Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 139 33.81% 25.67 63.31% 0.218 0.5881 -0.658
Blitz 0 2431 28.42% 41.54 53.23% -0.231 0.2005 0.656
Dahan Insurrection 4 2102 30.26% 43.26 46.15% -0.333 -0.3587 -0.463
Despicable Theft 2 183 26.23% 23.13 41.53% -0.825 -0.1654 0.548
Elemental Invocation 1 979 44.1% 22.91 54.34% -0.237 0.2103 -0.902
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12774 12.97% 43.7 64.94% -0.496 -1.0953 -0.207
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1637 23.21% 45.47 78.68% -0.083 0.5255 -0.21
Rituals of Terror 3 891 40.9% 32.39 53.98% -0.586 -0.462 -0.835
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 474 59.83% 33.58 56.54% -0.199 0.5394 -0.017
Second Wave 0 6676 37.28% 29.19 75.81% -0.182 -0.0758 0.756
The Great River 3 250 30.8% 24.86 45.6% -0.458 0.7172 -0.301
Varied Terrains 2 249 45.38% 23.37 44.18% -0.217 0.5196 -0.706
Ward the Shores 2 1351 29.8% 29.14 54.33% -0.818 -0.1352 -1.479

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 91529 42.82% 30.05 64.67% -0.001 0.2232 0.674
1 Thematic 4799 41.74% 33.43 59.85% 0.247 0.7973 -0.742
2 Archipelago 119 38.98% 29.92 54.62% 0.824 0.4706 1.377
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 36450 43.99% 30.76 68.12% -0.393 -0.2822 -0.048
2 Coastline 5235 39.51% 31.56 72.61% -0.04 -0.1289 0.644
2 Fragment 1101 47.27% 28.43 68.76% 1.187 0.8483 1.278
2 Heart 789 47.83% 35.26 74.9% 0.727 0.3999 1.503
2 Opposite Shores 8066 40.88% 28.55 66.38% 0.013 0.0497 0.158
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3014 46.1% 33.95 57.2% -0.565 -0.0359 0.651
2 Top to Top 1461 41.41% 32.97 72.76% 0.067 -0.1396 1.233
3 Archipelago 80 41.25% 35.34 68.75% 0.0 0.1006 1.042
3 Coastline 181 32.95% 29.59 71.27% -0.139 -0.6606 1.339
3 Other 1340 41.06% 31.85 77.99% 1.151 0.4086 1.516
3 Round (Default) 29063 34.9% 33.65 70.05% -0.21 -0.3057 -0.856
3 Sunrise 128 29.37% 35.56 76.56% 0.082 -0.6579 0.299
3 Thematic 1272 37.48% 37.95 66.59% 1.214 1.4561 0.132
4 Archipelago 92 41.3% 30.6 65.22% 0.306 0.3868 0.0
4 Coastline 108 14.95% 29.32 80.56% 0.0 0.2598 0.534
4 Leaf 154 43.42% 31.97 68.18% 0.095 -0.4596 0.812
4 Other 1197 36.85% 36.86 82.12% 0.065 -0.4819 0.572
4 Reverse Snake 9 0.0% 38.56 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 13 33.33% 38.62 76.92% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6228 21.66% 49.77 72.94% -0.718 -0.245 -1.115
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23503 30.58% 34.01 68.11% -1.136 -1.3251 -2.076
5 Archipelago 34 38.24% 35.24 67.65% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 38 7.89% 23.03 73.68% 0.0 -0.6104 0.326
5 Other 1442 32.75% 35.73 77.12% -0.237 -0.5637 -0.806
5 Thematic 270 26.3% 50.58 72.96% -0.289 -0.7795 -0.688
6 Archipelago 79 16.67% 39.01 72.15% 0.058 -0.8673 -0.817
6 Coastline 19 21.05% 22.58 63.16% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 688 31.23% 33.24 65.7% -0.005 0.2648 -1.427
6 Star 370 21.62% 28.76 65.14% -0.361 0.4354 -2.665
6 Thematic 1448 17.13% 31.35 49.93% -1.536 -0.955 -1.548
6 Two Centers (Default) 3039 17.5% 36.45 58.51% -1.574 -1.597 -2.989
7 Archipelago 34 32.35% 44.03 41.18% -0.982 -0.5757 -2.395
7 Coastline 2 50.0% 47.5 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.14
7 Other 52 20.0% 22.37 42.31% -0.623 -0.8781 -0.131

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6357 32.17 53.34% 0.151 0.4618 0.263
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5843 35.61 59.06% -0.174 -0.1609 0.488
All Things Weaken 2934 30.98 48.57% -0.305 0.1685 -0.174
Attenuated Essence 713 33.19 53.3% -0.253 -0.1063 -0.257
Back Against the Wall 5834 34.61 55.86% -0.205 -0.076 1.047
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 663 32.25 52.94% 0.149 0.4692 0.339
Burn Brightest Before the End 604 36.32 57.12% 0.573 0.7496 0.778
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6204 30.28 52.58% -0.174 0.2066 0.079
Downward Spiral 12028 27.77 59.41% 0.377 0.5705 1.077
Erosion of Will 6382 31.02 50.47% -0.733 -0.3947 0.07
Intensifying Exploitation 657 28.98 46.42% -0.315 0.0375 -0.21
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1360 37.16 73.82% 0.39 0.0263 0.371
Memory Fades to Dust 12045 27.41 56.52% 0.012 0.3413 0.576
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2977 31.91 53.78% 0.058 0.3243 0.055
Promising Farmlands 6524 30.87 52.73% -0.209 0.2387 0.278
Shattered Fragments of Power 556 32.99 51.08% 0.471 0.4708 0.42
Slow Dissolution of Will 673 28.98 43.68% -0.92 -0.5092 0.314
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 881 36.99 74.91% 1.337 0.7781 -0.334
The Border of Life and Death 221 33.51 58.82% 0.608 0.3627 0.392
Thriving Communities 3049 32.12 52.38% 0.518 0.7959 0.302
Thriving Crops 313 34.64 60.7% 1.406 1.3104 0.464
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3181 35.55 56.96% 0.114 0.3188 0.596
Untended Land Crumbles 3041 32.2 53.11% 0.1 0.399 0.047

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 69476 37.78% 31.42 68.19% 0.128 1.1191 0.375
B 73895 37.28% 31.38 67.43% 0.091 0.9557 0.351
C 75296 36.92% 32.11 68.82% 0.118 0.8699 0.152
D 67852 36.86% 31.63 68.78% 0.132 1.0769 0.319
E 29753 35.96% 33.87 66.16% 0.085 0.8398 0.288
F 37404 36.06% 32.84 65.92% 0.478 1.3526 0.319
G 34302 35.55% 33.08 66.96% 0.42 1.2827 0.306
H 34540 36.12% 33.1 66.17% 0.187 0.9945 0.231
East 14150 30.65% 41.39 64.66% -0.373 0.3722 -0.488
Northeast 10718 27.76% 42.85 65.5% -0.557 0.3359 -0.552
Northwest 9700 26.07% 43.36 66.49% 0.399 1.1419 -0.277
Southeast 3305 26.31% 36.23 59.49% -0.532 0.477 -0.769
Southwest 3168 25.96% 34.81 58.21% -0.449 0.7076 0.02
West 13427 29.67% 41.54 64.91% -0.133 0.8493 -0.365

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5315 0.0% 17.42 64.8% 0.082 0.8018 0.651
Not Using Events or Tokens 25638 37.42% 22.66 68.15% -0.37 0.1048 -0.123
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11274 10.72% 47.01 77.13% 1.097 0.2924 -1.704
Start of Game Growth 15909 12.73% 44.15 76.65% 0.623 0.056 1.654
Unlimited Undo 28686 29.45% 39.81 72.84% -0.036 -0.0085 0.821
Using Tokens but Not Events 20928 28.61% 27.88 73.07% -0.168 -0.1953 0.019

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 35239 29.6% 34.94 72.43% 0.589 0.1713 -0.112
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 2955 26.18% 35.58 52.72% 0.404 -0.2517 0.339
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 44 25.0% 23.89 54.55% 0.137 -0.0208 -0.497
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 299 25.17% 30.08 50.84% -0.19 -1.05 -0.188
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7286 42.73% 30.12 64.15% -0.89 -0.7525 -0.764
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 307 34.53% 28.26 61.89% 0.21 -0.8198 0.489
Dances Up Earthquakes 661 24.24% 36.09 55.52% 0.03 -0.0063 -0.419
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5227 34.49% 33.41 73.37% 0.673 0.319 0.17
Downpour Drenches the World 3001 24.97% 30.16 52.22% -0.136 -0.0121 -0.146
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1999 30.96% 29.44 60.38% -0.438 -1.0089 0.462
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8003 25.63% 29.54 64.73% 0.242 -0.4044 -0.803
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4968 31.3% 32.71 71.92% 0.716 0.2225 -0.029
Finder of Paths Unseen 1535 28.27% 31.89 54.27% -0.563 0.0248 -0.251
Fractured Days Split the Sky 6057 23.38% 44.44 62.8% 0.182 0.6289 0.394
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1716 35.99% 30.6 64.22% 0.872 0.6862 -0.151
Heart of the Wildfire 9643 49.67% 28.79 64.09% -0.482 -0.3389 0.019
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17103 32.27% 37.16 71.44% 0.282 -0.3918 -0.228
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 481 32.49% 26.13 53.85% 0.107 -0.4203 1.031
Lightning's Swift Strike 12382 34.43% 34.52 73.53% -0.717 -0.6845 0.562
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1397 32.83% 34.04 58.98% 0.05 -0.6025 -0.044
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 974 32.16% 33.08 64.99% 0.035 -0.4609 0.632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2566 24.48% 41.0 69.76% 0.581 0.3419 1.224
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5597 31.18% 36.26 69.29% 0.3 -0.1256 0.156
Many Minds Move as One 2614 33.44% 33.7 72.53% -0.537 -1.0463 -0.398
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19699 31.43% 36.93 70.51% 0.016 -0.2536 0.261
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 961 31.02% 29.55 54.11% -0.222 -0.3361 -0.014
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5317 35.47% 33.16 71.64% -0.213 -0.5073 0.275
River Surges in Sunlight 12677 30.87% 36.01 71.82% 0.186 0.0149 -0.279
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 332 20.54% 36.4 50.6% 0.482 0.3713 0.034
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1847 30.69% 35.42 65.4% 0.489 0.4232 0.044
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 973 35.77% 31.27 54.98% -0.46 -0.5904 -0.062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5038 41.63% 29.56 66.97% 0.445 0.8729 -0.554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 191 42.54% 25.72 59.16% -0.456 -0.4518 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 349 36.1% 30.64 65.33% -1.291 -2.0442 -0.358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 194 29.69% 25.51 58.25% 0.234 -0.085 -0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 493 42.16% 32.22 72.41% 0.041 -0.1381 -0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 437 38.85% 32.38 69.57% -0.208 -0.2507 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8034 33.56% 34.31 69.01% -0.033 -0.3988 0.008
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 25.0% 30.25 70.0% -0.836 -1.377 0.185
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 782 25.23% 33.49 59.85% 0.341 0.097 -0.349
Shifting Memory of Ages 7279 34.27% 37.38 62.63% 0.279 0.5731 -0.073
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 2300 27.38% 39.22 55.52% -0.012 -0.1754 0.529
Shroud of Silent Mist 1879 34.82% 27.53 63.92% -0.941 -0.7592 -0.333
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 31 41.94% 31.1 74.19% 0.284 -0.1262 0.119
Starlight Seeks its Form 4805 27.35% 37.12 63.81% -0.067 -0.3095 -0.122
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4860 40.27% 32.99 67.3% 0.407 -0.545 -0.267
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4210 31.73% 35.38 73.16% 0.588 0.6302 0.566
Thunderspeaker 11179 31.76% 35.2 71.81% 0.113 -0.082 0.332
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 302 26.25% 22.21 51.66% 0.283 0.115 -0.394
Towering Roots of the Jungle 536 37.08% 31.74 60.82% -0.302 -0.4133 0.349
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3088 49.09% 32.15 62.5% -0.365 -0.5157 -0.18
Vital Strength of the Earth 9886 28.19% 33.31 67.71% -0.279 0.08 -0.263
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1694 23.37% 35.42 52.95% -0.043 0.2005 0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 791 41.04% 29.26 60.81% -0.137 0.5446 -0.439
Volcano Looming High 2715 43.13% 31.01 64.9% 0.353 0.0284 0.358
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1123 26.09% 29.04 59.39% 0.173 -0.3444 0.283

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.33%
Elemental Aegis 98.36%
Gift of Flowing Power 70.83%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 75.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 47551 12.25 3.71%
II 47647 29.91 52.25%
III 78930 34.94 93.1%
IV 49556 38.9 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1756
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 71630
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24135
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 48554
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22951
Lose: Invader deck ran out 952
Lose: Adversary condition 20503
Win: Sacrifice victory 1247
Lose: Scenario condition 3622
Win: Scenario condition 2123
Lose: Unique spirit condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22517
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3691

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.145 Win Model: -0.116

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.262 Win Model: 0.297
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 98226 42.77% 30.43 64.75%
2 55385 43.4% 30.53 67.68%
3 31883 35.12% 33.79 70.12%
4 31367 28.8% 37.33 69.78%
5 1291 26.52% 32.75 67.78%
6 5532 19.56% 34.04 58.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)