Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 426 46.01% 31.41 0.875 71.83% -0.596 -0.2489
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1059 48.25% 32.4 0.4 69.12% -0.933 -0.6558
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 666 57.98% 35.43 -0.863 58.56% -1.694 -0.8821
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 367 55.62% 36.62 5.37 54.22% -0.731 0.2673
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 239 70.17% 38.81 2.517 45.61% -1.547 -0.1653
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 85 56.47% 40.21 15.217 44.71% -0.197 1.1007
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 121 56.2% 43.19 0.402 40.5% -0.48 1.4506
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1135 50.31% 25.62 -2.493 72.86% -1.052 -0.836
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4496 40.68% 31.26 0.358 79.52% -0.581 -0.6511
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 3899 47.67% 37.92 3.695 74.61% -0.443 -0.5266
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 2883 52.48% 43.01 6.111 70.69% -0.437 -0.2216
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1861 52.18% 45.23 6.499 69.05% -0.615 -0.3899
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1061 61.72% 48.01 4.796 60.04% -1.468 -0.7958
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 850 69.85% 44.04 8.306 45.18% -0.838 0.5195
The Kingdom of England 0 1 774 46.11% 25.58 0.91 64.21% -0.339 -0.1291
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2621 44.74% 32.58 0.466 68.68% -0.801 -0.5133
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1649 56.98% 30.89 1.932 53.97% -0.857 -0.1236
The Kingdom of England 3 6 807 57.29% 35.03 3.91 46.84% -1.361 -0.1419
The Kingdom of England 4 7 447 52.35% 36.98 2.069 44.52% -1.675 -0.3942
The Kingdom of England 5 9 198 66.5% 36.7 -0.642 30.3% -1.868 -0.3774
The Kingdom of England 6 11 350 61.45% 40.79 0.699 35.43% -2.107 -0.1121
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 623 54.09% 27.05 -0.654 59.55% -0.795 -0.3816
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1447 57.45% 30.3 0.605 61.44% -0.837 -0.03
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 820 42.52% 32.96 1.479 40.24% -1.865 -0.7622
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 532 49.81% 34.42 6.278 31.39% -1.214 0.1837
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 300 53.51% 39.92 7.125 37.33% -1.4 0.114
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 176 59.43% 39.72 6.797 31.82% -0.973 -0.189
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 589 61.29% 45.54 4.815 34.13% -1.81 -0.3333
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 129 37.98% 33.22 1.765 70.54% -0.421 -0.2097
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 332 37.16% 32.69 1.903 67.77% -0.78 -0.3956
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 264 32.95% 36.22 5.333 68.94% -0.263 0.1149
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 229 37.0% 44.64 8.648 69.43% -0.613 -0.3404
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 173 42.77% 43.27 6.644 63.01% -1.192 -0.3309
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 79 46.84% 45.72 10.836 60.76% -0.472 0.2232
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 193 67.88% 47.39 10.298 53.37% -0.687 0.4541
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 821 56.76% 25.4 3.893 71.38% 0.294 0.49
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2248 44.67% 29.78 -0.702 76.87% -0.715 -0.619
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 1902 53.95% 31.24 1.643 71.19% -0.326 -0.217
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1321 63.86% 34.98 2.511 62.07% -0.787 -0.3198
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 784 71.52% 35.05 3.848 54.72% -0.802 -0.1823
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 298 67.11% 38.09 3.888 53.69% -0.587 0.3992
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 748 80.75% 37.57 5.278 46.79% -0.674 0.324
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 351 50.14% 32.2 3.688 72.93% 0.191 0.2819
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 738 53.94% 31.1 -0.565 65.58% -0.935 -0.2747
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 436 47.48% 37.17 6.031 73.17% 0.108 0.5025
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 309 66.34% 35.69 -3.212 49.84% -1.574 -0.5427
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 169 59.52% 45.52 4.29 60.95% -0.665 0.293
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 104 76.92% 39.53 0.0 31.73%
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 114 72.81% 51.01 2.607 42.98% -0.904 1.0782

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 61206 42.32 27.76 73.33% -0.519 -0.3185 -0.323
1 Thematic 3292 52.94 26.13 62.88% -0.426 0.2937 -0.563
2 Archipelago 45 26.67 32.71 86.67% 0.344 0.5991 -0.622
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10466 45.91 30.08 74.86% -0.117 -0.1096 0.049
2 Coastline 1942 40.54 30.59 78.06% 0.027 -0.1779 0.72
2 Fragment 379 47.75 27.45 71.5% 0.065 -0.2119 -0.57
2 Heart 450 42.7 27.32 78.0% -0.297 -0.5177 -0.218
2 Opposite Shores 3054 35.31 29.62 81.4% 0.461 0.5176 -0.777
2 Thematic 1628 53.01 31.86 65.72% -0.243 0.2088 0.308
2 Top to Top 517 41.13 30.54 78.34% -0.974 -1.0716 0.41
3 Archipelago 49 30.61 31.88 95.92% 1.233 0.4411
3 Coastline 175 24.71 28.97 90.29% 0.515 -0.052 0.509
3 Other 728 38.05 27.79 83.24% -0.115 -0.1438 -0.417
3 Round (Default) 5364 38.55 32.83 79.46% 0.158 -0.0679 0.26
3 Sunrise 27 55.56 23.37 74.07%
3 Thematic 309 41.75 30.04 74.76% -0.06 0.1363 0.915
4 Archipelago 39 30.77 32.56 89.74% 0.254 -0.9323
4 Coastline 134 8.96 27.38 94.78% -0.518 -1.1041
4 Leaf 30 46.67 27.53 83.33% 0.974 0.2748
4 Other 517 31.72 30.16 85.69% 1.046 -0.3116 0.073
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 567 36.86 32.36 77.95% 0.638 0.4401 -0.439
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3604 30.99 29.75 85.24% 0.105 -0.1388 0.531
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0% -0.605 -0.2889
5 Coastline 66 7.58 25.73 90.91%
5 Other 706 18.7 28.39 92.63% -0.215 -1.2714 -0.065
5 Thematic 107 29.91 27.93 87.85%
6 Archipelago 10 30.0 33.3 100.0% 0.043 -0.6935
6 Coastline 2 50.0 27.0 100.0%
6 Other 141 31.43 24.81 85.82% -0.321 -1.0585 -0.195
6 Star 39 43.59 27.49 76.92% -0.786 -0.843 0.076
6 Thematic 109 38.53 26.06 72.48% -0.315 0.4394 -0.165
6 Two Centers (Default) 300 23.0 28.33 82.33% -0.249 -0.8283 0.445
7 Other 22 31.82 22.09 86.36% 0.226 -0.1856 -0.308

