Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 96 40.63% 18.39 55.21% -0.582 -0.5374 -0.151
Blitz 0 1619 64.56% 17.4 45.95% -0.644 -0.43 -1.411
Dahan Insurrection 4 3687 29.11% 49.05 70.74% 0.593 0.3049 1.321
Despicable Theft 2 245 58.78% 25.83 54.69% -0.18 0.5302 -0.127
Elemental Invocation 1 391 63.92% 21.32 46.8% -1.39 -0.6885 -1.042
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8100 32.23% 45.14 74.63% 1.162 0.5618 1.686
Powers Long Forgotten 1 779 63.74% 28.56 54.43% -0.461 0.3763 -0.419
Rituals of Terror 3 592 62.01% 24.94 38.68% -1.177 -1.1169 -0.49
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 529 83.65% 23.9 37.05% -0.345 0.6423 -0.504
Second Wave 0 5968 61.72% 22.99 58.96% -0.127 0.1228 0.263
The Great River 3 489 73.42% 25.99 52.15% -1.482 -0.4159 -0.272
Varied Terrains 2 187 64.71% 20.68 37.97% 0.073 0.9025 -0.695
Ward the Shores 2 596 72.56% 22.18 28.19% -1.144 0.0392 -1.098

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 126119 70.29% 22.66 56.37% 0.093 0.3662 0.176
1 Thematic 6152 72.63% 26.1 44.13% -0.252 0.3229 -0.58
2 Archipelago 86 58.14% 28.78 67.44% -0.494 0.1829 1.657
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 34295 62.22% 27.54 62.62% 0.183 0.2511 0.465
2 Coastline 3525 62.14% 26.98 66.41% 0.247 0.0285 0.582
2 Fragment 881 67.23% 23.02 55.51% 0.214 -0.0524 0.595
2 Heart 472 68.81% 24.32 59.11% 1.61 1.1394 0.682
2 Opposite Shores 6942 61.01% 27.25 62.5% 0.065 0.0426 -0.207
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.351 1.154 0.0
2 Thematic 2914 62.16% 31.04 53.16% 0.168 0.5413 -0.317
2 Top to Top 908 61.16% 27.09 61.89% 0.973 0.7152 0.606
3 Archipelago 40 50.0% 31.27 80.0% 0.047 -0.8761 0.336
3 Coastline 161 62.73% 31.05 64.6% 0.85 -0.1133 0.362
3 Other 545 52.0% 24.28 59.45% -0.461 -1.2252 -0.003
3 Round (Default) 16989 53.52% 30.7 67.4% 0.518 0.3649 0.383
3 Sunrise 83 57.32% 30.16 67.47% 0.265 0.1875 0.06
3 Thematic 941 50.16% 32.04 55.9% 0.626 0.479 -0.452
4 Archipelago 50 41.3% 26.36 58.0% 0.867 0.3397 0.873
4 Coastline 70 48.57% 25.81 72.86% -0.135 -0.1915 0.0
4 Leaf 89 55.68% 27.75 67.42% -0.285 -0.3762 -0.706
4 Other 506 44.06% 36.19 75.49% 0.189 -0.4958 0.748
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.0 -0.383
4 Thematic 3550 34.58% 48.39 69.66% -0.01 -0.1871 -0.698
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11535 42.68% 30.84 72.02% 0.006 -0.3229 -0.096
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 33.53 80.0% 0.0 1.2714 -0.227
5 Coastline 17 58.82% 27.18 88.24% 0.0 -0.5305 0.15
5 Other 393 45.6% 27.5 67.18% -0.1 -0.8494 -0.011
5 Thematic 56 42.86% 33.09 67.86% -0.689 -1.0754 -0.165
6 Archipelago 26 11.54% 27.31 53.85% 0.0 -0.9706 -0.767
6 Coastline 17 29.41% 16.35 41.18% -0.123 -0.7034 -0.405
6 Other 160 34.84% 23.59 61.25% 0.288 -0.1291 -0.735
6 Star 110 39.09% 27.57 61.82% -0.826 -0.4906 -0.744
6 Thematic 588 25.13% 25.84 45.58% -1.435 -1.4831 -1.473
6 Two Centers (Default) 742 27.37% 22.85 60.51% -0.097 0.1172 -0.891
7 Archipelago 6 0.0% 8.83 0.0% -0.568 -0.6884 -0.121
7 Other 23 13.64% 14.91 30.43% -1.062 -2.1429 0.064

