Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 91 17.58% 23.31 62.64% 0.142 -0.1851 0.132
Blitz 0 751 28.78% 30.48 67.24% -1.019 -0.7128 -0.013
Dahan Insurrection 4 517 23.21% 47.22 63.06% 1.273 0.8463 -0.079
Despicable Theft 2 236 24.58% 27.05 58.05% -0.745 -0.1036 -1.108
Elemental Invocation 1 338 37.57% 27.22 60.95% -0.339 0.3123 -0.764
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2606 12.38% 43.5 78.47% 0.007 -0.6207 0.62
Powers Long Forgotten 1 372 42.47% 27.39 57.26% -0.583 0.0292 -0.22
Rituals of Terror 3 627 19.74% 82.75 70.49% 0.745 0.8276 0.701
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 161 42.24% 33.93 60.25% -0.707 0.0853 -1.254
Second Wave 0 3786 30.19% 30.75 81.11% -0.008 0.1222 0.514
The Great River 3 200 29.0% 24.27 37.5% -1.259 -0.2711 -1.057
Varied Terrains 2 158 32.28% 26.39 56.96% -1.11 -0.2781 -0.006
Ward the Shores 2 367 34.52% 30.49 58.31% -0.228 0.7686 -0.966

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 42233 29.08% 35.23 78.71% -0.17 0.1801 0.699
1 Thematic 2034 28.25% 34.0 71.09% -0.999 -0.3535 0.776
2 Archipelago 66 39.39% 37.12 80.3% -0.359 0.4527 0.049
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15300 38.9% 32.29 73.44% 0.01 0.1585 0.058
2 Coastline 1987 34.92% 32.73 75.19% 0.013 -0.1861 0.063
2 Fragment 406 42.72% 28.93 75.62% 0.315 0.2683 0.136
2 Heart 218 45.83% 29.03 71.56% 0.234 -0.0819 0.068
2 Opposite Shores 3109 35.19% 30.0 72.24% -0.14 -0.0815 -0.142
2 Thematic 1354 40.34% 34.91 65.44% -0.129 0.3577 0.329
2 Top to Top 546 32.23% 31.95 73.44% 0.694 0.5784 0.311
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 33.8 71.43% 0.0 -0.8807 -0.205
3 Coastline 103 35.92% 32.05 67.96% 0.419 -0.4994 0.069
3 Other 324 36.84% 31.39 77.47% 1.339 0.5854 0.451
3 Round (Default) 8646 40.48% 31.99 72.94% -0.059 -0.0984 -0.133
3 Sunrise 65 14.06% 17.29 53.85% 0.344 -0.3085 0.042
3 Thematic 705 24.82% 69.31 68.94% 1.386 1.0455 0.515
4 Archipelago 62 37.1% 35.16 70.97% -0.939 -0.7764 -0.663
4 Coastline 108 12.96% 27.44 84.26% -0.399 -0.4514 0.272
4 Leaf 57 47.37% 31.56 82.46% -0.382 0.233 -0.907
4 Other 302 33.0% 31.39 84.11% 0.211 -0.5742 0.3
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.092 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 798 35.94% 37.22 73.81% -0.63 -0.5742 -0.013
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4927 34.28% 33.12 76.8% 0.244 0.1572 -0.226
5 Archipelago 36 42.86% 34.69 72.22% 0.0 0.4757 -0.948
5 Coastline 36 2.78% 34.25 86.11% 0.427 -0.2425 0.276
5 Other 544 33.65% 27.68 75.18% 0.648 0.281 -0.608
5 Thematic 66 16.67% 24.55 60.61% -0.221 -0.2652 -0.278
6 Archipelago 49 16.33% 32.59 73.47% -0.268 -1.2644 -0.443
6 Coastline 14 14.29% 50.29 85.71% 0.418 -0.7461 -0.365
6 Other 299 22.74% 33.19 72.24% -0.284 -0.4269 0.046
6 Star 113 27.43% 31.64 61.95% 0.14 0.8988 -0.618
6 Thematic 347 33.63% 28.42 63.98% -0.183 -0.284 0.568
6 Two Centers (Default) 806 21.97% 29.84 70.22% 0.089 0.3693 -0.659
7 Archipelago 21 19.05% 38.1 52.38% -0.33 -0.5881 0.282
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 20 25.0% 18.2 40.0% -0.659 -1.4897 0.274

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1779 37.15 64.19% 0.298 0.3331 0.005
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1633 37.42 65.34% 0.279 0.1445 0.158
All Things Weaken 2017 34.5 60.44% 0.279 0.4083 -0.21
Attenuated Essence 262 33.19 57.63% -0.098 -0.1116 -0.392
Back Against the Wall 1596 36.85 63.66% 0.539 0.5105 -0.018
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 278 34.22 63.31% 0.438 0.6153 0.21
Burn Brightest Before the End 256 34.44 60.55% 0.751 0.7647 -0.308
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1778 33.92 62.2% -0.138 0.0852 -0.17
Downward Spiral 2058 35.04 67.54% 0.166 0.2194 0.028
Erosion of Will 1836 36.82 63.51% 0.695 0.8383 -0.076
Intensifying Exploitation 284 34.15 58.8% 0.001 0.1098 -0.163
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 975 38.88 83.28% 0.088 -0.4345 0.708
Memory Fades to Dust 2090 35.51 67.32% 0.926 1.1206 -0.011
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1906 34.89 65.58% 0.287 0.3736 -0.063
Promising Farmlands 1746 35.7 65.52% 0.592 0.8155 -0.004
Shattered Fragments of Power 253 34.97 64.03% 0.618 0.6752 0.195
Slow Dissolution of Will 275 32.3 52.36% -0.116 0.2584 -0.466
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 665 38.71 87.07% 0.685 0.0082 0.897
The Border of Life and Death 95 35.56 71.58% 0.088 -0.3241 0.109
Thriving Communities 1981 35.07 65.57% 0.204 0.4164 0.024
Thriving Crops 135 34.63 66.67% -0.319 -0.5913 0.195
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5848 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 2115 36.36 63.78% -0.12 -0.0772 -0.083
Untended Land Crumbles 2023 34.06 63.87% -0.242 -0.0296 -0.043

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 19953 34.45% 32.3 74.62% -0.265 0.6736 0.113
B 21269 34.13% 32.76 74.72% -0.15 0.7054 0.134
C 21902 34.06% 33.54 75.68% -0.428 0.265 0.318
D 18185 33.89% 32.03 74.77% -0.19 0.6577 0.138
E 19133 34.76% 33.62 75.3% -0.204 0.4743 0.24
F 16724 34.4% 32.65 75.49% -0.294 0.4849 0.229
G 14662 34.5% 32.86 75.97% -0.186 0.5656 0.306
H 14496 34.42% 33.15 75.95% -0.07 0.6536 0.255
East 3782 31.53% 41.44 68.72% -0.258 0.5515 -0.012
Northeast 2228 30.45% 46.6 68.72% -0.588 0.2123 -0.786
Northwest 1658 36.39% 33.68 67.25% -0.41 0.3492 -0.861
Southeast 1587 34.3% 32.75 66.73% 0.482 1.3327 -0.372
Southwest 1655 35.06% 31.16 65.14% -0.079 1.2561 -0.932
West 3707 33.51% 39.61 67.14% -0.35 0.5334 -0.636

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 686 0.0% 21.6 74.93% 0.361 1.0205 -1.237
Not Using Events or Tokens 57 70.83% 18.75 68.42% 0.0 0.4771 -0.332
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2042 12.09% 39.72 86.92% 0.716 -0.0531 1.159
Start of Game Growth 3253 14.73% 38.9 84.63% -0.03 -0.4391 -0.11
Unlimited Undo 8802 26.05% 35.12 80.1% -0.628 -0.6764 0.312
Using Tokens but Not Events 8481 16.94% 29.17 82.36% 0.724 0.6073 -0.127

