Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 44.0% 19.84 56.0% 0.147 0.068 0.0
Blitz 0 244 47.7% 26.24 65.16% -0.565 -0.4185 -0.365
Dahan Insurrection 4 309 31.72% 46.37 66.34% -0.411 -0.6185 0.18
Despicable Theft 2 216 54.17% 31.02 75.0% 0.496 1.179 -0.24
Elemental Invocation 1 197 54.08% 26.26 67.01% -0.252 0.4793 -1.253
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1135 21.33% 40.8 72.42% 0.203 -0.4031 0.888
Powers Long Forgotten 1 94 68.09% 26.96 58.51% -0.692 -0.2041 0.022
Rituals of Terror 3 69 77.94% 31.06 46.38% -0.311 -0.2058 -0.366
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 82.76% 26.93 31.03% -0.942 0.0502 -0.836
Second Wave 0 1109 47.49% 26.03 72.86% 0.517 0.5793 -0.109
The Great River 3 59 59.32% 23.22 37.29% -1.5 -0.1522 -0.757
Varied Terrains 2 47 68.09% 22.98 46.81% -0.456 0.107 -0.549
Ward the Shores 2 119 62.18% 31.31 58.82% 0.108 1.3177 -0.408

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 21367 63.4% 26.43 67.45% 0.08 0.2898 -0.019
1 Thematic 583 60.79% 27.33 55.57% -0.305 0.2941 -0.871
2 Archipelago 41 53.66% 27.41 68.29% -0.088 0.2692 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6140 58.48% 28.91 68.63% 0.233 0.3931 -0.19
2 Coastline 698 50.8% 30.47 74.36% -0.325 -0.2643 0.496
2 Fragment 171 60.59% 24.05 64.33% 0.232 0.1682 -0.775
2 Heart 111 51.35% 29.52 72.07% 0.162 -0.0761 1.203
2 Opposite Shores 1356 46.17% 27.65 76.03% -0.361 -0.2274 -0.468
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.356 0.8875 0.0
2 Thematic 337 55.69% 30.5 70.62% -0.245 0.3916 0.008
2 Top to Top 180 50.28% 31.13 76.11% 1.094 1.1348 0.418
3 Archipelago 17 82.35% 34.12 58.82% 0.114 -0.9724 0.889
3 Coastline 27 61.54% 27.56 74.07% 0.83 0.3318 0.866
3 Other 126 47.58% 29.04 84.92% 0.451 0.5607 0.779
3 Round (Default) 3103 52.25% 30.88 72.93% 0.054 0.0129 0.041
3 Sunrise 17 47.06% 30.76 76.47% 0.0 0.1962 0.0
3 Thematic 119 57.14% 32.27 66.39% 0.638 0.6742 -0.986
4 Archipelago 42 57.14% 30.12 66.67% 0.724 0.5094 0.153
4 Coastline 16 37.5% 24.5 62.5% -0.375 -0.2525 -0.459
4 Leaf 11 45.45% 33.55 72.73% 0.144 -0.2315 0.0
4 Other 73 45.21% 30.25 82.19% 0.556 -0.2936 -0.03
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.541 0.1564 0.0
4 Thematic 322 27.95% 44.79 76.4% -0.236 -0.2534 0.043
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1782 37.44% 31.73 81.03% 0.061 -0.1252 0.007
5 Archipelago 9 55.56% 30.22 55.56% 0.0 -1.2256 -0.407
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 27.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.0429 0.0
5 Other 178 36.14% 31.49 78.09% -0.495 -1.003 1.024
5 Thematic 25 36.0% 32.44 68.0% -0.206 -0.5363 -0.302
6 Archipelago 11 18.18% 32.73 90.91% 0.0 -0.305 0.0
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.67 66.67% -0.057 -0.7009 0.0
6 Other 76 31.08% 29.24 84.21% 0.343 -0.0515 -0.369
6 Star 32 28.13% 27.84 71.88% -0.46 0.0153 0.216
6 Thematic 136 34.81% 28.94 56.62% -1.214 -0.8155 -1.432
6 Two Centers (Default) 222 29.36% 29.0 81.08% -1.072 -1.0281 0.432
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.424 -1.0133 0.0
7 Other 7 50.0% 36.86 71.43% -0.061 -0.8341 -0.296

