Second Wave - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	116716	40.85%	28.08	73.09%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	9459	32.26%	30.04	78.23%	0.007	-0.0613	0.094
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	291	25.27%	31.16	80.07%	0.915	0.4008	-0.109
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4921	49.21%	27.14	70.39%	-0.208	-0.0308	-0.492
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	356	34.19%	30.17	69.1%	0.712	-0.1477	0.022
Dances Up Earthquakes	120	34.17%	24.52	58.33%	-0.088	-0.1445	-0.712
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	9457	30.77%	30.69	83.18%	0.394	0.2098	-0.016
Downpour Drenches the World	1364	30.46%	25.34	67.08%	-0.25	0.0179	0.242
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	1392	29.54%	29.8	75.72%	0.683	0.0955	0.406
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11799	26.53%	32.79	85.98%	0.539	0.0959	0.607
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	9510	28.91%	31.34	84.12%	0.564	0.0947	0.218
Finder of Paths Unseen	679	35.92%	23.47	63.03%	-0.36	0.3336	-0.771
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1812	31.19%	27.79	71.85%	-0.167	0.4871	0.164
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	2055	39.95%	26.02	69.59%	0.462	0.308	-0.435
Heart of the Wildfire	6006	61.68%	22.99	58.94%	-0.187	0.1565	-0.344
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	10150	42.97%	29.26	75.16%	0.113	-0.2763	-0.036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	477	36.7%	28.15	73.38%	0.55	0.2329	0.258
Lightning's Swift Strike	6859	49.52%	26.16	69.54%	-0.443	-0.2197	-0.289
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	736	36.74%	37.15	74.86%	0.133	-0.21	0.237
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1121	38.95%	31.08	76.54%	-0.219	-0.5396	0.489
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	1026	43.52%	27.41	73.2%	0.166	0.1631	0.097
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	4390	43.55%	28.1	73.8%	0.202	-0.0167	-0.308
Many Minds Move as One	3928	29.98%	30.63	80.7%	-0.062	-0.2613	0.901
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	9255	42.25%	29.23	76.33%	-0.193	-0.0367	0.664
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	153	52.17%	28.96	69.93%	0.193	0.2586	0.755
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	8326	36.64%	29.29	77.28%	0.368	0.2702	-0.203
River Surges in Sunlight	8178	47.33%	27.93	69.42%	-0.221	-0.1759	-0.435
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	158	44.44%	25.78	69.62%	-0.168	0.0202	-0.621
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1908	44.0%	28.09	70.55%	0.299	0.5371	-0.456
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	957	34.32%	34.67	77.43%	0.209	0.0363	-0.008
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	6255	37.4%	29.39	76.2%	0.28	0.1375	0.812
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	70	34.29%	23.8	57.14%	-0.101	-0.3033	-0.524
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3257	59.47%	24.04	63.28%	-0.97	-0.4056	0.009
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	208	46.46%	26.97	69.71%	-0.397	-0.5418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	273	43.54%	25.54	65.2%	0.312	-0.1376	-0.408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	211	44.88%	27.11	64.93%	0.093	0.0411	0.476
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	909	44.75%	27.0	70.3%	0.132	0.0237	-0.549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	552	50.19%	26.25	66.49%	-0.98	-0.783	0.278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7546	38.78%	29.34	76.17%	-0.244	-0.1556	-0.312
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	784	34.69%	28.52	74.36%	0.641	0.511	0.426
Shifting Memory of Ages	1748	40.14%	24.65	68.48%	-0.369	-0.0825	0.211
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	179	34.86%	26.78	68.16%	-0.792	-0.8093	0.361
Shroud of Silent Mist	2031	43.78%	24.32	68.59%	-0.142	0.2052	-0.258
Starlight Seeks its Form	1903	32.36%	26.9	69.42%	-0.274	-0.3731	0.351
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5739	37.22%	28.14	76.08%	0.32	-0.1793	0.112
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5861	39.1%	27.76	75.09%	0.065	0.2359	0.392
Thunderspeaker	9704	39.64%	29.93	76.19%	0.041	0.0914	0.166
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	457	44.84%	24.1	57.77%	-0.377	-0.2533	-0.395
Towering Roots of the Jungle	396	35.53%	25.59	63.89%	-0.336	-0.2299	0.149
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	3979	56.87%	24.44	65.12%	-0.141	-0.0855	-0.103
Vital Strength of the Earth	7279	32.9%	25.86	71.64%	0.169	0.7617	-0.509
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	767	27.87%	35.45	73.14%	-0.186	0.3096	0.177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	1131	36.05%	24.8	67.55%	-0.426	0.2364	-1.215
Volcano Looming High	2865	41.92%	25.78	71.13%	-0.333	-0.2707	0.391
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	653	27.93%	27.83	71.21%	0.311	-0.0437	0.022

