Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 15 33.33% 18.27 60.0% -0.054 0.1369 -0.249
Blitz 0 64 42.19% 17.08 42.19% -1.707 -1.49 0.928
Dahan Insurrection 4 124 23.39% 45.67 54.84% 0.77 0.517 0.773
Despicable Theft 2 28 42.86% 22.57 42.86% -0.008 0.5783 -1.336
Elemental Invocation 1 40 47.5% 25.45 57.5% 0.365 1.1048 0.219
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 242 17.84% 35.29 57.85% -0.001 -0.5622 0.678
Powers Long Forgotten 1 25 44.0% 19.6 52.0% -0.824 -0.0641 -0.42
Rituals of Terror 3 41 41.46% 43.1 58.54% -0.391 -0.2709 0.428
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 10 20.0% 11.2 20.0% -0.451 0.4565 -0.52
Second Wave 0 173 46.43% 25.55 68.79% 0.362 0.5006 0.173
The Great River 3 25 28.0% 12.04 20.0% -0.65 0.4501 -0.405
Varied Terrains 2 35 51.43% 23.94 45.71% 0.081 0.8572 1.073
Ward the Shores 2 34 23.53% 22.65 52.94% -0.667 0.4074 -0.645

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4503 48.13% 23.67 46.99% -0.088 0.2445 -0.16
1 Thematic 191 36.13% 27.42 50.26% 0.041 0.7272 -0.248
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 29.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6076 -0.481
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1031 38.31% 26.48 59.75% -0.187 -0.0668 0.299
2 Coastline 217 29.63% 28.05 63.59% -0.088 -0.1598 0.088
2 Fragment 59 44.07% 39.17 61.02% -0.231 -0.416 2.316
2 Heart 48 62.5% 42.85 66.67% 0.948 0.7914 0.371
2 Opposite Shores 520 56.54% 24.12 34.23% -0.413 -0.2615 -1.297
2 Thematic 100 36.36% 22.02 35.0% -0.862 -0.3536 0.533
2 Top to Top 59 40.68% 29.24 55.93% 0.853 0.7948 -0.379
3 Archipelago 22 81.82% 36.64 27.27% 0.0 -0.9517 -0.968
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 19.93 42.86% 0.878 0.4678 1.141
3 Other 30 23.33% 19.57 56.67% 0.825 0.0542 0.828
3 Round (Default) 926 40.91% 26.81 54.43% -0.356 -0.4474 0.075
3 Sunrise 4 75.0% 24.5 75.0% -0.711 -0.8066 0.0
3 Thematic 45 46.67% 28.53 64.44% 0.012 0.0323 -0.329
4 Archipelago 9 44.44% 34.0 55.56% 0.0 -0.5301 0.408
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 36.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.0857 0.497
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 24.25 75.0% 0.0 -0.1615 0.0
4 Other 18 41.18% 14.0 38.89% 0.174 -0.5374 0.561
4 Thematic 49 40.82% 36.9 57.14% 0.191 0.3135 -0.259
4 Trapezoid (Default) 448 27.46% 27.91 62.95% -0.427 -0.4299 -0.698
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 43.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.0301 0.0
5 Other 41 34.15% 27.27 58.54% 0.733 0.219 0.035
5 Thematic 14 21.43% 31.93 64.29% 0.123 0.0656 -0.065
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 20.8 60.0% 0.24 -0.7977 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.0
6 Other 33 33.33% 23.36 54.55% -0.504 -0.6079 -0.997
6 Star 18 11.11% 28.06 66.67% -0.322 -0.336 0.264
6 Thematic 130 27.13% 29.84 46.15% -0.05 0.2356 -0.617
6 Two Centers (Default) 184 12.5% 39.64 52.72% -1.351 -0.8179 -0.291

