Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 63 20.63% 24.65 74.6% 0.08 0.1241 -0.256
Blitz 0 287 47.74% 23.59 56.45% -0.947 -0.7331 -1.253
Dahan Insurrection 4 314 32.8% 51.03 61.46% -0.188 -0.4758 -0.66
Despicable Theft 2 102 39.22% 31.63 63.73% -0.483 0.2277 -0.454
Elemental Invocation 1 198 46.46% 27.23 64.65% -0.495 0.206 -0.859
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2238 21.09% 39.89 57.95% 0.194 -0.4065 -1.133
Powers Long Forgotten 1 133 49.62% 27.55 57.14% -0.886 -0.0484 -0.672
Rituals of Terror 3 82 54.88% 32.57 54.88% -1.151 -1.091 -0.013
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 67 65.15% 33.37 59.7% -0.085 0.9021 0.084
Second Wave 0 1111 38.81% 31.15 76.6% -0.663 -0.4127 -0.062
The Great River 3 128 34.38% 26.87 47.66% -0.968 0.0976 -1.493
Varied Terrains 2 74 43.24% 27.23 58.11% -0.42 0.4096 -0.759
Ward the Shores 2 144 29.17% 24.99 54.86% -0.84 0.3433 -1.096

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 26983 44.65% 39.17 74.5% 0.279 0.5524 0.238
1 Thematic 797 46.01% 32.11 65.37% -0.575 0.0001 -0.515
2 Archipelago 44 36.36% 42.34 79.55% 0.235 0.9126 -0.041
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5779 44.02% 35.5 73.04% -0.225 -0.157 0.262
2 Coastline 1234 35.0% 38.76 77.31% -0.122 -0.341 0.365
2 Fragment 190 51.58% 39.1 72.63% 0.16 -0.1067 0.608
2 Heart 80 54.43% 33.09 67.5% 0.133 -0.3368 -0.377
2 Opposite Shores 1259 40.83% 34.15 76.01% 0.182 0.1599 -0.117
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5053 0.0
2 Thematic 444 53.6% 29.82 50.45% -0.691 -0.3178 0.113
2 Top to Top 353 45.17% 39.31 76.77% 0.405 0.1474 -0.123
3 Archipelago 43 55.81% 47.91 55.81% 0.32 -0.6032 -0.124
3 Coastline 30 30.0% 29.27 56.67% 0.43 -0.5333 1.178
3 Other 590 10.34% 14.82 43.73% 0.419 -0.3449 0.077
3 Round (Default) 3153 42.35% 36.25 73.99% 0.006 -0.1469 0.188
3 Sunrise 13 23.08% 38.38 92.31% 0.0 -0.078 0.44
3 Thematic 96 40.63% 32.08 64.58% 0.431 0.2834 -0.491
4 Archipelago 23 30.43% 40.78 82.61% 0.0 -0.5272 0.728
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 19.17 33.33% -0.096 -0.1525 0.092
4 Leaf 15 33.33% 32.13 80.0% -0.403 -0.4943 0.19
4 Other 95 38.3% 34.13 82.11% 0.066 -0.6186 0.758
4 Reverse Snake 4 50.0% 20.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Thematic 199 45.69% 41.26 63.82% 0.288 0.1106 0.098
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1836 31.78% 32.47 67.86% 0.045 -0.2846 -0.13
5 Archipelago 10 90.0% 39.1 40.0% 0.0 1.2714 -0.905
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 25.8 80.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.441
5 Other 125 45.9% 34.33 73.6% -0.371 -1.1202 0.102
5 Thematic 7 0.0% 19.86 57.14% 0.0 -0.3865 -0.527
6 Archipelago 16 12.5% 27.88 62.5% -0.435 -1.4055 -0.479
6 Coastline 6 33.33% 22.5 50.0% 0.308 -0.2718 -0.086
6 Other 69 26.09% 22.8 57.97% -0.519 -0.9363 0.081
6 Star 40 17.5% 29.55 65.0% 0.742 1.0776 -0.968
6 Thematic 165 29.45% 28.68 63.64% -0.016 -0.0649 -0.785
6 Two Centers (Default) 218 27.78% 23.31 60.55% -1.139 -0.9241 -0.457
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 12.75 25.0% -0.188 -0.3082 -0.221
7 Other 8 37.5% 12.5 50.0% 0.056 -1.0251 -0.233

