Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 218 20.64% 25.36 76.15% 0.05 0.0457 0.705
Blitz 0 4580 36.13% 35.67 62.07% -1.042 -0.7865 -0.526
Dahan Insurrection 4 5508 17.81% 50.24 77.12% -0.171 -0.138 0.929
Despicable Theft 2 474 37.55% 30.76 65.82% 0.19 0.7069 -0.838
Elemental Invocation 1 993 42.2% 29.06 64.95% 0.074 0.6071 -0.564
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 28085 15.25% 49.9 75.71% 0.024 -0.5177 0.217
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2697 26.47% 43.51 79.12% 0.134 0.8361 -0.664
Rituals of Terror 3 1056 38.14% 40.99 76.04% 0.974 0.985 0.015
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 2432 63.35% 28.99 61.31% -0.768 0.0205 -0.445
Second Wave 0 10975 42.59% 29.2 74.87% 0.32 0.3179 0.427
The Great River 3 778 46.13% 31.97 62.21% -0.6 0.5352 -1.165
Varied Terrains 2 454 40.84% 25.9 59.69% -0.514 0.1172 -0.71
Ward the Shores 2 1718 33.51% 35.44 70.31% -0.501 0.3297 0.144

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 280495 41.07% 36.85 72.68% 0.279 0.5927 -0.267
1 Thematic 11607 45.4% 36.25 65.55% 0.113 0.7714 -0.964
2 Archipelago 175 33.14% 35.17 70.86% -0.246 -0.6848 0.226
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 58951 42.51% 33.58 72.94% -0.269 -0.1236 -0.73
2 Coastline 9951 38.63% 34.01 74.05% -0.259 -0.2663 -0.585
2 Fragment 1729 45.84% 31.25 73.05% 0.146 0.2696 -0.237
2 Heart 1079 52.49% 32.78 71.46% 0.067 0.0118 -0.235
2 Opposite Shores 14686 37.07% 33.12 73.79% -0.043 0.0915 -0.729
2 Thematic 5870 37.75% 36.87 68.84% -0.48 0.0506 -0.874
2 Top to Top 2188 41.39% 34.21 71.89% 0.644 0.6502 -0.169
3 Archipelago 127 38.58% 40.13 81.89% 0.358 0.6639 -0.5
3 Coastline 371 34.59% 39.87 75.2% 0.677 -0.1325 0.063
3 Other 1944 28.67% 30.3 78.7% -0.168 -0.474 0.678
3 Round (Default) 39266 34.36% 33.65 75.37% -0.495 -0.3998 -1.575
3 Sunrise 187 26.2% 33.18 80.21% 0.438 -0.1968 0.0
3 Thematic 1662 35.72% 33.77 68.77% -0.427 -0.1195 -0.76
4 Archipelago 130 42.52% 39.05 80.77% -0.548 -1.0277 0.277
4 Coastline 235 24.14% 48.18 88.94% 0.161 0.2559 -0.139
4 Leaf 205 43.63% 31.63 76.59% -0.878 -0.8365 0.0
4 Other 1303 33.62% 35.52 86.8% 0.371 -0.1752 0.032
4 Reverse Snake 7 28.57% 44.43 100.0% 0.0 0.2581 0.0
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 6868 26.6% 48.11 79.4% -1.3 -0.5964 -0.646
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26882 29.37% 34.63 71.0% -0.144 -0.141 -1.032
5 Archipelago 34 61.76% 43.03 82.35% -0.629 0.5752 0.0
5 Coastline 174 8.05% 52.7 79.89% 0.0 -0.5976 0.12
5 Other 1273 35.32% 34.99 78.16% 0.401 -0.0176 0.312
5 Thematic 148 36.73% 46.45 81.76% 0.0 -0.1185 0.42
6 Archipelago 133 15.63% 41.41 78.2% -0.588 -1.8247 -0.909
6 Coastline 163 9.93% 48.91 77.3% -0.447 -0.014 0.089
6 Other 731 25.97% 35.72 64.16% 0.446 0.6095 -0.955
6 Star 463 25.92% 32.22 74.51% 0.315 0.7205 -0.387
6 Thematic 2468 25.95% 43.68 64.71% 0.177 0.2489 0.626
6 Two Centers (Default) 2418 19.24% 32.08 62.49% -0.759 -0.2298 -1.377
7 Archipelago 19 15.79% 29.84 52.63% 0.0 0.7413 0.0
7 Other 38 16.22% 23.87 50.0% -0.062 -0.6111 0.319

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 15249 35.01 59.21% -0.051 0.1701 0.102
Aid From Lesser Spirits 13247 36.91 60.72% -0.066 0.0027 0.482
All Things Weaken 8053 34.92 54.0% -0.004 0.3931 -0.199
Attenuated Essence 1536 34.15 54.75% -0.702 -0.6267 -0.09
Back Against the Wall 12866 35.34 57.46% -0.016 -0.0354 0.007
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1506 33.94 51.59% -0.295 -0.0104 -0.003
Burn Brightest Before the End 1262 36.09 55.15% 0.748 0.9736 0.257
Disintegrating Ecosystem 14506 31.4 53.54% -0.487 -0.2046 -0.368
Downward Spiral 18844 32.89 63.29% -0.232 0.0005 0.104
Erosion of Will 14895 33.17 55.03% -0.489 -0.1516 -0.273
Intensifying Exploitation 1500 32.55 52.33% -0.248 0.0883 -0.098
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 4036 41.02 76.26% 0.512 -0.0434 0.207
Memory Fades to Dust 19238 31.86 59.09% -0.353 -0.0141 -0.024
Power Corrodes the Spirit 7775 35.31 56.73% -0.333 -0.1037 -0.001
Promising Farmlands 15142 32.39 54.98% -0.381 -0.0259 -0.116
Shattered Fragments of Power 1304 36.31 52.91% -0.33 -0.273 0.205
Slow Dissolution of Will 1590 32.51 47.67% -0.653 -0.3286 -0.128
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 2544 40.63 78.42% 0.866 0.2257 0.042
The Border of Life and Death 488 35.03 63.32% -0.392 -0.8038 0.357
Thriving Communities 7844 35.4 56.97% 0.067 0.2982 0.008
Thriving Crops 830 35.71 60.0% 0.04 -0.1165 0.112
Tipping Point 4898 32.55 56.12% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 8103 37.83 59.08% 0.313 0.4394 0.246
Untended Land Crumbles 7858 34.82 56.12% -0.279 -0.0724 -0.105

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 108709 39.64% 33.38 71.15% -0.669 0.2654 -0.149
B 121453 37.77% 34.7 72.59% -0.322 0.5095 0.184
C 134796 36.62% 36.78 75.1% -0.276 0.4848 0.878
D 103561 37.5% 33.56 73.43% -0.323 0.5572 0.124
E 57528 38.41% 35.53 71.51% -0.355 0.3632 0.347
F 73695 37.74% 35.33 71.93% -0.527 0.3113 0.125
G 58620 37.18% 34.1 71.35% -0.37 0.4506 0.232
H 72120 33.94% 36.93 75.06% -0.078 0.7054 0.461
East 22120 33.73% 41.47 71.67% -0.254 0.5846 -0.639
Northeast 15108 31.16% 42.77 72.57% -0.113 0.561 0.034
Northwest 12511 29.7% 43.58 73.92% 0.204 1.0391 0.242
Southeast 5774 32.55% 41.31 69.17% -0.634 0.4064 -0.851
Southwest 5747 37.02% 38.52 63.81% -0.774 0.4412 -1.358
West 20388 34.84% 40.74 70.39% -0.087 0.6077 0.375

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4192 0.0% 24.44 80.87% -0.709 0.1381 -0.312
Not Using Events or Tokens 466 43.45% 23.24 84.12% 0.0 0.3651 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 15007 7.06% 49.41 87.1% -0.581 -1.3735 -0.915
Start of Game Growth 23025 13.67% 49.11 84.13% 1.267 0.7414 0.84
Unlimited Undo 48011 30.55% 38.76 75.68% -0.056 0.011 0.234
Using Tokens but Not Events 54317 29.74% 31.61 80.46% -0.173 -0.1732 -0.133

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 30225 28.61% 35.28 75.97% 0.152 -0.0203 -0.372
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1225 31.18% 35.51 63.02% 0.494 0.0031 0.386
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 168 32.14% 32.9 70.83% -0.015 -0.1665 0.369
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 366 30.33% 33.84 68.85% -0.073 -0.6717 0.645
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7437 40.78% 28.14 63.88% -0.655 -0.4806 -1.683
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 717 45.19% 23.75 46.3% 0.937 0.1269 0.329
Dances Up Earthquakes 723 30.29% 28.91 57.95% -0.519 -0.3835 0.374
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7333 33.6% 33.05 74.95% -0.106 -0.3059 -0.091
Downpour Drenches the World 3070 26.08% 30.53 64.72% -0.378 -0.09 0.269
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 4598 39.01% 31.16 59.61% 0.179 -0.3102 0.239
Eyes Watch From the Trees 14995 24.45% 30.41 69.92% -0.577 -0.9944 -0.078
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9559 27.21% 38.85 78.72% -0.353 -0.6066 -0.373
Finder of Paths Unseen 1756 37.67% 31.19 66.97% -0.32 0.4658 -0.09
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3314 29.3% 38.92 69.52% -0.777 -0.2408 0.234
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2870 39.36% 32.78 68.82% 0.434 0.4911 0.355
Heart of the Wildfire 10831 48.22% 31.79 70.67% -0.251 0.0696 -0.502
Lightning's Swift Strike 17225 33.55% 35.61 72.68% 0.062 0.2847 -0.6
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2249 41.25% 38.98 65.1% 0.279 -0.222 0.234
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1589 36.36% 41.01 78.92% 0.05 -0.2722 1.729
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4061 29.34% 46.04 78.65% 0.189 -0.0439 0.969
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 13322 37.21% 36.22 69.25% -0.448 -0.6445 0.114
Many Minds Move as One 4396 35.82% 35.67 75.73% -0.085 -0.1898 0.349
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 21754 35.7% 38.05 75.53% 0.223 0.2071 0.419
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1077 36.62% 31.84 58.4% 0.613 0.7192 0.325
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7329 35.17% 34.87 76.49% 0.219 0.0725 0.137
River Surges in Sunlight 20034 31.49% 39.23 78.93% -0.154 -0.112 -0.129
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 285 35.79% 37.7 65.96% 0.457 0.5388 -0.197
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 3187 32.65% 35.93 69.03% -0.024 0.1495 -1.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1823 33.96% 34.92 63.3% -0.747 -0.637 -0.277
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 17056 32.27% 37.16 71.49% 0.522 0.3127 -0.271
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 333 40.54% 33.44 64.56% -0.591 -0.8378 0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5771 45.37% 29.73 71.1% 0.198 0.8457 -1.632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 278 35.04% 33.83 75.18% 1.05 1.1138 0.57
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 542 29.89% 38.8 65.5% 0.501 0.0415 -0.034
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 284 34.52% 29.2 65.85% 0.4 0.2745 -1.341
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 902 44.05% 34.02 69.73% 0.412 0.3871 -0.315
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 701 41.53% 32.23 72.47% 0.184 0.2906 -0.455
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 22262 28.39% 36.89 77.22% 0.275 -0.0028 -0.546
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 53 47.17% 39.81 77.36% 0.792 0.3988 0.714
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1531 29.78% 39.64 64.27% 0.084 0.1095 -0.071
Shifting Memory of Ages 3673 38.54% 31.12 65.97% -0.458 0.038 -0.095
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 710 33.85% 30.97 64.65% -0.639 -0.6346 0.433
Shroud of Silent Mist 2079 40.28% 29.3 71.04% -0.876 -0.2703 0.64
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 63 34.92% 27.75 63.49% -0.767 -1.0004 0.936
Starlight Seeks its Form 6521 34.02% 33.21 64.96% 0.043 0.0306 0.014
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 11448 34.97% 34.71 71.51% 0.216 -0.3876 0.166
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6919 31.01% 37.61 80.33% 0.128 0.271 0.36
Thunderspeaker 21266 27.1% 37.93 77.38% -0.226 -0.1111 -0.674
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 450 33.18% 33.65 61.56% -0.173 -0.2289 0.069
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1306 33.1% 31.48 63.32% -0.282 -0.1224 0.207
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4119 53.76% 32.8 69.48% 0.264 0.2957 0.045
Vital Strength of the Earth 9544 30.89% 30.24 73.67% -0.447 0.0458 -0.386
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1044 41.01% 31.62 60.82% -0.013 0.3987 -0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 948 36.83% 32.79 68.46% 0.802 1.7068 -0.083
Volcano Looming High 6211 39.83% 35.15 74.27% 0.34 0.2154 -0.101
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1264 36.23% 34.77 66.46% -0.453 -0.6892 -0.193

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 70.19%
Regrow From Roots 80.87%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.97%
Towering Wrath 89.4%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 108754 12.31 18.85%
II 193424 29.92 82.47%
III 130739 34.93 94.72%
IV 41398 38.88 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 20493
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 121618
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 154219
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 41023
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 36625
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2873
Lose: Adversary condition 36945
Win: Sacrifice victory 942
Lose: Scenario condition 5187
Win: Scenario condition 6831
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 45906
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1653

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.564 Win Model: -0.137

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.329 Win Model: 0.132
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 293534 41.26% 36.83 72.4%
2 94095 41.07% 33.69 72.94%
3 43414 34.15% 33.6 75.31%
4 35617 29.01% 37.42 73.47%
5 1253 29.95% 35.43 74.94%
6 6402 22.84% 37.62 65.17%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)