Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 475 47.03% 30.71 2.424 69.68% 0.021 0.3913
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1119 48.08% 31.98 0.109 68.19% -0.711 -0.4531
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 705 57.83% 35.4 3.743 58.44% -0.424 0.4716
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 401 55.78% 36.1 2.138 53.37% -0.832 0.1287
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 257 69.02% 38.21 3.342 44.36% -0.829 0.62
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -4.262 44.68% -1.345 0.1912
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 133 54.89% 41.45 12.571 38.35% -0.665 1.3959
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1213 50.04% 25.58 -0.596 71.64% -0.597 -0.3454
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4796 39.86% 30.87 0.781 78.38% -0.321 -0.2149
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4214 47.2% 37.45 6.07 73.71% 0.089 0.2513
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3099 52.49% 42.42 5.943 69.64% -0.506 -0.3239
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1979 52.43% 44.77 7.648 68.27% -0.44 -0.0993
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1121 61.27% 47.46 6.164 59.5% -0.945 -0.4705
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 901 69.97% 44.01 7.902 45.39% -0.676 0.6624
The Kingdom of England 0 1 841 45.71% 25.55 -1.274 62.54% -1.124 -0.7328
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2746 44.38% 32.18 -0.383 67.73% -0.91 -0.5582
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1768 56.7% 30.71 1.423 53.68% -0.878 -0.2083
The Kingdom of England 3 6 889 56.2% 34.9 2.883 46.91% -1.3 -0.1661
The Kingdom of England 4 7 494 51.84% 37.22 5.496 44.74% -1.148 0.0909
The Kingdom of England 5 9 210 66.51% 36.19 3.544 30.0% -0.853 0.7558
The Kingdom of England 6 11 370 60.55% 39.88 6.415 34.05% -1.324 0.7156
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 649 53.34% 27.13 0.068 58.86% -1.272 -0.8168
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1544 56.88% 30.06 2.723 60.75% -0.333 0.3894
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 898 42.58% 32.77 3.614 39.76% -1.038 -0.0412
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 577 49.21% 34.79 3.387 32.58% -1.546 -0.2614
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 325 51.56% 40.48 9.934 38.77% -0.459 0.9199
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 187 59.14% 39.1 4.948 30.48% -1.493 -0.4933
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 624 60.1% 45.37 12.224 34.62% -0.979 0.4373
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 199 41.18% 31.21 1.793 65.33% -0.581 -0.3071
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 416 37.83% 31.34 0.183 64.66% -0.709 -0.2509
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 366 31.77% 36.55 6.593 70.22% -0.111 0.4443
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 332 34.65% 44.58 11.789 68.98% 0.051 0.4525
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 255 43.31% 43.75 9.118 63.53% -0.695 -0.0152
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 136 51.47% 46.68 6.068 62.5% -1.104 -0.5763
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 294 66.33% 47.23 8.113 53.06% -0.847 0.2185
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 882 56.11% 25.49 1.499 70.86% 0.076 0.3127
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2398 44.3% 29.52 0.237 76.19% -0.187 -0.117
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2051 53.62% 30.89 2.254 70.26% -0.031 0.115
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1422 62.69% 34.86 4.94 61.88% -0.366 -0.0078
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 864 71.0% 34.69 2.554 54.05% -0.944 -0.3236
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 320 67.5% 36.88 1.888 51.88% -0.559 0.4331
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 807 79.93% 37.15 -1.365 46.72% -1.289 -0.2477
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 395 48.35% 31.63 2.692 70.63% -0.265 -0.1721
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 808 53.23% 30.0 -0.952 62.87% -1.107 -0.2089
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 484 48.97% 36.35 3.437 71.07% -0.176 0.3101
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 330 66.36% 35.45 7.801 49.39% -0.029 1.0315
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 185 58.7% 44.93 14.012 60.0% -0.081 0.8107
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 110 76.36% 38.94 7.025 31.82% -0.467 0.9633
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 121 72.73% 49.79 -5.234 42.15% -0.966 0.7687

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 65969 41.74 27.52 72.76% -0.322 -0.0585 -0.274
1 Thematic 3518 51.86 25.97 63.39% 0.275 0.7517 -0.567
2 Archipelago 49 28.57 33.22 87.76% -0.416 0.1079 -0.573
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11312 45.87 30.05 74.23% 0.098 0.2731 0.194
2 Coastline 2105 40.41 30.26 77.58% 0.069 0.0412 0.694
2 Fragment 416 46.14 26.77 71.15% -0.115 -0.4138 -0.69
2 Heart 490 41.03 26.78 77.35% -0.511 -0.6014 -0.26
2 Opposite Shores 3261 35.52 29.42 80.56% 0.108 0.0639 -0.887
2 Thematic 1788 53.92 31.27 63.37% -0.389 -0.1086 0.426
2 Top to Top 563 41.68 30.9 77.98% 1.017 1.0116 0.45
3 Archipelago 51 31.37 31.78 96.08%
3 Coastline 213 21.7 28.21 89.67% 0.857 0.0915 0.574
3 Other 827 37.61 27.08 82.47% 0.105 -0.3418 -0.606
3 Round (Default) 5916 38.81 32.92 78.79% -0.015 -0.2446 0.343
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59% -0.314 -0.2376
3 Thematic 330 42.73 29.24 72.73% 0.298 -0.0052 0.918
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5%
4 Coastline 168 8.93 27.05 94.64% 0.373 -0.1975
4 Leaf 31 48.39 26.9 80.65%
4 Other 575 31.65 29.86 86.09% 0.609 0.3043 0.334
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 620 36.61 31.01 75.16% -0.21 -0.0498 -0.483
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3837 30.41 29.23 84.08% -0.369 -0.1329 0.398
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 824 18.69 28.0 91.14% -0.287 -0.7724 -0.044
5 Thematic 109 29.36 27.98 88.07% 0.591 0.2711
6 Archipelago 10 30.0 33.3 100.0%
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.679 -1.2655
6 Other 188 29.41 24.47 83.51% 0.433 0.9613 -0.192
6 Star 42 45.24 27.21 78.57% 0.349 0.4135 0.154
6 Thematic 123 34.96 24.67 68.29% -0.667 -0.5809 -0.248
6 Two Centers (Default) 386 23.32 27.65 80.05% -0.13 -0.4182 0.532
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.201 -1.288 -0.577

