Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 15.63% 27.7 87.88% 0.477 0.4158 -0.519
Blitz 0 2609 55.64% 25.76 62.71% -0.586 -0.4469 -0.897
Dahan Insurrection 4 2329 33.38% 55.27 72.78% 0.489 0.3153 0.422
Despicable Theft 2 115 47.37% 29.7 66.09% -0.274 0.3924 -2.005
Elemental Invocation 1 213 61.5% 27.27 64.79% -0.043 0.6872 -0.828
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7179 18.33% 43.46 69.75% 0.47 -0.1626 -0.184
Powers Long Forgotten 1 820 50.61% 36.31 67.8% -0.312 0.1583 -0.567
Rituals of Terror 3 667 56.1% 36.45 63.42% -0.359 -0.3474 -0.519
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 316 81.15% 34.05 51.27% -0.437 0.5115 -0.243
Second Wave 0 5700 50.07% 27.23 72.3% 0.179 0.2558 -0.586
The Great River 3 717 53.31% 30.0 65.27% -0.816 0.551 -1.307
Varied Terrains 2 36 44.44% 25.36 63.89% -0.531 0.0384 -1.001
Ward the Shores 2 810 44.42% 37.11 65.31% -0.525 0.7102 -0.554

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 151896 51.34% 23.56 67.0% 0.609 0.8432 -0.04
1 Thematic 6154 59.84% 32.5 58.87% -0.467 0.1597 -0.211
2 Archipelago 41 48.78% 33.61 85.37% -0.514 -0.125 0.793
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 48848 45.92% 27.91 72.88% 0.423 0.6009 0.406
2 Coastline 7042 41.1% 30.27 76.11% 0.77 0.8334 0.1
2 Fragment 1502 46.07% 23.46 69.37% 0.803 0.7159 0.49
2 Heart 680 52.9% 23.83 69.56% 0.478 0.2919 0.909
2 Opposite Shores 9318 40.65% 32.87 76.63% 0.502 0.665 0.651
2 Thematic 3379 46.11% 42.55 65.14% -0.273 0.3331 0.587
2 Top to Top 1657 42.0% 29.67 75.62% 0.562 0.6228 0.387
3 Archipelago 17 23.53% 32.35 88.24% -0.74 -1.7405 0.0
3 Coastline 204 32.49% 36.32 78.92% 0.558 0.1375 0.34
3 Other 918 35.57% 27.32 75.82% 0.152 -0.0441 0.181
3 Round (Default) 22097 37.42% 31.84 79.09% 0.411 0.3933 0.228
3 Sunrise 101 37.63% 36.13 87.13% 0.196 0.4251 1.189
3 Thematic 818 45.27% 39.38 68.09% 0.11 0.128 -0.23
4 Archipelago 24 44.44% 33.83 79.17% -0.169 -0.3554 0.843
4 Coastline 93 34.07% 29.02 69.89% -0.333 -0.1721 -1.005
4 Leaf 95 32.58% 29.82 77.89% -0.126 -0.4898 0.047
4 Other 554 36.56% 31.19 77.62% 0.913 0.0553 0.061
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 -0.3626 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -0.0065 0.0
4 Thematic 3164 31.67% 47.1 71.3% -0.613 -0.6028 -1.075
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19491 29.42% 33.92 82.64% 0.446 0.2629 -0.037
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1911 0.0
5 Coastline 3 33.33% 31.67 100.0% 0.2 0.189 0.232
5 Other 261 35.84% 34.97 86.21% 0.413 -0.0488 -0.171
5 Thematic 31 25.81% 52.61 83.87% -0.259 -0.6615 -0.141
6 Archipelago 20 14.29% 34.25 90.0% 0.05 -0.2004 -0.726
6 Coastline 34 8.33% 28.44 94.12% 0.106 -0.5832 -0.299
6 Other 86 25.71% 38.26 81.4% -0.628 -1.091 -0.395
6 Star 34 9.09% 30.06 82.35% -0.404 0.0812 -0.318
6 Thematic 237 18.14% 40.89 79.75% -1.538 -1.0886 -1.601
6 Two Centers (Default) 457 14.95% 27.8 87.96% -0.812 -0.7066 -1.426
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.155 -0.4351 0.429
7 Other 4 33.33% 44.5 75.0% -0.885 -1.5649 -0.663

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6600 28.27 49.33% -0.811 -0.5382 -0.984
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5781 30.98 53.9% -0.26 -0.1962 -0.683
All Things Weaken 2019 25.23 42.6% -0.795 -0.3255 -1.33
Attenuated Essence 36 18.36 27.78% -1.145 -0.8859 -0.872
Back Against the Wall 5872 29.72 51.57% -0.891 -0.7086 -0.909
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 24.65 51.61% -0.105 0.3592 -1.402
Burn Brightest Before the End 42 21.81 47.62% -0.451 -0.1275 -1.672
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6209 25.54 46.42% -0.615 -0.0706 -1.074
Downward Spiral 28605 20.77 53.94% -0.57 -0.2132 -1.017
Erosion of Will 6391 26.97 46.57% -0.766 -0.3119 -1.086
Intensifying Exploitation 35 20.23 42.86% -0.638 -0.2293 -0.896
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 694 34.28 81.84% 0.999 0.487 -0.421
Memory Fades to Dust 28927 20.5 50.3% -0.536 -0.0362 -1.091
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1981 25.8 45.53% -0.486 -0.1765 -1.288
Promising Farmlands 6428 25.37 44.7% -0.29 0.2962 -1.251
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 23.63 41.86% -0.932 -0.7289 -0.39
Slow Dissolution of Will 40 19.85 42.5% -0.733 -0.1714 -1.87
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 468 34.86 87.18% 0.565 -0.1566 -0.304
The Border of Life and Death 5 30.0 60.0% 0.229 0.1209 -0.472
Thriving Communities 1948 24.44 43.74% -1.556 -1.049 -1.317
Thriving Crops 15 8.27 20.0% -1.214 -1.0966 -1.212
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 -0.1361 -0.973
Unnatural Proliferation 2091 27.33 42.71% -0.812 -0.4939 -1.126
Untended Land Crumbles 1990 25.58 45.93% -0.502 -0.1225 -1.33

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 91399 43.4% 26.91 72.56% -0.98 -0.1095 0.116
B 93326 41.87% 27.75 73.79% -0.875 -0.0716 0.261
C 96388 42.82% 28.61 73.97% -0.884 -0.204 0.868
D 85143 41.31% 27.47 74.1% -0.873 -0.0437 0.148
E 12828 44.78% 30.23 74.38% -0.608 0.0473 -0.0
F 22577 42.09% 31.27 76.07% -0.794 -0.0499 0.149
G 23403 42.29% 31.85 75.04% -0.894 -0.1135 0.316
H 21939 41.9% 31.69 76.2% -0.768 -0.081 -0.003
East 10101 44.88% 41.64 65.74% -0.358 0.2637 0.259
Northeast 7100 41.69% 43.19 67.51% -0.171 0.7387 0.285
Northwest 6033 40.1% 43.01 68.62% -0.125 0.5476 0.262
Southeast 980 38.87% 38.09 70.82% -1.122 -0.4252 0.492
Southwest 928 38.03% 36.2 68.64% -0.557 0.643 -0.41
West 9097 44.1% 40.7 65.49% -0.221 0.7623 0.242

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 43349 0.0% 15.67 56.22% -1.173 -0.2661 -1.001
Not Using Events or Tokens 125930 45.64% 21.03 68.79% -0.389 -0.0725 -0.707
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12697 10.36% 36.85 93.2% 0.993 0.4321 0.431
Start of Game Growth 16418 14.73% 36.07 90.23% 0.3 -0.0115 0.801
Unlimited Undo 34345 32.19% 30.62 84.0% 0.27 0.2437 0.927
Using Tokens but Not Events 25532 33.63% 30.53 80.75% 0.23 0.1647 -0.331

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23705 100.0% 31.77 100.0% 0.286 0.1343 -0.448
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 6521 100.0% 27.52 100.0% -0.198 -0.0885 -0.222
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4851 100.0% 32.27 100.0% -0.326 -0.4862 0.051
Downpour Drenches the World 231 100.0% 29.16 100.0% 0.59 0.7719 0.853
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 126 100.0% 28.25 100.0% 0.9 0.1845 0.124
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5332 100.0% 32.15 100.0% 0.271 -0.3134 0.197
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4589 100.0% 36.24 100.0% 0.066 -0.412 -0.002
Finder of Paths Unseen 122 100.0% 26.06 100.0% -0.929 -0.2258 -0.58
Fractured Days Split the Sky 387 100.0% 31.14 100.0% -0.64 0.0537 0.692
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 344 100.0% 27.85 100.0% -0.574 -0.6715 0.259
Heart of the Wildfire 5375 100.0% 31.05 100.0% 0.143 0.4017 -0.107
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13609 100.0% 39.94 100.0% 0.243 -0.2121 0.724
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1335 100.0% 33.2 100.0% -0.261 -0.4164 -0.459
Many Minds Move as One 946 100.0% 32.09 100.0% 0.375 0.1576 -0.064
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18051 100.0% 37.21 100.0% 0.297 0.2781 0.922
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4179 100.0% 31.59 100.0% 0.039 -0.0977 -0.175
River Surges in Sunlight 35674 101.05% 33.12 100.56% -0.18 -0.1751 0.67
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 571 43.7% 29.2 70.05% -0.905 -0.6513 -1.898
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 156 47.02% 39.1 80.77% 0.655 0.5237 0.693
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9914 100.0% 37.57 100.0% 0.132 -0.0797 0.638
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 11095 102.22% 23.82 100.96% -0.68 -0.2319 0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 38 40.0% 27.21 71.05% 0.47 0.451 0.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 38.71% 23.94 60.61% -0.379 -0.3643 0.069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 180 40.0% 28.38 78.89% 0.274 0.2159 -0.425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 218 41.04% 28.4 79.36% 0.22 0.288 0.679
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6363 100.14% 35.84 100.06% 0.248 0.12 0.406
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 13 30.77% 16.31 69.23% 0.279 -0.0693 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 500 100.0% 28.72 100.0% -0.541 -0.1719 -0.417
Shroud of Silent Mist 427 100.0% 28.03 100.0% -0.135 0.1803 -0.232
Starlight Seeks its Form 600 100.0% 30.88 100.0% 0.281 0.0144 0.183
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2012 100.0% 31.8 100.0% 0.099 -0.3885 -0.393
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3407 100.0% 33.08 100.0% -0.045 -0.0057 0.247
Thunderspeaker 12864 100.05% 33.7 100.06% 0.068 0.0407 -0.055
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 14 50.0% 20.71 42.86% -0.246 -0.2928 -0.782
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 978 100.0% 28.64 100.0% 0.166 0.2263 -0.182
Vital Strength of the Earth 20663 100.78% 24.57 100.37% -0.387 0.1747 -0.39
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 68 34.38% 35.15 77.94% 0.983 1.2397 0.422
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 221 43.33% 26.1 72.4% -0.163 0.7214 -0.843
Volcano Looming High 611 100.0% 29.38 100.0% -0.251 -0.2271 -0.141

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.75%
Lightning's Boon 86.21%
Raging Storm 88.7%
Shatter Homesteads 98.7%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 44640 21.09 31.17%
II 150323 31.04 72.45%
III 69714 34.73 86.17%
IV 14675 38.01 99.37%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13912
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 58803
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 106144
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 14424
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3035
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1043
Lose: Adversary condition 11642
Win: Sacrifice victory 844
Lose: Scenario condition 2327
Win: Scenario condition 3359
Lose: Blight pool ran out 61973
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1846

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.839 Win Model: -0.068

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.278 Win Model: 0.259
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 158175 51.73% 23.92 66.67%
2 72495 44.73% 29.36 73.28%
3 24153 37.53% 32.0 78.67%
4 23470 29.99% 35.61 80.95%
5 183 30.32% 31.83 81.97%
6 876 16.75% 33.19 85.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-28 03:51:06 (Pacific Time)