Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 40 20.51% 27.9 87.5% 1.157 0.9012 -0.91
Blitz 0 2668 55.01% 25.57 62.44% -0.568 -0.3711 -0.852
Dahan Insurrection 4 2363 33.1% 55.1 72.49% 0.128 -0.3143 0.433
Despicable Theft 2 118 47.86% 29.44 65.25% -0.652 0.1603 -2.001
Elemental Invocation 1 244 61.89% 26.56 57.38% -1.042 -0.3391 -1.333
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7276 18.36% 43.23 69.46% 0.585 -0.0599 -0.163
Powers Long Forgotten 1 826 50.61% 36.23 67.68% -0.268 0.3674 -0.555
Rituals of Terror 3 681 55.67% 36.17 62.56% -0.604 -0.5032 -0.487
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 318 80.63% 33.84 50.94% -0.781 0.2281 -0.274
Second Wave 0 5800 49.95% 27.15 72.03% 0.194 0.2606 -0.58
The Great River 3 734 53.57% 29.79 64.85% -0.566 0.6511 -1.28
Varied Terrains 2 44 50.0% 22.84 52.27% -0.78 -0.1571 -1.185
Ward the Shores 2 814 44.19% 37.05 65.36% -0.513 0.5716 -0.543

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 154158 51.25% 23.43 66.66% 0.83 0.8844 0.033
1 Thematic 6205 59.79% 32.39 58.73% -0.35 0.1275 -0.125
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 33.61 85.37% -0.166 -0.0624 0.805
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 49645 45.82% 27.7 72.4% 0.547 0.6285 0.455
2 Coastline 7148 41.13% 30.12 75.73% 0.783 0.629 0.144
2 Fragment 1520 46.02% 23.29 68.88% 0.581 0.3321 0.548
2 Heart 697 53.04% 23.46 68.44% 0.516 0.2285 0.975
2 Opposite Shores 9463 40.56% 32.65 76.36% 0.975 0.9983 0.717
2 Thematic 3398 45.99% 42.51 65.1% 0.215 0.6183 0.653
2 Top to Top 1683 41.98% 29.54 75.46% 0.863 0.6972 0.449
3 Archipelago 17 23.53% 32.35 88.24% -0.638 -2.1866 0.0
3 Coastline 207 33.0% 36.1 78.26% 0.392 -0.1218 0.398
3 Other 924 35.56% 27.26 75.54% -0.194 0.347 0.208
3 Round (Default) 22438 37.26% 31.71 78.85% 0.558 0.4424 0.252
3 Sunrise 104 39.58% 35.63 87.5% 0.838 1.1176 1.201
3 Thematic 824 44.94% 39.14 67.72% 0.004 0.0842 -0.189
4 Archipelago 24 44.44% 33.83 79.17% -0.161 -0.8358 0.839
4 Coastline 93 34.07% 29.02 69.89% -0.535 -0.304 -0.988
4 Leaf 99 31.18% 29.3 78.79% 0.397 0.0542 0.045
4 Other 565 36.64% 30.78 76.81% 0.889 -0.1946 0.073
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -0.3465 0.0
4 Thematic 3181 31.72% 47.07 71.24% -0.534 -0.7967 -1.052
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19848 29.17% 33.62 82.06% 0.352 0.2689 -0.048
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9161 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 31.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.6517 0.25
5 Other 297 37.31% 34.42 85.19% 0.541 0.2564 -0.07
5 Thematic 32 25.0% 53.94 84.38% 0.181 0.0874 -0.127
6 Archipelago 21 12.5% 34.24 90.48% -0.033 0.1184 -0.676
6 Coastline 37 6.67% 28.59 94.59% -0.197 -0.9978 -0.324
6 Other 87 25.35% 37.82 80.46% -1.465 -1.6977 -0.337
6 Star 41 25.0% 30.05 82.93% -0.264 -0.2762 -0.303
6 Thematic 277 15.52% 38.95 72.92% -2.035 -1.6143 -1.897
6 Two Centers (Default) 496 14.13% 27.33 86.09% -0.522 -0.4179 -1.676
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.0189 0.412
7 Other 4 33.33% 44.5 75.0% 0.0 -0.6126 -0.672

