Second Wave - Statistics

Results using Spirits

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	104977	41.32%	28.32	74.01%

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	8826	32.58%	30.17	79.01%	0.237	0.037	0.056
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	61	24.59%	29.77	83.61%	0.867	0.1676	0.049
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4668	49.2%	27.45	71.4%	-0.231	0.0599	-0.333
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	145	31.03%	27.32	63.45%	-0.032	-0.7406	-0.5
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	8692	30.95%	30.92	83.99%	0.47	0.3301	-0.001
Downpour Drenches the World	972	29.14%	25.98	69.75%	-0.45	-0.2229	0.334
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	890	28.72%	29.72	76.29%	0.8	0.4327	0.241
Eyes Watch From the Trees	10821	26.62%	32.99	86.7%	0.663	0.2725	0.662
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	8774	28.99%	31.51	84.67%	0.481	0.0369	0.208
Finder of Paths Unseen	487	36.31%	24.55	67.15%	-0.226	0.4416	-0.578
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1516	31.82%	27.89	74.6%	-0.298	0.4153	-0.457
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	1637	39.68%	26.24	71.9%	-0.179	-0.2605	-0.858
Heart of the Wildfire	5565	62.01%	23.13	59.48%	-0.195	0.0737	-0.419
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	9412	43.44%	29.43	75.75%	0.234	-0.0973	-0.024
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	206	38.24%	27.6	72.33%	0.475	0.0428	0.567
Lightning's Swift Strike	6453	49.7%	26.55	70.65%	0.078	0.371	-0.316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	547	33.86%	38.0	76.05%	0.37	0.0012	0.231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1013	39.34%	31.91	78.78%	0.292	-0.0954	0.469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	868	43.33%	28.52	76.38%	0.079	0.0757	0.243
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	3747	43.59%	28.45	75.23%	-0.389	-0.6589	-0.465
Many Minds Move as One	3377	30.29%	31.14	82.8%	-0.288	-0.4448	0.97
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	8519	42.62%	29.43	77.03%	0.398	0.3043	0.613
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	7584	37.01%	29.46	77.91%	0.202	0.0444	-0.258
River Surges in Sunlight	7686	47.74%	28.1	69.87%	-0.042	0.0499	-0.533
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	32	37.5%	26.38	71.88%	0.378	0.2553	0.281
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1723	44.17%	28.34	71.5%	-0.577	-0.1187	-0.407
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	714	32.2%	35.03	79.69%	0.181	0.2364	-0.003
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	5735	38.07%	29.38	76.6%	0.176	-0.0464	0.606
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3109	59.36%	24.51	64.72%	-1.115	-0.6012	-0.184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	154	45.33%	29.49	74.68%	-1.097	-1.0266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	141	40.0%	25.5	66.67%	-0.269	-0.7542	0.157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	167	42.33%	27.43	65.87%	-0.527	-0.2258	0.506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	834	45.26%	27.14	71.22%	-0.252	-0.3484	-0.831
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	503	50.81%	26.87	68.19%	-0.464	-0.2119	0.248
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7094	38.85%	29.72	77.08%	0.259	0.1083	-0.419
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	463	32.6%	27.88	75.59%	0.331	0.2001	-0.266
Shifting Memory of Ages	1482	38.87%	25.27	71.93%	-0.17	0.1928	0.089
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	38	43.24%	32.32	81.58%	1.085	0.7757	-0.104
Shroud of Silent Mist	1649	44.37%	24.68	69.92%	-0.274	0.0546	-0.116
Starlight Seeks its Form	1441	32.35%	27.3	72.73%	-0.317	-0.4734	0.28
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5108	37.4%	28.15	76.78%	0.31	-0.3439	0.011
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5309	39.85%	28.0	75.63%	0.114	0.3105	0.306
Thunderspeaker	9035	39.94%	30.17	77.02%	0.183	0.1722	0.155
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	271	46.21%	25.78	60.89%	-0.76	-0.6005	0.006
Towering Roots of the Jungle	75	39.19%	26.51	72.0%	0.342	0.3301	0.843
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	3583	57.4%	24.8	65.98%	-0.179	-0.0995	-0.118
Vital Strength of the Earth	6794	33.43%	26.05	71.8%	-0.285	0.3221	-0.61
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	573	26.38%	36.42	75.74%	-0.345	0.1477	0.292
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	1002	36.95%	24.98	68.26%	-0.341	0.3651	-1.003
Volcano Looming High	2428	42.76%	26.04	72.61%	0.076	0.1735	0.369
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	317	26.5%	28.27	73.5%	0.312	0.0136	0.021

