Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 257 24.51% 24.77 64.98% -1.073 -0.703 -0.388
Blitz 0 1556 40.78% 27.34 62.47% -0.609 -0.1769 -1.003
Dahan Insurrection 4 2140 21.84% 50.9 70.19% -1.084 -1.1104 0.504
Despicable Theft 2 875 39.02% 29.66 67.43% 0.061 0.7206 -0.778
Elemental Invocation 1 1093 47.57% 28.38 60.2% -0.248 0.2001 -0.631
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9735 17.88% 46.76 73.73% 0.735 0.1358 0.498
Powers Long Forgotten 1 529 50.85% 22.56 46.5% -1.24 -0.6317 -0.717
Rituals of Terror 3 427 40.5% 31.1 60.42% -0.401 -0.2763 -0.39
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 281 60.5% 29.75 55.52% -0.42 0.3185 -0.468
Second Wave 0 5138 43.06% 27.91 72.97% 0.422 0.5281 -0.192
The Great River 3 1567 57.35% 28.21 54.63% -1.189 -0.0147 0.314
Varied Terrains 2 421 54.63% 27.52 53.68% -0.759 -0.0225 -0.506
Ward the Shores 2 592 21.45% 22.04 50.17% -1.574 -0.8913 -0.644

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 107112 48.9% 34.28 66.4% 0.239 0.4636 0.564
1 Thematic 3855 41.76% 32.48 64.7% -0.162 0.3881 -0.584
2 Archipelago 188 37.23% 34.47 70.74% 0.132 -0.2215 0.323
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25998 48.97% 31.31 64.99% -0.107 0.0039 0.08
2 Coastline 5179 44.34% 29.91 65.8% 0.267 0.1774 0.001
2 Fragment 791 53.75% 33.79 68.39% 0.688 0.3492 0.076
2 Heart 470 50.0% 30.23 62.98% 0.093 -0.2343 0.315
2 Opposite Shores 8478 41.5% 29.5 66.76% -0.042 -0.006 -0.044
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2394 43.25% 29.06 55.35% -0.696 -0.1671 -0.942
2 Top to Top 1274 46.81% 30.91 59.26% 0.285 0.0784 0.273
3 Archipelago 142 30.28% 40.64 83.1% -0.277 -0.1759 -0.157
3 Coastline 325 52.78% 32.14 64.62% -0.395 -0.9158 0.546
3 Other 884 28.54% 24.95 69.34% -0.108 -0.8497 0.254
3 Round (Default) 19340 42.42% 31.79 65.96% 0.124 0.0281 -0.451
3 Sunrise 66 54.55% 30.14 66.67% 0.468 -0.2717 0.276
3 Thematic 749 46.85% 32.12 59.68% 0.175 0.4174 -0.092
4 Archipelago 121 31.67% 41.12 81.82% 0.079 0.1603 0.738
4 Coastline 151 37.16% 29.5 73.51% 0.0 0.2598 0.724
4 Leaf 84 53.57% 32.18 66.67% 0.036 -0.5187 0.635
4 Other 500 33.87% 30.23 82.4% 0.037 -0.5104 0.51
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1871 31.87% 45.42 71.73% 0.324 0.7978 0.287
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10290 35.36% 30.75 68.11% 0.245 0.0564 -0.998
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 26.77 68.18% 0.0 -0.6104 0.254
5 Other 1015 36.67% 30.21 69.46% -0.665 -0.9914 -0.265
5 Thematic 113 40.71% 35.12 68.14% -0.121 -0.6117 -0.38
6 Archipelago 90 16.67% 35.56 74.44% 0.917 -0.0082 -0.068
6 Coastline 21 23.81% 17.19 52.38% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 703 22.92% 26.21 65.43% 0.076 0.3451 -0.041
6 Star 366 22.95% 29.32 66.12% -0.549 0.2472 -0.817
6 Thematic 1667 22.53% 39.69 62.81% -0.166 0.4148 0.27
6 Two Centers (Default) 2299 20.71% 30.65 65.12% -0.151 -0.1743 -1.006
7 Archipelago 11 20.0% 19.73 45.45% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 38 13.51% 25.39 55.26% -0.059 -0.3148 -0.311

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5502 33.4 51.36% -0.142 0.1685 0.057
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4809 35.66 56.02% -0.515 -0.5023 0.142
All Things Weaken 6347 30.82 46.9% -0.639 -0.165 -0.13
Attenuated Essence 1353 28.6 44.35% -0.524 -0.3779 -0.175
Back Against the Wall 4572 34.22 53.87% -0.025 0.1045 0.071
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1328 27.16 41.27% -0.638 -0.3183 -0.079
Burn Brightest Before the End 1095 31.82 44.84% -0.791 -0.6139 -0.498
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5363 29.77 47.19% -0.716 -0.3358 0.014
Downward Spiral 6550 31.9 54.81% -0.446 -0.2528 0.103
Erosion of Will 5742 32.36 48.43% 0.186 0.5235 -0.167
Intensifying Exploitation 1485 28.57 44.71% -0.207 0.1458 0.24
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2463 36.88 76.17% 0.371 0.0075 0.564
Memory Fades to Dust 6473 31.95 52.08% -0.139 0.1906 0.036
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6328 31.19 51.15% -0.326 -0.0592 0.097
Promising Farmlands 5426 31.18 48.36% -0.695 -0.2472 -0.408
Shattered Fragments of Power 1145 31.05 44.72% -0.159 -0.1595 0.241
Slow Dissolution of Will 1423 27.39 37.74% -0.558 -0.1467 -0.51
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1570 38.15 79.68% 0.022 -0.5364 -0.254
The Border of Life and Death 355 30.41 61.69% 0.583 0.3379 0.521
Thriving Communities 6308 30.42 48.37% -0.955 -0.6778 -0.031
Thriving Crops 613 28.68 52.85% 0.269 0.1738 0.24
Unnatural Proliferation 6665 32.81 50.1% -0.466 -0.261 0.238
Untended Land Crumbles 6384 30.99 50.11% -0.377 -0.0778 -0.07

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 44682 43.3% 31.42 65.46% 0.19 1.182 0.186
B 49827 44.75% 32.7 66.08% 0.118 0.983 0.319
C 44427 42.7% 31.58 66.82% 0.116 0.8678 0.09
D 38583 42.77% 30.19 65.2% -0.124 0.8212 -0.075
E 50078 43.74% 34.3 67.29% 0.416 1.1713 0.436
F 36189 42.23% 31.81 67.32% 0.191 1.0652 0.406
G 29951 43.4% 30.85 65.26% 0.057 0.9191 -0.215
H 31471 42.39% 32.25 67.57% 0.368 1.1752 0.262
East 8137 37.01% 36.9 63.88% -0.517 0.2289 -0.733
Northeast 4998 34.44% 38.34 63.99% -0.541 0.3518 -0.214
Northwest 4367 33.07% 38.17 63.8% 0.329 1.072 -0.77
Southeast 3982 31.95% 37.75 64.67% -0.727 0.2819 0.846
Southwest 4270 32.36% 35.74 63.63% 0.475 1.6314 -0.123
West 8031 35.97% 35.65 62.91% 0.337 1.3194 -0.446

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1646 0.0% 27.25 81.11% -0.562 0.1574 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 136 35.09% 24.76 88.97% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4473 13.92% 43.05 82.32% 0.572 -0.2328 -0.624
Start of Game Growth 9788 19.75% 45.22 77.51% 0.639 0.0722 1.115
Unlimited Undo 18014 35.62% 35.16 72.47% 0.085 0.1121 0.182
Using Tokens but Not Events 22504 31.4% 30.48 73.0% 0.235 0.2079 -0.338

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8621 33.16% 32.43 70.41% 0.17 -0.2483 -0.296
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 960 36.15% 32.32 58.13% 0.854 0.1983 0.827
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 111 46.85% 30.42 62.16% -0.082 -0.2401 0.415
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 668 32.93% 32.14 65.42% 0.591 -0.2694 0.924
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1929 46.29% 28.35 66.46% 0.064 0.2016 -0.478
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 473 45.76% 30.35 62.58% 0.612 -0.4175 0.515
Dances Up Earthquakes 740 43.11% 25.02 47.57% 0.767 0.7313 0.304
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3466 36.8% 28.7 68.93% -0.061 -0.4158 -0.521
Downpour Drenches the World 2321 35.12% 27.95 55.88% -0.392 -0.2681 0.475
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3297 36.46% 28.84 60.36% 0.825 0.2544 0.763
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5209 31.56% 32.46 73.68% 0.357 -0.2887 -0.018
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5042 32.25% 32.95 68.27% -0.808 -1.3014 -0.6
Finder of Paths Unseen 1708 42.51% 26.26 56.62% 0.294 0.882 -0.126
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2756 30.99% 36.64 68.07% -0.367 0.0801 -0.0
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3373 41.11% 29.31 63.36% 0.1 -0.0853 -0.258
Heart of the Wildfire 3403 47.56% 29.25 60.71% 0.428 0.5704 -0.282
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13414 37.18% 36.19 69.16% -0.311 -0.9854 0.463
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1026 33.01% 28.73 56.34% -0.063 -0.5902 -0.096
Lightning's Swift Strike 2547 40.84% 28.06 67.77% -0.42 -0.3869 -1.101
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 982 38.69% 35.71 59.16% -0.294 -0.946 0.656
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1298 35.24% 31.95 69.18% -0.552 -1.048 -0.443
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2685 34.84% 39.34 69.57% 0.345 0.1058 0.307
Many Minds Move as One 6495 38.27% 31.26 69.04% 0.238 -0.271 -0.305
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13093 37.17% 30.65 67.42% 0.36 0.0906 0.246
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1210 41.01% 23.74 51.57% -0.502 -0.6156 -0.36
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3442 41.31% 30.31 68.56% -0.611 -0.9044 0.347
River Surges in Sunlight 4105 39.54% 31.84 68.43% 0.41 0.2395 -0.346
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 324 34.89% 31.91 52.78% 0.419 0.3079 -0.368
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2429 43.15% 30.78 60.23% 0.557 0.4912 0.732
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1449 37.23% 33.82 59.35% 0.591 0.4604 1.105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5597 31.18% 36.26 69.29% 0.357 0.0931 0.472
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 427 44.03% 24.04 45.2% 0.041 -0.3891 0.051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 606 48.25% 27.13 67.49% -0.635 -0.2069 0.273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 271 37.08% 29.77 64.21% -0.14 -0.1357 0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 694 40.09% 37.16 62.82% 0.496 -0.2567 0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 259 38.91% 25.61 52.12% 0.556 0.2375 -0.068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 817 45.11% 29.97 70.5% -0.765 -0.9437 -0.468
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 750 41.74% 28.11 69.07% -0.411 -0.4542 -0.446
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5871 34.72% 36.68 75.1% 0.027 -0.3388 0.224
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 108 41.67% 27.43 62.04% 0.228 -0.3125 0.378
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1833 28.9% 35.46 61.43% 0.378 0.1333 0.616
Shifting Memory of Ages 2765 43.01% 29.03 61.59% -1.439 -1.1449 -1.457
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 742 41.16% 28.41 52.96% 0.46 0.2964 0.025
Shroud of Silent Mist 2345 45.4% 26.42 63.67% -0.294 -0.1121 -0.885
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 75 36.0% 21.96 56.0% 0.075 -0.3354 -0.512
Starlight Seeks its Form 4131 37.01% 31.64 64.0% -0.175 -0.4175 0.821
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7080 39.46% 34.09 67.29% 0.446 -0.5061 -0.434
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3933 38.97% 33.53 69.92% 0.443 0.486 0.287
Thunderspeaker 4424 36.34% 33.08 70.55% 0.262 0.0669 0.644
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 542 29.42% 25.6 53.51% -1.431 -1.5999 -0.695
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1034 37.92% 27.32 53.68% -0.235 -0.3464 -0.275
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3390 56.7% 29.4 60.44% -0.279 -0.4294 -0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth 1531 35.26% 24.93 69.89% -1.128 -0.7691 -0.811
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 654 40.95% 27.77 53.82% 0.667 0.9099 0.119
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 818 41.45% 28.17 61.98% -0.641 0.0403 0.084
Volcano Looming High 5373 45.22% 30.46 66.18% -0.209 -0.5335 -0.202
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1480 33.76% 27.88 60.81% -0.356 -0.8732 -0.257

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.43%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.33%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.61%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.96%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 34003 12.25 8.37%
II 82468 29.91 65.43%
III 63168 34.94 89.09%
IV 17005 38.9 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2845
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 55514
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 52689
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16850
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23692
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1031
Lose: Adversary condition 12271
Win: Sacrifice victory 325
Lose: Scenario condition 1594
Win: Scenario condition 1798
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27269
Lose: Spirit destroyed 766

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.911 Win Model: -0.207

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.23 Win Model: -0.141
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 111424 48.63% 34.17 66.22%
2 44751 46.73% 30.85 65.09%
3 21324 42.23% 31.59 65.94%
4 12992 34.54% 32.95 69.69%
5 1014 36.15% 28.27 65.98%
6 5139 21.52% 32.95 64.64%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)