Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 18.0% 27.02 80.0% -0.505 -0.4534 0.312
Blitz 0 138 16.18% 27.83 63.77% -0.47 -0.2692 1.053
Dahan Insurrection 4 198 24.75% 33.0 31.82% -0.882 -1.0931 -0.557
Despicable Theft 2 36 38.89% 24.97 47.22% 0.063 0.9074 -0.488
Elemental Invocation 1 45 40.0% 18.8 33.33% -0.705 0.366 -0.566
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 914 17.85% 40.74 61.38% 0.734 0.0091 0.765
Powers Long Forgotten 1 33 48.48% 15.58 27.27% -0.714 0.1919 -0.46
Rituals of Terror 3 43 51.16% 37.23 48.84% 0.0 0.0301 -0.035
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 45.83% 20.42 50.0% -0.099 1.0893 -0.371
Second Wave 0 509 24.8% 37.21 77.8% 0.995 1.0758 0.835
The Great River 3 44 31.82% 19.2 18.18% -1.521 -0.1337 -0.917
Varied Terrains 2 93 47.31% 22.57 39.78% -0.633 0.2683 -0.673
Ward the Shores 2 53 24.53% 20.75 39.62% -0.808 0.2473 -0.171

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5833 44.4% 22.65 49.49% -0.387 -0.3566 -0.131
1 Thematic 420 29.05% 16.81 22.86% -0.399 0.0332 -0.897
2 Archipelago 8 12.5% 23.25 62.5% 0.23 0.7228 -0.678
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2022 40.11% 28.06 58.11% -0.051 -0.0993 0.435
2 Coastline 295 36.3% 28.75 69.15% -0.062 -0.163 1.362
2 Fragment 36 41.67% 34.47 83.33% 1.309 0.8962 1.831
2 Heart 39 46.15% 27.77 51.28% -0.756 -0.8459 0.736
2 Opposite Shores 492 37.91% 28.66 62.4% -0.111 -0.2907 -0.033
2 Thematic 108 41.12% 27.63 43.52% -0.05 0.1368 0.77
2 Top to Top 89 51.69% 29.69 56.18% 1.212 1.0124 0.887
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 40.13 87.5% 0.111 -1.01 -0.353
3 Coastline 17 35.29% 19.41 47.06% -0.85 -1.5121 0.671
3 Other 77 29.73% 23.27 55.84% 0.703 0.3692 0.13
3 Round (Default) 1695 36.45% 37.09 68.97% 0.184 -0.0817 -0.167
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 21.8 80.0% 0.503 1.0139 0.0
3 Thematic 56 30.36% 28.95 51.79% 0.227 -0.219 0.65
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 27.64 72.73% -0.873 -1.4305 0.581
4 Coastline 5 40.0% 25.6 60.0% 0.027 -0.5914 0.379
4 Leaf 8 75.0% 48.75 87.5% 0.523 1.3689 -0.115
4 Other 43 27.91% 33.05 76.74% 0.556 -0.1814 1.137
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.456 -0.5127 -0.179
4 Thematic 113 43.36% 37.05 60.18% 0.064 0.2673 0.081
4 Trapezoid (Default) 804 32.27% 33.67 64.68% 0.416 0.7565 -0.408
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 67.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.0008 -0.512
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 17.0 60.0% -0.026 -0.5535 -0.084
5 Other 130 33.59% 34.02 58.46% -0.329 -1.0501 -1.412
5 Thematic 29 24.14% 26.83 13.79% -0.826 -0.6662 -0.819
6 Archipelago 8 25.0% 21.75 62.5% -0.644 -1.3594 -0.518
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 10.8 40.0% -0.19 -0.6788 0.561
6 Other 102 34.31% 31.66 64.71% -0.458 -0.0179 -1.566
6 Star 61 36.07% 26.11 62.3% 0.0 0.298 -2.15
6 Thematic 368 18.85% 25.67 36.96% -0.608 -0.5826 -1.619
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 25.42% 32.69 68.18% -0.936 -0.8384 -1.014
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5266 0.052
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.147
7 Other 6 33.33% 23.83 66.67% 0.477 -0.9395 -0.002

