Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 57 26.32% 28.28 80.7% -0.098 -0.2397 0.166
Blitz 0 833 46.91% 32.29 69.15% -0.013 0.3257 -1.334
Dahan Insurrection 4 1181 23.39% 59.43 82.64% 0.379 0.139 0.638
Despicable Theft 2 461 40.35% 34.11 79.39% -1.151 -0.5513 -0.534
Elemental Invocation 1 618 50.97% 33.44 72.33% -0.44 0.3922 -1.33
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5858 18.29% 50.99 80.76% 0.515 0.1486 0.249
Powers Long Forgotten 1 246 64.63% 29.31 60.57% -0.991 -0.524 -0.571
Rituals of Terror 3 211 52.17% 36.37 72.51% -0.853 -1.1271 -0.665
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 146 69.86% 36.08 69.86% -1.279 -0.5835 0.526
Second Wave 0 2710 44.31% 30.15 78.93% -0.202 -0.0153 -0.581
The Great River 3 1034 62.37% 32.05 62.67% -1.569 0.0027 -1.705
Varied Terrains 2 101 47.52% 32.4 75.25% -0.497 0.1091 -0.662
Ward the Shores 2 292 25.0% 32.49 72.26% -1.51 -0.65 -1.707

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 60316 51.08% 38.46 73.91% 0.535 0.7999 0.551
1 Thematic 2222 43.65% 35.77 73.31% 0.312 0.9547 -0.272
2 Archipelago 87 32.18% 37.08 87.36% -0.033 0.9289 -0.597
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13612 52.39% 35.72 73.57% -0.004 0.204 0.089
2 Coastline 2695 46.41% 34.35 75.7% -0.435 -0.2865 0.044
2 Fragment 445 58.78% 39.17 74.38% 0.656 0.6116 1.137
2 Heart 230 57.02% 34.29 70.87% 0.647 0.5652 0.409
2 Opposite Shores 4166 40.96% 34.33 78.78% -0.023 0.14 -0.168
2 Thematic 1172 46.99% 34.58 68.34% -0.255 0.3974 0.008
2 Top to Top 558 44.96% 37.07 72.58% -0.354 -0.1844 -0.062
3 Archipelago 87 26.44% 47.33 94.25% 0.247 0.0137 0.763
3 Coastline 195 60.82% 37.17 73.85% 1.009 0.6985 0.679
3 Other 472 32.91% 31.93 89.41% 0.365 -0.2609 0.821
3 Round (Default) 9220 42.85% 37.31 77.71% 0.108 0.064 0.021
3 Sunrise 28 53.57% 35.61 82.14% 0.407 0.2179 0.673
3 Thematic 354 51.99% 37.03 70.9% -0.424 -0.3543 -0.043
4 Archipelago 67 30.3% 39.9 82.09% -0.166 0.1912 -0.009
4 Coastline 100 36.08% 34.84 86.0% -0.213 -0.6581 0.088
4 Leaf 33 63.64% 40.55 78.79% 0.0 -0.383 -1.166
4 Other 319 33.86% 34.09 89.66% 0.302 -0.4189 0.936
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.144 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5153 0.0
4 Thematic 1345 31.77% 51.14 79.55% 0.178 0.1668 -0.717
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5439 36.04% 36.2 79.9% -0.3 -0.4451 -0.325
5 Archipelago 16 43.75% 38.06 87.5% 0.488 -0.2537 0.267
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 31.8 80.0% -0.058 -0.3966 0.565
5 Other 344 31.19% 37.6 82.27% 0.15 -0.4415 0.281
5 Thematic 46 26.09% 48.98 84.78% -0.314 -0.6187 -0.324
6 Archipelago 37 18.92% 42.14 89.19% -0.162 0.003 -0.674
6 Coastline 5 60.0% 27.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
6 Other 237 25.64% 33.02 75.95% -0.874 -1.2517 -0.983
6 Star 137 26.28% 34.01 71.53% -0.256 0.3844 -1.21
6 Thematic 567 26.9% 44.19 77.25% -1.195 -1.1149 -0.99
6 Two Centers (Default) 675 22.19% 39.21 83.11% -0.447 -0.0171 -0.846
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 38.5 100.0% 0.135 -0.8725 0.0
7 Other 11 10.0% 38.45 100.0% 0.045 -0.2548 1.05

