Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 70 21.43% 26.11 77.14% 0.422 0.6126 0.083
Blitz 0 199 15.74% 25.67 61.31% 0.446 0.6634 0.72
Dahan Insurrection 4 284 21.13% 28.92 29.23% -1.025 -1.278 -0.779
Despicable Theft 2 54 40.74% 22.67 44.44% -0.341 0.2455 -0.408
Elemental Invocation 1 69 36.23% 17.41 33.33% -0.946 -0.2066 -0.843
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1280 16.42% 38.16 57.5% 0.431 -0.1303 0.51
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 41.51% 12.23 20.75% -0.81 -0.0508 -0.827
Rituals of Terror 3 74 41.89% 32.31 43.24% -0.103 0.0168 -0.328
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 44 54.55% 24.2 50.0% 0.298 1.2054 0.385
Second Wave 0 786 27.75% 35.54 73.16% 0.211 0.349 0.701
The Great River 3 54 31.48% 19.94 22.22% 0.0 1.1 -1.012
Varied Terrains 2 119 46.22% 22.29 41.18% -0.287 0.489 -0.49
Ward the Shores 2 74 28.38% 19.77 37.84% -1.305 -0.231 -0.338

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8920 43.59% 20.5 44.9% -0.294 0.039 0.032
1 Thematic 523 32.5% 17.32 26.96% 0.186 0.8721 -0.337
2 Archipelago 14 21.43% 27.21 71.43% -0.245 0.3626 -0.528
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3275 40.08% 26.41 54.38% 0.362 0.4821 0.67
2 Coastline 452 32.81% 27.3 63.94% 0.101 0.0287 1.06
2 Fragment 56 42.86% 31.91 73.21% -0.244 -0.4293 2.122
2 Heart 57 49.12% 32.19 54.39% 0.864 0.7072 1.16
2 Opposite Shores 742 38.91% 27.89 58.76% -0.111 0.0404 0.165
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0816 0.0
2 Thematic 172 34.12% 24.51 42.44% -0.714 -0.2058 0.686
2 Top to Top 131 51.15% 30.99 60.31% 0.37 0.3119 1.024
3 Archipelago 12 41.67% 42.17 83.33% 0.234 -0.7181 -0.062
3 Coastline 22 31.82% 23.14 54.55% 1.117 0.7074 0.972
3 Other 103 30.0% 22.65 50.49% 0.508 -0.2631 0.24
3 Round (Default) 2516 37.81% 35.04 64.75% 0.292 0.2006 0.035
3 Sunrise 10 60.0% 17.6 70.0% -0.148 -0.2437 0.0
3 Thematic 102 41.18% 26.18 45.1% -0.23 -0.2092 0.638
4 Archipelago 12 41.67% 28.17 75.0% 0.0 -0.5301 0.446
4 Coastline 11 27.27% 36.0 81.82% 0.0 -0.0857 0.521
4 Leaf 14 71.43% 38.29 64.29% -0.396 -0.5579 -0.326
4 Other 61 32.79% 27.9 63.93% -0.624 -1.3345 1.182
4 Reverse Snake 3 66.67% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.0 -0.4433 -0.22
4 Thematic 164 44.51% 32.79 53.66% 0.114 0.2368 -0.192
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1273 34.37% 30.66 58.13% -0.542 -0.5444 -0.638
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 67.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.0301 -0.517
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 19.43 57.14% 0.16 0.0137 -0.457
5 Other 203 29.85% 32.65 58.62% 0.799 0.2851 -1.49
5 Thematic 43 34.88% 26.35 18.6% -0.314 -0.371 -1.222
6 Archipelago 14 14.29% 25.0 64.29% 0.096 -0.9422 -0.647
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 16.33 55.56% 0.0 -0.9594 0.459
6 Other 186 29.57% 30.27 62.37% 0.038 -0.0654 -1.477
6 Star 102 29.41% 24.76 55.88% -0.616 -0.6296 -2.484
6 Thematic 603 16.31% 23.78 33.83% -0.597 -0.3116 -1.333
6 Two Centers (Default) 432 28.67% 30.58 59.95% -1.155 -0.6219 -1.548
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 52.5 50.0% 0.0 0.0647 0.1
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.136
7 Other 9 22.22% 15.89 44.44% -0.398 -0.9562 -0.721

