Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 28.3% 29.49 66.04% -0.045 -0.301 -0.012
Blitz 0 1230 46.29% 32.27 53.82% -0.875 -0.6779 -0.874
Dahan Insurrection 4 1421 36.09% 51.11 53.55% -0.786 -1.2281 -0.204
Despicable Theft 2 55 40.0% 33.69 63.64% -0.594 0.2178 -0.35
Elemental Invocation 1 534 46.79% 28.08 69.48% -0.779 -0.0762 -1.371
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9344 13.52% 47.99 71.1% 0.115 -0.5299 0.217
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1090 27.25% 47.0 81.83% -0.176 0.4597 -0.453
Rituals of Terror 3 554 51.64% 40.04 66.43% 0.462 0.5636 -0.116
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 352 65.34% 36.95 61.65% -0.396 0.6133 -0.539
Second Wave 0 4979 39.12% 29.88 77.81% 0.102 0.1683 -0.006
The Great River 3 138 35.51% 32.54 60.87% -1.838 -0.6208 -0.803
Varied Terrains 2 64 50.0% 27.22 54.69% -0.54 0.0827 -1.097
Ward the Shores 2 969 33.68% 34.8 64.4% -1.214 -0.1295 -0.593

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 68244 45.02% 31.93 69.8% 0.453 0.5074 -0.093
1 Thematic 3770 45.21% 34.39 62.57% 0.829 1.3066 -0.61
2 Archipelago 75 47.3% 32.57 53.33% 0.322 0.4258 -1.721
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26529 46.15% 32.65 73.26% 0.04 0.1221 -0.299
2 Coastline 3822 40.67% 33.0 76.87% 0.393 0.2392 0.121
2 Fragment 799 47.79% 30.41 71.71% 0.777 0.5276 0.315
2 Heart 588 48.03% 37.32 78.4% 0.551 0.2641 0.477
2 Opposite Shores 5635 44.05% 30.96 71.45% 0.104 0.1271 -0.551
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8237 0.0
2 Thematic 2371 49.96% 36.76 60.48% -0.354 0.0498 -0.795
2 Top to Top 975 42.26% 35.53 77.64% 0.629 0.4627 0.132
3 Archipelago 45 35.56% 36.58 73.33% -0.023 -1.5723 -1.314
3 Coastline 113 30.19% 32.69 79.65% 0.719 0.205 0.656
3 Other 1103 43.25% 34.41 82.68% 0.367 0.9073 0.853
3 Round (Default) 19862 37.75% 35.91 76.35% -0.395 -0.51 -0.304
3 Sunrise 77 30.67% 38.86 80.52% -0.356 -0.0765 0.171
3 Thematic 968 40.42% 40.76 70.56% -0.776 -0.696 -0.144
4 Archipelago 48 37.5% 36.58 72.92% 0.963 0.2884 -1.174
4 Coastline 84 13.25% 31.01 85.71% -0.295 -0.0634 -0.187
4 Leaf 95 48.94% 33.8 78.95% 0.124 -0.2191 -0.673
4 Other 954 38.19% 38.21 85.12% 0.681 -0.4028 0.857
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.152 -0.4987 -0.378
4 Thematic 5069 23.56% 53.25 77.1% 0.439 0.1771 -0.791
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16223 33.54% 38.71 78.65% -0.497 -0.5801 -0.763
5 Archipelago 18 33.33% 39.78 72.22% 0.529 -0.3868 -0.869
5 Coastline 16 0.0% 25.75 87.5% 0.051 -0.6011 0.514
5 Other 805 34.21% 39.84 84.84% -0.797 -1.0822 -0.271
5 Thematic 163 30.67% 60.06 86.5% 0.13 0.0364 0.241
6 Archipelago 51 20.0% 47.92 88.24% -0.884 -0.7332 -1.091
6 Coastline 5 60.0% 28.2 80.0% 0.039 -0.7618 0.0
6 Other 231 31.3% 36.23 77.49% -0.714 -0.9468 -1.167
6 Star 137 24.09% 32.88 79.56% -1.348 -1.3603 -1.182
6 Thematic 528 22.77% 37.91 62.88% -1.933 -1.5125 -1.489
6 Two Centers (Default) 1048 18.39% 42.63 70.99% -1.663 -1.5585 -2.214
7 Archipelago 11 45.45% 62.64 81.82% -0.114 -0.1325 0.012
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 13 30.77% 17.92 53.85% -0.404 -1.0163 -0.171

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5329 32.8 54.87% 0.402 0.6446 -0.388
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4859 35.85 59.39% 0.635 0.5579 0.021
All Things Weaken 2111 32.18 50.45% -0.22 0.173 -0.527
Attenuated Essence 89 30.33 42.7% 0.016 0.1227 -0.612
Back Against the Wall 4916 34.77 55.94% 0.092 0.1492 -0.342
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 31.42 46.48% 0.019 0.2209 -0.149
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 33.79 54.79% 0.084 0.2941 -0.617
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5136 30.93 53.68% -0.124 0.3 -0.502
Downward Spiral 9611 28.64 60.73% -0.047 0.1881 -0.274
Erosion of Will 5286 31.55 51.1% -0.127 0.1826 -0.668
Intensifying Exploitation 77 24.48 36.36% -0.534 -0.2466 -1.242
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 949 38.22 76.92% 0.679 0.1851 0.232
Memory Fades to Dust 9555 28.04 57.92% 0.194 0.5303 -0.349
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2163 33.34 56.31% 0.884 1.1044 -0.434
Promising Farmlands 5433 31.21 53.47% -0.179 0.2742 -0.546
Shattered Fragments of Power 75 34.69 62.67% 0.62 0.6708 0.077
Slow Dissolution of Will 82 32.35 53.66% 0.204 0.6034 -0.47
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 629 39.05 79.65% 0.243 -0.4673 -0.06
The Border of Life and Death 21 29.24 61.9% 0.439 0.1034 -0.412
Thriving Communities 2171 33.38 54.17% 0.123 0.486 -0.405
Thriving Crops 37 35.16 59.46% 0.662 0.4642 -0.364
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.0 -1.063
Unnatural Proliferation 2319 35.97 57.74% 0.523 0.7385 -0.344
Untended Land Crumbles 2209 32.89 53.83% 0.275 0.5565 -0.468

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 50030 40.76% 33.95 74.72% -0.117 0.6232 -0.126
B 52831 40.43% 34.19 74.54% -0.158 0.5674 -0.206
C 54778 39.43% 34.51 75.02% 0.056 0.6381 -0.047
D 49278 39.51% 34.13 75.25% -0.103 0.6082 -0.106
E 17007 39.75% 36.99 74.23% 0.104 0.6697 -0.006
F 23419 40.12% 35.97 73.76% -0.013 0.6575 0.009
G 21786 39.31% 36.3 75.1% -0.006 0.6461 -0.014
H 22049 39.71% 36.32 74.32% 0.016 0.5868 -0.031
East 10554 34.13% 45.35 70.05% -0.339 0.1997 0.392
Northeast 7878 31.39% 47.44 71.68% -0.379 0.2558 -0.294
Northwest 7126 29.46% 47.86 72.65% -0.026 0.7832 -0.501
Southeast 1841 31.79% 42.78 70.34% 0.259 0.9652 -0.146
Southwest 1760 32.12% 40.65 68.52% -0.235 0.7547 -0.542
West 10036 33.23% 45.36 70.02% -0.266 0.638 -0.769

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3765 0.0% 19.97 73.12% -0.922 -0.1456 0.18
Not Using Events or Tokens 17374 39.96% 25.84 77.51% -0.188 0.1911 -0.157
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7191 11.23% 47.25 86.5% 0.683 0.0653 -0.963
Start of Game Growth 10818 13.99% 45.22 84.51% 0.464 0.1158 0.414
Unlimited Undo 19788 33.6% 43.04 82.92% 0.205 0.1985 1.688
Using Tokens but Not Events 14733 31.45% 29.38 79.62% -0.152 -0.1619 -0.329

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26539 100.0% 37.93 100.0% 0.232 0.0837 0.159
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5579 100.0% 33.95 100.0% -0.626 -0.4957 -0.252
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4024 100.0% 36.21 100.0% 0.621 0.4764 -0.04
Downpour Drenches the World 861 100.0% 37.89 100.0% -0.104 0.0752 0.025
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 374 100.0% 32.08 100.0% 0.492 -0.2735 -0.049
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4647 100.0% 36.74 100.0% 0.739 0.1506 0.134
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3662 100.0% 35.62 100.0% -0.155 -0.6513 -0.088
Finder of Paths Unseen 421 100.0% 37.54 100.0% -0.614 0.0505 0.506
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3093 100.0% 52.85 100.0% 0.166 0.7523 0.574
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 777 100.0% 35.65 100.0% -0.294 -0.3888 0.286
Heart of the Wildfire 7551 100.0% 31.71 100.0% -0.258 -0.0169 0.016
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13347 100.0% 39.02 100.0% -0.104 -0.5458 0.067
Lightning's Swift Strike 10014 113.88% 37.43 104.86% 0.18 0.3631 0.549
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 468 30.75% 38.44 72.01% 0.233 -0.2539 0.094
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 503 36.06% 38.53 80.72% -0.435 -0.6024 0.639
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1156 35.13% 45.15 77.6% 0.323 0.2092 0.613
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3497 100.0% 40.66 100.0% 0.093 -0.0392 -0.094
Many Minds Move as One 1738 100.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.356 0.1343 -0.035
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14641 100.0% 40.68 100.0% 0.304 0.2618 0.568
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3914 100.0% 36.17 100.0% -0.127 -0.3052 -0.071
River Surges in Sunlight 9745 109.38% 38.78 103.94% 0.209 0.2793 0.234
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1121 30.7% 40.71 72.61% -0.86 -0.5496 -0.181
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 262 45.42% 42.45 70.61% 0.569 0.4561 0.247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3944 111.31% 32.63 104.79% -0.395 0.1346 -1.379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 40.3% 31.93 66.18% 0.056 -0.0194 0.636
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 34.21% 29.5 60.0% -0.534 -0.6399 -0.858
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 342 45.29% 35.8 78.07% 1.17 1.1519 -0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 327 39.69% 37.06 77.06% -0.084 0.093 0.087
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6638 101.46% 37.49 100.77% -0.201 -0.3909 0.076
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 139 30.22% 35.37 63.31% 0.434 0.0525 -0.701
Shifting Memory of Ages 3986 100.0% 42.17 100.0% 0.055 0.4079 0.178
Shroud of Silent Mist 1106 100.0% 32.36 100.0% 0.098 0.3481 -0.499
Starlight Seeks its Form 1874 100.0% 41.33 100.0% 0.037 -0.2239 0.146
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3392 100.0% 36.21 100.0% 0.275 -0.2023 -0.359
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3017 100.0% 37.76 100.0% 0.241 0.3036 0.565
Thunderspeaker 8536 100.4% 37.74 100.22% -0.263 -0.2972 -0.205
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 52 33.33% 26.19 63.46% -0.026 -0.065 0.692
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2071 100.0% 34.35 100.0% 0.027 0.1199 -0.497
Vital Strength of the Earth 7741 107.94% 37.59 104.41% -0.431 0.0931 0.113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 487 27.48% 41.75 60.37% -0.044 0.2164 -0.703
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 484 45.23% 33.92 69.42% -0.929 -0.1524 -0.694
Volcano Looming High 1558 100.0% 35.3 100.0% -0.102 -0.1445 -0.1

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.07%
Elemental Aegis 98.29%
Gift of Flowing Power 69.05%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.57%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24191 20.4 5.67%
II 36067 31.01 53.54%
III 60992 34.76 93.2%
IV 39303 38.07 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1364
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 55276
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18671
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 38450
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2435
Lose: Invader deck ran out 795
Lose: Adversary condition 16246
Win: Sacrifice victory 1040
Lose: Scenario condition 3128
Win: Scenario condition 1805
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18234
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3109

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.567 Win Model: -0.108

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.022 Win Model: 0.313
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 73182 45.05% 32.28 69.72%
2 40375 45.58% 32.53 72.51%
3 22012 37.99% 36.16 76.27%
4 22557 31.16% 42.01 78.76%
5 469 25.91% 31.42 74.63%
6 1958 21.73% 40.54 71.6%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)