Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 251 24.7% 25.03 65.34% -0.742 -0.7461 -0.455
Blitz 0 1536 40.92% 27.42 62.83% -0.341 -0.0855 -0.947
Dahan Insurrection 4 2134 21.86% 51.02 70.34% -0.38 -0.3473 0.679
Despicable Theft 2 869 38.94% 29.7 67.43% 0.16 0.6768 -0.769
Elemental Invocation 1 1085 47.46% 28.49 60.37% -0.148 0.385 -0.721
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9626 17.88% 46.8 73.86% 0.564 0.0226 0.73
Powers Long Forgotten 1 520 50.96% 22.75 46.92% -1.303 -0.6015 -0.567
Rituals of Terror 3 425 40.2% 31.25 60.71% 0.05 0.0617 -0.534
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 277 60.65% 29.96 55.96% -0.989 -0.2003 -0.447
Second Wave 0 5104 43.12% 27.93 73.02% 0.571 0.5685 -0.188
The Great River 3 1561 57.45% 28.27 54.71% -1.44 -0.305 0.308
Varied Terrains 2 412 55.34% 27.26 53.64% -0.243 0.3883 -0.44
Ward the Shores 2 588 21.43% 22.11 50.51% -0.514 0.317 -0.653

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 106343 48.95% 34.31 66.45% 0.502 0.815 0.543
1 Thematic 3819 41.73% 32.5 64.89% -0.265 0.393 -0.578
2 Archipelago 186 37.63% 34.26 70.43% 0.0 -0.4392 0.135
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25786 48.98% 31.36 65.11% 0.251 0.3965 -0.032
2 Coastline 5136 44.36% 29.93 65.85% 0.328 0.3208 -0.159
2 Fragment 772 53.91% 33.57 68.26% 1.056 1.1789 0.451
2 Heart 466 50.0% 30.34 62.88% 0.148 0.0927 0.337
2 Opposite Shores 8408 41.58% 29.55 66.82% 0.696 0.8307 -0.19
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2375 43.22% 29.08 55.49% -0.272 0.2581 -0.552
2 Top to Top 1260 46.69% 30.84 59.21% 0.008 0.0142 0.078
3 Archipelago 141 30.5% 40.74 82.98% -0.883 -0.577 -0.153
3 Coastline 322 53.27% 32.28 64.6% -0.071 -0.8801 0.481
3 Other 875 28.6% 24.98 69.37% -0.291 -0.5969 0.086
3 Round (Default) 19174 42.48% 31.85 66.12% 0.291 0.387 -0.494
3 Sunrise 64 54.69% 30.11 65.63% -0.108 -0.7429 0.365
3 Thematic 745 46.97% 32.08 59.6% -0.275 0.0323 0.196
4 Archipelago 121 31.67% 41.12 81.82% 0.383 -0.0965 0.7
4 Coastline 151 37.16% 29.5 73.51% -0.334 -0.2388 0.681
4 Leaf 82 54.88% 32.7 67.07% -0.956 -0.914 0.663
4 Other 497 33.87% 30.21 82.49% 0.168 -0.3778 0.528
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% 0.0 0.2581 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1848 31.67% 45.68 71.97% -0.237 0.4671 0.218
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10219 35.33% 30.78 68.15% 0.077 0.0796 -0.884
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 1.2045 0.0
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 26.77 68.18% 0.053 -0.545 0.254
5 Other 1008 36.42% 30.27 69.74% 0.175 -0.2438 -0.275
5 Thematic 108 37.96% 34.98 66.67% 0.09 -0.029 -0.503
6 Archipelago 88 17.05% 34.5 73.86% 0.185 -1.0513 -0.222
6 Coastline 21 23.81% 17.19 52.38% 0.0 0.433 0.0
6 Other 702 22.96% 26.24 65.53% 0.02 0.1833 0.127
6 Star 365 23.01% 29.3 66.03% 0.333 0.7387 -0.732
6 Thematic 1652 22.49% 39.65 62.89% 0.08 0.152 -0.016
6 Two Centers (Default) 2277 20.6% 30.7 65.17% -0.741 -0.2127 -0.82
7 Archipelago 11 20.0% 19.73 45.45% 0.0 0.7413 0.0
7 Other 38 13.51% 25.39 55.26% 0.068 -0.4813 -0.26

