Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 42 35.71% 23.38 61.9% -0.43 -0.6858 -1.077
Blitz 0 1688 32.47% 29.85 77.9% 0.129 0.3266 -0.083
Dahan Insurrection 4 1147 30.88% 51.43 68.7% -0.147 -0.5893 0.383
Despicable Theft 2 139 45.32% 32.47 71.22% -0.502 0.3101 0.158
Elemental Invocation 1 273 50.74% 31.23 72.16% -0.365 0.338 -0.776
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5547 13.93% 46.5 80.42% 0.827 0.1824 0.774
Powers Long Forgotten 1 602 55.29% 31.61 64.62% -0.587 0.0482 -0.139
Rituals of Terror 3 513 45.19% 41.76 69.2% -1.067 -0.9655 0.076
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 407 73.4% 35.97 55.04% -1.109 -0.1001 0.015
Second Wave 0 6512 38.1% 29.83 78.65% 0.095 0.1614 -0.27
The Great River 3 297 49.32% 29.52 61.28% -2.027 -0.8097 -0.519
Varied Terrains 2 86 38.37% 29.01 58.14% -0.889 -0.2656 -0.773
Ward the Shores 2 694 41.46% 35.37 65.27% -0.619 0.4651 -0.306

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 62019 40.78% 30.16 76.47% 0.141 0.1954 0.16
1 Thematic 3764 42.18% 35.91 69.42% -0.109 0.369 0.476
2 Archipelago 31 48.39% 35.71 80.65% -0.191 -0.0871 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 20233 44.07% 31.03 76.04% 0.118 0.2 0.212
2 Coastline 2734 39.19% 33.15 80.5% 0.249 0.0948 0.349
2 Fragment 549 43.94% 28.73 78.51% -0.004 -0.2528 -0.098
2 Heart 360 48.7% 27.13 76.11% 0.481 0.1941 -0.712
2 Opposite Shores 3906 36.1% 30.57 78.57% 0.237 0.26 -0.489
2 Thematic 1785 44.14% 34.24 62.8% -0.15 0.2533 -0.124
2 Top to Top 516 44.02% 32.88 78.29% 0.425 0.2591 0.559
3 Archipelago 26 26.92% 35.92 92.31% 0.242 -1.3067 0.233
3 Coastline 109 43.93% 28.24 72.48% 0.599 0.0853 0.808
3 Other 461 36.4% 31.61 85.68% 0.228 0.7686 0.362
3 Round (Default) 10722 39.66% 33.34 78.4% 0.156 0.0408 0.048
3 Sunrise 67 32.81% 30.1 86.57% 0.067 0.3469 -0.286
3 Thematic 485 47.31% 35.85 67.22% 0.098 0.1783 -0.16
4 Archipelago 35 39.39% 36.86 88.57% 0.507 -0.1673 0.389
4 Coastline 68 25.0% 27.93 76.47% -0.426 -0.1946 -0.07
4 Leaf 48 52.08% 34.13 79.17% 0.427 0.0841 -0.194
4 Other 315 34.63% 33.78 84.13% 0.487 -0.5972 0.921
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 38.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.3465 0.0
4 Thematic 1423 34.53% 42.5 75.05% -0.836 -1.0982 0.158
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8014 32.04% 36.07 81.12% -0.18 -0.2629 0.048
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 27.38 75.0% 0.0 -0.9161 0.0
5 Coastline 19 5.26% 30.58 89.47% 0.508 -0.1433 0.0
5 Other 390 30.03% 32.04 84.36% -0.18 -0.4648 0.34
5 Thematic 40 22.5% 38.42 92.5% -1.041 -1.135 0.956
6 Archipelago 27 11.76% 35.44 85.19% -0.801 -0.6494 0.0
6 Coastline 32 0.0% 28.5 96.88% -0.177 -0.9783 0.0
6 Other 207 16.75% 37.63 78.74% -0.003 -0.2358 -0.762
6 Star 91 28.57% 26.59 72.53% -1.248 -1.2606 -1.642
6 Thematic 292 31.62% 32.28 72.6% -1.079 -0.6582 0.048
6 Two Centers (Default) 495 17.8% 27.34 82.63% -0.423 -0.3187 -1.235
7 Archipelago 2 50.0% 33.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.0189 0.0
7 Other 17 41.18% 25.82 52.94% -0.493 -1.1059 -1.084

