Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 20.78% 27.84 76.62% 0.279 0.2107 0.055
Blitz 0 1469 41.05% 28.09 67.73% -0.594 -0.3192 -0.707
Dahan Insurrection 4 1070 32.4% 52.38 73.83% 0.291 0.1103 0.683
Despicable Theft 2 228 33.33% 32.21 67.54% -0.54 0.327 -0.678
Elemental Invocation 1 363 43.25% 28.56 62.53% -0.218 0.6718 -0.963
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11046 10.08% 53.27 83.04% 1.408 0.8421 0.965
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1067 36.22% 40.33 72.35% -1.545 -0.7044 -1.556
Rituals of Terror 3 651 48.22% 38.3 66.36% -0.432 -0.5344 -0.864
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 325 66.67% 31.96 48.0% -0.474 0.4718 -0.917
Second Wave 0 7094 38.85% 29.72 77.08% 0.289 0.3836 -0.636
The Great River 3 275 38.55% 32.43 63.64% -0.376 1.0984 -1.443
Varied Terrains 2 98 43.88% 26.04 59.18% -0.015 0.767 -0.83
Ward the Shores 2 810 41.17% 35.03 61.73% -0.16 0.9418 -0.813

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 107102 36.64% 35.46 76.47% 0.008 0.314 1.552
1 Thematic 5766 38.36% 36.1 70.43% 0.019 0.4502 1.257
2 Archipelago 57 33.33% 41.7 87.72% 0.0 0.3281 1.127
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30541 42.26% 32.91 75.79% 0.12 0.3476 1.117
2 Coastline 3355 42.05% 32.29 76.36% -0.145 -0.1462 1.023
2 Fragment 1092 42.76% 31.94 75.0% 1.295 0.9865 1.433
2 Heart 469 51.63% 29.04 69.08% 0.702 0.5942 0.816
2 Opposite Shores 6058 36.27% 32.29 77.17% 0.64 0.6766 0.567
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4169 0.0
2 Thematic 2965 45.36% 34.91 66.1% -0.209 0.0126 0.285
2 Top to Top 972 44.56% 35.13 74.69% 0.233 0.2081 1.364
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 37.41 85.71% 0.308 -0.4 0.713
3 Coastline 144 36.81% 31.39 77.08% 0.57 -0.1153 0.774
3 Other 696 32.37% 30.2 77.73% 0.587 0.0134 0.61
3 Round (Default) 17338 35.81% 34.41 78.2% 0.598 0.4127 0.282
3 Sunrise 165 23.03% 34.27 66.06% -0.536 -0.4202 0.341
3 Thematic 875 46.4% 33.5 65.49% 0.063 -0.4037 -0.334
4 Archipelago 57 12.96% 35.54 70.18% -0.026 0.4573 -0.177
4 Coastline 81 9.88% 32.69 86.42% 0.0 -0.4551 -0.329
4 Leaf 74 43.24% 30.84 71.62% 0.291 0.128 -1.128
4 Other 440 28.15% 32.79 87.73% 0.616 0.3531 0.836
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1538 0.0
4 Thematic 4050 24.0% 50.15 78.91% 0.088 0.1145 -0.86
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13999 27.96% 37.34 77.95% 0.065 0.2812 -0.767
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 48.35 88.46% 0.0 -0.2205 0.214
5 Coastline 17 11.76% 31.47 94.12% 0.0 0.1781 0.046
5 Other 401 36.96% 32.73 83.54% 0.375 -0.1234 -0.43
5 Thematic 65 21.54% 37.88 80.0% -0.65 -1.21 -1.446
6 Archipelago 46 17.39% 39.54 84.78% -0.181 -0.9842 -1.024
6 Coastline 7 14.29% 18.14 71.43% -0.257 -1.0518 -0.35
6 Other 164 25.0% 27.48 75.61% -0.083 0.4836 -1.25
6 Star 117 32.48% 29.78 70.09% -0.445 -0.0127 -2.121
6 Thematic 596 16.3% 42.87 71.81% -0.475 -0.4224 -2.174
6 Two Centers (Default) 679 19.2% 26.92 63.48% -1.028 -1.2387 -3.352
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 28.67 50.0% -0.234 0.6381 -0.573
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3193 -0.674
7 Other 15 6.67% 11.33 26.67% 0.0 -1.1843 -1.139

