Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1536 44.06% 28.05 -3.328 72.72% -0.563 0.0063
Dahan Insurrection 4 1233 35.25% 52.93 8.449 74.21% -0.427 -0.029
Despicable Theft 2 57 36.84% 38.75 2.186 84.21% -0.226 0.0436
Elemental Invocation 1 149 43.62% 33.94 -0.836 80.54% -0.04 0.4243
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10416 9.86% 52.27 6.07 84.57% -0.203 0.1632
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1289 37.68% 43.17 2.265 78.04% -0.403 0.0418
Rituals of Terror 3 675 47.75% 40.52 3.161 73.63% -0.42 0.2252
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 321 77.26% 36.32 1.575 53.89% -0.693 -0.0481
Second Wave 0 6466 42.13% 30.52 -1.762 76.49% -0.628 -0.1994
The Great River 3 166 38.55% 35.27 0.403 71.69% -1.462 0.0011
Ward the Shores 2 919 40.46% 37.94 0.986 64.85% -1.01 0.0235

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 73888 36.38% 36.71 0.396 80.18% -0.835 -0.6625
1 Thematic 4545 40.29% 37.56 0.401 72.01% -1.39 -1.028
2 Archipelago 10 40.0% 50.4 6.686 100.0% 0.544 0.7706
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21383 43.11% 34.13 -0.73 78.24% -0.435 -0.3837
2 Coastline 2343 42.89% 33.66 -0.992 79.9% -0.346 -0.3384
2 Fragment 745 43.31% 34.31 -0.83 77.05% -0.458 -0.2023
2 Heart 324 52.98% 29.77 -2.46 70.68% -0.841 -0.6991
2 Opposite Shores 4009 38.67% 33.84 -1.101 78.97% -0.521 -0.43
2 Thematic 2213 47.44% 36.41 -0.267 68.28% -0.979 -1.0204
2 Top to Top 646 42.81% 36.43 0.009 77.55% -0.438 -0.4685
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 31.5 -0.424 100.0% 0.424 1.5054
3 Coastline 58 50.0% 37.55 1.057 77.59% 0.388 0.1892
3 Other 439 35.55% 33.05 -1.406 81.55% -0.242 -0.0676
3 Round (Default) 12005 35.31% 34.96 -0.52 80.56% 0.051 -0.0228
3 Sunrise 104 31.73% 45.99 2.461 81.73% 0.232 -0.0442
3 Thematic 566 49.12% 36.49 -0.43 68.02% -0.464 -0.8655
4 Archipelago 6 50.0% 44.17 2.38 83.33% 0.327 0.8354
4 Coastline 51 11.76% 36.49 -0.314 86.27% 0.296 0.3459
4 Leaf 45 53.33% 32.49 -1.823 64.44% 0.005 -0.0228
4 Other 289 27.53% 34.29 -1.058 89.27% 0.684 0.5704
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 1.738 100.0% 0.475 -0.38
4 Snake 3 66.67% 40.33 1.904 100.0% 0.72 0.7737
4 Thematic 3503 22.29% 51.66 3.816 80.07% 0.038 -1.0464
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9934 28.94% 38.47 -0.039 81.61% 0.404 0.3179
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 59.14 9.943 85.71% 0.321 1.1975
5 Other 88 51.14% 39.4 2.009 96.59% 2.336 1.7329
5 Thematic 17 5.88% 60.0 6.5 94.12% 0.535 -2.2269

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5164 30.98 -3.818 54.38% -2.403 -0.3296
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4492 33.08 -2.749 57.03% -2.24 -0.322
All Things Weaken 1441 33.51 -2.834 54.75% -2.331 -0.1603
Back Against the Wall 4274 31.84 -3.332 55.12% -2.365 -0.2739
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4366 28.45 -5.137 51.26% -2.542 -0.317
Downward Spiral 5873 29.18 -4.245 59.02% -2.284 -0.2607
Erosion of Will 4787 29.68 -4.482 51.45% -2.559 -0.35
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 589 40.81 0.872 84.21% -0.754 -0.0674
Memory Fades to Dust 5785 29.0 -4.385 57.11% -2.386 -0.1673
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1356 32.05 -3.356 57.23% -2.279 -0.255
Promising Farmlands 4660 29.0 -4.766 52.55% -2.503 -0.2887
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 409 41.42 1.264 90.71% -0.195 0.2144
Thriving Communities 1356 32.03 -3.469 54.57% -2.318 -0.223
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 -6.795 37.32% -3.181 -0.9551
Unnatural Proliferation 1478 34.7 -2.278 57.31% -2.196 -0.1097
Untended Land Crumbles 1336 31.46 -3.831 51.2% -2.483 -0.377

