Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 103 17.48% 21.1 57.28% -1.333 -1.1424 -0.033
Blitz 0 790 28.37% 30.0 66.2% -0.701 -0.4839 0.029
Dahan Insurrection 4 531 22.98% 46.77 62.52% -0.582 -0.835 -0.103
Despicable Theft 2 248 24.19% 27.04 58.06% 0.132 0.7186 -0.955
Elemental Invocation 1 366 35.25% 26.86 59.84% -0.368 0.3718 -0.891
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2669 12.54% 43.41 78.42% 0.483 -0.0787 0.705
Powers Long Forgotten 1 394 41.88% 26.81 56.09% -1.052 -0.292 -0.419
Rituals of Terror 3 688 18.71% 83.17 69.77% 0.855 0.9753 0.705
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 174 40.8% 32.59 58.05% -0.674 0.2331 -1.295
Second Wave 0 3997 30.04% 30.63 80.64% 0.357 0.4954 0.512
The Great River 3 208 28.37% 23.71 37.02% -0.96 0.1397 -1.075
Varied Terrains 2 171 32.16% 25.73 54.97% -0.797 -0.0213 -0.007
Ward the Shores 2 389 34.37% 30.23 58.35% -0.366 0.708 -0.949

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 44513 28.87% 34.73 77.73% 0.215 0.5473 0.699
1 Thematic 2127 27.53% 33.3 69.72% -0.459 0.2265 0.788
2 Archipelago 74 39.19% 37.32 79.73% 0.139 0.7464 0.286
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 16241 38.67% 31.95 72.65% 0.154 0.2739 0.077
2 Coastline 2114 35.48% 32.42 74.27% 0.253 0.1805 0.056
2 Fragment 440 42.37% 28.66 75.68% 0.775 0.5898 0.097
2 Heart 227 45.33% 29.49 71.81% 0.681 0.5235 0.388
2 Opposite Shores 3286 35.25% 29.73 71.24% -0.205 -0.0537 -0.155
2 Thematic 1437 40.03% 34.74 64.3% -0.452 0.0559 0.313
2 Top to Top 574 32.81% 31.81 73.17% 0.243 0.1842 0.295
3 Archipelago 50 46.0% 33.6 72.0% 0.233 -0.7184 -0.214
3 Coastline 108 37.96% 31.35 65.74% -0.92 -1.3295 0.098
3 Other 332 36.86% 31.06 76.51% -0.272 -1.0437 0.427
3 Round (Default) 9202 40.36% 31.72 72.4% 0.222 0.131 -0.127
3 Sunrise 68 13.43% 17.5 55.88% 0.473 0.377 0.077
3 Thematic 762 23.75% 70.34 69.16% 1.485 1.5054 0.593
4 Archipelago 63 36.51% 35.0 71.43% 0.211 -0.3195 -0.683
4 Coastline 114 12.28% 27.39 85.09% 0.0 -0.0857 0.191
4 Leaf 57 47.37% 31.56 82.46% 0.0 -0.1615 -0.914
4 Other 309 33.55% 31.62 83.82% 0.194 -0.5171 0.351
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4433 0.0
4 Thematic 816 36.0% 36.92 73.16% -0.45 -0.3272 0.023
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5215 34.44% 32.66 75.49% -0.272 -0.2752 -0.291
5 Archipelago 41 50.0% 35.73 73.17% -0.436 -0.4665 -1.054
5 Coastline 36 2.78% 34.25 86.11% 0.43 0.2844 0.302
5 Other 601 35.82% 27.87 73.54% -0.263 -0.7771 -0.623
5 Thematic 69 17.39% 25.16 60.87% 0.121 0.064 -0.266
6 Archipelago 52 15.38% 31.42 71.15% -0.114 -1.1521 -0.435
6 Coastline 16 12.5% 52.75 87.5% 0.399 -0.5607 -0.262
6 Other 338 24.56% 32.25 71.01% -0.228 -0.3315 -0.202
6 Star 123 29.27% 31.65 60.98% -0.313 -0.3263 -0.774
6 Thematic 376 32.35% 27.68 61.7% -1.246 -0.9597 0.543
6 Two Centers (Default) 883 22.58% 29.32 69.08% -0.355 0.178 -0.684
7 Archipelago 22 18.18% 36.36 50.0% -0.434 -0.3692 0.183
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 24 25.0% 17.96 37.5% -0.254 -0.8125 0.258

