Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 94 17.2% 24.83 74.47% 0.872 0.8147 -1.01
Blitz 0 4441 37.43% 31.4 68.18% 0.447 0.7346 0.47
Dahan Insurrection 4 7923 29.03% 52.96 73.87% 0.798 0.6078 0.512
Despicable Theft 2 369 43.32% 30.84 69.38% -0.587 0.3449 -0.008
Elemental Invocation 1 312 52.56% 29.46 60.26% -0.563 0.363 -1.148
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11509 12.03% 44.62 78.37% 0.032 -0.5417 0.857
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2519 33.51% 42.02 77.81% -0.076 0.7696 -0.743
Rituals of Terror 3 2180 47.28% 51.9 65.96% 0.349 0.2844 0.803
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 500 73.95% 32.75 48.6% -1.031 -0.0018 -0.501
Second Wave 0 7679 47.78% 28.09 69.84% 0.365 0.4624 -0.643
The Great River 3 397 54.8% 28.31 49.12% -1.718 -0.2078 -1.64
Varied Terrains 2 96 55.21% 19.55 40.63% -0.138 0.6264 -0.456
Ward the Shores 2 1582 46.16% 33.88 61.19% -1.323 -0.1698 -0.819

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 252928 50.15% 24.32 67.88% 0.409 0.7121 -0.108
1 Thematic 8620 55.13% 34.87 56.84% 0.348 0.7845 0.045
2 Archipelago 105 40.95% 44.63 63.81% 0.149 0.4621 0.287
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 68518 42.05% 29.19 69.69% 0.362 0.5878 0.477
2 Coastline 11431 39.04% 29.27 72.15% 0.34 0.3338 0.107
2 Fragment 1834 49.48% 24.47 66.52% 0.58 0.2327 0.5
2 Heart 951 49.08% 23.99 65.4% 0.037 -0.0271 0.071
2 Opposite Shores 15339 42.91% 32.44 72.1% 0.405 0.4311 0.147
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4165 0.0
2 Thematic 5315 44.72% 43.94 61.32% -0.398 -0.1573 0.296
2 Top to Top 3231 42.1% 31.74 72.61% 0.058 0.0184 0.414
3 Archipelago 66 36.36% 40.95 86.36% 0.837 0.2153 0.245
3 Coastline 408 24.05% 42.93 84.07% 1.083 0.2773 0.637
3 Other 1464 38.43% 29.94 74.66% 0.511 -0.0336 0.256
3 Round (Default) 31863 35.56% 33.15 76.69% 0.722 0.5201 -0.103
3 Sunrise 137 38.64% 31.66 79.56% -0.793 -0.7411 0.375
3 Thematic 1217 42.59% 37.88 58.75% -0.461 -0.8671 -0.103
4 Archipelago 84 32.47% 31.02 66.67% -0.938 -0.5366 -1.098
4 Coastline 248 21.07% 48.19 79.44% 0.126 -0.2514 0.796
4 Leaf 170 36.71% 29.31 70.59% -0.281 -0.4594 -0.419
4 Other 982 33.19% 32.7 75.36% -0.119 -0.39 0.076
4 Reverse Snake 10 10.0% 39.1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.439
4 Snake 6 40.0% 30.33 83.33% 0.0 -1.1919 0.0
4 Thematic 5935 27.6% 50.01 75.05% -0.58 -0.5523 -0.282
4 Trapezoid (Default) 28092 27.62% 34.38 78.07% 0.501 0.7177 -0.222
5 Archipelago 24 41.67% 38.33 79.17% -0.129 -0.1573 -1.053
5 Coastline 139 7.35% 54.53 82.73% -0.326 -0.1535 -0.621
5 Other 670 35.37% 37.08 81.79% 0.875 0.2436 0.264
5 Thematic 56 25.45% 53.57 80.36% -0.47 -1.1456 0.811
6 Archipelago 178 5.29% 60.47 80.34% 0.878 0.0051 -0.708
6 Coastline 113 4.44% 42.86 77.88% -0.309 -0.9933 -1.154
6 Other 522 16.94% 38.85 74.33% -0.729 -0.237 -1.068
6 Star 126 19.2% 34.36 73.81% 0.256 0.7165 -1.693
6 Thematic 659 21.87% 37.53 67.68% -0.602 -0.5888 -0.798
6 Two Centers (Default) 978 16.33% 28.84 78.53% -0.015 -0.2126 -1.033
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 27.33 66.67% -0.776 0.4159 -0.382
7 Other 13 27.27% 33.54 53.85% 0.483 -0.6913 -0.493

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8652 31.92 52.51% -0.452 -0.2975 -0.178
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7626 34.08 56.44% 0.381 0.2942 0.029
All Things Weaken 3321 33.51 53.3% -0.66 -0.3367 -0.136
Attenuated Essence 253 26.93 46.25% 0.798 0.8256 -0.944
Back Against the Wall 7430 32.1 50.47% -0.33 -0.2726 -0.467
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 256 26.55 42.97% -0.174 0.03 -0.826
Burn Brightest Before the End 226 30.08 45.58% -0.799 -0.5953 -0.574
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8096 28.63 46.95% -0.781 -0.3878 -0.342
Downward Spiral 34939 23.76 51.91% -0.318 -0.2311 -0.31
Erosion of Will 8314 30.27 47.99% -0.339 -0.0296 -0.328
Intensifying Exploitation 263 26.11 41.83% -0.343 -0.0847 -0.599
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1456 40.77 78.98% 1.058 0.5604 0.392
Memory Fades to Dust 35483 23.25 48.07% -0.388 -0.1716 -0.43
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3100 31.53 50.55% -0.225 -0.0573 -0.365
Promising Farmlands 8296 28.62 46.0% -0.423 -0.1247 -0.618
Shattered Fragments of Power 188 28.16 42.55% -0.523 -0.3226 -1.012
Slow Dissolution of Will 256 23.23 35.16% -0.496 -0.1188 -1.454
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 918 41.22 83.12% 0.464 -0.2553 0.585
The Border of Life and Death 93 33.75 72.04% 0.789 0.2005 0.448
Thriving Communities 3197 30.54 48.23% -0.524 -0.2194 -0.424
Thriving Crops 106 28.77 55.66% -0.089 -0.0794 -1.335
Tipping Point 3623 29.22 46.7% 0.0 0.0 -0.365
Unnatural Proliferation 3468 33.34 51.07% -0.524 -0.3866 -0.301
Untended Land Crumbles 3236 31.58 49.94% -0.387 -0.0331 -0.292

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 148805 39.4% 29.25 69.83% -1.078 -0.2013 0.448
B 116794 39.36% 28.7 69.71% -1.268 -0.4224 0.394
C 191017 40.18% 27.18 75.76% -0.656 0.0412 0.286
D 114773 39.86% 28.23 68.58% -1.419 -0.5777 0.277
E 22416 41.39% 33.47 72.4% -1.267 -0.5626 0.448
F 32953 40.41% 32.32 72.15% -1.473 -0.6439 0.298
G 32828 39.35% 34.48 74.22% -0.83 0.0241 1.097
H 33354 38.87% 33.78 73.65% -1.157 -0.3576 0.764
East 17567 40.98% 43.71 64.35% -0.517 0.3569 -0.285
Northeast 10855 36.27% 44.56 66.95% -0.41 0.4369 -0.109
Northwest 9278 33.05% 45.76 69.16% -0.436 0.4395 -0.255
Southeast 1914 34.81% 39.12 67.35% -0.474 0.4407 -1.229
Southwest 1699 34.24% 37.49 66.27% 0.086 1.3711 -0.054
West 14197 37.38% 44.24 66.06% -0.471 0.5895 0.126

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 117632 0.0% 19.73 70.17% -0.68 0.066 -1.142
Not Using Events or Tokens 220146 43.92% 21.75 68.78% -0.277 0.1307 -0.524
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15377 9.67% 36.87 87.59% 0.513 -0.0698 -0.113
Start of Game Growth 22351 11.23% 35.38 86.33% 0.867 0.229 0.345
Unlimited Undo 42461 31.67% 31.37 79.11% -0.012 0.0129 0.73
Using Tokens but Not Events 35692 32.87% 32.44 76.98% 0.055 0.0396 0.15

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26758 26.61% 35.58 77.89% 0.288 0.0884 0.534
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 26 7.69% 28.38 69.23% 0.686 -0.0082 -0.083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7778 47.34% 29.39 67.96% -0.448 -0.1495 -0.386
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 98 32.29% 27.49 60.2% -0.766 -1.4978 -0.409
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5558 29.49% 30.16 77.62% 0.39 0.2295 0.004
Downpour Drenches the World 767 31.61% 28.26 64.93% 0.21 0.4402 -0.433
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 651 36.14% 31.04 69.12% 0.475 0.1061 -0.477
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9332 27.0% 34.89 79.56% 0.218 -0.1362 -0.051
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5607 30.38% 34.3 79.06% 0.437 -0.0248 -0.103
Finder of Paths Unseen 340 38.32% 29.76 66.76% 0.75 1.4077 0.475
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1279 34.02% 42.92 78.03% -0.554 0.1457 0.555
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1081 35.14% 38.45 72.06% 0.571 0.4849 -0.53
Heart of the Wildfire 8409 47.36% 36.15 70.94% -0.339 -0.0575 0.395
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18024 32.53% 39.93 80.54% 0.854 0.5297 0.311
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 87 32.56% 30.23 72.41% 0.685 0.279 0.8
Lightning's Swift Strike 42864 32.72% 30.37 72.66% -0.099 0.2134 0.587
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 399 29.67% 44.77 68.17% 0.039 -0.3941 -0.109
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1231 38.13% 45.34 79.61% 0.804 0.411 1.22
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2600 30.49% 50.71 81.42% -0.035 -0.0317 1.211
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3083 39.57% 34.22 73.37% 0.186 -0.1005 -0.526
Many Minds Move as One 1519 39.1% 36.61 80.18% -0.212 -0.3616 0.622
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 55507 35.85% 37.0 76.16% 0.409 0.3221 0.632
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5913 32.27% 36.44 77.42% -0.02 -0.1856 0.346
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10902 32.45% 37.01 74.48% 0.038 -0.1832 -0.17
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14098 44.43% 22.29 62.61% -0.683 -0.1672 -0.179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 79 19.72% 26.43 72.15% -0.219 -0.1341 -0.321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 77 42.11% 29.64 74.03% 0.413 -0.114 -0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 38.71% 25.74 65.15% -1.128 -0.8077 0.703
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 397 45.85% 34.1 72.29% 0.007 -0.0392 -0.419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 380 46.32% 33.43 74.21% -1.106 -0.8215 0.554
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7917 35.31% 38.08 77.93% -0.058 -0.1964 0.503
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 165 27.22% 28.76 76.97% 1.823 1.693 -0.796
Shifting Memory of Ages 996 41.74% 31.73 72.89% -0.283 0.0545 0.063
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 37 30.56% 28.11 59.46% 0.15 -0.1696 -0.399
Shroud of Silent Mist 969 50.05% 30.27 72.24% 0.531 0.8542 -0.669
Starlight Seeks its Form 1446 33.08% 32.64 76.0% -0.461 -0.6029 0.061
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3848 38.28% 33.81 72.32% -0.318 -0.9899 -0.163
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6623 28.62% 36.98 81.29% -0.425 -0.2285 0.427
Thunderspeaker 23070 33.26% 34.54 74.89% -0.067 -0.0804 -0.142
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 89 32.95% 25.28 61.8% -0.11 0.1113 -0.774
Towering Roots of the Jungle 57 49.12% 29.84 63.16% 0.431 0.4154 -0.79
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1585 61.04% 32.27 67.32% -0.701 -0.6584 -0.207
Vital Strength of the Earth 24563 28.35% 24.72 68.01% -0.54 0.0508 -0.112
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 188 39.55% 24.65 60.64% -1.043 -0.497 0.651
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 350 31.79% 26.6 61.43% -0.677 0.0094 -1.315
Volcano Looming High 1770 49.89% 34.37 70.73% 0.3 0.3973 0.214
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 287 37.59% 29.43 67.94% -0.346 -0.661 -0.949

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 70.91%
Flash Floods 94.94%
River's Bounty 95.21%
Wash Away 88.89%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 124128 15.62 32.79%
II 221714 30.47 82.72%
III 78747 34.79 83.96%
IV 18276 38.43 98.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 40678
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 63886
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 175361
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17597
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 32429
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7816
Lose: Adversary condition 20193
Win: Sacrifice victory 994
Lose: Scenario condition 2675
Win: Scenario condition 9745
Lose: Blight pool ran out 67927
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3564

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.961 Win Model: -0.043

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.24 Win Model: 0.092
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 262499 50.43% 24.76 67.44%
2 106512 42.1% 30.16 69.98%
3 35035 35.76% 33.28 76.1%
4 35577 27.66% 37.03 77.51%
5 653 29.98% 37.37 78.41%
6 2589 16.71% 36.38 74.82%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-07 04:07:45 (Pacific Time)