Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 69 18.84% 24.75 63.77% -0.889 -0.9481 0.083
Blitz 0 674 29.4% 32.06 70.18% -0.414 -0.1473 -0.109
Dahan Insurrection 4 474 21.94% 47.83 63.29% -0.794 -1.0481 -0.204
Despicable Theft 2 193 26.94% 28.49 60.62% -0.857 0.1351 -1.195
Elemental Invocation 1 281 39.5% 28.41 64.06% -1.236 -0.285 -0.763
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2388 12.68% 44.55 79.94% 0.173 -0.5262 0.512
Powers Long Forgotten 1 304 46.05% 29.35 61.18% -0.834 0.1284 0.059
Rituals of Terror 3 427 25.47% 79.32 72.37% 1.5 1.5276 0.666
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 134 46.27% 36.81 64.93% -0.591 0.4663 -1.309
Second Wave 0 3303 30.28% 31.35 83.35% 0.375 0.4871 0.453
The Great River 3 171 31.58% 26.3 39.77% -1.821 -0.4705 -0.894
Varied Terrains 2 116 33.62% 28.24 60.34% -0.216 0.6446 -0.039
Ward the Shores 2 321 36.68% 31.99 61.68% -0.758 0.1665 -0.919

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 37583 29.59% 36.35 80.94% 0.543 0.6663 0.594
1 Thematic 1859 29.28% 35.26 73.53% -0.158 0.2771 0.648
2 Archipelago 58 36.21% 37.93 82.76% 0.218 0.7083 0.089
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13276 39.76% 33.22 75.77% 0.293 0.3414 0.028
2 Coastline 1748 34.39% 33.32 78.03% 0.312 0.1673 0.058
2 Fragment 361 43.89% 29.61 76.18% -0.147 -0.3812 0.049
2 Heart 193 47.12% 29.76 71.5% -0.827 -1.043 -0.148
2 Opposite Shores 2591 36.22% 30.98 75.11% 0.355 0.1941 -0.178
2 Thematic 1105 41.83% 35.98 68.42% 0.008 0.2027 0.395
2 Top to Top 461 32.53% 32.36 73.32% 0.232 0.1131 0.216
3 Archipelago 40 50.0% 35.02 75.0% -0.215 -1.6673 -0.234
3 Coastline 93 37.63% 33.31 70.97% 0.773 -0.0041 -0.163
3 Other 299 35.57% 31.78 77.59% 1.019 0.757 0.334
3 Round (Default) 7372 41.11% 32.96 75.01% 0.038 -0.2048 -0.184
3 Sunrise 59 13.79% 15.86 50.85% 0.014 0.1373 -0.007
3 Thematic 495 29.27% 63.52 69.29% 0.798 0.5199 0.47
4 Archipelago 57 38.6% 37.81 75.44% 0.0 -0.0961 -0.378
4 Coastline 93 11.83% 27.29 84.95% 0.332 -0.2578 0.857
4 Leaf 46 52.17% 34.5 84.78% 0.0 0.4152 -0.799
4 Other 271 32.22% 32.77 87.08% 0.497 0.093 0.348
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2405 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1386 0.0
4 Thematic 737 34.97% 38.48 76.66% -0.405 -0.1904 0.017
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4331 34.32% 34.02 78.85% 0.252 0.5914 -0.239
5 Archipelago 34 44.12% 35.76 73.53% -1.278 -1.293 -0.902
5 Coastline 31 3.23% 33.71 87.1% 0.588 0.5122 0.036
5 Other 436 30.42% 28.0 75.92% -0.04 -0.5068 -0.767
5 Thematic 57 15.79% 24.23 61.4% -0.953 -1.1015 -0.218
6 Archipelago 36 22.22% 32.36 75.0% -0.623 -1.409 -0.497
6 Coastline 10 20.0% 44.7 80.0% 0.493 0.0846 -0.579
6 Other 236 24.15% 35.2 75.0% -0.087 0.5219 0.062
6 Star 80 28.75% 36.34 70.0% 0.097 -0.178 0.036
6 Thematic 293 32.18% 28.93 66.89% -0.735 -0.612 0.467
6 Two Centers (Default) 630 21.92% 30.67 72.22% -0.221 -0.5178 -0.854
7 Archipelago 14 21.43% 46.07 64.29% -0.609 0.2802 0.301
7 Other 16 31.25% 22.75 50.0% 0.1 -1.483 0.213

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1626 37.7 65.07% 0.864 1.0519 -0.121
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1501 37.61 65.56% -0.125 -0.1495 0.048
All Things Weaken 1820 34.96 61.1% 0.037 0.3132 -0.305
Attenuated Essence 149 34.91 56.38% 0.552 0.6763 -0.393
Back Against the Wall 1458 37.04 63.85% 0.357 0.4382 -0.164
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 160 33.98 61.88% 0.817 0.998 -0.138
Burn Brightest Before the End 166 34.29 60.24% 0.497 0.7224 -0.552
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1637 34.2 62.25% 0.174 0.5532 -0.316
Downward Spiral 1871 35.56 68.52% 0.534 0.6895 -0.027
Erosion of Will 1661 37.03 63.94% 0.266 0.5926 -0.219
Intensifying Exploitation 173 35.31 58.96% 0.368 0.6295 -0.136
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 867 39.47 85.24% 0.527 -0.0388 0.841
Memory Fades to Dust 1878 36.11 68.32% 0.579 0.8428 -0.16
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1725 35.1 66.14% 0.611 0.881 -0.181
Promising Farmlands 1589 35.96 65.76% -0.076 0.2559 -0.121
Shattered Fragments of Power 146 36.5 64.38% 0.263 0.4643 0.339
Slow Dissolution of Will 185 31.83 50.81% -0.032 0.3611 -0.642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 606 39.41 88.45% 1.612 0.9704 0.81
The Border of Life and Death 58 36.05 72.41% -0.04 -0.49 0.062
Thriving Communities 1796 35.57 65.98% 0.148 0.5009 -0.092
Thriving Crops 92 35.29 65.22% 0.192 0.2064 -0.036
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 1925 36.71 64.42% 0.281 0.4276 -0.189
Untended Land Crumbles 1833 34.23 64.16% 0.431 0.7981 -0.188

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17210 34.98% 33.31 77.05% -0.094 0.7355 0.164
B 18419 34.57% 33.74 76.97% -0.118 0.6545 0.117
C 19087 34.73% 34.58 77.92% -0.187 0.454 0.329
D 15697 34.31% 33.07 77.15% -0.083 0.7089 0.192
E 16520 35.54% 34.75 77.45% 0.008 0.6521 0.248
F 14421 34.9% 33.71 77.82% -0.02 0.7173 0.256
G 12777 34.59% 33.79 78.03% -0.068 0.7363 0.334
H 12651 34.74% 34.13 78.25% -0.197 0.5383 0.248
East 3148 32.59% 40.53 71.19% 0.06 0.9237 -0.041
Northeast 1779 31.86% 44.5 71.22% 0.203 0.9236 -0.513
Northwest 1377 36.38% 35.05 70.08% -0.033 0.7497 -0.972
Southeast 1376 34.6% 33.77 69.19% -0.611 0.061 -0.216
Southwest 1457 35.13% 32.28 67.47% -0.871 0.4077 -1.082
West 3101 34.68% 38.84 69.53% -0.192 0.7211 -0.558

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 543 0.0% 20.9 75.32% 0.381 1.16 -1.547
Not Using Events or Tokens 54 68.89% 18.96 68.52% -0.745 -0.3313 -0.322
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1850 12.3% 40.82 88.59% 0.858 0.2448 0.864
Start of Game Growth 2914 14.54% 40.25 86.89% 0.525 -0.018 0.205
Unlimited Undo 7719 26.41% 36.54 83.34% -0.076 -0.0368 0.388
Using Tokens but Not Events 7259 16.82% 29.3 84.76% 0.111 0.0756 -0.091

