Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 46.67% 18.67 53.33% 0.649 0.6363 0.0
Blitz 0 1543 63.68% 19.1 45.69% -0.695 -0.3908 -1.182
Dahan Insurrection 4 1348 37.5% 44.43 64.54% 1.386 1.2143 0.619
Despicable Theft 2 71 59.15% 25.63 47.89% -0.284 0.608 0.112
Elemental Invocation 1 74 58.11% 20.11 51.35% -0.412 0.5164 -1.102
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5642 28.77% 39.45 63.74% 0.839 0.1813 1.268
Powers Long Forgotten 1 636 61.65% 29.33 58.02% 0.068 1.0586 -0.755
Rituals of Terror 3 604 68.47% 26.41 37.91% -1.091 -0.9529 -0.01
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 284 75.35% 32.88 57.39% -0.701 0.4619 0.511
Second Wave 0 3097 59.38% 24.55 64.8% -0.447 -0.4033 0.051
The Great River 3 52 51.92% 14.54 17.31% -0.476 0.9104 -0.266
Varied Terrains 2 28 67.86% 20.18 42.86% -1.17 -0.3537 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 403 64.52% 26.5 38.21% -1.506 -0.5299 -0.864

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 102546 62.61% 20.15 58.66% 0.505 0.7267 1.169
1 Thematic 4387 67.45% 29.3 52.5% -0.314 0.1591 1.53
2 Archipelago 8 50.0% 34.5 75.0% 0.399 0.9611 0.518
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 29613 57.4% 21.65 59.72% 0.268 0.4021 1.438
2 Coastline 2935 55.17% 22.78 63.03% -0.147 -0.2262 0.331
2 Fragment 950 61.31% 20.74 59.16% 0.877 0.5701 0.462
2 Heart 386 61.39% 17.79 54.92% 0.452 0.3937 -0.545
2 Opposite Shores 4275 52.65% 23.93 68.19% 0.064 -0.0106 0.274
2 Thematic 2038 54.04% 33.4 57.46% -0.556 -0.295 0.98
2 Top to Top 695 59.44% 22.86 62.59% 0.686 0.6414 1.043
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 26.13 75.0% 0.0 -1.1649 0.0
3 Coastline 64 44.44% 22.56 51.56% -0.224 -0.9444 1.208
3 Other 405 48.75% 19.99 61.73% -0.672 -1.1516 0.06
3 Round (Default) 11661 44.88% 25.86 71.63% 0.599 0.3655 0.219
3 Sunrise 55 48.98% 28.24 81.82% -0.252 -0.1889 0.072
3 Thematic 632 45.71% 34.82 58.39% -0.181 -0.4317 -0.64
4 Archipelago 19 50.0% 11.63 31.58% -0.643 -0.3888 0.0
4 Coastline 22 28.57% 22.14 72.73% 0.0 -0.6424 0.0
4 Leaf 63 35.19% 20.46 74.6% 0.278 0.5298 -0.171
4 Other 331 37.36% 20.63 58.01% -1.265 -1.6549 0.063
4 Reverse Snake 4 66.67% 35.5 100.0% 0.0 0.2431 0.0
4 Snake 3 100.0% 33.0 66.67% 0.0 -1.1062 0.0
4 Thematic 2146 36.55% 40.3 76.28% 0.288 0.4489 -1.434
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9824 37.46% 26.64 73.22% 0.081 0.3652 -1.055
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 36.8 100.0% 0.0 0.7444 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 20.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.1966 0.0
5 Other 170 38.89% 26.55 69.41% 0.978 0.5297 -0.817
5 Thematic 9 33.33% 35.89 88.89% 0.0 -0.2494 0.473
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 20.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.9688 0.0
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 12.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7086 0.0
6 Other 34 32.35% 20.32 67.65% -0.289 0.2737 0.0
6 Star 12 33.33% 26.5 50.0% 0.0 0.0689 0.0
6 Thematic 69 28.79% 27.35 57.97% 0.242 0.3649 -2.661
6 Two Centers (Default) 204 13.93% 21.86 74.51% -0.35 -0.5803 -2.28
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 1.1146 0.0
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.4936 -0.291

