Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 54 31.48% 18.96 51.85% 0.306 0.0859 0.296
Blitz 0 383 41.53% 23.13 58.49% 0.519 0.806 -0.695
Dahan Insurrection 4 464 28.66% 37.3 52.8% -0.167 -0.282 0.111
Despicable Theft 2 286 50.35% 27.44 65.38% -0.345 0.3935 -0.359
Elemental Invocation 1 280 49.1% 21.74 53.93% -1.154 -0.3976 -1.262
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1470 21.19% 38.38 68.71% 0.116 -0.4656 1.061
Powers Long Forgotten 1 166 59.39% 21.22 45.18% -0.531 0.3223 -0.492
Rituals of Terror 3 124 60.16% 28.78 44.35% -0.516 -0.6864 0.229
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 67 53.73% 15.06 13.43% -0.306 0.6047 -1.081
Second Wave 0 1674 44.33% 24.7 69.95% 0.184 0.2635 0.512
The Great River 3 106 43.4% 17.78 27.36% -0.404 0.9597 -1.342
Varied Terrains 2 112 60.71% 18.42 36.61% -0.446 0.433 -0.301
Ward the Shores 2 184 50.54% 24.6 46.74% -1.363 -0.3816 -1.048

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 28957 60.89% 23.89 60.99% -0.457 -0.1135 -0.116
1 Thematic 896 51.69% 22.85 47.77% -0.418 0.1092 -1.048
2 Archipelago 59 59.32% 29.8 71.19% 1.164 1.6633 0.503
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8428 55.19% 26.65 64.3% 0.123 0.4077 -0.149
2 Coastline 984 49.02% 27.03 68.9% 0.02 0.0493 0.551
2 Fragment 260 57.75% 23.16 59.62% 0.118 -0.1195 -0.095
2 Heart 166 50.31% 26.36 64.46% 0.956 0.8084 0.295
2 Opposite Shores 1890 47.31% 26.34 69.63% 0.145 0.204 -0.168
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 562 49.37% 25.1 57.47% -0.766 -0.3958 -0.406
2 Top to Top 256 52.16% 28.21 69.53% 0.265 0.3882 0.287
3 Archipelago 27 77.78% 45.04 62.96% 0.0 -0.7975 1.144
3 Coastline 38 54.05% 25.16 65.79% 0.081 -0.4682 1.352
3 Other 182 43.58% 25.82 76.37% -0.153 -0.6904 0.524
3 Round (Default) 4799 50.81% 28.3 66.49% 0.275 0.1824 0.099
3 Sunrise 24 54.17% 26.54 75.0% -0.511 -0.3597 0.0
3 Thematic 267 49.06% 25.88 63.67% 0.842 0.3238 -1.104
4 Archipelago 48 56.25% 30.96 66.67% 0.0 0.433 0.845
4 Coastline 23 34.78% 23.17 60.87% 0.202 -0.5583 -0.234
4 Leaf 20 55.0% 28.95 70.0% -0.216 -0.4273 -0.204
4 Other 96 42.11% 27.96 76.04% 0.434 0.4415 0.072
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 38.0 0.0% -0.234 -0.3045 -0.498
4 Thematic 397 29.47% 40.55 71.28% 0.064 0.1975 0.244
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2555 37.24% 29.11 74.52% 0.689 0.7958 -0.228
5 Archipelago 12 45.45% 22.67 41.67% -0.445 -0.2769 -0.329
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 23.89 88.89% 0.0 -0.5066 0.0
5 Other 361 32.85% 27.24 70.64% -0.252 -0.7668 0.167
5 Thematic 37 27.03% 25.0 48.65% -0.104 -1.0863 -0.216
6 Archipelago 18 11.11% 23.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.7298 0.0
6 Coastline 7 14.29% 23.86 57.14% 0.0 -1.0392 0.0
6 Other 124 26.45% 25.73 73.39% 0.112 0.7468 0.052
6 Star 49 32.65% 22.47 57.14% 0.0 0.2446 0.701
6 Thematic 351 26.07% 17.72 35.04% -1.148 -0.8249 -1.352
6 Two Centers (Default) 507 25.4% 22.19 62.72% -0.433 -0.5362 -0.774
7 Archipelago 5 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.494 0.0977 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 -0.02
7 Other 12 27.27% 21.5 41.67% 0.149 -1.2882 0.075

