Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 33 12.12% 19.7 -0.906 63.64% -0.212 -0.306
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 37 18.92% 21.57 -0.197 62.16% -0.289 -0.797
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 16 31.25% 23.44 0.626 75.0% 0.333 0.5306
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 28 21.43% 25.11 1.466 78.57% 0.397 -0.4756
Dances Up Earthquakes 204 24.51% 20.89 -0.624 66.67% -0.186 -0.325
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 51 25.49% 23.92 1.216 60.78% -0.126 -0.3478
Downpour Drenches the World 39 15.38% 20.38 -0.349 56.41% -0.347 -0.0414
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 81 13.58% 25.21 1.441 74.07% 0.395 -0.1591
Eyes Watch From the Trees 70 12.86% 25.96 2.415 75.71% 0.58 0.1527
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 50 12.0% 27.0 2.877 72.0% 0.569 0.1561
Finder of Paths Unseen 22 40.91% 16.64 -2.41 40.91% -0.779 -0.124
Fractured Days Split the Sky 31 12.9% 18.03 -0.83 45.16% -0.224 0.3215
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 30 23.33% 14.93 -3.458 36.67% -0.756 -0.8397
Heart of the Wildfire 29 37.93% 14.86 -2.062 48.28% -0.301 0.0141
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 52 21.15% 19.17 -1.27 59.62% -0.442 -0.8854
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 26 7.69% 16.77 -1.718 50.0% -0.39 -0.6828
Lightning's Swift Strike 23 30.43% 19.35 -1.272 56.52% -0.198 0.0642
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 18 50.0% 30.56 4.616 83.33% 1.023 0.6949
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 11 27.27% 17.36 -1.944 45.45% -0.675 -1.0511
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 14 21.43% 26.71 3.232 78.57% 0.734 0.8338
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 69 21.74% 24.39 2.301 69.57% 0.523 0.3243
Many Minds Move as One 38 7.89% 19.21 -0.629 60.53% 0.01 -0.2042
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 18 33.33% 12.44 -4.532 33.33% -1.004 -0.8565
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 234 35.9% 19.16 -1.094 67.95% 0.164 0.2084
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 43 11.63% 23.91 0.837 67.44% 0.204 0.1017
River Surges in Sunlight 26 30.77% 32.58 5.399 69.23% 0.304 0.3012
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 22.73% 15.64 -2.44 40.91% -0.697 -0.4089
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 9 33.33% 21.89 -0.294 66.67% 0.019 0.2218
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 22 31.82% 22.64 0.675 59.09% -0.009 -0.2224
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 32 12.5% 22.09 -0.36 62.5% -0.053 -0.2109
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 70 22.86% 22.53 0.967 72.86% 0.354 -0.0294
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 12 33.33% 25.0 2.245 83.33% 0.818 1.394
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 12.5% 29.5 3.92 87.5% 0.59 0.5306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 25 20.0% 25.72 1.689 80.0% 0.528 0.0993
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 6 16.67% 25.33 2.402 83.33% 0.64 0.6456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 10 20.0% 23.3 1.533 60.0% 0.166 0.1066
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 10 30.0% 14.4 -2.905 50.0% -0.326 -0.1194
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 25 20.0% 18.76 -1.22 60.0% -0.169 -0.1368
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 21 4.76% 29.0 4.038 90.48% 1.213 1.0672
Shifting Memory of Ages 25 28.0% 16.76 -1.226 48.0% -0.084 0.2408
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 25 12.0% 22.64 0.637 72.0% 0.327 0.3749
Shroud of Silent Mist 35 25.71% 19.94 -0.325 65.71% 0.281 0.6492
Starlight Seeks its Form 69 14.49% 22.07 -0.137 68.12% 0.092 0.0256
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 45 13.33% 21.33 -0.046 60.0% -0.053 -0.536
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 47 23.4% 17.23 -1.837 51.06% -0.332 -0.1725
Thunderspeaker 19 15.79% 17.0 -2.41 47.37% -0.596 -0.5661
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 26.09% 25.74 3.235 65.22% 0.713 0.9031
Towering Roots of the Jungle 49 14.29% 21.0 -0.385 59.18% -0.193 -0.0476
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 36 41.67% 15.58 -3.055 50.0% -0.386 -0.3657
Vital Strength of the Earth 30 16.67% 30.47 3.528 73.33% 0.282 0.8626
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 16 25.0% 19.38 -0.388 56.25% -0.041 0.4422
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 15 0.0% 9.53 -5.496 20.0% -1.372 -0.753
Volcano Looming High 29 20.69% 18.62 -2.621 55.17% -0.562 -0.526
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 54 16.67% 22.37 -0.113 66.67% 0.009 -0.308

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 16.67% 18.17 -2.168 50.0% -0.325 -0.2811
Blitz 0 16 18.75% 12.56 -3.937 31.25% -0.989 -0.775
Dahan Insurrection 4 15 26.67% 26.4 1.518 40.0% -0.941 -1.2291
Despicable Theft 2 11 9.09% 22.55 3.241 45.45% -0.168 0.5425
Elemental Invocation 1 10 10.0% 5.7 -7.513 10.0% -1.482 -0.7814
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 32 3.13% 25.63 0.869 65.63% -0.395 -0.9949
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 23.08% 10.31 -5.041 15.38% -1.457 -0.6193
Rituals of Terror 3 5 20.0% 10.8 -5.593 20.0% -0.992 -0.9312
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 66.67% 16.17 -2.781 16.67% -1.057 -0.0699
Second Wave 0 11 45.45% 15.73 -3.053 36.36% -0.839 -0.5887
The Great River 3 7 0.0% 19.43 -1.85 42.86% -1.053 0.0132
Varied Terrains 2 8 37.5% 11.88 -4.622 25.0% -1.101 -0.2713
Ward the Shores 2 23 4.35% 18.39 -2.482 43.48% -1.053 0.1308

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 842 26.96% 21.73 0.414 67.93% 0.369 0.6422
1 Thematic 58 13.79% 18.43 -0.344 41.38% -0.345 0.2303
2 Archipelago 3 0.0% 43.33 11.987 100.0% 0.821 1.4981
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 165 21.21% 21.6 -0.648 60.61% -0.145 -0.0765
2 Coastline 29 13.79% 23.34 0.943 72.41% 0.297 0.0783
2 Fragment 4 0.0% 22.5 -0.323 75.0% 0.038 -0.2291
2 Heart 3 0.0% 23.67 0.373 100.0% 0.372 -0.0985
2 Opposite Shores 36 19.44% 22.61 -0.011 72.22% -0.006 -0.0282
2 Thematic 23 17.39% 15.61 -2.47 34.78% -0.456 -0.0832
2 Top to Top 6 16.67% 23.83 -1.706 83.33% 0.021 -0.2366
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 13.0 -5.139 0.0% -0.525 -1.448
3 Coastline 7 14.29% 26.57 2.009 71.43% 0.177 -0.7865
3 Round (Default) 105 24.76% 20.57 -0.415 62.86% -0.162 -0.3152
3 Thematic 5 0.0% 37.0 10.454 100.0% 1.321 1.173
4 Other 3 33.33% 28.0 3.565 100.0% 0.915 0.2305
4 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.813 0.0% -0.546 -0.7234
4 Trapezoid (Default) 42 9.52% 19.64 -0.638 54.76% -0.48 -0.8098
5 Other 8 12.5% 21.25 0.423 75.0% -0.215 -0.9645
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 21.0 -1.368 50.0% -0.173 -0.5593
6 Other 2 0.0% 30.0 4.822 100.0% 0.253 -0.1636
6 Thematic 9 22.22% 18.11 -1.788 33.33% -0.409 -0.4573
6 Two Centers (Default) 4 25.0% 5.75 -8.96 25.0% -1.314 -1.0997

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 12 15.42 -3.503 33.33% -1.105 -1.0328
Aid From Lesser Spirits 16 20.5 -0.481 68.75% 0.116 0.0451
All Things Weaken 14 21.57 1.162 78.57% 0.663 0.9221
Attenuated Essence 19 18.37 -1.075 52.63% -0.489 -0.5254
Back Against the Wall 10 22.4 0.761 80.0% 0.322 0.3759
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 21 16.81 -1.098 52.38% -0.142 0.0037
Burn Brightest Before the End 8 34.25 7.86 87.5% 0.875 0.8912
Disintegrating Ecosystem 13 14.38 -3.033 30.77% -0.983 -0.7948
Downward Spiral 11 14.55 -2.639 54.55% -0.05 0.0246
Erosion of Will 15 21.47 -0.821 80.0% 0.429 0.5839
Intensifying Exploitation 23 19.48 -1.503 52.17% -0.73 -0.5939
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 5 27.0 1.972 80.0% 0.211 -0.4027
Memory Fades to Dust 14 16.14 -2.368 64.29% -0.175 0.0281
Power Corrodes the Spirit 18 21.33 0.041 61.11% -0.089 0.0854
Promising Farmlands 13 19.92 -0.109 69.23% -0.037 0.1609
Shattered Fragments of Power 18 23.11 0.468 55.56% -0.305 -0.302
Slow Dissolution of Will 20 15.6 -3.333 50.0% -0.703 -0.405
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 10 29.8 3.202 60.0% -0.15 -0.8471
The Border of Life and Death 8 14.25 -1.768 50.0% 0.109 -0.3893
Thriving Communities 12 21.5 0.334 58.33% -0.436 -0.2795
Thriving Crops 10 21.7 0.774 70.0% 0.39 0.0778
Unnatural Proliferation 11 15.64 -1.84 27.27% -0.782 -0.6738
Untended Land Crumbles 23 21.17 0.042 69.57% 0.17 0.3518

