Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 20.78% 27.84 76.62% 0.763 0.5431 0.072
Blitz 0 1480 40.95% 27.93 67.3% -0.923 -0.6367 -0.812
Dahan Insurrection 4 1082 32.13% 52.16 73.75% 0.215 0.0999 0.671
Despicable Theft 2 231 33.77% 31.97 67.1% -0.311 0.4277 -0.693
Elemental Invocation 1 365 43.56% 28.46 62.19% -0.485 0.2711 -0.952
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11152 10.05% 53.24 82.96% 1.338 0.756 0.979
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1074 36.45% 40.18 71.97% -1.424 -0.57 -1.55
Rituals of Terror 3 655 47.9% 38.34 66.56% 0.021 -0.1493 -0.855
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 325 66.67% 31.96 48.0% -0.673 0.2382 -0.908
Second Wave 0 7135 38.81% 29.71 77.08% 0.524 0.603 -0.6
The Great River 3 276 38.41% 32.42 63.41% -0.687 0.6766 -1.49
Varied Terrains 2 102 44.12% 25.27 56.86% -0.543 0.3361 -0.93
Ward the Shores 2 813 41.26% 35.01 61.62% -0.488 0.4933 -0.81

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 107820 36.6% 35.42 76.35% 0.358 0.7024 1.579
1 Thematic 5794 38.33% 36.06 70.31% 0.201 0.7285 1.286
2 Archipelago 57 33.33% 41.7 87.72% 0.0 0.499 1.193
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30676 42.25% 32.87 75.67% 0.077 0.3611 1.126
2 Coastline 3371 41.93% 32.23 76.27% -0.381 -0.3521 1.029
2 Fragment 1097 42.66% 31.82 74.75% 0.965 0.7274 1.449
2 Heart 472 51.51% 29.04 69.07% 0.741 0.5936 0.833
2 Opposite Shores 6096 36.15% 32.26 77.21% 0.926 0.9846 0.582
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 2985 45.22% 34.93 66.13% 0.058 0.4276 0.311
2 Top to Top 978 44.8% 35.13 74.64% 0.601 0.7242 1.348
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.221 -0.5763 0.713
3 Coastline 145 36.55% 31.59 77.24% 0.776 0.2272 0.802
3 Other 701 32.28% 30.14 77.75% 0.307 -0.2306 0.625
3 Round (Default) 17416 35.82% 34.41 78.13% 0.257 0.1647 0.28
3 Sunrise 165 23.03% 34.27 66.06% -0.448 -0.2968 0.332
3 Thematic 881 46.65% 33.39 65.49% 0.15 -0.368 -0.322
4 Archipelago 57 12.96% 35.54 70.18% -0.399 0.034 -0.174
4 Coastline 82 9.76% 32.65 86.59% 0.097 -0.6629 -0.341
4 Leaf 74 43.24% 30.84 71.62% 0.268 0.0562 -1.152
4 Other 441 28.31% 32.77 87.76% 0.464 0.4719 0.812
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 4064 24.14% 50.04 78.76% -0.066 0.0674 -0.864
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14081 27.9% 37.3 77.86% -0.347 -0.2398 -0.802
5 Archipelago 27 44.44% 47.78 88.89% 0.257 0.4245 0.201
5 Coastline 17 11.76% 31.47 94.12% 0.0 -0.5066 0.044
5 Other 404 36.68% 32.64 83.42% -0.056 -0.5703 -0.455
5 Thematic 65 21.54% 37.88 80.0% -0.496 -1.478 -1.451
6 Archipelago 46 17.39% 39.54 84.78% -0.686 -1.4158 -1.055
6 Coastline 7 14.29% 18.14 71.43% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.345
6 Other 166 25.9% 27.3 75.3% -0.37 0.2653 -1.214
6 Star 118 33.05% 29.89 70.34% 0.372 0.6169 -2.163
6 Thematic 600 16.19% 42.8 71.83% -0.945 -0.6219 -2.226
6 Two Centers (Default) 682 19.11% 26.86 63.34% -1.784 -1.8876 -3.365
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 28.67 50.0% 0.0 0.5915 -0.585
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 -0.671
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.0 -1.4367 -1.164

