Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 18.31% 24.06 61.97% -0.759 -0.8178 0.095
Blitz 0 678 29.23% 31.9 69.91% -0.474 -0.178 -0.102
Dahan Insurrection 4 479 21.92% 47.63 63.26% -0.678 -0.8512 -0.199
Despicable Theft 2 195 26.67% 28.2 60.0% -0.862 0.102 -1.177
Elemental Invocation 1 284 39.08% 28.38 64.08% -0.746 0.2096 -0.753
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2406 12.58% 44.34 79.72% -0.065 -0.7247 0.516
Powers Long Forgotten 1 304 46.05% 29.35 61.18% -0.757 0.2232 0.055
Rituals of Terror 3 443 24.77% 79.05 72.01% 0.854 0.9658 0.658
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 136 45.59% 36.26 63.97% -0.95 0.1604 -1.356
Second Wave 0 3317 30.27% 31.29 83.21% 0.265 0.3209 0.455
The Great River 3 173 31.21% 26.0 39.31% -1.926 -0.5057 -0.886
Varied Terrains 2 119 32.77% 28.24 60.5% -0.213 0.6796 -0.039
Ward the Shores 2 323 36.45% 31.8 61.3% -1.014 -0.0286 -0.918

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 37774 29.57% 36.3 80.84% 0.344 0.5521 0.604
1 Thematic 1864 29.2% 35.24 73.55% -0.113 0.3633 0.666
2 Archipelago 58 36.21% 37.93 82.76% 0.239 0.9397 0.092
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13372 39.66% 33.14 75.59% 0.169 0.307 0.026
2 Coastline 1755 34.42% 33.32 78.01% 0.431 0.3781 0.059
2 Fragment 364 43.53% 29.62 76.1% 0.05 -0.2608 0.055
2 Heart 194 47.4% 29.87 71.65% -0.472 -0.5203 -0.139
2 Opposite Shores 2604 36.19% 30.93 75.0% 0.054 0.012 -0.172
2 Thematic 1118 41.35% 35.63 67.71% -0.418 -0.1682 0.37
2 Top to Top 461 32.53% 32.36 73.32% 0.397 0.4026 0.222
3 Archipelago 40 50.0% 35.02 75.0% -0.249 -1.7009 -0.235
3 Coastline 93 37.63% 33.31 70.97% 0.887 0.0647 -0.163
3 Other 301 36.0% 31.55 77.08% 0.14 -0.1583 0.334
3 Round (Default) 7421 41.08% 32.93 75.04% -0.039 -0.2005 -0.185
3 Sunrise 59 13.79% 15.86 50.85% -0.396 -0.1245 -0.001
3 Thematic 517 28.6% 63.25 69.25% 1.141 0.8865 0.46
4 Archipelago 57 38.6% 37.81 75.44% 0.0 0.2031 -0.387
4 Coastline 94 11.7% 27.29 85.11% 0.31 -0.2708 0.853
4 Leaf 48 50.0% 34.02 85.42% 0.315 0.5662 -0.801
4 Other 271 32.22% 32.77 87.08% 0.62 0.2115 0.341
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2605 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1093 0.0
4 Thematic 739 35.15% 38.45 76.59% -0.131 0.1357 0.023
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4342 34.33% 33.97 78.67% -0.015 0.3638 -0.242
5 Archipelago 35 44.12% 34.74 71.43% -1.322 -1.0676 -0.902
5 Coastline 31 3.23% 33.71 87.1% 0.611 0.1843 0.034
5 Other 441 30.07% 27.75 75.28% -0.207 -0.5519 -0.679
5 Thematic 58 17.24% 23.81 60.34% -1.347 -1.5657 -0.326
6 Archipelago 36 22.22% 32.36 75.0% 0.192 -0.7145 -0.498
6 Coastline 10 20.0% 44.7 80.0% 0.611 0.1536 -0.58
6 Other 237 24.05% 35.05 74.68% -0.05 0.5869 0.058
6 Star 80 28.75% 36.34 70.0% 0.18 0.1909 0.024
6 Thematic 294 32.07% 28.83 66.67% -0.721 -0.5498 0.493
6 Two Centers (Default) 641 21.7% 30.43 71.92% -0.379 -0.5283 -0.848
7 Archipelago 14 21.43% 46.07 64.29% -0.579 0.3182 0.296
7 Other 16 31.25% 22.75 50.0% -0.05 -1.4428 0.216

