Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 105 34.29% 36.78 82.86% -0.618 -1.1764 1.425
Blitz 0 138 39.13% 24.51 52.9% -1.288 -0.8653 -1.221
Dahan Insurrection 4 191 20.94% 25.47 31.94% -1.113 -1.5956 -0.279
Despicable Theft 2 43 41.86% 24.95 55.81% -0.178 0.365 0.478
Elemental Invocation 1 158 55.06% 27.03 41.77% -0.762 -0.0241 -1.743
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2791 24.79% 54.69 69.9% 0.496 -0.1603 0.704
Powers Long Forgotten 1 59 52.54% 21.41 44.07% -0.23 0.3326 -0.894
Rituals of Terror 3 38 34.21% 25.76 52.63% 0.218 0.076 -0.136
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 45 73.33% 26.84 46.67% -0.274 0.4745 0.139
Second Wave 0 686 36.41% 37.37 75.07% 0.124 0.2186 0.104
The Great River 3 214 49.07% 29.94 41.12% -1.072 0.1738 -1.278
Varied Terrains 2 132 52.27% 28.44 58.33% -0.997 -0.1292 -1.078
Ward the Shores 2 85 51.76% 29.86 61.18% -0.674 0.1804 -1.031

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 19226 56.51% 35.93 61.59% 0.035 0.4078 -0.332
1 Thematic 733 38.36% 30.52 62.89% -0.273 0.4409 -0.366
2 Archipelago 34 23.53% 32.18 64.71% -0.48 0.0436 0.121
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3507 48.4% 34.19 65.18% -0.03 0.1315 -0.688
2 Coastline 719 45.73% 33.29 66.9% -0.537 -0.7298 -0.832
2 Fragment 103 51.49% 34.4 67.96% 0.229 0.1804 0.627
2 Heart 142 71.43% 33.91 47.89% 0.138 -0.0742 -1.126
2 Opposite Shores 1430 41.46% 34.98 67.48% 0.019 0.1518 -1.01
2 Thematic 257 39.45% 29.26 56.81% -0.877 -0.1571 -0.713
2 Top to Top 167 45.18% 36.93 71.26% 0.587 0.5022 -0.474
3 Archipelago 18 22.22% 48.22 88.89% 0.0 -0.5435 0.215
3 Coastline 41 39.02% 35.9 63.41% 0.436 -0.1949 -0.826
3 Other 104 24.27% 25.88 67.31% 1.02 0.1438 0.027
3 Round (Default) 3152 43.98% 35.13 61.93% -0.095 -0.118 -1.792
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 15.6 60.0% 0.0 -0.4466 0.684
3 Thematic 102 39.22% 31.96 67.65% 0.172 0.1794 0.514
4 Archipelago 16 37.5% 33.13 62.5% -0.596 -0.7475 -0.257
4 Coastline 17 23.53% 33.18 76.47% -0.463 -0.3332 0.091
4 Leaf 16 62.5% 38.25 75.0% -0.927 -0.4915 -0.221
4 Other 75 28.0% 26.43 77.33% 0.871 0.3032 0.078
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 0.446 0.121
4 Thematic 90 46.67% 27.89 50.0% 0.329 0.3922 -0.609
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1114 37.65% 31.5 62.57% -0.636 -0.6313 -2.312
5 Archipelago 14 71.43% 16.29 14.29% 0.348 0.1388 -1.586
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.0
5 Other 136 36.76% 29.54 72.79% 1.081 0.7567 -1.908
5 Thematic 13 38.46% 36.46 61.54% 0.351 0.208 0.245
6 Archipelago 287 1.74% 70.38 81.53% -0.048 -1.0864 -0.494
6 Coastline 4 75.0% 32.25 50.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.251
6 Other 116 23.28% 42.22 71.55% -0.097 -0.1415 -0.888
6 Star 68 20.59% 27.21 64.71% -0.967 -0.3346 -3.266
6 Thematic 451 25.62% 34.71 52.99% -0.759 -0.5553 -1.681
6 Two Centers (Default) 304 29.04% 34.86 59.87% -1.661 -1.1871 -2.007
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 16.2 40.0% 0.167 -0.1571 0.662
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.08
7 Other 10 30.0% 32.5 80.0% 0.092 -0.584 -0.85

