Second Wave - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	118604	40.8%	28.04	72.95%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	9560	32.22%	29.99	78.13%	-0.004	-0.1097	0.119
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	346	27.02%	31.96	78.9%	0.563	0.0833	-0.121
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4964	49.34%	27.1	70.29%	-0.107	0.019	-0.485
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	384	34.83%	30.57	69.01%	0.449	-0.3981	0.237
Dances Up Earthquakes	178	37.08%	25.21	61.24%	0.027	0.0634	-0.725
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	9595	30.67%	30.67	83.14%	0.4	0.2628	0.035
Downpour Drenches the World	1431	30.08%	25.41	67.3%	-0.125	0.0815	0.44
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	1460	29.67%	29.8	76.03%	0.995	0.3837	0.437
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11961	26.46%	32.77	85.92%	0.613	0.2378	0.625
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	9634	28.84%	31.28	83.99%	0.211	-0.1792	0.249
Finder of Paths Unseen	714	36.79%	23.46	62.46%	-0.273	0.4461	-0.706
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1861	31.3%	27.72	71.63%	-0.501	0.1097	0.226
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	2114	39.92%	25.95	69.44%	0.515	0.4154	-0.469
Heart of the Wildfire	6083	61.72%	22.96	58.85%	-0.198	0.1387	-0.342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	10268	42.93%	29.25	75.03%	0.006	-0.4248	-0.054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	498	36.63%	27.79	72.89%	0.23	-0.0843	0.152
Lightning's Swift Strike	6922	49.56%	26.1	69.34%	-0.671	-0.4413	-0.274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	758	37.13%	37.37	74.8%	0.454	0.0093	0.224
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1140	39.04%	30.91	76.05%	-0.277	-0.5879	0.485
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	1059	43.3%	27.36	72.8%	0.172	0.0297	0.121
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	4504	43.45%	28.04	73.45%	0.008	-0.2195	-0.293
Many Minds Move as One	4025	30.02%	30.6	80.52%	-0.075	-0.3179	0.945
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	9350	42.33%	29.2	76.2%	0.028	0.1367	0.701
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	198	49.71%	30.41	71.21%	0.398	0.517	0.55
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	8427	36.62%	29.24	77.05%	0.078	0.0324	-0.212
River Surges in Sunlight	8256	47.21%	27.9	69.32%	-0.366	-0.2357	-0.396
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	177	47.09%	25.33	68.36%	0.145	0.3211	-0.567
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1934	43.92%	28.01	70.48%	0.073	0.3707	-0.448
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	1009	35.11%	34.71	77.11%	0.25	0.1662	-0.074
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	6310	37.42%	29.36	76.09%	0.217	0.1063	0.848
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	86	33.72%	22.58	55.81%	-0.569	-0.6866	-0.521
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3280	59.45%	23.99	63.17%	-0.649	-0.1543	0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	213	47.78%	26.73	69.01%	-0.163	-0.2142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	297	43.39%	26.05	66.67%	0.72	0.2097	-0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	219	45.28%	26.8	64.38%	-0.157	-0.2846	0.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	922	44.54%	27.03	70.28%	0.102	0.1134	-0.557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	559	50.27%	26.09	66.19%	-1.103	-0.9679	0.286
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7621	38.76%	29.3	76.13%	-0.04	0.0081	-0.288
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	848	35.52%	28.54	74.06%	0.733	0.5178	0.225
Shifting Memory of Ages	1782	39.87%	24.71	68.57%	0.042	0.3363	0.187
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	207	37.93%	26.65	68.12%	-0.25	-0.3685	0.377
Shroud of Silent Mist	2104	43.67%	24.28	68.39%	0.045	0.3724	-0.314
Starlight Seeks its Form	1967	32.22%	26.77	69.04%	-0.279	-0.3784	0.338
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5841	37.09%	28.12	75.98%	0.149	-0.3816	0.148
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5936	38.96%	27.76	75.02%	-0.274	-0.1965	0.382
Thunderspeaker	9824	39.62%	29.88	76.05%	-0.102	-0.0661	0.163
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	487	44.96%	24.14	58.32%	-0.193	-0.1346	-0.286
Towering Roots of the Jungle	447	36.4%	25.68	63.98%	-0.328	-0.1783	-0.056
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	4043	56.91%	24.4	64.95%	-0.085	0.0612	-0.147
Vital Strength of the Earth	7366	32.86%	25.78	71.56%	-0.03	0.5383	-0.564
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	799	27.61%	35.49	73.34%	-0.166	0.3553	0.193
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	1151	35.89%	24.81	67.42%	-0.479	0.2624	-1.182
Volcano Looming High	2958	41.99%	25.66	70.76%	-0.214	-0.199	0.414
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	695	28.26%	27.73	71.22%	0.186	-0.1061	0.06

