Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 20.41% 31.0 83.67% 0.885 0.6293 0.266
Blitz 0 1305 42.47% 29.39 71.34% -0.546 -0.3483 -1.124
Dahan Insurrection 4 990 33.5% 53.04 73.74% 0.017 -0.4254 0.48
Despicable Theft 2 167 37.72% 36.32 74.85% -0.023 0.789 -0.568
Elemental Invocation 1 288 47.22% 31.99 69.44% -0.912 -0.2088 -0.995
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9583 10.37% 53.91 84.46% 1.162 0.5174 0.719
Powers Long Forgotten 1 950 35.52% 43.26 77.58% -0.275 0.3606 -1.492
Rituals of Terror 3 594 51.69% 39.97 68.86% 0.113 0.2136 -0.873
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 266 74.44% 36.03 52.26% -1.507 -0.4979 -0.955
Second Wave 0 6249 39.83% 30.33 78.24% 0.086 0.1526 -0.729
The Great River 3 239 38.91% 34.09 66.95% -1.171 0.0464 -1.24
Varied Terrains 2 57 45.61% 31.96 75.44% -0.078 0.5455 -0.506
Ward the Shores 2 733 42.37% 36.39 63.98% -0.536 0.5482 -0.952

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 95696 36.95% 36.61 79.06% 1.075 1.1288 1.098
1 Thematic 5343 39.18% 36.88 71.81% -0.18 0.2976 0.725
2 Archipelago 47 34.04% 44.23 95.74% 0.452 0.5562 1.038
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27316 43.12% 33.88 77.82% 0.664 0.7456 0.744
2 Coastline 3026 43.08% 33.56 78.88% 0.87 0.7161 0.591
2 Fragment 925 43.31% 33.74 76.97% 1.338 1.0886 1.37
2 Heart 405 52.88% 30.19 71.36% 0.055 -0.2317 0.945
2 Opposite Shores 5309 37.07% 33.52 78.88% 0.567 0.59 0.249
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.263 0.5605 0.0
2 Thematic 2697 46.68% 36.0 68.08% -0.047 0.357 -0.077
2 Top to Top 843 44.02% 36.19 76.75% 0.736 0.5701 0.983
3 Archipelago 42 40.48% 36.26 85.71% 0.589 -0.96 0.361
3 Coastline 112 38.39% 33.5 81.25% 0.874 0.3607 0.742
3 Other 608 33.77% 32.54 82.89% 0.045 0.5859 0.267
3 Round (Default) 15542 35.93% 35.51 80.4% 0.468 0.3523 0.118
3 Sunrise 118 27.97% 44.42 83.9% 0.0 0.2798 0.134
3 Thematic 743 48.45% 35.9 69.45% -0.822 -0.7414 -0.629
4 Archipelago 39 17.95% 44.54 89.74% 0.24 -0.4348 0.543
4 Coastline 77 10.39% 33.32 87.01% 0.0 0.2312 -0.356
4 Leaf 63 47.62% 31.68 69.84% -0.717 -1.0603 -1.134
4 Other 395 28.06% 33.76 89.11% 1.355 0.2713 0.787
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.307 -0.0392 0.0
4 Thematic 3926 23.53% 50.96 79.75% 0.18 -0.0827 -1.13
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12408 29.08% 39.06 81.62% -0.352 -0.4345 -0.545
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.271 -0.6448 0.234
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 31.07 93.33% 0.223 -0.4282 0.046
5 Other 306 37.0% 34.24 86.6% -0.518 -0.8026 -0.423
5 Thematic 52 25.0% 43.25 88.46% -0.147 -0.2408 -0.739
6 Archipelago 34 20.59% 44.38 94.12% -1.212 -1.0612 -0.648
6 Coastline 4 25.0% 16.0 75.0% -0.361 -1.1617 -0.442
6 Other 125 23.2% 31.16 82.4% -1.045 -1.2775 -1.214
6 Star 74 27.03% 32.93 82.43% -0.846 -0.8588 -0.952
6 Thematic 430 18.18% 48.33 82.09% -1.039 -0.6187 -1.256
6 Two Centers (Default) 478 20.38% 32.56 75.52% -1.308 -1.2038 -2.52
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 34.4 60.0% -0.646 -0.6653 -0.471
7 Other 9 0.0% 18.89 44.44% -1.143 -1.7555 -0.571

