Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 11 9.09% 20.36 -0.154 63.64% -0.194 -0.3013
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 16 31.25% 22.69 0.963 81.25% 0.586 0.0975
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3 33.33% 9.0 -4.584 33.33% -0.433 -0.2902
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 8 25.0% 25.88 2.642 87.5% 0.535 -0.2132
Dances Up Earthquakes 132 26.52% 21.62 -0.167 72.73% 0.04 -0.1363
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 20 25.0% 22.65 0.514 55.0% -0.618 -0.8254
Downpour Drenches the World 20 10.0% 20.3 -0.737 70.0% -0.429 -0.1091
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 34 17.65% 26.82 2.719 79.41% 0.528 0.0872
Eyes Watch From the Trees 27 7.41% 21.48 -0.17 66.67% -0.326 -0.6697
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 18 5.56% 23.61 1.411 61.11% -0.017 -0.3714
Finder of Paths Unseen 13 38.46% 20.08 -0.537 53.85% -0.407 0.3777
Fractured Days Split the Sky 13 23.08% 13.69 -2.562 38.46% -0.552 -0.104
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 12 25.0% 19.17 1.205 41.67% -0.087 -0.1104
Heart of the Wildfire 13 38.46% 16.77 -1.357 53.85% -0.294 0.0332
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 18 22.22% 17.17 -2.068 55.56% -0.556 -1.0512
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 9 0.0% 23.22 1.454 77.78% 0.512 -0.0508
Lightning's Swift Strike 7 28.57% 25.43 2.045 71.43% 0.38 0.5787
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 6 50.0% 31.0 5.202 100.0% 1.01 0.5618
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 4 0.0% 15.0 -3.241 50.0% -0.476 -0.7955
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 5 20.0% 25.6 2.262 80.0% 0.453 0.5778
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 25 24.0% 25.4 2.145 80.0% 0.553 0.3967
Many Minds Move as One 17 5.88% 18.35 -0.59 58.82% -0.257 -0.4642
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5 20.0% 10.8 -5.864 20.0% -1.156 -1.0265
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 166 35.54% 17.84 -2.015 68.07% -0.196 -0.0908
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 19 10.53% 24.84 1.618 73.68% 0.306 0.2563
River Surges in Sunlight 7 42.86% 19.43 -1.057 57.14% -0.663 -0.6298
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 10 10.0% 22.7 1.194 80.0% 0.512 0.7203
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 4 0.0% 34.0 6.027 100.0% 0.581 0.7325
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 12 33.33% 21.42 2.417 50.0% 0.2 0.2093
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 16 12.5% 22.44 -0.237 62.5% -0.272 -0.3713
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 47 25.53% 21.72 0.596 72.34% 0.109 -0.3821
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5 40.0% 20.8 1.497 80.0% 0.52 1.032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 33.33% 29.0 3.364 100.0% 0.414 0.3704
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 17 29.41% 27.47 2.761 88.24% 0.763 0.3143
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 20.0% 25.2 2.184 80.0% 0.335 0.3935
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 28.0 3.211 100.0% 0.238 0.0477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.322 0.0% -0.458 -0.3744
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9 22.22% 13.78 -2.632 44.44% -0.357 -0.4552
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 10 0.0% 26.5 2.459 90.0% 0.745 0.551
Shifting Memory of Ages 9 0.0% 15.33 -3.691 44.44% -0.573 -0.1836
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 13 7.69% 19.08 -1.375 61.54% -0.437 -0.4888
Shroud of Silent Mist 14 21.43% 17.79 -0.353 64.29% 0.245 0.6597
Starlight Seeks its Form 24 12.5% 22.46 0.007 75.0% 0.148 0.1081
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 23 8.7% 19.09 -1.54 60.87% -0.242 -0.7441
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 11 0.0% 18.45 -1.127 63.64% -0.032 0.0516
Thunderspeaker 6 16.67% 20.5 -0.52 50.0% -0.322 -0.3272
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 10 40.0% 17.0 0.023 50.0% 0.307 0.6956
Towering Roots of the Jungle 24 12.5% 19.58 -0.783 62.5% -0.328 -0.1171
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 10 50.0% 19.3 0.362 70.0% 0.351 0.4285
Vital Strength of the Earth 12 8.33% 24.75 2.264 75.0% 0.477 0.9264
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 4 0.0% 17.75 0.316 50.0% -0.077 0.4179
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 3 0.0% 0.0 -10.842 0.0% -1.192 -0.4988
Volcano Looming High 10 0.0% 23.2 0.332 60.0% 0.042 0.1061
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 23 21.74% 22.04 1.039 65.22% 0.32 0.0713

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 50.0% 28.0 2.564 100.0% 0.173 -0.3852
Blitz 0 6 0.0% 11.83 -3.792 33.33% -0.455 -0.0323
Dahan Insurrection 4 8 25.0% 19.0 2.334 25.0% -0.415 -0.8975
Despicable Theft 2 5 0.0% 7.0 -5.08 20.0% -0.827 -0.2846
Elemental Invocation 1 3 0.0% 0.0 -9.661 0.0% -0.98 -0.2419
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 17 0.0% 24.24 0.226 64.71% -0.483 -1.1393
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 0.0% 22.0 0.321 33.33% -0.723 -0.161
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 100.0% 0.0 -10.677 0.0% -0.492 0.2568
Second Wave 0 6 33.33% 12.83 -4.574 33.33% -1.002 -0.9077
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -10.221 0.0% -0.497 0.7479
Varied Terrains 2 2 0.0% 0.0 -8.472 0.0% -0.623 0.2449
Ward the Shores 2 5 20.0% 22.2 -0.015 60.0% -0.137 0.7177

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 397 27.46% 22.12 0.857 72.54% 0.772 1.1458
1 Thematic 17 11.76% 15.53 -2.699 35.29% -0.626 0.0877
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 72 20.83% 20.94 -0.455 66.67% 0.01 0.1713
2 Coastline 11 9.09% 24.0 0.482 81.82% 0.162 -0.031
2 Opposite Shores 18 16.67% 21.89 0.851 83.33% 0.771 0.903
2 Thematic 9 0.0% 6.56 -5.621 11.11% -0.997 -0.2765
2 Top to Top 4 25.0% 21.0 0.109 75.0% -0.001 -0.0859
3 Round (Default) 56 25.0% 20.61 -0.313 69.64% -0.357 -0.3806
3 Thematic 1 0.0% 56.0 16.112 100.0% 0.371 0.3784
4 Other 1 100.0% 26.0 0.795 100.0% 0.536 -0.0318
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.306 0.0% -0.313 -0.25
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21 9.52% 18.62 -1.835 52.38% -1.211 -1.2059
5 Other 4 0.0% 22.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 7 28.57% 15.14 0.69 28.57% 0.152 0.3559
6 Two Centers (Default) 1 0.0% 23.0 3.264 100.0% 0.157 0.6312

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 5 10.6 -5.739 40.0% -0.773 -0.7017
Aid From Lesser Spirits 11 21.64 0.244 81.82% 0.385 0.2752
All Things Weaken 8 17.63 -2.135 75.0% 0.256 0.4331
Attenuated Essence 13 21.31 -0.157 69.23% -0.018 0.0336
Back Against the Wall 6 24.83 2.083 83.33% 0.423 0.4078
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 12 16.67 -2.222 58.33% -0.379 -0.1954
Burn Brightest Before the End 5 35.4 7.222 80.0% 0.424 0.5109
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7 12.43 -4.111 28.57% -1.035 -0.7437
Downward Spiral 5 11.2 -4.936 40.0% -0.829 -0.7233
Erosion of Will 6 23.0 0.321 100.0% 0.855 1.0213
Intensifying Exploitation 11 19.82 -1.232 63.64% -0.319 -0.1312
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 4 25.75 0.937 75.0% -0.088 -0.5162
Memory Fades to Dust 6 22.33 0.657 83.33% 0.306 0.5409
Power Corrodes the Spirit 4 24.0 1.571 100.0% 0.677 0.7733
Promising Farmlands 6 17.83 -1.914 83.33% 0.15 0.5146
Shattered Fragments of Power 9 18.22 -1.299 44.44% -0.51 -0.4445
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 17.88 -1.833 75.0% 0.016 0.4789
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 3 22.67 -2.221 66.67% -0.151 -0.752
The Border of Life and Death 3 10.0 -5.275 33.33% -0.746 -1.2217
Thriving Communities 4 12.75 -4.328 50.0% -0.636 -0.4104
Thriving Crops 4 15.5 -4.085 50.0% -0.687 -0.9112
Unnatural Proliferation 3 13.0 -4.27 33.33% -0.807 -0.685
Untended Land Crumbles 7 16.86 -2.117 57.14% -0.289 -0.0565

