Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 54 20.37% 26.37 70.37% -0.142 -0.2838 0.0
Blitz 0 3663 39.58% 32.64 71.28% 0.457 0.7956 -0.05
Dahan Insurrection 4 6678 30.07% 55.45 76.89% 0.277 0.0374 0.418
Despicable Theft 2 276 44.93% 34.95 78.99% -0.472 0.1274 0.266
Elemental Invocation 1 231 55.84% 32.21 64.5% -0.205 0.6267 -1.088
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9979 12.17% 45.65 80.56% 1.163 0.7972 0.579
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2221 33.88% 43.38 80.37% 0.585 1.0516 -0.7
Rituals of Terror 3 1680 49.37% 55.86 73.21% 0.739 0.4651 0.863
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 437 77.52% 35.68 52.4% 0.704 1.399 -0.44
Second Wave 0 6707 48.8% 28.75 71.1% 0.08 0.2669 -0.734
The Great River 3 313 57.69% 31.64 54.95% -1.505 0.067 -1.736
Varied Terrains 2 25 60.0% 24.52 48.0% -0.569 0.0371 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 1399 48.32% 36.08 64.76% -0.626 0.2345 -0.394

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 203467 51.16% 26.46 73.41% 0.421 0.6852 -0.402
1 Thematic 7761 56.62% 35.99 58.05% -0.208 0.4343 -0.275
2 Archipelago 68 45.59% 55.56 77.94% -0.602 0.3596 0.083
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 56356 43.27% 31.91 75.29% 0.395 0.6036 0.23
2 Coastline 9353 41.24% 31.74 76.85% 0.284 0.4332 -0.129
2 Fragment 1494 49.57% 26.5 70.28% 0.498 0.4541 0.173
2 Heart 753 51.22% 26.43 70.65% 0.237 0.1548 -0.127
2 Opposite Shores 12770 43.34% 34.46 76.1% 0.149 0.3118 -0.082
2 Thematic 4698 45.61% 45.15 64.43% 0.089 0.7417 0.03
2 Top to Top 2738 43.18% 34.19 76.99% 0.063 0.2328 0.186
3 Archipelago 51 37.25% 38.57 90.2% -0.156 -0.3895 -0.168
3 Coastline 343 23.05% 45.87 89.21% 0.449 0.1393 1.07
3 Other 1242 38.74% 32.51 79.39% 0.826 0.2 0.174
3 Round (Default) 26954 36.29% 35.1 80.31% 0.782 0.7374 -0.26
3 Sunrise 120 40.0% 33.02 82.5% 0.102 -0.0866 0.058
3 Thematic 1049 45.69% 40.74 62.44% 0.068 0.1378 -0.18
4 Archipelago 46 31.11% 44.07 93.48% 0.0 0.3569 0.007
4 Coastline 231 20.26% 50.41 82.25% -0.039 -0.4848 0.825
4 Leaf 114 35.45% 35.69 83.33% -0.074 -0.457 -0.126
4 Other 839 33.21% 36.14 82.24% 0.626 -0.0951 -0.25
4 Reverse Snake 9 11.11% 40.11 100.0% 0.0 -0.144 0.303
4 Snake 4 25.0% 34.75 100.0% 0.0 0.5153 0.0
4 Thematic 5408 28.16% 51.7 77.55% -0.781 -0.7926 -0.168
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23422 28.59% 37.13 83.35% 0.836 0.6913 -0.094
5 Archipelago 13 15.38% 42.77 92.31% 0.42 -0.3218 0.017
5 Coastline 98 7.37% 62.57 95.92% -0.211 -0.5499 0.211
5 Other 385 32.29% 43.4 89.35% -0.193 -0.7836 0.268
5 Thematic 42 28.57% 55.52 83.33% -0.095 -0.3999 0.889
6 Archipelago 43 14.29% 47.84 86.05% -0.535 -0.3702 -0.417
6 Coastline 45 9.09% 44.62 95.56% -0.152 -0.9022 -0.231
6 Other 283 19.62% 40.68 81.63% -0.197 -0.5746 -0.974
6 Star 79 21.79% 39.43 77.22% -0.487 0.1538 -1.476
6 Thematic 393 22.62% 40.97 76.84% -0.564 -0.4839 -0.41
6 Two Centers (Default) 595 17.78% 32.81 89.08% -0.877 -0.4476 -0.778
7 Archipelago 9 33.33% 36.44 88.89% 0.042 -0.965 -0.711
7 Other 9 42.86% 41.33 55.56% 0.028 -0.2718 -0.341