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	13	46.15%	16.92	-1.562	38.46%	-0.462	-0.2962
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	65	49.23%	31.31	5.189	67.69%	0.462	0.3239
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	50	40.0%	33.02	4.742	68.0%	0.325	0.382
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	32	59.38%	25.97	2.554	43.75%	-0.409	-0.4085
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	23	65.22%	25.96	2.277	30.43%	-0.714	-0.3504
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	6	50.0%	40.5	8.287	50.0%	-0.399	0.378
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	5	80.0%	20.8	-1.691	20.0%	-0.446	1.2422
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	576	48.52%	30.43	2.749	67.19%	-0.197	0.213
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1232	47.56%	31.84	4.7	67.69%	0.152	0.4461
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	797	55.81%	34.42	3.619	56.21%	-0.7	-0.1659
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	453	55.58%	36.08	4.643	53.42%	-0.55	0.4783
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	286	66.67%	38.13	6.271	44.41%	-0.764	0.6915
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	102	60.4%	39.61	-6.788	44.12%	-0.743	1.1791
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	153	54.9%	38.94	12.722	35.95%	0.179	2.0113
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1343	50.11%	25.45	-1.806	70.36%	-0.653	-0.4679
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	5196	39.63%	30.59	0.361	77.37%	-0.261	-0.1997
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4614	46.97%	37.09	4.469	72.97%	0.022	0.0823
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3409	51.9%	41.77	5.456	68.61%	-0.449	-0.2139
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	2199	52.51%	43.99	6.742	67.08%	-0.516	-0.2049
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1230	61.09%	46.72	6.705	58.62%	-0.648	-0.248
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	973	69.82%	43.39	1.242	44.5%	-1.507	-0.2165
The Kingdom of England	0	1	943	45.1%	25.21	-2.516	61.08%	-0.921	-0.6011
The Kingdom of England	1	3	3007	44.32%	31.87	1.458	67.08%	-0.447	-0.1903
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1974	56.51%	30.4	0.698	53.14%	-0.728	-0.1804
The Kingdom of England	3	6	1008	56.87%	34.42	-0.072	46.13%	-1.261	-0.1659
The Kingdom of England	4	7	545	51.69%	37.32	2.067	45.5%	-1.097	-0.1095
The Kingdom of England	5	9	242	63.9%	35.31	4.133	28.93%	-0.436	1.2363
The Kingdom of England	6	11	539	54.87%	39.86	9.144	36.73%	-0.967	0.9667
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	737	51.99%	26.93	0.857	57.8%	-0.413	-0.0123
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1744	56.44%	29.47	1.753	59.4%	-0.002	0.7127
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1072	42.94%	31.82	0.764	37.5%	-1.541	-0.3559
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	638	48.88%	34.99	1.662	33.54%	-1.903	-0.6004
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	358	50.72%	41.29	3.44	40.5%	-1.215	0.0766
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	211	58.25%	39.77	10.491	31.75%	-0.767	0.4259
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	675	58.96%	44.67	7.397	34.22%	-1.421	-0.0421
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	286	44.53%	29.39	1.027	62.94%	0.061	0.3261
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	616	37.07%	31.17	4.066	65.1%	0.014	0.4505
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	594	34.94%	36.14	4.839	68.52%	-0.361	-0.0219
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	492	32.5%	44.34	12.287	69.11%	0.347	0.3145
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	385	41.87%	43.44	9.52	62.86%	-0.563	0.0329
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	222	49.54%	44.57	11.469	58.11%	-0.292	0.2361
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	401	60.85%	47.29	14.035	52.87%	-0.216	0.8298
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	992	54.21%	25.47	-0.321	69.66%	-0.194	0.1223
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2597	44.04%	29.28	1.106	75.43%	0.32	0.4138
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2266	52.95%	30.81	4.094	69.77%	0.316	0.5365
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1600	61.86%	34.65	3.442	61.44%	-0.333	-0.0372
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	978	69.25%	34.34	3.465	53.68%	-0.482	0.3374
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	376	66.76%	36.67	9.313	51.6%	0.016	1.1403
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	947	77.7%	36.75	3.074	46.67%	-0.857	0.1168
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	506	44.53%	32.11	5.301	69.76%	0.168	0.3836
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	934	51.77%	29.44	0.033	61.35%	-0.539	0.2621
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	566	49.91%	35.39	-0.213	68.73%	-0.646	-0.4016
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	379	66.93%	35.07	7.062	48.55%	-0.192	0.8381
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	223	59.28%	45.39	2.374	59.64%	-0.739	0.3199
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	120	74.17%	39.01	-0.243	33.33%	-0.877	0.641
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	144	68.75%	47.76	10.095	40.97%	-0.309	1.3174

