Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 18.18% 23.82 61.04% -0.209 -0.2802 0.093
Blitz 0 690 29.01% 31.66 69.71% -0.645 -0.3839 -0.084
Dahan Insurrection 4 483 22.15% 47.49 63.15% -0.25 -0.4202 -0.159
Despicable Theft 2 200 26.0% 27.95 59.5% -0.92 -0.0799 -1.135
Elemental Invocation 1 291 39.18% 28.23 63.57% -0.253 0.6597 -0.746
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2428 12.63% 44.3 79.65% 0.295 -0.2733 0.551
Powers Long Forgotten 1 315 45.08% 28.71 60.0% -0.827 0.055 -0.084
Rituals of Terror 3 480 23.53% 79.59 71.88% 1.25 1.1464 0.721
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 138 44.93% 36.13 63.77% -1.134 -0.2421 -1.317
Second Wave 0 3377 30.29% 31.14 82.8% 0.074 0.1503 0.485
The Great River 3 177 31.07% 25.89 38.98% -1.872 -0.3656 -0.844
Varied Terrains 2 121 32.23% 27.77 59.5% -0.359 0.4236 0.006
Ward the Shores 2 323 36.45% 31.8 61.3% -0.981 0.1192 -0.901

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 38301 29.52% 36.16 80.59% 0.335 0.6683 0.635
1 Thematic 1880 29.11% 35.14 73.4% 0.056 0.5253 0.712
2 Archipelago 61 39.34% 37.36 80.33% 0.166 0.5652 0.002
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13650 39.48% 32.96 75.22% 0.238 0.4838 0.03
2 Coastline 1793 34.31% 33.08 77.47% 0.337 0.3501 0.061
2 Fragment 367 43.72% 29.55 76.29% 0.588 0.3068 0.075
2 Heart 200 46.97% 29.41 71.5% -0.077 -0.1236 -0.115
2 Opposite Shores 2663 36.33% 30.85 74.73% 0.04 0.1017 -0.151
2 Thematic 1143 41.49% 35.4 67.02% -0.62 -0.3799 0.298
2 Top to Top 470 32.76% 32.14 72.98% 0.403 0.3914 0.248
3 Archipelago 44 45.45% 33.43 70.45% -1.233 -1.8368 -0.245
3 Coastline 97 37.11% 32.75 69.07% 0.319 -0.3143 -0.224
3 Other 302 35.88% 31.51 77.15% 0.429 -0.1402 0.371
3 Round (Default) 7629 40.89% 32.75 74.56% 0.272 0.1109 -0.185
3 Sunrise 61 13.33% 16.48 50.82% -0.362 -0.1323 -0.159
3 Thematic 562 27.78% 63.75 69.22% 0.961 0.4803 0.365
4 Archipelago 57 38.6% 37.81 75.44% 0.122 0.5579 -0.336
4 Coastline 95 11.58% 27.92 85.26% 0.535 0.1268 0.848
4 Leaf 49 51.02% 33.82 83.67% 0.244 -0.1932 -0.881
4 Other 274 31.87% 32.71 86.86% -0.012 -0.2907 0.371
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1446 0.0
4 Thematic 755 35.73% 38.14 75.63% -0.337 -0.3393 -0.047
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4426 34.33% 33.78 78.36% -0.21 0.0065 -0.247
5 Archipelago 35 44.12% 34.74 71.43% -0.612 -0.8251 -0.889
5 Coastline 31 3.23% 33.71 87.1% 0.0 0.1667 0.066
5 Other 449 30.43% 27.84 75.28% -0.015 -0.4724 -0.647
5 Thematic 59 16.95% 23.41 59.32% -1.006 -1.6157 -0.294
6 Archipelago 36 22.22% 32.36 75.0% 0.0 -0.7815 -0.463
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 47.18 81.82% 0.82 0.0094 -0.494
6 Other 240 23.75% 35.29 75.0% -0.135 0.5004 0.141
6 Star 85 29.41% 35.32 68.24% -0.432 -0.0178 -0.086
6 Thematic 296 32.19% 28.89 66.89% -0.085 -0.0438 0.501
6 Two Centers (Default) 663 22.04% 30.45 71.79% 0.127 -0.0659 -0.752
7 Archipelago 16 18.75% 43.88 62.5% -0.436 0.2934 0.316
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.39 -0.0631 0.0
7 Other 16 31.25% 22.75 50.0% 0.161 -1.0323 0.219