Spirit

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

A Spread of Rampant Green

8826

32.58%

30.17

79.01%

0.237

0.037

0.056

A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth

24.59%

29.77

83.61%

0.867

0.1676

0.049

Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares

4668

49.2%

27.45

71.4%

-0.231

0.0599

-0.333

Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence

145

31.03%

27.32

63.45%

-0.032

-0.7406

-0.5

Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot

8692

30.95%

30.92

83.99%

0.47

0.3301

-0.001

Downpour Drenches the World

972

29.14%

25.98

69.75%

-0.45

-0.2229

0.334

Ember-Eyed Behemoth

890

28.72%

29.72

76.29%

0.8

0.4327

0.241

Eyes Watch From the Trees

10821

26.62%

32.99

86.7%

0.663

0.2725

0.662

Fathomless Mud of the Swamp

8774

28.99%

31.51

84.67%

0.481

0.0369

0.208

Finder of Paths Unseen

487

36.31%

24.55

67.15%

-0.226

0.4416

-0.578

Fractured Days Split the Sky

1516

31.82%

27.89

74.6%

-0.298

0.4153

-0.457

Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble

1637

39.68%

26.24

71.9%

-0.179

-0.2605

-0.858

Heart of the Wildfire

5565

62.01%

23.13

59.48%

-0.195

0.0737

-0.419

Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds

9412

43.44%

29.43

75.75%

0.234

-0.0973

-0.024

Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility

206

38.24%

27.6

72.33%

0.475

0.0428

0.567

Lightning's Swift Strike

6453

49.7%

26.55

70.65%

0.078

0.371

-0.316

Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense

547

33.86%

38.0

76.05%

0.37

0.0012

0.231

Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium

1013

39.34%

31.91

78.78%

0.292

-0.0954

0.469

Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind

868

43.33%

28.52

76.38%

0.079

0.0757

0.243

Lure of the Deep Wilderness

3747

43.59%

28.45

75.23%

-0.389

-0.6589

-0.465

Many Minds Move as One

3377

30.29%

31.14

82.8%

-0.288

-0.4448

0.97

Ocean's Hungry Grasp

8519

42.62%

29.43

77.03%

0.398

0.3043

0.613

Rising Heat of Stone and Sand

7584

37.01%

29.46

77.91%

0.202

0.0444

-0.258

River Surges in Sunlight

7686

47.74%

28.1

69.87%

-0.042

0.0499

-0.533

River Surges in Sunlight — Haven

37.5%

26.38

71.88%

0.378

0.2553

0.281

River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine

1723

44.17%

28.34

71.5%

-0.577

-0.1187

-0.407

River Surges in Sunlight — Travel

714

32.2%

35.03

79.69%

0.181

0.2364

-0.003

Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island

5735

38.07%

29.38

76.6%

0.176

-0.0464

0.606

Shadows Flicker Like Flame

3109

59.36%

24.51

64.72%

-1.115

-0.6012

-0.184

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous

154

45.33%

29.49

74.68%

-1.097

-1.0266

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire

141

40.0%

25.5

66.67%

-0.269

-0.7542

0.157

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding

167

42.33%

27.43

65.87%

-0.527

-0.2258

0.506

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness

834

45.26%

27.14

71.22%

-0.252

-0.3484

-0.831

Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach

503

50.81%

26.87

68.19%

-0.464

-0.2119

0.248

Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves

7094

38.85%

29.72

77.08%

0.259

0.1083

-0.419

Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained

463

32.6%

27.88

75.59%

0.331

0.2001

-0.266

Shifting Memory of Ages

1482

38.87%

25.27

71.93%

-0.17

0.1928

0.089

Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor

43.24%

32.32

81.58%

1.085

0.7757

-0.104

Shroud of Silent Mist

1649

44.37%

24.68

69.92%

-0.274

0.0546

-0.116

Starlight Seeks its Form

1441

32.35%

27.3

72.73%

-0.317

-0.4734

0.28

Stone's Unyielding Defiance

5108

37.4%

28.15

76.78%

0.31

-0.3439

0.011

Sun-Bright Whirlwind

5309

39.85%

28.0

75.63%

0.114

0.3105

0.306

Thunderspeaker

9035

39.94%

30.17

77.02%

0.183

0.1722

0.155

Thunderspeaker — Tactician

271

46.21%

25.78

60.89%

-0.76

-0.6005

0.006

Towering Roots of the Jungle

39.19%

26.51

72.0%

0.342

0.3301

0.843

Vengeance as a Burning Plague

3583

57.4%

24.8

65.98%

-0.179

-0.0995

-0.118

Vital Strength of the Earth

6794

33.43%

26.05

71.8%

-0.285

0.3221

-0.61

Vital Strength of the Earth — Might

573

26.38%

36.42

75.74%

-0.345

0.1477

0.292

Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience

1002

36.95%

24.98

68.26%

-0.341

0.3651

-1.003

Volcano Looming High

2428

42.76%

26.04

72.61%

0.076

0.1735

0.369

Wandering Voice Keens Delirium

317

26.5%

28.27

73.5%

