Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 43 20.93% 24.37 79.07% 0.233 0.0469 -0.473
Blitz 0 220 53.18% 26.69 63.64% -1.688 -1.557 -0.778
Dahan Insurrection 4 271 31.73% 53.29 63.47% -1.079 -1.3343 -0.579
Despicable Theft 2 73 41.1% 34.4 71.23% -0.002 0.539 -0.304
Elemental Invocation 1 170 48.24% 28.02 65.29% 0.003 0.8593 -0.816
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1988 21.53% 39.57 56.39% -0.034 -0.8053 -1.346
Powers Long Forgotten 1 106 53.77% 31.38 66.04% 0.098 1.0324 -0.212
Rituals of Terror 3 65 56.92% 37.72 63.08% -1.337 -1.2412 0.39
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 66.67% 35.05 61.82% 0.209 1.406 0.279
Second Wave 0 960 39.44% 32.29 79.69% 0.47 0.5558 0.058
The Great River 3 108 37.96% 30.72 55.56% -0.943 0.4187 -1.432
Varied Terrains 2 41 43.9% 33.0 65.85% -0.954 -0.1659 -0.474
Ward the Shores 2 129 29.46% 25.35 55.04% -0.65 0.3822 -1.067

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 23088 44.87% 40.45 76.3% 0.238 0.4289 0.271
1 Thematic 697 47.33% 33.23 68.01% 0.267 0.9122 -0.557
2 Archipelago 40 35.0% 41.02 77.5% 0.674 1.1056 -0.419
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4720 44.69% 37.02 76.19% 0.238 0.2339 0.344
2 Coastline 967 36.16% 39.14 78.8% 0.436 0.4921 0.394
2 Fragment 166 52.41% 41.01 74.7% -0.39 -0.6565 0.474
2 Heart 62 51.61% 34.08 67.74% -0.693 -0.7321 -0.847
2 Opposite Shores 1008 39.6% 35.3 79.27% 0.511 0.5249 0.083
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.7199 0.0
2 Thematic 332 58.13% 33.46 55.12% -0.537 -0.3396 0.185
2 Top to Top 304 48.84% 41.39 78.62% 0.076 -0.0217 -0.045
3 Archipelago 28 67.86% 51.0 53.57% -0.508 -0.9543 -0.906
3 Coastline 24 37.5% 35.04 66.67% 0.262 -0.7624 1.014
3 Other 528 9.66% 14.96 44.13% -0.683 -1.0758 0.179
3 Round (Default) 2567 42.93% 37.7 75.54% -0.195 -0.53 0.14
3 Sunrise 13 23.08% 38.38 92.31% 0.0 0.2427 0.467
3 Thematic 71 47.89% 33.28 66.2% -0.399 -0.6832 -0.39
4 Archipelago 17 35.29% 41.82 94.12% 0.0 -0.157 0.323
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 28.75 50.0% 0.0 -0.9386 0.088
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 35.0 71.43% 0.0 -0.1481 0.0
4 Other 80 36.25% 34.65 83.75% 1.306 -0.0235 0.736
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.3516 0.0
4 Thematic 175 43.35% 43.76 66.29% -0.252 -0.3318 -0.034
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1475 32.83% 34.46 72.68% -0.419 -0.5753 -0.135
5 Archipelago 5 100.0% 46.4 20.0% -0.477 0.1972 -0.913
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 25.8 80.0% 0.0 -0.9121 0.522
5 Other 82 43.75% 35.87 80.49% 0.507 -0.568 1.096
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.17 66.67% 0.0 -0.0068 -0.316
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 24.17 58.33% 0.26 -1.0388 -1.127
6 Coastline 4 25.0% 17.5 25.0% -0.17 -0.9185 -0.143
6 Other 50 24.0% 26.14 66.0% -0.128 -0.3311 0.722
6 Star 24 20.83% 31.04 66.67% 0.0 0.0994 -0.611
6 Thematic 141 31.43% 30.33 68.09% -0.806 -0.1568 -0.704
6 Two Centers (Default) 157 32.26% 27.1 70.06% 0.11 -0.224 -0.335
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 17.0 33.33% -0.422 -0.3619 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 0.3961 -0.22