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3251 22.32 45.62% -1.145 -0.9534 -0.785
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2710 23.64 47.2% -1.375 -1.427 -0.68
All Things Weaken 1913 21.2 43.18% -1.596 -1.3104 -0.322
Attenuated Essence 189 21.95 47.62% -1.535 -1.4311 -1.179
Back Against the Wall 2604 23.18 46.31% -0.892 -0.829 -0.761
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 175 19.98 42.29% -1.232 -1.0165 -0.409
Burn Brightest Before the End 169 23.78 53.85% 0.171 0.3594 -0.179
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3136 19.81 44.04% -1.436 -1.0129 -1.036
Downward Spiral 5159 21.23 52.47% -0.804 -0.6749 -0.69
Erosion of Will 3256 21.19 43.55% -1.359 -1.0626 -0.898
Intensifying Exploitation 232 22.01 51.72% -0.611 -0.375 -0.167
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 737 30.47 86.02% -0.403 -0.9015 -0.27
Memory Fades to Dust 5147 20.72 49.64% -1.335 -1.0982 -0.572
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2009 21.87 48.68% -0.807 -0.5804 -0.533
Promising Farmlands 3112 20.88 46.11% -1.381 -1.0881 -0.676
Shattered Fragments of Power 134 23.62 41.04% -0.965 -0.7515 -0.734
Slow Dissolution of Will 195 17.83 38.46% -1.134 -0.7516 -1.179
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 398 31.22 86.68% -0.226 -0.8199 -0.255
The Border of Life and Death 36 21.83 66.67% -0.389 -0.9263 -0.306
Thriving Communities 2109 21.19 48.08% -1.272 -0.9368 -0.51
Thriving Crops 84 25.85 73.81% 0.052 0.0132 -0.565
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.529
Unnatural Proliferation 2104 24.42 49.24% -1.218 -1.0852 -0.358
Untended Land Crumbles 2008 21.99 49.5% -1.166 -0.7249 -0.615

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21175 40.35% 28.44 75.55% 0.2 1.0617 -0.326
B 21463 41.02% 29.22 75.39% -0.001 0.8225 0.288
C 25113 38.3% 29.01 77.27% 0.164 0.8509 0.096
D 23123 39.65% 28.65 76.46% 0.007 0.8183 -0.016
E 14246 35.46% 28.36 79.0% 0.283 0.9594 0.196
F 15812 39.25% 29.0 76.46% -0.105 0.7057 0.228
G 14883 39.96% 28.77 76.19% 0.211 1.0447 0.03
H 16087 38.05% 29.24 77.91% 0.133 0.9143 0.066
East 4315 48.27% 29.45 65.96% -0.861 -0.0175 -0.4
Northeast 2205 50.09% 31.4 65.03% 0.648 1.4394 0.185
Northwest 1577 50.19% 31.06 64.36% -0.033 0.7836 -0.713
Southeast 1588 35.35% 27.71 76.2% 0.314 1.1769 -0.134
Southwest 1026 39.96% 26.95 72.42% -0.941 0.358 0.161
West 3244 50.42% 28.95 63.9% -0.619 0.3889 -0.127

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3173 0.0% 24.54 73.5% -0.099 0.7005 -0.44
Not Using Events or Tokens 3904 51.34% 21.81 65.01% -0.379 0.0125 -0.151
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7164 19.09% 34.93 86.86% -0.037 -0.6388 0.244
Start of Game Growth 10966 18.09% 33.64 87.56% 1.053 0.4746 0.614
Unlimited Undo 10368 31.39% 31.54 80.77% -0.459 -0.4161 0.102
Using Tokens but Not Events 17480 26.15% 29.41 84.12% 0.76 0.7035 0.228

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14170 15.76 8.41%
II 30043 30.48 65.17%
III 37589 34.78 90.65%
IV 22200 38.41 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.031 Win Model: -0.071
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70153 42.24% 27.47 72.36%
2 19918 44.08% 29.94 74.93%
3 7209 38.18% 31.98 79.14%
4 5262 30.1% 29.37 83.88%
5 810 17.28% 26.4 88.02%
6 650 28.51% 26.22 77.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33932
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19526
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22077
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3150
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1073
Lose: Adversary condition 3343
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18476
Lose: Spirit destroyed 931

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-01 05:07:46 (Pacific Time)