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2881 30.55% 32.68 77.33% -0.129 -0.2792 0.083
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 10 40.0% 39.3 100.0% 1.231 0.4219 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1343 43.62% 31.05 75.2% -0.136 0.0983 -0.073
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 132 25.0% 28.39 60.61% 1.105 0.299 0.455
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1706 34.17% 32.24 79.43% 0.247 0.1332 -0.383
Downpour Drenches the World 673 28.06% 31.04 64.49% -0.16 0.144 -0.055
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 707 30.4% 28.57 64.36% 0.46 0.0305 -0.214
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2613 28.62% 34.84 83.05% 0.898 0.5224 0.159
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1569 33.38% 32.32 79.35% -0.26 -0.707 0.235
Finder of Paths Unseen 412 33.33% 30.99 65.05% -0.362 0.2798 0.41
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1281 30.19% 35.72 76.42% -0.033 0.5509 0.474
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1126 38.29% 30.19 70.87% 0.011 0.0361 0.032
Heart of the Wildfire 1196 53.74% 30.43 68.9% -0.458 -0.1792 -0.131
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3560 36.1% 36.82 79.04% 0.521 0.1795 0.539
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 102 34.31% 31.57 61.76% -0.643 -1.0014 -0.112
Lightning's Swift Strike 1174 38.23% 30.06 79.98% 0.238 0.5507 -0.355
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 206 42.72% 32.5 59.71% 0.284 -0.2468 -0.542
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 558 39.71% 34.51 77.06% 0.124 -0.2074 0.613
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 579 37.39% 36.78 77.55% 0.291 0.0793 0.96
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4665 39.49% 33.44 73.63% -0.267 -0.5653 -0.217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2825 36.87% 35.17 75.68% -0.183 -0.2339 0.151
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1566 37.15% 31.17 78.42% 0.121 0.0042 0.011
River Surges in Sunlight 1490 38.78% 36.71 80.67% -0.013 0.0995 0.616
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 2 0.0% 53.0 100.0% 0.382 0.244 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 598 35.19% 28.59 71.07% -0.662 -0.1878 -0.522
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 359 37.36% 33.53 67.41% 0.251 0.1802 -0.276
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2095 34.74% 35.73 76.56% 0.23 0.0513 -0.17
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 508 47.01% 29.96 75.79% 1.538 2.0956 -0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 81 35.0% 27.74 56.79% -0.986 -0.7793 0.153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 84 45.78% 33.92 72.62% 0.218 -0.2729 -0.41
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 93 33.33% 28.43 64.52% -0.069 0.1835 0.462
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 377 38.34% 29.15 79.31% 0.248 0.2446 -0.195
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 307 42.43% 31.9 76.87% -0.861 -0.584 0.67
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8124 32.39% 34.27 80.55% 0.211 0.1003 0.046
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1109 27.36% 27.26 60.14% 0.372 0.2402 -0.683
Shifting Memory of Ages 979 41.03% 28.93 64.35% -0.12 0.2524 -0.812
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 9 44.44% 19.22 22.22% -0.836 -1.0876 -0.305
Shroud of Silent Mist 1082 40.45% 28.94 72.18% -0.634 -0.2648 -0.149
Starlight Seeks its Form 1233 34.47% 34.32 70.97% 0.351 0.1684 0.362
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3252 35.54% 39.52 76.63% -0.031 -0.7801 0.444
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1368 34.66% 33.05 77.19% 0.134 0.3694 0.535
Thunderspeaker 2135 31.97% 33.73 78.74% -0.306 -0.2971 0.35
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 31.06% 22.73 51.88% -0.552 -0.3831 -0.282
Towering Roots of the Jungle 26 38.46% 18.19 50.0% -0.163 -0.1815 -0.855
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1797 54.96% 31.13 72.06% -0.686 -0.6031 -0.237
Vital Strength of the Earth 834 34.86% 28.08 75.18% 0.367 0.934 -0.364
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 168 31.55% 32.17 69.05% -0.503 0.0438 0.229
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 361 39.94% 28.63 71.47% -1.043 -0.3093 -0.267
Volcano Looming High 1491 42.36% 29.14 71.23% 0.181 0.3373 0.044
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 207 34.85% 29.37 68.12% 0.19 -0.1224 -0.338

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.71%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.58%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.62%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.89%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.67%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7276 15.97 2.35%
II 11100 30.51 42.23%
III 26292 34.78 89.64%
IV 30388 38.4 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 171
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 23220
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4500
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30022
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5733
Lose: Invader deck ran out 127
Lose: Adversary condition 4368
Win: Sacrifice victory 300
Lose: Scenario condition 455
Win: Scenario condition 498
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5399
Lose: Spirit destroyed 263

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.899 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.091 Win Model: 0.103
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 39651 29.56% 36.26 80.45%
2 19942 38.73% 33.83 75.61%
3 8153 40.9% 32.78 74.55%
4 5590 33.64% 34.33 79.27%
5 432 26.84% 25.72 70.83%
6 1288 25.25% 31.91 71.35%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-24 05:07:58 (Pacific Time)