Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 0

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 56 10.71% 18.04 -0.325 58.93% 0.37 0.2751
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 58 18.97% 20.79 0.167 60.34% 0.094 -0.3822
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 30 30.0% 19.13 -1.233 60.0% -0.09 0.0226
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 40 27.5% 26.02 3.612 72.5% 0.344 -0.4694
Dances Up Earthquakes 237 24.47% 20.32 -1.35 64.98% -0.254 -0.2634
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 96 18.75% 21.05 0.462 55.21% 0.268 0.128
Downpour Drenches the World 87 13.79% 18.92 0.441 51.72% 0.425 0.6529
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 135 11.11% 22.16 1.338 65.19% 0.685 0.116
Eyes Watch From the Trees 112 13.39% 22.13 1.739 64.29% 0.728 0.3409
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 93 10.75% 21.11 1.053 55.91% 0.372 -0.0224
Finder of Paths Unseen 39 35.9% 11.56 -6.95 28.21% -1.67 -0.9413
Fractured Days Split the Sky 53 24.53% 17.06 -0.478 43.4% -0.402 0.2387
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 69 24.64% 16.74 -0.916 44.93% -0.106 -0.2392
Heart of the Wildfire 45 31.11% 16.13 -1.845 51.11% -0.016 0.3131
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 96 14.58% 16.33 -1.483 47.92% -0.103 -0.5262
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 45 6.67% 20.53 2.475 55.56% 0.402 0.0951
Lightning's Swift Strike 33 24.24% 19.73 -0.58 57.58% 0.058 0.2955
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 37 35.14% 27.59 2.676 81.08% 0.988 0.5804
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 25 16.0% 15.04 -1.213 44.0% 0.033 -0.2864
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 24 16.67% 25.63 3.489 75.0% 0.923 0.8425
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 117 18.8% 22.24 0.312 58.97% -0.065 -0.2578
Many Minds Move as One 68 10.29% 16.49 -2.106 51.47% -0.324 -0.5406
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 33 27.27% 12.48 -0.662 36.36% 0.235 0.3748
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 271 35.06% 18.69 -0.851 65.68% 0.271 0.3518
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 70 15.71% 20.39 -0.772 60.0% 0.185 0.1066
River Surges in Sunlight 40 25.0% 27.75 4.723 62.5% 0.571 0.6962
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 35 28.57% 18.2 -0.318 45.71% -0.401 -0.223
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 23 43.48% 23.43 2.933 52.17% 0.068 0.3469
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 38 26.32% 21.55 -0.859 55.26% -0.624 -0.7466
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 63 12.7% 20.05 0.499 57.14% 0.283 0.1565
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 82 24.39% 23.48 3.618 73.17% 0.637 0.5248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 15 33.33% 22.2 1.674 73.33% 0.109 0.6247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 10 10.0% 23.6 -3.96 70.0% -0.488 -0.5062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 32 18.75% 24.5 0.419 75.0% 0.14 -0.3627
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 37.5% 23.38 -1.231 75.0% -0.042 -0.2337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 16 12.5% 20.13 -0.035 50.0% -0.384 -0.4427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 20 30.0% 16.95 -0.294 45.0% -0.254 -0.1723
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 47 12.77% 15.85 -0.158 48.94% 0.384 0.463
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 34 8.82% 26.0 2.931 76.47% 0.623 0.436
Shifting Memory of Ages 41 26.83% 11.73 -3.598 34.15% -0.583 -0.3154
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 42 11.9% 20.93 0.915 64.29% 0.412 0.2936
Shroud of Silent Mist 55 29.09% 17.38 -2.388 58.18% -0.265 0.0861
Starlight Seeks its Form 106 12.26% 19.69 -0.767 59.43% -0.011 -0.1289
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 76 11.84% 19.05 -1.391 52.63% -0.335 -0.8486
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 76 23.68% 16.76 -2.38 47.37% -0.528 -0.4109
Thunderspeaker 36 22.22% 15.75 -1.772 38.89% -0.394 -0.3616
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 36 22.22% 23.22 2.172 63.89% 0.53 0.5431
Towering Roots of the Jungle 70 12.86% 19.09 -1.41 54.29% -0.161 -0.0318
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 55 40.0% 14.24 -4.078 43.64% -0.96 -0.8334
Vital Strength of the Earth 44 15.91% 25.89 1.892 63.64% -0.014 0.5863
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 20 25.0% 19.65 2.47 50.0% 0.086 0.5796
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 22 4.55% 10.09 -3.723 18.18% -1.36 -0.6627
Volcano Looming High 61 14.75% 16.64 -1.86 50.82% -0.082 -0.0342
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 81 14.81% 21.16 0.976 62.96% 0.243 -0.0466

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 11 18.18% 21.55 0.653 63.64% 0.046 0.2372
Blitz 0 28 17.86% 13.71 -2.288 35.71% -0.655 -0.4373
Dahan Insurrection 4 23 26.09% 28.74 6.703 47.83% 0.059 -0.1939
Despicable Theft 2 19 10.53% 18.11 0.642 31.58% -0.76 -0.1733
Elemental Invocation 1 17 35.29% 13.18 0.521 29.41% -0.126 0.6139
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 52 3.85% 25.21 1.574 59.62% -0.305 -0.8663
Powers Long Forgotten 1 19 15.79% 7.05 -9.096 10.53% -1.689 -0.9289
Rituals of Terror 3 10 10.0% 15.2 -3.682 30.0% -0.793 -0.6732
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 11 63.64% 20.91 -0.417 36.36% -0.384 0.523
Second Wave 0 15 40.0% 14.67 -4.915 33.33% -0.931 -0.7922
The Great River 3 13 7.69% 16.46 -0.838 30.77% -0.881 0.2186
Varied Terrains 2 13 30.77% 12.15 -2.617 23.08% -0.893 -0.1169
Ward the Shores 2 42 7.14% 18.57 -0.187 42.86% -0.561 0.5131

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1204 26.58% 20.93 0.379 64.2% 0.223 0.5559
1 Thematic 97 19.59% 19.49 -0.252 44.33% -0.302 0.3841
2 Archipelago 6 16.67% 44.17 11.53 100.0% 0.932 1.5393
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 257 22.57% 20.48 0.276 57.59% -0.138 -0.0188
2 Coastline 37 13.51% 24.3 2.334 75.68% 0.599 0.527
2 Fragment 9 33.33% 20.78 2.388 66.67% 0.473 0.2879
2 Heart 3 0.0% 23.67 0.0 100.0%
2 Opposite Shores 48 20.83% 22.85 1.764 72.92% 0.343 0.4946
2 Thematic 41 17.07% 18.8 -0.214 39.02% -0.201 0.3065
2 Top to Top 7 14.29% 20.43 -1.868 71.43% -0.216 -0.2743
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Coastline 7 14.29% 26.57 2.191 71.43% -0.048 -0.4579
3 Other 5 40.0% 30.2 5.443 100.0% 0.796 0.0249
3 Round (Default) 151 21.85% 20.7 0.908 63.58% 0.064 -0.0272
3 Thematic 6 0.0% 39.17 11.067 100.0% 0.42 0.4407
4 Other 3 33.33% 28.0 17.514 100.0% 0.31 -0.4013
4 Thematic 3 0.0% 0.0 -6.971 0.0% -0.429 -0.3058
4 Trapezoid (Default) 122 4.92% 11.39 -4.928 28.69% -2.443 -2.4462
5 Other 9 11.11% 22.11 10.708 77.78% 0.835 0.3215
5 Thematic 2 50.0% 21.0 -1.558 50.0% -0.506 -0.5633
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 37.0 10.873 100.0% 0.252 -0.7861
6 Other 2 0.0% 30.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 11 18.18% 18.55 4.472 36.36% 0.157 0.4425
6 Two Centers (Default) 6 16.67% 3.83 -7.704 16.67% -1.275 -0.7424

