Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 85 20.0% 26.62 75.29% -0.113 -0.6628 0.123
Blitz 0 1542 40.27% 27.6 66.8% -0.503 -0.0512 -0.784
Dahan Insurrection 4 1115 32.35% 51.7 73.18% -0.022 -0.5258 0.652
Despicable Theft 2 251 31.87% 31.31 65.34% -0.501 0.1286 -0.636
Elemental Invocation 1 384 42.71% 27.73 60.16% -1.873 -1.0328 -0.987
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11669 9.99% 53.0 82.5% 1.319 0.6201 1.026
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1105 36.33% 39.88 71.67% 1.086 1.7044 -1.459
Rituals of Terror 3 676 47.89% 37.86 65.53% 0.472 0.4517 -0.857
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 332 66.47% 31.58 47.29% -0.332 0.4278 -0.869
Second Wave 0 7360 38.65% 29.51 76.7% 0.557 0.618 -0.588
The Great River 3 290 39.31% 32.09 62.76% -0.258 1.1264 -1.377
Varied Terrains 2 116 43.1% 25.0 56.03% 0.028 0.8237 -0.969
Ward the Shores 2 848 40.86% 34.52 61.08% -0.264 0.541 -0.746

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 112913 36.42% 35.02 75.37% 0.214 0.4753 1.541
1 Thematic 5898 38.16% 35.91 70.13% 0.499 1.1504 1.304
2 Archipelago 60 35.0% 41.15 86.67% 0.0 0.3339 1.294
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 31890 41.89% 32.55 75.01% 0.368 0.5344 1.125
2 Coastline 3463 41.94% 31.9 75.57% 0.049 -0.1771 0.997
2 Fragment 1162 41.49% 31.36 74.61% 0.465 0.5206 1.507
2 Heart 485 51.78% 28.95 69.28% 0.489 0.3554 0.86
2 Opposite Shores 6483 35.77% 31.74 75.89% -0.108 0.0465 0.338
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8731 0.0
2 Thematic 3061 44.99% 34.63 65.5% -0.191 0.4805 0.299
2 Top to Top 1028 43.98% 34.74 74.22% 0.046 -0.2598 1.376
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.285 0.2654 0.689
3 Coastline 150 36.0% 31.12 76.67% 0.426 0.0735 0.778
3 Other 726 32.55% 29.95 77.55% 0.462 -0.3979 0.585
3 Round (Default) 18036 35.86% 34.17 77.71% 0.39 0.449 0.307
3 Sunrise 168 22.62% 34.14 66.07% 0.411 0.3755 0.378
3 Thematic 917 45.47% 32.91 64.99% -1.037 -0.9612 -0.301
4 Archipelago 60 12.28% 35.05 68.33% -0.452 -0.8617 -0.479
4 Coastline 84 10.71% 32.75 85.71% 0.214 -0.0599 -0.29
4 Leaf 80 42.5% 29.98 73.75% 0.597 0.853 -1.121
4 Other 451 27.96% 32.51 87.14% 0.532 -0.5255 0.862
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.5009 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4109 24.21% 49.78 78.44% 0.159 0.5017 -0.791
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14507 27.78% 37.2 77.56% -0.266 -0.1158 -0.783
5 Archipelago 27 44.44% 47.78 88.89% 0.0 -0.2142 0.452
5 Coastline 18 11.11% 30.94 94.44% 0.531 -0.2279 0.046
5 Other 434 36.45% 32.02 82.03% -0.68 -0.8955 -0.472
5 Thematic 67 20.9% 37.13 79.1% 0.0 -0.588 -1.424
6 Archipelago 48 18.75% 40.4 85.42% 0.411 -0.5207 -0.996
6 Coastline 8 12.5% 24.63 75.0% 0.0 -0.6767 -0.32
6 Other 179 24.58% 27.3 75.98% 0.435 0.7849 -1.111
6 Star 121 32.23% 29.33 69.42% -0.68 0.2898 -2.102
6 Thematic 649 16.36% 40.47 68.26% -1.645 -0.9513 -2.423
6 Two Centers (Default) 744 18.18% 25.7 60.89% -0.851 -0.2887 -3.267
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 32.14 42.86% -0.023 -0.6946 -0.866
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.655
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.0 -0.6145 -1.143

