Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 40.91% 18.64 50.0% -0.475 -0.284 -0.631
Blitz 0 85 20.0% 22.64 49.41% -0.835 -0.6179 -0.458
Dahan Insurrection 4 91 16.48% 31.44 38.46% -1.439 -1.6915 0.342
Despicable Theft 2 31 25.81% 16.29 29.03% -0.154 0.4321 -0.209
Elemental Invocation 1 73 43.84% 22.62 43.84% -0.705 0.0346 0.432
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 476 13.26% 28.74 47.48% 0.07 -0.4917 0.157
Powers Long Forgotten 1 49 32.65% 14.63 24.49% -1.019 -0.2597 0.059
Rituals of Terror 3 17 47.06% 16.29 23.53% -0.873 -0.7532 -0.317
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 38.46% 24.0 42.31% 0.086 0.9932 0.237
Second Wave 0 200 37.24% 26.39 67.5% 0.112 0.2509 0.448
The Great River 3 25 32.0% 15.76 20.0% -1.159 -0.0586 -1.045
Varied Terrains 2 45 15.56% 13.56 31.11% -1.247 -0.4707 0.096
Ward the Shores 2 26 42.31% 19.92 42.31% 0.531 1.6056 -0.887

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 2138 41.16% 23.3 54.77% 0.425 0.7572 0.372
1 Thematic 161 40.37% 21.16 37.27% -0.576 0.1097 0.26
2 Archipelago 15 38.46% 33.4 66.67% 0.085 0.6929 0.456
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2658 41.96% 31.77 62.19% 0.432 0.5513 0.125
2 Coastline 455 36.73% 27.84 61.98% 0.116 0.0436 0.344
2 Fragment 50 40.0% 32.78 64.0% 0.943 0.7583 2.158
2 Heart 71 78.87% 44.51 54.93% 0.693 0.536 0.465
2 Opposite Shores 743 31.98% 23.45 59.76% 0.354 0.5051 -0.473
2 Thematic 196 42.35% 28.1 53.06% -0.274 0.2342 -0.543
2 Top to Top 157 33.76% 28.29 56.05% 0.032 -0.0269 0.237
3 Archipelago 7 28.57% 44.43 85.71% -0.055 -1.0064 0.0
3 Coastline 6 50.0% 19.67 66.67% 1.112 0.7024 1.584
3 Other 69 33.33% 24.9 71.01% 0.587 -0.1839 1.126
3 Round (Default) 2027 39.05% 30.1 57.13% 0.125 0.0336 -0.574
3 Sunrise 12 50.0% 26.58 66.67% -0.232 -0.3276 -0.352
3 Thematic 63 36.51% 29.67 60.32% 0.509 0.5295 0.612
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 30.42 66.67% 0.203 -0.3267 0.177
4 Coastline 10 50.0% 33.2 30.0% -0.534 -0.6198 -0.09
4 Leaf 14 35.71% 26.57 57.14% -0.34 -0.5012 -0.709
4 Other 261 9.96% 17.56 36.4% 0.534 -0.177 0.791
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 4.33 0.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Thematic 61 37.7% 34.36 57.38% -0.409 -0.2865 -0.629
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1264 30.23% 31.77 55.06% -0.464 -0.467 -1.236
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0301 0.0
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 25.5 50.0% -0.253 -0.3992 0.0
5 Other 99 37.37% 27.48 56.57% 0.25 -0.2642 -0.3
5 Thematic 9 12.5% 38.22 66.67% 0.106 0.0493 0.556
6 Archipelago 38 10.53% 45.0 63.16% -0.29 -1.3278 -0.065
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.0
6 Other 123 34.15% 25.25 51.22% -1.279 -1.3828 -1.931
6 Star 76 22.37% 23.42 46.05% -1.35 -1.3637 -2.411
6 Thematic 260 15.06% 25.56 37.69% -0.81 -0.5243 -1.907
6 Two Centers (Default) 216 24.07% 26.37 51.85% -1.815 -1.282 -1.966
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.214 0.279 0.04
7 Other 14 15.38% 33.64 50.0% -0.44 -0.9988 -0.557