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6907 30.83 54.29% -0.415 -0.2679 -0.851
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6004 33.1 56.91% -0.109 -0.1973 -0.619
All Things Weaken 2629 32.71 53.97% -0.317 0.0045 -0.806
Attenuated Essence 180 30.65 51.11% -0.688 -0.6632 -1.138
Back Against the Wall 5796 31.84 55.45% -0.16 -0.1037 -0.655
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 178 29.04 51.12% 0.33 0.5169 -0.952
Burn Brightest Before the End 175 31.71 48.57% 0.262 0.4375 -1.361
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6002 27.82 49.73% -0.379 0.017 -1.098
Downward Spiral 7898 28.49 57.88% -0.535 -0.4657 -0.896
Erosion of Will 6506 29.49 50.68% -0.865 -0.5769 -1.071
Intensifying Exploitation 208 26.71 45.19% -0.604 -0.327 -1.355
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1090 39.14 81.83% -0.01 -0.4708 0.244
Memory Fades to Dust 7943 28.65 56.34% -0.298 -0.0829 -0.768
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2523 31.46 55.17% 0.058 0.2213 -0.99
Promising Farmlands 6299 28.74 52.25% -0.71 -0.4191 -1.145
Shattered Fragments of Power 153 36.56 56.86% 0.337 0.5165 -0.164
Slow Dissolution of Will 189 31.76 47.09% -0.652 -0.2747 -1.028
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 763 40.15 86.24% 0.63 -0.0995 0.483
The Border of Life and Death 57 32.09 59.65% -0.29 -0.8926 -0.569
Thriving Communities 2473 30.99 53.01% -0.25 0.0466 -0.96
Thriving Crops 112 28.27 50.0% -0.655 -0.6453 -1.249
Tipping Point 2827 25.01 37.32% 0.0 0.0 -1.843
Unnatural Proliferation 2688 34.12 56.4% 0.351 0.4956 -0.872
Untended Land Crumbles 2541 30.09 50.45% -0.663 -0.3147 -1.045

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 52680 35.76% 33.77 76.75% -0.314 0.5488 -0.45
B 61781 35.1% 35.46 77.27% -0.242 0.5889 -0.218
C 54120 35.39% 34.43 77.36% -0.289 0.4014 -0.478
D 47930 36.46% 32.96 76.33% -0.249 0.5872 -0.39
E 22336 35.43% 38.28 77.42% 0.177 0.8769 0.167
F 27290 37.1% 34.57 75.77% 0.112 0.9356 -0.375
G 22947 37.45% 33.75 75.2% -0.293 0.5532 -0.398
H 25509 35.41% 35.43 76.75% -0.352 0.4349 -0.214
East 10796 33.28% 41.86 72.96% -0.322 0.529 -1.165
Northeast 7431 31.64% 43.36 74.23% -0.238 0.6234 -0.165
Northwest 6059 31.17% 44.04 73.02% -0.116 0.7672 -0.805
Southeast 2418 26.51% 41.51 75.35% 0.2 1.0857 -0.48
Southwest 2526 28.55% 39.8 73.71% -0.581 0.696 -0.283
West 10236 33.63% 41.32 71.86% -0.108 0.953 -0.697

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2353 0.0% 24.91 77.77% -1.259 -0.5298 0.906
Not Using Events or Tokens 186 50.36% 18.37 67.2% -0.078 0.3431 -0.388
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5965 9.34% 44.84 89.37% 0.153 -0.4574 -0.855
Start of Game Growth 8937 11.41% 45.9 87.4% 0.646 0.0444 0.599
Unlimited Undo 20307 27.41% 37.48 81.25% 0.18 0.1947 0.33
Using Tokens but Not Events 21475 23.58% 30.45 83.65% 0.039 0.0443 -0.201

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 11773 27.53% 34.92 79.79% -0.016 -0.2189 0.245
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 24 50.0% 33.67 79.17% 0.414 -0.2804 0.683
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4574 43.64% 29.25 67.16% -0.36 -0.0673 -1.247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 43 27.91% 28.37 58.14% -0.149 -0.8697 0.312
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3875 32.52% 35.1 77.75% 0.001 -0.1469 0.196
Downpour Drenches the World 651 28.95% 30.94 68.2% -0.215 0.0159 0.263
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 587 32.59% 29.86 63.54% 0.999 0.6375 -1.067
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5031 30.24% 35.0 81.0% -0.001 -0.3722 0.208
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4500 30.66% 36.36 77.67% -0.089 -0.5457 -0.086
Finder of Paths Unseen 408 34.83% 29.71 62.99% -0.86 -0.1902 -0.715
Fractured Days Split the Sky 982 29.66% 39.71 76.78% -0.371 0.341 0.261
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1340 37.06% 35.41 76.49% -0.19 -0.2778 0.39
Heart of the Wildfire 5187 47.15% 34.09 71.58% -0.028 0.2408 0.276
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20561 28.43% 38.12 79.05% 0.15 -0.1781 0.027
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 248 12.15% 50.26 83.47% 1.067 0.6371 -0.121
Lightning's Swift Strike 6846 33.24% 34.9 78.64% 0.153 0.4537 0.207
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 282 37.73% 41.87 71.63% -0.172 -0.5554 -0.148
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 519 39.92% 40.9 79.0% 0.335 -0.0584 0.965
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 742 36.27% 41.15 78.71% 0.837 0.8384 0.845
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4934 35.13% 38.7 77.6% -0.124 -0.409 0.082
Many Minds Move as One 8261 32.42% 34.1 80.23% 0.062 -0.0882 -0.042
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9509 35.77% 39.22 78.27% 0.672 0.5778 1.01
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3809 35.08% 36.01 78.0% -0.101 -0.2668 0.245
River Surges in Sunlight 7919 35.3% 38.08 77.94% -0.193 -0.1124 0.425
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 9 77.78% 30.33 66.67% 0.041 -0.0781 -0.515
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 868 34.38% 39.6 74.31% -0.771 -0.3221 -0.079
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 432 39.06% 38.62 72.92% 0.018 0.0379 0.695
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7325 34.64% 35.76 71.56% -0.668 -0.8874 0.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4480 42.89% 30.33 70.07% -0.381 0.135 -0.844
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 103 39.39% 31.78 60.19% -0.024 0.0357 0.034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 46 34.78% 32.83 71.74% 0.385 -0.1312 -0.322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 124 41.8% 37.01 72.58% -0.518 -0.2014 0.059
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 410 38.12% 33.68 77.07% -0.401 -0.4616 0.041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 346 41.98% 36.42 76.88% -1.601 -1.3019 0.169
Shifting Memory of Ages 1077 37.63% 31.59 77.34% 0.05 0.3982 -0.085
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 23 47.83% 48.43 82.61% 1.276 0.9696 0.974
Shroud of Silent Mist 911 43.94% 29.76 71.02% -0.483 -0.1374 -0.618
Starlight Seeks its Form 1322 29.85% 34.61 70.73% 0.678 0.5287 -0.162
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3554 34.36% 38.81 77.24% 1.055 0.3862 0.086
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3702 34.56% 36.08 79.82% -0.11 0.0849 0.343
Thunderspeaker 12002 25.74% 38.4 79.27% -0.106 -0.1186 -0.257
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 78 47.44% 31.68 61.54% -1.055 -0.8674 0.043
Towering Roots of the Jungle 52 44.23% 33.1 75.0% 0.89 0.877 -0.472
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2008 52.57% 33.75 70.07% -0.12 -0.058 -0.224
Vital Strength of the Earth 5622 34.97% 30.11 71.7% -0.062 0.53 -0.582
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 292 34.88% 36.19 68.84% 0.767 1.2793 0.195
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 440 37.53% 31.47 69.55% -1.16 -0.4473 -1.356
Volcano Looming High 1663 41.83% 34.06 73.78% 0.332 0.4294 0.129
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 136 36.3% 34.32 68.38% 0.033 -0.2839 0.064

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 90.95%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.23%
Terrifying Chase 73.52%
Too Near the Jungle 91.61%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33747 15.6 34.65%
II 79129 30.47 75.87%
III 64127 34.79 90.76%
IV 21551 38.43 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 11691
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 58897
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21289
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8643
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1231
Lose: Adversary condition 9548
Win: Sacrifice victory 509
Lose: Scenario condition 1846
Win: Scenario condition 1871
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22741
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3156

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.679 Win Model: -0.108

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.006 Win Model: -0.082
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 113088 36.73% 35.48 76.11%
2 45557 41.83% 32.94 75.36%
3 19191 35.98% 34.21 77.64%
4 18775 27.12% 39.98 78.42%
5 349 28.86% 28.91 78.51%
6 1594 19.29% 33.27 68.51%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-08 06:47:53 (Pacific Time)