Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 114 23.68% 24.07 71.05% -0.421 -0.4249 0.0
Blitz 0 1718 38.7% 26.97 65.19% 1.214 1.47 -0.418
Dahan Insurrection 4 1222 32.05% 50.46 71.69% 0.055 0.0885 1.469
Despicable Theft 2 319 30.72% 29.51 59.25% -0.236 0.2806 -0.303
Elemental Invocation 1 456 40.35% 25.8 57.24% 0.401 0.9341 -0.672
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12862 9.65% 52.41 81.8% 0.973 0.4317 1.755
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1242 36.35% 37.87 67.63% -0.602 0.0995 -0.227
Rituals of Terror 3 718 45.74% 36.91 64.21% -0.397 -0.3851 -0.112
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 367 62.3% 29.61 44.96% -0.443 0.3459 -0.225
Second Wave 0 8002 38.42% 29.1 75.79% 0.663 0.6607 0.235
The Great River 3 323 39.01% 30.62 59.75% -0.559 0.5764 -0.381
Varied Terrains 2 174 40.23% 23.55 50.0% -0.298 0.3336 -0.116
Ward the Shores 2 916 40.22% 33.51 59.28% -0.763 0.0683 -0.312

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 125977 35.9% 34.06 73.27% 0.507 0.8207 0.187
1 Thematic 6221 37.76% 35.2 69.15% 0.125 0.7839 0.878
2 Archipelago 71 36.62% 39.3 81.69% 0.0 -0.4392 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 35059 41.54% 31.74 73.32% 0.065 0.2104 0.432
2 Coastline 3805 41.03% 30.79 72.9% -0.033 -0.0405 -0.44
2 Fragment 1275 41.04% 30.69 73.33% 0.309 0.4321 0.0
2 Heart 561 50.45% 27.96 66.31% -0.267 -0.3229 -0.492
2 Opposite Shores 7137 35.15% 30.9 74.29% 0.463 0.5975 -0.647
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3303 43.87% 33.75 64.03% -1.142 -0.6119 -0.602
2 Top to Top 1143 43.08% 33.75 73.23% 0.181 0.1871 1.527
3 Archipelago 65 43.08% 36.17 84.62% 0.0 0.3056 0.0
3 Coastline 176 35.8% 29.4 74.43% 0.094 -0.7155 0.591
3 Other 832 30.19% 28.9 77.52% 1.14 0.8342 -0.39
3 Round (Default) 19756 35.62% 33.35 76.17% -0.332 -0.2361 0.052
3 Sunrise 179 22.35% 33.3 66.48% 0.0 -0.6352 0.0
3 Thematic 1002 43.8% 31.48 61.88% -0.713 -0.4054 -0.766
4 Archipelago 72 15.94% 33.18 66.67% 0.55 0.0699 0.685
4 Coastline 90 11.11% 32.43 85.56% 0.0 0.095 0.0
4 Leaf 87 45.98% 29.06 72.41% 0.0 0.0418 0.0
4 Other 495 29.59% 30.93 83.43% 0.753 0.2074 1.419
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.2581 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4231 24.18% 49.43 78.0% 0.119 0.8226 0.485
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15715 27.51% 36.99 77.08% 0.352 0.3552 -0.507
5 Archipelago 31 38.71% 46.39 90.32% 0.0 1.2045 0.0
5 Coastline 25 8.0% 28.24 92.0% 0.114 -0.4836 0.0
5 Other 528 36.85% 31.37 81.06% -0.296 -0.7145 0.123
5 Thematic 74 21.62% 34.81 75.68% 0.538 0.4193 0.0
6 Archipelago 55 18.18% 37.4 80.0% 0.07 -1.167 -0.438
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.0 0.433 0.0
6 Other 229 24.89% 26.1 71.62% -0.995 -0.8312 0.557
6 Star 151 33.11% 29.17 67.55% 0.128 0.5336 0.181
6 Thematic 706 16.9% 38.58 66.29% -0.052 0.0204 -0.978
6 Two Centers (Default) 969 17.38% 22.99 54.59% -0.467 0.0618 -1.147
7 Archipelago 8 25.0% 28.13 37.5% 0.0 0.7413 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.397 0.0
7 Other 23 4.55% 7.39 17.39% -0.651 -1.2009 -0.501

