Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 106 16.98% 21.64 58.49% -0.644 -0.6708 -0.027
Blitz 0 790 28.37% 30.0 66.2% -0.762 -0.512 0.024
Dahan Insurrection 4 535 22.99% 46.61 62.43% -0.637 -0.8858 -0.119
Despicable Theft 2 254 24.02% 27.06 58.27% 0.219 0.6805 -0.95
Elemental Invocation 1 371 34.77% 26.67 59.84% -0.2 0.5027 -0.95
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2680 12.53% 43.34 78.32% 0.305 -0.2479 0.708
Powers Long Forgotten 1 397 41.56% 26.61 55.67% -1.136 -0.5129 -0.483
Rituals of Terror 3 692 18.6% 82.93 69.51% 0.845 1.038 0.665
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 174 40.8% 32.59 58.05% -1.057 -0.135 -1.299
Second Wave 0 4025 30.02% 30.6 80.52% 0.218 0.3349 0.522
The Great River 3 212 28.77% 23.31 36.32% -1.46 -0.3923 -1.065
Varied Terrains 2 176 31.82% 25.92 55.11% -0.478 0.2627 -0.078
Ward the Shores 2 393 34.02% 29.93 57.76% -0.65 0.4336 -0.965

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 44889 28.83% 34.66 77.56% 0.161 0.6872 0.703
1 Thematic 2141 27.58% 33.21 69.5% -0.33 0.5237 0.801
2 Archipelago 74 39.19% 37.32 79.73% 0.054 1.109 0.305
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16379 38.64% 31.9 72.59% 0.127 0.4045 0.084
2 Coastline 2133 35.68% 32.4 74.12% 0.181 0.2832 0.054
2 Fragment 449 41.96% 28.69 75.72% 0.752 0.7645 0.105
2 Heart 229 44.93% 29.44 72.05% 1.254 1.3658 0.389
2 Opposite Shores 3317 35.25% 29.75 71.27% -0.073 0.2635 -0.123
2 Thematic 1451 39.85% 34.66 64.09% -0.28 0.4094 0.322
2 Top to Top 582 32.35% 31.73 73.2% 0.241 0.4827 0.283
3 Archipelago 50 46.0% 33.6 72.0% 0.238 -0.4826 -0.207
3 Coastline 108 37.96% 31.35 65.74% -0.959 -1.2995 0.097
3 Other 337 36.9% 30.9 76.26% 0.174 -0.4284 0.439
3 Round (Default) 9299 40.45% 31.69 72.33% 0.15 0.1559 -0.123
3 Sunrise 68 13.43% 17.5 55.88% 0.0 -0.0616 0.078
3 Thematic 766 23.62% 70.23 69.06% 1.219 1.3034 0.6
4 Archipelago 63 36.51% 35.0 71.43% 0.227 0.3772 -0.692
4 Coastline 114 12.28% 27.39 85.09% 0.448 -0.3108 0.252
4 Leaf 57 47.37% 31.56 82.46% 0.0 0.1371 -0.942
4 Other 310 33.44% 31.59 83.87% 0.168 -0.4511 0.346
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3905 0.0
4 Thematic 818 35.92% 36.88 73.11% -0.41 -0.1421 0.008
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5256 34.56% 32.64 75.38% -0.484 -0.3195 -0.306
5 Archipelago 41 50.0% 35.73 73.17% -0.422 -1.3 -1.073
5 Coastline 36 2.78% 34.25 86.11% 0.348 0.4446 0.303
5 Other 605 36.09% 27.88 73.39% -0.309 -0.6946 -0.668
5 Thematic 69 17.39% 25.16 60.87% 0.194 -0.603 -0.268
6 Archipelago 53 15.09% 31.3 71.7% 0.05 -1.0601 -0.425
6 Coastline 16 12.5% 52.75 87.5% 0.428 -0.4089 -0.259
6 Other 341 24.34% 32.2 70.67% -0.496 -0.5266 -0.219
6 Star 124 29.03% 31.4 60.48% -0.4 -0.4168 -0.79
6 Thematic 387 32.2% 27.37 60.72% -1.471 -1.368 0.539
6 Two Centers (Default) 893 22.66% 29.17 68.76% -0.647 -0.0819 -0.748
7 Archipelago 22 18.18% 36.36 50.0% -0.38 -0.4542 0.168
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 25 24.0% 17.24 36.0% -0.182 -0.6168 0.312

