Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 57 17.54% 27.16 71.93% 0.084 -0.074 0.163
Blitz 0 580 31.08% 33.64 73.45% -0.006 0.1744 -0.324
Dahan Insurrection 4 433 21.71% 48.73 64.9% -0.307 -0.673 -0.287
Despicable Theft 2 158 28.48% 31.68 67.72% -1.271 -0.5801 -1.121
Elemental Invocation 1 244 40.16% 30.85 69.67% -0.828 0.0452 -0.533
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2211 12.79% 45.5 81.37% -0.052 -0.7787 0.457
Powers Long Forgotten 1 259 50.58% 31.99 66.8% -0.991 -0.1724 0.082
Rituals of Terror 3 341 28.99% 76.28 74.19% 1.198 1.3835 0.631
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 117 47.86% 39.91 70.94% 0.381 1.4693 -1.271
Second Wave 0 2962 30.82% 31.97 84.71% 0.345 0.4502 0.466
The Great River 3 145 35.86% 29.88 45.52% -1.418 -0.1895 -0.49
Varied Terrains 2 87 34.48% 30.48 63.22% -1.1 -0.292 0.162
Ward the Shores 2 277 37.82% 33.17 65.7% -1.06 -0.1284 -1.029

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 33961 29.94% 37.4 83.23% 0.113 0.1336 0.463
1 Thematic 1691 30.66% 36.78 76.82% -0.368 0.1494 0.513
2 Archipelago 52 34.62% 39.21 86.54% 0.472 0.3137 -0.025
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 11804 40.5% 34.18 77.85% -0.068 -0.1333 -0.056
2 Coastline 1543 35.29% 34.89 82.18% 0.404 0.0933 0.092
2 Fragment 322 45.79% 30.46 77.95% 0.349 -0.1514 -0.053
2 Heart 179 45.2% 31.22 73.74% -0.289 -0.564 -0.254
2 Opposite Shores 2314 36.16% 31.93 77.79% -0.481 -0.5615 -0.231
2 Thematic 988 41.93% 36.77 70.04% -0.273 0.1571 0.176
2 Top to Top 378 34.67% 34.55 78.57% 0.092 -0.0956 -0.005
3 Archipelago 32 50.0% 36.03 78.13% 0.378 -0.2868 -0.024
3 Coastline 79 40.51% 36.52 74.68% -0.023 -0.6161 -0.247
3 Other 279 36.33% 32.36 78.85% -0.354 -0.4489 -0.039
3 Round (Default) 6340 41.38% 34.22 77.63% 0.047 -0.1614 -0.195
3 Sunrise 25 33.33% 27.84 92.0% 0.546 -0.5946 -0.073
3 Thematic 394 32.23% 60.24 72.34% 0.039 0.2336 0.297
4 Archipelago 44 36.36% 42.43 84.09% -0.482 -1.7086 0.545
4 Coastline 78 11.54% 27.38 83.33% -0.737 -0.5946 0.291
4 Leaf 41 53.66% 34.22 87.8% 0.316 -0.3907 -0.686
4 Other 237 30.08% 32.62 88.19% 0.65 -0.5184 0.196
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1251 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 707 34.9% 39.02 77.79% -0.374 -0.5716 -0.079
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3873 33.63% 34.77 80.97% 0.318 0.1437 -0.323
5 Archipelago 27 40.74% 40.74 92.59% 0.838 0.4704 -0.209
5 Coastline 25 4.0% 34.52 84.0% 0.25 -0.0612 -0.039
5 Other 338 32.02% 29.76 80.47% 0.372 -0.5174 -0.473
5 Thematic 45 15.56% 28.0 73.33% -1.426 -1.6426 0.236
6 Archipelago 30 26.67% 35.8 83.33% 0.0 -0.363 -0.644
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 68.8 100.0% 0.0 -0.0057 0.249
6 Other 174 25.86% 36.3 75.86% -0.363 -0.8176 -0.194
6 Star 75 28.0% 36.96 73.33% 0.632 0.6398 0.184
6 Thematic 238 34.04% 30.66 71.43% -0.886 -0.3562 0.416
6 Two Centers (Default) 461 21.49% 31.45 76.79% -0.391 -0.5372 -0.534
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 53.75 75.0% -0.216 0.1466 0.093
7 Other 11 36.36% 23.0 54.55% 0.41 -0.5076 -0.133

