Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 20 25.0% 23.25 60.0% -0.113 -0.2995 -0.686
Blitz 0 203 40.5% 22.58 45.81% -0.67 -0.5385 -0.181
Dahan Insurrection 4 140 37.86% 41.45 48.57% 0.434 0.1786 -0.074
Despicable Theft 2 60 36.67% 21.47 33.33% -0.617 -0.0761 -0.09
Elemental Invocation 1 101 52.48% 25.47 37.62% -0.467 0.3901 -0.25
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 988 22.17% 38.8 57.39% 0.28 -0.4917 0.35
Powers Long Forgotten 1 111 49.55% 25.65 46.85% -0.718 0.2167 -0.038
Rituals of Terror 3 62 32.26% 33.44 56.45% 0.115 0.2109 0.626
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 95 57.89% 25.35 44.21% -1.038 0.1587 0.117
Second Wave 0 925 36.67% 25.06 68.86% 0.435 0.521 -0.728
The Great River 3 67 35.82% 17.3 13.43% -0.841 0.5209 -0.604
Varied Terrains 2 32 46.88% 15.09 34.38% -1.421 -0.6321 -0.097
Ward the Shores 2 95 47.37% 25.75 46.32% -0.417 0.6147 -0.653

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8918 43.18% 22.94 48.62% -0.183 0.0083 -0.158
1 Thematic 538 44.49% 23.3 37.36% -0.019 0.6259 -0.478
2 Archipelago 17 35.29% 21.88 58.82% -0.277 0.1553 -0.219
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2923 48.81% 26.13 59.97% 0.091 0.0876 0.272
2 Coastline 384 42.93% 23.26 58.07% -0.244 -0.188 -0.956
2 Fragment 64 51.56% 26.52 70.31% 0.782 0.5151 0.25
2 Heart 52 51.02% 23.81 57.69% -0.845 -0.8838 1.343
2 Opposite Shores 490 45.95% 25.8 65.92% 0.418 0.4322 0.021
2 Thematic 336 48.95% 27.42 46.13% -0.318 -0.1208 -0.635
2 Top to Top 79 49.35% 27.81 67.09% 0.872 0.774 -0.465
3 Archipelago 9 33.33% 33.11 66.67% 0.0 -0.4467 0.0
3 Coastline 24 50.0% 20.38 37.5% 0.0 -1.0241 0.26
3 Other 92 33.33% 26.87 64.13% -0.12 -0.5126 0.56
3 Round (Default) 1913 44.81% 30.02 68.43% 0.507 0.1712 0.31
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 30.5 100.0% 0.0 0.2427 0.0
3 Thematic 103 47.57% 29.34 60.19% -0.867 -1.1508 0.006
4 Archipelago 10 44.44% 19.1 20.0% -0.583 -0.74 0.0
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 16.5 50.0% -0.282 -1.2205 0.0
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 20.8 50.0% 0.313 0.1647 0.0
4 Other 50 28.57% 31.58 90.0% 0.933 -0.3967 0.214
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.1011 0.0
4 Thematic 166 36.81% 37.1 74.1% -0.239 -0.3184 -0.119
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1125 37.56% 31.76 73.16% 0.882 0.7255 -0.276
5 Other 84 43.37% 25.31 69.05% -0.182 -1.257 0.306
5 Thematic 19 44.44% 30.79 73.68% 0.063 0.0564 0.126
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 17.75 25.0% -0.569 -1.8681 -0.557
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 35.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.748 -0.261
6 Other 46 26.09% 27.85 73.91% -0.268 -0.4711 0.257
6 Star 20 50.0% 28.65 85.0% 0.142 0.2409 0.454
6 Thematic 82 19.75% 26.55 65.85% 0.057 0.7057 -0.339
6 Two Centers (Default) 168 26.67% 21.78 53.57% -0.961 -1.2954 -0.838
7 Archipelago 6 0.0% 13.67 16.67% -0.459 -0.3985 -0.22
7 Other 8 12.5% 6.75 12.5% 0.329 0.7256 -0.591

