Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 114 23.68% 24.07 71.05% -0.396 -0.6178 0.0
Blitz 0 1697 38.89% 26.71 64.88% 0.464 0.6823 -0.418
Dahan Insurrection 4 1220 32.02% 50.49 71.72% -0.191 -0.0154 1.486
Despicable Theft 2 318 30.5% 29.53 59.43% 0.379 0.8542 -0.414
Elemental Invocation 1 454 40.09% 25.8 57.05% -0.721 -0.1406 -0.661
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12826 9.66% 52.4 81.81% 1.108 0.6074 1.625
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1237 36.42% 37.93 67.74% -0.684 0.201 -0.182
Rituals of Terror 3 714 46.02% 37.05 64.43% -0.47 0.0869 0.194
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 366 62.47% 29.69 45.08% 0.0 0.8306 -0.524
Second Wave 0 7976 38.44% 29.11 75.79% 0.656 0.5977 0.306
The Great River 3 322 39.13% 30.71 59.94% 0.066 1.2589 -0.368
Varied Terrains 2 173 40.46% 23.68 50.29% 0.296 0.8609 -0.088
Ward the Shores 2 914 40.31% 33.55 59.3% -1.523 -0.6011 -0.341

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 125227 35.96% 34.1 73.34% 0.298 0.6902 0.132
1 Thematic 6207 37.81% 35.24 69.21% -0.126 0.6113 1.035
2 Archipelago 71 36.62% 39.3 81.69% 0.0 -0.1358 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 34930 41.54% 31.76 73.36% -0.5 -0.237 0.377
2 Coastline 3799 41.07% 30.81 72.94% -0.039 0.0571 -0.527
2 Fragment 1269 41.16% 30.69 73.36% 0.185 0.6754 0.0
2 Heart 561 50.45% 27.96 66.31% -0.172 -0.4412 -0.405
2 Opposite Shores 7105 35.18% 30.92 74.36% 0.068 0.2791 -0.723
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3295 43.89% 33.79 64.07% -0.428 0.1287 -0.659
2 Top to Top 1140 43.11% 33.73 73.25% 0.566 0.4419 1.688
3 Archipelago 65 43.08% 36.17 84.62% -0.398 0.0271 0.0
3 Coastline 176 35.8% 29.4 74.43% 0.132 -0.7417 0.647
3 Other 829 30.3% 28.9 77.44% 1.088 0.8765 -0.455
3 Round (Default) 19696 35.65% 33.39 76.23% -0.289 -0.0762 0.239
3 Sunrise 179 22.35% 33.3 66.48% 0.0 -0.3763 0.0
3 Thematic 998 43.98% 31.56 62.02% -0.601 -0.7851 -0.93
4 Archipelago 72 15.94% 33.18 66.67% -0.256 -0.8879 0.747
4 Coastline 90 11.11% 32.43 85.56% 0.253 0.0938 0.0
4 Leaf 87 45.98% 29.06 72.41% 0.0 -0.2735 0.0
4 Other 495 29.59% 30.93 83.43% 0.702 0.3019 1.192
4 Reverse Snake 4 25.0% 37.75 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 4 75.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 4226 24.16% 49.45 78.02% 0.546 0.7349 0.354
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15665 27.5% 36.99 77.07% 0.146 0.409 -0.552
5 Archipelago 31 38.71% 46.39 90.32% 0.0 0.4122 0.0
5 Coastline 25 8.0% 28.24 92.0% 0.474 -0.3624 0.0
5 Other 526 36.61% 31.44 81.18% 0.494 0.2335 0.114
5 Thematic 74 21.62% 34.81 75.68% 0.411 0.2041 0.0
6 Archipelago 54 18.52% 37.35 79.63% -0.358 -1.0883 -0.508
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 27.56 77.78% 0.0 -0.1191 0.0
6 Other 227 24.23% 26.08 71.81% 0.033 0.0339 0.755
6 Star 150 32.67% 29.17 68.0% 0.222 0.4623 0.298
6 Thematic 704 16.95% 38.6 66.19% 0.057 0.3191 -0.793
6 Two Centers (Default) 961 17.31% 22.92 54.32% -1.229 -0.1495 -1.325
7 Archipelago 8 25.0% 28.13 37.5% -0.514 0.5482 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4009 0.0
7 Other 23 4.55% 7.39 17.39% -0.764 -0.725 -0.476

