Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 19.72% 27.25 76.06% 0.238 0.29 0.073
Blitz 0 1449 41.34% 28.14 67.91% -0.671 -0.4703 -0.79
Dahan Insurrection 4 1058 32.67% 52.45 73.91% -0.127 -0.3388 0.661
Despicable Theft 2 218 34.86% 32.77 68.81% -0.14 0.7046 -0.635
Elemental Invocation 1 351 43.3% 28.8 62.68% -1.203 -0.1322 -0.976
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10780 10.19% 53.37 83.21% 1.587 0.8627 0.95
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1050 36.23% 40.85 73.24% -1.329 -0.4231 -1.572
Rituals of Terror 3 641 48.71% 38.53 66.77% -0.698 -0.6683 -0.851
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 310 67.31% 32.43 47.74% -0.893 0.2959 -0.946
Second Wave 0 6946 38.86% 29.78 77.22% 0.248 0.3292 -0.628
The Great River 3 265 38.11% 32.8 64.15% -1.284 0.1034 -1.499
Varied Terrains 2 90 46.67% 25.56 57.78% -1.034 -0.1326 -0.802
Ward the Shores 2 797 41.59% 35.35 62.23% 0.064 1.1191 -0.775

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 105071 36.71% 35.67 76.88% 0.704 0.7343 1.553
1 Thematic 5709 38.38% 36.17 70.57% 0.388 0.8204 1.238
2 Archipelago 57 33.33% 41.7 87.72% -0.411 0.0817 1.076
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 29984 42.39% 33.05 76.11% 0.666 0.6173 1.116
2 Coastline 3281 42.3% 32.53 77.05% 0.746 0.6454 1.001
2 Fragment 1059 43.17% 32.1 74.79% 1.303 0.89 1.405
2 Heart 459 51.66% 29.08 68.63% 0.622 0.5321 0.806
2 Opposite Shores 5952 36.44% 32.4 77.1% 0.673 0.4936 0.524
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6379 0.0
2 Thematic 2900 45.86% 35.09 66.45% -0.346 -0.1593 0.292
2 Top to Top 950 44.33% 35.31 75.05% 0.905 0.7059 1.276
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.738 -0.3824 0.71
3 Coastline 135 37.78% 31.6 77.04% 0.09 -0.5712 0.83
3 Other 686 32.7% 30.31 77.7% -0.418 -0.7517 0.609
3 Round (Default) 17034 35.88% 34.54 78.4% 0.607 0.3405 0.273
3 Sunrise 164 23.17% 34.48 66.46% -1.037 -0.5261 0.327
3 Thematic 829 46.68% 34.13 65.74% -0.522 -0.968 -0.356
4 Archipelago 53 13.21% 36.43 73.58% -0.712 -1.2695 -0.289
4 Coastline 80 10.0% 32.76 86.25% 0.204 -0.4147 -0.327
4 Leaf 73 43.84% 30.89 71.23% 0.192 1.0385 -1.162
4 Other 436 27.71% 32.93 87.84% 0.849 0.1117 0.975
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9688 0.0
4 Thematic 4020 23.93% 50.35 78.96% -0.542 -0.3386 -0.885
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13738 28.04% 37.41 78.17% -0.154 0.1866 -0.757
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.0 -0.0008 0.226
5 Coastline 17 11.76% 31.47 94.12% 0.242 -0.2862 0.046
5 Other 384 36.77% 32.73 83.85% 1.541 0.8196 -0.573
5 Thematic 63 22.22% 38.57 80.95% -0.863 -0.7028 -1.462
6 Archipelago 44 18.18% 39.5 86.36% -1.847 -2.5619 -0.594
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 21.17 83.33% 0.126 -0.3625 -0.337
6 Other 157 26.11% 27.75 75.8% -0.296 0.1444 -1.277
6 Star 116 31.9% 29.87 70.69% -0.256 0.0422 -2.168
6 Thematic 572 16.64% 43.06 72.73% -0.264 -0.2389 -2.16
6 Two Centers (Default) 642 19.06% 27.72 64.95% -1.214 -1.1162 -3.352
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 28.67 50.0% -0.483 0.0439 -0.581
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.653
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.44 -0.9757 -1.116

