Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 485 47.3% 30.7 1.27 69.28% -0.296 0.092
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1129 47.91% 31.92 0.673 67.94% -0.566 -0.2714
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 717 57.14% 35.41 5.297 58.58% -0.216 0.583
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 407 55.2% 36.05 3.264 53.32% -0.753 0.1892
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 261 68.73% 38.06 3.224 44.06% -0.826 0.4496
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 0.0 44.68%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 135 55.56% 41.01 -4.103 37.78% -0.716 1.2306
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1232 50.16% 25.62 1.508 71.75% 0.22 0.4363
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4837 39.86% 30.86 1.99 78.27% -0.019 0.064
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4257 47.08% 37.43 6.298 73.64% 0.138 0.218
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3137 52.46% 42.29 5.248 69.37% -0.659 -0.4807
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1995 52.36% 44.68 6.257 68.12% -0.629 -0.28
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1129 61.1% 47.45 9.377 59.52% -0.41 0.1087
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 908 70.09% 43.96 6.816 45.37% -0.553 0.7341
The Kingdom of England 0 1 854 45.83% 25.52 -0.899 62.41% -0.823 -0.3782
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2773 44.5% 32.14 1.076 67.65% -0.552 -0.2359
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1787 56.7% 30.74 2.607 53.78% -0.37 0.2496
The Kingdom of England 3 6 907 56.6% 34.88 3.081 46.97% -1.192 -0.0563
The Kingdom of England 4 7 502 52.02% 37.43 7.916 45.22% -0.733 0.3484
The Kingdom of England 5 9 213 66.04% 35.92 3.846 29.58% -1.266 0.145
The Kingdom of England 6 11 372 60.49% 39.74 5.459 33.87% -0.988 0.9823
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 660 53.06% 27.29 2.961 59.09% -0.493 -0.0134
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1561 56.78% 29.99 1.35 60.6% -0.388 0.3062
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 922 42.89% 32.66 3.19 39.26% -0.978 -0.0059
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 583 49.22% 34.89 5.865 32.76% -1.015 0.3128
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 330 51.38% 40.41 7.999 38.79% -0.706 0.6059
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 189 59.04% 39.11 3.462 30.69% -0.985 -0.0714
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 629 60.1% 45.35 7.903 34.66% -0.921 0.5088
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 212 41.5% 31.16 2.729 65.09% -0.18 0.0203
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 433 37.96% 31.32 1.052 64.9% -0.504 -0.1089
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 383 32.54% 36.62 6.822 70.5% 0.024 0.4314
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 349 34.49% 44.56 10.918 69.05% -0.118 0.2799
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 278 45.29% 43.6 9.614 63.67% -0.201 0.4741
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 141 51.77% 46.19 3.876 61.7% -1.297 -0.6532
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 301 65.45% 47.33 10.808 53.16% -0.275 0.7763
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 884 56.1% 25.43 -2.305 70.7% -0.207 0.0648
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2427 44.06% 29.5 0.904 76.14% -0.146 -0.0963
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2087 53.51% 30.9 1.906 70.2% -0.175 -0.0684
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1452 62.45% 34.8 3.626 61.78% -0.502 -0.1448
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 885 70.37% 34.91 5.714 54.58% -0.394 0.2039
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 333 67.47% 36.13 -3.38 50.75% -1.629 -0.5641
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 833 78.75% 37.15 5.066 47.06% -0.693 0.2683
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 407 47.67% 31.59 2.916 70.27% -0.281 -0.2102
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 821 52.87% 29.99 1.108 62.85% -0.66 0.1344
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 496 49.19% 36.13 2.849 70.56% -0.354 0.1855
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 338 66.57% 35.72 10.752 50.0% 0.4 1.327
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 195 59.28% 45.75 15.745 60.51% 0.46 1.3304
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 112 75.0% 39.5 23.771 33.04% 0.382 1.821
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 126 73.02% 50.07 8.927 42.86% -0.502 1.2913

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66991 41.6 27.49 72.71% -0.15 0.2232 -0.269
1 Thematic 3539 51.72 25.93 63.35% -0.021 0.5001 -0.517
2 Archipelago 51 29.41 33.02 88.24% -0.007 0.4981 -0.565
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11413 45.8 30.04 74.2% 0.138 0.4235 0.184
2 Coastline 2138 40.54 30.22 77.36% 0.166 0.2195 0.683
2 Fragment 434 46.06 27.26 71.89% 0.543 0.303 -0.703
2 Heart 515 40.2 27.07 78.06% 0.322 0.1568 -0.274
2 Opposite Shores 3305 35.56 29.34 80.48% 0.56 0.623 -0.972
2 Thematic 1821 53.82 30.99 62.38% -0.711 -0.4257 0.483
2 Top to Top 580 41.67 30.8 77.59% 0.0 0.1221 0.435
3 Archipelago 52 32.69 31.17 94.23% -0.126 -0.9066
3 Coastline 219 21.56 28.42 89.5% 0.619 0.0274 0.55
3 Other 851 37.25 27.09 82.49% 0.258 -0.2933 -0.633
3 Round (Default) 6036 38.82 32.89 78.63% -0.055 -0.1597 0.271
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 344 44.19 29.2 72.38% 1.086 0.5264 0.999
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5% 0.191 0.6856
4 Coastline 173 9.25 27.45 94.22% 0.048 -0.8829
4 Leaf 32 50.0 26.06 78.13% -0.206 -0.6127
4 Other 586 31.74 29.75 85.84% 0.49 0.411 0.481
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 635 37.32 30.56 74.17% -0.274 -0.3246 -0.417
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3888 30.4 29.18 84.03% 0.102 0.1908 0.328
5 Archipelago 12 25.0 28.0 75.0% -0.65 -0.5115
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 845 18.7 28.04 91.01% -0.15 -0.69 0.241
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% -0.068 -0.7663 -0.196
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.024 -0.856
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.485 -1.4447
6 Other 193 29.69 24.33 83.42% 0.292 0.9054 -0.182
6 Star 43 46.51 26.58 76.74% -0.106 0.054 0.117
6 Thematic 129 34.88 24.33 67.44% -0.362 -0.2931 -0.259
6 Two Centers (Default) 393 23.16 27.7 80.15% 0.11 -0.088 0.502
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.211 -1.5191 -0.675

