Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 7 14.29% 29.71 85.71% 0.416 0.2763 -0.171
Blitz 0 22 31.82% 37.32 59.09% -1.024 -0.9128 -0.549
Dahan Insurrection 4 132 17.42% 16.42 15.15% -0.867 -1.1026 -0.512
Despicable Theft 2 10 30.0% 16.3 50.0% -0.833 -0.1903 -0.347
Elemental Invocation 1 10 40.0% 14.6 30.0% -1.313 -0.5115 -0.284
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 191 8.9% 49.52 80.63% 0.933 0.1587 1.968
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 50.0% 23.88 37.5% -0.902 -0.1289 0.385
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 100.0% 22.75 25.0% -0.754 0.3029 -0.152
Second Wave 0 54 43.4% 32.46 74.07% 0.122 0.202 0.573
The Great River 3 9 44.44% 29.11 66.67% -0.419 0.7091 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 19 15.79% 32.95 47.37% -1.024 -0.3322 -0.195
Ward the Shores 2 10 40.0% 15.2 40.0% -1.09 -0.2266 -0.472

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 2931 35.68% 32.47 65.44% -0.115 0.0862 -0.237
1 Thematic 63 22.22% 30.24 65.08% -0.015 0.7041 -0.355
2 Archipelago 16 87.5% 49.06 18.75% -0.157 0.0975 -0.581
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 531 41.13% 32.77 69.11% 0.09 0.0973 0.018
2 Coastline 100 36.0% 27.8 74.0% 0.123 -0.0817 0.02
2 Fragment 13 38.46% 22.77 76.92% -0.2 -0.477 0.0
2 Heart 9 33.33% 51.44 100.0% 1.261 1.0406 1.154
2 Opposite Shores 168 39.29% 30.9 66.07% -0.21 -0.1528 0.648
2 Thematic 22 45.45% 23.23 45.45% -0.202 0.2496 -0.672
2 Top to Top 11 45.45% 18.91 45.45% -0.471 -0.569 -0.633
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.517 -1.3085 0.0
3 Coastline 6 16.67% 20.33 66.67% -0.413 -0.9799 0.0
3 Other 16 18.75% 23.56 75.0% -0.459 -0.4882 -0.322
3 Round (Default) 388 35.57% 30.86 66.49% 0.076 -0.1495 0.106
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 45.0 100.0% 0.52 -0.4648 0.0
3 Thematic 6 0.0% 13.83 33.33% -0.687 -0.49 0.0
4 Archipelago 9 44.44% 29.22 66.67% -0.12 -1.3058 0.0
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 45.0 100.0% 0.31 -0.2768 0.0
4 Leaf 6 16.67% 28.17 83.33% -0.017 -0.7161 0.0
4 Other 7 71.43% 39.86 71.43% 0.382 -0.9754 0.0
4 Thematic 15 53.33% 20.67 40.0% -0.459 -0.6574 0.0
4 Trapezoid (Default) 189 34.92% 34.72 74.6% 0.413 0.1696 -0.342
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 45.67 33.33% 0.191 0.507 -0.135
5 Other 13 30.77% 26.77 61.54% -0.491 -1.5478 -0.049
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.181 -0.5554 0.0
6 Other 5 60.0% 42.2 60.0% 0.025 -0.7119 0.34
6 Star 13 15.38% 27.46 61.54% -0.531 -0.5874 -0.274
6 Thematic 128 14.84% 11.7 17.97% -0.832 -0.0778 -0.601
6 Two Centers (Default) 34 26.47% 37.91 61.76% 0.645 0.0653 0.499

