Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 157 19.75% 26.73 71.34% 0.485 0.2652 -0.129
Blitz 0 1208 42.44% 29.06 65.15% -0.354 -0.0678 -1.087
Dahan Insurrection 4 1690 22.69% 53.12 72.84% 0.127 0.0116 0.613
Despicable Theft 2 673 39.43% 31.02 70.58% -0.07 0.668 -0.757
Elemental Invocation 1 808 48.2% 30.54 66.58% -0.795 -0.039 -1.265
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7790 17.92% 48.19 76.33% 0.432 -0.1497 0.522
Powers Long Forgotten 1 390 56.92% 25.31 52.82% -0.335 0.5185 -0.948
Rituals of Terror 3 333 41.5% 32.74 65.47% -0.189 -0.3595 -0.543
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 215 63.72% 32.06 61.4% -0.531 0.3802 0.072
Second Wave 0 3780 43.52% 28.44 75.13% -0.111 -0.0318 -0.398
The Great River 3 1292 59.97% 29.75 57.43% -1.336 0.0275 -1.593
Varied Terrains 2 260 48.46% 28.04 60.38% -0.551 0.3284 -0.702
Ward the Shores 2 406 23.15% 26.16 57.88% -1.768 -0.786 -1.858

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 82409 50.12% 35.86 68.95% 0.418 0.7618 0.837
1 Thematic 2968 41.31% 34.08 68.87% 0.57 1.098 0.108
2 Archipelago 147 34.01% 34.4 74.83% 0.714 1.2133 0.029
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19379 49.95% 33.01 68.18% 0.131 0.4151 0.221
2 Coastline 3838 44.72% 31.31 69.07% 0.037 0.0658 0.104
2 Fragment 617 55.36% 35.55 69.53% 0.286 0.0485 1.18
2 Heart 349 53.76% 31.64 63.32% -0.371 -0.5189 0.31
2 Opposite Shores 6020 41.54% 31.34 71.36% 0.16 0.2186 -0.01
2 Thematic 1793 44.99% 30.82 59.45% -0.244 0.1264 -0.052
2 Top to Top 910 44.49% 31.97 61.87% 0.16 0.2834 -0.334
3 Archipelago 115 32.17% 43.83 86.96% 0.22 -0.5776 1.358
3 Coastline 252 56.97% 34.29 70.63% 0.745 0.196 0.948
3 Other 681 29.25% 26.89 74.45% -0.76 -1.2977 0.794
3 Round (Default) 13754 43.37% 34.04 70.22% 0.277 0.1844 -0.05
3 Sunrise 48 52.08% 27.81 70.83% -0.233 -0.0818 0.854
3 Thematic 541 47.31% 33.6 63.77% -0.1 -0.6182 -0.377
4 Archipelago 104 33.98% 40.15 82.69% -0.387 0.0463 0.147
4 Coastline 123 36.67% 32.53 82.11% 0.685 -0.0752 -0.265
4 Leaf 60 56.67% 35.22 70.0% 0.002 -0.2096 -1.149
4 Other 405 34.07% 32.11 86.67% 0.019 0.0267 1.17
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1565 31.84% 48.29 75.72% -0.907 -0.7736 -0.892
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7652 35.05% 32.94 72.86% -0.227 -0.1201 -0.547
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 0.168 0.84
5 Coastline 15 13.33% 27.27 66.67% 0.326 -0.1802 0.465
5 Other 668 33.38% 32.43 73.8% -0.019 -0.5335 0.051
5 Thematic 82 35.37% 38.37 70.73% 0.17 -0.8125 0.307
6 Archipelago 73 13.7% 35.19 76.71% 0.52 -0.21 -0.711
6 Coastline 11 27.27% 19.45 63.64% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.279
6 Other 455 23.73% 28.54 68.79% -0.659 -0.0237 -0.763
6 Star 229 25.76% 30.64 70.31% 0.088 0.3328 -1.088
6 Thematic 1129 24.67% 39.7 64.57% -0.784 -0.4612 -1.372
6 Two Centers (Default) 1416 20.77% 33.19 71.68% -0.636 -0.7393 -1.445
7 Archipelago 7 16.67% 23.14 57.14% -0.587 0.0049 -0.601
7 Other 26 8.0% 27.54 65.38% 0.401 -1.0359 0.188

