Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 157 19.48% 19.43 -1.992 57.32% -0.772 -1.1896
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 119 14.53% 22.08 5.122 63.87% 0.993 0.3364
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 20 20.0% 14.85 -5.39 50.0% -0.808 -0.9657
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 113 13.39% 27.66 1.997 80.53% 0.311 -0.5489
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 87 42.53% 16.93 -5.835 50.57% -0.793 -0.655
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 98 22.45% 27.73 2.343 72.45% 0.359 -0.6701
Dances Up Earthquakes 372 23.39% 19.51 -1.137 59.41% -0.147 -0.1831
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 211 18.01% 21.88 -1.311 58.29% -0.431 -0.7854
Downpour Drenches the World 210 14.29% 15.8 1.027 42.86% -0.165 -0.0411
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 317 11.99% 22.93 2.422 65.62% 0.486 -0.0848
Eyes Watch From the Trees 268 10.07% 22.01 2.779 61.19% 0.656 0.0094
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 239 10.88% 21.15 -1.099 54.81% -0.258 -0.7518
Finder of Paths Unseen 106 26.42% 11.43 -8.529 29.25% -1.202 -0.6132
Fractured Days Split the Sky 111 25.23% 18.0 1.059 43.24% -0.507 -0.0607
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 189 23.28% 15.94 0.881 41.8% 0.292 0.107
Heart of the Wildfire 187 30.48% 15.34 -3.303 44.92% -0.294 -0.1516
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 199 14.57% 17.69 -0.861 52.26% -0.141 -0.8154
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 106 10.38% 21.99 2.652 62.26% 0.265 -0.263
Lightning's Swift Strike 91 34.07% 18.49 4.355 51.65% 0.121 0.1532
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 79 25.32% 24.41 -1.165 65.82% -0.127 -0.7789
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 65 23.08% 19.85 -2.248 52.31% 0.185 -0.3107
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 62 19.35% 22.81 1.824 69.35% 0.363 0.1234
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 275 20.36% 20.71 3.407 52.0% 0.59 0.1645
Many Minds Move as One 186 10.75% 19.99 0.668 54.84% 0.118 -0.3908
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 103 33.01% 16.03 2.396 44.66% 0.597 0.3272
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 381 35.7% 18.52 1.758 62.99% 0.257 0.1431
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 187 17.84% 20.5 -3.287 56.15% -0.366 -0.66
River Surges in Sunlight 92 29.35% 23.71 1.884 55.43% -0.2 -0.3704
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 79 21.52% 18.52 3.572 46.84% 0.411 0.3002
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 52 42.31% 21.04 1.911 48.08% -0.067 -0.1324
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 80 18.75% 21.46 -1.207 53.75% -0.291 -0.4208
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 132 15.15% 19.38 0.0 55.3%
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 140 19.29% 20.55 -2.732 61.43% -0.448 -0.8789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 62 50.0% 21.23 17.548 43.55% 0.674 1.1019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 26 19.23% 20.88 3.901 61.54% 0.452 0.4562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 76 25.0% 26.07 -4.981 75.0% -0.58 -1.3327
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 37 37.84% 23.35 -2.61 59.46% -0.252 -0.5705
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 35 14.29% 20.31 0.956 51.43% 0.246 0.0671
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 37 29.73% 21.27 8.052 56.76% 0.361 0.3184
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 101 16.83% 15.3 -2.968 44.55% -0.199 -0.5651
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 25 24.0% 24.0 -0.283 76.0% 0.284 -0.2572
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 95 17.89% 21.2 0.602 60.0% -0.046 -0.2905
Shifting Memory of Ages 93 31.18% 12.81 -1.089 35.48% 0.065 0.3595
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 99 11.11% 19.93 -6.012 57.58% -1.168 -1.3316
Shroud of Silent Mist 123 28.46% 16.02 -4.795 51.22% -0.503 -0.3206
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 28 14.29% 19.36 1.175 60.71% 0.431 0.0212
Starlight Seeks its Form 271 12.92% 20.18 -1.381 54.98% -0.169 -0.4113
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 232 11.21% 17.62 -2.115 50.0% -0.259 -1.2114
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 197 24.37% 17.55 6.683 50.25% 0.953 0.9958
Thunderspeaker 124 17.74% 17.95 -0.269 47.58% 0.124 -0.0715
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 85 18.82% 20.65 -0.663 54.12% -0.018 -0.1862
Towering Roots of the Jungle 189 16.4% 18.37 -0.765 52.91% 0.038 -0.0727
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 134 35.82% 14.37 0.183 41.79% 0.32 0.169
Vital Strength of the Earth 94 20.21% 21.95 0.758 57.45% 0.133 0.4917
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 62 22.95% 17.11 1.824 46.77% 0.197 0.4398
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 51 7.84% 12.45 -4.116 29.41% -0.488 0.1938
Volcano Looming High 185 25.41% 20.02 3.768 57.84% 0.658 0.3335
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 207 14.98% 21.16 3.688 59.9% 0.056 -0.4616

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 25 12.0% 24.28 0.0 64.0%
Blitz 0 82 18.29% 10.89 -1.763 30.49% -0.096 0.3355
Dahan Insurrection 4 50 24.0% 32.48 -0.099 52.0% -0.322 -0.3483
Despicable Theft 2 63 12.7% 18.76 4.792 34.92% -0.059 0.6007
Elemental Invocation 1 61 19.67% 13.07 -1.325 34.43% -0.337 0.1111
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 124 3.23% 23.6 -2.652 54.84% -0.256 -0.8555
Powers Long Forgotten 1 64 14.06% 11.17 -0.198 25.0% -0.01 0.5986
Rituals of Terror 3 22 9.09% 17.45 12.953 31.82% 0.227 0.3514
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 25 48.0% 17.04 -6.522 32.0% -0.244 0.4946
Second Wave 0 67 46.27% 21.18 1.396 46.27% -0.452 -0.3455
The Great River 3 43 25.58% 15.81 -2.166 25.58% -0.421 0.7536
Varied Terrains 2 50 20.0% 13.46 -3.467 26.0% -0.229 0.5072
Ward the Shores 2 91 7.69% 18.3 4.129 42.86% 0.351 1.0332

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2859 24.81% 21.49 0.688 62.61% 0.397 0.6212
1 Thematic 353 17.85% 17.4 0.787 39.66% 0.077 0.6275
2 Archipelago 11 18.18% 44.09 0.0 100.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 653 21.44% 18.68 -1.399 50.38% -0.213 -0.1014
2 Coastline 70 17.14% 23.69 4.198 67.14% 0.984 0.895
2 Fragment 14 21.43% 17.36 0.0 57.14%
2 Heart 8 25.0% 23.63 8.278 75.0% 0.531 0.2035
2 Opposite Shores 98 17.35% 21.42 -0.293 64.29% 0.319 0.3559
2 Thematic 128 17.19% 20.12 -2.48 41.41% -0.634 -0.1056
2 Top to Top 15 33.33% 21.73 0.0 73.33%
3 Archipelago 3 33.33% 41.67 0.0 66.67%
3 Coastline 9 11.11% 20.67 -6.468 55.56% -0.146 -0.6673
3 Other 7 42.86% 29.14 0.0 100.0%
3 Round (Default) 374 22.19% 21.29 2.058 64.44% -0.352 -0.4479
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 52.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 26 42.31% 23.92 -1.479 53.85% -0.131 0.1111
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 3 33.33% 28.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 8 0.0% 5.5 0.0 12.5%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 267 5.24% 10.63 -3.818 27.34% -1.23 -1.4185
5 Other 19 21.05% 21.11 7.97 78.95% 0.33 0.0034
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 21.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 2 0.0% 18.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 4 0.0% 15.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 2 0.0% 16.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 17 23.53% 18.71 0.0 41.18%
6 Two Centers (Default) 23 30.43% 17.35 6.095 34.78% 0.055 0.0317
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 2 0.0% 24.0 0.0 50.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 43 18.02 -3.658 41.86% -0.214 0.0969
Aid From Lesser Spirits 43 25.12 0.0 72.09%
All Things Weaken 62 18.68 5.57 53.23% -0.075 0.3988
Attenuated Essence 61 19.67 4.575 52.46% 0.49 0.6365
Back Against the Wall 38 24.55 -0.801 68.42% 0.233 0.3627
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 65 15.52 0.45 36.92% -0.32 -0.0001
Burn Brightest Before the End 32 23.59 2.205 65.63% 0.409 0.5856
Disintegrating Ecosystem 48 19.85 -1.34 50.0% 0.135 0.5158
Downward Spiral 48 16.67 2.875 56.25% 0.406 0.5994
Erosion of Will 44 22.52 1.703 68.18% -0.084 0.2541
Intensifying Exploitation 76 19.76 -4.873 55.26% -0.557 -0.2042
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 29 26.21 1.442 79.31% -0.186 -0.5495
Memory Fades to Dust 62 18.11 -7.827 54.84% -0.903 -0.574
Power Corrodes the Spirit 60 20.28 7.269 53.33% 0.776 1.0427
Promising Farmlands 42 19.12 -3.214 61.9% -0.3 0.1472
Shattered Fragments of Power 50 20.2 0.314 42.0% 0.027 0.0265
Slow Dissolution of Will 61 15.49 -3.737 44.26% 0.073 0.4845
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 27 28.44 0.0 70.37%
The Border of Life and Death 20 18.3 0.0 60.0%
Thriving Communities 48 19.83 3.018 50.0% 0.315 0.593
Thriving Crops 29 18.72 0.0 55.17%
Unnatural Proliferation 59 18.42 3.225 45.76% 0.304 0.5089
Untended Land Crumbles 58 18.33 -1.501 55.17% -0.014 0.2851

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 951 21.05% 18.86 -0.218 54.36% -0.124 0.8671
B 971 21.03% 20.26 -0.042 58.39% -0.122 0.7431
C 971 20.43% 19.83 1.198 56.23% 0.129 0.8806
D 905 20.44% 19.58 0.572 56.57% 0.088 1.033
E 873 20.18% 18.96 -0.56 53.61% -0.229 0.5258
F 844 17.93% 18.98 0.718 53.79% 0.114 0.9884
G 832 22.0% 19.09 -2.294 55.29% -0.701 0.1616
H 818 20.1% 19.31 -1.061 54.4% 0.051 0.8586
East 336 21.73% 19.72 -4.578 42.86% -0.824 -0.0787
Northeast 143 23.78% 20.66 1.191 44.06% -0.225 0.6686
Northwest 122 16.39% 18.22 -1.041 40.16% -0.362 0.3817
Southeast 130 26.15% 19.38 1.521 44.62% 0.367 1.3761
Southwest 109 21.1% 15.22 0.854 36.7% 0.043 1.1993
West 297 18.86% 16.94 -1.347 37.37% -0.583 0.3992

