Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 70 21.43% 26.11 77.14% 0.382 0.3548 0.073
Blitz 0 200 15.66% 25.82 61.5% 0.756 1.0065 0.714
Dahan Insurrection 4 288 20.83% 28.73 29.17% -1.441 -1.6899 -0.835
Despicable Theft 2 55 40.0% 22.56 43.64% -0.486 -0.024 -0.408
Elemental Invocation 1 72 36.11% 16.68 31.94% -1.095 -0.3924 -0.85
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1300 16.4% 38.16 57.23% 0.331 -0.2221 0.51
Powers Long Forgotten 1 54 40.74% 12.0 20.37% -0.524 0.1 -0.878
Rituals of Terror 3 76 42.11% 31.93 43.42% 0.026 0.2185 -0.333
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 54.55% 24.2 50.0% 0.239 1.161 0.4
Second Wave 0 799 27.61% 35.49 73.34% 0.44 0.5576 0.713
The Great River 3 54 31.48% 19.94 22.22% 0.0 1.068 -0.99
Varied Terrains 2 122 45.9% 22.17 40.98% -0.416 0.3248 -0.482
Ward the Shores 2 74 28.38% 19.77 37.84% -1.287 -0.2037 -0.33

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 9115 43.82% 20.38 44.42% -0.351 0.1759 0.022
1 Thematic 524 32.44% 17.29 26.91% 0.292 1.1461 -0.323
2 Archipelago 14 21.43% 27.21 71.43% -0.301 0.7536 -0.527
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3315 39.99% 26.39 54.39% 0.353 0.6304 0.689
2 Coastline 462 32.97% 27.37 63.64% 0.318 0.4203 1.069
2 Fragment 56 42.86% 31.91 73.21% 0.282 0.295 2.155
2 Heart 57 49.12% 32.19 54.39% 0.818 0.9299 1.165
2 Opposite Shores 753 39.14% 27.79 58.7% -0.225 0.1115 0.159
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 174 34.3% 24.64 43.1% -0.498 0.1919 0.68
2 Top to Top 136 51.47% 30.41 59.56% -0.459 -0.2169 1.06
3 Archipelago 13 46.15% 41.08 76.92% -0.071 -0.7916 -0.254
3 Coastline 22 31.82% 23.14 54.55% 1.002 0.662 0.986
3 Other 105 30.39% 22.62 50.48% 0.767 0.1651 0.238
3 Round (Default) 2563 37.6% 34.92 64.53% 0.294 0.3004 0.055
3 Sunrise 10 60.0% 17.6 70.0% -0.379 -0.4408 0.0
3 Thematic 104 41.35% 26.22 45.19% -0.172 -0.0878 0.613
4 Archipelago 12 41.67% 28.17 75.0% 0.0 0.1505 0.401
4 Coastline 11 27.27% 36.0 81.82% 0.0 -0.7584 0.526
4 Leaf 14 71.43% 38.29 64.29% -0.215 -0.0779 -0.326
4 Other 62 32.26% 27.94 64.52% -0.173 -0.7921 1.195
4 Reverse Snake 3 66.67% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.0 -0.3905 -0.231
4 Thematic 164 44.51% 32.79 53.66% 0.074 0.342 -0.19
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1292 34.49% 30.42 57.74% -0.437 -0.2731 -0.594
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 67.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.8784 -0.514
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 19.43 57.14% 0.0 0.0963 -0.447
5 Other 204 29.7% 32.65 58.82% 0.887 0.5009 -1.462
5 Thematic 47 31.91% 26.66 19.15% -0.592 -1.3893 -1.262
6 Archipelago 14 14.29% 25.0 64.29% 0.137 -0.9731 -0.629
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 16.33 55.56% 0.0 -0.8372 0.459
6 Other 191 30.0% 30.18 61.78% -0.048 -0.0788 -1.477
6 Star 105 29.52% 24.43 55.24% -1.058 -1.0752 -2.516
6 Thematic 611 16.42% 24.06 34.04% -0.449 -0.3465 -1.264
6 Two Centers (Default) 436 28.41% 30.45 59.86% -1.013 -0.4478 -1.526
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 52.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.0747 0.104
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.141
7 Other 9 22.22% 15.89 44.44% -0.185 -0.6193 -0.71

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 443 29.71 45.6% -0.377 -0.1274 0.651
Aid From Lesser Spirits 394 34.38 57.61% 0.155 0.0372 0.854
All Things Weaken 476 24.84 35.08% -0.449 -0.1118 -0.277
Attenuated Essence 251 27.59 39.44% 0.014 0.0411 0.25
Back Against the Wall 394 31.84 47.46% 0.03 0.0313 0.484
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 251 25.33 37.05% -0.071 0.1458 0.292
Burn Brightest Before the End 193 27.92 38.34% -0.668 -0.6868 -0.226
Disintegrating Ecosystem 493 24.37 35.7% -0.286 0.1069 -0.167
Downward Spiral 574 24.48 40.77% 0.012 0.1204 0.262
Erosion of Will 458 27.64 39.52% -0.577 -0.2246 0.062
Intensifying Exploitation 236 26.28 40.68% 0.293 0.539 0.548
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 169 29.19 57.4% 0.4 -0.1239 -0.175
Memory Fades to Dust 572 24.63 40.56% -0.398 -0.1505 0.131
Power Corrodes the Spirit 434 27.97 43.55% -0.092 0.1299 0.307
Promising Farmlands 457 25.63 37.2% -0.706 -0.4236 0.425
Shattered Fragments of Power 203 33.09 52.22% -0.116 -0.0392 0.612
Slow Dissolution of Will 231 24.23 33.33% -0.335 0.0622 0.194
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 143 31.03 59.44% -0.075 -0.7702 0.317
The Border of Life and Death 91 24.89 49.45% 0.464 -0.1367 0.186
Thriving Communities 463 26.01 41.47% -0.489 -0.1322 0.055
Thriving Crops 105 23.58 38.1% -0.35 -0.5464 1.16
Unnatural Proliferation 502 29.52 41.63% -0.286 -0.124 0.451
Untended Land Crumbles 413 26.77 39.71% 0.111 0.3426 0.324

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5177 36.47% 26.99 54.8% 0.062 1.0669 0.112
B 5369 37.82% 27.87 55.99% 0.157 1.0762 0.195
C 5874 37.26% 27.89 56.66% 0.283 1.0173 0.361
D 4680 36.42% 27.39 56.13% 0.087 1.0647 0.356
E 5084 38.36% 28.19 55.31% 0.545 1.3646 0.374
F 4323 39.78% 28.0 55.61% 0.117 0.9906 0.206
G 3642 38.26% 26.95 54.45% -0.094 0.7148 -0.181
H 3779 38.8% 28.1 55.57% 0.173 0.9879 0.241
East 1273 26.2% 26.17 40.22% 0.017 0.92 -0.057
Northeast 993 23.71% 25.57 38.47% 0.769 1.5775 -0.037
Northwest 1103 25.75% 21.98 31.46% 0.299 1.1993 -0.493
Southeast 831 20.51% 25.04 37.3% 0.15 1.0004 0.001
Southwest 804 23.32% 23.41 33.96% -0.996 0.3795 -0.926
West 1341 28.27% 22.26 32.51% -1.585 -0.6299 -0.235

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 466 0.0% 19.52 40.13% -0.628 0.0798 -0.344
Not Using Events or Tokens 745 32.94% 11.87 28.99% -0.281 0.0868 -0.426
Skip Initial Invader Actions 746 10.38% 41.28 73.46% 0.569 -0.0157 0.037
Start of Game Growth 1012 15.21% 38.76 69.66% 0.777 0.2633 0.741
Unlimited Undo 2215 33.3% 27.54 55.85% 0.026 -0.0837 0.652
Using Tokens but Not Events 2116 22.07% 24.81 58.74% 0.21 0.184 -0.915

