Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 45.07% 19.69 57.75% 0.062 -0.1582 -0.103
Blitz 0 1482 67.56% 18.11 47.91% -0.489 -0.2021 -1.236
Dahan Insurrection 4 3389 30.1% 50.61 72.74% 0.196 0.0813 1.313
Despicable Theft 2 225 60.44% 26.23 55.56% -1.201 -0.4624 -0.097
Elemental Invocation 1 335 64.46% 22.1 49.85% -1.215 -0.4588 -1.093
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7700 31.95% 45.53 75.3% 0.699 0.1177 1.626
Powers Long Forgotten 1 730 64.05% 29.29 55.89% -0.389 0.4646 -0.351
Rituals of Terror 3 523 67.37% 27.07 41.87% -1.529 -1.6992 -0.275
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 485 85.48% 24.42 36.49% -1.03 -0.1196 -0.47
Second Wave 0 5593 62.01% 23.1 59.4% -0.242 -0.1631 0.209
The Great River 3 440 75.45% 26.55 53.18% 0.364 1.7278 -0.345
Varied Terrains 2 153 66.67% 20.68 39.87% -1.293 -0.4133 -1.002
Ward the Shores 2 551 75.09% 23.27 29.76% -0.809 0.1728 -1.092

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 117319 70.8% 23.12 57.4% 0.159 0.503 0.322
1 Thematic 5898 73.86% 26.49 44.35% -0.58 -0.0525 -0.436
2 Archipelago 81 59.26% 30.02 70.37% -0.291 0.2083 1.702
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 31586 62.73% 28.27 64.14% 0.224 0.5085 0.61
2 Coastline 3325 62.59% 27.34 67.46% 0.318 0.3473 0.693
2 Fragment 829 67.48% 23.21 55.49% 0.364 0.1264 0.599
2 Heart 439 69.36% 24.19 58.54% 1.367 1.2189 0.772
2 Opposite Shores 6322 62.14% 28.02 63.78% 0.661 0.7204 -0.119
2 Thematic 2758 62.99% 31.61 53.59% -0.559 -0.1894 -0.243
2 Top to Top 824 62.11% 27.25 61.89% 0.342 0.4652 0.632
3 Archipelago 31 41.94% 31.26 83.87% 0.375 -0.4221 0.027
3 Coastline 146 62.33% 30.64 65.07% -0.293 -0.8422 -0.033
3 Other 504 54.02% 25.28 61.71% -0.364 -0.9017 0.021
3 Round (Default) 15809 53.47% 31.23 68.29% 0.661 0.5687 0.428
3 Sunrise 79 56.41% 30.03 67.09% -0.714 -0.5633 0.09
3 Thematic 867 51.1% 32.91 56.75% -0.094 -0.6126 -0.363
4 Archipelago 45 40.48% 26.8 55.56% -0.34 0.0926 0.864
4 Coastline 68 47.06% 26.25 75.0% 0.766 0.0057 0.0
4 Leaf 81 56.25% 29.46 69.14% 0.611 0.3996 -0.674
4 Other 484 43.82% 36.99 76.65% 0.538 0.5454 0.795
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 -0.0705 -0.356
4 Thematic 3409 35.46% 49.74 71.6% -0.509 -0.3763 -0.697
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10742 43.23% 31.6 73.55% 0.244 0.351 -0.074
5 Archipelago 15 66.67% 33.53 80.0% 0.0 0.168 -0.231
5 Coastline 12 41.67% 24.75 83.33% 0.0 -0.5066 0.252
5 Other 335 48.02% 28.7 70.45% 0.272 -0.2427 0.048
5 Thematic 47 42.55% 36.02 72.34% 0.26 -0.722 -0.231
6 Archipelago 25 12.0% 27.12 52.0% -1.122 -1.8523 -0.79
6 Coastline 12 41.67% 19.92 50.0% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.212
6 Other 120 34.75% 23.14 60.83% -0.576 0.0586 -1.125
6 Star 84 42.86% 31.63 70.24% -0.561 -0.3159 -0.135
6 Thematic 468 26.9% 26.74 48.08% -1.917 -1.5935 -1.648
6 Two Centers (Default) 623 27.46% 23.36 62.6% -0.319 -0.4228 -0.821
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.5915 0.063
7 Other 18 17.65% 19.06 38.89% 0.649 -0.7875 0.004

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 10293 26.25 48.55% 0.163 0.267 0.285
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7838 28.51 52.83% 0.137 -0.0074 0.5
All Things Weaken 4618 25.26 45.5% -0.019 0.347 0.121
Attenuated Essence 530 22.08 39.43% 0.273 0.2719 -0.136
Back Against the Wall 7486 26.82 48.7% 0.089 0.1539 0.231
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 527 19.9 36.81% -0.571 -0.3358 -0.585
Burn Brightest Before the End 375 23.3 41.33% -0.102 0.0585 0.018
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9521 21.59 40.84% -0.44 -0.0643 -0.09
Downward Spiral 20637 21.71 53.42% 0.354 0.4257 0.17
Erosion of Will 10108 24.83 45.74% -0.196 0.0604 0.073
Intensifying Exploitation 563 19.82 37.12% -0.26 0.0138 -0.375
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1454 32.17 82.67% 1.335 0.8486 0.759
Memory Fades to Dust 20469 21.22 49.64% 0.093 0.2761 0.054
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4530 24.74 47.86% -0.198 0.0144 0.028
Promising Farmlands 9782 22.58 42.46% -0.138 0.1854 -0.214
Shattered Fragments of Power 370 24.76 41.62% 0.247 0.4171 0.176
Slow Dissolution of Will 483 20.36 33.95% -0.075 0.3092 -0.692
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 799 33.19 86.23% 1.386 0.7095 1.073
The Border of Life and Death 118 20.99 60.17% 0.299 -0.217 -0.547
Thriving Communities 4238 22.27 40.8% -0.435 -0.1108 -0.291
Thriving Crops 162 22.57 50.0% -0.038 -0.037 -0.045
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 0.0 0.159
Unnatural Proliferation 4782 23.03 36.55% -0.658 -0.471 -0.071
Untended Land Crumbles 4418 23.68 44.25% -0.188 0.1514 -0.073

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 50909 62.52% 25.78 61.32% -0.986 -0.1228 -0.291
B 61190 60.71% 27.12 64.5% -0.694 0.1272 -0.084
C 53656 62.05% 26.72 63.22% -0.858 -0.1604 -0.029
D 53404 58.75% 27.55 66.55% -0.562 0.2941 0.063
E 17357 61.32% 26.66 58.39% -0.902 -0.2138 -0.195
F 24976 58.42% 28.69 64.57% -0.74 0.078 0.21
G 24559 60.01% 28.35 64.29% -0.669 0.2113 0.119
H 21325 61.82% 27.18 61.77% -0.989 -0.2087 -0.132
East 9834 52.56% 37.14 58.53% -0.353 0.4401 0.476
Northeast 6574 49.37% 39.29 60.19% -0.427 0.4541 0.218
Northwest 5926 48.16% 39.69 60.87% -0.235 0.636 0.026
Southeast 1959 44.64% 31.57 56.41% -1.491 -0.6325 0.27
Southwest 1756 46.42% 30.3 55.41% -0.39 0.8194 0.273
West 9410 54.04% 36.16 56.15% -0.504 0.5567 -0.326

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6490 0.0% 14.13 53.37% -1.116 -0.4007 -0.243
Not Using Events or Tokens 28017 65.82% 19.32 60.65% -0.187 0.287 -0.444
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4707 33.91% 35.98 81.96% 0.685 0.1173 -0.742
Start of Game Growth 6361 37.51% 35.03 79.41% 0.548 -0.1164 1.132
Unlimited Undo 18615 58.76% 28.95 69.85% -0.305 -0.2817 0.765
Using Tokens but Not Events 18831 56.64% 25.08 69.17% 0.183 0.2307 -0.114