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6678 28.12 49.1% -0.886 -0.6433 -0.957
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5835 30.9 53.83% -0.24 -0.317 -0.647
All Things Weaken 2059 25.14 42.5% -0.766 -0.3739 -1.295
Attenuated Essence 50 17.58 30.0% -1.045 -0.9387 -0.954
Back Against the Wall 5910 29.67 51.59% -0.421 -0.3629 -0.879
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 53 24.26 47.17% 0.074 0.2759 -1.185
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 20.73 41.07% -0.59 -0.38 -1.764
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6261 25.47 46.32% -0.631 -0.2071 -1.043
Downward Spiral 28964 20.69 53.78% -0.384 -0.1483 -0.978
Erosion of Will 6455 26.92 46.55% -0.339 -0.0297 -1.053
Intensifying Exploitation 57 19.28 36.84% -0.72 -0.4325 -0.893
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 706 33.99 81.59% 0.541 0.0476 -0.359
Memory Fades to Dust 29257 20.43 50.15% -0.436 -0.0991 -1.06
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2024 25.76 45.41% -0.647 -0.4267 -1.243
Promising Farmlands 6482 25.29 44.6% -0.531 -0.0775 -1.219
Shattered Fragments of Power 64 25.13 50.0% -0.123 -0.0719 -0.678
Slow Dissolution of Will 58 20.95 44.83% -0.457 -0.0576 -1.57
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 479 34.57 86.85% 0.554 -0.1564 -0.282
The Border of Life and Death 11 29.45 81.82% 0.99 0.6547 -0.463
Thriving Communities 1982 24.29 43.74% -0.964 -0.6008 -1.278
Thriving Crops 21 9.48 23.81% -0.839 -1.0365 -1.15
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.94
Unnatural Proliferation 2121 27.33 42.9% -0.386 -0.1712 -1.094
Untended Land Crumbles 2021 25.61 46.12% -0.042 0.24 -1.3

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 92908 43.25% 26.72 72.11% -1.026 -0.2863 0.104
B 94750 41.71% 27.57 73.38% -0.933 -0.2076 0.262
C 97864 42.65% 28.42 73.59% -0.966 -0.3833 0.863
D 86535 41.2% 27.28 73.65% -0.991 -0.2799 0.128
E 13222 44.42% 30.01 74.03% -0.663 -0.0978 -0.004
F 23017 41.96% 31.08 75.79% -0.613 0.0572 0.129
G 23846 42.17% 31.67 74.78% -0.64 0.012 0.306
H 22381 41.79% 31.51 75.93% -0.724 -0.1539 -0.001
East 10216 44.67% 41.49 65.5% -0.071 0.4677 0.26
Northeast 7191 41.49% 43.03 67.22% 0.245 0.8801 0.283
Northwest 6104 39.77% 42.87 68.28% -0.044 0.765 0.257
Southeast 1033 36.87% 37.54 69.02% -0.939 -0.2334 0.527
Southwest 981 36.17% 35.79 66.97% -0.565 0.4246 -0.423
West 9189 43.85% 40.58 65.25% -0.67 0.234 0.21

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 44124 0.0% 15.54 55.74% -1.007 -0.2312 -0.958
Not Using Events or Tokens 128179 45.47% 20.87 68.27% -0.493 -0.1141 -0.712
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12855 10.32% 36.71 92.92% 1.126 0.5085 0.477
Start of Game Growth 16669 14.66% 35.86 89.81% 0.105 -0.2435 0.765
Unlimited Undo 34764 32.12% 30.51 83.71% 0.055 0.0479 0.942
Using Tokens but Not Events 25941 33.57% 30.43 80.48% 0.323 0.3123 -0.359