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6829 30.9 54.36% -0.354 -0.2154 -0.904
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5941 33.13 56.94% -0.198 -0.2568 -0.678
All Things Weaken 2576 32.86 54.04% -0.722 -0.3673 -0.853
Attenuated Essence 157 32.06 53.5% -0.196 -0.0847 -1.091
Back Against the Wall 5726 31.93 55.41% -0.188 -0.1114 -0.717
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 149 29.09 48.99% 0.042 0.2531 -0.992
Burn Brightest Before the End 157 31.71 47.13% 0.492 0.6123 -1.555
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5928 27.89 49.76% -0.667 -0.2987 -1.152
Downward Spiral 7788 28.65 58.04% -0.418 -0.2215 -0.947
Erosion of Will 6436 29.54 50.81% -0.507 -0.2398 -1.125
Intensifying Exploitation 175 27.6 45.71% 0.127 0.3969 -1.281
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1064 39.41 82.14% 0.352 -0.1589 0.232
Memory Fades to Dust 7812 28.7 56.36% -0.598 -0.2861 -0.826
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2464 31.53 55.15% -0.608 -0.3133 -1.039
Promising Farmlands 6216 28.89 52.45% -0.439 -0.1032 -1.192
Shattered Fragments of Power 127 36.23 55.91% -0.625 -0.516 -0.462
Slow Dissolution of Will 163 33.17 48.47% 0.082 0.4818 -1.013
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 748 40.11 86.5% 0.391 -0.2222 0.386
The Border of Life and Death 52 33.52 61.54% -0.217 -0.5098 -0.743
Thriving Communities 2418 31.05 52.98% -0.661 -0.3279 -1.01
Thriving Crops 92 29.46 52.17% -0.752 -0.8385 -1.203
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 0.5146 -1.902
Unnatural Proliferation 2632 34.11 56.31% -0.453 -0.3055 -0.933
Untended Land Crumbles 2485 30.27 50.7% -0.524 -0.2171 -1.079

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 51747 35.85% 33.9 77.03% -0.736 0.1689 -0.433
B 60779 35.19% 35.6 77.54% -0.52 0.3089 -0.211
C 53235 35.44% 34.56 77.64% -0.787 -0.107 -0.478
D 47182 36.58% 33.1 76.62% -0.837 0.0161 -0.387
E 21646 35.58% 38.53 77.84% -0.295 0.4064 0.168
F 26613 37.25% 34.8 76.09% -0.647 0.1345 -0.341
G 22397 37.6% 34.01 75.66% -0.693 0.0786 -0.364
H 24929 35.52% 35.64 77.18% -0.586 0.1827 -0.196
East 10605 33.4% 42.11 73.21% -0.152 0.7102 -1.136
Northeast 7307 31.73% 43.59 74.42% -0.48 0.2669 -0.17
Northwest 5965 31.14% 44.32 73.36% -0.258 0.5749 -0.829
Southeast 2354 26.83% 41.75 75.62% -0.227 0.5483 -0.461
Southwest 2466 28.76% 40.15 74.29% -0.486 0.8337 -0.267
West 10070 33.65% 41.57 72.14% -0.546 0.4604 -0.683

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2321 0.0% 25.03 78.33% -0.0 0.8305 0.877
Not Using Events or Tokens 176 49.64% 18.76 68.75% 0.858 1.2988 -0.423
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5881 9.3% 44.95 89.78% -0.144 -0.7059 -0.851
Start of Game Growth 8824 11.34% 46.04 87.69% 0.261 -0.2774 0.564
Unlimited Undo 19897 27.46% 37.72 81.57% 0.255 0.2956 0.349
Using Tokens but Not Events 20986 23.58% 30.65 84.12% -0.019 -0.0427 -0.176

