Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 20.5 100.0% 0.096 -0.4619 0.0
Blitz 0 4 50.0% 28.0 50.0% -0.837 -0.414 0.0
Dahan Insurrection 4 17 52.94% 27.71 23.53% -1.299 -1.7808 -0.794
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 20.33 33.33% -0.641 -0.0987 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 5 40.0% 20.0 40.0% -0.593 0.1452 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 83 14.46% 42.41 69.88% 0.19 -0.4664 0.798
Rituals of Terror 3 2 100.0% 26.5 100.0% 0.296 0.1541 0.0
Second Wave 0 38 34.21% 24.79 55.26% -0.652 -0.5579 -0.133
Varied Terrains 2 3 66.67% 7.0 0.0% -1.361 -0.4929 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 2 50.0% 35.0 50.0% -0.453 0.4012 0.534

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 648 29.68% 29.23 73.61% 0.059 0.4323 -0.149
1 Thematic 5 40.0% 20.0 40.0% -0.747 -0.0324 0.0
2 Archipelago 3 100.0% 15.0 33.33% -0.753 -0.2292 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 485 32.64% 33.21 71.96% 0.042 0.2028 -0.259
2 Coastline 114 25.44% 29.25 71.05% -0.044 -0.2375 0.22
2 Fragment 4 25.0% 33.25 75.0% 0.486 0.4378 0.553
2 Heart 12 58.33% 47.92 75.0% 0.588 0.3762 0.581
2 Opposite Shores 179 34.08% 23.53 56.98% -0.52 -0.3879 -0.066
2 Thematic 31 19.35% 24.45 58.06% -0.255 0.4656 -0.211
2 Top to Top 30 30.0% 30.47 60.0% -0.163 -0.2478 0.353
3 Coastline 7 0.0% 14.29 71.43% 0.262 -0.3688 0.0
3 Other 9 33.33% 29.33 66.67% 0.538 -0.3383 -0.157
3 Round (Default) 336 39.58% 31.63 69.05% -0.273 -0.2967 -0.073
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 18.67 33.33% -0.024 -0.4706 -0.404
3 Thematic 7 71.43% 41.86 71.43% 0.058 0.0659 -0.369
4 Leaf 3 33.33% 35.0 100.0% 0.426 0.8616 0.0
4 Other 8 12.5% 18.75 87.5% 0.835 0.2666 0.169
4 Thematic 8 25.0% 41.75 50.0% -0.038 0.0254 0.3
4 Trapezoid (Default) 99 43.43% 33.62 69.7% -0.217 -0.2121 0.211
5 Other 16 43.75% 22.25 75.0% 0.186 -0.1379 0.0
5 Thematic 4 0.0% 48.0 100.0% 0.217 0.0743 0.0
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 67.0 100.0% 0.111 -0.9266 0.0
6 Other 12 16.67% 31.33 75.0% 0.129 0.0849 -0.124
6 Star 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.905 -0.2722 -0.135
6 Thematic 34 55.88% 32.38 52.94% -0.485 -0.2812 -0.09
6 Two Centers (Default) 40 25.0% 30.52 52.5% -0.841 -0.3665 -0.724

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 22 33.18 63.64% -0.091 -0.0204 0.972
Aid From Lesser Spirits 30 45.97 83.33% 1.1 0.9901 1.026
All Things Weaken 41 37.49 65.85% 0.356 0.5328 -0.373
Attenuated Essence 42 32.07 73.81% 0.283 0.3344 0.037
Back Against the Wall 21 41.38 71.43% 0.074 0.0581 0.009
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 41 35.15 68.29% 0.381 0.5645 -0.284
Burn Brightest Before the End 39 34.54 64.1% -0.014 0.0731 0.248
Disintegrating Ecosystem 36 38.06 63.89% 0.148 0.4395 0.468
Downward Spiral 34 32.74 67.65% 0.276 0.3822 0.332
Erosion of Will 34 42.71 79.41% 1.003 1.1687 0.919
Intensifying Exploitation 34 31.38 61.76% -0.025 0.1631 0.098
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 13 34.15 69.23% 0.235 -0.1928 -0.284
Memory Fades to Dust 38 38.24 73.68% 0.678 0.9133 0.152
Power Corrodes the Spirit 30 29.43 66.67% 0.17 0.2663 0.163
Promising Farmlands 31 28.03 70.97% 0.229 0.5935 -0.031
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 32.7 67.5% 0.131 0.1968 -0.332
Slow Dissolution of Will 24 25.5 66.67% 0.019 0.4818 -1.192
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 17 42.94 88.24% 0.974 0.3724 0.37
The Border of Life and Death 15 42.0 86.67% 0.805 0.3296 0.932
Thriving Communities 36 33.08 66.67% 0.348 0.5738 0.719
Thriving Crops 17 36.82 76.47% 0.241 0.0167 0.714
Unnatural Proliferation 34 34.29 50.0% -0.498 -0.3761 -0.636
Untended Land Crumbles 30 30.73 63.33% -0.013 0.2191 -0.127

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 621 35.32% 27.05 63.77% -0.147 0.7717 -0.801
B 646 32.66% 28.13 64.09% -0.083 0.758 0.101
C 641 30.94% 30.92 70.05% 0.146 0.8293 0.014
D 557 37.7% 29.14 66.79% -0.127 0.7154 -0.289
E 527 34.54% 33.07 73.43% 0.707 1.3584 0.671
F 411 31.14% 33.62 72.26% 0.168 0.9281 -0.111
G 407 34.64% 32.15 71.74% 0.412 1.1697 0.589
H 430 35.9% 32.45 70.7% 0.206 0.9241 0.188
East 85 36.47% 30.87 55.29% 0.07 0.8831 0.233
Northeast 70 38.57% 29.44 50.0% -0.716 -0.0481 -0.659
Northwest 63 42.86% 30.94 52.38% -0.271 0.5338 -0.316
Southeast 46 47.83% 33.0 58.7% -0.083 0.6226 0.0
Southwest 49 48.98% 35.14 63.27% 0.433 1.8231 0.716
West 78 42.31% 32.65 57.69% -0.682 0.1118 -0.345

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 29.5 100.0% 0.223 0.9416 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 32 3.33% 51.97 90.63% 1.681 0.9503 0.776
Start of Game Growth 64 11.29% 38.05 68.75% -0.006 -0.4519 -0.446
Unlimited Undo 199 17.26% 29.07 64.82% -0.443 -0.4762 1.03
Using Tokens but Not Events 164 18.52% 19.48 64.02% -0.485 -0.6472 0.527

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 48 22.92% 29.42 75.0% 0.443 0.3365 0.12
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 143 32.87% 35.66 72.73% 0.739 0.2507 0.887
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9 77.78% 44.56 88.89% 0.354 0.4975 0.663
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 33 18.18% 38.79 78.79% 0.595 -0.1533 0.3
Dances Up Earthquakes 329 42.86% 31.9 73.56% 0.294 0.1176 0.293
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 34 41.18% 35.09 67.65% 0.187 -0.0206 -0.107
Downpour Drenches the World 26 38.46% 32.08 57.69% -0.415 -0.0947 -0.483
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 55 27.27% 32.6 61.82% 0.37 -0.0706 -0.022
Eyes Watch From the Trees 34 14.71% 30.59 79.41% 0.334 -0.0094 -0.413
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 33 24.24% 28.61 60.61% -0.104 -0.4584 0.273
Finder of Paths Unseen 30 48.28% 35.8 50.0% -0.299 0.4853 0.069
Fractured Days Split the Sky 18 27.78% 38.17 55.56% 0.025 0.4733 0.397
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 25 16.0% 32.76 64.0% 0.123 0.0996 -0.317
Heart of the Wildfire 34 47.06% 25.03 44.12% -0.578 -0.2506 -0.403
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 82 42.68% 28.93 64.63% 0.155 -0.3403 0.074
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 31 29.03% 18.32 38.71% -1.093 -1.6559 -0.091
Lightning's Swift Strike 22 68.18% 24.32 63.64% -0.014 0.1844 -0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 51 41.18% 40.51 72.55% 0.504 0.0559 0.24
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 15 40.0% 27.8 66.67% -0.48 -0.7999 0.402
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 36 36.11% 25.44 44.44% -0.546 -0.4212 -0.082
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 84 44.05% 26.08 50.0% -0.678 -0.8344 -0.216
Many Minds Move as One 11 18.18% 28.82 54.55% -0.191 -0.3974 -0.859
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 28 17.86% 20.14 39.29% -0.925 -0.7956 -0.606
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 508 42.72% 30.81 69.09% -0.025 0.0795 -0.311
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 23 43.48% 29.57 65.22% 0.085 0.035 -0.138
River Surges in Sunlight 19 15.79% 23.21 63.16% 0.214 0.2468 0.781
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 23 26.09% 33.13 86.96% 0.563 0.771 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 19 26.32% 24.63 68.42% 0.144 0.2954 -1.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 36 33.33% 28.31 63.89% -0.057 -0.0475 -0.137
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 75.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.612 1.1243 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 0.0% 28.33 66.67% 0.011 -0.0319 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 26 23.08% 33.42 76.92% 0.365 -0.0838 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 100.0% 44.0 50.0% -0.263 -0.2046 0.13
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 50.0% 36.0 100.0% 0.206 0.2893 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 16 25.0% 36.44 75.0% 0.446 0.3482 0.497
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 26 23.08% 29.31 65.38% -0.235 -0.4291 -0.431
Shifting Memory of Ages 14 28.57% 11.64 28.57% -0.995 -0.6053 -0.727
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 62 25.81% 25.44 59.68% -0.516 -0.5672 -0.318
Shroud of Silent Mist 23 39.13% 29.04 56.52% -0.422 -0.008 0.542
Starlight Seeks its Form 124 22.58% 32.9 66.13% 0.265 0.225 0.584
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 40 30.0% 29.4 72.5% 0.003 -0.4992 -0.506
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 24 4.17% 36.42 87.5% 0.977 1.0605 0.982
Thunderspeaker 10 50.0% 34.6 70.0% 0.232 0.2265 0.0
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 5 20.0% 42.8 80.0% 0.334 0.7221 0.213
Towering Roots of the Jungle 62 29.03% 28.58 72.58% 0.166 0.3762 -1.023
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 28 46.43% 33.29 60.71% -0.241 -0.1639 0.057
Vital Strength of the Earth 17 29.41% 21.24 64.71% -0.441 0.0081 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 38 36.84% 28.11 42.11% -1.042 -0.5472 -0.25
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 8 25.0% 41.38 62.5% 0.363 1.0558 -0.145
Volcano Looming High 41 53.66% 37.98 65.85% 0.116 0.1805 0.369
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 30 26.67% 37.4 70.0% 0.287 0.038 0.769

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 96.92%
Elemental Aegis 0.0%
Gift of Flowing Power 78.28%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 81.54%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 483 14.25 1.66%
II 472 30.3 71.19%
III 844 34.84 96.09%
IV 304 38.61 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 805
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 334
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 301
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 449
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 85
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 14
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 91
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.184 Win Model: -0.123

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.02 Win Model: -0.014
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 665 30.42% 29.39 73.38%
2 849 31.49% 30.24 67.73%
3 363 39.94% 31.18 68.32%
4 118 38.98% 33.38 70.34%
5 25 44.0% 27.56 68.0%
6 83 33.73% 30.96 56.63%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)