Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Rituals of Terror

↵ Back to Statistics Homepage

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
3	10642	49.83%	38.19	66.05%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
A Spread of Rampant Green	1485	36.67%	41.11	1.096	77.37%	0.345	0.459
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	542	75.93%	30.51	-3.539	41.33%	-0.8	-0.5938
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	394	56.17%	38.2	-0.47	63.96%	0.012	-0.0932
Eyes Watch From the Trees	742	38.4%	40.86	1.075	78.3%	0.529	0.1363
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	490	37.15%	42.54	1.429	77.76%	0.423	0.1326
Fractured Days Split the Sky	56	51.79%	41.84	1.139	69.64%	-0.004	0.3492
Heart of the Wildfire	502	75.05%	31.29	-2.957	47.21%	-0.239	0.0894
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	979	39.38%	44.5	2.479	78.96%	0.896	0.5655
Lightning's Swift Strike	947	58.33%	36.5	-0.936	61.14%	0.036	0.2718
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	140	53.78%	36.92	-0.468	74.29%	0.267	-0.0205

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	111	54.05%	36.26	-0.477	63.96%	-0.61	-0.3262
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	106	49.06%	43.21	2.044	67.92%	-0.556	-0.1449
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	41	70.73%	44.54	4.846	60.98%	-0.387	0.4894
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	44	70.45%	44.32	3.455	47.73%	-1.156	0.0901
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	13	76.92%	49.08	6.392	46.15%	-1.106	0.3961
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	7	100.0%	36.57	1.724	14.29%	-0.824	1.1298
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	15	35.71%	70.4	13.106	66.67%	-1.07	0.9731
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	581	44.48%	35.68	-0.665	71.94%	-0.249	-0.2073
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	413	49.15%	38.03	0.751	69.98%	-0.357	-0.3758
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	290	58.68%	45.2	4.456	66.9%	-0.338	-0.3248

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
1	Single Board	5723	49.86	35.25	-1.61	66.63%	-0.29	-0.1176
1	Thematic	1710	55.42	42.57	1.361	51.17%	-0.456	-0.0947
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	1299	48.75	39.29	0.665	73.21%	0.196	0.2476
2	Coastline	123	43.09	41.8	1.186	79.67%	0.252	0.2597
2	Fragment	32	56.25	34.63	-1.738	59.38%	-0.323	-0.0666
2	Heart	24	40.91	40.13	0.662	70.83%	-0.037	0.1051
2	Opposite Shores	206	35.71	40.27	0.054	84.95%	0.179	0.27
2	Thematic	418	53.98	45.79	2.117	62.68%	0.06	0.0184
2	Top to Top	34	35.29	41.41	0.595	79.41%	0.149	0.1182
3	Archipelago	1	100.0	36.0	-0.69	0.0%	-0.1	0.9822

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
A Pall Upon the Land	388	32.78	-3.954	41.75%	-2.26	-0.1864
Aid From Lesser Spirits	319	34.2	-3.331	46.71%	-2.125	-0.207
All Things Weaken	133	31.18	-4.41	43.61%	-2.266	-0.0954
Back Against the Wall	325	32.04	-4.417	41.23%	-2.459	-0.3674
Disintegrating Ecosystem	402	28.83	-5.81	38.06%	-2.448	-0.2229
Downward Spiral	951	30.11	-4.964	42.06%	-2.255	-0.2321
Erosion of Will	378	30.49	-5.156	38.1%	-2.46	-0.2509
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	50	43.2	1.654	82.0%	-0.361	0.3252
Memory Fades to Dust	1051	31.2	-4.497	42.06%	-2.236	-0.0173
Power Corrodes the Spirit	126	30.94	-4.413	46.83%	-2.137	-0.1127
Promising Farmlands	385	29.23	-5.818	35.06%	-2.677	-0.4629
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	32	42.56	1.306	84.38%	-0.079	0.3308
Thriving Communities	134	30.93	-4.637	42.54%	-2.174	-0.0797
Tipping Point	225	29.1	-5.841	32.0%	-2.674	-0.4477
Unnatural Proliferation	151	32.03	-3.946	40.4%	-2.255	-0.1684
Untended Land Crumbles	139	29.63	-5.171	41.01%	-2.37	-0.264

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
A	2272	49.26%	37.16	-0.35	70.29%	0.099	-0.6612
B	2201	45.66%	37.56	-0.213	71.1%	0.066	-0.7907
C	2382	44.43%	37.94	0.092	74.1%	0.275	-0.8132
D	2211	49.7%	36.97	-0.284	67.84%	0.092	-0.7582
E	493	49.24%	36.95	-0.755	70.59%	-0.147	-1.1117
East	777	52.93%	46.68	2.46	59.07%	0.092	-0.5573
F	871	46.34%	38.83	0.172	73.02%	0.152	-0.7617
G	784	49.09%	38.9	0.207	71.56%	0.211	-0.6948
H	818	45.58%	38.98	0.062	72.98%	0.026	-0.8881
Northeast	751	53.15%	47.26	2.755	61.52%	0.286	-0.3131
Northwest	658	54.52%	44.95	1.665	57.14%	0.098	-0.5718
Southeast	167	52.1%	41.37	0.679	62.87%	0.041	-0.6647
Southwest	137	61.94%	31.45	-4.272	47.45%	-0.745	-1.0182
West	738	55.45%	41.82	-0.036	48.78%	-0.521	-0.9196

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Blight Card	229	0.0%	35.98	-4.076	86.9%	-1.588	0.4683
Not Using Events or Tokens	2123	54.29%	35.57	-0.911	63.12%	-0.337	-0.1206
Skip Initial Invader Actions	519	14.96%	50.69	4.216	87.48%	0.427	-0.2603
Start of Game Growth	557	17.33%	50.32	4.072	87.25%	0.902	0.4318
Unlimited Undo	683	51.18%	38.54	-0.952	70.13%	-0.166	-0.5858
Using Tokens but Not Events	920	30.14%	40.52	0.39	84.89%	0.423	0.3702

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	3451	22.35	48.22%
II	3349	30.84	63.72%
III	2182	34.35	72.0%
IV	1660	37.52	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.454 Win Model: -0.004

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	7450	51.13%	36.95	63.1%
2	2127	48.34%	40.73	72.4%
3	735	42.16%	41.88	76.05%
4	330	47.52%	41.44	69.39%

Results

Result	Completed
Lose: Adversary condition	762
Lose: Blight pool ran out	2193
Lose: Invader deck ran out	251
Lose: Spirit destroyed	407
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	1327
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	1636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	1144
Win: Sacrifice victory	278
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	1060

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)