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7608 30.33 53.5% -0.314 -0.2418 0.125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6558 32.78 56.43% 0.045 -0.0021 0.215
All Things Weaken 3074 31.82 53.09% 0.048 0.4171 -0.019
Attenuated Essence 391 30.31 52.43% 0.476 0.5041 0.442
Back Against the Wall 6401 31.55 55.16% 0.706 0.6252 0.523
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 436 28.41 45.18% -0.693 -0.4903 0.202
Burn Brightest Before the End 363 32.25 52.34% -0.16 -0.0594 0.663
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6652 26.91 48.29% -0.659 -0.2972 -0.141
Downward Spiral 8777 27.83 56.65% -0.465 -0.2625 0.14
Erosion of Will 7193 29.03 49.87% -0.754 -0.4283 -0.025
Intensifying Exploitation 464 26.21 47.63% -0.258 0.0598 -0.159
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1278 37.7 78.95% 0.108 -0.4116 0.054
Memory Fades to Dust 8767 28.07 55.58% -0.688 -0.4111 0.039
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3003 30.4 53.58% 0.438 0.6356 0.174
Promising Farmlands 6996 28.13 51.33% -0.724 -0.3527 -0.122
Shattered Fragments of Power 333 34.93 55.86% -0.446 -0.2543 0.392
Slow Dissolution of Will 408 28.68 43.63% -0.898 -0.5224 -0.256
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 902 38.35 82.82% 1.263 0.6797 0.782
The Border of Life and Death 135 31.35 62.96% 0.516 -0.1439 0.305
Thriving Communities 2951 29.96 51.95% -0.628 -0.4071 0.145
Thriving Crops 219 29.65 53.88% 0.401 0.2939 0.795
Tipping Point 2831 24.98 37.27% 0.0 0.5727 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3128 33.39 55.15% 0.026 0.1231 0.153
Untended Land Crumbles 2945 29.5 50.19% -0.163 0.0368 -0.242

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 60010 35.09% 32.64 74.2% -0.163 0.7444 0.182
B 69803 34.58% 34.36 75.09% 0.07 0.8997 0.203
C 61405 34.75% 33.41 75.08% -0.057 0.6949 -0.01
D 54211 35.99% 31.8 73.81% 0.159 1.03 0.167
E 28192 34.21% 36.85 74.38% 0.475 1.1779 0.673
F 32342 36.37% 33.05 72.91% -0.08 0.7317 -0.208
G 27116 36.87% 32.34 72.47% 0.234 1.055 -0.011
H 30003 34.87% 34.12 74.21% 0.163 0.921 0.223
East 11700 32.96% 40.49 71.1% -0.635 0.2856 0.096
Northeast 8041 31.42% 41.93 72.27% 0.252 0.9756 -0.399
Northwest 6566 30.56% 42.54 71.06% -0.343 0.6402 -0.139
Southeast 2707 26.27% 39.22 72.15% 0.661 1.5135 0.66
Southwest 2824 27.97% 37.54 70.29% -0.173 1.1035 -0.791
West 11091 33.1% 39.92 69.92% 0.096 0.7873 -0.419

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2627 0.0% 23.73 74.88% -0.903 0.006 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 216 54.88% 18.37 68.06% 0.601 0.9895 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6484 9.29% 43.49 86.84% -0.847 -1.5705 -0.085
Start of Game Growth 9696 11.44% 44.41 85.04% -0.174 -0.6622 0.119
Unlimited Undo 22702 27.03% 36.07 78.71% -0.042 0.0384 0.074
Using Tokens but Not Events 24646 23.36% 29.11 81.01% 0.258 0.2136 0.627

