Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 115 33.04% 26.1 64.35% -0.366 -0.3933 -0.791
Blitz 0 1929 34.03% 37.54 52.36% 0.335 0.5851 -0.411
Dahan Insurrection 4 1959 30.43% 44.02 46.86% -0.688 -0.9363 -0.052
Despicable Theft 2 157 25.48% 21.49 38.85% -1.388 -0.9263 -1.192
Elemental Invocation 1 888 44.8% 23.34 55.18% -0.296 0.4069 -1.425
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11684 13.24% 45.38 67.56% -0.034 -0.5863 0.411
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1542 23.48% 45.7 79.05% 0.199 0.8229 -0.395
Rituals of Terror 3 787 41.74% 34.02 58.32% -0.564 -0.3713 -0.33
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 441 61.36% 34.0 57.37% -0.7 0.2221 -0.42
Second Wave 0 6310 37.42% 29.36 76.09% 0.232 0.3494 0.531
The Great River 3 229 31.88% 25.97 48.03% -0.376 0.6919 -1.41
Varied Terrains 2 202 43.56% 22.2 45.54% -0.773 -0.0319 -0.695
Ward the Shores 2 1266 29.83% 29.6 55.29% -1.723 -0.6397 -0.861

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 86246 43.36% 30.41 65.78% 0.176 0.7023 0.121
1 Thematic 4577 42.24% 33.78 60.35% 0.326 1.1804 -0.11
2 Archipelago 109 40.74% 29.05 53.21% -0.008 1.0474 -1.631
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 33847 44.42% 31.16 69.45% -0.168 0.1094 -0.385
2 Coastline 4950 39.98% 31.92 73.6% 0.516 0.6184 0.127
2 Fragment 1032 47.44% 28.82 69.28% 0.875 0.8877 0.522
2 Heart 743 47.15% 35.8 75.5% -0.195 -0.0834 0.65
2 Opposite Shores 7512 41.37% 28.89 67.36% -0.026 0.3107 -0.675
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 2882 46.86% 34.4 57.53% -0.594 0.0954 -0.718
2 Top to Top 1348 41.29% 33.6 73.81% 0.338 0.58 -0.024
3 Archipelago 77 40.26% 33.91 67.53% 0.539 -0.1817 -1.206
3 Coastline 168 32.5% 29.52 72.02% 1.368 1.0274 0.333
3 Other 1275 40.94% 32.51 79.76% 1.542 0.9401 0.753
3 Round (Default) 26681 35.72% 33.89 71.07% -0.642 -0.6361 -0.888
3 Sunrise 120 27.97% 35.35 77.5% -0.359 -0.4201 0.334
3 Thematic 1212 37.62% 38.32 66.83% 0.053 0.1379 -0.478
4 Archipelago 88 43.18% 30.34 64.77% -0.262 -0.1113 -1.66
4 Coastline 103 14.71% 29.86 81.55% -0.434 -1.1923 -0.242
4 Leaf 141 45.0% 31.3 67.38% -1.582 -1.4451 -1.753
4 Other 1086 37.77% 36.85 82.69% 0.052 -0.567 0.523
4 Reverse Snake 8 0.0% 36.13 100.0% 0.276 -0.0502 0.0
4 Snake 13 33.33% 38.62 76.92% -0.433 -0.8234 -0.515
4 Thematic 5924 21.76% 50.66 74.24% -0.038 0.2295 -1.278
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21664 30.85% 34.62 69.79% -0.554 -0.3899 -1.753
5 Archipelago 31 41.94% 38.65 74.19% 0.0 -0.8784 -1.498
5 Coastline 38 7.89% 23.03 73.68% 0.0 0.0963 -0.242
5 Other 1319 33.54% 35.92 77.41% -0.61 -0.9964 -1.12
5 Thematic 245 26.94% 53.08 73.47% -0.168 -0.9653 -1.012
6 Archipelago 67 16.67% 40.06 74.63% -0.819 -1.9293 -1.821
6 Coastline 16 25.0% 20.38 56.25% 0.33 -0.5071 -0.614
6 Other 560 29.52% 32.22 65.89% -0.84 -0.8706 -2.007
6 Star 291 23.02% 28.53 69.76% -1.17 -1.1868 -2.415
6 Thematic 1218 17.99% 29.6 48.93% -1.294 -1.1915 -2.928
6 Two Centers (Default) 2449 17.2% 38.07 61.74% -1.522 -0.9571 -3.387
7 Archipelago 19 31.58% 42.21 57.89% 0.0 -0.0747 0.529
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 41 22.5% 21.78 43.9% 0.341 -0.0936 -1.506

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6106 32.24 53.36% -0.114 0.1356 -0.12
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5614 35.7 59.33% 0.653 0.5344 0.348
All Things Weaken 2769 31.15 48.83% -0.627 -0.2901 -0.25
Attenuated Essence 561 34.31 55.97% 0.444 0.4711 0.263
Back Against the Wall 5614 34.6 56.0% 0.574 0.5747 0.003
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 514 32.51 54.09% 0.295 0.5126 0.123
Burn Brightest Before the End 476 35.87 56.51% -0.231 -0.25 0.009
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5952 30.35 52.77% 0.423 0.8166 -0.177
Downward Spiral 11414 27.83 59.57% 0.191 0.2997 0.044
Erosion of Will 6155 31.12 50.8% -0.115 0.2376 -0.324
Intensifying Exploitation 531 29.13 46.33% -0.036 0.2097 -0.375
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1251 37.46 75.14% 0.961 0.4368 0.552
Memory Fades to Dust 11424 27.52 56.92% -0.112 0.1356 -0.032
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2793 32.0 54.24% -0.172 0.0502 -0.204
Promising Farmlands 6272 30.91 52.85% 0.47 0.7531 -0.226
Shattered Fragments of Power 437 32.28 51.03% 0.154 0.2312 0.019
Slow Dissolution of Will 510 28.7 43.53% -0.345 0.052 -0.312
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 830 37.57 76.02% 0.7 0.0045 0.313
The Border of Life and Death 173 32.07 57.23% 0.758 0.1571 0.049
Thriving Communities 2853 32.1 52.23% -0.321 0.0358 -0.123
Thriving Crops 258 34.63 62.02% 0.712 0.5159 0.042
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.4341 -0.661
Unnatural Proliferation 2980 35.54 57.08% 0.674 0.8363 0.051
Untended Land Crumbles 2854 32.37 53.29% 0.223 0.4546 -0.093

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 64500 38.47% 31.83 69.5% -0.139 0.8656 -0.251
B 68641 37.91% 31.81 68.78% -0.138 0.7816 -0.368
C 70095 37.43% 32.55 70.24% -0.026 0.7086 -0.161
D 63079 37.41% 32.05 70.18% -0.054 0.9238 -0.249
E 26468 36.71% 34.38 67.86% 0.085 0.9046 -0.106
F 33938 36.69% 33.22 67.26% -0.032 0.8417 -0.088
G 31210 36.31% 33.5 68.28% 0.085 0.8946 -0.181
H 31361 36.79% 33.48 67.51% -0.082 0.7324 -0.192
East 13297 31.22% 41.97 65.49% -0.596 0.3063 -0.045
Northeast 10037 28.36% 43.45 66.38% -0.07 0.7376 -0.75
Northwest 9067 26.54% 43.94 67.41% -0.208 0.6919 -0.803
Southeast 2941 27.26% 36.33 60.15% -0.613 0.2376 -0.495
Southwest 2822 26.88% 34.68 58.79% 0.418 1.7934 -0.744
West 12614 30.18% 42.1 65.7% -0.645 0.3101 -0.86

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4929 0.0% 17.88 66.34% -0.984 -0.276 0.346
Not Using Events or Tokens 23484 37.84% 23.23 70.14% -0.146 0.2224 -0.296
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10078 11.28% 46.89 79.39% 0.316 -0.269 -0.493
Start of Game Growth 14338 13.27% 44.09 78.57% 0.766 0.2524 0.197
Unlimited Undo 26398 30.51% 40.14 74.56% 0.278 0.1681 1.331
Using Tokens but Not Events 19444 29.05% 27.93 74.18% 0.181 0.1552 -0.445

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 33162 29.92% 35.43 73.51% 0.147 0.0419 0.322
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1536 23.23% 32.88 54.56% 0.563 0.083 -0.046
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6712 44.16% 31.25 66.52% -0.351 -0.2254 -0.217
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 248 32.66% 26.95 60.08% 1.097 0.2503 -0.18
Dances Up Earthquakes 369 22.55% 36.89 55.01% -0.396 -0.3594 0.035
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4928 34.97% 33.95 74.07% -0.055 -0.1917 0.291
Downpour Drenches the World 2486 23.72% 29.97 52.9% -0.142 0.0645 -0.39
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1699 31.13% 29.93 61.62% -0.168 -0.7793 0.438
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7267 26.34% 30.57 67.15% -0.229 -0.604 -1.402
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4692 31.9% 33.13 72.49% 0.477 0.0866 0.169
Finder of Paths Unseen 1288 28.56% 32.62 56.13% -0.649 0.0701 -0.156
Fractured Days Split the Sky 5152 24.2% 46.02 64.85% 0.002 0.6127 0.576
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1551 36.4% 30.59 64.35% 0.043 -0.0567 0.147
Heart of the Wildfire 9177 50.15% 29.3 65.16% -0.624 -0.2872 0.048
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16329 32.57% 37.5 72.25% -0.058 -0.4885 0.17
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 409 32.11% 25.5 53.79% -0.179 -0.4938 -0.705
Lightning's Swift Strike 11771 34.72% 34.87 74.51% -0.009 0.2205 0.524
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1203 31.5% 34.8 61.01% 0.914 0.4699 0.061
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 874 31.84% 32.7 66.82% 0.059 -0.2513 0.511
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2214 26.26% 40.5 70.1% 0.747 0.6048 0.844
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5098 31.78% 36.59 70.2% 0.409 0.1807 0.001
Many Minds Move as One 2388 34.34% 34.59 73.95% -0.341 -0.584 0.059
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18574 31.79% 37.42 71.53% 0.084 0.1934 0.695
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 470 33.98% 25.84 50.64% 0.178 0.2961 -0.393
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4958 35.89% 33.78 72.79% -0.008 -0.0538 0.176
River Surges in Sunlight 11967 31.3% 36.33 72.69% 0.034 0.1644 0.156
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 264 19.77% 35.85 51.52% -0.679 -0.5038 0.054
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1709 30.38% 35.6 65.42% -0.231 0.0669 0.131
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 823 34.87% 30.96 55.16% 0.224 0.1406 -0.448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4722 42.42% 30.23 68.53% -0.597 -0.1028 -1.277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 172 43.37% 26.26 59.88% 0.271 0.2202 0.03
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 289 37.72% 30.76 67.13% 0.332 -0.1781 0.452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 141 29.5% 24.76 57.45% 0.306 0.1784 -0.204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 455 42.16% 33.55 74.73% -0.364 -0.3525 -0.043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 418 38.7% 32.92 70.81% -1.016 -0.8801 0.207
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7676 34.18% 35.04 70.22% -0.209 -0.1608 0.042
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 606 27.45% 32.04 60.07% 0.236 0.0208 -0.332
Shifting Memory of Ages 6511 35.0% 38.44 64.2% 0.252 0.5458 0.225
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1335 24.44% 38.08 56.33% 0.905 0.7867 0.342
Shroud of Silent Mist 1728 35.31% 28.22 65.34% -0.24 0.0879 -0.436
Starlight Seeks its Form 4044 28.22% 37.7 64.89% 0.173 0.0736 0.403
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4566 40.48% 33.37 68.29% 0.122 -0.4081 -0.092
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3878 32.73% 35.21 74.19% 0.066 0.1435 0.56
Thunderspeaker 10554 32.05% 35.71 72.74% -0.115 -0.0789 -0.145
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 251 24.0% 21.59 51.79% -0.285 -0.2261 0.1
Towering Roots of the Jungle 407 37.28% 31.06 59.46% -0.123 0.027 -0.048
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2847 50.49% 32.43 63.15% -0.286 -0.14 -0.109
Vital Strength of the Earth 9209 28.87% 34.31 69.41% 0.142 0.71 0.093
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1355 23.85% 35.56 53.51% 0.241 0.7623 -0.17
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 736 41.53% 29.14 60.33% -0.193 0.5486 -0.774
Volcano Looming High 2495 43.64% 31.69 65.57% -0.007 0.0076 0.1
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 976 25.82% 28.95 59.02% -0.101 -0.3932 0.017

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.25%
Elemental Aegis 98.36%
Gift of Flowing Power 70.42%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 75.03%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 41686 13.33 4.03%
II 44792 30.1 52.4%
III 74554 34.83 93.13%
IV 47267 38.67 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1671
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 67660
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22746
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 46291
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17739
Lose: Invader deck ran out 924
Lose: Adversary condition 19482
Win: Sacrifice victory 1198
Lose: Scenario condition 3466
Win: Scenario condition 2037
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21508
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3577

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.852 Win Model: -0.086

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.338 Win Model: 0.368
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 92589 43.3% 30.8 65.82%
2 51621 43.82% 30.91 68.84%
3 29353 35.88% 34.07 71.16%
4 29117 29.03% 38.04 71.29%
5 1084 28.47% 31.13 69.1%
6 4535 19.25% 34.57 60.13%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)