Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 74 19.18% 25.16 79.73% 0.249 0.3372 -0.633
Blitz 0 3144 53.47% 23.86 58.84% -0.567 -0.3465 -0.629
Dahan Insurrection 4 2722 31.73% 52.75 70.61% 1.216 0.9852 0.761
Despicable Theft 2 144 41.96% 28.17 63.19% -0.11 0.7127 -2.041
Elemental Invocation 1 289 61.25% 24.42 52.25% -0.594 0.4692 -1.325
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7928 18.35% 42.13 68.37% 0.476 -0.2513 0.087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 909 49.89% 34.04 64.14% -1.137 -0.2621 -0.527
Rituals of Terror 3 794 53.59% 33.46 58.82% -0.632 -0.6128 -0.386
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 359 77.53% 31.92 48.47% -0.937 0.224 -0.206
Second Wave 0 6368 49.67% 26.6 70.73% -0.138 -0.032 -0.494
The Great River 3 920 51.86% 27.47 59.46% -1.27 0.1033 -1.772
Varied Terrains 2 87 42.53% 23.34 58.62% 0.403 1.2686 -1.247
Ward the Shores 2 881 43.99% 36.2 64.7% -0.776 0.2767 -0.402

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 177622 50.77% 22.19 63.39% 1.372 1.3899 0.854
1 Thematic 6675 58.96% 31.4 57.18% 0.314 0.7286 0.757
2 Archipelago 56 46.43% 29.7 71.43% -0.219 0.3222 0.334
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 57743 44.72% 25.85 68.24% 0.992 0.9273 1.019
2 Coastline 8238 40.34% 28.1 71.36% 0.508 0.3822 0.75
2 Fragment 1781 46.57% 22.17 65.97% 0.886 0.4328 0.937
2 Heart 851 51.82% 22.29 64.98% 1.078 0.9745 0.957
2 Opposite Shores 10643 40.22% 30.94 73.64% 1.138 0.9451 1.243
2 Thematic 3696 45.1% 40.77 62.96% -0.319 -0.1658 1.477
2 Top to Top 1944 41.71% 27.59 71.3% 0.938 0.7239 1.057
3 Archipelago 22 18.18% 26.86 72.73% -0.406 -1.6191 0.0
3 Coastline 232 32.74% 34.58 75.86% 1.234 0.4969 0.736
3 Other 1079 35.32% 25.51 71.73% 0.341 0.0079 0.147
3 Round (Default) 25360 37.03% 30.44 76.42% 0.51 0.2064 0.509
3 Sunrise 112 39.22% 35.47 88.39% 0.28 0.8333 1.459
3 Thematic 916 42.87% 37.22 64.41% -0.246 -0.6176 0.132
4 Archipelago 35 51.85% 25.57 60.0% -0.899 -1.3927 1.065
4 Coastline 107 37.5% 27.31 65.42% 0.285 -0.4358 -0.956
4 Leaf 120 32.11% 25.32 67.5% -0.26 0.4503 -0.374
4 Other 643 36.17% 28.39 71.85% 0.067 -0.6851 0.402
4 Reverse Snake 8 14.29% 37.13 100.0% 0.0 0.5637 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 -0.9773 0.0
4 Thematic 3342 31.98% 45.91 69.39% -1.428 -1.1375 -1.054
4 Trapezoid (Default) 23005 28.24% 31.03 75.97% -0.81 -0.4939 -0.59
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0293 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 23.75 75.0% -0.455 -0.8433 -0.073
5 Other 514 37.58% 29.53 80.93% 0.35 -0.332 -0.24
5 Thematic 55 25.45% 47.38 70.91% -1.479 -1.3636 -1.03
6 Archipelago 25 8.33% 29.92 80.0% -0.818 -1.5692 -1.377
6 Coastline 45 4.35% 25.47 84.44% -0.438 -0.9458 -1.527
6 Other 125 25.47% 34.36 71.2% -0.499 -0.0755 -1.386
6 Star 58 19.3% 28.74 75.86% -0.939 -0.6839 -0.467
6 Thematic 377 15.73% 35.78 66.58% -1.175 -1.1774 -2.79
6 Two Centers (Default) 683 17.76% 25.53 80.82% -1.124 -1.0951 -2.486
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 0.5244 0.2
7 Other 7 16.67% 29.71 57.14% 0.327 -1.0978 -1.055

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7138 27.76 48.54% -0.21 -0.0659 -0.665
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6217 30.71 53.92% 0.628 0.5939 -0.3
All Things Weaken 2368 24.49 42.4% -0.362 0.0076 -1.043
Attenuated Essence 202 20.11 40.59% -0.45 -0.332 -1.102
Back Against the Wall 6305 29.36 51.74% 0.323 0.4103 -0.562
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 166 22.86 43.37% -0.304 -0.0809 -0.843
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 21.92 45.51% 0.08 0.1855 -0.994
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6744 24.96 45.76% -0.214 0.1585 -0.755
Downward Spiral 33045 19.86 51.94% -0.449 -0.2579 -0.664
Erosion of Will 6901 26.59 46.28% -0.724 -0.434 -0.746
Intensifying Exploitation 189 18.16 38.1% -0.635 -0.3626 -1.689
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 834 32.28 79.02% 1.267 0.7139 -0.161
Memory Fades to Dust 33404 19.58 48.23% -0.614 -0.3038 -0.736
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2346 24.88 45.18% -1.021 -0.7175 -0.955
Promising Farmlands 6968 24.96 44.25% 0.057 0.3982 -0.878
Shattered Fragments of Power 179 24.52 46.93% -0.885 -0.7745 -0.983
Slow Dissolution of Will 203 20.4 40.89% 0.272 0.6955 -1.939
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 545 33.28 85.32% 0.831 0.2271 -0.066
The Border of Life and Death 53 22.94 79.25% 0.649 0.3897 -0.44
Thriving Communities 2295 23.52 42.75% -0.829 -0.5069 -0.956
Thriving Crops 67 11.6 35.82% -0.633 -0.6882 -1.436
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.5138 -0.629
Unnatural Proliferation 2423 26.72 43.05% -0.862 -0.7088 -0.802
Untended Land Crumbles 2332 24.81 45.63% -0.642 -0.3328 -1.049

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 107523 42.52% 24.99 67.95% -1.355 -0.4611 0.055
B 109338 40.84% 25.82 69.21% -1.232 -0.4196 0.301
C 112024 42.08% 26.77 69.72% -1.169 -0.5006 0.817
D 99586 40.64% 25.63 69.6% -1.309 -0.4789 0.082
E 16078 43.59% 28.38 71.46% -1.089 -0.401 0.002
F 26939 41.27% 29.18 72.36% -1.217 -0.4454 0.087
G 27660 41.26% 29.86 71.7% -0.891 -0.1346 0.316
H 26084 40.88% 29.65 72.44% -1.038 -0.2831 -0.022
East 11114 44.01% 39.88 63.31% -1.014 -0.1552 0.091
Northeast 7844 40.88% 41.37 64.92% -0.164 0.5628 0.258
Northwest 6645 39.09% 41.3 66.0% -0.519 0.2854 0.052
Southeast 1219 35.26% 35.59 65.46% -0.673 0.0236 0.166
Southwest 1152 34.93% 34.04 63.45% -1.035 0.3242 -0.471
West 9960 43.13% 39.11 63.13% -1.08 -0.0997 0.133

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 53857 0.0% 14.08 50.84% -1.285 -0.4456 -0.529
Not Using Events or Tokens 153978 44.87% 19.34 63.26% -0.322 0.1153 -0.907
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14350 10.49% 35.46 90.52% 0.721 0.1502 -0.019
Start of Game Growth 18625 14.52% 34.56 87.3% 0.636 0.0908 1.025
Unlimited Undo 39505 31.1% 28.79 79.18% 0.004 0.048 0.398
Using Tokens but Not Events 28831 33.46% 29.25 78.09% 0.318 0.2872 -0.336

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 26830 30.42% 30.39 77.41% 0.156 0.0471 -0.213
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7560 48.62% 25.6 67.25% -0.515 -0.3563 -0.22
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 53 45.28% 28.08 47.17% -0.862 -1.6844 -0.4
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5597 31.98% 30.42 77.22% -0.641 -0.7709 0.292
Downpour Drenches the World 519 37.1% 25.35 69.56% -0.072 0.239 0.38
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 477 34.4% 26.79 70.02% 0.283 -0.1978 -0.325
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7267 27.24% 27.01 71.18% -0.29 -0.7297 -1.501
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5295 33.99% 34.33 77.34% 0.371 -0.0862 0.299
Finder of Paths Unseen 244 36.55% 22.71 58.2% -0.273 0.3871 0.097
Fractured Days Split the Sky 514 39.76% 28.8 73.54% 0.01 0.6692 0.557
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 524 50.39% 25.85 68.13% 0.493 0.5532 0.175
Heart of the Wildfire 5829 54.27% 30.12 69.87% 0.033 0.2904 0.067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 15296 34.65% 37.56 75.88% -0.103 -0.489 0.583
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 61 24.59% 28.56 75.41% 0.482 0.1043 0.266
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1734 42.15% 30.72 72.55% 0.537 0.2143 -0.361
Many Minds Move as One 1163 38.42% 30.19 80.14% 0.198 -0.0085 0.089
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20581 35.83% 35.24 76.29% 0.323 0.2916 0.993
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4798 38.01% 29.96 75.47% -0.079 -0.225 0.06
River Surges in Sunlight 41738 32.78% 30.7 73.42% 0.079 0.1885 0.833
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 738 41.94% 26.59 65.99% -0.212 0.143 -1.711
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 361 44.86% 32.97 71.47% -0.457 -0.5835 0.317
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 10994 35.27% 35.82 76.21% 0.082 -0.0976 0.862
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 13706 45.35% 21.05 63.49% -0.605 -0.0558 0.153
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 79 40.0% 25.05 70.89% 0.221 0.3394 0.35
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 61 45.76% 30.08 77.05% 0.635 0.2626 0.081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 68 49.21% 21.84 57.35% -0.837 -0.6941 0.39
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 257 40.87% 25.82 74.32% 0.759 0.7861 -0.696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 296 38.0% 25.86 75.0% 0.157 0.3093 0.394
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6771 33.36% 35.05 78.94% 0.458 0.3531 0.651
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 107 34.58% 25.18 75.7% 0.152 -0.072 0.161
Shifting Memory of Ages 735 42.35% 26.8 67.89% -0.778 -0.4025 -0.123
Shroud of Silent Mist 646 46.44% 25.2 70.43% -0.411 -0.0446 -0.489
Starlight Seeks its Form 971 32.26% 27.8 76.21% 0.935 0.7369 0.057
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2419 45.0% 30.07 71.1% 0.446 -0.2674 -0.092
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3945 33.05% 31.36 78.23% -0.105 0.0511 0.539
Thunderspeaker 14738 38.57% 31.73 71.24% -0.179 -0.161 0.079
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 60 40.0% 22.7 55.0% -0.579 -0.4732 -0.324
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1106 60.96% 27.38 65.28% 0.277 0.411 0.02
Vital Strength of the Earth 25054 33.11% 22.39 67.93% -0.407 0.1337 -0.051
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 187 37.36% 25.16 63.1% 0.15 0.4875 -0.056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 306 39.72% 22.88 62.42% -1.083 -0.3566 -0.931
Volcano Looming High 839 48.97% 28.01 72.82% 0.396 0.377 -0.0
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 168 36.81% 29.28 82.74% 1.46 1.0283 -0.83

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 94.9%
Lightning's Boon 86.55%
Raging Storm 89.26%
Shatter Homesteads 98.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 63972 16.21 23.52%
II 168887 30.54 71.36%
III 77408 34.77 85.89%
IV 16060 38.38 99.38%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15044
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 65122
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 117500
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15781
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 20599
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1161
Lose: Adversary condition 12555
Win: Sacrifice victory 933
Lose: Scenario condition 2479
Win: Scenario condition 3626
Lose: Blight pool ran out 69447
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2080

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.678 Win Model: -0.113

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.12 Win Model: 0.598
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 184574 51.11% 22.52 63.12%
2 84970 43.74% 27.28 68.99%
3 27702 37.1% 30.55 75.94%
4 27308 29.0% 32.77 75.0%
5 471 34.19% 25.91 73.67%
6 1302 17.87% 30.52 77.42%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-14 05:47:50 (Pacific Time)