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4460 24.82 47.6% 0.186 0.3534 -0.15
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3807 27.48 53.74% 0.267 0.2315 0.084
All Things Weaken 1198 22.23 41.49% -0.596 -0.2781 -0.361
Attenuated Essence 72 21.19 52.78% 0.365 0.4669 0.05
Back Against the Wall 3769 26.34 50.28% 0.077 0.1437 0.098
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 68 14.69 27.94% -0.342 -0.1501 -0.962
Burn Brightest Before the End 74 18.01 36.49% -0.707 -0.5058 -0.601
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4254 22.19 45.75% -0.146 0.2426 -0.478
Downward Spiral 23433 19.15 55.67% 0.254 0.3888 0.037
Erosion of Will 4442 24.38 47.01% -0.429 -0.1344 -0.285
Intensifying Exploitation 74 18.03 44.59% -0.166 0.0796 -0.917
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 390 29.81 77.95% 0.628 0.1435 0.774
Memory Fades to Dust 23847 18.5 50.8% 0.09 0.3386 -0.051
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1176 23.48 50.77% 0.87 1.1211 -0.363
Promising Farmlands 4424 23.19 46.38% 0.293 0.6128 -0.212
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 17.0 35.71% -0.773 -0.5526 -0.106
Slow Dissolution of Will 76 19.14 38.16% -0.237 0.1325 -0.59
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 236 28.74 84.32% 0.651 0.0558 0.26
The Border of Life and Death 24 20.29 50.0% 0.066 -0.4173 0.371
Thriving Communities 1148 21.31 45.03% -0.299 0.0403 -0.57
Thriving Crops 27 15.74 44.44% -0.557 -0.5905 -0.341
Tipping Point 2286 24.67 49.48% 0.0 0.0 -0.172
Unnatural Proliferation 1240 23.54 43.79% -0.309 -0.1812 -0.511
Untended Land Crumbles 1176 21.39 44.22% -0.047 0.3664 -0.666

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 53793 54.02% 21.0 61.15% -0.507 0.3641 -0.028
B 54608 54.3% 21.61 61.79% -0.471 0.3636 -0.089
C 58619 53.67% 23.01 64.26% -0.276 0.4287 0.527
D 53335 52.0% 22.35 64.67% -0.233 0.5864 0.347
E 6711 55.63% 24.75 64.45% 0.103 0.7937 0.106
F 11511 53.8% 24.89 65.74% -0.45 0.3525 0.037
G 11090 54.56% 24.42 64.78% -0.637 0.205 -0.068
H 11017 52.96% 25.15 66.94% -0.563 0.2227 0.125
East 6754 51.7% 34.71 61.56% 0.146 0.9762 -0.062
Northeast 4835 48.72% 35.76 63.78% 0.138 0.925 -0.089
Northwest 4102 47.11% 36.27 65.68% 0.142 0.9912 -0.04
Southeast 467 42.98% 31.93 66.38% 0.0 0.8095 -0.67
Southwest 460 48.68% 28.35 60.87% -0.529 0.7354 -0.329
West 6203 50.7% 34.72 62.32% 0.1 1.1081 -0.423

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 32187 0.0% 12.86 47.47% -0.85 -0.0455 -1.647
Not Using Events or Tokens 88502 59.12% 17.22 57.13% -0.466 -0.0747 -0.745
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6980 22.09% 30.25 85.06% 0.516 -0.1203 -0.666
Start of Game Growth 9178 22.45% 29.72 84.22% 1.026 0.4878 0.805
Unlimited Undo 15662 46.84% 24.63 71.91% 0.218 0.266 0.001
Using Tokens but Not Events 12506 50.33% 22.94 72.79% -0.269 -0.3151 0.142

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8607 42.72% 26.44 73.3% 0.143 0.0096 0.223
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 2 100.0% 15.0 0.0% -0.663 -1.3956 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6770 58.64% 26.13 66.66% -0.551 -0.3046 1.117
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 15 85.71% 21.47 73.33% -0.004 -0.8054 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1936 44.98% 26.31 69.78% 0.581 0.4381 -0.065
Downpour Drenches the World 138 46.38% 21.72 66.67% 0.182 0.4765 -1.045
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 98 48.98% 21.24 62.24% 0.41 -0.0267 -0.913
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2868 39.76% 28.01 78.07% 0.289 -0.0768 0.275
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2266 41.08% 28.08 74.05% -0.133 -0.5773 0.234
Finder of Paths Unseen 49 66.67% 21.43 57.14% -0.714 -0.0361 -0.669
Fractured Days Split the Sky 171 44.97% 25.94 72.51% -0.666 -0.0706 -0.631
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 183 51.7% 24.38 69.4% 0.989 0.9358 -0.066
Heart of the Wildfire 3733 60.55% 27.22 64.75% -1.072 -0.7759 -0.392
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5178 46.52% 31.32 73.81% 0.942 0.6379 -0.174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 10 30.0% 26.0 70.0% 0.562 0.2169 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 13991 45.05% 20.85 62.74% -0.759 -0.431 0.337
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 67 57.58% 23.67 52.24% 1.207 0.7253 -0.62
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 101 55.0% 24.67 68.32% -0.029 -0.3219 0.599
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 141 40.74% 22.12 65.96% -0.607 -0.6913 -0.0
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 440 46.8% 29.17 71.59% -0.153 -0.4446 -0.549
Many Minds Move as One 511 47.33% 29.99 75.93% 1.282 1.1123 0.6
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9204 43.71% 32.36 75.71% 0.263 0.2237 1.506
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1948 45.74% 26.21 69.71% -0.322 -0.4964 0.241
River Surges in Sunlight 13954 44.5% 22.36 62.86% -0.568 -0.457 0.445
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 204 48.42% 24.51 66.67% 0.35 0.8204 0.619
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 32.69% 16.61 51.61% -0.531 -0.5996 -0.088
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4415 43.88% 30.94 70.03% -0.026 -0.2634 -0.338
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4466 42.92% 30.35 70.11% -0.712 -0.8209 -0.048
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 36 38.89% 28.22 66.67% -0.372 -0.5263 0.033
Shifting Memory of Ages 234 53.54% 26.02 68.38% -0.004 0.358 0.682
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 7 57.14% 23.43 100.0% 1.148 0.7809 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 269 58.87% 22.4 68.4% 1.267 1.6435 -0.63
Starlight Seeks its Form 238 38.66% 25.39 74.79% 1.224 1.0548 -0.251
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 984 52.71% 27.25 67.17% -0.901 -1.6032 0.148
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1827 43.51% 29.56 71.48% 0.051 0.2607 0.665
Thunderspeaker 7377 46.58% 26.78 68.54% -0.305 -0.3106 -0.055
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 43.48% 29.17 69.57% 0.747 0.9415 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 7 57.14% 21.29 57.14% 0.338 0.3218 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 710 58.38% 26.33 67.04% 0.464 0.5428 0.166
Vital Strength of the Earth 12322 41.31% 19.75 61.07% -0.697 -0.1692 -0.359
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 48 40.91% 15.27 39.58% -0.488 0.0531 -0.045
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 106 55.06% 18.11 47.17% -0.81 -0.0811 0.622
Volcano Looming High 283 62.28% 24.51 62.19% -0.485 -0.3202 -0.619
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 33 60.61% 23.0 72.73% -0.333 -0.652 0.0

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 80.29%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.75%
Favors Called Due 87.86%
Mantle of Dread 84.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22895 15.81 4.17%
II 59618 30.49 45.04%
III 64978 34.78 80.03%
IV 26205 38.41 99.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 955
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 50779
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 25992
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 25576
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14073
Lose: Invader deck ran out 343
Lose: Adversary condition 6456
Win: Sacrifice victory 993
Lose: Scenario condition 1738
Win: Scenario condition 1541
Lose: Blight pool ran out 43660
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1590

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.144 Win Model: -0.082

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.141 Win Model: 0.516
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 107075 62.83% 20.51 58.37%
2 40908 56.65% 22.53 60.74%
3 12816 44.99% 26.1 70.65%
4 12422 37.25% 28.8 73.37%
5 149 41.13% 24.56 65.1%
6 326 20.0% 22.95 69.02%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-30 06:17:40 (Pacific Time)