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 11632 27.6% 35.03 80.04% -0.311 -0.4139 0.256
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4528 43.68% 29.38 67.29% -0.098 0.0624 -1.311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 29 24.14% 27.34 51.72% 0.667 -0.1691 0.283
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3808 32.85% 35.25 77.86% -0.456 -0.5877 0.194
Downpour Drenches the World 615 28.86% 31.21 68.62% -0.259 0.0588 0.375
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 529 32.39% 29.76 61.63% 0.596 0.1112 -1.223
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4909 30.48% 35.29 81.5% 0.155 -0.2986 0.302
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4437 30.61% 36.58 77.94% 0.199 -0.2531 -0.085
Finder of Paths Unseen 381 36.0% 30.14 64.04% -0.601 0.0659 -0.727
Fractured Days Split the Sky 957 29.81% 39.75 77.22% -0.096 0.582 0.293
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1289 36.97% 35.68 77.35% -0.021 0.0404 0.435
Heart of the Wildfire 5117 47.32% 34.25 71.8% -0.102 0.1575 0.288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20269 28.4% 38.32 79.32% 0.222 -0.1719 0.069
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 161 15.63% 47.57 79.5% 1.073 0.678 -0.059
Lightning's Swift Strike 6769 33.37% 35.04 78.93% 0.232 0.4856 0.292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 267 38.76% 42.1 71.54% 0.412 -0.1422 -0.158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 506 40.36% 40.65 79.05% -0.236 -0.4717 0.935
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 731 35.85% 41.09 78.8% -0.179 -0.4299 0.767
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4786 35.34% 39.03 78.14% 0.17 -0.1538 0.118
Many Minds Move as One 8053 32.38% 34.35 80.65% 0.124 -0.0757 0.001
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9364 35.88% 39.38 78.45% 0.612 0.5842 1.029
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3748 35.11% 36.19 78.23% 0.375 0.233 0.239
River Surges in Sunlight 7825 35.31% 38.29 78.26% 0.27 0.3871 0.466
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 837 34.81% 39.89 75.27% -0.373 -0.0351 -0.067
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 408 39.65% 39.31 73.53% 0.68 0.5323 0.772
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7256 34.69% 35.86 71.78% -0.565 -0.7321 0.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4444 42.97% 30.41 70.27% 0.046 0.5905 -0.847
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 36.67% 33.26 59.57% -0.954 -0.8681 0.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 33 33.33% 35.91 69.7% -0.009 -0.3784 -0.134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 121 40.34% 37.43 73.55% -0.584 -0.4187 0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 398 39.19% 34.01 77.64% 0.185 0.2167 0.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 338 41.79% 37.13 78.4% -0.055 0.1159 0.263
Shifting Memory of Ages 1045 38.17% 31.89 77.89% 0.416 0.7946 -0.089
Shroud of Silent Mist 868 44.98% 30.44 72.35% -0.366 0.0047 -0.277
Starlight Seeks its Form 1267 30.43% 34.9 70.96% 0.853 0.6462 -0.156
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3475 34.36% 38.88 77.35% -0.226 -0.9426 0.055
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3641 34.94% 36.28 80.17% -0.303 -0.1216 0.375
Thunderspeaker 11807 25.81% 38.43 79.45% 0.101 0.1149 -0.246
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 73 46.58% 32.99 65.75% -0.419 -0.3131 0.116
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1954 53.16% 34.01 70.11% 0.276 0.4162 -0.226
Vital Strength of the Earth 5536 35.13% 30.28 71.95% -0.336 0.2064 -0.538
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 273 33.97% 35.91 68.13% -0.012 0.3256 -0.04
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 430 38.17% 31.84 70.47% -0.969 -0.2528 -1.347
Volcano Looming High 1604 42.23% 34.2 74.06% -0.285 -0.3179 0.135
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 102 33.66% 30.96 68.63% 0.253 -0.1847 -0.121

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.89%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.19%
Terrifying Chase 73.36%
Too Near the Jungle 91.58%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32448 16.23 35.37%
II 77898 30.54 75.97%
III 63247 34.77 90.77%
IV 21234 38.37 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11476
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 56345
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 58051
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20972
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7543
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1215
Lose: Adversary condition 9451
Win: Sacrifice victory 505
Lose: Scenario condition 1825
Win: Scenario condition 1859
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22445
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3140

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.619 Win Model: -0.121

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.179 Win Model: 0.112
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 110979 36.81% 35.68 76.5%
2 44696 41.99% 33.08 75.64%
3 18821 36.07% 34.35 77.83%
4 18475 27.15% 40.11 78.61%
5 329 28.17% 28.7 79.03%
6 1527 19.55% 33.76 69.61%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)