Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 20.83% 31.08 83.33% 0.873 0.6843 0.265
Blitz 0 1294 42.45% 29.48 71.64% -0.243 -0.059 -1.182
Dahan Insurrection 4 985 33.37% 53.08 73.81% 0.074 -0.2406 0.447
Despicable Theft 2 165 37.58% 36.39 74.55% -0.483 0.2617 -0.581
Elemental Invocation 1 286 47.55% 32.07 69.58% -0.787 -0.0155 -1.01
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9539 10.4% 53.89 84.42% 1.157 0.5356 0.692
Powers Long Forgotten 1 946 35.67% 43.37 77.7% -0.1 0.4423 -1.515
Rituals of Terror 3 594 51.69% 39.97 68.86% 0.116 0.2232 -0.888
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 266 74.44% 36.03 52.26% -1.495 -0.5237 -0.969
Second Wave 0 6223 39.85% 30.36 78.26% 0.121 0.1889 -0.744
The Great River 3 236 38.98% 34.19 66.95% -1.084 0.2141 -1.245
Varied Terrains 2 55 45.45% 32.44 76.36% 0.151 0.7243 -0.516
Ward the Shores 2 730 42.4% 36.48 64.11% -0.541 0.5919 -0.98

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 95218 36.97% 36.64 79.16% 0.891 1.0041 0.998
1 Thematic 5331 39.24% 36.93 71.92% -0.229 0.3359 0.627
2 Archipelago 47 34.04% 44.23 95.74% 0.437 0.7615 1.001
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27216 43.18% 33.92 77.9% 0.627 0.7221 0.695
2 Coastline 3023 43.06% 33.55 78.86% 0.445 0.3852 0.525
2 Fragment 923 43.3% 33.77 77.03% 1.153 0.9995 1.316
2 Heart 405 52.88% 30.19 71.36% -0.234 -0.5562 0.887
2 Opposite Shores 5288 37.16% 33.58 78.97% 0.594 0.6541 0.198
2 Thematic 2692 46.73% 36.02 68.05% -0.253 0.3069 -0.144
2 Top to Top 839 44.11% 36.26 76.88% 0.934 0.8567 0.898
3 Archipelago 42 40.48% 36.26 85.71% 0.887 -0.7115 0.353
3 Coastline 112 38.39% 33.5 81.25% 0.798 0.3523 0.741
3 Other 607 33.83% 32.59 83.03% 0.077 0.6139 0.236
3 Round (Default) 15468 35.92% 35.53 80.47% 0.56 0.4004 0.112
3 Sunrise 118 27.97% 44.42 83.9% 0.0 0.1671 0.136
3 Thematic 740 48.51% 36.04 69.73% -0.324 -0.2585 -0.607
4 Archipelago 39 17.95% 44.54 89.74% -0.254 -0.9102 0.553
4 Coastline 77 10.39% 33.32 87.01% 0.0 0.2241 -0.34
4 Leaf 63 47.62% 31.68 69.84% -0.307 -0.8475 -1.086
4 Other 395 28.06% 33.76 89.11% 1.107 -0.0102 0.796
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.244 -0.1437 0.0
4 Thematic 3924 23.52% 50.96 79.77% -0.061 -0.2342 -1.123
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12341 29.02% 39.13 81.78% -0.379 -0.581 -0.459
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.271 -0.8693 0.262
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 31.07 93.33% 0.322 -0.1164 0.051
5 Other 300 37.29% 34.52 86.67% -0.137 -0.6022 -0.391
5 Thematic 50 24.0% 44.52 90.0% -0.404 -0.3796 -0.73
6 Archipelago 34 20.59% 44.38 94.12% -0.822 -0.4528 -0.615
6 Coastline 4 25.0% 16.0 75.0% -0.295 -0.914 -0.426
6 Other 120 22.5% 32.17 84.17% -0.589 -0.9575 -1.111
6 Star 74 27.03% 32.93 82.43% -0.673 -0.496 -0.893
6 Thematic 426 18.35% 48.41 82.16% -1.036 -0.5639 -1.116
6 Two Centers (Default) 468 20.17% 32.61 75.43% -1.24 -1.1584 -2.421
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 34.4 60.0% -0.612 -0.7165 -0.435
7 Other 8 0.0% 21.25 50.0% -1.283 -2.0467 -0.568

