Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 156 29.68% 26.76 66.03% 0.443 0.6338 0.014
Blitz 0 4041 41.19% 29.95 62.16% 0.245 0.462 -0.179
Dahan Insurrection 4 5923 33.25% 51.83 58.13% -0.521 -0.7737 0.093
Despicable Theft 2 343 46.65% 24.38 47.52% -0.914 -0.3275 -1.375
Elemental Invocation 1 536 56.9% 27.74 53.54% 0.156 0.8956 -1.485
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14717 9.27% 48.17 70.41% 0.85 0.2885 0.582
Powers Long Forgotten 1 782 50.06% 30.66 54.35% -0.475 0.2846 -0.918
Rituals of Terror 3 920 57.8% 27.48 38.59% -0.634 -0.5138 -1.472
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 457 73.68% 29.34 38.07% -0.094 0.8131 -1.8
Second Wave 0 9312 42.27% 29.21 76.25% 0.179 0.3173 0.08
The Great River 3 540 31.54% 28.16 47.59% -1.154 -0.054 -2.043
Varied Terrains 2 267 47.94% 24.67 48.69% -0.439 0.3372 -1.297
Ward the Shores 2 4383 54.86% 27.63 54.48% -0.617 0.4577 -1.151

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 149847 61.79% 29.02 62.21% -0.561 -0.228 -0.898
1 Thematic 7242 55.01% 38.63 52.75% -0.318 0.3678 -1.238
2 Archipelago 416 49.03% 30.21 57.93% -0.951 -0.3438 -2.058
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 67044 45.68% 30.95 70.02% -0.371 -0.2512 -0.72
2 Coastline 12735 46.22% 30.17 68.7% 0.067 -0.0054 -0.785
2 Fragment 1875 52.49% 27.05 68.16% 0.351 0.1658 -0.276
2 Heart 1133 50.9% 25.03 65.31% -0.516 -0.6735 -1.235
2 Opposite Shores 21056 42.62% 29.98 71.1% -0.3 -0.1493 -1.378
2 Thematic 6652 37.44% 41.9 63.36% -0.095 0.4135 -0.785
2 Top to Top 4207 45.16% 31.15 69.1% -0.35 -0.4082 -0.91
3 Archipelago 283 32.27% 32.64 73.5% 0.319 -0.6332 -1.601
3 Coastline 445 37.67% 32.51 70.56% 0.974 0.5644 -0.455
3 Other 1820 41.29% 32.82 76.98% 0.057 -0.7147 -0.375
3 Round (Default) 45015 36.37% 33.97 73.76% -0.006 -0.0967 -1.242
3 Sunrise 235 41.56% 41.64 77.45% 0.551 0.4552 -0.24
3 Thematic 1799 33.58% 36.44 71.48% -0.374 -0.3538 -1.267
4 Archipelago 205 27.5% 35.1 75.12% 0.295 -0.2349 -1.598
4 Coastline 288 17.67% 40.91 72.57% -0.689 -0.7746 -0.547
4 Leaf 199 37.17% 30.48 70.85% 0.379 0.2177 -1.802
4 Other 1334 33.05% 29.07 68.67% -0.124 -0.8349 -0.225
4 Reverse Snake 10 0.0% 22.8 70.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 11 22.22% 28.82 72.73% -0.356 -0.7989 -0.514
4 Thematic 7514 28.25% 50.57 70.54% -0.695 -0.5719 -1.135
4 Trapezoid (Default) 31740 31.46% 34.1 72.9% -0.204 -0.2069 -1.527
5 Archipelago 73 45.83% 36.99 60.27% -0.26 -0.2905 -2.075
5 Coastline 160 7.64% 53.77 81.88% -0.316 -0.4621 -1.199
5 Other 1259 33.55% 34.17 77.36% -0.338 -0.8516 -0.88
5 Thematic 202 29.21% 51.33 71.78% -0.286 -0.3432 0.114
6 Archipelago 463 5.35% 62.9 79.48% 0.025 -1.0129 -1.498
6 Coastline 178 6.04% 43.5 79.21% 0.27 -0.6898 -1.502
6 Other 1016 17.31% 33.21 64.86% -0.485 -0.5889 -2.004
6 Star 220 27.4% 29.43 62.27% -0.376 -0.3895 -2.415
6 Thematic 1616 16.66% 35.34 52.48% -1.317 -1.031 -1.661
6 Two Centers (Default) 1548 22.52% 25.6 64.73% -1.122 -0.5892 -2.136
7 Archipelago 30 31.03% 28.37 56.67% 0.0 0.0647 -0.657
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.146
7 Other 35 33.33% 23.94 45.71% 0.192 -0.3664 -1.583