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5464 33.42 51.43% -0.036 0.1846 0.063
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4785 35.7 56.03% -0.699 -0.6294 0.197
All Things Weaken 6302 30.83 46.92% -0.722 -0.325 -0.107
Attenuated Essence 1331 28.56 44.33% -0.561 -0.4851 -0.153
Back Against the Wall 4537 34.26 53.87% -0.02 -0.0395 0.421
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1303 27.18 41.37% -0.943 -0.6576 -0.042
Burn Brightest Before the End 1081 31.83 44.77% -1.222 -0.9967 -0.299
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5326 29.83 47.35% -0.768 -0.4854 0.093
Downward Spiral 6502 31.92 54.83% -0.547 -0.3149 0.084
Erosion of Will 5715 32.37 48.4% -0.243 0.0946 -0.227
Intensifying Exploitation 1468 28.54 44.75% -0.302 0.0342 0.203
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2452 36.85 76.22% -0.386 -0.9414 0.494
Memory Fades to Dust 6444 31.95 52.05% -0.501 -0.1613 0.014
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6280 31.26 51.29% -0.144 0.0852 0.144
Promising Farmlands 5387 31.24 48.49% -0.405 -0.0492 -0.262
Shattered Fragments of Power 1128 31.01 44.86% 0.265 0.3221 0.26
Slow Dissolution of Will 1397 27.33 37.65% -0.805 -0.481 -0.578
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1559 38.22 79.79% -0.018 -0.6579 -0.051
The Border of Life and Death 351 30.35 61.25% 0.469 0.0564 0.332
Thriving Communities 6272 30.49 48.52% -0.559 -0.3278 0.048
Thriving Crops 604 28.56 52.65% -0.078 -0.2342 0.375
Unnatural Proliferation 6623 32.85 50.14% -0.478 -0.3516 0.245
Untended Land Crumbles 6351 31.0 50.17% -0.614 -0.4067 -0.149

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 44348 43.33% 31.48 65.55% 0.276 1.2107 0.165
B 49439 44.81% 32.73 66.14% 0.111 0.9429 0.333
C 44067 42.7% 31.61 66.93% 0.152 0.9127 0.067
D 38274 42.81% 30.25 65.29% -0.034 0.8466 -0.048
E 49702 43.78% 34.32 67.34% 0.381 1.0994 0.436
F 35891 42.24% 31.85 67.44% 0.317 1.1555 0.325
G 29717 43.38% 30.88 65.31% 0.12 0.9411 -0.286
H 31234 42.4% 32.27 67.63% 0.301 1.0836 0.216
East 8049 36.9% 36.96 64.05% -0.502 0.3367 -0.629
Northeast 4939 34.26% 38.42 64.16% -0.213 0.4617 -0.079
Northwest 4324 32.93% 38.22 63.83% 0.771 1.6061 -0.84
Southeast 3942 31.97% 37.76 64.76% -0.932 0.1082 0.753
Southwest 4228 32.3% 35.74 63.65% -0.022 1.1929 0.033
West 7962 35.93% 35.67 62.94% 0.017 0.7122 -0.473

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1645 0.0% 27.23 81.09% -0.86 -0.0133 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 136 35.09% 24.76 88.97% 0.0 0.3651 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4439 13.84% 43.02 82.32% 0.184 -0.6088 -0.654
Start of Game Growth 9680 19.7% 45.21 77.55% 0.862 0.337 1.29
Unlimited Undo 17877 35.63% 35.19 72.56% 0.237 0.3038 0.215
Using Tokens but Not Events 22304 31.42% 30.48 73.01% -0.279 -0.2797 -0.454

