Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 64 15.87% 25.8 84.38% 0.784 0.5981 -0.756
Blitz 0 3059 53.59% 24.09 59.43% -0.444 -0.3127 -0.701
Dahan Insurrection 4 2647 31.91% 53.12 70.76% 1.363 1.1079 0.562
Despicable Theft 2 139 42.75% 28.31 63.31% -0.213 0.3286 -2.039
Elemental Invocation 1 283 61.84% 24.58 52.3% 0.083 0.9391 -1.292
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7810 18.34% 42.31 68.51% 0.249 -0.522 -0.005
Powers Long Forgotten 1 900 50.0% 34.32 64.56% -0.578 0.3566 -0.522
Rituals of Terror 3 775 53.81% 33.9 59.48% -0.449 -0.3528 -0.439
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 351 78.16% 32.25 49.0% -1.355 -0.158 -0.266
Second Wave 0 6270 49.73% 26.69 71.02% 0.196 0.2813 -0.501
The Great River 3 888 52.61% 27.86 60.59% -0.806 0.5554 -1.683
Varied Terrains 2 80 43.75% 23.31 56.25% 0.257 1.0452 -1.286
Ward the Shores 2 871 43.87% 36.41 65.1% -0.444 0.5881 -0.441

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 173680 50.88% 22.36 63.89% 1.215 1.406 0.496
1 Thematic 6599 59.16% 31.51 57.34% 0.16 0.8052 0.401
2 Archipelago 56 46.43% 29.7 71.43% -0.254 0.1777 0.276
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 56427 44.9% 26.03 68.67% 0.906 0.9025 0.792
2 Coastline 8035 40.42% 28.49 72.23% 0.734 0.7902 0.536
2 Fragment 1744 46.53% 22.42 66.57% 1.361 1.0946 0.782
2 Heart 818 52.02% 22.61 65.53% 0.983 0.944 0.784
2 Opposite Shores 10455 40.25% 31.13 73.91% 0.926 0.9406 1.056
2 Thematic 3642 45.21% 41.14 63.4% 0.162 0.3593 1.184
2 Top to Top 1896 41.71% 27.93 71.84% 0.955 0.8565 0.775
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% -0.485 -0.9321 0.0
3 Coastline 226 33.18% 34.9 76.99% 1.543 0.5185 0.574
3 Other 1044 35.82% 25.74 71.74% 0.152 -0.2405 0.084
3 Round (Default) 24860 37.12% 30.62 76.83% 0.871 0.5359 0.458
3 Sunrise 111 39.6% 35.28 88.29% 1.595 1.8375 1.337
3 Thematic 880 43.87% 37.64 65.0% -0.179 -0.4633 0.083
4 Archipelago 31 47.83% 26.81 64.52% -0.45 -0.6069 0.965
4 Coastline 105 37.25% 27.38 65.71% -0.794 -1.7324 -0.964
4 Leaf 113 31.73% 26.35 69.91% -1.124 -1.2724 -0.196
4 Other 637 36.43% 28.61 72.37% 0.197 -1.1321 0.379
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.3516 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 0.1011 0.0
4 Thematic 3321 31.88% 46.03 69.56% -1.088 -1.1673 -0.977
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21824 29.17% 32.22 79.0% 0.227 0.0706 -0.208
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 0.6745 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 31.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.9121 0.354
5 Other 464 36.02% 30.06 79.96% 0.542 -0.5331 -0.053
5 Thematic 50 24.0% 47.46 70.0% -1.113 -1.1196 -0.707
6 Archipelago 25 8.33% 29.92 80.0% -0.885 -2.1847 -1.277
6 Coastline 44 4.55% 26.05 86.36% 0.0 -0.748 -1.574
6 Other 123 25.96% 34.54 71.54% -0.644 -0.8475 -1.011
6 Star 57 19.64% 28.74 75.44% -1.275 -1.1758 -0.245
6 Thematic 372 15.68% 35.6 66.13% -2.281 -1.6323 -2.439
6 Two Centers (Default) 635 15.21% 25.69 80.94% -1.084 -1.4186 -2.053
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 0.0605 0.324
7 Other 6 20.0% 29.67 50.0% -0.626 -0.23 -0.861

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7060 27.83 48.64% -0.393 -0.2634 -0.762
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6158 30.71 53.82% 0.078 -0.0403 -0.43
All Things Weaken 2318 24.55 42.45% -0.262 0.0454 -1.117
Attenuated Essence 177 19.81 38.42% -0.741 -0.7086 -1.123
Back Against the Wall 6229 29.38 51.73% 0.438 0.4678 -0.658
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 144 22.42 43.75% -0.609 -0.4225 -1.076
Burn Brightest Before the End 151 21.88 43.71% -0.575 -0.5042 -1.097
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6656 24.97 45.75% -0.679 -0.3036 -0.848
Downward Spiral 32360 19.96 52.22% -0.358 -0.1922 -0.757
Erosion of Will 6805 26.65 46.47% -0.595 -0.3801 -0.831
Intensifying Exploitation 159 18.01 38.36% -0.575 -0.3331 -1.802
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 809 32.49 78.86% 0.571 -0.0102 -0.253
Memory Fades to Dust 32712 19.68 48.5% -0.545 -0.2526 -0.825
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2283 25.09 45.38% -0.105 0.0564 -1.022
Promising Farmlands 6888 24.98 44.28% -0.243 0.053 -0.978
Shattered Fragments of Power 155 25.17 49.68% 0.228 0.3164 -0.907
Slow Dissolution of Will 168 19.65 36.9% -0.684 -0.291 -2.13
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 529 33.32 85.26% 0.747 0.0349 -0.153
The Border of Life and Death 42 23.67 78.57% 0.864 0.3849 -0.463
Thriving Communities 2241 23.61 42.93% -0.642 -0.342 -1.048
Thriving Crops 59 11.46 32.2% -0.754 -0.856 -1.499
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.933 -0.731
Unnatural Proliferation 2368 26.84 43.03% -0.56 -0.3906 -0.889
Untended Land Crumbles 2277 24.95 45.94% -0.518 -0.2602 -1.109

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 104725 42.8% 25.29 68.71% -1.226 -0.0836 0.105
B 106261 41.23% 26.18 70.17% -1.136 -0.0814 0.297
C 109196 42.32% 27.06 70.48% -1.005 -0.1171 0.883
D 97007 40.94% 25.94 70.42% -1.093 -0.0394 0.131
E 15597 43.63% 28.61 71.77% -0.972 -0.0676 0.003
F 26009 41.61% 29.68 73.37% -1.275 -0.2713 0.109
G 26710 41.8% 30.43 72.94% -0.788 0.18 0.335
H 25150 41.59% 30.23 73.72% -0.652 0.3411 0.022
East 10964 44.08% 40.11 63.55% -0.953 0.0347 0.187
Northeast 7732 40.93% 41.59 65.12% -0.567 0.3826 0.291
Northwest 6562 39.14% 41.46 66.17% -0.748 0.2935 0.107
Southeast 1197 35.49% 35.7 65.66% -0.693 0.2251 0.396
Southwest 1133 35.17% 34.09 63.46% -0.895 0.5613 -0.379
West 9820 43.31% 39.33 63.39% -0.482 0.6251 0.185

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 52426 0.0% 14.26 51.46% -1.097 -0.4338 -0.542
Not Using Events or Tokens 149785 45.01% 19.52 63.93% -0.32 0.1743 -0.869
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14128 10.52% 35.6 90.92% 0.782 0.1599 0.011
Start of Game Growth 18319 14.6% 34.75 87.7% 0.675 0.2628 0.849
Unlimited Undo 38068 31.87% 29.45 81.13% 0.198 0.1027 0.687
Using Tokens but Not Events 28327 33.55% 29.42 78.35% -0.035 0.0402 -0.39

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26253 30.57% 30.67 78.19% 0.021 -0.0147 -0.242
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7345 49.38% 26.1 68.52% -0.3 -0.1412 -0.339
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 48 50.0% 29.83 47.92% 0.086 -0.9267 -0.305
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5480 32.22% 30.74 78.01% -0.078 -0.2904 0.214
Downpour Drenches the World 482 35.76% 25.66 70.75% 0.393 0.6396 0.351
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 430 35.87% 27.12 70.23% 0.909 0.346 -0.373
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6315 30.2% 29.91 79.13% -0.057 -0.5368 -0.454
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5168 34.21% 34.68 77.81% 0.221 -0.1853 0.198
Finder of Paths Unseen 228 36.49% 22.57 58.33% -0.034 0.7282 0.003
Fractured Days Split the Sky 503 39.63% 28.84 73.36% -0.282 0.3802 0.542
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 505 50.5% 25.84 67.33% -0.138 -0.1404 0.134
Heart of the Wildfire 5754 54.5% 30.26 70.07% 0.033 0.4028 0.005
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14494 36.24% 39.25 79.18% 0.421 -0.0055 0.844
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 34 23.53% 29.0 76.47% 0.44 -0.0526 0.576
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1667 41.95% 30.97 72.83% -0.13 -0.3768 -0.48
Many Minds Move as One 1136 38.19% 30.28 80.19% -0.348 -0.5091 0.051
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20030 36.14% 35.78 77.28% 0.23 0.2641 1.058
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4684 38.35% 30.3 76.13% -0.002 -0.1691 -0.091
River Surges in Sunlight 40692 32.92% 31.02 74.14% -0.179 -0.1514 0.796
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 714 42.9% 26.98 66.53% 0.155 0.4939 -1.719
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 319 44.16% 34.08 75.24% 0.451 0.4199 0.343
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10770 35.45% 36.17 76.98% -0.382 -0.4926 0.557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13306 45.5% 21.36 64.35% -0.673 -0.098 0.105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 38.81% 25.23 71.83% -0.342 -0.3194 0.407
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 42 30.0% 30.19 80.95% 0.998 0.546 -0.073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 64 46.67% 22.0 59.38% -0.141 0.0949 0.376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 240 38.3% 25.8 73.33% -0.737 -0.8243 -0.749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 276 38.1% 26.63 77.17% 0.703 0.8984 0.466
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6696 33.44% 35.2 79.23% 0.108 0.0864 0.61
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 92 31.52% 25.05 73.91% -0.156 -0.4886 0.028
Shifting Memory of Ages 707 42.61% 27.09 68.74% -0.289 -0.0078 -0.051
Shroud of Silent Mist 601 46.95% 25.56 71.38% -0.188 0.0854 -0.567
Starlight Seeks its Form 926 32.21% 27.73 75.59% 0.086 -0.134 0.008
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2356 44.84% 30.32 71.18% 0.109 -0.3382 -0.199
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3842 33.09% 31.63 78.81% -0.176 -0.0544 0.447
Thunderspeaker 14305 39.02% 32.32 72.39% -0.253 -0.2342 0.085
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 51 41.18% 23.14 56.86% 0.138 0.3419 -0.273
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1091 61.01% 27.36 65.54% 0.156 0.3306 -0.014
Vital Strength of the Earth 24422 33.2% 22.6 68.66% -0.412 0.1604 -0.167
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 168 40.65% 25.67 62.5% -0.448 -0.0661 -0.076
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 285 40.07% 22.88 63.16% -0.742 0.0158 -0.751
Volcano Looming High 798 48.08% 28.18 72.43% 0.488 0.4619 -0.139
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 103 30.1% 27.76 75.73% 0.774 0.2398 -0.886

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.86%
Lightning's Boon 86.41%
Raging Storm 89.21%
Shatter Homesteads 98.7%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 60560 16.77 24.59%
II 165966 30.59 71.52%
III 76139 34.74 85.93%
IV 15835 38.3 99.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14889
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 64074
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 115722
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15568
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17307
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1145
Lose: Adversary condition 12379
Win: Sacrifice victory 918
Lose: Scenario condition 2457
Win: Scenario condition 3574
Lose: Blight pool ran out 68419
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2048

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.364 Win Model: -0.072

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.094 Win Model: 0.42
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 180535 51.22% 22.69 63.61%
2 83092 43.88% 27.5 69.45%
3 27127 37.24% 30.74 76.34%
4 26083 29.79% 33.86 77.55%
5 417 32.2% 26.06 71.7%
6 1246 16.58% 30.74 77.29%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)