Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 240 24.58% 25.6 67.08% -0.749 -0.7788 -0.52
Blitz 0 1524 40.91% 27.48 62.93% -0.701 -0.4573 -0.981
Dahan Insurrection 4 2117 21.94% 51.16 70.48% 0.768 0.7811 0.576
Despicable Theft 2 851 38.71% 29.77 67.45% -0.593 0.1732 -1.01
Elemental Invocation 1 1066 47.74% 28.59 60.6% 0.339 1.092 -0.583
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9476 17.92% 46.84 73.9% 0.778 0.1818 0.705
Powers Long Forgotten 1 508 51.38% 22.94 47.44% -0.317 0.4308 -0.59
Rituals of Terror 3 416 40.36% 31.17 61.06% 0.426 0.9047 -0.623
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 273 60.81% 30.19 56.78% -1.357 -0.6688 -0.426
Second Wave 0 5010 43.15% 27.95 73.01% 0.241 0.2368 -0.108
The Great River 3 1540 57.64% 28.41 55.06% -0.309 0.8202 0.288
Varied Terrains 2 404 55.69% 27.23 54.21% -1.367 -0.5867 -0.177
Ward the Shores 2 583 21.44% 22.16 50.6% -1.402 -0.533 -0.639

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 104736 49.0% 34.36 66.56% 0.25 0.4544 0.459
1 Thematic 3750 41.46% 32.58 65.39% -0.258 0.351 -0.501
2 Archipelago 186 37.63% 34.26 70.43% -0.336 -0.1659 0.584
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25316 49.08% 31.46 65.37% -0.116 -0.0359 0.077
2 Coastline 5046 44.49% 30.06 65.91% -0.045 -0.1402 -0.291
2 Fragment 767 53.87% 33.54 68.19% -0.195 -0.2383 0.132
2 Heart 464 50.22% 30.39 62.93% 0.607 0.1461 0.55
2 Opposite Shores 8218 41.77% 29.57 66.91% -0.088 0.0436 -0.358
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 2356 43.27% 29.13 55.56% -0.708 -0.3496 -0.75
2 Top to Top 1246 46.49% 30.87 59.31% 0.906 0.8171 -0.144
3 Archipelago 138 31.16% 41.42 84.78% 0.334 0.1646 0.0
3 Coastline 313 54.17% 32.67 65.5% -0.558 -0.73 0.383
3 Other 855 28.45% 25.21 69.94% 0.058 -0.3275 0.152
3 Round (Default) 18786 42.56% 32.0 66.42% -0.096 -0.0908 -0.479
3 Sunrise 63 53.97% 30.59 66.67% 0.0 -0.6066 0.486
3 Thematic 734 46.99% 32.24 59.95% 0.217 -0.2137 0.496
4 Archipelago 119 32.2% 40.59 81.51% 0.881 0.6404 0.572
4 Coastline 146 36.36% 30.08 75.34% 0.268 -0.33 0.638
4 Leaf 77 53.25% 32.99 70.13% 0.445 -0.5773 0.623
4 Other 490 34.15% 30.34 82.86% 0.791 -0.0525 0.305
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1825 31.85% 45.92 72.38% 0.42 0.2174 0.151
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10067 35.35% 30.89 68.36% -0.549 -0.3588 -0.784
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 22 13.64% 26.77 68.18% 0.578 -0.0819 0.189
5 Other 989 36.51% 30.54 70.17% -1.369 -1.5294 0.146
5 Thematic 106 37.74% 34.89 66.98% 0.528 0.8657 0.0
6 Archipelago 85 16.47% 34.13 74.12% 0.346 -0.3071 -0.251
6 Coastline 21 23.81% 17.19 52.38% 0.362 -0.0879 0.0
6 Other 693 22.97% 26.31 65.37% -0.436 -0.4745 0.115
6 Star 360 22.5% 29.07 66.11% -0.155 0.3111 -1.009
6 Thematic 1632 22.65% 39.69 62.99% -0.123 0.1251 -0.135
6 Two Centers (Default) 2230 20.68% 31.0 65.7% -0.868 0.3338 -0.885
7 Archipelago 11 20.0% 19.73 45.45% -0.851 0.3047 0.0
7 Other 38 13.51% 25.39 55.26% -0.553 -0.3714 -0.501

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5395 33.43 51.4% -1.054 -0.905 0.024
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4727 35.76 56.27% -0.291 -0.4039 0.34
All Things Weaken 6223 30.87 47.02% -0.681 -0.3063 -0.093
Attenuated Essence 1276 28.7 44.75% -0.635 -0.51 -0.065
Back Against the Wall 4475 34.3 53.85% -0.515 -0.4736 0.339
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1274 27.28 41.52% -0.861 -0.6546 0.046
Burn Brightest Before the End 1048 32.08 45.13% -0.683 -0.6381 0.043
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5265 29.89 47.45% -0.705 -0.2068 -0.039
Downward Spiral 6418 32.01 55.03% -0.483 -0.2332 0.108
Erosion of Will 5652 32.41 48.43% -1.07 -0.8127 -0.066
Intensifying Exploitation 1407 28.45 44.63% -0.432 -0.2126 -0.002
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2425 36.94 76.62% 0.582 0.1963 0.82
Memory Fades to Dust 6354 32.02 52.2% -0.678 -0.4725 -0.008
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6199 31.28 51.31% -0.72 -0.522 -0.014
Promising Farmlands 5317 31.29 48.5% -0.573 -0.2169 -0.301
Shattered Fragments of Power 1076 30.66 44.33% -1.287 -1.0693 0.179
Slow Dissolution of Will 1357 27.29 37.8% -0.5 -0.0701 -0.483
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1538 38.33 80.1% -0.346 -0.9699 0.295
The Border of Life and Death 342 30.38 60.82% -0.303 -0.6231 0.436
Thriving Communities 6183 30.52 48.52% -0.737 -0.4174 -0.037
Thriving Crops 583 28.57 52.66% 0.13 0.0109 0.609
Unnatural Proliferation 6537 32.87 50.21% -0.842 -0.7521 0.219
Untended Land Crumbles 6259 31.09 50.34% -0.565 -0.3395 -0.051

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 43619 43.37% 31.57 65.72% -0.162 0.6372 0.004
B 48648 44.87% 32.81 66.32% 0.139 0.8697 0.263
C 43288 42.76% 31.73 67.18% 0.083 0.6871 -0.028
D 37589 42.84% 30.37 65.56% -0.104 0.6529 0.081
E 48772 43.85% 34.45 67.57% 0.39 0.9747 0.383
F 35272 42.33% 31.94 67.66% 0.112 0.8146 0.269
G 29217 43.51% 30.99 65.52% -0.265 0.4923 -0.355
H 30703 42.49% 32.37 67.84% -0.088 0.5435 0.092
East 7933 36.86% 37.08 64.41% -0.073 0.7105 -0.511
Northeast 4861 34.13% 38.56 64.62% -0.648 0.1138 0.038
Northwest 4270 33.16% 38.31 63.93% 0.653 1.4947 -0.925
Southeast 3889 32.05% 37.88 65.03% -0.165 0.4744 0.444
Southwest 4178 32.38% 35.81 63.83% 0.68 1.7257 0.452
West 7869 36.02% 35.75 63.08% -0.372 0.4036 -0.237

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1624 0.0% 27.41 81.47% 0.191 1.0644 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 136 35.09% 24.76 88.97% 0.773 1.15 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4383 13.99% 43.13 82.41% 0.311 0.0201 -0.71
Start of Game Growth 9510 19.78% 45.31 77.73% 0.443 -0.1141 1.39
Unlimited Undo 17592 35.57% 35.3 72.74% 0.137 0.2005 0.136
Using Tokens but Not Events 21802 31.45% 30.63 73.55% -0.067 -0.1943 -0.387

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8442 33.02% 32.58 70.8% 0.124 0.0281 0.237
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 907 35.94% 32.04 57.66% 0.384 0.0584 0.617
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 78 50.0% 30.36 61.54% 0.309 0.0472 0.424
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 395 34.94% 32.11 68.1% 0.404 -0.3171 0.584
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1884 46.02% 28.45 66.67% 1.198 1.4971 -0.317
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 457 45.83% 30.41 62.58% -1.234 -1.8238 0.515
Dances Up Earthquakes 690 44.06% 24.82 46.38% 0.236 0.4183 -0.352
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3392 36.77% 28.8 69.34% 0.682 0.5036 -0.566
Downpour Drenches the World 2255 35.22% 28.22 56.19% 0.256 0.6155 0.317
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3193 36.27% 28.83 60.41% 0.137 -0.3026 0.864
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5113 31.55% 32.56 73.91% -0.197 -0.5464 0.187
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4870 32.38% 33.49 69.34% -0.192 -0.592 -0.647
Finder of Paths Unseen 1663 42.45% 26.26 56.46% -0.194 0.8805 -0.333
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2709 30.82% 36.86 68.44% -0.284 0.1721 -0.03
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 3292 41.49% 29.46 63.61% -0.565 -0.656 -0.115
Heart of the Wildfire 3322 47.68% 29.34 60.72% -0.114 0.3168 -0.281
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13126 37.24% 36.36 69.5% -0.046 -0.4888 0.481
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 973 33.16% 29.18 56.73% 0.024 -0.4851 0.093
Lightning's Swift Strike 2481 41.25% 28.41 68.48% 0.414 0.5775 -1.052
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 963 39.25% 35.83 59.29% 0.856 0.1772 0.778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1265 34.58% 32.13 70.12% -0.751 -1.1097 -0.379
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2641 34.55% 39.52 69.9% 0.313 0.167 0.719
Many Minds Move as One 6341 38.41% 31.49 69.39% 0.418 0.283 0.057
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12802 37.29% 30.8 67.72% -0.166 -0.2428 0.198
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1116 41.25% 24.07 52.33% -0.31 -0.1187 -0.266
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3380 41.42% 30.52 68.99% -0.027 -0.0861 0.126
River Surges in Sunlight 4003 39.24% 31.96 68.75% -0.209 -0.1646 -0.72
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 309 34.31% 31.84 53.07% 0.539 0.7688 0.153
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2353 43.15% 30.93 60.82% 0.643 0.6916 0.642
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1420 37.5% 33.86 59.08% 0.799 0.9651 1.198
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5527 31.2% 36.31 69.37% 0.982 0.788 0.243
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 395 43.54% 24.05 45.32% 0.022 0.0074 0.359
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 596 48.73% 27.18 67.28% 0.418 1.0423 0.818
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 266 36.64% 29.93 64.66% -0.097 -0.0817 0.123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 661 39.97% 37.29 62.93% 0.367 -0.0684 -0.113
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 254 39.29% 25.44 51.57% -1.103 -1.0805 -0.128
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 807 45.42% 30.16 70.88% -0.513 -0.6001 -0.637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 741 42.12% 28.23 69.37% -0.643 -0.2341 -0.698
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5798 34.76% 36.83 75.25% -0.065 -0.0072 0.282
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 69 44.93% 26.51 59.42% -0.027 -0.5306 -0.325
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1780 29.26% 35.51 61.46% -0.398 -0.435 0.469
Shifting Memory of Ages 2706 42.84% 29.27 62.23% 0.489 0.8516 -1.017
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 701 41.43% 28.42 52.35% 0.363 0.3453 0.152
Shroud of Silent Mist 2312 45.23% 26.52 64.01% -0.14 0.3834 -0.89
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 51 39.22% 22.59 54.9% -0.594 -0.9339 -0.122
Starlight Seeks its Form 4020 36.91% 31.71 64.25% -0.114 -0.3127 0.542
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6945 39.5% 34.23 67.52% 0.344 -0.271 -0.394
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3839 39.28% 33.72 70.28% -0.425 -0.192 0.3
Thunderspeaker 4338 36.39% 33.27 70.91% 0.453 0.4359 0.365
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 527 29.89% 26.21 54.65% -0.615 -0.4147 -0.502
Towering Roots of the Jungle 981 38.2% 27.41 53.92% -0.398 -0.2318 -0.337
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3339 56.7% 29.49 60.62% -0.35 -0.3 -0.115
Vital Strength of the Earth 1508 35.51% 25.06 70.49% -0.038 0.4317 -0.671
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 636 40.85% 27.91 53.93% -0.417 -0.0077 0.152
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 807 41.52% 28.31 62.45% 0.002 0.6687 -0.116
Volcano Looming High 5267 45.18% 30.56 66.49% -0.362 -0.3781 -0.505
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1399 33.5% 28.21 61.83% -0.59 -0.8703 -0.205

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.43%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.3%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.61%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.96%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32707 12.44 8.42%
II 80708 29.94 65.56%
III 61859 34.9 89.12%
IV 16647 38.84 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2753
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54375
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 51652
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16494
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22503
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1007
Lose: Adversary condition 12013
Win: Sacrifice victory 319
Lose: Scenario condition 1558
Win: Scenario condition 1786
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 26709
Lose: Spirit destroyed 752

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.238 Win Model: -0.19

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.179 Win Model: 0.022
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 108936 48.72% 34.25 66.4%
2 43576 46.86% 30.97 65.36%
3 20707 42.37% 31.79 66.39%
4 12708 34.52% 33.15 70.07%
5 979 35.7% 28.49 66.29%
6 5015 21.54% 33.08 64.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)