Second Wave - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	127176	40.57%	27.88	72.57%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	10026	32.12%	29.9	77.97%	0.515	0.4185	0.775
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	554	26.28%	33.23	77.8%	-0.208	-0.5331	-0.007
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles	37	55.56%	23.81	62.16%	0.01	-0.2517	-0.319
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine	66	37.88%	28.68	75.76%	0.868	0.1476
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	5178	49.27%	26.94	69.83%	0.281	0.58	-0.697
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	491	34.98%	31.18	68.84%	0.488	-0.1017	0.664
Dances Up Earthquakes	326	40.18%	24.33	61.04%	-0.269	-0.087	-0.172
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	10054	30.47%	30.55	82.92%	0.603	0.4241	-0.285
Downpour Drenches the World	1674	29.06%	25.48	67.44%	0.158	0.5167	0.507
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	1754	30.41%	29.46	75.03%	0.316	-0.1236	0.186
Eyes Watch From the Trees	12601	26.28%	32.63	85.61%	0.215	-0.1348	0.774
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	10164	28.95%	31.08	83.49%	0.154	-0.2466	0.276
Finder of Paths Unseen	829	36.87%	22.8	60.8%	-0.82	0.254	-0.433
Fractured Days Split the Sky	2025	30.43%	27.63	71.16%	-0.623	-0.1678	0.414
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	2385	39.78%	25.98	68.89%	-0.21	-0.3012	-0.114
Heart of the Wildfire	6414	61.45%	22.78	58.31%	-0.751	-0.32	-0.18
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	10834	42.59%	29.2	74.87%	0.717	0.2742	-0.539
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	600	38.27%	27.27	71.0%	-0.495	-1.004	-0.273
Lightning's Swift Strike	7249	49.55%	25.89	68.82%	-0.277	-0.1139	-0.845
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	864	37.92%	37.24	74.42%	0.918	0.2389	-0.523
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1223	39.4%	30.78	75.55%	0.138	-0.2208	0.461
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	1178	42.76%	27.35	72.67%	0.468	0.3217	0.713
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	5010	43.15%	27.95	73.01%	0.042	-0.1347	-0.42
Many Minds Move as One	4403	29.52%	30.59	80.31%	1.234	1.0997	-0.053
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	9754	42.32%	29.1	75.78%	0.11	0.0326	0.299
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	420	49.16%	28.96	67.86%	0.278	0.4695	-0.309
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	8896	36.21%	29.13	76.9%	-0.039	-0.0979	-0.188
River Surges in Sunlight	8663	47.08%	27.81	69.09%	0.016	0.0604	0.502
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	282	44.93%	25.37	66.31%	0.124	0.3538	-0.282
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	2083	44.18%	27.82	69.8%	-0.237	-0.1883	0.071
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	1194	35.69%	34.56	75.96%	-0.097	0.0697	-0.024
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	6595	37.25%	29.23	75.92%	-0.096	-0.2899	0.423
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	150	32.67%	22.15	53.33%	-0.489	-0.5032	-0.947
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3405	59.4%	23.71	62.53%	-0.4	0.2243	-0.482
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	255	47.3%	26.14	67.84%	-0.168	-0.1527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	361	44.13%	26.34	67.87%	0.31	-0.1246	-0.492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	254	45.34%	25.75	61.02%	-0.207	-0.1847	0.263
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	973	44.3%	27.13	70.5%	0.422	0.3346	0.28
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	594	50.52%	25.93	65.99%	0.321	0.7293
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7943	38.54%	29.12	75.79%	-0.2	-0.1423	0.115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle	34	54.84%	26.03	67.65%	-0.361	-0.8652
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	1048	36.41%	28.77	73.76%	0.078	0.0411	-0.222
Shifting Memory of Ages	1934	40.1%	24.79	68.51%	0.168	0.53	0.393
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	303	39.8%	25.43	65.35%	-0.78	-0.7973	0.388
Shroud of Silent Mist	2299	43.52%	24.04	68.03%	-0.42	0.1034	-0.799
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded	37	52.78%	26.19	72.97%	0.022	-0.3179	-0.16
Starlight Seeks its Form	2254	32.0%	26.64	68.23%	-0.333	-0.5319	0.743
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	6240	37.19%	28.12	75.67%	-0.107	-0.7219	0.365
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	6280	38.77%	27.65	74.6%	-0.077	0.1559	-0.329
Thunderspeaker	10332	39.26%	29.81	75.79%	0.217	0.1995	0.033
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	605	45.42%	23.63	56.69%	-0.328	-0.1277	0.074
Towering Roots of the Jungle	654	38.25%	25.04	64.22%	-0.052	0.1151	0.291
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	4295	56.91%	24.25	64.4%	-0.382	-0.3319	0.02
Vital Strength of the Earth	7727	32.78%	25.59	71.05%	-0.399	0.0716	-0.097
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	912	28.79%	35.14	72.48%	-0.024	0.3851	0.294
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	1251	36.24%	24.59	67.07%	0.059	0.7258
Volcano Looming High	3273	42.16%	25.37	69.97%	-0.478	-0.494	0.052
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	885	29.73%	27.3	70.62%	-0.0	-0.2804	-0.221

