Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 69 20.29% 26.23 76.81% 0.233 0.2768 0.042
Blitz 0 194 16.15% 25.91 61.34% 0.517 0.7318 0.75
Dahan Insurrection 4 280 21.43% 28.75 28.93% -0.017 -0.3053 -0.811
Despicable Theft 2 53 41.51% 22.6 45.28% 0.686 1.3967 -0.429
Elemental Invocation 1 65 36.92% 18.25 35.38% -0.483 0.2179 -0.869
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1244 16.65% 38.13 57.15% 0.302 -0.2976 0.557
Powers Long Forgotten 1 50 44.0% 12.38 20.0% -0.955 -0.1173 -0.787
Rituals of Terror 3 73 42.47% 32.75 43.84% 0.212 0.272 -0.349
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 41 51.22% 24.12 48.78% -0.209 0.7776 0.439
Second Wave 0 745 27.68% 35.43 73.15% 0.293 0.5432 0.745
The Great River 3 54 31.48% 19.94 22.22% 0.0 1.0659 -1.029
Varied Terrains 2 115 45.22% 22.5 40.87% 0.13 0.959 -0.469
Ward the Shores 2 69 28.99% 20.71 40.58% -0.079 1.1046 -0.336

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8348 43.27% 20.8 45.78% -0.681 -0.4076 0.003
1 Thematic 498 31.73% 17.43 26.91% 0.093 0.6679 -0.365
2 Archipelago 13 23.08% 29.31 76.92% -0.255 0.4222 -0.54
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3101 40.05% 26.53 54.14% -0.034 0.0344 0.617
2 Coastline 437 33.03% 27.33 63.84% -0.561 -0.7801 1.015
2 Fragment 54 40.74% 32.39 75.93% -0.199 -0.4654 2.08
2 Heart 56 50.0% 32.25 53.57% 0.208 -0.2619 1.075
2 Opposite Shores 680 36.26% 28.25 62.35% -0.034 -0.0558 0.248
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5053 0.0
2 Thematic 162 34.38% 24.96 43.83% 0.384 0.7568 0.672
2 Top to Top 128 50.0% 31.55 60.94% 0.489 0.2313 1.031
3 Archipelago 12 41.67% 42.17 83.33% 0.799 -0.124 -0.046
3 Coastline 22 31.82% 23.14 54.55% 0.914 -0.0494 0.792
3 Other 101 30.61% 22.5 50.5% 0.064 -0.7002 0.172
3 Round (Default) 2376 37.54% 34.99 64.77% -0.083 -0.2368 0.006
3 Sunrise 9 55.56% 19.56 77.78% 0.456 0.3782 0.0
3 Thematic 100 41.0% 26.5 45.0% 0.164 0.0163 0.7
4 Archipelago 12 41.67% 28.17 75.0% 0.0 -0.5272 0.418
4 Coastline 11 27.27% 36.0 81.82% 0.303 0.2465 0.475
4 Leaf 13 69.23% 41.23 69.23% -0.555 -0.6459 -0.293
4 Other 59 32.2% 27.93 64.41% -0.049 -0.7336 1.238
4 Reverse Snake 3 66.67% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Snake 5 0.0% 43.6 80.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.21
4 Thematic 151 45.7% 33.36 53.64% -0.235 -0.4122 -0.246
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1219 34.17% 30.8 58.33% -0.265 -0.5945 -0.698
5 Archipelago 2 50.0% 67.5 50.0% 0.0 1.2714 -0.535
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 19.43 57.14% 0.269 -0.2612 -0.451
5 Other 196 30.41% 32.24 57.65% 0.068 -0.6819 -1.543
5 Thematic 43 34.88% 26.35 18.6% -0.655 -1.0413 -1.227
6 Archipelago 14 14.29% 25.0 64.29% -0.027 -0.9975 -0.603
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 16.33 55.56% 0.0 -0.5799 0.494
6 Other 170 29.41% 29.97 61.76% -0.036 -0.4528 -1.375
6 Star 97 27.84% 24.53 56.7% -0.654 -0.3186 -2.329
6 Thematic 589 16.7% 23.58 33.11% -0.702 -0.7504 -1.32
6 Two Centers (Default) 413 29.76% 31.07 60.29% -0.661 -0.4462 -1.348
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 52.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.12 0.119
7 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.116
7 Other 9 22.22% 15.89 44.44% 0.478 -0.6037 -0.653