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	73554	41.05	27.3	71.92%	-0.108	0.1602	-0.341
1	Thematic	3876	50.97	25.48	62.98%	-0.061	0.4922	-0.676
2	Archipelago	65	27.69	28.89	78.46%	-1.747	-1.0721	-0.524
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	12605	45.75	29.71	73.19%	0.079	0.1654	0.073
2	Coastline	2341	39.34	29.91	76.33%	0.357	0.1943	0.655
2	Fragment	503	44.31	27.69	70.97%	-0.168	-0.3817	-0.606
2	Heart	574	37.85	27.09	78.57%	-0.092	-0.5116	-0.08
2	Opposite Shores	3617	35.92	29.1	79.29%	0.155	0.2172	-0.577
2	Thematic	2129	52.78	29.8	58.81%	-0.532	-0.161	0.42
2	Top to Top	676	40.9	30.55	77.22%	0.548	0.3804	0.557
3	Archipelago	54	33.33	31.3	94.44%	0.741	-0.1884
3	Coastline	251	20.8	27.69	88.45%	-0.241	-0.8431	0.388
3	Other	931	36.73	26.78	81.85%	0.596	-0.0593	-0.565
3	Round (Default)	6941	38.98	32.88	77.57%	0.482	0.3694	0.169
3	Sunrise	38	47.37	22.58	71.05%	0.092	-0.1397
3	Thematic	422	45.73	28.57	70.62%	0.873	0.794	0.868
4	Archipelago	41	31.71	32.05	87.8%	0.064	-0.1784
4	Coastline	198	9.6	27.54	94.44%	0.395	0.2696
4	Leaf	36	50.0	24.86	75.0%	-0.713	-0.7754
4	Other	669	31.24	29.04	84.75%	0.849	-0.0002	0.475
4	Reverse Snake	3	0.0	32.67	100.0%
4	Thematic	682	38.56	30.13	72.87%	1.054	0.8944	-0.262
4	Trapezoid (Default)	4221	30.13	28.89	82.92%	0.046	-0.1381	0.216
5	Archipelago	12	25.0	28.0	75.0%
5	Coastline	87	8.05	25.22	89.66%
5	Other	977	19.34	28.29	90.48%	0.269	-0.3734	0.328
5	Thematic	115	31.3	27.58	85.22%	0.482	0.347	-0.153
6	Archipelago	12	25.0	33.25	100.0%
6	Coastline	7	14.29	24.71	71.43%
6	Other	260	28.19	23.7	81.54%	-0.302	-0.5649	-0.165
6	Star	56	44.64	25.79	75.0%	-0.126	-0.0446	0.043
6	Thematic	161	33.76	22.65	62.11%	-1.711	-1.611	-0.315
6	Two Centers (Default)	479	22.96	27.15	77.04%	-0.426	0.0353	0.462
7	Other	38	28.95	20.45	73.68%	-0.244	-0.9008	-0.763

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3481	22.3	45.36%	-1.115	-0.9534	-0.805
Aid From Lesser Spirits	2930	23.66	47.24%	-0.724	-0.8138	-0.739
All Things Weaken	2147	21.03	42.15%	-1.934	-1.6431	-0.449
Attenuated Essence	327	24.07	51.07%	-0.978	-0.9939	-0.817
Back Against the Wall	2807	23.16	46.17%	-1.409	-1.3514	-0.851
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	298	20.14	42.95%	-1.238	-1.0622	-0.719
Burn Brightest Before the End	288	25.36	50.69%	-1.177	-1.1792	0.521
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3355	19.73	43.52%	-1.287	-1.0289	-1.142
Downward Spiral	5576	21.14	51.88%	-0.904	-0.8116	-0.761
Erosion of Will	3544	21.1	43.48%	-1.344	-1.1015	-0.831
Intensifying Exploitation	386	21.65	49.22%	-0.954	-0.727	-0.557
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	820	30.16	85.0%	1.29	0.6946	-0.358
Memory Fades to Dust	5511	20.6	49.05%	-1.249	-1.03	-0.662
Power Corrodes the Spirit	2242	21.82	48.26%	-1.394	-1.1615	-0.527
Promising Farmlands	3369	20.77	45.65%	-1.234	-1.002	-0.659
Shattered Fragments of Power	280	23.68	44.29%	-1.209	-1.1223	-1.022
Slow Dissolution of Will	332	18.44	38.86%	-1.925	-1.6	-1.692
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	453	30.2	84.55%	0.649	-0.0018	-0.437
The Border of Life and Death	79	28.58	72.15%	0.109	-0.4295	0.506
Thriving Communities	2344	21.21	47.31%	-0.896	-0.6683	-0.687
Thriving Crops	141	26.72	73.76%	0.64	0.3736	-0.851
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%			-0.555
Unnatural Proliferation	2360	24.23	48.64%	-0.86	-0.6816	-0.394
Untended Land Crumbles	2212	21.96	49.19%	-1.043	-0.8176	-0.672

