Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 197 21.83% 26.75 69.04% -0.049 0.0492 -0.102
Blitz 0 1355 41.96% 28.21 64.28% -0.433 -0.1874 -1.003
Dahan Insurrection 4 1972 22.39% 51.75 70.64% 0.248 0.0156 0.625
Despicable Theft 2 764 38.79% 30.61 69.76% -0.011 0.6325 -0.623
Elemental Invocation 1 922 48.21% 29.72 63.56% -0.608 0.0764 -1.241
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8655 18.04% 47.41 74.81% 0.623 0.0376 0.567
Powers Long Forgotten 1 463 53.13% 23.56 48.38% -1.025 -0.1285 -1.306
Rituals of Terror 3 374 41.21% 32.2 63.9% -0.773 -0.7003 -0.518
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 247 61.94% 31.36 59.51% -0.556 0.3158 0.1
Second Wave 0 4428 43.57% 28.11 73.76% -0.04 0.1208 -0.176
The Great River 3 1430 58.3% 28.78 55.59% -1.032 0.1271 -1.477
Varied Terrains 2 333 53.75% 26.8 55.56% -0.478 0.2381 -0.87
Ward the Shores 2 492 22.76% 23.7 53.25% -1.981 -0.8287 -1.832

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 94352 49.47% 34.92 67.44% 0.4 0.6971 0.872
1 Thematic 3404 41.41% 33.04 66.92% -0.051 0.6199 0.112
2 Archipelago 175 36.57% 34.42 70.86% 0.04 0.7919 0.237
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 22492 49.23% 32.08 66.5% 0.249 0.3655 0.232
2 Coastline 4514 44.02% 30.52 67.5% -0.014 -0.0866 0.116
2 Fragment 699 54.89% 34.58 69.38% 0.551 0.3448 1.212
2 Heart 414 50.49% 30.83 63.04% 0.715 0.4214 0.373
2 Opposite Shores 7175 41.49% 30.22 68.98% -0.061 0.035 0.012
2 Thematic 2073 44.23% 29.81 57.02% -0.455 0.0714 -0.132
2 Top to Top 1106 44.56% 31.21 60.49% 0.083 0.0174 -0.155
3 Archipelago 126 32.54% 42.88 86.51% 0.867 0.0844 1.503
3 Coastline 291 54.48% 33.45 67.01% -0.295 -0.8936 0.904
3 Other 777 28.44% 25.94 71.81% -0.677 -1.3578 0.77
3 Round (Default) 16389 42.89% 32.71 67.52% 0.049 -0.0195 -0.078
3 Sunrise 56 53.57% 29.02 67.86% -0.236 -0.3678 0.958
3 Thematic 659 47.18% 32.36 60.7% -0.027 0.0299 -0.454
4 Archipelago 112 33.33% 40.89 81.25% 0.374 -0.0592 0.382
4 Coastline 136 36.09% 30.74 77.21% -0.328 -0.2706 -0.594
4 Leaf 67 53.73% 33.37 68.66% 0.596 0.4883 -1.09
4 Other 440 34.62% 31.11 84.32% 0.257 -0.4054 1.214
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3432 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4462 0.0
4 Thematic 1671 31.73% 46.95 74.21% 0.339 0.4265 -0.911
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8838 34.91% 31.88 70.34% -0.043 -0.0972 -0.553
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 0.1814 1.198
5 Coastline 20 10.0% 26.1 70.0% 0.449 -0.276 0.457
5 Other 841 35.04% 31.3 72.06% 0.137 -0.427 0.045
5 Thematic 92 36.96% 36.13 67.39% -0.068 -0.3922 0.383
6 Archipelago 79 15.19% 34.66 74.68% 0.0 -0.951 -0.738
6 Coastline 14 21.43% 18.21 57.14% 0.288 -0.427 -0.525
6 Other 591 23.55% 26.74 65.82% -0.746 -0.8197 -0.954
6 Star 301 23.26% 29.19 68.44% 0.096 0.2032 -1.049
6 Thematic 1413 23.83% 40.13 63.2% -1.353 -0.9289 -1.316
6 Two Centers (Default) 1856 20.86% 31.98 68.43% -0.682 -0.072 -1.251
7 Archipelago 10 22.22% 21.7 50.0% 0.0 -0.2755 -1.009
7 Other 31 6.67% 24.26 54.84% -0.393 -0.8391 -0.203