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 282 31.81 50.0% 0.44 0.5784 0.583
Aid From Lesser Spirits 278 35.13 56.83% 0.903 0.8443 0.757
All Things Weaken 317 26.82 39.43% -0.604 -0.2497 -0.457
Attenuated Essence 126 28.6 42.06% -0.152 -0.0411 -0.122
Back Against the Wall 268 32.69 50.0% 0.365 0.4415 0.313
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 124 25.65 37.9% 0.284 0.4943 0.043
Burn Brightest Before the End 89 27.92 39.33% 0.543 0.6632 -0.167
Disintegrating Ecosystem 335 26.19 37.61% -0.814 -0.4456 -0.404
Downward Spiral 362 26.66 46.69% -1.026 -0.8296 0.041
Erosion of Will 322 29.62 44.1% 0.007 0.2743 0.112
Intensifying Exploitation 118 26.17 38.14% 0.0 0.2704 0.208
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 122 31.8 61.48% 0.213 -0.2978 -0.371
Memory Fades to Dust 358 27.01 44.97% 0.501 0.8121 0.079
Power Corrodes the Spirit 315 29.43 44.76% -0.674 -0.3796 0.354
Promising Farmlands 313 28.29 41.85% 0.018 0.354 0.333
Shattered Fragments of Power 100 34.44 58.0% 0.206 0.315 0.642
Slow Dissolution of Will 120 24.13 35.0% -0.041 0.3587 -0.084
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 104 33.56 62.5% 0.288 -0.3254 0.595
The Border of Life and Death 53 23.11 45.28% -0.434 -0.7263 -0.391
Thriving Communities 323 27.51 42.72% -0.283 0.0499 -0.011
Thriving Crops 48 24.52 37.5% 0.2 0.1136 0.537
Unnatural Proliferation 338 31.11 42.31% 0.135 0.2833 0.332
Untended Land Crumbles 282 28.33 43.26% -1.179 -0.8719 0.217

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3254 36.85% 29.13 59.13% 0.275 1.18 0.034
B 3457 38.22% 30.08 61.12% 0.452 1.2807 0.12
C 3687 36.7% 29.97 61.81% 0.424 1.1038 0.444
D 2980 36.58% 29.75 61.74% -0.069 0.7846 0.446
E 3185 38.05% 29.85 59.47% 0.361 1.0619 0.322
F 2709 40.27% 29.91 60.06% -0.129 0.6523 0.167
G 2244 37.9% 28.98 59.45% 0.015 0.7867 -0.101
H 2299 37.96% 30.42 60.94% 0.265 1.0334 0.344
East 807 26.21% 28.37 42.63% 0.152 1.0136 0.088
Northeast 601 23.87% 27.83 41.43% -0.352 0.3948 -0.793
Northwest 734 26.81% 21.99 31.06% -0.018 0.8154 -0.443
Southeast 523 21.69% 26.5 39.77% -0.62 0.1557 0.326
Southwest 490 25.0% 25.14 36.53% -0.429 0.8898 -0.648
West 889 28.33% 22.79 32.4% -0.324 0.6819 -0.364

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 237 0.0% 15.89 37.55% -0.532 0.2988 -0.157
Not Using Events or Tokens 351 30.13% 11.5 31.91% -1.257 -0.8157 -0.974
Skip Initial Invader Actions 541 8.82% 41.7 76.16% 0.313 -0.249 -0.289
Start of Game Growth 693 13.46% 39.26 72.58% 1.461 0.9224 0.695
Unlimited Undo 1387 30.91% 29.2 60.63% -0.33 -0.2886 0.571
Using Tokens but Not Events 1420 20.77% 26.02 60.21% -0.445 -0.4682 -1.378