0.312

0.0136

0.021

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	482	47.18%	30.8	2.456	69.5%	-0.171	0.1598
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1127	48.0%	31.9	-0.601	67.88%	-0.931	-0.6528
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	714	57.24%	35.45	6.764	58.68%	0.148	1.0111
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	405	55.47%	36.23	6.905	53.58%	-0.249	0.6814
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	260	68.99%	37.97	-0.486	43.85%	-1.342	-0.0111
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	94	58.51%	40.18	-12.766	44.68%	-0.702	0.8433
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	135	55.56%	41.01	-4.104	37.78%	-0.672	1.3256
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1221	49.88%	25.58	-0.196	71.58%	-0.395	-0.1578
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	4822	39.83%	30.89	2.012	78.35%	-0.113	-0.0173
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4245	47.05%	37.45	6.462	73.71%	0.237	0.3299
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3123	52.34%	42.33	5.524	69.48%	-0.599	-0.4068
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	1991	52.37%	44.68	6.873	68.11%	-0.487	-0.1592
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1128	61.16%	47.49	8.688	59.57%	-0.573	-0.1103
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	905	69.99%	43.99	4.611	45.41%	-0.996	0.3288
The Kingdom of England	0	1	850	45.81%	25.59	-0.989	62.59%	-0.873	-0.4147
The Kingdom of England	1	3	2762	44.45%	32.13	0.485	67.63%	-0.714	-0.4256
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1777	56.76%	30.69	1.532	53.63%	-0.633	-0.0152
The Kingdom of England	3	6	896	56.27%	34.82	2.504	46.76%	-1.354	-0.2442
The Kingdom of England	4	7	500	52.13%	37.42	8.076	45.2%	-0.524	0.6392
The Kingdom of England	5	9	212	66.35%	35.95	3.27	29.72%	-1.114	0.423
The Kingdom of England	6	11	371	60.38%	39.77	8.705	33.96%	-0.964	1.0152
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	658	53.07%	27.22	1.174	58.97%	-0.909	-0.4365
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1554	56.77%	30.02	2.328	60.68%	-0.358	0.3139
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	915	42.67%	32.78	3.806	39.56%	-0.961	-0.0126
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	582	49.13%	34.84	4.72	32.65%	-1.197	0.0841
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	330	51.38%	40.41	9.366	38.79%	-0.573	0.6885
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	189	59.04%	39.11	4.708	30.69%	-1.317	-0.3908
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	629	60.1%	45.35	11.229	34.66%	-0.972	0.4856
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	209	41.12%	31.32	3.887	65.55%	0.02	0.2208
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	421	37.62%	31.31	-0.544	64.61%	-0.92	-0.4611
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	376	32.35%	36.64	6.748	70.48%	0.094	0.5815
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	342	34.91%	44.43	10.62	68.71%	-0.223	0.1575
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	268	44.74%	43.93	10.676	64.18%	-0.032	0.5681
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	138	51.45%	46.83	5.062	63.04%	-1.237	-0.7132
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	300	65.67%	47.23	9.766	53.0%	-0.568	0.5304
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	883	56.16%	25.46	-1.169	70.78%	-0.207	0.0866
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2419	44.17%	29.5	-0.215	76.15%	-0.31	-0.2682
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2076	53.6%	30.85	1.221	70.13%	-0.281	-0.1467
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1439	62.6%	34.83	3.347	61.78%	-0.61	-0.2528
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	880	70.66%	34.85	4.686	54.43%	-0.49	0.1216
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	325	67.28%	36.56	-4.69	51.38%	-1.617	-0.4982
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	820	79.51%	37.15	3.117	46.83%	-0.88	0.1153
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	401	48.38%	31.59	2.355	70.32%	-0.291	-0.2114
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	816	53.19%	30.05	0.476	62.99%	-0.654	0.2431
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	493	49.29%	36.08	1.052	70.39%	-0.67	-0.1237
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	335	66.87%	35.54	7.464	49.55%	-0.198	0.7992
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	192	59.16%	45.69	16.162	60.42%	0.425	1.2691
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	111	75.68%	39.25	25.505	32.43%	0.292	1.7013
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	125	72.8%	49.88	6.894	42.4%	-0.624	1.1518

