Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 62 11.29% 19.58 0.621 62.9% 0.579 0.4738
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 63 17.46% 21.7 1.005 60.32% 0.181 -0.2994
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 31 29.03% 19.42 -1.344 61.29% -0.173 -0.0479
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 41 26.83% 26.61 4.787 73.17% 0.377 -0.47
Dances Up Earthquakes 244 23.77% 20.71 0.733 65.57% 0.254 0.2905
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 103 17.48% 20.65 -0.038 54.37% 0.203 0.0661
Downpour Drenches the World 103 14.56% 17.65 -0.364 49.51% 0.39 0.597
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 147 10.88% 22.03 0.949 63.95% 0.55 -0.0612
Eyes Watch From the Trees 121 12.4% 21.1 0.325 61.16% 0.441 0.066
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 99 11.11% 21.37 0.799 56.57% 0.331 -0.0592
Finder of Paths Unseen 42 33.33% 11.14 -6.542 26.19% -1.711 -0.992
Fractured Days Split the Sky 56 23.21% 16.88 -0.982 42.86% -0.336 0.2753
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 70 24.29% 17.11 -0.289 45.71% 0.04 -0.0595
Heart of the Wildfire 51 33.33% 15.57 -1.355 47.06% -0.06 0.2771
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 101 13.86% 16.85 -1.906 49.5% -0.379 -0.8098
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 50 6.0% 20.3 2.952 56.0% 0.669 0.3542
Lightning's Swift Strike 34 23.53% 20.29 0.907 58.82% 0.429 0.6585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 42 30.95% 29.57 4.479 83.33% 1.327 0.8828
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 26 15.38% 15.62 -0.268 46.15% 0.359 0.0486
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 27 14.81% 24.52 1.728 74.07% 0.704 0.5618
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 132 18.94% 21.74 0.766 56.82% 0.249 0.0208
Many Minds Move as One 76 9.21% 17.74 -0.91 52.63% -0.204 -0.4471
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 38 26.32% 11.82 -2.19 34.21% -0.087 0.0221
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 273 34.8% 18.93 -0.429 65.93% 0.3 0.4183
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 79 13.92% 19.87 -0.816 58.23% 0.263 0.2172
River Surges in Sunlight 44 22.73% 27.05 2.518 61.36% 0.247 0.3773
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 37 27.03% 17.22 -0.605 43.24% -0.265 -0.0891
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 25 40.0% 23.32 2.283 52.0% -0.065 0.2325
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 38 26.32% 21.55 -0.962 55.26% -0.701 -0.7852
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 68 11.76% 18.99 -0.515 54.41% 0.158 0.0464
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 85 23.53% 23.25 2.55 72.94% 0.558 0.4396
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 16 31.25% 20.81 0.015 68.75% -0.225 0.2696
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 10.0% 23.6 -4.199 70.0% -0.408 -0.4592
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 32 18.75% 24.5 0.953 75.0% 0.105 -0.4056
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 37.5% 23.38 -0.942 75.0% 0.042 -0.0854
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 17 11.76% 21.59 -1.943 52.94% -0.579 -0.5671
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 21 28.57% 18.0 0.913 47.62% -0.102 0.034
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 48 14.58% 16.27 -0.722 50.0% 0.371 0.4195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 37 8.11% 24.81 0.94 72.97% 0.176 -0.0395
Shifting Memory of Ages 42 26.19% 11.45 -5.878 33.33% -1.109 -0.8144
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 47 12.77% 22.11 0.714 63.83% 0.141 0.0225
Shroud of Silent Mist 57 28.07% 16.77 -2.91 56.14% -0.275 0.0527
Starlight Seeks its Form 114 13.16% 19.52 -1.049 57.89% -0.101 -0.2006
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 81 12.35% 18.95 -0.85 53.09% -0.111 -0.6411
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 82 21.95% 16.34 -2.091 45.12% -0.488 -0.4108
Thunderspeaker 41 19.51% 16.66 -0.458 41.46% -0.044 -0.0083
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 39 20.51% 23.23 0.774 64.1% 0.484 0.5422
Towering Roots of the Jungle 75 12.0% 18.93 -2.131 53.33% -0.54 -0.3901
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 59 40.68% 14.54 -2.504 44.07% -0.599 -0.4527
Vital Strength of the Earth 45 15.56% 25.31 1.308 62.22% -0.113 0.4547
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 23 21.74% 17.83 -0.375 43.48% -0.415 0.1057
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 23 4.35% 10.48 -3.341 21.74% -0.843 -0.1013
Volcano Looming High 70 17.14% 16.53 -0.88 50.0% 0.238 0.2529
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 88 13.64% 20.78 0.822 61.36% 0.437 0.1444

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 16.67% 23.25 3.993 66.67% 0.767 0.7395
Blitz 0 29 20.69% 14.1 -2.516 37.93% -0.461 -0.2107
Dahan Insurrection 4 24 25.0% 29.42 6.892 50.0% 0.259 0.0099
Despicable Theft 2 23 8.7% 17.09 -0.894 30.43% -0.787 -0.3253
Elemental Invocation 1 17 35.29% 13.18 1.507 29.41% -0.222 0.4806
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 59 3.39% 26.37 2.84 59.32% -0.316 -0.8686
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 13.04% 9.91 -5.279 17.39% -1.289 -0.6658
Rituals of Terror 3 11 9.09% 13.82 -2.35 27.27% -0.6 -0.4069
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 11 63.64% 20.91 -0.601 36.36% -0.41 0.5119
Second Wave 0 17 35.29% 15.53 -2.149 35.29% -0.454 -0.3368
The Great River 3 14 7.14% 18.0 2.196 35.71% -0.401 0.6669
Varied Terrains 2 14 28.57% 14.64 -0.957 28.57% -0.739 0.0024
Ward the Shores 2 46 6.52% 16.96 -2.492 39.13% -1.137 -0.0535

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1272 25.86% 20.91 0.238 63.92% 0.327 0.8537
1 Thematic 107 21.5% 19.99 0.611 46.73% 0.098 0.9519
2 Archipelago 6 16.67% 44.17 11.071 100.0% 0.637 1.6919
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 283 21.55% 21.01 0.732 57.95% -0.004 0.2737
2 Coastline 38 13.16% 24.58 4.135 76.32% 1.024 1.1261
2 Fragment 9 33.33% 20.78 1.975 66.67% 0.38 0.3926
2 Heart 3 0.0% 23.67 0.0 100.0%
2 Opposite Shores 49 20.41% 22.39 0.255 71.43% 0.048 0.3845
2 Thematic 47 19.15% 18.34 0.162 36.17% -0.272 0.4172
2 Top to Top 7 14.29% 20.43 -8.928 71.43% -0.479 -0.2368
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 7 14.29% 26.57 0.0 71.43%
3 Other 5 40.0% 30.2 5.029 100.0% 0.727 0.1247
3 Round (Default) 158 20.89% 21.05 1.246 64.56% 0.187 0.1927
3 Thematic 6 0.0% 39.17 14.604 100.0% 0.36 0.4447
4 Other 3 33.33% 28.0 16.341 100.0% 0.276 -0.3427
4 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 -6.276 0.0% -0.506 -0.2382
4 Trapezoid (Default) 138 4.35% 11.09 -4.667 27.54% -2.569 -2.4048
5 Other 9 11.11% 22.11 9.129 77.78% 0.501 0.1152
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 21.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 37.0 10.472 100.0% 0.228 -0.8821
6 Other 2 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 12 16.67% 17.0 -0.866 33.33% -0.27 -0.1671
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 16.67% 3.83 -7.338 16.67% -0.866 -0.3016

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 20 13.55 -4.792 35.0% -0.573 -0.324
Aid From Lesser Spirits 25 22.72 2.304 76.0% 0.661 0.5423
All Things Weaken 21 20.33 -1.423 71.43% -0.095 0.2423
Attenuated Essence 30 17.23 -3.387 46.67% -1.024 -0.9971
Back Against the Wall 15 26.8 6.576 80.0% 0.405 0.4062
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 29 15.21 -2.815 41.38% -0.991 -0.7736
Burn Brightest Before the End 14 29.43 0.459 78.57% 0.271 0.2522
Disintegrating Ecosystem 17 16.88 2.957 47.06% 1.034 1.427
Downward Spiral 15 15.93 0.285 60.0% 0.429 0.5376
Erosion of Will 23 22.87 0.919 73.91% -0.159 0.1928
Intensifying Exploitation 36 19.72 -0.582 55.56% -0.05 0.196
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 11 23.0 1.359 72.73% 0.466 -0.0576
Memory Fades to Dust 20 17.35 -0.188 65.0% 0.095 0.342
Power Corrodes the Spirit 29 21.17 1.562 55.17% 0.048 0.2701
Promising Farmlands 21 17.76 -0.32 57.14% -0.301 -0.0182
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 22.92 1.577 50.0% -0.528 -0.4515
Slow Dissolution of Will 28 13.57 -5.52 42.86% -1.222 -0.8249
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 16 28.75 5.025 68.75% 0.469 -0.2259
The Border of Life and Death 11 12.82 -3.086 45.45% -0.048 -0.6493
Thriving Communities 19 20.0 -2.015 57.89% -0.18 0.1761
Thriving Crops 17 18.0 -2.194 58.82% -0.279 -0.4758
Unnatural Proliferation 20 16.55 -1.208 35.0% -0.467 -0.3044
Untended Land Crumbles 30 20.63 0.934 66.67% 0.31 0.5417

