Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 60 23.33% 25.43 68.33% -0.121 -0.3047 -0.489
Blitz 0 3685 39.42% 32.64 71.21% 0.369 0.6592 -0.028
Dahan Insurrection 4 6719 30.09% 55.31 76.69% 0.282 0.1032 0.404
Despicable Theft 2 284 44.01% 34.15 77.11% -0.863 -0.2074 0.275
Elemental Invocation 1 232 56.03% 32.19 64.66% 0.119 0.945 -1.087
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10026 12.2% 45.63 80.5% 1.132 0.6317 0.579
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2231 33.78% 43.29 80.19% 0.41 0.8197 -0.75
Rituals of Terror 3 1685 49.4% 55.87 73.23% 1.327 1.2111 0.867
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 440 77.22% 35.45 52.05% -0.04 0.7355 -0.438
Second Wave 0 6735 48.74% 28.72 71.08% 0.336 0.4526 -0.735
The Great River 3 317 57.28% 31.24 54.26% -1.72 -0.2818 -1.715
Varied Terrains 2 27 59.26% 24.41 48.15% -0.54 -0.0475 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 1403 48.26% 36.03 64.72% -0.675 0.2388 -0.388

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 204856 51.12% 26.39 73.23% 0.625 0.8629 -0.352
1 Thematic 7778 56.6% 35.97 58.01% -0.196 0.3963 -0.297
2 Archipelago 74 44.59% 51.55 72.97% -1.076 -0.2517 0.125
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 56730 43.26% 31.81 75.07% 0.523 0.7096 0.281
2 Coastline 9422 41.14% 31.65 76.69% 0.479 0.6204 -0.075
2 Fragment 1504 49.57% 26.38 70.01% 0.348 0.2757 0.23
2 Heart 760 50.98% 26.31 70.53% 0.567 0.3878 -0.102
2 Opposite Shores 12833 43.34% 34.39 75.95% 0.366 0.4946 -0.03
2 Thematic 4706 45.57% 45.13 64.39% -0.337 0.2398 0.015
2 Top to Top 2751 43.19% 34.15 76.92% 0.373 0.5843 0.238
3 Archipelago 51 37.25% 38.57 90.2% 0.0 -0.5314 -0.153
3 Coastline 344 22.99% 45.74 88.95% 0.372 -0.0699 1.123
3 Other 1247 38.75% 32.45 79.39% 0.979 0.3509 0.234
3 Round (Default) 27090 36.27% 35.02 80.18% 0.782 0.7433 -0.2
3 Sunrise 121 39.66% 32.74 81.82% -0.256 -0.7335 0.086
3 Thematic 1053 45.52% 40.63 62.39% 0.007 -0.2852 -0.202
4 Archipelago 47 30.43% 43.13 91.49% -0.531 -0.4608 -0.315
4 Coastline 231 20.26% 50.41 82.25% 0.124 0.117 0.894
4 Leaf 115 36.04% 35.64 83.48% 0.156 0.0692 -0.1
4 Other 843 33.42% 36.06 81.97% 0.469 -0.2138 -0.168
4 Reverse Snake 9 11.11% 40.11 100.0% 0.0 -0.2088 0.349
4 Snake 4 25.0% 34.75 100.0% 0.0 0.4394 0.0
4 Thematic 5426 28.12% 51.62 77.41% -1.166 -1.305 -0.196
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23523 28.53% 37.08 83.28% 1.004 0.7912 -0.021
5 Archipelago 13 15.38% 42.77 92.31% 0.539 -0.6541 0.022
5 Coastline 103 7.0% 60.26 92.23% -0.577 -0.7238 -0.3
5 Other 387 32.11% 43.18 88.89% 0.342 -0.1868 0.341
5 Thematic 44 27.27% 55.61 84.09% -0.046 -0.386 0.942
6 Archipelago 44 13.89% 47.32 86.36% 0.137 0.2477 -0.378
6 Coastline 45 9.09% 44.62 95.56% 0.155 -0.4416 -0.163
6 Other 291 19.03% 40.42 80.76% -0.113 -0.5365 -0.932
6 Star 80 21.52% 38.94 76.25% -0.985 -0.3957 -1.464
6 Thematic 409 21.73% 40.3 75.55% -1.19 -0.9569 -0.465
6 Two Centers (Default) 609 17.35% 32.65 88.83% -0.569 -0.0951 -0.7
7 Archipelago 9 33.33% 36.44 88.89% 0.1 -0.9571 -0.692
7 Other 9 42.86% 41.33 55.56% -0.596 -1.3207 -0.736