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7119 30.7 54.0% -0.124 0.0582 -0.779
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6166 33.03 56.8% 0.152 0.0348 -0.529
All Things Weaken 2773 32.4 53.55% -0.112 0.1193 -0.713
Attenuated Essence 245 31.05 51.84% 0.371 0.4697 -0.721
Back Against the Wall 5976 31.81 55.37% 0.062 0.068 -0.566
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 266 28.27 46.62% 0.366 0.5049 -1.001
Burn Brightest Before the End 241 32.39 49.79% -0.14 0.0377 -1.155
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6216 27.56 49.23% -1.08 -0.7293 -0.999
Downward Spiral 8153 28.33 57.57% -0.372 -0.206 -0.816
Erosion of Will 6724 29.35 50.33% -0.739 -0.4878 -0.973
Intensifying Exploitation 303 25.87 44.22% -0.755 -0.4703 -1.332
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1151 38.8 81.06% 0.821 0.5028 0.353
Memory Fades to Dust 8196 28.51 56.14% -0.289 -0.0007 -0.686
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2686 31.05 54.47% -0.2 -0.0008 -0.926
Promising Farmlands 6511 28.52 51.94% -0.575 -0.1063 -1.07
Shattered Fragments of Power 205 35.8 58.05% -0.016 0.1977 -0.282
Slow Dissolution of Will 252 29.69 43.65% -1.508 -0.9715 -1.062
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 814 39.31 84.64% 0.493 -0.047 0.47
The Border of Life and Death 83 32.51 65.06% 0.891 0.6089 -0.262
Thriving Communities 2628 30.77 52.89% -0.266 0.1043 -0.877
Thriving Crops 144 27.89 50.0% 0.164 -0.0525 -1.117
Tipping Point 2828 25.0 37.31% 0.0 0.0 -1.736
Unnatural Proliferation 2831 33.82 55.81% -0.52 -0.3077 -0.769
Untended Land Crumbles 2677 29.96 50.39% -0.113 0.2023 -0.955

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 54788 35.56% 33.43 75.98% -0.149 0.8197 -0.474
B 64214 34.96% 35.14 76.63% 0.162 1.0285 -0.246
C 56341 35.17% 34.12 76.6% -0.157 0.6045 -0.495
D 49810 36.26% 32.61 75.52% -0.087 0.8034 -0.444
E 24363 34.93% 37.8 76.19% 0.4 1.1327 0.122
F 28850 36.88% 34.07 74.71% -0.247 0.5777 -0.419
G 24203 37.3% 33.32 74.35% -0.021 0.8392 -0.411
H 26903 35.12% 35.03 75.95% 0.303 1.1065 -0.25
East 11093 33.2% 41.38 72.34% 0.18 1.113 -1.142
Northeast 7641 31.62% 42.78 73.45% -0.284 0.2527 -0.217
Northwest 6235 31.05% 43.39 72.16% -0.946 0.0314 -0.833
Southeast 2528 26.39% 40.64 74.05% -0.932 -0.253 -0.322
Southwest 2647 28.26% 38.78 71.97% -0.267 1.0727 -0.312
West 10527 33.48% 40.78 71.1% -0.385 0.4473 -0.85

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2453 0.0% 24.44 76.72% -0.248 0.5313 1.036
Not Using Events or Tokens 200 54.0% 17.89 66.5% 0.9 1.3482 -0.396
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6116 9.34% 44.49 88.75% 0.071 -0.3952 -0.834
Start of Game Growth 9161 11.43% 45.48 86.76% 0.675 0.1388 0.667
Unlimited Undo 21181 27.37% 36.92 80.24% 0.022 -0.0737 0.339
Using Tokens but Not Events 22497 23.52% 29.97 82.6% -0.418 -0.5456 -0.193

