Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 18.31% 24.06 61.97% -0.723 -0.7762 0.098
Blitz 0 679 29.19% 31.85 69.81% -0.45 -0.1589 -0.098
Dahan Insurrection 4 479 21.92% 47.63 63.26% -0.689 -0.8708 -0.195
Despicable Theft 2 195 26.67% 28.2 60.0% -0.879 0.0513 -1.171
Elemental Invocation 1 286 39.16% 28.26 63.64% -0.857 0.0918 -0.748
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2406 12.58% 44.34 79.72% -0.079 -0.7316 0.52
Powers Long Forgotten 1 305 45.9% 29.35 61.31% -0.578 0.3865 0.053
Rituals of Terror 3 447 24.55% 78.85 71.81% 0.781 0.9242 0.666
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 136 45.59% 36.26 63.97% -0.966 0.1903 -1.351
Second Wave 0 3322 30.25% 31.28 83.2% 0.272 0.3259 0.458
The Great River 3 173 31.21% 26.0 39.31% -1.813 -0.398 -0.866
Varied Terrains 2 119 32.77% 28.24 60.5% -0.204 0.6569 -0.033
Ward the Shores 2 323 36.45% 31.8 61.3% -1.028 -0.0793 -0.915

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 37819 29.58% 36.29 80.81% 0.499 0.6992 0.615
1 Thematic 1865 29.19% 35.22 73.51% -0.064 0.3834 0.678
2 Archipelago 58 36.21% 37.93 82.76% 0.249 0.8732 0.097
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13396 39.65% 33.11 75.52% 0.256 0.3785 0.031
2 Coastline 1757 34.38% 33.32 78.03% 0.567 0.4949 0.068
2 Fragment 366 43.84% 29.57 76.23% 0.25 -0.1205 0.058
2 Heart 194 47.4% 29.87 71.65% -0.761 -0.8302 -0.131
2 Opposite Shores 2606 36.24% 30.93 75.02% 0.161 0.0772 -0.17
2 Thematic 1119 41.4% 35.61 67.65% -0.473 -0.2374 0.371
2 Top to Top 461 32.53% 32.36 73.32% 0.396 0.3651 0.228
3 Archipelago 43 46.51% 34.21 72.09% -0.607 -1.8374 -0.234
3 Coastline 94 38.3% 33.15 70.21% 0.529 -0.3532 -0.233
3 Other 301 36.0% 31.55 77.08% 0.152 -0.2956 0.343
3 Round (Default) 7430 41.07% 32.95 75.07% 0.139 -0.0723 -0.18
3 Sunrise 59 13.79% 15.86 50.85% -0.373 -0.1338 0.0
3 Thematic 520 28.43% 63.19 69.04% 1.217 0.9659 0.431
4 Archipelago 57 38.6% 37.81 75.44% 0.0 0.1178 -0.376
4 Coastline 94 11.7% 27.29 85.11% 0.303 -0.3228 0.853
4 Leaf 48 50.0% 34.02 85.42% 0.329 0.5267 -0.795
4 Other 271 32.22% 32.77 87.08% 0.664 0.2834 0.35
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.254 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1232 0.0
4 Thematic 741 35.33% 38.49 76.65% 0.073 0.2704 0.023
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4354 34.28% 33.92 78.62% 0.012 0.3271 -0.249
5 Archipelago 35 44.12% 34.74 71.43% -1.354 -0.6777 -0.901
5 Coastline 31 3.23% 33.71 87.1% 0.585 0.1224 0.034
5 Other 443 30.16% 27.86 75.4% -0.049 -0.4465 -0.683
5 Thematic 58 17.24% 23.81 60.34% -1.319 -1.5974 -0.32
6 Archipelago 36 22.22% 32.36 75.0% 0.0 -0.8933 -0.499
6 Coastline 10 20.0% 44.7 80.0% 0.636 0.051 -0.583
6 Other 238 23.95% 35.01 74.79% 0.03 0.629 0.061
6 Star 81 29.63% 36.17 69.14% 0.014 0.016 0.02
6 Thematic 294 32.07% 28.83 66.67% -0.82 -0.6728 0.498
6 Two Centers (Default) 642 21.66% 30.47 71.96% -0.447 -0.6177 -0.851
7 Archipelago 14 21.43% 46.07 64.29% -0.585 0.5448 0.298
7 Other 16 31.25% 22.75 50.0% -0.049 -1.5083 0.211

