Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 22 36.36% 14.95 50.0% 0.0 -0.004 -0.214
Blitz 0 91 39.56% 18.46 46.15% -0.774 -0.5186 0.496
Dahan Insurrection 4 192 25.52% 42.26 53.65% 0.228 0.2608 -0.175
Despicable Theft 2 46 41.3% 19.28 34.78% 0.0 0.517 0.611
Elemental Invocation 1 63 45.16% 21.27 49.21% 0.112 0.645 -0.337
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 356 14.65% 35.31 57.58% -0.406 -0.9477 1.339
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 39.62% 17.83 41.51% -0.86 -0.1586 -0.403
Rituals of Terror 3 61 38.33% 40.51 55.74% -0.461 -0.4497 0.697
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 22 45.45% 24.09 40.91% 0.133 0.9221 0.291
Second Wave 0 305 42.95% 25.92 66.89% 0.33 0.3279 -0.033
The Great River 3 35 25.71% 9.09 14.29% -0.695 0.4401 -0.199
Varied Terrains 2 51 47.06% 20.41 39.22% -0.372 0.2598 -0.672
Ward the Shores 2 57 29.82% 20.47 49.12% 0.164 0.9947 0.586

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6104 46.35% 22.83 46.64% -0.263 0.0502 -0.138
1 Thematic 306 40.85% 25.51 45.1% 0.638 1.2959 0.256
2 Archipelago 2 100.0% 29.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4392 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1591 39.51% 24.47 53.87% -0.605 -0.4604 0.172
2 Coastline 424 33.33% 29.75 62.74% 0.953 0.9455 -0.148
2 Fragment 76 45.33% 34.89 53.95% -0.154 -0.0308 0.467
2 Heart 61 63.93% 39.87 63.93% -0.315 -0.3709 0.687
2 Opposite Shores 664 49.92% 23.7 38.25% 0.019 0.1534 -0.121
2 Thematic 176 34.1% 17.51 26.7% -0.416 0.1143 -0.612
2 Top to Top 94 37.63% 23.31 42.55% -0.562 -0.5559 -1.071
3 Archipelago 23 82.61% 35.65 26.09% 0.0 0.3056 0.0
3 Coastline 18 44.44% 20.5 38.89% 0.0 -0.809 0.441
3 Other 40 27.5% 21.45 57.5% 0.359 0.053 0.068
3 Round (Default) 1322 41.81% 27.4 55.9% -0.226 -0.1302 0.37
3 Sunrise 8 62.5% 21.38 62.5% -0.143 -0.7786 -0.372
3 Thematic 67 37.31% 28.15 61.19% -0.22 0.0874 -0.596
4 Archipelago 11 36.36% 33.73 54.55% 0.0 -0.4796 0.0
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 24.33 33.33% -0.23 -0.1352 0.0
4 Leaf 5 20.0% 26.4 80.0% 0.0 0.0418 0.0
4 Other 21 45.0% 13.86 38.1% 0.0 -0.5458 0.662
4 Thematic 69 34.78% 35.55 62.32% 0.0 0.704 0.0
4 Trapezoid (Default) 648 30.12% 28.02 62.81% 0.389 0.392 0.061
5 Archipelago 3 66.67% 43.0 66.67% 0.0 1.2045 0.0
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5976 0.0
5 Other 83 32.93% 24.53 63.86% 0.107 -0.311 -0.268
5 Thematic 19 15.79% 30.89 63.16% 0.0 -0.1185 -0.165
6 Archipelago 8 0.0% 19.38 50.0% 0.0 -1.2365 0.0
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 19.67 33.33% 0.0 0.433 -0.167
6 Other 60 45.0% 25.33 43.33% -0.281 -0.118 -0.199
6 Star 18 11.11% 28.06 66.67% 0.0 0.406 0.0
6 Thematic 213 26.42% 33.44 55.87% -0.137 -0.0651 0.517
6 Two Centers (Default) 255 14.57% 39.78 52.16% 0.317 0.8453 -0.917
7 Other 1 100.0% 51.0 100.0% 0.158 -0.3918 0.289

