Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 100.0% 11.0 100.0% 0.137 0.1521 0.0
Blitz 0 13 30.77% 34.85 76.92% 0.349 0.6377 -0.386
Dahan Insurrection 4 9 11.11% 30.44 44.44% -0.374 -0.5505 -0.468
Despicable Theft 2 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.117 -0.2561 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 9 66.67% 28.67 55.56% -0.562 0.3711 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 82 10.98% 29.74 48.78% -0.523 -1.1691 0.008
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 22.22% 10.0 22.22% -1.229 -0.2831 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 21.5 50.0% -0.263 -0.1863 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 4 25.0% 10.0 25.0% -0.449 0.6666 0.0
Second Wave 0 20 35.0% 32.8 90.0% 0.824 0.8548 -0.053
The Great River 3 3 66.67% 25.67 33.33% -0.865 0.5602 -0.627
Varied Terrains 2 8 25.0% 18.38 50.0% -0.507 0.2682 -0.249
Ward the Shores 2 3 66.67% 15.0 33.33% -0.721 0.3235 0.0

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 478 39.54% 23.58 61.72% 0.086 0.346 0.123
1 Thematic 15 26.67% 11.8 33.33% -1.005 -0.5394 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 616 39.12% 31.88 65.75% 0.017 0.2021 -0.243
2 Coastline 135 32.59% 24.49 62.96% -0.364 -0.3803 -0.012
2 Fragment 15 40.0% 40.6 73.33% 1.549 1.2329 1.617
2 Heart 20 70.0% 32.4 40.0% -0.232 -0.3262 -0.28
2 Opposite Shores 145 28.28% 24.71 64.83% -0.385 -0.4245 -0.959
2 Thematic 38 31.58% 24.92 52.63% -0.343 -0.0562 0.068
2 Top to Top 40 25.0% 26.57 65.0% -0.008 -0.0512 -0.576
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 59.67 100.0% 0.213 -0.9264 0.0
3 Other 12 25.0% 17.67 58.33% 0.461 -0.0018 0.452
3 Round (Default) 427 41.45% 32.5 64.87% -0.401 -0.621 -0.338
3 Sunrise 8 50.0% 30.0 75.0% 0.1 0.1754 0.0
3 Thematic 11 27.27% 24.55 54.55% -0.371 -0.6635 0.345
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 51.0 100.0% 0.241 0.4335 0.0
4 Coastline 2 100.0% 13.0 0.0% -1.017 -1.3771 -0.627
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 67.0 100.0% 0.221 0.1126 0.415
4 Other 33 15.15% 23.06 48.48% -0.227 -0.4837 1.124
4 Thematic 12 0.0% 47.75 91.67% 0.556 0.8086 0.265
4 Trapezoid (Default) 236 32.63% 31.85 62.71% -0.503 -0.2889 -0.929
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 51.0 100.0% 0.194 0.0892 0.0
5 Other 11 18.18% 27.55 54.55% 0.125 -0.4403 0.288
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 46.0 100.0% 0.632 0.2115 0.712
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 52.13 75.0% -0.075 -1.0077 0.613
6 Other 11 63.64% 37.09 54.55% -0.601 -0.1755 -0.911
6 Star 7 28.57% 25.14 57.14% -0.738 -0.6254 -0.456
6 Thematic 51 13.73% 22.9 41.18% -1.302 -1.2005 -1.818
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 23.81% 23.62 52.38% -1.069 -1.3257 -0.887
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.72 0.3506 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 40 40.02 77.5% 0.977 1.1523 0.9
Aid From Lesser Spirits 37 40.32 67.57% 0.485 0.4308 0.717
All Things Weaken 51 38.25 68.63% 0.519 0.8126 0.905
Attenuated Essence 38 30.79 60.53% 0.231 0.3144 0.163
Back Against the Wall 31 38.13 64.52% 0.299 0.3462 0.32
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 31.26 54.84% -0.05 0.153 -0.044
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 28.94 42.86% -0.582 -0.3944 0.002
Disintegrating Ecosystem 45 36.47 73.33% 0.685 1.0943 0.42
Downward Spiral 32 41.5 68.75% 0.751 0.8786 1.458
Erosion of Will 44 29.89 61.36% -0.117 0.1661 0.454
Intensifying Exploitation 41 31.49 56.1% -0.061 0.1868 -0.303
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 32 27.22 65.63% 0.09 -0.4252 -0.668
Memory Fades to Dust 45 30.69 62.22% -0.039 0.1982 -0.592
Power Corrodes the Spirit 40 34.05 60.0% 0.089 0.3067 0.051
Promising Farmlands 47 36.43 65.96% 0.425 0.72 0.067
Shattered Fragments of Power 46 39.09 58.7% 0.035 0.2365 -0.044
Slow Dissolution of Will 42 35.79 64.29% 0.284 0.6683 0.886
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 12 37.5 75.0% 0.32 -0.2614 0.16
The Border of Life and Death 17 27.82 76.47% 0.411 -0.1061 -0.108
Thriving Communities 46 38.67 69.57% 0.704 1.0429 -0.032
Thriving Crops 19 34.68 63.16% 0.423 0.3811 0.427
Unnatural Proliferation 50 33.42 64.0% 0.439 0.5793 0.252
Untended Land Crumbles 40 34.27 52.5% -0.271 0.1776 -0.145

