Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 88 21.59% 26.09 75.0% 0.47 0.0587 0.134
Blitz 0 1557 40.27% 27.62 66.86% -0.383 -0.0597 -0.778
Dahan Insurrection 4 1122 32.32% 51.6 73.17% -0.071 -0.561 0.654
Despicable Theft 2 263 30.42% 30.97 64.26% -0.893 -0.3553 -0.623
Elemental Invocation 1 387 42.64% 27.75 60.47% -0.723 0.0277 -0.975
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11783 9.94% 52.95 82.44% 1.148 0.5086 1.033
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1117 35.94% 39.84 71.53% -0.043 0.4778 -1.45
Rituals of Terror 3 684 47.44% 37.65 65.2% -0.242 -0.3312 -0.864
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 337 66.07% 31.54 47.48% 0.284 1.1725 -0.863
Second Wave 0 7419 38.74% 29.45 76.52% 0.216 0.3035 -0.59
The Great River 3 296 38.85% 31.87 62.5% -0.746 0.3195 -1.362
Varied Terrains 2 120 43.33% 25.07 55.83% -0.306 0.5763 -1.022
Ward the Shores 2 853 40.73% 34.36 60.84% -1.173 -0.2441 -0.739

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 113986 36.37% 34.94 75.18% 0.432 0.7906 1.543
1 Thematic 5929 38.12% 35.83 70.03% 0.455 1.1029 1.313
2 Archipelago 60 35.0% 41.15 86.67% 0.0 0.652 1.304
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32121 41.83% 32.5 74.94% 0.392 0.5577 1.131
2 Coastline 3477 41.86% 31.86 75.47% 0.2 -0.0216 1.001
2 Fragment 1169 41.45% 31.33 74.68% 0.959 0.9625 1.515
2 Heart 490 51.66% 28.98 69.18% 0.218 -0.1215 0.892
2 Opposite Shores 6545 35.71% 31.67 75.78% 0.13 0.2355 0.354
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4502 0.0
2 Thematic 3083 44.93% 34.54 65.36% -0.165 0.4242 0.288
2 Top to Top 1048 44.04% 34.5 73.95% 0.257 0.1786 1.343
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.0 -0.7726 0.679
3 Coastline 152 36.18% 31.06 76.32% 0.48 -0.4529 0.774
3 Other 738 32.15% 29.82 77.64% 0.325 -0.5286 0.491
3 Round (Default) 18160 35.82% 34.1 77.55% 0.074 0.0494 0.292
3 Sunrise 168 22.62% 34.14 66.07% 0.37 0.0301 0.372
3 Thematic 923 45.29% 32.93 65.11% -0.189 -0.4692 -0.3
4 Archipelago 61 12.07% 34.82 68.85% -0.089 -0.2623 -0.476
4 Coastline 86 11.63% 32.98 86.05% 0.293 0.3258 -0.284
4 Leaf 81 43.21% 29.6 72.84% -0.016 0.6245 -1.184
4 Other 454 28.0% 32.35 86.78% -0.084 -0.752 0.858
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.0775 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4120 24.15% 49.78 78.47% 0.442 0.4802 -0.79
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14607 27.73% 37.25 77.6% -0.301 -0.2963 -0.781
5 Archipelago 27 44.44% 47.78 88.89% 0.0 -0.0119 0.451
5 Coastline 19 10.53% 30.79 94.74% 0.275 -0.5192 0.044
5 Other 449 37.47% 32.29 82.63% 0.228 -0.0967 -0.467
5 Thematic 67 20.9% 37.13 79.1% 0.0 -0.1481 -1.422
6 Archipelago 48 18.75% 40.4 85.42% 0.0 -1.3105 -0.993
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.488 -0.6644 -0.325
6 Other 186 24.73% 27.11 75.27% -0.072 -0.173 -1.053
6 Star 129 30.23% 28.6 68.22% -0.966 -0.2696 -2.098
6 Thematic 653 16.41% 40.26 67.99% -1.717 -1.7009 -2.416
6 Two Centers (Default) 766 18.45% 25.85 60.97% -1.156 -0.8089 -3.213
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 32.14 42.86% -0.071 -0.2969 -0.856
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.654
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.223 -0.5701 -1.143