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 278 22.3% 21.58 0.195 64.75% -0.148 0.8269
B 255 23.53% 21.04 -0.563 64.31% -0.498 0.391
C 266 20.68% 22.3 0.648 68.05% -0.12 0.5727
D 249 25.7% 20.29 -0.996 64.66% -0.475 0.4198
E 251 23.9% 22.09 0.284 64.54% -0.355 0.3742
F 218 16.06% 21.36 -0.302 65.6% -0.396 0.4358
G 220 25.91% 20.9 -0.304 65.0% -0.337 0.4427
H 197 23.35% 22.13 0.247 65.99% -0.299 0.484
East 61 13.11% 21.15 -0.591 45.9% -0.592 0.2173
Northeast 32 15.63% 24.88 3.564 50.0% 0.171 0.9691
Northwest 30 20.0% 15.9 -2.068 36.67% -0.623 0.1107
Southeast 22 27.27% 18.64 -0.185 40.91% -0.209 0.6842
Southwest 23 21.74% 16.35 -2.944 43.48% -0.571 0.6866
West 59 16.95% 16.39 -1.75 38.98% -0.973 0.0249

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 100.0% 12.0 0.835 0.0% -0.146 0.2753
Skip Initial Invader Actions 27 3.7% 35.15 5.379 92.59% 1.279 0.5094
Start of Game Growth 40 7.5% 31.1 3.163 82.5% 0.698 0.2605
Unlimited Undo 71 14.08% 22.55 -0.814 63.38% -0.621 -0.6862
Using Tokens but Not Events 103 24.27% 23.11 1.163 73.79% 0.557 0.5141

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 398 13.76 7.79%
II 445 30.19 82.7%
III 379 34.82 91.29%
IV 136 38.63 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.014 Win Model: 0.464
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 929 25.94% 21.14 64.8%
2 243 18.93% 23.11 67.49%
3 115 23.48% 21.8 65.22%
4 48 10.42% 19.96 56.25%
5 8 25.0% 20.38 75.0%
6 15 20.0% 16.4 40.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 31
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 338
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 357
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 135
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 338
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 83
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 4
Win: Scenario condition 16
Lose: Blight pool ran out 50

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 36 11.11% 36.14 1.369 86.11% 0.445 0.3513
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 35 28.57% 34.37 1.241 77.14% 0.153 -0.3549
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 11 18.18% 30.73 -2.043 72.73% -0.445 -0.248
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 28 17.86% 39.75 5.011 85.71% 0.775 -0.0984
Dances Up Earthquakes 169 28.4% 30.32 -0.947 78.7% -0.222 -0.3604
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 47 14.89% 35.79 2.312 82.98% 0.594 0.3713
Downpour Drenches the World 32 21.88% 30.88 -0.593 78.13% -0.046 0.2599
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 57 8.77% 36.39 2.119 82.46% 0.259 -0.2959
Eyes Watch From the Trees 57 10.53% 37.6 3.107 87.72% 0.853 0.4258
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 43 11.63% 31.56 -0.159 72.09% -0.33 -0.7437
Finder of Paths Unseen 20 35.0% 16.7 -6.385 40.0% -1.299 -0.6434
Fractured Days Split the Sky 19 26.32% 28.84 -2.127 73.68% -0.401 0.1442
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 32 28.13% 28.94 -1.428 68.75% -0.438 -0.522
Heart of the Wildfire 36 33.33% 28.69 -1.444 69.44% -0.362 -0.0467
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 51 35.29% 36.25 1.529 88.24% 0.421 -0.0222
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 27 7.41% 33.26 2.621 77.78% 0.549 0.2555
Lightning's Swift Strike 12 25.0% 37.58 3.368 91.67% 0.659 0.921
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 16 12.5% 32.81 0.633 81.25% 0.114 -0.2139
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 14 35.71% 40.93 5.481 100.0% 1.133 0.757
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 13 7.69% 41.77 1.62 84.62% -0.273 -0.1736
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 51 23.53% 31.94 1.282 74.51% 0.273 0.0743
Many Minds Move as One 27 25.93% 34.48 2.016 77.78% 0.138 -0.0762
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 24 29.17% 30.17 -1.435 58.33% -0.542 -0.3943
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 346 39.02% 27.53 -0.828 73.99% 0.131 0.1751
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 48 29.17% 30.04 0.743 79.17% 0.693 0.5903
River Surges in Sunlight 27 25.93% 29.89 -0.185 74.07% -0.076 -0.0789
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 23 26.09% 30.91 -0.916 78.26% -0.238 0.05
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 12 41.67% 35.17 1.226 66.67% -0.191 0.0119
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 23 34.78% 42.57 5.528 82.61% 0.816 0.6024
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7 14.29% 39.29 8.349 85.71% 0.819 0.6607
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 95 30.53% 31.99 0.56 77.89% -0.128 -0.5108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 100.0% 31.5 1.623 100.0% 0.542 1.118
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 5 40.0% 33.8 0.428 80.0% -0.008 -0.0676
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 38 23.68% 36.5 3.88 84.21% 0.835 0.4068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 33.33% 14.33 -9.743 33.33% -0.984 -0.9781
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 6 33.33% 32.0 0.65 83.33% 0.119 0.0602
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 100.0% 37.0 1.845 100.0% 0.212 0.4188
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 16 12.5% 21.94 -4.851 50.0% -0.923 -0.8902
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 39 15.38% 32.03 0.588 76.92% 0.12 -0.0256
Shifting Memory of Ages 14 14.29% 25.0 -4.171 64.29% -0.593 -0.2685
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 23.81% 29.62 -1.678 71.43% -0.5 -0.452
Shroud of Silent Mist 24 37.5% 31.13 -0.323 79.17% 0.089 0.4564
Starlight Seeks its Form 47 21.28% 30.34 -0.495 74.47% -0.265 -0.3309
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 101 27.72% 27.32 0.254 74.26% 0.529 0.0454
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 35 17.14% 30.91 -0.256 74.29% -0.188 -0.0282
Thunderspeaker 37 21.62% 36.97 1.458 81.08% -0.016 0.0142
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 16 12.5% 27.19 0.445 62.5% 0.014 0.2047
Towering Roots of the Jungle 34 23.53% 25.53 -1.693 64.71% -0.41 -0.2641
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 43 55.81% 25.77 -0.391 62.79% 0.025 0.0453
Vital Strength of the Earth 17 23.53% 31.0 -0.098 64.71% -0.298 0.2828
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 10 30.0% 35.2 -0.134 80.0% -0.26 0.2237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 12 58.33% 26.92 -2.336 75.0% -0.373 0.246
Volcano Looming High 47 38.3% 24.57 -2.984 63.83% -0.554 -0.5182
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 31 29.03% 30.58 -0.26 70.97% -0.254 -0.5711

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 0.0% 29.8 0.488 60.0% -0.135 -0.0912
Blitz 0 10 20.0% 10.4 -10.366 30.0% -1.47 -1.256
Dahan Insurrection 4 20 35.0% 39.85 -0.23 50.0% -1.436 -1.7244
Despicable Theft 2 7 0.0% 19.86 -5.35 42.86% -0.819 -0.1089
Elemental Invocation 1 12 41.67% 17.08 -5.675 25.0% -1.079 -0.3781
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 33 6.06% 33.42 0.601 75.76% -0.013 -0.613
Powers Long Forgotten 1 10 30.0% 15.1 -6.693 20.0% -1.468 -0.6307
Rituals of Terror 3 4 25.0% 27.75 0.231 50.0% -0.405 -0.3446
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 0.0% 0.0 -14.994 0.0% -1.116 -0.1295
Second Wave 0 47 46.81% 28.32 -0.415 59.57% -0.47 -0.2206
Varied Terrains 2 8 62.5% 33.75 2.468 50.0% -0.406 0.4234
Ward the Shores 2 6 0.0% 28.33 -1.091 50.0% -0.515 0.6682

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 636 27.52% 31.72 0.844 77.52% 0.577 0.8507
1 Thematic 54 38.89% 26.46 -0.75 53.7% 0.018 0.593
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.186 0.0% -0.558 0.1188
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 153 26.8% 30.61 -0.371 77.78% 0.226 0.294
2 Coastline 16 12.5% 34.25 -0.157 81.25% -0.398 -0.617
2 Fragment 7 28.57% 32.71 2.519 71.43% 0.326 0.0594
2 Heart 3 0.0% 37.33 -0.331 100.0% 0.113 -0.3568
2 Opposite Shores 25 28.0% 32.76 1.553 88.0% 0.39 0.3676
2 Thematic 178 26.97% 22.99 -2.117 57.3% -0.624 -0.2512
2 Top to Top 7 28.57% 37.0 -3.08 85.71% -0.112 -0.3691
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 37.5 2.524 100.0% 0.507 -0.4568
3 Other 3 33.33% 25.0 0.233 66.67% 0.218 -0.546
3 Round (Default) 85 35.29% 31.56 0.029 82.35% -0.217 -0.3707
3 Thematic 5 20.0% 32.4 2.722 80.0% 0.381 0.2338
4 Thematic 3 0.0% 43.33 6.432 66.67% 0.032 -0.1457
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33 33.33% 33.76 0.215 81.82% -0.58 -0.9092
5 Other 11 27.27% 37.55 0.715 100.0% 0.198 -0.552
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 45.0 -0.787 100.0% 0.004 -0.9666
6 Other 2 0.0% 20.0 -1.383 50.0% -0.423 -0.8395
6 Thematic 6 16.67% 33.67 1.487 66.67% -0.487 -0.5359
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 12.5% 50.75 4.636 87.5% -0.299 -0.0842

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 18 29.28 -1.41 77.78% -0.214 -0.1417
Aid From Lesser Spirits 17 30.18 0.618 64.71% 0.057 -0.0136
All Things Weaken 11 30.73 -0.871 81.82% 0.195 0.454
Attenuated Essence 23 25.09 -2.073 65.22% -0.381 -0.4173
Back Against the Wall 5 32.6 0.891 80.0% 0.017 0.071
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 17 29.47 -1.682 82.35% 0.062 0.2074
Burn Brightest Before the End 12 29.67 -1.254 58.33% -0.714 -0.6976
Disintegrating Ecosystem 9 22.11 -4.001 66.67% -0.272 -0.0841
Downward Spiral 16 35.75 2.073 81.25% 0.42 0.4942
Erosion of Will 16 30.13 -0.13 68.75% -0.218 -0.0634
Intensifying Exploitation 19 26.37 -1.683 63.16% -0.297 -0.1616
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 7 28.29 -3.389 85.71% 0.106 -0.5085
Memory Fades to Dust 17 28.18 -0.213 70.59% 0.247 0.4506
Power Corrodes the Spirit 22 27.91 -0.992 77.27% -0.024 0.151
Promising Farmlands 14 17.14 -6.967 35.71% -1.175 -0.9764
Shattered Fragments of Power 19 25.0 -2.716 68.42% -0.231 -0.2284
Slow Dissolution of Will 8 27.75 -1.453 75.0% -0.003 0.2951
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 9 31.0 -0.075 88.89% 0.182 -0.5151
The Border of Life and Death 8 25.88 -2.72 75.0% -0.064 -0.5622
Thriving Communities 28 28.39 -0.48 78.57% 0.362 0.5182
Thriving Crops 11 37.36 4.263 100.0% 1.182 0.8699
Unnatural Proliferation 18 26.06 -2.8 66.67% -0.589 -0.4802
Untended Land Crumbles 24 26.13 -1.259 66.67% -0.163 0.0186

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 210 27.14% 31.8 -0.065 79.05% -0.321 0.6546
B 223 27.8% 33.53 1.203 82.51% 0.147 1.0359
C 217 30.41% 34.09 1.595 83.41% 0.173 0.8656
D 231 29.44% 30.34 -0.512 74.89% -0.465 0.4302
E 200 31.5% 32.9 0.557 81.5% 0.028 0.7575
F 179 25.7% 32.25 0.046 79.33% -0.318 0.5132
G 146 23.29% 32.13 -0.309 78.77% -0.399 0.3804
H 182 26.37% 33.31 0.604 81.87% -0.056 0.7267
East 201 28.36% 24.7 0.092 60.7% -0.401 0.4085
Northeast 179 27.93% 24.42 -1.235 61.45% -0.374 0.4242
Northwest 159 26.42% 24.05 -1.446 59.12% -0.629 0.1047
Southeast 23 21.74% 27.3 -1.292 56.52% -0.539 0.3547
Southwest 23 13.04% 25.3 -0.032 52.17% -0.038 1.2197
West 196 25.51% 24.2 -1.513 57.14% -0.904 0.0937

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.134 0.0% -0.502 -0.0814
Skip Initial Invader Actions 16 0.0% 46.94 6.963 93.75% 1.142 0.3726
Start of Game Growth 25 4.0% 40.6 2.729 84.0% 0.327 -0.1113
Unlimited Undo 89 13.48% 30.83 -0.816 71.91% -0.409 -0.4749
Using Tokens but Not Events 86 18.6% 33.95 0.965 86.05% 0.467 0.4241

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 274 13.76 13.87%
II 489 30.19 86.5%
III 386 34.82 96.63%
IV 92 38.63 98.91%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.303 Win Model: 0.691
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 706 28.33% 30.82 74.22%
2 378 26.72% 28.39 71.96%
3 93 33.33% 31.33 81.72%
4 36 30.56% 34.56 80.56%
5 13 30.77% 33.0 84.62%
6 15 6.67% 45.13 86.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 38
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 371
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 409
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 91
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 242
Lose: Adversary condition 28
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 1
Win: Scenario condition 13
Lose: Blight pool ran out 42
Lose: Spirit destroyed 3

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 20 10.0% 21.1 -4.569 45.0% -0.773 -0.8666
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 37 24.32% 39.84 4.065 86.49% 1.028 0.5197
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 10 30.0% 35.0 0.788 80.0% 0.122 0.319
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 19 52.63% 35.42 1.161 68.42% -0.257 -1.1298
Dances Up Earthquakes 137 35.77% 33.72 1.933 75.18% 0.535 0.3962
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 25 20.0% 31.68 -0.063 72.0% 0.026 -0.1958
Downpour Drenches the World 27 29.63% 26.15 -2.421 59.26% -0.455 -0.149
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 89 22.47% 34.96 1.827 78.65% 0.517 -0.0375
Eyes Watch From the Trees 62 19.35% 34.1 0.908 70.97% 0.162 -0.265
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 38 31.58% 31.08 -0.756 65.79% -0.294 -0.7077
Finder of Paths Unseen 8 0.0% 8.5 -9.409 12.5% -1.151 -0.4961
Fractured Days Split the Sky 16 25.0% 28.31 0.784 56.25% -0.081 0.4641
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 28 35.71% 23.82 -3.083 42.86% -0.854 -0.9382
Heart of the Wildfire 29 62.07% 33.34 0.562 75.86% 0.128 0.4432
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 38 39.47% 34.68 1.618 76.32% 0.357 -0.0863
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 41 31.71% 32.0 -0.145 73.17% 0.064 -0.2295
Lightning's Swift Strike 14 35.71% 31.5 0.606 64.29% -0.099 0.1627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 9 33.33% 42.11 5.633 88.89% 0.894 0.5668
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 18 27.78% 35.22 3.404 77.78% 0.946 0.5704
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 15 20.0% 34.13 1.885 73.33% 0.709 0.8089
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 39 20.51% 33.64 0.94 71.79% 0.246 0.0465
Many Minds Move as One 27 25.93% 26.44 -0.844 59.26% 0.013 -0.2016
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 15 20.0% 23.0 -3.192 40.0% -0.843 -0.695
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 169 44.38% 30.34 -0.648 69.82% 0.071 0.1151
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 29 41.38% 28.31 -0.933 62.07% -0.04 -0.1424
River Surges in Sunlight 36 38.89% 38.72 3.204 80.56% 0.514 0.5119
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 22 27.27% 31.23 -1.179 63.64% -0.348 -0.0594
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 7 71.43% 25.57 -2.178 42.86% -0.291 -0.088
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 19 26.32% 38.0 3.232 78.95% 0.523 0.3092
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 25 28.0% 29.88 -0.733 68.0% 0.041 -0.1168
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 54 24.07% 32.72 1.407 74.07% 0.41 0.0275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.827 0.0% -0.593 -0.653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 24 29.17% 30.25 0.49 62.5% 0.075 -0.3531
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 0.0% 25.5 -0.748 50.0% -0.342 -0.3358
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.519 0.0% -0.728 -0.7871
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.753 0.0% -0.327 -0.1201
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 29 24.14% 33.48 0.676 72.41% 0.09 0.1223
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 21 19.05% 33.1 2.966 71.43% 0.775 0.6292
Shifting Memory of Ages 10 10.0% 34.9 2.349 80.0% 0.278 0.6026
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 33 27.27% 26.09 -1.74 54.55% -0.43 -0.382
Shroud of Silent Mist 18 44.44% 22.56 -3.877 50.0% -0.539 -0.1711
Starlight Seeks its Form 58 36.21% 25.4 -2.452 48.28% -0.703 -0.7691
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 48 27.08% 28.6 -1.081 68.75% 0.13 -0.3534
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 30 20.0% 30.9 -0.439 60.0% -0.376 -0.2164
Thunderspeaker 27 29.63% 31.59 0.571 59.26% -0.012 0.0183
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 12 41.67% 35.75 4.932 83.33% 1.342 1.532
Towering Roots of the Jungle 62 30.65% 22.56 -3.817 51.61% -0.685 -0.5387
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 52 69.23% 33.56 1.384 76.92% 0.537 0.557
Vital Strength of the Earth 30 26.67% 38.33 2.617 83.33% 0.609 1.19
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 11 18.18% 25.0 -2.823 54.55% -0.461 0.0223
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 9 22.22% 22.0 -3.261 44.44% -0.368 0.2508
Volcano Looming High 30 40.0% 30.43 -0.009 70.0% 0.217 0.253
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 50 34.0% 28.62 -0.892 60.0% -0.234 -0.5516

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 49.0 12.097 100.0% 0.527 0.5707
Blitz 0 11 27.27% 32.73 -0.188 63.64% -0.197 0.0173
Dahan Insurrection 4 9 22.22% 61.11 11.442 88.89% 0.416 0.1281
Despicable Theft 2 2 0.0% 0.0 -13.777 0.0% -0.654 0.0561
Elemental Invocation 1 12 16.67% 9.08 -9.664 16.67% -1.326 -0.625
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 30 13.33% 31.03 0.112 56.67% -0.564 -1.1645
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 11.11% 2.0 -11.535 0.0% -1.673 -0.8357
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 0.0 -15.98 0.0% -0.993 -0.9329
Second Wave 0 41 39.02% 31.95 0.973 65.85% 0.023 0.2724
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 8.0 -8.601 0.0% -0.899 0.1672
Varied Terrains 2 4 75.0% 20.25 -4.77 25.0% -0.8 0.029
Ward the Shores 2 5 60.0% 33.2 2.86 40.0% -0.186 0.9971

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 561 37.08% 31.47 0.424 68.81% 0.152 0.4251
1 Thematic 33 36.36% 16.09 -6.202 21.21% -1.463 -0.8881
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 158 32.28% 34.16 1.141 74.68% 0.118 0.1861
2 Coastline 21 14.29% 39.24 3.877 85.71% 0.636 0.4171
2 Fragment 5 80.0% 43.0 6.756 100.0% 0.64 0.373
2 Heart 4 25.0% 41.25 3.777 100.0% 0.473 0.0024
2 Opposite Shores 27 48.15% 30.89 -0.461 70.37% -0.095 -0.1175
2 Thematic 15 20.0% 12.0 -6.729 20.0% -0.978 -0.6048
2 Top to Top 5 40.0% 35.2 3.011 80.0% 0.401 0.1441
3 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 4.503 0.0% 0.729 -0.0344
3 Round (Default) 101 28.71% 28.87 -1.616 65.35% -0.525 -0.6778
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 17.33 -3.844 33.33% -0.055 -0.2029
4 Other 4 0.0% 13.75 1.001 25.0% 0.243 -0.4418
4 Thematic 6 83.33% 25.67 -0.366 33.33% -0.425 -0.6025
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30 30.0% 33.63 0.248 80.0% 0.046 -0.2832
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.728 0.0% -0.268 -0.7984
5 Other 5 0.0% 39.6 4.506 100.0% 0.677 -0.0727
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 32.5 11.908 50.0% 0.336 -0.0507
6 Star 3 0.0% 29.33 -2.324 66.67% -0.404 -0.0687
6 Thematic 8 12.5% 28.75 2.97 50.0% 0.325 0.2764
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 25.0% 35.38 -1.296 62.5% -0.848 -0.6336

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 13 33.23 2.867 69.23% 0.39 0.4616
Aid From Lesser Spirits 14 31.21 -0.964 57.14% -0.583 -0.6535
All Things Weaken 11 24.73 -1.945 54.55% -0.147 0.112
Attenuated Essence 21 27.71 -1.469 61.9% -0.28 -0.3157
Back Against the Wall 12 24.5 -2.991 50.0% -0.371 -0.3172
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 22 29.14 -0.242 63.64% 0.076 0.2212
Burn Brightest Before the End 15 34.53 1.196 73.33% 0.146 0.162
Disintegrating Ecosystem 13 20.92 -7.059 46.15% -1.332 -1.1437
Downward Spiral 18 31.39 0.13 72.22% 0.244 0.3184
Erosion of Will 14 28.43 -1.344 64.29% -0.264 -0.1094
Intensifying Exploitation 16 26.69 -1.709 56.25% -0.18 -0.0445
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 5 33.8 1.732 80.0% 0.261 -0.3527
Memory Fades to Dust 27 33.3 0.674 74.07% -0.04 0.163
Power Corrodes the Spirit 17 34.94 1.494 64.71% -0.322 -0.1471
Promising Farmlands 13 30.08 -0.474 53.85% -0.415 -0.2173
Shattered Fragments of Power 14 24.07 -4.875 50.0% -0.847 -0.8448
Slow Dissolution of Will 19 33.84 1.06 78.95% 0.207 0.5056
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 5 22.8 -5.884 60.0% -0.312 -1.0084
The Border of Life and Death 2 41.0 4.476 100.0% 0.33 -0.1674
Thriving Communities 16 32.44 0.558 75.0% 0.147 0.3035
Thriving Crops 16 36.13 3.058 87.5% 1.08 0.7676
Unnatural Proliferation 19 36.05 2.055 84.21% 0.545 0.6535
Untended Land Crumbles 26 30.04 -0.065 65.38% 0.247 0.429

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 215 33.02% 31.77 0.309 71.16% 0.188 1.1632
B 204 32.84% 32.08 0.505 71.08% 0.171 1.0605
C 222 31.53% 32.92 0.58 72.52% 0.133 0.825
D 216 31.02% 31.63 0.802 71.3% 0.307 1.2018
E 195 27.69% 31.79 0.183 69.74% 0.071 0.7999
F 163 36.81% 32.73 0.615 71.78% 0.197 1.0283
G 164 32.93% 29.74 -1.192 66.46% -0.278 0.5014
H 174 30.46% 32.56 0.324 71.26% 0.011 0.7941
East 47 36.17% 19.98 -1.796 29.79% -0.49 0.3194
Northeast 29 31.03% 20.62 -2.164 31.03% -0.452 0.3459
Northwest 29 37.93% 21.55 -1.304 34.48% 0.132 0.866
Southeast 23 43.48% 22.65 -2.007 34.78% -0.53 0.3635
Southwest 18 33.33% 18.78 -3.327 27.78% -0.543 0.7151
West 47 36.17% 18.87 0.56 29.79% 0.225 1.2224

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 0.0 -6.943 0.0% -0.239 0.1818
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13 7.69% 46.08 8.977 92.31% 1.602 0.8326
Start of Game Growth 22 9.09% 38.5 4.053 72.73% 0.461 0.0228
Unlimited Undo 77 24.68% 26.08 -2.81 57.14% -0.602 -0.6673
Using Tokens but Not Events 87 25.29% 25.28 -3.106 56.32% -0.534 -0.5766

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 239 13.76 2.51%
II 337 30.19 76.85%
III 377 34.82 95.76%
IV 51 38.63 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.113 Win Model: 0.074
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 606 36.8% 30.43 65.68%
2 228 34.21% 33.52 73.68%
3 104 26.92% 28.55 64.42%
4 40 37.5% 31.13 70.0%
5 7 14.29% 30.57 71.43%
6 19 15.79% 31.63 57.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 6
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 355
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 252
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 50
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 217
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 55
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 5
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 46
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 38 42.11% 40.79 2.217 84.21% 0.732 0.6384
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 51 49.02% 38.92 1.408 82.35% 0.611 0.1032
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 11 72.73% 36.0 0.951 72.73% 0.324 0.5211
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 25 52.0% 46.68 6.558 88.0% 1.248 0.3752
Dances Up Earthquakes 226 50.44% 36.35 0.331 76.11% 0.182 0.0428
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 36 58.33% 34.81 0.186 66.67% 0.035 -0.1872
Downpour Drenches the World 42 35.71% 31.62 -3.007 61.9% -0.695 -0.389
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 113 34.51% 37.91 1.571 78.76% 0.549 -0.0057
Eyes Watch From the Trees 103 26.21% 41.06 2.645 81.55% 0.585 0.1577
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 30 56.67% 29.87 -2.58 56.67% -0.546 -0.9593
Finder of Paths Unseen 18 27.78% 22.56 -6.37 44.44% -1.151 -0.4959
Fractured Days Split the Sky 16 12.5% 38.38 2.365 75.0% 0.165 0.7103
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 27 51.85% 32.26 -1.087 59.26% -0.443 -0.5277
Heart of the Wildfire 41 53.66% 22.63 -5.654 46.34% -0.881 -0.5656
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 94 31.91% 36.74 0.905 74.47% 0.286 -0.1573
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 52 26.92% 38.67 1.664 78.85% 0.45 0.1565
Lightning's Swift Strike 16 43.75% 36.63 -0.403 81.25% 0.139 0.4015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 16 50.0% 40.0 4.118 81.25% 0.874 0.5469
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 16 50.0% 44.44 4.325 87.5% 0.71 0.3339
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 24 54.17% 28.04 -2.622 58.33% -0.32 -0.22
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 71 39.44% 36.45 0.946 67.61% 0.022 -0.1775
Many Minds Move as One 43 20.93% 32.81 -2.427 67.44% -0.562 -0.7769
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26 50.0% 31.31 0.724 61.54% 0.324 0.4719
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 288 54.51% 33.91 -0.217 73.26% 0.263 0.3078
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 45 22.22% 31.36 -1.687 64.44% -0.168 -0.2709
River Surges in Sunlight 33 45.45% 39.79 2.846 78.79% 0.452 0.4492
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 41 43.9% 34.8 -0.342 65.85% -0.371 -0.0827
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 9 44.44% 33.0 -1.662 66.67% -0.229 -0.0256
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 35 40.0% 42.06 2.891 74.29% 0.145 -0.0686
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 41 26.83% 32.93 -1.461 63.41% -0.602 -0.7603
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 99 39.39% 34.48 -0.638 70.71% -0.204 -0.5873
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 75.0% 26.5 -4.219 50.0% -0.386 0.1898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 32.0 -1.785 75.0% 0.102 0.0427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 33 48.48% 37.55 1.117 78.79% 0.226 -0.2026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 3 33.33% 32.0 -1.772 66.67% -0.138 -0.1325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 5 60.0% 32.8 2.464 60.0% 0.072 0.0134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 62.5% 20.75 -5.133 25.0% -0.905 -0.6986
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 36 36.11% 35.19 0.321 72.22% 0.204 0.2367
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 29 48.28% 36.0 0.962 72.41% 0.078 -0.0671
Shifting Memory of Ages 15 53.33% 28.8 -2.936 60.0% -0.337 -0.0119
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 45 53.33% 40.42 2.148 82.22% 0.429 0.477
Shroud of Silent Mist 25 56.0% 28.72 -1.506 60.0% -0.108 0.2601
Starlight Seeks its Form 80 35.0% 34.3 -1.011 72.5% -0.215 -0.2807
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 68 23.53% 32.28 -0.881 69.12% 0.196 -0.2873
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 50 44.0% 29.56 -1.525 60.0% -0.267 -0.1078
Thunderspeaker 21 28.57% 35.9 -0.543 71.43% 0.052 0.0821
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 14 28.57% 34.43 0.427 71.43% 0.175 0.3651
Towering Roots of the Jungle 60 50.0% 34.85 -0.743 70.0% -0.215 -0.0687
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 82 60.98% 34.17 0.17 73.17% 0.366 0.3863
Vital Strength of the Earth 22 54.55% 36.55 -0.153 68.18% -0.29 0.2913
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 23 65.22% 31.57 -2.026 56.52% -0.446 0.0375
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 15 20.0% 35.13 0.354 66.67% -0.145 0.4739
Volcano Looming High 47 40.43% 34.06 -0.673 65.96% -0.294 -0.2583
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 55 43.64% 37.8 0.929 74.55% 0.052 -0.2656

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 2 100.0% 22.5 -2.207 50.0% 0.118 0.1618
Blitz 0 7 28.57% 6.71 -14.56 14.29% -1.547 -1.333
Dahan Insurrection 4 16 31.25% 46.81 4.721 56.25% -0.344 -0.6316
Despicable Theft 2 3 0.0% 0.0 -16.68 0.0% -1.15 -0.4396
Elemental Invocation 1 3 0.0% 0.0 -15.109 0.0% -0.959 -0.2581
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 45 13.33% 34.09 -0.465 60.0% -0.488 -1.0884
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 66.67% 34.67 2.488 66.67% 0.098 0.9357
Rituals of Terror 3 2 100.0% 61.5 14.388 100.0% 0.444 0.5043
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.802 0.0% -0.476 0.511
Second Wave 0 24 50.0% 28.17 -4.58 45.83% -1.392 -1.1421
The Great River 3 2 0.0% 0.0 -18.388 0.0% -0.943 0.1229
Varied Terrains 2 7 0.0% 11.57 -10.398 14.29% -1.211 -0.3813
Ward the Shores 2 4 50.0% 30.5 -1.591 50.0% -0.351 0.8327

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 887 42.62% 35.17 0.143 70.35% 0.271 0.5445
1 Thematic 33 60.61% 23.94 -2.983 33.33% -0.69 -0.1152
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 199 49.75% 37.15 0.981 76.38% 0.479 0.5471
2 Coastline 30 50.0% 39.93 2.09 86.67% 0.755 0.5358
2 Fragment 3 0.0% 40.67 3.566 100.0% 0.589 0.3222
2 Heart 6 83.33% 28.17 -5.121 50.0% -0.741 -1.211
2 Opposite Shores 42 35.71% 31.24 -0.011 64.29% 0.111 0.0894
2 Thematic 37 37.84% 17.11 -4.197 35.14% -0.488 -0.1151
2 Top to Top 13 38.46% 34.54 -2.371 69.23% -0.251 -0.5088
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 1.184 0.0% -0.025 -0.9885
3 Other 2 50.0% 60.5 4.612 100.0% 0.508 -0.2558
3 Round (Default) 132 49.24% 34.42 -1.079 71.97% 0.029 -0.1243
3 Thematic 3 100.0% 41.33 5.513 66.67% 0.064 -0.0832
4 Other 8 62.5% 39.0 -0.032 75.0% -0.173 -0.8575
4 Thematic 6 16.67% 13.17 -6.391 16.67% -0.417 -0.5942
4 Trapezoid (Default) 67 32.84% 41.6 2.426 86.57% 0.649 0.3199
5 Other 11 18.18% 39.73 1.382 81.82% 0.316 -0.4334
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -7.081 0.0% -0.078 -0.4643
6 Other 3 0.0% 16.67 -9.07 33.33% -0.577 -0.9939
6 Star 2 50.0% 46.5 3.641 100.0% 0.222 0.5575
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 42.86% 31.64 -2.835 64.29% -0.858 -0.6434

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 29 38.76 2.303 82.76% 0.733 0.8044
Aid From Lesser Spirits 21 31.43 -1.769 61.9% -0.305 -0.3759
All Things Weaken 29 33.97 1.01 65.52% 0.049 0.3084
Attenuated Essence 25 35.6 -0.665 72.0% -0.372 -0.4079
Back Against the Wall 15 33.2 -1.339 66.67% -0.113 -0.0593
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 36.45 1.83 75.76% 0.601 0.7468
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 38.35 0.966 80.77% -0.019 -0.0033
Disintegrating Ecosystem 28 30.29 -2.683 64.29% -0.236 -0.0478
Downward Spiral 33 40.88 3.058 87.88% 1.041 1.115
Erosion of Will 32 34.56 0.181 65.63% 0.061 0.2158
Intensifying Exploitation 51 32.39 -1.057 62.75% -0.31 -0.174
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 22 42.23 2.916 86.36% 0.518 -0.0964
Memory Fades to Dust 39 31.0 -0.858 64.1% 0.037 0.2401
Power Corrodes the Spirit 36 33.5 -0.262 72.22% 0.346 0.5213
Promising Farmlands 33 37.15 0.991 72.73% 0.262 0.4603
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 35.88 2.918 70.83% 0.567 0.5701
Slow Dissolution of Will 45 37.56 1.547 80.0% 0.538 0.8367
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 7 43.43 3.723 100.0% 0.879 0.1826
The Border of Life and Death 7 34.0 -0.388 71.43% 0.043 -0.4549
Thriving Communities 37 32.73 -1.957 64.86% -0.429 -0.2725
Thriving Crops 12 38.67 1.89 83.33% 0.479 0.1672
Unnatural Proliferation 38 33.26 -1.051 65.79% -0.163 -0.0545
Untended Land Crumbles 36 34.78 0.002 69.44% -0.014 0.168

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 292 41.78% 34.65 -0.53 71.23% -0.115 0.8598
B 304 46.05% 35.07 -0.275 73.03% -0.015 0.8743
C 364 46.43% 37.26 1.171 75.55% 0.127 0.8191
D 310 44.52% 34.18 -0.857 70.65% -0.236 0.6588
E 295 33.9% 35.38 -0.587 71.19% -0.343 0.3863
F 248 45.16% 37.94 1.273 76.61% 0.144 0.9749
G 282 47.52% 36.43 0.59 73.76% 0.008 0.787
H 256 40.23% 37.71 1.337 77.73% 0.333 1.1162
East 57 43.86% 21.12 -2.476 36.84% -0.247 0.5625
Northeast 39 43.59% 21.13 -2.439 41.03% -0.226 0.5717
Northwest 15 40.0% 21.67 -0.133 33.33% -0.175 0.5583
Southeast 10 40.0% 17.3 -3.814 20.0% -0.659 0.2348
Southwest 20 45.0% 10.15 -9.556 15.0% -1.375 -0.1168
West 43 46.51% 16.88 -5.809 25.58% -0.848 0.1492

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 18 22.22% 40.44 1.925 77.78% 0.251 -0.5184
Start of Game Growth 37 24.32% 45.11 4.657 81.08% 0.771 0.3327
Unlimited Undo 171 33.92% 35.3 -0.31 73.1% -0.159 -0.2246
Using Tokens but Not Events 139 38.13% 38.42 1.635 82.73% 0.781 0.7379

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 288 13.76 0.0%
II 332 30.19 62.35%
III 746 34.82 95.44%
IV 135 38.63 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.096 Win Model: 0.128
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 935 42.99% 34.51 68.45%
2 318 47.17% 35.01 72.33%
3 139 50.36% 34.33 71.22%
4 78 34.62% 40.0 82.05%
5 12 16.67% 36.42 75.0%
6 19 36.84% 30.84 63.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 705
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 199
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 135
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 277
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4
Lose: Adversary condition 69
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 12
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 79
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 41 53.66% 34.15 -2.073 51.22% -0.406 -0.5004
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 57 56.14% 39.02 0.275 63.16% 0.179 -0.3292
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 11 90.91% 52.91 7.339 81.82% 0.651 0.8486
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 32 43.75% 47.53 4.941 78.13% 0.925 0.0519
Dances Up Earthquakes 184 52.17% 39.01 -0.006 63.59% -0.016 -0.155
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 41 70.73% 41.71 2.133 65.85% 0.383 0.1608
Downpour Drenches the World 59 49.15% 33.2 -1.914 47.46% -0.413 -0.1073
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 138 50.0% 38.35 0.799 58.7% 0.132 -0.4227
Eyes Watch From the Trees 104 42.31% 42.02 2.01 67.31% 0.365 -0.062
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 43 51.16% 38.63 0.357 58.14% 0.003 -0.4106
Finder of Paths Unseen 29 65.52% 25.55 -5.567 41.38% -0.428 0.2271
Fractured Days Split the Sky 16 31.25% 31.81 -3.271 43.75% -0.648 -0.1022
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 50 54.0% 35.04 -1.049 56.0% -0.17 -0.2537
Heart of the Wildfire 49 77.55% 28.18 -3.586 38.78% -0.372 -0.0569
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 96 40.63% 45.8 4.098 76.04% 0.875 0.4315
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 49 44.9% 43.41 3.19 71.43% 0.675 0.382
Lightning's Swift Strike 23 82.61% 31.57 -3.354 39.13% -0.632 -0.3704
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 35 62.86% 41.43 0.774 68.57% 0.199 -0.1288
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 18 44.44% 52.56 6.972 88.89% 1.07 0.6941
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 25 44.0% 42.32 2.967 64.0% 0.195 0.2945
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 118 46.61% 40.95 1.097 67.8% 0.324 0.1247
Many Minds Move as One 48 39.58% 40.02 0.034 62.5% 0.043 -0.1716
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25 48.0% 39.16 1.948 56.0% 0.189 0.3372
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 302 62.13% 37.8 -0.354 62.91% 0.074 0.1188
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 53 71.7% 33.17 -2.578 52.83% -0.211 -0.3132
River Surges in Sunlight 21 52.38% 32.33 -2.742 47.62% -0.533 -0.5351
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 29 48.28% 32.1 -2.257 51.72% -0.132 0.1559
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 7 71.43% 21.57 -7.1 14.29% -1.007 -0.8042
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 52 63.46% 45.44 4.058 71.15% 0.606 0.392
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 42 54.76% 35.69 0.189 57.14% 0.219 0.0615
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 101 40.59% 48.02 5.238 80.2% 1.097 0.714
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1 0.0% 52.0 10.53 100.0% 0.495 1.0709
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 85.71% 41.0 0.711 57.14% -0.257 -0.3164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 38 57.89% 42.53 2.919 68.42% 0.565 0.1368
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 100.0% 21.2 -6.714 0.0% -1.042 -1.0361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 2 50.0% 37.0 0.191 50.0% -0.07 -0.1286
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 100.0% 22.25 -4.33 25.0% 0.014 0.2207
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 21 33.33% 30.67 -4.179 42.86% -0.756 -0.7235
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 16 56.25% 38.63 -0.745 62.5% -0.012 -0.1576
Shifting Memory of Ages 21 76.19% 38.57 0.893 57.14% 0.006 0.331
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 55 41.82% 42.56 4.174 70.91% 1.119 1.1673
Shroud of Silent Mist 15 73.33% 33.0 -3.207 53.33% -0.383 -0.0153
Starlight Seeks its Form 134 58.21% 37.5 0.145 61.19% 0.247 0.181
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 70 40.0% 31.36 -2.888 50.0% -0.142 -0.6257
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 39 58.97% 30.77 -4.21 48.72% -0.513 -0.3529
Thunderspeaker 32 53.13% 37.09 -1.541 56.25% -0.328 -0.298
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 8 62.5% 52.25 5.319 87.5% 0.581 0.7714
Towering Roots of the Jungle 89 67.42% 32.88 -2.38 43.82% -0.523 -0.3772
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 81 76.54% 36.75 -0.265 59.26% 0.105 0.1255
Vital Strength of the Earth 20 60.0% 25.0 -7.133 35.0% -0.991 -0.4101
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 30 63.33% 35.13 -0.967 43.33% -0.522 -0.0384
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 12 50.0% 31.67 -2.036 50.0% -0.255 0.364
Volcano Looming High 93 61.29% 33.25 -3.281 47.31% -0.677 -0.6417
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 70 67.14% 36.59 0.075 54.29% 0.003 -0.3141

