Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 141 29.79% 24.94 60.99% -0.295 -0.3218 -0.744
Blitz 0 2148 30.13% 27.73 72.44% -0.173 0.0772 -0.198
Dahan Insurrection 4 1412 28.26% 46.42 63.1% 0.102 -0.147 0.412
Despicable Theft 2 283 37.81% 25.98 55.48% -0.713 -0.2511 0.341
Elemental Invocation 1 483 46.06% 25.83 57.76% 0.04 0.7431 -0.892
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6854 13.63% 46.97 79.08% 0.978 0.4248 1.115
Powers Long Forgotten 1 801 49.81% 27.85 57.18% -1.275 -0.6513 -0.181
Rituals of Terror 3 624 42.9% 38.14 64.26% -0.425 -0.2318 0.15
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 525 68.13% 31.33 48.0% -0.675 0.2469 -0.23
Second Wave 0 8427 36.62% 29.24 77.05% 0.042 0.1596 0.007
The Great River 3 444 44.7% 26.23 53.83% 0.07 1.1383 -0.844
Varied Terrains 2 211 44.55% 24.58 53.55% -1.132 -0.3913 -0.607
Ward the Shores 2 884 39.66% 31.26 58.71% -1.015 0.0685 -0.349

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 83206 39.63% 28.15 71.57% 0.612 1.1382 0.585
1 Thematic 4776 39.59% 33.96 65.85% 0.345 1.1988 0.983
2 Archipelago 52 44.23% 29.08 67.31% -1.37 -0.3153 -0.21
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27809 42.89% 28.95 70.65% 0.285 0.5628 0.468
2 Coastline 3738 38.89% 30.91 75.36% 0.23 0.3328 0.889
2 Fragment 747 43.42% 26.59 74.03% 0.358 0.3714 0.495
2 Heart 494 47.66% 26.25 73.08% 0.069 0.1808 0.445
2 Opposite Shores 5340 36.26% 28.85 73.95% 0.415 0.7514 -0.051
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 2365 42.32% 31.23 58.31% -0.189 0.501 0.248
2 Top to Top 734 44.7% 31.13 73.57% 0.52 0.7623 0.688
3 Archipelago 43 30.23% 34.88 83.72% 0.049 -0.6718 0.149
3 Coastline 143 43.97% 27.53 67.83% 0.061 -0.2791 1.095
3 Other 594 35.9% 29.39 81.48% 1.585 0.9834 0.511
3 Round (Default) 14866 39.43% 31.33 74.05% 0.258 0.2636 0.235
3 Sunrise 81 34.62% 28.38 86.42% 0.436 0.3743 -0.209
3 Thematic 695 45.17% 31.52 61.87% -0.301 -0.2163 -0.067
4 Archipelago 70 37.31% 32.04 74.29% -0.637 -0.4867 0.05
4 Coastline 94 29.79% 26.32 68.09% 0.483 -0.2758 0.087
4 Leaf 72 56.94% 28.32 76.39% -0.609 -0.4723 -0.497
4 Other 413 34.9% 30.21 75.06% 0.292 -0.3273 0.945
4 Reverse Snake 5 40.0% 20.2 80.0% 0.311 -0.0158 0.0
4 Snake 4 50.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 -0.3905 0.0
4 Thematic 1617 34.37% 40.29 71.68% -0.367 -0.0995 0.212
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10273 31.45% 32.93 75.75% -0.353 -0.1885 -0.042
5 Archipelago 22 63.64% 27.91 72.73% 0.163 -0.7153 -0.071
5 Coastline 36 8.33% 26.17 80.56% 0.0 0.0963 -0.395
5 Other 833 28.11% 28.47 78.87% -0.246 -0.632 -0.028
5 Thematic 63 25.4% 32.21 76.19% 0.002 -0.7954 0.398
6 Archipelago 367 1.4% 68.63 82.29% 0.835 -0.2749 -1.032
6 Coastline 45 4.35% 29.36 86.67% 0.204 -0.6329 -0.143
6 Other 355 18.6% 31.47 70.7% -0.283 -0.313 -1.109
6 Star 177 26.55% 24.05 66.67% -1.155 -1.1717 -1.841
6 Thematic 703 25.43% 23.2 50.92% -1.709 -1.606 -0.865
6 Two Centers (Default) 1050 17.9% 23.88 68.48% -1.566 -1.0016 -1.18
7 Archipelago 7 16.67% 9.57 28.57% -0.933 -1.0073 -0.349
7 Other 41 24.39% 15.12 36.59% -0.302 -0.7362 -1.718

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4438 30.22 55.57% -0.043 0.2064 0.027
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3902 32.53 59.94% 0.329 0.2108 0.298
All Things Weaken 2682 27.88 49.55% -0.309 0.0282 -0.358
Attenuated Essence 472 24.72 47.25% -0.703 -0.6766 -0.671
Back Against the Wall 3710 30.8 55.23% 0.006 0.0074 0.055
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 461 26.3 43.38% -0.678 -0.4613 -0.624
Burn Brightest Before the End 394 30.96 51.52% 0.501 0.4828 -0.204
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4251 27.82 54.2% -0.233 0.1602 -0.017
Downward Spiral 7954 25.44 59.33% -0.563 -0.4549 -0.06
Erosion of Will 4295 28.6 51.92% -0.438 -0.0857 -0.191
Intensifying Exploitation 520 28.14 50.0% -0.149 0.0966 -0.145
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1189 33.7 76.37% 0.509 -0.015 0.268
Memory Fades to Dust 7976 25.04 55.7% -0.255 -0.0074 -0.067
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2845 28.61 53.36% -0.33 -0.1081 -0.217
Promising Farmlands 4151 28.02 52.47% -0.695 -0.4117 -0.411
Shattered Fragments of Power 422 29.6 51.18% 0.106 0.1831 -0.403
Slow Dissolution of Will 491 25.86 43.38% -0.597 -0.1997 -0.638
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 765 33.97 81.18% 1.175 0.4793 0.632
The Border of Life and Death 138 29.83 69.57% 0.198 -0.4026 0.88
Thriving Communities 2696 28.79 54.93% -0.13 0.2265 0.021
Thriving Crops 255 28.45 53.73% 0.35 0.1535 -0.022
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.4341 -0.151
Unnatural Proliferation 2927 31.87 57.81% 0.39 0.5519 0.162
Untended Land Crumbles 2667 28.2 53.73% -0.471 -0.2394 -0.225

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 35549 38.42% 29.46 72.09% -0.235 0.7701 -0.001
B 40466 37.31% 30.37 72.92% -0.033 0.8866 0.088
C 38719 36.81% 30.71 73.94% 0.053 0.7872 0.198
D 34542 36.63% 30.13 73.87% -0.103 0.8751 0.06
E 21503 39.19% 29.83 71.73% -0.161 0.6583 0.12
F 32920 37.41% 29.31 72.37% -0.157 0.7168 0.033
G 33784 38.23% 29.85 72.71% -0.043 0.7659 0.173
H 31507 37.6% 29.42 72.33% -0.342 0.473 0.059
East 7055 37.82% 33.77 62.89% -0.354 0.5487 -0.548
Northeast 4833 36.76% 33.67 62.65% -0.179 0.6292 -0.813
Northwest 4612 36.3% 34.4 64.81% -0.225 0.6749 -0.839
Southeast 1905 34.28% 28.46 59.37% -0.368 0.4822 -0.526
Southwest 1852 34.95% 26.59 56.86% -0.82 0.5558 -0.61
West 7016 38.11% 33.5 63.1% -0.273 0.6822 -0.828

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6939 0.0% 16.58 63.34% -1.359 -0.6514 -0.559
Not Using Events or Tokens 19114 34.47% 21.78 70.93% -0.096 0.2723 -0.16
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5217 11.73% 35.14 89.07% 1.089 0.5047 0.56
Start of Game Growth 7730 15.15% 35.43 86.48% -0.05 -0.5641 0.78
Unlimited Undo 15773 32.23% 30.57 77.09% 0.152 0.0421 0.447
Using Tokens but Not Events 22823 23.2% 28.01 80.48% 0.369 0.3433 -0.526

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8801 25.79% 35.27 78.67% 0.386 0.2801 0.595
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 281 33.33% 32.03 63.35% 0.076 -0.4036 0.092
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2624 47.8% 28.3 67.8% -0.704 -0.578 -0.291
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 261 38.37% 24.94 53.26% 0.536 -0.3113 -0.856
Dances Up Earthquakes 157 43.95% 29.55 66.88% 0.699 0.7361 0.638
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9909 35.51% 28.5 71.46% -0.193 -0.3296 -0.197
Downpour Drenches the World 1002 29.8% 24.71 59.78% -0.2 0.0062 -0.24
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1288 35.55% 29.21 65.22% -0.209 -0.8194 0.295
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9746 27.84% 29.71 77.47% 0.02 -0.3551 -0.013
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8759 30.56% 30.76 76.13% 0.258 -0.1321 -0.169
Finder of Paths Unseen 872 39.56% 26.07 56.88% -0.319 0.401 0.326
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1121 33.51% 30.1 68.42% -0.334 0.2775 0.251
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1495 41.95% 29.64 66.89% -0.33 -0.4294 0.045
Heart of the Wildfire 3652 53.93% 29.8 65.66% -0.262 0.0752 -0.479
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6927 35.15% 35.22 77.15% 0.298 -0.1322 0.414
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 391 32.31% 25.55 49.62% 0.12 -0.1946 -0.411
Lightning's Swift Strike 5403 37.65% 28.72 73.76% 0.109 0.3383 -0.223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 904 21.99% 47.38 73.01% 0.503 0.059 0.358
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 735 36.99% 32.24 73.33% -0.328 -0.6382 0.788
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1120 35.12% 30.89 69.91% 0.397 0.2546 0.59
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3062 41.62% 31.1 70.05% 0.356 0.1277 -0.447
Many Minds Move as One 1889 36.65% 29.95 75.86% 0.282 0.0389 0.301
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6213 31.89% 38.9 77.72% -0.163 -0.0544 0.996
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 247 46.53% 29.77 68.42% 0.438 0.5567 0.791
River Surges in Sunlight 6664 31.31% 36.35 75.87% 0.153 0.2831 0.409
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 143 36.76% 20.2 41.96% -0.601 -0.4253 -0.425
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1083 34.38% 26.82 68.05% -0.27 0.0283 0.238
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 713 35.98% 29.04 62.13% 0.175 0.0909 0.122
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4958 35.89% 33.78 72.79% -0.003 -0.1146 0.195
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 102 35.29% 31.33 69.61% 0.665 0.5468 0.327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2145 45.63% 25.23 68.02% -0.349 0.1455 -0.526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 194 41.67% 25.65 61.34% -0.74 -0.7915 -0.061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 238 39.57% 26.16 59.24% 0.429 -0.0812 -0.486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 177 28.05% 21.58 57.06% 0.159 0.0309 -0.794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 577 39.18% 26.35 65.16% 0.341 0.353 -0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 482 41.43% 24.83 64.32% -1.198 -1.0626 -0.525
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4053 34.58% 35.38 76.91% -0.009 0.0394 0.257
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 461 35.53% 29.06 70.07% 0.513 0.2978 0.329
Shifting Memory of Ages 1292 40.99% 26.18 65.56% 0.031 0.3254 -0.21
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 252 36.65% 26.81 57.14% -0.243 -0.3618 -0.603
Shroud of Silent Mist 1416 43.22% 25.66 65.47% -0.259 0.069 -0.58
Starlight Seeks its Form 1529 38.4% 30.48 67.3% -0.01 -0.1094 0.517
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3480 43.06% 31.29 70.0% 0.029 -0.5012 -0.063
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7086 31.32% 30.25 76.35% 0.096 0.1728 0.45
Thunderspeaker 4001 36.88% 32.26 75.01% 0.268 0.3045 0.38
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 204 32.18% 18.92 44.61% 0.406 0.464 -0.503
Towering Roots of the Jungle 327 42.28% 25.05 60.55% 0.162 0.3112 0.04
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2168 59.17% 28.85 63.7% 0.104 0.2504 -0.184
Vital Strength of the Earth 3986 31.98% 25.75 72.55% 0.142 0.71 -0.224
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 480 33.33% 24.46 54.37% -0.095 0.4259 -0.08
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 666 37.94% 24.43 61.86% -0.719 0.0222 -0.752
Volcano Looming High 2209 45.15% 28.25 66.82% -0.38 -0.3648 0.184
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 542 31.67% 27.54 62.73% -0.027 -0.3194 -0.022

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.34%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.84%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.2%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.3%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29656 13.33 15.98%
II 61994 30.1 74.73%
III 53846 34.83 90.3%
IV 16513 38.67 99.6%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4735
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47905
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 45394
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16322
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13142
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1568
Lose: Adversary condition 11008
Win: Sacrifice victory 375
Lose: Scenario condition 1079
Win: Scenario condition 1408
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18542
Lose: Spirit destroyed 531

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.617 Win Model: -0.134

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.098 Win Model: 0.205
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 88318 39.64% 28.44 71.15%
2 41223 41.72% 29.26 71.12%
3 16356 39.6% 31.24 73.92%
4 12585 31.94% 33.74 75.35%
5 838 27.68% 26.57 73.99%
6 2689 17.85% 30.86 66.53%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)