Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 121 38.84% 18.65 57.85% 0.509 0.8791 -0.399
Blitz 0 1804 61.78% 16.71 44.07% -0.917 -0.4852 0.2
Dahan Insurrection 4 4032 28.44% 47.7 69.22% 0.228 0.2017 1.347
Despicable Theft 2 304 56.25% 24.68 50.66% -0.169 0.4904 0.064
Elemental Invocation 1 490 61.4% 19.67 43.88% 0.24 0.6879 -0.034
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8831 32.17% 44.51 73.07% 1.14 0.5405 1.799
Powers Long Forgotten 1 896 61.43% 26.24 49.33% -0.212 0.3966 -0.266
Rituals of Terror 3 683 57.75% 23.05 36.16% 0.03 0.1548 -0.659
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 611 80.92% 23.03 36.5% -0.381 0.3572 -0.304
Second Wave 0 6499 61.35% 22.78 58.18% -0.294 -0.188 1.771
The Great River 3 551 71.51% 25.75 51.72% -0.174 1.0005 0.502
Varied Terrains 2 236 59.57% 19.96 37.71% -0.192 0.5451 -0.379
Ward the Shores 2 650 70.33% 21.2 27.23% -0.771 -0.0891 -0.527

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 138670 69.79% 22.08 54.7% -0.336 -0.1117 -0.161
1 Thematic 6634 70.84% 25.38 43.52% 0.148 0.6977 -0.697
2 Archipelago 93 55.91% 27.8 65.59% -0.083 -0.4368 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 37506 61.73% 26.95 61.27% 0.0 0.1116 0.59
2 Coastline 3863 61.74% 26.48 64.72% 0.396 0.3065 0.446
2 Fragment 965 68.1% 23.02 55.13% 1.245 0.9065 0.436
2 Heart 540 68.79% 23.52 56.85% -0.434 -0.7608 -0.234
2 Opposite Shores 7643 60.04% 26.63 61.17% 0.01 0.0468 -0.212
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3203 60.54% 30.09 51.86% -0.013 0.5153 -0.197
2 Top to Top 1019 60.12% 26.25 60.16% 0.191 -0.0151 0.793
3 Archipelago 46 50.0% 30.37 80.43% 0.0 0.1006 -0.067
3 Coastline 178 60.23% 29.52 62.36% 0.729 0.2083 -0.138
3 Other 585 52.4% 24.03 59.32% 0.279 -0.4625 -0.648
3 Round (Default) 18832 53.12% 30.06 66.07% 0.199 0.1032 0.159
3 Sunrise 88 58.62% 29.65 67.05% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 1003 50.25% 31.08 54.94% -0.652 -0.4099 -0.326
4 Archipelago 58 35.19% 23.67 53.45% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 75 48.0% 25.17 70.67% 0.0 0.2598 -0.231
4 Leaf 101 55.0% 27.71 63.37% 1.066 0.5119 -0.627
4 Other 537 45.25% 34.99 73.37% 0.272 -0.2751 0.002
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 3848 33.94% 46.41 66.55% -0.619 -0.1454 0.232
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12645 42.06% 30.03 70.26% 0.223 0.0337 0.806
5 Archipelago 17 70.59% 31.41 76.47% -0.316 1.1303 0.0
5 Coastline 26 46.15% 22.77 73.08% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 469 44.16% 26.29 63.33% -0.439 -0.7657 0.519
5 Thematic 70 41.43% 31.67 70.0% 0.757 0.2663 0.0
6 Archipelago 38 21.05% 22.95 47.37% -0.934 -1.859 -0.324
6 Coastline 22 27.27% 15.5 40.91% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 214 35.89% 22.55 59.81% 0.24 0.5098 0.417
6 Star 144 36.81% 25.53 56.25% 0.202 0.9977 -0.13
6 Thematic 798 24.68% 25.16 43.23% -0.651 -0.0702 -0.074
6 Two Centers (Default) 985 28.67% 21.83 57.66% -0.12 -0.1436 -0.023
7 Archipelago 9 0.0% 5.89 0.0% -0.061 0.3452 -0.113
7 Other 35 8.82% 9.8 20.0% -0.697 -0.952 -0.232

