Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 94 32.98% 24.03 61.7% 0.544 0.5959 -1.121
Blitz 0 1894 30.92% 28.78 75.13% -0.357 -0.156 -0.121
Dahan Insurrection 4 1275 29.53% 48.76 65.25% -0.935 -1.1464 0.392
Despicable Theft 2 206 41.75% 28.5 61.17% -0.907 -0.0629 0.298
Elemental Invocation 1 382 46.19% 27.0 59.95% -0.539 0.5325 -1.153
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6086 14.17% 46.62 79.53% 1.203 0.4785 0.943
Powers Long Forgotten 1 690 53.23% 29.83 61.59% -0.686 0.2198 -0.143
Rituals of Terror 3 577 43.63% 39.41 66.03% -0.652 -0.6219 0.148
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 452 70.29% 33.66 51.11% -0.753 0.4355 0.02
Second Wave 0 7351 37.35% 29.49 77.98% 0.224 0.305 -0.069
The Great River 3 365 46.15% 27.38 56.44% -0.647 0.74 -0.807
Varied Terrains 2 136 40.44% 26.3 55.88% -0.265 0.6357 -0.465
Ward the Shores 2 782 40.62% 33.38 62.4% -0.89 0.1653 -0.246

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 71252 40.24% 29.17 74.02% 0.327 0.3581 0.209
1 Thematic 4199 40.8% 34.84 67.54% -0.236 0.196 0.623
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 32.34 75.61% 0.357 0.8496 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 23445 43.55% 30.1 73.66% 0.305 0.2564 0.32
2 Coastline 3251 38.9% 32.08 77.58% -0.027 -0.1272 0.589
2 Fragment 634 43.56% 27.59 76.18% 0.549 0.136 0.015
2 Heart 415 47.86% 26.27 75.18% -0.065 -0.1549 -0.455
2 Opposite Shores 4516 36.37% 29.67 76.15% 0.475 0.2953 -0.382
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.405 0.2331 0.0
2 Thematic 2030 43.49% 32.73 60.3% -0.312 -0.1251 0.015
2 Top to Top 593 44.15% 32.1 76.39% 0.78 0.5803 0.648
3 Archipelago 35 28.57% 36.11 91.43% 1.12 -0.0007 0.667
3 Coastline 116 42.98% 27.46 69.83% -0.028 -0.6894 1.08
3 Other 520 35.6% 30.42 83.46% 0.568 0.2343 0.35
3 Round (Default) 12535 39.67% 32.43 76.13% 0.088 -0.1778 0.164
3 Sunrise 78 34.67% 28.22 85.9% 0.0 0.5109 -0.252
3 Thematic 557 45.41% 34.1 65.71% -0.096 -0.5423 -0.005
4 Archipelago 54 44.23% 35.44 79.63% 0.48 -0.077 0.051
4 Coastline 83 26.51% 26.53 71.08% 0.433 -0.1849 0.177
4 Leaf 57 56.14% 31.42 75.44% -0.422 0.4236 -0.321
4 Other 347 33.43% 31.66 79.83% 0.965 0.227 1.023
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 3 66.67% 38.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.9688 0.0
4 Thematic 1500 34.92% 41.66 73.47% -1.097 -0.894 0.328
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9006 32.03% 34.56 78.57% -0.57 -0.23 0.051
5 Archipelago 14 64.29% 25.07 78.57% 0.0 -0.0008 0.0
5 Coastline 28 7.14% 28.75 85.71% -0.128 -0.6561 -0.246
5 Other 598 26.74% 29.78 81.77% -0.118 -0.8389 0.227
5 Thematic 51 23.53% 35.2 82.35% -0.389 -0.229 0.584
6 Archipelago 114 3.85% 60.93 81.58% 0.529 -0.1861 -0.805
6 Coastline 39 0.0% 26.95 87.18% -0.352 -0.8405 -0.176
6 Other 274 16.67% 35.39 75.18% -0.909 -0.4692 -0.688
6 Star 127 29.13% 25.34 68.5% -0.221 0.0772 -1.395
6 Thematic 496 27.09% 25.97 57.06% -1.331 -1.306 -0.705
6 Two Centers (Default) 751 16.94% 25.33 75.23% -0.619 -0.5215 -1.144
7 Archipelago 4 33.33% 16.75 50.0% -0.108 0.4185 -0.458
7 Other 33 27.27% 16.61 36.36% 0.132 -1.284 -1.385

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4003 30.41 55.86% 0.061 0.1993 -0.092
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3535 32.79 60.59% 0.31 0.2505 0.151
All Things Weaken 2306 28.6 50.39% -0.639 -0.2841 -0.453
Attenuated Essence 213 23.66 44.13% -0.199 -0.0879 -1.007
Back Against the Wall 3385 31.08 55.48% -0.498 -0.4213 -0.077
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 232 27.25 43.53% 0.319 0.5295 -0.911
Burn Brightest Before the End 196 29.15 51.02% -0.619 -0.4988 -0.572
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3851 28.06 54.69% -0.379 -0.0107 -0.148
Downward Spiral 7021 26.01 60.42% -0.259 -0.0628 -0.24
Erosion of Will 3880 28.83 52.29% -0.196 0.0711 -0.343
Intensifying Exploitation 245 28.87 51.84% 0.025 0.2948 0.183
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1000 34.78 77.9% 0.497 -0.0136 0.221
Memory Fades to Dust 7073 25.63 56.17% -0.253 0.0587 -0.251
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2411 29.07 54.25% -0.577 -0.282 -0.315
Promising Farmlands 3764 28.36 53.11% -0.245 0.0913 -0.542
Shattered Fragments of Power 199 31.7 52.76% 0.008 0.1163 -0.291
Slow Dissolution of Will 241 25.96 42.32% -0.605 -0.2052 -0.919
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 663 34.44 82.2% 0.434 -0.1788 0.361
The Border of Life and Death 81 33.59 72.84% 0.863 0.5703 1.098
Thriving Communities 2274 29.44 56.24% 0.063 0.3962 -0.119
Thriving Crops 120 28.93 50.83% -0.403 -0.4894 -0.075
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.5146 -0.325
Unnatural Proliferation 2508 32.45 58.29% 0.135 0.2825 -0.045
Untended Land Crumbles 2246 28.73 54.19% -0.352 -0.0449 -0.372

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 30061 39.22% 30.32 74.5% -1.034 -0.129 0.046
B 34486 38.0% 31.28 75.29% -1.106 -0.2779 0.173
C 32799 37.26% 31.59 76.47% -0.948 -0.2683 0.257
D 29343 37.14% 31.05 76.43% -0.873 -0.0199 0.174
E 17196 39.73% 31.17 74.63% -0.898 -0.1968 0.194
F 27815 38.28% 30.7 75.54% -0.806 -0.025 0.236
G 28557 39.32% 30.85 75.3% -0.837 -0.0655 0.271
H 26508 38.35% 30.3 75.09% -0.966 -0.1977 0.184
East 6024 38.94% 35.7 65.65% -0.752 0.1093 -0.48
Northeast 4136 37.88% 35.5 65.04% -0.995 -0.2478 -0.854
Northwest 3983 37.55% 36.08 67.21% -0.273 0.5601 -0.858
Southeast 1474 35.81% 31.44 65.47% -0.281 0.4951 -0.511
Southwest 1447 36.65% 29.35 62.4% -1.506 -0.1866 -0.545
West 6050 39.26% 35.21 65.57% -0.118 0.8882 -0.869

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5712 0.0% 17.75 68.28% -1.673 -0.842 -0.886
Not Using Events or Tokens 15950 34.85% 23.12 74.87% -0.214 0.2271 -0.042
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4597 11.91% 36.07 91.32% 0.6 0.0381 0.253
Start of Game Growth 6756 15.39% 36.63 89.21% 0.862 0.3237 0.976
Unlimited Undo 13489 32.5% 31.64 80.14% 0.044 0.0846 0.431
Using Tokens but Not Events 19069 23.54% 28.62 83.53% 0.538 0.5146 -0.189

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7705 26.7% 35.45 80.31% 0.394 0.291 0.545
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2399 48.37% 29.33 69.65% -0.309 -0.149 -0.272
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 114 38.39% 24.61 50.88% 0.11 -0.7258 -1.039
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8563 36.93% 29.95 74.21% -0.184 -0.3151 -0.287
Downpour Drenches the World 661 29.3% 25.38 61.88% -0.409 -0.091 -0.238
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 716 36.72% 30.01 66.76% 0.486 0.0015 0.206
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8346 28.71% 31.12 80.27% 0.468 0.0154 -0.032
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7345 32.39% 30.85 78.5% 0.227 -0.2253 -0.213
Finder of Paths Unseen 631 37.64% 27.74 60.06% -0.296 0.3705 0.238
Fractured Days Split the Sky 902 34.79% 32.07 73.06% 0.004 0.682 0.43
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1076 43.32% 32.68 72.86% -0.379 -0.3173 0.162
Heart of the Wildfire 3136 53.7% 31.22 69.48% 0.311 0.5711 -0.202
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6217 35.05% 36.14 78.85% -0.027 -0.4205 0.375
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 143 25.87% 27.78 53.85% 0.42 0.0252 -0.283
Lightning's Swift Strike 4793 38.03% 29.96 75.49% -0.539 -0.2855 -0.242
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 456 29.78% 43.32 75.0% 0.746 0.1924 0.459
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 618 37.5% 34.19 76.7% -0.266 -0.5021 0.846
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 875 35.89% 32.25 72.69% -0.192 -0.4427 0.58
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2454 42.69% 32.42 72.49% 0.64 0.3162 -0.429
Many Minds Move as One 1531 37.42% 31.37 78.64% -0.129 -0.3291 0.22
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5380 33.17% 38.79 79.26% -0.049 -0.0774 0.898
River Surges in Sunlight 5788 32.29% 36.56 77.83% -0.191 -0.0745 0.389
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 868 35.28% 28.01 72.47% -0.378 -0.0404 0.331
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 500 33.4% 30.4 65.4% 0.134 -0.0144 -0.189
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4422 37.03% 34.98 74.92% 0.396 0.2285 0.273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1938 45.77% 26.27 69.76% -0.433 0.1109 -0.523
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 137 45.04% 28.23 64.96% -0.142 -0.0567 0.386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 84 46.99% 29.18 60.71% 0.353 -0.0162 -0.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 115 32.71% 23.04 59.13% -0.798 -0.6328 -0.366
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 480 42.76% 28.76 68.96% -0.366 -0.3344 -0.42
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 396 42.52% 26.24 67.17% -0.333 -0.1624 -0.671
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3748 35.11% 36.19 78.23% 0.153 0.0579 0.256
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 284 40.43% 29.48 71.83% 0.624 0.3831 0.156
Shifting Memory of Ages 1023 43.89% 28.24 69.5% -0.294 0.0845 -0.231
Shroud of Silent Mist 1121 44.72% 27.35 69.49% 0.17 0.5409 -0.475
Starlight Seeks its Form 1070 39.12% 32.84 72.62% 0.42 0.2138 0.496
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3038 43.84% 32.15 71.36% 0.465 -0.2517 -0.153
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6099 31.78% 31.8 79.82% 0.09 0.2723 0.538
Thunderspeaker 3534 37.36% 33.34 76.43% 0.043 0.0572 0.317
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 118 33.62% 18.54 44.92% -0.169 -0.0639 -0.677
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1875 59.95% 29.65 65.49% -0.162 -0.0213 -0.162
Vital Strength of the Earth 3544 32.27% 26.74 74.41% 0.377 0.9193 -0.285
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 326 35.92% 25.81 57.36% -0.635 -0.2972 -0.09
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 530 39.96% 26.77 66.6% -0.903 -0.1862 -0.622
Volcano Looming High 1724 45.92% 29.85 71.0% 0.089 0.056 0.228
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 240 31.25% 30.63 67.5% 0.462 0.0245 -0.098

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 82.96%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.47%
Stinging Sandstorm 90.98%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21771 16.23 19.18%
II 54354 30.54 75.47%
III 47167 34.77 90.37%
IV 14560 38.37 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 41962
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 40145
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14382
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6642
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1404
Lose: Adversary condition 9694
Win: Sacrifice victory 339
Lose: Scenario condition 995
Win: Scenario condition 1318
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16319
Lose: Spirit destroyed 479

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.579 Win Model: -0.128

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.052 Win Model: 0.067
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 75676 40.3% 29.47 73.58%
2 34912 42.21% 30.36 73.82%
3 13799 39.74% 32.36 76.06%
4 11101 32.43% 35.38 78.02%
5 570 26.45% 27.53 76.84%
6 1794 19.17% 29.27 70.68%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)