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	17	35.29%	15.53	-6.09	35.29%	-1.45	-0.9634
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	73	49.32%	31.48	4.812	68.49%	0.428	0.4476
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	57	38.6%	32.39	4.599	64.91%	-0.186	-0.0321
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	38	57.89%	26.08	-0.109	44.74%	-0.673	-0.546
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	28	60.71%	26.46	-1.548	32.14%	-0.986	-0.4819
Habsburg Mining Expedition	5	9	7	42.86%	34.71	9.137	42.86%	-0.206	0.7675
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	8	75.0%	19.0	-1.066	12.5%	-1.381	0.5363
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	587	48.46%	30.3	3.29	66.78%	-0.185	0.288
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1254	47.68%	31.79	3.423	67.54%	-0.003	0.2881
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	811	56.08%	34.37	4.06	56.1%	-0.341	0.2012
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	464	55.56%	36.0	5.289	53.45%	-0.131	0.815
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	295	67.7%	38.06	4.728	44.41%	-1.096	0.1828
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	102	60.4%	39.61	0.0	44.12%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	155	54.84%	38.59	-2.175	35.48%	-0.821	0.9769
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1370	50.15%	25.54	1.248	70.29%	0.038	0.2609
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	5271	39.48%	30.57	2.333	77.31%	0.241	0.2077
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4697	46.91%	37.0	4.095	72.77%	-0.047	-0.0336
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3449	51.98%	41.73	5.711	68.48%	-0.464	-0.2226
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	2227	52.73%	43.85	5.659	66.77%	-0.629	-0.4337
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1244	60.94%	46.68	6.997	58.6%	-0.789	-0.4103
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	981	69.56%	43.16	-1.717	44.24%	-2.068	-0.8275
The Kingdom of England	0	1	955	45.06%	25.16	0.152	61.05%	-0.08	0.2294
The Kingdom of England	1	3	3047	44.25%	31.78	1.459	66.89%	-0.415	-0.0947
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1999	56.51%	30.31	0.338	52.93%	-0.848	-0.3693
The Kingdom of England	3	6	1023	56.73%	34.4	3.597	46.14%	-0.922	0.1177
The Kingdom of England	4	7	556	52.13%	37.28	1.956	45.5%	-1.097	-0.0975
The Kingdom of England	5	9	252	63.35%	34.65	-2.364	28.17%	-1.771	-0.2611
The Kingdom of England	6	11	573	54.23%	39.83	7.235	37.35%	-1.203	0.6397
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	747	51.7%	26.9	0.189	57.83%	-0.556	-0.1796
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1765	56.35%	29.42	0.565	59.32%	-0.529	0.3489
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1090	42.71%	31.98	5.431	37.98%	-0.663	0.5208
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	650	48.97%	35.21	5.422	34.15%	-0.87	0.2707
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	366	50.57%	41.45	7.26	40.98%	-0.966	0.3438
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	220	57.48%	39.41	4.65	31.82%	-1.213	0.0594
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	679	59.06%	44.58	8.105	34.02%	-1.447	-0.0537
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	302	43.79%	29.24	1.558	63.25%	0.259	0.5778
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	650	37.44%	30.79	1.939	64.31%	-0.319	0.1692
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	621	34.65%	36.44	6.445	69.24%	0.082	0.4882
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	526	33.46%	44.01	8.201	68.63%	-0.343	-0.3151
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	404	42.46%	43.34	7.982	62.62%	-0.699	-0.193
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	234	50.22%	44.79	11.741	58.55%	-0.101	0.3568
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	408	60.29%	46.97	7.106	52.45%	-1.133	-0.0526
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	1010	54.54%	25.29	-2.46	68.81%	-0.776	-0.5335
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2629	44.23%	29.23	1.475	75.28%	0.299	0.3338
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2292	53.08%	30.78	3.479	69.59%	0.073	0.3144
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1608	61.78%	34.71	4.388	61.57%	-0.129	0.1218
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	992	69.04%	34.46	4.89	53.93%	-0.418	0.3365
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	383	67.02%	36.49	3.213	51.17%	-1.047	0.0518
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	960	77.48%	36.6	2.14	46.46%	-1.12	-0.2242
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	517	43.77%	31.82	1.952	68.86%	-0.68	-0.4399
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	955	51.79%	29.47	1.841	61.47%	-0.471	0.2827
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	575	49.83%	35.26	1.551	68.52%	-0.401	-0.0327
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	389	67.53%	34.77	3.124	48.07%	-0.765	0.4054
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	225	59.19%	45.33	7.732	59.56%	-0.357	0.5996
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	124	74.19%	39.17	6.981	33.87%	-0.346	1.235
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	148	68.24%	47.01	6.48	39.86%	-1.012	0.5044