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1869 36.74 63.46% -0.182 0.0689 -0.002
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1704 37.26 65.08% 0.171 0.1131 0.228
All Things Weaken 2105 34.38 60.1% 0.087 0.4213 -0.166
Attenuated Essence 303 33.04 57.43% 0.197 0.231 -0.275
Back Against the Wall 1649 36.73 63.43% 0.031 0.066 0.038
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 343 34.59 62.68% 0.272 0.489 0.321
Burn Brightest Before the End 300 34.98 61.33% 0.646 0.6562 -0.079
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1861 33.71 61.74% -0.047 0.2973 -0.125
Downward Spiral 2169 34.87 66.94% 0.146 0.2636 0.072
Erosion of Will 1907 36.69 63.14% 0.218 0.4923 -0.028
Intensifying Exploitation 333 33.86 58.86% 0.285 0.4964 -0.11
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1017 38.45 82.99% 0.631 0.0582 0.697
Memory Fades to Dust 2175 35.4 66.8% 0.17 0.4223 0.025
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1988 34.75 65.24% 0.099 0.3038 -0.026
Promising Farmlands 1815 35.52 65.45% 0.43 0.6836 0.061
Shattered Fragments of Power 302 34.68 63.25% 0.392 0.4657 0.136
Slow Dissolution of Will 342 32.27 54.09% 0.011 0.3928 -0.303
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 691 38.3 86.25% 0.313 -0.3605 0.882
The Border of Life and Death 105 35.49 71.43% 0.739 0.1389 0.199
Thriving Communities 2072 34.8 65.15% 0.081 0.3628 0.078
Thriving Crops 160 33.79 65.0% 0.255 0.1146 0.244
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3945 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 2206 36.14 63.64% 0.131 0.3348 -0.047
Untended Land Crumbles 2121 33.99 63.6% 0.134 0.3241 0.01

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21184 34.4% 31.85 73.66% -0.061 0.9372 0.104
B 22548 34.14% 32.38 73.85% 0.035 0.9574 0.155
C 23188 33.96% 33.2 74.87% 0.19 0.9189 0.313
D 19312 33.91% 31.61 73.68% 0.064 1.0232 0.115
E 20353 34.73% 33.19 74.37% 0.098 0.9174 0.224
F 17767 34.51% 32.33 74.69% 0.035 0.9169 0.196
G 15523 34.57% 32.46 74.92% 0.003 0.8279 0.284
H 15421 34.46% 32.79 75.05% 0.19 1.0287 0.235
East 3998 30.95% 41.45 67.78% 0.28 1.1547 -0.033
Northeast 2371 29.49% 46.8 67.69% -1.053 -0.3013 -0.845
Northwest 1743 35.99% 33.1 65.92% -0.072 0.8199 -0.902
Southeast 1668 34.14% 32.33 65.83% 0.064 0.9025 -0.335
Southwest 1750 34.52% 30.66 64.11% 0.107 1.4114 -0.992
West 3909 32.9% 39.54 66.21% -0.326 0.6238 -0.668

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 740 0.0% 22.04 75.68% 0.352 1.0808 -1.223
Not Using Events or Tokens 64 69.81% 18.25 67.19% 0.692 1.0378 -0.321
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2154 12.05% 39.69 86.58% 0.992 0.3893 1.112
Start of Game Growth 3414 14.55% 38.79 84.12% 0.498 -0.0058 -0.069
Unlimited Undo 9245 25.79% 34.72 79.21% -0.044 -0.1506 0.346
Using Tokens but Not Events 8983 17.05% 28.87 81.63% 0.238 0.2084 -0.089

