Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 22.64% 24.13 75.47% 0.085 0.1007 -0.301
Blitz 0 240 51.25% 25.66 61.67% -0.766 -0.4778 -0.937
Dahan Insurrection 4 284 32.75% 52.39 62.68% -0.421 -0.5978 -0.521
Despicable Theft 2 86 40.7% 33.74 69.77% 0.079 0.9402 -0.302
Elemental Invocation 1 177 48.59% 27.98 65.54% 0.533 1.4659 -0.801
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2056 21.16% 39.51 56.61% 0.384 -0.2627 -1.315
Powers Long Forgotten 1 113 52.21% 30.11 63.72% -0.454 0.492 -0.216
Rituals of Terror 3 71 56.34% 35.7 59.15% -0.779 -0.703 0.381
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 68.33% 34.13 60.66% 0.361 1.4764 0.371
Second Wave 0 1005 39.46% 32.03 78.91% 0.322 0.3528 0.217
The Great River 3 119 35.29% 28.39 51.26% -1.473 -0.0478 -1.442
Varied Terrains 2 53 39.62% 29.75 62.26% -0.082 0.6924 -0.483
Ward the Shores 2 131 29.01% 25.21 54.96% 0.089 1.1333 -1.023

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24124 44.81% 40.08 75.7% -0.238 0.0225 0.209
1 Thematic 730 47.11% 33.03 67.67% -0.153 0.3131 -0.578
2 Archipelago 40 35.0% 41.02 77.5% 0.0 0.4734 -0.398
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5006 44.41% 36.55 75.51% 0.103 0.288 0.316
2 Coastline 1053 36.71% 38.91 78.06% 0.35 0.3336 0.425
2 Fragment 171 52.63% 41.05 74.85% 0.383 0.0671 0.492
2 Heart 68 50.0% 32.21 66.18% -0.104 -0.198 -0.831
2 Opposite Shores 1076 40.54% 34.81 77.79% -0.377 -0.4159 -0.006
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 371 55.8% 31.8 53.91% -0.913 -0.6259 0.236
2 Top to Top 311 48.06% 41.02 78.14% 0.721 0.6775 -0.087
3 Archipelago 31 64.52% 46.77 48.39% 0.0 -1.1399 -0.986
3 Coastline 29 31.03% 30.28 58.62% 0.029 -0.721 1.131
3 Other 557 10.05% 14.8 43.09% -1.274 -1.7365 0.183
3 Round (Default) 2757 42.76% 37.14 75.01% 0.609 0.389 0.158
3 Sunrise 13 23.08% 38.38 92.31% 0.0 0.0754 0.469
3 Thematic 74 45.95% 33.03 66.22% -0.094 -0.3865 -0.394
4 Archipelago 22 31.82% 38.5 81.82% -0.044 0.1494 0.622
4 Coastline 5 20.0% 23.0 40.0% -0.161 -0.5203 0.086
4 Leaf 7 71.43% 35.0 71.43% 0.0 -0.1085 0.0
4 Other 88 35.23% 34.64 84.09% 0.779 0.5221 0.953
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Thematic 186 44.57% 42.79 65.05% 0.135 0.3875 -0.042
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1612 31.6% 33.67 70.97% 0.048 0.2628 -0.086
5 Archipelago 9 100.0% 43.44 44.44% -0.212 0.0615 -0.972
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 25.8 80.0% 0.0 -0.1045 0.526
5 Other 91 43.82% 34.7 75.82% 0.786 0.22 0.33
5 Thematic 6 0.0% 23.17 66.67% 0.0 -0.4203 -0.301
6 Archipelago 13 15.38% 24.38 61.54% 0.0 -0.9328 -1.066
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 18.8 40.0% 0.0 -0.7976 -0.11
6 Other 58 22.41% 24.84 63.79% 0.094 0.5202 0.833
6 Star 26 19.23% 34.04 69.23% 0.0 0.1127 -0.336
6 Thematic 150 29.53% 28.73 64.67% -0.949 -0.8478 -0.826
6 Two Centers (Default) 169 30.54% 26.2 67.46% 0.515 0.2584 -0.407
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 17.0 33.33% 0.0 1.0709 0.0
7 Other 6 50.0% 16.67 66.67% -0.561 -1.5765 -0.211

