Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 29 3.45% 25.31 79.31% -0.222 -0.3743 -0.193
Blitz 0 501 33.13% 35.13 78.04% -0.249 -0.0214 -0.489
Dahan Insurrection 4 372 20.7% 49.77 68.01% -1.11 -1.2884 -0.322
Despicable Theft 2 125 30.4% 35.98 78.4% -0.522 0.1943 -0.968
Elemental Invocation 1 204 41.18% 33.62 75.49% -0.313 0.4311 -0.312
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2035 12.86% 46.43 83.05% -0.123 -0.7001 0.32
Powers Long Forgotten 1 224 54.02% 34.98 73.21% -0.191 0.3272 0.105
Rituals of Terror 3 261 34.5% 72.2 78.16% 1.818 1.7959 0.596
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 99 54.55% 42.31 73.74% -0.82 0.1344 -1.417
Second Wave 0 2623 31.27% 32.5 85.86% 0.288 0.3893 0.302
The Great River 3 117 37.61% 33.18 49.57% -1.114 0.2445 -0.4
Varied Terrains 2 36 41.67% 34.25 72.22% -0.15 0.459 0.067
Ward the Shores 2 239 41.35% 36.61 72.8% -0.479 0.5863 -0.729

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 29960 30.45% 38.74 86.35% 0.385 0.6771 0.405
1 Thematic 1501 33.02% 38.44 80.41% -0.291 0.3934 0.411
2 Archipelago 43 37.21% 38.6 90.7% -0.263 0.3916 0.481
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10278 41.6% 35.49 80.94% -0.193 0.027 -0.144
2 Coastline 1355 35.99% 36.18 84.43% 0.2 0.3394 0.109
2 Fragment 278 46.57% 31.96 80.58% 0.163 0.0918 -0.239
2 Heart 139 48.18% 32.07 79.86% 0.904 0.6347 0.056
2 Opposite Shores 1994 36.84% 33.75 82.5% -0.328 -0.1214 -0.365
2 Thematic 854 44.3% 38.07 73.19% -0.146 0.4625 0.083
2 Top to Top 311 36.77% 35.8 82.32% -0.273 -0.1229 -0.02
3 Archipelago 25 44.0% 35.6 88.0% -0.404 -1.0714 0.0
3 Coastline 71 39.44% 38.9 80.28% 0.471 0.039 -0.132
3 Other 251 37.2% 33.77 81.67% 0.032 -0.5067 0.203
3 Round (Default) 5373 42.68% 35.61 80.23% 0.008 0.0157 -0.346
3 Sunrise 21 40.0% 27.43 90.48% 0.0 0.1892 -0.183
3 Thematic 306 35.97% 55.98 78.43% 0.084 -0.2385 0.504
4 Archipelago 35 31.43% 45.03 91.43% 0.64 0.8034 0.496
4 Coastline 64 10.94% 28.56 84.38% -0.454 -0.6392 0.199
4 Leaf 33 48.48% 33.58 84.85% -0.193 -0.5443 -0.757
4 Other 225 30.22% 33.02 89.33% 0.966 0.2545 0.038
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.2643 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.3844 0.0
4 Thematic 674 35.22% 39.82 79.23% -0.309 -0.4443 -0.309
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3479 33.44% 35.64 82.78% -0.056 -0.2593 -0.576
5 Archipelago 23 30.43% 43.13 91.3% 0.63 -0.42 -0.281
5 Coastline 20 0.0% 39.9 95.0% 0.29 0.1227 0.192
5 Other 234 30.7% 31.34 87.18% 0.513 0.1451 -0.111
5 Thematic 38 15.79% 29.95 84.21% -1.177 -1.5102 0.11
6 Archipelago 26 30.77% 39.19 88.46% -0.764 -0.7933 -0.376
6 Coastline 4 25.0% 68.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.5918 0.109
6 Other 109 25.69% 43.05 86.24% 0.287 -0.2394 -0.002
6 Star 47 34.04% 32.32 70.21% -0.157 0.3932 -0.627
6 Thematic 179 38.42% 33.39 81.01% -0.619 -0.2534 0.543
6 Two Centers (Default) 314 23.3% 34.67 84.39% -0.637 -0.2681 -0.439
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 52.0 100.0% 0.102 -0.6699 0.583
7 Other 7 57.14% 36.14 85.71% 0.781 -0.1434 -0.127