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3286 22.31 45.53% -0.999 -0.8808 -0.76
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2740 23.61 47.3% -1.053 -1.1935 -0.7
All Things Weaken 1943 21.09 42.87% -1.798 -1.4481 -0.33
Attenuated Essence 209 22.09 48.8% -0.858 -0.8696 -1.171
Back Against the Wall 2623 23.17 46.28% -1.046 -1.0095 -0.765
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 187 20.22 42.78% -0.737 -0.5055 -0.418
Burn Brightest Before the End 185 23.5 53.51% -0.584 -0.4027 -0.168
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3164 19.81 43.99% -1.238 -0.8384 -1.101
Downward Spiral 5196 21.21 52.44% -0.713 -0.6406 -0.71
Erosion of Will 3292 21.19 43.65% -0.942 -0.6985 -0.87
Intensifying Exploitation 246 21.91 51.63% -0.477 -0.182 -0.261
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 745 30.42 85.77% -0.424 -0.925 -0.266
Memory Fades to Dust 5183 20.72 49.51% -1.397 -1.1882 -0.575
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2042 21.81 48.58% -1.057 -0.8604 -0.544
Promising Farmlands 3152 20.93 46.22% -0.932 -0.6102 -0.623
Shattered Fragments of Power 152 23.49 40.79% -1.316 -1.1489 -0.755
Slow Dissolution of Will 212 18.02 41.04% -0.68 -0.2912 -1.305
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 400 31.2 86.5% 0.171 -0.5365 -0.251
The Border of Life and Death 40 21.05 65.0% -0.57 -1.062 -0.316
Thriving Communities 2139 21.2 47.97% -1.416 -1.1063 -0.565
Thriving Crops 91 25.1 70.33% -0.883 -0.8861 -0.702
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.533
Unnatural Proliferation 2131 24.46 49.08% -1.296 -1.123 -0.385
Untended Land Crumbles 2028 22.06 49.56% -0.964 -0.6085 -0.663

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21543 40.24% 28.43 75.47% -0.07 0.7971 -0.322
B 21737 41.07% 29.19 75.26% -0.111 0.715 0.254
C 25440 38.28% 29.0 77.21% 0.15 0.8461 0.094
D 23480 39.56% 28.63 76.38% -0.138 0.7194 0.004
E 14600 35.11% 28.34 79.12% 0.205 0.9048 0.176
F 16058 39.19% 29.0 76.35% -0.131 0.6982 0.28
G 15126 39.87% 28.73 76.13% -0.122 0.7556 0.018
H 16313 37.98% 29.22 77.85% -0.031 0.7504 0.072
East 4395 48.3% 29.25 65.42% -1.263 -0.4013 -0.476
Northeast 2236 50.29% 31.19 64.67% 0.813 1.6747 0.089
Northwest 1603 50.57% 30.83 64.0% -0.248 0.6658 -0.695
Southeast 1627 35.3% 27.5 75.6% 0.322 1.2368 -0.184
Southwest 1051 40.15% 26.73 71.65% -0.778 0.4541 0.082
West 3317 50.61% 28.7 63.16% -0.64 0.4363 -0.158

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3271 0.0% 24.57 73.4% -0.05 0.665 -0.433
Not Using Events or Tokens 3984 51.32% 21.67 64.71% -0.739 -0.2935 -0.131
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7259 18.93% 34.98 86.8% 0.307 -0.2422 0.23
Start of Game Growth 11174 17.88% 33.62 87.52% 1.014 0.3583 0.609
Unlimited Undo 10517 31.26% 31.53 80.65% -0.883 -0.8839 0.079
Using Tokens but Not Events 17860 25.93% 29.42 84.14% 0.579 0.6003 0.231

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14487 15.48 8.32%
II 30451 30.46 65.17%
III 38134 34.8 90.64%
IV 22538 38.46 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.091 Win Model: 0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 71222 42.09% 27.44 72.32%
2 20180 44.05% 29.91 74.81%
3 7370 38.19% 31.95 78.97%
4 5342 30.21% 29.29 83.7%
5 832 17.43% 26.41 87.74%
6 664 28.51% 26.09 77.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1202
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34424
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19793
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22415
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3392
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1090
Lose: Adversary condition 3383
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18669
Lose: Spirit destroyed 935

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-14 06:18:04 (Pacific Time)