Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 110 24.55% 24.51 71.82% -0.23 -0.4923 0.122
Blitz 0 1664 39.24% 26.89 65.14% -0.286 0.0784 -0.764
Dahan Insurrection 4 1190 32.24% 50.9 72.44% -0.429 -0.5607 0.717
Despicable Theft 2 306 31.05% 29.78 59.8% -0.972 -0.3484 -0.686
Elemental Invocation 1 443 40.86% 26.08 57.34% -0.727 0.2214 -1.012
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12526 9.76% 52.52 82.0% 1.077 0.6166 1.077
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1213 36.23% 38.29 68.34% -0.985 0.0176 -1.405
Rituals of Terror 3 707 46.37% 37.15 64.5% -0.647 -0.5097 -0.824
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 362 62.05% 29.88 45.3% -1.305 -0.4218 -0.922
Second Wave 0 7826 38.62% 29.2 75.91% 0.021 0.0713 -0.553
The Great River 3 316 38.92% 30.99 60.44% -0.726 0.5654 -1.369
Varied Terrains 2 165 40.61% 22.9 49.7% -1.069 -0.1287 -1.018
Ward the Shores 2 895 40.49% 33.85 59.89% -0.22 0.7378 -0.744

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 122337 36.07% 34.25 73.69% -0.471 0.0106 1.609
1 Thematic 6140 37.89% 35.38 69.38% -0.667 0.1818 1.439
2 Archipelago 71 36.62% 39.3 81.69% 0.662 1.3606 1.5
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 34227 41.56% 31.97 73.77% -0.098 0.2055 1.184
2 Coastline 3728 41.26% 31.02 73.36% -0.479 -0.3481 0.97
2 Fragment 1243 41.3% 30.82 73.53% 0.321 0.3068 1.618
2 Heart 556 50.55% 27.96 66.37% 0.126 -0.1143 0.984
2 Opposite Shores 6974 35.24% 31.15 74.89% 0.12 0.382 0.411
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8849 0.0
2 Thematic 3242 43.93% 33.98 64.34% -0.24 0.5453 0.359
2 Top to Top 1122 43.18% 33.84 73.53% 0.038 0.1453 1.474
3 Archipelago 60 40.0% 36.83 85.0% 0.671 -0.563 0.671
3 Coastline 171 36.84% 29.8 74.85% -0.631 -1.1211 0.838
3 Other 800 30.9% 29.04 77.0% 0.226 -0.389 0.417
3 Round (Default) 19259 35.7% 33.64 76.7% 0.131 0.1222 0.32
3 Sunrise 177 22.03% 33.54 66.67% 0.285 0.1807 0.43
3 Thematic 971 44.59% 32.15 63.13% -0.709 -0.4393 -0.56
4 Archipelago 71 14.71% 32.54 66.2% 0.369 -0.5881 -0.421
4 Coastline 88 11.36% 32.52 85.23% 0.373 -0.0275 -0.269
4 Leaf 87 45.98% 29.06 72.41% 0.172 -0.077 -1.323
4 Other 478 29.18% 31.57 85.15% 0.04 -0.8333 1.062
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.5257 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4197 24.23% 49.57 78.17% 0.585 0.9169 -0.754
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15364 27.57% 37.07 77.15% 0.003 -0.0798 -0.755
5 Archipelago 31 38.71% 46.39 90.32% 0.309 -0.8194 0.402
5 Coastline 23 8.7% 29.61 95.65% 0.0 -0.1898 0.05
5 Other 502 36.36% 31.74 81.67% 0.367 -0.3772 -0.372
5 Thematic 72 20.83% 35.42 76.39% -0.234 -0.7478 -1.43
6 Archipelago 53 16.98% 37.68 81.13% -0.312 -1.1461 -1.48
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.0 0.9661 -0.337
6 Other 213 24.41% 26.92 72.77% -0.838 -0.6079 -0.952
6 Star 148 31.76% 28.74 67.57% -0.643 -0.356 -2.031
6 Thematic 690 16.72% 39.02 66.67% -0.189 0.1896 -2.476
6 Two Centers (Default) 904 17.63% 23.8 56.08% -0.687 -0.2564 -3.425
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 32.14 42.86% 0.0 -0.0462 -0.823
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.594
7 Other 22 4.76% 7.73 18.18% -0.178 -0.0511 -1.462

