Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 151 30.0% 26.44 65.56% 0.41 0.5678 0.013
Blitz 0 3994 41.46% 30.08 62.22% -0.029 0.2328 -0.206
Dahan Insurrection 4 5882 33.3% 52.0 58.33% -0.141 -0.3668 0.069
Despicable Theft 2 331 46.83% 25.0 48.94% -0.705 0.1045 -1.378
Elemental Invocation 1 531 57.06% 27.94 53.67% 0.193 0.8897 -1.447
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14531 9.21% 48.2 70.61% 0.98 0.3424 0.57
Powers Long Forgotten 1 771 50.13% 30.89 54.6% -0.364 0.5772 -0.925
Rituals of Terror 3 907 57.75% 27.48 38.59% -0.507 -0.4377 -1.466
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 452 74.06% 29.37 37.83% -0.563 0.3204 -1.784
Second Wave 0 9236 42.21% 29.25 76.39% 0.362 0.5504 0.054
The Great River 3 533 31.58% 28.31 47.65% -1.03 0.0295 -2.016
Varied Terrains 2 261 47.89% 24.69 48.66% -0.389 0.3509 -1.299
Ward the Shores 2 4332 55.12% 27.69 54.52% -0.864 0.392 -1.147

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 147714 61.92% 29.17 62.5% -0.573 -0.2607 -0.886
1 Thematic 7183 55.02% 38.73 52.9% -0.371 0.1915 -1.238
2 Archipelago 412 49.02% 30.15 57.77% -1.283 -0.4568 -2.049
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 66043 45.64% 31.13 70.37% -0.304 -0.1756 -0.695
2 Coastline 12468 46.29% 30.23 69.04% 0.171 0.042 -0.773
2 Fragment 1852 52.6% 27.11 68.14% 0.493 0.2886 -0.24
2 Heart 1116 50.72% 25.14 65.5% -0.881 -1.2938 -1.214
2 Opposite Shores 20801 42.63% 30.11 71.35% -0.196 -0.1154 -1.369
2 Thematic 6575 37.56% 41.94 63.53% -0.454 -0.0998 -0.799
2 Top to Top 4141 45.31% 31.37 69.5% -0.092 -0.2127 -0.872
3 Archipelago 281 32.38% 32.67 73.31% 0.118 -0.8921 -1.66
3 Coastline 437 37.35% 32.45 70.25% 0.874 0.1897 -0.495
3 Other 1805 41.38% 32.97 77.23% 0.193 -0.4444 -0.348
3 Round (Default) 44277 36.44% 34.08 73.99% 0.003 -0.069 -1.224
3 Sunrise 234 41.3% 41.73 77.35% 0.768 0.5329 -0.228
3 Thematic 1779 33.67% 36.52 71.5% -0.925 -0.9676 -1.267
4 Archipelago 205 27.5% 35.1 75.12% 0.019 -0.2928 -1.586
4 Coastline 288 17.67% 40.91 72.57% -0.73 -0.689 -0.563
4 Leaf 199 37.17% 30.48 70.85% 0.485 0.2706 -1.792
4 Other 1322 33.18% 29.14 68.84% -0.505 -1.2437 -0.218
4 Reverse Snake 10 0.0% 22.8 70.0% 0.0 -0.7039 0.0
4 Snake 11 22.22% 28.82 72.73% -0.34 -0.0806 -0.508
4 Thematic 7405 28.14% 50.96 71.3% -0.453 -0.6746 -1.061
4 Trapezoid (Default) 31339 31.49% 34.26 73.16% -0.106 -0.2666 -1.509
5 Archipelago 73 45.83% 36.99 60.27% -0.931 -0.5024 -2.053
5 Coastline 160 7.64% 53.77 81.88% -0.191 -0.8958 -1.214
5 Other 1232 33.73% 34.34 78.0% 0.091 -0.6818 -0.832
5 Thematic 197 27.92% 52.17 72.59% 0.321 0.0446 0.176
6 Archipelago 440 5.63% 62.58 79.55% 0.439 -0.3837 -1.399
6 Coastline 175 6.16% 43.27 78.86% 0.392 -0.194 -1.553
6 Other 998 17.11% 33.17 64.83% -0.548 -0.7622 -1.972
6 Star 220 27.4% 29.43 62.27% -0.322 -0.1933 -2.392
6 Thematic 1603 16.67% 35.35 52.4% -1.403 -1.3384 -1.646
6 Two Centers (Default) 1517 22.52% 25.81 65.46% -0.604 -0.1052 -2.093
7 Archipelago 30 31.03% 28.37 56.67% 0.0 -0.2307 -0.638
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.141
7 Other 35 33.33% 23.94 45.71% 0.202 -0.316 -1.569