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 135 24.44% 21.96 0.004 69.63% 0.056 0.9743
B 133 26.32% 19.26 -1.286 66.17% -0.205 0.6357
C 107 23.36% 21.59 -0.062 71.96% 0.15 0.8334
D 123 25.2% 21.13 -0.153 69.92% 0.214 1.0562
E 90 20.0% 21.89 0.212 71.11% 0.117 0.7686
F 109 14.68% 22.52 0.505 75.23% 0.345 1.1049
G 107 28.97% 20.99 0.38 71.03% 0.427 1.1842
H 88 18.18% 22.39 0.686 73.86% 0.417 1.1359
East 25 8.0% 17.08 -0.981 32.0% -0.517 0.2968
Northeast 18 11.11% 20.06 2.7 38.89% 0.632 1.2998
Northwest 12 25.0% 11.08 -2.476 25.0% -0.473 0.3321
Southeast 9 22.22% 11.78 -2.334 22.22% -0.268 0.438
Southwest 11 27.27% 12.45 -2.862 27.27% -0.381 1.009
West 21 19.05% 10.48 -3.618 23.81% -0.843 -0.0494

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 7 0.0% 34.0 4.488 100.0% 0.925 0.1939
Start of Game Growth 8 12.5% 33.25 3.818 87.5% 0.173 -0.2729
Unlimited Undo 28 21.43% 21.39 -0.963 67.86% -0.222 -0.255
Using Tokens but Not Events 56 30.36% 21.45 0.3 80.36% 0.648 0.486

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 161 14.25 8.07%
II 209 30.3 86.6%
III 190 34.84 92.11%
IV 60 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.113 Win Model: 0.261
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 423 26.48% 21.66 70.21%
2 105 18.1% 20.88 69.52%
3 57 24.56% 21.23 70.18%
4 23 13.04% 18.13 52.17%
5 4 0.0% 22.0 100.0%
6 8 25.0% 16.13 37.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 13
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 174
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 177
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 60
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 133
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1
Lose: Adversary condition 32
Lose: Scenario condition 2
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 23

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 19 10.53% 36.11 1.205 84.21% 0.186 0.0792
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 14 28.57% 34.57 0.275 78.57% -0.303 -0.7915
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4 50.0% 38.0 3.685 100.0% 0.526 0.6688
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 8 12.5% 34.5 2.511 75.0% 0.01 -0.7384
Dances Up Earthquakes 101 32.67% 30.98 -0.391 80.2% -0.258 -0.4351
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 14 0.0% 37.93 3.015 92.86% 0.508 0.3005
Downpour Drenches the World 9 44.44% 23.56 -5.44 55.56% -1.051 -0.7306
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 23 8.7% 36.26 1.761 86.96% 0.238 -0.202
Eyes Watch From the Trees 25 16.0% 39.64 3.193 92.0% 0.585 0.242
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 19 0.0% 36.0 1.212 84.21% -0.226 -0.5807
Finder of Paths Unseen 8 50.0% 15.0 -8.39 37.5% -1.402 -0.6179
Fractured Days Split the Sky 7 57.14% 36.0 1.226 100.0% 0.577 1.0251
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 12 16.67% 34.58 0.199 83.33% -0.352 -0.3757
Heart of the Wildfire 17 47.06% 29.76 -1.887 70.59% -0.578 -0.2514
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 24 62.5% 37.08 0.95 95.83% 0.556 0.0605
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 9 0.0% 27.33 -2.097 66.67% -0.26 -0.8232
Lightning's Swift Strike 8 0.0% 40.75 4.222 100.0% 0.69 0.8883
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3 33.33% 36.0 2.742 100.0% 0.374 -0.0744
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 8 37.5% 37.63 2.859 100.0% 0.495 0.176
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 9 0.0% 42.11 1.002 88.89% -0.271 -0.1465
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 28 28.57% 35.0 1.682 82.14% 0.279 0.123
Many Minds Move as One 6 16.67% 36.83 4.402 83.33% 0.567 0.36
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9 22.22% 36.33 0.592 77.78% 0.137 0.266
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 222 41.44% 27.74 -1.463 76.58% 0.018 0.1227
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 17 35.29% 35.47 3.162 88.24% 1.204 1.1542
River Surges in Sunlight 14 28.57% 32.43 0.168 85.71% 0.055 0.0882
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 12 33.33% 32.0 -0.594 83.33% -0.305 -0.0969
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1 100.0% 19.0 -5.607 0.0% -0.386 -0.2348
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 12 25.0% 45.58 4.349 100.0% 0.565 0.5747
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6 16.67% 38.33 2.266 83.33% -0.069 -0.1678
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 70 30.0% 34.73 1.121 85.71% 0.026 -0.4646
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 0.0% 41.0 0.123 100.0% 0.083 0.0394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 26 23.08% 34.12 2.357 80.77% 0.551 0.1031
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 50.0% 21.5 -5.061 50.0% -0.53 -0.4717
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 2 100.0% 23.0 -3.071 100.0% 0.341 0.1509
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 1 100.0% 35.0 1.438 100.0% 0.162 0.2452
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 6 16.67% 30.5 1.072 66.67% -0.084 -0.1818
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 13 23.08% 37.15 2.285 84.62% 0.041 -0.1536
Shifting Memory of Ages 9 22.22% 29.56 -1.786 77.78% -0.465 -0.0758
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 12 33.33% 34.17 0.55 83.33% -0.12 -0.1712
Shroud of Silent Mist 9 44.44% 38.56 1.502 100.0% 0.639 1.0535
Starlight Seeks its Form 31 29.03% 34.06 0.97 87.1% 0.209 0.1691
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 64 34.38% 28.92 1.854 78.13% 1.057 0.5549
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 13 23.08% 26.54 -2.576 69.23% -0.694 -0.6109
Thunderspeaker 12 25.0% 41.33 3.344 91.67% 0.428 0.4221
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 7 14.29% 18.86 -4.998 42.86% -0.861 -0.4719
Towering Roots of the Jungle 18 16.67% 20.61 -5.0 50.0% -1.024 -0.8134
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 21 47.62% 21.76 -3.972 52.38% -0.78 -0.7027
Vital Strength of the Earth 5 0.0% 38.4 1.679 100.0% 0.319 0.768
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 4 75.0% 37.75 1.489 100.0% 0.288 0.782
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 4 50.0% 22.75 -4.553 75.0% -0.372 0.3206
Volcano Looming High 18 33.33% 27.61 -2.22 72.22% -0.601 -0.5371
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 9 44.44% 32.89 1.135 77.78% -0.113 -0.3624

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 0.0% 40.0 4.217 100.0% 0.347 -0.2113
Blitz 0 1 100.0% 35.0 -1.712 100.0% 0.054 0.4773
Dahan Insurrection 4 8 12.5% 42.38 3.856 62.5% -0.778 -1.2597
Despicable Theft 2 2 0.0% 25.0 -3.849 50.0% -0.391 0.152
Elemental Invocation 1 4 25.0% 24.75 -2.257 50.0% 0.063 0.8005
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 17 11.76% 37.06 2.285 82.35% 0.087 -0.5697
Powers Long Forgotten 1 4 25.0% 17.0 -6.179 25.0% -0.729 -0.1668
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 27.5 0.464 50.0% -0.446 -0.5883
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.475 0.0% -0.52 0.2288
Second Wave 0 23 47.83% 26.39 -2.064 56.52% -0.825 -0.7301
Varied Terrains 2 3 66.67% 39.67 3.668 66.67% -0.041 0.8267

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 275 33.82% 32.36 0.766 82.55% 0.588 0.9611
1 Thematic 9 11.11% 27.89 -1.761 55.56% -0.496 0.2179
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.86 0.0% -0.58 -0.0562
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 81 29.63% 32.74 0.267 85.19% 0.186 0.3471
2 Coastline 10 20.0% 33.0 -0.461 80.0% -0.269 -0.462
2 Heart 1 0.0% 38.0 3.105 100.0% 0.09 -0.1224
2 Opposite Shores 21 28.57% 32.38 0.851 85.71% 0.296 0.4288
2 Thematic 98 29.59% 21.87 -2.444 57.14% -0.529 0.1915
2 Top to Top 5 0.0% 42.0 5.068 100.0% 0.463 0.3784
3 Other 2 50.0% 37.5 5.694 100.0% 0.656 -0.2201
3 Round (Default) 52 38.46% 33.17 -0.094 86.54% -0.396 -0.4195
3 Thematic 2 50.0% 36.0 2.642 100.0% 0.261 0.2685
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 20.0 -2.779 0.0% -0.329 -0.2664
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14 28.57% 35.71 0.519 92.86% -0.076 -0.0711
5 Other 5 60.0% 34.4 0.611 100.0% 0.12 -0.2037
6 Other 1 0.0% 40.0 2.866 100.0% 0.009 -0.0356
6 Thematic 5 20.0% 40.4 3.105 80.0% -0.115 0.089
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 20.0% 48.2 1.962 80.0% -0.362 0.1121