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 434 21.2% 19.77 -0.792 58.29% -0.505 0.5
B 441 20.18% 19.95 0.131 59.64% -0.236 0.6831
C 447 18.79% 19.65 -1.116 58.17% -0.74 -0.0055
D 405 20.49% 18.6 -1.001 57.28% -0.511 0.4672
E 392 19.64% 19.51 -1.133 56.38% -0.571 0.2483
F 393 17.05% 19.49 -0.507 57.0% -0.568 0.3057
G 379 21.11% 18.88 -0.788 56.73% -0.502 0.307
H 346 20.23% 20.08 -0.232 57.51% -0.584 0.2307
East 108 22.22% 21.18 1.804 46.3% -0.155 0.7473
Northeast 54 22.22% 22.93 1.663 48.15% -0.204 0.6036
Northwest 53 18.87% 19.34 1.071 41.51% -0.46 0.4405
Southeast 42 26.19% 18.9 0.749 42.86% -0.07 0.7806
Southwest 39 20.51% 15.44 -4.115 41.03% -1.037 0.3389
West 107 17.76% 17.47 -1.143 39.25% -1.084 -0.1286

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 4.0 -9.841 0.0% -0.849 -0.4805
Skip Initial Invader Actions 54 7.41% 36.56 7.13 90.74% 1.482 0.8976
Start of Game Growth 72 6.94% 32.19 4.318 80.56% 0.59 0.0759
Unlimited Undo 138 13.77% 21.3 -1.191 58.7% -0.481 -0.5902
Using Tokens but Not Events 176 27.27% 20.72 -0.492 63.07% -0.018 -0.0433

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 715 13.33 7.55%
II 690 30.1 78.41%
III 555 34.83 89.55%
IV 214 38.67 98.6%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.278 Win Model: 0.667
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1437 25.12% 20.36 60.89%
2 392 20.92% 23.2 65.31%
3 169 21.3% 22.49 68.05%
4 146 4.79% 11.4 28.77%
5 9 22.22% 21.33 77.78%
6 21 14.29% 15.43 38.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 54
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 482
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 522
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 211
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 627
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 156
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 5
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 76
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 45 11.11% 33.56 -1.321 80.0% 0.067 -0.0387
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 49 24.49% 34.22 1.813 77.55% 0.454 -0.0259
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 18 22.22% 24.78 -7.001 55.56% -1.168 -1.0426
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 39 20.51% 38.92 4.232 84.62% 0.499 -0.3477
Dances Up Earthquakes 208 27.88% 29.03 -2.572 75.0% -0.411 -0.374
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 65 21.54% 33.91 0.753 78.46% 0.152 0.0157
Downpour Drenches the World 50 18.0% 27.9 -1.525 70.0% -0.267 -0.0606
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 94 9.57% 34.8 1.716 80.85% 0.454 -0.1565
Eyes Watch From the Trees 77 10.39% 37.25 4.118 85.71% 0.787 0.4114
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 64 18.75% 32.58 2.87 75.0% 0.82 0.4291
Finder of Paths Unseen 27 37.04% 17.07 -6.188 37.04% -1.438 -0.7189
Fractured Days Split the Sky 34 20.59% 27.76 -0.329 67.65% -0.098 0.5133
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 49 24.49% 28.96 -1.147 69.39% -0.151 -0.251
Heart of the Wildfire 54 38.89% 29.87 0.589 72.22% 0.294 0.6309
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 77 32.47% 35.49 2.981 84.42% 0.562 0.131
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 48 12.5% 34.79 4.384 77.08% 0.739 0.4245
Lightning's Swift Strike 14 21.43% 37.79 2.761 92.86% 0.228 0.4573
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 21 14.29% 34.76 1.548 85.71% 0.208 -0.2364
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 30 23.33% 40.23 5.361 93.33% 0.86 0.5491
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 19 5.26% 39.63 3.582 84.21% 0.619 0.4766
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 78 21.79% 32.49 2.404 75.64% 0.546 0.3177
Many Minds Move as One 49 26.53% 33.61 0.092 73.47% -0.202 -0.4447
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 54 18.52% 22.85 -3.887 46.3% -0.824 -0.7151
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 379 38.79% 27.97 1.755 75.2% 1.031 1.1492
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 74 29.73% 31.68 3.845 77.03% 0.661 0.6152
River Surges in Sunlight 36 22.22% 30.92 1.713 77.78% 0.179 0.3092
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 26.47% 32.88 3.583 73.53% 0.305 0.481
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 19 31.58% 29.05 -5.603 63.16% -0.743 -0.445
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 46 23.91% 26.63 -3.006 52.17% -0.227 -0.3104
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 18 27.78% 30.5 -2.099 61.11% -0.513 -0.6238
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 104 28.85% 30.78 -4.864 75.0% -0.76 -0.8776
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6 66.67% 28.0 -1.238 83.33% 0.249 0.7437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 42.86% 27.29 0.723 57.14% -0.188 -0.2393
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 41 21.95% 36.83 4.019 85.37% 0.6 0.0895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 25.0% 16.13 -5.784 37.5% -0.714 -0.8419
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 7 28.57% 27.43 1.239 71.43% 0.055 0.0672
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 8 50.0% 22.88 -4.1 50.0% -0.58 -0.4448
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 37 18.92% 25.3 -0.15 56.76% -0.188 -0.1391
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 55 10.91% 32.22 1.524 78.18% 0.311 0.0962
Shifting Memory of Ages 27 25.93% 23.26 -3.876 59.26% -0.474 -0.1793
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 33 30.3% 30.88 0.622 72.73% 0.169 0.0511
Shroud of Silent Mist 41 46.34% 29.22 -0.721 70.73% -0.024 0.3036
Starlight Seeks its Form 73 20.55% 28.71 -1.466 69.86% -0.251 -0.3507
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 130 26.15% 28.71 2.495 76.15% 0.955 0.4251
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 56 17.86% 28.36 -0.721 66.07% -0.338 -0.2613
Thunderspeaker 54 24.07% 33.67 2.228 74.07% 0.407 0.443
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 33 39.39% 26.33 0.236 57.58% -0.079 -0.0206
Towering Roots of the Jungle 58 24.14% 27.86 1.261 68.97% 0.371 0.5203
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 68 52.94% 26.44 -0.3 66.18% 0.215 0.3611
Vital Strength of the Earth 30 30.0% 31.6 0.562 70.0% -0.062 0.5057
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 17 35.29% 22.47 -12.119 52.94% -1.567 -1.0457
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 20 45.0% 22.4 -5.017 60.0% -0.566 0.1749
Volcano Looming High 69 40.58% 24.94 -3.164 62.32% -0.707 -0.6927
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 60 23.33% 30.5 -0.123 71.67% -0.042 -0.3343

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 12.5% 25.25 -3.492 50.0% -0.355 -0.3823
Blitz 0 19 10.53% 10.21 -7.439 26.32% -1.044 -0.794
Dahan Insurrection 4 47 25.53% 30.66 1.931 40.43% -0.242 -0.4912
Despicable Theft 2 16 25.0% 22.81 -1.499 43.75% -0.57 -0.1083
Elemental Invocation 1 17 35.29% 20.53 -0.803 35.29% -0.045 0.6574
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 52 7.69% 33.65 2.82 71.15% -0.046 -0.5986
Powers Long Forgotten 1 15 26.67% 14.53 -6.976 20.0% -0.881 -0.2572
Rituals of Terror 3 6 33.33% 28.17 0.106 50.0% -0.267 -0.0737
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 20.0% 10.0 -6.784 20.0% -0.663 0.2591
Second Wave 0 73 49.32% 31.48 2.524 68.49% 0.402 0.5191
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.943 0.0% -0.65 0.4185
Varied Terrains 2 11 45.45% 24.55 -3.364 36.36% -1.016 -0.2749
Ward the Shores 2 12 25.0% 20.83 -7.652 33.33% -1.157 -0.0729

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 942 27.6% 30.33 -0.125 73.89% -0.072 0.4549
1 Thematic 96 32.29% 27.96 0.654 54.17% -0.204 0.6504
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 209 26.79% 29.64 -0.09 74.16% -0.232 0.0459
2 Coastline 23 21.74% 32.57 0.643 78.26% -0.068 0.0347
2 Fragment 15 26.67% 34.27 4.491 80.0% 0.815 0.8282
2 Heart 6 0.0% 32.17 0.669 83.33% 0.068 0.1793
2 Opposite Shores 39 20.51% 34.23 3.142 87.18% 0.352 0.6881
2 Thematic 212 25.94% 20.88 -4.187 50.94% -1.067 -0.3771
2 Top to Top 9 44.44% 35.0 2.967 88.89% 0.477 0.7186
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 37.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 5 20.0% 31.2 1.411 80.0% 0.202 -0.3998
3 Round (Default) 134 35.82% 32.12 0.876 79.85% -0.255 -0.2494
3 Thematic 11 18.18% 29.09 4.11 63.64% 0.532 0.6162
4 Other 1 0.0% 44.0 6.537 100.0% 0.413 -0.2061
4 Thematic 4 0.0% 38.25 1.332 50.0% -0.301 -0.0333
4 Trapezoid (Default) 52 23.08% 32.0 -1.233 76.92% -0.537 -0.3733
5 Other 15 20.0% 35.33 -2.488 93.33% -0.52 -0.9061
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 8 25.0% 37.88 0.825 75.0% -0.104 -0.0012
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 11.11% 50.56 7.662 88.89% 0.075 0.6396

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 26 29.69 0.314 73.08% -0.258 -0.0083
Aid From Lesser Spirits 27 31.59 4.251 70.37% 0.729 0.6106
All Things Weaken 16 28.06 0.845 62.5% -0.305 0.0323
Attenuated Essence 24 26.63 5.118 66.67% 0.217 0.2438
Back Against the Wall 10 25.9 -2.523 60.0% -0.437 -0.436
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 25 27.76 -2.41 76.0% -0.26 -0.0427
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 28.5 -1.079 56.25% -0.361 -0.3801
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11 22.27 -7.722 63.64% -0.873 -0.4799
Downward Spiral 24 35.75 5.422 83.33% 0.758 0.8664
Erosion of Will 25 28.4 0.568 64.0% -0.127 0.2255
Intensifying Exploitation 23 24.35 -3.347 56.52% -0.489 -0.2431
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 9 29.89 4.019 88.89% 0.64 0.1156
Memory Fades to Dust 28 31.39 4.059 75.0% 0.679 0.9265
Power Corrodes the Spirit 36 30.81 1.663 80.56% 0.39 0.6118
Promising Farmlands 20 20.25 -1.529 45.0% -0.241 0.0419
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 24.36 -5.808 68.18% -0.219 -0.1426
Slow Dissolution of Will 21 27.0 -2.097 66.67% -0.622 -0.2248
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 12 33.0 5.89 91.67% 0.667 -0.0285
The Border of Life and Death 13 35.69 13.771 84.62% 1.321 0.7204
Thriving Communities 38 27.5 0.541 73.68% 0.122 0.4781
Thriving Crops 16 32.25 -0.047 81.25% -0.081 -0.2768
Unnatural Proliferation 24 26.29 -0.074 62.5% -0.337 -0.1749
Untended Land Crumbles 28 26.04 1.251 67.86% 0.565 0.7963

