Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 35.71% 18.39 50.0% 0.0 -0.0294 -0.101
Blitz 0 1929 58.57% 16.86 41.58% 0.011 0.2542 -0.258
Dahan Insurrection 4 1775 33.31% 41.53 62.82% 0.787 0.8008 0.443
Despicable Theft 2 103 57.28% 22.32 42.72% 0.0 0.7661 -0.048
Elemental Invocation 1 102 55.88% 20.59 48.04% 0.133 0.8858 0.817
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6309 27.56% 38.38 63.1% 1.099 0.503 2.324
Powers Long Forgotten 1 722 60.67% 27.73 54.02% -0.22 0.5276 -0.324
Rituals of Terror 3 813 59.85% 22.39 32.96% -0.537 -0.0586 0.359
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 328 72.56% 30.62 53.35% -0.999 -0.3112 -0.109
Second Wave 0 3405 59.4% 23.71 62.53% -0.037 -0.0413 -0.19
The Great River 3 68 47.06% 12.31 13.24% -0.954 0.1754 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 61 62.3% 17.21 36.07% 0.784 1.5634 -0.101
Ward the Shores 2 462 61.47% 24.81 36.15% -0.885 -0.0153 -0.368

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 124884 60.49% 18.53 54.69% -0.252 -0.0485 -0.088
1 Thematic 4964 65.26% 27.92 50.36% 0.564 1.1733 -0.405
2 Archipelago 14 50.0% 23.93 50.0% 0.0 0.1705 -0.085
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 37210 54.77% 19.39 53.99% -0.411 -0.3308 0.706
2 Coastline 3531 52.98% 21.09 59.33% -0.492 -0.5871 0.397
2 Fragment 1205 57.73% 19.09 56.18% 0.195 0.1516 0.0
2 Heart 535 60.56% 16.07 48.79% 0.625 0.1639 0.411
2 Opposite Shores 5210 50.77% 22.13 63.61% 0.314 0.4453 -0.115
2 Thematic 2354 51.18% 31.86 54.29% -0.635 -0.2766 0.577
2 Top to Top 885 55.42% 20.47 57.06% 0.146 0.0568 0.283
3 Archipelago 10 40.0% 20.9 60.0% 0.0 -0.1698 0.0
3 Coastline 76 45.31% 20.28 47.37% 0.906 0.734 0.0
3 Other 523 46.57% 17.61 55.45% -0.202 -0.587 -0.185
3 Round (Default) 13877 43.97% 24.21 68.52% 0.149 0.1549 0.393
3 Sunrise 62 48.21% 26.77 79.03% 0.0 -0.6066 0.209
3 Thematic 713 43.89% 32.57 54.7% -0.229 -0.6602 -0.386
4 Archipelago 35 34.78% 10.37 28.57% -0.127 -0.3672 0.0
4 Coastline 26 26.09% 20.54 65.38% 0.0 -0.5981 0.0
4 Leaf 87 40.54% 18.6 63.22% -0.443 -1.4655 0.0
4 Other 461 36.08% 16.28 45.12% -0.434 -1.2773 0.102
4 Reverse Snake 5 50.0% 40.0 100.0% 0.421 -0.1571 0.0
4 Snake 6 80.0% 27.83 66.67% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2558 33.83% 36.21 69.31% 0.214 0.0114 -0.52
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12280 35.28% 24.22 67.01% 0.065 0.2547 -0.774
5 Archipelago 7 71.43% 35.14 100.0% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 20.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.6597 0.0
5 Other 237 47.56% 24.48 66.24% 0.348 0.1875 -0.424
5 Thematic 10 30.0% 32.3 80.0% 0.0 0.3382 0.0
6 Archipelago 9 22.22% 13.56 44.44% -0.021 -0.6748 -0.11
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 15.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.4503 0.0
6 Other 43 27.91% 18.93 65.12% 0.0 -0.039 0.0
6 Star 19 26.32% 23.89 47.37% -0.215 0.251 0.0
6 Thematic 117 27.43% 22.24 47.01% -0.179 0.0689 -0.318
6 Two Centers (Default) 305 19.26% 19.46 65.9% 0.005 1.2067 0.329
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.1814 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4801 24.47 47.59% 0.227 0.3754 0.544
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4086 27.29 53.87% 1.224 1.111 1.837
All Things Weaken 1395 21.73 41.51% 0.143 0.5183 0.519
Attenuated Essence 165 22.55 56.97% -0.331 -0.2058 0.716
Back Against the Wall 4055 25.93 50.04% 0.315 0.3557 1.374
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 193 16.92 38.34% 0.091 0.2971 1.121
Burn Brightest Before the End 164 19.29 42.07% -0.014 0.0306 -0.472
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4628 21.67 45.51% 0.066 0.5639 -0.234
Downward Spiral 27948 18.3 53.71% 0.374 0.6241 0.59
Erosion of Will 4777 23.96 46.7% -0.896 -0.6384 0.674
Intensifying Exploitation 195 17.16 43.08% -0.086 0.1333 -0.438
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 462 28.58 76.41% 1.04 0.6542 0.305
Memory Fades to Dust 28410 17.71 49.17% 0.254 0.4593 0.485
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1378 22.54 50.22% 0.815 1.0134 -0.756
Promising Farmlands 4782 22.72 45.84% 0.163 0.5192 0.244
Shattered Fragments of Power 146 18.66 42.47% 0.576 0.7937 -0.463
Slow Dissolution of Will 189 16.83 37.04% -0.703 -0.2735 -0.34
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 287 26.97 81.18% -0.36 -0.9846 0.0
The Border of Life and Death 48 18.73 58.33% -0.293 -0.6127 0.0
Thriving Communities 1331 20.64 45.23% -0.292 0.0276 -0.372
Thriving Crops 83 18.9 57.83% 1.24 1.1209 -0.3
Tipping Point 2288 24.65 49.43% 0.0 0.6615 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1465 22.86 43.69% 0.264 0.3538 0.445
Untended Land Crumbles 1402 20.71 44.08% 0.571 0.7962 1.504

