Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 36.11% 19.56 47.22% 0.139 0.1097 -1.036
Blitz 0 114 17.54% 22.5 47.37% 0.295 0.5379 0.463
Dahan Insurrection 4 155 27.1% 34.34 37.42% 0.483 0.4967 -1.351
Despicable Theft 2 42 26.19% 14.33 26.19% -0.56 0.2062 -0.091
Elemental Invocation 1 115 41.74% 20.48 39.13% -0.69 0.0634 -0.737
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 647 13.47% 29.78 50.7% 0.028 -0.5682 0.326
Powers Long Forgotten 1 63 28.57% 14.4 26.98% -0.769 -0.0214 -0.283
Rituals of Terror 3 43 48.84% 32.19 34.88% 0.666 1.1448 -0.818
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 37 45.95% 26.89 48.65% 0.0 0.6877 0.109
Second Wave 0 303 39.8% 25.43 65.35% -0.925 -0.9293 0.392
The Great River 3 36 30.56% 18.39 27.78% 0.0 1.1295 -0.266
Varied Terrains 2 66 25.76% 16.21 28.79% -0.272 0.5074 -0.461
Ward the Shores 2 54 42.59% 21.19 29.63% -0.194 0.6754 -1.218

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 2878 40.24% 22.42 53.06% -0.217 -0.0126 0.58
1 Thematic 219 37.44% 18.48 33.79% -1.104 -0.4953 -0.657
2 Archipelago 17 33.33% 31.24 64.71% 0.564 0.7345 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3776 41.32% 31.83 61.31% 0.396 0.4761 0.145
2 Coastline 622 37.32% 27.73 62.06% -0.018 -0.1132 0.134
2 Fragment 72 44.44% 31.28 65.28% 0.356 0.3136 1.167
2 Heart 88 69.32% 40.88 54.55% 0.678 0.2172 1.083
2 Opposite Shores 1053 34.54% 23.14 55.46% -0.065 0.0669 -0.744
2 Thematic 375 47.2% 25.85 46.93% -0.156 0.2029 -0.032
2 Top to Top 219 34.25% 29.77 57.53% 0.036 -0.0528 -0.354
3 Archipelago 11 18.18% 41.0 72.73% 0.0 -0.1698 0.513
3 Coastline 18 44.44% 33.0 72.22% 0.356 0.1839 1.03
3 Other 87 27.59% 22.94 64.37% 0.996 0.6111 1.164
3 Round (Default) 3067 38.75% 31.56 58.59% 0.091 0.0967 -0.628
3 Sunrise 14 50.0% 26.5 57.14% -0.479 -1.0857 -0.332
3 Thematic 94 39.36% 28.54 57.45% 1.011 0.5796 0.144
4 Archipelago 13 46.15% 30.38 69.23% 0.0 -0.2406 0.0
4 Coastline 12 41.67% 30.5 33.33% 0.126 -0.4725 1.172
4 Leaf 22 40.91% 26.23 59.09% -0.234 -1.2559 -0.269
4 Other 389 11.83% 21.07 41.9% 0.2 -0.6434 0.4
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Thematic 138 24.64% 28.26 52.17% 1.6 1.3975 -0.958
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1965 36.06% 33.24 55.37% -0.712 -0.5223 -1.193
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 25.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.6597 0.0
5 Other 156 38.06% 31.48 60.9% 0.117 -0.0436 -0.334
5 Thematic 18 11.76% 32.89 72.22% -0.232 0.1063 -0.084
6 Archipelago 49 14.29% 43.37 59.18% -0.378 -1.0317 -0.213
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 16.33 66.67% 0.061 -0.3895 0.0
6 Other 168 32.14% 25.39 48.81% 0.137 0.098 -1.559
6 Star 133 18.8% 26.1 49.62% -0.661 -0.1953 -2.29
6 Thematic 372 19.68% 27.17 40.05% -1.5 -1.2516 -1.351
6 Two Centers (Default) 343 25.66% 26.55 50.73% -1.411 -0.2095 -2.77
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 18.86 28.57% -0.738 0.4172 -0.27
7 Other 19 22.22% 36.0 52.63% 0.152 0.3331 -0.942

