Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 110 17.43% 25.4 75.45% 0.94 0.4393 -0.961
Blitz 0 4743 36.68% 30.55 66.27% -0.036 0.3406 0.566
Dahan Insurrection 4 8449 28.67% 52.23 73.31% 1.211 0.7311 0.595
Despicable Theft 2 401 41.6% 30.91 69.58% 0.134 0.67 0.17
Elemental Invocation 1 345 50.72% 28.98 59.13% -0.954 -0.2114 -1.159
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12188 12.08% 44.65 77.84% 0.953 0.29 0.973
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2775 31.55% 42.33 77.98% 1.341 1.9137 -0.688
Rituals of Terror 3 2379 46.46% 50.86 64.02% 0.746 0.5921 0.773
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 530 71.64% 32.04 47.92% -0.844 -0.0624 -0.544
Second Wave 0 8026 47.31% 28.05 69.7% 0.616 0.7077 -0.592
The Great River 3 428 52.93% 27.81 49.07% -0.909 0.2596 -1.511
Varied Terrains 2 126 53.6% 19.26 38.89% -0.489 0.4058 -0.585
Ward the Shores 2 1649 45.58% 33.33 60.7% -0.26 0.6174 -0.754

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 272507 49.67% 23.67 66.18% 0.863 1.2669 0.319
1 Thematic 9103 54.25% 34.3 56.12% 0.21 0.919 0.468
2 Archipelago 123 39.34% 41.72 62.6% 0.172 0.8363 0.718
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 73648 41.44% 28.34 67.88% 0.603 0.7916 0.752
2 Coastline 12246 38.49% 28.5 70.41% 0.821 0.6516 0.24
2 Fragment 1960 49.15% 23.96 65.26% 0.677 0.6712 0.69
2 Heart 1034 48.53% 23.36 62.96% 0.046 -0.2336 0.466
2 Opposite Shores 16370 42.41% 31.66 70.65% 0.96 1.0994 0.36
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4517 0.0
2 Thematic 5538 44.63% 43.6 60.15% -0.128 0.5068 0.62
2 Top to Top 3492 41.97% 30.9 70.93% 0.75 0.6764 0.689
3 Archipelago 76 32.89% 37.39 78.95% -0.834 -1.5535 0.411
3 Coastline 447 24.07% 41.35 81.21% 0.663 -0.1763 0.481
3 Other 1542 38.97% 29.3 73.15% 0.236 -0.6013 0.355
3 Round (Default) 33927 35.39% 32.45 75.18% 0.497 0.487 -0.053
3 Sunrise 141 38.97% 31.86 79.43% 0.009 -0.296 0.42
3 Thematic 1296 42.25% 36.75 56.25% -0.381 -0.6206 0.008
4 Archipelago 91 31.71% 29.26 62.64% -0.309 -0.3464 -1.105
4 Coastline 258 21.03% 47.94 78.68% 0.356 0.5525 0.547
4 Leaf 183 36.9% 28.45 67.76% 0.349 0.9653 -0.25
4 Other 1030 32.83% 31.5 72.82% 0.272 -0.4026 0.149
4 Reverse Snake 11 9.09% 35.55 90.91% 0.0 -0.0475 0.437
4 Snake 7 33.33% 26.0 71.43% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6278 26.55% 49.35 74.26% -0.628 -0.5565 -0.413
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30308 27.38% 33.4 75.99% 0.308 0.3409 -0.374
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 37.31 73.08% 0.14 -0.0534 -1.435
5 Coastline 153 6.67% 53.95 81.7% 0.654 -0.1321 -0.744
5 Other 789 35.28% 34.94 78.07% -0.237 -0.5165 0.117
5 Thematic 65 23.44% 53.05 80.0% -0.018 -0.2636 0.57
6 Archipelago 332 2.78% 66.39 81.02% -0.087 -1.2005 -1.205
6 Coastline 145 4.1% 46.97 79.31% 0.573 -0.6256 -1.233
6 Other 653 17.25% 35.21 65.39% -1.402 -1.418 -1.631
6 Star 147 17.81% 33.2 70.75% -1.41 -0.7915 -1.957
6 Thematic 742 20.52% 38.16 66.98% -0.484 -0.4301 -1.171
6 Two Centers (Default) 1113 17.1% 27.37 73.94% -1.484 -1.0803 -1.408
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 27.33 66.67% 0.141 -0.1803 -0.314
7 Other 14 25.0% 31.14 50.0% 0.0 -0.709 -0.745