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1646 37.56 64.82% 0.172 0.3051 -0.109
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1531 37.45 65.32% -0.23 -0.3272 0.07
All Things Weaken 1857 34.76 60.74% -0.264 0.0534 -0.3
Attenuated Essence 169 34.24 56.8% 0.305 0.3154 -0.41
Back Against the Wall 1476 36.91 63.69% -0.146 -0.0949 -0.151
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 181 33.12 60.77% -0.062 0.1304 -0.191
Burn Brightest Before the End 183 34.03 58.47% -0.21 -0.0299 -0.595
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1660 34.11 62.05% -0.293 0.1174 -0.289
Downward Spiral 1917 35.38 68.34% 0.4 0.4682 -0.015
Erosion of Will 1692 36.85 63.53% -0.29 0.0009 -0.217
Intensifying Exploitation 190 35.07 57.89% 0.166 0.4576 -0.188
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 887 39.31 85.01% 0.345 -0.1263 0.85
Memory Fades to Dust 1907 36.04 68.07% 0.102 0.3081 -0.137
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1759 35.05 65.83% 0.096 0.2736 -0.181
Promising Farmlands 1617 35.87 65.55% -0.071 0.2302 -0.083
Shattered Fragments of Power 151 36.42 64.24% -0.15 0.0321 0.42
Slow Dissolution of Will 197 32.37 53.3% 0.439 0.8117 -0.572
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 616 39.31 87.66% 0.374 -0.3628 0.738
The Border of Life and Death 63 36.94 73.02% 0.373 -0.1998 0.272
Thriving Communities 1828 35.47 65.97% 0.259 0.5616 -0.075
Thriving Crops 98 35.29 66.33% 0.385 0.4006 0.042
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1963 36.6 64.19% 0.188 0.3316 -0.172
Untended Land Crumbles 1863 34.21 64.25% 0.563 0.9064 -0.157

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17693 34.88% 33.09 76.54% 0.113 0.974 0.174
B 18891 34.54% 33.58 76.55% -0.083 0.7374 0.131
C 19550 34.56% 34.34 77.51% -0.226 0.454 0.331
D 16107 34.18% 32.89 76.75% -0.003 0.8258 0.18
E 16976 35.3% 34.49 76.99% 0.132 0.8245 0.255
F 14785 34.84% 33.46 77.19% -0.208 0.6065 0.237
G 13117 34.49% 33.56 77.55% 0.096 0.9388 0.33
H 12983 34.68% 33.88 77.74% -0.138 0.6391 0.247
East 3278 32.46% 40.69 70.5% 0.162 1.0291 -0.007
Northeast 1863 31.57% 45.11 70.53% -0.309 0.5407 -0.553
Northwest 1414 36.34% 34.64 69.09% -0.365 0.5022 -0.962
Southeast 1418 34.63% 33.32 68.62% 0.098 0.9948 -0.279
Southwest 1495 35.31% 31.99 67.09% -0.531 0.7334 -1.052
West 3228 34.41% 38.98 68.8% -0.085 0.965 -0.6

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 558 0.0% 21.37 75.45% 0.248 0.9755 -1.318
Not Using Events or Tokens 56 70.21% 18.89 69.64% 0.041 0.4648 -0.324
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1886 12.28% 40.78 88.44% 0.721 0.1192 0.914
Start of Game Growth 2985 14.68% 40.07 86.5% 0.534 -0.0745 0.15
Unlimited Undo 7865 26.49% 36.34 82.78% -0.258 -0.2468 0.358
Using Tokens but Not Events 7474 16.9% 29.23 84.25% 0.303 0.3089 -0.172

