Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 47.06% 24.82 94.12% -0.01 -0.4565 -0.34
Blitz 0 317 29.84% 37.36 82.97% 0.348 0.8046 -0.535
Dahan Insurrection 4 414 68.84% 55.72 32.61% -0.45 -0.4301 -0.941
Despicable Theft 2 86 61.63% 33.06 60.47% 0.446 0.9585 -1.036
Elemental Invocation 1 157 58.6% 28.95 61.78% -0.071 0.6278 -1.316
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1295 17.32% 42.08 72.59% -0.549 -0.5075 0.034
Powers Long Forgotten 1 65 80.0% 28.74 53.85% 0.053 0.6145 -1.239
Rituals of Terror 3 74 67.57% 45.61 51.35% -0.289 -0.5769 -0.601
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 60 85.0% 34.57 61.67% 0.094 0.5242 0.471
Second Wave 0 860 39.69% 26.65 78.49% -0.244 0.2181 -0.196
The Great River 3 58 41.38% 30.52 43.1% -0.854 0.913 -1.008
Varied Terrains 2 50 70.0% 27.12 46.0% -0.262 0.5666 -1.253
Ward the Shores 2 97 56.7% 30.68 49.48% 0.169 0.9127 -0.978

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13204 59.69% 27.58 68.14% -0.288 0.2624 -0.675
1 Thematic 446 60.76% 26.39 58.97% -0.484 0.5135 -0.16
2 Archipelago 100 61.0% 36.99 76.0% 0.106 0.7237 -0.665
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5563 56.34% 33.79 71.8% 0.002 0.4117 -0.776
2 Coastline 893 46.68% 32.84 75.03% -0.273 -0.1376 -0.616
2 Fragment 159 56.77% 31.53 73.58% 1.418 1.4133 0.268
2 Heart 129 59.84% 30.31 70.54% -0.718 -0.2428 -0.09
2 Opposite Shores 1411 50.71% 32.35 69.1% -0.267 0.0861 -1.538
2 Thematic 385 62.76% 32.96 51.95% -0.313 0.6161 -0.647
2 Top to Top 257 50.19% 33.94 75.88% -0.18 -0.0532 -0.958
3 Archipelago 58 53.45% 32.29 60.34% 0.075 0.2537 -1.296
3 Coastline 57 30.36% 27.12 87.72% 0.187 -0.2292 -0.838
3 Other 284 43.62% 35.93 83.1% 0.687 -0.0324 0.367
3 Round (Default) 3098 48.38% 35.49 74.76% -0.201 -0.0076 -1.225
3 Sunrise 14 28.57% 30.5 85.71% 0.234 0.3832 0.182
3 Thematic 101 49.5% 35.08 70.3% 0.482 0.4972 0.197
4 Archipelago 52 55.77% 34.94 65.38% 0.0 -0.4195 -0.422
4 Coastline 18 11.11% 31.56 94.44% 0.899 0.8261 0.415
4 Leaf 19 42.11% 36.53 57.89% -0.802 -0.8984 -0.792
4 Other 142 49.3% 36.81 83.8% -0.051 -0.6674 -0.146
4 Thematic 274 41.61% 45.91 73.72% -0.155 0.1279 -1.395
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1569 39.0% 36.51 76.86% -0.921 -0.7334 -1.862
5 Archipelago 20 55.0% 45.3 95.0% 0.139 -0.2451 -0.279
5 Coastline 12 0.0% 26.42 91.67% 0.045 0.1523 0.076
5 Other 247 32.79% 40.86 80.16% -0.137 -0.7675 -1.209
5 Thematic 52 50.0% 52.63 73.08% 0.145 -0.8298 -0.512
6 Archipelago 24 37.5% 48.21 87.5% -0.454 -0.5244 -1.053
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9494 0.0
6 Other 137 37.96% 32.56 71.53% -1.203 -1.4452 -2.418
6 Star 57 35.09% 37.49 78.95% -1.222 -0.6757 -1.741
6 Thematic 197 22.68% 41.77 80.71% -1.044 -0.9979 -1.037
6 Two Centers (Default) 392 28.28% 49.34 83.93% -0.957 -0.4936 -2.175
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 77.4 100.0% 0.334 0.1133 0.159
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 7 57.14% 36.86 71.43% -0.599 -0.9599 -1.504

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1133 31.18 58.52% -1.034 0.6964 -0.388
Aid From Lesser Spirits 994 33.6 58.65% -1.035 0.5405 -0.279
All Things Weaken 1194 30.05 50.5% -1.447 0.4311 -0.151
Back Against the Wall 952 32.35 54.94% -1.084 0.553 -0.182
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 2 46.5 100.0% 0.248 1.6963 0.0
Burn Brightest Before the End 3 17.33 100.0% 0.256 1.2646 0.0
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1070 28.84 52.15% -0.955 0.8881 -0.647
Downward Spiral 1322 28.81 55.37% -1.052 0.6459 -0.397
Erosion of Will 1107 29.68 53.3% -1.537 0.3628 -0.324
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 478 34.74 80.96% 0.393 0.8932 0.682
Memory Fades to Dust 1331 29.76 55.07% -1.043 0.8333 -0.362
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1221 29.43 55.94% -1.146 0.5591 -0.388
Promising Farmlands 1020 29.84 51.18% -1.696 0.1797 -0.433
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 24.0 0.0% -0.31 0.8459 -0.38
Slow Dissolution of Will 2 32.5 50.0% -0.534 0.9368 0.436
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 305 35.72 83.93% 0.336 0.5463 0.666
Thriving Communities 1228 29.11 52.44% -1.373 0.4971 -0.269
Unnatural Proliferation 1277 30.97 52.47% -1.36 0.394 -0.344
Untended Land Crumbles 1230 29.36 54.15% -1.427 0.3876 -0.625

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7201 51.96% 33.19 71.48% 0.433 1.2102 0.422
B 7400 50.39% 33.42 74.22% 0.134 0.8372 0.425
C 7763 50.43% 32.94 73.21% 0.204 0.7315 0.289
D 6471 50.92% 33.11 73.37% 0.114 0.8488 0.196
E 6675 49.78% 33.34 72.25% 0.266 0.8503 0.289
F 6109 49.76% 33.37 71.83% -0.013 0.6942 0.224
G 5524 49.42% 33.3 74.2% 0.312 0.9538 0.293
H 5507 50.74% 34.23 72.45% 0.494 1.1388 0.391
East 1112 47.92% 38.25 66.64% -0.433 0.1587 -0.649
Northeast 713 42.68% 40.12 69.14% -0.174 0.5032 -0.954
Northwest 621 42.72% 39.3 68.76% 0.037 0.4745 -0.208
Southeast 538 43.45% 38.75 67.47% 0.028 0.6912 -0.308
Southwest 515 46.58% 36.96 64.27% -0.592 0.579 -0.251
West 1082 52.13% 36.76 62.75% -0.274 0.5434 -0.521

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 205 0.0% 18.89 72.2% -1.298 0.7775 0.687
Not Using Events or Tokens 323 33.56% 23.0 84.52% -0.236 -0.0641 -0.69
Skip Initial Invader Actions 649 18.94% 48.36 88.29% -0.091 -1.1498 0.144
Start of Game Growth 932 23.52% 44.85 87.23% 0.287 -0.135 1.446
Unlimited Undo 2717 44.06% 36.44 80.53% 0.237 -0.1784 0.961
Using Tokens but Not Events 2668 38.73% 26.89 78.04% 0.067 0.1826 -0.387

