Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 76 20.0% 24.74 78.95% -0.215 -0.2276 -0.62
Blitz 0 3226 53.01% 23.58 58.21% -0.505 -0.2002 -0.611
Dahan Insurrection 4 2772 31.47% 52.53 70.42% 1.175 1.0033 0.788
Despicable Theft 2 151 40.0% 28.25 63.58% 0.27 1.1623 -2.023
Elemental Invocation 1 293 61.43% 24.47 52.56% 0.179 1.1079 -1.335
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8019 18.27% 41.91 68.16% 0.237 -0.4203 0.128
Powers Long Forgotten 1 922 49.73% 33.87 63.99% -0.484 0.5068 -0.508
Rituals of Terror 3 819 52.67% 33.03 58.12% -0.503 -0.3656 -0.364
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 364 77.56% 31.89 48.63% -0.555 0.6084 -0.195
Second Wave 0 6426 49.71% 26.56 70.68% -0.186 -0.142 -0.482
The Great River 3 930 51.84% 27.51 59.68% -1.244 0.1424 -1.754
Varied Terrains 2 97 41.24% 23.65 58.76% -0.334 0.4824 -1.321
Ward the Shores 2 891 43.94% 35.86 64.2% -0.961 0.0154 -0.447

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 180804 50.71% 22.06 63.01% 1.039 1.2602 0.861
1 Thematic 6745 58.86% 31.32 57.03% 0.881 1.3544 0.824
2 Archipelago 60 46.67% 28.93 70.0% -0.068 0.4945 0.356
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 58695 44.61% 25.66 67.79% 0.62 0.7543 1.019
2 Coastline 8375 40.15% 27.89 71.0% 0.368 0.2888 0.755
2 Fragment 1825 46.52% 21.98 65.64% 0.728 0.4207 0.95
2 Heart 870 51.42% 22.13 64.83% 0.678 0.6203 0.969
2 Opposite Shores 10814 40.09% 30.76 73.38% 1.047 0.9725 1.253
2 Thematic 3739 44.94% 40.47 62.5% -0.1 0.1617 1.541
2 Top to Top 1972 41.6% 27.38 70.89% 0.536 0.4911 1.074
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% 0.0 -1.1649 0.0
3 Coastline 234 32.44% 34.57 76.07% 0.683 -0.0375 0.731
3 Other 1089 35.3% 25.41 71.53% 0.652 0.172 0.14
3 Round (Default) 25741 36.91% 30.29 76.04% 0.392 0.1586 0.486
3 Sunrise 113 38.83% 35.35 87.61% -0.261 -0.198 1.45
3 Thematic 967 42.15% 36.21 62.77% 0.079 -0.1717 0.112
4 Archipelago 38 51.85% 23.63 55.26% -1.02 -0.7656 1.065
4 Coastline 110 36.45% 27.2 65.45% 0.303 -0.3398 -0.945
4 Leaf 126 30.43% 25.17 67.46% -0.319 -0.0675 -0.41
4 Other 657 36.24% 27.92 70.62% -0.625 -1.0145 0.394
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.2431 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -1.1062 0.0
4 Thematic 3356 31.92% 45.8 69.34% -0.337 -0.1759 -1.024
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23572 27.95% 30.64 74.96% -0.546 -0.2612 -0.65
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 0.7444 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 23.75 75.0% -0.289 -0.4856 -0.093
5 Other 529 37.03% 29.3 80.53% 0.249 -0.1991 -0.152
5 Thematic 56 26.79% 47.18 69.64% -0.79 -1.0395 -1.037
6 Archipelago 25 8.33% 29.92 80.0% 0.0 -0.9688 -1.394
6 Coastline 46 4.17% 25.63 84.78% -0.008 -0.7171 -1.537
6 Other 128 24.77% 33.8 70.31% -0.756 -0.193 -1.455
6 Star 59 20.69% 28.63 76.27% 0.104 0.1727 -0.495
6 Thematic 387 15.32% 35.75 66.15% -0.671 -0.5488 -2.812
6 Two Centers (Default) 702 17.29% 25.25 80.48% -0.796 -1.0258 -2.541
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 1.1146 0.176
7 Other 7 16.67% 29.71 57.14% 0.347 -1.1464 -1.081

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7191 27.73 48.55% 0.07 0.2377 -0.617
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6263 30.67 53.89% 0.297 0.261 -0.248
All Things Weaken 2412 24.36 42.21% -0.495 -0.1769 -1.019
Attenuated Essence 230 20.57 42.17% 0.032 0.1336 -1.192
Back Against the Wall 6353 29.32 51.63% -0.2 -0.1337 -0.522
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 201 22.33 41.79% -0.363 -0.1709 -1.211
Burn Brightest Before the End 182 22.34 46.15% 0.156 0.3569 -1.113
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6809 24.93 45.84% 0.391 0.7793 -0.699
Downward Spiral 33551 19.79 51.77% -0.285 -0.1502 -0.624
Erosion of Will 6956 26.58 46.25% -0.198 0.0963 -0.706
Intensifying Exploitation 217 18.32 36.41% -0.449 -0.2037 -1.496
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 852 32.09 78.76% 1.264 0.7801 -0.16
Memory Fades to Dust 33974 19.5 48.03% -0.48 -0.2313 -0.698
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2390 24.88 45.19% -0.197 0.054 -0.922
Promising Farmlands 7025 24.92 44.11% -0.374 -0.0541 -0.829
Shattered Fragments of Power 195 23.98 44.62% -1.076 -0.8562 -0.951
Slow Dissolution of Will 222 20.53 39.64% -0.055 0.3148 -1.988
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 552 33.38 85.33% 1.348 0.7532 0.007
The Border of Life and Death 58 22.93 79.31% 0.966 0.4828 -0.632
Thriving Communities 2338 23.31 42.3% -0.757 -0.4176 -0.951
Thriving Crops 71 11.2 35.21% -0.324 -0.3575 -1.485
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.58
Unnatural Proliferation 2467 26.67 43.01% -0.218 -0.0903 -0.749
Untended Land Crumbles 2372 24.72 45.32% -1.075 -0.6616 -1.037

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 109534 42.36% 24.81 67.46% -0.432 0.4386 0.136
B 111329 40.68% 25.63 68.7% -0.227 0.6076 0.375
C 114069 41.97% 26.57 69.2% -0.313 0.3926 0.865
D 101386 40.43% 25.44 69.07% -0.294 0.5253 0.122
E 16422 43.39% 28.19 71.16% -0.266 0.4252 0.062
F 27439 41.14% 28.99 72.01% -0.223 0.5796 0.149
G 28167 41.07% 29.61 71.17% -0.049 0.7929 0.387
H 26566 40.7% 29.4 71.9% -0.16 0.6258 0.046
East 11268 43.83% 39.63 62.97% -0.463 0.3674 0.109
Northeast 7953 40.7% 41.09 64.58% -0.18 0.6073 0.287
Northwest 6729 38.94% 41.03 65.66% -0.317 0.5323 0.065
Southeast 1235 35.04% 35.54 65.26% -0.04 0.7697 0.18
Southwest 1168 34.71% 34.05 63.36% 0.207 1.4714 -0.478
West 10097 42.93% 38.84 62.74% -0.855 0.1524 0.131

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 54997 0.0% 13.94 50.33% -1.304 -0.4999 -0.472
Not Using Events or Tokens 157303 44.76% 19.19 62.72% -0.383 0.0083 -0.921
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14531 10.44% 35.35 90.3% 1.352 0.7152 -0.044
Start of Game Growth 18854 14.46% 34.45 87.08% 0.462 -0.077 1.041
Unlimited Undo 40308 30.95% 28.48 78.3% -0.171 -0.1232 0.4
Using Tokens but Not Events 29183 33.44% 29.16 77.88% 0.409 0.3629 -0.334

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 27170 30.4% 30.27 77.06% -0.046 -0.1794 -0.156
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 22 13.64% 23.05 63.64% 0.353 -0.3792 -0.002
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7676 48.42% 25.45 66.9% -0.445 -0.199 -0.142
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 60 45.0% 28.2 48.33% 0.605 -0.1966 -0.427
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5728 31.54% 29.93 76.13% -0.646 -0.7887 0.303
Downpour Drenches the World 537 37.16% 25.21 69.65% -0.05 0.2449 0.351
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 497 33.61% 26.94 70.62% 0.351 -0.0857 -0.271
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7648 26.48% 26.25 69.16% -0.47 -0.8356 -1.526
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5434 33.64% 33.84 76.52% 0.223 -0.2218 0.318
Finder of Paths Unseen 261 36.47% 22.61 59.0% 0.168 0.8459 0.031
Fractured Days Split the Sky 517 39.72% 28.84 73.69% 0.613 1.2078 0.618
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 536 50.57% 25.69 67.35% 0.133 0.0801 0.221
Heart of the Wildfire 5885 54.16% 29.97 69.57% -0.782 -0.4858 0.101
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15620 34.14% 37.04 74.87% -0.06 -0.3645 0.621
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 71 23.94% 29.17 73.24% 0.13 -0.2146 0.189
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1763 41.81% 30.56 72.26% 0.128 -0.1628 -0.304
Many Minds Move as One 1191 38.27% 30.05 80.02% 0.384 0.2142 0.191
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20845 35.73% 35.05 75.95% 0.202 0.1628 1.029
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4852 37.94% 29.85 75.33% -0.191 -0.365 0.124
River Surges in Sunlight 42489 32.74% 30.47 72.89% -0.102 0.0093 0.879
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 6 33.33% 16.0 50.0% -0.459 -0.6175 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 760 41.48% 26.54 65.13% -0.494 -0.0236 -1.472
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 379 44.29% 32.23 70.45% -0.745 -0.8134 0.358
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11085 35.27% 35.7 76.01% 0.117 -0.121 0.939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13991 45.05% 20.85 62.74% -0.847 -0.2901 0.187
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 39.47% 25.06 71.25% 0.296 0.5066 0.385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 69 40.91% 29.14 75.36% 0.304 -0.2889 0.106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 47.37% 21.58 55.56% -0.4 -0.1248 0.107
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 269 40.15% 25.45 73.23% 0.293 0.3105 -0.656
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 297 37.85% 25.77 74.75% 0.216 0.4475 0.484
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6828 33.21% 34.92 78.68% 0.489 0.3809 0.694
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 125 29.6% 24.52 76.0% 0.739 0.5849 0.188
Shifting Memory of Ages 763 43.03% 26.66 67.5% -0.457 -0.0946 -0.066
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 24 25.0% 31.83 87.5% 1.187 0.8205 -0.3
Shroud of Silent Mist 667 46.55% 25.15 70.61% -0.212 0.164 -0.445
Starlight Seeks its Form 1004 32.7% 27.77 75.8% 1.029 0.8592 0.184
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2443 44.84% 29.95 71.02% -0.326 -1.0276 -0.039
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4037 32.59% 30.86 76.94% -0.212 -0.002 0.513
Thunderspeaker 14928 38.47% 31.54 70.87% -0.369 -0.3749 0.144
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 62 38.71% 23.32 56.45% -0.606 -0.4117 -0.282
Towering Roots of the Jungle 39 33.33% 21.44 69.23% 0.681 0.664 -0.99
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1116 60.77% 27.36 65.23% 0.001 0.0799 0.063
Vital Strength of the Earth 25613 32.88% 22.2 67.28% -0.358 0.1708 -0.045
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 199 35.48% 24.01 60.8% -0.338 0.2024 -0.129
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 314 39.46% 22.81 62.1% -0.45 0.279 -0.906
Volcano Looming High 861 48.28% 27.78 72.13% -0.295 -0.1309 0.011
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 184 35.2% 28.6 82.61% 1.37 1.0509 -0.784

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.92%
Lightning's Boon 86.63%
Raging Storm 89.32%
Shatter Homesteads 98.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 66495 15.81 22.89%
II 171034 30.49 71.22%
III 78299 34.78 85.88%
IV 16271 38.41 99.35%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15217
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 65849
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 118780
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15980
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22894
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1182
Lose: Adversary condition 12672
Win: Sacrifice victory 948
Lose: Scenario condition 2495
Win: Scenario condition 3658
Lose: Blight pool ran out 70320
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2104

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.465 Win Model: -0.134

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.149 Win Model: 0.604
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 187849 51.04% 22.38 62.75%
2 86368 43.61% 27.08 68.58%
3 28145 36.97% 30.38 75.52%
4 27915 28.74% 32.37 74.11%
5 487 33.86% 25.77 73.51%
6 1335 17.42% 30.29 77.0%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-30 06:17:40 (Pacific Time)