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 305 23.61% 31.27 0.402 76.39% -0.111 0.8941
B 321 26.48% 31.84 -0.251 77.26% -0.202 0.7179
C 313 27.16% 33.22 1.643 81.79% 0.526 1.2601
D 322 29.5% 30.26 -0.002 74.22% -0.1 0.8782
E 316 31.01% 31.77 0.566 77.22% -0.027 0.7926
F 268 26.12% 32.01 1.193 77.61% 0.173 1.0471
G 214 21.03% 30.68 0.151 74.3% -0.053 0.7558
H 277 30.69% 31.72 -0.649 77.26% -0.264 0.5505
East 252 26.59% 24.23 -1.194 56.75% -0.349 0.5533
Northeast 203 26.11% 23.97 -0.56 58.62% -0.382 0.4257
Northwest 182 24.73% 23.81 0.561 57.14% 0.006 0.906
Southeast 38 18.42% 26.89 -0.557 55.26% 0.008 0.8584
Southwest 42 23.81% 20.64 -5.939 40.48% -1.213 0.1622
West 255 25.49% 23.42 -1.338 52.94% -0.639 0.316

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 34 5.88% 46.47 6.008 97.06% 1.154 0.5693
Start of Game Growth 42 7.14% 42.88 4.629 90.48% 0.786 0.2723
Unlimited Undo 146 14.38% 32.35 1.833 74.66% 0.39 0.2805
Using Tokens but Not Events 119 21.01% 33.75 1.863 82.35% 0.367 0.3411

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 456 13.33 11.4%
II 683 30.1 86.97%
III 524 34.83 95.99%
IV 135 38.67 99.26%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.261 Win Model: 0.214
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1063 27.75% 29.6 70.65%
2 501 26.35% 27.73 68.86%
3 143 34.27% 32.07 80.42%
4 56 21.43% 32.45 75.0%
5 17 23.53% 32.12 82.35%
6 18 11.11% 45.94 88.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 52
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 496
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 575
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 133
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 391
Lose: Adversary condition 52
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 4
Win: Scenario condition 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 64
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 42 14.29% 24.74 -0.891 52.38% -0.108 -0.2131
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 49 20.41% 37.61 1.183 81.63% 0.347 -0.1333
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 16 31.25% 38.63 7.762 81.25% 0.618 0.7433
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 30 50.0% 36.27 2.226 70.0% 0.202 -0.645
Dances Up Earthquakes 162 35.19% 33.53 1.269 74.07% 0.222 0.2587
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 44 22.73% 31.66 1.41 68.18% 0.152 0.0154
Downpour Drenches the World 41 24.39% 24.93 -2.233 53.66% -0.535 -0.3288
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 116 23.28% 34.34 0.087 76.72% 0.15 -0.4613
Eyes Watch From the Trees 83 21.69% 33.75 1.948 71.08% 0.317 -0.0585
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 50 34.0% 32.56 -1.697 68.0% -0.239 -0.6292
Finder of Paths Unseen 22 27.27% 16.59 -3.664 27.27% -0.808 -0.0887
Fractured Days Split the Sky 36 30.56% 27.78 -2.218 52.78% -0.672 -0.0608
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 56 35.71% 27.91 -0.022 55.36% 0.062 -0.0375
Heart of the Wildfire 59 45.76% 32.41 0.649 69.49% 0.228 0.5646
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 65 40.0% 32.06 -1.59 67.69% -0.469 -0.8995
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 62 27.42% 31.45 0.559 70.97% 0.048 -0.2662
Lightning's Swift Strike 18 38.89% 29.5 -4.455 55.56% -0.794 -0.5647
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 18 27.78% 43.11 6.756 88.89% 0.728 0.2835
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 22 27.27% 34.64 0.001 77.27% 0.226 -0.0849
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 28 14.29% 31.61 0.859 64.29% 0.102 -0.0408
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 74 21.62% 33.84 0.989 68.92% 0.137 -0.0911
Many Minds Move as One 44 25.0% 25.39 -2.169 54.55% -0.523 -0.7658
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34 26.47% 28.82 0.23 52.94% -0.212 -0.1034
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 206 45.15% 29.53 -3.241 67.48% -0.502 -0.3831
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 51 35.29% 29.35 0.575 62.75% 0.105 0.0585
River Surges in Sunlight 54 38.89% 37.59 3.406 72.22% 0.29 0.4204
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 27 29.63% 30.7 -1.209 62.96% -0.088 0.0873
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 14 35.71% 22.29 -4.306 35.71% -0.875 -0.577
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 31 19.35% 34.94 -0.719 74.19% -0.128 -0.2115
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 32 34.38% 29.91 -0.058 65.63% -0.14 -0.2514
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 70 21.43% 30.74 -1.705 68.57% -0.133 -0.2515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 37.0 6.155 75.0% 0.507 1.0019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 66.67% 16.33 0.116 33.33% 0.1 0.0484
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 38 26.32% 33.89 3.576 71.05% 0.581 0.0702
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 12.5% 28.13 -0.741 62.5% 0.251 0.1229
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 4 75.0% 15.0 -4.589 25.0% -0.465 -0.4528
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 75.0% 26.0 1.053 50.0% -0.036 0.1
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 39 25.64% 27.05 -7.727 58.97% -1.033 -0.9841
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 34 17.65% 35.0 4.545 73.53% 0.645 0.4299
Shifting Memory of Ages 19 26.32% 32.16 -1.006 73.68% -0.104 0.1905
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 46 28.26% 27.37 1.775 56.52% 0.259 0.1404
Shroud of Silent Mist 35 48.57% 20.34 -3.75 42.86% -0.698 -0.3707
Starlight Seeks its Form 83 36.14% 27.34 1.209 53.01% 0.172 0.0728
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 82 23.17% 31.43 1.449 73.17% 0.493 -0.0372
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 49 20.41% 33.41 3.216 69.39% 0.74 0.8173
Thunderspeaker 32 28.13% 31.28 2.684 59.38% 0.418 0.4538
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 38.89% 30.72 -2.566 72.22% -0.193 -0.1343
Towering Roots of the Jungle 86 26.74% 24.41 -1.683 54.65% -0.166 -0.0167
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 81 71.6% 32.85 1.059 74.07% 0.343 0.489
Vital Strength of the Earth 43 32.56% 37.93 2.607 74.42% 0.066 0.6342
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 16 18.75% 27.69 1.612 62.5% 0.421 0.9422
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 17 41.18% 26.65 2.118 52.94% 0.163 0.9048
Volcano Looming High 48 31.25% 27.96 -2.809 62.5% -0.271 -0.256
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 66 34.85% 30.55 3.579 63.64% 0.572 0.2802

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 32.5 1.088 75.0% 0.189 0.1622
Blitz 0 16 25.0% 27.56 -6.569 56.25% -0.777 -0.5264
Dahan Insurrection 4 11 27.27% 58.0 8.428 81.82% -0.011 -0.2598
Despicable Theft 2 8 12.5% 13.25 -5.31 25.0% -0.629 -0.1667
Elemental Invocation 1 14 14.29% 7.79 -14.892 14.29% -1.321 -0.6187
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 54 14.81% 33.31 0.775 61.11% -0.36 -0.9124
Powers Long Forgotten 1 14 7.14% 4.29 -9.132 7.14% -0.766 -0.1423
Rituals of Terror 3 4 25.0% 0.0 -15.01 0.0% -0.913 -0.7201
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 5 40.0% 32.4 1.463 60.0% 0.035 0.9576
Second Wave 0 57 38.6% 32.39 2.247 64.91% 0.2 0.3175
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 8.0 0.0 0.0%
Varied Terrains 2 8 62.5% 20.13 -5.529 25.0% -0.842 -0.1008
Ward the Shores 2 8 37.5% 20.75 -8.053 25.0% -0.8 0.2842

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 884 38.69% 31.03 0.469 66.97% 0.438 0.9642
1 Thematic 59 33.9% 21.31 -2.197 33.9% -0.153 0.7014
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 227 30.4% 33.36 1.875 71.81% 0.519 0.7965
2 Coastline 26 23.08% 37.23 -0.438 80.77% 0.125 0.2272
2 Fragment 6 83.33% 42.0 5.78 100.0% 0.451 0.4635
2 Heart 5 40.0% 40.6 3.484 100.0% 0.217 0.3287
2 Opposite Shores 40 35.0% 31.1 1.397 67.5% 0.206 0.5425
2 Thematic 30 13.33% 12.9 -5.421 23.33% -0.565 0.1244
2 Top to Top 15 40.0% 33.07 -0.398 73.33% -0.065 0.1774
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.045 0.0% -0.521 -1.2412
3 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 3.535 0.0% 0.287 -0.3153
3 Round (Default) 156 25.64% 29.64 -1.462 64.74% -0.537 -0.5312
3 Thematic 8 50.0% 25.5 6.468 50.0% 1.082 1.1665
4 Other 4 0.0% 13.75 12.548 25.0% 0.269 -0.3504
4 Thematic 7 71.43% 25.14 -4.121 28.57% -0.3 -0.0322
4 Trapezoid (Default) 38 26.32% 31.03 -6.848 71.05% -1.482 -1.3182
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 6 16.67% 40.33 7.607 100.0% 0.395 0.0091
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 2 100.0% 44.5 7.105 100.0% 0.37 0.3396
6 Star 6 16.67% 32.5 3.244 66.67% -0.168 -0.185
6 Thematic 11 9.09% 32.27 -1.281 54.55% -0.578 -0.4754
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 25.0% 35.38 0.0 62.5%

