Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 108 19.44% 15.77 46.3% -0.21 -0.239 -0.343
Blitz 0 697 28.35% 27.92 63.56% 0.419 0.6619 -0.926
Dahan Insurrection 4 1116 37.4% 30.09 20.61% -0.47 -0.4561 -0.959
Despicable Theft 2 232 43.53% 21.19 37.5% -1.122 -0.3554 -0.425
Elemental Invocation 1 439 46.91% 19.25 40.55% -0.2 0.5525 -0.245
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2417 15.45% 32.27 57.76% -0.814 -1.41 -0.359
Powers Long Forgotten 1 250 44.4% 15.83 31.6% 0.643 1.3906 -0.164
Rituals of Terror 3 191 43.46% 29.19 39.79% -0.156 0.3229 -0.071
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 206 62.14% 23.2 42.72% 1.022 1.7094 -0.144
Second Wave 0 1934 40.1% 24.79 68.51% 0.882 0.8774 1.32
The Great River 3 163 32.52% 18.87 26.99% -0.309 0.8203 -0.517
Varied Terrains 2 214 50.93% 19.37 35.98% -0.548 0.2316 -0.489
Ward the Shores 2 288 45.83% 18.93 30.9% -0.119 0.7499 -0.335

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 27449 52.44% 21.51 54.25% 0.003 0.2075 -0.962
1 Thematic 1232 46.59% 18.85 38.72% -1.06 -0.4512 -0.949
2 Archipelago 139 48.2% 31.12 64.75% 0.0 0.1705 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12567 48.57% 27.56 60.49% 0.158 0.2388 -0.68
2 Coastline 1985 43.09% 26.1 62.97% 0.254 0.1592 -0.791
2 Fragment 344 48.8% 25.49 66.86% -0.114 -0.1566 0.485
2 Heart 294 54.11% 26.23 62.59% 0.389 -0.0722 0.068
2 Opposite Shores 3512 41.19% 24.07 54.41% 0.08 0.2114 -0.656
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 1158 44.51% 26.87 50.78% -0.34 0.0185 -0.305
2 Top to Top 592 45.5% 28.77 68.92% 0.189 0.1005 0.236
3 Archipelago 74 48.65% 32.41 62.16% 0.28 0.1097 0.0
3 Coastline 140 28.78% 24.05 77.14% 0.0 -0.1724 0.641
3 Other 682 28.21% 20.68 50.44% 0.355 -0.0306 -0.198
3 Round (Default) 7301 45.68% 29.67 63.99% 0.462 0.468 -0.236
3 Sunrise 34 47.06% 20.97 44.12% 0.0 -0.6066 0.605
3 Thematic 301 40.53% 24.3 49.17% -1.197 -1.6279 0.468
4 Archipelago 68 47.06% 33.75 64.71% 0.0 -0.2406 0.0
4 Coastline 32 9.38% 28.63 87.5% 0.0 -0.5981 0.0
4 Leaf 50 48.0% 35.16 54.0% 0.248 -0.7743 0.0
4 Other 314 35.35% 27.48 63.69% 0.568 -0.2756 0.162
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 524 39.69% 34.06 58.21% -0.055 -0.2576 -0.783
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3853 35.39% 27.67 60.89% -0.193 -0.003 -0.903
5 Archipelago 27 44.44% 38.67 77.78% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 21 14.29% 20.05 66.67% -0.231 -0.8905 0.243
5 Other 616 34.58% 30.75 65.26% 0.246 0.085 0.053
5 Thematic 122 40.98% 37.45 47.54% 0.235 0.5729 -0.398
6 Archipelago 51 21.57% 46.35 68.63% 0.081 -0.5719 0.0
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 13.82 27.27% 0.0 -0.4503 0.0
6 Other 334 31.91% 27.66 62.87% -0.298 -0.3365 -0.596
6 Star 132 25.0% 30.72 66.67% -0.066 0.3998 -0.673
6 Thematic 572 23.43% 26.66 50.7% 0.17 0.4187 0.17
6 Two Centers (Default) 1516 21.23% 38.87 58.25% -0.524 0.6775 -1.285
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 52.88 75.0% -0.642 0.5136 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 38 18.92% 16.5 26.32% -0.21 -0.0283 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1940 29.19 54.59% -0.228 -0.0795 0.738
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1606 32.22 58.03% 0.754 0.6408 1.201
All Things Weaken 2078 26.55 46.44% -0.866 -0.4912 0.184
Attenuated Essence 507 28.21 53.45% -0.157 -0.0312 0.549
Back Against the Wall 1583 30.62 53.51% -0.159 -0.1182 0.85
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 500 24.6 46.2% 0.688 0.8936 0.518
Burn Brightest Before the End 463 27.21 49.89% 0.256 0.3007 0.828
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1786 26.37 48.94% -0.352 0.1456 -0.299
Downward Spiral 2380 26.23 54.24% 0.562 0.8125 1.22
Erosion of Will 1868 27.13 49.89% 0.332 0.5902 -0.455
Intensifying Exploitation 505 23.26 40.4% 0.318 0.5368 0.824
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 864 30.64 72.92% 0.835 0.4487 0.31
Memory Fades to Dust 2371 26.76 52.68% 0.592 0.7969 0.451
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2107 26.86 52.16% 0.513 0.7109 0.98
Promising Farmlands 1789 27.06 47.29% -1.046 -0.6895 0.444
Shattered Fragments of Power 442 25.75 45.93% -0.343 -0.1256 0.408
Slow Dissolution of Will 493 24.03 43.2% 0.072 0.5016 0.077
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 533 31.12 77.86% 0.34 -0.2846 0.586
The Border of Life and Death 152 28.4 69.08% 0.978 0.6578 0.031
Thriving Communities 2175 26.03 49.52% -0.034 0.2853 0.174
Thriving Crops 227 27.79 55.07% 0.974 0.8549 0.199
Unnatural Proliferation 2149 28.67 50.26% 0.038 0.1275 0.947
Untended Land Crumbles 2209 26.84 51.02% 0.636 0.8607 0.448

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17300 43.14% 26.28 57.94% 0.099 0.8988 0.207
B 17476 42.84% 26.97 60.22% 0.532 1.2624 0.503
C 18136 43.11% 26.54 58.71% 0.341 0.945 0.001
D 15380 44.3% 26.82 59.28% 0.224 0.9809 -0.244
E 15557 42.62% 26.86 58.42% 0.271 0.8551 0.075
F 14098 43.32% 27.22 58.89% 0.178 0.8808 0.224
G 12494 43.73% 27.79 61.11% 0.387 1.1441 -0.076
H 12732 43.63% 27.58 58.81% 0.195 0.8259 0.397
East 3174 39.38% 26.76 49.31% 0.296 1.08 -0.669
Northeast 2079 36.54% 28.43 53.01% -0.379 0.3821 -0.861
Northwest 1837 35.36% 28.43 54.55% -0.591 0.2509 -0.716
Southeast 1342 34.34% 26.03 47.62% -0.21 0.4297 0.43
Southwest 1271 35.83% 24.94 45.08% -0.611 0.4339 0.181
West 2922 40.39% 26.56 49.18% -0.752 0.0236 -0.162

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 787 0.0% 12.78 47.14% -1.416 -0.5422 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 884 34.07% 15.68 59.16% 1.078 1.4548 -0.401
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1933 15.96% 38.82 61.1% 0.179 -0.1129 -0.056
Start of Game Growth 2641 19.44% 35.02 60.58% 0.019 -0.538 0.402
Unlimited Undo 6492 36.79% 29.84 61.23% -0.063 0.0011 0.842
Using Tokens but Not Events 7391 33.01% 18.86 57.1% 0.408 0.2808 0.472