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3079 22.44 45.83% -1.582 -1.4223 -0.818
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2574 23.49 47.4% -1.567 -1.6536 -0.779
All Things Weaken 1790 21.27 43.63% -1.845 -1.5034 -0.441
Attenuated Essence 124 22.06 52.42% -0.945 -0.8712 -1.144
Back Against the Wall 2464 23.15 46.23% -1.16 -1.0848 -0.89
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 121 19.02 39.67% -1.182 -0.9907 -0.477
Burn Brightest Before the End 108 24.6 52.78% -1.266 -1.1425 0.049
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2991 19.97 44.23% -1.273 -0.8999 -1.101
Downward Spiral 4835 21.26 52.62% -0.98 -0.8435 -0.795
Erosion of Will 3091 21.28 43.71% -1.31 -1.0151 -0.876
Intensifying Exploitation 155 19.19 48.39% -1.074 -0.8357 -0.24
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 684 30.7 86.99% 0.412 -0.1202 -0.452
Memory Fades to Dust 4827 20.81 49.93% -1.499 -1.2187 -0.714
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1849 21.6 48.24% -1.28 -1.1271 -0.757
Promising Farmlands 2985 21.06 46.63% -1.404 -1.0578 -0.733
Shattered Fragments of Power 90 23.74 38.89% -1.125 -0.9303 -0.688
Slow Dissolution of Will 135 17.81 40.74% -1.292 -0.8408 -0.624
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 361 31.69 88.37% -0.336 -1.0765 -0.052
The Border of Life and Death 24 22.04 70.83% 0.338 -0.0953 -0.302
Thriving Communities 1964 21.28 48.01% -1.077 -0.7781 -0.447
Thriving Crops 66 24.86 71.21% -0.477 -0.5798 -0.453
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.518
Unnatural Proliferation 1906 24.65 49.27% -1.156 -1.0105 -0.394
Untended Land Crumbles 1881 21.94 49.76% -1.345 -1.0456 -0.596

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 19429 40.96% 28.66 76.04% 0.066 1.06 -0.298
B 19718 41.36% 29.41 76.12% 0.161 1.0795 0.258
C 23348 38.64% 29.27 78.02% -0.043 0.6997 0.13
D 21370 40.01% 28.87 77.15% 0.054 1.0053 0.012
E 12495 36.52% 28.7 79.32% 0.302 1.0827 0.196
F 14597 39.55% 29.13 77.16% 0.121 1.0132 0.265
G 13749 40.1% 28.99 77.02% 0.148 1.0036 0.119
H 14849 38.42% 29.41 78.61% 0.187 1.0357 0.214
East 3918 48.64% 30.11 67.05% -0.665 0.1041 -0.493
Northeast 2043 50.15% 31.89 66.03% 0.36 1.1473 -0.044
Northwest 1451 50.49% 31.75 65.61% -0.175 0.8082 -0.495
Southeast 1393 36.21% 28.51 77.1% 0.079 0.9534 0.248
Southwest 963 40.81% 27.64 74.04% -0.34 0.8677 0.222
West 2983 50.44% 29.7 65.84% 0.082 1.0165 0.054

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2973 0.0% 24.16 73.9% -0.796 -0.1664 -0.45
Not Using Events or Tokens 3579 51.57% 22.19 66.02% -0.986 -0.4794 -0.019
Skip Initial Invader Actions 6695 19.38% 34.8 87.21% 0.593 -0.0417 0.064
Start of Game Growth 10198 18.52% 33.7 87.85% 0.17 -0.2194 0.716
Unlimited Undo 9618 31.59% 31.54 81.47% -0.147 -0.1022 0.077
Using Tokens but Not Events 15723 26.66% 29.41 84.44% 0.554 0.5272 0.298

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12458 17.67 8.83%
II 27945 30.7 65.29%
III 34992 34.75 90.65%
IV 20696 38.22 99.96%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.13 Win Model: -0.235
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 65087 42.85% 27.71 72.88%
2 18421 44.02% 30.09 75.74%
3 6504 38.12% 32.08 79.83%
4 4887 30.49% 29.95 85.02%
5 682 18.18% 26.66 89.3%
6 510 30.06% 26.98 80.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1096
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31590
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18201
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20584
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1931
Lose: Invader deck ran out 998
Lose: Adversary condition 3113
Win: Sacrifice victory 282
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17420
Lose: Spirit destroyed 876

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)