Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 28 32.14% 22.21 75.0% 0.112 0.4815 0.0
Blitz 0 36 27.78% 20.81 41.67% -0.264 0.1673 -0.545
Dahan Insurrection 4 64 37.5% 32.34 31.25% 0.141 0.1151 -0.117
Despicable Theft 2 22 36.36% 22.45 45.45% -0.183 0.4764 -0.255
Elemental Invocation 1 54 28.3% 20.43 48.15% 0.21 0.6582 -0.539
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 606 14.03% 44.74 69.64% 1.246 0.6465 0.877
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 38.46% 7.92 15.38% 0.0 0.6082 -0.415
Rituals of Terror 3 21 52.38% 28.43 52.38% -0.643 -0.5185 -0.399
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 38.46% 26.15 46.15% 0.509 1.2473 0.372
Second Wave 0 165 32.73% 23.0 55.76% 0.592 0.6987 -0.462
The Great River 3 19 36.84% 19.37 36.84% -0.652 0.5222 -0.304
Varied Terrains 2 30 46.67% 21.73 36.67% -0.702 0.0351 -0.828
Ward the Shores 2 53 30.61% 17.68 24.53% -0.045 0.6376 0.295

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 2902 30.18% 28.72 62.65% -0.288 -0.063 0.683
1 Thematic 110 30.91% 23.18 43.64% -0.178 0.3719 -0.035
2 Archipelago 15 40.0% 17.07 40.0% -0.497 -0.8503 -0.387
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2354 36.4% 31.54 62.83% 0.154 0.265 0.131
2 Coastline 466 35.27% 29.33 61.59% -0.45 -0.539 -0.439
2 Fragment 37 43.24% 25.76 56.76% -0.143 -0.482 0.31
2 Heart 54 50.0% 36.57 61.11% 0.531 0.2037 0.385
2 Opposite Shores 763 35.78% 25.62 55.05% -0.444 -0.408 -0.534
2 Thematic 320 34.06% 16.14 23.13% -0.689 -0.1599 -1.555
2 Top to Top 116 25.86% 31.47 62.07% 0.728 0.5217 -0.139
3 Archipelago 5 80.0% 32.6 40.0% 0.0 0.1006 -0.164
3 Coastline 25 16.0% 18.08 48.0% -0.76 -1.2815 -0.589
3 Other 42 40.48% 28.19 71.43% 1.05 0.3076 0.982
3 Round (Default) 1873 37.72% 31.73 60.44% -0.058 -0.1543 -0.218
3 Sunrise 9 66.67% 27.78 55.56% 0.177 -0.5624 0.0
3 Thematic 62 32.26% 33.0 56.45% 0.0 0.242 -0.676
4 Archipelago 11 36.36% 29.91 54.55% 0.0 0.0808 -0.214
4 Coastline 4 0.0% 30.25 100.0% 0.0 0.2598 0.699
4 Leaf 10 50.0% 26.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 67 25.37% 21.04 46.27% 0.802 0.2548 0.902
4 Thematic 73 43.84% 30.04 41.1% -0.348 0.1256 -0.011
4 Trapezoid (Default) 619 36.08% 33.22 63.49% 0.21 0.0208 0.169
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 24.0 66.67% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 68 44.12% 21.84 57.35% 0.351 0.024 0.319
5 Thematic 10 30.0% 44.2 70.0% -0.338 -0.8289 -0.375
6 Archipelago 12 41.67% 27.83 33.33% -0.202 -1.1274 0.0
6 Coastline 3 0.0% 53.33 100.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.623
6 Other 72 36.11% 24.5 47.22% -0.684 -0.4149 -0.721
6 Star 29 10.34% 19.24 41.38% 0.0 0.7961 0.291
6 Thematic 151 44.37% 35.67 56.95% -0.086 0.495 0.155
6 Two Centers (Default) 196 26.56% 21.86 39.8% -0.2 -0.2233 -0.967
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 38.5 25.0% -0.281 0.1254 -0.035
7 Other 9 22.22% 13.33 22.22% 0.0 -0.2555 -0.327

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 164 33.2 54.27% 0.052 0.3625 0.253
Aid From Lesser Spirits 153 42.28 68.63% -0.169 -0.1562 0.229
All Things Weaken 202 33.43 58.91% -0.206 0.2677 0.641
Attenuated Essence 199 35.46 65.83% 0.593 0.7395 0.642
Back Against the Wall 132 37.67 65.15% 0.149 0.2785 0.772
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 186 32.44 54.84% 0.064 0.3842 -0.025
Burn Brightest Before the End 168 35.46 56.55% 0.636 0.8125 0.5
Disintegrating Ecosystem 167 31.44 51.5% 0.92 1.2999 0.43
Downward Spiral 200 31.72 58.5% 0.456 0.6498 0.279
Erosion of Will 160 33.17 53.13% -0.074 0.264 -0.226
Intensifying Exploitation 183 33.17 57.38% 0.004 0.3562 -0.252
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 89 40.27 74.16% 0.663 0.2996 0.795
Memory Fades to Dust 181 32.83 54.14% 0.164 0.4936 0.382
Power Corrodes the Spirit 171 32.6 57.31% -0.105 0.1613 1.093
Promising Farmlands 162 33.14 58.02% 0.516 0.9633 0.276
Shattered Fragments of Power 171 37.15 56.73% 0.101 0.101 0.256
Slow Dissolution of Will 161 34.0 61.49% -0.434 -0.0224 0.132
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 80 40.21 71.25% 0.265 -0.2937 1.28
The Border of Life and Death 64 32.59 60.94% -0.11 -0.3548 0.128
Thriving Communities 191 32.51 56.54% -0.131 0.1461 -0.079
Thriving Crops 86 35.19 58.14% -0.499 -0.5945 0.505
Unnatural Proliferation 181 36.14 59.12% 0.881 1.0861 0.317
Untended Land Crumbles 141 31.29 53.9% 0.483 0.7825 0.578

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3026 36.13% 28.43 57.44% 0.139 1.1307 0.343
B 3146 34.87% 29.02 58.33% 0.453 1.318 0.079
C 3266 33.43% 29.84 58.42% 0.205 0.9565 0.222
D 2805 35.86% 28.98 58.22% 0.054 0.9989 0.547
E 2569 35.45% 29.84 58.93% 0.661 1.4159 0.358
F 2342 34.7% 30.12 60.2% -0.098 0.7764 0.031
G 2137 34.83% 30.16 60.97% 0.315 1.177 0.388
H 2252 35.18% 31.2 62.26% -0.083 0.7243 0.501
East 641 36.97% 24.71 38.22% -0.564 0.1811 -0.335
Northeast 443 37.02% 24.12 41.08% 0.246 1.1391 -0.488
Northwest 357 37.82% 28.76 47.62% -0.63 0.1133 -0.203
Southeast 257 41.63% 30.56 48.64% 0.492 1.5004 -0.975
Southwest 259 40.93% 31.35 50.97% -0.862 0.2949 -0.104
West 560 38.04% 27.79 41.79% -0.32 0.6627 -0.392

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 101 0.0% 17.19 53.47% 0.367 1.0864 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 8 37.5% 25.25 100.0% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 255 9.96% 38.46 61.96% -0.196 -1.0013 0.273
Start of Game Growth 351 14.84% 36.95 60.97% 0.1 -0.4669 0.273
Unlimited Undo 976 26.21% 29.78 56.97% 0.512 0.5389 0.527
Using Tokens but Not Events 866 17.91% 19.73 59.47% 0.302 0.2743 -0.36

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 325 24.53% 24.49 59.69% 0.103 -0.3148 0.204
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 786 30.4% 33.12 59.8% 0.47 -0.1864 0.642
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 57 35.09% 34.68 68.42% 0.87 0.7125 -0.29
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 258 26.56% 35.37 67.05% 0.604 -0.2562 0.582
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 63 34.92% 26.37 57.14% 0.59 0.7281 -0.262
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 237 38.4% 35.73 66.67% 0.228 -0.8017 0.668
Dances Up Earthquakes 851 39.6% 28.22 55.93% -0.399 -0.4353 -0.401
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 198 38.38% 29.16 61.11% 0.0 -0.3544 0.455
Downpour Drenches the World 255 29.53% 23.78 46.67% -0.857 -0.7331 -1.047
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 365 35.26% 33.95 67.12% 0.179 -0.3917 0.713
Eyes Watch From the Trees 194 28.35% 27.4 64.43% 0.461 -0.1854 -0.504
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 174 23.26% 28.58 63.79% -0.486 -0.9794 0.918
Finder of Paths Unseen 188 40.64% 30.83 49.47% -0.116 0.4728 0.66
Fractured Days Split the Sky 185 20.88% 28.21 47.03% 0.601 1.0481 -0.448
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 178 30.9% 28.56 52.81% 0.68 0.4951 0.182
Heart of the Wildfire 197 45.18% 22.39 40.1% -0.592 -0.4496 -1.104
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 347 40.06% 33.23 63.11% -1.133 -1.8077 0.415
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 191 28.42% 24.17 51.31% -0.292 -0.82 0.13
Lightning's Swift Strike 93 49.46% 25.51 60.22% 0.711 0.744 -0.982
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 547 36.01% 38.58 62.89% -0.266 -0.918 0.648
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 69 40.58% 30.75 68.12% -0.309 -0.8049 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 179 33.52% 29.36 52.51% -0.439 -0.6786 0.397
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 427 44.03% 24.04 45.2% -0.6 -1.0263 -0.41
Many Minds Move as One 164 36.2% 29.36 52.44% 1.097 0.5884 -0.543
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 196 27.55% 30.61 52.55% -0.143 -0.4123 -0.585
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1379 44.25% 29.34 55.47% -0.402 -0.5159 -0.153
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 188 35.64% 30.48 67.55% 0.252 -0.0416 -0.063
River Surges in Sunlight 97 23.71% 25.47 55.67% 0.267 0.0964 0.823
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 203 42.86% 30.31 57.64% 0.617 0.5062 -0.062
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 118 33.9% 26.31 50.85% -0.518 -0.5838 -1.49
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 148 35.81% 31.74 60.14% 0.211 0.0812 0.49
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 23 65.22% 27.7 65.22% -1.09 -0.662 -0.214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 41.67% 21.25 52.78% 0.0 0.004 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 180 38.89% 30.61 61.67% 0.045 -0.7077 0.029
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 31 41.94% 31.71 74.19% 0.407 0.0882 0.813
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 29 27.59% 21.83 58.62% 0.0 -0.1787 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 16 37.5% 29.31 68.75% 0.0 -0.0428 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 70 28.57% 34.77 65.71% -0.775 -1.1407 -0.139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 29 34.48% 37.14 68.97% 0.697 0.1559 0.643
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 168 30.36% 29.01 61.9% -0.104 -0.3484 -0.045
Shifting Memory of Ages 92 26.14% 18.52 45.65% 0.19 0.4846 -0.485
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 530 36.42% 32.14 56.42% -0.433 -0.5964 0.672
Shroud of Silent Mist 129 31.01% 21.24 48.06% -0.051 0.1307 -0.766
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 30 33.33% 30.9 53.33% -0.277 -0.6868 -0.013
Starlight Seeks its Form 731 31.87% 33.19 60.88% 0.275 0.0327 0.402
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 310 32.57% 31.48 54.84% 0.115 -0.8368 -0.225
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 166 29.52% 29.95 60.24% 0.44 0.4825 0.26
Thunderspeaker 102 42.16% 30.27 57.84% 0.459 0.2635 0.47
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 82 32.93% 24.3 45.12% 0.019 -0.1495 0.478
Towering Roots of the Jungle 372 36.02% 26.44 55.65% -1.616 -1.727 -0.732
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 181 58.56% 28.8 52.49% -0.263 -0.4136 0.016
Vital Strength of the Earth 72 23.61% 23.53 62.5% -0.536 -0.178 0.092
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 233 33.91% 27.64 49.79% 0.401 0.6444 -0.242
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 75 30.67% 20.05 38.67% 0.362 1.0431 -0.462
Volcano Looming High 245 47.52% 29.14 57.96% 0.041 -0.283 -0.594
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 264 35.11% 29.84 57.95% 0.342 -0.1753 0.372

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absorb Essence 96.77%
Elemental Aegis 0.0%
Gift of Flowing Power 82.05%
Gift of the Primordial Deeps 85.62%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3164 12.25 1.61%
II 2387 29.91 60.12%
III 3535 34.94 94.0%
IV 1412 38.9 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 51
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3290
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1421
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1396
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3043
Lose: Invader deck ran out 16
Lose: Adversary condition 570
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 65
Win: Scenario condition 33
Lose: Unique spirit condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 555
Lose: Spirit destroyed 34

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.44 Win Model: -0.099

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.358 Win Model: 0.045
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3085 30.39% 28.54 61.88%
2 4096 35.96% 28.92 57.76%
3 2005 37.53% 31.55 60.4%
4 759 35.62% 32.02 60.74%
5 95 48.42% 26.28 53.68%
6 458 31.5% 26.49 47.16%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)