Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 140 29.29% 24.72 60.71% -0.545 -0.354 -0.738
Blitz 0 2140 30.1% 27.81 72.66% 0.049 0.2668 -0.191
Dahan Insurrection 4 1406 28.09% 46.5 63.09% -0.05 -0.3031 0.409
Despicable Theft 2 282 37.94% 26.07 55.67% -0.489 0.097 0.341
Elemental Invocation 1 474 45.67% 25.88 57.81% -0.106 0.6337 -0.898
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6825 13.61% 46.97 79.09% 0.86 0.298 1.115
Powers Long Forgotten 1 797 49.94% 27.92 57.34% -1.389 -0.6298 -0.19
Rituals of Terror 3 624 42.9% 38.14 64.26% -0.162 -0.0414 0.147
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 524 68.26% 31.39 48.09% -0.56 0.3475 -0.236
Second Wave 0 8403 36.63% 29.25 77.09% 0.094 0.2326 0.003
The Great River 3 444 44.7% 26.23 53.83% -0.039 1.0614 -0.849
Varied Terrains 2 207 44.44% 25.06 54.59% -0.658 0.1175 -0.614
Ward the Shores 2 881 39.79% 31.27 58.68% -1.182 -0.1071 -0.353

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 82780 39.64% 28.2 71.66% 0.454 0.7871 0.566
1 Thematic 4747 39.45% 34.03 66.1% 0.368 1.0533 0.976
2 Archipelago 51 45.1% 29.65 68.63% -0.872 -0.2643 -0.21
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27628 42.89% 28.98 70.72% 0.183 0.3027 0.465
2 Coastline 3721 38.99% 30.91 75.46% 0.203 0.1309 0.889
2 Fragment 746 43.34% 26.59 73.99% 0.453 0.2682 0.489
2 Heart 489 47.44% 26.23 73.21% -0.163 -0.3196 0.41
2 Opposite Shores 5302 36.29% 28.91 74.09% 0.413 0.5645 -0.058
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0816 0.0
2 Thematic 2354 42.35% 31.24 58.33% -0.44 0.0678 0.215
2 Top to Top 729 44.59% 31.21 73.94% 0.734 0.6753 0.726
3 Archipelago 43 30.23% 34.88 83.72% -0.016 -0.9677 0.145
3 Coastline 142 43.57% 27.71 68.31% 0.47 0.0602 1.102
3 Other 594 35.9% 29.39 81.48% 1.395 0.6241 0.421
3 Round (Default) 14757 39.47% 31.39 74.13% 0.214 0.1232 0.235
3 Sunrise 80 33.77% 28.14 86.25% 0.0 -0.096 -0.208
3 Thematic 690 45.06% 31.54 61.74% -0.379 -0.3583 -0.086
4 Archipelago 70 37.31% 32.04 74.29% -0.573 -1.1026 0.05
4 Coastline 92 28.26% 26.2 67.39% 0.012 -0.0736 0.093
4 Leaf 72 56.94% 28.32 76.39% -0.678 -0.8399 -0.519
4 Other 407 34.67% 30.34 75.68% 0.361 -0.3495 0.951
4 Reverse Snake 5 40.0% 20.2 80.0% 0.396 0.0589 0.0
4 Snake 4 50.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 -0.4433 0.0
4 Thematic 1616 34.33% 40.32 71.72% -0.398 -0.2755 0.204
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10216 31.4% 33.01 75.91% -0.344 -0.3472 -0.027
5 Archipelago 19 57.89% 26.79 68.42% -0.413 -0.4435 -0.061
5 Coastline 36 8.33% 26.17 80.56% 0.0 -0.1459 -0.385
5 Other 821 27.53% 28.58 79.29% 0.053 -0.4609 -0.01
5 Thematic 62 24.19% 31.94 75.81% 0.155 0.098 0.402
6 Archipelago 360 1.43% 68.46 81.94% 0.819 -0.219 -1.03
6 Coastline 45 4.35% 29.36 86.67% 0.293 -0.6666 -0.133
6 Other 353 18.66% 31.56 70.82% -0.225 -0.3286 -1.08
6 Star 176 26.7% 24.05 66.48% -0.894 -0.9076 -1.809
6 Thematic 696 25.25% 23.24 51.01% -1.704 -1.4177 -0.848
6 Two Centers (Default) 1044 18.0% 23.87 68.49% -1.409 -0.8763 -1.173
7 Archipelago 6 20.0% 11.17 33.33% -0.428 -0.3629 -0.335
7 Other 40 25.0% 14.97 35.0% -0.479 -1.0376 -1.692

