Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 118 33.33% 24.53 65.25% -0.684 -0.7333 -0.385
Blitz 0 3527 42.25% 31.59 65.38% -0.026 0.2349 -0.306
Dahan Insurrection 4 5465 34.0% 53.6 60.04% -0.187 -0.3436 -0.022
Despicable Theft 2 273 49.45% 24.98 49.45% -0.651 0.1536 -1.359
Elemental Invocation 1 452 57.74% 28.83 55.53% -0.718 0.1652 -1.332
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13155 9.19% 48.78 72.2% -0.121 -0.6823 0.511
Powers Long Forgotten 1 712 51.13% 32.41 56.74% -0.5 0.3927 -0.909
Rituals of Terror 3 784 62.6% 30.06 41.58% -1.122 -1.2418 -1.167
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 413 76.94% 30.37 37.77% 0.357 1.2192 -1.812
Second Wave 0 8529 42.59% 29.42 77.03% 0.537 0.6193 -0.045
The Great River 3 474 32.98% 29.66 50.42% -1.951 -0.4155 -2.089
Varied Terrains 2 201 45.77% 25.1 49.25% -0.604 0.1766 -1.2
Ward the Shores 2 3950 56.12% 28.77 56.41% -1.215 -0.1543 -1.161

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 132724 62.8% 30.22 64.65% -0.773 -0.4052 -0.751
1 Thematic 6749 55.84% 39.38 53.24% -0.63 -0.123 -1.164
2 Archipelago 346 48.55% 31.44 60.69% -0.388 0.1245 -1.895
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 59895 46.07% 32.18 72.66% -0.63 -0.3538 -0.539
2 Coastline 10985 47.54% 30.9 71.27% -0.378 -0.328 -0.652
2 Fragment 1667 54.19% 27.99 70.07% 0.159 -0.0736 -0.171
2 Heart 970 51.87% 25.94 68.56% -0.484 -0.5272 -1.117
2 Opposite Shores 18631 43.38% 30.97 73.46% -0.389 -0.2962 -1.213
2 Thematic 5829 38.74% 43.49 65.98% -0.228 0.0155 -0.713
2 Top to Top 3725 45.85% 32.36 71.19% -0.61 -0.5788 -0.76
3 Archipelago 235 33.19% 33.58 76.17% -0.256 -1.1005 -1.675
3 Coastline 393 37.8% 33.35 71.5% 0.717 0.1137 -0.236
3 Other 1699 41.43% 33.87 78.69% 0.08 -0.484 -0.122
3 Round (Default) 39798 36.67% 35.1 76.32% -0.276 -0.3986 -0.987
3 Sunrise 225 40.27% 42.34 77.78% 0.5 0.6754 -0.101
3 Thematic 1594 34.2% 37.74 72.96% 0.03 -0.4506 -1.133
4 Archipelago 174 31.36% 35.47 76.44% -0.717 -0.2205 -1.606
4 Coastline 260 18.04% 44.01 78.08% 0.801 0.3284 0.389
4 Leaf 176 39.18% 32.07 72.73% 0.509 0.1355 -1.671
4 Other 1141 35.47% 31.9 75.64% -0.456 -0.6556 -0.125
4 Reverse Snake 8 0.0% 28.5 87.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 12.5% 31.0 88.89% 1.122 -0.024 0.0
4 Thematic 7098 28.22% 52.16 72.75% -0.491 -0.5122 -0.843
4 Trapezoid (Default) 28553 31.96% 35.57 75.4% -0.44 -0.2308 -1.329
5 Archipelago 67 46.97% 38.51 64.18% -0.719 -0.9333 -1.741
5 Coastline 143 7.86% 54.26 83.22% -0.413 -0.244 -1.015
5 Other 1030 34.21% 35.47 80.39% 0.109 -0.3361 -0.636
5 Thematic 183 27.87% 52.62 72.13% -0.243 -0.8749 0.258
6 Archipelago 241 10.13% 55.41 78.01% 0.366 -0.3787 -1.045
6 Coastline 137 7.41% 40.92 79.56% 0.853 0.0649 -1.49
6 Other 730 17.64% 36.65 73.01% -0.774 -0.097 -1.442
6 Star 168 29.34% 30.84 64.88% -0.899 -0.4647 -2.028
6 Thematic 1244 17.04% 34.46 52.81% -0.971 -0.9131 -1.549
6 Two Centers (Default) 1155 20.64% 27.15 69.52% -0.736 -0.9269 -1.908
7 Archipelago 25 33.33% 27.92 60.0% -0.484 0.1105 -0.743
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.492 -0.1726 -0.082
7 Other 28 42.31% 29.93 57.14% -0.23 -1.4447 -1.231