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 435 29.66 45.29% -0.553 -0.3019 0.658
Aid From Lesser Spirits 386 34.21 57.25% 0.024 -0.0339 0.847
All Things Weaken 467 24.76 35.12% -0.848 -0.5129 -0.301
Attenuated Essence 242 27.76 40.5% 0.207 0.2401 0.276
Back Against the Wall 384 31.64 47.14% -0.406 -0.3707 0.467
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 243 25.63 38.27% 0.171 0.3883 0.373
Burn Brightest Before the End 187 28.09 39.04% -0.643 -0.6321 -0.138
Disintegrating Ecosystem 490 24.49 35.71% -0.231 0.1134 -0.164
Downward Spiral 562 24.46 40.93% -0.173 -0.0554 0.171
Erosion of Will 454 27.64 39.43% -0.569 -0.295 0.057
Intensifying Exploitation 228 26.55 41.23% 0.393 0.6043 0.625
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 164 29.6 59.15% 0.768 0.1954 -0.116
Memory Fades to Dust 565 24.57 40.53% -0.555 -0.3024 0.137
Power Corrodes the Spirit 429 28.14 43.82% -0.122 0.0826 0.331
Promising Farmlands 451 25.8 37.47% -0.616 -0.3616 0.416
Shattered Fragments of Power 199 33.17 52.26% -0.038 0.0356 0.608
Slow Dissolution of Will 221 24.52 34.39% 0.052 0.4335 0.25
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 143 31.03 59.44% 0.008 -0.6657 0.325
The Border of Life and Death 89 24.64 49.44% 0.646 0.0451 0.062
Thriving Communities 455 26.18 41.98% -0.11 0.1716 0.054
Thriving Crops 103 23.9 38.83% -0.231 -0.3712 1.194
Unnatural Proliferation 485 30.06 41.86% -0.369 -0.1652 0.485
Untended Land Crumbles 406 26.95 39.9% -0.026 0.1645 0.344

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5083 36.33% 27.14 55.05% -0.067 0.931 0.113
B 5282 37.9% 27.96 56.19% 0.207 1.1288 0.189
C 5784 37.3% 27.96 56.73% 0.243 0.9724 0.351
D 4604 36.34% 27.52 56.39% 0.157 1.1165 0.357
E 4979 38.09% 28.33 55.77% 0.625 1.4441 0.372
F 4266 39.93% 28.12 55.88% 0.056 0.9375 0.197
G 3585 38.43% 27.08 54.73% 0.04 0.8654 -0.176
H 3708 38.58% 28.23 55.93% 0.276 1.1148 0.275
East 1257 26.22% 26.04 40.18% -0.203 0.6723 -0.108
Northeast 980 23.82% 25.41 38.47% 0.666 1.4183 -0.096
Northwest 1089 25.81% 21.77 31.31% 0.263 1.1556 -0.489
Southeast 818 20.47% 24.79 37.16% -0.145 0.694 0.047
Southwest 793 23.26% 23.19 33.67% -1.043 0.2619 -0.89
West 1325 28.31% 22.06 32.3% -1.094 -0.1445 -0.223

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 457 0.0% 19.54 40.26% -0.68 0.049 -0.317
Not Using Events or Tokens 729 33.47% 12.02 29.08% -0.319 0.0267 -0.408
Skip Initial Invader Actions 737 10.51% 41.27 73.81% 0.506 -0.0964 0.078
Start of Game Growth 999 15.41% 38.72 69.77% 0.8 0.2956 0.647
Unlimited Undo 2154 32.82% 27.64 56.5% -0.169 -0.2761 0.643
Using Tokens but Not Events 2082 21.73% 24.83 59.08% 0.317 0.2871 -1.027