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1882 36.73 63.5% -0.167 0.0825 0.022
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1713 37.11 64.8% -0.106 -0.2247 0.228
All Things Weaken 2121 34.36 60.02% 0.003 0.34 -0.166
Attenuated Essence 319 32.6 57.68% 0.174 0.2004 -0.276
Back Against the Wall 1657 36.74 63.55% -0.012 -0.0107 0.058
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 353 34.9 63.46% 0.438 0.6555 0.376
Burn Brightest Before the End 311 35.19 61.09% 0.462 0.4439 -0.066
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1870 33.76 61.71% -0.098 0.295 -0.108
Downward Spiral 2183 34.82 66.79% 0.056 0.1639 0.072
Erosion of Will 1915 36.73 63.24% 0.013 0.3654 -0.011
Intensifying Exploitation 341 33.7 58.65% 0.593 0.8387 -0.138
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1022 38.51 83.07% 0.721 0.1967 0.705
Memory Fades to Dust 2195 35.34 66.65% 0.169 0.416 0.03
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2000 34.69 65.2% 0.348 0.5697 -0.022
Promising Farmlands 1831 35.56 65.43% 0.601 0.8836 0.069
Shattered Fragments of Power 311 34.91 63.02% 0.304 0.3811 0.265
Slow Dissolution of Will 349 32.41 53.87% 0.152 0.549 -0.251
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 696 38.35 86.35% 0.646 -0.0494 0.893
The Border of Life and Death 108 35.5 72.22% 0.892 0.2907 0.21
Thriving Communities 2091 34.72 64.95% -0.284 0.0727 0.082
Thriving Crops 164 33.59 65.85% 0.301 0.105 0.248
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4341 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 2217 36.1 63.55% 0.145 0.3074 -0.03
Untended Land Crumbles 2140 33.91 63.46% 0.074 0.3055 0.011

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21364 34.49% 31.81 73.54% -0.023 0.9823 0.105
B 22747 34.1% 32.34 73.79% 0.186 1.1058 0.152
C 23420 33.98% 33.16 74.73% 0.185 0.92 0.306
D 19463 33.92% 31.56 73.59% 0.13 1.1079 0.116
E 20539 34.77% 33.13 74.24% 0.003 0.8225 0.218
F 17920 34.5% 32.27 74.56% -0.017 0.8566 0.2
G 15677 34.59% 32.41 74.75% 0.046 0.855 0.272
H 15546 34.45% 32.75 74.98% 0.138 0.9526 0.23
East 4033 30.88% 41.3 67.54% 0.34 1.2427 0.015
Northeast 2396 29.39% 46.55 67.36% -0.933 -0.1246 -0.856
Northwest 1766 35.8% 32.91 65.52% -0.139 0.7609 -0.927
Southeast 1686 34.01% 32.15 65.42% -0.072 0.779 -0.34
Southwest 1766 34.49% 30.59 63.82% -0.006 1.37 -1.008
West 3942 32.83% 39.41 65.96% -0.269 0.6859 -0.607

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 742 0.0% 22.13 75.74% 0.421 1.1288 -1.219
Not Using Events or Tokens 66 70.91% 17.91 65.15% -0.62 -0.2524 -0.324
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2165 12.04% 39.65 86.61% 0.945 0.36 1.141
Start of Game Growth 3440 14.6% 38.66 83.92% 0.348 -0.1657 -0.067
Unlimited Undo 9327 25.72% 34.62 78.99% -0.078 -0.187 0.307
Using Tokens but Not Events 9077 17.06% 28.88 81.52% 0.324 0.2983 -0.058