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 162 30.25 45.68% -0.574 -0.3229 0.454
Aid From Lesser Spirits 168 34.34 50.6% 0.036 -0.0221 0.577
All Things Weaken 199 25.07 37.69% 0.163 0.4979 -0.102
Attenuated Essence 202 30.39 48.51% 0.21 0.2431 0.447
Back Against the Wall 151 31.87 45.03% -0.395 -0.3597 0.229
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 185 25.75 38.92% -0.42 -0.2025 -0.244
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 29.73 40.0% 0.181 0.1921 0.19
Disintegrating Ecosystem 151 29.75 43.71% -0.268 0.0765 0.776
Downward Spiral 206 25.37 43.69% 0.213 0.3307 0.432
Erosion of Will 181 27.27 38.12% -0.433 -0.1587 0.317
Intensifying Exploitation 169 22.95 30.18% -0.096 0.1146 -0.164
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 86 24.4 53.49% 0.129 -0.4434 0.216
Memory Fades to Dust 208 27.11 38.94% -0.586 -0.3341 0.413
Power Corrodes the Spirit 182 24.47 33.52% -0.386 -0.1815 -0.073
Promising Farmlands 193 24.99 37.31% -0.939 -0.6852 -0.403
Shattered Fragments of Power 186 31.71 44.09% -0.279 -0.2045 0.376
Slow Dissolution of Will 206 27.11 36.41% -1.154 -0.7722 -0.142
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 33.07 69.05% 1.351 0.6769 1.293
The Border of Life and Death 56 28.71 53.57% 0.275 -0.3257 -0.372
Thriving Communities 185 24.98 32.97% -0.549 -0.2673 0.119
Thriving Crops 77 27.87 49.35% -0.118 -0.2582 0.258
Unnatural Proliferation 198 33.15 49.49% 0.472 0.6755 0.552
Untended Land Crumbles 200 27.0 36.0% -0.397 -0.2071 0.398

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2732 41.98% 26.99 52.16% 0.248 1.2457 0.24
B 1925 37.64% 26.61 51.32% -0.196 0.7259 0.241
C 2158 39.31% 25.95 52.83% 0.267 0.9963 0.0
D 1827 38.9% 25.49 51.07% 0.037 0.9959 -0.247
E 1688 39.25% 27.22 52.73% 0.047 0.8664 0.182
F 1543 39.66% 26.88 53.6% -0.221 0.6612 0.042
G 1547 39.24% 28.98 55.2% 0.218 1.0437 0.398
H 1520 39.15% 27.47 54.28% 0.156 0.9952 0.09
East 439 32.42% 28.08 48.75% 0.187 1.0622 -0.462
Northeast 300 30.43% 25.87 44.33% -0.341 0.4114 -0.369
Northwest 236 29.06% 31.68 52.12% 0.059 0.9507 0.696
Southeast 212 32.23% 30.02 50.47% 0.272 1.1113 -0.58
Southwest 215 35.51% 27.68 45.58% -1.098 0.2071 -1.023
West 364 36.74% 29.5 48.35% 0.374 1.3241 0.753

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 89 0.0% 9.28 28.09% -1.376 -0.6471 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 110 45.61% 11.67 36.36% -0.639 -0.2929 -0.444
Skip Initial Invader Actions 330 12.38% 48.84 73.64% 2.123 1.5198 -0.025
Start of Game Growth 429 13.66% 45.17 70.63% 0.118 -0.3859 1.113
Unlimited Undo 1061 34.79% 30.62 53.91% 0.264 0.1569 1.011
Using Tokens but Not Events 812 27.32% 20.96 57.76% -0.444 -0.474 -1.168

