Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 61 24.59% 27.52 80.33% -0.026 -0.21 0.179
Blitz 0 852 46.68% 32.04 68.78% -0.124 0.166 -1.27
Dahan Insurrection 4 1195 23.12% 59.16 82.34% 0.287 0.1084 0.617
Despicable Theft 2 470 40.64% 34.1 79.15% -0.861 -0.2055 -0.48
Elemental Invocation 1 620 50.97% 33.4 72.26% -0.396 0.4304 -1.302
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5912 18.21% 50.85 80.55% 0.301 -0.1989 0.283
Powers Long Forgotten 1 251 64.14% 28.85 59.76% -1.035 -0.6257 -0.57
Rituals of Terror 3 213 51.61% 36.03 71.83% -1.333 -1.4496 -0.659
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 147 70.07% 36.14 70.07% -0.952 -0.1765 0.52
Second Wave 0 2746 44.46% 29.99 78.51% -0.206 -0.0897 -0.574
The Great River 3 1041 62.14% 31.94 62.44% -1.492 -0.0536 -1.742
Varied Terrains 2 108 46.3% 32.36 73.15% -0.583 -0.0899 -0.518
Ward the Shores 2 296 25.0% 32.28 71.96% -1.487 -0.5739 -1.707

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 60880 51.02% 38.35 73.72% 0.413 0.6505 0.512
1 Thematic 2238 43.65% 35.77 73.28% 0.458 1.0502 -0.294
2 Archipelago 91 32.97% 37.37 87.91% 0.704 1.5288 -0.341
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13790 52.31% 35.62 73.33% -0.003 0.183 0.081
2 Coastline 2740 46.19% 34.13 75.18% -0.482 -0.3408 0.003
2 Fragment 446 58.65% 39.09 74.22% 0.497 0.4243 1.138
2 Heart 234 57.14% 34.22 70.51% 0.559 0.3807 0.419
2 Opposite Shores 4212 40.96% 34.22 78.44% -0.063 0.0656 -0.188
2 Thematic 1197 46.76% 34.33 67.67% -0.342 0.2352 -0.004
2 Top to Top 572 44.74% 36.96 72.2% -0.395 -0.1835 -0.106
3 Archipelago 88 26.14% 47.22 94.32% 0.282 -0.2491 0.788
3 Coastline 196 60.51% 37.13 73.98% 0.904 0.4628 0.71
3 Other 480 32.98% 31.74 88.54% -0.051 -0.6795 0.806
3 Round (Default) 9336 42.78% 37.19 77.4% 0.039 0.0004 0.03
3 Sunrise 29 51.72% 35.21 82.76% 0.532 0.0547 0.683
3 Thematic 355 51.84% 37.08 70.99% -0.237 -0.5293 -0.05
4 Archipelago 69 30.88% 39.65 81.16% -0.28 -0.2102 -0.32
4 Coastline 100 36.08% 34.84 86.0% -0.173 -0.1801 0.093
4 Leaf 36 61.11% 40.11 77.78% -0.31 -0.3967 -1.159
4 Other 321 33.64% 34.02 89.72% 0.476 -0.2065 0.942
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.2088 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4394 0.0
4 Thematic 1357 31.78% 51.07 79.51% 0.354 0.2153 -0.656
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5489 36.0% 36.08 79.69% -0.29 -0.5026 -0.283
5 Archipelago 16 43.75% 38.06 87.5% 0.654 -0.5387 0.24
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 31.8 80.0% 0.012 -0.1341 0.605
5 Other 352 30.75% 37.59 82.1% 0.212 -0.3163 0.267
5 Thematic 48 29.17% 48.63 85.42% 0.293 -0.0472 -0.296
6 Archipelago 38 18.42% 41.03 86.84% -0.501 -0.3905 -0.638
6 Coastline 6 50.0% 22.5 83.33% -0.489 -1.0852 0.0
6 Other 241 25.63% 32.8 76.35% -0.655 -1.0789 -0.916
6 Star 145 24.83% 33.05 71.03% -0.618 -0.0286 -1.286
6 Thematic 590 26.7% 43.32 75.76% -1.457 -1.224 -1.034
6 Two Centers (Default) 714 21.81% 38.41 81.37% -0.735 -0.2614 -0.818
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 38.5 100.0% 0.212 -0.8457 0.0
7 Other 11 10.0% 38.45 100.0% 0.504 -0.2207 1.069