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10659 33.84 57.26% -0.282 -0.1371 -0.553
Aid From Lesser Spirits 9255 36.32 60.9% 0.086 -0.0171 -0.384
All Things Weaken 4329 29.57 46.82% -0.508 -0.2041 -0.785
Attenuated Essence 576 30.84 51.91% 0.664 0.686 -0.829
Back Against the Wall 8081 31.72 52.85% -0.228 -0.1796 -0.846
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 577 30.01 54.42% 0.287 0.4924 -0.708
Burn Brightest Before the End 455 29.13 45.49% -0.392 -0.2154 -0.934
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10287 31.05 54.36% -0.531 -0.1119 -0.744
Downward Spiral 30670 27.72 62.74% 0.455 0.5229 -0.54
Erosion of Will 10586 32.84 55.23% 0.016 0.3083 -0.693
Intensifying Exploitation 562 27.18 44.13% -0.248 0.0464 -1.017
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1850 36.37 77.51% 0.751 0.2754 -0.1
Memory Fades to Dust 30385 26.84 57.69% 0.212 0.4339 -0.704
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4282 29.58 52.76% 0.254 0.4299 -0.861
Promising Farmlands 10581 31.62 55.14% 0.158 0.4614 -0.798
Shattered Fragments of Power 463 31.9 51.62% 0.163 0.3513 -0.451
Slow Dissolution of Will 583 26.9 40.82% -0.185 0.1853 -1.175
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1153 37.82 79.88% 1.041 0.2874 0.259
The Border of Life and Death 157 30.2 60.51% 0.458 -0.1036 -0.786
Thriving Communities 4467 30.26 53.21% -0.043 0.2637 -0.713
Thriving Crops 299 32.2 60.87% 0.14 0.1685 -0.482
Tipping Point 4262 33.62 58.59% 0.0 0.0 -0.549
Unnatural Proliferation 4733 32.29 55.36% -0.094 0.0592 -0.61
Untended Land Crumbles 4490 29.54 50.73% -0.204 0.1531 -0.789

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 104927 43.99% 31.82 72.26% -0.837 0.032 -0.238
B 107084 43.8% 32.78 72.46% -0.667 0.1655 0.03
C 106392 44.39% 32.74 72.78% -0.693 -0.0044 -0.074
D 125237 45.02% 32.4 71.69% -0.698 0.1409 -0.319
E 29230 42.64% 33.38 70.21% -0.811 -0.1085 -0.404
F 41385 43.57% 34.3 71.91% -0.621 0.1973 -0.229
G 39317 43.69% 34.81 72.42% -0.768 0.0899 -0.133
H 40944 43.01% 34.66 72.12% -0.638 0.1474 -0.191
East 18531 36.1% 45.25 65.43% -0.515 0.3637 -0.715
Northeast 13506 32.81% 46.88 66.9% -0.568 0.3046 -0.632
Northwest 11564 30.49% 47.81 68.11% -0.126 0.7591 -0.585
Southeast 3377 34.04% 36.84 57.77% -0.195 0.6977 -1.814
Southwest 3029 30.88% 36.07 60.28% -1.2 0.065 -0.941
West 16765 34.62% 45.54 66.91% -0.391 0.6782 -0.785

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 17365 0.0% 17.61 63.54% -0.475 0.2603 -1.099
Not Using Events or Tokens 76906 51.98% 24.75 68.53% -0.261 0.1655 0.001
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9893 16.98% 39.26 86.06% 0.119 -0.4908 0.484
Start of Game Growth 15700 19.11% 38.6 85.18% 0.781 0.1745 0.404
Unlimited Undo 30012 39.15% 34.71 76.79% -0.013 -0.0103 0.352
Using Tokens but Not Events 29270 42.02% 31.44 73.03% 0.243 0.2537 0.044

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 31238 28.8% 37.39 76.38% 0.211 0.02 0.152
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 171 20.47% 31.39 54.39% 0.511 -0.1842 0.494
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 23611 49.77% 30.3 68.34% -0.409 -0.1014 -0.498
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 912 38.09% 34.61 60.2% 0.421 -0.2659 -0.076
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4521 34.46% 31.61 74.39% -0.469 -0.6067 -0.295
Downpour Drenches the World 1953 28.39% 30.31 58.27% -0.122 0.1042 -0.076
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1323 33.28% 30.03 62.43% 0.012 -0.3742 -0.245
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8516 27.62% 33.62 77.41% -0.09 -0.4755 -0.208
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6336 34.41% 36.27 76.91% 0.33 -0.1125 0.027
Finder of Paths Unseen 1903 33.81% 24.97 51.97% -0.77 -0.107 -0.845
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1716 32.75% 37.73 66.55% -0.635 0.0687 0.044
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1465 40.88% 33.06 63.69% -0.207 -0.2884 -0.107
Heart of the Wildfire 10613 48.61% 35.63 71.09% -0.035 0.2382 0.301
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 19405 36.25% 38.8 77.36% 0.115 -0.2227 0.241
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 356 27.81% 28.58 60.96% 0.033 -0.4026 -0.976
Lightning's Swift Strike 21071 35.73% 34.91 75.72% 0.037 0.313 0.211
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 826 30.17% 39.55 64.89% -0.27 -0.631 -0.679
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 933 38.44% 37.07 69.35% 0.146 -0.2655 0.499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4120 27.46% 47.61 77.18% 0.54 0.5302 0.728
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 9781 37.38% 32.62 71.97% -0.122 -0.3823 -0.347
Many Minds Move as One 2889 36.97% 35.03 75.25% -0.269 -0.411 0.163
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5521 32.88% 38.74 79.03% 0.329 0.1649 0.573
River Surges in Sunlight 55650 35.83% 36.98 76.12% 0.087 0.1758 0.343
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 64 43.75% 30.63 62.5% -0.005 -0.1218 -0.098
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 5715 37.19% 32.47 68.29% -0.265 0.1844 -0.546
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2613 36.68% 35.23 59.66% -0.337 -0.2554 -0.378
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 17130 32.05% 38.34 73.2% -0.214 -0.4287 0.023
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9311 43.63% 32.18 75.49% -0.117 0.3915 0.407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 233 25.0% 35.79 72.1% 0.064 0.1229 1.062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 260 42.86% 35.18 67.69% 0.709 0.236 0.466
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 363 30.19% 37.5 71.07% -0.342 -0.0685 0.667
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 619 45.69% 32.79 73.02% 0.077 -0.0417 -0.308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 612 35.88% 31.95 74.67% -0.196 0.0934 0.249
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9520 35.8% 39.19 78.25% 0.492 0.3294 0.749
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 457 31.8% 35.26 61.49% 0.568 0.4195 0.109
Shifting Memory of Ages 1792 39.41% 30.68 65.74% -0.035 0.3474 -0.223
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 160 31.25% 29.77 52.5% 0.131 -0.1684 -0.37
Shroud of Silent Mist 1869 46.19% 28.71 66.4% -0.244 0.0709 -0.285
Starlight Seeks its Form 2264 34.53% 32.51 67.93% -0.024 -0.1722 0.004
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4496 40.69% 33.69 69.66% 0.137 -0.503 -0.281
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 12355 32.99% 37.28 79.54% 0.183 0.3701 0.41
Thunderspeaker 18011 34.73% 35.38 74.83% 0.006 -0.0191 0.014
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 279 35.51% 28.48 48.03% 0.109 0.2608 -0.352
Towering Roots of the Jungle 151 41.72% 31.21 58.94% 0.162 0.1533 0.246
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2454 59.04% 32.71 65.73% -0.376 -0.2975 0.005
Vital Strength of the Earth 12484 31.18% 31.45 74.89% 0.02 0.6156 0.65
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 619 20.27% 27.34 49.92% -0.567 -0.0508 -0.718
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 519 36.7% 29.18 65.7% 0.305 1.0255 -0.887
Volcano Looming High 3110 45.72% 33.76 68.87% 0.043 0.1397 -0.108
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1488 33.27% 35.12 66.73% 0.27 -0.0358 0.112

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.75%
Grasping Tide 92.49%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 77.09%
Tidal Boon 78.27%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 47439 15.56 9.54%
II 94617 30.46 57.3%
III 119407 34.8 86.29%
IV 66887 38.44 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4524
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 99187
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 50097
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 65827
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22061
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1745
Lose: Adversary condition 20023
Win: Sacrifice victory 1663
Lose: Scenario condition 3966
Win: Scenario condition 7031
Lose: Blight pool ran out 50941
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1285

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.684 Win Model: -0.075

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.088 Win Model: -0.004
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 140845 62.47% 30.73 64.16%
2 101751 45.3% 32.32 72.18%
3 43594 36.6% 35.2 76.33%
4 37496 31.2% 38.72 74.99%
5 969 28.2% 34.05 73.68%
6 3695 18.08% 34.26 65.39%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-10 06:17:01 (Pacific Time)