Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 16 37.5% 18.44 62.5% 0.109 0.0822 -0.248
Blitz 0 65 41.54% 16.82 41.54% -1.77 -1.5199 0.931
Dahan Insurrection 4 129 24.03% 45.72 55.81% 0.977 0.7283 0.821
Despicable Theft 2 28 42.86% 22.57 42.86% 0.003 0.4648 -1.368
Elemental Invocation 1 41 46.34% 24.83 56.1% 0.161 0.8635 0.193
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 245 17.62% 35.43 58.37% 0.509 -0.044 0.72
Powers Long Forgotten 1 27 40.74% 19.63 51.85% -0.5 0.124 -0.384
Rituals of Terror 3 42 40.48% 43.12 59.52% -0.263 -0.0702 0.487
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 11 27.27% 15.27 27.27% -0.151 0.7716 -0.557
Second Wave 0 177 47.09% 25.33 68.36% 0.316 0.4331 0.186
The Great River 3 25 28.0% 12.04 20.0% -0.454 0.6144 -0.385
Varied Terrains 2 35 51.43% 23.94 45.71% 0.295 1.0363 1.099
Ward the Shores 2 34 23.53% 22.65 52.94% -0.722 0.3616 -0.625

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4593 47.98% 23.65 47.01% 0.026 0.5527 -0.161
1 Thematic 218 43.58% 26.55 44.04% 0.042 0.8964 -0.544
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 29.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0549 -0.492
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1062 38.49% 26.28 59.42% -0.275 0.0032 0.296
2 Coastline 226 30.67% 28.15 63.72% -0.054 0.0487 -0.007
2 Fragment 59 44.07% 39.17 61.02% 0.127 0.1397 2.283
2 Heart 48 62.5% 42.85 66.67% 0.845 0.9561 0.432
2 Opposite Shores 527 55.98% 23.91 34.16% -0.666 -0.3295 -1.324
2 Thematic 100 36.36% 22.02 35.0% -0.569 0.121 0.524
2 Top to Top 60 40.0% 28.75 55.0% 0.608 0.8497 -0.439
3 Archipelago 22 81.82% 36.64 27.27% 0.0 -0.7206 -0.913
3 Coastline 14 42.86% 19.93 42.86% 0.883 0.5422 1.169
3 Other 31 22.58% 18.94 54.84% 0.273 -0.3291 0.841
3 Round (Default) 952 40.95% 26.68 54.31% -0.346 -0.3401 0.038
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 29.2 80.0% -0.137 -0.1988 0.0
3 Thematic 47 48.94% 29.91 65.96% 0.004 0.0881 0.288
4 Archipelago 9 44.44% 34.0 55.56% 0.0 0.1505 0.412
4 Coastline 2 50.0% 36.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.7584 0.476
4 Leaf 4 25.0% 24.25 75.0% 0.0 0.1371 0.0
4 Other 18 41.18% 14.0 38.89% -0.029 -0.6478 0.572
4 Thematic 49 40.82% 36.9 57.14% -0.155 0.1124 -0.296
4 Trapezoid (Default) 463 27.43% 27.69 62.63% -0.361 -0.1968 -0.537
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 43.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.8784 0.0
5 Other 41 34.15% 27.27 58.54% 0.385 -0.0012 -0.017
5 Thematic 14 21.43% 31.93 64.29% 0.204 -0.5932 -0.098
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 20.8 60.0% 0.246 -0.8634 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 39.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.8372 0.0
6 Other 33 33.33% 23.36 54.55% -0.465 -0.4955 -0.982
6 Star 18 11.11% 28.06 66.67% -0.381 -0.398 0.258
6 Thematic 138 27.74% 30.09 48.55% -0.045 0.0582 -0.73
6 Two Centers (Default) 193 13.47% 41.17 53.89% -0.83 -0.2648 -0.436
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 100.0% 0.038 -0.3964 -0.654

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 168 30.14 45.24% -0.831 -0.5816 0.434
Aid From Lesser Spirits 172 34.03 49.42% -0.416 -0.5344 0.569
All Things Weaken 203 24.93 37.44% 0.167 0.5044 -0.104
Attenuated Essence 210 30.17 47.62% 0.197 0.2242 0.413
Back Against the Wall 153 32.55 45.75% -0.311 -0.3095 0.253
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 190 25.71 38.42% 0.008 0.2255 -0.291
Burn Brightest Before the End 161 29.69 39.75% 0.034 0.0153 0.184
Disintegrating Ecosystem 155 29.5 42.58% -0.374 0.0193 0.749
Downward Spiral 216 25.55 43.98% 0.178 0.2858 0.386
Erosion of Will 182 27.39 38.46% -0.684 -0.3316 0.314
Intensifying Exploitation 174 22.63 31.03% -0.103 0.1427 -0.149
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 89 24.85 53.93% 0.129 -0.3953 0.181
Memory Fades to Dust 215 27.28 39.53% -0.085 0.1624 0.43
Power Corrodes the Spirit 185 24.35 33.51% -0.38 -0.1581 -0.069
Promising Farmlands 197 24.75 37.06% -0.837 -0.5538 -0.418
Shattered Fragments of Power 204 32.02 43.63% -0.441 -0.3638 0.384
Slow Dissolution of Will 214 27.14 35.98% -1.037 -0.6402 -0.166
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 33.07 69.05% 1.364 0.6688 1.292
The Border of Life and Death 56 28.71 53.57% 0.155 -0.4463 -0.384
Thriving Communities 187 24.83 32.62% -0.788 -0.4311 0.094
Thriving Crops 79 27.82 48.1% -0.383 -0.579 0.193
Unnatural Proliferation 203 32.99 49.75% 0.423 0.5851 0.557
Untended Land Crumbles 204 26.77 35.29% -0.263 -0.0311 0.398

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2804 41.91% 26.99 52.21% 0.111 1.1159 0.255
B 1979 37.77% 26.65 51.44% -0.19 0.7297 0.225
C 2213 39.11% 25.88 52.69% 0.228 0.9624 -0.017
D 1876 38.73% 25.55 51.12% 0.09 1.0676 -0.264
E 1737 39.34% 27.29 52.68% -0.008 0.8114 0.206
F 1580 39.74% 27.14 53.73% -0.074 0.8 -0.019
G 1589 39.34% 29.12 55.44% 0.383 1.1925 0.384
H 1552 39.14% 27.48 54.19% -0.008 0.8066 0.046
East 448 32.44% 28.13 49.33% 0.441 1.3441 -0.456
Northeast 309 30.52% 26.0 45.31% -0.305 0.5029 -0.364
Northwest 246 29.92% 32.0 53.66% -0.043 0.857 1.111
Southeast 220 32.42% 30.18 51.82% 0.368 1.2182 -0.515
Southwest 251 42.8% 27.48 42.63% -1.451 -0.0757 -1.33
West 400 41.21% 29.21 46.25% 0.472 1.4269 0.698

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 92 0.0% 9.16 28.26% -1.389 -0.6812 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 113 46.55% 11.58 37.17% -0.354 0.0143 -0.427
Skip Initial Invader Actions 348 12.99% 49.03 73.85% 1.632 1.0476 -0.044
Start of Game Growth 447 14.25% 45.69 71.14% 0.679 0.1645 1.123
Unlimited Undo 1089 34.41% 30.7 53.9% 0.091 -0.0186 1.014
Using Tokens but Not Events 840 26.77% 20.71 57.5% -0.527 -0.5525 -1.217