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1631 37.6 64.93% 0.648 0.8093 -0.121
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1506 37.6 65.6% -0.098 -0.1271 0.052
All Things Weaken 1828 34.95 61.05% 0.082 0.3885 -0.311
Attenuated Essence 157 35.17 57.32% 0.641 0.7592 -0.375
Back Against the Wall 1463 36.96 63.77% 0.17 0.2371 -0.16
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 165 33.71 61.21% 0.725 0.9104 -0.19
Burn Brightest Before the End 173 33.65 59.54% 0.173 0.3803 -0.547
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1644 34.21 62.17% -0.287 0.1144 -0.308
Downward Spiral 1889 35.51 68.45% 0.503 0.6348 -0.047
Erosion of Will 1672 36.98 63.82% 0.214 0.5212 -0.214
Intensifying Exploitation 179 35.28 58.66% 0.239 0.4826 -0.115
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 870 39.41 85.17% 0.425 -0.0641 0.845
Memory Fades to Dust 1881 36.11 68.31% 0.514 0.7649 -0.157
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1737 35.08 66.09% 0.313 0.5701 -0.178
Promising Farmlands 1595 35.92 65.58% -0.219 0.1144 -0.12
Shattered Fragments of Power 148 36.22 64.19% 0.082 0.283 0.348
Slow Dissolution of Will 189 32.16 51.85% 0.063 0.4343 -0.608
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 609 39.4 88.34% 1.214 0.5981 0.813
The Border of Life and Death 60 36.1 71.67% -0.046 -0.5282 0.132
Thriving Communities 1807 35.53 65.97% 0.217 0.5694 -0.093
Thriving Crops 93 35.18 65.59% 0.219 0.1873 -0.028
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1937 36.69 64.38% 0.176 0.2981 -0.188
Untended Land Crumbles 1844 34.17 64.15% 0.172 0.575 -0.188

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17354 34.96% 33.24 76.89% -0.029 0.8341 0.167
B 18556 34.54% 33.67 76.84% -0.08 0.7459 0.123
C 19231 34.67% 34.49 77.81% -0.195 0.5015 0.331
D 15829 34.24% 33.0 77.04% -0.035 0.7774 0.191
E 16650 35.42% 34.66 77.3% 0.16 0.8525 0.255
F 14511 34.87% 33.61 77.59% -0.167 0.6296 0.254
G 12872 34.55% 33.73 77.91% -0.02 0.816 0.335
H 12741 34.72% 34.02 78.06% -0.191 0.5978 0.245
East 3191 32.43% 40.52 70.92% -0.082 0.7669 -0.046
Northeast 1808 31.68% 44.62 70.96% 0.076 0.8612 -0.509
Northwest 1393 36.17% 34.86 69.63% -0.086 0.7558 -0.96
Southeast 1389 34.56% 33.61 68.97% -0.522 0.3138 -0.208
Southwest 1470 35.23% 32.16 67.28% -0.766 0.5299 -1.081
West 3146 34.47% 38.82 69.2% -0.006 0.9889 -0.611

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 545 0.0% 20.91 75.23% 0.218 1.0045 -1.53
Not Using Events or Tokens 54 68.89% 18.96 68.52% -0.716 -0.3154 -0.323
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1857 12.32% 40.79 88.48% 0.748 0.1057 0.898
Start of Game Growth 2924 14.54% 40.21 86.8% 0.276 -0.2587 0.168
Unlimited Undo 7745 26.42% 36.5 83.24% 0.055 0.1033 0.387
Using Tokens but Not Events 7311 16.83% 29.27 84.71% 0.291 0.2583 -0.101

