Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 185 19.46% 27.46 70.27% 0.156 -0.4514 0.036
Blitz 0 1290 42.3% 28.73 64.81% -0.204 0.2831 -1.029
Dahan Insurrection 4 1851 22.12% 52.32 71.42% -0.58 -1.0815 0.642
Despicable Theft 2 726 38.9% 30.77 69.97% -0.418 0.1804 -0.701
Elemental Invocation 1 865 48.26% 30.11 64.51% -0.954 -0.1006 -1.227
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8257 17.83% 47.82 75.63% 0.346 -0.3272 0.563
Powers Long Forgotten 1 433 54.27% 23.88 49.42% -1.726 -1.1313 -1.166
Rituals of Terror 3 362 41.49% 32.44 64.36% 0.741 0.677 -0.517
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 236 63.14% 31.64 60.17% -0.152 0.644 0.02
Second Wave 0 4127 43.3% 28.25 74.51% -0.063 0.0343 -0.318
The Great River 3 1375 58.67% 29.18 56.22% -1.675 -0.3061 -1.454
Varied Terrains 2 303 52.81% 26.64 54.79% -1.201 -0.4037 -0.931
Ward the Shores 2 434 23.96% 25.08 55.53% -1.088 -0.2793 -1.786

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 88702 49.74% 35.3 68.08% 0.441 0.7136 0.916
1 Thematic 3210 41.52% 33.47 67.6% 0.053 0.6834 0.147
2 Archipelago 158 36.08% 34.37 72.78% 0.293 0.6731 0.193
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21055 49.42% 32.48 67.26% 0.175 0.2911 0.258
2 Coastline 4206 44.0% 31.01 68.43% 0.485 0.2313 0.158
2 Fragment 657 55.49% 35.38 70.02% 1.462 1.4464 1.329
2 Heart 383 51.59% 30.91 62.92% -0.236 -0.3472 0.364
2 Opposite Shores 6613 41.53% 30.88 70.27% 0.238 0.3663 0.045
2 Thematic 1935 44.86% 30.46 58.24% -0.652 0.0019 -0.095
2 Top to Top 1004 44.81% 31.93 61.65% 0.514 0.2323 -0.094
3 Archipelago 121 32.23% 42.79 85.95% 0.087 -0.0101 1.422
3 Coastline 283 54.61% 33.77 67.84% 0.362 -0.0167 0.863
3 Other 738 29.14% 26.36 72.9% -0.303 -1.2766 0.866
3 Round (Default) 15208 42.93% 33.42 68.77% 0.428 0.3861 -0.065
3 Sunrise 50 50.0% 29.54 72.0% 0.0 -0.0555 0.911
3 Thematic 614 46.41% 32.72 61.4% -0.168 -0.2397 -0.418
4 Archipelago 108 33.64% 40.28 81.48% -0.112 -0.5811 0.107
4 Coastline 133 35.38% 30.99 77.44% 0.351 -0.0474 -0.616
4 Leaf 64 56.25% 33.39 67.19% -0.941 -0.5706 -1.122
4 Other 420 34.05% 31.74 85.71% 0.584 -0.2786 1.23
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 0.4881 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1629 31.94% 47.46 74.71% -0.578 -0.4381 -0.876
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8267 34.77% 32.31 71.4% -0.565 -0.5469 -0.524
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 -0.2598 1.171
5 Coastline 19 10.53% 25.68 68.42% 0.054 -0.6465 0.357
5 Other 756 34.47% 31.68 72.88% 0.262 -0.0787 0.012
5 Thematic 89 37.08% 36.48 67.42% -0.049 0.0604 0.383
6 Archipelago 77 14.29% 35.36 76.62% -0.38 -1.4151 -0.755
6 Coastline 12 25.0% 17.83 58.33% -0.083 -0.8169 -0.55
6 Other 522 23.4% 27.29 67.05% -0.793 -0.7115 -0.879
6 Star 260 23.46% 29.65 68.46% -0.285 0.3193 -1.116
6 Thematic 1276 24.11% 40.34 64.11% -0.387 -0.0226 -1.388
6 Two Centers (Default) 1635 20.25% 32.61 70.03% -0.579 -0.0983 -1.308
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 24.11 55.56% 0.379 -0.3583 -0.907
7 Other 27 7.69% 26.52 62.96% 0.0 -0.4278 -0.051

