Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 45.45% 31.64 81.82% 0.156 -0.0305 0.0
Blitz 0 151 58.5% 22.56 60.26% -0.393 -0.262 -0.624
Dahan Insurrection 4 154 32.68% 44.15 64.29% 0.186 -0.069 -0.024
Despicable Theft 2 83 40.96% 27.83 63.86% -0.812 -0.2708 0.019
Elemental Invocation 1 80 57.5% 27.07 63.75% -0.153 0.7033 -0.51
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1139 34.04% 44.2 67.16% 0.713 -0.0583 1.166
Powers Long Forgotten 1 90 66.67% 22.26 45.56% -0.474 0.4603 0.455
Rituals of Terror 3 61 57.38% 36.15 63.93% 0.05 0.1463 -0.144
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 59.09% 30.98 56.82% -1.044 0.1525 -0.823
Second Wave 0 484 50.95% 27.19 69.01% 0.111 0.1972 0.271
The Great River 3 68 61.76% 23.38 33.82% -0.571 0.7908 -0.433
Varied Terrains 2 14 57.14% 16.36 35.71% -0.342 0.4468 -0.271
Ward the Shores 2 73 68.85% 31.48 60.27% 0.0 1.032 0.157

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8292 56.94% 27.66 67.17% 0.087 0.2778 -0.5
1 Thematic 349 57.94% 28.47 56.73% -0.175 0.4704 -0.144
2 Archipelago 27 37.04% 29.26 66.67% -0.079 0.3524 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2243 55.98% 28.62 69.46% 0.025 0.0213 0.353
2 Coastline 284 46.26% 27.81 75.0% -0.41 -0.3541 0.689
2 Fragment 50 53.06% 29.98 64.0% 0.172 -0.0946 0.43
2 Heart 19 52.63% 26.95 68.42% -0.218 -0.2568 0.095
2 Opposite Shores 508 45.55% 26.57 77.76% 0.663 0.6767 -0.257
2 Thematic 198 62.44% 32.35 56.06% -0.686 -0.4893 -0.403
2 Top to Top 70 61.76% 25.06 61.43% 0.431 0.3331 0.293
3 Archipelago 14 57.14% 30.86 64.29% 0.0 -0.4467 -0.846
3 Coastline 28 67.86% 31.68 50.0% 0.0 -1.0241 -0.13
3 Other 63 46.77% 29.13 82.54% 0.11 -0.2823 0.088
3 Round (Default) 1304 48.17% 29.63 70.25% 0.402 0.0661 0.264
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 21.2 80.0% 0.0 0.2427 0.0
3 Thematic 78 73.08% 29.85 48.72% 0.302 0.0178 0.645
4 Archipelago 20 60.0% 27.8 35.0% -0.359 -0.5159 -0.973
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 33.86 71.43% 0.0 -0.9386 0.797
4 Leaf 5 60.0% 14.8 20.0% 0.0 -0.1481 -0.515
4 Other 56 49.09% 27.68 69.64% 0.397 -0.9326 -0.546
4 Thematic 175 30.64% 46.55 80.57% -0.307 -0.3865 -0.343
4 Trapezoid (Default) 949 31.24% 32.22 82.19% 0.82 0.6638 0.882
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 29.5 66.67% 0.0 0.6745 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9121 0.0
5 Other 70 33.82% 29.07 82.86% 0.017 -1.0575 0.605
5 Thematic 10 30.0% 35.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.0068 0.0
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 18.83 50.0% -0.582 -1.8808 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.748 0.0
6 Other 39 17.95% 25.41 74.36% 0.496 0.2928 -0.07
6 Star 11 20.0% 22.0 81.82% 0.0 0.0994 0.186
6 Thematic 77 15.79% 24.97 62.34% -1.003 -0.3543 -0.776
6 Two Centers (Default) 122 34.17% 23.93 69.67% 0.299 -0.0351 0.352
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0605 0.0
7 Other 7 57.14% 11.57 0.0% -0.392 0.0041 -0.187

