Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 137 33.58% 25.66 62.77% 0.125 -0.0964 -0.661
Blitz 0 2365 29.19% 41.28 53.28% -0.028 0.1902 0.622
Dahan Insurrection 4 2086 30.35% 43.34 46.21% -1.203 -1.0273 -0.349
Despicable Theft 2 178 26.4% 23.28 42.13% -0.026 0.4493 0.414
Elemental Invocation 1 966 44.39% 22.92 54.24% -0.288 0.2931 -0.848
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12662 12.89% 43.75 65.16% 0.058 -0.4418 -0.089
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1621 23.26% 45.42 78.66% 0.54 1.425 -0.145
Rituals of Terror 3 864 41.38% 33.04 55.32% -1.219 -0.6622 -0.212
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 461 60.0% 33.47 56.83% -0.411 0.4198 -0.417
Second Wave 0 6632 37.25% 29.23 75.89% 0.458 0.4003 0.737
The Great River 3 247 30.77% 24.93 45.75% -0.76 0.4327 -0.298
Varied Terrains 2 246 45.93% 23.35 43.9% -0.797 -0.2319 -0.724
Ward the Shores 2 1343 29.83% 29.22 54.43% -0.439 0.4832 -1.051

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 90843 42.88% 30.08 64.79% 0.163 0.555 0.863
1 Thematic 4759 41.86% 33.41 59.82% -0.053 0.6844 -0.71
2 Archipelago 118 39.32% 28.8 54.24% 0.293 0.1569 1.074
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 36156 43.98% 30.81 68.28% -0.11 0.1528 0.14
2 Coastline 5189 39.53% 31.61 72.75% -0.013 0.0832 0.927
2 Fragment 1094 47.35% 28.4 68.74% 0.706 1.1964 1.485
2 Heart 784 47.88% 35.29 75.0% 1.469 1.2007 1.269
2 Opposite Shores 7989 40.9% 28.58 66.48% 0.063 0.2749 0.417
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3002 46.22% 33.97 57.26% -0.475 0.0821 0.597
2 Top to Top 1446 41.47% 33.06 73.03% 0.016 -0.1077 1.404
3 Archipelago 80 41.25% 35.34 68.75% 0.103 0.5285 1.008
3 Coastline 180 33.14% 29.75 71.67% 1.352 0.4784 1.376
3 Other 1335 41.11% 31.88 77.98% 0.443 0.2308 1.405
3 Round (Default) 28834 34.99% 33.66 70.08% -0.289 -0.0759 -1.067
3 Sunrise 127 29.6% 35.64 76.38% -0.336 -0.7121 0.099
3 Thematic 1262 37.54% 37.9 66.32% 0.765 0.581 0.287
4 Archipelago 91 41.76% 30.2 64.84% 0.0 -0.6323 0.0
4 Coastline 107 14.15% 29.54 81.31% 0.0 -0.1593 0.489
4 Leaf 151 43.62% 31.75 68.21% 0.0 -0.2735 0.522
4 Other 1184 36.8% 36.77 82.09% 0.675 0.2748 0.416
4 Reverse Snake 9 0.0% 38.56 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 13 33.33% 38.62 76.92% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6156 21.7% 50.06 73.38% -0.148 0.0416 -1.04
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23233 30.63% 34.16 68.44% -0.732 -0.4687 -2.023
5 Archipelago 34 38.24% 35.24 67.65% 0.0 0.4122 0.0
5 Coastline 38 7.89% 23.03 73.68% 0.0 -0.8368 0.267
5 Other 1438 32.63% 35.77 77.26% -0.277 -0.5371 -0.84
5 Thematic 268 26.49% 50.81 73.13% 0.1 -0.1068 -1.066
6 Archipelago 78 16.88% 38.94 71.79% -0.271 -1.0017 -0.953
6 Coastline 19 21.05% 22.58 63.16% 0.0 -0.1191 0.0
6 Other 677 31.59% 33.22 65.73% 0.074 0.0749 -1.585
6 Star 366 21.58% 28.88 65.3% -0.963 -0.7228 -3.202
6 Thematic 1409 17.18% 31.18 50.11% -1.225 -0.9627 -1.571
6 Two Centers (Default) 2995 17.36% 36.46 58.46% -1.809 -0.7291 -3.077
7 Archipelago 20 30.0% 43.15 60.0% 0.0 1.0617 -0.779
7 Coastline 2 50.0% 47.5 50.0% 0.298 -0.1034 0.174
7 Other 49 21.28% 22.27 42.86% -0.173 -0.1338 -0.525

