Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 103 19.61% 24.3 78.64% 0.765 0.7382 -0.682
Blitz 0 3734 51.24% 21.83 54.69% -0.589 -0.3385 -0.639
Dahan Insurrection 4 3159 30.1% 50.03 68.76% 0.796 0.5475 0.801
Despicable Theft 2 173 41.28% 27.04 60.12% -0.497 -0.0356 -1.946
Elemental Invocation 1 340 57.06% 24.06 52.06% -0.357 0.3453 -1.29
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8746 18.07% 40.95 66.75% 0.729 0.1762 0.279
Powers Long Forgotten 1 997 48.28% 32.32 61.48% -0.357 0.2663 -0.439
Rituals of Terror 3 1020 51.6% 29.27 50.39% -1.403 -1.2103 -0.638
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 399 75.0% 30.27 46.62% -1.357 -0.4351 -0.263
Second Wave 0 6922 49.56% 26.1 69.34% -0.531 -0.4134 -0.414
The Great River 3 1116 50.63% 27.08 58.33% -0.404 0.6635 -1.31
Varied Terrains 2 157 45.22% 22.43 52.87% -1.147 -0.4061 -1.08
Ward the Shores 2 979 42.66% 34.42 62.61% -0.195 0.8885 -0.481

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 207066 50.1% 21.09 60.48% 0.671 1.198 1.026
1 Thematic 7482 56.5% 29.98 55.04% 0.082 0.9364 0.964
2 Archipelago 85 50.0% 28.4 68.24% -0.246 0.8086 0.269
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 67236 43.69% 24.27 64.56% 0.625 0.9032 1.158
2 Coastline 9603 39.67% 26.75 68.41% 0.702 0.8048 0.84
2 Fragment 2091 44.98% 20.97 63.51% 0.471 0.484 1.203
2 Heart 1033 50.61% 20.37 60.5% -0.109 0.0028 1.047
2 Opposite Shores 12133 39.68% 29.27 70.83% 0.655 0.9916 1.361
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 4033 44.71% 39.16 60.72% 0.58 1.27 1.67
2 Top to Top 2262 41.08% 25.98 67.86% 0.517 0.7592 1.222
3 Archipelago 33 21.21% 25.61 63.64% -0.124 -0.8441 0.678
3 Coastline 282 35.32% 33.0 73.4% 1.479 1.1391 0.506
3 Other 1225 36.39% 23.94 67.92% 0.596 -0.0065 0.316
3 Round (Default) 29173 36.62% 28.92 73.25% 0.704 0.7099 0.469
3 Sunrise 125 39.82% 34.06 84.8% -0.116 -0.1774 1.522
3 Thematic 1109 41.78% 33.92 58.25% -0.626 -0.5415 0.249
4 Archipelago 58 45.24% 20.67 51.72% 0.22 0.3706 1.093
4 Coastline 133 34.88% 25.17 60.9% 0.872 0.114 -2.218
4 Leaf 160 30.5% 23.04 65.0% 0.053 0.1897 -0.218
4 Other 792 37.28% 24.27 61.74% -0.827 -1.4463 0.192
4 Reverse Snake 9 12.5% 33.0 88.89% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 11 70.0% 26.82 45.45% 0.454 0.064 0.0
4 Thematic 3668 31.12% 43.45 66.11% 0.025 0.2926 -0.967
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26789 27.59% 29.18 72.0% 0.512 0.6765 -0.578
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.8784 0.0
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 0.0963 -0.169
5 Other 658 34.99% 27.14 75.53% 0.606 0.2199 -0.213
5 Thematic 72 21.13% 49.39 65.28% -0.74 -1.5376 -1.041
6 Archipelago 35 4.55% 25.8 68.57% -0.485 -1.5948 -1.691
6 Coastline 50 3.57% 25.42 82.0% 0.0 -0.8372 -1.614
6 Other 167 24.83% 30.5 64.07% -0.898 -0.9287 -2.17
6 Star 78 20.78% 27.59 69.23% 0.411 0.3936 -0.541
6 Thematic 487 16.25% 33.53 59.55% -1.076 -0.9728 -2.701
6 Two Centers (Default) 939 16.04% 21.49 68.8% -1.997 -1.4317 -2.458
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 20.2 60.0% -0.86 -0.9349 0.243
7 Other 11 20.0% 21.27 45.45% -0.671 -1.105 -0.953

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7640 27.41 48.22% -0.572 -0.3222 -0.449
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6676 30.41 53.88% 0.275 0.157 -0.063
All Things Weaken 2759 23.85 42.01% -0.564 -0.2266 -0.858
Attenuated Essence 410 21.09 42.93% -0.309 -0.2822 -1.17
Back Against the Wall 6735 29.04 51.33% -0.12 -0.1192 -0.327
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 386 22.2 45.08% 0.39 0.607 -0.8
Burn Brightest Before the End 325 23.52 47.08% -0.286 -0.3047 -1.014
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7284 24.51 45.4% -0.656 -0.2626 -0.53
Downward Spiral 38182 19.21 50.43% -0.193 -0.085 -0.413
Erosion of Will 7406 26.23 45.87% -0.562 -0.2098 -0.565
Intensifying Exploitation 438 17.67 35.39% -0.894 -0.6483 -1.508
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 969 30.64 76.68% 0.248 -0.2759 -0.059
Memory Fades to Dust 38514 18.93 46.72% -0.346 -0.0985 -0.499
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2701 24.14 44.72% -0.283 -0.0608 -0.763
Promising Farmlands 7501 24.48 43.61% -0.393 -0.1098 -0.692
Shattered Fragments of Power 365 23.47 44.11% -0.792 -0.7146 -0.549
Slow Dissolution of Will 428 19.62 37.85% -0.957 -0.5596 -1.642
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 625 32.47 83.36% 0.895 0.2 0.065
The Border of Life and Death 94 23.28 76.6% -0.248 -0.8493 -0.614
Thriving Communities 2681 22.54 41.74% -1.124 -0.7675 -0.844
Thriving Crops 138 19.41 48.55% 0.2 0.004 -0.606
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.4341 -0.397
Unnatural Proliferation 2833 25.82 42.89% -0.48 -0.3179 -0.584
Untended Land Crumbles 2694 23.97 44.54% -0.701 -0.4692 -0.918

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 125791 41.67% 23.46 64.19% -0.749 0.2558 0.002
B 126932 40.07% 24.31 65.59% -0.601 0.3186 0.268
C 129995 41.33% 25.25 66.13% -0.534 0.2008 0.744
D 115896 39.79% 24.15 65.97% -0.615 0.3626 0.047
E 19889 42.58% 26.67 68.39% -0.406 0.4139 -0.006
F 31483 40.75% 27.75 69.65% -0.441 0.4325 0.068
G 31896 40.77% 28.4 69.18% -0.416 0.3937 0.315
H 30188 40.34% 28.27 69.95% -0.388 0.4272 0.021
East 12332 43.04% 38.0 60.54% -0.41 0.4925 0.079
Northeast 8727 39.92% 39.21 61.76% -0.07 0.738 0.329
Northwest 7679 37.17% 38.32 61.74% -0.237 0.663 0.128
Southeast 1445 33.8% 34.29 62.08% 0.022 0.8721 0.249
Southwest 1360 33.9% 32.49 60.0% -0.526 0.85 -0.501
West 11366 41.44% 36.67 59.55% -0.533 0.4221 -0.017

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 65120 0.0% 12.95 46.94% -0.988 -0.28 -0.509
Not Using Events or Tokens 186081 44.12% 18.09 58.91% -0.414 -0.0457 -0.997
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15936 10.22% 34.56 88.43% 0.716 0.1314 0.062
Start of Game Growth 20693 14.32% 33.55 84.87% 0.679 0.165 0.889
Unlimited Undo 45045 30.94% 27.46 75.57% 0.384 0.2749 0.304
Using Tokens but Not Events 32771 33.09% 28.27 76.04% 0.111 0.0856 -0.342

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 30190 29.9% 29.09 74.33% -0.078 -0.1835 -0.154
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 202 36.63% 28.19 55.94% 0.363 -0.1173 -0.404
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8670 47.34% 24.05 63.94% -0.357 -0.2313 -0.109
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 121 44.92% 27.5 58.68% 0.62 -0.2274 0.146
Dances Up Earthquakes 102 47.06% 20.41 61.76% 0.31 0.3467 -0.543
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6378 31.07% 28.53 73.2% -0.681 -0.8182 0.4
Downpour Drenches the World 767 34.36% 23.62 66.23% 0.159 0.366 0.157
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 815 34.08% 25.67 67.24% 0.475 -0.1363 -0.139
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8703 25.85% 25.15 67.37% 0.11 -0.2653 -1.429
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5979 33.93% 32.66 75.05% 0.325 -0.0656 0.369
Finder of Paths Unseen 368 36.31% 21.91 57.34% -0.823 -0.1031 0.155
Fractured Days Split the Sky 624 39.24% 27.44 69.87% -0.048 0.5634 0.169
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 715 48.44% 24.92 66.01% -0.221 -0.321 0.112
Heart of the Wildfire 6367 53.58% 28.96 67.68% -0.286 0.0509 0.023
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16551 33.91% 36.22 73.62% -0.021 -0.4521 0.646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 168 27.98% 26.42 67.26% 0.793 0.4779 -0.999
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2226 41.3% 29.13 69.59% 0.519 0.2913 -0.343
Many Minds Move as One 1417 40.52% 29.08 77.56% 0.348 0.1054 0.227
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 23733 35.05% 33.07 72.62% 0.224 0.333 0.986
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 112 38.89% 20.7 60.71% -0.306 -0.1875 0.207
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5403 37.65% 28.72 73.76% 0.154 0.1084 0.163
River Surges in Sunlight 48977 31.98% 28.61 68.95% -0.011 0.1197 0.868
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 99 29.29% 18.88 46.46% -0.663 -0.4875 -0.637
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 950 40.0% 24.88 62.11% -0.483 -0.1856 -1.301
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 593 42.07% 30.74 66.27% 0.327 0.2432 0.434
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11771 34.72% 34.87 74.51% 0.134 0.0225 1.013
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 49 53.06% 27.24 65.31% 1.056 0.9384 0.924
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16837 43.2% 19.06 57.57% -0.714 -0.2194 0.165
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 110 41.75% 23.04 64.55% -0.693 -0.7442 0.744
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 148 38.62% 27.85 67.57% -0.466 -0.9764 1.086
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 103 43.3% 20.58 53.4% -0.164 -0.2919 0.135
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 330 41.69% 23.78 69.7% 0.208 0.2197 -0.517
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 357 39.54% 24.58 69.75% -1.097 -0.9612 0.349
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7147 33.27% 34.28 77.75% -0.179 -0.1304 0.738
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 242 27.2% 24.27 69.01% -0.572 -0.7867 0.387
Shifting Memory of Ages 1035 41.26% 24.2 61.74% 0.534 0.828 -0.691
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 153 36.84% 30.23 62.09% 0.538 0.4196 -0.652
Shroud of Silent Mist 850 48.66% 23.71 68.0% 0.125 0.4528 -0.674
Starlight Seeks its Form 1269 34.83% 26.17 70.84% -0.006 -0.1051 0.06
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2771 44.01% 29.03 70.12% 0.724 0.1936 -0.008
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4449 32.5% 30.05 75.34% 0.381 0.4578 0.577
Thunderspeaker 16727 37.82% 30.03 68.12% -0.06 -0.0236 0.084
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 91 38.46% 23.01 57.14% -0.28 -0.2216 -0.156
Towering Roots of the Jungle 168 39.88% 25.26 69.05% 0.658 0.8071 -0.284
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1254 60.49% 26.51 63.56% -0.722 -0.5755 0.08
Vital Strength of the Earth 30274 31.75% 20.67 62.63% -0.497 0.0711 -0.074
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 297 37.59% 24.17 53.87% 0.228 0.7495 -0.053
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 414 39.31% 21.27 59.66% 0.178 0.9198 -0.859
Volcano Looming High 1107 48.29% 26.16 68.38% 0.254 0.269 -0.026
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 324 26.65% 26.88 79.32% -0.101 -0.3931 -0.926

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 95.04%
Lightning's Boon 86.85%
Raging Storm 89.65%
Shatter Homesteads 98.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 85805 13.33 19.16%
II 189591 30.1 70.29%
III 86284 34.83 85.79%
IV 17724 38.67 99.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16438
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 72448
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 130071
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17400
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 40698
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1281
Lose: Adversary condition 13612
Win: Sacrifice victory 1048
Lose: Scenario condition 2659
Win: Scenario condition 3919
Lose: Blight pool ran out 77549
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2281

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.325 Win Model: -0.092

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.074 Win Model: 0.213
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 214974 50.34% 21.39 60.23%
2 98479 42.85% 25.67 65.58%
3 31916 36.75% 28.98 72.62%
4 31666 28.33% 30.68 70.96%
5 647 30.72% 25.14 68.32%
6 1722 17.15% 26.46 67.6%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)