Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 13.64% 28.75 79.55% 0.613 0.6568 0.26
Blitz 0 134 33.58% 25.41 52.24% -0.756 -0.5413 -0.839
Dahan Insurrection 4 673 22.29% 27.6 29.42% -0.293 -0.5811 0.492
Despicable Theft 2 52 21.15% 24.15 53.85% 0.094 0.8043 0.362
Elemental Invocation 1 98 27.55% 26.63 52.04% -0.323 0.3782 -0.943
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1583 11.32% 53.3 84.02% 1.417 0.8175 1.326
Powers Long Forgotten 1 62 35.48% 22.97 50.0% 0.102 0.9389 0.137
Rituals of Terror 3 21 28.57% 22.52 42.86% -0.373 -0.3125 -0.149
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 68.29% 22.56 43.9% -0.509 0.4779 -0.298
Second Wave 0 444 36.03% 28.0 72.75% 0.179 0.4285 0.49
The Great River 3 86 39.53% 28.98 58.14% -0.779 0.2873 -0.18
Varied Terrains 2 77 27.27% 28.09 54.55% 0.18 1.0097 -0.068
Ward the Shores 2 65 27.69% 20.23 38.46% -0.847 0.3367 -1.649

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10364 33.15% 33.29 65.33% 0.523 0.7968 0.186
1 Thematic 331 33.64% 27.4 51.96% 0.419 0.9943 0.054
2 Archipelago 65 72.31% 37.57 24.62% -0.445 0.2319 -0.656
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2432 37.08% 29.93 63.9% 0.464 0.5326 0.305
2 Coastline 600 23.83% 28.6 77.33% 0.574 0.3553 -0.017
2 Fragment 55 32.73% 26.89 67.27% 0.337 0.0698 -0.062
2 Heart 48 52.08% 39.08 43.75% -0.756 -1.2267 -0.062
2 Opposite Shores 703 32.52% 28.14 65.43% 0.35 0.3275 -0.1
2 Thematic 181 32.96% 22.94 48.07% -0.329 0.0439 -0.253
2 Top to Top 71 42.25% 30.85 63.38% 0.513 0.2552 0.362
3 Archipelago 33 75.76% 31.09 33.33% -0.771 -1.6938 -0.971
3 Coastline 41 31.71% 32.44 68.29% 0.015 -0.9487 1.065
3 Other 61 21.31% 25.23 77.05% -0.117 -0.8804 -0.218
3 Round (Default) 1927 35.85% 31.82 66.32% 0.206 0.0525 0.061
3 Sunrise 13 15.38% 26.0 92.31% 0.479 0.4009 0.0
3 Thematic 98 39.8% 26.31 52.04% -0.244 -0.3911 0.035
4 Archipelago 19 31.58% 39.11 78.95% 0.19 -0.3371 0.414
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 59.67 83.33% 0.346 0.2892 -0.115
4 Leaf 12 8.33% 29.17 75.0% -0.289 -0.38 0.0
4 Other 39 38.46% 34.23 74.36% 0.08 -0.6049 1.362
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Thematic 82 41.46% 24.62 45.12% -0.347 -0.5242 0.586
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1207 22.7% 39.43 76.47% 0.766 0.4364 -0.4
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 42.6 40.0% -0.229 1.0421 -0.708
5 Coastline 5 80.0% 33.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.0
5 Other 132 19.7% 21.65 59.09% -0.658 -1.4073 -0.004
5 Thematic 18 55.56% 30.61 44.44% 0.314 -0.0728 -0.215
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 34.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.9706 0.369
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 23.25 75.0% 0.0 -0.5799 0.0
6 Other 54 37.04% 26.44 57.41% 0.076 -0.3406 0.189
6 Star 33 12.12% 31.03 75.76% 0.507 0.842 -0.456
6 Thematic 493 11.0% 10.69 20.08% -0.719 -0.7673 -1.897
6 Two Centers (Default) 259 37.07% 32.18 53.67% -1.686 -1.4714 -0.372
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.12 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 29.5 50.0% 0.442 -0.6394 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9379 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 327 29.31 45.57% -0.619 -0.5472 -0.343
Aid From Lesser Spirits 256 34.61 51.95% -0.038 -0.1086 0.254
All Things Weaken 339 31.66 46.9% -0.513 -0.2534 0.071
Attenuated Essence 311 30.32 42.44% -0.39 -0.4261 -0.079
Back Against the Wall 265 37.61 56.98% 0.211 0.265 0.2
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 315 29.36 43.81% -1.067 -0.9215 -0.487
Burn Brightest Before the End 285 31.44 47.72% 0.228 0.2441 -0.406
Disintegrating Ecosystem 339 26.12 41.0% -0.179 0.0092 -0.686
Downward Spiral 327 26.93 41.28% -1.066 -0.9922 -0.617
Erosion of Will 287 28.45 36.93% -1.041 -0.8866 -0.582
Intensifying Exploitation 312 27.55 39.74% -0.89 -0.7541 -0.553
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 121 28.61 54.55% -0.652 -1.2659 -0.161
Memory Fades to Dust 298 30.72 47.65% 0.064 0.2672 -0.14
Power Corrodes the Spirit 300 28.97 43.67% -0.387 -0.212 -0.478
Promising Farmlands 325 25.76 38.15% -1.223 -1.0251 -0.91
Shattered Fragments of Power 248 32.98 47.98% -0.353 -0.3501 -0.36
Slow Dissolution of Will 291 28.7 41.92% -0.484 -0.1854 -0.48
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 36.01 68.27% 0.086 -0.6105 0.567
The Border of Life and Death 96 28.67 52.08% -0.881 -1.3789 0.341
Thriving Communities 338 31.58 50.89% -0.103 0.0537 -0.11
Thriving Crops 176 29.77 55.11% 0.423 0.1114 -0.544
Unnatural Proliferation 347 30.73 45.53% -0.523 -0.414 -0.599
Untended Land Crumbles 307 28.63 45.28% -0.386 -0.2036 -0.457

