Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 19.74% 24.82 79.22% -0.242 -0.2993 -0.622
Blitz 0 3254 52.98% 23.5 58.11% -0.527 -0.2389 -0.608
Dahan Insurrection 4 2809 31.42% 52.3 70.1% 0.893 0.7033 0.761
Despicable Theft 2 152 40.4% 28.22 63.82% 0.61 1.5413 -2.023
Elemental Invocation 1 297 60.94% 24.45 52.53% 0.016 0.9419 -1.357
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8073 18.29% 41.8 68.04% -0.02 -0.5942 0.126
Powers Long Forgotten 1 926 49.62% 33.79 63.82% -0.147 0.698 -0.504
Rituals of Terror 3 821 52.66% 32.96 57.98% -0.363 -0.4273 -0.362
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 370 77.93% 31.54 48.11% -0.642 0.3871 -0.193
Second Wave 0 6448 49.71% 26.55 70.64% 0.105 0.2015 -0.463
The Great River 3 944 51.6% 27.52 59.53% -0.888 0.6224 -1.575
Varied Terrains 2 108 41.67% 23.84 58.33% -0.188 0.5768 -1.302
Ward the Shores 2 895 43.97% 35.88 64.25% -0.693 0.4604 -0.44

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 182327 50.68% 21.99 62.82% 1.165 1.4684 0.925
1 Thematic 6771 58.86% 31.28 56.99% 1.031 1.4679 0.886
2 Archipelago 64 46.88% 29.03 70.31% 0.469 0.7824 0.412
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 59137 44.56% 25.59 67.61% 0.644 0.8698 1.049
2 Coastline 8427 40.07% 27.82 70.91% 0.837 0.8313 0.796
2 Fragment 1841 46.65% 21.96 65.73% 1.067 0.7199 0.985
2 Heart 875 51.27% 22.05 64.57% 0.585 0.5205 1.006
2 Opposite Shores 10905 40.18% 30.67 73.2% 1.216 1.2418 1.288
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.271 0.1451 0.0
2 Thematic 3751 45.0% 40.39 62.41% -0.058 0.182 1.582
2 Top to Top 1985 41.54% 27.28 70.68% 0.461 0.4214 1.091
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% 0.0 -0.622 0.0
3 Coastline 235 32.44% 34.42 75.74% 0.79 -0.0159 0.714
3 Other 1096 35.36% 25.25 71.08% -0.203 -0.7473 0.165
3 Round (Default) 25927 36.86% 30.22 75.92% 0.445 0.2435 0.508
3 Sunrise 113 38.83% 35.35 87.61% -0.249 -0.1972 1.456
3 Thematic 976 41.86% 36.07 62.81% 0.139 -0.2671 0.136
4 Archipelago 40 51.85% 22.45 52.5% -1.109 -0.7076 1.064
4 Coastline 110 36.45% 27.2 65.45% 0.296 -0.0806 -0.95
4 Leaf 129 30.17% 24.84 66.67% 0.001 -0.177 -0.406
4 Other 662 36.33% 27.72 70.09% -0.847 -1.1177 0.39
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -1.1919 0.0
4 Thematic 3366 31.88% 45.73 69.25% -0.39 -0.3616 -1.021
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23805 27.96% 30.54 74.72% -0.261 -0.0443 -0.667
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0282 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 23.75 75.0% -0.345 -0.1723 -0.156
5 Other 547 36.71% 28.88 79.71% 0.298 -0.334 -0.141
5 Thematic 57 26.79% 47.19 68.42% -0.134 -0.8096 -1.085
6 Archipelago 27 7.14% 30.63 81.48% 0.179 -0.6933 -1.397
6 Coastline 46 4.17% 25.63 84.78% 0.312 -0.3727 -1.653
6 Other 129 24.55% 33.78 70.54% -0.886 -0.3945 -1.5
6 Star 59 20.69% 28.63 76.27% 0.077 0.5374 -0.538
6 Thematic 403 15.46% 35.14 64.27% -1.171 -1.1576 -2.884
6 Two Centers (Default) 712 17.18% 25.03 79.92% -0.913 -1.1103 -2.677
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 1.1921 0.166
7 Other 7 16.67% 29.71 57.14% 0.025 -1.1491 -1.067

