Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 33.33% 17.2 66.67% -0.182 0.0089 0.0
Blitz 0 12 25.0% 25.25 41.67% -0.508 -0.2908 -0.631
Dahan Insurrection 4 39 46.15% 27.69 17.95% -1.341 -1.5942 -0.87
Despicable Theft 2 6 50.0% 27.17 66.67% 0.156 0.7419 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 15 40.0% 24.53 53.33% -0.075 0.6643 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 365 14.79% 44.51 70.41% 0.951 0.3892 0.45
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 50.0% 8.83 16.67% -0.607 0.1529 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 9 44.44% 40.89 66.67% 1.141 1.261 -0.202
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 20.0% 31.6 40.0% -0.334 0.573 -0.075
Second Wave 0 79 34.18% 23.9 58.23% -0.005 0.1339 -0.611
The Great River 3 4 0.0% 10.0 25.0% -0.609 0.4911 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 8 50.0% 16.13 25.0% 0.058 0.8342 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 18 29.41% 11.72 22.22% -1.734 -0.6595 0.362

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 1684 29.92% 28.84 65.02% 0.497 0.8294 0.421
1 Thematic 43 30.23% 21.95 46.51% -0.235 0.4507 0.103
2 Archipelago 8 50.0% 15.38 37.5% -0.381 0.2263 -0.387
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1292 37.08% 32.44 64.86% 0.316 0.4357 0.142
2 Coastline 286 33.22% 32.36 67.48% 0.454 0.3814 0.919
2 Fragment 17 41.18% 28.59 64.71% 0.654 0.4688 0.822
2 Heart 37 51.35% 41.41 72.97% 0.278 0.1214 0.694
2 Opposite Shores 426 37.56% 25.89 54.93% -0.016 0.1348 0.082
2 Thematic 87 32.18% 20.1 37.93% -1.104 -0.5959 -0.435
2 Top to Top 70 28.57% 32.91 61.43% 0.239 0.1809 0.812
3 Coastline 12 0.0% 20.58 75.0% 0.957 0.5471 0.464
3 Other 26 38.46% 32.92 84.62% 1.403 0.6318 0.973
3 Round (Default) 987 39.05% 33.06 65.25% 0.301 0.2102 0.074
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 18.67 33.33% 0.0 -0.096 -0.315
3 Thematic 42 38.1% 35.74 61.9% -0.128 -0.1071 -0.566
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 23.0 33.33% -0.595 -1.1253 -0.725
4 Leaf 8 62.5% 20.88 37.5% -0.72 -0.8813 -0.274
4 Other 24 29.17% 15.92 45.83% 0.574 -0.1369 1.01
4 Thematic 29 48.28% 32.07 41.38% -0.365 -0.2423 -0.4
4 Trapezoid (Default) 300 37.33% 32.06 64.67% -0.323 -0.3262 -0.554
5 Other 41 43.9% 25.44 60.98% 0.636 0.1219 0.661
5 Thematic 7 28.57% 38.86 71.43% -0.126 -0.1834 0.229
6 Archipelago 9 44.44% 30.11 22.22% -0.173 -1.2112 -0.843
6 Other 34 26.47% 24.38 55.88% -0.422 -0.5261 -0.727
6 Star 21 9.52% 18.57 42.86% -0.274 -0.2875 -0.8
6 Thematic 81 54.32% 39.04 58.02% 0.175 0.4611 -0.063
6 Two Centers (Default) 105 22.86% 22.5 41.9% -1.382 -0.8489 -1.414
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 51.33 33.33% -0.106 -0.0411 -0.37
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.666 -1.225 -0.425

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 77 34.26 57.14% 0.25 0.5012 0.257
Aid From Lesser Spirits 89 46.52 76.4% 1.004 0.9463 1.465
All Things Weaken 108 34.97 66.67% 0.479 0.8134 0.046
Attenuated Essence 110 33.32 67.27% 0.526 0.5598 0.501
Back Against the Wall 62 40.87 70.97% 0.479 0.514 0.711
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 33.4 57.94% 0.147 0.3637 -0.042
Burn Brightest Before the End 89 35.99 62.92% 0.334 0.345 0.615
Disintegrating Ecosystem 98 34.54 56.12% -0.067 0.2769 0.676
Downward Spiral 105 31.74 61.9% 0.173 0.2905 0.092
Erosion of Will 86 34.86 60.47% -0.223 0.0517 0.093
Intensifying Exploitation 107 35.55 61.68% 0.259 0.4704 0.441
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 49 43.61 83.67% 1.362 0.7894 1.21
Memory Fades to Dust 111 31.04 53.15% -0.445 -0.1929 -0.273
Power Corrodes the Spirit 89 31.25 55.06% -0.217 -0.0124 0.174
Promising Farmlands 89 35.76 70.79% 1.037 1.2913 1.113
Shattered Fragments of Power 100 37.85 63.0% 0.323 0.3975 0.474
Slow Dissolution of Will 83 33.34 66.27% 0.561 0.9425 -0.025
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 41 41.0 73.17% -0.219 -0.8932 -0.053
The Border of Life and Death 40 32.23 65.0% -0.394 -0.9943 -0.181
Thriving Communities 111 35.19 63.06% 0.674 0.9558 0.79
Thriving Crops 48 30.79 56.25% -0.135 -0.2752 0.295
Unnatural Proliferation 101 38.38 60.4% 0.581 0.7845 0.326
Untended Land Crumbles 75 32.17 58.67% 0.411 0.6012 -0.449

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1630 36.4% 28.93 59.2% 0.218 1.2164 -0.157
B 1714 34.82% 29.68 60.85% 0.265 1.1867 0.006
C 1860 33.85% 30.97 62.26% 0.264 0.9934 0.13
D 1502 36.78% 29.44 60.45% -0.012 0.9467 -0.005
E 1392 35.26% 31.05 63.94% 0.218 1.0368 0.424
F 1231 34.5% 31.55 64.58% 0.381 1.2633 0.057
G 1140 35.27% 30.63 63.42% 0.102 0.9272 0.228
H 1173 35.9% 31.15 64.11% 0.331 1.1697 0.418
East 251 40.64% 30.67 50.6% -0.282 0.5927 0.204
Northeast 188 42.02% 31.72 51.06% 0.603 1.3552 0.622
Northwest 177 44.07% 31.51 49.72% -0.823 0.0696 -0.266
Southeast 135 50.37% 33.75 53.33% -0.64 0.1989 -0.934
Southwest 137 49.64% 35.17 55.47% -0.415 0.8892 0.052
West 244 43.44% 31.09 49.59% -0.226 0.7239 -0.81

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 40 0.0% 15.95 52.5% -0.257 0.4721 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 60.0% 27.2 100.0% 0.777 1.123 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 98 7.53% 43.15 69.39% 0.268 -0.3345 0.998
Start of Game Growth 159 13.64% 37.92 65.41% 0.579 0.0751 0.031
Unlimited Undo 506 25.15% 31.2 60.28% -0.035 -0.142 0.652
Using Tokens but Not Events 461 14.96% 17.92 57.05% -0.486 -0.5158 -0.398

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 169 27.54% 25.38 62.13% -0.294 -0.3884 0.207
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 378 28.04% 33.36 66.14% 0.47 -0.0055 0.279
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 29 48.28% 32.79 62.07% 0.01 0.1229 0.8
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 123 33.33% 38.69 72.36% 0.682 -0.1313 0.643
Dances Up Earthquakes 576 40.97% 29.45 63.37% -0.2 -0.2086 -0.62
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 98 37.76% 33.07 67.35% 0.256 0.1164 -0.159
Downpour Drenches the World 96 33.33% 29.04 58.33% 0.117 0.3446 0.083
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 207 38.65% 36.4 69.08% 0.719 0.1498 0.338
Eyes Watch From the Trees 90 16.67% 28.86 72.22% 0.125 -0.2622 0.008
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 89 24.72% 29.63 67.42% 0.824 0.4296 -0.087
Finder of Paths Unseen 115 39.47% 31.91 49.57% -0.733 -0.0049 0.891
Fractured Days Split the Sky 86 21.18% 32.95 48.84% -0.092 0.549 -0.011
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 87 24.14% 28.0 59.77% -0.007 -0.1408 0.055
Heart of the Wildfire 123 49.59% 23.52 39.02% -0.993 -0.664 -0.672
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 203 42.86% 33.95 67.49% 0.403 -0.0209 0.513
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 97 29.9% 24.04 49.48% -0.204 -0.5108 -0.287
Lightning's Swift Strike 47 55.32% 24.68 63.83% 0.598 0.8361 -0.066
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 321 35.2% 39.95 64.8% 0.482 0.0747 0.094
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 43 39.53% 29.88 58.14% 0.012 -0.3074 0.425
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 106 29.25% 27.4 48.11% -0.243 -0.3236 0.201
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 249 42.97% 24.14 45.38% -0.71 -0.903 -0.662
Many Minds Move as One 87 40.23% 34.9 60.92% 0.468 0.2518 0.112
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 89 23.6% 30.29 53.93% 0.113 0.2522 0.199
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 925 45.35% 30.57 62.05% -0.278 -0.1968 -0.249
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 94 35.11% 31.7 69.15% 0.37 0.2921 -0.286
River Surges in Sunlight 55 20.0% 26.07 60.0% -0.289 -0.1639 -0.066
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 71 38.03% 33.54 73.24% 0.335 0.5133 0.182
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 65 36.92% 30.37 60.0% 0.803 1.0823 -0.502
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 90 34.44% 30.91 61.11% 0.047 -0.0757 0.373
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14 71.43% 33.86 78.57% -0.328 0.1873 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 42.11% 22.53 47.37% -0.963 -0.9819 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 94 37.23% 32.41 71.28% 0.172 -0.331 0.444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 41.67% 32.0 66.67% 0.272 0.0804 0.183
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 15 40.0% 23.07 60.0% 0.645 0.5861 -0.045
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 7 42.86% 33.43 71.43% -0.579 -0.4974 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 35 31.43% 39.69 77.14% 0.446 0.5253 1.021
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 87 31.03% 34.1 66.67% 0.521 0.3347 -0.226
Shifting Memory of Ages 42 21.43% 12.02 30.95% -0.692 -0.4242 -1.448
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 266 40.23% 32.09 60.15% -0.042 -0.1606 0.238
Shroud of Silent Mist 63 38.1% 27.51 58.73% -0.012 0.3393 0.078
Starlight Seeks its Form 350 26.57% 32.57 61.71% 0.383 0.2649 0.308
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 152 29.61% 34.47 59.87% -0.613 -1.1264 -0.738
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 86 27.91% 31.62 61.63% -0.177 -0.0593 0.113
Thunderspeaker 51 52.94% 28.76 43.14% -0.28 -0.2482 -0.725
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 33.33% 26.26 59.26% 0.211 0.2241 0.395
Towering Roots of the Jungle 197 30.96% 27.3 58.88% -0.1 0.0298 -0.64
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 90 60.0% 31.27 53.33% 0.017 0.1428 -0.402
Vital Strength of the Earth 46 26.09% 25.52 67.39% 0.485 1.0852 0.105
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 124 37.9% 29.36 46.77% -0.182 0.3117 -0.404
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 26 30.77% 19.0 26.92% -1.271 -0.5735 -0.633
Volcano Looming High 128 53.91% 30.79 57.81% -0.179 -0.1317 0.391
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 115 37.39% 31.1 59.13% -0.406 -0.6964 0.389

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 96.71%
Elemental Aegis 0.0%
Gift of Flowing Power 80.67%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 84.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1566 13.42 1.72%
II 1334 30.13 64.17%
III 2014 34.83 95.23%
IV 776 38.67 99.61%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 27
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1903
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 853
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 771
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1495
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 287
Win: Sacrifice victory 9
Lose: Scenario condition 36
Win: Scenario condition 11
Lose: Blight pool ran out 279
Lose: Spirit destroyed 15

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.207 Win Model: -0.059

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.02 Win Model: 0.103
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 1756 30.35% 28.77 64.64%
2 2212 36.26% 30.64 61.89%
3 1068 38.89% 32.95 65.54%
4 353 37.96% 31.13 61.76%
5 58 44.83% 30.78 55.17%
6 243 31.69% 27.58 49.38%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)