Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 51 11.76% 26.63 74.51% -0.445 -0.4725 0.234
Blitz 0 144 33.33% 24.72 51.39% -1.255 -1.0051 -0.822
Dahan Insurrection 4 708 21.75% 27.24 29.38% -1.22 -1.469 0.494
Despicable Theft 2 55 25.45% 24.27 52.73% 0.22 0.6819 0.402
Elemental Invocation 1 106 26.42% 25.69 50.94% -0.471 0.232 -0.957
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1753 10.91% 53.18 84.14% 1.108 0.5557 1.286
Powers Long Forgotten 1 71 32.39% 21.42 47.89% -1.057 -0.4334 0.039
Rituals of Terror 3 23 30.43% 20.57 39.13% -0.724 -0.5314 -0.397
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 66.67% 22.85 43.75% -0.387 0.5354 -0.344
Second Wave 0 498 36.63% 27.79 72.89% 0.096 0.2128 0.338
The Great River 3 94 39.36% 29.8 59.57% -0.107 0.9614 -0.173
Varied Terrains 2 82 29.27% 28.26 56.1% 0.447 1.1885 -0.114
Ward the Shores 2 74 27.03% 20.97 39.19% -0.761 0.3223 -1.677

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 11267 33.26% 32.97 64.96% 0.15 0.6765 0.155
1 Thematic 386 31.17% 28.09 57.25% 1.001 1.8551 0.168
2 Archipelago 66 71.21% 37.0 24.24% -0.259 0.7961 -0.728
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2681 37.41% 29.83 63.07% -0.102 0.1759 0.292
2 Coastline 654 22.78% 28.13 76.76% 0.154 0.2565 -0.067
2 Fragment 62 33.87% 26.58 64.52% -0.115 -0.1025 -0.415
2 Heart 54 51.85% 37.74 44.44% 0.307 0.4181 0.069
2 Opposite Shores 779 32.69% 28.01 64.83% 0.14 0.4767 -0.024
2 Thematic 206 31.86% 22.94 49.03% 0.254 0.9439 -0.269
2 Top to Top 80 42.5% 29.77 62.5% 0.0 0.2425 0.383
3 Archipelago 35 77.14% 30.63 34.29% -0.331 -1.0514 -1.043
3 Coastline 41 31.71% 32.44 68.29% -0.587 -0.9273 1.037
3 Other 69 21.74% 25.65 76.81% 0.217 -0.3851 0.121
3 Round (Default) 2135 36.91% 31.46 66.32% 0.216 0.2219 0.153
3 Sunrise 14 14.29% 24.14 85.71% -0.481 -0.5425 0.0
3 Thematic 102 38.24% 26.14 50.98% -0.552 -0.4672 0.077
4 Archipelago 20 30.0% 37.15 75.0% -0.402 -0.2514 0.434
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 59.67 83.33% 0.0 -0.7584 -0.089
4 Leaf 15 6.67% 29.87 80.0% 0.538 0.675 0.0
4 Other 47 38.3% 32.91 76.6% 1.264 0.6452 1.396
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Thematic 103 36.89% 23.29 40.78% -1.463 -1.195 0.105
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1373 21.27% 39.45 76.18% 0.023 0.1872 -0.282
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 42.6 40.0% -0.093 -0.9718 -0.631
5 Coastline 6 83.33% 31.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0963 0.0
5 Other 153 18.3% 21.76 59.48% -0.112 -0.4985 -0.019
5 Thematic 20 55.0% 29.75 45.0% -0.094 -0.8914 -0.176
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 25.75 50.0% -0.208 -1.318 0.36
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 23.25 75.0% 0.0 -0.8372 0.0
6 Other 72 40.28% 25.94 55.56% 0.766 0.7354 0.105
6 Star 39 12.82% 30.82 74.36% 0.437 0.4194 -0.654
6 Thematic 521 11.56% 11.2 21.11% -0.116 -0.0126 -1.632
6 Two Centers (Default) 278 34.89% 31.02 53.96% -0.497 0.0677 -0.365
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0747 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 29.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.4343 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 356 28.58 43.26% -1.351 -1.1015 -0.432
Aid From Lesser Spirits 287 34.4 53.66% 0.115 -0.0036 0.307
All Things Weaken 369 31.11 45.53% -0.97 -0.6326 0.07
Attenuated Essence 340 29.88 42.65% -0.545 -0.5182 -0.116
Back Against the Wall 282 37.44 57.45% -0.021 -0.0196 0.188
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 343 28.84 42.86% -0.941 -0.7233 -0.524
Burn Brightest Before the End 312 31.64 47.12% -0.414 -0.4325 -0.313
Disintegrating Ecosystem 368 25.3 40.49% -0.786 -0.3927 -0.776
Downward Spiral 358 27.03 42.18% -0.559 -0.4507 -0.626
Erosion of Will 315 28.88 37.46% -0.495 -0.1425 -0.438
Intensifying Exploitation 340 27.39 39.41% -0.666 -0.4209 -0.502
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 138 29.17 56.52% 0.234 -0.29 -0.108
Memory Fades to Dust 324 30.74 48.15% -0.07 0.1778 -0.057
Power Corrodes the Spirit 334 28.34 43.41% -0.709 -0.4876 -0.528
Promising Farmlands 352 25.82 38.92% -0.72 -0.4371 -0.901
Shattered Fragments of Power 273 32.93 48.35% -0.041 0.0363 -0.19
Slow Dissolution of Will 323 28.37 41.18% -1.008 -0.6112 -0.566
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 115 35.61 68.7% 0.218 -0.477 0.656
The Border of Life and Death 101 29.3 53.47% 0.008 -0.5925 0.388
Thriving Communities 376 31.18 50.0% -0.548 -0.1918 -0.104
Thriving Crops 188 29.36 54.79% -0.595 -0.7914 -0.569
Unnatural Proliferation 381 30.84 46.19% 0.085 0.2471 -0.615
Untended Land Crumbles 353 28.16 43.91% -0.483 -0.2517 -0.436

