Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 88 18.18% 24.47 77.27% 0.701 1.0707 -0.176
Blitz 0 345 45.06% 22.68 52.75% -1.095 -0.6632 -1.037
Dahan Insurrection 4 365 30.14% 47.5 58.36% -0.311 -0.3365 -0.716
Despicable Theft 2 122 40.98% 29.2 58.2% 0.0 0.6595 -0.385
Elemental Invocation 1 228 45.18% 26.69 64.04% -0.105 0.3427 -0.277
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2543 21.23% 39.78 57.26% -0.093 -0.6929 -0.805
Powers Long Forgotten 1 162 48.77% 26.23 53.7% 0.078 0.6861 -0.388
Rituals of Terror 3 97 58.76% 30.93 49.48% 0.47 0.595 -0.026
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 79 62.82% 31.13 56.96% -0.767 -0.0289 -0.297
Second Wave 0 1249 39.37% 30.77 75.42% 1.091 1.1975 0.08
The Great River 3 155 34.84% 25.34 43.87% 0.0 1.1747 -0.904
Varied Terrains 2 92 43.48% 25.35 54.35% -0.276 0.4608 0.371
Ward the Shores 2 172 33.72% 23.85 52.91% -0.219 0.4635 -0.393

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 30911 44.56% 38.15 72.69% 0.222 0.4463 0.16
1 Thematic 906 44.77% 31.42 63.91% -0.332 0.2185 0.126
2 Archipelago 51 33.33% 38.59 74.51% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6885 43.7% 34.63 71.55% -0.106 0.0049 -0.249
2 Coastline 1412 34.36% 37.84 75.5% 0.054 -0.0351 0.122
2 Fragment 222 50.45% 36.88 71.17% 0.149 -0.1898 -0.113
2 Heart 90 53.93% 32.74 65.56% 0.0 -0.3272 0.28
2 Opposite Shores 1529 40.47% 33.47 74.04% 1.195 1.2311 0.901
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 491 51.93% 28.77 50.71% -0.167 0.3611 -0.305
2 Top to Top 410 44.12% 37.9 74.88% -0.002 -0.2083 0.345
3 Archipelago 44 54.55% 46.82 54.55% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 39 38.46% 25.9 48.72% 0.093 -0.4281 0.0
3 Other 656 11.28% 14.85 42.68% -0.348 -1.0898 -0.301
3 Round (Default) 3675 41.54% 35.53 72.49% -0.294 -0.3902 -0.257
3 Sunrise 13 23.08% 38.38 92.31% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 120 45.83% 30.12 60.83% -0.389 -0.1475 -0.552
4 Archipelago 23 30.43% 40.78 82.61% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 19.17 33.33% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 17 29.41% 32.35 76.47% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 101 41.0% 34.96 83.17% 0.0 -0.5473 0.324
4 Reverse Snake 4 50.0% 20.0 50.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 225 43.05% 38.37 59.11% 0.0 0.4734 -0.195
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2086 31.51% 31.87 67.07% 0.105 -0.0835 0.455
5 Archipelago 13 69.23% 41.15 53.85% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 25.67 83.33% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 154 44.37% 33.05 70.78% 0.412 0.0851 0.407
5 Thematic 9 0.0% 22.44 66.67% 0.485 -0.0052 0.0
6 Archipelago 19 10.53% 24.84 57.89% -0.071 -0.9961 0.0
6 Coastline 9 55.56% 21.89 55.56% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 114 24.56% 20.82 57.02% 0.093 0.3624 -0.167
6 Star 65 12.31% 30.68 49.23% -0.238 0.558 -1.11
6 Thematic 218 31.94% 27.33 55.5% -0.749 -0.1684 -0.232
6 Two Centers (Default) 272 27.51% 22.07 56.99% 0.556 0.5331 0.508
7 Archipelago 17 35.29% 40.29 17.65% -0.812 -0.406 -0.698
7 Other 11 27.27% 9.09 36.36% 0.188 -0.0677 0.531