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	54	50.0%	20.33	-0.41	46.3%	-0.195	-0.0152
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	146	38.36%	30.45	2.957	63.7%	-0.312	-0.183
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	121	54.17%	28.3	3.531	55.37%	-0.208	0.236
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	64	60.32%	23.17	-2.624	39.06%	-1.298	-1.0139
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	53	55.77%	22.23	8.199	26.42%	-0.011	0.6683
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	24	56.52%	30.54	-12.982	37.5%	-0.599	0.402
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	11	81.82%	24.91	0.0	18.18%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	638	50.08%	29.31	-2.123	64.11%	-0.47	-0.0045
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1300	47.46%	31.72	3.307	67.31%	0.285	0.2115
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	841	56.17%	34.38	6.566	56.12%	-0.041	0.5485
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	492	55.76%	35.71	-1.212	52.85%	-1.094	-0.2844
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	309	68.09%	37.7	-0.707	44.01%	-0.433	0.7393
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	111	59.09%	39.57	16.6	44.14%	0.194	1.3894
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	167	53.89%	39.62	3.083	35.93%	-0.398	1.3166
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1468	49.73%	25.43	-0.265	69.75%	0.032	0.3833
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	5489	39.42%	30.36	-0.379	76.77%	-0.502	-0.4812
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4937	46.81%	36.81	5.724	72.31%	-0.045	0.0885
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3637	52.43%	41.35	5.333	67.83%	-0.619	-0.2571
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	2373	53.01%	43.3	2.999	65.95%	-0.91	-0.6937
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1307	61.0%	46.29	0.68	58.15%	-1.173	-0.9047
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	1055	69.29%	42.36	-8.622	43.22%	-1.607	-0.2608
The Kingdom of England	0	1	1055	45.92%	24.88	-2.497	60.38%	-0.731	-0.5286
The Kingdom of England	1	3	3204	44.17%	31.72	3.411	66.82%	-0.207	0.1156
The Kingdom of England	2	4	2126	56.51%	30.16	4.875	52.78%	-0.164	0.4022
The Kingdom of England	3	6	1100	55.17%	34.05	2.642	45.82%	-1.261	0.014
The Kingdom of England	4	7	601	52.51%	37.2	8.274	45.59%	-0.547	0.4073
The Kingdom of England	5	9	271	63.7%	33.87	-3.523	27.31%	-0.659	0.5246
The Kingdom of England	6	11	638	53.24%	39.73	-2.653	37.77%	-1.141	0.7461
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	798	51.65%	26.55	0.271	56.77%	-0.146	0.3198
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1871	56.32%	29.16	-2.107	58.74%	-1.064	-0.1844
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1162	42.43%	31.88	5.244	38.12%	-0.576	0.4192
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	692	48.58%	35.06	3.523	34.54%	-1.093	0.227
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	397	49.2%	40.71	0.436	40.3%	-1.534	-0.2838
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	241	59.74%	39.69	8.622	32.37%	-0.517	0.2589
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	711	57.95%	44.29	-1.113	33.9%	-1.488	-0.1994
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	367	43.38%	28.33	-1.99	64.03%	-0.578	-0.5513
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	892	36.59%	31.63	3.868	67.38%	0.238	0.7592
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	818	36.22%	35.91	5.841	68.22%	0.125	0.8302
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	668	35.34%	43.31	6.201	67.37%	-0.933	-0.7485
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	483	43.66%	43.25	8.567	61.9%	-0.879	-0.2053
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	285	49.82%	44.84	6.502	57.54%	-1.267	-0.6265
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	459	58.95%	46.68	8.265	51.63%	-0.959	0.2398
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	1079	54.01%	25.06	1.552	68.21%	0.062	0.24
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2788	44.33%	29.02	-0.379	74.68%	-0.397	-0.2672
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2401	52.69%	30.6	1.833	69.1%	-0.392	-0.1868
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1696	61.7%	34.68	6.618	61.44%	0.267	0.5286
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	1050	68.6%	34.56	-0.873	54.19%	-1.254	-0.6775
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	414	67.66%	36.63	1.191	51.21%	-0.869	-0.138
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	1016	76.85%	35.78	0.499	45.37%	-1.238	-0.4417
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	587	43.49%	30.91	-1.129	66.95%	-0.28	-0.0356
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	1031	52.24%	28.94	1.237	60.43%	-0.176	0.3935
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	600	49.75%	34.85	1.71	67.67%	-0.195	0.1932
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	423	68.25%	35.27	15.887	48.7%	0.521	1.3178
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	239	59.07%	45.14	-0.841	59.0%	-0.574	0.1703
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	132	75.0%	39.45	0.017	34.85%	-0.312	1.5466
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	170	65.88%	47.99	-7.77	41.18%	-1.27	0.3941

