56% 24.62 41.27% -0.566 -0.4287 -2.376
4 Other 157 38.22% 28.89 72.61% -0.374 -0.9928 -0.384
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3905 0.0
4 Thematic 480 34.03% 31.81 68.54% 0.103 0.3711 -0.685
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5324 35.83% 30.87 60.59% -0.97 -0.8056 -2.934
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.154 -0.724 -0.186
5 Coastline 20 25.0% 29.75 75.0% 0.0 0.0963 -0.37
5 Other 647 28.84% 30.58 70.17% -0.973 -1.3591 -2.357
5 Thematic 82 35.37% 27.18 57.32% 0.058 -0.7398 -1.378
6 Archipelago 76 14.67% 40.76 73.68% 0.273 -0.8373 -1.923
6 Coastline 18 27.78% 20.28 44.44% -0.56 -1.3974 -1.12
6 Other 593 26.31% 27.65 66.1% -1.08 -1.11 -2.943
6 Star 389 21.34% 30.55 66.58% -1.188 -1.2053 -3.135
6 Thematic 846 44.54% 36.94 63.59% -0.895 -0.7921 -1.44
6 Two Centers (Default) 2085 17.22% 35.29 62.35% -1.627 -1.0619 -3.969
7 Archipelago 20 30.0% 59.05 75.0% 0.066 -0.0083 -0.719
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.854
7 Other 39 27.78% 24.28 43.59% -0.465 -0.8992 -1.494

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2518 34.18 50.0% -0.221 0.0286 0.057
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2188 38.68 59.37% 0.645 0.5265 0.402
All Things Weaken 2708 32.78 50.11% -0.276 0.0608 0.028
Attenuated Essence 932 31.36 52.79% 0.145 0.1716 -0.001
Back Against the Wall 2240 38.11 56.79% 0.162 0.1636 0.285
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 899 31.28 46.38% 0.14 0.3575 0.086
Burn Brightest Before the End 789 34.83 53.99% 0.29 0.2715 0.107
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2472 31.46 47.29% -0.306 0.0868 -0.128
Downward Spiral 2833 32.03 54.25% 0.133 0.2411 0.158
Erosion of Will 2519 32.95 48.39% -0.112 0.24 -0.126
Intensifying Exploitation 893 29.05 45.02% 0.067 0.3127 -0.227
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1210 35.45 66.53% 0.105 -0.4194 0.487
Memory Fades to Dust 2935 31.57 50.83% -0.197 0.05 0.029
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2769 32.38 51.35% -0.058 0.1641 0.006
Promising Farmlands 2582 32.58 49.15% 0.26 0.5426 -0.094
Shattered Fragments of Power 723 33.78 53.39% 0.132 0.2092 0.034
Slow Dissolution of Will 859 29.4 41.91% -0.071 0.3258 -0.379
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 839 35.7 70.32% 0.489 -0.2058 0.573
The Border of Life and Death 271 33.39 62.36% 0.591 -0.0094 0.41
Thriving Communities 2721 31.28 48.59% -0.26 0.0961 -0.061
Thriving Crops 487 31.39 54.83% 0.584 0.3882 0.146
Unnatural Proliferation 2907 35.08 52.87% 0.111 0.273 0.201
Untended Land Crumbles 2705 31.38 49.57% -0.072 0.1599 -0.117

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 24687 36.95% 29.99 61.65% 0.178 1.1832 0.535
B 25102 36.89% 30.65 62.24% 0.144 1.0633 0.473
C 27841 36.4% 31.27 63.03% 0.252 0.9864 0.655
D 21625 36.57% 30.29 63.43% 0.223 1.2008 0.472
E 22982 37.53% 32.04 63.02% 0.485 1.3047 0.711
F 20541 37.76% 31.27 62.73% 0.025 0.8991 0.579
G 17916 37.34% 31.3 63.52% 0.138 0.9475 0.64
H 18327 37.87% 31.41 62.92% 0.293 1.1081 0.604
East 2918 37.98% 31.27 60.01% 0.12 1.0229 -1.134
Northeast 2025 38.6% 32.81 61.68% 0.295 1.1025 -0.197
Northwest 1771 39.8% 32.56 60.64% -0.168 0.7324 -0.85
Southeast 1519 40.57% 33.08 60.5% -0.544 0.3066 -0.828
Southwest 1407 42.03% 32.55 59.06% -0.519 0.8565 -0.563
West 2675 40.18% 30.83 57.94% -0.914 0.0407 -1.101

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 790 0.0% 17.5 62.28% -1.329 -0.6216 -0.632
Not Using Events or Tokens 933 25.2% 21.26 72.45% -0.114 0.2544 -0.183
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2614 10.0% 39.98 72.26% 0.542 -0.0428 0.268
Start of Game Growth 3475 14.92% 36.63 69.47% 0.197 -0.3168 0.006
Unlimited Undo 13326 32.55% 37.32 69.32% 0.478 0.3681 1.229
Using Tokens but Not Events 9831 20.84% 23.53 70.59% 0.238 0.2119 -0.947

