Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 55 18.18% 25.69 76.36% -0.047 -0.267 0.401
Blitz 0 159 16.56% 27.34 63.52% 0.621 0.9077 0.888
Dahan Insurrection 4 235 22.13% 30.37 30.21% -1.022 -1.1372 -0.683
Despicable Theft 2 44 40.91% 22.98 45.45% -0.386 0.3521 -0.493
Elemental Invocation 1 53 37.74% 18.26 33.96% 0.136 0.8918 -0.786
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1034 17.04% 39.12 58.41% 0.284 -0.2977 0.616
Powers Long Forgotten 1 38 44.74% 13.53 23.68% -1.179 -0.3254 -0.517
Rituals of Terror 3 51 45.1% 34.75 47.06% -0.26 -0.4304 -0.237
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 29 51.72% 25.1 55.17% 0.905 1.8162 0.46
Second Wave 0 587 26.91% 36.22 75.13% 0.254 0.3332 0.802
The Great River 3 50 32.0% 19.7 20.0% -0.722 0.6415 -0.912
Varied Terrains 2 100 48.0% 22.83 41.0% 0.128 1.0075 -0.734
Ward the Shores 2 55 25.45% 21.07 41.82% 0.693 1.6745 -0.176

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6544 44.14% 22.05 48.29% -0.318 0.0259 -0.092
1 Thematic 441 29.71% 17.13 24.94% 0.984 1.5117 -0.684
2 Archipelago 8 12.5% 23.25 62.5% 0.0 0.499 -0.63
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2335 39.98% 27.21 56.06% -0.175 0.109 0.549
2 Coastline 330 34.86% 28.2 67.88% 0.336 0.3648 1.367
2 Fragment 41 39.02% 34.46 80.49% 0.156 -0.0811 1.881
2 Heart 41 46.34% 27.15 51.22% 0.297 0.1494 0.8
2 Opposite Shores 545 36.73% 28.14 61.83% 0.403 0.4619 0.089
2 Thematic 124 39.84% 26.41 41.94% -0.643 -0.2731 0.849
2 Top to Top 98 53.06% 29.42 57.14% 0.3 0.4237 0.963
3 Archipelago 9 55.56% 39.11 77.78% -0.247 -1.0448 -0.488
3 Coastline 18 33.33% 18.33 44.44% -0.095 -0.6444 0.727
3 Other 85 28.05% 24.59 57.65% 0.837 0.2989 0.195
3 Round (Default) 1889 37.02% 35.99 67.23% -0.064 -0.1564 -0.113
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 21.8 80.0% 0.0 0.151 0.0
3 Thematic 82 40.24% 28.79 48.78% -0.154 -0.6725 0.641
4 Archipelago 11 45.45% 27.64 72.73% 0.0 0.433 0.509
4 Coastline 7 28.57% 25.71 71.43% 0.0 -0.7603 0.335
4 Leaf 8 75.0% 48.75 87.5% 0.0 -0.2114 -0.108
4 Other 48 31.25% 31.85 72.92% 0.234 0.2419 1.277
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.0 -0.0705 -0.195
4 Thematic 135 45.19% 34.66 54.81% -0.217 -0.0834 -0.234
4 Trapezoid (Default) 910 32.66% 32.55 62.53% 0.048 0.1547 -0.544
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 67.5 50.0% 0.0 0.168 -0.48
5 Coastline 6 16.67% 22.67 66.67% 0.121 -0.3853 -0.098
5 Other 146 33.33% 32.02 54.79% 0.352 -0.1623 -1.422
5 Thematic 30 26.67% 25.93 13.33% -0.209 -1.1912 -0.898
6 Archipelago 10 20.0% 26.7 70.0% 0.431 -0.2988 -0.553
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 9.0 33.33% -0.663 -1.7019 0.553
6 Other 118 33.05% 29.81 62.71% 0.032 0.6674 -1.529
6 Star 68 33.82% 26.18 61.76% -0.051 0.1938 -2.155
6 Thematic 445 16.7% 24.64 34.61% -0.905 -0.5819 -1.489
6 Two Centers (Default) 278 24.0% 30.96 64.75% -0.475 -0.5785 -1.223
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 52.5 50.0% -0.517 0.0747 0.088
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.459 -0.1178 -0.164
7 Other 7 28.57% 20.43 57.14% -0.033 -1.4696 -0.189

