Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 87 18.39% 23.22 62.07% 0.022 -0.5364 0.14
Blitz 0 740 29.08% 30.79 67.84% -0.815 -0.3919 -0.02
Dahan Insurrection 4 512 22.85% 47.25 62.7% 1.049 0.5665 -0.086
Despicable Theft 2 231 24.68% 27.27 58.44% -0.885 -0.3421 -1.117
Elemental Invocation 1 332 37.35% 27.12 61.14% -0.254 0.4833 -0.764
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2589 12.47% 43.62 78.64% 0.224 -0.4322 0.621
Powers Long Forgotten 1 366 42.9% 27.59 57.65% -0.922 -0.3594 -0.224
Rituals of Terror 3 601 20.1% 82.15 70.22% 0.862 0.7197 0.706
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 159 42.77% 34.36 61.01% -0.271 0.4777 -1.259
Second Wave 0 3730 30.37% 30.79 81.29% -0.134 -0.0392 0.519
The Great River 3 196 29.59% 24.66 38.27% -1.118 0.1271 -0.999
Varied Terrains 2 153 32.03% 26.9 58.17% -0.814 0.0539 -0.008
Ward the Shores 2 363 34.9% 30.64 58.68% -0.188 0.666 -0.913

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 41665 29.18% 35.37 78.98% -0.268 0.105 0.693
1 Thematic 2013 28.29% 34.15 71.39% -1.178 -0.4635 0.762
2 Archipelago 66 39.39% 37.12 80.3% -0.335 0.189 0.046
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 15085 38.9% 32.35 73.68% -0.046 0.1155 0.051
2 Coastline 1969 34.94% 32.76 75.22% -0.178 -0.371 0.041
2 Fragment 400 42.36% 29.03 75.5% 0.143 0.0953 0.118
2 Heart 216 45.79% 28.92 71.3% -0.162 -0.3741 -0.031
2 Opposite Shores 3064 35.28% 30.12 72.45% -0.37 -0.2379 -0.129
2 Thematic 1342 40.48% 34.96 65.35% -0.437 0.2829 0.341
2 Top to Top 531 32.58% 31.85 73.45% 0.637 0.5529 0.3
3 Archipelago 49 46.94% 33.8 71.43% 0.338 -0.2055 -0.209
3 Coastline 102 36.27% 32.36 68.63% 0.749 0.1188 0.041
3 Other 322 36.76% 31.21 77.33% 1.398 0.5217 0.454
3 Round (Default) 8516 40.56% 32.13 73.23% -0.054 -0.0776 -0.15
3 Sunrise 62 14.75% 17.16 51.61% 0.0 -0.4466 0.035
3 Thematic 683 25.48% 68.21 69.11% 1.641 1.6491 0.557
4 Archipelago 62 37.1% 35.16 70.97% -1.103 -1.255 -0.655
4 Coastline 106 12.26% 27.73 84.91% -0.415 -0.2853 0.566
4 Leaf 55 47.27% 32.35 83.64% -0.45 -0.0144 -0.855
4 Other 296 33.33% 31.6 84.12% -0.026 -0.5943 0.266
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Snake 2 50.0% 25.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 792 35.96% 37.4 74.12% -0.682 -0.6187 -0.029
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4851 34.22% 33.23 77.06% 0.221 0.2256 -0.245
5 Archipelago 36 42.86% 34.69 72.22% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.945
5 Coastline 35 2.86% 34.51 85.71% 0.583 -0.4376 0.252
5 Other 535 33.46% 27.67 75.33% 0.424 0.1 -0.69
5 Thematic 65 16.92% 24.14 60.0% -0.3 -0.4433 -0.283
6 Archipelago 49 16.33% 32.59 73.47% -0.5 -1.5386 -0.46
6 Coastline 14 14.29% 50.29 85.71% 0.365 -0.6929 -0.383
6 Other 296 22.97% 33.27 72.3% -0.163 -0.2075 0.031
6 Star 110 27.27% 31.7 61.82% 0.141 0.7733 -0.645
6 Thematic 344 33.92% 28.35 63.95% -0.179 0.0246 0.552
6 Two Centers (Default) 790 22.17% 29.81 70.25% 0.336 0.8108 -0.699
7 Archipelago 20 20.0% 40.0 55.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.43
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 20 25.0% 18.2 40.0% -0.839 -1.5149 0.247