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3502 35.95 55.4% -0.916 0.0551 -1.443
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3123 37.04 58.09% -0.937 -0.1514 -1.197
All Things Weaken 3931 33.42 50.27% -1.167 -0.0789 -1.743
Attenuated Essence 20 39.45 70.0% 0.277 1.1645 -0.197
Back Against the Wall 2918 35.93 56.1% -0.772 0.0572 -1.349
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 22 26.18 50.0% -0.762 0.4887 -1.012
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 28.31 43.75% -1.154 -0.2133 -0.455
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3337 32.27 51.63% -1.333 -0.2136 -1.664
Downward Spiral 3891 34.55 58.83% -0.919 0.0438 -1.409
Erosion of Will 3632 34.62 51.16% -1.174 -0.0574 -1.648
Intensifying Exploitation 21 32.95 47.62% -0.839 0.2351 -0.675
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1531 40.34 83.08% -0.196 -0.312 -0.552
Memory Fades to Dust 3992 34.37 55.41% -0.804 0.3092 -1.522
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3971 33.71 54.82% -1.142 -0.1861 -1.599
Promising Farmlands 3345 33.43 51.87% -0.913 0.2221 -1.696
Shattered Fragments of Power 19 29.95 31.58% -1.438 -0.5157 -1.9
Slow Dissolution of Will 26 27.88 34.62% -1.231 0.0389 -1.447
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 991 42.53 87.49% 0.056 -0.232 0.079
The Border of Life and Death 8 27.0 62.5% -0.291 0.1215 -0.24
Thriving Communities 3914 32.7 52.15% -1.536 -0.389 -1.676
Thriving Crops 8 20.5 37.5% -0.521 0.3552 -0.937
Unnatural Proliferation 4141 34.85 52.93% -1.408 -0.443 -1.593
Untended Land Crumbles 3985 33.23 53.6% -1.158 -0.1254 -1.598

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 22694 45.72% 36.63 76.01% 0.224 1.0939 -0.029
B 25374 47.13% 37.6 75.91% 0.499 1.266 0.157
C 22736 45.08% 36.33 76.82% -0.033 0.5623 -0.146
D 19391 45.14% 35.25 76.01% -0.148 0.672 -0.257
E 26236 46.4% 39.72 76.12% 0.318 0.9706 0.251
F 18380 44.5% 36.63 76.55% 0.228 0.9591 -0.107
G 15362 45.92% 35.67 75.62% 0.055 0.7707 -0.246
H 16143 44.74% 36.98 77.17% 0.253 0.9493 -0.045
East 4273 39.2% 42.61 75.4% -0.214 0.4463 -0.196
Northeast 2546 37.0% 44.05 75.84% -0.031 0.8336 -0.134
Northwest 2170 37.11% 43.9 75.07% -0.076 0.5099 -0.147
Southeast 1915 35.71% 42.79 75.67% -0.86 -0.1685 -0.277
Southwest 2085 35.96% 40.35 75.3% -0.201 1.0409 0.038
West 4268 38.88% 41.27 74.11% -0.317 0.6991 -0.371

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 650 0.0% 29.89 87.08% -2.423 -0.9352 0.376
Not Using Events or Tokens 35 51.72% 24.74 82.86% 0.0 0.1911 -0.361
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2409 13.74% 48.49 92.69% 1.239 0.5227 -0.259
Start of Game Growth 4830 19.2% 51.11 89.59% 0.753 0.2807 1.125
Unlimited Undo 9558 37.5% 40.8 84.09% 0.091 -0.1601 0.716
Using Tokens but Not Events 10865 31.86% 35.34 84.8% 0.168 0.1689 -0.385

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4851 100.0% 37.29 100.0% 0.579 0.4253 0.348
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1144 100.0% 32.61 100.0% -0.1 -0.0485 -0.316
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1867 100.0% 33.37 100.0% -0.005 -0.211 0.059
Downpour Drenches the World 601 100.0% 38.16 100.0% -0.402 -0.0567 0.249
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 244 100.0% 30.91 100.0% -0.469 -0.6826 -0.645
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2896 100.0% 36.79 100.0% -0.251 -0.7663 0.144
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2640 100.0% 37.49 100.0% -0.148 -0.5697 -0.386
Finder of Paths Unseen 476 100.0% 38.16 100.0% 0.785 1.3058 0.692
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1551 100.0% 43.87 100.0% 0.007 0.3318 0.753
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1445 100.0% 36.2 100.0% 0.013 -0.1047 0.337
Heart of the Wildfire 1708 100.0% 33.44 100.0% -0.361 -0.1599 -0.375
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7859 100.0% 39.93 100.0% 0.35 -0.2531 0.181
Lightning's Swift Strike 1290 218.91% 33.68 138.99% -0.197 0.0825 -0.411
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 239 42.02% 43.75 71.97% 0.1 -0.6475 -0.007
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 757 37.72% 37.69 81.64% -0.026 -0.4846 0.752
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1502 37.17% 44.76 80.23% 0.749 0.4623 1.016
Many Minds Move as One 3334 100.0% 37.16 100.0% -0.047 -0.4748 0.586
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6779 100.0% 36.45 100.0% -0.188 -0.3026 0.162
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1758 100.0% 34.37 100.0% -0.045 -0.109 -0.288
River Surges in Sunlight 2295 137.05% 37.82 116.21% 0.226 0.1402 0.165
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1222 42.42% 36.76 74.47% 0.151 0.2904 -0.549
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 280 44.24% 41.56 78.57% 0.27 0.0072 0.386
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3208 100.0% 41.44 100.0% 0.187 0.0393 -0.001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 322 299.1% 31.82 190.06% -0.155 0.2496 -0.855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 37.8% 42.49 80.72% 0.044 0.095 0.407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 44.12% 38.49 77.14% 0.151 0.1753 -0.164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 581 48.62% 32.3 73.84% -0.015 -0.0698 -0.334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 493 43.76% 33.19 78.5% 0.256 0.3644 -0.223
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3980 100.78% 41.25 100.43% 0.312 0.1208 0.291
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 44 29.55% 37.25 61.36% -0.566 -0.5296 -0.153
Shifting Memory of Ages 1361 100.0% 34.67 100.0% -0.318 -0.0433 0.027
Shroud of Silent Mist 1270 100.0% 31.17 100.0% -0.391 -0.1378 -0.017
Starlight Seeks its Form 1552 100.0% 38.06 100.0% -0.219 -0.4012 0.057
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4053 100.0% 38.79 100.0% 0.079 -0.3656 0.182
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2267 100.0% 38.98 100.0% -0.17 -0.0798 0.777
Thunderspeaker 2442 100.45% 37.28 100.16% 0.026 -0.0267 -0.232
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 38.89% 41.0 77.78% 0.352 0.6015 -0.083
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1908 100.0% 32.98 100.0% 0.1 -0.0233 -0.138
Vital Strength of the Earth 765 146.41% 29.9 123.92% -0.64 0.0003 -0.925
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 145 43.45% 36.31 66.21% 0.5 0.8771 -0.775
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 494 44.31% 32.67 72.87% -0.076 0.9516 -0.611
Volcano Looming High 3075 100.0% 34.65 100.0% -0.353 -0.3569 -0.035

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 80.71%
Perils of the Deepest Island 91.88%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.3%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9697 22.19 17.03%
II 47246 31.1 69.57%
III 38091 34.71 89.91%
IV 10226 37.97 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1651
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33753
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32033
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10131
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 465
Lose: Invader deck ran out 625
Lose: Adversary condition 7374
Win: Sacrifice victory 204
Lose: Scenario condition 1016
Win: Scenario condition 1187
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16357
Lose: Spirit destroyed 464

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.913 Win Model: -0.229

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.047 Win Model: 0.163
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 62721 50.86% 38.36 73.84%
2 23028 49.19% 35.43 74.73%
3 10269 42.89% 37.03 77.88%
4 7320 34.81% 38.97 80.75%
5 267 23.72% 34.61 80.52%
6 1655 24.5% 39.71 79.52%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-12 02:39:41 (Pacific Time)