Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 122 36.89% 35.33 82.79% 0.828 0.801 1.229
Blitz 0 156 39.74% 22.91 48.72% -2.012 -1.7615 -1.335
Dahan Insurrection 4 219 22.37% 24.82 30.14% -1.912 -2.1606 -0.127
Despicable Theft 2 47 40.43% 24.36 55.32% -0.301 0.1607 0.562
Elemental Invocation 1 180 53.89% 26.4 41.11% -0.613 0.0894 -1.737
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3203 23.95% 54.78 70.37% 0.822 0.2691 0.76
Powers Long Forgotten 1 74 50.0% 20.81 40.54% -0.667 -0.0437 -0.628
Rituals of Terror 3 42 33.33% 26.19 52.38% -0.376 -0.1827 -0.179
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 53 71.7% 27.11 47.17% -0.08 0.8423 0.15
Second Wave 0 758 37.13% 37.37 74.8% 0.047 0.1644 -0.034
The Great River 3 235 49.36% 30.13 43.4% -0.564 0.5044 -1.237
Varied Terrains 2 147 50.34% 27.9 57.82% -0.261 0.4798 -1.068
Ward the Shores 2 94 52.13% 28.62 57.45% -1.104 -0.0205 -0.954

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 21802 55.74% 35.17 60.68% 0.237 0.7637 -0.215
1 Thematic 839 38.64% 30.0 62.22% 0.264 1.118 -0.276
2 Archipelago 39 28.21% 31.95 66.67% 0.325 1.3801 0.13
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4109 48.36% 33.7 64.44% 0.062 0.3395 -0.691
2 Coastline 827 46.35% 33.59 66.63% 0.38 0.4821 -0.692
2 Fragment 121 52.1% 32.07 62.81% 0.119 0.1316 0.397
2 Heart 152 71.33% 34.06 48.68% -0.455 -0.3436 -1.014
2 Opposite Shores 1672 41.74% 34.48 66.45% 0.337 0.6737 -0.943
2 Thematic 294 37.54% 30.88 57.48% -0.771 -0.0819 -0.917
2 Top to Top 206 42.93% 35.35 66.5% -0.45 -0.2083 -0.475
3 Archipelago 21 23.81% 45.0 80.95% 0.287 -0.4339 -0.525
3 Coastline 47 36.17% 35.45 68.09% 1.273 0.933 -0.485
3 Other 116 24.35% 26.28 69.83% 0.827 0.2247 0.007
3 Round (Default) 3710 43.3% 35.16 62.51% -0.032 -0.0265 -1.701
3 Sunrise 5 60.0% 15.6 60.0% 0.0 -0.0616 0.695
3 Thematic 119 41.18% 33.61 68.07% 0.242 0.3264 0.804
4 Archipelago 19 42.11% 31.47 57.89% 0.0 0.1505 -0.282
4 Coastline 18 22.22% 32.67 77.78% 0.0 -0.7584 0.09
4 Leaf 18 66.67% 35.94 66.67% 0.0 0.1371 -0.213
4 Other 83 26.51% 26.11 73.49% -0.056 -0.6746 -0.303
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.104
4 Thematic 109 44.95% 28.79 50.46% -0.595 -0.3271 -0.71
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1326 37.28% 31.13 61.01% -0.808 -0.6442 -2.26
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 15.2 13.33% 0.128 -0.7508 -1.666
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0963 0.0
5 Other 151 38.41% 29.54 70.2% -0.321 -0.7073 -1.889
5 Thematic 15 40.0% 36.0 60.0% 0.25 -0.5472 0.22
6 Archipelago 360 1.39% 71.09 81.94% 0.343 -0.767 -0.816
6 Coastline 5 60.0% 25.8 40.0% -0.593 -1.43 0.214
6 Other 133 27.82% 39.63 69.17% -0.624 -0.655 -1.311
6 Star 79 20.25% 25.86 63.29% -0.376 -0.3933 -3.392
6 Thematic 513 26.82% 34.67 52.83% -0.851 -0.7486 -1.716
6 Two Centers (Default) 360 28.69% 33.91 57.78% -0.999 -0.4337 -2.305
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 16.2 40.0% 0.133 0.0585 0.624
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.135
7 Other 12 33.33% 36.0 83.33% 0.039 -0.3952 -1.155

