Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 21.74% 30.78 82.61% 0.801 0.6338 0.353
Blitz 0 1290 42.58% 29.53 71.78% -0.424 -0.2739 -1.211
Dahan Insurrection 4 956 34.17% 52.84 73.43% -0.246 -0.4582 0.427
Despicable Theft 2 159 37.74% 36.55 75.47% -0.523 0.1936 -0.586
Elemental Invocation 1 282 47.87% 32.19 69.86% -1.037 -0.2863 -1.024
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9494 10.4% 53.89 84.48% 1.204 0.5953 0.667
Powers Long Forgotten 1 943 35.68% 43.42 77.73% -0.067 0.433 -1.534
Rituals of Terror 3 594 51.69% 39.97 68.86% 0.266 0.3737 -0.897
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 265 74.72% 36.17 52.45% -1.65 -0.5969 -0.937
Second Wave 0 6187 39.87% 30.39 78.28% 0.025 0.1047 -0.755
The Great River 3 231 38.96% 34.23 67.53% -1.209 0.1858 -1.155
Varied Terrains 2 54 46.3% 32.35 75.93% 0.168 0.7492 -0.534
Ward the Shores 2 726 42.5% 36.48 64.05% -0.787 0.4147 -1.034

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 94551 37.0% 36.66 79.28% 0.717 0.9233 0.909
1 Thematic 5318 39.31% 36.98 72.02% -0.036 0.5687 0.55
2 Archipelago 47 34.04% 44.23 95.74% 0.966 1.2893 0.97
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27029 43.21% 33.97 78.02% 0.584 0.7312 0.64
2 Coastline 3012 43.08% 33.6 78.98% 0.347 0.3823 0.463
2 Fragment 921 43.39% 33.76 77.09% 1.18 1.112 1.29
2 Heart 403 53.15% 30.15 71.22% -0.233 -0.5111 0.843
2 Opposite Shores 5252 37.05% 33.62 79.13% 0.53 0.6438 0.148
2 Thematic 2684 46.79% 36.03 68.03% -0.325 0.3209 -0.181
2 Top to Top 835 44.08% 36.25 77.01% 1.128 1.1528 0.818
3 Archipelago 41 39.02% 37.15 87.8% 1.019 -0.1456 0.627
3 Coastline 109 39.45% 33.67 80.73% 0.537 -0.0009 0.686
3 Other 605 33.61% 32.59 83.14% 0.05 0.1443 0.251
3 Round (Default) 15357 35.95% 35.55 80.48% 0.349 0.2701 0.081
3 Sunrise 118 27.97% 44.42 83.9% 0.0 0.3585 0.097
3 Thematic 731 48.43% 36.24 70.04% 0.05 0.0982 -0.63
4 Archipelago 38 18.42% 44.66 89.47% -0.551 -0.7901 0.56
4 Coastline 77 10.39% 33.32 87.01% -0.141 -0.0875 -0.341
4 Leaf 63 47.62% 31.68 69.84% -0.318 -0.7359 -1.084
4 Other 394 27.88% 33.7 89.09% 0.588 -0.4003 0.781
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 -0.4073 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.228 0.1964 0.0
4 Thematic 3918 23.5% 50.98 79.76% -0.201 -0.2347 -1.157
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12275 29.05% 39.21 81.92% -0.297 -0.5033 -0.427
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.407 -0.6836 0.264
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 31.07 93.33% 0.0 -0.0825 0.053
5 Other 297 37.54% 34.79 87.21% -0.092 -0.5772 -0.409
5 Thematic 50 24.0% 44.52 90.0% -0.126 -0.3478 -0.741
6 Archipelago 33 21.21% 45.73 96.97% -0.282 -0.2952 -0.609
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 21.33 100.0% 0.0 -0.7281 0.0
6 Other 116 23.28% 32.99 85.34% 0.049 -0.4305 -1.074
6 Star 73 27.4% 33.04 82.19% -0.687 -0.4121 -0.878
6 Thematic 414 18.4% 48.46 82.61% -1.338 -0.9482 -1.154
6 Two Centers (Default) 456 20.04% 32.91 76.1% -1.43 -1.4099 -2.35
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 43.0 75.0% 0.243 -0.2345 -0.431
7 Other 8 0.0% 21.25 50.0% -1.269 -2.0815 -0.585

