Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 89 19.1% 17.3 49.44% -0.785 -0.7406 -0.724
Blitz 0 615 28.55% 29.24 66.34% 0.507 0.7212 -0.661
Dahan Insurrection 4 1082 38.11% 30.18 19.96% -0.594 -0.882 -1.062
Despicable Theft 2 206 45.15% 22.81 40.78% 0.208 0.9183 -0.978
Elemental Invocation 1 389 47.16% 20.34 42.42% -0.815 -0.1143 -1.141
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2209 15.64% 33.25 58.62% 0.515 -0.0854 0.557
Powers Long Forgotten 1 211 46.92% 16.99 33.18% -0.616 0.221 -1.686
Rituals of Terror 3 174 45.4% 30.84 41.95% -1.12 -1.0593 -0.346
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 176 61.93% 23.78 43.75% -0.437 0.5497 0.178
Second Wave 0 1729 39.98% 24.67 68.65% -0.27 -0.0202 0.548
The Great River 3 136 33.82% 20.91 30.88% -0.53 0.5356 -1.239
Varied Terrains 2 182 53.3% 21.05 39.01% -1.605 -0.7762 -1.759
Ward the Shores 2 250 44.8% 19.13 30.8% -1.327 -0.1434 -0.954

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 23989 53.53% 22.35 56.03% -0.844 -0.5707 -0.915
1 Thematic 1104 47.91% 19.85 40.94% -0.852 -0.277 -0.347
2 Archipelago 129 49.61% 31.46 65.12% -0.753 -0.0758 -0.892
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11123 49.63% 28.3 61.52% -0.488 -0.4199 -1.327
2 Coastline 1774 43.99% 27.26 64.43% -0.257 -0.4759 -0.971
2 Fragment 306 49.16% 26.76 68.63% 0.464 0.197 -0.012
2 Heart 258 53.13% 27.02 63.18% -0.375 -0.8454 -0.657
2 Opposite Shores 3087 41.17% 24.53 55.23% -0.564 -0.5863 -1.769
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5053 0.0
2 Thematic 1078 44.94% 27.46 52.41% -0.26 0.1131 -0.362
2 Top to Top 521 47.49% 29.61 69.48% -0.295 -0.5523 -1.203
3 Archipelago 70 51.43% 32.14 60.0% -0.061 -0.9836 -1.466
3 Coastline 116 26.09% 24.11 81.03% 0.424 -0.5392 -1.116
3 Other 644 28.01% 21.13 50.78% -0.282 -1.0461 -0.227
3 Round (Default) 6440 46.11% 30.52 64.8% -0.222 -0.3756 -1.731
3 Sunrise 33 45.45% 21.42 45.45% -0.41 -0.4879 -0.797
3 Thematic 259 42.08% 24.73 50.19% 0.189 0.0413 -0.379
4 Archipelago 67 47.76% 33.76 64.18% 0.0 -0.5272 -0.776
4 Coastline 28 10.71% 29.79 89.29% 0.131 0.0748 -0.079
4 Leaf 47 44.68% 34.74 51.06% -0.914 -1.0053 -2.497
4 Other 299 36.45% 27.72 63.21% 0.701 0.0165 -0.563
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 40.0 50.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.59
4 Thematic 472 41.31% 35.86 61.65% -0.345 -0.522 -1.401
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3287 35.19% 29.05 62.85% -0.632 -0.9618 -2.485
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 38.65 76.92% -1.173 0.0989 -0.401
5 Coastline 19 5.26% 19.58 68.42% 0.0 -0.5305 0.036
5 Other 571 35.04% 30.91 65.67% 0.548 -0.2021 -2.358
5 Thematic 111 42.34% 39.09 47.75% -0.53 -0.9165 -1.276
6 Archipelago 46 21.74% 49.7 71.74% 0.064 -0.9065 -1.784
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 13.82 27.27% -0.441 -1.021 -0.729
6 Other 301 32.23% 28.65 64.78% 0.484 0.0673 -3.161
6 Star 121 24.79% 31.15 66.94% -0.416 -0.081 -2.601
6 Thematic 527 22.12% 27.49 52.37% -0.091 -0.1395 -2.228
6 Two Centers (Default) 1236 20.47% 39.18 61.81% -0.762 -0.5476 -3.762
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 52.88 75.0% 0.0 -0.12 -0.532
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 27 22.22% 18.59 33.33% 0.073 -1.0085 -2.498

