Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 206 29.27% 25.9 65.05% -0.571 -0.2012 -0.269
Blitz 0 4360 40.97% 29.29 61.4% 0.263 0.695 0.171
Dahan Insurrection 4 6394 32.27% 50.96 57.6% 0.042 0.0158 0.636
Despicable Theft 2 375 47.2% 24.33 46.93% -1.197 -0.5376 0.385
Elemental Invocation 1 612 55.39% 26.61 51.47% -0.308 0.1397 -0.825
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 16209 9.38% 47.81 69.04% 0.423 -0.1762 0.696
Powers Long Forgotten 1 846 49.58% 29.73 52.72% -0.238 0.3705 -0.282
Rituals of Terror 3 1003 56.65% 26.38 37.29% -0.536 -0.4118 -1.044
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 478 73.17% 28.58 36.82% -0.349 0.3891 -0.67
Second Wave 0 9827 42.39% 29.08 75.73% 0.181 0.2875 0.38
The Great River 3 603 30.9% 27.15 45.61% -1.21 -0.035 -0.561
Varied Terrains 2 308 49.19% 25.22 48.05% -0.626 0.1109 0.238
Ward the Shores 2 4688 54.56% 27.14 53.65% 0.081 0.7629 -0.989

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 163375 61.04% 28.28 60.83% -0.421 -0.1962 -0.219
1 Thematic 7632 54.27% 38.21 52.33% -0.513 0.0373 0.185
2 Archipelago 457 48.57% 28.93 55.58% -0.52 -0.8738 -1.135
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 72470 45.38% 30.21 68.39% -0.284 -0.1732 -0.411
2 Coastline 13888 45.74% 29.59 67.32% -0.387 -0.4763 -0.059
2 Fragment 2039 52.58% 26.79 67.39% 0.632 0.2931 0.973
2 Heart 1259 50.26% 24.77 64.18% 0.663 0.3354 -0.653
2 Opposite Shores 23074 42.22% 29.32 69.5% -0.374 -0.3374 -0.583
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 7282 36.36% 41.38 62.0% 0.021 0.5493 -0.238
2 Top to Top 4609 45.1% 30.28 67.39% -0.082 -0.2884 -0.491
3 Archipelago 321 32.5% 32.62 72.59% -0.955 -0.8546 0.092
3 Coastline 487 36.65% 31.08 67.56% -0.219 -0.7406 0.291
3 Other 1934 40.95% 32.0 75.44% -0.067 -0.8088 -0.851
3 Round (Default) 49252 36.04% 33.27 72.32% 0.004 -0.0919 -0.821
3 Sunrise 244 41.67% 40.99 77.05% 0.208 -0.5319 0.102
3 Thematic 1907 33.74% 35.54 69.11% -0.779 -0.5368 -1.464
4 Archipelago 222 26.85% 34.24 73.42% 0.061 0.1418 -0.468
4 Coastline 297 17.47% 40.22 72.05% -0.351 -0.0912 0.0
4 Leaf 214 37.38% 29.91 71.03% -0.086 -0.6406 0.517
4 Other 1402 33.23% 28.37 67.4% 0.108 -0.4395 0.702
4 Reverse Snake 10 0.0% 22.8 70.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 11 22.22% 28.82 72.73% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 7982 27.88% 49.36 68.63% -0.06 0.4134 -0.648
4 Trapezoid (Default) 34568 30.74% 33.18 71.55% 0.085 -0.1039 -1.119
5 Archipelago 74 45.21% 36.49 59.46% 0.0 1.4461 0.173
5 Coastline 164 7.45% 53.25 81.1% 0.0 -0.6104 -0.328
5 Other 1450 33.91% 33.72 76.69% -0.365 -0.6913 0.518
5 Thematic 217 30.88% 50.58 71.43% 0.575 0.0842 -0.237
6 Archipelago 643 4.93% 65.49 81.34% 0.977 0.0522 -0.243
6 Coastline 183 6.49% 42.86 78.14% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 1126 17.58% 32.43 63.68% -0.247 0.0227 -1.007
6 Star 247 27.24% 28.71 60.32% 0.0 0.7961 -0.656
6 Thematic 1832 16.88% 35.67 52.78% -0.851 -0.2706 -0.551
6 Two Centers (Default) 1837 24.03% 24.77 61.79% 0.008 -0.0147 -0.8
7 Archipelago 32 29.03% 26.59 53.13% 0.0 0.4064 -0.434
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 42 27.5% 19.95 38.1% -0.066 -0.321 -0.622

