Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 482 47.18% 30.8 2.206 69.5% -0.209 0.1385
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 1127 48.0% 31.9 -0.548 67.88% -0.928 -0.6392
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 714 57.24% 35.45 6.794 58.68% 0.143 1.0038
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 405 55.47% 36.23 6.956 53.58% -0.249 0.6989
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 260 68.99% 37.97 -0.41 43.85% -1.314 -0.0002
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 94 58.51% 40.18 -12.726 44.68% -0.689 0.8427
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 135 55.56% 41.01 -4.148 37.78% -0.657 1.3347
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1222 49.92% 25.59 -0.079 71.6% -0.207 0.0223
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 4823 39.85% 30.88 2.022 78.33% -0.086 0.0128
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 4247 47.05% 37.45 6.727 73.7% 0.286 0.3855
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3126 52.32% 42.35 5.846 69.51% -0.54 -0.357
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 1993 52.37% 44.67 6.514 68.09% -0.543 -0.2169
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1129 61.1% 47.45 8.916 59.52% -0.481 -0.0046
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 908 70.09% 43.96 5.217 45.37% -0.877 0.453
The Kingdom of England 0 1 851 45.88% 25.57 -0.655 62.51% -0.813 -0.3434
The Kingdom of England 1 3 2766 44.53% 32.12 0.232 67.61% -0.724 -0.4254
The Kingdom of England 2 4 1779 56.75% 30.71 2.161 53.68% -0.43 0.2015
The Kingdom of England 3 6 897 56.27% 34.85 2.54 46.82% -1.318 -0.2059
The Kingdom of England 4 7 501 52.13% 37.4 7.536 45.11% -0.72 0.4235
The Kingdom of England 5 9 212 66.35% 35.95 3.159 29.72% -1.181 0.3586
The Kingdom of England 6 11 371 60.38% 39.77 5.443 33.96% -0.858 1.1295
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 658 53.07% 27.22 1.645 58.97% -0.763 -0.3038
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1555 56.74% 30.0 1.832 60.64% -0.421 0.2535
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 915 42.67% 32.78 3.467 39.56% -1.016 -0.0652
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 582 49.13% 34.84 5.128 32.65% -1.158 0.1025
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 330 51.38% 40.41 8.622 38.79% -0.616 0.6356
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 189 59.04% 39.11 7.441 30.69% -0.843 0.0515
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 629 60.1% 45.35 11.52 34.66% -0.943 0.5221
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 210 41.41% 31.19 4.235 65.24% 0.029 0.2536
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 421 37.62% 31.31 -0.468 64.61% -0.882 -0.4538
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 378 32.44% 36.69 6.998 70.63% 0.201 0.642
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 343 34.81% 44.47 10.813 68.8% -0.2 0.183
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 269 44.57% 43.86 10.492 63.94% -0.131 0.4842
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 138 51.45% 46.83 5.144 63.04% -1.204 -0.6892
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 300 65.67% 47.23 9.836 53.0% -0.554 0.5392
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 884 56.1% 25.43 -1.891 70.7% -0.364 -0.0659
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2420 44.15% 29.5 0.283 76.16% -0.22 -0.1567
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2080 53.65% 30.85 1.159 70.1% -0.269 -0.1536
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 1443 62.56% 34.81 3.01 61.75% -0.652 -0.3136
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 881 70.58% 34.87 5.096 54.48% -0.425 0.1854
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 327 67.48% 36.39 -4.931 51.07% -1.627 -0.5314
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 821 79.54% 37.11 2.853 46.77% -0.899 0.0736
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 402 48.26% 31.51 1.272 70.15% -0.518 -0.4259
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 818 53.06% 30.04 0.431 62.96% -0.695 0.183
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 493 49.29% 36.08 1.033 70.39% -0.663 -0.1291
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 336 66.67% 35.6 8.227 49.7% -0.074 0.8982
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 192 59.16% 45.69 16.366 60.42% 0.483 1.3246
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 111 75.68% 39.25 25.579 32.43% 0.319 1.7345
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 125 72.8% 49.88 6.858 42.4% -0.629 1.1503

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66644 41.66 27.5 72.7% -0.273 0.0948 -0.267
1 Thematic 3535 51.69 25.94 63.39% 0.26 0.7671 -0.515
2 Archipelago 51 29.41 33.02 88.24% 0.145 0.658 -0.565
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11379 45.8 30.04 74.22% 0.072 0.3482 0.174
2 Coastline 2129 40.57 30.24 77.31% 0.112 0.1624 0.681
2 Fragment 427 46.35 27.13 71.43% 0.418 0.1851 -0.706
2 Heart 502 40.44 26.97 77.89% 0.131 0.088 -0.274
2 Opposite Shores 3277 35.53 29.38 80.44% 0.049 0.1417 -0.975
2 Thematic 1810 53.82 31.09 62.71% -0.609 -0.3656 0.485
2 Top to Top 575 41.68 30.93 77.91% 0.688 0.7187 0.438
3 Archipelago 52 32.69 31.17 94.23% -0.108 -0.9519
3 Coastline 215 21.5 28.24 89.77% 0.56 -0.0433 0.549
3 Other 845 37.4 27.07 82.37% 0.126 -0.4387 -0.624
3 Round (Default) 6014 38.79 32.92 78.73% 0.035 -0.0871 0.273
3 Sunrise 34 52.94 22.26 70.59%
3 Thematic 336 43.45 29.42 72.62% 0.965 0.485 1.001
4 Archipelago 40 32.5 32.0 87.5% 0.165 0.6618
4 Coastline 172 9.3 27.37 94.19% -0.018 -0.4906
4 Leaf 32 50.0 26.06 78.13% -0.19 -0.5633
4 Other 584 31.51 29.77 85.96% 0.71 0.5109 0.475
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0 32.67 100.0%
4 Thematic 632 37.03 30.63 74.37% -0.472 -0.4935 -0.417
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3877 30.35 29.19 84.03% -0.115 0.0944 0.33
5 Archipelago 10 30.0 30.3 80.0%
5 Coastline 79 7.59 25.48 89.87%
5 Other 842 18.76 28.04 90.97% -0.403 -0.8475 0.239
5 Thematic 110 30.0 27.73 87.27% 0.233 -0.3994 -0.195
6 Archipelago 11 27.27 33.73 100.0% 0.026 -0.7192
6 Coastline 7 14.29 24.71 71.43% -0.515 -1.3039
6 Other 192 29.32 24.35 83.33% 0.17 0.8462 -0.185
6 Star 43 46.51 26.58 76.74% -0.137 0.2973 0.113
6 Thematic 128 35.16 24.29 67.19% -0.538 -0.4802 -0.26
6 Two Centers (Default) 391 23.27 27.66 80.05% 0.068 -0.123 0.5
7 Other 31 29.03 22.77 80.65% -0.208 -1.4232 -0.661

