Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 67 22.39% 27.76 91.04% -0.279 0.1248 0.397
Blitz 0 2864 45.88% 32.41 65.82% -0.872 -0.4565 -1.973
Dahan Insurrection 4 3005 25.31% 59.15 83.49% 0.173 0.3875 0.422
Despicable Theft 2 231 45.02% 37.73 80.09% -0.729 -0.1649 -0.209
Elemental Invocation 1 464 51.51% 30.87 69.83% -0.306 0.3236 -1.54
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 20787 15.65% 51.88 78.96% 0.008 0.2457 0.065
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1839 30.85% 45.58 82.98% 0.014 0.4418 -0.901
Rituals of Terror 3 798 38.9% 45.16 81.95% 0.519 0.1872 -0.035
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1687 68.12% 32.73 66.86% -0.223 -0.2739 -0.853
Second Wave 0 7500 45.35% 29.55 76.6% -0.74 -0.0834 -0.86
The Great River 3 473 46.92% 35.77 71.04% -1.612 -0.0032 -1.556
Varied Terrains 2 94 42.55% 33.37 87.23% -0.519 0.2287 0.493
Ward the Shores 2 1316 34.88% 39.04 75.84% -1.181 -0.3002 -0.388

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 191631 42.62% 38.81 77.83% 0.144 0.8409 -0.026
1 Thematic 9421 48.22% 37.2 67.2% -0.606 0.475 -0.301
2 Archipelago 99 37.37% 38.64 81.82% 0.297 0.2038 -1.154
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 42061 44.01% 35.69 77.73% 0.015 0.5425 -0.347
2 Coastline 7102 38.87% 36.19 79.4% -0.153 0.0927 -0.499
2 Fragment 1225 47.69% 33.84 76.82% 0.481 0.8201 0.376
2 Heart 666 50.0% 31.63 74.47% -0.096 0.4089 0.108
2 Opposite Shores 9715 37.89% 35.69 78.9% -0.272 0.288 -0.647
2 Thematic 4540 38.41% 39.51 74.3% -0.472 0.3619 -0.459
2 Top to Top 1413 43.9% 37.55 79.55% 0.036 0.2266 -0.156
3 Archipelago 67 31.34% 44.25 95.52% 0.173 -0.0163 -0.149
3 Coastline 268 35.21% 45.32 83.58% -0.617 -1.0433 0.62
3 Other 1329 31.81% 35.24 86.76% 1.545 0.8735 0.396
3 Round (Default) 26594 34.56% 36.12 82.1% -0.508 -0.1878 -0.433
3 Sunrise 134 29.1% 36.84 88.06% 0.16 0.723 0.095
3 Thematic 1194 34.9% 36.21 77.22% 0.01 -0.0011 -0.778
4 Archipelago 73 42.25% 39.79 82.19% 0.06 0.1168 -0.511
4 Coastline 187 20.11% 53.73 96.26% -0.113 0.0012 1.184
4 Leaf 101 41.58% 35.76 83.17% 0.003 -0.1098 0.409
4 Other 992 31.51% 37.5 89.21% 0.249 -0.3953 0.17
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.391
4 Snake 13 69.23% 28.15 46.15% 0.0 0.0 -0.582
4 Thematic 5662 27.5% 49.83 80.78% 0.252 0.3251 -0.17
4 Trapezoid (Default) 18321 31.06% 40.74 82.35% -0.31 -0.2397 -0.243
5 Archipelago 25 52.0% 47.68 88.0% 0.0 -0.327 -0.042
5 Coastline 72 8.33% 66.46 100.0% 0.099 -0.1007 0.929
5 Other 527 35.67% 41.36 88.61% 0.132 -0.2755 0.319
5 Thematic 86 41.18% 48.03 87.21% 0.12 -0.0649 0.719
6 Archipelago 49 20.45% 45.9 87.76% 0.15 0.0755 -1.055
6 Coastline 34 8.7% 50.94 100.0% 0.173 -0.5528 0.482
6 Other 202 21.0% 43.05 77.23% -0.953 -0.895 -0.685
6 Star 133 28.57% 39.16 84.21% 0.232 0.8623 0.35
6 Thematic 583 24.31% 49.78 84.91% -0.758 -0.3926 0.488
6 Two Centers (Default) 617 24.79% 41.39 85.25% -0.644 -0.5635 -0.43
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 29.33 66.67% -0.792 -0.6353 0.0
7 Other 6 16.67% 46.33 100.0% 0.012 -0.4565 -0.156

