Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 50.0% 17.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.5581 0.0
Blitz 0 1684 61.61% 18.1 43.59% -0.847 -0.4245 -1.177
Dahan Insurrection 4 1541 34.89% 43.38 64.44% 1.758 1.2757 0.731
Despicable Theft 2 77 61.04% 25.38 49.35% 0.0 0.5428 0.158
Elemental Invocation 1 92 58.7% 19.97 47.83% 0.335 1.0729 -1.143
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5850 28.34% 39.06 63.45% 0.55 -0.1064 1.321
Powers Long Forgotten 1 665 61.36% 28.6 56.24% 0.181 0.7438 -0.724
Rituals of Terror 3 687 63.89% 24.4 35.37% -0.62 -0.7621 -0.433
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 302 73.84% 32.0 55.96% -0.928 -0.1786 0.488
Second Wave 0 3204 59.43% 24.2 63.8% -0.427 -0.3328 0.198
The Great River 3 54 50.0% 14.0 16.67% -0.435 0.8104 -0.262
Varied Terrains 2 40 65.0% 18.13 37.5% -0.516 0.3526 -0.08
Ward the Shores 2 420 63.1% 26.22 38.33% 0.062 0.9166 -0.855

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 110880 61.55% 19.49 57.04% 0.456 0.8289 1.115
1 Thematic 4581 66.73% 28.66 51.34% -0.417 0.2976 1.502
2 Archipelago 12 50.0% 27.92 58.33% -0.355 0.1686 0.511
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32411 55.94% 20.75 57.27% 0.386 0.5474 1.423
2 Coastline 3135 54.65% 22.12 61.5% 0.01 -0.1827 0.366
2 Fragment 1060 60.34% 19.99 57.83% 0.349 0.3007 0.493
2 Heart 434 60.45% 16.85 52.53% 0.273 0.0608 -0.529
2 Opposite Shores 4653 51.54% 23.09 65.68% 0.239 0.371 0.176
2 Thematic 2147 53.21% 32.67 56.4% -0.371 0.3495 1.09
2 Top to Top 767 57.42% 21.86 60.63% 0.512 0.4272 0.988
3 Archipelago 9 44.44% 23.22 66.67% -0.35 -0.8939 0.0
3 Coastline 68 43.86% 21.76 51.47% 0.603 -0.0274 1.246
3 Other 444 47.56% 19.23 59.23% -0.036 -0.9118 0.205
3 Round (Default) 12448 44.69% 25.19 70.33% 0.629 0.6062 0.099
3 Sunrise 56 48.0% 28.3 82.14% 0.54 0.0931 0.062
3 Thematic 666 44.61% 33.93 56.91% 0.286 0.2941 -0.563
4 Archipelago 26 37.5% 8.5 23.08% -0.548 -0.6996 0.0
4 Coastline 25 26.09% 21.36 68.0% -0.435 -0.3057 0.0
4 Leaf 71 35.59% 18.79 67.61% -0.168 0.2671 -0.289
4 Other 376 36.45% 18.47 51.33% -1.558 -2.1263 0.126
4 Reverse Snake 4 66.67% 35.5 100.0% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Snake 3 100.0% 33.0 66.67% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2281 35.58% 38.74 73.61% -0.343 -0.2802 -1.518
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10840 36.43% 25.71 70.64% 0.374 0.3786 -1.006
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 35.14 100.0% 0.0 -0.2088 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 20.0 66.67% 0.0 -1.0209 0.0
5 Other 214 45.05% 24.45 65.42% -0.113 -0.4364 -0.891
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 35.89 88.89% 0.0 -0.1429 0.538
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 17.43 57.14% 0.0 -1.0381 0.0
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 12.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.0
6 Other 40 27.5% 19.4 67.5% 0.506 0.4618 0.0
6 Star 15 26.67% 29.0 53.33% 0.0 0.6325 0.0
6 Thematic 88 28.57% 25.76 52.27% 0.0 0.2039 -2.78
6 Two Centers (Default) 224 14.09% 21.39 72.77% 0.023 0.4971 -2.206
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.0
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.6755 -0.217

