Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 471 46.58% 30.83 2.762 70.06% 0.106 0.4461
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1112 48.2% 31.99 -0.615 68.17% -0.715 -0.415
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 704 57.77% 35.42 4.047 58.52% -0.314 0.5231
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 399 56.06% 36.14 4.564 53.38% -0.648 0.3022
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 256 68.9% 38.14 1.435 44.14% -1.6 -0.0561
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -4.591 44.68% -1.398 -0.0483
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 133 54.89% 41.45 6.237 38.35% -1.011 1.0399
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1206 50.08% 25.6 -0.724 71.72% -0.642 -0.3978
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4773 39.78% 30.89 0.313 78.42% -0.404 -0.3441
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4185 47.34% 37.43 3.803 73.64% -0.347 -0.1574
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3081 52.57% 42.43 4.708 69.65% -0.628 -0.4535
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1968 52.34% 44.76 5.878 68.24% -0.713 -0.409
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1112 61.32% 47.47 3.695 59.44% -1.267 -0.7683
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 899 69.9% 44.06 11.036 45.49% -0.43 0.938
The Kingdom of England 0 1 832 45.84% 25.74 1.506 62.98% -0.669 -0.2917
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2737 44.34% 32.21 0.058 67.85% -0.806 -0.4413
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1759 56.68% 30.72 1.504 53.67% -0.922 -0.1376
The Kingdom of England 3 6 880 56.03% 34.95 3.936 47.05% -0.965 0.1905
The Kingdom of England 4 7 491 52.06% 37.26 6.49 44.81% -1.169 0.1099
The Kingdom of England 5 9 209 66.35% 36.02 3.056 29.67% -1.042 0.5968
The Kingdom of England 6 11 368 60.88% 39.77 2.317 33.97% -1.596 0.4765
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 645 53.27% 27.04 -0.164 58.91% -1.069 -0.5567
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1534 56.93% 30.04 3.087 60.76% -0.196 0.4488
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 880 42.38% 32.91 5.566 40.11% -0.603 0.3895
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 572 49.21% 34.9 4.338 32.69% -1.43 -0.1124
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 322 51.57% 40.34 7.755 38.51% -0.6 0.8534
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 185 58.7% 39.19 4.813 30.81% -1.325 -0.353
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 622 60.29% 45.51 13.906 34.73% -0.611 0.817
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 189 42.13% 31.47 0.674 66.14% -0.836 -0.5478
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 410 37.9% 31.47 0.505 64.88% -0.569 -0.053
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 357 31.73% 36.61 6.794 70.59% 0.144 0.7207
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 320 34.7% 44.23 9.999 68.13% -0.286 0.1612
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 248 43.72% 43.38 8.453 62.9% -0.579 0.157
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 131 50.38% 47.49 11.491 64.12% -0.251 0.2598
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 287 67.25% 47.18 9.686 52.96% -0.777 0.3212
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 874 55.94% 25.51 1.265 70.94% 0.087 0.3412
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2391 44.39% 29.52 0.902 76.2% 0.001 0.0361
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2028 53.54% 30.95 1.99 70.46% -0.062 0.1539
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1417 62.77% 34.86 5.177 61.89% -0.206 0.1462
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 855 71.04% 34.69 4.779 54.04% -0.503 0.1423
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 319 67.71% 36.82 -1.706 51.72% -1.267 -0.34
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 805 80.0% 37.13 0.861 46.71% -1.092 0.0007
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 384 48.7% 31.56 -0.088 70.83% -0.669 -0.5714
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 802 53.63% 29.97 -1.999 62.84% -1.188 -0.3119
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 478 48.54% 36.51 3.125 71.55% -0.336 0.0761
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 326 66.26% 35.43 8.623 49.39% 0.206 1.2877
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 183 58.79% 44.69 7.629 59.56% -0.498 0.4927
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 110 76.36% 38.94 5.633 31.82% -0.637 0.9139
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 120 73.33% 50.2 -2.745 42.5% -0.791 1.0029

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 65524 41.8 27.53 72.77% -0.394 -0.2401 -0.274
1 Thematic 3510 51.92 26.0 63.45% 0.633 1.0969 -0.576
2 Archipelago 47 29.79 33.23 87.23% -0.672 -0.0986 -0.572
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11221 45.92 30.08 74.27% 0.197 0.2595 0.192
2 Coastline 2084 40.39 30.32 77.69% -0.195 -0.3099 0.671
2 Fragment 405 47.15 26.79 70.62% -0.308 -0.6111 -0.696
2 Heart 485 41.46 26.83 77.32% -0.65 -0.7777 -0.26
2 Opposite Shores 3246 35.53 29.41 80.56% 0.047 -0.0777 -0.895
2 Thematic 1757 53.85 31.42 63.92% -0.107 0.1146 0.461
2 Top to Top 558 41.7 30.98 78.14% 1.237 1.1361 0.447
3 Archipelago 51 31.37 31.78 96.08%
3 Coastline 210 22.01 28.23 89.52% 1.153 0.3885 0.573
3 Other 813 37.76 27.25 82.78% 0.35 0.0555 -0.615
3 Round (Default) 5861 38.78 32.92 78.89% 0.094 -0.1341 0.303
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59% -0.257 -0.1087
3 Thematic 327 42.51 29.25 72.78% -0.099 -0.3475 0.889
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5%
4 Coastline 167 8.98 27.05 94.61% 0.315 -0.1804
4 Leaf 31 48.39 26.9 80.65%
4 Other 571 31.7 29.89 86.16% 1.029 0.5694 0.334
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 612 36.76 31.16 75.65% 0.128 0.3299 -0.387
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3803 30.47 29.26 84.12% -0.416 -0.0983 0.403
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 816 18.63 27.89 91.18% -0.38 -0.8732 -0.049
5 Thematic 109 29.36 27.98 88.07% 0.652 0.4888
6 Archipelago 10 30.0 33.3 100.0%
6 Coastline 6 16.67 28.83 83.33% -0.26 -0.8966
6 Other 185 28.8 24.42 83.24% 0.013 0.6219 -0.18
6 Star 42 45.24 27.21 78.57% 0.407 0.1876 0.19
6 Thematic 122 35.25 24.87 68.85% -0.851 -0.7213 -0.29
6 Two Centers (Default) 381 23.36 27.64 80.05% 0.086 -0.1563 0.541
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.546 -1.9955 -0.595

