Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 86 20.93% 26.31 74.42% -0.28 -0.9752 0.132
Blitz 0 1548 40.18% 27.58 66.73% -0.899 -0.4837 -0.78
Dahan Insurrection 4 1117 32.29% 51.69 73.23% -0.068 -0.6128 0.656
Despicable Theft 2 259 30.89% 31.45 65.25% -0.372 0.1533 -0.627
Elemental Invocation 1 386 42.49% 27.73 60.36% -1.248 -0.4997 -0.983
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11730 9.96% 52.99 82.49% 1.137 0.4729 1.031
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1112 36.1% 39.86 71.58% 0.146 0.7513 -1.455
Rituals of Terror 3 679 47.66% 37.76 65.39% 0.104 0.0392 -0.868
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 334 66.37% 31.5 47.31% 0.103 0.8798 -0.866
Second Wave 0 7390 38.69% 29.48 76.58% 0.457 0.5586 -0.594
The Great River 3 294 38.78% 31.98 62.59% -0.588 0.6605 -1.369
Varied Terrains 2 119 42.86% 25.01 55.46% -0.508 0.2323 -1.029
Ward the Shores 2 851 40.83% 34.44 60.99% -0.66 0.1211 -0.744

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 113437 36.39% 34.99 75.28% 0.291 0.6696 1.541
1 Thematic 5913 38.16% 35.89 70.1% 0.585 1.3163 1.307
2 Archipelago 60 35.0% 41.15 86.67% 0.0 0.4241 1.298
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32013 41.87% 32.52 74.97% 0.336 0.4953 1.126
2 Coastline 3473 41.91% 31.88 75.5% 0.173 -0.0074 0.996
2 Fragment 1168 41.48% 31.33 74.66% 0.808 0.8055 1.51
2 Heart 486 51.67% 28.95 69.34% 0.222 0.052 0.865
2 Opposite Shores 6516 35.73% 31.7 75.83% -0.213 -0.0559 0.344
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4663 0.0
2 Thematic 3070 44.99% 34.58 65.37% -0.434 0.3651 0.283
2 Top to Top 1037 44.08% 34.59 74.06% 0.12 -0.0436 1.336
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.0 -0.2504 0.682
3 Coastline 152 36.18% 31.06 76.32% 0.573 0.0957 0.773
3 Other 730 32.37% 29.93 77.67% 0.642 -0.3199 0.587
3 Round (Default) 18097 35.84% 34.13 77.62% 0.222 0.2098 0.298
3 Sunrise 168 22.62% 34.14 66.07% 0.322 0.0854 0.372
3 Thematic 920 45.33% 32.93 65.11% -0.237 -0.2682 -0.301
4 Archipelago 61 12.07% 34.82 68.85% -0.266 -0.4113 -0.476
4 Coastline 85 10.59% 32.71 85.88% 0.204 0.0359 -0.29
4 Leaf 80 42.5% 29.98 73.75% 0.415 0.8698 -1.121
4 Other 453 28.06% 32.36 86.75% 0.491 -0.1446 0.859
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.456 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4116 24.17% 49.77 78.45% 0.287 0.3847 -0.793
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14564 27.74% 37.24 77.58% -0.293 -0.2894 -0.785
5 Archipelago 27 44.44% 47.78 88.89% 0.0 -0.3107 0.454
5 Coastline 19 10.53% 30.79 94.74% 0.407 -0.5443 0.044
5 Other 441 36.78% 32.2 82.31% -0.16 -0.44 -0.471
5 Thematic 67 20.9% 37.13 79.1% 0.0 -0.2272 -1.419
6 Archipelago 48 18.75% 40.4 85.42% 0.352 -0.711 -0.993
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.539 -0.424 -0.324
6 Other 181 24.31% 27.14 75.69% 0.101 0.0448 -1.119
6 Star 126 30.95% 28.81 68.25% -0.965 -0.2923 -2.099
6 Thematic 652 16.44% 40.33 68.1% -1.723 -1.3634 -2.415
6 Two Centers (Default) 754 18.34% 25.83 60.88% -1.562 -1.1667 -3.219
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 32.14 42.86% -0.04 -0.3965 -0.857
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.653
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.29 -0.4372 -1.14