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 20 13.55 -5.354 35.0% -0.651 -0.3995
Aid From Lesser Spirits 22 23.68 5.388 77.27% 1.069 1.0117
All Things Weaken 21 20.33 -0.152 71.43% 0.094 0.4289
Attenuated Essence 28 17.32 -3.297 50.0% -0.797 -0.7632
Back Against the Wall 15 26.8 6.208 80.0% 0.693 0.7284
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 28 15.36 -2.483 42.86% -1.063 -0.8458
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 29.46 1.854 76.92% 0.43 0.4411
Disintegrating Ecosystem 16 16.5 1.562 43.75% 0.439 0.7836
Downward Spiral 15 15.93 0.036 60.0% 0.371 0.4878
Erosion of Will 20 22.95 1.277 75.0% 0.001 0.2754
Intensifying Exploitation 34 19.29 -1.803 52.94% -0.465 -0.254
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 10 22.8 -0.061 70.0% -0.01 -0.5826
Memory Fades to Dust 19 16.84 -2.204 63.16% -0.443 -0.1904
Power Corrodes the Spirit 28 21.68 0.291 57.14% -0.097 0.1071
Promising Farmlands 21 17.76 -1.767 57.14% -0.598 -0.3437
Shattered Fragments of Power 24 22.92 2.693 50.0% -0.335 -0.2606
Slow Dissolution of Will 28 13.57 -3.725 42.86% -0.71 -0.3289
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 15 28.73 3.825 66.67% 0.137 -0.5372
The Border of Life and Death 11 12.82 -3.087 45.45% 0.002 -0.5988
Thriving Communities 19 20.0 0.184 57.89% -0.03 0.2521
Thriving Crops 16 19.13 -0.483 62.5% 0.016 -0.124
Unnatural Proliferation 20 16.55 -2.333 35.0% -0.616 -0.4126
Untended Land Crumbles 30 20.63 1.675 66.67% 0.491 0.6811

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 410 21.46% 20.06 -0.274 59.02% -0.321 0.6764
B 410 21.71% 19.96 0.198 59.76% -0.27 0.652
C 422 19.43% 20.06 -0.255 59.95% -0.472 0.2568
D 380 21.58% 18.61 -0.867 57.89% -0.424 0.5352
E 370 20.54% 19.53 -1.204 56.76% -0.667 0.1525
F 362 17.13% 19.28 -0.917 56.91% -0.663 0.2186
G 354 22.32% 18.8 -0.95 57.06% -0.523 0.3026
H 320 21.56% 19.67 -0.609 57.81% -0.512 0.3265
East 96 18.75% 21.24 0.41 45.83% -0.4 0.4746
Northeast 46 17.39% 23.72 2.172 50.0% -0.09 0.662
Northwest 47 17.02% 19.87 1.62 44.68% -0.163 0.7287
Southeast 38 26.32% 19.0 0.959 42.11% -0.005 0.8339
Southwest 36 22.22% 15.83 -4.423 41.67% -1.25 0.055
West 98 17.35% 17.82 0.149 40.82% -0.841 0.1085

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 3 33.33% 4.0 -9.726 0.0% -0.847 -0.5016
Skip Initial Invader Actions 47 8.51% 34.21 6.331 89.36% 1.517 0.9142
Start of Game Growth 64 7.81% 30.5 3.573 79.69% 0.601 0.0966
Unlimited Undo 122 14.75% 21.25 -1.044 59.02% -0.525 -0.6319
Using Tokens but Not Events 167 27.54% 20.47 -0.244 63.47% -0.023 -0.0531

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 665 13.42 7.37%
II 648 30.13 78.86%
III 527 34.83 89.75%
IV 198 38.67 98.99%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.233 Win Model: 0.551
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1352 25.74% 20.39 61.17%
2 365 21.1% 22.83 65.48%
3 162 22.22% 22.22 67.28%
4 130 5.38% 11.71 30.0%
5 9 22.22% 21.33 77.78%
6 20 15.0% 16.2 40.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 459
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 492
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 196
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 580
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 143
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 5
Win: Scenario condition 29
Lose: Blight pool ran out 74
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 1

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 43 11.63% 34.33 1.239 81.4% 0.572 0.477
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 45 26.67% 34.18 1.426 77.78% 0.387 -0.0885
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 17 17.65% 23.94 -6.051 52.94% -1.068 -0.9552
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 35 17.14% 39.34 5.627 85.71% 0.935 0.122
Dances Up Earthquakes 198 28.79% 29.51 -1.56 76.77% -0.182 -0.1907
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 64 20.31% 33.77 1.797 78.13% 0.389 0.2489
Downpour Drenches the World 48 18.75% 27.21 -2.34 68.75% -0.257 -0.0297
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 86 8.14% 34.69 1.994 80.23% 0.385 -0.1843
Eyes Watch From the Trees 70 11.43% 36.41 2.918 84.29% 0.734 0.3466
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 58 15.52% 32.05 1.526 74.14% 0.492 0.0979
Finder of Paths Unseen 25 36.0% 16.04 -7.429 36.0% -1.714 -0.9853
Fractured Days Split the Sky 30 23.33% 28.33 -1.219 70.0% -0.178 0.4624
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 46 26.09% 28.63 -2.597 69.57% -0.454 -0.5879
Heart of the Wildfire 51 39.22% 29.47 -0.38 70.59% 0.016 0.3453
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 72 31.94% 34.88 1.959 83.33% 0.272 -0.1513
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 40 10.0% 34.4 4.124 80.0% 1.093 0.7864
Lightning's Swift Strike 14 21.43% 37.79 1.727 92.86% 0.142 0.38
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 20 15.0% 34.6 2.399 85.0% 0.345 -0.0627
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 29 24.14% 40.28 5.171 93.1% 0.753 0.434
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 18 5.56% 39.61 4.141 83.33% 0.374 0.2934
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 71 22.54% 32.55 1.326 76.06% 0.426 0.2332
Many Minds Move as One 46 26.09% 32.57 -0.61 71.74% -0.375 -0.5913
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 51 19.61% 22.12 -3.356 45.1% -0.774 -0.6344
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 376 38.56% 28.09 2.631 75.53% 1.497 1.5775
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 69 28.99% 31.45 3.473 76.81% 0.654 0.5761
River Surges in Sunlight 36 22.22% 30.92 1.775 77.78% 0.044 0.1691
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 33 27.27% 32.24 2.873 72.73% 0.47 0.6486
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 19 31.58% 29.05 -4.064 63.16% -0.695 -0.4158
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 46 23.91% 26.63 -3.414 52.17% -0.464 -0.5863
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 15 26.67% 31.07 -3.53 60.0% -0.895 -1.0221
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 103 29.13% 31.08 -7.098 75.73% -1.183 -1.2953
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5 80.0% 33.6 1.828 100.0% 0.559 1.0748
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 7 42.86% 27.29 -1.842 57.14% -0.302 -0.3208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 41 21.95% 36.83 4.308 85.37% 0.619 0.1159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 7 28.57% 18.43 -6.0 42.86% -0.765 -0.9562
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 7 28.57% 27.43 0.985 71.43% 0.089 0.0297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 7 42.86% 22.86 -4.121 57.14% -0.461 -0.3797
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 31 16.13% 26.87 1.301 61.29% 0.003 0.0828
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 52 11.54% 31.69 0.805 76.92% 0.115 -0.0718
Shifting Memory of Ages 24 25.0% 22.58 -4.653 58.33% -0.675 -0.4072
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 30 26.67% 29.67 -0.03 70.0% 0.023 -0.0958
Shroud of Silent Mist 36 47.22% 30.75 0.196 75.0% 0.177 0.5285
Starlight Seeks its Form 70 21.43% 28.66 -1.032 70.0% -0.272 -0.3896
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 124 26.61% 28.3 0.661 75.0% 0.394 -0.1193
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 52 17.31% 29.1 -0.064 67.31% -0.148 -0.0309
Thunderspeaker 52 23.08% 33.81 1.673 75.0% 0.209 0.2412
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 32 37.5% 25.66 0.416 56.25% -0.115 -0.1013
Towering Roots of the Jungle 54 24.07% 28.44 1.986 70.37% 0.623 0.7523
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 66 54.55% 25.97 0.641 65.15% 0.468 0.5939
Vital Strength of the Earth 30 30.0% 31.6 0.305 70.0% -0.128 0.4722
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 17 35.29% 22.47 -8.334 52.94% -1.42 -0.9263
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 19 47.37% 23.58 -3.008 63.16% -0.163 0.5351
Volcano Looming High 66 40.91% 24.8 -2.543 62.12% -0.647 -0.5989
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 55 23.64% 31.4 1.108 74.55% 0.357 0.0673

