Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 482 47.18% 30.8 2.246 69.5% -0.143 0.2208
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1126 47.95% 31.92 -0.856 67.94% -1.009 -0.7691
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 711 57.34% 35.52 9.698 58.79% 0.657 1.548
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 403 55.75% 36.13 3.656 53.35% -0.584 0.3438
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 259 68.87% 38.02 -0.656 44.02% -1.286 0.0592
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -6.852 44.68% -1.074 0.4488
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 135 55.56% 41.01 10.297 37.78% -0.365 1.6161
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1220 49.92% 25.6 0.293 71.64% -0.223 0.0373
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4817 39.79% 30.88 1.551 78.35% -0.236 -0.1424
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4238 47.05% 37.45 6.629 73.69% 0.233 0.323
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3116 52.4% 42.34 5.073 69.48% -0.669 -0.4522
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1986 52.4% 44.74 7.553 68.23% -0.333 0.018
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1127 61.21% 47.47 8.106 59.54% -0.627 -0.1782
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 902 70.0% 43.98 2.752 45.34% -1.288 0.0349
The Kingdom of England 0 1 848 45.68% 25.59 -1.366 62.5% -1.099 -0.6576
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2760 44.44% 32.13 -0.292 67.61% -0.887 -0.5635
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1773 56.77% 30.68 1.524 53.58% -0.659 -0.0347
The Kingdom of England 3 6 895 56.27% 34.79 2.177 46.7% -1.37 -0.2549
The Kingdom of England 4 7 499 52.13% 37.43 8.845 45.29% -0.379 0.8347
The Kingdom of England 5 9 211 66.67% 36.12 3.728 29.86% -0.926 0.6159
The Kingdom of England 6 11 371 60.38% 39.77 8.812 33.96% -0.936 1.0951
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 655 53.16% 27.18 0.1 58.93% -1.034 -0.5951
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1552 56.72% 30.03 2.599 60.7% -0.284 0.4182
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 911 42.64% 32.85 4.469 39.74% -0.795 0.1509
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 582 49.13% 34.84 4.88 32.65% -1.227 0.0459
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 329 51.23% 40.32 8.405 38.6% -0.694 0.6103
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 189 59.04% 39.11 4.669 30.69% -1.393 -0.5045
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 629 60.1% 45.35 10.899 34.66% -0.963 0.4958
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 207 40.51% 31.35 2.846 65.22% -0.387 -0.1917
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 421 37.62% 31.31 -0.149 64.61% -0.907 -0.4271
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 376 32.35% 36.64 6.542 70.48% 0.049 0.5554
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 341 35.01% 44.56 10.976 68.91% -0.214 0.1416
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 264 44.27% 43.72 9.82 63.64% -0.275 0.3334
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 138 51.45% 46.83 4.141 63.04% -1.265 -0.7512
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 299 65.89% 47.14 8.997 52.84% -0.706 0.3736
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 883 56.16% 25.46 -1.13 70.78% -0.17 0.1262
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2415 44.12% 29.52 -0.163 76.19% -0.378 -0.3117
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2073 53.59% 30.85 1.05 70.09% -0.391 -0.2412
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1438 62.57% 34.86 3.835 61.82% -0.556 -0.1772
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 878 70.71% 34.81 4.114 54.33% -0.616 0.0149
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 324 67.28% 36.67 -3.058 51.54% -1.369 -0.2967
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 818 79.46% 37.11 1.83 46.7% -1.14 -0.1516
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 401 48.38% 31.59 2.626 70.32% -0.269 -0.1658
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 812 53.21% 29.98 -0.943 62.81% -0.978 -0.0452
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 490 49.18% 36.05 0.724 70.41% -0.677 -0.1235
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 331 66.47% 35.4 7.542 49.24% -0.055 0.9099
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 192 59.16% 45.69 15.782 60.42% 0.315 1.1782
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 111 75.68% 39.25 25.101 32.43% 0.24 1.6629
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 124 72.58% 50.08 8.176 42.74% -0.426 1.3021

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66439 41.68 27.5 72.71% -0.319 -0.016 -0.272
1 Thematic 3527 51.75 25.97 63.43% 0.327 0.7638 -0.522
2 Archipelago 51 29.41 33.02 88.24% 0.149 0.4623 -0.57
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11360 45.79 30.05 74.26% 0.07 0.2963 0.173
2 Coastline 2124 40.67 30.24 77.26% -0.016 -0.0224 0.67
2 Fragment 426 46.23 27.04 71.36% 0.244 -0.1027 -0.704
2 Heart 497 40.65 26.87 77.67% -0.277 -0.3409 -0.273
2 Opposite Shores 3272 35.49 29.4 80.47% 0.159 0.1852 -0.973
2 Thematic 1802 53.83 31.14 62.93% -0.568 -0.3281 0.512
2 Top to Top 572 41.55 30.94 77.97% 0.785 0.746 0.434
3 Archipelago 52 32.69 31.17 94.23% -0.086 -0.7078
3 Coastline 215 21.5 28.24 89.77% 0.579 -0.2267 0.545
3 Other 834 37.77 27.05 82.25% 0.136 -0.4084 -0.596
3 Round (Default) 5995 38.75 32.91 78.77% 0.037 -0.1644 0.272
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 333 43.24 29.24 72.37% 0.593 0.1874 0.982
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5% 0.136 0.5369
4 Coastline 171 9.36 27.36 94.15% -0.021 -0.3982
4 Leaf 31 48.39 26.9 80.65%
4 Other 580 31.72 29.84 86.03% 0.768 0.4969 0.473
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 627 36.84 30.75 74.64% -0.456 -0.4278 -0.41
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3864 30.38 29.18 84.01% -0.275 -0.0587 0.324
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 835 18.8 28.07 91.02% -0.409 -1.0406 0.228
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% 0.27 -0.4056 -0.197
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.027 -0.8454
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.465 -1.1492
6 Other 189 29.26 24.47 83.6% 0.504 0.996 -0.187
6 Star 43 46.51 26.58 76.74% -0.081 0.3797 0.127
6 Thematic 127 34.65 24.48 67.72% -0.399 -0.3859 -0.256
6 Two Centers (Default) 389 23.14 27.69 80.21% -0.142 -0.3395 0.5
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.309 -1.4827 -0.658

