Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 92 35.16% 22.26 69.57% -0.013 -0.1573 -0.522
Blitz 0 3244 43.8% 31.74 66.77% 0.441 0.6102 -0.493
Dahan Insurrection 4 5166 34.55% 54.67 61.11% -0.274 -0.4803 -0.151
Despicable Theft 2 225 51.56% 26.87 53.33% -1.514 -1.0004 -0.981
Elemental Invocation 1 405 59.51% 30.83 58.27% -0.295 0.4611 -1.291
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12247 9.29% 49.56 73.68% 0.521 -0.2676 0.428
Powers Long Forgotten 1 660 52.37% 33.78 59.39% -1.289 -0.4171 -0.905
Rituals of Terror 3 739 63.76% 30.93 42.35% -1.297 -1.2975 -1.129
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 399 78.14% 30.85 37.84% -1.41 -0.3062 -1.889
Second Wave 0 7916 43.13% 29.48 77.48% 0.383 0.553 -0.127
The Great River 3 416 33.25% 31.21 52.88% -1.78 -0.5704 -2.156
Varied Terrains 2 144 48.61% 25.62 49.31% -0.214 0.55 -1.297
Ward the Shores 2 3619 57.84% 30.03 58.91% -0.504 0.3784 -1.009

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 123057 63.45% 30.91 66.14% -0.205 0.0082 -0.594
1 Thematic 6484 56.27% 39.89 53.33% -0.541 0.1569 -1.074
2 Archipelago 314 50.64% 31.92 60.83% -0.143 0.1926 -1.876
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 55812 46.68% 32.88 74.35% -0.11 -0.1219 -0.327
2 Coastline 10237 48.06% 31.35 72.62% -0.378 -0.3825 -0.507
2 Fragment 1557 54.1% 28.3 70.91% 0.159 -0.0779 -0.069
2 Heart 860 52.87% 27.06 70.93% -0.229 -0.4001 -0.695
2 Opposite Shores 17172 43.89% 31.33 74.68% -0.035 0.0414 -1.063
2 Thematic 5389 39.06% 44.29 67.04% -0.157 0.2487 -0.664
2 Top to Top 3419 46.94% 33.32 73.27% -0.14 -0.2194 -0.547
3 Archipelago 219 32.88% 33.94 76.26% -0.54 -1.2841 -1.628
3 Coastline 358 38.62% 34.32 72.63% 0.825 -0.0891 -0.048
3 Other 1622 42.06% 34.52 79.47% 0.769 0.4235 -0.008
3 Round (Default) 36795 36.92% 35.63 77.67% 0.033 -0.307 -0.808
3 Sunrise 215 40.28% 42.75 77.67% 0.248 -0.0715 0.08
3 Thematic 1432 34.49% 38.5 73.81% -0.916 -0.8582 -0.949
4 Archipelago 154 30.87% 36.37 79.87% 0.107 -0.5528 -1.325
4 Coastline 242 16.39% 44.95 78.93% 0.739 -0.2726 0.434
4 Leaf 162 38.61% 32.5 72.22% -0.455 -0.5455 -1.695
4 Other 1038 37.03% 33.13 78.23% 0.352 -1.3459 -0.09
4 Reverse Snake 7 0.0% 32.57 100.0% 0.0 0.2194 0.0
4 Snake 6 20.0% 23.5 83.33% -0.352 -0.2573 0.0
4 Thematic 6897 28.21% 52.75 73.48% -0.981 -1.2037 -0.67
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26161 32.44% 36.93 77.94% -0.648 -0.9228 -0.937
5 Archipelago 53 41.51% 42.32 75.47% -1.133 -0.3273 -0.864
5 Coastline 141 7.97% 55.03 84.4% -0.971 -1.0579 -0.988
5 Other 876 34.66% 36.91 81.62% 0.204 -0.9784 -0.357
5 Thematic 166 27.71% 55.61 75.3% -0.499 -0.9034 0.489
6 Archipelago 120 17.92% 46.03 77.5% 0.373 -1.1293 -0.954
6 Coastline 117 6.82% 39.58 79.49% -0.983 -1.5541 -1.509
6 Other 590 18.29% 39.21 76.27% -0.757 -1.2576 -1.13
6 Star 150 30.2% 31.84 66.67% -1.055 -1.3945 -1.759
6 Thematic 948 18.01% 35.2 55.17% -2.071 -1.1904 -1.459
6 Two Centers (Default) 933 20.82% 28.62 72.78% -1.143 -1.7953 -1.639
7 Archipelago 19 36.84% 33.32 73.68% -0.417 0.2216 -0.584
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.122
7 Other 25 39.13% 30.04 60.0% -0.861 -0.9497 -0.974

