Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 105 22.86% 26.1 81.9% 0.053 -0.2251 0.182
Blitz 0 3244 42.26% 34.08 65.41% -0.135 0.043 -1.621
Dahan Insurrection 4 3300 23.89% 57.35 81.33% 0.049 -0.3451 0.326
Despicable Theft 2 268 45.15% 36.24 77.24% -0.463 0.333 -0.196
Elemental Invocation 1 552 48.91% 30.55 69.2% -0.182 0.5365 -1.393
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 22166 15.72% 51.6 78.37% 0.667 0.0264 0.176
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1960 30.64% 45.28 82.35% -0.317 0.3209 -0.965
Rituals of Terror 3 839 39.15% 44.48 81.05% -0.49 -0.3385 -0.017
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1769 67.33% 32.33 66.37% -1.115 -0.0349 -0.85
Second Wave 0 8137 44.59% 29.51 76.42% -0.185 -0.1181 -0.833
The Great River 3 532 46.79% 34.48 68.05% -1.078 0.1707 -1.478
Varied Terrains 2 174 43.68% 29.91 71.26% -0.597 0.0361 -1.474
Ward the Shores 2 1380 34.93% 38.29 74.49% -1.403 -0.3136 -0.342

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 205265 42.43% 38.56 76.89% 0.16 0.2554 0.027
1 Thematic 9827 47.73% 36.97 66.68% -0.662 -0.1525 -0.3
2 Archipelago 108 36.11% 38.31 83.33% 0.793 1.0723 -0.862
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 44950 43.69% 35.32 76.92% -0.14 -0.0407 -0.305
2 Coastline 7575 38.8% 35.66 78.13% -0.233 -0.3634 -0.489
2 Fragment 1311 48.0% 33.59 76.2% 0.107 -0.1486 0.438
2 Heart 799 52.93% 32.29 71.96% 0.304 0.0176 0.207
2 Opposite Shores 10440 37.73% 35.37 78.05% -0.069 -0.0292 -0.564
2 Thematic 4702 38.18% 39.17 73.76% -0.529 -0.1145 -0.462
2 Top to Top 1576 42.14% 36.63 77.22% -0.106 -0.2517 -0.082
3 Archipelago 81 27.16% 43.57 91.36% -0.064 -1.6486 -0.053
3 Coastline 281 34.29% 43.83 81.49% -0.673 -1.2339 0.563
3 Other 1428 31.29% 34.46 85.36% -0.205 0.3491 0.49
3 Round (Default) 28755 34.46% 35.75 80.87% -0.161 -0.2863 -0.463
3 Sunrise 136 29.41% 36.71 88.24% 0.0 0.2702 0.382
3 Thematic 1258 35.51% 35.93 75.91% -0.894 -0.8231 -0.577
4 Archipelago 80 39.74% 38.24 80.0% -0.981 -1.5536 -0.425
4 Coastline 194 20.94% 52.26 94.33% -1.224 -1.034 1.307
4 Leaf 126 38.1% 35.08 84.13% 0.586 0.214 0.179
4 Other 1041 32.05% 36.89 88.66% 0.88 -0.1793 0.268
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 46.83 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.496
4 Snake 14 71.43% 29.21 50.0% 0.535 0.1757 -0.588
4 Thematic 5841 27.37% 49.51 80.65% 0.084 -0.2169 -0.123
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19496 30.82% 40.22 81.75% 0.003 -0.1325 -0.182
5 Archipelago 26 53.85% 46.85 88.46% 0.0 -1.1464 0.035
5 Coastline 110 6.36% 59.82 90.91% 0.064 -0.6158 -0.187
5 Other 689 35.91% 37.71 84.47% -0.593 -0.8578 0.349
5 Thematic 107 39.62% 46.46 83.18% -0.64 -0.5514 0.521
6 Archipelago 64 20.34% 43.03 82.81% -0.606 -0.2571 -0.93
6 Coastline 54 9.52% 47.83 88.89% -0.107 -0.818 -0.628
6 Other 301 24.58% 41.64 75.08% 0.155 -0.2592 -0.672
6 Star 203 33.5% 35.55 79.8% -0.271 -0.3502 0.114
6 Thematic 999 26.43% 44.86 72.17% -0.844 -0.5818 -0.224
6 Two Centers (Default) 991 20.6% 37.01 74.57% -0.389 -0.3083 -1.221
7 Archipelago 6 33.33% 31.33 66.67% -0.388 -0.4691 0.0
7 Other 13 7.69% 34.92 76.92% 0.175 -0.4812 -0.792