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3266 22.33 45.59% -1.001 -0.8464 -0.778
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2724 23.61 47.25% -1.268 -1.3546 -0.691
All Things Weaken 1927 21.15 43.02% -1.87 -1.5463 -0.323
Attenuated Essence 199 22.26 47.74% -1.218 -1.1901 -1.177
Back Against the Wall 2614 23.16 46.25% -1.103 -1.0462 -0.764
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 180 20.11 42.78% -0.922 -0.7183 -0.425
Burn Brightest Before the End 175 23.98 54.29% -0.101 0.1028 -0.167
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3147 19.8 43.98% -1.319 -0.9264 -1.065
Downward Spiral 5181 21.23 52.48% -0.837 -0.7495 -0.702
Erosion of Will 3274 21.18 43.52% -1.214 -0.9045 -0.866
Intensifying Exploitation 238 21.6 50.84% -0.74 -0.4809 -0.253
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 742 30.43 85.98% -0.425 -0.9227 -0.255
Memory Fades to Dust 5162 20.72 49.55% -1.322 -1.1059 -0.558
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2033 21.82 48.6% -0.996 -0.8275 -0.538
Promising Farmlands 3125 20.9 46.14% -1.225 -0.9269 -0.674
Shattered Fragments of Power 139 23.9 41.73% -1.004 -0.8042 -0.753
Slow Dissolution of Will 207 18.0 40.58% -0.953 -0.5756 -1.294
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 399 31.28 86.72% 0.287 -0.4318 -0.257
The Border of Life and Death 36 21.83 66.67% -0.317
Thriving Communities 2125 21.13 47.86% -1.604 -1.2995 -0.557
Thriving Crops 86 25.55 73.26% -0.373 -0.3633 -0.617
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.534
Unnatural Proliferation 2119 24.43 49.17% -1.075 -0.9374 -0.38
Untended Land Crumbles 2014 22.04 49.55% -0.898 -0.5442 -0.616

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21352 40.28% 28.43 75.48% -0.037 0.8402 -0.314
B 21581 41.02% 29.22 75.32% -0.109 0.7364 0.265
C 25271 38.3% 29.01 77.23% 0.187 0.8843 0.11
D 23305 39.58% 28.64 76.43% -0.087 0.7547 0.005
E 14399 35.37% 28.34 79.05% 0.207 0.9117 0.189
F 15936 39.24% 29.0 76.37% -0.099 0.7305 0.262
G 15026 39.89% 28.75 76.17% -0.032 0.8212 0.036
H 16203 38.01% 29.24 77.87% 0.056 0.855 0.085
East 4350 48.23% 29.35 65.68% -1.189 -0.3154 -0.442
Northeast 2222 50.07% 31.26 64.72% 0.718 1.5653 0.124
Northwest 1587 50.19% 30.94 64.15% -0.278 0.5972 -0.718
Southeast 1605 35.29% 27.6 75.95% 0.149 1.0634 -0.204
Southwest 1035 40.0% 26.81 72.08% -0.846 0.4396 0.092
West 3273 50.43% 28.83 63.55% -0.454 0.6068 -0.173

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3207 0.0% 24.55 73.34% -0.398 0.348 -0.436
Not Using Events or Tokens 3945 51.29% 21.73 64.82% -0.44 -0.0329 -0.148
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7200 19.06% 34.95 86.78% -0.004 -0.5867 0.225
Start of Game Growth 11052 18.0% 33.63 87.48% 1.09 0.4513 0.604
Unlimited Undo 10436 31.35% 31.53 80.66% -0.793 -0.7679 0.103
Using Tokens but Not Events 17659 26.07% 29.41 84.12% 0.642 0.6266 0.224

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14324 15.62 8.36%
II 30251 30.47 65.15%
III 37840 34.79 90.64%
IV 22342 38.43 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.076 Win Model: 0.059
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70641 42.18% 27.45 72.32%
2 20033 44.05% 29.93 74.88%
3 7301 38.19% 31.97 79.06%
4 5304 30.12% 29.32 83.77%
5 819 17.34% 26.47 87.91%
6 659 28.42% 26.17 77.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1193
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34158
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19657
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22219
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3270
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1085
Lose: Adversary condition 3361
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18575
Lose: Spirit destroyed 932

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-07 04:07:45 (Pacific Time)