Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1394 69.93% 19.07 -4.01 49.57% -0.968 -0.4028
Dahan Insurrection 4 2701 40.41% 56.93 11.809 76.71% 0.283 0.6834
Despicable Theft 2 75 72.0% 29.48 1.079 60.0% -0.62 -0.3459
Elemental Invocation 1 142 73.24% 26.2 -1.091 59.86% -0.303 0.1995
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7502 31.8% 47.11 7.865 80.11% 0.679 1.0436
Powers Long Forgotten 1 876 66.44% 33.24 1.192 61.53% -0.28 0.1662
Rituals of Terror 3 505 75.0% 31.32 2.248 47.33% -0.901 -0.2563
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 535 91.73% 26.81 0.131 38.5% -1.031 -0.3842
Second Wave 0 5718 64.32% 24.22 -1.721 61.02% -0.842 -0.4123
The Great River 3 235 77.45% 28.26 0.81 52.77% -1.037 0.4358
Ward the Shores 2 593 76.25% 26.13 -1.156 35.41% -1.455 -0.4231

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 79850 72.05% 24.34 -1.148 60.97% -0.596 -0.5093
1 Thematic 4466 78.93% 27.83 -0.312 43.95% -1.062 -0.7848
2 Archipelago 22 54.55% 35.14 3.079 77.27% -0.066 -0.0591
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21829 64.26% 29.82 0.693 67.56% -0.16 -0.1345
2 Coastline 2268 64.74% 29.59 0.503 72.0% 0.062 0.0374
2 Fragment 555 67.93% 24.06 -1.861 58.74% -0.747 -0.5248
2 Heart 280 70.74% 23.26 -1.949 59.64% -0.441 -0.3414
2 Opposite Shores 4164 63.3% 29.63 0.12 67.34% -0.258 -0.1928
2 Thematic 2056 66.13% 33.52 0.898 55.54% -0.788 -0.8543
2 Top to Top 531 61.8% 27.88 -0.198 67.23% -0.293 -0.3619
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 33.0 1.878 50.0% 0.104 0.9086
3 Coastline 90 66.67% 34.91 1.893 67.78% 0.42 0.2694
3 Other 334 60.31% 28.95 -0.837 67.37% -0.243 -0.0705
3 Round (Default) 10438 53.42% 33.13 0.915 73.09% 0.157 0.1184
3 Sunrise 58 56.14% 32.59 0.862 72.41% 0.194 -0.0656
3 Thematic 514 53.5% 36.2 1.362 62.26% -0.638 -1.0045
4 Archipelago 11 90.91% 31.09 0.109 27.27% -0.067 0.4812
4 Coastline 34 38.24% 32.71 0.361 94.12% 1.289 1.4089
4 Leaf 52 54.9% 31.9 -0.965 73.08% -0.049 0.0226
4 Other 396 42.03% 40.24 2.186 80.56% 0.401 0.3319
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 42.67 4.008 100.0% 0.384 -0.4178
4 Snake 11 81.82% 28.55 -2.31 45.45% -0.432 -0.3058
4 Thematic 2650 37.82% 51.86 5.046 74.98% -0.106 -1.1023
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7856 44.98% 33.5 0.254 77.55% 0.28 0.2879
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 59.5 12.538 100.0% 0.703 1.8628
5 Other 77 52.0% 37.1 2.673 89.61% 1.632 1.1712
5 Thematic 19 42.11% 49.42 6.375 89.47% 1.204 -1.1874

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 7695 26.61 -1.489 49.12% -2.33 -0.2608
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5965 28.69 -0.616 53.11% -2.206 -0.2937
All Things Weaken 2525 25.85 -1.816 46.26% -2.445 -0.2856
Back Against the Wall 5602 27.09 -1.549 49.11% -2.444 -0.3574
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7122 22.18 -3.733 42.02% -2.685 -0.463
Downward Spiral 15414 22.39 -2.669 55.15% -2.268 -0.2459
Erosion of Will 7519 25.25 -2.114 46.42% -2.472 -0.2646
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 805 33.88 2.079 85.09% -0.652 0.0269
Memory Fades to Dust 15242 21.83 -2.98 50.68% -2.474 -0.2593
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2497 25.94 -1.823 49.9% -2.313 -0.2923
Promising Farmlands 7362 23.07 -3.285 43.24% -2.629 -0.4212
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 450 34.92 2.308 87.56% -0.413 -0.0017
Thriving Communities 2274 23.26 -3.178 42.08% -2.641 -0.5528
Tipping Point 4074 24.8 -2.475 47.94% -2.404 -0.1794
Unnatural Proliferation 2581 23.97 -2.794 38.4% -2.852 -0.7708
Untended Land Crumbles 2419 25.17 -2.204 46.84% -2.457 -0.3544

