Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 87 40.23% 18.82 57.47% 0.406 -0.2022 -0.063
Blitz 0 1590 65.07% 17.51 46.35% -1.096 -0.6707 -1.395
Dahan Insurrection 4 3617 29.39% 49.36 71.14% 0.502 -0.017 1.31
Despicable Theft 2 240 59.58% 25.93 55.0% 0.194 0.7377 -0.125
Elemental Invocation 1 377 63.9% 21.69 48.28% -0.428 0.3116 -1.01
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8015 32.19% 45.22 74.75% 1.345 0.6763 1.67
Powers Long Forgotten 1 762 63.59% 28.72 54.86% -0.529 0.0752 -0.416
Rituals of Terror 3 568 63.94% 25.74 39.96% -0.401 -0.4622 -0.437
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 514 84.34% 23.94 36.58% -0.235 0.5083 -0.504
Second Wave 0 5847 61.64% 23.05 59.12% -0.084 0.0159 0.243
The Great River 3 477 74.0% 26.38 53.04% 0.447 1.6743 -0.238
Varied Terrains 2 177 66.1% 20.04 37.29% -0.504 0.2664 -1.185
Ward the Shores 2 582 73.29% 22.37 28.35% -1.672 -0.8426 -1.089

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 123627 70.4% 22.79 56.66% 0.409 0.8019 0.185
1 Thematic 6070 72.92% 26.22 44.2% 0.116 0.8721 -0.579
2 Archipelago 83 59.04% 29.3 68.67% -0.214 0.3511 1.655
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 33507 62.2% 27.76 63.04% 0.271 0.4447 0.493
2 Coastline 3452 62.25% 27.14 66.74% 0.494 0.3314 0.598
2 Fragment 860 67.04% 23.01 55.47% -0.203 -0.1688 0.615
2 Heart 463 68.4% 24.11 58.53% 0.209 0.0572 0.698
2 Opposite Shores 6756 61.31% 27.5 62.94% 0.767 0.912 -0.185
2 Thematic 2859 62.2% 31.25 53.17% 0.211 1.0333 -0.315
2 Top to Top 880 61.07% 27.08 61.59% 0.327 0.2093 0.645
3 Archipelago 35 42.86% 30.71 82.86% 0.354 -0.0834 0.036
3 Coastline 157 62.42% 31.32 65.61% 0.936 0.4255 0.366
3 Other 514 54.34% 25.26 61.67% 0.737 -0.1804 -0.045
3 Round (Default) 16678 53.48% 30.83 67.56% 0.49 0.4867 0.419
3 Sunrise 83 57.32% 30.16 67.47% 0.758 0.4693 0.088
3 Thematic 927 50.49% 32.18 55.88% 0.196 0.2788 -0.445
4 Archipelago 48 38.64% 26.5 56.25% 0.0 -0.1298 0.889
4 Coastline 70 48.57% 25.81 72.86% -0.443 -0.5441 0.0
4 Leaf 88 55.17% 28.07 68.18% -0.195 0.3165 -0.628
4 Other 501 44.22% 36.5 76.05% 0.532 -0.1033 0.75
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 0.447 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.0 -0.362
4 Thematic 3492 35.0% 48.91 70.33% -0.577 -0.444 -0.637
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11304 42.92% 31.1 72.52% 0.194 0.2307 -0.021
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 33.53 80.0% 0.0 -0.8819 -0.212
5 Coastline 17 58.82% 27.18 88.24% 0.0 -1.026 0.185
5 Other 376 46.34% 27.63 68.35% -0.421 -0.7124 0.114
5 Thematic 54 40.74% 33.22 68.52% -0.788 -0.8666 -0.157
6 Archipelago 26 11.54% 27.31 53.85% 0.043 -1.0115 -0.736
6 Coastline 14 35.71% 17.07 42.86% 0.0 -0.9396 -0.387
6 Other 146 32.62% 23.23 61.64% 0.371 0.2859 -1.015
6 Star 97 38.14% 29.23 67.01% 0.138 0.8668 -0.396
6 Thematic 557 25.27% 26.32 46.5% -0.629 -0.3055 -1.44
6 Two Centers (Default) 708 26.99% 22.7 60.73% -0.892 -0.433 -0.835
7 Archipelago 5 0.0% 10.6 0.0% -0.532 -0.8653 -0.043
7 Other 20 15.79% 17.15 35.0% -0.353 -1.0497 0.089

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10595 26.12 48.42% 0.053 0.1639 0.383
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8055 28.49 52.81% 0.294 0.1829 0.621
All Things Weaken 4887 25.06 45.06% -0.042 0.1572 0.213
Attenuated Essence 714 22.17 39.92% -0.045 0.0245 -0.19
Back Against the Wall 7700 26.77 48.75% 0.131 0.1342 0.323
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 733 20.37 37.38% -0.445 -0.25 -0.41
Burn Brightest Before the End 502 22.86 39.64% -0.444 -0.3358 -0.03
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9795 21.46 40.64% -0.601 -0.2998 -0.004
Downward Spiral 21508 21.51 53.07% 0.187 0.3115 0.273
Erosion of Will 10448 24.72 45.57% -0.2 -0.0205 0.166
Intensifying Exploitation 752 20.09 37.63% 0.284 0.4889 -0.378
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1538 31.76 81.79% 0.849 0.4047 0.824
Memory Fades to Dust 21374 21.02 49.27% -0.064 0.1862 0.177
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4804 24.65 47.81% 0.247 0.342 0.108
Promising Farmlands 10050 22.4 42.24% -0.618 -0.2451 -0.118
Shattered Fragments of Power 505 24.99 41.98% 0.208 0.3165 0.184
Slow Dissolution of Will 669 19.9 32.14% -0.16 0.3208 -0.725
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 858 32.77 85.2% 1.155 0.5885 1.211
The Border of Life and Death 156 22.19 63.46% 0.513 0.0856 0.297
Thriving Communities 4516 22.0 40.23% -0.288 -0.0365 -0.182
Thriving Crops 234 22.39 51.71% 0.614 0.4133 0.008
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.1164 0.263
Unnatural Proliferation 5033 22.95 36.68% -0.215 -0.0783 0.018
Untended Land Crumbles 4649 23.41 43.73% -0.132 0.1274 0.009

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 53728 62.16% 25.36 60.4% -0.256 0.6602 -0.355
B 64244 60.36% 26.73 63.65% -0.022 0.817 -0.116
C 56387 61.58% 26.32 62.37% -0.173 0.5118 -0.056
D 56035 58.36% 27.16 65.71% 0.08 0.9184 0.014
E 18827 60.77% 26.2 57.56% 0.04 0.6921 -0.219
F 26750 57.94% 28.21 63.72% 0.245 1.0032 0.172
G 26171 59.46% 27.93 63.68% 0.363 1.1252 0.078
H 22852 61.43% 26.68 60.69% -0.103 0.626 -0.16
East 10234 51.65% 36.5 57.77% -0.023 0.7949 0.486
Northeast 6862 48.44% 38.51 59.14% -0.108 0.5178 0.226
Northwest 6207 47.18% 38.75 59.58% -1.075 -0.2535 -0.058
Southeast 2119 43.44% 30.84 55.21% 0.538 1.1919 0.281
Southwest 1905 44.99% 29.55 53.86% -0.323 1.0293 0.238
West 9808 53.15% 35.44 55.18% -0.48 0.2775 -0.353

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6997 0.0% 13.88 52.45% -0.514 0.2029 -0.108
Not Using Events or Tokens 30070 65.16% 18.79 58.97% -0.552 -0.061 -0.488
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4902 34.3% 35.47 80.78% 0.214 -0.4558 -0.749
Start of Game Growth 6669 37.8% 34.48 78.24% 0.287 -0.2057 0.97
Unlimited Undo 19583 58.55% 28.49 68.77% 0.1 0.0695 0.761
Using Tokens but Not Events 19904 56.21% 24.74 68.49% 0.183 0.0311 -0.145

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 17681 47.79% 36.08 73.72% 0.398 0.3103 0.649
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 291 50.86% 25.34 45.02% 0.227 -0.2498 0.24
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5258 60.17% 25.45 61.09% -0.335 -0.1957 -0.193
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 166 50.0% 23.09 60.84% -0.47 -1.1955 -0.896
Dances Up Earthquakes 30 66.67% 20.57 46.67% -0.384 -0.5673 -0.433
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3628 51.7% 29.54 68.99% -0.246 -0.4387 0.132
Downpour Drenches the World 1392 41.67% 22.03 51.65% -0.231 0.1004 -0.667
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 943 44.47% 25.62 54.61% 0.054 -0.3675 0.2
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4058 49.35% 31.1 71.12% 0.193 -0.1543 -0.073
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3757 45.6% 30.71 71.87% 0.149 -0.1996 -0.109
Finder of Paths Unseen 684 49.7% 23.09 47.81% -0.247 0.5582 0.565
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1236 43.77% 30.27 61.33% -0.337 0.1285 0.174
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1175 54.7% 26.6 56.6% 0.036 0.0138 -0.242
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10195 48.67% 32.33 71.64% 0.256 -0.2324 0.418
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 323 36.96% 22.43 49.23% -0.199 -0.7617 -0.901
Lightning's Swift Strike 6141 53.83% 29.42 68.49% -0.133 0.0745 0.003
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 394 56.04% 25.89 55.08% 0.22 -0.2589 -0.411
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 475 49.26% 31.76 63.79% -0.813 -1.1361 0.331
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 849 42.98% 32.06 65.25% -0.041 0.0663 0.366
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2828 49.14% 30.2 61.95% 0.295 0.1318 -0.296
Many Minds Move as One 1334 52.94% 29.75 67.77% -0.18 -0.3892 0.5
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11114 48.19% 34.87 69.84% 0.043 0.1877 0.673
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 56 55.36% 25.32 62.5% 0.275 0.4065 0.076
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3501 54.28% 30.21 66.55% 0.004 -0.0481 -0.063
River Surges in Sunlight 8784 46.94% 35.39 70.1% 0.081 0.1138 0.608
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 73 47.95% 20.89 52.05% 1.281 1.506 -0.368
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 900 55.43% 28.18 57.56% -0.101 0.0378 -0.351
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 426 40.53% 27.79 55.4% 0.59 0.5999 -0.222
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8857 50.48% 29.76 66.11% 0.033 -0.0747 0.316
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 33 48.48% 25.79 45.45% 0.068 -0.4438 0.26
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3867 59.91% 26.74 63.82% -0.082 0.4487 -0.391
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 83 42.5% 24.16 53.01% -0.589 -0.7149 -0.38
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 176 46.86% 30.28 63.07% 0.502 0.0488 0.954
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 126 50.81% 23.82 51.59% 0.603 0.693 -0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 408 58.6% 27.35 61.76% 0.09 -0.1087 -1.055
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 316 60.0% 25.5 60.44% 0.094 0.1841 0.245
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5333 46.89% 33.79 71.1% 0.198 0.1119 0.584
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 253 42.0% 31.4 62.85% -0.121 -0.3243 0.496
Shifting Memory of Ages 937 57.19% 23.65 56.03% -0.362 0.0449 0.323
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 158 55.7% 26.36 50.63% 0.226 0.1582 0.002
Shroud of Silent Mist 1252 51.89% 24.02 57.27% 0.459 0.8705 0.306
Starlight Seeks its Form 1281 51.56% 29.02 58.7% -0.247 -0.2882 0.395
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6235 57.15% 29.16 60.72% 0.138 -0.3432 0.022
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3340 47.03% 33.58 72.49% 0.051 0.1044 0.846
Thunderspeaker 6092 50.6% 31.21 67.4% -0.014 -0.0252 0.34
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 135 35.56% 18.63 39.26% -0.21 0.1739 -0.696
Towering Roots of the Jungle 300 47.67% 21.44 44.0% -0.176 0.0256 0.052
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4225 69.33% 26.05 52.95% -0.735 -0.6501 -0.606
Vital Strength of the Earth 6230 49.61% 25.25 64.38% -0.333 0.1289 -0.258
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 358 39.55% 25.53 56.15% 0.413 0.885 -0.172
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 511 55.91% 26.63 57.34% -0.227 0.4435 -0.142
Volcano Looming High 2295 55.55% 26.78 58.78% 0.044 0.1032 -0.045
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 591 32.66% 25.98 56.68% -0.014 -0.2692 -0.885

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 94.0%
Flame's Fury 95.58%
Flash-Fires 82.41%
Threatening Flames 92.35%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 66913 14.28 27.48%
II 100968 30.3 67.1%
III 38755 34.84 87.49%
IV 7992 38.61 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18234
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32533
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 63780
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7843
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14642
Lose: Invader deck ran out 817
Lose: Adversary condition 10009
Win: Sacrifice victory 2087
Lose: Scenario condition 1499
Win: Scenario condition 3511
Lose: Blight pool ran out 58436
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1237

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.802 Win Model: -0.16

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.212 Win Model: 0.169
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 130078 70.48% 22.92 55.99%
2 48908 62.34% 27.81 62.53%
3 18211 53.13% 30.81 67.41%
4 15531 41.17% 35.26 72.18%
5 339 43.88% 24.67 63.72%
6 1561 26.94% 24.52 55.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-20 03:42:24 (Pacific Time)