Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 94 17.2% 24.83 74.47% 0.676 0.6266 -1.007
Blitz 0 4458 37.42% 31.32 67.99% 0.235 0.4957 0.467
Dahan Insurrection 4 7953 29.02% 52.94 73.81% 0.629 0.4728 0.52
Despicable Theft 2 370 43.48% 30.81 69.46% -0.3 0.5049 -0.005
Elemental Invocation 1 312 52.56% 29.46 60.26% -0.554 0.3295 -1.145
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11533 12.04% 44.62 78.33% 0.016 -0.5444 0.862
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2527 33.52% 41.92 77.68% -0.309 0.5837 -0.739
Rituals of Terror 3 2188 47.33% 51.81 65.86% 0.214 0.0938 0.813
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 500 73.95% 32.75 48.6% -1.144 -0.2823 -0.498
Second Wave 0 7686 47.74% 28.1 69.87% 0.544 0.6266 -0.642
The Great River 3 398 54.91% 28.34 49.25% -1.35 0.1857 -1.676
Varied Terrains 2 97 54.64% 19.35 40.21% -0.421 0.3598 -0.462
Ward the Shores 2 1585 46.14% 33.87 61.2% -1.367 -0.306 -0.808

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 253555 50.12% 24.3 67.82% 0.582 0.9502 -0.067
1 Thematic 8629 55.11% 34.85 56.82% 0.476 0.9838 0.086
2 Archipelago 107 40.57% 43.79 62.62% -0.286 0.2263 0.311
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 68679 42.03% 29.17 69.62% 0.448 0.7249 0.495
2 Coastline 11450 39.06% 29.26 72.12% 0.454 0.5044 0.129
2 Fragment 1835 49.52% 24.47 66.54% 0.761 0.5283 0.515
2 Heart 951 49.08% 23.99 65.4% 0.267 0.2239 0.096
2 Opposite Shores 15389 42.92% 32.43 72.08% 0.528 0.6209 0.171
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4345 0.0
2 Thematic 5321 44.73% 43.91 61.27% -0.26 -0.0166 0.322
2 Top to Top 3235 42.09% 31.72 72.55% 0.085 0.116 0.432
3 Archipelago 66 36.36% 40.95 86.36% 0.636 -0.2082 0.25
3 Coastline 409 23.99% 42.82 83.86% 0.982 0.3792 0.798
3 Other 1465 38.4% 29.94 74.68% 0.665 0.1009 0.266
3 Round (Default) 31953 35.54% 33.11 76.62% 0.717 0.5949 -0.107
3 Sunrise 137 38.64% 31.66 79.56% -0.692 -0.5166 0.375
3 Thematic 1217 42.59% 37.88 58.75% -0.583 -1.063 -0.098
4 Archipelago 85 33.33% 31.08 65.88% -0.682 -0.1853 -1.136
4 Coastline 248 21.07% 48.19 79.44% 0.043 -0.4289 0.797
4 Leaf 170 36.71% 29.31 70.59% -0.293 -0.666 -0.426
4 Other 984 33.19% 32.64 75.2% -0.198 -0.3977 0.074
4 Reverse Snake 10 10.0% 39.1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.441
4 Snake 6 40.0% 30.33 83.33% 0.0 -1.1461 0.0
4 Thematic 5941 27.59% 50.0 75.02% -0.599 -0.6203 -0.294
4 Trapezoid (Default) 28197 27.61% 34.34 77.97% 0.49 0.6995 -0.249
5 Archipelago 24 41.67% 38.33 79.17% -0.2 -0.4143 -1.079
5 Coastline 139 7.35% 54.53 82.73% -0.304 -0.1348 -0.628
5 Other 673 35.2% 37.04 81.87% 0.698 0.2529 0.242
5 Thematic 56 25.45% 53.57 80.36% -0.324 -0.9556 0.746
6 Archipelago 183 5.14% 60.68 80.33% 0.375 -0.3703 -0.775
6 Coastline 115 4.35% 43.37 78.26% -0.034 -0.8229 -1.149
6 Other 535 16.7% 38.12 73.08% -1.223 -0.5467 -1.151
6 Star 126 19.2% 34.36 73.81% 0.131 0.5654 -1.74
6 Thematic 664 21.7% 37.63 67.77% -0.439 -0.3816 -0.845
6 Two Centers (Default) 982 16.37% 28.8 78.41% -0.194 -0.3847 -1.1
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 27.33 66.67% -0.56 0.0344 -0.308
7 Other 13 27.27% 33.54 53.85% 0.489 -0.7263 -0.524

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8666 31.93 52.54% -0.176 -0.0315 -0.173
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7635 34.09 56.45% 0.415 0.3118 0.031
All Things Weaken 3329 33.51 53.29% -0.615 -0.3105 -0.134
Attenuated Essence 253 26.93 46.25% 0.765 0.7871 -0.901
Back Against the Wall 7435 32.1 50.48% -0.41 -0.3616 -0.465
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 261 26.43 43.3% -0.071 0.1347 -0.853
Burn Brightest Before the End 230 29.95 44.78% -0.85 -0.6731 -0.631
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8108 28.61 46.93% -0.76 -0.3411 -0.343
Downward Spiral 35027 23.76 51.88% -0.273 -0.2053 -0.308
Erosion of Will 8324 30.26 48.01% -0.328 -0.0359 -0.326
Intensifying Exploitation 266 25.97 41.35% -0.326 -0.0313 -0.665
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1458 40.74 79.01% 1.269 0.7927 0.397
Memory Fades to Dust 35575 23.23 48.03% -0.358 -0.1358 -0.427
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3111 31.54 50.53% -0.169 0.0064 -0.358
Promising Farmlands 8306 28.61 45.97% -0.449 -0.1451 -0.617
Shattered Fragments of Power 190 28.52 43.16% -0.408 -0.2189 -0.916
Slow Dissolution of Will 257 23.16 35.02% -0.365 0.0047 -1.449
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 922 41.2 82.97% 0.442 -0.3121 0.573
The Border of Life and Death 93 33.75 72.04% 0.635 0.0733 0.454
Thriving Communities 3202 30.54 48.22% -0.608 -0.302 -0.421
Thriving Crops 106 28.77 55.66% -0.222 -0.1932 -1.333
Tipping Point 3623 29.22 46.7% 0.0 0.0 -0.361
Unnatural Proliferation 3472 33.31 51.01% -0.628 -0.4748 -0.3
Untended Land Crumbles 3239 31.55 49.89% -0.464 -0.1068 -0.29

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 149231 39.38% 29.23 69.76% -1.156 -0.2878 0.444
B 117128 39.34% 28.67 69.63% -1.304 -0.4713 0.392
C 191526 40.16% 27.15 75.68% -0.748 -0.0599 0.281
D 115108 39.85% 28.21 68.51% -1.46 -0.6212 0.279
E 22495 41.33% 33.42 72.33% -1.316 -0.6139 0.452
F 33044 40.38% 32.3 72.09% -1.479 -0.6609 0.301
G 32919 39.31% 34.45 74.17% -0.821 0.0368 1.093
H 33445 38.85% 33.76 73.59% -1.251 -0.4657 0.761
East 17589 40.96% 43.69 64.32% -0.515 0.3629 -0.292
Northeast 10872 36.24% 44.55 66.92% -0.394 0.4788 -0.116
Northwest 9293 33.03% 45.76 69.15% -0.516 0.3692 -0.262
Southeast 1920 34.75% 39.14 67.34% -0.336 0.5563 -1.232
Southwest 1704 34.14% 37.54 66.31% -0.095 1.1706 -0.059
West 14215 37.36% 44.23 66.04% -0.505 0.5645 0.121

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 117933 0.0% 19.71 70.09% -0.631 0.1042 -1.163
Not Using Events or Tokens 220857 43.89% 21.73 68.69% -0.286 0.1407 -0.528
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15395 9.66% 36.87 87.57% 0.552 -0.0581 -0.12
Start of Game Growth 22389 11.22% 35.37 86.3% 0.936 0.3293 0.359
Unlimited Undo 42543 31.67% 31.35 79.04% 0.01 0.0128 0.716
Using Tokens but Not Events 35791 32.88% 32.44 76.92% 0.02 0.0303 0.154