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2896 30.71% 32.62 77.24% -0.065 -0.2104 0.075
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 13 30.77% 36.15 92.31% 1.262 0.5108 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1351 43.66% 30.96 74.98% -0.119 0.0976 -0.096
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 139 25.9% 28.35 61.87% 0.957 0.1632 0.45
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1719 34.1% 32.24 79.46% 0.432 0.2794 -0.394
Downpour Drenches the World 684 27.75% 30.99 64.77% -0.129 0.1681 -0.06
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 717 30.11% 28.45 64.3% 0.484 0.0337 -0.223
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2635 28.57% 34.71 82.81% 0.669 0.2995 0.155
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1583 33.21% 32.26 79.22% -0.224 -0.6694 0.248
Finder of Paths Unseen 418 33.33% 30.71 64.35% -0.54 0.1099 0.372
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1290 30.05% 35.64 76.28% -0.133 0.4621 0.458
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1135 38.01% 30.13 70.75% 0.058 0.0234 0.02
Heart of the Wildfire 1202 53.81% 30.38 68.89% -0.45 -0.165 -0.137
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3578 36.05% 36.76 78.95% 0.434 0.1264 0.528
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 110 34.55% 29.99 58.18% -1.013 -1.3696 0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike 1185 38.21% 30.03 79.92% 0.358 0.6929 -0.312
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 208 42.31% 32.55 60.1% 0.241 -0.2358 -0.547
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 559 39.64% 34.45 76.92% 0.072 -0.2385 0.601
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 580 37.33% 36.77 77.59% 0.23 0.1286 0.952
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4703 39.49% 33.34 73.36% -0.328 -0.6233 -0.244
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2838 36.89% 35.14 75.55% -0.179 -0.2211 0.163
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1581 37.12% 31.04 78.24% 0.065 -0.0802 0.007
River Surges in Sunlight 1500 38.86% 36.66 80.6% 0.162 0.2771 0.564
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 4 25.0% 38.0 100.0% 0.461 0.2973 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 602 35.13% 28.48 70.76% -1.147 -0.6826 -0.546
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 365 37.85% 33.39 66.85% 0.476 0.4142 -0.297
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2103 34.71% 35.74 76.56% 0.314 0.0927 -0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 511 47.33% 29.99 75.93% 1.397 1.9749 -0.039
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 85 33.33% 27.07 55.29% -1.014 -0.7963 0.151
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 88 44.83% 32.61 69.32% -0.028 -0.6062 -0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 32.63% 28.43 64.21% -0.287 0.0444 0.446
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 380 38.03% 29.06 79.21% 0.199 0.2064 -0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 308 42.3% 31.86 76.95% -0.675 -0.4326 0.669
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8160 32.4% 34.23 80.53% 0.35 0.2298 0.034
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1146 27.37% 27.28 60.03% 0.231 0.0832 -0.705
Shifting Memory of Ages 986 40.84% 28.81 64.1% -0.258 0.0925 -0.822
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 18 44.44% 25.5 50.0% -0.061 -0.4051 0.014
Shroud of Silent Mist 1086 40.43% 28.89 72.1% -0.293 0.0592 -0.171
Starlight Seeks its Form 1248 34.06% 34.16 71.07% 0.523 0.3435 0.339
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3286 35.33% 39.59 76.29% 0.034 -0.6778 0.438
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1384 34.69% 32.89 76.81% 0.042 0.2552 0.487
Thunderspeaker 2149 31.85% 33.63 78.46% -0.324 -0.326 0.341
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 142 30.5% 22.2 52.11% -0.295 -0.1075 -0.477
Towering Roots of the Jungle 41 29.27% 20.05 58.54% 0.097 0.0784 -0.472
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1806 54.91% 31.08 71.93% -0.635 -0.5681 -0.251
Vital Strength of the Earth 836 34.78% 28.04 75.12% 0.084 0.5981 -0.377
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 179 31.28% 31.18 67.6% -0.622 -0.0483 0.191
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 362 39.83% 28.56 71.27% -1.085 -0.3474 -0.285
Volcano Looming High 1506 42.07% 29.03 71.12% 0.509 0.6786 0.03
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 213 34.8% 28.68 66.67% -0.114 -0.4246 -0.421

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.72%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.62%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.66%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.89%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.68%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7437 15.83 2.3%
II 11190 30.49 42.15%
III 26423 34.78 89.63%
IV 30556 38.41 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23337
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4527
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30184
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5909
Lose: Invader deck ran out 127
Lose: Adversary condition 4393
Win: Sacrifice victory 306
Lose: Scenario condition 457
Win: Scenario condition 501
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5429
Lose: Spirit destroyed 265

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.915 Win Model: -0.098

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.1 Win Model: 0.121
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 39897 29.55% 36.19 80.32%
2 20117 38.63% 33.77 75.38%
3 8228 40.85% 32.76 74.59%
4 5620 33.63% 34.23 79.07%
5 440 26.81% 25.57 70.23%
6 1304 25.1% 31.75 71.09%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-29 05:26:49 (Pacific Time)