Second Wave - Statistics

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	112975	40.91%	28.18	73.41%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	9238	32.37%	30.11	78.51%	0.026	-0.0807	0.078
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth	216	26.07%	30.05	80.09%	0.697	0.2084	-0.462
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	4853	49.2%	27.24	70.68%	-0.045	0.0984	-0.356
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence	303	34.23%	29.58	67.99%	0.307	-0.4411	-0.202
Dances Up Earthquakes	31	38.71%	24.58	58.06%	-0.288	-0.4644	-0.18
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	9201	30.89%	30.75	83.39%	0.262	0.055	-0.021
Downpour Drenches the World	1258	30.16%	25.42	67.49%	-0.11	0.2101	0.132
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	1247	28.87%	29.76	75.38%	0.561	0.1209	0.366
Eyes Watch From the Trees	11445	26.45%	32.91	86.28%	0.423	0.0802	0.704
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	9248	28.91%	31.41	84.31%	0.478	0.124	0.281
Finder of Paths Unseen	624	35.66%	23.5	63.94%	-0.849	-0.0646	-0.552
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1720	31.45%	27.73	72.38%	-0.423	0.0252	-0.066
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	1938	39.68%	25.93	69.87%	-0.141	-0.165	-0.672
Heart of the Wildfire	5855	61.64%	23.04	59.11%	-0.155	0.172	-0.335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	9921	43.02%	29.32	75.42%	0.113	-0.3827	0.002
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility	394	35.84%	28.02	73.35%	0.587	0.0246	0.205
Lightning's Swift Strike	6726	49.45%	26.28	69.94%	-0.408	-0.2092	-0.311
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	686	36.41%	37.37	75.07%	0.273	-0.1752	0.355
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1087	38.89%	31.42	77.18%	0.093	-0.2263	0.515
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	965	43.79%	27.64	73.78%	-0.34	-0.2155	0.19
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	4164	43.33%	28.23	74.38%	0.162	0.0063	-0.383
Many Minds Move as One	3730	30.37%	30.79	81.29%	-0.087	-0.2934	0.979
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	9088	42.23%	29.35	76.67%	0.613	0.7425	0.642
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps	46	53.33%	29.37	71.74%	0.685	0.7903
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	8094	36.7%	29.35	77.44%	0.024	-0.0251	-0.192
River Surges in Sunlight	8019	47.32%	28.05	69.71%	0.047	0.0798	-0.441
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven	131	44.09%	26.27	71.76%	0.384	0.5919	-0.395
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	1843	44.15%	28.18	70.7%	-0.404	-0.2534	-0.435
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	863	33.46%	34.92	78.68%	0.52	0.5289	0.004
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	6139	37.41%	29.45	76.32%	0.205	0.1064	0.829
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus	38	34.21%	24.79	55.26%	-0.34	-0.8308	-0.41
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	3204	59.43%	24.2	63.8%	-0.821	-0.3096	0.032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	192	45.9%	27.9	71.88%	-0.41	-0.4533
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire	221	42.92%	25.12	64.25%	0.005	-0.4428	-0.408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	194	43.62%	27.25	65.98%	0.467	0.5251	0.542
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	891	44.64%	26.96	70.48%	-0.334	-0.5246	-0.408
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	541	50.19%	26.46	67.1%	-0.208	-0.1241	0.262
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	7401	38.71%	29.47	76.54%	0.233	0.1356	-0.322
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	680	34.63%	27.97	73.97%	0.678	0.4839	0.217
Shifting Memory of Ages	1663	39.06%	24.86	69.39%	-0.651	-0.2616	0.193
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor	125	39.67%	28.8	73.6%	0.233	0.1817	0.352
Shroud of Silent Mist	1919	43.92%	24.42	69.1%	-0.178	0.2362	-0.211
Starlight Seeks its Form	1767	32.46%	26.88	70.18%	-0.434	-0.474	0.297
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5527	37.42%	28.11	76.28%	0.262	-0.2401	0.082
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5684	39.32%	27.84	75.28%	0.135	0.2185	0.393
Thunderspeaker	9487	39.8%	30.02	76.45%	-0.154	-0.16	0.183
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	393	44.76%	24.65	58.52%	-0.801	-0.4124	-0.035
Towering Roots of the Jungle	307	35.74%	25.72	64.82%	-0.343	-0.1327	0.135
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	3844	57.01%	24.55	65.37%	-0.224	-0.147	-0.041
Vital Strength of the Earth	7118	33.01%	25.89	71.72%	-0.176	0.2732	-0.545
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	708	26.91%	35.58	73.73%	-0.166	0.3283	0.145
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	1094	36.14%	24.93	67.82%	0.438	1.1312	-1.212
Volcano Looming High	2743	41.91%	25.95	71.67%	-0.306	-0.2417	0.48
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium	542	26.44%	28.03	71.77%	0.069	-0.1798	0.003

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
Habsburg Mining Expedition	0	1	6	33.33%	12.83	-5.386	33.33%	-0.666	-0.7598
Habsburg Mining Expedition	1	3	23	47.83%	26.39	1.753	56.52%	0.008	-0.5611
Habsburg Mining Expedition	2	4	22	36.36%	34.05	4.289	68.18%	-0.176	-0.2646
Habsburg Mining Expedition	3	5	11	45.45%	21.64	-1.643	27.27%	-1.242	-1.4581
Habsburg Mining Expedition	4	7	12	66.67%	25.67	1.403	25.0%	-1.18	-0.6491
Habsburg Mining Expedition	6	10	2	100.0%	14.0	-8.766	0.0%	-1.126	0.6218
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	540	48.6%	30.39	0.86	67.96%	0.017	0.4093
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	1200	47.41%	31.82	2.028	67.75%	-0.054	0.37
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	770	56.6%	34.59	-0.508	56.62%	-1.254	-0.7123
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	440	55.4%	36.18	7.485	53.64%	0.095	0.8735
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	280	67.39%	38.13	3.813	44.29%	-0.672	0.8753
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	100	59.6%	40.18	15.518	45.0%	0.103	1.5597
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	146	54.11%	38.6	-5.034	34.93%	-1.486	0.4737
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	1306	50.15%	25.59	-0.02	70.98%	-0.361	-0.1749
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	5091	39.78%	30.72	3.173	77.73%	0.633	0.6599
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	4471	46.87%	37.25	4.654	73.25%	-0.007	0.1392
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	3320	52.16%	41.95	6.175	68.86%	-0.208	0.0546
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	2129	52.52%	44.21	6.336	67.45%	-0.192	0.0801
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1201	60.85%	46.95	8.608	58.87%	-0.739	-0.4351
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	961	69.86%	43.64	5.283	44.95%	-1.252	-0.0231
The Kingdom of England	0	1	910	45.42%	25.5	-0.169	61.98%	-0.359	0.0303
The Kingdom of England	1	3	2920	44.41%	32.04	2.424	67.5%	-0.07	0.5181
The Kingdom of England	2	4	1923	56.4%	30.54	1.121	53.35%	-0.997	-0.3851
The Kingdom of England	3	6	985	56.64%	34.64	4.727	46.5%	-0.749	0.3795
The Kingdom of England	4	7	531	51.92%	37.54	4.423	45.76%	-0.958	0.042
The Kingdom of England	5	9	239	64.29%	35.4	0.8	28.87%	-1.686	-0.1798
The Kingdom of England	6	11	481	56.72%	39.58	7.573	35.55%	-0.763	1.0908
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	709	52.71%	26.96	-3.412	58.11%	-1.118	-0.59
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	1684	56.19%	29.61	0.698	59.68%	-0.021	0.8365
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1025	42.93%	32.13	1.009	38.05%	-1.692	-0.4624
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	616	48.93%	35.21	6.252	33.77%	-0.8	0.4501
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	350	50.88%	41.42	13.981	40.57%	-0.063	1.2758
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	204	58.21%	39.44	11.593	31.37%	-0.824	0.2171
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	656	59.45%	44.82	-0.006	34.15%	-1.927	-0.4561
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	259	42.51%	29.77	-2.198	63.32%	-0.539	-0.1898
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	570	37.61%	31.15	3.384	64.91%	-0.043	0.2233
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	547	34.14%	36.39	4.354	69.29%	-0.295	0.023
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	464	33.04%	44.0	8.461	68.32%	-0.209	0.077
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	360	42.9%	43.39	7.918	62.78%	-0.458	0.341
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	199	49.24%	44.09	7.96	57.29%	-1.067	-0.5526
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	374	62.03%	46.92	7.754	52.14%	-1.122	0.0254
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	961	54.72%	25.52	-1.459	70.03%	-0.342	-0.0903
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	2534	43.96%	29.4	0.875	75.69%	0.121	0.3128
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	2206	53.26%	30.78	1.373	69.67%	-0.307	-0.0895
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1543	61.93%	34.84	5.225	61.83%	-0.385	0.0664
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	944	69.37%	34.51	3.648	53.92%	-0.648	0.0964
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	363	66.85%	36.45	7.053	51.24%	-0.452	0.616
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	916	77.6%	37.06	3.652	47.16%	-0.752	0.2802
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	478	45.26%	31.92	2.069	70.08%	-0.129	0.1175
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	903	51.72%	29.66	-0.967	61.9%	-0.93	-0.1783
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	550	49.54%	35.75	1.509	69.45%	-0.345	0.1402
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	369	66.58%	35.04	1.086	48.51%	-0.996	-0.1669
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	215	60.09%	46.06	3.589	60.47%	0.001	0.98
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	115	73.91%	39.7	-15.655	33.91%	-0.227	1.6717
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	140	69.29%	47.9	-10.671	40.71%	-1.433	0.3465

