Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 65 18.46% 24.69 64.62% -1.209 -1.1818 -0.081
Blitz 0 665 29.35% 32.25 70.68% -0.406 -0.1986 -0.142
Dahan Insurrection 4 469 21.96% 48.14 63.75% -1.189 -1.4141 -0.172
Despicable Theft 2 192 26.56% 28.46 60.42% -0.969 -0.1255 -1.192
Elemental Invocation 1 278 39.57% 28.59 64.39% -1.175 -0.1369 -0.758
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2368 12.62% 44.6 80.11% 0.077 -0.6367 0.512
Powers Long Forgotten 1 301 46.51% 29.44 61.13% -0.757 0.0941 0.056
Rituals of Terror 3 416 25.42% 78.88 72.6% 2.043 2.0767 0.679
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 131 47.33% 37.65 66.41% -0.494 0.6382 -1.314
Second Wave 0 3276 30.31% 31.41 83.49% 0.379 0.4935 0.48
The Great River 3 167 32.34% 26.93 40.72% -1.777 -0.367 -0.891
Varied Terrains 2 109 33.03% 28.14 60.55% -0.527 0.3113 -0.045
Ward the Shores 2 315 36.74% 32.29 62.22% -0.654 0.3687 -0.921

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 37192 29.65% 36.47 81.19% 0.619 0.6492 0.588
1 Thematic 1839 29.33% 35.46 73.9% -0.174 0.2446 0.637
2 Archipelago 57 35.09% 37.95 82.46% 0.0 0.4707 0.077
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13097 39.91% 33.35 75.9% 0.236 0.1675 0.037
2 Coastline 1724 34.7% 33.42 78.07% 0.039 -0.0908 0.047
2 Fragment 356 44.23% 29.79 76.69% 0.382 -0.0716 0.037
2 Heart 193 47.12% 29.76 71.5% -1.141 -1.2703 -0.169
2 Opposite Shores 2563 36.19% 31.08 75.42% 0.377 0.1777 -0.182
2 Thematic 1093 41.93% 36.12 68.62% 0.016 0.2013 0.335
2 Top to Top 453 32.22% 32.39 73.07% -0.262 -0.4939 0.182
3 Archipelago 40 50.0% 35.02 75.0% -0.122 -1.4028 -0.249
3 Coastline 92 38.04% 33.67 71.74% 0.849 0.0846 -0.163
3 Other 299 35.57% 31.78 77.59% 0.7 0.3729 0.34
3 Round (Default) 7247 41.06% 33.08 75.31% 0.048 -0.2634 -0.183
3 Sunrise 58 14.04% 16.14 51.72% 0.195 0.1791 -0.009
3 Thematic 478 29.68% 63.27 69.67% 0.331 -0.0297 0.459
4 Archipelago 57 38.6% 37.81 75.44% 0.576 0.0997 -0.364
4 Coastline 90 12.22% 27.28 84.44% 0.191 -0.3777 0.856
4 Leaf 46 52.17% 34.5 84.78% 0.42 1.024 -0.782
4 Other 269 32.09% 32.8 86.99% 0.402 -0.3581 0.373
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5695 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0181 0.0
4 Thematic 730 34.9% 38.68 76.99% -0.077 0.2979 0.012
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4277 34.21% 34.18 79.28% 0.336 0.5989 -0.227
5 Archipelago 34 44.12% 35.76 73.53% -1.341 -1.4244 -0.886
5 Coastline 30 3.33% 33.87 86.67% 0.627 0.1954 0.053
5 Other 426 30.43% 28.11 76.29% -0.105 -0.7758 -0.692
5 Thematic 56 16.07% 24.66 62.5% -0.817 -0.6622 -0.221
6 Archipelago 36 22.22% 32.36 75.0% -1.49 -2.4 -0.498
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 46.56 77.78% 0.409 -0.1377 -0.56
6 Other 232 24.57% 35.45 75.43% -0.332 -0.0252 0.066
6 Star 79 29.11% 36.39 69.62% 0.0 0.1654 0.03
6 Thematic 283 31.9% 29.56 68.55% -0.605 -0.6219 0.649
6 Two Centers (Default) 611 21.95% 30.95 72.67% -0.348 -0.4026 -0.862
7 Archipelago 14 21.43% 46.07 64.29% -0.526 0.3421 0.296
7 Other 15 26.67% 20.47 46.67% 0.034 -1.4132 0.055

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1616 37.71 64.98% 1.218 1.3821 -0.131
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1489 37.68 65.75% -0.005 -0.0296 0.043
All Things Weaken 1802 35.0 61.21% -0.203 0.1631 -0.318
Attenuated Essence 144 35.01 55.56% 0.589 0.7214 -0.4
Back Against the Wall 1447 37.09 63.93% 0.15 0.2273 -0.17
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 157 34.03 61.78% 0.813 1.0343 -0.194
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 34.65 60.62% 0.75 0.8627 -0.568
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1621 34.32 62.49% 0.077 0.4512 -0.32
Downward Spiral 1850 35.69 68.65% 0.428 0.6164 -0.03
Erosion of Will 1645 37.1 64.01% 0.542 0.8488 -0.239
Intensifying Exploitation 164 35.1 58.54% 0.595 0.8583 -0.193
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 858 39.7 85.9% 1.099 0.5388 0.875
Memory Fades to Dust 1865 36.12 68.26% 0.635 0.9458 -0.18
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1704 35.16 66.2% 0.803 1.1101 -0.185
Promising Farmlands 1567 36.19 66.18% 0.02 0.3698 -0.117
Shattered Fragments of Power 135 37.22 66.67% 0.623 0.7739 0.373
Slow Dissolution of Will 181 31.49 50.83% 0.101 0.5293 -0.646
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 604 39.4 88.41% 1.586 0.9882 0.788
The Border of Life and Death 58 36.05 72.41% 0.384 0.0992 0.055
Thriving Communities 1773 35.62 66.05% 0.047 0.3568 -0.089
Thriving Crops 88 35.9 67.05% 0.804 0.7468 -0.059
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.522 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1908 36.71 64.47% 0.417 0.5865 -0.213
Untended Land Crumbles 1819 34.24 64.05% 0.33 0.6418 -0.205

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 16975 34.96% 33.44 77.33% 0.076 0.9683 0.164
B 18190 34.65% 33.86 77.19% 0.056 0.8656 0.12
C 18811 34.78% 34.72 78.22% 0.003 0.6666 0.333
D 15484 34.39% 33.2 77.43% 0.002 0.8301 0.193
E 16289 35.56% 34.88 77.72% 0.055 0.7385 0.244
F 14223 34.94% 33.86 78.08% 0.028 0.7947 0.253
G 12615 34.55% 33.9 78.23% -0.037 0.7206 0.335
H 12488 34.82% 34.28 78.51% -0.144 0.6017 0.261
East 3093 32.68% 40.66 71.68% 0.343 1.1808 -0.018
Northeast 1741 31.81% 44.57 71.68% 0.09 0.776 -0.511
Northwest 1355 36.38% 35.33 70.63% -0.588 0.2251 -0.964
Southeast 1349 34.7% 34.12 69.9% -0.953 -0.2761 -0.195
Southwest 1433 35.16% 32.6 68.18% -0.287 1.0832 -1.02
West 3052 34.78% 38.92 69.99% 0.071 1.0325 -0.609

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 535 0.0% 20.78 75.33% -0.046 0.7984 -1.564
Not Using Events or Tokens 54 68.89% 18.96 68.52% -0.304 0.1398 -0.325
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1832 12.39% 40.96 88.76% 0.919 0.3378 0.862
Start of Game Growth 2880 14.4% 40.38 87.08% 0.58 0.0404 0.215
Unlimited Undo 7636 26.45% 36.67 83.56% -0.1 -0.0569 0.382
Using Tokens but Not Events 7177 16.79% 29.39 85.05% 0.138 0.1087 -0.085

