Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 72 22.22% 26.39 76.39% -0.1 -0.1609 0.191
Blitz 0 876 46.08% 31.81 68.61% 0.09 0.2298 -1.209
Dahan Insurrection 4 1231 23.33% 58.68 81.64% 0.118 -0.0548 0.658
Despicable Theft 2 482 40.25% 33.71 77.8% -0.915 -0.2489 -0.345
Elemental Invocation 1 627 50.88% 33.25 72.09% -0.33 0.4004 -1.262
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6053 18.25% 50.64 80.19% 0.593 -0.0395 0.384
Powers Long Forgotten 1 258 63.18% 28.74 59.69% -0.799 -0.329 -0.568
Rituals of Terror 3 215 51.06% 36.06 71.63% -1.104 -1.0919 -0.514
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 149 70.47% 35.86 69.8% -0.433 0.5157 0.545
Second Wave 0 2866 44.38% 29.85 78.3% 0.071 0.1476 -0.511
The Great River 3 1054 62.13% 31.84 62.24% -1.284 0.0823 -1.725
Varied Terrains 2 113 45.13% 32.45 72.57% -0.448 0.1211 -0.426
Ward the Shores 2 302 24.83% 31.64 70.53% -1.884 -0.6488 -1.711

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 62608 50.89% 38.04 73.14% 0.451 0.6849 0.532
1 Thematic 2278 43.28% 35.77 73.18% 0.785 1.4114 -0.263
2 Archipelago 94 34.04% 37.26 87.23% 0.728 1.1177 -0.285
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14320 51.97% 35.21 72.42% -0.016 0.1617 0.062
2 Coastline 2834 46.16% 33.91 74.63% -0.205 -0.1415 0.052
2 Fragment 457 57.89% 38.79 74.4% 0.633 0.5457 1.184
2 Heart 245 56.61% 34.35 71.02% 1.009 0.8229 0.599
2 Opposite Shores 4348 40.92% 33.94 77.55% -0.116 0.0468 -0.185
2 Thematic 1251 46.02% 33.83 66.51% -0.422 0.1841 -0.086
2 Top to Top 613 43.37% 36.15 69.82% -0.261 -0.2001 -0.132
3 Archipelago 89 25.84% 47.48 94.38% 0.035 -0.9657 0.857
3 Coastline 203 59.41% 36.88 73.4% 0.872 0.4521 0.644
3 Other 496 32.52% 31.46 88.1% -0.209 -0.405 0.85
3 Round (Default) 9745 43.02% 36.79 76.18% -0.085 -0.1024 0.001
3 Sunrise 30 53.33% 34.57 80.0% -0.218 0.0111 0.707
3 Thematic 368 51.91% 36.54 69.84% -0.34 -0.322 -0.001
4 Archipelago 73 31.94% 39.66 80.82% 0.151 -0.0358 0.009
4 Coastline 100 36.08% 34.84 86.0% 0.045 0.2058 0.103
4 Leaf 38 60.53% 38.71 73.68% -0.667 -1.0311 -1.128
4 Other 332 33.73% 33.65 89.76% 0.904 0.0464 0.889
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3626 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0065 0.0
4 Thematic 1369 31.65% 50.97 79.25% -0.037 -0.0261 -0.684
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5694 36.07% 35.61 78.7% -0.277 -0.46 -0.321
5 Archipelago 16 43.75% 38.06 87.5% 0.603 -0.5877 0.244
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 31.8 80.0% 0.042 0.0311 0.585
5 Other 381 32.14% 36.81 81.1% 0.45 -0.0111 0.222
5 Thematic 51 27.45% 47.25 82.35% -0.108 -0.5107 -0.345
6 Archipelago 43 18.6% 40.49 86.05% -0.535 -0.7846 -0.935
6 Coastline 6 50.0% 22.5 83.33% -0.227 -0.9155 0.0
6 Other 262 26.64% 32.74 75.95% -0.067 -0.53 -0.813
6 Star 152 23.68% 32.22 71.05% -0.584 -0.0989 -1.237
6 Thematic 632 26.83% 43.12 75.0% -1.002 -0.5529 -0.979
6 Two Centers (Default) 806 21.3% 37.0 78.54% -0.704 -0.5976 -1.289
7 Archipelago 5 0.0% 30.8 80.0% -0.529 -1.1184 0.0
7 Other 15 7.14% 35.8 86.67% -0.093 -0.7735 1.133