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6933 30.82 54.28% -0.289 -0.1854 -0.839
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6025 33.07 56.88% -0.048 -0.1926 -0.612
All Things Weaken 2643 32.66 54.03% -0.045 0.3209 -0.789
Attenuated Essence 189 30.63 50.79% -0.54 -0.5414 -1.023
Back Against the Wall 5821 31.85 55.44% -0.186 -0.1207 -0.639
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 194 28.75 48.45% -0.582 -0.3466 -0.991
Burn Brightest Before the End 179 31.36 48.04% -0.083 0.077 -1.352
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6031 27.8 49.66% -0.469 -0.0927 -1.089
Downward Spiral 7926 28.49 57.89% -0.445 -0.3731 -0.887
Erosion of Will 6531 29.46 50.6% -0.764 -0.5075 -1.058
Intensifying Exploitation 215 26.67 44.19% -0.936 -0.6619 -1.322
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1098 39.09 81.6% 0.197 -0.29 0.248
Memory Fades to Dust 7974 28.63 56.33% -0.182 0.0008 -0.758
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2545 31.41 54.93% -0.035 0.1778 -0.984
Promising Farmlands 6325 28.74 52.25% -0.786 -0.4629 -1.129
Shattered Fragments of Power 162 36.33 58.02% 0.29 0.4608 -0.197
Slow Dissolution of Will 201 31.52 46.77% -0.447 -0.0634 -1.02
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 765 40.14 86.14% 0.751 0.0749 0.478
The Border of Life and Death 59 31.78 59.32% -0.195 -0.711 -0.719
Thriving Communities 2494 30.98 53.01% -0.059 0.2654 -0.949
Thriving Crops 117 28.5 50.43% -0.151 -0.1494 -1.236
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 0.0 -1.826
Unnatural Proliferation 2701 34.11 56.35% 0.127 0.3134 -0.851
Untended Land Crumbles 2552 30.04 50.39% -0.906 -0.5669 -1.038

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 52929 35.74% 33.74 76.67% -0.224 0.6387 -0.454
B 62090 35.05% 35.42 77.2% -0.039 0.7821 -0.22
C 54379 35.36% 34.4 77.26% -0.13 0.5683 -0.487
D 48138 36.44% 32.93 76.22% -0.243 0.6129 -0.399
E 22539 35.4% 38.26 77.32% 0.275 0.9636 0.156
F 27490 37.08% 34.52 75.66% 0.179 0.9964 -0.386
G 23107 37.4% 33.7 75.08% -0.301 0.5798 -0.406
H 25679 35.36% 35.4 76.64% -0.178 0.6028 -0.219
East 10847 33.34% 41.8 72.9% -0.369 0.4238 -1.17
Northeast 7465 31.69% 43.28 74.16% -0.123 0.7574 -0.171
Northwest 6083 31.18% 43.99 72.96% 0.227 1.0978 -0.81
Southeast 2437 26.55% 41.4 75.22% -0.359 0.4998 -0.475
Southwest 2547 28.55% 39.69 73.58% -0.322 0.8869 -0.311
West 10295 33.67% 41.23 71.76% -0.151 0.9099 -0.735

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2359 0.0% 24.88 77.74% -1.416 -0.7006 0.971
Not Using Events or Tokens 186 50.36% 18.37 67.2% -0.508 -0.0336 -0.382
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5983 9.35% 44.84 89.29% -0.246 -0.8129 -0.882
Start of Game Growth 8969 11.38% 45.88 87.36% 0.783 0.119 0.615
Unlimited Undo 20449 27.42% 37.39 81.08% 0.196 0.219 0.318
Using Tokens but Not Events 21597 23.55% 30.41 83.59% 0.102 0.1496 -0.213

