Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 133 30.08% 25.32 62.41% -0.082 -0.339 -0.775
Blitz 0 2074 30.25% 27.95 73.05% -0.401 -0.0947 -0.166
Dahan Insurrection 4 1370 28.54% 46.88 63.28% -1.281 -1.7162 0.427
Despicable Theft 2 261 39.46% 26.65 56.7% -0.918 -0.2237 0.38
Elemental Invocation 1 453 46.46% 26.34 58.06% 0.285 0.9543 -0.88
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6657 13.75% 46.86 79.09% 0.821 0.2077 1.091
Powers Long Forgotten 1 771 50.72% 28.41 58.5% -0.66 0.0439 -0.162
Rituals of Terror 3 608 43.21% 38.4 64.47% -0.203 -0.2148 0.123
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 503 68.53% 31.84 48.51% -0.609 0.2596 -0.151
Second Wave 0 8197 36.67% 29.32 77.36% 0.127 0.2802 0.027
The Great River 3 431 45.35% 26.12 53.6% -0.197 0.876 -0.9
Varied Terrains 2 196 45.41% 25.42 55.61% -0.288 0.5486 -0.549
Ward the Shores 2 858 40.16% 31.73 59.56% -1.007 0.0367 -0.342

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 79835 39.74% 28.41 72.19% 0.492 0.8257 0.404
1 Thematic 4608 39.78% 34.26 66.43% 0.48 1.1213 0.803
2 Archipelago 45 48.89% 32.27 73.33% 0.599 1.3671 -0.201
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26619 43.0% 29.21 71.35% 0.228 0.3471 0.383
2 Coastline 3603 39.07% 31.18 75.99% 0.176 -0.0068 0.786
2 Fragment 722 43.84% 26.85 74.52% 0.565 0.4875 0.333
2 Heart 473 47.79% 26.5 73.78% -0.169 -0.5667 0.152
2 Opposite Shores 5100 36.3% 29.05 74.59% 0.553 0.5879 -0.221
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4289 0.0
2 Thematic 2267 42.61% 31.68 59.02% 0.09 0.568 0.118
2 Top to Top 683 44.9% 31.48 74.67% 0.859 0.7195 0.725
3 Archipelago 41 31.71% 34.78 85.37% -0.071 -0.6914 0.442
3 Coastline 138 42.65% 27.65 68.84% 1.105 -0.0726 1.059
3 Other 575 36.04% 29.45 80.87% 0.376 -0.3743 0.425
3 Round (Default) 14177 39.52% 31.68 74.63% 0.153 0.0603 0.204
3 Sunrise 80 33.77% 28.14 86.25% 0.314 -0.0238 -0.217
3 Thematic 661 44.61% 31.94 62.63% -0.227 -0.3611 -0.126
4 Archipelago 67 39.06% 33.06 76.12% -0.61 -0.7299 0.12
4 Coastline 90 27.78% 26.14 67.78% -0.152 -0.2062 0.142
4 Leaf 67 59.7% 29.63 79.1% 0.054 0.7084 -0.318
4 Other 392 34.11% 30.65 76.53% -0.351 -1.1035 0.958
4 Reverse Snake 3 66.67% 21.0 66.67% -0.298 -0.4006 0.0
4 Snake 4 50.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1582 34.62% 40.55 72.12% -0.778 -0.7423 0.237
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9857 31.67% 33.49 76.6% -0.694 -0.8886 -0.028
5 Archipelago 19 57.89% 26.79 68.42% -0.671 0.3595 -0.081
5 Coastline 34 5.88% 26.26 79.41% 0.0 -0.7517 -0.372
5 Other 764 27.76% 28.86 79.97% 0.038 -0.4785 0.066
5 Thematic 60 23.33% 32.3 76.67% -0.123 0.0157 0.412
6 Archipelago 310 1.67% 66.93 80.65% 1.342 0.261 -0.985
6 Coastline 43 4.76% 28.14 86.05% -0.741 -1.8701 -0.157
6 Other 335 17.23% 32.1 71.04% -0.558 -0.8719 -0.97
6 Star 160 26.25% 24.31 68.13% 0.347 0.9309 -1.739
6 Thematic 648 23.87% 23.79 52.62% -1.528 -1.5931 -0.662
6 Two Centers (Default) 965 17.47% 24.21 70.57% -1.171 -0.9453 -1.055
7 Archipelago 5 25.0% 13.4 40.0% 0.447 0.2978 -0.295
7 Other 38 26.32% 15.11 34.21% 0.062 -0.7372 -1.655

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4313 30.27 55.81% -0.062 -0.0406 0.014
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3793 32.57 60.11% -0.067 -0.1979 0.285
All Things Weaken 2557 28.17 49.75% -0.635 -0.4856 -0.363
Attenuated Essence 398 25.11 48.74% -0.208 -0.2463 -0.576
Back Against the Wall 3606 30.88 55.38% 0.409 0.3898 0.051
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 402 26.72 44.53% -0.738 -0.5967 -0.656
Burn Brightest Before the End 339 30.86 51.03% 0.671 0.6789 -0.261
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4140 27.91 54.49% -0.138 0.0621 -0.008
Downward Spiral 7671 25.61 59.74% -0.311 -0.2577 -0.084
Erosion of Will 4189 28.66 52.16% -0.11 0.049 -0.218
Intensifying Exploitation 443 28.74 50.34% -0.267 -0.1359 -0.082
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1135 33.95 76.92% 0.85 0.3009 0.293
Memory Fades to Dust 7721 25.21 55.94% -0.178 0.0225 -0.071
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2725 28.84 53.69% -0.225 -0.1417 -0.229
Promising Farmlands 4046 28.23 52.92% 0.233 0.4511 -0.425
Shattered Fragments of Power 349 29.61 49.28% -0.823 -0.7722 -0.37
Slow Dissolution of Will 418 25.78 42.82% -0.473 -0.1335 -0.626
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 736 34.0 81.52% 0.084 -0.6059 0.551
The Border of Life and Death 121 30.73 69.42% -0.667 -1.0913 0.841
Thriving Communities 2569 29.01 55.35% -0.068 0.1023 0.029
Thriving Crops 214 28.23 52.34% 0.047 -0.2693 -0.274
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.5633 -0.175
Unnatural Proliferation 2792 31.97 57.84% -0.023 0.0262 0.153
Untended Land Crumbles 2538 28.45 54.1% -0.092 0.1079 -0.231

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 33935 38.64% 29.73 72.76% 0.011 0.9821 0.012
B 38756 37.39% 30.63 73.54% 0.238 1.1224 0.101
C 36939 36.97% 30.96 74.61% 0.128 0.846 0.191
D 33013 36.68% 30.43 74.62% 0.415 1.2999 0.085
E 20226 39.32% 30.24 72.59% 0.282 0.9912 0.147
F 31476 37.62% 29.65 73.08% -0.055 0.7508 0.038
G 32338 38.44% 30.09 73.32% -0.006 0.7758 0.197
H 30176 37.79% 29.67 73.0% 0.019 0.7854 0.065
East 6748 37.8% 34.25 63.72% -0.442 0.3404 -0.497
Northeast 4611 36.66% 34.13 63.41% -0.505 0.3189 -0.821
Northwest 4459 36.34% 34.75 65.44% -0.071 0.6813 -0.832
Southeast 1795 33.65% 29.03 60.78% -0.438 0.4387 -0.552
Southwest 1751 34.39% 27.24 58.37% -0.524 0.7955 -0.624
West 6779 38.2% 33.86 63.71% -0.519 0.4202 -0.853

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6620 0.0% 16.91 64.46% -1.183 -0.5447 -0.613
Not Using Events or Tokens 18254 34.62% 22.09 71.75% -0.318 0.1443 -0.111
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5063 11.86% 35.37 89.49% 0.582 -0.1914 0.42
Start of Game Growth 7459 15.21% 35.78 87.26% 0.231 -0.2089 0.922
Unlimited Undo 15182 32.44% 30.81 77.84% -0.112 -0.1466 0.464
Using Tokens but Not Events 21805 23.06% 28.13 81.04% 0.118 0.0322 -0.53

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8473 25.91% 35.36 79.04% 0.13 0.0376 0.591
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 185 25.0% 32.21 71.35% 1.251 0.7082 0.992
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2555 48.21% 28.62 68.45% -0.314 -0.1463 -0.343
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 224 37.84% 25.24 50.89% -0.173 -1.0262 -0.884
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 43.84% 32.11 71.23% 0.424 0.236 0.692
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9485 35.98% 28.93 72.13% -0.314 -0.5527 -0.259
Downpour Drenches the World 890 29.46% 25.37 61.01% 0.233 0.5855 -0.273
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1076 36.12% 29.98 67.66% 1.164 0.6309 0.377
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9329 28.18% 30.15 78.3% 0.358 -0.0612 -0.024
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8369 30.97% 30.81 76.6% -0.074 -0.4836 -0.221
Finder of Paths Unseen 791 38.25% 26.65 58.03% -0.262 0.4156 0.238
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1057 33.94% 30.84 69.82% -0.114 0.3631 0.237
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1388 41.59% 30.51 68.23% -0.191 -0.2511 0.057
Heart of the Wildfire 3539 54.27% 30.11 66.43% -0.34 -0.0259 -0.495
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6736 35.04% 35.44 77.6% 0.125 -0.3493 0.355
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 341 31.76% 25.3 48.39% 0.358 -0.0409 -0.753
Lightning's Swift Strike 5221 37.66% 28.99 74.22% 0.11 0.3295 -0.265
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 795 22.84% 46.63 72.58% -0.024 -0.3804 0.341
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 695 36.35% 32.89 74.68% -0.376 -0.6762 0.755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1047 34.98% 31.05 70.2% 0.165 0.3461 0.54
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2897 41.74% 31.41 70.56% -0.22 -0.4319 -0.454
Many Minds Move as One 1794 36.75% 30.17 76.53% 0.657 0.4219 0.202
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6024 32.17% 38.94 78.14% 0.473 0.5994 0.96
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 107 46.23% 33.28 75.7% 0.672 0.7479 0.968
River Surges in Sunlight 6430 31.55% 36.4 76.17% 0.232 0.196 0.369
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 107 33.66% 21.3 44.86% -0.857 -0.6231 -0.371
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1016 34.01% 27.05 68.9% -0.834 -0.6474 0.293
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 645 34.66% 29.41 63.1% -0.107 -0.2691 0.028
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4829 36.17% 34.11 73.39% 0.166 -0.013 0.204
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 50 40.0% 33.22 72.0% 0.944 0.4355 -0.051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2084 46.11% 25.51 68.62% 0.023 0.5348 -0.542
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 177 42.42% 26.37 63.84% 0.075 0.0974 0.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 185 41.67% 25.92 58.38% -0.305 -0.7304 -0.744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 158 27.4% 21.99 57.59% -0.945 -0.6579 -0.545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 559 39.3% 26.71 65.47% -0.102 -0.1901 -0.298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 453 41.57% 25.37 66.23% 0.543 0.7599 -0.594
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3972 34.85% 35.64 77.37% 0.079 -0.0303 0.208
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 412 36.12% 29.12 70.15% 0.43 0.3013 0.288
Shifting Memory of Ages 1231 41.0% 26.46 66.29% -0.444 -0.0711 -0.204
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 174 31.79% 27.3 58.62% -0.464 -0.3414 -0.392
Shroud of Silent Mist 1332 43.39% 26.14 66.52% -0.308 0.0727 -0.572
Starlight Seeks its Form 1417 38.54% 30.92 68.24% 0.244 0.1747 0.504
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3366 43.34% 31.58 70.56% 0.58 0.0524 -0.082
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6793 31.29% 30.65 77.04% -0.101 -0.0061 0.414
Thunderspeaker 3868 36.94% 32.5 75.62% -0.05 -0.0507 0.352
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 183 33.15% 18.03 42.62% -0.842 -0.4824 -0.687
Towering Roots of the Jungle 255 41.5% 25.56 61.96% 0.117 0.2945 0.118
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2082 59.36% 29.03 64.22% -0.221 -0.2169 -0.23
Vital Strength of the Earth 3856 32.26% 25.96 72.67% -0.197 0.3125 -0.263
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 437 33.33% 24.44 54.23% -1.031 -0.5211 -0.173
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 630 37.56% 24.95 62.86% -0.175 0.4898 -0.609
Volcano Looming High 2030 44.79% 28.86 68.77% 0.112 0.1742 0.217
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 473 30.51% 27.95 63.42% -0.054 -0.3679 -0.012

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.26%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.78%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.15%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27422 13.99 16.68%
II 59762 30.24 74.96%
III 51979 34.83 90.32%
IV 15980 38.62 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4571
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46247
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 43884
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15793
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11298
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1530
Lose: Adversary condition 10641
Win: Sacrifice victory 363
Lose: Scenario condition 1055
Win: Scenario condition 1376
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17868
Lose: Spirit destroyed 517

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.098 Win Model: -0.149

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.33 Win Model: 0.216
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 84746 39.75% 28.7 71.78%
2 39473 41.85% 29.52 71.79%
3 15612 39.64% 31.57 74.46%
4 12100 32.14% 34.28 76.17%
5 762 26.88% 26.77 74.54%
6 2450 17.27% 30.6 67.55%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-03 11:51:59 (Pacific Time)