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11974 33.22 56.11% 0.165 0.4761 0.017
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10330 35.95 60.4% 0.164 0.1775 0.337
All Things Weaken 5411 28.68 45.2% -0.371 0.1027 0.087
Attenuated Essence 1183 28.53 48.35% -0.148 -0.0016 0.292
Back Against the Wall 9078 31.48 52.92% 0.178 0.3078 0.19
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1134 28.48 49.12% 0.294 0.6145 0.121
Burn Brightest Before the End 880 29.36 46.82% 0.157 0.334 0.175
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11631 30.25 53.07% 0.18 0.5602 0.022
Downward Spiral 36766 26.73 61.05% 0.204 0.3969 0.441
Erosion of Will 11863 32.19 54.25% -0.231 0.1064 0.008
Intensifying Exploitation 1211 26.56 45.5% 0.876 1.2286 -0.187
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2282 35.32 75.68% 0.852 0.4888 0.393
Memory Fades to Dust 36543 25.82 56.07% 0.037 0.3664 0.017
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5335 28.65 51.0% 0.138 0.4042 0.011
Promising Farmlands 11934 31.0 53.99% 0.014 0.4611 0.069
Shattered Fragments of Power 932 31.39 50.64% 1.019 1.0191 0.43
Slow Dissolution of Will 1173 26.49 39.73% -0.061 0.3497 -0.159
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1443 36.63 77.89% 0.736 0.1778 0.784
The Border of Life and Death 297 29.19 58.59% -0.136 -0.3816 0.054
Thriving Communities 5568 29.05 51.26% -0.04 0.2372 -0.176
Thriving Crops 561 30.58 58.47% -0.395 -0.4908 0.299
Tipping Point 4264 33.61 58.56% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 5808 31.53 53.7% 0.144 0.3487 0.412
Untended Land Crumbles 5554 28.57 49.42% -0.44 -0.1405 0.241

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 128694 42.53% 29.85 68.09% 0.219 1.2102 0.036
B 130546 42.55% 30.79 68.33% 0.044 0.9095 -0.055
C 130337 42.88% 30.82 68.62% 0.035 0.7873 0.137
D 153164 43.49% 30.5 67.59% -0.071 0.8738 -0.074
E 39162 41.47% 31.11 65.68% -0.039 0.7159 0.029
F 51891 42.76% 32.21 67.93% -0.006 0.8686 0.027
G 49648 42.58% 33.15 68.88% 0.366 1.2283 0.192
H 51955 42.19% 33.33 68.67% 0.5 1.3068 0.924
East 22168 34.75% 42.89 62.02% -0.432 0.314 -0.092
Northeast 16129 31.48% 44.4 63.21% -0.069 0.8247 -0.053
Northwest 13620 29.49% 45.48 64.71% -0.16 0.5831 0.238
Southeast 4383 31.63% 36.13 56.1% -0.258 0.7506 -1.309
Southwest 3995 29.2% 35.73 58.32% 0.309 1.4656 -0.593
West 19816 33.68% 43.34 63.65% -0.417 0.5652 -0.044

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 22440 0.0% 16.03 58.11% -0.807 -0.0869 -0.075
Not Using Events or Tokens 100696 50.12% 22.63 62.96% -0.094 0.3802 -0.188
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11354 17.02% 38.12 83.12% 0.728 -0.0766 0.697
Start of Game Growth 18276 18.55% 37.42 82.21% 0.248 -0.3187 -0.306
Unlimited Undo 36643 37.63% 32.54 72.66% 0.529 0.5563 0.208
Using Tokens but Not Events 36991 40.08% 30.07 69.29% 0.174 0.1463 0.318

