Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 117 39.32% 18.5 56.41% -0.051 -0.0801 -0.42
Blitz 0 1783 61.93% 16.75 44.31% -0.682 -0.4391 0.132
Dahan Insurrection 4 3969 28.56% 47.95 69.56% 1.368 1.3819 1.539
Despicable Theft 2 297 56.57% 24.84 50.84% 0.079 0.8453 0.202
Elemental Invocation 1 480 61.64% 19.64 43.75% -0.444 0.3087 -0.311
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8722 32.08% 44.6 73.27% 1.544 0.948 1.779
Powers Long Forgotten 1 869 61.62% 26.45 49.83% -1.532 -0.7841 -0.294
Rituals of Terror 3 664 58.05% 23.23 36.3% -0.385 0.0932 -0.995
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 595 81.42% 23.01 36.47% -1.332 -0.644 -0.112
Second Wave 0 6414 61.45% 22.78 58.31% -0.178 -0.1823 0.607
The Great River 3 543 71.64% 25.7 51.75% 0.011 1.1406 -0.096
Varied Terrains 2 231 59.57% 19.72 38.1% -0.836 -0.0561 -0.233
Ward the Shores 2 637 70.51% 21.39 27.32% -0.76 0.1092 -0.648

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 136880 69.86% 22.13 54.88% 0.063 0.2674 -0.161
1 Thematic 6594 70.94% 25.4 43.45% -0.422 0.1865 -0.58
2 Archipelago 90 56.67% 27.89 65.56% 0.375 0.5459 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 37028 61.8% 27.03 61.47% 0.335 0.4151 0.622
2 Coastline 3808 61.71% 26.51 64.99% 0.322 0.2273 0.294
2 Fragment 957 68.26% 22.97 54.96% 0.713 0.6702 0.285
2 Heart 527 69.57% 23.57 57.69% 0.31 -0.1512 -0.292
2 Opposite Shores 7534 60.24% 26.72 61.36% 0.275 0.4069 -0.449
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 3167 60.63% 30.22 51.88% 0.068 0.4269 0.015
2 Top to Top 1007 60.35% 26.27 60.18% 0.547 0.4579 0.535
3 Archipelago 46 50.0% 30.37 80.43% 0.258 0.0877 -0.112
3 Coastline 174 61.05% 29.43 61.49% -0.32 -0.4922 -0.134
3 Other 581 52.59% 24.15 59.55% 1.064 0.6784 -0.525
3 Round (Default) 18626 53.13% 30.12 66.18% 0.259 0.2647 0.355
3 Sunrise 88 58.62% 29.65 67.05% -0.188 -0.7945 0.0
3 Thematic 996 50.5% 31.27 55.22% -0.521 -0.9524 -0.235
4 Archipelago 58 35.19% 23.67 53.45% -0.369 -0.6095 0.0
4 Coastline 74 47.3% 25.26 71.62% 0.199 -0.3992 -0.191
4 Leaf 97 57.29% 26.92 61.86% 0.0 -1.0224 -0.438
4 Other 534 45.32% 35.15 73.6% -0.429 -1.2719 0.239
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3770 34.12% 47.0 67.4% -0.251 -0.4535 0.034
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12437 42.2% 30.19 70.64% -0.22 -0.0306 0.921
5 Archipelago 16 68.75% 33.38 81.25% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 25 48.0% 22.52 72.0% -0.066 -0.7255 -0.061
5 Other 456 43.88% 26.59 64.69% 0.502 0.3414 0.973
5 Thematic 64 37.5% 31.67 68.75% 0.0 0.3382 0.0
6 Archipelago 35 17.14% 23.77 51.43% -0.682 -1.3349 -0.282
6 Coastline 22 27.27% 15.5 40.91% 0.347 -0.1037 0.0
6 Other 204 36.68% 22.79 59.8% 0.478 0.4394 0.358
6 Star 143 37.06% 25.44 55.94% 0.092 0.558 -1.009
6 Thematic 760 25.13% 25.19 43.82% -0.249 -0.0003 -0.109
6 Two Centers (Default) 943 28.78% 21.81 57.37% -0.407 0.7944 -0.077
7 Archipelago 7 0.0% 7.57 0.0% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Other 34 9.09% 10.09 20.59% -0.801 -0.6197 -0.012

