Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 19.0 66.67% -0.086 -0.0711 0.0
Blitz 0 10 40.0% 25.6 50.0% -0.56 -0.272 0.173
Dahan Insurrection 4 11 18.18% 53.27 63.64% 0.096 -0.0804 0.033
Despicable Theft 2 4 25.0% 13.75 25.0% -0.658 0.2032 -0.298
Elemental Invocation 1 11 45.45% 23.18 54.55% -0.43 0.5031 -0.196
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 68 19.4% 34.24 66.18% 0.261 -0.3857 0.104
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 0.0% 16.5 50.0% -0.132 0.8133 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 4 50.0% 59.5 100.0% 0.516 0.5925 0.647
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.484 0.631 0.0
Second Wave 0 24 29.17% 29.0 79.17% 0.665 0.695 0.594
The Great River 3 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.084 0.341 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 15 46.67% 21.07 46.67% -0.623 0.1513 0.497

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 1437 51.05% 26.09 51.77% -0.318 -0.0578 -0.476
1 Thematic 29 31.03% 23.83 58.62% -0.18 0.2857 0.222
2 Archipelago 1 100.0% 27.0 0.0% -0.297 0.1766 -0.301
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 276 32.61% 31.18 71.74% 0.196 0.3808 0.362
2 Coastline 54 22.22% 28.17 83.33% 0.535 0.5184 -0.136
2 Fragment 8 50.0% 56.0 62.5% 0.672 0.3558 0.902
2 Heart 20 70.0% 33.55 45.0% 0.093 -0.0015 -0.605
2 Opposite Shores 76 26.32% 25.79 71.05% -0.132 -0.1714 -0.657
2 Thematic 33 45.45% 18.79 42.42% -0.834 -0.5476 0.0
2 Top to Top 19 31.58% 29.89 57.89% -0.149 -0.1926 -0.249
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 24.0 100.0% 0.274 -0.8659 0.0
3 Coastline 2 50.0% 22.5 50.0% 0.48 -0.2694 0.575
3 Other 7 14.29% 14.14 42.86% 0.304 -0.159 0.0
3 Round (Default) 259 42.47% 27.68 57.92% -0.38 -0.6001 0.446
3 Sunrise 2 100.0% 38.0 100.0% 0.257 0.3325 0.0
3 Thematic 11 63.64% 17.91 45.45% -0.653 -0.9457 0.0
4 Archipelago 5 40.0% 27.4 60.0% -0.258 -0.0646 -0.309
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 19.0 100.0% 0.105 -0.003 0.0
4 Other 6 33.33% 16.0 66.67% -0.12 -0.3764 0.594
4 Thematic 10 20.0% 43.7 90.0% 0.838 1.0904 0.647
4 Trapezoid (Default) 114 33.33% 30.26 72.81% -0.316 -0.1021 -0.047
5 Archipelago 2 100.0% 38.5 50.0% -0.327 -0.0535 0.0
5 Other 9 0.0% 33.89 100.0% 1.354 0.788 0.381
5 Thematic 3 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.21 -0.2104 0.0
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.347 -0.5859 0.0
6 Other 5 40.0% 20.6 40.0% -0.445 -0.0192 -0.116
6 Star 3 0.0% 19.33 66.67% -0.454 -0.3412 0.0
6 Thematic 20 30.0% 33.95 55.0% -1.087 -0.9857 -0.336
6 Two Centers (Default) 47 10.64% 43.87 51.06% -0.474 -0.7312 -0.908

