Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 20.45% 30.77 84.09% 0.858 0.7049 0.0
Blitz 0 1286 42.63% 29.62 72.01% -0.495 -0.3107 -1.257
Dahan Insurrection 4 949 34.21% 53.04 73.76% -0.211 -0.3758 0.425
Despicable Theft 2 156 38.46% 36.62 75.64% -0.886 -0.203 -0.446
Elemental Invocation 1 276 47.1% 32.58 71.01% -0.518 0.1752 -1.043
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9438 10.44% 53.96 84.58% 1.145 0.5437 0.656
Powers Long Forgotten 1 938 35.65% 43.56 77.83% -0.469 0.0392 -1.554
Rituals of Terror 3 593 51.78% 39.98 68.8% 0.28 0.2072 -0.91
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 263 75.29% 36.44 52.85% -1.389 -0.4841 -0.939
Second Wave 0 6150 39.84% 30.46 78.47% 0.144 0.2072 -0.762
The Great River 3 227 39.21% 34.84 68.72% -0.282 1.0888 -1.17
Varied Terrains 2 48 50.0% 34.96 81.25% 0.259 0.7495 0.744
Ward the Shores 2 721 42.8% 36.52 64.22% -1.094 0.0485 -1.047

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 93919 37.0% 36.71 79.44% 0.904 1.1576 0.894
1 Thematic 5302 39.4% 37.04 72.1% 0.038 0.6762 0.524
2 Archipelago 45 33.33% 44.2 95.56% 0.649 1.1794 0.974
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26867 43.24% 34.03 78.13% 0.729 0.9166 0.645
2 Coastline 3000 43.22% 33.68 79.1% 0.515 0.5937 0.46
2 Fragment 918 43.31% 33.83 77.23% 1.368 1.2687 1.292
2 Heart 399 53.44% 30.18 71.43% 0.218 -0.072 0.802
2 Opposite Shores 5203 37.19% 33.66 79.34% 0.63 0.8182 0.161
2 Thematic 2669 46.91% 36.15 68.19% -0.314 0.2631 -0.161
2 Top to Top 830 44.11% 36.15 76.87% 1.092 1.2236 0.79
3 Archipelago 40 40.0% 36.02 87.5% -0.008 -0.7831 0.272
3 Coastline 105 40.0% 34.22 80.95% 0.143 -0.2265 0.724
3 Other 601 33.67% 32.58 83.19% 0.116 -0.2808 0.24
3 Round (Default) 15222 35.92% 35.63 80.65% 0.434 0.4173 0.131
3 Sunrise 118 27.97% 44.42 83.9% 0.0 0.2129 0.126
3 Thematic 728 48.35% 36.33 70.19% 0.46 0.3495 -0.621
4 Archipelago 37 18.92% 43.86 89.19% -0.435 -0.3454 0.425
4 Coastline 77 10.39% 33.32 87.01% -0.126 -0.1251 -0.316
4 Leaf 63 47.62% 31.68 69.84% -0.332 -0.6134 -1.043
4 Other 392 28.02% 33.62 89.03% 0.294 -0.5349 0.793
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.3035 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 40.33 100.0% 0.0 0.3214 0.0
4 Thematic 3913 23.53% 51.01 79.76% -0.146 -0.2446 -1.135
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12225 29.03% 39.24 82.02% -0.192 -0.4017 -0.404
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.454 -0.6286 0.243
5 Coastline 14 14.29% 33.29 100.0% 0.146 0.0435 0.058
5 Other 294 37.59% 34.97 87.41% 0.019 -0.5116 -0.409
5 Thematic 50 24.0% 44.52 90.0% -0.035 -0.3976 -0.739
6 Archipelago 33 21.21% 45.73 96.97% -0.077 -0.1743 -0.613
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 100.0% 0.0 -0.8289 0.0
6 Other 115 22.61% 32.86 85.22% -0.081 -0.5806 -0.994
6 Star 68 25.0% 34.57 82.35% -0.687 -0.1769 -0.822
6 Thematic 405 18.07% 48.7 82.96% -1.417 -1.0821 -1.165
6 Two Centers (Default) 443 20.18% 33.41 77.43% -1.341 -1.06 -2.136
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 43.0 75.0% 0.164 -0.2974 -0.402
7 Other 6 0.0% 28.33 66.67% -0.575 -1.5536 -0.613

