Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 100 20.0% 16.17 47.0% -0.657 -0.6843 -0.848
Blitz 0 643 28.71% 28.72 65.16% -0.271 -0.021 -0.675
Dahan Insurrection 4 1093 37.91% 30.13 20.04% -0.101 -0.3496 -1.078
Despicable Theft 2 212 44.81% 22.49 40.09% -0.451 0.011 -0.985
Elemental Invocation 1 400 47.37% 20.17 42.25% -0.842 -0.1387 -1.137
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2243 15.58% 33.02 58.31% -0.659 -1.2113 0.563
Powers Long Forgotten 1 216 46.76% 16.83 32.87% -0.426 0.1971 -1.683
Rituals of Terror 3 179 44.69% 30.06 40.78% -1.025 -0.832 -0.329
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 62.09% 24.18 45.05% 0.14 1.0627 0.18
Second Wave 0 1782 39.87% 24.71 68.57% 0.458 0.5752 0.597
The Great River 3 141 32.62% 20.31 29.79% -1.436 -0.3678 -1.267
Varied Terrains 2 190 52.63% 20.89 39.47% -0.296 0.4455 -1.772
Ward the Shores 2 257 44.36% 19.29 31.91% -0.075 1.0085 -0.948

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24992 53.17% 22.1 55.53% -1.062 -0.5356 -1.048
1 Thematic 1132 47.52% 19.56 40.37% -1.409 -0.5546 -0.427
2 Archipelago 131 48.85% 30.98 64.12% -0.982 0.0729 -0.964
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11501 49.19% 28.07 61.33% -0.604 -0.3266 -1.434
2 Coastline 1836 43.43% 26.93 64.27% -0.275 -0.1729 -1.101
2 Fragment 317 49.35% 26.74 68.77% 0.354 0.367 -0.124
2 Heart 272 52.59% 26.79 63.6% -0.306 -0.1945 -0.744
2 Opposite Shores 3184 40.81% 24.36 55.24% -0.699 -0.3631 -1.877
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 1103 44.74% 27.36 51.95% -0.285 0.4043 -0.516
2 Top to Top 541 47.03% 29.17 69.13% -0.765 -0.5231 -1.34
3 Archipelago 72 50.0% 32.25 61.11% 0.88 0.1593 -1.558
3 Coastline 125 28.23% 24.61 82.4% 0.72 0.3796 -1.153
3 Other 654 28.35% 20.9 50.31% -0.614 -1.2157 -0.346
3 Round (Default) 6701 46.08% 30.29 64.77% -0.059 -0.0531 -1.834
3 Sunrise 33 45.45% 21.42 45.45% 0.0 -0.0616 -0.761
3 Thematic 272 41.18% 24.79 50.74% 0.233 0.3171 -0.377
4 Archipelago 67 47.76% 33.76 64.18% 0.0 0.1505 -0.821
4 Coastline 29 10.34% 29.66 89.66% 0.225 -0.5332 -0.123
4 Leaf 47 44.68% 34.74 51.06% -0.997 -0.8596 -2.56
4 Other 305 36.39% 27.7 63.28% 0.398 -0.2208 -0.649
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.3905 -0.614
4 Thematic 482 40.87% 35.27 61.0% -0.546 -0.2782 -1.465
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3455 35.42% 28.34 61.59% -0.869 -0.7045 -2.668
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 38.65 76.92% 0.0 -0.8784 -0.444
5 Coastline 19 5.26% 19.58 68.42% 0.0 0.0963 0.035
5 Other 588 34.7% 30.79 65.65% 0.574 0.1885 -2.396
5 Thematic 116 42.24% 38.51 47.41% -0.028 -0.8256 -1.367
6 Archipelago 47 21.28% 48.64 70.21% -0.229 -1.3392 -1.836
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 13.82 27.27% 0.0 -0.8372 -0.742
6 Other 306 32.03% 28.46 64.38% -0.863 -0.8934 -3.199
6 Star 122 24.59% 30.89 66.39% -0.69 -0.7071 -2.659
6 Thematic 538 22.22% 27.17 51.67% -1.028 -0.9255 -2.304
6 Two Centers (Default) 1308 20.49% 39.4 61.24% -0.745 -0.1798 -3.821
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 52.88 75.0% 0.0 -0.0747 -0.562
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 32 21.88% 17.34 28.13% -0.732 -1.1662 -2.659

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1828 29.37 55.58% 0.059 0.3084 0.494
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1512 32.23 57.67% 0.103 -0.0149 0.433
All Things Weaken 1949 27.12 47.2% -0.028 0.3087 0.458
Attenuated Essence 421 28.91 54.16% 0.549 0.5756 0.355
Back Against the Wall 1493 31.03 54.19% -0.172 -0.1709 0.534
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 425 25.75 46.59% -0.406 -0.1883 0.313
Burn Brightest Before the End 395 28.57 52.66% 0.231 0.2121 -0.021
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1661 27.02 50.09% 0.261 0.6539 0.129
Downward Spiral 2187 26.48 54.28% 0.549 0.6576 0.376
Erosion of Will 1744 27.24 50.17% -0.182 0.1705 0.199
Intensifying Exploitation 430 23.85 41.4% -0.177 0.0686 0.05
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 798 31.09 73.31% 0.923 0.3993 1.039
Memory Fades to Dust 2197 27.16 52.71% 0.064 0.3113 0.319
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1951 27.19 52.49% 0.434 0.6557 0.291
Promising Farmlands 1653 27.38 47.97% 0.086 0.3687 0.141
Shattered Fragments of Power 367 26.05 46.59% 0.356 0.4325 0.413
Slow Dissolution of Will 408 24.09 43.38% -0.119 0.2779 0.168
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 508 31.8 79.13% 0.675 -0.0207 1.365
The Border of Life and Death 123 27.59 67.48% 0.834 0.2328 -0.14
Thriving Communities 2032 26.47 49.9% 0.45 0.8066 0.387
Thriving Crops 194 28.44 55.67% 0.685 0.4889 0.75
Unnatural Proliferation 2030 28.77 50.2% -0.275 -0.113 0.298
Untended Land Crumbles 2070 27.24 51.74% 0.301 0.5326 0.134

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15788 43.59% 26.88 59.2% 0.281 1.2857 0.444
B 15965 43.31% 27.52 61.45% 0.559 1.4782 0.433
C 16594 43.4% 27.05 59.93% 0.159 0.8937 0.26
D 13940 44.62% 27.29 60.37% -0.028 0.9499 0.247
E 14135 43.0% 27.33 59.33% 0.194 1.0137 0.311
F 12847 43.71% 27.72 59.98% -0.031 0.8431 0.255
G 11349 44.18% 28.33 62.25% 0.454 1.263 0.296
H 11602 43.94% 27.86 59.3% 0.56 1.3749 0.386
East 2957 39.72% 27.46 50.86% -0.308 0.5951 -1.24
Northeast 1946 36.41% 29.09 54.52% -0.376 0.4324 -1.149
Northwest 1730 35.23% 28.9 55.72% 0.228 1.1278 -0.605
Southeast 1259 34.77% 26.77 48.77% -1.369 -0.5186 -0.76
Southwest 1191 35.62% 25.66 46.35% -0.626 0.7497 -1.084
West 2728 40.57% 27.24 50.66% -0.251 0.7035 -0.78

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 675 0.0% 13.13 48.44% -1.233 -0.5247 -0.148
Not Using Events or Tokens 757 34.09% 15.92 60.24% -0.337 0.0307 -0.185
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1704 16.11% 39.37 63.38% 0.771 0.1859 -0.74
Start of Game Growth 2389 19.79% 35.23 62.41% 0.556 0.0416 1.155
Unlimited Undo 5856 37.79% 30.13 62.57% 0.129 0.0198 0.737
Using Tokens but Not Events 6724 32.56% 19.22 57.81% -0.098 -0.1234 -0.586

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4164 30.59% 30.86 65.78% 0.18 0.0746 0.121
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 446 20.05% 38.61 52.02% 0.747 0.2667 -0.23
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 725 47.35% 25.74 60.28% -0.546 -0.4206 -0.188
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 197 45.69% 30.31 59.39% 0.177 -0.6698 0.586
Dances Up Earthquakes 150 27.33% 44.71 63.33% 0.288 0.3246 0.421
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1283 35.09% 24.01 62.04% 0.378 0.2414 0.102
Downpour Drenches the World 1302 31.38% 26.56 49.23% 0.13 0.3363 -0.448
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1108 37.27% 23.63 51.53% 0.251 -0.3594 -0.205
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1426 34.32% 28.7 69.0% -0.163 -0.5385 0.185
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1273 36.64% 27.38 68.42% 0.164 -0.2263 -0.088
Finder of Paths Unseen 648 34.95% 28.5 53.4% -1.252 -0.5328 0.029
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2555 29.16% 39.26 56.56% -0.004 0.6068 0.027
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1727 46.31% 27.68 63.87% -0.522 -0.6211 0.29
Heart of the Wildfire 1003 57.01% 23.29 55.33% -0.308 0.0285 -0.047
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3341 37.76% 31.86 67.88% 0.245 -0.186 0.003
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 200 42.5% 27.85 55.5% 0.457 0.1421 0.042
Lightning's Swift Strike 1035 41.26% 24.2 61.74% 0.452 0.6816 -0.556
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1143 40.7% 36.55 63.6% 0.618 0.1739 0.544
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 724 27.15% 20.51 48.48% 0.153 -0.158 0.1
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 732 37.52% 30.34 66.53% 0.276 0.1339 0.67
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2487 42.78% 29.87 63.73% -0.439 -0.6669 -0.127
Many Minds Move as One 1166 38.73% 27.56 62.52% 0.429 0.1867 -0.359
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2093 38.33% 29.51 63.31% 0.075 0.1836 0.15
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 127 39.84% 23.27 51.97% -0.321 -0.2021 -0.301
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1292 40.99% 26.18 65.56% 0.219 0.1727 0.141
River Surges in Sunlight 1173 39.72% 30.16 70.33% 0.501 0.6318 0.466
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 161 24.22% 41.14 47.83% 0.703 0.8782 -0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1046 33.88% 26.02 51.43% -0.676 -0.3778 -0.053
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 435 38.02% 28.14 56.09% 0.726 0.6421 -0.268
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6511 35.0% 38.44 64.2% 0.384 0.2728 0.905
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 43 23.26% 12.14 30.23% -0.775 -0.8935 -1.252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 341 59.33% 23.18 61.58% 0.288 0.7824 0.465
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 145 46.21% 26.39 60.0% -0.891 -0.9421 0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 44.83% 27.92 66.9% 1.007 0.4964 0.088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 160 42.14% 25.48 60.0% -0.436 -0.5641 0.037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 333 41.95% 22.97 59.76% 0.168 0.1797 -0.744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 260 47.67% 25.57 63.85% -0.879 -0.7438 0.216
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1217 37.06% 30.09 75.6% 0.815 0.864 0.648
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 376 35.47% 27.83 61.97% 0.451 0.2359 0.067
Shroud of Silent Mist 1699 57.08% 25.07 56.62% -0.49 -0.1621 -0.789
Starlight Seeks its Form 2868 36.24% 32.14 62.69% -0.135 -0.2346 0.223
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2115 45.39% 26.57 59.57% -0.588 -1.1186 -0.29
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1210 36.3% 27.72 69.83% 0.155 0.2317 0.433
Thunderspeaker 1566 38.2% 27.91 64.11% -0.042 -0.0056 0.132
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 200 33.17% 20.25 46.5% -0.385 -0.326 0.95
Towering Roots of the Jungle 162 32.72% 25.28 52.47% -0.719 -0.5695 0.002
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1213 55.22% 26.25 56.97% -0.079 0.0673 -0.112
Vital Strength of the Earth 830 33.82% 26.02 64.7% 0.478 1.0459 -0.326
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 836 29.46% 28.21 47.13% -0.134 0.3867 -0.422
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 405 40.2% 24.36 54.07% -0.84 -0.0983 -0.483
Volcano Looming High 1782 48.73% 26.91 61.45% -0.512 -0.4973 -0.392
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 773 34.8% 26.79 62.1% 0.124 -0.1677 -0.003

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 87.58%
Elemental Teachings 96.51%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.69%
Study the Invaders' Fears 86.52%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16710 13.33 2.79%
II 15284 30.1 55.54%
III 19290 34.83 89.64%
IV 9342 38.67 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 444
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16855
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8035
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9154
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11166
Lose: Invader deck ran out 427
Lose: Adversary condition 4685
Win: Sacrifice victory 772
Lose: Scenario condition 505
Win: Scenario condition 296
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7942
Lose: Spirit destroyed 345

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.397 Win Model: -0.12

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.279 Win Model: -0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 27787 52.74% 22.21 54.22%
2 17851 47.02% 27.83 62.64%
3 7685 44.16% 29.09 63.01%
4 4388 35.73% 29.55 61.51%
5 608 32.12% 27.82 63.65%
6 2307 21.96% 34.68 59.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)