Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 34.21% 16.68 50.0% -0.744 -0.8838 -0.108
Blitz 0 308 43.56% 24.65 61.36% 0.412 0.5227 -0.318
Dahan Insurrection 4 387 29.46% 40.29 58.14% -0.6 -0.8351 0.164
Despicable Theft 2 247 52.63% 29.4 70.85% -0.135 0.5076 -0.519
Elemental Invocation 1 236 50.64% 23.27 58.05% -1.614 -0.8125 -1.335
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1314 21.24% 39.28 69.63% 0.695 -0.0787 0.92
Powers Long Forgotten 1 126 63.49% 23.77 50.79% -0.848 -0.0753 -0.071
Rituals of Terror 3 98 65.98% 31.52 44.9% 0.247 0.2631 0.154
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 48 60.42% 17.63 18.75% -1.564 -0.5068 -1.094
Second Wave 0 1346 46.47% 25.14 71.03% -0.067 0.0132 0.003
The Great River 3 80 51.25% 20.45 31.25% -1.121 0.0074 -1.166
Varied Terrains 2 88 62.5% 20.2 39.77% -0.467 0.2247 -0.353
Ward the Shores 2 147 55.78% 27.95 53.74% -0.607 0.2555 -0.708

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 25081 62.09% 25.07 63.99% -0.105 0.0957 -0.138
1 Thematic 715 55.84% 25.43 52.17% 0.02 0.7393 -0.956
2 Archipelago 47 57.45% 28.47 72.34% 0.761 1.0154 0.483
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7285 56.77% 27.56 66.07% 0.249 0.2569 -0.233
2 Coastline 845 50.06% 28.58 71.6% 0.236 0.0313 0.372
2 Fragment 219 61.93% 22.86 59.82% 0.131 -0.1464 -0.73
2 Heart 128 52.38% 28.36 68.75% 0.035 -0.1856 0.981
2 Opposite Shores 1656 47.36% 26.83 71.26% -0.186 -0.1285 -0.309
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.2501 0.0
2 Thematic 406 53.35% 28.06 64.53% -0.533 -0.0812 -0.114
2 Top to Top 213 52.36% 29.15 71.36% -0.346 -0.4434 0.441
3 Archipelago 24 75.0% 46.29 66.67% 1.195 0.4039 1.163
3 Coastline 32 64.52% 27.38 71.88% -0.576 -1.1428 0.95
3 Other 144 45.07% 27.7 79.86% -0.487 -0.5157 0.574
3 Round (Default) 4018 52.33% 29.11 67.5% -0.105 -0.331 -0.117
3 Sunrise 19 52.63% 29.21 78.95% 0.0 -0.9848 0.0
3 Thematic 147 53.06% 29.22 57.14% -0.608 -0.4113 -1.193
4 Archipelago 44 59.09% 30.66 65.91% 0.297 -0.8892 0.706
4 Coastline 16 37.5% 24.5 62.5% 0.0 -0.5864 -0.491
4 Leaf 16 56.25% 32.06 68.75% 0.71 0.0111 -0.25
4 Other 82 43.21% 29.04 79.27% 1.314 -0.0437 0.225
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1795 0.0
4 Thematic 343 27.7% 43.69 74.64% 0.954 0.7558 0.105
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2099 36.48% 30.47 77.94% 0.368 0.1246 -0.107
5 Archipelago 10 50.0% 27.2 50.0% 0.0 0.3165 -0.43
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 23.86 85.71% 0.235 0.4282 0.0
5 Other 261 35.63% 28.86 74.33% 1.189 0.1322 0.969
5 Thematic 30 33.33% 30.83 60.0% -0.475 -0.9531 -0.251
6 Archipelago 17 11.76% 24.71 70.59% 0.427 -0.3099 0.0
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 24.6 60.0% -0.117 -0.3579 0.0
6 Other 99 29.17% 28.54 78.79% -0.068 -0.8049 -0.015
6 Star 47 34.04% 23.43 59.57% -0.84 -0.8969 0.545
6 Thematic 232 26.52% 21.16 42.24% -1.124 -0.3695 -1.346
6 Two Centers (Default) 351 24.35% 23.41 66.1% -0.877 -1.4569 -0.738
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.001 -0.2243 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0521 -0.034
7 Other 10 33.33% 25.8 50.0% -0.677 -1.089 -0.092

