Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 63 41.94% 23.17 69.84% -0.104 -0.2906 -0.127
Blitz 0 2813 46.61% 32.19 68.54% 0.778 0.9281 -0.648
Dahan Insurrection 4 4596 35.07% 57.51 64.75% -0.31 -0.5395 -0.138
Despicable Theft 2 185 56.76% 29.41 58.92% -1.043 -0.3024 -0.616
Elemental Invocation 1 344 59.01% 31.89 60.17% -0.452 0.3222 -1.256
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11312 9.44% 50.54 74.99% 0.953 0.332 0.243
Powers Long Forgotten 1 587 54.47% 36.21 63.54% 0.448 0.9498 -0.891
Rituals of Terror 3 665 67.27% 32.98 44.66% -1.056 -0.9925 -1.151
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 359 80.5% 32.98 40.95% -0.304 0.7369 -1.944
Second Wave 0 7234 43.4% 29.67 78.42% 0.446 0.504 -0.267
The Great River 3 353 36.08% 34.59 58.92% -1.337 0.0192 -2.005
Varied Terrains 2 88 55.68% 30.06 52.27% -0.536 -0.0312 -1.531
Ward the Shores 2 3254 58.19% 31.27 61.8% -0.674 0.5003 -0.932

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 110768 64.53% 32.16 68.69% -0.316 -0.0933 -0.634
1 Thematic 6035 57.13% 40.66 54.23% -0.24 0.3882 -1.18
2 Archipelago 257 49.8% 32.2 61.87% -0.672 -0.2992 -2.175
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 49968 47.77% 34.14 77.08% -0.296 -0.1491 -0.315
2 Coastline 9165 48.77% 32.75 75.8% -0.552 -0.5166 -0.545
2 Fragment 1384 54.38% 29.63 73.55% -0.029 -0.1307 -0.104
2 Heart 758 56.25% 28.08 74.14% -0.203 -0.5442 -0.692
2 Opposite Shores 15310 44.43% 32.33 77.09% -0.208 -0.101 -1.131
2 Thematic 4962 39.76% 45.14 68.48% -0.192 0.4996 -0.772
2 Top to Top 3010 48.34% 34.97 76.81% -0.552 -0.5585 -0.405
3 Archipelago 171 33.92% 37.98 85.96% 0.24 -1.0627 -1.13
3 Coastline 321 38.46% 36.04 75.08% -0.023 -0.5413 0.095
3 Other 1510 42.04% 35.74 81.26% 0.054 0.1404 0.005
3 Round (Default) 32515 37.21% 36.66 80.02% 0.085 -0.0413 -0.762
3 Sunrise 197 41.54% 44.72 80.2% -0.148 0.161 0.102
3 Thematic 1347 34.51% 39.16 75.58% -0.418 -0.4311 -0.977
4 Archipelago 117 30.7% 38.54 84.62% -0.3 -0.8161 -1.505
4 Coastline 226 17.57% 47.42 82.3% -0.463 -0.2939 0.514
4 Leaf 144 36.17% 33.87 75.0% -0.367 -0.9644 -1.508
4 Other 956 37.58% 34.51 81.07% -0.005 -1.0753 -0.159
4 Reverse Snake 6 0.0% 33.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4421 0.0
4 Snake 5 20.0% 28.2 100.0% 0.0 -0.3843 0.0
4 Thematic 6557 27.96% 53.96 75.02% -0.57 -0.6181 -0.494
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23785 33.08% 38.33 80.58% -0.065 -0.3012 -0.795
5 Archipelago 46 43.48% 44.28 82.61% 0.0 -1.1496 -0.747
5 Coastline 102 6.06% 59.93 90.2% -0.879 -1.0348 -0.527
5 Other 666 33.6% 40.7 86.19% 0.169 -0.3975 -0.005
5 Thematic 133 27.07% 59.08 83.46% -0.788 -0.9536 0.709
6 Archipelago 76 26.98% 42.57 81.58% -1.063 -0.987 -0.872
6 Coastline 71 11.9% 40.87 91.55% -0.319 -1.092 -0.164
6 Other 420 16.46% 40.57 80.24% -0.431 -0.8921 -1.127
6 Star 103 35.29% 37.23 66.99% -0.828 -0.6687 -1.194
6 Thematic 607 18.02% 40.42 67.05% -1.756 -1.3859 -0.939
6 Two Centers (Default) 630 22.67% 32.35 80.32% -0.754 -0.848 -1.398
7 Archipelago 16 43.75% 37.31 81.25% -0.135 -0.6097 -0.6
7 Other 16 57.14% 36.13 62.5% -0.09 -0.9903 -0.377

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9648 34.27 58.08% 0.139 0.3872 -1.009
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8370 36.73 61.77% 0.05 0.0357 -0.841
All Things Weaken 3484 30.52 48.31% -0.538 -0.1132 -1.195
Attenuated Essence 78 32.23 55.13% 0.599 0.761 -0.967
Back Against the Wall 7268 32.1 53.29% 0.076 0.1841 -1.302
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 90 25.99 52.22% 0.342 0.7053 -1.281
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 29.79 48.68% 0.132 0.3997 -0.803
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9215 31.76 55.49% 0.082 0.5582 -1.205
Downward Spiral 26553 28.71 64.46% 0.176 0.4802 -0.974
Erosion of Will 9579 33.36 56.1% -0.011 0.3553 -1.131
Intensifying Exploitation 102 23.56 47.06% 0.069 0.4215 -1.482
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1480 37.82 80.68% 0.612 0.1009 -0.454
Memory Fades to Dust 26281 27.79 59.4% -0.019 0.4159 -1.157
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3526 30.28 54.08% -0.228 0.0339 -1.274
Promising Farmlands 9549 32.17 56.19% 0.015 0.5382 -1.236
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 33.3 55.56% 0.506 0.6218 -0.713
Slow Dissolution of Will 88 28.19 43.18% 0.097 0.5802 -1.331
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 926 39.39 82.94% 0.232 -0.3941 -0.059
The Border of Life and Death 26 26.12 46.15% 0.012 -0.2387 -1.033
Thriving Communities 3605 31.1 54.4% -0.097 0.3358 -1.117
Thriving Crops 49 31.1 63.27% 0.678 0.6679 -0.197
Tipping Point 4261 33.63 58.6% 0.0 -0.1579 -1.027
Unnatural Proliferation 3815 32.94 56.09% -0.166 0.0956 -1.084
Untended Land Crumbles 3667 29.97 51.49% 0.072 0.3887 -1.233

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 86821 45.59% 33.75 76.45% -0.933 -0.0735 0.013
B 89439 45.33% 34.81 76.84% -0.854 -0.0398 0.316
C 89100 45.89% 34.64 76.83% -0.943 -0.2555 0.145
D 104659 46.62% 34.33 75.88% -0.831 0.0047 -0.063
E 21372 44.56% 36.22 75.72% -0.855 -0.2024 -0.149
F 33092 45.06% 36.76 76.58% -0.916 -0.1639 -0.016
G 31278 45.32% 37.04 77.01% -0.792 -0.0204 0.092
H 31947 44.74% 36.8 76.87% -0.704 -0.0203 0.082
East 15915 37.12% 47.57 68.41% -0.602 0.0464 -0.561
Northeast 11535 34.0% 49.49 70.45% -0.627 0.2004 -0.498
Northwest 10009 31.07% 50.43 71.94% -0.991 -0.2644 -0.312
Southeast 2378 38.48% 40.35 63.71% -1.121 -0.4114 -1.646
Southwest 2073 34.66% 39.9 68.26% -0.392 0.7208 -0.521
West 14483 35.22% 47.96 70.14% -0.753 0.2149 -0.551

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 13930 0.0% 19.37 69.5% -0.674 0.1697 -0.949
Not Using Events or Tokens 61323 54.32% 27.13 74.38% 0.034 0.3604 0.141
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8460 16.93% 40.56 88.82% 0.293 -0.2998 0.135
Start of Game Growth 13406 19.32% 39.95 88.16% 0.413 0.1445 0.316
Unlimited Undo 24868 40.98% 36.72 81.02% 0.104 0.1002 0.599
Using Tokens but Not Events 23860 44.81% 32.73 76.84% 0.009 -0.0511 0.072

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26232 100.0% 39.89 100.0% 0.145 0.0031 0.169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 19911 100.0% 32.37 100.0% -0.397 -0.2847 -0.503
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3805 100.0% 33.49 100.0% -0.148 -0.3119 -0.442
Downpour Drenches the World 940 100.0% 36.85 100.0% -0.072 0.1168 -0.272
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 406 100.0% 31.89 100.0% 0.553 -0.2174 -0.521
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6773 100.0% 36.65 100.0% 0.566 -0.0203 0.236
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5186 100.0% 36.46 100.0% 0.443 -0.036 -0.15
Finder of Paths Unseen 886 100.0% 33.36 100.0% -0.238 0.4326 -0.448
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1236 100.0% 42.12 100.0% -0.106 0.5297 0.049
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 862 100.0% 38.71 100.0% 0.078 -0.0062 0.027
Heart of the Wildfire 9367 100.0% 37.38 100.0% -0.208 0.0451 0.408
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17115 100.0% 40.14 100.0% 0.478 0.0469 0.437
Lightning's Swift Strike 18124 114.48% 37.18 104.43% 0.139 0.3688 0.357
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 367 38.17% 37.79 67.3% 0.032 -0.6472 -0.517
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 725 41.72% 40.82 75.86% -0.609 -0.8284 0.396
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2913 30.36% 51.53 82.56% 0.243 0.1237 0.749
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7195 100.0% 35.71 100.0% 0.043 -0.0991 -0.294
Many Minds Move as One 2248 100.0% 37.69 100.0% 0.239 0.0302 0.281
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4627 100.0% 39.89 100.0% 0.359 0.2177 0.485
River Surges in Sunlight 48119 106.58% 38.74 102.8% 0.274 0.3054 0.28
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 4135 38.49% 35.77 74.95% -0.096 0.1631 -0.555
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1074 38.07% 43.48 71.23% 0.232 0.1137 -0.067
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 14497 100.0% 40.84 100.0% 0.199 -0.0257 0.11
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8125 109.74% 34.2 103.51% -0.088 0.3671 0.52
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 100 22.92% 45.71 81.0% 0.695 0.6692 1.015
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 199 28.93% 42.09 80.9% 0.169 0.1446 0.943
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 502 45.58% 34.29 76.1% -0.325 -0.372 -0.322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 510 38.4% 34.52 78.82% -0.605 -0.551 0.282
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8605 100.81% 40.61 100.46% -0.246 -0.3598 0.811
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 102 31.37% 28.45 60.78% 0.451 0.04 -1.29
Shifting Memory of Ages 1102 100.0% 34.7 100.0% -0.301 0.0803 -0.239
Shroud of Silent Mist 1282 100.0% 32.77 100.0% -0.728 -0.4179 -0.125
Starlight Seeks its Form 1319 100.0% 36.3 100.0% -0.227 -0.4936 -0.083
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3602 100.0% 35.91 100.0% -0.049 -0.5343 -0.482
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 10428 100.0% 39.04 100.0% 0.49 0.5298 0.41
Thunderspeaker 15367 100.24% 37.54 100.22% 0.088 0.0651 -0.014
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 57 33.93% 22.47 40.35% -0.452 -0.5501 -1.398
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1995 100.0% 35.08 100.0% -0.426 -0.3877 0.083
Vital Strength of the Earth 10668 103.43% 33.58 101.79% -0.15 0.397 0.469
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 226 27.7% 39.91 70.35% 0.091 0.3691 0.56
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 368 41.48% 31.66 66.3% -0.245 0.6431 -1.18
Volcano Looming High 2199 100.0% 35.74 100.0% -0.257 -0.2314 -0.229

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.47%
Grasping Tide 92.2%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 75.9%
Tidal Boon 77.58%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28389 20.88 14.35%
II 81221 31.03 58.93%
III 104060 34.74 86.57%
IV 58839 38.02 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4071
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 86555
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44046
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 57889
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3444
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1546
Lose: Adversary condition 17628
Win: Sacrifice victory 1490
Lose: Scenario condition 3577
Win: Scenario condition 6513
Lose: Blight pool ran out 44621
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1129

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.612 Win Model: -0.087

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.31 Win Model: 0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 117776 64.16% 32.67 67.98%
2 84627 46.79% 34.19 76.41%
3 35787 37.16% 36.77 79.91%
4 31890 31.92% 41.57 79.52%
5 517 23.86% 39.98 81.62%
6 1912 20.61% 37.96 76.05%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-02 03:54:23 (Pacific Time)