Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 93 21.51% 25.03 72.04% -0.531 -0.4366 0.109
Blitz 0 1591 39.91% 27.24 65.93% -0.348 -0.132 -0.78
Dahan Insurrection 4 1136 32.28% 51.33 73.06% 0.116 -0.1876 0.65
Despicable Theft 2 268 30.6% 30.73 63.81% -0.894 -0.1106 -0.638
Elemental Invocation 1 396 42.93% 27.58 60.35% 0.301 0.9608 -0.941
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11939 9.89% 52.88 82.41% 1.442 0.8124 1.062
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1142 35.85% 39.4 70.67% -1.132 -0.2227 -1.456
Rituals of Terror 3 692 46.99% 37.49 65.03% -0.322 -0.2104 -0.856
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 343 64.91% 30.99 46.65% -0.666 0.2235 -0.883
Second Wave 0 7528 38.74% 29.35 76.21% -0.153 0.0556 -0.576
The Great River 3 302 39.07% 31.6 61.92% -0.61 0.4389 -1.353
Varied Terrains 2 130 40.77% 24.35 53.85% -1.005 -0.2088 -1.058
Ward the Shores 2 864 40.68% 34.15 60.3% -1.168 0.0276 -0.759

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 116368 36.28% 34.69 74.67% 0.242 0.5882 1.538
1 Thematic 5990 38.05% 35.68 69.82% 0.423 1.0227 1.321
2 Archipelago 66 37.88% 39.53 81.82% -0.441 0.4176 1.473
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32727 41.72% 32.29 74.46% 0.121 0.2644 1.12
2 Coastline 3550 41.78% 31.66 74.99% 0.072 -0.0382 0.983
2 Fragment 1192 41.47% 31.04 74.41% 0.504 0.3034 1.546
2 Heart 508 51.4% 28.77 68.7% 0.035 -0.4211 0.889
2 Opposite Shores 6687 35.51% 31.45 75.34% 0.128 0.2199 0.349
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5282 0.0
2 Thematic 3137 44.57% 34.26 64.81% -0.246 0.146 0.293
2 Top to Top 1071 43.84% 34.12 73.48% 0.438 0.3463 1.328
3 Archipelago 58 39.66% 37.43 86.21% 0.712 -0.3593 0.684
3 Coastline 156 35.9% 30.76 76.28% -0.018 -0.9435 0.766
3 Other 749 32.08% 29.68 77.84% 1.016 0.4054 0.496
3 Round (Default) 18441 35.77% 33.94 77.23% 0.182 0.1076 0.259
3 Sunrise 169 22.49% 33.94 65.68% -0.345 -0.5935 0.359
3 Thematic 936 44.98% 32.66 64.53% -0.873 -0.9608 -0.297
4 Archipelago 63 13.33% 33.71 66.67% -0.061 -0.2511 -0.462
4 Coastline 87 11.49% 32.9 86.21% 0.618 0.6781 -0.294
4 Leaf 81 43.21% 29.6 72.84% -0.57 -0.7842 -1.178
4 Other 460 28.29% 32.12 86.52% 0.394 -0.3313 0.85
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.7176 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2513 0.0
4 Thematic 4139 24.11% 49.74 78.45% 0.448 0.2229 -0.794
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14790 27.67% 37.18 77.46% 0.003 -0.1774 -0.79
5 Archipelago 27 44.44% 47.78 88.89% 0.0 1.2771 0.453
5 Coastline 19 10.53% 30.79 94.74% 0.0 -0.4224 0.045
5 Other 466 37.39% 32.36 82.62% 0.92 0.1294 -0.461
5 Thematic 70 20.0% 36.26 78.57% 0.319 0.0747 -1.431
6 Archipelago 48 18.75% 40.4 85.42% 0.0 -0.7668 -1.004
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.0 -0.7993 -0.332
6 Other 192 24.48% 27.12 75.0% -0.437 -0.6804 -1.003
6 Star 134 30.6% 28.96 68.66% -0.074 0.0792 -2.112
6 Thematic 668 16.64% 39.6 67.37% -1.081 -1.0416 -2.448
6 Two Centers (Default) 793 18.7% 25.61 60.28% -0.955 -0.6036 -3.314
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 32.14 42.86% 0.0 -0.2408 -0.851
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.632
7 Other 16 6.67% 10.63 25.0% -0.649 -1.4817 -1.159

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7265 30.58 53.9% -0.09 0.0265 -0.711
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6263 32.91 56.57% -0.539 -0.6301 -0.487
All Things Weaken 2856 32.14 53.19% -0.519 -0.2572 -0.67
Attenuated Essence 280 30.03 51.07% -0.08 -0.1113 -0.712
Back Against the Wall 6102 31.68 55.23% -0.128 -0.0968 -0.521
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 318 28.69 47.17% 0.182 0.3329 -0.968
Burn Brightest Before the End 278 32.23 50.36% 0.076 0.0367 -1.01
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6330 27.37 48.94% -0.713 -0.4969 -0.971
Downward Spiral 8293 28.2 57.35% -0.291 -0.1895 -0.764
Erosion of Will 6839 29.23 50.11% -0.468 -0.2717 -0.934
Intensifying Exploitation 343 26.43 45.48% -0.014 0.1655 -1.147
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1187 38.49 80.45% 0.021 -0.5735 0.375
Memory Fades to Dust 8353 28.41 56.08% 0.043 0.2584 -0.643
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2782 30.74 53.81% -0.593 -0.3909 -0.906
Promising Farmlands 6637 28.42 51.83% -0.199 0.0201 -1.017
Shattered Fragments of Power 241 36.22 57.68% 0.169 0.1784 -0.185
Slow Dissolution of Will 287 29.03 42.86% -0.427 -0.154 -1.09
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 845 38.75 83.55% 0.048 -0.6524 0.45
The Border of Life and Death 97 33.44 65.98% 0.863 0.4149 -0.176
Thriving Communities 2713 30.42 52.49% -0.687 -0.489 -0.852
Thriving Crops 156 28.11 52.56% 0.95 0.6643 -1.046
Tipping Point 2829 25.0 37.29% -0.418 0.004 -1.686
Unnatural Proliferation 2928 33.61 55.46% -0.334 -0.1832 -0.737
Untended Land Crumbles 2762 29.8 50.33% -0.333 -0.1441 -0.882

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 56251 35.42% 33.17 75.36% -0.301 0.6699 -0.492
B 65721 34.83% 34.93 76.19% 0.023 0.9048 -0.263
C 57683 35.03% 33.92 76.15% -0.093 0.602 -0.509
D 51028 36.18% 32.37 75.0% -0.154 0.762 -0.449
E 25375 34.72% 37.48 75.6% 0.4 1.16 0.121
F 29791 36.7% 33.77 74.19% -0.041 0.8103 -0.416
G 24969 37.25% 33.04 73.83% -0.169 0.6325 -0.443
H 27715 35.02% 34.78 75.52% 0.33 1.1389 -0.251
East 11272 33.1% 41.1 71.98% -0.248 0.6166 -1.166
Northeast 7755 31.55% 42.54 73.18% 0.425 1.2288 -0.239
Northwest 6344 30.77% 43.05 71.8% -0.593 0.2146 -0.834
Southeast 2576 26.35% 40.18 73.41% -0.719 0.1609 -0.326
Southwest 2693 28.21% 38.4 71.48% -0.38 0.9476 -0.314
West 10700 33.28% 40.47 70.71% -0.375 0.6866 -0.875

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2522 0.0% 24.18 76.05% -0.79 -0.09 1.082
Not Using Events or Tokens 200 54.0% 17.89 66.5% 0.0 0.3927 -0.388
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6209 9.29% 44.36 88.58% 0.958 0.2408 -0.825
Start of Game Growth 9309 11.46% 45.23 86.45% 0.246 -0.2456 0.676
Unlimited Undo 21576 27.25% 36.67 79.78% -0.069 -0.1495 0.338
Using Tokens but Not Events 23143 23.48% 29.65 81.9% 0.111 0.0783 -0.195

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12310 27.46% 34.35 78.68% -0.04 -0.1289 0.22
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 93 33.7% 35.25 69.89% -0.488 -1.0012 0.469
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4750 43.57% 28.93 66.91% -0.134 0.0442 -1.129
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 89 26.97% 31.12 66.29% -0.001 -0.9003 -0.009
Dances Up Earthquakes 81 27.5% 34.79 61.73% -0.513 -0.5884 -1.472
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4098 32.22% 34.55 76.79% 0.005 -0.1922 0.263
Downpour Drenches the World 775 27.73% 30.13 66.45% -0.171 0.1211 0.369
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 788 32.65% 29.47 63.2% 0.644 0.0813 -0.941
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5409 29.92% 34.36 80.05% 0.522 0.1011 0.225
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4738 30.41% 35.89 77.21% 0.441 0.0082 0.047
Finder of Paths Unseen 486 34.45% 28.96 60.7% -1.11 -0.4325 -0.563
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1080 29.87% 38.62 74.63% -0.096 0.4768 0.3
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1579 36.43% 33.73 73.21% 0.046 -0.049 0.23
Heart of the Wildfire 5387 46.85% 33.69 71.08% 0.402 0.7172 0.313
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21338 28.43% 37.55 78.19% -0.233 -0.6465 0.046
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 558 10.41% 51.2 85.13% 0.58 0.285 -0.177
Lightning's Swift Strike 7097 33.21% 34.39 77.86% -0.143 0.0893 0.276
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 319 38.06% 41.03 71.79% 0.45 0.137 0.018
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 564 38.68% 39.93 77.84% -0.14 -0.4566 1.071
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 815 35.22% 40.51 77.3% 0.191 0.2175 1.042
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5377 34.84% 37.74 76.25% 0.071 -0.1246 0.079
Many Minds Move as One 9119 32.22% 33.09 78.29% 0.132 -0.0658 0.029
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10011 35.58% 38.62 77.4% -0.096 0.0589 1.023
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 74 40.28% 25.88 62.16% 0.047 0.06 -0.537
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4016 34.65% 35.5 77.07% -0.269 -0.3804 0.248
River Surges in Sunlight 8195 35.18% 37.66 77.27% 0.041 0.0736 0.441
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 44.44% 33.33 69.44% -0.067 0.1992 -0.643
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 912 33.92% 38.59 72.92% -0.16 0.0251 0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 623 36.2% 35.53 65.33% 0.184 -0.0098 -0.058
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7612 34.25% 35.17 70.45% -0.154 -0.3211 -0.018
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 31 29.03% 39.26 77.42% 0.691 0.3799 1.392
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4609 42.67% 29.96 69.52% -0.414 0.1556 -0.676
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 34.85% 31.26 58.82% -0.229 -0.304 0.272
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 100 37.0% 32.5 69.0% 0.758 0.3024 -0.789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 136 40.3% 36.29 72.06% 0.191 0.1437 0.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 440 37.79% 32.78 75.45% -0.12 -0.1834 0.039
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 374 41.73% 35.25 75.4% 0.649 0.8239 0.549
Shifting Memory of Ages 1194 37.02% 30.24 75.54% 0.052 0.408 0.034
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 94 37.23% 33.46 67.02% -0.075 -0.0568 0.984
Shroud of Silent Mist 1025 43.77% 28.62 69.07% -0.286 0.0499 -0.587
Starlight Seeks its Form 1515 30.03% 33.54 69.24% 0.511 0.4266 -0.096
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3776 34.01% 38.1 75.98% 0.102 -0.39 0.13
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3982 34.22% 35.51 78.68% 0.206 0.4021 0.431
Thunderspeaker 12622 25.39% 38.34 78.91% 0.521 0.5799 -0.196
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 107 40.19% 28.92 59.81% 0.09 0.2491 -0.108
Towering Roots of the Jungle 177 40.11% 28.66 63.28% -0.155 -0.0334 -0.426
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2179 51.17% 33.05 68.98% -0.294 -0.2587 -0.313
Vital Strength of the Earth 5893 34.56% 29.53 70.71% -0.731 -0.1421 -0.56
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 346 34.03% 35.56 67.63% -0.363 0.1234 0.425
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 483 37.92% 30.62 67.49% -0.458 0.165 -1.418
Volcano Looming High 1919 41.05% 32.68 71.29% -0.342 -0.2953 0.048
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 229 35.96% 32.22 69.43% -0.026 -0.3651 0.199

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.11%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.31%
Terrifying Chase 74.08%
Too Near the Jungle 91.8%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39521 13.69 31.75%
II 83932 30.18 75.42%
III 67843 34.82 90.74%
IV 22667 38.64 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12545
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 60449
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 62125
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22395
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13511
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1303
Lose: Adversary condition 10032
Win: Sacrifice victory 531
Lose: Scenario condition 1912
Win: Scenario condition 1932
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23965
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3263

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.755 Win Model: -0.086

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.137 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 122646 36.37% 34.72 74.37%
2 48950 41.24% 32.28 74.03%
3 20427 35.85% 33.71 76.71%
4 19694 26.95% 39.67 77.9%
5 420 30.92% 29.2 78.33%
6 1826 18.93% 31.33 65.33%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-17 03:38:37 (Pacific Time)