Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 25.0% 29.5 75.0% 0.318 0.3699 -0.273
Blitz 0 61 39.34% 30.92 63.93% 0.309 0.5102 -0.319
Dahan Insurrection 4 377 26.26% 30.42 31.03% -0.025 -0.2363 0.358
Despicable Theft 2 23 26.09% 20.91 52.17% -0.763 0.0817 -0.405
Elemental Invocation 1 26 26.92% 15.92 42.31% 0.017 1.088 -0.428
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 654 14.53% 54.22 82.42% 1.331 0.606 1.456
Powers Long Forgotten 1 20 35.0% 15.35 25.0% -1.253 -0.3467 -0.503
Rituals of Terror 3 8 37.5% 21.88 37.5% -0.672 -0.6422 0.136
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 23 69.57% 28.83 56.52% -0.715 0.4732 0.032
Second Wave 0 158 38.46% 27.85 71.52% -0.281 -0.1995 0.551
The Great River 3 38 44.74% 34.58 65.79% -1.024 0.3639 0.379
Varied Terrains 2 47 21.28% 29.87 53.19% -1.211 -0.3094 -0.196
Ward the Shores 2 27 18.52% 15.48 37.04% -1.2 -0.1449 -0.676

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5799 36.58% 33.39 62.63% 0.118 0.1484 -0.475
1 Thematic 159 22.01% 29.34 57.23% -0.547 -0.1147 -0.652
2 Archipelago 33 81.82% 40.76 21.21% 0.053 0.5459 -0.844
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1193 36.44% 30.7 65.3% -0.233 -0.2816 0.055
2 Coastline 271 30.63% 28.8 73.8% 0.377 0.2768 -0.428
2 Fragment 27 37.04% 21.56 59.26% -0.767 -1.1794 0.056
2 Heart 19 36.84% 41.16 73.68% -0.013 -0.1027 0.818
2 Opposite Shores 340 38.53% 29.9 62.35% -0.329 -0.5084 -0.551
2 Thematic 66 40.91% 25.23 43.94% -0.898 -0.7112 -0.371
2 Top to Top 35 42.86% 28.37 54.29% -0.21 -0.4096 -0.571
3 Archipelago 8 87.5% 40.63 62.5% 0.802 -0.3185 0.0
3 Coastline 16 25.0% 42.19 87.5% 1.375 0.7134 1.005
3 Other 32 12.5% 28.38 81.25% 0.974 0.6402 0.084
3 Round (Default) 947 37.39% 34.83 69.59% 0.134 -0.1321 0.118
3 Sunrise 5 0.0% 25.2 80.0% -0.563 -0.0518 0.0
3 Thematic 25 16.0% 25.76 56.0% 0.534 0.0876 0.091
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.25 66.67% 0.41 -0.1469 0.0
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 59.67 83.33% -0.333 -0.9515 -0.188
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 33.0 88.89% 0.255 1.1011 0.0
4 Other 16 50.0% 45.5 87.5% 0.46 -0.2771 1.561
4 Thematic 35 40.0% 25.83 51.43% 0.407 0.6102 0.752
4 Trapezoid (Default) 506 25.69% 37.07 73.32% -0.324 0.0161 -0.247
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 45.67 33.33% 0.0 -0.0008 -0.365
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 35.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5279 0.0
5 Other 28 17.86% 22.75 57.14% 0.626 -0.0952 0.068
5 Thematic 6 83.33% 17.33 33.33% -0.331 -0.1705 -0.215
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7151 0.0
6 Other 24 54.17% 30.08 45.83% -0.493 -0.0532 0.545
6 Star 25 16.0% 30.28 72.0% 0.403 0.7008 -0.009
6 Thematic 230 11.4% 10.85 20.87% -1.135 -1.1101 -1.388
6 Two Centers (Default) 98 38.78% 34.35 56.12% -0.153 -0.0551 -0.248
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.213 0.3131 0.0
7 Other 1 0.0% 59.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.4162 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.311 -0.056 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 186 30.52 44.09% -0.494 -0.355 -0.294
Aid From Lesser Spirits 149 36.49 53.02% -0.102 -0.161 0.382
All Things Weaken 189 31.81 46.03% -0.587 -0.2323 -0.352
Attenuated Essence 173 31.85 43.93% -1.087 -0.9757 -0.176
Back Against the Wall 148 37.83 55.41% -0.015 0.0609 -0.246
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 195 30.69 45.64% -0.365 -0.1539 -0.616
Burn Brightest Before the End 163 33.44 49.69% -0.467 -0.346 -0.424
Disintegrating Ecosystem 190 27.01 41.58% -1.181 -0.8121 -0.567
Downward Spiral 183 28.6 42.62% -0.743 -0.5461 -0.509
Erosion of Will 148 28.36 31.76% -0.885 -0.6178 -0.676
Intensifying Exploitation 184 29.23 37.5% -0.798 -0.5275 -0.474
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 60 28.58 51.67% -1.301 -1.8115 -0.256
Memory Fades to Dust 157 34.89 51.59% -0.668 -0.3567 0.154
Power Corrodes the Spirit 171 29.74 42.11% -0.436 -0.1408 -0.503
Promising Farmlands 192 26.78 35.94% -1.164 -0.8282 -0.735
Shattered Fragments of Power 119 34.67 48.74% -0.213 -0.1039 -0.379
Slow Dissolution of Will 173 29.34 39.88% -0.624 -0.2237 -0.457
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 57 34.95 66.67% -0.295 -0.9079 0.349
The Border of Life and Death 58 30.47 55.17% -0.317 -0.6091 0.182
Thriving Communities 169 33.19 51.48% -0.521 -0.1885 -0.186
Thriving Crops 93 29.73 50.54% -0.674 -0.7607 -0.661
Unnatural Proliferation 180 31.98 45.0% -0.566 -0.4184 -0.502
Untended Land Crumbles 179 27.33 43.02% -0.154 0.1533 -0.516