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1496 37.64 64.71% -0.172 -0.0197 -0.272
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1407 38.0 66.45% 0.231 0.1774 -0.041
All Things Weaken 1665 35.43 62.22% -0.254 0.0839 -0.449
Attenuated Essence 79 35.3 63.29% 0.6 0.6137 -0.261
Back Against the Wall 1350 37.2 64.07% 0.913 0.9938 -0.285
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 89 33.82 59.55% 0.448 0.6109 -0.291
Burn Brightest Before the End 94 33.77 55.32% 0.292 0.4508 -0.668
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1525 34.67 63.08% 0.213 0.5909 -0.441
Downward Spiral 1708 36.32 69.32% 0.509 0.6554 -0.148
Erosion of Will 1544 37.21 64.12% 0.682 0.9637 -0.363
Intensifying Exploitation 98 35.06 55.1% 0.531 0.7616 -0.233
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 801 39.61 86.14% -0.301 -0.8373 0.785
Memory Fades to Dust 1731 36.53 68.86% -0.073 0.2422 -0.333
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1559 35.51 66.71% 0.69 0.8684 -0.281
Promising Farmlands 1432 36.9 67.32% 0.368 0.7256 -0.207
Shattered Fragments of Power 79 40.03 64.56% 0.349 0.5412 0.289
Slow Dissolution of Will 99 29.67 48.48% 0.225 0.6831 -0.909
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 562 39.56 88.97% 0.777 0.063 0.581
The Border of Life and Death 29 42.24 82.76% 0.781 0.3736 0.385
Thriving Communities 1668 36.05 66.55% 0.485 0.7749 -0.196
Thriving Crops 51 32.18 58.82% 0.235 0.154 -0.288
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.403 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1737 37.03 65.23% 0.173 0.3418 -0.321
Untended Land Crumbles 1677 34.62 64.82% 0.168 0.4448 -0.332

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 14995 35.25% 34.5 79.92% -0.249 0.6612 0.205
B 16184 34.87% 34.82 79.54% -0.404 0.4199 0.141
C 16833 35.01% 35.74 80.5% -0.368 0.2717 0.354
D 13735 34.71% 34.15 79.85% -0.352 0.5131 0.227
E 14515 35.88% 35.89 80.12% -0.053 0.6033 0.299
F 12672 35.25% 34.85 80.31% -0.332 0.4631 0.275
G 11299 35.21% 34.85 80.47% -0.151 0.5896 0.371
H 11261 35.16% 35.11 80.55% 0.203 0.9318 0.302
East 2769 33.76% 40.93 74.29% 0.45 1.1243 0.131
Northeast 1534 33.29% 44.2 74.38% -0.928 -0.2564 -0.706
Northwest 1224 36.98% 36.67 73.45% -1.032 -0.1151 -1.006
Southeast 1209 35.71% 35.21 72.37% -0.715 0.1384 -0.037
Southwest 1295 36.03% 33.49 70.35% -0.673 0.4053 -1.106
West 2753 35.83% 39.03 72.1% -0.391 0.5284 -0.664

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 429 0.0% 22.13 83.68% -1.018 -0.3642 -0.405
Not Using Events or Tokens 41 60.0% 21.32 78.05% 0.739 1.2082 -0.353
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1650 12.05% 41.28 91.27% 0.996 0.3178 0.943
Start of Game Growth 2618 14.12% 40.77 88.96% -0.013 -0.4223 0.456
Unlimited Undo 7061 26.88% 37.57 85.85% 0.046 0.0965 0.415
Using Tokens but Not Events 6338 16.37% 30.31 88.02% 0.132 0.0476 -0.078

