Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 102 23.53% 26.16 82.35% 0.123 -0.1429 0.602
Blitz 0 3185 42.8% 33.91 65.62% -0.173 -0.0163 -1.648
Dahan Insurrection 4 3259 24.13% 57.46 81.16% -0.333 -0.601 0.324
Despicable Theft 2 264 44.7% 36.5 77.65% -0.349 0.414 -0.201
Elemental Invocation 1 539 49.17% 30.46 68.83% -0.741 0.0201 -1.46
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 22056 15.72% 51.61 78.41% 0.626 -0.0069 0.159
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1951 30.79% 45.27 82.37% -0.301 0.232 -0.947
Rituals of Terror 3 836 39.05% 44.56 81.1% -0.505 -0.4026 -0.03
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1763 67.39% 32.37 66.42% -1.11 -0.1045 -0.859
Second Wave 0 8089 44.61% 29.54 76.47% -0.127 -0.0612 -0.843
The Great River 3 523 46.83% 34.79 68.64% -1.034 0.2892 -1.457
Varied Terrains 2 165 43.64% 29.78 70.91% -0.802 -0.2239 -1.639
Ward the Shores 2 1378 34.91% 38.34 74.6% -1.514 -0.3593 -0.367

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 203611 42.48% 38.59 77.02% 0.122 0.2916 0.015
1 Thematic 9778 47.83% 37.01 66.75% -0.669 -0.079 -0.303
2 Archipelago 107 36.45% 38.27 83.18% 0.761 1.1374 -0.876
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 44587 43.76% 35.37 77.04% -0.128 -0.0157 -0.319
2 Coastline 7534 38.77% 35.71 78.21% -0.287 -0.3216 -0.506
2 Fragment 1298 47.78% 33.59 76.35% -0.008 -0.1242 0.407
2 Heart 769 52.51% 32.05 72.3% 0.324 -0.0232 0.24
2 Opposite Shores 10346 37.67% 35.42 78.18% -0.179 -0.1103 -0.585
2 Thematic 4687 38.22% 39.17 73.71% -0.79 -0.1963 -0.466
2 Top to Top 1571 42.08% 36.61 77.21% -0.251 -0.303 -0.117
3 Archipelago 79 27.85% 42.9 91.14% -0.472 -1.8934 -0.062
3 Coastline 278 34.66% 44.31 82.37% -0.411 -0.8845 0.718
3 Other 1409 31.64% 34.73 85.73% -0.315 -0.0444 0.463
3 Round (Default) 28462 34.56% 35.85 81.08% -0.118 -0.2755 -0.467
3 Sunrise 136 29.41% 36.71 88.24% 0.0 -0.0731 0.364
3 Thematic 1247 35.18% 36.07 76.34% -0.938 -0.9059 -0.558
4 Archipelago 78 40.79% 38.83 80.77% -0.746 -1.4006 -0.438
4 Coastline 194 20.94% 52.26 94.33% -1.221 -1.045 1.28
4 Leaf 123 39.02% 35.34 84.55% 0.845 0.1335 0.146
4 Other 1039 32.01% 36.94 88.84% 0.583 -0.5128 0.263
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.483
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.509 0.101 -0.588
4 Thematic 5824 27.43% 49.54 80.65% -0.111 -0.2701 -0.146
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19364 30.82% 40.32 81.87% 0.069 -0.1692 -0.206
5 Archipelago 26 53.85% 46.85 88.46% 0.0 -1.0506 0.019
5 Coastline 105 6.67% 59.93 91.43% -0.533 -0.8288 -0.143
5 Other 678 36.2% 37.8 84.66% -0.329 -0.8891 0.302
5 Thematic 104 40.78% 46.66 83.65% -0.518 -0.6369 0.469
6 Archipelago 63 20.69% 43.71 84.13% -0.633 -0.4519 -0.96
6 Coastline 49 10.81% 46.82 89.8% -0.399 -1.1596 -0.45
6 Other 295 25.09% 41.48 74.58% -0.26 -0.6574 -0.745
6 Star 200 33.5% 35.81 80.0% -0.272 -0.2388 0.082
6 Thematic 964 25.94% 44.52 72.1% -0.852 -0.4418 -0.288
6 Two Centers (Default) 951 20.63% 37.07 75.08% -0.517 -0.5543 -1.251
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 66.67% -0.353 -0.954 0.0
7 Other 11 9.09% 41.27 90.91% 0.592 -0.3805 -0.478