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 9 0.0% 19.22 1.783 66.67% 0.645 1.3647
Not Using Events or Tokens 9 22.22% 8.0 -6.543 22.22% -0.568 -0.0932
Skip Initial Invader Actions 94 8.7% 33.74 -0.753 79.79% -0.01 -0.8146
Start of Game Growth 135 10.0% 29.39 -0.427 72.59% -0.021 -0.5879
Unlimited Undo 282 13.41% 19.85 -4.377 54.61% -1.049 -1.0213
Using Tokens but Not Events 447 26.26% 22.11 0.286 58.39% -0.156 -0.1831

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1681 12.25 6.42%
II 1572 29.91 72.71%
III 1237 34.94 89.33%
IV 491 38.9 99.19%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.037 Win Model: 0.298
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3388 23.5% 20.39 57.91%
2 851 21.62% 22.14 59.69%
3 395 24.3% 22.06 66.08%
4 277 5.42% 10.73 27.8%
5 22 36.36% 19.41 68.18%
6 48 16.67% 17.96 41.67%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 108
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1078
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1100
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 484
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1533
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13
Lose: Adversary condition 381
Win: Sacrifice victory 8
Lose: Scenario condition 17
Win: Scenario condition 65
Lose: Blight pool ran out 185
Lose: Spirit destroyed 9

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 94 22.58% 32.06 -2.115 75.53% -0.216 -0.6335
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 93 20.43% 32.7 8.036 72.04% 0.409 -0.2468
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 21 19.05% 30.05 0.668 71.43% 0.088 -0.0694
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 121 17.36% 35.32 0.857 83.47% 0.22 -0.6407
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 44 27.27% 25.55 -13.146 54.55% -1.158 -1.0205
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 78 23.08% 36.94 2.42 82.05% 0.137 -0.8921
Dances Up Earthquakes 297 30.98% 27.06 1.326 67.68% -0.376 -0.4118
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 163 24.54% 31.02 0.249 71.78% 0.16 -0.1947
Downpour Drenches the World 117 17.24% 28.54 -0.38 71.79% 0.293 0.4165
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 222 15.38% 33.95 2.453 78.38% 0.038 -0.5329
Eyes Watch From the Trees 216 19.07% 33.92 3.065 75.93% 0.745 0.0992
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 136 18.38% 31.68 1.848 72.79% 0.42 -0.0735
Finder of Paths Unseen 69 39.13% 15.61 -3.502 31.88% -0.747 -0.1583
Fractured Days Split the Sky 70 27.14% 26.69 -8.843 61.43% -0.363 0.0833
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 105 21.9% 26.68 -3.304 61.9% -0.603 -0.7882
Heart of the Wildfire 117 39.32% 26.68 -2.581 63.25% -0.339 -0.196
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 139 29.5% 35.47 2.824 82.73% 0.319 -0.3558
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 86 16.28% 35.71 7.993 79.07% 0.793 0.265
Lightning's Swift Strike 42 16.67% 31.36 -1.9 76.19% -0.07 -0.0375
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 45 15.56% 32.38 0.752 77.78% 0.015 -0.6377
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 61 26.23% 38.15 -1.258 90.16% -0.301 -0.7965
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 42 14.29% 40.02 8.155 92.86% 0.533 0.2932
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 165 24.85% 32.53 -0.051 73.33% -0.168 -0.594
Many Minds Move as One 133 24.81% 31.52 2.686 69.92% 0.241 -0.2684
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 79 27.85% 25.48 4.969 50.63% 0.367 0.0971
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 462 38.74% 27.96 -4.852 73.81% -0.175 -0.2892
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 140 26.43% 30.98 3.159 74.29% 0.754 0.46
River Surges in Sunlight 60 33.33% 31.8 0.0 76.67%
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 64 23.44% 30.77 -1.211 68.75% -0.314 -0.4253
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 40 35.0% 29.23 -13.134 65.0% -0.486 -0.5514
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 72 29.17% 30.88 -1.177 59.72% -0.666 -0.7963
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 61 27.87% 28.38 -2.983 57.38% -0.871 -1.1358
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 145 26.9% 29.04 2.852 69.66% 0.029 -0.4016
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 18 61.11% 29.89 0.28 72.22% 0.144 0.5724
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 19 36.84% 22.26 0.0 47.37%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 71 28.17% 37.87 5.723 85.92% 0.479 -0.2743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 19 15.79% 25.05 7.109 57.89% 0.519 0.2001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 19 26.32% 30.05 6.217 68.42% 0.385 0.2067
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 19 52.63% 28.0 6.213 68.42% 0.544 0.501
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 75 21.33% 24.79 4.136 53.33% 0.373 0.0064
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 23 21.74% 33.65 -1.284 78.26% -0.061 -0.6014
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 97 14.43% 32.16 5.847 77.32% 0.518 0.2737
Shifting Memory of Ages 64 21.88% 20.44 -5.941 48.44% -0.807 -0.5129
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 84 29.76% 28.71 -5.131 64.29% -0.879 -1.0422
Shroud of Silent Mist 97 38.14% 26.37 -3.318 62.89% -0.187 -0.0052
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 22 45.45% 30.77 3.89 68.18% 0.559 0.1488
Starlight Seeks its Form 158 21.52% 25.82 1.543 61.39% 0.049 -0.193
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 220 27.73% 27.66 -0.597 68.64% -0.294 -1.2465
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 121 20.66% 26.66 -3.699 61.16% -0.465 -0.4222
Thunderspeaker 91 25.27% 30.15 3.733 69.23% 0.573 0.3779
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 81 29.63% 25.1 -7.076 56.79% -0.773 -0.9415
Towering Roots of the Jungle 164 25.0% 27.82 2.377 68.29% 0.479 0.3676
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 137 48.53% 26.79 -3.755 64.96% -0.626 -0.7766
Vital Strength of the Earth 66 28.79% 28.98 -1.634 68.18% 0.031 0.3891
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 45 31.11% 28.11 -0.126 64.44% -0.061 0.1827
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 40 37.5% 22.05 0.147 52.5% -0.131 0.5501
Volcano Looming High 148 40.54% 24.53 2.265 61.49% 1.056 0.7318
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 126 17.46% 34.0 7.126 79.37% 0.674 0.1563

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 30.83 0.0 66.67%
Blitz 0 75 13.33% 12.68 -5.735 30.67% -0.697 -0.2651
Dahan Insurrection 4 73 19.18% 35.11 8.079 49.32% 0.169 0.1426
Despicable Theft 2 37 18.92% 17.78 -10.005 35.14% -0.726 -0.0663
Elemental Invocation 1 36 33.33% 18.86 -2.264 30.56% -0.376 0.0722
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 122 6.61% 32.38 0.892 68.85% -0.066 -0.6656
Powers Long Forgotten 1 37 29.73% 17.65 -3.751 27.03% -0.34 0.2681
Rituals of Terror 3 14 28.57% 20.14 -10.932 35.71% -0.745 -0.6208
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 26.67% 18.47 -1.258 33.33% -0.301 0.4373
Second Wave 0 165 41.21% 29.9 -2.033 62.42% -0.763 -0.6572
The Great River 3 7 42.86% 17.0 9.348 28.57% 0.145 1.3197
Varied Terrains 2 35 42.86% 23.63 -2.676 34.29% -0.379 0.3578
Ward the Shores 2 27 33.33% 19.52 -7.437 29.63% -1.283 -0.6004

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 2252 26.09% 28.76 -0.692 68.92% 0.186 0.411
1 Thematic 223 29.15% 26.24 1.506 47.53% 0.026 0.576
2 Archipelago 5 40.0% 33.8 4.229 60.0% -0.088 -0.4421
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 461 28.2% 28.35 -2.069 68.11% -0.608 -0.4963
2 Coastline 54 29.63% 31.52 1.847 72.22% 0.32 0.2308
2 Fragment 28 39.29% 33.96 3.643 82.14% 0.29 -0.0488
2 Heart 9 22.22% 31.11 -1.966 66.67% -0.426 -0.7528
2 Opposite Shores 92 30.43% 32.36 -1.083 78.26% -0.388 -0.3517
2 Thematic 261 26.44% 22.01 2.318 51.34% 0.131 0.6594
2 Top to Top 22 36.36% 38.41 5.516 95.45% 0.717 0.51
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 3 0.0% 25.0 0.0 66.67%
3 Other 8 25.0% 24.88 0.0 62.5%
3 Round (Default) 246 33.47% 32.12 1.873 77.24% 0.025 -0.0713
3 Thematic 30 16.67% 32.67 4.782 66.67% 0.265 0.507
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 41.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 25.0% 32.0 0.0 75.0%
4 Thematic 10 0.0% 37.9 3.421 60.0% 0.098 0.5712
4 Trapezoid (Default) 85 22.35% 31.21 2.988 76.47% -0.052 -0.2405
5 Other 20 20.0% 35.85 0.278 95.0% 0.033 -0.2935
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.428 0.0% -0.54 -1.0304
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 12 25.0% 44.17 0.0 83.33%
6 Two Centers (Default) 18 16.67% 40.5 0.0 72.22%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 53 28.38 1.879 66.04% 0.021 0.3317
Aid From Lesser Spirits 42 32.62 -0.727 71.43% 0.042 0.0555
All Things Weaken 41 28.68 5.001 58.54% 0.357 0.8304
Attenuated Essence 53 28.21 6.408 66.04% 0.936 1.0826
Back Against the Wall 34 25.94 1.997 52.94% 0.058 0.1877
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 45 25.69 3.889 62.22% 0.046 0.3665
Burn Brightest Before the End 31 25.55 0.084 51.61% 0.211 0.3883
Disintegrating Ecosystem 37 23.51 -3.538 56.76% -0.413 -0.0322
Downward Spiral 53 30.75 4.817 73.58% 0.964 1.1573
Erosion of Will 55 29.67 1.575 69.09% 0.673 1.0108
Intensifying Exploitation 41 26.61 0.0 63.41%
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 21 29.76 3.351 80.95% 0.557 0.1939
Memory Fades to Dust 67 31.84 1.598 74.63% 0.538 0.8672
Power Corrodes the Spirit 64 25.95 -9.053 67.19% -0.642 -0.3755
Promising Farmlands 50 23.74 0.829 50.0% 0.424 0.8717
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 28.09 3.252 65.12% 0.344 0.3439
Slow Dissolution of Will 50 24.96 0.0 58.0%
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 24 32.88 -4.863 87.5% -0.48 -1.0386
The Border of Life and Death 23 36.57 0.0 91.3%
Thriving Communities 69 26.03 1.934 65.22% 0.194 0.4714
Thriving Crops 29 31.97 0.578 79.31% -0.367 -0.462
Unnatural Proliferation 57 24.54 -2.359 56.14% -0.329 -0.1244
Untended Land Crumbles 57 25.37 -2.233 63.16% -0.201 0.0982