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11290 33.51 56.64% 0.262 0.377 -0.429
Aid From Lesser Spirits 9787 36.21 60.88% 0.573 0.4978 -0.219
All Things Weaken 4867 28.95 45.47% -0.322 -0.0468 -0.692
Attenuated Essence 901 28.98 48.72% 0.537 0.5032 -0.802
Back Against the Wall 8529 31.59 52.88% 0.533 0.5775 -0.672
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 871 28.44 49.83% 0.084 0.2517 -0.721
Burn Brightest Before the End 667 29.48 45.43% 0.001 0.0023 -0.823
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10918 30.67 53.76% 0.258 0.4944 -0.62
Downward Spiral 33627 27.17 61.8% 0.673 0.7663 -0.378
Erosion of Will 11204 32.54 54.88% 0.345 0.557 -0.558
Intensifying Exploitation 940 26.81 45.64% 0.663 0.8731 -0.899
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2053 35.98 76.81% 1.041 0.466 0.047
Memory Fades to Dust 33266 26.33 56.81% 0.436 0.6462 -0.536
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4817 28.93 51.63% -0.031 0.191 -0.751
Promising Farmlands 11254 31.21 54.46% 0.319 0.5594 -0.676
Shattered Fragments of Power 703 31.73 50.92% 0.306 0.3271 -0.314
Slow Dissolution of Will 902 26.16 39.36% -0.074 0.2254 -1.109
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1312 37.05 78.73% 1.224 0.5513 0.348
The Border of Life and Death 241 29.34 59.75% 0.397 -0.1589 -0.559
Thriving Communities 4999 29.58 52.01% 0.182 0.393 -0.617
Thriving Crops 450 30.62 59.33% 0.431 0.1352 -0.523
Tipping Point 4263 33.61 58.57% 0.0 0.6528 -0.389
Unnatural Proliferation 5267 31.77 54.22% 0.568 0.7308 -0.508
Untended Land Crumbles 5060 28.77 49.58% 0.085 0.2848 -0.699

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 116429 43.29% 30.74 69.89% -0.622 0.3473 -0.34
B 118550 43.14% 31.72 70.12% -0.644 0.2351 -0.106
C 118013 43.55% 31.72 70.46% -0.503 0.1894 -0.195
D 138971 44.25% 31.38 69.38% -0.45 0.4653 -0.426
E 34248 41.92% 31.99 67.34% -0.388 0.3712 -0.592
F 46624 43.0% 33.13 69.6% -0.316 0.5273 -0.301
G 44486 43.0% 33.81 70.23% -0.524 0.2834 -0.252
H 46337 42.39% 33.81 70.02% -0.401 0.4163 -0.288
East 20335 35.38% 43.88 63.77% -0.065 0.8229 -0.773
Northeast 14726 31.99% 45.61 65.27% -0.367 0.425 -0.714
Northwest 12524 29.86% 46.59 66.58% -0.358 0.4693 -0.594
Southeast 3946 32.31% 36.31 56.64% -0.481 0.3772 -1.9
Southwest 3571 29.47% 35.84 59.0% -1.253 0.0466 -1.095
West 18279 34.12% 44.26 65.32% -0.291 0.7508 -0.837

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 19804 0.0% 16.65 60.25% -0.562 0.14 -0.953
Not Using Events or Tokens 88094 51.04% 23.54 65.28% -0.137 0.253 -0.106
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10605 16.91% 38.67 84.63% 0.404 -0.2957 0.538
Start of Game Growth 17062 18.58% 37.87 83.44% 0.563 0.0557 0.426
Unlimited Undo 33418 38.15% 33.44 74.14% 0.077 -0.0105 0.281
Using Tokens but Not Events 32871 41.1% 30.65 70.84% -0.137 -0.1611 0.006