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7906 32.55 53.55% -1.162 -0.1905 -0.501
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6989 34.52 56.67% -0.751 0.034 -0.273
All Things Weaken 2824 34.88 54.82% -0.954 0.1342 -0.426
Attenuated Essence 4 30.75 50.0% -0.591 0.2965 -0.199
Back Against the Wall 6792 32.6 50.84% -1.302 -0.4729 -0.803
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 21.58 16.67% -1.781 -0.5301 -0.738
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 38.4 80.0% 0.09 1.0314 0.388
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7337 29.41 47.94% -1.209 -0.0901 -0.673
Downward Spiral 29128 25.17 54.39% -1.202 -0.2391 -0.665
Erosion of Will 7557 30.92 48.79% -1.707 -0.5906 -0.632
Intensifying Exploitation 12 29.83 25.0% -1.985 -0.9108 -0.037
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1237 42.14 80.11% 0.93 0.8145 0.097
Memory Fades to Dust 29564 24.63 50.38% -1.252 -0.1395 -0.773
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2601 32.49 51.29% -1.058 -0.1021 -0.702
Promising Farmlands 7511 29.4 46.81% -0.924 0.2115 -0.924
Shattered Fragments of Power 10 22.2 30.0% -1.633 -0.7104 0.0
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 16.75 37.5% -1.258 0.0114 -0.563
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 776 42.14 85.31% 0.792 0.5033 0.372
The Border of Life and Death 3 18.0 33.33% -0.675 -0.2628 0.0
Thriving Communities 2672 31.83 49.25% -1.314 -0.1668 -0.683
Thriving Crops 2 27.0 50.0% -0.163 0.713 0.0
Tipping Point 3621 29.24 46.73% 0.0 -0.0581 -0.706
Unnatural Proliferation 2930 34.33 51.81% -1.102 -0.1367 -0.652
Untended Land Crumbles 2739 33.09 51.7% -0.972 0.0605 -0.609

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 122331 40.42% 31.67 75.08% -0.458 0.4117 0.523
B 96143 40.48% 31.14 75.17% -0.55 0.217 0.459
C 154282 41.32% 29.55 81.65% 0.176 0.7716 0.331
D 94429 40.78% 30.61 74.01% -0.876 -0.0557 0.332
E 17135 43.87% 36.29 76.15% -0.612 0.0409 0.5
F 26682 41.87% 34.71 76.02% -0.591 0.1398 0.381
G 26934 40.68% 36.78 78.06% -0.573 0.1429 1.187
H 27221 40.25% 35.95 77.37% -0.197 0.4994 0.844
East 15487 42.13% 45.42 66.88% -0.388 0.2726 -0.408
Northeast 9479 37.57% 46.88 70.05% -0.671 0.1935 -0.107
Northwest 8141 34.43% 47.99 72.17% -0.38 0.2053 -0.44
Southeast 1495 38.26% 41.33 70.84% -0.054 0.6371 -1.286
Southwest 1287 37.24% 39.77 70.63% 0.265 1.5072 0.283
West 12470 38.52% 45.98 68.93% -0.429 0.5866 0.2

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 89510 0.0% 22.08 78.4% -1.2 0.2882 -1.066
Not Using Events or Tokens 167765 45.56% 24.32 76.82% -0.068 0.1235 -0.267
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13238 9.28% 38.77 91.55% 0.856 0.1402 0.096
Start of Game Growth 19403 11.22% 37.16 90.02% 0.07 -0.4019 0.058
Unlimited Undo 36699 31.84% 33.16 83.33% 0.544 0.2926 0.926
Using Tokens but Not Events 30152 33.21% 33.64 80.22% 0.082 0.083 0.25