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11299 25.89 47.96% -0.232 -0.0838 1.304
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8594 28.43 52.61% 0.463 0.35 1.955
All Things Weaken 5482 24.5 43.96% -0.185 0.1902 0.765
Attenuated Essence 1103 21.96 40.07% 0.124 0.2494 0.705
Back Against the Wall 8225 26.6 48.4% 0.352 0.3926 1.037
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1120 20.17 37.77% 0.201 0.4071 0.786
Burn Brightest Before the End 758 23.02 41.56% 0.162 0.2072 0.354
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10503 21.07 39.82% -0.471 0.0268 0.327
Downward Spiral 23332 21.27 52.59% 0.18 0.4301 1.326
Erosion of Will 11131 24.43 45.09% -0.187 0.0711 0.723
Intensifying Exploitation 1160 19.2 36.72% 0.476 0.6946 0.568
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1724 30.93 79.76% 0.676 0.2904 1.748
Memory Fades to Dust 23108 20.74 48.77% 0.178 0.3833 0.986
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5412 24.08 46.69% 0.109 0.3068 0.923
Promising Farmlands 10803 22.12 41.66% -0.437 -0.081 0.773
Shattered Fragments of Power 785 25.33 43.31% -0.347 -0.1299 1.259
Slow Dissolution of Will 1061 19.51 32.05% -0.59 -0.1605 0.546
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 968 31.58 82.33% 0.098 -0.5259 0.894
The Border of Life and Death 233 21.84 61.37% 0.383 0.0631 0.114
Thriving Communities 5130 21.5 39.32% -0.445 -0.1253 -0.054
Thriving Crops 383 21.75 51.44% 0.551 0.4323 0.551
Tipping Point 4076 24.8 47.94% 0.0 0.6615 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 5635 22.72 36.42% 0.533 0.6224 0.836
Untended Land Crumbles 5260 22.98 42.97% 0.261 0.4864 0.607

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 59405 61.26% 24.61 58.68% -0.377 0.422 0.163
B 70343 59.93% 26.06 62.12% 0.066 0.7964 0.387
C 62225 60.89% 25.55 60.53% -0.232 0.3721 0.152
D 61313 57.91% 26.47 64.02% 0.125 0.8819 0.166
E 22287 59.8% 25.15 55.2% 0.209 0.7938 -0.205
F 30524 57.46% 27.36 61.94% 0.252 0.954 0.154
G 29588 58.93% 27.15 62.03% 0.167 0.9247 0.096
H 26065 60.69% 25.81 58.96% -0.151 0.4802 -0.076
East 11327 50.28% 34.95 55.75% 0.042 0.8257 0.261
Northeast 7609 47.05% 36.68 56.56% -0.103 0.659 -0.25
Northwest 6884 45.44% 36.9 57.05% -0.985 -0.1424 -0.531
Southeast 2525 41.97% 29.4 53.19% 0.393 1.0328 -0.015
Southwest 2299 43.03% 28.21 51.46% -1.37 -0.3249 -0.279
West 10815 51.45% 34.01 53.42% 0.646 1.4221 -0.061

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7752 0.0% 13.49 50.76% -0.68 0.1942 -0.094
Not Using Events or Tokens 33898 64.11% 18.16 56.7% -0.836 -0.4592 -0.164
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5303 33.64% 34.51 78.86% -0.294 -0.5859 -0.638
Start of Game Growth 7181 37.35% 33.76 76.79% 0.468 -0.089 0.099
Unlimited Undo 21255 58.13% 27.8 67.2% 0.249 0.3124 0.566
Using Tokens but Not Events 21946 55.59% 24.08 67.19% 0.185 0.0578 0.687

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 19107 47.47% 35.0 71.83% 0.571 0.4744 0.324
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 606 47.27% 27.81 52.81% 0.84 0.5143 0.485
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 21 33.33% 21.67 42.86% -0.575 -0.8364 0.219
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 132 43.94% 27.83 59.09% 0.803 0.0828 0.958
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5742 58.99% 24.42 58.79% 0.007 0.3061 -0.513
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 275 51.65% 23.84 55.64% -0.406 -0.996 -0.045
Dances Up Earthquakes 244 49.59% 22.36 50.41% -0.857 -0.6747 -0.384
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4008 51.17% 28.79 66.97% -1.014 -1.1928 -0.23
Downpour Drenches the World 1846 41.44% 21.54 50.05% -0.224 0.1352 0.667
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1425 44.66% 25.43 53.12% -0.107 -0.546 0.502
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4496 49.1% 30.41 69.75% 0.156 -0.1938 0.014
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4152 44.96% 29.79 69.89% -0.235 -0.635 -1.076
Finder of Paths Unseen 878 49.48% 22.5 47.04% -0.354 0.7201 0.384
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1401 42.91% 28.61 58.6% 0.737 1.1925 -0.106
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1462 55.59% 25.37 53.28% -0.503 -0.5943 -0.842
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10753 48.27% 31.85 70.78% 0.404 -0.0381 0.054
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 530 35.92% 24.11 50.19% 0.645 0.1357 -0.99
Lightning's Swift Strike 6633 53.05% 28.61 67.0% 0.838 1.0007 -0.208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 525 52.03% 24.08 51.81% 0.086 -0.5922 0.339
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 561 48.66% 30.57 61.68% -0.743 -1.1017 -0.981
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 987 43.25% 30.87 64.13% 0.139 -0.0069 0.157
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3322 47.68% 29.34 60.72% 0.048 -0.1291 -0.234
Many Minds Move as One 1549 51.78% 28.99 66.49% 0.737 0.6027 0.78
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12073 47.74% 33.87 67.85% 0.369 0.292 0.047
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 386 42.78% 22.49 58.55% 0.133 0.3249 -0.267
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3881 53.55% 29.25 64.73% 0.606 0.5469 -0.394
River Surges in Sunlight 9365 46.42% 34.53 68.75% 0.308 0.3525 -0.396
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 124 45.97% 22.85 55.65% 0.977 1.2072 0.729
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1069 53.18% 27.73 57.81% -0.641 -0.5919 -0.096
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 569 42.86% 27.09 52.9% 0.01 0.1769 -0.087
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9564 49.8% 28.87 64.31% -0.483 -0.6767 -0.01
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 182 46.15% 22.98 40.66% -1.011 -1.0257 -0.098
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4152 58.94% 25.8 62.14% -0.247 0.3771 -0.576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 119 50.0% 22.85 49.58% -0.578 -0.5629 -0.26
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 277 48.55% 31.11 63.54% -0.241 -0.676 1.095
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 167 49.09% 23.51 50.9% -0.477 -0.4547 0.089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 457 57.11% 26.93 61.05% 0.952 0.8646 -0.279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 347 59.25% 24.89 59.94% -0.557 -0.1484 -0.092
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5607 46.55% 33.34 70.68% 0.67 0.7271 0.125
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 30.0% 24.35 65.0% 1.282 0.7784 0.561
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 393 40.51% 30.48 61.83% 0.032 -0.0051 0.947
Shifting Memory of Ages 1075 56.36% 22.95 54.33% -0.517 -0.155 -0.026
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 322 51.55% 23.63 47.52% -0.279 -0.296 -0.31
Shroud of Silent Mist 1511 51.07% 22.79 54.2% -0.756 -0.2325 -0.001
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 14 42.86% 28.07 57.14% 0.969 0.6291 1.025
Starlight Seeks its Form 1666 49.88% 27.97 57.02% 0.823 0.6245 0.834
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6992 56.26% 28.34 59.2% 0.25 -0.3646 -0.02
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3696 46.34% 32.57 70.32% -0.279 -0.0461 -0.125
Thunderspeaker 6601 49.71% 30.44 65.75% 0.266 0.249 -0.018
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 196 37.24% 17.97 38.27% -0.394 -0.1937 -0.129
Towering Roots of the Jungle 499 47.7% 20.71 44.29% -0.014 0.1524 -0.152
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4816 68.13% 25.15 51.2% -0.268 -0.218 -0.31
Vital Strength of the Earth 6653 48.79% 24.55 62.81% 0.215 0.685 -0.38
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 497 40.85% 23.32 53.32% -0.489 -0.08 -0.341
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 583 54.66% 25.7 56.26% -0.395 0.2722 0.065
Volcano Looming High 2775 53.85% 25.52 57.3% 0.005 -0.0114 0.33
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 798 33.71% 24.02 53.26% -1.287 -1.5666 -0.506

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 94.03%
Flame's Fury 95.67%
Flash-Fires 82.53%
Threatening Flames 92.52%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 77609 12.44 25.13%
II 109353 29.94 66.5%
III 42289 34.9 87.38%
IV 8696 38.84 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 19333
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35469
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 68496
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8533
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22325
Lose: Invader deck ran out 877
Lose: Adversary condition 10873
Win: Sacrifice victory 2280
Lose: Scenario condition 1631
Win: Scenario condition 3708
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 63088
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1334

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.438 Win Model: -0.19

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.09 Win Model: -0.045
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 143958 69.85% 22.26 54.26%
2 54130 61.82% 27.09 61.03%
3 20308 52.8% 30.07 66.0%
4 16984 40.46% 34.05 70.06%
5 432 41.12% 23.78 59.95%
6 2135 28.02% 23.24 52.18%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)