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1784 22.8% 34.36 63.28% 0.105 0.0101 0.402
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 462 33.48% 29.3 43.29% 0.45 -0.026 -0.213
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 227 27.35% 15.76 40.53% -1.836 -1.7235 -0.583
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 163 40.74% 20.98 41.1% 0.158 -0.6553 -0.484
Dances Up Earthquakes 69 36.23% 29.65 50.72% 0.571 0.5619 -0.503
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 489 37.39% 21.24 47.03% -0.894 -1.0336 -0.804
Downpour Drenches the World 1022 24.85% 27.59 48.04% -0.234 -0.0064 0.089
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 489 39.06% 29.52 55.42% -0.425 -0.9944 0.018
Eyes Watch From the Trees 527 32.87% 29.17 61.48% 0.277 -0.1108 0.451
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 446 34.33% 25.96 59.64% 0.035 -0.3589 0.292
Finder of Paths Unseen 433 37.15% 25.91 53.81% -0.565 0.1635 0.453
Fractured Days Split the Sky 528 32.77% 36.27 46.78% -0.5 0.1408 0.382
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 426 38.5% 26.04 54.46% 0.34 0.206 0.288
Heart of the Wildfire 415 41.12% 24.17 54.22% -0.203 0.1262 -0.599
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 841 40.19% 32.91 63.97% -0.076 -0.4996 0.604
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 318 29.87% 30.02 53.14% 0.162 -0.1445 0.16
Lightning's Swift Strike 286 37.64% 24.06 53.85% 0.192 0.43 -0.455
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 985 33.26% 35.49 65.69% -0.094 -0.5019 -0.227
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 181 33.33% 29.43 63.54% -0.329 -0.6478 0.104
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 467 31.22% 31.18 61.03% -0.121 -0.2016 0.55
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 535 42.32% 28.2 54.77% -0.14 -0.3322 -0.574
Many Minds Move as One 288 34.72% 30.82 61.11% 0.028 -0.188 0.194
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 796 22.29% 27.03 49.12% 0.101 0.2404 -0.283
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 140 30.94% 30.07 52.86% 0.766 0.8468 -0.33
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 475 33.48% 24.68 54.74% 0.175 0.0967 0.018
River Surges in Sunlight 280 36.64% 24.23 56.79% 0.573 0.6986 0.119
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 107 36.79% 19.53 43.93% -0.145 0.0331 -0.391
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 516 26.28% 25.54 45.74% -0.112 0.1669 -0.753
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 860 32.15% 32.32 65.35% 0.054 -0.0686 0.551
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1343 23.84% 35.43 53.54% 0.839 0.7119 0.697
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 124 37.9% 29.36 46.77% 0.026 -0.087 0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 64 39.29% 15.63 42.19% 0.75 1.2658 -0.153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 240 30.64% 24.74 68.75% 0.049 0.0304 0.157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 180 35.39% 28.31 60.0% 0.162 -0.3408 0.324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 273 32.33% 28.22 65.93% -0.249 -0.4409 -0.276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 93 34.83% 23.99 58.06% -0.137 -0.196 0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 78 41.33% 24.47 61.54% -0.122 -0.04 0.252
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 354 33.24% 35.6 67.51% 0.277 0.3564 0.835
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 248 30.49% 26.65 57.26% -0.193 -0.3795 -0.019
Shifting Memory of Ages 833 29.57% 28.17 47.06% -0.536 -0.2692 -0.574
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 362 27.35% 31.22 48.34% 0.277 0.1585 0.028
Shroud of Silent Mist 240 28.15% 19.26 49.17% 0.564 0.9149 -0.731
Starlight Seeks its Form 883 39.34% 35.37 62.17% 0.256 0.1387 0.605
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 706 37.13% 32.18 58.78% -0.01 -0.5233 -0.344
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 423 32.43% 26.4 53.43% 0.147 0.2643 0.465
Thunderspeaker 424 32.93% 31.62 62.26% 0.78 0.8122 0.276
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 173 35.67% 22.18 47.4% -0.711 -0.6975 -0.502
Towering Roots of the Jungle 173 47.4% 27.83 50.87% 0.579 0.709 0.341
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 277 58.48% 30.06 55.96% -0.437 -0.3106 -0.053
Volcano Looming High 457 49.78% 29.5 54.7% 0.014 0.0618 0.226
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 214 35.51% 31.4 60.75% -0.382 -0.6719 0.327

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 83.12%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.08%
Guard the Healing Land 88.16%
Rituals of Destruction 87.13%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7342 13.42 5.99%
II 5580 30.13 59.14%
III 5354 34.83 86.16%
IV 1991 38.67 99.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 440
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4556
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3227
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1962
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5281
Lose: Invader deck ran out 521
Lose: Adversary condition 1758
Win: Sacrifice victory 34
Lose: Scenario condition 189
Win: Scenario condition 110
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2109
Lose: Spirit destroyed 80

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.299 Win Model: -0.126

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.555 Win Model: 0.239
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9496 42.89% 20.26 43.74%
2 4880 39.45% 27.05 56.23%
3 2747 37.87% 34.1 63.63%
4 1575 35.67% 31.19 56.89%
5 227 28.0% 30.1 57.71%
6 1342 22.89% 26.96 48.88%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)