Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1148 47.25% 31.18 -1.702 59.41% -0.72 -0.1472
Dahan Insurrection 4 1499 35.91% 51.39 7.595 57.3% -1.058 -0.6584
Despicable Theft 2 14 35.71% 33.43 1.406 71.43% -0.564 -0.2815
Elemental Invocation 1 268 46.44% 29.6 -2.141 73.13% -0.487 -0.0474
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10113 15.39% 46.41 4.137 69.14% -0.511 -0.1451
Powers Long Forgotten 1 859 40.42% 41.05 2.056 73.46% -0.547 -0.1062
Rituals of Terror 3 650 52.87% 37.85 2.959 62.0% -0.644 -0.0006
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 459 67.03% 36.42 2.321 61.87% -0.512 0.1295
Second Wave 0 5432 42.62% 30.02 -1.279 75.9% -0.619 -0.1908
The Great River 3 81 32.1% 34.84 1.134 67.9% -1.493 -0.0337
Ward the Shores 2 965 40.25% 34.32 -0.219 60.41% -1.233 -0.1958

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 51179 44.82% 31.91 -0.645 71.02% -3.036 -2.7031
1 Thematic 2845 49.14% 33.81 -0.093 60.67% -3.063 -2.5645
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19721 46.17% 32.54 -0.333 74.01% -1.446 -1.2453
2 Coastline 2729 41.14% 32.72 -0.575 78.56% -1.402 -1.2478
2 Fragment 589 47.88% 30.12 -1.511 71.65% -1.724 -1.3286
2 Heart 415 47.56% 38.33 1.82 81.69% -1.427 -1.105
2 Opposite Shores 4076 44.8% 30.88 -1.352 71.98% -1.612 -1.383
2 Thematic 1877 51.76% 37.09 0.373 61.32% -1.547 -1.4857
2 Top to Top 649 42.5% 36.21 0.933 80.59% -1.286 -1.1538
3 Coastline 70 26.15% 34.47 -0.525 81.43% 0.003 -0.035
3 Other 818 44.18% 33.57 -0.364 83.99% -0.131 0.2886
3 Round (Default) 14430 37.83% 35.66 0.167 77.27% 0.171 0.2267
3 Sunrise 60 28.81% 42.18 2.746 81.67% 0.543 0.3487
3 Thematic 712 42.63% 40.93 1.236 67.98% 0.143 -0.1869
4 Coastline 57 14.04% 34.32 -0.679 92.98% 1.815 1.9398
4 Leaf 63 41.94% 33.63 -0.908 82.54% 1.792 1.8383
4 Other 730 37.05% 38.86 0.949 87.12% 1.684 1.7966
4 Reverse Snake 5 0.0% 46.0 2.302 100.0% 0.473 -0.3095
4 Snake 6 66.67% 43.5 2.761 83.33% 1.16 1.3148
4 Thematic 4037 25.09% 53.17 4.346 75.9% 1.838 0.8138
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12612 33.16% 38.93 0.718 79.36% 1.639 1.6734
5 Other 324 38.56% 44.11 2.733 94.75% 3.232 2.9772
5 Thematic 80 25.0% 67.39 9.956 98.75% 3.833 0.8897

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4144 31.9 -2.183 54.15% -1.642 0.4312
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3785 35.35 -0.566 59.68% -1.339 0.5801
All Things Weaken 1177 31.07 -2.54 50.13% -1.796 0.3624
Back Against the Wall 3768 34.43 -1.067 56.13% -1.496 0.5983
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3938 30.59 -2.892 53.83% -1.569 0.6552
Downward Spiral 7540 28.34 -2.756 61.13% -1.454 0.5675
Erosion of Will 4071 31.3 -2.477 51.41% -1.726 0.4826
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 557 37.34 0.442 75.58% -0.566 0.1263
Memory Fades to Dust 7539 27.73 -3.02 57.94% -1.627 0.5914
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1232 32.45 -1.91 55.28% -1.555 0.4658
Promising Farmlands 4204 30.72 -2.673 54.21% -1.595 0.6191
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 340 37.77 0.779 79.41% -0.256 0.1548
Thriving Communities 1242 32.75 -1.938 54.19% -1.52 0.5734
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 -4.268 40.04% -2.232 -0.0068
Unnatural Proliferation 1343 34.79 -0.764 58.38% -1.418 0.6711
Untended Land Crumbles 1274 32.31 -2.08 52.98% -1.598 0.5073

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 19682 44.16% 32.5 -0.558 73.57% 0.208 -0.9043
B 20255 43.44% 32.5 -0.551 73.75% 0.189 -1.0192
C 22932 41.04% 33.51 -0.125 74.42% 0.268 -1.171
D 19889 41.03% 33.04 -0.323 74.34% 0.22 -0.982
E 4475 44.36% 35.72 0.301 73.36% 0.229 -1.0837
F 7404 44.85% 35.25 0.366 74.28% 0.288 -0.978
G 6977 41.72% 35.16 0.24 74.49% 0.249 -1.0082
H 7144 42.26% 34.94 0.142 73.38% 0.219 -1.047
East 2563 33.33% 51.54 4.627 71.36% 0.051 -0.9294
Northeast 2038 43.34% 39.61 1.323 65.46% -0.285 -1.2164
Northwest 1697 42.26% 39.41 1.057 67.47% -0.212 -1.2113
Southeast 342 44.74% 39.78 0.636 69.3% -0.144 -1.1701
Southwest 334 38.02% 36.57 -1.784 65.87% -0.712 -1.3316
West 2354 37.28% 43.76 1.751 66.48% -0.471 -1.196

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2969 0.0% 20.57 -5.615 74.0% -1.842 0.2124
Not Using Events or Tokens 13081 40.79% 26.0 -3.034 78.22% -0.22 -0.0019
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5132 12.43% 46.05 2.94 88.54% 0.426 -0.2674
Start of Game Growth 7622 14.4% 43.5 2.026 86.63% 0.269 -0.1939
Unlimited Undo 15024 34.27% 43.0 3.805 83.77% 0.892 0.4716
Using Tokens but Not Events 11076 33.68% 29.33 -2.268 80.46% -0.01 -0.0626

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 19869 31.77% 38.17 1.038 79.71% 0.102 0.2351
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4595 47.81% 34.3 -0.649 71.99% -0.347 -0.1186
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2885 37.32% 36.95 0.334 77.37% -0.067 -0.1529
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3138 33.19% 37.1 0.749 81.36% 0.165 -0.2081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2628 34.38% 35.89 -0.225 77.4% -0.22 -0.4799
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1441 25.0% 54.82 6.612 83.76% 0.495 0.8633
Heart of the Wildfire 6137 53.55% 32.08 -1.586 70.23% -0.357 -0.007
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9999 35.93% 38.78 0.637 76.41% -0.043 -0.3465
Lightning's Swift Strike 9284 36.62% 38.33 1.146 79.39% 0.142 0.4013
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1516 35.69% 43.76 1.615 78.03% -0.016 -0.2891
Many Minds Move as One 947 38.6% 39.46 0.946 80.78% 0.071 -0.4435
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11600 34.64% 41.2 1.736 77.89% 0.108 -0.0874
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2845 38.98% 37.31 0.468 77.19% 0.003 0.049
River Surges in Sunlight 8435 35.4% 38.31 0.778 76.57% -0.181 -0.0288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3785 47.0% 33.98 -0.672 74.8% -0.209 0.2316
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5297 36.15% 37.11 0.035 75.16% -0.222 -0.2931
Shroud of Silent Mist 334 34.53% 40.06 1.055 80.84% 0.157 0.1368
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2254 43.28% 36.86 -0.651 73.69% -0.313 -0.333
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2216 35.71% 38.67 1.151 80.87% 0.187 0.3896
Thunderspeaker 6598 36.95% 37.24 0.528 76.83% -0.04 0.0116
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1389 54.78% 35.3 -0.905 69.62% -0.27 -0.2624
Vital Strength of the Earth 6762 31.71% 38.2 0.262 75.75% -0.312 0.5579
Volcano Looming High 564 47.14% 37.91 -0.528 72.34% -0.225 -0.2487

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.28%
Elemental Aegis 98.34%
Gift of Flowing Power 68.77%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.73%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16209 22.34 5.35%
II 26926 30.81 53.34%
III 45497 34.31 93.02%
IV 29454 37.5 99.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 609
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27771
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9219
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19954
Lose: Invader deck ran out 624
Lose: Adversary condition 11824
Win: Sacrifice victory 790
Lose: Scenario condition 2516
Win: Scenario condition 1432
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13774
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2528

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.702 Win Model: -0.186

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.455 Win Model: -1.295
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 54715 45.07% 32.22 70.77%
2 29799 45.89% 32.46 73.33%
3 15997 38.06% 35.94 77.25%
4 17575 31.32% 42.26 79.02%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-02-27 02:06:44 (Pacific Time)