Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 230 24.78% 26.22 68.7% 0.093 -0.1692 -0.192
Blitz 0 1454 41.23% 27.74 63.69% -0.259 0.1056 -1.01
Dahan Insurrection 4 2082 22.12% 51.25 70.46% -0.182 -0.3141 0.645
Despicable Theft 2 826 39.03% 29.94 67.92% -0.969 -0.3453 -0.698
Elemental Invocation 1 1021 47.65% 28.93 61.21% -1.164 -0.2155 -1.208
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9184 18.0% 47.08 74.22% 0.559 0.098 0.589
Powers Long Forgotten 1 500 51.6% 22.86 47.2% -1.076 -0.0737 -1.414
Rituals of Terror 3 405 41.01% 31.39 61.48% -1.014 -0.8768 -0.612
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 267 61.42% 30.73 58.05% 0.361 1.2437 0.105
Second Wave 0 4830 43.2% 28.0 73.08% 0.264 0.3141 -0.115
The Great River 3 1512 57.85% 28.59 55.29% -0.874 0.4177 -1.344
Varied Terrains 2 379 54.62% 27.6 56.46% 0.885 1.8244 -0.576
Ward the Shores 2 554 21.66% 22.67 51.81% -1.52 -0.562 -1.851

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 101698 49.07% 34.5 66.81% 0.599 1.0813 0.934
1 Thematic 3632 41.17% 32.83 66.38% 0.132 0.9803 0.147
2 Archipelago 183 37.7% 34.32 70.49% 0.229 0.9275 0.27
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24387 49.14% 31.68 65.78% 0.255 0.5588 0.264
2 Coastline 4853 44.2% 30.13 66.29% 0.311 0.442 0.126
2 Fragment 745 54.31% 33.9 68.72% 0.656 0.6422 1.251
2 Heart 449 50.56% 30.35 62.14% 0.82 0.5795 0.451
2 Opposite Shores 7869 41.86% 29.82 67.59% 0.137 0.3988 -0.02
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.527 0.3581 0.0
2 Thematic 2253 43.22% 29.43 56.06% -0.447 0.3381 -0.209
2 Top to Top 1201 45.99% 30.9 59.62% -0.185 -0.078 -0.114
3 Archipelago 134 31.34% 41.79 85.07% 0.498 -0.7353 1.517
3 Coastline 305 54.93% 33.25 66.23% 0.182 -0.3086 0.832
3 Other 833 28.48% 25.36 70.59% -0.107 -0.7219 0.693
3 Round (Default) 18082 42.79% 32.17 66.7% 0.303 0.2938 -0.107
3 Sunrise 60 53.33% 29.38 66.67% -0.601 -0.7047 0.953
3 Thematic 705 46.94% 32.37 60.43% 0.504 0.7734 -0.364
4 Archipelago 114 32.74% 40.7 81.58% 0.351 -0.6061 0.408
4 Coastline 144 36.17% 30.01 75.69% 0.727 0.3263 -0.181
4 Leaf 74 55.41% 33.15 68.92% 0.0 -0.2486 -0.263
4 Other 477 34.03% 30.62 83.65% 0.821 -0.0526 1.063
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% -0.487 0.0387 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1762 32.03% 46.22 72.93% -0.228 0.1041 -0.911
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9670 35.29% 31.26 69.09% -0.023 -0.1063 -0.62
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 -1.128 1.155
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 26.77 68.18% 0.995 0.8057 0.513
5 Other 946 36.98% 31.3 71.67% 0.225 -0.5198 -0.048
5 Thematic 102 38.24% 35.46 67.65% -0.151 -0.6646 0.314
6 Archipelago 83 15.66% 34.27 74.7% -0.228 -1.0626 -0.87
6 Coastline 18 22.22% 17.22 55.56% -0.995 -0.0287 -0.612
6 Other 663 23.1% 26.73 65.61% -1.608 -1.3779 -0.977
6 Star 334 24.25% 29.36 67.66% -1.034 -0.7464 -1.268
6 Thematic 1549 22.83% 39.74 62.62% -0.51 -0.1316 -1.424
6 Two Centers (Default) 2125 20.47% 31.34 66.35% -0.699 -0.2692 -1.422
7 Archipelago 10 22.22% 21.7 50.0% 0.0 -0.0462 -1.056
7 Other 36 8.57% 24.89 55.56% 0.099 0.2258 -0.464