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1101 39.6 62.49% -0.472 -0.3428 -0.605
Aid From Lesser Spirits 927 43.0 68.28% 0.265 0.1464 -0.252
All Things Weaken 1173 37.85 59.93% -0.281 0.0268 -0.639
Attenuated Essence 115 40.37 62.61% 0.298 0.3298 -0.047
Back Against the Wall 906 41.55 65.12% -1.28 -1.2505 -0.418
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 36.79 51.4% -0.516 -0.33 -1.178
Burn Brightest Before the End 67 37.85 55.22% 0.09 0.1601 -0.313
Disintegrating Ecosystem 980 37.28 58.37% 0.289 0.6652 -0.703
Downward Spiral 1196 38.55 65.97% -0.223 -0.0573 -0.426
Erosion of Will 1035 39.2 58.74% -0.456 -0.2417 -0.659
Intensifying Exploitation 104 34.0 51.92% -0.86 -0.6187 -0.848
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 509 45.61 84.68% 0.828 0.2468 0.63
Memory Fades to Dust 1188 36.55 59.01% -0.761 -0.4681 -0.726
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1140 37.58 60.44% -0.486 -0.3248 -0.634
Promising Farmlands 1066 36.89 59.19% -0.623 -0.3267 -0.65
Shattered Fragments of Power 96 34.96 48.96% -1.019 -0.9305 -0.938
Slow Dissolution of Will 93 31.54 45.16% -0.16 0.2331 -1.02
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 340 44.65 86.76% -0.441 -1.1526 0.396
The Border of Life and Death 41 35.61 65.85% 0.126 -0.3534 -0.158
Thriving Communities 1165 37.14 59.57% -0.798 -0.4985 -0.452
Thriving Crops 51 33.2 62.75% 0.164 0.0625 -0.726
Unnatural Proliferation 1232 39.04 59.74% -0.25 -0.0807 -0.57
Untended Land Crumbles 1184 36.94 59.29% -0.778 -0.5202 -0.691

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7234 41.91% 37.12 75.81% -0.082 1.0609 0.149
B 7916 39.89% 35.48 73.71% 0.119 1.1739 0.025
C 9875 40.71% 39.19 75.87% -0.143 0.7452 0.636
D 6521 42.02% 37.2 75.89% -0.221 0.8333 0.208
E 7156 40.66% 36.13 71.88% -0.153 0.7513 0.143
F 5801 41.78% 37.54 74.42% 0.086 1.0898 0.116
G 5925 41.86% 38.19 74.21% 0.243 1.2113 0.138
H 5178 43.22% 38.35 77.15% 0.012 1.005 0.365
East 945 46.5% 35.77 64.13% -0.883 0.1054 0.217
Northeast 560 44.72% 35.96 64.64% 0.078 1.0277 -0.755
Northwest 478 46.75% 34.55 61.3% -0.111 0.9299 -0.692
Southeast 366 40.22% 32.9 67.21% -0.69 0.2277 0.175
Southwest 367 42.03% 30.43 62.4% 0.19 1.6467 -0.538
West 874 49.71% 33.77 60.41% -0.31 0.7969 0.393

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 442 0.0% 20.49 60.63% -0.686 -0.0227 -1.058
Not Using Events or Tokens 174 44.44% 11.72 39.08% -0.952 -0.4579 -0.271
Skip Initial Invader Actions 818 13.36% 41.62 90.46% -0.163 -0.7857 0.433
Start of Game Growth 1153 18.72% 41.92 87.6% 0.433 0.0203 1.027
Unlimited Undo 3148 39.96% 41.6 83.64% -0.036 -0.1312 0.862
Using Tokens but Not Events 4201 19.73% 28.21 77.08% -0.451 -0.3755 -0.497