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1251 38.94 61.63% -0.74 -0.668 -0.453
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1024 42.71 68.36% -0.225 -0.2955 -0.082
All Things Weaken 1358 36.9 58.54% -0.382 -0.1225 -0.474
Attenuated Essence 215 35.93 56.74% 0.015 -0.0214 -0.321
Back Against the Wall 1004 41.03 65.14% 0.044 0.0979 -0.239
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 224 37.0 56.25% -0.189 -0.0436 -0.692
Burn Brightest Before the End 139 36.17 53.24% -0.3 -0.2834 -0.386
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1100 36.12 56.82% -0.763 -0.5749 -0.6
Downward Spiral 1387 37.25 63.81% -0.365 -0.2905 -0.272
Erosion of Will 1164 38.31 58.42% 0.25 0.4044 -0.5
Intensifying Exploitation 207 32.33 50.72% -0.941 -0.805 -0.481
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 604 43.87 81.46% -0.094 -0.708 0.578
Memory Fades to Dust 1376 36.05 59.67% -0.025 0.1785 -0.483
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1321 36.7 58.89% -1.133 -0.9581 -0.461
Promising Farmlands 1221 36.26 58.39% -0.316 -0.1179 -0.48
Shattered Fragments of Power 187 36.22 52.94% -0.152 -0.1492 -0.573
Slow Dissolution of Will 196 33.21 47.96% -0.01 0.2883 -0.72
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 383 43.19 84.86% 0.413 -0.2837 0.55
The Border of Life and Death 72 34.17 65.28% -0.157 -0.6546 -0.556
Thriving Communities 1319 36.22 58.45% -1.0 -0.8433 -0.334
Thriving Crops 108 35.16 66.67% 0.444 0.1319 -0.332
Unnatural Proliferation 1399 38.5 59.11% -0.326 -0.2171 -0.413
Untended Land Crumbles 1364 36.43 58.21% -0.2 -0.0177 -0.512

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8868 41.58% 35.41 72.73% -0.038 0.9371 0.1
B 9629 39.35% 34.15 71.07% 0.175 1.0646 -0.023
C 12021 39.92% 37.89 73.61% 0.331 1.0232 0.527
D 7985 41.29% 35.84 73.22% -0.251 0.6441 0.143
E 8578 40.36% 34.7 69.52% 0.064 0.793 0.089
F 7011 41.26% 35.93 71.89% 0.374 1.2054 0.08
G 7040 41.4% 36.48 71.88% -0.087 0.6924 0.116
H 6218 42.23% 36.77 74.49% -0.278 0.5045 0.339
East 1155 45.21% 33.44 60.43% 0.115 0.9242 0.125
Northeast 694 44.22% 33.65 60.95% -0.841 -0.0432 -0.605
Northwest 583 44.66% 32.04 57.29% 0.3 1.0338 -0.978
Southeast 438 39.03% 30.58 62.79% -0.489 0.4045 0.294
Southwest 440 39.68% 28.0 57.95% 0.65 1.9084 -0.385
West 1074 47.05% 31.34 56.52% -0.299 0.699 0.089

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 593 0.0% 18.27 55.48% -1.336 -0.6682 -1.099
Not Using Events or Tokens 255 45.65% 9.94 35.29% -0.087 0.334 -0.314
Skip Initial Invader Actions 960 13.03% 39.39 86.15% 0.436 -0.3329 0.187
Start of Game Growth 1361 17.85% 39.71 84.13% 0.106 -0.3322 0.785
Unlimited Undo 3725 39.06% 39.45 79.95% 0.195 0.1294 0.653
Using Tokens but Not Events 5393 22.52% 27.86 73.11% 0.207 0.1638 -0.209

