Second Wave - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	115611	40.85%	28.1	73.15%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	9400	32.27%	30.07	78.36%	0.223	0.1287	0.106
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	263	25.49%	29.98	78.71%	0.727	0.219	-0.595
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4907	49.21%	27.16	70.47%	0.028	0.225	-0.442
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	339	34.13%	29.87	68.73%	0.55	-0.3231	0.016
Dances Up Earthquakes	84	30.95%	21.86	51.19%	-0.45	-0.5891	-0.431
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	9375	30.74%	30.71	83.22%	0.426	0.2034	-0.017
Downpour Drenches the World	1327	30.25%	25.35	67.14%	-0.042	0.2641	0.214
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	1345	29.0%	29.87	75.76%	0.768	0.2136	0.412
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11691	26.48%	32.81	86.04%	0.449	0.0217	0.615
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	9430	28.94%	31.34	84.14%	0.561	0.148	0.254
Finder of Paths Unseen	657	35.9%	23.42	63.17%	-0.463	0.1921	-0.759
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1784	31.27%	27.85	72.2%	-0.123	0.4221	0.127
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	2029	40.02%	25.88	69.39%	0.289	0.2051	-0.633
Heart of the Wildfire	5968	61.72%	22.99	58.96%	-0.2	0.1153	-0.319
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	10092	43.02%	29.26	75.16%	-0.031	-0.4745	-0.026
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	444	36.03%	28.0	72.75%	0.528	0.2348	0.271
Lightning's Swift Strike	6823	49.49%	26.19	69.66%	-0.197	0.0651	-0.279
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	719	36.65%	37.1	74.83%	0.016	-0.3113	0.333
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1111	38.81%	31.15	76.6%	-0.421	-0.7969	0.485
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	999	44.11%	27.44	73.27%	-0.097	0.003	0.189
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	4321	43.56%	28.11	73.85%	0.13	-0.0694	-0.389
Many Minds Move as One	3872	30.07%	30.66	80.84%	0.04	-0.1749	0.968
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	9210	42.22%	29.25	76.43%	0.101	0.2492	0.622
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	116	50.48%	29.63	69.83%	0.473	0.5173	0.76
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	8263	36.55%	29.3	77.31%	0.249	0.1465	-0.198
River Surges in Sunlight	8127	47.32%	27.98	69.53%	-0.113	-0.1151	-0.431
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	153	45.64%	25.73	69.28%	-0.155	0.133	-0.62
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1891	44.02%	28.1	70.49%	0.241	0.444	-0.448
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	924	34.32%	34.65	77.71%	0.287	0.0732	0.126
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	6227	37.41%	29.37	76.2%	0.229	0.0716	0.805
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	59	32.2%	23.64	54.24%	-0.349	-0.732	-0.511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3245	59.5%	24.05	63.36%	-1.08	-0.5039	0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	204	46.15%	27.3	70.59%	-0.45	-0.5094
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	259	43.97%	25.36	64.48%	0.259	-0.1696	-0.4
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	203	44.16%	27.05	65.02%	0.046	0.0523	0.489
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	905	44.61%	26.95	70.28%	-0.026	-0.0855	-0.48
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	551	50.28%	26.3	66.61%	-0.834	-0.6279	0.272
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7505	38.72%	29.38	76.31%	-0.188	-0.1552	-0.316
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	756	34.83%	28.06	73.81%	0.382	0.237	0.265
Shifting Memory of Ages	1729	39.98%	24.67	68.65%	-0.378	-0.053	0.198
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	161	37.58%	27.39	68.94%	-0.365	-0.3164	0.355
Shroud of Silent Mist	1985	43.77%	24.33	68.72%	-0.203	0.1645	-0.264
Starlight Seeks its Form	1860	32.52%	26.89	69.46%	-0.382	-0.4487	0.389
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5662	37.25%	28.13	76.17%	0.347	-0.1361	0.102
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5802	39.06%	27.81	75.22%	0.181	0.3402	0.392
Thunderspeaker	9621	39.64%	29.97	76.31%	0.113	0.1436	0.169
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	433	44.55%	24.14	57.27%	-0.453	-0.2621	-0.328
Towering Roots of the Jungle	359	34.73%	25.42	63.79%	-0.219	-0.0732	0.149
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	3943	56.92%	24.44	65.13%	-0.148	-0.1275	-0.075
Vital Strength of the Earth	7237	32.87%	25.85	71.67%	0.14	0.7211	-0.521
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	745	27.68%	35.43	73.15%	-0.096	0.3878	0.159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	1120	36.14%	24.85	67.59%	-0.234	0.385	-1.216
Volcano Looming High	2825	41.84%	25.79	71.22%	-0.309	-0.2733	0.436
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	619	27.85%	28.1	71.41%	0.457	0.1399	-0.023