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5074 32.13% 32.19 66.34% 0.265 1.2698 0.063
B 5157 30.87% 32.99 67.0% 0.218 1.1371 0.165
C 5259 31.12% 32.56 66.13% 0.096 0.8307 0.181
D 4138 33.95% 29.98 64.77% 0.101 1.0786 0.168
E 4630 32.73% 33.39 67.15% 0.064 0.8841 0.439
F 4103 32.77% 31.29 65.32% 0.086 0.9601 0.152
G 3503 35.44% 30.66 63.49% -0.064 0.7453 0.152
H 4122 30.19% 34.94 68.85% 0.258 1.0725 0.377
East 1116 22.93% 19.25 37.99% -0.146 0.7564 0.111
Northeast 848 22.01% 17.83 34.08% 0.284 1.092 -0.04
Northwest 739 18.59% 15.3 29.23% -0.076 0.8238 -0.379
Southeast 717 17.65% 15.1 28.03% 0.057 0.908 -0.038
Southwest 710 17.68% 13.64 27.46% -0.511 0.8642 -0.49
West 1047 24.14% 17.75 34.86% -0.576 0.3787 -0.891

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 70 0.0% 22.64 68.57% -0.562 0.1454 -1.185
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 100.0% 13.4 60.0% 0.0 0.3681 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 531 10.91% 48.92 77.78% 0.452 -0.1331 0.758
Start of Game Growth 822 11.76% 44.38 78.22% 0.683 0.1691 0.637
Unlimited Undo 2313 23.62% 35.56 69.82% 0.103 -0.0063 0.203
Using Tokens but Not Events 2401 11.87% 29.38 67.76% 0.189 0.163 -0.829

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 636 24.68% 29.2 63.84% 0.135 0.0291 -0.012
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 420 23.1% 27.01 61.43% 0.73 0.2501 0.133
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 71 37.14% 23.0 53.52% 0.092 0.218 -0.663
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 552 32.79% 30.98 67.75% -0.77 -1.6169 0.469
Dances Up Earthquakes 186 39.25% 29.84 63.98% 0.05 0.0868 0.168
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 390 24.62% 21.99 54.87% -0.265 -0.4017 0.443
Downpour Drenches the World 415 24.82% 24.97 50.6% -0.405 -0.1985 0.126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 989 31.22% 31.51 64.81% 0.601 -0.0097 0.034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 734 16.69% 26.6 75.61% 0.381 0.005 0.503
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 404 24.56% 25.92 51.98% -0.115 -0.5053 0.392
Finder of Paths Unseen 239 31.8% 25.72 54.39% 0.077 0.7962 -0.624
Fractured Days Split the Sky 303 18.54% 19.95 37.62% -0.556 0.0552 -0.249
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 480 35.21% 25.59 49.79% 0.554 0.4548 0.08
Heart of the Wildfire 388 37.47% 23.38 50.77% 0.107 0.4435 -0.324
Lightning's Swift Strike 168 27.98% 26.42 67.26% 0.334 0.5639 -0.761
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 361 25.76% 28.3 54.29% 0.645 0.2007 0.598
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 136 30.88% 29.68 63.24% -0.077 -0.3876 0.54
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 422 26.3% 27.73 50.0% -0.661 -0.8032 0.568
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 717 33.57% 29.68 58.58% -0.326 -0.5542 0.108
Many Minds Move as One 286 38.25% 30.79 61.19% 0.366 0.1236 -0.085
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 605 25.58% 26.69 60.17% 0.527 0.636 0.065
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 202 41.09% 28.14 56.93% -0.342 -0.2236 -0.273
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 391 32.31% 25.55 49.62% -0.179 -0.2248 0.333
River Surges in Sunlight 213 25.84% 24.73 61.03% -0.864 -0.734 0.669
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 213 29.11% 28.33 54.46% -0.043 0.1324 -0.158
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 325 31.38% 26.61 58.46% -0.855 -0.5574 -0.674
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 408 36.03% 35.71 57.35% 0.252 0.1679 -0.136
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 409 32.11% 25.5 53.79% -0.104 -0.2156 0.176
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 104 28.85% 23.65 50.0% -0.555 -0.6725 0.378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 31 29.03% 23.55 74.19% -0.115 0.3794 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 20.83% 21.08 50.0% -0.343 -0.3941 -0.801
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 662 36.61% 32.41 67.07% -0.024 -0.5341 0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 59 18.64% 16.2 37.29% -0.594 -0.7216 -0.005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 47 34.04% 28.89 68.09% 0.289 0.3008 -0.505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 32 25.81% 25.41 71.88% -0.691 -0.5552 -0.389
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 638 9.58% 51.83 85.89% 1.352 1.4002 0.441
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 433 31.55% 30.82 61.89% 0.199 -0.0159 0.051
Shifting Memory of Ages 200 42.5% 27.85 55.5% 0.555 0.8491 -0.222
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 273 29.3% 25.9 59.71% 0.247 0.1282 0.33
Shroud of Silent Mist 295 31.86% 22.96 51.19% -0.311 0.0166 -0.344
Starlight Seeks its Form 600 26.76% 29.26 64.67% 0.35 0.2505 0.104
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 575 32.7% 27.89 49.57% 0.201 -0.3293 -0.104
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 379 24.34% 23.73 51.45% -0.065 0.0124 -0.674
Thunderspeaker 914 14.11% 44.64 79.65% 0.309 0.3453 0.174
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 250 25.2% 20.56 42.0% 0.51 0.5684 0.25
Towering Roots of the Jungle 436 28.9% 24.15 53.21% -0.78 -0.6309 -0.829
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 248 51.42% 29.11 58.47% -0.124 0.0217 0.161
Vital Strength of the Earth 130 30.0% 28.82 67.69% 0.126 0.6942 0.256
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 321 29.91% 30.05 53.27% 0.01 0.5307 0.036
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 105 35.58% 24.29 46.67% 0.562 1.3035 -0.339
Volcano Looming High 369 38.21% 28.29 57.45% -0.548 -0.5328 0.459
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1044 32.66% 30.02 62.74% 0.038 -0.2542 -0.147

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 87.33%
Regrow From Roots 86.94%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 94.96%
Towering Wrath 91.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8741 13.33 37.92%
II 8411 30.1 77.72%
III 3305 34.83 89.2%
IV 849 38.67 99.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3315
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2886
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6353
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 839
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4561
Lose: Invader deck ran out 161
Lose: Adversary condition 1024
Win: Sacrifice victory 14
Lose: Scenario condition 94
Win: Scenario condition 237
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1740
Lose: Spirit destroyed 82

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.193 Win Model: -0.197

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.134 Win Model: -0.059
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11710 33.13% 32.71 64.49%
2 4571 35.22% 29.37 64.38%
3 2379 36.78% 31.09 65.83%
4 1546 22.77% 38.13 73.87%
5 187 25.13% 22.99 59.36%
6 913 20.64% 19.27 36.14%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)