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	23879	39.69%	28.26	74.67%	-0.309	0.668	-0.259
B	23910	40.93%	28.95	74.3%	-0.225	0.6624	0.217
C	28039	38.06%	28.75	76.13%	-0.224	0.4782	-0.006
D	25711	39.2%	28.38	75.4%	-0.324	0.5917	-0.053
E	16989	34.16%	28.12	78.4%	0.019	0.7888	0.113
F	17911	38.86%	28.97	75.44%	-0.2	0.6509	0.201
G	16630	39.62%	28.57	75.27%	-0.221	0.5854	-0.135
H	18115	37.84%	29.02	76.78%	-0.226	0.5953	0.07
East	5083	47.84%	28.3	63.33%	-0.945	-0.1097	-0.444
Northeast	2582	49.86%	30.17	62.78%	-0.353	0.4273	0.015
Northwest	1869	49.97%	29.83	62.28%	-0.017	0.849	-0.769
Southeast	1868	35.53%	26.91	74.52%	0.625	1.4726	-0.218
Southwest	1175	40.55%	25.98	69.62%	-0.543	0.7418	0.071
West	3817	50.38%	27.8	60.86%	-0.911	0.0631	-0.226

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	3731	0.0%	25.39	72.98%	-0.559	0.1346	-0.405
Not Using Events or Tokens	4296	51.48%	21.07	62.71%	-0.896	-0.5113	-0.177
Skip Initial Invader Actions	7762	19.11%	35.14	86.43%	0.396	-0.282	0.175
Start of Game Growth	12105	17.58%	33.58	87.09%	0.817	0.3063	0.704
Unlimited Undo	11472	31.06%	31.21	79.41%	-0.48	-0.5648	-0.024
Using Tokens but Not Events	20716	25.32%	29.36	83.16%	0.511	0.5038	0.18

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	17084	13.6	7.97%
II	33386	30.16	64.8%
III	41626	34.82	90.61%
IV	24620	38.65	99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.216 Win Model: 0.242

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	78229	41.52%	27.23	71.55%
2	22387	43.83%	29.55	73.53%
3	8462	38.41%	31.87	77.83%
4	5813	30.08%	28.96	82.64%
5	991	18.37%	26.41	86.48%
6	834	27.62%	25.29	74.82%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1357
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	37567
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	21576
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	24473
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	5214
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1184
Lose: Adversary condition	3813
Win: Sacrifice victory	332
Lose: Blight pool ran out	20195
Lose: Spirit destroyed	1005

Wave

Score Model: 0.041 Win Model: 0.053

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	57917	41.16%	28.89	72.97%
3	26025	39.95%	28.73	74.18%
4	14501	42.21%	27.75	71.91%
5	7461	44.35%	26.43	69.91%
6	4137	44.38%	23.97	69.11%
7	2069	42.91%	23.04	69.41%
8	1234	37.23%	23.21	74.72%
9	816	28.92%	23.82	81.74%
10	626	24.03%	23.24	82.43%
11	482	20.35%	24.02	86.72%
12	397	23.08%	24.16	90.18%
13	306	30.0%	22.17	84.31%
14	238	29.02%	22.82	85.71%
15	123	16.07%	24.12	85.37%
16	91	17.86%	27.64	91.21%
17	67	19.67%	28.4	92.54%
18	40	8.33%	27.68	92.5%
19	35	3.13%	28.4	94.29%
20	28	3.85%	28.82	96.43%
21	23	9.09%	26.39	91.3%
22	19	5.56%	27.16	94.74%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-22 02:53:19 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-07-22 02:53:19 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave