Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 173 60.12% 31.15 -1.802 57.23% -0.091 0.3076
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 100 68.0% 40.36 1.712 66.0% 0.165 0.4736
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 50 72.0% 39.26 -8.383 50.0% -0.467 0.305
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 48 77.08% 33.31 1.231 33.33% -0.038 1.0657
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 25 92.0% 39.88 0.0 32.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 180 88.33% 24.76 -8.012 1.11% -0.416 0.8928
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 24 70.83% 39.79 0.0 20.83%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 362 66.02% 30.11 -5.691 61.33% -1.038 -0.8446
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 335 66.57% 32.43 3.223 60.3% 0.583 0.5894
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 194 64.95% 42.91 6.183 69.59% 0.426 0.4376
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 117 77.78% 43.95 -2.797 55.56% -0.486 -0.1731
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 92 75.0% 46.87 -2.99 52.17% -0.44 -0.1788
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 38 68.42% 34.84 -5.421 21.05% -0.556 0.8192
The Kingdom of England 0 1 334 63.77% 28.93 -0.121 55.39% 0.059 0.3684
The Kingdom of England 1 3 173 68.21% 38.3 -1.198 61.27% -0.537 -0.2245
The Kingdom of England 2 4 165 75.76% 33.33 -3.239 42.42% -0.318 0.4206
The Kingdom of England 3 6 56 87.5% 37.09 4.854 35.71% 0.111 1.3668
The Kingdom of England 4 7 102 86.27% 32.41 -9.991 20.59% -0.777 0.4636
The Kingdom of England 5 9 22 68.18% 38.5 -7.417 22.73% -0.095 1.5026
The Kingdom of England 6 11 113 84.96% 31.77 0.0 7.08%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 320 69.06% 30.09 -5.183 49.69% -1.184 -0.6863
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 204 79.41% 30.98 -4.594 41.18% -0.828 0.0963
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 91 65.56% 35.22 2.986 32.97% -0.011 1.0342
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 101 72.28% 33.22 -1.597 20.79% -0.745 0.6548
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 187 70.05% 35.7 -4.524 16.58% -0.222 1.216
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 110 76.36% 37.39 5.057 13.64% -0.055 0.7441
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 83 75.9% 36.9 -5.937 12.05% -1.02 0.3829
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 47 44.68% 18.6 -7.788 36.17% -1.0 -0.7274
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 17 23.53% 16.71 0.621 29.41% 0.152 0.5668
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 19 63.16% 20.05 -2.592 21.05% -0.055 0.2131
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 10 70.0% 32.6 21.938 40.0% 0.474 0.8078
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 8 87.5% 28.63 -0.028 37.5% -0.442 0.4646
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 21 52.38% 35.52 2.05 19.05% -0.292 0.7652
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 300 60.33% 29.68 -1.324 60.0% -0.171 -0.0042
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 272 66.18% 31.73 -0.246 56.99% 0.031 0.1804
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 209 66.99% 35.01 -0.233 56.46% -0.701 -0.5248
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 78 73.08% 41.47 -4.495 56.41% -1.02 -0.6097
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 104 84.62% 36.65 -6.858 35.58% -0.907 -0.213
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 62 69.35% 39.58 4.798 38.71% -0.165 0.739
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 90 86.67% 36.19 4.424 28.89% -0.065 0.9609
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 144 55.56% 32.21 -1.686 67.36% 0.004 0.1541
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 82 73.17% 32.29 -5.372 46.34% -0.867 0.0125
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 56 58.93% 27.46 -8.322 35.71% -1.224 -0.8802
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 26 46.15% 27.08 0.809 26.92% -0.544 0.5542
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 19 68.42% 32.11 -2.342 26.32% -0.462 0.5878
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 3 66.67% 66.0 0.0 66.67%
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 31 51.61% 32.87 0.056 12.9% -0.29 1.6157

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4593 67.77 30.25 57.85% 0.544 0.7522 -0.568
1 Thematic 1419 69.77 35.9 43.9% 0.372 1.0445 0.153
2 Archipelago 4 50.0 53.5 50.0% 0.047
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 852 67.22 30.94 59.86% -0.037 -0.0118 -0.583
2 Coastline 88 70.11 27.23 59.09% -0.876 -0.8172 1.298
2 Fragment 30 96.67 26.87 30.0% -0.447 -0.7066 0.453
2 Heart 14 85.71 32.79 50.0% -0.495
2 Opposite Shores 144 66.67 32.84 68.06% 1.205 1.2635 0.326
2 Thematic 284 72.89 35.44 47.89% -0.577 -0.3618 -0.361
2 Top to Top 19 73.68 33.42 78.95% -0.23 -0.2785 -0.253
3 Coastline 2 100.0 39.0 50.0% -0.181
3 Other 9 66.67 33.11 77.78% -0.074
3 Round (Default) 321 73.52 33.08 56.7% 0.375 0.0854 -0.295
3 Sunrise 1 100.0 23.0 0.0% -0.051
3 Thematic 57 63.16 36.07 49.12% -0.011 -0.2906 0.29
4 Other 5 40.0 41.8 100.0% 0.583
4 Thematic 37 51.35 32.62 56.76% -0.184 -0.3869 -0.501
4 Trapezoid (Default) 135 61.19 34.5 60.0% -0.402 -0.5138 -0.545
5 Other 6 33.33 25.83 33.33% 0.444 -0.6668 0.365
6 Archipelago 2 0.0 75.0 50.0% -0.27
6 Star 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 20 50.0 22.65 15.0% 0.057 0.7521 -0.087
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 20.0 22.2 40.0% -0.254 -0.5074 -0.241
7 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.078

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 512 31.44 46.09% -0.227 -0.081 -0.265
Aid From Lesser Spirits 386 35.02 55.7% 0.616 0.4813 0.457
All Things Weaken 229 28.21 43.23% -0.549 -0.2522 -0.523
Attenuated Essence 10 24.1 50.0% 1.016 1.0512 0.641
Back Against the Wall 383 32.63 50.91% 1.085 1.1157 -0.118
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 15 24.8 46.67% -0.084 0.1012 -0.015
Burn Brightest Before the End 11 31.82 72.73% 1.285 1.3588 -0.262
Disintegrating Ecosystem 493 27.99 45.03% -0.471 -0.1214 -0.296
Downward Spiral 584 30.07 52.23% 0.23 0.3696 -0.058
Erosion of Will 500 29.22 42.2% 0.39 0.5936 -0.229
Intensifying Exploitation 19 31.26 42.11% 0.489 0.7393 -0.014
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 74 36.53 75.68% 0.232 -0.3721 -0.19
Memory Fades to Dust 595 28.89 45.38% 0.041 0.3228 -0.048
Power Corrodes the Spirit 269 30.03 46.84% 0.18 0.3417 -0.293
Promising Farmlands 420 29.94 48.33% 0.618 0.9156 -0.273
Shattered Fragments of Power 19 30.68 52.63% 0.357 0.4598 0.441
Slow Dissolution of Will 18 25.67 55.56% -0.052 0.3042 -0.533
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 50 36.22 74.0% -0.248 -0.9975 0.319
The Border of Life and Death 7 38.71 85.71% -0.105 -0.5822
Thriving Communities 256 28.79 48.44% 0.131 0.4356 -0.503
Thriving Crops 4 35.5 75.0%
Tipping Point 150 30.87 39.33% 0.242
Unnatural Proliferation 245 29.73 45.71% 0.654 0.8028 -0.187
Untended Land Crumbles 233 29.9 45.49% 0.529 0.782 -0.094

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1243 66.4% 29.41 54.95% -0.316 0.8579 -0.101
B 1276 69.35% 30.92 57.05% 0.109 1.1891 -0.263
C 1297 66.36% 31.56 63.15% 0.539 1.4649 0.237
D 1136 69.62% 29.81 56.25% -0.401 0.6864 0.024
E 667 62.46% 31.87 62.97% 0.102 1.024 0.05
F 1029 64.59% 31.48 59.77% -0.498 0.5497 0.244
G 950 75.45% 30.66 53.47% 0.281 1.2854 0.245
H 982 64.62% 32.73 60.18% 0.174 1.1955 0.032
East 1022 64.48% 38.18 52.25% 0.483 1.5193 0.096
Northeast 540 62.96% 38.87 53.89% -0.388 0.5999 0.183
Northwest 407 72.73% 36.47 48.89% -0.624 0.4305 -0.272
Southeast 187 57.22% 31.81 45.99% -0.546 0.4707 0.35
Southwest 330 74.24% 25.98 20.3% 0.471 1.9455 -2.49
West 1038 73.51% 32.8 37.19% -0.606 0.5182 -0.716

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 22 0.0% 31.95 77.27% 0.034 0.679
Not Using Events or Tokens 97 71.28% 28.55 55.67% -0.726 -0.2223 -0.674
Skip Initial Invader Actions 239 21.59% 55.06 93.31% 0.713 -0.0046 1.069
Start of Game Growth 282 27.24% 52.67 90.07% 0.713 0.3382 1.414
Unlimited Undo 355 53.22% 31.56 55.77% 0.218 0.1522 -0.146
Using Tokens but Not Events 683 60.09% 29.35 60.76% -0.881 -0.8065 -1.212

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2165 16.9 5.4%
II 2601 30.61 54.17%
III 2259 34.74 83.62%
IV 1030 38.28 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.107 Win Model: 0.033
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6083 68.12% 31.56 54.32%
2 1383 69.67% 31.93 58.79%
3 382 72.77% 33.5 56.02%
4 170 58.58% 34.92 61.76%
5 13 53.85% 31.77 15.38%
6 24 20.83% 19.0 29.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 116
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1863
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1401
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1023
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 662
Lose: Invader deck ran out 65
Lose: Adversary condition 604
Win: Sacrifice victory 42
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2063
Lose: Spirit destroyed 216

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-02-17 05:14:24 (Pacific Time)