Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 62 43.55% 18.15 58.06% -0.426 -0.5024 -0.195
Blitz 0 1436 67.92% 18.35 48.33% -0.003 0.2126 -1.201
Dahan Insurrection 4 3241 30.92% 51.64 74.11% 0.045 -0.1785 1.294
Despicable Theft 2 211 63.03% 27.33 58.29% -0.383 0.4199 0.117
Elemental Invocation 1 323 65.31% 22.66 51.39% -0.609 0.395 -1.094
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7456 32.37% 46.05 76.06% 1.046 0.3366 1.598
Powers Long Forgotten 1 711 64.78% 29.69 56.26% -0.53 0.3296 -0.334
Rituals of Terror 3 495 70.0% 28.26 43.84% -1.386 -1.5338 -0.209
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 474 85.99% 24.67 36.92% -1.782 -0.675 -0.463
Second Wave 0 5457 61.99% 23.21 59.68% -0.182 -0.0752 0.158
The Great River 3 430 75.12% 26.7 53.02% -0.796 0.6324 -0.303
Varied Terrains 2 126 66.67% 22.4 44.44% -1.294 -0.4604 -0.886
Ward the Shores 2 546 75.61% 23.38 29.85% -1.187 -0.2098 -1.107

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 114094 70.94% 23.3 57.78% 0.652 0.7306 0.246
1 Thematic 5742 75.04% 26.74 44.55% -0.159 0.2955 -0.523
2 Archipelago 78 58.97% 30.36 71.79% -0.169 0.3358 1.689
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30750 62.98% 28.53 64.65% 0.716 0.6945 0.58
2 Coastline 3218 62.5% 27.56 68.24% 0.684 0.5871 0.684
2 Fragment 803 67.33% 23.36 56.04% 0.517 0.1084 0.43
2 Heart 423 69.88% 23.75 57.68% 0.81 0.6625 0.402
2 Opposite Shores 6137 62.48% 28.22 63.89% 0.62 0.4588 -0.196
2 Thematic 2674 63.36% 32.05 54.08% -0.295 -0.0589 -0.285
2 Top to Top 783 62.81% 27.74 63.09% 0.692 0.5364 0.698
3 Archipelago 30 43.33% 31.5 83.33% 0.218 -1.0541 0.002
3 Coastline 143 62.24% 31.25 66.43% 0.64 -0.0889 -0.071
3 Other 496 54.3% 25.51 62.1% -0.466 -0.7822 0.03
3 Round (Default) 15267 53.89% 31.52 68.88% 0.549 0.2674 0.407
3 Sunrise 75 54.05% 30.87 70.67% -0.605 -0.5774 0.073
3 Thematic 788 52.42% 34.29 57.61% 0.211 -0.1215 -0.346
4 Archipelago 44 41.46% 27.41 56.82% -0.121 -0.5664 0.848
4 Coastline 62 43.55% 25.66 74.19% 0.0 -0.6506 0.0
4 Leaf 78 55.84% 29.54 69.23% -0.195 0.1207 -0.669
4 Other 477 43.52% 37.31 77.36% 0.036 -0.6274 0.762
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 0.5757 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 -0.9931 -0.333
4 Thematic 3353 35.7% 50.21 72.08% -1.203 -0.7956 -0.699
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10398 43.57% 31.93 74.36% 0.232 0.53 0.01
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 33.53 80.0% 1.302 1.2406 -0.218
5 Coastline 12 41.67% 24.75 83.33% -0.029 -0.4599 0.286
5 Other 304 52.35% 29.36 71.71% -0.467 -1.0721 0.178
5 Thematic 43 46.51% 37.19 74.42% 0.308 0.5969 -0.369
6 Archipelago 23 13.04% 29.48 56.52% 0.421 -0.4824 -0.77
6 Coastline 12 41.67% 19.92 50.0% -0.375 -0.7223 -0.211
6 Other 111 33.94% 23.22 62.16% -1.488 -1.1443 -0.928
6 Star 83 42.17% 32.01 71.08% 0.702 0.6575 0.229
6 Thematic 409 28.36% 28.83 52.32% -1.346 -1.3546 -1.48
6 Two Centers (Default) 565 27.45% 24.04 64.6% -0.828 -0.9171 -0.815
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8779 0.066
7 Other 18 17.65% 19.06 38.89% -0.283 -1.8402 0.064

