Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 100 20.2% 24.78 80.0% 0.869 1.0562 -0.687
Blitz 0 3665 51.46% 22.05 55.09% -0.598 -0.3473 -0.648
Dahan Insurrection 4 3122 30.21% 50.24 68.87% 0.942 0.6766 0.797
Despicable Theft 2 171 40.59% 26.94 60.23% -1.667 -0.8992 -1.962
Elemental Invocation 1 335 57.61% 24.32 52.54% -0.293 0.3815 -1.255
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8684 18.09% 40.97 66.81% 0.539 -0.0891 0.257
Powers Long Forgotten 1 990 48.52% 32.41 61.62% -0.655 0.2988 -0.45
Rituals of Terror 3 1009 51.66% 29.55 50.94% -0.695 -0.5747 -0.623
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 396 75.57% 30.5 46.97% -0.439 0.4394 -0.248
Second Wave 0 6859 49.52% 26.16 69.54% -0.333 -0.1496 -0.428
The Great River 3 1097 50.96% 27.06 58.25% -0.535 0.5739 -1.335
Varied Terrains 2 145 44.14% 23.57 56.55% 0.807 1.5153 -1.081
Ward the Shores 2 973 42.72% 34.44 62.59% -1.182 0.0313 -0.49

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 203539 50.12% 21.22 60.82% 0.787 1.0557 1.033
1 Thematic 7357 57.05% 30.16 55.27% 0.132 0.6853 0.973
2 Archipelago 85 50.0% 28.4 68.24% 0.2 0.8752 0.271
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 66004 43.81% 24.46 64.96% 0.763 0.8503 1.164
2 Coastline 9461 39.74% 26.88 68.67% 0.908 0.7451 0.867
2 Fragment 2044 45.16% 21.19 63.99% 0.737 0.5237 1.193
2 Heart 998 50.19% 20.78 61.42% 0.501 0.0822 1.07
2 Opposite Shores 11937 39.75% 29.45 71.13% 0.801 0.8629 1.364
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4963 0.0
2 Thematic 4002 44.71% 39.28 60.89% 0.656 1.0272 1.666
2 Top to Top 2225 41.33% 26.16 68.22% 0.513 0.3458 1.245
3 Archipelago 32 21.88% 25.25 62.5% -0.704 -1.6338 0.683
3 Coastline 280 35.21% 33.11 73.57% 1.258 0.656 0.493
3 Other 1200 36.44% 24.13 68.25% 0.146 -0.5092 0.314
3 Round (Default) 28637 36.68% 29.13 73.62% 0.71 0.5967 0.479
3 Sunrise 125 39.82% 34.06 84.8% 0.269 0.0368 1.516
3 Thematic 1101 41.96% 34.09 58.58% -0.706 -0.7851 0.242
4 Archipelago 52 51.35% 21.96 53.85% 0.331 0.0884 1.096
4 Coastline 132 34.38% 24.99 60.61% -0.464 -0.5893 -2.237
4 Leaf 158 30.0% 23.28 65.82% 0.512 0.4499 -0.22
4 Other 759 36.64% 24.95 63.5% -0.204 -1.0529 0.185
4 Reverse Snake 9 12.5% 33.0 88.89% 0.0 -0.7112 0.0
4 Snake 8 71.43% 28.38 37.5% -0.243 0.0066 0.0
4 Thematic 3639 31.06% 43.68 66.36% -0.024 -0.1838 -0.971
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26395 27.6% 29.36 72.32% 0.792 0.608 -0.583
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 0.1934 0.0
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.5642 -0.167
5 Other 648 35.08% 27.06 76.08% 0.288 -0.3542 -0.016
5 Thematic 64 23.81% 47.95 67.19% 0.135 -0.0001 -1.043
6 Archipelago 34 4.76% 26.56 70.59% -0.075 -1.035 -1.691
6 Coastline 50 3.57% 25.42 82.0% 0.259 -0.3006 -1.62
6 Other 162 24.29% 30.7 63.58% -1.175 -1.4384 -2.206
6 Star 74 20.55% 26.03 67.57% -0.767 -0.6861 -0.702
6 Thematic 477 16.38% 33.72 59.96% -1.455 -1.3551 -2.712
6 Two Centers (Default) 890 16.49% 22.11 70.56% -2.019 -1.5578 -2.488
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 25.25 75.0% -0.642 -0.8516 0.251
7 Other 9 25.0% 26.0 55.56% 0.0 -0.6571 -0.966

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7574 27.49 48.35% -0.37 -0.208 -0.465
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6601 30.43 53.84% 0.053 -0.0371 -0.088
All Things Weaken 2720 23.94 42.17% -0.528 -0.2371 -0.858
Attenuated Essence 374 21.31 43.32% -0.033 -0.0489 -1.076
Back Against the Wall 6682 29.05 51.27% -0.276 -0.2177 -0.346
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 352 22.2 43.18% -0.009 0.1667 -0.885
Burn Brightest Before the End 302 23.32 46.36% -0.905 -0.9074 -0.97
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7218 24.6 45.47% -0.527 -0.2695 -0.541
Downward Spiral 37521 19.29 50.63% -0.261 -0.1685 -0.444
Erosion of Will 7341 26.28 45.91% -0.397 -0.1547 -0.58
Intensifying Exploitation 416 17.65 35.58% -0.635 -0.4078 -1.431
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 947 31.02 77.09% 0.478 -0.118 -0.047
Memory Fades to Dust 37857 19.03 46.89% -0.454 -0.2347 -0.519
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2658 24.2 44.7% -0.529 -0.2971 -0.79
Promising Farmlands 7437 24.49 43.62% -0.251 -0.0191 -0.715
Shattered Fragments of Power 343 23.76 44.31% -0.674 -0.5874 -0.577
Slow Dissolution of Will 407 20.07 39.56% -0.312 0.0128 -1.585
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 614 32.61 83.22% 1.216 0.5652 0.022
The Border of Life and Death 92 23.52 77.17% 0.188 -0.3507 -0.629
Thriving Communities 2623 22.75 42.17% -0.873 -0.6458 -0.843
Thriving Crops 135 19.15 48.15% 0.344 0.0777 -0.631
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.6412 -0.421
Unnatural Proliferation 2779 25.91 42.82% -0.662 -0.4831 -0.598
Untended Land Crumbles 2657 24.04 44.49% -1.146 -0.9204 -0.929

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 123569 41.72% 23.64 64.61% -0.641 0.3362 0.01
B 124758 40.16% 24.48 65.97% -0.411 0.4763 0.267
C 127759 41.37% 25.43 66.54% -0.275 0.4265 0.751
D 113831 39.83% 24.32 66.36% -0.41 0.5057 0.049
E 19395 42.68% 26.88 68.77% -0.246 0.5243 -0.011
F 30897 40.87% 27.91 69.94% -0.35 0.5007 0.069
G 31396 40.84% 28.56 69.42% -0.168 0.6379 0.317
H 29675 40.38% 28.44 70.22% -0.201 0.6202 0.033
East 12205 43.15% 38.16 60.77% 0.126 0.9619 0.086
Northeast 8631 40.05% 39.39 62.0% -0.304 0.477 0.331
Northwest 7549 37.44% 38.63 62.11% -0.118 0.7484 0.128
Southeast 1419 33.97% 34.33 62.65% 0.048 0.896 0.265
Southwest 1346 34.03% 32.58 60.25% -0.727 0.5577 -0.503
West 11210 41.7% 36.89 59.83% -0.288 0.6858 -0.007

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 63745 0.0% 13.07 47.32% -1.151 -0.4577 -0.536
Not Using Events or Tokens 182052 44.17% 18.23 59.37% -0.382 0.0024 -1.005
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15760 10.23% 34.71 88.74% 0.925 0.2469 0.033
Start of Game Growth 20462 14.34% 33.69 85.13% 0.531 0.0197 0.894
Unlimited Undo 44510 30.97% 27.56 75.78% 0.23 0.1457 0.297
Using Tokens but Not Events 32309 33.1% 28.41 76.38% 0.323 0.3167 -0.342

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 29741 29.94% 29.27 74.76% -0.049 -0.1178 -0.136
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 162 37.65% 26.39 56.79% 0.082 -0.4324 -0.421
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8546 47.41% 24.25 64.36% -0.337 -0.1592 -0.095
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 113 47.27% 27.88 58.41% 0.913 0.0534 0.131
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 47.95% 20.67 58.9% 0.082 0.0257 -1.01
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6304 31.19% 28.72 73.56% -0.539 -0.7238 0.412
Downpour Drenches the World 737 34.54% 23.62 66.21% -0.029 0.2389 0.182
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 778 34.38% 25.52 65.94% -0.306 -0.8928 -0.112
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8571 25.93% 25.26 67.51% -0.163 -0.6057 -1.426
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5903 33.98% 32.8 75.17% 0.182 -0.2873 0.37
Finder of Paths Unseen 356 36.13% 21.88 57.87% -0.992 -0.2983 0.205
Fractured Days Split the Sky 608 38.45% 27.61 70.07% -0.357 0.2979 0.236
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 696 49.05% 25.0 66.38% 0.4 0.2465 0.135
Heart of the Wildfire 6289 53.64% 29.11 67.86% -0.51 -0.1671 0.032
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16437 33.86% 36.32 73.82% -0.078 -0.4674 0.655
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 149 28.19% 27.68 65.77% 0.23 -0.0869 -1.006
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2179 41.25% 29.43 69.94% 0.499 0.2799 -0.304
Many Minds Move as One 1382 40.46% 29.21 77.57% -0.316 -0.5155 0.235
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 23322 35.2% 33.33 73.02% 0.134 0.2904 1.013
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 86 38.1% 23.09 67.44% -0.31 -0.2442 0.202
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5316 37.66% 28.86 74.08% 0.387 0.2897 0.173
River Surges in Sunlight 48029 32.03% 28.86 69.42% -0.109 -0.064 0.878
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 90 30.0% 20.28 48.89% 0.073 0.2615 -0.644
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 926 40.4% 25.24 62.74% -0.158 0.0803 -1.308
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 554 43.25% 31.37 65.88% 0.251 0.0791 0.341
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11673 34.71% 34.95 74.69% 0.137 -0.0057 1.023
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 41 60.98% 25.41 63.41% 0.222 0.0191 0.686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16444 43.37% 19.3 58.22% -0.802 -0.2369 0.197
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 100 40.86% 24.33 66.0% -0.344 -0.488 0.75
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 141 39.13% 28.75 68.79% 0.055 -0.3948 1.057
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 99 42.55% 21.03 54.55% 0.355 0.3034 0.144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 318 41.1% 24.15 70.75% 0.775 0.6674 -0.436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 349 39.93% 24.89 71.35% -0.02 0.1763 0.346
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7106 33.27% 34.37 77.86% -0.207 -0.1182 0.749
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 223 29.09% 24.91 70.85% 0.21 0.0798 0.491
Shifting Memory of Ages 1004 41.4% 24.33 61.25% 0.165 0.4511 -0.729
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 141 36.43% 30.4 62.41% 0.842 0.8244 -1.04
Shroud of Silent Mist 819 48.92% 23.85 68.74% 0.492 0.8393 -0.485
Starlight Seeks its Form 1233 34.46% 26.28 71.13% 0.065 -0.0342 0.083
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2718 44.15% 29.09 69.98% -0.116 -0.6159 -0.01
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4400 32.43% 30.06 75.36% -0.2 -0.0285 0.572
Thunderspeaker 16510 37.89% 30.21 68.43% -0.23 -0.1803 0.109
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 38.55% 24.16 57.83% -0.122 0.0017 -0.003
Towering Roots of the Jungle 147 42.18% 24.59 66.67% 0.949 1.0551 -0.165
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1232 60.71% 26.72 63.96% -0.209 -0.154 0.116
Vital Strength of the Earth 29635 31.89% 20.89 63.19% -0.542 0.051 -0.058
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 277 38.17% 23.9 53.43% -0.499 -0.0034 0.054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 399 40.05% 21.39 59.4% -0.256 0.4072 -0.85
Volcano Looming High 1070 48.66% 26.38 68.69% 0.282 0.3442 0.006
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 314 27.51% 27.04 79.62% 0.292 -0.0635 -0.93

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 95.04%
Lightning's Boon 86.84%
Raging Storm 89.62%
Shatter Homesteads 98.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 83163 13.6 19.59%
II 187040 30.16 70.44%
III 85153 34.82 85.8%
IV 17529 38.65 99.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16285
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 71515
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 128574
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17205
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 38268
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1267
Lose: Adversary condition 13481
Win: Sacrifice victory 1030
Lose: Scenario condition 2645
Win: Scenario condition 3893
Lose: Blight pool ran out 76458
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2264

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.205 Win Model: -0.089

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.016 Win Model: 0.255
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 211303 50.39% 21.52 60.57%
2 96758 42.95% 25.86 65.96%
3 31346 36.81% 29.18 72.98%
4 31192 28.32% 30.89 71.32%
5 633 30.94% 25.0 69.04%
6 1653 17.4% 26.97 68.66%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-22 02:53:19 (Pacific Time)