Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 103 41.75% 18.52 55.34% 0.074 0.0466 -0.194
Blitz 0 1653 64.13% 17.25 45.49% -0.753 -0.5026 -1.407
Dahan Insurrection 4 3752 28.9% 48.8 70.47% 0.832 0.5835 1.321
Despicable Theft 2 251 58.17% 25.72 54.58% 0.091 0.5529 -0.109
Elemental Invocation 1 409 62.81% 20.92 46.21% -0.408 0.2945 -1.124
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8253 32.16% 45.06 74.4% 1.035 0.4822 1.69
Powers Long Forgotten 1 818 61.92% 27.39 52.08% -1.597 -0.9738 -0.423
Rituals of Terror 3 607 60.96% 24.48 38.22% -1.208 -1.0152 -0.517
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 545 83.03% 23.87 37.61% -0.364 0.5588 -0.504
Second Wave 0 6083 61.72% 22.96 58.85% -0.231 -0.1136 0.226
The Great River 3 502 72.71% 25.64 51.59% -0.863 0.2046 -0.223
Varied Terrains 2 198 63.64% 20.58 38.38% -0.258 0.4834 -0.784
Ward the Shores 2 607 71.72% 21.84 27.68% -1.612 -0.5278 -1.089

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 128898 70.18% 22.53 56.04% 0.246 0.7728 0.161
1 Thematic 6275 72.13% 25.87 43.84% -0.284 0.5701 -0.602
2 Archipelago 89 56.18% 27.81 65.17% -1.455 -0.4001 1.684
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 34937 62.14% 27.41 62.37% 0.495 0.7724 0.498
2 Coastline 3616 61.98% 26.79 65.93% 0.243 0.3453 0.558
2 Fragment 893 67.22% 22.99 55.66% 0.733 0.7458 0.589
2 Heart 487 69.31% 24.24 59.14% 0.561 0.6723 0.693
2 Opposite Shores 7115 60.94% 27.05 62.16% 0.221 0.5574 -0.203
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 3004 61.39% 30.73 52.7% -0.149 0.5406 -0.291
2 Top to Top 942 60.85% 26.77 61.04% 0.248 0.4901 0.541
3 Archipelago 42 47.62% 31.38 80.95% 0.632 -0.089 0.381
3 Coastline 166 62.2% 30.33 63.25% -0.194 -0.5344 0.378
3 Other 554 52.26% 24.25 60.11% 1.415 0.8127 0.027
3 Round (Default) 17471 53.58% 30.57 67.06% 0.758 0.7643 0.424
3 Sunrise 86 57.65% 29.91 68.6% 0.864 0.8029 0.104
3 Thematic 952 50.11% 31.89 55.78% 0.326 0.4102 -0.428
4 Archipelago 55 37.25% 24.96 56.36% -0.395 -0.2448 0.903
4 Coastline 70 48.57% 25.81 72.86% 0.0 -0.7584 0.0
4 Leaf 93 56.52% 27.23 64.52% -0.946 -0.8087 -0.666
4 Other 517 44.38% 35.76 74.47% 0.493 -0.1257 0.768
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 -0.3905 -0.372
4 Thematic 3585 34.35% 48.15 69.29% -0.064 0.2041 -0.614
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11798 42.62% 30.64 71.59% 0.464 0.628 0.015
5 Archipelago 16 68.75% 33.38 81.25% 0.18 -0.6982 -0.204
5 Coastline 20 50.0% 23.1 75.0% -0.739 -0.6424 -0.166
5 Other 409 44.78% 27.07 66.01% 0.431 0.0454 0.068
5 Thematic 57 42.11% 32.51 66.67% -0.507 -1.3045 -0.094
6 Archipelago 28 10.71% 27.18 57.14% 0.52 -0.5894 -0.721
6 Coastline 18 27.78% 15.44 38.89% 0.155 -0.6823 -0.377
6 Other 182 37.29% 22.58 60.44% -0.044 -0.0748 -0.655
6 Star 128 39.06% 26.77 60.16% -0.556 -0.5732 -0.806
6 Thematic 625 25.45% 25.7 44.96% -1.324 -1.2206 -1.365
6 Two Centers (Default) 792 27.66% 22.45 59.22% -0.215 0.3495 -0.91
7 Archipelago 7 0.0% 7.57 0.0% -0.349 -0.4235 -0.095
7 Other 28 11.11% 12.25 25.0% -1.101 -1.5356 -0.463

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10911 26.04 48.31% 0.211 0.4604 0.455
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8278 28.44 52.71% 0.5 0.3812 0.688
All Things Weaken 5104 24.79 44.77% -0.153 0.1839 0.272
Attenuated Essence 844 22.12 40.52% 0.474 0.5008 -0.039
Back Against the Wall 7933 26.69 48.64% 0.468 0.4688 0.371
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 890 20.21 37.42% -0.01 0.2071 -0.242
Burn Brightest Before the End 603 23.3 42.79% 0.787 0.7686 0.065
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10074 21.33 40.41% -0.21 0.1832 0.041
Downward Spiral 22302 21.39 52.85% 0.273 0.3817 0.36
Erosion of Will 10749 24.56 45.38% -0.014 0.338 0.226
Intensifying Exploitation 891 19.31 37.04% -0.509 -0.2632 -0.307
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1622 31.21 80.64% 0.399 -0.1248 0.856
Memory Fades to Dust 22111 20.93 49.17% 0.389 0.6365 0.245
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5051 24.45 47.67% 0.261 0.4832 0.168
Promising Farmlands 10374 22.29 42.11% -0.157 0.1256 -0.06
Shattered Fragments of Power 622 25.35 43.09% -0.009 0.0684 0.2
Slow Dissolution of Will 819 19.66 32.48% -0.353 0.044 -0.68
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 905 32.26 84.53% 0.983 0.2882 1.213
The Border of Life and Death 190 22.13 63.16% 0.922 0.3211 0.218
Thriving Communities 4744 21.83 40.07% -0.058 0.299 -0.07
Thriving Crops 287 22.33 53.66% 0.688 0.492 0.142
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.4341 0.33
Unnatural Proliferation 5278 22.82 36.49% -0.199 -0.0363 0.09
Untended Land Crumbles 4888 23.19 43.45% -0.131 0.1006 0.063

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 56147 61.83% 25.02 59.67% -0.548 0.4564 -0.325
B 66725 60.23% 26.44 63.05% -0.636 0.2833 -0.107
C 58830 61.33% 25.99 61.65% -0.501 0.2331 -0.059
D 58290 58.17% 26.86 65.02% -0.358 0.6196 0.001
E 20235 60.43% 25.71 56.54% -0.7 0.1194 -0.233
F 28254 57.76% 27.84 63.02% -0.272 0.6017 0.143
G 27621 59.29% 27.57 62.96% -0.33 0.4798 0.047
H 24171 61.2% 26.31 60.03% -0.344 0.4711 -0.168
East 10665 51.0% 35.8 56.92% 0.221 1.1239 0.491
Northeast 7158 47.72% 37.64 57.94% -1.013 -0.2047 0.219
Northwest 6451 46.4% 37.96 58.53% -1.097 -0.1972 -0.084
Southeast 2264 43.1% 30.24 54.55% 0.189 1.0398 0.264
Southwest 2050 44.07% 28.88 52.88% -0.338 1.0376 0.16
West 10180 52.37% 34.82 54.5% -0.479 0.4763 -0.329

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7336 0.0% 13.69 51.61% -0.903 -0.1951 -0.049
Not Using Events or Tokens 31666 64.81% 18.51 57.96% -0.331 0.0372 -0.47
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5045 34.26% 35.1 80.08% -0.092 -0.6767 -0.721
Start of Game Growth 6856 37.74% 34.22 77.67% 0.798 0.2844 0.932
Unlimited Undo 20280 58.47% 28.2 68.14% 0.382 0.2722 0.768
Using Tokens but Not Events 20742 55.84% 24.47 68.08% 0.225 0.1994 -0.145

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 18302 47.67% 35.57 72.92% 0.151 0.0455 0.63
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 423 48.7% 26.74 49.65% 0.513 0.033 0.058
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5473 59.59% 24.9 59.91% -0.748 -0.6223 -0.238
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 201 50.75% 23.45 59.7% 0.088 -0.7588 -0.813
Dances Up Earthquakes 134 50.0% 23.25 54.48% 0.114 0.1508 0.577
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3772 51.54% 29.18 68.29% -0.021 -0.1582 0.124
Downpour Drenches the World 1594 42.32% 21.9 51.38% -0.057 0.1497 -0.433
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1105 44.65% 25.39 53.85% 0.241 -0.3698 0.353
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4214 49.58% 30.88 70.67% 0.097 -0.2789 -0.08
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3901 45.4% 30.4 71.14% -0.143 -0.533 -0.132
Finder of Paths Unseen 757 49.13% 22.76 47.56% 0.152 0.8715 0.586
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1319 43.24% 29.32 60.05% -0.468 0.1428 0.133
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1284 54.89% 26.25 55.76% -0.168 -0.2675 -0.24
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10455 48.45% 32.07 71.1% 0.124 -0.3068 0.392
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 388 37.47% 23.38 50.77% 0.549 0.2349 -0.971
Lightning's Swift Strike 6367 53.58% 28.96 67.68% -0.131 0.0985 -0.081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 440 54.48% 25.53 54.09% -0.218 -0.6624 -0.162
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 493 49.29% 31.33 63.49% 0.366 0.0554 0.283
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 918 44.0% 31.6 65.25% 0.616 0.4734 0.379
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3028 48.98% 29.74 61.39% -0.092 -0.3204 -0.354
Many Minds Move as One 1442 52.79% 29.3 66.99% 0.28 0.0378 0.492
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11512 48.04% 34.45 69.02% -0.111 -0.0021 0.636
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 202 43.43% 22.91 59.41% 0.312 0.431 0.008
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3652 53.93% 29.8 65.66% -0.333 -0.3795 -0.116
River Surges in Sunlight 9027 46.66% 34.98 69.46% -0.259 -0.1284 0.569
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 96 50.0% 21.05 52.08% 0.054 0.2293 -0.237
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 971 54.24% 28.14 58.5% 0.646 0.9436 -0.386
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 496 42.51% 27.38 53.63% 0.44 0.3566 -0.28
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9177 50.15% 29.3 65.16% -0.439 -0.5499 0.286
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 131 48.85% 24.69 39.69% -0.563 -0.6807 0.168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3995 59.5% 26.27 63.03% -0.451 0.044 -0.435
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 94 43.96% 23.46 52.13% 0.432 0.3805 -0.544
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 214 46.01% 30.92 64.02% 0.499 -0.0116 0.992
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 145 48.95% 24.78 55.17% 0.862 0.7344 0.064
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 425 58.13% 27.2 61.18% 0.404 0.4162 -0.993
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 327 59.2% 25.29 60.86% 0.344 0.479 0.135
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5443 46.83% 33.55 70.82% -0.065 -0.0163 0.556
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 315 42.63% 30.81 62.86% -0.112 -0.3274 0.516
Shifting Memory of Ages 1003 57.01% 23.29 55.33% -0.364 -0.0697 0.172
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 241 53.94% 25.12 50.21% 0.126 0.0073 -0.235
Shroud of Silent Mist 1371 51.84% 23.36 55.43% -0.482 -0.1538 0.295
Starlight Seeks its Form 1428 51.3% 27.99 56.93% -0.175 -0.2747 0.33
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6530 56.95% 28.8 60.26% 0.218 -0.3128 -0.015
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3463 46.72% 33.28 71.87% 0.273 0.3506 0.787
Thunderspeaker 6288 50.33% 30.87 66.59% -0.175 -0.1392 0.334
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 168 38.69% 17.82 38.1% -0.769 -0.7108 -0.748
Towering Roots of the Jungle 395 48.86% 21.7 45.32% -0.053 0.0968 0.121
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4472 68.81% 25.55 51.99% -0.396 -0.2498 -0.643
Vital Strength of the Earth 6399 49.29% 24.97 63.73% -0.368 0.1998 -0.297
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 425 41.09% 24.07 54.59% -0.1 0.4214 -0.406
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 552 55.01% 26.04 56.52% -0.223 0.5183 -0.171
Volcano Looming High 2530 55.12% 26.15 58.3% -0.085 -0.0701 -0.073
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 684 33.48% 24.96 55.26% -0.167 -0.4588 -0.726

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 94.02%
Flame's Fury 95.6%
Flash-Fires 82.51%
Threatening Flames 92.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 71106 13.33 26.54%
II 104455 30.1 66.89%
III 40263 34.83 87.46%
IV 8287 38.67 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18716
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33806
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 65796
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8134
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17648
Lose: Invader deck ran out 839
Lose: Adversary condition 10288
Win: Sacrifice victory 2157
Lose: Scenario condition 1532
Win: Scenario condition 3585
Lose: Blight pool ran out 60334
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1276

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.029 Win Model: -0.152

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.225 Win Model: 0.163
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 135601 70.22% 22.66 55.39%
2 51122 62.19% 27.45 61.89%
3 19072 53.17% 30.53 66.88%
4 16143 40.83% 34.67 71.21%
5 379 42.13% 24.02 60.69%
6 1794 27.87% 23.85 53.96%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)