Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 31.5 50.0% -0.408 -0.3927 0.0
Blitz 0 7 42.86% 13.71 57.14% -0.236 0.0525 -0.243
Dahan Insurrection 4 25 12.0% 21.16 28.0% -0.603 -0.78 -0.881
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 51.33 100.0% 0.53 1.3912 0.296
Elemental Invocation 1 14 57.14% 26.5 71.43% -0.505 0.4278 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 117 12.07% 33.61 63.25% 0.18 -0.4664 0.552
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 0.0% 4.33 16.67% -1.513 -0.5677 -0.318
Rituals of Terror 3 5 60.0% 52.4 80.0% 0.685 0.7614 0.119
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 25.0% 24.0 25.0% -0.821 0.2945 -0.089
Second Wave 0 32 21.88% 28.88 87.5% 0.565 0.5952 0.317
The Great River 3 8 25.0% 26.38 50.0% -0.851 0.5747 -0.204
Varied Terrains 2 19 42.11% 32.16 68.42% -0.189 0.586 -0.467
Ward the Shores 2 4 25.0% 29.25 50.0% -0.667 0.3774 0.0

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 951 25.18% 30.59 74.13% 0.582 0.8424 0.007
1 Thematic 26 23.08% 24.23 61.54% -0.151 0.3149 -0.227
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 31.0 100.0% 0.209 0.682 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 385 32.21% 31.41 69.87% 0.113 0.2981 0.256
2 Coastline 76 28.95% 28.05 82.89% 0.895 0.8782 0.45
2 Fragment 13 38.46% 30.92 61.54% 0.297 -0.0196 0.894
2 Heart 13 61.54% 31.62 38.46% -0.176 -0.2704 0.361
2 Opposite Shores 151 26.49% 28.38 78.81% 0.529 0.4893 0.813
2 Thematic 24 45.83% 29.17 70.83% 0.383 0.6694 0.156
2 Top to Top 21 23.81% 35.43 71.43% 0.303 0.2596 -0.346
3 Archipelago 3 100.0% 60.67 33.33% 0.29 -0.85 -0.051
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 10.0 50.0% 0.718 -0.0318 0.397
3 Other 14 7.14% 26.21 78.57% 0.6 0.1367 0.0
3 Round (Default) 354 34.18% 32.79 66.38% -0.109 -0.3285 -0.029
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 42.0 100.0% 0.329 0.4039 0.0
3 Thematic 10 10.0% 36.1 70.0% 0.25 -0.0423 0.373
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 51.0 100.0% 0.272 0.4647 0.0
4 Coastline 3 66.67% 20.67 33.33% -0.333 -0.6928 -0.565
4 Other 25 16.0% 22.04 52.0% -0.681 -0.938 -0.363
4 Thematic 26 15.38% 27.73 42.31% -0.539 -0.2867 -0.705
4 Trapezoid (Default) 202 35.15% 29.02 63.37% -0.383 -0.1684 -0.55
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 34.75 75.0% -0.087 0.1866 0.0
5 Other 20 30.0% 26.15 70.0% -0.048 -0.6138 0.269
5 Thematic 5 0.0% 36.8 80.0% 0.187 -0.2336 0.463
6 Archipelago 5 20.0% 34.0 40.0% -0.852 -1.785 -0.355
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 61.0 100.0% 0.218 -0.5799 0.0
6 Other 13 38.46% 26.23 38.46% -1.258 -0.8322 -0.585
6 Star 4 0.0% 16.25 50.0% -0.717 -0.6047 -0.178
6 Thematic 71 16.9% 25.03 35.21% -1.427 -1.3253 -0.635
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 13.11% 39.36 49.18% -0.453 -0.7098 -0.376

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 31 31.29 45.16% -0.679 -0.5033 -0.464
Aid From Lesser Spirits 33 38.39 60.61% -0.049 -0.1034 0.41
All Things Weaken 40 37.17 65.0% 0.045 0.3383 0.018
Attenuated Essence 32 35.91 59.38% -0.176 -0.0927 0.446
Back Against the Wall 32 41.19 71.88% 0.091 0.138 0.156
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 28.52 67.5% -0.088 0.1156 -0.097
Burn Brightest Before the End 34 28.0 44.12% -0.801 -0.6129 -0.199
Disintegrating Ecosystem 39 28.72 61.54% -0.5 -0.0907 0.094
Downward Spiral 32 32.13 68.75% 0.06 0.1879 0.473
Erosion of Will 37 27.03 45.95% -0.825 -0.5424 -0.427
Intensifying Exploitation 29 35.31 62.07% -0.128 0.1201 0.086
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 16 31.75 68.75% 0.015 -0.5004 -0.024
Memory Fades to Dust 37 28.35 45.95% -0.679 -0.4417 0.125
Power Corrodes the Spirit 38 35.97 60.53% -0.043 0.175 0.35
Promising Farmlands 44 33.82 65.91% -0.028 0.267 0.257
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 32.32 61.29% -0.082 0.1191 -0.297
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 35.93 70.0% 0.184 0.5681 -0.147
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 13 39.15 84.62% 0.718 0.1366 0.987
The Border of Life and Death 22 39.77 86.36% 0.726 0.2091 0.042
Thriving Communities 25 38.68 64.0% -0.126 0.213 0.065
Thriving Crops 17 24.0 47.06% -0.754 -0.7966 -0.976
Unnatural Proliferation 23 38.96 73.91% 0.29 0.4308 0.126
Untended Land Crumbles 29 35.14 55.17% -0.142 0.3069 0.319

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 687 30.71% 30.39 65.94% -0.084 0.7776 -0.315
B 706 29.46% 29.89 67.0% 0.261 1.0783 -0.025
C 819 28.0% 31.52 69.96% 0.366 1.0449 -0.09
D 630 30.48% 30.79 66.67% 0.173 0.9774 0.245
E 559 30.59% 31.08 67.08% -0.022 0.6471 -0.108
F 536 27.1% 31.96 66.79% 0.077 0.8752 0.468
G 502 31.47% 31.68 65.94% 0.062 0.8879 0.274
H 505 29.11% 30.74 64.55% -0.061 0.7115 -0.351
East 148 19.59% 27.49 46.62% -0.274 0.572 -0.03
Northeast 99 19.19% 28.3 43.43% 0.311 1.0813 0.121
Northwest 92 20.65% 26.05 42.39% 0.003 0.8101 -0.068
Southeast 111 16.22% 27.66 45.05% -0.137 0.7326 -0.14
Southwest 104 15.38% 26.47 45.19% 0.347 1.629 0.082
West 135 20.74% 26.72 46.67% -1.009 -0.0126 -0.089

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% -0.646 0.1502 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 9 11.11% 18.78 66.67% -0.198 0.19 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 87 6.98% 43.29 63.22% 0.66 0.0452 0.273
Start of Game Growth 134 6.77% 38.69 67.16% 0.297 -0.285 0.224
Unlimited Undo 242 22.73% 33.4 69.01% -0.032 0.0113 0.207
Using Tokens but Not Events 231 12.23% 25.81 76.62% -0.025 -0.0833 -0.468

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.266 -1.0021 -0.404
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 33 18.18% 29.85 63.64% -0.009 -0.8178 -0.241
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 47 27.66% 24.0 59.57% -0.392 -0.5562 0.312
Downpour Drenches the World 93 19.35% 21.71 37.63% -0.034 0.2389 -0.345
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 81 29.63% 32.88 71.6% 0.208 -0.2185 -0.179
Eyes Watch From the Trees 38 36.84% 26.82 57.89% -0.039 -0.3988 -0.575
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 30 33.33% 21.37 56.67% -0.142 -0.5867 0.16
Finder of Paths Unseen 47 29.79% 23.32 38.3% -0.201 0.4876 -0.831
Fractured Days Split the Sky 71 22.54% 47.08 52.11% 0.58 1.1695 0.592
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 31 19.35% 24.71 51.61% -0.543 -0.6069 -0.185
Heart of the Wildfire 56 46.43% 26.57 51.79% -0.144 0.1838 -0.594
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 72 37.5% 41.47 76.39% 0.635 0.3405 1.031
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 77 25.97% 26.31 58.44% 0.041 -0.3301 0.131
Lightning's Swift Strike 24 12.5% 21.96 62.5% 0.437 0.7773 -0.146
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 59 25.42% 41.46 67.8% 0.664 0.1906 0.297
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 8 12.5% 21.75 62.5% -0.154 -0.5147 -0.285
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 24 50.0% 38.04 66.67% 0.755 0.7623 0.999
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 89 29.21% 23.55 49.44% -0.385 -0.6795 -0.846
Many Minds Move as One 18 33.33% 31.22 83.33% 0.757 0.6115 0.0
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 97 23.71% 29.68 51.55% 0.046 -0.0117 0.444
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 30 13.33% 30.67 76.67% 0.313 0.1496 0.278
River Surges in Sunlight 17 0.0% 25.24 58.82% -0.401 -0.3024 0.16
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 302 24.17% 33.2 69.54% 0.231 0.0952 0.175
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 21 23.81% 22.1 42.86% -0.315 0.1609 -0.656
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 50 30.0% 30.48 58.0% 0.405 0.3701 0.729
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 189 23.28% 32.35 56.08% 0.006 -0.2488 -0.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 23.0 50.0% -0.25 0.2711 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 5 20.0% 19.8 80.0% 0.265 0.4066 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 33 15.15% 32.15 69.7% 0.441 -0.1379 0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 33.33% 10.67 33.33% -0.368 -0.018 -0.603
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 3 66.67% 31.0 33.33% -0.53 -0.5458 0.411
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 0.0% 28.5 75.0% -0.002 0.2473 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 13 61.54% 35.31 69.23% 0.018 -0.0913 0.652
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 34 23.53% 28.59 67.65% 0.272 0.1098 0.549
Shifting Memory of Ages 52 9.62% 39.79 53.85% 0.647 0.9916 -0.24
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 379 29.82% 30.67 66.49% 0.203 -0.1058 0.408
Shroud of Silent Mist 24 45.83% 18.79 29.17% -1.393 -1.0619 -0.583
Starlight Seeks its Form 77 31.17% 35.92 62.34% -0.005 -0.1791 0.142
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 65 38.46% 36.74 64.62% 0.698 -0.0117 0.004
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 23 39.13% 44.09 82.61% 1.396 1.6077 1.863
Thunderspeaker 23 39.13% 31.04 43.48% -0.615 -0.6359 0.031
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 21 19.05% 25.86 71.43% -0.005 0.1933 0.304
Towering Roots of the Jungle 503 31.01% 31.45 67.79% 0.218 0.19 -0.445
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 31 51.61% 25.55 58.06% -0.176 -0.1097 -0.647
Vital Strength of the Earth 12 16.67% 19.17 58.33% -0.689 -0.1553 -0.192
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 29.09% 16.55 27.27% -0.653 -0.086 -0.939
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 11 36.36% 15.36 36.36% -0.403 0.3559 -0.796
Volcano Looming High 48 33.33% 35.19 66.67% 0.132 0.2689 0.983
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 62 38.71% 30.6 54.84% -0.183 -0.4939 -0.997

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 87.19%
Gift of Proliferation 77.09%
Overgrow in a Night 78.52%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 91.46%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 629 15.74 8.27%
II 896 30.48 83.59%
III 790 34.79 93.92%
IV 176 38.41 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 52
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 737
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 743
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 176
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 508
Lose: Invader deck ran out 30
Lose: Adversary condition 111
Win: Sacrifice victory 2
Lose: Scenario condition 12
Win: Scenario condition 9
Lose: Blight pool ran out 108
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.516 Win Model: -0.182

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.024 Win Model: 0.088
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 987 25.28% 30.2 73.15%
2 683 31.04% 30.75 73.21%
3 391 31.97% 32.11 65.22%
4 246 32.52% 29.48 63.01%
5 28 35.71% 32.21 67.86%
6 156 17.95% 30.45 43.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)