Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 23 65.22% 27.83 86.96% 0.259 -0.1883 0.314
Blitz 0 1186 70.74% 19.15 49.58% -1.22 -0.7636 -1.646
Dahan Insurrection 4 2340 35.6% 58.56 79.79% 0.811 0.8312 1.324
Despicable Theft 2 144 65.28% 30.3 62.5% 0.554 1.0661 -0.097
Elemental Invocation 1 224 71.43% 26.19 58.04% -0.478 0.2215 -1.002
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6330 32.55% 47.54 78.78% 0.473 0.5142 1.304
Powers Long Forgotten 1 601 69.23% 32.41 60.57% 0.625 1.1868 -0.35
Rituals of Terror 3 404 76.0% 31.85 48.76% -0.338 -0.626 -0.05
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 397 91.12% 27.03 39.55% -0.745 -0.3145 -0.289
Second Wave 0 4698 63.24% 23.92 61.32% -0.543 -0.0812 0.124
The Great River 3 344 78.2% 28.4 56.1% -1.457 0.3097 -0.443
Varied Terrains 2 36 83.33% 31.86 61.11% -0.334 0.4945 -0.269
Ward the Shores 2 461 78.84% 26.06 32.97% -0.064 0.6797 -1.137

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 97421 72.35% 24.43 60.62% 0.128 0.6784 0.188
1 Thematic 5122 78.04% 27.91 45.55% 0.145 1.1432 -0.744
2 Archipelago 52 53.85% 34.19 80.77% -0.464 0.1532 1.08
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26399 64.37% 29.85 67.23% 0.373 0.7827 0.453
2 Coastline 2705 65.12% 29.26 71.61% 0.282 0.418 0.56
2 Fragment 687 68.25% 24.29 57.79% 0.167 0.1626 0.344
2 Heart 354 71.68% 24.29 59.04% -0.201 0.2744 0.321
2 Opposite Shores 5073 63.21% 29.65 67.49% 0.755 1.1088 -0.392
2 Thematic 2382 64.97% 33.77 56.55% -0.628 0.3019 -0.507
2 Top to Top 655 63.45% 28.24 66.11% -0.255 -0.128 0.329
3 Archipelago 23 43.48% 33.17 86.96% 0.182 0.3613 -0.053
3 Coastline 113 65.49% 33.88 69.91% -0.395 -0.8113 -0.009
3 Other 403 59.18% 28.35 67.74% 0.98 0.2609 -0.192
3 Round (Default) 12739 53.93% 33.13 72.64% 0.083 0.2767 0.346
3 Sunrise 66 58.46% 33.42 74.24% 0.0 0.1488 0.051
3 Thematic 681 54.34% 36.23 59.77% -0.005 0.0096 -0.57
4 Archipelago 31 53.57% 30.03 61.29% -0.662 -1.0817 0.406
4 Coastline 45 42.22% 31.2 88.89% -0.173 -0.2462 0.0
4 Leaf 66 56.92% 29.61 69.7% -0.83 -0.9266 -1.001
4 Other 431 42.62% 39.15 80.74% 0.965 0.3491 0.359
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.045 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.5654 -0.285
4 Thematic 3004 36.92% 52.81 75.77% -1.15 -0.8678 -0.428
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9006 44.92% 33.42 77.6% -0.001 0.1864 0.107
5 Archipelago 11 63.64% 32.0 72.73% 0.0 -0.3838 -0.143
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 26.4 100.0% 0.194 0.3011 0.0
5 Other 172 55.36% 35.8 79.65% 1.133 0.5023 0.844
5 Thematic 31 58.06% 42.87 80.65% 0.483 -0.4912 -0.247
6 Archipelago 13 15.38% 38.38 76.92% 0.0 -0.0703 -0.853
6 Coastline 2 100.0% 26.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.9494 0.0
6 Other 54 28.85% 27.41 83.33% 0.746 0.5042 -1.463
6 Star 47 44.68% 35.91 65.96% -0.386 0.1599 0.393
6 Thematic 174 37.43% 41.53 76.44% -0.697 -0.651 -0.458
6 Two Centers (Default) 261 30.35% 32.64 86.97% -0.322 0.1414 0.277
7 Other 4 66.67% 52.0 100.0% 0.085 -0.276 0.55

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9173 26.66 49.29% -1.645 0.0856 -0.635
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7046 28.77 53.11% -1.199 0.3764 -0.393
All Things Weaken 3761 26.04 46.64% -1.936 -0.0586 -0.762
Attenuated Essence 2 54.0 100.0% 0.385 1.2393 0.0
Back Against the Wall 6702 27.22 49.09% -1.817 -0.1807 -0.624
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1 1.0 0.0% -0.798 0.6499 0.0
Burn Brightest Before the End 1 22.0 100.0% 0.062 1.0704 0.0
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8427 22.17 41.91% -1.971 -0.1279 -0.96
Downward Spiral 17979 22.41 54.65% -1.619 0.0794 -0.68
Erosion of Will 8964 25.24 46.36% -1.983 -0.0828 -0.821
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1184 33.85 85.3% 0.192 0.692 -0.054
Memory Fades to Dust 17826 21.88 50.54% -1.706 0.1705 -0.848
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3672 25.92 49.92% -1.599 0.1053 -0.836
Promising Farmlands 8718 23.08 43.3% -2.175 -0.2997 -1.118
Shattered Fragments of Power 1 18.0 0.0% -0.708 0.4477 0.0
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 648 34.61 89.66% 0.749 0.9586 0.616
Thriving Communities 3384 23.41 42.14% -2.109 -0.2384 -1.125
Thriving Crops 1 0.0 0.0% -0.743 0.2117 0.0
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.0 -0.715
Unnatural Proliferation 3891 23.74 37.47% -2.344 -0.5897 -0.962
Untended Land Crumbles 3569 24.76 45.5% -1.945 -0.1309 -0.904

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 42255 64.34% 27.36 64.9% -0.447 0.3307 -0.254
B 51763 61.89% 28.58 67.86% -0.123 0.5799 -0.127
C 44995 63.68% 28.2 66.6% -0.359 0.1689 0.02
D 45077 59.9% 28.96 69.87% 0.141 0.876 0.076
E 12307 65.82% 29.73 64.29% -0.19 0.3939 0.012
F 19304 60.58% 30.87 69.08% -0.042 0.6656 0.347
G 19179 62.2% 30.33 68.19% -0.066 0.5757 0.181
H 16636 64.42% 29.12 65.53% -0.346 0.2989 -0.077
East 8176 55.96% 40.45 62.72% 0.472 1.0641 0.72
Northeast 5477 52.87% 42.96 64.74% -0.135 0.5418 0.065
Northwest 4962 52.08% 43.32 65.28% -0.674 -0.2361 0.013
Southeast 1292 52.48% 38.0 66.87% -0.569 0.0941 0.359
Southwest 1153 53.57% 36.76 66.52% -0.611 0.56 -0.071
West 7927 57.58% 39.26 59.76% -0.806 0.0122 -0.475

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5083 0.0% 15.41 58.33% -2.73 -0.6543 -0.834
Not Using Events or Tokens 21979 68.78% 20.77 64.96% -0.284 -0.1122 -0.409
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4168 33.83% 37.32 85.2% 1.611 0.5521 -0.283
Start of Game Growth 5516 37.79% 36.61 82.69% 0.87 0.4478 0.423
Unlimited Undo 16052 59.73% 30.34 73.16% 0.623 0.2074 0.666
Using Tokens but Not Events 15844 57.32% 26.61 73.22% -0.574 -0.4579 -0.009

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 14599 100.0% 38.99 100.0% 1.028 0.8483 0.726
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4344 100.0% 27.78 100.0% -0.378 -0.3632 -0.246
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2914 100.0% 31.8 100.0% 0.24 -0.0052 -0.049
Downpour Drenches the World 329 100.0% 32.78 100.0% -0.324 0.0635 -0.501
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 12 100.0% 29.0 100.0% -0.579 -0.3439 -0.377
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3120 100.0% 33.54 100.0% 0.151 -0.3217 -0.074
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2828 100.0% 32.51 100.0% -0.332 -0.779 -0.307
Finder of Paths Unseen 209 100.0% 34.54 100.0% -0.316 0.0476 0.739
Fractured Days Split the Sky 779 100.0% 37.64 100.0% 0.003 0.1063 0.406
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 566 100.0% 32.56 100.0% 0.492 0.4273 -0.348
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8726 100.0% 33.9 100.0% 0.19 -0.3934 0.182
Lightning's Swift Strike 5280 107.26% 31.17 103.81% 0.004 0.2721 0.011
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 84 62.2% 34.5 71.43% 0.282 -0.5318 -0.185
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 297 53.22% 37.23 74.07% 0.048 -0.4947 0.19
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 442 51.03% 37.2 77.38% 0.341 -0.1368 0.127
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1674 100.0% 33.72 100.0% 0.264 0.143 -0.451
Many Minds Move as One 936 100.0% 33.3 100.0% -0.456 -1.0793 0.534
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9049 100.0% 37.82 100.0% 0.15 0.0222 0.668
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2664 100.0% 32.72 100.0% -0.425 -0.5078 0.075
River Surges in Sunlight 7436 103.92% 38.02 103.52% 0.577 0.3849 0.648
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 605 57.26% 30.53 62.15% -0.31 -0.0221 -0.183
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 91 54.65% 32.01 63.74% -0.336 -0.6984 -0.607
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7270 100.0% 32.05 100.0% 0.25 0.0769 0.158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3395 106.78% 28.52 105.68% -0.102 0.2912 -0.511
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 40.0% 25.47 53.13% -1.304 -1.2068 -0.489
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 51.43% 38.38 78.38% 0.368 0.4429 -0.042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 293 60.98% 30.41 66.55% 0.283 0.2466 -1.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 229 63.16% 29.0 68.56% -0.356 -0.3524 0.195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4701 100.0% 35.34 100.0% 0.07 -0.1297 0.396
Shifting Memory of Ages 504 100.0% 29.13 100.0% 0.06 0.2887 0.402
Shroud of Silent Mist 611 100.0% 29.48 100.0% -0.063 0.1212 0.069
Starlight Seeks its Form 632 100.0% 34.79 100.0% 0.794 0.638 0.065
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4626 100.0% 32.08 100.0% 0.38 0.117 -0.036
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2638 100.0% 36.75 100.0% 0.804 0.8671 0.836
Thunderspeaker 5129 100.02% 33.34 100.02% 0.369 0.2927 0.219
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.741 -0.5363 -0.766
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3018 100.0% 28.56 100.0% -0.209 -0.4708 -0.646
Vital Strength of the Earth 5293 103.38% 27.2 102.8% -0.061 0.6919 -0.346
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 90 42.53% 37.17 76.67% -0.084 0.494 0.992
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 341 61.83% 30.71 62.76% -0.344 0.8063 -0.354
Volcano Looming High 1428 100.0% 30.78 100.0% -0.461 -0.4647 -0.005

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.7%
Flame's Fury 95.23%
Flash-Fires 81.78%
Threatening Flames 92.0%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 45939 22.63 34.36%
II 83487 31.12 67.99%
III 32240 34.7 87.66%
IV 6604 37.97 99.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15657
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27058
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 53606
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6477
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 24
Lose: Invader deck ran out 673
Lose: Adversary condition 8488
Win: Sacrifice victory 1786
Lose: Scenario condition 1296
Win: Scenario condition 2792
Lose: Blight pool ran out 49368
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1045

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.006 Win Model: -0.199

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.393 Win Model: 0.039
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 102664 72.65% 24.61 59.84%
2 38451 64.5% 29.85 66.51%
3 13868 53.75% 33.24 72.65%
4 12634 42.97% 38.22 77.28%
5 102 53.0% 33.14 74.51%
6 551 33.27% 35.54 81.67%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-07 12:49:13 (Pacific Time)