Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 74 20.27% 27.2 75.68% 0.19 0.2053 0.069
Blitz 0 1466 41.0% 28.13 67.74% -0.903 -0.6147 -0.719
Dahan Insurrection 4 1066 32.52% 52.44 73.92% -0.16 -0.3365 0.686
Despicable Theft 2 223 34.08% 32.33 67.71% -0.268 0.5932 -0.688
Elemental Invocation 1 360 43.33% 28.57 62.5% -0.525 0.4085 -0.97
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10988 10.12% 53.29 83.08% 1.619 0.9722 0.957
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1061 36.33% 40.52 72.67% -1.742 -0.7959 -1.547
Rituals of Terror 3 648 48.47% 38.33 66.36% -0.461 -0.3846 -0.862
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 324 66.87% 31.93 47.84% -0.705 0.4101 -0.927
Second Wave 0 7067 38.75% 29.71 77.09% 0.326 0.3567 -0.631
The Great River 3 271 38.38% 32.59 63.84% -0.229 1.1959 -1.456
Varied Terrains 2 95 44.21% 26.13 58.95% -0.356 0.4189 -0.821
Ward the Shores 2 807 41.2% 35.04 61.71% -0.633 0.411 -0.822

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 106637 36.67% 35.5 76.56% 0.398 0.6583 1.557
1 Thematic 5752 38.35% 36.13 70.46% 0.153 0.619 1.256
2 Archipelago 57 33.33% 41.7 87.72% -0.347 0.1268 1.094
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30420 42.29% 32.94 75.87% 0.42 0.6055 1.115
2 Coastline 3339 42.1% 32.33 76.49% 0.183 0.1665 1.011
2 Fragment 1090 42.66% 31.95 75.05% 1.597 1.2811 1.423
2 Heart 464 51.75% 28.99 68.75% 0.574 0.4802 0.817
2 Opposite Shores 6025 36.28% 32.33 77.15% 0.556 0.5162 0.556
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2947 45.53% 34.96 66.17% -0.196 0.0903 0.287
2 Top to Top 966 44.53% 35.25 74.64% 0.305 0.2616 1.359
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.345 -0.7948 0.712
3 Coastline 142 36.62% 31.3 76.76% 0.239 -0.5103 0.77
3 Other 693 32.37% 30.29 77.92% -0.372 -0.8348 0.624
3 Round (Default) 17257 35.81% 34.43 78.26% 0.697 0.4768 0.269
3 Sunrise 165 23.03% 34.27 66.06% -0.558 -0.4828 0.337
3 Thematic 866 46.42% 33.62 65.59% -0.086 -0.3784 -0.346
4 Archipelago 54 12.96% 37.52 74.07% 0.749 0.9422 -0.19
4 Coastline 81 9.88% 32.69 86.42% 0.259 -0.1011 -0.334
4 Leaf 74 43.24% 30.84 71.62% 0.321 0.2124 -1.147
4 Other 440 28.15% 32.79 87.73% 0.561 0.3044 0.822
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 4038 23.97% 50.23 78.9% -0.507 -0.254 -0.881
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13937 27.99% 37.33 77.96% -0.028 0.1862 -0.791
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.0 0.2735 0.214
5 Coastline 17 11.76% 31.47 94.12% 0.0 -0.1045 0.047
5 Other 394 36.86% 32.71 83.25% 0.165 -0.4009 -0.464
5 Thematic 65 21.54% 37.88 80.0% -0.654 -1.0743 -1.465
6 Archipelago 44 18.18% 39.5 86.36% 0.0 -0.9328 -0.611
6 Coastline 7 14.29% 18.14 71.43% -0.299 -1.0962 -0.346
6 Other 159 25.79% 27.55 75.47% -0.64 -0.2143 -1.293
6 Star 117 32.48% 29.78 70.09% -0.273 -0.1601 -2.152
6 Thematic 585 16.44% 43.13 72.65% 0.279 0.3808 -2.193
6 Two Centers (Default) 672 19.1% 27.0 63.54% -1.063 -1.3197 -3.429
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 28.67 50.0% -0.397 0.6737 -0.579
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 -0.664
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.0 -1.0157 -1.156

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6886 30.86 54.31% -0.449 -0.2739 -0.87
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5997 33.09 56.88% -0.222 -0.2763 -0.641
All Things Weaken 2623 32.74 53.98% -0.328 -0.0343 -0.821
Attenuated Essence 179 30.74 51.4% -0.244 -0.1603 -1.159
Back Against the Wall 5782 31.87 55.45% -0.078 -0.0301 -0.677
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 173 29.44 52.02% 0.505 0.708 -0.877
Burn Brightest Before the End 171 31.04 47.37% 0.174 0.3618 -1.5
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5986 27.84 49.73% -0.326 0.0828 -1.114
Downward Spiral 7869 28.52 57.92% -0.586 -0.4584 -0.911
Erosion of Will 6489 29.49 50.7% -0.756 -0.4736 -1.091
Intensifying Exploitation 199 26.7 46.23% -0.255 -0.0071 -1.339
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1083 39.26 81.99% 0.333 -0.1826 0.237
Memory Fades to Dust 7916 28.65 56.34% -0.385 -0.1479 -0.787
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2511 31.5 55.24% -0.009 0.2094 -1.008
Promising Farmlands 6280 28.76 52.28% -0.64 -0.3448 -1.168
Shattered Fragments of Power 147 35.42 55.1% -0.218 -0.0168 -0.339
Slow Dissolution of Will 177 32.5 48.02% -0.484 -0.0995 -0.964
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 760 40.04 86.18% 0.461 -0.1204 0.446
The Border of Life and Death 55 31.69 58.18% -1.128 -1.6452 -0.715
Thriving Communities 2454 30.91 52.89% -0.531 -0.1924 -0.989
Thriving Crops 104 28.62 50.0% -0.542 -0.584 -1.281
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 0.0 -1.864
Unnatural Proliferation 2671 34.11 56.27% -0.164 -0.0238 -0.891
Untended Land Crumbles 2530 30.13 50.47% -0.715 -0.2661 -1.063

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 52470 35.78% 33.78 76.79% -0.453 0.4091 -0.451
B 61532 35.11% 35.48 77.33% -0.341 0.4761 -0.214
C 53907 35.42% 34.46 77.41% -0.442 0.2367 -0.474
D 47749 36.48% 32.99 76.39% -0.382 0.4229 -0.389
E 22164 35.5% 38.32 77.47% -0.035 0.6336 0.161
F 27121 37.11% 34.62 75.85% -0.073 0.7257 -0.367
G 22804 37.51% 33.82 75.3% -0.453 0.373 -0.385
H 25378 35.46% 35.46 76.84% -0.406 0.367 -0.204
East 10741 33.34% 41.94 73.04% -0.1 0.7456 -1.166
Northeast 7396 31.68% 43.42 74.3% -0.024 0.7468 -0.163
Northwest 6027 31.17% 44.14 73.14% -0.139 0.668 -0.816
Southeast 2396 26.63% 41.66 75.63% 0.171 1.0399 -0.485
Southwest 2502 28.54% 39.97 74.06% -0.952 0.3298 -0.287
West 10186 33.65% 41.4 71.95% 0.035 1.0308 -0.684

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2346 0.0% 24.96 77.92% -1.196 -0.4005 0.889
Not Using Events or Tokens 184 49.64% 18.29 66.85% -0.489 -0.1012 -0.388
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5947 9.31% 44.84 89.46% 0.56 -0.0543 -0.841
Start of Game Growth 8914 11.4% 45.89 87.44% 0.101 -0.481 0.576
Unlimited Undo 20213 27.41% 37.52 81.3% 0.161 0.2048 0.325
Using Tokens but Not Events 21351 23.6% 30.51 83.79% 0.059 0.0008 -0.205

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 11737 27.57% 34.96 79.89% -0.076 -0.2194 0.246
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 13 61.54% 35.31 69.23% 0.126 -0.5871 0.673
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4565 43.7% 29.28 67.21% -0.186 0.0778 -1.263
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 40 30.0% 29.52 60.0% 0.143 -0.666 0.3
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3861 32.5% 35.16 77.88% 0.307 0.1422 0.204
Downpour Drenches the World 641 28.62% 30.93 68.02% -0.422 -0.1491 0.272
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 578 32.75% 29.89 63.32% 1.05 0.6231 -1.088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5007 30.26% 35.02 81.07% -0.014 -0.3742 0.203
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4481 30.56% 36.42 77.73% 0.008 -0.4365 -0.101
Finder of Paths Unseen 404 35.18% 29.84 63.12% -1.09 -0.4021 -0.732
Fractured Days Split the Sky 975 29.67% 39.62 76.82% -0.001 0.5878 0.222
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1328 36.94% 35.49 76.73% -0.174 -0.2386 0.392
Heart of the Wildfire 5173 47.18% 34.13 71.6% -0.274 0.0539 0.266
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20484 28.42% 38.15 79.1% 0.101 -0.1934 0.017
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 231 13.04% 49.99 83.12% 1.271 0.9002 0.051
Lightning's Swift Strike 6831 33.24% 34.92 78.66% 0.221 0.5612 0.191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 279 37.78% 41.71 71.33% 0.111 -0.3624 -0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 515 40.23% 40.76 78.83% -0.078 -0.4383 0.954
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 735 35.79% 40.97 78.64% -0.193 -0.1857 0.766
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4899 35.32% 38.75 77.75% 0.004 -0.2912 0.096
Many Minds Move as One 8192 32.42% 34.17 80.38% 0.118 -0.0277 -0.045
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9465 35.82% 39.28 78.33% 0.918 0.8603 0.99
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3793 35.17% 36.06 78.09% -0.118 -0.282 0.235
River Surges in Sunlight 7897 35.3% 38.13 77.95% -0.277 -0.1786 0.419
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 87.5% 34.13 75.0% 0.27 0.1346 -0.366
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 857 34.58% 39.62 74.56% -1.091 -0.6145 -0.092
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 421 39.13% 39.16 73.87% 0.536 0.5012 0.772
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7300 34.59% 35.77 71.6% -0.833 -1.0878 0.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4469 42.95% 30.35 70.11% -0.398 0.1234 -0.85
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 102 39.8% 31.78 59.8% -0.175 -0.0336 0.016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 40 35.0% 34.38 72.5% 0.866 0.2878 -0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 123 41.32% 37.22 73.17% -0.244 0.1068 0.046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 407 38.4% 33.69 76.9% -0.654 -0.6696 0.033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 341 41.42% 36.87 78.01% -0.842 -0.593 0.242
Shifting Memory of Ages 1072 37.71% 31.67 77.61% 0.493 0.8376 -0.092
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 15 40.0% 47.47 86.67% 1.197 0.8874 0.558
Shroud of Silent Mist 899 44.08% 29.85 71.08% -0.502 -0.1707 -0.635
Starlight Seeks its Form 1304 29.88% 34.45 70.55% 0.378 0.2039 -0.197
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3528 34.56% 38.83 77.27% 0.671 -0.0382 0.077
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3689 34.66% 36.08 79.83% -0.431 -0.2197 0.322
Thunderspeaker 11958 25.76% 38.39 79.29% -0.3 -0.3209 -0.265
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 77 48.05% 32.09 62.34% -1.128 -0.9298 0.013
Towering Roots of the Jungle 39 56.41% 33.33 74.36% 0.896 0.8675 -0.242
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1992 52.49% 33.83 70.13% 0.002 0.0679 -0.231
Vital Strength of the Earth 5599 35.03% 30.15 71.73% 0.022 0.5559 -0.569
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 287 34.78% 35.9 68.29% 0.464 1.0307 0.11
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 438 37.7% 31.51 69.63% -1.254 -0.4949 -1.364
Volcano Looming High 1648 41.66% 34.1 73.91% 0.293 0.4297 0.112
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 127 37.3% 32.9 67.72% 0.355 0.0443 0.274

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.93%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.23%
Terrifying Chase 73.48%
Too Near the Jungle 91.61%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33437 15.74 34.82%
II 78862 30.48 75.88%
III 63892 34.79 90.77%
IV 21474 38.41 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11642
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 56923
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 58707
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21212
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8383
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1225
Lose: Adversary condition 9521
Win: Sacrifice victory 507
Lose: Scenario condition 1843
Win: Scenario condition 1867
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22683
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3152

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.699 Win Model: -0.109

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.001 Win Model: 0.08
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 112601 36.76% 35.52 76.19%
2 45358 41.87% 32.97 75.43%
3 19096 35.98% 34.23 77.7%
4 18697 27.13% 40.0 78.44%
5 342 28.57% 28.79 78.36%
6 1571 19.45% 33.39 68.81%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)