Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 143 30.99% 26.86 65.73% -0.156 -0.7632 -0.016
Blitz 0 3860 41.87% 30.43 62.9% -0.267 0.2197 -0.313
Dahan Insurrection 4 5747 33.4% 52.63 58.97% -0.033 -0.5343 0.027
Despicable Theft 2 308 48.05% 24.83 49.35% -0.287 0.3111 -1.358
Elemental Invocation 1 512 56.84% 28.08 53.71% -0.564 0.2896 -1.512
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14143 9.22% 48.3 70.9% 0.55 -0.123 0.526
Powers Long Forgotten 1 745 50.41% 31.52 55.57% -0.661 -0.0671 -0.923
Rituals of Terror 3 864 59.25% 28.2 39.35% -0.848 -0.9121 -1.436
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 446 74.83% 29.61 37.89% -0.381 0.4146 -1.813
Second Wave 0 9052 42.22% 29.35 76.66% 0.542 0.6391 0.005
The Great River 3 519 32.05% 28.53 47.78% -1.671 -0.302 -2.065
Varied Terrains 2 242 49.17% 24.79 48.35% 0.172 0.9695 -1.345
Ward the Shores 2 4186 55.54% 28.16 55.3% -0.528 0.2809 -1.161

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 142465 62.21% 29.6 63.29% -0.478 -0.2061 -0.861
1 Thematic 7032 55.23% 38.92 52.92% -0.175 0.4558 -1.214
2 Archipelago 388 48.7% 30.62 59.54% -0.647 -0.2665 -1.949
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 63773 45.67% 31.58 71.19% -0.304 -0.1876 -0.668
2 Coastline 11915 46.51% 30.27 69.52% 0.333 0.0794 -0.812
2 Fragment 1790 52.83% 27.41 68.49% -0.218 -0.2339 -0.219
2 Heart 1069 51.0% 25.5 66.79% -0.668 -0.7788 -1.19
2 Opposite Shores 20042 42.86% 30.49 72.17% -0.099 0.0296 -1.324
2 Thematic 6285 38.07% 42.58 64.63% -0.207 0.4467 -0.775
2 Top to Top 4000 45.36% 31.85 70.2% 0.047 -0.2351 -0.83
3 Archipelago 267 32.96% 32.57 73.41% 0.303 0.2066 -1.687
3 Coastline 420 36.95% 32.46 70.0% 0.494 0.1162 -0.499
3 Other 1763 41.23% 33.32 77.82% 0.251 -0.7229 -0.277
3 Round (Default) 42762 36.57% 34.47 74.8% -0.24 -0.2813 -1.163
3 Sunrise 229 40.0% 41.83 77.29% 0.711 0.6551 -0.189
3 Thematic 1732 33.72% 36.93 72.34% -0.316 -0.3877 -1.179
4 Archipelago 199 28.35% 35.67 75.88% 0.027 -0.4414 -1.564
4 Coastline 271 18.42% 43.16 76.38% -0.569 -0.9675 0.26
4 Leaf 193 37.97% 30.52 70.98% -0.501 -0.1301 -1.896
4 Other 1242 33.97% 30.55 72.06% -0.063 -0.9261 -0.138
4 Reverse Snake 10 0.0% 22.8 70.0% 0.0 0.4881 0.0
4 Snake 10 22.22% 31.7 80.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.51
4 Thematic 7280 28.16% 51.49 71.95% -0.491 -0.3511 -0.985
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30303 31.8% 34.75 74.0% -0.424 -0.4058 -1.476
5 Archipelago 70 47.83% 38.57 62.86% -0.941 -1.2011 -2.033
5 Coastline 155 7.24% 54.02 82.58% 0.376 -0.3246 -1.107
5 Other 1170 33.48% 34.6 79.32% 0.329 -0.0118 -0.74
5 Thematic 195 27.69% 52.34 72.31% 0.077 0.1869 0.171
6 Archipelago 391 6.1% 61.72 79.28% -0.23 -1.2642 -1.321
6 Coastline 166 6.57% 43.53 79.52% -0.041 -0.7747 -1.527
6 Other 904 17.69% 33.95 66.48% -0.999 -0.9174 -1.854
6 Star 202 25.37% 29.39 62.87% -0.718 -0.1128 -2.269
6 Thematic 1519 16.46% 35.29 52.4% -1.147 -0.7827 -1.629
6 Two Centers (Default) 1393 21.78% 26.43 66.55% -1.1 -0.619 -1.982
7 Archipelago 30 31.03% 28.37 56.67% 0.319 -0.4184 -0.586
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.132
7 Other 33 35.48% 25.39 48.48% -0.714 -1.1422 -1.373

