Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 60 11.67% 26.33 75.0% -0.107 -0.136 0.0
Blitz 0 192 32.29% 22.17 46.35% -0.395 -0.1515 -0.237
Dahan Insurrection 4 817 21.3% 28.52 31.82% 0.192 0.2056 0.31
Despicable Theft 2 74 28.38% 26.34 58.11% -0.008 0.7579 0.716
Elemental Invocation 1 130 26.92% 24.55 49.23% -0.159 0.5941 -0.335
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2301 10.13% 51.99 83.92% 1.054 0.4579 1.101
Powers Long Forgotten 1 95 32.63% 21.96 47.37% 0.049 0.7971 -0.109
Rituals of Terror 3 35 34.29% 23.0 40.0% 0.365 0.8431 -0.234
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 58.67% 23.89 45.33% -1.039 -0.3516 -0.73
Second Wave 0 600 38.27% 27.27 71.0% -0.581 -0.5852 -0.253
The Great River 3 127 35.43% 26.88 52.76% -0.772 0.3574 -0.498
Varied Terrains 2 110 27.27% 28.2 54.55% 0.218 0.9978 -0.144
Ward the Shores 2 97 25.77% 23.1 43.3% -0.446 0.4235 -0.535

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13457 33.22% 32.57 64.69% -0.329 -0.1254 0.351
1 Thematic 577 24.7% 28.88 62.39% -0.489 0.1197 0.144
2 Archipelago 76 67.11% 35.47 28.95% 0.63 0.8002 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3284 36.82% 29.46 62.97% 0.05 0.1308 0.198
2 Coastline 769 22.76% 27.9 75.42% 0.361 0.2655 0.123
2 Fragment 84 39.29% 26.63 65.48% 0.51 0.4675 -0.436
2 Heart 57 49.12% 38.67 45.61% 0.205 -0.2564 0.38
2 Opposite Shores 1027 30.72% 28.6 65.92% -0.337 -0.2054 0.237
2 Thematic 301 31.44% 23.96 51.5% -0.569 -0.2102 0.134
2 Top to Top 93 40.86% 29.59 65.59% 0.646 0.5576 0.207
3 Archipelago 37 75.68% 30.78 37.84% 0.166 -0.0036 -0.049
3 Coastline 54 27.78% 29.65 59.26% -0.155 -0.3273 -0.15
3 Other 85 23.53% 25.48 76.47% -0.224 -0.609 -0.357
3 Round (Default) 2633 37.41% 31.22 66.43% 0.366 0.3713 -0.252
3 Sunrise 14 14.29% 24.14 85.71% 0.0 -0.6066 0.0
3 Thematic 148 36.49% 30.16 54.05% 0.105 -0.3259 0.799
4 Archipelago 24 25.0% 37.58 79.17% 0.424 0.1833 0.0
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 39.27 63.64% 0.034 -0.5641 0.311
4 Leaf 15 6.67% 29.87 80.0% 0.0 -1.0224 0.0
4 Other 65 35.38% 31.28 73.85% 0.387 -0.4558 0.365
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Thematic 137 35.04% 24.77 43.8% -0.357 -0.5588 -1.233
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1890 19.06% 38.55 75.93% 0.501 0.6906 -0.232
5 Archipelago 9 33.33% 40.11 66.67% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 8 75.0% 28.75 87.5% 0.0 -0.6597 0.0
5 Other 215 16.36% 22.46 63.26% -0.317 -0.4777 0.34
5 Thematic 24 54.17% 31.54 45.83% -0.058 0.2801 0.0
6 Archipelago 6 0.0% 17.17 33.33% 0.0 -0.6534 0.0
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 15.5 50.0% -0.429 -0.879 0.0
6 Other 84 40.51% 26.61 55.95% 0.238 0.1994 0.82
6 Star 44 13.64% 29.91 72.73% 0.395 0.8604 -0.23
6 Thematic 645 13.5% 13.8 24.96% -0.389 -0.1403 -1.157
6 Two Centers (Default) 369 33.61% 28.16 50.41% -0.563 0.6382 -0.338
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.435 0.7206 0.0
7 Other 4 0.0% 32.75 50.0% -0.333 -0.1515 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 429 28.89 44.06% -0.912 -0.7634 -0.102
Aid From Lesser Spirits 350 33.66 53.14% -0.465 -0.5779 -0.105
All Things Weaken 437 30.3 44.62% -1.08 -0.705 -0.335
Attenuated Essence 404 29.15 42.33% -0.829 -0.7033 -0.755
Back Against the Wall 342 35.9 55.26% -0.373 -0.3317 -0.078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 412 28.09 43.2% -0.468 -0.2623 -1.09
Burn Brightest Before the End 365 31.19 47.4% -1.178 -1.1331 -0.214
Disintegrating Ecosystem 426 25.52 40.61% -0.069 0.429 -0.882
Downward Spiral 452 27.67 44.25% -0.396 -0.1455 -0.401
Erosion of Will 383 28.11 36.81% -1.357 -1.0997 -0.078
Intensifying Exploitation 421 26.28 40.38% -0.762 -0.5427 -0.582
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 179 30.92 60.34% 0.212 -0.1745 0.871
Memory Fades to Dust 411 31.02 49.15% 0.566 0.7714 0.108
Power Corrodes the Spirit 411 28.61 45.74% 0.023 0.2216 -0.334
Promising Farmlands 429 26.91 42.42% 0.707 1.0633 0.091
Shattered Fragments of Power 320 33.22 50.63% 0.506 0.723 1.115
Slow Dissolution of Will 395 27.55 38.99% -1.749 -1.3192 -1.523
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 140 35.56 70.71% 0.124 -0.5001 0.857
The Border of Life and Death 120 27.79 50.0% -1.285 -1.6051 -0.218
Thriving Communities 451 31.18 49.22% -0.502 -0.1822 -0.082
Thriving Crops 220 28.63 53.64% -0.422 -0.5404 -1.042
Unnatural Proliferation 452 30.82 47.12% -0.12 -0.0306 0.029
Untended Land Crumbles 430 27.49 42.09% -0.73 -0.5052 -0.68