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 287 34.93 56.45% 0.21 0.359 0.972
Aid From Lesser Spirits 277 37.66 54.51% -0.804 -0.9165 0.878
All Things Weaken 317 35.69 54.57% 0.493 0.8675 0.723
Attenuated Essence 308 34.26 57.47% 0.106 0.2311 0.332
Back Against the Wall 278 39.95 65.83% 0.276 0.3169 0.553
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 303 34.38 57.43% -0.187 0.019 0.206
Burn Brightest Before the End 258 33.76 46.51% 0.203 0.2474 0.079
Disintegrating Ecosystem 303 32.87 53.8% -0.749 -0.2508 -0.069
Downward Spiral 337 35.0 60.53% 0.081 0.3307 0.904
Erosion of Will 312 32.5 57.05% 0.46 0.7177 -0.441
Intensifying Exploitation 308 32.76 49.03% 0.764 0.9828 0.243
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 156 33.83 71.15% 0.115 -0.2712 0.392
Memory Fades to Dust 301 32.84 55.15% -0.491 -0.2861 0.441
Power Corrodes the Spirit 300 33.83 55.0% 0.094 0.2926 0.59
Promising Farmlands 272 34.95 54.04% -0.398 -0.042 0.619
Shattered Fragments of Power 284 36.17 54.93% 0.197 0.4142 0.426
Slow Dissolution of Will 307 32.21 52.12% 0.122 0.552 0.71
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 115 39.24 78.26% 1.092 0.4674 0.592
The Border of Life and Death 82 32.67 67.07% -0.286 -0.6061 0.467
Thriving Communities 270 35.81 59.63% -0.218 0.1013 0.433
Thriving Crops 147 33.84 61.22% 0.46 0.3413 0.242
Unnatural Proliferation 330 37.35 60.3% 0.663 0.7522 0.736
Untended Land Crumbles 283 38.29 59.36% 0.93 1.1547 0.658

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5183 35.35% 28.58 55.37% 0.253 1.0521 0.419
B 5569 34.04% 28.86 55.47% -0.146 0.5845 0.341
C 5749 36.68% 30.0 55.92% 0.081 0.6851 0.855
D 4719 35.52% 28.77 55.01% 0.499 1.2557 -0.004
E 4876 36.35% 29.77 56.13% 0.145 0.7297 0.378
F 4548 36.53% 29.67 57.32% -0.362 0.3406 0.151
G 3891 37.3% 28.66 56.0% -0.35 0.4071 0.223
H 4029 36.98% 29.92 56.74% 0.258 0.8887 0.5
East 1079 32.5% 26.71 46.34% 0.033 0.8161 -0.234
Northeast 851 31.8% 27.04 46.3% -0.327 0.4347 0.34
Northwest 810 31.31% 26.68 44.81% -0.13 0.7124 -1.314
Southeast 574 24.3% 27.44 45.3% 0.899 1.538 -0.067
Southwest 528 23.53% 25.47 40.15% -0.054 0.9912 -0.786
West 1040 33.14% 26.05 44.13% -0.802 -0.0262 -0.88

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 39 0.0% 11.82 41.03% -0.315 0.559 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 56 37.78% 11.93 41.07% -0.914 -0.5367 0.489
Skip Initial Invader Actions 248 14.47% 32.47 58.47% -0.335 -0.6268 -0.041
Start of Game Growth 742 14.76% 25.56 51.08% 0.052 -0.5045 0.721
Unlimited Undo 1762 29.64% 28.79 53.29% -0.689 -0.6258 0.348
Using Tokens but Not Events 1271 21.24% 23.51 60.5% 0.047 -0.0803 -0.18

