Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 55 21.82% 24.42 76.36% 0.42 0.1999 -0.298
Blitz 0 244 50.41% 25.46 61.48% -0.531 -0.2443 -0.931
Dahan Insurrection 4 287 32.75% 52.11 62.37% -0.324 -0.4386 -0.51
Despicable Theft 2 86 40.7% 33.74 69.77% 0.633 1.3716 -0.297
Elemental Invocation 1 178 48.31% 28.04 65.73% 0.621 1.3773 -0.789
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2074 21.12% 39.48 56.75% 0.199 -0.3824 -1.313
Powers Long Forgotten 1 117 50.43% 29.84 63.25% -0.291 0.5623 -0.208
Rituals of Terror 3 72 56.94% 35.58 58.33% -0.451 -0.6216 0.16
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 68.33% 34.13 60.66% -0.176 0.7351 0.38
Second Wave 0 1015 39.26% 31.92 78.72% 0.508 0.5869 0.139
The Great River 3 119 35.29% 28.39 51.26% -1.038 0.3254 -1.449
Varied Terrains 2 58 44.83% 28.07 58.62% -0.763 0.1163 -0.657
Ward the Shores 2 134 29.85% 25.19 55.22% -0.085 0.8965 -1.025

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24498 44.76% 40.02 75.57% -0.09 0.2543 0.207
1 Thematic 738 46.87% 32.92 67.48% -0.161 0.3662 -0.567
2 Archipelago 42 35.71% 41.36 78.57% 0.658 1.1569 -0.198
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5117 44.43% 36.37 75.12% 0.096 0.3803 0.303
2 Coastline 1082 36.46% 38.94 78.28% 0.76 0.7888 0.436
2 Fragment 173 53.18% 40.57 73.99% -0.223 -0.4603 0.492
2 Heart 69 49.28% 32.25 66.67% -0.056 -0.204 -0.817
2 Opposite Shores 1095 40.37% 34.72 77.81% -0.19 -0.1311 -0.042
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 389 55.01% 30.98 52.7% -0.997 -0.627 0.083
2 Top to Top 315 48.41% 40.82 77.46% -0.101 0.022 -0.134
3 Archipelago 33 66.67% 47.15 51.52% 0.638 -0.1596 -0.975
3 Coastline 29 31.03% 30.28 58.62% -0.077 -0.6257 1.141
3 Other 565 9.91% 14.73 43.01% -1.155 -1.6929 0.166
3 Round (Default) 2819 42.75% 37.12 74.96% 0.555 0.4626 0.149
3 Sunrise 13 23.08% 38.38 92.31% 0.0 0.151 0.462
3 Thematic 75 45.33% 33.17 66.67% 0.36 -0.1586 -0.387
4 Archipelago 22 31.82% 38.5 81.82% 0.065 0.4977 0.629
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 23.0 40.0% 0.0 -0.7603 0.082
4 Leaf 8 62.5% 33.38 75.0% 0.571 0.3592 0.0
4 Other 89 34.83% 34.25 83.15% 0.667 0.6746 1.0
4 Reverse Snake 4 50.0% 20.0 50.0% -0.553 0.3841 0.0
4 Thematic 190 44.68% 42.41 64.74% 0.042 0.1751 -0.068
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1654 31.52% 33.42 70.5% -0.255 -0.1483 -0.127
5 Archipelago 10 90.0% 39.1 40.0% -0.192 -0.0235 -0.966
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 25.8 80.0% 0.0 -0.5066 0.535
5 Other 93 43.96% 35.16 76.34% 0.958 0.443 0.496
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.17 66.67% 0.0 -0.9822 -0.264
6 Archipelago 13 15.38% 24.38 61.54% 0.0 -0.7298 -1.086
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 18.8 40.0% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.108
6 Other 59 23.73% 24.54 62.71% 0.371 1.0061 0.852
6 Star 28 17.86% 31.61 64.29% -0.686 -0.4417 -0.584
6 Thematic 151 29.33% 28.54 64.24% -0.95 -0.627 -0.84
6 Two Centers (Default) 180 30.9% 25.79 66.11% 0.366 0.2629 -0.316
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 17.0 33.33% 0.0 0.5915 0.0
7 Other 6 50.0% 16.67 66.67% -0.331 -1.7677 -0.218