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6437 31.1% 32.3 67.07% 0.233 1.0326 -0.024
B 6476 29.85% 32.92 67.25% 0.309 1.0394 0.535
C 6577 29.77% 32.37 66.44% 0.416 1.0208 0.292
D 5195 32.75% 29.38 64.87% 0.364 1.1206 -0.126
E 5771 31.66% 32.86 66.9% 0.646 1.2303 0.584
F 5119 32.4% 30.53 64.25% -0.253 0.4494 0.05
G 4361 34.45% 30.28 63.59% -0.021 0.7367 -0.298
H 5053 30.08% 33.59 67.43% 0.096 0.7273 0.274
East 1531 22.96% 22.0 43.63% 0.49 1.2738 -0.156
Northeast 1148 21.53% 21.23 40.77% 0.147 0.9088 0.034
Northwest 953 19.58% 17.86 34.1% -0.53 0.312 0.441
Southeast 937 20.04% 17.82 32.23% -1.595 -0.9555 -0.508
Southwest 926 19.96% 16.21 30.99% 0.041 1.0864 -0.05
West 1371 24.08% 19.62 38.8% -0.31 0.4661 -1.074

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 111 0.0% 19.89 61.26% 0.436 1.3093 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 6 100.0% 18.83 66.67% 0.102 0.4789 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 771 10.66% 46.44 75.1% -0.08 -0.3717 0.691
Start of Game Growth 1112 12.09% 43.44 76.17% 1.398 0.8413 0.401
Unlimited Undo 2821 23.77% 34.83 68.17% -0.474 -0.4103 -0.191
Using Tokens but Not Events 2861 12.2% 29.37 68.47% -0.049 -0.1765 0.205

