Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 30.0% 28.7 73.33% -0.481 -0.6933 0.0
Blitz 0 1173 47.49% 32.91 54.39% -0.524 -0.1287 -1.053
Dahan Insurrection 4 1360 37.2% 52.5 54.71% -1.251 -1.5191 -0.251
Despicable Theft 2 46 43.48% 35.09 69.57% -0.447 0.0946 -0.412
Elemental Invocation 1 500 46.98% 28.78 71.6% -0.269 0.557 -1.318
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8722 13.87% 48.45 72.27% -0.431 -0.672 0.095
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1050 27.62% 47.24 82.1% 0.315 0.8219 -0.459
Rituals of Terror 3 531 52.37% 40.43 66.1% -0.412 -0.931 -0.199
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 343 65.6% 37.33 62.39% -0.354 0.2269 -0.544
Second Wave 0 4774 39.39% 30.06 78.19% -0.185 0.0984 -0.016
The Great River 3 127 37.01% 34.32 65.35% -0.612 0.9528 -0.487
Varied Terrains 2 37 56.76% 32.86 56.76% -0.727 -0.1366 -0.533
Ward the Shores 2 937 33.97% 35.26 65.64% -0.691 0.2074 -0.618

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 65711 45.31% 32.2 70.44% 0.403 0.6469 -0.325
1 Thematic 3497 47.27% 33.54 62.51% 0.495 1.1192 -0.812
2 Archipelago 70 50.72% 33.27 52.86% -1.943 -1.1962 -1.812
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25440 46.52% 33.0 74.1% 0.145 0.3352 -0.382
2 Coastline 3572 41.31% 33.4 78.39% 0.715 0.8141 -0.04
2 Fragment 754 48.97% 31.05 72.41% 1.351 1.3056 0.165
2 Heart 548 48.07% 37.8 79.74% 0.213 0.2826 0.393
2 Opposite Shores 5336 44.36% 31.34 72.38% 0.124 0.2858 -0.712
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.67 0.2884 0.0
2 Thematic 2288 51.03% 37.16 61.1% -0.111 0.5497 -0.925
2 Top to Top 907 43.19% 36.29 78.94% 0.648 0.7772 0.038
3 Archipelago 39 33.33% 38.72 71.79% -0.346 -0.3961 -1.453
3 Coastline 108 30.69% 32.56 79.63% 0.466 0.0031 0.62
3 Other 1077 43.56% 34.88 83.84% 1.251 0.5545 0.751
3 Round (Default) 18919 38.05% 36.34 77.62% -0.143 -0.1694 -0.236
3 Sunrise 76 31.08% 39.37 81.58% 0.206 0.0577 0.132
3 Thematic 933 39.89% 41.35 71.81% -0.838 -0.6259 -0.304
4 Archipelago 44 38.64% 36.07 72.73% 0.611 0.5906 -1.322
4 Coastline 79 14.1% 32.53 91.14% -0.29 -0.6025 0.302
4 Leaf 88 48.28% 33.85 79.55% -0.512 -0.8979 -0.599
4 Other 931 37.84% 38.53 85.82% 0.591 -0.1079 0.797
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.1103 0.0
4 Snake 7 57.14% 40.57 85.71% 0.0 0.5133 0.0
4 Thematic 4954 23.68% 53.45 77.13% -0.035 0.0928 -0.794
4 Trapezoid (Default) 15674 33.63% 39.13 79.5% -0.875 -0.9197 -0.619
5 Archipelago 16 31.25% 33.31 68.75% -0.543 -0.9944 -0.998
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 29.77 100.0% 0.378 0.1956 0.466
5 Other 715 33.85% 41.61 87.69% -0.065 -0.8679 -0.114
5 Thematic 159 31.45% 60.63 87.42% 0.548 -0.1672 0.321
6 Archipelago 38 24.32% 47.68 94.74% -0.018 0.0244 -0.664
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 38.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.9179 0.0
6 Other 189 30.85% 36.78 78.84% -1.024 -1.2009 -1.161
6 Star 101 25.74% 37.81 83.17% -0.782 -0.1716 -1.045
6 Thematic 384 25.85% 45.16 75.52% -1.153 -0.8967 -0.695
6 Two Centers (Default) 707 20.2% 48.3 81.9% -0.897 -0.4167 -1.39
7 Archipelago 10 50.0% 68.9 90.0% 0.143 -0.8063 0.062
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 8 37.5% 25.88 75.0% -0.606 -0.7329 -0.086

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5202 32.81 54.77% -0.765 0.4197 -0.529
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4741 35.82 59.27% -0.464 0.5228 -0.125
All Things Weaken 2016 32.36 50.74% -0.513 0.7772 -0.644
Attenuated Essence 5 35.4 40.0% -0.882 0.0455 0.327
Back Against the Wall 4808 34.82 55.95% -0.303 0.7494 -0.487
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 4 38.25 50.0% -0.487 0.9398 -0.051
Burn Brightest Before the End 5 29.6 80.0% 0.009 1.2022 -0.106
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5023 31.0 53.87% -0.739 0.5946 -0.616
Downward Spiral 9373 28.79 60.98% -0.645 0.499 -0.377
Erosion of Will 5157 31.66 51.27% -0.678 0.6553 -0.777
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 910 38.56 77.25% 0.002 0.0438 0.109
Memory Fades to Dust 9322 28.13 57.93% -0.992 0.322 -0.465
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2053 33.42 55.72% -0.841 0.3025 -0.589
Promising Farmlands 5311 31.29 53.64% -0.842 0.4815 -0.647
Shattered Fragments of Power 6 18.5 50.0% -1.09 -0.1153 0.0
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 33.13 75.0% -0.117 1.252 0.286
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 601 39.53 80.53% 0.533 0.4168 -0.11
Thriving Communities 2062 33.52 54.32% -0.889 0.4642 -0.547
Thriving Crops 3 20.0 33.33% -0.94 -0.04 -0.43
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.0 -1.191
Unnatural Proliferation 2203 36.04 57.78% -0.733 0.4281 -0.469
Untended Land Crumbles 2106 32.97 53.94% -0.838 0.4045 -0.606

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 47911 41.14% 34.34 75.77% 0.014 0.8545 -0.068
B 50572 40.83% 34.63 75.65% 0.13 0.8574 -0.163
C 52466 39.87% 34.85 75.96% 0.38 0.9446 -0.022
D 47354 39.88% 34.49 76.15% 0.209 1.0142 -0.078
E 15575 40.45% 37.75 75.94% 0.599 1.2123 0.035
F 21792 40.83% 36.7 75.36% 0.396 1.1167 0.057
G 20427 39.72% 36.85 76.38% 0.607 1.2948 0.034
H 20649 40.33% 36.88 75.7% -0.056 0.6322 -0.011
East 10049 34.88% 45.98 70.99% -0.314 0.3181 0.563
Northeast 7507 31.99% 48.34 72.92% -0.097 0.7082 -0.287
Northwest 6796 30.09% 48.71 73.76% 0.088 0.6078 -0.271
Southeast 1616 33.99% 44.75 74.01% -0.017 0.5887 -0.29
Southwest 1540 33.92% 42.64 72.34% 0.171 1.4558 -0.58
West 9551 33.96% 45.96 70.93% -0.162 0.7665 -0.746

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3609 0.0% 20.32 74.48% -1.025 0.6381 -0.114
Not Using Events or Tokens 16633 40.44% 26.19 78.51% 0.232 0.4259 -0.173
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6667 11.62% 47.38 88.65% -0.033 -0.8209 -0.486
Start of Game Growth 10164 14.26% 45.38 86.26% 0.446 -0.0379 0.645
Unlimited Undo 18853 34.31% 43.45 84.37% 0.576 0.3006 1.823
Using Tokens but Not Events 13949 32.4% 29.42 80.79% 0.108 0.1468 -0.24