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1876 27.37 52.88% 0.991 1.0946 0.735
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1683 29.24 56.21% 0.556 0.4112 0.753
All Things Weaken 2211 26.56 54.27% 0.426 0.792 0.836
Attenuated Essence 258 23.84 48.84% 0.191 0.1893 0.497
Back Against the Wall 1604 28.02 53.12% 0.185 0.2497 0.597
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 280 21.56 39.64% 0.591 0.8258 0.233
Burn Brightest Before the End 219 27.74 56.16% 1.28 1.4404 0.48
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1784 23.81 47.7% 0.148 0.5241 0.33
Downward Spiral 2261 25.49 58.82% 1.006 1.0782 0.69
Erosion of Will 1881 25.88 50.56% 0.217 0.4733 0.494
Intensifying Exploitation 279 22.11 42.29% 0.632 0.9061 0.026
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 757 28.54 76.22% 0.568 0.0813 0.681
Memory Fades to Dust 2255 24.42 56.01% 0.463 0.646 0.532
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2106 25.21 53.18% 0.462 0.675 0.374
Promising Farmlands 1800 25.59 50.89% -0.281 0.0419 0.236
Shattered Fragments of Power 191 26.39 49.74% -0.405 -0.2347 -0.144
Slow Dissolution of Will 261 21.35 42.91% 0.57 0.9543 -0.381
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 507 28.96 81.46% 1.113 0.4367 1.154
The Border of Life and Death 78 21.85 64.1% 0.205 -0.3111 0.25
Thriving Communities 2099 24.51 51.17% -0.025 0.2992 0.643
Thriving Crops 120 23.8 52.5% 0.914 0.9151 0.203
Unnatural Proliferation 2222 26.9 53.11% 0.221 0.4079 0.523
Untended Land Crumbles 2031 24.26 50.27% 0.04 0.379 0.112

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11913 51.76% 25.43 64.85% 0.386 1.2489 -0.048
B 11405 51.04% 26.0 65.34% 0.115 0.9365 0.112
C 12792 51.76% 26.15 65.46% 0.1 0.7982 0.065
D 10828 50.96% 25.48 64.69% -0.187 0.6692 -0.088
E 11449 52.1% 26.77 65.33% 0.526 1.214 0.043
F 9782 52.97% 26.22 64.96% -0.107 0.7105 0.256
G 8821 51.67% 26.31 65.85% 0.126 1.0063 0.086
H 8612 51.35% 26.52 66.37% 0.026 0.8061 0.063
East 1981 41.05% 26.92 55.58% 0.883 1.6758 0.208
Northeast 1207 36.69% 26.94 56.01% -0.355 0.5255 -0.574
Northwest 1001 35.84% 26.56 52.15% -0.404 0.467 -0.898
Southeast 887 33.22% 24.09 49.83% -0.555 0.304 -1.261
Southwest 831 34.78% 22.19 44.89% -0.698 0.511 -0.797
West 1752 40.09% 26.21 52.97% -0.4 0.6602 -0.559

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 570 0.0% 21.56 69.3% -0.765 -0.0491 1.553
Not Using Events or Tokens 699 53.93% 19.09 76.97% 0.012 0.4855 0.437
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1231 21.08% 36.11 81.23% 0.452 -0.115 0.893
Start of Game Growth 1738 22.57% 35.0 81.53% 0.438 -0.2267 0.91
Unlimited Undo 4851 46.52% 27.72 70.75% -0.134 -0.1107 0.583
Using Tokens but Not Events 5311 38.47% 20.46 71.66% 0.25 0.2974 -0.447