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1364 38.02 65.84% -0.204 0.2534 -0.566
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1299 38.31 66.74% 0.132 0.4181 -0.278
All Things Weaken 1507 36.15 63.64% -0.787 -0.1488 -0.664
Attenuated Essence 21 30.76 61.9% -0.203 0.2696 -0.313
Back Against the Wall 1246 37.15 64.04% 0.274 0.6592 -0.601
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 18 34.89 61.11% -0.129 0.5769 -0.375
Burn Brightest Before the End 15 32.4 53.33% -0.352 0.2628 -0.597
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1379 35.07 64.1% 0.142 0.834 -0.734
Downward Spiral 1553 37.17 70.12% 0.189 0.7027 -0.4
Erosion of Will 1415 37.45 63.89% -0.138 0.524 -0.707
Intensifying Exploitation 16 36.75 43.75% -0.308 0.3779 -0.153
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 725 40.55 88.14% 1.103 0.7619 0.574
Memory Fades to Dust 1589 37.0 70.36% 0.193 0.8345 -0.534
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1404 36.13 67.09% -0.19 0.2877 -0.611
Promising Farmlands 1306 37.49 68.15% -0.366 0.4047 -0.484
Shattered Fragments of Power 29 37.9 75.86% 0.644 1.1257 0.597
Slow Dissolution of Will 17 39.35 58.82% 0.106 0.8909 -0.615
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 517 39.59 90.14% 1.358 0.6917 0.243
The Border of Life and Death 4 34.75 75.0% 0.142 0.2837 -0.281
Thriving Communities 1495 36.34 66.82% -0.144 0.5389 -0.499
Thriving Crops 8 27.75 62.5% -0.153 0.2803 -0.929
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.1046 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1597 37.41 66.25% 0.136 0.6276 -0.627
Untended Land Crumbles 1512 35.34 66.67% 0.035 0.589 -0.588

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12886 36.07% 35.92 83.14% -0.437 0.4568 0.246
B 13832 35.86% 36.44 83.15% -0.317 0.4736 0.233
C 14606 35.73% 37.13 83.61% -0.294 0.3405 0.396
D 11839 35.56% 35.44 82.89% -0.411 0.4285 0.307
E 12538 36.47% 37.19 83.1% -0.051 0.6111 0.354
F 10999 36.02% 36.27 83.35% -0.267 0.4772 0.291
G 9781 35.63% 36.18 83.54% -0.253 0.5136 0.521
H 9736 36.01% 36.27 83.36% -0.28 0.4154 0.273
East 2386 35.97% 41.48 78.42% -0.278 0.4455 0.109
Northeast 1296 36.2% 44.0 78.94% -1.275 -0.3693 -0.478
Northwest 1046 39.19% 38.59 78.39% -0.567 0.066 -0.879
Southeast 1050 38.15% 36.97 76.95% 0.024 0.7034 0.401
Southwest 1121 38.85% 35.35 74.22% -0.664 0.6079 -1.224
West 2371 38.42% 39.78 75.96% -0.184 0.8626 -0.624

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 386 0.0% 23.06 87.82% -1.107 -0.0649 -0.442
Not Using Events or Tokens 33 55.56% 21.7 81.82% 0.121 0.4027 -0.432
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1415 12.18% 41.64 93.57% 0.652 0.1374 1.101
Start of Game Growth 2254 14.57% 41.99 92.32% 0.124 -0.2571 0.212
Unlimited Undo 6127 27.77% 39.19 89.39% 0.062 -0.031 0.368
Using Tokens but Not Events 5516 16.69% 31.29 91.24% -0.044 -0.0906 -0.134

