Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 96 20.0% 24.83 79.17% 0.515 0.5595 -0.665
Blitz 0 3637 51.56% 22.13 55.21% -0.718 -0.5037 -0.652
Dahan Insurrection 4 3097 30.26% 50.33 68.87% 0.41 0.1222 0.797
Despicable Theft 2 167 40.96% 27.43 61.08% -1.976 -1.2655 -1.968
Elemental Invocation 1 330 57.58% 24.4 52.42% -0.498 0.2034 -1.263
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8638 18.03% 41.01 66.86% 0.482 -0.1176 0.243
Powers Long Forgotten 1 980 48.82% 32.55 61.84% -1.1 -0.2623 -0.459
Rituals of Terror 3 997 51.79% 29.77 51.25% -0.798 -0.7375 -0.615
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 396 75.57% 30.5 46.97% -1.009 -0.0223 -0.253
Second Wave 0 6823 49.49% 26.19 69.66% -0.086 0.1637 -0.427
The Great River 3 1070 51.03% 27.13 58.6% -0.188 0.8783 -1.284
Varied Terrains 2 142 43.66% 23.58 56.34% 0.595 1.4246 -1.074
Ward the Shores 2 965 42.66% 34.57 62.8% -1.285 -0.1016 -0.472

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 201477 50.14% 21.29 60.96% 0.241 0.514 0.963
1 Thematic 7290 57.29% 30.24 55.38% 0.049 0.6238 0.904
2 Archipelago 85 50.0% 28.4 68.24% -0.146 0.5314 0.248
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 65403 43.85% 24.54 65.11% 0.418 0.4868 1.119
2 Coastline 9359 39.77% 26.96 68.82% 0.593 0.3742 0.837
2 Fragment 2024 45.24% 21.27 64.08% 0.558 0.2917 1.125
2 Heart 983 50.38% 20.89 61.85% 0.453 -0.0172 1.073
2 Opposite Shores 11841 39.82% 29.57 71.35% 0.638 0.6157 1.335
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5053 0.0
2 Thematic 3979 44.71% 39.34 60.89% 0.526 0.8993 1.626
2 Top to Top 2198 41.35% 26.31 68.47% 0.371 0.1139 1.215
3 Archipelago 31 19.35% 26.06 64.52% -0.384 -1.3066 0.72
3 Coastline 277 35.21% 33.38 74.01% 1.596 0.632 0.455
3 Other 1186 36.09% 24.3 68.3% -0.422 -1.1856 0.316
3 Round (Default) 28330 36.69% 29.24 73.81% 0.649 0.4958 0.486
3 Sunrise 124 39.29% 34.34 85.48% 0.182 0.1042 1.506
3 Thematic 1095 41.82% 34.18 58.81% -0.421 -0.5687 0.227
4 Archipelago 52 51.35% 21.96 53.85% 0.533 0.0057 1.098
4 Coastline 131 34.65% 24.92 60.31% -0.591 -0.6479 -2.225
4 Leaf 156 28.99% 23.56 66.67% 1.056 0.9656 -0.203
4 Other 748 36.46% 25.27 64.3% -0.0 -0.6851 0.201
4 Reverse Snake 9 12.5% 33.0 88.89% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3618 31.1% 43.81 66.53% 0.326 0.1484 -0.953
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26175 27.65% 29.44 72.46% 0.766 0.4362 -0.567
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 1.2714 0.0
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.5305 -0.171
5 Other 636 35.63% 27.18 75.94% 0.166 -0.5835 0.012
5 Thematic 64 23.81% 47.95 67.19% -0.486 -0.8723 -1.017
6 Archipelago 34 4.76% 26.56 70.59% 0.111 -0.8595 -1.66
6 Coastline 50 3.57% 25.42 82.0% 0.191 -0.3887 -1.6
6 Other 159 24.09% 31.23 64.78% -0.697 -1.1144 -2.126
6 Star 73 20.83% 25.79 67.12% -1.077 -0.7415 -0.64
6 Thematic 472 15.91% 33.78 59.96% -1.152 -1.2004 -2.641
6 Two Centers (Default) 871 15.91% 22.29 71.76% -1.536 -1.321 -2.411
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.12 0.263
7 Other 9 25.0% 26.0 55.56% 0.0 -1.0813 -0.951

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7539 27.53 48.43% -0.213 -0.1415 -0.472
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6568 30.43 53.81% -0.134 -0.2053 -0.101
All Things Weaken 2673 24.01 42.2% -0.444 -0.1851 -0.859
Attenuated Essence 365 21.24 43.01% -0.199 -0.2354 -1.083
Back Against the Wall 6649 29.1 51.36% -0.257 -0.2031 -0.356
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 342 22.21 42.69% -0.105 0.0409 -0.932
Burn Brightest Before the End 295 23.51 47.12% -0.726 -0.7095 -0.965
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7191 24.62 45.49% -0.476 -0.2876 -0.548
Downward Spiral 37098 19.34 50.68% -0.262 -0.188 -0.457
Erosion of Will 7290 26.33 45.95% -0.118 0.0367 -0.592
Intensifying Exploitation 401 17.35 35.91% -0.48 -0.3442 -1.415
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 938 31.17 77.29% 0.707 0.093 -0.046
Memory Fades to Dust 37525 19.06 46.96% -0.453 -0.2497 -0.529
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2630 24.26 44.6% -0.633 -0.4587 -0.796
Promising Farmlands 7397 24.52 43.61% -0.365 -0.1669 -0.722
Shattered Fragments of Power 329 24.14 44.98% -0.122 -0.1195 -0.563
Slow Dissolution of Will 384 20.01 39.84% -0.385 -0.0866 -1.711
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 607 32.74 83.36% 0.936 0.2395 -0.028
The Border of Life and Death 89 24.0 78.65% 0.645 0.1475 -0.635
Thriving Communities 2594 22.83 42.21% -0.656 -0.4997 -0.85
Thriving Crops 125 19.01 46.4% 0.651 0.339 -0.645
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.5194 -0.435
Unnatural Proliferation 2749 25.98 42.85% -0.816 -0.7074 -0.601
Untended Land Crumbles 2627 24.13 44.65% -1.082 -0.8997 -0.93

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 122348 41.74% 23.73 64.81% -0.186 0.789 0.013
B 123569 40.2% 24.57 66.13% -0.042 0.8476 0.271
C 126537 41.38% 25.52 66.74% 0.11 0.8028 0.758
D 112785 39.87% 24.4 66.52% -0.026 0.8697 0.059
E 19083 42.72% 26.98 68.9% 0.282 1.011 -0.011
F 30579 40.92% 28.0 70.06% 0.11 0.9418 0.072
G 31111 40.87% 28.64 69.55% 0.179 0.9589 0.318
H 29372 40.39% 28.52 70.35% 0.07 0.8528 0.036
East 12137 43.13% 38.25 60.87% 0.052 0.8609 0.091
Northeast 8585 40.03% 39.49 62.12% -0.137 0.661 0.333
Northwest 7477 37.58% 38.78 62.27% -0.132 0.6017 0.127
Southeast 1406 33.79% 34.38 62.66% 0.098 0.9913 0.29
Southwest 1335 33.86% 32.62 60.22% -0.751 0.5073 -0.506
West 11114 41.8% 37.01 59.95% -0.288 0.7098 0.01

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 63086 0.0% 13.12 47.47% -1.153 -0.4848 -0.537
Not Using Events or Tokens 179883 44.19% 18.29 59.55% -0.401 0.0198 -1.001
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15667 10.22% 34.75 88.82% 1.06 0.2911 0.052
Start of Game Growth 20324 14.34% 33.75 85.25% 0.597 0.1591 0.884
Unlimited Undo 44219 30.98% 27.62 75.89% 0.213 0.147 0.292
Using Tokens but Not Events 32037 33.14% 28.48 76.46% 0.375 0.3318 -0.346

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 29528 29.98% 29.33 74.87% -0.047 -0.1406 -0.148
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 154 37.66% 26.61 56.49% -0.481 -0.9889 -0.434
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8469 47.58% 24.34 64.49% -0.367 -0.1692 -0.098
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 109 49.06% 28.17 57.8% 0.738 -0.1348 0.129
Dances Up Earthquakes 65 50.77% 20.72 58.46% -0.352 -0.4906 -1.013
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6256 31.24% 28.81 73.72% -0.651 -0.8728 0.4
Downpour Drenches the World 726 35.08% 23.7 65.98% 0.152 0.4577 0.184
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 756 33.92% 25.81 66.8% 0.349 -0.205 -0.119
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8463 26.06% 25.35 67.65% -0.27 -0.6975 -1.411
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5856 33.94% 32.91 75.29% 0.296 -0.1176 0.369
Finder of Paths Unseen 352 35.67% 21.98 58.52% -0.201 0.4539 0.198
Fractured Days Split the Sky 603 38.61% 27.81 70.48% -0.366 0.1794 0.269
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 681 49.85% 25.27 66.37% 0.303 0.2187 0.125
Heart of the Wildfire 6245 53.67% 29.21 68.1% -0.265 0.0501 0.04
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16351 33.87% 36.38 73.87% -0.038 -0.4813 0.649
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 143 27.97% 27.85 66.43% 0.094 -0.1994 -0.998
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2133 41.28% 29.55 70.09% 0.15 -0.0494 -0.311
Many Minds Move as One 1374 40.22% 29.32 77.73% 0.048 -0.167 0.23
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 23099 35.2% 33.45 73.19% 0.061 0.2088 1.011
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 72 38.57% 24.42 69.44% 0.314 0.359 0.243
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5273 37.66% 28.91 74.13% 0.28 0.1776 0.166
River Surges in Sunlight 47573 32.04% 28.97 69.62% -0.109 -0.1111 0.871
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 83 27.71% 19.47 46.99% 0.285 0.573 -0.917
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 907 41.2% 25.44 62.62% -0.28 -0.0768 -1.301
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 547 43.45% 31.54 66.18% 0.358 0.144 0.359
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11611 34.77% 35.04 74.8% 0.11 -0.0475 1.031
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 35 54.29% 24.69 60.0% 0.399 0.0165 0.674
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16252 43.41% 19.4 58.49% -0.891 -0.3152 0.196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 39.77% 24.81 67.37% -0.567 -0.6271 0.749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 141 39.13% 28.75 68.79% 0.075 -0.3535 1.08
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 43.48% 20.8 53.61% 0.127 0.1333 0.139
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 314 41.31% 24.07 70.38% 0.388 0.3293 -0.438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 337 38.75% 25.03 73.0% 0.476 0.6825 0.539
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7088 33.24% 34.42 77.93% -0.149 -0.1167 0.756
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 220 28.57% 24.84 70.91% 0.285 0.1396 0.491
Shifting Memory of Ages 982 41.51% 24.5 61.3% 0.187 0.5122 -0.726
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 126 34.4% 30.21 65.08% 0.934 0.9827 -1.029
Shroud of Silent Mist 805 48.51% 23.96 68.7% 0.219 0.5868 -0.463
Starlight Seeks its Form 1196 34.1% 26.53 72.41% 0.308 0.2416 0.173
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2702 44.18% 29.1 69.95% -0.086 -0.5689 -0.016
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4366 32.44% 30.16 75.49% -0.101 0.0583 0.572
Thunderspeaker 16380 37.9% 30.29 68.57% -0.26 -0.2295 0.107
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 82 39.02% 24.02 57.32% -0.777 -0.5864 -0.006
Towering Roots of the Jungle 144 40.97% 24.47 66.67% 1.011 1.1568 -0.172
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1222 60.55% 26.76 64.24% -0.128 -0.108 0.09
Vital Strength of the Earth 29295 31.92% 20.99 63.45% -0.626 -0.0446 -0.07
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 270 38.43% 23.74 52.96% -0.731 -0.248 -0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 388 39.89% 21.66 59.28% -0.597 0.0222 -0.857
Volcano Looming High 1048 48.63% 26.45 68.8% 0.294 0.3297 0.015
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 308 28.05% 27.24 79.87% 0.243 -0.0739 -0.934

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 95.04%
Lightning's Boon 86.85%
Raging Storm 89.61%
Shatter Homesteads 98.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 81856 13.76 19.81%
II 185492 30.19 70.49%
III 84474 34.82 85.79%
IV 17418 38.63 99.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16214
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 70938
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 127598
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17097
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 37035
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1261
Lose: Adversary condition 13416
Win: Sacrifice victory 1023
Lose: Scenario condition 2630
Win: Scenario condition 3873
Lose: Blight pool ran out 75911
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2244

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.225 Win Model: -0.08

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.022 Win Model: 0.125
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 209166 50.42% 21.59 60.72%
2 95878 42.99% 25.95 66.11%
3 31013 36.81% 29.3 73.17%
4 30938 28.36% 30.99 71.48%
5 621 31.41% 25.07 68.76%
6 1624 16.94% 27.17 69.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)