Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 67 26.87% 26.1 74.63% 0.275 0.0892 0.193
Blitz 0 322 29.11% 30.47 62.73% -0.792 -0.6608 -0.186
Dahan Insurrection 4 294 34.35% 45.99 56.12% -0.504 -0.7596 -0.294
Despicable Theft 2 129 41.86% 29.36 58.14% -0.207 0.3345 -0.66
Elemental Invocation 1 521 43.19% 25.92 61.23% -1.045 -0.1883 -0.627
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2324 14.68% 44.17 67.0% 0.651 -0.1198 0.309
Powers Long Forgotten 1 121 46.28% 20.97 42.98% -2.125 -1.1907 -1.057
Rituals of Terror 3 112 36.19% 32.47 58.04% -0.893 -0.7974 -0.908
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 83 53.01% 30.81 55.42% -1.084 0.1128 -0.397
Second Wave 0 1253 33.23% 27.79 73.9% -0.413 -0.3277 0.138
The Great River 3 121 41.32% 25.73 44.63% -1.639 -0.2779 -1.406
Varied Terrains 2 135 42.96% 27.5 56.3% -0.377 0.4114 -1.143
Ward the Shores 2 213 16.98% 24.26 49.3% -0.866 0.1664 -1.06

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 44238 42.61% 32.86 64.39% -0.186 0.0049 -0.978
1 Thematic 802 34.6% 27.0 59.73% -1.033 -0.3881 -0.608
2 Archipelago 109 48.15% 31.4 55.96% -1.268 -0.8363 -1.451
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8899 43.11% 33.17 66.54% -0.196 -0.1993 -1.651
2 Coastline 1592 29.13% 32.95 77.26% 0.316 0.3715 -0.766
2 Fragment 421 54.2% 39.69 66.98% -0.246 -0.5126 0.018
2 Heart 234 56.22% 35.41 59.4% 0.24 0.2008 -1.059
2 Opposite Shores 2120 38.88% 32.15 67.55% -0.473 -0.4593 -1.536
2 Thematic 457 39.82% 30.3 56.24% 0.15 0.3465 -0.454
2 Top to Top 318 43.4% 35.76 71.38% -0.83 -0.9282 -1.045
3 Archipelago 60 46.67% 40.82 88.33% -0.188 -0.6349 0.106
3 Coastline 63 30.16% 27.35 65.08% 0.359 -0.6648 -0.924
3 Other 214 28.5% 21.43 57.94% 0.437 0.0444 -0.274
3 Round (Default) 6093 39.18% 33.14 69.74% -0.395 -0.7301 -1.78
3 Sunrise 30 66.67% 37.77 93.33% 0.455 0.6982 -0.094
3 Thematic 162 44.44% 34.98 65.43% 0.307 0.0225 0.261
4 Archipelago 41 48.78% 43.02 85.37% 0.607 0.4496 -1.085
4 Coastline 25 16.0% 30.28 84.0% 0.081 -0.8575 -0.655
4 Leaf 30 50.0% 31.77 60.0% -1.058 -1.2065 -1.937
4 Other 87 33.33% 28.77 78.16% 0.539 -0.791 -0.289
4 Thematic 314 34.19% 34.07 72.93% 0.185 0.1057 -0.599
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3025 37.75% 35.18 68.3% -0.762 -0.9186 -2.393
5 Archipelago 15 33.33% 31.13 93.33% 0.0 0.6745 -0.081
5 Coastline 17 29.41% 28.59 76.47% -0.321 -1.2333 -0.28
5 Other 408 30.54% 33.17 75.74% 0.155 -0.9196 -2.06
5 Thematic 53 26.42% 27.87 66.04% -0.93 -0.9367 -1.316
6 Archipelago 56 12.73% 38.71 76.79% 0.346 -0.9535 -1.799
6 Coastline 11 27.27% 24.55 54.55% -0.046 -0.7942 -0.562
6 Other 343 27.7% 31.49 74.64% -2.31 -2.5135 -2.593
6 Star 246 21.95% 34.65 74.8% -0.004 0.095 -1.874
6 Thematic 537 42.43% 39.17 70.39% -1.009 -0.3601 -1.416
6 Two Centers (Default) 1371 16.45% 38.99 67.03% -1.113 -1.4479 -3.462
7 Archipelago 19 26.32% 58.42 73.68% -0.64 -0.5794 -0.989
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.872
7 Other 20 36.84% 18.15 40.0% -1.17 -0.7737 -1.527