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 100 29.49 41.0% -0.925 -0.765 -0.401
Aid From Lesser Spirits 74 33.24 47.3% -0.503 -0.5889 0.022
All Things Weaken 102 29.97 48.04% -0.811 -0.4688 -0.43
Attenuated Essence 76 35.04 53.95% -0.458 -0.384 -0.163
Back Against the Wall 72 37.86 52.78% -0.441 -0.3656 -0.277
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 89 30.55 42.7% -1.054 -0.8634 -0.363
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 30.78 48.68% -0.795 -0.6717 -0.585
Disintegrating Ecosystem 94 29.34 48.94% -0.881 -0.5085 -0.441
Downward Spiral 87 30.46 42.53% -0.936 -0.799 -0.312
Erosion of Will 70 26.69 27.14% -1.466 -1.171 -0.915
Intensifying Exploitation 86 29.76 44.19% -0.97 -0.7318 -0.351
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 29 29.1 51.72% -0.576 -1.1083 -0.554
Memory Fades to Dust 70 39.06 64.29% -0.096 0.1852 0.244
Power Corrodes the Spirit 79 26.18 36.71% -1.183 -1.0295 -0.937
Promising Farmlands 99 26.13 41.41% -1.23 -0.8834 -0.836
Shattered Fragments of Power 55 32.85 54.55% -0.518 -0.3228 -0.438
Slow Dissolution of Will 79 28.08 39.24% -1.158 -0.707 -0.54
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 33 34.85 66.67% -0.182 -0.9222 0.461
The Border of Life and Death 27 28.74 55.56% -0.332 -0.7654 0.079
Thriving Communities 77 37.74 66.23% 0.079 0.3773 0.356
Thriving Crops 44 29.68 54.55% -0.573 -0.6751 -0.168
Unnatural Proliferation 75 35.8 58.67% -0.365 -0.2202 0.089
Untended Land Crumbles 88 25.23 37.5% -1.164 -0.8647 -0.921

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 957 38.81% 30.79 65.62% 0.131 1.1247 -0.263
B 988 35.36% 31.59 68.93% 0.224 1.1417 -0.002
C 1018 34.06% 31.82 67.49% 0.169 0.9118 0.35
D 844 38.27% 31.39 65.4% 0.192 1.1441 0.415
E 931 38.86% 33.93 67.24% 0.491 1.272 0.4
F 797 35.68% 31.73 66.37% 0.298 1.1905 -0.046
G 702 38.14% 32.0 65.38% 0.145 1.0007 0.171
H 877 32.31% 35.61 70.47% 0.616 1.4639 0.597
East 205 21.46% 17.35 30.73% -1.076 -0.307 -0.524
Northeast 174 21.84% 15.35 26.44% 0.109 0.8966 -0.723
Northwest 149 17.45% 13.11 22.15% 0.324 1.3078 -0.152
Southeast 144 17.36% 13.65 22.22% 0.099 0.9736 0.71
Southwest 152 20.39% 13.02 23.03% -0.449 0.7583 -0.443
West 189 20.63% 15.56 29.63% -1.202 -0.2679 -0.495

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 23.56 77.78% -0.786 -0.1568 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 80 17.11% 50.64 78.75% 1.211 0.5758 0.083
Start of Game Growth 136 15.91% 46.24 75.74% 0.492 0.102 0.558
Unlimited Undo 479 29.89% 34.23 65.97% -0.206 -0.1617 0.166
Using Tokens but Not Events 498 12.47% 28.23 68.27% 0.146 0.1184 -0.183

