Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 97 22.68% 26.69 83.51% 0.087 0.0253 1.079
Blitz 0 3134 43.41% 33.59 65.7% -0.207 -0.0677 -1.715
Dahan Insurrection 4 3190 24.62% 57.96 81.66% -0.519 -0.6926 0.339
Despicable Theft 2 255 45.1% 36.96 78.43% -0.191 0.4756 -0.165
Elemental Invocation 1 527 49.91% 30.47 68.69% -0.827 -0.0959 -1.449
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 21864 15.73% 51.64 78.5% 0.487 -0.1458 0.133
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1938 30.63% 45.4 82.61% -0.363 0.1077 -0.95
Rituals of Terror 3 831 38.92% 44.63 81.11% -0.635 -0.6234 -0.038
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1752 67.64% 32.4 66.44% -1.241 -0.2925 -0.825
Second Wave 0 8000 44.71% 29.57 76.59% -0.139 -0.0624 -0.857
The Great River 3 516 47.08% 34.8 68.8% -1.251 0.1155 -1.43
Varied Terrains 2 144 43.06% 31.38 77.08% -0.31 0.2587 -1.646
Ward the Shores 2 1370 34.9% 38.42 74.67% -1.541 -0.3062 -0.369

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 201419 42.52% 38.66 77.26% 0.333 0.5663 0.044
1 Thematic 9742 47.91% 37.04 66.75% -0.604 0.0227 -0.276
2 Archipelago 104 35.58% 38.65 82.69% 0.485 0.8739 -0.879
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 44170 43.85% 35.43 77.18% 0.0 0.1779 -0.304
2 Coastline 7450 38.75% 35.83 78.63% -0.037 0.0269 -0.473
2 Fragment 1288 47.61% 33.75 76.71% 0.186 0.0984 0.449
2 Heart 743 51.92% 31.92 72.54% 0.29 0.1036 0.248
2 Opposite Shores 10257 37.66% 35.48 78.45% 0.053 0.2159 -0.569
2 Thematic 4669 38.21% 39.24 73.83% -0.554 0.0523 -0.44
2 Top to Top 1549 42.03% 36.84 77.86% -0.104 -0.0433 -0.076
3 Archipelago 78 28.21% 42.9 91.03% -0.335 -1.3361 -0.074
3 Coastline 277 34.78% 44.47 82.67% -0.365 -0.7851 0.679
3 Other 1393 31.64% 34.87 86.0% -0.147 -0.3427 0.454
3 Round (Default) 28165 34.58% 35.91 81.26% -0.023 -0.0409 -0.449
3 Sunrise 136 29.41% 36.71 88.24% 0.173 0.4013 0.358
3 Thematic 1243 35.21% 36.11 76.43% -0.688 -0.6706 -0.545
4 Archipelago 76 40.54% 38.76 80.26% -1.335 -1.5218 -0.432
4 Coastline 193 21.05% 52.38 94.3% -0.432 -0.2706 1.255
4 Leaf 118 39.83% 35.78 83.9% 0.364 0.0002 0.132
4 Other 1032 32.04% 37.03 88.86% 0.534 -0.3245 0.252
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.3626 0.485
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.549 0.5422 -0.585
4 Thematic 5800 27.4% 49.6 80.67% -0.387 -0.3767 -0.139
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19251 30.82% 40.39 81.95% 0.145 -0.0387 -0.215
5 Archipelago 26 53.85% 46.85 88.46% 0.137 -1.0539 0.009
5 Coastline 103 6.8% 59.87 91.26% -0.726 -0.7367 -0.184
5 Other 646 34.55% 38.59 85.76% -0.331 -0.7924 0.318
5 Thematic 101 40.0% 47.15 85.15% -0.17 -0.5726 0.522
6 Archipelago 61 21.43% 44.67 85.25% -0.247 -0.4965 -0.998
6 Coastline 47 11.43% 47.51 91.49% -0.414 -1.1034 -0.105
6 Other 285 25.62% 41.66 74.39% -0.331 -0.7945 -0.77
6 Star 186 32.26% 36.12 79.03% -0.363 0.1217 0.073
6 Thematic 894 25.62% 45.17 74.05% -1.077 -0.6277 -0.192
6 Two Centers (Default) 870 21.54% 37.84 78.51% -0.598 -0.4918 -0.955
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 66.67% -0.449 -1.0389 0.0
7 Other 11 9.09% 41.27 90.91% 0.37 -0.3104 -0.71