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4584 24.67 47.53% 0.577 0.6484 -0.053
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3902 27.43 53.74% 0.919 0.8089 0.182
All Things Weaken 1277 21.86 41.66% 0.035 0.2123 -0.297
Attenuated Essence 96 23.44 58.33% 0.456 0.5079 0.325
Back Against the Wall 3885 26.13 49.99% 0.017 0.001 0.214
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 110 14.83 30.91% -0.158 0.0254 -0.682
Burn Brightest Before the End 113 19.42 41.59% -0.202 -0.1155 -0.288
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4398 22.0 45.75% -0.167 0.1244 -0.41
Downward Spiral 25093 18.81 54.83% 0.274 0.3804 0.181
Erosion of Will 4564 24.25 46.78% -0.251 -0.0853 -0.204
Intensifying Exploitation 107 17.79 44.86% 0.069 0.257 -0.54
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 422 28.84 76.3% 0.656 0.2276 0.871
Memory Fades to Dust 25537 18.19 50.03% 0.277 0.5115 0.126
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1237 23.22 50.69% 0.101 0.1968 -0.307
Promising Farmlands 4548 23.05 46.17% -0.166 0.1979 -0.117
Shattered Fragments of Power 89 17.55 39.33% 0.429 0.4946 0.293
Slow Dissolution of Will 119 18.5 38.66% -0.99 -0.5268 -0.682
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 248 27.99 83.06% 0.17 -0.4314 0.354
The Border of Life and Death 30 20.33 53.33% 0.033 -0.4425 0.431
Thriving Communities 1213 21.1 45.09% 0.057 0.2822 -0.478
Thriving Crops 53 15.34 47.17% 0.297 0.0723 -0.379
Tipping Point 2287 24.66 49.45% 0.0 0.1123 -0.105
Unnatural Proliferation 1332 23.15 43.62% -0.551 -0.4294 -0.406
Untended Land Crumbles 1254 21.09 43.94% -0.39 -0.1576 -0.6

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 58759 52.83% 20.22 59.02% -0.261 0.657 -0.014
B 59574 53.15% 20.82 59.69% -0.341 0.5001 -0.1
C 63674 52.46% 22.22 62.26% 0.013 0.696 0.505
D 58029 50.94% 21.56 62.5% -0.113 0.7296 0.35
E 7408 55.0% 23.92 62.9% -0.159 0.4924 0.086
F 12395 53.39% 24.26 64.43% -0.515 0.2454 0.031
G 11851 54.25% 23.83 63.55% -0.328 0.4293 -0.092
H 11799 52.55% 24.54 65.73% -0.111 0.6075 0.114
East 7118 50.84% 33.77 60.09% 0.441 1.2548 -0.083
Northeast 5121 47.81% 34.65 62.0% -0.133 0.5346 -0.116
Northwest 4365 45.9% 35.01 63.6% 0.07 0.8747 -0.085
Southeast 506 42.8% 30.84 64.23% -0.487 0.2181 -0.498
Southwest 503 47.99% 27.22 57.65% -0.941 0.4488 -0.402
West 6565 49.58% 33.65 60.5% 0.206 0.9996 -0.318

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 35676 0.0% 12.23 45.16% -0.865 -0.146 -1.476
Not Using Events or Tokens 98810 57.37% 16.51 54.63% -0.571 -0.0858 -0.894
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7287 21.87% 29.79 83.9% 0.948 0.2176 -0.728
Start of Game Growth 9645 22.22% 29.16 82.84% 0.486 0.04 0.885
Unlimited Undo 16863 45.89% 23.99 70.42% 0.868 0.8347 0.042
Using Tokens but Not Events 13321 49.4% 22.38 71.39% -0.243 -0.4053 0.032