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 12488 35.66 60.11% -0.062 0.1688 -0.756
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10927 37.24 61.36% 0.294 0.2352 -0.664
All Things Weaken 5674 36.42 56.45% -0.611 -0.2334 -0.974
Attenuated Essence 197 31.24 47.72% -0.249 -0.1689 -1.266
Back Against the Wall 10611 35.82 58.05% -0.159 -0.1104 -0.804
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 168 33.51 48.81% -0.27 -0.0731 -1.132
Burn Brightest Before the End 161 33.5 47.83% -0.152 0.041 -1.247
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11805 32.17 54.99% -0.525 -0.1114 -1.095
Downward Spiral 15311 33.87 65.0% -0.34 -0.0971 -0.701
Erosion of Will 12185 33.73 56.04% -0.19 0.1188 -1.098
Intensifying Exploitation 212 34.88 54.25% 0.032 0.311 -0.916
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2892 43.43 80.36% 0.507 0.0009 -0.02
Memory Fades to Dust 15690 32.68 60.64% -0.256 0.0867 -0.852
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5502 36.82 58.65% -0.197 0.0388 -0.835
Promising Farmlands 12397 32.83 55.67% -0.378 0.0756 -1.054
Shattered Fragments of Power 169 35.25 53.85% -0.098 -0.0458 -1.19
Slow Dissolution of Will 230 32.78 46.52% -0.236 0.1548 -1.327
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1846 43.01 82.77% 0.531 -0.1798 0.071
The Border of Life and Death 77 35.03 63.64% 0.392 0.0157 -0.78
Thriving Communities 5516 36.51 58.58% -0.28 0.0674 -0.734
Thriving Crops 96 40.57 59.38% 0.456 0.255 -0.586
Tipping Point 4894 32.57 56.15% 0.0 0.0 -1.208
Unnatural Proliferation 5872 38.69 60.37% -0.002 0.1928 -0.703
Untended Land Crumbles 5605 36.41 58.68% -0.367 -0.1002 -0.814

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 82172 40.76% 35.88 76.52% -0.891 -0.1333 -0.182
B 91250 39.31% 37.09 78.03% -0.794 -0.0558 0.144
C 101145 37.59% 38.41 79.48% -0.63 -0.0429 0.387
D 78161 38.85% 35.9 79.05% -0.658 0.0579 0.18
E 36441 39.83% 38.77 77.81% -0.547 0.0282 0.172
F 50346 39.28% 38.47 78.22% -0.609 0.0671 0.121
G 39973 39.08% 37.3 78.4% -0.714 -0.0551 0.182
H 49804 35.02% 39.85 81.37% -0.369 0.2062 0.443
East 17211 35.28% 43.03 75.2% -0.328 0.2346 0.175
Northeast 11585 32.95% 44.09 75.81% -0.423 0.2429 -0.392
Northwest 9435 31.13% 44.97 77.29% -0.365 0.4491 -0.114
Southeast 3489 34.7% 42.87 76.04% -0.413 0.3103 0.023
Southwest 3482 41.02% 39.08 68.58% -0.692 0.3117 -1.277
West 15766 36.17% 42.14 73.66% -1.263 -0.341 -0.413

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3366 0.0% 24.52 83.9% -1.146 -0.3761 -0.848
Not Using Events or Tokens 357 45.61% 22.95 84.31% 0.097 0.4723 0.423
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11174 7.38% 49.91 92.4% 0.972 0.3341 -0.317
Start of Game Growth 16704 13.66% 50.12 88.89% 0.22 -0.0913 0.397
Unlimited Undo 34278 32.36% 42.66 84.48% 0.064 0.0407 0.899
Using Tokens but Not Events 39718 30.45% 33.64 85.5% 0.106 0.0999 0.028

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 23997 100.0% 37.6 100.0% -0.181 -0.326 -0.26
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5489 100.0% 33.39 100.0% -0.366 -0.2328 -0.243
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5486 100.0% 35.74 100.0% 0.1 -0.0388 -0.015
Downpour Drenches the World 1171 100.0% 35.8 100.0% 0.005 0.191 0.174
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1311 100.0% 34.16 100.0% 0.28 -0.5016 -0.195
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9621 100.0% 36.08 100.0% 0.258 -0.3326 0.19
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7127 100.0% 40.44 100.0% 0.23 -0.263 0.048
Finder of Paths Unseen 877 100.0% 35.42 100.0% 0.102 0.7712 0.871
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2108 100.0% 43.34 100.0% 0.234 0.824 0.25
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1570 100.0% 37.15 100.0% -0.094 -0.1748 -0.04
Heart of the Wildfire 8998 100.0% 33.55 100.0% -0.277 -0.0415 -0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 13749 122.28% 39.87 106.43% 0.469 0.6637 0.492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 848 42.67% 41.25 67.57% 0.15 -0.3504 -0.063
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1118 36.56% 43.46 83.54% 0.113 -0.06 0.892
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2722 30.77% 48.42 84.39% 0.298 0.193 0.675
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8600 100.0% 39.01 100.0% -0.226 -0.3622 -0.21
Many Minds Move as One 2982 100.0% 37.86 100.0% 0.049 -0.1615 0.424
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 17251 100.0% 40.09 100.0% 0.166 0.1285 0.421
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5555 100.0% 37.21 100.0% 0.195 0.026 0.101
River Surges in Sunlight 16500 110.81% 40.74 103.53% -0.206 -0.137 0.171
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2075 33.82% 40.99 79.52% -0.519 -0.2267 -0.093
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 668 36.71% 41.57 76.5% 0.236 0.0995 0.006
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 13326 100.0% 39.06 100.0% -0.131 -0.3535 -0.062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4838 118.2% 32.08 108.39% -0.261 0.2515 -0.711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 151 33.11% 36.57 80.13% 0.894 0.822 0.112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 135 31.06% 32.15 72.59% -0.413 -0.4958 -0.737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 726 46.2% 35.71 69.56% 0.101 0.0846 -0.666
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 521 40.43% 35.25 77.35% -0.128 0.0342 -0.434
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 18630 100.87% 39.9 100.54% 0.001 -0.1856 0.329
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 260 36.96% 34.16 61.15% 0.186 -0.2246 -0.177
Shifting Memory of Ages 2158 100.0% 34.57 100.0% -0.327 0.0205 -0.245
Shroud of Silent Mist 1345 100.0% 32.7 100.0% -0.48 -0.2316 -0.335
Starlight Seeks its Form 2923 100.0% 38.7 100.0% 0.212 -0.0376 0.296
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7739 100.0% 37.44 100.0% 0.184 -0.3075 -0.018
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5283 100.0% 40.01 100.0% 0.04 0.1147 0.714
Thunderspeaker 16877 100.56% 40.39 100.34% 0.004 -0.0285 0.08
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 29.32% 27.38 56.39% -0.164 -0.2248 -1.176
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3062 100.0% 34.31 100.0% 0.29 0.3702 -0.087
Vital Strength of the Earth 7715 108.43% 32.81 103.56% -0.396 0.1247 -0.55
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 404 35.41% 37.23 72.52% -0.297 -0.0383 0.175
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 652 39.6% 36.62 74.85% -0.64 0.1877 -0.515
Volcano Looming High 4038 100.0% 37.89 100.0% 0.293 0.2556 0.536

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Growing Power 68.82%
Regrow From Roots 80.37%
Sacrosanct Wilderness 88.92%
Towering Wrath 89.35%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 65364 20.44 25.43%
II 151099 31.01 83.49%
III 101184 34.76 94.9%
IV 31319 38.06 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16615
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 94188
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 122347
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 31017
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4349
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2348
Lose: Adversary condition 29225
Win: Sacrifice victory 754
Lose: Scenario condition 4489
Win: Scenario condition 5090
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37149
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1395

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.551 Win Model: -0.148

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.141 Win Model: 0.036
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 215893 42.69% 38.49 76.43%
2 71219 42.03% 35.54 76.97%
3 31826 34.28% 35.8 80.95%
4 26846 30.07% 42.25 81.93%
5 580 26.67% 38.56 81.72%
6 2602 24.33% 40.7 74.71%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-11 04:23:09 (Pacific Time)