Second Wave - Statistics

Results using Spirits

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	100399	41.59%	28.42	74.29%

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	8507	32.63%	30.15	79.17%	0.044	-0.0208	0.099
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4542	49.06%	27.64	71.91%	-0.134	0.0388	-0.324
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	92	32.61%	27.79	60.87%	-0.039	-1.0228	-0.275
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	8374	31.07%	31.02	84.31%	0.624	0.4492	-0.057
Downpour Drenches the World	819	27.59%	26.74	72.77%	-0.583	-0.3417	0.535
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	710	29.64%	29.55	74.65%	0.31	-0.226	-0.0
Eyes Watch From the Trees	10479	26.65%	33.06	86.84%	0.749	0.2394	0.719
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	8451	28.99%	31.6	84.91%	0.546	0.104	0.148
Finder of Paths Unseen	422	37.17%	24.5	68.01%	-0.796	-0.0657	-0.412
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1428	32.01%	27.99	75.07%	-0.357	0.3032	-0.407
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	1443	39.54%	26.55	73.6%	-0.223	-0.2057	-0.825
Heart of the Wildfire	5375	62.16%	23.21	59.68%	-0.54	-0.2466	-0.4
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	9059	43.74%	29.45	75.91%	0.268	-0.1524	-0.043
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	134	40.15%	28.88	71.64%	0.301	-0.1325	0.759
Lightning's Swift Strike	6315	49.68%	26.63	70.86%	-0.125	0.0822	-0.318
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	468	33.11%	38.03	75.85%	0.332	-0.2551	0.523
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	977	39.26%	32.19	79.32%	0.21	-0.1123	0.556
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	792	43.32%	29.09	77.27%	0.005	-0.2065	0.183
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	3543	44.08%	28.75	76.01%	-0.081	-0.3486	-0.373
Many Minds Move as One	3201	30.59%	31.52	83.72%	0.085	-0.1049	1.107
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	8120	42.94%	29.46	77.32%	0.104	0.1148	0.637
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	7254	37.38%	29.51	78.07%	0.338	0.1735	-0.235
River Surges in Sunlight	7478	47.89%	28.22	70.02%	-0.425	-0.368	-0.491
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1650	43.73%	28.67	72.18%	0.091	0.4846	-0.599
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	597	31.03%	35.29	80.23%	0.547	0.4758	-0.03
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	5527	38.33%	29.4	76.66%	-0.064	-0.1469	0.495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3037	59.56%	24.73	65.33%	-0.956	-0.4091	-0.143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	140	46.38%	30.61	77.86%	0.812	0.9177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	81	48.75%	24.73	62.96%	-0.32	-0.6895	-0.109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	153	42.28%	27.33	66.01%	-0.247	-0.0604	0.511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	788	45.83%	27.37	71.95%	-0.191	-0.2997	-0.899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	488	50.94%	27.17	69.06%	0.018	0.2712	0.277
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	6855	38.95%	29.87	77.43%	0.198	0.158	-0.35
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	366	33.06%	27.91	76.5%	0.176	-0.1244	-0.848
Shifting Memory of Ages	1355	39.01%	25.39	72.55%	-0.064	0.2535	-0.036
Shroud of Silent Mist	1490	45.15%	25.04	70.67%	0.018	0.3374	-0.031
Starlight Seeks its Form	1283	33.15%	27.74	73.73%	-0.545	-0.7779	0.579
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	4856	37.59%	28.22	77.18%	0.186	-0.3476	0.057
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5096	40.23%	28.08	75.84%	-0.341	-0.1635	0.396
Thunderspeaker	8716	40.15%	30.24	77.24%	-0.003	0.0245	0.202
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	208	46.77%	27.11	62.02%	-0.006	0.1561	-0.11
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	3436	57.32%	24.88	66.27%	-0.472	-0.3287	-0.091
Vital Strength of the Earth	6539	33.88%	26.15	72.0%	-0.421	0.1358	-0.591
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	477	23.61%	37.42	78.2%	0.597	0.9557	0.522
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	942	37.08%	25.06	68.58%	-0.397	0.3498	-1.165
Volcano Looming High	2254	43.38%	26.17	73.29%	0.181	0.1658	0.362
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	183	30.6%	29.52	73.77%	0.456	-0.0435	0.434