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1504 28.1 53.92% 0.175 0.446 0.303
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1355 29.79 57.05% -0.207 -0.1685 0.302
All Things Weaken 1725 27.52 56.7% -0.031 0.4296 0.405
Attenuated Essence 48 24.52 60.42% 0.719 0.9247 -0.608
Back Against the Wall 1321 28.61 53.67% 0.485 0.6464 0.103
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 23.14 37.25% -0.084 0.3309 -0.086
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 30.86 68.97% 0.883 1.1873 0.767
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1389 24.7 48.96% -0.238 0.2889 -0.143
Downward Spiral 1758 26.47 60.75% 0.182 0.5351 0.18
Erosion of Will 1483 27.06 52.66% 0.535 0.9434 -0.013
Intensifying Exploitation 42 22.33 40.48% -0.23 0.1571 -0.477
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 593 30.33 80.44% 0.757 0.2314 0.3
Memory Fades to Dust 1752 25.66 58.33% 0.03 0.5117 0.121
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1635 26.21 54.8% 0.02 0.3247 -0.164
Promising Farmlands 1415 26.61 52.51% -0.138 0.4477 -0.151
Shattered Fragments of Power 26 23.81 38.46% -0.048 0.1307 -0.39
Slow Dissolution of Will 44 19.41 38.64% -0.164 0.3698 -0.951
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 402 30.4 83.08% 1.236 0.5579 0.671
The Border of Life and Death 13 17.69 61.54% 0.285 0.1558 -0.206
Thriving Communities 1637 25.88 53.7% 0.265 0.7579 0.16
Thriving Crops 16 20.81 50.0% 0.269 0.3574 -0.226
Unnatural Proliferation 1738 27.83 54.89% 0.247 0.5439 0.07
Untended Land Crumbles 1565 25.83 53.1% 0.324 0.6818 -0.223

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8128 54.81% 27.98 71.6% 0.285 1.1252 0.063
B 7836 53.73% 28.54 71.85% 0.116 0.8947 0.199
C 8901 54.61% 28.64 71.55% 0.255 0.9088 0.092
D 7392 54.07% 28.21 71.37% -0.031 0.7681 0.01
E 8093 55.19% 29.36 70.64% 0.087 0.7154 0.07
F 6828 56.04% 29.04 71.44% 0.487 1.2068 0.337
G 6172 53.91% 28.88 72.2% 0.451 1.1925 0.191
H 6149 53.8% 28.78 72.17% 0.396 1.0446 0.088
East 1173 46.32% 34.37 67.43% -0.065 0.5392 0.521
Northeast 682 41.24% 35.27 68.77% -0.563 0.318 -0.786
Northwest 580 40.97% 35.28 66.55% 0.252 0.9249 -0.987
Southeast 489 40.78% 32.84 65.85% -0.25 0.3867 -1.238
Southwest 447 43.15% 30.94 61.07% -0.282 0.8822 -0.827
West 1028 45.26% 33.97 65.66% -0.66 0.3038 -0.224

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 418 0.0% 25.39 77.99% -0.656 0.2275 0.765
Not Using Events or Tokens 515 57.97% 22.04 89.13% 0.322 0.6537 0.438
Skip Initial Invader Actions 942 21.33% 38.44 87.26% 0.339 -0.1954 0.876
Start of Game Growth 1274 22.93% 38.4 88.85% 0.476 0.1455 0.651
Unlimited Undo 3537 47.58% 30.95 79.87% 0.072 0.0496 0.738
Using Tokens but Not Events 3549 39.31% 23.15 80.56% 0.035 -0.0187 -0.036

