Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 45 24.44% 30.96 68.89% 0.194 -0.0099 0.241
Blitz 0 1216 46.16% 32.44 54.03% -0.81 -0.6575 -0.855
Dahan Insurrection 4 1397 36.42% 51.78 54.33% -0.695 -0.9347 -0.182
Despicable Theft 2 51 39.22% 33.69 66.67% -0.665 0.1111 -0.496
Elemental Invocation 1 530 46.96% 28.15 69.62% -0.8 -0.0171 -1.36
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9181 13.67% 48.0 71.3% 0.039 -0.5758 0.171
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1079 27.34% 47.0 81.84% -0.22 0.2932 -0.477
Rituals of Terror 3 551 51.92% 40.13 66.61% 0.28 0.3485 -0.145
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 351 65.24% 36.99 61.82% -0.447 0.5532 -0.561
Second Wave 0 4926 39.13% 29.96 77.95% 0.265 0.3308 -0.009
The Great River 3 134 36.57% 33.25 62.69% -1.75 -0.3961 -0.473
Varied Terrains 2 54 50.0% 28.09 55.56% -0.167 0.3789 -1.016
Ward the Shores 2 965 33.61% 34.89 64.56% -1.436 -0.286 -0.637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 67550 45.11% 32.0 69.96% 0.506 0.7301 -0.182
1 Thematic 3684 46.07% 33.99 62.49% 0.806 1.428 -0.654
2 Archipelago 72 49.3% 32.75 52.78% -0.472 -0.0584 -1.759
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26258 46.2% 32.71 73.46% 0.099 0.2475 -0.334
2 Coastline 3762 40.82% 33.09 77.33% 0.452 0.4851 0.068
2 Fragment 780 48.34% 30.4 71.41% 0.684 0.6037 0.209
2 Heart 576 48.16% 37.52 78.82% 0.385 0.0315 0.524
2 Opposite Shores 5554 44.0% 31.01 71.61% 0.027 0.1322 -0.605
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.417 0.7761 0.0
2 Thematic 2349 50.21% 36.79 60.58% -0.411 0.269 -0.83
2 Top to Top 957 42.18% 35.72 78.06% 0.595 0.5818 0.075
3 Archipelago 43 32.56% 37.77 72.09% 0.098 -1.3133 -1.327
3 Coastline 109 31.37% 32.96 79.82% 0.932 0.448 0.751
3 Other 1099 43.23% 34.48 82.8% 0.563 0.7381 0.804
3 Round (Default) 19628 37.82% 36.04 76.71% -0.252 -0.3799 -0.283
3 Sunrise 77 30.67% 38.86 80.52% -0.333 -0.192 0.15
3 Thematic 962 40.25% 40.9 70.79% -0.829 -0.7979 -0.196
4 Archipelago 46 36.96% 36.67 71.74% 0.941 0.366 -1.159
4 Coastline 82 13.58% 31.34 87.8% -0.867 -0.5573 0.375
4 Leaf 95 48.94% 33.8 78.95% 0.272 -0.3545 -0.658
4 Other 948 38.01% 38.29 85.23% 0.947 -0.1164 0.844
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.4584 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.222 -0.6187 -0.394
4 Thematic 5031 23.6% 53.34 77.1% 0.175 0.0974 -0.796
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16054 33.64% 38.89 78.98% -0.551 -0.7976 -0.713
5 Archipelago 18 33.33% 39.78 72.22% 0.152 -0.8955 -0.852
5 Coastline 15 0.0% 25.8 86.67% 0.18 0.0701 0.549
5 Other 787 34.36% 39.93 85.01% -0.745 -1.3664 -0.262
5 Thematic 160 31.25% 60.88 87.5% 0.73 0.6085 0.337
6 Archipelago 47 21.74% 47.53 89.36% -1.039 -0.858 -1.186
6 Coastline 5 60.0% 28.2 80.0% -0.309 -1.1576 0.0
6 Other 218 31.8% 36.33 77.98% -1.075 -1.5458 -1.184
6 Star 132 25.0% 33.64 80.3% -1.174 -1.1319 -1.166
6 Thematic 502 22.75% 38.82 64.94% -1.807 -1.458 -1.443
6 Two Centers (Default) 972 18.6% 43.64 72.84% -1.286 -1.394 -2.008
7 Archipelago 11 45.45% 62.64 81.82% -0.068 -0.438 0.042
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 11 27.27% 18.82 54.55% -0.254 -1.1936 -0.218

