Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Habsburg Mining Expedition 0 1 13 23.08% 10.31 -2.867 15.38% -0.797 -0.8056
Habsburg Mining Expedition 1 3 10 30.0% 15.1 0.728 20.0% -0.342 -0.72
Habsburg Mining Expedition 2 4 9 11.11% 2.0 -5.141 0.0% -1.051 -1.0704
Habsburg Mining Expedition 3 5 3 66.67% 34.67 7.104 66.67% 0.4 0.2905
Habsburg Mining Expedition 4 7 2 50.0% 11.0 -2.019 0.0% -0.225 0.2301
Habsburg Mining Expedition 5 9 1 100.0% 23.0 4.553 0.0% -0.247 0.5846
Habsburg Mining Expedition 6 10 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.043 0.0% -0.174 1.5258
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 326 37.65% 21.87 -2.228 48.77% -0.592 -0.1807
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 243 50.62% 25.96 0.269 48.97% 0.069 0.4313
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 145 59.31% 31.86 -6.727 47.59% -0.422 0.0642
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 148 57.43% 26.21 1.925 33.11% -0.087 0.9095
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 62 70.97% 28.16 0.0 27.42%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 39 64.1% 24.9 -2.984 17.95% -0.352 1.5467
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 108 51.85% 42.77 0.0 48.15%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 604 47.93% 24.23 -1.827 63.41% -0.42 -0.2307
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 668 47.6% 25.91 -1.724 60.03% -0.153 -0.1436
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 503 52.39% 33.9 1.102 63.02% 0.101 0.1597
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 327 57.8% 37.32 -5.011 57.49% -0.885 -0.612
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 168 65.48% 39.0 0.562 53.57% 0.091 0.4199
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 115 69.57% 43.42 -2.619 47.83% -0.865 -0.4591
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 148 82.19% 34.12 -6.972 22.3% -0.393 0.912
The Kingdom of England 0 1 597 42.21% 24.52 0.437 62.31% 0.29 0.5913
The Kingdom of England 1 3 444 53.95% 29.7 5.425 56.53% 0.843 1.17
The Kingdom of England 2 4 411 62.44% 24.5 -1.616 39.66% -0.781 -0.2031
The Kingdom of England 3 6 228 65.35% 27.46 -3.842 29.82% -1.212 -0.1149
The Kingdom of England 4 7 159 70.44% 29.9 -4.013 27.67% -0.414 0.6255
The Kingdom of England 5 9 90 74.44% 28.99 -5.369 17.78% -0.986 0.8075
The Kingdom of England 6 11 197 80.51% 28.67 -3.767 10.15% -0.394 1.5048
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 1995 15.6% 49.28 4.882 86.87% 0.822 1.2673
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 542 57.56% 26.05 6.843 46.86% 1.094 1.8726
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 442 49.77% 31.92 -2.97 38.91% -1.126 0.1118
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 230 60.43% 35.86 11.065 36.96% 0.103 1.4175
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 146 56.85% 34.99 8.845 28.08% 0.216 1.5082
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 127 52.76% 41.33 8.889 32.28% 0.197 1.217
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 258 51.55% 38.0 -3.236 24.03% -1.008 0.4273
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 142 23.24% 9.94 -2.121 23.24% 0.031 0.2956
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 107 34.58% 17.21 -5.366 23.36% -1.19 -0.8448
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 98 32.65% 14.76 -2.151 24.49% -1.004 -0.7125
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 58 41.38% 25.31 2.903 32.76% -0.21 -0.0936
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 26 61.54% 18.85 -7.756 11.54% -0.437 0.221
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 24 58.33% 23.67 4.278 29.17% -0.503 0.1171
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 30 33.33% 15.23 -5.322 16.67% -0.66 0.3866
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 532 43.61% 24.08 -6.789 63.16% -1.343 -1.0712
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 526 48.48% 25.74 -1.439 58.56% -0.137 -0.004
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 473 55.18% 25.66 -5.109 49.47% -1.136 -0.8704
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 297 71.38% 33.66 -6.246 51.85% -0.849 -0.5219
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 205 67.8% 30.64 4.616 40.98% 0.434 1.1988
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 82 76.83% 30.94 -1.315 36.59% -0.365 0.7978
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 205 67.49% 30.67 -6.544 28.29% -0.407 0.6449
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 274 36.86% 20.04 4.393 51.82% 1.293 1.5045
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 219 47.03% 22.03 0.219 41.55% 0.25 0.9659
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 184 47.28% 27.22 5.064 47.83% 0.567 0.7995
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 110 47.27% 26.93 0.354 33.64% -0.336 0.5737
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 38 55.26% 23.32 0.0 21.05%
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 33 75.76% 20.0 -5.108 3.03% -0.189 1.4271
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 27 37.04% 10.26 -7.064 3.7% -1.394 0.214

