Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 74 22.97% 26.89 77.03% -0.111 -0.395 0.205
Blitz 0 915 45.25% 31.35 68.09% -0.097 0.0634 -1.238
Dahan Insurrection 4 1255 23.37% 58.27 81.04% -0.115 -0.4946 0.655
Despicable Theft 2 501 39.8% 33.14 76.05% -1.15 -0.3823 -0.251
Elemental Invocation 1 636 50.94% 33.06 72.01% -0.112 0.6129 -1.255
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6249 18.14% 50.32 79.58% 0.449 -0.1822 0.409
Powers Long Forgotten 1 264 62.12% 28.33 58.71% -0.933 -0.3255 -0.822
Rituals of Terror 3 227 49.0% 35.18 70.04% -0.942 -0.7818 -0.606
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 152 70.39% 35.74 69.74% -0.282 0.7803 0.559
Second Wave 0 2949 44.38% 29.68 77.96% -0.036 0.0417 -0.483
The Great River 3 1088 61.66% 31.51 60.94% -1.153 0.0709 -1.837
Varied Terrains 2 126 46.03% 32.9 73.02% -0.097 0.5269 -0.269
Ward the Shores 2 312 25.0% 31.18 69.23% -1.595 -0.5529 -1.68

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 64224 50.83% 37.82 72.68% 0.316 0.422 0.525
1 Thematic 2351 43.04% 35.68 72.78% 0.431 0.9594 -0.25
2 Archipelago 103 33.98% 36.88 83.5% 0.661 0.9556 -0.175
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14817 51.76% 34.89 71.71% -0.026 0.0807 0.024
2 Coastline 2923 45.79% 33.62 73.93% -0.129 -0.2157 0.066
2 Fragment 470 57.57% 38.59 74.04% 0.382 0.1848 1.183
2 Heart 248 56.33% 34.16 70.97% 0.567 0.2818 0.585
2 Opposite Shores 4506 41.02% 33.58 76.48% -0.142 -0.0886 -0.197
2 Thematic 1293 45.45% 33.45 65.82% -0.604 -0.1544 -0.119
2 Top to Top 639 43.64% 35.57 68.23% -0.432 -0.5253 -0.147
3 Archipelago 90 25.56% 47.82 94.44% 0.245 -1.3628 0.904
3 Coastline 205 58.82% 36.68 73.17% 0.727 0.2159 0.664
3 Other 515 32.88% 30.89 86.02% -0.189 0.3836 0.743
3 Round (Default) 10098 42.92% 36.5 75.6% 0.063 -0.0511 -0.028
3 Sunrise 30 53.33% 34.57 80.0% -0.19 0.0926 0.718
3 Thematic 379 51.99% 36.35 69.13% -0.284 -0.2795 -0.063
4 Archipelago 75 31.08% 40.0 81.33% -0.02 -0.7377 0.069
4 Coastline 102 35.35% 34.65 86.27% 0.366 0.5853 0.103
4 Leaf 39 61.54% 39.18 74.36% -0.248 -0.6211 -1.162
4 Other 336 33.63% 33.54 89.58% 0.668 -0.3758 0.887
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.35 0.0
4 Thematic 1391 31.58% 50.82 79.08% 0.087 -0.1617 -0.683
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5805 36.14% 35.43 78.23% -0.227 -0.3541 -0.35
5 Archipelago 16 43.75% 38.06 87.5% 0.0 -1.1632 0.251
5 Coastline 13 7.69% 31.46 76.92% 0.358 -0.4137 0.596
5 Other 397 31.3% 36.55 80.35% 0.711 0.4062 0.125
5 Thematic 53 28.3% 45.91 81.13% 0.076 0.1325 -0.35
6 Archipelago 45 17.78% 40.71 86.67% -0.556 -0.2624 -0.908
6 Coastline 6 50.0% 22.5 83.33% -0.263 -0.9584 0.0
6 Other 278 25.82% 31.87 75.18% 0.176 -0.2409 -0.711
6 Star 161 24.84% 31.25 71.43% -0.636 -0.6134 -1.153
6 Thematic 670 26.8% 43.23 74.18% -0.32 -0.0247 -0.888
6 Two Centers (Default) 868 21.4% 36.64 76.73% -0.65 -0.5559 -1.414
7 Archipelago 5 0.0% 30.8 80.0% -0.82 -0.9042 0.0
7 Other 16 6.67% 33.56 81.25% -0.086 -0.6465 1.149