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9303 41.65% 25.74 71.5% 0.248 0.141 0.277
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 24 37.5% 26.54 58.33% 0.27 -0.2187 0.217
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7245 57.85% 25.31 64.62% -0.271 -0.1276 1.041
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 32 67.74% 21.72 68.75% -0.953 -1.7014 -0.147
Dances Up Earthquakes 6 66.67% 23.83 66.67% -0.054 -0.2306 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2028 44.91% 25.77 68.59% -0.48 -0.6873 0.035
Downpour Drenches the World 161 46.58% 21.73 65.22% -0.255 0.0655 -0.986
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 142 46.1% 21.51 63.38% 1.14 0.6991 -0.362
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3057 39.98% 27.36 76.61% -0.002 -0.3456 0.389
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2379 41.07% 27.64 73.18% 0.245 -0.1094 0.262
Finder of Paths Unseen 58 59.26% 19.86 56.9% -0.729 0.0552 -0.59
Fractured Days Split the Sky 192 43.16% 25.19 69.27% -0.184 0.2643 -0.389
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 211 53.92% 23.36 65.88% -0.195 -0.2182 -0.234
Heart of the Wildfire 3878 59.98% 26.71 63.85% 0.051 0.3775 -0.321
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5348 46.27% 30.92 73.02% -0.108 -0.6028 -0.189
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 24 25.0% 23.67 75.0% 1.249 0.6859 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 15635 43.69% 19.85 59.63% -0.404 -0.2059 0.442
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 91 52.27% 22.22 52.75% 0.801 0.3529 -0.628
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 122 49.58% 24.45 69.67% 0.613 0.2934 0.637
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 159 43.42% 20.81 63.52% -0.001 0.1234 0.012
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 504 48.41% 28.03 69.25% 0.16 0.0035 -0.45
Many Minds Move as One 553 46.15% 29.69 75.77% 0.246 0.0397 0.657
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9865 43.06% 31.33 73.76% 0.187 0.3164 1.463
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 9 100.0% 16.78 100.0% 1.333 1.438 0.0
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2059 45.98% 25.64 68.72% 0.054 0.0041 0.234
River Surges in Sunlight 15681 43.03% 21.33 59.89% -0.092 -0.0585 0.436
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 17 52.94% 16.76 64.71% -0.355 -0.1468 -0.257
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 236 45.91% 22.92 61.44% -0.862 -0.7112 0.711
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 83 32.84% 13.99 43.37% -1.679 -1.6694 -0.085
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4625 42.87% 30.48 69.04% -0.281 -0.38 -0.305
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 4 75.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.904 0.4127 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4562 42.74% 30.12 69.75% -0.124 -0.2215 0.041
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 54 35.19% 26.0 72.22% 0.404 0.2096 0.097
Shifting Memory of Ages 295 55.67% 24.12 61.69% 0.084 0.4739 0.744
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 28 50.0% 30.32 82.14% 0.911 0.8599 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 320 57.96% 21.47 65.31% 0.041 0.4551 -0.699
Starlight Seeks its Form 290 39.31% 25.87 74.83% 0.347 0.3069 -0.096
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1040 52.76% 26.56 65.77% -0.428 -0.9301 0.189
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1926 43.51% 29.0 70.25% -0.213 -0.1299 0.76
Thunderspeaker 7914 46.02% 25.89 66.65% -0.292 -0.2973 -0.125
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 35 45.45% 25.03 60.0% -0.526 -0.1378 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 56 46.43% 20.11 44.64% 0.139 0.3491 -1.664
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 736 58.36% 26.26 66.98% 0.178 0.2552 0.097
Vital Strength of the Earth 13986 39.29% 18.68 57.64% -0.551 -0.1021 -0.156
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 61 39.62% 14.97 39.34% 0.242 0.7364 -0.042
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 117 55.21% 17.42 45.3% -1.001 -0.3087 0.529
Volcano Looming High 317 59.87% 24.25 62.15% -0.039 0.0251 -0.542
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 65 58.46% 24.23 63.08% 0.489 0.2397 -0.118

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 80.74%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.98%
Favors Called Due 88.22%
Mantle of Dread 85.35%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28564 14.25 3.4%
II 63636 30.3 44.43%
III 68618 34.84 79.89%
IV 27329 38.61 99.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 971
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 53495
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 27364
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 26665
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20617
Lose: Invader deck ran out 357
Lose: Adversary condition 6690
Win: Sacrifice victory 1037
Lose: Scenario condition 1778
Win: Scenario condition 1671
Lose: Blight pool ran out 45840
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1662

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.992 Win Model: -0.102

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.092 Win Model: 0.239
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 115643 61.77% 19.84 56.77%
2 44622 55.37% 21.64 58.46%
3 13677 44.73% 25.42 69.31%
4 13636 36.23% 27.63 70.56%
5 196 47.28% 22.87 62.24%
6 373 19.45% 22.39 66.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)