Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 89 35.23% 22.83 70.79% 0.293 0.1528 -0.55
Blitz 0 3195 44.04% 31.78 66.95% 0.556 0.6664 -0.527
Dahan Insurrection 4 5103 34.64% 54.98 61.49% -0.208 -0.4434 -0.156
Despicable Theft 2 214 53.74% 27.99 55.61% -1.046 -0.4032 -0.771
Elemental Invocation 1 395 60.51% 31.12 58.73% -0.177 0.6252 -1.26
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12115 9.34% 49.65 73.88% 0.498 -0.2763 0.403
Powers Long Forgotten 1 645 52.81% 34.27 60.16% -1.212 -0.4391 -0.916
Rituals of Terror 3 725 64.22% 31.19 42.48% -1.35 -1.3336 -1.139
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 392 78.06% 31.28 38.52% -1.348 -0.2915 -1.916
Second Wave 0 7813 43.03% 29.56 77.74% 0.527 0.6072 -0.148
The Great River 3 404 33.0% 31.37 52.72% -2.211 -1.082 -2.17
Varied Terrains 2 132 51.52% 26.2 48.48% -0.377 0.3151 -1.312
Ward the Shores 2 3578 57.71% 30.19 59.25% -0.607 0.2556 -1.023

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 121191 63.57% 31.11 66.54% -0.219 -0.0186 -0.63
1 Thematic 6439 56.41% 40.05 53.52% -0.428 0.2919 -1.111
2 Archipelago 301 50.17% 32.25 61.13% 0.052 0.3072 -1.98
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 54901 46.81% 33.06 74.74% -0.113 -0.1048 -0.347
2 Coastline 10020 48.26% 31.7 73.37% -0.273 -0.4784 -0.531
2 Fragment 1527 53.98% 28.52 71.64% 0.418 0.1407 -0.016
2 Heart 839 53.58% 27.18 71.51% -0.321 -0.5409 -0.731
2 Opposite Shores 16877 43.99% 31.48 75.05% -0.003 0.0542 -1.09
2 Thematic 5314 39.07% 44.38 67.28% -0.266 0.1856 -0.685
2 Top to Top 3349 47.25% 33.67 74.11% 0.056 -0.0422 -0.52
3 Archipelago 207 34.3% 35.32 79.23% -0.232 -1.0231 -1.402
3 Coastline 356 38.55% 34.44 72.75% 0.579 0.0121 -0.118
3 Other 1599 41.85% 34.74 79.55% -0.058 -0.0868 -0.028
3 Round (Default) 36137 36.91% 35.78 77.97% 0.048 -0.1779 -0.821
3 Sunrise 210 41.26% 43.2 77.62% -0.429 -1.4137 0.074
3 Thematic 1426 34.49% 38.61 73.98% -0.648 -0.4509 -0.957
4 Archipelago 145 31.21% 37.75 82.76% 0.969 -0.2168 -1.188
4 Coastline 242 16.39% 44.95 78.93% -0.462 -1.0485 0.356
4 Leaf 154 37.75% 33.14 72.73% -0.582 -1.281 -1.701
4 Other 1026 37.24% 33.2 78.36% 0.353 -1.0041 -0.11
4 Reverse Snake 7 0.0% 32.57 100.0% 0.158 -0.021 0.0
4 Snake 5 20.0% 28.2 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6853 28.09% 52.87 73.72% -0.987 -1.185 -0.639
4 Trapezoid (Default) 25769 32.49% 37.15 78.36% -0.36 -0.6034 -0.905
5 Archipelago 51 39.22% 42.78 78.43% -0.673 -0.3568 -0.676
5 Coastline 135 5.3% 55.37 83.7% -0.977 -0.7839 -1.003
5 Other 852 35.56% 37.44 82.63% 0.173 -0.884 -0.238
5 Thematic 161 28.57% 56.5 76.4% -0.904 -1.382 0.54
6 Archipelago 112 19.39% 44.36 76.79% -0.544 -1.2805 -1.115
6 Coastline 111 7.32% 40.46 81.98% -0.354 -0.5946 -1.319
6 Other 570 17.5% 39.53 77.02% -0.25 -0.9874 -1.131
6 Star 140 31.65% 32.57 65.0% -1.458 -1.5147 -1.745
6 Thematic 896 18.7% 35.14 55.58% -1.914 -1.1602 -1.44
6 Two Centers (Default) 898 20.62% 28.91 73.39% -0.55 -1.1299 -1.628
7 Archipelago 19 36.84% 33.32 73.68% -0.509 0.2679 -0.565
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0521 -0.115
7 Other 24 40.91% 28.83 58.33% -0.495 -0.9065 -0.966

