Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 98 34.69% 36.27 84.69% 0.165 -0.0551 1.471
Blitz 0 110 39.09% 25.7 58.18% -1.101 -0.814 -1.103
Dahan Insurrection 4 122 29.51% 33.66 41.8% -1.035 -1.15 -0.322
Despicable Theft 2 37 43.24% 25.81 56.76% -0.56 0.1783 0.268
Elemental Invocation 1 135 57.78% 28.29 42.96% -0.487 0.2689 -1.671
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2193 25.44% 54.48 70.41% 1.301 0.7191 0.612
Powers Long Forgotten 1 46 58.7% 23.15 45.65% -0.758 0.0952 -0.733
Rituals of Terror 3 36 36.11% 26.19 52.78% -0.229 -0.3992 -0.068
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 38 78.95% 25.32 42.11% -1.89 -0.9792 -0.417
Second Wave 0 568 33.65% 37.83 76.06% 0.008 0.0875 -0.076
The Great River 3 185 51.35% 32.57 43.78% -0.622 0.7414 -1.306
Varied Terrains 2 120 54.17% 29.71 60.83% -0.355 0.5249 -1.017
Ward the Shores 2 71 56.34% 31.03 60.56% -0.289 0.6927 -0.894

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 16492 56.61% 36.43 62.75% -0.059 0.2851 -0.313
1 Thematic 544 36.72% 32.83 67.65% 0.433 0.9602 0.084
2 Archipelago 30 23.33% 33.27 66.67% 0.253 0.7524 0.133
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2811 49.27% 34.1 65.96% -0.124 0.1608 -0.729
2 Coastline 601 47.91% 34.24 68.39% -0.488 -0.4591 -0.704
2 Fragment 90 54.55% 36.82 71.11% 1.55 1.3132 0.647
2 Heart 130 74.22% 33.48 45.38% 0.23 0.0821 -1.095
2 Opposite Shores 1166 38.54% 34.4 69.9% 0.004 0.0629 -0.839
2 Thematic 198 43.65% 30.63 62.12% -0.057 0.3134 -0.528
2 Top to Top 135 47.76% 35.21 71.11% -0.03 0.0938 -0.624
3 Archipelago 18 22.22% 48.22 88.89% -0.232 -1.0299 0.229
3 Coastline 33 42.42% 35.85 63.64% -0.275 -0.8246 -0.728
3 Other 95 23.16% 26.95 68.42% 1.588 1.0502 0.039
3 Round (Default) 2597 44.44% 35.64 62.73% -0.765 -0.8575 -1.688
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 15.6 60.0% 0.359 0.5095 0.723
3 Thematic 91 42.86% 32.0 68.13% 0.158 -0.3608 0.584
4 Archipelago 15 33.33% 35.33 66.67% -0.733 -0.2999 0.204
4 Coastline 16 18.75% 35.25 81.25% 0.0 -0.7603 0.133
4 Leaf 12 66.67% 40.33 83.33% 0.205 -0.0061 -0.336
4 Other 68 29.41% 26.46 76.47% -0.285 -0.2774 0.114
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.157
4 Thematic 76 50.0% 27.95 44.74% -0.872 -0.7387 -0.731
4 Trapezoid (Default) 918 37.51% 32.03 63.29% -0.886 -0.779 -2.215
5 Archipelago 14 71.43% 16.29 14.29% -0.738 -0.5699 -1.353
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5066 0.0
5 Other 101 34.65% 28.93 72.28% 0.452 -0.0622 -1.706
5 Thematic 10 30.0% 30.0 50.0% 0.419 -0.5629 -0.719
6 Archipelago 141 3.55% 68.11 81.56% 1.022 0.2917 -0.069
6 Coastline 3 100.0% 43.0 66.67% 0.194 -0.8455 0.245
6 Other 106 21.7% 44.78 72.64% -0.706 -0.0712 -0.432
6 Star 49 22.45% 27.8 69.39% -1.45 -1.2053 -2.805
6 Thematic 324 25.79% 38.45 59.26% -0.852 -0.5289 -1.273
6 Two Centers (Default) 267 30.08% 37.55 64.04% 0.097 -0.0061 -1.692
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 16.2 40.0% -0.496 0.0956 0.666
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 -0.072
7 Other 10 30.0% 32.5 80.0% -0.077 -1.5137 -0.667

