Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 16.0% 29.08 92.0% 0.155 -0.2916 0.0
Blitz 0 2507 56.48% 26.2 63.58% -0.014 0.4426 -0.927
Dahan Insurrection 4 2283 33.84% 55.63 73.19% 0.313 0.3328 0.393
Despicable Theft 2 103 50.49% 31.33 68.93% 0.547 1.0599 -1.854
Elemental Invocation 1 207 61.35% 27.29 64.25% -0.338 0.3614 -0.839
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7024 18.44% 43.67 69.92% -0.383 -0.3423 -0.257
Powers Long Forgotten 1 804 50.75% 36.57 68.16% -0.46 0.1022 -0.668
Rituals of Terror 3 650 56.03% 36.99 64.31% -0.793 -1.0806 -0.547
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 306 82.18% 34.66 51.96% -0.057 0.373 -0.147
Second Wave 0 5555 50.09% 27.37 72.55% -0.247 0.2148 -0.501
The Great River 3 680 54.01% 30.74 66.62% -0.97 0.7968 -1.241
Varied Terrains 2 22 50.0% 33.45 77.27% -0.844 -0.0162 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 793 44.75% 37.49 65.7% -0.108 0.6357 -0.562

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 147433 51.51% 23.86 67.76% 0.403 0.9534 0.054
1 Thematic 6051 60.02% 32.74 59.28% -0.467 0.5306 -0.167
2 Archipelago 39 48.72% 34.64 89.74% -0.344 0.2739 0.796
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 47372 46.0% 28.31 73.85% 0.389 0.7987 0.434
2 Coastline 6847 41.22% 30.59 76.66% 0.581 0.7163 0.074
2 Fragment 1465 46.21% 23.68 69.76% 0.467 0.4617 0.472
2 Heart 660 52.62% 24.17 70.0% -0.696 -0.2215 0.924
2 Opposite Shores 9031 41.03% 33.38 77.5% -0.111 0.2423 0.728
2 Thematic 3335 46.36% 42.7 65.4% -0.089 0.8403 0.529
2 Top to Top 1619 41.79% 29.97 76.28% 0.182 0.3088 0.378
3 Archipelago 15 20.0% 36.07 100.0% 0.07 0.2483 0.0
3 Coastline 193 32.26% 37.44 81.35% 0.536 0.1191 0.315
3 Other 894 35.71% 27.69 76.85% -0.068 -0.7867 0.257
3 Round (Default) 21405 37.53% 32.21 79.77% -0.159 0.0342 0.203
3 Sunrise 101 37.63% 36.13 87.13% 0.025 0.1742 1.143
3 Thematic 800 45.55% 39.6 68.13% -0.197 -0.1819 -0.333
4 Archipelago 23 44.44% 35.3 82.61% -0.698 -1.1173 0.835
4 Coastline 92 33.33% 29.24 70.65% -0.214 -0.2866 -1.049
4 Leaf 90 33.33% 30.43 78.89% -0.383 -0.479 0.031
4 Other 531 36.53% 31.77 78.34% 1.044 0.4279 -0.035
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 -0.045 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 0.5654 0.0
4 Thematic 3111 31.91% 47.38 71.71% -0.272 0.0104 -1.222
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19050 29.55% 34.23 83.22% -0.068 0.1201 -0.137
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.015 -0.3687 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 31.67 100.0% 0.149 0.2566 0.167
5 Other 236 38.31% 36.96 88.14% 0.464 -0.1669 -0.35
5 Thematic 29 27.59% 53.34 86.21% 0.075 -0.8991 0.113
6 Archipelago 19 16.67% 34.74 89.47% 0.046 -0.024 -0.779
6 Coastline 25 33.33% 29.16 96.0% 0.132 -0.8173 -0.38
6 Other 77 29.51% 41.04 85.71% 0.265 0.0226 -0.352
6 Star 31 10.0% 30.81 83.87% 0.101 0.6463 -0.391
6 Thematic 194 19.59% 45.35 89.69% 0.122 0.1675 -0.952
6 Two Centers (Default) 399 15.95% 29.09 92.48% -1.55 -1.0869 -1.43
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.008 -0.2127 0.417
7 Other 3 50.0% 59.33 100.0% 0.0 -0.3606 0.099

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6484 28.4 49.54% -2.07 -0.3393 -1.053
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5692 31.04 53.88% -1.95 -0.3747 -0.752
All Things Weaken 1965 25.39 42.75% -2.141 -0.263 -1.402
Back Against the Wall 5784 29.87 51.87% -1.745 -0.1084 -0.962
Burn Brightest Before the End 2 18.0 0.0% -1.454 -0.4456 0.0
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6113 25.68 46.49% -2.097 -0.2539 -1.12
Downward Spiral 27887 20.95 54.37% -2.346 -0.6482 -1.082
Erosion of Will 6299 27.07 46.64% -2.316 -0.4159 -1.156
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 672 34.58 81.99% -0.189 0.3113 -0.501
Memory Fades to Dust 28235 20.67 50.58% -2.452 -0.5757 -1.161
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1919 25.97 45.44% -2.217 -0.5125 -1.362
Promising Farmlands 6342 25.46 44.7% -2.185 -0.3097 -1.311
Slow Dissolution of Will 1 21.0 100.0% 0.053 1.524 0.0
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 452 35.22 87.39% -0.963 -0.7526 -0.397
Thriving Communities 1875 24.86 44.43% -2.549 -0.6786 -1.365
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 -1.037
Unnatural Proliferation 2027 27.52 42.82% -2.706 -0.9515 -1.216
Untended Land Crumbles 1928 25.77 45.8% -2.06 -0.2456 -1.395

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 88653 43.54% 27.27 73.44% -0.548 0.2296 0.126
B 90752 42.1% 28.09 74.56% -0.626 0.0775 0.263
C 93889 42.97% 28.95 74.75% -0.083 0.445 0.867
D 82718 41.45% 27.82 74.91% -0.404 0.3309 0.13
E 12109 45.28% 30.85 75.24% -0.286 0.298 0.019
F 21756 42.31% 31.7 76.74% -0.132 0.5751 0.147
G 22644 42.47% 32.23 75.72% -0.203 0.4391 0.305
H 21202 41.98% 32.07 76.83% -0.384 0.2615 0.013
East 9876 45.16% 42.01 66.27% -0.203 0.3884 0.306
Northeast 6920 42.0% 43.64 68.19% -0.721 -0.0438 0.317
Northwest 5896 40.63% 43.37 69.15% 0.047 0.4842 0.298
Southeast 927 40.24% 39.1 73.03% 0.253 0.9168 0.409
Southwest 876 39.61% 37.22 70.89% 0.237 1.4087 -0.393
West 8918 44.6% 40.98 65.91% -0.624 0.194 0.278

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 41616 0.0% 15.99 57.42% -3.046 -0.9701 -0.991
Not Using Events or Tokens 121595 45.8% 21.37 69.92% 0.267 0.4383 -0.678
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12373 10.29% 37.2 93.91% 2.063 1.0038 0.431
Start of Game Growth 15975 14.76% 36.46 91.02% 0.35 -0.0726 0.836
Unlimited Undo 33492 32.33% 30.92 84.69% 0.418 0.0026 0.921
Using Tokens but Not Events 24780 33.89% 30.88 81.42% 0.444 0.5598 -0.303

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23200 100.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.438 0.2583 -0.499
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6357 100.0% 27.85 100.0% -0.235 -0.2202 -0.227
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4650 100.0% 32.83 100.0% 0.438 0.1928 0.009
Downpour Drenches the World 164 100.0% 33.17 100.0% 0.076 0.464 0.972
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 8 100.0% 35.38 100.0% 0.097 0.3326 0.0
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5108 100.0% 32.58 100.0% 0.785 0.3121 0.181
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4489 100.0% 36.58 100.0% 0.753 0.3064 0.012
Finder of Paths Unseen 98 100.0% 30.15 100.0% -0.674 -0.3108 -0.46
Fractured Days Split the Sky 357 100.0% 32.26 100.0% -0.521 -0.4172 0.586
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 320 100.0% 28.53 100.0% -1.152 -1.2165 0.216
Heart of the Wildfire 5280 100.0% 31.17 100.0% -0.179 0.0797 -0.099
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13396 100.0% 40.14 100.0% 0.578 -0.0054 0.728
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1259 100.0% 33.88 100.0% -0.31 -0.4315 -0.507
Many Minds Move as One 906 100.0% 32.52 100.0% -0.127 -0.7503 -0.138
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17598 100.0% 37.55 100.0% 0.471 0.344 0.905
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4035 100.0% 32.01 100.0% -0.379 -0.462 -0.211
River Surges in Sunlight 34492 100.95% 33.65 100.48% 0.389 0.1974 0.653
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 532 45.15% 30.35 72.56% -0.307 -0.0194 -1.724
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 122 47.06% 41.48 83.61% 0.501 0.1378 0.922
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9759 100.0% 37.79 100.0% 0.615 0.4421 0.608
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10697 102.06% 24.34 100.84% -0.152 0.2407 0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 28 56.0% 28.75 64.29% -0.007 0.0901 0.017
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 33.33% 29.0 73.68% -0.81 -0.7352 -0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 172 40.72% 28.5 79.07% 0.323 0.2866 -0.371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 205 38.89% 29.0 80.98% 0.167 0.1703 0.478
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6291 100.0% 35.98 100.0% 0.498 0.2981 0.344
Shifting Memory of Ages 443 100.0% 30.06 100.0% -0.558 -0.3285 -0.412
Shroud of Silent Mist 387 100.0% 29.31 100.0% 0.188 0.372 0.217
Starlight Seeks its Form 538 100.0% 31.99 100.0% 0.155 -0.0008 0.198
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1943 100.0% 32.11 100.0% -0.375 -0.6379 -0.453
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3295 100.0% 33.54 100.0% 0.04 0.1032 0.224
Thunderspeaker 12572 100.0% 33.98 100.0% 0.117 0.0404 -0.019
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 967 100.0% 28.67 100.0% -0.084 -0.3459 -0.212
Vital Strength of the Earth 19918 100.71% 24.99 100.33% -0.401 0.3525 -0.421
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 60 32.76% 35.12 78.33% -0.067 0.5116 -0.163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 198 45.74% 27.31 73.74% 0.245 1.3955 -0.828
Volcano Looming High 581 100.0% 29.53 100.0% -0.359 -0.3628 -0.124

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.74%
Lightning's Boon 86.11%
Raging Storm 88.59%
Shatter Homesteads 98.69%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 41353 22.63 33.11%
II 147120 31.12 72.65%
III 68340 34.7 86.22%
IV 14415 37.97 99.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13688
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57670
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 104147
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14167
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 81
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1024
Lose: Adversary condition 11493
Win: Sacrifice victory 825
Lose: Scenario condition 2298
Win: Scenario condition 3327
Lose: Blight pool ran out 60703
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1805

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.56 Win Model: -0.123

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.411 Win Model: 0.246
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 153569 51.9% 24.22 67.42%
2 70396 44.86% 29.76 74.13%
3 23404 37.64% 32.37 79.37%
4 22950 30.13% 35.93 81.49%
5 155 33.07% 34.59 85.81%
6 754 18.45% 35.31 90.98%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)