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 22639 100.0% 37.46 100.0% 0.33 0.1766 0.265
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6671 100.0% 31.73 100.0% -0.738 -0.6868 -0.672
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4374 100.0% 32.7 100.0% -0.37 -0.5762 -0.283
Downpour Drenches the World 317 100.0% 33.35 100.0% -0.301 0.0442 -0.59
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 78 100.0% 31.17 100.0% -0.314 -0.5266 -0.369
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7740 100.0% 37.6 100.0% 0.765 0.2506 0.074
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4536 100.0% 34.46 100.0% -0.26 -0.6817 -0.413
Finder of Paths Unseen 138 100.0% 35.17 100.0% -0.517 0.0034 1.257
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1029 100.0% 46.59 100.0% -0.31 0.0148 0.459
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 745 100.0% 44.26 100.0% 0.083 -0.0342 -0.461
Heart of the Wildfire 7478 100.0% 37.88 100.0% -0.083 0.1182 0.453
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15973 100.0% 41.14 100.0% 0.536 -0.0671 0.159
Lightning's Swift Strike 34750 105.61% 33.53 101.2% -0.177 0.1032 0.43
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 80 41.03% 38.94 82.5% 0.514 -0.2341 0.271
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 989 40.65% 49.3 84.73% 0.27 -0.1887 1.061
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2004 33.73% 54.82 87.48% 0.481 0.1948 1.073
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2295 100.0% 37.82 100.0% -0.133 -0.2937 -0.418
Many Minds Move as One 1205 100.0% 38.7 100.0% 0.979 0.5512 0.51
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 47042 100.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.167 0.0516 0.442
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5022 100.0% 37.62 100.0% -0.04 -0.104 0.066
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9540 100.0% 39.01 100.0% 0.501 0.353 -0.173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10846 103.33% 25.97 101.37% -0.979 -0.5744 -0.33
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 27 11.11% 32.89 96.3% 0.563 0.6137 0.161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 21 50.0% 34.86 80.95% 0.81 0.8343 0.688
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 318 45.37% 36.47 75.16% -0.575 -0.6307 -0.677
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 307 47.49% 37.66 78.83% -0.234 -0.1253 0.292
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7320 100.12% 39.28 100.08% 0.481 0.2894 0.319
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 19 52.63% 22.16 68.42% -0.372 -0.3354 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 661 100.0% 35.44 100.0% -0.163 0.1125 -0.169
Shroud of Silent Mist 701 100.0% 33.47 100.0% -1.324 -1.0706 -0.567
Starlight Seeks its Form 824 100.0% 37.42 100.0% 0.226 0.0443 0.01
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3006 100.0% 36.84 100.0% -0.333 -0.778 -0.403
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5820 100.0% 38.54 100.0% 0.682 0.7723 0.172
Thunderspeaker 19606 100.02% 36.91 100.02% 0.495 0.4427 -0.305
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 8 62.5% 26.75 62.5% 0.13 0.3795 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1370 100.0% 33.53 100.0% -0.029 -0.1525 -0.545
Vital Strength of the Earth 19249 101.03% 27.73 100.45% -0.62 0.0194 -0.622
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 56 26.42% 31.95 87.5% 0.173 0.5502 0.628
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 257 34.43% 30.14 69.26% -0.572 0.455 -1.553
Volcano Looming High 1283 100.0% 37.41 100.0% 0.442 0.4379 -0.052

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 69.66%
Flash Floods 94.61%
River's Bounty 94.98%
Wash Away 88.34%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 84494 22.19 42.79%
II 192045 31.1 83.46%
III 68831 34.71 84.25%
IV 16017 37.97 98.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 36140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 55923
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 152901
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15457
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1251
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6752
Lose: Adversary condition 18243
Win: Sacrifice victory 855
Lose: Scenario condition 2430
Win: Scenario condition 8967
Lose: Blight pool ran out 59329
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3139

Difficulty

Score Model: 3.09 Win Model: -0.049

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.294 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 211679 51.5% 26.91 72.82%
2 88158 43.3% 32.73 75.01%
3 29662 36.52% 35.3 79.79%
4 30137 28.49% 39.84 82.34%
5 304 21.9% 46.93 89.8%
6 1447 19.57% 37.9 83.69%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-12 02:39:41 (Pacific Time)