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5261 33.62 51.7% -0.486 -0.3095 -0.622
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4623 35.83 56.46% -0.071 -0.1754 -0.304
All Things Weaken 6032 31.01 47.17% -0.392 -0.1633 -0.81
Attenuated Essence 1174 28.56 44.63% -0.336 -0.3016 -0.888
Back Against the Wall 4380 34.41 54.09% -0.108 -0.1292 -0.456
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1169 27.41 41.83% -0.205 -0.0998 -0.945
Burn Brightest Before the End 965 32.25 45.39% -0.556 -0.4162 -0.728
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5146 30.01 47.57% -0.169 0.1895 -0.793
Downward Spiral 6222 32.12 55.26% -0.126 -0.043 -0.483
Erosion of Will 5510 32.55 48.66% -0.385 -0.1307 -0.763
Intensifying Exploitation 1305 28.64 45.06% -0.539 -0.2823 -0.77
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2361 37.06 76.75% 0.24 -0.1625 0.194
Memory Fades to Dust 6170 32.14 52.5% -0.386 -0.1065 -0.645
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6040 31.43 51.61% -0.374 -0.102 -0.732
Promising Farmlands 5185 31.4 48.58% -0.352 -0.0596 -0.821
Shattered Fragments of Power 973 31.03 45.32% -0.089 0.0459 -0.755
Slow Dissolution of Will 1265 27.41 37.71% -0.643 -0.2811 -1.179
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1489 38.75 80.93% 0.194 -0.3651 0.597
The Border of Life and Death 321 30.93 61.68% -0.252 -0.6187 -0.2
Thriving Communities 6011 30.64 48.76% -0.631 -0.3133 -0.737
Thriving Crops 538 28.83 53.16% -0.225 -0.3476 -0.432
Unnatural Proliferation 6379 32.99 50.37% -0.351 -0.2613 -0.64
Untended Land Crumbles 6067 31.21 50.54% -0.638 -0.3699 -0.678

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 42114 43.49% 31.79 66.17% -0.319 0.8305 -0.337
B 47028 45.03% 33.0 66.62% -0.136 0.9323 -0.145
C 41752 42.82% 31.91 67.51% -0.268 0.6508 -0.399
D 36213 42.91% 30.59 66.06% -0.417 0.6461 -0.509
E 47051 44.02% 34.67 67.95% 0.088 1.0422 -0.012
F 33987 42.39% 32.17 68.05% -0.2 0.803 -0.256
G 28098 43.67% 31.24 66.06% -0.273 0.696 -0.517
H 29582 42.5% 32.66 68.43% -0.115 0.8431 -0.304
East 7595 36.74% 37.34 65.0% -0.042 0.9616 -0.514
Northeast 4634 34.1% 38.82 65.21% 0.364 1.2324 -0.122
Northwest 4101 33.68% 38.5 64.13% -0.03 0.8112 -0.186
Southeast 3716 31.87% 38.07 65.2% -0.678 0.3797 -0.11
Southwest 4003 32.24% 35.99 64.1% 0.248 1.6361 -0.098
West 7573 36.16% 35.99 63.46% -0.563 0.651 -0.372

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1588 0.0% 27.46 81.74% 0.004 0.7853 0.097
Not Using Events or Tokens 130 36.36% 24.89 88.46% 0.854 1.1755 -0.247
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4244 13.96% 43.29 82.87% 0.417 -0.2244 -0.551
Start of Game Growth 9143 19.92% 45.4 78.16% 0.855 0.2759 1.306
Unlimited Undo 16998 35.7% 35.52 73.16% 0.152 -0.0608 0.455
Using Tokens but Not Events 20905 31.19% 30.77 74.16% 0.053 -0.0296 -0.574

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8209 33.28% 32.77 71.12% 0.407 0.0279 0.27
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 826 36.08% 31.82 57.51% 0.769 -0.0087 0.208
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1848 46.59% 28.5 66.5% -0.71 -0.7086 -0.208
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 427 46.24% 30.77 63.47% 0.922 -0.1246 0.182
Dances Up Earthquakes 612 44.44% 24.57 45.59% -0.141 -0.3103 -0.744
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3251 36.46% 28.94 69.7% -0.49 -0.8245 0.101
Downpour Drenches the World 2147 35.36% 28.31 56.36% 0.467 0.4685 -0.27
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3000 36.74% 29.06 60.73% 0.273 -0.5472 0.001
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4964 31.66% 32.87 74.64% 0.405 -0.381 0.146
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4696 32.54% 33.77 69.85% 0.437 -0.155 -0.191
Finder of Paths Unseen 1603 42.48% 26.63 57.27% -0.431 0.0851 0.008
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2666 30.95% 37.02 68.64% 0.131 0.4443 0.455
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3187 41.24% 29.69 64.2% -0.187 -0.4561 0.209
Heart of the Wildfire 3215 48.33% 29.66 61.0% 0.044 0.2573 -0.165
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12764 37.06% 36.55 69.92% 0.196 -0.5526 0.458
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 879 34.21% 29.54 56.88% -0.204 -0.9531 -0.264
Lightning's Swift Strike 2361 41.17% 28.78 68.83% -0.248 -0.2497 -0.396
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 901 40.29% 36.21 59.49% -0.807 -1.6125 0.158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1232 34.93% 32.4 71.02% 0.373 -0.391 0.587
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2585 34.72% 39.76 70.1% -0.23 -0.4713 1.024
Many Minds Move as One 6145 38.71% 31.68 69.47% -0.113 -0.5837 0.237
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12396 37.35% 30.98 68.3% 0.01 -0.1552 0.308
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 943 39.89% 24.19 52.6% -0.011 -0.1261 -0.389
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3277 41.4% 30.73 69.51% -0.092 -0.411 -0.049
River Surges in Sunlight 3851 39.11% 32.4 69.88% 0.035 -0.1574 0.024
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 284 35.11% 32.68 52.82% -0.706 -0.709 -0.123
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2239 42.8% 31.04 61.19% -0.021 -0.1863 -0.193
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1361 37.44% 33.69 58.56% 0.425 0.1672 0.056
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5387 31.41% 36.38 69.52% 0.197 -0.0989 0.049
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 355 43.94% 23.96 44.79% 0.312 0.0662 -0.127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 579 48.95% 27.29 67.53% 0.326 0.6746 -0.341
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 262 36.82% 29.87 64.5% 0.76 0.6664 0.017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 626 40.77% 37.35 63.1% -0.21 -0.953 0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 247 40.0% 25.62 51.42% -0.016 -0.2121 -0.619
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 789 45.4% 30.37 71.23% -0.401 -0.6852 0.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 726 41.89% 28.35 69.7% -0.248 -0.4116 -0.377
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5687 34.98% 37.11 75.51% 0.102 -0.235 0.443
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1664 29.37% 35.54 61.84% 0.297 -0.0441 -0.003
Shifting Memory of Ages 2649 42.69% 29.42 62.25% -0.402 -0.2628 -0.175
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 577 41.07% 28.57 52.34% 0.038 -0.2874 -0.026
Shroud of Silent Mist 2262 45.26% 26.69 64.32% -0.399 -0.1809 -0.244
Starlight Seeks its Form 3892 36.92% 31.96 64.88% 0.081 -0.1879 0.4
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6724 39.59% 34.47 67.86% -0.091 -0.9553 0.237
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3707 39.75% 33.97 70.87% -0.272 -0.3148 0.739
Thunderspeaker 4228 36.56% 33.48 71.19% -0.022 -0.1833 0.307
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 490 30.04% 26.97 56.33% -0.038 -0.094 -0.451
Towering Roots of the Jungle 884 38.35% 27.92 54.52% -0.033 -0.27 0.031
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3261 56.7% 29.65 60.93% 0.15 0.0643 0.009
Vital Strength of the Earth 1448 35.17% 25.33 71.06% -0.366 0.0058 -0.49
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 592 41.96% 28.08 54.73% -0.161 0.1315 -0.223
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 785 42.18% 28.34 62.55% 0.069 0.5534 -0.181
Volcano Looming High 5088 45.46% 30.94 67.3% -0.359 -0.6046 0.078
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1310 34.1% 28.72 63.13% 0.286 -0.364 -0.532

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.43%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.28%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.61%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.96%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31113 12.75 8.58%
II 78269 30.01 65.8%
III 60008 34.87 89.22%
IV 16164 38.76 99.63%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2669
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52803
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 50262
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16011
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20952
Lose: Invader deck ran out 974
Lose: Adversary condition 11624
Win: Sacrifice victory 315
Lose: Scenario condition 1522
Win: Scenario condition 1753
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 25937
Lose: Spirit destroyed 732

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.15 Win Model: -0.185

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.174 Win Model: 0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 105753 48.79% 34.4 66.68%
2 41914 46.88% 31.17 65.8%
3 19952 42.54% 31.95 66.7%
4 12236 34.54% 33.52 70.78%
5 933 36.14% 29.28 67.95%
6 4766 21.59% 33.31 65.27%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-09 13:08:08 (Pacific Time)