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1766 37.22 64.38% 0.476 0.5473 -0.007
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1613 37.47 65.53% 0.514 0.4045 0.16
All Things Weaken 2000 34.52 60.4% 0.299 0.4758 -0.218
Attenuated Essence 247 33.45 58.3% 0.352 0.4043 -0.404
Back Against the Wall 1579 36.89 63.84% 0.767 0.7516 -0.048
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 267 34.52 64.04% 0.449 0.6327 0.289
Burn Brightest Before the End 248 34.34 60.48% 0.566 0.6529 -0.404
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1763 34.03 62.45% 0.093 0.3843 -0.161
Downward Spiral 2041 35.07 67.66% 0.071 0.1771 0.025
Erosion of Will 1817 36.84 63.51% 0.897 1.0633 -0.093
Intensifying Exploitation 272 34.58 59.93% 0.273 0.4614 -0.091
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 962 38.8 83.47% 0.25 -0.1781 0.699
Memory Fades to Dust 2056 35.54 67.12% 0.278 0.5126 -0.044
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1888 35.0 65.78% 0.487 0.5827 -0.056
Promising Farmlands 1732 35.62 65.36% 0.159 0.5228 -0.03
Shattered Fragments of Power 247 35.05 64.78% 0.45 0.5158 0.207
Slow Dissolution of Will 263 32.3 52.09% -0.488 -0.0252 -0.52
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 655 38.75 87.18% 0.779 0.1777 0.887
The Border of Life and Death 90 35.52 71.11% -0.935 -1.4108 0.173
Thriving Communities 1966 35.17 65.62% 0.26 0.486 0.016
Thriving Crops 132 34.38 66.67% -0.325 -0.5499 0.183
Tipping Point 1 2.0 0.0% 0.0 0.1123 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 2097 36.46 63.85% -0.165 -0.0431 -0.089
Untended Land Crumbles 2007 34.18 64.13% -0.031 0.2011 -0.048

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 19656 34.51% 32.44 74.9% -0.208 0.7107 0.111
B 20959 34.17% 32.85 74.94% -0.019 0.8219 0.139
C 21608 34.08% 33.64 75.93% -0.208 0.4747 0.323
D 17893 33.93% 32.15 75.01% -0.097 0.7455 0.136
E 18834 34.87% 33.74 75.58% -0.015 0.6369 0.246
F 16491 34.47% 32.76 75.73% -0.226 0.5334 0.227
G 14454 34.55% 32.93 76.12% -0.255 0.5031 0.309
H 14318 34.44% 33.21 76.08% -0.3 0.4185 0.267
East 3729 31.73% 41.21 68.81% 0.068 0.8817 -0.077
Northeast 2192 30.72% 46.17 68.89% -0.152 0.515 -0.753
Northwest 1642 36.5% 33.77 67.42% -0.114 0.6911 -0.846
Southeast 1566 34.57% 32.7 66.6% -0.433 0.2727 -0.382
Southwest 1640 35.32% 31.24 65.24% -0.446 0.9439 -0.94
West 3658 33.8% 39.4 67.3% -0.381 0.4127 -0.618

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 674 0.0% 21.62 75.07% 0.514 1.2327 -1.247
Not Using Events or Tokens 57 70.83% 18.75 68.42% 0.0 0.4849 -0.327
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2025 12.07% 39.84 87.11% 0.404 -0.327 1.136
Start of Game Growth 3223 14.79% 39.03 84.92% 0.366 -0.0799 -0.096
Unlimited Undo 8706 26.14% 35.27 80.43% -0.604 -0.6369 0.331
Using Tokens but Not Events 8380 16.98% 29.2 82.46% 0.501 0.3385 -0.14

