Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 19.74% 24.82 79.22% -0.196 -0.2013 -0.619
Blitz 0 3246 52.89% 23.52 58.16% -0.484 -0.2127 -0.608
Dahan Insurrection 4 2802 31.42% 52.36 70.2% 1.019 0.8209 0.766
Despicable Theft 2 152 40.4% 28.22 63.82% 0.393 1.2801 -2.018
Elemental Invocation 1 297 60.94% 24.45 52.53% -0.027 0.9211 -1.364
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8054 18.27% 41.82 68.09% 0.082 -0.5171 0.125
Powers Long Forgotten 1 924 49.73% 33.86 63.96% -0.231 0.6173 -0.509
Rituals of Terror 3 821 52.66% 32.96 57.98% -0.437 -0.4286 -0.366
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 370 77.93% 31.54 48.11% -0.663 0.3464 -0.194
Second Wave 0 6444 49.72% 26.55 70.64% 0.091 0.1615 -0.463
The Great River 3 942 51.6% 27.49 59.45% -1.048 0.3988 -1.563
Varied Terrains 2 103 42.72% 23.26 56.31% -0.447 0.3205 -1.309
Ward the Shores 2 895 43.97% 35.88 64.25% -0.827 0.2334 -0.445

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 181938 50.69% 22.01 62.87% 0.966 1.3166 0.895
1 Thematic 6763 58.84% 31.3 57.02% 0.923 1.41 0.858
2 Archipelago 61 47.54% 28.89 68.85% -0.018 0.4199 0.395
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 59008 44.57% 25.61 67.65% 0.506 0.7735 1.034
2 Coastline 8417 40.08% 27.82 70.92% 0.59 0.6253 0.768
2 Fragment 1834 46.54% 21.97 65.7% 0.894 0.5908 0.968
2 Heart 874 51.35% 22.08 64.65% 0.551 0.5779 0.988
2 Opposite Shores 10885 40.16% 30.68 73.22% 1.014 1.0745 1.263
2 Thematic 3751 45.0% 40.39 62.41% -0.217 0.0887 1.564
2 Top to Top 1984 41.57% 27.28 70.67% 0.362 0.2955 1.071
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% 0.0 -0.5301 0.0
3 Coastline 235 32.44% 34.42 75.74% 0.837 0.1173 0.706
3 Other 1094 35.4% 25.3 71.21% -0.323 -0.8216 0.152
3 Round (Default) 25873 36.88% 30.24 75.98% 0.519 0.3507 0.496
3 Sunrise 113 38.83% 35.35 87.61% -0.262 -0.0984 1.451
3 Thematic 969 42.06% 36.14 62.64% 0.148 -0.2684 0.121
4 Archipelago 38 51.85% 23.63 55.26% -0.8 -0.6435 1.062
4 Coastline 110 36.45% 27.2 65.45% 0.324 -0.2637 -0.947
4 Leaf 128 30.43% 24.84 66.41% -0.133 -0.3061 -0.411
4 Other 661 36.39% 27.76 70.2% -0.641 -0.9284 0.391
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -1.1575 0.0
4 Thematic 3364 31.87% 45.73 69.26% -0.427 -0.4103 -1.025
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23745 27.96% 30.57 74.77% -0.303 -0.0848 -0.661
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0399 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 23.75 75.0% -0.294 -0.2478 -0.132
5 Other 544 36.73% 28.99 79.96% 0.548 -0.0316 -0.083
5 Thematic 56 26.79% 47.18 69.64% 0.106 -0.4425 -1.063
6 Archipelago 27 7.14% 30.63 81.48% 0.152 -0.838 -1.4
6 Coastline 46 4.17% 25.63 84.78% 0.346 -0.4616 -1.639
6 Other 129 24.55% 33.78 70.54% -0.778 -0.3177 -1.477
6 Star 59 20.69% 28.63 76.27% 0.117 0.4873 -0.519
6 Thematic 398 15.15% 34.95 64.82% -1.036 -1.1516 -2.861
6 Two Centers (Default) 709 17.11% 25.11 80.11% -0.631 -0.8701 -2.561
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 1.2366 0.169
7 Other 7 16.67% 29.71 57.14% 0.04 -1.0467 -1.075