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11890 35.76 60.36% -1.4 0.5845 -0.89
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10417 37.15 61.43% -1.358 0.4043 -0.807
All Things Weaken 5145 36.88 57.43% -1.594 0.4253 -1.077
Back Against the Wall 10115 35.8 58.22% -1.603 0.3274 -0.954
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11247 32.21 55.25% -1.652 0.4829 -1.231
Downward Spiral 14659 33.96 65.39% -1.25 0.7514 -0.834
Erosion of Will 11580 33.76 56.17% -1.651 0.4287 -1.239
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2624 43.86 81.4% -0.155 0.321 -0.09
Memory Fades to Dust 15010 32.72 60.88% -1.58 0.5785 -0.99
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5024 37.17 58.92% -1.322 0.6543 -0.967
Promising Farmlands 11839 32.89 55.91% -1.823 0.2276 -1.21
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1700 42.97 83.65% -0.364 0.1521 -0.062
Thriving Communities 5026 36.84 59.37% -1.325 0.7167 -0.827
Tipping Point 4893 32.57 56.14% 0.0 0.0 -1.357
Unnatural Proliferation 5379 38.76 60.64% -1.442 0.5081 -0.831
Untended Land Crumbles 5145 36.66 59.24% -1.253 0.7868 -0.934

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 77199 41.03% 36.23 77.37% -0.422 0.314 -0.124
B 85418 39.62% 37.4 78.98% -0.283 0.414 0.217
C 95076 37.81% 38.77 80.36% -0.208 0.2661 0.455
D 73381 39.21% 36.24 79.93% -0.25 0.4797 0.245
E 32038 40.38% 39.6 79.54% -0.165 0.3743 0.248
F 45778 39.59% 39.09 79.5% -0.192 0.4897 0.183
G 36207 39.51% 37.94 79.81% -0.293 0.3652 0.241
H 45182 35.24% 40.37 82.67% 0.082 0.7725 0.536
East 16201 35.56% 43.48 76.14% -0.192 0.4447 0.107
Northeast 10807 33.22% 44.64 76.98% -0.061 0.5966 -0.439
Northwest 8703 31.31% 45.57 78.72% -0.367 0.2619 -0.212
Southeast 2903 35.48% 43.97 79.81% 0.159 0.6897 0.239
Southwest 2907 42.85% 39.85 71.31% -0.501 0.5148 -1.435
West 14774 36.48% 42.61 74.71% -0.58 0.2269 -0.348

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3221 0.0% 24.63 84.73% -1.5 0.7539 -1.06
Not Using Events or Tokens 341 43.87% 23.16 85.63% -0.795 -0.59 0.446
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10265 7.35% 50.05 94.24% 1.059 0.1561 -0.342
Start of Game Growth 15308 13.27% 50.37 90.76% 0.206 -0.2612 0.338
Unlimited Undo 31994 32.66% 43.13 85.76% 0.524 -0.0685 0.958
Using Tokens but Not Events 37395 30.57% 33.88 86.36% -0.044 0.1007 0.084