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 654 25.42% 29.41 0.88 70.18% 0.174 1.1653
B 668 25.94% 30.96 -0.064 73.2% -0.205 0.6598
C 650 28.97% 31.37 1.304 75.69% 0.409 1.1612
D 662 28.9% 29.52 -2.721 70.85% -0.538 0.4071
E 642 29.6% 30.02 1.051 71.18% 0.123 0.8774
F 564 27.48% 30.13 -2.178 71.81% -0.813 0.0611
G 519 25.29% 28.79 1.349 68.4% 0.383 1.2453
H 619 26.66% 30.67 1.626 73.83% 0.32 1.1276
East 391 25.06% 25.8 6.078 55.24% 0.124 0.8692
Northeast 263 25.1% 26.04 3.858 59.32% 0.046 0.9397
Northwest 223 26.01% 26.27 -1.501 59.19% -0.076 0.667
Southeast 91 19.78% 26.7 -3.845 51.65% -0.497 0.5114
Southwest 93 22.58% 22.66 -4.217 41.94% -0.49 0.6667
West 368 26.09% 24.4 0.524 51.63% -0.332 0.6507

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 40.0 7.611 100.0% 0.356 1.0764
Not Using Events or Tokens 7 42.86% 14.43 0.0 28.57%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 63 13.11% 41.65 4.282 82.54% 0.432 -0.3727
Start of Game Growth 85 14.46% 40.46 1.772 81.18% -0.073 -0.6398
Unlimited Undo 277 15.69% 29.04 -2.963 64.26% -0.534 -0.5064
Using Tokens but Not Events 228 21.78% 31.95 1.02 77.19% 0.248 0.2211

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1035 12.25 9.76%
II 1394 29.91 82.78%
III 1145 34.94 94.06%
IV 279 38.9 99.64%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.058 Win Model: 0.803
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2533 26.2% 28.17 65.97%
2 902 28.94% 28.68 68.29%
3 270 32.71% 32.17 77.41%
4 95 17.89% 31.03 73.68%
5 22 22.73% 33.32 86.36%
6 31 16.13% 42.84 80.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 101
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1064
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1116
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 277
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 924
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 146
Win: Sacrifice victory 8
Lose: Scenario condition 9
Win: Scenario condition 44
Lose: Blight pool ran out 151
Lose: Spirit destroyed 8

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 74 10.81% 26.36 2.768 58.11% 0.693 0.2756
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 88 35.23% 34.15 -1.015 71.59% 0.064 -0.5926
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 30 33.33% 33.17 -2.561 76.67% -0.175 -0.3323
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 123 32.52% 36.56 3.938 79.67% 0.731 -0.129
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 44 34.09% 27.23 -10.19 56.82% -1.295 -1.1569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 91 46.15% 34.09 4.668 67.03% 0.029 -1.0008
Dances Up Earthquakes 239 37.24% 29.36 2.012 63.6% 0.412 0.3761
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 116 33.04% 29.88 -0.821 63.79% -0.049 -0.4036
Downpour Drenches the World 97 26.8% 25.28 1.392 53.61% 0.181 0.3051
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 229 27.07% 33.03 4.004 72.49% 0.66 0.0895
Eyes Watch From the Trees 189 20.63% 31.78 4.057 66.67% 0.388 -0.2582
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 107 32.71% 30.78 -0.003 63.55% 0.041 -0.453
Finder of Paths Unseen 52 32.69% 15.35 0.521 26.92% -0.046 0.5426
Fractured Days Split the Sky 85 24.71% 23.56 -3.368 44.71% -0.327 0.12
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 110 35.45% 26.15 -6.658 53.64% -0.977 -1.1622
Heart of the Wildfire 150 56.0% 27.89 -0.835 56.0% 0.18 0.3224
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 150 34.0% 33.7 3.01 71.33% 0.634 -0.0403
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 94 28.72% 31.7 7.267 69.15% 0.747 0.2196
Lightning's Swift Strike 46 41.3% 26.89 -6.475 56.52% -0.649 -0.6167
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 41 29.27% 40.54 0.0 82.93%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 43 34.88% 35.12 0.0 76.74%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 51 21.57% 29.67 9.269 60.78% 0.694 0.4546
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 168 26.79% 32.39 0.34 61.9% -0.431 -0.8575
Many Minds Move as One 96 17.89% 28.36 -7.172 60.42% -0.677 -1.1859
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 95 32.63% 29.93 -3.682 51.58% -0.479 -0.7486
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 285 49.47% 28.75 0.668 65.26% -0.273 -0.3872
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 111 34.23% 27.34 4.188 58.56% 0.619 0.3251
River Surges in Sunlight 90 43.33% 33.13 -0.623 64.44% -0.32 -0.491
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 67 28.36% 23.03 -10.589 46.27% -0.425 -0.5366
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 37 51.35% 27.95 4.659 45.95% 0.295 0.2297
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 62 32.26% 32.82 1.904 64.52% -0.033 -0.1628
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 69 30.43% 28.39 -2.744 59.42% -0.288 -0.5522
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 118 30.51% 27.97 -2.251 61.86% -0.262 -0.6919
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 20.0% 25.47 11.903 53.33% 0.397 0.8249
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 38.89% 10.17 11.32 16.67% 0.265 0.2692
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 83 36.14% 34.04 9.211 71.08% 0.865 0.1125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 14 21.43% 22.29 -5.453 50.0% -0.149 -0.4677
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 17 70.59% 20.71 0.0 35.29%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 9 77.78% 30.44 0.0 55.56%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 67 23.88% 26.25 0.0 55.22%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 20 40.0% 36.1 9.583 75.0% 0.757 0.2157
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 90 24.72% 35.32 3.03 71.11% 0.088 -0.1568
Shifting Memory of Ages 45 35.56% 29.31 7.103 57.78% 0.585 0.8799
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 38.36% 30.6 4.852 64.38% 0.451 0.2882
Shroud of Silent Mist 74 51.35% 23.09 1.826 52.7% 0.066 0.2485
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 19 42.11% 30.37 4.655 73.68% 0.567 0.1572
Starlight Seeks its Form 153 33.33% 30.51 -1.671 63.4% -0.007 -0.2491
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 162 24.69% 28.45 4.505 63.58% 0.627 -0.3249
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 97 35.05% 28.99 -0.09 57.73% -0.067 -0.0248
Thunderspeaker 72 37.5% 27.32 -9.387 52.78% -1.533 -1.7283
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 40 40.0% 25.93 -10.081 52.5% -0.78 -0.9479
Towering Roots of the Jungle 166 27.11% 26.31 -0.544 56.63% -0.239 -0.3497
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 159 64.15% 31.09 -0.898 70.44% 0.124 -0.0271
Vital Strength of the Earth 61 34.43% 32.07 0.0 62.3%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 33.33% 29.6 -1.373 61.9% -0.474 -0.2308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 32 28.13% 23.06 -6.289 43.75% -0.456 0.2255
Volcano Looming High 122 38.52% 28.31 -0.569 60.66% 0.05 -0.2737
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 140 30.0% 26.49 -2.102 55.71% -0.193 -0.7102

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 10 50.0% 35.7 6.9 70.0% 0.303 0.6732
Blitz 0 36 13.89% 21.92 -4.955 44.44% -0.794 -0.3627
Dahan Insurrection 4 30 30.0% 50.4 19.07 70.0% 0.3 0.2736
Despicable Theft 2 18 27.78% 16.89 0.0 33.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 43 16.28% 17.07 1.221 32.56% 0.22 0.6676
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 144 16.67% 34.53 -0.712 58.33% -0.377 -0.9763
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 13.33% 5.53 -10.231 10.0% -0.484 0.1241
Rituals of Terror 3 16 50.0% 20.5 -10.124 31.25% -0.148 -0.0234
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 47.06% 21.47 2.276 29.41% -0.16 0.5784
Second Wave 0 134 56.39% 27.11 -3.925 52.24% -0.811 -0.7044
The Great River 3 16 37.5% 16.69 -12.552 18.75% -0.33 0.8452
Varied Terrains 2 13 53.85% 15.08 -8.089 15.38% -0.541 0.1959
Ward the Shores 2 30 50.0% 21.57 -1.49 30.0% -0.308 0.3748