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5292 25.26% 33.07 68.73% 0.559 0.4531 0.151
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 680 29.35% 36.17 60.44% 0.736 0.2564 0.174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 788 41.77% 26.28 59.64% -0.219 -0.0932 0.096
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 534 47.75% 27.15 47.94% -0.538 -1.385 -0.263
Dances Up Earthquakes 553 30.67% 28.58 51.72% 0.413 0.4494 0.241
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1562 35.74% 28.28 70.17% 0.062 -0.0743 0.235
Downpour Drenches the World 3012 31.66% 33.4 55.74% 0.131 0.3372 0.0
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2627 32.75% 30.35 64.71% 0.339 -0.2715 0.094
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2334 26.66% 32.23 73.74% 0.227 -0.1483 -0.039
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1562 33.25% 30.21 68.25% 0.284 -0.1066 -0.237
Finder of Paths Unseen 1440 37.58% 33.06 60.35% -0.675 0.0447 0.384
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3136 24.38% 35.05 61.42% -0.197 0.4143 -0.171
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2355 46.2% 31.68 62.12% -0.434 -0.5336 0.129
Heart of the Wildfire 1428 51.3% 27.99 56.93% -0.522 -0.1853 -0.408
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5600 33.12% 34.29 67.84% -0.015 -0.4459 0.335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 600 26.76% 29.26 64.67% 0.123 -0.1918 -0.175
Lightning's Swift Strike 1269 34.83% 26.17 70.84% -0.454 -0.2239 -0.463
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 921 44.67% 36.77 62.98% 0.046 -0.398 0.057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 604 30.67% 30.44 60.6% 0.24 -0.0703 0.971
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2316 32.41% 38.07 61.74% 0.393 0.2504 0.832
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3550 37.05% 32.37 65.63% -0.514 -0.7419 -0.128
Many Minds Move as One 1759 33.22% 31.99 66.86% 0.069 -0.1733 0.407
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2972 32.67% 30.87 65.11% 0.01 0.1195 0.385
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 526 38.78% 28.82 59.7% 0.034 0.1526 -0.103
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1529 38.4% 30.48 67.3% -0.233 -0.279 0.276
River Surges in Sunlight 1976 29.77% 29.77 70.75% 0.058 0.1883 0.228
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 226 34.51% 29.75 52.21% 0.721 0.8964 -0.456
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 945 36.02% 29.17 60.21% -0.211 0.0871 -0.37
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1867 37.21% 38.91 59.03% 0.526 0.442 -0.06
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4044 28.22% 37.7 64.89% 0.489 0.3774 0.468
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 383 27.94% 32.67 60.84% 0.21 0.0921 0.281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 335 39.22% 25.18 75.82% 0.466 0.9605 -0.633
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 153 39.07% 29.65 67.97% 0.221 0.1702 0.13
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 400 43.25% 29.25 60.75% -0.33 -0.84 -0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 169 43.2% 27.86 65.68% 0.116 -0.0115 0.052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 269 34.94% 26.68 63.94% -0.459 -0.4472 0.855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 227 46.02% 27.66 65.64% -0.548 -0.4128 -0.283
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1567 30.12% 33.06 68.47% -0.192 -0.1434 0.29
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 719 30.59% 28.48 63.7% -0.163 -0.378 -0.129
Shifting Memory of Ages 2868 36.24% 32.14 62.69% -0.173 0.121 -0.065
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 708 32.81% 30.1 59.32% 0.076 -0.0419 -0.078
Shroud of Silent Mist 1239 40.03% 24.66 59.32% -0.466 -0.1385 -0.276
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3038 35.54% 30.36 65.44% 0.33 -0.2007 -0.065
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1568 32.99% 32.58 70.28% 0.243 0.3206 0.576
Thunderspeaker 1815 32.48% 30.21 65.95% -0.015 0.0211 -0.625
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 343 27.41% 24.82 62.68% 0.468 0.5267 0.214
Towering Roots of the Jungle 670 40.75% 29.17 59.55% -0.276 -0.1267 0.015
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1665 57.33% 31.57 60.06% -0.244 -0.0984 0.034
Vital Strength of the Earth 1155 23.36% 20.41 63.2% 0.606 1.1739 -2.401
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 908 39.14% 35.26 61.78% -0.122 0.3987 0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 348 38.62% 25.08 56.03% -0.674 0.0675 -0.859
Volcano Looming High 2935 45.27% 33.76 67.73% -0.081 -0.0658 0.471
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1047 35.15% 31.55 63.9% -0.229 -0.5207 0.033

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 39.61%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 21.49%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 29.61%
Shape the Self Anew 20.32%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27436 13.33 6.33%
II 30071 30.1 62.48%
III 32332 34.83 88.28%
IV 17544 38.67 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1733
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28114
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18419
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17343
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18635
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1885
Lose: Adversary condition 9472
Win: Sacrifice victory 602
Lose: Scenario condition 534
Win: Scenario condition 368
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9922
Lose: Spirit destroyed 356

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.323 Win Model: -0.138

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.216 Win Model: 0.222
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 65365 40.82% 30.17 60.18%
2 21134 39.98% 31.52 65.06%
3 10043 37.95% 31.55 66.31%
4 6050 35.5% 30.91 61.7%
5 789 27.86% 28.69 67.05%
6 4002 25.09% 34.55 64.27%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)