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 10 34.3 0.971 100.0% 0.797 0.8678
Aid From Lesser Spirits 7 26.14 -1.034 57.14% -0.355 -0.4647
All Things Weaken 5 31.8 -0.223 100.0% 0.43 0.6068
Attenuated Essence 13 27.77 -1.002 76.92% -0.091 -0.0388
Back Against the Wall 2 36.5 2.341 100.0% 0.264 0.2487
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 32.22 -0.242 100.0% 0.6 0.7836
Burn Brightest Before the End 8 26.63 -1.857 50.0% -0.865 -0.7778
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5 25.6 -0.733 80.0% 0.252 0.5433
Downward Spiral 8 39.13 3.096 100.0% 0.814 0.9203
Erosion of Will 10 29.9 -0.929 80.0% -0.131 0.0349
Intensifying Exploitation 10 27.6 -0.165 70.0% -0.201 -0.0126
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 5 32.0 1.238 100.0% 0.604 0.1765
Memory Fades to Dust 13 27.46 -1.294 69.23% -0.313 -0.0786
Power Corrodes the Spirit 14 29.21 -0.832 85.71% 0.239 0.335
Promising Farmlands 7 16.86 -7.685 28.57% -1.273 -0.9089
Shattered Fragments of Power 9 28.78 -1.479 77.78% -0.238 -0.1728
Slow Dissolution of Will 3 22.67 -4.037 66.67% -0.259 0.2039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 7 29.71 -1.642 85.71% -0.116 -0.7177
The Border of Life and Death 3 33.33 2.597 100.0% 0.492 0.017
Thriving Communities 12 29.08 0.195 83.33% 0.35 0.5752
Thriving Crops 8 36.25 2.785 100.0% 0.706 0.481
Unnatural Proliferation 6 23.17 -3.867 66.67% -0.443 -0.3208
Untended Land Crumbles 13 25.23 -3.034 69.23% -0.428 -0.1959

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 110 32.73% 32.25 -0.057 82.73% -0.045 0.8739
B 117 34.19% 32.98 0.007 82.91% -0.189 0.6521
C 101 33.66% 33.92 0.996 85.15% 0.085 0.7683
D 114 35.96% 31.37 -0.369 81.58% -0.191 0.6518
E 102 37.25% 34.09 0.761 86.27% 0.158 0.8094
F 82 29.27% 34.48 0.788 85.37% 0.035 0.7951
G 79 27.85% 35.32 1.291 89.87% 0.45 1.2071
H 89 26.97% 36.61 1.798 93.26% 0.765 1.4832
East 103 29.13% 22.7 -2.137 58.25% -0.637 0.1766
Northeast 98 28.57% 22.36 -2.581 58.16% -1.178 -0.5101
Northwest 100 30.0% 23.89 -1.196 61.0% -0.016 0.7886
Southeast 9 33.33% 32.22 -0.648 66.67% -0.209 0.4961
Southwest 11 18.18% 28.09 -1.182 54.55% -0.526 0.8638
West 111 28.83% 24.22 2.461 60.36% -0.212 0.5814

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.421 0.0% -0.369 0.1154
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3 0.0% 51.67 7.341 100.0% 0.326 -0.4051
Start of Game Growth 8 0.0% 41.5 2.587 87.5% -0.054 -0.5001
Unlimited Undo 34 20.59% 33.79 -0.228 82.35% -0.19 -0.2237
Using Tokens but Not Events 42 21.43% 34.9 0.844 90.48% 0.488 0.3253

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 100 14.25 12.0%
II 237 30.3 88.61%
III 208 34.84 96.63%
IV 44 38.61 97.73%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.324 Win Model: 0.606
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 294 32.99% 31.56 79.93%
2 209 28.71% 28.63 74.64%
3 55 38.18% 33.49 87.27%
4 15 26.67% 34.67 86.67%
5 7 57.14% 26.86 71.43%
6 9 11.11% 51.89 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 12
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 200
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 204
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 43
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 95
Lose: Adversary condition 8
Win: Sacrifice victory 2
Lose: Scenario condition 1
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 13 7.69% 19.77 -6.331 46.15% -1.089 -1.1957
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 21 14.29% 36.52 2.275 76.19% 0.323 -0.1649
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4 0.0% 31.5 -1.126 75.0% 0.004 0.1476
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 5 80.0% 47.2 6.868 100.0% 0.807 0.0591
Dances Up Earthquakes 79 32.91% 34.48 0.785 78.48% 0.31 0.1333
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 11 18.18% 33.55 1.209 81.82% 0.477 0.2696
Downpour Drenches the World 5 40.0% 36.0 -0.593 80.0% -0.1 0.2201
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 37 29.73% 36.16 1.607 81.08% 0.297 -0.1435
Eyes Watch From the Trees 26 7.69% 37.04 1.802 76.92% 0.122 -0.2208
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 14 21.43% 35.93 1.183 78.57% 0.134 -0.2206
Finder of Paths Unseen 4 0.0% 3.5 -11.481 0.0% -1.042 -0.2578
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2 0.0% 25.5 9.432 50.0% 0.209 0.6568
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 12 33.33% 24.0 -2.578 41.67% -0.74 -0.764
Heart of the Wildfire 8 50.0% 41.38 4.937 100.0% 0.991 1.3178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 16 25.0% 42.88 5.461 93.75% 1.2 0.7049
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 17 17.65% 32.88 -0.082 76.47% 0.105 -0.4578
Lightning's Swift Strike 9 22.22% 38.0 3.037 88.89% 0.54 0.7383
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 3 66.67% 43.33 6.795 100.0% 0.608 0.1602
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 7 28.57% 37.43 3.063 85.71% 0.531 0.2113
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 4 0.0% 55.0 3.675 100.0% 0.169 0.2937
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 15 6.67% 41.93 3.912 93.33% 0.937 0.7812
Many Minds Move as One 19 21.05% 23.63 -4.035 52.63% -0.815 -1.0217
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7 0.0% 24.43 -2.925 42.86% -0.687 -0.5572
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 103 43.69% 33.24 -0.127 76.7% 0.008 0.1132
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9 44.44% 33.33 1.706 77.78% 0.593 0.5434
River Surges in Sunlight 14 35.71% 38.0 2.145 85.71% 0.315 0.3477
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 27.27% 39.82 1.548 81.82% 0.243 0.4514
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2 100.0% 29.5 -0.774 50.0% -0.223 -0.0716
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 12 25.0% 39.92 -0.137 83.33% -0.08 -0.0708
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 12 25.0% 34.75 0.495 75.0% 0.049 -0.05
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 35 25.71% 35.57 1.61 82.86% 0.544 0.0527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 7 28.57% 33.29 -1.526 71.43% -0.278 -0.7267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 0.0% 21.0 -1.314 50.0% -0.33 -0.271
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9 22.22% 36.56 2.532 77.78% 0.208 0.1102
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 10 30.0% 34.3 0.616 70.0% -0.108 -0.3023
Shifting Memory of Ages 2 50.0% 42.5 3.343 100.0% 0.233 0.6224
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 18 27.78% 23.56 -4.079 50.0% -1.007 -1.0589
Shroud of Silent Mist 8 50.0% 17.0 -8.003 37.5% -1.113 -0.6988
Starlight Seeks its Form 19 15.79% 21.95 -5.024 42.11% -1.249 -1.2888
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 18 38.89% 31.61 0.292 77.78% 0.17 -0.3327
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 12 0.0% 36.17 0.956 75.0% -0.141 -0.058
Thunderspeaker 6 16.67% 38.17 -2.155 50.0% -0.933 -0.9382
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 2 0.0% 44.5 7.547 100.0% 0.422 0.811
Towering Roots of the Jungle 20 30.0% 24.05 -2.845 55.0% -0.89 -0.6791
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 20 65.0% 39.0 2.802 85.0% 0.532 0.6089
Vital Strength of the Earth 6 0.0% 31.67 0.108 83.33% 0.248 0.6975
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1 0.0% 45.0 7.54 100.0% 0.323 0.8177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 4 0.0% 12.75 -8.138 25.0% -0.686 0.0071
Volcano Looming High 9 55.56% 38.33 4.173 88.89% 0.796 0.8606
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 25 36.0% 30.84 -1.552 64.0% -0.488 -0.7372

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 3 33.33% 32.0 -1.156 66.67% -0.134 0.2891
Dahan Insurrection 4 8 25.0% 60.5 12.075 87.5% 0.587 0.1046
Elemental Invocation 1 3 0.0% 21.0 -6.787 33.33% -0.765 -0.0269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12 16.67% 35.5 1.9 66.67% -0.039 -0.6956
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 0.0% 0.0 -10.198 0.0% -0.617 -0.0544
Rituals of Terror 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.901 0.0% -0.674 -0.8158
Second Wave 0 22 36.36% 34.05 1.164 68.18% -0.128 -0.034
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.748 0.0% -0.569 0.6759
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.852 0.0% -0.409 0.4595

