Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 55 47.27% 19.42 63.64% 0.603 0.4172 -0.007
Blitz 0 1397 68.19% 18.27 48.46% -0.397 -0.2659 -1.438
Dahan Insurrection 4 3144 31.37% 52.32 75.22% 0.243 -0.012 1.305
Despicable Theft 2 201 64.18% 27.64 58.71% 0.637 1.1782 0.117
Elemental Invocation 1 299 66.22% 23.55 52.84% -0.192 0.6642 -1.02
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7274 32.59% 46.22 76.42% 1.487 0.716 1.582
Powers Long Forgotten 1 702 65.33% 29.95 56.84% -0.213 0.7218 -0.361
Rituals of Terror 3 487 71.16% 28.72 44.56% -1.507 -1.411 -0.207
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 458 87.03% 25.19 37.55% -0.604 0.5924 -0.43
Second Wave 0 5334 62.28% 23.23 59.79% -0.395 -0.3089 0.164
The Great River 3 422 75.83% 26.95 53.32% -0.449 0.9129 -0.33
Varied Terrains 2 108 68.52% 22.95 47.22% -0.91 -0.1215 -0.772
Ward the Shores 2 532 75.92% 23.71 30.45% -0.926 0.1062 -1.105

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 111553 71.08% 23.44 58.11% 0.836 1.027 0.185
1 Thematic 5627 75.63% 26.97 44.7% 0.035 0.6798 -0.59
2 Archipelago 72 55.56% 31.39 76.39% 0.404 0.8357 1.652
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30048 63.16% 28.68 64.89% 0.836 0.8325 0.52
2 Coastline 3147 62.93% 27.71 68.61% 0.357 0.413 0.664
2 Fragment 793 67.16% 23.43 55.99% 1.051 0.7846 0.37
2 Heart 416 69.85% 23.7 57.21% -0.116 -0.1545 0.36
2 Opposite Shores 6017 62.46% 28.25 64.15% 0.579 0.5936 -0.293
2 Thematic 2627 63.58% 32.28 54.28% -0.182 0.0148 -0.345
2 Top to Top 781 62.84% 27.75 63.12% 0.546 0.4483 0.647
3 Archipelago 28 42.86% 32.61 85.71% 0.75 0.3031 -0.018
3 Coastline 140 63.57% 31.37 66.43% 0.525 -0.4988 -0.079
3 Other 458 57.5% 27.06 65.28% 0.324 -0.0687 0.023
3 Round (Default) 14888 54.04% 31.73 69.29% 0.625 0.2891 0.388
3 Sunrise 73 55.56% 31.71 72.6% 0.44 0.6823 0.044
3 Thematic 758 53.04% 34.9 58.05% 0.158 -0.1257 -0.423
4 Archipelago 43 42.5% 27.63 58.14% -0.865 -1.022 0.863
4 Coastline 60 43.33% 25.73 73.33% -0.153 -1.0912 0.0
4 Leaf 77 55.26% 29.91 70.13% 0.894 0.7457 -0.686
4 Other 460 43.61% 38.2 79.13% 0.712 -0.6179 0.666
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 0.3516 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.1011 -0.357
4 Thematic 3311 35.67% 50.66 72.55% -0.449 -0.5281 -0.706
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10173 43.76% 32.02 74.63% 0.096 -0.0611 0.01
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 31.42 75.0% 0.0 0.6745 -0.213
5 Coastline 11 45.45% 27.0 90.91% 0.245 -0.6672 0.286
5 Other 292 53.5% 29.97 73.63% -0.081 -1.1559 0.552
5 Thematic 40 45.0% 38.02 75.0% -0.034 -0.0403 -0.298
6 Archipelago 23 13.04% 29.48 56.52% 0.249 -1.0505 -0.777
6 Coastline 11 45.45% 21.73 54.55% -0.454 -1.2022 -0.216
6 Other 102 33.0% 24.57 66.67% -1.245 -1.4479 -0.789
6 Star 82 41.46% 31.77 70.73% 0.327 0.4261 0.268
6 Thematic 379 29.22% 28.97 52.24% -2.206 -1.557 -1.458
6 Two Centers (Default) 525 27.64% 24.27 65.33% -0.787 -1.1215 -0.719
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0605 0.066
7 Other 17 18.75% 17.88 35.29% -1.392 -0.9963 0.078