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1149 39.32 62.4% 0.211 0.3866 -0.56
Aid From Lesser Spirits 951 42.76 68.14% 0.136 0.0822 -0.225
All Things Weaken 1232 37.46 59.01% -0.695 -0.4017 -0.626
Attenuated Essence 150 37.61 59.33% -0.538 -0.454 -0.213
Back Against the Wall 939 41.42 65.07% 0.403 0.4501 -0.37
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 144 37.63 54.17% 0.041 0.244 -0.928
Burn Brightest Before the End 91 36.02 54.95% -0.367 -0.1794 -0.439
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1005 36.93 57.71% -0.903 -0.494 -0.706
Downward Spiral 1247 38.05 65.2% -0.625 -0.4972 -0.407
Erosion of Will 1083 38.81 58.36% -0.739 -0.4558 -0.644
Intensifying Exploitation 123 33.99 52.03% -0.298 -0.0505 -0.88
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 535 45.61 84.67% 0.545 0.0292 0.621
Memory Fades to Dust 1244 36.49 59.16% -0.17 0.0669 -0.641
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1181 37.29 59.95% -0.395 -0.1776 -0.593
Promising Farmlands 1108 36.69 59.03% -0.209 0.086 -0.604
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 33.63 49.15% -0.745 -0.5438 -0.897
Slow Dissolution of Will 120 33.17 50.0% 0.272 0.6562 -0.757
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 351 44.24 86.04% 0.27 -0.3114 0.454
The Border of Life and Death 51 35.14 66.67% 0.162 -0.355 -0.13
Thriving Communities 1208 36.95 59.44% -0.325 0.0139 -0.404
Thriving Crops 65 32.08 61.54% -0.036 -0.0782 -0.964
Unnatural Proliferation 1275 38.96 59.61% -0.238 -0.0975 -0.53
Untended Land Crumbles 1239 36.47 58.84% -0.369 0.0796 -0.666

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7694 41.66% 36.54 74.79% 0.101 0.9631 0.108
B 8429 39.86% 34.98 72.8% 0.173 0.9897 0.008
C 10566 40.37% 38.7 75.01% 0.101 0.7796 0.593
D 6957 41.44% 36.74 75.08% 0.214 1.0187 0.193
E 7590 40.32% 35.57 71.03% 0.132 0.8003 0.132
F 6133 41.67% 37.01 73.63% -0.036 0.7624 0.094
G 6246 41.71% 37.72 73.58% 0.171 0.9972 0.153
H 5476 42.68% 37.79 76.19% -0.034 0.739 0.341
East 1012 45.69% 34.97 63.14% -0.372 0.4739 0.247
Northeast 613 44.28% 35.08 63.62% 0.212 0.9828 -0.584
Northwest 513 46.29% 33.29 59.45% -0.694 0.1134 -0.771
Southeast 383 38.95% 31.8 65.27% 0.12 0.989 0.269
Southwest 389 40.67% 29.18 60.15% 0.036 1.3182 -0.533
West 938 48.88% 32.61 58.96% -1.276 -0.2797 0.237

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 466 0.0% 20.6 60.3% -0.385 0.4105 -1.031
Not Using Events or Tokens 192 45.24% 11.39 38.02% -1.161 -0.7735 -0.355
Skip Initial Invader Actions 868 13.09% 40.87 88.59% 0.396 -0.2183 0.482
Start of Game Growth 1227 18.3% 41.06 86.15% 0.57 -0.0113 1.09
Unlimited Undo 3301 39.48% 40.86 82.67% 0.025 0.0689 0.838
Using Tokens but Not Events 4497 20.16% 27.92 75.78% -0.044 -0.1023 -0.503

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1538 31.2% 34.11 72.04% 0.137 -0.0068 0.061
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 8 12.5% 21.75 62.5% 0.378 -0.3349 -0.406
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 613 45.96% 33.56 72.1% -0.907 -0.6427 -0.028
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 89 34.83% 34.31 62.92% 0.013 -0.7956 0.17
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 557 35.52% 33.13 76.3% -0.439 -0.6034 -0.015
Downpour Drenches the World 248 27.94% 27.54 59.68% -0.207 0.0658 -0.148
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 380 22.11% 23.35 46.84% -0.356 -0.7821 -0.236
Eyes Watch From the Trees 961 34.15% 35.62 78.15% 0.239 -0.1206 0.32
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 624 36.95% 33.67 79.17% 1.134 0.69 0.123
Finder of Paths Unseen 121 41.32% 20.37 44.63% -0.266 0.4219 -0.083
Fractured Days Split the Sky 633 35.28% 36.3 74.88% 0.355 0.9443 0.134
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 781 45.96% 36.86 68.89% 0.019 -0.0453 -0.197
Heart of the Wildfire 449 49.22% 32.44 65.48% -0.519 -0.1918 -0.418
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1297 35.94% 40.8 79.41% -0.114 -0.4089 0.495
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 81 30.86% 30.48 64.2% 0.479 0.108 -0.132
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1044 34.9% 33.58 73.28% 0.236 -0.0585 -0.193
Many Minds Move as One 559 39.64% 34.45 76.92% 0.466 0.3208 0.316
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 926 38.41% 37.02 69.33% 0.044 -0.0143 0.168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 632 37.3% 33.77 76.11% -0.561 -0.7247 0.417
River Surges in Sunlight 1222 38.08% 45.29 79.54% -0.439 -0.3405 0.661
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 16 12.5% 27.38 62.5% 0.372 0.237 0.006
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 795 37.96% 29.81 74.59% 0.523 0.9994 -0.609
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 490 38.33% 39.24 64.08% 0.341 0.3064 0.071
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 723 32.27% 34.41 72.06% 0.802 0.5476 -0.021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 102 54.46% 24.43 67.65% -0.199 0.3223 0.052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 46.48% 28.06 78.87% 0.275 0.4163 -0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 55 34.55% 38.09 76.36% 0.7 0.1215 0.308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 36.17% 32.26 75.79% 0.429 0.779 0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 964 43.49% 35.81 76.87% 0.233 0.2175 0.294
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 374 42.01% 31.6 77.54% -0.152 0.0967 0.407
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 515 40.23% 40.76 78.83% 0.267 0.157 0.617
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 157 30.57% 31.1 63.06% -0.191 -0.3523 0.599
Shifting Memory of Ages 681 26.66% 20.49 47.87% -0.494 -0.1493 -0.652
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 28 32.14% 25.96 53.57% -0.242 -0.5512 -0.362
Shroud of Silent Mist 380 48.52% 28.43 72.11% -1.058 -0.7271 -0.718
Starlight Seeks its Form 491 30.53% 31.08 60.9% -0.004 -0.1786 0.245
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 899 36.54% 35.05 71.08% 0.577 -0.1328 0.115
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 551 36.31% 35.94 76.04% -0.352 -0.1399 0.69
Thunderspeaker 631 44.02% 36.06 68.62% -0.213 -0.234 -0.235
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 50 24.0% 18.96 48.0% -0.844 -0.646 -0.886
Towering Roots of the Jungle 11 54.55% 37.36 81.82% 1.048 1.0204 0.452
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 439 58.35% 31.02 65.38% -0.434 -0.368 -0.421
Vital Strength of the Earth 371 38.8% 27.27 60.92% -0.794 -0.2593 -0.385
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 35.88% 32.48 66.67% 0.542 1.1092 -0.459
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 512 39.6% 29.52 75.0% -0.561 0.1974 -0.332
Volcano Looming High 546 45.56% 33.71 75.46% -0.371 -0.2342 0.184
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 326 31.29% 30.77 55.21% -0.228 -0.539 0.043

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 97.66%
Lightning's Boon 93.28%
Raging Storm 84.64%
Shatter Homesteads 98.84%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3918 15.74 6.15%
II 9317 30.48 53.15%
III 13674 34.79 86.5%
IV 11988 38.41 99.84%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 241
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11702
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4796
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11922
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2450
Lose: Invader deck ran out 57
Lose: Adversary condition 2584
Win: Sacrifice victory 79
Lose: Scenario condition 471
Win: Scenario condition 250
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4202
Lose: Spirit destroyed 143

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.399 Win Model: -0.079

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.499 Win Model: -0.298
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 24942 44.88% 39.87 75.47%
2 8092 43.89% 36.69 75.12%
3 3442 37.25% 33.31 69.44%
4 1915 33.12% 34.66 70.97%
5 83 35.8% 29.98 71.08%
6 423 28.57% 27.29 65.96%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)