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10213 34.05 57.67% 0.45 0.5929 -0.724
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8902 36.43 61.26% 0.224 0.1104 -0.57
All Things Weaken 3924 30.15 47.94% -0.016 0.2812 -0.926
Attenuated Essence 326 29.47 50.0% 0.484 0.5464 -1.053
Back Against the Wall 7747 31.86 53.07% 0.149 0.1703 -1.023
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 364 29.76 55.77% 0.83 0.9772 -0.78
Burn Brightest Before the End 263 30.47 49.81% 0.054 0.1962 -0.946
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9803 31.37 54.94% -0.07 0.2858 -0.919
Downward Spiral 29025 28.0 63.18% 0.281 0.4053 -0.718
Erosion of Will 10149 33.01 55.55% -0.059 0.1675 -0.877
Intensifying Exploitation 344 27.32 45.06% 0.644 0.8471 -1.107
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1696 36.88 78.48% 0.499 -0.0985 -0.256
Memory Fades to Dust 28647 27.14 58.28% 0.142 0.3917 -0.884
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3935 29.88 53.21% 0.178 0.3337 -1.02
Promising Farmlands 10112 31.84 55.54% 0.043 0.3587 -0.961
Shattered Fragments of Power 282 30.65 50.71% 0.028 0.1561 -0.744
Slow Dissolution of Will 355 27.1 40.28% -0.197 0.2154 -1.282
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1051 38.37 80.88% 0.729 -0.022 0.144
The Border of Life and Death 102 30.71 58.82% 0.637 0.1886 -1.184
Thriving Communities 4058 30.48 53.52% 0.24 0.5076 -0.86
Thriving Crops 180 31.56 60.56% 0.461 0.325 -0.59
Tipping Point 4262 33.62 58.59% 0.0 0.559 -0.743
Unnatural Proliferation 4303 32.65 55.84% 0.396 0.5435 -0.761
Untended Land Crumbles 4102 29.73 51.27% 0.376 0.6234 -0.934

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 96998 44.64% 32.52 73.85% -1.041 0.0557 -0.141
B 99283 44.45% 33.55 74.22% -1.039 -0.0329 0.146
C 98933 44.97% 33.42 74.29% -1.072 -0.2154 -0.004
D 116146 45.71% 33.12 73.27% -0.918 0.0984 -0.229
E 25827 43.22% 34.4 72.36% -0.984 -0.1204 -0.329
F 37722 44.18% 35.22 73.78% -1.12 -0.1159 -0.161
G 35697 44.47% 35.68 74.39% -0.943 -0.0117 -0.061
H 36914 43.74% 35.41 74.06% -0.884 0.0643 -0.126
East 17321 36.56% 46.18 66.38% -0.59 0.2786 -0.664
Northeast 12620 33.3% 47.82 68.05% -0.521 0.3269 -0.588
Northwest 10904 30.86% 48.72 69.32% -0.754 0.2246 -0.469
Southeast 2902 36.15% 37.9 58.99% -1.74 -0.8441 -1.705
Southwest 2584 32.54% 37.22 62.58% -0.934 0.4154 -0.815
West 15724 34.98% 46.53 67.97% -0.625 0.394 -0.676

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 15948 0.0% 18.17 65.44% -0.439 0.1552 -1.123
Not Using Events or Tokens 70453 52.93% 25.55 70.44% -0.424 0.1018 0.067
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9341 17.11% 39.71 87.11% 0.653 -0.0213 0.354
Start of Game Growth 14754 19.33% 39.1 86.18% 0.554 0.1797 0.211
Unlimited Undo 27782 40.09% 35.59 78.81% 0.376 0.376 0.518
Using Tokens but Not Events 26871 43.08% 31.72 74.19% -0.163 -0.1055 0.011

