Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 34 26.47% 16.24 58.82% -0.831 -0.9098 -0.822
Blitz 0 357 30.42% 35.17 78.99% 0.211 0.3575 -0.467
Dahan Insurrection 4 441 66.89% 54.58 33.11% -0.094 -0.3009 -0.783
Despicable Theft 2 98 57.14% 31.15 57.14% -0.509 0.1737 -1.045
Elemental Invocation 1 187 54.55% 26.48 55.61% -1.039 -0.3071 -1.149
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1455 16.31% 39.49 68.87% -0.079 -0.6852 0.328
Powers Long Forgotten 1 77 67.53% 24.94 48.05% -0.943 -0.4549 -1.401
Rituals of Terror 3 84 64.29% 42.92 51.19% -0.244 -0.139 -0.711
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 74 75.68% 30.64 56.76% -0.52 0.4722 0.399
Second Wave 0 967 39.1% 25.94 76.11% -0.117 -0.0548 -0.085
The Great River 3 70 41.43% 28.06 41.43% -0.903 0.4448 -1.009
Varied Terrains 2 69 63.77% 27.65 50.72% 0.244 0.8065 -1.306
Ward the Shores 2 120 49.17% 26.22 41.67% -0.896 0.3135 -0.997

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 14423 58.53% 26.6 65.73% -0.429 -0.2192 -0.61
1 Thematic 536 59.7% 25.53 54.1% 0.541 1.1394 -0.463
2 Archipelago 102 59.8% 36.57 75.49% -0.084 0.2728 -0.599
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6271 54.53% 32.25 69.13% -0.528 -0.368 -0.826
2 Coastline 1009 45.27% 31.47 72.84% -0.144 -0.0833 -0.597
2 Fragment 172 55.95% 30.66 72.67% 0.882 0.8188 0.221
2 Heart 153 56.29% 30.25 69.28% 0.0 -0.2379 0.013
2 Opposite Shores 1566 49.03% 31.17 67.94% -0.311 -0.1772 -1.377
2 Thematic 428 59.72% 31.54 50.0% -0.366 0.2699 -0.579
2 Top to Top 311 48.87% 33.16 74.92% 0.383 0.4237 -0.925
3 Archipelago 59 52.54% 32.95 61.02% 0.414 -0.6725 -1.175
3 Coastline 63 27.42% 26.95 87.3% 0.628 0.1297 -0.752
3 Other 374 35.68% 28.81 67.65% -0.716 -0.6067 0.302
3 Round (Default) 3618 47.59% 34.01 72.14% -0.471 -0.5121 -1.297
3 Sunrise 16 31.25% 29.69 81.25% -0.36 -0.1641 0.232
3 Thematic 122 47.54% 31.81 63.11% -0.189 -0.153 0.14
4 Archipelago 54 55.56% 36.78 66.67% 0.87 0.6554 0.078
4 Coastline 18 11.11% 31.56 94.44% 0.496 0.6178 0.444
4 Leaf 22 36.36% 35.77 59.09% -0.194 -0.5695 -0.782
4 Other 153 45.75% 36.05 83.66% 0.552 -0.2981 -0.184
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% -0.138 -0.159 -0.558
4 Thematic 305 42.3% 43.32 70.49% -0.702 -0.7195 -1.393
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1803 37.7% 34.5 73.32% -1.187 -1.3736 -2.006
5 Archipelago 21 57.14% 47.86 95.24% 0.672 -0.5536 -0.207
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 24.38 84.62% 0.0 -0.0429 0.066
5 Other 287 32.28% 38.28 76.31% -0.894 -1.4023 -1.379
5 Thematic 57 47.37% 50.82 70.18% -0.278 -0.6078 -0.358
6 Archipelago 31 29.03% 50.65 83.87% -0.261 -0.5663 -1.696
6 Coastline 4 25.0% 12.5 25.0% -1.205 -1.849 -0.42
6 Other 164 40.24% 32.6 71.95% -0.922 -1.316 -2.498
6 Star 71 29.58% 33.44 73.24% -1.614 -1.1383 -1.944
6 Thematic 234 24.12% 37.38 71.37% -1.764 -1.3651 -1.378
6 Two Centers (Default) 483 24.58% 44.31 78.47% -1.063 -1.0199 -2.612
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 77.4 100.0% 0.711 0.1213 0.196
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 14 28.57% 24.79 50.0% -0.625 -1.3979 -1.511

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1192 31.05 58.47% 0.521 0.7926 -0.164
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1066 33.14 58.44% 0.312 0.351 -0.099
All Things Weaken 1270 29.4 49.29% -0.404 0.0569 -0.009
Attenuated Essence 61 27.82 52.46% 0.616 0.8217 -1.228
Back Against the Wall 1008 31.79 54.07% -0.222 -0.0597 -0.038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 26.65 47.06% 0.118 0.5326 -0.005
Burn Brightest Before the End 57 26.16 54.39% 0.339 0.644 -0.517
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1127 28.8 52.17% 0.437 0.9638 -0.425
Downward Spiral 1418 28.33 54.94% 0.271 0.6234 -0.196
Erosion of Will 1183 29.2 52.49% -0.05 0.3578 -0.168
Intensifying Exploitation 53 23.08 39.62% -0.311 0.0764 -1.157
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 514 33.92 79.57% 0.77 0.2444 0.865
Memory Fades to Dust 1426 29.34 54.56% 0.128 0.6096 -0.19
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1305 29.14 55.4% 0.355 0.6595 -0.218
Promising Farmlands 1082 29.56 50.65% -0.17 0.4158 -0.283
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 28.72 50.0% 0.159 0.3382 0.644
Slow Dissolution of Will 52 28.88 44.23% 0.08 0.6133 0.034
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 327 35.12 82.26% 0.29 -0.388 0.714
The Border of Life and Death 11 24.36 45.45% -0.245 -0.375 -0.357
Thriving Communities 1308 28.61 51.38% -0.097 0.3965 -0.09
Thriving Crops 24 22.46 50.0% 0.022 0.11 0.084
Unnatural Proliferation 1374 30.7 52.33% 0.187 0.4836 -0.155
Untended Land Crumbles 1319 28.9 53.68% 0.109 0.467 -0.501

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8201 49.69% 31.79 69.14% 0.398 1.2377 0.424
B 8454 48.04% 31.79 71.33% 0.54 1.3192 0.416
C 8857 48.07% 31.38 70.05% 0.465 1.1186 0.297
D 7379 49.04% 31.59 70.58% 0.12 0.9192 0.186
E 7617 47.87% 31.63 68.9% 0.302 0.9306 0.309
F 6923 48.44% 31.99 69.28% 0.309 1.0288 0.239
G 6262 48.13% 31.91 71.35% 0.392 1.1343 0.314
H 6222 49.72% 32.81 69.88% 0.229 0.8768 0.349
East 1309 47.31% 35.42 60.96% -1.127 -0.523 -1.017
Northeast 811 42.48% 37.58 64.86% -0.762 0.1193 -0.884
Northwest 710 42.61% 36.85 64.51% 0.037 0.7103 0.011
Southeast 626 41.84% 35.59 61.98% -0.236 0.3998 -0.445
Southwest 594 44.29% 33.77 59.26% -0.616 0.5487 -0.591
West 1225 50.41% 34.52 59.35% -0.055 0.909 -0.416

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 248 0.0% 17.19 65.73% -0.498 0.3852 0.772
Not Using Events or Tokens 360 33.02% 21.76 79.17% -0.617 -0.2851 -0.652
Skip Initial Invader Actions 785 17.84% 42.7 77.83% -0.194 -0.729 -0.999
Start of Game Growth 1090 22.67% 40.62 78.9% -0.478 -0.8083 1.273
Unlimited Undo 3046 42.25% 34.26 75.84% 0.001 -0.0206 0.876
Using Tokens but Not Events 3233 35.91% 24.6 72.04% -0.288 -0.3423 -0.395

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2266 100.0% 36.7 100.0% 0.299 0.1398 -0.052
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 391 100.0% 29.52 100.0% -0.327 -0.2054 -0.149
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 656 100.0% 29.33 100.0% 0.155 -0.0128 0.195
Downpour Drenches the World 438 100.0% 34.04 100.0% -0.07 0.1093 -0.185
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 300 100.0% 24.74 100.0% 0.553 -0.168 -0.359
Eyes Watch From the Trees 798 100.0% 33.15 100.0% 0.728 0.1391 0.166
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 761 100.0% 31.29 100.0% 0.181 -0.29 -0.059
Finder of Paths Unseen 257 100.0% 35.33 100.0% -0.301 0.3937 0.211
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1189 100.0% 46.36 100.0% -0.198 0.4863 0.01
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1037 100.0% 32.69 100.0% 0.516 0.4153 0.293
Heart of the Wildfire 576 100.0% 26.95 100.0% -0.493 -0.2488 0.03
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2058 100.0% 34.74 100.0% 0.155 -0.2946 0.103
Lightning's Swift Strike 502 247.16% 28.74 172.11% -0.441 -0.2371 -0.371
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 447 40.32% 41.04 70.25% 0.621 -0.0758 0.551
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 361 33.98% 28.38 65.1% -1.67 -1.9098 0.519
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 435 42.0% 35.9 76.32% -0.225 -0.3852 0.759
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1488 100.0% 33.72 100.0% 0.014 -0.1314 0.002
Many Minds Move as One 612 100.0% 32.16 100.0% 0.126 -0.0947 -0.283
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1082 100.0% 34.84 100.0% -0.109 -0.1186 0.117
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 718 100.0% 30.47 100.0% 0.104 -0.0377 0.346
River Surges in Sunlight 716 154.72% 34.44 128.35% 0.122 0.125 0.42
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 489 36.42% 35.43 67.69% -0.329 -0.0585 0.087
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 150 42.95% 37.89 70.0% 0.503 0.3734 -0.051
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3759 100.0% 42.66 100.0% 0.322 0.108 0.81
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 128 277.86% 26.13 213.28% 0.044 0.4796 -0.467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 55 54.55% 34.56 65.45% 0.529 0.528 -0.119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 77 42.86% 26.84 67.53% -0.341 -0.3496 -0.485
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 180 48.59% 28.66 71.11% -0.129 -0.2016 -0.471
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 174 58.05% 30.16 71.84% -0.146 -0.0874 0.145
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 783 106.26% 34.12 102.81% 0.056 -0.0726 0.376
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 60 18.33% 22.38 63.33% 0.187 -0.1755 -0.671
Shroud of Silent Mist 1153 100.0% 28.09 100.0% -0.044 0.271 -0.995
Starlight Seeks its Form 1403 100.0% 37.3 100.0% -0.16 -0.433 0.441
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1178 100.0% 31.14 100.0% 0.177 -0.3182 -0.023
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 684 100.0% 32.71 100.0% 0.578 0.6088 0.487
Thunderspeaker 831 102.17% 33.29 101.32% -0.193 -0.212 0.248
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 35.71% 17.86 60.71% 0.174 0.1108 0.47
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 581 100.0% 28.96 100.0% -0.181 -0.1198 -0.25
Vital Strength of the Earth 480 166.39% 30.93 147.08% 0.105 0.6575 -0.237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 335 35.03% 37.12 55.22% -0.292 -0.036 -0.453
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 207 50.0% 29.54 63.29% -0.156 0.741 -0.427
Volcano Looming High 1038 100.0% 30.27 100.0% -0.182 -0.1716 -0.314

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 85.64%
Elemental Teachings 96.13%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.16%
Study the Invaders' Fears 84.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5715 21.03 6.0%
II 9511 31.04 58.7%
III 11970 34.74 90.25%
IV 5853 38.02 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 327
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10510
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5287
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5724
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1336
Lose: Invader deck ran out 263
Lose: Adversary condition 3090
Win: Sacrifice victory 521
Lose: Scenario condition 339
Win: Scenario condition 194
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5219
Lose: Spirit destroyed 239

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.704 Win Model: -0.109

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.384 Win Model: 0.26
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 15680 59.14% 27.11 64.92%
2 9668 51.83% 31.83 70.13%
3 4116 46.19% 33.15 71.21%
4 2353 37.81% 36.43 73.78%
5 258 25.0% 32.04 78.29%
6 974 27.67% 40.3 75.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)