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1863 37.14% 29.99 0.467 64.41% 0.411 0.6351
1 Thematic 155 38.06% 18.11 -4.225 29.03% -0.695 -0.1452
2 Archipelago 2 50.0% 21.5 0.0 50.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 508 31.89% 28.67 -0.17 62.2% 0.091 0.202
2 Coastline 63 28.57% 34.1 6.501 74.6% 0.559 0.4694
2 Fragment 14 50.0% 38.14 8.974 85.71% 0.411 0.072
2 Heart 13 23.08% 37.62 0.0 92.31%
2 Opposite Shores 109 38.53% 31.34 5.561 63.3% 0.452 0.488
2 Thematic 75 34.67% 12.84 -4.499 20.0% -0.339 0.1892
2 Top to Top 23 26.09% 29.04 0.0 65.22%
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Other 9 66.67% 26.44 0.0 33.33%
3 Round (Default) 300 28.43% 29.34 -1.259 62.67% -0.686 -0.7816
3 Thematic 19 47.37% 26.05 -10.119 47.37% -0.267 -0.0246
4 Archipelago 2 50.0% 25.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 7 28.57% 25.14 1.826 57.14% 0.066 -0.481
4 Thematic 11 63.64% 28.64 0.0 36.36%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 64 37.5% 32.94 5.897 73.44% 0.49 0.301
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 14 35.71% 34.0 -6.746 78.57% -0.64 -0.9663
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 21.67 0.0 33.33%
6 Other 3 100.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Star 6 16.67% 32.5 0.0 66.67%
6 Thematic 27 25.93% 37.15 16.665 55.56% 0.13 0.7107
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 18.18% 25.73 0.0 45.45%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 53 29.75 -3.823 60.38% -0.289 0.0214
Aid From Lesser Spirits 47 32.79 0.702 61.7% -0.311 -0.2981
All Things Weaken 56 24.98 -2.559 50.0% -0.469 0.0046
Attenuated Essence 57 29.19 -8.276 68.42% -1.109 -0.9626
Back Against the Wall 39 27.69 -0.075 56.41% -0.304 -0.1747
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 66 29.85 -1.298 63.64% 0.042 0.3616
Burn Brightest Before the End 38 31.95 2.313 65.79% -0.118 0.0591
Disintegrating Ecosystem 54 23.5 0.0 46.3%
Downward Spiral 61 32.49 -4.234 72.13% -0.687 -0.4935
Erosion of Will 63 34.35 3.149 73.02% 0.382 0.7202
Intensifying Exploitation 63 23.92 -4.181 47.62% -0.45 -0.0969
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 21 32.19 0.0 76.19%
Memory Fades to Dust 72 28.65 -0.325 58.33% -0.377 -0.0481
Power Corrodes the Spirit 52 30.5 -0.94 63.46% -0.085 0.1814
Promising Farmlands 47 24.81 -1.933 46.81% -0.395 0.0528
Shattered Fragments of Power 40 25.6 -1.115 45.0% -0.377 -0.3771
Slow Dissolution of Will 64 28.73 0.8 57.81% 0.014 0.425
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 14 30.36 0.0 64.29%
The Border of Life and Death 19 31.68 -3.486 78.95% -0.046 -0.2916
Thriving Communities 56 27.73 -8.892 58.93% -0.778 -0.5001
Thriving Crops 41 28.93 4.441 68.29% 0.49 0.3947
Unnatural Proliferation 70 31.44 -3.76 65.71% -0.648 -0.4433
Untended Land Crumbles 79 27.66 4.407 59.49% 0.328 0.6269

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 619 33.33% 29.36 0.096 64.14% 0.062 1.0537
B 650 35.85% 30.69 -0.655 65.85% -0.12 0.7455
C 652 33.13% 30.69 -0.503 65.8% -0.197 0.5553
D 658 34.7% 29.37 2.103 63.37% 0.444 1.389
E 594 33.0% 30.91 2.281 66.16% 0.517 1.2715
F 548 35.95% 28.99 1.267 60.95% 0.294 1.1681
G 481 34.17% 29.34 -0.435 63.83% -0.199 0.6635
H 556 31.65% 30.51 -0.697 64.93% -0.398 0.4087
East 190 37.37% 21.74 -0.026 33.16% -0.264 0.4812
Northeast 98 33.67% 23.99 -2.522 35.71% -0.362 0.531
Northwest 89 26.97% 23.03 -4.796 35.96% -0.659 0.0838
Southeast 84 40.48% 24.85 1.239 38.1% 0.125 1.1334
Southwest 87 41.38% 22.31 -0.071 34.48% 0.166 1.3224
West 193 37.82% 19.51 -4.095 31.61% -0.398 0.585

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 53.0 0.0 100.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 5 20.0% 5.8 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 63 9.68% 42.59 0.636 77.78% 0.112 -0.6932
Start of Game Growth 98 11.34% 41.27 1.446 71.43% -0.155 -0.7214
Unlimited Undo 304 24.75% 25.88 -3.338 53.29% -0.749 -0.7219
Using Tokens but Not Events 278 26.71% 25.32 -2.455 54.68% -0.529 -0.556

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 924 12.25 2.06%
II 1053 29.91 71.51%
III 1135 34.94 93.83%
IV 194 38.9 99.48%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.067 Win Model: 0.609
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2079 36.6% 28.55 60.56%
2 771 34.89% 29.46 62.26%
3 309 28.9% 29.68 63.75%
4 86 41.86% 31.8 67.44%
5 18 38.89% 25.0 55.56%
6 43 23.26% 36.56 60.47%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 19
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1054
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 730
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 191
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 861
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 177
Win: Sacrifice victory 6
Lose: Scenario condition 24
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 196
Lose: Spirit destroyed 9

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 91 34.07% 34.6 -3.179 67.03% -0.365 -0.7824
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 130 43.85% 36.34 1.301 70.0% -0.023 -0.679
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 45 26.67% 39.4 -0.518 82.22% 0.273 0.1155
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 217 27.19% 38.55 3.588 76.96% 0.879 0.0188
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 36 58.33% 30.53 0.0 61.11%
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 109 49.54% 37.65 5.178 72.48% 0.6 -0.4293
Dances Up Earthquakes 432 43.98% 31.96 -2.232 65.28% -0.47 -0.5061
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 128 50.78% 34.33 3.087 67.19% 0.318 -0.0361
Downpour Drenches the World 133 32.33% 29.61 -3.578 58.65% -0.428 -0.3041
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 322 35.09% 37.38 1.922 75.78% 0.416 -0.155
Eyes Watch From the Trees 290 24.14% 37.17 -1.854 72.76% -0.313 -0.9596
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 97 42.27% 30.72 8.902 55.67% 0.335 -0.1586
Finder of Paths Unseen 66 37.88% 22.95 -6.391 42.42% -0.597 -0.0085
Fractured Days Split the Sky 83 33.73% 26.6 -2.036 49.4% -0.196 0.2504
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 125 48.8% 31.72 -0.561 63.2% -0.055 -0.2398
Heart of the Wildfire 155 61.29% 26.37 1.974 52.9% 0.514 0.6564
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 267 34.21% 35.69 -0.087 70.04% 0.101 -0.5735
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 151 26.49% 36.66 0.198 75.5% -0.265 -0.7923
Lightning's Swift Strike 46 54.35% 34.17 0.0 69.57%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 77 40.26% 41.94 0.0 85.71%
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 57 54.39% 35.04 1.926 68.42% 0.206 -0.29
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 59 37.29% 29.83 2.038 57.63% 0.069 -0.1708
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 262 36.64% 34.0 0.818 61.83% 0.249 -0.1769
Many Minds Move as One 145 25.52% 29.74 -1.163 59.31% -0.123 -0.632
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 98 42.86% 37.13 3.257 67.35% 0.742 0.4726
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 786 52.1% 29.22 1.23 61.58% 0.516 0.402
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 159 30.82% 29.82 1.884 61.64% 0.523 0.2287
River Surges in Sunlight 89 46.07% 38.07 0.9 68.54% 0.127 -0.0443
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 108 45.37% 27.44 7.905 51.85% 0.205 0.0934
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 28 50.0% 27.29 -8.792 50.0% -0.877 -0.9424
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 82 35.8% 36.37 -3.276 60.98% -0.641 -0.771
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 146 23.29% 34.52 2.027 66.44% 0.403 0.1391
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 264 37.5% 24.91 -3.954 48.86% -0.57 -1.0005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 19 57.89% 21.68 -16.999 42.11% -0.867 -0.4385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 66.67% 32.33 -0.778 60.0% -0.067 -0.0627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 157 50.96% 34.48 -1.853 68.79% -0.211 -0.9637
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 41.67% 27.83 0.0 58.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 21 52.38% 32.38 0.0 61.9%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 21 57.14% 25.24 -8.688 42.86% -0.338 -0.3805
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 106 23.58% 32.31 -3.548 66.04% -0.764 -1.1299
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 36 58.33% 39.78 2.801 77.78% 0.452 -0.0891
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 147 38.1% 35.63 2.976 74.15% 0.575 0.3305
Shifting Memory of Ages 44 54.55% 30.25 3.765 59.09% 0.105 0.3995
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 108 44.44% 34.55 -4.229 67.59% -0.503 -0.6664
Shroud of Silent Mist 81 41.98% 27.01 10.041 54.32% 0.608 0.7906
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 24 29.17% 39.08 -0.792 75.0% -0.198 -0.6077
Starlight Seeks its Form 296 38.18% 36.2 0.712 72.97% -0.034 -0.2758
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 293 32.76% 28.47 -3.401 60.41% -0.362 -1.3144
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 135 41.04% 29.1 -4.745 57.78% -0.353 -0.3104
Thunderspeaker 94 27.66% 35.67 8.696 65.96% 0.293 0.0979
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 53 39.62% 25.13 -10.216 50.94% -1.049 -1.2171
Towering Roots of the Jungle 246 44.31% 30.34 0.304 60.98% 0.346 0.235
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 249 54.62% 31.71 1.777 65.46% 0.151 0.0002
Vital Strength of the Earth 66 42.42% 34.92 2.891 63.64% 0.66 1.0186
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 99 51.52% 24.33 -10.52 44.44% -0.215 0.0284
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 56 35.71% 20.77 8.696 42.86% 0.293 0.9743
Volcano Looming High 193 46.88% 30.56 -3.718 60.1% -0.302 -0.6263
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 179 33.52% 35.93 1.985 69.27% 0.455 -0.0622

