Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 34 29.41% 27.5 70.59% -0.091 -0.2081 -0.343
Blitz 0 1191 46.91% 32.68 54.32% -0.579 -0.3777 -0.964
Dahan Insurrection 4 1378 36.78% 52.07 54.43% -1.316 -1.5639 -0.18
Despicable Theft 2 46 43.48% 35.09 69.57% -0.296 0.4111 -0.411
Elemental Invocation 1 510 47.04% 28.64 71.18% -0.655 0.1261 -1.343
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8926 13.75% 48.24 71.9% -0.018 -0.7514 0.316
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1068 27.53% 47.0 81.84% -0.118 0.4076 -0.453
Rituals of Terror 3 544 52.04% 40.13 66.36% -0.038 -0.0779 -0.226
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 347 65.42% 37.29 62.25% -0.562 0.4949 -0.641
Second Wave 0 4853 39.29% 30.05 78.14% 0.183 0.2964 0.018
The Great River 3 131 35.88% 33.27 63.36% -1.664 -0.2633 -0.535
Varied Terrains 2 45 53.33% 31.29 60.0% -0.097 0.5234 -0.86
Ward the Shores 2 952 33.65% 34.96 64.92% -1.957 -0.8389 -0.566

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66663 45.2% 32.09 70.18% 0.408 0.6539 -0.22
1 Thematic 3575 46.99% 33.51 62.41% 0.517 1.1588 -0.713
2 Archipelago 71 50.0% 32.8 52.11% -0.751 -0.1735 -1.726
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25849 46.38% 32.85 73.75% 0.086 0.2819 -0.357
2 Coastline 3654 41.21% 33.26 78.08% 0.558 0.6363 0.038
2 Fragment 773 48.66% 30.55 71.67% 0.73 0.6907 0.16
2 Heart 565 48.04% 37.58 78.94% 0.54 0.2707 0.419
2 Opposite Shores 5437 44.24% 31.17 71.99% 0.008 0.1935 -0.666
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.533 0.5981 0.0
2 Thematic 2325 50.43% 36.92 60.82% -0.196 0.3674 -0.918
2 Top to Top 938 42.5% 35.81 77.93% -0.026 0.0876 0.05
3 Archipelago 39 33.33% 38.72 71.79% -0.041 -0.74 -1.29
3 Coastline 108 30.69% 32.56 79.63% 0.489 0.0659 0.612
3 Other 1080 43.63% 34.81 83.8% 1.373 0.9057 0.743
3 Round (Default) 19254 37.89% 36.2 77.24% -0.083 -0.0817 -0.207
3 Sunrise 77 30.67% 38.86 80.52% -0.339 -0.1175 0.278
3 Thematic 948 40.32% 41.21 71.41% -0.65 -0.9868 -0.213
4 Archipelago 45 37.78% 35.27 71.11% 0.086 0.3204 -1.448
4 Coastline 81 13.75% 31.73 88.89% -0.522 -0.3924 0.199
4 Leaf 90 48.31% 33.24 77.78% -1.25 -1.4421 -0.72
4 Other 939 37.84% 38.44 85.73% 1.104 0.4739 0.826
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.3013 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.28 0.1165 -0.383
4 Thematic 4988 23.64% 53.39 77.15% 0.073 -0.0973 -0.785
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15860 33.58% 39.0 79.26% -0.608 -0.802 -0.665
5 Archipelago 16 31.25% 33.31 68.75% -0.326 -1.3925 -0.944
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 100.0% 0.395 0.1496 0.489
5 Other 757 33.87% 40.69 86.0% -0.554 -0.9281 -0.215
5 Thematic 160 31.25% 60.88 87.5% 0.773 0.4688 0.34
6 Archipelago 42 21.95% 51.12 95.24% 0.076 0.0987 -0.68
6 Coastline 4 50.0% 29.0 75.0% -0.573 -1.1465 0.0
6 Other 205 30.39% 36.83 79.02% -0.748 -1.2502 -1.135
6 Star 111 24.32% 36.26 82.88% -0.761 -0.214 -1.041
6 Thematic 433 25.23% 41.82 70.21% -1.861 -1.485 -1.089
6 Two Centers (Default) 820 18.75% 45.41 76.59% -1.529 -1.1743 -1.822
7 Archipelago 11 45.45% 62.64 81.82% -0.305 -1.0607 -0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 9 33.33% 23.0 66.67% 0.056 -0.7781 0.182

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 48662 40.94% 34.18 75.35% -0.14 0.7464 -0.133
B 51352 40.65% 34.46 75.28% 0.116 0.8924 -0.212
C 53284 39.7% 34.73 75.64% 0.297 0.9258 -0.057
D 48058 39.7% 34.33 75.81% 0.072 0.9023 -0.106
E 16080 40.18% 37.45 75.26% 0.36 1.0036 0.001
F 22376 40.53% 36.43 74.79% 0.194 0.9315 0.009
G 20926 39.59% 36.61 75.87% 0.345 1.1115 0.0
H 21137 40.07% 36.67 75.28% 0.046 0.7317 -0.035
East 10212 34.74% 45.66 70.62% -0.364 0.3521 0.502
Northeast 7623 31.89% 47.97 72.48% -0.205 0.6895 -0.318
Northwest 6905 29.95% 48.37 73.41% -0.124 0.5004 -0.326
Southeast 1696 33.39% 43.81 72.64% 0.103 0.7855 -0.356
Southwest 1623 33.48% 41.75 70.86% 0.188 1.4717 -0.571
West 9717 33.77% 45.66 70.58% 0.034 1.0568 -0.747

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3674 0.0% 20.13 73.84% -0.646 0.18 0.141
Not Using Events or Tokens 16914 40.18% 26.04 78.1% -0.069 0.2474 -0.092
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6826 11.57% 47.16 87.81% 0.714 0.1592 -1.101
Start of Game Growth 10359 14.2% 45.15 85.53% 0.025 -0.4062 0.669
Unlimited Undo 19176 34.06% 43.18 83.74% 0.134 0.0172 1.796
Using Tokens but Not Events 14193 32.15% 29.32 80.43% 0.049 -0.0306 -0.244

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25716 100.0% 38.26 100.0% 0.118 -0.0821 0.227
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5459 100.0% 34.25 100.0% -0.472 -0.3334 -0.308
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3913 100.0% 36.48 100.0% 0.687 0.4828 -0.112
Downpour Drenches the World 642 100.0% 42.48 100.0% 0.457 0.6086 0.139
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 221 100.0% 32.73 100.0% 0.318 -0.2738 -0.342
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4541 100.0% 36.91 100.0% 0.575 -0.0747 0.037
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3571 100.0% 35.91 100.0% -0.483 -0.9786 -0.189
Finder of Paths Unseen 335 100.0% 40.68 100.0% -0.427 0.2454 0.54
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2880 100.0% 54.25 100.0% -0.034 0.5784 0.642
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 696 100.0% 36.94 100.0% 0.33 0.1928 0.247
Heart of the Wildfire 7359 100.0% 31.9 100.0% -0.028 0.3108 -0.097
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12889 100.0% 39.42 100.0% -0.009 -0.5296 0.165
Lightning's Swift Strike 9863 112.82% 37.63 104.06% 0.147 0.3959 0.507
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 378 28.46% 40.63 77.51% 0.394 -0.321 0.26
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 482 36.8% 39.46 82.16% 0.303 -0.0828 0.578
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1085 36.04% 45.89 78.89% 0.537 0.2619 0.623
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3313 100.0% 41.15 100.0% 0.362 0.1751 -0.167
Many Minds Move as One 1652 100.0% 37.88 100.0% -0.066 -0.4069 -0.11
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14319 100.0% 40.97 100.0% -0.075 -0.0922 0.564
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3792 100.0% 36.62 100.0% -0.153 -0.2558 -0.099
River Surges in Sunlight 9597 108.55% 38.92 103.24% 0.316 0.2848 0.164
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1052 31.36% 42.23 75.57% -0.401 -0.1122 -0.299
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 196 47.45% 45.37 72.45% 0.586 0.4314 0.172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3838 110.72% 33.1 104.38% -0.685 -0.1883 -0.977
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 57 44.64% 31.79 64.91% -0.531 -0.555 0.633
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 32.14% 30.13 66.67% -0.691 -0.5955 -0.027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 325 46.44% 36.26 78.15% 0.975 0.971 -0.28
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 315 39.62% 37.96 78.73% 0.415 0.51 0.147
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6486 100.79% 37.84 100.35% 0.323 0.1555 0.113
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 70 27.14% 31.51 67.14% 0.187 -0.0282 -0.923
Shifting Memory of Ages 3575 100.0% 43.53 100.0% -0.198 0.15 0.169
Shroud of Silent Mist 1022 100.0% 33.04 100.0% -0.376 -0.0245 -0.548
Starlight Seeks its Form 1594 100.0% 42.98 100.0% -0.081 -0.3437 0.164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3252 100.0% 36.39 100.0% -0.027 -0.6092 -0.44
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2936 100.0% 37.99 100.0% -0.029 -0.0012 0.496
Thunderspeaker 8374 100.29% 37.96 100.12% 0.017 -0.048 -0.25
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 32 22.58% 24.78 68.75% -0.052 0.0191 0.824
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2004 100.0% 34.42 100.0% -0.393 -0.2094 -0.636
Vital Strength of the Earth 7633 106.53% 37.9 103.37% -0.567 -0.0211 0.081
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 358 29.21% 47.37 65.36% 0.338 0.5929 -0.609
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 462 46.3% 34.85 71.21% -1.222 -0.3176 -0.663
Volcano Looming High 1460 100.0% 35.84 100.0% -0.024 0.0239 -0.227

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.03%
Elemental Aegis 98.28%
Gift of Flowing Power 68.88%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22553 21.5 5.95%
II 35217 31.06 53.61%
III 59703 34.72 93.18%
IV 38533 38.0 99.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1336
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54085
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18249
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 37686
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1026
Lose: Invader deck ran out 778
Lose: Adversary condition 15946
Win: Sacrifice victory 1024
Lose: Scenario condition 3061
Win: Scenario condition 1788
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17954
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3073

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.1 Win Model: -0.116

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.099 Win Model: 0.345
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 71326 45.32% 32.38 70.08%
2 39254 45.87% 32.75 73.04%
3 21341 38.13% 36.47 77.18%
4 22096 31.19% 42.27 79.23%
5 395 25.7% 33.3 78.99%
6 1594 22.56% 43.07 76.73%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-21 03:39:51 (Pacific Time)