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7638 30.3 53.44% -1.084 -0.8628 0.073
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6575 32.76 56.41% -0.517 -0.4474 0.235
All Things Weaken 3085 31.83 53.06% -0.625 -0.2286 0.162
Attenuated Essence 401 30.29 52.62% 0.155 0.2305 0.385
Back Against the Wall 6428 31.54 55.16% 0.23 0.2105 0.389
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 440 28.38 45.45% -0.395 -0.1101 0.183
Burn Brightest Before the End 372 32.49 52.42% -0.09 0.1359 0.912
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6676 26.9 48.31% -0.573 -0.2905 -0.221
Downward Spiral 8795 27.82 56.66% -0.596 -0.3638 0.049
Erosion of Will 7217 29.04 49.87% -0.575 -0.2376 0.27
Intensifying Exploitation 468 26.33 47.65% -0.177 0.1589 -0.005
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1287 37.65 79.02% 0.464 -0.0912 -0.004
Memory Fades to Dust 8794 28.05 55.56% -0.886 -0.5464 -0.114
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3023 30.35 53.46% -0.408 -0.1781 0.201
Promising Farmlands 7010 28.13 51.33% -0.774 -0.4184 0.084
Shattered Fragments of Power 340 35.03 56.47% 0.101 0.1575 0.616
Slow Dissolution of Will 413 28.99 44.07% -0.214 0.1101 -0.015
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 909 38.29 82.62% 0.383 -0.2574 0.871
The Border of Life and Death 136 31.12 62.5% -0.247 -0.6587 0.044
Thriving Communities 2968 29.88 51.82% -0.933 -0.7018 0.204
Thriving Crops 224 29.68 54.02% -0.183 -0.3396 0.827
Tipping Point 2831 24.98 37.27% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3143 33.38 55.2% -0.091 0.035 0.255
Untended Land Crumbles 2954 29.48 50.17% -0.249 -0.0423 -0.261

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 60226 35.09% 32.61 74.14% 0.061 0.9951 0.154
B 70096 34.55% 34.32 75.03% 0.037 0.8688 0.044
C 61663 34.72% 33.39 75.05% 0.393 1.1537 0.065
D 54421 35.98% 31.78 73.76% 0.409 1.2891 0.245
E 28349 34.22% 36.83 74.34% 0.421 1.1389 0.642
F 32512 36.35% 33.03 72.88% 0.156 0.9948 -0.254
G 27245 36.85% 32.32 72.41% 0.617 1.438 0.026
H 30139 34.83% 34.09 74.2% 0.357 1.1398 0.27
East 11729 32.94% 40.45 71.05% -1.455 -0.6164 0.157
Northeast 8061 31.38% 41.9 72.24% 0.789 1.4631 -0.512
Northwest 6573 30.54% 42.54 71.08% -0.504 0.3304 -0.08
Southeast 2716 26.29% 39.15 72.09% -0.037 1.0036 0.351
Southwest 2832 28.0% 37.5 70.27% -0.42 0.7952 -0.666
West 11110 33.07% 39.89 69.9% 0.502 1.1971 -0.233

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2635 0.0% 23.74 74.84% -0.296 0.5509 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 218 54.22% 18.34 68.35% 0.413 0.778 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6494 9.28% 43.46 86.85% -0.489 -1.2816 -0.234
Start of Game Growth 9712 11.44% 44.38 85.02% 0.143 -0.3826 0.016
Unlimited Undo 22752 27.06% 36.06 78.68% 0.283 0.3493 0.098
Using Tokens but Not Events 24737 23.36% 29.09 80.98% 0.216 0.2159 0.631

