Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 169 27.22% 25.12 62.13% 0.366 0.3624 0.0
Blitz 0 2278 29.8% 27.24 71.25% -0.339 -0.0833 -0.245
Dahan Insurrection 4 1526 27.52% 44.6 61.07% -0.188 -0.155 -0.598
Despicable Theft 2 357 36.24% 24.86 52.94% -0.787 -0.2702 0.6
Elemental Invocation 1 561 45.89% 24.89 55.26% -1.279 -0.7456 -0.136
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7375 13.48% 46.97 78.35% 0.089 -0.4525 0.695
Powers Long Forgotten 1 857 48.76% 27.5 56.36% -0.425 0.2764 -0.434
Rituals of Terror 3 670 42.64% 37.1 62.99% 0.392 0.4037 -0.031
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 566 67.61% 30.55 47.17% -0.34 0.4486 0.687
Second Wave 0 8996 36.19% 29.15 76.82% 0.231 0.2289 0.867
The Great River 3 499 45.38% 25.67 52.91% -0.811 0.3244 -0.575
Varied Terrains 2 285 43.51% 24.69 50.53% -0.701 -0.0692 0.318
Ward the Shores 2 956 39.7% 30.25 56.49% -1.719 -0.8878 -0.35

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 91255 39.11% 27.66 70.14% 0.196 0.5094 0.703
1 Thematic 5137 39.03% 33.19 64.26% -0.483 0.1751 0.782
2 Archipelago 57 42.11% 29.35 68.42% 0.0 -0.4392 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30187 42.81% 28.46 69.44% 0.205 0.3505 0.492
2 Coastline 4171 38.33% 30.62 73.7% 0.165 0.1571 0.624
2 Fragment 807 42.67% 26.2 72.86% 0.319 0.4424 -0.33
2 Heart 523 46.99% 25.55 71.13% -0.309 -0.3651 -0.188
2 Opposite Shores 5830 35.73% 28.42 72.73% 0.223 0.357 -0.247
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2555 41.57% 30.56 57.34% -0.407 0.1235 -0.39
2 Top to Top 830 44.71% 30.83 71.33% 0.212 0.2178 -0.466
3 Archipelago 46 28.26% 34.07 82.61% 0.0 0.3056 -0.217
3 Coastline 161 44.65% 27.84 67.08% 0.852 0.0433 0.53
3 Other 643 35.34% 28.44 80.4% 1.238 0.9319 0.441
3 Round (Default) 16254 39.2% 30.88 73.45% 0.166 0.2614 -0.011
3 Sunrise 93 32.22% 28.63 86.02% 0.0 -0.6352 0.59
3 Thematic 778 43.94% 30.4 59.13% -0.594 -0.2864 -0.951
4 Archipelago 82 36.71% 32.72 75.61% -0.091 -0.5705 0.235
4 Coastline 106 32.08% 26.32 67.92% -0.995 -0.9003 0.584
4 Leaf 85 52.38% 28.05 74.12% -0.793 -0.7509 -0.421
4 Other 442 35.1% 29.79 74.66% 0.606 0.0598 1.167
4 Reverse Snake 5 40.0% 20.2 80.0% 0.0 0.2581 0.0
4 Snake 4 50.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1689 34.8% 39.73 71.05% 0.594 1.2984 -0.551
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11139 31.54% 32.24 74.55% -0.017 -0.0141 -0.907
5 Archipelago 26 65.38% 26.38 69.23% -0.757 0.447 0.371
5 Coastline 36 8.33% 26.17 80.56% 0.0 -0.5976 0.0
5 Other 970 28.38% 27.97 76.8% 1.354 0.935 -0.493
5 Thematic 70 25.71% 32.04 74.29% 0.315 0.1966 0.0
6 Archipelago 517 1.58% 70.22 83.56% 0.897 -0.3394 0.886
6 Coastline 50 10.71% 28.08 84.0% 0.0 0.433 0.0
6 Other 415 20.0% 30.65 69.88% -0.805 -0.6416 0.495
6 Star 202 27.72% 25.28 67.33% -0.351 0.0553 0.052
6 Thematic 815 25.87% 23.12 50.55% -0.612 -0.5398 -0.931
6 Two Centers (Default) 1245 19.57% 23.43 66.27% -0.92 -0.3911 -1.385
7 Archipelago 12 9.09% 5.58 16.67% -0.601 0.1407 -0.343
7 Other 49 20.41% 12.65 30.61% -0.176 -0.7251 -0.155

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4697 29.96 54.82% 0.152 0.3729 0.366
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4120 32.29 59.76% 0.28 0.3488 0.546
All Things Weaken 2896 27.74 49.59% 0.042 0.4391 0.199
Attenuated Essence 657 25.38 46.73% -0.34 -0.2648 0.297
Back Against the Wall 3941 30.74 55.09% -0.058 -0.0778 0.438
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 637 26.71 45.53% -0.238 0.047 0.23
Burn Brightest Before the End 520 29.69 49.81% -0.442 -0.2163 0.09
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4528 27.57 53.64% -0.07 0.213 0.282
Downward Spiral 8496 25.14 58.77% -0.47 -0.2379 0.071
Erosion of Will 4509 28.45 51.52% -0.765 -0.4283 0.45
Intensifying Exploitation 715 26.61 46.85% -0.559 -0.2226 -0.363
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1312 33.37 75.76% 0.704 0.1487 0.794
Memory Fades to Dust 8542 24.76 55.19% -0.532 -0.1926 -0.226
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3119 28.35 52.87% -0.169 0.0601 0.332
Promising Farmlands 4405 27.81 52.03% -0.2 0.1551 -0.445
Shattered Fragments of Power 570 28.74 49.65% -0.368 -0.3108 0.358
Slow Dissolution of Will 662 25.67 42.15% -1.351 -1.0262 -0.113
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 828 33.66 79.95% 0.168 -0.4723 1.568
The Border of Life and Death 188 29.11 68.09% 0.509 0.0964 1.173
Thriving Communities 2957 28.37 53.97% -0.554 -0.3229 0.487
Thriving Crops 333 27.61 53.75% 0.45 0.2939 -0.259
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3172 31.76 57.72% 0.198 0.3239 0.262
Untended Land Crumbles 2886 27.88 52.67% -0.16 0.047 -0.053

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 39125 37.95% 29.08 70.92% 0.006 0.9407 0.124
B 44364 36.95% 29.9 71.65% 0.133 0.9649 0.177
C 42529 36.37% 30.34 72.81% 0.216 0.977 0.387
D 37830 36.32% 29.75 72.69% 0.315 1.1952 0.405
E 24084 38.92% 29.27 70.42% 0.549 1.2668 0.658
F 35999 37.18% 28.84 71.22% 0.151 0.9896 0.467
G 37020 37.99% 29.45 71.44% -0.115 0.7061 -0.32
H 34542 37.22% 29.15 71.24% -0.07 0.7126 0.11
East 7641 37.55% 32.92 61.47% 0.014 0.8529 0.132
Northeast 5221 36.54% 32.86 61.39% -0.258 0.4164 -0.108
Northwest 5031 35.7% 33.45 63.19% 0.54 1.3745 -0.738
Southeast 2141 34.15% 27.71 57.78% -0.524 0.5159 -0.142
Southwest 2055 34.56% 26.21 56.01% 0.232 1.4474 -0.444
West 7619 37.56% 32.7 61.81% -0.422 0.2726 -0.742

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7594 0.0% 16.13 61.5% -1.368 -0.5218 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 21380 33.75% 21.7 69.57% 0.443 0.8081 0.293
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5636 11.43% 34.51 87.62% 0.687 -0.1063 -0.002
Start of Game Growth 8329 15.11% 34.75 85.03% 0.44 -0.0851 0.387
Unlimited Undo 17420 31.27% 29.92 75.14% -0.083 -0.0165 0.247
Using Tokens but Not Events 25379 23.05% 27.79 78.68% 0.303 0.3027 0.149

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9528 25.36% 35.27 78.22% 0.933 0.7611 -0.374
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 466 38.74% 31.95 56.65% -0.394 -0.8844 -1.114
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 46 41.3% 31.2 78.26% -0.365 -0.5163 -0.562
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 168 32.14% 33.58 78.57% 0.779 0.1803 1.267
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2826 46.96% 27.52 66.14% -0.835 -0.6602 -1.232
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 323 38.13% 26.28 54.49% -0.251 -1.0615 0.434
Dances Up Earthquakes 306 39.22% 28.06 60.78% 0.555 0.6903 0.511
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 10696 34.94% 27.88 70.32% -0.399 -0.5995 -0.179
Downpour Drenches the World 1218 30.41% 24.86 59.77% 0.043 0.3317 0.496
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1605 35.44% 29.22 65.42% 0.239 -0.2502 0.603
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10670 27.49% 29.16 76.04% -0.387 -0.8047 0.545
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9509 29.76% 30.96 75.59% 0.185 -0.0684 0.121
Finder of Paths Unseen 1001 40.04% 25.96 56.54% -0.427 0.3595 0.84
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1238 32.79% 29.46 67.37% -1.075 -0.5387 0.422
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1710 41.66% 29.03 65.85% -0.3 -0.2434 -0.91
Heart of the Wildfire 3923 53.52% 29.16 64.59% -0.226 0.0945 -0.587
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7329 35.17% 34.87 76.49% 0.465 0.0447 0.249
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 515 30.72% 26.68 53.4% 0.732 0.4195 -0.279
Lightning's Swift Strike 5743 37.52% 28.26 72.96% 0.416 0.6385 -0.11
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1160 20.37% 48.43 72.93% -0.058 -0.5596 0.194
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 809 37.47% 31.9 72.31% -0.083 -0.405 1.373
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1284 34.43% 30.18 68.3% -1.104 -1.3368 0.191
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3422 41.32% 30.36 68.67% -0.622 -0.8185 -0.306
Many Minds Move as One 2098 37.12% 29.59 74.79% -0.405 -0.5103 -0.046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6702 31.54% 38.91 76.95% -0.046 -0.0625 0.04
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 455 46.21% 28.64 65.71% 1.494 1.6008 0.342
River Surges in Sunlight 7214 31.18% 36.3 75.01% 0.15 0.1917 0.094
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 235 37.5% 23.52 51.49% 0.944 1.0259 0.522
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1190 34.26% 26.79 66.81% 0.117 0.2903 -0.688
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 863 38.26% 29.19 62.34% 0.055 0.165 0.482
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5303 35.45% 33.18 71.7% 0.367 0.1577 -0.259
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 184 34.78% 30.7 67.93% 0.473 0.2263 -0.071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2292 45.47% 24.68 67.15% -1.028 -0.3809 -0.514
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 234 40.0% 25.06 60.26% 0.435 0.4983 -0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 319 40.51% 27.43 61.44% 0.738 0.2785 1.289
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 197 29.12% 21.06 56.85% -0.886 -1.0112 -0.339
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 622 39.17% 25.81 64.15% -0.352 -0.3767 -0.165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 521 42.05% 24.26 63.15% -0.586 -0.4789 -0.031
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4267 34.39% 34.78 76.17% 1.183 0.9049 0.092
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 36 44.12% 27.19 61.11% -0.002 -0.3954 -0.042
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 564 35.4% 28.61 68.79% 0.23 0.2556 0.106
Shifting Memory of Ages 1427 40.98% 25.74 64.4% -0.155 0.3412 -0.019
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 386 40.0% 26.37 58.55% -0.049 -0.0451 0.279
Shroud of Silent Mist 1568 43.16% 24.94 63.39% -0.469 0.1371 -1.013
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 37 37.84% 35.05 62.16% 0.672 0.4384 0.542
Starlight Seeks its Form 1796 38.56% 30.2 67.37% -0.125 -0.1375 0.993
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3702 42.83% 30.91 69.12% 0.146 -0.4575 -0.204
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7652 31.18% 29.65 75.08% 0.229 0.3723 0.659
Thunderspeaker 4296 36.6% 31.79 74.3% -0.105 0.0105 0.291
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 267 34.09% 20.08 47.19% -0.419 -0.475 -0.051
Towering Roots of the Jungle 489 42.8% 25.16 60.53% -0.446 -0.2862 -0.646
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2345 58.07% 28.52 63.54% 0.373 0.4054 -0.013
Vital Strength of the Earth 4301 32.15% 25.17 71.08% -0.813 -0.3204 -0.853
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 604 33.62% 24.01 56.29% 0.239 0.6506 -0.755
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 737 38.88% 23.68 59.7% -0.46 0.4442 -0.009
Volcano Looming High 2461 44.42% 27.89 65.91% 0.832 0.7073 -0.517
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 699 32.28% 27.3 61.09% -0.061 -0.2968 -0.233

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.52%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.99%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.21%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.32%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34562 12.31 14.76%
II 66842 29.92 74.18%
III 58141 34.93 90.19%
IV 17827 38.88 99.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5096
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51673
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 48614
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17623
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17459
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1655
Lose: Adversary condition 11795
Win: Sacrifice victory 401
Lose: Scenario condition 1137
Win: Scenario condition 1470
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 19890
Lose: Spirit destroyed 559

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.566 Win Model: -0.126

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.172 Win Model: 0.09
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 96778 39.12% 27.93 69.72%
2 44887 41.46% 28.8 69.87%
3 17916 39.4% 30.79 73.2%
4 13564 31.96% 33.05 74.34%
5 988 28.35% 26.33 72.27%
6 3239 18.35% 31.79 65.88%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)