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1408 38.2 60.58% 0.151 0.4613 -0.069
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1117 42.55 68.58% 0.469 0.4818 1.228
All Things Weaken 1535 36.19 57.52% -0.073 0.4005 0.621
Attenuated Essence 333 34.32 54.05% -0.478 -0.3312 0.068
Back Against the Wall 1126 40.63 64.65% -0.559 -0.4297 -0.226
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 322 35.8 54.66% -1.162 -0.8422 0.639
Burn Brightest Before the End 210 36.96 56.67% -0.163 0.0136 1.002
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1244 35.44 55.71% -0.306 0.0739 0.202
Downward Spiral 1569 35.97 61.76% -0.797 -0.6038 -0.405
Erosion of Will 1289 37.56 57.49% -0.313 0.0246 0.009
Intensifying Exploitation 324 30.59 48.46% -0.074 0.2791 -0.097
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 668 42.66 79.34% -0.695 -1.0578 -0.02
Memory Fades to Dust 1545 35.27 58.71% -0.431 -0.102 -0.4
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1493 35.9 57.54% -0.334 -0.0673 -0.204
Promising Farmlands 1366 35.84 57.69% 0.073 0.5204 -0.165
Shattered Fragments of Power 274 34.34 50.0% -0.792 -0.7921 -0.392
Slow Dissolution of Will 299 32.0 48.16% -0.739 -0.3275 -0.437
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 429 42.21 83.45% -0.201 -0.7594 0.328
The Border of Life and Death 100 33.94 66.0% -0.246 -0.4909 -0.826
Thriving Communities 1475 35.82 58.17% -0.04 0.2376 0.131
Thriving Crops 149 33.73 64.43% -0.27 -0.3654 0.294
Unnatural Proliferation 1561 38.05 59.0% -0.056 0.1485 0.661
Untended Land Crumbles 1549 35.7 56.68% -1.202 -0.9027 0.13

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10439 40.52% 34.53 70.85% -0.528 0.464 -0.073
B 11211 39.2% 33.32 69.39% -0.016 0.8494 -0.256
C 13925 39.8% 37.1 72.01% 0.38 1.1318 0.488
D 9341 41.02% 34.81 71.17% 0.46 1.4044 0.124
E 9942 39.97% 33.95 68.07% 0.289 1.0443 0.371
F 8195 40.68% 34.74 69.8% 0.188 1.0627 0.05
G 8158 41.17% 35.6 70.21% 0.363 1.2254 0.247
H 7261 41.98% 35.65 72.33% 0.058 0.8652 0.186
East 1356 44.11% 31.86 57.67% 0.155 0.9008 0.071
Northeast 807 42.73% 31.8 57.25% 0.589 1.4823 -0.314
Northwest 699 43.25% 30.45 54.51% -1.029 -0.2854 0.96
Southeast 540 40.19% 29.21 58.7% -0.395 0.6135 -0.098
Southwest 550 40.48% 26.71 54.18% -0.288 0.8688 -1.188
West 1266 45.92% 29.92 54.74% -0.185 0.798 -0.589

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 743 0.0% 17.37 54.37% 0.044 0.7641 -0.282
Not Using Events or Tokens 338 44.26% 9.34 34.02% -0.868 -0.3933 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1129 12.86% 37.6 83.61% 0.011 -0.7936 -0.013
Start of Game Growth 1615 16.75% 38.39 81.8% 0.763 0.1964 0.6
Unlimited Undo 4243 38.9% 37.89 77.4% -0.41 -0.3829 0.187
Using Tokens but Not Events 6249 24.02% 27.28 71.47% -0.607 -0.6343 -0.444

