Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 110 32.73% 26.64 64.55% 0.308 0.2617 -0.787
Blitz 0 1789 36.25% 36.0 52.1% 0.349 0.5779 -0.441
Dahan Insurrection 4 1935 30.6% 44.26 47.03% -0.517 -0.8352 -0.073
Despicable Theft 2 148 24.32% 22.28 40.54% -1.836 -1.05 -1.151
Elemental Invocation 1 846 44.89% 23.58 55.32% -0.532 0.1581 -1.394
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11500 13.26% 45.56 67.78% 0.176 -0.4246 0.402
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1487 24.01% 45.6 78.82% -0.398 0.4235 -0.401
Rituals of Terror 3 773 42.37% 34.31 58.86% 0.332 0.3321 -0.387
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 432 62.18% 34.24 57.64% -0.844 0.1264 -0.412
Second Wave 0 6206 37.42% 29.37 76.18% 0.141 0.3655 0.471
The Great River 3 227 31.28% 26.0 48.02% -1.171 -0.1099 -1.384
Varied Terrains 2 178 45.51% 22.78 44.94% -0.457 0.3911 -0.671
Ward the Shores 2 1210 31.13% 30.26 56.12% -1.687 -0.5774 -0.862

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 84339 43.5% 30.53 66.23% -0.117 0.1241 0.074
1 Thematic 4533 42.17% 33.87 60.45% -0.091 0.4349 -0.178
2 Archipelago 102 38.61% 28.96 51.96% 0.595 1.2627 -1.638
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32993 44.48% 31.3 69.86% -0.352 -0.3443 -0.38
2 Coastline 4843 39.92% 31.93 73.65% 0.185 -0.0847 0.094
2 Fragment 1006 47.28% 28.99 69.28% 1.285 0.976 0.521
2 Heart 729 46.95% 36.09 76.13% 0.344 -0.2452 0.628
2 Opposite Shores 7308 41.68% 29.09 67.53% -0.347 -0.4157 -0.681
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4919 0.0
2 Thematic 2842 47.28% 34.69 57.92% -0.312 0.0677 -0.725
2 Top to Top 1303 41.46% 34.07 74.21% -0.25 -0.5531 -0.001
3 Archipelago 76 40.79% 33.97 67.11% -0.608 -1.3007 -1.401
3 Coastline 162 33.12% 29.46 70.99% 0.516 -0.4879 0.257
3 Other 1262 41.05% 32.54 79.87% 0.399 -0.4148 0.717
3 Round (Default) 25660 36.07% 34.23 71.78% -0.051 -0.2572 -0.789
3 Sunrise 118 28.45% 35.95 78.81% 0.0 -0.6281 0.447
3 Thematic 1191 37.95% 38.42 66.83% 0.579 0.3516 -0.456
4 Archipelago 87 43.68% 30.69 65.52% 0.335 0.1549 -1.55
4 Coastline 102 14.85% 30.16 82.35% -0.547 -0.5575 -0.19
4 Leaf 137 45.59% 31.71 69.34% -0.157 -0.1275 -1.71
4 Other 1071 38.12% 36.94 82.82% 0.831 0.0644 0.582
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 41.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.5432 0.0
4 Snake 12 33.33% 41.83 83.33% 0.0 0.0 -0.502
4 Thematic 5833 21.87% 50.77 74.25% 0.512 0.3853 -1.237
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21247 30.87% 34.76 69.95% -0.713 -1.0899 -1.749
5 Archipelago 31 41.94% 38.65 74.19% 0.0 1.1584 -1.451
5 Coastline 36 5.56% 22.94 72.22% 0.084 -0.6331 -0.214
5 Other 1252 33.87% 35.96 78.35% -0.92 -1.6836 -1.044
5 Thematic 234 27.35% 53.47 74.36% -0.586 -0.6223 -0.882
6 Archipelago 66 16.92% 40.67 75.76% -0.585 -1.5404 -1.734
6 Coastline 15 26.67% 19.73 53.33% 0.13 -0.8703 -0.57
6 Other 517 28.49% 31.72 65.76% -0.265 -0.8897 -1.938
6 Star 267 23.97% 28.62 70.04% -0.581 -0.276 -2.07
6 Thematic 1187 17.77% 29.51 48.69% -1.127 -1.3476 -2.793
6 Two Centers (Default) 2287 17.23% 38.3 62.44% -1.197 -1.1075 -3.244
7 Archipelago 19 31.58% 42.21 57.89% 0.0 0.3658 0.534
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 39 23.68% 19.05 41.03% -0.28 -1.1338 -1.471

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6027 32.29 53.53% -0.387 -0.3455 -0.123
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5527 35.71 59.22% 0.291 0.2059 0.327
All Things Weaken 2702 31.37 49.26% -0.178 0.032 -0.249
Attenuated Essence 518 34.47 55.79% 0.828 0.7992 0.241
Back Against the Wall 5529 34.61 55.94% 0.149 0.184 -0.02
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 465 32.19 53.33% 0.802 0.9521 0.123
Burn Brightest Before the End 442 36.62 57.01% 0.418 0.4254 0.04
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5865 30.35 52.72% 0.179 0.3569 -0.208
Downward Spiral 11203 27.9 59.69% 0.108 0.1722 0.03
Erosion of Will 6048 31.22 50.98% 0.434 0.56 -0.343
Intensifying Exploitation 493 28.76 46.04% 0.508 0.6274 -0.411
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1207 37.49 75.23% 1.254 0.6464 0.499
Memory Fades to Dust 11219 27.59 57.13% 0.448 0.6568 -0.041
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2724 32.11 54.26% -0.26 -0.137 -0.225
Promising Farmlands 6166 30.9 52.82% 0.595 0.7911 -0.259
Shattered Fragments of Power 384 32.22 50.52% 0.038 0.0335 -0.032
Slow Dissolution of Will 471 29.2 43.95% -0.207 0.1115 -0.305
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 809 37.6 75.9% 0.262 -0.4441 0.288
The Border of Life and Death 154 31.45 55.19% 0.848 0.3839 -0.079
Thriving Communities 2763 32.28 52.44% -0.235 -0.0967 -0.15
Thriving Crops 239 34.4 61.51% 0.596 0.3201 -0.031
Tipping Point 2495 27.31 40.04% 0.0 0.5138 -0.696
Unnatural Proliferation 2902 35.51 57.0% 0.143 0.2174 0.007
Untended Land Crumbles 2791 32.38 53.35% 0.279 0.4397 -0.119

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 62829 38.66% 32.02 69.98% 0.2 1.174 -0.231
B 66899 38.1% 31.99 69.2% 0.116 1.0079 -0.338
C 68376 37.62% 32.73 70.65% 0.283 0.9754 -0.134
D 61527 37.53% 32.2 70.59% 0.301 1.1924 -0.231
E 25421 36.95% 34.53 68.26% 0.484 1.2097 -0.088
F 32744 36.9% 33.42 67.71% 0.366 1.1904 -0.058
G 30185 36.51% 33.62 68.61% 0.342 1.1078 -0.167
H 30304 36.98% 33.65 67.89% 0.114 0.8904 -0.17
East 13090 31.38% 42.08 65.57% -1.058 -0.3139 -0.0
Northeast 9879 28.55% 43.55 66.47% -0.241 0.6034 -0.696
Northwest 8907 26.68% 44.02 67.44% -0.431 0.3152 -0.812
Southeast 2870 27.26% 36.45 60.24% 0.103 0.9711 -0.445
Southwest 2754 26.85% 34.85 58.86% 0.445 1.7407 -0.678
West 12409 30.33% 42.22 65.78% -0.938 0.0327 -0.847

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4776 0.0% 18.12 67.13% -0.607 0.041 0.315
Not Using Events or Tokens 22760 38.04% 23.45 70.82% -0.45 -0.0196 -0.289
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9743 11.39% 46.78 80.06% 0.353 -0.4447 -0.507
Start of Game Growth 13813 13.47% 44.08 79.23% 0.619 0.2059 0.174
Unlimited Undo 25542 30.94% 40.42 75.44% 0.358 0.3124 1.362
Using Tokens but Not Events 18997 29.11% 28.04 74.5% -0.412 -0.4849 -0.449

