Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 58 20.69% 22.45 60.34% 0.498 0.358 -0.621
Blitz 0 449 30.2% 32.43 74.16% 0.087 0.1979 -0.544
Dahan Insurrection 4 620 53.55% 43.51 27.58% -0.809 -1.0437 -0.877
Despicable Theft 2 149 48.32% 24.96 42.95% -1.81 -1.1671 -1.074
Elemental Invocation 1 245 50.82% 23.47 49.39% -0.736 0.0663 -1.086
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1783 15.79% 35.8 62.09% 0.256 -0.5183 0.376
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 56.67% 19.71 35.0% -1.415 -0.6427 -1.509
Rituals of Terror 3 112 53.57% 37.1 46.43% -0.268 -0.2522 -0.491
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 110 69.09% 28.62 52.73% -0.741 0.3163 0.026
Second Wave 0 1207 40.17% 25.43 73.41% 0.157 0.2379 0.534
The Great River 3 89 37.08% 24.93 38.2% -0.825 0.3036 -1.132
Varied Terrains 2 136 56.62% 23.56 44.12% -1.373 -0.6807 -1.526
Ward the Shores 2 163 45.4% 23.34 38.04% -0.86 0.0034 -0.829

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 17837 56.31% 24.65 60.98% -0.47 -0.269 -0.673
1 Thematic 775 52.0% 22.12 47.35% -0.447 0.2721 -0.501
2 Archipelago 116 53.45% 33.72 68.97% -1.042 -0.7876 -0.777
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8088 52.0% 30.27 65.78% -0.282 -0.2741 -0.946
2 Coastline 1302 44.48% 29.58 69.35% -0.294 -0.4988 -0.728
2 Fragment 229 51.79% 28.99 73.8% 0.722 0.4448 0.371
2 Heart 204 51.49% 29.09 68.63% 0.236 0.0161 -0.199
2 Opposite Shores 2089 45.3% 28.16 61.99% -0.498 -0.4412 -1.605
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.27 0.9805 0.0
2 Thematic 640 51.8% 29.19 53.28% -0.386 0.0658 -0.48
2 Top to Top 389 48.84% 31.57 75.06% 0.253 0.1554 -0.913
3 Archipelago 65 49.23% 32.89 60.0% -0.141 -0.9326 -1.347
3 Coastline 82 30.86% 24.24 80.49% -0.947 -1.5141 -0.817
3 Other 558 28.57% 22.06 51.97% -0.534 -0.5627 0.038
3 Round (Default) 4668 47.5% 32.66 68.64% -0.383 -0.6089 -1.42
3 Sunrise 22 36.36% 26.86 68.18% 0.927 -0.0577 -0.336
3 Thematic 154 48.7% 28.93 59.09% -0.829 -0.6319 0.074
4 Archipelago 59 54.24% 35.17 64.41% 0.383 -0.8025 -0.323
4 Coastline 20 10.0% 31.7 95.0% 0.399 -0.1878 0.104
4 Leaf 36 41.67% 37.42 50.0% 0.372 -0.3268 -2.118
4 Other 194 42.27% 34.31 77.84% 0.613 -0.7439 -0.308
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.621 -0.8003 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.533
4 Thematic 364 42.03% 40.73 67.86% -0.062 -0.2608 -1.315
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2438 36.86% 31.88 67.15% -0.686 -0.9296 -2.125
5 Archipelago 22 54.55% 45.68 90.91% 0.0 0.3165 -0.219
5 Coastline 15 0.0% 22.8 80.0% 0.12 0.3134 0.047
5 Other 404 33.92% 33.34 69.8% -1.009 -2.0657 -1.794
5 Thematic 72 43.06% 47.01 63.89% 0.506 0.0272 -0.687
6 Archipelago 42 23.81% 53.33 76.19% -0.003 -0.7396 -1.523
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 8.33 16.67% -0.619 -0.8593 -0.306
6 Other 221 37.56% 30.48 67.87% -0.549 -1.286 -2.763
6 Star 104 23.08% 32.68 68.27% -0.823 -0.88 -2.122
6 Thematic 311 25.25% 33.54 63.02% -0.879 -0.1249 -1.676
6 Two Centers (Default) 773 24.84% 38.97 68.56% -0.387 -0.967 -3.262
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 60.43 85.71% -0.608 0.1684 0.169
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0521 0.0
7 Other 18 27.78% 20.44 38.89% -1.308 -1.7193 -1.978