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3046 34.68% 29.21 73.15% 0.159 -0.0379 0.469
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 56 37.5% 23.05 44.64% -0.253 -0.9676 -0.157
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1490 52.21% 24.42 60.81% -0.644 -0.3756 0.106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 205 39.51% 25.16 55.12% 0.041 -0.5269 -0.337
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1111 41.87% 27.18 73.63% 0.036 -0.0949 -0.012
Downpour Drenches the World 812 37.08% 22.89 55.54% -0.063 0.2063 -0.126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 476 38.24% 23.62 56.72% -0.675 -1.1067 -0.092
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1569 34.28% 28.89 76.93% 0.295 -0.1278 0.437
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1150 43.73% 29.61 74.7% 0.462 0.017 0.191
Finder of Paths Unseen 428 37.32% 20.43 47.2% -0.095 0.5623 0.104
Fractured Days Split the Sky 788 34.96% 29.85 63.71% 0.494 1.3024 0.031
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1083 44.75% 25.23 64.45% -0.01 -0.127 0.086
Heart of the Wildfire 1131 52.63% 24.43 57.38% -0.773 -0.4854 0.106
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1672 41.25% 30.75 74.16% -0.061 -0.4543 0.737
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 157 26.75% 21.66 48.41% -0.938 -1.3423 0.35
Lightning's Swift Strike 685 46.72% 24.96 70.8% 0.675 0.9425 -0.512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 185 57.84% 26.71 54.05% 0.005 -0.3467 -0.938
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 386 48.54% 28.28 71.5% -0.239 -0.6799 0.331
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 483 42.38% 26.62 64.39% -0.046 -0.0888 0.176
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1836 46.48% 28.25 67.21% 0.418 0.1671 0.102
Many Minds Move as One 1138 40.43% 28.47 71.09% -0.322 -0.5526 0.511
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1894 45.94% 28.62 66.37% 0.073 -0.0315 0.545
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1186 43.94% 26.9 68.13% -0.224 -0.3801 0.074
River Surges in Sunlight 975 49.84% 30.22 72.31% 0.123 0.2118 -0.167
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 17 23.53% 27.59 64.71% 0.553 0.4408 0.535
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 580 45.55% 28.56 65.34% -0.667 -0.2768 -0.99
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 273 44.07% 29.57 55.31% -0.273 -0.1352 -0.14
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1457 36.28% 29.73 68.43% 0.054 -0.1395 0.185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 277 58.97% 22.13 67.51% 0.194 0.6796 -0.646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 41.33% 21.83 53.95% -1.394 -1.3381 0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 115 36.52% 28.23 64.35% 1.592 1.1238 0.14
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 124 49.19% 25.29 59.68% -0.488 -0.272 0.684
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 388 49.09% 26.59 72.16% 0.161 0.1899 -0.135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 321 44.38% 23.79 68.22% -0.109 0.0635 -0.022
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 917 43.87% 29.74 71.1% 0.149 -0.0035 -0.111
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 165 36.97% 20.79 49.7% -0.031 -0.2301 -0.693
Shifting Memory of Ages 1507 58.69% 26.03 57.73% 0.327 0.7756 -0.712
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 49 53.06% 30.78 69.39% 0.633 0.3284 0.586
Starlight Seeks its Form 935 41.52% 26.18 62.46% 0.134 0.0792 0.334
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1541 44.96% 26.8 66.06% 0.169 -0.4538 -0.149
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1070 38.51% 29.04 70.75% 0.135 0.3282 0.198
Thunderspeaker 1082 42.95% 29.75 68.67% 0.23 0.1764 0.578
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 161 41.61% 20.05 45.96% 0.187 0.321 0.111
Towering Roots of the Jungle 109 45.79% 25.04 60.55% 0.41 0.4191 -0.42
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1254 60.45% 24.26 58.37% -0.166 -0.0834 0.225
Vital Strength of the Earth 631 40.0% 23.11 68.78% 0.054 0.6482 -0.369
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 182 27.07% 20.33 51.1% -0.921 -0.4813 -0.41
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 290 43.21% 25.16 64.48% -0.1 0.5917 -0.142
Volcano Looming High 1570 54.01% 25.55 63.89% -0.182 -0.078 -0.068
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 274 32.6% 24.61 64.96% 0.873 0.6209 -0.753

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dissolving Vapors 94.15%
Flowing and Silent Forms Dart By 93.25%
The Fog Closes In 97.56%
Unnerving Pall 97.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9028 15.45 2.07%
II 11891 30.45 32.33%
III 16744 34.8 85.4%
IV 14768 38.47 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3685
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14687
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5804
Lose: Invader deck ran out 94
Lose: Adversary condition 4069
Win: Sacrifice victory 66
Lose: Scenario condition 335
Win: Scenario condition 330
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8871
Lose: Spirit destroyed 202

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.956 Win Model: -0.173

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.253 Win Model: -0.028
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 30001 60.51% 23.83 60.45%
2 12576 53.42% 26.67 65.48%
3 5264 50.53% 28.1 66.89%
4 3178 36.55% 30.65 74.17%
5 391 33.51% 24.02 59.85%
6 1021 24.21% 21.09 56.12%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)