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2124 36.81% 32.03 64.12% 0.095 0.9996 0.06
B 2196 32.8% 33.04 66.3% 0.03 0.8585 0.177
C 2343 34.63% 32.51 65.0% 0.234 0.9145 0.206
D 1859 35.81% 31.59 65.09% 0.497 1.3505 0.15
E 2176 36.59% 35.42 66.87% 0.564 1.2657 0.472
F 1756 36.05% 32.18 65.21% 0.205 0.986 0.064
G 1545 39.36% 32.92 64.14% 0.152 0.9236 0.242
H 1930 30.94% 36.58 69.38% 0.268 1.0365 0.415
East 430 20.56% 18.89 35.35% 0.04 0.9015 0.08
Northeast 337 19.7% 16.64 31.45% 0.394 1.1403 -0.078
Northwest 307 17.38% 14.41 28.34% -0.053 0.7807 0.057
Southeast 291 17.3% 14.22 25.77% -0.958 -0.1826 -0.053
Southwest 302 18.33% 13.01 26.82% -0.256 1.0635 -0.861
West 414 20.15% 17.21 34.54% -1.137 -0.1307 -0.926

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 22 0.0% 23.64 77.27% -0.177 0.6539 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 276 13.21% 54.66 82.61% 0.785 0.2227 0.453
Start of Game Growth 418 14.25% 50.87 80.62% 0.828 0.2896 1.226
Unlimited Undo 1110 25.43% 38.35 70.72% 0.049 0.0899 0.296
Using Tokens but Not Events 1039 11.9% 31.39 70.45% 0.111 0.0874 -0.169

