Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 78 21.79% 24.92 74.36% -0.125 0.2453 -0.198
Blitz 0 252 17.6% 24.84 59.13% 0.147 0.5787 -0.631
Dahan Insurrection 4 354 22.6% 29.09 30.51% 0.152 0.1259 -0.849
Despicable Theft 2 68 33.82% 23.18 48.53% 0.12 0.7793 -0.107
Elemental Invocation 1 90 38.89% 16.56 35.56% -0.006 0.4418 -0.488
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1598 16.72% 38.72 56.88% 0.894 0.2944 -0.088
Powers Long Forgotten 1 72 40.28% 11.5 22.22% -0.05 0.5577 -0.223
Rituals of Terror 3 86 44.19% 32.66 46.51% 0.192 0.3169 -0.137
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 55 49.09% 21.47 43.64% -0.126 0.6119 -0.136
Second Wave 0 954 28.81% 35.28 72.54% 0.655 0.7617 0.973
The Great River 3 61 34.43% 19.28 21.31% -0.295 0.8795 -0.159
Varied Terrains 2 151 45.7% 21.95 41.72% 0.206 0.9424 -0.471
Ward the Shores 2 86 27.91% 18.65 36.05% -0.478 0.2045 -0.496

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 11048 43.39% 19.72 43.05% -0.148 0.0762 -0.295
1 Thematic 593 31.42% 16.58 25.97% -1.146 -0.5963 -0.452
2 Archipelago 17 17.65% 22.41 58.82% -0.223 -0.5766 -0.419
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4196 40.33% 25.66 52.26% 0.908 1.019 -0.063
2 Coastline 548 31.18% 26.49 62.23% 0.499 0.4101 0.328
2 Fragment 69 42.03% 28.54 68.12% 0.275 -0.0637 1.035
2 Heart 65 47.69% 29.4 50.77% 0.0 -0.3272 0.384
2 Opposite Shores 932 37.55% 26.35 56.76% -0.106 -0.0699 -0.435
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 228 34.51% 22.22 39.91% -0.285 0.2435 -0.279
2 Top to Top 157 53.5% 30.83 59.24% 0.911 0.7042 1.377
3 Archipelago 14 42.86% 38.14 71.43% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 24 29.17% 23.75 54.17% 0.0 -0.5211 0.936
3 Other 125 30.33% 20.95 47.2% 0.019 -0.7231 -0.372
3 Round (Default) 3209 37.54% 34.78 64.54% 0.93 0.8339 0.63
3 Sunrise 12 66.67% 18.67 58.33% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 132 36.36% 25.86 47.73% 0.36 0.6022 -0.336
4 Archipelago 13 38.46% 26.0 69.23% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 17 35.29% 32.88 76.47% 0.0 0.2598 0.55
4 Leaf 18 61.11% 36.17 66.67% -0.648 -1.2019 0.552
4 Other 73 28.77% 29.41 68.49% 0.09 -0.4577 -0.205
4 Reverse Snake 3 66.67% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 220 40.0% 28.37 46.82% 0.093 0.5662 -1.493
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1710 35.05% 29.61 56.02% -0.251 -0.4402 -0.533
5 Archipelago 6 16.67% 22.5 16.67% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 19.43 57.14% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 253 29.88% 31.77 59.29% 0.0 -0.3265 -0.185
5 Thematic 50 30.0% 28.54 24.0% 0.598 0.1071 0.974
6 Archipelago 18 11.11% 24.67 61.11% 0.0 -0.9253 0.0
6 Coastline 13 23.08% 20.15 53.85% 0.0 0.3287 0.547
6 Other 233 27.59% 29.97 63.09% 0.368 0.6378 0.172
6 Star 153 23.53% 26.59 47.71% -0.303 0.4931 -0.989
6 Thematic 716 17.91% 24.9 34.64% -0.965 -0.3841 -0.849
6 Two Centers (Default) 516 28.49% 29.1 57.75% -0.195 -0.2182 -0.572
7 Archipelago 15 33.33% 49.27 20.0% -0.769 -0.3625 -0.961
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 14 23.08% 21.79 42.86% -0.018 -0.2734 -0.419