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1892 35.69 51.27% 0.182 0.3119 -0.145
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1686 39.48 59.61% 0.599 0.4804 0.191
All Things Weaken 1953 34.28 51.66% -0.168 0.1393 -0.142
Attenuated Essence 396 31.97 52.02% -0.044 -0.0123 -0.194
Back Against the Wall 1719 39.3 57.53% -0.002 0.0278 0.028
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 419 31.49 43.91% -0.33 -0.1441 -0.275
Burn Brightest Before the End 350 33.94 52.86% 0.033 0.1035 -0.207
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1878 32.91 48.83% -0.363 0.013 -0.324
Downward Spiral 2045 33.38 55.4% -0.241 -0.0753 -0.042
Erosion of Will 1923 34.57 50.18% -0.095 0.12 -0.292
Intensifying Exploitation 415 29.46 45.06% -0.153 0.0883 -0.439
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 865 37.74 70.75% 0.519 -0.062 0.418
Memory Fades to Dust 2162 33.25 52.5% 0.144 0.437 -0.167
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2042 33.59 53.23% -0.401 -0.2403 -0.182
Promising Farmlands 1884 34.07 50.53% -0.014 0.282 -0.241
Shattered Fragments of Power 334 33.94 52.4% 0.11 0.198 -0.119
Slow Dissolution of Will 382 30.58 41.88% -0.183 0.21 -0.45
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 632 37.28 73.26% 0.657 -0.0546 0.368
The Border of Life and Death 119 31.44 63.03% 0.338 -0.1416 -0.017
Thriving Communities 2011 32.65 49.78% -0.257 0.0428 -0.262
Thriving Crops 236 33.12 55.08% 0.463 0.3614 -0.052
Unnatural Proliferation 2150 36.28 54.14% -0.108 0.0609 -0.002
Untended Land Crumbles 2065 33.09 51.67% -0.11 0.1479 -0.31

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15750 39.18% 32.66 65.86% 0.161 1.3032 0.484
B 16319 38.69% 33.13 66.23% 0.176 1.2313 0.369
C 18437 37.97% 33.75 67.4% 0.408 1.2958 0.581
D 14146 37.96% 32.7 68.03% 0.308 1.3617 0.408
E 15419 38.82% 34.5 66.94% 0.516 1.4204 0.62
F 13521 39.13% 33.86 67.32% 0.361 1.3648 0.561
G 12030 38.21% 33.64 67.56% 0.168 1.1358 0.575
H 12276 38.62% 33.46 67.07% 0.246 1.239 0.53
East 1851 37.65% 33.66 65.75% -0.107 0.8813 -1.029
Northeast 1315 37.8% 34.7 67.22% 0.368 1.3178 -0.221
Northwest 1132 39.54% 34.55 66.17% -0.4 0.6415 -0.66
Southeast 936 39.44% 35.5 66.45% -0.379 0.5389 -0.798
Southwest 873 40.16% 35.19 65.86% -0.557 0.8999 -0.595
West 1685 39.84% 33.22 63.8% -1.256 -0.1494 -0.829

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 433 0.0% 21.36 69.52% -0.334 0.3295 -0.529
Not Using Events or Tokens 562 25.81% 22.02 78.65% 0.114 0.6085 -1.011
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1795 9.52% 42.52 75.82% 0.59 -0.033 0.733
Start of Game Growth 2256 14.16% 39.74 73.76% -0.007 -0.4195 -0.729
Unlimited Undo 8932 33.35% 40.54 74.57% 0.412 0.3171 1.309
Using Tokens but Not Events 6110 21.43% 25.6 75.6% 0.016 0.091 -0.859