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26829 26.59% 35.56 77.84% 0.426 0.2349 0.525
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 29 6.9% 27.55 68.97% 0.591 -0.1049 -0.171
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7794 47.3% 29.37 67.92% -0.4 -0.0929 -0.391
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 106 30.77% 26.15 56.6% -0.759 -1.4458 -0.662
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5578 29.41% 30.11 77.5% 0.345 0.2073 -0.014
Downpour Drenches the World 778 31.41% 28.08 64.4% 0.144 0.3703 -0.457
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 660 36.1% 31.12 69.24% 0.639 0.2528 -0.474
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9365 27.01% 34.84 79.43% 0.208 -0.1778 -0.081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5627 30.3% 34.3 79.01% 0.394 -0.0487 -0.122
Finder of Paths Unseen 344 37.87% 29.73 66.57% 0.382 1.0457 0.456
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1288 33.86% 42.79 77.87% -0.395 0.3088 0.54
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1085 35.1% 38.42 72.17% 0.649 0.5678 -0.54
Heart of the Wildfire 8430 47.35% 36.14 70.94% -0.198 0.0753 0.378
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18048 32.51% 39.9 80.49% 0.721 0.3833 0.284
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 91 32.22% 29.93 72.53% 0.824 0.3884 0.62
Lightning's Swift Strike 43013 32.74% 30.32 72.54% -0.112 0.1638 0.568
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 405 29.22% 45.03 68.4% 0.096 -0.2649 -0.118
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1232 38.1% 45.32 79.55% 0.349 -0.0629 1.208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2618 30.36% 50.58 81.21% -0.099 -0.1082 1.188
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3100 39.48% 34.25 73.32% 0.203 -0.0568 -0.521
Many Minds Move as One 1520 39.07% 36.61 80.2% -0.181 -0.3229 0.62
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 55650 35.83% 36.98 76.12% 0.464 0.3639 0.621
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5926 32.27% 36.45 77.4% 0.065 -0.0995 0.334
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10935 32.43% 36.95 74.37% -0.093 -0.3083 -0.198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14163 44.35% 22.26 62.49% -0.616 -0.1081 -0.179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 19.72% 26.2 71.25% -0.317 -0.2581 -0.323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 81 41.25% 28.91 74.07% 0.597 0.1231 -0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 69 40.0% 24.96 62.32% -1.397 -1.1241 0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 397 45.85% 34.1 72.29% 0.042 -0.0768 -0.431
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 380 46.32% 33.43 74.21% -1.288 -0.9985 0.552
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7920 35.31% 38.08 77.94% -0.107 -0.2694 0.493
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 166 27.04% 28.59 76.51% 1.647 1.4985 -0.88
Shifting Memory of Ages 1002 41.69% 31.66 72.65% -0.377 0.0056 0.049
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 43 26.19% 33.16 62.79% 0.153 -0.146 0.518
Shroud of Silent Mist 970 50.0% 30.24 72.16% 0.306 0.6211 -0.675
Starlight Seeks its Form 1456 33.06% 32.59 75.89% -0.314 -0.462 0.04
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3859 38.28% 33.79 72.22% -0.223 -0.8634 -0.167
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6643 28.61% 36.92 81.18% -0.559 -0.3711 0.409
Thunderspeaker 23116 33.26% 34.52 74.84% -0.012 -0.037 -0.147
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 91 33.33% 25.01 61.54% 0.126 0.2785 -0.776
Towering Roots of the Jungle 63 47.62% 32.19 63.49% 0.531 0.5231 -0.448
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1588 60.92% 32.3 67.32% -0.2 -0.1211 -0.216
Vital Strength of the Earth 24649 28.33% 24.7 67.92% -0.502 0.0936 -0.108
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 192 38.67% 24.75 60.94% -0.921 -0.4045 0.718
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 350 31.79% 26.6 61.43% -0.743 -0.0227 -1.322
Volcano Looming High 1777 49.86% 34.39 70.74% 0.366 0.4631 0.208
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 287 37.59% 29.43 67.94% -0.343 -0.6484 -0.954

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 70.95%
Flash Floods 94.94%
River's Bounty 95.22%
Wash Away 88.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 124697 15.56 32.7%
II 222091 30.46 82.71%
III 78893 34.8 83.95%
IV 18305 38.44 98.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40751
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 63999
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 175639
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17618
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 32876
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7832
Lose: Adversary condition 20227
Win: Sacrifice victory 994
Lose: Scenario condition 2684
Win: Scenario condition 9764
Lose: Blight pool ran out 68032
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3570

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.049 Win Model: -0.04

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.216 Win Model: 0.137
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 263139 50.4% 24.74 67.38%
2 106755 42.1% 30.14 69.93%
3 35128 35.75% 33.24 76.02%
4 35691 27.65% 36.99 77.42%
5 656 29.84% 37.42 78.51%
6 2617 16.61% 36.32 74.55%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-10 06:17:01 (Pacific Time)