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5296 32.77 54.8% 0.21 0.4216 -0.431
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4836 35.8 59.33% 0.568 0.5362 -0.022
All Things Weaken 2089 32.29 50.74% 0.2 0.6125 -0.556
Attenuated Essence 63 27.46 34.92% -0.474 -0.3212 -0.931
Back Against the Wall 4899 34.78 56.01% 0.258 0.3658 -0.385
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 50 29.96 44.0% -0.149 0.1888 0.081
Burn Brightest Before the End 53 35.3 56.6% 0.301 0.5379 -0.629
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5108 30.92 53.66% -0.143 0.3279 -0.537
Downward Spiral 9555 28.67 60.76% -0.062 0.2242 -0.312
Erosion of Will 5260 31.6 51.16% -0.044 0.304 -0.704
Intensifying Exploitation 62 24.42 32.26% -0.761 -0.4152 -1.193
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 938 38.3 77.08% 0.658 0.1304 0.195
Memory Fades to Dust 9486 28.05 57.84% -0.102 0.3148 -0.391
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2127 33.3 55.99% 0.305 0.5641 -0.483
Promising Farmlands 5402 31.24 53.54% -0.191 0.328 -0.576
Shattered Fragments of Power 60 33.42 63.33% 0.415 0.5247 -0.068
Slow Dissolution of Will 59 31.14 50.85% 0.032 0.5055 -0.675
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 619 39.19 79.97% 0.504 -0.113 -0.082
The Border of Life and Death 17 30.29 58.82% 0.408 0.1053 -0.499
Thriving Communities 2137 33.43 54.09% -0.009 0.3917 -0.462
Thriving Crops 26 33.04 53.85% 0.137 0.1088 -0.562
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 -0.1615 -1.103
Unnatural Proliferation 2289 36.0 57.71% 0.414 0.6502 -0.381
Untended Land Crumbles 2175 32.93 53.98% 0.451 0.7524 -0.509

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49495 40.82% 34.05 74.97% -0.104 0.7459 -0.106
B 52241 40.55% 34.3 74.83% -0.085 0.728 -0.192
C 54154 39.54% 34.61 75.28% 0.166 0.8504 -0.039
D 48774 39.58% 34.22 75.49% 0.069 0.8937 -0.098
E 16645 39.94% 37.17 74.61% 0.282 0.9299 0.011
F 22988 40.32% 36.22 74.28% 0.227 0.9738 0.023
G 21449 39.48% 36.43 75.39% 0.12 0.8872 -0.018
H 21691 39.89% 36.47 74.69% 0.05 0.7306 -0.04
East 10419 34.37% 45.41 70.19% -0.251 0.3936 0.432
Northeast 7779 31.57% 47.62 71.94% -0.077 0.7411 -0.312
Northwest 7046 29.56% 48.05 72.91% 0.234 0.9657 -0.441
Southeast 1791 32.29% 42.99 71.02% 0.43 1.1601 -0.174
Southwest 1712 32.26% 40.94 69.28% 0.049 1.1429 -0.559
West 9905 33.4% 45.48 70.23% -0.118 0.8349 -0.743

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3716 0.0% 20.05 73.55% -0.585 0.2486 0.058
Not Using Events or Tokens 17194 39.98% 25.92 77.7% -0.108 0.2221 -0.171
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7038 11.38% 47.18 86.94% 0.407 -0.1785 -1.074
Start of Game Growth 10636 14.05% 45.18 84.82% 0.492 0.2216 0.406
Unlimited Undo 19538 33.73% 43.1 83.24% 0.146 0.1394 1.709
Using Tokens but Not Events 14467 31.8% 29.36 80.03% 0.007 -0.0625 -0.293