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6320 32.18 53.32% 0.479 0.5513 -0.013
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5810 35.64 59.14% 0.005 -0.0416 0.612
All Things Weaken 2910 30.96 48.63% -0.975 -0.6063 -0.417
Attenuated Essence 701 33.25 53.5% -0.084 -0.0564 -0.24
Back Against the Wall 5802 34.64 55.95% 0.171 0.0901 1.039
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 648 32.26 52.93% -0.945 -0.7418 0.138
Burn Brightest Before the End 582 36.13 56.7% 0.197 0.298 0.618
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6165 30.27 52.62% -0.895 -0.5326 0.029
Downward Spiral 11947 27.76 59.43% 0.035 0.2379 0.855
Erosion of Will 6358 31.06 50.57% -0.378 -0.0525 -0.071
Intensifying Exploitation 645 28.97 46.51% -0.078 0.2396 0.04
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1343 37.24 74.09% 0.37 -0.1493 0.299
Memory Fades to Dust 11973 27.43 56.59% 0.038 0.3147 0.569
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2952 31.88 53.83% -0.617 -0.4188 -0.145
Promising Farmlands 6495 30.9 52.78% -1.089 -0.7172 0.509
Shattered Fragments of Power 537 32.81 50.84% -0.532 -0.3408 0.546
Slow Dissolution of Will 655 29.2 44.27% 0.297 0.6733 0.432
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 872 36.99 74.77% -1.22 -1.8033 -0.441
The Border of Life and Death 216 32.94 58.33% 0.323 -0.3369 0.387
Thriving Communities 3022 32.13 52.28% -0.331 -0.1103 0.343
Thriving Crops 306 34.3 60.13% -0.522 -0.6291 0.443
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.5727 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3154 35.6 57.07% 0.256 0.3528 0.774
Untended Land Crumbles 3018 32.2 53.18% 0.552 0.7516 0.059

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 68877 37.83% 31.47 68.36% -0.287 0.621 0.451
B 73262 37.34% 31.45 67.62% 0.103 0.9326 0.31
C 74631 36.99% 32.16 68.99% -0.019 0.7326 0.189
D 67275 36.92% 31.69 68.97% -0.083 0.7886 0.341
E 29413 36.02% 33.9 66.28% 0.128 0.8306 0.335
F 36999 36.11% 32.88 66.04% 0.221 1.0324 0.276
G 33990 35.62% 33.11 67.1% 0.479 1.2995 0.304
H 34182 36.15% 33.15 66.33% 0.473 1.2314 0.303
East 13998 30.78% 41.51 64.88% -0.049 0.8717 -0.56
Northeast 10600 27.88% 42.94 65.68% -0.689 0.0352 -0.946
Northwest 9585 26.13% 43.44 66.69% 0.372 1.3555 -0.366
Southeast 3235 26.51% 36.46 60.03% -0.453 0.3992 -0.555
Southwest 3098 26.2% 34.96 58.65% -0.331 0.9454 0.029
West 13275 29.79% 41.65 65.11% 0.114 0.8053 -0.19

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5266 0.0% 17.48 64.85% -0.22 0.6887 0.684
Not Using Events or Tokens 25390 37.52% 22.73 68.36% -0.427 -0.0391 -0.463
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11118 10.75% 46.97 77.3% 1.285 0.5614 -1.716
Start of Game Growth 15716 12.78% 44.1 76.78% 0.16 -0.3277 1.688
Unlimited Undo 28339 29.61% 39.91 73.16% 0.153 0.2337 0.911
Using Tokens but Not Events 20730 28.65% 27.92 73.27% 0.105 0.0611 0.004

