Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 26 23.08% 19.27 50.0% -0.602 -0.5866 -0.633
Blitz 0 219 38.43% 21.81 45.21% -0.184 0.1043 -0.244
Dahan Insurrection 4 146 38.36% 40.58 47.26% 0.352 0.1754 -0.251
Despicable Theft 2 69 36.23% 20.16 31.88% -0.61 0.2506 -0.098
Elemental Invocation 1 114 47.37% 23.52 35.96% -1.092 -0.159 -0.175
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1020 21.67% 38.41 57.45% 0.461 -0.1851 0.366
Powers Long Forgotten 1 115 49.57% 25.07 45.22% -0.39 0.5563 -0.17
Rituals of Terror 3 70 32.86% 31.33 52.86% 0.174 0.2501 0.644
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 103 58.25% 25.29 43.69% -0.691 0.4239 0.571
Second Wave 0 989 37.03% 25.04 68.45% 0.891 0.9209 -0.294
The Great River 3 71 35.21% 17.24 14.08% -0.327 1.0986 -0.646
Varied Terrains 2 36 52.78% 15.25 33.33% -0.077 0.6976 -0.302
Ward the Shores 2 107 46.73% 25.22 45.79% -0.268 0.7763 -0.672

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9434 42.68% 22.44 47.69% -0.152 0.1084 -0.215
1 Thematic 573 44.74% 23.42 38.22% 0.25 0.7162 -0.241
2 Archipelago 21 38.1% 20.95 47.62% -0.942 -0.4685 -0.214
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3103 47.88% 25.64 58.98% 0.104 0.2898 0.235
2 Coastline 413 43.55% 22.74 56.66% -0.144 -0.1604 -0.863
2 Fragment 67 52.24% 25.96 68.66% -0.015 -0.3318 0.267
2 Heart 54 52.94% 22.93 55.56% -0.425 -0.519 1.4
2 Opposite Shores 511 45.22% 25.58 65.95% 0.982 0.9422 -0.004
2 Thematic 370 48.23% 26.72 45.41% 0.046 0.333 -0.065
2 Top to Top 84 47.56% 27.14 65.48% 0.373 0.3291 -0.493
3 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.9 70.0% 0.0 -1.1399 0.0
3 Coastline 27 44.44% 23.22 44.44% 0.834 0.0841 0.278
3 Other 94 33.7% 26.56 63.83% 0.367 -0.0963 0.547
3 Round (Default) 2050 44.03% 29.76 67.9% 1.085 0.865 0.261
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 30.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0754 0.0
3 Thematic 113 43.36% 28.2 59.29% -0.459 -0.7518 -0.17
4 Archipelago 16 53.33% 17.13 12.5% -0.816 -0.6233 -0.291
4 Coastline 7 28.57% 17.0 57.14% 0.0 -0.3597 0.0
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 20.8 50.0% 0.0 -0.1085 0.0
4 Other 52 29.41% 30.69 86.54% -0.464 -0.7205 0.302
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 177 37.93% 35.48 70.62% -0.786 -0.5335 -0.194
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1198 37.38% 30.95 71.45% 0.101 0.315 -0.293
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2735 -0.3
5 Other 92 41.76% 24.27 64.13% 0.163 -0.4022 0.322
5 Thematic 22 42.86% 29.32 68.18% 0.048 -0.3723 0.091
6 Archipelago 10 0.0% 22.9 40.0% 0.304 -0.6292 -0.57
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 39.33 66.67% 0.42 -0.3773 -0.226
6 Other 53 24.53% 27.3 75.47% -0.21 0.2155 0.318
6 Star 21 52.38% 28.05 85.71% 0.0 0.1127 0.46
6 Thematic 92 19.78% 25.97 63.04% -0.156 -0.0542 -0.442
6 Two Centers (Default) 194 25.65% 20.49 50.52% -0.641 -0.8982 -0.745
7 Archipelago 6 0.0% 13.67 16.67% 0.0 1.0709 -0.236
7 Other 10 10.0% 10.7 30.0% 0.239 -0.7763 -0.561

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 499 25.97 37.07% -0.529 -0.3537 -0.11
Aid From Lesser Spirits 516 29.7 51.55% -0.115 -0.1689 0.46
All Things Weaken 552 23.74 33.33% -0.477 -0.1835 -0.027
Attenuated Essence 55 18.55 30.91% 0.548 0.6321 -0.403
Back Against the Wall 480 28.36 45.21% 0.485 0.532 0.288
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 63 27.59 39.68% -0.07 0.1337 0.938
Burn Brightest Before the End 33 23.39 30.3% -1.018 -0.8304 0.054
Disintegrating Ecosystem 480 24.66 37.5% 0.47 0.8792 0.281
Downward Spiral 642 22.97 34.74% 0.365 0.4922 0.222
Erosion of Will 570 25.28 40.18% 0.358 0.6404 -0.411
Intensifying Exploitation 55 19.98 30.91% -0.265 -0.0176 0.045
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 235 27.03 50.64% -0.747 -1.2624 0.069
Memory Fades to Dust 607 23.45 38.39% -0.267 -0.03 0.206
Power Corrodes the Spirit 583 23.04 36.36% 0.119 0.3368 -0.166
Promising Farmlands 488 24.66 36.27% -0.517 -0.2219 0.153
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 23.95 21.05% -0.755 -0.5534 -0.065
Slow Dissolution of Will 50 20.84 30.0% -0.673 -0.2885 0.152
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 161 27.17 57.76% 0.269 -0.3116 -0.106
The Border of Life and Death 13 15.0 15.38% -0.533 -1.0499 -0.15
Thriving Communities 588 23.68 35.37% 0.076 0.4154 0.395
Thriving Crops 22 25.59 50.0% 0.22 0.1781 0.247
Unnatural Proliferation 629 26.8 39.9% 0.244 0.3847 0.242
Untended Land Crumbles 618 23.48 33.98% -0.093 0.3554 0.264

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4275 42.58% 25.32 57.31% -0.234 0.6277 -0.197
B 4210 43.08% 25.59 58.95% 0.088 0.9049 -0.063
C 4888 40.75% 26.1 61.21% 0.3 0.9792 0.039
D 4088 42.92% 25.66 59.25% 0.188 0.9925 -0.133
E 4512 41.37% 26.47 59.55% 0.087 0.756 0.339
F 3718 42.03% 25.92 59.14% -0.328 0.4706 -0.497
G 3142 42.79% 26.05 58.91% 0.021 0.8471 -0.292
H 3208 42.8% 26.74 60.79% -0.225 0.5477 -0.227
East 964 39.75% 28.72 52.39% -0.341 0.5049 0.039
Northeast 566 39.0% 29.34 53.36% 0.978 1.7486 -0.738
Northwest 459 42.42% 27.97 51.85% -0.891 -0.0833 0.635
Southeast 358 32.11% 29.01 61.17% 0.41 1.2796 0.356
Southwest 346 37.03% 24.6 52.89% -0.58 0.702 -0.322
West 856 44.35% 26.28 48.6% -0.633 0.3632 -0.868

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 436 0.0% 10.89 42.43% -0.285 0.5111 -0.033
Not Using Events or Tokens 563 39.03% 12.28 40.32% -1.363 -0.9749 -0.795
Skip Initial Invader Actions 440 18.27% 27.13 70.91% 0.304 -0.3108 -0.492
Start of Game Growth 584 22.89% 27.38 68.84% 0.837 0.2553 -0.126
Unlimited Undo 1556 35.46% 23.88 58.74% 0.291 0.335 0.301
Using Tokens but Not Events 2148 24.18% 20.6 58.75% -0.154 -0.2116 -0.496

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1016 31.87% 30.72 66.63% 0.596 0.4519 0.567
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 11 36.36% 15.36 36.36% -0.144 -0.857 -0.525
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 278 47.84% 24.86 54.68% -1.014 -0.7503 0.166
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 38 47.37% 24.37 60.53% 0.015 -0.7939 0.439
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 601 36.61% 24.88 62.4% 1.286 1.1213 -0.673
Downpour Drenches the World 141 38.13% 22.32 50.35% -0.257 0.0161 -0.996
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 138 27.01% 23.96 63.04% 0.622 0.1951 0.783
Eyes Watch From the Trees 576 29.56% 28.41 72.92% -0.312 -0.672 0.293
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 499 37.5% 26.37 67.33% -0.129 -0.5738 0.207
Finder of Paths Unseen 83 32.93% 19.69 49.4% 0.119 0.8074 -0.345
Fractured Days Split the Sky 367 41.1% 30.53 57.49% -0.361 0.2283 0.399
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 243 48.56% 24.12 53.91% -0.405 -0.4687 -0.673
Heart of the Wildfire 455 57.96% 27.55 58.68% 0.338 0.6655 -0.103
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 781 38.3% 34.37 70.29% 0.377 0.0825 0.415
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 48 40.43% 22.21 43.75% 0.04 -0.331 0.324
Lightning's Swift Strike 316 39.86% 22.78 61.71% 0.176 0.5165 -0.987
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 44.36% 24.34 52.94% -0.493 -0.9671 -0.845
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 512 39.6% 29.52 75.0% -0.311 -0.6717 0.825
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 595 40.38% 28.3 69.75% 0.083 0.0896 0.239
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 628 41.92% 29.58 66.4% 0.361 0.0662 0.077
Many Minds Move as One 362 39.83% 28.56 71.27% -0.607 -0.753 0.432
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 510 36.96% 29.26 66.08% 1.163 1.1045 0.089
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 552 39.33% 26.33 65.58% -0.16 -0.3236 -0.004
River Surges in Sunlight 347 32.09% 26.72 61.67% -0.543 -0.4442 -0.068
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 41.67% 19.0 41.67% -0.232 -0.3671 -0.513
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 731 35.15% 26.44 68.81% -0.327 0.1488 -0.14
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 108 29.91% 24.25 61.11% 0.241 0.2063 -0.053
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 618 43.18% 31.51 64.08% 0.658 0.4029 0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 107 55.06% 17.94 46.73% -0.752 -0.2307 0.616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 42.65% 26.25 56.52% 0.332 0.4727 0.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 28 40.74% 27.25 53.57% 0.571 -0.0073 0.418
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 44 42.86% 20.57 68.18% 0.126 0.4763 -0.222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 434 34.91% 25.59 74.19% 0.344 0.328 -0.263
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 418 40.44% 26.11 75.84% 0.996 1.2448 0.693
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 438 37.7% 31.51 69.63% -0.686 -0.7954 -0.852
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 51 39.22% 24.27 56.86% 0.085 -0.0766 0.719
Shifting Memory of Ages 337 43.15% 26.12 55.49% 0.226 0.5706 0.097
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 11 54.55% 16.64 9.09% -0.97 -1.2791 -0.273
Shroud of Silent Mist 282 43.01% 25.57 65.25% 0.569 0.9002 0.045
Starlight Seeks its Form 265 39.39% 25.94 58.11% 0.631 0.4561 0.071
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 790 47.46% 32.27 59.87% 0.355 -0.3544 0.031
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 405 38.82% 26.81 63.95% -0.731 -0.519 -0.117
Thunderspeaker 500 43.12% 29.71 65.0% -0.563 -0.5842 0.186
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 32.5% 18.82 52.5% -0.658 -0.4598 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 2 50.0% 17.0 50.0% -0.032 -0.0599 0.0
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 391 61.76% 26.45 60.36% -0.705 -0.6393 0.156
Volcano Looming High 429 52.34% 26.4 61.54% -0.142 -0.0049 -0.047
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 64 28.13% 20.3 46.88% 0.247 -0.0642 -0.784

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 83.88%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 70.57%
Guard the Healing Land 87.25%
Rituals of Destruction 73.5%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4623 15.74 3.29%
II 4499 30.48 42.1%
III 6036 34.79 75.1%
IV 3762 38.41 99.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 151
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4464
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1831
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3721
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1862
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1466
Lose: Adversary condition 2296
Win: Sacrifice victory 37
Lose: Scenario condition 198
Win: Scenario condition 117
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2706
Lose: Spirit destroyed 71

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.161 Win Model: -0.143

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.236 Win Model: 0.007
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10080 42.81% 22.45 47.03%
2 4637 47.38% 25.57 58.87%
3 2270 43.19% 29.52 67.62%
4 1473 37.96% 31.38 71.28%
5 89 28.41% 17.99 49.44%
6 371 25.07% 23.64 59.57%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)