Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 72 36.11% 24.06 58.33% -0.211 -0.3506 -1.048
Blitz 0 1821 31.64% 29.1 76.0% -0.42 -0.3095 -0.032
Dahan Insurrection 4 1230 29.93% 49.6 66.42% -0.661 -0.8967 0.403
Despicable Theft 2 170 44.12% 30.08 64.12% -1.076 -0.4326 0.239
Elemental Invocation 1 339 47.34% 27.96 62.54% -1.247 -0.4453 -1.162
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5857 14.06% 46.28 79.63% 0.532 -0.2414 0.867
Powers Long Forgotten 1 653 54.73% 30.7 63.25% -0.469 0.304 -0.036
Rituals of Terror 3 549 44.4% 40.32 66.85% -0.268 -0.2515 0.094
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 433 70.6% 34.47 52.66% -1.671 -0.614 0.048
Second Wave 0 6968 37.71% 29.65 78.23% 0.133 0.2137 -0.09
The Great River 3 332 47.73% 28.15 57.83% -1.265 -0.1366 -0.624
Varied Terrains 2 116 38.79% 26.78 54.31% -0.226 0.4658 -0.523
Ward the Shores 2 758 40.99% 33.89 63.19% -0.228 0.6347 -0.255

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 67332 40.42% 29.52 74.99% 0.552 0.7531 0.154
1 Thematic 4015 41.68% 35.17 68.0% -0.034 0.6852 0.52
2 Archipelago 39 48.72% 32.28 74.36% 0.255 0.5101 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 22040 43.86% 30.42 74.57% 0.472 0.4793 0.283
2 Coastline 3024 38.96% 32.58 79.3% 0.919 0.714 0.429
2 Fragment 597 43.71% 27.9 76.38% 0.526 0.2486 -0.04
2 Heart 389 48.66% 26.9 76.09% 0.645 0.4241 -0.475
2 Opposite Shores 4289 35.86% 29.87 76.61% 0.367 0.4243 -0.488
2 Thematic 1932 43.83% 33.17 60.82% -0.319 0.1332 -0.101
2 Top to Top 559 44.01% 32.48 76.92% 0.615 0.5177 0.669
3 Archipelago 30 23.33% 34.3 90.0% -0.035 -0.8266 0.263
3 Coastline 115 43.36% 27.7 70.43% 0.337 -0.2302 0.928
3 Other 497 36.05% 30.67 83.7% -0.116 -0.1449 0.394
3 Round (Default) 11813 39.67% 32.85 76.99% 0.493 0.2666 0.16
3 Sunrise 75 36.11% 28.41 85.33% 0.194 -0.7906 -0.256
3 Thematic 519 47.3% 34.79 64.93% -0.201 -0.0045 -0.051
4 Archipelago 49 46.81% 36.65 81.63% 0.433 -0.7527 0.091
4 Coastline 78 24.36% 26.14 70.51% -0.644 -1.2304 -0.02
4 Leaf 51 50.98% 33.22 78.43% 0.102 -0.5967 -0.255
4 Other 334 33.84% 32.22 80.54% -0.507 -1.8645 1.043
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1795 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 38.33 66.67% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1457 34.78% 42.08 74.33% -0.034 -0.2327 0.328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8510 32.11% 35.37 80.13% 0.105 -0.1384 0.159
5 Archipelago 14 64.29% 25.07 78.57% -0.753 -0.4365 0.0
5 Coastline 22 4.55% 31.91 90.91% 0.0 0.1933 0.0
5 Other 497 28.15% 31.12 83.5% 1.119 0.0618 0.499
5 Thematic 43 23.26% 37.91 90.7% -0.311 -0.789 1.151
6 Archipelago 52 9.52% 43.31 75.0% 0.394 -0.3423 -1.196
6 Coastline 36 0.0% 28.08 91.67% -0.261 -0.5018 -0.194
6 Other 254 16.39% 36.91 76.77% -0.461 -1.1976 -0.478
6 Star 122 29.51% 25.44 68.03% -0.395 -0.4513 -1.421
6 Thematic 401 27.14% 27.21 61.35% -1.368 -0.6141 -0.444
6 Two Centers (Default) 642 17.48% 26.23 77.73% -0.085 -0.6641 -1.114
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 22.33 66.67% -0.436 0.3408 0.0
7 Other 24 33.33% 18.29 37.5% -0.286 -0.6976 -1.335