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2851 30.56% 32.79 77.59% 0.087 -0.0376 0.052
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1333 43.49% 31.08 75.39% 0.367 0.534 -0.126
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 120 25.0% 28.23 57.5% -0.049 -0.8547 0.424
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1684 34.18% 32.29 79.57% 0.1 -0.0265 -0.394
Downpour Drenches the World 655 27.76% 31.22 65.19% 0.003 0.3106 -0.098
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 685 30.79% 28.48 63.94% 0.249 -0.2278 -0.233
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2565 28.65% 35.01 83.31% 0.685 0.2585 0.133
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1545 33.57% 32.61 80.0% 0.195 -0.2666 0.193
Finder of Paths Unseen 400 33.83% 31.5 66.0% 0.108 0.7559 0.349
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1261 30.19% 36.02 77.16% 0.053 0.7139 0.545
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1103 38.36% 30.33 70.81% 0.013 0.062 -0.001
Heart of the Wildfire 1163 54.41% 30.88 69.65% -0.297 -0.043 -0.16
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3516 36.01% 36.98 79.18% 0.606 0.2182 0.488
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 96 33.33% 32.66 64.58% -0.06 -0.4541 -0.145
Lightning's Swift Strike 1163 38.42% 30.19 80.14% 0.239 0.4952 -0.391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 202 43.07% 32.53 58.91% 0.28 -0.2649 -0.589
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 553 39.53% 34.58 77.03% -0.074 -0.3088 0.571
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 572 37.5% 36.92 77.8% 0.347 0.0755 0.914
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4567 39.24% 33.56 74.07% -0.276 -0.6105 -0.235
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2791 36.85% 35.35 75.96% 0.006 -0.0262 0.137
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1536 37.43% 31.31 78.52% -0.321 -0.4648 -0.03
River Surges in Sunlight 1483 38.9% 36.79 80.85% 0.036 0.1339 0.593
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 587 35.17% 29.03 72.23% -0.813 -0.4786 -0.567
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 345 36.84% 33.32 67.25% 0.208 0.0772 -0.247
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2074 35.0% 35.78 76.66% 0.054 -0.1269 -0.262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 505 47.29% 30.1 76.04% 1.931 2.4749 -0.021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 35.44% 27.31 56.25% -0.988 -0.8499 0.139
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 82 45.68% 34.22 71.95% 0.013 -0.3533 -0.441
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 91 32.97% 28.69 64.84% 0.451 0.5896 0.429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 375 38.54% 29.24 79.47% 0.438 0.4765 -0.232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 307 42.43% 31.9 76.87% -0.908 -0.7332 0.646
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8069 32.38% 34.34 80.65% -0.063 -0.1741 0.016
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1051 26.76% 27.04 59.75% 0.091 -0.1055 -0.822
Shifting Memory of Ages 960 41.11% 29.19 64.69% -0.411 -0.0471 -0.827
Shroud of Silent Mist 1063 40.32% 29.18 72.72% -0.373 -0.0034 -0.191
Starlight Seeks its Form 1213 34.63% 34.6 71.48% 0.435 0.2248 0.326
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3206 35.37% 39.53 77.04% 0.138 -0.5725 0.404
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1351 35.02% 33.29 77.57% 0.105 0.2628 0.495
Thunderspeaker 2114 31.81% 33.8 78.95% -0.27 -0.2521 0.31
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 124 30.89% 23.47 54.03% -0.695 -0.5804 0.051
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1778 55.21% 31.26 72.27% -0.958 -0.8214 -0.253
Vital Strength of the Earth 825 34.88% 28.18 75.64% 0.758 1.3019 -0.386
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 164 31.71% 32.4 68.9% -0.288 0.0893 0.184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 355 40.34% 29.04 72.39% -0.926 -0.2345 -0.216
Volcano Looming High 1474 42.45% 29.23 71.3% -0.003 -0.0257 0.012
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 198 35.45% 29.62 68.69% -0.003 -0.4127 -0.467

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.7%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.56%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.56%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.9%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7015 16.19 2.44%
II 10949 30.54 42.33%
III 26049 34.77 89.65%
IV 30117 38.38 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23008
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 29760
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5441
Lose: Invader deck ran out 126
Lose: Adversary condition 4336
Win: Sacrifice victory 291
Lose: Scenario condition 452
Win: Scenario condition 495
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5338
Lose: Spirit destroyed 261

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.088 Win Model: -0.09

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.044 Win Model: 0.208
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 39234 29.63% 36.38 80.71%
2 19679 38.86% 33.93 75.75%
3 8021 40.86% 32.89 74.84%
4 5523 33.56% 34.48 79.63%
5 420 26.89% 25.89 71.43%
6 1253 25.16% 32.23 71.91%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-15 05:27:44 (Pacific Time)