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26207 100.0% 38.11 100.0% 0.318 0.1704 0.159
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5543 100.0% 34.05 100.0% -0.47 -0.3618 -0.301
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3990 100.0% 36.3 100.0% 0.536 0.3665 -0.109
Downpour Drenches the World 776 100.0% 39.13 100.0% -0.014 0.1802 0.131
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 333 100.0% 31.77 100.0% 0.496 -0.2852 -0.262
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4610 100.0% 36.83 100.0% 0.526 -0.062 0.07
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3637 100.0% 35.68 100.0% -0.298 -0.7801 -0.145
Finder of Paths Unseen 383 100.0% 38.51 100.0% -0.447 0.2371 0.509
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3019 100.0% 53.4 100.0% -0.088 0.5625 0.532
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 738 100.0% 36.19 100.0% -0.033 -0.1206 0.278
Heart of the Wildfire 7498 100.0% 31.78 100.0% -0.208 0.0466 -0.023
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13141 100.0% 39.29 100.0% 0.012 -0.4117 0.123
Lightning's Swift Strike 9969 113.48% 37.49 104.63% 0.176 0.4081 0.492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 444 30.84% 38.96 72.52% 0.327 -0.34 0.061
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 500 36.27% 38.58 80.8% -0.362 -0.5777 0.605
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1124 35.59% 45.51 78.29% 0.259 0.1328 0.595
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3426 100.0% 40.77 100.0% 0.104 -0.0276 -0.171
Many Minds Move as One 1704 100.0% 37.62 100.0% 0.101 -0.0984 -0.099
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14518 100.0% 40.82 100.0% 0.126 0.1169 0.531
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3859 100.0% 36.39 100.0% -0.203 -0.3513 -0.077
River Surges in Sunlight 9674 109.11% 38.83 103.7% 0.129 0.1649 0.18
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1100 30.8% 41.15 73.45% -0.7 -0.4361 -0.194
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 237 47.26% 43.45 72.15% 0.613 0.4999 0.179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3881 111.09% 32.96 104.61% -0.135 0.3305 -1.006
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 41.27% 32.3 65.63% 0.102 0.0762 0.658
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 32.26% 30.52 66.67% -0.349 -0.4037 0.116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 333 45.62% 36.01 77.48% 0.737 0.6864 -0.213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 323 39.88% 37.48 78.02% 0.419 0.4711 0.031
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6556 101.27% 37.71 100.67% -0.111 -0.2319 0.11
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 116 28.45% 35.0 62.07% 0.371 -0.0537 -0.803
Shifting Memory of Ages 3827 100.0% 42.58 100.0% -0.027 0.3602 0.18
Shroud of Silent Mist 1077 100.0% 32.58 100.0% 0.172 0.4843 -0.521
Starlight Seeks its Form 1794 100.0% 41.69 100.0% 0.047 -0.2128 0.12
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3336 100.0% 36.19 100.0% 0.243 -0.2524 -0.409
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2978 100.0% 37.86 100.0% -0.022 0.0289 0.509
Thunderspeaker 8464 100.35% 37.83 100.21% -0.179 -0.1964 -0.23
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 47 34.78% 25.0 61.7% -0.051 -0.1558 0.631
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2044 100.0% 34.39 100.0% -0.186 -0.1384 -0.516
Vital Strength of the Earth 7697 107.31% 37.74 103.96% -0.432 0.1142 0.077
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 432 28.6% 43.71 61.57% -0.015 0.2612 -0.74
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 474 45.76% 34.39 70.68% -1.047 -0.163 -0.665
Volcano Looming High 1529 100.0% 35.31 100.0% -0.107 -0.0892 -0.183

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.05%
Elemental Aegis 98.3%
Gift of Flowing Power 68.97%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.51%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23501 20.82 5.77%
II 35707 31.03 53.55%
III 60482 34.74 93.18%
IV 38979 38.03 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1350
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54798
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18485
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 38131
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1827
Lose: Invader deck ran out 789
Lose: Adversary condition 16123
Win: Sacrifice victory 1031
Lose: Scenario condition 3108
Win: Scenario condition 1802
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18130
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3095

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.934 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.037 Win Model: 0.311
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 72365 45.18% 32.32 69.87%
2 39920 45.65% 32.61 72.72%
3 21754 38.05% 36.29 76.62%
4 22349 31.24% 42.17 79.0%
5 445 25.96% 31.48 75.06%
6 1836 21.98% 41.33 73.2%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-03 04:12:43 (Pacific Time)