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1162 39.37 62.48% -0.107 -0.0031 -0.525
Aid From Lesser Spirits 958 42.77 68.06% 0.259 0.1145 -0.191
All Things Weaken 1248 37.3 58.73% -1.443 -1.0768 -0.602
Attenuated Essence 163 37.03 57.06% -0.698 -0.6994 -0.368
Back Against the Wall 953 41.31 65.16% 0.785 0.8498 -0.345
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 154 37.46 55.19% 0.147 0.3825 -0.842
Burn Brightest Before the End 95 37.04 56.84% 0.436 0.5966 -0.275
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1027 36.7 57.35% -0.711 -0.3353 -0.699
Downward Spiral 1267 37.95 64.96% -0.344 -0.2719 -0.378
Erosion of Will 1093 38.7 58.28% -0.655 -0.3982 -0.618
Intensifying Exploitation 135 33.93 51.85% -0.413 -0.1392 -0.774
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 545 45.35 84.22% 0.384 -0.1032 0.679
Memory Fades to Dust 1260 36.53 59.29% -0.074 0.109 -0.601
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1199 37.37 60.05% 0.358 0.5708 -0.56
Promising Farmlands 1121 36.62 58.7% -0.43 -0.1068 -0.568
Shattered Fragments of Power 125 33.5 48.0% -0.802 -0.6313 -0.98
Slow Dissolution of Will 125 33.12 49.6% 0.002 0.3855 -0.729
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 356 44.06 85.96% 0.252 -0.424 0.485
The Border of Life and Death 54 35.06 66.67% 0.718 0.2016 -0.252
Thriving Communities 1218 37.03 59.44% 0.226 0.5502 -0.36
Thriving Crops 69 32.0 60.87% -0.353 -0.3512 -0.944
Unnatural Proliferation 1301 38.86 59.57% -0.188 -0.0013 -0.51
Untended Land Crumbles 1267 36.62 58.96% -0.247 0.0922 -0.629

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7865 41.72% 36.4 74.44% 0.125 0.9881 0.089
B 8587 39.74% 34.9 72.69% 0.161 0.9817 0.011
C 10779 40.22% 38.57 74.65% 0.108 0.8063 0.556
D 7099 41.35% 36.66 74.88% 0.457 1.3128 0.188
E 7740 40.39% 35.48 70.8% 0.154 0.8426 0.127
F 6277 41.74% 36.84 73.28% 0.025 0.8429 0.094
G 6360 41.71% 37.57 73.43% 0.529 1.409 0.151
H 5599 42.57% 37.61 76.0% 0.082 0.8629 0.333
East 1038 45.51% 34.54 62.33% -0.24 0.5528 0.156
Northeast 630 44.2% 34.69 63.02% 0.087 0.9683 -0.589
Northwest 523 45.79% 32.86 58.89% -0.131 0.7405 -0.831
Southeast 390 39.28% 31.46 64.36% -0.451 0.4076 0.316
Southwest 397 40.61% 28.82 59.7% -0.925 0.284 -0.691
West 960 48.38% 32.29 58.54% -0.047 1.0133 0.298

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 472 0.0% 20.52 60.38% -0.387 0.3288 -1.039
Not Using Events or Tokens 197 45.45% 11.36 38.07% -0.963 -0.489 -0.32
Skip Initial Invader Actions 877 13.08% 40.7 88.48% 0.064 -0.5036 0.495
Start of Game Growth 1250 18.2% 40.86 86.16% 0.979 0.3148 1.104
Unlimited Undo 3377 39.35% 40.6 82.14% -0.066 -0.0431 0.756
Using Tokens but Not Events 4625 20.34% 27.95 75.46% 0.039 0.0868 -0.452

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1580 30.94% 33.64 71.14% -0.229 -0.4253 0.045
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 19 42.11% 22.11 42.11% -0.046 -0.76 -0.053
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 616 45.9% 33.47 71.92% -0.961 -0.6926 -0.044
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 102 32.35% 34.4 64.71% -0.324 -0.8913 0.257
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 566 35.3% 32.85 75.97% -0.621 -0.7524 -0.037
Downpour Drenches the World 266 27.92% 27.11 60.15% 0.731 1.0005 -0.196
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 397 22.92% 23.22 46.35% -0.883 -1.315 -0.206
Eyes Watch From the Trees 983 34.3% 35.74 78.23% 0.748 0.3252 0.332
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 642 36.52% 33.49 79.28% 0.822 0.3763 0.138
Finder of Paths Unseen 126 42.06% 20.21 43.65% -0.492 0.1652 -0.215
Fractured Days Split the Sky 637 35.06% 36.2 74.57% 0.207 1.0145 0.156
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 816 45.95% 36.35 68.01% 0.15 0.0329 -0.213
Heart of the Wildfire 457 49.45% 32.1 64.33% -1.417 -1.13 -0.429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1315 36.05% 40.82 79.39% 0.581 0.1886 0.538
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 88 31.82% 30.42 63.64% 0.629 0.2243 -0.071
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1054 35.33% 33.52 73.15% 0.059 -0.1913 -0.184
Many Minds Move as One 569 39.47% 34.22 76.63% 0.554 0.324 0.202
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 941 38.54% 37.1 69.39% -0.072 -0.1765 0.189
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 644 36.9% 33.67 75.93% -0.15 -0.3061 0.405
River Surges in Sunlight 1235 38.08% 45.36 79.6% 0.381 0.4703 0.689
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 21 19.05% 33.52 71.43% 0.777 0.6653 0.188
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 807 37.89% 29.68 74.23% -0.63 -0.2397 -0.619
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 504 38.89% 39.08 63.89% 0.167 0.3049 0.098
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 746 32.61% 33.98 70.64% -0.119 -0.3121 -0.072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 104 54.37% 24.23 67.31% -0.75 -0.2648 0.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 73 45.21% 27.68 78.08% -0.103 -0.0476 -0.246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 61 32.79% 36.8 77.05% 0.405 -0.0633 0.12
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 35.42% 31.88 75.26% -0.013 0.2028 0.255
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 971 43.74% 35.69 76.52% 0.088 0.1176 0.296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 380 41.71% 31.39 77.63% 0.171 0.3428 0.432
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 521 39.77% 40.89 79.08% 1.084 0.9314 0.643
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 160 30.63% 31.11 63.13% -0.296 -0.4945 0.742
Shifting Memory of Ages 685 26.79% 20.49 48.03% -0.544 -0.0951 -0.657
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 37 32.43% 28.73 56.76% 0.08 -0.2244 -0.149
Shroud of Silent Mist 386 48.54% 28.28 71.5% -0.662 -0.3262 -0.825
Starlight Seeks its Form 504 30.34% 31.15 61.71% 0.311 0.2561 0.27
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 915 36.66% 34.81 70.6% 0.234 -0.3893 0.129
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 564 36.25% 35.85 75.89% 0.714 0.908 0.733
Thunderspeaker 642 43.42% 35.88 68.69% 0.098 0.0443 -0.235
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 55 29.09% 19.87 49.09% -0.587 -0.4525 -0.805
Towering Roots of the Jungle 30 63.33% 27.83 50.0% -0.241 -0.2321 -0.222
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 443 58.28% 30.93 65.24% -0.457 -0.3745 -0.418
Vital Strength of the Earth 392 37.73% 26.9 60.2% -0.184 0.4107 -0.483
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 137 36.76% 32.2 66.42% 0.047 0.4865 -0.431
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 516 39.48% 29.4 74.81% -0.356 0.3349 -0.31
Volcano Looming High 564 45.52% 33.5 75.0% 0.543 0.6463 0.227
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 367 30.96% 30.74 56.13% 0.23 -0.0227 -0.077

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 97.67%
Lightning's Boon 93.29%
Raging Storm 84.68%
Shatter Homesteads 98.85%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4057 15.45 6.01%
II 9502 30.45 53.05%
III 13880 34.8 86.48%
IV 12173 38.47 99.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 244
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11873
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4885
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 12106
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2600
Lose: Invader deck ran out 58
Lose: Adversary condition 2634
Win: Sacrifice victory 82
Lose: Scenario condition 474
Win: Scenario condition 253
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4259
Lose: Spirit destroyed 144

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.439 Win Model: -0.076

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.621 Win Model: -0.285
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 25330 44.83% 39.81 75.33%
2 8278 43.83% 36.51 74.8%
3 3517 37.25% 33.3 69.41%
4 1963 33.13% 34.39 70.5%
5 86 35.71% 30.23 70.93%
6 438 28.74% 26.86 64.84%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)