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12099 27.53% 34.57 79.08% -0.431 -0.5268 0.214
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 66 30.3% 37.3 74.24% 0.824 0.3323 0.77
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4698 43.63% 29.02 67.05% -0.063 0.0602 -1.169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 70 24.29% 32.2 67.14% -0.224 -0.8526 0.176
Dances Up Earthquakes 2 0.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.431 0.2259 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4009 32.45% 34.8 77.13% 0.127 -0.0379 0.238
Downpour Drenches the World 733 27.08% 30.41 67.26% -0.128 0.1227 0.325
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 712 31.92% 29.27 62.22% -0.036 -0.4188 -0.985
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5278 30.03% 34.59 80.31% 0.429 0.0633 0.182
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4648 30.35% 36.06 77.35% -0.0 -0.423 0.009
Finder of Paths Unseen 465 35.08% 29.55 61.94% -0.398 0.3402 -0.581
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1045 30.17% 39.04 75.22% -0.165 0.4843 0.288
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1493 36.9% 34.35 74.48% -0.272 -0.3115 0.345
Heart of the Wildfire 5322 46.95% 33.82 71.12% -0.101 0.1978 0.292
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21072 28.46% 37.75 78.5% -0.152 -0.6369 0.044
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 448 11.63% 50.56 84.6% 0.965 0.3967 -0.183
Lightning's Swift Strike 6979 33.28% 34.67 78.29% -0.009 0.1676 0.281
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 310 37.21% 41.2 71.94% 0.203 -0.266 0.013
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 544 39.37% 40.49 78.49% -0.268 -0.6367 1.022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 780 35.26% 40.76 77.82% 0.043 0.0408 0.98
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5210 34.85% 38.13 76.76% 0.26 0.1143 0.093
Many Minds Move as One 8763 32.26% 33.45 79.04% 0.066 -0.1609 0.035
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9833 35.68% 38.8 77.76% 0.211 0.3626 1.004
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3925 35.02% 35.77 77.58% 0.14 0.0623 0.268
River Surges in Sunlight 8088 35.31% 37.82 77.46% -0.396 -0.2744 0.43
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 32 46.88% 35.75 71.88% 0.613 0.9033 -0.672
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 896 33.63% 38.9 73.33% -0.213 -0.0893 -0.012
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 554 36.75% 35.56 66.43% -1.066 -0.9871 -0.078
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7527 34.38% 35.31 70.64% -0.458 -0.5579 -0.049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4555 42.77% 30.14 69.79% -0.088 0.4057 -0.699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 120 36.21% 32.18 59.17% 0.138 0.0271 0.207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 84 39.29% 30.93 66.67% 0.116 -0.3622 -0.991
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 131 41.09% 36.14 71.76% 0.3 0.2125 0.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 430 37.74% 33.02 75.58% 0.627 0.5021 -0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 363 41.62% 35.64 76.03% 0.131 0.3782 0.375
Shifting Memory of Ages 1147 37.05% 30.78 76.11% -0.116 0.2631 -0.005
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 71 38.03% 35.82 70.42% -0.201 -0.3895 0.828
Shroud of Silent Mist 989 43.95% 28.96 69.77% -0.759 -0.3635 -0.6
Starlight Seeks its Form 1435 29.59% 33.7 69.27% -0.373 -0.4437 -0.123
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3710 34.1% 38.34 76.28% -0.371 -0.8923 0.119
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3875 34.33% 35.73 79.1% 0.162 0.2606 0.387
Thunderspeaker 12400 25.46% 38.29 78.92% -0.203 -0.1977 -0.215
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 41.41% 29.23 59.6% 0.131 0.3784 -0.073
Towering Roots of the Jungle 139 42.45% 30.04 64.03% -0.19 -0.0188 -0.385
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2113 51.59% 33.44 69.71% 0.188 0.3391 -0.251
Vital Strength of the Earth 5787 34.77% 29.79 71.23% -0.076 0.3959 -0.586
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 323 35.26% 35.96 68.73% 0.375 0.8428 0.37
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 464 37.96% 31.19 68.97% 0.037 0.6485 -1.319
Volcano Looming High 1833 40.79% 33.2 72.12% 0.002 0.0743 0.043
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 204 34.98% 33.0 69.61% 0.317 -0.034 0.15

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.03%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.28%
Terrifying Chase 73.86%
Too Near the Jungle 91.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37273 14.49 32.84%
II 82183 30.34 75.62%
III 66457 34.85 90.73%
IV 22265 38.6 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12241
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 59198
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 60980
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21996
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11585
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1286
Lose: Adversary condition 9859
Win: Sacrifice victory 524
Lose: Scenario condition 1892
Win: Scenario condition 1915
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23475
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3227

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.741 Win Model: -0.109

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.238 Win Model: 0.087
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 119077 36.51% 35.05 75.05%
2 47656 41.43% 32.55 74.58%
3 19966 35.99% 33.94 77.15%
4 19364 27.02% 39.74 78.0%
5 382 29.26% 28.68 77.75%
6 1733 18.78% 31.85 66.07%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-12 03:21:33 (Pacific Time)