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 34107 28.47% 36.37 74.39% 0.127 0.0448 0.194
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 697 20.8% 28.14 50.36% 0.704 0.1919 0.368
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 25974 48.8% 29.23 66.19% -0.108 0.0705 -0.459
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1794 35.58% 34.63 58.03% 0.876 -0.0149 -0.014
Dances Up Earthquakes 91 42.86% 29.08 41.76% -0.099 -0.1673 -0.807
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5005 33.2% 30.59 72.47% -0.04 -0.2437 -0.248
Downpour Drenches the World 2531 27.83% 28.63 55.47% -0.317 -0.0387 -0.156
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1860 34.3% 28.16 58.49% 0.33 -0.245 -0.399
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9547 27.11% 32.34 74.79% -0.115 -0.5441 -0.167
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7186 33.06% 36.89 75.81% 0.325 -0.1371 0.122
Finder of Paths Unseen 2616 31.6% 23.02 50.38% -0.849 -0.1518 -0.717
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1988 32.07% 35.7 63.38% -0.433 0.1827 -0.105
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1884 38.81% 31.0 61.36% 0.388 0.2707 -0.18
Heart of the Wildfire 11314 48.25% 34.56 69.31% -0.472 -0.1375 0.221
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20637 35.81% 38.53 76.46% 0.18 -0.2139 0.293
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 568 25.84% 26.46 59.15% 0.074 -0.2383 -0.957
Lightning's Swift Strike 23232 35.17% 33.39 73.14% 0.105 0.3274 0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1228 25.62% 43.62 66.29% 0.487 0.1503 -0.427
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1039 38.31% 35.81 67.95% 0.367 0.0369 0.619
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4829 26.66% 46.16 75.01% 0.689 0.7034 0.79
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 11396 37.07% 31.49 69.57% 0.051 -0.1463 -0.291
Many Minds Move as One 3270 36.36% 34.06 73.58% 0.345 0.1575 0.255
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6125 31.93% 38.93 77.89% 0.206 0.1105 0.667
River Surges in Sunlight 60299 35.35% 35.9 73.92% -0.109 -0.0731 0.33
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 233 40.69% 27.43 59.66% 0.782 1.0315 -0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 6751 36.6% 30.87 65.32% -0.031 0.1589 -0.563
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 3511 36.57% 32.67 55.17% -0.065 -0.2611 -0.579
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 18358 31.76% 37.51 71.63% -0.054 -0.2193 0.157
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 67 23.88% 26.3 53.73% -0.065 -0.334 -0.146
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10121 42.71% 30.94 72.92% -0.326 0.2469 0.343
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 270 25.48% 33.71 69.26% -0.414 -0.4868 1.076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 437 34.63% 37.28 66.59% 0.307 -0.1735 0.355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 441 30.3% 38.69 72.34% 0.444 0.4288 0.807
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 685 45.88% 31.33 70.22% -1.294 -1.382 -0.328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 677 36.94% 30.9 72.97% -0.228 -0.0203 0.207
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10022 35.58% 38.6 77.35% -0.122 -0.0627 0.788
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 720 28.59% 37.83 64.17% 0.035 -0.0989 0.339
Shifting Memory of Ages 2059 38.38% 29.62 63.33% -0.271 0.0385 -0.204
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 600 25.42% 23.36 41.5% -1.252 -1.2455 -0.467
Shroud of Silent Mist 2223 45.11% 27.36 63.7% -0.42 -0.0854 -0.285
Starlight Seeks its Form 2888 32.95% 31.04 65.2% 0.15 0.0676 0.164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4916 40.56% 33.04 68.08% 0.176 -0.3099 -0.151
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 13569 32.9% 36.35 77.55% 0.228 0.4293 0.425
Thunderspeaker 19741 34.19% 34.01 72.11% -0.345 -0.2945 -0.124
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 393 35.38% 29.5 48.6% -0.261 -0.114 0.009
Towering Roots of the Jungle 487 39.18% 31.93 58.52% 0.174 0.2923 -0.004
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2736 58.47% 31.95 64.11% -0.254 -0.2089 0.094
Vital Strength of the Earth 13769 30.75% 30.07 71.99% -0.389 0.2045 0.508
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 786 22.06% 27.03 49.11% 0.294 0.7743 -0.651
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 604 37.1% 28.34 63.08% -0.538 0.0898 -0.939
Volcano Looming High 3624 44.31% 32.81 66.53% -0.175 -0.1206 -0.031
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2205 32.08% 33.85 66.89% 1.231 0.876 0.129

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.78%
Grasping Tide 92.65%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 77.6%
Tidal Boon 78.69%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 60279 13.65 7.95%
II 103121 30.17 56.34%
III 129391 34.82 85.87%
IV 72178 38.64 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 107091
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53819
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 71064
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 35163
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1893
Lose: Adversary condition 21441
Win: Sacrifice victory 1752
Lose: Scenario condition 4231
Win: Scenario condition 7314
Lose: Blight pool ran out 55036
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1377

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.646 Win Model: -0.064

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.331 Win Model: 0.083
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 156476 61.61% 29.69 62.12%
2 113051 44.64% 31.33 69.92%
3 48427 36.37% 34.19 74.09%
4 40835 30.77% 37.23 72.74%
5 1200 28.35% 33.34 72.17%
6 4980 17.64% 34.59 62.71%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-19 03:08:32 (Pacific Time)