Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 99 23.23% 26.55 82.83% 0.055 -0.1488 1.09
Blitz 0 3173 42.93% 33.81 65.62% -0.198 -0.0456 -1.664
Dahan Insurrection 4 3232 24.3% 57.69 81.34% -0.452 -0.6919 0.331
Despicable Theft 2 262 44.66% 36.42 77.48% -0.541 0.2344 -0.205
Elemental Invocation 1 537 49.35% 30.53 68.9% -0.771 0.0116 -1.437
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 22012 15.71% 51.63 78.43% 0.582 -0.0325 0.147
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1949 30.77% 45.3 82.4% -0.245 0.2675 -0.955
Rituals of Terror 3 835 38.98% 44.57 81.08% -0.565 -0.4973 -0.033
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1758 67.52% 32.37 66.38% -1.208 -0.2081 -0.852
Second Wave 0 8064 44.63% 29.54 76.49% -0.14 -0.0743 -0.848
The Great River 3 520 46.72% 34.8 68.85% -0.941 0.4127 -1.423
Varied Terrains 2 161 44.1% 30.25 72.05% -0.719 -0.1733 -1.641
Ward the Shores 2 1377 34.86% 38.35 74.66% -1.448 -0.298 -0.372

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 203036 42.49% 38.61 77.09% 0.185 0.4094 0.023
1 Thematic 9761 47.87% 37.0 66.7% -0.775 -0.1532 -0.296
2 Archipelago 104 35.58% 38.65 82.69% 0.39 0.803 -0.881
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 44472 43.77% 35.38 77.07% -0.106 0.043 -0.327
2 Coastline 7514 38.74% 35.72 78.28% -0.249 -0.2154 -0.504
2 Fragment 1294 47.7% 33.69 76.58% 0.099 0.0192 0.425
2 Heart 758 52.35% 32.0 72.69% 0.298 -0.0552 0.24
2 Opposite Shores 10320 37.68% 35.46 78.28% -0.142 -0.0371 -0.576
2 Thematic 4683 38.18% 39.19 73.73% -0.763 -0.0826 -0.462
2 Top to Top 1566 41.96% 36.64 77.39% -0.242 -0.2561 -0.11
3 Archipelago 79 27.85% 42.9 91.14% -0.443 -1.8549 -0.066
3 Coastline 278 34.66% 44.31 82.37% -0.542 -1.0265 0.695
3 Other 1404 31.68% 34.79 85.83% -0.213 -0.0383 0.456
3 Round (Default) 28370 34.55% 35.87 81.12% -0.113 -0.2406 -0.471
3 Sunrise 136 29.41% 36.71 88.24% 0.202 0.3437 0.354
3 Thematic 1247 35.18% 36.07 76.34% -0.927 -0.8964 -0.563
4 Archipelago 77 40.0% 38.83 80.52% -0.94 -1.5152 -0.447
4 Coastline 193 21.05% 52.38 94.3% -1.25 -0.9406 1.256
4 Leaf 122 38.52% 35.16 84.43% 0.741 0.1146 0.138
4 Other 1038 32.04% 36.97 88.92% 0.737 -0.3265 0.246
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.4584 0.478
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.517 0.1208 -0.595
4 Thematic 5819 27.42% 49.54 80.65% -0.243 -0.3204 -0.164
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19339 30.84% 40.34 81.89% 0.105 -0.1419 -0.225
5 Archipelago 26 53.85% 46.85 88.46% 0.0 -1.0477 0.013
5 Coastline 103 6.8% 59.87 91.26% -0.74 -0.8498 -0.17
5 Other 670 35.57% 37.99 85.07% -0.317 -0.9389 0.278
5 Thematic 103 40.2% 46.93 84.47% -0.381 -0.5026 0.458
6 Archipelago 63 20.69% 43.71 84.13% -0.658 -0.4766 -0.98
6 Coastline 48 11.11% 47.79 91.67% -0.289 -1.137 -0.089
6 Other 293 25.26% 41.26 74.4% -0.322 -0.7932 -0.791
6 Star 199 33.67% 35.88 79.9% -0.219 -0.1774 0.05
6 Thematic 943 25.99% 44.99 72.96% -0.798 -0.4498 -0.233
6 Two Centers (Default) 923 20.94% 37.5 76.38% -0.48 -0.5884 -1.145
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 66.67% -0.374 -0.744 0.0
7 Other 11 9.09% 41.27 90.91% 0.432 -0.5075 -0.725

