Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 118 20.51% 24.56 73.73% -0.13 0.0576 -0.96
Blitz 0 4867 36.66% 30.23 65.58% -0.146 0.105 0.643
Dahan Insurrection 4 8628 28.5% 51.9 73.02% 0.661 0.3957 0.644
Despicable Theft 2 415 41.16% 30.38 67.95% -1.537 -0.7685 0.105
Elemental Invocation 1 360 50.56% 28.41 58.06% -0.774 -0.0996 -1.133
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12419 12.03% 44.58 77.61% 0.81 0.1822 1.008
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2841 31.09% 42.5 78.11% 0.589 1.5433 -0.703
Rituals of Terror 3 2440 46.47% 50.54 63.52% 0.673 0.7929 0.8
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 541 71.11% 31.7 47.13% -1.338 -0.4599 -0.571
Second Wave 0 8178 47.33% 27.93 69.42% 0.103 0.2862 -0.551
The Great River 3 442 52.38% 27.35 48.42% -1.205 -0.0961 -1.488
Varied Terrains 2 132 53.44% 19.66 39.39% -0.195 0.5133 -0.58
Ward the Shores 2 1669 45.69% 33.19 60.52% -0.391 0.8224 -0.748

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 283221 49.56% 23.33 65.4% 0.956 1.2248 0.393
1 Thematic 9302 53.96% 33.94 55.5% -0.493 0.0609 0.539
2 Archipelago 131 41.41% 39.85 60.31% -0.419 0.2569 0.77
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 75971 41.27% 27.98 67.15% 0.713 0.7997 0.819
2 Coastline 12623 38.47% 28.19 69.79% 1.04 0.8769 0.27
2 Fragment 2035 48.83% 23.7 64.91% 1.072 0.8587 0.739
2 Heart 1081 47.49% 23.05 62.63% 1.034 0.6148 0.599
2 Opposite Shores 16823 42.28% 31.33 70.19% 1.027 1.0891 0.415
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.295 1.2011 0.0
2 Thematic 5646 44.63% 43.46 59.88% 0.516 0.8869 0.681
2 Top to Top 3594 42.05% 30.56 70.42% 1.031 0.8641 0.757
3 Archipelago 81 32.1% 36.33 77.78% 0.076 -0.854 0.43
3 Coastline 456 24.09% 40.92 80.92% 1.239 0.6372 0.613
3 Other 1582 39.36% 28.8 72.19% 0.154 -0.5008 0.394
3 Round (Default) 34944 35.38% 32.08 74.54% 0.866 0.7531 -0.048
3 Sunrise 145 40.0% 31.82 77.93% -0.319 -0.5513 0.525
3 Thematic 1329 41.81% 36.29 55.68% -0.715 -0.7941 0.022
4 Archipelago 92 31.33% 28.95 61.96% -0.415 -0.6581 -1.094
4 Coastline 272 20.3% 45.68 75.37% -0.084 -0.2095 0.05
4 Leaf 195 38.33% 28.21 67.69% 1.07 1.0086 -0.199
4 Other 1058 32.63% 30.74 71.17% -0.457 -1.3061 0.028
4 Reverse Snake 11 9.09% 35.55 90.91% 0.0 -0.7112 0.424
4 Snake 8 33.33% 22.75 62.5% -0.357 -0.1073 0.0
4 Thematic 6452 26.42% 48.77 73.5% -0.309 -0.469 -0.444
4 Trapezoid (Default) 31190 27.18% 33.03 75.38% 0.76 0.5752 -0.385
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 37.31 73.08% 0.235 0.4282 -1.387
5 Coastline 157 7.14% 53.55 80.89% -0.172 -0.7362 -0.9
5 Other 847 34.01% 34.11 76.51% -0.445 -1.0877 -0.034
5 Thematic 67 22.73% 51.79 79.1% 0.045 -0.0908 0.572
6 Archipelago 380 2.42% 67.22 81.32% 0.685 -0.2751 -1.309
6 Coastline 147 4.03% 47.31 79.59% 0.212 -0.3469 -1.321
6 Other 680 17.46% 34.69 64.41% -1.468 -1.7307 -1.766
6 Star 161 17.5% 32.35 70.19% -0.787 -0.7061 -2.181
6 Thematic 772 20.1% 38.36 66.58% -1.114 -1.014 -1.142
6 Two Centers (Default) 1211 17.45% 26.09 70.77% -1.791 -1.3291 -1.533
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 27.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.2092 -0.356
7 Other 14 25.0% 31.14 50.0% 0.0 -0.6571 -0.799

