Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 38.46% 19.05 46.15% -0.44 -0.0702 -1.027
Blitz 0 121 19.83% 23.77 49.59% 0.933 1.3646 0.866
Dahan Insurrection 4 168 26.79% 34.53 38.1% -0.07 -0.0959 -1.038
Despicable Theft 2 44 25.0% 14.91 27.27% 0.0 0.6595 -0.167
Elemental Invocation 1 124 44.35% 20.46 40.32% 0.172 0.6202 -1.09
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 697 14.22% 29.8 50.07% 0.006 -0.5936 0.095
Powers Long Forgotten 1 69 27.54% 13.38 24.64% -1.085 -0.477 -0.314
Rituals of Terror 3 55 45.45% 30.64 32.73% 0.336 0.4601 -0.923
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 44.19% 26.56 46.51% -0.326 0.4124 0.125
Second Wave 0 332 39.94% 25.61 65.96% 0.803 0.9098 0.413
The Great River 3 41 31.71% 18.17 29.27% -0.189 0.9858 0.108
Varied Terrains 2 75 26.67% 17.21 30.67% -0.453 0.2836 -0.504
Ward the Shores 2 58 43.1% 21.12 29.31% -0.263 0.4197 -1.178

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3071 39.93% 22.22 52.62% -0.262 -0.0378 0.599
1 Thematic 250 36.8% 18.33 33.2% -0.371 0.1792 0.208
2 Archipelago 18 31.25% 29.5 61.11% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4051 41.1% 31.62 60.73% -0.207 -0.0958 0.038
2 Coastline 664 37.27% 27.5 61.9% -0.34 -0.429 0.216
2 Fragment 78 44.87% 32.18 66.67% 1.22 0.881 1.268
2 Heart 94 69.15% 40.96 54.26% -0.017 -0.3439 1.228
2 Opposite Shores 1137 35.68% 23.37 55.85% 0.492 0.5283 -0.461
2 Thematic 480 48.96% 26.78 48.13% -0.546 -0.0178 0.016
2 Top to Top 247 34.41% 29.83 57.09% 0.669 0.4628 -0.495
3 Archipelago 12 16.67% 37.58 66.67% -0.368 -0.2672 0.464
3 Coastline 19 42.11% 31.26 68.42% 0.042 -0.4793 0.974
3 Other 90 27.78% 22.63 63.33% 0.891 0.1493 1.105
3 Round (Default) 3280 38.2% 31.49 58.51% -0.525 -0.6209 -0.554
3 Sunrise 14 50.0% 26.5 57.14% 0.0 -0.7396 -0.343
3 Thematic 105 37.14% 28.46 57.14% 0.253 0.4947 -0.778
4 Archipelago 21 57.14% 29.29 66.67% -0.238 -0.1567 0.0
4 Coastline 15 53.33% 29.2 40.0% 0.0 0.2598 0.983
4 Leaf 22 40.91% 26.23 59.09% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 432 14.81% 23.21 45.6% 0.533 -0.0146 0.708
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 58.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 175 24.0% 25.5 44.0% -0.785 -0.3118 -1.312
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2073 36.16% 32.97 54.85% -0.799 -0.988 -1.178
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 25.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 178 38.42% 31.66 63.48% 0.494 0.1673 -0.409
5 Thematic 20 15.79% 33.35 70.0% 0.554 0.0631 0.405
6 Archipelago 50 14.0% 42.5 58.0% 0.0 -0.9253 -0.109
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 16.33 66.67% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 172 31.98% 25.32 48.84% 0.049 0.3182 -1.669
6 Star 140 19.29% 26.21 50.0% -0.673 0.1232 -1.469
6 Thematic 394 19.34% 27.29 40.36% -0.783 -0.2023 -1.293
6 Two Centers (Default) 368 26.37% 27.63 52.45% 0.012 -0.0107 -2.414
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 18.86 28.57% 0.0 0.4064 -0.4
7 Coastline 1 100.0% 73.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.08
7 Other 22 19.05% 37.95 54.55% 0.112 -0.1432 -0.756

