Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 59 23.73% 15.46 40.68% 0.202 0.5719 -0.041
Blitz 0 331 35.37% 18.92 41.69% -0.359 0.0728 -0.33
Dahan Insurrection 4 197 38.58% 40.28 47.21% 0.286 0.2597 -0.362
Despicable Theft 2 107 32.71% 17.75 27.1% -0.277 0.383 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 149 41.61% 21.24 35.57% 0.0 0.4478 -0.187
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1270 21.73% 36.53 54.17% -0.443 -1.0422 1.217
Powers Long Forgotten 1 176 42.61% 21.04 37.5% 0.141 0.7488 -0.079
Rituals of Terror 3 103 31.07% 26.79 45.63% -0.268 -0.1439 0.271
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 127 51.18% 22.56 40.16% -0.595 0.1432 -0.249
Second Wave 0 1273 36.24% 24.65 67.16% 0.52 0.6266 0.527
The Great River 3 100 33.0% 14.17 10.0% -0.573 0.6017 -0.165
Varied Terrains 2 82 45.12% 17.23 34.15% 0.62 1.3562 -0.053
Ward the Shores 2 149 41.61% 22.77 40.94% 0.264 0.9463 0.305

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 12902 40.87% 20.46 43.99% -0.381 -0.1561 0.017
1 Thematic 795 42.15% 20.5 31.82% -0.347 0.2035 -0.079
2 Archipelago 32 40.63% 18.91 43.75% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4412 45.61% 23.55 54.58% -0.189 -0.0779 0.031
2 Coastline 560 41.47% 22.64 57.32% 0.288 0.1989 -0.333
2 Fragment 96 47.92% 23.74 64.58% 0.679 0.3406 0.0
2 Heart 64 57.38% 22.52 53.13% 0.0 -0.3272 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 773 41.88% 24.05 61.06% 0.904 0.9405 0.12
2 Thematic 509 44.27% 22.66 39.88% 0.177 0.7055 0.221
2 Top to Top 128 42.86% 23.45 59.38% -0.093 -0.2998 -0.078
3 Archipelago 18 33.33% 31.78 72.22% -0.19 -0.0897 0.0
3 Coastline 40 45.0% 19.98 35.0% -0.408 -0.9288 -0.011
3 Other 114 36.61% 25.46 59.65% 0.302 -0.4399 0.376
3 Round (Default) 2769 42.89% 27.19 62.66% 0.287 0.1906 0.28
3 Sunrise 13 15.38% 24.08 76.92% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 149 39.6% 25.48 55.7% -0.337 -0.0949 -0.018
4 Archipelago 23 36.36% 18.65 26.09% -0.061 0.0197 0.0
4 Coastline 12 41.67% 16.17 50.0% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 19 52.63% 25.63 57.89% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 66 32.31% 28.14 78.79% -0.317 -0.8646 0.0
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 220 37.96% 31.91 65.45% 0.241 0.7147 -0.176
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1590 35.86% 28.37 66.29% 0.215 0.026 -0.012
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 15.5 50.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.228
5 Other 152 37.09% 23.63 64.47% -0.389 -0.7154 0.0
5 Thematic 29 39.29% 27.34 62.07% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 14 7.14% 24.86 50.0% -0.269 -1.1947 0.255
6 Coastline 5 40.0% 23.6 40.0% 0.0 0.3287 -0.167
6 Other 101 19.8% 23.78 64.36% -0.23 0.0397 -0.812
6 Star 29 44.83% 22.52 65.52% 0.0 0.7961 0.0
6 Thematic 139 23.48% 23.76 58.27% 0.0 0.5806 -0.015
6 Two Centers (Default) 342 29.97% 20.84 47.37% 0.424 0.4008 -0.36
7 Archipelago 7 0.0% 11.71 14.29% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 18 11.11% 8.22 27.78% -0.32 -0.5757 0.516

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 633 24.89 35.7% -0.089 0.2218 -0.067
Aid From Lesser Spirits 653 29.0 50.08% 0.004 0.0173 -0.759
All Things Weaken 705 22.41 31.06% -0.741 -0.2672 0.256
Attenuated Essence 148 20.49 32.43% 0.653 0.7997 0.349
Back Against the Wall 580 28.02 44.83% 0.58 0.7096 0.419
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 156 22.87 37.82% -0.096 0.2243 0.583
Burn Brightest Before the End 89 23.37 30.34% -0.455 -0.2782 -0.04
Disintegrating Ecosystem 605 23.31 36.53% -0.33 0.0505 -0.072
Downward Spiral 809 21.81 33.62% 0.325 0.5189 -0.686
Erosion of Will 688 24.65 38.66% 0.404 0.7422 -0.048
Intensifying Exploitation 134 20.32 33.58% -0.076 0.2768 -0.349
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 292 26.33 51.03% 0.918 0.555 1.364
Memory Fades to Dust 756 22.04 35.45% -0.587 -0.2575 -0.637
Power Corrodes the Spirit 740 22.96 36.89% -0.626 -0.3592 0.079
Promising Farmlands 625 23.94 36.0% 0.515 0.9627 1.158
Shattered Fragments of Power 109 23.86 33.03% 0.0 -0.0004 -0.419
Slow Dissolution of Will 147 21.82 30.61% -0.898 -0.4871 1.086
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 214 25.5 56.54% 0.009 -0.5498 0.104
The Border of Life and Death 32 18.81 43.75% 0.0 -0.2451 0.0
Thriving Communities 762 22.79 34.38% 0.006 0.284 0.326
Thriving Crops 72 23.83 47.22% 0.115 0.02 -0.422
Unnatural Proliferation 789 26.14 40.18% -0.409 -0.2045 -0.288
Untended Land Crumbles 760 22.81 34.08% 0.795 1.0944 0.7

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6111 40.85% 23.08 52.99% 0.151 1.1425 -1.065
B 5986 41.42% 23.3 53.98% -0.095 0.7702 1.085
C 6681 38.56% 24.18 57.18% 0.359 1.1113 -0.512
D 5695 40.65% 23.64 55.35% -0.209 0.7353 0.608
E 6165 40.07% 24.54 55.59% 0.372 1.1265 0.495
F 5278 40.6% 23.5 53.66% 0.12 0.9946 -0.425
G 4387 41.15% 24.0 54.89% -1.32 -0.458 -1.318
H 4459 41.04% 24.62 56.11% 0.874 1.6813 1.182
East 1331 37.64% 24.98 46.58% -0.708 0.0371 -0.305
Northeast 766 36.35% 25.39 47.52% 0.67 1.5632 0.0
Northwest 645 40.69% 24.27 45.74% 0.646 1.3892 0.272
Southeast 530 32.25% 25.41 54.53% 0.0 1.0087 0.15
Southwest 484 36.63% 22.06 48.76% -0.321 0.8359 -0.057
West 1179 42.66% 22.95 43.09% -0.552 0.4307 -0.126

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 756 0.0% 9.4 34.26% -0.691 0.0291 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 979 30.63% 9.96 33.3% -0.514 -0.0393 -0.187
Skip Initial Invader Actions 585 17.63% 26.15 68.03% 0.608 -0.1972 0.0
Start of Game Growth 785 21.39% 25.83 64.59% -0.297 -0.8634 0.394
Unlimited Undo 2183 33.65% 21.74 53.55% 0.718 0.7449 0.385
Using Tokens but Not Events 3007 23.94% 19.08 54.01% -0.329 -0.3566 0.003

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1263 31.72% 28.53 62.95% -0.446 -0.8639 -0.789
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 273 31.25% 18.48 35.16% 0.162 -0.4945 -0.057
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 21 14.29% 20.86 61.9% 0.47 0.3125 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 44 34.09% 28.77 68.18% 0.707 -0.1527 0.258
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 347 46.69% 23.51 52.45% -0.388 -0.2501 -0.111
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 86 40.7% 25.85 65.12% -0.167 -1.1964 0.528
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 20.55% 24.75 52.05% -0.518 -0.5543 -0.149
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 789 38.04% 23.21 56.27% -0.295 -0.6493 0.531
Downpour Drenches the World 247 32.65% 20.58 44.53% 0.24 0.3637 -0.107
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 277 31.39% 23.27 61.37% 1.103 0.5319 -0.315
Eyes Watch From the Trees 764 29.44% 26.36 67.28% -0.522 -1.1677 0.077
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 695 36.49% 24.21 63.17% 0.676 0.1826 -0.402
Finder of Paths Unseen 134 30.83% 19.4 49.25% 0.389 0.9774 -0.167
Fractured Days Split the Sky 464 39.18% 28.07 53.45% 0.05 0.4965 -0.186
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 390 44.62% 22.68 49.49% 0.292 0.1069 0.169
Heart of the Wildfire 591 54.59% 25.51 55.67% -0.441 -0.2984 0.273
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 948 36.83% 32.79 68.46% 0.36 -0.3143 1.205
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 138 35.04% 23.31 49.28% 0.501 -0.0265 0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 478 37.47% 20.69 57.53% 0.068 0.1011 0.072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 239 41.56% 24.23 51.46% -0.735 -1.387 0.64
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 632 37.85% 27.13 70.41% -0.384 -0.8796 -0.557
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 757 39.86% 26.02 64.07% 0.329 0.0893 0.25
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 818 41.45% 28.17 61.98% -0.355 -0.781 0.036
Many Minds Move as One 477 38.98% 26.6 66.25% -0.194 -0.7034 -0.206
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 693 36.8% 27.13 61.04% 0.026 -0.2435 -0.515
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 97 33.33% 22.42 62.89% 0.552 0.4376 0.199
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 739 38.77% 23.73 59.68% -0.128 -0.4214 0.988
River Surges in Sunlight 468 32.78% 23.91 56.2% -0.25 -0.4212 -0.236
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 78 39.19% 19.44 43.59% -0.295 -0.4065 -0.339
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 923 34.94% 24.98 64.25% -0.366 -0.4316 -0.306
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 184 34.64% 21.95 51.63% -0.279 -0.4091 -0.22
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 791 41.04% 29.26 60.81% 0.412 0.148 0.245
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 75 30.67% 20.05 38.67% 0.31 -0.12 -0.116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 143 51.75% 15.21 40.56% -0.251 0.1776 -0.087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 109 41.12% 22.37 53.21% -0.549 -0.5449 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 152 33.11% 18.31 46.71% 0.292 -0.4612 -0.156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 86 35.0% 18.8 59.3% -0.275 -0.5938 -0.356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 536 34.88% 23.84 70.71% 0.456 0.2775 -0.1
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 514 39.84% 24.99 73.74% 0.41 0.3671 -0.274
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 541 38.29% 29.36 65.06% -0.053 -0.4188 -0.331
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 9 33.33% 21.11 88.89% 1.046 0.5049 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 153 32.89% 18.92 50.33% -1.187 -1.4318 0.317
Shifting Memory of Ages 478 39.5% 23.42 53.35% -0.0 0.2939 0.417
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 112 35.71% 22.29 44.64% -0.608 -0.7713 0.209
Shroud of Silent Mist 403 45.0% 23.96 60.3% -0.407 -0.2249 -0.083
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 15 33.33% 25.13 66.67% 0.307 -0.1033 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 412 37.56% 24.07 53.88% 0.068 -0.1747 0.987
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1021 45.58% 29.47 56.71% -0.376 -1.3284 -0.603
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 540 36.19% 23.7 57.59% -0.683 -0.6403 0.125
Thunderspeaker 629 42.19% 28.91 62.48% 0.443 0.2475 -0.66
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 30.53% 17.83 47.47% 0.143 -0.0259 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 91 33.33% 24.75 57.14% -0.061 -0.1716 -0.158
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 525 59.31% 24.21 54.67% -0.816 -0.9666 -0.395
Volcano Looming High 600 49.42% 24.53 58.83% 0.571 0.2468 0.112
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 144 29.58% 23.42 59.03% 0.614 0.0962 0.385

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 85.63%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 71.87%
Guard the Healing Land 88.61%
Rituals of Destruction 75.69%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7653 12.25 2.61%
II 5966 29.91 40.63%
III 7726 34.94 74.54%
IV 4826 38.9 99.56%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 199
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5666
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2345
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4779
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4509
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1872
Lose: Adversary condition 2845
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 248
Win: Scenario condition 153
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3417
Lose: Spirit destroyed 92

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.449 Win Model: -0.084

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.158 Win Model: -0.047
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13817 40.9% 20.38 43.08%
2 6555 44.96% 23.63 55.09%
3 3072 42.26% 27.01 62.43%
4 1936 36.4% 28.73 66.27%
5 157 29.49% 19.28 54.14%
6 634 26.85% 22.12 53.47%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)