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11081 33.66 56.85% -0.018 0.1429 -0.45
Aid From Lesser Spirits 9596 36.29 60.95% 0.761 0.671 -0.265
All Things Weaken 4706 29.21 45.96% -0.528 -0.2964 -0.721
Attenuated Essence 831 29.16 49.1% -0.077 0.0024 -0.889
Back Against the Wall 8385 31.65 52.81% 0.326 0.2844 -0.728
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 805 28.96 50.81% 0.01 0.155 -0.722
Burn Brightest Before the End 622 29.12 45.02% -0.212 -0.0714 -0.932
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10697 30.79 53.96% 0.169 0.5238 -0.664
Downward Spiral 32410 27.44 62.1% 0.589 0.7331 -0.449
Erosion of Will 10987 32.66 54.96% 0.34 0.5517 -0.597
Intensifying Exploitation 841 26.79 44.95% 0.307 0.5255 -1.004
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1987 36.11 77.0% 1.275 0.936 0.011
Memory Fades to Dust 32083 26.57 57.13% 0.298 0.5813 -0.602
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4645 29.22 52.12% -0.029 0.1137 -0.778
Promising Farmlands 11045 31.32 54.63% -0.232 0.2128 -0.719
Shattered Fragments of Power 645 31.8 50.85% 0.271 0.483 -0.388
Slow Dissolution of Will 825 26.02 39.03% -0.349 0.2385 -1.194
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1270 37.28 78.9% 0.692 0.1366 0.315
The Border of Life and Death 225 29.41 60.44% 0.236 -0.0663 -0.645
Thriving Communities 4823 29.8 52.25% -0.153 0.1947 -0.656
Thriving Crops 419 31.02 59.9% 0.936 0.7489 -0.533
Tipping Point 4263 33.61 58.57% 0.0 0.2633 -0.44
Unnatural Proliferation 5072 31.9 54.34% -0.024 0.1624 -0.532
Untended Land Crumbles 4877 29.01 49.91% 0.04 0.3352 -0.72

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 112115 43.48% 31.21 70.83% -0.427 0.5222 -0.309
B 114297 43.38% 32.18 71.01% -0.431 0.421 -0.05
C 113627 43.82% 32.13 71.31% -0.38 0.3496 -0.168
D 134004 44.51% 31.78 70.19% -0.373 0.5014 -0.406
E 32761 42.14% 32.4 68.07% -0.545 0.1672 -0.568
F 44931 43.18% 33.55 70.37% -0.308 0.4891 -0.281
G 42809 43.23% 34.18 70.97% -0.226 0.5941 -0.223
H 44688 42.58% 34.17 70.75% -0.214 0.5704 -0.259
East 19732 35.58% 44.39 64.4% -0.424 0.4554 -0.787
Northeast 14312 32.2% 46.11 65.94% -0.707 -0.1378 -0.71
Northwest 12196 29.97% 47.11 67.26% 0.271 1.2021 -0.597
Southeast 3809 32.57% 36.51 56.92% -0.658 0.0416 -1.875
Southwest 3442 29.58% 36.04 59.44% -0.623 0.7125 -1.089
West 17772 34.23% 44.78 65.99% -0.803 0.0426 -0.843

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 18745 0.0% 17.15 61.79% -0.254 0.4887 -1.091
Not Using Events or Tokens 83156 51.4% 24.09 66.64% -0.414 0.0716 -0.042
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10410 16.91% 39.0 85.08% 0.602 0.1256 0.443
Start of Game Growth 16626 18.74% 38.22 84.13% 0.513 -0.0111 0.482
Unlimited Undo 32181 38.5% 34.02 75.34% 0.204 0.1075 0.357
Using Tokens but Not Events 31712 41.34% 30.97 71.65% -0.078 -0.2123 0.03