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 23 36.61 5.191 73.91% 0.527 0.7767
Aid From Lesser Spirits 17 31.65 4.114 58.82% 0.489 0.3708
All Things Weaken 16 26.75 1.745 56.25% 0.069 0.406
Attenuated Essence 25 28.4 3.42 64.0% 0.614 0.6408
Back Against the Wall 18 25.44 1.153 50.0% 0.07 0.0712
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 31 31.39 3.006 64.52% 0.068 0.2856
Burn Brightest Before the End 18 36.44 8.367 77.78% 0.703 0.6846
Disintegrating Ecosystem 21 22.95 -1.462 52.38% -0.092 0.3009
Downward Spiral 29 34.1 5.636 75.86% 0.887 0.9949
Erosion of Will 25 36.16 7.722 80.0% 1.485 1.8374
Intensifying Exploitation 27 25.67 -5.092 51.85% -0.951 -0.7058
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 9 35.0 4.153 88.89% 0.833 0.3085
Memory Fades to Dust 39 33.03 0.924 74.36% 0.16 0.4071
Power Corrodes the Spirit 28 32.21 0.007 60.71% -0.039 0.1827
Promising Farmlands 27 29.0 -2.191 55.56% -0.551 -0.2679
Shattered Fragments of Power 21 21.86 -5.917 38.1% -1.235 -1.1586
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 31.1 -2.108 66.67% -0.531 -0.1338
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 6 21.5 -6.813 50.0% -0.54 -1.2349
The Border of Life and Death 6 44.33 7.955 100.0% 0.886 0.2855
Thriving Communities 28 31.82 0.642 71.43% 0.259 0.6152
Thriving Crops 23 31.09 -2.593 73.91% -0.305 -0.5014
Unnatural Proliferation 32 31.16 -3.072 62.5% -0.953 -0.7907
Untended Land Crumbles 39 28.38 -1.645 61.54% -0.235 -0.0037

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 308 32.47% 31.95 1.027 69.81% 0.137 1.1414
B 303 33.33% 31.7 0.503 68.98% 0.051 0.9709
C 321 31.46% 33.13 0.857 72.59% 0.104 0.8384
D 301 33.55% 30.53 -0.824 66.45% -0.389 0.589
E 305 30.16% 31.4 0.233 67.54% -0.066 0.7542
F 266 34.59% 31.1 -1.572 65.79% -0.688 0.1857
G 233 33.91% 30.65 0.889 68.24% 0.311 1.1205
H 273 29.3% 31.58 0.338 67.77% -0.097 0.7181
East 77 31.17% 23.58 0.381 37.66% -0.193 0.7099
Northeast 47 25.53% 22.7 -2.092 36.17% -0.459 0.3489
Northwest 48 27.08% 20.85 -4.814 33.33% -1.201 -0.3008
Southeast 32 31.25% 24.0 -2.961 37.5% -0.669 0.1817
Southwest 31 29.03% 20.81 -1.581 35.48% -0.148 1.2276
West 80 31.25% 20.11 0.108 33.75% -0.036 0.9186

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 31 12.9% 47.68 7.046 87.1% 0.779 0.1942
Start of Game Growth 42 11.9% 44.07 8.229 78.57% 1.043 0.5287
Unlimited Undo 130 23.08% 28.48 -0.993 60.0% -0.388 -0.4971
Using Tokens but Not Events 131 24.43% 26.15 -2.295 58.02% -0.249 -0.2744

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 389 13.33 1.8%
II 521 30.1 76.39%
III 556 34.83 94.96%
IV 80 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.271 Win Model: 0.471
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 966 38.1% 30.13 64.29%
2 338 31.66% 32.26 69.23%
3 158 24.68% 29.97 65.82%
4 50 34.0% 29.62 64.0%
5 9 22.22% 28.78 66.67%
6 25 20.0% 35.08 64.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 522
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 390
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 78
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 349
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 88
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 7
Win: Scenario condition 11
Lose: Blight pool ran out 82
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 59 35.59% 37.61 -0.587 74.58% -0.304 -0.4099
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 80 43.75% 37.5 2.875 76.25% 0.974 0.4938
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 19 68.42% 33.37 -0.014 68.42% 0.25 0.3758
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 52 46.15% 40.77 2.555 78.85% 0.308 -0.539
Dances Up Earthquakes 313 45.69% 34.18 -1.156 70.29% -0.154 -0.1173
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 56 50.0% 33.71 -1.508 64.29% -0.325 -0.4614
Downpour Drenches the World 61 36.07% 30.8 -2.052 62.3% -0.085 0.1213
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 158 33.54% 37.55 2.164 77.22% 0.526 -0.085
Eyes Watch From the Trees 149 26.17% 40.46 2.867 79.87% 0.452 0.0767
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 46 50.0% 28.67 -3.594 54.35% -0.539 -0.9297
Finder of Paths Unseen 33 30.3% 23.85 -2.714 42.42% -0.474 0.2459
Fractured Days Split the Sky 26 19.23% 34.92 -0.476 69.23% -0.034 0.5774
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 56 51.79% 32.07 -2.443 60.71% -0.526 -0.6253
Heart of the Wildfire 65 55.38% 24.18 -2.503 50.77% -0.21 0.1268
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 165 32.32% 36.55 1.311 70.91% 0.283 -0.1472
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 84 22.62% 38.43 2.256 78.57% 0.476 0.1614
Lightning's Swift Strike 24 41.67% 32.63 -5.128 70.83% -0.773 -0.5428
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 31 38.71% 39.84 4.671 77.42% 0.796 0.3519
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 23 52.17% 44.61 3.813 86.96% 0.559 0.2484
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 30 43.33% 30.27 0.821 60.0% 0.046 -0.0964
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 119 38.66% 36.44 1.839 65.55% 0.224 -0.0037
Many Minds Move as One 61 24.59% 34.28 0.082 65.57% -0.398 -0.6411
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 49 42.86% 38.8 4.539 75.51% 1.034 1.1431
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 421 53.44% 31.56 -1.444 67.22% -0.019 0.0995
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 81 29.63% 30.37 -0.335 61.73% 0.092 0.0461
River Surges in Sunlight 54 44.44% 41.76 3.361 77.78% 0.416 0.5462
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 51 43.14% 32.39 -4.75 60.78% -0.713 -0.5369
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 12 50.0% 30.83 2.958 58.33% 0.399 0.6964
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 51 47.06% 38.2 1.053 62.75% -0.189 -0.2728
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 85 22.35% 35.71 0.894 65.88% 0.179 0.068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 152 38.16% 29.99 -3.561 59.87% -0.758 -0.876
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9 66.67% 23.56 0.081 44.44% -0.12 0.3749
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 66.67% 30.17 0.861 66.67% 0.072 0.0205
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 64 40.63% 33.95 -1.238 70.31% -0.182 -0.6922
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 7 14.29% 20.29 -8.343 42.86% -0.866 -0.9939
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 10 50.0% 31.9 0.267 60.0% -0.137 -0.1254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 12 50.0% 23.17 0.658 33.33% 0.09 0.2254
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 47 31.91% 33.26 -2.832 68.09% -0.3 -0.2519
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 54 46.3% 37.85 2.701 74.07% 0.523 0.308
Shifting Memory of Ages 25 56.0% 28.6 -2.102 60.0% -0.128 0.1662
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 63 47.62% 39.6 4.196 76.19% 0.422 0.3039
Shroud of Silent Mist 39 51.28% 29.18 -2.311 58.97% -0.209 0.1187
Starlight Seeks its Form 124 37.1% 35.6 1.78 71.77% 0.428 0.3283
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 131 26.72% 30.97 0.005 65.65% 0.258 -0.2724
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 75 41.33% 29.76 -1.406 60.0% -0.264 -0.1871
Thunderspeaker 35 28.57% 36.11 -0.522 71.43% -0.283 -0.247
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 30 40.0% 32.47 0.285 66.67% -0.008 0.0503
Towering Roots of the Jungle 133 48.87% 31.33 -1.208 61.65% -0.321 -0.171
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 128 53.91% 33.59 -1.202 68.75% -0.184 -0.0381
Vital Strength of the Earth 39 48.72% 38.46 2.662 66.67% 0.028 0.5957
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 45 62.22% 25.51 -3.396 44.44% -0.503 0.0177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 41 39.02% 20.61 -4.756 41.46% -0.159 0.5828
Volcano Looming High 92 45.65% 31.75 -0.355 59.78% -0.115 -0.1001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 81 37.04% 38.35 2.532 75.31% 0.483 0.1907

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 15.0 -23.915 33.33% -0.727 -0.7541
Blitz 0 11 45.45% 11.91 -5.824 18.18% -0.575 -0.3244
Dahan Insurrection 4 21 28.57% 46.14 4.004 52.38% -0.393 -0.642
Despicable Theft 2 6 33.33% 13.67 -0.183 16.67% -0.229 0.233
Elemental Invocation 1 9 33.33% 15.11 -6.084 22.22% -0.879 -0.1765
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 87 11.49% 33.15 -0.647 55.17% -0.631 -1.184
Powers Long Forgotten 1 8 50.0% 17.25 -13.178 25.0% -1.562 -0.9383
Rituals of Terror 3 3 66.67% 61.0 10.664 100.0% 0.389 0.582
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 33.33% 0.0 -14.892 0.0% -0.518 0.4045
Second Wave 0 38 57.89% 26.08 -4.025 44.74% -0.803 -0.686
The Great River 3 7 0.0% 10.14 -9.086 0.0% -1.661 -0.5927
Varied Terrains 2 11 9.09% 13.09 -8.364 18.18% -0.618 0.1236
Ward the Shores 2 8 37.5% 36.25 -5.771 62.5% -1.157 -0.0732

