Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 150 19.33% 26.1 71.33% -0.03 -0.0792 -0.064
Blitz 0 1200 42.56% 29.12 65.42% -0.333 -0.0726 -1.079
Dahan Insurrection 4 1661 22.85% 53.12 72.97% -0.051 -0.2071 0.618
Despicable Theft 2 665 38.86% 30.99 70.53% -0.906 -0.1018 -0.765
Elemental Invocation 1 801 48.5% 30.54 66.54% -0.876 0.0076 -1.246
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7739 17.91% 48.29 76.39% 0.374 -0.187 0.509
Powers Long Forgotten 1 383 56.4% 25.23 52.74% -0.636 0.256 -0.944
Rituals of Terror 3 333 41.5% 32.74 65.47% -0.245 -0.3656 -0.54
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 213 64.32% 32.36 61.97% -0.362 0.4995 0.06
Second Wave 0 3751 43.59% 28.43 75.18% -0.297 -0.2146 -0.404
The Great River 3 1283 60.31% 29.76 57.29% -1.448 0.0877 -1.592
Varied Terrains 2 252 48.81% 28.23 61.11% -0.204 0.5763 -0.707
Ward the Shores 2 403 23.33% 26.35 58.31% -1.845 -0.7837 -1.81

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 81755 50.13% 35.92 69.07% 0.499 0.8664 0.89
1 Thematic 2946 41.25% 34.07 68.84% 0.532 1.0394 0.121
2 Archipelago 146 34.25% 34.64 75.34% 1.156 1.6684 0.054
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19222 49.97% 33.04 68.28% 0.166 0.4425 0.254
2 Coastline 3794 44.79% 31.36 69.16% -0.012 0.0381 0.15
2 Fragment 611 55.57% 35.52 69.39% 0.305 0.0723 1.207
2 Heart 344 53.96% 31.44 63.08% -0.428 -0.471 0.313
2 Opposite Shores 5963 41.49% 31.36 71.39% 0.128 0.2209 0.019
2 Thematic 1774 45.13% 30.8 59.47% -0.136 0.1074 -0.032
2 Top to Top 899 44.7% 32.09 61.74% 0.02 0.0507 -0.29
3 Archipelago 115 32.17% 43.83 86.96% 0.331 -0.513 1.379
3 Coastline 248 57.89% 34.41 70.56% 0.504 -0.0993 0.963
3 Other 678 29.08% 26.95 74.63% -0.921 -1.4854 0.826
3 Round (Default) 13634 43.47% 34.09 70.29% 0.214 0.092 -0.018
3 Sunrise 48 52.08% 27.81 70.83% -0.093 0.0819 0.865
3 Thematic 528 46.58% 33.89 63.83% -0.233 -0.7135 -0.352
4 Archipelago 104 33.98% 40.15 82.69% -0.383 0.1143 0.157
4 Coastline 122 36.13% 32.2 81.97% 0.493 0.0205 -0.668
4 Leaf 60 56.67% 35.22 70.0% 0.417 0.0435 -1.132
4 Other 404 33.91% 32.15 86.88% 0.255 0.0551 1.189
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.1461 0.0
4 Thematic 1558 31.66% 48.44 76.06% -0.695 -0.7161 -0.844
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7576 34.98% 32.96 72.98% -0.344 -0.134 -0.507
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.205 -0.0094 0.844
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 27.27 66.67% 0.193 0.3625 0.452
5 Other 667 33.44% 32.48 73.91% -0.338 -0.7825 -0.041
5 Thematic 80 35.0% 39.08 71.25% -0.064 -0.6964 0.31
6 Archipelago 72 13.89% 35.03 76.39% 0.336 -0.4089 -0.715
6 Coastline 11 27.27% 19.45 63.64% 0.0 -0.7885 -0.277
6 Other 448 23.87% 28.66 69.42% -0.729 -0.0526 -0.775
6 Star 229 25.76% 30.64 70.31% 0.121 0.555 -1.081
6 Thematic 1110 24.46% 39.74 64.77% -0.735 -0.6772 -1.385
6 Two Centers (Default) 1391 20.84% 33.17 71.68% -0.437 -0.6283 -1.48
7 Archipelago 7 16.67% 23.14 57.14% -0.63 -0.0362 -0.601
7 Other 26 8.0% 27.54 65.38% 0.316 -0.8989 0.179