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 47 32.17 48.94% -0.021 0.1549 0.174
Aid From Lesser Spirits 44 42.23 75.0% 0.91 0.8557 1.431
All Things Weaken 51 24.9 43.14% -0.571 -0.2776 0.237
Attenuated Essence 64 30.39 56.25% 0.123 0.2066 0.309
Back Against the Wall 34 39.59 61.76% 0.293 0.3408 0.633
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 27.02 33.33% -0.681 -0.4772 -0.541
Burn Brightest Before the End 52 27.65 44.23% -0.459 -0.2713 -0.597
Disintegrating Ecosystem 45 29.76 44.44% -0.203 0.2059 0.538
Downward Spiral 55 29.27 61.82% 0.144 0.272 0.927
Erosion of Will 52 32.31 48.08% -0.164 0.1193 0.391
Intensifying Exploitation 48 24.71 37.5% -0.559 -0.3114 -0.655
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 20 32.9 70.0% 0.541 0.0251 0.344
Memory Fades to Dust 76 28.95 46.05% -0.421 -0.1842 0.151
Power Corrodes the Spirit 56 27.52 32.14% -0.838 -0.6201 -0.148
Promising Farmlands 53 31.66 49.06% 0.074 0.3691 -0.201
Shattered Fragments of Power 54 35.24 42.59% -0.224 -0.0225 0.168
Slow Dissolution of Will 59 28.9 49.15% -0.174 0.2104 -0.347
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 11 32.36 63.64% 0.488 -0.0931 0.515
The Border of Life and Death 16 34.25 75.0% 0.585 0.0673 0.233
Thriving Communities 56 21.55 28.57% -0.941 -0.6021 -0.358
Thriving Crops 23 24.96 56.52% -0.123 -0.1656 0.352
Unnatural Proliferation 59 33.05 59.32% 0.272 0.4124 0.512
Untended Land Crumbles 55 27.47 36.36% -0.744 -0.2953 0.155

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 777 42.01% 29.02 59.72% 0.228 1.0898 0.089
B 526 40.68% 29.04 59.13% 0.186 1.0023 0.306
C 590 36.1% 27.6 62.03% 0.163 0.8419 -0.08
D 434 31.57% 27.52 61.29% 0.024 0.8285 -0.569
E 465 39.35% 30.16 60.65% 0.139 0.8079 -0.43
F 410 41.22% 29.01 57.8% 0.066 0.8641 0.059
G 440 42.6% 31.5 59.77% 0.428 1.2542 0.33
H 416 36.39% 29.37 62.98% 0.524 1.2971 -0.252
East 91 38.46% 26.08 56.04% -0.059 0.7873 -0.069
Northeast 64 35.94% 25.14 53.13% -0.062 0.7084 0.507
Northwest 41 21.95% 31.34 63.41% 0.06 0.8679 0.488
Southeast 36 33.33% 33.08 61.11% -1.051 -0.1811 0.0
Southwest 36 30.56% 30.31 58.33% -0.086 1.1954 0.0
West 66 31.82% 26.76 56.06% -0.51 0.4863 -0.393

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 33.0 100.0% 0.262 1.0577 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 0.0% 23.33 100.0% 0.468 0.8561 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 75 13.7% 48.15 68.0% 1.38 0.7657 0.667
Start of Game Growth 91 13.48% 43.89 65.93% 0.375 -0.2067 0.729
Unlimited Undo 293 43.84% 34.79 57.0% 0.206 0.2501 0.901
Using Tokens but Not Events 232 26.96% 22.78 70.69% 0.206 0.1479 -1.365

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9 33.33% 17.67 55.56% -0.385 -0.5283 0.0
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 302 24.17% 33.2 69.54% 0.557 -0.1563 0.184
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2 50.0% 8.0 0.0% -0.805 -0.5416 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 25 44.0% 33.4 64.0% 0.429 -0.3796 0.362
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 16 25.0% 33.81 81.25% 0.621 0.456 0.298
Downpour Drenches the World 23 47.83% 29.39 60.87% -0.075 0.198 0.033
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 37 35.14% 30.76 70.27% 0.123 -0.3036 0.327
Eyes Watch From the Trees 42 33.33% 29.74 69.05% 0.315 -0.0444 0.533
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 18 16.67% 28.39 72.22% -0.015 -0.4598 -0.581
Finder of Paths Unseen 9 55.56% 18.0 55.56% -0.268 0.4208 0.0
Fractured Days Split the Sky 40 10.0% 50.35 52.5% 1.183 1.7721 0.605
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 21 14.29% 42.05 85.71% 0.962 0.8979 1.118
Heart of the Wildfire 29 65.52% 22.76 55.17% 0.065 0.3923 -0.827
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 44 47.73% 37.75 77.27% 1.061 0.7659 0.86
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 23 30.43% 26.22 60.87% -0.316 -0.6864 -0.69
Lightning's Swift Strike 10 40.0% 19.0 40.0% -0.277 0.0631 -0.462
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 20 30.0% 21.4 45.0% -0.275 -0.7487 -0.688
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 16 12.5% 27.38 62.5% -0.13 -0.4904 0.495
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 17 17.65% 22.41 52.94% -0.384 -0.3766 0.123
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 34 17.65% 29.47 58.82% -0.489 -0.7838 0.751
Many Minds Move as One 6 16.67% 35.0 100.0% 0.845 0.6998 0.0
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 43 44.19% 28.56 62.79% 0.047 -0.0115 -0.076
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 15 46.67% 20.0 40.0% -0.546 -0.7098 0.113
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 63 12.7% 40.7 60.32% 0.276 0.0215 -0.087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3 100.0% 20.0 100.0% 0.169 0.6906 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 5 0.0% 30.4 100.0% 1.043 1.1845 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 33 39.39% 35.76 75.76% 0.732 0.1533 0.508
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 50.0% 21.0 50.0% -0.476 -0.1256 -0.274
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 7 14.29% 29.14 71.43% -0.051 -0.0668 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 3 100.0% 10.0 0.0% -0.915 -0.6663 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 8 87.5% 34.13 75.0% 0.371 0.2618 -0.446
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 44 34.09% 27.05 63.64% -0.119 -0.2805 -0.416
Shifting Memory of Ages 44 11.36% 42.48 45.45% -0.545 -0.2005 -0.568
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 287 37.28% 31.08 65.85% 0.094 -0.2155 0.364
Shroud of Silent Mist 8 25.0% 22.0 50.0% -0.258 0.0738 0.412
Starlight Seeks its Form 36 50.0% 26.42 61.11% -0.538 -0.7126 0.104
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 23 26.09% 24.17 60.87% -0.389 -1.0986 -0.403
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 25 28.0% 21.64 52.0% -0.342 -0.13 -0.53
Thunderspeaker 20 30.0% 27.0 55.0% 0.058 0.0375 -0.408
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 13 30.77% 29.69 76.92% 0.03 0.2279 0.647
Towering Roots of the Jungle 368 33.15% 30.27 65.22% 0.087 0.0594 -0.122
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 15 33.33% 21.6 46.67% -0.194 -0.1279 -0.896
Vital Strength of the Earth 11 27.27% 11.55 36.36% -1.16 -0.626 0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 19 36.84% 17.0 42.11% -0.764 -0.1971 -0.544
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 12 41.67% 19.0 41.67% -0.835 -0.0762 -0.695
Volcano Looming High 16 37.5% 36.88 68.75% 0.561 0.6978 0.412
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 31 45.16% 35.84 77.42% 0.878 0.5674 0.328

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 82.44%
Flash Floods 78.43%
River's Bounty 92.59%
Wash Away 82.8%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 943 15.74 16.01%
II 896 30.48 77.01%
III 522 34.79 90.23%
IV 103 38.41 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 151
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 466
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 681
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 102
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 607
Lose: Invader deck ran out 31
Lose: Adversary condition 136
Win: Sacrifice victory 8
Lose: Scenario condition 6
Win: Scenario condition 7
Lose: Blight pool ran out 251
Lose: Spirit destroyed 18

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.386 Win Model: -0.178

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.211 Win Model: 0.01
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 1470 50.58% 26.05 51.97%
2 487 33.26% 29.51 68.79%
3 280 43.21% 27.18 57.86%
4 136 32.35% 30.43 73.53%
5 11 18.18% 34.73 90.91%
6 80 16.25% 38.23 55.0%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)