Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 115 33.33% 24.74 66.09% -0.665 -0.6501 -0.385
Blitz 0 3489 42.59% 31.68 65.66% 0.018 0.3061 -0.316
Dahan Insurrection 4 5422 33.95% 53.72 60.2% 0.151 -0.0259 -0.015
Despicable Theft 2 272 49.63% 25.07 49.63% -0.614 0.247 -1.365
Elemental Invocation 1 443 58.69% 29.0 55.3% -1.495 -0.5621 -1.336
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13024 9.21% 48.95 72.48% 0.108 -0.5385 0.533
Powers Long Forgotten 1 710 51.14% 32.34 56.62% -1.085 -0.1395 -0.908
Rituals of Terror 3 778 62.56% 30.27 41.9% -0.867 -0.7909 -1.147
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 412 77.13% 30.37 37.62% -0.565 0.55 -1.806
Second Wave 0 8443 42.71% 29.42 77.06% 0.4 0.4303 -0.034
The Great River 3 459 33.19% 30.1 51.2% -1.576 -0.151 -2.133
Varied Terrains 2 185 44.86% 25.22 48.65% -0.722 0.0523 -1.194
Ward the Shores 2 3908 56.55% 28.95 56.78% -1.032 0.0128 -1.14

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 131537 62.88% 30.28 64.79% -0.612 -0.3519 -0.716
1 Thematic 6725 55.85% 39.4 53.28% -0.54 -0.074 -1.142
2 Archipelago 343 48.09% 31.31 60.35% -0.363 0.1102 -1.93
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 59387 46.13% 32.25 72.84% -0.455 -0.2699 -0.501
2 Coastline 10866 47.7% 30.96 71.5% -0.177 -0.1936 -0.613
2 Fragment 1658 54.31% 28.03 70.21% 0.5 0.1836 -0.134
2 Heart 956 52.4% 26.06 68.83% -0.268 -0.3621 -1.083
2 Opposite Shores 18435 43.4% 31.01 73.59% -0.274 -0.313 -1.179
2 Thematic 5765 38.75% 43.51 66.0% -0.267 0.0202 -0.711
2 Top to Top 3680 46.03% 32.43 71.33% -0.524 -0.5675 -0.728
3 Archipelago 232 33.19% 33.69 76.72% 0.057 -1.0833 -1.622
3 Coastline 384 37.63% 33.55 71.88% 0.834 0.0841 -0.231
3 Other 1691 41.42% 33.98 78.89% 0.388 -0.0752 -0.075
3 Round (Default) 39383 36.7% 35.18 76.49% -0.132 -0.3514 -0.946
3 Sunrise 224 40.45% 42.27 77.68% 0.496 0.5715 -0.074
3 Thematic 1564 34.28% 37.93 72.57% -0.414 -0.7064 -1.11
4 Archipelago 170 29.7% 35.45 78.24% -0.516 -0.3235 -1.483
4 Coastline 255 18.0% 44.03 78.43% 0.502 0.1423 0.337
4 Leaf 172 38.92% 31.96 72.09% -0.106 -0.2149 -1.77
4 Other 1116 35.73% 32.19 76.25% -0.408 -0.6643 -0.074
4 Reverse Snake 8 0.0% 28.5 87.5% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 9 12.5% 31.0 88.89% 1.122 -0.0143 0.0
4 Thematic 7066 28.31% 52.21 72.74% -0.921 -0.6687 -0.834
4 Trapezoid (Default) 28240 32.02% 35.73 75.66% -0.511 -0.2969 -1.269
5 Archipelago 67 46.97% 38.51 64.18% -1.37 -1.0963 -1.675
5 Coastline 143 7.86% 54.26 83.22% -0.244 -0.348 -0.995
5 Other 1005 34.69% 35.65 80.6% 0.224 -0.3416 -0.567
5 Thematic 180 28.33% 52.75 72.22% -0.535 -0.9555 0.274
6 Archipelago 230 10.65% 54.52 77.39% -0.107 -1.0397 -1.126
6 Coastline 134 7.62% 40.75 79.85% 0.778 -0.0198 -1.443
6 Other 697 18.21% 37.4 74.18% -0.63 -0.2036 -1.379
6 Star 161 29.38% 32.0 67.08% 0.654 0.7667 -1.867
6 Thematic 1207 17.15% 34.46 52.86% -0.836 -0.7349 -1.474
6 Two Centers (Default) 1132 20.71% 27.55 70.32% -0.492 -0.7487 -1.829
7 Archipelago 24 34.78% 26.71 58.33% -1.057 0.0143 -0.805
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.43 -0.1164 -0.074
7 Other 28 42.31% 29.93 57.14% 0.07 -0.9455 -1.183