Adversary

Level

Difficulty

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Score Model

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

482

47.18%

30.8

2.456

69.5%

-0.171

0.1598

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

1127

48.0%

31.9

-0.601

67.88%

-0.931

-0.6528

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

714

57.24%

35.45

6.764

58.68%

0.148

1.0111

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

405

55.47%

36.23

6.905

53.58%

-0.249

0.6814

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

260

68.99%

37.97

-0.486

43.85%

-1.342

-0.0111

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

58.51%

40.18

-12.766

44.68%

-0.702

0.8433

The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)

135

55.56%

41.01

-4.104

37.78%

-0.672

1.3256

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

1221

49.88%

25.58

-0.196

71.58%

-0.395

-0.1578

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

4822

39.83%

30.89

2.012

78.35%

-0.113

-0.0173

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

4245

47.05%

37.45

6.462

73.71%

0.237

0.3299

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

3123

52.34%

42.33

5.524

69.48%

-0.599

-0.4068

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

1991

52.37%

44.68

6.873

68.11%

-0.487

-0.1592

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

1128

61.16%

47.49

8.688

59.57%

-0.573

-0.1103

The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia

905

69.99%

43.99

4.611

45.41%

-0.996

0.3288

The Kingdom of England

850

45.81%

25.59

-0.989

62.59%

-0.873

-0.4147

The Kingdom of England

2762

44.45%

32.13

0.485

67.63%

-0.714

-0.4256

The Kingdom of England

1777

56.76%

30.69

1.532

53.63%

-0.633

-0.0152

The Kingdom of England

896

56.27%

34.82

2.504

46.76%

-1.354

-0.2442

The Kingdom of England

500

52.13%

37.42

8.076

45.2%

-0.524

0.6392

The Kingdom of England

212

66.35%

35.95

3.27

29.72%

-1.114

0.423

The Kingdom of England

371

60.38%

39.77

8.705

33.96%

-0.964

1.0152

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

658

53.07%

27.22

1.174

58.97%

-0.909

-0.4365

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

1554

56.77%

30.02

2.328

60.68%

-0.358

0.3139

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

915

42.67%

32.78

3.806

39.56%

-0.961

-0.0126

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

582

49.13%

34.84

4.72

32.65%

-1.197

0.0841

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

330

51.38%

40.41

9.366

38.79%

-0.573

0.6885

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

189

59.04%

39.11

4.708

30.69%

-1.317

-0.3908

The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)