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8554 33.09% 32.51 70.59% 0.142 -0.03 -0.004
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 947 36.43% 32.39 58.18% 1.525 1.0347 0.839
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 95 46.32% 31.17 62.11% 0.601 0.4494 0.471
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 594 32.83% 31.21 65.15% 0.314 -0.2842 0.713
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1901 46.03% 28.39 66.6% 0.284 0.4585 -0.216
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 466 45.59% 30.31 62.45% 0.226 -0.5849 0.454
Dances Up Earthquakes 718 43.73% 24.9 46.66% 0.282 0.4174 -0.207
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3437 36.76% 28.76 69.04% -0.303 -0.5034 -0.499
Downpour Drenches the World 2301 35.12% 28.02 55.98% -0.186 0.1028 0.621
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3256 36.46% 28.8 60.29% 0.211 -0.2781 0.944
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5173 31.55% 32.48 73.73% 0.387 -0.0313 -0.017
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5007 32.29% 33.01 68.38% -0.515 -0.7686 -0.622
Finder of Paths Unseen 1691 42.46% 26.3 56.59% 0.111 0.8973 -0.264
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2736 30.85% 36.66 68.17% -0.653 -0.1166 -0.173
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3346 41.18% 29.36 63.42% -0.191 -0.134 -0.265
Heart of the Wildfire 3369 47.48% 29.28 60.67% 0.484 0.8046 -0.315
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13322 37.21% 36.22 69.25% -0.229 -0.6487 0.493
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1004 32.73% 28.93 56.47% -0.459 -0.7718 0.097
Lightning's Swift Strike 2536 40.98% 28.12 67.82% -0.43 -0.2077 -0.974
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 974 39.01% 35.65 59.24% -0.139 -0.6401 0.685
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1290 35.15% 32.02 69.38% -0.172 -0.4936 -0.398
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2664 34.66% 39.46 69.82% 0.627 0.3938 0.4
Many Minds Move as One 6462 38.31% 31.3 69.1% 0.174 0.0683 -0.248
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12997 37.12% 30.69 67.49% 0.257 0.241 0.207
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1179 41.16% 23.79 51.74% -0.555 -0.4487 -0.461
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3422 41.32% 30.36 68.67% -0.343 -0.4887 0.13
River Surges in Sunlight 4075 39.48% 31.84 68.44% 0.275 0.3174 -0.399
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 319 35.13% 31.89 52.66% -0.094 -0.0118 -0.311
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2410 43.28% 30.81 60.33% 0.167 0.3405 0.732
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1442 37.41% 33.88 59.36% 1.206 1.3164 1.141
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5577 31.17% 36.29 69.32% 0.019 -0.1907 0.285
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 414 43.96% 24.25 45.41% 0.219 -0.0279 0.114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 606 48.25% 27.13 67.49% 0.476 1.1228 0.6
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 267 36.88% 29.94 64.79% 0.368 0.4315 0.121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 684 40.09% 37.05 62.72% 0.742 0.2827 0.198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 257 39.22% 25.6 51.75% 0.216 0.0902 -0.054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 813 45.33% 30.04 70.6% -0.839 -0.8631 -0.506
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 746 41.84% 28.15 69.03% -0.798 -0.6913 -0.444
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5857 34.75% 36.73 75.21% 0.777 0.4991 0.236
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 99 43.43% 28.43 63.64% 0.895 0.502 0.591
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1819 29.07% 35.33 61.3% -0.057 -0.0316 0.546
Shifting Memory of Ages 2735 42.9% 29.22 62.12% 0.13 0.6264 -1.307
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 733 41.12% 28.29 52.66% 0.206 0.21 0.042
Shroud of Silent Mist 2334 45.27% 26.43 63.67% -1.092 -0.4862 -0.56
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 70 35.71% 22.01 57.14% 0.098 -0.1362 -0.409
Starlight Seeks its Form 4086 36.93% 31.57 64.05% -0.004 -0.0164 0.675
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7043 39.46% 34.11 67.3% 0.504 -0.0998 -0.422
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3908 39.12% 33.57 69.88% -0.155 -0.0118 0.211
Thunderspeaker 4396 36.32% 33.11 70.59% -0.342 -0.2274 0.29
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 538 29.46% 25.79 53.9% -1.449 -1.505 -0.815
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1014 37.88% 27.31 53.75% 0.044 0.2031 -0.062
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3374 56.64% 29.44 60.49% -0.31 -0.2785 -0.098
Vital Strength of the Earth 1527 35.28% 24.94 70.01% -0.965 -0.4726 -0.818
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 650 40.9% 27.61 53.54% -0.624 -0.2121 -0.067
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 814 41.53% 28.25 62.16% -0.474 0.4304 -0.11
Volcano Looming High 5337 45.15% 30.49 66.31% 0.015 -0.11 -0.339
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1442 33.13% 27.84 61.17% -0.723 -0.9592 -0.244

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.43%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.32%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.61%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.96%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 33585 12.31 8.35%
II 81872 29.92 65.46%
III 62776 34.93 89.1%
IV 16886 38.88 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2805
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 55174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 52327
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16731
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23317
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1023
Lose: Adversary condition 12200
Win: Sacrifice victory 322
Lose: Scenario condition 1577
Win: Scenario condition 1797
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27087
Lose: Spirit destroyed 759

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.02 Win Model: -0.194

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.402 Win Model: -0.087
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 110617 48.68% 34.19 66.28%
2 44370 46.74% 30.89 65.18%
3 21137 42.29% 31.64 66.07%
4 12895 34.5% 33.01 69.76%
5 1002 35.58% 28.28 66.07%
6 5098 21.48% 32.93 64.69%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)