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10136 26.31 48.63% 0.042 0.2363 0.21
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7734 28.59 52.97% 0.521 0.5123 0.446
All Things Weaken 4475 25.37 45.63% -0.163 0.1905 0.063
Attenuated Essence 433 21.65 38.11% -0.131 0.0202 -0.235
Back Against the Wall 7367 26.86 48.69% 0.003 0.096 0.157
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 425 20.29 37.88% 0.138 0.3564 -0.596
Burn Brightest Before the End 316 23.99 41.46% -0.145 0.0331 -0.036
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9350 21.65 41.03% -0.465 -0.0768 -0.163
Downward Spiral 20107 21.79 53.45% 0.031 0.2237 0.093
Erosion of Will 9960 24.91 45.86% -0.131 0.1705 0.012
Intensifying Exploitation 468 20.66 37.18% -0.014 0.2722 -0.361
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1406 32.26 82.93% 1.167 0.6058 0.625
Memory Fades to Dust 19988 21.31 49.69% 0.02 0.349 -0.041
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4383 24.92 48.19% -0.115 0.1941 -0.02
Promising Farmlands 9611 22.64 42.59% -0.387 -0.0265 -0.283
Shattered Fragments of Power 310 24.57 38.71% 0.039 0.1832 -0.019
Slow Dissolution of Will 405 20.6 33.58% 0.033 0.4844 -0.743
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 778 33.26 86.25% 1.203 0.6463 1.026
The Border of Life and Death 104 21.55 60.58% 0.361 0.0667 -0.551
Thriving Communities 4107 22.45 41.03% -0.346 -0.0179 -0.334
Thriving Crops 129 22.8 52.71% 0.37 0.3272 0.008
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.5304 0.087
Unnatural Proliferation 4641 23.19 36.78% -0.503 -0.3155 -0.118
Untended Land Crumbles 4270 23.82 44.43% -0.285 0.0452 -0.116

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49395 62.81% 26.0 61.82% -0.858 0.036 -0.3
B 59675 60.98% 27.32 64.88% -0.712 0.1096 -0.089
C 52183 62.28% 26.93 63.68% -0.761 -0.0913 -0.01
D 51964 58.94% 27.76 67.03% -0.613 0.2156 0.08
E 16531 61.81% 27.0 59.13% -0.749 -0.0565 -0.192
F 24043 58.87% 29.03 65.27% -0.4 0.3784 0.239
G 23643 60.57% 28.71 64.93% -0.364 0.4005 0.139
H 20578 62.2% 27.48 62.36% -0.755 0.002 -0.115
East 9458 53.49% 37.92 59.37% -0.011 0.836 0.489
Northeast 6355 50.18% 40.03 61.01% -0.598 0.077 0.228
Northwest 5733 48.89% 40.41 61.63% -0.498 0.3159 0.019
Southeast 1778 47.34% 33.21 58.61% 0.139 0.8246 0.269
Southwest 1638 47.45% 31.5 57.26% -0.583 0.7941 0.215
West 9104 54.72% 36.79 56.78% -1.113 -0.1549 -0.301

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6292 0.0% 14.27 54.01% -0.246 0.5931 -0.3
Not Using Events or Tokens 26827 66.09% 19.53 61.25% -0.589 -0.1403 -0.378
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4631 34.08% 36.14 82.29% 0.439 -0.1282 -0.722
Start of Game Growth 6230 37.77% 35.27 79.79% 0.536 0.0156 1.094
Unlimited Undo 18148 59.02% 29.26 70.55% -0.086 -0.0476 0.75
Using Tokens but Not Events 18221 56.87% 25.29 69.69% 0.121 0.0873 -0.108

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 16743 48.43% 36.89 74.98% 0.295 0.1661 0.645
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4955 61.26% 26.07 62.58% -0.055 0.1112 -0.181
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 77 49.35% 27.22 75.32% 1.168 0.3065 -0.639
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3362 52.1% 30.26 70.2% 0.257 0.1322 0.106
Downpour Drenches the World 995 43.62% 24.08 54.77% 0.122 0.424 -0.434
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 682 43.3% 25.51 55.13% 0.255 -0.2037 0.004
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3718 50.15% 31.83 72.05% 0.696 0.2702 -0.146
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3442 46.0% 31.17 73.01% 0.42 -0.0311 -0.172
Finder of Paths Unseen 549 52.21% 24.36 49.36% -1.374 -0.7276 0.409
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1067 45.09% 32.46 65.04% 0.106 0.7753 0.147
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 941 56.5% 27.51 57.92% -0.059 -0.0158 -0.359
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9700 49.33% 32.81 72.43% 0.432 0.0496 0.39
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 149 39.86% 23.5 53.02% -0.289 -0.6998 -0.539
Lightning's Swift Strike 5833 54.26% 30.12 69.88% -0.022 0.2305 0.043
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 284 60.22% 28.6 57.04% 0.263 -0.2874 0.164
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 441 49.43% 32.72 65.99% -0.843 -1.1024 0.391
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 681 47.47% 33.56 69.02% 0.028 -0.2429 0.42
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2422 51.5% 30.86 63.29% -0.04 -0.3678 -0.322
Many Minds Move as One 1166 54.36% 30.85 69.64% 0.016 -0.1718 0.472
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10397 48.94% 35.89 71.47% 0.207 0.1643 0.735
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3151 53.67% 31.2 69.44% 0.511 0.367 0.148
River Surges in Sunlight 8304 47.39% 36.33 71.21% 0.262 0.3668 0.585
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 784 57.61% 28.32 58.04% -0.028 0.3305 -0.289
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 293 45.1% 28.99 59.39% 0.18 0.0436 -0.173
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8288 51.46% 30.59 67.53% -0.145 -0.3241 0.324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3692 60.8% 27.36 65.11% -0.75 -0.2115 -0.375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 40.0% 25.47 55.88% -0.196 -0.0762 -0.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 86 54.12% 34.22 67.44% 1.29 0.916 1.239
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 101 55.56% 25.29 52.48% 0.438 0.5742 -0.238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 356 59.14% 28.12 63.76% 0.416 0.4627 -1.012
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 274 60.81% 26.51 62.41% -0.337 -0.1585 0.102
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5132 47.34% 34.23 71.77% -0.074 -0.1769 0.544
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 165 42.07% 30.72 61.21% -0.153 -0.3318 -0.078
Shifting Memory of Ages 822 58.85% 24.72 58.39% 0.201 0.5615 0.204
Shroud of Silent Mist 1049 53.85% 25.15 58.25% 0.221 0.5802 0.289
Starlight Seeks its Form 1041 52.5% 30.26 60.52% 0.139 -0.0705 0.299
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5731 58.14% 29.95 61.93% -0.164 -0.8506 -0.052
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3099 47.6% 34.52 73.86% -0.078 0.078 0.82
Thunderspeaker 5762 51.48% 31.87 68.67% -0.411 -0.3856 0.324
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 83 34.94% 18.57 33.73% -0.585 -0.4748 -1.234
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3846 70.48% 26.89 54.78% -0.479 -0.3571 -0.615
Vital Strength of the Earth 5862 50.48% 26.04 66.05% -0.455 0.0706 -0.197
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 246 42.15% 27.57 58.94% -0.115 0.2877 0.065
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 446 58.01% 27.77 58.52% -1.05 -0.3185 -0.174
Volcano Looming High 1975 57.02% 27.75 60.56% -0.102 -0.1275 -0.022
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 368 28.26% 27.31 61.14% 0.164 -0.2265 -1.102

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.9%
Flame's Fury 95.47%
Flash-Fires 82.21%
Threatening Flames 92.22%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 59253 16.17 29.33%
II 94539 30.54 67.37%
III 36303 34.77 87.53%
IV 7497 38.39 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 17237
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30457
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 59931
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7358
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9253
Lose: Invader deck ran out 767
Lose: Adversary condition 9479
Win: Sacrifice victory 1985
Lose: Scenario condition 1439
Win: Scenario condition 3338
Lose: Blight pool ran out 55181
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1167

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.789 Win Model: -0.183

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.274 Win Model: 0.289
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 120098 71.12% 23.45 57.09%
2 44956 63.14% 28.51 63.89%
3 16623 53.54% 31.55 68.8%
4 14446 41.73% 36.33 73.97%
5 257 49.8% 25.96 66.15%
6 1212 28.8% 26.21 60.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-16 05:27:44 (Pacific Time)