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10604 33.89 57.34% 0.055 0.2307 -0.56
Aid From Lesser Spirits 9213 36.33 60.96% 0.198 0.1438 -0.39
All Things Weaken 4282 29.63 46.94% -0.583 -0.2896 -0.785
Attenuated Essence 544 30.67 51.29% 0.74 0.8239 -0.884
Back Against the Wall 8039 31.73 52.88% -0.08 -0.0328 -0.857
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 540 30.04 55.0% 0.42 0.623 -0.689
Burn Brightest Before the End 429 29.18 45.69% -0.137 0.0506 -0.952
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10228 31.09 54.42% -0.291 0.1183 -0.754
Downward Spiral 30457 27.73 62.75% 0.361 0.4884 -0.55
Erosion of Will 10529 32.85 55.23% 0.05 0.3332 -0.705
Intensifying Exploitation 532 27.48 44.55% -0.103 0.1445 -0.988
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1830 36.41 77.65% 0.828 0.3125 -0.1
Memory Fades to Dust 30157 26.85 57.75% 0.155 0.3921 -0.714
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4235 29.58 52.77% 0.171 0.3893 -0.878
Promising Farmlands 10544 31.61 55.12% 0.047 0.3414 -0.812
Shattered Fragments of Power 430 31.53 51.16% 0.125 0.3268 -0.497
Slow Dissolution of Will 552 26.95 40.94% -0.266 0.118 -1.18
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1137 37.74 79.77% 0.815 0.2344 0.245
The Border of Life and Death 155 30.18 60.65% 0.897 0.38 -0.856
Thriving Communities 4418 30.29 53.24% 0.01 0.3493 -0.713
Thriving Crops 284 32.53 61.62% 0.43 0.3877 -0.439
Tipping Point 4262 33.62 58.59% 0.0 0.0 -0.559
Unnatural Proliferation 4677 32.35 55.53% 0.1 0.24 -0.618
Untended Land Crumbles 4442 29.51 50.68% -0.394 0.0546 -0.804

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 103851 44.08% 31.91 72.47% -0.746 0.1155 -0.23
B 106046 43.89% 32.89 72.68% -0.586 0.2304 0.04
C 105376 44.47% 32.81 72.94% -0.693 -0.0139 -0.072
D 124023 45.12% 32.49 71.86% -0.593 0.2117 -0.311
E 28782 42.73% 33.5 70.5% -0.672 -0.0039 -0.4
F 40887 43.65% 34.39 72.12% -0.62 0.1781 -0.225
G 38854 43.82% 34.91 72.63% -0.644 0.1818 -0.128
H 40407 43.11% 34.76 72.35% -0.546 0.2268 -0.184
East 18353 36.17% 45.33 65.42% -0.314 0.5315 -0.706
Northeast 13382 32.88% 46.94 66.94% -0.407 0.3639 -0.631
Northwest 11480 30.56% 47.86 68.14% -0.289 0.5182 -0.586
Southeast 3304 34.4% 36.93 57.54% -0.497 0.3725 -1.784
Southwest 2965 31.18% 36.14 60.2% -1.229 0.0526 -0.95
West 16616 34.7% 45.64 66.91% -0.418 0.5781 -0.773

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 17177 0.0% 17.68 63.78% -0.411 0.3849 -1.015
Not Using Events or Tokens 76065 52.08% 24.83 68.73% -0.178 0.2093 -0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9842 16.99% 39.31 86.21% 0.43 -0.1846 0.497
Start of Game Growth 15589 19.13% 38.66 85.3% 0.837 0.2558 0.382
Unlimited Undo 29721 39.2% 34.78 76.94% -0.196 -0.1519 0.351
Using Tokens but Not Events 28958 42.16% 31.46 73.09% 0.196 0.1378 0.037