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3406 30.39% 32.09 75.07% 0.371 0.2654 0.189
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 225 36.32% 29.52 59.11% 0.174 -0.3065 -0.563
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1548 43.07% 29.95 73.06% -0.11 0.0155 -0.003
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 297 27.61% 28.17 62.63% -0.227 -1.0744 0.342
Dances Up Earthquakes 267 41.57% 27.67 52.81% 0.11 0.1467 -0.117
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2049 33.27% 31.34 77.06% -0.127 -0.2642 -0.205
Downpour Drenches the World 1001 28.28% 28.79 62.44% 0.144 0.3503 0.248
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1125 29.29% 28.4 64.53% 0.278 -0.3327 -0.095
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3114 29.18% 33.79 79.99% 0.794 0.4181 0.058
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1835 32.05% 31.38 77.44% -0.385 -0.7759 0.313
Finder of Paths Unseen 624 33.71% 28.1 58.81% -0.791 -0.0712 0.282
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1521 29.47% 34.14 73.18% -0.58 0.0307 0.468
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1545 37.98% 28.49 67.38% 0.038 -0.0618 -0.193
Heart of the Wildfire 1442 52.79% 29.3 66.99% -0.015 0.3217 -0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4062 35.84% 36.21 76.93% 0.081 -0.3492 0.635
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 286 38.25% 30.79 61.19% -0.014 -0.3284 -0.218
Lightning's Swift Strike 1417 40.52% 29.08 77.56% 0.022 0.2517 -0.303
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 312 43.27% 31.83 61.86% 0.375 -0.0694 -0.39
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 640 37.58% 32.91 74.38% 0.379 0.0683 0.529
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 772 37.37% 35.64 74.87% 0.193 0.0509 0.893
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5751 38.71% 32.13 70.37% -0.179 -0.4068 -0.263
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3349 36.51% 33.96 73.31% 0.04 0.1493 0.288
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 265 43.77% 29.55 58.87% 0.14 0.2586 -0.075
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1889 36.65% 29.95 75.86% 0.117 0.0713 0.1
River Surges in Sunlight 1721 39.3% 35.46 78.73% 0.144 0.274 0.567
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 99 29.29% 30.22 60.61% -0.127 0.0485 -1.007
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 745 35.78% 28.15 68.19% -0.282 0.0159 -0.369
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 508 37.9% 32.2 63.58% 0.035 -0.0488 -0.237
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2388 34.34% 34.59 73.95% -0.056 -0.167 -0.147
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 92 41.3% 34.53 59.78% 0.257 0.1394 -0.056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 591 47.08% 29.05 75.8% 0.649 1.1441 0.103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 116 36.52% 25.81 56.9% -0.591 -0.6421 0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 208 43.63% 31.74 69.23% 0.28 -0.23 -0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 141 34.04% 30.6 67.38% 0.404 0.2763 0.411
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 427 37.68% 28.26 75.64% -0.364 -0.3519 -0.013
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 352 40.52% 30.4 73.86% 0.236 0.3719 0.775
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9286 32.21% 32.91 77.92% -0.147 -0.0985 0.098
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 2046 28.95% 28.02 61.24% -0.111 -0.326 -0.383
Shifting Memory of Ages 1166 38.73% 27.56 62.52% 0.258 0.552 -0.679
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 213 37.56% 29.75 60.09% 0.754 0.6355 0.302
Shroud of Silent Mist 1412 39.76% 27.05 68.27% -0.307 0.0203 -0.363
Starlight Seeks its Form 1759 33.22% 31.99 66.86% -0.029 -0.1279 0.326
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3992 33.93% 41.26 73.6% -0.259 -0.7894 0.413
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1640 34.03% 31.34 73.29% -0.437 -0.3598 0.455
Thunderspeaker 2502 32.29% 32.24 75.1% -0.197 -0.1604 0.009
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 234 31.47% 22.36 54.7% 0.396 0.4541 -0.388
Towering Roots of the Jungle 457 34.65% 25.21 59.52% 0.311 0.4603 -0.5
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2103 54.38% 30.16 70.38% -0.048 0.0985 -0.148
Vital Strength of the Earth 962 34.8% 26.98 73.28% -0.158 0.4104 -0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 291 34.71% 30.5 60.48% -0.227 0.2939 -0.017
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 437 39.26% 27.4 68.42% -0.502 0.2395 -0.41
Volcano Looming High 1894 42.66% 28.1 68.9% -0.262 -0.2473 0.105
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 444 32.41% 26.9 62.61% -0.328 -0.6199 -0.531

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.87%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.78%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 86.0%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.97%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.93%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11798 13.33 1.66%
II 13485 30.1 40.38%
III 30801 34.83 89.43%
IV 35489 38.67 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 196
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27152
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5236
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34962
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10650
Lose: Invader deck ran out 154
Lose: Adversary condition 5081
Win: Sacrifice victory 454
Lose: Scenario condition 498
Win: Scenario condition 561
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6306
Lose: Spirit destroyed 323

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.089 Win Model: -0.096

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.032 Win Model: 0.116
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 47341 28.74% 34.53 77.0%
2 24885 37.65% 33.04 72.41%
3 10234 40.34% 31.63 72.14%
4 6662 33.97% 32.89 75.88%
5 626 33.33% 26.45 69.65%
6 1825 25.14% 29.87 66.52%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)