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10124 34.13 57.74% 0.534 0.6933 -0.751
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8833 36.47 61.35% 0.384 0.2975 -0.597
All Things Weaken 3837 30.23 47.9% -0.035 0.3071 -0.965
Attenuated Essence 297 29.67 48.15% 0.156 0.2304 -1.083
Back Against the Wall 7675 31.89 53.11% 0.129 0.2039 -1.06
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 310 29.38 53.87% 0.483 0.6742 -0.915
Burn Brightest Before the End 240 30.7 49.58% -0.13 -0.0063 -0.915
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9710 31.41 55.03% -0.197 0.1758 -0.957
Downward Spiral 28607 28.15 63.45% 0.32 0.4565 -0.74
Erosion of Will 10056 33.07 55.72% 0.058 0.3529 -0.9
Intensifying Exploitation 307 26.42 43.65% 0.145 0.384 -1.24
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1663 37.12 79.01% 0.438 -0.0941 -0.265
Memory Fades to Dust 28269 27.28 58.5% 0.159 0.4394 -0.916
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3876 29.93 53.35% 0.173 0.3259 -1.061
Promising Farmlands 10035 31.86 55.58% -0.076 0.2699 -0.996
Shattered Fragments of Power 256 31.3 53.52% 0.225 0.4201 -0.668
Slow Dissolution of Will 317 27.75 40.69% -0.203 0.2484 -1.229
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1031 38.41 81.28% 0.795 0.0544 0.147
The Border of Life and Death 91 30.3 57.14% 0.331 -0.1019 -1.309
Thriving Communities 3971 30.58 53.74% 0.226 0.5251 -0.898
Thriving Crops 157 31.63 59.87% 0.449 0.3467 -0.558
Tipping Point 4262 33.62 58.59% 0.0 0.5571 -0.769
Unnatural Proliferation 4229 32.76 55.92% 0.594 0.7393 -0.791
Untended Land Crumbles 4020 29.74 51.24% 0.188 0.4879 -0.981

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 95423 44.71% 32.71 74.23% -1.107 -0.1125 -0.116
B 97776 44.56% 33.73 74.58% -1.107 -0.1893 0.172
C 97396 45.08% 33.61 74.69% -1.124 -0.3811 0.018
D 114350 45.8% 33.31 73.66% -0.956 -0.0042 -0.196
E 25012 43.48% 34.77 73.04% -0.955 -0.1741 -0.297
F 37012 44.28% 35.45 74.23% -1.18 -0.2874 -0.135
G 34969 44.53% 35.9 74.84% -0.913 -0.0574 -0.036
H 36188 43.89% 35.58 74.4% -0.952 -0.1043 -0.11
East 17130 36.63% 46.32 66.64% -0.502 0.2677 -0.642
Northeast 12478 33.45% 47.98 68.35% -0.659 0.1288 -0.578
Northwest 10778 30.98% 48.88 69.6% -0.702 0.2812 -0.452
Southeast 2812 36.51% 38.09 59.5% -1.759 -0.8842 -1.716
Southwest 2504 32.89% 37.37 63.22% -0.76 0.4481 -0.763
West 15551 35.03% 46.68 68.24% -0.643 0.2912 -0.666

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 15633 0.0% 18.32 65.98% -0.524 0.1052 -1.181
Not Using Events or Tokens 69003 53.1% 25.8 71.05% -0.407 0.099 0.087
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9215 17.07% 39.87 87.38% 0.762 0.1275 0.384
Start of Game Growth 14548 19.3% 39.24 86.45% 0.451 0.0619 0.21
Unlimited Undo 27408 40.17% 35.74 78.99% 0.347 0.391 0.518
Using Tokens but Not Events 26350 43.36% 31.96 74.71% -0.126 -0.1526 0.03