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7143 30.69 54.02% -0.03 0.0941 -0.766
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6182 33.02 56.84% 0.092 -0.0101 -0.523
All Things Weaken 2782 32.35 53.45% -0.307 -0.102 -0.701
Attenuated Essence 250 30.8 51.2% 0.018 0.091 -0.751
Back Against the Wall 5998 31.81 55.39% -0.123 -0.1333 -0.553
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 276 28.42 46.74% 0.35 0.5429 -0.99
Burn Brightest Before the End 251 32.15 49.8% -0.248 -0.1256 -1.154
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6232 27.54 49.23% -0.887 -0.5772 -0.992
Downward Spiral 8169 28.31 57.55% -0.474 -0.3549 -0.807
Erosion of Will 6744 29.33 50.27% -0.699 -0.5154 -0.969
Intensifying Exploitation 309 26.03 44.98% -0.603 -0.4014 -1.256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1159 38.78 81.02% 0.586 0.1751 0.356
Memory Fades to Dust 8211 28.5 56.14% -0.341 -0.0996 -0.676
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2699 31.02 54.39% -0.22 -0.1434 -0.919
Promising Farmlands 6531 28.51 51.92% -0.749 -0.3777 -1.065
Shattered Fragments of Power 209 35.58 57.42% -0.434 -0.3157 -0.322
Slow Dissolution of Will 255 29.72 43.53% -1.099 -0.5978 -1.037
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 816 39.3 84.68% 0.913 0.334 0.477
The Border of Life and Death 86 32.59 65.12% 0.695 0.3174 -0.274
Thriving Communities 2638 30.78 53.03% -0.012 0.2489 -0.871
Thriving Crops 145 27.99 50.34% 0.418 0.2342 -1.111
Tipping Point 2828 25.0 37.31% 0.0 0.1137 -1.728
Unnatural Proliferation 2847 33.79 55.78% -0.334 -0.1841 -0.763
Untended Land Crumbles 2686 30.0 50.52% -0.007 0.2445 -0.932

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 55017 35.54% 33.42 75.92% -0.273 0.6738 -0.478
B 64480 34.92% 35.12 76.59% 0.084 0.9486 -0.248
C 56560 35.15% 34.11 76.55% -0.227 0.4831 -0.493
D 50001 36.23% 32.58 75.47% -0.095 0.7735 -0.444
E 24531 34.89% 37.75 76.09% 0.351 1.029 0.122
F 29002 36.82% 34.04 74.66% -0.195 0.5911 -0.42
G 24328 37.22% 33.3 74.31% -0.088 0.6992 -0.412
H 27029 35.11% 34.99 75.89% 0.217 0.9723 -0.25
East 11122 33.19% 41.34 72.28% -0.002 0.8763 -1.156
Northeast 7661 31.62% 42.74 73.37% -0.399 0.2517 -0.226
Northwest 6255 31.0% 43.35 72.15% -0.511 0.3688 -0.832
Southeast 2533 26.38% 40.57 73.94% -0.863 -0.1842 -0.319
Southwest 2651 28.26% 38.75 71.94% 0.089 1.4405 -0.308
West 10551 33.44% 40.76 71.11% -0.16 0.6038 -0.845

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2466 0.0% 24.44 76.72% 0.102 0.8089 1.05
Not Using Events or Tokens 200 54.0% 17.89 66.5% 0.873 1.3733 -0.395
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6137 9.33% 44.49 88.74% 0.221 -0.392 -0.82
Start of Game Growth 9198 11.42% 45.44 86.69% 0.686 0.1794 0.644
Unlimited Undo 21252 27.34% 36.87 80.14% -0.13 -0.176 0.336
Using Tokens but Not Events 22593 23.52% 29.93 82.5% -0.439 -0.5836 -0.194