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1966 100.0% 38.79 100.0% 0.555 0.3756 -0.053
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 336 100.0% 31.56 100.0% -0.387 -0.3728 -0.099
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 575 100.0% 30.59 100.0% -0.003 -0.2482 0.321
Downpour Drenches the World 324 100.0% 38.26 100.0% -0.291 0.0961 -0.451
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 22 100.0% 25.5 100.0% -0.818 -0.5824 0.187
Eyes Watch From the Trees 714 100.0% 33.88 100.0% 0.252 -0.2209 -0.018
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 680 100.0% 32.62 100.0% -0.385 -0.8318 -0.124
Finder of Paths Unseen 165 100.0% 41.5 100.0% 0.624 0.9877 0.538
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1014 100.0% 50.63 100.0% -0.035 0.0687 0.084
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 956 100.0% 33.56 100.0% 0.309 0.2442 0.137
Heart of the Wildfire 504 100.0% 29.13 100.0% -0.205 0.0538 0.259
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1802 100.0% 36.48 100.0% 0.19 -0.3929 0.113
Lightning's Swift Strike 443 218.71% 30.06 145.37% -0.256 0.0122 -0.334
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 314 46.65% 45.32 75.8% 0.835 0.0208 0.557
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 278 41.3% 35.18 79.86% -0.683 -1.2251 0.481
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 367 43.96% 38.58 81.2% 0.143 -0.3351 0.671
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1336 100.0% 35.0 100.0% 0.093 -0.0285 -0.065
Many Minds Move as One 540 100.0% 33.45 100.0% -0.164 -0.7872 -0.581
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 983 100.0% 36.48 100.0% 0.261 0.1341 0.209
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 627 100.0% 31.25 100.0% 0.474 0.3908 0.278
River Surges in Sunlight 647 147.77% 35.63 121.02% -0.104 -0.2957 0.468
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 413 39.9% 39.3 73.61% -0.332 -0.0439 -0.232
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 110 42.73% 42.18 75.45% 0.32 -0.0426 0.175
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3230 100.0% 45.42 100.0% 0.663 0.4892 0.768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 117 262.5% 27.23 199.15% 0.042 0.4346 -0.513
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 62.5% 35.52 62.5% -0.057 0.0395 -0.341
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 43.86% 29.37 75.44% 0.191 0.2654 -0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 157 46.75% 29.04 73.25% -0.739 -0.7748 -0.246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 166 60.24% 30.82 72.89% -0.034 -0.0309 0.065
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 718 100.14% 35.29 100.0% 0.19 -0.0102 0.413
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 3 66.67% 18.33 100.0% 0.398 0.6928 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 1063 100.0% 28.95 100.0% 0.765 0.9485 -1.151
Starlight Seeks its Form 1190 100.0% 39.94 100.0% 0.371 0.2151 0.344
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1067 100.0% 32.12 100.0% -0.378 -0.641 -0.058
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 614 100.0% 33.61 100.0% -0.181 -0.1181 0.345
Thunderspeaker 759 100.13% 34.77 100.0% -0.461 -0.5375 0.095
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 0.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.087 0.2916 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 493 100.0% 30.5 100.0% 0.107 -0.1548 -0.121
Vital Strength of the Earth 424 152.71% 32.97 136.56% -0.249 0.5039 -0.271
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 238 41.77% 44.41 60.5% -0.41 0.1682 -0.384
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 179 51.96% 31.89 65.92% -0.296 0.8545 -0.385
Volcano Looming High 929 100.0% 31.3 100.0% -0.317 -0.3209 -0.388

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 85.07%
Elemental Teachings 95.96%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.03%
Study the Invaders' Fears 84.49%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4290 22.63 7.55%
II 8706 31.12 59.58%
III 11010 34.7 90.31%
IV 5447 37.97 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 309
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9666
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4908
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5326
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 55
Lose: Invader deck ran out 244
Lose: Adversary condition 2858
Win: Sacrifice victory 494
Lose: Scenario condition 317
Win: Scenario condition 181
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4876
Lose: Spirit destroyed 219

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.161 Win Model: -0.212

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.516 Win Model: 0.131
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14322 60.3% 28.12 67.29%
2 8576 53.56% 33.22 72.55%
3 3480 47.71% 35.12 74.94%
4 2068 38.97% 38.46 77.13%
5 214 24.3% 33.8 83.64%
6 793 29.86% 44.23 81.08%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)