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 189 34.81 57.14% 0.18 0.4309 0.297
Aid From Lesser Spirits 174 37.92 56.32% 0.573 0.5153 0.724
All Things Weaken 229 34.77 53.71% 0.262 0.5971 0.702
Attenuated Essence 221 34.92 58.37% 0.292 0.3256 0.543
Back Against the Wall 182 40.93 65.93% 0.47 0.5044 1.049
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 191 36.15 59.16% 0.267 0.4838 0.872
Burn Brightest Before the End 172 32.38 45.35% 0.336 0.3461 -0.055
Disintegrating Ecosystem 205 32.91 56.1% 0.309 0.6532 0.362
Downward Spiral 230 33.81 59.13% 0.525 0.6425 0.79
Erosion of Will 197 33.06 58.88% 0.126 0.4005 0.588
Intensifying Exploitation 213 31.9 48.83% -0.309 -0.098 0.06
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 117 32.51 69.23% 0.767 0.1944 0.138
Memory Fades to Dust 207 32.12 54.59% 0.003 0.2555 0.016
Power Corrodes the Spirit 197 32.59 55.84% 0.346 0.5506 0.505
Promising Farmlands 179 33.98 53.63% -0.065 0.189 0.003
Shattered Fragments of Power 187 35.36 56.68% -0.124 -0.0495 0.316
Slow Dissolution of Will 216 31.04 51.39% -0.04 0.3414 0.114
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 82 40.32 82.93% 1.215 0.5409 0.845
The Border of Life and Death 56 31.68 67.86% 0.93 0.3293 0.425
Thriving Communities 186 36.77 61.83% 0.074 0.3553 0.297
Thriving Crops 107 35.24 63.55% -0.149 -0.2896 0.769
Unnatural Proliferation 238 36.08 62.61% 0.208 0.4113 0.749
Untended Land Crumbles 198 38.2 59.09% 0.492 0.6819 0.801

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3549 34.63% 28.0 56.07% 0.221 1.2193 0.029
B 3765 32.9% 28.0 55.56% 0.159 1.0811 0.063
C 3930 35.95% 29.59 56.46% 0.296 1.0246 0.187
D 3205 34.45% 27.9 54.95% 0.065 1.0241 -0.064
E 3307 35.1% 29.21 56.43% 0.182 1.001 0.079
F 3080 35.63% 29.02 56.72% 0.307 1.1891 -0.117
G 2692 36.73% 27.96 56.05% -0.009 0.816 0.157
H 2725 36.27% 28.98 56.81% 0.2 1.0386 -0.031
East 659 29.22% 27.34 47.19% -0.52 0.3551 0.481
Northeast 511 26.92% 26.97 45.99% -0.687 0.0649 -0.644
Northwest 480 26.36% 26.82 44.79% 0.115 1.0068 -0.151
Southeast 383 21.26% 27.41 44.65% 0.099 0.9383 -0.197
Southwest 342 19.65% 25.54 40.35% -0.488 0.817 -0.307
West 619 30.47% 27.21 45.4% 0.027 0.9763 0.444

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 29 0.0% 13.97 48.28% -1.33 -0.6007 -0.389
Not Using Events or Tokens 40 31.25% 10.5 40.0% -0.172 0.1736 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 173 15.34% 33.24 58.96% 0.821 0.2183 0.275
Start of Game Growth 515 13.57% 23.68 48.54% -0.221 -0.7253 -0.358
Unlimited Undo 1261 28.77% 27.69 52.89% -0.126 -0.2334 0.57
Using Tokens but Not Events 916 19.44% 23.54 60.15% 0.434 0.4039 -0.769

