Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 60.0% 26.84 84.0% 0.074 -0.1093 0.324
Blitz 0 1194 70.69% 19.1 49.41% -0.481 -0.1901 -1.639
Dahan Insurrection 4 2404 34.9% 57.32 78.12% 0.026 -0.1531 1.216
Despicable Theft 2 148 64.19% 29.67 61.49% 0.033 0.6882 -0.075
Elemental Invocation 1 227 71.37% 26.04 57.27% -0.797 0.0293 -0.988
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6386 32.64% 47.49 78.7% 1.223 0.7234 1.345
Powers Long Forgotten 1 609 68.65% 32.24 60.59% 0.297 0.7068 -0.38
Rituals of Terror 3 405 76.06% 31.77 48.64% -0.779 -0.8949 -0.047
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 409 90.64% 26.61 38.88% -1.445 -0.6695 -0.328
Second Wave 0 4746 63.19% 23.83 61.13% -0.339 -0.2227 0.127
The Great River 3 350 78.0% 28.23 55.71% -0.9 0.5381 -0.437
Varied Terrains 2 42 78.57% 30.64 59.52% -0.567 -0.0741 -0.311
Ward the Shores 2 464 78.76% 25.97 32.97% -0.495 0.4187 -1.139

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 98453 72.24% 24.34 60.45% 0.762 0.9999 0.241
1 Thematic 5140 77.96% 27.89 45.56% 0.49 1.0821 -0.716
2 Archipelago 55 56.36% 33.6 80.0% 0.614 1.4386 1.143
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26696 64.21% 29.73 66.97% 0.734 0.9206 0.504
2 Coastline 2745 64.9% 29.06 71.22% 0.466 0.6073 0.624
2 Fragment 694 68.13% 24.13 57.49% 0.085 0.0124 0.405
2 Heart 362 71.47% 24.32 59.39% 0.673 0.4946 0.346
2 Opposite Shores 5126 62.98% 29.46 67.09% 0.516 0.6448 -0.364
2 Thematic 2403 64.86% 33.67 56.3% -0.132 0.4451 -0.483
2 Top to Top 662 63.23% 28.11 65.71% 0.15 0.3611 0.414
3 Archipelago 23 43.48% 33.17 86.96% 0.105 -0.4269 -0.009
3 Coastline 114 65.79% 33.89 70.18% 0.182 -0.26 0.027
3 Other 408 59.03% 28.16 67.16% 0.506 -0.1223 -0.132
3 Round (Default) 12895 54.01% 33.03 72.45% 0.453 0.414 0.421
3 Sunrise 66 58.46% 33.42 74.24% 0.0 -0.4777 0.076
3 Thematic 686 54.24% 36.15 59.62% 0.379 0.0866 -0.568
4 Archipelago 31 53.57% 30.03 61.29% 0.0 0.0698 0.432
4 Coastline 47 42.55% 30.06 85.11% -0.796 -0.8027 0.0
4 Leaf 66 56.92% 29.61 69.7% -0.367 -0.4539 -0.941
4 Other 432 42.52% 39.12 80.79% 0.766 0.0835 0.439
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.2088 0.0
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 45.45% 0.0 0.4394 -0.281
4 Thematic 3064 36.65% 52.22 74.8% -1.065 -1.2044 -0.565
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9082 44.95% 33.32 77.34% 0.169 -0.0438 0.198
5 Archipelago 12 58.33% 31.42 75.0% 0.23 -0.9633 -0.135
5 Coastline 5 20.0% 26.4 100.0% 0.486 0.3393 0.487
5 Other 177 53.76% 35.56 79.66% 1.242 0.7136 0.887
5 Thematic 32 56.25% 41.53 78.13% -0.071 -0.4113 -0.339
6 Archipelago 14 14.29% 35.64 71.43% -0.782 -0.6716 -0.814
6 Coastline 3 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5965 0.0
6 Other 57 30.91% 28.18 82.46% 0.129 -0.2946 -1.805
6 Star 52 40.38% 34.52 69.23% 0.378 0.9679 0.424
6 Thematic 200 34.01% 36.24 67.0% -2.237 -2.0038 -1.008
6 Two Centers (Default) 290 30.42% 30.68 82.07% -0.971 -0.4973 0.251
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.329 -1.3858 0.041
7 Other 5 50.0% 41.6 80.0% 0.778 0.0532 0.57

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 9227 26.66 49.31% -0.47 0.1952 -0.529
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7094 28.77 53.09% -0.274 0.1904 -0.29
All Things Weaken 3806 25.99 46.61% -0.678 0.1341 -0.659
Attenuated Essence 27 22.15 40.74% -0.77 -0.125 -1.054
Back Against the Wall 6745 27.23 49.16% -0.355 0.1921 -0.519
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 18 18.61 33.33% -1.118 -0.1986 -0.536
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 21.15 30.77% -0.825 -0.033 -0.999
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8486 22.12 41.89% -0.923 -0.0664 -0.866
Downward Spiral 18096 22.37 54.62% -0.359 0.3193 -0.582
Erosion of Will 9037 25.2 46.35% -0.748 0.0585 -0.713
Intensifying Exploitation 22 17.41 31.82% -0.817 0.1266 -0.099
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1201 33.71 85.1% 0.859 0.6053 0.038
Memory Fades to Dust 17970 21.82 50.49% -0.612 0.2148 -0.754
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3712 25.85 49.73% -0.515 0.1231 -0.745
Promising Farmlands 8782 23.01 43.24% -1.09 -0.1947 -1.02
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 25.45 40.91% -0.806 -0.1581 -0.168
Slow Dissolution of Will 26 15.62 19.23% -1.368 -0.3861 -1.47
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 664 34.23 89.01% 0.967 0.4753 0.616
The Border of Life and Death 7 16.86 28.57% -0.45 -0.2443 -0.435
Thriving Communities 3438 23.36 42.0% -1.079 -0.1977 -1.039
Thriving Crops 9 11.78 33.33% -0.643 -0.0909 -0.519
Tipping Point 4075 24.81 47.95% 0.0 -0.0878 -0.618
Unnatural Proliferation 3937 23.69 37.44% -1.143 -0.4761 -0.866
Untended Land Crumbles 3611 24.7 45.33% -0.633 0.0996 -0.811

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 42703 64.25% 27.25 64.68% -0.623 0.2822 -0.207
B 52231 61.8% 28.49 67.67% -0.38 0.418 -0.063
C 45469 63.58% 28.09 66.34% -0.729 -0.0789 0.068
D 45490 59.84% 28.87 69.67% -0.127 0.7232 0.132
E 12564 65.63% 29.56 63.97% -0.218 0.4796 0.064
F 19650 60.4% 30.66 68.65% -0.325 0.4455 0.388
G 19470 62.04% 30.18 67.94% -0.279 0.494 0.225
H 16894 64.2% 28.94 65.27% -0.532 0.1892 -0.03
East 8300 55.59% 40.11 62.14% -0.481 0.3001 0.728
Northeast 5574 52.4% 42.52 64.05% -0.23 0.7245 0.29
Northwest 5044 51.49% 42.82 64.51% -0.616 -0.0062 0.201
Southeast 1339 51.46% 37.0 64.97% -0.316 0.3535 0.377
Southwest 1201 52.42% 35.92 64.7% -0.896 0.3875 0.04
West 8036 57.12% 38.95 59.25% -0.771 0.3331 -0.329

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5152 0.0% 15.31 57.92% -1.587 -0.3855 -0.791
Not Using Events or Tokens 22291 68.59% 20.66 64.73% -0.353 -0.1091 -0.387
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4197 33.93% 37.18 84.92% 0.745 0.168 -0.494
Start of Game Growth 5559 37.88% 36.44 82.33% 0.92 0.461 0.558
Unlimited Undo 16198 59.66% 30.23 72.91% 0.166 -0.0114 0.659
Using Tokens but Not Events 15967 57.15% 26.5 72.99% -0.294 -0.3336 -0.016

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 14746 100.0% 38.78 100.0% 0.256 0.144 0.752
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4378 100.0% 27.6 100.0% -0.861 -0.8067 -0.161
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2949 100.0% 31.62 100.0% 0.29 0.1388 -0.005
Downpour Drenches the World 365 100.0% 31.03 100.0% -0.077 0.1687 -0.448
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 99 100.0% 23.99 100.0% -0.119 -0.5237 -0.857
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3173 100.0% 33.32 100.0% 0.265 -0.2538 -0.047
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2860 100.0% 32.34 100.0% -0.182 -0.6247 -0.212
Finder of Paths Unseen 248 100.0% 31.28 100.0% -0.689 -0.0651 0.761
Fractured Days Split the Sky 799 100.0% 37.14 100.0% -0.359 0.2124 0.381
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 589 100.0% 32.25 100.0% 0.674 0.5279 -0.402
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8798 100.0% 33.74 100.0% -0.21 -0.7537 0.249
Lightning's Swift Strike 5318 107.46% 31.09 104.12% 0.464 0.7333 0.072
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 102 62.0% 32.06 65.69% 0.121 -0.6455 -0.214
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 302 53.33% 37.06 73.84% 0.47 0.1013 0.348
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 457 51.76% 36.62 77.02% 1.064 0.8142 0.172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1737 100.0% 33.19 100.0% -0.016 -0.2013 -0.34
Many Minds Move as One 951 100.0% 33.06 100.0% -0.543 -0.8945 0.561
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9160 100.0% 37.6 100.0% 0.059 -0.0141 0.699
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2709 100.0% 32.53 100.0% -0.228 -0.3414 0.143
River Surges in Sunlight 7495 104.15% 37.84 103.74% 0.251 0.1887 0.648
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 618 57.69% 30.2 61.65% -0.065 0.1051 -0.167
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 118 50.44% 32.75 63.56% 0.291 0.0588 -0.387
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7330 100.0% 31.93 100.0% 0.418 0.2469 0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3411 107.25% 28.41 105.95% -0.336 0.074 -0.442
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 40 39.47% 26.38 57.5% -0.023 -0.0088 -0.183
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 42 50.0% 36.6 73.81% 0.244 0.2641 -0.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 300 59.86% 30.0 66.33% -0.128 -0.2019 -0.989
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 234 62.66% 28.88 68.38% 0.034 0.1589 0.234
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4729 100.19% 35.26 100.25% 0.315 0.1326 0.496
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 20 55.0% 20.6 40.0% -0.79 -0.8716 -0.744
Shifting Memory of Ages 542 100.0% 27.75 100.0% -0.671 -0.4038 0.338
Shroud of Silent Mist 631 100.0% 28.91 100.0% -0.521 -0.2083 0.149
Starlight Seeks its Form 657 100.0% 34.0 100.0% 0.676 0.4958 0.129
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4691 100.0% 31.95 100.0% 0.241 -0.2825 0.022
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2687 100.0% 36.47 100.0% 0.152 0.2315 0.904
Thunderspeaker 5160 100.12% 33.3 100.14% 0.672 0.6095 0.309
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 11 45.45% 22.45 36.36% -0.316 -0.2177 -1.154
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3076 100.0% 28.33 100.0% -0.174 -0.1866 -0.617
Vital Strength of the Earth 5332 103.6% 27.13 103.04% -0.587 0.0061 -0.282
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 110 42.06% 35.62 72.73% 0.036 0.3358 0.333
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 349 62.43% 30.52 62.18% -0.049 0.9195 -0.225
Volcano Looming High 1470 100.0% 30.53 100.0% 0.248 0.2506 0.089

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.73%
Flame's Fury 95.24%
Flash-Fires 81.84%
Threatening Flames 92.02%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 46834 21.84 33.93%
II 84166 31.08 67.97%
III 32493 34.71 87.65%
IV 6651 37.98 99.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 15762
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 27271
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 54033
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6524
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 638
Lose: Invader deck ran out 676
Lose: Adversary condition 8556
Win: Sacrifice victory 1796
Lose: Scenario condition 1302
Win: Scenario condition 2804
Lose: Blight pool ran out 49732
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1050

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.713 Win Model: -0.151

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.19 Win Model: 0.303
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 103726 72.54% 24.52 59.68%
2 38886 64.33% 29.72 66.24%
3 14032 53.83% 33.13 72.45%
4 12775 42.9% 38.03 76.84%
5 107 50.48% 33.1 75.7%
6 618 32.07% 32.82 76.05%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-16 03:06:06 (Pacific Time)