Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 39.39% 24.7 60.61% -0.61 -0.7473 -0.714
Blitz 0 1638 32.86% 30.16 78.33% 0.193 0.3945 -0.094
Dahan Insurrection 4 1115 31.14% 51.9 69.15% -0.359 -0.5651 0.385
Despicable Theft 2 124 47.58% 33.9 75.0% -0.744 -0.0294 0.098
Elemental Invocation 1 255 51.57% 32.0 73.33% -0.333 0.3848 -0.803
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5446 14.03% 46.55 80.54% 0.624 0.0297 0.69
Powers Long Forgotten 1 580 56.37% 32.17 65.86% -0.986 -0.5013 -0.116
Rituals of Terror 3 502 45.58% 42.31 69.72% -0.948 -1.007 0.061
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 397 74.24% 36.44 55.42% -1.201 -0.258 -0.016
Second Wave 0 6339 38.09% 29.95 78.86% 0.221 0.3107 -0.291
The Great River 3 280 50.18% 30.87 64.29% -1.846 -0.4343 -0.397
Varied Terrains 2 56 41.07% 35.34 73.21% -0.279 0.2367 0.568
Ward the Shores 2 677 41.77% 35.58 65.29% -1.32 -0.1697 -0.274

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 60227 40.91% 30.4 77.1% 0.356 0.6319 0.138
1 Thematic 3700 42.34% 36.15 69.81% 0.57 1.2216 0.393
2 Archipelago 28 53.57% 36.93 82.14% -0.082 0.4493 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19591 44.24% 31.24 76.55% 0.212 0.4183 0.196
2 Coastline 2646 39.34% 33.4 81.1% 0.676 0.7731 0.296
2 Fragment 535 43.39% 28.81 79.07% 0.065 -0.0085 0.028
2 Heart 347 49.1% 27.27 76.66% 0.595 0.2602 -0.688
2 Opposite Shores 3808 36.51% 30.79 78.86% 0.002 0.2092 -0.485
2 Thematic 1685 45.4% 34.94 63.62% -0.306 0.296 -0.131
2 Top to Top 506 44.31% 32.76 78.46% 0.146 0.2655 0.573
3 Archipelago 26 26.92% 35.92 92.31% 0.279 -0.4977 0.229
3 Coastline 98 43.75% 30.37 77.55% 0.469 0.1564 0.318
3 Other 453 36.61% 31.9 86.09% 0.476 0.1111 0.337
3 Round (Default) 10344 39.52% 33.5 78.81% -0.06 -0.0734 0.081
3 Sunrise 65 33.87% 30.06 86.15% -0.413 -0.1751 -0.287
3 Thematic 466 46.88% 36.07 67.81% 0.062 -0.103 -0.087
4 Archipelago 33 38.71% 35.61 87.88% 0.0 0.1056 0.403
4 Coastline 66 25.76% 27.95 75.76% -0.216 -0.2073 -0.079
4 Leaf 48 52.08% 34.13 79.17% 0.636 0.4 -0.157
4 Other 313 34.85% 33.92 84.35% 0.36 -0.4238 0.925
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.2908 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 38.33 66.67% 0.0 0.3458 0.0
4 Thematic 1402 34.48% 42.8 75.75% 0.022 -0.1093 0.213
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7824 31.96% 36.31 81.7% -0.054 -0.2675 0.127
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 27.38 75.0% 0.0 -1.0937 0.0
5 Coastline 17 5.88% 31.12 88.24% 0.131 -0.0721 0.0
5 Other 344 29.05% 33.23 87.79% -0.268 -0.7805 0.455
5 Thematic 40 22.5% 38.42 92.5% -0.321 -0.6553 1.0
6 Archipelago 23 7.69% 38.39 91.3% 0.32 0.2701 0.0
6 Coastline 31 0.0% 28.42 96.77% 0.415 -0.3697 0.0
6 Other 178 17.26% 35.42 78.65% -0.221 -0.7183 -0.774
6 Star 83 27.71% 27.87 74.7% -1.657 -1.2151 -1.539
6 Thematic 266 31.32% 32.59 74.81% -0.989 -0.6682 0.304
6 Two Centers (Default) 430 17.69% 28.06 85.58% -0.753 -0.4644 -1.099
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 33.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.5041 0.0
7 Other 15 40.0% 27.53 53.33% 0.0 -0.8807 -0.708

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3554 30.87 56.08% -0.203 0.1838 -0.381
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3185 33.04 60.94% -0.012 0.2224 -0.165
All Things Weaken 1939 29.23 51.01% -0.989 -0.4037 -0.69
Attenuated Essence 19 26.32 47.37% -0.44 -0.0072 -0.068
Back Against the Wall 3036 31.38 55.37% -0.378 -0.0568 -0.424
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 25 25.88 28.0% -0.918 -0.2672 -0.902
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 28.34 51.72% -0.491 0.0229 -0.328
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3395 28.75 55.61% -0.525 0.135 -0.423
Downward Spiral 6154 26.59 61.36% -0.822 -0.3396 -0.5
Erosion of Will 3468 29.28 52.68% -0.79 -0.1781 -0.675
Intensifying Exploitation 27 24.33 55.56% -0.815 -0.1966 0.418
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 830 35.71 79.52% 0.193 -0.1851 0.122
Memory Fades to Dust 6140 26.24 57.13% -0.747 -0.1286 -0.518
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2044 29.97 55.23% -0.162 0.2572 -0.625
Promising Farmlands 3335 28.78 53.85% -0.673 0.0541 -0.834
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 30.51 54.29% -0.303 0.0481 0.21
Slow Dissolution of Will 21 26.9 47.62% -0.662 0.0938 -0.833
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 563 35.56 84.37% 0.544 -0.1467 0.184
The Border of Life and Death 13 29.46 69.23% -0.15 -0.0394 0.0
Thriving Communities 1917 30.02 56.23% -0.118 0.5261 -0.391
Thriving Crops 12 29.83 50.0% -0.202 0.1814 0.468
Tipping Point 1071 29.83 54.25% 0.0 -0.1122 -0.632
Unnatural Proliferation 2161 32.99 59.19% -0.244 0.2029 -0.338
Untended Land Crumbles 1878 29.29 55.11% -0.789 -0.2633 -0.675

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 24926 39.9% 31.64 77.55% 0.141 1.0171 0.046
B 28867 38.54% 32.62 78.52% 0.092 0.8741 0.227
C 27401 37.76% 32.87 79.58% 0.463 1.1026 0.269
D 24493 37.94% 32.24 79.27% 0.208 1.0389 0.198
E 13359 41.19% 32.75 77.89% 0.233 0.8818 0.257
F 23096 38.79% 32.13 79.07% 0.401 1.142 0.272
G 23922 40.02% 32.0 78.24% 0.11 0.8724 0.3
H 22055 39.15% 31.5 78.31% 0.162 0.8503 0.213
East 5042 40.54% 38.24 69.85% -0.148 0.5495 -0.361
Northeast 3416 39.88% 38.41 69.85% -0.715 0.1746 -0.632
Northwest 3333 39.19% 38.64 71.35% -0.234 0.4024 -0.79
Southeast 1077 38.86% 35.64 74.09% -0.019 0.6766 -0.274
Southwest 1066 40.06% 33.35 71.01% -0.089 1.1546 -0.079
West 5123 40.71% 37.47 69.12% -0.186 0.8292 -0.955

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4677 0.0% 19.31 74.06% -1.305 -0.2989 -0.676
Not Using Events or Tokens 13134 35.22% 24.63 79.45% 0.009 0.2862 -0.191
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3903 11.34% 37.13 93.72% -0.248 -0.7704 -0.243
Start of Game Growth 5746 15.51% 38.01 91.65% 1.095 0.7189 0.824
Unlimited Undo 10960 33.32% 33.29 84.58% 0.079 0.0031 0.666
Using Tokens but Not Events 15754 23.71% 29.3 86.26% 0.169 0.1225 -0.124

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6538 100.0% 36.58 100.0% 0.162 0.0113 0.452
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2085 100.0% 30.87 100.0% -0.328 -0.219 -0.284
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7347 100.0% 31.43 100.0% -0.314 -0.4879 -0.342
Downpour Drenches the World 297 100.0% 28.02 100.0% -0.706 -0.5052 -0.443
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 167 100.0% 32.11 100.0% 0.513 -0.0657 0.573
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6981 100.0% 32.37 100.0% 0.469 -0.1174 -0.124
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6184 100.0% 31.63 100.0% 0.266 -0.2011 -0.349
Finder of Paths Unseen 257 100.0% 36.83 100.0% 0.088 0.7489 0.482
Fractured Days Split the Sky 697 100.0% 35.17 100.0% -0.616 0.0374 0.508
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 727 100.0% 34.76 100.0% -0.039 -0.1744 -0.065
Heart of the Wildfire 2739 100.0% 32.4 100.0% -0.347 -0.0888 -0.19
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5420 100.0% 37.37 100.0% 0.17 -0.32 0.272
Lightning's Swift Strike 4151 118.75% 31.63 106.22% -0.299 -0.0833 -0.092
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 143 37.76% 38.85 82.52% 1.013 0.2486 0.535
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 492 36.67% 36.61 80.28% -0.765 -1.1086 0.878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 648 37.28% 35.31 79.01% -0.009 -0.1908 0.464
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1814 100.0% 33.91 100.0% -0.287 -0.4774 -0.584
Many Minds Move as One 1227 100.0% 33.65 100.0% -0.248 -0.5092 0.406
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4571 100.0% 39.9 100.0% 0.384 0.3647 0.848
River Surges in Sunlight 5092 110.18% 37.43 103.81% -0.131 -0.1622 0.312
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 649 36.64% 30.17 77.66% -0.372 -0.1296 0.526
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 194 38.74% 34.87 74.74% -0.052 -0.2264 -0.513
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3808 100.0% 36.59 100.0% 0.043 -0.1594 0.216
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1650 125.27% 27.8 113.7% 0.237 0.6645 -0.373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 74 46.48% 32.46 75.68% -0.109 -0.1381 0.647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 39.47% 29.68 75.61% 0.226 0.2813 -0.603
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 388 45.89% 30.68 73.2% 0.14 0.1033 -0.643
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 316 47.87% 27.97 70.25% 0.19 0.2396 -0.465
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3333 100.75% 37.29 100.15% -0.426 -0.5788 0.274
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 38 34.21% 29.58 86.84% 0.728 0.5042 0.234
Shifting Memory of Ages 684 100.0% 30.64 100.0% -0.032 0.3203 -0.128
Shroud of Silent Mist 798 100.0% 30.06 100.0% 0.768 1.0932 -0.75
Starlight Seeks its Form 639 100.0% 34.13 100.0% 0.339 0.1267 0.267
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2458 100.0% 33.83 100.0% -0.289 -0.8057 -0.206
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5185 100.0% 33.72 100.0% 0.153 0.1748 0.65
Thunderspeaker 3098 100.55% 34.66 100.32% 0.365 0.3302 0.218
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 24 26.09% 22.21 58.33% -0.111 -0.0585 -1.394
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1590 100.0% 30.86 100.0% -0.017 0.0398 -0.215
Vital Strength of the Earth 3063 109.95% 28.15 104.9% -0.055 0.5156 -0.372
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 129 45.53% 32.51 72.87% 0.295 0.5513 -0.065
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 413 41.13% 29.7 72.15% -1.249 -0.3444 -0.616
Volcano Looming High 1253 100.0% 31.91 100.0% 0.413 0.4294 0.16

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 82.59%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.19%
Stinging Sandstorm 90.86%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14910 21.43 24.72%
II 46940 31.06 76.37%
III 41132 34.72 90.52%
IV 12695 38.0 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3685
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36638
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 35033
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12540
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 860
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1234
Lose: Adversary condition 8535
Win: Sacrifice victory 297
Lose: Scenario condition 899
Win: Scenario condition 1211
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14329
Lose: Spirit destroyed 416

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.74 Win Model: -0.16

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.06 Win Model: 0.154
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 64064 41.03% 30.74 76.63%
2 29162 42.85% 31.54 76.69%
3 11414 39.64% 33.51 78.76%
4 9745 32.4% 37.12 81.0%
5 283 25.93% 31.07 86.93%
6 1009 21.63% 30.63 80.87%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-22 03:28:22 (Pacific Time)