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25237 100.0% 38.44 100.0% 0.048 -0.1153 0.149
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5413 100.0% 34.41 100.0% -0.011 0.0399 -0.334
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3865 100.0% 36.52 100.0% 0.523 0.2727 -0.158
Downpour Drenches the World 546 100.0% 44.85 100.0% 0.387 0.7237 0.115
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 73 100.0% 37.19 100.0% 0.2 0.1043 0.112
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4492 100.0% 37.02 100.0% 0.176 -0.298 -0.012
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3510 100.0% 36.22 100.0% -0.258 -0.7033 -0.232
Finder of Paths Unseen 297 100.0% 42.82 100.0% -0.497 -0.0325 0.473
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2739 100.0% 55.23 100.0% -0.122 0.1313 0.511
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 667 100.0% 37.45 100.0% 0.333 0.2278 0.213
Heart of the Wildfire 7290 100.0% 32.01 100.0% -0.087 0.122 -0.085
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12703 100.0% 39.66 100.0% 0.188 -0.4008 0.117
Lightning's Swift Strike 9781 112.11% 37.74 103.58% 0.062 0.3304 0.449
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 312 28.71% 41.57 82.05% 0.244 -0.5043 0.396
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 476 37.05% 39.49 82.35% -0.109 -0.6189 0.48
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1048 36.36% 46.46 79.96% 0.691 0.3305 0.531
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3191 100.0% 41.53 100.0% 0.148 0.0071 -0.145
Many Minds Move as One 1609 100.0% 38.05 100.0% -0.186 -0.6406 -0.214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14156 100.0% 41.14 100.0% -0.043 -0.1585 0.481
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3740 100.0% 36.77 100.0% -0.301 -0.3366 -0.129
River Surges in Sunlight 9528 108.23% 39.02 102.91% 0.672 0.5504 0.097
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1012 31.21% 43.17 77.17% -0.168 0.0111 -0.457
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 176 47.16% 46.55 73.86% 0.524 0.272 0.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3803 110.37% 33.22 104.1% -0.397 -0.0014 -0.74
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 45.45% 35.96 71.11% -0.212 -0.1716 0.725
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 24 27.27% 29.71 75.0% -1.312 -1.2776 0.144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 320 46.54% 36.14 77.81% 0.696 0.6837 -0.254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 310 39.94% 38.09 78.71% -0.278 -0.205 0.108
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6418 100.23% 38.03 100.09% 0.338 0.0971 0.127
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 19 21.05% 28.95 68.42% -0.031 0.0469 0.056
Shifting Memory of Ages 3285 100.0% 45.15 100.0% 0.126 0.4123 0.15
Shroud of Silent Mist 981 100.0% 33.7 100.0% 0.05 0.2877 -0.578
Starlight Seeks its Form 1435 100.0% 44.53 100.0% -0.163 -0.3355 0.121
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3187 100.0% 36.54 100.0% 0.096 -0.2919 -0.451
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2899 100.0% 38.24 100.0% 0.068 0.111 0.477
Thunderspeaker 8289 100.1% 38.08 100.05% 0.258 0.2061 -0.299
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 11 20.0% 27.91 63.64% -0.718 -0.3529 0.066
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1951 100.0% 34.59 100.0% -0.61 -0.7265 -0.6
Vital Strength of the Earth 7555 105.85% 38.11 102.83% -0.874 -0.2218 0.023
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 304 32.45% 51.39 68.09% 0.141 0.5634 -0.516
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 443 46.03% 35.86 73.59% 0.222 1.2418 -0.509
Volcano Looming High 1413 100.0% 36.17 100.0% 0.521 0.5041 -0.244

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.01%
Elemental Aegis 98.27%
Gift of Flowing Power 68.79%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.36%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21659 22.35 6.11%
II 34740 31.11 53.74%
III 58960 34.7 93.19%
IV 38090 37.97 99.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1316
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 53411
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18041
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 37247
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 257
Lose: Invader deck ran out 771
Lose: Adversary condition 15769
Win: Sacrifice victory 1013
Lose: Scenario condition 3044
Win: Scenario condition 1779
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17748
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3053

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.558 Win Model: -0.148

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.247 Win Model: 0.334
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70267 45.44% 32.49 70.33%
2 38578 46.06% 32.93 73.43%
3 20989 38.24% 36.6 77.53%
4 21863 31.22% 42.4 79.42%
5 352 25.07% 34.26 81.53%
6 1400 23.83% 45.47 81.07%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-10 13:29:50 (Pacific Time)