Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Shadows Flicker Like Flame

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
137153	60.0%	24.36	66.49%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	75745	52.34%	18.33	0.000	73.03%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	426	55.63%	27.68	1.223	73.24%	-0.721	-0.1531
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	290	66.21%	29.46	0.511	66.55%	-0.189	0.5001
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	273	78.75%	32.87	9.657	55.68%	0.502	1.548
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	213	76.53%	30.7	3.362	39.44%	-0.846	0.5425
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	114	87.72%	32.58	-1.6	30.7%	-0.739	0.9642
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	96	93.75%	26.89	-1.411	8.33%	-0.371	1.2272
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	426	76.06%	35.45	0.0	21.83%	0.0	2.191
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	5422	54.28%	23.75	-0.555	78.94%	-0.306	-0.0184
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	3524	62.42%	27.06	1.465	75.51%	0.047	-0.17
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	3631	63.68%	35.45	5.152	75.08%	-0.507	-0.2942
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3115	71.07%	39.34	9.346	68.31%	0.155	0.6522
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	1971	68.17%	42.12	10.379	67.33%	0.118	0.6556
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1796	83.36%	43.6	8.518	56.07%	-1.154	0.0255
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	2983	77.79%	42.41	5.246	44.32%	-2.053	-0.4805
The Kingdom of England	0	1	3872	54.66%	22.71	-0.046	72.42%	0.165	0.5804
The Kingdom of England	1	3	2062	62.43%	29.01	2.363	61.59%	-0.817	-0.104
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1885	80.29%	25.13	-0.337	41.27%	-1.67	-0.6418
The Kingdom of England	3	6	1397	82.43%	25.67	5.348	25.13%	-1.207	0.4512
The Kingdom of England	4	7	976	74.43%	31.32	5.507	31.66%	-1.266	0.3522
The Kingdom of England	5	9	383	83.51%	31.27	0.614	17.49%	-0.808	1.2467
The Kingdom of England	6	11	3314	66.88%	39.68	16.238	28.79%	-0.076	2.3293
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	2113	55.83%	28.42	-0.28	71.42%	-0.843	-0.0403
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1103	76.82%	25.31	0.513	49.59%	-0.911	-0.0378
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1608	62.06%	28.56	0.824	35.32%	-1.843	0.4281
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	1273	72.28%	31.71	4.73	30.16%	-1.313	1.0189
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	779	64.96%	37.25	6.466	35.94%	-1.249	1.1579
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	396	66.41%	40.77	19.898	34.6%	0.197	2.0594
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	1895	64.8%	41.52	10.53	30.5%	-1.357	0.9571
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	9	55.56%	26.44	5.764	66.67%	0.522	0.3703
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	6	83.33%	25.67	0.917	66.67%	-0.436	0.4502
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	7	71.43%	28.43	1.711	57.14%	-0.4	0.576
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	12	91.67%	33.67	8.997	50.0%	0.113	0.8322
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	3	66.67%	31.33	0.0	33.33%	0.0	1.2923
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	10	90.0%	35.1	5.323	20.0%	-1.275	0.3644
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	3243	55.16%	23.41	1.009	77.09%	0.745	0.8775
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	1881	56.55%	28.15	2.686	76.18%	-0.002	-0.0413
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2132	68.02%	28.57	1.399	68.67%	-0.782	-0.3031
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	2004	75.36%	35.12	4.192	64.82%	-0.608	-0.3354
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	1103	79.25%	34.36	5.863	53.58%	-0.678	0.1595
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	516	79.65%	36.33	6.332	47.09%	-0.762	0.1116