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3388 30.35% 32.17 75.24% 0.433 0.3379 0.187
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 216 35.98% 29.67 59.72% -0.079 -0.5549 -0.611
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1535 43.04% 30.03 73.36% 0.092 0.2044 0.004
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 287 28.22% 28.83 64.11% 0.125 -0.688 0.351
Dances Up Earthquakes 247 40.89% 26.81 51.42% -0.011 -0.0199 -0.49
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2029 33.16% 31.42 77.28% -0.061 -0.2013 -0.156
Downpour Drenches the World 975 27.91% 28.83 62.26% 0.012 0.2398 0.255
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1101 29.47% 28.36 64.31% 0.022 -0.5476 -0.086
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3099 29.12% 33.77 80.06% 0.633 0.2454 0.07
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1824 31.97% 31.4 77.58% -0.295 -0.6886 0.308
Finder of Paths Unseen 614 33.61% 28.15 59.12% -0.754 -0.0254 0.29
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1509 29.57% 34.25 73.43% -0.525 0.116 0.456
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1530 37.96% 28.52 67.39% 0.115 -0.0183 -0.189
Heart of the Wildfire 1430 52.88% 29.28 67.06% 0.007 0.3365 -0.05
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4044 35.8% 36.22 76.95% -0.082 -0.5055 0.646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 281 38.57% 30.64 60.85% -0.188 -0.4942 -0.145
Lightning's Swift Strike 1406 40.77% 29.13 77.45% -0.195 0.0428 -0.3
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 310 42.9% 31.81 61.94% 0.507 0.099 -0.366
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 638 37.54% 33.01 74.61% 0.552 0.2325 0.539
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 765 37.19% 35.67 74.9% 0.283 0.2027 0.904
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5712 38.82% 32.13 70.38% -0.251 -0.4439 -0.254
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3333 36.5% 33.99 73.42% 0.058 0.1976 0.281
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 247 43.32% 29.59 58.7% 0.085 0.1654 -0.053
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1873 36.48% 30.06 76.13% 0.353 0.2746 0.118
River Surges in Sunlight 1709 39.04% 35.52 78.88% 0.041 0.1665 0.596
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 28.13% 30.0 60.42% 0.002 0.1802 -0.987
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 737 36.18% 28.28 68.39% -0.169 0.1101 -0.346
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 498 37.85% 32.37 64.06% 0.09 -0.0323 -0.247
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2381 34.36% 34.6 73.96% -0.182 -0.3093 -0.143
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 87 40.23% 34.9 60.92% 0.527 0.4143 -0.081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 588 46.8% 29.11 75.85% 0.626 1.1415 0.11
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 116 36.52% 25.81 56.9% -0.585 -0.6036 0.36
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 206 43.56% 31.74 69.42% -0.059 -0.5622 -0.204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 141 34.04% 30.6 67.38% 0.59 0.3982 0.421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 427 37.68% 28.26 75.64% -0.245 -0.3045 -0.002
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 351 40.63% 30.49 74.07% 0.134 0.2155 0.848
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9246 32.22% 32.95 78.0% -0.099 -0.0195 0.123
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1992 28.74% 28.0 61.24% -0.056 -0.2424 -0.351
Shifting Memory of Ages 1159 38.79% 27.6 62.47% -0.022 0.245 -0.673
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 203 36.95% 29.5 58.62% 0.597 0.4788 0.274
Shroud of Silent Mist 1395 39.96% 27.09 68.6% -0.229 0.1219 -0.369
Starlight Seeks its Form 1738 33.04% 31.96 66.8% -0.145 -0.2623 0.342
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3964 33.81% 41.37 73.86% -0.021 -0.5337 0.447
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1627 33.99% 31.4 73.39% -0.611 -0.4933 0.463
Thunderspeaker 2481 32.36% 32.3 75.25% -0.049 -0.0166 0.018
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 228 31.86% 22.16 54.39% 0.291 0.3047 -0.464
Towering Roots of the Jungle 437 34.4% 25.08 59.27% 0.235 0.3648 -0.601
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2083 54.33% 30.33 70.81% 0.372 0.498 -0.118
Vital Strength of the Earth 957 34.87% 27.0 73.15% -0.27 0.3298 -0.305
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 288 34.72% 30.82 61.11% -0.047 0.4467 -0.007
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 434 39.3% 27.54 68.66% -0.574 0.1241 -0.398
Volcano Looming High 1867 42.47% 28.06 68.72% -0.471 -0.4235 0.142
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 433 32.55% 26.88 62.82% -0.404 -0.6945 -0.503

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.86%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.79%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 86.03%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.98%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11600 13.42 1.68%
II 13373 30.13 40.48%
III 30550 34.83 89.46%
IV 35258 38.67 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 195
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26940
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5205
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34732
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10431
Lose: Invader deck ran out 152
Lose: Adversary condition 5044
Win: Sacrifice victory 453
Lose: Scenario condition 497
Win: Scenario condition 559
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6259
Lose: Spirit destroyed 314

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.24 Win Model: -0.085

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.021 Win Model: 0.099
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 46946 28.77% 34.6 77.17%
2 24666 37.68% 33.08 72.46%
3 10129 40.26% 31.66 72.23%
4 6620 33.9% 32.91 75.95%
5 622 33.06% 26.44 69.77%
6 1798 25.18% 30.07 67.02%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)