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 723 36.38% 28.86 62.38% 0.104 0.9657 -0.056
B 737 32.84% 28.05 60.79% 0.175 0.9914 -0.071
C 825 35.88% 30.26 62.18% 0.197 0.8757 0.234
D 633 35.23% 30.4 62.88% 0.015 0.8197 -0.172
E 673 37.3% 31.24 64.64% 0.314 0.9823 0.053
F 578 38.41% 30.37 64.88% 0.42 1.218 -0.038
G 462 37.01% 29.54 62.99% -0.061 0.7643 0.007
H 546 37.91% 29.6 63.0% 0.236 1.0092 -0.096
East 118 19.49% 26.58 52.54% 0.264 1.1094 0.512
Northeast 97 18.56% 26.86 51.55% 0.007 0.7775 -0.651
Northwest 97 15.46% 24.75 50.52% -0.423 0.3843 0.0
Southeast 68 13.24% 27.0 50.0% -1.463 -0.5937 -0.252
Southwest 70 12.86% 25.93 48.57% 0.233 1.5147 0.594
West 122 18.03% 25.91 50.82% -0.004 0.9915 -0.09

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 6.33 33.33% -0.72 -0.3319 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 25 8.0% 52.12 84.0% 1.407 0.7921 0.653
Start of Game Growth 66 10.61% 33.92 71.21% -0.06 -0.6419 -0.057
Unlimited Undo 221 36.2% 32.57 63.8% 0.053 0.097 0.733
Using Tokens but Not Events 189 13.23% 21.86 69.31% 0.137 0.0791 -0.849