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 408 30.25 46.81% 0.147 0.2193 0.68
Aid From Lesser Spirits 366 34.86 59.02% 0.457 0.3857 0.905
All Things Weaken 441 25.32 36.28% -0.316 -0.0567 -0.27
Attenuated Essence 224 27.93 40.63% -0.387 -0.4234 0.287
Back Against the Wall 366 32.17 49.18% 0.778 0.8312 0.575
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 229 25.77 38.43% -0.001 0.1449 0.405
Burn Brightest Before the End 173 28.46 40.46% -0.108 -0.0922 -0.071
Disintegrating Ecosystem 456 24.87 36.4% -0.109 0.0793 -0.117
Downward Spiral 521 24.57 41.46% -0.184 -0.1097 0.178
Erosion of Will 421 27.93 40.86% -0.758 -0.6036 0.147
Intensifying Exploitation 210 27.21 41.9% 0.598 0.7339 0.698
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 153 29.72 58.17% 0.18 -0.4342 -0.09
Memory Fades to Dust 522 24.92 41.38% -0.499 -0.2954 0.136
Power Corrodes the Spirit 408 28.59 44.36% 0.573 0.7477 0.388
Promising Farmlands 421 26.05 38.72% -0.314 -0.116 0.468
Shattered Fragments of Power 182 33.51 53.3% -0.163 -0.1606 0.677
Slow Dissolution of Will 204 23.92 33.82% 0.035 0.3332 0.234
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 139 31.36 59.71% -0.122 -0.8193 0.398
The Border of Life and Death 82 24.44 47.56% 0.691 0.193 0.078
Thriving Communities 432 26.49 42.82% 0.348 0.5041 0.1
Thriving Crops 96 23.97 38.54% 0.463 0.1508 1.295
Unnatural Proliferation 456 30.37 42.32% 0.381 0.4895 0.522
Untended Land Crumbles 385 27.21 39.48% -0.398 -0.2165 0.418

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4826 36.48% 27.26 55.16% -0.056 0.9188 0.098
B 4984 37.77% 28.22 56.62% -0.095 0.7941 0.151
C 5449 36.59% 28.1 57.33% 0.267 0.959 0.405
D 4384 36.17% 27.73 56.87% 0.201 1.0965 0.338
E 4724 37.95% 28.43 55.91% 0.501 1.2308 0.355
F 4016 39.3% 28.22 56.62% 0.219 1.0503 0.23
G 3404 38.32% 27.25 55.02% -0.264 0.5154 -0.194
H 3500 38.25% 28.43 56.31% 0.188 0.9705 0.327
East 1214 26.4% 26.06 39.79% -0.296 0.5137 -0.157
Northeast 948 24.1% 25.38 37.87% -0.045 0.7532 -0.147
Northwest 1059 26.16% 21.64 30.5% 0.417 1.1509 -0.591
Southeast 796 20.78% 24.64 36.56% -0.112 0.7819 0.13
Southwest 759 22.85% 23.23 33.47% -0.931 0.3268 -0.836
West 1270 28.12% 22.12 31.97% 0.015 1.0123 -0.186

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 415 0.0% 18.82 38.8% -1.028 -0.3601 -0.327
Not Using Events or Tokens 662 32.89% 11.6 28.1% -0.443 -0.0217 -0.736
Skip Initial Invader Actions 718 10.44% 40.93 73.4% 0.789 0.0199 0.152
Start of Game Growth 970 15.7% 38.42 69.69% 0.606 0.1679 0.529
Unlimited Undo 2076 32.77% 27.57 56.41% -0.036 -0.1018 0.573
Using Tokens but Not Events 1983 21.55% 24.87 58.9% 0.185 0.1424 -0.986

