Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 52 28.85% 30.06 67.31% 0.162 -0.1156 0.006
Blitz 0 1230 46.29% 32.27 53.82% -0.876 -0.6982 -0.873
Dahan Insurrection 4 1417 36.12% 51.26 53.71% -0.723 -1.117 -0.204
Despicable Theft 2 55 40.0% 33.69 63.64% -0.564 0.2314 -0.347
Elemental Invocation 1 534 46.79% 28.08 69.48% -0.755 -0.0357 -1.373
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9331 13.53% 47.98 71.1% 0.141 -0.4993 0.206
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1089 27.27% 46.99 81.82% -0.162 0.4759 -0.459
Rituals of Terror 3 553 51.73% 40.12 66.55% 0.608 0.7593 -0.116
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 352 65.34% 36.95 61.65% -0.574 0.5056 -0.549
Second Wave 0 4977 39.11% 29.88 77.82% 0.102 0.1693 -0.012
The Great River 3 138 35.51% 32.54 60.87% -1.985 -0.7369 -0.801
Varied Terrains 2 63 49.21% 27.51 55.56% -0.373 0.2602 -1.097
Ward the Shores 2 969 33.68% 34.8 64.4% -1.385 -0.2959 -0.604

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 68187 45.03% 31.94 69.8% 0.306 0.4012 -0.129
1 Thematic 3761 45.32% 34.3 62.54% 0.777 1.2861 -0.638
2 Archipelago 75 47.3% 32.57 53.33% -0.059 0.2196 -1.735
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26499 46.14% 32.65 73.29% -0.082 0.0171 -0.314
2 Coastline 3818 40.65% 33.0 76.87% 0.301 0.1701 0.094
2 Fragment 797 47.92% 30.42 71.64% 0.69 0.4347 0.297
2 Heart 588 48.03% 37.32 78.4% 0.394 0.1075 0.452
2 Opposite Shores 5625 44.11% 30.96 71.4% -0.046 -0.006 -0.569
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1087 0.0
2 Thematic 2370 49.98% 36.77 60.51% -0.362 0.0527 -0.815
2 Top to Top 971 42.23% 35.58 77.86% 0.538 0.3916 0.108
3 Archipelago 45 35.56% 36.58 73.33% -0.065 -1.6501 -1.312
3 Coastline 113 30.19% 32.69 79.65% 0.707 0.1468 0.661
3 Other 1102 43.2% 34.43 82.67% 0.287 0.8417 0.838
3 Round (Default) 19833 37.77% 35.93 76.4% -0.455 -0.58 -0.303
3 Sunrise 77 30.67% 38.86 80.52% -0.383 -0.1128 0.167
3 Thematic 968 40.42% 40.76 70.56% -0.764 -0.693 -0.155
4 Archipelago 48 37.5% 36.58 72.92% 0.967 0.3935 -1.158
4 Coastline 84 13.25% 31.01 85.71% -0.246 -0.0552 -0.176
4 Leaf 95 48.94% 33.8 78.95% 0.121 -0.251 -0.658
4 Other 954 38.19% 38.21 85.12% 0.69 -0.3697 0.855
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.179 -0.5381 -0.381
4 Thematic 5066 23.57% 53.25 77.08% 0.491 0.1899 -0.79
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16194 33.59% 38.76 78.74% -0.49 -0.6254 -0.738
5 Archipelago 18 33.33% 39.78 72.22% 0.529 -0.6169 -0.84
5 Coastline 16 0.0% 25.75 87.5% 0.052 -0.6277 0.53
5 Other 803 34.05% 39.82 84.81% -0.783 -1.0473 -0.268
5 Thematic 161 31.06% 60.5 86.96% -0.072 0.0164 0.304
6 Archipelago 51 20.0% 47.92 88.24% -0.825 -0.476 -1.054
6 Coastline 5 60.0% 28.2 80.0% -0.282 -0.9927 0.0
6 Other 229 31.14% 36.55 78.17% -0.53 -0.9443 -1.114
6 Star 136 24.26% 33.12 80.15% -1.216 -1.2951 -1.152
6 Thematic 525 22.71% 37.99 63.05% -1.756 -1.4942 -1.475
6 Two Centers (Default) 1043 18.48% 42.72 71.14% -1.591 -1.51 -2.177
7 Archipelago 11 45.45% 62.64 81.82% -0.133 -0.2139 0.037
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 13 30.77% 17.92 53.85% -0.314 -0.9702 -0.133