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 12345 35.71 60.24% -0.062 0.2105 -0.8
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10800 37.23 61.41% 0.113 0.1766 -0.713
All Things Weaken 5543 36.58 56.76% -0.711 -0.2418 -1.013
Attenuated Essence 115 31.1 46.09% -0.53 -0.2708 -1.318
Back Against the Wall 10494 35.82 58.11% -0.294 -0.1121 -0.849
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 93 30.51 40.86% -0.657 -0.1934 -1.334
Burn Brightest Before the End 94 29.87 43.62% -0.656 -0.332 -1.33
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11671 32.2 55.09% -0.507 0.0368 -1.142
Downward Spiral 15151 33.92 65.18% -0.243 0.1139 -0.738
Erosion of Will 12054 33.76 56.15% -0.225 0.2289 -1.145
Intensifying Exploitation 136 33.43 51.47% -0.311 0.098 -1.11
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2819 43.56 80.7% 0.416 -0.0955 -0.049
Memory Fades to Dust 15522 32.71 60.73% -0.381 0.1185 -0.9
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5409 36.95 58.83% -0.384 -0.0739 -0.879
Promising Farmlands 12276 32.85 55.73% -0.491 0.0953 -1.11
Shattered Fragments of Power 101 37.33 56.44% -0.143 0.0597 -0.946
Slow Dissolution of Will 137 32.48 45.26% -0.511 0.0497 -1.27
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1809 43.16 83.2% 0.771 0.0488 0.038
The Border of Life and Death 43 30.95 55.81% -0.207 -0.3154 -1.006
Thriving Communities 5406 36.7 58.88% -0.41 0.0978 -0.772
Thriving Crops 58 37.98 56.9% 0.088 0.2048 -0.908
Tipping Point 4894 32.57 56.15% 0.115 -0.0209 -1.258
Unnatural Proliferation 5754 38.78 60.5% -0.076 0.2418 -0.755
Untended Land Crumbles 5492 36.58 59.1% -0.345 0.0344 -0.845

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 80863 40.87% 36.01 76.84% -0.886 -0.0157 -0.166
B 89679 39.39% 37.21 78.4% -0.854 -0.0503 0.182
C 99450 37.65% 38.54 79.81% -0.698 -0.0177 0.415
D 76907 38.92% 36.01 79.39% -0.755 0.0749 0.207
E 35318 40.05% 39.02 78.32% -0.69 -0.034 0.194
F 49114 39.4% 38.68 78.65% -0.608 0.1366 0.149
G 38951 39.23% 37.49 78.89% -0.799 -0.0188 0.208
H 48576 35.12% 40.01 81.84% -0.479 0.2085 0.473
East 16976 35.33% 43.12 75.4% -0.814 -0.1915 0.144
Northeast 11400 32.96% 44.21 76.09% -0.271 0.6386 -0.392
Northwest 9264 31.11% 45.08 77.59% -0.128 0.5447 -0.13
Southeast 3341 34.89% 42.99 76.8% -0.263 0.4334 0.045
Southwest 3338 41.39% 39.13 69.11% -0.911 0.2892 -1.333
West 15536 36.22% 42.24 73.89% -1.094 -0.1108 -0.383

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3340 0.0% 24.56 84.04% -1.061 -0.1548 -0.92
Not Using Events or Tokens 357 45.61% 22.95 84.31% -0.532 -0.2155 0.416
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10912 7.35% 49.99 93.05% 0.792 0.2305 -0.372
Start of Game Growth 16317 13.61% 50.25 89.54% 0.457 0.1449 0.412
Unlimited Undo 33590 32.44% 42.78 84.89% -0.119 -0.1446 0.901
Using Tokens but Not Events 39100 30.5% 33.71 85.8% 0.213 0.1477 0.049