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3616 30.83 55.92% -0.231 0.011 -0.251
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3241 32.93 60.75% -0.118 -0.1959 -0.06
All Things Weaken 1982 29.17 50.91% -0.568 -0.1757 -0.588
Attenuated Essence 43 25.4 48.84% 0.011 0.1181 -0.444
Back Against the Wall 3089 31.28 55.42% -0.187 -0.1288 -0.306
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 75 31.32 44.0% 0.052 0.2533 -0.864
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 30.27 53.57% 0.19 0.3999 -0.283
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3468 28.69 55.62% -0.028 0.3957 -0.307
Downward Spiral 6299 26.52 61.07% -0.495 -0.2599 -0.397
Erosion of Will 3549 29.18 52.58% -0.389 -0.0798 -0.542
Intensifying Exploitation 68 28.59 55.88% -0.068 0.2193 0.245
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 861 35.75 79.67% 1.048 0.554 0.205
Memory Fades to Dust 6270 26.1 56.92% -0.514 -0.178 -0.406
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2118 29.83 55.05% -0.213 0.0073 -0.482
Promising Farmlands 3412 28.74 54.04% -0.082 0.371 -0.694
Shattered Fragments of Power 68 34.07 52.94% 0.571 0.6221 -0.027
Slow Dissolution of Will 53 26.83 45.28% -0.526 -0.1272 -0.974
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 576 35.41 84.38% 0.943 0.2323 0.311
The Border of Life and Death 28 34.07 75.0% 0.555 0.2195 0.999
Thriving Communities 1985 29.96 56.12% -0.049 0.3137 -0.278
Thriving Crops 35 32.91 57.14% 0.284 0.0862 0.627
Tipping Point 1071 29.83 54.25% 0.0 0.0 -0.519
Unnatural Proliferation 2224 32.8 58.68% -0.291 -0.0761 -0.23
Untended Land Crumbles 1942 29.24 54.99% -0.452 -0.1704 -0.512

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 25752 39.85% 31.44 77.03% -0.212 0.5282 0.033
B 29802 38.4% 32.39 77.99% -0.091 0.6348 0.174
C 28307 37.66% 32.64 78.97% 0.008 0.59 0.231
D 25258 37.9% 32.03 78.76% -0.076 0.6352 0.171
E 14041 40.84% 32.43 77.07% 0.037 0.6026 0.173
F 23840 38.69% 31.86 78.46% -0.104 0.5663 0.23
G 24694 39.92% 31.75 77.64% -0.275 0.3768 0.254
H 22811 39.0% 31.28 77.66% -0.152 0.4188 0.174
East 5236 40.26% 37.73 68.98% -0.74 -0.201 -0.416
Northeast 3557 39.53% 37.84 69.02% -0.558 0.077 -0.716
Northwest 3462 38.76% 38.14 70.57% -0.337 0.472 -0.814
Southeast 1133 38.62% 35.21 73.08% -0.194 0.5118 -0.298
Southwest 1116 39.51% 32.86 69.89% -0.848 0.1422 -0.281
West 5302 40.34% 37.02 68.39% -0.44 0.4634 -0.936

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4808 0.0% 19.1 73.27% -1.109 -0.3331 -0.565
Not Using Events or Tokens 13465 35.09% 24.39 78.76% -0.175 0.2037 -0.189
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4005 11.3% 36.94 93.56% 0.767 0.1491 -0.308
Start of Game Growth 5907 15.38% 37.67 91.15% 0.203 -0.145 0.854
Unlimited Undo 11402 33.05% 32.92 83.66% 0.13 0.1233 0.617
Using Tokens but Not Events 16308 23.74% 29.17 85.76% 0.275 0.2645 -0.18