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1699 27.59 53.38% 0.205 0.3648 0.575
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1518 29.39 56.26% 0.649 0.5623 0.541
All Things Weaken 1961 27.09 54.97% 0.042 0.384 0.666
Attenuated Essence 148 26.46 52.03% 0.693 0.7675 0.296
Back Against the Wall 1471 28.24 53.37% 0.415 0.4902 0.396
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 161 21.63 38.51% -0.131 0.0595 0.006
Burn Brightest Before the End 117 27.64 55.56% 0.495 0.6192 0.268
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1595 24.28 48.59% 0.353 0.7254 0.14
Downward Spiral 2014 25.78 59.14% 0.24 0.3765 0.463
Erosion of Will 1687 26.24 51.04% 0.26 0.5543 0.262
Intensifying Exploitation 159 21.82 38.99% 0.241 0.4795 -0.315
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 684 29.06 77.49% 0.45 -0.0824 0.481
Memory Fades to Dust 2006 24.97 56.98% 0.394 0.6744 0.418
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1859 25.66 53.9% 0.482 0.6353 0.176
Promising Farmlands 1608 26.22 51.8% 0.275 0.6215 0.118
Shattered Fragments of Power 111 27.26 50.45% 0.579 0.774 0.025
Slow Dissolution of Will 156 22.03 42.31% 0.17 0.6217 -0.155
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 458 29.61 81.88% 1.055 0.3144 1.01
The Border of Life and Death 41 24.98 68.29% 1.48 1.0469 0.703
Thriving Communities 1869 25.18 52.17% 0.251 0.5499 0.488
Thriving Crops 72 24.83 50.0% 0.999 0.8962 0.109
Unnatural Proliferation 1957 27.35 53.96% 0.461 0.606 0.324
Untended Land Crumbles 1785 25.02 51.32% 0.207 0.5066 0.003

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 9963 53.47% 26.39 67.35% -0.109 0.8848 0.003
B 9630 52.42% 27.01 67.65% 0.055 0.9735 0.165
C 10780 53.23% 27.27 67.9% 0.078 0.8207 0.085
D 9094 52.38% 26.63 67.26% -0.103 0.8485 -0.069
E 9715 53.61% 27.9 67.42% 0.239 1.0199 0.051
F 8265 54.58% 27.39 67.25% 0.044 0.9361 0.285
G 7465 52.96% 27.46 68.4% 0.157 1.0121 0.126
H 7403 52.44% 27.38 68.3% 0.244 1.0923 0.087
East 1451 43.04% 30.7 60.3% -0.479 0.2898 0.446
Northeast 858 37.7% 30.94 60.61% 0.393 1.1805 -0.778
Northwest 740 36.46% 30.83 59.05% 0.12 1.1036 -0.738
Southeast 650 35.34% 27.79 55.54% -0.89 -0.0151 -1.398
Southwest 610 37.07% 25.91 50.82% -0.635 0.5724 -0.85
West 1286 41.25% 30.26 58.48% -0.274 0.6601 -0.436

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 499 0.0% 22.99 72.14% -0.54 0.0897 1.171
Not Using Events or Tokens 595 56.49% 20.58 83.19% -1.426 -0.9197 0.348
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1082 21.82% 36.43 83.36% 0.465 -0.1703 0.969
Start of Game Growth 1511 23.89% 35.75 83.92% 0.492 0.1024 0.546
Unlimited Undo 4288 47.8% 28.77 73.37% -0.153 -0.1084 0.623
Using Tokens but Not Events 4365 39.55% 21.54 74.46% -0.12 -0.1467 -0.381

