Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 19 10.53% 16.89 52.63% -0.971 -0.7805 -0.342
Blitz 0 216 54.63% 23.8 55.09% -0.175 0.0424 -0.708
Dahan Insurrection 4 292 26.71% 47.18 64.04% -1.283 -1.5356 0.579
Despicable Theft 2 88 48.86% 25.43 51.14% -0.19 0.3962 -0.597
Elemental Invocation 1 116 50.43% 27.98 63.79% -1.692 -0.9522 -1.265
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1519 21.2% 46.9 75.71% 0.889 0.327 1.348
Powers Long Forgotten 1 158 58.86% 24.85 50.63% -0.165 0.5945 -0.914
Rituals of Terror 3 54 58.49% 32.0 61.11% -0.485 -0.3653 -0.046
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 50 64.0% 32.14 64.0% -0.582 0.325 0.437
Second Wave 0 919 44.47% 27.06 70.29% 0.348 0.4868 -0.037
The Great River 3 60 46.67% 22.93 30.0% -0.42 0.68 -0.881
Varied Terrains 2 56 55.36% 17.52 35.71% -0.972 -0.1958 -0.315
Ward the Shores 2 104 58.25% 21.65 31.73% -0.895 0.1793 -0.473

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 12966 46.23% 28.91 69.74% 0.099 0.4318 0.097
1 Thematic 780 45.63% 34.95 59.62% 0.323 1.0089 -0.617
2 Archipelago 21 33.33% 40.9 80.95% 0.0 0.6076 0.679
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4066 48.9% 28.75 68.45% 0.166 0.2858 0.454
2 Coastline 639 50.86% 29.95 58.37% 0.178 0.1061 -0.596
2 Fragment 99 48.98% 26.42 76.77% 0.553 0.3677 -0.346
2 Heart 82 56.1% 24.6 65.85% -0.483 -0.6398 0.138
2 Opposite Shores 855 36.16% 29.17 76.73% 0.141 0.2921 -0.157
2 Thematic 332 62.24% 29.92 53.31% -1.055 -0.5473 0.014
2 Top to Top 118 58.47% 30.15 66.1% 0.654 0.5952 -0.534
3 Archipelago 23 39.13% 26.96 60.87% 0.321 -0.6308 0.0
3 Coastline 17 35.29% 29.53 64.71% -0.343 -0.7534 -0.17
3 Other 73 42.47% 25.89 67.12% -0.424 -1.1956 -0.482
3 Round (Default) 2201 45.75% 31.88 72.1% -0.011 -0.1024 0.5
3 Sunrise 10 30.0% 26.2 70.0% 0.0 -0.096 0.0
3 Thematic 99 49.49% 28.65 57.58% 0.274 0.2946 0.696
4 Archipelago 17 58.82% 24.41 47.06% -0.175 -0.7046 0.57
4 Coastline 10 40.0% 25.0 40.0% 0.0 -0.0857 -0.059
4 Leaf 13 69.23% 29.46 84.62% 0.0 -0.1615 0.0
4 Other 60 45.0% 29.28 81.67% 0.0 -0.711 -0.127
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 14.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Thematic 229 37.99% 35.91 64.63% -0.426 -0.3032 0.021
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1172 39.74% 30.33 74.57% 1.161 1.1585 0.801
5 Archipelago 4 75.0% 25.75 25.0% 0.0 -0.0301 -0.353
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.1459 -0.08
5 Other 118 34.21% 25.1 70.34% -0.106 -0.6201 0.046
5 Thematic 11 18.18% 28.91 81.82% 0.0 -0.0571 0.0
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 -1.0381 -0.187
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.0
6 Other 68 22.06% 20.1 69.12% -0.05 -0.1537 -0.756
6 Star 16 62.5% 22.88 56.25% 0.264 0.2504 0.163
6 Thematic 110 20.18% 18.8 48.18% -0.014 0.2721 -0.888
6 Two Centers (Default) 178 24.43% 24.12 61.24% -1.188 -0.6547 0.589
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 19.5 50.0% 0.0 0.0647 0.0
7 Other 6 50.0% 17.17 66.67% 0.171 -0.3871 -0.033