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 21430 71.34% 24.41 -1.278 59.54% -0.235 -0.9232
B 29334 65.35% 27.0 -0.031 65.7% 0.063 -0.7203
C 23492 69.24% 25.96 -0.53 63.08% -0.066 -1.0788
D 24793 62.17% 27.84 0.489 68.96% 0.152 -0.625
E 4766 71.69% 27.95 -0.033 59.55% -0.019 -0.9131
F 8955 63.72% 29.83 1.017 68.34% 0.236 -0.605
G 9308 65.86% 28.98 0.484 66.27% 0.159 -0.6727
H 7216 71.53% 26.41 -0.672 60.48% -0.179 -1.0185
East 2530 47.68% 47.25 4.941 69.6% 0.246 -0.3302
Northeast 1870 70.26% 32.82 1.069 49.89% -0.165 -0.6896
Northwest 2021 67.02% 33.75 0.643 54.92% -0.096 -0.6909
Southeast 372 64.78% 31.25 0.529 62.63% 0.288 -0.3412
Southwest 346 63.77% 26.8 -2.151 56.07% -0.12 -0.3183
West 2137 68.83% 33.28 0.618 47.5% -0.19 -0.5171

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4201 0.0% 14.95 -5.464 57.96% -2.95 -0.8975
Not Using Events or Tokens 18559 69.39% 20.37 -2.516 64.46% -0.247 -0.0319
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3632 33.84% 37.33 3.253 84.91% 0.97 0.2833
Start of Game Growth 4657 37.31% 36.74 2.794 82.46% 0.173 -0.2958
Unlimited Undo 13416 59.14% 30.4 1.285 73.52% 0.399 -0.0245
Using Tokens but Not Events 13069 56.01% 26.99 -0.334 75.75% 0.178 0.1269

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 12154 49.52% 38.67 3.478 78.62% 0.66 0.7646
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3880 63.86% 27.93 -1.171 65.67% -0.328 -0.1307
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2331 53.36% 32.47 0.514 72.5% 0.054 -0.06
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2565 52.69% 33.85 1.353 75.4% 0.241 -0.1628
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2323 49.24% 32.19 0.543 75.25% 0.129 -0.1764
Fractured Days Split the Sky 567 46.98% 39.97 2.907 76.72% 0.111 0.4598
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7649 50.77% 33.68 0.682 73.71% 0.064 -0.2789
Lightning's Swift Strike 5188 55.59% 31.65 0.378 71.67% 0.031 0.2567
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1019 59.01% 33.54 0.523 68.69% -0.121 -0.4077
Many Minds Move as One 647 58.39% 34.48 1.531 74.65% 0.36 -0.1729
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7687 51.47% 37.64 2.215 74.96% 0.259 0.0346
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2186 55.55% 33.22 0.763 71.59% 0.074 0.0885
River Surges in Sunlight 6783 50.25% 37.26 1.883 73.24% -0.098 0.0228
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6349 53.63% 32.11 0.154 70.23% -0.159 -0.0564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3489 61.48% 29.09 -0.636 67.87% -0.177 0.2276
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4173 48.17% 35.38 1.056 72.95% -0.119 -0.2314
Shifting Memory of Ages 151 72.85% 30.68 0.026 60.26% -0.118 0.0062
Shroud of Silent Mist 278 63.0% 30.26 -0.627 64.39% -0.229 -0.1724
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3632 59.91% 32.14 0.113 65.47% -0.115 -0.1752
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2165 48.79% 37.22 2.204 76.91% 0.305 0.4651
Thunderspeaker 4490 52.67% 33.39 0.95 70.18% -0.058 -0.0336
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2357 71.33% 28.97 -1.395 59.69% -0.341 -0.3685
Vital Strength of the Earth 4973 52.69% 27.24 -1.521 67.97% -0.456 0.3883
Volcano Looming High 718 61.48% 30.79 -0.478 65.04% -0.147 -0.1368

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Asphyxiating Smoke 93.96%
Flame's Fury 95.07%
Flash-Fires 81.91%
Threatening Flames 92.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 37869 22.37 34.96%
II 68660 30.88 68.08%
III 26550 34.39 87.56%
IV 5491 37.55 99.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9077
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15312
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 30724
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3665
Lose: Invader deck ran out 543
Lose: Adversary condition 6821
Win: Sacrifice victory 1464
Lose: Scenario condition 1077
Win: Scenario condition 2279
Lose: Blight pool ran out 40558
Lose: Spirit destroyed 887

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.068 Win Model: -0.182

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.668 Win Model: -0.104
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 84338 72.43% 24.52 60.06%
2 31751 64.35% 29.85 66.89%
3 11440 53.76% 33.17 72.4%
4 11041 43.14% 38.16 77.08%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)