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11383 33.47 56.58% 0.172 0.423 -0.405
Aid From Lesser Spirits 9864 36.16 60.79% 0.364 0.3062 -0.198
All Things Weaken 4945 28.88 45.44% -0.216 0.1189 -0.667
Attenuated Essence 931 28.83 48.76% 0.447 0.4808 -0.792
Back Against the Wall 8599 31.56 52.84% 0.265 0.2999 -0.651
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 899 28.59 49.94% 0.278 0.4954 -0.695
Burn Brightest Before the End 691 29.62 45.59% 0.153 0.1639 -0.781
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11006 30.59 53.61% -0.132 0.2125 -0.606
Downward Spiral 34121 27.11 61.73% 0.667 0.7846 -0.347
Erosion of Will 11331 32.44 54.72% 0.04 0.3145 -0.536
Intensifying Exploitation 982 26.68 45.52% 0.437 0.6478 -0.862
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2082 35.83 76.56% 0.731 0.1586 0.069
Memory Fades to Dust 33792 26.23 56.65% 0.365 0.6178 -0.51
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4907 28.89 51.44% 0.108 0.3122 -0.716
Promising Farmlands 11360 31.19 54.41% 0.335 0.5894 -0.651
Shattered Fragments of Power 722 31.65 50.55% 0.018 0.0921 -0.321
Slow Dissolution of Will 936 26.14 39.42% -0.175 0.2059 -1.057
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1325 37.06 78.64% 1.126 0.4524 0.372
The Border of Life and Death 251 29.29 59.36% 0.051 -0.55 -0.512
Thriving Communities 5069 29.53 51.79% 0.106 0.3875 -0.598
Thriving Crops 464 30.73 59.27% 0.441 0.3012 -0.503
Tipping Point 4263 33.61 58.57% 0.0 0.3945 -0.36
Unnatural Proliferation 5331 31.74 54.1% 0.397 0.6011 -0.487
Untended Land Crumbles 5123 28.72 49.44% -0.008 0.1821 -0.674

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 118112 43.22% 30.59 69.59% -0.449 0.5487 -0.356
B 120249 43.09% 31.56 69.81% -0.423 0.4989 -0.132
C 119745 43.48% 31.58 70.17% -0.319 0.4103 -0.218
D 140952 44.18% 31.24 69.09% -0.27 0.6895 -0.45
E 34898 41.87% 31.86 67.12% -0.188 0.6308 -0.599
F 47374 42.96% 32.99 69.31% -0.225 0.657 -0.328
G 45176 42.96% 33.71 70.01% -0.15 0.6749 -0.268
H 47061 42.4% 33.72 69.83% -0.154 0.6847 -0.297
East 20593 35.39% 43.69 63.41% -0.052 0.8226 -0.8
Northeast 14927 32.06% 45.36 64.8% -0.752 -0.0003 -0.78
Northwest 12679 29.95% 46.33 66.09% -0.156 0.7365 -0.593
Southeast 3984 32.21% 36.27 56.68% -0.243 0.5957 -1.902
Southwest 3604 29.45% 35.8 59.02% -1.301 0.0039 -1.107
West 18481 34.13% 44.09 64.98% -0.128 0.8219 -0.862

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 20215 0.0% 16.5 59.84% -0.534 0.1947 -0.936
Not Using Events or Tokens 89985 51.0% 23.38 64.86% -0.147 0.199 -0.109
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10682 16.89% 38.53 84.38% -0.025 -0.6282 0.531
Start of Game Growth 17194 18.55% 37.77 83.29% 0.693 0.1895 0.442
Unlimited Undo 33798 38.12% 33.33 73.94% 0.105 -0.0019 0.281
Using Tokens but Not Events 33337 40.99% 30.52 70.6% -0.246 -0.2754 0.006

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 34519 28.45% 36.24 74.17% 0.116 0.0208 0.21
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 743 22.07% 28.74 49.93% 0.027 -0.4485 0.305
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 26422 48.81% 29.05 65.89% -0.096 0.0163 -0.462
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1893 35.62% 35.28 58.64% 1.023 0.2099 0.059
Dances Up Earthquakes 118 41.53% 28.05 42.37% -0.453 -0.4615 -0.893
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5043 33.11% 30.47 72.22% -0.345 -0.4846 -0.242
Downpour Drenches the World 2612 27.97% 28.64 55.86% -0.101 0.1269 -0.11
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1896 34.13% 28.29 58.91% 0.524 -0.0459 -0.389
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9670 27.09% 32.21 74.55% -0.142 -0.53 -0.152
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7284 32.92% 36.86 75.63% 0.103 -0.2906 0.141
Finder of Paths Unseen 2700 31.33% 22.9 50.41% -0.515 0.2132 -0.725
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2009 32.05% 35.59 63.32% -0.189 0.4521 -0.106
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1924 38.73% 31.01 61.54% 0.235 0.1015 -0.172
Heart of the Wildfire 11459 48.14% 34.53 69.15% -0.242 0.0873 0.23
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20775 35.8% 38.47 76.36% 0.147 -0.2768 0.307
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 603 25.5% 26.68 60.2% 0.566 0.2593 -0.934
Lightning's Swift Strike 23600 35.06% 33.13 72.68% -0.172 0.0658 0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1278 25.47% 44.12 66.74% 1.019 0.6117 -0.346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1058 38.19% 35.76 67.96% 0.452 0.1331 0.631
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4958 26.73% 45.86 74.71% 0.688 0.607 0.767
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 11607 37.24% 31.31 69.1% -0.24 -0.4324 -0.289
Many Minds Move as One 3333 36.5% 33.99 73.42% 0.271 0.0548 0.253
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6190 31.85% 38.91 77.77% 0.071 -0.0078 0.66
River Surges in Sunlight 61142 35.33% 35.71 73.56% -0.187 -0.0613 0.325
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 244 40.5% 27.25 59.84% 0.61 0.7882 -0.046
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 6853 36.73% 30.76 65.02% -0.179 0.1002 -0.553
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 3627 37.13% 32.52 54.76% -0.294 -0.4168 -0.569
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 18501 31.78% 37.46 71.56% 0.096 -0.031 0.191
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 89 23.6% 30.29 53.93% -0.083 -0.1958 -0.18
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10266 42.57% 30.74 72.51% -0.433 0.0827 0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 277 25.93% 33.64 69.31% -0.333 -0.3519 1.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 447 34.75% 37.61 67.34% 0.961 0.4582 0.385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 451 30.96% 38.25 72.06% -0.102 -0.2937 0.743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 703 46.63% 31.27 70.41% -0.134 -0.193 -0.327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 685 36.8% 30.71 72.55% -0.126 -0.0443 0.189
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10080 35.64% 38.5 77.14% -0.395 -0.3158 0.806
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 747 28.49% 37.87 63.59% -0.224 -0.4108 0.284
Shifting Memory of Ages 2080 38.33% 29.57 63.37% 0.007 0.2743 -0.2
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 635 26.07% 23.41 41.1% -1.083 -1.2017 -0.53
Shroud of Silent Mist 2269 45.0% 27.14 63.46% -0.389 -0.0384 -0.271
Starlight Seeks its Form 2946 32.82% 30.93 65.07% 0.172 0.0547 0.185
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4941 40.54% 33.01 68.0% 0.288 -0.225 -0.145
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 13732 32.8% 36.25 77.34% 0.276 0.3939 0.418
Thunderspeaker 20041 34.22% 33.8 71.62% -0.32 -0.2881 -0.17
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 399 35.1% 29.46 48.62% -0.058 -0.0447 0.033
Towering Roots of the Jungle 505 38.97% 31.96 59.41% 0.424 0.5539 0.012
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2759 58.38% 31.85 63.97% -0.475 -0.3483 0.107
Vital Strength of the Earth 13989 30.75% 29.84 71.36% -0.483 0.1165 0.438
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 796 22.29% 27.03 49.12% -0.145 0.3483 -0.631
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 614 37.15% 28.03 62.54% -0.925 -0.2268 -0.95
Volcano Looming High 3697 44.06% 32.59 66.27% 0.131 0.1784 -0.029
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2278 31.57% 33.68 66.9% 0.771 0.481 0.118

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.77%
Grasping Tide 92.67%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 77.7%
Tidal Boon 78.68%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 62112 13.42 7.78%
II 104375 30.13 56.17%
III 130810 34.83 85.81%
IV 73005 38.67 99.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4831
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 108206
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 54325
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 71884
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 37045
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1909
Lose: Adversary condition 21674
Win: Sacrifice victory 1762
Lose: Scenario condition 4275
Win: Scenario condition 7352
Lose: Blight pool ran out 55644
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1395

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.695 Win Model: -0.065

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.42 Win Model: 0.153
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 158691 61.5% 29.54 61.85%
2 114747 44.64% 31.18 69.6%
3 49215 36.31% 34.08 73.87%
4 41352 30.76% 37.03 72.41%
5 1231 28.45% 33.15 71.49%
6 5066 17.59% 34.63 62.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)