Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 482 47.18% 30.8 1.899 69.5% -0.264 0.0845
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1126 47.95% 31.92 -0.848 67.94% -0.971 -0.7125
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 714 57.24% 35.45 6.853 58.68% 0.183 1.0553
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 404 55.61% 36.18 5.452 53.47% -0.369 0.5607
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 259 68.87% 38.02 -0.932 44.02% -1.244 0.077
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -12.856 44.68% -0.713 0.8032
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 135 55.56% 41.01 -4.147 37.78% -0.665 1.3506
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1221 49.88% 25.58 -0.01 71.58% -0.346 -0.0882
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4819 39.82% 30.88 1.654 78.34% -0.218 -0.1178
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4244 47.06% 37.45 6.51 73.7% 0.242 0.3332
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3121 52.38% 42.33 5.257 69.46% -0.61 -0.411
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1987 52.37% 44.72 7.377 68.19% -0.346 -0.0104
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1128 61.16% 47.49 8.716 59.57% -0.555 -0.0957
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 904 69.96% 44.04 5.93 45.46% -0.914 0.403
The Kingdom of England 0 1 849 45.75% 25.59 -1.052 62.54% -0.921 -0.4735
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2761 44.46% 32.13 0.311 67.62% -0.756 -0.4542
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1775 56.79% 30.69 1.834 53.63% -0.548 0.0685
The Kingdom of England 3 6 896 56.27% 34.82 2.099 46.76% -1.34 -0.2273
The Kingdom of England 4 7 500 52.13% 37.42 8.114 45.2% -0.509 0.6926
The Kingdom of England 5 9 211 66.67% 36.12 6.437 29.86% -0.848 0.6992
The Kingdom of England 6 11 371 60.38% 39.77 8.598 33.96% -0.977 1.0312
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 656 53.23% 27.23 1.643 58.99% -0.838 -0.3682
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1554 56.77% 30.02 2.401 60.68% -0.346 0.3389
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 912 42.7% 32.84 4.468 39.69% -0.78 0.1707
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 582 49.13% 34.84 5.262 32.65% -1.114 0.1628
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 329 51.23% 40.32 8.458 38.6% -0.669 0.6054
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 189 59.04% 39.11 4.587 30.69% -1.361 -0.4689
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 629 60.1% 45.35 10.82 34.66% -0.972 0.4644
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 208 40.82% 31.33 2.938 65.38% -0.274 -0.0801
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 421 37.62% 31.31 -0.521 64.61% -0.949 -0.484
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 376 32.35% 36.64 6.754 70.48% 0.094 0.5869
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 342 34.91% 44.43 10.656 68.71% -0.249 0.1237
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 264 44.27% 43.72 9.804 63.64% -0.282 0.3267
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 138 51.45% 46.83 5.169 63.04% -1.231 -0.6913
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 300 65.67% 47.23 9.497 53.0% -0.578 0.5017
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 883 56.16% 25.46 -1.082 70.78% -0.172 0.1097
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2419 44.17% 29.5 -0.08 76.15% -0.289 -0.216
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2074 53.61% 30.85 1.215 70.11% -0.288 -0.1438
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1439 62.6% 34.83 3.351 61.78% -0.596 -0.2252
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 879 70.74% 34.83 4.416 54.38% -0.509 0.1052
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 325 67.28% 36.56 -4.568 51.38% -1.575 -0.4551
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 818 79.46% 37.11 2.415 46.7% -1.046 -0.0563
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 401 48.38% 31.59 2.69 70.32% -0.215 -0.1227
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 815 53.26% 30.03 0.193 62.94% -0.718 0.1998
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 491 49.08% 36.08 0.837 70.47% -0.633 -0.089
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 335 66.87% 35.54 8.046 49.55% -0.018 0.9632
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 192 59.16% 45.69 16.111 60.42% 0.371 1.2255
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 111 75.68% 39.25 25.477 32.43% 0.275 1.6842
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 125 72.8% 49.88 6.97 42.4% -0.66 1.096

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66522 41.68 27.5 72.71% -0.272 0.0335 -0.268
1 Thematic 3533 51.69 25.96 63.43% 0.293 0.7244 -0.52
2 Archipelago 51 29.41 33.02 88.24% 0.142 0.4698 -0.567
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11365 45.79 30.05 74.24% 0.082 0.3104 0.178
2 Coastline 2126 40.63 30.24 77.28% 0.033 0.0315 0.673
2 Fragment 427 46.35 27.13 71.43% 0.407 0.0983 -0.703
2 Heart 500 40.4 26.94 77.8% 0.073 -0.0341 -0.27
2 Opposite Shores 3275 35.52 29.39 80.46% 0.041 0.0769 -0.977
2 Thematic 1804 53.83 31.12 62.86% -0.572 -0.3507 0.511
2 Top to Top 574 41.75 30.95 77.87% 0.657 0.6324 0.434
3 Archipelago 52 32.69 31.17 94.23% -0.088 -0.7964
3 Coastline 215 21.5 28.24 89.77% 0.575 -0.1106 0.548
3 Other 836 37.8 27.03 82.18% 0.092 -0.4817 -0.626
3 Round (Default) 6001 38.76 32.91 78.75% 0.048 -0.1373 0.276
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 334 43.11 29.32 72.46% 0.664 0.1968 0.988
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5% 0.162 0.6448
4 Coastline 171 9.36 27.36 94.15% -0.03 -0.4852
4 Leaf 31 48.39 26.9 80.65%
4 Other 581 31.67 29.84 86.06% 0.844 0.5806 0.478
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 628 36.94 30.71 74.52% -0.454 -0.4271 -0.417
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3869 30.37 29.18 84.03% -0.193 0.0236 0.329
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 838 18.85 28.04 90.93% -0.454 -0.9522 0.233
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% 0.266 -0.2936 -0.197
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.028 -0.7755
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.446 -1.2404
6 Other 190 29.1 24.34 83.16% 0.22 0.7869 -0.187
6 Star 43 46.51 26.58 76.74% -0.054 0.3786 0.116
6 Thematic 128 35.16 24.29 67.19% -0.454 -0.4021 -0.257
6 Two Centers (Default) 390 23.08 27.62 80.0% -0.277 -0.4882 0.501
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.148 -1.3323 -0.659