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4423 30.22 55.55% -0.215 0.036 0.025
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3889 32.55 59.94% 0.166 0.1087 0.299
All Things Weaken 2656 27.95 49.44% -0.562 -0.2272 -0.351
Attenuated Essence 461 25.08 48.16% -0.277 -0.2436 -0.662
Back Against the Wall 3697 30.82 55.23% 0.063 0.0975 0.045
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 455 26.25 43.08% -0.797 -0.5796 -0.627
Burn Brightest Before the End 387 31.0 51.68% 0.311 0.322 -0.199
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4240 27.84 54.25% -0.202 0.1422 -0.015
Downward Spiral 7910 25.5 59.49% -0.28 -0.1628 -0.052
Erosion of Will 4276 28.63 52.01% -0.302 -0.0273 -0.201
Intensifying Exploitation 509 28.16 49.9% -0.22 -0.0086 -0.124
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1186 33.75 76.48% 0.598 0.0258 0.262
Memory Fades to Dust 7929 25.08 55.73% -0.278 -0.0256 -0.062
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2833 28.66 53.44% -0.481 -0.2765 -0.224
Promising Farmlands 4130 28.07 52.49% -0.781 -0.527 -0.409
Shattered Fragments of Power 407 29.51 50.12% 0.009 0.083 -0.406
Slow Dissolution of Will 477 25.78 43.19% -0.469 -0.0877 -0.607
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 761 34.02 81.21% 0.788 0.114 0.63
The Border of Life and Death 137 30.04 70.07% 0.456 -0.1447 0.87
Thriving Communities 2673 28.87 55.11% 0.012 0.2934 0.025
Thriving Crops 253 28.29 53.36% 0.215 0.0752 -0.022
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.3945 -0.155
Unnatural Proliferation 2906 31.87 57.78% 0.352 0.5559 0.153
Untended Land Crumbles 2652 28.2 53.77% -0.464 -0.2739 -0.224

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 35328 38.38% 29.5 72.21% -0.153 0.8451 0.002
B 40219 37.31% 30.41 73.01% -0.107 0.8147 0.084
C 38474 36.82% 30.75 74.02% 0.08 0.8092 0.187
D 34343 36.62% 30.19 74.0% 0.014 0.973 0.055
E 21299 39.16% 29.89 71.85% -0.123 0.6959 0.118
F 32727 37.39% 29.36 72.46% -0.161 0.7205 0.026
G 33601 38.26% 29.88 72.77% -0.055 0.7706 0.168
H 31301 37.63% 29.46 72.43% -0.313 0.526 0.059
East 7018 37.69% 33.81 63.0% -0.282 0.5925 -0.5
Northeast 4810 36.67% 33.69 62.68% -0.533 0.2186 -0.816
Northwest 4586 36.24% 34.45 64.87% -0.202 0.6898 -0.815
Southeast 1894 34.22% 28.48 59.4% -0.483 0.356 -0.525
Southwest 1836 34.76% 26.69 57.03% -0.642 0.6628 -0.611
West 6982 38.05% 33.57 63.21% -0.255 0.6943 -0.823

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6892 0.0% 16.63 63.54% -1.253 -0.5237 -0.577
Not Using Events or Tokens 18960 34.45% 21.82 71.05% -0.262 0.084 -0.131
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5197 11.75% 35.12 89.07% 0.907 0.3043 0.538
Start of Game Growth 7691 15.13% 35.47 86.61% 0.008 -0.4959 0.8
Unlimited Undo 15705 32.3% 30.61 77.19% 0.136 0.0285 0.448
Using Tokens but Not Events 22687 23.17% 28.02 80.58% 0.349 0.3191 -0.533

