Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 72 19.44% 19.04 52.78% -1.411 -1.3592 -0.697
Blitz 0 519 30.37% 31.03 70.71% 0.3 0.5011 -0.52
Dahan Insurrection 4 921 39.57% 32.06 20.85% 0.162 -0.0489 -1.078
Despicable Theft 2 170 47.65% 23.71 40.59% -0.778 0.0668 -1.05
Elemental Invocation 1 299 48.32% 21.73 46.49% -1.058 0.0128 -1.113
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1972 15.85% 34.66 60.7% 0.284 -0.4403 0.478
Powers Long Forgotten 1 155 50.97% 18.08 32.9% -0.84 0.066 -1.54
Rituals of Terror 3 126 51.59% 35.21 45.24% -0.564 -0.5338 -0.373
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 141 65.96% 25.6 46.81% -0.305 0.8832 -0.048
Second Wave 0 1413 38.9% 25.32 72.47% 0.244 0.3253 0.386
The Great River 3 106 35.85% 22.24 33.02% -1.358 0.0294 -1.088
Varied Terrains 2 151 55.63% 23.07 42.38% -0.681 0.22 -1.78
Ward the Shores 2 195 43.59% 21.02 33.85% -1.098 -0.0426 -0.94

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 20038 54.89% 23.65 58.76% -0.32 -0.2889 -0.712
1 Thematic 914 49.56% 20.62 43.76% -0.456 -0.0236 -0.407
2 Archipelago 122 50.82% 32.47 66.39% -1.075 -0.5824 -0.792
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9163 51.23% 29.62 64.4% -0.162 -0.2112 -1.055
2 Coastline 1551 44.17% 28.21 65.83% -0.011 -0.1118 -0.819
2 Fragment 257 52.0% 28.11 70.43% 0.667 0.2541 0.359
2 Heart 232 51.74% 27.75 64.66% -1.281 -1.3701 -0.462
2 Opposite Shores 2574 41.65% 25.41 55.71% -0.273 -0.4525 -1.647
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6379 0.0
2 Thematic 862 48.43% 28.78 56.26% 0.168 0.3545 -0.277
2 Top to Top 435 47.58% 31.23 74.02% 0.33 0.1309 -1.086
3 Archipelago 65 49.23% 32.89 60.0% 0.327 -0.7933 -1.339
3 Coastline 94 27.96% 24.18 81.91% 0.371 -0.2902 -0.818
3 Other 607 28.24% 21.56 51.4% 0.107 -0.2267 0.026
3 Round (Default) 5374 47.2% 32.25 67.44% -0.264 -0.53 -1.523
3 Sunrise 27 40.74% 23.67 55.56% -1.575 -1.0638 -0.511
3 Thematic 190 45.79% 27.18 54.74% -0.32 -0.7666 0.051
4 Archipelago 60 53.33% 34.58 63.33% 0.0 -0.5573 -0.334
4 Coastline 26 11.54% 28.04 88.46% 0.334 -0.2843 0.109
4 Leaf 37 43.24% 37.59 51.35% 0.0 0.8461 -2.223
4 Other 256 37.11% 29.65 66.8% -0.35 -1.0871 -0.404
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% -0.436 0.1292 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.9688 -0.531
4 Thematic 425 42.35% 37.82 63.29% -0.862 -0.6589 -1.345
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2806 36.01% 30.6 65.18% -0.715 -0.3751 -2.236
5 Archipelago 22 54.55% 45.68 90.91% 0.0 -0.0008 -0.304
5 Coastline 18 5.56% 19.0 66.67% -0.641 -1.1686 0.04
5 Other 472 32.2% 31.64 66.53% -0.582 -1.3031 -2.071
5 Thematic 95 41.05% 40.48 51.58% -0.957 -0.7969 -1.177
6 Archipelago 43 23.26% 52.09 74.42% 0.0 -0.7151 -1.584
6 Coastline 8 12.5% 9.25 25.0% 0.218 -0.2712 -0.347
6 Other 238 36.97% 29.69 67.65% -1.189 -0.7491 -2.972
6 Star 108 22.22% 32.28 67.59% 0.0 0.298 -2.325
6 Thematic 393 24.29% 31.06 57.51% -0.779 -0.7538 -2.014
6 Two Centers (Default) 933 23.14% 38.69 65.81% -1.058 -0.9604 -3.53
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 52.88 75.0% -0.554 -0.0276 -0.397
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 22 27.27% 19.23 36.36% -0.022 -1.4386 -2.116

