Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 0.0% 27.27 81.82% 0.294 0.1082 -0.053
Blitz 0 183 54.64% 25.86 59.02% 0.224 0.3556 -0.564
Dahan Insurrection 4 237 25.32% 50.34 68.35% -0.318 -0.5734 0.575
Despicable Theft 2 63 46.03% 27.16 55.56% -0.742 -0.2006 -0.253
Elemental Invocation 1 100 47.47% 29.07 68.0% -0.721 0.1359 -1.055
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1288 22.37% 47.26 76.63% 0.561 -0.21 1.31
Powers Long Forgotten 1 119 61.34% 27.77 54.62% -0.338 0.5972 -0.65
Rituals of Terror 3 48 57.45% 31.88 62.5% -0.287 -0.1911 -0.545
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 40 62.5% 35.3 67.5% -0.046 1.1508 0.196
Second Wave 0 781 45.99% 27.26 71.83% -0.523 -0.4376 -0.713
The Great River 3 46 50.0% 24.93 30.43% -0.393 0.9687 -0.848
Varied Terrains 2 28 53.57% 19.75 46.43% -1.127 -0.3383 0.638
Ward the Shores 2 82 62.96% 22.65 32.93% -0.887 0.1454 -0.426

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10958 46.47% 30.06 72.62% -0.146 0.0455 0.176
1 Thematic 598 47.74% 33.36 59.36% -0.292 0.3528 -0.668
2 Archipelago 19 36.84% 44.11 89.47% 0.0 0.4319 0.639
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3402 49.06% 29.96 70.4% -0.298 -0.3016 0.387
2 Coastline 529 53.79% 30.95 56.14% 0.261 0.3164 -0.711
2 Fragment 78 53.25% 28.13 79.49% -0.253 -0.5194 -0.445
2 Heart 76 55.26% 25.01 67.11% 0.059 0.0204 0.044
2 Opposite Shores 728 35.22% 30.28 79.81% 0.633 0.6477 -0.184
2 Thematic 216 54.88% 32.31 63.89% 0.537 0.7339 0.305
2 Top to Top 97 60.82% 30.22 62.89% 0.223 0.1248 -0.518
3 Archipelago 16 31.25% 29.25 68.75% 0.0 -0.4467 0.0
3 Coastline 13 30.77% 33.0 69.23% 0.414 -0.6101 -0.07
3 Other 68 39.71% 26.63 67.65% -1.311 -1.704 -0.528
3 Round (Default) 1860 46.49% 33.16 73.92% 0.285 -0.0502 0.392
3 Sunrise 9 33.33% 29.11 77.78% 0.361 0.6032 0.0
3 Thematic 76 53.95% 30.89 61.84% -0.937 -1.2214 0.427
4 Archipelago 10 40.0% 21.1 60.0% -0.632 -0.7887 -0.21
4 Coastline 8 37.5% 25.13 37.5% 0.0 -0.9386 -0.063
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 30.27 81.82% 0.0 -0.1481 0.0
4 Other 57 45.61% 29.68 80.7% 0.96 -0.3699 -0.098
4 Thematic 176 40.34% 40.59 71.59% -0.417 -0.496 -0.093
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1017 40.22% 31.31 76.11% 0.628 0.4718 0.754
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 73.0 100.0% 0.0 0.6745 0.0
5 Other 89 27.06% 24.94 70.79% 0.125 -0.9493 0.313
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 32.14 85.71% 0.0 -0.0068 0.0
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 -1.2992 -0.167
6 Other 47 21.28% 22.45 76.6% -0.045 -0.2484 -0.55
6 Star 12 75.0% 23.33 50.0% -0.114 -0.0146 0.401
6 Thematic 60 25.0% 24.98 66.67% -0.782 -0.1331 -0.816
6 Two Centers (Default) 126 25.0% 28.9 73.02% 0.137 -0.1974 0.692
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0605 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 15.5 50.0% -0.169 0.2275 -0.036