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4415 30.17% 30.36 65.35% -0.211 -0.3074 -0.04
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 673 21.57% 38.04 50.22% -0.18 -0.5055 0.182
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 12 25.0% 19.83 75.0% 0.356 0.0945 -0.38
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 77 27.4% 25.39 48.05% 0.523 -0.1978 -0.055
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 781 46.25% 25.32 59.92% 0.448 0.7472 -1.133
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 233 45.69% 29.09 57.51% 0.125 -0.4648 -0.238
Dances Up Earthquakes 283 29.2% 35.96 54.06% -0.483 -0.3007 -0.241
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1374 35.53% 23.71 61.35% -1.13 -1.3085 -0.298
Downpour Drenches the World 1414 30.88% 26.95 48.59% 0.373 0.7322 0.012
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1218 37.49% 23.94 52.46% 0.262 -0.1771 0.904
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1560 34.99% 28.08 67.12% 0.147 -0.2023 0.05
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1368 37.52% 26.78 66.74% -0.131 -0.5309 -0.849
Finder of Paths Unseen 718 34.46% 27.66 52.37% 0.092 1.1661 0.281
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2856 27.99% 38.54 55.53% 0.241 0.697 -0.137
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1849 46.2% 27.15 62.95% 0.553 0.4616 0.208
Heart of the Wildfire 1075 56.36% 22.95 54.33% -0.264 0.1669 0.323
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3635 38.64% 31.21 66.16% 0.897 0.4541 -0.15
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 261 40.66% 25.39 52.49% 1.097 0.5883 0.162
Lightning's Swift Strike 1143 40.78% 23.68 60.63% -0.662 -0.4991 0.19
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1202 41.64% 36.04 62.9% 0.553 -0.1254 0.355
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 767 26.93% 20.29 48.76% -1.415 -1.7744 0.274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 799 36.74% 29.58 65.08% -1.029 -1.1752 0.032
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2706 42.84% 29.27 62.23% 0.708 0.5308 -0.848
Many Minds Move as One 1257 37.83% 27.1 62.13% 0.46 0.3255 0.657
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2247 39.06% 29.23 62.79% 0.027 -0.0495 0.564
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 219 47.12% 23.86 53.42% 0.412 0.6038 -0.021
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1407 40.92% 25.76 64.39% 0.804 0.7445 -0.472
River Surges in Sunlight 1287 39.72% 29.22 68.53% -0.55 -0.5056 0.113
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 214 25.23% 41.14 47.2% 0.33 0.5596 0.525
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1096 33.88% 25.56 51.0% -0.211 -0.1616 -0.575
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 488 36.76% 27.44 55.74% 0.096 0.2623 -0.118
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7172 34.32% 37.56 62.9% 0.521 0.3275 0.282
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 88 27.38% 17.84 44.32% 0.122 0.1076 -0.65
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 373 58.4% 23.1 61.93% 0.014 0.6379 0.908
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 160 45.0% 25.26 58.13% 0.598 0.6134 -0.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 173 45.09% 27.86 65.32% 0.124 -0.3106 0.514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 187 40.86% 23.86 57.75% 0.725 0.7474 -0.765
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 359 41.81% 23.13 60.17% 0.515 0.4282 0.444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 281 47.31% 24.95 61.92% 0.385 0.794 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1296 36.34% 29.64 74.92% 0.072 0.1297 0.801
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 16 25.0% 23.19 62.5% -0.23 -0.7335 1.326
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 413 35.68% 27.65 61.99% -0.199 -0.2359 -0.358
Shroud of Silent Mist 1794 56.85% 24.65 56.13% -0.188 0.3358 -0.962
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 12 33.33% 17.33 58.33% 0.229 -0.1114 -0.412
Starlight Seeks its Form 3216 36.64% 31.2 60.79% -0.621 -0.8196 -0.111
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2259 45.59% 26.33 58.74% 0.229 -0.3856 -0.202
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1302 36.57% 27.46 69.12% 0.312 0.5448 0.285
Thunderspeaker 1720 38.47% 27.04 62.44% -0.878 -0.8954 0.555
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 230 33.62% 20.38 47.39% 0.171 0.3708 -0.225
Towering Roots of the Jungle 221 35.75% 24.76 50.23% -0.924 -0.7575 0.311
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1339 54.5% 26.23 55.86% -0.725 -0.675 0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth 909 34.19% 25.29 62.16% -1.124 -0.6536 -0.378
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 941 29.25% 27.85 47.72% -0.416 -0.0071 0.232
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 469 39.83% 23.53 53.52% -0.314 0.3524 0.124
Volcano Looming High 1885 48.37% 26.33 60.64% -0.467 -0.4832 -0.74
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 826 34.59% 26.58 62.23% 0.019 -0.2606 -0.1

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 87.68%
Elemental Teachings 96.53%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.7%
Study the Invaders' Fears 86.61%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18998 12.44 2.65%
II 16551 29.94 54.89%
III 20761 34.9 89.54%
IV 10074 38.84 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 480
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18117
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8598
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9880
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13270
Lose: Invader deck ran out 459
Lose: Adversary condition 4987
Win: Sacrifice victory 830
Lose: Scenario condition 553
Win: Scenario condition 314
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8524
Lose: Spirit destroyed 372

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.438 Win Model: -0.091

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.287 Win Model: 0.168
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 30444 52.06% 21.62 53.09%
2 19507 46.56% 27.28 61.57%
3 8358 43.88% 28.56 62.31%
4 4844 35.44% 28.79 60.65%
5 635 32.17% 27.8 63.31%
6 2596 22.67% 34.28 57.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)