Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 106 22.64% 26.39 82.08% 0.137 -0.1186 0.181
Blitz 0 3255 42.24% 34.09 65.31% -0.198 -0.0004 -1.628
Dahan Insurrection 4 3314 23.79% 57.3 81.41% 0.199 -0.2436 0.324
Despicable Theft 2 269 44.98% 36.26 77.32% -0.421 0.3909 -0.19
Elemental Invocation 1 552 48.91% 30.55 69.2% -0.118 0.5847 -1.39
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 22190 15.72% 51.59 78.35% 0.692 0.0469 0.179
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1961 30.63% 45.29 82.36% -0.338 0.2975 -0.964
Rituals of Terror 3 839 39.15% 44.48 81.05% -0.562 -0.4608 -0.017
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1770 67.35% 32.33 66.38% -1.023 -0.0136 -0.849
Second Wave 0 8148 44.57% 29.52 76.44% -0.173 -0.1069 -0.82
The Great River 3 532 46.79% 34.48 68.05% -1.098 0.1198 -1.478
Varied Terrains 2 176 43.18% 29.78 71.02% -0.602 0.0214 -1.472
Ward the Shores 2 1382 35.03% 38.27 74.46% -1.324 -0.2394 -0.342

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 205519 42.43% 38.56 76.88% 0.207 0.2615 0.036
1 Thematic 9832 47.72% 36.95 66.66% -0.638 -0.1598 -0.289
2 Archipelago 108 36.11% 38.31 83.33% 0.819 0.9229 -0.855
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 45004 43.69% 35.31 76.88% -0.125 -0.0431 -0.304
2 Coastline 7579 38.81% 35.65 78.08% -0.231 -0.3856 -0.487
2 Fragment 1313 48.0% 33.57 76.16% 0.185 -0.0639 0.442
2 Heart 804 52.97% 32.42 72.14% 0.422 0.1347 0.245
2 Opposite Shores 10451 37.75% 35.37 78.03% -0.048 -0.0253 -0.558
2 Thematic 4705 38.2% 39.17 73.77% -0.402 0.0016 -0.457
2 Top to Top 1577 42.11% 36.63 77.24% -0.026 -0.1924 -0.077
3 Archipelago 81 27.16% 43.57 91.36% -0.061 -1.6102 -0.056
3 Coastline 281 34.29% 43.83 81.49% -0.684 -1.1974 0.565
3 Other 1432 31.26% 34.44 85.41% -0.192 0.3486 0.491
3 Round (Default) 28802 34.46% 35.73 80.8% -0.201 -0.3166 -0.473
3 Sunrise 136 29.41% 36.71 88.24% 0.0 0.2798 0.377
3 Thematic 1259 35.48% 35.92 75.93% -0.752 -0.6716 -0.58
4 Archipelago 81 40.51% 38.43 80.25% -0.803 -1.4779 -0.424
4 Coastline 194 20.94% 52.26 94.33% -1.232 -1.0007 1.294
4 Leaf 126 38.1% 35.08 84.13% 0.513 0.1697 0.18
4 Other 1041 32.05% 36.89 88.66% 0.836 -0.2481 0.238
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.494
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.517 0.1705 -0.595
4 Thematic 5843 27.36% 49.5 80.64% -0.078 -0.34 -0.132
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19511 30.82% 40.2 81.72% -0.086 -0.1685 -0.202
5 Archipelago 26 53.85% 46.85 88.46% 0.0 -0.9161 0.035
5 Coastline 110 6.36% 59.82 90.91% 0.016 -0.6353 -0.2
5 Other 692 35.75% 37.59 84.25% -0.494 -0.7788 0.346
5 Thematic 108 39.25% 46.47 83.33% -0.648 -0.7418 0.52
6 Archipelago 64 20.34% 43.03 82.81% -0.335 -0.1841 -0.937
6 Coastline 55 9.3% 48.25 89.09% -0.14 -0.9409 -0.601
6 Other 301 24.58% 41.64 75.08% 0.018 -0.215 -0.682
6 Star 204 33.33% 35.46 79.9% -0.353 -0.3659 0.11
6 Thematic 1008 26.59% 44.73 71.92% -0.997 -0.5763 -0.227
6 Two Centers (Default) 994 20.74% 37.01 74.55% -0.471 -0.3671 -1.215
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 66.67% -0.38 -0.3987 0.0
7 Other 13 7.69% 34.92 76.92% -0.073 -0.6851 -0.8