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 32916 28.57% 36.83 75.22% 0.198 0.1063 0.181
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 591 20.47% 28.94 51.61% -0.114 -0.5663 0.201
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 24945 49.07% 29.7 67.0% -0.251 -0.1113 -0.469
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1522 35.7% 33.06 57.03% 0.067 -0.5574 -0.148
Dances Up Earthquakes 3 66.67% 44.33 33.33% 0.163 -0.1035 -0.328
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4821 33.5% 31.02 73.12% -0.266 -0.4377 -0.251
Downpour Drenches the World 2380 27.26% 29.13 55.76% 0.056 0.3077 -0.179
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1743 33.83% 28.47 58.46% -0.411 -0.7952 -0.44
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9125 27.37% 33.02 76.28% 0.265 -0.0864 -0.129
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6930 33.59% 36.92 76.25% 0.409 -0.0168 0.098
Finder of Paths Unseen 2433 31.75% 23.78 51.5% -0.2 0.5686 -0.74
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1907 32.22% 36.22 64.18% 0.073 0.705 -0.048
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1788 39.11% 31.47 61.58% -0.051 -0.1039 -0.176
Heart of the Wildfire 11085 48.22% 34.91 69.91% -0.315 0.0039 0.23
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 20228 35.91% 38.7 76.87% 0.547 0.0682 0.277
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 536 25.93% 27.09 59.7% -0.02 -0.5678 -0.882
Lightning's Swift Strike 22280 35.41% 33.99 74.04% -0.058 0.1365 0.213
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1145 26.38% 42.88 66.03% 0.459 -0.0275 -0.484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1004 38.45% 36.29 68.13% -0.148 -0.4815 0.61
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4610 27.01% 46.7 75.62% 0.51 0.5393 0.757
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 10863 37.08% 31.85 70.28% -0.114 -0.25 -0.319
Many Minds Move as One 3148 36.43% 34.32 73.89% 0.211 -0.0007 0.252
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5942 32.22% 39.0 78.22% 0.353 0.2817 0.643
River Surges in Sunlight 58529 35.54% 36.37 74.71% -0.163 -0.093 0.34
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 206 41.46% 27.27 57.28% -0.213 0.0189 -0.164
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 6465 36.8% 31.23 65.96% -0.02 0.1127 -0.583
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 3207 36.73% 33.51 57.06% -0.561 -0.503 -0.526
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 17920 31.92% 37.89 72.35% 0.236 0.1269 0.123
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 10 0.0% 16.9 30.0% -0.664 -1.0986 -0.768
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9784 43.13% 31.46 73.98% -0.227 0.2963 0.365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 253 25.2% 35.06 71.15% 0.453 0.3227 1.192
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 393 37.5% 36.07 65.65% 0.295 -0.1805 0.354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 423 30.4% 38.55 72.1% 0.389 0.3049 0.795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 663 45.9% 31.86 71.19% -0.015 -0.1701 -0.352
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 650 36.41% 31.21 73.69% -0.251 -0.0198 0.231
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9839 35.69% 38.8 77.76% 0.202 0.1491 0.764
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 668 28.42% 37.27 64.22% 0.415 0.233 0.356
Shifting Memory of Ages 1962 37.93% 30.02 64.27% -0.538 -0.1438 -0.226
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 456 26.87% 27.05 49.12% -0.091 -0.2668 -0.035
Shroud of Silent Mist 2117 44.96% 27.83 64.57% -0.59 -0.1771 -0.28
Starlight Seeks its Form 2725 33.54% 31.39 65.83% -0.242 -0.3076 0.122
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4797 40.5% 33.23 68.5% -0.136 -0.6407 -0.181
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 13176 32.97% 36.69 78.16% 0.32 0.3982 0.424
Thunderspeaker 19061 34.51% 34.66 73.31% 0.074 0.0626 -0.01
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 370 35.69% 29.32 48.92% -0.021 0.2645 -0.119
Towering Roots of the Jungle 442 40.82% 32.61 58.6% 0.435 0.6414 0.013
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2643 58.52% 32.24 64.7% -0.412 -0.2619 0.066
Vital Strength of the Earth 13155 30.93% 30.7 73.52% -0.199 0.2793 0.669
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 742 21.72% 27.25 49.06% 0.212 0.6509 -0.636
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 578 36.68% 28.63 64.01% -0.427 0.1908 -0.867
Volcano Looming High 3512 44.39% 33.11 67.08% -0.259 -0.1962 -0.004
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2060 32.28% 34.08 66.5% 0.686 0.383 0.109

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 85.68%
Grasping Tide 92.58%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 77.36%
Tidal Boon 78.65%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 55457 14.43 8.5%
II 100304 30.33 56.69%
III 125987 34.84 86.03%
IV 70290 38.61 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 4712
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 104430
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 52627
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 69188
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 30316
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1830
Lose: Adversary condition 20969
Win: Sacrifice victory 1722
Lose: Scenario condition 4162
Win: Scenario condition 7225
Lose: Blight pool ran out 53513
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1344

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.661 Win Model: -0.076

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.297 Win Model: 0.092
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 151018 61.89% 30.12 62.88%
2 108924 44.76% 31.72 70.72%
3 46796 36.49% 34.57 74.89%
4 39566 31.03% 37.81 73.63%
5 1133 27.93% 33.51 73.17%
6 4601 17.45% 34.81 63.29%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. All models omit the user with ID starting with 83fcac33, for extreme outlying behavior. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-14 02:28:37 (Pacific Time)