Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 19.35% 30.77 77.42% 0.261 0.0408 0.076
Blitz 0 83 34.94% 29.86 63.86% -0.413 -0.1267 -0.351
Dahan Insurrection 4 525 24.0% 28.71 28.76% -0.011 -0.1259 0.427
Despicable Theft 2 29 27.59% 25.69 58.62% 0.319 1.057 0.116
Elemental Invocation 1 40 27.5% 13.93 32.5% -1.456 -0.6998 -0.715
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1028 12.96% 53.4 83.75% 1.078 0.4961 1.416
Powers Long Forgotten 1 33 42.42% 21.03 39.39% 0.177 1.0301 0.194
Rituals of Terror 3 12 33.33% 22.83 41.67% -0.271 -0.4412 0.053
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 28 67.86% 24.57 46.43% -1.527 -0.6164 -0.121
Second Wave 0 221 37.61% 27.68 72.4% 0.463 0.5428 0.549
The Great River 3 50 42.0% 34.72 66.0% -0.325 1.0385 0.396
Varied Terrains 2 59 28.81% 28.07 50.85% -0.696 0.1836 -0.247
Ward the Shores 2 34 29.41% 16.32 35.29% -1.257 -0.2752 -1.143

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 7220 34.65% 33.44 64.07% 0.096 0.4398 -0.146
1 Thematic 203 25.74% 29.25 56.65% -0.048 0.4796 -0.608
2 Archipelago 45 80.0% 37.69 20.0% -0.085 0.414 -0.839
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1573 36.98% 30.04 64.53% 0.007 0.2913 0.257
2 Coastline 367 27.79% 28.44 75.48% 0.539 0.5681 -0.238
2 Fragment 32 37.5% 25.59 65.63% 1.197 0.96 0.083
2 Heart 38 50.0% 40.89 47.37% -0.625 -0.7731 -0.105
2 Opposite Shores 464 34.35% 29.14 63.58% -0.28 -0.2213 -0.144
2 Thematic 91 37.36% 23.13 41.76% -0.498 -0.128 -0.499
2 Top to Top 49 42.86% 28.43 59.18% 0.559 0.6821 -0.623
3 Archipelago 10 70.0% 39.6 70.0% 0.447 -0.3504 0.0
3 Coastline 25 28.0% 42.28 88.0% 0.723 0.1736 1.186
3 Other 45 11.11% 27.49 80.0% 0.362 -0.176 -0.004
3 Round (Default) 1245 36.23% 33.75 68.11% -0.039 -0.1322 0.171
3 Sunrise 7 0.0% 30.57 85.71% 0.0 0.151 0.0
3 Thematic 53 35.85% 25.42 54.72% -0.04 -0.5582 0.197
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 29.25 66.67% 0.0 0.433 0.0
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 59.67 83.33% 0.0 -0.7603 -0.171
4 Leaf 9 11.11% 33.0 88.89% 0.0 -0.2114 0.0
4 Other 20 55.0% 44.4 90.0% 0.569 0.5765 1.228
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% -0.281 0.6564 0.0
4 Thematic 50 36.0% 26.78 48.0% -0.642 -0.5092 1.504
4 Trapezoid (Default) 731 23.67% 37.71 73.19% -0.126 -0.0194 -0.477
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 45.67 33.33% 0.0 0.168 -0.381
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 35.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5066 0.0
5 Other 40 22.5% 21.02 55.0% 0.458 -0.0569 0.228
5 Thematic 10 60.0% 23.8 40.0% -0.544 -1.5267 -0.165
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 13.0 50.0% -0.182 -0.9116 0.0
6 Other 33 42.42% 26.12 42.42% -0.338 0.2972 0.455
6 Star 27 14.81% 30.96 74.07% 0.208 0.4524 -0.295
6 Thematic 360 8.66% 10.01 19.17% -1.097 -0.7741 -1.655
6 Two Centers (Default) 143 39.16% 34.97 52.45% -0.714 -0.818 -0.437
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5915 0.0
7 Other 1 0.0% 59.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.4367 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 235 30.02 44.68% -0.486 -0.3824 -0.371
Aid From Lesser Spirits 176 35.49 51.14% -0.846 -0.991 0.282
All Things Weaken 239 31.15 43.93% -1.167 -0.8015 -0.232
Attenuated Essence 211 31.66 42.18% -0.805 -0.8061 -0.223
Back Against the Wall 172 37.7 54.65% -0.294 -0.2288 -0.144
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 227 30.17 44.49% -0.958 -0.7229 -0.517
Burn Brightest Before the End 195 31.85 47.69% -0.945 -0.7843 -0.529
Disintegrating Ecosystem 236 25.88 41.53% -0.669 -0.2931 -0.733
Downward Spiral 222 27.69 42.34% -0.999 -0.9265 -0.518
Erosion of Will 192 27.93 33.85% -1.37 -1.1133 -0.624
Intensifying Exploitation 221 28.53 38.46% -0.574 -0.2999 -0.518
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 79 29.8 56.96% 0.089 -0.3979 -0.211
Memory Fades to Dust 197 33.43 49.75% -0.947 -0.7638 0.077
Power Corrodes the Spirit 212 30.53 46.23% -0.031 0.1821 -0.455
Promising Farmlands 235 27.2 39.15% -0.608 -0.2849 -0.809
Shattered Fragments of Power 161 33.84 50.31% -0.0 0.1701 -0.368
Slow Dissolution of Will 204 29.68 41.67% -0.305 0.0793 -0.511
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 69 34.99 63.77% -0.207 -0.883 0.339
The Border of Life and Death 67 30.66 55.22% -0.537 -1.0533 0.199
Thriving Communities 219 31.53 49.32% -1.052 -0.7277 -0.302
Thriving Crops 116 27.71 48.28% -1.378 -1.3767 -0.756
Unnatural Proliferation 237 30.95 43.88% -1.426 -1.2392 -0.477
Untended Land Crumbles 216 27.97 43.98% -0.676 -0.3366 -0.549