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 12495 35.67 60.12% -0.047 0.1958 -0.753
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10938 37.24 61.37% 0.357 0.2793 -0.66
All Things Weaken 5694 36.41 56.46% -0.54 -0.1476 -0.968
Attenuated Essence 206 30.89 47.09% -0.292 -0.1854 -1.329
Back Against the Wall 10624 35.82 58.05% -0.172 -0.1142 -0.801
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 172 33.44 48.26% -0.258 -0.0566 -1.101
Burn Brightest Before the End 161 33.5 47.83% -0.085 0.1255 -1.245
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11808 32.17 54.97% -0.566 -0.1426 -1.095
Downward Spiral 15319 33.87 64.99% -0.37 -0.1349 -0.697
Erosion of Will 12195 33.73 56.02% -0.212 0.0972 -1.095
Intensifying Exploitation 218 34.61 53.67% -0.024 0.2638 -0.894
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2894 43.41 80.34% 0.488 -0.0062 -0.019
Memory Fades to Dust 15701 32.67 60.62% -0.297 0.0391 -0.852
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5517 36.81 58.6% -0.187 0.0332 -0.836
Promising Farmlands 12404 32.83 55.68% -0.354 0.0996 -1.049
Shattered Fragments of Power 174 35.19 54.02% -0.002 0.0489 -1.179
Slow Dissolution of Will 232 33.05 46.98% -0.193 0.2058 -1.279
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1848 43.02 82.79% 0.509 -0.2016 0.076
The Border of Life and Death 77 35.03 63.64% 0.34 0.0041 -0.777
Thriving Communities 5525 36.47 58.52% -0.374 -0.0113 -0.735
Thriving Crops 100 40.28 60.0% 0.499 0.3013 -0.567
Tipping Point 4894 32.57 56.15% 0.0 0.0 -1.206
Unnatural Proliferation 5877 38.7 60.39% -0.008 0.2074 -0.7
Untended Land Crumbles 5615 36.4 58.65% -0.388 -0.1058 -0.812

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 82251 40.76% 35.88 76.5% -0.821 -0.0808 -0.183
B 91345 39.3% 37.08 78.01% -0.759 -0.0335 0.144
C 101248 37.59% 38.4 79.46% -0.585 -0.0026 0.388
D 78246 38.85% 35.89 79.02% -0.632 0.0798 0.177
E 36519 39.82% 38.74 77.76% -0.52 0.045 0.17
F 50436 39.28% 38.45 78.18% -0.557 0.1129 0.121
G 40043 39.07% 37.28 78.35% -0.68 -0.0282 0.182
H 49870 35.02% 39.84 81.34% -0.322 0.2488 0.443
East 17229 35.28% 43.02 75.18% -0.354 0.1849 0.173
Northeast 11599 32.96% 44.08 75.8% -0.448 0.1867 -0.396
Northwest 9447 31.14% 44.96 77.26% -0.337 0.4716 -0.112
Southeast 3501 34.69% 42.82 75.92% -0.505 0.2012 0.018
Southwest 3494 41.0% 39.03 68.46% -0.688 0.3019 -1.28
West 15784 36.17% 42.13 73.64% -1.182 -0.278 -0.417

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3371 0.0% 24.51 83.89% -1.065 -0.2891 -0.84
Not Using Events or Tokens 357 45.61% 22.95 84.31% 0.06 0.4394 0.424
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11194 7.4% 49.9 92.34% 0.92 0.3028 -0.304
Start of Game Growth 16734 13.66% 50.11 88.86% 0.256 -0.0923 0.397
Unlimited Undo 34341 32.39% 42.66 84.44% 0.093 0.0867 0.896
Using Tokens but Not Events 39770 30.44% 33.63 85.49% 0.088 0.0776 0.027