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1338 42.33% 34.79 1.093 69.66% 0.087 0.6132
1 Thematic 72 61.11% 24.0 -1.607 36.11% -0.354 0.5001
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 297 44.78% 36.8 0.841 75.08% 0.182 0.4595
2 Coastline 34 44.12% 40.68 5.309 88.24% 0.937 1.0399
2 Fragment 3 0.0% 40.67 0.0 100.0%
2 Heart 6 83.33% 28.17 0.0 50.0%
2 Opposite Shores 57 36.84% 32.23 2.688 66.67% 0.583 0.9196
2 Thematic 163 48.47% 18.36 -3.79 37.42% -0.907 -0.2174
2 Top to Top 18 44.44% 34.33 0.26 66.67% 0.0 0.2425
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 13.281 0.0% 0.237 -0.1036
3 Other 2 50.0% 60.5 10.664 100.0% 0.389 -0.2129
3 Round (Default) 184 41.85% 35.76 1.692 73.37% 0.28 0.2864
3 Thematic 9 66.67% 36.44 2.272 55.56% -0.009 0.0754
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -18.966 0.0% -0.638 -0.4872
4 Other 11 63.64% 38.91 3.982 72.73% 0.369 -0.2496
4 Thematic 10 20.0% 24.5 3.506 40.0% 0.421 0.6888
4 Trapezoid (Default) 99 30.3% 38.82 -1.527 76.77% -0.433 -0.2687
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.576 0.0% -0.213 -0.1169
5 Other 24 8.33% 38.21 -0.942 70.83% -0.452 -0.8381
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 0.0% 31.0 5.911 60.0% 0.259 0.2282
6 Star 5 60.0% 46.6 5.575 100.0% 0.55 0.5328
6 Thematic 8 75.0% 22.88 -0.181 12.5% -0.427 -0.3243
6 Two Centers (Default) 17 35.29% 27.12 -5.129 52.94% -0.836 -0.2714

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 41 36.15 1.403 73.17% 0.07 0.3191
Aid From Lesser Spirits 34 30.53 -3.912 58.82% -0.916 -1.0342
All Things Weaken 45 32.22 -0.864 57.78% -0.627 -0.29
Attenuated Essence 50 34.34 1.079 68.0% 0.325 0.3515
Back Against the Wall 34 37.71 3.858 73.53% 0.722 0.7233
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 48 29.65 -5.87 58.33% -1.202 -0.9847
Burn Brightest Before the End 43 36.14 1.941 76.74% 0.743 0.7249
Disintegrating Ecosystem 47 31.28 -1.474 68.09% -0.128 0.2649
Downward Spiral 48 40.35 4.25 85.42% 1.051 1.1594
Erosion of Will 50 30.46 -4.153 58.0% -0.757 -0.4046
Intensifying Exploitation 70 33.74 2.55 68.57% 0.566 0.8113
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 29 43.66 7.237 86.21% 0.908 0.3842
Memory Fades to Dust 51 31.0 -1.186 62.75% -0.185 0.0626
Power Corrodes the Spirit 62 32.73 0.695 66.13% 0.016 0.2374
Promising Farmlands 49 33.92 -2.147 65.31% -0.457 -0.1741
Shattered Fragments of Power 38 34.13 -0.289 68.42% -0.045 0.032
Slow Dissolution of Will 64 35.16 -0.081 68.75% -0.273 0.1237
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 12 44.08 4.592 100.0% 0.703 0.0082
The Border of Life and Death 13 29.38 -0.068 61.54% 0.145 -0.4558
Thriving Communities 55 32.29 1.577 63.64% 0.299 0.656
Thriving Crops 21 40.71 3.93 85.71% 0.816 0.6198
Unnatural Proliferation 53 32.11 0.012 62.26% -0.101 0.0613
Untended Land Crumbles 55 32.6 -0.631 67.27% 0.198 0.4297

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 440 37.73% 33.99 -0.24 67.73% -0.204 0.8011
B 441 41.82% 33.7 -1.93 69.16% -0.414 0.5055
C 548 41.24% 36.26 0.313 72.99% -0.071 0.6636
D 441 42.18% 34.2 -0.155 69.84% -0.134 0.8443
E 452 32.08% 35.98 1.527 71.46% 0.092 0.9112
F 381 42.52% 37.06 0.604 73.23% -0.083 0.7904
G 387 43.41% 37.07 1.973 73.39% 0.152 0.9617
H 375 38.13% 37.87 2.356 77.6% 0.576 1.3911
East 212 50.0% 22.14 -2.929 41.04% -0.708 0.1948
Northeast 181 50.83% 21.91 -1.708 41.99% 0.291 1.0992
Northwest 113 47.79% 21.15 -2.056 38.94% -0.354 0.546
Southeast 26 50.0% 21.0 -0.738 23.08% -0.075 0.7757
Southwest 48 62.5% 13.4 -6.696 14.58% -1.485 -0.1096
West 169 53.25% 19.78 -2.001 33.73% -0.743 0.2117

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.841 0.0% -0.5 0.2077
Skip Initial Invader Actions 38 31.58% 43.82 3.366 78.95% -0.195 -0.7799
Start of Game Growth 75 22.67% 44.52 3.412 78.67% 0.708 0.1943
Unlimited Undo 239 34.03% 35.29 1.095 71.55% 0.306 0.1963
Using Tokens but Not Events 181 37.78% 36.02 -2.577 75.69% -0.609 -0.6347

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 504 13.33 0.2%
II 537 30.1 59.96%
III 1111 34.83 95.05%
IV 215 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.079 Win Model: 0.038
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1427 42.92% 33.98 67.41%
2 566 45.94% 31.75 65.02%
3 195 43.59% 35.96 72.82%
4 118 32.2% 37.78 73.73%
5 26 7.69% 35.27 65.38%
6 35 42.86% 29.49 51.43%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1045
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 313
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 214
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 496
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 104
Win: Sacrifice victory 6
Lose: Scenario condition 28
Win: Scenario condition 15
Lose: Blight pool ran out 128
Lose: Spirit destroyed 11

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 56 57.14% 34.04 -1.185 50.0% -0.329 -0.4348
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 92 52.17% 40.47 2.774 65.22% 0.617 0.1366
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 18 66.67% 39.83 -7.711 61.11% -0.705 -0.5796
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 44 50.0% 45.5 2.562 75.0% 0.375 -0.472
Dances Up Earthquakes 258 49.22% 38.09 -1.254 61.24% -0.206 -0.1694
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 71 57.75% 38.31 0.127 60.56% 0.092 -0.0446
Downpour Drenches the World 93 45.16% 35.47 1.586 51.61% 0.141 0.3473
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 190 51.58% 40.23 2.641 63.16% 0.461 -0.1495
Eyes Watch From the Trees 134 41.79% 41.34 -0.49 66.42% -0.201 -0.5767
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 59 49.15% 37.97 4.392 59.32% 0.908 0.5178
Finder of Paths Unseen 36 58.33% 26.78 -2.061 44.44% -0.164 0.556
Fractured Days Split the Sky 26 30.77% 38.12 4.222 57.69% 0.427 1.038
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 86 56.98% 35.93 1.185 54.65% 0.164 0.0639
Heart of the Wildfire 88 71.59% 29.82 -2.344 42.05% -0.478 -0.1408
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 145 42.76% 44.83 2.164 73.1% 0.434 0.0033
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 81 44.44% 41.25 0.704 67.9% 0.175 -0.1399
Lightning's Swift Strike 27 77.78% 32.11 -3.607 40.74% -0.498 -0.2682
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 53 60.38% 38.7 -1.193 62.26% -0.247 -0.6915
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 21 38.1% 54.05 10.163 90.48% 0.612 0.3012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 39 38.46% 43.49 2.871 66.67% 0.205 0.0629
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 164 47.56% 41.5 2.262 68.29% 0.43 0.2017
Many Minds Move as One 71 36.62% 39.48 -1.354 63.38% -0.14 -0.383
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 46 41.3% 42.5 2.796 63.04% 0.054 0.163
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 408 66.34% 35.85 -3.344 57.35% -0.618 -0.4991
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 77 61.04% 35.23 -0.148 57.14% 0.148 0.1019
River Surges in Sunlight 38 55.26% 39.84 2.582 63.16% 0.363 0.4934
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 44 40.91% 33.05 -2.162 54.55% -0.198 -0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 16 75.0% 18.25 -7.871 12.5% -1.203 -0.9052
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 87 62.07% 44.8 2.393 71.26% 0.575 0.491
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 97 44.33% 40.23 1.434 62.89% 0.105 -0.0061
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 123 43.9% 45.08 -0.164 73.98% 0.053 -0.0652
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3 0.0% 36.67 -1.601 66.67% -0.036 0.4591
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 80.0% 39.3 0.708 50.0% -0.188 -0.2388
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 57 57.89% 44.25 4.936 71.93% 0.57 0.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 75.0% 36.67 7.888 41.67% 0.758 0.6303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 3 66.67% 33.67 0.989 33.33% -0.139 -0.1276
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 100.0% 22.25 9.367 25.0% 0.372 0.5078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 29 37.93% 34.45 1.976 51.72% 0.381 0.4301
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 34 61.76% 41.88 4.046 70.59% 0.933 0.7181
Shifting Memory of Ages 38 78.95% 37.08 0.898 55.26% 0.305 0.5989
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 85 43.53% 41.61 2.935 68.24% 0.572 0.4536
Shroud of Silent Mist 32 65.63% 30.16 -2.01 50.0% 0.019 0.3472
Starlight Seeks its Form 206 50.49% 39.96 4.226 65.53% 0.93 0.8309
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 152 40.79% 31.2 -2.341 50.0% -0.241 -0.771
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 57 54.39% 31.88 -2.185 50.88% -0.324 -0.2465
Thunderspeaker 51 56.86% 37.8 -0.361 58.82% -0.003 0.0332
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 18 61.11% 36.0 -6.479 50.0% -1.183 -1.1247
Towering Roots of the Jungle 153 62.75% 30.2 -4.84 42.48% -0.88 -0.7304
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 118 69.49% 36.53 0.111 57.63% -0.096 0.0497
Vital Strength of the Earth 22 59.09% 23.77 -6.359 31.82% -0.569 -0.001
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 42 57.14% 33.45 -3.75 42.86% -0.782 -0.2614
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 23 47.83% 28.09 -5.772 39.13% -1.037 -0.2959
Volcano Looming High 121 63.64% 35.37 -0.7 51.24% -0.261 -0.2462
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 114 65.79% 35.89 -1.659 52.63% -0.503 -0.7949

