Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 97 22.68% 26.69 83.51% 0.124 -0.0431 1.079
Blitz 0 3148 43.21% 33.67 65.66% -0.178 -0.0282 -1.691
Dahan Insurrection 4 3201 24.54% 57.91 81.6% -0.494 -0.7066 0.34
Despicable Theft 2 258 45.35% 36.86 78.29% -0.044 0.6721 -0.212
Elemental Invocation 1 531 49.91% 30.47 68.74% -0.79 -0.0394 -1.444
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 21921 15.72% 51.63 78.46% 0.525 -0.0839 0.139
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1942 30.77% 45.37 82.6% -0.159 0.3409 -0.958
Rituals of Terror 3 833 38.95% 44.59 81.03% -0.661 -0.5531 -0.038
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1755 67.58% 32.37 66.38% -1.294 -0.2401 -0.843
Second Wave 0 8022 44.67% 29.57 76.56% -0.128 -0.0476 -0.846
The Great River 3 516 47.08% 34.8 68.8% -1.218 0.1768 -1.435
Varied Terrains 2 150 44.0% 30.63 74.67% -0.458 0.1233 -1.639
Ward the Shores 2 1372 34.84% 38.37 74.56% -1.63 -0.4287 -0.378

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 202063 42.51% 38.64 77.19% 0.312 0.5184 0.048
1 Thematic 9751 47.89% 37.02 66.7% -0.672 -0.0666 -0.272
2 Archipelago 104 35.58% 38.65 82.69% 0.481 0.8049 -0.872
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 44291 43.8% 35.42 77.14% -0.001 0.1468 -0.302
2 Coastline 7476 38.78% 35.79 78.52% -0.071 -0.0355 -0.466
2 Fragment 1291 47.65% 33.75 76.68% 0.269 0.2012 0.456
2 Heart 750 52.1% 31.99 72.67% 0.363 0.0846 0.255
2 Opposite Shores 10274 37.65% 35.48 78.43% 0.024 0.137 -0.562
2 Thematic 4681 38.2% 39.19 73.72% -0.641 0.005 -0.443
2 Top to Top 1556 42.03% 36.8 77.7% -0.185 -0.1603 -0.084
3 Archipelago 79 27.85% 42.9 91.14% -0.312 -1.4774 -0.063
3 Coastline 277 34.78% 44.47 82.67% -0.177 -0.7155 0.705
3 Other 1396 31.58% 34.83 85.96% -0.149 -0.054 0.461
3 Round (Default) 28236 34.56% 35.9 81.21% -0.057 -0.1364 -0.449
3 Sunrise 136 29.41% 36.71 88.24% 0.18 0.5381 0.363
3 Thematic 1245 35.16% 36.09 76.39% -0.792 -0.7444 -0.547
4 Archipelago 77 40.0% 38.83 80.52% -1.023 -1.2613 -0.432
4 Coastline 193 21.05% 52.38 94.3% -0.632 -0.5781 1.254
4 Leaf 118 39.83% 35.78 83.9% 0.395 -0.0228 0.142
4 Other 1035 32.14% 37.01 88.89% 0.661 -0.3265 0.255
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.4073 0.482
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.499 0.4677 -0.584
4 Thematic 5802 27.4% 49.61 80.68% -0.421 -0.4547 -0.145
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19284 30.81% 40.38 81.93% 0.15 -0.0567 -0.213
5 Archipelago 26 53.85% 46.85 88.46% 0.129 -0.9613 0.014
5 Coastline 103 6.8% 59.87 91.26% -0.592 -0.6741 -0.187
5 Other 659 35.09% 38.44 85.74% -0.195 -0.681 0.282
5 Thematic 101 40.0% 47.15 85.15% -0.248 -0.4694 0.517
6 Archipelago 63 20.69% 43.71 84.13% -0.816 -0.8288 -0.99
6 Coastline 47 11.43% 47.51 91.49% -0.373 -1.1013 -0.104
6 Other 287 25.44% 41.55 74.56% -0.361 -0.8404 -0.765
6 Star 193 34.2% 36.32 79.79% -0.254 0.0211 0.061
6 Thematic 911 26.13% 45.06 73.66% -0.97 -0.5799 -0.202
6 Two Centers (Default) 891 21.48% 37.67 77.55% -0.603 -0.5823 -1.02
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 66.67% -0.421 -0.8988 0.0
7 Other 11 9.09% 41.27 90.91% 0.412 -0.4006 -0.713