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 7 71.43% 21.71 -6.707 14.29% -0.809 -0.5944
Dahan Insurrection 4 10 40.0% 47.5 2.037 60.0% -0.207 -0.4953
Despicable Theft 2 2 50.0% 47.5 5.278 50.0% -0.062 0.6487
Elemental Invocation 1 1 100.0% 0.0 -15.757 0.0% -0.312 0.3893
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 49 32.65% 34.41 -1.256 42.86% -0.598 -1.198
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 50.0% 11.0 -7.872 0.0% -0.236 0.6013
Rituals of Terror 3 2 50.0% 39.0 -0.891 50.0% -0.307 -0.2468
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 100.0% 21.0 -7.8 0.0% -0.446 0.5413
Second Wave 0 21 71.43% 28.43 -3.818 33.33% -0.885 -0.6355
The Great River 3 2 50.0% 36.5 0.607 50.0% -0.039 1.0264
Ward the Shores 2 3 66.67% 16.33 -9.951 0.0% -0.969 0.2145

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 933 56.01% 36.62 -0.657 57.88% -0.383 -0.1096
1 Thematic 35 77.14% 30.23 -2.174 31.43% -0.937 -0.3621
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.67 19.507 33.33% 0.304 0.9817
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 244 54.1% 40.82 1.418 65.57% 0.123 0.1909
2 Coastline 38 42.11% 37.87 -1.187 63.16% -0.218 -0.4366
2 Fragment 14 71.43% 47.21 5.267 78.57% 0.643 0.3759
2 Heart 4 50.0% 52.75 9.984 75.0% 0.513 0.0424
2 Opposite Shores 67 67.16% 39.9 0.48 62.69% -0.069 -0.0915
2 Thematic 24 50.0% 17.58 -7.782 29.17% -1.195 -0.8218
2 Top to Top 12 41.67% 43.5 1.612 75.0% 0.118 -0.139
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 9.311 100.0% 0.197 -0.7255
3 Other 3 100.0% 22.0 -0.127 0.0% -0.123 -0.8866
3 Round (Default) 149 48.32% 39.14 -0.252 61.74% -0.172 -0.3256
3 Thematic 3 100.0% 36.0 3.557 33.33% -0.028 -0.1756
4 Leaf 2 100.0% 36.5 -1.36 50.0% -0.272 -0.3629
4 Other 7 42.86% 46.14 9.241 85.71% 1.446 0.7618
4 Thematic 6 50.0% 38.17 5.364 50.0% 0.185 0.0078
4 Trapezoid (Default) 54 50.0% 47.24 3.126 81.48% 0.693 0.3637
5 Other 8 75.0% 20.75 -7.048 12.5% -1.065 -1.8148
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 1 0.0% 64.0 10.339 100.0% 0.204 -0.2134
6 Star 11 36.36% 19.09 -9.194 36.36% -0.829 -0.4938
6 Thematic 3 100.0% 25.67 1.219 33.33% 0.242 0.1932
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 83.33% 38.28 -0.968 50.0% -0.108 0.107

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 51 37.45 -0.231 54.9% -0.268 -0.1961
Aid From Lesser Spirits 38 40.71 1.224 65.79% 0.096 0.0254
All Things Weaken 48 32.73 -2.576 43.75% -0.696 -0.4366
Attenuated Essence 54 31.54 -3.517 42.59% -0.877 -0.9125
Back Against the Wall 25 35.04 -1.843 48.0% -0.625 -0.5713
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 57 33.47 -1.571 50.88% -0.336 -0.1907
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 47.1 3.563 75.86% 0.31 0.3258
Disintegrating Ecosystem 50 32.8 -2.489 50.0% -0.455 -0.267
Downward Spiral 34 36.68 -0.472 52.94% -0.278 -0.2037
Erosion of Will 43 34.35 -1.92 46.51% -0.693 -0.5387
Intensifying Exploitation 40 32.52 -2.107 50.0% -0.424 -0.2884
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 25 32.36 -2.893 52.0% -0.448 -1.0625
Memory Fades to Dust 57 38.28 0.758 59.65% 0.069 0.2723
Power Corrodes the Spirit 42 34.67 -1.673 54.76% -0.256 -0.0816
Promising Farmlands 49 33.18 -1.679 48.98% -0.417 -0.2185
Shattered Fragments of Power 27 38.33 0.208 59.26% -0.183 -0.18
Slow Dissolution of Will 54 34.07 -1.582 46.3% -0.684 -0.3854
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 10 33.9 -3.243 60.0% -0.4 -1.0971
The Border of Life and Death 11 31.55 -3.627 54.55% -0.375 -0.8729
Thriving Communities 53 37.02 -1.118 58.49% -0.272 -0.1161
Thriving Crops 17 43.29 4.137 76.47% 0.813 0.501
Unnatural Proliferation 60 35.8 -0.863 51.67% -0.391 -0.2827
Untended Land Crumbles 41 31.05 -3.561 48.78% -0.574 -0.3922

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 326 56.31% 38.65 0.328 61.66% 0.028 1.0028
B 372 54.57% 38.47 -0.12 60.22% -0.17 0.7195
C 398 56.28% 38.85 0.255 61.31% 0.027 0.719
D 322 57.76% 36.96 -0.897 59.01% -0.167 0.7282
E 331 50.15% 40.28 1.444 65.26% 0.164 0.8933
F 303 50.83% 38.87 0.499 62.38% 0.093 0.9242
G 299 60.2% 37.31 -0.975 58.53% -0.261 0.5182
H 286 53.15% 39.69 1.039 62.94% 0.185 0.9674
East 61 67.21% 25.3 1.989 31.15% 0.688 1.4972
Northeast 34 58.82% 18.41 -7.261 26.47% -1.474 -0.6762
Northwest 25 56.0% 28.92 0.929 44.0% 0.767 1.5006
Southeast 24 79.17% 28.88 -1.306 29.17% -0.267 0.6268
Southwest 11 63.64% 19.09 -7.031 18.18% -0.991 0.267
West 38 63.16% 27.82 0.288 36.84% 0.057 1.0543

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 -22.117 0.0% -0.606 0.062
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.985 0.0% -0.464 -0.0433
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11 40.0% 51.73 9.464 72.73% 0.928 0.1585
Start of Game Growth 43 38.1% 38.09 -0.436 60.47% -0.244 -0.6819
Unlimited Undo 180 63.69% 36.12 -1.186 55.0% -0.279 -0.3448
Using Tokens but Not Events 116 49.57% 34.8 -1.264 59.48% -0.013 -0.0555

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 323 13.76 0.62%
II 489 30.19 44.79%
III 677 34.82 88.63%
IV 154 38.63 99.35%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.141 Win Model: -0.101
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 978 56.5% 36.42 57.06%
2 398 55.53% 39.48 63.32%
3 156 50.64% 38.87 60.26%
4 69 50.72% 46.03 78.26%
5 9 66.67% 18.44 11.11%
6 33 66.67% 31.52 45.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 597
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 214
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 153
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 316
Lose: Adversary condition 95
Win: Sacrifice victory 2
Lose: Scenario condition 14
Win: Scenario condition 6
Lose: Blight pool ran out 228
Lose: Spirit destroyed 16