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 298 17.81% 23.9 59.06% -0.023 -0.1183 -0.164
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1277 24.31% 27.66 54.42% -0.166 -0.642 0.247
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 79 35.44% 28.23 68.35% 0.918 1.0307 -0.571
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 261 35.25% 30.05 56.7% 0.415 -0.3976 -0.104
Dances Up Earthquakes 360 36.49% 28.57 50.83% -0.094 -0.1028 -0.032
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 230 29.69% 24.34 58.26% -0.251 -0.3913 0.404
Downpour Drenches the World 515 24.47% 26.63 45.83% 0.22 0.448 0.021
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 473 31.42% 25.57 54.97% 0.386 -0.1834 0.051
Eyes Watch From the Trees 294 29.11% 29.41 69.39% -0.195 -0.5828 -0.079
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 264 31.56% 25.43 57.2% -0.801 -1.1954 0.088
Finder of Paths Unseen 604 20.27% 31.07 40.56% -0.294 0.4341 0.059
Fractured Days Split the Sky 581 23.58% 38.42 47.85% 0.159 0.7997 0.072
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 232 37.93% 25.19 56.03% 0.212 0.0786 -0.27
Heart of the Wildfire 233 54.94% 24.86 49.36% -0.457 -0.1273 -0.957
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 465 33.41% 30.64 65.16% -0.011 -0.4344 0.362
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 268 28.36% 25.63 59.7% 0.314 0.0076 -0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike 150 36.91% 30.08 62.0% 0.201 0.439 -0.907
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 856 35.75% 33.51 57.83% 0.628 0.2202 0.405
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 107 38.68% 31.61 61.68% 0.069 -0.2502 0.595
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 224 31.7% 25.07 50.45% -0.444 -0.5245 0.578
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 450 38.22% 28.36 52.44% -0.084 -0.2772 -0.184
Many Minds Move as One 203 36.95% 29.5 58.62% 0.999 0.7824 0.493
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 635 26.07% 23.41 41.1% -1.104 -0.9644 -0.107
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 642 40.41% 27.16 49.38% -0.108 -0.0273 -0.256
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 235 34.62% 27.43 58.72% 0.047 -0.0309 -0.454
River Surges in Sunlight 151 30.0% 33.21 70.86% 0.33 0.4556 0.458
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 559 38.46% 31.05 62.61% -0.372 -0.1935 0.23
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 177 32.77% 23.58 46.33% -0.447 -0.1679 -0.333
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 311 28.62% 20.94 37.3% -0.038 -0.1607 -1.053
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1295 24.42% 38.08 56.06% 0.876 0.749 0.858
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 266 40.23% 32.09 60.15% 0.276 0.1633 0.576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 36 50.0% 27.69 80.56% -0.023 0.4922 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 24 4.35% 15.25 50.0% -0.544 -0.5629 -0.052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 239 34.73% 28.76 59.83% -0.134 -0.6368 0.841
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 41 47.5% 26.61 58.54% 0.66 0.4687 0.204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 29 31.03% 25.62 65.52% -0.493 -0.552 -0.061
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 23 52.17% 27.0 78.26% -0.428 -0.3466 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 99 35.35% 32.96 65.66% -0.379 -0.2998 0.972
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 252 40.8% 27.64 51.98% -0.246 -0.4331 0.171
Shroud of Silent Mist 166 40.61% 26.07 60.84% 0.012 0.3631 -0.017
Starlight Seeks its Form 685 33.33% 30.24 59.42% 0.275 0.1572 0.147
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 365 36.99% 25.1 52.6% -0.331 -0.844 0.143
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 231 31.6% 26.82 59.31% 0.048 0.1656 0.526
Thunderspeaker 221 33.03% 30.87 59.73% 0.461 0.4929 -0.491
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 132 37.4% 21.23 47.73% -0.162 -0.1482 -0.636
Towering Roots of the Jungle 780 35.9% 27.92 56.15% -0.228 -0.0985 -0.178
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 239 49.58% 27.67 56.49% 0.213 0.3394 -0.529
Vital Strength of the Earth 117 25.64% 21.03 56.41% 0.165 0.7653 -0.973
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 362 27.35% 31.22 48.34% 0.437 0.9307 -0.004
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 81 34.57% 22.36 43.21% -0.063 0.6346 0.063
Volcano Looming High 315 49.21% 25.95 52.38% -0.309 -0.2617 0.353
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 417 39.95% 32.14 61.63% 0.263 -0.0267 0.073

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Ancient Memories 54.96%
Elemental Teachings 91.67%
Share Secrets of Survival 80.28%
Study the Invaders' Fears 52.85%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3815 13.42 2.31%
II 2762 30.13 64.88%
III 3453 34.83 94.18%
IV 1286 38.67 99.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 87
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3213
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1753
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1270
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3366
Lose: Invader deck ran out 23
Lose: Adversary condition 668
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 63
Win: Scenario condition 46
Lose: Blight pool ran out 745
Lose: Spirit destroyed 38

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.862 Win Model: -0.105

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.299 Win Model: 0.321
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 2391 41.16% 23.16 53.7%
2 4303 39.76% 29.99 61.24%
3 2169 39.08% 29.92 57.81%
4 1616 27.43% 29.62 51.86%
5 125 38.4% 32.98 57.6%
6 712 20.99% 25.71 46.35%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)