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12134 27.53% 34.54 79.01% -0.473 -0.5679 0.226
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 70 31.43% 37.63 75.71% 0.765 0.3004 0.779
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4703 43.62% 29.01 67.04% -0.104 0.0387 -1.152
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 72 23.61% 32.82 68.06% -0.189 -0.8706 0.183
Dances Up Earthquakes 15 6.67% 27.4 53.33% -0.387 -0.5655 -0.34
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4033 32.34% 34.7 77.01% -0.076 -0.2495 0.25
Downpour Drenches the World 739 26.9% 30.39 67.25% -0.111 0.2106 0.336
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 721 32.08% 29.34 62.27% -0.36 -0.7901 -0.948
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5302 29.92% 34.54 80.23% 0.252 -0.0986 0.196
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4661 30.35% 36.05 77.32% 0.043 -0.3263 0.019
Finder of Paths Unseen 470 34.91% 29.39 61.7% -0.711 0.0697 -0.57
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1053 30.04% 38.91 74.93% -0.396 0.0815 0.284
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1501 36.91% 34.28 74.42% -0.186 -0.2146 0.329
Heart of the Wildfire 5330 46.92% 33.79 71.09% -0.012 0.31 0.303
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21113 28.46% 37.73 78.49% 0.233 -0.252 0.059
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 478 11.11% 51.02 85.15% 0.896 0.3299 -0.174
Lightning's Swift Strike 6999 33.31% 34.62 78.2% -0.204 -0.0009 0.295
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 311 37.09% 41.06 71.7% -0.365 -0.8389 0.032
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 547 39.15% 40.43 78.43% -0.155 -0.4633 1.036
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 784 35.21% 40.88 77.93% 1.058 1.1596 1.03
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5245 35.02% 38.09 76.66% 0.227 0.0591 0.107
Many Minds Move as One 8803 32.21% 33.4 78.98% 0.097 -0.122 0.046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9866 35.67% 38.82 77.78% 0.443 0.5938 1.023
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 32 50.0% 25.41 65.63% 0.443 0.5896 -0.814
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3935 34.95% 35.77 77.59% 0.567 0.4953 0.282
River Surges in Sunlight 8116 35.24% 37.76 77.39% -0.381 -0.3429 0.442
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 47.06% 33.65 67.65% 0.02 0.2241 -0.661
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 899 33.74% 38.85 73.19% -0.621 -0.4803 -0.001
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 567 36.61% 35.77 66.67% -1.088 -1.0651 -0.056
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7541 34.31% 35.3 70.64% -0.247 -0.3288 -0.037
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 11 36.36% 40.36 72.73% 0.406 -0.0878 0.566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4560 42.76% 30.13 69.74% -0.501 0.0356 -0.683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 123 36.13% 32.09 59.35% -0.039 -0.1806 0.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 88 39.77% 31.45 67.05% 0.224 -0.213 -0.987
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 133 40.46% 36.6 72.18% 0.376 0.4054 0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 431 37.88% 32.97 75.64% 0.628 0.4562 0.013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 367 41.44% 35.32 75.48% -0.234 -0.0781 0.386
Shifting Memory of Ages 1154 36.82% 30.71 76.0% -0.249 0.1325 0.005
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 38.36% 35.97 69.86% 0.288 0.2 0.831
Shroud of Silent Mist 997 43.9% 28.96 69.71% -0.514 -0.1068 -0.58
Starlight Seeks its Form 1445 29.59% 33.77 69.34% -0.06 -0.0981 -0.108
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3721 34.0% 38.28 76.19% -0.599 -1.0709 0.129
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3892 34.24% 35.77 79.16% 0.362 0.4194 0.405
Thunderspeaker 12454 25.45% 38.33 78.95% -0.121 -0.1313 -0.203
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 41.41% 29.23 59.6% 0.214 0.5601 -0.063
Towering Roots of the Jungle 144 42.36% 30.17 64.58% -0.237 -0.0386 -0.373
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2121 51.63% 33.45 69.68% 0.207 0.3254 -0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth 5805 34.75% 29.76 71.15% -0.036 0.4275 -0.585
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 326 34.92% 35.99 68.71% 0.455 0.913 0.381
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 469 37.98% 31.0 68.44% -0.301 0.3169 -1.308
Volcano Looming High 1844 40.71% 33.14 72.07% 0.197 0.2561 0.022
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 209 35.1% 33.19 70.33% 0.668 0.4145 0.163

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.05%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.29%
Terrifying Chase 73.91%
Too Near the Jungle 91.76%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37599 14.3 32.72%
II 82460 30.3 75.6%
III 66689 34.84 90.74%
IV 22328 38.61 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12302
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 59413
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 61178
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22059
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11851
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1289
Lose: Adversary condition 9883
Win: Sacrifice victory 525
Lose: Scenario condition 1898
Win: Scenario condition 1918
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23529
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3231

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.851 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.187 Win Model: 0.115
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 119619 36.48% 35.01 74.97%
2 47845 41.41% 32.52 74.53%
3 20037 35.96% 33.91 77.07%
4 19431 26.99% 39.76 78.01%
5 392 30.05% 28.92 78.06%
6 1752 18.69% 31.79 65.92%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-19 05:31:50 (Pacific Time)