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 28664 100.0% 38.56 100.0% 0.225 0.102 0.175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 21871 100.93% 31.23 100.6% -0.207 0.0336 -0.556
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 352 42.33% 35.82 62.5% 0.488 -0.5132 -0.114
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4117 100.0% 32.6 100.0% -0.37 -0.5969 -0.358
Downpour Drenches the World 1384 100.0% 32.78 100.0% 0.033 0.3578 -0.272
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 878 100.0% 30.86 100.0% 0.062 -0.4378 -0.313
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7557 100.0% 35.41 100.0% 0.134 -0.3272 0.176
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5731 100.0% 36.05 100.0% 0.35 -0.0789 -0.106
Finder of Paths Unseen 1386 100.0% 27.88 100.0% -0.477 0.346 -0.742
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1492 100.0% 39.77 100.0% -0.702 -0.1046 0.022
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1166 100.0% 35.1 100.0% -0.307 -0.3078 -0.067
Heart of the Wildfire 9995 100.0% 36.39 100.0% -0.305 0.0789 0.342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18136 100.39% 39.55 100.23% -0.09 -0.5851 0.39
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 107 34.58% 32.87 60.75% 0.386 -0.1609 -0.434
Lightning's Swift Strike 19507 116.95% 36.14 105.87% 0.053 0.2354 0.343
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 533 35.06% 38.38 67.17% 0.133 -0.4037 -0.497
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 839 39.18% 37.95 70.68% -0.529 -0.82 0.431
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3516 28.51% 49.24 79.41% 0.511 0.3628 0.682
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8377 100.0% 33.92 100.0% -0.182 -0.4329 -0.361
Many Minds Move as One 2530 100.0% 36.25 100.0% -0.136 -0.2927 0.225
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5079 100.0% 39.08 100.0% 0.084 -0.0618 0.452
River Surges in Sunlight 51751 107.84% 37.77 103.88% 0.108 0.1458 0.294
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 4816 37.75% 33.95 71.7% -0.194 0.0659 -0.53
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1814 38.49% 38.45 64.44% -0.049 -0.0998 -0.177
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 15789 100.0% 39.45 100.0% -0.208 -0.3824 0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8697 111.94% 33.08 104.73% -0.265 0.3474 0.425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 180 19.32% 40.26 80.56% 0.732 0.8359 1.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 81 49.38% 38.99 70.37% 0.328 -0.2532 0.576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 299 30.3% 38.79 74.58% 0.345 0.3917 0.53
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 568 45.57% 33.12 74.12% 0.129 0.2094 -0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 558 37.23% 33.31 76.88% 0.069 0.2767 0.239
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9053 101.81% 39.72 101.06% -0.404 -0.3251 0.657
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 250 34.4% 32.65 61.6% 0.303 -0.0199 -0.243
Shifting Memory of Ages 1404 100.0% 32.41 100.0% -0.301 -0.0352 -0.273
Shroud of Silent Mist 1568 100.0% 30.16 100.0% -0.722 -0.3548 -0.197
Starlight Seeks its Form 1722 100.0% 34.23 100.0% 0.61 0.3818 -0.053
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4036 100.0% 34.57 100.0% -0.421 -0.7777 -0.392
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 11383 100.0% 38.05 100.0% 0.208 0.3411 0.367
Thunderspeaker 16597 100.59% 36.48 100.49% 0.019 0.0476 -0.023
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 151 33.78% 27.68 46.36% 0.228 0.4679 -0.755
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2204 100.0% 34.08 100.0% 0.034 0.2251 -0.019
Vital Strength of the Earth 11633 104.76% 32.26 102.65% -0.194 0.3633 0.512
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 377 21.94% 31.68 60.21% -0.038 0.3718 0.038
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 447 38.15% 29.55 64.65% -0.4 0.3286 -1.144
Volcano Looming High 2591 100.0% 34.67 100.0% 0.277 0.2961 -0.163
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 537 100.0% 36.65 100.0% 0.788 0.194 0.199

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.65%
Grasping Tide 92.36%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 76.54%
Tidal Boon 77.86%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37618 17.67 11.41%
II 87477 30.7 58.03%
III 111292 34.75 86.5%
IV 62693 38.22 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4291
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 92588
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 46788
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 61681
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12301
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1619
Lose: Adversary condition 18754
Win: Sacrifice victory 1572
Lose: Scenario condition 3755
Win: Scenario condition 6781
Lose: Blight pool ran out 47743
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1207

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.809 Win Model: -0.064

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.261 Win Model: 0.167
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 128784 63.22% 31.63 65.93%
2 92893 46.01% 33.15 74.16%
3 39618 36.87% 35.89 77.91%
4 34285 31.54% 40.31 77.52%
5 761 27.6% 36.22 75.69%
6 2739 19.44% 34.73 68.57%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)