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1014 37.72 55.13% 0.627 0.6985 -0.235
Aid From Lesser Spirits 762 42.88 62.47% 0.565 0.4556 0.143
All Things Weaken 998 36.5 51.2% 0.507 0.6838 -0.315
Attenuated Essence 423 36.92 57.92% -0.107 -0.0553 0.075
Back Against the Wall 769 38.66 56.7% 0.256 0.2405 -0.098
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 446 34.16 52.24% 0.22 0.4039 -0.217
Burn Brightest Before the End 308 36.37 50.65% -0.419 -0.3317 -0.239
Disintegrating Ecosystem 947 34.33 52.16% -0.143 0.1481 -0.397
Downward Spiral 1237 34.65 55.54% 0.144 0.2504 -0.211
Erosion of Will 942 35.86 49.47% -0.254 -0.0883 -0.439
Intensifying Exploitation 466 31.58 48.28% -0.399 -0.2107 -0.512
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 365 44.28 76.99% 0.424 -0.0043 0.659
Memory Fades to Dust 1110 35.31 54.95% -0.406 -0.1714 -0.155
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1025 35.79 53.17% -0.068 0.0275 -0.159
Promising Farmlands 974 35.53 49.9% -0.174 0.1901 -0.369
Shattered Fragments of Power 320 37.0 56.25% -0.364 -0.2982 -0.168
Slow Dissolution of Will 482 33.16 45.02% -0.383 0.0802 -0.436
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 271 41.23 73.8% 0.623 0.0219 0.396
The Border of Life and Death 117 34.12 70.09% 0.57 0.0948 0.125
Thriving Communities 1055 34.36 50.43% -0.4 -0.174 -0.348
Thriving Crops 186 34.1 58.6% 0.469 0.244 0.039
Unnatural Proliferation 1043 39.45 56.28% 0.506 0.6283 -0.036
Untended Land Crumbles 994 36.94 54.43% -0.033 0.1993 -0.03

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7093 45.45% 35.74 64.23% -0.085 0.8334 0.336
B 7554 46.0% 35.54 63.57% 0.158 0.9989 0.305
C 8356 47.18% 36.23 62.66% 0.116 0.7994 0.176
D 6173 44.49% 35.24 63.96% -0.09 0.7529 0.405
E 6183 46.04% 33.99 61.93% 0.356 1.0078 0.319
F 5789 48.79% 34.41 60.6% -0.012 0.7475 0.147
G 5307 44.91% 37.27 65.65% 0.418 1.1754 0.516
H 5082 45.52% 37.34 66.04% 0.219 0.9377 0.401
East 1245 33.76% 32.63 60.08% -0.845 -0.0312 -0.132
Northeast 882 30.48% 33.12 58.5% -0.129 0.5382 -0.277
Northwest 801 32.58% 31.85 53.06% -0.588 0.2166 -0.943
Southeast 672 30.93% 32.89 55.51% 0.442 1.1476 -0.478
Southwest 660 31.65% 32.43 55.76% -0.056 1.3335 -0.525
West 1184 35.83% 31.07 55.24% 0.118 0.912 -0.254

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 387 0.0% 24.37 52.2% -1.244 -0.5256 1.108
Not Using Events or Tokens 554 41.19% 14.41 43.14% -1.001 -0.5163 -1.085
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1142 13.58% 58.11 85.73% 0.729 -0.0014 0.356
Start of Game Growth 1869 21.33% 56.99 84.75% 1.088 0.6413 1.068
Unlimited Undo 3217 47.09% 41.95 70.9% 0.079 0.0462 0.496
Using Tokens but Not Events 3350 26.16% 29.78 63.97% 0.273 0.1103 -1.496

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1725 26.53% 41.35 67.94% -0.126 -0.2333 0.086
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 239 32.35% 36.35 62.34% 0.041 -0.4478 0.716
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 201 50.0% 28.55 56.72% -0.763 -0.6203 1.33
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 179 41.01% 34.31 68.16% 0.377 -0.3718 0.685
Dances Up Earthquakes 36 36.11% 34.64 72.22% 0.501 0.3239 -0.048
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 424 36.1% 28.33 63.68% -1.189 -1.3966 0.236
Downpour Drenches the World 770 38.2% 32.99 67.01% 0.084 0.4045 0.48
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 694 45.01% 30.68 56.92% 0.16 -0.2801 -0.206
Eyes Watch From the Trees 671 37.73% 28.74 63.04% -1.216 -1.5594 -0.027
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 976 23.3% 46.69 68.95% 0.365 0.011 0.001
Finder of Paths Unseen 516 41.41% 33.28 68.02% -0.553 0.2313 0.644
Fractured Days Split the Sky 328 38.23% 40.27 61.28% -0.661 -0.2126 -0.468
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 327 44.95% 33.05 63.91% -0.199 -0.2225 0.524
Heart of the Wildfire 394 56.04% 25.89 55.08% -0.238 0.089 -0.572
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1790 40.88% 39.78 66.59% 0.855 0.3598 0.616
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 299 26.42% 28.51 53.85% 0.448 -0.1143 0.681
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 717 42.28% 37.9 61.37% 0.02 -0.136 -0.228
Many Minds Move as One 277 42.24% 32.23 61.37% 0.367 0.16 -0.262
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1155 26.23% 42.67 65.71% 0.118 0.247 -0.141
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 60 38.33% 31.0 60.0% -0.228 -0.123 -0.15
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 761 23.18% 46.95 73.32% 0.417 0.3679 0.729
River Surges in Sunlight 591 21.82% 50.57 70.39% 0.875 0.9085 0.472
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 136 31.62% 26.17 46.32% 0.448 0.6567 -0.247
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 298 39.53% 27.8 53.02% -0.279 -0.128 -1.225
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 631 40.48% 31.31 64.34% -1.226 -1.217 -0.112
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1092 31.96% 34.78 60.81% -0.666 -0.7654 0.108
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 51 41.18% 40.51 72.55% 0.55 0.0592 0.139
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 91 52.27% 22.22 52.75% 0.432 0.9443 -0.881
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 222 38.81% 28.11 75.23% 0.05 0.0068 -0.334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 166 42.07% 34.75 63.25% 0.744 0.2957 0.426
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 246 37.08% 30.38 74.8% 0.441 0.4991 -0.055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 95 45.16% 27.86 62.11% 0.116 -0.0744 0.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 55 36.54% 21.98 56.36% -0.311 -0.2269 -0.542
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 311 37.09% 41.06 71.7% -0.59 -0.6876 -0.074
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 389 35.99% 38.31 57.58% 0.053 -0.141 -0.048
Shifting Memory of Ages 1082 41.71% 36.48 63.68% -0.301 0.0886 0.351
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 610 34.59% 33.4 57.05% 0.065 0.0136 0.175
Shroud of Silent Mist 221 52.94% 25.64 53.85% 0.527 0.9411 -1.371
Starlight Seeks its Form 797 43.97% 37.66 63.86% 0.382 0.3424 0.237
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 646 45.36% 35.43 61.15% 0.316 -0.1864 -0.054
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 389 32.63% 26.07 61.18% 0.013 0.0957 -0.242
Thunderspeaker 389 47.09% 34.24 59.38% -0.117 -0.1221 -0.364
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 189 35.98% 26.78 57.14% -0.125 0.2634 0.263
Towering Roots of the Jungle 193 40.41% 33.87 61.14% 0.105 0.3151 0.272
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 289 56.6% 33.33 60.21% -0.953 -0.8758 0.469
Vital Strength of the Earth 219 40.58% 24.26 59.82% 0.693 1.1423 -0.545
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 876 32.17% 35.34 66.44% -1.028 -0.5335 -0.744
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 172 40.12% 23.73 49.42% -0.079 0.6134 -1.17
Volcano Looming High 527 49.81% 32.13 60.53% 0.651 0.7156 0.07
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 326 41.98% 41.04 68.71% 0.615 0.3662 0.576

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 59.09%
Lightning's Boon 39.1%
Raging Storm 56.62%
Shatter Homesteads 76.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8625 14.25 10.2%
II 13488 30.3 72.39%
III 8111 34.84 91.7%
IV 2327 38.61 99.91%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 878
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7309
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9649
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2291
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5246
Lose: Invader deck ran out 70
Lose: Adversary condition 2222
Win: Sacrifice victory 169
Lose: Scenario condition 374
Win: Scenario condition 111
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4102
Lose: Spirit destroyed 130

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.667 Win Model: -0.121

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.156 Win Model: 0.004
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 20174 55.82% 35.78 61.74%
2 6252 46.3% 34.13 65.55%
3 3414 43.13% 34.86 62.45%
4 1319 38.02% 30.91 62.4%
5 159 37.74% 29.34 70.44%
6 1233 20.39% 43.27 63.75%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)