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 5 80.0% 48.4 8.793 80.0% 0.914 0.82
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 11 45.45% 54.82 7.86 72.73% 0.796 0.2881
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2 0.0% 73.5 14.732 100.0% 0.571 0.7687
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 23 65.22% 56.09 9.077 78.26% 1.36 0.4864
Dances Up Earthquakes 61 65.57% 37.74 -2.163 45.9% -0.45 -0.5888
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 21 66.67% 35.48 -2.492 33.33% -0.548 -0.77
Downpour Drenches the World 14 35.71% 23.86 -7.096 21.43% -1.055 -0.7489
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 59 61.02% 57.61 8.967 84.75% 1.586 1.0318
Eyes Watch From the Trees 39 64.1% 40.41 -1.472 51.28% -0.155 -0.582
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9 55.56% 47.78 4.958 66.67% 0.589 0.176
Finder of Paths Unseen 9 66.67% 21.0 -11.068 22.22% -0.984 -0.3283
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4 50.0% 48.75 7.155 75.0% 0.791 1.3366
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 7 57.14% 31.86 -1.98 42.86% -0.235 -0.3189
Heart of the Wildfire 12 58.33% 30.92 -3.555 41.67% -0.137 0.178
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 90 38.89% 48.74 4.224 67.78% 0.721 0.2771
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 21 76.19% 37.05 -2.771 52.38% -0.148 -0.4414
Lightning's Swift Strike 5 80.0% 26.8 -5.176 20.0% -0.436 -0.1743
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 31 70.97% 52.26 5.867 64.52% 0.584 0.2565
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 7 57.14% 56.0 8.442 71.43% 0.611 0.2355
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 9 44.44% 39.67 1.564 55.56% 0.314 0.4134
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 50 74.0% 33.66 -2.988 40.0% -0.142 -0.3407
Many Minds Move as One 11 72.73% 32.09 -1.201 36.36% 0.085 -0.1298
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 13 53.85% 27.31 -5.693 30.77% -0.551 -0.4037
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 129 75.19% 33.84 -3.027 44.19% -0.225 -0.1805
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 25 56.0% 45.12 3.043 64.0% 0.476 0.373
River Surges in Sunlight 10 80.0% 44.1 3.26 50.0% 0.073 0.0702
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 11 81.82% 32.73 -5.475 36.36% -0.772 -0.4838
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 7 28.57% 41.43 4.948 57.14% 0.622 0.8249
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 12 83.33% 34.08 -1.705 41.67% -0.087 -0.301
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 14 42.86% 39.07 -2.16 50.0% -0.265 -0.423
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 46 58.7% 42.8 -0.551 56.52% -0.06 -0.4434
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2 100.0% 56.0 9.166 100.0% 0.654 1.23
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 100.0% 48.5 6.13 50.0% 0.192 0.1323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 7 71.43% 28.0 -4.562 28.57% -0.405 -0.8334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 50.0% 31.0 -3.801 25.0% -0.425 -0.419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 71.0 15.168 100.0% 0.381 0.3218
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 1 0.0% 0.0 -19.769 0.0% -0.443 -0.2362
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11 45.45% 31.27 -5.578 36.36% -0.699 -0.6665
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 7 71.43% 32.0 -2.026 42.86% -0.056 -0.2012
Shifting Memory of Ages 5 0.0% 39.6 -1.751 60.0% 0.061 0.3864
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 16 56.25% 37.25 -1.877 50.0% -0.263 -0.2148
Shroud of Silent Mist 4 75.0% 20.5 -10.642 25.0% -0.596 -0.2277
Starlight Seeks its Form 26 65.38% 38.35 0.722 42.31% -0.112 -0.1779
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 26 50.0% 35.81 -0.873 50.0% 0.287 -0.1963
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 19 57.89% 42.16 1.298 57.89% 0.239 0.3982
Thunderspeaker 16 81.25% 27.63 -6.328 25.0% -0.911 -0.8805
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 3 66.67% 29.67 -7.58 33.33% -0.594 -0.4035
Towering Roots of the Jungle 26 65.38% 38.46 -2.211 50.0% -0.232 -0.0866
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 29 89.66% 44.62 1.997 55.17% 0.164 0.1846
Vital Strength of the Earth 10 100.0% 33.1 -1.171 20.0% -0.483 0.0976
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 10 70.0% 44.9 2.263 50.0% 0.177 0.6607
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1 0.0% 0.0 -20.561 0.0% -0.394 0.2248
Volcano Looming High 23 43.48% 32.83 -2.784 43.48% -0.183 -0.1474
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 20 65.0% 27.6 -6.322 35.0% -0.485 -0.8019

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 2 0.0% 0.0 -16.428 0.0% -0.622 -0.4074
Dahan Insurrection 4 4 75.0% 65.0 18.767 75.0% 0.433 0.1449
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.989 0.0% -0.385 0.3257
Elemental Invocation 1 1 0.0% 0.0 -21.055 0.0% -0.43 0.2707
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 33 27.27% 43.42 1.584 51.52% -0.0 -0.6001
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 100.0% 23.0 -6.702 0.0% -0.211 0.626
Second Wave 0 4 25.0% 26.25 -4.942 25.0% -0.445 -0.195

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 520 62.5% 39.67 -0.026 51.15% -0.225 0.0487
1 Thematic 19 57.89% 39.11 1.407 42.11% 0.159 0.7338
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 99 67.68% 36.7 -1.733 47.47% -0.369 -0.3004
2 Coastline 13 69.23% 49.69 3.211 76.92% 0.443 0.224
2 Heart 3 66.67% 43.0 -3.839 66.67% 0.082 -0.388
2 Opposite Shores 23 78.26% 34.04 -1.478 34.78% -0.424 -0.4464
2 Thematic 2 50.0% 13.0 -6.729 0.0% -0.497 -0.1239
2 Top to Top 4 100.0% 33.0 1.282 25.0% -0.115 -0.3724
3 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -11.845 0.0% -0.567 -1.3309
3 Round (Default) 32 59.38% 51.91 5.557 71.88% 0.815 0.6615
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 23.33 -7.747 33.33% -0.167 -0.3144
4 Other 1 100.0% 24.0 7.617 0.0% 0.439 -0.2453
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11 72.73% 38.36 -0.493 54.55% 0.05 -0.2794
5 Other 5 20.0% 43.6 2.506 60.0% 0.473 -0.2765
6 Star 2 0.0% 12.5 -13.836 0.0% -0.419 -0.0838
6 Two Centers (Default) 3 66.67% 56.0 1.792 66.67% 0.025 0.2394

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 15 35.87 -3.483 46.67% -0.391 -0.3189
Aid From Lesser Spirits 14 40.5 1.001 42.86% -0.265 -0.3362
All Things Weaken 26 33.88 -1.436 38.46% -0.304 -0.045
Attenuated Essence 19 41.47 1.314 57.89% 0.293 0.257
Back Against the Wall 15 47.67 2.728 60.0% 0.074 0.1274
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 23 26.04 -6.643 30.43% -0.87 -0.7247
Burn Brightest Before the End 14 38.5 -1.047 35.71% -0.644 -0.6281
Disintegrating Ecosystem 25 40.72 -0.106 48.0% -0.295 -0.1068
Downward Spiral 31 41.52 0.731 54.84% 0.073 0.147
Erosion of Will 28 34.5 -2.006 39.29% -0.448 -0.2929
Intensifying Exploitation 20 33.8 -4.175 40.0% -0.669 -0.5334
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 8 49.63 4.792 75.0% 0.559 -0.0547
Memory Fades to Dust 18 32.28 -1.54 33.33% -0.537 -0.3336
Power Corrodes the Spirit 26 43.58 2.451 61.54% 0.277 0.4516
Promising Farmlands 24 38.58 -0.408 41.67% -0.462 -0.264
Shattered Fragments of Power 17 46.76 1.755 58.82% -0.215 -0.2125
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 30.4 -4.358 31.43% -0.855 -0.5563
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 5 60.4 10.902 100.0% 1.027 0.3302
The Border of Life and Death 5 37.4 -2.293 40.0% -0.441 -0.9389
Thriving Communities 32 34.03 -2.943 40.63% -0.556 -0.3999
Thriving Crops 11 43.27 -0.61 63.64% 0.265 -0.0474
Unnatural Proliferation 29 46.24 4.234 58.62% 0.425 0.5336
Untended Land Crumbles 29 39.93 -0.096 48.28% -0.269 -0.087

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 106 61.32% 37.72 -0.635 49.06% 0.258 1.2331
B 150 64.0% 38.09 -0.638 46.0% 0.011 0.9004
C 160 61.25% 40.79 0.531 54.37% 0.394 1.0859
D 117 73.5% 35.76 -1.841 46.15% 0.016 0.9117
E 125 66.4% 38.02 -0.797 48.0% 0.017 0.7465
F 162 52.47% 42.7 0.54 57.41% 0.145 0.9759
G 90 65.56% 42.98 1.456 55.56% 0.334 1.113
H 98 65.31% 45.45 2.998 60.2% 0.536 1.3185
East 20 50.0% 32.15 0.563 35.0% -0.057 0.7519
Northeast 10 40.0% 29.9 -3.094 40.0% -0.183 0.6146
Northwest 4 75.0% 29.5 -1.372 25.0% -0.275 0.4588
Southeast 9 55.56% 35.22 -2.283 33.33% -0.435 0.4585
West 6 50.0% 32.67 -4.225 33.33% -0.385 0.6121

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13 23.08% 55.54 10.64 69.23% 1.292 0.5229
Start of Game Growth 23 34.78% 39.43 -0.151 47.83% -0.168 -0.6056
Unlimited Undo 64 48.44% 32.45 -4.315 39.06% -0.713 -0.7788
Using Tokens but Not Events 49 79.59% 26.1 -5.845 36.73% -0.349 -0.3918