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7215 27.73 48.57% 0.227 0.4066 -0.608
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6285 30.64 53.89% 0.095 0.0275 -0.241
All Things Weaken 2420 24.32 42.15% -0.688 -0.3742 -1.012
Attenuated Essence 237 20.54 42.62% 0.159 0.2244 -1.207
Back Against the Wall 6370 29.3 51.62% -0.22 -0.1444 -0.517
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 208 22.06 41.35% -0.392 -0.1895 -1.249
Burn Brightest Before the End 186 22.91 47.31% 0.58 0.7607 -0.851
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6835 24.91 45.79% 0.069 0.487 -0.693
Downward Spiral 33732 19.77 51.72% -0.248 -0.1327 -0.614
Erosion of Will 6978 26.57 46.23% -0.222 0.0661 -0.697
Intensifying Exploitation 227 18.0 35.68% -0.456 -0.194 -1.519
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 862 32.01 78.31% 0.857 0.3442 -0.184
Memory Fades to Dust 34175 19.49 47.99% -0.374 -0.148 -0.698
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2405 24.82 45.11% -0.18 0.0289 -0.915
Promising Farmlands 7042 24.89 44.12% -0.367 -0.0687 -0.82
Shattered Fragments of Power 207 23.66 44.44% -0.909 -0.7142 -0.913
Slow Dissolution of Will 231 19.93 38.1% -0.501 -0.1203 -2.047
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 556 33.34 84.89% 0.889 0.2886 0.07
The Border of Life and Death 60 23.15 80.0% 1.015 0.4739 -0.626
Thriving Communities 2351 23.27 42.19% -1.004 -0.6594 -0.953
Thriving Crops 73 10.89 34.25% -1.001 -0.9877 -1.538
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.574
Unnatural Proliferation 2497 26.58 42.97% -0.261 -0.1308 -0.748
Untended Land Crumbles 2393 24.68 45.42% -0.654 -0.2653 -1.022

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 110260 42.32% 24.75 67.32% -0.287 0.5812 0.134
B 111975 40.67% 25.57 68.55% -0.128 0.6937 0.375
C 114739 41.94% 26.51 69.08% -0.147 0.5333 0.856
D 102014 40.4% 25.39 68.93% -0.13 0.6843 0.121
E 16566 43.37% 28.09 70.94% -0.157 0.5223 0.057
F 27632 41.12% 28.92 71.87% -0.134 0.6585 0.148
G 28321 41.09% 29.55 71.07% 0.075 0.9153 0.387
H 26716 40.67% 29.34 71.79% -0.01 0.7583 0.048
East 11303 43.77% 39.55 62.88% -0.314 0.5633 0.106
Northeast 7982 40.62% 40.99 64.46% -0.209 0.6074 0.291
Northwest 6758 38.88% 40.93 65.54% -0.246 0.6302 0.056
Southeast 1248 34.76% 35.23 64.74% 0.143 1.0529 0.177
Southwest 1184 34.58% 33.7 62.75% 0.074 1.3977 -0.478
West 10140 42.9% 38.74 62.62% -0.767 0.2602 0.134

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 55389 0.0% 13.88 50.14% -1.328 -0.5437 -0.56
Not Using Events or Tokens 158439 44.74% 19.15 62.55% -0.38 -0.0013 -0.911
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14599 10.43% 35.29 90.17% 1.363 0.7393 0.012
Start of Game Growth 18934 14.42% 34.4 86.96% 0.499 -0.1098 1.041
Unlimited Undo 40531 30.96% 28.41 78.11% -0.186 -0.1412 0.382
Using Tokens but Not Events 29319 33.43% 29.11 77.79% 0.364 0.3093 -0.336