Spirit

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

A Spread of Rampant Green

8507

32.63%

30.15

79.17%

0.044

-0.0208

0.099

Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares

4542

49.06%

27.64

71.91%

-0.134

0.0388

-0.324

Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence

32.61%

27.79

60.87%

-0.039

-1.0228

-0.275

Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot

8374

31.07%

31.02

84.31%

0.624

0.4492

-0.057

Downpour Drenches the World

819

27.59%

26.74

72.77%

-0.583

-0.3417

0.535

Ember-Eyed Behemoth

710

29.64%

29.55

74.65%

0.31

-0.226

-0.0

Eyes Watch From the Trees

10479

26.65%

33.06

86.84%

0.749

0.2394

0.719

Fathomless Mud of the Swamp

8451

28.99%

31.6

84.91%

0.546

0.104

0.148

Finder of Paths Unseen

422

37.17%

24.5

68.01%

-0.796

-0.0657

-0.412

Fractured Days Split the Sky

1428

32.01%

27.99

75.07%

-0.357

0.3032

-0.407

Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble

1443

39.54%

26.55

73.6%

-0.223

-0.2057

-0.825

Heart of the Wildfire

5375

62.16%

23.21

59.68%

-0.54

-0.2466

-0.4

Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds

9059

43.74%

29.45

75.91%

0.268

-0.1524

-0.043

Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility

134

40.15%

28.88

71.64%

0.301

-0.1325

0.759

Lightning's Swift Strike

6315

49.68%

26.63

70.86%

-0.125

0.0822

-0.318

Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense

468

33.11%

38.03

75.85%

0.332

-0.2551

0.523

Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium

977

39.26%

32.19

79.32%

0.21

-0.1123

0.556

Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind

792

43.32%

29.09

77.27%

0.005

-0.2065

0.183

Lure of the Deep Wilderness

3543

44.08%

28.75

76.01%

-0.081

-0.3486

-0.373

Many Minds Move as One

3201

30.59%

31.52

83.72%

0.085

-0.1049

1.107

Ocean's Hungry Grasp

8120

42.94%

29.46

77.32%

0.104

0.1148

0.637

Rising Heat of Stone and Sand

7254

37.38%

29.51

78.07%

0.338

0.1735

-0.235

River Surges in Sunlight

7478

47.89%

28.22

70.02%

-0.425

-0.368

-0.491

River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine

1650

43.73%

28.67

72.18%

0.091

0.4846

-0.599

River Surges in Sunlight — Travel

597

31.03%

35.29

80.23%

0.547

0.4758

-0.03

Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island

5527

38.33%

29.4

76.66%

-0.064

-0.1469

0.495

Shadows Flicker Like Flame

3037

59.56%

24.73

65.33%

-0.956

-0.4091

-0.143

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous

140

46.38%

30.61

77.86%

0.812

0.9177

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire

48.75%

24.73

62.96%

-0.32

-0.6895

-0.109

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding

153

42.28%

27.33

66.01%

-0.247

-0.0604

0.511

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness

788

45.83%

27.37

71.95%

-0.191

-0.2997

-0.899

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach

488

50.94%

27.17

69.06%

0.018

0.2712

0.277

Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves

6855

38.95%

29.87

77.43%

0.198

0.158

-0.35

Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained

366

33.06%

27.91

76.5%

0.176

-0.1244

-0.848

Shifting Memory of Ages

1355

39.01%

25.39

72.55%

-0.064

0.2535

-0.036

Shroud of Silent Mist

1490

45.15%

25.04

70.67%

0.018

0.3374

-0.031

Starlight Seeks its Form

1283

33.15%

27.74

73.73%

-0.545

-0.7779

0.579

Stone's Unyielding Defiance

4856

37.59%

28.22

77.18%

0.186

-0.3476

0.057

Sun-Bright Whirlwind

5096

40.23%

28.08

75.84%

-0.341

-0.1635

0.396

Thunderspeaker

8716

40.15%

30.24

77.24%

-0.003

0.0245

0.202

Thunderspeaker — Tactician

208

46.77%

27.11

62.02%

-0.006

0.1561

-0.11

Vengeance as a Burning Plague

3436

57.32%

24.88

66.27%

-0.472

-0.3287

-0.091

Vital Strength of the Earth

6539

33.88%

26.15

72.0%

-0.421

0.1358

-0.591

Vital Strength of the Earth — Might

477

23.61%

37.42

78.2%

0.597

0.9557

0.522

Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience

942

37.08%

25.06

68.58%

-0.397

0.3498

-1.165

Volcano Looming High

2254

43.38%

26.17

73.29%

0.181

0.1658

0.362

Wandering Voice Keens Delirium

183

30.6%

29.52

73.77%

0.456

-0.0435

0.434

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	447	46.31%	30.72	-3.699	70.02%	-1.074	-0.6518
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1091	48.03%	32.19	1.624	68.65%	-0.366	-0.0859