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 12897 27.52% 33.66 77.33% 0.702 0.5704 -0.062
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 186 25.41% 33.1 75.27% 0.689 0.3593 0.055
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 7 28.57% 26.71 42.86% -0.105 -0.3337 -0.6
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 106 31.13% 31.25 76.42% 0.19 -0.451 0.71
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4964 43.52% 28.42 65.79% -0.559 -0.332 -0.255
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 29.13% 32.95 68.5% 0.114 -0.5448 -0.338
Dances Up Earthquakes 173 35.47% 32.14 64.74% 0.786 0.9883 -0.229
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4359 32.0% 34.13 75.87% 0.269 0.0823 0.56
Downpour Drenches the World 907 26.6% 29.09 64.39% -0.558 -0.209 -0.703
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1004 32.67% 28.9 62.75% -0.213 -0.6955 -0.437
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5794 29.94% 33.79 78.93% -0.543 -0.812 0.479
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4985 30.49% 35.26 76.51% 0.318 -0.046 -1.183
Finder of Paths Unseen 559 34.85% 28.62 60.47% -0.31 0.6161 0.129
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1177 29.36% 37.97 73.58% -1.398 -0.9311 0.918
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1812 35.72% 32.34 70.81% -0.896 -0.9228 -0.981
Heart of the Wildfire 5619 46.5% 33.32 70.64% -0.026 0.3377 -0.553
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 22214 28.37% 36.91 77.22% 0.094 -0.2936 -0.297
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 873 9.06% 52.07 86.94% 0.173 -0.172 -0.068
Lightning's Swift Strike 7398 33.45% 33.94 77.35% 0.161 0.3176 0.6
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 376 37.33% 39.86 71.54% 0.476 -0.1299 0.986
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 596 37.94% 38.93 76.34% 0.202 -0.1085 -0.354
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 873 35.06% 39.16 74.8% 0.058 -0.2001 -0.534
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5832 34.8% 36.75 75.21% 0.378 0.2431 -0.351
Many Minds Move as One 9877 31.97% 32.26 76.6% -0.083 -0.0989 0.041
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10464 35.49% 37.98 76.26% 0.099 0.0513 0.565
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 152 44.0% 29.66 64.47% -0.626 -0.4666 1.076
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4247 34.39% 34.82 76.15% 0.835 0.6163 0.18
River Surges in Sunlight 8602 35.01% 37.04 76.33% -0.159 -0.1313 -0.727
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 62 40.32% 27.15 62.9% -0.562 -0.4369 -0.266
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 965 33.79% 37.89 72.64% -0.072 0.0765 0.036
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 750 36.88% 35.11 64.53% -0.597 -0.481 0.562
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7978 33.58% 34.42 69.24% -0.366 -0.6193 -0.121
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 67 29.85% 35.37 67.16% -0.044 -0.2433 0.18
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4744 42.92% 29.67 68.89% 0.11 0.6976 -0.25
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 164 33.13% 32.1 61.59% -0.329 -0.2948 0.771
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 131 32.82% 33.66 72.52% 0.06 -0.3237 1.784
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 148 39.73% 34.99 70.95% 0.59 0.615 -0.679
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 477 38.0% 31.91 73.58% 1.141 1.0411 -0.774
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 400 40.25% 34.45 73.75% 0.162 0.429 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 1302 36.32% 29.58 74.81% -0.019 0.3282 0.89
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 147 32.65% 32.12 61.9% 0.549 0.5781 -0.075
Shroud of Silent Mist 1146 43.37% 27.9 67.1% -1.149 -0.5793 0.291
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 11 54.55% 32.18 72.73% 0.462 0.1521 0.423
Starlight Seeks its Form 1794 29.11% 31.4 65.55% -0.732 -0.8264 -0.402
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4005 34.0% 37.43 75.21% 0.433 -0.1278 0.334
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4229 34.03% 35.08 77.77% 0.02 0.214 0.822
Thunderspeaker 13367 25.08% 38.22 78.58% 0.423 0.4347 -0.227
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 137 40.88% 26.69 56.93% 0.065 0.1126 -0.183
Towering Roots of the Jungle 280 38.57% 30.04 66.79% 0.716 0.8929 0.238
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2272 50.8% 32.75 68.75% 0.151 0.1695 0.614
Vital Strength of the Earth 6268 34.34% 28.65 68.78% -0.18 0.331 -1.492
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 411 33.25% 34.99 67.4% -0.04 0.3085 -0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 535 38.53% 29.48 65.23% -0.434 0.3647 -0.462
Volcano Looming High 2114 40.34% 31.79 69.63% 0.161 0.1312 -0.082
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 317 31.65% 30.71 67.82% -0.448 -0.6991 -0.328

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Prey on the Builders 91.29%
Teeth Gleam from Darkness 94.36%
Terrifying Chase 74.45%
Too Near the Jungle 91.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 44858 12.37 29.7%
II 88858 29.93 75.03%
III 71557 34.92 90.65%
IV 23813 38.86 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13321
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 63723
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 65447
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 23531
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18083
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1353
Lose: Adversary condition 10561
Win: Sacrifice victory 550
Lose: Scenario condition 1971
Win: Scenario condition 1998
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 25198
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3350

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.85 Win Model: -0.096

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.337 Win Model: 0.14
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 131776 36.04% 34.13 73.07%
2 52177 40.94% 31.73 72.91%
3 21851 35.67% 33.14 75.71%
4 20697 26.88% 39.36 77.45%
5 494 30.18% 28.47 76.92%
6 2091 18.65% 29.06 61.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)