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 36 8.33% 27.75 69.44% 0.262 0.118 0.531
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 379 29.82% 30.67 66.49% 0.391 -0.322 0.37
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 11 27.27% 22.18 54.55% -0.376 -0.1123 -0.316
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 55 21.82% 32.36 65.45% -0.032 -0.8403 -0.56
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 40 17.5% 26.32 62.5% -0.304 -0.4686 0.942
Downpour Drenches the World 83 31.33% 25.6 46.99% -0.225 0.0485 0.152
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 68 33.82% 30.26 64.71% -0.059 -0.4859 0.443
Eyes Watch From the Trees 43 48.84% 28.49 72.09% 0.374 0.0147 0.103
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 56 33.93% 26.59 60.71% 0.261 -0.1835 -0.018
Finder of Paths Unseen 68 19.12% 40.4 51.47% 0.148 0.8368 0.423
Fractured Days Split the Sky 68 14.71% 36.74 50.0% 0.075 0.6641 -0.24
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 30 26.67% 19.97 50.0% -0.543 -0.6074 -0.686
Heart of the Wildfire 45 57.78% 25.87 48.89% -0.876 -0.5484 -0.699
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 77 31.17% 33.7 80.52% 0.79 0.4948 0.44
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 45 33.33% 25.82 57.78% -0.286 -0.6564 -0.754
Lightning's Swift Strike 28 25.0% 29.21 78.57% 0.836 1.1759 -0.582
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 205 30.73% 35.24 60.98% 0.364 -0.11 0.189
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 28 32.14% 25.96 53.57% -0.19 -0.551 0.263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 41 36.59% 35.68 60.98% 0.295 0.3024 1.029
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 71 46.48% 27.15 59.15% 0.081 -0.2135 0.078
Many Minds Move as One 24 41.67% 26.21 54.17% -0.231 -0.3762 0.373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 107 32.71% 33.07 59.81% 0.399 0.3404 -0.131
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 35 25.71% 30.0 71.43% 0.218 0.0545 -0.172
River Surges in Sunlight 30 30.0% 25.1 53.33% -0.537 -0.4384 -0.099
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 287 37.28% 31.08 65.85% 0.097 -0.0384 0.106
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 28 21.43% 17.46 32.14% -1.07 -0.5935 -0.554
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 39 30.77% 23.26 56.41% -0.137 -0.1716 -0.261
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 228 20.18% 35.69 55.7% 0.177 -0.0784 0.298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7 57.14% 23.43 100.0% 0.909 1.4308 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 0.0% 10.0 33.33% -0.19 -0.0491 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 45 37.78% 34.29 66.67% 0.368 -0.2104 0.56
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 60.0% 24.4 40.0% -0.485 -0.1344 -0.458
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 2 0.0% 14.5 50.0% -0.138 -0.1535 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 75.0% 30.5 100.0% 0.54 0.7891 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 15 40.0% 47.47 86.67% 0.959 0.8491 0.297
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 41 36.59% 25.32 43.9% -0.457 -0.619 0.179
Shroud of Silent Mist 32 62.5% 34.63 75.0% 0.459 0.7907 0.531
Starlight Seeks its Form 117 33.33% 32.01 65.81% 0.201 0.0264 0.376
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 56 37.5% 33.54 78.57% 0.623 -0.0863 1.619
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 35 28.57% 27.06 57.14% -0.271 -0.0593 0.494
Thunderspeaker 48 41.67% 28.38 64.58% -0.066 -0.0868 -0.724
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 14 42.86% 15.71 42.86% -0.549 -0.3506 -0.412
Towering Roots of the Jungle 378 36.77% 28.86 61.9% -0.186 -0.214 -0.706
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 32 56.25% 29.91 75.0% 0.237 0.3027 0.212
Vital Strength of the Earth 21 38.1% 21.57 66.67% -0.365 0.169 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 46 28.26% 26.67 39.13% -0.342 0.2252 -0.848
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 11 54.55% 16.64 9.09% -1.421 -0.6627 -0.631
Volcano Looming High 60 58.33% 31.68 73.33% 0.46 0.5969 -0.806
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 96 45.83% 31.86 61.46% -0.015 -0.3259 -0.13

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 54.86%
Elemental Teachings 92.58%
Share Secrets of Survival 79.25%
Study the Invaders' Fears 53.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 702 15.74 2.99%
II 627 30.48 74.48%
III 772 34.79 95.21%
IV 271 38.41 99.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 20
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 730
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 458
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 267
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 599
Lose: Invader deck ran out 7
Lose: Adversary condition 118
Win: Sacrifice victory 13
Lose: Scenario condition 14
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 133
Lose: Spirit destroyed 8

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.753 Win Model: -0.14

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.433 Win Model: 0.186
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 524 39.12% 23.37 61.45%
2 989 36.1% 29.7 64.41%
3 459 41.61% 32.18 64.71%
4 285 28.77% 31.57 62.11%
5 14 28.57% 46.57 71.43%
6 101 21.78% 26.03 49.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)