Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 25.0% 21.33 58.33% -0.522 -1.08 -0.162
Blitz 0 166 58.64% 21.95 57.83% 0.0 0.423 -0.757
Dahan Insurrection 4 171 32.35% 41.78 60.82% -0.391 -0.8729 0.011
Despicable Theft 2 97 37.11% 27.26 62.89% 0.016 0.5591 -0.177
Elemental Invocation 1 99 55.56% 24.13 56.57% -0.234 0.5041 -0.43
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1268 34.99% 43.66 66.01% 0.278 -0.3785 1.186
Powers Long Forgotten 1 117 60.68% 19.78 39.32% -0.148 0.4145 0.053
Rituals of Terror 3 72 54.17% 34.86 58.33% -0.079 -0.2209 0.024
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 49 57.14% 29.39 55.1% 0.024 0.7728 -0.794
Second Wave 0 541 50.19% 26.46 67.1% -0.217 -0.1227 0.277
The Great River 3 75 58.67% 22.68 33.33% -0.341 0.9045 -0.601
Varied Terrains 2 26 46.15% 16.58 34.62% 0.248 1.1166 -0.552
Ward the Shores 2 92 61.25% 27.93 53.26% 0.0 0.8543 -0.038

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9450 56.31% 26.88 65.42% 0.039 0.4121 -0.331
1 Thematic 412 54.84% 27.54 55.1% -0.465 0.2497 -0.042
2 Archipelago 60 56.67% 26.52 40.0% -0.585 -0.0613 -0.199
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2574 54.92% 27.35 66.55% 0.188 0.3497 0.407
2 Coastline 344 45.43% 26.47 71.8% 0.126 -0.0674 0.725
2 Fragment 57 53.57% 28.84 61.4% -0.361 -0.4093 0.479
2 Heart 21 52.38% 25.24 61.9% 0.0 -0.2122 0.124
2 Opposite Shores 585 46.41% 25.38 74.53% -0.529 -0.3963 -0.324
2 Thematic 229 57.89% 30.66 54.59% -1.092 -0.3718 -0.337
2 Top to Top 86 59.52% 26.21 66.28% 1.051 0.9661 0.439
3 Archipelago 18 61.11% 29.44 66.67% 0.641 0.0975 -0.762
3 Coastline 31 64.52% 30.58 48.39% 0.378 -0.2528 -0.041
3 Other 70 46.38% 28.26 80.0% -0.395 -1.2713 0.126
3 Round (Default) 1471 47.52% 28.86 69.48% 0.912 0.8883 0.355
3 Sunrise 7 71.43% 19.43 57.14% 0.0 -0.4466 0.0
3 Thematic 108 64.81% 28.35 48.15% 1.104 1.1113 0.375
4 Archipelago 25 48.0% 26.68 40.0% 0.0 -0.1516 -0.934
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 33.86 71.43% 0.0 0.1293 0.763
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 16.43 42.86% 0.385 0.8204 -0.487
4 Other 70 47.83% 24.4 61.43% 0.0 -0.568 -0.582
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Thematic 187 29.73% 45.29 79.14% -0.206 -0.1433 -0.377
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1071 31.36% 30.39 77.4% -0.922 -0.9168 0.581
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 30.71 71.43% 0.0 -0.2088 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.0
5 Other 83 34.57% 28.52 78.31% -0.034 -0.3575 0.573
5 Thematic 14 28.57% 30.29 78.57% 0.0 -0.1429 -0.162
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 16.14 42.86% 0.0 -1.0381 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.0
6 Other 48 16.67% 24.27 70.83% -0.244 -0.2885 -0.084
6 Star 13 16.67% 22.54 76.92% 0.348 0.9801 0.132
6 Thematic 94 17.39% 23.83 59.57% -0.24 -0.0358 -0.545
6 Two Centers (Default) 157 29.03% 21.62 63.69% -0.073 0.4014 0.305
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.0
7 Other 8 50.0% 10.13 0.0% 0.0 -0.6755 -0.197