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2490 100.0% 33.85 100.0% 0.279 0.1479 0.156
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1231 102.36% 32.05 100.73% -0.724 -0.4834 -0.059
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 34 14.71% 37.59 73.53% 0.762 -0.1907 -0.186
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1526 100.0% 32.76 100.0% 0.49 0.3171 -0.52
Downpour Drenches the World 495 100.0% 33.1 100.0% -0.226 0.1007 -0.024
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 502 100.0% 29.19 100.0% 0.26 -0.2731 -0.252
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2368 100.0% 35.71 100.0% 0.183 -0.2924 0.112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1417 100.0% 33.47 100.0% 0.165 -0.2681 0.245
Finder of Paths Unseen 304 100.0% 34.43 100.0% -0.884 -0.0589 0.577
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1082 100.0% 37.29 100.0% 0.35 0.9091 0.585
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 891 100.0% 31.78 100.0% 0.158 0.1701 0.188
Heart of the Wildfire 1080 100.0% 31.86 100.0% -0.073 0.2749 -0.133
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3238 100.62% 37.2 100.19% -0.122 -0.5912 0.383
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 22 9.09% 36.82 72.73% 0.125 -0.4068 0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 1077 163.23% 31.03 124.79% 0.427 0.6114 -0.375
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 141 43.97% 30.78 59.57% -0.469 -0.9858 -0.863
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 489 40.0% 35.6 78.94% -0.12 -0.4187 0.512
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 507 37.18% 37.13 78.9% 0.625 0.4584 0.875
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4077 100.0% 34.55 100.0% -0.373 -0.5896 -0.205
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2480 100.0% 36.54 100.0% -0.271 -0.2442 0.171
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1390 100.0% 32.34 100.0% -0.203 -0.407 -0.073
River Surges in Sunlight 1379 133.12% 37.39 113.42% 0.388 0.4443 0.515
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 515 36.61% 30.67 76.31% -0.835 -0.4971 -0.417
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 212 33.97% 34.07 70.28% 0.284 0.2109 -0.364
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1876 100.0% 36.69 100.0% -0.134 -0.3074 -0.241
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 462 195.74% 30.63 137.01% -0.437 0.1726 -0.072
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 45.28% 31.67 62.96% -0.898 -0.8211 -0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 13 15.38% 34.69 84.62% 0.595 0.0016 -0.024
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 66 31.82% 30.38 66.67% 0.073 0.0474 0.549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 342 38.76% 29.88 80.41% -0.489 -0.5111 -0.262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 276 42.12% 32.62 78.26% 0.774 0.96 0.604
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7505 106.05% 35.14 103.24% -0.175 -0.0942 -0.008
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 614 26.06% 26.15 60.42% -0.019 -0.2862 -1.118
Shifting Memory of Ages 767 100.0% 30.35 100.0% 0.038 0.2827 -0.724
Shroud of Silent Mist 895 100.0% 30.76 100.0% -0.569 -0.0979 0.088
Starlight Seeks its Form 960 100.0% 35.85 100.0% 0.278 0.0906 0.224
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2869 100.0% 39.49 100.0% 0.586 0.2719 0.339
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1224 100.0% 34.17 100.0% -0.732 -0.5732 0.522
Thunderspeaker 1943 102.83% 34.56 101.9% -0.331 -0.2763 0.197
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 33.73% 23.47 55.42% -0.403 -0.1986 0.146
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1609 100.0% 32.08 100.0% -0.097 0.1325 -0.326
Vital Strength of the Earth 764 134.29% 28.64 115.18% 0.468 1.0027 -0.549
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 121 33.06% 35.5 73.55% 0.332 0.676 0.539
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 323 43.13% 29.92 73.99% -0.119 0.6036 -0.323
Volcano Looming High 1276 100.0% 30.11 100.0% -0.192 -0.1378 -0.07
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 22 100.0% 31.32 100.0% 1.219 0.6142 -0.41

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.58%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.56%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.2%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.81%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.58%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4918 18.09 3.03%
II 9895 30.76 43.48%
III 24102 34.74 89.83%
IV 27933 38.15 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 21328
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4134
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 27641
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3192
Lose: Invader deck ran out 117
Lose: Adversary condition 4015
Win: Sacrifice victory 232
Lose: Scenario condition 435
Win: Scenario condition 463
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4911
Lose: Spirit destroyed 231

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.849 Win Model: -0.116

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.213 Win Model: 0.008
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 35808 30.0% 37.35 82.83%
2 17694 39.39% 34.68 77.95%
3 7012 41.38% 34.06 77.34%
4 5030 32.97% 35.1 81.17%
5 317 28.62% 27.67 77.29%
6 987 26.15% 33.24 75.28%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-22 03:31:24 (Pacific Time)