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 527 28.8 44.4% 0.852 1.1628 0.329
Aid From Lesser Spirits 482 33.79 55.39% 0.518 0.5311 1.238
All Things Weaken 548 24.27 34.67% -0.371 0.1028 0.046
Attenuated Essence 340 26.2 38.82% -0.68 -0.5337 0.331
Back Against the Wall 470 31.72 47.23% 0.213 0.3427 1.096
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 322 25.14 36.65% -0.589 -0.2693 0.851
Burn Brightest Before the End 251 27.57 37.85% -0.9 -0.723 -0.299
Disintegrating Ecosystem 604 24.13 36.26% -0.703 -0.323 0.532
Downward Spiral 671 24.11 39.79% 0.004 0.1972 0.458
Erosion of Will 537 26.88 37.62% -0.821 -0.4833 0.33
Intensifying Exploitation 311 26.07 41.16% 0.061 0.4134 0.894
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 221 29.18 56.56% -0.047 -0.41 0.372
Memory Fades to Dust 706 23.9 40.08% 0.384 0.7137 0.186
Power Corrodes the Spirit 533 27.07 40.9% -0.263 0.004 0.445
Promising Farmlands 552 25.84 38.22% 0.354 0.8016 0.537
Shattered Fragments of Power 271 32.44 50.18% 0.456 0.4557 0.167
Slow Dissolution of Will 302 24.37 31.46% 0.247 0.6579 0.661
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 164 30.95 59.15% 0.569 0.0099 -0.065
The Border of Life and Death 111 26.61 49.55% 0.779 0.5342 0.859
Thriving Communities 546 25.77 40.29% -1.072 -0.7948 0.957
Thriving Crops 135 24.17 38.52% -0.501 -0.5966 0.742
Unnatural Proliferation 596 29.71 41.78% 0.22 0.4245 0.799
Untended Land Crumbles 508 26.31 39.57% -0.231 0.0684 0.367

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6444 36.38% 26.27 53.04% -0.081 0.9111 -0.289
B 6729 37.43% 27.05 54.39% 0.617 1.4823 0.318
C 7174 37.15% 27.25 55.19% -0.023 0.7286 0.876
D 5865 36.02% 26.76 54.88% 0.182 1.1268 0.231
E 6317 37.99% 27.94 54.12% -0.031 0.724 0.595
F 5403 39.0% 27.37 53.69% 0.196 1.0705 0.411
G 4657 37.9% 26.76 53.53% 0.498 1.3605 0.2
H 4830 38.42% 27.99 54.66% -0.021 0.7865 0.056
East 1541 26.48% 25.44 39.26% -0.64 0.105 -0.043
Northeast 1204 24.48% 25.3 38.12% -0.937 -0.0435 -0.759
Northwest 1298 25.99% 22.34 32.36% -0.095 0.6478 -0.79
Southeast 986 21.25% 25.25 37.32% 0.165 1.1736 -0.108
Southwest 964 23.3% 23.52 33.82% -0.217 0.9402 -0.497
West 1609 27.94% 22.07 32.69% 0.379 1.3614 -0.238

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 598 0.0% 19.78 39.8% -1.166 -0.4457 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 955 32.37% 11.44 28.69% -0.864 -0.3894 -0.061
Skip Initial Invader Actions 883 11.09% 41.38 72.37% 0.391 -0.4144 0.696
Start of Game Growth 1195 16.39% 39.37 69.79% 0.645 0.0787 0.423
Unlimited Undo 2706 33.78% 27.63 54.14% -0.421 -0.3941 0.715
Using Tokens but Not Events 2548 22.0% 24.32 57.3% 0.189 0.162 0.891