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 161 100.0% 27.6 100.0% 0.153 0.0306 -0.088
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7 2428.57% 27.29 1285.71% 0.406 0.6464 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 275 40.73% 31.25 69.82% 0.171 -0.8304 0.551
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 74 100.0% 22.93 100.0% 0.254 0.0268 0.304
Downpour Drenches the World 61 100.0% 20.3 100.0% -0.849 -0.5234 -0.363
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 143 100.0% 28.31 100.0% 0.088 -0.4119 -0.528
Eyes Watch From the Trees 98 100.0% 24.71 100.0% 0.006 -0.4548 -0.271
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 60 100.0% 20.8 100.0% -0.257 -0.686 0.204
Finder of Paths Unseen 23 100.0% 24.13 100.0% -0.538 0.2844 -0.849
Fractured Days Split the Sky 62 100.0% 21.23 100.0% -0.24 0.3569 -0.799
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 91 100.0% 26.68 100.0% 0.013 0.0126 0.457
Heart of the Wildfire 51 100.0% 21.08 100.0% 0.14 0.5242 0.248
Lightning's Swift Strike 21 557.14% 33.38 409.52% 0.565 0.7479 0.577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 36 47.22% 34.03 66.67% 0.775 0.2383 0.708
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 32 37.5% 29.19 62.5% 0.074 -0.2166 0.326
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 65 12.31% 18.74 36.92% -0.843 -0.9905 -0.21
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 95 100.0% 30.07 100.0% 0.308 0.0565 0.327
Many Minds Move as One 46 100.0% 31.35 100.0% 0.103 -0.0544 -0.548
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 107 100.0% 32.87 100.0% 0.817 0.8274 0.316
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 44 100.0% 17.45 100.0% -0.427 -0.5731 -0.17
River Surges in Sunlight 23 430.43% 28.96 334.78% 0.208 0.2454 0.11
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 31 16.13% 20.81 48.39% -0.321 -0.0612 -0.237
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 78 35.9% 30.69 51.28% 0.233 0.1826 -0.223
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 78 100.0% 25.26 100.0% 0.357 0.1823 0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2 11750.0% 13.0 6400.0% -1.114 -0.5016 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 11 9.09% 7.18 27.27% -0.424 -0.3208 -0.28
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 348 41.67% 33.15 70.11% 0.347 -0.2349 0.167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 10 10.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.441 -1.3951 -0.108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 5 20.0% 24.4 60.0% 0.211 0.2922 -0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 9 22.22% 26.78 77.78% 0.412 0.6197 -0.048
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 215.38% 36.92 179.49% 0.484 0.5636 0.059
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 69 34.78% 33.25 55.07% 0.145 -0.1776 -0.186
Shifting Memory of Ages 53 100.0% 31.77 100.0% -0.087 0.178 0.312
Shroud of Silent Mist 39 100.0% 19.97 100.0% 0.026 0.3932 0.25
Starlight Seeks its Form 85 100.0% 34.29 100.0% 0.346 0.1184 0.287
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 88 100.0% 23.86 100.0% -0.039 -0.3955 -0.95
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 69 100.0% 23.71 100.0% 0.173 0.3064 0.034
Thunderspeaker 51 156.86% 23.88 145.1% -0.608 -0.5786 -0.172
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 37 21.62% 24.32 37.84% 0.228 0.4682 0.711
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 29 100.0% 28.9 100.0% 0.674 0.8643 0.127
Vital Strength of the Earth 11 472.73% 37.45 445.45% 0.209 0.7657 0.343
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 40 22.5% 8.28 15.0% -1.494 -1.0842 -0.608
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 14 28.57% 21.43 71.43% -0.204 0.5242 0.0
Volcano Looming High 44 100.0% 34.98 100.0% 0.522 0.541 0.437
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 526 100.0% 31.11 100.0% 0.12 -0.4736 -0.14

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 85.26%
Regrow From Roots 84.98%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 94.22%
Towering Wrath 88.65%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1851 17.67 37.82%
II 1873 30.7 77.2%
III 722 34.75 90.03%
IV 263 38.22 99.24%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 700
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 645
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1426
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 259
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 971
Lose: Invader deck ran out 32
Lose: Adversary condition 210
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 19
Win: Scenario condition 24
Lose: Blight pool ran out 396
Lose: Spirit destroyed 24

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.046 Win Model: -0.248

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.257 Win Model: -0.249
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3003 35.53% 32.38 65.3%
2 865 40.97% 32.01 68.32%
3 422 33.41% 29.88 65.88%
4 225 37.78% 34.3 72.44%
5 13 30.77% 26.54 61.54%
6 181 18.23% 18.68 30.94%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)