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7163 30.66 54.03% 0.114 0.1643 -0.754
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6206 33.01 56.78% 0.013 -0.1286 -0.514
All Things Weaken 2800 32.34 53.43% -0.514 -0.3164 -0.697
Attenuated Essence 254 30.93 51.57% 0.145 0.172 -0.714
Back Against the Wall 6017 31.78 55.36% -0.193 -0.2424 -0.548
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 286 28.64 47.2% 0.398 0.5533 -1.02
Burn Brightest Before the End 255 32.21 50.2% -0.175 -0.1419 -1.125
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6252 27.5 49.15% -0.979 -0.6745 -0.988
Downward Spiral 8192 28.32 57.58% -0.322 -0.2574 -0.791
Erosion of Will 6756 29.32 50.27% -0.457 -0.2978 -0.958
Intensifying Exploitation 315 25.91 44.76% -0.627 -0.4906 -1.246
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1160 38.74 80.95% 0.47 0.0094 0.354
Memory Fades to Dust 8233 28.48 56.13% -0.327 -0.1119 -0.666
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2714 30.99 54.31% -0.327 -0.2334 -0.917
Promising Farmlands 6553 28.49 51.9% -0.62 -0.2927 -1.051
Shattered Fragments of Power 212 35.24 56.6% -1.291 -1.2114 -0.361
Slow Dissolution of Will 259 29.49 43.63% -1.185 -0.7281 -1.027
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 821 39.12 84.29% 0.4 -0.2398 0.467
The Border of Life and Death 90 32.77 65.56% 0.676 0.2389 -0.28
Thriving Communities 2649 30.73 52.93% -0.191 0.0259 -0.868
Thriving Crops 148 28.04 50.68% 0.58 0.3821 -1.051
Tipping Point 2828 25.0 37.31% 0.0 0.1118 -1.717
Unnatural Proliferation 2859 33.78 55.79% -0.352 -0.2765 -0.755
Untended Land Crumbles 2697 30.02 50.57% -0.049 0.1662 -0.91

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 55258 35.51% 33.38 75.84% -0.374 0.5477 -0.485
B 64704 34.91% 35.1 76.54% -0.02 0.8204 -0.253
C 56798 35.12% 34.08 76.5% -0.087 0.5981 -0.498
D 50196 36.21% 32.55 75.42% -0.153 0.688 -0.449
E 24674 34.84% 37.71 76.04% 0.359 1.0241 0.12
F 29137 36.83% 34.02 74.62% -0.161 0.6107 -0.42
G 24451 37.18% 33.26 74.25% -0.06 0.6897 -0.417
H 27152 35.09% 34.97 75.84% 0.167 0.8781 -0.248
East 11151 33.18% 41.31 72.27% -0.055 0.7763 -1.157
Northeast 7681 31.62% 42.71 73.36% -0.217 0.4761 -0.228
Northwest 6267 30.96% 43.33 72.14% 0.023 0.8596 -0.833
Southeast 2540 26.37% 40.52 73.9% -0.845 -0.0151 -0.321
Southwest 2656 28.23% 38.71 71.88% -0.121 1.2536 -0.308
West 10574 33.4% 40.72 71.06% -0.372 0.4824 -0.845

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2475 0.0% 24.42 76.73% 0.309 1.0126 1.051
Not Using Events or Tokens 200 54.0% 17.89 66.5% 0.0 0.4895 -0.395
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6158 9.29% 44.47 88.68% 0.294 -0.4414 -0.82
Start of Game Growth 9230 11.44% 45.4 86.59% 0.417 -0.0302 0.652
Unlimited Undo 21317 27.33% 36.85 80.08% -0.199 -0.2385 0.334
Using Tokens but Not Events 22653 23.53% 29.92 82.48% -0.282 -0.4332 -0.188