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1766 29.63 55.95% 0.485 0.5572 0.497
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1466 32.51 57.78% 0.524 0.4534 0.432
All Things Weaken 1880 27.37 47.39% -0.044 0.2146 0.453
Attenuated Essence 392 29.05 53.83% 0.979 0.9434 0.226
Back Against the Wall 1440 31.0 54.31% -0.692 -0.6379 0.524
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 399 26.07 47.87% -0.075 0.0702 0.294
Burn Brightest Before the End 378 28.85 52.91% 0.304 0.3205 0.003
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1616 27.19 49.88% -0.12 0.0685 0.119
Downward Spiral 2127 26.66 54.3% 0.794 0.8684 0.375
Erosion of Will 1711 27.47 50.5% 0.562 0.7167 0.209
Intensifying Exploitation 404 23.87 41.09% -0.599 -0.4635 -0.036
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 769 31.43 73.34% 0.64 0.0261 1.084
Memory Fades to Dust 2138 27.32 52.85% 0.543 0.7461 0.306
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1903 27.22 52.65% -0.272 -0.0975 0.262
Promising Farmlands 1604 27.37 48.07% 0.071 0.2689 0.13
Shattered Fragments of Power 348 25.46 46.26% -0.134 -0.1313 0.359
Slow Dissolution of Will 382 24.44 43.46% 0.578 0.8758 0.237
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 490 32.11 78.98% 0.774 0.0771 1.292
The Border of Life and Death 116 27.22 67.24% 0.591 0.093 -0.012
Thriving Communities 1974 26.51 49.44% -0.021 0.1356 0.389
Thriving Crops 181 28.63 55.25% 0.056 -0.2558 0.786
Unnatural Proliferation 1975 28.97 50.43% 0.133 0.242 0.279
Untended Land Crumbles 2017 27.39 51.81% 0.439 0.6211 0.102

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15187 43.8% 27.15 59.57% 0.02 0.9952 0.48
B 15373 43.57% 27.74 61.76% 0.085 0.9744 0.466
C 15984 43.56% 27.27 60.28% 0.064 0.7562 0.302
D 13392 44.87% 27.57 60.92% 0.136 1.0313 0.293
E 13605 43.1% 27.52 59.67% 0.623 1.3528 0.342
F 12320 44.18% 28.02 60.52% 0.266 1.0969 0.311
G 10921 44.42% 28.52 62.66% 0.48 1.2595 0.341
H 11145 44.05% 28.08 59.48% 0.255 1.0376 0.411
East 2878 39.94% 27.73 51.36% -1.082 -0.2726 -1.196
Northeast 1894 36.51% 29.33 55.07% 0.293 1.091 -1.007
Northwest 1689 35.43% 29.09 56.25% 0.362 1.0955 -0.553
Southeast 1226 34.98% 27.2 49.51% -0.585 0.3082 -0.682
Southwest 1164 35.93% 25.97 46.74% 0.054 1.3123 -1.038
West 2663 40.96% 27.47 51.07% -0.931 0.0666 -0.698

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 654 0.0% 13.39 49.24% -0.571 0.0965 -0.145
Not Using Events or Tokens 684 34.4% 16.4 61.55% 0.23 0.6509 -0.021
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1626 16.08% 39.05 63.71% 0.982 0.2126 -0.749
Start of Game Growth 2297 19.9% 34.91 62.65% 0.422 -0.0158 1.094
Unlimited Undo 5620 38.06% 30.19 62.85% 0.059 -0.0068 0.747
Using Tokens but Not Events 6419 32.55% 19.44 58.19% -0.447 -0.4902 -0.566

