Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 64 18.75% 25.95 78.13% 0.17 -0.3881 0.433
Blitz 0 183 16.02% 25.57 61.2% 0.23 0.6525 0.751
Dahan Insurrection 4 267 20.6% 28.22 28.09% -0.931 -1.4128 -0.827
Despicable Theft 2 52 42.31% 22.27 44.23% -0.195 0.3473 -0.454
Elemental Invocation 1 63 36.51% 18.83 36.51% 0.466 1.2034 -0.691
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1184 16.91% 38.58 57.77% 0.279 -0.3772 0.591
Powers Long Forgotten 1 45 44.44% 13.31 22.22% -0.315 0.2472 -0.678
Rituals of Terror 3 71 42.25% 32.51 42.25% 0.061 -0.0808 -0.343
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 39 53.85% 23.62 48.72% -0.753 -0.004 0.441
Second Wave 0 708 26.91% 35.58 73.73% 0.685 0.7797 0.734
The Great River 3 54 31.48% 19.94 22.22% 0.0 1.2453 -1.082
Varied Terrains 2 112 46.43% 22.04 40.18% -0.073 0.7949 -0.745
Ward the Shores 2 65 27.69% 20.83 41.54% 0.526 1.3806 -0.248

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 7729 43.04% 21.14 46.78% -0.295 0.0778 -0.005
1 Thematic 475 30.74% 16.79 25.05% -0.814 -0.0993 -0.587
2 Archipelago 12 25.0% 29.5 75.0% 0.594 1.1176 -0.543
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2888 39.79% 26.7 54.57% -0.011 0.1504 0.579
2 Coastline 397 32.82% 28.11 66.25% 0.336 0.1424 1.187
2 Fragment 50 38.0% 33.72 80.0% 0.618 0.5702 2.067
2 Heart 53 49.06% 33.21 54.72% 0.298 0.0855 1.168
2 Opposite Shores 623 36.63% 28.52 62.6% 0.586 0.7188 0.192
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.314 0.1302 0.0
2 Thematic 151 35.57% 25.09 41.72% -0.233 0.4876 0.648
2 Top to Top 118 50.0% 32.08 61.86% 1.295 1.2106 1.201
3 Archipelago 11 45.45% 38.73 81.82% 0.54 -0.0031 -0.536
3 Coastline 19 36.84% 20.16 47.37% 0.206 -0.4246 0.71
3 Other 96 29.03% 23.05 53.13% -0.452 -1.3282 0.336
3 Round (Default) 2241 37.64% 35.21 65.33% 0.013 -0.0102 -0.066
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 19.5 75.0% 0.332 -0.1146 0.0
3 Thematic 96 40.63% 26.81 45.83% 0.252 0.2593 0.746
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 27.64 72.73% 0.0 -0.1516 0.428
4 Coastline 10 30.0% 34.0 80.0% 0.465 0.5942 0.566
4 Leaf 10 60.0% 43.8 80.0% -0.423 0.0127 -0.145
4 Other 53 32.08% 30.51 71.7% 0.964 0.3959 1.176
4 Reverse Snake 3 66.67% 4.33 0.0% -0.209 0.2368 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.21
4 Thematic 145 45.52% 33.61 53.1% -0.685 -0.6223 -0.224
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1139 33.81% 30.73 59.35% -0.784 -0.7792 -0.713
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 67.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.491
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 19.43 57.14% 0.0 -1.0209 -0.471
5 Other 187 30.27% 32.45 57.22% 0.113 -0.2111 -1.587
5 Thematic 41 36.59% 27.63 19.51% -0.338 -0.4811 -1.082
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 25.42 66.67% 0.0 -1.0381 -0.54
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 16.33 55.56% 0.0 -1.0581 0.522
6 Other 151 29.8% 29.29 60.93% -0.556 -0.6007 -1.517
6 Star 84 32.14% 24.55 57.14% -1.17 -0.5377 -2.478
6 Thematic 557 16.76% 23.85 33.57% -0.406 -0.2022 -1.329
6 Two Centers (Default) 367 27.47% 31.06 62.67% -0.99 -0.5154 -1.444
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 52.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.082
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.108
7 Other 8 25.0% 17.88 50.0% 1.04 0.3648 -0.089