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 12426 35.69 60.18% -0.007 0.1833 -0.773
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10872 37.23 61.41% 0.276 0.2124 -0.678
All Things Weaken 5611 36.47 56.53% -0.672 -0.2858 -0.99
Attenuated Essence 160 30.59 44.38% -0.376 -0.2706 -1.348
Back Against the Wall 10565 35.82 58.04% -0.169 -0.1066 -0.824
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 141 31.45 45.39% -0.441 -0.1576 -1.193
Burn Brightest Before the End 127 31.35 45.67% -0.371 -0.1798 -1.326
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11744 32.17 54.99% -0.549 -0.1172 -1.114
Downward Spiral 15240 33.9 65.07% -0.315 -0.0545 -0.71
Erosion of Will 12127 33.72 56.04% -0.226 0.1028 -1.117
Intensifying Exploitation 180 35.31 54.44% -0.007 0.2914 -0.79
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2859 43.46 80.41% 0.394 -0.1042 -0.038
Memory Fades to Dust 15628 32.67 60.62% -0.363 0.0312 -0.872
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5456 36.83 58.67% -0.285 -0.0395 -0.855
Promising Farmlands 12344 32.84 55.7% -0.366 0.1212 -1.073
Shattered Fragments of Power 142 36.62 57.04% 0.086 0.1628 -1.245
Slow Dissolution of Will 192 32.99 46.35% -0.309 0.1254 -1.354
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1823 43.0 82.78% 0.353 -0.2791 0.053
The Border of Life and Death 63 32.95 61.9% 0.221 -0.1395 -0.985
Thriving Communities 5481 36.57 58.69% -0.401 -0.024 -0.749
Thriving Crops 79 39.15 58.23% 0.27 0.2134 -0.726
Tipping Point 4894 32.57 56.15% 0.119 -0.0531 -1.225
Unnatural Proliferation 5816 38.74 60.44% 0.046 0.2466 -0.716
Untended Land Crumbles 5561 36.48 58.87% -0.32 -0.0505 -0.821

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 81575 40.83% 35.95 76.66% -0.89 -0.0278 -0.171
B 90560 39.35% 37.13 78.15% -0.875 -0.0473 0.151
C 100364 37.62% 38.46 79.61% -0.719 -0.0311 0.394
D 77591 38.9% 35.95 79.2% -0.721 0.1072 0.189
E 35948 39.96% 38.88 78.03% -0.559 0.0994 0.184
F 49773 39.35% 38.57 78.41% -0.584 0.1681 0.135
G 39539 39.17% 37.38 78.56% -0.757 0.0136 0.188
H 49270 35.06% 39.91 81.54% -0.438 0.2518 0.456
East 17114 35.31% 43.04 75.22% -0.532 0.1154 0.164
Northeast 11509 32.94% 44.1 75.84% -0.533 0.3008 -0.391
Northwest 9364 31.11% 44.96 77.31% -0.443 0.3493 -0.125
Southeast 3435 34.78% 42.81 76.1% -0.312 0.4519 0.04
Southwest 3431 41.11% 39.0 68.58% -0.858 0.2268 -1.279
West 15664 36.18% 42.17 73.74% -1.2 -0.2454 -0.408

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3357 0.0% 24.52 83.91% -1.16 -0.3348 -0.874
Not Using Events or Tokens 357 45.61% 22.95 84.31% -0.589 -0.2527 0.42
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11079 7.4% 49.91 92.6% 0.894 0.2865 -0.349
Start of Game Growth 16550 13.67% 50.14 89.1% 0.365 0.0876 0.386
Unlimited Undo 33961 32.36% 42.69 84.63% -0.067 -0.0673 0.895
Using Tokens but Not Events 39472 30.46% 33.66 85.61% 0.178 0.108 0.036