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 17115 48.19% 36.57 74.37% 0.326 0.1293 0.653
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 141 52.48% 23.59 41.84% 0.679 -0.0356 0.19
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5067 60.68% 25.8 62.01% -0.21 0.0588 -0.168
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 110 49.09% 23.88 67.27% 0.004 -0.5631 -1.054
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 3461 51.97% 29.96 69.78% 0.113 -0.0183 0.149
Downpour Drenches the World 1155 43.11% 23.05 52.38% -0.078 0.1919 -0.58
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 761 43.54% 25.58 55.72% 0.972 0.5405 0.064
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3837 49.59% 31.56 71.83% 0.604 0.1806 -0.117
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 3570 45.73% 30.88 72.3% 0.134 -0.311 -0.154
Finder of Paths Unseen 593 51.88% 23.61 48.06% -0.924 -0.2667 0.452
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1130 44.21% 31.41 63.36% -0.51 0.2982 0.2
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1010 55.32% 26.91 56.63% -0.376 -0.4931 -0.305
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9855 49.09% 32.64 72.2% 0.464 0.0713 0.412
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 218 38.25% 20.59 46.79% -0.087 -0.4913 -0.586
Lightning's Swift Strike 5961 53.99% 29.83 69.25% -0.321 -0.0536 0.054
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 319 57.32% 27.12 55.49% -0.072 -0.424 -0.163
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 457 49.45% 32.1 64.33% -1.178 -1.6194 0.365
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 776 43.55% 32.9 66.88% 0.303 0.2596 0.414
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2603 49.71% 30.49 62.47% -0.088 -0.339 -0.28
Many Minds Move as One 1227 53.52% 30.23 68.62% 0.108 -0.1228 0.517
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10662 48.49% 35.53 70.91% 0.232 0.1282 0.727
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3243 53.46% 30.85 69.01% 0.379 0.2234 0.131
River Surges in Sunlight 8457 47.29% 36.08 70.86% 0.062 0.1512 0.615
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 43 58.14% 21.12 51.16% 0.327 0.2154 -0.588
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 831 56.5% 28.22 58.0% -0.102 0.2883 -0.289
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 366 40.67% 27.43 54.64% -0.801 -0.6635 -0.351
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 8452 51.06% 30.33 67.04% -0.107 -0.3007 0.345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3763 60.35% 27.06 64.44% -0.663 -0.1771 -0.399
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 41.1% 24.42 53.95% -0.051 0.005 -0.384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 117 45.69% 30.29 63.25% -0.04 -0.5087 1.022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 106 52.88% 24.62 51.89% 0.332 0.5477 -0.256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 373 59.13% 27.78 63.27% 0.451 0.4806 -0.943
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 287 61.89% 25.99 61.32% -0.881 -0.7093 0.142
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5204 47.18% 34.03 71.45% -0.134 -0.2865 0.562
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 194 41.45% 30.42 61.34% 0.799 0.6001 0.191
Shifting Memory of Ages 860 58.06% 24.26 57.33% -0.642 -0.1925 0.226
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 66 57.58% 26.06 48.48% 0.525 0.2209 0.727
Shroud of Silent Mist 1131 52.63% 24.43 57.38% -0.097 0.2387 0.287
Starlight Seeks its Form 1130 52.35% 29.97 60.0% 0.64 0.585 0.389
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 5917 57.83% 29.59 61.35% -0.044 -0.6674 0.014
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3191 47.51% 34.22 73.49% 0.532 0.7261 0.874
Thunderspeaker 5874 51.12% 31.67 68.27% 0.27 0.2162 0.384
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 99 34.34% 17.69 36.36% -0.004 0.1305 -1.182
Towering Roots of the Jungle 144 46.53% 20.21 45.83% 0.087 0.0962 0.057
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3987 70.19% 26.54 54.2% -0.123 -0.0399 -0.592
Vital Strength of the Earth 5974 50.26% 25.82 65.47% -0.447 0.1471 -0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 291 40.07% 26.17 56.01% -0.171 0.2684 -0.062
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 469 56.87% 27.12 58.0% -0.223 0.4688 -0.164
Volcano Looming High 2090 56.54% 27.42 59.67% 0.002 0.1052 -0.007
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 443 27.09% 26.94 60.05% 0.015 -0.2377 -1.14

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.95%
Flame's Fury 95.53%
Flash-Fires 82.3%
Threatening Flames 92.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 61968 15.45 28.66%
II 96738 30.45 67.3%
III 37135 34.8 87.49%
IV 7671 38.47 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 17617
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31155
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 61267
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7529
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11117
Lose: Invader deck ran out 791
Lose: Adversary condition 9655
Win: Sacrifice victory 2019
Lose: Scenario condition 1456
Win: Scenario condition 3402
Lose: Blight pool ran out 56311
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1193

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.702 Win Model: -0.178

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.151 Win Model: 0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 123524 70.92% 23.26 56.71%
2 46237 62.9% 28.26 63.44%
3 17256 53.1% 31.21 68.14%
4 14863 41.47% 35.92 73.25%
5 292 44.79% 25.53 65.07%
6 1340 28.28% 25.12 57.54%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)