Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 337 34.93% 34.07 -1.804 76.85% -0.956 -0.3868
Dahan Insurrection 4 256 19.92% 51.45 7.521 73.83% -1.549 -1.1512
Despicable Theft 2 54 31.48% 37.57 1.334 87.04% -0.288 -0.0182
Elemental Invocation 1 92 43.48% 34.85 -0.566 77.17% -0.463 0.0016
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1463 11.74% 47.08 3.988 84.96% -0.296 0.0702
Powers Long Forgotten 1 165 52.73% 35.05 -0.618 72.73% -0.902 -0.457
Rituals of Terror 3 141 48.55% 41.05 2.953 73.05% -0.964 -0.3195
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 57.53% 43.99 4.106 78.08% -0.525 0.1205
Second Wave 0 1512 32.09% 33.02 -1.237 85.25% -0.759 -0.33
The Great River 3 83 40.96% 33.98 -1.423 51.81% -2.882 -1.4184
Ward the Shores 2 169 38.32% 36.28 0.444 73.37% -1.162 -0.1278

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 20404 30.23% 39.29 0.684 87.58% -0.281 -0.1085
1 Thematic 1082 33.27% 39.32 0.7 81.79% -0.56 -0.1983
2 Archipelago 9 55.56% 41.11 3.001 100.0% 0.73 0.9568
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6653 40.82% 36.22 -0.59 83.09% -0.334 -0.2823
2 Coastline 850 35.31% 37.29 -0.254 85.29% -0.228 -0.2203
2 Fragment 169 45.24% 31.7 -2.305 82.84% -0.485 -0.2293
2 Heart 90 48.86% 29.37 -2.946 81.11% -0.432 -0.2901
2 Opposite Shores 1299 36.12% 33.83 -1.515 83.99% -0.431 -0.3408
2 Thematic 515 40.94% 36.52 -0.225 79.61% -0.464 -0.5059
2 Top to Top 178 38.42% 36.65 -0.352 84.27% -0.198 -0.2285
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 28.0 -3.476 66.67% -0.504 0.5778
3 Coastline 37 40.54% 43.95 3.104 81.08% 0.603 0.4045
3 Other 171 31.76% 36.76 -0.234 85.38% -0.263 -0.089
3 Round (Default) 3335 43.31% 36.18 -0.412 81.08% -0.039 -0.1129
3 Sunrise 14 38.46% 22.93 -4.642 100.0% 0.582 0.3056
3 Thematic 161 48.1% 36.8 -0.003 73.91% -0.248 -0.6499
4 Archipelago 4 50.0% 39.0 0.594 75.0% -0.388 0.1201
4 Coastline 18 16.67% 37.22 0.401 72.22% -0.21 -0.1598
4 Leaf 15 46.67% 41.4 1.647 93.33% 0.571 0.5423
4 Other 136 38.24% 35.89 -0.254 87.5% 0.4 0.286
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 -4.68 100.0% 0.089 0.1426
4 Thematic 522 33.4% 41.73 1.497 79.31% 0.117 -0.9675
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2400 33.1% 35.93 -0.336 83.5% 0.084 -0.0027
5 Archipelago 9 66.67% 59.22 9.217 88.89% -0.033 0.844
5 Other 57 32.14% 37.49 0.904 92.98% 0.92 0.3166
5 Thematic 12 16.67% 41.17 2.965 100.0% 1.001 -1.7611
6 Other 1 0.0% 40.0 1.015 100.0% 0.046 -0.1162

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 909 37.78 -1.118 66.34% -1.577 0.4962
Aid From Lesser Spirits 851 38.12 -0.894 66.27% -1.638 0.2802
All Things Weaken 962 37.06 -1.395 65.49% -1.651 0.5195
Back Against the Wall 806 37.22 -1.101 66.5% -1.63 0.4612
Disintegrating Ecosystem 884 35.56 -2.204 65.38% -1.675 0.5497
Downward Spiral 1008 37.25 -1.322 71.33% -1.407 0.6164
Erosion of Will 908 37.19 -1.509 63.22% -1.747 0.462
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 460 40.58 0.652 88.91% -0.242 0.4441
Memory Fades to Dust 1054 36.98 -1.267 70.59% -1.415 0.8036
Power Corrodes the Spirit 933 36.41 -1.556 68.27% -1.561 0.4626
Promising Farmlands 869 37.87 -1.182 69.28% -1.461 0.7533
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 329 40.65 0.933 91.49% 0.036 0.4455
Thriving Communities 966 37.36 -1.181 69.46% -1.415 0.6801
Tipping Point 1 2.0 -16.269 0.0% -0.902 1.3245
Unnatural Proliferation 1074 36.91 -1.417 64.9% -1.736 0.3506
Untended Land Crumbles 982 36.21 -1.74 67.31% -1.589 0.5169

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 4938 34.37% 36.62 -0.617 85.44% 0.105 -0.6556
B 5292 33.59% 38.14 0.026 85.54% 0.197 -0.6599
C 5801 34.49% 38.53 0.145 85.64% 0.228 -0.8604
D 4202 34.47% 36.76 -0.432 85.17% 0.093 -0.7574
E 4766 34.71% 39.01 0.399 85.82% 0.291 -0.6743
F 4003 33.66% 37.59 -0.133 86.04% 0.203 -0.7108
G 3578 33.52% 38.39 0.229 85.63% 0.229 -0.6761
H 3537 34.53% 37.48 -0.148 85.61% 0.194 -0.72
East 387 30.83% 41.09 1.891 80.88% -0.391 -1.0407
Northeast 321 38.13% 38.8 0.927 80.06% -0.319 -0.9181
Northwest 284 41.13% 40.3 1.505 80.63% -0.148 -0.8181
Southeast 287 36.36% 39.01 1.019 83.62% 0.008 -0.6976
Southwest 363 31.65% 35.75 -0.97 77.13% -0.438 -0.7106
West 387 39.53% 41.61 1.556 77.78% -0.209 -0.6078

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 235 0.0% 24.1 -5.167 91.49% -1.493 0.5637
Not Using Events or Tokens 19 73.33% 20.26 -5.9 78.95% -0.487 -0.2714
Skip Initial Invader Actions 967 13.01% 42.89 1.66 94.11% 0.222 -0.4645
Start of Game Growth 1577 14.3% 43.3 2.294 93.53% 0.599 0.1293
Unlimited Undo 3962 28.47% 40.72 1.145 90.64% 0.477 0.0569
Using Tokens but Not Events 3641 16.57% 31.92 -2.55 93.0% 0.041 -0.0113

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 1306 31.58% 35.61 -0.543 84.46% 0.06 0.1746
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 722 44.99% 34.76 -0.846 82.27% -0.07 0.1359
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 888 37.26% 34.42 -1.104 81.76% -0.291 -0.3968
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1313 30.07% 38.22 0.689 87.97% 0.362 -0.0307
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 788 35.62% 35.64 -0.478 84.26% 0.123 -0.1677
Fractured Days Split the Sky 577 36.24% 39.12 0.804 83.02% 0.018 0.372
Heart of the Wildfire 628 58.56% 34.42 -1.303 74.52% -0.132 0.1962
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1900 35.76% 38.18 0.3 83.37% 0.189 -0.1408
Lightning's Swift Strike 1117 40.34% 35.02 -0.728 83.44% 0.052 0.2885
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1803 41.15% 38.36 0.537 82.81% 0.264 -0.0235
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1426 40.52% 38.82 0.458 81.0% 0.037 -0.1774
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 794 38.55% 34.48 -0.855 84.38% 0.107 0.1312
River Surges in Sunlight 1072 42.44% 37.92 0.468 81.81% 0.139 0.2693
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1090 37.05% 39.59 0.827 81.65% 0.027 0.1417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 669 45.85% 33.4 -1.312 81.76% -0.049 0.3681
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4549 32.73% 36.54 -0.322 84.74% 0.094 -0.0035
Shifting Memory of Ages 82 36.59% 37.45 0.14 84.15% -0.039 0.0515
Shroud of Silent Mist 299 44.71% 34.34 -1.029 80.6% -0.06 -0.0309
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1718 39.07% 35.8 -0.856 81.26% -0.048 -0.0964
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 752 37.8% 36.17 -0.236 82.45% 0.041 0.2154
Thunderspeaker 1079 33.71% 36.52 -0.437 82.02% -0.12 -0.0877
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 952 57.81% 33.18 -1.705 77.42% -0.096 -0.1144
Vital Strength of the Earth 625 39.9% 30.58 -2.596 76.32% -0.558 0.2956
Volcano Looming High 472 44.56% 32.96 -1.89 77.97% -0.375 -0.3937

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.54%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.89%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.18%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.71%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.5%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1249 22.35 7.37%
II 5550 30.84 46.47%
III 14356 34.35 90.02%
IV 16991 37.52 99.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 92
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12701
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2471
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16901
Lose: Invader deck ran out 71
Lose: Adversary condition 2265
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 264
Win: Scenario condition 313
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2881
Lose: Spirit destroyed 126

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.883 Win Model: -0.249

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.252 Win Model: -0.282
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 21501 30.38% 39.3 87.28%
2 9793 39.82% 35.88 83.28%
3 3728 43.06% 36.28 81.06%
4 3124 33.19% 36.96 83.07%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-01 02:56:45 (Pacific Time)