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2135 100.0% 32.52 100.0% 0.132 -0.0277 0.636
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 990 100.0% 28.93 100.0% -0.438 -0.3165 0.244
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 776 100.0% 30.16 100.0% 0.321 0.1531 0.173
Downpour Drenches the World 340 100.0% 28.37 100.0% 0.042 0.2206 0.328
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 147 100.0% 26.76 100.0% 0.58 -0.1409 0.228
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1136 100.0% 31.18 100.0% 0.372 -0.2166 0.37
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 773 100.0% 32.44 100.0% 0.48 0.0092 0.1
Finder of Paths Unseen 150 100.0% 29.59 100.0% -0.309 0.3849 0.698
Fractured Days Split the Sky 511 100.0% 35.57 100.0% -0.909 -0.2245 -0.011
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 625 100.0% 28.9 100.0% -0.142 -0.2427 -0.085
Heart of the Wildfire 666 100.0% 28.34 100.0% -0.284 -0.0394 0.086
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1306 100.0% 33.17 100.0% 0.165 -0.2845 0.488
Lightning's Swift Strike 429 177.45% 28.07 138.23% 0.215 0.4186 -0.322
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 63 61.9% 30.86 74.6% 0.189 -0.5073 -0.279
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 277 49.63% 31.89 79.42% 0.278 0.038 0.218
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 333 45.45% 30.24 72.67% 0.794 0.6337 0.124
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1325 100.0% 30.68 100.0% -0.244 -0.3891 0.003
Many Minds Move as One 753 100.0% 32.12 100.0% 0.403 0.1822 0.833
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1269 100.0% 32.91 100.0% -0.645 -0.6541 0.513
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 808 100.0% 29.91 100.0% 0.554 0.4127 -0.32
River Surges in Sunlight 729 141.25% 33.05 125.79% -0.193 -0.1907 -0.08
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 449 45.82% 31.24 69.04% 0.93 1.2001 -1.184
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 125 47.97% 35.09 60.8% 0.023 -0.106 -0.492
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1060 100.0% 32.65 100.0% 0.352 0.1385 0.055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 195 254.5% 25.14 184.1% 0.981 1.4173 -0.594
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 55.56% 26.27 64.86% 0.093 0.0923 -0.583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 54.0% 29.78 76.0% -0.379 -0.3876 0.118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 307 51.16% 28.82 76.87% -0.25 -0.3224 -0.313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 244 50.0% 25.54 72.13% -0.894 -0.8353 0.026
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 694 103.75% 32.78 103.17% 0.384 0.2553 0.118
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 41 36.59% 18.17 46.34% -0.171 -0.5335 -0.747
Shifting Memory of Ages 1153 100.0% 28.09 100.0% -0.101 0.3062 -0.845
Starlight Seeks its Form 540 100.0% 30.15 100.0% -0.176 -0.4485 0.1
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1036 100.0% 29.22 100.0% -0.179 -0.6741 -0.102
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 763 100.0% 32.88 100.0% 0.564 0.5941 0.417
Thunderspeaker 753 103.72% 33.12 103.19% 1.024 1.0054 0.707
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 31.71% 19.1 41.46% -0.671 -0.7346 -0.243
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 768 100.0% 27.22 100.0% -0.543 -0.4815 0.216
Vital Strength of the Earth 384 141.3% 25.02 123.18% -1.474 -0.9211 0.032
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 63 31.75% 26.32 68.25% 0.12 0.3763 0.289
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 214 45.54% 27.05 67.76% -0.435 0.4618 -0.781
Volcano Looming High 1177 100.0% 27.98 100.0% -0.368 -0.3579 -0.037

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dissolving Vapors 94.07%
Flowing and Silent Forms Dart By 93.11%
The Fog Closes In 97.48%
Unnerving Pall 97.58%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4025 21.03 3.9%
II 8790 31.04 34.98%
III 12965 34.74 85.94%
IV 11566 38.02 99.74%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 157
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10980
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2941
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11506
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 872
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 3183
Win: Sacrifice victory 52
Lose: Scenario condition 265
Win: Scenario condition 274
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6898
Lose: Spirit destroyed 148

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.034 Win Model: -0.191

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.158 Win Model: 0.172
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 22011 63.35% 26.46 67.08%
2 9063 55.72% 28.89 70.44%
3 3342 52.27% 30.84 73.4%
4 2300 36.32% 33.56 79.96%
5 162 38.16% 28.74 73.46%
6 468 29.78% 28.9 75.0%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)