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 245 36.73% 32.13 0.066 72.24% 0.177 0.5503
1 Thematic 8 50.0% 18.75 -5.376 25.0% -1.028 -0.3136
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.262 0.0% -0.63 -0.1058
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 64 29.69% 33.13 -0.385 73.44% -0.314 -0.1531
2 Coastline 13 0.0% 44.85 5.67 92.31% 1.004 0.8106
2 Fragment 3 100.0% 39.67 4.296 100.0% 0.427 0.379
2 Heart 3 33.33% 41.67 3.458 100.0% 0.316 0.1039
2 Opposite Shores 16 50.0% 31.56 -1.308 75.0% -0.124 0.0086
2 Thematic 4 0.0% 11.75 -8.474 25.0% -0.495 0.2255
2 Top to Top 4 25.0% 44.0 7.2 100.0% 0.821 0.7362
3 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 3.583 0.0% 0.384 -0.4924
3 Round (Default) 51 25.49% 32.47 -1.504 74.51% -0.862 -0.8856
3 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.103 0.0% -0.419 -0.4116
4 Other 4 0.0% 13.75 -1.967 25.0% -0.396 -0.9642
4 Thematic 1 100.0% 46.0 4.5 100.0% 0.152 0.2154
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10 10.0% 38.6 3.214 90.0% 0.414 0.4188
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.748 0.0% -0.569 -1.5903
5 Other 1 0.0% 46.0 4.963 100.0% 0.069 -0.255
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 32.5 3.907 50.0% 0.099 -0.0436
6 Star 1 0.0% 43.0 8.128 100.0% 0.077 0.7098
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 63.0 14.725 100.0% 0.149 0.3532
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 0.0% 58.33 5.078 100.0% 0.081 0.5549

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2 15.0 -7.381 0.0% -0.801 -0.7299
Aid From Lesser Spirits 10 30.3 -1.774 50.0% -0.9 -1.0094
All Things Weaken 5 11.2 -9.872 20.0% -1.027 -0.8502
Attenuated Essence 9 26.56 -3.158 66.67% -0.382 -0.3306
Back Against the Wall 3 42.0 5.202 100.0% 0.562 0.5462
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 10 27.9 -3.656 60.0% -0.73 -0.5461
Burn Brightest Before the End 8 33.25 -0.54 62.5% -0.272 -0.1853
Disintegrating Ecosystem 7 19.86 -6.165 42.86% -0.776 -0.485
Downward Spiral 6 29.5 -2.447 83.33% 0.019 0.125
Erosion of Will 6 19.67 -6.588 50.0% -0.616 -0.4502
Intensifying Exploitation 6 35.67 2.61 83.33% 0.703 0.8914
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 2 38.5 1.872 100.0% 0.219 -0.2092
Memory Fades to Dust 10 35.6 1.407 90.0% 0.525 0.7601
Power Corrodes the Spirit 6 42.0 3.319 100.0% 0.744 0.8397
Promising Farmlands 6 39.5 3.74 83.33% 0.37 0.7339
Shattered Fragments of Power 5 25.4 -3.191 40.0% -0.634 -0.5686
Slow Dissolution of Will 5 34.2 0.503 80.0% 0.194 0.6576
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 5 22.8 -5.57 60.0% -0.519 -1.1201
The Border of Life and Death 1 43.0 4.025 100.0% 0.142 -0.3332
Thriving Communities 8 32.0 -0.634 75.0% -0.073 0.1522
Thriving Crops 2 42.5 5.354 100.0% 0.311 0.0864
Unnatural Proliferation 11 34.82 0.366 90.91% 0.531 0.6528
Untended Land Crumbles 12 34.67 -0.147 75.0% -0.157 0.0748

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 97 31.96% 33.64 0.872 76.29% 0.26 1.1787
B 87 29.89% 33.75 -0.133 77.01% 0.072 0.9131
C 106 29.25% 35.3 0.77 76.42% -0.072 0.6108
D 101 27.72% 33.18 0.417 75.25% 0.127 0.9692
E 92 21.74% 35.73 1.659 78.26% 0.309 0.9602
F 77 32.47% 32.12 -0.093 71.43% 0.025 0.7853
G 67 28.36% 28.04 -2.301 62.69% -0.608 0.1499
H 78 26.92% 34.63 0.119 78.21% 0.142 0.8609
East 11 45.45% 27.18 0.726 45.45% -0.021 0.7923
Northeast 7 57.14% 29.43 -0.563 42.86% -0.353 0.3141
Northwest 9 55.56% 27.33 -0.137 44.44% -0.21 0.5951
Southeast 4 25.0% 39.75 4.591 75.0% 0.364 1.0696
Southwest 4 25.0% 19.75 -4.595 25.0% -0.617 0.773
West 13 38.46% 18.92 -1.842 30.77% -0.436 0.3573

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2 0.0% 24.5 -2.386 50.0% 0.035 -0.6959
Start of Game Growth 8 0.0% 27.75 1.12 50.0% -0.079 -0.5254
Unlimited Undo 35 17.14% 24.37 -2.937 60.0% -0.435 -0.4678
Using Tokens but Not Events 31 25.81% 34.29 1.202 77.42% 0.245 0.0824

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 89 14.25 2.25%
II 153 30.3 80.39%
III 177 34.84 97.74%
IV 21 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.39 Win Model: 0.451
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 259 37.45% 31.53 70.27%
2 104 29.81% 34.76 77.88%
3 54 24.07% 31.07 70.37%
4 15 20.0% 34.27 80.0%
5 3 33.33% 20.67 33.33%
6 5 0.0% 56.2 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 169
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 119
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 77
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 23
Win: Sacrifice victory 2
Lose: Scenario condition 1
Win: Scenario condition 7
Lose: Blight pool ran out 17
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 18 44.44% 41.22 2.398 83.33% 0.431 0.3243
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 31 58.06% 38.1 0.596 83.87% 0.438 -0.0503
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5 100.0% 37.6 1.777 80.0% 0.357 0.5006
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 12 75.0% 46.33 5.346 91.67% 0.79 0.0417
Dances Up Earthquakes 130 58.46% 36.28 0.451 77.69% 0.3 0.1229
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 14 42.86% 38.21 1.487 71.43% -0.028 -0.2354
Downpour Drenches the World 18 38.89% 28.61 -3.737 61.11% -0.73 -0.4095
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 38 50.0% 39.29 1.133 81.58% 0.288 -0.1528
Eyes Watch From the Trees 41 26.83% 39.68 1.375 80.49% 0.269 -0.074
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7 42.86% 35.57 -2.227 71.43% -0.209 -0.5634
Finder of Paths Unseen 5 20.0% 20.0 -7.087 40.0% -1.001 -0.2169
Fractured Days Split the Sky 5 20.0% 25.0 -4.619 60.0% -0.378 0.0702
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 4 25.0% 29.5 -1.339 50.0% -0.438 -0.4615
Heart of the Wildfire 14 71.43% 25.14 -5.795 50.0% -0.933 -0.6063
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 35 28.57% 35.83 -0.078 71.43% -0.107 -0.6022
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 18 38.89% 44.17 3.003 88.89% 0.539 -0.0239
Lightning's Swift Strike 6 16.67% 39.17 3.564 83.33% 0.246 0.4443
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 5 60.0% 37.4 1.498 80.0% 0.297 -0.1514
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 5 40.0% 47.4 5.633 100.0% 0.739 0.4196
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 10 60.0% 27.2 -3.312 60.0% -0.292 -0.1671
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 28 46.43% 35.79 -0.082 67.86% -0.283 -0.4395
Many Minds Move as One 21 19.05% 35.19 -0.721 76.19% -0.159 -0.3658
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13 38.46% 31.77 -1.072 61.54% -0.282 -0.1528
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 162 62.35% 34.25 -1.597 75.31% -0.089 0.0158
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 16 25.0% 36.31 -0.577 75.0% -0.081 -0.1302
River Surges in Sunlight 13 23.08% 37.85 3.147 76.92% 0.505 0.5384
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 10 10.0% 42.1 2.521 80.0% 0.202 0.4098
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2 100.0% 43.0 1.601 100.0% 0.178 0.3291
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 6 33.33% 51.0 6.068 83.33% 0.384 0.3928
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9 55.56% 39.0 2.313 77.78% 0.541 0.4421
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 63 47.62% 35.92 0.416 73.02% 0.068 -0.4226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1 100.0% 16.0 -9.746 0.0% -0.309 0.2033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 100.0% 40.0 2.944 100.0% 0.216 0.1727
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 11 54.55% 47.73 6.508 100.0% 1.319 0.8706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 100.0% 48.0 4.354 100.0% 0.084 -0.1062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 15 60.0% 29.67 -3.134 66.67% -0.51 -0.6075
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 10 20.0% 38.9 0.759 80.0% 0.09 -0.1043
Shifting Memory of Ages 6 16.67% 14.83 -10.294 33.33% -0.952 -0.5624
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 24 62.5% 43.13 3.226 87.5% 0.622 0.5704
Shroud of Silent Mist 14 57.14% 21.36 -6.918 50.0% -0.85 -0.436
Starlight Seeks its Form 34 47.06% 39.56 1.602 85.29% 0.499 0.4588
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 17 29.41% 41.24 2.621 88.24% 0.743 0.2404
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 13 46.15% 36.38 0.528 76.92% 0.109 0.192
Thunderspeaker 5 40.0% 36.0 -0.81 60.0% -0.23 -0.2361
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 3 0.0% 15.67 -9.386 33.33% -0.889 -0.5007
Towering Roots of the Jungle 21 61.9% 36.14 0.243 76.19% -0.207 0.0035
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 32 62.5% 36.16 0.419 75.0% 0.128 0.2058
Vital Strength of the Earth 12 50.0% 36.67 -0.691 75.0% -0.191 0.258
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 12 50.0% 22.25 -4.743 33.33% -0.969 -0.4747
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 4 25.0% 30.25 -3.457 50.0% -0.479 0.214
Volcano Looming High 17 29.41% 38.71 0.112 76.47% -0.143 -0.079
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 25 56.0% 38.52 1.639 84.0% 0.506 0.2573

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 2 0.0% 0.0 -16.621 0.0% -1.007 -0.5844
Dahan Insurrection 4 4 25.0% 59.75 14.02 75.0% 0.267 -0.2148
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 16 6.25% 30.56 -2.97 50.0% -1.056 -1.7128
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 100.0% 50.0 10.348 100.0% 0.284 0.8459
Rituals of Terror 3 1 100.0% 58.0 11.121 100.0% 0.146 0.004
Second Wave 0 11 45.45% 21.64 -7.114 27.27% -1.574 -1.4797
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -18.515 0.0% -0.577 0.6684
Varied Terrains 2 3 0.0% 0.0 -17.541 0.0% -1.202 -0.3335
Ward the Shores 2 1 100.0% 51.0 6.741 100.0% 0.144 0.9983

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 357 42.3% 36.28 0.148 74.51% 0.568 0.9415
1 Thematic 2 100.0% 14.0 -9.713 0.0% -0.736 -0.0216
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 85 60.0% 38.93 1.69 81.18% 0.683 0.8442
2 Coastline 21 47.62% 40.14 2.167 85.71% 0.665 0.4714
2 Fragment 1 0.0% 42.0 3.746 100.0% 0.281 0.2327
2 Heart 5 100.0% 24.2 -4.534 40.0% -0.585 -0.7972
2 Opposite Shores 21 47.62% 22.29 -6.354 47.62% -0.781 -0.6485
2 Thematic 6 16.67% 7.33 -10.497 16.67% -0.79 -0.0693
2 Top to Top 7 57.14% 29.57 -4.394 57.14% -0.511 -0.5958
3 Other 1 100.0% 43.0 4.174 100.0% 0.436 -0.4402
3 Round (Default) 60 46.67% 34.37 -0.509 73.33% 0.12 0.0965
3 Thematic 2 100.0% 55.5 10.956 100.0% 0.494 0.5016
4 Other 6 83.33% 31.83 -4.016 66.67% -0.584 -1.152
4 Thematic 3 33.33% 26.33 -1.799 33.33% -0.278 -0.2153
4 Trapezoid (Default) 25 44.0% 44.56 3.248 96.0% 0.96 0.9648
5 Other 4 25.0% 40.5 0.979 75.0% -0.142 -0.4659
6 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 -13.916 0.0% -0.602 -0.6461
6 Star 1 100.0% 47.0 -1.374 100.0% 0.017 0.6494
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 80.0% 43.0 2.24 100.0% 0.303 0.7772

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 12 37.17 -0.167 83.33% 0.277 0.3479
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5 44.8 4.429 100.0% 0.731 0.6209
All Things Weaken 11 35.91 -0.304 72.73% -0.216 -0.0395
Attenuated Essence 14 37.5 -0.314 78.57% -0.051 0.0007
Back Against the Wall 5 19.0 -7.788 40.0% -0.776 -0.7911
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 16 32.56 -2.336 75.0% -0.111 0.0724
Burn Brightest Before the End 10 32.5 -2.362 70.0% -0.42 -0.3331
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9 34.33 -0.746 77.78% 0.254 0.545
Downward Spiral 13 40.62 1.906 92.31% 0.751 0.857
Erosion of Will 14 39.07 0.457 78.57% 0.037 0.2034
Intensifying Exploitation 23 35.78 0.543 78.26% 0.235 0.4231
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 9 42.33 1.209 88.89% 0.046 -0.3823
Memory Fades to Dust 19 38.05 1.368 84.21% 0.491 0.726
Power Corrodes the Spirit 17 32.65 -1.152 70.59% -0.029 0.0665
Promising Farmlands 18 35.5 -0.645 72.22% -0.14 0.2247
Shattered Fragments of Power 14 27.21 -3.658 57.14% -0.463 -0.3971
Slow Dissolution of Will 22 38.73 0.612 81.82% 0.205 0.6685
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 2 47.5 5.274 100.0% 0.264 -0.3375
The Border of Life and Death 3 25.33 -1.677 66.67% 0.239 -0.236
Thriving Communities 13 32.23 -3.061 69.23% -0.361 -0.1357
Thriving Crops 5 38.4 0.205 80.0% -0.016 -0.2411
Unnatural Proliferation 21 35.24 -0.63 71.43% -0.19 -0.0678
Untended Land Crumbles 14 33.57 -1.674 64.29% -0.402 -0.1701

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 114 53.51% 36.82 0.097 77.19% 0.095 1.0138
B 143 51.05% 36.27 -0.028 77.62% 0.146 0.9875
C 153 49.02% 37.12 0.529 77.12% 0.173 0.8562
D 152 49.34% 34.64 -0.881 72.37% -0.045 0.7973
E 121 43.8% 35.62 -0.777 73.55% -0.23 0.4215
F 107 48.6% 37.99 1.186 79.44% 0.442 1.2019
G 107 55.14% 36.93 0.825 76.64% 0.123 0.8803
H 115 44.35% 36.49 0.329 77.39% 0.358 1.0763
East 12 41.67% 20.5 -0.282 33.33% 0.049 0.8629
Northeast 6 33.33% 22.5 -2.748 33.33% -0.466 0.2017
Northwest 5 20.0% 14.4 -6.431 20.0% -0.673 0.1315
Southeast 4 50.0% 15.75 -6.878 25.0% -0.656 0.05
Southwest 5 60.0% 23.0 -4.266 40.0% -0.251 1.1392
West 12 41.67% 20.83 -0.282 33.33% 0.049 0.8429

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5 20.0% 39.6 2.845 80.0% 0.422 -0.3083
Start of Game Growth 17 29.41% 46.47 4.794 82.35% 0.616 0.1703
Unlimited Undo 72 31.94% 34.36 -1.077 70.83% -0.346 -0.3793
Using Tokens but Not Events 60 43.33% 39.68 1.605 86.67% 0.77 0.6073

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 103 14.25 0.0%
II 130 30.3 64.62%
III 319 34.84 97.18%
IV 63 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.087 Win Model: 0.148
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 363 42.42% 35.93 73.55%
2 143 56.64% 35.2 73.43%
3 63 49.21% 35.17 74.6%
4 34 50.0% 40.71 85.29%
5 4 25.0% 40.5 75.0%
6 8 62.5% 32.75 75.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 306
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 81
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 63
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 99
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1
Lose: Adversary condition 24
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 4
Win: Scenario condition 4
Lose: Blight pool ran out 29
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 23 52.17% 32.39 -2.093 47.83% -0.506 -0.6128
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 23 47.83% 39.83 0.294 69.57% 0.076 -0.4124
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8 100.0% 53.63 5.382 87.5% 0.462 0.605
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 11 36.36% 43.64 2.048 72.73% 0.319 -0.4297
Dances Up Earthquakes 110 53.64% 39.14 0.295 63.64% 0.055 -0.1222
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8 50.0% 47.88 6.83 87.5% 1.226 1.0188
Downpour Drenches the World 19 63.16% 34.32 -0.602 47.37% -0.179 0.1414
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 51 56.86% 38.0 0.59 60.78% 0.206 -0.2344
Eyes Watch From the Trees 48 35.42% 41.25 2.478 66.67% 0.433 0.0893
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 19 57.89% 23.79 -5.372 26.32% -1.019 -1.3731
Finder of Paths Unseen 8 75.0% 36.25 -0.66 62.5% 0.096 0.8808
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4 50.0% 19.75 -6.684 25.0% -0.559 -0.1109
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 19 57.89% 25.79 -5.388 36.84% -0.877 -0.9002
Heart of the Wildfire 15 73.33% 25.93 -4.807 40.0% -0.475 -0.148
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 33 51.52% 42.91 3.534 69.7% 0.563 0.0679
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 15 33.33% 44.4 4.103 73.33% 0.592 0.0296
Lightning's Swift Strike 7 100.0% 36.29 -1.107 42.86% -0.421 -0.2231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 17 58.82% 39.35 0.375 64.71% 0.107 -0.3411
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 9 55.56% 53.33 5.971 88.89% 0.605 0.2857
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 6 33.33% 42.5 0.796 66.67% -0.167 -0.0426
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 48 37.5% 42.63 2.81 72.92% 0.602 0.4456
Many Minds Move as One 13 38.46% 33.77 -0.085 46.15% -0.104 -0.3111
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8 75.0% 14.13 -7.996 0.0% -0.995 -0.8658
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 172 59.3% 37.52 -0.932 62.79% -0.03 0.0753
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8 75.0% 45.13 2.694 75.0% 0.397 0.3477
River Surges in Sunlight 9 55.56% 24.11 -6.469 33.33% -0.772 -0.7394
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 63.64% 26.0 -4.283 36.36% -0.358 -0.1499
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1 0.0% 65.0 14.582 100.0% 0.358 0.5088
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 18 44.44% 44.33 1.801 72.22% 0.144 0.153
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 16 68.75% 33.88 2.233 50.0% 0.674 0.5748
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 65 40.0% 45.71 4.217 75.38% 0.812 0.3207
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 100.0% 29.5 -2.852 25.0% -0.578 -0.6208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 12 66.67% 40.67 2.236 66.67% 0.538 0.0895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 100.0% 23.0 -4.94 0.0% -0.448 -0.3899
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 61.0 12.464 100.0% 0.333 0.1421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 100.0% 18.0 -9.6 0.0% -0.631 -0.5472
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 9 33.33% 30.11 -3.345 44.44% -0.47 -0.5677
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 6 66.67% 52.17 5.518 83.33% 0.562 0.368
Shifting Memory of Ages 3 100.0% 55.67 10.6 100.0% 1.027 1.4168
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 11 36.36% 45.0 3.965 72.73% 0.489 0.4374
Shroud of Silent Mist 8 75.0% 24.75 -7.513 37.5% -0.778 -0.364
Starlight Seeks its Form 39 58.97% 34.1 -1.567 51.28% -0.136 -0.1761
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 19 42.11% 34.11 -1.091 52.63% -0.213 -0.7152
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 20 45.0% 35.5 -1.234 55.0% -0.145 -0.0616
Thunderspeaker 9 22.22% 40.89 2.819 55.56% -0.095 -0.1008
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 2 50.0% 58.5 9.23 100.0% 0.43 0.819
Towering Roots of the Jungle 32 68.75% 32.69 -0.243 50.0% 0.056 0.2663
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 34 73.53% 36.44 1.07 58.82% 0.474 0.5514
Vital Strength of the Earth 5 60.0% 14.4 -9.874 20.0% -0.685 -0.2362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 5 60.0% 34.4 -0.511 40.0% -0.409 0.0857
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 5 60.0% 22.0 -9.206 40.0% -0.633 0.0602
Volcano Looming High 42 64.29% 39.0 -0.236 59.52% -0.265 -0.2004
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 30 80.0% 36.33 0.819 53.33% 0.048 -0.201