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 213 30.34 46.48% -0.209 0.0116 1.086
Aid From Lesser Spirits 233 34.91 51.93% 0.137 0.2057 0.309
All Things Weaken 268 25.23 36.57% -0.566 -0.1692 -0.219
Attenuated Essence 276 29.64 47.46% 0.487 0.5621 0.754
Back Against the Wall 208 32.9 48.08% 0.382 0.3622 1.103
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 258 25.97 39.92% 0.194 0.4791 0.612
Burn Brightest Before the End 232 30.18 41.81% -0.356 -0.13 0.673
Disintegrating Ecosystem 222 27.53 40.09% -0.58 -0.2969 -0.346
Downward Spiral 293 24.48 44.03% -0.739 -0.5064 -0.036
Erosion of Will 232 26.44 37.93% -0.517 -0.1797 -0.347
Intensifying Exploitation 239 21.87 31.8% -0.382 -0.0457 -0.329
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 119 25.06 52.94% 0.093 -0.462 1.154
Memory Fades to Dust 287 25.82 39.72% -0.153 0.1862 -0.038
Power Corrodes the Spirit 260 26.13 37.31% -0.781 -0.5514 1.049
Promising Farmlands 266 25.48 36.47% -0.718 -0.363 -0.037
Shattered Fragments of Power 268 31.21 42.91% -0.701 -0.6442 0.854
Slow Dissolution of Will 286 27.53 39.86% -0.404 -0.0801 0.586
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 56 32.93 67.86% 0.443 -0.1971 0.668
The Border of Life and Death 74 27.39 51.35% -0.568 -0.9801 0.182
Thriving Communities 241 25.05 33.2% -0.194 0.0379 -0.007
Thriving Crops 114 30.04 54.39% 0.735 0.5786 1.448
Unnatural Proliferation 270 31.11 46.3% 0.22 0.3464 0.731
Untended Land Crumbles 258 26.58 35.27% 0.397 0.6036 0.732

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3874 41.03% 26.4 52.14% 0.263 1.1973 0.742
B 2753 38.37% 26.38 51.0% 0.332 1.1637 0.607
C 3052 38.68% 25.33 52.1% -0.065 0.696 -0.609
D 2659 39.35% 25.89 51.75% 0.113 0.9937 -0.145
E 2413 39.05% 26.26 51.84% 0.074 0.7922 -0.63
F 2220 40.22% 26.51 52.97% 0.16 0.9984 0.263
G 2276 39.95% 28.46 54.96% -0.273 0.5484 0.551
H 2166 37.88% 26.39 52.86% -0.463 0.3203 -0.205
East 677 29.08% 27.5 50.37% -0.159 0.6795 0.327
Northeast 480 26.72% 25.93 46.88% -0.508 0.1663 0.02
Northwest 376 28.34% 32.45 55.32% 0.474 1.3092 0.115
Southeast 328 29.54% 31.75 55.79% 0.209 1.2492 0.133
Southwest 367 38.8% 29.36 47.96% -0.019 1.1962 -0.476
West 589 37.31% 29.7 48.9% -0.133 0.5618 -0.719

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 169 0.0% 9.17 28.99% -1.191 -0.3447 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 235 28.0% 10.4 37.45% -0.669 -0.3035 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 497 12.88% 46.38 71.63% -0.154 -0.9465 0.195
Start of Game Growth 649 15.42% 43.73 70.26% 0.94 0.4149 0.437
Unlimited Undo 1524 34.63% 30.94 54.66% 0.058 0.1243 1.383
Using Tokens but Not Events 1246 25.86% 20.7 56.74% -0.121 -0.121 -1.193

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 217 17.59% 20.22 47.47% -0.758 -0.9296 0.531
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 789 27.19% 34.9 63.24% -0.256 -0.7466 -0.114
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 21 19.05% 35.19 85.71% 0.591 0.4402 0.462
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 70 25.71% 30.96 57.14% 0.092 -0.5067 0.26
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 43 41.86% 18.84 44.19% -0.513 -0.338 -0.101
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 111 34.23% 25.68 56.76% 0.364 -0.4469 0.038
Dances Up Earthquakes 162 41.98% 26.74 53.7% 0.344 0.4793 -0.19
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 223 29.95% 21.9 56.05% -0.102 -0.3017 -0.217
Downpour Drenches the World 271 32.2% 29.81 53.14% 0.309 0.5979 0.55
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 395 33.5% 27.02 52.91% 0.579 0.0899 0.032
Eyes Watch From the Trees 337 29.13% 25.86 56.38% -0.319 -0.7373 0.094
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 231 29.02% 25.71 58.87% 0.916 0.6629 0.075
Finder of Paths Unseen 115 43.48% 28.32 60.0% -0.376 0.4105 0.569
Fractured Days Split the Sky 265 23.4% 40.25 44.91% -0.605 -0.0688 -0.421
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 190 43.92% 30.09 56.32% 0.234 0.2915 -1.23
Heart of the Wildfire 130 46.92% 22.64 53.85% -1.381 -1.0601 0.379
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 285 35.79% 37.7 65.96% 0.011 -0.4095 -0.288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 302 28.15% 30.45 59.6% -0.024 -0.3368 -0.031
Lightning's Swift Strike 156 25.0% 20.92 53.21% 0.024 0.2461 0.263
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 228 35.68% 27.09 49.12% 0.074 -0.4275 -0.209
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 102 32.99% 27.25 59.8% -0.382 -0.7041 0.571
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 198 42.86% 27.62 51.52% -0.476 -0.7093 0.374
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 319 35.13% 31.89 52.66% -0.05 -0.2467 -0.613
Many Minds Move as One 154 28.1% 28.81 62.34% -0.012 -0.1167 -0.412
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 320 40.82% 26.38 55.63% -0.377 -0.393 0.017
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 395 40.31% 25.09 54.94% 0.22 0.326 -0.462
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 235 37.5% 23.52 51.49% 0.684 0.538 0.665
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 330 20.36% 36.48 50.61% 0.474 0.2644 -0.436
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 191 43.98% 29.72 56.54% 0.617 0.3701 0.102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 43 45.0% 19.02 53.49% 0.0 0.6472 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 79 24.68% 17.14 45.57% 0.0 0.0634 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 189 35.64% 26.25 52.38% -0.326 -0.7856 -0.417
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 55 32.73% 21.45 61.82% 0.464 0.3388 0.575
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 49 31.25% 20.78 42.86% -0.357 -0.3813 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 38 34.21% 17.29 44.74% 0.0 0.1066 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 62 40.32% 27.15 62.9% -0.544 -0.822 -0.431
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 14 57.14% 23.07 42.86% 0.403 0.0097 0.043
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 199 30.61% 30.64 62.81% 0.179 0.204 0.218
Shifting Memory of Ages 217 24.88% 40.68 47.0% 0.127 0.6228 0.246
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 646 38.29% 30.59 61.15% 0.645 0.649 -0.914
Shroud of Silent Mist 134 52.99% 23.61 41.04% 0.0 0.6061 0.373
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 20 40.0% 20.3 40.0% 0.127 -0.1071 -0.318
Starlight Seeks its Form 325 37.65% 29.57 50.77% 0.145 0.1328 0.191
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 265 43.77% 29.71 48.68% 0.87 0.2657 0.509
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 207 30.77% 26.09 51.69% -0.51 -0.3664 0.213
Thunderspeaker 296 35.27% 36.53 64.53% 1.184 1.2985 0.376
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 181 40.0% 26.24 51.38% -0.772 -0.8279 -0.922
Towering Roots of the Jungle 672 32.59% 30.7 63.54% 0.506 0.6656 0.449
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 130 50.0% 26.89 50.0% -0.196 -0.1638 0.241
Vital Strength of the Earth 141 27.82% 17.48 56.03% -0.423 0.0698 -0.184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 160 40.88% 24.07 46.88% -0.661 -0.2492 0.695
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 77 38.36% 19.47 44.16% -0.059 0.8457 -0.537
Volcano Looming High 219 47.25% 27.87 48.4% -0.171 -0.296 -0.54
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 233 38.63% 24.47 49.36% -0.323 -0.5583 0.252

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Vigor 79.66%
Flash Floods 81.36%
River's Bounty 93.0%
Wash Away 82.54%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5224 12.31 10.3%
II 4112 29.92 69.26%
III 2484 34.93 89.49%
IV 586 38.88 99.32%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 538
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2173
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2746
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 571
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3735
Lose: Invader deck ran out 129
Lose: Adversary condition 814
Win: Sacrifice victory 32
Lose: Scenario condition 59
Win: Scenario condition 131
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1408
Lose: Spirit destroyed 70

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.592 Win Model: -0.117

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.593 Win Model: 0.217
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6480 45.94% 22.92 46.39%
2 3044 41.46% 25.25 50.49%
3 1471 42.33% 27.46 55.61%
4 752 30.12% 28.12 62.1%
5 101 35.0% 26.66 63.37%
6 558 21.94% 35.16 53.58%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)