Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 94 17.2% 24.83 74.47% 1.155 1.0748 -1.011
Blitz 0 4378 37.55% 31.42 68.43% 0.391 0.6754 0.463
Dahan Insurrection 4 7809 29.06% 53.16 74.08% 0.882 0.6584 0.517
Despicable Theft 2 364 43.09% 30.98 69.78% -0.37 0.6108 -0.017
Elemental Invocation 1 307 53.09% 29.52 60.26% -0.58 0.3618 -1.161
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11350 12.1% 44.9 78.81% 1.022 0.331 0.849
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2499 33.41% 42.07 77.91% -0.199 0.7367 -0.756
Rituals of Terror 3 2148 47.09% 52.21 66.34% 0.735 0.7818 0.802
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 495 74.09% 32.94 48.89% -0.952 0.1627 -0.502
Second Wave 0 7611 47.83% 28.13 69.89% 0.286 0.3609 -0.647
The Great River 3 389 54.38% 28.67 50.13% -1.389 -0.0547 -1.563
Varied Terrains 2 93 53.76% 19.15 38.71% -1.376 -0.4738 -0.486
Ward the Shores 2 1570 46.13% 34.0 61.4% -1.267 -0.2898 -0.824

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 249380 50.21% 24.44 68.22% 0.664 0.8179 -0.136
1 Thematic 8549 55.25% 34.84 56.66% 0.07 0.5334 0.015
2 Archipelago 103 41.75% 44.85 63.11% -1.314 -0.7401 0.257
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 67657 42.14% 29.33 70.0% 0.621 0.6832 0.456
2 Coastline 11304 39.1% 29.42 72.54% 0.69 0.5751 0.096
2 Fragment 1814 49.45% 24.56 66.65% 0.841 0.5379 0.445
2 Heart 940 49.38% 23.98 65.43% 0.229 0.1018 0.037
2 Opposite Shores 15038 43.06% 32.67 72.68% 1.003 0.8778 0.137
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6488 0.0
2 Thematic 5274 44.77% 44.05 61.49% -0.234 -0.0122 0.262
2 Top to Top 3183 42.5% 31.98 72.92% 0.602 0.5012 0.39
3 Archipelago 65 35.38% 41.12 87.69% 1.267 -0.1969 0.467
3 Coastline 403 24.04% 43.02 84.37% 1.036 0.2715 0.602
3 Other 1446 38.43% 30.13 75.03% 0.198 -0.0967 0.251
3 Round (Default) 31489 35.63% 33.27 76.91% 0.663 0.4348 -0.121
3 Sunrise 136 38.93% 31.73 80.15% -0.291 -0.1425 0.367
3 Thematic 1204 42.72% 38.0 59.14% -0.086 -0.3345 -0.109
4 Archipelago 77 30.56% 31.95 71.43% -0.741 -0.7909 -0.826
4 Coastline 245 20.08% 48.69 80.41% 1.056 0.5611 0.871
4 Leaf 168 36.71% 29.61 71.43% -0.036 0.3891 -0.436
4 Other 965 33.07% 33.06 76.17% 0.187 -0.2727 0.111
4 Reverse Snake 10 10.0% 39.1 100.0% 0.0 0.2348 0.454
4 Snake 6 40.0% 30.33 83.33% 0.0 -1.1361 0.0
4 Thematic 5912 27.62% 50.09 75.14% -0.414 -0.2128 -0.307
4 Trapezoid (Default) 27687 27.61% 34.55 78.42% 0.202 0.5199 -0.235
5 Archipelago 24 41.67% 38.33 79.17% -0.208 -0.0213 -1.088
5 Coastline 138 7.41% 54.93 83.33% 0.258 0.0037 -0.586
5 Other 648 34.83% 37.73 83.18% 0.716 0.2235 0.242
5 Thematic 55 25.45% 53.67 81.82% -0.262 -0.4249 0.874
6 Archipelago 170 5.56% 59.83 80.0% 0.092 -0.7025 -0.805
6 Coastline 109 4.65% 43.13 78.9% -0.18 -0.8164 -1.128
6 Other 511 17.11% 38.85 74.56% -1.265 -0.656 -1.094
6 Star 125 19.35% 34.4 73.6% -0.159 -0.3778 -1.72
6 Thematic 647 22.12% 37.36 67.7% -0.584 -0.4548 -0.827
6 Two Centers (Default) 956 16.61% 29.18 79.39% -0.066 -0.3081 -1.04
7 Archipelago 11 27.27% 29.82 72.73% -0.417 0.43 -0.407
7 Other 13 27.27% 33.54 53.85% 0.33 -1.1199 -0.524