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8911 31.83 52.4% -0.1 -0.0459 -0.065
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7848 34.04 56.54% 0.359 0.2305 0.142
All Things Weaken 3546 33.15 52.85% -0.208 -0.04 -0.041
Attenuated Essence 350 27.03 47.14% -0.588 -0.5301 -0.754
Back Against the Wall 7664 32.06 50.52% -0.036 -0.0652 -0.351
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 363 27.54 44.08% -0.64 -0.4795 -0.596
Burn Brightest Before the End 311 29.77 45.98% 0.153 0.1773 -0.31
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8339 28.4 46.61% -0.503 -0.2114 -0.249
Downward Spiral 37457 23.27 50.96% -0.184 -0.1031 -0.19
Erosion of Will 8562 30.12 47.84% -0.535 -0.3809 -0.224
Intensifying Exploitation 383 25.01 40.47% -0.478 -0.301 -0.655
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1543 40.29 78.35% 0.192 -0.2699 0.487
Memory Fades to Dust 37890 22.81 47.3% -0.215 0.0024 -0.303
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3313 30.94 49.92% -0.29 -0.1908 -0.248
Promising Farmlands 8535 28.5 45.83% -0.59 -0.2632 -0.503
Shattered Fragments of Power 290 28.34 43.79% -0.002 0.068 -0.727
Slow Dissolution of Will 355 23.41 35.77% -0.092 0.3613 -1.362
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 966 40.78 82.19% 0.677 0.0011 0.645
The Border of Life and Death 122 32.32 67.21% -0.418 -0.886 0.19
Thriving Communities 3408 30.11 47.77% -0.4 -0.1912 -0.327
Thriving Crops 157 29.01 57.32% 0.471 0.2684 -1.136
Tipping Point 3624 29.21 46.69% 0.0 0.1113 -0.252
Unnatural Proliferation 3665 33.03 50.75% 0.045 0.1365 -0.186
Untended Land Crumbles 3424 31.27 49.47% -0.602 -0.4087 -0.185

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 159942 38.9% 28.5 68.04% -0.739 0.1877 0.39
B 125605 38.79% 27.94 67.86% -0.8 0.0514 0.352
C 206495 39.63% 26.42 73.69% -0.203 0.4917 0.148
D 123570 39.43% 27.48 66.69% -0.868 -0.0176 0.195
E 24677 40.65% 32.52 70.64% -0.555 0.1137 0.363
F 35431 40.11% 31.61 70.71% -0.928 -0.1512 0.26
G 35224 38.89% 33.91 72.94% -0.449 0.3129 1.031
H 35800 38.49% 33.3 72.47% -0.34 0.391 0.694
East 18541 40.3% 43.18 63.43% -1.053 -0.2206 -0.317
Northeast 11540 35.38% 43.91 66.0% -0.409 0.3101 -0.193
Northwest 9975 31.81% 44.79 67.86% -0.269 0.5493 -0.271
Southeast 2064 33.56% 39.06 66.62% -0.013 0.8232 -1.267
Southwest 1840 33.21% 37.69 65.82% 0.207 1.6292 -0.056
West 15122 36.48% 43.55 64.93% 0.106 0.9644 0.12

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 128493 0.0% 19.07 67.77% -0.31 0.3973 -1.29
Not Using Events or Tokens 241908 43.24% 20.99 66.26% -0.415 0.0742 -0.655
Skip Initial Invader Actions 16205 9.41% 36.76 86.75% 0.461 -0.2745 -0.022
Start of Game Growth 23583 10.98% 35.11 85.31% 0.512 0.0547 0.381
Unlimited Undo 44923 31.42% 30.73 77.39% 0.071 0.0432 0.648
Using Tokens but Not Events 38218 32.54% 32.04 75.78% 0.227 0.0706 0.145