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1124 37.63 55.43% 0.046 0.2954 -0.186
Aid From Lesser Spirits 844 42.18 61.14% 0.028 -0.0903 0.183
All Things Weaken 1099 36.54 51.5% -0.068 0.269 -0.26
Attenuated Essence 529 35.74 55.95% -0.2 -0.1737 0.011
Back Against the Wall 861 38.56 56.68% 0.223 0.2242 -0.078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 541 33.76 51.39% -0.455 -0.2377 -0.191
Burn Brightest Before the End 371 36.31 51.21% 0.195 0.1764 -0.209
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1075 34.0 52.37% -0.201 0.1918 -0.343
Downward Spiral 1387 34.12 55.37% 0.243 0.3509 -0.139
Erosion of Will 1049 35.77 49.67% -0.238 0.114 -0.394
Intensifying Exploitation 555 31.47 49.37% -0.259 -0.0134 -0.412
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 397 43.92 77.58% 1.143 0.6193 0.741
Memory Fades to Dust 1256 34.79 54.78% -0.065 0.1826 -0.102
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1131 35.67 53.23% -0.181 0.0409 -0.1
Promising Farmlands 1093 34.93 49.86% -0.052 0.2304 -0.339
Shattered Fragments of Power 406 37.27 57.39% 0.274 0.3513 0.052
Slow Dissolution of Will 589 32.65 43.8% -0.644 -0.2468 -0.448
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 307 40.1 73.94% 0.704 0.0084 0.427
The Border of Life and Death 137 34.93 70.07% 0.489 -0.1117 0.209
Thriving Communities 1191 33.86 50.04% -0.6 -0.2434 -0.309
Thriving Crops 218 32.36 55.05% -0.954 -1.1502 -0.024
Unnatural Proliferation 1162 39.07 56.54% 0.28 0.4424 0.041
Untended Land Crumbles 1107 36.95 54.29% 0.083 0.3147 0.022

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8202 45.15% 35.47 63.86% 0.223 1.2276 0.352
B 8657 45.63% 35.37 63.36% 0.24 1.1592 0.288
C 9601 46.82% 36.11 62.47% 0.322 1.0567 0.211
D 7191 44.04% 34.91 62.86% -0.183 0.795 0.368
E 7342 44.23% 32.86 59.77% -0.212 0.6078 0.233
F 6729 48.1% 33.87 60.17% 0.409 1.2832 0.187
G 6169 44.73% 36.99 65.13% 0.424 1.2329 0.508
H 5906 44.6% 37.14 65.51% 0.247 1.062 0.439
East 1428 33.78% 32.63 59.38% -0.07 0.8331 -0.282
Northeast 1014 30.65% 33.48 58.28% -0.322 0.4859 -0.308
Northwest 935 32.51% 33.08 54.44% 0.337 1.2372 -0.827
Southeast 767 31.8% 32.56 54.5% -0.54 0.3106 -0.563
Southwest 754 33.42% 32.34 55.44% -0.547 0.8286 -0.397
West 1361 36.09% 31.71 55.77% -0.32 0.6347 -0.219

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 449 0.0% 24.94 52.12% -0.452 0.2559 1.189
Not Using Events or Tokens 681 43.42% 14.95 43.61% -0.713 -0.3445 0.305
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1305 13.95% 58.27 85.36% 1.804 1.2193 0.469
Start of Game Growth 2101 21.38% 56.75 84.06% 0.673 0.1586 1.068
Unlimited Undo 3566 46.29% 41.81 70.58% 0.508 0.3982 0.478
Using Tokens but Not Events 3875 25.05% 29.01 61.26% -0.774 -0.7995 -1.556

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1975 25.75% 41.03 67.04% 0.043 -0.0627 0.007
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 374 34.17% 37.3 63.64% 0.358 -0.1216 0.528
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 232 48.46% 26.27 53.45% -0.899 -0.7729 1.198
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 211 41.9% 33.19 66.82% -0.151 -0.9977 0.71
Dances Up Earthquakes 144 46.53% 30.73 54.17% -0.207 -0.1698 -0.463
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 499 36.98% 27.78 62.12% 0.049 -0.0877 -0.003
Downpour Drenches the World 874 39.63% 33.11 66.48% 0.656 0.8629 0.538
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 813 42.96% 30.4 57.56% -0.116 -0.7272 -0.158
Eyes Watch From the Trees 747 39.97% 28.86 62.52% -0.199 -0.5749 -0.06
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1140 23.21% 47.63 69.39% 0.182 -0.2082 0.17
Finder of Paths Unseen 577 41.01% 32.95 67.94% -0.032 0.6873 0.644
Fractured Days Split the Sky 397 36.62% 38.66 59.7% -0.229 0.3822 -0.376
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 359 45.4% 32.7 63.23% -0.438 -0.5376 0.464
Heart of the Wildfire 440 54.48% 25.53 54.09% -0.138 0.1985 -0.338
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1942 40.71% 39.88 66.79% 0.568 0.1379 0.667
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 361 25.76% 28.3 54.29% 0.772 0.4569 0.331
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 829 41.99% 36.73 60.31% -0.164 -0.3918 -0.276
Many Minds Move as One 312 43.27% 31.83 61.86% 0.392 0.1495 -0.373
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1293 25.32% 44.12 66.67% 0.838 0.9474 0.0
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 193 36.79% 33.39 63.21% -0.001 0.118 0.283
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 904 21.99% 47.38 73.01% 0.256 0.2103 0.753
River Surges in Sunlight 689 20.21% 51.95 71.26% -0.214 -0.0832 0.474
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 175 32.76% 26.29 49.14% 0.02 0.1957 -0.485
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 348 40.75% 27.48 52.01% -0.164 0.1343 -1.2
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 699 39.83% 30.98 63.38% -0.282 -0.3662 -0.083
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1203 31.5% 34.8 61.01% 0.867 0.7563 0.195
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 357 35.57% 40.23 64.99% 0.389 0.2705 0.395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 106 51.46% 20.84 51.89% -0.62 -0.1256 -1.042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 240 38.82% 27.53 74.58% 0.543 0.4915 -0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 216 40.09% 30.94 56.48% -1.488 -1.9983 0.323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 261 36.9% 29.29 72.8% -0.584 -0.7117 -0.325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 100 44.9% 28.75 63.0% 0.416 0.4278 0.267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 60 35.09% 21.45 56.67% -0.015 0.1208 -0.591
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 328 37.93% 41.01 71.65% 0.47 0.5181 -0.115
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 425 35.76% 39.64 59.06% 0.608 0.3934 -0.041
Shifting Memory of Ages 1143 40.7% 36.55 63.6% -0.2 0.0943 0.338
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 892 36.1% 33.98 58.3% 0.589 0.471 0.393
Shroud of Silent Mist 258 55.04% 25.6 52.33% -0.22 0.1072 -1.394
Starlight Seeks its Form 921 44.67% 36.77 62.98% -0.148 -0.2476 0.19
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 743 44.01% 35.96 61.78% -0.272 -0.8023 -0.066
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 437 33.1% 25.66 59.27% -0.762 -0.6848 -0.228
Thunderspeaker 445 48.19% 34.92 59.78% 0.522 0.558 -0.198
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 210 37.14% 27.69 59.05% 0.806 0.8643 0.286
Towering Roots of the Jungle 280 39.29% 31.3 56.43% -0.475 -0.3255 0.154
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 331 56.67% 33.58 60.42% -0.412 -0.2661 0.396
Vital Strength of the Earth 253 41.08% 24.09 60.87% 0.578 1.1465 -0.494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 996 33.37% 35.56 65.66% -0.285 0.2362 -0.598
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 201 42.86% 24.48 51.24% -0.723 0.0187 -0.804
Volcano Looming High 622 49.59% 30.95 58.84% 0.309 0.3234 0.004
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 407 40.99% 38.83 65.85% -0.663 -0.9546 0.463

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Harbingers of the Lightning 59.38%
Lightning's Boon 39.99%
Raging Storm 57.67%
Shatter Homesteads 76.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10186 13.33 9.75%
II 15282 30.1 72.23%
III 9295 34.83 91.66%
IV 2614 38.67 99.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 990
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8378
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 10913
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2575
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6509
Lose: Invader deck ran out 80
Lose: Adversary condition 2468
Win: Sacrifice victory 188
Lose: Scenario condition 410
Win: Scenario condition 118
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4611
Lose: Spirit destroyed 137

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.903 Win Model: -0.115

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.3 Win Model: 0.141
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 22889 55.1% 35.03 60.82%
2 7298 46.17% 33.77 64.74%
3 3997 42.68% 34.97 63.15%
4 1559 37.55% 30.6 60.74%
5 177 38.42% 28.85 67.23%
6 1457 20.83% 43.47 63.49%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)