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 24021 100.0% 37.58 100.0% -0.197 -0.345 -0.268
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5496 100.0% 33.38 100.0% -0.372 -0.2414 -0.238
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5493 100.0% 35.74 100.0% 0.111 -0.0341 -0.01
Downpour Drenches the World 1176 100.0% 35.8 100.0% 0.031 0.2099 0.173
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1336 100.0% 34.23 100.0% 0.269 -0.4962 -0.186
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9627 100.0% 36.08 100.0% 0.245 -0.3433 0.194
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7132 100.0% 40.43 100.0% 0.228 -0.2685 0.05
Finder of Paths Unseen 884 100.0% 35.45 100.0% 0.122 0.7863 0.873
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2124 100.0% 43.22 100.0% 0.238 0.8236 0.214
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1574 100.0% 37.09 100.0% -0.103 -0.1982 -0.038
Heart of the Wildfire 9003 100.0% 33.55 100.0% -0.287 -0.046 -0.174
Lightning's Swift Strike 13752 122.32% 39.87 106.46% 0.546 0.7286 0.495
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 858 42.76% 41.13 67.37% 0.158 -0.3288 -0.06
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1118 36.56% 43.46 83.54% 0.164 -0.0034 0.897
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2723 30.76% 48.43 84.39% 0.269 0.1559 0.678
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8624 100.0% 38.96 100.0% -0.253 -0.3855 -0.214
Many Minds Move as One 2987 100.0% 37.85 100.0% 0.222 0.0006 0.427
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17260 100.0% 40.08 100.0% 0.15 0.1075 0.426
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5561 100.0% 37.19 100.0% 0.31 0.1323 0.115
River Surges in Sunlight 16511 110.84% 40.73 103.54% -0.138 -0.0679 0.174
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2080 33.74% 40.97 79.52% -0.536 -0.2256 -0.092
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 671 36.69% 41.45 76.3% 0.178 0.0648 -0.008
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13347 100.0% 39.02 100.0% -0.165 -0.4022 -0.066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4843 118.21% 32.06 108.42% -0.388 0.142 -0.71
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 154 33.77% 36.63 79.87% 0.979 0.904 0.116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 136 31.58% 32.3 72.79% -0.316 -0.4214 -0.738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 727 46.27% 35.69 69.46% 0.046 0.0277 -0.667
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 521 40.43% 35.25 77.35% -0.08 0.0972 -0.427
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 18638 100.88% 39.89 100.57% -0.056 -0.2457 0.326
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 265 37.4% 33.9 60.0% 0.072 -0.3095 -0.212
Shifting Memory of Ages 2169 100.0% 34.55 100.0% -0.28 0.0734 -0.241
Shroud of Silent Mist 1351 100.0% 32.61 100.0% -0.63 -0.3801 -0.331
Starlight Seeks its Form 2939 100.0% 38.62 100.0% 0.256 -0.005 0.27
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7754 100.0% 37.42 100.0% 0.163 -0.3139 -0.013
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5285 100.0% 40.0 100.0% -0.038 0.0249 0.713
Thunderspeaker 16889 100.56% 40.39 100.34% 0.007 -0.0266 0.084
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 29.32% 27.38 56.39% -0.079 -0.1182 -1.172
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3064 100.0% 34.31 100.0% 0.315 0.4079 -0.075
Vital Strength of the Earth 7719 108.44% 32.81 103.59% -0.342 0.1828 -0.545
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 410 35.64% 37.21 72.68% -0.264 -0.0037 0.2
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 653 39.69% 36.58 74.73% -0.778 -0.0014 -0.511
Volcano Looming High 4052 100.0% 37.84 100.0% 0.238 0.1947 0.518

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.82%
Regrow From Roots 80.37%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.91%
Towering Wrath 89.34%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 65504 20.4 25.4%
II 151258 31.01 83.48%
III 101274 34.76 94.9%
IV 31357 38.07 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16629
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 94265
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 122460
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 31055
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4457
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2354
Lose: Adversary condition 29245
Win: Sacrifice victory 754
Lose: Scenario condition 4491
Win: Scenario condition 5105
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37181
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1397

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.539 Win Model: -0.148

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.148 Win Model: 0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 216154 42.69% 38.49 76.42%
2 71298 42.04% 35.54 76.95%
3 31876 34.28% 35.79 80.89%
4 26866 30.06% 42.23 81.91%
5 583 26.53% 38.41 81.48%
6 2616 24.43% 40.66 74.62%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)