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2582 100.0% 30.79 100.0% 0.419 0.2962 0.673
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1284 103.35% 26.0 102.18% -0.435 -0.1942 0.145
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 62 30.65% 25.06 54.84% 0.572 -0.4295 -0.625
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 952 100.0% 28.2 100.0% 0.718 0.4913 -0.005
Downpour Drenches the World 545 100.0% 24.84 100.0% -0.174 0.1515 -0.062
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 331 100.0% 25.65 100.0% 0.444 -0.0558 0.183
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1351 100.0% 29.71 100.0% 0.5 0.0397 0.51
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 949 100.0% 30.35 100.0% 0.671 0.2413 0.085
Finder of Paths Unseen 281 100.0% 22.75 100.0% -0.567 0.2556 0.374
Fractured Days Split the Sky 628 100.0% 32.38 100.0% -0.288 0.3095 0.192
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 803 100.0% 26.95 100.0% -0.012 -0.0129 0.056
Heart of the Wildfire 898 100.0% 26.44 100.0% -0.212 0.172 0.198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1498 102.07% 31.6 101.13% 0.297 -0.1977 0.605
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 39 20.51% 19.97 56.41% 0.425 -0.1222 0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike 541 183.0% 26.63 154.53% 0.068 0.2506 -0.284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 134 63.43% 26.83 53.73% 0.394 -0.1426 -1.047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 346 48.52% 28.87 73.7% -0.505 -0.7962 0.259
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 414 42.44% 27.07 65.7% 0.686 0.5377 -0.011
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1604 100.0% 28.95 100.0% 0.279 0.0273 0.123
Many Minds Move as One 918 100.0% 30.48 100.0% -0.084 -0.241 0.96
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1568 100.0% 30.16 100.0% -0.482 -0.4718 0.531
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 996 100.0% 28.31 100.0% 0.259 0.1129 -0.093
River Surges in Sunlight 849 144.87% 31.58 129.92% 0.812 0.8497 -0.093
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 516 46.56% 29.92 67.25% 0.469 0.7293 -0.933
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 205 44.33% 33.06 58.54% 0.111 0.0603 -0.225
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1254 100.0% 31.17 100.0% 0.144 -0.03 0.07
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 238 276.73% 22.54 206.72% -1.064 -0.4514 -0.593
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 43.33% 25.61 65.57% -0.562 -0.4579 0.216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 29 41.38% 19.34 34.48% -0.339 -0.9204 -0.097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 46.81% 25.37 60.64% -0.255 -0.2085 0.437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 351 48.84% 27.5 73.79% -0.051 0.0297 -0.116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 290 46.37% 24.67 70.69% 0.037 0.2454 -0.027
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 789 108.11% 31.68 107.73% 0.066 0.1453 0.18
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 101 36.63% 18.32 39.6% -1.227 -1.5499 -1.097
Shifting Memory of Ages 1320 100.0% 26.85 100.0% -0.126 0.1397 -0.808
Starlight Seeks its Form 751 100.0% 27.38 100.0% 0.49 0.2618 0.149
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1274 100.0% 27.55 100.0% -0.256 -0.6121 -0.114
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 926 100.0% 30.72 100.0% 0.083 0.2163 0.261
Thunderspeaker 922 106.94% 30.59 105.86% -0.785 -0.7557 0.681
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 36.0% 20.5 46.0% -0.055 0.185 0.006
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1032 100.0% 25.63 100.0% -0.324 -0.1338 0.321
Vital Strength of the Earth 478 145.44% 23.66 127.41% -0.407 0.1501 -0.279
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 29.36% 23.89 60.91% -0.441 -0.0315 0.189
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 256 43.87% 25.78 65.63% 0.525 1.2536 -0.311
Volcano Looming High 1369 100.0% 26.73 100.0% -0.263 -0.2443 -0.157
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 67 100.0% 23.63 100.0% 0.529 -0.0652 -0.535

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dissolving Vapors 94.06%
Flowing and Silent Forms Dart By 93.19%
The Fog Closes In 97.51%
Unnerving Pall 97.64%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6420 17.67 2.65%
II 10327 30.7 33.23%
III 14800 34.75 85.58%
IV 13108 38.22 99.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 170
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12484
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3286
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13036
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3210
Lose: Invader deck ran out 77
Lose: Adversary condition 3626
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 308
Win: Scenario condition 303
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7916
Lose: Spirit destroyed 178

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.999 Win Model: -0.172

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.154 Win Model: 0.079
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 25886 61.88% 25.08 63.57%
2 10814 54.73% 27.57 67.4%
3 4310 52.23% 29.1 67.87%
4 2647 35.71% 32.27 77.41%
5 259 34.82% 25.95 67.95%
6 739 25.17% 23.29 60.35%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)