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	79991	40.68	27.06	71.47%	-0.471	-0.2675	-0.848
1	Thematic	4215	49.94	25.34	62.85%	-0.507	0.1017	0.495
2	Archipelago	80	27.5	27.93	76.25%	-0.144	0.026	-0.381
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	13670	45.61	29.55	72.4%	0.094	0.1743	0.289
2	Coastline	2520	39.15	29.55	75.79%	0.708	0.613	-0.509
2	Fragment	549	46.24	27.89	70.67%	0.236	0.1934
2	Heart	644	35.58	26.98	79.35%	0.071	-0.39	-0.364
2	Opposite Shores	3989	35.86	29.32	78.97%	0.529	0.6604	-0.086
2	Thematic	2374	52.68	28.92	56.28%	-0.495	-0.1361	-0.633
2	Top to Top	761	40.4	30.82	77.4%	-0.37	-0.4585	1.227
3	Archipelago	59	35.59	30.97	91.53%	0.599	0.4296
3	Coastline	278	19.86	27.54	88.13%	0.061	-0.1111
3	Other	1007	35.75	26.46	81.33%	0.799	0.4141	0.524
3	Round (Default)	7725	39.43	33.02	77.35%	0.458	0.4635	0.201
3	Sunrise	38	47.37	22.58	71.05%
3	Thematic	473	48.09	28.64	70.61%	1.344	0.9134
4	Archipelago	47	31.91	33.57	87.23%	-0.664	-0.9049	0.294
4	Coastline	221	9.05	27.05	93.21%	0.437	-0.1608
4	Leaf	37	48.65	24.89	75.68%
4	Other	742	31.0	28.48	83.56%	0.696	-0.1474	-0.095
4	Reverse Snake	4	0.0	24.5	75.0%
4	Thematic	720	39.58	29.57	71.53%	-0.218	-0.4204	-0.225
4	Trapezoid (Default)	4461	30.1	28.63	82.36%	0.996	1.1858	-0.026
5	Archipelago	13	23.08	28.85	76.92%	-0.682	-0.0829
5	Coastline	101	8.91	25.18	89.11%	0.153	-0.507
5	Other	1085	18.89	28.31	89.68%	-0.592	-0.7525	0.429
5	Thematic	122	31.15	27.37	84.43%
6	Archipelago	17	23.53	34.71	94.12%	0.166	-0.4871
6	Coastline	8	12.5	26.75	75.0%
6	Other	306	28.85	23.91	81.7%	0.114	0.0752
6	Star	59	44.07	25.29	72.88%
6	Thematic	189	35.68	22.67	59.26%	-0.379	-0.1308	0.318
6	Two Centers (Default)	534	21.72	26.13	73.97%	-1.156	0.046	-0.636
7	Other	41	29.27	19.88	70.73%	0.157	0.3386