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4453 34.61 53.13% -0.396 -0.2516 -0.822
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3878 36.34 56.76% 0.078 -0.0258 -0.552
All Things Weaken 5062 31.86 48.48% -0.46 -0.1561 -1.068
Attenuated Essence 563 28.39 44.76% -0.229 -0.2068 -1.121
Back Against the Wall 3712 34.98 54.36% -0.402 -0.3537 -0.709
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 603 27.2 40.96% -0.439 -0.2332 -1.262
Burn Brightest Before the End 483 32.69 44.51% -0.579 -0.4021 -0.913
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4301 30.67 48.48% -0.851 -0.4314 -1.057
Downward Spiral 5131 33.01 56.36% -0.252 -0.185 -0.717
Erosion of Will 4635 33.51 49.9% -0.05 0.2424 -1.001
Intensifying Exploitation 655 28.18 42.9% -0.549 -0.2543 -1.035
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1949 38.21 78.09% 0.083 -0.393 -0.082
Memory Fades to Dust 5132 33.08 53.78% -0.201 0.0208 -0.884
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5071 32.25 52.81% -0.038 0.1382 -0.983
Promising Farmlands 4365 32.09 49.46% -0.149 0.1547 -1.088
Shattered Fragments of Power 509 30.5 44.4% -0.479 -0.2899 -1.138
Slow Dissolution of Will 626 27.47 36.1% -0.588 -0.2184 -1.438
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1238 40.63 83.93% 0.265 -0.4882 0.49
The Border of Life and Death 162 29.51 61.11% -0.24 -0.8014 -0.566
Thriving Communities 5008 31.64 50.2% -0.387 -0.0806 -0.97
Thriving Crops 281 29.72 51.6% -0.211 -0.1824 -0.694
Unnatural Proliferation 5359 33.65 51.3% -0.436 -0.2827 -0.905
Untended Land Crumbles 5086 32.01 51.57% -0.389 -0.0323 -0.93

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 32664 44.29% 33.49 69.37% 0.028 0.8963 -0.258
B 36513 45.91% 34.49 69.49% 0.221 1.0536 -0.093
C 32452 43.56% 33.44 70.79% 0.221 0.9087 -0.324
D 28055 43.6% 32.27 69.63% -0.066 0.7737 -0.45
E 37189 44.98% 36.34 70.37% 0.296 0.9989 0.048
F 26206 43.22% 33.7 70.77% 0.138 0.9561 -0.214
G 21741 44.5% 32.74 69.22% -0.141 0.7164 -0.434
H 22801 43.53% 34.16 71.59% 0.244 1.0295 -0.203
East 6043 37.27% 38.98 68.29% -0.175 0.7036 -0.396
Northeast 3657 34.65% 40.16 68.12% -0.648 0.2247 -0.028
Northwest 3211 34.8% 39.85 66.99% -1.025 -0.1401 -0.138
Southeast 2897 32.79% 39.22 68.1% 0.705 1.5972 -0.065
Southwest 3100 33.15% 37.01 67.13% -0.295 0.9697 -0.202
West 6022 37.14% 37.58 66.64% 0.107 1.1766 -0.268

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1024 0.0% 27.08 83.2% 0.723 1.458 -0.296
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 44.23% 26.48 83.87% 1.164 1.5907 -0.263
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3418 13.9% 45.09 85.28% 0.004 -0.6055 -0.566
Start of Game Growth 6756 19.45% 47.28 82.47% 0.538 -0.0689 1.327
Unlimited Undo 13417 37.07% 37.52 76.45% 0.157 0.1596 0.551
Using Tokens but Not Events 15843 31.55% 31.86 77.33% 0.232 0.2422 -0.621