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 389 24.55% 31.17 66.07% 0.509 0.4065 -0.042
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 21 45.0% 19.95 52.38% -1.039 -0.8785 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 374 34.76% 31.51 69.25% -0.107 -0.9431 0.857
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 172 20.93% 20.56 51.74% -0.093 -0.2242 0.054
Downpour Drenches the World 165 23.64% 26.08 55.76% 0.452 0.7705 -0.306
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 444 33.86% 32.25 63.51% 0.369 -0.1155 0.024
Eyes Watch From the Trees 291 15.86% 25.75 73.2% 0.598 0.1448 0.293
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 160 29.38% 26.44 50.63% 1.08 0.6277 0.557
Finder of Paths Unseen 111 40.54% 26.61 48.65% 0.018 0.6844 -0.841
Fractured Days Split the Sky 148 22.45% 17.99 33.11% -0.949 -0.2716 -1.178
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 204 31.86% 25.74 50.0% -0.365 -0.304 0.03
Heart of the Wildfire 145 40.97% 23.2 53.1% -0.777 -0.517 0.061
Lightning's Swift Strike 60 25.0% 28.15 75.0% -0.126 0.1279 0.129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 129 35.66% 36.05 62.79% -0.032 -0.5861 1.092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 69 33.33% 29.83 62.32% -0.183 -0.4193 0.274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 165 25.45% 25.83 42.42% 0.134 -0.117 -0.153
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 297 32.2% 32.27 62.96% 0.248 -0.0764 -0.007
Many Minds Move as One 95 33.68% 32.36 64.21% -0.106 -0.3059 -0.056
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 274 28.47% 28.4 62.41% -0.464 -0.4918 -0.299
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 143 25.87% 27.78 53.85% 0.543 0.4009 0.346
River Surges in Sunlight 59 29.31% 29.15 69.49% 0.142 0.2584 0.599
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 102 28.43% 28.92 68.63% 0.739 1.0764 -0.53
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 234 41.03% 37.09 55.13% 0.012 -0.1361 0.036
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 174 33.91% 26.11 52.3% 0.417 0.2497 0.486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 19.75 50.0% 0.461 1.0048 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 17.24% 14.03 48.28% -0.214 -0.1286 -0.303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 495 40.08% 33.74 68.69% 0.0 -0.3693 0.015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 27 7.41% 10.7 25.93% -0.655 -0.4891 -0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 18 11.11% 29.89 72.22% 0.407 0.4387 -0.371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 11 18.18% 23.64 72.73% -0.582 -0.4109 -0.044
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 161 15.63% 47.57 79.5% 1.148 1.0525 0.294
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 186 33.51% 36.85 66.13% 0.494 0.2533 -0.061
Shifting Memory of Ages 115 50.43% 30.14 49.57% -0.49 -0.1114 -0.214
Shroud of Silent Mist 109 25.69% 24.41 56.88% -0.116 0.2544 0.179
Starlight Seeks its Form 223 32.58% 32.66 65.02% 0.051 -0.155 0.191
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 254 27.56% 30.88 55.51% 0.094 -0.6225 -0.305
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 164 24.54% 24.96 52.44% -0.213 -0.0307 -0.368
Thunderspeaker 279 21.15% 39.16 70.25% 0.232 0.2457 0.425
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 102 20.59% 18.18 35.29% -0.534 -0.4289 -0.146
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 121 54.17% 27.12 58.68% 0.463 0.6036 -0.18
Vital Strength of the Earth 52 32.69% 32.29 61.54% -0.541 0.0016 0.104
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 25.0% 32.5 52.27% -0.495 -0.1566 -0.394
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 44 37.21% 23.36 47.73% -0.811 -0.0944 -0.12
Volcano Looming High 157 42.68% 29.03 57.32% -0.111 -0.1441 0.099
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 715 33.43% 30.79 63.78% 0.217 -0.2205 -0.149

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 86.0%
Regrow From Roots 85.33%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 94.07%
Towering Wrath 89.19%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3981 16.23 35.44%
II 3990 30.54 76.97%
III 1556 34.77 87.98%
IV 455 38.37 99.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1411
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1346
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2964
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 449
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2122
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Lose: Adversary condition 515
Win: Sacrifice victory 6
Lose: Scenario condition 39
Win: Scenario condition 127
Lose: Blight pool ran out 889
Lose: Spirit destroyed 36

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.522 Win Model: -0.182

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.208 Win Model: -0.1
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 5977 36.26% 33.23 62.36%
2 1977 37.01% 30.45 64.9%
3 1037 35.78% 34.49 69.72%
4 573 27.57% 36.52 72.25%
5 37 37.84% 23.73 59.46%
6 381 21.37% 19.49 35.17%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)