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 320 30.96 49.06% -0.051 0.0532 0.588
Aid From Lesser Spirits 308 34.8 56.82% 0.422 0.2769 0.8
All Things Weaken 352 26.09 37.5% -1.142 -0.7757 -0.44
Attenuated Essence 151 29.7 43.71% 0.233 0.2317 0.36
Back Against the Wall 290 32.41 50.0% 0.481 0.5465 0.43
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 158 23.92 36.71% -0.475 -0.2401 0.087
Burn Brightest Before the End 106 27.88 39.62% 0.134 0.2945 -0.284
Disintegrating Ecosystem 370 25.67 37.03% -0.127 0.2487 -0.349
Downward Spiral 416 25.33 43.51% -0.738 -0.6656 -0.068
Erosion of Will 346 29.3 43.64% -0.347 -0.0907 0.18
Intensifying Exploitation 140 25.24 37.86% -0.278 -0.0035 0.334
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 130 31.09 60.77% -0.083 -0.5701 -0.2
Memory Fades to Dust 419 26.59 44.15% 0.024 0.2069 0.291
Power Corrodes the Spirit 341 29.13 43.7% -0.401 -0.1881 0.308
Promising Farmlands 340 27.49 41.18% -0.326 -0.0036 0.357
Shattered Fragments of Power 112 34.23 55.36% 0.219 0.3898 0.767
Slow Dissolution of Will 137 23.58 33.58% -0.422 -0.0379 0.079
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 115 32.91 61.74% 0.332 -0.3443 0.343
The Border of Life and Death 65 22.83 44.62% -0.005 -0.5212 -0.074
Thriving Communities 354 27.08 42.66% 0.135 0.4588 -0.007
Thriving Crops 65 23.85 40.0% 0.175 0.1762 0.841
Unnatural Proliferation 365 30.79 41.64% -0.331 -0.1447 0.338
Untended Land Crumbles 313 28.0 42.17% -0.091 0.2485 0.292

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3667 36.7% 28.15 57.35% 0.014 0.8768 0.017
B 3881 37.87% 29.15 59.19% 0.151 0.9725 0.158
C 4151 36.31% 29.18 60.11% 0.324 1.0223 0.515
D 3367 36.26% 28.72 59.67% 0.102 0.9579 0.379
E 3557 38.15% 29.12 58.05% 0.104 0.7926 0.279
F 3056 39.99% 29.1 58.67% 0.311 1.1293 0.216
G 2567 37.43% 27.75 57.19% -0.144 0.7368 -0.159
H 2648 37.98% 29.44 59.14% 0.285 1.0654 0.346
East 955 26.23% 27.42 40.94% -0.173 0.6192 -0.17
Northeast 728 23.83% 26.61 39.01% 0.317 1.1976 -0.444
Northwest 856 26.49% 21.89 30.49% -0.279 0.5918 -0.562
Southeast 619 20.75% 25.67 37.96% -0.207 0.6516 0.185
Southwest 586 23.8% 24.33 34.81% -1.01 0.1988 -0.756
West 1034 28.52% 22.62 32.01% 0.21 1.2706 -0.067

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 293 0.0% 17.19 37.2% -0.517 0.199 -0.226
Not Using Events or Tokens 471 30.48% 11.59 28.45% -0.904 -0.4301 -1.183
Skip Initial Invader Actions 588 8.94% 41.71 75.51% 0.34 -0.2275 -0.123
Start of Game Growth 766 13.51% 39.1 72.06% 0.833 0.1688 0.692
Unlimited Undo 1558 31.31% 28.3 59.05% -0.289 -0.2663 0.577
Using Tokens but Not Events 1616 21.97% 25.34 59.16% 0.397 0.4445 -1.113