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.774 0.0% -0.068 -0.626
Blitz 0 2 100.0% 9.5 -3.161 0.0% -0.088 0.3352
Dahan Insurrection 4 5 20.0% 50.2 6.409 60.0% -0.121 -0.6028
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 19 52.63% 33.53 -1.449 47.37% -0.231 -0.8872
Rituals of Terror 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -18.089 0.0% -0.457 -0.5995
Second Wave 0 12 66.67% 25.67 -6.047 25.0% -1.254 -1.1599
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.234 0.0% -0.392 0.8532

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 377 54.38% 34.86 -1.489 54.91% -0.448 -0.0746
1 Thematic 5 80.0% 9.8 -10.114 0.0% -0.912 -0.1976
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.67 -1.175 33.33% -0.234 0.2896
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 110 51.82% 40.78 1.231 66.36% 0.156 0.3175
2 Coastline 20 25.0% 38.4 -0.371 65.0% -0.261 -0.4542
2 Fragment 5 60.0% 55.0 9.383 100.0% 0.941 0.893
2 Heart 3 66.67% 47.67 7.054 66.67% 0.266 0.0535
2 Opposite Shores 34 61.76% 46.26 3.869 79.41% 0.736 0.8682
2 Thematic 7 28.57% 0.0 -11.999 0.0% -0.856 -0.1354
2 Top to Top 7 28.57% 42.57 2.673 71.43% 0.268 0.1832
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 7.079 100.0% 0.209 -0.3349
3 Round (Default) 57 57.89% 40.75 1.014 66.67% 0.19 0.167
3 Thematic 3 100.0% 36.0 4.973 33.33% 0.218 0.226
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 36.5 -1.268 50.0% -0.185 0.2507
4 Other 1 0.0% 47.0 4.262 100.0% 0.54 -0.0279
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 62.0 5.946 100.0% 0.2 0.263
4 Trapezoid (Default) 21 52.38% 44.05 1.624 71.43% 0.099 0.1042
5 Other 5 100.0% 18.0 -5.774 0.0% -0.827 -1.1513
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.774 0.0% -0.068 -0.2108
6 Star 4 50.0% 26.0 -5.484 50.0% -0.025 0.6073
6 Thematic 1 100.0% 23.0 6.158 0.0% -0.009 0.1948
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 100.0% 38.75 -0.923 50.0% -0.083 0.3916

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 17 32.41 -3.005 47.06% -0.667 -0.5956
Aid From Lesser Spirits 19 47.11 4.317 78.95% 0.594 0.4842
All Things Weaken 26 29.96 -3.192 38.46% -0.766 -0.5891
Attenuated Essence 21 34.38 -0.946 47.62% -0.495 -0.4435
Back Against the Wall 12 45.08 4.408 66.67% 0.341 0.3259
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 20 35.45 -1.695 50.0% -0.54 -0.3567
Burn Brightest Before the End 12 42.08 0.314 66.67% -0.157 -0.0702
Disintegrating Ecosystem 14 33.43 -0.815 50.0% -0.262 0.0289
Downward Spiral 12 33.83 -1.149 50.0% -0.256 -0.1503
Erosion of Will 20 35.2 -0.759 50.0% -0.338 -0.1725
Intensifying Exploitation 13 31.23 -3.007 53.85% -0.263 -0.0753
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 10 30.8 -5.09 50.0% -0.604 -1.0314
Memory Fades to Dust 22 36.95 0.853 59.09% 0.071 0.3061
Power Corrodes the Spirit 18 41.83 2.363 72.22% 0.473 0.5693
Promising Farmlands 18 28.5 -4.066 38.89% -0.823 -0.4585
Shattered Fragments of Power 11 42.0 2.953 72.73% 0.479 0.5449
Slow Dissolution of Will 19 27.89 -4.501 31.58% -0.983 -0.5198
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 4 18.0 -11.252 25.0% -1.007 -1.6081
The Border of Life and Death 5 32.4 -2.719 60.0% -0.065 -0.541
Thriving Communities 14 43.5 3.371 78.57% 0.65 0.8759
Thriving Crops 10 45.7 3.897 80.0% 0.55 0.3252
Unnatural Proliferation 29 34.0 -0.96 44.83% -0.587 -0.465
Untended Land Crumbles 18 28.89 -4.376 44.44% -0.768 -0.5355

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 124 57.26% 41.21 1.368 68.55% 0.452 1.37
B 164 59.15% 38.17 0.329 61.59% 0.29 1.1315
C 166 55.42% 38.76 0.596 63.25% 0.291 0.9737
D 144 58.33% 37.75 -0.072 59.72% 0.111 0.953
E 127 51.97% 40.13 0.988 66.14% 0.336 0.9875
F 120 48.33% 37.19 0.095 58.33% 0.153 0.9131
G 117 59.83% 37.11 0.109 58.12% 0.204 0.9613
H 129 51.94% 38.29 0.475 58.14% 0.034 0.7523
East 17 52.94% 13.41 1.212 11.76% -0.016 0.7975
Northeast 13 46.15% 10.08 -7.262 7.69% -0.911 -0.2433
Northwest 10 40.0% 4.5 -8.151 0.0% -0.954 -0.1493
Southeast 4 75.0% 26.0 1.455 25.0% 0.103 0.8087
Southwest 4 50.0% 24.75 -1.532 25.0% -0.147 1.2429
West 14 50.0% 14.79 2.97 14.29% 0.363 1.1565

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1 0.0% 20.0 -5.251 0.0% -0.231 -0.9614
Start of Game Growth 21 28.57% 26.57 -4.412 42.86% -0.711 -1.1572
Unlimited Undo 55 52.73% 38.58 0.204 60.0% -0.025 -0.0587
Using Tokens but Not Events 39 46.15% 33.18 -0.468 56.41% 0.317 0.1546

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 148 14.25 1.35%
II 203 30.3 50.25%
III 258 34.84 88.37%
IV 63 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.371 Win Model: -0.265
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 387 54.52% 34.65 54.52%
2 184 49.46% 40.35 66.3%
3 61 60.66% 40.79 65.57%
4 25 52.0% 44.28 72.0%
5 6 83.33% 15.0 0.0%
6 9 77.78% 31.33 44.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 228
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 99
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 63
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 138
Lose: Adversary condition 34
Lose: Scenario condition 5
Win: Scenario condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 92
Lose: Spirit destroyed 8