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2108 100.0% 35.01 100.0% -0.171 -0.3284 0.061
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1072 100.0% 33.85 100.0% -0.069 0.0261 0.061
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1329 100.0% 33.61 100.0% 0.3 0.1297 -0.662
Downpour Drenches the World 289 100.0% 36.55 100.0% 0.136 0.3351 -0.106
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 154 100.0% 31.07 100.0% 0.114 -0.4149 0.009
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2128 100.0% 36.92 100.0% 0.481 -0.0989 0.075
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1254 100.0% 34.39 100.0% 0.461 -0.003 0.441
Finder of Paths Unseen 198 100.0% 38.34 100.0% 0.063 0.7272 0.812
Fractured Days Split the Sky 931 100.0% 38.54 100.0% -0.244 0.3998 0.543
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 639 100.0% 35.13 100.0% 0.097 -0.0601 0.155
Heart of the Wildfire 962 100.0% 32.93 100.0% -0.435 -0.1855 -0.138
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2868 100.0% 38.15 100.0% 0.294 -0.2028 0.333
Lightning's Swift Strike 936 159.7% 32.19 118.7% -0.069 0.1602 -0.482
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 43.06% 30.64 66.67% -0.412 -1.1713 -0.474
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 431 40.28% 37.21 82.6% -0.383 -0.7526 0.547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 430 37.47% 38.69 82.33% 0.47 0.2141 0.875
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3442 100.0% 36.72 100.0% -0.135 -0.3312 -0.078
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2193 100.0% 37.98 100.0% -0.055 -0.0877 0.139
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1227 100.0% 33.65 100.0% -0.377 -0.4703 -0.025
River Surges in Sunlight 1222 127.27% 38.54 109.17% 0.903 0.8551 0.537
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 435 37.15% 32.86 81.15% 0.673 0.9321 -0.548
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 117 41.23% 37.41 74.36% -0.011 -0.1988 -0.263
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1652 100.0% 37.88 100.0% 0.01 -0.1574 -0.428
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 425 179.81% 31.48 125.65% 0.174 0.5981 -0.177
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 25 56.0% 39.36 84.0% 1.088 1.0252 0.021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 38.71% 33.94 70.97% -0.065 0.0177 0.589
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 293 40.14% 31.61 84.3% -0.418 -0.4329 -0.173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 249 42.91% 33.53 79.92% -1.391 -1.3271 0.423
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6930 101.37% 36.03 100.71% -0.086 -0.2531 -0.171
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 134 29.1% 25.59 63.43% -0.085 -0.262 -0.875
Shifting Memory of Ages 585 100.0% 32.48 100.0% -0.525 -0.1968 -0.738
Shroud of Silent Mist 733 100.0% 32.12 100.0% -0.206 0.1119 -0.051
Starlight Seeks its Form 718 100.0% 36.83 100.0% 0.015 -0.2038 0.069
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2536 100.0% 38.89 100.0% 0.241 -0.2798 0.145
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1106 100.0% 35.63 100.0% -0.008 0.0111 0.505
Thunderspeaker 1729 101.21% 35.7 100.69% 0.188 0.1395 0.117
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 25.0% 22.64 57.14% -0.358 -0.283 0.482
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1448 100.0% 33.01 100.0% -0.221 -0.1637 -0.357
Vital Strength of the Earth 671 129.12% 29.44 112.07% 0.536 1.1108 -0.653
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 70 28.57% 37.61 77.14% 0.254 0.5056 0.249
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 277 46.91% 31.83 76.53% -0.434 0.5094 -0.338
Volcano Looming High 1056 100.0% 31.56 100.0% -0.317 -0.2875 -0.285

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.42%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.53%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 84.89%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.71%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2571 21.53 4.94%
II 8590 31.06 45.1%
III 21791 34.72 90.05%
IV 25357 37.99 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 127
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19329
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3715
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 25122
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 668
Lose: Invader deck ran out 101
Lose: Adversary condition 3584
Win: Sacrifice victory 181
Lose: Scenario condition 399
Win: Scenario condition 427
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4446
Lose: Spirit destroyed 210

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.529 Win Model: -0.102

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.151 Win Model: 0.082
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 31572 30.62% 38.73 86.02%
2 15337 40.54% 35.82 81.15%
3 5960 42.52% 35.48 80.18%
4 4559 32.9% 35.99 82.85%
5 206 24.38% 29.18 86.41%
6 675 29.34% 36.28 83.26%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-20 14:08:36 (Pacific Time)