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 12.5% 25.25 -3.848 50.0% -0.392 -0.2015
Blitz 0 19 10.53% 10.21 -7.815 26.32% -1.165 -0.9477
Dahan Insurrection 4 43 27.91% 28.02 1.774 34.88% -0.048 -0.3011
Despicable Theft 2 15 26.67% 20.87 -3.052 40.0% -0.725 -0.1389
Elemental Invocation 1 15 40.0% 18.6 -2.804 33.33% -0.09 0.6498
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 50 6.0% 33.54 1.817 72.0% -0.221 -0.7828
Powers Long Forgotten 1 15 26.67% 14.53 -6.173 20.0% -1.035 -0.2755
Rituals of Terror 3 6 33.33% 28.17 0.224 50.0% -0.216 -0.0956
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 0.0% 0.0 -16.041 0.0% -0.603 0.3041
Second Wave 0 73 49.32% 31.48 2.069 68.49% 0.319 0.4576
Varied Terrains 2 9 55.56% 30.0 2.882 44.44% -0.576 0.2001
Ward the Shores 2 12 25.0% 20.83 -9.02 33.33% -1.62 -0.5452

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 891 27.38% 30.38 -0.063 73.85% -0.078 0.2551
1 Thematic 88 32.95% 28.48 1.502 54.55% 0.058 0.7439
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 197 26.4% 29.32 -0.803 74.11% -0.406 -0.2866
2 Coastline 21 19.05% 34.1 4.156 80.95% 0.357 0.2845
2 Fragment 13 23.08% 34.77 5.786 84.62% 1.181 0.9964
2 Heart 6 0.0% 32.17 0.668 83.33% 0.177 0.0199
2 Opposite Shores 34 23.53% 32.15 0.407 85.29% 0.057 0.2084
2 Thematic 206 25.73% 20.79 -3.506 50.97% -1.066 -0.5576
2 Top to Top 9 44.44% 35.0 -2.447 88.89% -0.07 -0.128
3 Coastline 2 0.0% 37.5 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 4 25.0% 29.5 2.51 75.0% 0.049 -0.7225
3 Round (Default) 132 36.36% 31.86 0.361 79.55% -0.422 -0.5132
3 Thematic 8 25.0% 26.25 3.205 62.5% 0.424 0.4449
4 Other 1 0.0% 44.0 3.89 100.0% 0.268 -0.443
4 Thematic 4 0.0% 38.25 1.343 50.0% -0.292 -0.1694
4 Trapezoid (Default) 45 24.44% 33.51 -0.735 82.22% -0.383 -0.3855
5 Other 15 20.0% 35.33 -2.102 93.33% -0.502 -1.0163
6 Archipelago 1 0.0% 45.0 0.0 100.0%
6 Other 2 0.0% 20.0 0.0 50.0%
6 Thematic 8 25.0% 37.88 0.349 75.0% -0.138 0.1483
6 Two Centers (Default) 9 11.11% 50.56 7.541 88.89% 0.241 0.7744

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 23 30.09 0.981 73.91% -0.289 -0.0382
Aid From Lesser Spirits 26 30.5 3.125 69.23% 0.57 0.5124
All Things Weaken 15 28.4 1.202 66.67% -0.134 0.2005
Attenuated Essence 24 26.63 1.309 66.67% -0.072 -0.0384
Back Against the Wall 9 25.22 -3.266 55.56% -0.497 -0.4622
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 24 27.67 -3.108 75.0% -0.45 -0.2326
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 28.5 -0.088 56.25% -0.448 -0.4376
Disintegrating Ecosystem 11 22.27 -7.569 63.64% -0.869 -0.5243
Downward Spiral 21 36.52 5.422 85.71% 0.565 0.682
Erosion of Will 24 28.58 -0.325 62.5% -0.556 -0.282
Intensifying Exploitation 21 24.62 -0.645 57.14% -0.054 0.1572
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 9 29.89 4.273 88.89% 0.666 0.0929
Memory Fades to Dust 23 31.22 3.973 73.91% 0.512 0.7646
Power Corrodes the Spirit 35 30.8 1.876 80.0% 0.191 0.3953
Promising Farmlands 19 19.58 -2.031 42.11% -0.428 -0.1738
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 24.36 -1.394 68.18% 0.407 0.4814
Slow Dissolution of Will 18 26.78 -2.009 66.67% -0.517 -0.1358
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 11 31.64 2.284 90.91% 0.239 -0.4345
The Border of Life and Death 12 35.42 15.035 83.33% 1.142 0.5416
Thriving Communities 37 26.89 -1.861 72.97% -0.172 0.1094
Thriving Crops 15 33.53 0.661 86.67% 0.065 -0.0754
Unnatural Proliferation 24 26.29 -0.21 62.5% -0.279 -0.0753
Untended Land Crumbles 28 26.04 1.23 67.86% 0.546 0.7359

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 285 24.56% 31.42 0.259 77.54% -0.044 0.9543
B 304 26.64% 31.95 0.362 77.96% -0.022 0.8998
C 298 27.52% 33.02 1.731 81.54% 0.417 1.1462
D 302 30.46% 30.32 0.089 75.17% -0.032 0.9268
E 295 30.17% 31.84 0.89 77.63% 0.052 0.8711
F 251 25.9% 31.63 -0.083 76.89% -0.017 0.8644
G 202 20.79% 31.5 0.39 76.24% -0.105 0.7203
H 267 30.71% 31.4 -1.136 76.4% -0.376 0.4625
East 240 27.08% 24.18 -1.416 57.08% -0.467 0.408
Northeast 199 26.63% 24.26 1.11 59.3% -0.07 0.6821
Northwest 177 24.86% 24.03 1.702 57.63% 0.154 1.046
Southeast 32 21.88% 25.31 -2.057 53.13% -0.388 0.4507
Southwest 40 25.0% 20.15 -4.481 40.0% -0.826 0.4782
West 243 25.1% 23.22 -3.186 52.67% -1.197 -0.2474

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 31 6.45% 46.61 6.213 96.77% 1.303 0.7003
Start of Game Growth 39 7.69% 42.72 4.823 89.74% 0.88 0.3758
Unlimited Undo 131 15.27% 33.32 2.89 77.1% 0.769 0.662
Using Tokens but Not Events 114 21.05% 33.39 0.626 81.58% -0.013 -0.0424