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 40.0% 21.2 0.0 40.0%
Blitz 0 22 36.36% 15.82 -12.429 27.27% -0.638 -0.2059
Dahan Insurrection 4 38 36.84% 38.71 -8.586 39.47% -1.452 -1.4784
Despicable Theft 2 15 20.0% 21.4 -7.389 33.33% -0.254 0.4053
Elemental Invocation 1 32 31.25% 14.47 -11.543 21.88% -0.513 -0.0654
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 171 14.62% 33.27 0.86 56.14% 0.08 -0.5197
Powers Long Forgotten 1 28 35.71% 10.82 -8.715 14.29% -0.195 0.4133
Rituals of Terror 3 13 30.77% 25.15 1.391 38.46% -0.535 -0.4107
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 12.6 0.0 20.0%
Second Wave 0 65 60.94% 23.49 5.071 40.0% 0.279 0.385
The Great River 3 18 22.22% 16.72 -18.926 22.22% -0.544 0.6305
Varied Terrains 2 25 28.0% 15.2 0.0 24.0%
Ward the Shores 2 20 40.0% 24.05 0.0 35.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3115 40.96% 33.89 0.715 68.12% 0.773 0.9978
1 Thematic 153 53.59% 23.69 -1.242 33.99% 0.21 0.7599
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 35.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 573 42.06% 34.95 -0.321 71.55% 0.249 0.3603
2 Coastline 77 44.16% 37.6 -0.147 79.22% -0.398 -0.4874
2 Fragment 9 33.33% 38.0 0.0 88.89%
2 Heart 7 71.43% 34.43 0.0 57.14%
2 Opposite Shores 115 40.0% 31.92 -7.845 63.48% -0.654 -0.6174
2 Thematic 436 44.27% 16.31 -10.782 32.8% -0.465 0.0632
2 Top to Top 29 37.93% 35.14 0.0 65.52%
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 4 75.0% 39.0 0.0 75.0%
3 Other 2 50.0% 60.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Round (Default) 361 40.0% 35.94 0.691 70.91% -0.235 -0.3312
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 50.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 20 70.0% 26.6 0.283 40.0% 0.13 0.3716
4 Archipelago 2 0.0% 27.0 0.0 50.0%
4 Other 15 66.67% 38.87 20.728 73.33% 0.408 -0.1394
4 Thematic 21 9.52% 30.43 11.303 47.62% 0.271 0.7439
4 Trapezoid (Default) 139 29.5% 38.06 1.352 75.54% 0.026 -0.1626
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 26 11.54% 35.27 0.0 65.38%
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Coastline 1 100.0% 51.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 6 0.0% 25.83 0.0 50.0%
6 Star 7 42.86% 39.86 0.0 85.71%
6 Thematic 12 58.33% 19.0 -8.688 16.67% -0.338 0.2429
6 Two Centers (Default) 25 40.0% 27.0 -4.362 52.0% 0.01 -0.0128

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 106 35.05 6.051 70.75% 0.509 0.8199
Aid From Lesser Spirits 79 32.91 -3.636 60.76% -0.304 -0.2912
All Things Weaken 103 30.48 -7.043 54.37% -0.473 0.0007
Attenuated Essence 109 33.05 5.43 66.06% 0.771 0.9171
Back Against the Wall 83 35.84 -3.9 69.88% -0.407 -0.2779
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 105 32.88 4.788 64.76% 0.569 0.8888
Burn Brightest Before the End 82 34.43 1.474 71.95% 0.06 0.2367
Disintegrating Ecosystem 98 29.26 -2.58 61.22% -0.437 -0.0566
Downward Spiral 106 36.14 0.59 74.53% 0.057 0.2505
Erosion of Will 114 32.2 2.079 62.28% 0.201 0.5392
Intensifying Exploitation 131 32.37 -3.488 65.65% -0.247 0.1056
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 67 40.69 4.58 82.09% 0.423 0.0594
Memory Fades to Dust 102 31.75 1.781 64.71% 0.287 0.6167
Power Corrodes the Spirit 130 31.06 0.802 60.0% 0.042 0.3088
Promising Farmlands 91 30.97 -8.343 59.34% -1.091 -0.6431
Shattered Fragments of Power 81 32.8 6.885 62.96% 0.211 0.2103
Slow Dissolution of Will 126 32.7 0.124 62.7% 0.124 0.5355
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 29 40.48 0.0 89.66%
The Border of Life and Death 39 37.0 3.765 79.49% 0.105 -0.14
Thriving Communities 99 31.49 -0.047 61.62% -0.14 0.1371
Thriving Crops 46 39.83 8.707 80.43% 0.43 0.3351
Unnatural Proliferation 99 31.71 0.251 58.59% -0.006 0.1984
Untended Land Crumbles 107 32.82 1.83 70.09% 0.554 0.8532

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 887 39.95% 34.2 -0.124 68.55% 0.136 1.1275
B 958 39.39% 33.63 2.641 68.68% 0.641 1.5065
C 1037 39.54% 34.87 -2.273 69.14% -0.488 0.2635
D 881 42.55% 33.23 -2.571 67.65% -0.45 0.4943
E 851 34.9% 35.31 1.19 69.68% 0.102 0.8572
F 734 40.19% 34.99 0.84 69.07% 0.107 0.9811
G 755 42.04% 36.12 1.842 72.72% 0.367 1.2293
H 752 38.43% 35.87 0.508 71.54% -0.154 0.6531
East 538 45.72% 19.68 -2.025 36.25% -0.028 0.7173
Northeast 450 46.44% 19.22 2.671 37.11% 0.141 1.0343
Northwest 192 43.75% 20.76 -2.938 38.02% -0.154 0.5889
Southeast 65 36.92% 17.78 1.893 23.08% -0.051 0.9574
Southwest 95 45.26% 11.28 -4.492 13.68% -0.481 0.6762
West 301 46.18% 18.22 -4.503 30.56% -0.703 0.2798

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3 0.0% 20.67 0.0 33.33%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 61 28.33% 45.92 6.448 80.33% 0.357 -0.4483
Start of Game Growth 106 26.67% 44.28 6.448 77.36% 0.357 -0.2101
Unlimited Undo 478 30.04% 34.29 -1.82 69.67% -0.108 -0.0807
Using Tokens but Not Events 387 32.55% 33.97 -1.201 70.28% -0.262 -0.2896

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1180 12.25 0.17%
II 1134 29.91 54.67%
III 2345 34.94 94.2%
IV 507 38.9 99.61%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.351 Win Model: 0.23
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3319 41.21% 33.08 65.77%
2 1208 43.71% 28.98 59.11%
3 387 42.23% 35.98 70.28%
4 174 28.74% 36.92 71.84%
5 27 11.11% 33.96 62.96%
6 51 41.18% 27.22 49.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2194
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 606
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 503
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1259
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 220
Win: Sacrifice victory 10
Lose: Scenario condition 42
Win: Scenario condition 21
Lose: Blight pool ran out 277
Lose: Spirit destroyed 21

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 113 51.33% 34.1 -0.422 51.33% 0.092 -0.3254
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 171 50.88% 39.17 4.421 60.23% 0.663 0.0067
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 36 33.33% 41.47 6.292 75.0% 0.886 0.7285
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 230 49.57% 38.84 -0.448 60.87% 0.225 -0.6353
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 32 68.75% 31.41 -7.758 43.75% -0.28 -0.1422
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 108 44.44% 46.91 6.724 75.93% 0.875 -0.1542
Dances Up Earthquakes 380 47.11% 37.56 -3.077 59.74% -0.162 -0.198
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 145 48.97% 35.63 -5.393 55.86% -0.565 -0.9197
Downpour Drenches the World 215 48.84% 34.04 -1.178 49.77% -0.164 -0.0406
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 412 45.39% 38.29 4.033 60.68% 0.643 0.0726
Eyes Watch From the Trees 281 41.28% 41.62 1.514 67.62% 0.157 -0.4887
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 116 50.0% 36.14 0.794 56.03% 0.202 -0.2919
Finder of Paths Unseen 72 54.17% 26.71 -1.375 37.5% -0.567 0.0217
Fractured Days Split the Sky 79 40.51% 32.53 -6.525 46.84% -0.937 -0.4906
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 154 50.65% 34.27 -5.595 53.25% -0.498 -0.6829
Heart of the Wildfire 201 74.63% 27.53 0.98 39.3% 0.199 0.342
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 322 35.51% 45.58 5.974 73.6% 1.164 0.4899
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 156 45.51% 38.28 -7.857 62.82% -0.562 -1.0897
Lightning's Swift Strike 42 71.43% 28.88 4.343 38.1% 0.388 0.4209
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 127 58.27% 40.21 0.766 66.14% 0.088 -0.5639
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 53 54.72% 43.28 1.954 67.92% 0.246 -0.2493
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 67 40.3% 37.22 -3.645 56.72% -0.098 -0.3376
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 437 45.77% 40.47 0.547 65.22% 0.296 -0.1297
Many Minds Move as One 126 34.92% 38.22 2.062 60.32% -0.033 -0.542
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 100 50.0% 39.29 -0.152 59.0% 0.171 -0.0982
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 648 64.61% 34.97 -0.025 55.86% 0.527 0.4129
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 155 56.77% 31.89 -8.028 50.32% -1.026 -1.3195
River Surges in Sunlight 82 51.22% 36.28 -6.017 54.88% -0.468 -0.6388
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 65 40.0% 34.69 2.403 56.92% 0.1 -0.0113
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 25 60.0% 22.8 -6.093 24.0% -0.152 -0.2178
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 138 54.35% 39.99 -3.458 60.87% -0.238 -0.3687
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 195 39.49% 41.36 2.07 66.15% 0.057 -0.2074
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 194 44.33% 39.3 -0.487 62.89% 0.265 -0.1653
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8 25.0% 21.88 0.0 37.5%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 23 73.91% 37.83 -21.632 56.52% -0.554 -0.5503
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 104 55.77% 41.86 2.442 66.35% 0.298 -0.4552
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 22 68.18% 35.91 -3.704 45.45% -0.299 -0.6183
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 7 85.71% 42.43 -1.355 57.14% -0.258 -0.437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 17 70.59% 28.88 0.0 41.18%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 73 36.99% 34.82 6.288 53.42% 0.409 0.0433
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 57 56.14% 37.46 -0.075 61.4% 0.186 -0.3547
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 88 53.41% 37.73 0.0 59.09%
Shifting Memory of Ages 77 62.34% 33.47 -9.032 50.65% -0.841 -0.5467
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 368 53.26% 33.05 0.536 54.08% 0.802 0.6386
Shroud of Silent Mist 87 57.47% 27.83 0.218 40.23% 0.161 0.3431
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 44 54.55% 39.82 -7.475 61.36% -1.155 -1.5652
Starlight Seeks its Form 443 47.63% 39.31 -0.233 64.11% -0.083 -0.3251
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 319 44.34% 30.79 -3.597 50.16% -0.055 -1.007
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 116 50.86% 28.82 1.388 45.69% 0.206 0.2483
Thunderspeaker 91 53.33% 36.05 0.0 57.14%
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 44 52.27% 30.45 -14.303 40.91% -0.749 -0.9173
Towering Roots of the Jungle 243 55.14% 31.56 -3.327 47.33% -0.316 -0.4274
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 226 65.04% 37.6 0.335 61.06% 0.427 0.2759
Vital Strength of the Earth 50 46.0% 16.58 -12.265 20.0% -0.577 -0.2184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 72 54.17% 29.14 -9.7 37.5% -0.288 -0.0447
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 37 40.54% 28.7 0.0 40.54%
Volcano Looming High 243 58.44% 37.0 -0.356 58.02% 0.096 -0.2283
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 443 57.79% 32.79 0.989 51.92% 1.56 1.0426

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 6 33.33% 19.67 -18.501 33.33% -0.397 -0.0272
Blitz 0 18 61.11% 20.39 -0.172 16.67% -0.139 0.2928
Dahan Insurrection 4 25 68.0% 44.52 0.0 40.0%
Despicable Theft 2 18 50.0% 17.89 -6.41 22.22% -0.367 0.2924
Elemental Invocation 1 19 42.11% 22.11 -18.036 31.58% -0.403 0.0444
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 193 20.73% 37.68 0.546 54.4% -0.21 -0.8091
Powers Long Forgotten 1 17 41.18% 17.59 0.0 11.76%
Rituals of Terror 3 14 42.86% 21.57 -14.429 21.43% -1.372 -1.2475
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 60.0% 19.0 0.0 20.0%
Second Wave 0 60 54.24% 22.03 -7.182 26.67% -0.324 -0.2175
The Great River 3 13 46.15% 24.92 0.196 23.08% -0.32 0.8546
Varied Terrains 2 7 71.43% 19.71 -6.954 14.29% -0.895 -0.1585
Ward the Shores 2 19 52.63% 16.95 -1.558 10.53% -0.313 0.3691

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 3239 52.47% 36.74 1.778 57.95% 0.48 0.7048
1 Thematic 140 52.86% 25.41 -5.621 30.0% -0.673 -0.123
2 Archipelago 6 66.67% 29.17 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 701 53.64% 36.19 -1.162 57.63% -0.027 0.084
2 Coastline 95 41.05% 36.73 -5.657 57.89% -0.419 -0.5079
2 Fragment 23 69.57% 40.3 10.715 69.57% 0.989 0.6504
2 Heart 12 66.67% 37.75 7.638 50.0% 0.357 0.0295
2 Opposite Shores 174 56.32% 40.69 -0.325 62.64% 0.075 0.1115
2 Thematic 270 54.07% 25.59 -2.464 42.22% -0.778 -0.2497
2 Top to Top 30 50.0% 40.9 10.622 66.67% 0.366 0.1591
3 Archipelago 4 75.0% 25.25 0.0 25.0%
3 Other 11 63.64% 26.27 0.0 27.27%
3 Round (Default) 441 50.68% 39.44 2.681 63.04% 0.576 0.4802
3 Sunrise 1 0.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Thematic 28 60.71% 44.21 -0.338 71.43% -0.042 0.1995
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 65.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 33.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Other 10 40.0% 38.1 8.535 70.0% 0.3 -0.2469
4 Snake 1 0.0% 58.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 9 33.33% 25.44 -6.116 33.33% -0.034 0.4394
4 Trapezoid (Default) 176 51.14% 40.45 -3.855 66.48% -0.76 -0.9484
5 Other 48 31.25% 35.44 0.0 52.08%
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 7 28.57% 55.43 0.0 85.71%
6 Star 16 37.5% 22.19 0.0 37.5%
6 Thematic 6 50.0% 29.17 0.0 33.33%
6 Two Centers (Default) 54 42.59% 31.22 -3.149 42.59% -0.391 -0.4146

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 147 36.41 -0.454 55.1% -0.09 0.2205
Aid From Lesser Spirits 106 40.52 6.283 63.21% 0.36 0.3731
All Things Weaken 134 33.53 -3.297 46.27% -0.912 -0.4385
Attenuated Essence 152 33.34 -2.459 48.68% -0.214 -0.0675
Back Against the Wall 102 36.86 2.302 51.96% 0.118 0.2479
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 143 32.03 -1.589 47.55% -0.267 0.0533
Burn Brightest Before the End 100 37.0 -2.248 51.0% -0.785 -0.6083
Disintegrating Ecosystem 141 33.18 -7.274 49.65% -0.763 -0.3826
Downward Spiral 118 34.81 1.844 51.69% 0.192 0.3849
Erosion of Will 138 33.74 -7.073 45.65% -0.913 -0.5751
Intensifying Exploitation 158 32.35 -2.211 48.73% -0.437 -0.0844
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 63 36.78 5.242 63.49% 0.939 0.5757
Memory Fades to Dust 160 36.19 -0.251 55.0% 0.022 0.3511
Power Corrodes the Spirit 160 33.79 0.322 50.63% -0.121 0.1462
Promising Farmlands 140 32.81 -8.424 49.29% -1.099 -0.652
Shattered Fragments of Power 115 31.37 -2.694 43.48% -0.736 -0.7368
Slow Dissolution of Will 163 34.28 -0.42 48.47% -0.188 0.2235
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 34 41.97 2.364 70.59% 0.136 -0.4231
The Border of Life and Death 44 37.07 -2.835 65.91% -0.113 -0.3584
Thriving Communities 176 34.88 -0.583 53.41% -0.036 0.2419
Thriving Crops 59 38.98 -4.542 67.8% -0.288 -0.3832
Unnatural Proliferation 159 32.79 -4.734 43.4% -0.843 -0.6384
Untended Land Crumbles 165 33.76 -0.765 49.7% -0.25 0.0493

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1013 50.05% 36.51 -0.527 57.35% -0.208 0.7838
B 1222 49.67% 38.52 0.039 61.21% -0.013 0.8518
C 1238 53.31% 36.29 1.199 56.3% 0.293 1.0453
D 1016 52.61% 35.17 -2.873 55.71% -0.323 0.6218
E 989 51.06% 38.43 2.625 60.77% 0.369 1.1234
F 915 48.74% 37.91 1.758 59.89% 0.246 1.1209
G 871 50.8% 36.98 1.417 58.44% 0.336 1.1986
H 907 52.04% 38.29 0.731 60.42% 0.005 0.8118
East 386 54.15% 26.76 -2.273 41.19% -0.077 0.669
Northeast 309 54.05% 25.62 -2.756 41.42% -1.01 -0.1166
Northwest 285 54.74% 28.64 -2.099 46.32% -0.238 0.5053
Southeast 67 50.75% 30.15 -11.402 38.81% -0.304 0.7051
Southwest 49 44.9% 19.98 -4.771 26.53% -0.182 0.9743
West 359 54.6% 27.48 -5.185 42.9% -0.683 0.2995

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2 0.0% 30.5 0.0 50.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 69 13.43% 52.12 4.99 76.81% 0.319 -0.4859
Start of Game Growth 164 20.99% 44.75 3.435 66.46% -0.312 -0.8783
Unlimited Undo 611 47.78% 38.62 2.422 63.18% 0.632 0.6591
Using Tokens but Not Events 396 42.13% 38.92 1.279 66.16% 0.25 0.2231

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1196 12.25 0.67%
II 1559 29.91 42.14%
III 2181 34.94 87.25%
IV 577 38.9 99.83%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.263 Win Model: -0.199
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3400 52.37% 36.25 56.82%
2 1301 54.04% 34.93 55.5%
3 487 51.65% 38.99 61.4%
4 192 48.96% 40.47 67.19%
5 50 30.0% 34.02 50.0%
6 83 40.96% 31.37 44.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1894
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 645
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 574
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1257
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 273
Win: Sacrifice victory 11
Lose: Scenario condition 34
Win: Scenario condition 12
Lose: Blight pool ran out 773
Lose: Spirit destroyed 29

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 44 56.82% 34.57 -3.835 38.64% -0.373 -0.7909
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 56 47.27% 38.25 -4.409 46.43% -0.436 -1.0919
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 32 50.0% 33.0 -2.063 43.75% -0.339 -0.4965
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 111 54.05% 39.07 2.174 52.25% 0.169 -0.691
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 13 38.46% 27.62 -13.15 38.46% -0.137 0.0007
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 86 58.14% 52.67 13.807 72.09% 1.434 0.4041
Dances Up Earthquakes 188 47.34% 44.56 4.665 56.91% 0.619 0.5827
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 89 74.16% 35.36 2.233 41.57% 0.343 -0.0114
Downpour Drenches the World 83 46.99% 32.95 -0.71 36.14% -0.316 -0.1923
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 208 58.17% 46.9 1.046 65.87% 0.413 -0.1572
Eyes Watch From the Trees 153 59.48% 32.05 -3.402 35.95% -0.262 -0.9081
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 62 56.45% 28.35 -1.893 35.48% -0.19 -0.6843
Finder of Paths Unseen 32 43.75% 21.88 -10.453 25.0% -0.87 -0.2819
Fractured Days Split the Sky 43 37.21% 28.3 -4.596 32.56% 0.104 0.5508
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 68 66.18% 37.25 0.136 44.12% 0.2 0.0148
Heart of the Wildfire 61 63.93% 23.8 -5.052 24.59% -0.302 -0.159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 238 44.12% 44.45 2.596 59.24% 0.424 -0.2506
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 78 61.54% 30.24 -8.22 39.74% -0.494 -1.0219
Lightning's Swift Strike 19 68.42% 28.0 3.507 21.05% -0.148 -0.1156
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 56.3% 46.97 10.21 58.09% 0.97 0.318
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 36 63.89% 43.5 14.811 58.33% 0.543 0.0477
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 32 56.25% 45.66 0.0 62.5%
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 241 53.53% 41.51 0.183 53.53% 0.087 -0.3386
Many Minds Move as One 72 61.11% 34.89 -10.715 41.67% -0.229 -0.738
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 59 54.24% 40.05 0.0 49.15%
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 272 66.91% 38.11 5.561 50.0% 0.736 0.622
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 84 64.29% 40.14 -3.317 52.38% -0.547 -0.8411
River Surges in Sunlight 35 62.86% 41.71 1.949 48.57% 0.126 -0.0449
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 102 83.33% 26.01 -2.915 19.61% -0.237 -0.348
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 37 54.05% 24.54 -4.838 24.32% -0.258 -0.3231
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 37 64.86% 49.76 11.688 64.86% 0.244 0.114
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 157 35.03% 46.32 5.113 61.15% 0.851 0.5866
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 91 52.75% 38.04 15.016 49.45% 0.5 0.0699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2 100.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 8 62.5% 42.38 -10.886 62.5% -0.068 -0.0642
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 65.31% 32.84 12.365 40.82% 0.57 -0.1826
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 7 57.14% 21.29 -3.789 14.29% -0.044 -0.3632
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 8 62.5% 23.0 -16.42 25.0% -0.359 -0.5378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 6 33.33% 15.0 -11.165 16.67% -0.345 -0.3883
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 73 41.1% 40.7 18.873 56.16% 1.396 1.0304
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 39 56.41% 31.03 -3.665 43.59% -0.2 -0.7409
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 115 42.61% 39.65 -8.803 52.17% -0.986 -1.2306
Shifting Memory of Ages 39 35.9% 26.28 -0.811 33.33% -0.068 0.2266
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 67 62.69% 41.01 9.644 52.24% 0.44 0.277
Shroud of Silent Mist 33 54.55% 25.97 -3.249 30.3% -0.057 0.1249
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 11 54.55% 27.55 -5.304 36.36% -0.463 -0.8729
Starlight Seeks its Form 204 50.49% 37.21 -3.512 48.53% -0.512 -0.7543
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 134 52.99% 32.81 0.738 43.28% 0.103 -0.8494
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 120 49.17% 34.49 -1.746 41.67% -0.646 -0.6038
Thunderspeaker 89 77.53% 27.01 -0.729 28.09% 0.159 -0.0362
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 22 77.27% 19.27 -5.482 9.09% -0.489 -0.6574
Towering Roots of the Jungle 148 52.03% 35.65 1.915 43.92% 0.3 0.189
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 114 66.67% 40.79 -5.291 53.51% -0.932 -1.0832
Vital Strength of the Earth 20 70.0% 29.25 -1.756 25.0% -0.109 0.2494
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 32 77.42% 32.41 0.0 34.38%
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 40 72.5% 32.9 1.046 45.0% 0.093 0.7742
Volcano Looming High 106 68.87% 37.67 -1.913 50.0% -0.355 -0.6789
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 97 67.01% 34.49 0.544 41.24% 0.149 -0.3681

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 5 0.0% 61.2 -8.901 60.0% -0.164 0.2063
Blitz 0 14 21.43% 9.86 1.175 7.14% 0.008 0.4399
Dahan Insurrection 4 10 50.0% 29.4 0.0 30.0%
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 8.33 0.0 0.0%
Elemental Invocation 1 15 53.33% 14.93 0.0 6.67%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 228 25.44% 42.9 -0.768 50.44% -0.673 -1.2722
Powers Long Forgotten 1 10 20.0% 4.6 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 1 100.0% 20.0 0.0 0.0%
Second Wave 0 27 61.54% 31.15 -7.43 37.04% -0.459 -0.3527
The Great River 3 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 5 20.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 7 28.57% 24.0 -3.642 28.57% -0.053 0.6297

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1971 59.97% 36.14 0.519 45.97% 0.192 0.4168
1 Thematic 141 70.21% 25.06 3.715 17.73% 0.273 0.8232
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 387 64.86% 32.41 -5.628 40.05% -1.439 -1.3283
2 Coastline 68 64.71% 36.72 16.17 48.53% 0.77 0.6804
2 Heart 6 50.0% 56.17 0.0 83.33%
2 Opposite Shores 71 69.01% 38.66 4.018 43.66% -0.14 -0.1036
2 Thematic 22 22.73% 10.05 -2.707 9.09% -0.312 0.2167
2 Top to Top 15 73.33% 40.07 0.0 60.0%
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 68.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 3 66.67% 0.0 11.012 0.0% 0.243 -0.4989
3 Round (Default) 175 55.75% 46.4 -2.45 61.71% -0.226 -0.3216
3 Thematic 22 72.73% 23.68 0.0 13.64%
4 Archipelago 1 100.0% 71.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 7 71.43% 48.0 10.032 71.43% 0.488 -0.0593
4 Thematic 11 72.73% 40.73 5.677 45.45% 0.159 0.632
4 Trapezoid (Default) 46 63.04% 40.24 3.923 54.35% -0.084 -0.2733
5 Other 15 26.67% 45.67 0.0 60.0%
6 Other 6 50.0% 30.0 0.0 33.33%
6 Star 5 0.0% 23.0 0.0 20.0%
6 Thematic 1 100.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 64 14.06% 52.64 4.743 70.31% -0.113 -0.1362
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 9.081 0.0% 0.173 -0.0829

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 79 30.87 -3.709 30.38% -0.187 0.1232
Aid From Lesser Spirits 61 39.11 -6.32 49.18% -0.665 -0.652
All Things Weaken 105 34.72 -3.555 40.0% -0.348 0.1258
Attenuated Essence 98 35.85 -3.514 43.88% -0.303 -0.1568
Back Against the Wall 70 42.97 8.281 48.57% 0.88 1.0098
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 99 33.99 -3.867 40.4% -0.26 0.0599
Burn Brightest Before the End 56 41.93 -5.033 46.43% -0.732 -0.5555
Disintegrating Ecosystem 102 37.19 1.244 47.06% -0.102 0.2787
Downward Spiral 109 38.33 -6.195 48.62% -0.437 -0.2439
Erosion of Will 98 33.07 -1.523 35.71% -0.484 -0.146
Intensifying Exploitation 88 31.99 1.714 37.5% 0.361 0.7137
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 26 41.08 -1.74 61.54% -0.163 -0.5263
Memory Fades to Dust 97 34.23 -6.495 39.18% -0.801 -0.4713
Power Corrodes the Spirit 92 38.58 -0.343 46.74% -0.119 0.1479
Promising Farmlands 87 33.14 3.567 37.93% 0.083 0.5306
Shattered Fragments of Power 82 40.16 4.608 47.56% 0.564 0.5636
Slow Dissolution of Will 100 29.69 0.169 30.0% -0.213 0.198
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 18 51.33 0.0 77.78%
The Border of Life and Death 17 43.12 0.0 58.82%
Thriving Communities 111 31.07 -0.222 33.33% -0.073 0.2048
Thriving Crops 33 36.61 -14.995 54.55% -0.291 -0.3867
Unnatural Proliferation 89 39.63 4.439 47.19% 0.435 0.6402
Untended Land Crumbles 103 35.42 -1.249 40.78% -0.326 -0.0264

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 547 58.06% 35.32 -4.129 43.51% -0.675 0.3163
B 622 57.4% 39.62 2.263 50.16% 0.245 1.1099
C 684 56.73% 38.27 4.965 49.56% 0.966 1.7183
D 520 56.84% 36.43 -1.54 47.12% -0.067 0.8778
E 554 54.15% 37.56 0.056 47.83% 0.093 0.8475
F 558 51.79% 39.75 1.013 52.15% 0.21 1.084
G 434 56.12% 42.05 -0.027 55.07% 0.263 1.1257
H 441 55.78% 39.97 -0.967 52.61% -0.265 0.5419
East 106 57.55% 25.96 3.572 23.58% 0.078 0.823
Northeast 46 67.39% 30.98 3.813 28.26% -0.005 0.8881
Northwest 34 52.94% 24.44 12.266 17.65% 0.526 1.2692
Southeast 45 53.33% 23.27 -8.724 24.44% -0.31 0.699
Southwest 74 86.49% 19.82 0.0 6.76%
West 124 72.58% 22.85 -1.618 12.9% -0.005 0.9776

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 26.0 0.0 0.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 48 29.79% 59.48 14.199 75.0% 0.245 -0.5604
Start of Game Growth 134 23.31% 51.46 6.476 67.16% 0.56 -0.0065
Unlimited Undo 382 56.17% 34.59 0.405 42.93% 0.226 0.2533
Using Tokens but Not Events 146 72.41% 32.75 -0.15 41.78% 0.264 0.2369

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 773 12.25 0.26%
II 890 29.91 19.78%
III 950 34.94 80.63%
IV 429 38.9 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.471 Win Model: 0.202
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 2132 60.23% 35.31 44.04%
2 551 65.34% 33.69 41.56%
3 201 57.5% 43.33 55.72%
4 66 66.67% 41.0 54.55%
5 15 26.67% 45.67 60.0%
6 77 16.88% 47.92 62.34%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 758
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 173
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 428
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 841
Lose: Invader deck ran out 3
Lose: Adversary condition 208
Win: Sacrifice victory 7
Lose: Scenario condition 48
Win: Scenario condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 550
Lose: Spirit destroyed 19

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 299 55.37% 30.28 -7.051 29.1% -0.678 -1.0961
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 517 52.42% 32.42 4.918 30.95% 0.867 0.2113
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 106 63.21% 21.52 -4.74 18.87% -0.661 -0.8186
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 547 69.61% 24.88 -4.067 24.5% -0.426 -1.2858
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 169 71.01% 30.05 4.272 18.34% 0.226 0.3637
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 486 61.73% 38.61 9.975 44.86% 1.676 0.6466
Dances Up Earthquakes 863 72.74% 33.75 2.236 35.34% 0.198 0.1614
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 281 76.16% 21.78 -0.835 13.52% -0.376 -0.7301
Downpour Drenches the World 424 62.88% 26.12 0.572 23.11% -0.347 -0.2228
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 836 77.27% 29.25 -1.961 28.59% -0.479 -1.0495
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1232 58.77% 24.87 -0.23 25.57% 0.473 -0.1733
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 243 72.02% 24.55 -1.403 18.11% -0.571 -1.0648
Finder of Paths Unseen 290 62.07% 16.73 -3.332 11.72% -0.211 0.3771
Fractured Days Split the Sky 489 38.24% 26.94 -7.614 24.13% -0.324 0.123
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 345 78.84% 25.19 -1.437 17.39% -0.485 -0.6707
Heart of the Wildfire 530 77.17% 20.1 2.758 13.96% 0.48 0.6233
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1134 70.02% 33.2 2.777 37.57% 0.613 -0.0609
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 283 73.85% 21.26 0.64 13.07% -0.217 -0.745
Lightning's Swift Strike 164 73.17% 17.66 -7.051 9.76% -0.756 -0.7229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 533 72.8% 33.49 2.069 35.46% 0.281 -0.3708
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 97 69.79% 29.57 7.742 31.96% 0.572 0.0766
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 235 61.28% 30.87 -1.226 33.62% 0.054 -0.1852
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 890 66.18% 29.98 2.842 28.99% 0.208 -0.2178
Many Minds Move as One 375 54.93% 37.22 5.568 38.4% 0.509 -0.0003
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 343 65.01% 34.5 -2.155 34.69% -0.132 -0.4014
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1633 75.4% 26.67 -0.472 24.43% -0.24 -0.3539
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 406 78.57% 23.31 -3.273 14.53% -1.783 -2.077
River Surges in Sunlight 219 64.84% 31.52 -8.427 24.66% -0.684 -0.8551
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 274 57.3% 26.81 2.417 21.9% 0.682 0.5709
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 135 68.89% 18.97 -7.928 8.15% -0.301 -0.3663
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 418 63.07% 29.49 -1.766 29.67% -0.038 -0.1685
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 644 49.53% 38.11 -3.542 41.93% -0.667 -0.9318
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 310 66.56% 34.77 0.873 39.03% 0.034 -0.3961
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 89 84.27% 22.35 -12.208 10.11% -0.248 0.1806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 18 83.33% 34.5 0.0 33.33%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 340 76.76% 28.11 1.544 26.76% -0.055 -0.8081
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 48 81.25% 32.94 1.941 27.08% -0.047 -0.3655
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 37 78.38% 22.78 0.0 16.22%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 29 89.66% 21.93 0.0 13.79%
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 190 64.74% 31.76 6.099 34.21% 0.842 0.4764
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 73 80.82% 30.81 3.388 32.88% 0.363 -0.178
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 188 59.04% 25.56 -3.5 23.4% -0.264 -0.5084
Shifting Memory of Ages 327 54.13% 32.68 -3.176 31.8% 0.166 0.4603
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 345 62.03% 30.4 3.764 31.88% 0.716 0.5523
Shroud of Silent Mist 151 78.15% 30.23 -12.049 29.14% -0.094 0.0884
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 99 79.38% 28.25 2.903 23.23% 0.264 -0.146
Starlight Seeks its Form 986 65.62% 30.49 6.937 33.77% 1.155 0.9123
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1320 57.42% 27.01 -0.041 26.67% 0.299 -0.6529
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 359 76.88% 23.53 0.596 17.55% 0.325 0.3677
Thunderspeaker 225 72.0% 21.33 -0.229 15.56% 0.146 -0.0494
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 126 74.6% 18.95 -10.231 11.9% -0.481 -0.6493
Towering Roots of the Jungle 480 69.1% 22.19 -3.419 16.67% -0.599 -0.7097
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 699 83.4% 37.24 6.267 42.92% 0.784 0.633
Vital Strength of the Earth 149 63.76% 19.46 1.148 12.75% -0.243 0.1158
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 274 62.41% 19.5 -5.316 17.88% -0.355 -0.1112
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 126 69.05% 21.56 -5.7 16.67% -0.621 0.0606
Volcano Looming High 597 74.29% 29.1 2.307 29.82% 0.534 0.2096
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 314 67.09% 22.44 -1.811 18.47% -0.083 -0.601

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 0.0% 0.0 -16.984 0.0% -0.256 0.1139
Blitz 0 59 23.73% 41.53 -13.418 42.37% -0.263 0.1688
Dahan Insurrection 4 90 31.11% 20.21 -13.183 14.44% -0.292 -0.3177
Despicable Theft 2 3 33.33% 27.67 0.0 33.33%
Elemental Invocation 1 16 50.0% 19.94 0.63 6.25% -0.536 -0.0884
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 471 40.13% 32.3 3.845 29.51% 0.119 -0.4804
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 11.11% 3.33 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 85 27.06% 71.85 11.267 49.41% 0.376 0.5003
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 46.15% 23.08 17.889 15.38% 0.106 0.8446
Second Wave 0 12 75.0% 22.83 -10.18 16.67% -0.099 0.0076
The Great River 3 4 50.0% 14.25 7.984 0.0% -0.076 1.0987
Varied Terrains 2 10 80.0% 32.5 6.959 20.0% -0.407 0.3293
Ward the Shores 2 7 57.14% 45.29 0.0 42.86%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 13088 72.1% 26.6 -1.213 25.24% -0.68 -0.4559
1 Thematic 282 55.67% 28.05 2.665 25.89% -0.069 0.4809
2 Archipelago 4 33.33% 16.0 0.0 25.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1325 73.66% 29.44 -1.086 28.53% -0.088 0.0236
2 Coastline 267 60.15% 33.81 3.045 38.58% 0.338 0.2488
2 Fragment 17 88.24% 33.53 3.014 35.29% -0.192 -0.5308
2 Heart 48 91.67% 38.94 1.397 35.42% -0.265 -0.5919
2 Opposite Shores 408 62.5% 32.16 4.074 31.37% 0.022 0.0584
2 Thematic 77 41.56% 43.77 20.719 31.17% 0.247 0.7759
2 Top to Top 77 71.43% 30.29 1.305 25.97% -0.004 -0.2106
3 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 8 37.5% 39.13 0.0 50.0%
3 Other 4 100.0% 58.0 0.0 75.0%
3 Round (Default) 761 61.1% 28.63 1.781 28.52% 0.326 0.23
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 41 17.07% 56.12 4.939 31.71% -0.114 0.128
4 Coastline 6 66.67% 11.0 0.0 16.67%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 5 80.0% 58.2 0.0 80.0%
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 44 29.55% 40.27 -5.141 29.55% -0.054 0.4199
4 Trapezoid (Default) 363 58.13% 25.21 0.018 27.0% 0.383 0.1945
5 Other 19 10.53% 16.74 0.0 5.26%
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 67.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 35 82.86% 46.03 -12.723 57.14% -0.107 0.1628
6 Star 17 47.06% 21.88 0.0 23.53%
6 Thematic 18 5.56% 3.44 1.601 0.0% -0.069 0.512
6 Two Centers (Default) 159 42.14% 44.08 -16.143 41.51% -0.447 -0.4702
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 572 31.34 1.191 27.8% 0.085 0.3952
Aid From Lesser Spirits 433 41.53 7.285 43.65% 1.15 1.1636
All Things Weaken 680 32.74 1.633 29.85% 0.347 0.8209
Attenuated Essence 678 32.45 5.937 31.12% 1.224 1.371
Back Against the Wall 399 37.3 8.107 35.59% 1.139 1.2686
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 672 31.77 -2.379 30.21% -0.227 0.0929
Burn Brightest Before the End 433 35.62 6.129 32.56% 0.713 0.8901
Disintegrating Ecosystem 647 31.41 0.605 30.6% 0.026 0.4065
Downward Spiral 667 32.14 5.799 32.38% 1.095 1.2888
Erosion of Will 618 32.5 2.21 27.67% 0.501 0.8393
Intensifying Exploitation 708 28.6 -0.697 26.84% -0.269 0.084
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 161 34.1 3.172 39.13% 0.927 0.5635
Memory Fades to Dust 700 31.19 3.251 28.86% 0.791 1.1205
Power Corrodes the Spirit 714 31.1 -0.229 28.71% -0.248 0.0191
Promising Farmlands 599 29.93 1.349 27.55% -0.096 0.3515
Shattered Fragments of Power 430 33.06 4.116 27.91% 0.623 0.6228
Slow Dissolution of Will 614 29.69 1.919 24.76% 0.652 1.0633
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 85 32.65 -6.19 40.0% -0.258 -0.8165
The Border of Life and Death 92 34.01 8.511 38.04% 0.254 0.0091
Thriving Communities 623 30.86 3.728 29.21% 0.706 0.9838
Thriving Crops 171 34.26 -7.201 41.52% -0.284 -0.3794
Unnatural Proliferation 621 35.09 7.968 31.24% 0.943 1.1481
Untended Land Crumbles 641 30.34 3.613 27.93% 0.722 1.0212

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 2782 66.73% 27.08 -2.701 26.13% -0.834 0.1575
B 3038 66.35% 27.99 0.064 27.35% -0.28 0.5851
C 3577 68.82% 28.72 -0.939 27.79% -0.241 0.5108
D 2765 70.9% 26.8 0.3 25.32% -0.263 0.6822
E 3237 67.06% 28.58 2.137 28.45% 0.142 0.8971
F 2518 67.26% 28.24 1.771 27.2% 0.303 1.1779
G 2262 69.63% 28.67 -1.428 27.28% -0.653 0.2098
H 2390 68.95% 30.23 0.557 30.21% -0.043 0.7639
East 311 38.26% 36.14 6.995 27.01% 0.271 1.017
Northeast 177 32.77% 41.76 7.966 28.81% 0.197 1.0902
Northwest 108 37.04% 36.28 -0.473 29.63% -0.118 0.6256
Southeast 99 37.37% 20.83 3.424 17.17% -0.013 0.9958
Southwest 108 40.74% 16.1 -9.966 16.67% -0.411 0.7461
West 293 46.08% 32.92 -6.423 25.6% -0.469 0.5132

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 18 0.0% 20.22 0.0 27.78%
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 617 32.39% 50.86 13.354 56.24% 1.198 0.3927
Start of Game Growth 750 36.07% 50.24 13.768 57.33% 1.922 1.3558
Unlimited Undo 1504 58.74% 40.5 1.902 49.67% 0.591 0.6181
Using Tokens but Not Events 785 54.5% 19.36 -5.194 19.75% -0.784 -0.8114

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7215 12.25 0.22%
II 5316 29.91 13.32%
III 3377 34.94 76.9%
IV 1195 38.9 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.332 Win Model: 0.004
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 13463 71.72% 26.81 25.49%
2 2178 68.57% 31.17 29.89%
3 808 59.65% 29.13 28.59%
4 405 57.28% 25.59 27.16%
5 18 11.11% 17.67 5.56%
6 231 45.89% 39.48 39.39%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 16
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2547
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 682
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1154
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6382
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 1600
Win: Sacrifice victory 101
Lose: Scenario condition 77
Win: Scenario condition 16
Lose: Unique spirit condition 2
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4328
Lose: Spirit destroyed 193

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)