Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 482 47.18% 30.8 2.158 69.5% -0.212 0.1815
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1124 48.04% 31.92 -1.192 67.97% -0.99 -0.7503
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 708 57.59% 35.47 9.375 58.62% 0.409 1.3092
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 403 55.75% 36.13 5.008 53.35% -0.515 0.3668
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 259 68.87% 38.02 1.915 44.02% -1.184 0.2101
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -7.093 44.68% -1.096 0.4672
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 135 55.56% 41.01 10.506 37.78% -0.312 1.705
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1218 50.0% 25.57 -0.826 71.59% -0.481 -0.2158
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4807 39.79% 30.88 1.207 78.39% -0.265 -0.1817
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4233 47.09% 37.46 6.382 73.71% 0.143 0.246
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3111 52.45% 42.35 4.96 69.5% -0.688 -0.4864
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1984 52.4% 44.75 7.504 68.25% -0.356 0.0015
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1127 61.21% 47.47 7.81 59.54% -0.724 -0.2359
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 902 70.0% 43.98 4.426 45.34% -1.058 0.275
The Kingdom of England 0 1 848 45.68% 25.59 -1.6 62.5% -1.126 -0.7184
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2755 44.34% 32.16 -0.874 67.7% -1.048 -0.7035
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1772 56.74% 30.69 1.374 53.61% -0.748 -0.1053
The Kingdom of England 3 6 892 56.24% 34.87 2.841 46.86% -1.254 -0.1139
The Kingdom of England 4 7 498 52.24% 37.41 8.486 45.18% -0.458 0.786
The Kingdom of England 5 9 210 66.51% 36.19 4.519 30.0% -0.623 0.934
The Kingdom of England 6 11 370 60.55% 39.88 10.739 34.05% -0.938 1.1135
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 653 53.17% 27.2 -0.153 58.96% -1.177 -0.7332
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1548 56.8% 30.05 2.333 60.72% -0.387 0.3311
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 904 42.63% 32.86 4.375 39.82% -0.859 0.1138
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 579 49.21% 34.72 3.164 32.47% -1.384 -0.1173
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 327 51.24% 40.23 6.393 38.53% -0.839 0.5009
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 189 59.04% 39.11 4.714 30.69% -1.457 -0.5533
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 628 60.03% 45.38 11.354 34.71% -1.0 0.4487
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 205 40.93% 31.39 2.822 65.37% -0.312 -0.0994
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 420 37.47% 31.36 0.516 64.76% -0.736 -0.2533
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 376 32.35% 36.64 6.064 70.48% -0.084 0.4219
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 336 34.64% 44.54 11.317 68.75% -0.239 0.1662
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 262 43.85% 43.98 11.009 64.12% -0.142 0.479
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 138 51.45% 46.83 4.808 63.04% -1.269 -0.7395
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 299 65.89% 47.14 9.212 52.84% -0.72 0.352
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 883 56.16% 25.46 0.065 70.78% -0.118 0.1696
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2406 44.2% 29.52 -0.295 76.23% -0.379 -0.2803
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2067 53.67% 30.82 0.567 70.05% -0.447 -0.2773
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1429 62.57% 34.84 3.235 61.79% -0.654 -0.2739
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 874 70.95% 34.71 3.804 54.12% -0.556 0.0904
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 322 67.7% 36.9 1.471 51.86% -0.61 0.39
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 812 79.68% 37.12 0.537 46.67% -1.277 -0.2408
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 401 48.38% 31.59 2.946 70.32% -0.192 -0.0871
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 809 53.28% 29.98 -1.802 62.79% -1.151 -0.2338
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 489 49.28% 36.13 2.219 70.55% -0.413 0.0735
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 331 66.47% 35.4 6.89 49.24% -0.163 0.8222
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 190 59.26% 45.26 13.528 60.0% 0.115 0.9872
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 111 75.68% 39.25 25.398 32.43% 0.254 1.6479
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 124 72.58% 50.08 8.012 42.74% -0.456 1.2829

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66281 41.71 27.51 72.73% -0.42 -0.0697 -0.266
1 Thematic 3518 51.86 25.97 63.39% 0.363 0.8499 -0.517
2 Archipelago 50 30.0 33.1 88.0% -0.04 0.3971 -0.572
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11340 45.83 30.05 74.25% -0.027 0.24 0.177
2 Coastline 2116 40.54 30.26 77.41% 0.116 0.1509 0.674
2 Fragment 421 46.54 26.98 71.26% 0.179 -0.124 -0.698
2 Heart 494 40.9 26.78 77.53% -0.434 -0.4077 -0.266
2 Opposite Shores 3268 35.5 29.4 80.48% 0.094 0.1539 -0.963
2 Thematic 1795 53.82 31.18 63.12% -0.612 -0.307 0.516
2 Top to Top 568 41.67 30.93 77.99% 0.945 0.8776 0.439
3 Archipelago 51 31.37 31.78 96.08%
3 Coastline 215 21.5 28.24 89.77% 0.695 -0.0249 0.552
3 Other 830 37.83 27.07 82.29% 0.016 -0.4831 -0.592
3 Round (Default) 5961 38.77 32.91 78.71% -0.046 -0.2144 0.263
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 333 43.24 29.24 72.37% 0.533 0.1157 0.978
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5% 0.098 0.2541
4 Coastline 170 8.82 27.36 94.71% 0.398 -0.1903
4 Leaf 31 48.39 26.9 80.65%
4 Other 578 31.83 29.85 85.99% 0.649 0.3618 0.409
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 624 36.7 30.87 74.84% -0.191 -0.1736 -0.412
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3859 30.34 29.2 84.06% -0.241 -0.0228 0.325
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 831 18.77 28.07 90.97% -0.355 -0.9348 0.224
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% 0.406 -0.1428 -0.194
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.034 -0.9564
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.509 -1.3171
6 Other 189 29.26 24.47 83.6% 0.148 0.6088 -0.187
6 Star 43 46.51 26.58 76.74% -0.053 0.3175 0.13
6 Thematic 125 34.4 24.27 67.2% -0.655 -0.7705 -0.262
6 Two Centers (Default) 386 23.32 27.65 80.05% 0.084 -0.1549 0.519
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.244 -1.3301 -0.654

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3261 22.31 45.57% -1.101 -0.9215 -0.803
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2721 23.62 47.23% -1.416 -1.4827 -0.689
All Things Weaken 1923 21.17 43.11% -1.76 -1.4464 -0.32
Attenuated Essence 198 22.11 47.47% -1.329 -1.2639 -1.153
Back Against the Wall 2611 23.17 46.27% -1.1 -1.0244 -0.76
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 180 20.11 42.78% -0.972 -0.7692 -0.419
Burn Brightest Before the End 173 24.06 54.34% 0.045 0.2259 -0.164
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3143 19.81 44.0% -1.319 -0.9006 -1.064
Downward Spiral 5175 21.25 52.5% -0.726 -0.6104 -0.701
Erosion of Will 3269 21.19 43.56% -1.204 -0.9158 -0.863
Intensifying Exploitation 236 21.65 50.85% -0.837 -0.5742 -0.254
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 741 30.44 85.96% -0.535 -1.0477 -0.257
Memory Fades to Dust 5157 20.73 49.6% -1.271 -1.0456 -0.556
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2024 21.84 48.72% -0.813 -0.6045 -0.535
Promising Farmlands 3121 20.9 46.17% -1.201 -0.9032 -0.673
Shattered Fragments of Power 137 23.87 41.61% -1.061 -0.8657 -0.752
Slow Dissolution of Will 199 17.9 38.69% -0.839 -0.4574 -1.291
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 399 31.28 86.72% 0.366 -0.2335 -0.261
The Border of Life and Death 36 21.83 66.67% -0.317
Thriving Communities 2120 21.17 47.97% -1.456 -1.1112 -0.556
Thriving Crops 86 25.55 73.26% -0.384 -0.3713 -0.617
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.534
Unnatural Proliferation 2112 24.45 49.2% -1.156 -1.025 -0.38
Untended Land Crumbles 2011 21.99 49.48% -1.273 -0.8853 -0.615

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21298 40.31% 28.43 75.5% 0.098 0.9663 -0.324
B 21545 41.01% 29.23 75.34% -0.067 0.755 0.258
C 25211 38.3% 29.02 77.26% 0.197 0.8771 0.102
D 23219 39.62% 28.64 76.43% -0.048 0.7666 0.006
E 14341 35.41% 28.35 79.0% 0.238 0.9181 0.189
F 15899 39.23% 29.0 76.41% -0.046 0.7469 0.256
G 14967 39.94% 28.75 76.14% 0.002 0.8424 0.036
H 16169 38.02% 29.23 77.9% 0.164 0.9332 0.081
East 4332 48.27% 29.38 65.74% -1.09 -0.2123 -0.446
Northeast 2217 50.05% 31.29 64.73% 0.703 1.5192 0.118
Northwest 1582 50.16% 30.98 64.16% -0.328 0.5484 -0.723
Southeast 1596 35.36% 27.59 75.88% 0.088 0.9982 -0.207
Southwest 1033 39.98% 26.79 72.02% -0.87 0.4532 0.086
West 3259 50.43% 28.87 63.67% -0.43 0.5974 -0.177

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3186 0.0% 24.58 73.48% -0.277 0.5075 -0.437
Not Using Events or Tokens 3923 51.29% 21.78 64.95% -0.378 -0.0001 -0.149
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7175 19.09% 34.96 86.87% 0.107 -0.5163 0.236
Start of Game Growth 11014 18.05% 33.63 87.52% 0.995 0.3871 0.605
Unlimited Undo 10397 31.36% 31.54 80.74% -0.588 -0.5431 0.105
Using Tokens but Not Events 17600 26.12% 29.42 84.11% 0.662 0.6073 0.223

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14269 15.67 8.36%
II 30171 30.47 65.16%
III 37741 34.79 90.64%
IV 22298 38.42 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.046 Win Model: -0.05
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70470 42.21% 27.46 72.34%
2 19983 44.08% 29.93 74.89%
3 7262 38.2% 31.98 79.03%
4 5293 30.05% 29.34 83.85%
5 816 17.4% 26.46 87.87%
6 655 28.44% 26.12 77.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34067
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19606
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22175
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3228
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1084
Lose: Adversary condition 3352
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18539
Lose: Spirit destroyed 932

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-05 06:17:53 (Pacific Time)