Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 9 0.0% 27.22 77.78% 0.359 0.2193 -0.092
Blitz 0 178 55.06% 26.14 58.99% 0.185 0.296 -0.603
Dahan Insurrection 4 229 25.33% 51.03 69.0% -0.848 -1.0828 0.633
Despicable Theft 2 58 50.0% 28.1 56.9% -0.268 0.3749 -0.251
Elemental Invocation 1 95 47.87% 29.97 69.47% 0.095 0.8966 -1.036
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1255 22.48% 47.4 76.89% 1.18 0.4065 1.315
Powers Long Forgotten 1 113 62.83% 28.16 54.87% -0.187 0.5859 -0.649
Rituals of Terror 3 48 57.45% 31.88 62.5% 0.076 0.0919 -0.597
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 63.16% 36.16 68.42% 0.0 1.0569 0.134
Second Wave 0 755 46.12% 27.49 72.45% -0.201 -0.1207 -0.693
The Great River 3 45 51.11% 25.49 31.11% -0.878 0.2509 -0.855
Varied Terrains 2 24 54.17% 23.04 54.17% -1.174 -0.4824 0.646
Ward the Shores 2 80 63.29% 23.21 33.75% -1.213 -0.3502 -0.418

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10575 46.52% 30.34 73.08% 0.076 0.2764 0.358
1 Thematic 569 48.06% 33.28 59.93% -0.055 0.6642 -0.499
2 Archipelago 19 36.84% 44.11 89.47% 0.252 0.5066 0.649
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3288 49.26% 30.27 71.05% 0.293 0.3004 0.472
2 Coastline 514 54.97% 31.25 55.64% -0.801 -1.0063 -0.612
2 Fragment 76 54.67% 28.57 80.26% 0.488 0.2106 -0.393
2 Heart 75 56.0% 24.96 66.67% 0.975 0.7546 0.076
2 Opposite Shores 682 35.55% 30.57 79.77% 0.202 0.2586 -0.108
2 Thematic 209 54.81% 32.35 63.16% -0.375 0.077 0.369
2 Top to Top 96 60.42% 30.32 62.5% -0.224 -0.3217 -0.467
3 Archipelago 16 31.25% 29.25 68.75% 0.0 -0.7914 0.0
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 33.0 69.23% 0.0 -0.567 -0.069
3 Other 67 40.3% 27.03 68.66% -1.43 -1.4587 -0.509
3 Round (Default) 1791 47.11% 33.48 74.2% 0.298 0.0717 0.395
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 29.11 77.78% 0.263 -0.7213 0.0
3 Thematic 73 56.16% 32.16 64.38% 0.34 0.5366 0.397
4 Archipelago 9 44.44% 23.44 66.67% 0.0 -1.1858 -0.228
4 Coastline 8 37.5% 25.13 37.5% 0.0 -0.5864 -0.065
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 30.27 81.82% 0.0 -0.6987 0.0
4 Other 55 47.27% 30.11 80.0% 0.779 -0.5779 -0.118
4 Thematic 172 39.53% 41.42 72.67% -0.243 -0.4416 -0.148
4 Trapezoid (Default) 986 39.55% 31.41 75.96% 0.155 -0.0883 0.624
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 73.0 100.0% 0.0 0.3165 0.0
5 Other 87 27.71% 24.48 70.11% 0.396 -0.6611 0.2
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 32.14 85.71% 0.0 -0.4784 0.0
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.7364 -0.187
6 Other 43 23.26% 23.14 81.4% -0.143 -0.8803 -0.301
6 Star 11 72.73% 25.45 54.55% 0.0 -0.0568 0.366
6 Thematic 55 27.27% 26.64 70.91% -0.377 0.3772 -0.517
6 Two Centers (Default) 122 25.0% 29.11 72.95% -0.413 -0.9924 0.471
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 0.7765 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 15.5 50.0% -0.052 -0.4638 -0.05