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3200 30.12% 32.4 75.66% 0.027 -0.088 0.156
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 158 36.08% 29.45 62.03% -0.115 -0.6516 -0.638
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1475 42.96% 30.35 73.76% 0.308 0.4538 -0.002
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 246 28.05% 28.91 64.63% -0.087 -0.8992 0.504
Dances Up Earthquakes 106 28.3% 20.31 45.28% -0.04 -0.2096 -0.513
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1939 33.87% 31.7 77.88% -0.15 -0.3881 -0.197
Downpour Drenches the World 898 27.85% 29.4 62.36% -0.052 0.2771 0.273
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 988 30.28% 28.6 64.88% 0.228 -0.2459 -0.069
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2968 29.16% 33.87 80.39% 0.006 -0.3825 0.077
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1769 32.23% 31.73 78.18% -0.025 -0.4147 0.282
Finder of Paths Unseen 561 32.86% 28.7 60.61% -0.399 0.2855 0.233
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1439 29.9% 34.75 74.64% 0.098 0.5488 0.513
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1419 37.9% 28.83 67.72% -0.244 -0.2897 -0.131
Heart of the Wildfire 1355 53.01% 29.64 67.53% -0.556 -0.234 -0.0
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3882 35.87% 36.58 78.0% 1.03 0.5293 0.659
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 207 33.01% 30.38 62.8% -0.03 -0.4239 0.006
Lightning's Swift Strike 1320 39.21% 29.58 78.94% 0.375 0.5688 -0.237
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 284 41.55% 31.99 61.27% 0.222 -0.1416 -0.347
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 613 38.1% 33.18 75.04% -0.737 -1.0417 0.555
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 687 36.02% 36.48 76.86% 0.412 0.6289 0.986
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5376 39.0% 32.62 71.47% -0.261 -0.4589 -0.197
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3193 36.26% 34.23 73.79% -0.021 0.1001 0.286
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 106 44.34% 29.52 56.6% -0.05 0.0386 -0.282
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1789 36.85% 30.22 76.69% 0.507 0.4201 0.076
River Surges in Sunlight 1646 38.83% 35.98 79.4% 0.588 0.5509 0.546
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 67 29.85% 29.63 59.7% 0.202 0.4713 -0.677
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 714 35.74% 28.39 68.91% -0.311 -0.1922 -0.431
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 448 38.06% 32.62 64.29% -0.376 -0.5375 -0.237
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2302 34.7% 34.88 74.76% 0.354 0.1797 -0.158
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 31 29.03% 33.48 61.29% 0.034 -0.464 -0.233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 557 46.0% 29.61 75.76% 0.202 0.6901 0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 107 36.79% 26.47 57.94% 0.016 0.0054 0.169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 162 45.57% 32.93 70.99% 0.532 0.0983 -0.231
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 125 31.2% 29.54 66.4% 0.21 0.4504 0.488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 418 37.77% 28.4 76.08% -0.289 -0.3602 -0.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 335 40.36% 30.67 74.33% -0.507 -0.3534 0.84
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8889 32.23% 33.3 78.81% 0.072 -0.0519 0.137
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1727 28.86% 28.08 61.15% 0.33 0.1848 -0.386
Shifting Memory of Ages 1107 39.26% 27.77 62.78% -0.087 0.2714 -0.714
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 150 32.67% 25.97 52.67% -0.208 -0.1045 -0.287
Shroud of Silent Mist 1284 39.91% 27.46 69.47% 0.137 0.5657 -0.275
Starlight Seeks its Form 1612 32.34% 32.24 67.87% -0.209 -0.2698 0.314
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3776 34.3% 41.19 74.76% 0.564 0.0601 0.503
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1546 33.88% 32.01 75.1% 0.294 0.3639 0.581
Thunderspeaker 2385 31.63% 32.5 76.18% -0.41 -0.4288 0.134
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 196 32.47% 21.65 51.53% -0.759 -0.4059 -0.484
Towering Roots of the Jungle 356 34.93% 25.6 60.39% 0.16 0.3415 -0.552
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1986 54.46% 30.51 70.9% -0.336 -0.3087 -0.131
Vital Strength of the Earth 929 34.63% 27.18 73.95% -0.115 0.3787 -0.327
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 253 34.78% 30.6 62.06% 0.045 0.5629 0.066
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 410 40.05% 28.0 69.51% -0.093 0.5987 -0.277
Volcano Looming High 1751 42.49% 28.46 70.07% -0.227 -0.1628 0.104
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 377 32.34% 27.59 64.46% -0.326 -0.6173 -0.469

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.85%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.73%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.96%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.97%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10255 14.06 1.87%
II 12678 30.26 41.21%
III 29166 34.84 89.58%
IV 33721 38.62 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 192
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25752
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5020
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 33239
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8971
Lose: Invader deck ran out 143
Lose: Adversary condition 4825
Win: Sacrifice victory 413
Lose: Scenario condition 486
Win: Scenario condition 540
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5951
Lose: Spirit destroyed 288

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.311 Win Model: -0.082

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.013 Win Model: -0.029
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 44548 29.02% 35.12 78.18%
2 23241 37.8% 33.31 73.23%
3 9537 40.38% 31.94 72.74%
4 6302 33.72% 33.31 77.05%
5 557 30.22% 25.88 70.92%
6 1635 24.8% 30.68 68.44%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-30 13:18:54 (Pacific Time)