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7223 27.74 48.59% 0.411 0.5656 -0.6
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6288 30.64 53.91% 0.123 0.0359 -0.236
All Things Weaken 2425 24.31 42.1% -0.641 -0.3175 -1.008
Attenuated Essence 237 20.54 42.62% 0.195 0.2227 -1.2
Back Against the Wall 6376 29.29 51.62% -0.335 -0.2781 -0.508
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 208 22.06 41.35% -0.41 -0.2055 -1.239
Burn Brightest Before the End 190 22.83 47.89% 0.608 0.8115 -0.848
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6844 24.9 45.81% 0.149 0.542 -0.682
Downward Spiral 33806 19.77 51.71% -0.19 -0.1024 -0.603
Erosion of Will 6983 26.56 46.24% -0.219 0.0908 -0.691
Intensifying Exploitation 232 18.14 35.34% -0.684 -0.425 -1.514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 863 31.98 78.22% 0.736 0.238 -0.179
Memory Fades to Dust 34243 19.48 47.96% -0.356 -0.1402 -0.692
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2411 24.81 45.13% -0.061 0.1067 -0.911
Promising Farmlands 7052 24.9 44.14% -0.363 -0.0645 -0.813
Shattered Fragments of Power 211 23.74 44.08% -0.886 -0.6861 -0.882
Slow Dissolution of Will 233 19.82 37.77% -0.498 -0.1209 -2.049
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 558 33.37 84.95% 0.883 0.1638 0.075
The Border of Life and Death 60 23.15 80.0% 1.07 0.4825 -0.623
Thriving Communities 2353 23.27 42.2% -1.059 -0.7551 -0.941
Thriving Crops 73 10.89 34.25% -0.996 -0.9862 -1.533
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.569
Unnatural Proliferation 2505 26.56 42.99% -0.299 -0.1622 -0.734
Untended Land Crumbles 2398 24.68 45.45% -0.61 -0.2565 -1.017

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 110529 42.32% 24.73 67.25% -0.296 0.5813 0.125
B 112202 40.67% 25.55 68.5% -0.137 0.708 0.37
C 114960 41.92% 26.49 69.03% -0.16 0.5377 0.851
D 102259 40.41% 25.37 68.88% -0.121 0.7205 0.126
E 16624 43.31% 28.07 70.91% -0.208 0.4967 0.056
F 27687 41.13% 28.89 71.81% -0.163 0.666 0.142
G 28380 41.09% 29.53 71.04% 0.07 0.9234 0.382
H 26769 40.64% 29.33 71.79% 0.004 0.8033 0.042
East 11324 43.77% 39.54 62.85% -0.313 0.5607 0.113
Northeast 7998 40.66% 40.96 64.39% -0.242 0.6048 0.291
Northwest 6767 38.88% 40.91 65.49% -0.18 0.6951 0.054
Southeast 1258 34.67% 35.33 64.63% 0.172 1.0871 0.171
Southwest 1189 34.6% 33.74 62.57% 0.129 1.4146 -0.479
West 10157 42.88% 38.74 62.61% -0.948 0.1121 0.132

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 55565 0.0% 13.87 50.09% -1.25 -0.5047 -0.589
Not Using Events or Tokens 158862 44.74% 19.13 62.48% -0.404 0.0033 -0.911
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14650 10.42% 35.25 90.09% 1.513 0.9311 -0.046
Start of Game Growth 18968 14.4% 34.37 86.9% 0.375 -0.263 1.061
Unlimited Undo 40607 30.98% 28.39 78.04% -0.172 -0.1474 0.383
Using Tokens but Not Events 29390 33.41% 29.09 77.71% 0.399 0.3832 -0.347

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 27355 30.41% 30.18 76.85% -0.065 -0.2647 -0.144
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 46 30.43% 22.59 50.0% 0.172 -0.5225 -0.783
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7742 48.28% 25.34 66.66% -0.289 0.0087 -0.115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 64 46.88% 28.13 50.0% 0.824 0.0923 -0.44
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5781 31.39% 29.82 75.89% -0.541 -0.7018 0.329
Downpour Drenches the World 560 36.7% 25.01 68.57% -0.284 -0.0541 0.235
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 515 33.86% 26.86 69.9% 0.67 0.3012 -0.316
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7710 26.43% 26.22 69.18% -0.452 -0.8071 -1.484
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5470 33.65% 33.79 76.49% 0.451 -0.0105 0.359
Finder of Paths Unseen 275 35.32% 22.75 59.27% 0.322 0.9794 0.178
Fractured Days Split the Sky 528 39.07% 28.74 73.3% 0.047 0.7471 0.66
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 547 50.83% 25.61 67.64% -0.341 -0.427 0.239
Heart of the Wildfire 5925 54.08% 29.91 69.43% -0.45 -0.1684 0.138
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15669 34.14% 37.0 74.85% -0.236 -0.5609 0.66
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 76 26.32% 27.92 72.37% -0.255 -0.6608 0.154
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1786 41.83% 30.43 71.89% -0.005 -0.2913 -0.289
Many Minds Move as One 1206 38.1% 29.94 80.1% 0.756 0.6061 0.184
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 21015 35.75% 34.94 75.76% 0.36 0.2734 1.051
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4885 37.85% 29.76 75.23% -0.277 -0.4424 0.152
River Surges in Sunlight 42864 32.72% 30.37 72.66% 0.052 0.1401 0.911
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 41.67% 19.92 41.67% -0.277 -0.3883 -0.255
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 766 41.41% 26.48 65.01% -0.445 0.0129 -1.438
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 387 44.15% 32.4 70.28% -0.497 -0.4892 0.419
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11123 35.21% 35.66 75.92% 0.115 -0.1068 0.971
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14144 44.91% 20.75 62.39% -0.792 -0.2766 0.217
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 80 39.47% 25.06 71.25% 0.427 0.5111 0.376
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 75 40.28% 29.43 73.33% 0.283 -0.2436 0.37
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 81 47.37% 21.58 55.56% -0.238 0.0818 0.126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 271 40.38% 25.31 72.69% -0.001 -0.0474 -0.637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 299 37.94% 25.6 74.25% -0.617 -0.332 0.502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6842 33.24% 34.9 78.65% 0.445 0.3064 0.73
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 126 29.37% 24.98 76.19% 0.951 0.8212 0.384
Shifting Memory of Ages 779 43.23% 26.56 67.39% 0.223 0.5605 0.016
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 46 26.67% 34.04 71.74% 1.112 0.7926 -0.615
Shroud of Silent Mist 678 46.53% 25.05 70.94% 0.714 1.0368 -0.398
Starlight Seeks its Form 1025 32.64% 27.44 74.83% 0.19 0.0476 0.164
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2454 44.76% 29.95 71.07% 0.25 -0.4215 -0.008
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4063 32.63% 30.74 76.72% -0.466 -0.2693 0.547
Thunderspeaker 15070 38.43% 31.4 70.66% -0.152 -0.1657 0.172
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 62 38.71% 23.32 56.45% -0.099 0.122 -0.291
Towering Roots of the Jungle 47 29.79% 21.36 65.96% 0.404 0.3884 -0.943
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1120 60.82% 27.35 65.09% 0.169 0.211 0.083
Vital Strength of the Earth 25854 32.81% 22.14 67.02% -0.384 0.2077 -0.006
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 211 35.53% 23.21 57.82% -1.669 -1.1229 -0.178
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 319 39.46% 22.8 62.07% -0.025 0.6619 -0.869
Volcano Looming High 873 48.31% 27.75 71.82% -0.289 -0.1923 0.035
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 207 32.18% 28.13 82.61% 0.849 0.5337 -0.756

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.94%
Lightning's Boon 86.67%
Raging Storm 89.34%
Shatter Homesteads 98.73%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 67588 15.62 22.63%
II 172108 30.47 71.14%
III 78737 34.79 85.88%
IV 16362 38.43 99.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15292
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 66212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 119414
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16062
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23948
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1192
Lose: Adversary condition 12746
Win: Sacrifice victory 957
Lose: Scenario condition 2509
Win: Scenario condition 3678
Lose: Blight pool ran out 70676
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2109

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.561 Win Model: -0.127

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.067 Win Model: 0.581
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 189409 51.01% 22.32 62.57%
2 87000 43.59% 27.01 68.42%
3 28349 36.92% 30.31 75.38%
4 28169 28.74% 32.26 73.88%
5 512 32.9% 25.36 71.88%
6 1356 17.44% 30.09 76.47%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-07 04:07:45 (Pacific Time)