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3274 22.34 45.57% -0.957 -0.8126 -0.76
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2729 23.62 47.27% -1.157 -1.2607 -0.7
All Things Weaken 1930 21.12 42.95% -1.709 -1.4053 -0.327
Attenuated Essence 202 22.06 47.03% -1.201 -1.1791 -1.171
Back Against the Wall 2617 23.16 46.27% -1.109 -1.0608 -0.764
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 181 20.17 43.09% -0.803 -0.5975 -0.42
Burn Brightest Before the End 178 23.76 53.93% -0.267 -0.0909 -0.169
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3152 19.79 43.97% -1.254 -0.8352 -1.1
Downward Spiral 5192 21.22 52.47% -0.72 -0.6522 -0.707
Erosion of Will 3281 21.19 43.61% -1.082 -0.7899 -0.869
Intensifying Exploitation 240 21.67 50.83% -0.655 -0.3602 -0.255
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 744 30.44 85.89% -0.476 -0.9517 -0.259
Memory Fades to Dust 5169 20.73 49.58% -1.232 -1.0096 -0.559
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2035 21.8 48.6% -0.864 -0.688 -0.539
Promising Farmlands 3139 20.9 46.16% -0.971 -0.6671 -0.653
Shattered Fragments of Power 145 23.99 42.07% -1.078 -0.8894 -0.754
Slow Dissolution of Will 209 18.03 40.67% -0.889 -0.5194 -1.3
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 399 31.28 86.72% 0.534 -0.2201 -0.253
The Border of Life and Death 37 21.32 64.86% -0.59 -1.1516 -0.317
Thriving Communities 2128 21.16 47.93% -1.479 -1.1725 -0.564
Thriving Crops 89 25.35 70.79% -0.717 -0.6879 -0.702
Tipping Point 870 22.79 47.13% -0.53
Unnatural Proliferation 2126 24.48 49.2% -1.115 -0.962 -0.384
Untended Land Crumbles 2024 22.06 49.56% -0.868 -0.5104 -0.659

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21428 40.25% 28.43 75.48% -0.117 0.7512 -0.327
B 21646 41.05% 29.21 75.29% -0.168 0.6649 0.259
C 25334 38.27% 29.01 77.22% 0.088 0.776 0.097
D 23370 39.58% 28.63 76.41% -0.126 0.7137 0.01
E 14475 35.27% 28.35 79.08% 0.221 0.9241 0.182
F 15996 39.22% 29.0 76.36% -0.105 0.7134 0.275
G 15068 39.88% 28.74 76.15% -0.169 0.6887 0.025
H 16259 38.01% 29.23 77.86% -0.001 0.7849 0.076
East 4372 48.21% 29.31 65.58% -1.179 -0.301 -0.473
Northeast 2227 50.14% 31.25 64.71% 0.702 1.5745 0.088
Northwest 1593 50.32% 30.92 64.09% -0.309 0.5758 -0.693
Southeast 1619 35.29% 27.54 75.73% 0.076 0.9686 -0.186
Southwest 1043 40.17% 26.77 71.81% -0.824 0.4411 0.083
West 3291 50.49% 28.79 63.38% -0.481 0.5886 -0.156

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3231 0.0% 24.58 73.32% -0.343 0.3923 -0.434
Not Using Events or Tokens 3961 51.34% 21.71 64.78% -0.459 -0.0322 -0.136
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7225 19.01% 34.95 86.78% 0.076 -0.5338 0.229
Start of Game Growth 11094 17.98% 33.62 87.48% 1.078 0.471 0.607
Unlimited Undo 10472 31.35% 31.52 80.64% -0.79 -0.7869 0.078
Using Tokens but Not Events 17736 26.03% 29.41 84.1% 0.572 0.5824 0.229

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14391 15.56 8.35%
II 30327 30.46 65.16%
III 37959 34.8 90.64%
IV 22409 38.44 99.93%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.064 Win Model: 0.087
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 70858 42.15% 27.45 72.32%
2 20079 44.06% 29.92 74.83%
3 7333 38.17% 31.98 79.05%
4 5326 30.13% 29.3 83.74%
5 828 17.39% 26.44 87.8%
6 662 28.59% 26.09 77.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1198
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34265
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19708
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 22286
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3323
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1089
Lose: Adversary condition 3368
Win: Sacrifice victory 307
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18609
Lose: Spirit destroyed 933

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-10 06:17:01 (Pacific Time)