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8610 31.95 52.57% -0.535 -0.359 -0.193
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7571 34.11 56.36% 0.175 0.1362 0.019
All Things Weaken 3279 33.64 53.49% -0.27 0.0008 -0.159
Attenuated Essence 232 26.46 44.83% 0.279 0.3805 -1.034
Back Against the Wall 7381 32.15 50.55% -0.057 0.0117 -0.479
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 228 26.44 43.42% -0.181 0.0093 -0.788
Burn Brightest Before the End 211 29.91 45.97% -0.683 -0.4563 -0.565
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8030 28.7 47.05% -0.706 -0.3349 -0.354
Downward Spiral 34518 23.83 52.01% -0.24 -0.0965 -0.326
Erosion of Will 8244 30.31 48.0% -0.418 -0.1101 -0.337
Intensifying Exploitation 241 25.58 41.08% -0.707 -0.4691 -0.438
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1444 40.88 79.09% 1.294 0.714 0.391
Memory Fades to Dust 35031 23.32 48.17% -0.371 -0.1043 -0.437
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3049 31.57 50.67% -0.354 -0.0911 -0.386
Promising Farmlands 8243 28.67 46.05% -0.475 -0.1534 -0.623
Shattered Fragments of Power 169 28.62 42.01% -0.81 -0.6257 -0.984
Slow Dissolution of Will 237 22.63 35.02% -0.61 -0.2482 -1.555
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 909 41.29 83.39% 0.683 0.0638 0.565
The Border of Life and Death 90 33.99 72.22% 1.169 0.7238 0.55
Thriving Communities 3153 30.59 48.3% -0.41 -0.0574 -0.421
Thriving Crops 87 28.13 58.62% 0.132 0.1508 -1.256
Tipping Point 3623 29.22 46.7% 0.0 0.0 -0.378
Unnatural Proliferation 3444 33.36 51.07% -0.346 -0.1912 -0.316
Untended Land Crumbles 3198 31.64 50.03% -0.153 0.22 -0.31

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 146615 39.46% 29.41 70.19% -0.697 0.1525 0.459
B 115207 39.42% 28.83 70.04% -0.975 -0.1764 0.394
C 188361 40.3% 27.32 76.15% -0.421 0.2421 0.291
D 113256 39.89% 28.36 68.92% -1.023 -0.2126 0.28
E 22011 41.56% 33.68 72.8% -0.764 -0.1041 0.469
F 32502 40.47% 32.47 72.4% -1.177 -0.4138 0.304
G 32429 39.37% 34.56 74.36% -0.715 0.1169 1.097
H 32921 38.87% 33.92 73.95% -0.69 0.057 0.774
East 17441 41.04% 43.76 64.4% -0.471 0.3993 -0.278
Northeast 10770 36.32% 44.64 67.04% -0.368 0.3508 -0.103
Northwest 9206 33.11% 45.87 69.3% -0.231 0.5815 -0.262
Southeast 1894 35.0% 39.06 67.37% -0.422 0.2919 -1.225
Southwest 1678 34.37% 37.46 66.39% 0.139 1.4191 -0.03
West 14094 37.44% 44.32 66.18% -0.552 0.3762 0.122

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 115705 0.0% 19.87 70.68% -0.645 0.1461 -0.927
Not Using Events or Tokens 216450 44.02% 21.89 69.23% -0.31 0.087 -0.52
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15171 9.54% 36.96 87.92% 0.645 0.0206 -0.096
Start of Game Growth 22102 11.21% 35.44 86.54% 0.416 -0.1245 0.296
Unlimited Undo 42012 31.69% 31.49 79.4% -0.085 -0.0465 0.74
Using Tokens but Not Events 35157 32.87% 32.55 77.35% 0.216 0.1793 0.16