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1549 30.25 57.33% 0.505 0.6437 0.373
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1306 32.89 57.96% 0.294 0.2347 0.287
All Things Weaken 1618 28.24 48.27% 0.427 0.7818 0.388
Attenuated Essence 288 29.28 53.13% 0.289 0.3996 -0.088
Back Against the Wall 1274 31.17 54.63% 0.173 0.2491 0.348
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 264 27.89 51.89% 0.455 0.666 0.238
Burn Brightest Before the End 266 29.68 53.01% -0.288 -0.1678 0.0
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1441 27.77 50.66% -0.057 0.3119 -0.056
Downward Spiral 1833 27.45 54.88% 0.634 0.8305 0.27
Erosion of Will 1501 28.08 50.7% 0.034 0.3016 0.085
Intensifying Exploitation 269 25.71 42.75% 0.158 0.4282 0.069
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 672 32.24 74.55% -0.002 -0.5127 1.039
Memory Fades to Dust 1840 28.36 53.7% 0.236 0.548 0.199
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1694 28.12 54.25% 0.24 0.5347 0.195
Promising Farmlands 1409 28.41 49.61% -0.034 0.302 0.059
Shattered Fragments of Power 237 25.53 45.57% -0.123 -0.0144 0.109
Slow Dissolution of Will 265 25.26 44.15% 0.395 0.7951 0.235
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 427 33.06 79.63% 0.335 -0.278 1.068
The Border of Life and Death 63 28.65 66.67% 0.891 0.5991 -0.134
Thriving Communities 1711 27.23 50.5% 0.236 0.569 0.286
Thriving Crops 111 28.17 55.86% -0.173 -0.2592 0.527
Unnatural Proliferation 1730 29.29 51.39% 0.39 0.5378 0.153
Untended Land Crumbles 1761 28.35 53.09% 0.327 0.6341 -0.009

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12599 45.28% 28.4 61.95% 0.339 1.2439 0.448
B 12744 44.98% 28.97 64.52% 0.463 1.2919 0.441
C 13328 44.61% 28.49 63.06% 0.269 0.9488 0.271
D 11136 46.13% 28.77 63.66% 0.332 1.1856 0.291
E 11368 43.95% 28.37 61.61% 0.411 1.1127 0.263
F 10194 45.54% 29.21 63.09% 0.482 1.2628 0.287
G 9153 45.7% 29.42 64.92% 0.377 1.1483 0.292
H 9419 45.23% 29.13 61.8% 0.415 1.1829 0.389
East 2330 42.23% 29.56 54.81% -0.669 0.193 -1.02
Northeast 1548 38.59% 30.91 57.69% 0.027 0.7741 -1.003
Northwest 1367 38.13% 30.77 59.03% -0.326 0.5078 -0.407
Southeast 970 37.59% 29.97 53.4% -0.472 0.3037 -0.57
Southwest 916 39.05% 28.68 50.44% -0.587 0.7326 -0.898
West 2135 44.03% 29.49 54.71% -0.551 0.4546 -0.458

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 513 0.0% 14.52 52.44% -0.581 0.2497 -0.287
Not Using Events or Tokens 525 32.9% 18.32 66.67% -0.738 -0.2971 -0.079
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1245 16.77% 39.04 66.99% 1.608 1.0455 -0.627
Start of Game Growth 1806 21.11% 35.36 65.45% -0.716 -1.2547 0.98
Unlimited Undo 4543 39.07% 30.48 65.29% 0.025 0.0657 0.672
Using Tokens but Not Events 5197 32.84% 20.34 60.09% -0.283 -0.3065 -0.695

