Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 46.67% 18.67 53.33% 0.648 0.6636 0.0
Blitz 0 1550 63.72% 19.09 45.68% -0.586 -0.2981 -1.178
Dahan Insurrection 4 1359 37.49% 44.46 64.53% 1.496 1.3191 0.623
Despicable Theft 2 71 59.15% 25.63 47.89% -0.225 0.6362 0.111
Elemental Invocation 1 74 58.11% 20.11 51.35% -0.385 0.548 -1.106
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5649 28.76% 39.46 63.75% 0.738 0.0912 1.27
Powers Long Forgotten 1 636 61.65% 29.33 58.02% 0.37 1.3154 -0.754
Rituals of Terror 3 606 68.4% 26.39 37.95% -1.025 -0.9487 -0.008
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 286 75.17% 32.83 57.34% -0.234 0.8814 0.511
Second Wave 0 3099 59.41% 24.55 64.8% -0.557 -0.527 0.022
The Great River 3 52 51.92% 14.54 17.31% -0.501 0.9241 -0.266
Varied Terrains 2 28 67.86% 20.18 42.86% -1.376 -0.6012 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 404 64.6% 26.5 38.12% -1.612 -0.5677 -0.905

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 102850 62.57% 20.13 58.62% 0.431 0.6914 1.167
1 Thematic 4391 67.43% 29.3 52.49% -0.131 0.3351 1.526
2 Archipelago 8 50.0% 34.5 75.0% 0.34 0.8131 0.518
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 29682 57.35% 21.62 59.64% 0.19 0.3753 1.429
2 Coastline 2945 55.12% 22.71 62.85% -0.139 -0.156 0.324
2 Fragment 960 61.0% 20.73 59.17% 1.115 0.7984 0.462
2 Heart 389 60.82% 17.83 55.27% 0.646 0.5517 -0.542
2 Opposite Shores 4283 52.58% 23.89 68.08% -0.138 -0.1772 0.274
2 Thematic 2042 53.98% 33.36 57.35% -0.41 -0.1236 0.975
2 Top to Top 696 59.34% 22.86 62.64% 0.393 0.3497 1.041
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 26.13 75.0% 0.0 -1.1399 0.0
3 Coastline 64 44.44% 22.56 51.56% -0.197 -0.9473 1.21
3 Other 408 48.76% 20.02 61.76% -0.348 -0.8105 0.062
3 Round (Default) 11690 44.87% 25.83 71.6% 0.487 0.2674 0.225
3 Sunrise 55 48.98% 28.24 81.82% -0.272 -0.1971 0.073
3 Thematic 634 45.73% 34.76 58.2% -0.068 -0.3604 -0.663
4 Archipelago 19 50.0% 11.63 31.58% -0.638 -0.4454 0.0
4 Coastline 22 28.57% 22.14 72.73% 0.0 -0.3597 0.0
4 Leaf 63 35.19% 20.46 74.6% 0.203 0.0942 -0.17
4 Other 332 37.23% 20.57 57.83% -1.409 -1.6656 0.067
4 Reverse Snake 4 66.67% 35.5 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 3 100.0% 33.0 66.67% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 2151 36.51% 40.25 76.24% 0.366 0.618 -1.426
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9853 37.44% 26.63 73.12% -0.074 0.1408 -1.054
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 35.14 100.0% 0.418 0.6917 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 20.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.1045 0.0
5 Other 170 38.89% 26.55 69.41% 1.165 0.5989 -0.815
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 35.89 88.89% 0.0 -0.4203 0.474
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 20.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.9328 0.0
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 12.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7976 0.0
6 Other 34 32.35% 20.32 67.65% -0.253 0.1728 0.0
6 Star 12 33.33% 26.5 50.0% 0.0 0.1127 0.0
6 Thematic 70 28.36% 26.96 57.14% -0.301 -0.1994 -2.648
6 Two Centers (Default) 205 13.86% 21.76 74.15% -0.273 -0.5299 -2.275
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 1.0709 0.0
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.0157 -0.29

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4464 24.81 47.58% 0.198 0.3737 -0.148
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3812 27.47 53.78% 0.35 0.296 0.09
All Things Weaken 1199 22.21 41.45% -0.472 -0.1785 -0.359
Attenuated Essence 72 21.19 52.78% 0.376 0.4596 0.052
Back Against the Wall 3777 26.33 50.33% 0.408 0.4559 0.103
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 70 14.87 28.57% -0.315 -0.1112 -0.962
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 18.01 36.49% -0.514 -0.3259 -0.599
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4258 22.18 45.73% -0.192 0.2174 -0.472
Downward Spiral 23502 19.14 55.67% 0.275 0.4024 0.046
Erosion of Will 4448 24.38 46.99% -0.281 0.0015 -0.282
Intensifying Exploitation 74 18.03 44.59% -0.146 0.1015 -0.914
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 390 29.81 77.95% 0.612 0.0962 0.779
Memory Fades to Dust 23896 18.49 50.77% 0.038 0.2746 -0.036
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1176 23.48 50.77% 0.885 1.1027 -0.358
Promising Farmlands 4427 23.19 46.37% 0.233 0.5274 -0.21
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 17.28 37.5% -0.639 -0.4379 -0.104
Slow Dissolution of Will 76 19.14 38.16% -0.25 0.134 -0.588
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 237 28.68 84.39% 0.805 0.2236 0.264
The Border of Life and Death 24 20.29 50.0% 0.207 -0.3102 0.37
Thriving Communities 1150 21.29 45.04% -0.048 0.2906 -0.566
Thriving Crops 27 15.74 44.44% -0.526 -0.5687 -0.34
Tipping Point 2286 24.67 49.48% 0.0 0.0 -0.168
Unnatural Proliferation 1241 23.53 43.76% -0.214 -0.0734 -0.506
Untended Land Crumbles 1178 21.43 44.31% -0.03 0.4185 -0.661

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 53955 53.99% 20.98 61.08% -0.386 0.4763 -0.026
B 54769 54.27% 21.59 61.72% -0.387 0.4299 -0.087
C 58787 53.63% 22.99 64.2% -0.136 0.543 0.526
D 53477 51.97% 22.33 64.6% -0.16 0.6447 0.348
E 6732 55.6% 24.72 64.44% 0.184 0.8525 0.108
F 11543 53.71% 24.87 65.72% -0.36 0.4389 0.034
G 11116 54.53% 24.4 64.75% -0.517 0.3088 -0.067
H 11044 52.86% 25.13 66.9% -0.421 0.3515 0.126
East 6766 51.65% 34.67 61.5% -0.039 0.8074 -0.078
Northeast 4844 48.67% 35.72 63.73% -0.062 0.7083 -0.082
Northwest 4112 47.04% 36.22 65.61% 0.056 0.8634 -0.043
Southeast 468 42.89% 31.86 66.24% 0.0 0.8694 -0.667
Southwest 461 48.58% 28.29 60.74% -0.581 0.7007 -0.328
West 6217 50.66% 34.69 62.26% 0.082 1.0777 -0.417

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 32308 0.0% 12.84 47.38% -0.915 -0.1195 -1.636
Not Using Events or Tokens 88844 59.07% 17.21 57.06% -0.387 0.0009 -0.754
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6992 22.08% 30.24 85.01% 0.624 0.0092 -0.665
Start of Game Growth 9194 22.44% 29.71 84.2% 0.895 0.3135 0.808
Unlimited Undo 15734 46.84% 24.62 71.87% 0.358 0.4018 -0.002
Using Tokens but Not Events 12529 50.31% 22.93 72.76% -0.143 -0.2015 0.142

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8625 42.69% 26.43 73.3% 0.429 0.2849 0.227
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 4 50.0% 23.0 50.0% -0.297 -1.01 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6781 58.62% 26.11 66.61% -0.428 -0.1642 1.123
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 15 85.71% 21.47 73.33% -0.229 -1.0377 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1939 44.91% 26.3 69.73% 0.524 0.3593 -0.065
Downpour Drenches the World 139 46.04% 21.56 66.19% -0.22 0.0531 -1.044
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 101 47.52% 21.23 62.38% 0.256 -0.1703 -0.916
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2878 39.73% 27.97 78.01% 0.392 0.0323 0.277
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2271 41.03% 28.08 74.11% -0.106 -0.55 0.236
Finder of Paths Unseen 50 65.22% 21.0 56.0% -1.059 -0.3706 -0.667
Fractured Days Split the Sky 171 44.97% 25.94 72.51% -0.648 -0.0591 -0.635
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 183 51.7% 24.38 69.4% 0.758 0.6934 -0.062
Heart of the Wildfire 3736 60.53% 27.21 64.72% -0.983 -0.655 -0.389
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5186 46.55% 31.3 73.81% 1.227 0.932 -0.17
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 10 30.0% 26.0 70.0% 0.677 0.3066 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 14040 44.98% 20.82 62.59% -0.688 -0.3483 0.336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 57.58% 23.67 52.24% 1.153 0.6788 -0.62
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 102 54.46% 24.43 67.65% -0.23 -0.5909 0.596
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 141 40.74% 22.12 65.96% -0.568 -0.5609 -0.002
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 443 46.71% 29.05 71.33% -0.857 -1.1514 -0.557
Many Minds Move as One 512 47.23% 29.98 75.98% 1.097 0.9518 0.601
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9232 43.64% 32.32 75.62% 0.385 0.3272 1.496
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1949 45.74% 26.2 69.68% -0.081 -0.2447 0.242
River Surges in Sunlight 14006 44.47% 22.34 62.73% -0.441 -0.3427 0.446
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 3 100.0% 20.0 100.0% 0.183 0.0473 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 205 48.17% 24.39 66.34% 0.199 0.6755 0.62
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 32.69% 16.61 51.61% -0.545 -0.5796 -0.088
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4422 43.86% 30.93 70.01% 0.009 -0.2455 -0.322
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4469 42.95% 30.35 70.11% -0.459 -0.5689 -0.051
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 36 38.89% 28.22 66.67% -0.319 -0.4809 0.031
Shifting Memory of Ages 237 53.07% 25.72 67.51% -0.361 -0.0162 0.678
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 7 57.14% 23.43 100.0% 1.158 0.8489 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 269 58.87% 22.4 68.4% 1.312 1.6436 -0.63
Starlight Seeks its Form 241 38.17% 25.41 75.1% 1.141 0.9667 -0.251
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 986 52.6% 27.23 67.14% -0.755 -1.4646 0.15
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1834 43.45% 29.53 71.37% 0.216 0.4274 0.665
Thunderspeaker 7393 46.54% 26.76 68.48% -0.214 -0.235 -0.062
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 43.48% 29.17 69.57% 0.936 1.1341 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 11 36.36% 22.27 63.64% 0.279 0.2511 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 710 58.38% 26.33 67.04% 0.315 0.3814 0.17
Vital Strength of the Earth 12367 41.27% 19.74 60.97% -0.497 0.0367 -0.362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 48 40.91% 15.27 39.58% -0.733 -0.1658 -0.044
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 107 55.06% 17.94 46.73% -0.802 -0.0431 0.619
Volcano Looming High 283 62.28% 24.51 62.19% -0.03 0.1071 -0.624
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 34 58.82% 22.32 70.59% -0.688 -0.9991 0.0

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 80.3%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.76%
Favors Called Due 87.87%
Mantle of Dread 84.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23069 15.74 4.14%
II 59747 30.48 45.02%
III 65113 34.79 80.03%
IV 26254 38.41 99.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 956
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 50882
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 26039
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 25619
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14292
Lose: Invader deck ran out 343
Lose: Adversary condition 6465
Win: Sacrifice victory 995
Lose: Scenario condition 1743
Win: Scenario condition 1548
Lose: Blight pool ran out 43710
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1591

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.199 Win Model: -0.077

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.127 Win Model: 0.392
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 107384 62.79% 20.49 58.33%
2 41013 56.59% 22.5 60.65%
3 12850 44.98% 26.08 70.61%
4 12457 37.23% 28.78 73.28%
5 151 40.56% 24.64 65.56%
6 328 19.88% 22.81 68.6%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)