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 37668 27.88% 35.24 72.58% 0.087 -0.3308 -0.522
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 986 25.79% 28.77 47.87% 0.472 -0.1838 -0.267
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 26 30.77% 38.23 69.23% -0.736 -0.8938 0.502
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 288 23.26% 34.07 65.97% 0.501 -0.3588 0.471
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 28412 47.99% 28.32 64.38% -0.532 -0.3942 -0.456
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2344 35.09% 35.39 59.22% 0.413 -0.616 0.63
Dances Up Earthquakes 283 43.46% 28.7 49.12% -0.438 -0.4742 0.108
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5433 32.83% 29.98 71.14% 0.161 -0.1935 0.309
Downpour Drenches the World 2975 28.13% 28.37 55.63% -0.413 -0.289 0.43
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2195 33.81% 28.76 59.95% 0.124 -0.4468 0.329
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10673 26.99% 31.68 73.63% 0.781 0.1353 -0.31
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7963 32.33% 36.97 74.77% -0.224 -0.7178 0.338
Finder of Paths Unseen 3198 30.17% 22.07 49.62% -0.162 0.4267 -1.303
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2150 31.97% 34.94 62.56% 0.065 0.5112 -0.131
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2143 38.5% 30.59 60.66% 0.206 0.0207 -0.129
Heart of the Wildfire 12207 47.58% 33.73 67.57% -0.505 -0.3618 -0.42
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21836 35.69% 38.02 75.44% -0.159 -0.8329 0.326
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 856 21.34% 26.25 63.08% -0.014 -0.5417 -0.87
Lightning's Swift Strike 25893 34.31% 32.14 71.15% 0.138 0.1708 0.262
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1555 23.93% 46.82 68.49% 0.61 -0.0427 1.223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1131 38.86% 34.72 65.87% -1.108 -1.6037 -0.531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 5638 26.35% 44.85 73.31% 0.996 0.7569 0.689
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 13093 37.17% 30.65 67.42% 0.232 -0.1942 -0.144
Many Minds Move as One 3640 36.09% 33.14 71.98% 0.994 0.4848 -0.193
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6766 31.4% 38.95 76.88% 0.104 -0.1895 0.277
River Surges in Sunlight 66208 34.81% 34.84 71.97% -0.134 -0.3049 -0.207
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 324 40.94% 26.45 55.56% -0.43 -0.5408 -0.245
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 7662 36.99% 30.19 64.02% 0.337 0.2716 0.267
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 4281 36.96% 31.94 53.24% 0.471 0.341 -0.128
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 19699 31.43% 36.93 70.51% -0.067 -0.3308 0.125
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 196 27.55% 30.61 52.55% -0.017 -0.4471 -0.302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11017 41.84% 29.93 70.7% 0.033 0.4613 0.6
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 331 28.4% 31.94 67.98% -0.199 -0.1953 0.496
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 539 33.89% 39.91 68.09% 0.527 -0.2259 1.668
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 546 34.01% 36.05 67.4% 0.363 0.044 0.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 755 45.26% 30.5 68.87% -1.355 -1.5342 -0.352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 748 36.64% 30.28 71.79% 0.276 0.2331 -0.464
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10513 35.52% 37.9 76.15% -0.127 -0.4928 0.512
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 24 41.67% 30.92 70.83% 0.0 -0.5409 -0.009
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 942 27.32% 38.24 61.78% 0.259 0.0142 0.039
Shifting Memory of Ages 2270 38.97% 29.09 62.6% -0.768 -0.4735 0.198
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 783 26.89% 24.13 42.91% 0.374 0.2103 0.376
Shroud of Silent Mist 2476 44.4% 26.58 62.28% -0.208 -0.0257 0.044
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 27 48.15% 29.85 59.26% 0.701 0.2912 0.704
Starlight Seeks its Form 3399 32.42% 30.44 64.22% -0.055 -0.2973 0.056
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5292 40.26% 32.46 66.89% -0.196 -1.1477 -0.937
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 14685 32.86% 35.62 76.1% 0.321 0.3638 -0.052
Thunderspeaker 21741 33.88% 33.01 70.02% 0.021 -0.1745 0.165
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 457 35.46% 29.36 49.02% 0.342 0.1736 -0.523
Towering Roots of the Jungle 669 38.55% 31.21 59.94% -0.126 -0.2372 0.257
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2981 57.89% 31.34 63.0% 0.205 0.0544 0.14
Vital Strength of the Earth 15164 30.54% 28.78 69.24% -0.836 -0.4772 -1.154
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 883 23.99% 26.64 49.49% -0.587 -0.3432 -0.729
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 693 36.8% 27.13 61.04% -0.8 -0.1187 -0.992
Volcano Looming High 4154 43.47% 31.55 64.25% -0.13 -0.4543 -0.285
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2697 30.67% 32.76 66.63% 0.223 -0.2946 0.134

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.93%
Grasping Tide 92.74%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 78.24%
Tidal Boon 78.96%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 73315 12.25 7.0%
II 112604 29.91 55.67%
III 139653 34.94 85.64%
IV 77687 38.9 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 5127
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 115320
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 58184
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 76512
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 48254
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2039
Lose: Adversary condition 22944
Win: Sacrifice victory 1871
Lose: Scenario condition 4586
Win: Scenario condition 7717
Lose: Unique spirit condition 2
Lose: Blight pool ran out 59211
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1492

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.907 Win Model: -0.069

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.513 Win Model: 0.035
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 172826 60.75% 28.8 60.53%
2 124643 44.26% 30.49 68.03%
3 53727 35.99% 33.36 72.38%
4 44744 30.16% 36.01 70.98%
5 1416 29.49% 32.95 71.75%
6 5903 17.99% 34.93 61.85%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)