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 728 30.98 51.79% -0.232 0.0193 0.236
Aid From Lesser Spirits 667 31.77 55.32% 0.39 0.3326 0.368
All Things Weaken 846 28.6 51.06% -0.741 -0.4067 0.18
Attenuated Essence 85 27.04 47.06% -0.311 -0.2777 0.088
Back Against the Wall 574 30.24 52.79% -0.242 -0.207 -0.337
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 91 24.67 45.05% -0.185 0.0319 0.002
Burn Brightest Before the End 78 24.27 46.15% -1.247 -1.2359 -0.233
Disintegrating Ecosystem 716 27.06 48.74% -0.585 -0.2408 -0.66
Downward Spiral 827 28.62 57.8% -0.001 0.1166 0.263
Erosion of Will 743 29.62 53.16% -0.533 -0.2585 0.204
Intensifying Exploitation 102 24.82 57.84% 0.365 0.5763 -0.397
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 291 30.19 72.85% -0.052 -0.6247 -0.009
Memory Fades to Dust 838 29.18 57.64% -0.619 -0.3669 0.183
Power Corrodes the Spirit 868 27.7 52.3% -0.181 0.0232 0.102
Promising Farmlands 674 29.0 51.19% -0.231 0.0229 0.048
Shattered Fragments of Power 57 24.04 33.33% -0.111 -0.0374 0.129
Slow Dissolution of Will 86 23.06 51.16% -0.327 0.0548 -0.916
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 198 34.31 87.37% 1.228 0.5544 0.704
The Border of Life and Death 29 27.03 75.86% -0.514 -1.1143 0.455
Thriving Communities 831 27.5 50.18% -0.541 -0.2593 0.039
Thriving Crops 41 26.76 53.66% -0.346 -0.4864 -0.781
Unnatural Proliferation 848 30.1 53.77% -0.349 -0.1458 0.558
Untended Land Crumbles 815 28.8 56.07% -0.226 -0.0359 0.475

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5303 44.72% 28.8 69.17% -0.089 0.9091 -0.326
B 5278 47.15% 28.54 68.23% -0.043 0.8791 -0.691
C 6166 43.57% 30.07 70.73% -0.194 0.5345 -0.011
D 4984 43.84% 29.14 70.55% 0.164 1.1228 0.121
E 5120 44.05% 29.76 70.18% 0.115 0.9337 0.107
F 4505 44.09% 28.75 70.1% 0.165 1.0468 -0.381
G 3945 45.58% 28.97 69.51% 0.406 1.2309 -0.189
H 3892 45.25% 29.54 71.61% 0.406 1.2446 -0.181
East 1078 44.84% 32.21 58.16% -0.766 0.109 0.433
Northeast 657 43.21% 31.91 57.38% -0.637 0.1147 0.301
Northwest 534 43.34% 31.65 56.55% 0.42 1.3118 0.403
Southeast 378 34.31% 28.46 60.05% -0.011 0.8278 1.155
Southwest 370 42.28% 23.41 48.11% -0.39 0.915 -0.787
West 1007 46.52% 30.96 56.31% 0.486 1.436 -0.483

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 391 0.0% 15.47 61.13% -0.792 -0.0631 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 209 48.39% 10.36 42.58% -0.869 -0.5233 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 651 14.76% 34.37 88.02% -0.269 -0.8722 0.14
Start of Game Growth 893 18.86% 34.77 86.45% -0.413 -0.9175 1.045
Unlimited Undo 2049 44.61% 29.26 69.45% 0.278 0.1711 0.127
Using Tokens but Not Events 2942 28.51% 25.27 80.97% 0.038 0.0079 0.428

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 775 38.36% 30.46 74.58% 0.332 0.237 0.609
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 21 33.33% 30.71 66.67% 0.127 -0.3495 1.019
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 632 44.48% 27.22 67.88% -1.062 -0.9491 -0.554
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 52 34.62% 25.38 63.46% 0.378 -0.4353 -0.429
Dances Up Earthquakes 11 27.27% 14.55 45.45% -0.057 -0.0663 -0.058
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 560 35.36% 25.87 69.11% -0.876 -1.0158 0.338
Downpour Drenches the World 115 39.47% 23.83 58.26% -0.582 -0.3549 0.057
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 153 39.74% 26.48 66.01% 0.262 -0.3072 0.08
Eyes Watch From the Trees 735 37.48% 29.68 74.97% -0.129 -0.5167 0.108
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 583 37.74% 27.61 69.98% -0.064 -0.458 -0.069
Finder of Paths Unseen 79 41.77% 21.78 65.82% 0.337 1.0655 -0.523
Fractured Days Split the Sky 447 39.23% 33.95 72.48% 0.666 1.3066 0.756
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 594 48.48% 28.65 59.26% 0.085 -0.0487 0.1
Heart of the Wildfire 423 58.17% 27.28 61.23% 0.424 0.7534 -0.893
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 849 44.44% 34.47 69.96% 0.633 0.2095 0.051
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 47 34.04% 28.89 68.09% 0.3 -0.0062 -1.041
Lightning's Swift Strike 326 41.64% 24.0 70.25% 0.257 0.4947 -0.603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 99 45.36% 28.13 62.63% 0.486 0.0789 0.61
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1039 43.47% 34.67 75.26% 0.188 -0.1314 0.926
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 644 39.78% 31.22 72.67% 0.119 0.0379 0.825
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 752 46.71% 30.79 72.07% 0.132 -0.061 -0.014
Many Minds Move as One 427 37.68% 28.26 75.64% 0.262 0.0458 0.637
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 703 46.63% 31.27 70.41% -0.381 -0.2413 0.261
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 17 47.06% 28.94 82.35% 0.351 0.4314 -0.058
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 573 39.39% 26.48 65.45% 0.014 -0.0642 0.494
River Surges in Sunlight 459 44.47% 32.56 69.93% 0.396 0.5215 0.026
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 31 40.0% 22.94 41.94% -0.201 -0.0231 -0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 744 41.13% 27.97 69.09% -0.247 0.0321 -0.522
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 117 33.04% 27.02 62.39% -0.208 -0.3304 -0.057
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 453 42.35% 33.65 74.83% 0.34 0.2131 0.175
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 15 40.0% 23.07 60.0% -0.063 -0.1758 -0.164
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 446 37.5% 32.63 75.34% 0.702 0.7818 0.507
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 94 45.65% 21.77 59.57% 0.804 0.617 -0.617
Shifting Memory of Ages 333 41.95% 22.97 59.76% -0.367 -0.0992 -0.671
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 29 31.03% 25.62 65.52% -0.217 -0.3355 0.742
Shroud of Silent Mist 433 48.6% 26.03 70.9% -0.465 -0.1138 0.385
Starlight Seeks its Form 266 35.34% 26.65 63.91% -0.538 -0.6561 1.169
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 623 41.82% 31.13 67.58% 0.07 -0.4436 -0.063
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 505 38.95% 31.69 71.49% -0.143 -0.0255 0.958
Thunderspeaker 542 48.6% 29.59 64.21% -0.343 -0.3114 -0.057
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 54 35.19% 18.09 44.44% -0.043 -0.0296 -0.333
Towering Roots of the Jungle 52 36.54% 21.19 57.69% -0.467 -0.3379 -0.562
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 484 60.25% 29.43 60.54% -0.409 -0.2822 0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth 309 40.6% 24.28 70.87% -0.39 0.2103 -1.167
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 93 34.83% 23.99 58.06% -0.205 0.2884 0.163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 492 34.32% 24.72 72.97% 0.394 1.0915 -0.677
Volcano Looming High 474 48.29% 27.24 65.19% -0.723 -0.675 -0.889
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 172 30.23% 23.36 56.4% 0.016 -0.2743 -1.167

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 71.89%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.14%
Favors Called Due 87.86%
Mantle of Dread 87.95%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2779 13.42 3.09%
II 6361 30.13 45.83%
III 9751 34.83 85.65%
IV 5542 38.67 99.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 86
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2798
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5470
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1959
Lose: Invader deck ran out 77
Lose: Adversary condition 1820
Win: Sacrifice victory 88
Lose: Scenario condition 250
Win: Scenario condition 220
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3316
Lose: Spirit destroyed 137

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.045 Win Model: -0.2

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.268 Win Model: -0.077
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 13836 46.21% 29.22 69.04%
2 6191 48.38% 29.03 68.03%
3 2405 45.69% 31.51 71.27%
4 1509 39.97% 31.02 72.76%
5 112 28.44% 23.28 68.75%
6 380 24.4% 21.5 58.16%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)