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5326 32.78 54.84% 0.382 0.613 -0.399
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4857 35.84 59.38% 0.649 0.5897 0.01
All Things Weaken 2110 32.17 50.43% -0.124 0.254 -0.535
Attenuated Essence 87 29.85 41.38% -0.059 0.0214 -0.684
Back Against the Wall 4914 34.78 55.96% 0.168 0.2172 -0.349
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 30.36 43.28% -0.084 0.1125 -0.267
Burn Brightest Before the End 73 33.79 54.79% 0.087 0.2797 -0.622
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5135 30.93 53.69% -0.094 0.3193 -0.509
Downward Spiral 9611 28.64 60.73% -0.051 0.1925 -0.283
Erosion of Will 5281 31.57 51.11% -0.115 0.1934 -0.676
Intensifying Exploitation 75 24.23 34.67% -0.579 -0.3002 -1.241
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 947 38.27 76.98% 0.712 0.206 0.234
Memory Fades to Dust 9544 28.03 57.89% 0.187 0.5304 -0.361
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2163 33.34 56.31% 0.781 1.0173 -0.442
Promising Farmlands 5430 31.21 53.46% -0.162 0.291 -0.555
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 34.69 63.89% 0.652 0.7039 0.06
Slow Dissolution of Will 80 32.23 53.75% 0.237 0.6272 -0.418
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 627 39.04 79.59% 0.073 -0.6374 -0.067
The Border of Life and Death 21 29.24 61.9% 0.459 0.0821 -0.42
Thriving Communities 2170 33.37 54.15% 0.096 0.4435 -0.414
Thriving Crops 34 36.79 61.76% 0.766 0.565 -0.188
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.0 -1.073
Unnatural Proliferation 2315 35.98 57.75% 0.578 0.7727 -0.351
Untended Land Crumbles 2207 32.91 53.87% 0.323 0.5895 -0.472

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49984 40.76% 33.95 74.74% -0.161 0.597 -0.123
B 52763 40.45% 34.21 74.58% -0.157 0.582 -0.206
C 54719 39.45% 34.52 75.05% 0.041 0.628 -0.046
D 49226 39.53% 34.14 75.28% -0.139 0.5771 -0.103
E 16962 39.78% 37.02 74.3% 0.057 0.6319 -0.002
F 23360 40.13% 36.02 73.86% -0.016 0.6602 0.019
G 21745 39.34% 36.33 75.15% -0.018 0.6418 -0.009
H 22006 39.76% 36.36 74.38% 0.014 0.5897 -0.027
East 10539 34.17% 45.34 70.05% -0.432 0.131 0.407
Northeast 7868 31.41% 47.44 71.68% -0.513 0.1526 -0.303
Northwest 7118 29.48% 47.87 72.66% -0.075 0.7386 -0.489
Southeast 1835 31.84% 42.81 70.41% 0.136 0.86 -0.139
Southwest 1755 32.16% 40.68 68.6% -0.299 0.7044 -0.531
West 10024 33.26% 45.37 70.03% -0.287 0.6347 -0.763

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3763 0.0% 19.97 73.11% -0.966 -0.196 0.139
Not Using Events or Tokens 17360 39.96% 25.85 77.51% -0.19 0.1853 -0.156
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7177 11.22% 47.23 86.53% 0.691 0.053 -0.969
Start of Game Growth 10805 14.01% 45.2 84.51% 0.415 0.1043 0.408
Unlimited Undo 19753 33.63% 43.07 82.99% 0.247 0.224 1.695
Using Tokens but Not Events 14713 31.49% 29.36 79.62% -0.182 -0.1885 -0.325

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26506 100.0% 37.95 100.0% 0.309 0.1647 0.158
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5578 100.0% 33.96 100.0% -0.596 -0.463 -0.268
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4017 100.0% 36.23 100.0% 0.645 0.5058 -0.061
Downpour Drenches the World 853 100.0% 38.04 100.0% -0.128 0.0579 0.034
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 370 100.0% 31.97 100.0% 0.465 -0.3171 -0.104
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4639 100.0% 36.75 100.0% 0.649 0.059 0.118
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3660 100.0% 35.64 100.0% -0.158 -0.6505 -0.095
Finder of Paths Unseen 415 100.0% 37.75 100.0% -0.624 0.0458 0.481
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3085 100.0% 52.93 100.0% 0.105 0.6949 0.57
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 775 100.0% 35.74 100.0% -0.187 -0.2673 0.283
Heart of the Wildfire 7540 100.0% 31.73 100.0% -0.194 0.042 0.03
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13326 100.0% 39.06 100.0% -0.087 -0.5262 0.072
Lightning's Swift Strike 10012 113.77% 37.44 104.82% 0.162 0.3575 0.539
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 461 31.0% 38.69 72.23% 0.258 -0.2424 0.119
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 502 36.13% 38.55 80.88% -0.491 -0.6638 0.662
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1151 35.19% 45.12 77.5% 0.154 0.0485 0.605
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3486 100.0% 40.72 100.0% 0.082 -0.0539 -0.097
Many Minds Move as One 1736 100.0% 37.49 100.0% 0.268 0.0577 -0.046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14631 100.0% 40.69 100.0% 0.238 0.1999 0.557
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3904 100.0% 36.25 100.0% -0.119 -0.2874 -0.048
River Surges in Sunlight 9736 109.36% 38.78 103.93% 0.169 0.2378 0.229
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1120 30.73% 40.71 72.59% -0.824 -0.532 -0.177
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 260 45.77% 42.64 70.77% 0.62 0.4832 0.253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3926 111.19% 32.75 104.74% -0.304 0.2089 -1.173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 66 41.54% 32.35 66.67% 0.133 0.0609 0.623
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 40 34.21% 29.5 60.0% -0.541 -0.6239 -0.859
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 339 45.7% 35.91 77.88% 1.166 1.1493 -0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 325 39.94% 37.29 77.54% 0.228 0.3902 0.079
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6616 101.45% 37.58 100.76% -0.256 -0.4423 0.115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 137 29.93% 35.37 63.5% 0.484 0.0728 -0.733
Shifting Memory of Ages 3974 100.0% 42.22 100.0% 0.079 0.4271 0.18
Shroud of Silent Mist 1102 100.0% 32.35 100.0% 0.091 0.3402 -0.502
Starlight Seeks its Form 1872 100.0% 41.32 100.0% 0.033 -0.216 0.149
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3389 100.0% 36.22 100.0% 0.31 -0.1814 -0.365
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3014 100.0% 37.76 100.0% 0.182 0.2569 0.556
Thunderspeaker 8533 100.37% 37.74 100.22% -0.242 -0.2736 -0.21
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 50 34.69% 25.1 62.0% -0.103 -0.1637 0.581
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2071 100.0% 34.35 100.0% 0.018 0.0984 -0.501
Vital Strength of the Earth 7729 107.9% 37.64 104.36% -0.376 0.1445 0.127
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 479 26.89% 41.95 60.33% -0.034 0.2247 -0.696
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 483 45.32% 33.91 69.57% -1.196 -0.3689 -0.696
Volcano Looming High 1555 100.0% 35.28 100.0% -0.115 -0.152 -0.109

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.06%
Elemental Aegis 98.29%
Gift of Flowing Power 69.04%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.56%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24118 20.44 5.67%
II 36032 31.01 53.54%
III 60938 34.76 93.19%
IV 39271 38.06 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1360
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 55222
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18652
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 38418
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2368
Lose: Invader deck ran out 795
Lose: Adversary condition 16236
Win: Sacrifice victory 1040
Lose: Scenario condition 3127
Win: Scenario condition 1805
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18227
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3109

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.619 Win Model: -0.104

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.004 Win Model: 0.276
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 73115 45.06% 32.28 69.72%
2 40324 45.59% 32.54 72.53%
3 21982 38.0% 36.18 76.31%
4 22524 31.21% 42.05 78.82%
5 467 25.59% 31.35 74.52%
6 1947 21.75% 40.67 71.85%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-11 04:23:09 (Pacific Time)