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 30922 28.91% 37.54 76.66% 0.321 0.1771 0.2
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 97 23.71% 29.68 51.55% 0.26 -0.4532 0.045
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 23413 49.9% 30.37 68.46% -0.393 -0.1287 -0.49
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 847 39.01% 34.83 60.09% 0.331 -0.4781 -0.031
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4485 34.56% 31.69 74.58% -0.321 -0.4858 -0.262
Downpour Drenches the World 1868 28.61% 30.7 58.99% -0.386 -0.113 -0.034
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1285 33.57% 30.12 62.41% 0.066 -0.3602 -0.214
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8457 27.66% 33.67 77.51% -0.275 -0.6343 -0.203
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6268 34.54% 36.23 76.93% 0.344 -0.1007 0.007
Finder of Paths Unseen 1842 34.17% 25.19 52.39% -0.664 0.0248 -0.807
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1701 32.8% 37.8 66.78% -0.634 -0.045 0.063
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1437 40.91% 33.17 63.74% -0.165 -0.2287 -0.104
Heart of the Wildfire 10536 48.72% 35.72 71.17% -0.058 0.27 0.327
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 19282 36.33% 38.85 77.46% -0.039 -0.3335 0.282
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 325 27.38% 27.95 60.62% -0.381 -0.752 -1.086
Lightning's Swift Strike 20888 35.73% 35.02 75.89% -0.383 -0.0428 0.234
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 790 31.51% 40.04 66.08% 0.426 -0.0478 -0.509
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 926 38.41% 37.02 69.33% 0.16 -0.2007 0.506
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4045 27.37% 47.84 77.35% 0.509 0.5159 0.748
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 9646 37.44% 32.77 72.26% -0.13 -0.4244 -0.33
Many Minds Move as One 2857 36.96% 35.08 75.39% -0.208 -0.3535 0.177
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5488 33.02% 38.7 79.05% 0.197 0.033 0.562
River Surges in Sunlight 55172 35.88% 37.07 76.29% 0.137 0.2356 0.364
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 43 44.19% 28.56 62.79% 0.01 -0.125 -0.325
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 5620 37.27% 32.55 68.43% -0.365 0.1114 -0.552
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2511 37.16% 35.78 60.29% -0.284 -0.319 -0.329
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 17004 32.14% 38.45 73.44% -0.069 -0.3242 0.039
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9232 43.64% 32.32 75.62% -0.253 0.2689 0.432
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 231 24.67% 35.65 71.86% -0.301 -0.1598 1.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 238 45.57% 36.58 68.49% 1.007 0.4285 0.563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 359 29.97% 37.62 71.59% 0.255 0.6054 0.663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 607 45.44% 32.76 73.15% 0.218 0.2026 -0.276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 606 36.24% 32.05 74.75% -0.293 -0.0441 0.265
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9465 35.82% 39.28 78.33% 0.807 0.6977 0.761
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 436 32.18% 35.34 60.55% 0.309 0.147 0.068
Shifting Memory of Ages 1773 39.49% 30.74 65.88% 0.037 0.3812 -0.238
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 107 32.71% 33.07 59.81% 0.501 0.1922 0.007
Shroud of Silent Mist 1827 46.55% 28.86 66.34% -0.438 -0.1065 -0.31
Starlight Seeks its Form 2210 34.83% 32.64 68.1% -0.101 -0.2756 -0.0
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4442 40.73% 33.69 69.7% 0.045 -0.665 -0.281
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 12225 33.11% 37.4 79.73% 0.173 0.3849 0.439
Thunderspeaker 17843 34.73% 35.5 75.06% 0.004 -0.0164 0.039
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 267 34.85% 27.9 47.19% -0.023 0.1753 -0.453
Towering Roots of the Jungle 118 38.14% 28.57 55.93% -0.025 -0.0534 -0.052
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2422 59.24% 32.9 66.27% -0.054 0.0123 0.04
Vital Strength of the Earth 12376 31.28% 31.56 75.05% -0.073 0.4611 0.659
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 586 20.91% 27.63 50.68% -0.828 -0.2604 -0.732
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 510 36.96% 29.26 66.08% 0.78 1.5386 -0.923
Volcano Looming High 3033 45.76% 33.8 69.27% 0.047 0.1842 -0.082
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1415 33.29% 35.04 66.29% 0.208 -0.1032 0.091

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.75%
Grasping Tide 92.49%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 77.04%
Tidal Boon 78.23%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 46456 15.74 9.71%
II 93833 30.48 57.34%
III 118476 34.79 86.31%
IV 66407 38.41 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4507
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 98433
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 49691
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 65354
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 21058
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1731
Lose: Adversary condition 19895
Win: Sacrifice victory 1649
Lose: Scenario condition 3939
Win: Scenario condition 7005
Lose: Blight pool ran out 50632
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1278

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.571 Win Model: -0.084

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.088 Win Model: 0.052
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 139608 62.54% 30.79 64.29%
2 100789 45.37% 32.39 72.36%
3 43133 36.63% 35.27 76.48%
4 37120 31.26% 38.88 75.2%
5 942 28.6% 34.14 73.67%
6 3580 18.3% 34.47 65.92%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)