Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 638 27.16 -3.74 46.71% -2.495 -0.4221
Aid From Lesser Spirits 542 27.98 -3.204 49.08% -2.341 -0.4232
All Things Weaken 193 27.71 -3.352 47.15% -2.301 -0.131
Back Against the Wall 488 27.64 -3.523 45.29% -2.363 -0.2716
Disintegrating Ecosystem 553 25.03 -4.932 44.12% -2.479 -0.2542
Downward Spiral 857 26.75 -3.733 51.81% -2.247 -0.2241
Erosion of Will 623 27.35 -3.663 47.03% -2.356 -0.1469
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 54 37.0 1.473 88.89% -0.091 0.5954
Memory Fades to Dust 890 26.0 -4.127 48.2% -2.435 -0.2158
Power Corrodes the Spirit 171 24.86 -4.826 44.44% -2.49 -0.4656
Promising Farmlands 623 23.92 -5.254 42.86% -2.64 -0.4255
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 37 32.57 -0.531 86.49% -0.48 -0.0705
Thriving Communities 194 24.16 -5.055 43.81% -2.511 -0.4163
Tipping Point 340 26.96 -3.99 49.12% -2.295 -0.0692
Unnatural Proliferation 202 25.88 -4.059 41.09% -2.645 -0.5586
Untended Land Crumbles 194 25.54 -4.212 41.75% -2.553 -0.4477

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2423 56.63% 31.11 -0.457 69.29% 0.009 -0.7513
B 2344 58.09% 31.37 -0.307 69.11% 0.046 -0.8108
C 2478 57.08% 30.81 -0.587 70.1% 0.079 -1.0096
D 2311 56.71% 30.8 -0.519 68.41% 0.018 -0.8327
E 624 59.12% 31.39 -0.266 65.38% -0.011 -0.9764
F 1015 58.33% 30.9 -0.614 66.11% -0.12 -1.0343
G 1053 59.56% 31.01 -0.546 61.73% -0.145 -1.0502
H 1085 58.99% 31.26 -0.376 65.81% -0.027 -0.9412
East 1843 28.14% 49.45 2.137 81.71% 0.163 -0.4864
Northeast 1876 27.53% 49.11 2.039 80.38% -0.017 -0.616
Northwest 1661 25.44% 49.94 1.625 82.54% 0.003 -0.6664
Southeast 213 59.62% 35.36 0.771 63.85% 0.149 -0.5569
Southwest 169 59.17% 30.98 -2.074 62.13% -0.312 -0.5849
West 1806 27.7% 48.82 1.418 79.9% -0.154 -0.5531

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 103 0.0% 26.92 -4.032 75.73% -2.272 -0.2155
Not Using Events or Tokens 309 52.81% 29.35 -0.872 71.84% -0.016 0.1995
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1367 5.38% 57.17 4.81 96.78% 0.957 0.2701
Start of Game Growth 1477 8.01% 55.56 4.171 95.67% 0.56 0.0895
Unlimited Undo 734 49.13% 35.58 0.622 74.25% 0.106 -0.3141
Using Tokens but Not Events 1153 46.02% 30.92 -0.545 75.8% 0.177 0.1242

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2696 22.35 34.12%
II 4763 30.84 65.99%
III 3419 34.35 84.47%
IV 1639 37.52 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.421 Win Model: 0.094
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7919 56.96% 31.35 65.53%
2 2327 59.04% 32.14 68.37%
3 787 63.66% 32.41 63.66%
4 1484 18.35% 51.48 88.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 668
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2216
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1233
Lose: Invader deck ran out 89
Lose: Adversary condition 906
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2768
Lose: Spirit destroyed 164

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)