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3740 26.6% 34.96 70.24% 0.081 0.0449 0.024
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 570 42.27% 28.45 62.46% 0.103 0.2613 0.227
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 117 37.61% 33.68 67.52% 0.204 -0.809 0.554
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1002 37.04% 30.07 75.55% 0.173 -0.0393 0.25
Downpour Drenches the World 1881 32.02% 37.1 61.56% 0.114 0.361 -0.092
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1610 31.74% 30.94 67.52% 0.103 -0.4595 -0.024
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1658 27.58% 34.05 77.08% 0.278 -0.2016 -0.066
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1080 35.08% 32.72 73.98% 0.176 -0.2299 0.032
Finder of Paths Unseen 928 38.04% 37.33 69.29% -0.209 0.5536 0.663
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2059 26.08% 39.11 66.68% -0.133 0.5292 -0.253
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1755 48.06% 33.32 64.84% -0.344 -0.3465 0.027
Heart of the Wildfire 991 52.53% 30.51 60.65% -0.109 0.2607 -0.418
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4049 31.0% 36.61 73.8% 0.342 -0.0848 0.286
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 172 35.67% 33.5 65.7% 0.423 -0.0698 -0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike 926 32.21% 27.73 75.59% -0.134 0.0796 -0.462
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 534 45.4% 39.62 67.23% 0.539 -0.0771 -0.016
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 413 32.68% 32.16 61.26% -0.513 -0.7987 0.89
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1427 35.83% 42.26 66.78% 0.238 0.1361 0.681
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2489 37.07% 34.8 70.23% -0.041 -0.2873 -0.134
Many Minds Move as One 1123 34.29% 34.88 71.77% 0.134 -0.0273 0.363
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1938 36.38% 33.42 69.4% -0.068 -0.0341 0.22
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 994 38.99% 32.89 73.04% 0.027 -0.1403 0.071
River Surges in Sunlight 1240 34.2% 34.05 79.03% 0.514 0.5416 0.176
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 620 35.97% 34.25 68.71% -0.5 -0.1611 -0.072
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1257 37.77% 41.17 62.21% 0.42 0.3887 -0.056
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2710 27.96% 38.88 67.42% 0.375 0.2646 0.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 212 39.62% 25.96 74.06% -0.364 0.2119 -0.059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 105 46.6% 30.72 67.62% 1.313 1.3366 -0.053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 53.33% 28.88 62.86% -0.249 -0.7012 -0.124
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 120 43.33% 29.6 70.83% -0.477 -0.2413 -0.284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 199 37.19% 29.37 69.35% -0.098 -0.1849 0.743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 168 46.71% 28.75 69.64% 0.024 0.2199 -0.533
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1210 30.71% 35.26 71.4% -0.558 -0.5799 0.212
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 372 30.0% 31.96 69.09% 0.522 0.1897 -0.228
Shifting Memory of Ages 2127 38.04% 34.11 67.37% -0.349 -0.068 0.06
Shroud of Silent Mist 830 43.17% 26.86 63.73% -0.121 0.1516 -0.473
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2014 33.4% 33.39 71.75% -0.053 -0.4997 -0.008
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1053 34.32% 34.76 74.45% -0.0 0.1217 0.526
Thunderspeaker 1224 32.24% 32.83 71.41% 0.217 0.2358 -0.608
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 140 32.86% 23.33 58.57% -0.323 -0.1182 0.075
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1182 57.48% 34.04 64.55% -0.142 0.0328 0.192
Vital Strength of the Earth 719 23.29% 21.88 65.79% -0.777 -0.2044 -2.025
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 578 42.81% 38.76 66.44% -0.111 0.2709 0.282
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 235 40.6% 26.22 58.3% -1.049 -0.2913 -0.826
Volcano Looming High 1924 42.97% 36.23 74.06% 0.475 0.4484 0.61
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 410 37.32% 33.09 66.83% 0.133 -0.4011 -0.198

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Reimagining 37.2%
Gather the Scattered Light of Stars 19.58%
Peace of the Nighttime Sky 27.7%
Shape the Self Anew 18.41%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15453 16.77 7.49%
II 21124 30.59 63.97%
III 23190 34.74 88.01%
IV 12810 38.3 99.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1156
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 20090
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13255
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12675
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8287
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1527
Lose: Adversary condition 6872
Win: Sacrifice victory 430
Lose: Scenario condition 424
Win: Scenario condition 270
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7364
Lose: Spirit destroyed 227

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.646 Win Model: -0.136

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.205 Win Model: 0.22
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 45559 42.56% 32.78 64.29%
2 14016 41.48% 33.24 67.58%
3 6451 38.45% 32.87 70.24%
4 3474 36.99% 34.9 69.37%
5 515 27.54% 30.44 72.62%
6 2562 24.45% 38.14 70.26%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)