Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 139 37.41% 34.06 81.29% 0.634 1.0039 -0.804
Blitz 0 179 43.02% 22.82 50.28% -0.557 -0.1252 0.826
Dahan Insurrection 4 249 24.5% 27.48 33.73% 0.584 0.5576 -0.148
Despicable Theft 2 67 40.3% 27.07 61.19% 0.046 0.7057 -0.572
Elemental Invocation 1 220 51.36% 25.61 44.09% -0.531 -0.0834 -0.085
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3940 22.89% 54.93 70.99% 0.567 -0.0323 1.054
Powers Long Forgotten 1 89 47.19% 19.33 39.33% 0.165 0.7731 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 57 38.6% 23.68 43.86% -0.737 -0.6129 -0.779
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 64 67.19% 27.86 48.44% -0.536 0.202 0.113
Second Wave 0 887 37.78% 37.46 74.97% 1.081 1.1875 -0.411
The Great River 3 277 47.65% 29.62 44.04% -1.267 -0.0919 -0.361
Varied Terrains 2 205 50.73% 28.37 56.59% 0.531 1.2681 -1.191
Ward the Shores 2 104 51.92% 29.06 57.69% 0.244 0.9261 -0.004

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 26967 55.95% 34.75 60.45% 0.08 0.3046 0.035
1 Thematic 1027 38.57% 29.73 63.39% 0.468 1.0186 0.169
2 Archipelago 46 36.96% 30.65 63.04% 0.0 -0.3536 0.502
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5193 48.48% 33.3 63.26% 0.168 0.2788 -0.081
2 Coastline 971 46.72% 33.17 65.5% -0.146 -0.2356 -0.072
2 Fragment 144 52.11% 31.23 63.89% -0.131 -0.4699 -0.294
2 Heart 171 69.23% 34.37 49.71% -0.032 -0.3593 0.166
2 Opposite Shores 1996 41.47% 34.67 65.98% -0.833 -0.7962 0.045
2 Thematic 356 36.9% 30.41 55.34% 0.064 0.5923 -1.177
2 Top to Top 265 40.53% 34.76 66.42% -0.019 -0.2255 -0.315
3 Archipelago 26 23.08% 46.46 76.92% 0.0 0.1006 0.122
3 Coastline 53 32.08% 34.15 66.04% 0.0 -0.5211 1.377
3 Other 131 23.08% 25.23 68.7% 0.869 0.1271 0.342
3 Round (Default) 4474 43.04% 34.3 61.27% -0.886 -0.9817 -1.277
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 15.6 60.0% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 130 38.46% 34.77 68.46% 0.0 0.242 0.447
4 Archipelago 23 34.78% 30.04 56.52% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 23 17.39% 29.83 69.57% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 23 52.17% 38.0 73.91% 0.523 -0.0314 0.0
4 Other 95 27.37% 29.12 74.74% 0.62 0.0724 -0.032
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 58.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 142 38.73% 29.7 52.82% 0.066 0.5396 0.353
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1685 37.38% 30.53 60.83% -1.323 -1.512 -0.592
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 15.2 13.33% 0.0 1.4461 0.198
5 Coastline 3 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 195 36.92% 28.74 66.15% -0.235 -0.561 -0.089
5 Thematic 19 31.58% 29.58 47.37% 0.0 -0.4906 -0.284
6 Archipelago 511 1.37% 73.28 84.34% 1.056 0.131 0.103
6 Coastline 9 44.44% 21.44 44.44% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 153 29.14% 36.66 64.05% -0.556 -0.2865 -0.426
6 Star 92 20.65% 25.32 59.78% -0.394 0.4021 -0.774
6 Thematic 579 26.53% 35.76 54.58% 0.096 0.6768 -0.742
6 Two Centers (Default) 454 28.76% 30.69 53.74% -0.158 -0.1814 -1.031
7 Archipelago 6 16.67% 22.83 50.0% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 17 25.0% 35.59 76.47% -0.286 -0.5413 -0.614

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1323 37.11 54.5% -0.237 0.0738 -0.031
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1006 41.96 61.53% -0.364 -0.351 0.391
All Things Weaken 1333 36.24 51.46% -0.522 -0.0483 0.01
Attenuated Essence 699 35.97 56.08% -0.331 -0.1844 0.175
Back Against the Wall 1030 38.11 56.02% -0.782 -0.6527 0.109
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 730 32.88 49.18% -1.084 -0.7641 -0.166
Burn Brightest Before the End 508 35.96 51.57% 0.717 0.894 -0.302
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1302 33.65 51.92% -0.756 -0.3754 -0.093
Downward Spiral 1695 33.57 55.1% -0.791 -0.5979 -0.229
Erosion of Will 1254 35.76 50.4% 0.235 0.5728 -0.005
Intensifying Exploitation 756 31.57 48.54% 0.084 0.4368 -0.305
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 482 42.18 76.76% 0.417 0.0536 0.463
Memory Fades to Dust 1586 34.15 54.54% -0.372 -0.0426 -0.026
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1378 35.28 52.32% -0.55 -0.2836 0.035
Promising Farmlands 1314 34.48 49.85% -1.177 -0.7291 -0.218
Shattered Fragments of Power 554 37.59 57.22% -0.259 -0.2596 0.145
Slow Dissolution of Will 785 33.44 46.11% -0.636 -0.2248 0.241
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 355 40.7 75.21% 0.568 0.0092 1.042
The Border of Life and Death 183 35.63 69.4% 0.027 -0.2181 0.244
Thriving Communities 1433 32.93 49.34% -0.019 0.2587 -0.246
Thriving Crops 302 32.69 56.29% -0.284 -0.3797 -0.083
Unnatural Proliferation 1373 38.44 55.5% -0.353 -0.1478 -0.377
Untended Land Crumbles 1335 36.43 53.56% -0.921 -0.6214 -0.375

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10184 44.77% 35.03 62.84% -0.286 0.7051 0.141
B 10736 44.9% 35.08 62.7% 0.006 0.8713 0.356
C 11793 46.71% 36.06 62.08% 0.03 0.7814 0.156
D 8965 43.94% 34.68 62.15% -0.055 0.8898 0.184
E 9043 44.35% 32.42 59.28% -0.048 0.7068 0.229
F 8167 47.66% 33.32 59.85% 0.089 0.9638 -0.019
G 7706 44.36% 36.7 64.37% -0.246 0.6167 0.083
H 7443 44.75% 36.83 64.38% -0.153 0.6544 0.09
East 1695 33.59% 32.81 59.88% 0.48 1.2251 -0.108
Northeast 1208 30.78% 33.65 59.02% 0.388 1.2815 -0.62
Northwest 1090 31.17% 33.76 55.96% 0.237 0.9806 0.411
Southeast 888 30.61% 33.38 55.86% 0.502 1.5108 0.007
Southwest 867 32.64% 32.73 56.29% -0.675 0.4814 -1.028
West 1594 34.76% 31.97 56.84% -0.237 0.7452 0.105

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 593 0.0% 24.36 51.43% -0.413 0.3066 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 1016 45.11% 15.79 44.0% -1.029 -0.5542 -1.079
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1512 14.6% 57.0 84.52% 1.015 0.2105 -0.832
Start of Game Growth 2385 21.92% 56.16 83.65% 0.45 -0.1163 1.552
Unlimited Undo 4249 46.3% 40.69 68.58% -0.149 -0.1213 0.145
Using Tokens but Not Events 4721 27.54% 30.32 61.77% -0.159 -0.1868 -0.229

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2352 24.19% 41.76 67.47% 0.023 -0.3945 0.77
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 557 38.98% 39.22 65.35% 0.326 -0.3299 0.137
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 22 40.91% 42.55 77.27% 0.361 0.2036 1.347
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 158 33.54% 27.47 50.63% 0.689 -0.1709 -0.264
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 271 48.12% 25.82 55.35% -0.652 -0.514 -0.648
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 274 45.05% 34.29 67.88% -0.135 -1.1644 0.687
Dances Up Earthquakes 250 48.4% 31.45 54.4% 0.171 0.1352 0.141
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 602 35.51% 26.95 61.13% -0.045 -0.3995 -0.321
Downpour Drenches the World 1018 40.06% 32.18 65.03% 0.849 0.9723 -0.162
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1000 41.22% 30.13 58.2% 1.626 1.055 0.613
Eyes Watch From the Trees 860 38.18% 28.28 62.09% -0.341 -0.9872 -0.137
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1447 21.06% 49.22 70.77% -0.438 -0.9315 0.0
Finder of Paths Unseen 630 40.32% 31.86 66.19% -0.237 0.3511 -0.603
Fractured Days Split the Sky 486 36.98% 37.19 58.02% -0.122 0.3251 -0.422
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 446 44.39% 32.14 61.66% -1.893 -2.0778 -0.543
Heart of the Wildfire 551 51.01% 24.01 51.72% -0.791 -0.6478 -0.143
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2269 41.04% 38.94 64.92% -0.035 -0.7091 0.189
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 432 25.52% 29.24 55.56% 0.115 -0.4125 -0.135
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 982 38.69% 35.71 59.16% -0.674 -1.0996 0.16
Many Minds Move as One 381 42.63% 31.02 62.2% -0.479 -0.9878 0.522
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1555 23.93% 46.82 68.49% 0.308 0.0388 0.791
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 364 40.38% 32.19 61.54% 1.142 1.0282 0.496
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1178 20.31% 48.71 73.09% 0.145 -0.1487 -0.292
River Surges in Sunlight 915 19.2% 54.02 71.91% -0.344 -0.515 -0.141
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 231 35.65% 27.0 48.92% -0.344 -0.4548 -0.68
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 436 41.24% 27.5 52.75% -0.173 -0.2386 -0.52
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 845 41.39% 30.74 61.78% -0.01 -0.1402 -0.467
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1397 32.83% 34.04 58.98% 0.092 -0.1723 -0.006
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 547 36.01% 38.58 62.89% 0.12 -0.3107 0.299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 126 50.0% 20.14 52.38% 0.345 0.773 -0.246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 281 40.36% 27.27 73.31% 0.261 0.2654 0.838
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 288 38.38% 32.05 59.38% 0.806 0.0536 0.927
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 301 36.43% 27.44 68.44% -0.397 -0.7163 -1.303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 114 45.45% 27.05 61.4% -0.43 -0.6087 -0.11
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 78 34.67% 21.83 55.13% -0.222 -0.2646 0.523
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 382 37.63% 39.89 71.47% 0.587 0.221 0.23
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 15 33.33% 36.53 73.33% -0.359 -0.8998 -0.479
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 488 36.14% 39.8 59.63% 0.006 -0.238 -0.678
Shifting Memory of Ages 1236 41.42% 35.53 62.14% -0.742 -0.4477 -0.742
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1307 38.56% 35.48 59.07% -0.13 -0.2937 0.709
Shroud of Silent Mist 297 53.72% 24.86 52.53% -0.819 -0.6372 -0.269
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 25 44.0% 47.52 84.0% 0.522 0.1116 -0.217
Starlight Seeks its Form 1139 44.06% 34.53 59.53% -0.129 -0.3709 -0.345
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 893 43.67% 35.12 60.69% 0.694 -0.2581 0.195
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 528 32.1% 25.52 58.52% 0.497 0.54 -0.427
Thunderspeaker 525 47.47% 34.25 60.19% 0.151 -0.0442 0.217
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 252 36.11% 27.94 57.14% -0.989 -1.1579 -0.522
Towering Roots of the Jungle 401 35.91% 30.39 56.36% 0.484 0.3728 -0.018
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 392 54.99% 33.23 61.73% -0.722 -0.8728 -0.228
Vital Strength of the Earth 326 40.79% 21.61 56.44% 0.008 0.3662 -0.866
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1125 33.33% 36.05 66.04% 0.123 0.366 0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 239 41.56% 24.23 51.46% -0.347 0.3338 0.527
Volcano Looming High 738 46.25% 29.98 57.72% 0.797 0.4729 0.692
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 496 38.66% 37.2 64.52% 0.626 0.1085 0.838

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 59.19%
Lightning's Boon 39.95%
Raging Storm 58.72%
Shatter Homesteads 77.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12713 12.25 9.82%
II 18751 29.91 71.74%
III 11478 34.94 91.64%
IV 3145 38.9 99.87%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1245
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10348
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13299
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3100
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8458
Lose: Invader deck ran out 97
Lose: Adversary condition 2882
Win: Sacrifice victory 225
Lose: Scenario condition 482
Win: Scenario condition 142
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5649
Lose: Spirit destroyed 160

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.547 Win Model: -0.052

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.228 Win Model: -0.091
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 28287 55.3% 34.62 60.65%
2 8999 46.22% 33.47 63.72%
3 4792 42.23% 34.21 61.96%
4 1978 36.94% 30.27 60.72%
5 224 36.61% 28.16 63.39%
6 1807 19.88% 44.61 64.03%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)