629

60.1%

45.35

11.229

34.66%

-0.972

0.4856

The Kingdom of Scotland

209

41.12%

31.32

3.887

65.55%

0.02

0.2208

The Kingdom of Scotland

421

37.62%

31.31

-0.544

64.61%

-0.92

-0.4611

The Kingdom of Scotland

376

32.35%

36.64

6.748

70.48%

0.094

0.5815

The Kingdom of Scotland

342

34.91%

44.43

10.62

68.71%

-0.223

0.1575

The Kingdom of Scotland

268

44.74%

43.93

10.676

64.18%

-0.032

0.5681

The Kingdom of Scotland

138

51.45%

46.83

5.062

63.04%

-1.237

-0.7132

The Kingdom of Scotland

300

65.67%

47.23

9.766

53.0%

-0.568

0.5304

The Kingdom of Sweden

883

56.16%

25.46

-1.169

70.78%

-0.207

0.0866

The Kingdom of Sweden

2419

44.17%

29.5

-0.215

76.15%

-0.31

-0.2682

The Kingdom of Sweden

2076

53.6%

30.85

1.221

70.13%

-0.281

-0.1467

The Kingdom of Sweden

1439

62.6%

34.83

3.347

61.78%

-0.61

-0.2528

The Kingdom of Sweden

880

70.66%

34.85

4.686

54.43%

-0.49

0.1216

The Kingdom of Sweden

325

67.28%

36.56

-4.69

51.38%

-1.617

-0.4982

The Kingdom of Sweden

820

79.51%

37.15

3.117

46.83%

-0.88

0.1153

The Tsardom of Russia

401

48.38%

31.59

2.355

70.32%

-0.291

-0.2114

The Tsardom of Russia

816

53.19%

30.05

0.476

62.99%

-0.654

0.2431

The Tsardom of Russia

493

49.29%

36.08

1.052

70.39%

-0.67

-0.1237

The Tsardom of Russia

335

66.87%

35.54

7.464

49.55%

-0.198

0.7992

The Tsardom of Russia

192

59.16%

45.69

16.162

60.42%

0.425

1.2691

The Tsardom of Russia

111

75.68%

39.25

25.505

32.43%

0.292

1.7013

The Tsardom of Russia

125

72.8%

49.88

6.894

42.4%

-0.624

1.1518

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	66575	41.66	27.5	72.71%	-0.281	0.0522	-0.268
1	Thematic	3534	51.68	25.95	63.41%	0.284	0.7537	-0.513
2	Archipelago	51	29.41	33.02	88.24%	0.118	0.5173	-0.566
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	11369	45.79	30.05	74.24%	0.109	0.3553	0.176
2	Coastline	2127	40.61	30.24	77.29%	0.115	0.1284	0.682
2	Fragment	427	46.35	27.13	71.43%	0.384	0.1023	-0.705
2	Heart	502	40.44	26.97	77.89%	0.187	0.1404	-0.27
2	Opposite Shores	3277	35.53	29.38	80.44%	0.074	0.1354	-0.975
2	Thematic	1809	53.85	31.11	62.74%	-0.597	-0.3568	0.486
2	Top to Top	575	41.68	30.93	77.91%	0.655	0.6431	0.436
3	Archipelago	52	32.69	31.17	94.23%	-0.098	-0.7024
3	Coastline	215	21.5	28.24	89.77%	0.564	-0.0692	0.547
3	Other	839	37.66	27.03	82.24%	0.084	-0.4857	-0.626
3	Round (Default)	6009	38.78	32.93	78.77%	0.075	-0.0855	0.275
3	Sunrise	34	52.94	22.26	70.59%
3	Thematic	335	43.28	29.36	72.54%	0.773	0.2925	0.998
4	Archipelago	40	32.5	32.0	87.5%	0.16	0.5964
4	Coastline	171	9.36	27.36	94.15%	-0.018	-0.4262
4	Leaf	31	48.39	26.9	80.65%
4	Other	583	31.56	29.78	85.93%	0.783	0.5042	0.479
4	Reverse Snake	3	0.0	32.67	100.0%
4	Thematic	629	36.88	30.72	74.56%	-0.43	-0.4328	-0.416
4	Trapezoid (Default)	3872	30.37	29.18	84.04%	-0.18	0.0358	0.328
5	Archipelago	10	30.0	30.3	80.0%
5	Coastline	79	7.59	25.48	89.87%
5	Other	841	18.79	28.05	90.96%	-0.373	-0.8308	0.236
5	Thematic	110	30.0	27.73	87.27%	0.233	-0.3769	-0.195
6	Archipelago	11	27.27	33.73	100.0%	0.026	-0.7557
6	Coastline	7	14.29	24.71	71.43%	-0.461	-1.2713
6	Other	190	29.1	24.34	83.16%	0.08	0.7157	-0.187
6	Star	43	46.51	26.58	76.74%	-0.107	0.3068	0.113
6	Thematic	128	35.16	24.29	67.19%	-0.49	-0.4491	-0.259
6	Two Centers (Default)	391	23.27	27.66	80.05%	-0.11	-0.3029	0.501
7	Other	31	29.03	22.77	80.65%	-0.195	-1.3878	-0.66