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 12403 35.7 60.19% 0.003 0.214 -0.785
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10852 37.24 61.42% 0.25 0.218 -0.69
All Things Weaken 5591 36.5 56.61% -0.693 -0.2808 -0.993
Attenuated Essence 149 30.45 44.3% -0.453 -0.3009 -1.36
Back Against the Wall 10554 35.81 58.03% -0.249 -0.1412 -0.836
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 132 31.53 44.7% -0.481 -0.1426 -1.183
Burn Brightest Before the End 122 31.75 45.08% -0.432 -0.1945 -1.312
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11723 32.19 55.05% -0.496 -0.0252 -1.121
Downward Spiral 15211 33.91 65.1% -0.298 -0.0116 -0.718
Erosion of Will 12108 33.73 56.06% -0.193 0.1556 -1.129
Intensifying Exploitation 163 33.7 51.53% -0.177 0.1688 -0.966
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2853 43.49 80.51% 0.439 -0.0894 -0.043
Memory Fades to Dust 15584 32.68 60.66% -0.35 0.0671 -0.88
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5445 36.86 58.7% -0.335 -0.0759 -0.863
Promising Farmlands 12324 32.87 55.74% -0.309 0.2096 -1.083
Shattered Fragments of Power 133 36.5 55.64% -0.006 0.1032 -1.269
Slow Dissolution of Will 180 32.67 43.89% -0.434 0.039 -1.379
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1822 42.98 82.77% 0.279 -0.3375 0.043
The Border of Life and Death 58 34.02 60.34% 0.182 -0.1216 -0.915
Thriving Communities 5453 36.64 58.83% -0.318 0.0828 -0.752
Thriving Crops 72 38.43 56.94% 0.188 0.1598 -0.763
Tipping Point 4894 32.57 56.15% 0.12 -0.0412 -1.236
Unnatural Proliferation 5799 38.73 60.42% -0.026 0.2102 -0.729
Untended Land Crumbles 5548 36.49 58.92% -0.355 -0.0539 -0.832

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 81373 40.83% 35.97 76.72% -0.841 0.0092 -0.167
B 90305 39.36% 37.16 78.23% -0.859 -0.0465 0.162
C 100125 37.64% 38.48 79.66% -0.747 -0.063 0.4
D 77415 38.9% 35.97 79.25% -0.734 0.0903 0.192
E 35793 39.98% 38.91 78.09% -0.587 0.0609 0.185
F 49590 39.36% 38.61 78.47% -0.607 0.1398 0.139
G 39371 39.19% 37.43 78.68% -0.751 0.0159 0.203
H 49059 35.07% 39.95 81.63% -0.46 0.2207 0.463
East 17074 35.31% 43.07 75.28% -0.637 0.0068 0.161
Northeast 11479 32.95% 44.15 75.93% -0.41 0.4087 -0.393
Northwest 9336 31.12% 45.02 77.42% -0.416 0.3158 -0.129
Southeast 3406 34.84% 42.92 76.37% -0.282 0.4482 0.036
Southwest 3401 41.18% 39.09 68.77% -0.95 0.1429 -1.305
West 15626 36.19% 42.2 73.79% -1.192 -0.2385 -0.405

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3353 0.0% 24.54 83.95% -1.08 -0.2458 -0.885
Not Using Events or Tokens 357 45.61% 22.95 84.31% -0.3 0.0295 0.42
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11032 7.38% 49.94 92.72% 0.906 0.3204 -0.357
Start of Game Growth 16484 13.64% 50.17 89.2% 0.345 0.0739 0.39
Unlimited Undo 33870 32.39% 42.69 84.66% -0.111 -0.1174 0.887
Using Tokens but Not Events 39378 30.47% 33.67 85.66% 0.192 0.1218 0.037

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23747 100.0% 37.74 100.0% -0.108 -0.256 -0.221
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5452 100.0% 33.49 100.0% -0.335 -0.2274 -0.229
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5411 100.0% 35.85 100.0% 0.106 -0.0642 -0.017
Downpour Drenches the World 1108 100.0% 36.1 100.0% -0.218 -0.024 0.254
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1078 100.0% 34.14 100.0% 0.366 -0.4154 -0.268
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9510 100.0% 36.18 100.0% 0.146 -0.4417 0.185
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7056 100.0% 40.48 100.0% 0.105 -0.377 0.042
Finder of Paths Unseen 833 100.0% 35.23 100.0% 0.009 0.6929 0.821
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2053 100.0% 43.49 100.0% 0.187 0.8374 0.246
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1523 100.0% 37.43 100.0% -0.164 -0.2518 -0.018
Heart of the Wildfire 8931 100.0% 33.59 100.0% -0.414 -0.1601 -0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 13669 121.83% 39.89 106.12% 0.187 0.419 0.489
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 773 42.61% 41.72 68.43% 0.121 -0.5463 -0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1107 36.29% 43.62 83.65% 0.151 -0.0651 0.875
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2679 30.92% 48.55 84.62% 0.301 0.1752 0.684
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8416 100.0% 39.19 100.0% -0.155 -0.2867 -0.198
Many Minds Move as One 2942 100.0% 37.96 100.0% 0.26 0.0608 0.416
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17133 100.0% 40.13 100.0% 0.297 0.2883 0.431
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5505 100.0% 37.3 100.0% 0.082 -0.0664 0.113
River Surges in Sunlight 16342 110.64% 40.84 103.41% -0.144 -0.1083 0.173
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2051 33.92% 41.1 79.81% -0.46 -0.196 -0.1
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 626 36.77% 42.18 77.0% 0.271 0.1579 0.035
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13141 100.0% 39.29 100.0% -0.01 -0.2334 0.016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4814 117.9% 32.15 108.25% 0.193 0.6579 -0.707
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 143 32.14% 36.68 79.72% 0.553 0.5272 -0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 129 30.95% 32.74 74.42% -0.242 -0.2961 -0.716
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 716 46.42% 35.71 69.41% -0.164 -0.2143 -0.665
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 515 40.51% 35.36 77.48% -0.126 -0.0735 -0.453
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 18512 100.76% 39.98 100.41% -0.046 -0.1671 0.333
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 210 32.37% 35.57 64.29% 0.284 -0.1408 0.015
Shifting Memory of Ages 2106 100.0% 34.78 100.0% -0.237 0.1504 -0.266
Shroud of Silent Mist 1323 100.0% 33.01 100.0% -0.409 -0.0965 -0.3
Starlight Seeks its Form 2795 100.0% 38.97 100.0% 0.136 -0.1232 0.292
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7609 100.0% 37.57 100.0% 0.037 -0.4584 -0.018
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5237 100.0% 40.09 100.0% 0.029 0.0801 0.724
Thunderspeaker 16719 100.52% 40.51 100.33% 0.182 0.1641 0.092
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 124 29.84% 26.47 55.65% -0.133 -0.2381 -1.381
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3020 100.0% 34.41 100.0% 0.232 0.2797 -0.09
Vital Strength of the Earth 7678 108.32% 32.85 103.44% -0.505 0.0415 -0.583
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 383 34.47% 37.48 73.37% -0.106 0.1702 0.199
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 649 39.63% 36.77 75.04% -0.571 0.3133 -0.525
Volcano Looming High 3977 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.286 0.3036 0.529

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.77%
Regrow From Roots 80.33%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.93%
Towering Wrath 89.33%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 64058 20.82 25.78%
II 149871 31.03 83.53%
III 100235 34.74 94.92%
IV 30963 38.03 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16507
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 93311
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 121438
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30663
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3398
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2317
Lose: Adversary condition 28977
Win: Sacrifice victory 749
Lose: Scenario condition 4467
Win: Scenario condition 5036
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36874
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1390

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.633 Win Model: -0.149

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.119 Win Model: 0.027
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 213582 42.76% 38.55 76.62%
2 70474 42.06% 35.61 77.13%
3 31405 34.36% 35.93 81.22%
4 26659 30.09% 42.36 82.05%
5 551 26.06% 38.83 82.94%
6 2456 24.56% 40.9 75.69%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-03 04:12:43 (Pacific Time)