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6374 31.25 54.91% -0.503 -0.3042 -1.217
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5555 33.46 57.3% -0.005 -0.0716 -0.998
All Things Weaken 2325 33.55 54.62% -0.38 -0.0123 -1.158
Attenuated Essence 49 29.63 55.1% -0.013 0.0576 -1.828
Back Against the Wall 5382 32.25 55.76% -0.024 0.0451 -1.05
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 42 30.1 47.62% -0.178 0.0792 -1.172
Burn Brightest Before the End 38 30.97 39.47% -1.015 -0.84 -1.594
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5480 28.47 50.93% -0.425 0.0139 -1.445
Downward Spiral 7218 29.19 58.89% -0.296 -0.0503 -1.232
Erosion of Will 5993 29.93 51.54% -0.933 -0.615 -1.447
Intensifying Exploitation 46 30.59 52.17% -0.159 0.1101 -0.96
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 940 40.49 83.94% 0.248 -0.2614 -0.013
Memory Fades to Dust 7241 29.25 57.19% -0.548 -0.1844 -1.149
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2173 32.45 56.33% -0.192 0.0446 -1.287
Promising Farmlands 5787 29.3 52.98% -0.512 -0.0514 -1.493
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 40.8 63.04% 0.348 0.4032 -0.383
Slow Dissolution of Will 43 31.19 41.86% -0.688 -0.28 -2.001
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 652 41.5 89.11% 0.681 0.0389 0.26
The Border of Life and Death 18 43.94 77.78% 0.723 0.3356 -0.352
Thriving Communities 2177 31.78 53.74% -0.554 -0.1961 -1.293
Thriving Crops 29 38.66 65.52% 0.26 0.1447 -0.682
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 -0.1815 -2.228
Unnatural Proliferation 2378 34.79 57.28% -0.288 -0.1152 -1.213
Untended Land Crumbles 2197 31.12 51.48% -0.649 -0.4008 -1.328

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 47055 36.32% 34.87 79.22% -0.592 0.2409 -0.322
B 55618 35.69% 36.71 79.8% -0.445 0.3547 -0.098
C 48591 35.94% 35.63 79.87% -0.694 -0.0368 -0.341
D 43081 37.03% 34.27 79.2% -0.582 0.2115 -0.179
E 18415 36.39% 40.05 80.82% -0.11 0.5183 0.254
F 23312 37.91% 36.52 79.46% -0.441 0.2723 -0.176
G 19700 38.39% 35.7 78.97% -0.612 0.1258 -0.267
H 21885 36.46% 37.06 80.22% -0.392 0.2666 -0.057
East 9888 33.83% 43.34 75.06% -0.209 0.3987 -0.967
Northeast 6790 32.07% 44.96 76.49% -0.212 0.537 0.047
Northwest 5558 31.52% 45.84 75.66% -0.978 -0.1621 -0.699
Southeast 2081 27.8% 43.92 79.48% -0.315 0.4141 -0.538
Southwest 2174 29.49% 42.23 78.29% -0.24 0.8246 -0.259
West 9405 34.17% 42.89 74.24% -0.352 0.597 -0.156

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2186 0.0% 25.69 80.28% -0.722 0.0915 1.435
Not Using Events or Tokens 153 50.85% 19.01 67.32% 0.923 1.2591 -0.469
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5482 9.19% 46.14 92.1% 0.839 0.2057 -0.527
Start of Game Growth 8258 11.23% 47.14 89.5% -0.448 -0.7382 0.252
Unlimited Undo 17690 28.34% 39.84 85.89% 0.231 0.2334 0.542
Using Tokens but Not Events 19054 23.43% 31.71 86.81% -0.291 -0.3655 -0.189