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	695	57.86%	35.49	6.228	58.71%	-0.16	0.5326
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	392	56.41%	36.24	2.488	53.57%	-1.037	0.0528
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	249	69.35%	38.49	1.262	44.98%	-1.363	-0.0222
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	91	58.24%	40.98	15.399	46.15%	0.249	1.5558
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	128	53.91%	41.14	-9.312	38.28%	-2.164	-0.1871
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1172	50.09%	25.59	0.464	72.44%	-0.059	0.1332
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	4677	39.91%	31.04	0.91	78.85%	-0.281	-0.195
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4074	47.5%	37.52	2.952	73.83%	-0.312	-0.2073
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3006	52.7%	42.61	4.862	69.99%	-0.511	-0.254
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	1923	52.16%	44.89	5.593	68.43%	-0.697	-0.4302
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1090	61.45%	47.77	6.645	59.82%	-0.901	-0.3408
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	873	69.49%	44.11	9.941	45.36%	-0.697	0.7173
The Kingdom of England	0	1	804	45.82%	25.4	-1.515	63.31%	-0.934	-0.6
The Kingdom of England	1	3	2692	44.6%	32.37	0.673	68.16%	-0.627	-0.3236
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1712	56.92%	30.78	1.919	53.74%	-0.812	-0.0927
The Kingdom of England	3	6	847	56.58%	35.08	5.254	47.23%	-0.788	0.3817
The Kingdom of England	4	7	474	52.11%	37.01	5.759	44.51%	-1.096	0.0353
The Kingdom of England	5	9	204	66.5%	36.34	0.838	29.9%	-1.121	0.3839
The Kingdom of England	6	11	362	60.5%	39.94	-4.007	34.25%	-2.61	-0.6945
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	633	53.55%	26.95	-2.592	59.24%	-0.976	-0.5071
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1506	56.92%	30.09	1.21	60.96%	-0.454	0.2659
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	861	42.59%	32.8	2.024	39.84%	-1.634	-0.529
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	551	49.36%	34.79	9.184	32.3%	-0.59	0.8622
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	313	51.92%	40.04	7.294	37.7%	-1.191	0.2114
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	180	58.66%	39.24	-2.942	31.11%	-1.589	-0.6736
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	601	61.06%	45.14	0.6	33.94%	-1.124	0.2514
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	161	42.24%	29.93	-3.252	66.46%	-0.707	-0.4318
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	381	38.16%	32.12	2.627	66.4%	-0.345	0.2098
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	322	31.66%	36.25	5.622	69.57%	-0.155	0.1175
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	276	36.13%	44.04	7.665	68.12%	-0.747	-0.3431
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	214	41.59%	43.96	10.523	64.49%	-0.256	0.6213
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	111	46.85%	48.72	14.805	65.77%	0.216	0.9457
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	241	67.63%	48.71	14.61	55.19%	-0.157	0.829
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	846	55.91%	25.23	-1.885	70.92%	-0.161	0.0502
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2337	44.31%	29.66	1.369	76.55%	0.047	0.1331
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	1985	53.71%	30.97	0.73	70.53%	-0.308	-0.0966
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1388	63.32%	34.88	4.761	61.89%	-0.139	0.2298
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	833	71.27%	34.86	4.221	54.38%	-0.629	0.1172
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	307	67.75%	37.43	-2.958	52.44%	-1.296	-0.5063
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	795	80.5%	37.4	5.267	47.04%	-0.455	0.5756
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	369	49.32%	31.74	-1.174	71.54%	-0.518	-0.4015
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	779	53.8%	30.34	-3.729	63.8%	-1.373	-0.4046
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	461	47.72%	36.72	2.228	72.02%	-0.558	-0.3506
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	320	65.94%	35.4	1.639	49.38%	-1.003	0.0781
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	179	58.43%	44.7	3.145	59.78%	-0.865	0.1414
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	108	77.78%	38.94	0.737	31.48%	-0.638	0.9522
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	118	73.73%	50.78	11.167	43.22%	-0.016	1.7478

Adversary

Level

Difficulty

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Score Model

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

447

46.31%

30.72

-3.699

70.02%

-1.074

-0.6518

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

1091

48.03%

32.19

1.624

68.65%

-0.366

-0.0859

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

695

57.86%

35.49

6.228

58.71%

-0.16

0.5326

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

392

56.41%

36.24

2.488

53.57%

-1.037

0.0528

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

249

69.35%

38.49

1.262

44.98%

-1.363

-0.0222

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

58.24%

40.98

15.399

46.15%

0.249

1.5558

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

128

53.91%

41.14

-9.312

38.28%

-2.164

-0.1871

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

1172

50.09%

25.59

0.464

72.44%

-0.059

0.1332

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

4677

39.91%

31.04

0.91

78.85%

-0.281

-0.195

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

4074

47.5%

37.52

2.952

73.83%

-0.312

-0.2073

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

3006

52.7%

42.61

4.862

69.99%

-0.511

-0.254

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

1923

52.16%

44.89

5.593

68.43%

-0.697

-0.4302

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

1090

61.45%

47.77

6.645

59.82%

-0.901

-0.3408

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

873

69.49%

44.11

9.941

45.36%

-0.697

0.7173

The Kingdom of England

804

45.82%

25.4

-1.515

63.31%

-0.934

-0.6

The Kingdom of England

2692

44.6%

32.37

0.673

68.16%

-0.627

-0.3236

The Kingdom of England

1712

56.92%

30.78

1.919

53.74%

-0.812

-0.0927

The Kingdom of England

847

56.58%

35.08

5.254

47.23%

-0.788

0.3817

The Kingdom of England

474

52.11%

37.01

5.759

44.51%

-1.096

0.0353

The Kingdom of England

204

66.5%

36.34

0.838

29.9%

-1.121

0.3839

The Kingdom of England

362

60.5%

39.94

-4.007

34.25%

-2.61

-0.6945

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

633

53.55%

26.95

-2.592

59.24%

-0.976

-0.5071

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

1506

56.92%

30.09

1.21

60.96%

-0.454

0.2659

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

861

42.59%

32.8

2.024

39.84%

-1.634

-0.529

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

551

49.36%

34.79

9.184

32.3%

-0.59

0.8622

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

313

51.92%

40.04

7.294

37.7%

-1.191

0.2114

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

180

58.66%

39.24

-2.942

31.11%

-1.589

-0.6736

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

601

61.06%

45.14

0.6

33.94%

-1.124

0.2514

The Kingdom of Scotland

161

42.24%

29.93

-3.252

66.46%

-0.707

-0.4318

The Kingdom of Scotland

381

38.16%

32.12

2.627

66.4%

-0.345

0.2098

The Kingdom of Scotland

322

31.66%

36.25

5.622

69.57%

-0.155

0.1175

The Kingdom of Scotland

276

36.13%

44.04

7.665

68.12%

-0.747

-0.3431

The Kingdom of Scotland

214

41.59%

43.96

10.523

64.49%

-0.256

0.6213

The Kingdom of Scotland

111

46.85%

48.72

14.805

65.77%

0.216

0.9457

The Kingdom of Scotland

241

67.63%

48.71

14.61

55.19%

-0.157

0.829

The Kingdom of Sweden

846

55.91%

25.23

-1.885

70.92%

-0.161

0.0502

The Kingdom of Sweden

2337

44.31%

29.66

1.369

76.55%

0.047

0.1331

The Kingdom of Sweden

1985

53.71%

30.97

0.73

70.53%

-0.308

-0.0966

The Kingdom of Sweden

1388

63.32%

34.88

4.761

61.89%

-0.139

0.2298

The Kingdom of Sweden

833

71.27%

34.86

4.221

54.38%

-0.629

0.1172

The Kingdom of Sweden

307

67.75%

37.43

-2.958

52.44%

-1.296

-0.5063

The Kingdom of Sweden

795

80.5%

37.4

5.267

47.04%

-0.455

0.5756

The Tsardom of Russia

369

49.32%

31.74

-1.174

71.54%

-0.518

-0.4015

The Tsardom of Russia

779

53.8%

30.34

-3.729

63.8%

-1.373

-0.4046

The Tsardom of Russia

461

47.72%

36.72

2.228

72.02%

-0.558

-0.3506

The Tsardom of Russia

320

65.94%

35.4

1.639

49.38%

-1.003

0.0781

The Tsardom of Russia

179

58.43%

44.7

3.145

59.78%

-0.865

0.1414

The Tsardom of Russia

108

77.78%

38.94

0.737

31.48%

-0.638

0.9522

The Tsardom of Russia

118

73.73%

50.78

11.167

43.22%

-0.016

1.7478

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	63870	41.98	27.61	72.97%	-0.407	-0.35	-0.301
1	Thematic	3389	52.4	26.0	62.97%	-0.379	0.0856	-0.579
2	Archipelago	46	28.26	33.28	86.96%	0.403	0.7161	-0.61
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	10922	46.08	30.02	74.4%	0.001	-0.062	0.147
2	Coastline	2026	40.54	30.38	77.69%	-0.287	-0.2271	0.673
2	Fragment	397	47.09	27.03	71.03%	-0.177	-0.5321	-0.705
2	Heart	466	42.08	27.15	77.68%	-0.636	-0.7084	-0.226
2	Opposite Shores	3171	35.14	29.45	80.89%	-0.35	-0.4693	-0.753
2	Thematic	1722	53.9	31.57	64.63%	0.069	0.2226	0.45
2	Top to Top	543	41.19	30.97	78.08%	-0.023	-0.1517	0.428
3	Archipelago	51	31.37	31.78	96.08%	0.236	-0.5769
3	Coastline	191	24.21	28.62	89.53%	0.626	-0.2437	0.536
3	Other	777	37.84	27.32	82.88%	0.097	-0.3903	-0.567
3	Round (Default)	5657	38.31	32.9	79.09%	-0.059	-0.3596	0.282
3	Sunrise	31	54.84	23.39	70.97%	-0.119	0.2913
3	Thematic	323	41.8	29.41	73.37%	-0.349	-0.7094	0.85
4	Archipelago	40	32.5	32.0	87.5%	-0.041	-0.4178
4	Coastline	149	9.4	27.23	94.63%	0.551	-0.3608
4	Leaf	31	48.39	26.9	80.65%	-0.13	0.0469
4	Other	553	31.65	29.92	86.08%	1.475	0.3942	-0.011
4	Reverse Snake	3	0.0	32.67	100.0%
4	Thematic	581	36.83	32.09	77.45%	0.474	0.525	-0.35
4	Trapezoid (Default)	3744	30.66	29.45	84.48%	-0.129	-0.0825	0.481
5	Archipelago	10	30.0	30.3	80.0%
5	Coastline	73	8.22	25.63	90.41%	0.267	-0.4442
5	Other	762	18.77	28.18	91.99%	-0.02	-0.8924	-0.092
5	Thematic	107	29.91	27.93	87.85%
6	Archipelago	10	30.0	33.3	100.0%
6	Coastline	2	50.0	27.0	100.0%
6	Other	161	30.63	24.43	84.47%	-0.131	0.2772	-0.206
6	Star	41	43.9	27.34	78.05%	0.301	0.3864	0.177
6	Thematic	119	36.13	25.5	70.59%	-0.151	0.2584	-0.221
6	Two Centers (Default)	342	22.81	27.45	80.99%	-0.375	-0.2344	0.501
7	Other	25	32.0	21.2	84.0%	-0.74	-1.0044	-0.306