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 8 62.5% 19.0 -11.05 12.5% -0.675 -0.4244
Dahan Insurrection 4 11 45.45% 45.73 -13.691 54.55% -0.926 -1.1747
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 31.67 -14.087 33.33% -0.215 0.2473
Elemental Invocation 1 4 25.0% 6.5 -12.538 0.0% -1.167 -0.4641
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 87 22.99% 36.28 -0.865 48.28% -0.579 -1.1313
Powers Long Forgotten 1 10 60.0% 14.6 -10.523 0.0% -1.722 -1.0982
Rituals of Terror 3 3 33.33% 26.0 1.595 33.33% -0.034 0.1586
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 100.0% 21.0 -8.823 0.0% -0.483 0.4396
Second Wave 0 28 60.71% 26.46 -7.208 32.14% -0.781 -0.6634
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 24.33 -21.477 33.33% -0.71 0.3579
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 75.0 11.973 100.0% 0.143 0.8846
Ward the Shores 2 7 57.14% 22.71 -8.881 14.29% -0.996 0.0878

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1427 55.54% 36.35 0.095 57.25% -0.142 0.3849
1 Thematic 57 61.4% 31.33 -2.176 35.09% -0.846 0.0079
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.67 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 348 54.6% 38.77 -1.464 62.07% -0.307 -0.0296
2 Coastline 54 42.59% 37.74 0.784 61.11% -0.016 0.0863
2 Fragment 14 71.43% 47.21 9.904 78.57% 0.36 0.3729
2 Heart 9 66.67% 38.33 -1.535 44.44% -0.336 -0.2247
2 Opposite Shores 79 69.62% 40.68 5.513 64.56% 0.777 1.1132
2 Thematic 39 46.15% 21.67 -3.329 35.9% -0.363 0.3264
2 Top to Top 14 42.86% 41.21 -0.32 71.43% 0.217 0.4587
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 3 100.0% 22.0 6.327 0.0% 0.486 -0.1163
3 Round (Default) 236 51.27% 39.51 0.525 63.14% 0.197 0.2026
3 Thematic 8 75.0% 43.13 8.901 62.5% 0.895 0.9798
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 33.75 -1.285 25.0% -0.431 -0.2942
4 Other 8 50.0% 40.38 1.519 75.0% 0.168 -0.4514
4 Thematic 6 50.0% 38.17 0.0 50.0%
4 Trapezoid (Default) 89 51.69% 46.22 3.114 77.53% 0.46 0.6244
5 Other 33 27.27% 34.58 -1.783 45.45% -0.481 -0.8667
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 58.0 7.164 100.0% 0.332 0.3016
6 Star 11 36.36% 19.09 0.0 36.36%
6 Thematic 5 60.0% 15.4 -7.498 20.0% -0.358 -0.2553
6 Two Centers (Default) 22 77.27% 38.82 -3.054 50.0% -0.582 -0.0169

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 81 36.91 0.217 55.56% 0.012 0.2614
Aid From Lesser Spirits 52 41.37 1.587 67.31% 0.189 0.0709
All Things Weaken 68 33.06 -1.578 45.59% -0.512 -0.1753
Attenuated Essence 77 34.09 -0.809 49.35% -0.197 -0.1698
Back Against the Wall 43 31.35 -5.29 39.53% -1.216 -1.2146
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 76 32.79 -2.776 50.0% -0.452 -0.2351
Burn Brightest Before the End 46 39.48 -1.774 56.52% -0.829 -0.8473
Disintegrating Ecosystem 68 33.12 -2.406 51.47% -0.458 -0.0644
Downward Spiral 54 37.09 -0.128 53.7% -0.127 -0.0184
Erosion of Will 60 33.08 -2.227 43.33% -0.703 -0.3509
Intensifying Exploitation 65 34.71 0.587 53.85% -0.097 0.1486
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 32 34.47 -0.377 56.25% -0.124 -0.6478
Memory Fades to Dust 80 37.11 -2.578 56.25% -0.657 -0.4093
Power Corrodes the Spirit 63 33.52 -3.929 52.38% -0.745 -0.5232
Promising Farmlands 70 34.3 -0.66 51.43% -0.38 -0.0972
Shattered Fragments of Power 52 32.87 -3.146 44.23% -0.874 -0.7973
Slow Dissolution of Will 70 34.83 -0.287 50.0% -0.307 0.0903
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 14 39.43 9.842 64.29% 0.608 -0.0877
The Border of Life and Death 20 35.95 2.069 60.0% 0.154 -0.447
Thriving Communities 85 35.39 -2.719 56.47% -0.394 -0.0376
Thriving Crops 25 41.12 1.939 72.0% 0.282 0.0861
Unnatural Proliferation 88 33.01 -3.409 45.45% -0.948 -0.7853
Untended Land Crumbles 70 30.59 -2.668 44.29% -0.728 -0.4966

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 505 53.97% 38.0 -0.731 60.4% -0.215 0.7901
B 584 53.6% 37.57 -0.319 58.39% -0.117 0.803
C 624 57.37% 37.53 -1.137 57.85% -0.347 0.3876
D 487 56.67% 36.64 -0.987 58.32% -0.098 0.8804
E 497 51.31% 39.99 0.968 63.98% 0.105 0.9248
F 439 50.34% 40.19 3.05 64.24% 0.652 1.5254
G 424 56.37% 38.56 1.076 61.08% 0.044 0.8533
H 425 50.82% 39.15 0.636 62.12% 0.153 0.9678
East 89 57.3% 26.46 -2.775 34.83% -0.152 0.7505
Northeast 54 51.85% 21.7 -2.348 33.33% -0.198 0.6098
Northwest 45 48.89% 31.91 0.856 48.89% 0.237 1.1375
Southeast 33 66.67% 28.73 -1.052 30.3% -0.29 0.5605
Southwest 21 52.38% 16.76 -8.485 19.05% -0.877 0.4988
West 71 54.93% 30.48 3.474 43.66% 0.244 1.1987

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 26 28.0% 58.62 9.145 84.62% 0.783 0.1978
Start of Game Growth 79 26.92% 43.49 3.981 65.82% 0.482 -0.0319
Unlimited Undo 290 55.02% 37.69 0.305 59.66% 0.027 -0.082
Using Tokens but Not Events 194 43.01% 37.1 0.157 63.4% -0.13 -0.156

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 493 13.33 0.61%
II 765 30.1 44.18%
III 994 34.83 88.83%
IV 223 38.67 99.55%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.101 Win Model: -0.05
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1498 55.51% 36.16 56.48%
2 549 55.92% 38.14 60.84%
3 250 53.2% 39.3 61.6%
4 104 51.92% 45.29 75.96%
5 34 26.47% 33.56 44.12%
6 40 62.5% 31.43 45.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 879
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 331
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 221
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 482
Lose: Invader deck ran out 2
Lose: Adversary condition 142
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 24
Win: Scenario condition 7
Lose: Blight pool ran out 359
Lose: Spirit destroyed 20

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 20 65.0% 40.25 -0.24 50.0% -0.443 -0.5482
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 24 37.5% 50.08 6.252 66.67% 0.902 0.4221
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4 0.0% 54.0 -4.965 75.0% -0.129 -0.0029
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 35 65.71% 55.66 8.416 77.14% 1.02 0.1734
Dances Up Earthquakes 77 63.64% 37.4 -0.894 44.16% -0.212 -0.1755
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 37 72.97% 34.95 -2.15 35.14% -0.256 -0.3929
Downpour Drenches the World 29 48.28% 33.31 0.663 37.93% 0.175 0.3819
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 102 59.8% 51.38 5.082 73.53% 0.913 0.3021
Eyes Watch From the Trees 59 64.41% 37.95 -1.339 45.76% -0.237 -0.6129
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 12 66.67% 43.08 -5.492 58.33% -0.335 -0.7255
Finder of Paths Unseen 15 60.0% 24.67 -4.036 26.67% -0.434 0.2858
Fractured Days Split the Sky 10 70.0% 42.5 -0.626 60.0% 0.164 0.7749
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 27 81.48% 39.44 -0.049 48.15% -0.105 -0.2041
Heart of the Wildfire 20 55.0% 33.4 -2.872 45.0% -0.326 0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 112 44.64% 45.18 -2.763 61.61% -0.299 -0.7299
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 38 65.79% 35.66 -3.019 50.0% -0.3 -0.6149
Lightning's Swift Strike 8 62.5% 37.0 0.093 37.5% -0.249 -0.0192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 47 68.09% 51.81 5.885 61.7% 0.57 0.1258
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 12 58.33% 60.83 13.022 83.33% 1.138 0.8274
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 14 57.14% 44.64 1.582 64.29% 0.112 -0.0305
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 89 60.67% 38.03 -0.177 48.31% 0.188 -0.0399
Many Minds Move as One 18 61.11% 35.0 -2.606 44.44% -0.464 -0.7068
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 30 46.67% 37.0 1.829 46.67% 0.33 0.4396
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 158 72.15% 35.42 0.803 46.84% 0.458 0.5763
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 38 60.53% 43.84 3.823 57.89% 0.286 0.2402
River Surges in Sunlight 18 61.11% 48.17 9.438 61.11% 1.268 1.3981
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 59 89.83% 21.64 -5.933 8.47% -1.592 -1.4164
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 9 33.33% 39.44 -9.894 55.56% -0.617 -0.319
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 18 88.89% 37.33 4.015 50.0% 0.581 0.497
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 25 48.0% 42.16 3.654 56.0% 0.534 0.4227
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 58 62.07% 42.83 0.593 56.9% 0.194 0.076
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2 100.0% 56.0 0.0 100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 100.0% 48.5 6.192 50.0% 0.114 0.0627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 14 71.43% 31.14 -2.12 35.71% 0.01 -0.5
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 50.0% 31.0 2.177 25.0% 0.218 0.0898
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 71.0 0.0 100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 50.0% 11.0 -12.739 0.0% -0.585 -0.4498
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 23 39.13% 36.17 0.045 43.48% -0.019 0.0299
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 16 62.5% 36.75 1.726 43.75% -0.1 -0.3147
Shifting Memory of Ages 7 0.0% 37.71 -3.353 57.14% -0.08 0.2148
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 35 62.86% 39.66 0.216 48.57% -0.534 -0.6524
Shroud of Silent Mist 9 77.78% 20.78 -8.245 22.22% -0.642 -0.3147
Starlight Seeks its Form 69 60.87% 36.61 -0.246 46.38% 0.138 0.0383
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 50 58.0% 38.7 0.498 52.0% 0.241 -0.2895
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 37 70.27% 33.43 -8.142 37.84% -1.509 -1.4317
Thunderspeaker 24 83.33% 32.0 -1.672 33.33% -0.567 -0.5308
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 9 66.67% 25.22 -4.575 22.22% -0.591 -0.5321
Towering Roots of the Jungle 55 56.36% 29.47 -8.748 34.55% -1.207 -1.0573
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 42 90.48% 48.02 8.855 61.9% 1.285 1.4309
Vital Strength of the Earth 10 100.0% 33.1 2.424 20.0% 0.006 0.5736
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 15 66.67% 36.07 -3.576 40.0% -0.491 0.0303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 3 66.67% 38.0 8.999 66.67% 0.63 1.3709
Volcano Looming High 45 62.22% 40.2 3.025 55.56% 0.615 0.6294
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 34 70.59% 34.15 1.472 41.18% 0.185 -0.1067

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 3 0.0% 0.0 -18.85 0.0% -0.737 -0.4864
Dahan Insurrection 4 6 50.0% 43.33 -13.618 50.0% -0.391 -0.6401
Despicable Theft 2 2 0.0% 0.0 -17.93 0.0% -0.24 0.2221
Elemental Invocation 1 7 57.14% 13.29 -11.897 0.0% -1.387 -0.6846
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 48 29.17% 46.0 4.616 54.17% 0.341 -0.2118
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 33.33% 7.67 -17.095 0.0% -0.493 0.1304
Rituals of Terror 3 1 100.0% 20.0 0.007 0.0% -0.023 0.1702
Second Wave 0 7 42.86% 34.71 -1.955 42.86% -0.278 -0.1611
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -20.251 0.0% -0.487 0.5808
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.2 0.0% -0.286 0.4555
Ward the Shores 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.012 0.0% -0.113 0.9712

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 807 60.72% 38.56 -0.03 49.07% -0.214 0.3121
1 Thematic 74 77.03% 27.51 -3.26 18.92% -0.998 -0.144
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 130 70.77% 38.01 2.324 48.46% 0.096 0.3737
2 Coastline 22 68.18% 47.86 3.932 68.18% 0.013 0.1155
2 Heart 3 66.67% 43.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Opposite Shores 36 77.78% 38.25 1.848 41.67% 0.208 0.5444
2 Thematic 4 25.0% 6.5 -9.734 0.0% -0.517 0.1725
2 Top to Top 6 100.0% 40.5 10.356 50.0% 0.843 1.085
3 Other 2 50.0% 0.0 -19.268 0.0% -0.533 -1.1354
3 Round (Default) 68 63.24% 48.59 2.901 66.18% 0.5 0.5059
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 23.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 0.0 -11.823 0.0% -0.055 0.0821
4 Other 1 100.0% 24.0 11.776 0.0% 0.358 -0.2614
4 Thematic 9 66.67% 42.0 0.06 44.44% 0.071 0.3382
4 Trapezoid (Default) 19 73.68% 40.68 -9.104 57.89% -0.797 -0.6328
5 Other 7 28.57% 50.29 7.439 71.43% 0.52 0.1344
6 Other 4 25.0% 39.5 1.531 50.0% 0.279 0.2486
6 Star 3 0.0% 8.33 -23.163 0.0% -0.513 -0.53
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 80.0% 50.4 -3.443 60.0% -0.112 0.4524
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.038 0.0% -0.262 -0.6963

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 28 28.39 -5.542 25.0% -1.186 -0.9368
Aid From Lesser Spirits 25 43.08 6.094 48.0% 0.775 0.6569
All Things Weaken 47 32.68 -0.96 34.04% -0.268 0.0692
Attenuated Essence 40 37.23 -1.415 47.5% -0.183 -0.1566
Back Against the Wall 26 44.92 1.987 53.85% -0.085 -0.0841
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 37 29.68 0.791 32.43% -0.101 0.1163
Burn Brightest Before the End 25 39.48 -1.948 40.0% -0.81 -0.8288
Disintegrating Ecosystem 37 38.24 -2.376 43.24% -0.689 -0.2961
Downward Spiral 51 40.84 1.717 54.9% 0.315 0.4234
Erosion of Will 44 33.64 -2.26 36.36% -0.61 -0.258
Intensifying Exploitation 35 31.23 -2.74 37.14% -0.307 -0.061
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 11 48.0 -1.102 72.73% 0.145 -0.3793
Memory Fades to Dust 35 33.09 -1.234 34.29% -0.394 -0.1468
Power Corrodes the Spirit 44 44.16 5.068 56.82% 0.519 0.741
Promising Farmlands 36 36.97 -2.397 44.44% -0.277 0.0057
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 38.26 0.476 40.0% -0.288 -0.2112
Slow Dissolution of Will 52 29.81 -3.107 26.92% -0.906 -0.5089
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 9 61.22 9.738 100.0% 1.077 0.3817
The Border of Life and Death 7 46.14 10.562 57.14% 0.316 -0.2845
Thriving Communities 43 32.91 -3.635 37.21% -0.649 -0.2922
Thriving Crops 15 44.67 5.879 66.67% 0.69 0.4934
Unnatural Proliferation 43 43.77 0.187 53.49% -0.164 -0.0016
Untended Land Crumbles 40 43.1 4.842 55.0% 0.481 0.7128

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 179 62.57% 37.88 -0.443 48.6% 0.054 1.059
B 239 61.92% 38.93 1.326 48.54% 0.238 1.1578
C 254 64.57% 38.98 -1.637 50.39% -0.409 0.3252
D 192 68.75% 36.35 -0.622 46.88% -0.073 0.9054
E 210 63.81% 39.8 2.253 51.43% 0.359 1.1789
F 234 54.7% 41.19 -0.249 53.85% -0.056 0.8175
G 152 64.47% 42.79 0.913 55.26% 0.137 0.9458
H 150 64.67% 44.43 1.976 58.67% 0.319 1.1341
East 39 46.15% 32.59 1.4 35.9% -0.064 0.8391
Northeast 16 50.0% 33.88 -1.351 37.5% -0.152 0.6558
Northwest 10 80.0% 33.4 -4.42 30.0% -0.676 0.2237
Southeast 21 42.86% 29.52 -5.455 33.33% -0.487 0.364
Southwest 49 93.88% 21.45 -3.793 6.12% -0.809 0.5667
West 62 85.48% 26.08 4.276 14.52% 0.438 1.3925

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 27 33.33% 62.48 10.619 81.48% 1.373 0.7883
Start of Game Growth 38 36.84% 49.26 7.65 63.16% 0.831 0.3168
Unlimited Undo 109 49.54% 37.97 0.307 48.62% -0.15 -0.2595
Using Tokens but Not Events 61 75.41% 29.25 2.483 40.98% 0.563 0.5369

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 265 13.33 0.0%
II 380 30.1 23.95%
III 394 34.83 81.73%
IV 167 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.145 Win Model: -0.047
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 888 61.82% 37.54 46.51%
2 195 72.82% 39.26 49.23%
3 73 61.64% 46.22 63.01%
4 30 73.33% 39.17 50.0%
5 7 28.57% 50.29 71.43%
6 13 38.46% 33.46 38.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 316
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 90
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 167
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 276
Lose: Adversary condition 93
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 9
Win: Scenario condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 239
Lose: Spirit destroyed 9

