Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 114 23.68% 24.07 71.05% 0.0 0.3699 0.0
Blitz 0 1721 38.69% 26.94 65.14% 0.742 1.1737 -0.428
Dahan Insurrection 4 1224 32.08% 50.4 71.57% -0.86 -0.886 1.483
Despicable Theft 2 323 30.34% 29.27 58.82% -1.05 -0.3903 -0.316
Elemental Invocation 1 457 40.26% 25.84 57.33% 0.879 1.327 -0.653
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12899 9.66% 52.42 81.8% 1.488 0.8884 1.797
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1244 36.29% 37.89 67.68% -0.013 0.5949 -0.179
Rituals of Terror 3 720 45.76% 36.89 64.17% -0.422 -0.297 -0.118
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 370 62.33% 29.53 44.86% -0.949 -0.2104 -0.237
Second Wave 0 8024 38.38% 29.08 75.75% 0.177 0.2834 -0.039
The Great River 3 324 38.89% 30.52 59.57% -0.58 0.5946 -0.35
Varied Terrains 2 175 40.57% 23.41 49.71% -0.596 0.1405 -0.101
Ward the Shores 2 924 40.2% 33.35 59.09% -0.679 0.0033 -0.302

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 126648 35.9% 34.01 73.17% 0.403 0.6274 0.211
1 Thematic 6238 37.71% 35.18 69.12% 0.027 0.5776 0.926
2 Archipelago 71 36.62% 39.3 81.69% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 35172 41.53% 31.72 73.28% 0.335 0.4459 0.487
2 Coastline 3813 41.02% 30.75 72.86% -0.532 -0.621 -0.519
2 Fragment 1278 40.94% 30.65 73.4% 0.437 0.0986 0.0
2 Heart 562 50.36% 27.91 66.19% -0.491 -0.8179 -0.393
2 Opposite Shores 7157 35.13% 30.89 74.29% 0.383 0.4195 -0.509
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3312 43.78% 33.74 64.04% -0.182 0.3464 -0.59
2 Top to Top 1146 42.97% 33.74 73.21% 0.513 0.306 1.561
3 Archipelago 65 43.08% 36.17 84.62% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 177 35.59% 29.24 74.01% -0.258 -0.7793 0.57
3 Other 837 30.13% 28.81 77.3% 0.078 -0.6642 -0.357
3 Round (Default) 19807 35.66% 33.32 76.12% -0.293 -0.389 0.144
3 Sunrise 180 22.22% 33.28 66.67% 0.369 -0.3707 0.0
3 Thematic 1003 43.76% 31.49 61.91% -0.347 -0.1048 -0.756
4 Archipelago 72 15.94% 33.18 66.67% 0.562 0.6431 0.704
4 Coastline 90 11.11% 32.43 85.56% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 92 47.83% 28.8 73.91% 0.524 -0.0302 0.0
4 Other 495 29.59% 30.93 83.43% 0.543 -0.0048 1.058
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4234 24.16% 49.43 78.01% 0.084 0.5572 0.5
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15784 27.47% 36.93 76.95% 0.01 -0.1784 -0.395
5 Archipelago 31 38.71% 46.39 90.32% -0.393 1.053 0.0
5 Coastline 25 8.0% 28.24 92.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 532 36.76% 31.32 80.83% -0.272 -0.5987 0.154
5 Thematic 74 21.62% 34.81 75.68% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 55 18.18% 37.4 80.0% 0.155 -0.7706 -0.475
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 231 24.78% 25.92 71.0% -0.923 -0.6538 0.338
6 Star 153 32.68% 29.05 67.32% -0.441 0.3552 0.21
6 Thematic 707 17.02% 38.55 66.2% -0.019 0.562 -0.879
6 Two Centers (Default) 973 17.31% 23.0 54.68% 0.44 0.4171 -1.236
7 Archipelago 8 25.0% 28.13 37.5% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 24 4.35% 7.08 16.67% -0.294 -0.5496 -0.541

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7664 30.28 53.39% -0.745 -0.4343 0.144
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6601 32.74 56.39% -0.379 -0.3656 0.029
All Things Weaken 3094 31.81 53.07% -0.338 0.1361 0.205
Attenuated Essence 407 30.2 52.09% -0.785 -0.6384 0.347
Back Against the Wall 6460 31.53 55.19% 0.128 0.2571 0.355
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 453 27.85 45.03% -0.951 -0.6311 0.133
Burn Brightest Before the End 374 32.5 52.41% -0.013 0.1637 0.666
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6702 26.86 48.28% -0.663 -0.2821 -0.443
Downward Spiral 8828 27.81 56.59% -0.393 -0.1993 0.02
Erosion of Will 7241 29.01 49.8% -0.747 -0.4089 0.176
Intensifying Exploitation 473 26.25 47.57% -0.146 0.207 -0.231
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1295 37.63 79.07% 0.914 0.551 0.207
Memory Fades to Dust 8830 28.05 55.57% -0.353 -0.0237 0.114
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3035 30.32 53.44% -0.693 -0.4267 0.233
Promising Farmlands 7031 28.1 51.24% -1.038 -0.591 0.027
Shattered Fragments of Power 342 34.96 56.43% 0.529 0.5286 0.719
Slow Dissolution of Will 417 28.9 44.12% 0.146 0.5571 0.053
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 914 38.28 82.49% -0.19 -0.7488 0.759
The Border of Life and Death 136 31.12 62.5% -0.405 -0.6501 0.028
Thriving Communities 2982 29.88 51.78% -1.097 -0.8193 0.091
Thriving Crops 228 30.26 54.82% 0.457 0.3615 1.236
Tipping Point 2831 24.98 37.27% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3159 33.37 55.21% 0.048 0.2526 0.279
Untended Land Crumbles 2964 29.47 50.13% -0.642 -0.3423 -0.103

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 60454 35.07% 32.58 74.06% -0.252 0.7396 0.116
B 70430 34.52% 34.27 74.91% -0.088 0.7774 0.087
C 61851 34.7% 33.36 75.0% 0.127 0.8789 -0.069
D 54624 35.97% 31.74 73.68% 0.114 1.0585 0.197
E 28496 34.22% 36.79 74.28% 0.344 1.0985 0.682
F 32669 36.35% 32.98 72.8% 0.305 1.1799 -0.202
G 27372 36.84% 32.27 72.33% 0.208 1.0701 -0.031
H 30263 34.84% 34.06 74.14% 0.301 1.1085 0.232
East 11751 32.92% 40.43 71.04% -0.81 -0.0645 0.18
Northeast 8077 31.38% 41.86 72.19% 0.051 0.9439 -0.482
Northwest 6580 30.52% 42.53 71.09% 0.887 1.6301 -0.071
Southeast 2721 26.28% 39.16 72.11% -0.009 0.9993 0.379
Southwest 2840 27.96% 37.48 70.25% -0.259 0.8972 -0.723
West 11126 33.04% 39.89 69.91% -0.295 0.6876 -0.082

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2647 0.0% 23.68 74.73% -1.07 -0.3499 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 218 54.22% 18.34 68.35% 0.394 0.8683 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6507 9.29% 43.44 86.86% 1.054 0.2493 -0.482
Start of Game Growth 9735 11.46% 44.36 84.99% 0.457 -0.1097 0.345
Unlimited Undo 22824 27.08% 36.02 78.61% 0.537 0.564 0.16
Using Tokens but Not Events 24806 23.36% 29.06 80.94% 0.326 0.2989 0.719

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12967 27.52% 33.61 77.25% 0.553 0.1356 -0.482
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 192 26.18% 32.82 76.04% 0.691 0.0344 0.139
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 9 33.33% 30.33 44.44% -0.411 -0.5689 -0.197
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 137 33.58% 30.91 70.07% -0.2 -1.0603 0.377
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5001 43.38% 28.31 65.51% -0.751 -0.6136 -0.376
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 129 28.68% 32.89 68.99% 0.518 -0.5118 -0.149
Dances Up Earthquakes 175 35.63% 32.15 64.57% -0.356 -0.3922 0.111
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4390 31.92% 34.06 75.74% -0.492 -0.8465 0.515
Downpour Drenches the World 930 26.62% 29.0 64.19% -0.122 0.0017 -0.289
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1025 32.58% 29.07 62.93% 0.493 -0.078 -0.537
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5857 29.82% 33.65 78.62% 0.417 -0.2287 0.395
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5016 30.38% 35.17 76.38% -0.385 -0.8792 -1.283
Finder of Paths Unseen 574 35.16% 28.41 59.76% -1.07 -0.4815 -0.145
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1181 29.35% 37.97 73.58% 0.113 0.5595 0.92
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1833 35.53% 32.23 70.49% -0.888 -1.0737 -1.336
Heart of the Wildfire 5639 46.43% 33.3 70.65% -0.016 0.1264 -0.477
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 22292 28.39% 36.88 77.21% 0.682 0.008 -0.264
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 895 9.17% 52.14 87.04% 0.101 -0.4263 -0.105
Lightning's Swift Strike 7425 33.51% 33.92 77.33% 0.701 0.7337 0.746
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 382 37.63% 39.89 71.47% 0.685 0.0325 1.02
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 598 37.82% 38.92 76.42% 0.545 0.0498 -0.265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 881 34.85% 39.08 74.8% 0.657 0.418 -0.418
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5871 34.72% 36.68 75.1% 0.031 -0.3947 -0.458
Many Minds Move as One 9954 31.98% 32.24 76.58% 0.487 -0.0217 0.152
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10513 35.52% 37.9 76.15% -0.065 -0.335 0.513
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 166 43.29% 29.22 65.06% -0.02 -0.1341 1.24
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4282 34.44% 34.74 76.13% 0.946 0.6525 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight 8636 35.02% 36.99 76.3% 0.16 -0.0107 -0.544
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 63 39.68% 26.71 61.9% -0.381 -0.4921 -0.264
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 968 33.78% 37.87 72.62% 0.061 -0.0046 0.096
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 757 36.8% 35.1 64.73% 0.688 0.5575 0.725
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8034 33.56% 34.31 69.01% -0.472 -0.7367 -0.183
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 70 28.57% 34.77 65.71% -0.575 -1.0051 -0.212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4758 42.91% 29.61 68.79% -0.464 -0.0351 -0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 165 32.92% 32.28 61.82% 0.024 0.0281 0.732
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 133 33.08% 33.38 72.18% -0.095 -0.8476 1.545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 151 38.93% 34.85 70.86% 0.163 -0.1554 -0.481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 482 38.03% 31.86 73.44% 0.109 -0.07 -0.881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 400 40.25% 34.45 73.75% 0.0 -0.0428 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 1310 36.56% 29.54 74.73% -0.298 -0.0039 0.683
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 152 33.55% 32.41 61.84% 0.051 -0.1122 -0.075
Shroud of Silent Mist 1155 43.56% 27.8 66.75% -0.707 -0.5253 0.154
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 13 53.85% 33.08 76.92% 0.45 0.04 0.408
Starlight Seeks its Form 1805 29.17% 31.38 65.6% 0.074 -0.1681 -0.143
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4018 34.07% 37.43 75.21% 0.667 -0.2848 0.387
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4252 34.01% 35.04 77.68% 0.186 0.2289 0.844
Thunderspeaker 13446 25.03% 38.19 78.58% 0.463 0.2676 -0.621
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 141 41.13% 26.61 56.74% -0.353 -0.5212 -0.394
Towering Roots of the Jungle 292 38.01% 29.87 66.1% -0.15 -0.2608 0.474
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2288 50.79% 32.66 68.53% -0.855 -1.0053 0.653
Vital Strength of the Earth 6312 34.37% 28.6 68.76% 0.262 0.6202 -1.427
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 419 33.91% 34.72 66.59% -0.972 -0.7285 -0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 541 38.29% 29.36 65.06% -0.183 0.4979 -0.464
Volcano Looming High 2126 40.26% 31.8 69.61% -0.236 -0.5603 0.058
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 320 31.35% 30.79 67.81% -0.362 -0.8797 -0.067

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.32%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.38%
Terrifying Chase 74.49%
Too Near the Jungle 91.93%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45564 12.25 29.5%
II 89506 29.91 75.0%
III 72108 34.94 90.62%
IV 23990 38.9 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13441
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 64197
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 65899
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23705
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18698
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1364
Lose: Adversary condition 10621
Win: Sacrifice victory 556
Lose: Scenario condition 1975
Win: Scenario condition 2003
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 25344
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3365

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.542 Win Model: -0.12

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.009 Win Model: 0.092
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 133231 35.98% 34.03 72.91%
2 52518 40.91% 31.69 72.85%
3 21979 35.67% 33.07 75.59%
4 20828 26.87% 39.29 77.37%
5 499 30.69% 28.43 76.75%
6 2113 18.66% 29.02 61.29%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)