Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 482 47.18% 30.8 3.019 69.5% 0.055 0.444
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1123 48.08% 31.95 -0.892 68.03% -0.972 -0.7193
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 708 57.59% 35.47 7.291 58.62% 0.085 0.9759
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 403 55.75% 36.13 4.985 53.35% -0.551 0.3515
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 259 68.87% 38.02 1.823 44.02% -1.198 0.1733
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -7.137 44.68% -1.117 0.4597
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 134 55.22% 41.14 13.371 38.06% -0.118 1.8844
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1218 50.0% 25.57 -1.154 71.59% -0.555 -0.293
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4803 39.82% 30.88 1.017 78.39% -0.34 -0.2727
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4229 47.08% 37.45 6.194 73.68% 0.089 0.1968
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3109 52.45% 42.38 5.355 69.54% -0.664 -0.4655
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1984 52.4% 44.75 7.416 68.25% -0.4 -0.017
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1127 61.21% 47.47 7.734 59.54% -0.751 -0.2692
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 902 70.0% 43.98 6.752 45.34% -0.842 0.4997
The Kingdom of England 0 1 847 45.62% 25.62 -1.336 62.57% -1.042 -0.6534
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2754 44.32% 32.16 -1.504 67.68% -1.27 -0.9219
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1772 56.74% 30.69 1.298 53.61% -0.818 -0.1749
The Kingdom of England 3 6 891 56.19% 34.91 3.465 46.91% -1.245 -0.0974
The Kingdom of England 4 7 497 52.14% 37.37 7.658 45.07% -0.732 0.5057
The Kingdom of England 5 9 210 66.51% 36.19 4.71 30.0% -0.575 1.0228
The Kingdom of England 6 11 370 60.55% 39.88 10.66 34.05% -0.984 1.0538
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 649 53.34% 27.13 -2.834 58.86% -1.44 -0.9848
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1547 56.77% 30.06 2.285 60.76% -0.443 0.2661
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 903 42.57% 32.86 4.423 39.87% -0.863 0.1276
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 579 49.21% 34.72 3.113 32.47% -1.433 -0.1649
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 327 51.24% 40.23 6.321 38.53% -0.882 0.4692
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 188 59.36% 38.89 2.929 30.32% -1.557 -0.6192
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 627 59.97% 45.41 11.975 34.77% -0.99 0.4587
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 204 40.63% 31.5 3.092 65.69% -0.196 -0.0012
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 418 37.65% 31.4 0.393 64.83% -0.724 -0.2528
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 373 32.34% 36.54 5.801 70.24% -0.188 0.3265
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 335 34.74% 44.6 11.331 68.96% -0.246 0.1778
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 262 43.85% 43.98 9.659 64.12% -0.458 0.1683
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 138 51.45% 46.83 6.038 63.04% -1.152 -0.63
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 299 65.89% 47.14 9.319 52.84% -0.795 0.276
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 882 56.11% 25.49 1.702 70.86% 0.075 0.3381
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2404 44.24% 29.52 0.027 76.21% -0.334 -0.2445
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2060 53.65% 30.83 0.627 70.1% -0.394 -0.233
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1427 62.52% 34.86 3.226 61.88% -0.638 -0.2625
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 873 70.92% 34.73 3.717 54.18% -0.609 0.0393
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 322 67.7% 36.9 2.545 51.86% -0.573 0.4275
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 812 79.68% 37.12 0.305 46.67% -1.3 -0.271
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 400 48.5% 31.58 2.727 70.25% -0.253 -0.1522
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 809 53.28% 29.98 -1.941 62.79% -1.206 -0.3183
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 488 49.18% 36.17 2.837 70.7% -0.302 0.1664
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 331 66.47% 35.4 6.951 49.24% -0.142 0.8484
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 189 59.04% 45.33 14.751 60.32% 0.28 1.1485
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 111 75.68% 39.25 25.461 32.43% 0.251 1.6725
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 123 72.36% 50.23 8.235 43.09% -0.318 1.4198

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66219 41.71 27.52 72.75% -0.359 -0.0339 -0.264
1 Thematic 3518 51.86 25.97 63.39% 0.453 0.8837 -0.515
2 Archipelago 50 30.0 33.1 88.0% -0.014 0.4166 -0.572
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11331 45.86 30.05 74.25% 0.054 0.311 0.177
2 Coastline 2112 40.47 30.27 77.46% 0.056 0.0832 0.673
2 Fragment 420 46.41 26.92 71.19% 0.055 -0.2179 -0.699
2 Heart 492 40.86 26.79 77.44% -0.474 -0.4736 -0.266
2 Opposite Shores 3264 35.52 29.4 80.48% 0.163 0.2079 -0.967
2 Thematic 1793 53.82 31.2 63.19% -0.629 -0.3783 0.514
2 Top to Top 563 41.68 30.9 77.98% 1.043 0.9888 0.438
3 Archipelago 51 31.37 31.78 96.08%
3 Coastline 215 21.5 28.24 89.77% 0.699 -0.0032 0.555
3 Other 830 37.83 27.07 82.29% 0.035 -0.4204 -0.595
3 Round (Default) 5959 38.75 32.92 78.74% -0.1 -0.2481 0.265
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 333 43.24 29.24 72.37% 0.445 0.0134 0.977
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5%
4 Coastline 169 8.88 27.05 94.67% 0.224 -0.3021
4 Leaf 31 48.39 26.9 80.65%
4 Other 578 31.83 29.85 85.99% 0.628 0.4299 0.406
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 622 36.66 30.95 75.08% -0.152 -0.1227 -0.411
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3854 30.35 29.2 84.07% -0.375 -0.0981 0.32
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 828 18.72 28.06 90.94% -0.422 -0.909 0.219
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% 0.451 -0.0605 -0.194
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.023 -0.8697
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.504 -1.274
6 Other 189 29.26 24.47 83.6% 0.181 0.6677 -0.186
6 Star 42 45.24 27.21 78.57% 0.395 0.6238 0.133
6 Thematic 125 34.4 24.27 67.2% -0.669 -0.8392 -0.26
6 Two Centers (Default) 386 23.32 27.65 80.05% -0.025 -0.1916 0.524
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.283 -1.3516 -0.651

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3260 22.32 45.58% -1.052 -0.8746 -0.804
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2720 23.62 47.24% -1.423 -1.4736 -0.691
All Things Weaken 1920 21.19 43.18% -1.637 -1.3288 -0.32
Attenuated Essence 198 22.11 47.47% -1.385 -1.3134 -1.155
Back Against the Wall 2608 23.17 46.28% -1.007 -0.9481 -0.761
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 177 20.26 42.94% -0.977 -0.768 -0.42
Burn Brightest Before the End 172 24.16 54.65% 0.234 0.422 -0.164
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3139 19.81 44.03% -1.346 -0.9357 -1.035
Downward Spiral 5171 21.24 52.5% -0.737 -0.6075 -0.702
Erosion of Will 3265 21.2 43.52% -1.347 -1.0549 -0.866
Intensifying Exploitation 236 21.65 50.85% -0.849 -0.5949 -0.254
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 740 30.43 85.95% -0.434 -0.9531 -0.258
Memory Fades to Dust 5154 20.73 49.63% -1.286 -1.0511 -0.556
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2019 21.85 48.69% -0.94 -0.7293 -0.535
Promising Farmlands 3117 20.89 46.13% -1.278 -0.9754 -0.676
Shattered Fragments of Power 137 23.87 41.61% -1.031 -0.8452 -0.757
Slow Dissolution of Will 197 17.9 39.09% -0.984 -0.5817 -1.202
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 399 31.28 86.72% 0.355 -0.2875 -0.26
The Border of Life and Death 36 21.83 66.67% -0.317
Thriving Communities 2119 21.17 47.99% -1.336 -0.994 -0.537
Thriving Crops 86 25.55 73.26% -0.258 -0.2585 -0.615
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.534
Unnatural Proliferation 2112 24.45 49.2% -1.155 -1.0211 -0.382
Untended Land Crumbles 2011 21.99 49.48% -1.147 -0.7262 -0.615

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21279 40.31% 28.44 75.51% 0.089 0.9422 -0.322
B 21527 41.0% 29.23 75.38% -0.037 0.7668 0.27
C 25193 38.3% 29.02 77.28% 0.221 0.8789 0.104
D 23199 39.61% 28.65 76.45% -0.056 0.7413 0.003
E 14322 35.41% 28.36 79.0% 0.247 0.9037 0.191
F 15876 39.25% 29.0 76.41% -0.085 0.6929 0.254
G 14944 39.96% 28.76 76.16% 0.079 0.9062 0.037
H 16147 38.02% 29.23 77.9% 0.077 0.8332 0.08
East 4328 48.26% 29.4 65.8% -1.059 -0.1644 -0.443
Northeast 2214 50.07% 31.33 64.81% 0.767 1.5768 0.118
Northwest 1580 50.16% 31.02 64.24% -0.229 0.6453 -0.725
Southeast 1595 35.38% 27.6 75.92% 0.032 0.9254 -0.207
Southwest 1032 40.02% 26.82 72.09% -0.9 0.437 0.086
West 3255 50.43% 28.89 63.75% -0.446 0.5774 -0.175

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3180 0.0% 24.6 73.52% -0.179 0.6231 -0.44
Not Using Events or Tokens 3914 51.28% 21.8 65.02% -0.317 0.0575 -0.152
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7174 19.1% 34.95 86.87% 0.192 -0.4396 0.238
Start of Game Growth 11006 18.06% 33.63 87.52% 0.878 0.2835 0.604
Unlimited Undo 10393 31.37% 31.54 80.74% -0.586 -0.5389 0.103
Using Tokens but Not Events 17575 26.11% 29.42 84.12% 0.692 0.6265 0.222

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14243 15.69 8.38%
II 30138 30.47 65.17%
III 37713 34.79 90.65%
IV 22282 38.42 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.031 Win Model: -0.028
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70406 42.21% 27.47 72.35%
2 19958 44.09% 29.93 74.9%
3 7260 38.18% 31.98 79.05%
4 5284 30.07% 29.35 83.88%
5 814 17.32% 26.47 87.84%
6 654 28.33% 26.16 77.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34043
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19587
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22159
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3209
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1083
Lose: Adversary condition 3350
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18518
Lose: Spirit destroyed 931

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-04 05:48:05 (Pacific Time)