Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 61 19.67% 28.36 78.69% 0.139 -0.0007 0.005
Blitz 0 1378 42.04% 28.74 69.45% -0.592 -0.481 -0.999
Dahan Insurrection 4 1028 32.94% 52.91 74.42% 1.487 1.252 0.617
Despicable Theft 2 194 37.11% 34.55 71.65% -0.132 0.5111 -0.682
Elemental Invocation 1 321 44.86% 30.5 66.98% 0.043 0.8454 -0.979
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10279 10.32% 53.55 83.59% 1.761 0.9866 0.88
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1011 35.65% 41.9 75.27% -0.373 0.4 -1.544
Rituals of Terror 3 620 50.18% 38.72 66.77% -1.058 -1.0419 -0.888
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 293 70.65% 34.02 49.83% -0.968 0.0885 -0.895
Second Wave 0 6607 39.4% 30.0 77.6% 0.449 0.53 -0.643
The Great River 3 256 37.89% 33.24 65.23% -1.33 -0.2014 -1.526
Varied Terrains 2 76 46.05% 27.91 64.47% -1.445 -0.7534 -0.743
Ward the Shores 2 765 41.9% 35.39 62.48% -0.86 0.0026 -0.907

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 100876 36.8% 36.07 77.8% 0.536 0.7369 1.625
1 Thematic 5564 38.63% 36.4 70.97% 0.094 0.8136 1.251
2 Archipelago 51 33.33% 43.08 94.12% 0.462 0.7169 1.28
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 28902 42.57% 33.35 76.71% 0.432 0.4397 1.146
2 Coastline 3159 42.56% 32.99 77.94% 0.529 0.3244 0.989
2 Fragment 1007 43.33% 32.56 74.88% 0.26 -0.0173 1.464
2 Heart 441 52.42% 29.56 69.16% 0.216 -0.0042 0.851
2 Opposite Shores 5670 36.61% 32.81 77.81% 0.836 0.8933 0.557
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.2501 0.0
2 Thematic 2800 46.14% 35.51 67.14% -0.389 0.0629 0.411
2 Top to Top 902 44.25% 35.71 75.5% 0.318 0.2204 1.311
3 Archipelago 45 42.22% 36.71 86.67% 1.004 0.2129 0.378
3 Coastline 123 38.21% 32.45 78.05% 1.363 0.7957 1.009
3 Other 650 34.06% 31.59 80.77% 0.021 -0.0077 0.539
3 Round (Default) 16440 35.72% 34.87 79.06% 0.422 0.1964 0.289
3 Sunrise 124 29.84% 43.55 83.06% -0.07 -1.0551 0.334
3 Thematic 782 47.44% 34.8 66.62% -2.152 -1.955 -0.409
4 Archipelago 41 17.07% 43.15 87.8% 0.112 -1.0739 0.247
4 Coastline 78 10.26% 33.15 87.18% 0.0 -0.5864 -0.323
4 Leaf 68 47.06% 30.75 69.12% 0.42 -0.2792 -1.201
4 Other 418 28.19% 33.14 87.56% 0.571 -0.7868 0.957
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.1795 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3967 23.57% 50.66 79.38% -0.479 -0.6774 -0.863
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13309 28.18% 37.66 78.74% 0.024 -0.2197 -0.701
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.0 0.3165 0.255
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 31.07 93.33% 0.0 0.1933 0.046
5 Other 354 36.21% 32.52 83.62% 0.503 -0.5542 -0.583
5 Thematic 57 22.81% 42.14 87.72% -0.364 -0.8424 -0.791
6 Archipelago 38 18.42% 43.47 94.74% 0.0 -0.7364 -0.616
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 20.6 80.0% 0.489 0.2486 -0.322
6 Other 149 26.85% 28.4 77.18% -1.264 -2.0008 -1.26
6 Star 106 29.25% 29.89 72.64% 0.152 0.0952 -2.213
6 Thematic 539 16.91% 43.6 73.65% -0.841 -0.0873 -2.18
6 Two Centers (Default) 574 19.58% 29.89 69.51% -0.81 -1.3892 -3.056
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 34.4 60.0% 0.0 0.7765 -0.629
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.214 -0.162 -0.696
7 Other 13 7.69% 13.08 30.77% -1.175 -1.5871 -1.222