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4037 30.81% 31.15 65.92% 0.451 0.3565 0.078
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 375 18.5% 36.76 51.47% 0.508 -0.0003 -0.324
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 705 47.28% 26.17 60.99% -1.136 -0.9389 -0.17
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 145 41.38% 34.39 68.28% -0.135 -1.008 1.461
Dances Up Earthquakes 102 24.51% 50.44 67.65% 1.2 1.0612 0.562
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1247 35.14% 24.2 61.91% -0.095 -0.3174 0.051
Downpour Drenches the World 1250 31.24% 26.72 48.96% -0.079 0.227 -0.474
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1074 37.34% 23.74 51.49% 0.508 -0.0467 -0.264
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1379 34.33% 29.0 69.69% 0.473 0.0461 0.22
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1228 36.89% 27.61 68.73% -0.179 -0.5925 -0.11
Finder of Paths Unseen 639 35.28% 28.83 53.99% -0.011 0.6443 -0.046
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2456 29.6% 39.37 57.0% -0.096 0.4491 0.005
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1675 46.56% 28.02 64.18% -0.143 -0.2272 0.228
Heart of the Wildfire 968 57.32% 23.67 55.99% 0.146 0.4614 -0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3202 37.64% 32.32 69.08% 0.188 -0.2559 0.043
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 177 44.63% 28.57 53.67% 0.001 -0.292 -0.015
Lightning's Swift Strike 982 41.51% 24.5 61.3% 0.473 0.735 -0.614
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1104 41.33% 36.72 63.77% 0.44 0.1123 0.456
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 717 27.27% 20.43 48.4% 0.047 -0.3283 0.064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 709 37.84% 30.63 66.71% 0.257 0.3564 0.607
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2415 42.93% 30.14 64.47% -0.273 -0.472 -0.144
Many Minds Move as One 1123 39.23% 27.64 62.6% -0.265 -0.4796 -0.435
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2046 38.48% 29.76 63.54% -0.041 0.1064 0.108
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 84 46.25% 27.02 58.33% 0.363 0.4072 0.12
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1258 41.27% 26.28 65.66% -0.246 -0.3482 0.147
River Surges in Sunlight 1138 39.72% 30.45 70.65% -0.571 -0.5735 0.418
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 146 21.23% 39.79 45.89% -0.504 -0.2153 0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1010 33.3% 26.35 51.88% -0.385 -0.1817 -0.108
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 415 38.16% 28.49 55.18% -0.597 -0.8111 -0.358
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6307 35.42% 38.6 64.45% 0.312 0.1536 0.864
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 28 21.43% 8.39 25.0% -0.971 -1.3537 -1.283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 315 56.48% 23.79 60.63% -0.07 0.5058 0.455
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 44.12% 27.43 61.76% -0.172 -0.2313 0.169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 134 43.28% 27.13 66.42% 0.801 0.3729 0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 154 42.48% 25.44 60.39% -0.838 -0.8322 0.009
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 330 42.02% 22.96 59.7% 0.127 0.0681 -0.747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 256 48.03% 25.69 64.45% -0.395 -0.1881 0.165
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1194 37.02% 30.24 75.54% 0.322 0.3547 0.589
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 357 35.96% 28.1 61.34% -0.302 -0.4475 0.062
Shroud of Silent Mist 1661 57.67% 25.32 56.77% -0.503 -0.1352 -0.83
Starlight Seeks its Form 2708 36.09% 32.73 64.11% 0.365 0.2985 0.293
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2041 45.02% 26.85 60.41% -0.302 -0.7857 -0.353
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1184 36.76% 27.97 70.19% 0.615 0.7744 0.404
Thunderspeaker 1493 38.74% 28.13 64.43% -0.159 -0.1283 0.031
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 194 33.16% 20.16 46.39% -0.398 -0.2079 0.824
Towering Roots of the Jungle 136 31.62% 27.32 55.88% 0.381 0.5264 0.014
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1175 56.08% 26.25 57.11% 0.063 0.0828 -0.166
Vital Strength of the Earth 798 33.8% 26.17 64.41% -0.257 0.324 -0.309
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 820 29.55% 28.19 46.95% 0.286 0.7691 -0.485
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 393 40.41% 24.82 55.22% 0.176 0.7949 -0.488
Volcano Looming High 1718 49.04% 27.25 62.17% -0.121 -0.0858 -0.435
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 740 33.38% 27.06 62.43% 0.579 0.262 -0.067

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 87.47%
Elemental Teachings 96.53%
Share Secrets of Survival 95.66%
Study the Invaders' Fears 86.51%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15884 13.76 2.89%
II 14806 30.19 55.82%
III 18643 34.82 89.66%
IV 9034 38.63 99.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 436
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16295
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7828
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8847
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10386
Lose: Invader deck ran out 414
Lose: Adversary condition 4597
Win: Sacrifice victory 745
Lose: Scenario condition 497
Win: Scenario condition 289
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7695
Lose: Spirit destroyed 338

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.651 Win Model: -0.107

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.382 Win Model: -0.126
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 26701 53.06% 22.43 54.62%
2 17268 47.49% 28.07 62.87%
3 7393 44.12% 29.29 62.98%
4 4207 35.58% 30.2 62.54%
5 587 32.59% 27.69 63.54%
6 2211 22.01% 34.65 60.56%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)