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6328 31.27 54.96% -0.681 -0.3171 -1.267
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5510 33.44 57.24% -0.343 -0.1421 -1.054
All Things Weaken 2274 33.64 54.79% -0.718 -0.1611 -1.192
Attenuated Essence 30 27.53 53.33% -0.486 -0.0844 -1.963
Back Against the Wall 5331 32.25 55.66% -0.631 -0.3219 -1.112
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 22 31.0 45.45% -0.639 -0.006 -1.315
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 23.6 28.0% -1.745 -1.2695 -1.806
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5419 28.51 50.97% -0.955 -0.3053 -1.503
Downward Spiral 7142 29.22 58.89% -0.522 -0.0691 -1.283
Erosion of Will 5951 29.98 51.67% -1.104 -0.5089 -1.485
Intensifying Exploitation 27 29.74 51.85% -0.624 -0.0396 -1.012
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 923 40.64 84.29% 0.567 0.1454 -0.084
Memory Fades to Dust 7184 29.26 57.24% -1.145 -0.5532 -1.206
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2130 32.43 56.34% -0.64 -0.2396 -1.346
Promising Farmlands 5725 29.37 53.05% -0.863 -0.1562 -1.562
Shattered Fragments of Power 21 31.9 61.9% -0.371 -0.0338 -0.88
Slow Dissolution of Will 29 33.0 41.38% -1.044 -0.3195 -1.723
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 642 41.63 89.56% 0.552 -0.1097 0.268
The Border of Life and Death 13 44.15 76.92% 0.514 0.5615 -0.047
Thriving Communities 2142 31.83 53.83% -0.772 -0.148 -1.344
Thriving Crops 18 33.11 55.56% -0.552 -0.2259 -0.811
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 -0.1196 -2.287
Unnatural Proliferation 2345 34.82 57.36% -0.785 -0.3509 -1.276
Untended Land Crumbles 2162 31.23 51.71% -0.904 -0.4253 -1.358

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 46493 36.36% 34.96 79.46% -0.37 0.5037 -0.298
B 54999 35.71% 36.82 80.06% -0.146 0.6347 -0.073
C 48027 35.96% 35.74 80.11% -0.56 0.0896 -0.322
D 42605 37.07% 34.36 79.42% -0.396 0.4365 -0.153
E 18002 36.55% 40.2 81.13% -0.089 0.559 0.252
F 22897 37.92% 36.68 79.77% -0.351 0.3908 -0.163
G 19342 38.48% 35.84 79.34% -0.377 0.3849 -0.244
H 21497 36.51% 37.23 80.59% -0.191 0.4982 -0.046
East 9810 33.91% 43.47 75.24% -0.107 0.5575 -0.97
Northeast 6739 32.12% 45.07 76.67% 0.061 0.9674 0.072
Northwest 5511 31.55% 45.97 75.83% -0.468 0.1742 -0.687
Southeast 2041 27.91% 44.14 79.81% -0.285 0.4294 -0.547
Southwest 2135 29.61% 42.34 78.45% -0.426 0.7714 -0.273
West 9332 34.24% 42.99 74.35% -0.187 0.8446 -0.157

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2184 0.0% 25.71 80.31% -0.973 0.0311 1.365
Not Using Events or Tokens 153 50.85% 19.01 67.32% 0.875 1.1529 -0.474
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5425 9.15% 46.3 92.44% 0.933 0.4252 -0.549
Start of Game Growth 8172 11.25% 47.37 89.84% -0.266 -0.6577 0.36
Unlimited Undo 17472 28.38% 39.98 86.2% 0.254 0.1895 0.541
Using Tokens but Not Events 18817 23.52% 31.83 87.17% -0.244 -0.298 -0.178