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 373 30.4 47.99% -0.007 0.0645 0.751
Aid From Lesser Spirits 352 35.17 59.09% 0.373 0.2633 0.926
All Things Weaken 413 25.78 36.8% -0.632 -0.455 -0.293
Attenuated Essence 192 28.4 41.67% -0.255 -0.2029 0.42
Back Against the Wall 340 31.82 48.24% -0.48 -0.496 0.461
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 208 24.66 37.5% -0.382 -0.1979 0.263
Burn Brightest Before the End 148 28.73 41.89% 0.07 0.157 0.112
Disintegrating Ecosystem 427 25.27 36.77% -0.137 0.1548 -0.096
Downward Spiral 487 24.87 42.51% 0.196 0.3018 0.136
Erosion of Will 400 28.36 41.75% -0.843 -0.6765 0.155
Intensifying Exploitation 193 26.63 41.45% 0.623 0.811 0.447
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 140 30.04 58.57% 0.208 -0.2198 -0.158
Memory Fades to Dust 479 25.65 43.01% -0.332 -0.0972 0.193
Power Corrodes the Spirit 389 28.78 43.7% 0.43 0.5257 0.343
Promising Farmlands 398 26.29 38.94% -0.213 0.1517 0.402
Shattered Fragments of Power 163 34.26 54.6% 0.362 0.4271 0.633
Slow Dissolution of Will 176 22.99 32.39% -0.569 -0.1058 0.041
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 132 32.73 61.36% 0.134 -0.4673 0.41
The Border of Life and Death 75 23.48 45.33% 0.314 -0.1614 0.194
Thriving Communities 404 26.72 43.32% 0.03 0.2551 0.026
Thriving Crops 85 24.25 36.47% 0.162 -0.0629 1.077
Unnatural Proliferation 418 30.59 42.11% 0.114 0.2359 0.524
Untended Land Crumbles 356 27.74 40.45% 0.264 0.4961 0.469

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4487 36.44% 27.49 55.76% 0.01 0.9281 0.076
B 4639 37.56% 28.43 57.62% 0.09 0.9314 0.191
C 5035 36.42% 28.37 58.45% 0.618 1.301 0.399
D 4063 35.94% 27.86 57.72% 0.151 0.9929 0.332
E 4375 37.88% 28.57 56.5% 0.528 1.1795 0.338
F 3710 39.26% 28.65 57.49% 0.505 1.2649 0.235
G 3136 37.84% 27.34 55.87% 0.08 0.8371 -0.179
H 3249 37.85% 28.67 57.31% 0.215 0.9331 0.356
East 1144 26.27% 26.23 39.42% -0.701 0.1128 -0.137
Northeast 887 23.84% 25.52 37.43% -0.205 0.463 -0.43
Northwest 1012 26.09% 21.63 30.24% -0.3 0.505 -0.515
Southeast 757 20.93% 24.96 36.99% -0.734 -0.0286 0.18
Southwest 719 23.29% 23.59 33.94% -0.241 1.1493 -0.756
West 1212 28.15% 22.18 31.68% -0.044 0.7491 -0.169

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 374 0.0% 19.28 39.84% -0.771 -0.0518 -0.314
Not Using Events or Tokens 604 32.3% 11.88 28.31% -0.364 0.1205 -0.734
Skip Initial Invader Actions 677 10.43% 41.04 74.15% 0.121 -0.6096 0.083
Start of Game Growth 897 14.75% 38.37 70.57% 0.608 0.1622 0.528
Unlimited Undo 1956 32.43% 27.73 57.16% -0.181 -0.2143 0.55
Using Tokens but Not Events 1882 21.31% 25.13 59.4% 0.574 0.4111 -1.017

