Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 164 27.44% 25.14 62.2% 0.708 0.6785 0.0
Blitz 0 2257 29.95% 27.36 71.42% -0.854 -0.6108 -0.394
Dahan Insurrection 4 1504 27.52% 44.8 61.17% -1.348 -1.3341 -1.296
Despicable Theft 2 344 37.03% 25.31 53.49% -0.76 0.0063 0.546
Elemental Invocation 1 552 45.55% 25.08 55.8% 0.192 0.9451 -0.126
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7254 13.51% 47.0 78.63% 0.696 0.0994 1.001
Powers Long Forgotten 1 847 48.87% 27.55 56.43% 0.029 0.7766 -0.541
Rituals of Terror 3 665 42.81% 37.15 62.86% -1.041 -0.5629 -0.091
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 558 67.68% 30.65 47.31% -0.699 -0.0115 -0.049
Second Wave 0 8896 36.21% 29.13 76.9% 0.386 0.3814 0.111
The Great River 3 492 45.01% 25.74 53.25% -0.14 0.9897 -0.617
Varied Terrains 2 273 44.69% 25.22 51.28% 0.035 0.8145 0.065
Ward the Shores 2 937 39.22% 30.57 57.42% -1.132 -0.2624 -0.441

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 89872 39.18% 27.72 70.36% 0.378 0.5822 0.82
1 Thematic 5082 39.0% 33.29 64.56% 0.585 1.1941 0.959
2 Archipelago 57 42.11% 29.35 68.42% 0.206 0.3766 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 29856 42.86% 28.51 69.53% 0.062 0.1429 0.266
2 Coastline 4132 38.37% 30.72 73.91% 0.133 0.0379 0.701
2 Fragment 797 42.84% 26.32 73.02% -0.046 -0.089 0.316
2 Heart 520 47.27% 25.67 71.35% -0.42 -0.8812 -0.222
2 Opposite Shores 5757 35.82% 28.49 72.94% 0.0 0.1317 -0.209
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 2534 41.68% 30.66 57.46% -0.218 0.1402 -0.492
2 Top to Top 824 44.79% 30.86 71.48% -0.106 -0.1949 -0.695
3 Archipelago 46 28.26% 34.07 82.61% -0.245 -0.4151 -0.194
3 Coastline 159 44.59% 27.53 66.67% 0.605 0.4325 0.689
3 Other 638 35.62% 28.51 80.25% 0.23 -0.1552 0.156
3 Round (Default) 16026 39.27% 31.0 73.64% 0.076 0.0819 0.218
3 Sunrise 93 32.22% 28.63 86.02% 0.706 0.0999 0.892
3 Thematic 764 44.36% 30.48 59.29% -0.342 -0.7734 -0.972
4 Archipelago 79 38.16% 32.75 74.68% 0.078 -0.1625 0.346
4 Coastline 103 30.1% 26.8 69.9% 0.0 -0.5981 -0.173
4 Leaf 83 52.44% 28.46 75.9% 0.316 -0.7065 -0.742
4 Other 440 35.03% 29.78 74.55% 0.874 0.0313 0.911
4 Reverse Snake 5 40.0% 20.2 80.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Snake 4 50.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1680 34.57% 39.78 71.01% -0.065 -0.2678 -0.413
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10971 31.53% 32.44 74.97% 0.4 0.5894 -0.761
5 Archipelago 24 66.67% 28.58 75.0% 0.135 0.7335 0.274
5 Coastline 36 8.33% 26.17 80.56% 0.238 -0.4215 0.0
5 Other 936 28.34% 27.94 76.92% -0.357 -0.5178 -0.136
5 Thematic 69 24.64% 31.84 73.91% -0.617 -0.2784 0.0
6 Archipelago 472 1.52% 69.98 83.47% 0.728 0.0748 0.573
6 Coastline 50 10.71% 28.08 84.0% 0.23 -0.2205 0.0
6 Other 403 20.1% 31.08 70.22% -0.408 -0.4467 0.76
6 Star 199 27.64% 25.19 67.34% -0.139 0.3272 -0.437
6 Thematic 798 25.92% 23.13 50.75% -1.207 -0.9589 -1.032
6 Two Centers (Default) 1207 19.34% 23.58 66.94% -0.836 0.3659 -0.883
7 Archipelago 10 11.11% 6.7 20.0% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Other 48 20.83% 12.92 31.25% -0.508 -0.3261 -0.552