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	71440	41.13	27.41	72.22%	-0.209	0.164	-0.262
1	Thematic	3681	51.42	25.65	62.81%	-0.98	-0.266	-0.568
2	Archipelago	54	29.63	33.02	88.89%	0.095	0.619	-0.535
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	12237	45.74	29.8	73.57%	0.117	0.278	0.139
2	Coastline	2257	39.96	29.89	76.43%	-0.002	-0.1951	0.722
2	Fragment	485	43.89	27.94	72.16%	0.418	0.3694	-0.686
2	Heart	553	38.14	27.24	78.84%	-0.09	-0.3021	-0.137
2	Opposite Shores	3512	35.76	29.07	79.78%	0.253	0.3851	-1.004
2	Thematic	2022	52.9	30.25	59.89%	-0.802	-0.0818	0.439
2	Top to Top	643	40.6	30.51	77.29%	0.462	0.3773	0.572
3	Archipelago	53	33.96	31.21	94.34%	-0.039	-0.5825
3	Coastline	236	21.28	28.17	89.41%	0.381	-0.2495	0.553
3	Other	901	37.18	26.92	82.24%	0.846	-0.0304	-0.676
3	Round (Default)	6625	38.82	32.86	77.8%	-0.029	-0.0519	0.165
3	Sunrise	36	50.0	21.94	69.44%	0.367	-0.0794
3	Thematic	385	44.68	28.85	71.17%	-0.342	-0.3342	0.865
4	Archipelago	40	32.5	32.0	87.5%	-0.438	-0.5898
4	Coastline	187	9.09	27.46	94.12%	0.136	0.2656
4	Leaf	36	50.0	24.86	75.0%
4	Other	642	31.31	29.35	85.2%	0.714	0.1455	0.61
4	Reverse Snake	3	0.0	32.67	100.0%
4	Thematic	671	38.15	30.16	73.03%	0.746	0.8089	-0.26
4	Trapezoid (Default)	4121	30.06	28.94	83.28%	0.102	0.1075	0.228
5	Archipelago	12	25.0	28.0	75.0%
5	Coastline	84	7.14	25.24	89.29%
5	Other	926	19.01	28.3	90.5%	-0.569	-0.8924	0.3
5	Thematic	112	29.46	27.23	85.71%			-0.148
6	Archipelago	12	25.0	33.25	100.0%	-0.378	-1.4157
6	Coastline	7	14.29	24.71	71.43%
6	Other	227	29.2	23.97	82.38%	-0.161	-0.2054	-0.177
6	Star	47	48.94	25.62	74.47%	-0.523	0.109	0.081
6	Thematic	151	34.69	23.41	64.9%	-0.134	0.0694	-0.339
6	Two Centers (Default)	460	23.48	27.12	77.61%	-0.374	0.1004	0.482
7	Other	35	31.43	21.49	77.14%	0.025	-0.65	-0.753

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	3416	22.31	45.43%	-1.179	-1.108	-0.825
Aid From Lesser Spirits	2857	23.55	47.15%	-0.817	-0.9269	-0.766
All Things Weaken	2087	21.19	42.55%	-1.55	-1.3727	-0.366
Attenuated Essence	292	24.05	51.37%	-0.887	-0.8351	-0.75
Back Against the Wall	2741	23.22	46.41%	-0.673	-0.6887	-0.748
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	253	20.88	43.08%	-1.461	-1.2769	-0.574
Burn Brightest Before the End	252	25.54	51.98%	-0.806	-0.7193	0.415
Disintegrating Ecosystem	3281	19.72	43.68%	-1.389	-1.0977	-1.217
Downward Spiral	5431	21.19	52.09%	-0.71	-0.6037	-0.786
Erosion of Will	3445	21.19	43.66%	-0.776	-0.6099	-0.835
Intensifying Exploitation	339	21.53	48.97%	-1.214	-1.0262	-0.567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	797	30.23	84.69%	0.259	-0.1685	-0.35
Memory Fades to Dust	5420	20.66	49.24%	-1.137	-0.9022	-0.632
Power Corrodes the Spirit	2160	21.91	48.56%	-0.494	-0.3981	-0.491
Promising Farmlands	3282	20.86	45.8%	-1.109	-0.7452	-0.626
Shattered Fragments of Power	238	23.84	44.96%	-0.858	-0.7924	-0.803
Slow Dissolution of Will	294	18.79	41.16%	-1.362	-0.8991	-1.504
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	435	30.33	84.6%	-0.661	-1.2626	-0.441
The Border of Life and Death	64	26.89	71.88%	0.552	0.0763	0.136
Thriving Communities	2263	21.25	47.33%	-1.076	-0.8507	-0.661
Thriving Crops	121	26.31	72.73%	0.459	0.234	-0.792
Tipping Point	870	22.79	47.13%			-0.536
Unnatural Proliferation	2278	24.31	48.64%	-0.664	-0.5417	-0.399
Untended Land Crumbles	2134	21.93	49.3%	-1.416	-1.1838	-0.72