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	74695	40.98	27.24	71.78%	-0.377	0.1494	-0.389
1	Thematic	3922	50.75	25.46	63.03%	-0.404	0.4505	-0.63
2	Archipelago	66	27.27	28.98	78.79%	0.156	1.2113	-0.528
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	12781	45.72	29.7	73.04%	-0.064	0.2134	0.065
2	Coastline	2365	39.23	29.8	76.19%	-0.014	0.0882	0.608
2	Fragment	512	44.69	27.73	71.09%	0.848	0.861	-0.587
2	Heart	583	37.61	26.98	78.39%	-0.809	-0.6974	-0.112
2	Opposite Shores	3669	35.9	29.17	79.12%	0.213	0.5498	-0.254
2	Thematic	2175	52.89	29.67	58.34%	-0.266	0.4239	0.371
2	Top to Top	688	40.76	30.41	77.03%	-0.438	-0.1963	0.564
3	Archipelago	54	33.33	31.3	94.44%	0.267	-0.4534
3	Coastline	255	20.47	27.61	88.63%	-0.121	-0.4614	0.422
3	Other	944	36.65	26.7	81.67%	0.269	-0.3328	-0.57
3	Round (Default)	7143	39.1	32.91	77.53%	0.48	0.4863	0.212
3	Sunrise	38	47.37	22.58	71.05%
3	Thematic	429	46.62	28.74	70.86%	0.679	0.7636	0.827
4	Archipelago	42	33.33	32.1	85.71%	-0.303	-0.1525	-0.238
4	Coastline	201	9.45	27.52	94.53%	0.324	-0.4342
4	Leaf	37	48.65	24.89	75.68%	-0.688	-0.551
4	Other	675	31.26	29.0	84.74%	0.625	0.0057	0.434
4	Reverse Snake	3	0.0	32.67	100.0%
4	Thematic	683	38.65	30.08	72.77%	0.862	1.1297	-0.278
4	Trapezoid (Default)	4292	30.1	28.8	82.69%	0.109	0.2736	0.244
5	Archipelago	12	25.0	28.0	75.0%	-0.203	-1.0815
5	Coastline	88	7.95	25.22	89.77%
5	Other	997	19.36	28.25	90.27%	0.653	0.2671	0.41
5	Thematic	116	31.9	27.34	84.48%	0.197	-0.6006	-0.123
6	Archipelago	12	25.0	33.25	100.0%
6	Coastline	7	14.29	24.71	71.43%
6	Other	283	29.43	24.04	81.98%	0.546	0.5152	-0.135
6	Star	58	44.83	25.72	74.14%	0.198	0.1811	0.162
6	Thematic	165	33.54	22.5	61.82%	-1.249	-1.1461	-0.312
6	Two Centers (Default)	487	22.59	26.84	76.18%	-0.782	-0.2171	0.2
7	Other	41	29.27	19.88	70.73%	-0.845	-1.2792	-0.711

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3525	22.23	45.22%	-1.279	-1.0299	-0.777
Aid From Lesser Spirits	2965	23.71	47.32%	-0.992	-1.1105	-0.743
All Things Weaken	2196	21.12	42.21%	-1.495	-1.1577	-0.396
Attenuated Essence	345	24.21	51.3%	-0.762	-0.7355	-0.832
Back Against the Wall	2840	23.2	46.2%	-0.83	-0.8287	-0.867
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	318	20.21	43.08%	-1.207	-0.9899	-0.786
Burn Brightest Before the End	304	24.95	50.0%	-0.787	-0.8055	0.351
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3392	19.72	43.4%	-1.434	-1.0406	-1.136
Downward Spiral	5639	21.12	51.8%	-0.99	-0.8822	-0.683
Erosion of Will	3581	21.08	43.42%	-1.724	-1.3712	-0.812
Intensifying Exploitation	406	21.54	49.01%	-1.17	-0.9244	-0.577
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	833	30.07	84.63%	0.255	-0.2688	-0.312
Memory Fades to Dust	5571	20.56	48.86%	-1.434	-1.1863	-0.622
Power Corrodes the Spirit	2276	21.83	48.24%	-1.11	-0.8885	-0.427
Promising Farmlands	3415	20.75	45.65%	-1.084	-0.8015	-0.666
Shattered Fragments of Power	301	23.84	43.52%	-1.635	-1.5583	-1.07
Slow Dissolution of Will	351	18.46	39.03%	-1.433	-1.0357	-1.703
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	467	30.19	84.58%	0.647	-0.0487	-0.419
The Border of Life and Death	85	27.88	69.41%	-0.462	-1.0625	0.533
Thriving Communities	2381	21.15	47.29%	-1.222	-0.8654	-0.68
Thriving Crops	145	26.94	73.79%	0.436	0.2401	-0.88
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%			-0.544
Unnatural Proliferation	2393	24.31	48.68%	-0.866	-0.7041	-0.331
Untended Land Crumbles	2236	21.96	49.28%	-0.764	-0.5325	-0.632

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	24260	39.71%	28.22	74.48%	-0.272	0.7329	-0.278
B	24271	40.88%	28.88	74.17%	-0.293	0.6267	0.174
C	28522	37.99%	28.7	75.96%	-0.191	0.5434	-0.022
D	26089	39.2%	28.34	75.26%	-0.295	0.6826	-0.093
E	17432	34.04%	28.1	78.32%	0.177	0.9972	0.086
F	18271	38.9%	28.94	75.33%	-0.138	0.7358	0.137
G	16922	39.61%	28.52	75.07%	-0.317	0.4926	-0.174
H	18421	37.82%	29.01	76.66%	-0.202	0.6131	0.055
East	5174	47.8%	28.24	63.22%	-0.482	0.4203	-0.43
Northeast	2617	49.92%	30.09	62.48%	-0.603	0.2048	-0.108
Northwest	1896	50.11%	29.68	61.87%	-0.369	0.5307	-0.594
Southeast	1909	35.41%	26.9	74.59%	0.493	1.3431	-0.208
Southwest	1189	40.83%	25.92	69.39%	-0.274	1.1019	0.037
West	3867	50.53%	27.74	60.62%	-0.723	0.2315	-0.312

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	3808	0.0%	25.62	72.85%	-1.142	-0.4337	-0.391
Not Using Events or Tokens	4337	51.48%	20.98	62.39%	-1.079	-0.711	-0.272
Skip Initial Invader Actions	7827	19.13%	35.23	86.41%	0.905	0.3199	0.299
Start of Game Growth	12197	17.6%	33.63	87.04%	0.539	0.0253	0.474
Unlimited Undo	11630	31.09%	31.26	79.3%	-0.241	-0.3501	0.007
Using Tokens but Not Events	21189	25.19%	29.36	83.06%	0.555	0.5293	0.139

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	17506	13.33	7.84%
II	33901	30.1	64.74%
III	42198	34.83	90.62%
IV	24999	38.67	99.88%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.164 Win Model: 0.13

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	79433	41.44%	27.18	71.42%
2	22706	43.81%	29.53	73.34%
3	8686	38.54%	31.9	77.79%
4	5896	30.09%	28.87	82.46%
5	1013	18.26%	26.39	86.28%
6	870	27.98%	25.11	74.37%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1369
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	38082
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	21888
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	24848
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	5520
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1202
Lose: Adversary condition	3878
Win: Sacrifice victory	340
Lose: Blight pool ran out	20458
Lose: Spirit destroyed	1019

Wave

Score Model: -0.024 Win Model: 0.033

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	58904	41.13%	28.81	72.75%
3	26416	39.9%	28.72	74.1%
4	14721	42.2%	27.75	71.83%
5	7571	44.24%	26.47	69.89%
6	4196	44.19%	24.0	69.11%
7	2100	42.7%	23.11	69.67%
8	1257	37.27%	23.22	74.62%
9	832	29.01%	23.73	81.49%
10	638	23.55%	23.31	82.76%
11	492	20.13%	23.97	86.59%
12	405	22.86%	24.14	90.12%
13	312	29.73%	22.15	84.29%
14	243	28.38%	22.93	86.01%
15	128	17.09%	23.94	85.16%
16	96	17.98%	27.22	90.63%
17	67	19.67%	28.4	92.54%
18	40	8.33%	27.68	92.5%
19	35	3.13%	28.4	94.29%
20	28	3.85%	28.82	96.43%
21	23	9.09%	26.39	91.3%
22	19	5.56%	27.16	94.74%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave