Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 118 34.75% 35.64 83.05% 0.578 0.7686 1.388
Blitz 0 152 38.82% 23.26 50.0% -1.809 -1.5917 -1.288
Dahan Insurrection 4 219 22.37% 24.82 30.14% -1.96 -2.2134 -0.139
Despicable Theft 2 47 40.43% 24.36 55.32% -0.407 0.1793 0.566
Elemental Invocation 1 178 53.93% 26.46 41.01% -0.805 -0.066 -1.725
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3166 24.01% 54.66 70.12% 0.772 0.2107 0.757
Powers Long Forgotten 1 70 51.43% 18.6 37.14% -1.595 -0.8352 -1.25
Rituals of Terror 3 40 35.0% 25.3 50.0% -0.415 -0.2947 -0.163
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 72.55% 27.16 47.06% 0.063 0.9702 0.176
Second Wave 0 752 36.75% 37.3 74.73% 0.016 0.1548 -0.027
The Great River 3 233 49.79% 30.21 43.35% -0.233 0.8669 -1.223
Varied Terrains 2 146 50.68% 27.77 57.53% -0.568 0.2077 -1.06
Ward the Shores 2 91 51.65% 28.63 58.24% -0.91 0.1647 -0.962

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 21511 55.68% 35.18 60.65% 0.535 0.8675 -0.198
1 Thematic 822 38.46% 29.86 62.17% 0.538 1.2241 -0.245
2 Archipelago 38 26.32% 31.42 65.79% 0.298 0.9059 0.145
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4042 48.4% 33.71 64.47% 0.374 0.4937 -0.671
2 Coastline 818 46.37% 33.58 66.75% 0.965 0.8927 -0.649
2 Fragment 119 52.14% 32.49 63.03% 0.509 0.3244 0.428
2 Heart 150 70.95% 33.97 48.67% -0.333 -0.4898 -0.998
2 Opposite Shores 1656 41.84% 34.48 66.43% 0.367 0.518 -0.919
2 Thematic 290 37.72% 30.79 57.24% -0.576 -0.0683 -0.858
2 Top to Top 203 42.57% 34.99 66.01% -0.525 -0.5833 -0.519
3 Archipelago 20 25.0% 45.2 80.0% -0.113 -1.0644 -0.513
3 Coastline 47 36.17% 35.45 68.09% 1.373 0.9633 -0.642
3 Other 114 24.78% 26.27 69.3% 0.481 -0.2906 0.04
3 Round (Default) 3630 43.62% 35.19 62.29% 0.142 0.0506 -1.699
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 15.6 60.0% 0.0 -0.096 0.703
3 Thematic 115 40.0% 32.76 66.96% 0.004 0.0248 0.557
4 Archipelago 19 42.11% 31.47 57.89% -0.156 -0.6858 -0.26
4 Coastline 18 22.22% 32.67 77.78% 0.0 -0.0857 0.09
4 Leaf 18 66.67% 35.94 66.67% 0.0 -0.1615 -0.218
4 Other 83 26.51% 26.11 73.49% -0.35 -1.0612 -0.286
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.107
4 Thematic 108 45.37% 28.22 50.0% -0.674 -0.5511 -0.686
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1306 37.32% 31.12 60.95% -0.854 -0.8568 -2.259
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 15.2 13.33% 0.152 0.1221 -1.659
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1459 0.0
5 Other 151 38.41% 29.54 70.2% -0.281 -0.7947 -1.876
5 Thematic 15 40.0% 36.0 60.0% 0.139 0.0819 0.24
6 Archipelago 354 1.41% 70.84 81.64% 0.405 -0.6327 -0.787
6 Coastline 4 75.0% 32.25 50.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.229
6 Other 133 27.82% 39.63 69.17% -0.874 -0.978 -1.265
6 Star 78 20.51% 25.82 62.82% -0.405 -0.4189 -3.394
6 Thematic 506 26.4% 34.59 52.77% -0.992 -0.7057 -1.709
6 Two Centers (Default) 354 29.18% 34.04 57.63% -1.101 -0.568 -2.292
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 16.2 40.0% 0.105 0.17 0.64
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.12
7 Other 10 30.0% 32.5 80.0% 0.0 -0.5585 -1.111

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1109 37.59 55.28% -0.121 0.1301 -0.177
Aid From Lesser Spirits 835 42.05 60.96% -0.204 -0.2622 0.168
All Things Weaken 1084 36.46 51.38% -0.073 0.2622 -0.258
Attenuated Essence 517 35.72 55.9% -0.344 -0.3101 0.026
Back Against the Wall 854 38.49 56.44% 0.163 0.1984 -0.078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 528 33.87 51.7% -0.303 -0.0863 -0.186
Burn Brightest Before the End 367 36.11 50.68% 0.049 0.0593 -0.227
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1058 33.93 52.36% -0.245 0.0991 -0.334
Downward Spiral 1366 34.18 55.27% 0.259 0.3759 -0.127
Erosion of Will 1034 35.88 49.81% -0.08 0.194 -0.392
Intensifying Exploitation 548 31.36 49.09% -0.148 0.0629 -0.412
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 390 43.87 77.18% 1.234 0.6613 0.741
Memory Fades to Dust 1233 34.9 54.83% 0.11 0.3625 -0.097
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1119 35.71 53.35% -0.222 -0.0176 -0.089
Promising Farmlands 1081 34.9 49.77% 0.112 0.3656 -0.34
Shattered Fragments of Power 393 37.06 57.25% 0.426 0.4996 0.015
Slow Dissolution of Will 575 32.45 43.48% -0.779 -0.3977 -0.474
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 305 40.14 73.77% 0.419 -0.2549 0.433
The Border of Life and Death 135 35.07 70.37% 0.93 0.3294 0.261
Thriving Communities 1176 33.86 50.0% -0.519 -0.2378 -0.307
Thriving Crops 215 32.81 55.81% -0.453 -0.5936 0.001
Unnatural Proliferation 1154 39.09 56.33% 0.232 0.4353 0.043
Untended Land Crumbles 1088 37.09 54.6% 0.48 0.6701 0.044

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8091 45.16% 35.45 63.74% 0.067 1.0648 0.359
B 8530 45.8% 35.41 63.31% 0.337 1.2595 0.308
C 9450 46.96% 36.13 62.4% 0.396 1.1245 0.221
D 7104 44.17% 34.88 62.77% -0.063 0.8957 0.393
E 7215 44.3% 32.75 59.51% -0.349 0.4703 0.236
F 6617 48.25% 33.91 60.07% 0.448 1.3299 0.198
G 6053 44.62% 37.0 65.21% 0.385 1.2099 0.517
H 5823 44.63% 37.15 65.5% 0.321 1.1599 0.459
East 1412 33.59% 32.54 59.21% -0.262 0.613 -0.254
Northeast 1003 30.39% 33.38 58.13% -0.446 0.306 -0.306
Northwest 912 32.34% 32.68 53.95% 0.366 1.2585 -0.914
Southeast 759 31.61% 32.53 54.55% -0.276 0.5628 -0.523
Southwest 742 32.74% 32.22 55.26% -0.761 0.5438 -0.453
West 1333 35.8% 31.44 55.51% -0.182 0.7678 -0.252

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 441 0.0% 24.9 51.93% -0.531 0.1979 1.194
Not Using Events or Tokens 660 43.28% 14.94 43.33% -0.636 -0.2901 0.519
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1281 13.75% 58.43 85.25% 1.664 1.061 0.464
Start of Game Growth 2078 21.4% 56.8 84.02% 0.978 0.4743 1.074
Unlimited Undo 3534 46.35% 41.84 70.51% 0.47 0.363 0.49
Using Tokens but Not Events 3827 25.08% 28.92 61.14% -0.745 -0.7752 -1.572

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1949 25.84% 41.02 66.91% -0.252 -0.3465 0.009
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 364 34.1% 37.24 63.46% 0.716 0.2402 0.563
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 228 48.21% 26.58 53.51% -1.008 -0.896 1.202
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 209 41.83% 33.27 66.51% -0.094 -0.9072 0.715
Dances Up Earthquakes 136 45.59% 30.99 53.68% -0.177 -0.1859 -0.44
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 494 37.16% 27.69 61.94% -0.288 -0.4277 -0.004
Downpour Drenches the World 863 39.79% 33.04 66.4% 0.391 0.619 0.496
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 794 42.98% 30.36 57.18% -0.12 -0.6892 -0.147
Eyes Watch From the Trees 739 40.0% 28.75 62.25% -0.365 -0.7521 -0.083
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1121 23.41% 47.41 68.96% -0.062 -0.4562 0.113
Finder of Paths Unseen 564 41.79% 33.33 68.09% -0.147 0.5813 0.643
Fractured Days Split the Sky 391 36.92% 38.9 59.85% -0.036 0.6044 -0.387
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 357 45.38% 32.46 63.03% -0.542 -0.6751 0.456
Heart of the Wildfire 439 54.61% 25.59 54.21% 0.214 0.5434 -0.354
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1929 40.68% 39.95 66.77% 0.936 0.5125 0.677
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 349 25.79% 28.02 53.58% 0.949 0.6422 0.45
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 815 42.1% 36.7 59.88% -0.665 -0.8576 -0.325
Many Minds Move as One 310 42.9% 31.81 61.94% 0.478 0.2616 -0.351
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1278 25.47% 44.12 66.74% 0.967 1.1068 -0.0
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 184 36.41% 33.18 63.04% 0.11 0.1905 0.29
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 888 22.27% 47.4 72.86% 0.298 0.2196 0.771
River Surges in Sunlight 678 20.36% 51.84 70.94% -0.191 -0.0655 0.494
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 168 31.14% 25.85 48.21% -0.14 0.0382 -0.551
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 344 40.94% 27.72 52.33% 0.099 0.3785 -1.176
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 687 40.09% 31.11 63.46% -0.191 -0.3141 -0.07
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1193 31.76% 34.7 60.85% 0.76 0.6329 0.196
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 321 35.2% 39.95 64.8% 0.504 0.391 0.375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 106 51.46% 20.84 51.89% -0.892 -0.3768 -1.049
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 231 39.04% 27.85 74.89% 0.426 0.4071 -0.158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 210 40.78% 31.11 56.19% -1.496 -1.9988 0.323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 259 36.65% 29.52 73.36% -0.586 -0.7774 -0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 99 45.36% 28.13 62.63% 0.069 0.0099 0.22
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 59 35.71% 21.81 57.63% 0.044 0.1255 -0.596
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 326 38.17% 40.98 71.47% 0.417 0.4961 -0.088
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 421 35.63% 39.61 58.91% 0.425 0.2382 -0.022
Shifting Memory of Ages 1141 40.69% 36.52 63.54% -0.172 0.0949 0.337
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 856 35.75% 33.51 57.83% 0.497 0.3788 0.34
Shroud of Silent Mist 255 55.29% 25.65 52.55% 0.1 0.4513 -1.487
Starlight Seeks its Form 907 44.7% 36.87 62.95% -0.063 -0.1811 0.2
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 733 44.47% 35.78 61.53% -0.14 -0.6534 -0.047
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 436 32.94% 25.65 59.4% -0.547 -0.4291 -0.204
Thunderspeaker 438 48.04% 34.87 59.82% 0.68 0.7117 -0.202
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 209 36.84% 27.73 59.33% 1.155 1.1683 0.292
Towering Roots of the Jungle 264 40.15% 31.61 56.06% -0.695 -0.5656 0.17
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 324 56.97% 33.23 59.57% -0.364 -0.2378 0.401
Vital Strength of the Earth 249 41.35% 23.91 60.64% 0.527 1.1265 -0.486
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 985 33.26% 35.49 65.69% -0.473 0.0207 -0.621
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 196 42.93% 24.8 52.04% 0.034 0.732 -0.807
Volcano Looming High 610 49.59% 30.79 58.36% -0.237 -0.1896 -0.019
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 403 41.4% 38.8 65.51% -0.596 -0.8861 0.466

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 59.43%
Lightning's Boon 40.0%
Raging Storm 57.58%
Shatter Homesteads 76.7%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10050 13.42 9.69%
II 15053 30.13 72.2%
III 9154 34.83 91.64%
IV 2576 38.67 99.88%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 972
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8248
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10745
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2537
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6407
Lose: Invader deck ran out 78
Lose: Adversary condition 2438
Win: Sacrifice victory 185
Lose: Scenario condition 408
Win: Scenario condition 117
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4562
Lose: Spirit destroyed 136

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.851 Win Model: -0.114

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.318 Win Model: 0.236
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 22579 55.04% 35.03 60.79%
2 7193 46.17% 33.76 64.74%
3 3912 42.97% 34.98 62.91%
4 1538 37.61% 30.55 60.66%
5 177 38.42% 28.85 67.23%
6 1434 20.81% 43.4 63.32%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)