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10620 100.0% 36.21 100.0% -0.103 -0.2399 0.052
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3860 100.0% 32.72 100.0% -0.148 -0.0571 0.147
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3463 100.0% 36.26 100.0% 0.339 0.1628 0.028
Downpour Drenches the World 334 100.0% 37.34 100.0% 0.339 0.5425 0.785
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 153 100.0% 31.95 100.0% -0.126 -0.7327 -1.375
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4390 100.0% 36.75 100.0% 0.32 -0.2674 0.272
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4020 100.0% 37.98 100.0% 0.395 -0.0585 -0.256
Finder of Paths Unseen 200 100.0% 38.16 100.0% 0.071 0.7411 -0.278
Fractured Days Split the Sky 820 100.0% 42.26 100.0% -0.061 0.6165 0.174
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 982 100.0% 39.11 100.0% 0.21 0.0867 0.492
Heart of the Wildfire 4747 100.0% 35.22 100.0% 0.2 0.4527 0.163
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18406 100.0% 40.05 100.0% 0.147 -0.3177 0.2
Lightning's Swift Strike 6352 112.43% 35.86 103.98% 0.056 0.262 0.208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 172 31.29% 47.07 74.42% -0.153 -0.9124 -0.685
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 434 41.53% 42.18 80.65% -0.301 -0.6351 0.715
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 667 35.79% 43.09 81.26% -0.152 -0.3821 0.565
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4063 100.0% 41.01 100.0% 0.265 0.0828 0.003
Many Minds Move as One 6961 100.0% 36.0 100.0% -0.067 -0.3179 -0.033
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8551 100.0% 40.7 100.0% -0.09 -0.1095 0.996
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3338 100.0% 37.28 100.0% -0.476 -0.5843 0.162
River Surges in Sunlight 7381 108.05% 39.14 102.78% 0.389 0.3574 0.282
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 728 35.91% 41.72 78.02% 0.305 0.5196 -0.37
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 215 37.32% 45.92 79.07% 0.084 -0.0883 0.656
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6504 100.0% 37.8 100.0% 0.083 -0.1115 -0.013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4009 111.72% 32.31 103.64% -0.195 0.2402 -0.363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 51 31.25% 46.0 76.47% 0.114 0.1087 -0.214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 35.62% 44.92 84.0% -0.761 -0.7116 0.186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 355 38.75% 35.4 79.72% -0.68 -0.7123 -0.125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 299 40.74% 39.99 83.28% 0.405 0.4563 0.018
Shifting Memory of Ages 766 100.0% 34.29 100.0% -0.185 0.1665 -0.258
Shroud of Silent Mist 691 100.0% 32.89 100.0% 0.217 0.5447 -0.455
Starlight Seeks its Form 929 100.0% 39.3 100.0% 0.123 -0.1051 -0.272
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3044 100.0% 40.24 100.0% 0.028 -0.478 -0.041
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3247 100.0% 37.47 100.0% 0.729 0.7588 0.277
Thunderspeaker 10557 100.09% 39.98 100.09% 0.423 0.4015 -0.06
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 24 58.33% 35.96 58.33% -0.08 -0.0527 0.73
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1753 100.0% 35.34 100.0% -0.248 -0.1906 -0.33
Vital Strength of the Earth 5049 106.52% 31.74 102.85% -0.842 -0.2825 -0.491
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 174 34.15% 40.89 77.01% -0.167 0.0838 0.203
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 368 39.18% 33.27 71.74% -0.35 0.5688 -1.597
Volcano Looming High 1294 100.0% 36.78 100.0% 0.255 0.2719 0.246

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.7%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.13%
Terrifying Chase 72.93%
Too Near the Jungle 91.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24876 21.37 42.33%
II 71386 31.06 76.71%
III 58235 34.72 90.89%
IV 19660 38.0 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10531
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51928
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53710
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19421
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1083
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1115
Lose: Adversary condition 8789
Win: Sacrifice victory 461
Lose: Scenario condition 1721
Win: Scenario condition 1744
Lose: Blight pool ran out 20685
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2969

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.048 Win Model: -0.11

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.015 Win Model: 0.293
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 99336 37.14% 36.73 79.03%
2 40002 42.83% 34.13 77.64%
3 16749 36.23% 35.59 80.42%
4 16788 27.75% 41.84 81.68%
5 228 25.89% 31.0 85.96%
6 1054 20.08% 39.64 81.12%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-23 03:54:00 (Pacific Time)