Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 146 23.45% 25.6 75.34% 0.0 -0.2218 0.0
Blitz 0 5237 36.62% 29.33 63.91% -0.544 -0.3254 0.598
Dahan Insurrection 4 9325 28.01% 50.92 72.39% 1.086 1.2623 0.662
Despicable Theft 2 462 41.36% 30.15 67.97% 0.062 0.5374 -0.373
Elemental Invocation 1 385 49.61% 27.91 57.92% 0.06 0.6407 -0.099
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13394 12.31% 44.53 76.36% 1.006 0.5056 1.309
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3045 30.51% 41.94 76.91% 0.471 1.3567 0.414
Rituals of Terror 3 2646 45.96% 49.38 62.21% -0.249 0.3071 0.361
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 572 69.7% 31.06 46.68% -0.697 0.1332 -0.092
Second Wave 0 8696 47.08% 27.81 69.08% 0.294 0.2358 0.4
The Great River 3 499 50.4% 25.76 45.49% -1.116 0.0767 -0.932
Varied Terrains 2 155 52.6% 19.57 39.35% -0.579 -0.0141 -0.016
Ward the Shores 2 1756 45.01% 32.53 59.62% -0.583 0.3398 -0.041

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 311208 49.21% 22.62 63.61% 0.317 0.7092 0.757
1 Thematic 9842 53.29% 33.33 54.7% 0.353 1.0901 -1.307
2 Archipelago 137 41.04% 39.47 60.58% 0.01 -0.1256 0.733
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 82950 41.06% 27.13 65.38% 0.389 0.6516 0.661
2 Coastline 13650 38.21% 27.61 68.26% 0.354 0.4505 0.323
2 Fragment 2266 47.72% 23.07 63.55% -0.114 0.3765 0.316
2 Heart 1210 47.8% 22.4 60.91% -0.259 -0.5277 0.167
2 Opposite Shores 18348 41.72% 30.44 68.63% 0.27 0.4818 0.332
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 6051 43.62% 42.84 58.75% -0.326 0.2316 1.031
2 Top to Top 3984 41.72% 29.58 68.42% 0.87 0.7464 0.061
3 Archipelago 87 34.48% 34.99 73.56% -0.345 0.0797 -0.052
3 Coastline 473 23.63% 40.3 79.7% 0.379 -0.4951 1.015
3 Other 1716 38.48% 27.75 70.75% 0.735 0.5236 -0.249
3 Round (Default) 38288 35.12% 31.19 72.9% 0.317 0.5298 -0.072
3 Sunrise 159 38.31% 30.97 77.99% 0.0 -0.3763 0.0
3 Thematic 1409 41.74% 35.35 53.94% 0.044 -0.1397 -1.35
4 Archipelago 102 31.52% 28.54 61.76% 0.235 -0.3969 0.663
4 Coastline 283 20.29% 44.68 74.2% 0.0 -0.1593 0.283
4 Leaf 211 39.49% 26.85 65.4% 0.0 -0.2735 0.0
4 Other 1153 33.5% 29.36 68.0% 0.176 -0.2235 0.086
4 Reverse Snake 12 8.33% 37.42 91.67% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 10 50.0% 25.0 70.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6953 26.08% 47.4 71.08% -0.246 -0.0563 -0.608
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33932 26.6% 32.05 73.73% 0.361 0.6249 -0.71
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 37.31 73.08% 0.0 0.4122 0.134
5 Coastline 162 7.55% 52.75 79.63% 0.0 -0.8368 0.085
5 Other 980 34.31% 33.46 74.8% -0.361 -0.6209 0.724
5 Thematic 69 22.06% 52.52 79.71% 0.0 -0.2068 0.0
6 Archipelago 518 2.16% 69.53 83.01% 0.102 -0.6281 -0.297
6 Coastline 153 4.62% 47.76 79.74% -0.392 -0.5107 0.386
6 Other 738 17.58% 33.98 64.36% 0.185 0.1855 -0.997
6 Star 230 17.47% 33.53 66.09% 0.054 0.2946 -0.897
6 Thematic 893 19.5% 37.23 64.95% -0.406 -0.144 0.216
6 Two Centers (Default) 1450 18.68% 25.15 67.66% -0.288 0.7917 -1.103
7 Archipelago 14 21.43% 23.43 57.14% -0.286 0.7756 0.0
7 Other 23 14.29% 20.52 34.78% 0.0 0.0392 -0.393

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9423 31.48 51.96% 0.546 0.6189 0.612
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8316 33.7 56.29% 0.412 0.3656 0.633
All Things Weaken 3982 32.36 52.21% 0.225 0.5934 0.623
Attenuated Essence 552 26.44 47.28% 1.005 1.0332 0.222
Back Against the Wall 8128 31.84 50.57% -0.035 -0.1161 1.21
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 607 26.36 43.49% 0.254 0.4563 0.755
Burn Brightest Before the End 465 28.63 44.73% 0.112 0.2129 0.755
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8872 27.9 46.0% -0.513 -0.1514 0.209
Downward Spiral 42133 22.55 49.73% -0.14 0.0626 0.799
Erosion of Will 9072 29.75 47.17% -0.16 0.1661 0.653
Intensifying Exploitation 625 24.4 39.2% -0.844 -0.5262 0.013
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1698 39.18 77.21% 1.037 0.5181 0.852
Memory Fades to Dust 42476 22.14 46.27% -0.048 0.2285 0.53
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3702 29.98 49.0% -0.177 0.0208 0.24
Promising Farmlands 9003 28.18 45.46% -0.208 0.1637 0.37
Shattered Fragments of Power 481 29.09 48.65% -0.0 0.1915 0.598
Slow Dissolution of Will 556 23.9 36.33% -0.952 -0.5761 0.107
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1097 39.76 81.77% 1.204 0.6207 2.547
The Border of Life and Death 172 30.78 65.12% 0.235 -0.4254 0.943
Thriving Communities 3810 29.3 47.35% 0.131 0.3523 -0.165
Thriving Crops 252 26.78 50.79% -0.908 -1.0147 -0.738
Tipping Point 3625 29.21 46.68% 0.0 0.5727 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 4052 32.42 49.95% 0.145 0.2415 0.819
Untended Land Crumbles 3799 30.66 48.83% 0.137 0.3359 0.127

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 180103 38.44% 27.34 65.6% -0.222 0.6858 0.211
B 141893 38.13% 26.71 65.28% -0.386 0.4437 0.165
C 235780 39.02% 25.24 70.8% 0.078 0.8304 -0.06
D 139458 38.89% 26.28 64.09% -0.421 0.4503 -0.312
E 29074 40.01% 31.14 68.56% 0.118 0.8204 0.069
F 40448 39.6% 30.49 68.97% -0.22 0.5911 0.248
G 39940 38.41% 32.9 71.3% 0.152 0.9733 1.036
H 40435 38.19% 32.4 70.98% 0.188 0.9457 0.598
East 20353 39.48% 41.96 61.53% 0.107 1.0273 -0.544
Northeast 12782 34.49% 42.4 63.68% -0.312 0.4115 -0.665
Northwest 11104 30.75% 43.04 65.29% 0.531 1.5143 -0.308
Southeast 2363 32.17% 38.02 64.33% 0.225 1.0776 -0.771
Southwest 2117 31.51% 36.6 63.49% 0.047 1.3237 -0.199
West 16769 35.48% 42.05 62.62% 0.148 0.8392 0.469

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 151474 0.0% 18.03 64.22% -0.371 0.537 -0.495
Not Using Events or Tokens 283746 42.78% 19.92 62.96% -0.096 0.2925 0.17
Skip Initial Invader Actions 17902 9.49% 35.6 84.45% 0.573 -0.1502 -0.502
Start of Game Growth 25745 11.01% 34.24 83.45% 0.64 0.1524 1.737
Unlimited Undo 49678 31.03% 29.58 75.05% 0.286 0.3668 -0.437
Using Events but Not Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Using Tokens but Not Events 42711 32.33% 31.2 73.83% 0.497 0.4527 0.283

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 31853 25.86% 33.94 74.67% 0.344 0.2125 0.262
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 356 31.12% 34.31 57.3% 0.26 -0.0698 0.26
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 19 26.32% 28.0 57.89% 0.814 0.5854 0.339
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 116 32.76% 29.17 74.14% 0.94 0.299 0.689
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9225 45.57% 27.07 63.58% -0.616 -0.3889 -1.528
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 283 30.71% 24.37 44.88% -0.551 -1.21 0.141
Dances Up Earthquakes 245 36.48% 25.65 64.9% 0.432 0.6344 1.082
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6772 27.26% 28.41 74.96% 0.914 0.7264 0.149
Downpour Drenches the World 1240 30.06% 25.5 59.76% 0.298 0.6471 -0.328
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1203 35.07% 30.02 66.0% -0.226 -0.7092 0.267
Eyes Watch From the Trees 11265 26.43% 32.66 75.38% -0.449 -0.7188 -0.096
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6876 28.65% 35.18 77.15% 0.714 0.3499 0.249
Finder of Paths Unseen 553 34.8% 28.41 64.74% -1.245 -0.3192 -0.444
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1547 32.13% 39.19 74.14% 0.013 0.4804 0.288
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1373 35.56% 35.39 69.26% 0.009 -0.0173 -0.375
Heart of the Wildfire 9401 46.38% 34.48 68.68% 0.162 0.5257 -0.23
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 19965 31.53% 39.27 79.01% -0.053 -0.4405 0.477
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 293 24.22% 24.56 57.34% -0.969 -1.3141 0.767
Lightning's Swift Strike 52890 31.63% 27.86 67.41% 0.132 0.288 0.237
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 865 19.6% 53.59 72.02% 0.214 -0.3919 0.804
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1663 35.23% 44.63 77.75% 1.104 0.7938 1.188
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3558 27.57% 45.84 75.46% 0.489 0.2318 1.302
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4053 39.53% 31.9 68.57% -0.45 -0.5851 -0.435
Many Minds Move as One 1889 39.28% 34.62 76.55% -0.621 -0.6374 1.454
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 65539 34.94% 34.94 72.16% 0.047 -0.0011 0.306
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 881 41.01% 29.76 57.21% -0.514 -0.3546 0.264
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7161 31.27% 36.24 75.05% 0.016 -0.2023 -0.049
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 12552 31.02% 36.05 72.04% 0.51 0.2568 -0.004
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 96 22.92% 25.26 55.21% 0.55 0.3508 0.224
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 18343 41.75% 19.68 55.63% -0.967 -0.3794 -0.902
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 29.51% 23.46 60.29% 0.031 0.0655 -0.289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 207 39.02% 27.46 60.39% 0.459 0.0754 -0.33
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 108 35.71% 22.51 54.63% 0.137 0.1619 0.733
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 520 43.8% 31.63 69.23% 0.373 0.2736 -1.285
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 453 44.24% 30.87 69.76% 0.15 0.4164 0.733
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8602 35.01% 37.04 76.33% -0.275 -0.4363 -0.171
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 13 53.85% 32.38 69.23% 0.541 0.0465 0.572
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 383 33.24% 28.05 63.71% -0.01 0.0094 -1.548
Shifting Memory of Ages 1296 39.83% 29.19 68.52% 0.562 0.9084 0.325
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 255 28.28% 31.89 68.63% -0.421 -0.3922 -0.232
Shroud of Silent Mist 1218 49.58% 28.29 68.31% -0.707 -0.138 -0.567
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 17 41.18% 27.12 70.59% 0.052 -0.2581 -0.33
Starlight Seeks its Form 2320 28.29% 28.97 70.09% 0.325 0.2308 -0.607
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4459 37.64% 32.81 70.62% -0.389 -0.9497 -0.285
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7593 28.47% 35.47 78.16% -0.273 -0.0784 -0.379
Thunderspeaker 27212 32.2% 32.78 71.39% 0.04 0.0519 -0.182
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 192 28.04% 28.44 66.15% -0.508 -0.4605 -0.659
Towering Roots of the Jungle 358 38.31% 29.13 64.25% 0.593 0.7696 0.745
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1822 59.52% 31.37 65.53% -0.077 -0.0581 0.328
Vital Strength of the Earth 31501 27.13% 22.54 61.85% -0.574 -0.0623 -0.139
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 350 34.45% 23.49 52.0% -0.689 -0.3399 -1.781
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 462 32.85% 24.18 56.71% 0.064 0.8629 -0.009
Volcano Looming High 2209 49.7% 32.24 67.36% -0.735 -0.7651 -0.212
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 573 34.57% 29.05 70.16% 0.221 -0.0296 -0.353

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 71.93%
Flash Floods 95.2%
River's Bounty 95.42%
Wash Away 89.36%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 171504 12.37 26.97%
II 257242 29.93 81.94%
III 90951 34.92 83.6%
IV 20732 38.86 98.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 46227
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 73510
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 202016
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19962
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 70198
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8953
Lose: Adversary condition 22379
Win: Sacrifice victory 1128
Lose: Scenario condition 2967
Win: Scenario condition 10720
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 78338
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4031

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.784 Win Model: -0.047

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.138 Win Model: 0.176
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 322467 49.43% 23.03 63.23%
2 128281 41.1% 28.15 65.95%
3 41987 35.31% 31.28 72.29%
4 42698 26.62% 34.54 73.14%
5 995 30.24% 34.0 71.56%
6 4001 15.76% 36.68 68.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)