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26486 26.64% 35.68 78.11% 0.377 0.232 0.549
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 6 0.0% 21.0 33.33% -0.763 -1.5655 -0.385
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7688 47.47% 29.6 68.28% -0.462 -0.2305 -0.358
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 87 30.59% 27.2 59.77% -0.695 -1.5182 -0.636
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5479 29.58% 30.32 77.99% 0.304 0.1715 -0.003
Downpour Drenches the World 729 31.42% 28.72 65.84% 0.239 0.5462 -0.513
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 615 35.09% 30.85 69.27% 0.284 -0.1542 -0.454
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9221 26.99% 35.02 79.81% 0.077 -0.3056 -0.034
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5509 30.0% 34.27 79.27% 0.521 0.073 -0.098
Finder of Paths Unseen 315 38.19% 30.14 67.62% 0.639 1.2988 0.595
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1263 34.3% 43.29 78.54% -0.635 -0.0535 0.555
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1056 35.14% 38.94 72.35% 0.483 0.4883 -0.5
Heart of the Wildfire 8337 47.38% 36.27 71.12% -0.127 0.1512 0.423
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17930 32.54% 39.96 80.59% 0.393 0.0527 0.312
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 74 28.77% 30.59 71.62% 0.433 0.1038 0.79
Lightning's Swift Strike 42265 32.76% 30.54 73.05% -0.186 0.1321 0.587
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 384 30.59% 44.76 68.49% -0.439 -0.9643 -0.084
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1221 38.03% 45.27 79.52% -0.301 -0.6201 1.191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2528 31.2% 51.35 82.24% 0.562 0.3752 1.211
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3029 39.55% 34.38 73.75% 0.167 -0.1335 -0.489
Many Minds Move as One 1490 38.78% 36.71 80.67% -0.077 -0.2446 0.711
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 54812 35.93% 37.14 76.42% 0.404 0.3655 0.645
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5855 32.32% 36.52 77.66% 0.027 -0.1101 0.34
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10839 32.48% 37.06 74.62% 0.267 0.0697 -0.161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13841 44.61% 22.45 63.11% -0.708 -0.1522 -0.172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 21.88% 27.22 75.0% -0.413 -0.2081 -0.324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 75 43.24% 30.0 74.67% 1.063 0.5774 -0.251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 41.38% 26.52 66.13% -0.669 -0.3553 0.705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 394 45.95% 34.16 72.34% -0.337 -0.3507 -0.417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 376 46.7% 33.72 74.73% -0.559 -0.3027 0.56
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7862 35.24% 38.21 78.1% -0.139 -0.2488 0.541
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 148 28.37% 28.45 75.0% 1.489 1.3705 -0.815
Shifting Memory of Ages 979 41.44% 31.99 73.24% -0.433 -0.0572 0.065
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 18 38.89% 22.39 50.0% -0.319 -0.5909 -0.405
Shroud of Silent Mist 958 50.32% 30.47 72.44% 0.487 0.8633 -0.675
Starlight Seeks its Form 1395 33.57% 33.19 77.06% -0.119 -0.2989 0.07
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3800 38.29% 33.86 72.34% -0.025 -0.7719 -0.164
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6570 28.78% 37.11 81.58% -0.379 -0.1437 0.43
Thunderspeaker 22820 33.3% 34.71 75.2% -0.064 -0.0595 -0.121
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 35.37% 25.59 62.65% 0.438 0.573 -0.856
Towering Roots of the Jungle 27 62.96% 30.78 74.07% 0.773 0.7586 -0.962
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1577 61.29% 32.34 67.47% -0.424 -0.3485 -0.168
Vital Strength of the Earth 24096 28.51% 24.92 68.63% -0.308 0.2519 -0.128
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 177 41.92% 25.08 62.15% -0.625 -0.09 0.879
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 346 32.19% 26.72 61.56% -0.743 0.0105 -1.302
Volcano Looming High 1728 49.42% 34.38 70.89% -0.068 0.0753 0.262
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 268 38.02% 30.28 71.27% 0.77 0.4595 -0.856

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 70.8%
Flash Floods 94.92%
River's Bounty 95.19%
Wash Away 88.86%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 121152 15.94 33.3%
II 219622 30.51 82.77%
III 78006 34.78 83.96%
IV 18078 38.4 98.83%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40321
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 63289
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 173788
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17415
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 30131
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7745
Lose: Adversary condition 20030
Win: Sacrifice victory 990
Lose: Scenario condition 2644
Win: Scenario condition 9673
Lose: Blight pool ran out 67298
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3534

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.745 Win Model: -0.056

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.246 Win Model: 0.197
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 258848 50.49% 24.88 67.76%
2 105105 42.21% 30.31 70.33%
3 34620 35.83% 33.41 76.33%
4 35125 27.65% 37.22 77.84%
5 630 29.3% 38.11 79.84%
6 2530 17.0% 36.42 75.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-25 05:20:10 (Pacific Time)