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10740 26.08 48.41% 0.106 0.1774 0.412
Aid From Lesser Spirits 8163 28.46 52.68% 0.222 0.1508 0.648
All Things Weaken 4989 24.92 44.9% -0.183 0.0763 0.24
Attenuated Essence 776 22.2 40.21% 0.166 0.1304 -0.105
Back Against the Wall 7812 26.7 48.62% -0.379 -0.3254 0.349
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 805 20.14 37.27% -0.356 -0.2109 -0.316
Burn Brightest Before the End 546 22.76 40.66% -0.181 -0.1646 0.016
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9932 21.37 40.47% -0.623 -0.4348 0.011
Downward Spiral 21883 21.45 52.95% 0.447 0.5208 0.314
Erosion of Will 10594 24.62 45.44% -0.342 -0.1875 0.185
Intensifying Exploitation 822 19.84 37.83% -0.013 0.1225 -0.288
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1577 31.54 81.48% 0.916 0.3016 0.862
Memory Fades to Dust 21718 20.97 49.19% 0.196 0.399 0.205
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4923 24.52 47.74% -0.043 0.1323 0.137
Promising Farmlands 10211 22.35 42.27% -0.024 0.174 -0.096
Shattered Fragments of Power 558 25.36 43.19% 0.49 0.4923 0.159
Slow Dissolution of Will 742 19.89 32.75% -0.037 0.2616 -0.719
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 880 32.48 84.89% 1.008 0.3116 1.171
The Border of Life and Death 174 22.51 63.22% 0.343 -0.1553 0.26
Thriving Communities 4627 21.87 40.11% -0.414 -0.2577 -0.13
Thriving Crops 261 22.05 53.26% 0.729 0.4174 0.0
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.5194 0.289
Unnatural Proliferation 5157 22.86 36.53% -0.497 -0.3882 0.057
Untended Land Crumbles 4745 23.32 43.65% -0.175 0.0065 0.035

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 54857 61.99% 25.17 60.0% -0.569 0.4058 -0.337
B 65372 60.31% 26.59 63.4% -0.06 0.8292 -0.101
C 57577 61.46% 26.14 61.96% -0.325 0.3669 -0.047
D 57079 58.28% 27.03 65.43% 0.052 0.9472 0.018
E 19519 60.59% 25.91 57.03% -0.418 0.3118 -0.232
F 27455 57.83% 28.0 63.35% -0.128 0.7034 0.169
G 26854 59.39% 27.74 63.32% -0.062 0.717 0.06
H 23493 61.28% 26.46 60.29% -0.353 0.4302 -0.167
East 10424 51.35% 36.17 57.43% 0.187 0.9965 0.485
Northeast 7000 48.02% 38.11 58.66% -0.534 0.2637 0.205
Northwest 6334 46.71% 38.34 59.11% -0.48 0.2534 -0.073
Southeast 2177 43.38% 30.52 54.85% 0.141 1.034 0.265
Southwest 1968 44.61% 29.2 53.35% -0.778 0.4802 0.184
West 9992 52.77% 35.12 54.88% -0.126 0.8714 -0.342

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7181 0.0% 13.77 51.98% -0.5 0.1681 -0.048
Not Using Events or Tokens 30905 65.01% 18.61 58.35% -0.856 -0.4349 -0.535
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4955 34.17% 35.34 80.52% 0.282 -0.487 -0.691
Start of Game Growth 6747 37.75% 34.36 77.96% 0.307 -0.1313 0.912
Unlimited Undo 19906 58.49% 28.34 68.41% 0.04 -0.0261 0.764
Using Tokens but Not Events 20242 55.99% 24.63 68.34% 0.051 0.0076 -0.163

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 18008 47.75% 35.78 73.22% 0.163 0.0693 0.621
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 342 49.71% 26.23 47.95% 0.998 0.4901 0.308
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5384 59.9% 25.12 60.31% -0.555 -0.3578 -0.223
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 179 50.84% 23.22 59.78% -0.751 -1.6239 -0.765
Dances Up Earthquakes 85 49.41% 24.92 56.47% 0.349 0.2106 0.697
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3695 51.71% 29.39 68.71% 0.077 -0.1454 0.134
Downpour Drenches the World 1487 41.76% 21.74 51.65% -0.113 0.1926 -0.694
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1002 44.14% 25.26 54.19% 0.079 -0.4754 0.245
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4119 49.47% 31.03 70.89% 0.284 -0.1431 -0.083
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3818 45.51% 30.6 71.61% 0.203 -0.2105 -0.126
Finder of Paths Unseen 720 49.08% 22.75 47.64% -0.326 0.3289 0.549
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1276 43.52% 29.87 60.74% -0.42 0.1256 0.199
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1225 54.92% 26.62 56.57% 0.434 0.3496 -0.228
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 10323 48.48% 32.2 71.37% 0.407 -0.0363 0.402
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 346 36.81% 22.53 49.42% -0.239 -0.5327 -1.02
Lightning's Swift Strike 6245 53.67% 29.21 68.1% -0.034 0.228 -0.053
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 405 56.75% 25.9 54.81% 0.083 -0.2447 -0.418
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 487 49.28% 31.34 63.24% -0.778 -1.1538 0.28
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 880 43.74% 31.79 65.34% 1.156 1.2562 0.381
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2923 49.19% 30.03 61.75% 0.199 0.0001 -0.329
Many Minds Move as One 1389 53.15% 29.56 67.31% 0.096 -0.1181 0.476
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 11258 48.19% 34.65 69.47% 0.051 0.1992 0.664
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 133 47.37% 24.33 63.16% 0.329 0.3735 0.173
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3572 54.03% 29.98 66.24% -0.078 -0.1804 -0.102
River Surges in Sunlight 8885 46.78% 35.21 69.8% -0.095 -0.0978 0.581
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 81 46.91% 19.62 49.38% -0.902 -0.6136 -0.409
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 937 55.16% 28.02 57.42% -0.184 0.0188 -0.384
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 454 40.0% 27.04 53.74% -0.932 -1.146 -0.382
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9014 50.21% 29.56 65.65% -0.058 -0.216 0.303
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 80 48.75% 26.41 42.5% 0.107 -0.2763 0.354
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3952 59.65% 26.42 63.34% 0.037 0.6132 -0.402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 87 42.86% 23.47 52.87% -0.05 -0.1094 -0.413
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 196 46.67% 29.72 62.76% 0.239 -0.1891 0.931
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 135 48.12% 24.01 53.33% 0.571 0.5771 -0.085
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 416 58.19% 27.17 61.06% -0.955 -1.0145 -1.084
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 320 59.87% 25.48 60.62% 0.088 0.2942 0.15
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5381 46.86% 33.71 71.1% 0.612 0.6448 0.562
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 278 43.27% 31.51 64.03% 1.109 0.9632 0.56
Shifting Memory of Ages 968 57.32% 23.67 55.99% 0.184 0.5086 0.281
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 200 56.0% 25.17 49.5% -0.001 0.0472 -0.312
Shroud of Silent Mist 1309 51.31% 23.61 56.15% -0.267 0.1014 0.297
Starlight Seeks its Form 1342 51.31% 28.56 57.82% -0.191 -0.2574 0.373
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6378 57.0% 28.95 60.41% 0.341 -0.1422 -0.012
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3383 47.06% 33.46 72.33% 0.211 0.3712 0.831
Thunderspeaker 6186 50.3% 31.01 66.99% -0.159 -0.1287 0.319
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 150 37.33% 18.97 39.33% -0.198 -0.0072 -0.683
Towering Roots of the Jungle 347 47.55% 21.52 43.8% -0.029 0.1164 0.05
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4367 69.02% 25.78 52.44% -0.578 -0.5583 -0.637
Vital Strength of the Earth 6317 49.37% 25.11 64.05% -0.2 0.3814 -0.266
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 390 39.64% 24.54 54.62% 0.124 0.607 -0.321
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 525 55.56% 26.25 56.57% -0.125 0.494 -0.169
Volcano Looming High 2399 55.57% 26.41 58.48% -0.131 -0.0957 -0.098
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 632 32.75% 25.42 56.17% -0.12 -0.4378 -0.837

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 94.0%
Flame's Fury 95.58%
Flash-Fires 82.46%
Threatening Flames 92.4%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 68890 13.76 27.01%
II 102651 30.19 66.98%
III 39471 34.82 87.48%
IV 8137 38.63 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 18453
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33138
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 64740
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7985
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16091
Lose: Invader deck ran out 823
Lose: Adversary condition 10130
Win: Sacrifice victory 2125
Lose: Scenario condition 1513
Win: Scenario condition 3549
Lose: Blight pool ran out 59344
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1258

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.78 Win Model: -0.162

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.186 Win Model: 0.069
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 132671 70.35% 22.8 55.71%
2 50066 62.32% 27.61 62.19%
3 18568 53.09% 30.65 67.18%
4 15827 40.91% 34.94 71.65%
5 358 43.5% 24.7 62.57%
6 1659 27.34% 24.3 54.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)