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 753 24.01% 27.92 61.49% 0.001 -0.0954 -0.447
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 575 23.95% 26.91 61.04% -0.299 -0.6241 -0.503
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 68 22.39% 28.9 66.18% 0.104 -0.1577 0.03
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 129 19.35% 31.61 73.64% 0.435 -0.2855 0.361
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 88 35.63% 20.91 50.0% 0.215 0.5133 -0.438
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 598 33.5% 31.19 68.06% -0.156 -0.7458 0.067
Dances Up Earthquakes 301 38.36% 26.54 55.81% -1.209 -1.0271 -0.611
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 476 25.0% 23.04 56.72% -0.05 -0.2287 -0.3
Downpour Drenches the World 508 26.15% 25.47 51.97% -0.564 -0.205 0.28
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1196 29.1% 31.87 65.64% 0.581 0.1412 0.06
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1015 14.72% 26.18 77.54% -0.458 -0.8072 -0.244
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 502 22.83% 25.8 52.79% 0.422 0.0216 -0.784
Finder of Paths Unseen 295 30.17% 25.44 54.58% -1.122 -0.0473 0.818
Fractured Days Split the Sky 364 18.54% 20.86 40.66% -0.706 -0.2501 -0.092
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 552 33.88% 26.04 51.27% -0.509 -0.6004 -0.034
Heart of the Wildfire 530 35.92% 24.11 50.19% 0.111 0.5427 -0.358
Lightning's Swift Strike 236 24.58% 26.92 63.98% 0.303 0.4662 -0.374
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 420 25.54% 29.53 56.19% 1.032 0.3536 0.487
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 157 29.94% 29.0 63.69% -0.94 -1.2995 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 487 24.85% 27.98 51.13% -0.398 -0.5445 -0.198
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 973 33.16% 29.18 56.73% -0.328 -0.5055 -0.056
Many Minds Move as One 362 35.46% 29.76 61.88% 0.52 0.385 0.291
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 799 22.24% 26.48 63.33% 0.865 0.7883 0.065
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 412 45.57% 30.97 59.95% 0.013 0.2047 1.057
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 492 30.94% 26.39 52.64% -0.255 -0.3146 0.176
River Surges in Sunlight 291 24.04% 24.63 57.73% -0.788 -0.743 0.145
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 284 28.52% 30.39 58.8% 1.195 1.4248 0.276
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 482 23.86% 26.64 65.98% 0.445 0.494 -0.6
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 450 36.0% 35.46 57.11% 0.23 0.3969 -0.167
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 472 33.12% 25.96 54.03% 0.582 0.3882 0.812
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 173 30.23% 24.18 50.87% -0.152 -0.1664 0.098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 47 36.17% 21.11 65.96% -0.153 0.4713 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 89 19.1% 23.03 53.93% -0.091 -0.0752 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 716 35.8% 32.55 67.6% 0.235 -0.2001 -0.376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 71 19.72% 15.92 35.21% -0.307 -0.2847 -0.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 63 35.48% 25.94 63.49% -0.35 -0.4375 -0.131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 47 30.43% 25.81 74.47% 0.415 0.8238 -0.283
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 861 9.07% 52.03 86.88% -0.344 -0.2868 0.139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 21 38.1% 22.05 52.38% 0.045 -0.4585 -0.209
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 553 29.95% 30.26 60.22% 0.307 0.27 -0.354
Shifting Memory of Ages 261 40.66% 25.39 52.49% 0.309 0.6708 0.451
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 377 27.93% 26.2 60.48% 0.237 0.2193 0.312
Shroud of Silent Mist 352 32.1% 23.49 52.27% -0.162 0.3621 -0.374
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 15.79% 30.6 65.0% -0.336 -0.6765 0.14
Starlight Seeks its Form 721 26.84% 29.07 63.38% -0.007 -0.2055 0.318
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 747 31.06% 27.24 51.94% 0.422 -0.1933 -0.318
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 472 25.74% 25.55 53.6% -0.547 -0.3134 -0.0
Thunderspeaker 1274 12.64% 44.34 80.53% 0.786 0.7687 0.562
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 331 28.4% 20.27 39.58% -0.857 -0.657 -0.39
Towering Roots of the Jungle 524 29.77% 24.2 52.48% -0.44 -0.2737 -0.408
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 330 46.81% 28.4 57.88% 0.254 0.3044 0.11
Vital Strength of the Earth 166 27.61% 26.61 65.06% 0.07 0.5403 -0.621
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 380 30.38% 30.06 52.89% -0.064 0.3452 1.038
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 132 35.11% 23.4 48.48% -0.019 0.6475 -0.224
Volcano Looming High 471 38.46% 27.78 55.84% 0.344 0.328 0.293
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1226 35.71% 30.57 62.72% 0.801 0.5208 0.944

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 87.88%
Regrow From Roots 87.45%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 95.09%
Towering Wrath 92.18%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10873 12.44 38.27%
II 10317 29.94 78.07%
III 4073 34.9 89.15%
IV 997 38.84 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4161
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3557
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7815
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 987
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5693
Lose: Invader deck ran out 180
Lose: Adversary condition 1219
Win: Sacrifice victory 16
Lose: Scenario condition 131
Win: Scenario condition 302
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2093
Lose: Spirit destroyed 106

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.773 Win Model: -0.144

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.186 Win Model: -0.3
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14128 32.81% 32.28 64.3%
2 5666 34.49% 29.35 64.67%
3 2935 37.0% 30.83 65.83%
4 2120 20.48% 37.37 73.92%
5 259 21.71% 23.52 62.55%
6 1152 21.52% 20.03 37.24%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)