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3698 35.61 54.62% -0.292 -0.0618 -1.206
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3242 36.78 57.68% -0.127 -0.2012 -0.962
All Things Weaken 4130 33.14 49.93% -0.321 0.0468 -1.484
Attenuated Essence 143 28.73 44.76% -0.223 -0.1327 -1.518
Back Against the Wall 3062 35.77 55.75% 0.024 0.0756 -1.102
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 156 26.57 41.03% -0.495 -0.2781 -1.424
Burn Brightest Before the End 118 33.35 40.68% -0.2 -0.0315 -1.302
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3513 31.91 50.75% -0.741 -0.3372 -1.437
Downward Spiral 4139 34.06 57.89% -0.282 -0.041 -1.17
Erosion of Will 3811 34.32 50.54% -0.41 -0.1061 -1.44
Intensifying Exploitation 153 29.16 47.71% -0.09 0.1886 -1.355
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1602 39.98 81.84% 0.302 -0.187 -0.38
Memory Fades to Dust 4199 33.96 54.77% -0.254 0.0859 -1.3
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4187 33.4 54.22% -0.258 -0.0348 -1.36
Promising Farmlands 3535 33.1 51.29% -0.404 0.0545 -1.472
Shattered Fragments of Power 123 32.5 48.78% 0.042 0.076 -1.688
Slow Dissolution of Will 153 26.95 33.99% -0.694 -0.2994 -1.974
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1031 42.18 86.61% 0.342 -0.3481 0.22
The Border of Life and Death 42 27.76 54.76% 0.109 -0.2238 -0.976
Thriving Communities 4120 32.6 51.75% -0.154 0.1901 -1.391
Thriving Crops 55 29.25 52.73% 0.223 0.0361 -0.869
Unnatural Proliferation 4353 34.58 52.63% -0.14 0.0376 -1.347
Untended Land Crumbles 4175 33.03 53.22% -0.359 -0.0981 -1.366

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 24636 45.31% 35.83 74.2% -0.001 0.7711 -0.116
B 27533 46.7% 36.72 73.95% -0.007 0.7482 0.068
C 24661 44.46% 35.58 75.11% 0.049 0.6538 -0.22
D 21070 44.77% 34.54 74.31% -0.077 0.6509 -0.321
E 28411 46.04% 38.8 74.43% 0.181 0.7764 0.187
F 19943 44.11% 35.84 74.97% 0.011 0.6698 -0.146
G 16624 45.49% 34.87 73.8% -0.156 0.525 -0.304
H 17499 44.51% 36.21 75.44% -0.036 0.5589 -0.123
East 4584 38.63% 42.06 74.17% 0.15 0.7321 -0.176
Northeast 2745 36.69% 43.39 74.32% -0.246 0.439 -0.141
Northwest 2360 36.62% 43.22 73.47% 0.062 0.8923 -0.115
Southeast 2094 34.95% 42.22 74.21% 0.133 0.882 -0.276
Southwest 2306 35.2% 39.4 73.07% -0.292 0.702 -0.041
West 4614 38.39% 40.51 72.45% -0.421 0.5296 -0.373

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 690 0.0% 29.93 86.09% -0.005 0.7807 0.759
Not Using Events or Tokens 38 53.13% 24.68 84.21% 0.699 1.0563 -0.336
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2689 13.77% 47.43 90.03% 1.063 0.4258 -0.653
Start of Game Growth 5206 19.03% 50.14 87.8% 0.218 -0.0785 1.155
Unlimited Undo 10591 37.67% 39.73 80.97% -0.078 -0.0968 0.597
Using Tokens but Not Events 11704 31.24% 34.49 82.99% -0.239 -0.2856 -0.415

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5262 100.0% 36.63 100.0% 0.324 0.1707 0.311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1266 100.0% 31.55 100.0% -0.188 -0.053 -0.209
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2020 100.0% 32.64 100.0% 0.043 -0.0868 0.024
Downpour Drenches the World 807 100.0% 34.83 100.0% 0.061 0.2504 -0.26
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 796 100.0% 30.23 100.0% 0.417 -0.3787 -0.26
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3116 100.0% 36.11 100.0% 0.285 -0.3081 0.118
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2812 100.0% 36.93 100.0% 0.168 -0.3294 -0.311
Finder of Paths Unseen 632 100.0% 34.5 100.0% 0.03 0.7017 0.581
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1679 100.0% 42.85 100.0% 0.365 0.937 0.685
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1631 100.0% 34.69 100.0% -0.369 -0.4544 0.258
Heart of the Wildfire 1891 100.0% 32.57 100.0% -0.159 0.0822 -0.379
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8579 100.0% 39.01 100.0% 0.006 -0.4353 0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike 1368 224.06% 33.06 146.64% 0.032 0.2373 -0.404
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 328 44.79% 40.24 64.63% -0.127 -0.6222 -0.228
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 821 36.96% 36.48 78.56% -0.52 -0.6782 0.646
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1617 36.87% 44.01 78.6% 0.619 0.496 1.058
Many Minds Move as One 3639 100.0% 36.02 100.0% -0.171 -0.3716 0.499
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7313 100.0% 35.58 100.0% 0.034 0.0075 0.217
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1910 100.0% 33.59 100.0% -0.298 -0.4615 -0.203
River Surges in Sunlight 2435 139.14% 36.85 118.93% -0.596 -0.5269 0.148
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1293 42.26% 35.9 72.54% -0.678 -0.3935 -0.49
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 372 41.89% 37.64 71.51% -0.067 -0.198 0.35
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3482 100.0% 40.72 100.0% 0.175 -0.0815 -0.037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 343 305.65% 31.28 198.83% -0.027 0.4738 -0.85
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 104 37.86% 40.71 79.81% 0.571 0.499 0.442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 100 38.78% 33.24 65.0% -0.616 -0.6761 -0.328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 606 48.09% 31.87 73.27% -0.071 -0.1178 -0.38
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 519 43.39% 32.37 76.69% -0.592 -0.3944 -0.328
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4176 104.91% 40.7 102.35% 0.226 0.0474 0.31
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 276 25.72% 33.67 64.49% 0.493 0.0717 -0.813
Shifting Memory of Ages 1554 100.0% 33.48 100.0% -0.047 0.316 0.02
Shroud of Silent Mist 1368 100.0% 30.35 100.0% -0.507 -0.2562 0.011
Starlight Seeks its Form 1851 100.0% 36.99 100.0% 0.389 0.1312 0.071
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4324 100.0% 38.39 100.0% 0.56 0.0747 0.235
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2387 100.0% 38.34 100.0% 0.103 0.1667 0.807
Thunderspeaker 2599 102.04% 36.81 101.23% 0.718 0.7011 -0.146
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 82 35.37% 31.32 60.98% 0.343 0.2591 0.512
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2070 100.0% 32.45 100.0% -0.013 0.068 -0.12
Vital Strength of the Earth 820 147.87% 29.2 126.59% -0.349 0.1845 -0.762
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 199 42.71% 32.86 61.81% -0.204 0.0478 -0.556
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 507 44.44% 32.39 71.99% -0.409 0.4225 -0.473
Volcano Looming High 3293 100.0% 34.15 100.0% 0.053 0.0177 0.063

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 80.8%
Perils of the Deepest Island 91.95%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.36%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.93%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11955 20.49 14.64%
II 50293 31.02 68.89%
III 40125 34.76 89.76%
IV 10803 38.06 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1750
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35502
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 33779
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10700
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2600
Lose: Invader deck ran out 660
Lose: Adversary condition 7850
Win: Sacrifice victory 213
Lose: Scenario condition 1082
Win: Scenario condition 1233
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17312
Lose: Spirit destroyed 495

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.058 Win Model: -0.174

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.061 Win Model: 0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 66772 50.61% 37.73 72.63%
2 25054 48.61% 34.61 72.75%
3 11237 42.93% 36.22 75.74%
4 7765 34.86% 38.24 79.41%
5 316 24.75% 33.59 77.22%
6 2032 23.93% 37.82 75.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-10 03:37:45 (Pacific Time)