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1631 37.6 64.93% 0.601 0.7657 -0.125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1504 37.63 65.63% -0.095 -0.1316 0.051
All Things Weaken 1827 34.94 61.03% 0.063 0.353 -0.312
Attenuated Essence 153 34.97 56.86% 0.514 0.6292 -0.338
Back Against the Wall 1463 36.96 63.77% 0.209 0.2907 -0.161
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 163 34.06 61.96% 0.887 1.0775 -0.148
Burn Brightest Before the End 172 33.84 59.88% 0.307 0.5224 -0.548
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1641 34.24 62.28% -0.067 0.3245 -0.305
Downward Spiral 1885 35.51 68.49% 0.555 0.6914 -0.043
Erosion of Will 1668 36.96 63.85% 0.26 0.5592 -0.214
Intensifying Exploitation 176 35.19 58.52% 0.208 0.455 -0.142
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 869 39.42 85.16% 0.308 -0.2018 0.844
Memory Fades to Dust 1881 36.11 68.31% 0.52 0.7695 -0.159
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1735 35.07 66.11% 0.343 0.617 -0.174
Promising Farmlands 1594 35.9 65.56% -0.187 0.1488 -0.125
Shattered Fragments of Power 148 36.22 64.19% 0.226 0.4074 0.343
Slow Dissolution of Will 187 31.96 51.34% -0.013 0.3484 -0.61
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 608 39.46 88.49% 1.602 0.9986 0.811
The Border of Life and Death 60 36.1 71.67% 0.037 -0.4393 0.132
Thriving Communities 1802 35.56 65.93% 0.171 0.5009 -0.09
Thriving Crops 93 35.18 65.59% 0.237 0.2243 -0.03
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1935 36.68 64.34% 0.225 0.3384 -0.191
Untended Land Crumbles 1842 34.18 64.17% 0.177 0.5789 -0.19

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17323 34.95% 33.25 76.92% 0.004 0.8571 0.166
B 18521 34.55% 33.69 76.87% -0.039 0.7673 0.123
C 19205 34.68% 34.5 77.82% -0.119 0.5602 0.33
D 15802 34.25% 33.01 77.05% 0.003 0.8066 0.192
E 16619 35.41% 34.68 77.33% 0.177 0.8466 0.257
F 14491 34.85% 33.63 77.65% -0.077 0.6965 0.256
G 12847 34.58% 33.73 77.92% -0.011 0.8223 0.333
H 12716 34.73% 34.05 78.11% -0.239 0.5266 0.249
East 3185 32.4% 40.51 70.96% -0.079 0.7632 -0.052
Northeast 1806 31.72% 44.59 70.99% 0.083 0.8462 -0.508
Northwest 1390 36.25% 34.82 69.71% -0.034 0.78 -0.965
Southeast 1386 34.42% 33.6 68.98% -0.507 0.2746 -0.21
Southwest 1466 35.12% 32.16 67.33% -0.892 0.4105 -1.085
West 3139 34.45% 38.82 69.26% -0.162 0.8246 -0.589

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 545 0.0% 20.91 75.23% 0.315 1.0907 -1.532
Not Using Events or Tokens 54 68.89% 18.96 68.52% -0.811 -0.4022 -0.323
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1856 12.27% 40.8 88.52% 0.758 0.131 0.898
Start of Game Growth 2923 14.5% 40.21 86.83% 0.404 -0.1494 0.168
Unlimited Undo 7738 26.39% 36.5 83.26% 0.01 0.0612 0.382
Using Tokens but Not Events 7301 16.82% 29.26 84.69% 0.24 0.2216 -0.098