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 427 13.42 11.48%
II 653 30.13 86.83%
III 491 34.83 95.93%
IV 128 38.67 99.22%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.265 Win Model: 0.284
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1000 27.7% 29.79 70.9%
2 476 26.05% 27.11 68.07%
3 139 35.25% 31.87 80.58%
4 49 22.45% 33.9 79.59%
5 17 23.53% 32.12 82.35%
6 18 11.11% 45.94 88.89%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 467
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 548
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 127
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 370
Lose: Adversary condition 49
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 3
Win: Scenario condition 19
Lose: Blight pool ran out 59
Lose: Spirit destroyed 4

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 2

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 36 16.67% 24.28 -1.357 50.0% -0.223 -0.3174
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 47 21.28% 38.11 4.191 82.98% 0.968 0.4925
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 16 31.25% 38.63 7.851 81.25% 0.646 0.7589
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 26 50.0% 34.46 1.722 69.23% 0.255 -0.5579
Dances Up Earthquakes 160 35.0% 33.35 1.449 73.75% 0.195 0.1861
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 41 19.51% 31.95 2.286 68.29% 0.371 0.2315
Downpour Drenches the World 39 25.64% 25.03 -2.337 53.85% -0.574 -0.3468
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 110 23.64% 33.85 -0.329 75.45% 0.013 -0.5562
Eyes Watch From the Trees 75 22.67% 33.71 0.525 70.67% 0.116 -0.2715
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 46 34.78% 32.15 -1.982 67.39% -0.346 -0.7395
Finder of Paths Unseen 19 21.05% 13.21 -4.522 21.05% -0.789 -0.0611
Fractured Days Split the Sky 35 31.43% 27.29 -1.699 51.43% -0.538 0.1027
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 55 36.36% 27.27 -0.55 54.55% -0.09 -0.2236
Heart of the Wildfire 52 46.15% 32.0 1.284 69.23% 0.266 0.5955
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 58 39.66% 33.09 -0.907 70.69% -0.357 -0.781
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 61 27.87% 31.25 1.08 70.49% 0.233 -0.0734
Lightning's Swift Strike 17 41.18% 30.0 -3.289 58.82% -0.746 -0.5081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 16 25.0% 44.63 8.858 93.75% 1.136 0.7284
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 21 23.81% 34.48 1.713 76.19% 0.292 -0.0267
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 27 14.81% 32.78 1.932 66.67% 0.349 0.2683
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 65 20.0% 32.98 1.412 67.69% 0.174 -0.0183
Many Minds Move as One 43 25.58% 24.91 -1.794 53.49% -0.398 -0.6143
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 30 30.0% 26.67 -1.056 46.67% -0.408 -0.2688
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 198 45.96% 29.98 -3.062 68.18% -0.447 -0.3662
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 47 38.3% 29.13 -0.317 63.83% 0.09 0.012
River Surges in Sunlight 54 38.89% 37.59 3.241 72.22% 0.292 0.4176
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 27 29.63% 30.7 -3.207 62.96% -0.379 -0.2005
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 13 38.46% 22.38 -2.214 38.46% -0.461 -0.182
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 29 20.69% 35.62 2.015 75.86% 0.484 0.361
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 31 32.26% 30.45 -1.693 67.74% -0.269 -0.3961
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 68 22.06% 30.96 -0.987 69.12% -0.014 -0.1269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 4 50.0% 37.0 6.683 75.0% 0.554 1.0695
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 3 66.67% 16.33 -5.306 33.33% -0.381 -0.3991
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 33 27.27% 31.82 0.647 66.67% 0.022 -0.4811
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 8 12.5% 28.13 1.427 62.5% 0.408 0.2168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 4 75.0% 15.0 -5.599 25.0% -0.635 -0.6945
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 75.0% 26.0 0.878 50.0% -0.036 0.0457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 35 25.71% 30.14 -4.192 65.71% -0.537 -0.4578
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 30 16.67% 32.9 1.944 70.0% 0.236 0.0491
Shifting Memory of Ages 18 22.22% 32.83 1.034 77.78% 0.314 0.5813
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 43 27.91% 25.98 -1.386 53.49% -0.405 -0.5236
Shroud of Silent Mist 32 46.88% 20.03 -5.36 40.63% -1.077 -0.7257
Starlight Seeks its Form 79 34.18% 27.27 2.063 53.16% 0.249 0.1317
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 75 25.33% 30.01 0.216 70.67% 0.378 -0.135
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 47 21.28% 32.94 3.478 68.09% 0.73 0.8475
Thunderspeaker 32 28.13% 31.28 2.435 59.38% 0.288 0.3199
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 17 35.29% 32.53 1.387 76.47% 0.477 0.4902
Towering Roots of the Jungle 82 28.05% 23.44 -3.362 52.44% -0.551 -0.4219
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 77 70.13% 34.06 2.566 77.92% 0.84 0.9662
Vital Strength of the Earth 42 33.33% 38.83 3.332 76.19% 0.108 0.708
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 15 13.33% 29.53 -0.38 66.67% 0.048 0.5412
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 16 37.5% 27.56 2.366 56.25% 0.069 0.7666
Volcano Looming High 48 31.25% 27.96 -2.795 62.5% -0.431 -0.3834
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 65 35.38% 30.29 1.306 63.08% 0.026 -0.2636

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 50.0% 32.5 0.743 75.0% 0.217 0.4074
Blitz 0 14 28.57% 31.5 1.384 64.29% 0.092 0.3098
Dahan Insurrection 4 10 20.0% 61.8 20.477 90.0% 0.426 0.1732
Despicable Theft 2 7 14.29% 7.0 -9.094 14.29% -1.055 -0.4685
Elemental Invocation 1 14 14.29% 7.79 -14.744 14.29% -1.463 -0.7239
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 46 13.04% 32.54 -0.066 58.7% -0.599 -1.1605
Powers Long Forgotten 1 13 7.69% 4.62 -8.817 7.69% -1.073 -0.3137
Rituals of Terror 3 3 33.33% 0.0 -13.276 0.0% -0.414 -0.2937
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 66.67% 36.33 4.656 66.67% 0.388 1.295
Second Wave 0 54 40.74% 32.78 2.335 66.67% 0.377 0.5158
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 8.0 -9.873 0.0% -0.806 0.2936
Varied Terrains 2 8 62.5% 20.13 -3.874 25.0% -0.985 -0.2087
Ward the Shores 2 8 37.5% 20.75 -7.233 25.0% -0.642 0.4329

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 812 38.67% 31.41 0.902 68.23% 0.706 1.0389
1 Thematic 57 33.33% 21.39 -1.978 33.33% -0.133 0.5529
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 219 31.05% 33.25 1.601 71.69% 0.534 0.6541
2 Coastline 25 20.0% 38.2 -2.111 84.0% 0.083 0.0105
2 Fragment 6 83.33% 42.0 6.106 100.0% 0.476 0.2914
2 Heart 4 25.0% 41.25 0.0 100.0%
2 Opposite Shores 36 38.89% 30.61 1.877 66.67% 0.153 0.3037
2 Thematic 29 13.79% 11.76 -6.448 20.69% -0.824 -0.3159
2 Top to Top 12 33.33% 35.08 1.802 75.0% 0.199 0.1401
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -13.853 0.0% -0.383 -1.3351
3 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 2.223 0.0% 0.257 -0.5143
3 Round (Default) 147 26.53% 28.93 -1.945 63.27% -0.73 -0.8212
3 Thematic 8 50.0% 25.5 5.042 50.0% 1.094 1.1144
4 Other 4 0.0% 13.75 0.0 25.0%
4 Thematic 7 71.43% 25.14 -5.486 28.57% -0.351 -0.228
4 Trapezoid (Default) 38 26.32% 31.03 -5.077 71.05% -1.281 -1.2837
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
5 Other 6 16.67% 40.33 8.441 100.0% 0.458 -0.0561
5 Thematic 2 100.0% 32.5 0.0 50.0%
6 Other 2 100.0% 44.5 8.732 100.0% 0.441 0.337
6 Star 6 16.67% 32.5 3.881 66.67% -0.29 -0.3038
6 Thematic 10 10.0% 29.2 -2.206 50.0% -0.506 -0.2205
6 Two Centers (Default) 8 25.0% 35.38 5.025 62.5% 0.079 0.6116