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1797 22.63% 34.27 63.16% 0.125 0.0194 0.417
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 482 33.05% 29.71 43.78% 0.523 0.0431 -0.169
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 227 27.35% 15.76 40.53% -1.603 -1.4774 -0.585
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 167 40.36% 20.86 40.72% -0.284 -1.1307 -0.481
Dances Up Earthquakes 77 37.66% 30.03 51.95% 0.606 0.6425 -0.406
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 499 37.53% 21.26 46.89% -0.885 -1.0217 -0.793
Downpour Drenches the World 1034 24.66% 27.43 47.78% -0.364 -0.1573 0.068
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 497 39.11% 29.37 54.93% -0.459 -1.07 -0.071
Eyes Watch From the Trees 533 32.68% 28.95 61.16% 0.237 -0.1388 0.457
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 452 34.55% 25.79 59.51% -0.025 -0.4158 0.293
Finder of Paths Unseen 440 36.55% 25.82 53.64% -0.09 0.6293 0.478
Fractured Days Split the Sky 537 32.77% 36.39 46.93% -0.13 0.4808 0.436
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 428 38.79% 26.05 54.44% 0.262 0.1628 0.296
Heart of the Wildfire 425 41.09% 24.07 54.59% 0.106 0.443 -0.619
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 850 40.24% 33.03 64.12% 0.032 -0.3984 0.599
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 321 29.91% 30.05 53.27% 0.215 -0.1 0.148
Lightning's Swift Strike 297 37.59% 24.17 53.87% 0.213 0.4426 -0.428
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 996 33.37% 35.56 65.66% -0.007 -0.4514 -0.207
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 183 33.52% 29.25 63.39% -0.327 -0.6373 0.102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 470 31.24% 31.16 60.85% -0.043 -0.1853 0.548
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 542 41.77% 28.04 54.43% -0.42 -0.6483 -0.57
Many Minds Move as One 291 34.71% 30.5 60.48% -0.211 -0.454 0.206
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 803 22.61% 26.93 49.32% 0.047 0.1559 -0.293
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 144 30.77% 29.9 52.78% 0.577 0.6951 -0.339
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 480 33.33% 24.46 54.37% -0.2 -0.2465 0.01
River Surges in Sunlight 289 36.53% 23.82 56.06% 0.235 0.3654 0.075
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 108 37.38% 19.51 43.52% -0.117 0.0586 -0.406
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 519 26.33% 25.56 45.66% -0.487 -0.189 -0.735
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 867 32.16% 32.14 65.05% 0.023 -0.0608 0.554
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1355 23.85% 35.56 53.51% 0.909 0.7976 0.689
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 132 36.36% 28.8 45.45% 0.262 0.1441 -0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 65 38.6% 15.38 41.54% 0.184 0.6788 -0.152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 248 32.1% 24.25 68.15% -0.046 -0.0969 0.163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 191 37.04% 28.1 58.64% 0.112 -0.3983 0.318
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 275 32.09% 28.25 65.82% -0.195 -0.3224 -0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 98 35.11% 23.78 57.14% -0.103 -0.0911 0.167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 78 41.33% 24.47 61.54% -0.148 -0.0123 0.209
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 358 33.72% 35.51 67.32% 0.272 0.3208 0.83
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 252 30.0% 26.97 57.54% -0.246 -0.4607 0.04
Shifting Memory of Ages 836 29.46% 28.21 47.13% -0.346 -0.0517 -0.587
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 374 27.27% 31.33 48.4% 0.301 0.183 0.026
Shroud of Silent Mist 242 27.92% 19.26 49.59% 0.817 1.145 -0.75
Starlight Seeks its Form 908 39.14% 35.26 61.78% 0.165 0.0655 0.616
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 715 37.08% 32.2 58.6% -0.054 -0.5844 -0.372
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 430 32.13% 26.33 53.26% -0.049 0.0286 0.465
Thunderspeaker 429 33.01% 31.44 62.0% 0.595 0.6309 0.28
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 179 35.03% 22.31 47.49% -0.519 -0.4601 -0.495
Towering Roots of the Jungle 176 46.86% 27.88 51.14% 0.649 0.7985 0.358
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 284 58.8% 29.82 55.99% -0.113 0.0331 -0.05
Volcano Looming High 461 49.78% 29.33 54.45% 0.046 0.0612 0.233
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 220 34.7% 31.21 60.91% 0.157 -0.1353 0.316

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 83.16%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.08%
Guard the Healing Land 88.19%
Rituals of Destruction 87.06%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7518 13.33 5.88%
II 5672 30.1 58.87%
III 5419 34.83 86.18%
IV 2019 38.67 99.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 442
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4613
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3266
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1989
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5439
Lose: Invader deck ran out 532
Lose: Adversary condition 1783
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 193
Win: Scenario condition 111
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2145
Lose: Spirit destroyed 81

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.233 Win Model: -0.133

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.563 Win Model: 0.183
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9692 43.11% 20.15 43.31%
2 4948 39.45% 27.02 56.2%
3 2800 37.71% 33.98 63.39%
4 1599 35.64% 31.02 56.6%
5 229 27.75% 30.35 57.64%
6 1360 22.97% 26.96 48.82%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)