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3609 35.7 54.92% -0.464 -0.1917 -1.285
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3186 36.87 57.82% -0.471 -0.4067 -1.038
All Things Weaken 4039 33.25 50.11% -0.338 0.1308 -1.559
Attenuated Essence 90 29.09 46.67% -0.11 0.1497 -1.395
Back Against the Wall 3004 35.81 55.73% -0.114 0.0677 -1.2
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 98 23.86 37.76% -0.811 -0.3468 -1.409
Burn Brightest Before the End 76 34.57 46.05% -0.231 0.0927 -1.237
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3443 32.04 51.12% -0.839 -0.2952 -1.506
Downward Spiral 4042 34.25 58.36% -0.266 0.0912 -1.238
Erosion of Will 3737 34.45 50.84% -0.527 -0.073 -1.506
Intensifying Exploitation 99 29.77 46.46% -0.324 0.0841 -1.273
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1577 40.12 82.37% 0.278 -0.2339 -0.414
Memory Fades to Dust 4112 34.04 54.77% -0.599 -0.0995 -1.381
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4109 33.56 54.61% -0.284 0.0258 -1.422
Promising Farmlands 3452 33.19 51.3% -0.652 -0.0657 -1.549
Shattered Fragments of Power 78 32.92 50.0% -0.113 0.0897 -1.561
Slow Dissolution of Will 106 26.64 33.02% -0.838 -0.2765 -2.257
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1016 42.3 86.91% 0.143 -0.5785 0.17
The Border of Life and Death 31 25.1 51.61% -0.381 -0.4896 -0.936
Thriving Communities 4038 32.65 51.96% -0.491 0.0162 -1.484
Thriving Crops 30 28.27 50.0% 0.152 0.2688 -0.758
Unnatural Proliferation 4272 34.65 52.62% -0.558 -0.2397 -1.43
Untended Land Crumbles 4095 33.12 53.48% -0.299 0.0804 -1.444

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 23878 45.4% 36.14 74.92% 0.176 1.0461 -0.094
B 26668 46.73% 37.03 74.72% 0.144 0.9469 0.089
C 23913 44.67% 35.84 75.73% 0.063 0.7439 -0.199
D 20413 44.92% 34.78 74.88% -0.138 0.6912 -0.307
E 27565 46.23% 39.1 74.96% 0.246 0.9017 0.203
F 19351 44.21% 36.08 75.46% -0.005 0.7395 -0.133
G 16127 45.57% 35.13 74.44% -0.154 0.6267 -0.298
H 17012 44.63% 36.43 75.99% 0.005 0.6919 -0.107
East 4440 38.87% 42.29 74.71% 0.008 0.6304 -0.198
Northeast 2666 36.91% 43.55 74.87% -0.114 0.7953 -0.137
Northwest 2293 36.91% 43.2 73.75% -0.253 0.4197 -0.153
Southeast 2015 35.08% 42.48 74.89% 0.018 0.7143 -0.241
Southwest 2214 35.31% 39.7 73.8% -0.288 0.9123 0.036
West 4473 38.57% 40.7 72.93% -0.495 0.488 -0.376

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 663 0.0% 29.81 86.43% -1.099 -0.1927 0.604
Not Using Events or Tokens 38 53.13% 24.68 84.21% 0.518 0.8341 -0.34
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2555 13.73% 47.71 90.84% 0.448 -0.1127 -0.651
Start of Game Growth 5034 19.13% 50.45 88.38% 0.791 0.4795 1.166
Unlimited Undo 10139 37.47% 40.12 82.26% -0.097 -0.1225 0.672
Using Tokens but Not Events 11383 31.53% 34.75 83.63% -0.068 -0.1333 -0.403

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5110 100.0% 36.9 100.0% 0.453 0.3012 0.32
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1228 100.0% 31.74 100.0% -0.204 -0.0949 -0.299
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1965 100.0% 32.88 100.0% 0.021 -0.1385 0.056
Downpour Drenches the World 737 100.0% 35.48 100.0% -0.281 -0.0989 -0.208
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 635 100.0% 30.22 100.0% 0.296 -0.4202 -0.332
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3026 100.0% 36.37 100.0% 0.17 -0.4142 0.134
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2742 100.0% 37.11 100.0% 0.042 -0.4368 -0.34
Finder of Paths Unseen 581 100.0% 35.29 100.0% 0.131 0.8342 0.59
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1633 100.0% 43.22 100.0% 0.238 0.9317 0.664
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1567 100.0% 35.18 100.0% -0.203 -0.3004 0.255
Heart of the Wildfire 1829 100.0% 32.73 100.0% -0.327 -0.0688 -0.409
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8275 100.0% 39.41 100.0% 0.145 -0.3106 0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike 1335 223.33% 33.2 144.19% -0.066 0.1363 -0.434
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 302 44.52% 40.76 66.89% 0.225 -0.4837 -0.174
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 799 36.86% 36.73 79.6% -0.644 -0.9528 0.642
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1574 36.8% 44.25 79.22% 0.771 0.5949 1.016
Many Minds Move as One 3525 100.0% 36.35 100.0% -0.185 -0.4025 0.527
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7112 100.0% 35.79 100.0% -0.108 -0.1261 0.151
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1854 100.0% 33.75 100.0% -0.344 -0.4805 -0.254
River Surges in Sunlight 2367 138.58% 37.26 117.96% -0.4 -0.3955 0.128
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1262 42.34% 36.19 73.3% -0.199 0.0547 -0.521
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 339 42.43% 39.17 74.04% 0.239 0.1071 0.431
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3371 100.0% 40.93 100.0% 0.331 0.119 -0.089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 334 303.2% 31.69 193.71% 0.355 0.8031 -0.871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 97 37.5% 40.49 80.41% 0.141 0.1212 0.395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 87 36.47% 35.39 72.41% -0.41 -0.3945 -0.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 595 48.65% 32.09 73.45% 0.152 0.0945 -0.363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 504 43.8% 32.93 77.78% -0.133 -0.0649 -0.21
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4097 103.47% 40.87 101.59% 0.216 0.088 0.265
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 186 23.66% 33.69 65.05% 0.262 -0.0863 -0.508
Shifting Memory of Ages 1485 100.0% 33.7 100.0% -0.279 0.0896 0.046
Shroud of Silent Mist 1321 100.0% 30.7 100.0% -0.681 -0.366 -0.016
Starlight Seeks its Form 1736 100.0% 37.44 100.0% 0.149 -0.1175 0.026
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4220 100.0% 38.52 100.0% 0.476 -0.0111 0.22
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2345 100.0% 38.47 100.0% -0.138 -0.0984 0.775
Thunderspeaker 2536 101.62% 36.99 100.99% 0.371 0.3438 -0.174
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 35.94% 29.64 60.94% -0.008 -0.0552 0.895
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2026 100.0% 32.48 100.0% -0.07 -0.0092 -0.217
Vital Strength of the Earth 805 147.34% 29.49 124.97% -0.351 0.2109 -0.82
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 182 41.76% 34.1 64.29% 0.113 0.37 -0.6
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 498 44.35% 32.55 72.69% 0.049 0.933 -0.595
Volcano Looming High 3214 100.0% 34.21 100.0% -0.217 -0.1935 -0.034

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 80.75%
Perils of the Deepest Island 91.92%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.37%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11056 21.09 15.41%
II 49064 31.04 69.1%
III 39298 34.73 89.85%
IV 10555 38.01 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1704
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34801
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 33048
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10457
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1791
Lose: Invader deck ran out 641
Lose: Adversary condition 7652
Win: Sacrifice victory 210
Lose: Scenario condition 1040
Win: Scenario condition 1218
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16925
Lose: Spirit destroyed 486

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.3 Win Model: -0.179

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.097 Win Model: 0.107
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 65077 50.67% 37.95 73.09%
2 24222 48.8% 34.94 73.53%
3 10851 43.0% 36.51 76.38%
4 7619 34.84% 38.42 79.79%
5 301 25.44% 33.86 78.41%
6 1903 23.98% 38.15 76.72%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-28 03:51:06 (Pacific Time)