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 22 36.41 6.071 72.73% 0.744 0.9955
Aid From Lesser Spirits 17 31.65 4.612 58.82% 0.573 0.5153
All Things Weaken 14 25.57 1.59 57.14% 0.324 0.6584
Attenuated Essence 24 28.25 3.831 62.5% 0.512 0.5451
Back Against the Wall 18 25.44 1.849 50.0% 0.245 0.2796
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 30 31.0 2.723 63.33% 0.182 0.3989
Burn Brightest Before the End 18 36.44 6.783 77.78% 0.752 0.7627
Disintegrating Ecosystem 18 23.5 -0.304 55.56% 0.193 0.5379
Downward Spiral 26 34.65 5.494 76.92% 0.73 0.8477
Erosion of Will 25 36.16 7.27 80.0% 1.345 1.6199
Intensifying Exploitation 25 26.64 -4.777 56.0% -0.78 -0.5694
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 9 35.0 3.597 88.89% 0.906 0.3338
Memory Fades to Dust 34 34.09 4.297 76.47% 0.518 0.7707
Power Corrodes the Spirit 27 32.85 0.384 62.96% -0.073 0.1314
Promising Farmlands 25 31.32 -0.245 60.0% -0.364 -0.1097
Shattered Fragments of Power 20 22.95 -1.954 40.0% -0.617 -0.5425
Slow Dissolution of Will 27 31.89 0.325 70.37% -0.061 0.3205
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 6 21.5 -5.233 50.0% -0.404 -1.0775
The Border of Life and Death 5 44.2 7.813 100.0% 0.951 0.3508
Thriving Communities 26 31.12 0.264 69.23% 0.116 0.3979
Thriving Crops 20 35.1 3.265 85.0% 0.727 0.5867
Unnatural Proliferation 30 31.97 -0.847 66.67% -0.46 -0.2563
Untended Land Crumbles 37 28.49 -1.769 62.16% -0.152 0.0383

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 290 32.76% 32.09 -0.142 70.34% -0.141 0.8564
B 287 33.8% 31.4 0.203 68.29% -0.027 0.8953
C 308 32.14% 32.87 0.744 72.08% 0.099 0.8283
D 285 33.68% 31.04 -0.289 67.72% -0.215 0.7441
E 289 30.1% 31.13 -0.338 67.13% -0.154 0.6652
F 250 34.0% 31.18 -0.8 66.8% -0.368 0.5135
G 220 34.09% 30.62 1.097 68.18% 0.32 1.1458
H 248 28.63% 31.78 0.911 68.55% 0.053 0.8916
East 74 32.43% 23.07 -0.939 36.49% -0.358 0.5168
Northeast 45 26.67% 22.31 -2.68 35.56% -0.435 0.3175
Northwest 47 27.66% 19.96 -4.749 31.91% -1.169 -0.2769
Southeast 30 33.33% 21.97 -3.094 33.33% -0.705 0.1338
Southwest 29 27.59% 18.76 -3.492 31.03% -0.392 0.9126
West 78 30.77% 19.33 0.401 32.05% 0.119 1.0684

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 0.0 -5.359 0.0% -0.079 0.267
Skip Initial Invader Actions 27 11.11% 47.3 7.268 88.89% 0.919 0.3165
Start of Game Growth 37 10.81% 42.89 8.336 78.38% 1.148 0.6441
Unlimited Undo 121 23.97% 27.98 -1.091 58.68% -0.47 -0.5769
Using Tokens but Not Events 122 24.59% 26.12 -2.277 58.2% -0.2 -0.2295

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 362 13.42 1.93%
II 486 30.13 76.95%
III 520 34.83 95.19%
IV 76 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.171 Win Model: 0.537
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 889 38.02% 30.43 65.24%
2 323 31.89% 32.15 69.04%
3 149 25.5% 29.29 64.43%
4 50 34.0% 29.62 64.0%
5 9 22.22% 28.78 66.67%
6 24 20.83% 33.92 62.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 489
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 366
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 75
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 324
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 81
Win: Sacrifice victory 4
Lose: Scenario condition 7
Win: Scenario condition 11
Lose: Blight pool ran out 73
Lose: Spirit destroyed 2

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 3

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 56 37.5% 37.88 -0.866 75.0% -0.335 -0.43
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 75 46.67% 38.63 4.174 78.67% 1.207 0.7306
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 16 68.75% 33.75 0.301 68.75% 0.328 0.4407
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 44 47.73% 41.23 2.398 79.55% 0.281 -0.5322
Dances Up Earthquakes 301 46.18% 34.85 -1.315 71.76% -0.256 -0.265
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 52 48.08% 34.13 -0.617 65.38% -0.07 -0.21
Downpour Drenches the World 57 36.84% 31.51 -1.319 63.16% -0.225 0.0027
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 148 34.46% 37.41 0.572 77.03% 0.183 -0.3861
Eyes Watch From the Trees 136 25.74% 40.43 3.043 80.88% 0.524 0.1362
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 44 50.0% 28.82 -3.087 54.55% -0.599 -0.9931
Finder of Paths Unseen 25 32.0% 24.68 -1.164 44.0% -0.517 0.2114
Fractured Days Split the Sky 22 13.64% 37.18 3.441 72.73% 0.515 1.1555
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 50 54.0% 31.88 -2.204 60.0% -0.521 -0.6545
Heart of the Wildfire 61 54.1% 24.36 -2.646 50.82% -0.372 -0.0429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 156 30.32% 37.22 1.081 73.08% 0.149 -0.275
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 78 23.08% 37.76 -0.224 76.92% -0.088 -0.3943
Lightning's Swift Strike 23 43.48% 34.04 -2.843 73.91% -0.362 -0.124
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 28 35.71% 41.64 6.361 82.14% 1.051 0.6431
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 21 47.62% 43.19 3.977 85.71% 0.702 0.3826
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 28 46.43% 30.54 1.727 60.71% 0.085 0.0047
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 108 38.89% 36.11 1.363 64.81% 0.114 -0.0789
Many Minds Move as One 54 18.52% 34.3 0.537 68.52% -0.151 -0.3677
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 44 43.18% 38.43 4.952 75.0% 1.273 1.4123
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 381 54.86% 32.24 -1.64 69.03% -0.079 0.0017
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 76 27.63% 29.5 -2.249 60.53% -0.289 -0.3677
River Surges in Sunlight 51 45.1% 41.63 2.8 80.39% 0.275 0.4005
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 48 45.83% 33.4 -0.653 62.5% -0.076 0.1018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 10 50.0% 34.7 4.989 70.0% 0.374 0.6527
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 50 46.0% 38.96 2.157 64.0% -0.218 -0.3408
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 80 21.25% 35.74 -0.252 66.25% -0.332 -0.4593
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 130 38.46% 33.78 -0.991 67.69% -0.291 -0.4032
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9 66.67% 23.56 1.188 44.44% 0.121 0.6367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 4 75.0% 32.0 -2.783 75.0% -0.028 -0.0461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 51 47.06% 39.63 3.34 82.35% 0.784 0.2812
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 5 20.0% 19.2 -10.556 40.0% -0.97 -1.1616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 9 44.44% 30.78 -1.584 55.56% -0.553 -0.6125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 11 54.55% 25.27 -1.591 36.36% -0.501 -0.4191
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 46 32.61% 32.8 -1.142 67.39% -0.23 -0.1507
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 48 50.0% 39.33 2.941 77.08% 0.507 0.3206
Shifting Memory of Ages 21 57.14% 29.76 -0.079 61.9% -0.004 0.2637
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 59 49.15% 40.15 2.805 77.97% 0.219 0.1007
Shroud of Silent Mist 36 52.78% 28.75 -2.887 58.33% -0.349 0.0018
Starlight Seeks its Form 115 37.39% 35.62 0.708 71.3% 0.01 -0.1078
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 105 26.67% 32.81 -0.493 71.43% 0.3 -0.2136
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 70 42.86% 30.29 -0.588 61.43% -0.05 0.0677
Thunderspeaker 32 31.25% 35.13 -1.383 68.75% -0.412 -0.3802
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 32.0% 32.96 -0.081 68.0% -0.051 -0.0378
Towering Roots of the Jungle 119 49.58% 32.58 -0.368 63.87% -0.097 0.0324
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 122 54.1% 34.39 -0.004 70.49% 0.121 0.2469
Vital Strength of the Earth 36 50.0% 39.42 4.145 72.22% 0.332 0.9322
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 40 67.5% 25.45 -2.624 42.5% -0.63 -0.1363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 26 34.62% 26.81 -3.931 53.85% -0.343 0.3548
Volcano Looming High 83 44.58% 32.18 -0.839 61.45% -0.172 -0.1244
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 74 37.84% 39.15 0.781 77.03% -0.086 -0.3756

