Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 83 18.29% 24.67 71.08% 1.04 0.9052 -1.05
Blitz 0 4159 38.07% 31.77 69.22% 0.171 0.3334 0.262
Dahan Insurrection 4 7453 29.41% 53.78 74.59% 0.638 0.4573 0.438
Despicable Theft 2 338 43.45% 31.64 71.01% -0.619 -0.0548 -0.102
Elemental Invocation 1 289 55.02% 30.27 61.59% -0.951 -0.1828 -1.073
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10956 12.18% 45.01 79.21% 0.595 -0.1834 0.748
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2440 33.43% 42.53 78.61% -0.165 0.7042 -0.765
Rituals of Terror 3 2038 47.01% 52.1 67.08% 0.577 0.6057 0.74
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 478 74.42% 33.7 50.0% -0.32 0.7902 -0.503
Second Wave 0 7332 48.07% 28.35 70.28% 0.14 0.3075 -0.694
The Great River 3 367 54.37% 29.35 51.77% -1.061 0.1631 -1.705
Varied Terrains 2 71 56.34% 20.69 42.25% -1.114 -0.3143 -0.505
Ward the Shores 2 1487 47.6% 35.11 63.42% -0.184 0.677 -0.446

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 235690 50.47% 24.98 69.7% 0.916 1.1354 -0.316
1 Thematic 8271 55.9% 35.19 56.93% 0.329 1.0408 -0.227
2 Archipelago 96 41.67% 47.25 66.67% -0.283 0.0273 0.194
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 64412 42.56% 29.93 71.17% 0.72 0.7149 0.336
2 Coastline 10767 39.43% 29.97 73.73% 0.656 0.6442 -0.01
2 Fragment 1735 49.46% 24.94 67.2% 0.785 0.5767 0.264
2 Heart 894 49.74% 24.49 66.22% 0.424 0.1992 -0.096
2 Opposite Shores 14316 43.14% 32.99 73.39% 0.95 1.033 -0.027
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.251 0.6266 0.0
2 Thematic 5107 44.67% 44.23 62.15% -0.17 0.2622 0.052
2 Top to Top 3033 43.05% 32.7 74.18% 1.07 0.9642 0.295
3 Archipelago 57 35.09% 37.86 89.47% -0.389 -1.1242 0.421
3 Coastline 377 24.93% 43.77 85.68% 1.26 0.4396 1.059
3 Other 1369 38.56% 30.97 76.19% 0.868 0.616 0.158
3 Round (Default) 30155 35.85% 33.78 77.86% 0.968 0.6449 -0.167
3 Sunrise 135 39.23% 31.96 80.74% 0.745 0.3461 0.342
3 Thematic 1135 43.81% 38.86 59.91% -1.26 -1.1911 -0.17
4 Archipelago 65 29.51% 35.48 81.54% 0.403 -0.1887 -0.881
4 Coastline 239 20.09% 49.04 80.75% -0.456 -1.4824 0.934
4 Leaf 147 35.0% 31.69 75.51% -0.969 -1.1597 -0.435
4 Other 931 33.33% 33.64 77.12% 0.658 -1.0113 0.03
4 Reverse Snake 10 10.0% 39.1 100.0% 0.0 0.2171 0.448
4 Snake 6 40.0% 30.33 83.33% -0.187 -0.0911 0.0
4 Thematic 5805 27.75% 50.5 75.62% -0.503 -0.7362 -0.263
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26354 27.66% 35.22 79.93% 0.413 0.1352 -0.056
5 Archipelago 23 43.48% 40.0 82.61% -0.421 0.074 -0.936
5 Coastline 137 7.46% 55.33 83.94% -0.521 -0.6693 -0.552
5 Other 565 33.08% 39.21 84.07% 0.745 -0.4757 0.269
5 Thematic 54 24.07% 54.67 83.33% 0.494 0.0877 1.109
6 Archipelago 77 10.14% 48.35 77.92% -0.181 -1.5512 -0.931
6 Coastline 99 3.95% 42.11 79.8% -0.567 -1.1345 -1.047
6 Other 439 18.36% 40.83 77.22% 0.061 -0.4117 -0.756
6 Star 114 20.35% 35.54 74.56% -0.497 -0.5538 -1.463
6 Thematic 587 22.68% 37.39 67.63% -1.742 -0.8856 -0.685
6 Two Centers (Default) 873 15.98% 29.54 80.41% -0.694 -1.3552 -0.911
7 Archipelago 10 30.0% 32.8 80.0% 0.0 0.6314 -0.656
7 Other 13 27.27% 33.54 53.85% -0.014 -0.0803 -0.397

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8402 32.12 52.84% -0.135 0.0118 -0.324
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7401 34.19 56.42% 0.18 0.0767 -0.091
All Things Weaken 3145 33.91 53.7% -0.451 -0.1522 -0.28
Attenuated Essence 141 27.25 42.55% -0.229 -0.169 -1.061
Back Against the Wall 7240 32.21 50.61% -0.388 -0.3649 -0.611
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 169 24.65 43.79% -0.129 0.0234 -0.943
Burn Brightest Before the End 153 31.53 49.67% 0.076 0.2239 -0.396
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7814 28.92 47.33% -0.49 -0.126 -0.476
Downward Spiral 32742 24.21 52.73% -0.211 -0.0791 -0.454
Erosion of Will 8042 30.48 48.15% -0.536 -0.2959 -0.448
Intensifying Exploitation 168 25.69 41.07% -0.566 -0.3402 -0.362
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1376 41.12 79.07% 0.58 0.003 0.274
Memory Fades to Dust 33205 23.68 48.85% -0.416 -0.1623 -0.576
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2918 31.83 51.1% -0.062 0.1048 -0.508
Promising Farmlands 8019 28.92 46.29% -0.58 -0.256 -0.736
Shattered Fragments of Power 128 29.34 43.75% -0.47 -0.3373 -1.018
Slow Dissolution of Will 159 21.32 35.22% -0.525 -0.1191 -1.619
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 869 41.48 83.77% 0.742 0.0219 0.485
The Border of Life and Death 60 33.08 68.33% 1.507 1.026 0.583
Thriving Communities 2994 30.88 48.3% -0.575 -0.3194 -0.54
Thriving Crops 59 27.0 57.63% 0.349 0.2154 -1.358
Tipping Point 3622 29.23 46.71% -0.233 0.3328 -0.504
Unnatural Proliferation 3282 33.72 51.1% -0.101 0.0521 -0.426
Untended Land Crumbles 3047 32.08 50.48% -0.835 -0.5818 -0.413

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 138902 39.71% 30.0 71.51% -1.152 -0.0589 0.494
B 109297 39.68% 29.41 71.43% -1.276 -0.2763 0.444
C 178862 40.55% 27.85 77.57% -0.668 0.1779 0.296
D 107505 40.08% 28.9 70.21% -1.384 -0.3723 0.296
E 20590 42.04% 34.29 73.57% -0.859 -0.0089 0.474
F 30796 40.78% 33.08 73.47% -1.057 -0.0655 0.312
G 30842 39.71% 35.08 75.37% -1.039 -0.1067 1.098
H 31209 39.25% 34.39 74.9% -0.989 -0.0448 0.815
East 16893 41.24% 44.18 64.88% -0.639 0.2019 -0.276
Northeast 10417 36.52% 45.23 67.62% -1.18 -0.3333 -0.079
Northwest 8930 33.44% 46.38 69.84% -0.094 0.8818 -0.24
Southeast 1792 35.88% 39.44 67.58% 0.57 1.4464 -1.245
Southwest 1578 35.35% 37.84 66.6% -1.201 0.1282 0.06
West 13623 37.71% 44.74 66.75% -0.308 0.7262 0.168

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 108818 0.0% 20.41 72.59% -0.193 0.406 -0.902
Not Using Events or Tokens 202193 44.33% 22.47 71.2% -0.43 0.0887 -0.34
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14708 9.57% 37.32 88.68% 0.425 -0.2486 -0.038
Start of Game Growth 21357 11.32% 35.88 87.37% 0.439 0.0633 0.156
Unlimited Undo 40350 31.85% 32.02 80.68% 0.067 0.0649 0.918
Using Tokens but Not Events 33588 33.03% 32.8 78.09% 0.063 0.1186 0.135

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 25353 26.86% 36.01 79.02% 0.101 0.0051 0.47
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7394 47.89% 30.12 69.14% -0.228 0.0436 -0.463
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 48 31.25% 37.31 75.0% 0.561 -0.4517 0.653
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5167 30.18% 30.81 78.83% 0.474 0.2463 -0.059
Downpour Drenches the World 611 31.11% 29.77 67.92% 0.293 0.5543 -0.599
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 483 34.24% 30.42 70.39% 0.664 0.1587 -0.598
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8797 27.23% 35.75 80.99% -0.233 -0.699 0.112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5186 30.66% 34.06 79.66% 0.582 0.1429 -0.182
Finder of Paths Unseen 275 36.43% 29.91 68.0% -0.202 0.6048 0.68
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1211 34.03% 44.21 80.1% -0.077 0.4922 0.578
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 965 34.27% 40.11 73.37% -0.411 -0.4276 -0.483
Heart of the Wildfire 8089 47.82% 36.68 71.65% -0.324 0.063 0.433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17456 32.72% 40.21 81.03% 0.296 -0.1557 0.341
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 33 33.33% 27.67 72.73% 0.456 -0.0958 0.33
Lightning's Swift Strike 39971 33.0% 31.29 74.62% -0.319 -0.0976 0.597
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 263 37.5% 40.19 67.3% -0.244 -0.8183 -0.042
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1111 39.38% 47.25 81.82% -0.042 -0.3501 1.189
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2370 32.04% 51.94 83.38% 0.54 0.4047 1.129
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2796 39.51% 34.98 74.39% -0.079 -0.2958 -0.594
Many Minds Move as One 1419 39.45% 37.0 81.4% 0.019 -0.1835 0.605
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 52337 36.23% 37.62 77.33% 0.123 0.1443 0.598
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5594 32.6% 36.53 78.21% 0.256 0.0778 0.255
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10486 32.92% 37.59 75.55% -0.518 -0.6643 -0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13014 45.09% 23.2 65.11% -0.618 -0.0011 -0.228
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 66 20.69% 26.8 75.76% -0.071 0.0144 -0.381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 40.0% 31.14 69.44% 0.355 -0.2048 -0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 38.64% 26.6 70.83% 1.026 1.2041 0.449
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 364 46.05% 35.21 73.35% -0.983 -0.9899 -0.474
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 359 48.13% 34.62 75.77% -0.579 -0.3845 0.45
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7726 35.41% 38.45 78.41% -0.118 -0.0415 0.452
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 110 30.56% 27.53 70.91% 0.288 0.0101 -1.039
Shifting Memory of Ages 882 42.58% 33.46 76.08% 0.518 0.7681 0.05
Shroud of Silent Mist 861 51.73% 31.47 74.1% 0.371 0.7375 -0.5
Starlight Seeks its Form 1188 34.32% 34.43 79.21% 0.838 0.6076 0.135
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3620 38.1% 34.28 72.93% -0.466 -0.87 -0.219
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6368 28.92% 37.5 82.3% 0.117 0.2484 0.334
Thunderspeaker 21941 33.36% 35.34 76.27% -0.292 -0.268 -0.161
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 65 32.81% 25.35 63.08% 0.123 0.3491 -1.25
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1513 61.46% 32.73 68.41% 0.135 0.2994 -0.313
Vital Strength of the Earth 22682 28.8% 25.5 70.36% -0.44 0.1277 -0.319
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 146 44.12% 26.06 65.07% -0.493 -0.0798 0.947
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 318 32.53% 27.8 63.84% -0.951 -0.2692 -1.336
Volcano Looming High 1582 49.3% 35.23 72.38% -0.224 -0.2023 0.177
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 142 40.85% 29.06 67.61% 0.108 -0.4803 -1.202

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 70.43%
Flash Floods 94.85%
River's Bounty 95.14%
Wash Away 88.68%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 110082 17.24 35.44%
II 211715 30.65 83.03%
III 75180 34.73 84.02%
IV 17439 38.24 98.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 38998
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 61015
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 168001
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16819
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 21342
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7434
Lose: Adversary condition 19463
Win: Sacrifice victory 948
Lose: Scenario condition 2587
Win: Scenario condition 9426
Lose: Blight pool ran out 64959
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3424

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.874 Win Model: -0.048

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.146 Win Model: 0.337
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 244758 50.77% 25.42 69.2%
2 100179 42.55% 30.87 71.39%
3 33119 36.06% 33.94 77.31%
4 33615 27.71% 37.92 79.17%
5 541 27.02% 39.99 80.59%
6 2204 17.71% 35.68 76.0%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-08 03:44:05 (Pacific Time)