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3245 22.31 45.61% -1.055 -0.8786 -0.788
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2695 23.65 47.24% -1.217 -1.2557 -0.676
All Things Weaken 1896 21.24 43.25% -1.761 -1.4899 -0.329
Attenuated Essence 179 21.7 48.04% -1.502 -1.4007 -1.31
Back Against the Wall 2587 23.2 46.31% -0.723 -0.654 -0.753
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 171 20.11 42.11% -1.115 -0.9238 -0.394
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 23.38 53.29% -0.04 0.1874 -0.177
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3117 19.81 44.05% -1.4 -1.0286 -1.043
Downward Spiral 5128 21.2 52.4% -0.839 -0.6952 -0.694
Erosion of Will 3237 21.17 43.5% -1.306 -0.9982 -0.893
Intensifying Exploitation 222 21.56 51.35% -0.452 -0.2138 -0.141
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 732 30.44 86.07% -0.588 -1.1678 -0.277
Memory Fades to Dust 5120 20.75 49.71% -1.26 -0.9939 -0.581
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1986 21.89 48.74% -0.721 -0.4579 -0.527
Promising Farmlands 3103 20.9 46.15% -1.143 -0.8214 -0.673
Shattered Fragments of Power 131 23.67 41.22% -0.827 -0.6432 -0.746
Slow Dissolution of Will 194 17.92 38.66% -1.141 -0.7788 -1.183
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 392 31.1 86.48% -0.727 -1.3463 -0.263
The Border of Life and Death 36 21.83 66.67% -0.549 -0.9944 -0.308
Thriving Communities 2099 21.23 48.21% -0.852 -0.4994 -0.514
Thriving Crops 84 25.85 73.81% -0.245 -0.2256 -0.571
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.539
Unnatural Proliferation 2082 24.5 49.38% -0.867 -0.7116 -0.35
Untended Land Crumbles 2002 22.01 49.55% -1.116 -0.7423 -0.623

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 20999 40.47% 28.45 75.55% 0.101 0.9502 -0.348
B 21323 41.06% 29.24 75.42% 0.049 0.8478 0.288
C 24937 38.34% 29.01 77.3% 0.122 0.7846 0.105
D 22945 39.68% 28.67 76.48% -0.017 0.7934 0.001
E 14059 35.52% 28.39 79.07% 0.342 1.0019 0.181
F 15696 39.26% 29.0 76.53% -0.039 0.7236 0.241
G 14773 40.05% 28.79 76.22% 0.169 1.0004 0.005
H 15946 38.08% 29.26 77.98% 0.312 1.0597 0.066
East 4269 48.28% 29.54 66.29% -0.679 0.1918 -0.351
Northeast 2183 50.23% 31.48 65.19% 0.733 1.4525 0.148
Northwest 1565 50.26% 31.18 64.54% -0.193 0.6194 -0.729
Southeast 1578 35.45% 27.77 76.43% 0.197 0.9109 0.027
Southwest 1019 40.04% 27.04 72.72% -0.391 0.8897 0.159
West 3211 50.41% 29.06 64.28% -0.879 0.049 -0.176

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3160 0.0% 24.48 73.54% -0.39 0.4014 -0.444
Not Using Events or Tokens 3886 51.15% 21.85 65.13% -0.279 0.1181 -0.154
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7142 19.14% 34.92 86.88% -0.447 -1.0716 0.238
Start of Game Growth 10904 18.16% 33.66 87.58% 1.305 0.7638 0.619
Unlimited Undo 10323 31.37% 31.57 80.88% -0.266 -0.2278 0.105
Using Tokens but Not Events 17265 26.2% 29.4 84.21% 0.887 0.85 0.245

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14018 15.94 8.4%
II 29835 30.51 65.18%
III 37329 34.78 90.66%
IV 22045 38.4 99.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.014 Win Model: -0.079
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 69687 42.31% 27.48 72.38%
2 19747 44.12% 29.97 75.01%
3 7135 38.18% 32.01 79.26%
4 5216 30.15% 29.42 83.99%
5 802 17.21% 26.27 88.03%
6 640 28.48% 26.28 77.97%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33700
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19393
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 21924
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3055
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1067
Lose: Adversary condition 3319
Win: Sacrifice victory 305
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18365
Lose: Spirit destroyed 925

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-25 05:20:10 (Pacific Time)