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 543 30.41 56.91% 0.86 0.9314 0.4
Aid From Lesser Spirits 491 31.55 61.51% -0.098 -0.2076 0.265
All Things Weaken 659 25.82 45.37% -0.643 -0.4665 0.096
Attenuated Essence 82 27.77 51.22% 0.831 0.8824 0.553
Back Against the Wall 475 31.51 52.63% -0.102 -0.1176 0.407
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 68 29.21 50.0% -0.02 0.1639 0.736
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 24.57 41.07% -0.782 -0.6949 -0.615
Disintegrating Ecosystem 554 25.86 48.38% -0.38 -0.0883 -0.055
Downward Spiral 753 25.72 60.82% 0.329 0.4353 -0.167
Erosion of Will 546 27.07 49.82% -0.674 -0.5079 -0.016
Intensifying Exploitation 82 23.78 43.9% 0.69 0.878 -0.518
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 246 29.97 86.59% 0.174 -0.254 0.217
Memory Fades to Dust 770 26.73 53.12% -0.645 -0.4101 0.003
Power Corrodes the Spirit 647 26.38 54.4% 0.389 0.4853 0.024
Promising Farmlands 511 25.43 46.97% 0.048 0.4125 -0.36
Shattered Fragments of Power 66 26.62 40.91% -0.366 -0.3004 -0.222
Slow Dissolution of Will 87 19.91 28.74% -1.456 -0.9923 -0.45
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 171 31.45 85.96% 0.4 -0.2008 0.984
The Border of Life and Death 17 32.24 64.71% -0.347 -0.8226 0.379
Thriving Communities 604 24.09 50.99% 0.548 0.7739 -0.694
Thriving Crops 45 30.0 57.78% 0.0 -0.2246 -0.47
Unnatural Proliferation 689 27.07 51.09% -0.256 -0.1337 -0.025
Untended Land Crumbles 650 26.56 51.23% -0.461 -0.2291 0.122

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3852 47.95% 27.03 67.99% 0.052 0.9707 0.029
B 3870 50.17% 27.1 67.29% 0.167 1.0085 -0.342
C 4285 47.76% 28.08 69.36% -0.124 0.5591 0.089
D 3610 47.53% 27.11 68.34% 0.516 1.3585 -0.103
E 3922 49.06% 27.7 68.15% 0.581 1.2331 0.069
F 3119 47.36% 27.37 68.19% 0.256 1.0157 -0.062
G 2851 49.12% 27.28 68.78% -0.198 0.5598 0.009
H 2844 48.41% 28.24 69.59% -0.327 0.3912 0.158
East 762 44.97% 33.35 61.94% -0.329 0.4849 0.475
Northeast 469 44.73% 32.76 60.34% -0.95 -0.2822 0.44
Northwest 417 43.45% 32.82 60.91% 0.054 0.8592 -0.141
Southeast 318 32.06% 31.49 64.78% 0.757 1.4626 -1.219
Southwest 292 36.11% 28.4 58.22% -0.347 1.0428 -0.483
West 732 45.93% 31.97 59.02% -0.527 0.2665 -0.16

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 458 0.0% 16.38 60.04% -0.584 0.1352 -0.118
Not Using Events or Tokens 593 42.35% 18.89 64.08% -0.038 0.4465 0.635
Skip Initial Invader Actions 535 17.31% 33.85 85.98% 0.287 -0.4441 0.016
Start of Game Growth 683 23.2% 33.35 83.6% 0.302 -0.1443 0.99
Unlimited Undo 1525 45.57% 27.35 68.72% 0.221 0.1877 -0.172
Using Tokens but Not Events 2369 36.44% 23.88 78.3% 0.58 0.4176 0.197

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 651 38.47% 29.32 76.04% -0.22 -0.3268 0.258
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 30 40.0% 26.8 63.33% 0.082 -0.4065 0.491
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 412 46.27% 26.75 66.99% -0.175 -0.0315 0.042
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 24 34.78% 26.17 75.0% -0.297 -1.0453 0.0
Dances Up Earthquakes 6 66.67% 32.33 100.0% 1.243 1.0664 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 477 40.37% 25.74 67.92% 0.456 0.2487 -0.356
Downpour Drenches the World 86 34.94% 20.23 59.3% -0.267 0.053 -0.794
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 78 43.59% 24.56 61.54% -0.095 -0.5355 -0.58
Eyes Watch From the Trees 551 35.62% 27.64 71.14% -0.38 -0.7233 -0.125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 459 43.18% 27.44 65.8% 0.121 -0.2331 -0.288
Finder of Paths Unseen 72 25.0% 19.0 54.17% -0.433 0.3518 0.141
Fractured Days Split the Sky 313 37.42% 28.58 64.86% -0.783 -0.3351 -0.589
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 233 47.19% 26.43 64.38% 0.418 0.3939 -0.151
Heart of the Wildfire 316 60.0% 25.5 60.44% 0.323 0.65 -0.068
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 623 41.37% 33.41 74.64% 0.169 -0.3258 -0.12
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 27 23.08% 25.56 74.07% 0.456 -0.1067 -0.313
Lightning's Swift Strike 328 39.15% 25.27 73.17% 0.786 0.984 -0.208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 55 36.54% 21.98 56.36% -0.331 -0.7787 -0.522
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 390 41.93% 31.08 77.18% -0.276 -0.5952 1.013
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 502 35.86% 30.04 78.49% -0.32 -0.1956 0.53
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 677 41.82% 28.84 70.31% -0.492 -0.6477 -0.741
Many Minds Move as One 334 40.48% 30.76 74.55% 0.729 0.522 0.881
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 657 36.79% 31.23 73.67% 0.041 0.1707 0.625
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 4 75.0% 10.0 50.0% -0.603 -0.4976 0.0
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 443 41.61% 25.4 65.91% 0.192 0.1422 -0.372
River Surges in Sunlight 407 44.53% 32.31 72.48% -0.255 -0.2223 0.63
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 10 50.0% 17.4 30.0% -0.095 0.1132 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 535 41.05% 27.69 69.16% 0.03 0.1806 -0.939
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 84 33.73% 21.89 57.14% -0.87 -0.8605 0.296
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 401 38.6% 33.43 72.32% -1.041 -1.1398 0.407
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 2 50.0% 36.0 100.0% 0.466 -0.0247 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 367 41.44% 35.32 75.48% -0.366 -0.4635 0.143
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 36 50.0% 26.31 61.11% 0.201 0.0066 -0.435
Shifting Memory of Ages 251 48.19% 26.06 65.34% 0.954 1.3437 0.033
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 19 47.37% 32.0 89.47% 0.374 0.3223 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 334 44.44% 23.65 67.96% 0.162 0.5761 -0.072
Starlight Seeks its Form 211 46.19% 27.92 67.3% -0.016 -0.0565 -0.128
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 401 48.12% 28.38 67.83% -0.235 -0.7373 0.122
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 448 39.36% 33.16 73.88% -0.667 -0.5835 0.776
Thunderspeaker 413 38.73% 31.77 71.67% -0.066 -0.0717 0.335
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 38 26.32% 21.92 60.53% 0.651 1.0395 -0.196
Towering Roots of the Jungle 29 37.93% 21.21 55.17% -0.297 -0.0863 0.491
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 361 50.56% 25.78 59.56% 0.124 0.2018 0.2
Vital Strength of the Earth 331 33.44% 23.35 69.79% -0.184 0.2647 0.157
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 41.43% 25.28 62.5% 0.07 0.5641 0.088
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 440 39.49% 26.04 75.0% 0.077 0.7694 0.295
Volcano Looming High 352 49.86% 26.75 66.76% 0.45 0.5144 -0.166
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 34 32.35% 21.97 55.88% 0.095 -0.1538 -0.783

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 79.82%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.66%
Favors Called Due 88.68%
Mantle of Dread 88.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2373 14.25 6.57%
II 5563 30.3 52.13%
III 6785 34.84 86.96%
IV 2614 38.61 99.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 156
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5791
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2800
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2583
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1463
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 1004
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 255
Win: Scenario condition 153
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2912
Lose: Spirit destroyed 105

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.038 Win Model: -0.203

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.074 Win Model: -0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9968 56.2% 26.88 64.67%
2 3919 53.43% 27.28 67.64%
3 1673 48.15% 28.78 68.44%
4 1370 32.65% 32.16 76.5%
5 76 31.08% 26.54 75.0%
6 329 23.77% 21.88 62.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)