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 452 21.8% 26.87 59.96% 0.256 0.1596 0.062
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1917 27.48% 30.31 53.16% 0.399 0.0735 -0.185
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 45 27.27% 27.2 55.56% -0.326 -0.5872 -0.899
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 465 29.81% 37.37 65.38% 0.774 0.0537 0.894
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 187 49.73% 31.25 72.73% 1.027 1.3261 -0.256
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 343 35.09% 30.26 57.14% -0.589 -1.1788 1.287
Dances Up Earthquakes 555 39.89% 28.84 50.45% -1.105 -0.9236 0.105
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 404 27.61% 24.01 55.2% -0.514 -0.6926 -0.587
Downpour Drenches the World 754 26.16% 28.53 47.88% -0.278 0.0809 0.036
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 654 34.51% 27.42 58.26% 0.518 0.0784 -0.05
Eyes Watch From the Trees 461 31.51% 29.88 65.94% 0.206 -0.143 0.705
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 365 31.96% 25.57 56.99% -0.007 -0.4073 -0.092
Finder of Paths Unseen 789 21.25% 31.19 43.09% -0.353 0.7216 -0.51
Fractured Days Split the Sky 934 24.3% 38.78 48.72% -0.393 0.0627 -0.001
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 308 37.34% 26.39 56.49% 0.068 -0.0234 0.422
Heart of the Wildfire 322 51.55% 23.63 47.52% -0.859 -0.4282 -0.706
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 675 33.98% 31.04 65.04% 0.269 -0.1735 0.73
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 377 27.93% 26.2 60.48% 0.387 -0.1215 0.401
Lightning's Swift Strike 227 42.48% 30.25 62.56% 0.28 0.4434 -0.324
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1243 38.7% 35.39 59.05% 0.607 -0.072 0.811
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 158 36.31% 32.06 64.56% 0.361 0.0022 1.003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 325 29.54% 24.55 49.23% -0.741 -0.8872 0.379
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 701 41.43% 28.42 52.35% 0.54 0.3632 -0.427
Many Minds Move as One 301 34.55% 30.29 59.8% -0.278 -0.4129 -0.219
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 769 26.6% 23.98 42.26% -0.681 -0.7582 -0.048
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 987 41.12% 28.27 52.08% 0.145 0.3362 0.143
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 351 40.0% 26.62 58.69% -0.369 -0.4277 -0.377
River Surges in Sunlight 250 28.45% 32.15 68.8% -0.591 -0.5462 -0.708
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 644 38.41% 30.5 61.02% 0.252 0.482 -0.541
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 259 32.95% 25.57 49.03% -0.059 -0.0099 -0.31
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 424 30.66% 23.38 40.8% 0.307 0.4739 -0.667
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2157 27.01% 39.47 55.73% 0.338 0.1443 0.727
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 478 36.61% 32.13 56.69% 0.174 0.1598 0.695
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 68 48.53% 27.5 79.41% -0.589 0.0354 -0.416
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 25.71% 18.81 51.35% 0.139 0.154 0.336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 302 35.43% 28.19 58.94% 0.284 -0.1508 -0.229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 38.71% 26.38 60.32% -0.03 -0.0071 0.034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 48 31.91% 27.46 64.58% -0.013 -0.0998 -0.564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 51.61% 26.16 77.42% -0.19 0.2189 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 145 33.1% 31.97 62.07% 0.653 0.7103 -0.147
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 42 50.0% 35.67 64.29% -0.04 -0.5435 0.289
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 326 41.05% 28.19 54.6% 1.258 1.2206 0.587
Shroud of Silent Mist 228 41.15% 25.6 59.21% -0.698 -0.1743 -0.354
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 47 44.68% 27.43 55.32% -0.282 -0.6227 -0.23
Starlight Seeks its Form 1037 32.85% 30.41 59.4% 0.977 0.7782 -0.042
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 583 43.74% 24.75 46.48% -0.187 -0.802 -0.465
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 362 30.47% 26.86 58.29% 0.048 0.2816 -0.36
Thunderspeaker 328 31.5% 31.47 60.67% 0.188 0.1713 0.69
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 259 43.41% 23.88 51.74% -0.317 -0.117 -0.023
Towering Roots of the Jungle 896 36.16% 26.88 53.57% -1.41 -1.2434 -0.531
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 407 50.99% 28.92 60.44% 1.061 1.1107 0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth 159 32.28% 22.23 57.86% 0.9 1.3698 -0.222
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 544 29.04% 31.65 50.0% -0.126 0.2829 0.202
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 106 37.74% 23.37 46.23% -0.641 0.0258 -0.009
Volcano Looming High 426 48.12% 25.83 52.82% -0.288 -0.3043 0.54
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 685 42.06% 29.62 55.18% -0.255 -0.5351 -0.338

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 54.38%
Elemental Teachings 92.06%
Share Secrets of Survival 79.96%
Study the Invaders' Fears 50.58%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5556 12.44 1.96%
II 4027 29.94 63.57%
III 5044 34.9 94.03%
IV 1827 38.84 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 108
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 4683
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2492
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1807
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4963
Lose: Invader deck ran out 32
Lose: Adversary condition 958
Win: Sacrifice victory 69
Lose: Scenario condition 84
Win: Scenario condition 74
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1128
Lose: Spirit destroyed 55

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.459 Win Model: -0.111

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.466 Win Model: 0.202
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3232 39.98% 22.29 51.98%
2 6166 40.25% 29.74 59.47%
3 3266 38.66% 31.37 58.94%
4 2522 31.54% 30.93 52.85%
5 194 38.34% 35.13 60.82%
6 1074 22.57% 26.9 47.49%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)