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 28468 26.37% 35.02 76.4% 0.173 0.0812 0.566
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 147 30.61% 33.85 59.18% 0.537 0.0325 0.093
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8266 46.76% 28.52 66.3% -0.473 -0.3021 -0.436
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 206 31.53% 24.45 43.69% -0.899 -1.6955 -1.146
Dances Up Earthquakes 46 30.43% 21.89 71.74% 0.237 0.0691 -0.563
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6034 28.47% 29.37 76.0% 0.03 -0.1609 -0.032
Downpour Drenches the World 969 30.03% 26.61 60.37% -0.012 0.3343 -0.648
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 868 36.67% 31.09 68.32% 0.443 -0.0282 -0.519
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10010 26.8% 33.9 77.4% -0.127 -0.4802 -0.13
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6088 29.47% 35.07 78.07% -0.064 -0.4202 -0.095
Finder of Paths Unseen 400 37.56% 30.03 66.75% 0.128 0.8706 0.338
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1381 33.06% 41.4 76.32% -0.606 -0.1878 0.595
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1197 35.32% 36.93 71.26% -0.081 -0.0836 -0.578
Heart of the Wildfire 8801 46.93% 35.38 70.07% -0.073 0.2498 0.361
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18739 32.11% 39.89 80.1% 0.333 -0.1547 0.338
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 166 28.48% 25.86 63.25% -0.717 -1.2342 0.478
Lightning's Swift Strike 46432 32.17% 29.32 70.25% -0.188 0.0121 0.59
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 596 21.64% 50.76 70.64% 1.001 0.5412 0.015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1337 37.93% 45.22 79.13% 1.678 1.3591 1.245
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3018 28.3% 48.51 77.9% -0.163 -0.0701 1.167
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3419 39.98% 33.33 70.96% -0.529 -0.6765 -0.495
Many Minds Move as One 1636 38.95% 36.07 79.46% 0.777 0.6258 0.639
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 59019 35.51% 36.25 74.52% -0.047 0.0637 0.628
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 175 40.23% 32.3 64.57% 0.428 0.5395 -0.19
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6351 31.47% 36.56 76.35% -0.326 -0.3872 0.323
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11647 31.52% 36.56 73.13% 0.039 -0.0903 -0.236
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 22 13.64% 23.14 63.64% 0.047 -0.4256 0.935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15734 42.99% 21.3 59.83% -0.491 0.0328 -0.242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 25.0% 26.01 69.79% 0.492 0.5217 -0.144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 131 42.31% 29.82 67.18% 0.148 -0.2609 -0.475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 36.0% 23.96 58.02% -0.539 -0.5005 0.517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 425 44.66% 33.42 71.29% 0.076 -0.0786 -0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 408 44.42% 32.23 72.3% -0.158 -0.0554 0.581
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8128 35.2% 37.77 77.41% -0.233 -0.3382 0.505
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 229 30.63% 29.39 72.93% 0.215 0.0038 -0.399
Shifting Memory of Ages 1102 39.98% 30.88 71.23% -0.289 0.1006 -0.036
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 104 36.08% 34.19 68.27% 0.51 0.4621 0.929
Shroud of Silent Mist 1056 49.61% 29.24 70.08% -0.442 -0.0176 -0.671
Starlight Seeks its Form 1773 31.16% 30.29 71.46% 0.139 0.1014 0.115
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4077 38.2% 33.6 72.16% 0.565 0.0245 -0.113
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6923 28.55% 36.44 80.1% -0.083 0.0012 0.443
Thunderspeaker 24627 32.77% 33.89 73.44% -0.067 -0.0777 -0.135
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 122 37.82% 27.16 63.11% 0.713 1.0858 -0.531
Towering Roots of the Jungle 182 41.76% 30.26 60.99% 0.455 0.6406 -0.433
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1650 60.71% 31.98 66.55% 0.002 0.0498 -0.191
Vital Strength of the Earth 27095 27.56% 23.79 65.39% -0.447 0.0066 -0.047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 240 37.67% 23.95 56.25% -0.983 -0.5035 -0.196
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 390 32.49% 25.71 59.49% -0.388 0.3229 -1.262
Volcano Looming High 1933 49.64% 33.67 69.01% -0.23 -0.161 0.204
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 368 37.05% 29.77 70.11% -0.11 -0.3759 -0.942

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 71.41%
Flash Floods 95.04%
River's Bounty 95.32%
Wash Away 89.13%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 140983 14.21 30.3%
II 233465 30.29 82.43%
III 82818 34.84 83.78%
IV 19100 38.62 98.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 42699
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 67044
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 184150
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18374
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 45945
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8195
Lose: Adversary condition 21047
Win: Sacrifice victory 1040
Lose: Scenario condition 2760
Win: Scenario condition 10119
Lose: Blight pool ran out 71283
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3710

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.994 Win Model: -0.045

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.282 Win Model: 0.399
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 282754 49.93% 24.1 65.76%
2 114156 41.56% 29.33 68.28%
3 37298 35.61% 32.56 74.54%
4 38220 27.28% 36.05 75.64%
5 790 30.36% 35.28 74.56%
6 3148 15.74% 37.13 71.51%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-24 05:20:05 (Pacific Time)