Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 81 32.1% 21.47 55.56% 0.438 0.6285 1.027
Blitz 0 466 38.83% 22.77 56.22% -0.129 0.0883 -0.146
Dahan Insurrection 4 532 27.07% 35.17 50.56% 0.178 -0.0747 0.187
Despicable Theft 2 325 49.23% 26.35 61.23% 0.06 0.6464 -0.42
Elemental Invocation 1 341 47.35% 20.35 49.85% -0.652 0.087 -1.283
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1664 20.74% 36.96 66.17% -0.613 -1.1747 0.988
Powers Long Forgotten 1 203 53.96% 19.34 40.39% -1.272 -0.512 -0.628
Rituals of Terror 3 150 58.39% 26.54 42.0% 0.068 0.188 0.098
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 42.7% 11.92 11.24% -0.953 -0.0453 -1.188
Second Wave 0 2079 43.56% 24.29 68.45% 0.221 0.3589 0.373
The Great River 3 122 40.98% 16.98 26.23% -0.767 0.3334 -1.348
Varied Terrains 2 168 57.14% 20.32 38.1% -0.109 0.6674 -0.086
Ward the Shores 2 216 49.07% 24.25 46.3% -0.377 0.6975 -0.745

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 34329 59.56% 22.83 58.36% -0.409 -0.0765 -0.15
1 Thematic 1069 49.39% 21.86 45.56% -0.628 0.0574 -0.696
2 Archipelago 75 53.33% 25.87 62.67% -0.982 -0.3743 0.481
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10037 53.75% 25.74 62.51% 0.115 0.2345 -0.109
2 Coastline 1154 47.98% 25.94 66.72% 0.076 0.0038 0.462
2 Fragment 306 57.24% 22.94 59.15% 0.794 0.6089 -0.253
2 Heart 196 49.74% 26.13 64.8% -0.019 -0.1764 0.203
2 Opposite Shores 2288 47.22% 25.26 66.74% 0.176 0.3271 -0.227
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0816 0.0
2 Thematic 721 45.61% 24.13 54.23% -0.162 0.3462 -0.315
2 Top to Top 335 53.59% 30.37 70.15% 0.582 0.5239 0.709
3 Archipelago 37 72.22% 40.03 59.46% 0.451 -0.5008 0.502
3 Coastline 46 53.33% 25.98 65.22% 0.69 0.2796 1.599
3 Other 236 40.77% 23.03 66.1% 0.095 -0.6762 0.525
3 Round (Default) 5956 49.97% 27.05 64.1% 0.229 0.1377 0.127
3 Sunrise 26 50.0% 24.5 69.23% 0.0 -0.096 0.0
3 Thematic 346 47.11% 24.08 60.69% 0.006 0.0268 -1.485
4 Archipelago 49 55.1% 30.33 65.31% 0.287 -0.2432 0.879
4 Coastline 27 33.33% 22.26 59.26% 0.0 -0.0857 -0.18
4 Leaf 32 68.75% 25.69 65.63% 0.0 -0.1615 0.007
4 Other 121 40.34% 26.72 74.38% 1.211 0.5001 0.298
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4433 -0.535
4 Thematic 448 31.47% 38.45 68.08% -0.495 -0.3723 0.257
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2990 37.77% 28.3 72.58% 0.389 0.3864 0.005
5 Archipelago 13 50.0% 22.77 38.46% -0.25 -0.2802 -0.418
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 23.89 88.89% 0.0 -0.1459 0.0
5 Other 433 35.25% 26.51 69.52% 0.644 0.1303 0.147
5 Thematic 45 24.44% 21.67 44.44% -0.297 -0.3539 -0.263
6 Archipelago 29 10.34% 19.38 55.17% -0.984 -2.0222 -0.061
6 Coastline 8 12.5% 23.63 62.5% 0.0 -0.9594 0.0
6 Other 205 29.35% 23.08 63.41% -0.312 -0.4159 -0.199
6 Star 96 26.04% 18.3 47.92% -0.565 -0.5788 0.263
6 Thematic 445 24.89% 16.89 34.83% -0.13 0.1562 -0.863
6 Two Centers (Default) 649 25.08% 20.35 57.94% -0.29 0.2425 -0.357
7 Archipelago 7 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.101 -0.0363 -0.442
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.018
7 Other 19 16.67% 13.58 26.32% -0.107 -0.6654 0.079

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2119 27.19 52.57% 0.681 0.9324 0.864
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1876 28.82 55.6% -0.059 -0.1164 0.875
All Things Weaken 2519 26.3 53.75% 0.25 0.5851 0.952
Attenuated Essence 442 23.68 48.87% 0.383 0.4161 0.703
Back Against the Wall 1826 27.74 52.74% 0.397 0.4324 0.707
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 444 21.82 40.77% 0.194 0.4114 0.326
Burn Brightest Before the End 373 27.54 54.16% 0.506 0.5163 0.308
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2015 23.38 47.64% 0.341 0.6858 0.381
Downward Spiral 2601 24.95 58.02% 0.411 0.5284 0.784
Erosion of Will 2130 25.52 49.67% 0.404 0.6781 0.59
Intensifying Exploitation 477 22.04 45.28% 0.398 0.6094 0.322
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 871 27.48 73.48% 0.98 0.4075 0.79
Memory Fades to Dust 2607 23.91 54.97% 0.182 0.4349 0.676
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2409 24.88 52.05% 0.428 0.6321 0.528
Promising Farmlands 2064 25.24 50.15% 0.185 0.4389 0.317
Shattered Fragments of Power 302 26.01 50.66% 0.175 0.2495 0.14
Slow Dissolution of Will 433 22.28 44.11% 0.001 0.3823 0.019
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 575 27.85 78.09% 0.644 -0.0297 1.319
The Border of Life and Death 125 22.03 63.2% 0.797 0.1962 0.358
Thriving Communities 2395 24.11 50.77% 0.507 0.7884 0.724
Thriving Crops 205 23.83 54.63% 0.366 0.2263 0.657
Unnatural Proliferation 2505 26.33 52.26% 0.143 0.3465 0.602
Untended Land Crumbles 2331 23.63 49.38% 0.389 0.5788 0.245

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 14516 50.91% 24.35 62.16% 0.252 1.2503 -0.06
B 13749 49.79% 24.93 62.84% 0.041 0.9636 0.078
C 15396 50.74% 25.04 62.99% 0.107 0.8359 0.022
D 13096 49.96% 24.37 61.88% -0.23 0.729 -0.138
E 13808 50.81% 25.69 63.4% 0.36 1.1787 0.06
F 11812 51.86% 25.14 62.45% 0.011 0.8927 0.201
G 10551 50.65% 25.29 63.37% -0.058 0.7671 0.027
H 10453 50.27% 25.29 63.22% 0.212 1.0513 0.041
East 2438 39.95% 25.51 53.36% -0.429 0.4461 -0.108
Northeast 1489 36.48% 25.57 53.53% 0.397 1.1486 -0.084
Northwest 1229 34.83% 24.77 49.39% -0.773 0.1194 -1.053
Southeast 1111 32.49% 22.59 48.24% 0.102 0.9412 -0.685
Southwest 1040 33.11% 20.59 43.37% -1.089 0.2154 -0.828
West 2160 38.52% 24.39 50.19% 0.086 1.0358 -0.606

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 735 0.0% 19.53 64.49% 0.052 0.7805 1.609
Not Using Events or Tokens 892 53.18% 18.24 69.84% -0.237 0.1085 -0.047
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1453 19.63% 34.55 77.63% 0.614 0.0117 1.095
Start of Game Growth 2075 22.34% 33.52 77.73% 0.488 -0.0156 0.61
Unlimited Undo 5706 44.73% 26.48 68.0% -0.018 -0.1254 0.547
Using Tokens but Not Events 6546 37.9% 19.44 68.01% -0.049 -0.0792 -0.455

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3500 34.36% 28.11 71.0% 0.106 0.0114 0.48
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 225 33.93% 25.17 59.11% 0.519 0.0433 0.456
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1720 51.06% 23.25 59.19% -0.347 -0.2348 0.115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 356 41.57% 25.75 55.06% 0.292 -0.5209 0.162
Dances Up Earthquakes 155 48.39% 23.44 50.32% 0.158 0.1491 -0.286
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1328 42.27% 25.86 70.48% 0.001 -0.1385 0.02
Downpour Drenches the World 1106 36.4% 22.49 55.42% 0.13 0.358 -0.129
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 649 38.98% 23.18 55.47% -0.677 -1.2464 -0.615
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1850 34.19% 27.83 74.59% 0.163 -0.2241 0.305
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1380 42.28% 28.4 71.45% 0.26 -0.1342 0.149
Finder of Paths Unseen 538 36.77% 19.8 46.1% -0.893 -0.165 0.039
Fractured Days Split the Sky 939 34.69% 28.05 60.06% -0.458 0.1828 -0.062
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1291 42.4% 23.96 61.35% -0.249 -0.3823 0.019
Heart of the Wildfire 1352 51.83% 23.48 55.84% -0.25 0.0792 0.154
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1900 40.37% 29.68 72.0% 0.258 -0.1658 0.735
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 290 31.38% 22.74 51.03% 0.48 0.1734 -0.008
Lightning's Swift Strike 840 48.76% 23.76 68.21% -0.055 0.1828 -0.731
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 255 55.29% 25.65 52.55% -0.002 -0.4098 -0.815
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 468 46.94% 26.51 66.88% 0.151 -0.1681 -0.007
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 609 43.14% 25.24 60.92% -0.39 -0.4704 0.151
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2104 45.41% 27.2 65.35% 0.128 -0.0644 0.002
Many Minds Move as One 1395 39.96% 27.09 68.6% 0.165 -0.0511 0.432
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2269 45.0% 27.14 63.46% -0.215 -0.0751 0.515
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 160 48.13% 22.8 55.0% -0.281 -0.2006 0.021
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1402 43.07% 25.75 65.69% -0.269 -0.3478 0.012
River Surges in Sunlight 1109 49.3% 29.01 70.06% 0.962 1.0878 -0.091
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 101 57.43% 23.36 37.62% -0.761 -0.5832 -0.254
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 658 44.55% 27.29 62.92% -0.133 0.1457 -0.813
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 382 41.27% 28.02 55.5% 0.368 0.2457 0.146
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1703 35.48% 28.34 65.65% 0.023 -0.1039 0.167
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 63 38.1% 27.51 58.73% 0.249 0.1368 0.883
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 346 59.41% 21.05 64.16% -0.275 0.241 -0.731
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 97 41.67% 20.35 50.52% -0.981 -0.9996 0.26
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 184 42.39% 27.51 65.22% 0.379 -0.1244 0.182
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 157 48.41% 25.02 59.24% 0.529 0.3371 0.336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 433 48.6% 26.03 70.9% -0.344 -0.4029 -0.078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 347 43.35% 23.26 67.44% -0.094 -0.0123 0.05
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1047 44.0% 28.65 69.15% 0.496 0.575 -0.065
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 271 34.69% 21.13 50.55% 0.115 -0.072 -0.177
Shifting Memory of Ages 1698 57.12% 25.07 56.6% -0.428 -0.1603 -0.697
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 166 40.61% 26.07 60.84% 0.364 0.2461 0.572
Starlight Seeks its Form 1225 40.16% 24.79 59.76% 0.083 -0.0346 0.467
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1833 45.39% 25.15 62.47% -0.183 -0.6963 -0.228
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1305 36.64% 27.16 67.13% 0.118 0.2358 0.246
Thunderspeaker 1277 43.43% 28.08 66.25% -0.522 -0.4897 0.512
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 229 40.17% 20.17 47.6% -0.131 -0.1178 0.155
Towering Roots of the Jungle 285 45.23% 23.24 58.95% -0.034 0.0957 -0.3
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1487 58.67% 23.18 55.75% -0.318 -0.1914 0.26
Vital Strength of the Earth 745 40.85% 22.63 67.65% 0.64 1.2395 -0.52
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 240 28.15% 19.26 49.17% 0.77 1.2635 -0.679
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 364 44.32% 24.47 61.54% 0.095 0.7932 -0.205
Volcano Looming High 1822 53.3% 24.38 61.42% -0.151 -0.103 -0.001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 495 35.83% 22.61 58.18% 0.394 0.1044 -0.516

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dissolving Vapors 94.19%
Flowing and Silent Forms Dart By 93.44%
The Fog Closes In 97.56%
Unnerving Pall 97.7%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12456 13.42 1.6%
II 14021 30.13 31.37%
III 19311 34.83 85.36%
IV 16999 38.67 99.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 199
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16262
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4220
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16903
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9234
Lose: Invader deck ran out 102
Lose: Adversary condition 4596
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 368
Win: Scenario condition 368
Lose: Blight pool ran out 10232
Lose: Spirit destroyed 225

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.051 Win Model: -0.161

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.156 Win Model: -0.029
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 35608 59.11% 22.76 57.79%
2 15049 52.2% 25.83 63.58%
3 6561 49.62% 26.81 64.24%
4 3694 37.24% 29.55 72.09%
5 478 35.13% 23.35 59.21%
6 1397 24.02% 19.37 51.75%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)