Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 191 29.47% 26.72 66.49% 0.114 -0.148 -0.178
Blitz 0 4184 41.16% 29.61 61.88% 0.256 0.6202 -0.087
Dahan Insurrection 4 6129 33.0% 51.28 57.91% 0.312 0.18 0.121
Despicable Theft 2 364 47.8% 24.41 47.53% -0.244 0.38 -1.235
Elemental Invocation 1 580 56.03% 26.82 51.21% -1.073 -0.1243 -1.55
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 15546 9.4% 47.91 69.53% 0.674 0.2129 0.577
Powers Long Forgotten 1 813 49.63% 30.12 53.63% -0.327 0.6751 -0.948
Rituals of Terror 3 950 57.51% 27.2 38.32% -0.291 -0.1537 -1.473
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 467 73.39% 28.94 37.47% -1.335 -0.4519 -1.775
Second Wave 0 9612 42.31% 29.15 75.94% 0.35 0.4003 0.107
The Great River 3 566 31.33% 27.78 46.82% -0.905 0.3864 -1.826
Varied Terrains 2 293 49.49% 25.17 48.81% -0.291 0.6486 -0.898
Ward the Shores 2 4562 54.48% 27.33 54.01% -0.669 0.2887 -1.122

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 157262 61.41% 28.59 61.42% -0.302 0.18 -0.994
1 Thematic 7426 54.74% 38.43 52.65% 0.219 1.067 -1.275
2 Archipelago 451 48.33% 29.22 56.1% -0.763 -0.0649 -2.211
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 70171 45.53% 30.48 69.05% -0.188 0.1154 -0.882
2 Coastline 13403 45.98% 29.9 67.9% -0.183 -0.0522 -0.893
2 Fragment 1978 52.44% 26.99 67.8% 0.244 0.2299 -0.307
2 Heart 1211 50.62% 24.62 64.0% -0.395 -0.6357 -1.448
2 Opposite Shores 22190 42.4% 29.58 70.16% -0.019 0.2431 -1.487
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8849 0.0
2 Thematic 7036 36.69% 41.5 62.32% 0.088 0.8738 -0.879
2 Top to Top 4412 45.24% 30.77 68.38% -0.231 -0.1235 -1.039
3 Archipelago 307 32.35% 32.32 72.64% 0.273 -0.961 -1.544
3 Coastline 466 37.03% 32.01 69.53% -0.14 -0.6305 -0.566
3 Other 1896 41.07% 32.31 75.9% 0.269 -0.3457 -0.666
3 Round (Default) 47331 36.2% 33.62 73.05% -0.134 -0.1431 -1.396
3 Sunrise 241 41.35% 41.04 76.76% -0.711 -0.8145 -0.425
3 Thematic 1853 33.66% 36.03 70.48% -1.082 -0.8132 -1.455
4 Archipelago 212 28.02% 34.54 74.06% 0.731 -0.2253 -1.68
4 Coastline 294 17.65% 40.53 72.45% -0.16 -0.56 -0.621
4 Leaf 205 38.58% 30.53 71.22% 0.034 -0.2143 -1.719
4 Other 1381 32.98% 28.54 67.85% -0.588 -1.462 -0.339
4 Reverse Snake 10 0.0% 22.8 70.0% 0.0 0.5257 0.0
4 Snake 11 22.22% 28.82 72.73% 0.0 0.0 -0.532
4 Thematic 7774 28.17% 49.89 69.3% -0.214 0.118 -1.323
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33202 31.17% 33.58 72.07% -0.409 -0.4921 -1.681
5 Archipelago 73 45.83% 36.99 60.27% 0.353 -0.7749 -2.082
5 Coastline 163 7.5% 53.4 80.98% 0.158 -0.0318 -1.294
5 Other 1378 33.96% 34.07 77.21% 0.58 -0.1645 -1.038
5 Thematic 208 29.33% 50.83 71.15% -0.016 -0.5295 -0.045
6 Archipelago 534 4.81% 63.95 80.34% -0.418 -1.2526 -1.669
6 Coastline 180 6.62% 43.58 79.44% -0.712 0.2539 -1.557
6 Other 1088 17.36% 32.75 64.06% -1.413 -1.1829 -2.235
6 Star 236 27.23% 28.88 60.17% -1.761 -1.4742 -2.568
6 Thematic 1715 16.8% 35.47 52.83% -0.781 -0.4028 -1.803
6 Two Centers (Default) 1717 23.6% 25.22 62.67% -0.985 -0.5543 -2.25
7 Archipelago 30 31.03% 28.37 56.67% 0.0 -0.0462 -0.711
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.18
7 Other 39 29.73% 21.49 41.03% -0.668 -0.5408 -1.854