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4975 33.76 51.84% -0.47 -0.2625 -0.696
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4320 35.98 56.48% 0.017 -0.0168 -0.387
All Things Weaken 5646 31.35 47.73% -0.641 -0.3577 -0.887
Attenuated Essence 936 28.6 44.02% -0.321 -0.3051 -0.994
Back Against the Wall 4133 34.55 53.93% -0.192 -0.1415 -0.554
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 969 27.5 41.49% -0.473 -0.3115 -1.054
Burn Brightest Before the End 780 32.63 45.0% -0.081 -0.0221 -0.789
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4863 30.16 47.77% -0.663 -0.3895 -0.873
Downward Spiral 5798 32.44 55.73% -0.049 0.0559 -0.551
Erosion of Will 5199 32.81 48.93% -0.41 -0.166 -0.837
Intensifying Exploitation 1071 28.49 44.07% -0.305 -0.0727 -0.841
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2211 37.42 77.39% 0.373 -0.265 0.116
Memory Fades to Dust 5800 32.44 52.69% -0.416 -0.1717 -0.71
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5681 31.68 52.02% -0.419 -0.2208 -0.804
Promising Farmlands 4895 31.69 49.09% -0.119 0.12 -0.883
Shattered Fragments of Power 791 31.11 44.12% -0.187 -0.0952 -0.882
Slow Dissolution of Will 1022 27.19 36.5% -0.699 -0.3454 -1.249
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1395 39.32 81.86% 1.026 0.3309 0.583
The Border of Life and Death 268 31.0 61.57% 0.199 -0.3564 -0.241
Thriving Communities 5630 31.0 49.5% -0.546 -0.3154 -0.804
Thriving Crops 444 28.67 52.7% -0.158 -0.3963 -0.565
Unnatural Proliferation 5990 33.15 50.5% -0.261 -0.0666 -0.735
Untended Land Crumbles 5719 31.41 50.83% -0.125 0.1102 -0.754

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 38644 43.55% 32.3 67.16% -0.448 0.5211 -0.325
B 43149 45.25% 33.44 67.43% -0.369 0.5134 -0.132
C 38416 43.0% 32.39 68.57% -0.331 0.3746 -0.376
D 33144 43.01% 31.1 67.1% -0.535 0.386 -0.506
E 43404 44.26% 35.18 68.61% -0.043 0.7299 -0.005
F 31069 42.49% 32.62 68.84% -0.272 0.5712 -0.244
G 25677 43.75% 31.65 66.95% -0.351 0.4714 -0.47
H 27026 42.75% 33.05 69.23% -0.302 0.5133 -0.286
East 7063 37.26% 37.81 65.91% -0.725 0.0472 -0.488
Northeast 4317 34.75% 39.31 66.02% -0.022 0.6946 -0.12
Northwest 3811 34.06% 38.99 64.97% -0.236 0.5933 -0.127
Southeast 3436 32.41% 38.39 65.83% 0.137 0.9567 -0.133
Southwest 3699 32.76% 36.28 64.75% -0.077 1.1596 -0.165
West 7034 36.56% 36.43 64.34% -0.692 0.2673 -0.3

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1366 0.0% 26.39 81.33% -0.71 0.0078 -0.023
Not Using Events or Tokens 113 40.0% 25.12 86.73% 0.644 1.0159 -0.247
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3884 13.82% 43.76 83.57% 0.446 -0.197 -0.446
Start of Game Growth 8309 19.77% 45.86 79.28% 1.062 0.53 1.288
Unlimited Undo 15543 36.37% 36.23 74.19% 0.105 0.0182 0.478
Using Tokens but Not Events 18884 31.39% 31.16 75.19% -0.078 -0.0901 -0.613

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7754 33.65% 33.23 71.67% -0.285 -0.354 0.279
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 556 33.99% 30.37 56.65% 0.853 0.3881 0.045
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1736 46.78% 28.79 67.34% -0.513 -0.3596 -0.173
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 356 47.47% 30.92 62.36% 1.173 0.3514 0.138
Dances Up Earthquakes 305 40.0% 22.94 45.25% -0.372 -0.4156 -0.797
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2996 36.76% 29.43 70.46% 0.074 -0.0804 0.136
Downpour Drenches the World 1905 35.18% 28.55 55.91% -0.35 -0.1382 -0.339
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2535 36.69% 28.68 59.61% -0.049 -0.652 -0.122
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4648 32.03% 33.16 75.26% 0.402 -0.0206 0.115
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4361 32.58% 34.21 70.47% 0.624 0.1599 -0.147
Finder of Paths Unseen 1398 41.99% 27.28 58.58% 0.046 0.7872 0.145
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2447 30.61% 37.71 70.62% -0.08 0.613 0.548
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2912 41.7% 30.09 65.18% -0.049 -0.1801 0.258
Heart of the Wildfire 2981 49.15% 29.86 61.56% -0.001 0.3379 -0.171
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11986 37.07% 36.89 70.57% 0.116 -0.2791 0.463
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 671 32.59% 30.28 58.87% -0.12 -0.4449 -0.237
Lightning's Swift Strike 2190 41.2% 29.37 69.86% 0.26 0.5062 -0.374
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 801 41.96% 37.04 60.67% 0.045 -0.2947 0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1171 34.7% 32.37 70.96% -0.064 -0.3644 0.666
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2446 34.2% 40.22 70.97% 0.538 0.4673 1.063
Many Minds Move as One 5648 38.78% 32.18 70.56% -0.111 -0.3445 0.254
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11495 37.11% 31.41 69.39% -0.256 -0.0991 0.291
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 472 37.58% 24.52 51.69% -0.09 -0.0236 -0.563
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3026 41.76% 31.15 70.09% 0.144 0.0451 -0.067
River Surges in Sunlight 3555 39.74% 33.0 70.83% 0.3 0.389 0.125
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 229 33.92% 31.98 51.97% 0.289 0.4474 -0.231
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2041 42.75% 31.62 62.71% 0.421 0.6919 -0.228
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1260 37.84% 34.12 58.81% 0.218 0.1073 -0.015
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4993 31.75% 36.81 70.36% 0.368 0.2053 0.059
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 226 42.92% 24.23 46.46% -0.068 -0.2434 -0.035
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 534 48.87% 27.79 68.35% -0.327 0.2018 -0.548
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 224 35.45% 30.47 64.29% -0.779 -0.9002 0.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 507 40.67% 37.84 63.91% 0.104 -0.3812 0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 229 40.53% 25.03 49.78% -1.549 -1.6334 -0.74
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 749 46.77% 30.92 72.36% 0.171 0.1211 0.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 699 42.22% 28.64 69.81% -0.075 0.1179 -0.401
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5424 35.06% 37.66 76.18% 0.32 0.4236 0.445
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1359 29.56% 35.6 61.52% -0.1 -0.2521 -0.055
Shifting Memory of Ages 2457 42.89% 29.9 63.9% -0.703 -0.4081 -0.068
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 434 38.25% 28.14 52.07% 0.245 0.14 0.059
Shroud of Silent Mist 2086 45.37% 27.27 65.53% -0.016 0.2944 -0.114
Starlight Seeks its Form 3470 36.98% 32.62 66.17% -0.206 -0.3237 0.314
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6210 39.38% 35.22 69.19% -0.02 -0.5106 0.301
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3430 40.05% 34.47 71.84% 0.114 0.2529 0.774
Thunderspeaker 3915 36.49% 33.95 72.13% -0.289 -0.2383 0.332
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 384 28.65% 26.01 55.47% 0.238 0.343 -0.371
Towering Roots of the Jungle 665 36.39% 27.75 54.74% -0.261 -0.1618 -0.011
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2979 57.85% 29.92 60.89% -0.186 -0.0997 0.012
Vital Strength of the Earth 1292 34.22% 25.97 71.67% 0.375 0.9662 -0.448
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 533 42.48% 28.13 54.6% -0.138 0.3216 -0.209
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 733 41.84% 28.73 62.89% -0.473 0.1801 -0.181
Volcano Looming High 4711 45.4% 31.5 68.22% 0.231 0.2845 0.117
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1097 33.15% 29.0 63.63% -0.151 -0.4841 -0.606

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.3%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.16%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.56%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 27549 13.52 9.02%
II 72686 30.15 66.23%
III 55930 34.83 89.28%
IV 15083 38.66 99.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2485
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 49255
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 46956
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14936
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17486
Lose: Invader deck ran out 907
Lose: Adversary condition 10882
Win: Sacrifice victory 296
Lose: Scenario condition 1442
Win: Scenario condition 1654
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24257
Lose: Spirit destroyed 692

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.278 Win Model: -0.172

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.164 Win Model: 0.051
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 98136 49.19% 34.81 67.32%
2 38639 46.85% 31.57 66.72%
3 18148 42.62% 32.46 67.5%
4 11260 34.2% 34.24 72.07%
5 819 33.58% 28.94 68.01%
6 4246 22.1% 33.78 66.39%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-27 03:24:57 (Pacific Time)