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3469 30.96% 32.63 68.09% 0.104 0.0012 0.049
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 624 48.79% 27.45 63.46% 0.104 0.2643 -0.11
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 98 48.98% 36.15 69.39% 0.904 0.0688 1.157
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1041 35.17% 25.67 65.99% 0.015 -0.1168 0.066
Downpour Drenches the World 1026 32.32% 26.97 48.73% -0.665 -0.3473 -0.621
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 786 35.22% 23.81 52.04% 0.087 -0.3975 -0.384
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1147 34.42% 30.36 73.5% 0.162 -0.2913 0.127
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1053 36.36% 28.66 71.04% -0.164 -0.6157 -0.128
Finder of Paths Unseen 533 36.62% 30.76 57.41% -0.355 0.3117 -0.011
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1953 32.0% 40.82 60.37% -0.082 0.5955 -0.037
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1432 47.97% 30.0 68.02% -0.263 -0.2012 0.193
Heart of the Wildfire 811 59.46% 24.82 58.57% 0.285 0.5446 -0.061
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2826 37.96% 33.28 71.59% 0.344 -0.0492 0.02
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 115 50.43% 30.14 49.57% -0.389 -0.7847 -0.057
Lightning's Swift Strike 735 42.35% 26.8 67.89% -0.435 -0.1815 -0.261
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 959 42.15% 37.08 64.03% 0.622 0.068 0.308
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 670 26.5% 20.67 48.21% -0.408 -0.6439 0.106
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 597 40.54% 32.35 69.35% -0.083 -0.3344 0.7
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2048 44.24% 31.42 67.72% 0.071 -0.2534 -0.151
Many Minds Move as One 958 41.19% 29.22 64.72% -0.162 -0.3614 -0.504
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1685 39.69% 31.18 66.88% 0.411 0.3827 0.042
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1023 43.89% 28.24 69.5% -0.176 -0.3173 0.028
River Surges in Sunlight 962 41.4% 32.18 73.49% -0.605 -0.4886 0.537
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 887 33.94% 27.8 53.89% -0.866 -0.5286 -0.124
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 337 39.58% 30.52 58.46% -0.604 -0.7517 -0.336
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5436 37.02% 39.49 66.34% 0.74 0.573 0.8
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 226 53.67% 26.23 69.03% 0.375 0.9193 0.232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 103 50.49% 29.36 61.17% -0.062 0.0239 -0.189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 86 43.02% 28.06 66.28% 0.223 -0.1463 0.35
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 131 42.75% 26.68 64.12% 0.469 0.6347 -0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 257 46.06% 25.45 63.81% -0.511 -0.4798 -0.651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 217 52.07% 27.81 67.74% -0.075 0.0957 0.172
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1045 38.17% 31.89 77.89% 0.545 0.4498 0.452
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 251 34.4% 30.14 64.14% 0.386 0.1452 0.093
Shroud of Silent Mist 1446 59.26% 26.25 57.61% -0.193 0.1776 -0.949
Starlight Seeks its Form 2296 36.9% 33.79 66.68% 0.347 0.1401 0.324
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1745 45.56% 28.13 63.27% -0.343 -1.0596 -0.258
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1004 38.04% 29.04 73.11% -0.157 0.0249 0.34
Thunderspeaker 1202 38.36% 30.16 68.8% -0.037 -0.0228 0.176
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 149 33.78% 20.79 49.66% 0.239 0.3448 1.197
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 972 58.39% 26.73 58.95% -0.315 -0.1747 -0.228
Vital Strength of the Earth 651 35.34% 27.71 66.67% -0.154 0.3877 -0.283
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 681 31.76% 29.42 45.81% -0.091 0.2468 -0.503
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 320 44.51% 26.43 55.63% 0.133 0.8495 -0.427
Volcano Looming High 1456 50.83% 28.17 63.74% 0.188 0.1547 -0.373
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 569 36.91% 29.04 65.03% 0.727 0.2898 -0.095

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 87.06%
Elemental Teachings 96.47%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.51%
Study the Invaders' Fears 86.11%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11949 16.23 3.48%
II 12730 30.54 56.72%
III 16123 34.77 89.92%
IV 7843 38.37 99.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 396
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14129
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6844
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7682
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6915
Lose: Invader deck ran out 356
Lose: Adversary condition 4031
Win: Sacrifice victory 644
Lose: Scenario condition 433
Win: Scenario condition 254
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6666
Lose: Spirit destroyed 295

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.099 Win Model: -0.108

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.569 Win Model: 0.283
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 22293 54.41% 23.68 57.2%
2 14352 48.78% 29.3 65.48%
3 6209 45.02% 30.76 65.2%
4 3617 36.34% 31.9 64.97%
5 473 28.09% 27.77 64.27%
6 1701 24.79% 35.49 64.61%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)