Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 20.0% 25.27 56.67% -0.679 -0.6353 -0.596
Blitz 0 76 25.0% 23.42 57.89% 0.133 0.3469 -1.267
Dahan Insurrection 4 151 30.46% 35.56 40.4% -1.04 -1.3284 -0.239
Despicable Theft 2 23 21.74% 22.43 43.48% -1.05 -0.3391 0.091
Elemental Invocation 1 85 40.0% 26.15 57.65% -0.468 0.2328 -0.876
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 562 11.61% 34.89 59.79% 0.056 -0.5443 0.507
Powers Long Forgotten 1 43 25.58% 12.4 27.91% -0.773 0.0648 -0.774
Rituals of Terror 3 64 37.5% 30.7 45.31% -0.64 -0.5798 -0.52
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 31.03% 24.48 48.28% -0.012 0.9746 -0.485
Second Wave 0 263 25.49% 29.98 78.71% 0.404 0.6538 -0.602
The Great River 3 29 31.03% 22.1 41.38% -0.63 0.4363 -0.327
Varied Terrains 2 96 37.5% 29.89 66.67% 0.282 1.1113 -0.518
Ward the Shores 2 53 20.75% 20.13 45.28% -1.231 -0.0476 -0.637

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3103 27.62% 28.9 67.19% 0.233 0.5064 0.069
1 Thematic 164 21.74% 25.29 50.61% -0.449 0.1264 -0.508
2 Archipelago 9 11.11% 30.56 66.67% 0.421 1.0985 -0.152
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1969 34.07% 30.94 63.43% 0.026 0.094 0.15
2 Coastline 339 32.84% 28.69 71.39% 0.379 0.1602 0.101
2 Fragment 57 40.35% 37.0 63.16% 0.596 0.3297 0.939
2 Heart 103 44.66% 53.68 69.9% 0.43 -0.04 0.929
2 Opposite Shores 597 30.7% 30.54 69.51% 0.159 0.1367 0.383
2 Thematic 156 37.18% 33.79 63.46% 0.149 0.5226 0.319
2 Top to Top 93 38.04% 32.7 70.97% 0.524 0.2664 0.321
3 Archipelago 14 57.14% 36.43 50.0% 0.578 -0.3448 -0.213
3 Coastline 24 16.67% 26.71 62.5% 0.397 -0.5665 0.779
3 Other 52 19.23% 24.5 71.15% 0.848 0.0843 0.08
3 Round (Default) 1739 34.33% 29.81 59.75% 0.207 0.0539 -0.496
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 25.5 75.0% -0.627 -0.7047 0.0
3 Thematic 70 25.71% 32.51 65.71% 0.087 -0.0608 -0.247
4 Archipelago 10 50.0% 45.8 70.0% -0.062 -0.5889 1.0
4 Coastline 17 35.29% 34.12 58.82% -0.015 -0.0714 0.146
4 Leaf 13 15.38% 16.92 38.46% -0.937 -1.0278 0.0
4 Other 222 11.71% 15.23 32.88% -0.229 -0.914 0.683
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Thematic 106 26.42% 28.57 53.77% -0.177 -0.3543 -0.879
4 Trapezoid (Default) 987 32.76% 29.49 60.49% -0.056 -0.3851 -1.105
5 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.83 66.67% -0.522 0.7494 0.0
5 Other 117 30.97% 28.42 65.81% 1.26 0.5108 -0.64
5 Thematic 19 21.05% 39.84 68.42% 0.53 0.1439 0.968
6 Archipelago 36 25.0% 43.25 52.78% -1.202 -2.1731 -0.906
6 Coastline 3 66.67% 46.33 66.67% 0.224 -0.3564 -0.199
6 Other 109 28.44% 26.12 44.04% -0.963 -1.3798 -0.698
6 Star 73 21.92% 24.05 46.58% -1.083 -0.7479 -1.825
6 Thematic 365 20.0% 28.44 42.19% -0.724 -0.772 -0.885
6 Two Centers (Default) 428 19.91% 39.02 53.97% -0.407 -0.1928 -1.345
7 Archipelago 7 14.29% 52.0 57.14% 0.096 -0.0239 0.086
7 Other 8 0.0% 15.13 25.0% -0.92 -2.0015 -0.094

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 163 34.35 54.6% -0.254 -0.1825 0.178
Aid From Lesser Spirits 135 39.65 62.22% 0.494 0.4229 0.646
All Things Weaken 164 35.13 59.15% -0.156 0.1033 0.232
Attenuated Essence 153 40.0 60.78% 0.399 0.3636 0.633
Back Against the Wall 147 42.61 65.99% 0.538 0.5914 0.6
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 168 30.59 57.74% -0.217 -0.0718 -0.054
Burn Brightest Before the End 145 30.17 45.52% -0.398 -0.3819 0.006
Disintegrating Ecosystem 173 31.94 52.6% -0.226 -0.0379 0.294
Downward Spiral 165 34.75 64.85% 0.27 0.3445 0.502
Erosion of Will 143 31.42 49.65% 0.312 0.4668 0.274
Intensifying Exploitation 145 33.23 59.31% -0.096 0.0401 0.555
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 69 32.28 59.42% 0.173 -0.4408 -0.11
Memory Fades to Dust 195 32.33 55.38% -0.484 -0.2806 0.185
Power Corrodes the Spirit 162 32.8 57.41% -0.022 0.1525 0.005
Promising Farmlands 191 31.14 51.83% -0.386 -0.1881 0.089
Shattered Fragments of Power 144 39.26 61.81% -0.336 -0.3329 0.619
Slow Dissolution of Will 161 35.84 63.35% -0.075 0.2234 0.076
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 65 39.18 75.38% 0.057 -0.6398 0.782
The Border of Life and Death 65 37.32 75.38% 1.128 0.6298 0.323
Thriving Communities 119 32.65 56.3% 0.089 0.2456 0.029
Thriving Crops 90 31.82 55.56% -0.179 -0.4905 -0.044
Unnatural Proliferation 166 37.84 58.43% -0.051 0.0577 0.204
Untended Land Crumbles 163 32.86 50.31% -0.357 -0.1753 0.576

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3339 29.76% 29.83 60.68% 0.207 1.1819 0.035
B 3518 30.57% 30.43 60.66% -0.009 0.8806 0.183
C 3578 30.5% 31.05 61.96% 0.068 0.7607 0.006
D 3170 29.97% 29.51 59.34% -0.004 0.8916 0.154
E 2837 30.21% 31.22 60.98% 0.051 0.78 0.191
F 2941 29.0% 30.7 59.95% -0.065 0.766 0.233
G 2577 30.49% 29.68 57.94% 0.083 0.8622 0.101
H 2573 29.81% 30.12 58.38% 0.251 1.0339 -0.003
East 788 24.46% 30.23 51.78% -0.308 0.5014 0.091
Northeast 556 23.2% 29.64 47.48% -0.134 0.6637 0.55
Northwest 507 22.88% 28.72 45.96% 0.241 0.9745 -0.351
Southeast 556 21.98% 30.12 50.0% -0.464 0.4297 0.033
Southwest 525 20.95% 28.92 49.14% 0.113 1.371 -0.349
West 735 24.63% 29.07 50.07% -0.031 0.967 -0.918

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 66 0.0% 15.61 51.52% -1.528 -0.8605 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 92 38.1% 26.54 57.61% -0.305 0.1162 -0.115
Skip Initial Invader Actions 515 7.95% 40.81 61.36% 1.32 0.5506 1.217
Start of Game Growth 806 8.19% 33.1 55.33% -0.588 -1.0258 0.034
Unlimited Undo 1308 19.78% 29.26 54.82% -0.483 -0.5488 -0.028
Using Tokens but Not Events 1226 18.41% 25.92 67.29% 0.222 0.1791 -0.314

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 61 29.51% 21.57 49.18% 0.041 0.238 -0.939
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 191 26.7% 28.72 55.5% -0.231 -1.1037 -0.139
Dances Up Earthquakes 320 28.53% 40.39 67.19% 0.343 0.204 0.535
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 239 27.31% 27.79 64.85% 0.558 0.3359 0.117
Downpour Drenches the World 750 20.83% 23.27 34.8% -0.358 -0.0523 -0.639
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 429 31.22% 31.2 65.97% -0.122 -0.6768 0.044
Eyes Watch From the Trees 270 35.85% 31.96 69.63% 0.947 0.5202 -0.067
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 226 38.39% 30.14 61.06% -0.057 -0.4707 0.161
Finder of Paths Unseen 370 18.43% 21.43 39.19% -0.7 -0.0444 -0.229
Fractured Days Split the Sky 519 19.27% 36.34 47.01% 0.531 1.0766 -0.18
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 166 37.04% 29.83 61.45% 0.258 0.1738 -0.334
Heart of the Wildfire 342 49.71% 26.23 47.95% -0.021 0.2942 -0.534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 551 34.48% 37.48 63.16% 0.42 -0.0239 0.569
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 374 22.19% 26.81 60.43% 0.451 0.1573 -0.438
Lightning's Swift Strike 154 37.66% 26.61 56.49% -0.627 -0.3651 -0.359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 309 34.53% 36.28 62.14% 0.114 -0.2136 0.17
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 87 40.23% 27.74 62.07% -0.466 -0.842 0.34
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 228 27.31% 27.83 54.82% -0.4 -0.3007 -0.085
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 488 33.81% 30.3 55.53% -0.361 -0.5597 -0.194
Many Minds Move as One 183 37.02% 29.31 60.11% -0.238 -0.4523 -0.202
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 684 20.32% 28.2 50.44% 0.264 0.4116 0.516
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 489 34.16% 30.83 58.08% 0.145 0.1892 -0.114
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 204 25.74% 32.44 71.57% 0.64 0.5375 0.656
River Surges in Sunlight 162 30.38% 33.37 61.73% 0.476 0.4738 0.369
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 574 25.31% 33.77 63.59% -0.544 -0.2559 0.108
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 253 18.33% 28.93 54.94% -0.295 -0.0923 -0.597
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 209 32.54% 29.14 56.46% -0.019 -0.2333 0.168
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1308 22.23% 31.5 52.98% 0.38 0.2219 -0.085
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 302 29.8% 33.74 66.23% 0.406 0.0228 0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 25 36.0% 26.6 60.0% 0.246 0.8222 -0.675
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 29 37.93% 25.21 65.52% -0.408 -0.4678 0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 175 30.29% 32.86 73.14% 0.435 0.007 0.403
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 44.12% 28.5 58.82% -0.01 -0.0041 0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 14 42.86% 32.0 64.29% 0.039 -0.0198 0.249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 32 40.63% 26.59 62.5% -0.469 -0.2623 0.644
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 85 31.76% 35.36 70.59% -0.437 -0.4047 0.687
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 238 20.59% 30.65 64.29% -0.004 -0.1492 -0.653
Shifting Memory of Ages 375 18.5% 36.76 51.47% 0.045 0.3695 -0.061
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1177 23.91% 27.32 54.38% -0.547 -0.4989 0.12
Shroud of Silent Mist 184 33.88% 25.52 59.78% 0.122 0.4902 0.044
Starlight Seeks its Form 548 30.16% 35.6 58.76% -0.038 -0.1043 0.172
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 527 29.22% 31.6 58.82% 0.269 -0.2145 0.302
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 180 28.49% 30.07 61.11% 0.451 0.6107 0.603
Thunderspeaker 169 33.14% 35.24 65.09% 0.229 0.2596 0.587
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 143 31.47% 27.53 62.24% -0.299 -0.1083 -0.232
Towering Roots of the Jungle 935 32.66% 31.12 66.1% -0.212 -0.0663 -0.185
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 219 46.58% 33.23 63.01% 0.041 0.0614 0.311
Vital Strength of the Earth 99 24.24% 22.69 56.57% -0.036 0.5452 -0.222
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 401 32.24% 27.72 40.9% -0.291 0.1922 -0.134
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 133 27.07% 19.8 36.09% -0.052 0.5676 -0.796
Volcano Looming High 355 37.46% 30.4 59.15% -0.332 -0.2966 0.081
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 283 28.62% 29.71 60.78% -0.109 -0.4263 -0.16

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 86.98%
Gift of Proliferation 81.01%
Overgrow in a Night 79.81%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 90.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3376 13.76 5.15%
II 3286 30.19 77.24%
III 3297 34.82 93.02%
IV 1069 38.63 99.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3020
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2486
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1059
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2843
Lose: Invader deck ran out 128
Lose: Adversary condition 633
Win: Sacrifice victory 19
Lose: Scenario condition 49
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Blight pool ran out 516
Lose: Spirit destroyed 16

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.572 Win Model: -0.132

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.289 Win Model: 0.164
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3304 27.35% 28.64 65.98%
2 3324 34.02% 31.75 65.91%
3 1899 33.33% 29.64 60.03%
4 1336 28.54% 27.26 55.84%
5 153 36.24% 31.1 59.48%
6 1012 20.4% 32.77 48.91%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)