Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 487 47.31% 30.8 2.268 69.4% -0.175 0.1912
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1131 47.92% 31.92 0.713 67.9% -0.537 -0.222
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 719 57.12% 35.33 4.324 58.41% -0.249 0.5175
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 407 55.2% 36.05 3.161 53.32% -0.714 0.2429
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 261 68.73% 38.06 3.83 44.06% -0.665 0.6414
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 0.0 44.68%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 135 55.56% 41.01 -4.402 37.78% -0.748 1.2291
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1235 50.12% 25.61 1.333 71.74% 0.253 0.4671
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4844 39.84% 30.86 2.773 78.28% 0.242 0.3517
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4260 47.09% 37.44 6.265 73.66% 0.171 0.2463
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3141 52.52% 42.27 5.239 69.34% -0.576 -0.3949
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1998 52.39% 44.69 6.77 68.17% -0.535 -0.1446
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1131 61.17% 47.39 9.136 59.42% -0.478 0.0584
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 908 70.09% 43.96 7.022 45.37% -0.399 0.8879
The Kingdom of England 0 1 854 45.83% 25.52 -1.813 62.41% -0.818 -0.4053
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2779 44.52% 32.14 1.272 67.69% -0.484 -0.2042
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1790 56.77% 30.73 2.948 53.8% -0.261 0.3185
The Kingdom of England 3 6 911 56.68% 34.88 3.352 46.98% -1.119 0.0347
The Kingdom of England 4 7 503 52.12% 37.36 6.896 45.13% -0.855 0.2351
The Kingdom of England 5 9 213 66.04% 35.92 3.956 29.58% -1.269 0.1271
The Kingdom of England 6 11 372 60.49% 39.74 5.516 33.87% -0.956 1.0267
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 662 53.2% 27.26 2.848 59.06% -0.317 0.1469
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1565 56.76% 29.98 1.229 60.58% -0.371 0.2841
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 930 42.78% 32.56 2.564 39.03% -1.139 -0.1524
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 587 49.48% 35.01 6.505 33.05% -0.781 0.5792
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 331 51.38% 40.51 7.551 38.97% -0.835 0.5106
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 189 59.04% 39.11 3.342 30.69% -0.985 -0.0067
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 629 60.1% 45.35 4.708 34.66% -1.056 0.3662
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 212 41.5% 31.16 3.306 65.09% -0.058 0.0811
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 433 37.96% 31.32 1.456 64.9% -0.511 -0.0885
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 385 32.37% 36.57 6.176 70.39% -0.088 0.2976
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 351 34.29% 44.61 11.144 69.23% 0.044 0.4319
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 280 45.32% 43.47 9.465 63.21% -0.273 0.3998
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 142 51.41% 46.31 4.516 61.97% -1.22 -0.5844
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 305 64.92% 47.7 12.033 53.77% -0.123 0.9295
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 884 56.1% 25.43 -3.028 70.7% -0.537 -0.2341
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2428 44.09% 29.49 0.698 76.11% -0.14 -0.0724
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2088 53.49% 30.9 1.784 70.21% -0.213 -0.0906
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1457 62.37% 34.8 3.629 61.77% -0.519 -0.1427
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 885 70.37% 34.91 5.475 54.58% -0.416 0.1712
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 334 67.27% 36.2 -2.342 50.9% -1.414 -0.3247
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 837 78.49% 37.24 6.674 47.19% -0.412 0.5325
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 408 47.55% 31.52 2.125 70.1% -0.481 -0.417
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 821 52.87% 29.99 0.824 62.85% -0.703 0.0919
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 497 49.09% 36.16 2.533 70.62% -0.466 0.0408
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 341 66.28% 35.47 6.688 49.56% -0.27 0.6829
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 195 59.28% 45.75 15.857 60.51% 0.515 1.393
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 112 75.0% 39.5 23.537 33.04% 0.379 1.7502
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 128 72.66% 49.51 8.126 42.19% -0.72 1.1001

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 67086 41.6 27.5 72.7% -0.155 0.1891 -0.289
1 Thematic 3539 51.72 25.93 63.35% 0.027 0.5542 -0.535
2 Archipelago 51 29.41 33.02 88.24% -0.015 0.4841 -0.564
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11433 45.81 30.04 74.17% 0.138 0.4225 0.161
2 Coastline 2140 40.5 30.24 77.38% 0.153 0.1818 0.682
2 Fragment 438 45.87 27.25 71.92% 0.514 0.2771 -0.712
2 Heart 518 40.16 27.2 78.19% 0.35 0.2024 -0.141
2 Opposite Shores 3315 35.57 29.31 80.48% 0.513 0.5716 -0.986
2 Thematic 1830 53.77 30.95 62.19% -0.82 -0.4501 0.474
2 Top to Top 581 41.77 30.79 77.62% 0.042 0.1656 0.423
3 Archipelago 52 32.69 31.17 94.23% -0.075 -0.873
3 Coastline 219 21.56 28.42 89.5% 0.587 0.0377 0.551
3 Other 853 37.28 27.05 82.3% 0.475 -0.0623 -0.64
3 Round (Default) 6045 38.81 32.91 78.64% -0.04 -0.1325 0.266
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 345 44.06 29.11 72.17% 1.028 0.5094 0.999
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5% 0.216 0.6491
4 Coastline 173 9.25 27.45 94.22% 0.07 -0.6906
4 Leaf 32 50.0 26.06 78.13% -0.266 -0.4777
4 Other 587 31.69 29.74 85.86% 0.446 0.4534 0.457
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 636 37.26 30.51 74.06% -0.361 -0.2276 -0.416
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3895 30.34 29.17 84.01% 0.077 0.1836 0.334
5 Archipelago 12 25.0 28.0 75.0% -0.642 -0.4743
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 848 18.63 28.02 90.92% -0.273 -0.7879 0.237
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% -0.034 -1.0162 -0.197
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.022 -0.7073
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.522 -1.561
6 Other 193 29.69 24.33 83.42% 0.309 0.9438 -0.18
6 Star 43 46.51 26.58 76.74% -0.121 0.1233 0.119
6 Thematic 129 34.88 24.33 67.44% -0.291 0.0321 -0.25
6 Two Centers (Default) 395 23.04 27.68 80.25% 0.198 0.0944 0.505
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.223 -1.6602 -0.673

