Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 10.53% 16.89 52.63% -1.153 -1.18 -0.342
Blitz 0 218 54.59% 23.71 55.05% -0.152 0.0985 -0.719
Dahan Insurrection 4 295 26.44% 47.02 64.07% -1.066 -1.3151 0.569
Despicable Theft 2 88 48.86% 25.43 51.14% -0.433 0.0285 -0.591
Elemental Invocation 1 117 50.0% 27.87 63.25% -1.59 -0.8871 -1.264
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1525 21.12% 46.83 75.61% 0.809 0.256 1.351
Powers Long Forgotten 1 158 58.86% 24.85 50.63% -0.223 0.4004 -0.911
Rituals of Terror 3 54 58.49% 32.0 61.11% -0.329 -0.1357 -0.042
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 64.0% 32.14 64.0% -0.66 0.2622 0.432
Second Wave 0 922 44.54% 27.03 70.28% 0.261 0.3781 -0.026
The Great River 3 60 46.67% 22.93 30.0% -0.416 0.6521 -0.88
Varied Terrains 2 57 54.39% 17.21 35.09% -0.764 -0.0231 -0.36
Ward the Shores 2 104 58.25% 21.65 31.73% -0.941 0.1429 -0.47

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13069 46.31% 28.86 69.53% 0.046 0.5729 0.107
1 Thematic 783 45.45% 34.89 59.51% 0.167 1.0217 -0.628
2 Archipelago 21 33.33% 40.9 80.95% 0.0 1.0549 0.685
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4095 48.75% 28.67 68.3% 0.102 0.3802 0.457
2 Coastline 642 50.78% 29.96 58.41% 0.291 0.3932 -0.592
2 Fragment 99 48.98% 26.42 76.77% 0.422 0.435 -0.339
2 Heart 82 56.1% 24.6 65.85% -0.461 -0.3495 0.139
2 Opposite Shores 862 36.33% 29.12 76.8% 0.092 0.4287 -0.156
2 Thematic 340 61.36% 29.69 53.82% -0.175 0.5148 0.01
2 Top to Top 119 57.98% 30.14 66.39% 0.85 1.092 -0.528
3 Archipelago 24 37.5% 27.21 62.5% 0.437 -0.2834 0.0
3 Coastline 17 35.29% 29.53 64.71% -0.389 -0.7292 -0.175
3 Other 75 44.0% 25.31 65.33% -0.805 -1.407 -0.496
3 Round (Default) 2212 45.79% 31.86 72.06% 0.341 0.3471 0.487
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 26.2 70.0% 0.0 -0.0616 0.0
3 Thematic 99 49.49% 28.65 57.58% 0.061 0.1458 0.686
4 Archipelago 17 58.82% 24.41 47.06% -0.191 -0.0408 0.58
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 25.0 40.0% 0.0 -0.7584 -0.057
4 Leaf 13 69.23% 29.46 84.62% 0.0 0.1371 0.0
4 Other 60 45.0% 29.28 81.67% 0.0 -0.619 -0.132
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Thematic 230 37.83% 36.15 64.78% -0.762 -0.4945 0.051
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1182 39.57% 30.18 74.2% 0.489 0.6529 0.787
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 25.75 25.0% 0.0 -0.8784 -0.375
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0963 -0.08
5 Other 118 34.21% 25.1 70.34% 0.076 -0.3102 0.042
5 Thematic 11 18.18% 28.91 81.82% 0.0 -0.7973 0.0
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 -1.1098 -0.183
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.8372 0.0
6 Other 68 22.06% 20.1 69.12% -0.023 -0.0531 -0.75
6 Star 16 62.5% 22.88 56.25% 0.0 -0.0172 0.156
6 Thematic 110 20.18% 18.8 48.18% 0.276 0.379 -0.869
6 Two Centers (Default) 180 24.72% 23.96 61.11% -0.996 -0.4308 0.588
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.0747 0.0
7 Other 6 50.0% 17.17 66.67% 0.176 -0.2586 -0.036