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 112 18.02% 18.05 42.86% -0.408 -0.5032 -1.804
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 612 25.53% 33.96 64.22% 0.366 -0.1101 0.217
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 27 37.04% 20.04 40.74% 0.42 0.533 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 86 33.72% 25.57 55.81% 0.215 -0.598 0.664
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 35.62% 25.22 50.68% -0.783 -0.792 -0.022
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 130 26.19% 22.4 58.46% 0.254 0.1139 0.2
Downpour Drenches the World 196 34.9% 29.8 51.53% 0.399 0.6264 0.054
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 263 37.69% 26.49 50.95% 0.354 -0.2153 -0.216
Eyes Watch From the Trees 223 32.13% 26.42 52.91% 0.264 -0.1239 0.017
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 152 30.41% 26.0 55.26% 0.021 -0.3733 0.748
Finder of Paths Unseen 88 40.91% 26.08 56.82% 0.597 1.325 -0.229
Fractured Days Split the Sky 191 24.08% 40.14 46.6% 0.121 0.762 0.136
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 115 34.21% 32.22 62.61% 0.643 0.5096 0.501
Heart of the Wildfire 92 48.91% 20.0 51.09% -0.244 0.0854 -1.163
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 199 36.18% 37.74 66.33% 0.453 0.0296 1.435
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 209 29.67% 28.44 54.07% 0.346 0.0393 -0.042
Lightning's Swift Strike 96 29.17% 19.31 46.88% -0.322 -0.0839 -0.401
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 168 31.14% 25.85 48.21% 0.266 -0.1421 -0.298
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 61 28.81% 31.31 67.21% 0.593 0.2739 1.642
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 121 38.84% 26.25 51.24% -0.092 -0.1724 0.385
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 236 34.19% 32.42 52.54% 0.271 0.0785 0.241
Many Minds Move as One 96 28.13% 30.0 60.42% 0.261 0.0452 -0.169
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 244 40.5% 27.25 59.84% 0.599 0.739 0.201
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 185 30.43% 23.61 55.14% 0.252 0.3331 0.09
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 140 35.34% 19.84 41.43% -0.948 -1.026 0.29
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 252 19.12% 34.94 51.19% -0.456 -0.5833 -0.201
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 71 38.03% 33.54 73.24% 0.62 0.5074 0.492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 34 45.45% 23.41 64.71% 0.538 1.0534 -0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 31 31.03% 27.71 67.74% -0.381 -0.3997 -0.076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 144 37.76% 28.55 54.86% -1.04 -1.5434 0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 34 35.29% 22.15 64.71% 0.263 0.0713 -0.126
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 31 40.0% 22.94 41.94% -0.205 -0.2638 -0.88
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 18 33.33% 12.94 27.78% -1.105 -1.023 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 41.03% 32.08 66.67% -0.127 -0.0473 -0.491
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 143 31.69% 29.94 61.54% -0.201 -0.3874 -0.428
Shifting Memory of Ages 149 22.15% 39.95 45.64% 0.081 0.3483 -0.859
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 559 38.46% 31.05 62.61% -0.434 -0.552 0.706
Shroud of Silent Mist 101 57.43% 23.36 37.62% -0.559 -0.2083 0.193
Starlight Seeks its Form 215 34.42% 28.75 50.7% 0.649 0.5311 -0.108
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 186 45.16% 30.12 46.24% 0.206 -0.3071 -0.098
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 137 29.32% 26.95 53.28% -0.918 -0.8009 0.659
Thunderspeaker 125 34.4% 30.34 53.6% -0.0 0.0318 -0.254
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 118 43.22% 28.43 52.54% -0.027 -0.0137 0.726
Towering Roots of the Jungle 602 33.72% 30.49 63.12% 0.44 0.5699 0.143
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 89 43.82% 25.8 43.82% -0.382 -0.2559 0.06
Vital Strength of the Earth 75 30.0% 16.67 54.67% -0.215 0.3848 -0.389
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 107 36.79% 19.53 43.93% 0.07 0.5631 -0.435
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 49 39.58% 22.78 42.86% -0.002 0.6961 -0.349
Volcano Looming High 146 49.32% 29.35 47.95% -0.301 -0.2537 -0.053
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 174 37.36% 24.24 47.13% -0.286 -0.5758 -0.544

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 79.96%
Flash Floods 79.9%
River's Bounty 93.02%
Wash Away 81.98%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3649 13.42 11.43%
II 2960 30.13 68.75%
III 1725 34.83 89.91%
IV 401 38.67 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 417
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1521
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1964
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 391
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2543
Lose: Invader deck ran out 89
Lose: Adversary condition 590
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 36
Win: Scenario condition 86
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1024
Lose: Spirit destroyed 51

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.339 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.109 Win Model: 0.138
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4733 47.52% 23.86 47.05%
2 2009 42.94% 26.6 52.71%
3 1040 42.29% 27.0 54.42%
4 527 28.52% 27.93 61.48%
5 56 39.29% 29.98 58.93%
6 370 18.7% 34.12 52.16%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)