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2875 34.89% 32.42 64.87% 0.361 1.2239 -0.027
B 2914 32.27% 33.25 66.51% 0.325 1.1466 0.145
C 3069 33.51% 32.79 65.62% 0.306 1.004 0.111
D 2388 34.2% 30.81 64.91% 0.155 1.0111 0.089
E 2842 33.98% 35.07 67.45% 0.686 1.3749 0.379
F 2367 33.88% 31.92 65.19% 0.219 1.0372 0.07
G 2036 37.48% 32.01 62.92% -0.032 0.8487 0.158
H 2451 30.45% 35.87 68.46% 0.471 1.2519 0.289
East 650 20.37% 18.04 33.38% -0.182 0.6103 0.504
Northeast 529 18.22% 16.46 30.43% 0.29 1.1707 0.275
Northwest 471 14.71% 13.58 25.9% -0.599 0.2722 -0.235
Southeast 448 14.8% 13.25 23.44% -0.298 0.5609 0.02
Southwest 461 15.28% 12.06 24.51% -0.511 0.6983 -0.893
West 627 18.75% 15.97 32.22% -1.129 -0.0689 -0.896

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 32 0.0% 24.66 78.13% 0.57 1.2852 -1.378
Skip Initial Invader Actions 352 12.13% 51.51 77.84% -0.669 -1.236 0.306
Start of Game Growth 527 12.87% 48.06 79.13% 0.902 0.2371 1.244
Unlimited Undo 1387 24.32% 36.53 69.29% -0.111 -0.088 0.22
Using Tokens but Not Events 1456 10.67% 28.62 67.38% -0.078 -0.03 -0.61