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 119 18.64% 18.55 43.7% -0.56 -0.6651 -1.728
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 627 25.56% 34.52 64.59% 0.657 0.1774 0.299
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 31 41.94% 20.29 48.39% 0.944 1.0696 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 89 32.58% 26.11 57.3% 0.465 -0.3824 0.694
Dances Up Earthquakes 75 37.33% 24.83 50.67% -0.255 -0.218 -0.192
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 138 24.81% 21.91 58.7% 0.269 0.132 0.169
Downpour Drenches the World 202 34.34% 29.6 51.98% 0.408 0.6146 0.024
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 267 37.12% 26.43 50.94% 0.353 -0.2581 -0.241
Eyes Watch From the Trees 233 32.03% 26.11 53.22% 0.319 -0.0567 -0.069
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 156 29.61% 25.85 55.77% 0.164 -0.2269 0.744
Finder of Paths Unseen 93 43.01% 27.31 59.14% 0.701 1.4209 0.242
Fractured Days Split the Sky 201 24.88% 41.29 47.26% -0.22 0.3911 0.095
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 116 33.91% 32.53 62.93% 0.752 0.6523 0.51
Heart of the Wildfire 96 50.0% 21.05 52.08% -0.113 0.2241 -0.733
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 204 36.76% 37.83 67.16% 0.584 0.1539 1.449
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 213 29.11% 28.33 54.46% 0.059 -0.2559 -0.095
Lightning's Swift Strike 99 29.29% 18.88 46.46% -0.499 -0.2696 -0.432
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 175 32.76% 26.29 49.14% 0.213 -0.2319 -0.25
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 66 32.81% 30.76 62.12% 0.173 -0.1371 0.986
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 123 38.21% 25.99 51.22% 0.052 -0.0904 0.314
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 243 34.44% 32.76 53.5% 0.509 0.2805 0.345
Many Minds Move as One 99 29.29% 30.22 60.61% -0.105 -0.3478 -0.163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 246 40.16% 27.02 59.35% 0.439 0.5476 0.199
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 206 32.68% 23.94 54.37% -0.025 0.0938 -0.116
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 143 36.76% 20.2 41.96% -0.672 -0.7176 0.312
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 264 19.77% 35.85 51.52% -0.746 -0.8571 -0.146
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 76 39.47% 33.0 72.37% 0.264 0.146 0.481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 35 44.12% 22.74 62.86% 0.048 0.5429 -0.318
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 26.47% 23.86 58.33% -0.955 -1.0059 0.005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 147 37.67% 28.08 53.74% -1.404 -1.9148 0.245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 34.29% 22.03 65.71% 0.785 0.6571 -0.15
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 31 40.0% 22.94 41.94% -0.319 -0.3072 -0.863
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 18 33.33% 12.94 27.78% -0.864 -0.7287 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 41.03% 32.08 66.67% 0.038 0.0866 -0.489
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 150 30.87% 29.31 60.67% -0.463 -0.678 -0.47
Shifting Memory of Ages 161 24.22% 41.14 47.83% 0.48 0.7742 -0.76
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 565 38.58% 31.06 62.65% -0.284 -0.4025 0.629
Shroud of Silent Mist 102 57.84% 23.35 37.25% -0.55 -0.2226 0.201
Starlight Seeks its Form 226 34.51% 29.75 52.21% 0.594 0.4943 0.075
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 189 45.5% 30.0 46.56% -0.314 -0.8445 -0.141
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 140 29.41% 26.93 53.57% -0.479 -0.4014 0.64
Thunderspeaker 132 35.61% 32.08 55.3% 0.277 0.3133 -0.111
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 120 43.33% 28.2 52.5% 0.119 0.178 0.773
Towering Roots of the Jungle 605 33.55% 30.42 63.14% 0.298 0.4474 0.089
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 93 44.09% 25.95 45.16% -0.352 -0.2054 0.016
Vital Strength of the Earth 78 30.56% 16.69 55.13% -0.025 0.5428 -0.49
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 108 37.38% 19.51 43.52% 0.041 0.5618 -0.477
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 49 39.58% 22.78 42.86% -0.067 0.6747 -0.412
Volcano Looming High 149 48.32% 29.53 48.99% -0.244 -0.2294 -0.039
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 179 36.87% 24.22 47.49% -0.314 -0.606 -0.535

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 79.78%
Flash Floods 80.15%
River's Bounty 93.07%
Wash Away 82.05%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3755 13.33 11.37%
II 3024 30.1 68.72%
III 1764 34.83 89.8%
IV 420 38.67 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 427
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1553
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2005
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 409
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2603
Lose: Invader deck ran out 92
Lose: Adversary condition 605
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 36
Win: Scenario condition 90
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1068
Lose: Spirit destroyed 52

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.487 Win Model: -0.137

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.194 Win Model: 0.188
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4850 47.66% 23.81 46.8%
2 2057 42.9% 26.44 52.6%
3 1070 42.42% 26.93 54.39%
4 542 28.47% 27.75 61.25%
5 56 39.29% 29.98 58.93%
6 388 19.64% 35.06 53.61%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)