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9024 31.72 52.24% -0.588 -0.4264 -0.046
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7967 33.93 56.41% -0.092 -0.1812 0.159
All Things Weaken 3661 32.96 52.66% -0.199 0.091 -0.017
Attenuated Essence 394 26.69 47.21% -0.198 -0.2147 -0.754
Back Against the Wall 7762 31.99 50.45% -0.362 -0.304 -0.317
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 425 26.45 42.59% -0.57 -0.3943 -0.583
Burn Brightest Before the End 348 29.21 45.69% -0.274 -0.277 -0.364
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8471 28.28 46.49% -0.511 -0.2529 -0.229
Downward Spiral 38660 23.01 50.56% -0.354 -0.261 -0.149
Erosion of Will 8699 29.97 47.56% -0.93 -0.6881 -0.21
Intensifying Exploitation 440 24.52 40.68% -0.408 -0.1811 -0.67
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1572 40.03 78.05% 0.159 -0.4371 0.497
Memory Fades to Dust 39026 22.58 46.97% -0.428 -0.2087 -0.27
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3409 30.61 49.6% -0.526 -0.2939 -0.213
Promising Farmlands 8639 28.43 45.82% -0.145 0.0866 -0.48
Shattered Fragments of Power 341 27.92 45.16% -0.122 -0.0349 -0.742
Slow Dissolution of Will 411 24.22 37.47% -0.101 0.2242 -1.211
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 997 40.2 82.15% 0.81 0.1591 0.674
The Border of Life and Death 131 31.98 67.94% 0.703 0.1641 0.223
Thriving Communities 3522 29.89 47.96% -0.083 0.1448 -0.306
Thriving Crops 185 28.45 55.68% -0.443 -0.7088 -1.131
Tipping Point 3624 29.21 46.69% 0.0 0.6412 -0.219
Unnatural Proliferation 3760 32.75 50.29% -0.813 -0.6345 -0.159
Untended Land Crumbles 3519 31.1 49.28% -0.396 -0.171 -0.162

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 165030 38.8% 28.13 67.26% -1.011 -0.0339 0.379
B 129714 38.64% 27.56 67.08% -1.108 -0.2206 0.345
C 214553 39.47% 26.04 72.83% -0.444 0.2584 0.138
D 127558 39.26% 27.09 65.88% -1.263 -0.3477 0.139
E 25721 40.4% 32.09 70.1% -0.77 0.0003 0.358
F 36751 39.99% 31.26 70.2% -0.735 0.1156 0.248
G 36378 38.72% 33.61 72.52% -0.416 0.3902 1.013
H 36956 38.34% 33.02 72.11% -0.501 0.32 0.69
East 18990 40.15% 42.82 62.89% -0.599 0.2367 -0.339
Northeast 11852 35.17% 43.5 65.4% -0.474 0.3066 -0.203
Northwest 10278 31.51% 44.26 67.16% 0.121 0.9868 -0.264
Southeast 2127 33.08% 38.88 66.15% -0.544 0.3043 -1.3
Southwest 1898 32.61% 37.52 65.38% -0.553 0.732 -0.076
West 15515 36.19% 43.15 64.36% -0.022 0.9518 0.107

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 135277 0.0% 18.74 66.65% -0.338 0.3555 -1.214
Not Using Events or Tokens 253398 43.1% 20.63 65.23% -0.325 0.0591 -0.698
Skip Initial Invader Actions 16600 9.45% 36.48 86.17% 0.586 -0.0918 0.029
Start of Game Growth 24135 11.0% 34.83 84.64% 0.14 -0.3709 0.387
Unlimited Undo 46097 31.29% 30.35 76.6% -0.048 -0.1322 0.603
Using Tokens but Not Events 39365 32.64% 31.77 75.14% -0.155 -0.1617 0.149

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 29243 26.27% 34.72 75.89% 0.14 0.0715 0.567
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 178 31.03% 32.49 60.11% 0.884 0.3699 0.061
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8511 46.51% 28.09 65.53% -0.535 -0.3574 -0.514
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 228 32.0% 24.99 44.74% -0.094 -0.9536 -1.075
Dances Up Earthquakes 97 32.99% 28.29 70.1% 0.193 0.1363 0.024
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6252 28.09% 28.97 75.27% -0.076 -0.2608 -0.046
Downpour Drenches the World 1028 30.22% 26.31 59.73% -0.412 -0.1441 -0.647
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 939 35.91% 30.32 67.09% -0.389 -0.976 -0.543
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10315 26.54% 33.53 76.96% 0.363 -0.0803 -0.131
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6309 29.24% 35.1 77.71% 0.306 -0.1633 -0.091
Finder of Paths Unseen 422 37.5% 29.9 66.82% 0.245 0.9384 0.323
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1422 32.88% 40.73 75.74% -0.135 0.5191 0.57
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1240 35.1% 36.49 70.97% 0.28 0.1268 -0.607
Heart of the Wildfire 8940 46.79% 35.11 69.65% -0.558 -0.2145 0.34
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 19015 31.97% 39.82 79.97% 0.324 -0.0661 0.354
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 196 26.04% 25.17 62.76% -0.056 -0.3724 0.333
Lightning's Swift Strike 48029 32.03% 28.86 69.42% -0.206 0.0178 0.554
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 650 20.31% 52.04 71.23% -0.159 -0.5023 0.019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1371 37.5% 45.12 79.07% 1.084 0.7636 1.252
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3159 28.29% 47.68 77.27% 0.391 0.3878 1.196
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3530 39.71% 33.06 70.79% 0.218 -0.0007 -0.495
Many Minds Move as One 1695 39.01% 35.59 78.88% 0.233 0.0335 0.621
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 60465 35.37% 35.87 73.85% -0.168 -0.0114 0.592
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 380 40.64% 31.98 63.95% 0.178 0.2432 -0.278
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6575 31.35% 36.4 76.0% 0.056 -0.0419 0.316
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11818 31.42% 36.46 72.93% -0.172 -0.3151 -0.221
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 45 17.78% 24.98 64.44% -0.016 -0.2182 0.94
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16478 42.69% 20.74 58.44% -0.969 -0.4049 -0.293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 102 26.67% 24.54 65.69% -1.659 -1.8037 -0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 149 41.22% 29.44 65.1% 0.049 -0.4004 -0.41
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 90 33.73% 23.99 58.89% 0.435 0.3831 0.564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 441 44.84% 32.89 70.52% -0.141 -0.2493 -0.439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 422 44.58% 31.85 72.04% 0.19 0.3865 0.563
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8209 35.14% 37.64 77.27% -0.018 0.0711 0.483
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 253 30.89% 29.61 73.12% 0.581 0.4509 -0.411
Shifting Memory of Ages 1151 39.7% 30.33 70.55% -0.16 0.1257 -0.069
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 140 31.78% 32.44 70.71% 0.943 0.9255 0.862
Shroud of Silent Mist 1092 49.25% 29.08 69.87% 0.4 0.7476 -0.701
Starlight Seeks its Form 1916 30.29% 29.81 70.72% -0.104 -0.2039 0.12
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4196 37.83% 33.35 71.76% -0.085 -0.5845 -0.116
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7087 28.79% 36.1 79.55% -0.117 0.0542 0.45
Thunderspeaker 25346 32.49% 33.48 72.64% -0.323 -0.2733 -0.248
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 136 35.34% 29.02 63.97% 0.459 0.5833 -0.164
Towering Roots of the Jungle 249 36.95% 30.17 61.85% -0.104 0.0018 -0.433
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1686 60.07% 31.97 66.73% 0.624 0.6791 -0.221
Vital Strength of the Earth 28395 27.48% 23.44 64.21% -0.457 0.136 -0.122
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 265 37.5% 23.36 55.09% -0.684 -0.1891 -0.269
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 408 33.33% 25.22 58.58% -0.784 -0.1217 -1.268
Volcano Looming High 2004 49.8% 33.27 68.31% -0.143 -0.0807 0.175
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 414 35.31% 29.47 70.77% 0.572 0.2166 -0.967

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 71.44%
Flash Floods 95.09%
River's Bounty 95.34%
Wash Away 89.16%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 149009 13.6 29.22%
II 239919 30.16 82.31%
III 84912 34.82 83.68%
IV 19486 38.65 98.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 43515
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 68671
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 189084
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18750
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 52329
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8410
Lose: Adversary condition 21360
Win: Sacrifice victory 1065
Lose: Scenario condition 2791
Win: Scenario condition 10234
Lose: Blight pool ran out 73305
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3812

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.876 Win Model: -0.048

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.18 Win Model: 0.424
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 293737 49.8% 23.76 65.0%
2 117634 41.42% 28.98 67.64%
3 38406 35.6% 32.18 73.88%
4 39328 27.09% 35.62 74.96%
5 854 29.34% 34.5 73.07%
6 3367 15.66% 36.77 70.21%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-22 02:53:19 (Pacific Time)