# Boards

Layout

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

Single Board

66575

41.66

27.5

72.71%

-0.281

0.0522

-0.268

Thematic

3534

51.68

25.95

63.41%

0.284

0.7537

-0.513

Archipelago

29.41

33.02

88.24%

0.118

0.5173

-0.566

Bottom to Bottom (Default)

11369

45.79

30.05

74.24%

0.109

0.3553

0.176

Coastline

2127

40.61

30.24

77.29%

0.115

0.1284

0.682

Fragment

427

46.35

27.13

71.43%

0.384

0.1023

-0.705

Heart

502

40.44

26.97

77.89%

0.187

0.1404

-0.27

Opposite Shores

3277

35.53

29.38

80.44%

0.074

0.1354

-0.975

Thematic

1809

53.85

31.11

62.74%

-0.597

-0.3568

0.486

Top to Top

575

41.68

30.93

77.91%

0.655

0.6431

0.436

Archipelago

32.69

31.17

94.23%

-0.098

-0.7024

Coastline

215

21.5

28.24

89.77%

0.564

-0.0692

0.547

Other

839

37.66

27.03

82.24%

0.084

-0.4857

-0.626

Round (Default)

6009

38.78

32.93

78.77%

0.075

-0.0855

0.275

Sunrise

52.94

22.26

70.59%

Thematic

335

43.28

29.36

72.54%

0.773

0.2925

0.998

Archipelago

32.5

32.0

87.5%

0.16

0.5964

Coastline

171

9.36

27.36

94.15%

-0.018

-0.4262

Leaf

48.39

26.9

80.65%

Other

583

31.56

29.78

85.93%

0.783

0.5042

0.479

Reverse Snake

0.0

32.67

100.0%

Thematic

629

36.88

30.72

74.56%

-0.43

-0.4328

-0.416

Trapezoid (Default)

3872

30.37

29.18

84.04%

-0.18

0.0358

0.328

Archipelago

30.0

30.3

80.0%

Coastline

7.59

25.48

89.87%

Other

841

18.79

28.05

90.96%

-0.373

-0.8308

0.236

Thematic

110

30.0

27.73

87.27%

0.233

-0.3769

-0.195

Archipelago

27.27

33.73

100.0%

0.026

-0.7557

Coastline

14.29

24.71

71.43%

-0.461

-1.2713

Other

190

29.1

24.34

83.16%

0.08

0.7157

-0.187

Star

46.51

26.58

76.74%

-0.107

0.3068

0.113

Thematic

128

35.16

24.29

67.19%

-0.49

-0.4491

-0.259

Two Centers (Default)

391

23.27

27.66

80.05%

-0.11

-0.3029

0.501

Other

29.03

22.77

80.65%

-0.195

-1.3878

-0.66

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3270	22.36	45.63%	-0.835	-0.7017	-0.76
Aid From Lesser Spirits	2725	23.62	47.27%	-1.19	-1.2866	-0.698
All Things Weaken	1928	21.14	43.0%	-1.704	-1.3869	-0.327
Attenuated Essence	202	22.06	47.03%	-1.228	-1.2176	-1.174
Back Against the Wall	2617	23.16	46.27%	-1.067	-1.016	-0.765
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	180	20.11	42.78%	-0.815	-0.6227	-0.421
Burn Brightest Before the End	177	23.88	54.24%	-0.184	-0.0044	-0.171
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3150	19.8	44.0%	-1.194	-0.7839	-1.1
Downward Spiral	5188	21.23	52.47%	-0.797	-0.7286	-0.708
Erosion of Will	3280	21.19	43.6%	-1.124	-0.8336	-0.869
Intensifying Exploitation	239	21.72	51.05%	-0.599	-0.3068	-0.257
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	744	30.44	85.89%	-0.475	-0.9459	-0.258
Memory Fades to Dust	5168	20.73	49.59%	-1.219	-1.0132	-0.56
Power Corrodes the Spirit	2033	21.82	48.6%	-0.868	-0.6909	-0.541
Promising Farmlands	3132	20.92	46.2%	-0.863	-0.562	-0.68
Shattered Fragments of Power	143	24.09	41.96%	-1.042	-0.8603	-0.753
Slow Dissolution of Will	208	18.04	40.87%	-0.842	-0.4692	-1.299
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	399	31.28	86.72%	0.642	-0.0949	-0.255
The Border of Life and Death	37	21.32	64.86%	-0.575	-1.1478	-0.316
Thriving Communities	2125	21.13	47.86%	-1.634	-1.3318	-0.564
Thriving Crops	88	25.23	71.59%	-0.631	-0.6153	-0.62
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%			-0.532
Unnatural Proliferation	2126	24.48	49.2%	-0.966	-0.8226	-0.384
Untended Land Crumbles	2021	22.06	49.53%	-0.923	-0.58	-0.658

