Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 25.0% 20.96 57.14% 0.406 0.3792 -0.137
Blitz 0 179 54.86% 21.08 55.31% -0.958 -0.7079 -0.681
Dahan Insurrection 4 182 33.15% 41.99 61.54% 0.509 0.26 0.074
Despicable Theft 2 103 37.86% 26.7 61.17% -0.407 0.0552 -0.215
Elemental Invocation 1 104 53.85% 23.6 54.81% -0.96 -0.2572 -0.392
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1308 34.69% 43.35 66.13% 0.816 0.2629 1.236
Powers Long Forgotten 1 128 58.59% 19.48 39.06% 0.119 0.7424 0.084
Rituals of Terror 3 75 53.33% 33.47 56.0% -0.609 -0.416 0.008
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 58.0% 29.98 56.0% 0.316 1.2378 -0.774
Second Wave 0 559 50.27% 26.09 66.19% -0.722 -0.6053 0.28
The Great River 3 80 55.0% 21.26 31.25% -1.291 -0.2226 -0.656
Varied Terrains 2 30 53.33% 18.03 36.67% -0.241 0.4998 -0.529
Ward the Shores 2 103 59.34% 26.16 48.54% -1.452 -0.3681 -0.035

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10032 56.24% 26.43 64.38% 0.32 0.847 -0.267
1 Thematic 436 54.57% 27.1 54.36% 0.041 0.8949 -0.045
2 Archipelago 67 56.72% 26.61 43.28% 0.34 1.3954 -0.089
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2776 54.82% 26.81 65.35% 0.317 0.5948 0.398
2 Coastline 372 43.87% 26.34 70.7% 0.547 0.6497 0.731
2 Fragment 63 54.84% 27.79 58.73% 0.046 0.0587 0.354
2 Heart 24 58.33% 24.17 54.17% -0.289 -0.1772 0.023
2 Opposite Shores 613 46.32% 25.25 74.23% 0.652 0.988 -0.266
2 Thematic 241 56.25% 29.88 53.53% -0.361 0.3283 -0.268
2 Top to Top 95 58.06% 26.68 66.32% -0.063 0.1789 0.356
3 Archipelago 21 66.67% 27.43 57.14% -0.86 -1.5806 -0.736
3 Coastline 32 62.5% 29.63 46.88% 0.0 -0.3403 -0.12
3 Other 76 47.95% 27.2 78.95% -0.227 -0.829 0.162
3 Round (Default) 1564 46.86% 28.53 69.05% 0.461 0.4667 0.358
3 Sunrise 10 80.0% 19.0 40.0% -1.094 -1.1559 0.0
3 Thematic 110 64.55% 27.84 47.27% -0.267 -0.182 0.393
4 Archipelago 27 48.15% 25.96 40.74% -0.094 0.0568 -0.923
4 Coastline 7 57.14% 33.86 71.43% 0.0 -0.7584 0.75
4 Leaf 8 62.5% 14.38 37.5% 0.0 0.1371 -0.513
4 Other 72 46.48% 24.04 61.11% 0.349 -0.2699 -0.535
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Thematic 190 30.85% 45.03 78.95% 0.266 0.5337 -0.4
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1120 30.61% 29.94 76.79% 0.62 0.7844 0.591
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 30.75 75.0% 0.091 -0.7877 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0963 0.0
5 Other 87 34.12% 28.22 77.01% -0.163 -0.549 0.581
5 Thematic 15 26.67% 28.27 73.33% 0.0 -0.7973 -0.137
6 Archipelago 7 28.57% 16.14 42.86% 0.0 -1.1098 0.0
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 15.0 50.0% 0.526 -0.3116 0.0
6 Other 57 17.54% 22.12 66.67% -0.474 -0.5047 -0.089
6 Star 16 20.0% 27.44 75.0% -0.009 -0.0259 0.289
6 Thematic 99 18.75% 23.59 59.6% 0.306 0.4088 -0.557
6 Two Centers (Default) 169 29.94% 20.66 60.36% -0.978 -0.4134 0.142
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0747 0.0
7 Other 8 50.0% 10.13 0.0% 0.0 -0.4343 -0.206

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 570 30.17 56.67% 0.254 0.5036 0.436
Aid From Lesser Spirits 504 31.61 61.71% 0.723 0.6048 0.357
All Things Weaken 705 25.76 46.1% 0.285 0.6223 0.214
Attenuated Essence 97 26.88 49.48% -0.065 -0.0387 0.402
Back Against the Wall 484 31.25 51.86% -0.949 -0.948 0.483
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 83 26.57 43.37% -1.029 -0.8117 0.684
Burn Brightest Before the End 62 23.31 38.71% -0.824 -0.8431 -0.631
Disintegrating Ecosystem 587 25.67 47.87% -0.273 0.1206 -0.047
Downward Spiral 791 25.62 60.18% 0.083 0.1911 -0.116
Erosion of Will 570 26.86 49.65% -0.289 0.063 0.082
Intensifying Exploitation 99 24.02 45.45% 0.466 0.7114 -0.638
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 261 29.39 85.06% -0.199 -0.7232 0.229
Memory Fades to Dust 809 26.51 52.78% -0.321 -0.0732 0.064
Power Corrodes the Spirit 683 26.0 53.73% -0.642 -0.4197 -0.016
Promising Farmlands 534 25.27 46.82% -0.782 -0.4986 -0.332
Shattered Fragments of Power 83 25.54 38.55% 0.074 0.1512 -0.199
Slow Dissolution of Will 105 19.77 32.38% 0.055 0.4524 -0.512
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 184 30.97 85.33% 0.942 0.2468 1.017
The Border of Life and Death 23 30.3 56.52% -0.345 -0.9456 0.405
Thriving Communities 631 23.62 49.6% -1.541 -1.1846 -0.669
Thriving Crops 54 27.74 57.41% -0.236 -0.4319 -0.559
Unnatural Proliferation 716 26.9 50.7% -0.442 -0.2798 -0.048
Untended Land Crumbles 690 26.5 51.3% 0.003 0.2341 0.161

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4113 47.65% 26.59 66.86% -0.162 0.843 -0.05
B 4126 49.5% 26.59 66.41% 0.032 0.9511 -0.356
C 4561 47.43% 27.59 68.41% -0.103 0.6314 0.103
D 3872 47.22% 26.6 67.28% -0.146 0.8324 -0.14
E 4174 49.15% 27.39 67.27% 0.246 1.0653 0.06
F 3324 47.29% 26.94 66.85% -0.539 0.3342 -0.053
G 3030 48.93% 26.83 67.76% 0.073 0.8822 0.02
H 3010 48.33% 27.7 68.6% 0.409 1.2234 0.128
East 799 44.95% 32.66 61.08% -0.15 0.753 0.524
Northeast 492 45.38% 32.16 59.55% 0.501 1.3088 0.471
Northwest 429 43.74% 32.37 60.37% -0.016 0.8837 -0.196
Southeast 333 31.31% 30.66 63.66% 0.315 1.166 -1.186
Southwest 306 36.54% 27.52 56.86% -0.644 0.7319 -0.456
West 757 46.06% 31.41 58.26% -0.022 0.9335 -0.171

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 521 0.0% 15.93 59.12% -0.008 0.6994 -0.123
Not Using Events or Tokens 659 42.46% 18.16 61.61% -0.275 0.0933 0.342
Skip Initial Invader Actions 554 17.17% 33.41 85.2% 0.089 -0.4961 0.029
Start of Game Growth 707 22.91% 32.9 82.74% -0.217 -0.7312 0.987
Unlimited Undo 1639 44.78% 26.89 68.4% 0.448 0.3383 -0.087
Using Tokens but Not Events 2546 36.59% 23.6 77.22% 0.214 0.1879 0.248

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 693 38.42% 29.11 75.47% 0.562 0.4562 0.314
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 36 41.67% 25.56 58.33% -0.475 -0.9546 0.29
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 435 45.75% 26.2 65.98% -0.47 -0.344 0.118
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 30 44.83% 27.7 73.33% 0.118 -0.729 -0.582
Dances Up Earthquakes 14 57.14% 32.36 71.43% 0.0 0.0368 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 512 40.99% 25.36 66.99% 0.021 -0.1156 -0.346
Downpour Drenches the World 102 35.35% 21.41 61.76% 0.984 1.1902 -0.875
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 91 46.15% 24.7 60.44% -0.018 -0.6287 -0.636
Eyes Watch From the Trees 576 34.67% 27.21 70.66% 0.416 0.0402 -0.043
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 494 42.62% 26.88 64.98% 0.255 -0.1353 -0.157
Finder of Paths Unseen 80 22.78% 18.18 52.5% -0.812 -0.0922 0.187
Fractured Days Split the Sky 324 37.07% 27.99 64.2% -0.096 0.5151 -0.528
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 254 46.43% 26.19 63.39% -0.231 -0.3306 -0.162
Heart of the Wildfire 327 59.2% 25.29 60.86% 0.602 0.9393 -0.159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 651 41.19% 32.93 73.73% 0.07 -0.3601 -0.058
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 32 25.81% 25.41 71.88% -0.263 -0.578 -0.51
Lightning's Swift Strike 357 39.54% 24.58 69.75% -0.82 -0.5905 -0.263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 60 35.09% 21.45 56.67% 0.21 -0.2347 -0.484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 418 41.32% 30.22 76.56% 0.383 0.0722 1.052
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 526 35.95% 29.6 77.95% 0.745 0.603 0.569
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 700 42.16% 28.63 69.86% 0.455 0.227 -0.752
Many Minds Move as One 352 40.52% 30.4 73.86% 0.291 0.0483 0.852
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 689 36.87% 30.64 72.28% -0.24 -0.1305 0.614
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 14 35.71% 20.86 64.29% 0.423 0.5414 0.0
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 482 41.43% 24.83 64.32% -0.829 -0.8752 -0.302
River Surges in Sunlight 430 44.69% 31.72 71.4% 0.157 0.2871 0.722
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 33.33% 12.94 27.78% -0.696 -0.5201 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 556 41.78% 27.15 67.63% -1.228 -0.9304 -0.927
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 97 35.42% 22.16 59.79% 0.638 0.5546 0.306
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 418 38.7% 32.92 70.81% -0.93 -1.0411 0.339
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 8 37.5% 32.25 75.0% -0.33 -0.4478 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 381 41.22% 35.1 75.07% 0.153 0.2015 0.15
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 46 45.65% 24.83 60.87% 0.948 0.7332 -0.54
Shifting Memory of Ages 260 47.67% 25.57 63.85% -0.507 -0.2132 0.063
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 23 52.17% 27.0 78.26% -0.029 -0.1475 0.0
Shroud of Silent Mist 355 42.94% 23.07 67.32% 0.114 0.4419 -0.01
Starlight Seeks its Form 227 46.02% 27.66 65.64% -0.063 -0.1627 -0.031
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 426 46.7% 27.75 66.9% -0.053 -0.5836 0.161
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 467 38.38% 32.56 73.66% 0.457 0.5345 0.798
Thunderspeaker 431 39.2% 31.43 71.23% 0.386 0.422 0.434
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 44 25.0% 22.05 61.36% 0.315 0.3736 -0.123
Towering Roots of the Jungle 42 42.86% 20.05 47.62% -0.388 -0.2389 0.811
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 375 50.13% 25.74 59.73% 0.412 0.5584 0.2
Vital Strength of the Earth 361 33.14% 22.73 67.31% -0.744 -0.1763 0.199
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 78 41.33% 24.47 61.54% -0.361 0.16 0.133
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 466 39.91% 25.52 74.25% 0.018 0.7591 0.442
Volcano Looming High 371 49.46% 26.54 66.04% -0.102 -0.0875 -0.275
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 41 34.15% 23.0 58.54% 0.533 0.2405 -0.981

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 79.82%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.73%
Favors Called Due 88.66%
Mantle of Dread 88.22%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2667 13.33 6.0%
II 5907 30.1 51.55%
III 7136 34.83 86.74%
IV 2727 38.67 99.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 160
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6075
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2940
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2692
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1768
Lose: Invader deck ran out 44
Lose: Adversary condition 1073
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 259
Win: Scenario condition 162
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3078
Lose: Spirit destroyed 111

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.785 Win Model: -0.207

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.051 Win Model: -0.017
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10579 56.1% 26.42 63.64%
2 4212 53.24% 26.85 66.57%
3 1779 47.64% 28.37 67.85%
4 1427 32.2% 31.69 75.96%
5 81 30.38% 25.99 72.84%
6 359 24.65% 21.34 60.45%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)