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3542 35.87 55.36% -0.66 0.0056 -1.407
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3137 37.03 58.11% -0.66 -0.1963 -1.151
All Things Weaken 3956 33.4 50.28% -0.742 0.0708 -1.694
Attenuated Essence 37 35.86 59.46% 0.018 0.6637 -0.815
Back Against the Wall 2936 35.92 56.1% -0.439 0.1077 -1.305
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 36 25.94 44.44% -0.62 0.2996 -1.37
Burn Brightest Before the End 32 33.47 46.88% -0.65 0.1422 -0.651
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3357 32.2 51.5% -1.116 -0.2597 -1.628
Downward Spiral 3925 34.44 58.65% -0.735 -0.056 -1.369
Erosion of Will 3657 34.56 51.08% -1.034 -0.2272 -1.619
Intensifying Exploitation 37 26.16 40.54% -1.187 -0.2433 -1.139
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1546 40.26 82.79% 0.026 -0.2274 -0.523
Memory Fades to Dust 4019 34.27 55.26% -0.758 0.0687 -1.484
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4003 33.67 54.76% -0.809 -0.1702 -1.554
Promising Farmlands 3372 33.37 51.75% -0.662 0.2328 -1.665
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 29.66 37.14% -0.972 -0.3242 -1.805
Slow Dissolution of Will 44 29.16 34.09% -1.03 -0.0474 -1.844
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 997 42.46 87.36% 0.254 -0.2375 0.102
The Border of Life and Death 13 24.54 61.54% -0.411 -0.205 -0.235
Thriving Communities 3941 32.72 52.14% -1.101 -0.2191 -1.621
Thriving Crops 9 18.22 33.33% -0.552 0.0001 -0.947
Unnatural Proliferation 4179 34.78 52.86% -1.015 -0.3484 -1.552
Untended Land Crumbles 4011 33.22 53.63% -0.87 -0.1372 -1.563

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 22981 45.58% 36.5 75.78% 0.205 1.1093 -0.032
B 25693 46.95% 37.45 75.64% 0.476 1.2744 0.15
C 23014 44.89% 36.21 76.59% 0.061 0.7108 -0.144
D 19634 45.07% 35.12 75.73% -0.014 0.8363 -0.266
E 26592 46.34% 39.54 75.78% 0.316 1.0135 0.248
F 18632 44.35% 36.48 76.28% 0.253 1.023 -0.107
G 15539 45.78% 35.55 75.37% 0.111 0.8841 -0.25
H 16343 44.7% 36.84 76.83% 0.25 0.9707 -0.049
East 4324 39.11% 42.49 75.19% -0.27 0.511 -0.192
Northeast 2579 36.95% 43.86 75.57% 0.358 1.3126 -0.105
Northwest 2204 36.95% 43.61 74.64% -0.058 0.552 -0.107
Southeast 1949 35.55% 42.58 75.27% -0.571 0.0984 -0.261
Southwest 2135 35.78% 40.03 74.66% -0.239 1.044 -0.024
West 4338 38.81% 41.05 73.67% -0.15 0.9541 -0.382

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 651 0.0% 29.84 86.94% -2.051 -0.8497 0.448
Not Using Events or Tokens 38 53.13% 24.68 84.21% 0.366 0.61 -0.36
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2444 13.56% 48.36 92.35% 0.778 0.2013 -0.417
Start of Game Growth 4870 19.12% 51.02 89.43% 0.998 0.5388 1.169
Unlimited Undo 9678 37.42% 40.73 83.8% 0.12 -0.0574 0.705
Using Tokens but Not Events 11020 31.74% 35.16 84.37% -0.015 -0.0538 -0.409

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4912 100.0% 37.16 100.0% 0.447 0.3351 0.307
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1164 100.0% 32.42 100.0% -0.145 -0.0903 -0.334
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1900 100.0% 33.11 100.0% 0.047 -0.104 0.04
Downpour Drenches the World 629 100.0% 37.38 100.0% -0.306 -0.0604 0.173
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 358 100.0% 30.32 100.0% -0.284 -0.6892 -0.404
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2915 100.0% 36.71 100.0% -0.087 -0.6064 0.112
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2672 100.0% 37.31 100.0% -0.113 -0.5554 -0.392
Finder of Paths Unseen 515 100.0% 36.87 100.0% 0.347 0.971 0.679
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1569 100.0% 43.73 100.0% 0.171 0.743 0.717
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1476 100.0% 35.91 100.0% 0.01 -0.1354 0.336
Heart of the Wildfire 1737 100.0% 33.19 100.0% -0.454 -0.2502 -0.369
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7936 100.0% 39.83 100.0% 0.318 -0.2256 0.146
Lightning's Swift Strike 1306 220.58% 33.42 140.2% -0.389 -0.1204 -0.443
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 256 41.96% 43.21 71.09% 0.397 -0.37 0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 773 37.06% 37.34 80.85% -0.476 -0.8454 0.761
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1520 36.86% 44.66 80.07% 0.785 0.5359 1.004
Many Minds Move as One 3383 100.0% 36.93 100.0% -0.288 -0.6395 0.534
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6860 100.0% 36.25 100.0% -0.262 -0.3348 0.156
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1783 100.0% 34.2 100.0% -0.012 -0.1258 -0.336
River Surges in Sunlight 2311 137.66% 37.68 116.83% 0.079 0.0168 0.124
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1233 42.37% 36.49 73.97% 0.139 0.3084 -0.594
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 298 43.24% 40.52 77.18% 0.171 -0.0612 0.341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3250 100.0% 41.31 100.0% 0.195 0.0236 -0.079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 325 300.0% 31.68 190.15% -0.163 0.2462 -0.87
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 85 36.9% 42.31 81.18% 0.13 0.1435 0.398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 75 41.1% 37.15 76.0% -0.388 -0.3682 -0.362
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 585 48.8% 32.38 74.02% 0.457 0.3835 -0.357
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 494 43.67% 33.12 78.34% 0.006 0.1306 -0.287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4011 101.75% 41.12 100.82% 0.342 0.1589 0.243
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 93 24.73% 34.61 64.52% -0.288 -0.3699 -0.101
Shifting Memory of Ages 1397 100.0% 34.39 100.0% -0.359 -0.0913 0.017
Shroud of Silent Mist 1281 100.0% 31.06 100.0% -0.472 -0.1586 -0.029
Starlight Seeks its Form 1603 100.0% 37.97 100.0% -0.073 -0.2533 0.01
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4095 100.0% 38.69 100.0% 0.141 -0.3825 0.151
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2286 100.0% 38.86 100.0% 0.01 0.089 0.735
Thunderspeaker 2473 100.97% 37.12 100.4% 0.089 0.0266 -0.249
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 35 31.43% 33.77 71.43% 0.123 0.2212 0.622
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1933 100.0% 32.97 100.0% 0.143 0.1305 -0.163
Vital Strength of the Earth 773 147.1% 29.78 124.32% -0.425 0.1681 -0.93
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 158 43.04% 35.92 65.82% 0.409 0.7087 -0.598
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 496 44.33% 32.65 72.98% 0.252 1.221 -0.628
Volcano Looming High 3106 100.0% 34.59 100.0% -0.101 -0.0986 -0.051

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 80.73%
Perils of the Deepest Island 91.89%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.33%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10054 21.84 16.55%
II 47695 31.08 69.49%
III 38387 34.71 89.91%
IV 10304 37.98 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1664
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34017
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32298
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10209
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 805
Lose: Invader deck ran out 628
Lose: Adversary condition 7437
Win: Sacrifice victory 206
Lose: Scenario condition 1022
Win: Scenario condition 1197
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16488
Lose: Spirit destroyed 469

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.78 Win Model: -0.203

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.085 Win Model: 0.147
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 63303 50.81% 38.25 73.66%
2 23346 49.1% 35.3 74.41%
3 10399 42.82% 36.91 77.57%
4 7384 34.78% 38.86 80.57%
5 276 23.28% 34.56 80.07%
6 1732 24.21% 38.95 78.29%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-16 03:06:06 (Pacific Time)