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1412 30.63 58.0% 0.302 0.462 0.214
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1213 32.96 58.29% 0.521 0.4347 0.204
All Things Weaken 1494 28.45 47.52% -0.157 0.185 0.278
Attenuated Essence 208 29.4 56.25% 0.703 0.7767 -0.276
Back Against the Wall 1180 31.41 54.83% 0.627 0.7024 0.229
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 184 27.08 52.17% 0.323 0.5144 -0.093
Burn Brightest Before the End 179 31.07 55.31% 0.736 0.8601 -0.086
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1308 28.14 51.07% 0.279 0.6516 -0.139
Downward Spiral 1678 27.88 54.95% 0.638 0.775 0.167
Erosion of Will 1366 28.45 51.02% -0.287 0.0081 -0.003
Intensifying Exploitation 196 24.85 39.8% 0.064 0.3022 -0.057
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 623 32.78 76.08% 0.573 0.0412 0.998
Memory Fades to Dust 1680 28.63 54.17% 0.401 0.6817 0.04
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1530 28.52 54.71% 0.327 0.4801 0.028
Promising Farmlands 1275 28.77 49.96% 0.322 0.6682 -0.059
Shattered Fragments of Power 153 26.53 45.75% 0.222 0.4173 0.244
Slow Dissolution of Will 184 24.49 41.85% 0.137 0.5882 -0.015
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 392 33.77 81.12% 1.259 0.5184 0.862
The Border of Life and Death 42 26.93 69.05% 0.65 0.2165 0.297
Thriving Communities 1550 27.71 50.97% 0.094 0.3925 0.18
Thriving Crops 78 29.5 58.97% 0.335 0.2327 0.269
Unnatural Proliferation 1594 29.66 51.63% 0.096 0.2411 0.052
Untended Land Crumbles 1608 28.47 52.8% 0.325 0.6243 -0.116

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10817 47.15% 29.59 64.69% 0.431 1.4251 0.428
B 11152 46.09% 29.78 66.43% 0.343 1.2607 0.402
C 11684 45.59% 29.25 64.75% 0.183 0.9253 0.261
D 9688 47.23% 29.65 65.61% 0.163 1.1146 0.281
E 9966 44.91% 29.16 63.55% 0.151 0.9321 0.181
F 8960 46.37% 30.06 65.1% 0.012 0.905 0.22
G 8050 46.79% 30.18 67.03% 0.395 1.2501 0.294
H 8136 46.99% 30.55 65.09% 0.363 1.2113 0.399
East 1833 43.98% 31.62 57.5% -0.579 0.1905 -0.918
Northeast 1196 40.0% 32.94 59.7% -0.206 0.5815 -1.142
Northwest 1041 39.61% 32.65 60.81% -0.292 0.6911 -0.21
Southeast 805 39.47% 32.03 57.76% 0.54 1.4148 -0.572
Southwest 756 41.66% 30.7 54.37% -0.944 0.2636 -0.764
West 1685 46.42% 31.12 56.38% -0.059 0.8754 -0.23

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 421 0.0% 15.49 57.01% -0.456 0.1735 -0.062
Not Using Events or Tokens 461 33.17% 19.75 71.58% -0.677 -0.1706 -0.099
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1087 17.37% 38.85 68.63% 0.11 -0.5249 -0.795
Start of Game Growth 1537 22.2% 36.42 69.1% -0.242 -0.6312 0.896
Unlimited Undo 4003 39.96% 31.28 67.72% -0.257 -0.2125 0.721
Using Tokens but Not Events 4552 33.64% 21.31 62.61% -0.389 -0.4156 -0.6

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3026 100.0% 33.67 100.0% 0.042 -0.0808 0.055
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 556 102.7% 28.26 102.88% 0.257 0.4982 -0.086
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 44 65.91% 34.48 63.64% 0.313 -0.6881 0.422
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 871 100.0% 27.07 100.0% -0.355 -0.5824 0.174
Downpour Drenches the World 801 100.0% 28.38 100.0% -0.726 -0.4013 -0.634
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 612 100.0% 23.85 100.0% -0.478 -0.9776 -0.542
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1033 100.0% 30.8 100.0% 0.244 -0.2173 0.054
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 931 100.0% 29.58 100.0% -0.192 -0.6216 0.033
Finder of Paths Unseen 465 100.0% 31.98 100.0% -0.267 0.556 0.107
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1645 100.0% 42.71 100.0% 0.423 1.0206 -0.035
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1296 100.0% 30.79 100.0% -0.027 -0.0278 0.191
Heart of the Wildfire 708 100.0% 25.83 100.0% -0.193 0.1911 0.167
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2562 101.05% 33.5 100.98% 0.289 -0.206 -0.016
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 53 49.06% 31.77 52.83% -0.086 -0.6327 -0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike 665 273.63% 27.82 209.62% -0.002 0.1813 -0.195
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 751 42.78% 37.28 63.78% 0.281 -0.2556 0.279
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 595 26.98% 21.12 48.4% -1.048 -1.3392 0.071
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 532 40.99% 33.4 71.8% 0.031 -0.1169 0.774
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1797 100.0% 31.94 100.0% 0.005 -0.2459 -0.143
Many Minds Move as One 810 100.0% 29.89 100.0% -0.169 -0.3257 -0.388
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1404 100.0% 32.41 100.0% -0.071 -0.0599 0.027
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 894 100.0% 29.12 100.0% 0.074 -0.0722 0.177
River Surges in Sunlight 869 170.22% 33.64 143.38% 0.757 0.7947 0.587
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 708 33.33% 30.52 60.03% -0.186 0.0742 0.232
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 251 42.8% 33.86 62.55% 0.438 0.3873 -0.202
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4826 100.0% 40.15 100.0% 0.447 0.2729 0.798
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 195 274.24% 25.99 211.79% 0.187 0.7989 0.119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 53.01% 31.83 66.27% -0.13 -0.0264 -0.089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 43 41.86% 27.58 72.09% 0.6 0.0183 -0.349
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 114 40.35% 26.4 65.79% 0.028 0.0744 -0.345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 226 48.43% 26.81 65.93% -0.239 -0.1584 -0.619
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 205 52.2% 28.58 69.76% 0.171 0.3789 0.154
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 969 112.58% 32.41 106.3% 1.196 1.275 0.461
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 176 30.29% 29.71 65.34% 0.53 0.2075 0.077
Shroud of Silent Mist 1320 100.0% 26.85 100.0% -0.405 -0.0377 -0.975
Starlight Seeks its Form 1961 100.0% 34.87 100.0% 0.186 -0.0413 0.487
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1527 100.0% 29.02 100.0% -0.364 -0.7205 -0.203
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 879 100.0% 30.54 100.0% 0.159 0.292 0.544
Thunderspeaker 1077 106.41% 31.03 105.01% -0.291 -0.2621 0.136
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 104 33.65% 19.58 48.08% -0.595 -0.3552 1.041
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 836 100.0% 27.51 100.0% -0.026 0.1651 -0.139
Vital Strength of the Earth 587 186.42% 28.43 167.29% -0.15 0.4073 -0.328
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 536 32.71% 31.18 48.88% -0.621 -0.2115 -0.401
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 278 46.21% 26.82 56.47% -0.183 0.5447 -0.488
Volcano Looming High 1307 100.0% 28.67 100.0% 0.113 0.132 -0.37
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 281 100.0% 27.68 100.0% 0.233 -0.3604 -0.1

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 86.44%
Elemental Teachings 96.34%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.37%
Study the Invaders' Fears 85.63%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9411 17.67 4.03%
II 11483 30.7 57.49%
III 14515 34.75 90.09%
IV 7054 38.22 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 362
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12734
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6259
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6905
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4600
Lose: Invader deck ran out 317
Lose: Adversary condition 3679
Win: Sacrifice victory 597
Lose: Scenario condition 397
Win: Scenario condition 229
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6102
Lose: Spirit destroyed 282

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.822 Win Model: -0.118

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.549 Win Model: 0.204
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 19590 56.39% 24.94 60.01%
2 12533 49.52% 29.95 66.94%
3 5403 45.38% 31.17 66.33%
4 3113 37.06% 33.66 68.01%
5 389 28.5% 29.81 70.18%
6 1435 26.53% 36.28 67.39%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)