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23601 100.0% 37.81 100.0% -0.054 -0.2056 -0.216
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5435 100.0% 33.52 100.0% -0.509 -0.4001 -0.224
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5362 100.0% 35.88 100.0% 0.057 -0.1031 -0.055
Downpour Drenches the World 1075 100.0% 36.4 100.0% -0.177 0.0045 0.244
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 908 100.0% 34.99 100.0% 0.367 -0.3488 -0.277
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9451 100.0% 36.24 100.0% 0.133 -0.4515 0.181
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6999 100.0% 40.53 100.0% 0.043 -0.4355 0.032
Finder of Paths Unseen 803 100.0% 35.31 100.0% 0.206 0.9086 0.72
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1992 100.0% 43.84 100.0% 0.251 0.9452 0.302
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1488 100.0% 37.59 100.0% -0.178 -0.2749 -0.019
Heart of the Wildfire 8896 100.0% 33.65 100.0% -0.355 -0.0964 -0.191
Lightning's Swift Strike 13609 121.53% 39.94 105.92% 0.298 0.5007 0.476
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 731 43.15% 42.18 69.22% 0.127 -0.5819 -0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1099 36.19% 43.63 83.53% 0.046 -0.2626 0.859
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2649 30.97% 48.77 84.94% 0.44 0.2641 0.7
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8275 100.0% 39.41 100.0% -0.012 -0.1674 -0.179
Many Minds Move as One 2917 100.0% 38.05 100.0% 0.307 0.09 0.437
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17060 100.0% 40.17 100.0% 0.323 0.3041 0.431
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5461 100.0% 37.33 100.0% 0.023 -0.1139 0.094
River Surges in Sunlight 16274 110.41% 40.86 103.31% -0.188 -0.184 0.163
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2028 33.86% 41.21 80.08% -0.549 -0.2951 -0.129
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 586 37.59% 42.67 76.96% 0.265 0.1332 0.036
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13027 100.0% 39.35 100.0% -0.05 -0.2622 0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4800 117.48% 32.16 108.13% 0.238 0.6867 -0.738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 137 32.84% 36.31 78.83% 0.406 0.3868 -0.101
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 118 33.91% 33.57 75.42% -0.344 -0.3288 -0.637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 712 46.54% 35.72 69.38% -0.159 -0.2174 -0.665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 511 40.84% 35.49 77.69% -0.127 -0.0588 -0.394
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 18462 100.62% 40.01 100.34% 0.092 -0.0362 0.314
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 176 34.48% 35.65 64.2% 0.291 -0.0566 0.223
Shifting Memory of Ages 2054 100.0% 34.77 100.0% -0.383 -0.0144 -0.264
Shroud of Silent Mist 1306 100.0% 33.17 100.0% -0.35 -0.0345 -0.266
Starlight Seeks its Form 2686 100.0% 39.01 100.0% 0.068 -0.1982 0.327
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7505 100.0% 37.67 100.0% 0.054 -0.4332 -0.005
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5211 100.0% 40.15 100.0% 0.148 0.1877 0.724
Thunderspeaker 16640 100.46% 40.56 100.31% 0.269 0.2411 0.088
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 109 29.36% 25.51 53.21% -0.268 -0.315 -1.498
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2996 100.0% 34.34 100.0% 0.002 0.0626 -0.113
Vital Strength of the Earth 7665 108.1% 32.87 103.27% -0.616 -0.0538 -0.608
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 359 34.55% 38.55 74.65% 0.045 0.3018 0.275
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 645 39.56% 36.85 75.19% -0.372 0.5118 -0.548
Volcano Looming High 3928 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.198 0.222 0.511

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.73%
Regrow From Roots 80.32%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.93%
Towering Wrath 89.32%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 63117 21.09 26.07%
II 149038 31.04 83.59%
III 99617 34.73 94.92%
IV 30741 38.01 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16447
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 92738
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 120846
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30443
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2751
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2307
Lose: Adversary condition 28719
Win: Sacrifice victory 743
Lose: Scenario condition 4450
Win: Scenario condition 5007
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36675
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1387

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.734 Win Model: -0.155

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.12 Win Model: 0.053
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 211933 42.79% 38.59 76.79%
2 69998 42.1% 35.66 77.28%
3 31186 34.39% 35.98 81.35%
4 26538 30.08% 42.42 82.1%
5 528 24.32% 39.56 83.71%
6 2330 24.56% 41.18 76.87%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-28 03:51:06 (Pacific Time)