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6966 34.0% 34.25 73.36% 0.177 -0.0141 0.256
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 137 33.58% 28.11 56.93% 0.454 -0.2411 -0.555
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1571 47.21% 29.82 69.26% -0.406 -0.0989 -0.203
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 206 49.03% 32.04 67.48% 0.457 -0.2308 0.34
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2591 38.03% 30.23 71.86% -0.71 -0.8483 0.053
Downpour Drenches the World 1449 36.96% 29.49 58.39% -0.266 -0.0397 -0.418
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1803 36.9% 29.38 60.79% 0.342 -0.0443 -0.207
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3965 31.63% 34.05 77.55% 0.34 -0.0454 0.067
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3733 33.5% 34.57 71.52% -0.156 -0.5986 -0.262
Finder of Paths Unseen 1126 42.45% 28.31 61.19% -0.433 0.2302 0.09
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2180 31.92% 39.23 72.61% 0.345 1.0485 0.506
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2360 42.16% 31.57 68.18% -0.013 -0.0945 0.207
Heart of the Wildfire 2575 49.94% 30.51 62.41% -0.289 -0.0153 -0.207
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10535 37.5% 37.56 72.3% 0.314 -0.0235 0.407
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 390 33.76% 30.86 58.97% -0.214 -0.6496 -0.691
Lightning's Swift Strike 1795 41.9% 30.4 71.81% 0.007 0.2829 -0.329
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 620 43.25% 38.11 61.13% 0.292 -0.0694 -0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1052 35.21% 33.51 73.19% 0.144 -0.2672 0.674
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2037 35.84% 41.15 73.24% -0.257 -0.2667 1.064
Many Minds Move as One 4826 39.5% 33.24 72.98% -0.079 -0.2212 0.255
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9781 37.38% 32.62 71.97% -0.219 -0.3195 0.239
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2582 42.17% 32.3 72.04% 0.154 -0.0098 -0.067
River Surges in Sunlight 3100 39.48% 34.25 73.32% 0.202 0.2912 0.08
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 51 19.61% 38.94 58.82% 0.101 -0.0155 0.658
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1695 42.44% 33.04 66.02% 0.122 0.5713 -0.375
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 939 40.34% 33.78 58.68% 0.286 0.3678 0.041
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4369 32.74% 38.25 72.37% 0.24 0.0244 0.044
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 446 46.85% 29.11 71.52% -0.265 0.2437 -0.711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 183 36.81% 32.61 68.31% 0.119 0.1774 0.031
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 246 43.21% 35.83 68.7% 0.24 -0.2337 0.024
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 201 40.2% 25.93 50.75% -1.056 -0.7822 -0.704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 691 47.74% 31.27 72.36% 0.078 -0.0412 -0.095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 636 41.52% 29.79 72.33% -0.013 0.2762 -0.391
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4940 35.13% 38.67 77.55% 0.108 -0.0551 0.39
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 879 31.54% 35.12 61.77% 0.218 0.0687 -0.322
Shifting Memory of Ages 2143 44.28% 31.11 66.78% -0.033 0.3493 -0.024
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 101 42.57% 32.17 64.36% 0.539 0.2399 0.574
Shroud of Silent Mist 1823 46.46% 28.13 67.25% 0.041 0.3566 -0.073
Starlight Seeks its Form 2821 36.82% 34.28 69.27% 0.128 -0.02 0.267
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5487 39.99% 36.25 71.39% 0.253 -0.3872 0.287
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2950 40.33% 35.97 74.44% -0.023 0.1642 0.811
Thunderspeaker 3364 36.81% 34.74 74.11% 0.183 0.1575 0.143
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 267 28.46% 25.58 53.56% -0.239 -0.0865 -0.41
Towering Roots of the Jungle 207 32.85% 28.18 55.56% -0.116 -0.1247 -0.004
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2624 58.45% 30.75 62.8% 0.024 0.1025 0.051
Vital Strength of the Earth 1085 34.24% 26.93 73.09% -0.364 0.2314 -0.62
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 400 38.85% 28.31 56.25% -0.654 -0.1372 -0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 642 42.41% 29.76 65.73% -0.181 0.5392 -0.322
Volcano Looming High 4068 46.34% 32.33 69.89% -0.051 0.0457 0.123
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 663 31.92% 30.92 66.37% 0.229 -0.0765 -0.193

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.13%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.01%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.52%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.93%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21068 15.56 10.43%
II 63145 30.46 67.12%
III 49113 34.8 89.44%
IV 13293 38.44 99.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2197
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41358
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13160
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11173
Lose: Invader deck ran out 795
Lose: Adversary condition 9665
Win: Sacrifice victory 257
Lose: Scenario condition 1304
Win: Scenario condition 1447
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21337
Lose: Spirit destroyed 593

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.229 Win Model: -0.18

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.114 Win Model: 0.11
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 85009 49.84% 35.82 68.97%
2 32770 47.47% 32.54 68.55%
3 15131 43.16% 33.79 70.28%
4 9825 34.2% 35.55 74.71%
5 626 31.41% 29.88 69.65%
6 3258 22.49% 34.63 69.06%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-10 06:17:01 (Pacific Time)