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6628 31.06 54.6% -0.405 -0.2451 -0.978
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5755 33.25 57.1% -0.071 -0.157 -0.76
All Things Weaken 2461 33.26 54.61% -0.278 0.0637 -0.944
Attenuated Essence 118 33.69 57.63% 0.34 0.4146 -1.192
Back Against the Wall 5597 32.05 55.51% -0.206 -0.1313 -0.81
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 108 29.52 48.15% -0.44 -0.2492 -0.897
Burn Brightest Before the End 114 30.48 40.35% -0.774 -0.65 -1.839
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5742 28.1 50.12% -0.958 -0.5854 -1.233
Downward Spiral 7548 28.8 58.36% -0.322 -0.1854 -1.036
Erosion of Will 6254 29.64 51.07% -0.55 -0.2549 -1.248
Intensifying Exploitation 124 26.2 37.9% -0.547 -0.3087 -1.325
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1001 39.92 83.32% 0.47 -0.062 0.198
Memory Fades to Dust 7579 28.87 56.67% -0.349 -0.0685 -0.925
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2327 32.01 55.99% -0.293 -0.1395 -1.105
Promising Farmlands 6017 29.06 52.58% -0.378 -0.0316 -1.276
Shattered Fragments of Power 101 37.08 58.42% -0.393 -0.1978 -0.493
Slow Dissolution of Will 116 32.36 49.14% -0.383 0.0678 -1.091
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 713 40.45 87.24% 0.355 -0.3853 0.377
The Border of Life and Death 41 38.12 68.29% -0.233 -0.666 -0.355
Thriving Communities 2315 31.46 53.61% -0.331 -0.032 -1.077
Thriving Crops 67 30.22 52.24% -0.353 -0.4555 -1.241
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 0.5571 -2.007
Unnatural Proliferation 2514 34.49 56.88% -0.034 0.1112 -1.011
Untended Land Crumbles 2344 30.58 50.81% -0.572 -0.2726 -1.159

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49925 35.92% 34.23 77.79% -0.604 0.3904 -0.349
B 58814 35.29% 35.94 78.15% -0.462 0.4557 -0.147
C 51394 35.53% 34.93 78.42% -0.726 0.0171 -0.392
D 45534 36.64% 33.51 77.5% -0.854 0.0973 -0.279
E 20211 35.95% 39.16 79.17% -0.109 0.672 0.226
F 25381 37.35% 35.3 77.05% -0.935 -0.042 -0.25
G 21416 37.8% 34.54 76.66% -0.718 0.1375 -0.287
H 23782 35.67% 36.04 77.99% -0.6 0.2482 -0.125
East 10314 33.42% 42.55 73.82% -1.237 -0.4682 -1.036
Northeast 7110 31.64% 44.04 75.04% -0.175 0.6119 -0.046
Northwest 5806 31.05% 44.82 74.08% -0.577 0.4064 -0.714
Southeast 2251 26.99% 42.46 76.81% -0.15 0.7242 -0.42
Southwest 2353 28.65% 40.81 75.48% -0.648 0.5597 -0.131
West 9789 33.64% 42.06 72.86% -0.531 0.4032 -0.576

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2274 0.0% 25.21 78.67% -0.623 0.0068 0.814
Not Using Events or Tokens 162 50.39% 18.67 67.28% -0.693 -0.1871 -0.478
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5738 9.24% 45.46 90.75% -0.219 -0.8537 -0.871
Start of Game Growth 8617 11.11% 46.48 88.44% 0.622 0.2326 0.522
Unlimited Undo 19246 27.52% 38.07 82.2% -0.126 -0.0818 0.338
Using Tokens but Not Events 20140 23.51% 31.04 85.11% -0.279 -0.3059 -0.197

