Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 109 32.11% 26.32 63.3% 0.338 0.1181 -0.63
Blitz 0 1967 30.81% 28.41 74.12% -0.505 -0.2187 -0.126
Dahan Insurrection 4 1311 28.94% 47.82 64.07% -0.934 -1.0489 0.376
Despicable Theft 2 222 42.34% 27.77 58.56% -1.26 -0.5218 0.329
Elemental Invocation 1 408 46.19% 26.6 58.82% -0.516 0.2402 -1.103
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6241 14.03% 46.56 79.35% 0.756 0.1746 0.967
Powers Long Forgotten 1 715 52.33% 29.37 60.0% -1.853 -0.9996 -0.22
Rituals of Terror 3 587 43.57% 39.16 65.59% -0.148 -0.3181 0.102
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 468 69.16% 33.0 50.0% -0.864 0.0463 -0.08
Second Wave 0 7624 36.9% 29.46 77.95% 0.521 0.6005 -0.059
The Great River 3 390 44.73% 26.76 55.13% -1.335 0.0285 -0.804
Varied Terrains 2 161 42.24% 25.73 55.9% -0.373 0.5064 -0.489
Ward the Shores 2 802 40.48% 32.87 61.35% -1.593 -0.6111 -0.325

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 73861 40.1% 28.97 73.5% 0.195 0.5392 0.317
1 Thematic 4320 40.6% 34.69 67.25% 0.177 0.7041 0.706
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 32.34 75.61% 0.0 0.499 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24416 43.23% 29.75 72.85% -0.186 0.0985 0.378
2 Coastline 3358 38.89% 31.84 77.04% 0.21 0.2388 0.686
2 Fragment 670 43.1% 27.36 76.27% 0.804 0.5671 0.221
2 Heart 429 47.93% 26.22 75.06% 0.58 0.4326 -0.344
2 Opposite Shores 4699 36.4% 29.5 75.87% 0.344 0.4028 -0.267
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 2102 42.87% 32.26 59.66% -0.595 -0.2247 0.094
2 Top to Top 625 45.03% 31.79 75.84% 0.569 0.6925 0.668
3 Archipelago 38 28.95% 35.68 89.47% 0.087 -0.7106 0.378
3 Coastline 123 40.5% 27.44 69.11% 0.062 -0.4869 1.107
3 Other 535 35.92% 29.91 82.24% -0.679 -1.2171 0.423
3 Round (Default) 13080 39.63% 32.21 75.61% 0.232 0.1395 0.227
3 Sunrise 78 34.67% 28.22 85.9% 0.0 0.151 -0.239
3 Thematic 596 45.96% 33.48 65.27% -0.28 -0.7983 0.019
4 Archipelago 60 40.35% 33.85 78.33% 0.033 0.4655 0.021
4 Coastline 84 27.38% 26.55 70.24% -0.706 -1.4663 0.183
4 Leaf 61 59.02% 30.48 77.05% 0.425 0.2139 -0.313
4 Other 362 33.15% 31.42 78.45% 0.427 0.4343 0.98
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 38.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1521 34.83% 41.36 73.04% -0.936 -0.8027 0.316
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9277 31.84% 34.23 77.96% -0.12 -0.0132 0.084
5 Archipelago 15 60.0% 23.4 73.33% -0.384 -0.2162 -0.399
5 Coastline 30 6.67% 26.83 80.0% -0.365 -0.8713 -0.391
5 Other 655 26.7% 29.03 81.22% 0.19 -0.325 0.191
5 Thematic 54 25.93% 34.48 79.63% 0.718 -0.2646 0.588
6 Archipelago 149 2.88% 62.38 80.54% 0.495 -0.2346 -0.843
6 Coastline 40 5.56% 26.98 87.5% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.184
6 Other 292 16.67% 34.08 73.63% -0.973 -0.3377 -0.701
6 Star 136 29.41% 24.59 67.65% -0.064 0.1811 -1.489
6 Thematic 564 24.87% 24.18 53.37% -1.518 -1.1952 -0.803
6 Two Centers (Default) 818 16.69% 24.85 73.72% -0.538 -0.6412 -1.108
7 Archipelago 5 25.0% 13.4 40.0% -0.231 0.3604 -0.402
7 Other 34 26.47% 16.12 35.29% -0.179 -1.6156 -1.416

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4109 30.34 55.8% -0.141 -0.0375 -0.074
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3630 32.68 60.39% -0.192 -0.3366 0.176
All Things Weaken 2369 28.47 50.15% -0.888 -0.5219 -0.408
Attenuated Essence 267 24.61 47.19% -0.02 -0.0217 -0.751
Back Against the Wall 3447 31.03 55.38% -0.142 -0.0767 -0.038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 285 26.79 43.86% -0.621 -0.3859 -0.84
Burn Brightest Before the End 236 29.68 49.58% -0.278 -0.1174 -0.628
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3950 27.94 54.51% -0.372 0.0043 -0.116
Downward Spiral 7193 25.96 60.36% 0.075 0.1473 -0.191
Erosion of Will 3983 28.78 52.4% 0.075 0.3317 -0.313
Intensifying Exploitation 302 28.95 51.32% -0.007 0.2671 0.001
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1045 34.36 77.22% 0.09 -0.3964 0.202
Memory Fades to Dust 7281 25.54 56.16% -0.236 -0.0533 -0.208
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2514 28.97 54.1% -0.097 0.1159 -0.313
Promising Farmlands 3863 28.34 53.12% -0.199 0.1236 -0.515
Shattered Fragments of Power 236 31.06 52.54% -0.12 0.05 -0.408
Slow Dissolution of Will 285 25.92 43.51% -0.328 0.0559 -0.905
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 691 34.44 81.62% 0.776 0.0998 0.427
The Border of Life and Death 88 34.06 75.0% 0.871 0.3547 1.121
Thriving Communities 2370 29.23 55.65% -0.654 -0.3299 -0.09
Thriving Crops 143 27.65 49.65% -0.358 -0.3567 -0.233
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.0 -0.284
Unnatural Proliferation 2599 32.36 58.21% -0.19 -0.003 0.007
Untended Land Crumbles 2343 28.69 54.42% -0.027 0.3119 -0.332

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 31267 38.98% 30.08 73.88% -0.348 0.5149 0.006
B 35815 37.8% 31.03 74.71% -0.173 0.6481 0.119
C 34027 37.17% 31.35 75.86% -0.268 0.4305 0.212
D 30478 36.97% 30.79 75.78% -0.199 0.6568 0.117
E 18177 39.44% 30.82 73.92% -0.113 0.5756 0.151
F 28912 38.1% 30.4 74.9% -0.207 0.6109 0.178
G 29766 38.96% 30.56 74.69% -0.352 0.5285 0.227
H 27598 38.16% 30.07 74.5% -0.154 0.6261 0.124
East 6277 38.5% 35.1 64.79% 0.092 0.8844 -0.479
Northeast 4309 37.4% 34.87 64.12% -0.796 0.0848 -0.85
Northwest 4139 37.14% 35.46 66.32% 0.239 1.1098 -0.842
Southeast 1601 34.78% 30.1 62.9% -0.866 -0.0069 -0.561
Southwest 1564 35.46% 28.22 60.17% -0.544 0.665 -0.549
West 6285 38.85% 34.64 64.74% -0.559 0.5015 -0.864

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5945 0.0% 17.42 67.0% -1.563 -0.847 -0.856
Not Using Events or Tokens 16627 34.79% 22.82 73.95% -0.367 0.1071 -0.051
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4734 11.87% 35.87 90.81% 0.859 0.2922 0.357
Start of Game Growth 6962 15.3% 36.36 88.62% -0.036 -0.7006 0.966
Unlimited Undo 14010 32.47% 31.46 79.49% 0.174 0.1972 0.443
Using Tokens but Not Events 19793 23.39% 28.49 83.05% 0.254 0.3014 -0.207

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7944 26.54% 35.23 79.9% 0.176 -0.0207 0.514
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 54 16.67% 28.65 66.67% 0.603 -0.1117 0.397
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2462 48.37% 29.01 69.09% -0.458 -0.1899 -0.337
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 153 37.09% 25.24 52.94% 0.113 -0.4547 -0.641
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8863 36.57% 29.55 73.38% -0.305 -0.4361 -0.309
Downpour Drenches the World 751 30.48% 25.16 61.25% -0.091 0.1786 -0.274
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 841 35.82% 30.07 67.42% 0.756 0.3242 0.184
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8644 28.68% 30.74 79.37% -0.175 -0.5977 -0.074
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7646 32.08% 30.71 77.9% 0.352 -0.093 -0.237
Finder of Paths Unseen 680 37.72% 27.55 59.85% 0.221 0.8786 0.213
Fractured Days Split the Sky 947 34.29% 31.36 71.38% -1.227 -0.4194 0.333
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1176 42.78% 31.67 70.24% -0.461 -0.5783 0.113
Heart of the Wildfire 3243 53.46% 30.85 69.01% 0.029 0.3166 -0.293
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6384 34.74% 35.82 78.38% 0.308 -0.0847 0.319
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 229 26.2% 25.58 51.53% -0.099 -0.5039 -0.628
Lightning's Swift Strike 4924 37.79% 29.71 75.08% -0.097 0.1701 -0.29
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 535 27.98% 43.06 73.27% 0.204 -0.1476 0.318
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 644 36.9% 33.67 75.93% 0.001 -0.4405 0.769
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 924 35.08% 31.86 72.29% 0.797 0.7536 0.554
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2599 42.4% 32.27 72.03% 0.224 -0.0271 -0.441
Many Minds Move as One 1630 37.0% 30.82 78.04% 0.465 0.2342 0.194
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5552 32.97% 38.73 78.98% 0.663 0.5594 0.897
River Surges in Sunlight 5955 32.32% 36.42 77.4% -0.074 0.0148 0.35
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 41.67% 24.36 41.67% -0.615 -0.7273 0.713
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 924 34.08% 27.49 70.45% -0.872 -0.4823 0.297
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 548 33.33% 30.02 64.05% -0.179 -0.0417 -0.106
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4567 36.65% 34.47 74.1% -0.412 -0.6051 0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1976 46.01% 26.05 69.59% -0.165 0.3205 -0.571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 147 44.6% 27.57 65.31% 0.729 0.7843 0.354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 108 44.34% 28.55 62.96% 0.365 -0.1035 -0.121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 129 31.09% 22.89 58.91% -0.015 0.2009 -0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 513 40.52% 27.65 66.67% -0.269 -0.2402 -0.378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 417 41.25% 25.76 66.91% 0.265 0.4371 -0.605
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3822 35.07% 36.02 78.05% 0.03 -0.1231 0.238
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 332 38.79% 29.34 70.18% 0.165 -0.0338 0.402
Shifting Memory of Ages 1098 42.0% 27.15 67.58% -0.558 -0.1086 -0.257
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 58 29.31% 29.69 67.24% 0.639 0.3345 0.272
Shroud of Silent Mist 1186 43.94% 26.9 68.13% -0.433 -0.0974 -0.517
Starlight Seeks its Form 1202 37.48% 31.21 69.38% -0.158 -0.2132 0.471
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3153 43.81% 31.87 71.14% 0.438 -0.185 -0.149
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6306 31.63% 31.42 78.75% -0.236 -0.0427 0.408
Thunderspeaker 3646 37.11% 33.08 76.39% 0.774 0.7204 0.307
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 35.21% 18.04 43.75% -0.938 -0.8044 -0.767
Towering Roots of the Jungle 108 43.52% 28.3 69.44% 0.629 0.6384 -0.159
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1938 59.65% 29.41 65.02% -0.324 -0.2412 -0.245
Vital Strength of the Earth 3641 32.27% 26.52 74.02% 0.069 0.6633 -0.353
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 361 33.53% 25.06 55.96% -0.39 0.0493 -0.08
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 570 38.6% 25.85 64.04% -0.702 -0.0104 -0.714
Volcano Looming High 1821 45.06% 29.43 70.13% -0.193 -0.0894 0.17
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 333 30.03% 29.01 65.17% 0.405 0.1531 0.137

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.08%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.57%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.06%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23454 15.45 18.31%
II 56024 30.45 75.29%
III 48686 34.8 90.38%
IV 15033 38.47 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4293
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43328
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41296
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14853
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8033
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1442
Lose: Adversary condition 9990
Win: Sacrifice victory 348
Lose: Scenario condition 1013
Win: Scenario condition 1330
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16786
Lose: Spirit destroyed 485

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.586 Win Model: -0.134

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.068 Win Model: -0.005
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 78431 40.15% 29.27 73.08%
2 36324 41.98% 30.04 73.14%
3 14399 39.73% 32.12 75.53%
4 11419 32.27% 35.03 77.43%
5 635 26.26% 26.74 75.59%
6 1989 18.34% 28.78 68.63%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)