Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 79 17.72% 23.62 60.76% -0.287 -0.5071 0.1
Blitz 0 692 29.07% 31.61 69.65% -0.673 -0.3865 -0.089
Dahan Insurrection 4 488 22.13% 47.29 63.11% -0.179 -0.2936 -0.174
Despicable Theft 2 207 26.09% 28.4 60.87% 0.157 0.8952 -1.131
Elemental Invocation 1 294 39.46% 28.29 63.61% -0.31 0.4463 -0.744
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2446 12.7% 44.27 79.6% 0.464 -0.1181 0.559
Powers Long Forgotten 1 317 45.11% 28.78 60.25% -0.742 0.1114 -0.097
Rituals of Terror 3 495 23.01% 80.75 71.92% 0.828 0.6575 0.744
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 143 44.06% 35.48 62.24% -1.093 -0.1824 -1.421
Second Wave 0 3410 30.33% 31.09 82.67% -0.132 -0.0522 0.474
The Great River 3 178 30.9% 25.75 38.76% -1.787 -0.4231 -0.836
Varied Terrains 2 123 32.52% 27.41 58.54% -0.677 0.2021 -0.08
Ward the Shores 2 327 36.0% 31.72 61.16% -0.804 0.1777 -0.894

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 38582 29.49% 36.1 80.48% 0.342 0.6862 0.626
1 Thematic 1898 29.05% 35.01 73.18% -0.084 0.443 0.696
2 Archipelago 62 40.32% 37.6 80.65% 0.418 0.9165 -0.001
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13783 39.45% 32.9 75.06% 0.195 0.4797 0.018
2 Coastline 1802 34.47% 33.08 77.3% 0.214 0.2431 0.054
2 Fragment 369 43.48% 29.51 76.15% 0.153 -0.0839 0.069
2 Heart 205 46.8% 29.62 71.71% 0.506 0.3586 -0.122
2 Opposite Shores 2680 36.19% 30.78 74.66% 0.073 0.1319 -0.17
2 Thematic 1158 41.21% 35.3 66.93% -0.596 -0.226 0.281
2 Top to Top 476 32.98% 32.08 72.69% 0.128 0.2512 0.216
3 Archipelago 45 44.44% 33.82 71.11% -0.731 -1.5282 -0.246
3 Coastline 97 37.11% 32.75 69.07% -0.124 -0.6733 -0.251
3 Other 303 35.76% 31.5 77.23% 0.249 -0.2888 0.363
3 Round (Default) 7727 40.83% 32.72 74.39% 0.258 0.1656 -0.189
3 Sunrise 61 13.33% 16.48 50.82% -0.283 -0.1324 -0.156
3 Thematic 580 27.08% 64.93 69.14% 0.995 0.4765 0.376
4 Archipelago 57 38.6% 37.81 75.44% 0.173 0.6064 -0.345
4 Coastline 97 12.37% 28.38 85.57% 0.82 0.0593 1.198
4 Leaf 51 49.02% 33.37 84.31% 0.227 0.0159 -0.876
4 Other 274 31.87% 32.71 86.86% -0.159 -0.1509 0.332
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 759 35.94% 38.06 75.49% -0.293 -0.1602 -0.046
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4469 34.38% 33.78 78.29% -0.303 -0.1962 -0.268
5 Archipelago 36 42.86% 34.69 72.22% -0.391 -0.2234 -0.877
5 Coastline 31 3.23% 33.71 87.1% 0.0 -0.5066 0.076
5 Other 454 31.0% 27.81 75.55% -0.248 -0.7631 -0.716
5 Thematic 59 16.95% 23.41 59.32% -0.784 -1.7663 -0.292
6 Archipelago 37 21.62% 32.76 75.68% 0.207 -0.5228 -0.49
6 Coastline 11 18.18% 47.18 81.82% 0.165 -0.8739 -0.484
6 Other 249 24.9% 35.2 75.1% 0.072 0.7067 0.153
6 Star 85 29.41% 35.32 68.24% -0.652 -0.4078 -0.095
6 Thematic 300 32.43% 29.22 67.0% -0.329 -0.0062 0.522
6 Two Centers (Default) 677 22.47% 30.43 71.94% 0.085 -0.0183 -0.805
7 Archipelago 16 18.75% 43.88 62.5% -0.321 0.2707 0.291
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.549 -0.2072 0.0
7 Other 16 31.25% 22.75 50.0% 0.214 -1.223 0.213

