Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 24 12.5% 20.58 58.33% 0.25 0.6194 0.0
Blitz 0 235 51.91% 22.82 53.62% -0.968 -0.5358 -0.299
Dahan Insurrection 4 356 28.65% 45.72 61.24% -0.06 -0.0861 0.397
Despicable Theft 2 97 48.45% 25.22 51.55% 0.0 0.6595 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 132 48.09% 25.98 58.33% -0.113 0.335 -0.177
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1693 20.85% 46.75 74.9% 0.622 0.0228 -0.222
Powers Long Forgotten 1 174 56.32% 24.12 48.85% 0.204 0.8123 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 61 53.33% 29.46 55.74% -0.293 -0.1686 -0.54
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 56 62.5% 31.55 62.5% -0.338 0.4003 0.432
Second Wave 0 986 44.22% 27.08 70.39% 0.1 0.2061 0.165
The Great River 3 68 42.65% 20.87 27.94% -0.79 0.3844 -0.262
Varied Terrains 2 64 53.13% 16.36 31.25% -0.907 -0.17 -0.061
Ward the Shores 2 114 55.75% 20.84 31.58% 0.02 0.7022 -0.192

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 14192 45.79% 28.4 68.55% -0.038 0.1865 0.696
1 Thematic 902 43.78% 35.36 58.87% -0.953 -0.4027 0.064
2 Archipelago 23 30.43% 40.22 82.61% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4522 48.08% 27.94 66.9% 0.75 0.8613 -0.124
2 Coastline 694 49.86% 29.33 58.5% 0.301 0.2119 -0.238
2 Fragment 102 48.51% 26.25 76.47% 0.0 -0.3387 0.0
2 Heart 82 56.1% 24.6 65.85% 0.0 -0.3272 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 936 36.67% 28.81 75.96% 0.521 0.5577 0.946
2 Thematic 369 58.97% 29.27 54.2% -0.589 -0.0606 -0.44
2 Top to Top 134 56.72% 28.49 61.94% -0.528 -0.7349 -0.177
3 Archipelago 25 36.0% 26.12 60.0% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 18 38.89% 29.06 61.11% 0.0 -0.5211 0.0
3 Other 79 44.3% 25.37 65.82% 0.518 -0.2237 0.0
3 Round (Default) 2456 45.8% 31.12 70.52% 0.115 0.0187 -0.157
3 Sunrise 11 27.27% 29.82 72.73% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 115 43.48% 27.52 54.78% 0.702 0.9439 -0.192
4 Archipelago 17 58.82% 24.41 47.06% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 11 36.36% 22.73 36.36% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 20 55.0% 29.55 80.0% -0.413 -0.9672 0.0
4 Other 62 46.77% 29.05 82.26% 0.0 -0.5473 0.0
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 243 36.21% 35.89 65.02% 0.599 1.0722 -0.178
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1269 40.22% 29.54 72.66% -0.292 -0.481 -0.969
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 25.75 25.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 22.75 50.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.288
5 Other 127 33.33% 25.76 70.87% -0.269 -0.5954 0.178
5 Thematic 15 26.67% 26.73 80.0% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 3 0.0% 9.33 33.33% -0.143 -1.0679 0.0
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 72 22.22% 20.13 68.06% 0.0 0.2695 0.0
6 Star 19 63.16% 23.21 52.63% 0.0 0.7961 0.0
6 Thematic 130 17.97% 18.81 47.69% 0.402 0.9825 0.286
6 Two Centers (Default) 214 24.06% 21.98 57.01% -0.492 -0.5155 0.0
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 7 42.86% 14.71 57.14% -0.172 -0.4271 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 767 30.79 51.24% -0.161 0.1499 -0.125
Aid From Lesser Spirits 716 31.45 55.17% 0.242 0.2555 -0.775
All Things Weaken 900 28.09 50.11% -1.493 -1.0196 -0.383
Attenuated Essence 116 25.33 46.55% 1.041 1.1879 0.522
Back Against the Wall 608 30.41 52.63% -0.293 -0.1638 0.685
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 112 24.78 45.54% -0.489 -0.1692 0.784
Burn Brightest Before the End 92 24.03 46.74% -0.59 -0.4136 -0.177
Disintegrating Ecosystem 764 26.58 48.17% -0.016 0.3642 -0.173
Downward Spiral 896 27.99 57.59% -0.972 -0.7783 0.433
Erosion of Will 796 29.76 52.76% 0.556 0.8941 0.442
Intensifying Exploitation 140 25.71 54.29% 0.299 0.6521 0.767
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 317 29.68 71.29% -0.332 -0.6949 0.222
Memory Fades to Dust 909 28.82 58.09% -0.387 -0.0578 -0.113
Power Corrodes the Spirit 927 27.39 51.56% -0.247 0.0194 0.415
Promising Farmlands 728 28.49 50.0% -1.165 -0.7175 -0.457
Shattered Fragments of Power 82 24.32 42.68% 0.351 0.3509 0.0
Slow Dissolution of Will 117 24.78 49.57% -0.302 0.1089 -0.172
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 210 33.81 86.19% -0.282 -0.8411 0.0
The Border of Life and Death 35 29.0 77.14% 0.353 0.1078 0.0
Thriving Communities 891 27.29 50.51% 0.0 0.278 -0.644
Thriving Crops 53 27.04 58.49% 0.0 -0.0953 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 930 29.72 53.66% 0.03 0.2343 -0.289
Untended Land Crumbles 881 28.28 54.37% -0.644 -0.3446 0.333

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5908 44.32% 28.08 67.48% -0.594 0.3975 -0.218
B 5837 46.51% 27.9 66.73% -0.042 0.8233 -0.296
C 6773 43.19% 29.44 69.41% 0.086 0.8381 -0.019
D 5518 43.52% 28.3 68.7% 0.049 0.9934 -0.181
E 5600 43.8% 29.1 68.88% -0.337 0.4174 0.184
F 4976 43.81% 28.05 68.59% 0.021 0.8958 -0.125
G 4339 45.55% 28.3 67.96% 0.287 1.1493 -0.346
H 4248 44.87% 29.06 70.76% 0.389 1.196 1.446
East 1220 41.86% 31.72 57.3% -0.454 0.2918 -0.116
Northeast 733 40.27% 31.09 56.48% 0.654 1.5469 0.0
Northwest 608 40.59% 31.28 56.41% 0.139 0.8826 0.0
Southeast 439 31.88% 28.12 59.0% -0.151 0.858 -0.367
Southwest 427 39.76% 23.65 49.18% -0.083 1.074 -0.166
West 1152 43.83% 30.98 56.6% 0.055 1.0371 0.188

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 483 0.0% 14.35 56.52% -0.706 0.0134 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 287 58.33% 10.05 41.81% -0.518 -0.0439 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 696 15.06% 33.82 86.49% 0.424 -0.3804 0.616
Start of Game Growth 965 18.72% 34.02 85.18% -0.084 -0.6504 0.616
Unlimited Undo 2218 43.85% 28.52 68.58% -0.84 -0.8127 -0.203
Using Tokens but Not Events 3296 28.87% 24.58 78.37% 0.05 0.0229 -0.178

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 857 38.06% 29.44 72.23% 0.628 0.2104 -0.41
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 38 28.95% 34.16 76.32% 0.446 -0.2098 0.959
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 3 33.33% 53.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.1577 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 28 32.14% 31.75 71.43% 0.538 -0.3218 0.493
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 689 44.05% 26.34 65.31% -0.546 -0.4086 -0.028
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 78 32.05% 25.0 64.1% 0.369 -0.6603 0.234
Dances Up Earthquakes 25 29.17% 15.4 44.0% 0.0 -0.0362 -0.184
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 606 34.97% 25.62 69.14% 0.075 -0.2791 0.155
Downpour Drenches the World 143 37.32% 22.71 55.94% 0.01 0.1334 0.0
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 173 41.18% 26.86 65.9% 0.287 -0.2835 -0.402
Eyes Watch From the Trees 802 37.18% 29.15 73.32% 0.606 -0.0403 0.168
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 633 37.89% 27.4 69.83% 0.287 -0.2072 -0.0
Finder of Paths Unseen 91 41.76% 20.75 61.54% 0.471 1.0596 -0.092
Fractured Days Split the Sky 465 39.22% 33.47 71.61% 0.047 0.494 0.649
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 669 47.09% 28.43 58.59% 0.044 -0.1412 0.264
Heart of the Wildfire 466 57.08% 26.95 61.16% 0.51 0.6531 -0.333
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 906 43.96% 34.05 69.76% 0.571 -0.1038 -0.03
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 68 32.84% 27.31 66.18% 0.601 0.0737 0.1
Lightning's Swift Strike 377 40.93% 23.15 65.52% -1.075 -1.0424 -0.509
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 114 45.45% 27.05 61.4% -0.523 -1.1757 -0.191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1102 42.91% 34.01 74.32% -0.257 -0.7528 -0.169
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 683 39.91% 30.76 71.89% -0.551 -0.7907 0.195
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 817 45.11% 29.97 70.5% -0.501 -0.9273 -0.51
Many Minds Move as One 463 36.98% 27.73 74.51% 0.063 -0.4456 -0.092
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 755 45.26% 30.5 68.87% -0.773 -1.0421 -0.155
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 58 47.37% 23.83 58.62% 0.04 -0.0741 0.814
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 627 39.01% 25.83 63.96% -0.486 -0.7799 -0.118
River Surges in Sunlight 527 43.56% 31.36 68.88% 0.056 -0.1148 -0.535
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 50 30.61% 20.36 42.0% -0.302 -0.4135 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 792 40.89% 27.41 67.68% -0.582 -0.6475 0.618
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 139 35.34% 26.06 61.87% 0.246 0.1162 -0.061
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 493 42.16% 32.22 72.41% -0.031 -0.2949 -0.3
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 29 27.59% 21.83 58.62% 0.0 -0.4304 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 482 38.03% 31.86 73.44% 0.238 -0.1281 -0.728
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 7 14.29% 10.71 28.57% -0.636 -1.1764 -0.272
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 111 42.2% 22.12 62.16% 0.5 0.2556 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 369 41.76% 22.96 59.89% -0.068 0.2259 0.246
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 51 34.0% 27.47 64.71% 0.0 -0.1632 0.622
Shroud of Silent Mist 471 48.71% 25.37 69.64% -0.071 0.111 -0.324
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 7 28.57% 25.71 71.43% -0.097 -0.5074 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 308 36.04% 26.77 64.29% 0.381 0.1386 0.685
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 675 42.3% 30.08 65.48% -0.3 -1.2524 -0.074
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 567 38.66% 30.53 68.25% -0.358 -0.3158 -0.053
Thunderspeaker 588 47.86% 29.05 63.78% 0.175 -0.0206 -0.028
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 66 36.36% 20.64 54.55% 0.256 0.0878 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 85 41.18% 22.06 52.94% 0.503 0.3924 0.728
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 529 59.28% 28.35 58.98% -0.76 -0.9105 -0.316
Vital Strength of the Earth 345 39.02% 23.38 68.7% -0.635 -0.2767 -0.132
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 128 35.25% 22.78 57.81% 0.307 0.5505 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 536 34.88% 23.84 70.71% 0.222 0.9031 -0.178
Volcano Looming High 521 48.74% 25.98 61.23% -0.027 -0.3513 -0.841
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 216 34.42% 24.49 56.48% -0.191 -0.7084 0.581

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 72.27%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.44%
Favors Called Due 87.86%
Mantle of Dread 88.03%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3376 12.25 2.67%
II 6984 29.91 45.53%
III 10597 34.94 85.38%
IV 5959 38.9 99.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 90
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3043
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5876
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2593
Lose: Invader deck ran out 80
Lose: Adversary condition 1983
Win: Sacrifice victory 92
Lose: Scenario condition 280
Win: Scenario condition 254
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3571
Lose: Spirit destroyed 160

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.427 Win Model: -0.064

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.288 Win Model: -0.274
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 15193 45.67% 28.78 67.85%
2 6839 47.58% 28.31 66.85%
3 2682 45.56% 30.79 69.72%
4 1630 40.05% 30.39 71.41%
5 125 28.69% 23.73 68.0%
6 447 23.7% 20.58 55.7%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)