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21614 38.19% 33.75 -1.014 78.8% -0.122 -0.8819
B 29525 34.68% 38.36 0.647 80.65% 0.086 -0.7712
C 21951 37.42% 34.75 -0.585 79.97% -0.026 -1.1149
D 19914 37.14% 34.17 -0.802 79.71% -0.072 -0.9217
E 6934 38.01% 41.21 1.897 81.25% 0.33 -0.6352
F 9798 39.35% 36.92 0.179 79.47% 0.055 -0.8591
G 7705 39.72% 35.06 -0.515 79.49% -0.026 -0.9318
H 9242 37.1% 37.12 0.25 80.27% 0.033 -0.8808
East 1518 45.35% 37.35 0.252 66.01% -0.307 -0.9562
Northeast 3215 32.99% 43.64 2.327 77.98% 0.132 -0.4673
Northwest 1324 44.78% 37.5 0.392 67.52% -0.168 -0.8375
Southeast 563 30.07% 41.73 1.21 80.99% 0.24 -0.4663
Southwest 854 28.79% 41.19 0.016 78.57% -0.043 -0.3157
West 3071 33.81% 45.36 2.161 73.43% -0.053 -0.4514

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1845 0.0% 26.38 -4.867 81.95% -2.094 -0.038
Not Using Events or Tokens 129 48.45% 19.75 -5.775 68.99% -0.872 -0.6559
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4367 9.62% 46.91 3.164 93.45% 0.738 0.0511
Start of Game Growth 6634 11.22% 47.61 3.064 90.82% 0.189 -0.2807
Unlimited Undo 13722 27.52% 40.14 1.262 86.47% 0.334 -0.0857
Using Tokens but Not Events 15163 23.47% 32.18 -1.73 87.9% 0.012 -0.0402

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 8986 27.76% 36.31 -0.259 83.05% -0.025 0.0897
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3310 48.94% 32.43 -1.437 74.05% -0.176 0.0303
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2664 33.36% 36.9 -0.19 79.62% -0.111 -0.2159
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3374 31.3% 37.34 0.31 83.58% 0.165 -0.2278
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3052 31.87% 37.66 -0.22 79.91% -0.122 -0.4132
Fractured Days Split the Sky 534 29.21% 44.05 2.133 82.77% 0.067 0.4209
Heart of the Wildfire 4142 48.14% 35.34 -0.981 72.89% -0.144 0.184
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14968 29.34% 39.66 0.645 82.24% 0.042 -0.2885
Lightning's Swift Strike 6162 33.84% 36.43 -0.309 79.8% -0.076 0.1604
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2017 38.09% 41.69 1.102 82.65% 0.244 -0.0438
Many Minds Move as One 4549 32.73% 36.54 -0.056 84.74% 0.163 -0.3679
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7068 37.27% 40.58 1.417 80.01% 0.192 -0.0222
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2547 36.16% 37.9 0.113 80.17% 0.019 0.0427
River Surges in Sunlight 6768 35.88% 39.41 0.692 78.9% -0.087 0.0436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5409 36.2% 37.13 -0.394 75.3% -0.327 -0.2122
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4062 44.59% 33.28 -1.357 75.36% -0.206 0.2108
Shifting Memory of Ages 140 43.17% 39.69 0.666 84.29% 0.362 0.4526
Shroud of Silent Mist 270 39.55% 35.52 -1.069 81.85% 0.031 0.0609
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2069 36.07% 39.96 0.171 80.38% 0.057 0.0084
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2434 35.26% 37.64 0.246 81.8% 0.072 0.2459
Thunderspeaker 8630 27.04% 39.57 0.754 81.91% -0.094 -0.0618
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1292 54.07% 35.27 -1.34 71.52% -0.156 -0.1738
Vital Strength of the Earth 4646 37.17% 32.22 -1.801 74.77% -0.448 0.4062
Volcano Looming High 591 44.97% 37.71 -0.262 80.37% 0.152 0.1333

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.48%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.46%
Terrifying Chase 72.93%
Too Near the Jungle 91.62%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19242 22.35 43.62%
II 56621 30.84 76.86%
III 45912 34.35 90.89%
IV 15453 37.52 99.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5706
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28965
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 29493
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11058
Lose: Invader deck ran out 912
Lose: Adversary condition 6983
Win: Sacrifice victory 358
Lose: Scenario condition 1404
Win: Scenario condition 1511
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16309
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2599

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.833 Win Model: -0.191

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.02 Win Model: -0.346
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 78463 36.61% 36.76 79.71%
2 31726 42.95% 34.24 77.67%
3 13159 35.95% 35.05 80.07%
4 13880 27.3% 41.72 81.4%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)