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3176 30.19% 32.49 75.76% -0.048 -0.1545 0.148
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 149 37.58% 28.5 61.07% -0.023 -0.5118 -0.633
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1462 43.21% 30.39 73.87% -0.304 -0.1604 0.007
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 238 27.73% 29.01 65.13% 0.067 -0.6813 0.546
Dances Up Earthquakes 60 16.67% 20.32 48.33% 0.262 0.0855 -0.206
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1917 34.05% 31.69 77.99% -0.292 -0.4992 -0.268
Downpour Drenches the World 881 28.28% 29.47 62.09% -0.617 -0.2972 0.304
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 968 30.19% 28.58 64.98% 0.28 -0.1604 -0.107
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2940 29.24% 33.89 80.44% 0.021 -0.3222 0.058
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1751 32.45% 31.69 78.3% -0.061 -0.4155 0.32
Finder of Paths Unseen 549 32.85% 28.74 61.02% -0.695 0.0895 0.17
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1417 30.09% 34.85 74.81% 0.086 0.5338 0.495
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1386 38.16% 29.01 68.18% -0.209 -0.2324 -0.085
Heart of the Wildfire 1336 52.94% 29.73 67.74% -0.401 -0.0745 0.026
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3856 35.9% 36.5 77.88% 0.416 -0.0796 0.642
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 200 32.16% 30.78 63.5% 0.544 -0.0187 0.027
Lightning's Swift Strike 1305 39.12% 29.71 79.23% 1.053 1.251 -0.223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 277 42.24% 32.23 61.37% 0.473 0.0253 -0.359
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 606 38.54% 33.31 75.41% -0.668 -0.987 0.571
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 677 36.11% 36.66 76.96% 1.01 1.1351 0.984
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5317 39.11% 32.74 71.71% 0.008 -0.1476 -0.199
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3167 36.44% 34.28 73.82% 0.075 0.2044 0.277
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 54 35.19% 30.2 61.11% 0.007 0.1117 -0.175
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1766 36.99% 30.3 76.78% 0.432 0.3829 0.066
River Surges in Sunlight 1633 39.02% 36.08 79.42% 0.246 0.2789 0.533
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 65 30.77% 29.66 60.0% 0.049 0.2576 -0.692
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 707 35.53% 28.3 68.88% -0.29 -0.139 -0.437
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 437 38.11% 32.54 64.3% -0.827 -0.8176 -0.253
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2287 34.54% 34.94 74.77% -0.285 -0.3842 -0.176
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 11 18.18% 28.82 54.55% 0.094 -0.3974 -0.439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 553 46.15% 29.69 75.77% 0.103 0.615 0.031
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 107 36.79% 26.47 57.94% 0.394 0.351 0.172
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 152 47.3% 32.54 69.74% 0.385 -0.0635 -0.37
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 122 31.15% 29.4 66.39% 0.332 0.3902 0.494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 414 37.41% 28.45 76.09% -0.784 -0.974 -0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 334 40.48% 30.76 74.55% -0.326 -0.242 0.828
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8814 32.21% 33.38 78.97% -0.05 -0.1483 0.141
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1658 28.8% 28.03 60.98% 0.284 0.0899 -0.413
Shifting Memory of Ages 1100 39.32% 27.89 63.0% 0.065 0.4549 -0.718
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 141 31.91% 26.28 54.61% -0.313 -0.3647 -0.253
Shroud of Silent Mist 1257 40.05% 27.67 69.61% 0.111 0.5251 -0.256
Starlight Seeks its Form 1576 32.63% 32.53 68.21% -0.399 -0.4387 0.316
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3718 34.53% 40.92 74.88% 0.173 -0.3291 0.503
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1524 33.91% 31.99 75.2% 0.224 0.3068 0.569
Thunderspeaker 2365 31.52% 32.71 76.7% 0.084 0.0786 0.144
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 190 32.45% 22.05 52.63% -0.152 0.2364 -0.451
Towering Roots of the Jungle 325 34.26% 25.59 59.69% 0.021 0.2313 -0.517
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1967 54.43% 30.67 71.12% 0.127 0.2046 -0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth 928 34.67% 27.19 73.92% -0.351 0.0978 -0.332
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 248 34.68% 30.77 62.5% 0.321 0.8152 0.105
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 401 40.95% 27.94 69.33% -0.116 0.5768 -0.279
Volcano Looming High 1716 42.3% 28.59 70.16% -0.317 -0.2525 0.103
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 365 31.46% 27.7 64.66% -0.311 -0.5598 -0.546

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Dreadful Tide of Scurrying Flesh 94.82%
Boon of Swarming Bedevilment 90.7%
Ever-Multiplying Swarm 85.94%
Guide the Way on Feathered Wings 95.97%
Pursue with Scratches, Pecks, and Stings 93.86%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9935 14.25 1.92%
II 12491 30.3 41.37%
III 28826 34.84 89.59%
IV 33378 38.61 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 191
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 25456
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4964
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 32912
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8613
Lose: Invader deck ran out 142
Lose: Adversary condition 4775
Win: Sacrifice victory 397
Lose: Scenario condition 482
Win: Scenario condition 534
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5878
Lose: Spirit destroyed 286

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.255 Win Model: -0.09

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.016 Win Model: -0.038
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 43957 29.11% 35.26 78.45%
2 22908 37.86% 33.31 73.41%
3 9399 40.49% 32.08 73.02%
4 6210 33.67% 33.43 77.29%
5 546 30.09% 25.9 71.06%
6 1610 25.0% 30.68 68.45%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)