Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 185 21.08% 25.29 75.68% 0.207 0.3976 -0.274
Blitz 0 4418 36.3% 36.29 62.58% -0.548 -0.3311 -1.147
Dahan Insurrection 4 4913 18.69% 51.53 77.98% -0.293 -0.5456 0.733
Despicable Theft 2 424 40.33% 31.78 67.22% -1.233 -0.6465 -0.054
Elemental Invocation 1 847 44.04% 29.36 65.53% -0.586 0.1536 -1.485
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 26560 15.27% 50.41 76.44% 0.688 0.1266 0.383
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2529 27.0% 44.24 80.39% -0.571 0.1891 -0.875
Rituals of Terror 3 994 38.27% 41.88 77.46% -0.555 -0.4351 0.05
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2290 64.23% 29.57 62.14% -1.059 -0.1519 -0.767
Second Wave 0 10230 42.94% 29.26 75.09% -0.02 0.1182 -0.616
The Great River 3 717 46.43% 32.47 62.9% -0.108 0.9924 -1.471
Varied Terrains 2 397 40.3% 26.59 61.71% -0.537 0.2389 -1.697
Ward the Shores 2 1643 33.89% 35.98 71.03% -0.434 0.6405 -0.35

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 259909 41.31% 37.23 73.58% 0.178 0.5106 0.34
1 Thematic 11141 45.85% 36.32 65.78% -0.073 0.6127 -0.056
2 Archipelago 162 33.33% 36.43 72.84% -0.277 0.3304 -1.162
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 55409 42.57% 33.93 73.76% -0.1 0.0196 -0.124
2 Coastline 9306 38.96% 34.34 75.02% 0.012 -0.06 -0.274
2 Fragment 1610 46.19% 32.03 74.47% 0.092 -0.093 0.548
2 Heart 1009 52.56% 32.88 71.36% 0.321 0.164 0.371
2 Opposite Shores 13550 37.32% 33.52 74.8% -0.007 0.1446 -0.31
2 Thematic 5502 37.75% 37.16 69.97% -0.692 -0.1841 -0.302
2 Top to Top 2033 41.75% 34.54 72.36% 0.232 0.1733 -0.003
3 Archipelago 116 37.93% 41.38 84.48% -0.137 -1.0886 -0.003
3 Coastline 351 34.0% 40.96 77.49% 0.469 0.0586 0.489
3 Other 1767 29.85% 31.48 79.91% 0.571 -0.2007 0.704
3 Round (Default) 36564 34.38% 34.19 76.69% -0.364 -0.4548 -0.521
3 Sunrise 176 26.7% 33.53 79.55% 0.012 -0.0836 0.467
3 Thematic 1566 35.61% 33.76 69.99% -0.625 -0.604 -0.634
4 Archipelago 127 41.94% 39.18 81.89% 0.348 -0.1822 -0.503
4 Coastline 222 22.83% 49.54 90.09% 0.173 0.0869 0.539
4 Leaf 184 42.39% 31.57 76.09% 0.123 -0.0382 -0.293
4 Other 1221 33.99% 35.91 87.14% 0.377 -0.3341 0.451
4 Reverse Snake 7 28.57% 44.43 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.385
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.0 -0.4433 -0.392
4 Thematic 6625 26.62% 48.54 80.02% 0.029 0.1523 -0.291
4 Trapezoid (Default) 25251 29.28% 35.36 72.28% -0.793 -0.7962 -1.057
5 Archipelago 32 62.5% 45.72 87.5% 0.0 -0.0301 -0.293
5 Coastline 163 6.13% 53.48 80.98% -1.304 -1.4498 -0.951
5 Other 1154 35.85% 34.97 78.16% -0.542 -1.0561 -0.052
5 Thematic 146 35.86% 46.4 81.51% 0.237 0.1796 0.35
6 Archipelago 122 15.38% 41.66 79.51% 0.662 -0.3764 -1.337
6 Coastline 147 5.19% 48.9 76.87% -0.229 -1.1882 -1.489
6 Other 595 23.47% 36.2 66.39% -0.417 -0.5209 -1.505
6 Star 399 25.81% 32.3 75.44% 0.501 0.4876 -0.774
6 Thematic 2164 26.13% 43.45 64.88% -0.751 -0.4652 -0.848
6 Two Centers (Default) 2033 18.89% 33.85 66.45% -1.008 -0.4753 -1.8
7 Archipelago 17 17.65% 30.06 52.94% -0.557 -0.4922 -0.114
7 Other 31 16.67% 26.45 54.84% 0.589 0.0305 -1.014

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 14473 35.16 59.48% -0.181 0.07 -0.508
Aid From Lesser Spirits 12658 36.89 60.67% 0.002 -0.0558 -0.391
All Things Weaken 7419 35.31 54.7% -0.409 -0.0745 -0.714
Attenuated Essence 1150 34.24 55.65% -0.026 0.0073 -0.621
Back Against the Wall 12263 35.45 57.67% 0.01 0.0454 -0.543
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1102 34.29 52.09% -0.276 -0.0585 -0.783
Burn Brightest Before the End 944 36.01 54.24% 0.023 0.0339 -0.578
Disintegrating Ecosystem 13779 31.58 53.92% -0.298 0.046 -0.801
Downward Spiral 17875 33.07 63.63% -0.111 0.0062 -0.461
Erosion of Will 14173 33.25 55.3% -0.173 0.1018 -0.803
Intensifying Exploitation 1111 32.77 52.84% -0.109 0.102 -0.647
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 3736 41.56 77.14% 0.375 -0.1982 0.08
Memory Fades to Dust 18311 31.98 59.32% -0.324 -0.0717 -0.626
Power Corrodes the Spirit 7119 35.81 57.48% -0.222 -0.0178 -0.609
Promising Farmlands 14413 32.48 55.15% -0.265 -0.0105 -0.74
Shattered Fragments of Power 953 36.11 53.41% -0.159 -0.0846 -0.654
Slow Dissolution of Will 1162 32.11 47.42% -0.356 0.025 -0.867
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 2356 41.1 79.2% 0.093 -0.5805 0.227
The Border of Life and Death 369 35.35 65.04% 0.861 0.2601 -0.286
Thriving Communities 7204 35.61 57.32% -0.037 0.2446 -0.49
Thriving Crops 600 35.56 60.0% 0.592 0.4513 -0.546
Tipping Point 4897 32.55 56.14% 0.0 0.3945 -0.87
Unnatural Proliferation 7541 37.95 59.22% -0.298 -0.0941 -0.456
Untended Land Crumbles 7301 35.16 56.57% -0.238 -0.0479 -0.591

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 101814 39.78% 33.92 72.27% -0.733 0.2649 -0.301
B 113569 37.97% 35.13 73.57% -0.378 0.5442 0.007
C 126295 36.76% 37.14 76.02% -0.075 0.6538 0.395
D 96986 37.69% 34.03 74.54% -0.495 0.4639 0.039
E 52129 38.47% 36.13 72.86% -0.317 0.502 0.029
F 67598 37.84% 35.95 73.13% -0.256 0.6255 0.011
G 53828 37.37% 34.64 72.62% -0.511 0.314 -0.002
H 66273 33.95% 37.46 76.18% -0.033 0.8062 0.31
East 20906 33.84% 41.72 72.43% -0.622 0.2527 0.039
Northeast 14324 31.36% 42.9 73.14% -0.568 0.1836 -0.515
Northwest 11844 30.01% 43.76 74.48% 0.251 1.1433 0.01
Southeast 5212 32.37% 41.56 70.34% -0.012 0.8268 -0.116
Southwest 5196 37.23% 38.6 64.43% -0.579 0.7253 -1.394
West 19232 35.02% 40.98 71.13% -0.344 0.6059 -0.347

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3992 0.0% 24.42 81.81% -0.339 0.3899 -0.227
Not Using Events or Tokens 441 43.48% 23.47 84.81% 0.821 1.167 0.704
Skip Initial Invader Actions 14255 7.09% 49.79 88.1% 1.003 0.4006 -0.199
Start of Game Growth 21576 13.63% 49.45 84.96% 0.115 -0.3887 0.59
Unlimited Undo 44855 30.36% 39.28 76.89% 0.039 -0.0685 0.388
Using Tokens but Not Events 50358 29.74% 32.06 81.61% 0.106 0.0767 -0.204

