Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 26.53% 30.71 67.35% 0.115 -0.074 0.173
Blitz 0 1225 46.32% 32.31 53.8% -0.914 -0.7305 -0.885
Dahan Insurrection 4 1412 36.18% 51.37 53.82% -0.827 -1.1412 -0.212
Despicable Theft 2 52 38.46% 33.04 65.38% -0.705 0.0404 -0.495
Elemental Invocation 1 532 46.78% 28.09 69.55% -0.815 -0.0436 -1.373
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9277 13.55% 47.98 71.14% 0.001 -0.62 0.184
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1082 27.36% 47.04 81.89% -0.014 0.5288 -0.476
Rituals of Terror 3 553 51.73% 40.12 66.55% 0.444 0.5513 -0.127
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 352 65.34% 36.95 61.65% -0.559 0.4115 -0.573
Second Wave 0 4961 39.1% 29.88 77.81% 0.132 0.2003 -0.021
The Great River 3 137 35.77% 32.78 61.31% -2.018 -0.7203 -0.832
Varied Terrains 2 60 50.0% 27.08 55.0% -0.241 0.3331 -1.105
Ward the Shores 2 968 33.61% 34.81 64.46% -1.39 -0.2562 -0.624

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 67836 45.08% 31.98 69.92% 0.565 0.6782 -0.155
1 Thematic 3732 45.61% 34.22 62.49% 0.839 1.4034 -0.639
2 Archipelago 74 47.95% 32.35 52.7% -0.447 -0.1225 -1.741
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26361 46.19% 32.68 73.38% 0.092 0.1864 -0.324
2 Coastline 3796 40.7% 32.99 76.95% 0.342 0.282 0.078
2 Fragment 790 48.36% 30.44 71.52% 0.934 0.7808 0.265
2 Heart 581 48.09% 37.42 78.49% 0.303 -0.0189 0.473
2 Opposite Shores 5592 44.06% 31.02 71.49% 0.044 0.104 -0.591
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.406 0.7251 0.0
2 Thematic 2357 50.13% 36.87 60.67% -0.357 0.202 -0.791
2 Top to Top 966 42.14% 35.65 78.05% 0.589 0.5113 0.098
3 Archipelago 45 35.56% 36.58 73.33% 0.002 -1.5965 -1.311
3 Coastline 109 31.37% 32.96 79.82% 1.133 0.6873 0.799
3 Other 1101 43.15% 34.42 82.65% 0.441 0.9783 0.808
3 Round (Default) 19710 37.82% 36.02 76.62% -0.277 -0.4368 -0.284
3 Sunrise 77 30.67% 38.86 80.52% -0.355 -0.1884 0.163
3 Thematic 965 40.44% 40.78 70.57% -0.888 -0.8222 -0.168
4 Archipelago 47 38.3% 36.72 72.34% 1.158 0.5016 -1.157
4 Coastline 84 13.25% 31.01 85.71% -0.231 -0.0065 -0.165
4 Leaf 95 48.94% 33.8 78.95% 0.213 -0.3272 -0.661
4 Other 954 38.19% 38.21 85.12% 0.767 -0.3498 0.83
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 44.44% 40.44 77.78% -0.243 -0.6311 -0.388
4 Thematic 5050 23.55% 53.29 77.07% 0.263 0.0897 -0.784
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16126 33.6% 38.82 78.87% -0.5 -0.7025 -0.734
5 Archipelago 18 33.33% 39.78 72.22% 0.171 -0.9696 -0.808
5 Coastline 16 0.0% 25.75 87.5% 0.043 -0.3958 0.529
5 Other 795 34.14% 39.91 85.03% -0.648 -1.113 -0.247
5 Thematic 161 31.06% 60.5 86.96% 0.212 0.2363 0.293
6 Archipelago 51 20.0% 47.92 88.24% -0.934 -0.5649 -1.028
6 Coastline 5 60.0% 28.2 80.0% -0.284 -0.9035 0.0
6 Other 226 31.56% 36.65 78.32% -0.878 -1.246 -1.103
6 Star 134 24.63% 33.43 80.6% -1.232 -1.0557 -1.171
6 Thematic 517 22.87% 38.33 63.83% -2.043 -1.5701 -1.475
6 Two Centers (Default) 1016 18.28% 43.11 71.56% -1.512 -1.4302 -2.158
7 Archipelago 11 45.45% 62.64 81.82% -0.193 -0.2972 0.051
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 11 27.27% 18.82 54.55% -0.227 -0.9905 -0.14

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5306 32.77 54.84% 0.288 0.4869 -0.418
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4848 35.83 59.39% 0.601 0.5349 -0.01
All Things Weaken 2100 32.24 50.57% 0.0 0.368 -0.553
Attenuated Essence 74 29.45 37.84% -0.226 -0.1554 -0.765
Back Against the Wall 4905 34.78 56.0% 0.266 0.3354 -0.369
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 29.57 42.59% -0.212 0.0445 -0.008
Burn Brightest Before the End 62 34.77 56.45% 0.286 0.4606 -0.559
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5121 30.9 53.62% -0.225 0.2141 -0.53
Downward Spiral 9585 28.65 60.76% -0.139 0.1072 -0.302
Erosion of Will 5267 31.59 51.13% -0.104 0.2132 -0.69
Intensifying Exploitation 66 24.56 33.33% -0.636 -0.3668 -1.251
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 943 38.31 77.09% 0.716 0.2067 0.221
Memory Fades to Dust 9515 28.04 57.87% 0.062 0.4259 -0.386
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2146 33.35 56.2% 0.624 0.8599 -0.461
Promising Farmlands 5413 31.25 53.54% -0.067 0.3935 -0.567
Shattered Fragments of Power 67 34.04 62.69% 0.447 0.502 -0.081
Slow Dissolution of Will 75 31.63 52.0% 0.191 0.5984 -0.519
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 623 39.09 79.78% 0.416 -0.2262 -0.068
The Border of Life and Death 21 29.24 61.9% 0.462 0.075 -0.446
Thriving Communities 2155 33.36 54.01% 0.079 0.4367 -0.451
Thriving Crops 30 33.6 56.67% 0.297 0.1816 -0.471
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 -0.1815 -1.092
Unnatural Proliferation 2303 35.97 57.62% 0.417 0.5903 -0.376
Untended Land Crumbles 2194 32.93 53.97% 0.422 0.6703 -0.489

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49738 40.8% 34.0 74.86% -0.205 0.6275 -0.11
B 52492 40.49% 34.27 74.72% -0.211 0.5889 -0.199
C 54439 39.49% 34.57 75.16% 0.048 0.7053 -0.043
D 49020 39.56% 34.19 75.39% -0.07 0.7239 -0.103
E 16817 39.85% 37.1 74.44% 0.083 0.7106 0.011
F 23140 40.23% 36.17 74.18% 0.174 0.8872 0.025
G 21592 39.4% 36.4 75.26% 0.039 0.7773 -0.01
H 21851 39.84% 36.43 74.55% 0.004 0.663 -0.034
East 10491 34.23% 45.4 70.12% -0.236 0.372 0.418
Northeast 7831 31.45% 47.53 71.8% -0.355 0.3939 -0.311
Northwest 7085 29.51% 47.96 72.79% 0.255 1.0712 -0.453
Southeast 1819 32.07% 42.91 70.64% 0.44 1.1685 -0.157
Southwest 1738 32.24% 40.77 68.81% -0.16 0.9053 -0.523
West 9970 33.34% 45.43 70.11% -0.158 0.7914 -0.759

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3738 0.0% 20.0 73.38% -0.707 0.1058 0.102
Not Using Events or Tokens 17276 39.99% 25.88 77.65% -0.096 0.2404 -0.161
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7127 11.27% 47.23 86.67% 0.565 -0.0679 -1.0
Start of Game Growth 10738 13.99% 45.2 84.64% 0.431 0.1412 0.413
Unlimited Undo 19672 33.62% 43.1 83.1% 0.157 0.1601 1.695
Using Tokens but Not Events 14584 31.7% 29.42 79.92% 0.045 -0.0294 -0.302

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26347 100.0% 38.05 100.0% 0.294 0.1436 0.174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5562 100.0% 33.98 100.0% -0.543 -0.42 -0.268
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4005 100.0% 36.26 100.0% 0.521 0.3649 -0.088
Downpour Drenches the World 806 100.0% 38.96 100.0% -0.018 0.1702 0.136
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 351 100.0% 31.57 100.0% 0.485 -0.3479 -0.255
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4623 100.0% 36.78 100.0% 0.439 -0.1624 0.105
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3651 100.0% 35.64 100.0% -0.225 -0.7095 -0.107
Finder of Paths Unseen 402 100.0% 37.99 100.0% -0.505 0.1635 0.436
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3061 100.0% 53.16 100.0% -0.016 0.6042 0.554
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 765 100.0% 35.77 100.0% -0.236 -0.326 0.252
Heart of the Wildfire 7521 100.0% 31.76 100.0% -0.13 0.1198 0.007
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13213 100.0% 39.25 100.0% 0.072 -0.3547 0.145
Lightning's Swift Strike 9986 113.7% 37.47 104.76% 0.166 0.3916 0.527
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 451 30.8% 38.85 72.51% 0.262 -0.3741 0.098
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 500 36.27% 38.58 80.8% -0.301 -0.448 0.635
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1145 35.11% 45.26 77.73% 0.296 0.1749 0.604
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3451 100.0% 40.84 100.0% 0.189 0.0491 -0.112
Many Minds Move as One 1719 100.0% 37.61 100.0% 0.177 -0.0206 -0.051
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 14579 100.0% 40.74 100.0% 0.172 0.1773 0.543
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3882 100.0% 36.32 100.0% -0.164 -0.3054 -0.052
River Surges in Sunlight 9709 109.23% 38.79 103.83% 0.148 0.2144 0.214
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1109 30.85% 40.97 73.04% -0.729 -0.4939 -0.17
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 254 46.85% 43.04 71.26% 0.589 0.4714 0.277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3907 111.11% 32.84 104.66% -0.219 0.2844 -1.109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 65 42.19% 32.46 66.15% 0.167 0.1107 0.61
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 31.43% 29.49 62.16% -0.597 -0.6296 -0.626
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 334 45.48% 36.07 77.54% 0.942 0.8888 -0.185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 323 39.88% 37.48 78.02% 0.447 0.576 0.062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6586 101.38% 37.63 100.68% -0.19 -0.3327 0.1
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 125 27.2% 35.66 64.0% 0.51 0.0598 -0.662
Shifting Memory of Ages 3922 100.0% 42.3 100.0% 0.034 0.4185 0.17
Shroud of Silent Mist 1087 100.0% 32.55 100.0% 0.099 0.3827 -0.498
Starlight Seeks its Form 1843 100.0% 41.5 100.0% 0.013 -0.2209 0.142
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3364 100.0% 36.22 100.0% 0.246 -0.2543 -0.389
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2997 100.0% 37.8 100.0% 0.09 0.1381 0.531
Thunderspeaker 8506 100.36% 37.77 100.22% -0.2 -0.2075 -0.227
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 34.04% 24.48 60.42% -0.114 -0.2392 0.597
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2063 100.0% 34.38 100.0% -0.089 -0.0072 -0.505
Vital Strength of the Earth 7713 107.67% 37.68 104.17% -0.513 0.0361 0.1
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 461 27.51% 43.06 61.61% 0.086 0.3138 -0.705
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 480 45.61% 34.08 69.79% -1.26 -0.3845 -0.683
Volcano Looming High 1546 100.0% 35.35 100.0% -0.047 -0.0639 -0.13

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.06%
Elemental Aegis 98.3%
Gift of Flowing Power 69.0%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 73.53%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23773 20.63 5.72%
II 35878 31.02 53.55%
III 60724 34.75 93.19%
IV 39110 38.05 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1354
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 55026
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18577
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 38261
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2068
Lose: Invader deck ran out 791
Lose: Adversary condition 16176
Win: Sacrifice victory 1032
Lose: Scenario condition 3120
Win: Scenario condition 1804
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18174
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3102

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.79 Win Model: -0.099

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.014 Win Model: 0.327
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 72717 45.13% 32.32 69.83%
2 40113 45.63% 32.58 72.62%
3 21848 38.06% 36.26 76.52%
4 22444 31.21% 42.1 78.9%
5 457 25.49% 31.44 74.84%
6 1906 21.75% 41.01 72.35%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-07 04:03:52 (Pacific Time)