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	23107	39.75%	28.33	75.0%	-0.519	0.3993	-0.292
B	23149	40.94%	29.05	74.65%	-0.281	0.5598	0.259
C	27183	38.04%	28.86	76.51%	-0.151	0.5322	0.029
D	24949	39.35%	28.44	75.68%	-0.234	0.6079	-0.03
E	16168	34.34%	28.12	78.7%	-0.118	0.5332	0.07
F	17321	38.9%	29.04	75.71%	-0.174	0.5855	0.247
G	16149	39.76%	28.6	75.53%	-0.228	0.5293	-0.082
H	17517	37.8%	29.1	77.1%	-0.135	0.5834	0.113
East	4770	47.99%	28.68	63.75%	-1.304	-0.4902	-0.391
Northeast	2431	49.79%	30.68	63.43%	-0.2	0.4673	0.026
Northwest	1770	49.71%	30.21	62.94%	0.107	0.912	-0.797
Southeast	1739	35.55%	27.12	74.58%	0.735	1.4405	-0.229
Southwest	1120	40.43%	26.31	70.36%	-0.116	1.2741	0.074
West	3627	50.24%	28.11	61.48%	-0.656	0.1377	-0.222

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	3584	0.0%	25.2	73.3%	-0.601	0.1182	-0.412
Not Using Events or Tokens	4174	51.43%	21.35	63.54%	-0.619	-0.134	-0.174
Skip Initial Invader Actions	7643	19.14%	35.06	86.48%	0.364	-0.3664	0.275
Start of Game Growth	11888	17.68%	33.57	87.21%	1.185	0.7388	0.589
Unlimited Undo	11226	31.03%	31.28	79.79%	-0.703	-0.7364	0.007
Using Tokens but Not Events	19755	25.36%	29.4	83.47%	0.696	0.5336	0.17

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	16200	14.25	8.15%
II	32350	30.3	64.92%
III	40490	34.84	90.65%
IV	23935	38.61	99.89%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.069 Win Model: 0.188

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	75885	41.6%	27.35	71.84%
2	21652	43.85%	29.65	74.01%
3	8063	38.27%	31.89	78.12%
4	5671	30.03%	29.02	82.93%
5	930	17.74%	26.54	86.88%
6	774	28.61%	25.46	75.45%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1316
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	36558
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	20947
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	23793
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	4597
Lose: Invader deck ran out	1148
Lose: Adversary condition	3687
Win: Sacrifice victory	323
Lose: Blight pool ran out	19618
Lose: Spirit destroyed	988

Wave

Score Model: 0.008 Win Model: 0.049

Wave	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
2	55904	41.19%	29.08	73.48%
3	25271	39.96%	28.8	74.46%
4	14104	42.21%	27.75	72.04%
5	7252	44.46%	26.32	69.91%
6	4021	44.58%	23.88	69.01%
7	2002	43.25%	22.96	69.48%
8	1193	37.49%	23.15	74.52%
9	784	29.23%	23.78	81.51%
10	599	23.94%	23.29	82.64%
11	462	21.05%	23.92	86.36%
12	378	24.02%	24.1	89.95%
13	290	30.29%	22.41	85.17%
14	227	29.11%	22.93	85.9%
15	113	15.69%	24.72	85.84%
16	82	18.67%	28.61	92.68%
17	67	19.67%	28.4	92.54%
18	40	8.33%	27.68	92.5%
19	35	3.13%	28.4	94.29%
20	28	3.85%	28.82	96.43%
21	23	9.09%	26.39	91.3%
22	19	5.56%	27.16	94.74%
23	14	15.38%	24.64	92.86%
24	14	23.08%	21.93	78.57%
25	6	0.0%	30.33	100.0%
26	5	0.0%	30.0	100.0%
27	4	0.0%	28.0	100.0%
28	4	0.0%	27.5	100.0%
29	4	0.0%	25.75	100.0%

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Second Wave

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Wave

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Second Wave