Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 97 18.56% 16.28 47.42% -0.998 -0.8076 -0.851
Blitz 0 635 28.75% 28.84 65.67% -0.15 0.0679 -0.675
Dahan Insurrection 4 1089 37.87% 30.17 20.11% 0.219 -0.0341 -1.071
Despicable Theft 2 212 44.81% 22.49 40.09% -0.53 0.0563 -0.984
Elemental Invocation 1 397 47.22% 20.24 42.57% -0.733 0.0068 -1.132
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2231 15.57% 33.1 58.4% -0.606 -1.168 0.57
Powers Long Forgotten 1 216 46.76% 16.83 32.87% -0.369 0.3906 -1.676
Rituals of Terror 3 178 44.94% 30.23 41.01% -0.702 -0.5817 -0.314
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 182 62.09% 24.18 45.05% 0.115 1.0226 0.179
Second Wave 0 1776 39.95% 24.69 68.52% 0.213 0.3513 0.598
The Great River 3 141 32.62% 20.31 29.79% -1.719 -0.6188 -1.263
Varied Terrains 2 189 52.38% 20.81 39.15% -1.066 -0.29 -1.777
Ward the Shores 2 254 44.09% 19.1 31.1% -0.593 0.4814 -0.949

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24811 53.29% 22.16 55.6% -0.966 -0.6334 -1.049
1 Thematic 1124 47.59% 19.59 40.39% -1.42 -0.7342 -0.428
2 Archipelago 131 48.85% 30.98 64.12% -1.23 -0.6227 -0.971
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11443 49.32% 28.1 61.35% -0.64 -0.5203 -1.432
2 Coastline 1823 43.74% 27.02 64.29% -0.044 -0.1158 -1.102
2 Fragment 312 49.18% 26.59 68.27% 0.252 0.0672 -0.119
2 Heart 271 52.79% 26.77 63.47% -0.329 -0.4863 -0.742
2 Opposite Shores 3166 40.81% 24.41 55.4% -0.549 -0.3974 -1.877
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0816 0.0
2 Thematic 1099 44.72% 27.44 52.14% -0.029 0.4794 -0.518
2 Top to Top 538 47.29% 29.3 69.33% -0.595 -0.6537 -1.34
3 Archipelago 71 50.7% 32.1 60.56% 0.235 -0.7169 -1.557
3 Coastline 124 27.64% 24.64 82.26% 0.722 0.3116 -1.153
3 Other 653 28.4% 20.93 50.38% -0.684 -1.4554 -0.363
3 Round (Default) 6626 46.09% 30.38 64.68% -0.235 -0.3264 -1.838
3 Sunrise 33 45.45% 21.42 45.45% 0.0 -0.096 -0.78
3 Thematic 269 41.64% 24.53 50.56% -0.031 -0.0107 -0.435
4 Archipelago 67 47.76% 33.76 64.18% 0.0 -0.5301 -0.832
4 Coastline 29 10.34% 29.66 89.66% 0.199 0.1132 -0.12
4 Leaf 47 44.68% 34.74 51.06% -1.121 -1.2827 -2.562
4 Other 304 36.51% 27.66 63.16% 0.493 -0.2178 -0.648
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.4433 -0.612
4 Thematic 477 41.3% 35.64 61.64% -0.137 -0.0138 -1.441
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3437 35.37% 28.45 61.83% -0.992 -0.9946 -2.651
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 38.65 76.92% -0.908 -0.9377 -0.438
5 Coastline 19 5.26% 19.58 68.42% 0.0 -0.1459 0.034
5 Other 587 34.59% 30.84 65.76% 0.859 0.3454 -2.399
5 Thematic 114 42.11% 38.92 47.37% -0.25 -0.3075 -1.357
6 Archipelago 46 21.74% 49.7 71.74% -0.112 -1.1503 -1.831
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 13.82 27.27% -0.402 -1.3618 -0.738
6 Other 306 32.03% 28.46 64.38% -0.501 -0.605 -3.197
6 Star 121 24.79% 31.15 66.94% 0.048 0.0348 -2.656
6 Thematic 536 22.31% 27.21 51.68% -0.356 -0.0703 -2.294
6 Two Centers (Default) 1296 20.37% 39.19 61.27% -1.215 -0.6822 -3.814
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 52.88 75.0% 0.0 0.0647 -0.559
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 32 21.88% 17.34 28.13% -0.614 -1.1722 -2.669

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1822 29.38 55.65% 0.041 0.2918 0.496
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1505 32.28 57.74% 0.236 0.1778 0.437
All Things Weaken 1934 27.15 47.16% -0.023 0.3121 0.463
Attenuated Essence 420 28.94 54.29% 0.625 0.6585 0.354
Back Against the Wall 1486 31.0 54.17% -0.354 -0.3187 0.523
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 421 25.89 46.79% -0.17 0.047 0.314
Burn Brightest Before the End 394 28.57 52.54% 0.319 0.3298 -0.017
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1650 27.1 50.06% 0.46 0.8046 0.131
Downward Spiral 2176 26.55 54.37% 0.792 0.9097 0.389
Erosion of Will 1734 27.27 50.17% -0.022 0.2524 0.191
Intensifying Exploitation 426 23.87 40.85% -0.284 -0.0733 0.049
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 789 31.24 73.26% 0.835 0.2628 1.039
Memory Fades to Dust 2190 27.22 52.74% 0.132 0.3844 0.322
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1944 27.19 52.52% 0.203 0.4077 0.288
Promising Farmlands 1648 27.36 47.94% 0.009 0.2627 0.142
Shattered Fragments of Power 362 26.07 46.96% 0.414 0.4879 0.404
Slow Dissolution of Will 403 24.12 43.42% 0.117 0.4986 0.199
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 504 31.89 79.17% 0.704 0.0301 1.362
The Border of Life and Death 123 27.59 67.48% 0.84 0.2393 -0.141
Thriving Communities 2022 26.52 49.9% 0.425 0.7069 0.393
Thriving Crops 192 28.39 55.21% 0.335 0.1946 0.747
Unnatural Proliferation 2024 28.77 50.1% -0.373 -0.1691 0.299
Untended Land Crumbles 2059 27.31 51.87% 0.68 0.8698 0.137

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15675 43.64% 26.94 59.29% 0.18 1.178 0.445
B 15859 43.41% 27.56 61.47% 0.358 1.2803 0.433
C 16482 43.46% 27.11 60.02% 0.18 0.9087 0.267
D 13826 44.67% 27.34 60.43% -0.105 0.854 0.251
E 14039 42.96% 27.35 59.36% 0.184 1.0031 0.307
F 12764 43.76% 27.75 60.06% 0.007 0.8892 0.26
G 11279 44.25% 28.33 62.26% 0.394 1.2196 0.294
H 11521 44.04% 27.87 59.27% 0.398 1.2364 0.386
East 2935 39.85% 27.56 51.04% -0.869 0.0056 -1.249
Northeast 1933 36.5% 29.15 54.63% -0.387 0.365 -1.138
Northwest 1719 35.4% 28.96 55.85% 0.555 1.4467 -0.601
Southeast 1248 35.0% 26.97 49.12% -1.058 -0.2188 -0.759
Southwest 1184 35.74% 25.76 46.45% -0.19 1.1149 -1.122
West 2714 40.7% 27.29 50.74% -0.274 0.6758 -0.761

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 674 0.0% 13.15 48.52% -1.349 -0.6203 -0.141
Not Using Events or Tokens 744 33.95% 16.02 60.62% -0.173 0.173 -0.019
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1685 16.05% 39.33 63.5% 1.176 0.5736 -0.739
Start of Game Growth 2369 19.79% 35.16 62.47% 0.288 -0.2157 1.151
Unlimited Undo 5810 37.91% 30.14 62.56% 0.102 -0.0054 0.738
Using Tokens but Not Events 6663 32.59% 19.26 57.84% -0.114 -0.1436 -0.588

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4134 30.67% 30.94 65.8% 0.31 0.2147 0.116
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 432 19.77% 38.09 51.85% 0.999 0.5227 -0.203
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 721 47.2% 25.79 60.06% -0.935 -0.8224 -0.189
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 195 45.64% 30.62 60.0% 0.324 -0.4886 0.601
Dances Up Earthquakes 142 27.46% 45.0 63.38% 0.533 0.5242 0.393
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1278 35.15% 24.04 62.05% 0.352 0.2123 0.1
Downpour Drenches the World 1292 31.46% 26.6 49.07% -0.173 0.0543 -0.441
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1100 37.27% 23.66 51.55% 0.52 -0.0499 -0.208
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1417 34.54% 28.79 69.09% -0.124 -0.5114 0.19
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1269 36.6% 27.43 68.48% 0.252 -0.142 -0.087
Finder of Paths Unseen 644 35.16% 28.61 53.57% -1.067 -0.3388 0.024
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2532 29.27% 39.25 56.6% 0.101 0.7412 0.021
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1716 46.5% 27.77 63.99% -0.494 -0.6274 0.286
Heart of the Wildfire 995 57.07% 23.41 55.58% -0.233 0.0962 -0.047
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3315 37.75% 31.98 68.05% -0.01 -0.4334 0.002
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 199 42.21% 27.88 55.78% 0.795 0.4888 0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike 1027 41.19% 24.24 61.73% 0.629 0.8666 -0.59
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1141 40.69% 36.52 63.54% 0.591 0.1833 0.531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 724 27.15% 20.51 48.48% 0.301 -0.0184 0.103
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 727 37.59% 30.32 66.57% -0.024 -0.1044 0.651
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2475 42.9% 29.89 63.8% -0.516 -0.7086 -0.131
Many Minds Move as One 1159 38.79% 27.6 62.47% 0.12 -0.0967 -0.357
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2080 38.33% 29.57 63.37% 0.039 0.1788 0.152
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 114 40.0% 25.03 56.14% -0.17 -0.0896 -0.059
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1287 40.99% 26.22 65.66% 0.076 -0.0027 0.14
River Surges in Sunlight 1166 39.53% 30.27 70.58% 0.451 0.5763 0.467
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 149 22.15% 39.95 45.64% -0.148 0.0301 -0.092
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1044 33.85% 26.04 51.44% -0.641 -0.3622 -0.062
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 433 37.96% 28.11 56.12% 0.574 0.451 -0.314
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6472 35.09% 38.45 64.2% 0.315 0.1884 0.901
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 42 21.43% 12.02 30.95% -0.739 -0.8515 -1.334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 338 59.26% 23.3 61.54% 0.368 0.8838 0.464
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 140 45.0% 27.14 62.14% 0.15 0.1312 0.151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 143 44.76% 27.69 67.13% 0.794 0.2911 0.157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 159 41.77% 25.53 60.38% -0.477 -0.6686 0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 333 41.95% 22.97 59.76% 0.184 0.1247 -0.741
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 260 47.67% 25.57 63.85% -1.068 -0.9862 0.212
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1209 36.97% 30.16 75.52% 0.72 0.7996 0.641
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 373 35.75% 27.82 61.66% -0.129 -0.3159 0.067
Shroud of Silent Mist 1698 57.12% 25.07 56.6% -0.525 -0.1742 -0.791
Starlight Seeks its Form 2840 36.17% 32.25 62.96% 0.019 -0.0989 0.237
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2109 45.42% 26.61 59.65% -0.523 -1.0358 -0.283
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1198 36.49% 27.77 69.78% 0.054 0.1715 0.432
Thunderspeaker 1548 38.33% 27.85 64.21% -0.217 -0.1851 0.083
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 199 33.33% 20.26 46.23% -0.533 -0.5197 0.937
Towering Roots of the Jungle 159 32.08% 25.34 52.83% -0.438 -0.3088 0.02
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1206 55.38% 26.28 57.13% -0.079 0.0469 -0.107
Vital Strength of the Earth 823 33.5% 26.06 64.64% 0.342 0.9418 -0.33
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 833 29.57% 28.17 47.06% -0.37 0.1238 -0.419
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 401 40.1% 24.53 54.61% 0.103 0.8008 -0.483
Volcano Looming High 1776 48.62% 26.93 61.49% -0.462 -0.4148 -0.392
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 769 34.46% 26.86 62.03% 0.033 -0.2574 -0.01

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 87.56%
Elemental Teachings 96.53%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.69%
Study the Invaders' Fears 86.52%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16564 13.42 2.8%
II 15180 30.13 55.56%
III 19172 34.83 89.64%
IV 9291 38.67 99.64%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 441
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16756
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7982
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 9103
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11025
Lose: Invader deck ran out 425
Lose: Adversary condition 4667
Win: Sacrifice victory 766
Lose: Scenario condition 504
Win: Scenario condition 294
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7899
Lose: Spirit destroyed 345

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.485 Win Model: -0.118

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.297 Win Model: -0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 27583 52.85% 22.25 54.27%
2 17760 47.14% 27.87 62.7%
3 7604 44.17% 29.17 62.94%
4 4364 35.72% 29.67 61.73%
5 605 32.11% 27.72 63.64%
6 2291 21.94% 34.58 59.93%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)