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1399 22.04% 35.96 65.76% 0.837 0.7345 0.334
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 146 29.58% 19.97 51.37% -0.053 0.1077 -0.35
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 52 39.22% 27.17 57.69% 0.089 -0.7464 0.229
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 290 33.92% 22.02 54.14% -0.617 -0.7481 -0.761
Downpour Drenches the World 705 26.96% 30.27 53.76% -0.371 -0.0533 0.297
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 290 37.93% 30.9 60.0% -0.162 -0.647 -0.01
Eyes Watch From the Trees 349 32.05% 30.47 65.62% -0.142 -0.5949 0.268
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 277 36.43% 27.49 62.09% 0.031 -0.4211 0.128
Finder of Paths Unseen 295 42.07% 28.48 60.0% 0.251 0.9173 0.239
Fractured Days Split the Sky 371 34.77% 39.23 49.33% 0.78 1.4583 0.097
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 244 36.07% 26.96 60.25% -0.102 -0.0405 0.364
Heart of the Wildfire 243 42.26% 27.7 59.26% -0.35 -0.0897 -0.158
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 612 38.87% 35.15 69.28% -0.088 -0.4817 0.943
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 132 25.0% 32.5 52.27% 0.278 -0.1169 -0.027
Lightning's Swift Strike 185 37.21% 25.34 63.78% 0.227 0.4805 -0.302
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 699 31.48% 36.84 71.53% 0.707 0.153 -0.317
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 126 36.0% 31.6 65.87% -0.034 -0.2699 -0.368
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 308 34.44% 33.88 65.58% -0.967 -1.2186 0.509
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 357 39.89% 29.32 58.54% -0.36 -0.684 -0.51
Many Minds Move as One 159 30.19% 33.03 69.81% -0.283 -0.4831 0.352
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 499 21.99% 29.49 55.51% 0.081 0.0534 0.038
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 326 35.92% 25.81 57.36% -0.403 -0.5453 -0.119
River Surges in Sunlight 171 42.24% 25.35 63.16% 0.086 0.2027 1.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 365 19.11% 24.38 41.64% -0.937 -0.5999 -1.123
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 645 34.91% 35.05 71.32% 0.314 0.1663 0.463
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 863 24.13% 37.17 55.85% 0.248 0.0805 0.631
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 45 39.02% 15.53 42.22% 0.28 0.8242 -0.306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 185 27.78% 25.42 72.43% 0.292 0.3775 -0.061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 75 37.33% 30.92 57.33% 0.602 0.2325 0.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 225 34.53% 29.88 68.0% -0.588 -0.4223 -0.29
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 64 33.33% 27.5 62.5% -1.175 -1.1443 0.22
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 52 42.0% 24.87 63.46% -0.362 -0.1913 0.008
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 273 33.97% 35.91 68.13% 0.141 0.0457 0.208
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 141 38.13% 30.78 63.12% 0.73 0.4888 -0.275
Shifting Memory of Ages 681 31.76% 29.42 45.81% -0.586 -0.2082 -0.782
Shroud of Silent Mist 162 26.09% 21.59 54.32% -0.217 0.1535 -0.706
Starlight Seeks its Form 613 41.67% 38.1 65.58% 0.391 0.1848 0.497
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 461 36.9% 36.0 65.29% 0.796 0.0791 -0.166
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 260 34.52% 27.79 56.15% 0.065 0.2469 0.175
Thunderspeaker 273 34.22% 33.18 67.4% 0.07 0.0836 0.092
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 33.67% 23.02 49.0% -0.373 -0.2673 -0.487
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 169 58.58% 31.01 57.99% 0.033 0.1738 -0.125
Volcano Looming High 305 52.46% 31.88 57.38% -0.317 -0.3495 0.32
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 87 36.78% 35.93 65.52% 1.201 0.7639 0.317

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 81.79%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.65%
Guard the Healing Land 87.32%
Rituals of Destruction 86.86%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4299 16.23 7.3%
II 3787 30.54 61.79%
III 3677 34.77 86.81%
IV 1388 38.37 99.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 314
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2286
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1369
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2726
Lose: Invader deck ran out 362
Lose: Adversary condition 1245
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Scenario condition 154
Win: Scenario condition 83
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1383
Lose: Spirit destroyed 55

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.231 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.461 Win Model: 0.044
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6293 43.32% 22.19 47.56%
2 3076 39.76% 28.47 59.85%
3 1842 36.25% 36.12 68.02%
4 1021 34.26% 34.43 62.68%
5 139 25.55% 29.34 60.43%
6 780 24.23% 28.89 53.21%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)