Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 137 29.93% 25.26 62.04% -0.269 -0.1108 -0.752
Blitz 0 2111 30.29% 27.87 72.76% -0.093 0.1693 -0.192
Dahan Insurrection 4 1394 28.12% 46.63 63.13% -0.621 -0.8466 0.427
Despicable Theft 2 276 38.41% 26.24 55.8% -0.839 -0.03 0.332
Elemental Invocation 1 468 45.18% 25.99 57.69% 0.222 0.9191 -0.892
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6754 13.7% 46.89 79.02% 0.544 -0.0933 1.106
Powers Long Forgotten 1 791 50.06% 27.93 57.4% -1.48 -0.5387 -0.197
Rituals of Terror 3 619 43.09% 38.3 64.46% -0.185 -0.1156 0.156
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 512 67.91% 31.71 48.63% -0.49 0.3933 -0.141
Second Wave 0 8302 36.6% 29.28 77.26% 0.144 0.3321 0.037
The Great River 3 438 45.08% 26.18 53.88% 0.168 1.227 -0.886
Varied Terrains 2 204 44.61% 25.32 55.39% -0.402 0.3377 -0.63
Ward the Shores 2 870 40.19% 31.49 58.97% -1.34 -0.0835 -0.338

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 81558 39.69% 28.28 71.86% 0.388 0.7004 0.439
1 Thematic 4691 39.65% 34.09 66.21% 0.398 0.9611 0.847
2 Archipelago 49 44.9% 30.61 71.43% -0.262 0.5644 -0.22
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27235 42.94% 29.07 71.04% 0.308 0.4362 0.404
2 Coastline 3655 39.04% 31.05 75.7% 0.022 -0.1066 0.816
2 Fragment 733 43.72% 26.7 74.35% 0.602 0.3973 0.37
2 Heart 486 47.53% 26.26 73.25% 0.097 -0.3156 0.159
2 Opposite Shores 5224 36.34% 29.03 74.43% 0.597 0.6771 -0.16
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5203 0.0
2 Thematic 2323 42.49% 31.39 58.67% -0.031 0.3229 0.138
2 Top to Top 712 44.46% 31.31 74.58% 0.583 0.4626 0.766
3 Archipelago 42 30.95% 34.76 83.33% -0.493 -1.5023 0.119
3 Coastline 140 42.75% 27.75 68.57% 0.795 0.1101 1.068
3 Other 581 35.84% 29.55 81.07% 0.898 0.2605 0.406
3 Round (Default) 14483 39.54% 31.51 74.36% 0.184 0.1116 0.221
3 Sunrise 80 33.77% 28.14 86.25% 0.0 -0.2356 -0.216
3 Thematic 685 45.1% 31.63 61.9% -0.053 -0.0956 -0.113
4 Archipelago 68 38.46% 32.57 75.0% -0.593 -0.9049 0.101
4 Coastline 90 27.78% 26.14 67.78% -0.313 -0.2715 0.182
4 Leaf 71 57.75% 28.72 77.46% -0.542 -0.7565 -0.319
4 Other 398 34.45% 30.33 76.13% 0.653 -0.0857 0.983
4 Reverse Snake 5 40.0% 20.2 80.0% 0.277 -0.4272 0.0
4 Snake 4 50.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 0.259 0.0
4 Thematic 1599 34.44% 40.42 71.92% -0.468 -0.6891 0.243
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10063 31.5% 33.21 76.2% -0.574 -0.7344 -0.032
5 Archipelago 19 57.89% 26.79 68.42% -0.221 0.2075 -0.047
5 Coastline 35 8.57% 26.2 80.0% 0.0 -0.7047 -0.356
5 Other 795 27.94% 28.69 79.87% 0.65 -0.1234 -0.027
5 Thematic 62 24.19% 31.94 75.81% 0.53 0.2538 0.419
6 Archipelago 338 1.52% 68.27 81.95% 1.584 0.7616 -0.894
6 Coastline 45 4.35% 29.36 86.67% 0.227 -0.3583 -0.11
6 Other 343 17.72% 31.76 70.85% -0.231 -0.4458 -0.973
6 Star 166 25.9% 24.13 67.47% -0.499 -0.3694 -1.728
6 Thematic 684 24.96% 23.14 50.88% -2.307 -2.2422 -0.789
6 Two Centers (Default) 1018 17.97% 23.91 68.86% -1.387 -0.8888 -1.06
7 Archipelago 6 20.0% 11.17 33.33% -0.663 -0.8938 -0.296
7 Other 40 25.0% 14.97 35.0% -0.591 -1.1094 -1.654