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1654 37.49 64.63% 0.048 0.1521 -0.113
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1537 37.48 65.45% 0.362 0.2174 0.083
All Things Weaken 1883 34.8 60.81% -0.176 0.1898 -0.291
Attenuated Essence 175 34.43 56.57% 0.198 0.1961 -0.343
Back Against the Wall 1486 36.92 63.86% 0.561 0.6262 -0.133
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 187 33.01 60.43% -0.115 0.1198 -0.196
Burn Brightest Before the End 184 33.96 58.15% -0.495 -0.3347 -0.597
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1664 34.09 62.08% -0.268 0.108 -0.284
Downward Spiral 1933 35.39 68.34% 0.39 0.4622 -0.006
Erosion of Will 1701 36.83 63.43% -0.375 -0.1188 -0.209
Intensifying Exploitation 199 35.33 58.29% 0.193 0.467 -0.155
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 894 39.29 84.9% 0.295 -0.1914 0.825
Memory Fades to Dust 1922 35.99 67.95% 0.105 0.2884 -0.119
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1769 35.01 65.74% 0.001 0.2136 -0.183
Promising Farmlands 1624 35.9 65.64% 0.039 0.3622 -0.077
Shattered Fragments of Power 164 37.29 66.46% 0.624 0.794 0.447
Slow Dissolution of Will 204 32.13 53.43% 0.573 0.9569 -0.577
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 617 39.29 87.68% 0.126 -0.5498 0.738
The Border of Life and Death 64 36.36 71.88% 0.467 -0.0489 0.27
Thriving Communities 1846 35.46 66.09% 0.443 0.7668 -0.063
Thriving Crops 102 36.22 66.67% 0.69 0.6917 0.223
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1982 36.66 64.33% 0.32 0.5064 -0.152
Untended Land Crumbles 1874 34.2 64.14% 0.317 0.6559 -0.157

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17865 34.87% 33.08 76.46% 0.086 0.949 0.18
B 19073 34.53% 33.54 76.44% -0.113 0.7082 0.136
C 19731 34.6% 34.3 77.39% -0.081 0.6169 0.328
D 16273 34.2% 32.82 76.57% -0.128 0.7277 0.185
E 17142 35.32% 34.45 76.91% 0.155 0.8437 0.257
F 14939 34.85% 33.42 77.14% -0.359 0.4588 0.241
G 13257 34.55% 33.49 77.44% -0.009 0.8715 0.319
H 13109 34.64% 33.84 77.66% -0.033 0.7472 0.261
East 3320 32.29% 40.94 70.45% 0.212 1.0044 -0.017
Northeast 1887 31.38% 45.7 70.64% -0.314 0.5673 -0.555
Northwest 1431 36.4% 34.64 68.97% -0.077 0.7946 -0.967
Southeast 1438 34.64% 33.21 68.43% -0.092 0.7668 -0.295
Southwest 1513 35.29% 31.99 67.02% -0.617 0.5927 -1.058
West 3276 34.24% 39.24 68.68% -0.205 0.8553 -0.629

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 567 0.0% 21.37 75.49% 0.086 0.8018 -1.342
Not Using Events or Tokens 56 70.21% 18.89 69.64% 0.467 0.941 -0.322
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1902 12.3% 40.76 88.49% 0.852 0.2845 0.95
Start of Game Growth 3007 14.8% 40.1 86.46% 0.511 -0.153 0.142
Unlimited Undo 7939 26.61% 36.27 82.6% -0.332 -0.3088 0.363
Using Tokens but Not Events 7557 16.99% 29.3 84.04% 0.228 0.2758 -0.162