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 732 30.92 51.64% -0.369 -0.1194 0.218
Aid From Lesser Spirits 668 31.74 55.24% 0.244 0.1261 0.356
All Things Weaken 848 28.61 51.06% -0.452 -0.1146 0.164
Attenuated Essence 89 27.17 47.19% -0.08 -0.053 0.026
Back Against the Wall 574 30.24 52.79% 0.32 0.3207 -0.354
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 95 24.46 44.21% -0.627 -0.4097 -0.154
Burn Brightest Before the End 78 24.27 46.15% -1.107 -1.1258 -0.237
Disintegrating Ecosystem 719 27.01 48.54% -0.66 -0.2669 -0.682
Downward Spiral 835 28.53 57.72% 0.256 0.3644 0.224
Erosion of Will 749 29.59 52.87% -0.481 -0.1286 0.159
Intensifying Exploitation 103 24.58 57.28% 0.26 0.5059 -0.408
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 293 30.11 73.04% -0.187 -0.7109 -0.022
Memory Fades to Dust 846 29.25 57.8% -0.064 0.1834 0.222
Power Corrodes the Spirit 874 27.64 52.17% -0.398 -0.176 0.074
Promising Farmlands 683 28.94 51.1% -0.001 0.2822 0.033
Shattered Fragments of Power 58 24.26 34.48% 0.378 0.4552 0.117
Slow Dissolution of Will 88 23.61 51.14% -0.156 0.2408 -0.659
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 198 34.31 87.37% 1.175 0.4799 0.69
The Border of Life and Death 30 26.8 73.33% -0.756 -1.3565 0.442
Thriving Communities 835 27.51 50.18% -0.336 0.0205 0.049
Thriving Crops 41 26.76 53.66% -0.293 -0.4896 -0.789
Unnatural Proliferation 857 30.01 53.79% -0.382 -0.2202 0.523
Untended Land Crumbles 821 28.74 55.66% -0.496 -0.2641 0.392

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5343 44.76% 28.72 68.99% -0.131 0.8736 -0.333
B 5306 47.13% 28.49 68.09% 0.042 0.9619 -0.688
C 6212 43.66% 30.0 70.54% -0.304 0.4304 -0.039
D 5028 43.89% 29.04 70.27% 0.196 1.1743 0.092
E 5151 44.0% 29.75 70.12% 0.124 0.9442 0.111
F 4538 44.01% 28.68 70.01% -0.039 0.8348 -0.385
G 3973 45.43% 28.88 69.37% 0.117 0.9268 -0.183
H 3919 45.27% 29.48 71.45% 0.451 1.2662 -0.147
East 1088 44.52% 32.15 58.18% 0.186 1.0891 0.454
Northeast 664 42.9% 31.82 57.23% -0.854 -0.0455 0.291
Northwest 537 43.28% 31.68 56.61% 0.299 1.1988 0.399
Southeast 380 34.13% 28.44 60.26% 0.012 0.8624 1.171
Southwest 372 42.05% 23.43 48.39% -0.282 1.0941 -0.795
West 1013 46.34% 30.97 56.47% 0.206 1.161 -0.484

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 397 0.0% 15.3 60.45% -0.828 -0.1204 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 217 51.52% 10.14 41.47% -0.88 -0.5123 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 655 14.84% 34.3 87.94% -0.327 -0.9119 0.158
Start of Game Growth 899 18.85% 34.68 86.32% -0.316 -0.8298 1.023
Unlimited Undo 2062 44.55% 29.23 69.5% 0.551 0.442 0.125
Using Tokens but Not Events 2951 28.56% 25.27 80.99% 0.164 0.1381 0.423

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 782 38.66% 30.36 74.42% 0.305 0.1996 0.627
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 22 31.82% 31.55 68.18% 0.226 -0.2542 1.027
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 635 44.59% 27.16 67.87% -0.97 -0.8443 -0.541
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 53 33.96% 24.91 62.26% 0.22 -0.627 -0.44
Dances Up Earthquakes 11 27.27% 14.55 45.45% 0.084 0.1205 -0.059
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 562 35.6% 25.92 69.04% -0.599 -0.7362 0.355
Downpour Drenches the World 119 40.68% 24.15 57.14% -0.411 -0.2046 -0.237
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 153 39.74% 26.48 66.01% 0.714 0.1028 0.098
Eyes Watch From the Trees 742 37.12% 29.52 74.66% -0.433 -0.8082 0.125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 583 37.74% 27.61 69.98% -0.152 -0.543 -0.064
Finder of Paths Unseen 79 41.77% 21.78 65.82% 0.24 0.9593 -0.534
Fractured Days Split the Sky 448 39.14% 33.88 72.32% 0.124 0.7354 0.766
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 597 48.24% 28.74 59.3% 0.161 0.0609 0.128
Heart of the Wildfire 425 58.13% 27.2 61.18% 0.901 1.2377 -0.886
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 854 44.54% 34.37 69.91% 0.438 0.0079 0.067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 47 34.04% 28.89 68.09% 0.296 -0.0184 -1.055
Lightning's Swift Strike 330 41.69% 23.78 69.7% 0.146 0.3756 -0.588
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 100 44.9% 28.75 63.0% 0.771 0.3271 0.712
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1042 43.34% 34.6 75.14% 0.247 -0.0634 0.936
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 647 39.75% 31.23 72.8% 0.463 0.3206 0.846
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 754 46.72% 30.77 72.02% 0.091 -0.1368 -0.004
Many Minds Move as One 427 37.68% 28.26 75.64% -0.009 -0.2517 0.647
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 710 46.88% 31.19 70.42% -0.192 -0.0827 0.28
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 27 44.44% 26.11 59.26% -0.623 -0.5047 -0.291
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 577 39.18% 26.35 65.16% 0.152 0.106 0.503
River Surges in Sunlight 465 44.77% 32.44 69.68% 0.269 0.399 0.039
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 31 40.0% 22.94 41.94% -0.446 -0.2704 0.014
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 748 41.15% 27.86 68.85% -0.192 0.1063 -0.507
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 118 32.74% 26.79 61.86% -0.523 -0.607 -0.068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 455 42.16% 33.55 74.73% 0.444 0.3332 0.191
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 15 40.0% 23.07 60.0% 0.018 -0.0998 -0.162
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 447 37.64% 32.62 75.39% 0.999 1.0477 0.524
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 96 44.68% 21.66 59.38% 0.892 0.6767 -0.593
Shifting Memory of Ages 333 41.95% 22.97 59.76% -0.243 0.0518 -0.66
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 29 31.03% 25.62 65.52% -0.31 -0.4281 0.759
Shroud of Silent Mist 436 48.26% 25.94 71.1% 0.103 0.4311 0.395
Starlight Seeks its Form 269 34.94% 26.68 63.94% -0.352 -0.4516 1.175
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 626 41.61% 31.04 67.73% 0.42 -0.1108 -0.042
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 505 38.95% 31.69 71.49% -0.378 -0.3003 0.968
Thunderspeaker 545 48.33% 29.56 64.4% -0.2 -0.1638 -0.049
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 35.19% 18.09 44.44% -0.088 -0.0295 -0.333
Towering Roots of the Jungle 54 37.04% 21.2 57.41% -0.555 -0.4053 -0.563
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 485 60.12% 29.37 60.41% -0.469 -0.323 0.154
Vital Strength of the Earth 311 41.0% 24.25 71.06% -0.432 0.1358 -1.182
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 98 35.11% 23.78 57.14% -0.341 0.1797 0.144
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 499 33.82% 24.62 72.75% -0.015 0.7265 -0.664
Volcano Looming High 476 48.09% 27.23 65.13% -1.146 -1.1309 -0.868
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 172 30.23% 23.36 56.4% 0.268 -0.0238 -1.171

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 71.92%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.17%
Favors Called Due 87.83%
Mantle of Dread 87.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2817 13.33 3.05%
II 6414 30.1 45.67%
III 9804 34.83 85.57%
IV 5579 38.67 99.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 86
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2811
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5507
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2001
Lose: Invader deck ran out 77
Lose: Adversary condition 1833
Win: Sacrifice victory 88
Lose: Scenario condition 253
Win: Scenario condition 222
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3349
Lose: Spirit destroyed 139

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.094 Win Model: -0.201

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.238 Win Model: -0.06
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13943 46.27% 29.17 68.84%
2 6238 48.24% 28.96 67.97%
3 2420 45.74% 31.45 71.16%
4 1519 39.84% 30.95 72.55%
5 112 28.44% 23.28 68.75%
6 382 24.54% 21.44 58.12%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)