# Boards

Layout

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

Single Board

63870

41.98

27.61

72.97%

-0.407

-0.35

-0.301

Thematic

3389

52.4

26.0

62.97%

-0.379

0.0856

-0.579

Archipelago

28.26

33.28

86.96%

0.403

0.7161

-0.61

Bottom to Bottom (Default)

10922

46.08

30.02

74.4%

0.001

-0.062

0.147

Coastline

2026

40.54

30.38

77.69%

-0.287

-0.2271

0.673

Fragment

397

47.09

27.03

71.03%

-0.177

-0.5321

-0.705

Heart

466

42.08

27.15

77.68%

-0.636

-0.7084

-0.226

Opposite Shores

3171

35.14

29.45

80.89%

-0.35

-0.4693

-0.753

Thematic

1722

53.9

31.57

64.63%

0.069

0.2226

0.45

Top to Top

543

41.19

30.97

78.08%

-0.023

-0.1517

0.428

Archipelago

31.37

31.78

96.08%

0.236

-0.5769

Coastline

191

24.21

28.62

89.53%

0.626

-0.2437

0.536

Other

777

37.84

27.32

82.88%

0.097

-0.3903

-0.567

Round (Default)

5657

38.31

32.9

79.09%

-0.059

-0.3596

0.282

Sunrise

54.84

23.39

70.97%

-0.119

0.2913

Thematic

323

41.8

29.41

73.37%

-0.349

-0.7094

0.85

Archipelago

32.5

32.0

87.5%

-0.041

-0.4178

Coastline

149

9.4

27.23

94.63%

0.551

-0.3608

Leaf

48.39

26.9

80.65%

-0.13

0.0469

Other

553

31.65

29.92

86.08%

1.475

0.3942

-0.011

Reverse Snake

0.0

32.67

100.0%

Thematic

581

36.83

32.09

77.45%

0.474

0.525

-0.35

Trapezoid (Default)

3744

30.66

29.45

84.48%

-0.129

-0.0825

0.481

Archipelago

30.0

30.3

80.0%

Coastline

8.22

25.63

90.41%

0.267

-0.4442

Other

762

18.77

28.18

91.99%

-0.02

-0.8924

-0.092

Thematic

107

29.91

27.93

87.85%

Archipelago

30.0

33.3

100.0%

Coastline

50.0

27.0

100.0%

Other

161

30.63

24.43

84.47%

-0.131

0.2772

-0.206

Star

43.9

27.34

78.05%

0.301

0.3864

0.177

Thematic

119

36.13

25.5

70.59%

-0.151

0.2584

-0.221

Two Centers (Default)

342

22.81

27.45

80.99%

-0.375

-0.2344

0.501

Other

32.0

21.2

84.0%

-0.74

-1.0044

-0.306

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3191	22.35	45.69%	-1.209	-1.0972	-0.78
Aid From Lesser Spirits	2650	23.63	47.4%	-0.875	-0.9765	-0.733
All Things Weaken	1855	21.23	43.4%	-1.612	-1.3079	-0.406
Attenuated Essence	161	22.4	50.93%	-0.987	-0.9394	-1.268
Back Against the Wall	2537	23.12	46.2%	-1.02	-1.0089	-0.908
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	152	19.86	42.76%	-0.774	-0.6245	-0.348
Burn Brightest Before the End	145	23.35	50.34%	-1.244	-1.15	-0.518
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3056	19.9	44.21%	-1.096	-0.7558	-1.037
Downward Spiral	5002	21.22	52.38%	-1.183	-0.9998	-0.731
Erosion of Will	3172	21.2	43.6%	-1.255	-1.0067	-0.87
Intensifying Exploitation	200	20.98	50.5%	-0.729	-0.5148	-0.234
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	710	30.65	86.9%	0.503	-0.1021	-0.365
Memory Fades to Dust	4998	20.78	49.8%	-1.14	-0.8529	-0.572
Power Corrodes the Spirit	1940	21.78	48.45%	-0.867	-0.6665	-0.565
Promising Farmlands	3053	20.95	46.32%	-1.583	-1.2586	-0.732
Shattered Fragments of Power	110	23.72	38.18%	-1.274	-1.1514	-0.644
Slow Dissolution of Will	168	17.45	38.1%	-1.859	-1.4659	-0.84
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	381	31.4	87.4%	-0.201	-0.9622	-0.123
The Border of Life and Death	33	22.24	66.67%	-0.524	-0.9849	-0.307
Thriving Communities	2036	21.26	48.08%	-1.054	-0.7358	-0.453
Thriving Crops	76	25.46	73.68%	0.487	0.4191	-0.463
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%			-0.544
Unnatural Proliferation	2017	24.61	49.33%	-1.078	-0.8881	-0.38
Untended Land Crumbles	1948	21.97	49.59%	-1.098	-0.8736	-0.575

Blight Card

Completed

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

A Pall Upon the Land

3191

22.35

45.69%

-1.209

-1.0972

-0.78

Aid From Lesser Spirits

2650

23.63

47.4%

-0.875

-0.9765

-0.733

All Things Weaken

1855

21.23

43.4%

-1.612

-1.3079

-0.406

Attenuated Essence

161

22.4

50.93%

-0.987

-0.9394

-1.268

Back Against the Wall

2537

23.12

46.2%

-1.02

-1.0089

-0.908

Blight Corrodes the Spirit

152

19.86

42.76%

-0.774

-0.6245

-0.348

Burn Brightest Before the End

145

23.35

50.34%

-1.244

-1.15

-0.518

Disintegrating Ecosystem

3056

19.9

44.21%

-1.096

-0.7558

-1.037

Downward Spiral

5002

21.22

52.38%

-1.183

-0.9998

-0.731

Erosion of Will

3172

21.2

43.6%

-1.255

-1.0067

-0.87

Intensifying Exploitation

200

20.98

50.5%

-0.729

-0.5148

-0.234

Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking

710

30.65

86.9%

0.503

-0.1021

-0.365

Memory Fades to Dust

4998

20.78

49.8%

-1.14

-0.8529

-0.572

Power Corrodes the Spirit

1940

21.78

48.45%

-0.867

-0.6665

-0.565

Promising Farmlands

3053

20.95

46.32%

-1.583

-1.2586

-0.732

Shattered Fragments of Power

110

23.72

38.18%

-1.274

-1.1514

-0.644

Slow Dissolution of Will

168

17.45

38.1%

-1.859

-1.4659

-0.84

Strong Earth Shatters Slowly

381

31.4

87.4%

-0.201

-0.9622

-0.123

The Border of Life and Death

22.24

66.67%

-0.524

-0.9849

-0.307

Thriving Communities

2036

21.26

48.08%

-1.054

-0.7358

-0.453

Thriving Crops

25.46

73.68%

0.487

0.4191

-0.463

Tipping Point

870

22.79

47.13%

-0.544

Unnatural Proliferation

2017

24.61

49.33%

-1.078

-0.8881

-0.38

Untended Land Crumbles

1948

21.97

49.59%

-1.098

-0.8736

-0.575

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	20338	40.61%	28.53	75.68%	0.102	1.1692	-0.28
B	20659	41.21%	29.26	75.69%	0.167	1.1317	0.311
C	24281	38.4%	29.08	77.53%	-0.036	0.7856	0.14
D	22362	39.72%	28.74	76.75%	0.153	1.144	0.068
E	13397	35.92%	28.5	79.13%	0.351	1.1806	0.21
F	15261	39.35%	29.07	76.82%	0.24	1.1608	0.303
G	14355	40.07%	28.85	76.45%	-0.078	0.8243	0.064
H	15540	38.26%	29.27	78.11%	0.059	0.9679	0.089
East	4100	48.68%	29.82	66.46%	-0.755	0.2327	-0.28
Northeast	2126	50.26%	31.74	65.66%	0.874	1.7188	0.162
Northwest	1520	50.36%	31.47	65.07%	-0.384	0.5623	-0.675
Southeast	1465	36.0%	28.22	76.72%	0.706	1.6146	0.171
Southwest	1002	40.12%	27.35	73.55%	-0.153	1.2671	0.229
West	3125	50.39%	29.34	64.99%	-0.585	0.4982	-0.129