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3855 30.56 55.77% -0.128 0.0321 -0.153
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3399 32.77 60.43% -0.022 -0.1084 0.06
All Things Weaken 2143 29.01 51.05% -0.277 0.0647 -0.462
Attenuated Essence 141 24.06 41.13% -0.967 -0.893 -0.581
Back Against the Wall 3252 31.2 55.69% 0.11 0.1848 -0.146
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 161 27.55 39.75% -0.742 -0.5512 -0.949
Burn Brightest Before the End 135 31.0 53.33% -0.345 -0.2217 -0.758
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3687 28.3 54.98% -0.552 -0.1793 -0.199
Downward Spiral 6722 26.14 60.77% -0.227 -0.0906 -0.272
Erosion of Will 3752 28.94 52.35% -0.252 0.0429 -0.423
Intensifying Exploitation 170 28.3 51.18% -0.119 0.1199 0.089
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 948 34.79 78.16% 0.741 0.2094 0.191
Memory Fades to Dust 6740 25.83 56.54% -0.18 0.1005 -0.278
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2264 29.49 54.73% -0.05 0.1032 -0.368
Promising Farmlands 3624 28.49 53.28% -0.468 -0.1219 -0.607
Shattered Fragments of Power 139 31.27 51.08% -0.309 -0.1144 -0.157
Slow Dissolution of Will 166 27.08 42.17% -0.277 0.1746 -0.658
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 627 34.7 82.93% 0.43 -0.3102 0.334
The Border of Life and Death 58 33.43 67.24% 0.649 0.216 1.272
Thriving Communities 2140 29.55 56.17% -0.183 0.1155 -0.207
Thriving Crops 88 28.95 52.27% -0.147 -0.2498 0.266
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.5571 -0.401
Unnatural Proliferation 2387 32.63 58.23% 0.082 0.2273 -0.125
Untended Land Crumbles 2110 28.93 54.55% -0.373 -0.0733 -0.407

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 28228 39.53% 30.72 75.49% -0.454 0.54 0.029
B 32460 38.2% 31.7 76.42% -0.398 0.5201 0.192
C 30909 37.52% 32.01 77.49% -0.151 0.5914 0.231
D 27537 37.48% 31.42 77.39% -0.324 0.6275 0.167
E 15807 40.17% 31.7 75.61% -0.139 0.642 0.187
F 26137 38.43% 31.17 76.7% -0.34 0.5522 0.204
G 26846 39.63% 31.17 76.27% -0.245 0.6102 0.252
H 24871 38.69% 30.66 76.18% -0.344 0.5038 0.15
East 5673 39.69% 36.33 66.51% -0.477 0.2924 -0.418
Northeast 3881 38.65% 36.19 65.99% -0.718 0.0695 -0.859
Northwest 3744 38.05% 36.76 68.14% 0.176 1.1596 -0.83
Southeast 1306 36.54% 32.7 68.22% -0.275 0.5999 -0.482
Southwest 1291 37.54% 30.62 65.38% -0.377 0.8311 -0.397
West 5704 39.86% 35.89 66.48% -0.597 0.337 -0.858

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5381 0.0% 18.29 70.43% -1.131 -0.5015 -0.695
Not Using Events or Tokens 14869 35.1% 23.54 76.43% -0.307 0.1989 -0.147
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4349 11.92% 36.08 91.98% 0.481 -0.1539 0.039
Start of Game Growth 6396 15.55% 36.82 89.81% 0.89 0.501 0.833
Unlimited Undo 12624 32.95% 31.99 81.48% -0.08 -0.0356 0.508
Using Tokens but Not Events 17904 23.78% 28.68 84.24% 0.326 0.2984 -0.223

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7251 100.0% 35.72 100.0% 0.163 0.0403 0.532
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2305 100.91% 29.8 100.65% -0.298 -0.0574 -0.269
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 38 44.74% 29.97 60.53% 0.58 -0.4207 -0.285
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8170 100.0% 30.44 100.0% -0.123 -0.3504 -0.31
Downpour Drenches the World 533 100.0% 26.39 100.0% 0.193 0.5178 -0.207
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 561 100.0% 29.7 100.0% 0.125 -0.3742 0.176
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7812 100.0% 31.59 100.0% 0.314 -0.1465 0.049
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6902 100.0% 30.85 100.0% 0.19 -0.2392 -0.32
Finder of Paths Unseen 509 100.0% 29.42 100.0% -0.148 0.6743 0.322
Fractured Days Split the Sky 804 100.0% 33.18 100.0% -0.077 0.5202 0.491
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 964 100.0% 33.62 100.0% 0.431 0.4301 0.103
Heart of the Wildfire 3008 100.0% 31.54 100.0% -0.295 0.0896 -0.194
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5946 100.54% 36.76 100.45% 0.413 -0.0817 0.423
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 44 27.27% 17.45 38.64% -0.12 -0.6672 -0.787
Lightning's Swift Strike 4517 122.64% 30.84 108.72% 0.252 0.4352 -0.024
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 311 32.14% 40.86 75.56% 0.396 -0.1407 0.477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 563 37.84% 35.53 78.51% 0.333 0.0417 0.936
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 786 36.23% 33.16 74.94% 0.115 -0.0332 0.602
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2187 100.0% 32.75 100.0% 0.375 0.1243 -0.524
Many Minds Move as One 1424 100.0% 32.12 100.0% -0.231 -0.3884 0.251
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5079 100.0% 39.08 100.0% 0.217 0.2278 0.869
River Surges in Sunlight 5537 113.4% 36.63 106.12% 0.066 0.1038 0.352
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 807 35.85% 28.76 74.23% -0.236 0.0244 0.382
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 388 34.92% 31.02 66.24% 0.322 0.271 -0.46
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4202 100.0% 35.58 100.0% 0.107 -0.0672 0.27
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1826 131.26% 26.75 118.95% -0.74 -0.1277 -0.582
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 120 43.1% 29.82 67.5% -0.501 -0.3972 0.297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 41 51.22% 29.44 51.22% -0.299 -0.8802 -0.238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 96 36.36% 23.31 60.42% -0.373 -0.3268 -0.393
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 447 43.95% 29.35 70.47% -0.878 -0.7974 -0.475
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 370 43.7% 26.73 68.38% -0.39 -0.1819 -0.577
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3592 103.2% 36.51 101.67% 0.179 0.2579 0.235
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 199 41.62% 29.12 69.85% 0.034 -0.2889 -0.07
Shifting Memory of Ages 894 100.0% 29.12 100.0% -0.045 0.2207 -0.093
Shroud of Silent Mist 996 100.0% 28.31 100.0% -0.165 0.203 -0.558
Starlight Seeks its Form 898 100.0% 33.56 100.0% 0.834 0.6061 0.531
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2859 100.0% 32.66 100.0% 0.11 -0.2459 -0.176
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5749 100.0% 32.52 100.0% 0.105 0.2383 0.636
Thunderspeaker 3391 101.65% 33.88 101.5% -0.106 -0.0766 0.278
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 91 37.08% 19.08 43.96% -0.584 -0.3447 -0.734
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1775 100.0% 29.95 100.0% -0.31 -0.1191 -0.199
Vital Strength of the Earth 3417 112.96% 27.0 107.76% -0.537 0.0205 -0.315
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 277 38.4% 27.51 60.29% -0.636 -0.2263 -0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 488 40.59% 27.65 68.24% -0.043 0.6851 -0.676
Volcano Looming High 1546 100.0% 31.05 100.0% 0.512 0.5307 0.207
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 89 100.0% 33.81 100.0% 0.78 0.1865 0.289

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 82.85%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.37%
Stinging Sandstorm 90.96%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.25%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19317 17.67 20.75%
II 51721 30.7 75.69%
III 45011 34.75 90.48%
IV 13854 38.22 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4008
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 40079
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 38290
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13684
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4558
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1348
Lose: Adversary condition 9272
Win: Sacrifice victory 322
Lose: Scenario condition 969
Win: Scenario condition 1294
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15624
Lose: Spirit destroyed 455

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.459 Win Model: -0.138

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.012 Win Model: 0.027
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 71540 40.53% 29.83 74.53%
2 32870 42.37% 30.69 74.68%
3 13005 39.82% 32.76 76.8%
4 10534 32.47% 36.16 79.45%
5 443 26.53% 28.96 81.04%
6 1511 20.53% 28.77 72.47%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)