Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 28.0% 21.0 56.0% -0.65 -0.6061 -0.145
Blitz 0 170 57.23% 21.68 57.06% -0.569 -0.3547 -0.716
Dahan Insurrection 4 175 32.76% 41.79 61.14% 0.237 -0.0514 0.049
Despicable Theft 2 97 37.11% 27.26 62.89% 0.0 0.7104 -0.171
Elemental Invocation 1 103 54.37% 23.83 55.34% -0.537 0.1645 -0.417
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1286 34.97% 43.54 66.1% 0.854 0.2543 1.195
Powers Long Forgotten 1 120 60.83% 19.44 38.33% -1.385 -0.548 0.063
Rituals of Terror 3 73 54.79% 34.38 57.53% -0.264 -0.2035 -0.021
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 57.14% 29.39 55.1% 0.0 0.9869 -0.794
Second Wave 0 551 50.28% 26.3 66.61% -0.853 -0.6028 0.276
The Great River 3 77 57.14% 22.09 32.47% -0.514 0.5518 -0.692
Varied Terrains 2 28 50.0% 18.07 39.29% 0.591 1.4208 -0.544
Ward the Shores 2 96 59.52% 27.21 52.08% -0.243 0.9402 -0.052

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9688 56.18% 26.64 65.03% 0.044 0.3175 -0.319
1 Thematic 424 55.18% 27.15 54.25% -0.68 -0.1046 -0.102
2 Archipelago 64 59.38% 26.64 42.19% 0.289 0.9662 -0.182
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2659 55.07% 27.07 65.78% -0.278 -0.2096 0.392
2 Coastline 361 44.94% 26.45 70.91% 0.083 -0.136 0.749
2 Fragment 59 53.45% 28.32 59.32% -0.47 -0.7365 0.501
2 Heart 24 58.33% 24.17 54.17% -0.76 -1.2305 0.021
2 Opposite Shores 593 46.29% 25.35 74.7% 1.274 1.2524 -0.304
2 Thematic 233 57.33% 30.33 54.08% -0.629 -0.256 -0.307
2 Top to Top 89 59.77% 26.87 67.42% 1.001 0.7436 0.441
3 Archipelago 18 61.11% 29.44 66.67% 0.0 -0.923 -0.745
3 Coastline 32 62.5% 29.63 46.88% -0.147 -1.1111 -0.144
3 Other 74 47.95% 27.85 81.08% 0.132 -0.632 0.139
3 Round (Default) 1510 47.21% 28.82 69.6% 0.973 0.8202 0.399
3 Sunrise 10 80.0% 19.0 40.0% -0.428 -0.5058 0.0
3 Thematic 109 64.22% 28.09 47.71% -0.349 -0.4961 0.411
4 Archipelago 27 48.15% 25.96 40.74% -0.139 -0.6665 -0.924
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 33.86 71.43% 0.0 -0.0566 0.763
4 Leaf 8 62.5% 14.38 37.5% 0.006 -0.0853 -0.488
4 Other 70 47.83% 24.4 61.43% 0.447 -0.2377 -0.564
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Thematic 187 29.73% 45.29 79.14% 0.333 0.1554 -0.359
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1094 31.27% 30.27 77.42% 0.427 0.0977 0.585
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 30.71 71.43% 0.0 1.2714 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.0
5 Other 84 34.15% 28.62 78.57% 0.027 -0.7224 0.604
5 Thematic 15 26.67% 28.27 73.33% -0.235 -0.6213 -0.145
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 16.14 42.86% 0.0 -0.9706 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5799 0.0
6 Other 51 19.61% 23.29 68.63% -0.507 -0.924 -0.085
6 Star 13 16.67% 22.54 76.92% 0.0 0.3354 0.141
6 Thematic 98 17.89% 23.63 59.18% 0.497 0.4486 -0.556
6 Two Centers (Default) 166 29.88% 20.86 61.45% -0.907 -0.6926 0.261
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.12 0.0
7 Other 8 50.0% 10.13 0.0% 0.0 -1.0813 -0.203

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 553 30.29 56.78% 0.112 0.1839 0.403
Aid From Lesser Spirits 496 31.56 61.69% 0.705 0.6341 0.258
All Things Weaken 678 25.81 45.87% 0.153 0.4123 0.132
Attenuated Essence 88 26.75 50.0% -0.417 -0.4529 0.554
Back Against the Wall 478 31.4 52.3% -0.444 -0.3908 0.419
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 28.59 47.89% -0.345 -0.1997 0.74
Burn Brightest Before the End 59 24.0 40.68% -0.693 -0.6764 -0.67
Disintegrating Ecosystem 566 25.74 48.23% -0.01 0.1778 -0.099
Downward Spiral 769 25.73 60.73% 0.572 0.646 -0.195
Erosion of Will 559 26.87 49.91% 0.103 0.2582 -0.01
Intensifying Exploitation 84 23.29 42.86% 0.073 0.2093 -0.516
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 257 29.76 85.99% 0.551 -0.0627 0.221
Memory Fades to Dust 786 26.58 53.05% 0.122 0.3257 -0.021
Power Corrodes the Spirit 666 26.16 54.05% -0.435 -0.2602 -0.017
Promising Farmlands 519 25.43 47.59% 0.817 1.0149 -0.366
Shattered Fragments of Power 72 25.32 40.28% -0.289 -0.2864 -0.252
Slow Dissolution of Will 95 19.73 30.53% -0.059 0.2396 -0.49
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 176 31.03 85.23% 0.647 -0.0496 0.982
The Border of Life and Death 21 28.67 52.38% -0.939 -1.437 0.356
Thriving Communities 614 23.91 50.33% -1.337 -1.1811 -0.695
Thriving Crops 50 29.12 60.0% 0.673 0.3612 -0.52
Unnatural Proliferation 704 27.05 51.14% -0.118 -0.0097 -0.06
Untended Land Crumbles 672 26.43 51.19% -0.064 0.118 0.105

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3967 47.92% 26.87 67.63% 0.275 1.2503 0.03
B 3980 49.97% 26.88 66.98% 0.163 1.0528 -0.34
C 4407 47.77% 27.85 68.89% 0.114 0.8067 0.076
D 3722 47.5% 26.85 67.95% 0.537 1.4318 -0.095
E 4036 49.06% 27.53 67.84% 0.333 1.0626 0.06
F 3211 47.47% 27.17 67.64% -0.345 0.486 -0.077
G 2920 49.24% 27.07 68.29% -0.436 0.3432 0.009
H 2916 48.38% 27.98 69.17% -0.009 0.7741 0.143
East 777 44.94% 33.0 61.39% 0.126 0.9353 0.511
Northeast 481 44.75% 32.33 59.67% -0.053 0.7446 0.461
Northwest 425 43.2% 32.43 60.24% -0.44 0.2935 -0.21
Southeast 325 31.78% 31.05 64.0% 0.048 0.941 -1.183
Southwest 302 36.36% 27.82 57.28% -0.639 0.6188 -0.454
West 747 45.87% 31.57 58.37% -0.746 0.2513 -0.183

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 484 0.0% 16.1 59.3% 0.339 1.0066 -0.123
Not Using Events or Tokens 622 42.71% 18.48 62.38% -1.101 -0.6805 0.362
Skip Initial Invader Actions 541 17.22% 33.65 85.58% -0.315 -1.0838 0.016
Start of Game Growth 692 22.97% 33.14 83.24% 0.223 -0.2147 0.959
Unlimited Undo 1561 45.37% 27.14 68.55% 0.287 0.2217 -0.154
Using Tokens but Not Events 2446 36.61% 23.72 77.76% 0.407 0.3644 0.194

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 673 38.37% 29.03 75.78% 0.405 0.3106 0.21
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 32 40.63% 26.59 62.5% -0.398 -0.9062 0.454
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 422 46.47% 26.62 66.59% 0.016 0.2132 0.05
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 26 36.0% 27.0 76.92% 0.022 -0.8513 0.0
Dances Up Earthquakes 14 57.14% 32.36 71.43% 0.661 0.5221 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 493 40.49% 25.68 67.75% 0.371 0.149 -0.353
Downpour Drenches the World 93 37.78% 20.99 60.22% 0.509 0.815 -0.783
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 84 44.05% 24.17 59.52% -0.711 -1.2651 -0.598
Eyes Watch From the Trees 564 35.38% 27.43 70.74% -0.423 -0.8507 -0.127
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 477 42.89% 27.12 64.99% -0.529 -0.9423 -0.229
Finder of Paths Unseen 72 25.0% 19.0 54.17% 0.0 0.6553 0.137
Fractured Days Split the Sky 318 37.46% 28.3 64.47% -0.634 -0.0885 -0.583
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 243 47.72% 26.42 63.79% -0.215 -0.2992 -0.119
Heart of the Wildfire 320 59.87% 25.48 60.62% 0.032 0.3472 -0.193
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 637 41.31% 33.08 74.1% -0.279 -0.722 -0.144
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 29 25.0% 26.52 75.86% 1.11 0.8165 -0.328
Lightning's Swift Strike 337 38.75% 25.03 73.0% 0.086 0.3486 -0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 56 37.74% 21.59 55.36% -0.167 -0.4948 -0.512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 402 41.88% 30.51 76.62% 0.255 -0.1207 1.001
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 511 35.56% 29.74 77.69% -1.076 -0.976 0.532
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 689 42.25% 28.75 70.1% 0.254 0.0547 -0.753
Many Minds Move as One 346 40.82% 30.66 74.28% 0.645 0.4306 0.826
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 671 36.97% 31.02 73.17% 0.264 0.4114 0.559
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 8 62.5% 18.25 62.5% 0.429 0.4739 0.0
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 464 41.67% 25.13 65.52% 0.065 -0.0377 -0.354
River Surges in Sunlight 415 44.5% 32.02 72.29% 0.188 0.1855 0.645
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 14 42.86% 15.21 28.57% -0.466 -0.1775 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 546 41.42% 27.39 68.32% -0.489 -0.2856 -0.964
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 86 34.12% 21.86 58.14% 0.395 0.181 0.262
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 409 39.31% 33.17 71.64% -0.527 -0.6846 0.345
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 3 66.67% 37.33 100.0% 0.52 0.1368 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 373 41.85% 35.35 75.6% 0.572 0.6042 0.202
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 40 50.0% 25.02 57.5% -0.225 -0.3703 -0.555
Shifting Memory of Ages 256 48.03% 25.69 64.45% -0.167 0.1582 0.011
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 22 50.0% 28.23 81.82% -0.288 -0.2395 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 338 44.21% 23.51 67.75% 0.041 0.4091 -0.068
Starlight Seeks its Form 219 46.33% 27.86 66.21% -0.426 -0.4922 -0.046
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 409 47.67% 28.22 67.73% 0.378 -0.105 0.089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 458 38.93% 32.89 74.02% 0.722 0.8821 0.754
Thunderspeaker 420 39.04% 31.56 71.43% 0.209 0.2392 0.334
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 42 23.81% 22.19 61.9% 0.324 0.5144 -0.2
Towering Roots of the Jungle 39 41.03% 20.23 48.72% -0.632 -0.4864 0.92
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 364 50.28% 25.6 59.34% -0.988 -0.9678 0.196
Vital Strength of the Earth 342 33.23% 23.25 69.3% -0.388 0.1935 0.202
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 76 42.47% 24.53 60.53% -0.443 0.0405 0.069
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 456 39.59% 25.69 74.78% 0.473 1.0919 0.31
Volcano Looming High 365 50.0% 26.65 66.3% -0.027 0.0084 -0.186
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 37 29.73% 22.7 59.46% 0.549 0.2318 -0.776

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 79.8%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.72%
Favors Called Due 88.68%
Mantle of Dread 88.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2498 13.76 6.29%
II 5715 30.19 52.06%
III 6923 34.82 86.8%
IV 2667 38.63 99.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 157
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5897
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2874
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2633
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1605
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 1032
Win: Sacrifice victory 72
Lose: Scenario condition 257
Win: Scenario condition 157
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2966
Lose: Spirit destroyed 109

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.838 Win Model: -0.199

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.093 Win Model: 0.003
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10220 56.09% 26.63 64.26%
2 4043 53.54% 27.08 67.03%
3 1721 47.97% 28.68 68.45%
4 1396 32.57% 31.99 76.43%
5 78 30.26% 26.33 74.36%
6 345 24.78% 21.34 60.87%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)