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 876 37.42 54.22% 0.113 0.2163 -0.338
Aid From Lesser Spirits 666 42.52 62.31% 0.221 0.0762 0.005
All Things Weaken 868 37.08 51.38% 0.1 0.4664 -0.393
Attenuated Essence 328 37.35 59.45% 0.114 0.1128 0.103
Back Against the Wall 644 39.11 57.76% -0.187 -0.1219 -0.137
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 352 34.31 52.27% 0.276 0.5107 -0.198
Burn Brightest Before the End 221 37.28 52.49% 0.239 0.399 -0.185
Disintegrating Ecosystem 811 34.54 52.53% -0.366 0.01 -0.507
Downward Spiral 1031 35.37 56.74% 0.012 0.0842 -0.252
Erosion of Will 801 36.13 49.69% -0.185 0.0714 -0.482
Intensifying Exploitation 345 31.99 48.99% -0.214 0.0598 -0.594
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 317 44.9 77.6% 0.745 0.2586 0.588
Memory Fades to Dust 969 36.21 56.24% 0.346 0.5289 -0.184
Power Corrodes the Spirit 876 36.49 54.0% -0.061 0.1519 -0.207
Promising Farmlands 864 36.21 51.04% -0.493 -0.1701 -0.412
Shattered Fragments of Power 246 39.08 61.38% 1.092 1.2627 -0.03
Slow Dissolution of Will 365 33.2 45.48% -0.549 -0.165 -0.394
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 238 42.18 75.21% 0.964 0.2877 0.42
The Border of Life and Death 90 34.39 68.89% 0.554 0.0378 -0.051
Thriving Communities 932 34.94 50.64% 0.105 0.4286 -0.362
Thriving Crops 149 33.02 56.38% 0.143 0.1445 -0.175
Unnatural Proliferation 909 39.67 56.22% 0.366 0.5531 -0.111
Untended Land Crumbles 855 37.31 54.85% 0.429 0.7678 -0.116

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5880 46.45% 35.67 65.0% 0.014 0.8768 0.313
B 6235 46.9% 35.32 64.39% 0.263 1.0839 0.283
C 6832 48.44% 36.16 64.02% -0.371 0.3275 0.23
D 5032 45.49% 35.05 65.0% 0.115 0.9716 0.45
E 5311 45.89% 34.15 62.14% 0.058 0.7465 0.302
F 4800 48.91% 34.96 61.31% -0.001 0.817 0.102
G 4354 46.75% 37.02 66.51% 0.475 1.3555 0.53
H 4107 46.95% 37.16 67.06% 0.238 1.0186 0.372
East 957 35.79% 34.16 62.9% -0.183 0.61 -0.191
Northeast 658 31.9% 35.53 62.77% 0.092 0.9724 -0.14
Northwest 578 33.33% 35.51 60.03% -0.202 0.6687 -0.456
Southeast 505 32.67% 34.75 58.61% -0.613 0.2458 -0.785
Southwest 491 32.58% 34.94 60.08% 0.123 1.3323 -0.397
West 881 36.2% 33.57 60.5% 0.013 1.0732 -0.616

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 317 0.0% 23.78 53.31% -0.489 0.2264 1.077
Not Using Events or Tokens 384 46.25% 14.83 46.61% -0.82 -0.3465 -1.1
Skip Initial Invader Actions 996 13.23% 57.02 86.35% 0.627 0.0595 0.109
Start of Game Growth 1636 21.76% 56.81 85.45% 2.076 1.4117 1.156
Unlimited Undo 2706 48.66% 43.52 73.69% 0.162 0.1856 0.573
Using Tokens but Not Events 2780 25.52% 27.99 63.88% -0.677 -0.629 -1.592

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1409 27.64% 39.37 67.99% -0.376 -0.5729 0.107
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 89 26.97% 38.89 65.17% 0.259 -0.4558 0.265
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 184 50.28% 29.1 58.15% -0.092 0.1769 1.449
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 138 43.07% 34.41 70.29% 0.129 -0.4384 0.739
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 361 36.0% 29.35 67.87% -0.882 -1.0124 -0.02
Downpour Drenches the World 668 40.64% 34.24 69.46% 0.736 1.0053 0.496
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 580 44.02% 30.34 57.24% 0.357 -0.0752 -0.174
Eyes Watch From the Trees 518 33.33% 30.59 72.01% 1.183 0.76 1.138
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 737 27.5% 43.22 67.03% 0.305 -0.14 -0.007
Finder of Paths Unseen 455 39.69% 33.31 69.45% 0.231 0.8877 0.658
Fractured Days Split the Sky 282 38.43% 42.7 63.12% -0.23 0.5776 -0.485
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 281 48.04% 33.69 65.84% 0.704 0.5862 0.604
Heart of the Wildfire 319 57.32% 27.12 55.49% -0.606 -0.3192 -0.422
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1503 40.43% 39.37 66.07% 0.02 -0.3724 0.547
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 188 30.85% 33.61 59.04% 0.183 -0.2216 0.921
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 629 43.43% 38.08 61.05% -0.488 -0.7385 -0.418
Many Minds Move as One 216 42.13% 32.5 60.65% 0.543 0.313 -0.465
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 850 29.89% 39.35 64.47% -0.643 -0.7467 -0.255
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 535 27.98% 43.06 73.27% 0.119 -0.0366 0.888
River Surges in Sunlight 411 28.78% 45.09 68.37% -0.077 0.0123 0.371
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 49 28.57% 30.27 42.86% -0.753 -0.8652 0.158
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 233 36.36% 28.06 56.22% 0.055 0.4449 -1.451
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 574 40.85% 32.12 66.2% -0.243 -0.1053 -0.117
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 878 31.66% 37.08 65.72% 0.194 0.0001 0.302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 69 58.82% 23.16 50.72% 0.24 0.7254 -0.776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 200 38.89% 28.59 76.5% -0.678 -0.622 -0.673
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 115 41.59% 34.8 62.61% 0.65 0.1822 0.17
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 220 37.38% 29.97 73.64% -0.024 0.1912 -0.069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 89 44.83% 26.96 60.67% -0.801 -0.7718 0.004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 49 32.61% 21.41 55.1% -0.572 -0.3999 -0.393
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 286 37.55% 41.79 71.68% 0.227 0.0739 -0.037
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 341 36.95% 37.9 56.3% -0.755 -0.9544 -0.095
Shifting Memory of Ages 1009 41.65% 37.19 64.12% -0.318 0.1311 0.319
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 274 33.58% 35.49 61.31% 0.336 0.0312 -0.037
Shroud of Silent Mist 185 57.84% 26.71 54.05% -0.54 -0.2042 -1.393
Starlight Seeks its Form 658 42.47% 39.09 66.41% -0.029 -0.0845 0.154
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 559 46.69% 36.79 61.9% 0.179 -0.4443 -0.018
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 305 34.78% 28.25 65.9% -0.172 0.0214 -0.01
Thunderspeaker 340 49.04% 35.57 61.18% -0.217 -0.2709 -0.411
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 136 38.24% 26.32 58.09% -0.079 0.0555 0.09
Towering Roots of the Jungle 84 39.29% 29.46 55.95% -0.251 -0.2421 -0.029
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 237 58.05% 34.35 62.03% 0.753 0.8358 0.511
Vital Strength of the Earth 168 43.59% 25.44 58.93% 0.66 1.2546 -0.558
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 761 32.07% 36.37 70.17% -0.35 0.0893 -0.506
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 149 44.52% 24.91 50.34% -0.236 0.4552 -1.327
Volcano Looming High 447 52.49% 32.67 61.07% 1.195 1.2986 0.024
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 225 41.26% 38.34 68.44% 0.322 0.0697 0.42

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 58.47%
Lightning's Boon 37.79%
Raging Storm 55.87%
Shatter Homesteads 75.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6910 15.45 10.51%
II 11400 30.45 72.97%
III 6921 34.8 91.76%
IV 2004 38.47 99.9%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 724
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6238
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 8224
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1971
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3952
Lose: Invader deck ran out 62
Lose: Adversary condition 1869
Win: Sacrifice victory 149
Lose: Scenario condition 316
Win: Scenario condition 92
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3523
Lose: Spirit destroyed 115

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.272 Win Model: -0.161

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.2 Win Model: 0.187
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 17215 55.98% 36.38 63.04%
2 5074 46.7% 34.03 66.71%
3 2831 43.53% 35.33 63.3%
4 1098 38.11% 31.41 62.93%
5 122 35.25% 28.56 68.85%
6 895 22.97% 42.9 66.37%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)