Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 124 21.95% 24.74 79.84% 0.588 0.9584 -0.415
Blitz 0 4038 50.33% 20.94 52.97% -0.41 0.0218 -0.828
Dahan Insurrection 4 3623 28.38% 48.78 68.81% 1.322 1.2962 0.75
Despicable Theft 2 190 44.97% 26.29 58.42% -0.864 -0.2043 -0.098
Elemental Invocation 1 383 56.14% 22.95 50.65% -0.491 -0.0431 -0.606
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9468 17.88% 40.48 65.34% 0.715 0.1159 0.805
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1074 47.14% 31.1 59.4% -0.353 0.255 -1.027
Rituals of Terror 3 1136 50.76% 28.27 48.15% -0.474 -0.3498 -0.685
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 429 73.47% 29.27 45.22% -0.697 0.0413 -0.383
Second Wave 0 7316 49.68% 25.85 68.67% 0.286 0.392 0.573
The Great River 3 1263 50.08% 26.23 56.53% -0.28 0.8949 -0.751
Varied Terrains 2 191 48.15% 22.07 50.79% 0.138 0.8746 -0.427
Ward the Shores 2 1028 41.97% 33.82 61.77% -0.193 0.4895 -0.884

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 224233 49.85% 20.59 59.09% 0.031 0.2556 0.447
1 Thematic 8225 53.94% 28.93 53.53% 0.377 0.927 0.601
2 Archipelago 89 50.0% 28.09 66.29% 0.0 -0.3536 -0.089
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 73519 43.32% 23.53 62.86% 0.115 0.2259 0.825
2 Coastline 10341 39.49% 25.94 66.56% 0.256 0.1665 -0.36
2 Fragment 2285 44.13% 20.54 62.36% 0.547 0.2086 -0.069
2 Heart 1119 50.11% 19.94 59.79% 0.408 0.0804 -0.29
2 Opposite Shores 13159 39.33% 28.54 69.29% 0.495 0.5312 0.887
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 4284 43.98% 38.2 59.15% -0.251 0.2777 0.353
2 Top to Top 2420 40.81% 25.43 66.9% 0.688 0.4818 -0.658
3 Archipelago 39 25.64% 25.59 66.67% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 319 34.87% 31.46 70.85% -0.107 -0.6284 0.619
3 Other 1355 35.69% 22.97 66.13% 0.427 -0.3154 0.518
3 Round (Default) 31834 36.47% 28.25 71.85% 0.234 0.1376 0.292
3 Sunrise 139 38.58% 33.86 83.45% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 1179 41.43% 33.2 57.42% -0.537 -0.2946 0.301
4 Archipelago 65 42.55% 20.68 52.31% 0.406 0.4873 0.0
4 Coastline 144 38.13% 24.6 59.03% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 175 35.26% 22.7 65.71% -0.121 -0.6751 0.0
4 Other 873 38.5% 23.12 59.34% -0.005 -0.5521 -0.393
4 Reverse Snake 10 22.22% 29.7 80.0% -0.283 -0.0508 0.0
4 Snake 11 70.0% 26.82 45.45% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3939 30.53% 42.13 63.9% 0.195 0.6686 -0.21
4 Trapezoid (Default) 29153 26.99% 28.38 70.45% 0.376 0.1871 -0.568
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 7 14.29% 27.71 71.43% 0.0 -0.6104 -0.234
5 Other 731 35.36% 27.44 74.97% 0.829 0.502 1.439
5 Thematic 75 20.27% 48.68 65.33% -0.361 -0.8514 0.0
6 Archipelago 45 18.75% 27.51 68.89% 0.209 -0.7159 -0.157
6 Coastline 52 6.67% 25.0 78.85% -0.345 -0.0162 -0.059
6 Other 202 22.78% 28.43 60.89% -0.373 -0.1034 -1.479
6 Star 89 19.32% 26.13 64.04% -0.31 0.4857 -0.566
6 Thematic 643 14.47% 35.01 55.99% -0.877 -0.2969 -1.333
6 Two Centers (Default) 1122 18.65% 20.75 64.53% -0.264 -0.2868 -0.013
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 14.43 42.86% 0.0 0.4064 -0.282
7 Other 14 15.38% 16.71 35.71% 0.0 -0.2555 0.447

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 8010 27.22 47.93% -0.357 -0.0461 -0.237
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6997 30.29 53.82% 0.158 0.1708 1.009
All Things Weaken 3006 23.45 41.48% 0.036 0.5102 -0.051
Attenuated Essence 549 21.31 43.72% -0.539 -0.3921 -0.274
Back Against the Wall 7054 28.91 51.13% -0.193 -0.064 0.558
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 541 21.29 42.33% -0.177 0.1433 -0.044
Burn Brightest Before the End 449 22.79 45.88% -0.507 -0.3302 -0.06
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7638 24.3 45.04% -0.475 -0.0945 -0.009
Downward Spiral 41155 18.85 49.67% -0.544 -0.3509 -0.145
Erosion of Will 7742 26.06 45.6% -0.106 0.232 -0.09
Intensifying Exploitation 584 18.15 36.82% -0.189 0.1638 -0.197
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1055 30.1 76.21% -0.793 -1.1558 0.433
Memory Fades to Dust 41582 18.6 45.93% -0.707 -0.3774 0.132
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2972 23.74 44.58% -1.256 -0.9896 -0.008
Promising Farmlands 7832 24.34 43.25% -0.723 -0.276 0.222
Shattered Fragments of Power 484 24.04 45.66% -0.422 -0.4223 0.658
Slow Dissolution of Will 558 19.78 37.46% -0.002 0.4092 -0.12
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 709 31.67 82.09% 0.903 0.3446 1.157
The Border of Life and Death 129 22.68 69.77% 0.899 0.6543 0.812
Thriving Communities 2932 22.28 41.3% -0.48 -0.2022 0.152
Thriving Crops 189 17.77 45.5% -0.976 -1.071 -0.688
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3049 25.7 43.29% -0.016 0.189 0.522
Untended Land Crumbles 2919 23.41 43.65% -0.631 -0.3315 -0.01

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 137167 41.22% 22.8 62.54% 0.08 1.072 -0.126
B 138026 39.58% 23.66 63.97% 0.202 1.067 0.001
C 141161 40.95% 24.61 64.64% 0.43 1.1818 1.174
D 125853 39.37% 23.5 64.41% 0.415 1.3598 0.411
E 22374 42.75% 25.97 67.06% 0.441 1.1956 -0.721
F 34436 40.58% 27.03 68.31% 0.103 0.9773 0.051
G 34650 40.77% 27.74 67.93% 0.391 1.2534 -0.375
H 32871 40.4% 27.56 68.63% 0.363 1.1703 -0.159
East 13268 42.03% 37.14 59.07% 0.507 1.252 0.801
Northeast 9478 38.88% 38.2 59.9% -0.578 0.315 0.013
Northwest 8630 35.02% 36.63 58.92% -0.27 0.4729 -0.301
Southeast 1663 31.49% 34.32 60.01% -0.333 0.6758 -0.402
Southwest 1576 30.99% 32.7 57.8% -0.504 0.6527 -0.208
West 12540 39.66% 35.38 57.39% -0.275 0.7079 -0.191

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 72034 0.0% 12.52 45.46% -0.865 -0.1448 -0.172
Not Using Events or Tokens 205831 43.61% 17.56 57.07% -0.483 -0.0089 -0.785
Skip Initial Invader Actions 17238 10.13% 34.06 86.82% 0.936 0.1315 0.291
Start of Game Growth 22240 14.33% 33.17 83.52% 0.763 0.1966 0.97
Unlimited Undo 48105 30.66% 26.93 74.31% 0.207 0.2343 -0.618
Using Tokens but Not Events 35209 32.93% 27.74 74.51% 0.01 -0.0174 -0.526

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 32730 29.37% 28.42 72.87% 0.398 -0.0198 -0.344
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 397 27.41% 33.27 55.92% -0.533 -1.1888 0.234
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 37 48.65% 23.7 59.46% 0.007 -0.1502 -0.316
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 135 36.3% 26.45 66.67% 0.273 -0.5876 0.502
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9287 47.34% 23.43 62.45% -0.366 -0.228 -0.85
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 178 41.71% 27.31 62.36% 0.332 -0.6974 -0.294
Dances Up Earthquakes 231 43.29% 20.59 45.89% -0.301 -0.3371 -0.817
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6873 31.05% 28.03 72.31% 0.679 0.3249 0.813
Downpour Drenches the World 920 35.61% 23.17 64.57% -0.086 0.0374 -1.05
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1004 32.66% 26.13 69.32% 0.546 -0.0245 0.125
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9524 25.76% 24.56 66.31% 0.046 -0.6001 0.287
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6450 34.07% 31.72 73.67% 0.446 -0.0475 -0.281
Finder of Paths Unseen 436 37.09% 20.13 53.67% -1.129 -0.5411 -0.059
Fractured Days Split the Sky 700 39.47% 26.31 67.71% 0.119 0.5654 -0.589
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 839 48.48% 24.44 65.44% -0.042 -0.2269 0.277
Heart of the Wildfire 6704 52.83% 28.54 66.84% 0.377 0.5198 -0.273
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 17260 33.56% 35.6 72.64% -0.045 -0.7198 0.085
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 250 24.4% 27.09 62.8% -0.867 -1.3946 -0.107
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2547 40.84% 28.06 67.77% -0.189 -0.6152 -0.984
Many Minds Move as One 1541 41.19% 28.83 76.64% 0.957 0.4482 -0.599
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25893 34.31% 32.14 71.15% 0.535 0.2658 0.751
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 290 45.88% 20.82 55.86% -0.213 -0.3274 -0.263
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5757 37.52% 28.26 72.95% 0.491 0.1968 0.306
River Surges in Sunlight 53614 31.53% 27.74 67.14% 0.068 -0.1024 0.576
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 159 25.83% 20.84 54.09% -0.02 -0.1312 0.517
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1090 40.96% 24.24 60.55% -0.92 -0.9855 -0.634
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 801 39.82% 29.42 63.3% -0.307 -0.4369 0.258
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 12382 34.43% 34.52 73.53% -0.198 -0.4619 1.12
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 93 49.46% 25.51 60.22% 1.237 0.8067 -0.442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 18879 41.76% 18.12 54.78% -0.666 -0.2378 -0.356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 135 40.48% 23.15 67.41% 0.0 0.004 0.49
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 202 34.01% 26.85 67.33% -1.052 -1.8048 -0.492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 155 38.36% 22.58 52.26% 0.327 0.008 1.517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 377 40.93% 23.15 65.52% -1.487 -1.6656 -0.826
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 384 38.23% 24.19 68.23% -0.14 -0.183 -0.241
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7425 33.51% 33.92 77.33% 0.735 0.3691 0.765
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 17 11.76% 34.18 100.0% 0.451 -0.0903 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 343 27.51% 26.31 64.43% 0.497 0.2523 0.425
Shifting Memory of Ages 1163 41.12% 23.61 60.79% 0.786 1.0801 0.024
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 249 42.74% 30.37 63.45% 0.512 0.349 0.211
Shroud of Silent Mist 971 49.09% 23.22 66.53% 0.464 0.6463 -0.704
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 18 50.0% 19.89 72.22% 0.394 -0.0165 -0.059
Starlight Seeks its Form 1457 34.97% 25.86 69.25% -0.904 -1.1458 0.071
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2991 44.31% 28.29 68.94% -0.016 -0.9686 -0.571
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4798 32.03% 30.11 74.2% 0.714 0.7569 0.736
Thunderspeaker 18099 37.51% 29.33 66.43% -0.364 -0.5595 0.386
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 117 39.32% 23.0 60.68% 0.573 0.4043 -0.2
Towering Roots of the Jungle 248 39.59% 23.42 65.32% -0.531 -0.6421 1.134
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1354 60.23% 26.2 63.37% -0.286 -0.4363 -0.798
Vital Strength of the Earth 33482 31.16% 20.02 60.5% -0.064 0.2946 -0.23
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 383 34.81% 23.9 54.31% -0.727 -0.4832 -0.108
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 478 37.47% 20.69 57.53% -0.483 0.1981 0.217
Volcano Looming High 1269 48.55% 25.67 67.06% -0.863 -1.1874 1.131
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 418 30.83% 25.83 73.92% 0.775 0.2573 -0.35

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 95.1%
Lightning's Boon 87.01%
Raging Storm 89.79%
Shatter Homesteads 98.76%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 98878 12.25 17.53%
II 202775 29.91 69.77%
III 91811 34.94 85.65%
IV 18798 38.9 99.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 17326
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 76956
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 137973
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18459
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 52825
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1382
Lose: Adversary condition 14315
Win: Sacrifice victory 1133
Lose: Scenario condition 2790
Win: Scenario condition 4262
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 82433
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2408

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.618 Win Model: -0.047

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.192 Win Model: -0.078
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 232964 50.0% 20.87 58.84%
2 107214 42.49% 24.91 63.93%
3 34825 36.55% 28.28 71.23%
4 34410 27.81% 29.8 69.33%
5 805 28.38% 28.34 65.84%
6 2044 18.46% 25.36 63.8%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)