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 24048 100.0% 31.66 100.0% 0.394 0.2462 -0.39
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6622 100.0% 27.32 100.0% -0.177 -0.0466 -0.162
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4987 100.0% 31.82 100.0% -0.555 -0.7002 0.086
Downpour Drenches the World 277 100.0% 27.83 100.0% 0.229 0.4086 0.636
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 194 100.0% 26.96 100.0% 0.793 0.0284 0.246
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5445 100.0% 31.85 100.0% -0.006 -0.5952 0.262
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4670 100.0% 36.06 100.0% 0.147 -0.3497 0.069
Finder of Paths Unseen 131 100.0% 25.2 100.0% -1.308 -0.6439 -0.433
Fractured Days Split the Sky 396 100.0% 30.8 100.0% -0.229 0.3566 0.745
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 368 100.0% 27.61 100.0% -0.118 -0.2126 0.16
Heart of the Wildfire 5423 100.0% 30.97 100.0% 0.207 0.4484 -0.05
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13752 100.0% 39.87 100.0% 0.601 0.1587 0.804
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1380 100.0% 33.02 100.0% -0.051 -0.1836 -0.41
Many Minds Move as One 961 100.0% 31.92 100.0% 0.15 -0.071 0.016
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18272 100.0% 37.12 100.0% 0.385 0.343 0.987
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4241 100.0% 31.47 100.0% 0.327 0.1487 -0.1
River Surges in Sunlight 36320 101.07% 32.86 100.59% -0.07 0.0001 0.735
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 584 43.47% 28.83 69.01% -1.248 -0.9381 -1.818
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 173 47.62% 38.39 80.35% 0.303 0.1892 0.679
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10014 100.0% 37.43 100.0% 0.26 0.0221 0.711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11390 102.32% 23.45 101.05% -0.691 -0.1619 0.046
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 40.48% 27.58 73.33% 1.17 1.0944 -0.093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 36 37.5% 22.42 58.33% 0.166 0.0602 0.153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 189 39.13% 27.49 77.25% 0.061 0.0425 -0.649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 226 39.78% 27.71 77.88% -0.191 -0.0143 0.503
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6405 100.27% 35.79 100.14% 0.402 0.2122 0.463
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 22 22.73% 14.82 59.09% 0.184 -0.1976 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 541 100.0% 28.89 100.0% -0.233 0.1206 -0.349
Shroud of Silent Mist 440 100.0% 27.8 100.0% 0.227 0.4769 -0.274
Starlight Seeks its Form 681 100.0% 29.35 100.0% 0.144 -0.1169 0.109
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2057 100.0% 31.64 100.0% 0.385 -0.092 -0.301
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3483 100.0% 32.82 100.0% 0.203 0.2661 0.298
Thunderspeaker 13006 100.07% 33.62 100.1% 0.071 0.0374 0.009
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 21 57.14% 20.71 38.1% -0.151 -0.1901 -0.689
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 998 100.0% 28.39 100.0% -0.344 -0.2505 -0.116
Vital Strength of the Earth 21135 100.87% 24.28 100.49% -0.352 0.1723 -0.333
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 97 39.78% 29.54 67.01% -0.463 -0.203 -0.106
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 232 42.53% 25.36 69.4% 0.108 0.8846 -1.092
Volcano Looming High 653 100.0% 29.28 100.0% -0.457 -0.5001 -0.207

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.77%
Lightning's Boon 86.29%
Raging Storm 88.76%
Shatter Homesteads 98.71%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 46376 20.4 30.29%
II 152068 31.01 72.39%
III 70441 34.76 86.16%
IV 14794 38.07 99.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 14041
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 59412
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 107288
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14540
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4621
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1053
Lose: Adversary condition 11745
Win: Sacrifice victory 856
Lose: Scenario condition 2348
Win: Scenario condition 3379
Lose: Blight pool ran out 62528
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1868

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.461 Win Model: -0.08

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.241 Win Model: 0.273
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 160501 51.63% 23.78 66.34%
2 73625 44.64% 29.16 72.86%
3 24509 37.39% 31.86 78.44%
4 23856 29.78% 35.32 80.46%
5 236 30.58% 29.61 75.42%
6 952 16.32% 33.07 83.93%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)