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 648 31.17 51.39% -0.549 -0.4194 0.081
Aid From Lesser Spirits 588 31.73 54.42% -0.213 -0.3315 0.191
All Things Weaken 727 29.05 51.58% -0.565 -0.2579 -0.096
Attenuated Essence 39 26.13 48.72% 0.232 0.2636 -0.149
Back Against the Wall 500 30.39 52.0% 0.187 0.2169 -0.445
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 26.61 44.44% 0.353 0.5391 -0.698
Burn Brightest Before the End 37 25.7 48.65% -0.901 -0.8303 -0.259
Disintegrating Ecosystem 623 27.64 49.28% -0.491 -0.1152 -0.795
Downward Spiral 693 29.7 58.87% -0.388 -0.2225 0.15
Erosion of Will 636 30.01 53.93% -0.277 -0.0624 -0.048
Intensifying Exploitation 42 23.17 52.38% -0.133 0.1089 -1.147
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 252 31.55 76.19% 0.044 -0.5374 0.01
Memory Fades to Dust 723 30.02 58.23% 0.265 0.5581 -0.029
Power Corrodes the Spirit 735 28.55 53.74% -0.146 0.0149 0.113
Promising Farmlands 582 29.24 51.55% -0.105 0.1909 -0.079
Shattered Fragments of Power 28 24.5 35.71% -0.209 -0.121 -0.001
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 24.6 60.0% -0.01 0.3827 -0.092
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 169 34.43 86.98% 0.866 0.1547 0.564
The Border of Life and Death 12 28.25 75.0% 0.612 0.1327 -0.427
Thriving Communities 697 28.26 50.93% -0.543 -0.2433 -0.153
Thriving Crops 21 30.0 52.38% -0.246 -0.3481 -0.569
Unnatural Proliferation 727 30.85 55.43% 0.004 0.1732 0.356
Untended Land Crumbles 714 29.42 56.58% 0.017 0.2753 0.381

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4419 45.38% 30.03 71.35% 0.037 1.1795 -0.303
B 4370 47.82% 29.93 70.69% -0.095 0.9602 -0.67
C 5156 43.62% 31.55 74.01% 0.142 1.0304 0.088
D 4185 43.82% 30.3 72.76% 0.304 1.3583 -0.002
E 4332 45.16% 31.05 72.35% 0.414 1.3179 0.073
F 3723 43.95% 30.25 73.44% 0.159 1.1631 -0.276
G 3356 45.94% 30.26 71.69% 0.085 1.0537 -0.198
H 3283 45.81% 30.62 73.59% -0.143 0.8495 -0.219
East 772 45.01% 35.08 64.77% -0.448 0.5403 0.207
Northeast 456 44.08% 35.1 64.25% -0.003 0.9465 0.213
Northwest 355 44.51% 34.79 63.94% -0.609 0.432 0.299
Southeast 261 38.08% 33.11 70.5% 0.237 1.1549 1.515
Southwest 255 49.8% 25.93 54.51% -0.741 0.7158 -0.513
West 693 47.47% 32.36 61.33% -0.327 0.7802 -0.767

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 298 0.0% 17.99 70.13% -0.626 0.0374 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 135 40.0% 13.16 51.85% -1.512 -1.0182 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 586 14.67% 35.17 89.59% -0.008 -0.6307 -0.233
Start of Game Growth 784 18.26% 36.01 89.03% 0.808 0.3959 0.981
Unlimited Undo 1720 43.31% 30.34 73.55% -0.108 -0.2033 0.122
Using Tokens but Not Events 2445 26.69% 26.31 85.15% -0.192 -0.1165 0.348

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 677 37.7% 32.02 76.96% -0.109 -0.1451 0.593
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 571 45.31% 28.15 71.45% -1.703 -1.5448 -0.412
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 20 10.0% 17.05 50.0% -0.133 -1.1456 -0.75
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 453 38.36% 28.5 75.28% -0.207 -0.4192 0.343
Downpour Drenches the World 76 37.33% 24.71 64.47% -0.132 0.1152 -0.358
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 100 40.0% 27.91 70.0% 0.791 0.2281 0.071
Eyes Watch From the Trees 616 37.23% 31.06 78.25% 0.313 -0.1661 -0.133
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 475 39.18% 29.47 73.68% 0.095 -0.3115 -0.051
Finder of Paths Unseen 45 28.89% 20.27 64.44% -0.259 0.503 -0.429
Fractured Days Split the Sky 397 38.42% 35.05 74.56% -0.063 0.599 0.632
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 442 50.68% 32.38 65.38% -0.144 -0.1464 0.197
Heart of the Wildfire 345 59.88% 28.28 63.77% 0.322 0.6924 -0.8
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 767 46.07% 35.2 69.36% 0.604 0.1772 0.102
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 17 11.76% 27.82 70.59% 0.881 0.3885 -0.855
Lightning's Swift Strike 240 38.3% 25.8 73.33% -0.816 -0.6025 -0.511
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 81 43.04% 28.01 64.2% -0.73 -1.346 0.279
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 929 43.62% 36.27 77.4% -0.267 -0.5532 1.06
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 565 40.97% 32.41 74.69% 0.606 0.504 0.808
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 656 47.47% 31.83 73.78% 0.193 -0.0531 0.215
Many Minds Move as One 359 38.31% 29.48 80.22% 0.698 0.5368 0.604
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 582 45.67% 32.86 73.71% 0.191 0.2248 0.373
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 460 43.34% 29.31 70.43% -0.243 -0.4098 0.266
River Surges in Sunlight 367 45.66% 35.08 73.3% 0.151 0.178 0.059
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 650 41.57% 29.16 72.0% -0.4 -0.0608 -0.531
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 83 29.63% 28.28 63.86% 0.717 0.6858 -0.401
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 416 43.24% 33.97 75.24% -0.006 -0.1162 0.313
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 388 38.9% 34.09 77.84% -0.02 -0.0419 0.515
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 40 45.0% 22.93 60.0% 0.122 -0.2101 -0.49
Shifting Memory of Ages 242 48.12% 26.34 65.7% 0.117 0.3982 -0.564
Shroud of Silent Mist 356 48.72% 27.34 73.6% 0.169 0.442 0.57
Starlight Seeks its Form 199 37.19% 29.37 69.35% -0.196 -0.416 1.211
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 523 43.44% 32.76 71.89% 0.128 -0.3189 0.129
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 415 38.48% 33.34 75.42% 0.064 0.1855 0.905
Thunderspeaker 467 48.92% 30.41 64.67% 0.027 0.0456 0.129
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 28.0% 20.2 40.0% 0.31 0.5146 -0.2
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 392 59.44% 30.4 64.29% -0.372 -0.198 0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth 247 43.1% 25.07 72.87% 0.229 0.8015 -1.124
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 61 31.67% 28.1 63.93% -0.936 -0.5547 0.403
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 413 36.05% 26.06 75.54% -0.494 0.2634 -0.63
Volcano Looming High 372 47.57% 29.19 68.82% 0.226 0.1998 -1.119
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 51 25.49% 27.9 64.71% 0.143 -0.3911 -0.665

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 71.43%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.12%
Favors Called Due 88.06%
Mantle of Dread 88.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1809 16.77 3.98%
II 5363 30.59 47.36%
III 8401 34.74 85.97%
IV 4813 38.3 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 72
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7106
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2435
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4752
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 912
Lose: Invader deck ran out 67
Lose: Adversary condition 1610
Win: Sacrifice victory 77
Lose: Scenario condition 216
Win: Scenario condition 189
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2835
Lose: Spirit destroyed 115

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.255 Win Model: -0.183

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.145 Win Model: -0.105
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11615 46.57% 30.21 71.87%
2 5136 48.22% 30.2 70.11%
3 2029 46.36% 32.79 73.24%
4 1284 40.46% 32.43 75.39%
5 76 20.55% 22.97 69.74%
6 246 26.23% 26.45 71.14%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)