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4666 29.99 54.84% -0.054 0.095 0.304
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4082 32.32 59.73% -0.004 -0.1172 0.541
All Things Weaken 2861 27.72 49.6% -0.196 0.1784 0.435
Attenuated Essence 621 25.27 47.5% 0.127 0.2529 0.229
Back Against the Wall 3909 30.7 55.18% -0.194 -0.1532 0.198
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 604 26.8 45.7% 0.179 0.3848 0.257
Burn Brightest Before the End 500 29.97 50.0% 0.137 0.1813 -0.164
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4479 27.6 53.76% 0.064 0.5615 0.219
Downward Spiral 8418 25.19 58.87% -0.436 -0.1856 0.126
Erosion of Will 4472 28.5 51.7% -0.446 -0.1878 0.327
Intensifying Exploitation 681 27.01 47.87% -0.378 -0.1594 -0.189
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1293 33.35 75.87% 0.513 0.1273 0.671
Memory Fades to Dust 8453 24.8 55.25% -0.19 0.0154 -0.273
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3066 28.38 52.87% -0.44 -0.2423 0.278
Promising Farmlands 4371 27.83 52.07% -0.048 0.3084 -0.53
Shattered Fragments of Power 555 28.82 50.09% -0.246 -0.0287 0.366
Slow Dissolution of Will 631 26.1 43.42% 0.424 0.8537 0.081
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 814 33.77 80.34% 1.464 0.84 1.603
The Border of Life and Death 183 28.8 68.31% 1.091 0.7712 1.012
Thriving Communities 2922 28.44 54.18% -0.135 0.1843 0.52
Thriving Crops 317 27.37 53.0% -0.027 -0.1453 -0.616
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.6615 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3124 31.74 57.75% 0.705 0.7945 0.213
Untended Land Crumbles 2843 27.89 52.8% -0.251 -0.0257 -0.45

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 38537 38.05% 29.12 71.09% 0.134 0.9336 0.126
B 43673 37.07% 29.98 71.91% 0.216 0.946 0.105
C 41870 36.48% 30.41 73.02% 0.373 0.977 0.586
D 37263 36.44% 29.8 72.91% 0.483 1.2394 0.164
E 23692 39.01% 29.35 70.59% 0.216 0.8002 0.395
F 35476 37.25% 28.94 71.44% 0.219 0.922 0.562
G 36443 38.0% 29.51 71.76% 0.245 1.002 0.01
H 34043 37.32% 29.18 71.43% -0.045 0.5857 -0.03
East 7554 37.55% 33.04 61.7% -0.85 -0.0661 -0.134
Northeast 5157 36.49% 32.96 61.59% -0.146 0.6157 0.151
Northwest 4981 35.65% 33.52 63.26% -0.043 0.7996 -0.551
Southeast 2106 34.24% 27.85 58.17% -0.198 0.441 -0.091
Southwest 2023 34.61% 26.24 56.15% -0.504 0.5414 -0.746
West 7540 37.56% 32.78 61.92% -0.125 0.651 -0.581

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7514 0.0% 16.18 61.68% -0.798 0.0754 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 20995 34.05% 21.63 69.61% -0.221 0.156 0.092
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5587 11.43% 34.56 87.72% -0.025 -0.3161 0.394
Start of Game Growth 8234 15.04% 34.83 85.22% 0.123 -0.4337 0.036
Unlimited Undo 17198 31.37% 30.05 75.49% -0.149 -0.085 0.21
Using Tokens but Not Events 24978 23.08% 27.79 78.93% 0.442 0.3143 0.052