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1535 22.51% 35.17 64.17% 0.079 -0.1179 0.368
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 107 28.97% 22.07 31.78% -0.046 -0.7604 -0.564
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 164 31.87% 18.94 48.17% -0.906 -0.6376 -0.354
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 77 36.84% 28.47 57.14% 0.628 0.0608 0.574
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 338 32.01% 20.88 51.18% -0.655 -0.7858 -0.681
Downpour Drenches the World 811 26.27% 28.7 50.43% -0.236 0.0332 0.111
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 319 37.93% 29.64 57.68% -0.885 -1.3165 -0.078
Eyes Watch From the Trees 384 31.98% 29.37 64.32% 0.133 -0.2904 0.282
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 324 35.24% 26.48 60.19% -0.133 -0.5781 0.26
Finder of Paths Unseen 325 41.56% 28.34 60.0% 0.502 1.1595 0.364
Fractured Days Split the Sky 408 34.56% 37.15 46.81% -1.135 -0.3273 0.249
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 277 36.82% 26.06 58.48% -0.113 -0.2307 0.342
Heart of the Wildfire 291 40.07% 26.17 56.01% -0.258 0.0294 -0.263
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 646 38.36% 35.25 69.5% 1.257 0.8637 0.935
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 178 25.28% 30.08 48.88% 0.127 -0.2777 0.255
Lightning's Swift Strike 221 36.71% 23.62 57.01% -1.446 -1.179 -0.55
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 761 32.07% 36.37 70.17% 0.394 0.0422 -0.385
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 137 36.76% 32.2 66.42% 0.712 0.2713 -0.111
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 335 32.22% 33.01 64.48% 0.434 0.3911 0.568
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 411 39.76% 28.36 56.2% 0.174 -0.0771 -0.504
Many Minds Move as One 193 35.23% 31.83 66.32% 0.252 0.0216 0.288
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 636 20.68% 27.45 49.69% -0.402 -0.5057 -0.17
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 361 33.53% 25.06 55.96% -0.198 -0.3538 -0.133
River Surges in Sunlight 196 38.38% 24.89 61.73% 0.592 0.6812 0.785
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 29 42.86% 17.62 41.38% -0.314 -0.4257 -0.269
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 385 19.69% 24.21 41.82% 0.008 0.3982 -0.916
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 721 32.77% 33.49 67.68% -0.571 -0.4338 0.392
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 988 23.6% 35.74 53.24% 0.272 0.0781 0.54
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 53 42.22% 14.02 35.85% -1.076 -0.5905 -0.258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 204 28.64% 24.87 70.1% -0.113 -0.0571 0.078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 117 40.17% 29.23 57.26% 0.3 -0.1688 0.043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 239 33.05% 29.28 66.53% -0.058 0.1576 -0.3
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 70 32.35% 26.71 61.43% 0.156 0.1852 0.309
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 61 42.37% 24.46 62.3% 0.244 0.4157 -0.065
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 295 35.21% 36.05 68.47% 0.842 0.6894 0.478
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 163 37.27% 30.25 64.42% 1.301 1.1019 0.019
Shifting Memory of Ages 726 30.62% 28.66 45.59% -0.1 0.349 -0.692
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 79 25.32% 30.04 41.77% 0.729 0.4249 0.05
Shroud of Silent Mist 182 27.07% 20.33 51.1% -0.888 -0.5518 -0.641
Starlight Seeks its Form 664 41.03% 37.13 64.46% 0.025 -0.0299 0.533
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 501 35.94% 35.15 64.47% 0.426 -0.197 -0.086
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 304 32.99% 26.98 55.59% -0.129 0.0646 0.317
Thunderspeaker 316 33.11% 31.22 63.29% -0.242 -0.2964 -0.144
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 113 31.53% 22.11 48.67% 0.03 0.164 -0.429
Towering Roots of the Jungle 67 53.73% 22.96 38.81% -0.436 -0.4263 -0.48
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 189 59.26% 30.2 57.14% 0.074 0.1567 -0.105
Volcano Looming High 345 52.91% 30.54 55.07% -0.196 -0.0925 0.276
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 120 39.17% 33.27 66.67% 0.863 0.6111 0.288

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 82.41%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.61%
Guard the Healing Land 87.76%
Rituals of Destruction 87.08%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5043 15.45 6.9%
II 4201 30.45 60.96%
III 4070 34.8 86.36%
IV 1527 38.47 99.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 348
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3471
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2499
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1505
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3353
Lose: Invader deck ran out 409
Lose: Adversary condition 1336
Win: Sacrifice victory 25
Lose: Scenario condition 170
Win: Scenario condition 93
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1570
Lose: Spirit destroyed 62

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.18 Win Model: -0.114

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.107 Win Model: 0.022
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 7025 43.17% 21.68 46.65%
2 3508 39.31% 27.67 58.15%
3 2069 37.04% 35.11 66.22%
4 1158 34.77% 33.13 60.36%
5 159 27.39% 29.46 57.23%
6 922 22.25% 27.32 50.33%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)