Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 116 20.0% 24.53 73.28% -0.671 -0.7112 -0.962
Blitz 0 4794 36.73% 30.47 66.06% 0.077 0.344 0.596
Dahan Insurrection 4 8543 28.56% 52.07 73.17% 0.85 0.5008 0.625
Despicable Theft 2 409 41.28% 30.79 68.95% -1.051 -0.2902 0.147
Elemental Invocation 1 353 50.42% 28.72 58.64% -0.753 -0.0913 -1.151
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12281 12.06% 44.58 77.72% 1.02 0.3973 0.996
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2809 31.45% 42.38 77.96% 0.863 1.6664 -0.719
Rituals of Terror 3 2403 46.46% 50.74 63.84% 0.818 0.7909 0.781
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 535 71.54% 31.88 47.48% -1.336 -0.4735 -0.566
Second Wave 0 8092 47.35% 28.01 69.57% 0.255 0.469 -0.567
The Great River 3 438 52.4% 27.53 48.86% -0.864 0.1693 -1.508
Varied Terrains 2 130 54.26% 19.64 39.23% -0.289 0.5602 -0.59
Ward the Shores 2 1662 45.58% 33.27 60.65% -0.261 0.8336 -0.763

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 277694 49.63% 23.5 65.81% 0.997 1.2456 0.359
1 Thematic 9186 54.18% 34.16 55.89% -0.049 0.4662 0.498
2 Archipelago 125 40.32% 41.38 61.6% 0.13 0.6403 0.745
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 74712 41.33% 28.17 67.55% 0.888 0.9285 0.798
2 Coastline 12406 38.41% 28.33 70.16% 1.116 0.8524 0.278
2 Fragment 2000 48.87% 23.87 65.1% 1.159 0.923 0.736
2 Heart 1051 48.27% 23.31 62.89% 0.534 0.0711 0.584
2 Opposite Shores 16570 42.33% 31.51 70.47% 1.212 1.1708 0.395
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.3854 0.0
2 Thematic 5593 44.66% 43.51 59.97% 0.161 0.5481 0.655
2 Top to Top 3555 41.92% 30.72 70.63% 0.859 0.5989 0.73
3 Archipelago 78 33.33% 36.44 76.92% -1.305 -1.9365 0.424
3 Coastline 453 24.2% 41.09 81.02% 1.241 0.2453 0.601
3 Other 1561 39.22% 29.08 72.58% 0.159 -0.6551 0.392
3 Round (Default) 34400 35.4% 32.27 74.88% 0.894 0.7527 -0.028
3 Sunrise 145 40.0% 31.82 77.93% 0.156 -0.2854 0.529
3 Thematic 1311 42.02% 36.58 56.06% -0.324 -0.5361 0.03
4 Archipelago 92 31.33% 28.95 61.96% -0.621 -0.9577 -1.102
4 Coastline 270 20.08% 45.81 75.19% -0.063 0.0103 0.067
4 Leaf 188 36.99% 28.48 68.62% 1.537 1.989 -0.212
4 Other 1043 32.55% 31.13 72.0% -0.028 -0.7367 0.037
4 Reverse Snake 11 9.09% 35.55 90.91% 0.0 -0.533 0.44
4 Snake 7 33.33% 26.0 71.43% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6350 26.35% 49.09 73.98% -0.484 -0.5512 -0.401
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30728 27.26% 33.21 75.67% 0.812 0.5387 -0.367
5 Archipelago 26 46.15% 37.31 73.08% 0.0 1.2476 -1.441
5 Coastline 154 6.62% 54.07 81.82% 0.111 -0.5114 -0.773
5 Other 817 34.51% 34.34 76.62% -0.385 -0.8844 0.063
5 Thematic 65 23.44% 53.05 80.0% 0.021 0.0156 0.597
6 Archipelago 348 2.65% 66.07 80.46% 0.297 -0.7468 -1.281
6 Coastline 145 4.1% 46.97 79.31% 0.283 -0.8539 -1.261
6 Other 664 17.11% 34.9 64.91% -1.437 -1.7998 -1.675
6 Star 155 16.88% 32.53 70.97% -1.072 -0.5081 -1.999
6 Thematic 758 20.21% 38.45 66.89% -0.736 -0.8822 -1.114
6 Two Centers (Default) 1156 17.41% 26.81 72.84% -1.371 -1.1863 -1.423
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 27.33 66.67% 0.0 0.3772 -0.333
7 Other 14 25.0% 31.14 50.0% 0.0 -0.9358 -0.758

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8952 31.8 52.36% -0.213 -0.2062 -0.057
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7902 33.98 56.48% -0.074 -0.1988 0.154
All Things Weaken 3584 33.12 52.76% -0.382 -0.198 -0.028
Attenuated Essence 374 26.89 47.06% -0.279 -0.3131 -0.796
Back Against the Wall 7699 32.04 50.54% -0.036 -0.0299 -0.332
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 393 27.23 44.02% -0.287 -0.1808 -0.601
Burn Brightest Before the End 328 29.61 45.73% -0.149 -0.1352 -0.284
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8384 28.36 46.64% -0.075 0.077 -0.244
Downward Spiral 38000 23.14 50.73% -0.374 -0.3163 -0.163
Erosion of Will 8613 30.06 47.7% -0.527 -0.4193 -0.22
Intensifying Exploitation 410 25.14 41.22% -0.495 -0.3849 -0.607
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1555 40.19 78.26% 0.195 -0.4077 0.495
Memory Fades to Dust 38415 22.69 47.1% -0.44 -0.228 -0.283
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3349 30.79 49.72% -0.357 -0.2399 -0.242
Promising Farmlands 8570 28.46 45.8% -0.629 -0.4377 -0.493
Shattered Fragments of Power 313 28.11 45.05% 0.258 0.2585 -0.708
Slow Dissolution of Will 377 23.81 37.14% -0.05 0.25 -1.242
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 982 40.44 82.28% 0.941 0.2117 0.658
The Border of Life and Death 124 32.35 67.74% 0.772 0.3454 0.21
Thriving Communities 3447 30.07 47.98% -0.124 -0.0153 -0.319
Thriving Crops 167 29.07 56.89% 0.335 0.0281 -1.089
Tipping Point 3624 29.21 46.69% 0.0 0.5196 -0.239
Unnatural Proliferation 3703 32.92 50.58% 0.002 0.0734 -0.174
Untended Land Crumbles 3464 31.21 49.39% -0.479 -0.3091 -0.163

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 162286 38.84% 28.32 67.68% -0.686 0.2986 0.389
B 127504 38.7% 27.75 67.48% -0.952 -0.0576 0.354
C 210553 39.55% 26.22 73.26% -0.127 0.5864 0.144
D 125428 39.34% 27.28 66.29% -0.988 -0.0817 0.148
E 25138 40.54% 32.32 70.4% -0.382 0.3345 0.353
F 36043 40.0% 31.42 70.47% -0.841 -0.011 0.251
G 35731 38.81% 33.76 72.76% -0.278 0.5118 1.022
H 36286 38.4% 33.17 72.35% -0.205 0.5796 0.696
East 18744 40.19% 43.02 63.21% -0.468 0.2759 -0.312
Northeast 11690 35.23% 43.71 65.72% -0.113 0.7906 -0.192
Northwest 10101 31.65% 44.6 67.64% 0.107 0.8463 -0.25
Southeast 2096 33.19% 39.02 66.41% -0.181 0.7631 -1.286
Southwest 1868 32.81% 37.64 65.58% -0.714 0.5852 -0.067
West 15284 36.33% 43.39 64.72% -0.043 0.9474 0.107

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 132082 0.0% 18.9 67.21% -0.313 0.3284 -1.22
Not Using Events or Tokens 247705 43.17% 20.81 65.74% -0.324 0.1268 -0.696
Skip Initial Invader Actions 16390 9.43% 36.62 86.47% 0.518 -0.262 0.003
Start of Game Growth 23838 10.96% 34.97 85.02% 0.336 -0.1169 0.402
Unlimited Undo 45474 31.36% 30.54 77.01% -0.063 -0.0865 0.599
Using Tokens but Not Events 38621 32.55% 31.95 75.58% 0.038 -0.0337 0.148

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 28809 26.32% 34.84 76.12% 0.031 -0.0618 0.555
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 157 29.94% 33.78 61.15% 0.814 0.2958 0.154
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8401 46.66% 28.28 65.94% -0.523 -0.3432 -0.46
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 220 31.8% 24.48 44.09% -0.726 -1.5511 -1.085
Dances Up Earthquakes 74 31.08% 26.93 68.92% 0.049 -0.1516 0.201
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6141 28.25% 29.18 75.69% 0.037 -0.2127 -0.055
Downpour Drenches the World 993 29.87% 26.32 59.82% -0.009 0.3589 -0.685
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 901 35.99% 30.72 68.04% 0.191 -0.3288 -0.563
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10153 26.66% 33.74 77.22% 0.187 -0.2232 -0.141
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6189 29.37% 35.02 77.91% 0.254 -0.1819 -0.11
Finder of Paths Unseen 410 37.87% 30.01 66.83% 0.337 0.9802 0.343
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1398 33.24% 41.16 76.11% -0.528 -0.0025 0.575
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1217 35.07% 36.72 70.99% 0.023 -0.0232 -0.619
Heart of the Wildfire 8853 46.78% 35.28 69.89% -0.295 0.023 0.332
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18847 32.01% 39.87 80.07% 0.517 0.0574 0.344
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 185 26.52% 25.77 64.32% -0.157 -0.4727 0.32
Lightning's Swift Strike 47199 32.07% 29.08 69.81% -0.26 -0.0277 0.547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 614 21.32% 50.82 70.2% 0.04 -0.278 -0.003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1355 37.62% 45.18 79.11% 1.602 1.268 1.238
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3070 28.31% 48.25 77.82% 0.213 0.3999 1.177
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3469 39.82% 33.18 70.86% -0.303 -0.4928 -0.503
Many Minds Move as One 1675 39.18% 35.77 79.28% 1.032 0.8024 0.619
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 59668 35.39% 36.07 74.22% -0.024 0.0835 0.596
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 297 38.98% 31.46 62.63% 0.237 0.284 -0.368
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6453 31.51% 36.37 76.17% 0.112 -0.007 0.302
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11720 31.44% 36.52 73.02% -0.115 -0.2795 -0.23
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 31 12.9% 22.97 64.52% -0.067 -0.5741 0.937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16110 42.82% 21.03 59.21% -0.757 -0.2186 -0.295
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 24.14% 25.22 67.68% -0.651 -0.5957 -0.157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 138 40.15% 29.47 66.67% -0.48 -0.8533 -0.371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 85 34.18% 23.78 60.0% 0.112 0.1683 0.509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 432 44.5% 33.3 71.06% -0.274 -0.3937 -0.444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 412 44.33% 32.02 72.09% -0.199 -0.0569 0.558
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8165 35.19% 37.71 77.35% 0.105 0.0819 0.472
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 236 30.13% 29.4 72.46% 0.217 0.0987 -0.383
Shifting Memory of Ages 1129 39.77% 30.54 70.59% -0.59 -0.2589 -0.084
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 121 32.46% 33.53 72.73% 1.405 1.4937 0.901
Shroud of Silent Mist 1073 49.28% 29.1 69.9% -0.081 0.2881 -0.707
Starlight Seeks its Form 1827 30.68% 30.12 71.21% 0.191 0.0977 0.138
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4132 37.91% 33.43 71.97% -0.165 -0.6766 -0.13
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6994 28.59% 36.32 79.91% 0.053 0.1802 0.426
Thunderspeaker 24962 32.58% 33.68 73.04% -0.239 -0.239 -0.218
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 128 36.8% 27.95 64.06% 0.91 1.2893 -0.284
Towering Roots of the Jungle 203 40.89% 30.58 61.58% 0.722 0.9157 -0.51
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1666 60.24% 31.91 66.57% 0.251 0.236 -0.229
Vital Strength of the Earth 27679 27.51% 23.61 64.85% -0.604 -0.0727 -0.053
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 257 37.08% 23.28 55.64% -0.867 -0.3382 -0.232
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 399 33.24% 25.38 58.9% -0.821 -0.1958 -1.281
Volcano Looming High 1965 50.05% 33.54 68.55% -0.492 -0.4269 0.188
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 382 36.19% 29.69 70.16% -0.022 -0.3054 -0.915

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 71.39%
Flash Floods 95.07%
River's Bounty 95.33%
Wash Away 89.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 144729 13.9 29.76%
II 236610 30.22 82.38%
III 83808 34.83 83.76%
IV 19280 38.62 98.78%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 43048
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 67826
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 186572
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18551
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 48952
Lose: Invader deck ran out 8291
Lose: Adversary condition 21167
Win: Sacrifice victory 1050
Lose: Scenario condition 2773
Win: Scenario condition 10183
Lose: Blight pool ran out 72248
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3766

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.793 Win Model: -0.056

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.177 Win Model: 0.389
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 288058 49.89% 23.93 65.4%
2 115751 41.46% 29.16 67.99%
3 37814 35.62% 32.38 74.22%
4 38743 27.13% 35.83 75.29%
5 820 29.7% 34.81 73.29%
6 3241 15.68% 36.85 70.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-06 18:00:06 (Pacific Time)