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 11395 25.85 47.86% -0.672 -0.3618 0.83
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8680 28.42 52.59% 0.33 0.3427 1.535
All Things Weaken 5555 24.46 43.96% -0.053 0.4208 0.495
Attenuated Essence 1154 22.26 40.55% -0.0 0.1463 0.661
Back Against the Wall 8312 26.61 48.44% 0.188 0.3171 1.169
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1178 20.15 38.03% 0.18 0.5001 0.876
Burn Brightest Before the End 787 22.96 40.91% -0.284 -0.1069 0.537
Disintegrating Ecosystem 10601 21.07 39.79% -0.37 0.0107 0.356
Downward Spiral 23557 21.24 52.52% 0.003 0.1967 1.212
Erosion of Will 11228 24.41 45.07% -0.35 -0.0126 0.64
Intensifying Exploitation 1217 19.46 36.65% -0.635 -0.2825 0.55
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1751 30.84 79.44% 0.002 -0.3614 1.893
Memory Fades to Dust 23295 20.74 48.7% 0.155 0.4844 0.943
Power Corrodes the Spirit 5495 24.09 46.7% 0.262 0.5291 0.779
Promising Farmlands 10919 22.07 41.55% -0.485 -0.0377 0.781
Shattered Fragments of Power 814 25.29 43.37% -0.071 -0.0709 1.134
Slow Dissolution of Will 1115 19.7 32.2% -0.299 0.1119 0.525
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 983 31.54 82.1% 0.486 -0.0724 0.746
The Border of Life and Death 241 22.02 61.0% -0.068 -0.313 0.344
Thriving Communities 5207 21.42 39.16% -0.903 -0.6259 -0.169
Thriving Crops 404 21.79 51.73% 0.295 0.1999 0.173
Tipping Point 4076 24.8 47.94% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 5716 22.73 36.41% -0.692 -0.4874 0.742
Untended Land Crumbles 5358 22.92 42.8% -0.618 -0.3191 0.432

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 60148 61.16% 24.53 58.47% -0.292 0.6999 -0.001
B 71137 59.85% 25.99 61.93% -0.009 0.8557 0.381
C 63046 60.76% 25.47 60.31% -0.137 0.6149 0.141
D 62066 57.81% 26.4 63.81% 0.518 1.4624 0.333
E 22729 59.62% 25.06 55.04% 0.058 0.8131 -0.361
F 31051 57.33% 27.27 61.77% 0.584 1.4587 0.415
G 30090 58.86% 27.1 61.86% 0.121 0.9834 0.384
H 26557 60.54% 25.71 58.74% 0.204 1.0114 -0.265
East 11509 50.02% 34.72 55.43% -0.465 0.2801 0.345
Northeast 7756 46.72% 36.36 56.09% -0.25 0.643 -0.511
Northwest 7024 45.09% 36.57 56.55% -0.327 0.4167 -0.558
Southeast 2587 41.62% 29.25 52.88% -0.241 0.7676 0.107
Southwest 2361 42.75% 28.07 51.16% 0.144 1.3006 -0.544
West 10981 51.12% 33.8 53.14% 0.109 1.0917 0.098

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7839 0.0% 13.41 50.47% -1.202 -0.4825 -0.076
Not Using Events or Tokens 34257 63.95% 18.08 56.45% -0.735 -0.2602 -0.274
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5372 33.51% 34.39 78.54% 0.472 -0.3331 -0.763
Start of Game Growth 7271 37.24% 33.65 76.54% 0.45 -0.1166 0.67
Unlimited Undo 21604 58.13% 27.65 66.65% -0.157 -0.1292 0.552
Using Tokens but Not Events 22255 55.49% 24.0 66.94% -0.125 -0.152 0.629

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 19291 47.44% 34.88 71.6% 0.585 0.1671 0.239
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 625 46.96% 27.92 52.8% 0.493 -0.1629 0.279
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 38 39.47% 25.89 57.89% 0.19 0.0321 0.604
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 205 40.98% 29.0 62.93% 0.785 -0.0749 0.969
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5814 58.74% 24.32 58.55% -0.098 0.0397 -0.023
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 291 51.9% 24.75 56.36% 0.375 -0.6543 0.72
Dances Up Earthquakes 264 49.62% 22.45 50.38% -0.498 -0.534 -0.714
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4083 50.87% 28.63 66.47% -0.385 -0.7399 -0.245
Downpour Drenches the World 1913 41.5% 21.42 49.71% -0.617 -0.4934 0.442
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1473 44.49% 25.43 53.02% 0.018 -0.5525 0.573
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4570 48.93% 30.25 69.54% 0.425 -0.2207 -0.188
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4224 44.76% 29.64 69.63% 0.044 -0.45 -0.532
Finder of Paths Unseen 914 49.17% 22.32 46.83% 0.099 0.6873 0.09
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1427 42.76% 28.33 58.09% -0.394 0.0529 0.258
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1519 54.95% 25.09 52.93% 0.39 0.2049 -0.678
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10869 48.17% 31.75 70.58% -0.47 -1.1442 0.377
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 571 34.04% 23.56 48.86% -0.186 -0.7135 -1.201
Lightning's Swift Strike 6704 52.83% 28.54 66.84% 0.653 0.6853 -0.011
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 551 51.01% 24.01 51.72% -0.25 -0.9026 0.207
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 571 49.03% 30.39 61.12% 0.007 -0.4884 -0.396
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1014 43.08% 30.72 63.61% 0.473 0.234 -0.704
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3403 47.56% 29.25 60.71% 0.509 0.0827 -0.143
Many Minds Move as One 1581 51.62% 28.78 66.03% 0.096 -0.4132 0.818
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 12207 47.58% 33.73 67.57% 0.095 -0.1743 -0.09
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 414 43.77% 22.47 57.49% -0.349 -0.4626 -0.345
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3945 53.46% 29.12 64.51% 0.276 -0.0181 -0.326
River Surges in Sunlight 9480 46.22% 34.34 68.41% -0.445 -0.6163 -0.146
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 132 46.21% 22.92 53.79% -0.165 -0.2763 0.477
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1088 53.26% 27.91 58.27% 1.114 1.0483 0.092
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 589 42.93% 26.95 52.29% -0.865 -0.995 0.414
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9643 49.67% 28.79 64.09% -0.23 -0.4938 0.455
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 197 45.18% 22.39 40.1% -0.325 -0.7554 -0.903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4193 58.73% 25.66 61.82% -0.329 0.0994 -0.51
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 128 50.4% 22.77 50.78% 0.198 0.2017 0.368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 300 48.49% 30.25 63.0% 0.773 0.0202 0.56
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 170 50.0% 23.65 51.18% 0.748 0.4296 0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 466 57.08% 26.95 61.16% 0.267 0.0888 -0.509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 352 59.54% 24.87 59.66% -0.423 -0.466 -0.028
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5639 46.43% 33.3 70.65% 0.476 0.11 0.142
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 25 36.0% 21.68 56.0% -0.549 -1.0897 0.514
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 408 40.25% 30.38 61.52% 0.747 0.5026 0.646
Shifting Memory of Ages 1107 56.17% 22.85 54.29% -0.132 0.1619 0.084
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 345 51.59% 23.25 46.38% -0.257 -0.4203 -0.471
Shroud of Silent Mist 1533 51.19% 22.68 54.08% -0.433 -0.2509 -0.592
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 37 56.76% 25.89 45.95% -0.621 -1.031 0.177
Starlight Seeks its Form 1699 49.79% 27.86 56.74% -0.445 -0.6873 1.458
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 7119 56.16% 28.21 58.88% -0.221 -1.1732 -0.142
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3755 46.07% 32.44 70.07% -0.048 -0.0053 -0.238
Thunderspeaker 6680 49.47% 30.36 65.6% 0.274 0.0786 -0.297
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 207 36.71% 18.67 39.13% 0.542 0.374 0.122
Towering Roots of the Jungle 527 47.63% 20.76 44.97% 0.208 0.097 -0.334
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4891 67.9% 25.04 51.01% -0.341 -0.4922 -0.087
Vital Strength of the Earth 6717 48.64% 24.44 62.54% -0.399 -0.0402 -0.014
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 518 40.94% 22.89 51.93% -0.875 -0.632 -0.788
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 591 54.59% 25.51 55.67% -0.756 -0.0749 0.012
Volcano Looming High 2841 53.58% 25.44 57.09% 0.352 0.0283 0.17
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 823 33.54% 23.83 53.1% -0.115 -0.633 -0.649

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 94.03%
Flame's Fury 95.68%
Flash-Fires 82.51%
Threatening Flames 92.56%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 79010 12.25 24.88%
II 110515 29.91 66.42%
III 42799 34.94 87.36%
IV 8801 38.9 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 19488
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35893
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 69148
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8636
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23347
Lose: Invader deck ran out 893
Lose: Adversary condition 10995
Win: Sacrifice victory 2304
Lose: Scenario condition 1644
Win: Scenario condition 3741
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 63694
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1342

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.057 Win Model: -0.132

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.181 Win Model: 0.009
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 145803 69.78% 22.2 54.09%
2 54835 61.73% 27.02 60.85%
3 20530 52.77% 30.0 65.88%
4 17273 40.3% 33.81 69.59%
5 453 42.09% 23.56 58.94%
6 2231 27.8% 23.2 52.04%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)