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9409 25.58% 35.18 78.22% 0.149 0.0524 -0.328
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 449 38.2% 32.11 57.02% 0.339 0.0138 -0.881
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 38 42.11% 34.68 84.21% 1.003 0.7411 0.162
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 121 32.23% 34.79 80.17% 0.815 0.0948 1.202
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2747 47.75% 27.93 67.24% -0.496 -0.1973 -1.074
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 310 37.79% 26.19 54.52% -0.108 -0.6973 0.16
Dances Up Earthquakes 280 40.36% 28.31 59.64% -0.513 -0.3317 0.583
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 10571 35.14% 28.0 70.49% -0.402 -0.5809 -0.058
Downpour Drenches the World 1186 30.19% 24.8 59.95% -1.047 -0.6875 0.27
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1563 35.34% 29.25 65.64% 0.336 -0.1038 0.345
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10507 27.7% 29.37 76.5% -0.356 -0.7058 0.488
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9372 29.99% 30.86 75.65% 0.041 -0.3592 0.337
Finder of Paths Unseen 983 39.96% 26.07 56.87% 0.611 1.6855 0.771
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1220 32.95% 29.7 67.95% 0.443 0.8988 1.015
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1678 41.56% 29.1 66.21% -0.74 -0.8305 -0.8
Heart of the Wildfire 3881 53.55% 29.25 64.73% 0.037 0.4679 -0.88
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7243 35.02% 34.96 76.68% 0.416 -0.0265 0.485
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 492 30.94% 26.39 52.64% 0.52 0.0115 0.354
Lightning's Swift Strike 5687 37.58% 28.31 73.03% 0.388 0.5511 -0.041
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1098 20.7% 47.92 72.86% 0.298 -0.3806 0.304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 798 37.74% 32.02 72.43% 0.259 -0.1004 1.355
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1262 34.56% 30.44 68.94% 0.073 -0.0728 0.583
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3380 41.42% 30.52 68.99% -0.138 -0.3146 -0.375
Many Minds Move as One 2061 36.95% 29.66 75.11% 0.362 0.2273 0.319
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6595 31.67% 38.84 77.13% -0.536 -0.6132 -0.127
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 432 46.12% 28.37 64.81% -0.098 0.0936 0.373
River Surges in Sunlight 7110 31.3% 36.22 75.13% 0.162 0.2063 0.06
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 222 37.91% 22.36 49.55% -0.156 0.0734 0.063
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1175 34.09% 26.74 66.98% -0.216 -0.1673 -0.613
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 845 37.88% 29.18 62.72% 0.682 0.8485 0.427
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5219 35.66% 33.43 72.31% 0.67 0.4762 -0.839
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 173 36.99% 30.43 67.63% 0.287 0.2724 0.169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2269 45.37% 24.81 67.47% 0.571 1.1954 -0.327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 229 40.0% 25.01 60.26% 0.21 0.2254 -0.747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 311 39.93% 26.88 61.09% 0.282 -0.1528 0.854
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 194 28.89% 21.27 57.73% 0.294 0.3164 -0.556
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 615 39.56% 25.95 64.39% -0.276 -0.3632 -0.154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 516 42.07% 24.37 63.57% -0.128 0.281 -0.013
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4228 34.31% 34.85 76.11% -0.063 -0.0053 0.211
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 25 43.48% 30.56 68.0% -0.029 -0.5324 0.307
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 552 35.81% 28.65 68.84% -0.38 -0.4173 -0.013
Shifting Memory of Ages 1407 40.92% 25.76 64.39% 0.518 0.8804 -0.142
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 351 40.0% 26.62 58.69% -0.272 -0.2894 -0.071
Shroud of Silent Mist 1548 43.34% 25.08 63.63% -0.462 0.0617 -1.173
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 29 41.38% 36.41 58.62% -0.38 -0.7205 0.645
Starlight Seeks its Form 1759 38.49% 30.33 67.6% 0.198 -0.0008 0.711
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3667 43.1% 30.98 69.18% -0.742 -1.3566 -0.732
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7561 31.2% 29.71 75.2% -0.159 0.0743 0.703
Thunderspeaker 4233 36.64% 31.95 74.65% -0.04 -0.0571 0.299
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 248 33.06% 19.41 45.97% -0.547 -0.3471 0.185
Towering Roots of the Jungle 471 43.38% 25.36 61.15% -0.218 -0.0515 -0.487
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2312 58.25% 28.56 63.41% -0.844 -0.7934 -0.36
Vital Strength of the Earth 4257 32.02% 25.29 71.34% -0.607 -0.1367 -0.967
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 591 33.81% 24.16 56.35% -0.059 0.3507 -0.403
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 716 38.13% 23.67 60.06% -0.008 0.6591 -0.309
Volcano Looming High 2428 44.41% 27.9 65.77% -0.421 -0.4376 -0.662
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 671 31.69% 27.46 62.0% 0.766 0.4862 -0.083

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.48%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.94%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.21%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.32%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33723 12.44 14.91%
II 66032 29.94 74.26%
III 57476 34.9 90.19%
IV 17628 38.84 99.6%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5025
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51081
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 48077
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17426
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16737
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1646
Lose: Adversary condition 11677
Win: Sacrifice victory 398
Lose: Scenario condition 1130
Win: Scenario condition 1456
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19655
Lose: Spirit destroyed 551

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.0 Win Model: -0.079

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.295 Win Model: 0.264
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 95332 39.18% 27.99 69.94%
2 44411 41.53% 28.86 69.98%
3 17662 39.48% 30.89 73.38%
4 13379 31.93% 33.24 74.69%
5 952 28.27% 26.35 72.48%
6 3123 18.48% 31.48 66.06%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)