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 3 66.67% 15.0 -8.449 33.33% -0.323 -0.1316
Blitz 0 11 45.45% 11.91 -8.301 18.18% -0.961 -0.744
Dahan Insurrection 4 18 27.78% 45.5 2.495 55.56% -0.228 -0.4805
Despicable Theft 2 6 33.33% 13.67 -4.538 16.67% -0.592 -0.0053
Elemental Invocation 1 5 0.0% 10.8 -9.353 20.0% -0.566 0.1732
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 83 10.84% 33.88 -0.727 56.63% -0.711 -1.2724
Powers Long Forgotten 1 7 57.14% 19.71 -12.769 28.57% -1.456 -0.6962
Rituals of Terror 3 3 66.67% 61.0 12.572 100.0% 0.271 0.3911
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 3 33.33% 0.0 -19.3 0.0% -0.794 0.1137
Second Wave 0 35 60.0% 25.11 -4.232 42.86% -0.793 -0.6547
The Great River 3 4 0.0% 5.25 -8.958 0.0% -0.97 0.13
Varied Terrains 2 9 0.0% 9.0 -12.962 11.11% -1.091 -0.3146
Ward the Shores 2 6 50.0% 30.67 -9.984 50.0% -1.115 -0.0406

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1254 42.94% 35.09 1.065 70.33% 0.276 0.609
1 Thematic 62 61.29% 22.58 -2.796 33.87% -0.294 0.3918
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 281 45.2% 37.16 0.466 76.51% 0.29 0.4101
2 Coastline 34 44.12% 40.68 1.918 88.24% 0.57 0.4983
2 Fragment 3 0.0% 40.67 0.0 100.0%
2 Heart 6 83.33% 28.17 0.0 50.0%
2 Opposite Shores 53 35.85% 31.87 2.215 66.04% 0.462 0.6134
2 Thematic 106 50.94% 18.38 -4.25 37.74% -1.138 -0.6299
2 Top to Top 18 44.44% 34.33 -0.073 66.67% -0.011 -0.0691
3 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 10.064 0.0% 0.569 0.1592
3 Other 2 50.0% 60.5 1.259 100.0% 0.128 -0.6431
3 Round (Default) 173 41.62% 35.35 0.249 72.83% -0.01 -0.1014
3 Thematic 7 85.71% 46.86 9.71 71.43% 0.261 0.2812
4 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -17.081 0.0% -0.509 -1.0389
4 Other 9 66.67% 39.78 6.269 77.78% 0.533 -0.1777
4 Thematic 9 22.22% 27.22 4.709 44.44% 0.054 0.1769
4 Trapezoid (Default) 89 30.34% 40.25 0.195 80.9% 0.068 0.0649
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 -12.25 0.0% -0.342 -0.4875
5 Other 24 8.33% 38.21 -0.543 70.83% -0.384 -0.8974
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 5 0.0% 31.0 8.072 60.0% 0.345 0.2412
6 Star 4 75.0% 45.5 6.865 100.0% 0.444 0.4303
6 Thematic 7 85.71% 26.14 1.938 14.29% -0.191 0.0944
6 Two Centers (Default) 16 37.5% 28.81 -5.774 56.25% -1.11 -0.5767

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 40 36.65 1.779 75.0% 0.346 0.5966
Aid From Lesser Spirits 32 30.19 -2.867 59.38% -0.566 -0.6235
All Things Weaken 34 33.59 -1.132 64.71% -0.472 -0.1371
Attenuated Essence 47 34.36 1.346 68.09% 0.467 0.501
Back Against the Wall 31 37.23 3.335 74.19% 0.697 0.7315
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 45 30.33 -2.831 60.0% -0.675 -0.4575
Burn Brightest Before the End 36 35.53 0.119 75.0% 0.3 0.3109
Disintegrating Ecosystem 45 31.33 -2.011 68.89% -0.132 0.212
Downward Spiral 46 40.63 5.079 86.96% 1.396 1.5138
Erosion of Will 46 31.2 -2.696 58.7% -0.633 -0.3586
Intensifying Exploitation 68 33.65 1.046 67.65% 0.102 0.3128
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 29 43.66 5.635 86.21% 0.772 0.1988
Memory Fades to Dust 48 30.88 -2.46 62.5% -0.253 -0.0006
Power Corrodes the Spirit 55 33.8 0.558 69.09% 0.064 0.2688
Promising Farmlands 45 34.73 -1.647 66.67% -0.386 -0.1323
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 33.92 1.998 67.57% 0.078 0.1522
Slow Dissolution of Will 57 35.84 -0.426 71.93% -0.3 0.0817
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 12 44.08 4.215 100.0% 0.909 0.2355
The Border of Life and Death 11 25.64 -3.653 54.55% -0.215 -0.8157
Thriving Communities 50 32.64 0.43 64.0% -0.05 0.232
Thriving Crops 20 39.45 3.088 85.0% 0.807 0.6667
Unnatural Proliferation 51 32.47 -1.312 62.75% -0.386 -0.1829
Untended Land Crumbles 51 32.69 -1.31 66.67% 0.007 0.1974

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 412 38.11% 34.23 -0.972 68.45% -0.32 0.6782
B 410 42.79% 34.6 -1.406 71.22% -0.322 0.6003
C 515 41.75% 36.52 0.278 73.59% -0.079 0.6503
D 414 43.24% 34.3 -1.112 70.29% -0.345 0.6144
E 418 31.58% 36.08 1.49 72.25% 0.106 0.9252
F 355 42.54% 37.34 0.818 74.65% -0.049 0.833
G 368 43.48% 37.27 1.906 74.18% 0.201 1.0267
H 356 38.2% 37.99 2.146 78.37% 0.587 1.4262
East 148 54.05% 23.18 -2.374 41.89% -0.529 0.3459
Northeast 124 55.65% 23.73 -1.263 44.35% 0.468 1.2205
Northwest 67 55.22% 23.39 -0.847 40.3% -0.127 0.7649
Southeast 19 57.89% 18.74 -2.886 15.79% -0.61 0.2293
Southwest 42 64.29% 13.52 -6.968 14.29% -1.668 -0.3635
West 116 57.76% 20.29 -0.566 32.76% -0.255 0.6949

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 -16.452 0.0% -0.52 0.209
Skip Initial Invader Actions 34 26.47% 41.97 2.838 76.47% -0.151 -0.7539
Start of Game Growth 71 19.72% 43.68 3.158 77.46% 0.734 0.2297
Unlimited Undo 221 34.55% 35.72 0.365 72.85% 0.107 0.0003
Using Tokens but Not Events 171 38.24% 36.32 -1.341 77.19% -0.333 -0.3625

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 430 13.42 0.23%
II 495 30.13 60.81%
III 1047 34.83 95.03%
IV 195 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.072 Win Model: 0.195
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1334 43.44% 34.24 68.07%
2 487 46.41% 33.34 68.79%
3 183 43.72% 35.78 72.68%
4 105 32.38% 39.3 78.1%
5 26 7.69% 35.27 65.38%
6 32 46.88% 30.66 53.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 987
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 292
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 195
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 419
Lose: Invader deck ran out 6
Lose: Adversary condition 98
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 26
Win: Scenario condition 12
Lose: Blight pool ran out 119
Lose: Spirit destroyed 7

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 4

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 54 59.26% 34.2 -0.058 50.0% -0.241 -0.336
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 88 54.55% 39.69 0.796 63.64% 0.226 -0.2505
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 17 70.59% 42.18 -3.86 64.71% -0.367 -0.2547
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 42 52.38% 46.24 5.838 76.19% 0.976 0.1627
Dances Up Earthquakes 243 50.21% 38.33 -0.615 61.73% -0.127 -0.1357
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 69 57.97% 37.71 -1.038 59.42% -0.145 -0.2851
Downpour Drenches the World 88 47.73% 34.78 0.11 50.0% -0.125 0.1021
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 184 52.72% 40.0 2.609 62.5% 0.48 -0.0897
Eyes Watch From the Trees 131 41.98% 41.45 1.165 66.41% 0.216 -0.1711
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 55 49.09% 36.47 2.387 56.36% 0.482 0.0885
Finder of Paths Unseen 35 57.14% 26.0 -2.753 42.86% -0.256 0.4721
Fractured Days Split the Sky 25 32.0% 37.44 3.504 56.0% 0.406 1.0466
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 80 56.25% 35.8 -0.487 53.75% -0.333 -0.4669
Heart of the Wildfire 80 73.75% 28.79 -3.329 40.0% -0.449 -0.1202
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 136 41.18% 45.72 2.907 75.0% 0.666 0.2428
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 76 46.05% 42.46 2.696 69.74% 0.425 0.1185
Lightning's Swift Strike 25 80.0% 31.6 -3.593 40.0% -0.352 -0.114
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 51 60.78% 38.02 -2.179 60.78% -0.362 -0.7699
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 21 38.1% 54.05 9.647 90.48% 0.751 0.4314
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 37 37.84% 42.78 2.095 64.86% 0.212 0.1314
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 160 48.13% 42.04 2.788 69.38% 0.599 0.4061
Many Minds Move as One 67 37.31% 39.18 -1.568 62.69% -0.033 -0.2492
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 42 45.24% 41.69 2.873 61.9% 0.315 0.4542
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 355 63.84% 37.53 -1.755 61.97% -0.187 -0.1064
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 71 60.56% 34.25 -1.718 54.93% -0.04 -0.1182
River Surges in Sunlight 35 57.14% 38.14 0.861 60.0% 0.127 0.2529
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 44 40.91% 33.05 -2.923 54.55% -0.211 -0.0333
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 16 75.0% 18.25 -9.635 12.5% -1.684 -1.4047
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 83 61.45% 44.14 1.666 69.88% 0.352 0.2293
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 85 48.24% 40.8 1.439 63.53% 0.063 -0.0636
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 113 44.25% 45.94 0.883 76.11% 0.276 0.1635
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2 0.0% 26.0 -14.621 50.0% -0.339 0.1767
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 77.78% 41.44 2.777 55.56% 0.051 0.033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 49 57.14% 43.82 3.015 71.43% 0.422 -0.0811
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 11 72.73% 35.18 6.746 36.36% 0.522 0.3308
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 3 66.67% 33.67 -1.217 33.33% -0.198 -0.2574
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 100.0% 22.25 -2.999 25.0% 0.041 0.122
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 27 33.33% 32.67 -5.516 48.15% -0.602 -0.5229
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 29 62.07% 40.31 3.713 65.52% 0.569 0.3824
Shifting Memory of Ages 36 77.78% 37.25 1.628 55.56% 0.638 0.9049
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 69 37.68% 44.68 7.927 75.36% 1.872 1.754
Shroud of Silent Mist 31 64.52% 29.29 -3.145 48.39% -0.208 0.1427
Starlight Seeks its Form 195 51.28% 39.42 2.961 64.62% 0.697 0.5794
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 140 41.43% 30.3 -4.122 47.86% -0.494 -1.0075
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 56 55.36% 31.39 -4.889 50.0% -0.562 -0.4446
Thunderspeaker 46 58.7% 37.11 -0.04 56.52% -0.044 -0.0117
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 15 53.33% 39.2 -3.819 60.0% -0.566 -0.5526
Towering Roots of the Jungle 138 63.04% 31.41 -3.616 44.93% -0.637 -0.5079
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 113 70.8% 36.55 0.219 57.52% -0.093 0.0332
Vital Strength of the Earth 20 60.0% 25.0 0.147 35.0% 0.021 0.621
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 39 58.97% 33.9 -4.145 43.59% -1.017 -0.523
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 23 47.83% 28.09 -6.243 39.13% -1.042 -0.3442
Volcano Looming High 121 63.64% 35.37 -0.955 51.24% -0.398 -0.3504
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 101 66.34% 35.41 -1.815 51.49% -0.468 -0.7575

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Diversity of Spirits 0 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Blitz 0 8 62.5% 19.0 -12.365 12.5% -0.747 -0.5292
Dahan Insurrection 4 11 45.45% 45.73 -12.421 54.55% -1.04 -1.2931
Despicable Theft 2 3 66.67% 31.67 -14.996 33.33% -0.189 0.3972
Elemental Invocation 1 4 25.0% 6.5 -12.985 0.0% -1.313 -0.5731
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 76 23.68% 35.28 -2.28 44.74% -1.086 -1.6473
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 66.67% 16.22 -8.421 0.0% -1.274 -0.5146
Rituals of Terror 3 3 33.33% 26.0 0.233 33.33% -0.196 -0.0761
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 100.0% 21.0 -10.263 0.0% -0.625 0.282
Second Wave 0 24 66.67% 25.75 -12.468 29.17% -1.369 -1.2309
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 24.33 -3.362 33.33% -0.476 0.6244
Varied Terrains 2 1 0.0% 75.0 11.777 100.0% 0.185 0.9607
Ward the Shores 2 7 57.14% 22.71 -8.024 14.29% -1.042 0.0321

