Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 66 21.21% 24.7 74.24% -0.25 -0.2767 -0.301
Blitz 0 304 46.71% 23.38 55.26% -0.972 -0.7221 -1.538
Dahan Insurrection 4 318 32.7% 50.62 60.69% -0.573 -0.822 -0.677
Despicable Theft 2 110 39.09% 29.91 59.09% -1.641 -1.179 -0.424
Elemental Invocation 1 203 46.31% 27.36 64.53% 0.003 0.7055 -0.854
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2259 21.16% 39.84 58.03% -0.539 -1.0912 -1.096
Powers Long Forgotten 1 138 49.28% 27.2 57.25% 0.177 0.8005 -0.613
Rituals of Terror 3 83 55.42% 33.05 55.42% 0.028 0.2207 0.176
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 70 65.22% 32.83 60.0% -0.285 0.637 0.116
Second Wave 0 1140 39.04% 30.91 76.05% -0.455 -0.3374 -0.074
The Great River 3 132 33.33% 26.94 47.73% -0.449 0.6188 -1.471
Varied Terrains 2 79 44.3% 26.41 55.7% -0.907 -0.1664 -0.719
Ward the Shores 2 146 28.77% 24.65 54.11% -0.682 0.4018 -1.08

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 28040 44.85% 38.81 73.83% 0.486 1.0129 0.233
1 Thematic 821 45.88% 31.98 64.68% -0.416 0.4384 -0.561
2 Archipelago 45 35.56% 41.4 77.78% -0.67 0.3851 -0.012
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6020 44.12% 35.14 72.51% 0.291 0.569 0.235
2 Coastline 1265 34.89% 38.33 76.76% 0.192 0.2943 0.346
2 Fragment 196 51.02% 38.74 72.96% 0.867 0.8801 0.664
2 Heart 85 53.57% 32.19 65.88% -0.33 -0.2181 -0.461
2 Opposite Shores 1310 40.23% 33.68 75.19% 0.022 0.3579 -0.229
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 459 52.51% 29.46 50.33% -0.26 0.4294 0.129
2 Top to Top 360 45.25% 38.86 76.39% 0.165 0.4071 -0.156
3 Archipelago 43 55.81% 47.91 55.81% 0.224 -0.4963 -0.08
3 Coastline 32 31.25% 27.5 53.13% -0.44 -0.78 1.18
3 Other 598 10.2% 14.81 43.65% -1.162 -1.7637 0.068
3 Round (Default) 3271 42.02% 36.1 73.86% 0.524 0.5304 0.163
3 Sunrise 13 23.08% 38.38 92.31% 0.0 -0.0616 0.441
3 Thematic 106 43.4% 31.72 65.09% 0.604 0.6883 -0.46
4 Archipelago 23 30.43% 40.78 82.61% 0.0 0.1505 0.739
4 Coastline 6 16.67% 19.17 33.33% 0.0 -0.7584 0.1
4 Leaf 15 33.33% 32.13 80.0% 0.0 0.1371 0.215
4 Other 95 38.3% 34.13 82.11% 0.0 -0.619 0.743
4 Reverse Snake 4 50.0% 20.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Thematic 202 45.5% 41.0 63.37% -0.443 -0.1754 0.137
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1903 31.45% 32.14 67.21% -0.282 -0.1179 -0.163
5 Archipelago 13 69.23% 41.15 53.85% 0.33 -0.5487 -0.904
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 25.8 80.0% 0.0 0.0963 0.472
5 Other 135 44.7% 34.04 73.33% 0.063 -0.3234 0.065
5 Thematic 7 0.0% 19.86 57.14% 0.0 -0.7973 -0.407
6 Archipelago 17 11.76% 27.76 64.71% 0.314 -0.7956 -0.487
6 Coastline 6 33.33% 22.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.8372 -0.105
6 Other 89 23.6% 22.06 56.18% -0.389 -0.4191 0.092
6 Star 41 17.07% 29.46 65.85% 0.31 0.2929 -1.011
6 Thematic 175 28.32% 28.63 64.0% 0.739 0.8424 -0.669
6 Two Centers (Default) 226 27.23% 23.23 60.18% -0.792 -0.2276 -0.487
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 12.75 25.0% 0.0 -0.0747 -0.217
7 Other 9 33.33% 11.11 44.44% -0.39 -0.8246 -0.241

