Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 96 34.38% 36.45 85.42% 0.607 0.6227 1.448
Blitz 0 107 39.25% 26.01 58.88% -0.775 -0.4872 -0.99
Dahan Insurrection 4 100 32.0% 35.68 46.0% -0.842 -1.0193 -0.468
Despicable Theft 2 36 41.67% 26.53 58.33% -0.406 0.4547 0.284
Elemental Invocation 1 129 57.36% 28.71 41.86% -1.083 -0.1504 -1.642
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2024 25.89% 54.84 71.34% 1.866 1.2197 0.602
Powers Long Forgotten 1 44 61.36% 24.2 47.73% 0.333 1.2787 -0.744
Rituals of Terror 3 34 38.24% 26.29 52.94% -0.398 -0.3212 -0.094
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 36 80.56% 26.0 44.44% -0.439 0.6766 -0.242
Second Wave 0 531 34.07% 38.25 76.27% 0.123 0.1537 -0.102
The Great River 3 179 51.96% 32.44 43.58% -0.685 0.7399 -1.322
Varied Terrains 2 119 53.78% 29.64 60.5% -0.432 0.3423 -1.007
Ward the Shores 2 69 56.52% 31.01 59.42% 0.537 1.5818 -0.879

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 15588 57.27% 36.85 63.64% 0.103 0.3634 -0.236
1 Thematic 514 35.74% 32.52 68.09% 0.703 1.1692 0.027
2 Archipelago 29 24.14% 33.14 65.52% -0.175 0.2981 0.171
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2688 49.43% 34.09 66.07% 0.059 0.2441 -0.671
2 Coastline 575 47.46% 34.54 68.87% -0.451 -0.4679 -0.646
2 Fragment 86 57.14% 37.55 70.93% 1.602 1.2854 0.642
2 Heart 121 73.95% 33.63 44.63% 0.306 0.2117 -1.072
2 Opposite Shores 1121 39.2% 33.96 69.31% 0.062 0.0223 -0.789
2 Thematic 193 43.23% 30.84 62.18% -0.493 -0.2066 -0.542
2 Top to Top 123 45.9% 34.89 70.73% 0.441 0.3978 -0.594
3 Archipelago 14 28.57% 42.64 85.71% -0.247 -1.3872 0.238
3 Coastline 27 51.85% 35.0 62.96% 0.134 -0.6154 -0.767
3 Other 93 23.66% 26.45 67.74% 0.43 -0.0329 -0.182
3 Round (Default) 2500 44.92% 35.85 63.2% -0.192 -0.4121 -1.575
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 15.6 60.0% 0.185 0.2608 0.676
3 Thematic 84 41.67% 33.2 71.43% 0.642 0.3496 0.582
4 Archipelago 13 38.46% 36.62 61.54% -1.527 -1.3344 0.233
4 Coastline 16 18.75% 35.25 81.25% 0.12 -0.2393 0.136
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 39.0 81.82% 0.244 0.1355 -0.311
4 Other 61 31.15% 24.8 77.05% -0.505 -0.762 0.399
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.184
4 Thematic 68 51.47% 28.46 47.06% -1.369 -1.1169 -0.685
4 Trapezoid (Default) 856 39.57% 32.87 65.54% 0.187 0.401 -1.858
5 Archipelago 14 71.43% 16.29 14.29% -0.934 -0.6603 -1.329
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1045 0.0
5 Other 98 35.71% 28.8 71.43% 0.761 0.1951 -1.609
5 Thematic 10 30.0% 30.0 50.0% 0.001 -0.4198 -0.744
6 Archipelago 129 3.88% 67.05 80.62% 0.586 -0.3469 -0.228
6 Coastline 3 100.0% 43.0 66.67% 0.707 -0.0909 0.195
6 Other 105 21.9% 45.21 73.33% -0.184 0.2423 -0.498
6 Star 46 21.74% 27.48 71.74% -1.079 -0.9662 -2.575
6 Thematic 293 26.48% 39.97 60.41% -0.518 -0.4161 -1.042
6 Two Centers (Default) 255 29.53% 36.85 63.53% -0.618 -0.875 -1.787
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 16.2 40.0% -0.984 0.0869 0.533
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 -0.068
7 Other 10 30.0% 32.5 80.0% -0.002 -1.0174 -0.782

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 843 37.51 54.57% 0.161 0.3369 -0.366
Aid From Lesser Spirits 645 42.74 62.48% -0.097 -0.1508 -0.005
All Things Weaken 835 37.25 51.86% 0.311 0.6048 -0.415
Attenuated Essence 304 37.39 59.87% -0.24 -0.1569 0.098
Back Against the Wall 621 39.23 58.29% -0.193 -0.1458 -0.159
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 328 34.78 53.35% 0.102 0.3059 -0.113
Burn Brightest Before the End 205 37.88 53.17% 0.497 0.6846 -0.134
Disintegrating Ecosystem 784 34.67 52.68% -0.771 -0.3617 -0.517
Downward Spiral 994 35.4 56.84% -0.443 -0.3154 -0.285
Erosion of Will 775 36.23 49.68% -0.172 0.1111 -0.522
Intensifying Exploitation 313 31.75 48.24% -0.657 -0.4088 -0.645
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 302 45.09 77.48% 0.432 -0.0835 0.58
Memory Fades to Dust 944 36.07 56.36% -0.081 0.1559 -0.238
Power Corrodes the Spirit 849 36.74 54.89% -0.027 0.191 -0.211
Promising Farmlands 832 36.44 51.32% -0.297 -0.0019 -0.43
Shattered Fragments of Power 222 37.78 59.91% 0.46 0.6615 -0.184
Slow Dissolution of Will 340 33.19 45.88% -0.637 -0.2523 -0.42
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 229 42.79 75.11% 0.708 0.1268 0.421
The Border of Life and Death 85 34.02 69.41% 0.439 -0.0787 -0.074
Thriving Communities 904 35.1 50.88% -0.303 0.0357 -0.387
Thriving Crops 137 32.29 54.74% -0.405 -0.4469 -0.375
Unnatural Proliferation 872 39.68 56.08% 0.612 0.7519 -0.131
Untended Land Crumbles 813 36.76 54.49% -0.151 0.2973 -0.215

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5592 47.04% 35.71 65.2% 0.07 0.9314 0.293
B 5959 47.41% 35.46 64.73% 0.187 1.0042 0.249
C 6500 48.63% 36.31 64.72% -0.349 0.3301 0.248
D 4798 45.88% 35.1 65.38% 0.2 1.0043 0.404
E 4968 47.27% 34.92 63.77% 0.228 0.8963 0.29
F 4533 49.74% 35.28 62.03% -0.032 0.7664 0.094
G 4150 47.27% 36.99 66.87% 0.535 1.3607 0.493
H 3921 47.46% 37.0 67.05% 0.212 0.9847 0.332
East 890 35.56% 34.68 64.16% -0.251 0.5947 -0.079
Northeast 604 32.11% 36.47 64.24% 0.227 0.9974 -0.27
Northwest 530 33.72% 36.63 61.51% 0.022 0.8298 -0.414
Southeast 469 32.83% 35.47 59.7% -0.753 0.1168 -0.614
Southwest 453 33.11% 35.79 61.15% -0.112 1.1693 -0.413
West 819 36.62% 34.15 61.42% -0.167 0.8289 -0.614

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 299 0.0% 23.9 54.18% -0.673 0.1228 0.92
Not Using Events or Tokens 362 46.69% 15.22 48.34% -0.326 0.0621 -0.882
Skip Initial Invader Actions 950 12.87% 56.76 86.84% 0.68 0.065 0.055
Start of Game Growth 1546 21.47% 56.84 85.45% 1.58 0.9982 1.044
Unlimited Undo 2606 48.99% 43.64 73.71% -0.319 -0.2747 0.567
Using Tokens but Not Events 2504 27.23% 29.67 68.05% 0.029 -0.0288 -1.317

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1338 28.79% 39.76 69.13% 0.092 -0.0522 0.266
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 59 25.42% 41.46 67.8% 0.246 -0.4672 0.45
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 184 50.28% 29.1 58.15% 0.093 0.3569 1.363
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 43.65% 36.02 72.44% 0.364 -0.4445 0.851
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 347 36.8% 29.73 68.3% -0.24 -0.4043 0.032
Downpour Drenches the World 650 41.32% 34.36 69.85% -0.193 0.0807 0.562
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 554 44.46% 30.11 56.86% 0.136 -0.2907 -0.176
Eyes Watch From the Trees 494 33.96% 30.53 71.46% 1.661 1.3011 1.125
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 700 28.2% 43.02 66.86% 0.31 -0.1344 -0.003
Finder of Paths Unseen 441 39.82% 32.67 68.71% -0.123 0.565 0.553
Fractured Days Split the Sky 269 39.93% 42.41 63.2% 0.079 0.6678 -0.386
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 273 47.99% 33.89 65.93% 0.484 0.4198 0.638
Heart of the Wildfire 305 59.33% 28.19 57.7% -0.268 0.0598 -0.243
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1434 41.47% 39.89 67.09% 0.882 0.5867 0.614
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 155 33.55% 35.05 63.23% -0.289 -0.6599 1.1
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 598 43.34% 37.76 61.2% -0.526 -0.8208 -0.442
Many Minds Move as One 208 42.31% 32.55 60.1% 0.088 -0.0573 -0.408
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 790 31.51% 40.04 66.08% -0.078 -0.136 -0.082
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 501 28.89% 43.13 73.85% -0.12 -0.2843 0.864
River Surges in Sunlight 390 30.37% 44.74 68.46% -0.512 -0.4136 0.263
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 20 30.0% 21.4 45.0% -0.603 -0.738 -0.563
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 214 36.79% 28.41 55.61% -0.259 0.2175 -1.324
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 556 41.56% 32.4 66.73% -0.153 -0.1882 -0.131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 832 32.09% 37.64 66.95% 0.575 0.3198 0.444
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 67 57.58% 23.67 52.24% 0.627 1.148 -0.759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 191 39.68% 29.07 77.49% -0.423 -0.2824 -0.604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 107 43.81% 35.23 63.55% -0.604 -1.1828 0.08
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 216 37.62% 30.23 74.07% -0.641 -0.2903 0.019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 89 44.83% 26.96 60.67% -0.715 -0.7306 0.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 48 33.33% 21.85 56.25% -0.133 0.1162 -0.444
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 279 37.78% 41.71 71.33% -0.246 -0.3561 -0.047
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 323 37.15% 37.45 56.66% -0.936 -1.0979 -0.055
Shifting Memory of Ages 1000 41.93% 37.27 64.2% 0.595 0.9396 0.313
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 205 30.73% 35.24 60.98% 0.568 0.2588 -0.02
Shroud of Silent Mist 178 57.3% 26.68 55.06% -0.288 0.0437 -1.399
Starlight Seeks its Form 622 43.32% 39.62 67.52% 0.196 0.0215 0.262
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 536 47.2% 36.85 61.57% 0.298 -0.4117 -0.031
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 296 35.86% 28.67 66.89% -0.111 0.1009 0.025
Thunderspeaker 319 49.48% 35.4 60.82% -0.143 -0.1634 -0.506
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 128 37.5% 26.7 57.81% -0.518 -0.32 0.123
Towering Roots of the Jungle 62 33.87% 26.6 53.23% -0.29 -0.3179 -0.644
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 226 59.56% 33.56 60.62% -0.272 -0.2057 0.428
Vital Strength of the Earth 162 45.33% 25.36 58.02% 0.64 1.1744 -0.437
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 736 31.79% 36.68 70.92% 0.072 0.6394 -0.446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 136 44.36% 24.34 52.94% -0.791 -0.032 -1.657
Volcano Looming High 437 52.08% 32.45 60.18% 0.849 0.9854 0.036
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 201 41.71% 37.78 69.65% 0.69 0.3788 0.472

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 57.75%
Lightning's Boon 37.23%
Raging Storm 55.37%
Shatter Homesteads 74.98%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6363 15.74 10.88%
II 10873 30.48 73.02%
III 6657 34.79 91.86%
IV 1921 38.41 99.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 690
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6007
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7849
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1891
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3506
Lose: Invader deck ran out 60
Lose: Adversary condition 1804
Win: Sacrifice victory 144
Lose: Scenario condition 290
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3375
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.725 Win Model: -0.148

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.315 Win Model: 0.086
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 16268 56.59% 36.77 63.9%
2 4855 46.87% 33.98 66.67%
3 2717 44.06% 35.48 63.75%
4 1018 40.06% 32.06 64.93%
5 120 35.83% 28.42 68.33%
6 836 23.16% 43.02 66.75%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)