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1767 31.01% 32.48 68.14% -0.796 -0.8905 -0.114
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 87 40.23% 27.74 62.07% 0.233 -0.2748 0.327
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 679 46.43% 33.0 70.84% 0.816 1.0132 -0.072
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 162 32.1% 34.88 66.05% -0.476 -1.3487 0.435
Dances Up Earthquakes 24 45.83% 16.67 33.33% -0.727 -0.866 -0.959
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 620 35.58% 32.06 73.71% -0.036 -0.258 -0.125
Downpour Drenches the World 316 30.16% 25.91 57.28% 0.474 0.7797 -0.326
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 472 25.9% 24.43 49.79% 0.63 0.0755 -0.023
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1092 34.36% 34.99 77.38% 0.925 0.4975 0.477
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 698 36.32% 32.62 77.51% -0.033 -0.446 0.116
Finder of Paths Unseen 167 43.71% 24.48 47.9% 0.225 0.8806 0.212
Fractured Days Split the Sky 668 34.23% 35.41 72.9% -0.711 -0.1652 0.227
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 941 44.93% 35.48 66.52% 0.098 0.0138 -0.133
Heart of the Wildfire 487 49.28% 31.34 63.24% -0.524 -0.2088 -0.438
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1420 36.54% 40.86 78.94% 1.355 0.9116 0.608
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 125 32.0% 29.78 62.4% 0.604 0.3108 -0.204
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1148 34.53% 32.48 71.17% -0.398 -0.5972 -0.188
Many Minds Move as One 621 38.09% 33.1 74.72% -0.357 -0.5714 0.128
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1036 38.42% 35.83 67.86% 0.285 0.4323 0.218
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 36 38.89% 34.53 66.67% 0.394 0.4383 -0.903
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 704 36.42% 32.6 74.15% -0.573 -0.676 0.376
River Surges in Sunlight 1361 37.53% 45.16 79.06% 1.147 1.145 0.783
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 56 29.09% 30.61 66.07% 0.029 0.3176 0.766
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 871 37.92% 28.95 72.45% 0.248 0.4514 -0.615
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 594 38.24% 38.92 63.64% 0.153 -0.0606 0.089
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 848 31.99% 32.94 67.33% 0.46 0.302 -0.025
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 30 40.0% 31.97 63.33% 0.173 -0.2103 0.5
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 132 50.0% 23.73 69.7% 0.118 0.6941 0.091
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 92 43.96% 26.43 73.91% -0.075 -0.1343 0.168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 89 37.08% 36.16 77.53% 0.005 -0.4231 0.062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 114 36.28% 31.01 76.32% 0.008 0.0134 0.36
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1020 43.59% 34.95 75.49% 0.655 0.5955 0.252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 402 41.88% 30.51 76.62% 0.105 0.3116 0.47
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 560 38.96% 39.96 78.04% -0.163 -0.1302 0.695
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 180 28.49% 30.68 63.33% -0.623 -0.7681 0.73
Shifting Memory of Ages 717 27.27% 20.43 48.4% -0.365 -0.0396 -0.664
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 91 37.78% 31.44 62.64% 0.536 0.5843 -0.121
Shroud of Silent Mist 450 47.95% 26.82 67.33% -0.824 -0.4564 -0.958
Starlight Seeks its Form 570 30.86% 30.72 60.7% -0.324 -0.3906 0.312
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 994 36.26% 34.2 69.42% 0.086 -0.3971 0.158
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 635 36.54% 34.26 72.91% -0.581 -0.4217 0.603
Thunderspeaker 693 41.8% 35.29 67.97% -0.006 0.0242 -0.228
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 28.0% 22.75 56.58% 0.44 0.6306 -0.717
Towering Roots of the Jungle 87 40.23% 27.39 49.43% -0.589 -0.4428 -0.8
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 477 58.02% 30.06 64.57% -0.159 -0.139 -0.386
Vital Strength of the Earth 479 34.88% 25.86 56.16% -0.954 -0.3729 -0.519
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 168 33.53% 29.92 64.29% -0.474 0.0092 -0.296
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 555 38.66% 28.55 73.15% -0.069 0.5505 -0.341
Volcano Looming High 645 45.85% 31.94 71.01% -0.367 -0.3311 0.093
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 485 33.75% 31.36 57.32% -0.048 -0.3653 -0.118

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 97.62%
Lightning's Boon 93.23%
Raging Storm 84.84%
Shatter Homesteads 98.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5057 13.76 5.4%
II 10480 30.19 52.36%
III 15166 34.82 86.44%
IV 13268 38.63 99.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 273
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12970
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5319
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13198
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3670
Lose: Invader deck ran out 67
Lose: Adversary condition 2827
Win: Sacrifice victory 85
Lose: Scenario condition 489
Win: Scenario condition 272
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4643
Lose: Spirit destroyed 158

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.809 Win Model: -0.102

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.377 Win Model: -0.018
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 27904 44.67% 38.94 74.19%
2 9355 43.3% 35.79 73.13%
3 3907 37.17% 32.84 69.0%
4 2167 33.35% 33.45 68.2%
5 119 39.66% 30.43 68.91%
6 519 27.38% 25.47 61.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)