Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 34 29.41% 27.5 70.59% -0.129 -0.2664 -0.417
Blitz 0 1196 46.71% 32.71 54.35% -0.429 -0.2278 -0.947
Dahan Insurrection 4 1381 36.77% 52.05 54.45% -1.172 -1.3778 -0.221
Despicable Theft 2 46 43.48% 35.09 69.57% -0.235 0.4798 -0.381
Elemental Invocation 1 513 47.15% 28.64 71.35% -0.434 0.2837 -1.311
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8945 13.74% 48.23 71.89% -0.02 -0.6148 0.147
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1068 27.53% 47.0 81.84% -0.176 0.3082 -0.431
Rituals of Terror 3 545 52.13% 40.17 66.42% 0.028 -0.0308 -0.17
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 347 65.42% 37.29 62.25% -0.36 0.5832 -0.539
Second Wave 0 4862 39.25% 30.03 78.1% 0.147 0.2369 0.006
The Great River 3 131 35.88% 33.27 63.36% -1.699 -0.2878 -0.602
Varied Terrains 2 45 53.33% 31.29 60.0% -0.045 0.4712 -0.728
Ward the Shores 2 952 33.65% 34.96 64.92% -1.997 -0.8468 -0.601

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66744 45.18% 32.08 70.16% 0.45 0.7267 -0.244
1 Thematic 3584 46.89% 33.62 62.5% 0.766 1.4167 -0.681
2 Archipelago 71 50.0% 32.8 52.11% -0.692 -0.1608 -1.786
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25892 46.37% 32.83 73.71% 0.075 0.2808 -0.363
2 Coastline 3666 41.18% 33.23 78.04% 0.6 0.6969 0.033
2 Fragment 773 48.66% 30.55 71.67% 0.741 0.6673 0.135
2 Heart 566 47.95% 37.55 78.98% 0.495 0.1597 0.442
2 Opposite Shores 5446 44.2% 31.15 71.94% -0.013 0.1948 -0.662
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.532 0.8327 0.0
2 Thematic 2328 50.41% 36.89 60.74% -0.242 0.3592 -0.856
2 Top to Top 940 42.41% 35.83 77.98% -0.027 0.0931 0.004
3 Archipelago 40 32.5% 38.55 72.5% 0.006 -0.7703 -1.313
3 Coastline 108 30.69% 32.56 79.63% 0.627 0.3146 0.652
3 Other 1080 43.63% 34.81 83.8% 1.311 0.9458 0.755
3 Round (Default) 19294 37.89% 36.19 77.19% -0.119 -0.1328 -0.26
3 Sunrise 77 30.67% 38.86 80.52% -0.32 -0.0824 0.144
3 Thematic 949 40.28% 41.17 71.34% -0.686 -0.8515 -0.205
4 Archipelago 45 37.78% 35.27 71.11% 0.147 0.2524 -1.332
4 Coastline 81 13.75% 31.73 88.89% -0.517 -0.509 0.305
4 Leaf 90 48.31% 33.24 77.78% -1.206 -1.4417 -0.643
4 Other 939 37.84% 38.44 85.73% 1.079 0.2953 0.834
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.2908 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.323 0.0231 -0.423
4 Thematic 4994 23.61% 53.37 77.11% 0.055 -0.076 -0.788
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15880 33.61% 39.01 79.26% -0.548 -0.7617 -0.691
5 Archipelago 16 31.25% 33.31 68.75% -0.348 -1.4415 -0.862
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 100.0% 0.367 0.1644 0.532
5 Other 763 34.13% 40.66 85.98% -0.438 -0.9509 -0.224
5 Thematic 160 31.25% 60.88 87.5% 0.806 0.4715 0.351
6 Archipelago 42 21.95% 51.12 95.24% 0.043 -0.0062 -0.614
6 Coastline 4 50.0% 29.0 75.0% -0.557 -1.3418 0.0
6 Other 207 30.58% 36.62 78.74% -0.887 -1.384 -1.163
6 Star 111 24.32% 36.26 82.88% -0.717 -0.2758 -1.051
6 Thematic 439 25.11% 41.57 69.93% -1.852 -1.5312 -1.099
6 Two Centers (Default) 831 18.62% 45.29 76.29% -1.542 -1.2538 -1.829
7 Archipelago 11 45.45% 62.64 81.82% -0.273 -0.7766 0.057
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 9 33.33% 23.0 66.67% -0.031 -0.9116 0.155

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5255 32.82 54.88% 0.083 0.4701 -0.468
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4798 35.82 59.42% 0.426 0.6611 -0.061
All Things Weaken 2060 32.3 50.73% -0.049 0.5363 -0.592
Attenuated Essence 35 27.66 37.14% -0.698 -0.2651 -1.078
Back Against the Wall 4857 34.82 56.04% 0.1 0.4216 -0.426
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 25 29.6 44.0% -0.429 0.2222 0.011
Burn Brightest Before the End 34 31.06 61.76% 0.062 0.5756 -0.946
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5075 30.93 53.69% -0.418 0.242 -0.574
Downward Spiral 9468 28.7 60.84% -0.139 0.3436 -0.344
Erosion of Will 5213 31.61 51.2% -0.37 0.2423 -0.733
Intensifying Exploitation 33 27.73 45.45% -0.646 -0.0271 -0.604
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 927 38.5 77.24% 0.698 0.32 0.177
Memory Fades to Dust 9409 28.11 57.87% -0.479 0.1396 -0.424
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2089 33.23 55.67% -0.318 0.1012 -0.539
Promising Farmlands 5357 31.27 53.56% -0.435 0.2922 -0.606
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 25.59 45.45% -0.581 -0.2295 -0.131
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 36.6 62.86% 0.195 0.9508 -0.025
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 614 39.41 80.29% 0.74 0.0501 -0.103
The Border of Life and Death 6 10.33 16.67% -0.687 -0.5767 -0.836
Thriving Communities 2104 33.39 54.04% -0.471 0.1728 -0.5
Thriving Crops 12 30.75 58.33% -0.228 0.1551 -0.17
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 -0.1122 -1.141
Unnatural Proliferation 2251 36.07 57.84% 0.129 0.5755 -0.403
Untended Land Crumbles 2148 32.99 54.05% 0.272 0.7975 -0.537

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 48739 40.94% 34.17 75.33% -0.098 0.7781 -0.1
B 51430 40.65% 34.45 75.25% 0.087 0.8694 -0.179
C 53369 39.7% 34.73 75.61% 0.295 0.9348 -0.035
D 48129 39.69% 34.33 75.78% 0.068 0.8985 -0.097
E 16134 40.17% 37.42 75.22% 0.418 1.0671 0.01
F 22436 40.53% 36.42 74.76% 0.234 0.975 0.035
G 20977 39.59% 36.6 75.84% 0.353 1.1162 0.015
H 21187 40.04% 36.65 75.24% 0.07 0.7583 -0.017
East 10233 34.69% 45.65 70.59% -0.276 0.4211 0.465
Northeast 7640 31.84% 47.92 72.41% -0.257 0.6328 -0.316
Northwest 6920 29.9% 48.34 73.37% -0.103 0.5332 -0.307
Southeast 1702 33.33% 43.74 72.56% 0.179 0.8749 -0.35
Southwest 1630 33.39% 41.73 70.8% 0.205 1.4485 -0.558
West 9734 33.72% 45.65 70.56% -0.064 0.9511 -0.791

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3676 0.0% 20.12 73.83% -0.699 0.3073 -0.014
Not Using Events or Tokens 16938 40.16% 26.04 78.07% -0.023 0.2533 -0.162
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6844 11.54% 47.18 87.78% 0.672 0.1494 -1.002
Start of Game Growth 10385 14.18% 45.18 85.49% 0.091 -0.2849 0.521
Unlimited Undo 19206 34.05% 43.19 83.72% 0.151 0.0746 1.75
Using Tokens but Not Events 14224 32.12% 29.34 80.42% 0.109 0.0623 -0.27

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25755 100.0% 38.26 100.0% 0.171 0.0207 0.183
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5465 100.0% 34.23 100.0% -0.454 -0.3456 -0.255
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3930 100.0% 36.4 100.0% 0.476 0.3021 -0.114
Downpour Drenches the World 656 100.0% 42.15 100.0% 0.356 0.5575 0.071
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 233 100.0% 33.52 100.0% 0.39 -0.1893 -0.259
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4547 100.0% 36.91 100.0% 0.623 0.0362 0.041
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3572 100.0% 35.9 100.0% -0.5 -0.9674 -0.159
Finder of Paths Unseen 337 100.0% 40.44 100.0% -0.425 0.2359 0.474
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2889 100.0% 54.24 100.0% -0.078 0.5761 0.567
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 699 100.0% 36.87 100.0% 0.152 0.0167 0.267
Heart of the Wildfire 7372 100.0% 31.89 100.0% -0.042 0.2164 -0.039
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12907 100.0% 39.41 100.0% 0.007 -0.4835 0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike 9871 112.86% 37.63 104.1% 0.165 0.3799 0.507
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 384 28.8% 40.35 76.82% 0.314 -0.4506 0.194
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 483 36.93% 39.43 82.19% 0.379 0.0357 0.567
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1089 36.1% 45.87 78.88% 0.454 0.2726 0.568
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3321 100.0% 41.15 100.0% 0.348 0.158 -0.147
Many Minds Move as One 1656 100.0% 37.89 100.0% 0.073 -0.1885 -0.116
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14334 100.0% 40.96 100.0% -0.084 -0.1039 0.518
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3808 100.0% 36.59 100.0% -0.168 -0.2705 -0.084
River Surges in Sunlight 9600 108.59% 38.91 103.26% 0.278 0.2469 0.167
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1055 31.27% 42.16 75.45% -0.38 -0.1372 -0.285
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 198 47.47% 45.38 72.73% 0.588 0.4132 0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3840 110.84% 33.1 104.45% -0.636 -0.2087 -0.892
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 60 44.07% 32.25 65.0% -0.371 -0.4006 0.571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 30 32.14% 30.13 66.67% -0.577 -0.5212 -0.082
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 327 46.15% 36.13 77.68% 0.775 0.7385 -0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 317 39.68% 37.89 78.86% 0.546 0.5958 0.164
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6493 100.8% 37.81 100.35% 0.212 0.0592 0.089
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 71 26.76% 32.08 67.61% 0.176 -0.0475 -1.071
Shifting Memory of Ages 3603 100.0% 43.41 100.0% -0.196 0.1567 0.163
Shroud of Silent Mist 1033 100.0% 32.96 100.0% -0.269 0.0566 -0.552
Starlight Seeks its Form 1608 100.0% 43.01 100.0% -0.075 -0.2874 0.172
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3259 100.0% 36.37 100.0% -0.001 -0.5175 -0.414
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2937 100.0% 38.0 100.0% -0.012 0.0099 0.508
Thunderspeaker 8387 100.3% 37.95 100.13% -0.005 -0.0397 -0.242
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 33 21.88% 24.61 66.67% -0.229 -0.177 0.832
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2015 100.0% 34.4 100.0% -0.388 -0.3306 -0.568
Vital Strength of the Earth 7642 106.63% 37.89 103.43% -0.553 0.0178 0.065
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 364 29.01% 46.77 64.84% 0.318 0.5748 -0.645
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 466 46.12% 34.79 71.24% -1.017 -0.1123 -0.604
Volcano Looming High 1469 100.0% 35.82 100.0% 0.021 0.0379 -0.163

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.04%
Elemental Aegis 98.28%
Gift of Flowing Power 68.89%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22634 21.43 5.94%
II 35267 31.06 53.61%
III 59779 34.72 93.18%
IV 38581 38.0 99.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1337
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54154
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18274
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 37734
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1095
Lose: Invader deck ran out 779
Lose: Adversary condition 15966
Win: Sacrifice victory 1025
Lose: Scenario condition 3064
Win: Scenario condition 1790
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17967
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3076

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.114 Win Model: -0.111

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.113 Win Model: 0.347
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 71420 45.3% 32.38 70.06%
2 39324 45.85% 32.73 73.01%
3 21381 38.13% 36.45 77.13%
4 22126 31.22% 42.27 79.22%
5 399 25.69% 33.26 78.95%
6 1611 22.44% 42.91 76.41%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-22 03:28:22 (Pacific Time)