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4483 34.58 53.04% -0.474 -0.3703 -0.817
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3910 36.31 56.78% 0.269 0.1239 -0.552
All Things Weaken 5098 31.86 48.47% -0.481 -0.1151 -1.056
Attenuated Essence 578 28.55 45.16% -0.157 -0.1584 -1.101
Back Against the Wall 3728 34.97 54.48% -0.21 -0.1451 -0.7
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 630 27.36 41.59% -0.151 0.0842 -1.237
Burn Brightest Before the End 500 32.57 43.8% -0.724 -0.5637 -0.908
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4338 30.65 48.41% -0.739 -0.3629 -1.056
Downward Spiral 5171 32.95 56.2% -0.344 -0.2719 -0.718
Erosion of Will 4654 33.45 49.76% -0.186 0.0703 -0.996
Intensifying Exploitation 679 28.45 43.3% -0.306 -0.0316 -0.991
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1962 38.15 78.08% 0.193 -0.2939 -0.078
Memory Fades to Dust 5168 33.08 53.85% 0.074 0.2566 -0.871
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5099 32.24 52.81% -0.001 0.2121 -0.973
Promising Farmlands 4389 32.11 49.51% -0.141 0.1818 -1.083
Shattered Fragments of Power 531 30.44 43.88% -0.526 -0.3553 -1.13
Slow Dissolution of Will 647 27.31 35.55% -0.872 -0.4878 -1.466
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1243 40.54 83.83% 0.182 -0.4944 0.488
The Border of Life and Death 165 29.83 61.21% -0.117 -0.6329 -0.552
Thriving Communities 5048 31.58 50.18% -0.55 -0.226 -0.962
Thriving Crops 287 29.48 51.57% -0.235 -0.2334 -0.691
Unnatural Proliferation 5392 33.6 51.19% -0.458 -0.2715 -0.899
Untended Land Crumbles 5118 31.96 51.41% -0.503 -0.1638 -0.926

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 32992 44.28% 33.42 69.22% -0.025 0.838 -0.262
B 36858 45.88% 34.45 69.4% 0.23 1.0509 -0.096
C 32732 43.53% 33.4 70.68% 0.081 0.7794 -0.324
D 28294 43.55% 32.22 69.56% -0.063 0.7934 -0.451
E 37511 44.93% 36.3 70.31% 0.244 0.9326 0.053
F 26449 43.19% 33.66 70.69% 0.109 0.9272 -0.212
G 21928 44.46% 32.71 69.09% -0.286 0.5946 -0.43
H 22968 43.53% 34.14 71.47% 0.202 0.9827 -0.204
East 6109 37.4% 38.93 68.19% -0.475 0.3174 -0.457
Northeast 3703 34.87% 40.12 68.05% -0.217 0.664 -0.018
Northwest 3249 35.07% 39.72 66.76% -0.877 -0.0062 -0.152
Southeast 2928 32.82% 39.17 68.0% 0.384 1.2432 -0.101
Southwest 3141 33.29% 36.89 66.83% -0.276 0.9332 -0.203
West 6087 37.28% 37.48 66.45% 0.167 1.2273 -0.273

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1041 0.0% 26.98 83.09% 1.069 1.7844 -0.265
Not Using Events or Tokens 64 42.59% 26.69 84.38% 1.311 1.7855 -0.267
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3449 13.86% 45.1 85.27% -0.079 -0.6463 -0.551
Start of Game Growth 6828 19.5% 47.22 82.38% 0.723 0.0589 1.311
Unlimited Undo 13528 37.04% 37.45 76.31% 0.066 0.0889 0.531
Using Tokens but Not Events 16037 31.73% 31.78 76.96% 0.003 0.0504 -0.646

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7011 33.98% 34.24 73.31% 0.066 -0.1307 0.274
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 163 34.36% 28.6 58.9% 0.507 -0.2077 -0.468
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1573 47.15% 29.8 69.23% -0.461 -0.1925 -0.204
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 215 49.3% 31.2 65.12% 0.314 -0.2539 0.15
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2607 37.99% 30.14 71.65% -0.641 -0.772 0.058
Downpour Drenches the World 1472 37.06% 29.57 58.36% -0.477 -0.2078 -0.396
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1836 36.84% 29.42 60.95% 0.515 0.0831 -0.189
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3990 31.51% 34.01 77.42% 0.191 -0.2324 0.07
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3768 33.34% 34.54 71.55% -0.129 -0.5745 -0.244
Finder of Paths Unseen 1147 42.55% 28.43 61.03% -0.42 0.237 0.068
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2190 31.82% 39.19 72.6% 0.183 0.9912 0.515
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2405 42.29% 31.39 67.69% -0.204 -0.3215 0.19
Heart of the Wildfire 2603 49.71% 30.49 62.47% -0.403 -0.1158 -0.22
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10602 37.48% 37.51 72.18% 0.395 0.0025 0.401
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 416 33.09% 31.24 59.62% -0.043 -0.4471 -0.612
Lightning's Swift Strike 1804 41.8% 30.36 71.73% 0.106 0.3736 -0.336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 629 43.43% 38.08 61.05% 0.075 -0.2764 -0.178
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1054 35.33% 33.52 73.15% 0.099 -0.3423 0.698
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2071 35.8% 41.05 73.01% 0.07 0.0272 1.063
Many Minds Move as One 4878 39.54% 33.26 72.88% 0.134 -0.0968 0.272
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9866 37.36% 32.59 71.89% -0.069 -0.1727 0.253
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2599 42.4% 32.27 72.03% 0.34 0.1841 -0.064
River Surges in Sunlight 3138 39.68% 34.18 73.01% 0.098 0.1873 0.064
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 61 21.31% 41.57 62.3% 0.324 0.212 0.926
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1712 42.4% 32.92 65.89% 0.228 0.6179 -0.366
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 960 40.08% 33.74 58.54% -0.042 0.0959 -0.005
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4395 32.75% 38.16 72.2% 0.073 -0.1209 0.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 452 46.44% 29.13 71.46% 0.254 0.7394 -0.705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 185 36.96% 32.38 68.11% 0.056 0.1119 0.027
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 258 44.31% 35.2 66.28% -0.327 -0.7952 -0.02
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 204 39.6% 25.54 50.0% -1.049 -0.833 -0.695
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 695 48.05% 31.2 72.23% 0.057 0.0864 -0.083
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 637 41.46% 29.77 72.37% -0.03 0.1417 -0.378
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4956 35.03% 38.62 77.48% 0.056 -0.0966 0.386
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 896 31.39% 35.2 61.72% 0.361 0.162 -0.31
Shifting Memory of Ages 2161 44.28% 31.05 66.68% -0.214 0.2347 -0.036
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 122 36.89% 30.83 61.48% 0.387 0.082 0.268
Shroud of Silent Mist 1836 46.48% 28.25 67.21% 0.211 0.5474 -0.056
Starlight Seeks its Form 2849 36.96% 34.23 69.18% 0.199 0.1435 0.284
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5530 40.08% 36.2 71.32% 0.338 -0.2848 0.293
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2963 40.3% 35.95 74.38% 0.007 0.2009 0.813
Thunderspeaker 3406 36.9% 34.83 74.25% 0.671 0.6175 0.179
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 272 28.31% 25.44 53.68% -0.302 -0.1681 -0.404
Towering Roots of the Jungle 246 34.15% 28.38 55.28% -0.074 -0.0645 0.145
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2636 58.56% 30.71 62.75% -0.209 -0.1261 0.05
Vital Strength of the Earth 1092 34.01% 26.86 72.99% -0.669 -0.0744 -0.624
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 411 39.76% 28.36 56.2% -0.367 0.0721 -0.235
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 643 42.5% 29.74 65.63% -0.158 0.5328 -0.343
Volcano Looming High 4098 46.18% 32.34 69.94% 0.049 0.1522 0.126
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 683 32.16% 30.63 66.18% -0.022 -0.2746 -0.273

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.15%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.03%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.54%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.93%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21392 15.45 10.34%
II 63637 30.45 67.07%
III 49447 34.8 89.45%
IV 13399 38.47 99.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 43632
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41635
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 13264
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11448
Lose: Invader deck ran out 800
Lose: Adversary condition 9742
Win: Sacrifice victory 259
Lose: Scenario condition 1310
Win: Scenario condition 1466
Lose: Blight pool ran out 21510
Lose: Spirit destroyed 597

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.189 Win Model: -0.184

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.088 Win Model: 0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 85694 49.83% 35.76 68.85%
2 33062 47.44% 32.51 68.48%
3 15270 43.09% 33.73 70.2%
4 9910 34.3% 35.5 74.54%
5 631 31.48% 29.71 69.26%
6 3308 22.49% 34.63 68.95%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)