Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 17 29.41% 26.59 70.59% 0.555 0.6067 -0.151
Blitz 0 155 58.94% 22.43 60.0% -0.356 -0.1549 -0.626
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 33.12% 44.15 64.52% 0.689 0.4775 0.015
Despicable Theft 2 86 39.53% 27.28 62.79% -1.023 -0.1782 0.049
Elemental Invocation 1 90 58.89% 25.14 57.78% -0.346 0.7247 -0.48
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1176 34.75% 44.15 66.84% 1.033 0.3082 1.151
Powers Long Forgotten 1 98 63.27% 21.04 42.86% -1.215 -0.3088 0.044
Rituals of Terror 3 61 57.38% 36.15 63.93% -0.336 -0.3055 -0.113
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 45 57.78% 30.29 55.56% -0.533 0.6558 -0.796
Second Wave 0 494 50.72% 27.07 68.62% -0.226 -0.1454 0.283
The Great River 3 71 61.97% 23.45 33.8% -0.739 0.6485 -0.46
Varied Terrains 2 15 53.33% 15.27 33.33% -0.506 0.3951 -0.236
Ward the Shores 2 79 65.67% 30.65 59.49% -0.551 0.5045 0.197

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8530 56.82% 27.44 66.72% -0.157 -0.1259 -0.475
1 Thematic 362 56.94% 28.75 57.18% 0.122 0.5537 0.033
2 Archipelago 53 56.6% 27.23 43.4% -0.394 0.0985 -0.236
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2304 55.85% 28.33 68.79% -0.007 -0.0556 0.389
2 Coastline 296 47.44% 27.47 73.99% -0.007 -0.1079 0.8
2 Fragment 50 53.06% 29.98 64.0% 0.162 -0.251 0.465
2 Heart 19 52.63% 26.95 68.42% 0.0 -0.0895 0.118
2 Opposite Shores 521 45.56% 26.51 77.93% 0.546 0.3661 -0.247
2 Thematic 207 61.65% 32.22 56.04% -0.765 -0.5787 -0.485
2 Top to Top 71 60.87% 24.99 61.97% 0.693 0.4939 0.311
3 Archipelago 14 57.14% 30.86 64.29% 0.0 -1.1208 -0.793
3 Coastline 28 67.86% 31.68 50.0% 0.0 -0.6617 -0.101
3 Other 64 46.03% 28.67 81.25% -0.369 -0.7026 0.096
3 Round (Default) 1345 47.59% 29.32 69.81% 0.17 -0.096 0.274
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 21.2 80.0% 0.0 0.5109 0.0
3 Thematic 81 71.6% 30.15 50.62% 0.604 0.1574 0.707
4 Archipelago 23 52.17% 27.39 39.13% 0.425 -0.132 -0.984
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 33.86 71.43% 0.0 -0.6183 0.779
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 14.8 20.0% 0.0 0.8461 -0.534
4 Other 68 49.25% 24.75 61.76% -0.127 -0.8641 -0.549
4 Thematic 179 29.94% 46.2 80.45% -0.072 0.1319 -0.359
4 Trapezoid (Default) 987 31.5% 31.52 80.65% -0.617 -0.2769 0.688
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 30.71 71.43% 0.26 0.2595 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.416 -0.1117 0.0
5 Other 71 33.33% 29.51 83.1% 0.23 -0.4916 0.599
5 Thematic 11 27.27% 31.82 72.73% -0.155 0.0049 -0.151
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 18.83 50.0% -0.563 -1.2785 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4888 0.0
6 Other 41 17.07% 25.39 75.61% 0.192 0.6322 -0.073
6 Star 11 20.0% 22.0 81.82% 0.0 0.298 0.207
6 Thematic 79 16.88% 24.71 62.03% -0.078 -0.0525 -0.71
6 Two Centers (Default) 130 32.81% 23.1 67.69% 0.005 0.1029 0.407
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5266 0.0
7 Other 8 50.0% 10.13 0.0% -0.488 -1.9037 -0.186

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 513 30.69 56.92% 0.661 0.7998 0.293
Aid From Lesser Spirits 449 31.87 62.14% 0.675 0.6158 0.204
All Things Weaken 602 26.1 45.85% 0.1 0.4549 -0.002
Attenuated Essence 56 29.75 53.57% 0.457 0.5675 0.408
Back Against the Wall 447 31.63 52.57% 0.246 0.3225 0.243
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 46 27.22 43.48% -0.396 -0.1854 0.114
Burn Brightest Before the End 40 28.1 45.0% -0.311 -0.1905 -0.611
Disintegrating Ecosystem 516 26.08 48.64% -0.071 0.2981 -0.201
Downward Spiral 695 25.87 61.01% 0.324 0.5209 -0.33
Erosion of Will 526 27.25 50.38% -0.461 -0.1937 -0.072
Intensifying Exploitation 53 24.02 39.62% -0.812 -0.5417 -0.649
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 216 30.98 88.43% 0.361 -0.1503 0.151
Memory Fades to Dust 697 27.22 53.52% 0.525 0.8363 -0.111
Power Corrodes the Spirit 599 26.49 54.26% -0.467 -0.1724 -0.106
Promising Farmlands 474 25.67 47.26% 0.195 0.531 -0.525
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 29.92 38.46% -0.484 -0.375 -0.119
Slow Dissolution of Will 48 21.38 35.42% -0.043 0.3566 -0.332
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 163 31.73 86.5% 1.268 0.6547 1.026
The Border of Life and Death 9 23.67 55.56% 0.035 -0.2569 0.007
Thriving Communities 563 24.26 50.62% -0.032 0.3012 -0.779
Thriving Crops 30 32.47 60.0% 0.107 0.0199 -0.355
Unnatural Proliferation 641 27.3 52.11% -0.727 -0.5792 -0.17
Untended Land Crumbles 604 26.65 51.82% -1.013 -0.7059 -0.073

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3440 48.33% 27.87 69.74% 0.033 0.9375 0.0
B 3461 51.22% 27.81 69.08% -0.328 0.5001 -0.303
C 3885 48.43% 29.02 71.38% 0.065 0.745 0.096
D 3235 48.2% 28.07 70.66% -0.091 0.762 -0.144
E 3522 49.72% 28.52 69.7% -0.151 0.5504 0.036
F 2820 47.96% 28.16 70.25% -0.247 0.5339 0.009
G 2584 49.17% 27.84 70.16% -0.042 0.7294 -0.017
H 2589 48.63% 28.96 71.77% 0.329 1.0977 0.022
East 675 46.64% 34.93 64.0% -0.378 0.4837 0.503
Northeast 410 46.8% 34.51 62.68% 0.926 1.6725 0.577
Northwest 361 46.07% 34.78 62.88% -0.694 0.1391 -0.235
Southeast 282 33.33% 32.34 64.89% 0.097 0.8726 -1.112
Southwest 254 36.8% 30.32 61.81% -0.357 0.9623 -0.271
West 637 47.62% 33.69 61.38% 0.062 1.0681 -0.427

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 400 0.0% 17.8 65.0% -1.201 -0.3706 -0.143
Not Using Events or Tokens 520 42.12% 19.83 66.92% -0.475 -0.0338 0.8
Skip Initial Invader Actions 502 17.22% 34.35 88.05% 0.416 -0.1457 0.26
Start of Game Growth 633 23.13% 34.39 86.26% 0.466 -0.0723 1.12
Unlimited Undo 1353 45.4% 28.49 71.99% -0.559 -0.5183 -0.042
Using Tokens but Not Events 2101 35.96% 24.52 80.82% 0.37 0.3462 0.107

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 600 39.09% 30.48 78.67% 0.395 0.2924 0.309
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 379 47.03% 27.37 68.34% -0.38 -0.22 0.115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 14 15.38% 25.5 78.57% 0.79 -0.0461 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 434 42.71% 26.84 71.2% -1.053 -1.1843 -0.382
Downpour Drenches the World 71 32.35% 18.65 59.15% -0.407 -0.0884 -0.752
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 52 42.31% 24.38 63.46% 0.181 -0.3039 -0.356
Eyes Watch From the Trees 515 36.11% 28.33 73.4% -0.645 -1.0977 -0.203
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 419 45.16% 28.69 68.74% 0.26 -0.1921 -0.13
Finder of Paths Unseen 48 22.92% 18.56 58.33% 0.413 1.0795 0.354
Fractured Days Split the Sky 284 38.79% 30.26 68.31% 0.164 0.8419 -0.633
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 207 49.27% 27.57 67.15% -0.302 -0.2404 -0.192
Heart of the Wildfire 272 60.52% 26.42 62.5% -0.445 -0.1851 -0.108
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 587 41.35% 33.99 76.15% 1.363 0.9694 -0.17
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 11 18.18% 23.64 72.73% 0.004 -0.3917 -0.201
Lightning's Swift Strike 296 38.0% 25.86 75.0% 0.314 0.5675 -0.224
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 45 34.88% 22.04 55.56% -0.163 -0.7166 -0.531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 364 41.11% 31.92 78.85% 0.424 0.1882 1.036
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 452 35.99% 31.4 82.3% 0.696 0.4451 0.72
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 623 42.23% 30.03 72.55% -0.71 -1.0336 -0.687
Many Minds Move as One 307 42.43% 31.9 76.87% -0.828 -1.0276 0.79
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 598 36.22% 32.24 74.92% 0.464 0.4364 0.728
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 396 42.52% 26.24 67.17% 0.048 -0.0938 -0.418
River Surges in Sunlight 374 46.96% 33.9 75.13% -0.375 -0.2578 0.585
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 508 41.49% 28.24 70.47% 0.01 0.3474 -0.95
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 32.79% 20.69 56.45% -0.848 -0.9958 0.276
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 380 39.68% 34.51 73.95% -0.514 -0.6818 0.32
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 338 41.79% 37.13 78.4% -0.01 -0.1056 0.085
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 22 31.82% 28.05 72.73% 0.0 -0.2408 -0.205
Shifting Memory of Ages 217 52.07% 27.81 67.74% -0.174 0.2046 0.217
Shroud of Silent Mist 309 45.13% 23.93 68.93% -0.492 -0.1214 -0.244
Starlight Seeks its Form 181 46.11% 29.36 71.27% 0.388 0.1817 -0.089
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 363 49.45% 29.52 71.35% 0.526 -0.1908 0.185
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 417 39.66% 33.9 75.06% -0.283 -0.1011 0.746
Thunderspeaker 379 39.2% 32.52 73.09% 0.106 0.1197 0.269
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 26 23.08% 20.54 57.69% 0.342 0.4477 -0.213
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 321 52.52% 26.22 59.5% 0.28 0.4201 0.189
Vital Strength of the Earth 287 33.58% 24.23 73.52% -0.721 -0.1789 0.031
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 52 42.0% 24.87 63.46% -0.355 -0.0174 -0.026
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 410 40.25% 26.25 76.34% 0.913 1.629 0.292
Volcano Looming High 320 50.78% 27.1 66.56% 0.337 0.3046 -0.118
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 19 26.32% 24.37 68.42% 0.281 -0.1566 -0.488

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 79.63%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.48%
Favors Called Due 88.61%
Mantle of Dread 88.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1890 16.23 7.72%
II 5076 30.54 52.78%
III 6229 34.77 87.38%
IV 2398 38.37 99.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 146
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5344
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2583
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2370
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 964
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 928
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 236
Win: Scenario condition 147
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2677
Lose: Spirit destroyed 97

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.247 Win Model: -0.174

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.147 Win Model: 0.021
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8981 56.82% 27.49 66.06%
2 3490 54.32% 28.23 69.71%
3 1508 48.32% 29.36 69.36%
4 1277 32.85% 33.29 79.17%
5 63 29.51% 26.79 77.78%
6 274 25.65% 22.88 65.33%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)