Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 35 20.0% 26.51 60.0% 0.327 0.2996 -0.568
Blitz 0 92 21.74% 24.54 58.7% -0.363 -0.1126 -1.284
Dahan Insurrection 4 173 31.79% 33.24 36.99% -1.769 -2.0174 -0.251
Despicable Theft 2 28 17.86% 19.46 39.29% -1.453 -0.9908 0.188
Elemental Invocation 1 94 38.3% 25.72 55.32% -1.106 -0.4036 -1.017
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 723 11.1% 35.83 62.38% 0.413 -0.1392 0.449
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 24.49% 14.33 30.61% 0.185 0.8086 -0.825
Rituals of Terror 3 81 37.04% 38.28 53.09% 1.044 1.2367 0.048
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 35 34.29% 24.69 48.57% 0.092 1.0142 -0.381
Second Wave 0 346 27.02% 31.96 78.9% 0.411 0.5282 0.092
The Great River 3 33 30.3% 21.03 39.39% -0.879 0.1888 -0.227
Varied Terrains 2 111 40.54% 30.66 66.67% -0.018 0.7235 -0.029
Ward the Shores 2 59 20.34% 20.39 45.76% -0.344 0.7398 -0.631

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3551 27.77% 28.41 66.4% -0.074 0.4521 -0.066
1 Thematic 205 23.76% 25.72 51.71% -0.259 0.595 -0.561
2 Archipelago 11 9.09% 33.73 72.73% 0.358 1.4133 -0.13
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2371 35.47% 31.38 62.29% 0.013 0.2905 -0.045
2 Coastline 416 32.37% 29.26 70.43% 0.158 0.2604 0.124
2 Fragment 66 42.42% 34.83 65.15% 0.583 0.5957 1.051
2 Heart 105 44.76% 53.02 69.52% -0.292 -0.1801 0.952
2 Opposite Shores 744 30.01% 30.13 69.35% -0.006 0.3301 0.294
2 Thematic 183 34.43% 32.23 62.3% -0.301 0.3882 0.127
2 Top to Top 113 37.5% 31.11 66.37% -0.136 0.1057 -0.131
3 Archipelago 20 50.0% 35.25 50.0% -0.555 -1.2755 -0.298
3 Coastline 25 16.0% 26.32 60.0% -0.476 -0.8162 0.746
3 Other 66 24.24% 26.64 72.73% 0.985 0.3828 0.12
3 Round (Default) 2071 35.38% 31.05 61.56% 0.306 0.3122 -0.416
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.5 75.0% -0.014 -0.0755 0.45
3 Thematic 93 26.88% 36.92 68.82% 0.371 0.4559 -0.105
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 45.45 72.73% 0.059 0.2095 0.946
4 Coastline 18 33.33% 34.22 61.11% 0.277 -0.4811 0.124
4 Leaf 16 18.75% 17.06 43.75% -1.034 -0.8973 0.0
4 Other 248 12.5% 16.81 35.89% 0.368 -0.2506 0.738
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Thematic 141 25.53% 31.97 53.9% -0.135 0.1324 -0.721
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1145 32.34% 29.62 60.61% 0.135 0.2988 -1.03
5 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.83 66.67% 0.0 -0.8784 0.0
5 Other 128 33.87% 28.26 64.84% 1.062 0.6763 -0.875
5 Thematic 27 18.52% 47.89 66.67% -0.599 -1.3966 0.413
6 Archipelago 42 21.43% 43.48 54.76% -0.218 -1.3277 -0.89
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 46.33 66.67% 0.0 -0.8372 -0.061
6 Other 144 29.86% 26.78 45.83% -0.266 -0.2963 -0.811
6 Star 100 26.0% 24.18 47.0% -0.822 -0.8388 -1.674
6 Thematic 424 20.28% 28.95 42.92% -0.459 -0.3564 -0.686
6 Two Centers (Default) 538 19.93% 39.35 54.46% -0.45 0.1146 -1.264
7 Archipelago 10 20.0% 43.5 50.0% 0.255 0.1808 -0.084
7 Other 12 10.0% 21.42 33.33% -0.011 -0.4456 -0.052