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2928 30.75% 32.66 77.05% 0.197 -0.0031 0.141
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 32 43.75% 35.03 87.5% 1.622 0.9226 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1368 43.33% 30.99 74.93% -0.169 0.1223 -0.034
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 154 27.27% 28.02 61.69% 0.864 0.1554 0.262
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1748 34.13% 32.13 79.06% 0.274 0.1344 -0.363
Downpour Drenches the World 706 28.17% 30.78 64.87% 0.277 0.5047 0.051
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 755 30.19% 28.6 64.5% 0.48 0.1118 -0.179
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2682 28.59% 34.53 82.33% 0.244 -0.1469 0.208
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1604 33.15% 32.13 78.99% -0.107 -0.551 0.285
Finder of Paths Unseen 436 33.1% 30.31 63.99% -0.477 0.1905 0.311
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1308 30.18% 35.51 75.92% -0.412 0.3013 0.477
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1174 38.29% 29.75 69.93% 0.027 -0.0548 0.073
Heart of the Wildfire 1222 53.74% 30.2 68.49% -0.165 0.1037 -0.078
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3621 36.07% 36.75 78.87% 0.841 0.5095 0.578
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 121 33.06% 30.54 60.33% -0.387 -0.8187 -0.027
Lightning's Swift Strike 1213 38.3% 29.89 79.8% 0.589 0.8825 -0.363
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 210 41.9% 32.42 60.0% 0.262 -0.1069 -0.51
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 563 39.53% 34.36 76.73% -0.059 -0.4465 0.558
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 592 36.9% 36.8 77.53% 0.47 0.4667 0.969
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4817 39.49% 33.24 72.97% -0.027 -0.2967 -0.222
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2887 36.99% 35.03 75.27% -0.236 -0.3305 0.223
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1619 37.05% 30.87 78.01% 0.507 0.3498 0.072
River Surges in Sunlight 1520 39.07% 36.61 80.2% 0.009 0.1011 0.518
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 9.09% 39.09 90.91% 0.781 0.6587 -0.472
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 605 34.95% 28.38 70.58% -1.282 -0.8239 -0.516
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 378 38.13% 33.15 66.4% 0.151 0.2056 -0.244
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2129 34.94% 35.63 76.19% 0.021 -0.2006 -0.179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 519 46.59% 29.95 75.72% 0.158 0.6724 -0.034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 32.56% 26.83 55.17% -0.737 -0.6667 0.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 101 43.0% 31.5 67.33% 0.163 -0.3225 -0.75
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 99 33.33% 28.65 62.63% -1.064 -0.7636 0.423
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 388 38.28% 28.93 78.09% -0.239 -0.3354 -0.043
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 311 41.88% 31.61 76.53% -1.079 -0.8269 0.725
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8271 32.42% 34.08 80.22% 0.354 0.2042 0.068
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1241 27.12% 27.08 59.63% 0.085 -0.0459 -0.685
Shifting Memory of Ages 1004 40.5% 28.8 64.24% 0.02 0.3829 -0.772
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 33 42.42% 26.7 60.61% 0.419 0.1092 0.214
Shroud of Silent Mist 1119 40.13% 28.39 70.96% -0.665 -0.3367 -0.263
Starlight Seeks its Form 1276 33.94% 34.02 70.85% 0.132 -0.0253 0.402
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3374 34.98% 39.89 76.2% 0.286 -0.3681 0.481
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1403 34.51% 32.69 76.48% 0.001 0.1975 0.518
Thunderspeaker 2186 31.86% 33.48 78.09% -0.219 -0.2304 0.312
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 147 30.14% 21.99 51.02% -0.424 -0.2642 -0.434
Towering Roots of the Jungle 81 30.86% 21.7 49.38% -0.132 -0.1443 -0.636
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1825 54.88% 31.0 71.78% 0.008 0.0878 -0.222
Vital Strength of the Earth 840 34.61% 27.93 74.88% -0.297 0.3097 -0.313
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 189 33.86% 31.17 65.61% -0.34 0.1534 0.012
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 367 40.11% 28.44 70.57% -1.195 -0.489 -0.293
Volcano Looming High 1532 41.75% 29.0 70.95% 0.349 0.4467 0.098
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 235 34.07% 27.96 66.38% 0.05 -0.2479 -0.521

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.74%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.63%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.69%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.91%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7767 15.58 2.25%
II 11412 30.46 42.09%
III 26767 34.79 89.6%
IV 30928 38.44 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 175
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4611
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30536
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6276
Lose: Invader deck ran out 129
Lose: Adversary condition 4450
Win: Sacrifice victory 325
Lose: Scenario condition 462
Win: Scenario condition 503
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5503
Lose: Spirit destroyed 268

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.059 Win Model: -0.103

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.154 Win Model: -0.054
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 40403 29.49% 36.06 80.1%
2 20524 38.5% 33.68 75.04%
3 8454 40.66% 32.59 74.13%
4 5709 33.72% 34.08 78.7%
5 448 27.0% 25.53 70.09%
6 1336 25.17% 31.74 70.96%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-09 06:24:56 (Pacific Time)