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3270 22.36 45.63% -0.815 -0.6682 -0.759
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2725 23.62 47.27% -1.226 -1.3145 -0.696
All Things Weaken 1928 21.14 43.0% -1.82 -1.499 -0.326
Attenuated Essence 201 22.11 47.26% -1.292 -1.2667 -1.177
Back Against the Wall 2616 23.16 46.25% -1.076 -1.0188 -0.764
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 180 20.11 42.78% -0.947 -0.7595 -0.423
Burn Brightest Before the End 176 23.88 53.98% -0.208 -0.032 -0.17
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3148 19.8 44.0% -1.233 -0.8367 -1.07
Downward Spiral 5185 21.23 52.48% -0.8 -0.7308 -0.707
Erosion of Will 3279 21.19 43.58% -1.149 -0.8608 -0.87
Intensifying Exploitation 239 21.72 51.05% -0.64 -0.3622 -0.256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 743 30.39 85.87% -0.545 -1.0056 -0.257
Memory Fades to Dust 5167 20.72 49.58% -1.26 -1.045 -0.564
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2033 21.82 48.6% -0.965 -0.8017 -0.542
Promising Farmlands 3129 20.9 46.15% -1.072 -0.7813 -0.679
Shattered Fragments of Power 143 24.09 41.96% -0.96 -0.7802 -0.752
Slow Dissolution of Will 208 18.04 40.87% -0.786 -0.4083 -1.297
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 399 31.28 86.72% 0.667 -0.0624 -0.256
The Border of Life and Death 37 21.32 64.86% -0.57 -1.1721 -0.316
Thriving Communities 2125 21.13 47.86% -1.627 -1.3305 -0.563
Thriving Crops 87 25.25 72.41% -0.582 -0.5719 -0.62
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.539
Unnatural Proliferation 2121 24.43 49.13% -1.072 -0.9272 -0.384
Untended Land Crumbles 2017 22.04 49.53% -0.786 -0.4377 -0.66

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21373 40.27% 28.42 75.46% -0.103 0.7606 -0.322
B 21612 41.03% 29.21 75.3% -0.134 0.6965 0.261
C 25294 38.29% 29.01 77.23% 0.142 0.8323 0.097
D 23337 39.58% 28.63 76.42% -0.136 0.7006 0.01
E 14425 35.32% 28.34 79.05% 0.165 0.8654 0.186
F 15959 39.23% 28.99 76.35% -0.171 0.6527 0.267
G 15038 39.89% 28.75 76.17% -0.055 0.7914 0.026
H 16224 38.01% 29.24 77.87% 0.038 0.8242 0.077
East 4359 48.2% 29.33 65.66% -1.299 -0.4481 -0.443
Northeast 2223 50.09% 31.25 64.69% 0.727 1.5877 0.119
Northwest 1589 50.25% 30.91 64.07% -0.39 0.4929 -0.722
Southeast 1613 35.24% 27.57 75.88% 0.177 1.062 -0.204
Southwest 1038 40.08% 26.79 71.97% -0.873 0.4042 0.087
West 3279 50.46% 28.81 63.46% -0.412 0.6485 -0.178

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3217 0.0% 24.55 73.3% -0.473 0.2565 -0.438
Not Using Events or Tokens 3953 51.35% 21.73 64.81% -0.398 0.0234 -0.146
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7206 19.05% 34.95 86.76% 0.067 -0.5429 0.23
Start of Game Growth 11063 18.0% 33.62 87.46% 1.08 0.478 0.601
Unlimited Undo 10444 31.35% 31.53 80.65% -0.757 -0.7419 0.099
Using Tokens but Not Events 17683 26.04% 29.41 84.11% 0.658 0.6637 0.229

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14350 15.6 8.36%
II 30286 30.47 65.15%
III 37891 34.79 90.64%
IV 22359 38.43 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.059 Win Model: 0.076
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70733 42.17% 27.45 72.32%
2 20050 44.06% 29.93 74.85%
3 7308 38.18% 31.97 79.05%
4 5311 30.12% 29.31 83.77%
5 823 17.38% 26.42 87.73%
6 661 28.48% 26.09 77.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1195
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34204
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19679
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22236
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3295
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1086
Lose: Adversary condition 3362
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18589
Lose: Spirit destroyed 933

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-08 06:47:53 (Pacific Time)