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 183 34.44 55.74% 0.04 0.2897 0.194
Aid From Lesser Spirits 167 39.1 59.88% -0.301 -0.4193 0.477
All Things Weaken 192 35.24 57.29% -0.512 -0.1747 0.142
Attenuated Essence 178 38.34 58.99% -0.104 -0.0776 0.596
Back Against the Wall 181 41.97 65.19% 0.265 0.2657 0.468
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 208 30.16 56.73% -0.168 0.0489 -0.181
Burn Brightest Before the End 174 32.3 47.13% 0.183 0.1647 0.138
Disintegrating Ecosystem 206 31.06 50.97% -0.557 -0.1636 0.182
Downward Spiral 198 33.22 62.12% -0.419 -0.3108 0.258
Erosion of Will 177 30.12 48.59% -0.452 -0.0997 0.115
Intensifying Exploitation 177 32.29 57.06% -0.478 -0.2325 0.55
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 35.54 64.13% 0.893 0.369 0.316
Memory Fades to Dust 226 32.28 54.87% -0.039 0.208 0.135
Power Corrodes the Spirit 195 32.66 56.92% -0.295 -0.0732 0.021
Promising Farmlands 226 32.35 51.33% -0.365 -0.0823 0.219
Shattered Fragments of Power 177 39.7 63.84% 0.573 0.6502 0.762
Slow Dissolution of Will 194 34.05 59.28% -0.72 -0.3234 -0.106
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 76 38.79 76.32% 0.677 -0.0182 0.943
The Border of Life and Death 73 36.29 72.6% -0.038 -0.6391 0.133
Thriving Communities 167 32.59 55.69% -0.188 0.1688 0.142
Thriving Crops 101 31.64 56.44% 0.045 -0.151 -0.074
Unnatural Proliferation 196 37.96 55.61% -0.407 -0.2443 0.079
Untended Land Crumbles 192 31.08 47.92% -0.965 -0.7335 0.49

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4018 30.52% 30.62 61.27% 0.193 1.1983 0.087
B 4186 30.54% 30.77 61.13% 0.101 1.0204 0.213
C 4265 30.9% 31.24 62.04% 0.275 1.0099 -0.014
D 3807 30.48% 30.11 59.71% 0.162 1.1397 0.174
E 3390 30.94% 31.43 60.83% 0.187 1.0062 0.25
F 3494 30.1% 31.45 60.33% 0.275 1.1483 0.371
G 3069 31.03% 30.04 57.71% 0.048 0.8576 0.092
H 3055 29.92% 30.37 58.43% 0.19 1.0044 -0.047
East 950 24.18% 31.41 52.53% 0.275 1.1777 0.174
Northeast 669 22.87% 31.1 48.88% 0.011 0.819 0.243
Northwest 616 22.73% 29.95 46.92% -0.193 0.7069 -0.456
Southeast 661 22.42% 31.07 50.23% -0.724 0.1265 -0.037
Southwest 625 21.76% 29.48 49.28% -0.298 1.0781 -0.359
West 895 24.25% 30.35 50.84% -0.454 0.5008 -0.725

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 88 0.0% 23.91 56.82% -1.271 -0.5629 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 112 41.58% 24.94 54.46% -0.597 -0.2288 0.092
Skip Initial Invader Actions 653 8.33% 43.04 63.71% 1.453 0.8686 0.804
Start of Game Growth 987 8.57% 35.31 57.95% -0.108 -0.6222 0.206
Unlimited Undo 1600 18.72% 31.13 57.94% 0.159 0.0497 0.084
Using Tokens but Not Events 1475 18.81% 26.81 67.12% -0.147 -0.1724 -0.281

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 74 28.38% 22.23 52.7% 0.318 0.4435 -0.825
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 231 27.27% 30.05 57.14% 0.308 -0.5386 -0.01
Dances Up Earthquakes 426 27.83% 40.21 66.9% 0.068 0.1049 0.642
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 320 32.6% 28.37 60.31% -0.067 -0.2042 -1.046
Downpour Drenches the World 849 20.99% 24.56 37.34% 0.273 0.4798 -0.552
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 525 30.08% 31.05 65.9% -0.089 -0.7 0.108
Eyes Watch From the Trees 308 35.1% 31.24 66.88% -0.311 -0.6867 0.031
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 279 37.18% 29.95 60.57% 0.051 -0.339 0.268
Finder of Paths Unseen 422 17.58% 22.96 42.42% -0.242 0.4777 0.069
Fractured Days Split the Sky 657 19.82% 37.14 49.62% 0.389 0.9998 -0.179
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 209 40.2% 29.56 59.33% -0.525 -0.6245 -0.004
Heart of the Wildfire 423 48.7% 26.74 49.65% -0.125 0.2114 -0.472
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 712 31.46% 36.73 63.06% 0.326 -0.1042 0.546
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 420 23.1% 27.01 61.43% 0.588 0.2737 -0.385
Lightning's Swift Strike 202 36.63% 28.19 55.94% -0.746 -0.5159 -0.472
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 374 34.17% 37.3 63.64% 0.383 -0.061 0.268
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 105 34.29% 28.75 66.67% 0.759 0.4483 0.535
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 262 28.35% 27.49 53.82% -0.641 -0.7837 -0.035
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 595 33.45% 30.66 56.81% -0.173 -0.4011 -0.145
Many Minds Move as One 225 36.32% 29.52 59.11% 0.128 -0.1148 -0.154
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 769 21.85% 28.9 49.67% -0.43 -0.3209 0.497
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 732 34.71% 32.41 60.11% 0.098 0.2162 0.159
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 281 33.33% 32.03 63.35% -0.406 -0.4524 -0.275
River Surges in Sunlight 215 31.28% 33.61 61.4% 0.367 0.4972 0.302
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 627 25.56% 34.52 64.59% 0.483 0.6583 0.341
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 297 19.66% 28.79 53.87% -0.299 -0.0008 -0.513
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 272 36.03% 28.65 54.41% -0.008 -0.092 -0.297
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1536 23.23% 32.88 54.56% 0.312 0.2008 0.09
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 406 27.83% 33.39 64.53% -0.044 -0.1616 0.123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 29 35.71% 26.28 58.62% -0.439 0.056 -0.902
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 34 35.29% 23.41 61.76% -0.594 -0.6451 0.117
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 210 33.33% 32.82 71.43% 0.359 -0.1511 0.208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 42.55% 28.96 68.09% 0.45 0.3222 0.083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 22 31.82% 31.55 68.18% -0.294 -0.282 0.326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 36 41.67% 25.56 58.33% -1.073 -0.9373 0.473
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 116 29.57% 34.89 73.28% 0.19 0.239 0.588
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 307 20.2% 31.26 63.84% -0.04 -0.2548 -0.341
Shifting Memory of Ages 446 20.05% 38.61 52.02% 0.132 0.4262 -0.092
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1310 24.46% 27.54 54.2% -0.604 -0.7227 0.102
Shroud of Silent Mist 234 33.48% 25.24 58.97% -0.346 -0.0183 -0.125
Starlight Seeks its Form 680 29.35% 36.17 60.44% 0.19 0.0909 0.333
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 617 27.71% 32.41 59.97% 0.347 -0.1832 0.413
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 215 29.91% 32.14 61.86% 0.478 0.5555 0.712
Thunderspeaker 201 31.84% 38.09 64.68% 0.163 0.1993 0.737
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 169 32.54% 26.91 62.13% 0.197 0.2557 -0.032
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1000 32.57% 30.9 65.7% 0.103 0.2528 -0.188
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 265 47.92% 34.13 60.38% -0.139 0.0075 0.235
Vital Strength of the Earth 124 24.19% 23.14 57.26% 0.128 0.6957 -0.45
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 482 33.05% 29.71 43.78% 0.191 0.7124 -0.025
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 147 27.89% 19.69 36.73% -0.632 0.1091 -0.773
Volcano Looming High 424 41.75% 30.1 57.78% -0.56 -0.5448 0.128
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 314 29.3% 30.52 63.69% 0.972 0.6796 -0.001

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 86.83%
Gift of Proliferation 81.42%
Overgrow in a Night 80.08%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 89.57%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3990 13.33 5.49%
II 3923 30.1 76.47%
III 3901 34.83 93.08%
IV 1252 38.67 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 219
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3582
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2942
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1241
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 147
Lose: Adversary condition 781
Win: Sacrifice victory 21
Lose: Scenario condition 61
Win: Scenario condition 91
Lose: Blight pool ran out 650
Lose: Spirit destroyed 21

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.769 Win Model: -0.137

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.143 Win Model: -0.025
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3794 27.54% 28.18 65.23%
2 4020 34.43% 31.78 65.0%
3 2269 34.53% 31.0 61.92%
4 1561 28.27% 28.02 56.44%
5 169 36.97% 31.57 59.76%
6 1253 21.28% 33.1 49.56%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)