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 35019 29.6% 34.97 72.49% 0.105 -0.0266 0.031
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 2816 26.51% 35.44 52.45% 0.249 -0.0808 0.365
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 32 18.75% 23.81 50.0% -0.106 -0.3352 -0.392
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 223 24.32% 28.88 50.67% -0.141 -0.782 -0.392
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7154 43.13% 30.44 64.97% -0.575 -0.3481 -0.715
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 300 34.0% 28.15 61.67% 0.784 0.1256 0.528
Dances Up Earthquakes 631 24.76% 36.4 54.99% -0.345 -0.1432 -0.372
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5192 34.45% 33.43 73.36% 0.161 -0.0258 0.309
Downpour Drenches the World 2965 25.01% 30.17 52.14% -0.228 0.121 -0.252
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1954 31.01% 29.53 60.64% -0.994 -1.4766 0.378
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7860 25.67% 29.75 65.29% -0.213 -0.4829 -1.351
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4936 31.35% 32.69 71.92% 0.75 0.3859 -0.328
Finder of Paths Unseen 1513 28.22% 32.02 54.53% -0.884 0.0422 -0.303
Fractured Days Split the Sky 5981 23.41% 44.72 63.07% -0.287 0.1799 0.46
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1694 35.98% 30.5 64.05% 0.155 0.1283 -0.308
Heart of the Wildfire 9589 49.74% 28.83 64.23% -0.366 -0.0025 -0.024
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17006 32.28% 37.16 71.49% -0.24 -0.628 -0.47
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 475 32.91% 25.8 53.68% -0.307 -0.652 0.52
Lightning's Swift Strike 12311 34.44% 34.58 73.72% 0.285 0.4418 0.684
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1377 32.73% 34.09 59.04% -0.409 -1.0149 0.36
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 946 31.63% 32.84 65.86% 0.195 -0.1157 0.745
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2536 24.58% 40.95 69.76% 0.217 -0.0411 1.188
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5555 31.15% 36.28 69.36% 0.682 0.5474 -0.079
Many Minds Move as One 2583 33.61% 33.87 72.82% 0.647 0.6306 -0.048
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19577 31.48% 37.02 70.62% 0.465 0.4165 0.478
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 900 30.34% 28.98 54.89% -0.463 -0.3032 0.145
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5240 35.62% 33.41 72.25% 0.453 0.2341 0.294
River Surges in Sunlight 12552 31.02% 36.05 72.04% 0.253 0.2804 -0.129
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 328 20.18% 36.38 50.3% -0.372 -0.2467 0.112
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1835 30.5% 35.39 65.4% -0.191 -0.0417 0.526
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 954 35.64% 31.32 55.24% -0.615 -0.4997 -0.061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4998 41.82% 29.64 67.11% 0.32 0.9082 -0.121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 190 42.22% 25.76 59.47% 0.732 0.7658 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 341 35.78% 30.87 66.57% 0.041 -0.343 -0.158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 187 29.73% 25.42 57.75% 0.729 0.7535 -0.57
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 490 42.42% 32.23 72.45% -0.762 -0.8614 -0.497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 433 38.52% 32.48 69.75% -0.528 -0.2608 0.293
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7978 33.58% 34.42 69.24% -0.027 -0.1881 -0.16
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 15 26.67% 38.73 86.67% 0.625 0.1304 0.449
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 773 25.39% 33.47 59.77% 0.073 0.0927 -0.688
Shifting Memory of Ages 7209 34.31% 37.49 62.78% 0.053 0.4002 -0.111
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 2207 26.99% 39.46 55.96% 0.611 0.6399 0.543
Shroud of Silent Mist 1857 34.96% 27.68 64.24% -0.492 0.0776 0.041
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 23 47.83% 33.35 73.91% 0.319 0.0096 0.207
Starlight Seeks its Form 4738 27.53% 37.12 63.72% -0.155 -0.249 -0.187
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4837 40.24% 32.99 67.31% -0.458 -1.0187 -0.3
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4155 31.88% 35.34 73.43% 0.023 0.2168 0.344
Thunderspeaker 11090 31.81% 35.27 71.94% 0.398 0.4097 0.046
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 293 25.68% 22.3 51.88% -0.651 -0.6036 -0.667
Towering Roots of the Jungle 523 37.81% 31.88 60.99% 0.628 0.8053 0.467
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3064 49.18% 32.17 62.6% 0.157 0.1759 -0.156
Vital Strength of the Earth 9813 28.16% 33.4 67.89% -0.196 0.3157 -0.403
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1655 23.42% 35.32 53.23% 0.071 0.4199 0.294
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 785 40.97% 29.31 60.76% -0.656 0.143 -0.479
Volcano Looming High 2702 43.15% 31.02 64.88% -0.142 -0.1712 0.477
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1108 26.08% 29.18 59.57% 0.906 0.6553 0.199

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.31%
Elemental Aegis 98.37%
Gift of Flowing Power 70.79%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 75.38%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 46845 12.37 3.74%
II 47275 29.93 52.32%
III 78384 34.92 93.1%
IV 49263 38.86 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1745
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 71132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23976
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 48267
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22300
Lose: Invader deck ran out 950
Lose: Adversary condition 20389
Win: Sacrifice victory 1238
Lose: Scenario condition 3598
Win: Scenario condition 2114
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22381
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3676

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.523 Win Model: -0.089

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.031 Win Model: 0.265
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 97479 42.83% 30.46 64.86%
2 54938 43.4% 30.57 67.83%
3 31620 35.21% 33.82 70.18%
4 31028 28.86% 37.48 70.08%
5 1274 26.64% 32.76 68.37%
6 5428 19.47% 33.99 58.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)