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8630 47.64 26.34 59.03% 0.041 0.3141 0.307
1 Thematic 2375 53.71 29.66 49.68% 0.078 0.653 -0.046
2 Archipelago 14 85.71 26.36 35.71% 0.359 1.0366 -0.231
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1854 49.13 26.64 58.58% -0.382 -0.3139 -0.035
2 Coastline 243 47.7 27.03 65.84% 0.494 0.2749 -0.506
2 Fragment 61 68.33 27.03 55.74% -0.619 -0.8856 0.115
2 Heart 29 72.41 29.07 75.86% -0.049 -0.5193 0.322
2 Opposite Shores 296 50.68 26.16 69.26% 0.138 0.116 0.174
2 Thematic 627 47.04 28.32 49.44% -0.295 0.0779 -0.321
2 Top to Top 62 51.61 29.6 66.13% 0.27
3 Archipelago 7 57.14 27.14 57.14% 0.14 -0.7828 -0.073
3 Coastline 9 66.67 23.78 44.44% 0.157 -0.8071
3 Other 23 52.17 31.22 73.91%
3 Round (Default) 892 55.24 26.46 54.37% -0.116 -0.2696 0.51
3 Sunrise 5 100.0 29.2 80.0%
3 Thematic 146 52.74 27.57 43.15% -0.106 -0.254 -0.474
4 Archipelago 5 60.0 18.2 20.0% -0.153
4 Coastline 5 80.0 16.0 40.0% -0.123
4 Leaf 2 100.0 14.5 0.0%
4 Other 9 55.56 43.11 77.78% 0.621 -0.0641 -0.129
4 Snake 1 0.0 41.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 1452 4.55 57.5 95.52% 1.124 0.9464 -0.145
4 Trapezoid (Default) 398 50.76 26.79 54.02% -0.276 -0.6049 -0.029
5 Archipelago 2 100.0 32.5 0.0% -0.023
5 Other 24 20.83 19.58 33.33% -0.189 -0.9386 -0.19
5 Thematic 10 40.0 24.5 30.0% 0.3
6 Archipelago 1 100.0 15.0 0.0% -0.298 -1.2685
6 Coastline 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.011
6 Other 9 33.33 15.44 55.56% 0.255 -0.1616
6 Star 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Thematic 28 25.0 17.86 42.86% -0.502 -0.5503 -0.112
6 Two Centers (Default) 33 15.15 11.15 27.27% -0.23 -0.0159 -0.245
7 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 656 26.22 44.21% 0.046 0.1176 0.138
Aid From Lesser Spirits 587 27.29 47.87% 0.568 0.4971 -0.157
All Things Weaken 343 26.16 45.19% -0.388 -0.1291 -1.295
Attenuated Essence 54 23.39 48.15% 0.555 0.519 -0.426
Back Against the Wall 547 27.95 45.52% 0.062 0.1161 -0.085
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 49 20.92 46.94% 1.288 1.4337 0.058
Burn Brightest Before the End 38 26.71 47.37% 0.3 0.3158 0.956
Disintegrating Ecosystem 629 24.28 45.15% 0.488 0.6764 0.121
Downward Spiral 863 26.62 50.75% 0.5 0.5742 0.541
Erosion of Will 649 26.28 44.22% 0.369 0.5234 -0.157
Intensifying Exploitation 53 20.87 33.96% 0.387 0.5234 -0.704
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 36.34 83.61% 0.188 -0.4263 0.464
Memory Fades to Dust 897 25.89 47.16% 0.682 0.885 -0.167
Power Corrodes the Spirit 308 24.56 43.18% 0.641 0.8162 -0.626
Promising Farmlands 636 23.3 42.3% 0.606 0.8042 -0.678
Shattered Fragments of Power 30 21.87 43.33% 0.422 0.425 -0.321
Slow Dissolution of Will 56 20.11 41.07% -0.669 -0.3706 1.097
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 84 32.38 82.14% 0.696 -0.0007 0.728
The Border of Life and Death 7 11.86 28.57% -0.08 -0.5781 -0.287
Thriving Communities 328 24.46 44.51% 0.058 0.214 0.261
Thriving Crops 13 31.38 76.92% 1.155 0.8427
Tipping Point 168 28.04 46.43% 0.767
Unnatural Proliferation 362 26.4 44.75% 0.073 0.1814 -0.062
Untended Land Crumbles 349 24.77 42.41% 0.394 0.5755 0.072

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2956 48.84% 26.97 60.32% 0.186 1.1608 -0.134
B 2662 50.96% 26.33 58.38% -0.087 0.8022 -0.587
C 2874 48.32% 26.08 59.5% -0.608 0.0841 -0.545
D 2641 48.87% 26.86 59.98% -0.142 0.7535 -0.211
E 1536 46.49% 24.65 53.39% 0.371 1.1007 -0.205
F 2057 48.95% 25.43 55.08% 0.077 0.908 -0.478
G 1966 51.41% 26.56 54.27% 0.015 0.7941 -0.169
H 1984 50.03% 26.5 57.31% -0.55 0.2331 -0.376
East 3435 31.3% 41.74 69.32% 0.397 1.2064 0.057
Northeast 2443 23.4% 46.64 77.04% -0.754 0.0443 -0.181
Northwest 2128 20.46% 47.83 79.14% -0.017 0.7164 -0.476
Southeast 488 44.47% 26.8 48.98% -0.171 0.7229 -0.266
Southwest 431 42.46% 22.0 45.01% 0.051 1.3088 -0.229
West 3115 30.07% 41.38 69.53% 0.433 1.431 -0.565

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 95 0.0% 26.22 75.79% 0.24 0.9084 -0.057
Not Using Events or Tokens 335 43.29% 26.47 68.06% -0.472 -0.0507 0.146
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1755 4.28% 56.42 95.27% 1.216 0.4469 0.452
Start of Game Growth 1922 6.85% 54.11 92.66% 0.434 -0.0041 -0.385
Unlimited Undo 1230 36.29% 26.81 57.56% -1.001 -1.0664 0.052
Using Tokens but Not Events 1511 38.51% 27.19 67.77% 0.112 0.0688 -1.992

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5541 13.76 21.8%
II 5545 30.19 64.87%
III 4173 34.82 85.29%
IV 2003 38.63 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.419 Win Model: -0.228
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 11232 48.75% 26.77 56.16%
2 3009 50.27% 28.02 61.32%
3 1054 55.29% 26.96 53.98%
4 1875 15.13% 50.68 86.24%
5 22 13.64% 8.09 9.09%
6 70 22.86% 14.6 37.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1207
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3534
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3587
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1989
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2483
Lose: Invader deck ran out 98
Lose: Adversary condition 1073
Win: Sacrifice victory 50
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3096
Lose: Spirit destroyed 145

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)