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 641 31.27 51.33% -0.79 -0.6306 0.084
Aid From Lesser Spirits 567 31.87 54.5% 0.191 0.1051 0.183
All Things Weaken 704 29.21 51.85% -0.529 -0.1873 -0.121
Attenuated Essence 36 25.25 47.22% -0.793 -0.7189 -0.158
Back Against the Wall 483 30.54 51.55% 0.148 0.2227 -0.447
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 47 27.04 42.55% -0.39 -0.1991 -1.064
Burn Brightest Before the End 34 26.35 52.94% 0.206 0.3293 -0.191
Disintegrating Ecosystem 607 27.78 49.59% 0.249 0.6217 -0.759
Downward Spiral 664 30.06 59.49% 0.256 0.3924 0.094
Erosion of Will 615 30.1 53.82% -0.165 0.1301 -0.051
Intensifying Exploitation 38 23.03 52.63% -0.128 0.111 -1.164
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 243 31.73 76.54% 0.254 -0.2781 -0.007
Memory Fades to Dust 706 30.19 58.07% 0.089 0.3699 -0.014
Power Corrodes the Spirit 716 28.95 53.63% -0.221 -0.0683 0.111
Promising Farmlands 562 29.38 51.42% -0.129 0.2178 -0.09
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 22.5 36.36% -0.976 -0.7807 -0.343
Slow Dissolution of Will 36 26.06 61.11% -0.168 0.2836 -0.096
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 166 34.38 86.75% 0.732 -0.0083 0.561
The Border of Life and Death 11 28.73 72.73% 0.972 0.5387 -0.422
Thriving Communities 671 28.68 51.71% -0.337 -0.038 -0.125
Thriving Crops 19 30.68 52.63% -0.008 -0.1102 -0.571
Unnatural Proliferation 707 30.74 55.02% -1.039 -0.8938 0.344
Untended Land Crumbles 698 29.49 56.45% 0.344 0.6432 0.364

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4253 45.49% 30.32 71.74% -0.124 0.8706 -0.292
B 4213 47.89% 30.26 71.09% -0.023 0.8952 -0.606
C 4982 43.79% 31.79 74.31% 0.293 1.0352 0.117
D 4036 43.92% 30.53 73.12% 0.405 1.3569 0.028
E 4158 45.45% 31.37 72.73% 0.296 1.0764 0.097
F 3606 44.26% 30.47 73.71% -0.114 0.7787 -0.254
G 3246 46.46% 30.56 71.93% -0.473 0.3823 -0.168
H 3180 46.03% 30.79 73.84% -0.199 0.6495 -0.173
East 737 45.38% 35.55 65.67% -0.953 -0.1833 0.187
Northeast 434 44.47% 35.76 65.21% 0.425 1.2122 0.257
Northwest 338 44.38% 35.87 65.38% 0.514 1.4976 0.309
Southeast 250 39.36% 33.95 72.4% 0.323 1.1973 1.86
Southwest 245 51.02% 26.65 55.92% -1.02 0.188 -0.562
West 663 47.66% 32.9 62.29% 0.0 0.9344 -0.66

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 282 0.0% 18.64 72.34% -1.364 -0.7347 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 120 50.0% 14.45 56.67% -0.109 0.3971 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 569 14.26% 35.48 89.98% 0.08 -0.5545 -0.26
Start of Game Growth 754 17.48% 36.3 89.12% -0.137 -0.5266 0.969
Unlimited Undo 1677 43.36% 30.52 73.64% -0.355 -0.3105 0.111
Using Tokens but Not Events 2351 26.2% 26.72 86.05% 0.198 0.1707 0.377

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 655 100.0% 32.2 100.0% 0.348 0.2257 0.508
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 558 101.43% 28.63 101.25% -0.098 0.1428 -0.463
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 10 20.0% 17.7 30.0% -0.639 -1.6398 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 439 100.0% 28.85 100.0% -0.654 -0.8813 0.322
Downpour Drenches the World 74 100.0% 24.74 100.0% -0.186 0.1395 -0.463
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 82 100.0% 26.01 100.0% -0.105 -0.6041 0.207
Eyes Watch From the Trees 593 100.0% 31.28 100.0% -0.013 -0.4739 -0.199
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 454 100.0% 29.58 100.0% -0.068 -0.4972 0.007
Finder of Paths Unseen 42 100.0% 21.21 100.0% -0.027 0.7954 -0.077
Fractured Days Split the Sky 388 100.0% 35.51 100.0% 0.223 0.8201 0.602
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 416 100.0% 32.89 100.0% -0.057 -0.0574 0.14
Heart of the Wildfire 341 100.0% 28.4 100.0% -0.339 0.0458 -0.894
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 763 100.52% 35.21 100.26% 0.773 0.2776 0.007
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 5 20.0% 24.4 60.0% 0.532 -0.0145 -0.198
Lightning's Swift Strike 227 443.43% 26.26 259.03% -0.878 -0.6951 -0.563
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 72 40.0% 29.56 68.06% -0.564 -1.1013 0.41
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 910 43.54% 36.5 77.91% -0.222 -0.5128 0.999
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 541 41.05% 32.79 74.68% -0.322 -0.4697 0.798
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 647 100.0% 31.96 100.0% 0.551 0.2995 0.158
Many Minds Move as One 346 100.0% 29.85 100.0% -0.456 -0.6126 0.562
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 568 100.0% 33.12 100.0% 0.572 0.5826 0.311
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 447 100.0% 29.35 100.0% -0.498 -0.6438 0.198
River Surges in Sunlight 361 207.69% 35.34 155.96% -0.531 -0.4932 -0.006
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 633 42.0% 29.45 72.2% -0.91 -0.6499 -0.597
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 72 32.86% 27.68 63.89% 0.748 0.6975 -0.502
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 400 100.0% 34.14 100.0% 0.868 0.6933 0.225
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 380 105.0% 34.5 103.95% 0.194 0.2731 0.444
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 37 48.65% 21.22 59.46% 0.117 -0.205 -0.504
Shifting Memory of Ages 226 100.0% 26.81 100.0% -0.074 0.1913 -0.594
Shroud of Silent Mist 351 100.0% 27.5 100.0% -0.195 0.1723 0.525
Starlight Seeks its Form 179 100.0% 30.91 100.0% -0.303 -0.5311 1.219
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 500 100.0% 33.08 100.0% -0.079 -0.4351 0.079
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 403 100.0% 33.58 100.0% 0.299 0.432 0.821
Thunderspeaker 449 104.01% 30.79 103.34% 0.379 0.4082 0.072
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 24 25.0% 19.08 37.5% -0.39 -0.1507 -0.298
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 381 100.0% 30.91 100.0% 0.732 0.9228 0.101
Vital Strength of the Earth 239 215.79% 25.1 146.44% -0.197 0.3606 -1.209
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 56 30.91% 29.0 67.86% 0.305 0.715 0.465
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 398 36.57% 26.42 76.63% 0.704 1.432 -0.672
Volcano Looming High 362 100.0% 29.32 100.0% -0.219 -0.1997 -1.145
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 33 100.0% 30.12 100.0% 0.653 0.0588 -0.725

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 71.28%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.0%
Favors Called Due 87.97%
Mantle of Dread 88.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1645 17.67 4.26%
II 5200 30.7 47.58%
III 8147 34.75 85.84%
IV 4668 38.22 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 70
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6881
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2371
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4608
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 743
Lose: Invader deck ran out 64
Lose: Adversary condition 1582
Win: Sacrifice victory 74
Lose: Scenario condition 210
Win: Scenario condition 185
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2759
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.725 Win Model: -0.138

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.075 Win Model: -0.001
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11198 46.63% 30.47 72.35%
2 4953 48.61% 30.48 70.38%
3 1956 47.02% 33.14 73.62%
4 1247 39.89% 32.65 75.38%
5 74 21.13% 22.38 68.92%
6 232 26.96% 27.25 73.28%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)