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1739 22.93% 34.45 63.25% 0.36 0.2655 0.381
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 401 32.24% 27.72 40.9% 0.337 -0.1713 -0.125
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 214 26.19% 16.45 42.99% -1.029 -0.8312 -0.419
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 153 42.11% 21.05 40.52% 0.066 -0.8074 -0.461
Dances Up Earthquakes 61 37.7% 29.03 47.54% -0.012 -0.1508 -0.459
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 428 32.69% 20.94 50.7% -0.137 -0.3595 -0.451
Downpour Drenches the World 990 24.44% 27.73 48.18% -0.886 -0.5801 0.051
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 469 38.59% 29.64 55.86% 0.316 -0.2383 0.018
Eyes Watch From the Trees 503 33.2% 29.02 61.03% 0.109 -0.318 0.393
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 421 35.12% 26.11 59.14% -0.39 -0.8034 0.337
Finder of Paths Unseen 419 37.68% 26.03 54.18% -0.398 0.2573 0.425
Fractured Days Split the Sky 506 33.0% 37.08 47.23% 1.09 1.6352 0.516
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 412 38.83% 25.85 54.37% -0.094 -0.1779 0.279
Heart of the Wildfire 390 39.64% 24.54 54.62% -0.237 0.0787 -0.482
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 808 40.48% 33.16 64.23% -0.452 -0.8958 0.674
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 304 30.26% 29.73 52.3% 0.082 -0.2109 0.16
Lightning's Swift Strike 270 38.43% 23.74 52.96% -0.624 -0.362 -0.497
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 930 33.25% 35.4 66.02% 0.167 -0.1609 -0.255
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 168 33.53% 29.92 64.29% -0.211 -0.5866 0.129
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 448 31.89% 30.89 60.27% -0.207 -0.1068 0.482
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 521 42.31% 28.26 54.51% -0.35 -0.5495 -0.546
Many Minds Move as One 275 34.55% 31.16 61.09% 0.233 0.0187 0.256
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 781 21.81% 27.02 49.04% 0.25 0.3974 -0.265
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 107 28.3% 28.49 49.53% 0.242 0.2868 -0.428
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 450 33.02% 24.54 54.44% -0.147 -0.2494 -0.076
River Surges in Sunlight 259 36.78% 23.1 55.21% -0.117 -0.1195 0.232
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 91 35.56% 17.81 40.66% -0.205 0.0831 -0.498
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 506 26.41% 25.62 45.85% 0.676 0.8794 -0.724
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 818 31.68% 32.44 65.65% -0.158 -0.3717 0.539
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1299 23.88% 35.5 53.35% 0.726 0.5684 0.715
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 96 36.46% 27.75 40.63% -0.318 -0.7006 -0.1
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 62 40.74% 15.0 40.32% 0.166 0.7421 -0.145
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 234 31.0% 24.65 68.8% 0.344 0.2847 0.073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 165 36.81% 28.3 58.79% 0.886 0.458 0.292
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 265 32.69% 28.4 66.42% 0.307 0.3133 -0.254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 84 33.75% 24.93 58.33% -0.012 -0.0711 0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 76 42.47% 24.53 60.53% -0.714 -0.5075 0.256
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 342 34.14% 35.4 67.54% -0.13 -0.0974 0.81
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 238 30.93% 26.95 57.56% 0.093 -0.0526 -0.13
Shifting Memory of Ages 820 29.55% 28.19 46.95% 0.058 0.3834 -0.618
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 329 27.96% 31.11 46.81% 0.542 0.5906 0.007
Shroud of Silent Mist 229 28.19% 19.19 47.6% -0.745 -0.3767 -0.693
Starlight Seeks its Form 851 39.76% 35.68 62.04% 0.392 0.3262 0.592
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 680 36.93% 32.25 58.68% -0.109 -0.5925 -0.337
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 407 31.89% 26.6 53.32% 0.185 0.3447 0.411
Thunderspeaker 398 32.82% 30.78 61.31% 0.015 0.0456 -0.014
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 167 36.36% 22.38 47.31% -0.357 -0.1663 -0.444
Towering Roots of the Jungle 158 48.73% 26.87 48.1% 0.304 0.4499 0.211
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 266 57.89% 30.33 56.39% -0.798 -0.7779 -0.049
Volcano Looming High 443 50.45% 29.91 55.3% 0.658 0.6942 0.272
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 203 35.96% 31.46 61.58% 0.239 -0.0786 0.357

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Year of Perfect Stillness 82.87%
Draw of the Fruitful Earth 84.49%
Guard the Healing Land 88.11%
Rituals of Destruction 87.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6876 13.76 6.21%
II 5253 30.19 59.57%
III 5091 34.82 86.37%
IV 1906 38.63 99.21%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 427
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4343
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3058
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1878
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4914
Lose: Invader deck ran out 488
Lose: Adversary condition 1668
Win: Sacrifice victory 30
Lose: Scenario condition 187
Win: Scenario condition 108
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1947
Lose: Spirit destroyed 78

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.503 Win Model: -0.092

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.384 Win Model: 0.019
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8897 42.54% 20.55 44.55%
2 4613 39.02% 27.23 56.71%
3 2600 37.58% 34.04 63.69%
4 1510 35.55% 31.36 57.02%
5 219 28.57% 29.66 56.62%
6 1287 23.17% 26.92 48.41%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)