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 27320 30.41% 30.2 76.91% 0.023 -0.1474 -0.134
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 42 33.33% 22.21 52.38% 0.198 -0.4836 -0.876
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7719 48.36% 25.38 66.73% -0.257 0.0199 -0.106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 61 44.26% 28.69 49.18% 0.804 0.0377 -0.391
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5765 31.35% 29.86 75.99% -0.468 -0.6039 0.335
Downpour Drenches the World 554 37.11% 25.0 68.77% -0.049 0.1877 0.273
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 508 33.67% 26.85 70.28% 0.742 0.3302 -0.293
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7696 26.41% 26.22 69.17% -0.442 -0.792 -1.478
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5459 33.58% 33.78 76.48% 0.346 -0.103 0.359
Finder of Paths Unseen 268 36.26% 22.42 58.58% 0.126 0.8168 0.069
Fractured Days Split the Sky 522 39.33% 28.68 73.56% 0.258 0.8245 0.656
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 544 50.75% 25.57 67.46% -0.426 -0.4996 0.242
Heart of the Wildfire 5910 54.16% 29.92 69.44% -0.798 -0.4807 0.149
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15655 34.12% 37.0 74.85% -0.19 -0.4959 0.663
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 75 26.67% 28.29 73.33% -0.065 -0.4767 0.157
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1781 41.72% 30.47 72.09% 0.138 -0.1561 -0.274
Many Minds Move as One 1200 38.23% 29.99 80.08% 0.557 0.4337 0.224
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20966 35.74% 34.96 75.8% 0.309 0.2208 1.056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4871 37.94% 29.8 75.32% -0.2 -0.3571 0.161
River Surges in Sunlight 42768 32.71% 30.39 72.73% 0.044 0.1443 0.919
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 41.67% 19.92 41.67% -0.315 -0.4432 -0.243
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 764 41.53% 26.46 65.05% -0.455 0.0423 -1.433
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 384 44.24% 32.13 70.31% -0.619 -0.6137 0.409
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11116 35.21% 35.65 75.94% 0.14 -0.0841 0.975
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14108 44.96% 20.78 62.48% -0.772 -0.2577 0.222
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 39.47% 25.06 71.25% 0.414 0.4702 0.398
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 74 40.85% 29.82 74.32% 0.475 -0.0784 0.371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 47.37% 21.58 55.56% -0.249 0.0819 0.128
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 271 40.38% 25.31 72.69% -0.115 -0.1924 -0.633
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 299 37.94% 25.6 74.25% -0.554 -0.2672 0.502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6836 33.25% 34.91 78.66% 0.484 0.354 0.739
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 126 29.37% 24.98 76.19% 0.959 0.8369 0.361
Shifting Memory of Ages 775 43.19% 26.52 67.35% 0.038 0.3864 -0.003
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 37 27.03% 29.43 75.68% 1.063 0.7483 -0.742
Shroud of Silent Mist 674 46.82% 25.03 70.77% 0.638 0.9464 -0.406
Starlight Seeks its Form 1022 32.74% 27.48 74.85% 0.239 0.0637 0.175
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2450 44.8% 29.94 71.02% 0.03 -0.6594 -0.001
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4060 32.63% 30.75 76.72% -0.377 -0.1482 0.552
Thunderspeaker 15036 38.43% 31.44 70.73% -0.158 -0.1733 0.181
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 62 38.71% 23.32 56.45% -0.128 0.0822 -0.287
Towering Roots of the Jungle 45 31.11% 21.31 66.67% 0.476 0.4575 -0.939
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1118 60.75% 27.35 65.21% 0.228 0.2937 0.093
Vital Strength of the Earth 25787 32.81% 22.17 67.1% -0.393 0.1827 -0.004
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 207 35.05% 23.41 58.94% -1.513 -0.9569 -0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 317 39.73% 22.79 61.83% -0.235 0.4912 -0.873
Volcano Looming High 869 48.18% 27.77 72.04% -0.129 -0.0102 0.046
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 194 34.39% 27.97 81.96% 0.723 0.4165 -0.761

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.93%
Lightning's Boon 86.66%
Raging Storm 89.34%
Shatter Homesteads 98.73%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 67293 15.67 22.69%
II 171823 30.47 71.17%
III 78629 34.79 85.88%
IV 16337 38.42 99.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15266
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 66119
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 119249
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16038
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23668
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1191
Lose: Adversary condition 12724
Win: Sacrifice victory 955
Lose: Scenario condition 2504
Win: Scenario condition 3676
Lose: Blight pool ran out 70583
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2109

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.524 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.109 Win Model: 0.494
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 189006 51.02% 22.34 62.62%
2 86831 43.6% 27.02 68.44%
3 28286 36.94% 30.33 75.44%
4 28101 28.74% 32.29 73.93%
5 508 33.19% 25.24 72.24%
6 1350 17.29% 30.14 76.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-05 06:17:53 (Pacific Time)