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 445 23.7% 30.13 64.04% -0.1 -0.2964 -0.09
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 150 20.0% 23.72 55.33% 0.355 -0.3596 -0.03
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 32 32.26% 14.84 40.63% -0.839 -0.5711 -0.512
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 429 33.1% 30.57 67.83% -0.216 -0.7838 0.558
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 251 24.3% 20.29 52.59% 0.136 0.0055 0.225
Downpour Drenches the World 238 21.43% 23.65 48.74% -0.493 -0.2234 -0.126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 559 29.6% 31.39 62.79% 0.089 -0.3423 -0.014
Eyes Watch From the Trees 387 17.1% 27.0 73.13% 0.3 -0.1228 0.311
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 235 27.66% 23.72 45.53% -0.724 -1.1688 0.266
Finder of Paths Unseen 162 34.57% 25.49 51.23% 0.047 0.7038 -0.812
Fractured Days Split the Sky 212 22.27% 19.63 34.43% -0.807 0.001 -0.384
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 272 29.41% 23.28 46.32% -0.991 -1.1087 0.146
Heart of the Wildfire 218 38.25% 20.59 46.79% -0.223 0.0644 0.239
Lightning's Swift Strike 86 26.74% 27.43 69.77% 0.268 0.5356 -0.008
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 188 30.85% 33.61 59.04% 0.564 0.2125 0.837
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 88 31.82% 30.42 63.64% 0.025 -0.4163 0.592
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 250 24.0% 27.76 45.6% 0.261 0.2179 0.295
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 416 33.09% 31.24 59.62% 0.263 0.0127 -0.199
Many Minds Move as One 135 34.07% 30.75 59.26% -0.321 -0.551 -0.029
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 380 26.84% 28.44 61.05% 0.531 0.4269 -0.06
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 229 26.2% 25.58 51.53% -0.03 -0.1863 0.311
River Surges in Sunlight 97 32.29% 29.38 71.13% 0.191 0.2795 0.829
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 73 16.44% 30.19 56.16% 0.297 0.185 0.141
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 130 23.85% 28.68 66.92% 0.571 0.9609 -0.57
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 290 38.62% 37.14 54.48% -0.374 -0.2366 -0.178
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 249 28.11% 24.23 51.0% -0.162 -0.3553 0.273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 33.33% 25.25 66.67% 0.34 0.8259 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 39 12.82% 10.44 35.9% -0.978 -0.9227 -0.616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 558 38.06% 32.85 67.38% 0.074 -0.3943 0.161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 12.5% 13.93 32.5% -0.339 -0.1236 0.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 28 21.43% 28.68 67.86% -0.062 -0.0327 -0.421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 15 20.0% 22.8 73.33% 0.513 0.6856 -0.071
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 280 13.26% 50.25 84.29% 1.395 1.2426 0.293
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 252 31.47% 33.1 60.71% -0.23 -0.4286 -0.119
Shifting Memory of Ages 140 47.14% 28.56 52.86% -0.243 0.2057 -0.306
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 70 27.14% 25.59 57.14% 0.102 -0.2026 -0.215
Shroud of Silent Mist 157 26.75% 21.66 48.41% -0.529 -0.1932 -0.14
Starlight Seeks its Form 299 30.64% 31.59 64.21% 0.061 0.0062 -0.053
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 356 30.34% 28.62 50.56% 0.029 -0.5943 -0.386
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 230 24.02% 24.18 50.87% 0.175 0.3686 -0.456
Thunderspeaker 444 20.27% 43.15 73.87% 0.672 0.6182 0.343
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 140 20.0% 18.41 36.43% -0.133 0.0008 0.251
Towering Roots of the Jungle 178 29.78% 23.17 48.31% -0.507 -0.4975 -0.555
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 148 53.06% 28.16 58.11% -0.191 -0.1085 -0.007
Vital Strength of the Earth 73 34.25% 35.73 67.12% 1.464 2.0581 0.281
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 178 25.28% 30.08 48.88% -0.203 0.2359 -0.008
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 64 36.51% 24.36 43.75% -0.68 0.0116 -0.272
Volcano Looming High 217 41.47% 28.69 57.14% 0.502 0.6055 0.397
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 809 33.0% 30.13 61.43% -0.016 -0.2679 -0.278

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 86.96%
Regrow From Roots 85.89%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 94.31%
Towering Wrath 90.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5299 15.45 37.12%
II 5108 30.45 77.41%
III 1972 34.8 88.18%
IV 546 38.47 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1967
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1701
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3823
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 540
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2789
Lose: Invader deck ran out 101
Lose: Adversary condition 642
Win: Sacrifice victory 9
Lose: Scenario condition 54
Win: Scenario condition 163
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1092
Lose: Spirit destroyed 44

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.525 Win Model: -0.167

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.356 Win Model: -0.103
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 7447 34.43% 33.26 63.72%
2 2653 36.34% 29.92 64.57%
3 1387 35.04% 33.32 68.35%
4 817 25.7% 36.98 71.73%
5 55 38.18% 22.89 56.36%
6 566 18.26% 18.32 31.8%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)