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 29063 29.35% 38.35 78.15% 0.27 0.1718 0.203
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 22117 50.62% 31.08 69.86% -0.267 0.0062 -0.531
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 450 42.89% 36.23 62.89% 0.479 -0.5444 -0.112
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4180 35.12% 32.43 76.12% -0.292 -0.5166 -0.337
Downpour Drenches the World 1456 27.47% 32.29 62.16% 0.006 0.2556 -0.241
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 955 31.72% 30.82 63.25% -0.06 -0.5708 -0.312
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7748 28.51% 35.1 80.58% 0.142 -0.3233 0.141
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5816 35.27% 36.01 77.7% 0.255 -0.1773 -0.103
Finder of Paths Unseen 1517 34.56% 26.61 54.52% -0.785 0.0223 -0.934
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1517 34.06% 39.49 69.94% -0.331 0.2259 0.059
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1211 43.17% 34.67 66.97% -0.314 -0.3323 -0.063
Heart of the Wildfire 10101 49.1% 36.26 72.01% -0.218 0.1628 0.359
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18310 37.23% 39.51 78.95% 0.059 -0.3893 0.416
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 169 31.36% 31.97 66.86% 0.769 0.221 -0.508
Lightning's Swift Strike 19779 36.14% 35.96 77.54% 0.077 0.2891 0.362
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 568 36.43% 38.54 65.85% -0.312 -0.8892 -0.479
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 851 39.1% 37.9 70.74% 0.364 0.0543 0.461
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3594 28.53% 48.96 79.1% 0.596 0.4693 0.717
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8636 37.52% 33.57 74.04% -0.218 -0.4373 -0.383
Many Minds Move as One 2604 37.55% 35.78 77.19% 0.141 -0.0643 0.166
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5168 33.22% 38.86 79.91% 0.258 0.0829 0.476
River Surges in Sunlight 52401 36.22% 37.61 77.3% 0.178 0.2015 0.3
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 4963 37.64% 33.59 70.99% -0.299 0.0254 -0.569
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1936 38.54% 37.83 63.84% -0.005 -0.0047 -0.174
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 15973 32.97% 39.25 74.99% -0.188 -0.338 0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8800 44.05% 32.91 76.85% -0.084 0.5312 0.439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 194 21.05% 38.31 76.8% 0.248 0.3071 1.087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 116 47.83% 36.81 64.66% 0.284 -0.2804 0.375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 308 30.72% 38.07 73.05% 0.17 0.3772 0.543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 578 45.82% 32.96 73.7% -0.116 -0.1117 -0.355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 574 36.7% 32.78 75.61% -0.002 0.21 0.242
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9145 35.79% 39.58 78.74% -0.371 -0.2898 0.673
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 291 33.68% 33.51 59.79% 0.011 -0.2865 -0.157
Shifting Memory of Ages 1471 41.16% 31.89 68.32% -0.465 -0.2343 -0.339
Shroud of Silent Mist 1617 47.84% 29.84 68.27% -0.401 -0.0582 -0.209
Starlight Seeks its Form 1829 37.02% 33.65 69.33% 0.299 0.0724 -0.072
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4126 40.22% 34.2 71.11% -0.488 -0.8849 -0.364
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 11554 33.03% 37.92 80.74% 0.327 0.4699 0.372
Thunderspeaker 16770 34.85% 36.38 76.67% 0.157 0.1707 0.015
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 172 34.32% 28.26 45.35% -0.366 -0.1538 -0.567
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2242 60.28% 33.83 67.57% -0.139 0.0226 -0.008
Vital Strength of the Earth 11790 31.43% 32.09 76.13% -0.176 0.3886 0.549
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 410 21.63% 30.84 58.54% -0.06 0.352 0.054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 461 37.42% 29.41 65.29% -0.113 0.6021 -1.128
Volcano Looming High 2663 46.76% 34.43 70.71% 0.367 0.4041 -0.15
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 752 33.69% 36.63 69.41% 0.77 0.1781 0.069

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.68%
Grasping Tide 92.38%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 76.61%
Tidal Boon 77.91%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 39357 17.2 11.01%
II 88657 30.64 57.85%
III 112600 34.73 86.46%
IV 63362 38.24 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4331
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 93656
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 47294
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 62342
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14000
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1646
Lose: Adversary condition 18986
Win: Sacrifice victory 1585
Lose: Scenario condition 3781
Win: Scenario condition 6812
Lose: Blight pool ran out 48322
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1221

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.814 Win Model: -0.061

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.297 Win Model: 0.182
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 130718 63.1% 31.42 65.55%
2 94530 45.88% 32.95 73.71%
3 40309 36.87% 35.74 77.63%
4 34750 31.53% 40.09 77.15%
5 797 27.21% 35.61 74.53%
6 2872 19.27% 34.61 68.04%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-09 03:58:17 (Pacific Time)