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4497 32.57% 32.35 66.4% 0.159 1.1338 0.066
B 4638 31.52% 33.12 66.99% 0.103 0.9921 0.124
C 4737 31.22% 32.54 66.08% -0.048 0.6439 0.121
D 3733 33.67% 30.43 65.47% 0.195 1.0903 0.191
E 4270 32.75% 33.77 67.52% 0.012 0.7418 0.427
F 3690 32.72% 31.49 65.72% 0.027 0.8585 0.196
G 3189 35.81% 31.15 63.69% -0.143 0.6367 0.176
H 3774 29.9% 35.46 69.55% 0.611 1.3934 0.355
East 1005 23.48% 18.77 36.22% -0.113 0.6959 0.231
Northeast 775 22.02% 17.3 32.52% 0.033 0.8315 -0.021
Northwest 682 18.38% 14.63 27.86% -0.662 0.0719 -0.484
Southeast 662 17.6% 14.63 26.74% 0.458 1.3517 -0.135
Southwest 660 17.35% 13.17 26.52% -0.3 0.9578 -0.41
West 957 24.42% 17.25 33.44% -0.322 0.6755 -0.872

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 64 0.0% 22.81 68.75% -0.829 -0.161 -1.262
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 13.4 60.0% -0.092 0.3285 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 491 11.18% 49.67 78.21% 1.114 0.3449 0.59
Start of Game Growth 749 12.31% 45.11 78.5% -0.263 -0.7014 0.854
Unlimited Undo 2102 23.25% 36.05 70.41% 0.154 0.088 0.221
Using Tokens but Not Events 2195 11.48% 29.52 67.97% 0.21 0.1672 -0.703