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6351 31.26 54.94% -0.407 -0.1408 -1.241
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5536 33.43 57.23% -0.187 -0.18 -1.021
All Things Weaken 2305 33.55 54.66% -0.443 -0.0074 -1.178
Attenuated Essence 40 28.7 55.0% -0.183 0.0071 -2.068
Back Against the Wall 5359 32.24 55.68% -0.169 -0.0272 -1.073
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 31.74 48.39% -0.288 0.096 -1.126
Burn Brightest Before the End 30 26.53 33.33% -1.312 -1.0184 -1.592
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5453 28.5 51.0% -0.537 -0.0347 -1.467
Downward Spiral 7180 29.19 58.87% -0.327 0.0018 -1.251
Erosion of Will 5968 29.97 51.63% -0.836 -0.4512 -1.459
Intensifying Exploitation 37 28.78 51.35% -0.428 -0.0605 -1.155
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 931 40.69 84.32% 0.581 0.0613 -0.045
Memory Fades to Dust 7212 29.26 57.24% -0.783 -0.3167 -1.17
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2151 32.42 56.35% -0.424 -0.1334 -1.303
Promising Farmlands 5762 29.31 52.95% -0.684 -0.1154 -1.52
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 34.89 51.43% -0.306 -0.153 -0.894
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 32.12 41.18% -0.821 -0.3186 -1.793
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 647 41.57 89.34% 0.483 -0.1704 0.275
The Border of Life and Death 15 46.33 80.0% 0.751 0.5725 -0.038
Thriving Communities 2155 31.76 53.74% -0.564 -0.1026 -1.321
Thriving Crops 23 36.04 60.87% -0.067 -0.0205 -1.003
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 -0.1456 -2.252
Unnatural Proliferation 2364 34.71 57.19% -0.697 -0.4051 -1.25
Untended Land Crumbles 2176 31.18 51.56% -0.84 -0.5189 -1.339

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 46775 36.35% 34.91 79.33% -0.422 0.415 -0.313
B 55332 35.72% 36.75 79.9% -0.26 0.5196 -0.086
C 48294 35.96% 35.68 79.98% -0.578 0.0745 -0.327
D 42837 37.07% 34.31 79.31% -0.355 0.4427 -0.161
E 18210 36.45% 40.1 80.95% 0.024 0.6484 0.259
F 23098 37.91% 36.58 79.58% -0.324 0.3949 -0.175
G 19523 38.44% 35.78 79.16% -0.361 0.3831 -0.246
H 21693 36.51% 37.13 80.37% -0.167 0.4779 -0.04
East 9847 33.87% 43.39 75.13% -0.18 0.4159 -0.964
Northeast 6762 32.1% 44.99 76.55% -0.494 0.3648 0.051
Northwest 5533 31.55% 45.88 75.71% -0.835 -0.1371 -0.7
Southeast 2059 27.86% 44.03 79.75% -0.109 0.5496 -0.494
Southwest 2152 29.52% 42.28 78.44% -0.209 0.9404 -0.292
West 9369 34.21% 42.92 74.28% -0.148 0.7918 -0.159

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2184 0.0% 25.71 80.31% -0.672 0.209 1.377
Not Using Events or Tokens 153 50.85% 19.01 67.32% 0.861 1.1868 -0.467
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5456 9.2% 46.21 92.25% 0.816 0.2755 -0.572
Start of Game Growth 8222 11.25% 47.24 89.66% -0.343 -0.6625 0.361
Unlimited Undo 17578 28.35% 39.9 86.04% 0.266 0.2526 0.547
Using Tokens but Not Events 18939 23.52% 31.76 86.95% -0.287 -0.3442 -0.187