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2893 30.74% 32.63 77.26% -0.076 -0.2206 0.083
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 12 33.33% 36.75 91.67% 1.16 0.3845 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1351 43.66% 30.96 74.98% -0.164 0.0667 -0.085
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 139 25.9% 28.35 61.87% 1.021 0.2135 0.451
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1715 34.12% 32.26 79.48% 0.4 0.2509 -0.386
Downpour Drenches the World 683 27.79% 31.04 64.86% -0.053 0.2557 -0.057
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 715 30.2% 28.49 64.34% 0.477 0.0253 -0.216
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2630 28.63% 34.69 82.78% 0.669 0.3005 0.161
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1581 33.12% 32.22 79.19% -0.342 -0.7852 0.236
Finder of Paths Unseen 417 33.17% 30.78 64.51% -0.474 0.1737 0.413
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1289 30.08% 35.65 76.26% -0.074 0.5132 0.464
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1134 38.05% 30.11 70.72% 0.066 0.0246 0.024
Heart of the Wildfire 1199 53.78% 30.4 68.89% -0.407 -0.1145 -0.132
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3574 36.04% 36.77 78.99% 0.512 0.1826 0.534
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 109 33.94% 29.72 57.8% -1.068 -1.4084 0.024
Lightning's Swift Strike 1181 38.26% 30.01 79.85% 0.257 0.5805 -0.306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 208 42.31% 32.55 60.1% 0.259 -0.2236 -0.547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 559 39.64% 34.45 76.92% 0.103 -0.2163 0.61
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 580 37.33% 36.77 77.59% 0.24 0.1293 0.958
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4695 39.49% 33.37 73.42% -0.286 -0.5844 -0.227
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2833 36.89% 35.11 75.5% -0.243 -0.2721 0.168
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1577 37.15% 31.07 78.31% 0.091 -0.0516 0.013
River Surges in Sunlight 1497 38.87% 36.71 80.69% 0.263 0.3701 0.597
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 4 25.0% 38.0 100.0% 0.459 0.2776 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 601 35.02% 28.49 70.88% -0.948 -0.4984 -0.537
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 364 37.95% 33.38 66.76% 0.356 0.2917 -0.283
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2098 34.69% 35.72 76.55% 0.274 0.0523 -0.17
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 511 47.33% 29.99 75.93% 1.408 1.9793 -0.032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 85 33.33% 27.07 55.29% -1.14 -0.8722 0.157
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 88 44.83% 32.61 69.32% -0.016 -0.561 -0.415
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 32.63% 28.43 64.21% -0.226 0.0778 0.452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 379 38.13% 29.06 79.16% 0.01 0.0234 -0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 308 42.3% 31.86 76.95% -0.651 -0.4318 0.676
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8154 32.37% 34.23 80.52% 0.376 0.2715 0.045
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1134 27.31% 27.23 59.96% 0.229 0.1152 -0.694
Shifting Memory of Ages 985 40.88% 28.81 64.06% -0.285 0.0694 -0.812
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 15 40.0% 20.07 40.0% -0.458 -0.7882 -0.553
Shroud of Silent Mist 1084 40.41% 28.91 72.14% -0.47 -0.1037 -0.142
Starlight Seeks its Form 1242 34.22% 34.2 70.93% 0.584 0.3973 0.347
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3278 35.35% 39.6 76.39% -0.023 -0.7556 0.444
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1378 34.62% 32.9 76.92% 0.085 0.3128 0.496
Thunderspeaker 2147 31.88% 33.65 78.53% -0.215 -0.2098 0.35
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 139 29.71% 22.51 53.24% -0.076 0.0823 -0.397
Towering Roots of the Jungle 37 32.43% 19.19 54.05% 0.052 0.039 -0.469
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1803 54.94% 31.12 71.99% -0.561 -0.4741 -0.242
Vital Strength of the Earth 836 34.78% 28.04 75.12% 0.186 0.7091 -0.371
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 179 31.28% 31.18 67.6% -0.539 0.0027 0.197
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 361 39.94% 28.63 71.47% -1.03 -0.2808 -0.275
Volcano Looming High 1504 42.13% 29.05 71.08% 0.389 0.5443 0.036
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 211 34.16% 28.95 67.3% -0.028 -0.337 -0.338

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.72%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.61%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.65%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.89%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.68%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7407 15.86 2.31%
II 11170 30.5 42.2%
III 26394 34.78 89.63%
IV 30523 38.41 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23310
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4524
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30152
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5874
Lose: Invader deck ran out 127
Lose: Adversary condition 4387
Win: Sacrifice victory 305
Lose: Scenario condition 457
Win: Scenario condition 501
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5421
Lose: Spirit destroyed 265

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.897 Win Model: -0.096

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.108 Win Model: 0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 39851 29.54% 36.2 80.35%
2 20080 38.63% 33.79 75.44%
3 8218 40.86% 32.74 74.57%
4 5606 33.64% 34.27 79.11%
5 438 26.7% 25.44 70.09%
6 1301 25.08% 31.74 71.1%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-28 05:11:54 (Pacific Time)