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6385 31.26 54.91% -0.528 -0.2855 -1.191
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5564 33.44 57.28% -0.203 -0.2805 -0.974
All Things Weaken 2335 33.53 54.56% -0.556 -0.1635 -1.135
Attenuated Essence 52 30.21 55.77% 0.005 0.1114 -1.7
Back Against the Wall 5397 32.26 55.77% -0.116 -0.0579 -1.022
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 31.98 50.98% -0.093 0.1091 -0.967
Burn Brightest Before the End 52 31.54 36.54% -0.769 -0.5585 -1.665
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5500 28.46 50.89% -0.439 -0.015 -1.411
Downward Spiral 7237 29.19 58.89% -0.189 0.0462 -1.199
Erosion of Will 6013 29.93 51.51% -0.951 -0.6413 -1.413
Intensifying Exploitation 56 30.52 50.0% -0.425 -0.1377 -0.99
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 943 40.46 83.99% 0.127 -0.3667 0.013
Memory Fades to Dust 7262 29.24 57.2% -0.449 -0.1131 -1.127
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2189 32.5 56.37% -0.081 0.1398 -1.27
Promising Farmlands 5798 29.29 52.98% -0.576 -0.1226 -1.463
Shattered Fragments of Power 53 40.06 60.38% 0.162 0.2132 -0.388
Slow Dissolution of Will 49 30.57 42.86% -0.585 -0.186 -2.089
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 661 41.53 89.11% 0.811 0.1002 0.293
The Border of Life and Death 23 45.3 82.61% 1.258 0.9222 -0.34
Thriving Communities 2190 31.79 53.74% -0.507 -0.1444 -1.262
Thriving Crops 32 36.97 62.5% 0.227 0.029 -0.66
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 0.0 -2.197
Unnatural Proliferation 2388 34.79 57.24% -0.269 -0.0536 -1.189
Untended Land Crumbles 2208 31.06 51.4% -0.817 -0.5348 -1.307

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 47247 36.3% 34.84 79.15% -0.54 0.2003 -0.332
B 55835 35.67% 36.67 79.69% -0.467 0.2592 -0.109
C 48798 35.94% 35.58 79.78% -0.62 -0.0373 -0.354
D 43226 37.01% 34.23 79.1% -0.666 0.0455 -0.192
E 18561 36.38% 39.98 80.65% -0.142 0.4233 0.244
F 23497 37.88% 36.44 79.3% -0.484 0.1865 -0.181
G 19799 38.37% 35.66 78.88% -0.52 0.1316 -0.271
H 22036 36.39% 37.02 80.07% -0.394 0.1762 -0.08
East 9910 33.82% 43.29 75.01% -0.437 0.1016 -0.986
Northeast 6803 32.07% 44.92 76.44% -0.073 0.5619 0.012
Northwest 5572 31.49% 45.77 75.57% -1.021 -0.2117 -0.704
Southeast 2091 27.76% 43.84 79.39% -0.117 0.5892 -0.553
Southwest 2183 29.46% 42.17 78.2% -0.043 0.9471 -0.27
West 9427 34.13% 42.84 74.17% -0.365 0.5392 -0.188

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2192 0.0% 25.68 80.2% -0.613 0.1632 1.499
Not Using Events or Tokens 153 50.85% 19.01 67.32% 0.859 1.2383 -0.471
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5491 9.18% 46.13 92.06% 0.435 -0.1831 -0.532
Start of Game Growth 8282 11.2% 47.09 89.41% -0.198 -0.5469 0.272
Unlimited Undo 17806 28.3% 39.74 85.68% 0.145 0.1381 0.531
Using Tokens but Not Events 19118 23.38% 31.66 86.69% -0.387 -0.3974 -0.177

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10759 100.0% 36.13 100.0% 0.146 -0.0015 0.135
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3905 100.0% 32.62 100.0% -0.255 -0.1241 0.17
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3516 100.0% 36.16 100.0% 0.454 0.3096 0.122
Downpour Drenches the World 382 100.0% 35.87 100.0% -0.153 0.026 0.589
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 247 100.0% 33.03 100.0% 0.253 -0.512 -1.106
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4480 100.0% 36.47 100.0% 0.053 -0.5358 0.279
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4070 100.0% 37.85 100.0% 0.06 -0.4364 -0.244
Finder of Paths Unseen 255 100.0% 36.27 100.0% 0.042 0.7056 -0.587
Fractured Days Split the Sky 853 100.0% 41.56 100.0% -0.239 0.3472 0.19
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1042 100.0% 38.36 100.0% -0.025 -0.1193 0.43
Heart of the Wildfire 4799 100.0% 35.17 100.0% 0.321 0.5627 0.197
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18638 100.0% 39.89 100.0% -0.031 -0.4732 0.233
Lightning's Swift Strike 6405 112.63% 35.79 104.22% 0.435 0.6183 0.274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 197 36.17% 45.47 72.59% 0.38 -0.1068 -0.656
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 445 40.72% 41.83 80.22% -0.198 -0.3656 0.735
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 674 36.16% 42.95 81.01% -0.208 -0.3211 0.677
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4185 100.0% 40.7 100.0% 0.154 0.0216 0.038
Many Minds Move as One 7122 100.0% 35.74 100.0% 0.007 -0.2146 0.01
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8677 100.0% 40.5 100.0% 0.117 0.0748 1.008
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3415 100.0% 36.98 100.0% -0.159 -0.3368 0.088
River Surges in Sunlight 7444 108.25% 39.02 102.98% 0.066 0.1361 0.32
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 740 35.73% 41.3 77.7% -0.223 0.0876 -0.362
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 240 39.32% 44.43 76.25% -0.164 -0.2777 0.415
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6638 100.0% 37.49 100.0% -0.226 -0.463 -0.069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4085 111.66% 31.99 103.87% -0.575 -0.0453 -0.746
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 55 33.33% 44.0 72.73% 0.148 0.0732 -0.239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 40.0% 43.96 81.71% -0.068 -0.1737 0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 360 38.87% 35.31 79.44% -0.355 -0.3734 -0.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 305 40.73% 39.41 82.3% -0.829 -0.6526 0.069
Shifting Memory of Ages 801 100.0% 33.83 100.0% -0.346 0.0075 -0.277
Shroud of Silent Mist 708 100.0% 32.5 100.0% -0.098 0.1519 -0.404
Starlight Seeks its Form 981 100.0% 38.87 100.0% 0.375 0.1138 -0.155
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3114 100.0% 40.19 100.0% 0.272 -0.205 0.008
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3297 100.0% 37.33 100.0% 0.699 0.7616 0.336
Thunderspeaker 10688 100.13% 39.81 100.11% 0.312 0.2783 -0.037
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 30 53.33% 38.27 60.0% -0.697 -0.7362 0.756
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1785 100.0% 35.07 100.0% 0.08 0.1727 -0.363
Vital Strength of the Earth 5118 106.76% 31.55 102.87% -0.394 0.1307 -0.52
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 192 32.97% 39.83 77.6% 0.517 0.7777 0.123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 378 40.0% 33.29 72.49% 0.64 1.4156 -1.528
Volcano Looming High 1336 100.0% 36.69 100.0% 0.092 0.0487 0.38

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.76%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.14%
Terrifying Chase 72.94%
Too Near the Jungle 91.47%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25849 20.4 41.15%
II 72453 31.01 76.61%
III 59101 34.76 90.88%
IV 19866 38.07 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10637
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52700
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 54429
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19623
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1962
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1135
Lose: Adversary condition 8871
Win: Sacrifice victory 468
Lose: Scenario condition 1731
Win: Scenario condition 1780
Lose: Blight pool ran out 20933
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3000

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.94 Win Model: -0.072

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.071 Win Model: 0.367
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 101167 37.08% 36.62 78.65%
2 40639 42.69% 33.99 77.35%
3 17096 36.25% 35.47 80.15%
4 16990 27.8% 41.67 81.39%
5 243 25.74% 29.8 83.54%
6 1134 20.25% 38.64 79.45%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)