Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 245 24.9% 25.58 66.94% -0.156 -0.3774 -0.471
Blitz 0 1530 41.01% 27.45 62.81% -0.852 -0.6338 -0.978
Dahan Insurrection 4 2124 21.91% 51.09 70.43% 0.429 0.6045 0.743
Despicable Theft 2 861 39.07% 29.65 67.36% -0.299 0.1759 -1.007
Elemental Invocation 1 1076 47.67% 28.52 60.41% 0.305 0.8862 -0.753
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9547 17.93% 46.81 73.83% 0.796 0.296 0.731
Powers Long Forgotten 1 511 51.27% 22.94 47.36% -0.235 0.65 -0.721
Rituals of Terror 3 418 40.41% 31.18 61.0% 0.264 0.8207 -0.567
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 275 60.36% 29.97 56.36% -1.524 -0.693 -0.484
Second Wave 0 5060 43.16% 27.93 72.94% 0.412 0.3541 0.076
The Great River 3 1555 57.67% 28.34 54.79% -1.157 0.0356 0.473
Varied Terrains 2 405 55.56% 27.26 54.32% -0.737 -0.1724 -0.188
Ward the Shores 2 585 21.54% 22.16 50.6% -0.623 0.2995 -0.614

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 105547 48.97% 34.33 66.49% 0.37 0.7625 0.528
1 Thematic 3776 41.49% 32.53 65.28% -0.136 0.6008 -0.383
2 Archipelago 186 37.63% 34.26 70.43% 0.268 0.1324 0.16
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25579 49.06% 31.4 65.22% 0.202 0.4644 -0.007
2 Coastline 5095 44.41% 29.99 65.89% 0.328 0.4243 -0.187
2 Fragment 768 53.8% 33.49 68.1% -0.466 0.0244 0.323
2 Heart 464 50.22% 30.39 62.93% 0.376 0.107 0.836
2 Opposite Shores 8321 41.59% 29.57 66.88% 0.499 0.71 -0.267
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2367 43.32% 29.09 55.47% -0.314 0.2435 -0.742
2 Top to Top 1254 46.84% 30.9 59.25% 1.091 0.9676 0.103
3 Archipelago 140 30.71% 41.03 83.57% -0.466 -0.0407 -0.164
3 Coastline 318 53.94% 32.6 65.09% -0.512 -1.3862 0.397
3 Other 869 28.8% 25.07 69.51% -0.279 -0.4909 0.185
3 Round (Default) 18977 42.49% 31.89 66.22% 0.148 0.3607 -0.539
3 Sunrise 64 54.69% 30.11 65.63% -0.071 -0.4475 0.292
3 Thematic 740 47.02% 32.12 59.73% -0.018 -0.202 0.315
4 Archipelago 120 31.93% 40.91 81.67% 0.264 -0.3688 0.643
4 Coastline 151 37.16% 29.5 73.51% -0.508 -0.6677 0.615
4 Leaf 78 52.56% 32.56 69.23% -0.149 -0.4222 0.515
4 Other 495 33.81% 30.18 82.42% -0.13 -0.5299 0.335
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1833 31.82% 45.78 72.12% 0.221 0.4106 0.102
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10148 35.42% 30.83 68.21% -0.291 -0.0279 -0.957
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 0.4122 0.0
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 26.77 68.18% 0.909 0.0718 0.231
5 Other 1003 36.3% 30.34 69.89% -0.14 -0.4005 -0.19
5 Thematic 107 38.32% 35.03 67.29% 0.511 0.3041 0.0
6 Archipelago 86 17.44% 33.97 73.26% -0.142 -0.8727 -0.255
6 Coastline 21 23.81% 17.19 52.38% 0.0 -0.1191 0.0
6 Other 699 23.05% 26.26 65.38% -0.557 -0.5565 0.084
6 Star 362 22.93% 29.31 66.3% 0.629 0.8692 -0.694
6 Thematic 1638 22.62% 39.67 62.94% 0.053 0.315 -0.195
6 Two Centers (Default) 2261 20.61% 30.76 65.24% -1.019 0.061 -0.877
7 Archipelago 11 20.0% 19.73 45.45% -0.482 0.5795 0.0
7 Other 38 13.51% 25.39 55.26% -0.508 -0.4686 -0.236

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5426 33.42 51.42% -0.44 -0.3676 0.075
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4756 35.74 56.18% -0.097 -0.1439 0.304
All Things Weaken 6262 30.86 47.01% -0.542 -0.1732 -0.113
Attenuated Essence 1313 28.65 44.71% -0.698 -0.6698 0.029
Back Against the Wall 4500 34.29 53.84% -0.213 -0.2942 0.425
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1293 27.2 41.3% -1.04 -0.8371 -0.09
Burn Brightest Before the End 1066 31.96 44.93% -0.573 -0.4719 -0.162
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5302 29.85 47.36% -0.747 -0.3848 0.055
Downward Spiral 6463 31.95 54.91% -0.612 -0.4097 0.102
Erosion of Will 5687 32.39 48.39% -0.819 -0.4935 -0.152
Intensifying Exploitation 1435 28.49 44.67% -0.347 -0.0294 0.054
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2440 36.85 76.35% -0.194 -0.713 0.72
Memory Fades to Dust 6407 31.97 52.08% -0.358 -0.0815 -0.018
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6236 31.23 51.25% -0.264 -0.0661 0.023
Promising Farmlands 5348 31.28 48.54% -0.417 -0.0453 -0.352
Shattered Fragments of Power 1109 30.91 44.54% -0.485 -0.2938 0.223
Slow Dissolution of Will 1379 27.31 37.64% -1.021 -0.6448 -0.555
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1554 38.24 79.86% -0.235 -0.8181 0.157
The Border of Life and Death 345 30.53 61.16% 0.788 0.1274 0.479
Thriving Communities 6227 30.5 48.53% -0.353 -0.1317 -0.072
Thriving Crops 594 28.46 52.53% 0.206 0.0988 0.594
Unnatural Proliferation 6577 32.85 50.16% -0.649 -0.5526 0.303
Untended Land Crumbles 6303 31.03 50.18% -0.578 -0.3785 -0.039

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 44013 43.36% 31.51 65.63% -0.057 0.8511 0.083
B 49044 44.85% 32.76 66.19% 0.038 0.8681 0.29
C 43703 42.75% 31.65 67.0% 0.193 0.9451 0.048
D 37964 42.81% 30.28 65.4% -0.166 0.705 0.007
E 49278 43.81% 34.37 67.43% 0.42 1.1229 0.419
F 35601 42.26% 31.88 67.51% 0.196 1.0075 0.266
G 29495 43.44% 30.91 65.35% -0.157 0.6638 -0.369
H 30981 42.47% 32.3 67.68% -0.09 0.6683 0.129
East 7978 36.87% 37.02 64.29% -0.161 0.7597 -0.603
Northeast 4887 34.15% 38.5 64.5% -0.398 0.3255 -0.062
Northwest 4291 33.09% 38.24 63.85% 0.349 1.333 -0.836
Southeast 3911 32.1% 37.8 64.89% -0.115 0.7373 0.456
Southwest 4197 32.45% 35.76 63.71% 0.962 2.239 0.557
West 7907 36.05% 35.69 62.97% -0.321 0.37 -0.414

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1639 0.0% 27.28 81.21% -0.357 0.5515 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 136 35.09% 24.76 88.97% 0.506 0.8938 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4416 13.89% 43.07 82.34% 0.221 -0.5026 -0.63
Start of Game Growth 9599 19.76% 45.26 77.63% 0.95 0.4617 1.366
Unlimited Undo 17744 35.58% 35.25 72.61% 0.297 0.378 0.073
Using Tokens but Not Events 22087 31.48% 30.52 73.17% -0.329 -0.3735 -0.492

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8507 33.05% 32.54 70.68% 0.152 0.0198 0.031
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 922 36.23% 32.23 57.81% 0.946 0.6167 0.756
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 87 48.28% 30.57 62.07% 0.532 0.3029 0.489
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 492 34.35% 30.55 64.23% 0.161 -0.4796 0.625
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1895 46.07% 28.39 66.6% 0.369 0.5963 -0.262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 463 45.45% 30.25 62.42% -0.818 -1.4764 0.413
Dances Up Earthquakes 709 44.15% 24.77 46.4% 0.395 0.597 -0.348
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3417 36.71% 28.74 69.15% 0.071 -0.1161 -0.58
Downpour Drenches the World 2275 35.17% 28.12 56.0% -0.067 0.2822 0.539
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3229 36.43% 28.8 60.27% 0.146 -0.3365 1.005
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5141 31.57% 32.52 73.86% 0.283 0.0138 0.243
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4933 32.31% 33.26 68.88% -0.099 -0.4635 -0.783
Finder of Paths Unseen 1674 42.41% 26.22 56.51% -0.275 0.6512 -0.191
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2715 30.87% 36.83 68.4% -0.653 -0.1853 -0.123
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3315 41.41% 29.39 63.44% -0.309 -0.3352 -0.203
Heart of the Wildfire 3344 47.61% 29.28 60.65% -0.016 0.3471 -0.333
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13219 37.28% 36.29 69.38% -0.211 -0.5988 0.453
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 993 32.9% 28.92 56.29% -0.501 -0.8464 0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike 2522 40.93% 28.18 68.0% -0.086 0.0708 -0.99
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 969 39.11% 35.72 59.34% 0.939 0.3333 0.963
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1271 34.81% 32.15 70.1% 0.11 -0.2006 -0.316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2650 34.58% 39.47 69.85% 0.14 -0.1181 0.622
Many Minds Move as One 6407 38.34% 31.35 69.19% 0.274 0.2582 -0.114
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12923 37.21% 30.7 67.48% -0.053 -0.1007 0.131
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1154 41.36% 23.89 51.65% -0.481 -0.3211 -0.402
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3403 41.37% 30.45 68.85% -0.097 -0.316 0.186
River Surges in Sunlight 4053 39.53% 31.9 68.57% 0.138 0.1659 -0.419
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 316 35.14% 31.64 52.22% 0.153 0.2781 -0.167
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2387 43.32% 30.78 60.37% 0.093 0.2424 0.612
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1429 37.47% 33.84 59.2% 0.36 0.4753 0.99
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5555 31.15% 36.28 69.36% 0.604 0.3503 0.121
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 403 43.42% 24.07 45.16% 0.021 -0.1785 0.226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 605 48.33% 27.13 67.6% 0.984 1.5724 0.805
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 266 36.64% 29.93 64.66% -0.504 -0.4694 0.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 676 39.97% 37.09 63.02% 0.871 0.4874 0.146
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 256 39.37% 25.54 51.56% -0.362 -0.3371 0.032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 808 45.49% 30.19 70.92% 0.7 0.5999 -0.547
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 745 41.89% 28.19 69.13% -0.452 -0.185 -0.43
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5832 34.8% 36.75 75.21% 0.449 0.2871 0.325
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 83 42.17% 27.01 61.45% 0.17 -0.3246 0.129
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1804 29.25% 35.27 61.14% -0.271 -0.2516 0.398
Shifting Memory of Ages 2721 42.86% 29.26 62.26% 0.292 0.6388 -1.043
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 722 41.47% 28.29 52.49% 0.134 0.1625 0.125
Shroud of Silent Mist 2327 45.28% 26.47 63.77% -0.364 0.2054 -0.828
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 56 39.29% 21.63 53.57% -0.508 -0.818 -0.398
Starlight Seeks its Form 4052 36.87% 31.65 64.17% 0.01 -0.0846 0.645
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6998 39.51% 34.16 67.36% 0.366 -0.1953 -0.393
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3878 39.27% 33.6 69.98% -0.357 -0.1629 0.2
Thunderspeaker 4372 36.5% 33.17 70.63% -0.404 -0.3918 0.182
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 534 29.49% 25.92 54.12% -1.479 -1.4313 -0.486
Towering Roots of the Jungle 996 38.27% 27.35 53.92% -0.178 -0.0009 -0.034
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3356 56.71% 29.44 60.52% -0.279 -0.2604 -0.161
Vital Strength of the Earth 1516 35.32% 25.01 70.32% 0.282 0.7935 -0.763
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 645 40.59% 27.64 53.64% -0.927 -0.5779 -0.027
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 810 41.61% 28.27 62.22% 0.146 0.9447 -0.147
Volcano Looming High 5302 45.23% 30.52 66.41% -0.016 -0.0458 -0.444
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1426 33.08% 27.93 61.29% -0.604 -0.8552 -0.317

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.43%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.31%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.62%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.96%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33180 12.37 8.38%
II 81299 29.93 65.49%
III 62339 34.92 89.1%
IV 16756 38.86 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2780
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54790
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 51979
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16601
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22952
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1016
Lose: Adversary condition 12117
Win: Sacrifice victory 322
Lose: Scenario condition 1567
Win: Scenario condition 1791
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26905
Lose: Spirit destroyed 754

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.959 Win Model: -0.201

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.441 Win Model: -0.051
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 109776 48.69% 34.22 66.33%
2 44014 46.81% 30.92 65.26%
3 20922 42.33% 31.68 66.18%
4 12808 34.58% 33.05 69.86%
5 994 35.56% 28.32 66.1%
6 5060 21.54% 32.95 64.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)