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10719 100.0% 36.13 100.0% 0.036 -0.1147 0.095
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3896 100.0% 32.63 100.0% -0.354 -0.2312 0.119
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3500 100.0% 36.22 100.0% 0.43 0.2741 0.096
Downpour Drenches the World 372 100.0% 36.23 100.0% -0.147 0.0412 0.662
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 225 100.0% 32.99 100.0% 0.315 -0.518 -1.105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4451 100.0% 36.53 100.0% 0.033 -0.5679 0.273
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4065 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.154 -0.3306 -0.268
Finder of Paths Unseen 251 100.0% 36.41 100.0% -0.094 0.575 -0.604
Fractured Days Split the Sky 845 100.0% 41.74 100.0% -0.146 0.4742 0.151
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1030 100.0% 38.45 100.0% 0.102 0.0114 0.486
Heart of the Wildfire 4783 100.0% 35.17 100.0% 0.105 0.3544 0.183
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18574 100.0% 39.94 100.0% -0.045 -0.4712 0.219
Lightning's Swift Strike 6389 112.6% 35.82 104.13% 0.235 0.4608 0.247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 32.57% 45.74 72.83% 0.193 -0.4432 -0.653
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 443 40.91% 41.91 80.36% -0.21 -0.3578 0.76
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 673 36.07% 43.02 81.13% 0.258 0.1371 0.653
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4160 100.0% 40.79 100.0% 0.279 0.1393 0.025
Many Minds Move as One 7083 100.0% 35.79 100.0% -0.127 -0.3244 -0.018
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8646 100.0% 40.55 100.0% -0.025 -0.0192 0.988
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3382 100.0% 37.18 100.0% -0.347 -0.488 0.154
River Surges in Sunlight 7431 108.13% 39.04 102.93% 0.077 0.1429 0.304
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 735 35.84% 41.48 77.82% 0.133 0.3685 -0.376
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 231 39.56% 44.79 76.19% -0.327 -0.4446 0.458
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6586 100.0% 37.63 100.0% -0.198 -0.4408 -0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4051 111.69% 32.16 103.8% -0.457 0.0465 -0.534
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 34.0% 45.66 75.47% 0.567 0.5114 -0.241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 40.0% 43.96 81.71% -0.292 -0.3246 0.259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 359 38.98% 35.25 79.39% -0.602 -0.6556 -0.15
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 302 40.67% 39.73 82.78% -0.79 -0.6611 0.048
Shifting Memory of Ages 798 100.0% 33.83 100.0% -0.411 -0.0265 -0.288
Shroud of Silent Mist 702 100.0% 32.63 100.0% 0.095 0.3785 -0.419
Starlight Seeks its Form 969 100.0% 38.8 100.0% 0.27 0.0357 -0.174
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3097 100.0% 40.17 100.0% 0.177 -0.3236 -0.008
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3286 100.0% 37.37 100.0% 0.555 0.6034 0.322
Thunderspeaker 10669 100.12% 39.84 100.1% 0.427 0.4191 -0.058
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 29 55.17% 39.28 62.07% 0.119 -0.0065 0.754
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1778 100.0% 35.1 100.0% -0.093 -0.0111 -0.374
Vital Strength of the Earth 5097 106.71% 31.63 102.86% -0.355 0.1948 -0.483
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 186 32.95% 40.28 77.42% 0.246 0.4743 0.112
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 375 39.52% 33.16 72.27% 0.447 1.3225 -1.552
Volcano Looming High 1328 100.0% 36.69 100.0% 0.105 0.0882 0.346

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.75%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.13%
Terrifying Chase 72.95%
Too Near the Jungle 91.46%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25567 20.63 41.49%
II 72212 31.02 76.63%
III 58873 34.75 90.88%
IV 19814 38.05 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52494
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 54263
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19571
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1712
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1133
Lose: Adversary condition 8851
Win: Sacrifice victory 466
Lose: Scenario condition 1730
Win: Scenario condition 1776
Lose: Blight pool ran out 20870
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2991

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.84 Win Model: -0.079

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.026 Win Model: 0.323
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 100673 37.1% 36.65 78.76%
2 40505 42.75% 34.03 77.42%
3 17017 36.25% 35.49 80.23%
4 16922 27.76% 41.74 81.52%
5 235 25.22% 30.31 84.26%
6 1114 20.25% 38.87 79.62%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-07 04:03:52 (Pacific Time)