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 11815 27.56% 34.89 79.75% 0.323 0.1261 0.25
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 28 46.43% 34.75 78.57% 0.38 -0.3348 0.67
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4601 43.63% 29.19 67.14% -0.162 0.1064 -1.218
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 50 24.0% 30.84 64.0% 0.558 -0.0096 0.316
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3889 32.5% 35.04 77.58% 0.217 0.0858 0.202
Downpour Drenches the World 656 29.04% 31.15 68.45% 0.167 0.4363 0.296
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 599 32.61% 30.1 63.94% 1.086 0.6545 -1.054
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5069 30.19% 34.89 80.71% -0.025 -0.448 0.166
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4516 30.64% 36.35 77.66% 0.225 -0.2205 -0.07
Finder of Paths Unseen 412 34.73% 29.9 63.11% -0.344 0.3134 -0.73
Fractured Days Split the Sky 986 29.64% 39.7 76.77% 0.344 1.1521 0.271
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1363 36.8% 35.23 76.01% -0.376 -0.4932 0.364
Heart of the Wildfire 5204 47.18% 34.03 71.45% -0.57 -0.2824 0.26
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20647 28.44% 38.08 78.97% 0.329 -0.0641 0.004
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 280 13.26% 50.25 84.29% 1.376 0.971 -0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike 6860 33.24% 34.87 78.59% -0.037 0.2298 0.234
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 286 37.55% 41.79 71.68% 0.308 -0.0431 -0.094
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 521 39.77% 40.89 79.08% 1.054 0.6125 0.971
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 746 36.07% 41.18 78.69% 0.796 0.7526 0.84
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4956 35.03% 38.62 77.48% -0.003 -0.2535 0.059
Many Minds Move as One 8304 32.44% 34.06 80.17% 0.178 -0.0524 -0.03
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9557 35.76% 39.16 78.23% 0.383 0.2791 1.014
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3822 35.07% 36.02 78.05% 0.126 -0.0295 0.252
River Surges in Sunlight 7932 35.31% 38.07 77.94% -0.049 0.0395 0.433
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 81.82% 29.0 54.55% -0.157 -0.2691 -0.632
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 873 34.18% 39.52 74.23% -0.668 -0.2777 -0.086
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 440 39.49% 38.41 72.5% -0.726 -0.5882 0.684
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7367 34.49% 35.65 71.35% -0.771 -0.9649 -0.03
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4488 42.88% 30.3 69.96% -0.743 -0.2577 -0.803
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 109 38.1% 31.06 56.88% -0.761 -0.7051 0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 61 39.34% 30.77 62.3% -0.377 -0.8457 -1.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 124 41.8% 37.01 72.58% -0.493 -0.2779 0.053
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 417 38.2% 33.26 76.02% -0.918 -0.8884 0.046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 346 41.98% 36.42 76.88% -1.406 -1.2342 0.18
Shifting Memory of Ages 1086 37.5% 31.42 76.98% -0.547 -0.0976 -0.077
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 29 44.83% 47.38 79.31% 1.161 0.8565 1.183
Shroud of Silent Mist 917 43.87% 29.74 71.1% -0.339 -0.0034 -0.608
Starlight Seeks its Form 1327 29.81% 34.58 70.76% 0.454 0.3988 -0.154
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3573 34.38% 38.78 77.13% 0.612 -0.0114 0.092
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3722 34.67% 36.02 79.63% -0.272 -0.0787 0.355
Thunderspeaker 12044 25.69% 38.43 79.3% -0.074 -0.1283 -0.245
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 79 48.1% 32.16 62.03% -0.754 -0.6195 0.123
Towering Roots of the Jungle 62 46.77% 33.15 72.58% 0.781 0.7908 -0.055
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2021 52.68% 33.79 70.11% -0.013 0.0697 -0.23
Vital Strength of the Earth 5635 34.93% 30.08 71.64% -0.109 0.4855 -0.572
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 295 35.21% 36.05 68.47% 0.478 0.9172 0.199
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 442 37.36% 31.39 69.46% -0.941 -0.2498 -1.344
Volcano Looming High 1676 41.68% 34.0 73.75% 0.234 0.337 0.142
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 141 35.0% 34.72 68.79% 0.213 -0.0395 0.089

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.94%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.22%
Terrifying Chase 73.56%
Too Near the Jungle 91.62%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34169 15.45 34.46%
II 79536 30.45 75.85%
III 64393 34.8 90.76%
IV 21628 38.47 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11772
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57364
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 59190
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21366
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8964
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1237
Lose: Adversary condition 9596
Win: Sacrifice victory 509
Lose: Scenario condition 1854
Win: Scenario condition 1880
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22827
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3167

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.719 Win Model: -0.109

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.009 Win Model: 0.139
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 113838 36.69% 35.44 75.99%
2 45778 41.8% 32.9 75.28%
3 19282 36.0% 34.2 77.57%
4 18874 27.1% 39.92 78.31%
5 350 28.78% 28.92 78.57%
6 1604 19.36% 33.21 68.45%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)