Blight Card

Completed

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

A Pall Upon the Land

3270

22.36

45.63%

-0.835

-0.7017

-0.76

Aid From Lesser Spirits

2725

23.62

47.27%

-1.19

-1.2866

-0.698

All Things Weaken

1928

21.14

43.0%

-1.704

-1.3869

-0.327

Attenuated Essence

202

22.06

47.03%

-1.228

-1.2176

-1.174

Back Against the Wall

2617

23.16

46.27%

-1.067

-1.016

-0.765

Blight Corrodes the Spirit

180

20.11

42.78%

-0.815

-0.6227

-0.421

Burn Brightest Before the End

177

23.88

54.24%

-0.184

-0.0044

-0.171

Disintegrating Ecosystem

3150

19.8

44.0%

-1.194

-0.7839

-1.1

Downward Spiral

5188

21.23

52.47%

-0.797

-0.7286

-0.708

Erosion of Will

3280

21.19

43.6%

-1.124

-0.8336

-0.869

Intensifying Exploitation

239

21.72

51.05%

-0.599

-0.3068

-0.257

Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking

744

30.44

85.89%

-0.475

-0.9459

-0.258

Memory Fades to Dust

5168

20.73

49.59%

-1.219

-1.0132

-0.56

Power Corrodes the Spirit

2033

21.82

48.6%

-0.868

-0.6909

-0.541

Promising Farmlands

3132

20.92

46.2%

-0.863

-0.562

-0.68

Shattered Fragments of Power

143

24.09

41.96%

-1.042

-0.8603

-0.753

Slow Dissolution of Will

208

18.04

40.87%

-0.842

-0.4692

-1.299

Strong Earth Shatters Slowly

399

31.28

86.72%

0.642

-0.0949

-0.255

The Border of Life and Death

21.32

64.86%

-0.575

-1.1478

-0.316

Thriving Communities

2125

21.13

47.86%

-1.634

-1.3318

-0.564

Thriving Crops

25.23

71.59%

-0.631

-0.6153

-0.62

Tipping Point

870

22.79

47.13%

-0.532

Unnatural Proliferation

2126

24.48

49.2%

-0.966

-0.8226

-0.384

Untended Land Crumbles

2021

22.06

49.53%

-0.923

-0.58

-0.658

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	21397	40.25%	28.43	75.48%	-0.128	0.734	-0.324
B	21627	41.03%	29.21	75.3%	-0.168	0.6526	0.261
C	25316	38.28%	29.01	77.24%	0.118	0.7978	0.098
D	23350	39.58%	28.63	76.42%	-0.128	0.701	0.01
E	14445	35.3%	28.35	79.07%	0.201	0.8935	0.185
F	15978	39.22%	29.0	76.37%	-0.157	0.6579	0.267
G	15050	39.89%	28.74	76.16%	-0.125	0.7176	0.025
H	16242	38.01%	29.23	77.87%	0.008	0.7858	0.076
East	4367	48.2%	29.33	65.61%	-1.258	-0.3911	-0.473
Northeast	2226	50.11%	31.24	64.69%	0.76	1.6092	0.088
Northwest	1591	50.25%	30.93	64.11%	-0.347	0.521	-0.692
Southeast	1616	35.23%	27.57	75.8%	0.122	1.0188	-0.188
Southwest	1040	40.1%	26.82	71.92%	-0.926	0.3387	0.082
West	3285	50.46%	28.82	63.44%	-0.438	0.6124	-0.155