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10667 100.0% 36.19 100.0% -0.03 -0.1831 0.087
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3881 100.0% 32.68 100.0% -0.302 -0.1808 0.121
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3482 100.0% 36.25 100.0% 0.398 0.2326 0.075
Downpour Drenches the World 346 100.0% 36.96 100.0% 0.193 0.377 0.719
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 188 100.0% 32.66 100.0% 0.058 -0.68 -1.172
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4429 100.0% 36.59 100.0% -0.005 -0.5887 0.266
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4046 100.0% 37.9 100.0% 0.278 -0.1941 -0.287
Finder of Paths Unseen 238 100.0% 36.26 100.0% -0.252 0.428 -0.747
Fractured Days Split the Sky 829 100.0% 42.01 100.0% 0.202 0.8704 0.203
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1002 100.0% 38.68 100.0% -0.187 -0.2818 0.521
Heart of the Wildfire 4763 100.0% 35.18 100.0% 0.071 0.3163 0.185
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18482 100.0% 40.01 100.0% 0.118 -0.3347 0.227
Lightning's Swift Strike 6368 112.55% 35.84 104.08% 0.323 0.5304 0.23
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 182 32.37% 45.77 73.08% 0.221 -0.4794 -0.597
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 437 41.24% 42.0 80.55% -0.387 -0.6076 0.741
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 672 35.97% 43.08 81.25% 0.329 0.2045 0.629
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4120 100.0% 40.83 100.0% 0.249 0.0952 0.015
Many Minds Move as One 7024 100.0% 35.86 100.0% -0.138 -0.357 -0.014
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8588 100.0% 40.65 100.0% -0.193 -0.1948 1.02
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3367 100.0% 37.2 100.0% -0.375 -0.5064 0.14
River Surges in Sunlight 7412 108.12% 39.08 102.89% 0.391 0.3995 0.291
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 731 35.76% 41.61 77.84% 0.29 0.5463 -0.382
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 226 38.18% 45.02 76.99% -0.172 -0.2978 0.517
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6535 100.0% 37.76 100.0% 0.0 -0.2309 0.016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4023 111.68% 32.25 103.7% -0.304 0.1529 -0.378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 53 34.0% 45.66 75.47% 0.598 0.5936 -0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 38.16% 43.81 82.05% -0.83 -0.8216 0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 355 38.75% 35.4 79.72% -0.958 -1.0281 -0.106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 299 40.74% 39.99 83.28% 0.297 0.3501 0.031
Shifting Memory of Ages 783 100.0% 34.12 100.0% -0.317 0.0898 -0.264
Shroud of Silent Mist 695 100.0% 32.78 100.0% 0.169 0.4842 -0.43
Starlight Seeks its Form 952 100.0% 39.05 100.0% 0.356 0.0857 -0.196
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3071 100.0% 40.15 100.0% 0.2 -0.2976 -0.023
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3267 100.0% 37.39 100.0% 0.77 0.8004 0.292
Thunderspeaker 10611 100.09% 39.92 100.09% 0.483 0.4617 -0.06
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 24 58.33% 35.96 58.33% -0.036 -0.1023 0.714
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1770 100.0% 35.19 100.0% -0.006 0.0493 -0.352
Vital Strength of the Earth 5071 106.55% 31.69 102.88% -0.72 -0.1733 -0.494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 178 33.93% 40.2 76.4% -0.558 -0.307 0.095
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 372 39.84% 33.28 72.04% -0.114 0.7689 -1.573
Volcano Looming High 1311 100.0% 36.67 100.0% 0.181 0.199 0.313

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.74%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.14%
Terrifying Chase 72.96%
Too Near the Jungle 91.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25249 20.97 41.88%
II 71788 31.03 76.67%
III 58539 34.74 90.87%
IV 19723 38.02 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 10575
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52188
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53988
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19481
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1416
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1125
Lose: Adversary condition 8820
Win: Sacrifice victory 464
Lose: Scenario condition 1725
Win: Scenario condition 1748
Lose: Blight pool ran out 20787
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2982

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.89 Win Model: -0.093

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.014 Win Model: 0.278
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 99987 37.13% 36.68 78.87%
2 40255 42.77% 34.07 77.52%
3 16895 36.26% 35.52 80.27%
4 16848 27.77% 41.8 81.61%
5 231 25.55% 30.72 85.28%
6 1083 20.37% 39.18 80.33%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-30 03:47:42 (Pacific Time)