Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 95 31.58% 27.09 62.11% 0.018 -0.2021 -0.689
Blitz 0 1422 42.79% 30.03 51.76% -0.685 -0.3988 -0.784
Dahan Insurrection 4 1808 31.85% 45.37 47.84% -0.382 -0.4968 -0.158
Despicable Theft 2 131 22.9% 23.58 43.51% -0.505 0.2337 -1.198
Elemental Invocation 1 750 45.84% 24.8 57.87% -1.049 -0.2926 -1.461
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10880 13.18% 46.28 68.91% 0.736 0.1547 0.357
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1251 26.06% 45.27 79.06% -0.083 0.7709 -0.432
Rituals of Terror 3 700 44.96% 36.13 61.86% -0.12 -0.2902 -0.266
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 406 62.96% 34.57 57.64% -0.896 0.0152 -0.511
Second Wave 0 5780 38.14% 29.37 76.56% 0.326 0.4054 0.267
The Great River 3 194 32.99% 27.61 50.52% -0.846 0.5174 -1.266
Varied Terrains 2 130 46.92% 23.13 51.54% -1.267 -0.3873 -0.946
Ward the Shores 2 1159 31.37% 31.07 57.46% -0.964 0.0172 -0.937

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 78643 44.04% 30.91 67.61% -0.065 0.2786 0.053
1 Thematic 4339 42.66% 34.32 61.19% -0.078 0.4494 -0.258
2 Archipelago 90 40.45% 30.37 52.22% 0.402 0.9008 -1.635
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30759 45.17% 31.72 70.91% -0.425 -0.1408 -0.364
2 Coastline 4490 40.0% 32.03 74.28% -0.25 -0.2207 0.088
2 Fragment 942 48.02% 29.4 69.32% 1.032 0.7942 0.573
2 Heart 685 46.76% 36.42 76.35% 0.304 0.1561 0.539
2 Opposite Shores 6656 42.39% 29.74 68.93% -0.393 -0.3338 -0.616
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 2688 48.08% 35.42 58.89% -0.549 -0.1785 -0.728
2 Top to Top 1193 41.77% 34.82 75.94% 0.061 0.1845 0.128
3 Archipelago 70 38.57% 34.4 68.57% -1.226 -2.0232 -1.6
3 Coastline 146 31.88% 30.75 73.97% 1.062 0.5127 0.37
3 Other 1208 41.4% 32.96 80.22% 0.833 0.2949 0.785
3 Round (Default) 23741 36.43% 34.81 73.27% -0.526 -0.6192 -0.609
3 Sunrise 115 28.32% 35.97 79.13% 0.394 0.5454 0.572
3 Thematic 1134 38.1% 38.86 67.02% -0.663 -1.181 -0.421
4 Archipelago 81 44.44% 32.19 67.9% -1.025 -0.5924 -1.495
4 Coastline 94 13.98% 29.68 84.04% 0.0 -0.7603 -0.393
4 Leaf 129 47.66% 33.0 71.32% -0.178 -0.3898 -1.594
4 Other 1044 38.52% 37.25 83.33% 0.37 0.378 0.566
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 12 33.33% 41.83 83.33% 0.0 -0.0705 -0.443
4 Thematic 5507 22.92% 51.38 74.72% -1.102 -0.9691 -1.054
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19477 31.6% 35.83 72.52% -0.845 -0.7378 -1.463
5 Archipelago 27 40.74% 39.93 81.48% 0.236 0.4039 -1.06
5 Coastline 35 5.71% 22.89 71.43% 0.0 -0.5066 -0.223
5 Other 1114 34.12% 36.79 80.88% -0.662 -1.1764 -0.761
5 Thematic 222 27.48% 54.72 76.13% 0.586 -0.3959 -0.671
6 Archipelago 57 19.64% 44.02 80.7% -0.687 -1.4167 -1.649
6 Coastline 12 33.33% 21.25 58.33% -0.624 -1.6636 -0.203
6 Other 384 31.07% 33.84 70.57% -0.66 -0.0251 -1.363
6 Star 212 24.06% 29.77 72.64% -0.877 -0.632 -1.382
6 Thematic 991 18.44% 30.11 51.06% -1.68 -1.3572 -2.512
6 Two Centers (Default) 1927 16.7% 39.24 64.5% -1.176 -1.2791 -2.988
7 Archipelago 18 27.78% 44.56 61.11% -0.817 -0.2252 0.43
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 0.0
7 Other 29 27.59% 23.48 48.28% -0.292 -1.7283 -1.291

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5807 32.41 53.99% -0.35 -0.2463 -0.173
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5313 35.72 59.51% 0.095 -0.0501 0.282
All Things Weaken 2510 31.56 49.4% -0.421 -0.0554 -0.361
Attenuated Essence 368 33.36 52.45% 0.259 0.2574 -0.01
Back Against the Wall 5310 34.66 56.03% 0.317 0.3818 -0.089
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 320 31.68 53.13% 0.026 0.2608 -0.095
Burn Brightest Before the End 318 35.94 57.23% 0.214 0.3741 -0.065
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5623 30.45 53.01% -0.385 -0.0089 -0.29
Downward Spiral 10645 28.17 60.34% 0.275 0.347 -0.044
Erosion of Will 5793 31.4 51.11% 0.194 0.4501 -0.421
Intensifying Exploitation 344 27.97 44.19% 0.161 0.4346 -0.514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1113 37.65 75.65% 0.53 0.0432 0.445
Memory Fades to Dust 10604 27.8 57.63% 0.499 0.682 -0.119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2538 32.45 54.93% 0.071 0.2838 -0.281
Promising Farmlands 5932 31.01 52.9% -0.194 0.1291 -0.332
Shattered Fragments of Power 261 31.98 51.34% -0.441 -0.2708 -0.291
Slow Dissolution of Will 340 28.86 44.71% -0.469 -0.0851 -0.245
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 751 37.89 76.83% 0.104 -0.5717 0.239
The Border of Life and Death 108 28.41 50.93% 0.335 -0.1807 -0.487
Thriving Communities 2565 32.87 53.26% -0.272 0.0519 -0.178
Thriving Crops 160 34.56 62.5% 0.652 0.6538 0.014
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.0 -0.768
Unnatural Proliferation 2713 35.74 57.46% 0.293 0.4792 -0.091
Untended Land Crumbles 2619 32.53 53.72% -0.171 0.1684 -0.211

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 58480 39.31% 32.64 71.56% -0.327 0.5364 -0.192
B 62184 38.73% 32.63 70.87% -0.461 0.3605 -0.293
C 63696 38.1% 33.28 72.11% -0.24 0.4577 -0.113
D 57325 38.06% 32.77 72.14% -0.206 0.6502 -0.181
E 22387 37.85% 35.21 70.26% -0.085 0.6032 -0.038
F 29501 37.82% 34.19 69.57% -0.141 0.6764 -0.045
G 27346 37.35% 34.37 70.53% -0.326 0.5541 -0.112
H 27516 37.68% 34.43 69.86% -0.3 0.4802 -0.11
East 12256 32.36% 42.82 66.5% -0.235 0.5573 0.118
Northeast 9210 29.57% 44.37 67.55% -0.296 0.5847 -0.526
Northwest 8294 27.73% 44.81 68.47% -0.422 0.4494 -0.715
Southeast 2572 28.19% 37.45 62.05% -0.73 0.1292 -0.401
Southwest 2468 28.04% 35.83 60.82% -0.923 0.2859 -0.564
West 11637 31.29% 42.92 66.64% -0.798 0.2626 -0.794

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4469 0.0% 18.74 69.12% -0.633 0.0824 0.126
Not Using Events or Tokens 20851 38.45% 24.18 73.29% -0.265 0.2089 -0.144
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8822 11.66% 46.38 81.94% 0.085 -0.4823 -0.81
Start of Game Growth 12544 13.68% 43.91 80.9% 0.39 -0.2746 0.229
Unlimited Undo 23273 31.84% 41.09 78.07% 0.005 0.0278 1.394
Using Tokens but Not Events 17583 29.5% 28.61 76.49% 0.058 0.1063 -0.349

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 30845 30.44% 36.27 74.96% -0.009 -0.2054 0.255
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 405 21.78% 31.7 56.79% 0.424 -0.2904 -0.303
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6277 45.35% 32.29 68.57% -0.047 0.221 -0.24
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 152 35.53% 29.35 60.53% 0.43 -0.137 -0.181
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4577 35.65% 34.75 75.49% 0.555 0.4242 0.198
Downpour Drenches the World 1894 24.42% 32.05 56.12% -0.384 -0.1145 -0.217
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1228 30.07% 30.65 62.62% 0.575 0.1435 0.25
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6166 28.04% 32.71 72.22% -0.108 -0.5315 -0.982
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4317 32.69% 33.81 73.82% 0.062 -0.3829 0.095
Finder of Paths Unseen 912 28.51% 32.7 60.2% 0.105 0.7625 0.044
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4286 25.24% 48.34 68.95% -0.072 0.7357 0.687
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1256 35.17% 31.33 65.45% -0.487 -0.604 0.054
Heart of the Wildfire 8452 51.06% 30.33 67.04% -0.335 -0.0476 0.064
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15049 33.29% 37.98 73.4% 0.294 -0.0993 0.14
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 249 28.11% 24.23 51.0% -0.525 -0.9298 -0.733
Lightning's Swift Strike 11158 35.17% 35.61 75.78% -0.279 -0.0121 0.407
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 878 31.66% 37.08 65.72% 0.124 -0.2278 0.13
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 746 32.61% 33.98 70.64% 0.222 -0.2193 0.38
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1826 28.8% 42.33 73.17% 0.816 0.7735 0.817
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4395 32.75% 38.16 72.2% -0.064 -0.3144 -0.012
Many Minds Move as One 2140 34.85% 35.61 76.26% 0.688 0.4574 0.075
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17194 32.02% 38.31 73.12% -0.114 -0.2176 0.601
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4567 36.65% 34.47 74.1% -0.274 -0.4303 0.098
River Surges in Sunlight 10978 32.39% 36.91 74.27% 0.011 0.1 0.23
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 102 13.73% 45.88 62.75% 0.57 0.4581 0.584
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1450 29.52% 37.15 67.86% 0.054 0.4439 0.107
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 642 34.74% 32.38 55.14% -0.949 -0.8112 -0.376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4461 43.55% 30.86 69.8% -0.052 0.4337 -1.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 45.11% 26.91 57.35% -0.457 -0.401 -0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 165 40.0% 33.85 73.94% 0.829 0.3603 0.805
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 104 29.41% 24.75 54.81% -0.88 -0.6641 -0.264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 433 43.16% 33.87 75.06% -0.11 -0.0806 -0.079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 390 38.66% 33.84 72.82% -0.785 -0.6126 0.152
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7367 34.49% 35.65 71.35% -0.373 -0.5261 -0.002
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 407 27.9% 33.17 57.99% 0.283 0.0843 -0.495
Shifting Memory of Ages 5745 36.24% 39.29 65.78% 0.245 0.6942 0.18
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 425 21.93% 37.26 53.18% 0.4 0.0958 0.04
Shroud of Silent Mist 1457 36.28% 29.73 68.43% -0.106 0.2295 -0.451
Starlight Seeks its Form 3154 28.12% 38.72 66.58% 0.456 0.4007 0.433
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4155 40.62% 34.36 70.23% -0.236 -0.8595 -0.173
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3548 33.37% 35.8 76.04% 0.02 0.2134 0.504
Thunderspeaker 9638 33.68% 36.32 74.25% 0.102 0.048 -0.119
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 195 24.23% 21.99 51.28% 0.539 0.6731 0.222
Towering Roots of the Jungle 175 40.8% 35.74 57.14% 0.116 0.1256 -0.24
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2540 51.52% 33.24 65.16% -0.36 -0.2772 -0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth 8573 29.08% 35.57 71.5% -0.514 0.0806 0.184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 988 23.6% 35.74 53.24% -0.31 0.1295 -0.425
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 634 42.88% 31.33 63.88% -0.118 0.573 -0.608
Volcano Looming High 2145 44.39% 32.78 67.13% 0.029 0.1322 0.056
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 702 23.36% 29.46 61.97% 0.19 -0.0622 0.007

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.11%
Elemental Aegis 98.33%
Gift of Flowing Power 69.77%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 74.48%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34132 15.45 4.38%
II 41187 30.45 52.94%
III 68990 34.8 93.2%
IV 44122 38.47 99.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1488
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 62614
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 21108
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 43182
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11116
Lose: Invader deck ran out 867
Lose: Adversary condition 18097
Win: Sacrifice victory 1145
Lose: Scenario condition 3315
Win: Scenario condition 1951
Lose: Blight pool ran out 20163
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3385

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.552 Win Model: -0.099

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.067 Win Model: 0.205
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 84525 43.96% 31.31 67.58%
2 46851 44.53% 31.52 70.18%
3 26243 36.6% 34.97 73.2%
4 26436 29.82% 39.2 73.58%
5 847 28.27% 30.6 71.66%
6 3529 19.27% 35.86 62.94%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)