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 502 30.82 56.57% -0.263 -0.1339 0.312
Aid From Lesser Spirits 440 31.8 61.82% -0.06 -0.1781 0.186
All Things Weaken 592 26.23 45.78% -0.444 -0.1367 -0.014
Attenuated Essence 50 29.16 54.0% 0.832 0.8644 0.235
Back Against the Wall 439 31.4 52.39% -0.73 -0.7006 0.204
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 43 26.81 44.19% -0.787 -0.6007 -0.075
Burn Brightest Before the End 36 28.92 50.0% -0.073 -0.0031 -0.517
Disintegrating Ecosystem 505 26.1 48.51% 0.226 0.6019 -0.193
Downward Spiral 673 26.2 61.07% -0.069 0.0969 -0.33
Erosion of Will 515 27.33 50.87% 0.27 0.4847 -0.004
Intensifying Exploitation 40 23.82 37.5% -0.677 -0.4355 -0.433
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 211 31.0 89.1% 0.804 0.2223 -0.056
Memory Fades to Dust 681 27.19 53.16% -0.094 0.1986 -0.116
Power Corrodes the Spirit 578 26.64 54.84% -0.516 -0.3549 -0.161
Promising Farmlands 463 25.94 47.08% -0.714 -0.4177 -0.562
Shattered Fragments of Power 36 28.44 38.89% -1.317 -1.2288 -0.163
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 21.42 31.58% -0.589 -0.1954 -0.386
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 160 31.67 86.25% 0.904 0.1927 1.017
The Border of Life and Death 7 25.29 57.14% -0.103 -0.5821 0.009
Thriving Communities 551 24.52 50.45% -0.62 -0.3205 -0.775
Thriving Crops 27 32.96 62.96% -0.128 -0.23 -0.593
Unnatural Proliferation 619 27.79 52.83% 0.147 0.316 -0.136
Untended Land Crumbles 591 26.79 52.45% -0.725 -0.4672 -0.058

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3329 48.56% 28.26 70.56% -0.0 1.1422 0.006
B 3338 51.51% 28.12 69.86% -0.014 1.0414 -0.312
C 3745 48.42% 29.35 72.26% 0.259 1.1466 0.098
D 3126 48.5% 28.41 71.56% 0.044 1.0984 -0.127
E 3395 49.79% 28.9 70.72% 0.507 1.4111 0.093
F 2732 48.23% 28.5 71.01% 0.296 1.3004 -0.019
G 2494 49.57% 28.25 70.93% 0.056 1.0241 0.01
H 2501 48.79% 29.34 72.41% 0.294 1.2862 0.026
East 645 47.34% 35.02 63.72% -0.276 0.7124 0.534
Northeast 390 47.55% 34.41 62.05% -0.657 0.292 0.318
Northwest 354 46.57% 35.09 63.28% -0.561 0.4801 -0.18
Southeast 271 33.46% 32.71 65.31% -0.131 0.7872 -1.065
Southwest 244 36.51% 30.64 62.3% -0.556 0.901 -0.256
West 620 47.88% 33.94 61.61% 0.312 1.419 -0.374

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 388 0.0% 18.2 66.49% -1.436 -0.7725 -0.165
Not Using Events or Tokens 498 41.82% 20.29 68.47% -0.658 -0.1639 0.834
Skip Initial Invader Actions 491 17.56% 34.52 88.39% 0.576 -0.0469 0.278
Start of Game Growth 622 23.48% 34.53 86.5% 0.549 0.1371 1.086
Unlimited Undo 1327 45.49% 28.78 72.8% -0.018 -0.1129 -0.012
Using Tokens but Not Events 2036 36.16% 24.8 81.53% 0.095 0.1706 0.334

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 592 38.94% 30.61 78.55% -0.381 -0.4164 0.311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 374 47.12% 27.51 68.45% -0.74 -0.5821 0.063
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 10 20.0% 29.1 80.0% 0.686 -0.327 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 422 43.57% 27.35 72.51% -0.171 -0.3835 -0.499
Downpour Drenches the World 64 32.79% 18.22 57.81% -0.639 -0.3919 -0.835
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 39 51.28% 26.59 61.54% -0.234 -0.7963 -0.36
Eyes Watch From the Trees 490 36.32% 29.18 75.92% 0.43 -0.0497 0.101
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 408 45.55% 28.87 69.36% -0.055 -0.4612 -0.139
Finder of Paths Unseen 43 23.26% 18.12 55.81% -0.391 0.3711 0.354
Fractured Days Split the Sky 277 39.42% 30.57 68.95% 0.848 1.5107 -0.717
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 187 51.35% 28.75 70.05% 0.407 0.4043 -0.157
Heart of the Wildfire 260 60.62% 27.05 64.62% 0.054 0.4241 -0.106
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 569 40.71% 34.15 76.1% 0.73 0.3031 -0.24
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 10 20.0% 26.0 80.0% 0.67 0.1775 -0.205
Lightning's Swift Strike 276 38.1% 26.63 77.17% 0.917 1.1302 0.088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 37 38.89% 23.32 56.76% -0.025 -0.6405 -0.346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 357 41.36% 32.19 78.99% -0.554 -0.8397 0.915
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 443 36.51% 31.44 81.94% 0.278 0.1759 0.663
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 598 42.66% 30.77 74.41% 0.154 -0.0919 -0.468
Many Minds Move as One 296 42.32% 32.51 78.72% 0.841 0.6798 0.76
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 581 36.78% 32.66 75.22% -0.503 -0.4688 0.642
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 376 43.37% 26.58 68.35% 0.198 0.0312 -0.324
River Surges in Sunlight 365 47.31% 34.27 75.34% -0.962 -0.9348 0.508
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 497 41.96% 28.44 70.82% -0.342 -0.0031 -0.97
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 60 33.9% 21.38 58.33% -0.156 -0.188 0.169
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 367 38.9% 35.29 75.75% -0.508 -0.6187 0.243
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 328 42.15% 38.02 80.18% 0.909 0.8877 0.032
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 22 31.82% 28.05 72.73% 0.513 0.1805 -0.217
Shifting Memory of Ages 212 51.89% 28.12 68.4% -0.626 -0.345 0.152
Shroud of Silent Mist 297 45.27% 24.19 69.36% -0.561 -0.2881 -0.1
Starlight Seeks its Form 168 46.71% 28.75 69.64% 0.12 -0.0995 -0.09
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 357 49.16% 29.73 71.99% 0.13 -0.3165 0.19
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 411 39.9% 34.29 75.91% -1.295 -1.1729 0.638
Thunderspeaker 363 40.39% 33.3 74.38% -0.045 -0.0267 0.301
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 24.0% 20.44 56.0% 0.248 0.4521 -0.23
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 309 53.42% 26.56 59.22% 0.321 0.4951 0.156
Vital Strength of the Earth 274 32.69% 24.9 75.55% -0.339 0.2329 0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 50 42.86% 25.5 64.0% -0.464 -0.0827 -0.038
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 401 40.31% 26.31 76.06% 0.013 0.7704 0.23
Volcano Looming High 300 49.83% 27.69 68.33% 0.535 0.509 -0.193
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 13 23.08% 20.38 69.23% 0.017 -0.5166 -0.51

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 79.45%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.39%
Favors Called Due 88.54%
Mantle of Dread 88.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1745 16.77 8.37%
II 4942 30.59 53.14%
III 6076 34.74 87.43%
IV 2339 38.3 99.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 146
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5214
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2533
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2312
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 799
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 912
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 228
Win: Scenario condition 143
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2620
Lose: Spirit destroyed 95

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.678 Win Model: -0.151

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.016 Win Model: 0.038
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8701 56.94% 27.69 66.62%
2 3397 54.33% 28.45 70.18%
3 1463 48.93% 29.63 69.72%
4 1220 32.71% 34.14 80.9%
5 60 31.03% 26.5 78.33%
6 261 26.07% 23.39 66.28%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)