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7500 30.4 53.65% -0.675 -0.4991 -0.644
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6476 32.84 56.47% -0.231 -0.3353 -0.41
All Things Weaken 3007 31.91 52.91% -0.206 0.023 -0.615
Attenuated Essence 362 30.09 51.1% -0.102 -0.067 -0.637
Back Against the Wall 6284 31.59 55.11% 0.206 0.1845 -0.432
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 396 28.4 44.95% -0.888 -0.7832 -0.923
Burn Brightest Before the End 340 32.3 51.76% -0.075 0.0647 -0.845
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6537 27.09 48.54% -0.818 -0.4593 -0.9
Downward Spiral 8602 28.0 56.91% -0.557 -0.4739 -0.693
Erosion of Will 7072 29.12 49.94% -0.509 -0.2548 -0.853
Intensifying Exploitation 435 26.19 47.13% 0.447 0.7039 -1.059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1258 37.99 79.33% -0.175 -0.5777 0.401
Memory Fades to Dust 8630 28.2 55.81% -0.387 -0.1085 -0.575
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2938 30.46 53.47% -0.329 -0.0572 -0.838
Promising Farmlands 6894 28.2 51.47% -0.252 0.0405 -0.948
Shattered Fragments of Power 306 35.26 56.86% 0.268 0.4029 -0.211
Slow Dissolution of Will 368 28.98 44.02% -0.341 0.0204 -0.977
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 883 38.24 82.56% 0.563 0.0035 0.483
The Border of Life and Death 122 31.36 62.3% -0.394 -0.7602 -0.238
Thriving Communities 2854 30.24 52.17% -0.032 0.2863 -0.744
Thriving Crops 200 29.42 52.5% 0.089 -0.0336 -0.747
Tipping Point 2829 25.0 37.29% -0.633 0.6403 -1.607
Unnatural Proliferation 3054 33.4 55.11% -0.189 -0.099 -0.685
Untended Land Crumbles 2887 29.61 50.29% -0.14 0.1283 -0.838

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 58758 35.18% 32.82 74.59% -0.21 0.9389 -0.509
B 68437 34.62% 34.54 75.43% -0.002 1.0664 -0.297
C 60173 34.82% 33.59 75.41% -0.21 0.709 -0.529
D 53149 36.04% 31.99 74.19% -0.211 0.852 -0.482
E 27359 34.43% 37.1 74.82% 0.416 1.3697 0.113
F 31494 36.45% 33.29 73.31% -0.105 0.898 -0.424
G 26389 37.05% 32.58 72.91% -0.224 0.7444 -0.463
H 29224 34.97% 34.34 74.58% 0.056 1.0143 -0.271
East 11556 33.01% 40.71 71.37% -1.053 -0.0495 -1.073
Northeast 7941 31.47% 42.17 72.57% 0.033 0.9013 -0.276
Northwest 6486 30.62% 42.79 71.43% -0.009 0.8322 -0.853
Southeast 2655 26.26% 39.6 72.62% 0.337 1.3944 -0.258
Southwest 2769 28.1% 37.95 70.82% -0.603 0.7849 -0.352
West 10950 33.19% 40.17 70.25% -0.158 1.0555 -0.862

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2603 0.0% 23.84 75.22% -0.824 -0.0425 1.164
Not Using Events or Tokens 212 53.75% 18.52 68.4% 0.099 0.4202 -0.394
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6393 9.32% 43.83 87.56% 0.433 -0.2079 -0.905
Start of Game Growth 9590 11.41% 44.69 85.56% -0.136 -0.7145 0.686
Unlimited Undo 22394 27.1% 36.26 79.04% 0.187 -0.0249 0.324
Using Tokens but Not Events 24168 23.34% 29.29 81.26% 0.396 0.3127 -0.155

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12715 27.55% 33.9 77.75% -0.428 -0.8066 0.223
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 174 26.59% 32.86 74.14% 0.546 -0.2316 0.288
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4902 43.69% 28.59 66.14% -1.009 -1.0068 -1.076
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 114 25.44% 33.67 69.3% 0.122 -0.9241 -0.082
Dances Up Earthquakes 146 32.41% 31.9 61.64% 0.139 -0.0303 -1.261
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4260 32.09% 34.31 76.17% -0.371 -0.7054 0.286
Downpour Drenches the World 870 26.93% 29.43 65.06% -0.307 -0.3056 0.323
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 934 33.3% 29.34 62.85% 0.345 -0.4747 -0.863
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5672 29.91% 34.1 79.39% 0.41 -0.3756 0.206
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4893 30.45% 35.55 76.76% -0.109 -0.701 0.037
Finder of Paths Unseen 547 34.51% 28.52 60.33% -0.244 0.2723 -0.479
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1152 29.22% 38.36 74.48% -0.129 0.1838 0.372
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1743 35.41% 32.71 71.6% 0.374 0.1045 0.083
Heart of the Wildfire 5553 46.72% 33.43 70.74% 0.582 0.7946 0.288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21923 28.35% 37.11 77.52% 0.213 -0.5357 0.054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 784 9.32% 51.94 86.61% 0.367 -0.3826 -0.316
Lightning's Swift Strike 7270 33.2% 34.13 77.72% 0.697 0.6949 0.321
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 354 37.39% 40.01 70.9% 0.034 -0.7712 0.09
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 586 38.25% 39.12 76.45% 0.443 -0.3216 1.031
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 851 35.14% 39.7 75.91% -0.242 -0.483 0.985
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5687 34.98% 37.11 75.51% -0.01 -0.456 0.088
Many Minds Move as One 9615 32.02% 32.58 77.25% 0.019 -0.4517 0.014
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10312 35.56% 38.22 76.67% -0.009 -0.1747 1.007
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 141 43.88% 29.69 65.25% 0.4 0.2852 0.412
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4162 34.32% 35.07 76.48% -0.189 -0.5081 0.227
River Surges in Sunlight 8443 35.02% 37.35 76.87% 0.194 0.0018 0.428
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 55 43.64% 27.91 65.45% -0.741 -0.7434 -0.715
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 935 33.94% 38.24 72.94% 0.393 0.2277 0.084
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 710 36.84% 35.49 64.93% 0.505 0.2475 0.006
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7851 33.78% 34.68 69.58% -0.01 -0.3057 -0.068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 59 30.51% 35.92 67.8% -0.137 -0.3825 0.752
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4687 42.88% 29.82 69.02% -0.663 -0.3147 -0.606
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 157 33.33% 31.97 61.15% 0.417 0.3235 0.451
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 123 32.52% 33.31 71.54% 0.69 -0.0523 -0.214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 145 39.16% 34.94 70.34% 0.154 -0.042 -0.267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 465 38.13% 32.13 73.76% -1.212 -1.4966 -0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 394 40.36% 34.62 74.37% -0.794 -0.9572 0.41
Shifting Memory of Ages 1269 36.16% 29.77 75.1% 0.178 0.3173 0.101
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 133 34.59% 32.33 62.41% -0.899 -1.2238 0.617
Shroud of Silent Mist 1110 44.03% 28.28 68.2% -0.358 -0.1399 -0.5
Starlight Seeks its Form 1710 29.54% 32.14 67.08% 0.002 -0.2667 -0.051
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3939 33.99% 37.63 75.4% 0.037 -0.8268 0.123
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4137 34.01% 35.32 78.17% 0.306 0.2627 0.441
Thunderspeaker 13118 25.19% 38.3 78.66% 0.234 0.0732 -0.191
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 125 41.6% 27.18 56.8% 0.459 0.4024 -0.186
Towering Roots of the Jungle 259 38.22% 29.59 65.64% 0.236 -0.0008 -0.335
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2245 50.87% 32.81 68.78% 0.268 0.1829 -0.294
Vital Strength of the Earth 6112 34.32% 29.02 69.5% -0.837 -0.4651 -0.662
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 385 33.69% 35.37 67.53% 0.404 0.6965 0.397
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 509 38.34% 30.09 66.6% -0.272 0.2124 -1.458
Volcano Looming High 2065 40.82% 32.02 70.02% -0.315 -0.5607 0.036
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 299 32.89% 31.39 69.23% -0.041 -0.6914 0.056

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.26%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.37%
Terrifying Chase 74.39%
Too Near the Jungle 91.89%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 43130 12.75 30.3%
II 87313 30.01 75.13%
III 70279 34.87 90.71%
IV 23422 38.76 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13068
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 62623
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 64390
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23142
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16569
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1337
Lose: Adversary condition 10407
Win: Sacrifice victory 540
Lose: Scenario condition 1961
Win: Scenario condition 1979
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24802
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3326

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.79 Win Model: -0.107

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.108 Win Model: -0.115
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 128803 36.16% 34.28 73.42%
2 51169 40.99% 31.94 73.32%
3 21354 35.75% 33.39 76.14%
4 20350 26.94% 39.48 77.58%
5 468 29.72% 28.8 77.56%
6 2000 18.6% 29.83 62.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-09 13:08:08 (Pacific Time)