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 597 24.87% 29.64 64.49% 0.352 0.2585 0.036
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 374 22.19% 26.81 60.43% 0.751 0.2428 0.32
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 54 30.19% 20.72 48.15% 0.266 0.4633 -0.451
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 528 32.95% 31.44 68.75% 0.265 -0.608 0.505
Dances Up Earthquakes 121 40.5% 31.93 66.12% 0.548 0.4094 0.406
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 355 25.07% 21.87 54.65% -0.187 -0.4089 0.596
Downpour Drenches the World 381 24.41% 24.73 51.71% -1.027 -0.7213 0.135
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 915 32.01% 31.43 64.15% 0.485 -0.0699 -0.038
Eyes Watch From the Trees 670 16.49% 26.47 75.52% 0.254 -0.1736 0.49
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 360 23.03% 25.91 51.67% -0.341 -0.7543 0.184
Finder of Paths Unseen 222 31.53% 25.52 53.6% -0.005 0.6499 -0.626
Fractured Days Split the Sky 289 19.1% 19.63 36.68% -0.567 -0.0214 -0.423
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 451 34.81% 25.48 49.22% 0.152 0.0682 0.106
Heart of the Wildfire 346 36.81% 22.53 49.42% -0.493 -0.1772 -0.428
Lightning's Swift Strike 143 27.97% 27.85 66.43% 0.196 0.4578 -0.742
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 319 27.27% 27.99 52.98% -0.041 -0.3683 0.681
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 125 32.0% 29.78 62.4% -0.006 -0.3819 0.528
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 376 24.47% 28.59 51.06% 0.138 0.2376 0.559
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 636 33.28% 30.27 58.81% -0.58 -0.7792 -0.051
Many Minds Move as One 240 37.66% 30.39 61.25% -0.282 -0.4961 -0.214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 561 25.99% 26.57 59.54% 0.02 0.1674 -0.006
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 127 44.88% 28.83 61.42% 0.319 0.3632 0.231
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 355 31.64% 25.5 49.01% -0.028 -0.1304 0.161
River Surges in Sunlight 191 26.2% 25.37 63.35% 0.008 0.0054 0.818
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 186 31.18% 28.93 53.76% 0.563 0.8518 -0.152
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 281 34.52% 28.22 60.5% -0.431 -0.2281 -0.645
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 377 37.4% 36.73 57.03% -0.01 -0.2237 -0.112
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 388 31.27% 25.4 53.09% -0.23 -0.388 0.27
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 66 28.79% 25.86 53.03% -0.096 -0.4785 0.146
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 24 25.0% 23.67 75.0% 0.0 0.5762 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 20.31% 20.03 48.44% -0.342 -0.4013 -0.776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 645 36.49% 32.54 67.6% 0.399 -0.0293 0.298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 17.54% 16.49 38.6% 0.278 0.2839 0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 46 34.78% 28.98 67.39% 0.862 0.8031 -0.473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 29 25.0% 26.52 75.86% 0.938 1.1443 -0.065
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 539 10.78% 51.22 85.16% -0.042 -0.0097 0.415
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 377 32.53% 31.73 61.8% 0.145 -0.0009 0.037
Shifting Memory of Ages 177 44.63% 28.57 53.67% -0.475 -0.15 -0.334
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 225 28.0% 25.56 58.22% -0.297 -0.2484 0.077
Shroud of Silent Mist 246 30.08% 22.69 51.22% -0.02 0.3483 -0.361
Starlight Seeks its Form 550 27.55% 29.58 64.91% 0.036 -0.0302 0.064
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 518 32.82% 27.89 49.23% -0.323 -0.8061 -0.351
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 352 23.93% 23.73 51.14% -0.433 -0.2729 -0.599
Thunderspeaker 789 15.21% 44.17 78.96% 0.763 0.7931 0.122
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 231 23.38% 19.69 39.83% -0.451 -0.2601 0.289
Towering Roots of the Jungle 392 28.57% 24.3 53.57% -0.164 -0.0177 -0.694
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 219 50.46% 29.4 58.45% -1.148 -1.1275 0.119
Vital Strength of the Earth 120 29.17% 30.46 67.5% -0.256 0.3246 0.158
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 304 30.26% 29.73 52.3% -0.081 0.4021 -0.038
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 100 36.36% 24.56 47.0% 0.831 1.4499 -0.357
Volcano Looming High 323 40.25% 28.8 58.2% -0.273 -0.2374 0.413
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1009 32.61% 30.17 62.93% 0.142 -0.1757 -0.147

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 87.24%
Regrow From Roots 86.75%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 94.85%
Towering Wrath 91.53%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7933 13.76 38.26%
II 7691 30.19 77.86%
III 2992 34.82 89.0%
IV 787 38.63 99.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3035
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2606
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5813
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 778
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4122
Lose: Invader deck ran out 148
Lose: Adversary condition 942
Win: Sacrifice victory 13
Lose: Scenario condition 80
Win: Scenario condition 223
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1577
Lose: Spirit destroyed 66

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.053 Win Model: -0.197

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.028 Win Model: 0.093
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10746 33.12% 33.01 64.72%
2 4143 35.22% 29.6 65.05%
3 2162 35.89% 31.38 65.77%
4 1347 24.2% 38.35 74.54%
5 163 26.99% 23.11 58.9%
6 842 20.36% 19.2 35.15%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)