Board

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

20338

40.61%

28.53

75.68%

0.102

1.1692

-0.28

20659

41.21%

29.26

75.69%

0.167

1.1317

0.311

24281

38.4%

29.08

77.53%

-0.036

0.7856

0.14

22362

39.72%

28.74

76.75%

0.153

1.144

0.068

13397

35.92%

28.5

79.13%

0.351

1.1806

0.21

15261

39.35%

29.07

76.82%

0.24

1.1608

0.303

14355

40.07%

28.85

76.45%

-0.078

0.8243

0.064

15540

38.26%

29.27

78.11%

0.059

0.9679

0.089

East

4100

48.68%

29.82

66.46%

-0.755

0.2327

-0.28

Northeast

2126

50.26%

31.74

65.66%

0.874

1.7188

0.162

Northwest

1520

50.36%

31.47

65.07%

-0.384

0.5623

-0.675

Southeast

1465

36.0%

28.22

76.72%

0.706

1.6146

0.171

Southwest

1002

40.12%

27.35

73.55%

-0.153

1.2671

0.229

West

3125

50.39%

29.34

64.99%

-0.585

0.4982

-0.129

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	3103	0.0%	24.0	73.41%	-0.994	-0.3005	-0.44
Not Using Events or Tokens	3796	51.03%	21.93	65.33%	-0.468	0.0205	-0.174
Skip Initial Invader Actions	6998	19.16%	34.72	87.01%	0.387	-0.2283	0.204
Start of Game Growth	10629	18.29%	33.6	87.63%	0.728	0.2726	0.646
Unlimited Undo	10076	31.36%	31.47	81.09%	-0.147	-0.252	0.051
Using Tokens but Not Events	16582	26.41%	29.37	84.22%	0.426	0.485	0.257

Option

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

No Blight Card

3103

0.0%

24.0

73.41%

-0.994

-0.3005

-0.44

Not Using Events or Tokens

3796

51.03%

21.93

65.33%

-0.468

0.0205

-0.174

Skip Initial Invader Actions

6998

19.16%

34.72

87.01%

0.387

-0.2283

0.204

Start of Game Growth

10629

18.29%

33.6

87.63%

0.728

0.2726

0.646

Unlimited Undo

10076

31.36%

31.47

81.09%

-0.147

-0.252

0.051

Using Tokens but Not Events

16582

26.41%

29.37

84.22%

0.426

0.485

0.257

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	13451	16.52	8.54%
II	29059	30.57	65.29%
III	36394	34.75	90.64%
IV	21495	38.33	99.94%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.015 Win Model: -0.133

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	67881	42.49%	27.56	72.55%
2	19235	44.16%	29.97	75.23%
3	6875	37.86%	32.03	79.39%
4	5091	30.34%	29.66	84.42%
5	742	17.52%	26.54	88.95%
6	575	29.27%	26.16	78.96%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1145
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	32846
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	18924
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	21376
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	2650
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1040
Lose: Adversary condition	3223
Win: Sacrifice victory	298
Lose: Blight pool ran out	17990
Lose: Spirit destroyed	907

Wave

Score Model: -0.076 Win Model: 0.065

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	49645	41.72%	29.57	74.97%
3	22682	40.44%	28.93	75.09%
4	12614	42.77%	27.73	72.55%
5	6446	45.38%	26.15	69.8%
6	3532	46.17%	23.64	68.91%
7	1768	45.06%	22.38	68.44%
8	1022	39.67%	22.58	73.58%
9	651	30.66%	23.58	81.72%
10	498	26.67%	23.07	82.13%
11	379	22.54%	23.94	86.28%
12	309	26.21%	24.06	89.32%
13	229	33.18%	22.14	83.84%
14	175	33.33%	22.36	83.43%
15	96	16.28%	25.04	85.42%
16	74	16.18%	28.65	91.89%
17	64	20.69%	28.53	92.19%
18	37	6.06%	28.49	94.59%
19	33	3.33%	28.67	93.94%
20	26	0.0%	30.15	100.0%
21	22	4.76%	27.45	90.91%
22	18	0.0%	29.11	100.0%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-03-01 04:59:57 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-03-01 04:59:57 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave