Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 90 19.1% 24.86 78.89% 0.925 0.3667 -0.7
Blitz 0 3551 51.74% 22.42 55.76% -0.504 -0.0806 -0.731
Dahan Insurrection 4 3036 30.56% 50.71 69.17% 0.687 0.2047 0.775
Despicable Theft 2 160 39.62% 28.16 63.75% -0.554 -0.0109 -1.959
Elemental Invocation 1 323 57.59% 24.67 52.94% -0.441 0.297 -1.242
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8493 18.02% 41.21 67.2% 0.137 -0.5195 0.226
Powers Long Forgotten 1 970 49.12% 32.76 62.16% -0.566 -0.0036 -0.464
Rituals of Terror 3 961 52.44% 30.28 52.03% -1.631 -1.773 -0.585
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 390 76.23% 30.75 47.18% -1.948 -1.1994 -0.263
Second Wave 0 6726 49.45% 26.28 69.94% -0.295 -0.2008 -0.476
The Great River 3 1039 51.21% 27.22 58.81% -0.412 0.8336 -1.275
Varied Terrains 2 137 43.07% 22.92 55.47% -0.569 0.2994 -1.412
Ward the Shores 2 939 43.0% 35.17 63.68% -1.12 -0.266 -0.484

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 196214 50.19% 21.5 61.49% 0.042 0.4152 0.917
1 Thematic 7123 57.85% 30.5 55.72% -0.305 0.4089 0.877
2 Archipelago 82 48.78% 29.05 69.51% 0.726 1.2502 0.227
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 63747 43.99% 24.83 65.69% 0.136 0.2974 1.051
2 Coastline 9084 39.81% 27.29 69.51% 0.382 0.1893 0.816
2 Fragment 1965 45.86% 21.56 64.78% 0.714 0.6663 1.038
2 Heart 935 50.46% 21.43 63.1% 0.017 -0.1953 0.999
2 Opposite Shores 11554 39.89% 29.91 71.85% 0.396 0.5287 1.289
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4441 0.0
2 Thematic 3916 44.76% 39.56 61.21% -0.029 0.6916 1.56
2 Top to Top 2131 41.17% 26.65 69.22% 0.418 0.3334 1.153
3 Archipelago 26 15.38% 25.54 69.23% 0.298 -0.2457 0.0
3 Coastline 268 35.27% 33.2 73.51% 0.928 0.2978 0.319
3 Other 1153 35.71% 24.7 69.47% -0.736 -1.6122 0.256
3 Round (Default) 27579 36.73% 29.6 74.54% 0.531 0.5076 0.452
3 Sunrise 118 38.68% 35.17 87.29% 0.0 -0.4466 1.458
3 Thematic 1062 42.16% 34.75 59.51% -0.182 -0.1742 0.163
4 Archipelago 51 52.78% 21.9 52.94% 0.061 -0.0906 1.07
4 Coastline 118 38.6% 27.36 66.1% 0.0 0.1293 -0.942
4 Leaf 147 30.0% 23.94 65.99% 0.483 0.9185 -0.266
4 Other 718 36.41% 26.05 66.02% 0.172 -0.3956 0.44
4 Reverse Snake 9 12.5% 33.0 88.89% 0.0 0.446 0.0
4 Snake 7 71.43% 32.43 42.86% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3535 31.61% 44.42 67.16% 0.211 0.2744 -1.031
4 Trapezoid (Default) 25549 27.76% 29.73 72.94% 0.589 0.5945 -0.674
5 Archipelago 4 50.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.2088 0.0
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 26.0 80.0% 0.308 -0.7131 -0.176
5 Other 621 35.87% 27.43 76.81% 0.837 0.5131 0.092
5 Thematic 63 24.19% 47.35 66.67% -0.742 -0.8848 -1.07
6 Archipelago 31 5.56% 26.94 70.97% -0.234 -1.2716 -1.575
6 Coastline 49 3.7% 25.1 81.63% -0.286 -1.3441 -1.722
6 Other 145 24.39% 31.81 68.97% 0.247 0.2026 -1.495
6 Star 68 17.91% 27.4 70.59% -1.329 -0.6966 -0.487
6 Thematic 450 15.8% 34.55 62.0% 0.04 0.2434 -2.716
6 Two Centers (Default) 813 15.79% 23.53 75.28% -1.356 -0.8819 -2.59
7 Archipelago 3 66.67% 33.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.3239 0.242
7 Other 9 25.0% 26.0 55.56% 0.316 -0.3595 -0.976

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 7452 27.62 48.44% -0.364 -0.2926 -0.494
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6483 30.51 53.89% -0.157 -0.2663 -0.122
All Things Weaken 2598 24.22 42.26% -0.599 -0.4221 -0.89
Attenuated Essence 328 20.62 41.16% -0.461 -0.4095 -1.185
Back Against the Wall 6557 29.14 51.33% -0.57 -0.5857 -0.4
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 300 23.03 41.67% -0.034 0.15 -0.904
Burn Brightest Before the End 266 23.94 47.74% -0.087 0.0003 -0.893
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7086 24.72 45.64% -0.398 -0.1069 -0.57
Downward Spiral 36211 19.47 50.95% -0.243 -0.1372 -0.503
Erosion of Will 7214 26.39 46.01% -0.373 -0.2074 -0.615
Intensifying Exploitation 337 17.95 35.31% -0.796 -0.6077 -1.433
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 913 31.36 77.33% -0.246 -0.6741 -0.053
Memory Fades to Dust 36624 19.2 47.21% -0.518 -0.2832 -0.58
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2568 24.48 44.78% -0.855 -0.7591 -0.807
Promising Farmlands 7301 24.59 43.67% -0.963 -0.5983 -0.741
Shattered Fragments of Power 298 24.28 44.63% -0.518 -0.4529 -0.712
Slow Dissolution of Will 343 19.44 38.19% -0.675 -0.2117 -1.775
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 592 32.88 83.11% 0.292 -0.3088 -0.057
The Border of Life and Death 80 23.77 78.75% 0.134 -0.3415 -0.644
Thriving Communities 2510 23.06 42.35% -0.64 -0.4143 -0.859
Thriving Crops 111 17.45 44.14% 0.722 0.4977 -0.894
Tipping Point 3211 27.35 46.65% 0.0 0.1123 -0.462
Unnatural Proliferation 2669 26.21 42.86% -0.314 -0.1926 -0.643
Untended Land Crumbles 2550 24.4 45.25% -0.166 0.0659 -0.942

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 119064 41.82% 24.03 65.51% -0.27 0.6484 0.068
B 120343 40.3% 24.87 66.79% -0.273 0.5682 0.29
C 123269 41.48% 25.81 67.36% -0.188 0.4952 0.777
D 109913 40.0% 24.68 67.14% -0.171 0.6715 0.074
E 18399 42.73% 27.3 69.43% 0.159 0.8108 -0.004
F 29718 41.01% 28.3 70.59% 0.064 0.8235 0.085
G 30326 41.0% 28.91 69.97% -0.055 0.7027 0.326
H 28614 40.42% 28.8 70.81% -0.114 0.604 0.026
East 11886 43.46% 38.63 61.35% -0.266 0.5472 0.075
Northeast 8414 40.29% 39.92 62.72% -0.518 0.15 0.3
Northwest 7259 38.03% 39.41 63.08% -0.706 0.0987 0.12
Southeast 1348 34.51% 34.82 63.35% 0.464 1.1694 0.288
Southwest 1281 34.36% 33.04 60.97% -0.391 0.999 -0.509
West 10823 42.3% 37.5 60.56% -0.229 0.5649 -0.005

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 60779 0.0% 13.35 48.22% -1.17 -0.4515 -0.635
Not Using Events or Tokens 174075 44.27% 18.54 60.31% -0.397 0.0874 -0.949
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15409 10.25% 34.96 89.21% 1.251 0.5201 -0.126
Start of Game Growth 19942 14.31% 34.02 85.84% 0.505 0.0587 1.025
Unlimited Undo 43209 31.06% 27.92 76.64% 0.547 0.5142 0.38
Using Tokens but Not Events 31391 33.13% 28.68 76.81% 0.499 0.3362 -0.34

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 28908 30.14% 29.58 75.4% 0.134 0.0267 -0.17
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 138 35.51% 26.5 56.52% 0.024 -0.464 -0.401
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8276 47.57% 24.61 65.07% -0.204 -0.0608 -0.125
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 90 45.98% 27.17 54.44% -0.086 -0.8344 0.082
Dances Up Earthquakes 32 56.25% 20.78 53.13% -0.294 -0.4703 -0.727
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6099 31.49% 29.24 74.59% -0.374 -0.5808 0.367
Downpour Drenches the World 687 34.73% 24.29 66.67% 0.424 0.7442 0.151
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 711 34.38% 25.96 67.09% 0.339 -0.101 -0.212
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8175 26.41% 25.84 68.76% -0.13 -0.4737 -1.42
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5748 33.75% 33.14 75.56% 0.093 -0.261 0.331
Finder of Paths Unseen 336 35.58% 22.45 59.52% 0.339 1.1234 0.139
Fractured Days Split the Sky 572 38.78% 27.97 71.5% -1.483 -1.0351 0.758
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 635 50.64% 25.16 66.77% 0.51 0.4866 0.183
Heart of the Wildfire 6145 53.86% 29.42 68.46% -0.449 -0.1224 0.044
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16098 34.12% 36.7 74.43% 0.457 -0.0385 0.647
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 120 25.0% 27.43 69.17% -0.039 -0.6018 -0.733
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2051 41.15% 29.83 70.21% 0.083 -0.0731 -0.365
Many Minds Move as One 1305 39.12% 29.71 79.23% 1.099 0.8927 0.315
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 22491 35.4% 33.86 73.87% 0.095 0.2245 1.011
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 36 31.43% 31.81 86.11% 1.197 1.3023 0.806
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5152 37.6% 29.13 74.42% 0.079 0.0291 0.139
River Surges in Sunlight 46329 32.19% 29.35 70.3% -0.152 -0.1191 0.861
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 67 32.84% 19.21 41.79% -0.125 0.083 -0.927
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 867 41.73% 25.71 63.21% 0.274 0.4247 -1.331
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 511 42.37% 31.35 66.34% -0.385 -0.3758 0.268
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 11463 34.93% 35.22 75.06% 0.27 0.1715 0.981
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 22 68.18% 24.32 63.64% 0.314 -0.1774 0.179
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15635 43.69% 19.85 59.63% -0.557 -0.0454 0.189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 39.08% 25.07 68.09% 0.15 0.1064 0.576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 122 38.66% 29.74 71.31% -0.515 -0.9637 1.178
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 88 45.78% 20.74 53.41% -0.709 -0.6504 0.126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 300 41.1% 24.44 70.33% 0.574 0.3831 -0.524
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 328 39.15% 25.27 73.17% 0.9 0.984 0.535
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 7009 33.29% 34.62 78.19% -0.01 -0.1077 0.713
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 199 28.06% 25.01 71.86% -0.707 -0.9017 0.346
Shifting Memory of Ages 942 41.32% 24.55 61.46% -0.085 0.3043 -0.759
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 108 35.51% 30.06 62.04% 0.322 0.2704 -1.019
Shroud of Silent Mist 763 47.74% 24.48 69.2% -0.814 -0.4002 -0.526
Starlight Seeks its Form 1152 33.74% 26.65 72.66% -0.3 -0.3397 0.146
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2628 44.31% 29.38 70.4% 0.275 -0.2274 -0.047
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4271 32.56% 30.37 76.0% 0.045 0.1285 0.585
Thunderspeaker 16025 38.19% 30.62 69.16% -0.149 -0.155 0.131
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 76 38.16% 24.75 59.21% 0.386 0.775 0.046
Towering Roots of the Jungle 118 39.83% 24.23 62.71% 0.163 0.3732 -0.2
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1184 60.81% 26.93 64.44% 0.059 0.136 0.066
Vital Strength of the Earth 28341 32.08% 21.36 64.38% -0.564 -0.1149 -0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 262 38.06% 24.0 54.2% -0.636 -0.1413 -0.1
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 362 39.52% 22.28 60.22% -0.504 0.189 -0.982
Volcano Looming High 994 48.66% 26.71 69.32% 0.11 0.1744 -0.032
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 276 27.68% 27.58 81.52% 0.569 0.3194 -0.821

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 95.02%
Lightning's Boon 86.87%
Raging Storm 89.54%
Shatter Homesteads 98.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 77858 14.25 20.57%
II 181815 30.3 70.69%
III 82844 34.84 85.82%
IV 17108 38.61 99.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16008
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 69589
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 125400
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16790
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 33419
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1248
Lose: Adversary condition 13267
Win: Sacrifice victory 1006
Lose: Scenario condition 2602
Win: Scenario condition 3832
Lose: Blight pool ran out 74265
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2199

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.405 Win Model: -0.077

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.126 Win Model: 0.019
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 203725 50.49% 21.8 61.24%
2 93416 43.11% 26.26 66.69%
3 30180 36.84% 29.66 73.91%
4 30178 28.53% 31.34 72.03%
5 599 31.94% 24.95 69.78%
6 1527 16.68% 28.33 72.43%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)