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2940 30.76% 32.68 76.97% 0.021 -0.1753 0.117
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 42 38.1% 34.79 85.71% 1.377 0.6623 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1370 43.34% 30.96 74.89% -0.495 -0.2269 -0.043
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 165 29.09% 29.55 63.03% 0.802 0.2345 0.486
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1771 34.3% 32.16 79.22% 0.389 0.2582 -0.285
Downpour Drenches the World 716 28.05% 30.73 64.94% 0.338 0.6073 0.02
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 774 30.48% 28.53 64.34% 0.23 -0.2017 -0.188
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2695 28.75% 34.53 82.26% -0.083 -0.506 0.201
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1614 33.0% 32.13 78.93% 0.003 -0.4422 0.274
Finder of Paths Unseen 444 32.73% 30.44 64.19% -0.511 0.146 0.31
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1321 30.18% 35.44 76.0% -0.301 0.507 0.468
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1196 38.08% 29.63 69.82% -0.157 -0.2744 0.06
Heart of the Wildfire 1227 53.52% 30.23 68.62% -0.229 0.058 -0.07
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3639 36.03% 36.7 78.73% 0.176 -0.217 0.565
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 135 34.07% 30.75 59.26% -0.471 -0.876 -0.019
Lightning's Swift Strike 1231 38.89% 30.06 79.61% 0.433 0.7 -0.239
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 216 42.13% 32.5 60.65% 1.035 0.6832 -0.524
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 569 39.47% 34.22 76.63% 0.409 -0.0323 0.546
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 599 36.64% 36.89 77.8% 0.897 0.8542 0.976
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4878 39.54% 33.26 72.88% 0.042 -0.2084 -0.228
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2904 36.98% 35.03 75.14% -0.148 -0.2519 0.191
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1630 37.0% 30.82 78.04% 0.461 0.3046 0.061
River Surges in Sunlight 1534 39.24% 36.59 79.92% -0.148 -0.059 0.469
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 13 7.69% 41.54 92.31% 0.912 0.7998 -0.48
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 615 34.87% 28.37 70.57% -0.9 -0.51 -0.525
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 386 38.64% 33.2 66.06% 0.01 0.1473 -0.313
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2140 34.85% 35.61 76.26% 0.518 0.3243 -0.192
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 526 46.24% 29.89 75.67% -0.103 0.3828 -0.051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 90 31.46% 26.72 56.67% -0.184 -0.1283 0.212
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 111 47.27% 32.07 68.47% 0.074 -0.394 -0.832
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 100 33.0% 28.91 63.0% -0.794 -0.5787 0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 390 38.34% 28.8 77.69% -0.457 -0.4273 -0.109
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 312 41.75% 31.51 76.28% -0.703 -0.5313 0.718
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8304 32.44% 34.06 80.17% 0.289 0.1359 0.059
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1288 27.18% 27.16 59.7% 0.057 -0.142 -0.716
Shifting Memory of Ages 1015 40.36% 28.69 64.04% -0.438 0.0106 -0.775
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 46 36.96% 22.72 52.17% -0.15 -0.4547 0.259
Shroud of Silent Mist 1138 40.43% 28.47 71.09% -0.47 -0.1337 -0.306
Starlight Seeks its Form 1296 33.87% 34.05 71.14% 0.521 0.4658 0.393
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3415 34.91% 40.19 76.13% 0.37 -0.2531 0.467
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1415 34.35% 32.55 76.25% -0.311 -0.1175 0.513
Thunderspeaker 2201 32.05% 33.49 78.19% 0.098 0.0439 0.287
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 150 30.2% 22.43 52.0% -0.481 -0.347 -0.324
Towering Roots of the Jungle 103 32.04% 22.16 51.46% -0.162 -0.1526 -0.565
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1841 54.95% 30.95 71.59% -0.227 -0.1437 -0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth 855 34.71% 27.83 74.97% -0.32 0.2745 -0.32
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 193 35.23% 31.83 66.32% -0.35 0.0891 0.123
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 370 40.6% 28.37 70.27% -1.235 -0.5441 -0.301
Volcano Looming High 1568 42.2% 29.05 71.3% 0.633 0.736 0.081
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 245 33.47% 27.52 65.31% -0.242 -0.4943 -0.581

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.75%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.63%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.72%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.91%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.71%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7942 15.45 2.24%
II 11500 30.45 42.1%
III 26956 34.8 89.58%
IV 31168 38.47 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 178
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23796
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4648
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30765
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6457
Lose: Invader deck ran out 130
Lose: Adversary condition 4479
Win: Sacrifice victory 336
Lose: Scenario condition 463
Win: Scenario condition 508
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5537
Lose: Spirit destroyed 269

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.423 Win Model: -0.082

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.055 Win Model: 0.032
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 40714 29.46% 36.0 79.97%
2 20722 38.44% 33.68 74.91%
3 8555 40.63% 32.58 74.02%
4 5758 33.76% 34.06 78.64%
5 455 27.7% 25.54 70.55%
6 1362 25.57% 31.79 71.07%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)