Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 63.64% 28.23 86.36% 0.104 0.4604 0.294
Blitz 0 1177 70.86% 19.15 49.53% -1.286 -0.7875 -1.659
Dahan Insurrection 4 2297 35.86% 58.3 79.67% 0.622 0.7423 1.3
Despicable Theft 2 141 64.54% 30.29 62.41% 0.773 1.2811 -0.092
Elemental Invocation 1 221 71.95% 26.19 57.92% 0.051 0.6597 -1.007
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6213 32.4% 47.5 78.96% 0.411 0.6351 1.326
Powers Long Forgotten 1 599 69.3% 32.4 60.43% 0.602 1.0818 -0.341
Rituals of Terror 3 403 76.19% 31.84 48.64% -0.394 -0.62 -0.056
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 394 91.3% 27.18 39.85% -0.312 -0.1154 -0.263
Second Wave 0 4654 63.42% 23.91 61.32% -0.422 0.1685 0.128
The Great River 3 335 78.21% 28.5 56.12% -1.072 0.6132 -0.45
Varied Terrains 2 33 81.82% 32.76 63.64% 0.276 1.0165 -0.272
Ward the Shores 2 457 79.1% 26.1 32.82% 0.198 1.0895 -1.143

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 96441 72.34% 24.41 60.63% -0.052 0.4518 0.227
1 Thematic 5094 78.12% 27.88 45.5% -0.118 0.7603 -0.699
2 Archipelago 51 52.94% 34.35 80.39% -0.78 0.0482 1.084
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26121 64.39% 29.86 67.19% -0.062 0.3314 0.471
2 Coastline 2676 65.27% 29.32 71.64% 0.293 0.3609 0.594
2 Fragment 680 68.37% 24.35 57.79% -0.003 0.1852 0.361
2 Heart 348 71.64% 24.36 59.2% 0.738 1.1927 0.356
2 Opposite Shores 5014 63.19% 29.65 67.47% 0.644 1.016 -0.393
2 Thematic 2357 64.79% 33.76 56.6% -0.771 -0.0355 -0.508
2 Top to Top 644 63.45% 28.34 66.3% 0.317 0.3333 0.388
3 Archipelago 23 43.48% 33.17 86.96% 0.547 0.2716 -0.05
3 Coastline 113 65.49% 33.88 69.91% 0.169 -0.1846 0.0
3 Other 402 59.08% 28.37 67.66% 0.529 -0.2515 -0.292
3 Round (Default) 12584 54.07% 33.09 72.64% 0.066 0.243 0.368
3 Sunrise 66 58.46% 33.42 74.24% 0.0 0.0099 0.026
3 Thematic 675 54.38% 36.11 59.7% 0.271 0.6539 -0.539
4 Archipelago 31 53.57% 30.03 61.29% -0.274 -0.1235 0.408
4 Coastline 44 40.91% 31.57 90.91% 0.378 0.2236 0.0
4 Leaf 65 56.25% 29.82 70.77% -0.519 -0.5565 -1.017
4 Other 431 42.62% 39.15 80.74% 0.662 -0.0203 0.339
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.0 -0.294
4 Thematic 2971 37.06% 52.68 75.83% -0.794 -0.7875 -0.412
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8914 44.84% 33.48 77.64% -0.1 -0.0075 0.095
5 Archipelago 11 63.64% 32.0 72.73% 0.0 -0.2445 -0.149
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 27.5 100.0% 0.245 -0.4198 0.0
5 Other 165 55.9% 35.64 79.39% 0.451 -0.1593 0.774
5 Thematic 29 58.62% 44.21 79.31% -0.393 -0.6799 -0.271
6 Archipelago 13 15.38% 38.38 76.92% -0.621 -0.4995 -0.868
6 Coastline 2 100.0% 26.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.716 0.0
6 Other 48 30.43% 25.56 81.25% 0.495 0.1327 -1.512
6 Star 46 45.65% 36.33 65.22% -0.093 0.8195 0.405
6 Thematic 167 37.2% 41.2 76.65% -0.487 -0.3694 -0.431
6 Two Centers (Default) 242 30.58% 33.41 88.02% -0.489 -0.1766 0.262
7 Other 4 66.67% 52.0 100.0% 0.213 -0.1395 0.515

