Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 70 15.94% 25.03 82.86% 0.485 0.4858 -0.695
Blitz 0 3103 53.47% 23.95 59.14% -0.266 -0.1072 -0.665
Dahan Insurrection 4 2707 31.83% 52.83 70.63% 1.21 0.9911 0.643
Despicable Theft 2 141 42.14% 28.15 63.12% -0.4 0.2464 -2.023
Elemental Invocation 1 285 61.4% 24.49 52.28% -0.185 0.7816 -1.296
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7901 18.35% 42.17 68.36% 0.218 -0.5388 0.047
Powers Long Forgotten 1 907 50.0% 34.12 64.28% -1.181 -0.2534 -0.531
Rituals of Terror 3 787 53.88% 33.59 58.96% -0.906 -0.8087 -0.372
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 356 78.19% 32.09 48.6% -1.201 0.0802 -0.219
Second Wave 0 6340 49.64% 26.61 70.77% 0.006 0.0335 -0.479
The Great River 3 903 52.4% 27.71 60.13% -0.806 0.5046 -1.794
Varied Terrains 2 85 43.53% 23.21 57.65% 0.627 1.5756 -1.258
Ward the Shores 2 877 43.85% 36.29 64.88% -0.525 0.5929 -0.423

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 176407 50.81% 22.24 63.53% 1.218 1.2501 0.745
1 Thematic 6649 59.04% 31.42 57.21% 0.246 0.6933 0.655
2 Archipelago 56 46.43% 29.7 71.43% 0.156 0.5998 0.328
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 57330 44.75% 25.92 68.39% 0.902 0.8118 0.947
2 Coastline 8179 40.42% 28.19 71.54% 0.419 0.4776 0.696
2 Fragment 1770 46.58% 22.26 66.21% 1.167 0.7804 0.882
2 Heart 843 51.55% 22.37 65.36% 1.182 1.0231 0.984
2 Opposite Shores 10576 40.22% 31.01 73.73% 1.096 0.9219 1.216
2 Thematic 3688 45.12% 40.83 63.04% -0.22 -0.0665 1.361
2 Top to Top 1925 41.71% 27.71 71.53% 0.696 0.5921 0.958
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% -0.328 -1.3944 0.0
3 Coastline 230 33.03% 34.65 76.09% 1.272 0.5866 0.714
3 Other 1067 35.34% 25.61 71.88% 0.696 0.2357 0.139
3 Round (Default) 25203 37.05% 30.48 76.52% 0.568 0.2677 0.498
3 Sunrise 112 39.22% 35.47 88.39% 1.157 1.7083 1.389
3 Thematic 895 43.23% 37.49 64.69% -0.171 -0.6586 0.13
4 Archipelago 34 50.0% 25.91 61.76% -0.682 -1.4635 1.012
4 Coastline 105 37.25% 27.38 65.71% -0.612 -1.3121 -0.978
4 Leaf 118 31.48% 25.51 67.8% -0.676 -0.3723 -0.254
4 Other 641 36.24% 28.43 71.92% -0.08 -0.9724 0.37
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.5571 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 0.1142 0.0
4 Thematic 3333 32.01% 46.0 69.55% -1.011 -0.8369 -1.039
4 Trapezoid (Default) 22359 28.93% 31.78 77.83% -0.341 -0.2196 -0.417
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1034 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 23.75 75.0% -0.089 -0.6937 0.02
5 Other 495 35.71% 29.56 80.61% -0.211 -0.9512 -0.184
5 Thematic 53 22.64% 47.7 69.81% -0.952 -0.7218 -0.89
6 Archipelago 25 8.33% 29.92 80.0% -0.681 -1.3735 -1.353
6 Coastline 45 4.35% 25.47 84.44% -0.553 -0.7742 -1.589
6 Other 125 25.47% 34.36 71.2% -0.415 0.0416 -1.297
6 Star 58 19.3% 28.74 75.86% -0.867 -0.8387 -0.435
6 Thematic 374 15.86% 35.58 66.31% -2.146 -1.8575 -2.731
6 Two Centers (Default) 662 16.77% 25.53 80.36% -1.186 -1.0122 -2.405
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 0.1257 0.263
7 Other 7 16.67% 29.71 57.14% -0.2 -1.3012 -0.964

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7111 27.75 48.56% -0.369 -0.2909 -0.702
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6205 30.71 53.91% 0.62 0.5143 -0.347
All Things Weaken 2349 24.58 42.53% -0.163 0.1497 -1.051
Attenuated Essence 196 20.09 40.82% -0.22 -0.1537 -1.08
Back Against the Wall 6289 29.37 51.73% 0.238 0.2555 -0.6
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 158 23.05 44.3% -0.348 -0.2199 -0.873
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 22.12 44.38% -0.075 -0.0073 -1.039
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6719 24.97 45.78% -0.32 -0.0206 -0.784
Downward Spiral 32823 19.89 52.01% -0.392 -0.225 -0.685
Erosion of Will 6872 26.63 46.36% -0.715 -0.4855 -0.77
Intensifying Exploitation 179 17.79 36.87% -0.974 -0.7344 -1.639
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 824 32.3 79.0% 0.786 0.2265 -0.188
Memory Fades to Dust 33220 19.6 48.28% -0.58 -0.2897 -0.766
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2333 24.92 45.26% -0.761 -0.5319 -0.979
Promising Farmlands 6933 24.96 44.24% 0.007 0.3314 -0.907
Shattered Fragments of Power 169 24.69 47.93% -0.412 -0.2644 -0.841
Slow Dissolution of Will 190 20.03 40.0% 0.353 0.7183 -1.938
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 538 33.16 85.13% 0.663 -0.1102 -0.105
The Border of Life and Death 46 23.24 78.26% 0.786 0.4008 -0.425
Thriving Communities 2273 23.54 42.76% -0.528 -0.2359 -0.978
Thriving Crops 65 11.95 36.92% -0.449 -0.5131 -1.452
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.5089 -0.664
Unnatural Proliferation 2400 26.76 42.96% -0.73 -0.5521 -0.837
Untended Land Crumbles 2311 24.88 45.78% -0.234 0.0216 -1.07

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 106463 42.66% 25.12 68.3% -1.245 -0.2708 0.063
B 108110 41.08% 25.99 69.67% -1.128 -0.2359 0.284
C 110985 42.2% 26.89 70.04% -1.076 -0.307 0.828
D 98635 40.8% 25.77 69.96% -1.219 -0.2835 0.102
E 15918 43.62% 28.46 71.51% -0.959 -0.1788 -0.007
F 26554 41.55% 29.42 72.89% -1.147 -0.2821 0.083
G 27219 41.62% 30.18 72.43% -0.859 -0.0152 0.323
H 25636 41.32% 29.97 73.18% -0.855 0.0056 -0.014
East 11062 44.05% 39.95 63.39% -1.252 -0.3317 0.135
Northeast 7805 40.91% 41.45 65.0% -0.381 0.4297 0.267
Northwest 6613 39.1% 41.36 66.08% -0.599 0.2842 0.071
Southeast 1210 35.44% 35.6 65.54% -0.579 0.2463 0.32
Southwest 1142 35.07% 34.04 63.49% -0.889 0.4923 -0.436
West 9905 43.21% 39.2 63.23% -0.731 0.3027 0.16

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 53393 0.0% 14.14 51.06% -1.205 -0.4388 -0.546
Not Using Events or Tokens 152691 44.93% 19.4 63.45% -0.283 0.1995 -0.916
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14264 10.54% 35.5 90.67% 0.739 0.151 -0.003
Start of Game Growth 18521 14.55% 34.62 87.44% 0.672 0.1976 0.923
Unlimited Undo 38757 31.61% 29.19 80.37% 0.129 0.0869 0.564
Using Tokens but Not Events 28673 33.46% 29.3 78.16% 0.146 0.192 -0.369

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26565 30.59% 30.57 77.93% 0.165 0.0695 -0.182
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7526 48.58% 25.66 67.35% -0.693 -0.5035 -0.498
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 53 45.28% 28.08 47.17% -0.081 -0.975 -0.453
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5568 31.93% 30.49 77.32% -0.703 -0.8549 0.244
Downpour Drenches the World 506 37.68% 25.57 70.16% 0.321 0.6053 0.394
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 462 34.22% 26.86 69.91% 0.252 -0.2685 -0.368
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6692 29.3% 28.92 76.4% -0.035 -0.5385 -0.923
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5255 33.9% 34.43 77.39% 0.138 -0.3003 0.237
Finder of Paths Unseen 241 36.6% 22.64 57.68% -0.372 0.3092 0.044
Fractured Days Split the Sky 513 39.64% 28.79 73.49% 0.067 0.7468 0.541
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 514 50.98% 26.08 67.9% -0.158 -0.0932 0.157
Heart of the Wildfire 5800 54.37% 30.19 70.03% 0.249 0.5226 0.054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14744 35.88% 38.8 78.4% 0.169 -0.2559 0.765
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 49 24.49% 30.47 77.55% 0.709 0.3156 0.278
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1714 41.94% 30.77 72.58% 0.233 -0.0713 -0.419
Many Minds Move as One 1159 38.47% 30.28 80.33% 0.009 -0.2247 0.08
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20281 36.11% 35.6 77.02% 0.309 0.2844 1.104
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4738 38.33% 30.19 76.07% 0.122 -0.0727 0.009
River Surges in Sunlight 41416 32.8% 30.79 73.61% -0.114 -0.0194 0.767
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 734 42.04% 26.66 66.21% -0.249 0.1476 -1.697
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 340 44.38% 33.39 73.53% 0.025 -0.0353 0.29
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10961 35.29% 35.86 76.26% -0.269 -0.3783 0.654
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13558 45.41% 21.17 63.78% -0.665 -0.1118 0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 75 42.25% 25.51 70.67% -0.108 0.085 0.393
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 45 32.56% 31.29 80.0% 0.616 0.2705 0.251
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 67 49.21% 22.16 58.21% -0.265 -0.0932 0.383
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 247 38.43% 25.64 73.68% 0.641 0.5825 -0.719
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 294 38.15% 25.84 74.83% -0.091 0.133 0.329
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6754 33.34% 35.06 78.95% 0.442 0.3953 0.526
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 99 31.31% 25.31 73.74% -0.346 -0.6382 0.164
Shifting Memory of Ages 721 42.34% 26.81 68.1% -0.792 -0.4927 -0.061
Shroud of Silent Mist 628 46.67% 25.13 70.38% -0.71 -0.3474 -0.531
Starlight Seeks its Form 961 32.49% 27.84 76.07% 0.606 0.4074 0.086
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2403 44.97% 30.12 71.08% 0.267 -0.3513 -0.132
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3912 32.96% 31.43 78.25% -0.36 -0.1846 0.451
Thunderspeaker 14475 39.08% 32.16 72.16% -0.191 -0.1818 0.165
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 59 40.68% 23.08 55.93% 0.234 0.3793 -0.295
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1101 60.81% 27.38 65.4% 0.656 0.8079 0.024
Vital Strength of the Earth 24868 33.13% 22.46 68.14% -0.41 0.1352 -0.082
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 178 38.79% 25.42 63.48% -0.041 0.3001 -0.055
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 295 40.79% 22.81 62.37% -1.144 -0.42 -0.899
Volcano Looming High 818 48.5% 28.03 72.49% 0.648 0.6322 -0.007
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 146 34.04% 27.75 80.14% 1.469 0.9797 -0.857

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.88%
Lightning's Boon 86.49%
Raging Storm 89.22%
Shatter Homesteads 98.71%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 62626 16.38 23.93%
II 167980 30.55 71.4%
III 77002 34.76 85.9%
IV 15990 38.35 99.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14982
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 64783
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 116945
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15711
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 19300
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1154
Lose: Adversary condition 12500
Win: Sacrifice victory 932
Lose: Scenario condition 2475
Win: Scenario condition 3615
Lose: Blight pool ran out 69128
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2073

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.179 Win Model: -0.085

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.049 Win Model: 0.535
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 183329 51.15% 22.57 63.27%
2 84383 43.77% 27.35 69.14%
3 27512 37.13% 30.6 76.05%
4 26646 29.6% 33.45 76.57%
5 450 31.71% 25.74 72.89%
6 1278 17.39% 30.53 77.07%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-06 04:58:04 (Pacific Time)