Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 38.57% 23.11 70.42% 0.138 -0.1174 -0.618
Blitz 0 2879 46.08% 32.21 68.43% 0.577 0.7742 -0.611
Dahan Insurrection 4 4723 35.38% 56.88 63.58% -0.331 -0.7736 -0.172
Despicable Theft 2 186 56.45% 29.25 58.6% -1.289 -0.4765 -0.607
Elemental Invocation 1 349 58.74% 31.7 59.6% -0.55 0.1529 -1.291
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11456 9.45% 50.44 74.81% 0.874 0.2291 0.271
Powers Long Forgotten 1 594 54.5% 36.01 63.3% 0.091 0.7264 -0.867
Rituals of Terror 3 668 67.27% 32.99 44.61% -1.295 -1.1936 -1.13
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 362 80.11% 32.71 40.61% -1.026 -0.0168 -1.944
Second Wave 0 7322 43.42% 29.66 78.24% 0.435 0.5009 -0.227
The Great River 3 363 36.19% 34.22 57.85% -1.435 -0.2172 -2.062
Varied Terrains 2 97 53.61% 28.36 50.52% -0.598 0.025 -1.513
Ward the Shores 2 3286 58.11% 31.17 61.59% -0.563 0.5211 -0.937

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 112056 64.41% 32.05 68.42% -0.184 -0.1297 -0.622
1 Thematic 6119 57.29% 40.59 53.65% -0.595 -0.1172 -1.155
2 Archipelago 267 49.81% 32.5 61.8% -0.398 -0.2939 -2.129
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 50525 47.59% 34.03 76.83% -0.181 -0.0992 -0.295
2 Coastline 9250 48.76% 32.71 75.65% -0.159 -0.3128 -0.516
2 Fragment 1399 54.38% 29.52 73.27% -0.078 -0.3275 -0.058
2 Heart 764 56.2% 28.08 74.08% -0.074 -0.361 -0.683
2 Opposite Shores 15503 44.35% 32.26 76.89% -0.034 -0.011 -1.11
2 Thematic 5039 39.65% 44.98 68.23% -0.268 0.1357 -0.735
2 Top to Top 3048 48.29% 34.86 76.61% -0.261 -0.4275 -0.424
3 Archipelago 174 34.48% 37.84 85.63% 0.053 -1.4959 -1.162
3 Coastline 325 38.41% 36.07 75.38% 0.027 -0.4868 0.004
3 Other 1518 42.13% 35.69 81.16% 0.473 1.0138 0.044
3 Round (Default) 32939 37.12% 36.57 79.78% 0.098 -0.0178 -0.758
3 Sunrise 200 40.91% 44.38 79.0% -0.871 -0.5913 0.126
3 Thematic 1364 34.6% 39.02 75.07% -0.472 -0.3919 -0.973
4 Archipelago 120 30.77% 37.83 83.33% -0.578 -1.2522 -1.594
4 Coastline 228 17.41% 47.11 82.02% -0.825 -0.5938 0.405
4 Leaf 146 37.06% 33.95 75.34% -0.191 -0.5345 -1.495
4 Other 961 37.49% 34.43 81.06% 0.394 -0.6903 -0.134
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 33.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 5 20.0% 28.2 100.0% 0.0 -0.3465 0.0
4 Thematic 6620 28.03% 53.8 74.89% -0.496 -0.7581 -0.456
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23991 33.01% 38.23 80.39% -0.248 -0.3309 -0.789
5 Archipelago 48 41.67% 44.19 81.25% -0.246 -1.1623 -0.722
5 Coastline 109 5.66% 59.87 89.91% -0.083 -0.7349 -0.583
5 Other 693 34.0% 40.19 85.43% -0.114 -0.3989 -0.078
5 Thematic 134 26.87% 59.34 83.58% -0.458 -0.552 0.754
6 Archipelago 77 26.56% 42.45 81.82% -0.818 -0.6665 -0.871
6 Coastline 83 9.26% 41.35 90.36% -0.015 -0.8156 -0.532
6 Other 448 16.08% 39.93 79.69% -0.798 -1.0314 -1.093
6 Star 105 35.58% 37.09 66.67% -0.756 -0.7686 -1.28
6 Thematic 642 17.5% 39.2 64.8% -2.248 -1.8279 -1.016
6 Two Centers (Default) 665 21.73% 31.66 78.65% -0.955 -0.8505 -1.632
7 Archipelago 16 43.75% 37.31 81.25% -0.55 -0.5688 -0.584
7 Other 18 56.25% 33.56 61.11% 0.074 -0.5385 -0.694

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9712 34.24 58.0% 0.012 0.2541 -0.966
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8427 36.72 61.69% -0.013 -0.0909 -0.795
All Things Weaken 3526 30.5 48.24% -0.576 -0.1837 -1.16
Attenuated Essence 112 30.34 49.11% 0.183 0.2893 -1.049
Back Against the Wall 7301 32.12 53.34% 0.056 0.1134 -1.261
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 124 26.27 53.23% 0.387 0.5891 -1.265
Burn Brightest Before the End 104 30.83 53.85% 0.18 0.3903 -0.647
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9280 31.75 55.46% 0.194 0.6175 -1.158
Downward Spiral 26788 28.66 64.29% 0.123 0.3587 -0.943
Erosion of Will 9630 33.36 56.04% -0.16 0.1488 -1.091
Intensifying Exploitation 132 21.61 40.91% -0.237 0.0501 -1.877
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1497 37.8 80.49% 0.42 -0.0741 -0.42
Memory Fades to Dust 26508 27.75 59.25% -0.105 0.231 -1.122
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3575 30.22 53.99% -0.092 0.1282 -1.246
Promising Farmlands 9609 32.15 56.12% 0.003 0.4565 -1.188
Shattered Fragments of Power 105 31.97 55.24% 0.512 0.5636 -0.767
Slow Dissolution of Will 113 27.16 43.36% -0.075 0.3247 -1.484
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 941 39.26 82.68% 0.53 -0.1807 -0.047
The Border of Life and Death 35 29.91 54.29% 0.36 0.0241 -1.313
Thriving Communities 3649 31.08 54.34% -0.067 0.2963 -1.07
Thriving Crops 65 32.22 61.54% 0.746 0.5479 -0.432
Tipping Point 4261 33.63 58.6% 0.0 0.0 -0.981
Unnatural Proliferation 3881 32.87 56.09% -0.034 0.1814 -1.04
Untended Land Crumbles 3711 29.93 51.41% -0.024 0.2576 -1.197

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 87837 45.47% 33.66 76.24% -0.988 -0.2483 0.025
B 90382 45.25% 34.69 76.59% -0.96 -0.2343 0.317
C 90056 45.74% 34.54 76.61% -1.05 -0.4675 0.157
D 105778 46.51% 34.23 75.64% -0.952 -0.2407 -0.061
E 21846 44.33% 36.09 75.45% -0.865 -0.2995 -0.148
F 33569 44.89% 36.6 76.27% -0.969 -0.2988 -0.001
G 31706 45.22% 36.93 76.78% -0.838 -0.1863 0.098
H 32468 44.51% 36.66 76.56% -0.783 -0.2121 0.056
East 16139 37.08% 47.37 68.06% -0.463 0.076 -0.569
Northeast 11680 33.9% 49.26 70.1% -0.67 -0.0351 -0.496
Northwest 10155 31.19% 50.17 71.4% -0.895 -0.0863 -0.345
Southeast 2450 38.17% 39.9 63.14% -1.132 -0.426 -1.663
Southwest 2140 34.41% 39.48 67.62% -0.215 0.7753 -0.561
West 14692 35.31% 47.75 69.73% -0.781 0.1231 -0.554

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14123 0.0% 19.27 69.19% -0.649 0.1269 -0.923
Not Using Events or Tokens 62137 54.24% 27.03 74.03% 0.052 0.4306 0.145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8553 16.84% 40.47 88.62% 0.234 -0.3833 0.159
Start of Game Growth 13543 19.32% 39.85 87.97% 0.36 0.0112 0.318
Unlimited Undo 25203 40.81% 36.63 80.81% 0.291 0.2842 0.594
Using Tokens but Not Events 24173 44.59% 32.64 76.62% -0.039 -0.0498 0.078

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26530 100.0% 39.74 100.0% 0.062 -0.0855 0.169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 20134 100.0% 32.23 100.0% -0.498 -0.3669 -0.502
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3850 100.0% 33.35 100.0% -0.018 -0.1625 -0.418
Downpour Drenches the World 1001 100.0% 36.23 100.0% -0.16 0.0196 -0.26
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 491 100.0% 31.76 100.0% 0.347 -0.4182 -0.473
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6836 100.0% 36.56 100.0% 0.643 0.0544 0.279
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5272 100.0% 36.51 100.0% 0.78 0.2833 -0.139
Finder of Paths Unseen 945 100.0% 32.41 100.0% -0.385 0.279 -0.506
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1263 100.0% 41.84 100.0% -0.179 0.4073 0.048
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 906 100.0% 38.34 100.0% 0.041 -0.0538 0.027
Heart of the Wildfire 9471 100.0% 37.29 100.0% -0.226 0.0156 0.4
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17260 100.0% 40.08 100.0% 0.27 -0.1722 0.432
Lightning's Swift Strike 18272 114.86% 37.12 104.65% 0.145 0.3276 0.365
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 386 37.8% 37.95 67.62% 0.244 -0.243 -0.522
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 745 41.27% 40.36 75.03% -0.384 -0.5521 0.388
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3001 30.17% 51.28 82.07% 0.391 0.2779 0.751
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7329 100.0% 35.55 100.0% -0.054 -0.1858 -0.28
Many Minds Move as One 2295 100.0% 37.55 100.0% 0.425 0.2037 0.274
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4676 100.0% 39.77 100.0% 0.06 -0.1177 0.476
River Surges in Sunlight 48586 106.75% 38.67 102.93% 0.228 0.2981 0.294
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 4217 38.41% 35.54 74.53% -0.114 0.1966 -0.555
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1166 37.87% 42.42 70.07% 0.135 0.0217 -0.117
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 14641 100.0% 40.68 100.0% 0.259 0.0215 0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8210 110.13% 34.01 103.64% -0.292 0.2379 0.473
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 113 20.18% 45.07 82.3% 0.793 0.7176 1.098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 221 29.22% 41.15 79.64% 0.705 0.5992 0.829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 513 44.99% 34.02 76.02% -0.714 -0.7319 -0.326
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 516 38.34% 34.41 78.49% -0.703 -0.5263 0.301
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8677 101.0% 40.5 100.55% -0.144 -0.3343 0.788
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 124 29.84% 28.96 61.29% 0.379 -0.002 -1.325
Shifting Memory of Ages 1145 100.0% 34.5 100.0% -0.067 0.2863 -0.192
Shroud of Silent Mist 1318 100.0% 32.47 100.0% -0.589 -0.3391 -0.083
Starlight Seeks its Form 1376 100.0% 35.88 100.0% -0.132 -0.3933 -0.075
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3656 100.0% 35.84 100.0% 0.133 -0.344 -0.453
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 10528 100.0% 38.93 100.0% 0.377 0.4402 0.397
Thunderspeaker 15516 100.29% 37.44 100.26% 0.059 0.0252 -0.004
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 68 30.77% 21.68 41.18% -0.266 -0.305 -1.273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2020 100.0% 34.95 100.0% -0.567 -0.4743 0.077
Vital Strength of the Earth 10786 103.55% 33.44 101.9% -0.046 0.479 0.471
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 245 27.07% 38.38 68.98% -0.103 0.1576 0.482
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 374 41.35% 31.2 65.51% -0.587 0.1894 -1.217
Volcano Looming High 2250 100.0% 35.68 100.0% -0.121 -0.1643 -0.24

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.47%
Grasping Tide 92.22%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 75.98%
Tidal Boon 77.64%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29481 20.4 13.97%
II 82027 31.01 58.83%
III 104966 34.76 86.58%
IV 59285 38.07 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4116
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 87332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44420
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 58328
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4411
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1555
Lose: Adversary condition 17800
Win: Sacrifice victory 1498
Lose: Scenario condition 3615
Win: Scenario condition 6552
Lose: Blight pool ran out 44992
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1140

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.59 Win Model: -0.085

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.307 Win Model: 0.159
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 119171 64.06% 32.56 67.7%
2 85603 46.66% 34.09 76.18%
3 36239 37.08% 36.69 79.68%
4 32164 31.88% 41.46 79.36%
5 554 24.37% 39.56 80.69%
6 2028 19.89% 37.26 74.7%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)