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12936 27.53% 33.63 77.28% 0.527 0.3553 -0.421
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 188 25.13% 33.05 75.53% 0.562 0.0713 0.087
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 8 37.5% 32.88 50.0% 0.17 0.0193 -0.191
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 128 34.38% 31.13 71.09% 0.06 -0.5387 0.309
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4970 43.51% 28.42 65.77% -0.843 -0.6682 -0.194
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 128 28.91% 32.88 68.75% 0.54 -0.2703 -0.082
Dances Up Earthquakes 174 35.26% 31.95 64.37% -0.178 -0.0426 -0.233
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4379 31.99% 34.1 75.82% -0.421 -0.6214 0.515
Downpour Drenches the World 920 26.66% 29.1 64.46% 0.608 0.8964 -0.779
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1011 32.64% 29.02 62.81% -0.145 -0.6339 -0.452
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5810 29.94% 33.79 78.95% 0.854 0.4363 0.491
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5001 30.45% 35.22 76.42% 0.002 -0.2518 -1.296
Finder of Paths Unseen 563 34.95% 28.65 60.57% -0.349 0.4371 0.162
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1179 29.4% 38.0 73.62% -0.153 0.383 0.932
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1824 35.59% 32.29 70.67% -0.742 -0.6852 -0.934
Heart of the Wildfire 5630 46.5% 33.31 70.64% -0.213 0.1073 -0.54
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 22262 28.39% 36.89 77.22% 0.515 0.0948 -0.272
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 883 9.18% 52.1 86.98% 0.376 0.0636 -0.264
Lightning's Swift Strike 7411 33.48% 33.93 77.32% -0.065 0.1578 0.827
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 379 37.84% 39.99 71.5% 0.154 -0.347 1.044
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 596 37.94% 38.93 76.34% 0.0 -0.3219 -0.273
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 878 34.86% 39.13 74.83% 0.187 -0.0457 -0.461
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5857 34.75% 36.73 75.21% 0.642 0.4451 -0.455
Many Minds Move as One 9924 31.96% 32.25 76.58% -0.202 -0.3069 0.058
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10491 35.52% 37.93 76.19% -0.485 -0.5008 0.414
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 156 42.86% 29.54 65.38% 0.079 0.1855 1.282
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4267 34.39% 34.78 76.17% 1.116 0.9697 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight 8619 34.99% 37.0 76.3% -0.562 -0.5201 -0.569
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 62 40.32% 27.15 62.9% -0.41 -0.3282 -0.305
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 967 33.82% 37.87 72.6% 0.131 0.3043 0.098
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 755 36.9% 35.05 64.64% 0.006 0.1166 0.556
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7994 33.59% 34.41 69.21% -0.678 -0.8873 -0.111
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 68 29.41% 34.85 66.18% -0.175 -0.4221 -0.203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4749 42.91% 29.65 68.86% 0.385 1.0319 -0.15
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 164 33.13% 32.1 61.59% 0.061 0.1247 0.75
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 132 33.33% 33.63 72.73% 0.485 0.0258 1.761
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 151 38.93% 34.85 70.86% 0.271 0.1459 -0.423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 479 37.84% 31.83 73.49% 0.642 0.618 -0.83
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 400 40.25% 34.45 73.75% -0.322 -0.2158 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 1302 36.32% 29.58 74.81% -0.085 0.4111 0.938
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 151 33.11% 32.18 61.59% -0.344 -0.3395 -0.156
Shroud of Silent Mist 1149 43.44% 27.86 67.01% -0.85 -0.2441 0.178
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 13 53.85% 33.08 76.92% 0.772 0.5381 0.468
Starlight Seeks its Form 1801 29.16% 31.4 65.63% -0.927 -0.939 -0.339
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4010 34.01% 37.44 75.21% 0.513 -0.0908 0.347
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4240 33.95% 35.06 77.78% 0.569 0.7121 0.851
Thunderspeaker 13406 25.05% 38.2 78.57% 0.165 0.2803 -0.36
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 138 41.3% 26.67 56.52% -0.638 -0.6947 -0.232
Towering Roots of the Jungle 287 38.68% 30.19 66.9% 0.27 0.4292 0.144
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2281 50.73% 32.69 68.61% -0.468 -0.4364 0.661
Vital Strength of the Earth 6287 34.42% 28.62 68.78% 0.047 0.5391 -1.45
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 417 33.74% 34.72 66.67% -1.207 -0.7952 -0.353
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 539 38.43% 29.4 65.12% 0.002 0.9062 -0.454
Volcano Looming High 2123 40.27% 31.81 69.67% -0.056 -0.1808 -0.007
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 318 31.55% 30.78 67.92% -0.013 -0.2493 -0.11

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.31%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.38%
Terrifying Chase 74.47%
Too Near the Jungle 91.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45184 12.31 29.62%
II 89230 29.92 75.02%
III 71850 34.93 90.62%
IV 23909 38.88 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13382
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 63971
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 65716
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23625
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18391
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1361
Lose: Adversary condition 10594
Win: Sacrifice victory 552
Lose: Scenario condition 1972
Win: Scenario condition 2000
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 25256
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3353

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.944 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.209 Win Model: 0.165
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 132541 35.99% 34.08 73.01%
2 52362 40.93% 31.71 72.87%
3 21920 35.65% 33.1 75.64%
4 20750 26.89% 39.35 77.46%
5 497 30.61% 28.42 76.86%
6 2103 18.69% 29.08 61.39%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)