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2025 30.29% 31.53 65.28% -0.45 -0.8681 -0.13
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 164 30.25% 29.41 67.68% -0.137 -0.793 0.315
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 21 23.81% 32.0 76.19% 0.408 0.2502 -0.268
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 89 24.72% 25.88 48.31% 0.02 -0.8404 -0.311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 747 46.76% 32.24 69.75% 0.013 0.1506 0.184
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 242 36.51% 32.76 65.7% -0.96 -1.9897 -0.126
Dances Up Earthquakes 77 51.95% 20.61 41.56% -0.864 -0.9003 -0.072
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 734 35.06% 30.22 70.44% 0.633 0.2787 -1.351
Downpour Drenches the World 403 31.84% 25.05 54.84% -0.215 -0.091 0.656
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 587 28.94% 25.78 51.28% 0.491 -0.08 0.357
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1253 35.22% 34.21 74.78% 0.474 -0.1724 0.434
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 794 35.89% 31.28 74.06% -0.233 -0.7266 -0.691
Finder of Paths Unseen 208 42.79% 23.43 46.63% -0.281 0.3073 -0.795
Fractured Days Split the Sky 744 33.2% 33.88 70.7% 0.43 0.8761 0.04
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1081 43.18% 34.33 65.12% 0.24 0.0549 -0.227
Heart of the Wildfire 571 49.03% 30.39 61.12% 0.101 0.2442 -0.887
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1595 36.29% 40.96 78.81% 0.202 -0.4721 1.627
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 160 30.0% 29.48 64.38% 0.156 -0.3716 0.0
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1298 35.24% 31.95 69.18% 0.018 -0.4082 -0.711
Many Minds Move as One 714 37.18% 31.9 72.13% 0.677 0.168 -0.384
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1131 38.86% 34.72 65.87% -0.537 -0.8064 -0.383
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 154 40.13% 30.65 57.14% -0.58 -0.6935 -0.369
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 813 37.58% 31.84 72.2% -0.076 -0.3701 0.66
River Surges in Sunlight 1717 34.77% 44.64 77.46% 1.419 1.2479 0.857
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 107 34.31% 26.7 58.88% -0.455 -0.5658 0.395
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 956 36.85% 28.17 70.71% 1.096 1.0307 -0.682
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 730 38.14% 37.34 62.19% -0.486 -0.6157 0.73
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 974 32.16% 33.08 64.99% 0.406 0.1418 0.802
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 69 40.58% 30.75 68.12% -0.456 -0.8865 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 154 48.3% 22.43 67.53% -0.124 0.3043 -0.234
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 115 44.25% 25.77 73.04% 0.134 0.1379 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 35.42% 34.5 71.72% -0.67 -1.4232 0.013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 138 37.5% 29.15 73.91% -0.014 -0.3326 0.536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1102 42.91% 34.01 74.32% 0.233 0.0539 0.037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 452 41.72% 29.65 75.0% -0.062 -0.1047 -0.321
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 598 37.82% 38.92 76.42% 0.587 0.2211 -0.098
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 33.33% 26.45 70.0% 0.408 -0.133 0.194
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 221 28.64% 29.72 64.71% -0.251 -0.4953 0.397
Shifting Memory of Ages 777 27.1% 20.25 48.52% 0.802 1.0968 0.507
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 176 34.86% 31.2 62.5% -0.085 -0.2478 0.756
Shroud of Silent Mist 507 45.67% 26.21 66.27% -0.118 0.0646 -0.47
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 30 53.33% 29.83 56.67% -0.05 -0.46 -0.162
Starlight Seeks its Form 703 31.9% 30.66 60.88% 0.03 -0.2122 -0.079
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1106 36.12% 33.7 68.26% 0.59 -0.3622 -0.225
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 742 35.52% 32.73 69.68% -0.102 -0.0593 -0.62
Thunderspeaker 775 41.04% 34.48 67.48% -0.531 -0.7266 1.023
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 102 32.67% 22.48 53.92% 0.287 0.119 -0.065
Towering Roots of the Jungle 151 36.42% 24.71 49.67% 0.495 0.3841 0.45
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 574 57.54% 29.03 62.54% 0.448 0.2974 0.145
Vital Strength of the Earth 586 33.86% 24.24 52.22% -0.613 -0.2541 -0.803
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 275 32.72% 30.24 56.36% -0.166 0.077 -0.114
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 632 37.85% 27.13 70.41% -0.65 0.0315 -0.779
Volcano Looming High 754 43.85% 30.57 68.97% -0.779 -1.1036 0.209
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 654 33.9% 31.43 57.34% -1.211 -1.7285 -0.106

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 97.55%
Lightning's Boon 93.25%
Raging Storm 84.9%
Shatter Homesteads 98.8%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6610 12.25 4.8%
II 12105 29.91 51.2%
III 17314 34.94 86.28%
IV 14827 38.9 99.82%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 317
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14782
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6009
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14746
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5304
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Lose: Adversary condition 3190
Win: Sacrifice victory 96
Lose: Scenario condition 553
Win: Scenario condition 304
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5293
Lose: Spirit destroyed 184

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.426 Win Model: -0.126

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.315 Win Model: -0.314
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 31957 44.55% 37.92 72.38%
2 11055 42.79% 34.87 71.64%
3 4527 37.12% 32.32 67.62%
4 2448 32.78% 32.66 67.12%
5 151 38.51% 30.23 67.55%
6 718 27.35% 24.75 55.15%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)