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1424 31.59% 34.54 73.24% 0.023 -0.0127 0.106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 595 46.18% 34.01 72.94% 0.719 0.8778 0.02
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 56 30.36% 35.0 69.64% 0.467 -0.5458 0.206
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 525 37.14% 33.94 77.71% -0.184 -0.3961 0.04
Downpour Drenches the World 207 23.79% 28.81 62.8% -0.051 0.1963 -0.06
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 340 20.0% 23.28 47.06% 0.635 0.0727 -0.393
Eyes Watch From the Trees 912 34.19% 36.36 79.17% 0.306 -0.1732 0.323
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 593 36.27% 33.93 78.92% 1.15 0.7437 0.104
Finder of Paths Unseen 99 38.38% 20.52 44.44% -0.734 0.0285 -0.075
Fractured Days Split the Sky 619 35.44% 36.61 75.44% -0.966 -0.304 0.178
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 705 45.52% 37.68 70.21% -0.452 -0.4547 -0.113
Heart of the Wildfire 401 52.63% 33.2 66.58% -0.636 -0.2657 -0.386
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1256 36.07% 41.46 80.49% 0.34 -0.0864 0.508
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 53 37.74% 29.98 62.26% 1.085 0.5922 -0.24
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 975 35.84% 33.91 73.85% -0.04 -0.2865 -0.266
Many Minds Move as One 522 39.0% 35.18 77.97% -0.144 -0.3055 0.402
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 866 38.77% 37.5 70.21% -0.147 -0.1133 0.138
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 596 37.89% 34.93 77.85% 0.518 0.3505 0.499
River Surges in Sunlight 1141 39.66% 46.71 81.07% 0.002 0.0292 0.658
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 762 38.3% 30.27 75.85% -0.243 0.0964 -0.473
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 457 38.77% 39.43 64.11% -0.451 -0.4825 0.048
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 657 32.62% 35.12 73.36% 0.103 -0.007 -0.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 91 53.33% 24.89 67.03% -0.062 0.5139 0.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 61 42.62% 27.34 78.69% 0.223 0.2458 -0.437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 32 40.63% 38.5 81.25% 0.971 0.5192 -0.158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 89 36.36% 32.45 76.4% -0.013 0.2228 0.091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 929 43.62% 36.27 77.4% -0.019 -0.1065 0.286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 357 41.36% 32.19 78.99% -0.779 -0.5833 0.447
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 496 40.97% 40.92 79.44% 0.675 0.6532 0.627
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 144 31.25% 31.09 63.89% 0.535 0.2025 0.425
Shifting Memory of Ages 642 26.88% 20.71 48.13% -0.195 0.0861 -0.648
Shroud of Silent Mist 365 49.44% 28.9 73.15% 0.841 1.1137 -0.783
Starlight Seeks its Form 413 32.68% 32.16 61.26% -0.427 -0.6465 0.297
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 862 36.32% 35.6 71.69% -0.254 -0.7014 0.116
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 525 36.13% 36.41 76.76% -0.672 -0.5506 0.594
Thunderspeaker 598 44.78% 36.43 69.06% -0.828 -0.8091 -0.256
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 27.5% 19.27 50.0% -1.05 -0.8459 -0.646
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 417 59.04% 31.63 66.67% 0.39 0.5646 -0.353
Vital Strength of the Earth 338 38.44% 27.15 61.83% -0.552 0.0199 -0.569
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 118 36.75% 32.48 66.1% -0.05 0.3315 -0.522
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 492 39.83% 30.18 76.63% -0.387 0.3701 -0.317
Volcano Looming High 507 45.91% 34.38 76.92% -0.048 -0.0746 0.287
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 226 33.63% 30.93 53.54% 0.288 -0.2461 0.308

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 97.69%
Lightning's Boon 93.34%
Raging Storm 84.57%
Shatter Homesteads 98.86%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3461 16.77 6.39%
II 8837 30.59 53.45%
III 13061 34.74 86.59%
IV 11527 38.3 99.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 221
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11186
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4574
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11466
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1946
Lose: Invader deck ran out 54
Lose: Adversary condition 2494
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 463
Win: Scenario condition 243
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4028
Lose: Spirit destroyed 137

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.156 Win Model: -0.083

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.472 Win Model: -0.073
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 23866 44.96% 40.23 76.05%
2 7595 44.03% 37.22 76.0%
3 3212 37.3% 33.78 70.05%
4 1755 34.2% 35.47 72.65%
5 71 31.88% 30.21 74.65%
6 387 29.95% 28.27 67.96%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)