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 22529 100.0% 38.13 100.0% -0.194 -0.2442 -0.255
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5247 100.0% 33.74 100.0% -0.712 -0.6455 -0.282
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5099 100.0% 36.32 100.0% 0.128 -0.1273 -0.118
Downpour Drenches the World 718 100.0% 38.49 100.0% 0.032 0.2945 0.443
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8902 100.0% 36.68 100.0% -0.277 -0.77 0.097
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6657 100.0% 40.9 100.0% 0.263 -0.3114 -0.004
Finder of Paths Unseen 555 100.0% 35.82 100.0% -0.095 0.2337 0.339
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1792 100.0% 44.64 100.0% 0.238 0.3424 0.42
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1207 100.0% 39.35 100.0% -0.038 -0.167 0.031
Heart of the Wildfire 8627 100.0% 33.92 100.0% -0.256 0.1178 -0.254
Lightning's Swift Strike 13252 119.15% 40.13 104.36% 0.14 0.495 0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 407 41.85% 46.14 77.15% -0.093 -0.8474 0.077
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1033 36.53% 44.48 85.09% 0.707 0.1052 0.928
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2409 31.14% 49.21 86.26% 0.306 -0.1695 0.595
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7432 100.0% 39.9 100.0% -0.306 -0.4759 -0.272
Many Minds Move as One 2679 100.0% 38.28 100.0% 0.094 -0.4519 0.344
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 16241 100.0% 40.48 100.0% -0.17 -0.341 0.413
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5178 100.0% 37.67 100.0% 0.374 0.3616 0.048
River Surges in Sunlight 15637 108.75% 41.18 102.5% 0.468 0.377 0.114
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1822 35.04% 42.35 81.5% -0.171 0.2705 -0.184
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 309 37.13% 45.22 82.52% 0.1 -0.191 0.045
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 12426 100.0% 39.67 100.0% -0.239 -0.4491 -0.003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4702 115.52% 32.27 107.04% -0.527 -0.0653 -0.903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 88 30.23% 39.23 80.68% -0.578 -0.3983 -0.443
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 73 38.03% 39.66 84.93% 0.644 0.715 -0.424
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 666 46.39% 36.57 69.67% -0.302 -0.3706 -0.747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 478 42.0% 36.35 78.87% 0.515 0.638 -0.433
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 17847 100.0% 40.2 100.0% 0.141 -0.0421 0.254
Shifting Memory of Ages 1678 100.0% 36.44 100.0% -0.422 -0.2216 -0.366
Shroud of Silent Mist 1165 100.0% 34.15 100.0% -0.367 -0.1735 -0.172
Starlight Seeks its Form 2071 100.0% 40.79 100.0% 0.283 0.1618 0.409
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6965 100.0% 38.09 100.0% 0.038 -0.1809 -0.134
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4923 100.0% 40.73 100.0% 0.049 0.1441 0.724
Thunderspeaker 15793 100.0% 40.89 100.0% 0.12 0.1345 0.049
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2836 100.0% 34.31 100.0% -0.097 -0.3037 -0.289
Vital Strength of the Earth 7424 106.65% 33.25 102.41% -0.279 0.6272 -0.64
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 208 37.68% 43.86 83.65% -0.227 0.2331 0.423
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 614 40.26% 37.57 76.38% 0.357 1.3672 -0.681
Volcano Looming High 3596 100.0% 38.29 100.0% 0.496 0.4819 0.413

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.59%
Regrow From Roots 80.34%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 89.01%
Towering Wrath 89.4%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 58103 22.64 27.16%
II 142559 31.07 83.71%
III 95145 34.65 94.95%
IV 29381 37.9 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15776
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 88576
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 115691
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 29098
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2206
Lose: Adversary condition 27402
Win: Sacrifice victory 710
Lose: Scenario condition 4309
Win: Scenario condition 4888
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35187
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1345

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.926 Win Model: -0.213

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.04 Win Model: 0.218
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 201712 42.9% 38.75 77.35%
2 66611 42.28% 35.93 77.85%
3 29489 34.37% 36.21 82.19%
4 25407 30.25% 42.79 82.44%
5 370 24.38% 43.48 88.11%
6 1599 24.39% 44.51 84.49%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-10-16 03:17:35 (Pacific Time)