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4382 30.24 55.64% -0.123 -0.0082 0.014
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3847 32.53 60.07% -0.181 -0.257 0.283
All Things Weaken 2613 28.01 49.56% -0.615 -0.3397 -0.377
Attenuated Essence 434 25.07 48.62% -0.528 -0.5624 -0.61
Back Against the Wall 3659 30.83 55.23% 0.079 0.1239 0.044
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 435 26.61 44.14% -0.716 -0.5483 -0.586
Burn Brightest Before the End 366 31.18 51.64% 1.037 1.0389 -0.165
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4203 27.88 54.39% -0.148 0.0891 -0.009
Downward Spiral 7813 25.52 59.62% -0.312 -0.2182 -0.067
Erosion of Will 4242 28.67 52.15% -0.063 0.1492 -0.199
Intensifying Exploitation 486 28.27 50.21% -0.348 -0.1378 -0.111
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1161 33.9 76.66% 0.857 0.282 0.306
Memory Fades to Dust 7842 25.13 55.78% -0.332 -0.1218 -0.056
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2794 28.65 53.36% -0.557 -0.3344 -0.241
Promising Farmlands 4102 28.11 52.68% -0.371 -0.1306 -0.411
Shattered Fragments of Power 384 29.25 49.74% -0.44 -0.4192 -0.384
Slow Dissolution of Will 455 25.76 43.08% -0.528 -0.2294 -0.683
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 748 34.02 81.28% 0.138 -0.5355 0.587
The Border of Life and Death 129 30.86 71.32% 0.094 -0.4613 0.848
Thriving Communities 2634 28.93 55.28% -0.072 0.1396 0.033
Thriving Crops 239 28.38 53.56% 0.462 0.1657 -0.145
Tipping Point 1072 29.8 54.2% 0.0 0.6528 -0.164
Unnatural Proliferation 2855 31.91 57.83% 0.203 0.3658 0.154
Untended Land Crumbles 2599 28.34 53.94% -0.378 -0.1782 -0.222

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 34728 38.51% 29.61 72.5% 0.19 1.1586 0.003
B 39581 37.38% 30.52 73.27% 0.253 1.1314 0.103
C 37810 36.89% 30.82 74.27% 0.336 1.0293 0.19
D 33763 36.68% 30.27 74.27% 0.325 1.2399 0.087
E 20869 39.21% 30.03 72.19% 0.266 1.0255 0.135
F 32195 37.46% 29.48 72.72% -0.069 0.7742 0.029
G 33099 38.37% 29.96 72.97% 0.158 0.9654 0.176
H 30815 37.71% 29.54 72.65% 0.015 0.8326 0.071
East 6924 37.82% 33.89 63.16% -0.544 0.3445 -0.509
Northeast 4741 36.73% 33.75 62.83% -0.157 0.6349 -0.837
Northwest 4539 36.3% 34.5 64.99% 0.046 0.8734 -0.833
Southeast 1868 34.27% 28.56 59.53% -0.451 0.4076 -0.522
Southwest 1811 34.74% 26.77 57.26% -0.791 0.5084 -0.625
West 6911 38.13% 33.64 63.36% -0.034 1.0084 -0.843

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6798 0.0% 16.71 63.78% -1.248 -0.5459 -0.577
Not Using Events or Tokens 18663 34.55% 21.93 71.32% -0.269 0.1206 -0.143
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5136 11.73% 35.22 89.31% 0.97 0.2698 0.499
Start of Game Growth 7585 15.18% 35.6 86.88% 0.028 -0.4799 0.84
Unlimited Undo 15491 32.39% 30.68 77.43% -0.032 -0.1194 0.465
Using Tokens but Not Events 22294 23.15% 28.08 80.81% 0.231 0.2063 -0.534

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8637 25.9% 35.32 78.87% 0.409 0.3271 0.581
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 219 26.27% 31.97 70.32% 0.822 0.3099 1.064
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2587 48.01% 28.52 68.26% -0.217 -0.0386 -0.313
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 241 39.33% 25.62 53.11% 0.389 -0.5018 -0.878
Dances Up Earthquakes 116 44.83% 28.53 64.66% 0.462 0.394 0.591
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9682 35.8% 28.68 71.72% -0.327 -0.5315 -0.246
Downpour Drenches the World 934 29.46% 25.14 60.71% -0.011 0.2679 -0.261
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1193 35.5% 29.64 66.72% 0.555 -0.0201 0.37
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9539 28.05% 29.9 77.9% 0.259 -0.1695 -0.003
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8555 30.77% 30.78 76.4% 0.31 -0.1518 -0.216
Finder of Paths Unseen 833 38.65% 26.28 57.26% -0.342 0.3558 0.268
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1098 33.95% 30.23 68.4% -0.968 -0.3525 0.21
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1446 41.75% 29.97 67.43% -0.224 -0.3414 0.033
Heart of the Wildfire 3594 53.95% 29.91 66.08% -0.219 0.1146 -0.503
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6829 35.23% 35.31 77.33% 0.039 -0.3547 0.364
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 370 31.98% 25.58 49.73% 0.291 -0.0211 -0.496
Lightning's Swift Strike 5303 37.73% 28.86 74.07% 0.218 0.4406 -0.269
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 842 22.3% 47.21 72.92% 0.007 -0.3291 0.325
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 714 36.09% 32.47 73.81% -0.947 -1.2779 0.768
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1082 34.77% 30.92 70.06% 0.427 0.4414 0.56
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2993 42.02% 31.27 70.26% 0.382 0.1848 -0.467
Many Minds Move as One 1834 36.6% 30.01 76.17% 0.306 0.1184 0.256
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6125 31.93% 38.93 77.89% 0.232 0.3771 0.965
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 178 47.16% 30.98 71.91% 0.635 0.6673 0.811
River Surges in Sunlight 6559 31.43% 36.37 75.97% 0.174 0.2107 0.376
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 127 35.0% 19.8 40.94% -1.506 -1.2566 -0.521
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1044 34.09% 26.97 68.39% -0.761 -0.5712 0.236
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 668 35.29% 29.08 62.43% 0.331 0.1348 0.005
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4884 36.03% 33.99 73.18% 0.246 0.0805 0.207
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 75 30.67% 32.19 72.0% 1.004 0.7344 0.279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2116 45.8% 25.36 68.34% -0.147 0.4262 -0.558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 182 41.42% 26.12 62.64% -0.717 -0.7897 0.199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 208 40.8% 25.79 59.13% 0.954 0.4726 -0.647
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 168 27.56% 21.83 57.14% -0.54 -0.5549 -0.714
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 568 39.02% 26.49 65.14% -0.539 -0.6273 -0.308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 471 41.24% 25.15 65.39% -0.221 -0.0131 -0.566
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4019 34.65% 35.48 77.03% -0.107 -0.0473 0.216
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 443 35.39% 28.97 69.3% -0.007 -0.1415 0.303
Shifting Memory of Ages 1267 41.25% 26.21 65.51% -0.554 -0.2444 -0.244
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 212 35.07% 27.15 57.08% -0.062 -0.0552 -0.549
Shroud of Silent Mist 1371 42.8% 25.9 66.08% -0.264 0.0711 -0.588
Starlight Seeks its Form 1477 38.6% 30.66 67.64% 0.526 0.4438 0.505
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3427 43.08% 31.4 70.29% 0.407 -0.0793 -0.088
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6948 31.31% 30.42 76.67% -0.089 0.112 0.419
Thunderspeaker 3940 36.91% 32.34 75.1% -0.194 -0.1426 0.342
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 195 33.16% 18.42 43.08% -0.726 -0.5791 -0.53
Towering Roots of the Jungle 294 43.49% 25.67 60.54% 0.38 0.499 0.039
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2115 59.43% 28.88 63.83% -0.23 -0.1852 -0.206
Vital Strength of the Earth 3920 32.09% 25.86 72.63% 0.302 0.8954 -0.251
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 459 33.1% 24.46 54.68% -0.04 0.4398 -0.206
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 650 37.48% 24.69 62.46% 0.058 0.6855 -0.638
Volcano Looming High 2123 45.1% 28.55 67.55% -0.327 -0.273 0.185
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 509 31.69% 27.77 63.46% 0.319 -0.0358 0.046

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call on Herders for Aid 83.3%
Gift of Searing Heat 84.81%
Stinging Sandstorm 91.18%
Sweltering Exhaustion 97.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28552 13.65 16.27%
II 60868 30.17 74.87%
III 52924 34.82 90.34%
IV 16259 38.64 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4642
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47103
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44649
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16069
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12212
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1548
Lose: Adversary condition 10835
Win: Sacrifice victory 367
Lose: Scenario condition 1072
Win: Scenario condition 1391
Lose: Blight pool ran out 18194
Lose: Spirit destroyed 521

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.138 Win Model: -0.149

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.167 Win Model: 0.143
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 86569 39.7% 28.57 71.45%
2 40368 41.79% 29.4 71.51%
3 15949 39.69% 31.42 74.18%
4 12336 31.96% 34.01 75.8%
5 796 27.25% 26.62 74.5%
6 2585 17.71% 30.59 66.54%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-19 03:08:32 (Pacific Time)