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10007 26.34 48.74% 0.074 0.2035 0.155
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7629 28.61 52.97% 0.686 0.5673 0.398
All Things Weaken 4358 25.51 45.8% 0.109 0.4166 0.017
Attenuated Essence 364 22.37 39.84% -0.007 0.0247 -0.117
Back Against the Wall 7280 26.91 48.74% 0.18 0.2102 0.107
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 354 19.36 36.44% 0.068 0.2539 -0.767
Burn Brightest Before the End 257 23.87 40.47% 0.151 0.2214 -0.165
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9221 21.7 41.11% -0.458 -0.0823 -0.214
Downward Spiral 19755 21.91 53.61% 0.296 0.4621 0.047
Erosion of Will 9796 24.98 45.93% 0.09 0.3049 -0.028
Intensifying Exploitation 394 20.07 36.29% -0.12 0.1219 -0.536
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1366 32.49 83.02% 1.311 0.7294 0.548
Memory Fades to Dust 19632 21.4 49.79% 0.032 0.3246 -0.098
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4277 25.08 48.45% 0.012 0.173 -0.057
Promising Farmlands 9485 22.69 42.73% -0.087 0.2091 -0.326
Shattered Fragments of Power 269 24.72 37.92% 0.082 0.1698 -0.18
Slow Dissolution of Will 349 20.58 33.52% 0.114 0.5069 -0.82
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 758 33.28 86.41% 1.419 0.7077 1.029
The Border of Life and Death 87 22.2 63.22% 0.973 0.4932 -0.512
Thriving Communities 4005 22.57 41.02% -0.292 0.0073 -0.376
Thriving Crops 111 22.16 53.15% 0.441 0.3394 -0.315
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.933 0.036
Unnatural Proliferation 4526 23.3 36.81% -0.25 -0.0805 -0.174
Untended Land Crumbles 4159 24.01 44.58% 0.196 0.4539 -0.15

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 48267 62.95% 26.18 62.18% -0.929 0.2136 -0.293
B 58460 61.08% 27.47 65.24% -0.655 0.4003 -0.087
C 51069 62.57% 27.09 64.01% -0.823 0.0654 -0.013
D 50882 59.08% 27.91 67.41% -0.416 0.6382 0.093
E 15936 62.12% 27.17 59.39% -0.652 0.2523 -0.212
F 23346 59.11% 29.22 65.62% -0.442 0.5624 0.261
G 23013 60.83% 28.85 65.21% -0.471 0.4967 0.153
H 20006 62.57% 27.63 62.65% -0.785 0.2076 -0.122
East 9246 53.76% 38.35 59.73% -0.261 0.727 0.497
Northeast 6218 50.41% 40.49 61.37% -0.409 0.5404 0.238
Northwest 5626 49.14% 40.79 62.0% -0.545 0.4962 0.024
Southeast 1697 47.87% 33.83 59.28% -0.188 0.7297 0.295
Southwest 1568 47.95% 32.07 57.91% -0.633 0.8236 0.163
West 8926 55.06% 37.17 57.09% -0.64 0.4669 -0.305

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6119 0.0% 14.3 54.0% -0.617 0.0468 -0.214
Not Using Events or Tokens 25978 66.44% 19.76 61.86% -0.607 -0.1126 -0.369
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4587 34.2% 36.13 82.45% 0.291 -0.332 -0.777
Start of Game Growth 6135 38.03% 35.33 79.98% 0.241 -0.1714 1.054
Unlimited Undo 17887 59.15% 29.36 70.77% 0.319 0.2239 0.741
Using Tokens but Not Events 17897 56.85% 25.41 69.79% -0.064 0.0114 -0.119

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 16472 48.57% 37.12 75.39% 0.271 0.2351 0.635
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4877 61.58% 26.2 62.78% -0.182 -0.0239 -0.22
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 62 45.16% 25.08 72.58% 0.899 -0.1135 -0.545
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3310 52.23% 30.35 70.36% 0.224 0.0114 0.06
Downpour Drenches the World 907 43.95% 24.25 54.91% -0.269 -0.0223 -0.532
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 627 43.43% 25.41 54.7% -0.229 -0.7922 0.085
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3643 50.45% 32.01 72.17% 0.164 -0.3153 -0.115
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3367 45.98% 31.27 73.27% 0.32 -0.0865 -0.191
Finder of Paths Unseen 519 52.73% 25.23 51.25% -0.054 0.7084 0.467
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1028 45.54% 32.81 65.66% -0.503 0.1594 0.171
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 890 57.95% 27.85 57.87% 0.052 0.0494 -0.324
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9548 49.45% 32.92 72.55% 0.614 0.1872 0.377
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 111 41.44% 22.1 52.25% 0.456 -0.0365 -0.578
Lightning's Swift Strike 5754 54.5% 30.26 70.07% 0.216 0.4292 0.016
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 248 58.44% 28.85 58.47% -0.04 -0.656 0.336
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 401 52.63% 33.2 66.58% -0.573 -0.8591 0.378
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 605 49.5% 33.62 69.59% -0.005 -0.107 0.326
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2258 53.28% 30.94 63.73% 0.157 -0.0891 -0.405
Many Minds Move as One 1127 55.04% 31.28 70.36% -0.184 -0.3454 0.505
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10236 48.96% 36.1 71.73% 0.271 0.3047 0.72
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3071 53.94% 31.32 69.59% 0.035 -0.1319 0.155
River Surges in Sunlight 8176 47.61% 36.54 71.38% -0.003 0.0248 0.568
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 765 57.73% 28.51 57.91% -0.235 0.1037 -0.26
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 263 44.92% 29.02 59.32% -0.192 -0.2237 -0.191
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8157 51.49% 30.78 67.84% -0.132 -0.2418 0.321
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3630 60.83% 27.57 65.62% -0.429 0.1467 -0.375
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 40.0% 25.47 55.88% 0.568 0.5913 -0.341
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 63 58.73% 32.62 61.9% 0.657 0.2048 1.586
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 54.74% 25.62 52.58% -0.303 -0.0675 -0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 345 59.88% 28.28 63.77% 0.512 0.4249 -1.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 260 60.62% 27.05 64.62% 0.01 0.2058 0.217
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5034 47.51% 34.5 72.19% -0.182 -0.2032 0.549
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 134 41.35% 31.14 63.43% 0.894 0.5619 -0.042
Shifting Memory of Ages 759 60.11% 25.46 59.42% 0.254 0.5353 0.3
Shroud of Silent Mist 981 54.12% 25.46 58.0% -0.223 0.0497 0.301
Starlight Seeks its Form 991 52.53% 30.51 60.65% 0.218 -0.0021 0.277
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5591 58.16% 30.23 62.44% -0.176 -0.6231 -0.06
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3046 47.43% 34.78 74.33% -0.003 0.1185 0.811
Thunderspeaker 5640 51.7% 32.17 69.26% 0.004 0.0224 0.377
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 78 34.62% 18.72 34.62% -0.739 -0.5343 -1.436
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3720 70.24% 27.11 55.51% -0.242 -0.0674 -0.618
Vital Strength of the Earth 5792 50.68% 26.18 66.38% -0.602 -0.0301 -0.201
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 227 42.6% 28.09 60.79% -0.279 0.1024 0.043
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 429 58.69% 28.25 59.67% -0.722 0.0358 -0.166
Volcano Looming High 1886 57.27% 28.2 61.29% -0.069 -0.0956 -0.008
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 248 29.84% 24.84 58.47% 0.111 -0.4228 -1.552

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.86%
Flame's Fury 95.43%
Flash-Fires 82.19%
Threatening Flames 92.2%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 57348 16.77 29.81%
II 92720 30.59 67.46%
III 35700 34.74 87.54%
IV 7353 38.3 99.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16957
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 29951
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 58835
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7215
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7928
Lose: Invader deck ran out 756
Lose: Adversary condition 9331
Win: Sacrifice victory 1946
Lose: Scenario condition 1411
Win: Scenario condition 3300
Lose: Blight pool ran out 54344
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1147

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.566 Win Model: -0.176

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.184 Win Model: 0.307
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 117417 71.29% 23.6 57.41%
2 44001 63.29% 28.64 64.11%
3 16172 53.79% 31.83 69.32%
4 14160 41.86% 36.58 74.35%
5 239 49.79% 26.33 67.78%
6 1132 29.13% 26.46 60.95%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)