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 142 13.76 0.0%
II 243 30.19 26.34%
III 249 34.82 82.73%
IV 108 38.63 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.021 Win Model: -0.284
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 543 62.06% 39.6 50.83%
2 141 70.92% 37.49 47.52%
3 36 55.56% 48.08 66.67%
4 12 75.0% 37.17 50.0%
5 5 20.0% 43.6 60.0%
6 5 40.0% 38.6 40.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 201
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 63
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 108
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 172
Lose: Adversary condition 55
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 8
Win: Scenario condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 123
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 127 57.48% 29.57 1.004 26.77% 0.074 -0.0201
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 136 52.94% 27.38 -2.062 27.94% -0.006 -0.5144
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 50 70.0% 38.9 4.367 32.0% 0.23 0.4277
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 198 58.59% 44.03 6.659 53.03% 1.181 0.3082
Dances Up Earthquakes 464 74.78% 33.07 1.119 34.05% 0.267 0.1282
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 75 81.33% 22.57 -3.416 20.0% -0.42 -0.6427
Downpour Drenches the World 124 66.94% 27.42 -0.874 25.0% -0.127 0.179
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 252 76.19% 29.91 0.358 31.35% 0.174 -0.3806
Eyes Watch From the Trees 457 61.27% 26.72 -0.042 27.35% 0.346 -0.0816
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 96 65.63% 22.79 -2.915 19.79% -0.329 -0.7425
Finder of Paths Unseen 62 45.16% 16.56 -7.077 16.13% -0.943 -0.2874
Fractured Days Split the Sky 108 48.15% 29.05 -0.498 28.7% 0.091 0.6367
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 64 78.13% 22.61 -3.474 14.06% -0.844 -0.9284
Heart of the Wildfire 133 75.19% 18.68 -5.036 17.29% -0.615 -0.2998
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 360 75.83% 34.02 2.304 35.56% 0.332 -0.1113
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 109 79.82% 21.85 -2.959 10.09% -0.835 -1.1283
Lightning's Swift Strike 67 77.61% 17.07 -7.474 11.94% -1.199 -0.9373
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 181 58.56% 29.1 0.731 30.94% 0.491 0.1632
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 39 79.49% 35.1 3.932 41.03% 0.621 0.2453
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 102 63.73% 25.5 -2.583 26.47% -0.25 -0.1508
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 344 66.86% 29.51 0.301 28.2% 0.083 -0.1162
Many Minds Move as One 128 58.59% 43.97 4.986 50.0% 1.102 0.8872
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 96 66.67% 45.33 6.616 54.17% 0.817 0.9647
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 743 76.18% 28.01 -1.241 26.78% -0.152 -0.108
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 107 73.83% 25.76 -1.646 18.69% -0.432 -0.5341
River Surges in Sunlight 75 64.0% 34.71 1.925 28.0% 0.224 0.2215
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 77 63.64% 20.6 -2.266 15.58% -0.278 0.0104
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 29 62.07% 20.14 -2.027 6.9% -0.76 -0.557
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 127 66.14% 34.08 1.967 37.01% 0.509 0.2948
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 244 44.67% 39.27 5.122 47.13% 0.991 0.8327
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 145 69.66% 37.94 3.637 44.83% 0.763 0.3796
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 87.5% 31.75 2.481 25.0% 0.075 0.6513
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 66.67% 31.67 2.906 33.33% 0.342 0.2819
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 107 79.44% 30.63 0.828 28.97% 0.13 -0.298
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 75.0% 42.25 4.502 50.0% 0.448 0.4538
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 9 88.89% 15.11 -6.775 11.11% -0.557 -0.6162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 10 90.0% 21.2 -3.298 10.0% -0.524 -0.3178
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 86 65.12% 32.62 2.632 36.05% 0.616 0.6482
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 53 58.49% 30.21 0.747 30.19% 0.356 0.2105
Shifting Memory of Ages 71 53.52% 33.73 -0.805 33.8% -0.278 0.0468
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 135 58.52% 26.89 -2.037 25.93% -0.279 -0.231
Shroud of Silent Mist 83 81.93% 38.02 3.971 39.76% 0.537 0.9052
Starlight Seeks its Form 285 72.28% 33.64 2.225 35.79% 0.378 0.3118
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 449 63.7% 30.82 0.365 29.62% 0.37 -0.1136
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 149 73.15% 18.35 -5.293 14.77% -0.692 -0.5322
Thunderspeaker 69 75.36% 27.0 -2.678 20.29% -0.618 -0.5881
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 15 80.0% 26.4 -1.255 26.67% -0.004 0.1864
Towering Roots of the Jungle 146 70.55% 23.55 -3.023 17.81% -0.607 -0.461
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 345 87.25% 37.17 2.848 44.06% 0.575 0.595
Vital Strength of the Earth 29 79.31% 25.41 -0.565 20.69% -0.064 0.517
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 66 54.55% 19.76 -5.207 16.67% -0.716 -0.2329
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 60 75.0% 22.8 -3.263 16.67% -0.628 -0.0083
Volcano Looming High 190 77.37% 30.41 0.838 30.0% 0.201 0.2363
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 85 76.47% 31.65 0.639 31.76% 0.224 -0.0931

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 32 25.0% 56.63 5.612 56.25% 0.229 0.4438
Dahan Insurrection 4 44 34.09% 24.84 0.147 18.18% 0.186 -0.102
Elemental Invocation 1 2 50.0% 0.0 -17.174 0.0% -0.495 0.2056
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 113 46.9% 27.52 0.081 24.78% 0.11 -0.4899
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.382 0.0% -0.165 0.6728
Rituals of Terror 3 40 37.5% 78.22 21.738 55.0% 1.386 1.4469
Second Wave 0 4 100.0% 7.0 -12.337 0.0% -0.522 -0.2722
The Great River 3 1 100.0% 0.0 -12.567 0.0% -0.143 0.9229
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 16.2 -5.333 0.0% -0.738 0.0915
Ward the Shores 2 3 33.33% 37.0 3.793 33.33% 0.318 1.5014

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 4820 73.07% 27.73 -1.626 27.55% -0.773 -0.4995
1 Thematic 86 65.12% 33.63 -0.091 31.4% -0.765 -0.1897
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.193 0.0% -0.129 0.5483
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 378 74.34% 32.33 0.48 33.86% -0.509 -0.4408
2 Coastline 100 59.0% 40.23 3.514 50.0% -0.091 -0.3097
2 Fragment 4 50.0% 16.75 5.909 25.0% 0.47 0.2031
2 Heart 30 90.0% 40.73 6.3 36.67% 0.255 -0.2152
2 Opposite Shores 159 64.78% 37.48 2.929 39.62% -0.212 -0.2345
2 Thematic 32 40.63% 45.28 5.092 34.38% -0.012 0.3607
2 Top to Top 24 70.83% 33.17 -0.736 33.33% -0.728 -0.9851
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.949 0.0% -0.044 -0.9667
3 Other 3 100.0% 53.67 7.63 66.67% 0.817 0.0537
3 Round (Default) 227 69.6% 29.85 -1.829 29.07% -0.867 -1.0203
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 13.6 -7.693 0.0% -0.901 -0.9792
3 Thematic 14 14.29% 73.0 4.187 42.86% 0.12 -0.0277
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 13.2 -9.848 20.0% -0.611 -0.6673
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 11.5 -9.393 0.0% -0.424 -0.5149
4 Other 1 0.0% 77.0 14.16 100.0% 1.019 0.3341
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 17.507 100.0% 0.563 -0.1865
4 Thematic 13 23.08% 41.15 0.365 23.08% 0.031 -0.1462
4 Trapezoid (Default) 64 60.94% 46.02 4.931 53.13% 0.489 0.1597
5 Other 7 0.0% 19.29 -3.701 0.0% -0.532 -1.2816
6 Other 5 60.0% 50.4 5.983 60.0% 0.048 -0.3689
6 Star 9 33.33% 10.0 -7.196 11.11% -0.348 -0.0125
6 Thematic 13 0.0% 4.77 -8.597 0.0% -0.758 -0.8067
6 Two Centers (Default) 29 41.38% 49.21 4.606 51.72% 0.128 0.3426

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 195 31.38 3.293 27.69% 0.735 0.8071
Aid From Lesser Spirits 159 42.94 7.85 48.43% 1.491 1.4196
All Things Weaken 272 33.88 3.906 32.35% 0.915 1.1743
Attenuated Essence 232 33.25 3.502 33.62% 0.976 0.9397
Back Against the Wall 155 38.44 5.878 39.35% 1.187 1.2404
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 247 35.36 4.093 36.44% 1.02 1.1655
Burn Brightest Before the End 160 36.04 4.636 33.13% 0.864 0.8805
Disintegrating Ecosystem 236 33.94 3.861 35.59% 1.031 1.2196
Downward Spiral 246 32.38 3.278 33.74% 1.017 1.0916
Erosion of Will 232 33.54 3.913 31.9% 0.908 1.0623
Intensifying Exploitation 264 30.07 2.416 31.44% 0.97 1.1054
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 58 34.6 4.954 41.38% 1.285 0.6713
Memory Fades to Dust 286 32.67 3.287 31.12% 0.839 1.0424
Power Corrodes the Spirit 243 32.12 3.207 30.86% 0.798 0.9724
Promising Farmlands 199 30.06 1.559 30.15% 0.746 0.9444
Shattered Fragments of Power 136 34.15 3.492 31.62% 0.789 0.7912
Slow Dissolution of Will 214 32.36 3.516 28.97% 0.785 1.0833
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 23 37.43 6.676 47.83% 1.345 0.6485
The Border of Life and Death 35 27.66 0.421 28.57% 0.532 0.034
Thriving Communities 207 31.99 3.273 32.85% 1.024 1.1799
Thriving Crops 51 31.02 3.239 35.29% 1.099 0.7868
Unnatural Proliferation 222 36.87 5.347 34.68% 0.942 1.0508
Untended Land Crumbles 247 31.51 2.906 29.15% 0.732 0.9141

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 897 70.79% 27.54 -1.135 27.09% -0.677 0.2986
B 978 67.48% 29.18 0.175 29.86% -0.432 0.4571
C 1298 70.72% 30.92 0.788 31.97% -0.441 0.2517
D 975 72.0% 27.9 -1.32 26.97% -0.813 0.0826
E 1176 67.09% 29.41 0.38 30.27% -0.395 0.3341
F 809 71.08% 31.16 0.482 31.27% -0.471 0.3605
G 624 72.12% 32.75 1.145 33.65% -0.408 0.3719
H 732 73.09% 33.79 1.799 35.79% -0.319 0.4635
East 104 32.69% 40.15 0.856 30.77% -0.711 0.098
Northeast 67 23.88% 41.18 -3.524 28.36% -1.192 -0.3943
Northwest 43 23.26% 36.86 3.469 30.23% 0.368 1.1018
Southeast 29 17.24% 11.9 -7.192 10.34% -0.935 -0.0419
Southwest 30 30.0% 14.53 -6.524 13.33% -1.328 -0.0696
West 116 47.41% 36.97 -0.886 25.86% -1.056 -0.0587

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 171 30.99% 50.53 6.418 57.31% 0.436 -0.3336
Start of Game Growth 222 33.78% 49.73 7.297 58.11% 1.065 0.6274
Unlimited Undo 489 62.37% 41.48 5.425 52.97% 0.97 0.9047
Using Tokens but Not Events 363 54.55% 18.1 -5.535 20.11% -0.487 -0.53

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2436 13.76 0.0%
II 1823 30.19 15.36%
III 1311 34.82 77.57%
IV 471 38.63 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.61 Win Model: 0.386
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4952 72.9% 28.09 27.93%
2 702 67.95% 35.23 36.75%
3 246 68.29% 30.61 28.86%
4 79 58.23% 41.06 46.84%
5 6 0.0% 22.5 0.0%
6 56 32.14% 32.7 33.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 996
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 269
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 450
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2186
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 587
Win: Sacrifice victory 44
Lose: Scenario condition 14
Win: Scenario condition 9
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1423
Lose: Spirit destroyed 60

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)