Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 199 21.61% 26.7 68.84% -0.38 -0.2351 -0.1
Blitz 0 1371 41.76% 28.11 64.11% -0.328 -0.0937 -1.002
Dahan Insurrection 4 1979 22.41% 51.74 70.74% 0.552 0.3088 0.635
Despicable Theft 2 772 38.78% 30.49 69.43% -0.138 0.5029 -0.617
Elemental Invocation 1 932 48.44% 29.55 63.3% -0.445 0.3036 -1.25
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8703 18.05% 47.35 74.72% 0.575 0.0263 0.567
Powers Long Forgotten 1 467 52.89% 23.62 48.39% -0.985 -0.2781 -1.356
Rituals of Terror 3 377 41.43% 32.14 63.66% -1.0 -0.8752 -0.537
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 248 61.69% 31.24 59.27% -0.517 0.4093 0.052
Second Wave 0 4475 43.51% 28.05 73.56% -0.102 0.0376 -0.141
The Great River 3 1440 58.32% 28.78 55.63% -0.908 0.2044 -1.435
Varied Terrains 2 340 54.12% 26.44 54.41% -0.855 -0.0678 -0.869
Ward the Shores 2 504 22.42% 23.44 52.78% -1.788 -0.7165 -1.853

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 95276 49.41% 34.85 67.36% 0.38 0.7484 0.877
1 Thematic 3445 41.41% 33.0 66.82% 0.081 0.7615 0.105
2 Archipelago 176 36.36% 34.22 70.45% 0.018 0.7445 0.243
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 22734 49.16% 32.03 66.4% 0.278 0.4212 0.232
2 Coastline 4563 43.93% 30.47 67.41% 0.034 -0.0034 0.111
2 Fragment 707 54.69% 34.42 69.17% 0.596 0.4552 1.207
2 Heart 422 51.2% 30.81 63.03% 0.527 0.4291 0.415
2 Opposite Shores 7257 41.67% 30.15 68.69% -0.134 0.0634 0.009
2 Thematic 2106 44.01% 29.7 56.79% -0.473 0.0372 -0.126
2 Top to Top 1121 44.4% 31.08 60.3% -0.215 -0.2402 -0.15
3 Archipelago 127 32.28% 42.88 86.61% 1.106 0.3197 1.51
3 Coastline 293 54.11% 33.46 67.24% 0.2 -0.1463 0.884
3 Other 784 28.35% 25.9 71.68% -0.272 -0.9263 0.806
3 Round (Default) 16627 42.88% 32.57 67.25% -0.027 -0.0723 -0.08
3 Sunrise 56 53.57% 29.02 67.86% -0.584 -0.6204 0.942
3 Thematic 663 47.2% 32.41 60.78% -0.045 -0.0584 -0.45
4 Archipelago 112 33.33% 40.89 81.25% -0.089 -0.3021 0.4
4 Coastline 136 36.09% 30.74 77.21% -0.278 -0.3325 -0.588
4 Leaf 68 54.41% 33.22 69.12% 0.797 0.6631 -1.091
4 Other 443 34.62% 31.07 84.2% 0.39 -0.1794 1.188
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3327 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.435 0.0
4 Thematic 1682 31.76% 46.8 73.96% -0.106 -0.0611 -0.901
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8981 34.84% 31.71 69.98% -0.218 -0.1756 -0.556
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% -0.475 -0.7496 1.208
5 Coastline 20 10.0% 26.1 70.0% 0.311 0.2622 0.453
5 Other 862 35.36% 31.21 71.35% 0.152 -0.3052 0.044
5 Thematic 93 37.63% 36.22 67.74% 0.397 0.0923 0.379
6 Archipelago 81 14.81% 34.48 75.31% 0.09 -0.887 -0.726
6 Coastline 14 21.43% 18.21 57.14% 0.0 -0.8959 -0.537
6 Other 601 23.32% 26.76 65.72% -0.783 -0.836 -0.952
6 Star 307 23.13% 29.18 68.73% 0.409 0.4118 -1.047
6 Thematic 1428 23.79% 40.07 63.03% -1.326 -1.176 -1.319
6 Two Centers (Default) 1879 20.81% 31.99 68.44% -0.52 -0.0018 -1.233
7 Archipelago 10 22.22% 21.7 50.0% 0.0 -0.3028 -1.02
7 Other 33 9.38% 23.94 54.55% -0.166 -0.6223 -0.27

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5016 33.73 51.83% -0.411 -0.1571 -0.683
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4369 35.92 56.49% 0.051 -0.0228 -0.38
All Things Weaken 5691 31.27 47.58% -0.749 -0.4296 -0.88
Attenuated Essence 963 28.8 44.44% -0.205 -0.1543 -0.937
Back Against the Wall 4165 34.49 53.88% -0.203 -0.1758 -0.55
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 997 27.42 41.32% -0.407 -0.195 -1.03
Burn Brightest Before the End 798 32.74 45.61% 0.01 0.0314 -0.768
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4897 30.09 47.6% -0.903 -0.5606 -0.873
Downward Spiral 5857 32.43 55.78% 0.108 0.2264 -0.542
Erosion of Will 5236 32.76 48.8% -0.781 -0.4937 -0.826
Intensifying Exploitation 1096 28.41 43.8% -0.517 -0.2915 -0.853
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2234 37.33 77.31% 0.318 -0.2504 0.123
Memory Fades to Dust 5851 32.36 52.56% -0.417 -0.1742 -0.71
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5723 31.62 51.93% -0.479 -0.2804 -0.8
Promising Farmlands 4931 31.66 49.04% -0.316 -0.0426 -0.877
Shattered Fragments of Power 815 31.1 44.29% -0.103 -0.0151 -0.86
Slow Dissolution of Will 1054 27.41 37.1% -0.451 -0.0636 -1.217
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1407 39.17 81.66% 0.769 0.1176 0.592
The Border of Life and Death 275 30.78 61.82% 0.274 -0.3259 -0.234
Thriving Communities 5690 30.89 49.19% -0.93 -0.6156 -0.805
Thriving Crops 462 28.72 52.16% -0.354 -0.4954 -0.531
Unnatural Proliferation 6034 33.09 50.43% -0.402 -0.2054 -0.727
Untended Land Crumbles 5758 31.42 50.87% -0.148 0.0568 -0.743

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 39094 43.51% 32.22 66.99% -0.552 0.4387 -0.327
B 43656 45.18% 33.35 67.31% -0.486 0.4249 -0.137
C 38887 42.95% 32.3 68.4% -0.454 0.2689 -0.376
D 33581 43.0% 31.0 66.87% -0.708 0.241 -0.501
E 43899 44.2% 35.07 68.45% -0.235 0.5735 -0.007
F 31465 42.48% 32.54 68.7% -0.374 0.5019 -0.243
G 26011 43.68% 31.56 66.76% -0.485 0.3282 -0.476
H 27372 42.69% 32.96 69.04% -0.398 0.4224 -0.293
East 7135 37.24% 37.7 65.69% -0.719 0.1813 -0.494
Northeast 4361 34.77% 39.16 65.74% -0.298 0.4904 -0.121
Northwest 3854 34.1% 38.87 64.71% -0.42 0.5085 -0.128
Southeast 3470 32.38% 38.32 65.68% 0.064 0.8793 -0.151
Southwest 3745 32.76% 36.19 64.65% 0.274 1.6088 -0.155
West 7116 36.54% 36.35 64.21% -0.373 0.6069 -0.292

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1376 0.0% 26.35 81.25% -0.768 -0.0378 -0.02
Not Using Events or Tokens 113 40.0% 25.12 86.73% 1.051 1.3982 -0.245
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3927 13.91% 43.69 83.45% 0.38 -0.1966 -0.431
Start of Game Growth 8420 19.88% 45.74 79.01% 0.873 0.3707 1.293
Unlimited Undo 15792 36.26% 36.07 73.85% 0.099 -0.0156 0.474
Using Tokens but Not Events 19176 31.36% 31.04 74.88% -0.101 -0.1313 -0.605

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7815 33.61% 33.16 71.55% -0.006 -0.1063 0.279
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 585 33.68% 30.82 57.44% 0.638 0.1719 0.067
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1750 46.58% 28.77 67.31% -0.353 -0.2372 -0.164
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 361 47.37% 30.83 62.05% 0.525 -0.2881 0.138
Dances Up Earthquakes 363 41.6% 22.61 43.8% -0.366 -0.3592 -0.888
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3035 36.41% 29.37 70.41% 0.027 -0.1039 0.136
Downpour Drenches the World 1941 35.14% 28.45 55.85% -0.26 -0.0458 -0.331
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2583 36.52% 28.63 59.47% -0.108 -0.6759 -0.105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4711 31.89% 33.14 75.14% 0.246 -0.1386 0.13
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4409 32.47% 34.07 70.22% 0.282 -0.1205 -0.164
Finder of Paths Unseen 1434 42.12% 27.09 58.02% -0.126 0.5848 0.099
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2475 30.83% 37.59 70.38% -0.022 0.6019 0.529
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2949 41.59% 29.98 65.04% -0.232 -0.3567 0.26
Heart of the Wildfire 3010 49.03% 29.77 61.3% -0.194 0.1337 -0.18
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12115 37.05% 36.77 70.34% -0.009 -0.4353 0.463
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 703 33.24% 29.78 58.32% -0.167 -0.4737 -0.258
Lightning's Swift Strike 2212 41.34% 29.24 69.71% 0.327 0.5785 -0.383
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 821 42.03% 36.73 60.17% 0.101 -0.3048 0.064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1181 34.49% 32.39 70.96% 0.27 -0.0631 0.646
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2453 34.18% 40.23 71.02% 0.656 0.5469 1.067
Many Minds Move as One 5718 38.78% 32.13 70.39% -0.088 -0.3163 0.254
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11622 37.24% 31.31 69.09% -0.331 -0.1895 0.287
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 555 38.45% 24.31 50.63% -0.301 -0.2217 -0.519
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3052 41.63% 31.14 70.15% 0.276 0.2113 -0.063
River Surges in Sunlight 3587 39.6% 32.88 70.73% 0.128 0.2474 0.122
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 236 34.19% 32.42 52.54% 0.292 0.4867 -0.222
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2077 42.88% 31.48 62.25% 0.306 0.5761 -0.233
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1265 37.85% 34.11 58.81% 0.269 0.1465 -0.019
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5054 31.72% 36.68 70.2% 0.525 0.4082 0.047
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 258 42.25% 23.81 44.96% -0.27 -0.3727 0.003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 536 48.69% 27.68 68.1% -0.333 0.1766 -0.543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 229 35.56% 30.45 64.63% -0.136 -0.1486 0.052
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 519 40.89% 37.68 63.39% 0.11 -0.4029 0.301
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 231 41.05% 25.25 50.22% -0.344 -0.522 -0.734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 752 46.71% 30.79 72.07% 0.02 0.0129 0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 700 42.16% 28.63 69.86% -0.12 -0.0161 -0.397
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5464 34.99% 37.53 75.99% 0.126 0.1952 0.451
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1401 29.32% 35.41 61.31% -0.169 -0.3505 -0.053
Shifting Memory of Ages 2481 42.8% 29.86 63.76% -0.636 -0.3686 -0.053
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 452 38.27% 28.42 52.43% 0.096 -0.0407 0.118
Shroud of Silent Mist 2108 45.52% 27.18 65.23% 0.02 0.3599 -0.166
Starlight Seeks its Form 3526 36.9% 32.44 65.74% -0.237 -0.3553 0.305
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6265 39.28% 35.17 69.13% -0.039 -0.5443 0.311
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3464 39.98% 34.41 71.68% 0.075 0.1792 0.778
Thunderspeaker 3957 36.51% 33.94 72.05% -0.116 -0.0726 0.31
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 395 29.11% 26.17 55.44% 0.095 0.1286 -0.321
Towering Roots of the Jungle 694 36.74% 27.46 54.61% -0.204 -0.0754 -0.016
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3014 57.94% 29.89 61.08% -0.022 0.11 0.011
Vital Strength of the Earth 1311 34.57% 25.94 71.7% 0.518 1.1228 -0.44
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 536 42.24% 28.15 54.66% -0.096 0.3591 -0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 738 41.69% 28.64 62.87% -0.154 0.5559 -0.185
Volcano Looming High 4775 45.33% 31.39 67.98% 0.052 0.0925 0.13
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1124 32.71% 28.88 63.26% -0.514 -0.8294 -0.576

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.34%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.17%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.56%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28036 13.4 8.94%
II 73439 30.12 66.14%
III 56463 34.83 89.26%
IV 15203 38.67 99.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2506
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 49713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 47388
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15056
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17990
Lose: Invader deck ran out 918
Lose: Adversary condition 10967
Win: Sacrifice victory 299
Lose: Scenario condition 1451
Win: Scenario condition 1665
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 700

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.294 Win Model: -0.169

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.197 Win Model: 0.084
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 99107 49.13% 34.75 67.23%
2 39074 46.82% 31.51 66.57%
3 18397 42.62% 32.34 67.26%
4 11421 34.17% 34.06 71.73%
5 839 33.98% 28.91 67.34%
6 4303 22.01% 33.75 66.37%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-03 03:34:55 (Pacific Time)