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9094 26.62 49.24% -2.196 -0.2021 -0.645
Aid From Lesser Spirits 6974 28.76 53.07% -1.382 0.3937 -0.399
All Things Weaken 3691 26.07 46.71% -1.802 0.2577 -0.761
Back Against the Wall 6632 27.21 49.08% -2.134 -0.1997 -0.631
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8359 22.18 41.94% -2.146 -0.0658 -0.963
Downward Spiral 17828 22.41 54.63% -1.732 0.1928 -0.694
Erosion of Will 8896 25.23 46.34% -2.086 0.0054 -0.833
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1149 33.96 85.29% -0.138 0.362 -0.034
Memory Fades to Dust 17688 21.86 50.49% -2.073 0.0379 -0.862
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3608 25.9 49.83% -1.979 -0.0311 -0.836
Promising Farmlands 8647 23.09 43.33% -2.222 -0.2116 -1.112
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 630 34.61 89.52% 0.4 0.8698 0.606
Thriving Communities 3322 23.45 42.32% -2.082 -0.0168 -1.116
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.0 -0.72
Unnatural Proliferation 3818 23.76 37.56% -2.47 -0.5277 -0.957
Untended Land Crumbles 3507 24.76 45.48% -2.299 -0.2619 -0.884

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 41861 64.38% 27.35 64.88% -0.29 0.4009 -0.245
B 51319 61.92% 28.58 67.83% -0.157 0.5068 -0.148
C 44575 63.72% 28.21 66.59% -0.357 0.0793 0.007
D 44635 59.88% 28.96 69.87% 0.316 0.9925 0.06
E 12054 65.89% 29.72 64.16% -0.067 0.425 -0.007
F 18953 60.62% 30.87 69.22% -0.121 0.5235 0.36
G 18906 62.31% 30.34 68.2% 0.244 0.8181 0.176
H 16409 64.45% 29.13 65.51% -0.161 0.46 -0.081
East 8102 56.07% 40.35 62.69% -0.065 0.5088 0.654
Northeast 5427 53.04% 42.83 64.66% -0.115 0.479 0.071
Northwest 4902 52.17% 43.26 65.28% -0.719 -0.1888 -0.02
Southeast 1265 52.66% 37.73 66.8% -0.507 0.1442 0.302
Southwest 1131 53.55% 36.68 66.67% -0.663 0.2475 -0.071
West 7842 57.66% 39.21 59.79% -0.223 0.536 -0.492

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5031 0.0% 15.4 58.46% -2.672 -0.4795 -0.844
Not Using Events or Tokens 21792 68.77% 20.75 64.94% -0.277 -0.0341 -0.396
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4135 33.88% 37.22 85.13% 1.279 0.2445 -0.255
Start of Game Growth 5470 37.84% 36.52 82.61% 1.022 0.5032 0.4
Unlimited Undo 15947 59.71% 30.34 73.17% 0.545 0.0311 0.664
Using Tokens but Not Events 15666 57.34% 26.63 73.32% -0.605 -0.4387 -0.001

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 14456 100.0% 38.95 100.0% 0.912 0.8127 0.714
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4320 100.0% 27.82 100.0% -0.197 -0.154 -0.292
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2882 100.0% 31.86 100.0% 0.197 -0.0077 -0.084
Downpour Drenches the World 273 100.0% 32.75 100.0% -0.97 -0.6427 -0.654
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3085 100.0% 33.55 100.0% -0.086 -0.5733 -0.099
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2792 100.0% 32.49 100.0% -0.007 -0.5573 -0.355
Finder of Paths Unseen 179 100.0% 35.8 100.0% -0.172 0.1634 0.631
Fractured Days Split the Sky 770 100.0% 37.74 100.0% -0.405 -0.402 0.392
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 540 100.0% 32.38 100.0% 0.67 0.5683 -0.399
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8669 100.0% 33.92 100.0% 0.341 -0.2415 0.151
Lightning's Swift Strike 5242 107.03% 31.16 103.74% -1.02 -0.6521 -0.029
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 73 64.79% 33.01 68.49% 0.145 -0.6023 -0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 293 53.08% 37.44 74.74% 0.442 -0.0953 0.204
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 428 51.29% 37.04 76.87% -0.358 -0.8362 0.052
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1630 100.0% 33.73 100.0% 0.281 0.1804 -0.498
Many Minds Move as One 925 100.0% 33.47 100.0% 0.098 -0.5646 0.498
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8922 100.0% 37.73 100.0% -0.002 -0.1461 0.693
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2641 100.0% 32.75 100.0% -0.248 -0.3012 0.046
River Surges in Sunlight 7371 103.78% 37.98 103.46% 0.172 0.0742 0.594
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 596 57.88% 30.34 62.08% -0.545 -0.1583 -0.189
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 80 56.58% 32.08 63.75% 0.083 -0.2541 -0.585
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7215 100.0% 32.05 100.0% -0.5 -0.6276 0.114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3375 106.5% 28.56 105.51% 0.479 0.9064 -0.566
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 30 42.86% 25.43 53.33% -0.555 -0.3389 -0.494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 32 50.0% 38.44 78.13% 0.562 0.6765 -0.073
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 284 61.29% 30.57 66.55% 0.807 0.8132 -1.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 225 63.84% 29.11 68.89% -0.413 -0.3054 0.176
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4653 100.0% 35.34 100.0% -0.007 -0.214 0.341
Shifting Memory of Ages 475 100.0% 29.37 100.0% -0.019 0.1768 0.359
Shroud of Silent Mist 597 100.0% 29.79 100.0% -0.446 -0.3155 0.109
Starlight Seeks its Form 590 100.0% 34.99 100.0% 0.759 0.6769 -0.056
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4568 100.0% 32.14 100.0% 0.323 0.0525 -0.066
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2605 100.0% 36.81 100.0% 1.011 1.1099 0.799
Thunderspeaker 5078 100.0% 33.36 100.0% 0.43 0.4233 0.22
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2976 100.0% 28.58 100.0% -0.169 -0.3802 -0.677
Vital Strength of the Earth 5262 103.08% 27.21 102.64% -0.066 0.8162 -0.39
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 44.29% 36.94 75.0% -0.323 0.089 0.923
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 329 62.39% 30.53 63.22% -0.762 0.3476 -0.184
Volcano Looming High 1397 100.0% 30.76 100.0% -0.446 -0.442 -0.065

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.73%
Flame's Fury 95.22%
Flash-Fires 81.8%
Threatening Flames 92.0%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45479 22.67 34.38%
II 82590 31.1 67.98%
III 31892 34.68 87.64%
IV 6551 37.93 99.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15510
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 26754
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53039
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6424
Lose: Invader deck ran out 666
Lose: Adversary condition 8401
Win: Sacrifice victory 1767
Lose: Scenario condition 1275
Win: Scenario condition 2753
Lose: Blight pool ran out 48891
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1032

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.831 Win Model: -0.22

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.465 Win Model: 0.07
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 101650 72.65% 24.59 59.85%
2 38038 64.5% 29.86 66.48%
3 13707 53.89% 33.19 72.65%
4 12506 42.95% 38.24 77.35%
5 95 53.76% 32.42 72.63%
6 516 33.53% 35.83 81.78%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-10-25 02:29:02 (Pacific Time)