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 480 26.24 38.13% -0.131 -0.0019 -0.089
Aid From Lesser Spirits 501 30.05 52.1% 0.201 0.0825 0.467
All Things Weaken 525 23.89 33.71% -0.886 -0.5786 -0.15
Attenuated Essence 47 18.17 25.53% 0.224 0.2559 -0.397
Back Against the Wall 456 28.61 44.96% 0.539 0.5689 0.293
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 47 28.09 42.55% -0.152 0.0338 0.856
Burn Brightest Before the End 24 23.08 37.5% -0.015 0.055 0.083
Disintegrating Ecosystem 467 24.71 37.47% 0.037 0.4132 0.223
Downward Spiral 615 23.16 34.31% -0.009 0.1573 0.203
Erosion of Will 550 25.33 39.82% -0.01 0.2047 -0.406
Intensifying Exploitation 44 19.0 29.55% 0.056 0.297 0.067
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 227 27.41 51.98% -0.16 -0.7412 0.1
Memory Fades to Dust 585 23.8 38.8% -0.128 0.1652 0.211
Power Corrodes the Spirit 565 23.1 36.28% 0.58 0.7415 -0.248
Promising Farmlands 467 25.18 36.83% 0.576 0.8723 0.182
Shattered Fragments of Power 32 24.84 25.0% -1.127 -1.0387 0.212
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 20.45 30.0% -0.127 0.2656 -0.174
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 151 26.84 58.28% 0.036 -0.6759 -0.315
The Border of Life and Death 9 17.22 22.22% 0.396 -0.0836 -0.175
Thriving Communities 552 24.0 35.51% 0.14 0.4397 0.398
Thriving Crops 19 25.11 47.37% 0.054 -0.0475 0.227
Unnatural Proliferation 601 27.02 39.43% -0.032 0.137 0.253
Untended Land Crumbles 589 23.69 33.28% -0.508 -0.2502 0.246

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3996 42.85% 25.92 58.58% -0.174 0.9683 -0.146
B 3961 43.48% 26.03 59.93% 0.242 1.2972 0.029
C 4583 41.49% 26.53 62.03% 0.212 1.1003 -0.019
D 3809 43.82% 26.1 60.2% 0.046 1.1004 -0.094
E 4210 42.13% 27.0 60.55% 0.323 1.2273 0.402
F 3480 42.61% 26.5 60.57% 0.465 1.4694 -0.405
G 2955 43.41% 26.56 59.83% 0.202 1.1697 -0.255
H 3008 43.7% 27.35 61.93% 0.184 1.1768 -0.175
East 881 39.63% 29.31 52.89% -0.436 0.5519 -0.004
Northeast 519 39.26% 29.56 53.95% -0.745 0.2042 -1.529
Northwest 424 43.1% 28.63 53.3% -0.5 0.5409 0.831
Southeast 324 31.46% 29.87 62.04% 0.951 1.8693 0.381
Southwest 307 38.82% 25.92 55.05% -0.138 1.3186 -0.236
West 783 45.17% 27.21 50.06% -0.454 0.6533 -0.777

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 412 0.0% 11.2 43.69% -0.808 -0.1447 -0.034
Not Using Events or Tokens 524 40.08% 12.84 42.18% -0.622 -0.1282 -0.621
Skip Initial Invader Actions 421 19.16% 27.57 71.26% 0.817 0.1942 -0.489
Start of Game Growth 555 23.47% 27.73 69.19% 0.516 0.1033 -0.153
Unlimited Undo 1497 36.07% 24.02 59.19% 0.365 0.2702 0.141
Using Tokens but Not Events 2010 24.01% 20.94 59.65% -0.211 -0.1354 -0.451

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 961 31.93% 31.16 67.33% -0.024 -0.0602 0.529
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 261 50.19% 25.6 55.94% -1.067 -0.9084 0.201
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 20 55.0% 29.5 80.0% 0.496 -0.5163 -0.168
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 561 38.38% 25.47 62.03% -0.396 -0.6083 -0.744
Downpour Drenches the World 122 38.33% 23.73 53.28% 0.691 0.9375 -1.026
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 118 27.35% 23.05 61.86% 0.308 -0.2543 0.598
Eyes Watch From the Trees 530 30.48% 29.32 75.28% 0.491 0.0121 0.308
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 470 38.55% 26.97 68.51% 0.062 -0.3445 0.133
Finder of Paths Unseen 69 32.35% 20.38 50.72% -0.063 0.6988 -0.139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 349 41.79% 31.52 59.31% -0.452 0.2098 0.347
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 209 50.24% 25.1 55.5% -0.616 -0.6182 -0.638
Heart of the Wildfire 429 58.69% 28.25 59.67% -0.356 0.0142 -0.106
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 745 39.35% 34.84 71.14% 0.201 -0.2259 0.349
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 35 38.24% 21.8 45.71% -0.211 -0.7037 0.284
Lightning's Swift Strike 285 40.07% 22.88 63.16% -0.257 -0.0438 -0.737
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 44.14% 25.82 56.14% 0.041 -0.5746 -0.671
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 492 39.83% 30.18 76.63% 0.179 -0.1067 0.774
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 571 40.43% 28.42 70.23% 0.281 0.1784 0.195
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 591 42.52% 30.19 67.17% -1.051 -1.2976 0.081
Many Minds Move as One 343 41.47% 29.5 73.76% 1.005 0.8434 0.526
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 470 37.12% 29.28 65.32% 0.795 0.829 -0.069
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 510 40.28% 27.21 67.25% -0.139 -0.3064 -0.012
River Surges in Sunlight 325 32.11% 27.45 63.08% -0.177 -0.1496 -0.101
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 690 35.89% 26.72 69.57% -0.562 -0.2226 -0.132
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 92 30.77% 25.01 65.22% -0.254 -0.2858 -0.104
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 573 43.26% 31.86 64.57% 0.099 -0.0117 0.473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 101 53.57% 18.49 48.51% -0.449 0.1267 0.59
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 45.9% 25.31 59.68% 0.488 0.5116 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 15 53.33% 25.8 60.0% 0.311 -0.1416 -0.38
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 42.86% 20.89 70.27% 0.456 0.6922 -0.068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 413 36.05% 26.06 75.54% -0.163 -0.2499 -0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 401 40.31% 26.31 76.06% 0.166 0.3614 0.722
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 421 38.52% 32.3 71.5% 0.115 0.094 -0.901
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 45 37.78% 22.78 57.78% 1.171 0.8383 0.619
Shifting Memory of Ages 306 45.25% 26.34 55.88% 0.018 0.2995 0.109
Shroud of Silent Mist 266 44.49% 26.2 66.17% 0.977 1.2498 0.074
Starlight Seeks its Form 235 40.6% 26.22 58.3% -0.527 -0.7466 0.037
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 740 47.83% 32.74 60.68% -0.524 -0.9705 0.085
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 382 39.34% 27.58 65.97% -0.614 -0.4921 -0.154
Thunderspeaker 464 42.36% 30.7 67.67% 0.405 0.4232 0.11
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 31 32.26% 20.52 58.06% -0.218 -0.0135 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 364 62.88% 27.23 62.36% -0.77 -0.5959 0.044
Volcano Looming High 403 53.98% 26.98 62.53% 0.308 0.2814 0.013
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 44 25.0% 19.32 47.73% -0.1 -0.6339 -0.468

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 83.49%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 70.23%
Guard the Healing Land 86.96%
Rituals of Destruction 72.93%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4129 16.77 3.46%
II 4272 30.59 42.23%
III 5784 34.74 75.1%
IV 3594 38.3 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 142
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4277
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1746
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3556
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1440
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1414
Lose: Adversary condition 2199
Win: Sacrifice victory 33
Lose: Scenario condition 197
Win: Scenario condition 111
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2597
Lose: Spirit destroyed 67

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.002 Win Model: -0.159

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.33 Win Model: 0.061
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9520 43.26% 22.91 47.87%
2 4362 48.1% 26.06 59.9%
3 2114 44.04% 29.8 68.16%
4 1382 37.98% 32.32 73.44%
5 76 28.0% 17.74 52.63%
6 325 25.86% 24.49 61.23%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)