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 32541 29.98% 35.6 73.79% 0.29 0.2054 0.31
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1259 21.99% 31.22 52.82% 0.61 0.1322 -0.165
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6606 44.31% 31.41 66.8% -0.381 -0.1984 -0.235
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 222 31.98% 26.59 57.21% -0.039 -0.867 -0.269
Dances Up Earthquakes 209 23.44% 38.14 54.07% -0.214 -0.42 0.296
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4836 35.18% 34.08 74.42% 0.593 0.375 0.238
Downpour Drenches the World 2371 23.63% 29.91 52.64% -0.208 0.1361 -0.407
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1602 30.96% 30.03 61.86% 0.496 -0.0383 0.451
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6907 26.67% 31.1 68.51% -0.191 -0.6045 -1.213
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4612 32.11% 33.21 72.48% 0.766 0.3357 0.121
Finder of Paths Unseen 1236 28.58% 33.21 56.88% 0.195 0.8534 -0.09
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4935 24.49% 46.49 65.41% 0.394 0.9286 0.601
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1491 35.95% 30.78 64.39% -0.24 -0.3213 0.128
Heart of the Wildfire 8989 50.25% 29.58 65.7% -0.278 0.0263 0.051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15920 32.6% 37.65 72.61% 0.457 -0.0111 0.16
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 386 30.91% 25.42 53.11% -0.139 -0.4457 -0.635
Lightning's Swift Strike 11587 34.79% 35.06 74.81% 0.147 0.3877 0.522
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1138 31.98% 34.39 60.19% -0.092 -0.4103 -0.038
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 846 31.95% 32.9 67.38% 0.656 0.3026 0.502
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2117 26.94% 40.53 69.91% -0.322 -0.1996 0.82
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4834 31.99% 37.12 70.56% -0.068 -0.2452 0.002
Many Minds Move as One 2322 34.79% 34.76 74.55% 0.503 0.2709 0.049
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18263 31.77% 37.58 71.74% -0.023 0.1045 0.682
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 298 33.11% 22.1 41.28% -0.243 -0.2012 -0.634
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4849 36.14% 34.07 73.27% 0.087 -0.0459 0.182
River Surges in Sunlight 11732 31.42% 36.51 73.0% 0.217 0.1775 0.187
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 229 19.3% 36.05 52.4% -0.011 0.2463 0.057
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1665 30.1% 35.86 65.65% -0.109 0.0942 0.11
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 763 34.73% 31.12 54.78% -0.201 -0.4138 -0.442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4671 42.64% 30.35 68.79% -0.377 0.1805 -1.278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 158 41.29% 26.8 59.49% -0.173 -0.1764 -0.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 259 40.54% 30.92 65.64% -0.421 -0.8013 0.518
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 130 28.13% 24.32 56.15% -0.069 0.0446 -0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 446 42.79% 33.8 75.11% 0.709 0.6024 -0.017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 407 39.01% 33.22 71.99% -0.835 -0.629 0.296
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7590 34.23% 35.22 70.51% 0.252 0.252 0.032
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 568 27.79% 32.09 59.68% 0.137 0.0121 -0.411
Shifting Memory of Ages 6274 35.49% 38.62 64.49% 0.053 0.3912 0.22
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1095 25.25% 37.54 53.15% 0.221 0.28 0.278
Shroud of Silent Mist 1644 35.29% 28.46 66.12% -0.505 -0.1086 -0.418
Starlight Seeks its Form 3798 28.47% 37.83 65.01% 0.446 0.3724 0.408
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4486 40.43% 33.47 68.39% -0.58 -1.0874 -0.087
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3784 32.97% 35.41 74.74% 0.236 0.3692 0.602
Thunderspeaker 10344 32.3% 35.81 73.0% 0.129 0.1335 -0.15
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 239 24.37% 21.58 51.46% -0.119 0.1777 0.137
Towering Roots of the Jungle 352 36.18% 31.83 58.81% -0.112 0.077 -0.04
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2732 51.12% 32.61 63.84% -0.625 -0.6379 -0.129
Vital Strength of the Earth 9046 28.88% 34.58 69.68% -0.45 0.1081 0.105
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1283 23.87% 35.36 53.39% 0.497 0.9719 -0.174
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 718 41.48% 29.39 60.86% -0.361 0.2383 -0.718
Volcano Looming High 2393 43.61% 31.91 65.86% 0.004 0.0621 0.099
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 906 25.06% 28.58 58.83% -0.59 -0.8982 -0.042

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 94.23%
Elemental Aegis 98.35%
Gift of Flowing Power 70.28%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 74.91%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39844 13.84 4.11%
II 43788 30.21 52.54%
III 73056 34.83 93.14%
IV 46414 38.63 99.48%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1631
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 66302
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22290
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 45446
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16094
Lose: Invader deck ran out 908
Lose: Adversary condition 19140
Win: Sacrifice victory 1183
Lose: Scenario condition 3432
Win: Scenario condition 2008
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21129
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3539

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.825 Win Model: -0.079

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.098 Win Model: 0.116
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 90592 43.43% 30.92 66.24%
2 50352 43.9% 31.07 69.17%
3 28290 36.23% 34.39 71.82%
4 28589 29.1% 38.17 71.45%
5 1006 28.67% 30.72 69.58%
6 4273 19.08% 34.57 60.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-09 16:35:15 (Pacific Time)