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	11	45.45%	15.73	-4.002	36.36%	-0.724	-0.7324
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	47	46.81%	28.32	4.055	59.57%	0.348	-0.0296
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	41	39.02%	31.95	4.304	65.85%	0.029	0.0106
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	24	50.0%	28.17	1.898	45.83%	-0.791	-0.901
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	21	71.43%	28.43	3.665	33.33%	-0.872	-0.4171
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	4	25.0%	26.25	1.543	25.0%	-0.895	-0.0637
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	4	100.0%	7.0	-11.206	0.0%	-1.371	0.3287
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	566	48.67%	30.17	1.37	66.96%	-0.291	0.1202
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1221	47.66%	31.8	3.679	67.57%	-0.133	0.2295
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	789	55.74%	34.49	4.984	56.4%	-0.37	0.1167
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	452	55.7%	36.05	5.592	53.32%	-0.309	0.6871
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	284	66.43%	38.13	4.587	44.37%	-0.949	0.603
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	102	60.4%	39.61	-6.55	44.12%	-0.778	1.1207
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	152	54.61%	39.05	14.273	36.18%	0.3	2.2367
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1329	50.26%	25.42	-3.119	70.35%	-1.031	-0.8411
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	5169	39.66%	30.6	0.808	77.38%	-0.161	-0.1517
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4571	46.86%	37.14	4.326	73.05%	-0.083	-0.0246
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3381	51.97%	41.85	6.207	68.74%	-0.3	-0.0274
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	2180	52.49%	44.04	6.704	67.16%	-0.466	-0.137
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1222	60.95%	46.75	5.861	58.67%	-0.781	-0.3752
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	972	69.79%	43.41	1.723	44.55%	-1.606	-0.3019
The Kingdom of England	0	1	938	45.13%	25.22	-1.696	61.19%	-0.771	-0.4701
The Kingdom of England	1	3	2988	44.42%	31.9	1.144	67.17%	-0.439	-0.1116
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1956	56.49%	30.43	0.381	53.12%	-0.947	-0.3694
The Kingdom of England	3	6	1000	56.86%	34.37	-1.502	46.1%	-1.314	-0.2171
The Kingdom of England	4	7	539	51.61%	37.47	3.986	45.64%	-0.93	0.1097
The Kingdom of England	5	9	242	63.9%	35.31	4.649	28.93%	-0.787	1.0068
The Kingdom of England	6	11	525	55.77%	40.02	9.655	36.76%	-0.747	1.1516
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	726	52.23%	26.9	-0.181	57.99%	-0.48	-0.035
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1731	56.4%	29.49	1.037	59.45%	-0.169	0.6099
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1062	43.02%	31.84	0.646	37.38%	-1.828	-0.591
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	631	48.87%	35.12	2.095	33.76%	-1.762	-0.4484
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	357	50.72%	41.2	4.102	40.34%	-1.071	0.2217
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	209	57.84%	39.92	15.642	32.06%	-0.516	0.5046
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	665	59.25%	44.6	1.514	33.98%	-1.718	-0.283
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	282	44.44%	29.33	0.865	63.12%	0.16	0.4242
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	597	37.42%	31.13	4.824	64.82%	-0.06	0.285
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	575	34.46%	36.25	4.146	68.7%	-0.609	-0.3183
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	484	32.56%	44.23	10.35	68.8%	-0.194	-0.0775
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	377	42.66%	43.33	9.582	62.6%	-0.438	0.2205
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	210	50.24%	43.6	6.045	56.19%	-0.974	-0.3534
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	393	61.07%	47.27	14.383	52.93%	-0.028	1.019
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	985	54.4%	25.49	0.838	69.75%	0.05	0.322
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2573	44.07%	29.32	1.13	75.51%	0.197	0.3303
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2237	52.95%	30.77	2.45	69.65%	-0.104	0.1617
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1580	61.85%	34.66	2.058	61.39%	-0.782	-0.4552
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	963	68.9%	34.47	5.441	53.89%	-0.329	0.4361
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	373	66.58%	36.71	9.632	51.74%	-0.02	1.1421
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	942	77.58%	36.8	2.518	46.82%	-0.873	0.1793
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	501	44.78%	31.98	3.912	69.66%	0.065	0.2761
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	929	51.94%	29.52	0.418	61.46%	-0.558	0.1579
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	561	49.82%	35.52	2.82	68.98%	-0.05	0.1827
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	376	66.67%	35.1	6.186	48.67%	-0.245	0.6648
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	221	59.36%	45.45	0.006	59.73%	-0.875	0.336
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	117	73.5%	39.6	5.408	34.19%	-0.297	1.3186
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	142	68.31%	47.85	-2.096	40.85%	-0.923	0.6846

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	72946	41.04	27.33	71.99%	-0.058	0.2157	-0.337
1	Thematic	3807	51.24	25.52	62.99%	0.251	0.8261	-0.646
2	Archipelago	65	27.69	28.89	78.46%	-1.669	-0.9916	-0.524
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	12508	45.75	29.73	73.27%	0.174	0.2423	0.083
2	Coastline	2317	39.57	29.97	76.26%	0.108	-0.1111	0.629
2	Fragment	502	44.4	27.68	70.92%	-0.272	-0.5392	-0.634
2	Heart	569	38.19	27.13	78.73%	0.084	-0.3863	-0.084
2	Opposite Shores	3591	35.84	29.06	79.42%	0.143	0.1209	-0.69
2	Thematic	2106	52.88	29.84	58.93%	-0.556	-0.1823	0.429
2	Top to Top	671	41.05	30.63	77.35%	0.843	0.5859	0.56
3	Archipelago	54	33.33	31.3	94.44%	0.194	-0.729
3	Coastline	249	20.97	27.72	88.35%	-0.492	-1.4561	0.399
3	Other	921	36.92	26.84	81.98%	0.716	-0.0476	-0.596
3	Round (Default)	6819	38.86	32.78	77.55%	0.087	-0.0666	0.156
3	Sunrise	38	47.37	22.58	71.05%	0.423	0.3449
3	Thematic	408	44.85	28.74	71.08%	0.508	0.3608	0.855
4	Archipelago	41	31.71	32.05	87.8%	-0.4	-0.9272
4	Coastline	196	9.69	27.55	94.39%	0.462	0.4051
4	Leaf	36	50.0	24.86	75.0%
4	Other	658	31.61	29.16	84.95%	1.081	0.3961	0.559
4	Reverse Snake	3	0.0	32.67	100.0%
4	Thematic	679	38.29	30.18	73.05%	0.71	0.5324	-0.263
4	Trapezoid (Default)	4183	29.97	28.91	83.03%	0.174	-0.1549	0.208
5	Archipelago	12	25.0	28.0	75.0%
5	Coastline	86	6.98	25.23	89.53%
5	Other	959	19.6	28.25	90.3%	-0.001	-0.7506	0.315
5	Thematic	113	30.09	27.51	85.84%	0.529	0.1426	-0.158
6	Archipelago	12	25.0	33.25	100.0%
6	Coastline	7	14.29	24.71	71.43%
6	Other	245	29.1	23.67	81.63%	-0.575	-0.9921	-0.153
6	Star	56	44.64	25.79	75.0%	-0.243	0.0927	0.071
6	Thematic	158	33.77	23.08	63.29%	-1.349	-1.3972	-0.292
6	Two Centers (Default)	474	23.21	27.3	77.43%	-0.079	0.1351	0.481
7	Other	37	29.73	21.0	75.68%	-0.132	-1.2135	-0.753

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3456	22.28	45.31%	-1.111	-1.0392	-0.814
Aid From Lesser Spirits	2909	23.66	47.27%	-0.767	-0.8382	-0.719
All Things Weaken	2128	21.13	42.34%	-1.716	-1.457	-0.434
Attenuated Essence	317	24.18	51.42%	-0.862	-0.8976	-0.818
Back Against the Wall	2783	23.16	46.17%	-1.449	-1.3949	-0.835
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	287	20.07	42.51%	-1.306	-1.1607	-0.652
Burn Brightest Before the End	280	25.2	50.36%	-1.097	-1.0807	0.383
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3332	19.7	43.46%	-1.252	-1.0634	-1.214
Downward Spiral	5543	21.14	51.9%	-0.832	-0.7582	-0.768
Erosion of Will	3523	21.13	43.57%	-0.909	-0.7546	-0.834
Intensifying Exploitation	368	21.85	49.46%	-0.563	-0.4273	-0.559
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	808	30.19	84.78%	0.621	0.0071	-0.363
Memory Fades to Dust	5479	20.63	49.13%	-1.1	-0.897	-0.657
Power Corrodes the Spirit	2208	21.71	48.1%	-1.298	-1.1232	-0.522
Promising Farmlands	3342	20.77	45.63%	-1.202	-1.0043	-0.663
Shattered Fragments of Power	270	23.81	44.81%	-1.182	-1.1793	-1.022
Slow Dissolution of Will	315	18.44	39.68%	-1.891	-1.5924	-1.664
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	447	30.11	84.34%	0.398	-0.2986	-0.459
The Border of Life and Death	74	27.59	70.27%	0.156	-0.3419	0.484
Thriving Communities	2319	21.23	47.3%	-0.938	-0.7821	-0.678
Thriving Crops	139	26.59	73.38%	0.716	0.4038	-0.836
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%			-0.552
Unnatural Proliferation	2334	24.28	48.71%	-0.632	-0.5237	-0.41
Untended Land Crumbles	2189	21.92	49.2%	-1.206	-1.0243	-0.722

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	23646	39.76%	28.24	74.7%	-0.526	0.4489	-0.249
B	23672	40.91%	28.96	74.37%	-0.235	0.654	0.242
C	27766	38.06%	28.77	76.22%	-0.162	0.5305	0.039
D	25483	39.24%	28.38	75.45%	-0.171	0.7242	-0.012
E	16761	34.22%	28.1	78.4%	-0.01	0.7194	0.13
F	17720	38.84%	29.0	75.54%	-0.16	0.6715	0.244
G	16470	39.62%	28.58	75.34%	-0.17	0.6092	-0.09
H	17925	37.8%	29.02	76.82%	-0.128	0.6553	0.097
East	4981	47.96%	28.41	63.46%	-1.198	-0.3886	-0.387
Northeast	2534	49.74%	30.33	63.14%	-0.379	0.4194	0.024
Northwest	1840	49.84%	29.94	62.61%	0.158	0.8913	-0.739
Southeast	1819	35.77%	27.0	74.6%	0.737	1.6303	-0.216
Southwest	1161	40.35%	26.06	69.85%	-0.672	0.5864	0.093
West	3772	50.21%	27.87	61.03%	-0.589	0.4083	-0.212

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	3684	0.0%	25.31	73.15%	-0.357	0.3109	-0.406
Not Using Events or Tokens	4265	51.45%	21.16	63.02%	-0.717	-0.2965	-0.177
Skip Initial Invader Actions	7726	19.14%	35.08	86.41%	0.249	-0.5202	0.182
Start of Game Growth	12058	17.6%	33.55	87.09%	1.021	0.5827	0.713
Unlimited Undo	11390	31.02%	31.22	79.53%	-0.422	-0.4876	-0.024
Using Tokens but Not Events	20405	25.3%	29.34	83.22%	0.539	0.4961	0.194

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	16840	13.76	7.99%
II	33059	30.19	64.8%
III	41287	34.82	90.61%
IV	24425	38.63	99.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.166 Win Model: 0.234

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	77546	41.52%	27.26	71.62%
2	22208	43.86%	29.57	73.61%
3	8313	38.28%	31.8	77.87%
4	5759	29.97%	28.99	82.76%
5	968	18.49%	26.38	86.36%
6	817	27.96%	25.49	75.28%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	37260
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	21364
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	24280
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	5056
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1172
Lose: Adversary condition	3781
Win: Sacrifice victory	329
Lose: Blight pool ran out	20031
Lose: Spirit destroyed	996

Wave

Score Model: 0.079 Win Model: 0.066

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	57356	41.14%	28.93	73.08%
3	25802	39.95%	28.74	74.24%
4	14377	42.17%	27.75	71.93%
5	7391	44.37%	26.37	69.87%
6	4097	44.52%	23.92	69.03%
7	2042	42.89%	22.99	69.39%
8	1218	37.58%	23.14	74.63%
9	804	28.85%	23.85	81.84%
10	618	24.01%	23.27	82.52%
11	477	20.58%	24.0	86.58%
12	391	23.45%	24.19	90.03%
13	299	29.68%	22.42	85.28%
14	235	28.96%	22.91	85.96%
15	121	15.45%	24.37	85.95%
16	90	18.07%	27.81	91.11%
17	67	19.67%	28.4	92.54%
18	40	8.33%	27.68	92.5%
19	35	3.13%	28.4	94.29%
20	28	3.85%	28.82	96.43%
21	23	9.09%	26.39	91.3%
22	19	5.56%	27.16	94.74%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave