Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 14.29% 28.29 78.57% 0.561 0.0032 0.213
Blitz 0 123 34.96% 26.52 53.66% -1.547 -1.124 -0.851
Dahan Insurrection 4 643 22.4% 27.58 28.77% -0.495 -0.977 0.461
Despicable Theft 2 47 21.28% 23.51 53.19% -0.645 -0.1024 0.537
Elemental Invocation 1 92 28.26% 26.54 52.17% -0.193 0.5444 -0.863
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1471 11.71% 53.32 83.89% 0.961 0.3043 1.284
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 36.21% 23.0 50.0% -0.096 0.4661 0.211
Rituals of Terror 3 18 22.22% 22.5 44.44% -0.574 -0.7162 -0.053
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 34 67.65% 22.85 44.12% 0.286 1.0347 -0.197
Second Wave 0 394 35.84% 28.02 73.35% 0.293 0.3877 0.382
The Great River 3 72 41.67% 30.94 61.11% -0.457 0.7883 -0.029
Varied Terrains 2 77 27.27% 28.09 54.55% -0.404 0.4637 -0.131
Ward the Shores 2 55 25.45% 19.27 40.0% -0.593 0.2614 -1.586

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9512 32.82% 33.71 66.0% 0.067 0.4401 0.094
1 Thematic 295 29.59% 27.56 53.9% -0.187 0.5268 0.001
2 Archipelago 63 74.6% 38.0 23.81% 0.899 1.4224 -0.712
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2219 36.27% 29.96 64.44% 0.108 0.2694 0.286
2 Coastline 551 24.5% 28.99 77.31% 0.529 0.3355 -0.18
2 Fragment 50 36.0% 26.36 66.0% -0.395 -0.4431 -0.126
2 Heart 47 53.19% 39.91 44.68% -0.35 -0.5624 -0.068
2 Opposite Shores 641 30.66% 28.57 66.61% 0.119 0.2509 0.015
2 Thematic 161 32.92% 23.35 48.45% -0.324 0.3961 -0.494
2 Top to Top 64 46.88% 29.72 59.38% -0.349 -0.4335 0.159
3 Archipelago 32 78.13% 30.56 31.25% -0.457 -1.0009 -0.964
3 Coastline 32 37.5% 37.03 75.0% 1.011 0.3804 1.04
3 Other 57 19.3% 25.81 80.7% 0.561 -0.3153 0.004
3 Round (Default) 1703 35.39% 32.29 67.29% 0.248 0.2251 -0.002
3 Sunrise 10 10.0% 27.2 90.0% 0.372 -0.0745 0.0
3 Thematic 94 40.43% 26.46 52.13% -0.306 -0.2978 0.063
4 Archipelago 18 33.33% 39.78 77.78% 0.0 -0.1516 0.409
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 59.67 83.33% 0.0 0.1293 -0.126
4 Leaf 11 9.09% 31.82 81.82% 0.0 0.4354 0.0
4 Other 30 40.0% 36.13 76.67% 0.165 -0.4029 1.56
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Thematic 73 41.1% 25.07 46.58% -0.172 -0.1087 0.86
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1106 22.06% 38.88 75.77% 0.444 0.4492 -0.397
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 47.25 50.0% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.524
5 Coastline 4 100.0% 35.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.0
5 Other 108 19.44% 22.41 61.11% 0.054 -0.2699 -0.082
5 Thematic 16 62.5% 27.38 43.75% 0.0 -0.1429 -0.215
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 34.33 66.67% 0.0 -1.0381 0.361
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 23.25 75.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.0
6 Other 51 37.25% 26.75 54.9% 0.147 0.1021 0.26
6 Star 31 12.9% 31.0 74.19% 0.138 0.7708 -0.433
6 Thematic 472 10.85% 10.3 19.49% -1.275 -1.0708 -1.88
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 38.02% 33.25 54.96% -1.14 -0.6661 -0.389
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 29.5 50.0% 0.144 -0.5317 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 295 29.85 46.78% -0.244 -0.1729 -0.325
Aid From Lesser Spirits 227 34.72 51.54% -0.551 -0.6608 0.102
All Things Weaken 302 31.55 47.35% -0.525 -0.3481 0.015
Attenuated Essence 276 30.7 42.39% -0.797 -0.7453 -0.085
Back Against the Wall 244 38.58 57.79% -0.282 -0.2972 0.146
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 289 30.2 45.33% -0.715 -0.5313 -0.518
Burn Brightest Before the End 262 31.77 47.33% -0.25 -0.1631 -0.398
Disintegrating Ecosystem 307 25.84 41.37% -0.432 -0.1401 -0.808
Downward Spiral 293 27.42 42.66% -0.926 -0.8197 -0.474
Erosion of Will 258 28.82 37.6% -1.234 -1.068 -0.514
Intensifying Exploitation 282 28.41 41.13% -0.394 -0.2055 -0.508
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 110 29.45 57.27% 0.328 -0.1003 0.039
Memory Fades to Dust 277 30.71 47.29% -0.696 -0.4616 -0.188
Power Corrodes the Spirit 273 29.12 43.59% -0.776 -0.6799 -0.585
Promising Farmlands 296 26.71 39.53% -1.471 -1.1063 -0.898
Shattered Fragments of Power 224 33.13 48.21% -0.782 -0.716 -0.436
Slow Dissolution of Will 260 29.13 41.15% -1.255 -0.7918 -0.458
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 92 35.8 68.48% 0.18 -0.4214 0.519
The Border of Life and Death 83 29.61 54.22% -0.561 -1.0363 0.395
Thriving Communities 300 31.08 50.0% -0.607 -0.3814 -0.326
Thriving Crops 156 28.87 52.56% -0.408 -0.6322 -0.589
Unnatural Proliferation 314 30.83 46.18% -0.8 -0.6785 -0.536
Untended Land Crumbles 273 28.49 45.42% -0.992 -0.7592 -0.465

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4064 32.63% 32.52 66.61% 0.402 1.32 0.028
B 4217 31.06% 33.24 67.32% 0.434 1.2748 0.132
C 4285 31.14% 32.82 66.44% 0.202 0.8853 0.12
D 3354 33.18% 30.75 65.95% 0.437 1.2797 0.162
E 3925 32.64% 34.31 68.41% 0.278 0.93 0.443
F 3351 31.99% 31.79 66.4% 0.224 0.9838 0.171
G 2896 35.29% 31.57 64.71% -0.035 0.7223 0.281
H 3468 29.43% 35.7 69.52% 0.371 1.0895 0.296
East 950 23.42% 18.64 35.89% -0.826 -0.013 0.209
Northeast 733 22.02% 17.0 31.92% -0.437 0.2307 -0.032
Northwest 636 17.98% 14.05 26.89% 0.317 1.1213 -0.255
Southeast 634 17.56% 14.43 26.5% 0.03 0.7358 -0.101
Southwest 630 17.54% 12.82 26.03% -0.453 0.9365 -0.458
West 876 22.57% 16.61 33.11% -0.894 -0.1001 -1.029

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 50 0.0% 24.08 72.0% -1.13 -0.4109 -1.23
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 100.0% 2.0 0.0% -0.77 -0.2851 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 468 11.46% 49.9 77.99% 0.588 -0.143 0.457
Start of Game Growth 705 11.88% 45.78 79.15% 0.824 0.3774 0.901
Unlimited Undo 1955 22.77% 36.27 70.54% -0.223 -0.2563 0.189
Using Tokens but Not Events 2044 11.53% 29.44 67.81% 0.207 0.0443 -0.715

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 570 24.82% 29.84 64.21% -0.087 -0.1937 -0.01
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 336 20.54% 26.07 58.93% -0.124 -0.6123 0.262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 43 28.57% 16.7 46.51% -0.059 0.0846 -0.441
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 505 32.28% 31.33 68.71% -0.115 -0.863 0.459
Dances Up Earthquakes 31 35.48% 24.06 61.29% -0.264 -0.441 -0.369
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 338 25.15% 21.62 54.14% -0.27 -0.4768 0.536
Downpour Drenches the World 363 24.24% 24.71 51.79% -0.62 -0.2998 0.176
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 836 31.24% 31.7 64.0% 0.488 0.048 -0.065
Eyes Watch From the Trees 614 16.53% 26.52 76.06% 0.732 0.3883 0.493
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 320 23.34% 25.27 50.94% 0.442 0.0877 0.299
Finder of Paths Unseen 213 32.39% 25.53 53.05% -0.322 0.4627 -0.619
Fractured Days Split the Sky 267 20.3% 19.68 35.58% -0.049 0.399 -0.347
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 431 33.41% 25.19 48.96% -0.381 -0.4046 0.189
Heart of the Wildfire 325 37.35% 22.41 49.23% -0.26 0.0669 -0.325
Lightning's Swift Strike 120 25.0% 27.43 69.17% -0.329 -0.131 -0.467
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 299 26.42% 28.51 53.85% 0.511 0.063 0.886
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 119 33.61% 29.69 61.34% -0.524 -0.8438 0.52
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 327 23.24% 28.32 49.85% 0.202 0.327 0.598
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 577 32.0% 30.64 59.45% -0.62 -0.7758 -0.003
Many Minds Move as One 200 32.16% 30.78 63.5% 0.062 -0.1451 -0.128
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 540 25.74% 26.96 59.63% -0.382 -0.2529 0.029
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 39 48.72% 32.23 71.79% 0.353 0.4581 0.05
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 329 31.31% 25.33 48.63% -0.913 -0.963 0.164
River Surges in Sunlight 164 28.22% 25.9 63.41% -0.761 -0.7278 0.817
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 164 29.88% 28.76 51.22% -0.054 0.1543 -0.174
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 270 34.81% 28.8 61.11% -0.524 -0.3732 -0.644
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 352 36.65% 37.17 57.1% 0.471 0.48 -0.127
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 365 31.04% 25.78 53.97% 0.077 -0.0216 0.311
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 31 29.03% 18.32 38.71% -0.988 -1.4794 -0.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 24 25.0% 23.67 75.0% 0.926 1.4378 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 58 17.24% 18.79 48.28% -0.008 -0.0508 -0.612
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 627 36.9% 32.71 67.62% 0.933 0.4843 0.328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 56 17.86% 16.36 37.5% -0.214 -0.1556 0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 43 32.56% 27.91 65.12% 0.894 0.7037 -0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 27 23.08% 25.56 74.07% 0.553 0.637 -0.055
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 481 11.25% 50.94 85.03% 0.549 0.4511 0.378
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 337 32.54% 32.42 62.02% 0.427 0.2323 0.015
Shifting Memory of Ages 171 45.03% 28.49 53.8% 0.109 0.4986 -0.301
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 195 27.69% 25.78 58.46% 0.373 0.3219 0.077
Shroud of Silent Mist 221 28.05% 22.37 50.68% -0.103 0.3109 -0.153
Starlight Seeks its Form 488 26.95% 30.17 65.37% -0.24 -0.2799 0.108
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 488 32.99% 27.66 48.77% -0.674 -1.1765 -0.487
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 332 24.47% 23.45 51.2% -0.161 -0.0776 -0.521
Thunderspeaker 717 15.48% 43.97 78.24% -0.192 -0.1978 0.055
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 205 21.46% 18.81 39.02% -0.567 -0.1781 0.262
Towering Roots of the Jungle 336 28.87% 24.26 53.27% -0.553 -0.3427 -0.917
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 191 48.42% 29.64 61.78% 0.36 0.4369 0.013
Vital Strength of the Earth 116 30.17% 30.75 67.24% -0.332 0.1167 0.161
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 287 30.31% 29.97 52.26% 1.321 1.8154 0.027
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 97 36.46% 23.98 45.36% 0.026 0.7184 -0.312
Volcano Looming High 288 42.36% 29.63 58.33% 0.33 0.3939 0.57
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 974 32.65% 30.38 63.55% 0.443 0.1936 -0.153

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 87.38%
Regrow From Roots 86.57%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 94.79%
Towering Wrath 91.35%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7238 14.25 39.07%
II 7026 30.3 78.29%
III 2708 34.84 88.81%
IV 747 38.61 99.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2828
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2352
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5338
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 739
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3701
Lose: Invader deck ran out 136
Lose: Adversary condition 871
Win: Sacrifice victory 12
Lose: Scenario condition 76
Win: Scenario condition 207
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1397
Lose: Spirit destroyed 62

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.524 Win Model: -0.185

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.182 Win Model: -0.06
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9853 32.68% 33.41 65.43%
2 3782 34.76% 29.81 65.55%
3 1921 35.59% 31.88 66.68%
4 1229 23.6% 37.94 73.96%
5 134 27.61% 23.43 60.45%
6 800 20.55% 19.21 34.88%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)