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1680 22.82% 34.81 63.81% 0.697 0.5902 0.417
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 302 29.43% 26.27 39.07% 0.213 -0.2749 -0.154
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 203 27.14% 17.18 44.83% -0.947 -0.8039 -0.383
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 145 43.06% 21.08 40.69% -0.562 -1.3105 -0.381
Dances Up Earthquakes 31 41.94% 30.23 45.16% 0.045 -0.1319 -0.81
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 395 33.16% 20.91 51.14% 0.25 0.0429 -0.57
Downpour Drenches the World 937 24.12% 27.94 48.99% -0.332 -0.0115 0.141
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 440 38.86% 29.77 56.14% 0.272 -0.1685 0.048
Eyes Watch From the Trees 468 32.89% 29.17 61.75% 0.397 0.0533 0.259
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 386 34.67% 26.26 59.84% -0.252 -0.6061 0.391
Finder of Paths Unseen 390 37.66% 26.51 55.64% 0.115 0.8995 0.45
Fractured Days Split the Sky 475 33.26% 36.1 46.53% -0.087 0.3608 0.402
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 394 39.34% 26.2 54.82% -0.853 -0.8768 0.36
Heart of the Wildfire 358 39.55% 25.53 56.15% 0.365 0.6923 -0.239
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 775 40.13% 33.4 65.29% 0.011 -0.4845 0.672
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 287 30.31% 29.97 52.26% 1.271 0.7081 0.178
Lightning's Swift Strike 262 38.06% 24.0 54.2% -0.006 0.1923 -0.603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 876 32.17% 35.34 66.44% -0.929 -1.3766 -0.407
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 151 35.33% 31.5 65.56% -0.346 -0.665 0.126
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 396 31.36% 32.34 63.64% 0.194 0.3191 0.681
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 477 40.13% 28.35 55.56% -0.295 -0.4511 -0.491
Many Minds Move as One 248 34.68% 30.77 62.5% 0.904 0.6976 0.356
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 754 21.5% 27.15 48.94% 0.201 0.3301 -0.292
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 32 25.0% 26.5 50.0% 0.078 0.1828 -0.433
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 427 33.09% 24.69 54.8% -0.631 -0.6802 0.071
River Surges in Sunlight 240 37.67% 23.95 56.25% -0.495 -0.4615 0.286
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 79 32.05% 18.14 37.97% 0.006 0.2144 -0.359
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 483 26.32% 25.67 45.34% 0.013 0.1641 -0.805
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 773 32.24% 33.08 67.4% 0.68 0.6889 0.581
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1234 24.0% 35.07 53.32% 0.655 0.5557 0.628
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 38 36.84% 28.11 42.11% -0.497 -0.9883 -0.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 61 39.62% 14.97 39.34% 0.041 0.5533 -0.163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 225 31.36% 24.43 69.33% 0.386 0.3426 0.073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 154 36.6% 28.38 57.14% -0.09 -0.5379 0.288
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 262 32.68% 28.34 66.03% -0.415 -0.3568 -0.313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 81 34.18% 25.59 59.26% 0.036 -0.1546 0.195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 72 41.43% 25.28 62.5% 0.243 0.327 0.223
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 327 35.13% 36.05 68.81% 0.687 0.5892 0.723
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 217 31.16% 27.57 58.99% 0.098 -0.0966 -0.082
Shifting Memory of Ages 798 29.23% 28.49 46.99% 0.218 0.6076 -0.577
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 249 26.51% 27.87 43.37% 0.173 0.1211 -0.066
Shroud of Silent Mist 222 27.73% 19.32 48.2% -0.662 -0.2476 -0.729
Starlight Seeks its Form 789 40.1% 36.2 62.74% 0.09 0.0496 0.617
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 649 37.31% 32.7 59.94% 0.432 -0.0705 -0.302
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 378 31.59% 26.42 53.7% 0.119 0.2023 0.389
Thunderspeaker 370 33.15% 30.95 62.7% -0.303 -0.3085 -0.004
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 147 35.86% 22.15 48.3% -0.293 0.0953 -0.574
Towering Roots of the Jungle 136 52.21% 27.26 47.06% 0.183 0.3937 0.204
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 249 58.63% 31.25 58.23% -0.309 -0.2314 0.044
Volcano Looming High 410 49.88% 29.57 54.39% 0.122 0.186 0.303
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 190 37.37% 31.1 61.05% -0.672 -0.9214 0.316

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 82.8%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.49%
Guard the Healing Land 87.99%
Rituals of Destruction 87.49%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6284 14.25 6.41%
II 4912 30.3 60.42%
III 4777 34.84 86.23%
IV 1801 38.61 99.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 403
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4069
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2902
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1774
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4416
Lose: Invader deck ran out 461
Lose: Adversary condition 1565
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 180
Win: Scenario condition 101
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1809
Lose: Spirit destroyed 67

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.186 Win Model: -0.117

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.5 Win Model: 0.191
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8254 42.24% 20.82 45.34%
2 4275 38.87% 27.5 57.29%
3 2448 37.65% 34.28 64.26%
4 1412 35.37% 31.43 57.86%
5 210 28.37% 29.93 57.14%
6 1175 22.65% 26.91 48.94%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)