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3715	22.22	45.17%	-0.754	-0.6055	-0.793
Aid From Lesser Spirits	3169	23.92	47.49%	-0.245	-0.3575	0.039
All Things Weaken	2366	21.06	42.35%	-1.057	-0.6819	-0.075
Attenuated Essence	455	23.7	50.99%	-1.258	-1.1324	-0.144
Back Against the Wall	2966	23.16	45.95%	-1.345	-1.3044	-0.782
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	429	19.93	42.89%	-1.091	-0.885	-1.016
Burn Brightest Before the End	383	24.2	48.3%	-0.815	-0.7702	-0.367
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3550	19.69	43.46%	-1.401	-0.9036	0.548
Downward Spiral	5892	20.97	51.49%	-1.035	-0.7853	0.044
Erosion of Will	3759	21.05	43.28%	-0.972	-0.7144	-0.552
Intensifying Exploitation	541	21.87	49.72%	-0.747	-0.5275	0.422
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	902	29.97	83.48%	-0.377	-0.7633	-0.384
Memory Fades to Dust	5828	20.54	48.7%	-1.118	-0.9128	0.999
Power Corrodes the Spirit	2440	21.74	47.95%	-0.368	-0.17	0.138
Promising Farmlands	3578	20.69	45.44%	-0.774	-0.4178	-0.908
Shattered Fragments of Power	377	23.51	43.24%	-1.394	-1.1763	-0.447
Slow Dissolution of Will	457	18.52	38.51%	-1.893	-1.463	-0.149
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	505	29.61	84.16%	0.139	-0.4849	-0.16
The Border of Life and Death	112	27.23	71.43%	-0.215	-0.535
Thriving Communities	2517	21.27	47.44%	0.088	0.4075	-0.055
Thriving Crops	183	26.36	74.86%	-0.003	-0.1215	-0.164
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%
Unnatural Proliferation	2515	24.12	48.35%	-0.937	-0.8475	-0.443
Untended Land Crumbles	2400	21.99	49.08%	-0.838	-0.6133	0.064

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	25897	39.65%	28.07	73.93%	-0.36	0.4393	0.154
B	25885	40.78%	28.74	73.68%	-0.266	0.4642	0.318
C	30418	37.97%	28.5	75.42%	-0.105	0.499	-0.07
D	27715	39.05%	28.22	74.79%	-0.143	0.6142	-0.276
E	19388	33.22%	28.08	78.33%	0.392	0.9763	0.522
F	19507	38.81%	28.85	74.87%	-0.137	0.566	-0.335
G	18024	39.57%	28.44	74.69%	-0.059	0.6979	-0.406
H	19631	37.84%	28.98	76.35%	-0.004	0.6267	0.795
East	5672	47.54%	27.81	62.29%	-0.45	0.3335	0.039
Northeast	2863	49.58%	29.55	61.12%	0.051	0.8128	0.171
Northwest	2066	50.02%	29.17	60.7%	-0.318	0.5239	0.407
Southeast	2095	35.6%	26.58	73.89%	0.404	1.0432	0.093
Southwest	1300	41.4%	25.52	67.69%	-0.124	0.9217	0.434
West	4202	50.58%	27.33	59.45%	-0.174	0.6017	-0.907

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	4166	0.0%	26.05	72.25%	-1.263	-0.389
Not Using Events or Tokens	4650	51.24%	20.76	61.81%	-0.47	-0.0932	-0.783
Skip Initial Invader Actions	8214	19.25%	35.29	86.05%	0.062	-0.2293	0.319
Start of Game Growth	12884	17.83%	33.58	86.58%	0.681	0.1245	0.762
Unlimited Undo	12384	30.95%	31.2	78.8%	-0.493	-0.429	-0.283
Using Tokens but Not Events	23040	24.72%	29.38	83.06%	0.994	0.8671	-0.75

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	19336	12.44	7.54%
II	36092	29.94	64.64%
III	44972	34.9	90.63%
IV	26776	38.84	99.87%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: -0.081

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	85128	41.09%	27.0	71.13%
2	24415	43.71%	29.39	72.68%
3	9386	38.87%	31.94	77.55%
4	6179	30.1%	28.64	81.94%
5	1116	17.47%	26.44	85.66%
6	952	27.98%	24.73	72.58%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1453
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	40591
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	23267
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	26613
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	6738
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1282
Lose: Adversary condition	4157
Win: Sacrifice victory	363
Lose: Blight pool ran out	21628
Lose: Spirit destroyed	1084

Wave

Score Model: -0.117 Win Model: 0.064

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	63051	41.01%	28.55	72.06%
3	28106	39.93%	28.61	73.71%
4	15693	41.9%	27.75	71.78%
5	8135	44.0%	26.56	69.91%
6	4555	43.51%	24.15	69.2%
7	2292	41.68%	23.16	69.9%
8	1390	36.61%	23.17	74.68%
9	927	28.54%	23.76	81.45%
10	715	23.22%	23.36	82.94%
11	558	19.06%	24.1	87.1%
12	461	21.18%	24.26	90.46%
13	361	25.95%	22.63	85.87%
14	289	25.18%	23.35	87.2%
15	170	16.35%	24.05	87.65%
16	135	17.97%	25.54	90.37%
17	105	20.2%	26.48	91.43%
18	44	10.0%	26.41	90.91%
19	36	3.03%	28.19	94.44%
20	29	3.7%	28.38	96.55%
21	24	13.04%	25.08	87.5%
22	19	5.56%	27.16	94.74%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave