Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 104 32.69% 25.32 62.5% 0.274 0.2247 -0.652
Blitz 0 1950 30.77% 28.54 74.46% -0.193 0.0671 -0.129
Dahan Insurrection 4 1298 29.16% 48.17 64.56% -1.158 -1.3138 0.381
Despicable Theft 2 219 42.47% 27.78 58.45% -1.639 -0.8348 0.32
Elemental Invocation 1 403 46.52% 26.51 58.56% -0.865 0.0182 -1.255
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6221 14.05% 46.57 79.36% 0.708 0.1475 0.966
Powers Long Forgotten 1 708 52.57% 29.53 60.45% -1.455 -0.5622 -0.177
Rituals of Terror 3 583 43.52% 39.3 65.87% -0.177 -0.297 0.124
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 465 69.18% 33.18 50.32% -0.613 0.2485 -0.084
Second Wave 0 7593 37.0% 29.46 77.91% 0.46 0.5423 -0.063
The Great River 3 386 44.94% 26.69 55.18% -1.392 0.1435 -0.741
Varied Terrains 2 158 42.41% 26.06 56.33% -0.163 0.6175 -0.494
Ward the Shores 2 798 40.3% 32.93 61.65% -1.629 -0.568 -0.281

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 73381 40.16% 29.0 73.56% 0.187 0.5551 0.303
1 Thematic 4301 40.52% 34.74 67.36% 0.341 0.8483 0.696
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 32.34 75.61% 0.0 0.5127 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24197 43.31% 29.86 73.18% 0.092 0.3686 0.391
2 Coastline 3337 38.84% 31.85 77.11% 0.314 0.3641 0.681
2 Fragment 667 42.99% 27.27 76.16% 0.745 0.5124 0.093
2 Heart 425 47.67% 26.3 75.29% 0.632 0.5888 -0.361
2 Opposite Shores 4656 36.46% 29.54 75.97% 0.429 0.5225 -0.265
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4345 0.0
2 Thematic 2091 43.0% 32.29 59.64% -0.512 -0.2682 0.081
2 Top to Top 617 44.46% 31.8 76.01% 0.675 0.7061 0.663
3 Archipelago 38 28.95% 35.68 89.47% 0.147 -0.6975 0.362
3 Coastline 121 41.18% 27.31 69.42% 0.335 -0.2682 1.082
3 Other 528 35.82% 30.09 82.77% -0.393 -0.9575 0.421
3 Round (Default) 12992 39.62% 32.23 75.72% 0.307 0.1852 0.237
3 Sunrise 78 34.67% 28.22 85.9% 0.0 0.1751 -0.238
3 Thematic 586 45.21% 33.53 65.02% -0.429 -0.9096 0.004
4 Archipelago 60 40.35% 33.85 78.33% -0.011 0.4861 0.018
4 Coastline 84 27.38% 26.55 70.24% -0.722 -1.1945 0.193
4 Leaf 61 59.02% 30.48 77.05% 0.355 -0.0186 -0.316
4 Other 359 33.43% 31.28 78.27% 0.041 -0.1588 0.989
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 38.33 66.67% 0.0 -1.1461 0.0
4 Thematic 1517 34.79% 41.41 73.1% -0.695 -0.7157 0.313
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9240 31.83% 34.27 78.03% -0.048 0.162 0.08
5 Archipelago 15 60.0% 23.4 73.33% -0.244 -0.4585 -0.393
5 Coastline 30 6.67% 26.83 80.0% -0.644 -0.4744 -0.407
5 Other 645 26.0% 29.07 81.24% 0.253 -0.1913 0.183
5 Thematic 54 25.93% 34.48 79.63% -0.256 -0.8881 0.597
6 Archipelago 146 2.94% 61.84 80.14% 0.291 -0.4543 -0.823
6 Coastline 40 5.56% 26.98 87.5% 0.122 -0.6669 -0.185
6 Other 292 16.67% 34.08 73.63% -1.045 -0.3681 -0.67
6 Star 134 29.1% 24.78 67.91% -0.349 0.0849 -1.386
6 Thematic 547 25.65% 24.83 54.66% -0.984 -0.9266 -0.807
6 Two Centers (Default) 810 16.71% 24.97 74.07% -0.317 -0.508 -1.065
7 Archipelago 5 25.0% 13.4 40.0% -0.168 0.4266 -0.386
7 Other 34 26.47% 16.12 35.29% -0.099 -1.3139 -1.409