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4752 34.05 52.15% -0.582 -0.4208 -0.738
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4113 36.15 56.67% 0.087 -0.0028 -0.436
All Things Weaken 5383 31.63 48.02% -0.385 -0.1529 -0.95
Attenuated Essence 754 28.62 44.3% -0.535 -0.4553 -0.934
Back Against the Wall 3935 34.86 54.31% 0.27 0.2276 -0.605
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 824 27.67 42.11% -0.304 -0.1593 -1.116
Burn Brightest Before the End 637 32.38 44.27% -0.141 -0.0002 -0.87
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4608 30.51 48.42% -0.303 0.0523 -0.939
Downward Spiral 5515 32.69 55.87% -0.25 -0.1058 -0.616
Erosion of Will 4927 33.06 49.08% -0.498 -0.2862 -0.885
Intensifying Exploitation 886 28.5 44.13% -0.239 -0.0203 -0.858
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2092 37.8 77.63% 0.402 0.0632 0.039
Memory Fades to Dust 5498 32.74 53.18% -0.39 -0.1064 -0.792
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5385 31.92 52.29% -0.461 -0.3183 -0.872
Promising Farmlands 4639 31.87 49.26% -0.118 0.3271 -0.97
Shattered Fragments of Power 670 30.74 43.88% -0.065 0.1471 -0.958
Slow Dissolution of Will 834 27.22 36.21% -0.749 -0.1608 -1.335
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1324 39.75 82.33% 0.381 -0.174 0.551
The Border of Life and Death 220 30.58 62.73% 0.373 0.0708 -0.434
Thriving Communities 5363 31.24 49.77% -0.593 -0.2449 -0.864
Thriving Crops 366 29.12 53.01% 0.064 -0.123 -0.522
Unnatural Proliferation 5706 33.27 50.61% -0.534 -0.3481 -0.807
Untended Land Crumbles 5423 31.63 50.84% -0.226 0.0697 -0.823

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 36014 43.73% 32.82 68.17% -0.373 0.5764 -0.307
B 40274 45.39% 33.93 68.34% -0.278 0.5746 -0.122
C 35695 43.07% 32.89 69.64% -0.313 0.417 -0.362
D 30759 43.19% 31.62 68.19% -0.563 0.312 -0.492
E 40673 44.47% 35.64 69.31% -0.165 0.5469 0.008
F 28966 42.76% 33.08 69.6% -0.252 0.5445 -0.231
G 23915 43.89% 32.14 67.93% -0.259 0.5609 -0.459
H 25010 43.06% 33.53 70.18% -0.182 0.6021 -0.243
East 6632 37.53% 38.35 66.81% -0.417 0.462 -0.485
Northeast 4056 35.13% 39.67 66.64% -0.249 0.32 -0.115
Northwest 3557 34.45% 39.44 65.87% -0.134 0.7968 -0.13
Southeast 3198 32.73% 38.86 66.73% -0.427 0.2728 -0.091
Southwest 3432 32.94% 36.76 65.79% -0.024 1.3113 -0.123
West 6599 36.82% 36.98 65.28% -0.53 0.3151 -0.304

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1281 0.0% 26.79 82.59% -0.075 0.6681 -0.096
Not Using Events or Tokens 95 45.57% 26.17 86.32% 0.313 0.7983 -0.246
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3690 13.98% 44.34 84.23% -0.097 -0.5731 -0.411
Start of Game Growth 7572 19.94% 46.44 80.61% 0.517 -0.007 1.232
Unlimited Undo 14680 36.87% 36.66 74.93% 0.042 -0.054 0.485
Using Tokens but Not Events 17592 31.6% 31.5 76.09% 0.332 0.1983 -0.606

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7414 33.78% 33.73 72.47% -0.026 -0.1178 0.251
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 363 31.68% 28.77 55.65% 0.067 -0.3849 -0.083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1675 46.81% 29.08 68.24% 0.021 0.1601 -0.183
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 304 46.38% 30.9 61.18% 0.085 -0.5392 0.048
Dances Up Earthquakes 32 43.75% 35.06 71.88% 0.871 0.6043 0.387
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2817 37.27% 29.89 71.07% 0.091 -0.0806 0.121
Downpour Drenches the World 1681 35.94% 29.4 57.88% -0.095 0.1568 -0.252
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2216 36.7% 29.27 60.33% 0.125 -0.2584 -0.105
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4367 31.5% 33.48 75.98% 0.127 -0.2251 0.119
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4070 32.87% 34.41 70.91% -0.065 -0.4901 -0.152
Finder of Paths Unseen 1307 42.08% 27.47 58.61% -0.757 0.0114 0.036
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2323 31.26% 38.37 71.67% -0.374 0.2589 0.556
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2703 42.08% 30.55 65.82% -0.38 -0.4325 0.247
Heart of the Wildfire 2807 49.05% 30.24 61.95% -0.129 0.1896 -0.187
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11366 37.15% 37.27 71.42% 0.346 -0.1331 0.463
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 562 32.32% 30.88 59.61% 0.12 -0.4274 -0.317
Lightning's Swift Strike 2019 41.14% 29.88 70.53% 0.463 0.6578 -0.322
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 704 42.92% 38.1 61.51% 0.723 0.2355 0.028
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1113 34.72% 32.95 71.88% -0.298 -0.6319 0.682
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2302 34.57% 40.71 71.76% 0.621 0.6505 1.057
Many Minds Move as One 5282 39.12% 32.78 71.81% 0.112 -0.0991 0.275
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10863 37.08% 31.85 70.28% -0.209 -0.053 0.257
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 60 42.37% 22.75 55.0% -0.199 0.0094 -0.982
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2822 41.98% 31.67 70.91% -0.068 -0.1394 -0.037
River Surges in Sunlight 3377 40.05% 33.48 71.39% -0.581 -0.5109 0.096
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 182 35.0% 33.01 48.9% -0.608 -0.3758 -0.38
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1893 42.71% 31.91 63.13% -0.091 0.0418 -0.331
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1130 37.85% 34.16 59.38% -0.335 -0.2776 -0.081
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4737 32.03% 37.32 70.89% 0.013 -0.0967 0.012
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 43 46.51% 20.77 37.21% -0.827 -1.2615 -0.253
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 494 47.76% 28.21 69.84% -0.071 0.4524 -0.665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 207 36.27% 31.86 66.18% -0.616 -0.7464 0.041
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 390 43.15% 37.27 64.87% 0.271 -0.2044 0.267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 216 40.65% 25.93 51.85% 0.734 0.6502 -0.66
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 727 47.08% 31.08 72.21% 1.051 0.8959 0.003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 676 41.88% 28.89 70.41% -0.373 -0.1414 -0.387
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5222 34.9% 38.11 76.73% 0.413 0.3603 0.439
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1139 29.89% 36.42 62.34% 0.318 0.1365 -0.073
Shifting Memory of Ages 2313 43.14% 30.53 65.5% -0.362 0.0322 -0.024
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 287 34.49% 28.06 56.45% 0.064 -0.1122 0.313
Shroud of Silent Mist 1965 45.88% 27.64 66.11% -0.467 -0.0541 -0.116
Starlight Seeks its Form 3166 36.96% 33.46 67.56% 0.26 0.1943 0.318
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5872 39.69% 35.66 70.1% -0.199 -0.7034 0.305
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3213 40.11% 35.1 72.77% 0.395 0.4739 0.776
Thunderspeaker 3669 36.35% 34.45 73.43% 0.227 0.2163 0.287
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 330 27.27% 24.94 53.94% -0.283 0.0027 -0.526
Towering Roots of the Jungle 482 34.44% 28.94 55.81% -0.068 0.1381 0.206
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2791 58.03% 30.17 61.77% -0.366 -0.2165 0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth 1198 33.9% 26.43 72.37% 0.124 0.6026 -0.454
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 471 40.0% 28.47 55.63% -0.191 0.2481 -0.237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 703 42.06% 29.04 63.58% -0.185 0.4327 -0.257
Volcano Looming High 4421 45.53% 31.87 69.03% 0.114 0.1772 0.124
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 931 34.02% 30.13 65.41% 0.471 0.1681 -0.546

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.25%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.13%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.57%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24679 14.43 9.59%
II 68409 30.33 66.65%
III 52883 34.84 89.35%
IV 14303 38.61 99.62%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2366
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46622
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44471
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14162
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14602
Lose: Invader deck ran out 852
Lose: Adversary condition 10366
Win: Sacrifice victory 278
Lose: Scenario condition 1385
Win: Scenario condition 1563
Lose: Blight pool ran out 22954
Lose: Spirit destroyed 653

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.096 Win Model: -0.19

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.112 Win Model: 0.061
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 92261 49.45% 35.19 67.96%
2 36015 47.03% 32.05 67.62%
3 16870 42.67% 33.13 68.7%
4 10623 34.11% 34.76 73.08%
5 732 32.77% 29.08 68.44%
6 3773 21.93% 34.33 67.66%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-14 02:28:37 (Pacific Time)