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 311 34.46 55.63% -0.282 0.0282 0.659
Aid From Lesser Spirits 296 37.88 56.08% 1.601 1.6146 0.555
All Things Weaken 338 35.58 54.14% -0.389 0.0853 0.373
Attenuated Essence 330 34.02 56.67% -0.341 -0.1942 0.109
Back Against the Wall 303 39.54 64.69% 0.332 0.4615 0.386
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 327 33.92 55.96% -0.661 -0.3413 -0.023
Burn Brightest Before the End 276 34.59 47.83% 0.207 0.3839 0.163
Disintegrating Ecosystem 330 32.71 53.64% 0.131 0.5111 -0.246
Downward Spiral 366 35.01 61.2% 1.406 1.5993 0.876
Erosion of Will 339 32.43 56.64% 0.547 0.8853 -0.253
Intensifying Exploitation 336 33.53 51.49% 1.219 1.5714 0.639
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 167 33.75 70.66% 0.195 -0.1681 0.16
Memory Fades to Dust 319 32.45 54.23% -0.356 -0.027 0.317
Power Corrodes the Spirit 327 33.77 54.13% -0.189 0.0779 0.355
Promising Farmlands 292 34.71 54.45% -0.193 0.2545 0.364
Shattered Fragments of Power 316 36.66 55.7% 0.567 0.5668 0.606
Slow Dissolution of Will 323 32.36 52.32% 0.106 0.5171 0.437
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 122 38.48 76.23% 0.09 -0.4683 0.713
The Border of Life and Death 90 31.91 65.56% 0.629 0.3835 0.786
Thriving Communities 293 35.1 58.7% 0.23 0.5072 0.194
Thriving Crops 160 34.36 61.88% 0.743 0.6478 -0.009
Unnatural Proliferation 351 37.32 60.11% 0.51 0.7145 0.548
Untended Land Crumbles 308 38.16 59.74% 0.521 0.8207 0.646

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5563 35.46% 28.56 55.33% 0.176 1.1676 0.412
B 5925 34.53% 28.99 55.63% 0.014 0.8795 0.282
C 6150 36.43% 29.87 55.9% 0.358 1.1097 0.704
D 5032 35.45% 28.77 55.09% 0.023 0.9677 0.03
E 5274 36.27% 29.86 56.24% 0.139 0.8938 0.356
F 4876 36.53% 29.69 57.24% 0.312 1.1867 0.095
G 4152 37.34% 28.71 55.97% 0.022 0.8848 0.14
H 4310 37.1% 29.97 56.96% 0.635 1.442 0.667
East 1267 33.75% 26.66 45.78% -0.168 0.5774 -0.354
Northeast 1001 33.73% 27.49 46.65% -0.016 0.8768 0.149
Northwest 956 33.54% 27.13 45.19% -0.329 0.4142 -0.709
Southeast 629 23.76% 26.7 43.56% -0.59 0.419 -0.063
Southwest 583 22.85% 24.99 39.28% -0.44 0.7166 -0.737
West 1228 34.26% 26.1 43.89% -0.135 0.8472 -1.04

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 41 0.0% 11.34 39.02% -0.684 0.036 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 61 40.0% 11.59 40.98% 0.146 0.6203 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 263 14.8% 32.34 57.79% -0.072 -0.8774 0.428
Start of Game Growth 798 16.13% 26.01 51.88% -0.944 -1.5102 0.859
Unlimited Undo 1887 29.53% 28.83 53.84% 0.447 0.4748 0.3
Using Tokens but Not Events 1357 22.16% 23.55 60.13% -0.001 -0.0278 0.106