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2111 22.55% 33.27 61.63% 0.055 -0.3626 -0.252
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 890 30.71% 31.6 45.51% 0.026 -0.6302 -0.406
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 19 47.37% 29.53 42.11% -0.492 -0.6493 0.074
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 70 30.0% 32.17 64.29% 0.247 -0.6131 1.278
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 268 29.17% 15.62 40.67% -0.186 -0.0479 0.438
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 199 39.09% 21.8 42.71% 0.0 -1.0295 -0.575
Dances Up Earthquakes 147 34.04% 30.27 53.06% 0.38 0.3434 0.761
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 594 35.6% 20.95 48.82% -0.006 -0.36 -0.004
Downpour Drenches the World 1169 24.11% 26.64 46.88% -0.644 -0.5206 -0.421
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 603 40.23% 29.05 54.23% 0.961 0.39 0.636
Eyes Watch From the Trees 664 33.96% 28.15 59.19% -0.426 -1.0723 0.114
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 572 33.33% 23.89 56.12% -0.395 -0.8887 -1.039
Finder of Paths Unseen 515 36.54% 24.59 49.51% -0.11 0.478 -1.321
Fractured Days Split the Sky 725 28.08% 34.67 46.62% 0.055 0.5014 0.273
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 482 37.34% 25.98 53.94% 0.193 0.0081 -0.226
Heart of the Wildfire 518 40.94% 22.89 51.93% -0.672 -0.5294 -0.921
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1068 40.83% 32.1 61.24% 0.692 0.0174 -0.161
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 393 29.61% 29.78 52.42% -0.047 -0.5748 0.108
Lightning's Swift Strike 383 34.81% 23.9 54.31% -1.101 -1.068 -0.018
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1125 33.33% 36.05 66.04% 0.538 -0.114 0.388
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 275 32.72% 30.24 56.36% -0.121 -0.617 0.005
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 591 31.03% 29.7 57.87% -0.072 -0.311 -0.0
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 654 40.95% 27.77 53.82% 0.418 -0.008 0.296
Many Minds Move as One 366 33.88% 29.44 60.11% -0.237 -0.7459 0.662
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 883 23.99% 26.64 49.49% -0.115 -0.3847 -0.232
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 289 37.85% 30.28 51.56% -0.124 -0.2378 0.104
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 608 33.45% 23.95 56.25% -0.271 -0.5644 -0.351
River Surges in Sunlight 382 33.89% 24.53 50.52% 0.266 0.0953 -0.663
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 164 40.49% 24.2 47.56% 0.155 0.0444 1.073
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 581 28.25% 24.96 44.75% 0.377 0.3117 -0.624
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1029 32.91% 31.44 62.97% -0.563 -0.6929 0.22
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1694 23.37% 35.42 52.95% 0.652 0.388 0.709
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 233 33.91% 27.64 49.79% 1.008 0.5773 0.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 80 33.8% 14.05 37.5% -0.04 0.3883 -0.167
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 292 32.87% 22.41 63.36% -0.569 -0.5655 -0.612
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 240 38.4% 27.95 58.33% 0.577 -0.1762 -0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 322 32.48% 27.02 63.35% 0.491 0.1717 0.656
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 128 35.25% 22.78 57.81% 0.226 0.0474 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 98 35.48% 22.87 62.24% 0.0 -0.0428 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 419 33.91% 34.72 66.59% -0.638 -1.0037 -0.431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 45.0% 38.5 75.0% 1.188 0.6476 0.398
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 310 28.43% 27.22 57.42% -0.738 -0.9828 0.03
Shifting Memory of Ages 952 29.33% 27.88 47.69% 0.764 1.0584 0.165
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 601 29.45% 30.74 48.75% 0.221 0.0579 0.737
Shroud of Silent Mist 275 30.77% 19.65 51.27% -0.352 -0.17 0.263
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 25.0% 30.7 65.0% 0.271 -0.1387 1.01
Starlight Seeks its Form 1199 40.48% 33.34 57.63% 0.358 0.1162 0.412
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 890 36.87% 33.38 59.66% -0.336 -1.2885 0.03
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 560 33.33% 26.07 51.07% -0.574 -0.5313 -0.771
Thunderspeaker 520 33.4% 30.18 60.0% -0.246 -0.4412 -0.759
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 239 36.29% 23.26 49.37% -0.628 -0.796 0.262
Towering Roots of the Jungle 256 44.71% 27.33 50.78% -0.897 -1.008 -0.508
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 364 55.49% 30.15 56.59% -0.14 -0.2908 -0.837
Volcano Looming High 555 48.64% 28.34 54.05% 0.228 -0.0966 0.831
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 267 34.59% 30.64 59.55% 0.371 -0.1464 0.016

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 83.57%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.21%
Guard the Healing Land 88.51%
Rituals of Destruction 87.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9557 12.25 5.32%
II 6914 29.91 58.39%
III 6565 34.94 86.23%
IV 2392 38.9 99.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 508
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5584
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3949
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2357
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7118
Lose: Invader deck ran out 604
Lose: Adversary condition 2215
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 255
Win: Scenario condition 138
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2563
Lose: Spirit destroyed 91

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.359 Win Model: -0.127

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.481 Win Model: -0.028
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11707 42.7% 19.5 42.02%
2 6189 39.31% 26.03 53.97%
3 3501 37.61% 33.89 63.38%
4 2096 35.04% 29.78 54.91%
5 283 27.76% 30.42 57.95%
6 1652 23.17% 27.13 47.76%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)