Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 196 56.12% 28.87 -1.091 53.57% 0.078 0.4442
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 111 64.86% 37.58 -7.136 61.26% -0.416 -0.1011
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 54 68.52% 36.76 4.386 46.3% -0.095 0.6708
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 56 69.64% 28.88 -9.71 28.57% -0.614 0.3427
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 28 92.86% 37.18 -2.77 28.57% -0.612 0.6942
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 181 88.4% 24.96 15.258 1.66% 0.207 1.8755
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 27 70.37% 37.44 3.34 18.52% -0.333 1.6444
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 379 64.12% 29.74 5.735 60.69% 0.577 0.7911
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 356 64.89% 31.34 -2.325 58.15% -0.574 -0.4643
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 217 61.75% 39.92 -4.793 64.52% -1.055 -0.9789
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 125 75.2% 43.86 8.464 56.0% 0.132 0.3137
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 95 74.74% 47.08 27.179 52.63% 0.564 0.9546
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 59 91.53% 48.71 0.0 42.37%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 39 69.23% 33.95 0.0 20.51%
The Kingdom of England 0 1 354 62.15% 28.2 1.753 53.95% 0.333 0.7456
The Kingdom of England 1 3 186 66.13% 37.27 -0.786 60.22% 0.053 0.3331
The Kingdom of England 2 4 182 69.23% 30.59 -5.314 39.01% -0.669 -0.09
The Kingdom of England 3 6 66 81.82% 33.33 -10.676 31.82% -0.427 0.727
The Kingdom of England 4 7 105 85.71% 31.76 4.245 20.0% -0.171 0.9185
The Kingdom of England 5 9 23 65.22% 36.83 0.0 21.74%
The Kingdom of England 6 11 124 78.23% 28.95 -6.865 6.45% -0.343 1.6389
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 345 66.96% 28.91 -5.25 47.83% -0.89 -0.4261
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 215 77.67% 30.54 -0.124 40.93% -0.399 0.256
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 100 66.67% 34.62 0.0 33.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 110 70.0% 33.52 11.494 22.73% 0.518 1.8778
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 191 70.16% 35.58 4.057 16.23% -0.787 0.5587
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 110 76.36% 37.39 0.0 13.64%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 85 74.12% 36.04 -6.948 11.76% -0.261 1.1605
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 57 42.11% 18.75 0.765 36.84% 0.101 0.2404
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 21 33.33% 19.14 -2.06 33.33% -0.154 0.2689
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 24 58.33% 21.21 4.695 25.0% 0.299 0.6844
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 13 53.85% 25.08 -8.508 30.77% -0.197 0.1914
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 13 76.92% 24.38 3.249 30.77% -0.153 0.5195
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 24 50.0% 33.33 1.068 16.67% -0.171 0.8816
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 321 60.44% 28.78 -0.548 58.26% 0.231 0.534
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 300 64.0% 30.89 7.087 56.33% 1.068 1.1356
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 219 66.21% 34.18 -8.823 55.25% -0.447 -0.324
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 93 63.44% 36.05 1.078 49.46% -0.04 0.336
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 110 80.91% 35.15 -3.07 34.55% -0.125 0.4627
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 69 68.12% 39.32 8.718 40.58% 0.185 1.2739
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 90 86.67% 36.19 0.0 28.89%
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 157 52.87% 30.11 -7.358 63.06% -0.866 -0.8017
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 85 71.76% 31.15 -6.812 44.71% -0.447 0.3474
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 63 55.56% 25.44 -5.201 33.33% -0.794 -0.2874
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 35 48.57% 22.2 -0.771 20.0% -0.174 0.7791
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 24 62.5% 27.21 -3.854 20.83% -0.74 0.138
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 4 75.0% 56.5 6.755 50.0% -0.083 1.2884
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 43 44.19% 24.95 -3.108 9.3% -0.455 1.3648

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4928 66.47 29.47 56.55% 0.092 0.4357 -0.642
1 Thematic 1486 68.51 35.06 43.07% -0.888 -0.3601 0.082
2 Archipelago 4 50.0 53.5 50.0% 0.098
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 925 64.78 29.41 56.76% -0.529 -0.2442 -0.658
2 Coastline 102 69.31 27.0 58.82% 0.384 0.4134 1.252
2 Fragment 31 93.55 27.23 32.26% 0.303 0.066 0.496
2 Heart 15 86.67 33.0 53.33% 0.376 0.2283 -0.395
2 Opposite Shores 153 67.33 32.37 67.32% -0.042 0.0171 0.491
2 Thematic 312 70.83 34.06 46.15% -0.159 0.2107 -0.306
2 Top to Top 21 66.67 31.71 76.19% 0.464 0.5872 -0.223
3 Coastline 2 100.0 39.0 50.0% -0.096
3 Other 11 63.64 36.45 81.82% -0.07
3 Round (Default) 344 71.51 32.56 56.1% 0.708 0.615 0.023
3 Sunrise 1 100.0 23.0 0.0% -0.041
3 Thematic 66 56.06 31.83 43.94% 0.164 -0.3546 0.2
4 Other 8 62.5 32.75 62.5% -0.327 -0.3196 0.218
4 Thematic 37 51.35 32.62 56.76% -0.45
4 Trapezoid (Default) 143 61.27 34.27 60.84% 0.337 0.444 -0.187
5 Other 12 25.0 15.25 16.67% -0.449 -0.9641 -0.268
6 Archipelago 2 0.0 75.0 50.0% -0.234
6 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.28 0.3555
6 Star 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 23 52.17 22.04 13.04% -0.171 0.1523 -0.176
6 Two Centers (Default) 10 20.0 22.2 40.0% -0.157
7 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.072

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 540 31.25 46.11% 0.378 0.4816 -0.189
Aid From Lesser Spirits 401 34.98 55.86% 0.846 0.7012 0.549
All Things Weaken 237 28.31 43.46% -0.489 -0.1226 -0.343
Attenuated Essence 21 23.71 42.86% 0.384 0.3822 0.715
Back Against the Wall 398 32.29 50.5% 0.682 0.7472 -0.055
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 18 22.67 44.44% -0.019
Burn Brightest Before the End 17 34.29 76.47% 0.254 0.4142 -0.236
Disintegrating Ecosystem 508 27.65 44.29% -0.511 -0.1348 -0.164
Downward Spiral 608 29.81 51.64% -0.035 0.0368 0.072
Erosion of Will 515 29.37 42.91% 1.395 1.6514 -0.158
Intensifying Exploitation 35 30.94 57.14% 0.324 0.5983 0.331
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 76 36.49 76.32% 0.623 0.136 -0.183
Memory Fades to Dust 616 28.63 44.97% 0.046 0.2289 0.001
Power Corrodes the Spirit 276 29.82 46.74% -0.168 0.0449 -0.226
Promising Farmlands 439 29.72 48.29% 0.093 0.4155 -0.244
Shattered Fragments of Power 27 27.63 48.15% -0.27 -0.0995 0.158
Slow Dissolution of Will 26 25.65 53.85% 0.249 0.6332 -0.546
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 55 36.33 74.55% 0.465 -0.2112 0.639
The Border of Life and Death 12 35.5 75.0% 0.214 -0.3022
Thriving Communities 265 28.37 47.55% -0.976 -0.6522 -0.419
Thriving Crops 8 33.75 75.0% 0.673 0.6745
Tipping Point 150 30.87 39.33% 0.303
Unnatural Proliferation 259 29.8 46.33% -0.112 0.0742 -0.317
Untended Land Crumbles 246 29.38 44.72% 0.405 0.7437 0.008

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1324 65.33% 28.64 53.7% 0.261 1.124 -0.067
B 1396 67.29% 29.64 55.01% -0.57 0.2508 -0.391
C 1398 65.2% 30.73 61.52% 0.239 0.9369 0.029
D 1224 67.3% 28.9 54.49% -0.128 0.7282 -0.038
E 734 60.98% 30.85 61.04% 0.272 0.9603 0.065
F 1115 63.64% 30.54 58.12% 0.022 0.8402 0.14
G 1020 72.82% 29.66 52.25% -0.141 0.7398 0.089
H 1057 63.82% 31.87 58.75% 0.288 1.069 0.022
East 1099 62.51% 36.69 50.32% -0.042 0.751 0.016
Northeast 583 61.58% 37.34 51.8% 0.016 0.8969 0.132
Northwest 427 71.9% 35.83 47.78% -0.04 0.831 -0.241
Southeast 207 55.07% 30.14 43.48% -0.225 0.6339 0.11
Southwest 353 72.52% 25.4 20.96% -0.248 0.9608 -2.622
West 1096 72.17% 31.98 36.41% -1.201 -0.1401 -0.775

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 23 0.0% 32.17 78.26%
Not Using Events or Tokens 98 70.53% 28.26 55.1% -0.404 0.0697 -0.655
Skip Initial Invader Actions 243 21.65% 54.87 93.0% 0.257 -0.3107 1.02
Start of Game Growth 290 27.27% 52.0 88.97% -0.108 -0.7721 1.372
Unlimited Undo 388 52.53% 30.86 53.87% -0.143 -0.1196 -0.001
Using Tokens but Not Events 733 59.47% 28.33 58.53% -0.284 -0.2359 -1.213

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2474 15.45 4.85%
II 2723 30.45 54.13%
III 2372 34.8 83.73%
IV 1071 38.47 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.353 Win Model: 0.019
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6504 66.68% 30.67 53.09%
2 1499 67.99% 30.78 56.7%
3 410 70.98% 33.17 55.85%
4 180 59.22% 34.24 61.11%
5 22 45.45% 22.5 9.09%
6 25 20.0% 18.24 28.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 119
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1960
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1466
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1063
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 944
Lose: Invader deck ran out 65
Lose: Adversary condition 618
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2136
Lose: Spirit destroyed 226

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)