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7935 32.51 53.5% -0.873 -0.2081 -0.491
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7012 34.48 56.63% -0.498 -0.0338 -0.268
All Things Weaken 2842 34.87 54.93% -0.394 0.4183 -0.424
Attenuated Essence 10 36.3 50.0% -0.288 0.3572 -0.193
Back Against the Wall 6817 32.57 50.87% -0.841 -0.2937 -0.792
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 24 24.79 33.33% -1.054 -0.1344 -1.498
Burn Brightest Before the End 17 33.35 58.82% -0.212 0.5809 0.095
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7363 29.36 47.87% -0.874 -0.0174 -0.667
Downward Spiral 29283 25.12 54.32% -0.895 -0.2159 -0.662
Erosion of Will 7579 30.89 48.7% -1.456 -0.6489 -0.636
Intensifying Exploitation 20 29.15 35.0% -1.499 -0.555 -0.414
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1247 41.97 79.95% 0.603 0.3496 0.097
Memory Fades to Dust 29718 24.59 50.29% -0.93 -0.1028 -0.766
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2616 32.42 51.3% -0.699 -0.0602 -0.706
Promising Farmlands 7535 29.36 46.76% -0.791 0.1046 -0.916
Shattered Fragments of Power 17 25.82 29.41% -1.529 -0.8806 -1.289
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 21.71 35.29% -1.156 -0.1738 -0.785
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 777 42.16 85.33% 1.117 0.6251 0.381
The Border of Life and Death 8 28.25 62.5% -0.017 0.1892 0.212
Thriving Communities 2686 31.8 49.26% -0.987 -0.1052 -0.676
Thriving Crops 6 24.17 33.33% -0.742 -0.19 -0.486
Tipping Point 3621 29.24 46.73% 0.0 -0.0878 -0.697
Unnatural Proliferation 2944 34.29 51.77% -0.743 -0.0763 -0.648
Untended Land Crumbles 2750 33.01 51.6% -0.651 0.0811 -0.601

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 123068 40.39% 31.58 74.91% -0.743 0.1621 0.544
B 96669 40.44% 31.06 75.02% -0.78 0.0188 0.482
C 155291 41.29% 29.47 81.45% -0.188 0.4613 0.353
D 94953 40.75% 30.53 73.86% -1.074 -0.2241 0.355
E 17325 43.77% 36.15 75.94% -0.799 -0.1017 0.528
F 26880 41.81% 34.62 75.86% -0.761 0.0091 0.393
G 27089 40.62% 36.69 77.93% -0.83 -0.0572 1.207
H 27398 40.22% 35.87 77.21% -0.447 0.2742 0.861
East 15549 42.04% 45.35 66.78% -0.189 0.5927 -0.3
Northeast 9531 37.47% 46.78 69.89% -0.491 0.4637 -0.013
Northwest 8177 34.31% 47.89 72.02% -0.257 0.3529 -0.346
Southeast 1516 37.86% 41.13 70.58% -0.245 0.4251 -1.168
Southwest 1310 36.73% 39.52 70.23% 0.122 1.4051 0.292
West 12517 38.42% 45.92 68.84% -0.298 0.8061 0.294

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 90240 0.0% 22.01 78.15% -0.859 0.3424 -1.045
Not Using Events or Tokens 169042 45.52% 24.24 76.59% -0.021 0.2233 -0.267
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13282 9.28% 38.7 91.41% 0.572 -0.0053 0.112
Start of Game Growth 19480 11.21% 37.08 89.85% 0.099 -0.3601 0.072
Unlimited Undo 36877 31.85% 33.1 83.14% 0.37 0.1918 0.919
Using Tokens but Not Events 30364 33.19% 33.58 80.07% 0.144 0.1045 0.24