Board

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

21397

40.25%

28.43

75.48%

-0.128

0.734

-0.324

21627

41.03%

29.21

75.3%

-0.168

0.6526

0.261

25316

38.28%

29.01

77.24%

0.118

0.7978

0.098

23350

39.58%

28.63

76.42%

-0.128

0.701

0.01

14445

35.3%

28.35

79.07%

0.201

0.8935

0.185

15978

39.22%

29.0

76.37%

-0.157

0.6579

0.267

15050

39.89%

28.74

76.16%

-0.125

0.7176

0.025

16242

38.01%

29.23

77.87%

0.008

0.7858

0.076

East

4367

48.2%

29.33

65.61%

-1.258

-0.3911

-0.473

Northeast

2226

50.11%

31.24

64.69%

0.76

1.6092

0.088

Northwest

1591

50.25%

30.93

64.11%

-0.347

0.521

-0.692

Southeast

1616

35.23%

27.57

75.8%

0.122

1.0188

-0.188

Southwest

1040

40.1%

26.82

71.92%

-0.926

0.3387

0.082

West

3285

50.46%

28.82

63.44%

-0.438

0.6124

-0.155

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	3220	0.0%	24.55	73.29%	-0.373	0.355	-0.435
Not Using Events or Tokens	3956	51.33%	21.72	64.79%	-0.499	-0.0753	-0.138
Skip Initial Invader Actions	7213	19.03%	34.95	86.77%	0.045	-0.5566	0.227
Start of Game Growth	11076	17.98%	33.62	87.48%	1.12	0.5122	0.609
Unlimited Undo	10458	31.35%	31.52	80.64%	-0.803	-0.7921	0.082
Using Tokens but Not Events	17707	26.03%	29.41	84.11%	0.618	0.6237	0.228

Option

Completed

Blight Flipped

Average Score

Win Rate

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff≥10)

No Blight Card

3220

0.0%

24.55

73.29%

-0.373

0.355

-0.435

Not Using Events or Tokens

3956

51.33%

21.72

64.79%

-0.499

-0.0753

-0.138

Skip Initial Invader Actions

7213

19.03%

34.95

86.77%

0.045

-0.5566

0.227

Start of Game Growth

11076

17.98%

33.62

87.48%

1.12

0.5122

0.609

Unlimited Undo

10458

31.35%

31.52

80.64%

-0.803

-0.7921

0.082

Using Tokens but Not Events

17707

26.03%

29.41

84.11%

0.618

0.6237

0.228

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	14364	15.58	8.35%
II	30303	30.46	65.16%
III	37925	34.79	90.64%
IV	22385	38.44	99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.075 Win Model: 0.091

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	70788	42.15%	27.45	72.32%
2	20065	44.06%	29.93	74.84%
3	7322	38.19%	31.98	79.06%
4	5315	30.12%	29.31	83.78%
5	826	17.43%	26.45	87.77%
6	661	28.48%	26.09	77.46%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1195
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	34234
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	19693
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	22262
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	3307
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1088
Lose: Adversary condition	3366
Win: Sacrifice victory	307
Lose: Blight pool ran out	18592
Lose: Spirit destroyed	933

Wave

Score Model: -0.014 Win Model: 0.057

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	51874	41.52%	29.38	74.46%
3	23613	40.27%	28.88	74.92%
4	13169	42.63%	27.73	72.38%
5	6757	44.94%	26.14	69.74%
6	3717	45.56%	23.72	69.06%
7	1856	44.17%	22.49	68.91%
8	1087	39.2%	22.68	74.06%
9	700	29.59%	23.74	82.14%
10	539	25.1%	23.26	82.93%
11	413	21.34%	23.96	86.44%
12	339	25.31%	24.12	89.68%
13	256	31.95%	22.1	84.38%
14	198	32.97%	22.27	83.84%
15	98	15.91%	25.01	85.71%
16	76	17.14%	28.61	92.11%
17	66	20.0%	28.36	92.42%
18	39	8.57%	27.46	92.31%
19	33	3.33%	28.67	93.94%
20	26	0.0%	30.15	100.0%
21	22	4.76%	27.45	90.91%
22	18	0.0%	29.11	100.0%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-04-09 06:24:56 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-04-09 06:24:56 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave