Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 38 21.62% 27.92 86.84% 0.905 0.6392 -0.923
Blitz 0 2631 55.47% 25.67 62.6% -0.551 -0.3948 -0.889
Dahan Insurrection 4 2353 33.2% 55.19 72.63% 0.41 0.1426 0.424
Despicable Theft 2 116 47.83% 29.85 66.38% -0.302 0.461 -1.998
Elemental Invocation 1 243 62.14% 26.67 57.61% -0.859 -0.0977 -1.294
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7239 18.29% 43.31 69.58% 0.535 -0.0978 -0.18
Powers Long Forgotten 1 823 50.55% 36.26 67.68% -0.333 0.2003 -0.563
Rituals of Terror 3 674 55.96% 36.45 63.06% -0.344 -0.241 -0.486
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 317 80.89% 33.95 51.1% -0.725 0.2807 -0.239
Second Wave 0 5748 50.08% 27.18 72.09% 0.148 0.2144 -0.611
The Great River 3 730 53.59% 29.8 64.79% -0.706 0.6166 -1.3
Varied Terrains 2 40 45.0% 24.3 57.5% -0.57 0.0086 -1.195
Ward the Shores 2 810 44.42% 37.11 65.31% -0.508 0.6469 -0.551

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 153075 51.28% 23.49 66.81% 0.685 0.8541 -0.022
1 Thematic 6173 59.79% 32.45 58.82% -0.313 0.2769 -0.173
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 33.61 85.37% -0.277 0.0988 0.795
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 49241 45.89% 27.81 72.64% 0.479 0.5917 0.41
2 Coastline 7111 41.22% 30.16 75.78% 0.707 0.6727 0.105
2 Fragment 1512 46.12% 23.37 69.18% 0.722 0.6061 0.503
2 Heart 687 53.06% 23.76 69.29% 0.593 0.2456 0.935
2 Opposite Shores 9394 40.6% 32.74 76.46% 0.723 0.7921 0.667
2 Thematic 3385 46.05% 42.55 65.11% -0.106 0.4872 0.617
2 Top to Top 1672 42.1% 29.6 75.48% 0.588 0.5357 0.4
3 Archipelago 17 23.53% 32.35 88.24% -0.686 -2.107 0.0
3 Coastline 206 33.17% 36.07 78.16% 0.355 -0.1179 0.356
3 Other 922 35.64% 27.22 75.49% -0.204 0.0672 0.177
3 Round (Default) 22278 37.33% 31.76 78.95% 0.53 0.3723 0.218
3 Sunrise 104 39.58% 35.63 87.5% 0.936 0.8627 1.182
3 Thematic 819 45.22% 39.37 68.13% 0.299 0.3313 -0.212
4 Archipelago 24 44.44% 33.83 79.17% -0.158 -0.8123 0.83
4 Coastline 93 34.07% 29.02 69.89% -0.377 -0.2009 -1.003
4 Leaf 99 31.18% 29.3 78.79% 0.356 -0.3555 0.026
4 Other 559 36.42% 30.91 76.92% 0.611 -0.4847 0.055
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -0.4083 0.0
4 Thematic 3173 31.71% 47.12 71.26% -0.499 -0.6583 -1.061
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19652 29.35% 33.79 82.41% 0.398 0.1597 -0.061
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0506 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 31.67 100.0% 0.184 -0.1115 0.244
5 Other 280 37.45% 35.04 85.71% 0.552 -0.0078 -0.167
5 Thematic 31 25.81% 52.61 83.87% -0.41 -0.5292 -0.146
6 Archipelago 20 14.29% 34.25 90.0% -0.122 0.0594 -0.709
6 Coastline 34 8.33% 28.44 94.12% 0.101 -0.6596 -0.317
6 Other 86 25.71% 38.26 81.4% -0.936 -1.3335 -0.347
6 Star 40 23.08% 30.8 85.0% 0.271 0.3032 -0.322
6 Thematic 264 16.29% 39.23 74.24% -2.026 -1.6153 -1.884
6 Two Centers (Default) 472 14.67% 27.72 87.29% -0.841 -0.8778 -1.324
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.6011 0.426
7 Other 4 33.33% 44.5 75.0% -0.936 -1.9086 -0.677

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6638 28.2 49.22% -0.765 -0.5745 -0.967
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5817 30.94 53.89% -0.088 -0.1525 -0.664
All Things Weaken 2049 25.15 42.51% -0.681 -0.2938 -1.315
Attenuated Essence 41 18.71 31.71% -0.835 -0.7292 -0.874
Back Against the Wall 5893 29.67 51.57% -0.824 -0.7613 -0.892
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 43 23.49 46.51% -0.034 0.2486 -1.16
Burn Brightest Before the End 48 21.98 45.83% -0.395 -0.2044 -1.738
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6239 25.49 46.34% -0.569 -0.137 -1.059
Downward Spiral 28800 20.74 53.85% -0.405 -0.1445 -0.996
Erosion of Will 6428 26.92 46.56% -0.547 -0.2179 -1.076
Intensifying Exploitation 50 20.64 40.0% -0.521 -0.223 -0.911
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 699 34.14 81.69% 0.804 0.3059 -0.393
Memory Fades to Dust 29085 20.47 50.22% -0.402 -0.0079 -1.079
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2000 25.76 45.55% -0.497 -0.2521 -1.261
Promising Farmlands 6455 25.33 44.63% -0.425 0.0622 -1.233
Shattered Fragments of Power 58 23.95 48.28% -0.731 -0.6542 -0.487
Slow Dissolution of Will 49 20.29 42.86% -0.488 -0.0541 -1.602
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 474 34.58 86.71% 0.401 -0.2317 -0.346
The Border of Life and Death 10 26.9 80.0% 0.662 0.3009 -0.467
Thriving Communities 1961 24.36 43.65% -1.326 -0.9488 -1.305
Thriving Crops 18 8.94 22.22% -1.038 -1.0939 -1.162
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 -0.1719 -0.957
Unnatural Proliferation 2106 27.34 42.78% -0.576 -0.3756 -1.111
Untended Land Crumbles 2011 25.61 46.0% -0.338 -0.0688 -1.321

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 92149 43.37% 26.82 72.33% -0.996 -0.1335 0.109
B 94041 41.81% 27.66 73.58% -0.878 -0.0503 0.269
C 97120 42.76% 28.52 73.78% -0.943 -0.2551 0.868
D 85836 41.27% 27.38 73.88% -0.891 -0.0633 0.144
E 13031 44.58% 30.11 74.22% -0.71 -0.0516 0.006
F 22805 42.12% 31.19 75.93% -0.741 0.0111 0.142
G 23629 42.23% 31.76 74.91% -0.795 -0.0252 0.317
H 22187 41.86% 31.59 76.02% -0.787 -0.0981 0.001
East 10154 44.74% 41.57 65.59% -0.262 0.3849 0.249
Northeast 7144 41.56% 43.11 67.32% -0.115 0.7182 0.275
Northwest 6072 39.91% 42.93 68.4% -0.107 0.6854 0.253
Southeast 1014 37.56% 37.67 69.43% -0.863 -0.0991 0.518
Southwest 961 36.82% 35.86 67.33% -0.421 0.6636 -0.428
West 9147 43.95% 40.64 65.34% -0.418 0.5372 0.215

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 43743 0.0% 15.6 55.97% -1.076 -0.2509 -0.985
Not Using Events or Tokens 127013 45.58% 20.95 68.53% -0.493 -0.1566 -0.709
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12785 10.34% 36.77 93.02% 1.124 0.5172 0.468
Start of Game Growth 16553 14.67% 35.97 90.0% 0.094 -0.184 0.787
Unlimited Undo 34573 32.15% 30.56 83.84% 0.199 0.1992 0.936
Using Tokens but Not Events 25773 33.62% 30.47 80.55% 0.243 0.1728 -0.344

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23870 100.0% 31.71 100.0% 0.299 0.1441 -0.414
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6573 100.0% 27.41 100.0% -0.164 -0.0439 -0.182
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4926 100.0% 32.04 100.0% -0.314 -0.4697 0.078
Downpour Drenches the World 261 100.0% 27.7 100.0% 0.193 0.393 0.612
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 164 100.0% 27.3 100.0% 0.829 0.013 0.189
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5389 100.0% 32.03 100.0% 0.195 -0.3962 0.236
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4632 100.0% 36.15 100.0% 0.073 -0.411 0.034
Finder of Paths Unseen 130 100.0% 25.28 100.0% -1.439 -0.7581 -0.478
Fractured Days Split the Sky 392 100.0% 31.0 100.0% -0.477 0.1686 0.801
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 356 100.0% 27.74 100.0% -0.259 -0.3444 0.282
Heart of the Wildfire 5400 100.0% 31.02 100.0% 0.162 0.4117 -0.055
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13691 100.0% 39.89 100.0% 0.287 -0.1379 0.776
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1356 100.0% 33.17 100.0% -0.189 -0.3189 -0.398
Many Minds Move as One 950 100.0% 31.95 100.0% 0.277 0.0932 -0.02
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18180 100.0% 37.16 100.0% 0.392 0.3925 0.964
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4210 100.0% 31.53 100.0% 0.173 0.034 -0.132
River Surges in Sunlight 35972 101.06% 33.01 100.58% -0.139 -0.089 0.706
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 577 43.58% 28.99 69.5% -0.839 -0.5825 -1.812
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 169 48.78% 38.84 80.47% 0.813 0.7007 0.656
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9974 100.0% 37.49 100.0% 0.184 -0.0406 0.686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11224 102.29% 23.66 101.02% -0.651 -0.1521 0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 39.47% 27.22 70.73% 0.488 0.4536 -0.078
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 36 37.5% 22.42 58.33% -0.117 -0.1357 0.133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 186 39.78% 27.78 77.96% 0.062 -0.0152 -0.563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 222 40.11% 28.21 79.28% 0.501 0.5938 0.721
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6380 100.22% 35.83 100.13% 0.325 0.2081 0.452
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 19 26.32% 14.05 57.89% 0.006 -0.4405 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 524 100.0% 28.79 100.0% -0.229 0.1555 -0.438
Shroud of Silent Mist 431 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.012 0.2985 -0.203
Starlight Seeks its Form 649 100.0% 29.82 100.0% 0.435 0.1793 0.118
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2033 100.0% 31.8 100.0% 0.276 -0.2217 -0.329
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3438 100.0% 32.96 100.0% -0.098 -0.0384 0.283
Thunderspeaker 12936 100.05% 33.66 100.07% 0.155 0.1428 -0.019
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 16 56.25% 23.25 43.75% 0.138 -0.0022 -0.7
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 990 100.0% 28.48 100.0% -0.179 -0.1251 -0.139
Vital Strength of the Earth 20860 100.83% 24.46 100.44% -0.348 0.1989 -0.363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 91 41.38% 31.26 71.43% -0.084 0.1678 -0.138
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 225 42.52% 25.63 71.11% -0.234 0.6464 -0.934
Volcano Looming High 643 100.0% 29.22 100.0% -0.271 -0.2774 -0.226

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.76%
Lightning's Boon 86.25%
Raging Storm 88.73%
Shatter Homesteads 98.71%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45534 20.73 30.7%
II 151212 31.02 72.41%
III 70081 34.75 86.17%
IV 14740 38.04 99.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13976
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 59111
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 106712
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14487
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3838
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1049
Lose: Adversary condition 11712
Win: Sacrifice victory 851
Lose: Scenario condition 2338
Win: Scenario condition 3372
Lose: Blight pool ran out 62259
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1862

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.569 Win Model: -0.074

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.258 Win Model: 0.249
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 159378 51.67% 23.84 66.49%
2 73073 44.71% 29.26 73.06%
3 24343 37.47% 31.92 78.54%
4 23646 29.92% 35.48 80.75%
5 216 30.65% 30.27 76.39%
6 911 16.89% 33.37 84.85%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-05 04:04:23 (Pacific Time)