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8760 25.81% 35.27 78.68% 0.336 0.2416 0.591
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 257 30.2% 31.86 65.76% 0.3 -0.1763 0.237
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2615 47.74% 28.35 67.88% -0.571 -0.4584 -0.3
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 257 38.58% 25.21 53.7% 0.932 0.1187 -0.874
Dances Up Earthquakes 145 44.14% 29.7 66.21% 0.467 0.4582 0.573
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9853 35.54% 28.56 71.56% -0.125 -0.2648 -0.206
Downpour Drenches the World 979 29.78% 24.72 59.96% -0.186 0.0412 -0.282
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1257 35.77% 29.37 65.63% -0.041 -0.6107 0.269
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9702 27.84% 29.74 77.52% 0.019 -0.3681 -0.031
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8689 30.59% 30.77 76.18% 0.194 -0.1998 -0.176
Finder of Paths Unseen 862 39.44% 26.2 56.96% -0.381 0.3468 0.317
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1114 33.73% 30.16 68.49% -0.676 -0.035 0.238
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1481 41.88% 29.64 66.91% -0.505 -0.639 0.048
Heart of the Wildfire 3639 53.93% 29.82 65.68% -0.408 -0.0784 -0.489
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6900 35.11% 35.23 77.17% 0.166 -0.2577 0.398
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 385 32.29% 25.65 49.87% 0.298 -0.0085 -0.399
Lightning's Swift Strike 5370 37.63% 28.78 73.93% 0.327 0.5651 -0.232
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 888 22.27% 47.4 72.86% 0.553 0.1449 0.364
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 727 36.42% 32.34 73.59% -0.465 -0.7844 0.777
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1104 35.08% 30.85 69.66% 0.237 0.1562 0.589
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3044 41.67% 31.14 70.11% 0.305 0.1123 -0.456
Many Minds Move as One 1873 36.48% 30.06 76.13% 0.48 0.2639 0.304
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6190 31.85% 38.91 77.77% -0.065 0.0741 0.984
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 227 46.67% 29.6 70.04% 0.583 0.6642 1.013
River Surges in Sunlight 6638 31.28% 36.38 75.94% 0.156 0.2821 0.403
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 140 35.34% 19.84 41.43% -0.994 -0.8158 -0.439
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1069 34.07% 26.71 67.73% -0.516 -0.2369 0.23
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 701 35.54% 29.0 62.34% -0.073 -0.1955 0.093
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4943 35.86% 33.83 72.83% -0.116 -0.2431 0.188
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 94 35.11% 31.7 69.15% 0.532 0.4194 0.302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2131 45.68% 25.32 68.28% -0.251 0.265 -0.53
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 186 42.2% 26.16 61.83% -0.55 -0.5682 0.031
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 232 40.18% 25.77 58.19% 0.522 0.0186 -0.497
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 177 28.05% 21.58 57.06% -0.024 -0.2154 -0.791
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 573 39.39% 26.48 65.45% 0.14 0.0809 -0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 481 41.3% 24.88 64.45% -0.943 -0.862 -0.532
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4051 34.6% 35.38 76.89% 0.002 0.0809 0.246
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 452 35.35% 29.08 69.69% 0.269 0.0827 0.327
Shifting Memory of Ages 1287 40.99% 26.22 65.66% -0.117 0.1502 -0.217
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 235 34.62% 27.43 58.72% 0.114 -0.0041 -0.564
Shroud of Silent Mist 1402 43.07% 25.75 65.69% -0.393 -0.0424 -0.577
Starlight Seeks its Form 1516 38.4% 30.6 67.55% 0.312 0.1947 0.51
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3470 43.09% 31.34 70.14% 0.149 -0.364 -0.059
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7055 31.24% 30.31 76.48% 0.094 0.2118 0.443
Thunderspeaker 3983 36.92% 32.3 75.04% 0.226 0.2584 0.373
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 203 32.34% 18.73 44.33% 0.141 0.1549 -0.509
Towering Roots of the Jungle 314 42.63% 25.27 60.19% 0.194 0.3231 0.022
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2154 59.23% 28.83 63.56% -0.266 -0.1393 -0.191
Vital Strength of the Earth 3970 31.93% 25.77 72.64% 0.514 1.1144 -0.227
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 475 33.48% 24.68 54.74% 0.295 0.7885 -0.099
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 661 37.77% 24.49 61.88% -0.621 0.0773 -0.758
Volcano Looming High 2179 45.08% 28.29 66.96% -0.341 -0.2935 0.166
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 525 32.06% 27.49 62.29% -0.094 -0.3837 -0.037

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.33%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.84%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.2%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.3%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29350 13.42 16.06%
II 61694 30.13 74.77%
III 53598 34.83 90.33%
IV 16430 38.67 99.6%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4710
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47700
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 45194
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16240
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12887
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1562
Lose: Adversary condition 10962
Win: Sacrifice victory 373
Lose: Scenario condition 1077
Win: Scenario condition 1402
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18435
Lose: Spirit destroyed 530

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.636 Win Model: -0.133

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.071 Win Model: 0.146
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 87857 39.64% 28.49 71.25%
2 40970 41.73% 29.29 71.19%
3 16239 39.62% 31.31 74.01%
4 12520 31.87% 33.81 75.5%
5 823 26.83% 26.62 74.24%
6 2663 17.87% 30.81 66.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)