Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 29.03% 28.58 70.97% -0.186 -0.3691 -0.351
Blitz 0 1181 47.15% 32.78 54.28% -0.569 -0.2788 -1.04
Dahan Insurrection 4 1370 37.0% 52.31 54.6% -0.928 -1.1071 -0.23
Despicable Theft 2 46 43.48% 35.09 69.57% -0.398 0.2575 -0.386
Elemental Invocation 1 508 47.02% 28.71 71.46% -0.41 0.4161 -1.309
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8821 13.79% 48.33 72.07% -0.162 -0.6616 0.124
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1058 27.41% 47.11 81.85% -0.335 0.0751 -0.441
Rituals of Terror 3 533 52.36% 40.33 65.85% -0.599 -0.7152 -0.176
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 346 65.61% 37.21 62.14% -0.653 0.122 -0.541
Second Wave 0 4817 39.35% 30.07 78.22% 0.224 0.3402 -0.008
The Great River 3 130 36.15% 33.53 63.85% -1.572 -0.1338 -0.505
Varied Terrains 2 41 56.1% 32.73 60.98% 0.451 0.9433 -0.512
Ward the Shores 2 946 33.76% 35.04 65.12% -1.864 -0.9503 -0.626

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66185 45.26% 32.14 70.3% 0.421 0.6584 -0.303
1 Thematic 3533 47.18% 33.5 62.44% 0.453 1.0459 -0.754
2 Archipelago 71 50.0% 32.8 52.11% -1.53 -0.7056 -1.827
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25674 46.45% 32.9 73.85% 0.048 0.2345 -0.383
2 Coastline 3620 41.28% 33.27 78.09% 0.341 0.4821 -0.026
2 Fragment 763 48.78% 30.85 72.21% 0.919 0.8465 0.196
2 Heart 562 47.76% 37.65 79.18% 0.283 0.1041 0.407
2 Opposite Shores 5371 44.26% 31.26 72.2% 0.021 0.1502 -0.697
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.585 0.6412 0.0
2 Thematic 2309 50.74% 37.01 60.89% -0.391 0.1857 -0.893
2 Top to Top 932 42.56% 35.88 78.11% -0.057 0.1537 0.01
3 Archipelago 39 33.33% 38.72 71.79% -0.109 -0.6404 -1.292
3 Coastline 108 30.69% 32.56 79.63% 0.754 0.3125 0.649
3 Other 1079 43.57% 34.83 83.78% 1.392 0.7633 0.757
3 Round (Default) 19073 37.91% 36.28 77.46% -0.056 -0.095 -0.244
3 Sunrise 76 31.08% 39.37 81.58% 0.187 -0.2908 0.136
3 Thematic 936 39.87% 41.34 71.79% -0.621 -0.913 -0.261
4 Archipelago 45 37.78% 35.27 71.11% 0.142 0.212 -1.346
4 Coastline 81 13.75% 31.73 88.89% -0.682 -0.6886 0.302
4 Leaf 89 47.73% 33.47 78.65% -0.749 -0.8362 -0.613
4 Other 939 37.84% 38.44 85.73% 0.646 -0.0367 0.807
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.2088 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.32 0.1195 -0.437
4 Thematic 4968 23.69% 53.43 77.15% 0.201 0.0617 -0.777
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15770 33.6% 39.06 79.37% -0.655 -0.8683 -0.653
5 Archipelago 16 31.25% 33.31 68.75% -0.454 -1.6473 -0.864
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 100.0% 0.441 0.2941 0.605
5 Other 741 33.65% 41.06 86.64% -0.411 -0.9395 -0.237
5 Thematic 160 31.25% 60.88 87.5% 0.604 0.2633 0.36
6 Archipelago 39 23.68% 48.62 94.87% -0.016 0.0949 -0.669
6 Coastline 4 50.0% 29.0 75.0% -0.583 -1.1791 0.0
6 Other 202 30.35% 37.08 79.21% -0.696 -1.12 -1.126
6 Star 106 24.53% 36.76 83.02% -0.441 0.1487 -1.046
6 Thematic 415 26.09% 43.06 72.05% -1.771 -1.538 -0.883
6 Two Centers (Default) 762 19.39% 46.59 78.87% -1.219 -0.7453 -1.675
7 Archipelago 10 50.0% 68.9 90.0% 0.178 -0.8795 0.046
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 9 33.33% 23.0 66.67% -0.085 -0.8096 0.125

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5226 32.83 54.84% -0.218 0.4472 -0.499
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4764 35.84 59.34% 0.281 0.7449 -0.092
All Things Weaken 2036 32.34 50.74% -0.099 0.7132 -0.62
Attenuated Essence 18 25.61 38.89% -0.92 -0.2751 -0.82
Back Against the Wall 4832 34.82 56.0% -0.165 0.3821 -0.454
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 17 31.65 35.29% -0.677 0.2425 -0.019
Burn Brightest Before the End 22 27.82 59.09% -0.228 0.5642 -1.301
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5043 30.97 53.78% -0.479 0.378 -0.6
Downward Spiral 9413 28.74 60.91% -0.281 0.3979 -0.354
Erosion of Will 5178 31.66 51.27% -0.154 0.6532 -0.75
Intensifying Exploitation 12 28.75 41.67% -0.681 0.2632 -0.494
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 918 38.46 77.23% 0.498 0.2447 0.155
Memory Fades to Dust 9363 28.13 57.91% -0.649 0.1785 -0.441
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2068 33.31 55.66% -0.407 0.2319 -0.564
Promising Farmlands 5327 31.29 53.61% -0.561 0.3348 -0.621
Shattered Fragments of Power 16 22.06 43.75% -0.896 -0.2485 0.0
Slow Dissolution of Will 22 32.68 54.55% -0.107 0.8752 -0.382
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 607 39.56 80.4% 0.947 0.4549 -0.105
The Border of Life and Death 1 0.0 0.0% -0.404 -0.1976 0.0
Thriving Communities 2084 33.51 54.27% -0.33 0.5517 -0.506
Thriving Crops 10 34.1 60.0% -0.239 0.3126 0.117
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 -0.0878 -1.167
Unnatural Proliferation 2223 36.0 57.67% -0.453 0.2135 -0.448
Untended Land Crumbles 2126 32.98 54.09% -0.04 0.6919 -0.561

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 48306 41.02% 34.24 75.53% -0.16 0.7449 -0.094
B 51000 40.72% 34.53 75.44% -0.002 0.7962 -0.183
C 52872 39.76% 34.79 75.78% 0.292 0.9416 -0.035
D 47708 39.77% 34.39 75.95% 0.054 0.9044 -0.097
E 15838 40.23% 37.57 75.53% 0.506 1.2032 0.017
F 22110 40.62% 36.55 75.04% 0.252 1.0226 0.046
G 20702 39.64% 36.73 76.13% 0.509 1.282 0.017
H 20893 40.18% 36.77 75.48% 0.005 0.7253 -0.024
East 10136 34.85% 45.8 70.79% -0.078 0.7037 0.5
Northeast 7576 31.98% 48.12 72.65% -0.067 0.8875 -0.31
Northwest 6857 30.07% 48.51 73.53% -0.123 0.4873 -0.312
Southeast 1660 33.76% 44.21 73.19% -0.18 0.4899 -0.387
Southwest 1578 33.73% 42.15 71.55% 0.435 1.7181 -0.582
West 9627 33.88% 45.81 70.75% -0.204 0.8996 -0.769

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3645 0.0% 20.21 74.1% -0.676 0.525 -0.086
Not Using Events or Tokens 16773 40.33% 26.1 78.27% -0.017 0.2265 -0.163
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6748 11.64% 47.22 88.17% 0.318 -0.2592 -0.994
Start of Game Growth 10258 14.29% 45.23 85.88% 0.295 -0.164 0.643
Unlimited Undo 19000 34.18% 43.31 84.07% 0.161 -0.0173 1.799
Using Tokens but Not Events 14075 32.3% 29.35 80.56% 0.026 -0.0131 -0.266

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25479 100.0% 38.34 100.0% 0.134 0.022 0.148
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5438 100.0% 34.3 100.0% -0.417 -0.3631 -0.313
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3884 100.0% 36.5 100.0% 0.457 0.3059 -0.144
Downpour Drenches the World 605 100.0% 42.93 100.0% 0.296 0.5418 0.053
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 171 100.0% 32.16 100.0% 0.046 -0.3592 -0.648
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4513 100.0% 36.96 100.0% 0.314 -0.2058 -0.007
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3549 100.0% 36.03 100.0% -0.501 -0.9434 -0.21
Finder of Paths Unseen 317 100.0% 41.3 100.0% -0.127 0.4966 0.498
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2809 100.0% 54.61 100.0% -0.184 0.3877 0.521
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 680 100.0% 37.1 100.0% 0.264 0.1184 0.251
Heart of the Wildfire 7330 100.0% 31.93 100.0% -0.095 0.1085 -0.074
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12797 100.0% 39.54 100.0% 0.006 -0.5374 0.128
Lightning's Swift Strike 9834 112.56% 37.66 103.82% 0.063 0.3319 0.462
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 349 27.38% 41.34 80.52% 0.548 -0.2188 0.399
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 479 36.82% 39.49 82.25% 0.199 -0.1701 0.512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1070 36.08% 46.08 79.16% 0.416 0.166 0.502
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3250 100.0% 41.31 100.0% 0.177 -0.008 -0.161
Many Minds Move as One 1635 100.0% 37.97 100.0% -0.045 -0.3959 -0.161
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14237 100.0% 41.05 100.0% -0.009 -0.0824 0.49
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3763 100.0% 36.69 100.0% -0.251 -0.3645 -0.114
River Surges in Sunlight 9568 108.32% 38.96 103.04% 0.579 0.5168 0.121
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1029 31.28% 42.78 76.48% -0.157 0.0131 -0.311
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 184 48.91% 46.64 73.37% 0.621 0.3888 0.128
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3816 110.49% 33.21 104.22% -0.28 0.1299 -0.74
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 49 47.92% 34.29 67.35% -0.606 -0.592 0.581
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 28 34.62% 31.21 71.43% -0.667 -0.647 -0.021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 323 46.11% 36.23 78.02% 0.992 0.9184 -0.239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 312 40.0% 38.15 78.85% 0.076 0.2005 0.127
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6452 100.42% 37.97 100.15% 0.5 0.3171 0.103
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 39 30.77% 36.28 74.36% 0.625 0.5431 0.128
Shifting Memory of Ages 3473 100.0% 44.03 100.0% -0.219 0.0485 0.121
Shroud of Silent Mist 1002 100.0% 33.33 100.0% -0.313 0.0007 -0.567
Starlight Seeks its Form 1506 100.0% 43.62 100.0% -0.194 -0.3741 0.153
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3218 100.0% 36.48 100.0% -0.028 -0.5511 -0.439
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2918 100.0% 38.11 100.0% 0.055 0.1341 0.473
Thunderspeaker 8336 100.14% 37.99 100.07% 0.004 -0.0577 -0.286
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 19 33.33% 27.68 68.42% -0.341 -0.243 0.556
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1976 100.0% 34.44 100.0% -0.434 -0.4464 -0.579
Vital Strength of the Earth 7600 106.26% 38.01 103.13% -0.536 0.0576 0.026
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 337 30.15% 48.87 66.47% 0.082 0.3816 -0.59
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 452 46.22% 35.42 72.35% -0.986 -0.0173 -0.494
Volcano Looming High 1434 100.0% 36.09 100.0% 0.292 0.2948 -0.197

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.03%
Elemental Aegis 98.28%
Gift of Flowing Power 68.84%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.4%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22136 21.84 6.0%
II 34992 31.08 53.68%
III 59334 34.71 93.18%
IV 38303 37.98 99.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1322
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 53750
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18151
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 37457
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 680
Lose: Invader deck ran out 777
Lose: Adversary condition 15863
Win: Sacrifice victory 1019
Lose: Scenario condition 3054
Win: Scenario condition 1784
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17844
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3064

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.264 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.181 Win Model: 0.355
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70786 45.38% 32.43 70.19%
2 38962 45.95% 32.82 73.17%
3 21145 38.12% 36.54 77.39%
4 21987 31.21% 42.33 79.31%
5 378 25.0% 33.8 80.16%
6 1507 23.27% 43.96 78.43%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-16 03:06:06 (Pacific Time)