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4 75.0% 45.5 4.774 75.0% 0.611 0.5038
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 2 50.0% 61.0 9.157 100.0% 0.397 -0.0919
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 8 75.0% 51.38 6.481 75.0% 0.711 -0.0373
Dances Up Earthquakes 38 60.53% 42.92 0.161 57.89% 0.026 -0.151
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9 66.67% 29.33 -4.459 22.22% -0.593 -0.7997
Downpour Drenches the World 4 50.0% 30.0 -2.659 25.0% -0.433 -0.1126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 11 54.55% 59.55 9.135 90.91% 1.394 0.9539
Eyes Watch From the Trees 18 61.11% 30.94 -0.99 33.33% -0.197 -0.5404
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5 60.0% 47.0 3.66 60.0% 0.234 -0.1203
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.968 0.0% -0.223 -0.2463
Heart of the Wildfire 6 50.0% 29.67 -4.744 50.0% 0.019 0.3462
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 57 33.33% 49.79 4.1 70.18% 0.456 -0.0394
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 5 100.0% 34.4 -2.631 40.0% -0.214 -0.7767
Lightning's Swift Strike 1 100.0% 68.0 12.131 100.0% 0.311 0.5097
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 7 100.0% 59.0 5.707 71.43% 0.32 -0.128
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2 50.0% 47.5 4.164 50.0% 0.047 -0.2724
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2 0.0% 0.0 -11.989 0.0% -0.548 -0.4236
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 14 85.71% 40.21 0.618 50.0% 0.082 -0.074
Many Minds Move as One 2 100.0% 41.5 5.519 50.0% 0.253 0.046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5 40.0% 9.4 -12.619 0.0% -1.019 -0.89
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 75 74.67% 34.07 -1.965 46.67% 0.066 0.171
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 3 0.0% 20.0 -9.198 33.33% -0.182 -0.2315
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 2 100.0% 43.5 -3.178 50.0% -0.146 0.062
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 6 33.33% 43.83 5.894 66.67% 0.361 0.5118
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1 100.0% 0.0 -12.953 0.0% -0.159 -0.1502
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 9 55.56% 32.0 -4.577 44.44% -0.321 -0.42
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 27 62.96% 44.85 1.519 55.56% -0.131 -0.622
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 3 66.67% 28.33 -6.056 33.33% -0.413 -0.8608
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 71.0 13.563 100.0% 0.294 0.1036
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2 0.0% 12.5 -9.524 0.0% -0.567 -0.6645
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 3 66.67% 8.33 -15.212 0.0% -0.733 -0.9277
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 4 75.0% 49.0 4.816 75.0% 0.479 0.4271
Starlight Seeks its Form 5 60.0% 50.2 8.011 60.0% 0.65 0.6098
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6 50.0% 35.5 0.496 50.0% 0.279 -0.2234
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6 50.0% 46.83 5.934 66.67% 0.472 0.5546
Thunderspeaker 4 75.0% 16.5 -11.252 25.0% -0.398 -0.4035
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1 100.0% 24.0 -8.674 0.0% -0.393 -0.0046
Towering Roots of the Jungle 7 57.14% 44.14 -2.252 57.14% -0.365 -0.1541
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 7 85.71% 53.43 8.128 71.43% 0.862 0.939
Vital Strength of the Earth 1 100.0% 19.0 -11.651 0.0% -0.504 -0.0552
Volcano Looming High 3 100.0% 35.67 -0.261 33.33% -0.3 -0.2361
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 14 71.43% 28.64 -4.889 35.71% -0.437 -0.6859

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Dahan Insurrection 4 2 50.0% 46.0 4.971 50.0% -0.076 -0.5578
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8 50.0% 47.75 2.109 50.0% 0.053 -0.6035

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 206 62.62% 38.62 -1.277 50.49% -0.244 0.1293
1 Thematic 1 100.0% 24.0 -7.402 0.0% -0.333 0.3808
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 46 67.39% 37.85 -0.014 52.17% 0.04 0.2016
2 Coastline 8 75.0% 56.5 8.05 87.5% 0.858 0.6647
2 Heart 1 0.0% 67.0 12.123 100.0% 0.194 -0.0178
2 Opposite Shores 8 87.5% 39.0 1.394 37.5% -0.042 0.0906
2 Top to Top 2 100.0% 43.0 0.754 50.0% -0.096 -0.1809
3 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -4.073 0.0% -0.059 -0.9355
3 Round (Default) 13 30.77% 47.54 0.377 61.54% -0.439 -0.4619
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 23.33 -2.598 33.33% -0.161 -0.1532
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1 100.0% 62.0 1.322 100.0% 0.072 0.0768

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 4 43.0 5.618 50.0% 0.361 0.4324
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4 46.25 -0.147 50.0% -0.436 -0.5457
All Things Weaken 10 22.2 -6.168 20.0% -0.687 -0.5102
Attenuated Essence 5 35.2 -3.574 40.0% -0.261 -0.2096
Back Against the Wall 7 53.0 4.133 71.43% 0.216 0.2003
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 9 22.33 -6.325 33.33% -0.246 -0.0619
Burn Brightest Before the End 5 49.8 2.813 60.0% 0.247 0.3343
Disintegrating Ecosystem 8 40.63 -1.113 50.0% -0.327 -0.0359
Downward Spiral 13 36.15 -1.979 46.15% -0.296 -0.1896
Erosion of Will 7 44.43 4.111 57.14% 0.37 0.5364
Intensifying Exploitation 6 35.67 -1.22 50.0% -0.016 0.1725
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 5 53.4 4.86 80.0% 0.32 -0.1078
Memory Fades to Dust 10 37.2 0.096 50.0% -0.005 0.23
Power Corrodes the Spirit 14 42.29 0.611 57.14% 0.139 0.2348
Promising Farmlands 11 39.09 -0.834 45.45% -0.395 -0.0306
Shattered Fragments of Power 5 39.8 -3.167 40.0% -0.646 -0.5805
Slow Dissolution of Will 13 26.0 -5.248 23.08% -0.825 -0.3613
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 2 63.5 11.169 100.0% 0.559 -0.0419
Thriving Communities 18 31.72 -4.275 38.89% -0.609 -0.3839
Thriving Crops 6 22.17 -8.023 33.33% -0.476 -0.7001
Unnatural Proliferation 10 46.0 3.96 60.0% 0.246 0.3677
Untended Land Crumbles 10 40.2 0.524 60.0% 0.365 0.5969

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 36 61.11% 31.69 -2.19 38.89% -0.242 0.6767
B 60 70.0% 34.53 -2.744 40.0% -0.337 0.5043
C 46 45.65% 44.09 2.332 63.04% 0.599 1.2819
D 48 75.0% 28.33 -3.475 37.5% -0.115 0.7278
E 36 63.89% 42.33 0.896 58.33% 0.242 0.8934
F 92 51.09% 47.55 4.085 65.22% 0.652 1.4114
G 32 62.5% 45.03 0.684 62.5% 0.169 0.9263
H 34 79.41% 45.79 2.596 58.82% 0.359 1.0771
East 4 50.0% 23.5 -2.169 25.0% -0.225 0.5889
Northeast 3 33.33% 23.33 -2.598 33.33% -0.161 0.5066
Northwest 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.68 0.0% -0.27 0.5351
Southeast 1 100.0% 70.0 16.155 100.0% 0.387 1.0931
West 2 0.0% 0.0 -11.989 0.0% -0.548 0.2452

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2 0.0% 36.5 7.788 50.0% 0.448 -0.2829
Start of Game Growth 12 41.67% 21.5 -5.771 25.0% -0.311 -0.7571
Unlimited Undo 24 50.0% 23.0 -7.117 25.0% -1.164 -1.1968
Using Tokens but Not Events 40 77.5% 19.13 -8.428 25.0% -0.92 -1.0824

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 57 14.25 0.0%
II 99 30.3 29.29%
III 95 34.84 86.32%
IV 39 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.732 Win Model: 0.046
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 208 62.98% 38.67 50.48%
2 64 70.31% 40.55 54.69%
3 17 29.41% 40.47 52.94%
4 1 100.0% 62.0 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 82
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 39
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 75
Lose: Adversary condition 25
Lose: Scenario condition 2
Win: Scenario condition 1
Lose: Blight pool ran out 37
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 77 48.05% 29.3 -1.643 25.97% -0.278 -0.3852
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 55 54.55% 32.51 1.686 36.36% 0.425 -0.0639
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 24 58.33% 42.96 5.321 33.33% 0.458 0.6017
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 100 53.0% 40.49 5.131 51.0% 1.05 0.3017
Dances Up Earthquakes 257 78.21% 32.46 1.208 33.85% 0.199 0.0221
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 23 78.26% 20.61 -4.075 17.39% -0.344 -0.5514
Downpour Drenches the World 52 65.38% 29.87 1.225 28.85% 0.119 0.4391
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 102 73.53% 24.98 -1.58 23.53% -0.058 -0.4985
Eyes Watch From the Trees 266 67.29% 24.96 -1.582 24.44% -0.066 -0.4092
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 30 70.0% 30.2 1.441 30.0% 0.267 -0.0872
Finder of Paths Unseen 29 31.03% 24.03 -3.187 27.59% -0.139 0.6454
Fractured Days Split the Sky 47 44.68% 28.02 -0.755 25.53% -0.174 0.2737
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 26 88.46% 21.46 -5.592 11.54% -1.12 -1.1435
Heart of the Wildfire 59 72.88% 18.93 -4.598 16.95% -0.44 -0.1134
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 149 69.8% 32.59 1.737 35.57% 0.432 -0.0636
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 26 76.92% 24.04 -2.045 7.69% -0.88 -1.4425
Lightning's Swift Strike 34 76.47% 20.35 -4.458 14.71% -0.66 -0.4619
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 56 82.14% 29.02 0.203 32.14% 0.217 -0.2306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 19 68.42% 29.74 0.98 36.84% 0.506 0.1863
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 60 63.33% 19.57 -4.906 16.67% -0.771 -0.6457
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 154 62.99% 26.86 -0.273 26.62% 0.186 0.0302
Many Minds Move as One 59 44.07% 46.46 6.525 47.46% 1.18 0.9729
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 60 65.0% 42.55 3.662 51.67% 0.207 0.3362
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 348 75.0% 27.74 -1.306 28.16% -0.126 -0.0209
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 44 79.55% 23.75 -3.319 13.64% -1.039 -1.0889
River Surges in Sunlight 41 68.29% 37.37 2.114 31.71% 0.176 0.2093
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 28 71.43% 22.89 -2.036 21.43% -0.085 0.123
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 20 55.0% 18.9 -5.477 5.0% -1.069 -0.9181
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 53 64.15% 29.38 -0.49 30.19% 0.145 0.1545
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 118 48.31% 37.71 4.244 45.76% 0.797 0.6978
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 95 76.84% 37.99 3.29 43.16% 0.463 -0.0279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 35 85.71% 35.31 3.147 37.14% 0.383 -0.0652
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 1 0.0% 100.0 31.452 100.0% 0.729 0.7879
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 100.0% 24.0 -1.453 0.0% -0.184 -0.374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 50.0% 24.5 -0.373 0.0% -0.316 -0.2324
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 22 59.09% 28.68 0.809 31.82% 0.427 0.329
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 16 62.5% 21.94 -1.747 25.0% 0.241 0.0464
Shifting Memory of Ages 23 69.57% 34.48 2.499 34.78% 0.175 0.5648
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 58 53.45% 29.45 0.741 31.03% 0.2 0.1483
Shroud of Silent Mist 31 80.65% 37.35 4.007 38.71% 0.454 0.868
Starlight Seeks its Form 88 70.45% 32.94 1.61 37.5% 0.4 0.3603
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 196 58.67% 29.76 -1.061 28.06% 0.078 -0.4247
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 40 80.0% 25.32 -1.723 22.5% -0.139 -0.0556
Thunderspeaker 19 52.63% 26.42 -1.753 21.05% -0.358 -0.3633
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 6 50.0% 12.0 -7.341 0.0% -0.692 -0.3033
Towering Roots of the Jungle 53 77.36% 22.98 -2.742 16.98% -0.615 -0.4043
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 132 87.12% 42.4 6.605 52.27% 1.026 1.1029
Vital Strength of the Earth 4 25.0% 0.0 -10.602 0.0% -0.375 0.0736
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 23 52.17% 11.61 -9.921 8.7% -1.415 -0.9205
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 21 57.14% 25.24 -3.102 33.33% -0.047 0.6462
Volcano Looming High 61 70.49% 32.61 2.116 32.79% 0.344 0.4087
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 34 73.53% 33.94 1.964 35.29% 0.382 0.1334

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 16 18.75% 45.5 5.741 43.75% 0.433 0.8556
Dahan Insurrection 4 25 36.0% 24.44 -2.918 20.0% -0.078 -0.5604
Elemental Invocation 1 1 0.0% 0.0 -18.219 0.0% -0.323 0.4148
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 58 43.1% 26.34 0.722 25.86% 0.333 -0.3237
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.084 0.0% -0.193 0.3695
Rituals of Terror 3 37 35.14% 79.16 19.987 56.76% 1.641 1.4988
Second Wave 0 2 100.0% 14.0 -9.869 0.0% -0.509 -0.4149
Varied Terrains 2 2 0.0% 0.0 -10.323 0.0% -0.217 0.6507

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1991 72.58% 27.3 -2.284 27.77% -0.812 -0.4386
1 Thematic 35 62.86% 25.2 -3.868 20.0% -1.118 -0.4041
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 162 73.46% 36.62 2.712 41.98% 0.146 0.3069
2 Coastline 62 53.23% 42.79 6.224 56.45% 0.761 0.5676
2 Heart 20 95.0% 38.25 4.262 30.0% -0.035 -0.2476
2 Opposite Shores 92 66.3% 29.64 -1.015 32.61% -0.334 -0.2017
2 Thematic 25 36.0% 49.48 2.326 36.0% -0.531 0.1896
2 Top to Top 10 80.0% 35.2 0.025 40.0% -0.323 -0.408
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.299 0.0% -0.09 -0.6333
3 Other 2 100.0% 46.5 2.797 50.0% 0.242 -0.6343
3 Round (Default) 110 73.64% 32.48 -0.041 31.82% -0.342 -0.3656
3 Sunrise 4 100.0% 17.0 -7.311 0.0% -0.775 -1.2211
3 Thematic 11 9.09% 76.09 8.252 45.45% -0.168 -0.1598
4 Coastline 3 33.33% 0.0 -15.791 0.0% -0.689 -0.5601
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 11.5 -9.895 0.0% -0.386 0.0492
4 Thematic 10 20.0% 46.7 4.299 30.0% 0.421 0.4845
4 Trapezoid (Default) 20 50.0% 54.9 6.898 65.0% 1.08 1.0851
5 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.035 0.0% -0.067 -0.3913
6 Other 1 100.0% 23.0 -9.595 0.0% -0.267 -0.3116
6 Star 2 50.0% 0.0 -7.381 0.0% -0.04 0.5923
6 Thematic 10 0.0% 6.2 -6.159 0.0% -0.527 -0.3229
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 0.0% 34.0 -3.619 33.33% -0.251 0.2233

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 77 32.05 3.389 31.17% 0.851 0.922
Aid From Lesser Spirits 61 45.89 9.373 52.46% 1.515 1.4053
All Things Weaken 105 34.98 4.742 35.24% 0.994 1.1712
Attenuated Essence 100 36.43 5.529 41.0% 1.268 1.3194
Back Against the Wall 62 37.76 6.123 40.32% 1.257 1.2414
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 123 37.52 5.774 39.84% 1.194 1.3779
Burn Brightest Before the End 70 36.87 4.644 37.14% 0.866 0.9534
Disintegrating Ecosystem 88 34.33 4.012 39.77% 1.124 1.4157
Downward Spiral 93 32.34 3.884 34.41% 1.091 1.1972
Erosion of Will 101 35.18 4.761 34.65% 1.0 1.1662
Intensifying Exploitation 120 32.04 3.392 35.0% 1.054 1.2422
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 23 37.26 6.385 47.83% 1.375 0.9467
Memory Fades to Dust 131 34.84 4.604 35.11% 1.02 1.2547
Power Corrodes the Spirit 97 32.96 3.628 35.05% 1.002 1.0984
Promising Farmlands 82 31.17 2.928 30.49% 0.878 1.2418
Shattered Fragments of Power 65 33.35 3.288 30.77% 0.63 0.6951
Slow Dissolution of Will 91 32.19 3.349 28.57% 0.715 1.1783
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 8 27.0 -0.734 25.0% 0.037 -0.5646
The Border of Life and Death 14 22.21 -1.633 21.43% 0.122 -0.3533
Thriving Communities 82 31.44 2.951 31.71% 0.816 1.0416
Thriving Crops 26 29.58 0.852 34.62% 0.726 0.5014
Unnatural Proliferation 98 37.22 5.048 33.67% 0.689 0.8113
Untended Land Crumbles 107 32.58 3.618 32.71% 0.918 1.1505

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 411 71.78% 26.0 -1.644 25.06% -0.825 0.0934
B 455 63.52% 26.49 -1.208 27.47% -0.549 0.2918
C 587 67.29% 28.58 -0.731 30.15% -0.643 0.0404
D 386 69.17% 29.56 -0.666 31.09% -0.691 0.1511
E 449 71.49% 31.25 0.892 32.96% -0.44 0.2121
F 341 75.07% 31.65 1.078 33.72% -0.464 0.2956
G 224 73.21% 34.08 2.071 36.61% -0.285 0.4727
H 325 75.69% 34.96 2.727 37.85% -0.184 0.5342
East 75 29.33% 40.67 3.005 28.0% -0.635 0.1783
Northeast 53 20.75% 43.81 1.832 30.19% -0.531 0.1366
Northwest 26 26.92% 35.19 1.019 23.08% -0.443 0.3621
Southeast 17 5.88% 3.65 -12.506 0.0% -1.281 -0.5756
Southwest 18 11.11% 8.39 -6.406 5.56% -0.604 0.7861
West 66 36.36% 39.03 2.069 24.24% -0.663 0.1303

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 74 31.08% 35.62 1.832 37.84% 0.291 -0.4402
Start of Game Growth 89 30.34% 32.4 0.176 33.71% -0.171 -0.6171
Unlimited Undo 207 66.67% 43.57 6.976 55.56% 1.203 1.1695
Using Tokens but Not Events 200 55.5% 22.66 -3.058 26.0% 0.004 -0.1586

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1008 14.25 0.0%
II 795 30.3 14.97%
III 570 34.84 78.07%
IV 212 38.61 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.721 Win Model: 0.277
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2052 72.47% 27.7 28.07%
2 360 64.72% 36.79 40.56%
3 126 70.63% 33.58 30.95%
4 27 48.15% 41.52 48.15%
5 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0%
6 19 10.53% 15.21 10.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 436
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 113
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 195
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 978
Lose: Adversary condition 240
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 6
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 570
Lose: Spirit destroyed 15

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)