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23804 100.0% 37.7 100.0% -0.15 -0.3055 -0.221
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5460 100.0% 33.47 100.0% -0.342 -0.2217 -0.224
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5432 100.0% 35.8 100.0% 0.086 -0.0702 -0.027
Downpour Drenches the World 1125 100.0% 35.93 100.0% -0.157 0.0435 0.251
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1127 100.0% 34.1 100.0% 0.38 -0.4356 -0.219
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9533 100.0% 36.17 100.0% 0.138 -0.4533 0.191
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7076 100.0% 40.46 100.0% 0.073 -0.4107 0.046
Finder of Paths Unseen 842 100.0% 35.18 100.0% -0.01 0.6713 0.846
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2069 100.0% 43.41 100.0% 0.205 0.8513 0.248
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1536 100.0% 37.31 100.0% -0.145 -0.2297 -0.027
Heart of the Wildfire 8951 100.0% 33.56 100.0% -0.469 -0.2194 -0.184
Lightning's Swift Strike 13691 121.94% 39.89 106.22% 0.274 0.5003 0.49
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 788 42.56% 41.47 68.02% 0.11 -0.5315 -0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1111 36.43% 43.59 83.62% 0.176 -0.0393 0.883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2691 30.86% 48.49 84.5% 0.309 0.1557 0.683
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8469 100.0% 39.09 100.0% -0.183 -0.3127 -0.206
Many Minds Move as One 2945 100.0% 37.96 100.0% 0.234 0.0499 0.426
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17167 100.0% 40.12 100.0% 0.259 0.2591 0.43
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5518 100.0% 37.26 100.0% 0.066 -0.0724 0.109
River Surges in Sunlight 16387 110.7% 40.8 103.46% -0.166 -0.1154 0.169
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2059 33.84% 41.04 79.7% -0.477 -0.221 -0.1
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 639 36.81% 41.98 76.68% 0.28 0.1681 0.041
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13191 100.0% 39.22 100.0% -0.037 -0.2619 0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4822 118.0% 32.11 108.3% -0.0 0.4989 -0.701
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 144 31.91% 36.72 79.86% 0.586 0.5523 0.034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 132 30.23% 32.17 73.48% -0.195 -0.2134 -0.783
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 720 46.44% 35.69 69.44% -0.209 -0.2858 -0.66
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 515 40.51% 35.36 77.48% -0.141 -0.048 -0.434
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 18538 100.81% 39.96 100.48% -0.051 -0.1684 0.337
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 237 35.9% 34.03 62.45% 0.236 -0.2105 -0.146
Shifting Memory of Ages 2124 100.0% 34.76 100.0% -0.199 0.1856 -0.249
Shroud of Silent Mist 1330 100.0% 32.91 100.0% -0.362 -0.0759 -0.332
Starlight Seeks its Form 2823 100.0% 38.85 100.0% 0.149 -0.1063 0.311
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7641 100.0% 37.53 100.0% 0.1 -0.3977 -0.013
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5255 100.0% 40.05 100.0% 0.009 0.0685 0.723
Thunderspeaker 16756 100.53% 40.48 100.33% 0.148 0.1357 0.084
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 125 29.6% 26.54 55.2% -0.123 -0.2626 -1.32
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3034 100.0% 34.34 100.0% 0.161 0.2145 -0.09
Vital Strength of the Earth 7696 108.35% 32.84 103.46% -0.39 0.1568 -0.564
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 388 34.55% 37.35 73.2% -0.091 0.1613 0.184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 650 39.57% 36.74 75.08% -0.463 0.4174 -0.52
Volcano Looming High 3995 100.0% 37.88 100.0% 0.344 0.3377 0.532

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.77%
Regrow From Roots 80.34%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.93%
Towering Wrath 89.33%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 64411 20.73 25.67%
II 150176 31.02 83.52%
III 100452 34.75 94.92%
IV 31063 38.04 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16530
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 93514
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 121654
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30763
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3665
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2324
Lose: Adversary condition 29038
Win: Sacrifice victory 750
Lose: Scenario condition 4473
Win: Scenario condition 5051
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36950
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1390

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.543 Win Model: -0.15

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.131 Win Model: 0.019
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 214177 42.74% 38.53 76.57%
2 70659 42.06% 35.59 77.08%
3 31503 34.37% 35.92 81.18%
4 26691 30.08% 42.34 82.03%
5 562 26.99% 38.63 82.38%
6 2510 24.35% 40.58 74.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-05 04:04:23 (Pacific Time)