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3287 22.31 45.54% -0.96 -0.8563 -0.764
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2748 23.62 47.34% -1.013 -1.1575 -0.7
All Things Weaken 1948 21.13 42.92% -1.701 -1.3349 -0.338
Attenuated Essence 210 22.13 49.05% -0.765 -0.767 -1.172
Back Against the Wall 2628 23.18 46.31% -0.999 -0.9338 -0.771
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 187 20.22 42.78% -0.698 -0.4629 -0.425
Burn Brightest Before the End 186 23.4 53.23% -0.458 -0.2975 -0.174
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3168 19.8 43.94% -1.307 -0.9313 -1.136
Downward Spiral 5200 21.22 52.44% -0.57 -0.4977 -0.694
Erosion of Will 3294 21.2 43.69% -0.853 -0.5967 -0.873
Intensifying Exploitation 248 21.92 51.61% -0.54 -0.2661 -0.26
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 747 30.44 85.81% -0.085 -0.5719 -0.27
Memory Fades to Dust 5187 20.71 49.49% -1.462 -1.2793 -0.578
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2045 21.79 48.51% -1.204 -0.9909 -0.55
Promising Farmlands 3155 20.94 46.21% -0.908 -0.5854 -0.629
Shattered Fragments of Power 152 23.49 40.79% -1.184 -1.0137 -0.749
Slow Dissolution of Will 212 18.02 41.04% -0.697 -0.3128 -1.308
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 400 31.2 86.5% 0.138 -0.5382 -0.252
The Border of Life and Death 41 22.0 65.85% -0.375 -0.8913 -0.316
Thriving Communities 2144 21.18 47.85% -1.634 -1.3098 -0.569
Thriving Crops 91 25.1 70.33% -0.913 -0.912 -0.705
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.531
Unnatural Proliferation 2135 24.45 49.09% -1.228 -1.0409 -0.39
Untended Land Crumbles 2033 22.08 49.63% -0.824 -0.4846 -0.668

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21578 40.24% 28.42 75.46% -0.069 0.7941 -0.325
B 21774 41.05% 29.2 75.27% -0.081 0.7404 0.259
C 25487 38.28% 29.0 77.18% 0.108 0.8056 0.093
D 23515 39.57% 28.62 76.36% -0.158 0.6982 0.01
E 14646 35.09% 28.34 79.13% 0.263 0.9514 0.189
F 16085 39.17% 29.01 76.33% -0.195 0.623 0.289
G 15143 39.86% 28.73 76.12% -0.09 0.7902 0.018
H 16335 37.95% 29.22 77.86% 0.027 0.8073 0.086
East 4405 48.28% 29.23 65.31% -1.093 -0.2999 -0.469
Northeast 2236 50.29% 31.19 64.67% 0.61 1.4907 0.091
Northwest 1604 50.53% 30.81 63.97% -0.362 0.5087 -0.691
Southeast 1631 35.28% 27.49 75.54% 0.311 1.1698 -0.181
Southwest 1053 40.08% 26.68 71.51% -0.695 0.5145 0.087
West 3326 50.56% 28.65 62.99% -0.66 0.4003 -0.157

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3282 0.0% 24.62 73.46% 0.059 0.7745 -0.432
Not Using Events or Tokens 3988 51.34% 21.66 64.67% -0.848 -0.374 -0.136
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7272 18.93% 35.0 86.83% 0.337 -0.2301 0.23
Start of Game Growth 11195 17.86% 33.63 87.53% 1.045 0.3809 0.61
Unlimited Undo 10527 31.26% 31.54 80.64% -1.038 -1.0151 0.072
Using Tokens but Not Events 17902 25.94% 29.43 84.14% 0.57 0.618 0.225

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14525 15.45 8.34%
II 30494 30.45 65.16%
III 38192 34.8 90.65%
IV 22569 38.47 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.084 Win Model: 0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71321 42.09% 27.44 72.32%
2 20225 44.06% 29.9 74.78%
3 7382 38.19% 31.96 78.95%
4 5351 30.16% 29.27 83.67%
5 835 17.37% 26.39 87.66%
6 666 28.42% 26.09 77.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34478
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19818
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22445
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3415
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1091
Lose: Adversary condition 3391
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18692
Lose: Spirit destroyed 935

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)