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 22754 100.0% 37.37 100.0% 0.143 0.0317 0.278
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6707 100.0% 31.65 100.0% -0.649 -0.5952 -0.651
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4420 100.0% 32.55 100.0% -0.306 -0.4571 -0.259
Downpour Drenches the World 330 100.0% 33.02 100.0% -0.088 0.1571 -0.533
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 116 100.0% 30.09 100.0% 0.007 -0.3983 -0.419
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7789 100.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.564 0.0445 0.092
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4573 100.0% 34.4 100.0% -0.309 -0.7516 -0.41
Finder of Paths Unseen 146 100.0% 34.58 100.0% -0.724 -0.1004 1.068
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1036 100.0% 46.41 100.0% 0.155 0.7264 0.462
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 751 100.0% 44.05 100.0% 0.019 -0.1271 -0.426
Heart of the Wildfire 7495 100.0% 37.84 100.0% -0.069 0.1344 0.46
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16033 100.0% 41.09 100.0% 0.503 -0.0406 0.179
Lightning's Swift Strike 34979 105.64% 33.44 101.24% -0.22 0.0493 0.441
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 96 42.55% 38.64 78.13% 0.427 -0.3398 0.071
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 993 40.49% 49.2 84.59% 0.226 -0.1435 1.08
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2020 33.62% 54.51 87.08% 0.312 0.0629 1.078
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2311 100.0% 37.68 100.0% -0.282 -0.4671 -0.415
Many Minds Move as One 1211 100.0% 38.61 100.0% 0.86 0.5085 0.545
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 47270 100.0% 38.93 100.0% 0.268 0.1948 0.457
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5053 100.0% 37.52 100.0% -0.117 -0.2307 0.083
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9568 100.0% 38.96 100.0% 0.413 0.242 -0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10936 103.33% 25.86 101.38% -0.848 -0.4381 -0.307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 13.33% 32.57 93.33% 0.23 0.2437 0.165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 50.0% 34.86 80.95% 0.749 0.7689 0.691
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 320 45.4% 36.42 75.0% -0.327 -0.4009 -0.641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 307 47.49% 37.66 78.83% -0.269 -0.1437 0.312
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7346 100.18% 39.22 100.11% 0.576 0.3936 0.341
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 24 45.83% 21.96 66.67% -0.449 -0.5304 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 674 100.0% 35.06 100.0% -0.168 0.0992 -0.192
Shroud of Silent Mist 706 100.0% 33.38 100.0% -1.037 -0.724 -0.539
Starlight Seeks its Form 829 100.0% 37.31 100.0% 0.208 0.0281 0.054
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3019 100.0% 36.8 100.0% 0.021 -0.5025 -0.376
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5838 100.0% 38.49 100.0% 0.614 0.6936 0.186
Thunderspeaker 19709 100.03% 36.84 100.03% 0.424 0.3622 -0.284
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 14 57.14% 22.14 57.14% -0.109 -0.0105 -0.255
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1372 100.0% 33.48 100.0% -0.142 -0.1537 -0.531
Vital Strength of the Earth 19388 101.07% 27.63 100.47% -0.493 0.0998 -0.593
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 60 26.32% 32.12 85.0% 0.102 0.4017 0.649
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 263 33.6% 29.72 68.82% -0.494 0.4744 -1.529
Volcano Looming High 1288 100.0% 37.3 100.0% 0.499 0.5015 -0.017

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 69.71%
Flash Floods 94.62%
River's Bounty 94.98%
Wash Away 88.36%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 85598 21.84 42.39%
II 192915 31.08 83.44%
III 69096 34.71 84.24%
IV 16065 37.98 98.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 36270
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 56134
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 153576
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15504
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2129
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6773
Lose: Adversary condition 18285
Win: Sacrifice victory 859
Lose: Scenario condition 2440
Win: Scenario condition 8987
Lose: Blight pool ran out 59565
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3152

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.91 Win Model: -0.04

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.28 Win Model: 0.232
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 213097 51.46% 26.84 72.65%
2 88708 43.28% 32.64 74.82%
3 29808 36.49% 35.21 79.66%
4 30261 28.44% 39.78 82.25%
5 312 21.63% 46.16 88.46%
6 1488 19.0% 37.6 83.0%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-16 03:06:06 (Pacific Time)