Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 191 20.42% 27.03 69.63% 0.1 -0.3267 -0.138
Blitz 0 1302 42.29% 28.64 64.67% -0.456 -0.1204 -1.019
Dahan Insurrection 4 1886 22.08% 52.14 71.1% -0.392 -0.8414 0.639
Despicable Theft 2 742 38.87% 30.69 69.81% -0.373 0.2531 -0.635
Elemental Invocation 1 874 48.22% 30.05 64.42% -0.529 0.2128 -1.241
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8387 17.9% 47.66 75.32% 0.06 -0.5818 0.56
Powers Long Forgotten 1 444 53.83% 23.74 48.87% -1.547 -0.9139 -1.299
Rituals of Terror 3 365 41.42% 32.53 64.66% 0.704 0.6241 -0.51
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 240 62.92% 31.67 60.0% 0.589 1.3325 0.102
Second Wave 0 4201 43.28% 28.19 74.24% -0.044 0.054 -0.293
The Great River 3 1385 58.39% 29.09 56.1% -1.485 -0.4032 -1.458
Varied Terrains 2 311 53.05% 26.82 55.63% -0.807 -0.0334 -0.915
Ward the Shores 2 442 23.98% 24.77 54.75% -1.025 -0.0522 -1.855

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 90167 49.66% 35.2 67.9% 0.232 0.5561 0.923
1 Thematic 3261 41.48% 33.35 67.34% 0.021 0.6439 0.17
2 Archipelago 159 36.48% 34.4 72.33% -0.355 0.2674 0.162
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21443 49.33% 32.36 67.0% 0.161 0.2919 0.254
2 Coastline 4272 43.89% 30.99 68.42% 0.428 0.1774 0.191
2 Fragment 668 55.47% 35.07 69.91% 0.891 0.8195 1.314
2 Heart 388 50.91% 30.82 62.89% -0.226 -0.6174 0.4
2 Opposite Shores 6775 41.53% 30.67 69.95% 0.127 0.174 0.025
2 Thematic 1976 44.64% 30.21 57.79% -0.717 -0.1826 -0.101
2 Top to Top 1024 45.21% 31.89 61.52% 0.311 0.2015 -0.052
3 Archipelago 122 31.97% 42.76 86.07% 0.41 -0.4407 1.427
3 Coastline 284 54.77% 33.83 67.96% 0.463 -0.4661 0.873
3 Other 748 29.15% 26.29 72.59% -0.532 -1.2671 0.876
3 Round (Default) 15498 42.94% 33.24 68.39% 0.22 0.1609 -0.058
3 Sunrise 51 49.02% 29.61 72.55% 0.207 -0.063 0.913
3 Thematic 623 46.38% 32.61 61.0% -0.082 -0.4644 -0.435
4 Archipelago 108 33.64% 40.28 81.48% -0.099 -0.1492 0.112
4 Coastline 134 35.11% 30.94 77.61% 0.715 0.5437 -0.611
4 Leaf 64 56.25% 33.39 67.19% -1.159 -0.5933 -1.113
4 Other 424 33.96% 31.54 85.38% 0.421 -0.3591 1.23
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1116 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1637 31.84% 47.29 74.47% -0.445 -0.4402 -0.903
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8413 34.71% 32.21 71.18% -0.167 -0.2441 -0.537
5 Archipelago 24 50.0% 36.79 87.5% 0.0 -0.0423 1.182
5 Coastline 19 10.53% 25.68 68.42% 0.773 0.1043 0.437
5 Other 773 35.02% 31.47 72.7% 0.554 0.1782 0.013
5 Thematic 89 37.08% 36.48 67.42% -0.078 -0.0663 0.4
6 Archipelago 79 15.19% 34.66 74.68% -0.467 -1.5585 -0.762
6 Coastline 14 21.43% 18.21 57.14% -0.062 -1.3495 -0.555
6 Other 540 22.99% 26.96 66.67% -0.598 -0.7748 -0.92
6 Star 270 23.33% 29.19 67.78% -0.644 0.0061 -1.13
6 Thematic 1316 24.06% 40.41 64.13% 0.003 0.0 -1.386
6 Two Centers (Default) 1685 20.24% 32.57 69.97% 0.007 0.2147 -1.257
7 Archipelago 10 22.22% 21.7 50.0% 0.215 -0.0433 -1.055
7 Other 28 7.41% 25.57 60.71% -0.46 -1.3737 -0.059

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4810 33.99 52.14% -0.25 -0.196 -0.715
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4161 36.16 56.67% 0.393 0.2286 -0.413
All Things Weaken 5450 31.54 48.02% -0.337 -0.1609 -0.93
Attenuated Essence 806 28.6 43.8% -0.443 -0.4441 -0.97
Back Against the Wall 3981 34.74 54.21% 0.126 0.0854 -0.587
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 868 27.49 41.47% -0.63 -0.4479 -1.124
Burn Brightest Before the End 677 32.4 44.46% -0.087 -0.0876 -0.851
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4669 30.42 48.17% -0.588 -0.3001 -0.912
Downward Spiral 5591 32.64 55.84% 0.157 0.2212 -0.596
Erosion of Will 4998 33.04 49.14% -0.301 -0.1309 -0.867
Intensifying Exploitation 936 28.51 44.23% -0.179 -0.0748 -0.828
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2119 37.84 77.73% 0.764 0.2691 0.084
Memory Fades to Dust 5565 32.68 53.1% -0.421 -0.2148 -0.761
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5466 31.87 52.23% -0.374 -0.2617 -0.851
Promising Farmlands 4693 31.82 49.16% -0.107 0.1647 -0.938
Shattered Fragments of Power 694 30.74 43.8% -0.019 0.0544 -0.956
Slow Dissolution of Will 893 27.26 36.73% -0.728 -0.3127 -1.314
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1348 39.55 81.9% 0.186 -0.4612 0.552
The Border of Life and Death 230 30.7 62.17% 0.443 0.0316 -0.443
Thriving Communities 5428 31.19 49.67% -0.612 -0.3853 -0.843
Thriving Crops 391 29.2 53.45% 0.279 0.0529 -0.518
Unnatural Proliferation 5770 33.29 50.64% -0.106 -0.0686 -0.78
Untended Land Crumbles 5496 31.6 50.86% -0.039 0.1782 -0.795

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 36664 43.71% 32.65 67.85% -0.238 0.7007 -0.307
B 41043 45.36% 33.82 68.11% 0.037 0.8963 -0.124
C 36385 42.99% 32.74 69.29% -0.325 0.3702 -0.362
D 31321 43.16% 31.5 67.94% -0.43 0.418 -0.497
E 41372 44.36% 35.49 69.1% -0.021 0.6508 0.003
F 29518 42.62% 32.98 69.45% -0.058 0.7339 -0.237
G 24365 43.85% 32.02 67.73% -0.329 0.4295 -0.473
H 25505 42.92% 33.42 69.98% -0.206 0.5177 -0.255
East 6742 37.42% 38.2 66.52% -0.363 0.435 -0.471
Northeast 4123 35.02% 39.63 66.58% 0.203 0.9214 -0.129
Northwest 3627 34.29% 39.32 65.65% -0.207 0.6361 -0.129
Southeast 3259 32.54% 38.76 66.49% -0.503 0.3215 -0.09
Southwest 3502 32.83% 36.68 65.56% 0.463 1.8357 -0.106
West 6725 36.69% 36.8 64.94% -0.892 -0.034 -0.335

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1296 0.0% 26.83 82.48% 0.211 0.8982 -0.051
Not Using Events or Tokens 95 45.57% 26.17 86.32% 0.584 1.0661 -0.249
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3747 14.02% 44.1 83.88% -0.473 -1.2226 -0.44
Start of Game Growth 7792 19.98% 46.21 80.08% 0.803 0.3906 1.264
Unlimited Undo 14880 36.78% 36.53 74.7% -0.023 -0.0773 0.483
Using Tokens but Not Events 17961 31.52% 31.41 75.74% -0.005 -0.1274 -0.625

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7497 33.75% 33.59 72.26% -0.223 -0.3367 0.254
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 410 32.44% 29.1 54.88% -0.034 -0.536 -0.001
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1693 46.67% 28.96 67.99% -0.036 0.1273 -0.202
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 315 46.98% 30.9 60.95% -0.048 -0.8964 0.09
Dances Up Earthquakes 117 39.32% 26.48 57.26% 0.128 -0.0399 -0.425
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2861 37.22% 29.82 70.92% 0.194 -0.0274 0.139
Downpour Drenches the World 1776 35.99% 28.91 56.36% -0.695 -0.336 -0.344
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2289 36.53% 29.14 60.29% 0.247 -0.2178 -0.09
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4433 31.65% 33.44 75.89% 0.459 0.0828 0.14
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4155 32.68% 34.36 70.54% -0.096 -0.4662 -0.144
Finder of Paths Unseen 1330 42.18% 27.48 58.72% -0.261 0.4316 0.085
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2342 31.26% 38.25 71.56% -0.097 0.3734 0.553
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2749 42.18% 30.45 65.73% -0.185 -0.2244 0.254
Heart of the Wildfire 2854 49.22% 30.17 61.95% -0.011 0.3098 -0.164
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11501 37.1% 37.24 71.35% 0.329 -0.1765 0.482
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 591 32.26% 30.74 59.56% 0.027 -0.44 -0.295
Lightning's Swift Strike 2062 41.13% 29.8 70.17% 0.15 0.3356 -0.348
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 727 42.52% 37.86 61.21% 0.342 -0.0987 0.028
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1127 34.55% 32.74 71.52% -0.331 -0.6306 0.673
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2343 34.13% 40.6 71.4% 0.333 0.557 1.063
Many Minds Move as One 5353 39.0% 32.67 71.57% 0.164 -0.0304 0.277
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11003 37.12% 31.76 70.11% -0.145 -0.0343 0.269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 189 30.85% 22.64 55.56% -0.09 0.013 -0.734
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2870 41.8% 31.48 70.63% -0.169 -0.2244 -0.032
River Surges in Sunlight 3428 39.92% 33.3 70.95% -0.494 -0.498 0.102
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 196 34.54% 32.33 49.49% -0.493 -0.233 -0.378
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1935 42.82% 31.74 63.05% 0.294 0.4267 -0.318
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1164 37.18% 34.21 59.36% -0.014 -0.1349 -0.076
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4783 31.89% 37.21 70.77% 0.109 -0.0484 0.015
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 105 40.95% 24.79 48.57% -0.238 -0.7253 0.044
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 507 48.32% 27.99 69.23% 0.062 0.5734 -0.665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 210 36.41% 31.56 65.71% -0.617 -0.6366 0.022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 423 42.62% 37.79 65.01% 0.553 0.1302 0.32
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 219 40.09% 25.79 52.05% 0.249 0.406 -0.66
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 736 47.05% 31.01 72.42% 1.241 1.0883 0.018
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 678 41.9% 28.83 70.35% -0.329 -0.1925 -0.371
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5268 35.02% 38.02 76.59% 0.335 0.2025 0.443
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1202 29.49% 36.32 62.48% 0.299 0.1655 -0.041
Shifting Memory of Ages 2349 43.25% 30.34 65.18% -0.45 -0.0886 -0.031
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 330 36.36% 27.1 53.33% -0.268 -0.186 0.216
Shroud of Silent Mist 2002 45.48% 27.54 65.93% 0.021 0.4321 -0.103
Starlight Seeks its Form 3238 36.91% 33.28 67.42% 0.159 0.1057 0.339
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5947 39.61% 35.58 69.92% 0.1 -0.4253 0.306
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3264 40.07% 34.89 72.55% 0.137 0.2373 0.776
Thunderspeaker 3725 36.4% 34.38 73.29% 0.561 0.5426 0.312
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 339 27.43% 25.14 54.28% -0.188 0.109 -0.515
Towering Roots of the Jungle 520 34.62% 28.81 56.54% -0.077 0.1107 0.182
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2834 58.0% 30.15 61.61% 0.224 0.2717 0.041
Vital Strength of the Earth 1220 34.03% 26.16 71.8% -0.219 0.2606 -0.444
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 484 40.58% 28.46 55.37% -0.572 -0.0701 -0.195
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 714 42.11% 29.02 63.31% -0.266 0.4222 -0.201
Volcano Looming High 4482 45.54% 31.74 68.83% -0.061 0.0151 0.122
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 995 33.03% 29.58 64.52% -0.145 -0.3919 -0.631

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Gift of the Untamed Wild 81.29%
Perils of the Deepest Island 92.14%
Softly Beckon Ever Inward 94.57%
Swallowed by the Wilderness 98.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25423 14.12 9.47%
II 69502 30.27 66.53%
III 53660 34.84 89.31%
IV 14511 38.63 99.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2407
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47283
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 45100
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14367
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15340
Lose: Invader deck ran out 873
Lose: Adversary condition 10504
Win: Sacrifice victory 286
Lose: Scenario condition 1399
Win: Scenario condition 1583
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23297
Lose: Spirit destroyed 657

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.251 Win Model: -0.179

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.184 Win Model: -0.068
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 93788 49.37% 35.09 67.77%
2 36699 46.95% 31.92 67.38%
3 17183 42.68% 32.96 68.33%
4 10782 34.05% 34.62 72.82%
5 747 33.47% 28.97 68.54%
6 3897 21.84% 34.21 67.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-28 02:06:15 (Pacific Time)