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6734 100.0% 36.47 100.0% 0.309 0.1608 0.514
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2133 100.0% 30.7 100.0% -0.212 -0.0813 -0.239
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7551 100.0% 31.2 100.0% -0.265 -0.4096 -0.322
Downpour Drenches the World 362 100.0% 27.96 100.0% -0.224 -0.0447 -0.058
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 343 100.0% 30.71 100.0% 0.66 -0.1056 0.317
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7199 100.0% 32.2 100.0% 0.274 -0.3151 -0.038
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6352 100.0% 31.52 100.0% 0.183 -0.3141 -0.313
Finder of Paths Unseen 331 100.0% 34.37 100.0% -0.09 0.5742 0.371
Fractured Days Split the Sky 725 100.0% 34.54 100.0% -0.772 -0.1859 0.524
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 792 100.0% 34.36 100.0% 0.261 0.1664 0.019
Heart of the Wildfire 2812 100.0% 32.21 100.0% 0.044 0.2854 -0.159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5561 100.0% 37.19 100.0% 0.353 -0.0887 0.353
Lightning's Swift Strike 4241 119.82% 31.47 106.91% 0.029 0.2117 -0.034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 180 33.33% 41.33 81.11% 1.124 0.637 0.648
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 513 37.07% 36.26 79.14% -0.638 -0.8063 0.914
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 689 37.74% 34.78 77.94% 0.029 -0.0842 0.511
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1913 100.0% 33.6 100.0% -0.335 -0.4675 -0.555
Many Minds Move as One 1287 100.0% 33.13 100.0% -0.044 -0.2655 0.296
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4676 100.0% 39.77 100.0% 0.082 0.0395 0.862
River Surges in Sunlight 5211 111.38% 37.27 104.47% -0.073 -0.0028 0.364
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 687 36.16% 29.71 77.58% -0.161 0.1497 0.501
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 258 34.65% 32.62 69.38% -0.163 -0.2767 -0.762
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3914 100.0% 36.17 100.0% -0.154 -0.3912 0.203
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1724 125.31% 27.36 113.92% -0.277 0.2524 -0.644
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 48.81% 32.05 72.73% 0.113 0.038 0.226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 54 39.22% 28.19 72.22% -0.06 -0.1658 -0.661
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 396 45.83% 30.6 73.74% 0.921 0.9022 -0.605
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 324 48.24% 27.95 70.06% -0.026 0.1512 -0.465
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3415 101.46% 36.98 100.53% -0.288 -0.4776 0.205
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 74 32.43% 28.78 75.68% 0.451 0.0694 0.26
Shifting Memory of Ages 755 100.0% 30.48 100.0% 0.077 0.4303 -0.073
Shroud of Silent Mist 849 100.0% 29.61 100.0% 0.184 0.434 -0.664
Starlight Seeks its Form 713 100.0% 33.87 100.0% 0.627 0.3659 0.384
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2555 100.0% 33.48 100.0% -0.428 -0.9054 -0.195
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5348 100.0% 33.4 100.0% -0.177 -0.1137 0.652
Thunderspeaker 3172 100.72% 34.42 100.54% -0.126 -0.1598 0.251
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 34.29% 21.97 52.78% -0.094 -0.1337 -1.283
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1635 100.0% 30.62 100.0% -0.36 -0.2672 -0.146
Vital Strength of the Earth 3147 110.82% 27.87 105.66% -0.302 0.2227 -0.351
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 167 44.72% 32.08 70.66% 0.012 0.2727 -0.149
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 436 41.03% 28.83 70.41% -0.802 -0.0257 -0.679
Volcano Looming High 1348 100.0% 31.77 100.0% 0.398 0.3555 0.156

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 82.67%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.26%
Stinging Sandstorm 90.89%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.2%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16039 20.4 23.44%
II 48151 31.01 76.18%
III 42131 34.76 90.51%
IV 13004 38.07 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3758
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 37523
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 35854
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12846
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1831
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1261
Lose: Adversary condition 8731
Win: Sacrifice victory 301
Lose: Scenario condition 912
Win: Scenario condition 1239
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14645
Lose: Spirit destroyed 424

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.229 Win Model: -0.156

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.16 Win Model: 0.084
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 65937 40.91% 30.49 76.01%
2 30125 42.59% 31.32 76.18%
3 11827 39.78% 33.32 78.32%
4 9965 32.45% 36.88 80.44%
5 329 27.53% 29.7 82.37%
6 1142 21.75% 30.52 78.9%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)