Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 80 18.99% 24.63 78.75% 0.138 -0.0819 -0.626
Blitz 0 3275 52.94% 23.43 57.92% -0.49 -0.2038 -0.614
Dahan Insurrection 4 2834 31.35% 52.18 69.94% 0.938 0.8234 0.773
Despicable Theft 2 152 40.4% 28.22 63.82% 0.347 1.0852 -2.011
Elemental Invocation 1 300 60.33% 24.66 52.67% 0.394 1.1501 -1.157
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8119 18.22% 41.72 67.96% 0.14 -0.4416 0.129
Powers Long Forgotten 1 932 49.68% 33.62 63.52% -0.423 0.4306 -0.497
Rituals of Terror 3 830 52.21% 32.67 57.59% -0.346 -0.5159 -0.416
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 371 77.99% 31.55 48.25% -0.562 0.3492 -0.193
Second Wave 0 6470 49.69% 26.53 70.57% 0.223 0.3019 -0.461
The Great River 3 962 51.57% 27.48 59.36% 0.092 1.4557 -1.35
Varied Terrains 2 111 42.34% 24.08 58.56% -0.268 0.611 -1.324
Ward the Shores 2 899 44.0% 35.92 64.4% -0.037 0.9448 -0.427

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 183744 50.62% 21.93 62.66% 1.038 1.3817 0.911
1 Thematic 6798 58.89% 31.24 56.93% 0.951 1.4788 0.861
2 Archipelago 64 46.88% 29.03 70.31% 0.372 0.8705 0.41
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 59609 44.52% 25.51 67.38% 0.62 0.9038 1.026
2 Coastline 8482 40.12% 27.8 70.77% 0.879 0.908 0.808
2 Fragment 1849 46.73% 21.89 65.6% 1.01 0.7728 0.984
2 Heart 881 51.26% 21.96 64.36% 0.449 0.3011 0.967
2 Opposite Shores 11024 40.29% 30.56 72.92% 1.177 1.2364 1.278
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.292 0.142 0.0
2 Thematic 3769 44.99% 40.29 62.32% -0.044 0.3262 1.564
2 Top to Top 2004 41.57% 27.14 70.26% 0.306 0.4291 1.084
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% 0.0 -0.7975 0.0
3 Coastline 244 32.05% 33.76 73.77% -0.57 -1.1195 0.671
3 Other 1100 35.36% 25.23 71.0% -0.202 -0.7402 0.253
3 Round (Default) 26119 36.88% 30.15 75.71% 0.479 0.3866 0.49
3 Sunrise 114 38.46% 35.55 87.72% 0.224 0.3751 1.457
3 Thematic 978 41.77% 36.0 62.68% 0.015 -0.5036 0.129
4 Archipelago 46 58.06% 22.91 54.35% -0.023 0.41 1.066
4 Coastline 114 38.74% 27.47 66.67% 0.767 0.007 -0.949
4 Leaf 129 30.17% 24.84 66.67% -0.29 -0.5015 -0.397
4 Other 672 36.74% 27.35 69.05% -0.905 -0.8969 0.402
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 3396 31.75% 45.47 68.85% -0.158 -0.0251 -1.048
4 Trapezoid (Default) 24035 27.98% 30.43 74.46% 0.143 0.25 -0.672
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 0.168 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 23.75 75.0% 0.0 -0.5066 -0.186
5 Other 558 36.71% 28.75 79.03% -0.34 -0.8542 -0.103
5 Thematic 61 25.0% 48.9 68.85% -0.148 -1.1306 -1.079
6 Archipelago 27 7.14% 30.63 81.48% 0.262 -0.4677 -1.404
6 Coastline 46 4.17% 25.63 84.78% 0.219 -0.8206 -1.743
6 Other 131 24.11% 33.66 70.23% -0.698 -0.0627 -1.464
6 Star 59 20.69% 28.63 76.27% 0.36 0.605 -0.547
6 Thematic 414 15.78% 34.7 63.29% -0.969 -0.646 -2.879
6 Two Centers (Default) 719 17.18% 24.9 79.55% -0.724 -0.8272 -2.555
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 0.5915 0.212
7 Other 7 16.67% 29.71 57.14% 0.173 -1.2632 -1.059

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7253 27.74 48.57% 0.1 0.204 -0.578
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6318 30.62 53.88% -0.042 -0.187 -0.227
All Things Weaken 2445 24.26 42.0% -0.919 -0.5534 -1.004
Attenuated Essence 248 20.33 42.34% 0.135 0.1335 -1.27
Back Against the Wall 6399 29.3 51.62% -0.299 -0.2337 -0.489
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 220 22.29 40.91% -0.434 -0.1987 -1.131
Burn Brightest Before the End 203 23.15 48.28% 0.648 0.8081 -0.875
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6868 24.89 45.84% 0.031 0.4065 -0.669
Downward Spiral 34059 19.72 51.55% -0.282 -0.2097 -0.602
Erosion of Will 7011 26.54 46.18% -0.143 0.1138 -0.693
Intensifying Exploitation 247 18.09 35.63% -0.659 -0.3854 -1.579
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 872 31.85 78.1% 0.302 -0.1848 -0.158
Memory Fades to Dust 34518 19.45 47.84% -0.349 -0.1665 -0.681
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2425 24.81 45.15% -0.209 0.004 -0.887
Promising Farmlands 7080 24.86 44.1% -0.671 -0.3477 -0.805
Shattered Fragments of Power 216 24.06 43.98% -0.383 -0.2128 -0.959
Slow Dissolution of Will 248 19.87 37.5% -0.967 -0.5833 -2.08
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 564 33.28 84.04% 0.437 -0.239 -0.09
The Border of Life and Death 64 22.81 79.69% 0.943 0.4265 -0.69
Thriving Communities 2369 23.28 42.3% -0.728 -0.4042 -0.937
Thriving Crops 77 13.09 36.36% -0.317 -0.3157 -0.6
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.555
Unnatural Proliferation 2532 26.59 43.17% -0.162 0.0251 -0.713
Untended Land Crumbles 2411 24.69 45.38% -0.454 -0.1149 -1.007

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 111447 42.27% 24.65 67.03% -0.416 0.4467 0.104
B 113112 40.66% 25.47 68.28% -0.272 0.5488 0.345
C 115890 41.89% 26.42 68.83% -0.269 0.4294 0.818
D 103096 40.39% 25.29 68.66% -0.293 0.5632 0.105
E 16843 43.3% 27.96 70.61% -0.397 0.2914 0.016
F 27934 41.2% 28.83 71.63% -0.225 0.5928 0.124
G 28623 41.16% 29.44 70.85% -0.213 0.6675 0.36
H 26971 40.71% 29.27 71.67% -0.155 0.6258 0.034
East 11408 43.67% 39.39 62.63% -0.328 0.465 0.092
Northeast 8065 40.55% 40.78 64.1% -0.572 0.3092 0.284
Northwest 6822 38.8% 40.75 65.22% -0.187 0.6838 0.053
Southeast 1281 34.51% 35.25 64.32% 0.596 1.4551 0.154
Southwest 1210 34.5% 33.52 62.23% -0.247 0.9626 -0.488
West 10230 42.8% 38.6 62.39% -0.967 0.0932 0.11

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 56107 0.0% 13.81 49.91% -1.085 -0.3698 -0.594
Not Using Events or Tokens 160505 44.69% 19.06 62.21% -0.549 -0.0751 -0.911
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14747 10.41% 35.19 89.9% 1.361 0.7941 -0.087
Start of Game Growth 19084 14.41% 34.33 86.75% 0.348 -0.3168 1.076
Unlimited Undo 40857 30.97% 28.33 77.84% -0.127 -0.1037 0.37
Using Tokens but Not Events 29575 33.43% 29.03 77.56% 0.187 0.2351 -0.334

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 27547 30.4% 30.1 76.67% 0.168 -0.0282 -0.139
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 53 26.42% 21.13 49.06% 0.194 -0.5205 -0.9
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7829 48.29% 25.22 66.39% -0.143 0.1257 -0.098
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 67 49.25% 30.04 52.24% 1.396 0.8284 0.137
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5817 31.56% 29.83 75.78% -0.38 -0.5113 0.38
Downpour Drenches the World 572 36.62% 25.0 68.18% -0.246 0.0235 0.241
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 538 33.9% 26.77 68.59% -0.108 -0.5397 -0.348
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7745 26.42% 26.21 69.19% -0.053 -0.4761 -1.462
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5498 33.63% 33.73 76.41% 0.253 -0.192 0.366
Finder of Paths Unseen 279 34.8% 22.62 59.14% -0.16 0.4976 0.163
Fractured Days Split the Sky 536 39.81% 28.7 73.13% 0.033 0.8406 0.689
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 559 51.36% 25.62 67.26% -0.427 -0.5448 0.241
Heart of the Wildfire 5961 53.99% 29.83 69.25% -0.319 -0.0322 0.126
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15730 34.17% 36.94 74.74% -0.29 -0.6831 0.666
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 86 26.74% 27.43 69.77% 0.203 -0.2014 0.179
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1804 41.8% 30.36 71.73% 0.013 -0.2373 -0.276
Many Minds Move as One 1231 38.89% 30.06 79.61% 1.117 0.8862 0.298
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 21196 35.73% 34.82 75.53% 0.452 0.3482 1.056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4924 37.79% 29.71 75.08% -0.038 -0.1935 0.16
River Surges in Sunlight 43247 32.7% 30.24 72.36% 0.01 0.0994 0.905
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 19 47.37% 19.26 26.32% -0.622 -0.7337 -0.961
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 779 41.49% 26.46 64.57% -0.251 0.1391 -1.471
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 407 45.96% 32.49 68.8% -0.174 -0.0367 0.369
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11158 35.17% 35.61 75.78% -0.062 -0.2559 0.982
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14313 44.73% 20.66 62.06% -0.671 -0.1856 0.248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 81 38.96% 24.75 70.37% -0.285 -0.2291 0.502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 80 44.16% 29.15 73.75% 0.51 0.0415 0.371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 48.05% 21.45 54.88% -0.516 -0.3004 0.154
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 272 40.23% 25.31 72.79% 0.09 0.1188 -0.627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 301 38.43% 25.71 74.42% -0.104 0.0686 0.489
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6860 33.24% 34.87 78.59% 0.15 -0.0026 0.742
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 137 29.2% 26.69 78.1% 1.231 1.032 0.485
Shifting Memory of Ages 829 44.05% 25.81 64.78% -0.044 0.4046 -0.441
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 51 32.0% 32.12 66.67% 1.131 0.826 -0.587
Shroud of Silent Mist 685 46.72% 24.96 70.8% 0.726 1.0621 -0.4
Starlight Seeks its Form 1039 32.23% 27.31 74.4% -0.154 -0.2091 0.157
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2486 44.87% 29.83 70.64% -0.458 -1.0806 -0.014
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4085 32.66% 30.72 76.65% -0.611 -0.4174 0.552
Thunderspeaker 15233 38.45% 31.25 70.37% -0.005 -0.059 0.168
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 66 40.91% 23.55 56.06% 0.403 0.5373 -0.298
Towering Roots of the Jungle 63 34.92% 22.37 68.25% 0.457 0.4661 -0.965
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1124 60.87% 27.36 65.04% 0.214 0.2965 0.101
Vital Strength of the Earth 26119 32.71% 22.05 66.7% -0.359 0.2356 0.006
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 221 36.71% 23.62 57.01% -1.734 -1.2948 -0.019
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 325 40.0% 22.75 61.54% -0.258 0.4332 -0.861
Volcano Looming High 892 48.06% 27.6 71.19% -0.345 -0.2413 0.056
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 216 31.75% 27.98 81.48% 0.503 0.2506 -0.736

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.94%
Lightning's Boon 86.7%
Raging Storm 89.37%
Shatter Homesteads 98.73%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 68697 15.45 22.36%
II 173146 30.45 71.07%
III 79154 34.8 85.88%
IV 16467 38.47 99.31%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15354
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 66549
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 120024
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16162
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 25010
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1198
Lose: Adversary condition 12817
Win: Sacrifice victory 964
Lose: Scenario condition 2524
Win: Scenario condition 3695
Lose: Blight pool ran out 71048
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2119

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.079 Win Model: -0.098

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.061 Win Model: 0.394
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 190859 50.96% 22.25 62.41%
2 87695 43.58% 26.93 68.2%
3 28557 36.92% 30.24 75.18%
4 28454 28.77% 32.13 73.59%
5 524 32.91% 25.4 71.56%
6 1375 17.51% 29.9 75.85%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)