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	1940	77.84%	36.91	3.6	43.45%	-1.482	-0.2622
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	282	51.25%	25.88	-2.396	81.21%	-0.253	-0.3876
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	163	66.26%	28.81	5.738	65.64%	0.563	1.3412
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	199	60.3%	34.41	0.114	70.85%	-0.072	0.4056
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	174	85.06%	33.55	5.73	45.4%	-0.32	0.8579
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	119	77.12%	37.73	20.384	47.06%	0.385	1.7207
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	63	90.48%	30.32	0.026	12.7%	-0.565	1.2848
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	352	88.89%	37.65	8.556	18.75%	-0.855	1.0556

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	1	0.0%	29.0	100.0%	0.087	0.1957	0.0
Blitz	0	1141	68.94%	21.49	51.1%	-0.683	-0.4157	-1.237
Dahan Insurrection	4	1055	41.71%	46.51	66.35%	0.27	0.6028	0.5
Despicable Theft	2	40	75.0%	28.0	57.5%	0.0	0.2507	-0.302
Elemental Invocation	1	42	59.52%	22.74	64.29%	-0.518	0.1299	-0.169
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	4883	30.04%	40.76	64.0%	-0.209	-0.0432	1.01
Powers Long Forgotten	1	542	64.13%	31.39	61.25%	-1.065	-0.7393	-0.841
Rituals of Terror	3	445	75.92%	31.31	44.94%	-0.438	-0.5472	0.09
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	247	79.76%	35.86	61.94%	-0.477	0.18	0.747
Second Wave	0	2668	59.67%	25.57	68.03%	-0.328	0.1432	-0.177
The Great River	3	23	69.57%	25.3	34.78%	0.0	1.5007	-0.16
Varied Terrains	2	2	50.0%	23.0	50.0%	0.082	0.6171	0.0
Ward the Shores	2	335	67.46%	28.31	39.7%	-0.701	0.486	-0.91

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	80870	64.94%	22.18	63.74%	0.329	0.7768	-0.022
1	Thematic	3844	69.41%	30.7	54.84%	0.034	0.6372	0.308
2	Archipelago	4	50.0%	42.5	75.0%	0.0	0.666	0.463
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	22680	60.11%	24.66	67.33%	0.368	0.7596	0.942
2	Coastline	2394	56.73%	25.14	68.0%	0.187	0.2752	-0.335
2	Fragment	743	61.85%	22.95	62.72%	-0.376	-0.3103	-0.142
2	Heart	276	64.5%	20.18	62.32%	-0.578	-0.3054	-0.321
2	Opposite Shores	3492	52.94%	26.11	72.94%	0.522	1.0152	-0.526
2	Thematic	1732	56.79%	35.43	61.72%	-0.859	-0.3912	0.155
2	Top to Top	528	62.39%	25.64	67.23%	-0.002	0.2797	0.534
3	Archipelago	3	33.33%	35.0	66.67%	0.098	-0.2847	0.0
3	Coastline	42	50.0%	27.52	57.14%	0.16	-0.4788	0.741
3	Other	303	48.78%	23.43	71.95%	-0.344	-1.4331	0.109
3	Round (Default)	9452	46.46%	27.83	75.55%	0.225	0.4934	0.459
3	Sunrise	48	48.84%	29.13	83.33%	0.0	-0.2196	-0.064
3	Thematic	516	50.0%	37.73	62.4%	0.129	-0.0946	-1.074
4	Archipelago	5	80.0%	27.4	80.0%	0.0	-0.8515	0.0
4	Coastline	15	26.67%	26.33	86.67%	0.0	0.0079	0.0
4	Leaf	39	31.43%	26.85	89.74%	0.0	0.2406	-0.13
4	Other	227	38.46%	28.41	77.97%	0.109	-0.3372	0.12
4	Reverse Snake	4	66.67%	35.5	100.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	Snake	2	100.0%	49.5	100.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	Thematic	1932	36.92%	42.13	78.31%	0.074	0.1701	-0.807
4	Trapezoid (Default)	7782	39.13%	29.82	81.5%	0.672	0.5354	0.149
5	Archipelago	2	100.0%	29.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.4166	0.0
5	Coastline	2	0.0%	25.5	100.0%	0.0	-0.5122	0.0
5	Other	61	35.09%	32.1	86.89%	0.515	0.7839	0.501
5	Thematic	8	37.5%	40.38	100.0%	0.0	-0.1068	0.563
6	Archipelago	3	33.33%	25.33	100.0%	0.0	-0.5152	0.0
6	Coastline	1	100.0%	12.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.4398	0.0
6	Other	10	20.0%	27.3	100.0%	0.008	0.8967	0.0
6	Star	3	33.33%	47.0	100.0%	0.0	0.8946	0.0
6	Thematic	38	39.47%	35.39	71.05%	-1.049	-0.6857	-0.766
6	Two Centers (Default)	76	19.74%	27.34	92.11%	0.11	0.4877	-0.892
7	Archipelago	1	0.0%	39.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.8404	0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	4040	25.1	47.82%	-1.654	0.1775	-0.598
Aid From Lesser Spirits	3462	27.89	53.81%	-1.738	-0.0834	-0.363
All Things Weaken	978	23.01	42.02%	-2.186	-0.2094	-0.741
Back Against the Wall	3413	26.8	50.42%	-1.716	0.1422	-0.341
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3808	22.72	46.3%	-1.206	0.7687	-0.854
Downward Spiral	18992	20.23	58.22%	-2.24	-0.3379	-0.41
Erosion of Will	3988	24.89	47.02%	-1.485	0.5591	-0.67
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	308	30.82	81.49%	-0.398	0.1741	0.683
Memory Fades to Dust	19323	19.52	52.95%	-2.326	-0.3464	-0.512
Power Corrodes the Spirit	937	24.46	51.23%	-2.203	-0.3112	-0.53
Promising Farmlands	4015	23.65	46.95%	-2.395	-0.3561	-0.658
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	195	30.27	85.13%	0.262	0.7027	0.039
Thriving Communities	919	22.34	45.81%	-1.76	0.204	-0.884
Tipping Point	2286	24.67	49.48%	0.0	0.489	-0.511
Unnatural Proliferation	972	24.88	44.96%	-1.541	0.3645	-0.793
Untended Land Crumbles	948	22.45	45.46%	-2.548	-0.5133	-0.951

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	41717	56.53%	23.69	68.05%	-0.184	0.5844	0.019
B	42791	56.66%	24.29	68.62%	-0.066	0.6271	-0.121
C	46634	55.84%	25.47	70.13%	-0.101	0.4638	0.573
D	41850	53.99%	24.99	71.43%	0.016	0.7844	0.328
E	4802	59.04%	27.09	67.81%	-0.263	0.3359	0.112
F	9046	56.06%	26.96	69.93%	0.11	0.8191	0.042
G	8668	56.52%	26.43	68.74%	-0.14	0.5856	-0.081
H	8662	54.67%	27.22	71.03%	0.09	0.7804	0.092
East	5811	53.64%	36.82	64.79%	0.428	1.0506	-0.074
Northeast	4110	50.42%	38.15	67.27%	-0.128	0.5533	0.045
Northwest	3562	48.65%	38.46	68.92%	-0.21	0.8571	-0.118
Southeast	393	46.94%	34.78	70.99%	-0.317	0.4109	-0.462
Southwest	385	52.34%	30.8	64.68%	-1.181	-0.2104	-0.392
West	5397	52.52%	36.72	65.44%	-0.343	0.6605	-0.486

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	22846	0.0%	15.15	55.73%	-3.058	-1.0461	-2.112
Not Using Events or Tokens	63491	63.32%	19.71	65.34%	0.311	0.5249	-0.588
Skip Initial Invader Actions	5820	21.72%	32.38	89.59%	-0.098	-0.1912	-0.411
Start of Game Growth	7653	21.94%	31.89	88.88%	1.355	0.6469	0.664
Unlimited Undo	12579	48.48%	26.85	77.83%	1.247	0.5475	0.204
Using Tokens but Not Events	10624	50.92%	24.4	77.11%	0.095	0.0494	0.265

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	6969	100.0%	28.71	100.0%	0.271	0.1365	0.19
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	5669	100.0%	28.18	100.0%	-0.207	-0.1616	1.18
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	1588	100.0%	28.25	100.0%	0.111	-0.0092	-0.308
Downpour Drenches the World	9	100.0%	29.11	100.0%	-0.54	-0.1917	-0.503
Eyes Watch From the Trees	2321	100.0%	29.97	100.0%	-0.493	-0.9134	0.065
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	1868	100.0%	29.98	100.0%	-0.262	-0.8244	0.27
Finder of Paths Unseen	4	100.0%	32.5	100.0%	0.143	0.5447	0.0
Fractured Days Split the Sky	122	100.0%	28.51	100.0%	0.592	0.6466	-0.131
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	72	100.0%	31.01	100.0%	0.571	0.5622	-0.048
Heart of the Wildfire	3339	100.0%	28.58	100.0%	-0.582	-0.3555	-0.4
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	4649	100.0%	32.31	100.0%	0.171	-0.3517	-0.209
Lightning's Swift Strike	10305	100.78%	24.38	100.4%	-0.064	0.179	0.025
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	4	50.0%	23.75	75.0%	-0.223	-1.0766	-0.09
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	62	49.18%	26.61	72.58%	-0.622	-1.2316	0.137
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	92	48.35%	26.55	75.0%	-0.224	-0.6018	-0.049
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	297	100.0%	32.07	100.0%	-0.239	-0.4573	-0.645
Many Minds Move as One	394	100.0%	32.05	100.0%	0.112	-0.427	0.374
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	7699	100.0%	34.65	100.0%	1.741	1.4243	1.619
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	1557	100.0%	28.28	100.0%	0.096	0.0802	0.079
River Surges in Sunlight	10362	100.48%	26.32	100.34%	0.053	0.1052	0.45
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	107	52.0%	25.2	67.29%	-0.517	-0.159	-0.218
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	3	33.33%	25.0	100.0%	0.08	-0.1506	0.0
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	3720	100.0%	33.24	100.0%	0.08	0.0463	-0.333
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	3887	100.0%	32.43	100.0%	-0.324	-0.6259	0.258
Shifting Memory of Ages	102	100.0%	27.61	100.0%	-0.442	-0.4029	-0.051
Shroud of Silent Mist	158	100.0%	25.49	100.0%	-0.152	0.1721	-0.688
Starlight Seeks its Form	90	100.0%	28.82	100.0%	0.674	0.4699	-0.603
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	787	100.0%	28.64	100.0%	-0.254	-0.44	-0.073
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	1541	100.0%	31.19	100.0%	0.368	0.4522	0.544
Thunderspeaker	6002	100.0%	29.45	100.0%	0.082	0.0514	0.004
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	602	100.0%	27.6	100.0%	0.232	0.1877	0.379
Vital Strength of the Earth	8846	100.26%	23.66	100.2%	0.155	0.9497	-0.376
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	52	53.06%	24.56	65.38%	0.0	1.0311	0.152
Volcano Looming High	153	100.0%	26.57	100.0%	-0.263	-0.2367	-0.739

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	695	2.506	25.57	68.78%
Animated Wrackroot	4266	3.352	30.707	74.99%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	745	3.199	28.38	69.66%
Birds Cry Warning	315	3.683	28.435	65.08%
Blood Draws Predators	315	3.616	30.06	71.11%
Call of the Dahan Ways	11672	1.455	23.151	72.2%
Call To Bloodshed	3872	1.715	23.738	72.6%
Call to Ferocity	891	3.527	30.923	72.28%
Call to Guard	789	3.231	26.957	67.68%
Call To Isolation	2925	2.535	26.182	71.08%
Call To Migrate	2351	1.997	25.654	75.12%
Call To Tend	1841	1.781	20.838	62.14%
Call to Trade	488	3.711	26.139	56.97%
Carapaced Land	692	3.428	27.124	66.47%
Confounding Mists	2879	2.712	25.06	66.1%
Cycles of Time and Tide	2403	3.258	29.187	70.66%
Dark and Tangled Woods	24665	0.645	17.961	60.3%
Delusions of Danger	5739	1.778	24.492	75.68%
Dessicating Winds	276	2.982	26.989	69.2%
Devouring Ants	857	1.634	22.177	66.86%
Dire Metamorphosis	221	3.489	26.837	59.28%
Disorienting Landscape	2139	2.965	29.501	75.32%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	2449	3.361	30.416	75.83%
Drift Down Into Slumber	5738	2.222	23.249	67.86%
Drought	909	1.927	20.16	56.0%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	411	2.26	25.526	73.48%
Elemental Boon	5325	2.471	27.149	75.34%
Elusive Ambushes	2893	2.544	25.562	68.51%
Encompassing Ward	3405	1.647	20.317	62.94%
Enticing Splendor	2986	2.1	24.833	71.8%
Entrancing Apparitions	8354	1.925	24.692	74.91%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	186	4.446	27.489	57.53%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	1232	2.974	27.854	72.97%
Fire in the Sky	3508	3.006	27.99	72.23%
Fleshrot Fever	678	3.012	28.473	70.06%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	106	3.783	30.226	69.81%
Gift of Constancy	2697	3.003	26.841	69.37%
Gift of Living Energy	2285	2.6	26.474	72.95%
Gift of Nature's Connection	742	3.593	28.722	68.73%
Gift of Power	3279	2.793	27.315	72.19%
Gift of Twinned Days	637	3.49	29.444	70.17%
Gnawing Rootbiters	711	3.346	26.678	62.73%
Gold's Allure	977	3.776	28.941	66.12%
Growth Through Sacrifice	1660	4.347	34.26	72.65%
Guardian Serpents	2417	3.349	29.934	73.27%
Haunted by Primal Memories	1686	3.077	27.871	71.59%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	649	3.851	29.145	65.95%
Here There be Monsters	1877	3.55	30.087	71.07%
Infested Aquifers	630	3.484	29.427	68.25%
Inflame the Fires of Life	4201	3.45	31.304	76.39%
Land of Haunts and Embers	14024	0.901	19.056	60.27%
Like Calls to Like	44	3.0	26.386	65.91%
Lure of the Unknown	13395	2.292	27.594	79.95%
Mesmerized Tranquility	459	3.49	27.041	65.14%
Nature's Resilience	8501	2.207	23.329	68.78%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	707	2.924	27.365	67.33%
Poisoned Dew	685	2.623	25.726	64.96%
Portents of Disaster	2325	3.603	30.43	71.44%
Promises of Protection	1556	3.474	28.451	66.0%
Prowling Panthers	3491	3.338	30.6	74.68%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	2542	1.854	24.926	74.51%
Purifying Flame	3364	2.262	23.326	67.24%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	13731	2.52	27.121	76.19%
Rain of Blood	2342	2.063	22.957	68.1%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	1725	2.893	27.667	70.43%
Reaching Grasp	1502	2.138	25.505	74.03%
Renewing Boon	164	3.274	26.482	61.59%
Renewing Rain	681	2.931	25.628	65.05%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	5168	3.539	30.902	73.1%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	2933	3.301	30.043	75.55%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	2968	1.473	23.826	74.56%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	9193	2.245	24.016	70.01%
Savage Mawbeasts	1665	1.879	24.022	70.87%
Scour the Land	377	4.122	25.947	52.25%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	216	3.676	29.278	68.98%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	217	3.719	29.912	69.59%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	244	3.389	27.939	69.26%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	22891	1.014	20.428	64.54%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	504	3.905	29.833	68.25%
Sky Stretches to Shore	1278	4.079	31.877	71.21%
Song of Sanctity	877	1.617	20.07	60.21%
Spur On with Words of Fire	1258	3.6	30.997	73.69%
Steam Vents	4130	1.527	22.338	71.07%
Strong and Constant Currents	171	4.702	31.38	63.16%
Sucking Ooze	553	4.063	30.005	65.82%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	1061	2.93	29.447	76.81%
Swarming Wasps	1333	3.374	29.387	69.99%
Teeming Rivers	698	3.196	28.213	69.91%
Territorial Strife	471	3.616	26.221	60.93%
Terror Turns to Madness	662	3.379	28.089	67.82%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	194	2.907	26.536	68.04%
Thriving Chokefungus	267	3.487	28.067	67.42%
Tormenting Rotflies	378	2.767	25.651	64.29%
Treacherous Waterways	339	3.115	27.858	70.5%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	1427	3.879	31.245	71.13%
Uncanny Melting	2991	2.343	24.971	70.24%
Unquenchable Flames	1476	3.271	29.764	73.85%
Veil the Night's Hunt	8433	2.271	25.975	73.89%
Visions of Fiery Doom	14517	1.991	25.682	77.6%
Voracious Growth	2356	1.43	20.611	64.64%
Weep for What is Lost	236	3.305	29.119	71.19%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	1195	1.593	21.018	66.69%
Angry Bears	206	3.039	26.607	68.93%
Bargains of Power and Protection	137	4.38	27.474	55.47%
Blazing Renewal	2206	3.062	24.282	61.74%
Bloodwrack Plague	780	4.042	27.665	59.23%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	409	2.716	27.029	72.13%
Cleansing Floods	1161	1.686	21.363	65.2%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	780	2.901	29.115	76.41%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	892	2.378	23.268	65.25%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	143	3.944	25.839	60.84%
Dream of the Untouched Land	323	3.015	25.814	65.63%
Entwined Power	780	2.847	27.173	71.54%
Fire and Flood	616	2.307	26.492	75.65%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	471	4.299	29.49	62.42%
Focus the Land's Anguish	186	3.215	26.301	66.67%
Forests of Living Obsidian	163	3.393	29.712	77.91%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	1218	3.45	28.791	70.94%
Indomitable Claim	4049	3.531	25.909	64.16%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	384	4.409	29.841	66.15%
Infinite Vitality	2055	3.15	23.059	56.3%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	467	4.882	33.218	70.24%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	1535	3.757	28.509	65.02%
Irresistible Call	195	3.379	26.031	64.1%
Manifest Incarnation	591	3.462	29.682	71.4%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	245	4.482	30.833	64.49%
Mists of Oblivion	1131	2.295	24.503	70.38%
Paralyzing Fright	4893	3.005	25.114	69.04%
Pent-Up Calamity	2863	3.935	32.083	74.64%
Pillar of Living Flame	2174	1.7	23.301	75.44%
Poisoned Land	883	1.614	20.593	65.69%
Powerstorm	2251	3.019	27.183	70.95%
Pyroclastic Flow	1085	3.877	28.824	63.5%
Savage Transformation	622	3.066	29.426	73.79%
Sea Monsters	532	3.633	28.771	67.86%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	312	3.446	29.513	71.15%
Sleep and Never Waken	796	3.913	29.109	68.22%
Smothering Infestation	326	3.264	28.35	70.55%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	185	3.692	28.216	64.86%
Storm-Swath	232	2.905	26.556	68.53%
Strangling Firevine	497	3.559	29.998	70.82%
Sweep into the Sea	430	3.514	27.247	63.26%
Talons of Lightning	4299	2.063	24.635	75.97%
Terrifying Nightmares	9570	1.003	19.927	68.69%
The Jungle Hungers	16544	0.39	15.74	54.44%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	3230	2.736	24.03	66.72%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	3289	2.641	25.284	68.65%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	194	4.165	26.67	58.25%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	440	3.273	27.055	67.05%
Tigers Hunting	1066	3.829	32.363	74.39%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	216	3.444	29.824	73.15%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	466	4.067	31.021	71.24%
Tsunami	1526	1.896	22.579	70.25%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	1097	3.132	29.23	74.66%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	672	3.618	29.848	73.81%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	832	3.071	28.832	71.39%
Unrelenting Growth	498	3.398	28.084	66.47%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	275	4.491	30.575	65.09%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	362	4.036	31.077	70.99%
Vengeance of the Dead	2759	2.432	25.086	73.43%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	3744	2.796	26.033	69.2%
Voice of Command	322	3.935	28.851	65.84%
Volcanic Eruption	223	3.368	27.054	65.47%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	425	3.727	26.649	63.76%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	173	4.272	33.087	71.68%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	5210	2.455	24.517	71.11%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	3550	3.007	25.688	67.32%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Concealing Shadows	78.64%
Crops Wither and Fade	90.06%
Favors Called Due	87.14%
Mantle of Dread	84.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	10164	22.6	8.8%
II	49123	31.02	47.19%
III	55176	34.59	80.81%
IV	22690	37.83	99.33%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	43555
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	22402
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	22157
Lose: Invader deck ran out	290
Lose: Adversary condition	5868
Win: Sacrifice victory	838
Lose: Scenario condition	1589
Win: Scenario condition	1351
Lose: Blight pool ran out	36835
Lose: Spirit destroyed	1374

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.126 Win Model: -0.163

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	3410	18.06%	26.58	92.87%	82.52%
-2	1060	25.16%	23.19	85.28%	80.03%
-1	2186	25.08%	22.3	84.86%	77.29%
0	67084	53.94%	17.38	71.43%	74.3%
1	11802	54.36%	22.6	77.79%	71.06%
2	7553	58.16%	26.31	75.76%	67.58%
3	6318	67.02%	27.9	65.37%	63.91%
4	6685	66.34%	31.85	64.92%	60.06%
5	4505	66.98%	33.22	56.23%	56.08%
6	6224	73.79%	34.98	54.8%	52.03%
7	3548	72.05%	35.1	41.69%	47.95%
8	4472	73.46%	38.15	49.82%	43.89%
9	2915	81.08%	40.4	45.66%	39.92%
10	5055	75.43%	40.43	36.85%	36.07%
11	3730	71.12%	37.89	25.23%	32.39%
12	210	64.73%	45.76	31.43%	28.92%
13	110	72.73%	49.44	35.45%	25.68%
14	180	45.0%	58.23	42.22%	22.69%
15	63	69.84%	46.21	17.46%	19.95%
16	16	87.5%	36.81	0.0%	17.47%
17	24	75.0%	51.92	20.83%	15.24%
18	3	100.0%	38.0	0.0%	13.24%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.42 Win Model: 0.201

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	84744	65.19%	22.57	63.34%
2	31871	58.93%	25.39	67.54%
3	10351	46.65%	28.19	74.84%
4	10021	38.64%	32.17	80.89%
5	34	36.67%	28.29	82.35%
6	132	26.52%	30.03	87.12%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.