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 12365 35.7 60.21% -0.015 0.2506 -0.794
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10821 37.24 61.44% 0.23 0.2369 -0.702
All Things Weaken 5562 36.55 56.69% -0.679 -0.2431 -1.005
Attenuated Essence 129 30.28 44.96% -0.526 -0.3354 -1.361
Back Against the Wall 10514 35.82 58.09% -0.225 -0.0838 -0.841
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 107 31.81 43.93% -0.503 -0.1186 -1.165
Burn Brightest Before the End 105 30.7 43.81% -0.557 -0.2636 -1.418
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11689 32.2 55.09% -0.497 0.0054 -1.132
Downward Spiral 15178 33.92 65.15% -0.207 0.1225 -0.727
Erosion of Will 12073 33.74 56.13% -0.193 0.1921 -1.138
Intensifying Exploitation 145 33.35 50.34% -0.282 0.0858 -1.083
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2828 43.54 80.66% 0.411 -0.1088 -0.047
Memory Fades to Dust 15540 32.7 60.72% -0.305 0.1607 -0.887
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5424 36.91 58.78% -0.359 -0.0686 -0.87
Promising Farmlands 12294 32.85 55.73% -0.439 0.1294 -1.101
Shattered Fragments of Power 118 37.4 58.47% -0.032 0.121 -1.065
Slow Dissolution of Will 152 32.86 46.71% -0.401 0.1019 -1.258
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1813 43.09 83.01% 0.51 -0.1432 0.044
The Border of Life and Death 54 33.35 59.26% 0.052 -0.1267 -1.047
Thriving Communities 5429 36.68 58.85% -0.343 0.1181 -0.764
Thriving Crops 62 38.65 56.45% 0.147 0.1935 -0.826
Tipping Point 4894 32.57 56.15% 0.122 -0.0235 -1.248
Unnatural Proliferation 5772 38.76 60.48% -0.065 0.2266 -0.741
Untended Land Crumbles 5509 36.56 59.07% -0.315 0.0062 -0.837

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 81053 40.84% 36.0 76.8% -0.848 -0.0115 -0.166
B 89930 39.37% 37.19 78.34% -0.851 -0.0705 0.175
C 99689 37.63% 38.53 79.77% -0.686 -0.0338 0.409
D 77100 38.91% 35.99 79.34% -0.738 0.06 0.195
E 35512 40.04% 38.98 78.21% -0.652 -0.0272 0.187
F 49308 39.4% 38.65 78.58% -0.612 0.1069 0.145
G 39130 39.23% 37.46 78.8% -0.77 -0.0264 0.207
H 48762 35.12% 39.99 81.77% -0.447 0.1977 0.472
East 17013 35.34% 43.1 75.34% -0.69 -0.0942 0.155
Northeast 11428 32.97% 44.18 76.01% -0.356 0.5034 -0.391
Northwest 9288 31.15% 45.05 77.51% -0.304 0.3942 -0.125
Southeast 3368 34.97% 42.95 76.63% -0.294 0.3646 0.041
Southwest 3361 41.37% 39.09 68.97% -0.986 0.1631 -1.34
West 15567 36.22% 42.22 73.83% -1.113 -0.1727 -0.384

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3344 0.0% 24.54 83.97% -1.047 -0.1661 -0.904
Not Using Events or Tokens 357 45.61% 22.95 84.31% -0.486 -0.1601 0.416
Skip Initial Invader Actions 10954 7.38% 49.98 92.93% 0.824 0.2835 -0.357
Start of Game Growth 16376 13.63% 50.22 89.41% 0.387 0.0674 0.395
Unlimited Undo 33701 32.42% 42.74 84.8% -0.099 -0.1128 0.897
Using Tokens but Not Events 39196 30.48% 33.7 85.74% 0.186 0.1286 0.041

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23649 100.0% 37.79 100.0% -0.075 -0.2283 -0.203
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5439 100.0% 33.53 100.0% -0.429 -0.3082 -0.224
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5379 100.0% 35.89 100.0% 0.125 -0.0396 -0.039
Downpour Drenches the World 1087 100.0% 36.26 100.0% -0.205 -0.0206 0.249
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 979 100.0% 34.45 100.0% 0.333 -0.4056 -0.272
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9480 100.0% 36.22 100.0% 0.12 -0.4638 0.182
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7021 100.0% 40.49 100.0% 0.03 -0.4411 0.037
Finder of Paths Unseen 818 100.0% 35.19 100.0% 0.116 0.7962 0.738
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2020 100.0% 43.66 100.0% 0.261 0.9295 0.276
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1505 100.0% 37.5 100.0% -0.23 -0.3249 -0.032
Heart of the Wildfire 8906 100.0% 33.64 100.0% -0.406 -0.1602 -0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 13632 121.63% 39.93 105.99% 0.278 0.4858 0.484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 751 42.8% 42.19 69.11% 0.146 -0.554 -0.058
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1103 36.42% 43.67 83.59% 0.165 -0.0554 0.87
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2656 30.97% 48.67 84.79% 0.263 0.1389 0.707
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8329 100.0% 39.34 100.0% -0.079 -0.2336 -0.189
Many Minds Move as One 2927 100.0% 38.01 100.0% 0.253 0.0335 0.424
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17087 100.0% 40.15 100.0% 0.262 0.2598 0.437
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5476 100.0% 37.31 100.0% 0.013 -0.1179 0.094
River Surges in Sunlight 16296 110.51% 40.86 103.35% -0.135 -0.127 0.171
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2036 33.78% 41.17 79.96% -0.51 -0.2539 -0.123
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 603 37.52% 42.38 77.11% 0.289 0.1631 0.028
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13070 100.0% 39.34 100.0% 0.004 -0.227 0.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4800 117.7% 32.16 108.21% 0.194 0.6513 -0.734
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 140 32.85% 36.63 79.29% 0.508 0.503 -0.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 122 32.77% 33.22 75.41% -0.274 -0.2658 -0.672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 716 46.42% 35.71 69.41% -0.119 -0.1887 -0.673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 513 40.67% 35.35 77.39% -0.193 -0.1401 -0.471
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 18482 100.67% 40.01 100.36% 0.127 -0.0005 0.328
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 189 33.33% 35.67 64.55% 0.295 -0.081 0.108
Shifting Memory of Ages 2070 100.0% 34.69 100.0% -0.363 0.0437 -0.265
Shroud of Silent Mist 1309 100.0% 33.14 100.0% -0.386 -0.071 -0.267
Starlight Seeks its Form 2732 100.0% 39.02 100.0% 0.095 -0.175 0.316
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7527 100.0% 37.68 100.0% 0.058 -0.4397 0.003
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5229 100.0% 40.12 100.0% 0.093 0.1229 0.728
Thunderspeaker 16665 100.49% 40.55 100.32% 0.222 0.2013 0.093
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 118 30.51% 26.23 55.08% -0.192 -0.2581 -1.466
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3005 100.0% 34.36 100.0% 0.033 0.0882 -0.107
Vital Strength of the Earth 7671 108.19% 32.86 103.34% -0.566 -0.0197 -0.596
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 374 35.04% 38.12 74.33% 0.006 0.2566 0.268
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 647 39.75% 36.88 75.27% -0.354 0.5287 -0.536
Volcano Looming High 3942 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.246 0.2637 0.529

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.75%
Regrow From Roots 80.31%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.93%
Towering Wrath 89.32%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 63493 20.97 25.95%
II 149354 31.03 83.58%
III 99860 34.74 94.92%
IV 30831 38.02 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16467
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 92966
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 121082
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30532
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3024
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2313
Lose: Adversary condition 28821
Win: Sacrifice victory 744
Lose: Scenario condition 4458
Win: Scenario condition 5014
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36729
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1388

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.671 Win Model: -0.155

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.108 Win Model: 0.061
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 212590 42.77% 38.57 76.72%
2 70190 42.07% 35.64 77.24%
3 31261 34.36% 35.97 81.31%
4 26578 30.08% 42.41 82.08%
5 541 25.24% 39.36 83.73%
6 2378 24.87% 41.05 76.41%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-30 03:47:42 (Pacific Time)