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 478 21.87% 26.86 60.46% 0.325 -0.0929 0.053
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 2053 27.22% 30.44 53.14% 0.503 -0.1529 -0.182
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 58 30.36% 25.02 53.45% -0.093 -0.2509 -0.85
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 663 29.8% 36.0 62.29% 0.237 -0.6232 0.683
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 204 49.02% 31.39 73.53% -0.026 0.1118 -0.426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 361 35.83% 30.51 56.51% -1.132 -2.1613 1.328
Dances Up Earthquakes 606 39.17% 28.53 49.83% -0.834 -0.87 -0.197
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 461 29.63% 25.0 56.83% 0.022 -0.3325 -0.398
Downpour Drenches the World 789 26.14% 28.44 47.91% 0.368 0.4914 -0.305
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 701 34.81% 27.78 58.35% 0.163 -0.4079 0.493
Eyes Watch From the Trees 476 31.57% 30.05 66.18% -0.065 -0.7107 0.701
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 389 32.3% 25.29 56.3% -1.079 -1.5732 -0.348
Finder of Paths Unseen 822 22.22% 31.1 43.43% 0.24 0.828 -0.296
Fractured Days Split the Sky 995 24.52% 38.31 48.34% -0.343 0.104 -0.077
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 331 37.16% 26.12 54.68% -0.84 -1.0252 0.378
Heart of the Wildfire 345 51.59% 23.25 46.38% -0.436 -0.2927 -1.07
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 732 33.38% 30.89 64.75% 0.316 -0.3587 0.58
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 404 27.3% 25.83 59.41% -0.548 -1.0759 0.213
Lightning's Swift Strike 249 42.74% 30.37 63.45% -0.059 -0.0263 -0.449
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1307 38.56% 35.48 59.07% 0.309 -0.3428 0.64
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 176 34.86% 31.2 62.5% 0.01 -0.4855 0.935
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 366 28.96% 23.08 45.9% -0.547 -0.7869 -0.302
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 742 41.16% 28.41 52.96% 0.627 0.2013 -0.497
Many Minds Move as One 325 35.8% 30.49 59.08% -0.15 -0.6589 -0.344
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 783 26.89% 24.13 42.91% 0.851 0.5818 0.258
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1057 41.23% 28.65 52.6% 0.246 0.1324 0.068
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 396 40.25% 26.55 58.59% -0.016 -0.31 -0.298
River Surges in Sunlight 263 28.57% 31.86 68.44% -0.269 -0.4404 -0.479
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 654 38.13% 30.78 61.47% 0.377 0.2657 -0.286
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 274 34.07% 26.19 50.0% 0.282 0.2168 -0.038
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 439 31.21% 23.82 41.46% 0.162 0.0319 -0.192
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2300 27.38% 39.22 55.52% -0.154 -0.4188 0.617
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 530 36.42% 32.14 56.42% -0.198 -0.6281 0.724
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 70 47.14% 26.96 78.57% -0.559 -0.1307 -0.383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 25.0% 18.32 50.0% -0.368 -0.3636 0.377
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 322 36.65% 27.83 58.39% -0.301 -1.0537 -0.278
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 36.92% 26.24 60.61% 0.123 -0.1961 0.126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 51 34.0% 27.47 64.71% 0.0 -0.1787 0.198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 31 51.61% 26.16 77.42% 0.0 -0.0428 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 152 33.55% 32.41 61.84% 0.443 0.0773 0.038
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 65 44.62% 33.6 64.62% 0.425 -0.1163 0.101
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 335 41.74% 28.41 55.22% 0.49 0.2459 0.541
Shroud of Silent Mist 241 41.84% 25.33 58.92% 0.556 0.7382 -0.381
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 72 41.67% 28.39 61.11% 0.844 0.4342 0.139
Starlight Seeks its Form 1096 33.46% 30.77 59.76% 0.168 -0.074 0.143
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 624 42.79% 24.58 46.79% -0.137 -1.0888 -0.421
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 384 30.03% 26.97 58.07% -0.475 -0.4324 -0.353
Thunderspeaker 340 30.97% 31.83 61.18% 0.028 -0.1667 0.875
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 287 41.96% 24.39 53.31% -0.367 -0.5353 -0.204
Towering Roots of the Jungle 920 35.87% 27.01 54.13% 1.183 1.0725 -0.84
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 438 50.57% 29.23 61.64% 0.277 0.1259 0.181
Vital Strength of the Earth 164 31.9% 21.95 57.32% -0.272 0.0869 -0.622
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 601 29.45% 30.74 48.75% 0.04 0.2829 0.287
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 112 35.71% 22.29 44.64% -0.83 -0.1484 -0.071
Volcano Looming High 446 48.43% 26.22 53.81% 0.916 0.5922 0.568
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 812 43.87% 29.9 54.8% -0.262 -0.7798 -0.107

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 54.65%
Elemental Teachings 92.18%
Share Secrets of Survival 79.64%
Study the Invaders' Fears 50.25%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6012 12.25 1.91%
II 4308 29.91 63.05%
III 5420 34.94 93.84%
IV 2003 38.9 99.7%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 114
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5017
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2644
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1983
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5409
Lose: Invader deck ran out 34
Lose: Adversary condition 1026
Win: Sacrifice victory 75
Lose: Scenario condition 97
Win: Scenario condition 81
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1203
Lose: Spirit destroyed 59

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.296 Win Model: -0.116

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.697 Win Model: 0.174
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3464 39.61% 22.02 51.39%
2 6712 40.56% 29.68 59.13%
3 3508 38.05% 31.28 58.69%
4 2705 31.89% 30.76 52.57%
5 217 38.89% 34.74 62.67%
6 1137 22.72% 27.36 48.2%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)