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 28709 28.78% 35.83 77.06% 0.146 0.0512 -0.218
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 685 31.82% 36.8 63.07% 0.448 -0.0284 0.236
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7067 41.09% 28.78 65.12% -0.836 -0.724 -1.103
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 579 44.91% 22.26 44.04% -0.781 -1.5944 -0.663
Dances Up Earthquakes 452 27.88% 27.08 58.85% -0.41 -0.4187 -0.522
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6850 33.92% 33.57 75.8% -0.231 -0.3708 0.198
Downpour Drenches the World 2600 25.87% 30.62 65.73% -0.193 0.0348 0.097
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 3945 39.57% 31.23 59.09% 0.357 -0.2124 -0.356
Eyes Watch From the Trees 13862 24.71% 31.2 72.22% -0.063 -0.4503 -0.72
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8955 27.17% 39.25 79.53% 0.255 -0.1387 0.205
Finder of Paths Unseen 1566 37.71% 31.89 68.65% -0.732 -0.0034 0.652
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3069 29.72% 39.54 70.64% 0.321 0.9618 0.123
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2612 39.99% 33.22 69.72% 0.159 0.0253 0.085
Heart of the Wildfire 10436 48.43% 32.08 71.12% -0.287 0.0424 -0.031
Lightning's Swift Strike 16491 33.9% 36.27 73.71% 0.029 0.2668 -0.037
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1929 40.68% 39.95 66.77% 0.966 0.5579 0.247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1452 36.35% 40.6 78.65% 0.671 0.3516 0.97
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 3770 29.09% 46.27 79.15% 0.318 0.2368 0.73
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 12093 37.03% 36.79 70.39% -0.322 -0.5145 -0.126
Many Minds Move as One 4044 35.8% 36.22 76.95% -0.2 -0.4165 0.575
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20775 35.8% 38.47 76.36% 0.025 0.1648 0.466
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 599 32.94% 29.69 55.43% -0.298 -0.2174 -0.398
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6900 35.11% 35.23 77.17% 0.084 0.0062 0.301
River Surges in Sunlight 19148 31.86% 39.79 79.92% 0.233 0.3585 0.382
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 199 36.18% 37.74 66.33% 0.21 0.3882 0.529
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2952 32.92% 36.47 70.05% -0.669 -0.3897 -0.333
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1496 33.96% 35.89 65.51% 0.168 0.0456 -0.13
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 16266 32.51% 37.54 72.38% 0.067 -0.0598 0.098
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 203 42.86% 33.95 67.49% 0.528 0.415 0.711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5439 46.19% 30.7 72.75% -0.663 -0.1476 -0.778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 252 35.48% 33.91 75.0% -0.047 -0.0658 0.152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 420 30.48% 38.09 64.29% 0.405 -0.0984 0.022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 248 35.92% 30.98 68.55% -0.557 -0.7487 -0.434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 849 44.44% 34.47 69.96% 0.353 0.2943 -0.672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 651 41.19% 32.93 73.73% -0.541 -0.4592 -0.217
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 21488 28.41% 37.45 78.02% -0.417 -0.3377 0.031
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1248 31.18% 39.58 64.82% 0.289 0.1022 0.281
Shifting Memory of Ages 3315 37.75% 31.98 68.05% -0.162 0.1051 -0.123
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 465 33.41% 30.64 65.16% -0.155 -0.2735 0.066
Shroud of Silent Mist 1900 40.37% 29.68 72.0% -0.001 0.3499 -0.38
Starlight Seeks its Form 5555 32.98% 34.34 67.97% -0.07 -0.1876 0.325
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 10646 35.23% 35.0 72.0% 0.228 -0.2851 -0.011
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6538 31.09% 38.08 81.29% 0.671 0.7881 0.768
Thunderspeaker 20354 27.09% 38.38 78.34% 0.027 0.0586 -0.014
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 378 32.63% 32.87 61.9% 0.797 0.8103 -0.408
Towering Roots of the Jungle 937 31.09% 31.61 65.74% 0.016 0.1456 -0.001
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3869 53.74% 33.06 70.22% -0.26 -0.1335 0.106
Vital Strength of the Earth 9028 31.05% 30.79 74.99% -0.037 0.563 -0.669
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 841 40.19% 32.91 63.97% 0.005 0.4986 0.056
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 874 37.08% 33.47 69.68% -0.291 0.4067 -0.256
Volcano Looming High 5755 39.37% 35.76 75.73% 0.277 0.3242 0.413
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1024 36.72% 34.96 66.31% 0.267 -0.0226 -0.129

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 69.86%
Regrow From Roots 80.8%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 89.03%
Towering Wrath 89.53%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 97666 13.42 20.04%
II 181871 30.13 82.77%
III 122659 34.83 94.78%
IV 38893 38.67 99.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 19566
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 114161
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 145622
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 38540
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 28148
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2741
Lose: Adversary condition 34946
Win: Sacrifice victory 856
Lose: Scenario condition 4994
Win: Scenario condition 6374
Lose: Blight pool ran out 43555
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1586

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.013 Win Model: -0.104

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.166 Win Model: 0.135
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 272308 41.51% 37.19 73.26%
2 88126 41.2% 34.05 73.8%
3 40406 34.21% 34.15 76.63%
4 33639 28.96% 38.14 74.6%
5 1127 29.66% 35.36 74.71%
6 5483 22.39% 38.39 67.13%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)