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11694 33.34 56.29% -0.11 0.0662 -0.344
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10137 36.03 60.53% 0.109 0.005 -0.136
All Things Weaken 5196 28.82 45.36% -0.116 0.1124 -0.573
Attenuated Essence 1077 28.84 48.65% 0.372 0.4068 -0.659
Back Against the Wall 8862 31.56 52.96% 0.336 0.3145 -0.557
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1028 28.82 49.81% 0.22 0.3248 -0.617
Burn Brightest Before the End 802 29.38 46.76% 0.419 0.5585 -0.693
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11311 30.41 53.36% -0.015 0.3433 -0.538
Downward Spiral 35632 26.89 61.37% 0.389 0.4716 -0.264
Erosion of Will 11630 32.32 54.48% 0.214 0.4681 -0.469
Intensifying Exploitation 1118 26.68 45.08% -0.051 0.2053 -0.762
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2194 35.53 75.93% 0.684 0.281 0.11
Memory Fades to Dust 35410 25.97 56.28% 0.121 0.4004 -0.438
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5152 28.8 51.18% -0.124 0.1482 -0.65
Promising Farmlands 11661 31.07 54.14% -0.154 0.1387 -0.576
Shattered Fragments of Power 849 31.47 50.29% 0.113 0.248 -0.251
Slow Dissolution of Will 1047 26.28 39.73% 0.106 0.4672 -0.95
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1382 36.76 78.22% 0.376 -0.184 0.449
The Border of Life and Death 267 29.67 59.55% 0.884 0.5174 -0.383
Thriving Communities 5345 29.25 51.43% -0.201 0.117 -0.531
Thriving Crops 510 31.13 60.0% 0.583 0.4602 -0.402
Tipping Point 4264 33.61 58.56% 0.0 1.2729 -0.278
Unnatural Proliferation 5601 31.62 53.92% 0.005 0.0955 -0.405
Untended Land Crumbles 5350 28.73 49.53% 0.09 0.3581 -0.579

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 123926 42.9% 30.15 68.72% -0.146 1.0034 -0.405
B 125833 42.8% 31.1 68.94% -0.214 0.854 -0.19
C 125595 43.23% 31.14 69.25% -0.214 0.7052 -0.268
D 147575 43.87% 30.83 68.26% -0.131 0.9318 -0.497
E 37323 41.65% 31.44 66.3% -0.141 0.8131 -0.621
F 49906 42.81% 32.53 68.49% -0.152 0.8504 -0.366
G 47676 42.81% 33.35 69.34% 0.141 1.1098 -0.298
H 49794 42.32% 33.48 69.14% 0.156 1.1146 -0.244
East 21453 35.07% 43.24 62.59% -0.163 0.8409 -0.842
Northeast 15553 31.8% 44.83 63.87% -0.285 0.5826 -0.788
Northwest 13178 29.76% 45.86 65.25% 0.143 0.9844 -0.587
Southeast 4191 31.93% 36.19 56.36% -0.391 0.6659 -1.909
Southwest 3805 29.29% 35.75 58.58% 0.099 1.487 -1.125
West 19222 33.91% 43.65 64.15% -0.546 0.6673 -0.918

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 21614 0.0% 16.3 58.92% -0.569 0.2126 -0.855
Not Using Events or Tokens 96308 50.52% 22.91 63.68% -0.173 0.1484 -0.151
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11086 16.93% 38.31 83.75% 0.559 -0.0823 0.536
Start of Game Growth 17841 18.46% 37.57 82.74% 0.603 0.0244 0.455
Unlimited Undo 35455 37.71% 32.82 73.16% 0.338 0.1252 0.251
Using Tokens but Not Events 35178 40.47% 30.29 70.0% 0.089 0.0056 0.028

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 36075 28.28% 35.73 73.32% 0.111 -0.2683 0.231
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 895 24.27% 29.1 48.6% 0.289 -0.4888 0.166
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 27554 48.39% 28.64 65.05% -0.265 -0.2629 -0.428
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 2184 35.02% 35.78 59.75% 1.07 0.0235 0.167
Dances Up Earthquakes 225 40.89% 28.64 46.22% -0.033 -0.2015 -0.84
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5249 32.82% 30.15 71.48% -0.622 -0.9568 -0.214
Downpour Drenches the World 2839 28.45% 28.56 55.65% -0.007 -0.0051 -0.04
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2099 34.31% 28.72 59.79% 0.688 -0.1315 -0.293
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10204 26.93% 31.82 73.89% 0.437 -0.3484 -0.149
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7644 32.65% 36.79 75.26% -0.028 -0.6195 0.178
Finder of Paths Unseen 3006 30.58% 22.32 49.83% -0.742 -0.225 -0.767
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2076 32.14% 35.4 63.34% 0.118 0.431 -0.038
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2058 38.49% 30.66 60.93% 0.23 -0.0391 -0.172
Heart of the Wildfire 11868 48.05% 34.17 68.31% -0.537 -0.3244 0.22
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 21316 35.8% 38.24 75.86% 0.28 -0.4683 0.35
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 720 23.57% 26.3 61.67% 0.467 -0.2824 -0.994
Lightning's Swift Strike 24821 34.75% 32.57 71.79% 0.201 0.1994 0.229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1402 25.24% 45.26 67.55% 0.839 0.034 -0.19
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1106 38.71% 35.17 66.64% -0.213 -0.9768 0.645
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 5385 26.28% 45.24 73.65% 0.724 0.4825 0.724
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 12396 37.35% 30.98 68.3% 0.158 -0.288 -0.23
Many Minds Move as One 3505 36.31% 33.42 72.35% -0.204 -0.6752 0.255
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6466 31.69% 38.84 77.48% 0.537 0.218 0.677
River Surges in Sunlight 63942 35.18% 35.2 72.6% 0.026 -0.166 0.305
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 285 41.28% 26.74 57.54% -0.457 -0.4591 -0.32
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 7266 36.72% 30.36 64.27% -0.102 -0.2667 -0.534
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 4032 37.37% 31.73 53.13% -0.452 -0.7091 -0.625
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 19240 31.56% 37.11 70.84% 0.209 -0.087 0.204
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 148 27.03% 31.51 54.05% -0.309 -0.5548 -0.407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10688 42.15% 30.21 71.39% -0.129 0.219 0.383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 304 27.27% 32.8 70.07% 0.282 0.1888 1.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 502 34.73% 38.08 67.33% 0.119 -0.6235 0.509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 513 32.29% 36.92 68.42% -0.168 -0.3637 0.449
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 727 46.19% 30.81 69.46% -0.177 -0.462 -0.304
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 719 36.72% 30.23 71.77% 0.024 -0.1387 0.184
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10312 35.56% 38.22 76.67% 0.091 -0.2457 0.848
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 865 28.37% 37.27 61.27% -0.175 -0.5161 0.117
Shifting Memory of Ages 2187 38.67% 29.22 62.83% 0.128 0.2673 -0.165
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 718 25.7% 23.9 42.06% -0.049 -0.3744 -0.428
Shroud of Silent Mist 2384 44.44% 26.83 62.88% -0.144 0.0744 -0.245
Starlight Seeks its Form 3234 32.27% 30.61 64.44% 0.331 0.0617 0.199
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5118 40.37% 32.72 67.55% -0.344 -1.2084 -0.151
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 14316 32.92% 35.91 76.67% 0.046 0.0026 0.423
Thunderspeaker 20943 34.05% 33.3 70.64% -0.007 -0.1683 -0.173
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 438 35.4% 29.15 49.54% -1.296 -1.3523 0.072
Towering Roots of the Jungle 602 38.36% 32.06 59.97% -0.071 -0.3077 0.066
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2905 58.1% 31.5 63.17% -0.411 -0.4961 0.13
Vital Strength of the Earth 14690 30.62% 29.19 70.12% -0.39 -0.0183 0.411
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 853 23.65% 26.62 49.36% -0.036 0.2566 -0.648
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 666 36.64% 27.62 61.71% -0.063 0.4213 -0.99
Volcano Looming High 3899 43.61% 32.24 65.73% 0.014 -0.2322 0.019
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2518 31.15% 33.33 67.36% 0.645 -0.005 0.077

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.87%
Grasping Tide 92.7%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 78.1%
Tidal Boon 78.85%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 68312 12.75 7.28%
II 108862 30.01 55.86%
III 135736 34.87 85.74%
IV 75622 38.76 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4971
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 112205
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 56412
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 74466
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 43110
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1977
Lose: Adversary condition 22394
Win: Sacrifice victory 1831
Lose: Scenario condition 4472
Win: Scenario condition 7532
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 57707
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1455

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.889 Win Model: -0.062

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.283 Win Model: 0.119
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 166421 61.12% 29.13 61.11%
2 120443 44.43% 30.76 68.66%
3 51690 36.14% 33.71 73.12%
4 43130 30.54% 36.45 71.51%
5 1346 29.11% 33.21 71.99%
6 5502 17.94% 34.6 62.0%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-09 13:08:08 (Pacific Time)