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 165 55.15% 29.09 0.399 26.67% 0.373 0.2678
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 196 53.06% 28.17 -1.682 28.57% -0.101 -0.5807
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 60 66.67% 33.95 -4.734 28.33% -0.097 0.0283
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 267 59.18% 40.15 4.477 47.57% 1.018 0.171
Dances Up Earthquakes 568 74.82% 32.85 2.949 33.45% 0.409 0.446
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 113 85.84% 23.48 0.637 16.81% -0.282 -0.4189
Downpour Drenches the World 187 67.38% 25.57 -1.844 22.99% -0.096 0.1102
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 373 78.02% 31.42 4.412 32.71% 0.749 0.1378
Eyes Watch From the Trees 608 61.18% 24.75 -2.532 24.67% -0.113 -0.4883
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 114 65.79% 23.69 3.04 20.18% 0.271 -0.1193
Finder of Paths Unseen 121 46.28% 16.0 -4.377 13.22% -0.837 -0.1179
Fractured Days Split the Sky 194 49.48% 25.28 -2.626 23.71% -0.128 0.4828
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 154 83.77% 25.22 0.474 15.58% -0.347 -0.4466
Heart of the Wildfire 232 76.29% 19.05 -2.77 14.22% -0.625 -0.288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 529 71.64% 32.83 2.605 34.97% 0.681 0.2509
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 149 75.84% 21.72 -3.127 11.41% -0.64 -0.955
Lightning's Swift Strike 100 84.0% 17.7 -5.261 10.0% -1.202 -0.9726
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 265 65.28% 30.61 -1.217 31.7% -0.031 -0.4755
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 49 75.0% 33.02 0.967 38.78% 0.497 0.1863
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 129 64.34% 27.21 4.329 30.23% 0.964 0.8212
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 511 64.58% 29.56 2.086 29.75% 0.532 0.3042
Many Minds Move as One 164 59.76% 42.57 7.287 47.56% 1.162 0.9195
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 168 68.45% 39.34 2.538 42.86% 0.321 0.43
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 970 73.4% 26.84 -1.554 25.98% -0.021 0.0978
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 177 76.27% 24.33 -1.492 16.38% -0.534 -0.5798
River Surges in Sunlight 122 68.03% 35.61 4.452 27.87% 0.256 0.3868
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 124 59.68% 25.17 1.236 20.97% 0.272 0.448
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 99 72.73% 18.81 -3.77 6.06% -1.307 -1.009
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 202 68.16% 30.93 0.407 33.17% 0.151 0.0669
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 338 49.7% 36.82 1.85 42.6% 0.296 0.1848
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 195 68.21% 35.11 0.391 42.05% 0.738 0.6196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 35 85.71% 24.8 -1.755 17.14% -0.469 0.0261
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 88.89% 33.78 5.321 33.33% 0.514 0.4624
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 183 79.23% 28.78 0.368 27.87% 0.034 -0.4763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 91.67% 38.92 3.243 33.33% -0.342 -0.4699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 18 94.44% 24.33 4.043 22.22% 0.399 0.4103
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 27 92.59% 23.56 -0.2 14.81% -0.172 -0.0367
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 112 63.39% 30.64 0.748 33.04% 0.315 0.3634
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 85 60.0% 30.18 -0.459 28.24% -0.051 -0.2659
Shifting Memory of Ages 139 57.55% 26.9 -3.292 25.9% -0.59 -0.2958
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 184 59.78% 26.88 -0.129 27.17% 0.146 0.0273
Shroud of Silent Mist 98 80.61% 35.45 -1.0 35.71% -0.044 0.2834
Starlight Seeks its Form 426 68.31% 32.82 2.279 36.62% 0.681 0.5814
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 650 62.0% 28.59 -0.323 27.23% 0.286 -0.2443
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 207 76.33% 20.06 -1.615 14.49% -0.435 -0.3579
Thunderspeaker 113 69.91% 24.61 -2.122 18.58% -0.383 -0.3471
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 23 78.26% 22.7 -0.824 17.39% -0.376 -0.3172
Towering Roots of the Jungle 237 73.42% 21.98 -3.503 16.46% -0.554 -0.4047
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 414 86.96% 37.72 5.953 44.69% 0.928 1.0742
Vital Strength of the Earth 57 78.95% 22.95 -3.422 17.54% -0.629 -0.0608
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 129 63.57% 18.91 -3.435 15.5% -0.539 -0.0183
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 75 69.33% 21.48 -2.792 16.0% -0.841 -0.0998
Volcano Looming High 287 78.05% 30.47 1.341 30.66% 0.336 0.3507
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 150 68.67% 23.79 -3.662 21.33% -0.349 -0.6409

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 35 22.86% 53.71 -4.598 51.43% -0.398 -0.1475
Dahan Insurrection 4 65 27.69% 18.72 -6.976 13.85% -0.491 -0.74
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.431 0.0% -0.042 0.4196
Elemental Invocation 1 3 33.33% 0.0 -6.49 0.0% -0.037 0.6655
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 198 48.48% 29.08 2.01 26.26% 0.184 -0.3686
Powers Long Forgotten 1 2 0.0% 0.0 -12.861 0.0% -0.136 0.487
Rituals of Terror 3 48 35.42% 76.56 18.761 54.17% 1.028 1.2213
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.95 0.0% -0.025 0.8973
Second Wave 0 8 75.0% 19.0 -1.906 12.5% -0.248 -0.1307
The Great River 3 1 100.0% 0.0 -10.838 0.0% -0.12 0.9482
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 16.2 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 3 33.33% 37.0 5.518 33.33% 0.341 1.425

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6934 72.63% 26.79 -0.427 25.89% -0.198 0.3281
1 Thematic 171 57.31% 30.4 -0.758 30.99% -0.799 0.0552
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 552 75.0% 30.45 -0.595 30.25% -0.59 -0.3125
2 Coastline 142 61.7% 38.13 3.25 47.18% 0.25 0.3527
2 Fragment 6 66.67% 21.67 7.675 33.33% 0.874 0.8867
2 Heart 34 91.18% 40.38 0.967 38.24% 0.167 0.2781
2 Opposite Shores 199 66.83% 37.54 4.403 40.7% 0.445 0.781
2 Thematic 40 35.0% 47.65 2.747 35.0% 0.223 0.9128
2 Top to Top 35 71.43% 32.0 3.213 31.43% 0.192 0.4344
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.761 0.0% -0.416 -0.7567
3 Other 3 100.0% 53.67 3.827 66.67% -0.179 -0.7811
3 Round (Default) 342 66.08% 30.52 0.958 29.82% -0.018 -0.0121
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 13.6 20.387 0.0% 0.406 0.3443
3 Thematic 14 14.29% 73.0 0.0 42.86%
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 13.2 0.0 20.0%
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 4 75.0% 54.5 12.37 75.0% 0.878 0.2591
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 18 27.78% 40.22 -0.137 27.78% 0.064 0.3312
4 Trapezoid (Default) 122 57.38% 29.61 -6.369 31.15% -1.387 -1.2228
5 Other 9 0.0% 15.0 -10.768 0.0% -0.347 -0.7331
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 -4.111 0.0% -0.011 -0.8081
6 Other 14 78.57% 46.43 8.303 57.14% 0.501 0.4705
6 Star 9 33.33% 10.0 0.0 11.11%
6 Thematic 15 6.67% 4.13 -16.934 0.0% -0.445 -0.3425
6 Two Centers (Default) 45 46.67% 46.13 2.476 46.67% -0.526 0.0383

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 282 32.18 5.327 29.08% 0.961 1.2103
Aid From Lesser Spirits 220 41.03 6.573 44.09% 1.116 0.9976
All Things Weaken 363 33.02 4.309 31.13% 0.796 1.1331
Attenuated Essence 346 31.5 3.962 29.77% 0.812 0.8387
Back Against the Wall 214 37.58 5.418 37.38% 0.833 0.8344
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 350 33.99 4.039 34.29% 0.96 1.1776
Burn Brightest Before the End 238 37.39 8.411 35.29% 1.349 1.3302
Disintegrating Ecosystem 337 33.55 4.786 34.72% 0.984 1.3771
Downward Spiral 345 30.34 3.007 29.86% 0.775 0.8831
Erosion of Will 324 32.32 3.196 28.7% 0.467 0.8194
Intensifying Exploitation 359 29.26 2.542 29.81% 0.834 1.0791
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 85 33.96 3.042 40.0% 0.736 0.2115
Memory Fades to Dust 386 31.62 3.087 29.02% 0.591 0.8383
Power Corrodes the Spirit 385 29.88 1.954 27.27% 0.422 0.644
Promising Farmlands 295 28.78 1.578 26.78% 0.416 0.6993
Shattered Fragments of Power 205 32.95 3.783 29.76% 0.769 0.8457
Slow Dissolution of Will 324 30.01 1.412 25.31% 0.183 0.58
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 39 41.49 9.359 53.85% 1.612 0.917
The Border of Life and Death 50 33.48 8.675 38.0% 1.489 0.8878
Thriving Communities 317 30.45 4.214 29.65% 1.019 1.3756
Thriving Crops 76 34.5 8.321 40.79% 1.398 1.2022
Unnatural Proliferation 316 35.08 4.314 32.28% 0.784 0.9457
Untended Land Crumbles 348 31.33 4.331 29.02% 0.838 1.0699

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1367 69.2% 26.69 -0.484 25.9% -0.27 0.7348
B 1453 67.58% 27.76 -0.364 27.74% -0.272 0.6475
C 1786 70.92% 30.12 1.49 30.12% -0.112 0.6229
D 1385 72.64% 26.65 -1.128 25.42% -0.431 0.547
E 1685 67.3% 29.02 0.265 29.5% -0.195 0.6252
F 1170 70.74% 29.84 1.011 29.49% -0.086 0.7881
G 968 71.07% 30.0 -0.392 29.65% -0.327 0.4824
H 1087 71.85% 30.94 -0.239 31.19% -0.379 0.4359
East 153 35.95% 37.46 1.353 30.07% -0.246 0.6569
Northeast 85 28.24% 40.24 0.319 28.24% -0.546 0.2616
Northwest 57 29.82% 36.6 3.953 33.33% 0.623 1.523
Southeast 51 31.37% 17.78 -3.413 17.65% -0.732 0.1185
Southwest 73 39.73% 17.05 -5.53 19.18% -0.904 0.4718
West 178 47.19% 33.94 -2.013 28.09% -1.019 -0.064

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 -25.284 0.0% -0.767 -0.0592
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 -6.49 0.0% -0.037 0.3308
Skip Initial Invader Actions 261 36.92% 51.87 8.781 60.54% 0.716 0.1309
Start of Game Growth 345 39.24% 50.97 10.682 61.16% 1.682 1.168
Unlimited Undo 724 62.1% 42.34 7.511 53.45% 1.003 0.8939
Using Tokens but Not Events 454 51.43% 17.49 -5.991 19.16% -0.717 -0.7432

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3614 13.33 0.03%
II 2696 30.1 14.06%
III 1809 34.83 77.67%
IV 615 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.144 Win Model: 0.192
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 7164 72.21% 27.09 26.27%
2 971 69.79% 33.73 34.6%
3 363 65.29% 31.06 29.75%
4 145 55.86% 28.69 30.34%
5 8 0.0% 16.88 0.0%
6 83 43.37% 34.67 36.14%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1375
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 364
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 590
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3239
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 834
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 26
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2133
Lose: Spirit destroyed 97

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)