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1293 38.56 60.94% -0.777 -0.5274 -0.465
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1048 42.52 68.32% 0.237 0.1182 -0.051
All Things Weaken 1401 36.51 57.82% -0.694 -0.3572 -0.505
Attenuated Essence 251 34.98 53.39% -0.896 -0.8692 -0.581
Back Against the Wall 1032 40.89 65.02% 0.09 0.091 -0.215
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 252 36.23 55.16% -0.491 -0.2733 -0.75
Burn Brightest Before the End 153 35.92 52.94% -0.545 -0.5639 -0.428
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1129 35.78 56.07% -1.269 -0.8762 -0.599
Downward Spiral 1445 36.74 63.04% -0.716 -0.6074 -0.302
Erosion of Will 1198 37.98 57.93% -0.85 -0.4977 -0.481
Intensifying Exploitation 238 31.28 48.32% -1.066 -0.8209 -0.703
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 616 43.68 81.33% 0.095 -0.4288 0.563
Memory Fades to Dust 1419 35.75 59.48% -0.252 -0.0042 -0.464
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1382 36.43 58.54% -0.486 -0.264 -0.469
Promising Farmlands 1253 36.21 58.34% -0.168 0.1152 -0.461
Shattered Fragments of Power 203 36.3 53.69% -0.162 -0.0847 -0.52
Slow Dissolution of Will 223 32.83 47.98% -0.487 -0.0897 -0.748
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 392 43.05 84.95% 0.969 0.2733 0.587
The Border of Life and Death 83 33.72 65.06% 0.149 -0.4514 -0.528
Thriving Communities 1364 36.06 58.28% -0.274 0.0829 -0.323
Thriving Crops 117 34.39 66.67% -0.128 -0.3247 -0.316
Unnatural Proliferation 1453 38.12 58.43% -0.54 -0.3783 -0.428
Untended Land Crumbles 1420 36.19 57.54% -0.678 -0.4465 -0.536

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 9221 41.4% 35.04 72.19% -0.1 0.9048 0.11
B 9996 39.25% 33.91 70.85% 0.177 1.0964 -0.003
C 12462 39.89% 37.55 73.05% 0.167 0.9014 0.518
D 8308 41.18% 35.53 72.52% -0.201 0.7772 0.106
E 8924 40.41% 34.42 69.03% -0.243 0.5768 0.1
F 7332 41.13% 35.41 70.87% -0.445 0.4284 0.045
G 7292 41.35% 36.19 71.5% -0.088 0.721 0.13
H 6459 42.23% 36.49 74.05% 0.068 0.8828 0.352
East 1204 44.78% 33.17 60.13% -0.639 0.2633 -0.101
Northeast 715 43.48% 33.42 60.84% 0.856 1.6644 -0.552
Northwest 604 43.93% 31.83 57.45% -0.079 0.8208 -0.996
Southeast 460 39.34% 30.44 63.04% -0.081 0.7696 0.268
Southwest 466 39.39% 27.85 58.15% -0.027 1.3487 -0.378
West 1115 46.58% 31.07 56.5% 0.194 1.1492 0.037

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 626 0.0% 17.7 53.99% -1.694 -0.9864 -1.122
Not Using Events or Tokens 274 46.0% 9.59 34.67% -0.384 -0.0164 -0.668
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1014 12.68% 38.72 85.31% 0.272 -0.313 0.26
Start of Game Growth 1430 17.46% 39.09 83.36% -0.004 -0.5179 0.751
Unlimited Undo 3872 39.13% 38.97 79.13% 0.12 0.0102 0.653
Using Tokens but Not Events 5638 23.49% 27.65 72.37% 0.032 0.0064 -0.153

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1840 30.39% 32.17 67.77% -0.105 -0.2101 -0.072
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 105 34.29% 28.75 66.67% 0.88 0.4004 0.503
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 695 46.66% 32.94 70.94% 0.558 0.6831 -0.022
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 180 34.08% 34.99 66.11% 0.887 0.0395 0.641
Dances Up Earthquakes 36 38.89% 21.67 41.67% -0.365 -0.3285 -1.263
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 652 35.68% 31.4 72.55% -0.521 -0.6579 -0.041
Downpour Drenches the World 336 30.75% 25.53 56.25% -0.24 -0.0332 -0.274
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 483 25.93% 24.56 50.1% 0.732 0.1212 0.021
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1121 34.4% 34.81 77.16% 0.587 0.2112 0.517
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 731 35.67% 32.14 76.2% -0.124 -0.5146 0.03
Finder of Paths Unseen 180 43.33% 24.52 47.78% -0.347 0.3721 -0.043
Fractured Days Split the Sky 686 33.77% 34.97 72.16% -0.403 0.2076 0.281
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 978 44.15% 35.22 66.46% 0.113 0.013 -0.103
Heart of the Wildfire 493 49.29% 31.33 63.49% 0.428 0.7649 -0.425
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1456 36.32% 40.62 78.71% 0.655 0.2243 0.652
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 136 30.88% 29.68 63.24% 0.255 -0.0594 -0.168
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1186 34.69% 32.42 70.99% 0.188 -0.0398 -0.199
Many Minds Move as One 640 37.58% 32.91 74.38% 0.139 -0.1035 0.162
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1062 38.14% 35.7 67.89% -0.279 -0.1698 0.221
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 63 41.27% 27.89 50.79% -0.798 -0.679 -1.333
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 735 36.99% 32.24 73.33% -0.472 -0.5179 0.407
River Surges in Sunlight 1392 37.36% 45.01 79.02% 0.908 1.0384 0.818
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 66 32.81% 30.76 62.12% 0.004 0.1798 0.61
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 895 37.0% 28.5 71.73% -0.834 -0.5363 -0.635
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 634 38.57% 38.15 62.78% -0.281 -0.3644 0.157
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 874 31.84% 32.7 66.82% 0.149 0.0382 -0.0
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 46 36.96% 30.76 60.87% -0.171 -0.2892 0.486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 135 49.62% 23.86 70.37% 0.43 0.925 0.102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 44.9% 25.52 73.74% 0.29 0.2387 0.231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 100 37.0% 34.62 76.0% -0.006 -0.5162 -0.024
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 124 36.59% 30.44 75.81% -0.231 -0.3586 0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1042 43.34% 34.6 75.14% 0.062 0.0734 0.283
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 418 41.32% 30.22 76.56% 0.206 0.3413 0.527
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 572 38.31% 39.68 77.62% -0.365 -0.3162 0.72
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 187 27.42% 30.71 64.17% 0.167 -0.0485 0.758
Shifting Memory of Ages 724 27.15% 20.51 48.48% 0.339 0.6329 -0.677
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 109 38.89% 32.18 62.39% 0.169 0.0509 -0.197
Shroud of Silent Mist 471 46.85% 26.48 66.88% -0.598 -0.2702 -0.99
Starlight Seeks its Form 604 30.67% 30.44 60.6% 0.431 0.3317 0.382
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1030 36.16% 33.94 69.22% 0.502 -0.0281 0.201
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 666 35.56% 33.51 72.07% -0.29 -0.213 0.515
Thunderspeaker 712 41.67% 35.3 68.26% 0.341 0.3771 -0.215
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 82 30.86% 22.88 54.88% -0.216 -0.1578 -0.655
Towering Roots of the Jungle 108 35.19% 24.07 48.15% -0.461 -0.3117 -0.761
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 496 57.2% 29.67 63.91% -0.586 -0.4398 -0.378
Vital Strength of the Earth 505 34.0% 25.63 55.25% -0.379 0.1895 -0.539
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 183 33.52% 29.25 63.39% -0.909 -0.3877 -0.387
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 571 38.16% 28.23 72.33% -0.89 -0.1488 -0.234
Volcano Looming High 681 44.59% 31.71 70.78% 0.137 0.1514 0.147
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 515 33.14% 31.54 58.25% 0.407 0.1152 -0.117

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 97.58%
Lightning's Boon 93.22%
Raging Storm 84.89%
Shatter Homesteads 98.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5467 13.33 5.32%
II 10891 30.1 51.91%
III 15656 34.83 86.32%
IV 13658 38.67 99.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5485
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13586
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4066
Lose: Invader deck ran out 71
Lose: Adversary condition 2930
Win: Sacrifice victory 86
Lose: Scenario condition 491
Win: Scenario condition 272
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4854
Lose: Spirit destroyed 164

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.529 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.164 Win Model: 0.113
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 28990 44.87% 38.59 73.52%
2 9709 43.21% 35.39 72.59%
3 4045 37.07% 32.76 68.95%
4 2236 32.99% 33.11 67.58%
5 132 37.98% 30.83 69.7%
6 560 26.26% 25.19 61.07%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)