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 66738 51.64% 19.06 56.03% -0.096 0.7034 -0.058
B 67579 51.9% 19.64 56.79% -0.108 0.6228 0.294
C 71935 51.31% 21.01 59.3% -0.047 0.5573 0.549
D 65682 49.84% 20.4 59.6% 0.165 0.9218 0.247
E 8696 54.26% 22.77 61.36% -0.023 0.5617 0.408
F 14069 52.76% 23.15 62.62% 0.266 0.9685 -0.682
G 13346 53.59% 22.82 61.79% 0.074 0.8316 0.347
H 13193 52.02% 23.52 64.09% -0.388 0.2427 -0.054
East 7882 48.98% 32.2 57.43% -0.615 0.1688 -0.942
Northeast 5730 45.84% 32.76 58.69% -0.723 0.0388 -0.7
Northwest 4838 43.74% 33.32 60.91% -0.195 0.647 0.236
Southeast 576 41.23% 29.1 61.46% 0.19 0.8293 -0.069
Southwest 573 46.03% 25.52 55.15% 0.684 1.729 -0.024
West 7193 47.77% 32.29 58.39% -0.096 0.6794 0.41

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 42175 0.0% 11.42 42.33% -0.922 -0.0481 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 116225 55.66% 15.51 51.42% -0.206 0.1712 -1.061
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7980 21.55% 28.67 81.39% 0.305 0.014 0.316
Start of Game Growth 10483 22.12% 28.18 80.59% 1.141 0.5839 0.287
Unlimited Undo 18730 45.18% 22.87 67.59% -0.363 -0.2991 0.08
Using Tokens but Not Events 14594 49.06% 21.59 69.27% 0.185 0.0579 -0.018

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10423 41.17% 24.63 69.07% 0.054 -0.042 0.227
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 69 34.85% 22.87 47.83% -0.294 -0.6199 0.463
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 2 100.0% 11.0 0.0% -0.585 -0.8468 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 23 43.48% 17.22 56.52% -0.866 -1.5864 -0.11
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8019 56.41% 24.02 61.83% -0.085 0.2135 0.426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 62 47.54% 21.23 67.74% 0.435 -0.1549 0.193
Dances Up Earthquakes 32 51.61% 19.59 65.63% -0.36 -0.1784 0.235
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2274 44.9% 24.77 67.33% 1.094 0.9151 -0.327
Downpour Drenches the World 234 45.45% 22.06 68.38% 1.27 1.6289 0.28
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 196 43.16% 20.94 68.88% 0.807 0.3674 -0.309
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3501 38.1% 25.82 73.44% 0.001 -0.3489 0.493
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2585 40.47% 26.98 72.61% 0.192 -0.2083 -0.381
Finder of Paths Unseen 84 52.5% 19.2 54.76% -0.457 0.6178 0.147
Fractured Days Split the Sky 231 46.29% 24.04 68.4% -0.357 0.0983 0.142
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 255 54.03% 22.45 63.92% -0.856 -0.9472 0.0
Heart of the Wildfire 4152 58.94% 25.8 62.14% -0.606 -0.1746 -0.05
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5744 45.41% 29.78 71.12% -0.545 -0.9873 -1.008
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 47 36.17% 21.11 65.96% 0.444 -0.0651 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 18501 41.9% 18.29 55.25% -0.036 0.1269 0.335
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 119 48.7% 20.2 52.1% 0.159 -0.5195 -0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 150 48.25% 22.77 68.0% -0.211 -0.5703 -0.158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 203 43.55% 19.35 61.08% -0.617 -0.7635 0.0
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 596 48.73% 27.18 67.28% 1.015 0.8381 0.751
Many Minds Move as One 635 47.6% 28.49 75.28% 0.498 0.3634 -0.362
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10877 41.96% 30.03 70.96% 0.621 0.5439 1.209
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 65 69.84% 15.43 53.85% 0.539 0.7302 -0.67
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2269 45.37% 24.81 67.47% 1.181 1.1214 -0.518
River Surges in Sunlight 18216 41.79% 19.75 55.83% -0.573 -0.5286 -0.516
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 43 45.0% 19.02 53.49% 0.0 0.2299 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 267 45.78% 22.18 59.93% -0.062 -0.0129 -0.439
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 121 36.89% 15.58 42.15% -0.805 -0.6387 -0.364
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4980 41.95% 29.65 67.15% 1.052 0.859 0.927
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 18 61.11% 32.78 77.78% 0.554 0.5397 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4734 42.89% 29.69 68.84% -0.025 0.0322 -0.292
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 2 50.0% 20.0 50.0% -0.133 -0.6365 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 78 38.46% 24.96 66.67% 0.0 -0.0371 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 373 58.4% 23.1 61.93% -0.217 0.1454 0.96
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 68 48.53% 27.5 79.41% -0.027 -0.044 -0.207
Shroud of Silent Mist 384 57.41% 20.29 63.28% -0.542 -0.0186 -0.11
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 3 0.0% 24.33 100.0% 0.445 0.1046 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 391 37.95% 24.55 75.19% 0.517 0.3181 -0.611
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1156 51.44% 25.94 65.74% -0.05 -0.6647 0.401
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2067 42.86% 28.1 69.18% 0.103 0.3364 0.187
Thunderspeaker 8845 45.36% 24.64 63.75% 0.094 0.0766 0.653
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 45 39.53% 23.2 55.56% -0.388 -0.188 -0.079
Towering Roots of the Jungle 102 47.06% 19.55 49.02% 0.127 0.2935 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 787 58.72% 25.71 66.33% 0.186 0.2357 -0.788
Vital Strength of the Earth 16457 37.81% 17.24 53.48% -0.372 0.0984 -0.454
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 77 33.33% 14.34 38.96% -0.249 0.16 -0.135
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 139 52.68% 15.65 41.73% -1.079 -0.4124 -0.062
Volcano Looming High 384 59.47% 22.84 60.94% -0.267 -0.2834 -0.107
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 89 58.43% 22.94 60.67% -0.688 -0.9685 0.0

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 81.38%
Crops Wither and Fade 91.27%
Favors Called Due 88.62%
Mantle of Dread 85.7%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 38173 12.44 2.65%
II 70032 29.94 43.3%
III 74876 34.9 79.62%
IV 29387 38.84 99.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1013
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 58168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 29351
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 28680
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 31477
Lose: Invader deck ran out 387
Lose: Adversary condition 7017
Win: Sacrifice victory 1134
Lose: Scenario condition 1846
Win: Scenario condition 1799
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 49804
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1792

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.767 Win Model: -0.082

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.018 Win Model: 0.032
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 130107 60.68% 18.88 54.48%
2 50937 54.14% 20.36 55.44%
3 15243 44.04% 24.37 67.42%
4 15467 35.02% 25.91 66.69%
5 220 49.52% 22.96 63.18%
6 494 22.04% 20.08 60.12%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)