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 11246 100.0% 35.53 100.0% -0.031 -0.1537 0.262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4403 100.27% 29.62 100.25% -1.382 -1.141 -1.361
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 16 25.0% 13.63 31.25% -1.756 -2.7567 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3693 100.0% 35.6 100.0% 0.151 -0.0758 0.205
Downpour Drenches the World 527 100.0% 32.9 100.0% 0.378 0.703 0.629
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 442 100.0% 29.16 100.0% 0.329 -0.1708 -1.453
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4723 100.0% 35.84 100.0% 0.666 0.2055 0.434
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4300 100.0% 36.93 100.0% -0.083 -0.5119 -0.117
Finder of Paths Unseen 342 100.0% 31.9 100.0% -0.554 0.2691 -0.61
Fractured Days Split the Sky 914 100.0% 40.47 100.0% 0.057 0.6546 0.268
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1185 100.0% 36.64 100.0% -0.157 -0.1577 0.454
Heart of the Wildfire 4951 100.0% 34.77 100.0% -0.081 0.3033 0.33
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 19775 100.12% 38.7 100.06% -0.077 -0.5725 0.047
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 39 38.46% 36.92 69.23% 0.182 -0.3648 -0.099
Lightning's Swift Strike 6633 113.24% 35.33 104.61% -0.067 0.1161 0.476
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 240 36.8% 43.22 72.92% 1.002 0.465 -0.238
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 481 41.0% 41.22 79.83% 0.693 0.4021 1.034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 709 35.98% 41.82 79.69% -0.442 -0.5896 0.759
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4527 100.0% 39.79 100.0% 0.25 -0.0017 0.156
Many Minds Move as One 7604 100.0% 34.96 100.0% -0.089 -0.2456 0.046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9053 100.0% 39.72 100.0% 0.001 0.0115 1.027
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3592 100.0% 36.51 100.0% 0.376 0.2301 0.246
River Surges in Sunlight 7674 109.21% 38.57 103.52% -0.238 -0.1998 0.414
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 795 35.4% 40.32 76.35% -0.235 0.0252 -0.137
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 327 38.63% 40.49 74.92% 0.255 0.2041 0.499
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7053 100.0% 36.36 100.0% -0.383 -0.5572 0.108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4371 112.2% 30.6 104.51% -0.763 -0.1504 -0.99
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 79 38.67% 36.7 65.82% 0.605 0.7085 0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 11 18.18% 34.73 81.82% 0.825 0.2439 -0.389
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 109 38.32% 39.64 77.06% 0.14 0.1858 0.043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 380 38.4% 34.5 78.68% 0.288 0.3691 0.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 319 42.09% 38.33 80.56% -0.312 -0.1041 0.238
Shifting Memory of Ages 969 100.0% 32.41 100.0% 1.099 1.3639 -0.102
Shroud of Silent Mist 789 100.0% 31.68 100.0% -0.326 0.042 -0.29
Starlight Seeks its Form 1133 100.0% 36.48 100.0% -0.514 -0.7419 -0.12
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3349 100.0% 39.35 100.0% 0.107 -0.2489 0.054
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3503 100.0% 36.6 100.0% 0.503 0.6358 0.398
Thunderspeaker 11477 100.23% 38.64 100.17% -0.095 -0.0664 -0.286
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 45.83% 34.0 60.42% 0.267 0.5066 0.665
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1873 100.0% 34.53 100.0% -0.239 -0.0485 -0.243
Vital Strength of the Earth 5399 107.48% 30.61 103.57% -0.341 0.2161 -0.547
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 251 34.17% 36.57 69.32% -0.376 0.0341 -0.033
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 408 39.01% 32.47 71.57% -0.284 0.444 -1.444
Volcano Looming High 1491 100.0% 34.97 100.0% 0.19 0.2095 0.323
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 39 100.0% 37.69 100.0% 0.616 0.0218 -0.188

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.84%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.18%
Terrifying Chase 73.21%
Too Near the Jungle 91.51%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29737 17.67 37.24%
II 75581 30.7 76.25%
III 61379 34.75 90.83%
IV 20647 38.22 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11073
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54707
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 56521
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20394
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5265
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1172
Lose: Adversary condition 9208
Win: Sacrifice victory 491
Lose: Scenario condition 1790
Win: Scenario condition 1824
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21815
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3084

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.171 Win Model: -0.119

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.418 Win Model: 0.162
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 106603 36.91% 36.08 77.4%
2 42994 42.18% 33.42 76.26%
3 18089 36.04% 34.8 78.72%
4 17961 27.21% 40.43 79.15%
5 298 27.4% 28.52 79.87%
6 1399 19.7% 35.18 72.41%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)