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12171 27.51% 34.52 78.99% -0.28 -0.3882 0.248
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 71 32.39% 37.1 74.65% 0.35 -0.1369 0.794
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4714 43.59% 29.02 67.06% 0.042 0.1996 -1.124
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 75 25.33% 33.05 69.33% 0.129 -0.6845 0.193
Dances Up Earthquakes 46 23.91% 35.43 65.22% -0.388 -0.5523 -1.53
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4048 32.3% 34.67 76.95% -0.194 -0.4035 0.273
Downpour Drenches the World 747 27.15% 30.51 67.34% -0.176 0.1847 0.359
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 741 32.97% 29.51 63.16% 0.434 -0.0321 -0.924
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5317 29.87% 34.49 80.18% 0.059 -0.2932 0.22
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4677 30.33% 36.06 77.4% 0.65 0.3 0.041
Finder of Paths Unseen 474 34.9% 29.26 61.39% -1.423 -0.7356 -0.544
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1063 29.76% 38.8 74.98% -0.119 0.3084 0.305
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1514 36.65% 34.13 74.31% -0.502 -0.53 0.341
Heart of the Wildfire 5340 46.89% 33.78 71.12% 0.264 0.5775 0.324
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21154 28.44% 37.71 78.46% 0.207 -0.2956 0.072
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 497 11.29% 51.07 85.11% 0.759 0.2783 -0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike 7024 33.25% 34.59 78.16% 0.03 0.2143 0.319
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 311 37.09% 41.06 71.7% -0.387 -0.8192 0.05
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 549 39.01% 40.39 78.51% 0.122 -0.1455 1.057
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 795 35.35% 40.68 77.74% 0.635 0.8399 1.069
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5264 35.04% 38.04 76.63% 0.157 0.0071 0.123
Many Minds Move as One 8832 32.22% 33.37 78.94% -0.059 -0.2268 0.067
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9891 35.64% 38.8 77.74% 0.306 0.4269 1.04
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 37 56.76% 26.3 67.57% 0.347 0.4592 -0.827
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3956 34.92% 35.7 77.5% 0.341 0.2609 0.275
River Surges in Sunlight 8130 35.21% 37.76 77.4% -0.46 -0.4478 0.456
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 47.06% 33.65 67.65% -0.087 0.1545 -0.644
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 902 33.74% 38.82 73.28% -0.05 0.0765 0.018
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 578 36.6% 35.71 66.61% -0.762 -0.8426 -0.058
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7558 34.28% 35.28 70.56% -0.238 -0.348 -0.016
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 17 23.53% 38.82 76.47% 0.655 0.1825 0.796
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4566 42.75% 30.11 69.78% -0.063 0.4476 -0.66
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 126 36.07% 32.03 59.52% -0.196 -0.1569 0.241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 90 40.0% 31.87 67.78% 0.319 -0.095 -0.968
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 133 40.46% 36.6 72.18% 0.553 0.5795 0.049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 431 37.88% 32.97 75.64% 0.572 0.3867 0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 367 41.44% 35.32 75.48% -0.187 -0.1167 0.402
Shifting Memory of Ages 1161 36.69% 30.64 76.14% 0.056 0.4343 0.025
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 79 37.97% 35.35 70.89% 0.211 0.224 0.849
Shroud of Silent Mist 999 43.81% 28.94 69.67% -0.842 -0.4115 -0.557
Starlight Seeks its Form 1458 29.81% 33.73 69.34% 0.019 -0.0239 -0.089
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3730 34.05% 38.27 76.19% -0.74 -1.2675 0.149
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3908 34.31% 35.73 79.07% 0.196 0.3027 0.435
Thunderspeaker 12481 25.43% 38.36 78.98% 0.108 0.0854 -0.185
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 42.0% 29.52 60.0% 0.078 0.4087 -0.043
Towering Roots of the Jungle 152 42.11% 30.22 65.13% -0.061 0.1424 -0.351
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2140 51.41% 33.37 69.58% -0.353 -0.3051 -0.23
Vital Strength of the Earth 5823 34.7% 29.72 71.06% -0.2 0.2632 -0.568
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 328 35.02% 36.16 68.9% 0.457 0.9573 0.42
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 470 38.12% 30.93 68.3% -0.449 0.2271 -1.289
Volcano Looming High 1860 40.79% 33.07 71.99% 0.029 0.0903 0.044
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 213 34.91% 32.77 69.48% 0.367 0.1243 0.184

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.06%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.29%
Terrifying Chase 73.93%
Too Near the Jungle 91.78%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37918 14.18 32.59%
II 82750 30.28 75.58%
III 66899 34.84 90.75%
IV 22398 38.62 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12355
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 59607
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 61376
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22127
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12126
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1292
Lose: Adversary condition 9903
Win: Sacrifice victory 527
Lose: Scenario condition 1901
Win: Scenario condition 1921
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23589
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3241

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.856 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.057 Win Model: 0.226
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 120188 36.45% 34.96 74.86%
2 48012 41.37% 32.5 74.5%
3 20111 35.93% 33.87 77.01%
4 19481 26.99% 39.76 78.03%
5 400 30.96% 29.08 78.5%
6 1773 18.75% 31.7 65.88%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-26 04:41:02 (Pacific Time)