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4093 30.37 55.9% 0.133 0.2776 -0.065
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3617 32.69 60.46% -0.096 -0.1991 0.169
All Things Weaken 2354 28.51 50.3% -0.603 -0.2984 -0.413
Attenuated Essence 257 24.56 48.25% 0.245 0.2675 -0.746
Back Against the Wall 3434 31.02 55.39% -0.623 -0.5747 -0.043
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 278 27.01 44.24% -0.238 -0.0323 -0.817
Burn Brightest Before the End 225 29.19 50.22% -0.105 0.0716 -0.558
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3930 27.95 54.45% -0.396 0.023 -0.13
Downward Spiral 7153 25.96 60.32% -0.118 -0.0503 -0.202
Erosion of Will 3968 28.78 52.42% 0.067 0.3599 -0.319
Intensifying Exploitation 288 29.15 51.74% 0.173 0.468 0.059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1037 34.37 77.24% 0.159 -0.3163 0.192
Memory Fades to Dust 7238 25.55 56.16% -0.269 -0.0468 -0.216
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2495 28.95 54.07% -0.292 -0.1166 -0.321
Promising Farmlands 3845 28.37 53.19% -0.058 0.2457 -0.52
Shattered Fragments of Power 231 31.54 52.81% 0.139 0.3278 -0.396
Slow Dissolution of Will 280 25.86 43.57% -0.231 0.1387 -0.887
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 685 34.41 81.75% 0.644 -0.1095 0.419
The Border of Life and Death 88 34.06 75.0% 0.637 0.0753 1.112
Thriving Communities 2345 29.23 55.78% -0.749 -0.4425 -0.099
Thriving Crops 141 27.4 49.65% -0.502 -0.4729 -0.175
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.0 -0.295
Unnatural Proliferation 2584 32.39 58.24% -0.086 0.0676 0.004
Untended Land Crumbles 2326 28.66 54.21% -0.11 0.2473 -0.345

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 31027 39.0% 30.13 74.02% -0.361 0.5077 0.004
B 35564 37.86% 31.08 74.83% -0.1 0.7324 0.116
C 33817 37.16% 31.39 76.0% -0.197 0.4911 0.204
D 30281 36.95% 30.84 75.89% -0.223 0.616 0.123
E 18000 39.49% 30.88 74.08% -0.116 0.5862 0.149
F 28714 38.08% 30.44 75.05% -0.113 0.7048 0.175
G 29562 38.99% 30.61 74.82% -0.292 0.5651 0.225
H 27419 38.19% 30.1 74.62% -0.165 0.6205 0.142
East 6222 38.49% 35.26 65.01% 0.001 0.8792 -0.481
Northeast 4266 37.38% 35.06 64.37% -0.632 0.2411 -0.837
Northwest 4111 37.23% 35.6 66.5% 0.074 0.9586 -0.849
Southeast 1573 35.02% 30.42 63.57% -0.999 -0.107 -0.579
Southwest 1541 35.79% 28.51 60.74% -0.365 0.8997 -0.539
West 6246 38.9% 34.73 64.84% -0.613 0.4564 -0.861

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5914 0.0% 17.46 67.18% -1.453 -0.7177 -0.881
Not Using Events or Tokens 16501 34.77% 22.87 74.14% -0.197 0.2301 -0.051
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4711 11.9% 35.89 90.87% 0.854 0.2438 0.316
Start of Game Growth 6926 15.32% 36.4 88.71% -0.03 -0.6367 0.994
Unlimited Undo 13928 32.44% 31.48 79.57% 0.23 0.233 0.444
Using Tokens but Not Events 19666 23.4% 28.54 83.16% 0.512 0.5224 -0.195

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7907 26.57% 35.26 79.97% 0.316 0.1246 0.51
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 48 18.75% 31.77 75.0% 0.939 0.2437 0.406
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2454 48.38% 29.06 69.15% -0.492 -0.1845 -0.344
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 145 36.36% 25.43 54.48% 0.514 -0.1737 -0.465
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8817 36.61% 29.63 73.59% -0.353 -0.4913 -0.311
Downpour Drenches the World 734 30.64% 25.41 62.13% 0.382 0.6082 -0.218
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 824 35.71% 29.99 67.35% 0.553 0.1662 0.17
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8617 28.67% 30.77 79.44% -0.107 -0.4923 -0.091
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7590 31.99% 30.76 78.05% 0.207 -0.2362 -0.245
Finder of Paths Unseen 666 37.31% 27.63 60.21% 0.266 0.9294 0.188
Fractured Days Split the Sky 942 34.05% 31.37 71.66% -1.08 -0.3765 0.37
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1162 42.96% 31.84 70.91% -0.297 -0.3785 0.143
Heart of the Wildfire 3227 53.54% 30.94 69.14% -0.13 0.1437 -0.286
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6359 34.8% 35.85 78.39% -0.17 -0.5071 0.307
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 198 25.76% 26.52 54.55% 0.215 -0.22 -0.524
Lightning's Swift Strike 4900 37.83% 29.75 75.18% -0.023 0.2532 -0.28
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 522 28.1% 43.04 73.56% 0.201 -0.1604 0.284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 638 37.1% 33.78 76.02% -0.12 -0.5318 0.792
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 918 35.1% 31.93 72.44% 0.817 0.8071 0.545
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2582 42.17% 32.3 72.04% -0.024 -0.2847 -0.454
Many Minds Move as One 1621 37.13% 30.84 77.98% 0.4 0.258 0.173
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5521 32.88% 38.74 79.03% 0.609 0.5092 0.869
River Surges in Sunlight 5926 32.27% 36.45 77.4% -0.196 -0.1063 0.342
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 27 40.74% 22.22 40.74% -0.824 -0.941 0.401
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 915 34.31% 27.55 70.6% -1.071 -0.6221 0.292
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 535 33.33% 29.94 64.67% -0.002 0.0797 -0.052
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4549 36.65% 34.53 74.17% -0.457 -0.6724 0.199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1959 45.82% 26.11 69.63% -0.059 0.4491 -0.57
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 147 44.6% 27.57 65.31% 0.264 0.3225 0.321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 105 43.69% 28.35 62.86% 0.337 -0.1369 -0.143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 31.62% 22.72 59.06% 0.002 0.2752 -0.429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 507 41.02% 27.93 67.26% -0.111 -0.2301 -0.387
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 412 41.41% 25.77 66.99% 0.123 0.4123 -0.746
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3815 35.13% 36.01 78.01% -0.035 -0.1975 0.225
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 323 39.25% 29.78 71.21% 0.404 0.2549 0.389
Shifting Memory of Ages 1085 42.29% 27.31 67.93% -0.498 -0.1157 -0.263
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 51 29.41% 30.06 70.59% 0.57 0.271 0.148
Shroud of Silent Mist 1174 44.22% 27.09 68.65% -0.272 0.0435 -0.529
Starlight Seeks its Form 1142 39.19% 32.44 71.98% 0.379 0.2309 0.43
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3124 43.72% 31.93 71.13% 0.443 -0.1975 -0.171
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6257 31.47% 31.49 79.14% -0.227 -0.0393 0.476
Thunderspeaker 3628 37.04% 33.06 76.3% 0.397 0.3719 0.284
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 140 34.78% 18.06 43.57% -1.012 -0.8594 -0.802
Towering Roots of the Jungle 82 47.56% 28.29 71.95% 0.719 0.7109 0.345
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1929 59.56% 29.43 65.01% -0.34 -0.2616 -0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth 3626 32.21% 26.6 74.21% 0.234 0.8295 -0.342
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 355 34.02% 25.02 55.77% -0.924 -0.4074 -0.113
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 568 38.74% 25.9 64.08% -0.839 -0.1182 -0.678
Volcano Looming High 1810 45.14% 29.49 70.28% -0.033 0.0633 0.16
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 317 29.34% 29.56 65.93% 0.392 0.0867 0.103

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.06%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.54%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.04%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23110 15.56 18.49%
II 55724 30.46 75.32%
III 48422 34.8 90.37%
IV 14939 38.44 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4271
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43087
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41085
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14761
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7754
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1437
Lose: Adversary condition 9927
Win: Sacrifice victory 347
Lose: Scenario condition 1012
Win: Scenario condition 1328
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16703
Lose: Spirit destroyed 483

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.852 Win Model: -0.114

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.002 Win Model: 0.001
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 77928 40.2% 29.3 73.14%
2 36011 42.02% 30.13 73.39%
3 14295 39.69% 32.15 75.64%
4 11377 32.27% 35.07 77.49%
5 625 25.54% 26.74 75.52%
6 1959 18.51% 29.0 69.22%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-10 06:17:01 (Pacific Time)