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 1312 54.54% 36.84 0.348 58.46% -0.005 0.3276
1 Thematic 56 62.5% 31.89 -2.258 35.71% -0.824 -0.1385
2 Archipelago 3 33.33% 32.67 0.0 33.33%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 333 54.35% 39.23 -0.312 62.76% -0.009 0.1104
2 Coastline 50 46.0% 37.18 -0.203 60.0% -0.007 -0.0791
2 Fragment 14 71.43% 47.21 4.425 78.57% 0.145 -0.0398
2 Heart 9 66.67% 38.33 -2.638 44.44% -0.457 -0.6138
2 Opposite Shores 76 71.05% 40.46 3.35 64.47% 0.611 0.7617
2 Thematic 29 44.83% 16.48 -7.016 27.59% -0.922 -0.4141
2 Top to Top 14 42.86% 41.21 -0.676 71.43% 0.173 0.1145
3 Archipelago 1 100.0% 57.0 0.0 100.0%
3 Other 3 100.0% 22.0 6.949 0.0% 0.731 -0.0407
3 Round (Default) 221 51.58% 39.11 -0.324 61.99% -0.02 -0.1116
3 Thematic 8 75.0% 43.13 10.588 62.5% 1.174 1.1948
4 Leaf 4 100.0% 33.75 -1.31 25.0% -0.475 -0.6363
4 Other 8 50.0% 40.38 3.389 75.0% 0.496 -0.2153
4 Thematic 6 50.0% 38.17 -13.228 50.0% -0.231 -0.1082
4 Trapezoid (Default) 82 51.22% 47.06 3.131 80.49% 0.651 0.6482
5 Other 27 29.63% 32.96 -2.138 40.74% -0.333 -0.8466
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
6 Other 2 50.0% 58.0 6.695 100.0% 0.254 0.1502
6 Star 11 36.36% 19.09 2.273 36.36% 0.056 0.0425
6 Thematic 5 60.0% 15.4 -3.247 20.0% -0.195 0.0903
6 Two Centers (Default) 21 80.95% 37.86 -4.129 47.62% -0.782 -0.2492

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 74 38.69 0.886 59.46% 0.048 0.2989
Aid From Lesser Spirits 48 39.94 -3.398 64.58% -0.638 -0.696
All Things Weaken 62 32.92 -2.916 45.16% -0.698 -0.3634
Attenuated Essence 73 33.48 -2.863 47.95% -0.579 -0.5453
Back Against the Wall 41 30.02 -6.67 36.59% -1.366 -1.3312
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 73 33.51 -0.396 52.05% -0.066 0.151
Burn Brightest Before the End 44 39.45 -0.171 56.82% -0.501 -0.4908
Disintegrating Ecosystem 65 34.08 -1.223 53.85% -0.161 0.1837
Downward Spiral 52 37.35 0.332 53.85% -0.14 -0.0226
Erosion of Will 54 34.31 -1.373 46.3% -0.553 -0.2782
Intensifying Exploitation 59 34.92 0.911 54.24% 0.08 0.291
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 32 34.47 -1.179 56.25% -0.3 -0.8723
Memory Fades to Dust 72 38.46 -0.605 59.72% -0.242 0.0107
Power Corrodes the Spirit 56 33.16 -6.206 51.79% -1.049 -0.8447
Promising Farmlands 69 34.12 -0.643 50.72% -0.446 -0.1921
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 34.16 -3.191 48.84% -0.894 -0.82
Slow Dissolution of Will 67 35.61 1.011 52.24% -0.039 0.3422
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 14 39.43 8.848 64.29% 0.44 -0.2336
The Border of Life and Death 19 34.68 1.762 57.89% 0.202 -0.3987
Thriving Communities 73 36.63 -0.995 58.9% -0.14 0.142
Thriving Crops 23 39.61 -1.977 69.57% -0.069 -0.2089
Unnatural Proliferation 82 33.33 -2.216 46.34% -0.549 -0.3452
Untended Land Crumbles 60 31.42 -1.89 46.67% -0.564 -0.3738

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 475 54.43% 38.06 -1.026 60.63% -0.102 0.8954
B 544 52.76% 37.99 -0.188 59.38% -0.017 0.9055
C 562 56.05% 38.77 0.316 60.85% 0.098 0.8271
D 451 57.21% 36.85 -0.587 58.76% 0.064 1.0227
E 467 51.82% 39.85 0.272 63.6% 0.082 0.9015
F 415 51.08% 40.09 2.523 64.1% 0.58 1.4622
G 397 57.68% 38.23 0.671 60.2% 0.233 1.0583
H 403 51.86% 38.45 0.293 60.55% 0.29 1.1288
East 80 57.5% 25.69 -5.553 32.5% -0.359 0.5155
Northeast 45 51.11% 19.38 -4.15 28.89% -0.414 0.3385
Northwest 35 48.57% 30.54 2.883 45.71% 0.482 1.3737
Southeast 33 66.67% 28.73 -2.81 30.3% -0.55 0.2888
Southwest 20 55.0% 17.6 -7.332 20.0% -0.729 0.5754
West 60 56.67% 29.95 2.118 41.67% 0.327 1.277

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 -24.101 0.0% -0.687 0.0415
Not Using Events or Tokens 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Skip Initial Invader Actions 24 30.43% 58.17 8.583 83.33% 0.763 0.1599
Start of Game Growth 71 28.57% 43.06 5.02 64.79% 0.736 0.2324
Unlimited Undo 272 56.83% 37.31 -1.303 58.82% -0.363 -0.4705
Using Tokens but Not Events 181 43.89% 37.12 -0.109 63.54% 0.027 -0.003

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 455 13.42 0.66%
II 700 30.13 45.29%
III 934 34.83 88.87%
IV 209 38.67 99.52%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.019 Win Model: -0.178
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 1380 54.68% 36.64 57.61%
2 519 56.26% 38.33 61.08%
3 235 53.62% 38.92 60.43%
4 97 51.55% 45.93 78.35%
5 28 28.57% 31.79 39.29%
6 39 64.1% 30.72 43.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 3
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 826
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 310
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 207
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 446
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1
Lose: Adversary condition 132
Win: Sacrifice victory 5
Lose: Scenario condition 23
Win: Scenario condition 7
Lose: Blight pool ran out 320
Lose: Spirit destroyed 18

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 5

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 19 68.42% 42.37 0.789 52.63% -0.091 -0.186
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 21 38.1% 51.14 7.993 66.67% 1.211 0.7352
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3 0.0% 49.0 -6.084 66.67% -0.27 -0.1573
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 34 67.65% 57.29 8.918 79.41% 1.137 0.3238
Dances Up Earthquakes 75 64.0% 37.23 -2.514 44.0% -0.306 -0.3147
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 30 73.33% 34.23 -3.234 33.33% -0.373 -0.5125
Downpour Drenches the World 26 50.0% 34.5 0.873 38.46% 0.31 0.5378
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 88 57.95% 52.42 5.568 75.0% 0.931 0.3611
Eyes Watch From the Trees 54 64.81% 37.69 -1.529 46.3% -0.288 -0.6757
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 12 66.67% 43.08 -1.489 58.33% -0.107 -0.501
Finder of Paths Unseen 12 66.67% 23.25 -5.543 25.0% -0.4 0.3282
Fractured Days Split the Sky 10 70.0% 42.5 1.019 60.0% 0.462 1.1028
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 27 81.48% 39.44 -0.652 48.15% -0.165 -0.299
Heart of the Wildfire 20 55.0% 33.4 -0.624 45.0% 0.019 0.3481
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 109 43.12% 45.76 -1.43 62.39% -0.204 -0.6271
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 35 65.71% 35.09 -4.772 48.57% -0.414 -0.7203
Lightning's Swift Strike 6 66.67% 34.0 -5.535 33.33% -0.857 -0.619
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 46 69.57% 52.35 6.329 63.04% 0.865 0.4576
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 12 58.33% 60.83 10.411 83.33% 1.083 0.7643
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 13 53.85% 43.08 2.221 61.54% 0.172 0.0914
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 81 61.73% 37.99 -2.241 48.15% -0.166 -0.3588
Many Minds Move as One 17 64.71% 37.06 -3.182 47.06% -0.473 -0.6894
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25 48.0% 33.72 0.861 40.0% 0.02 0.1593
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 156 73.08% 35.87 0.944 47.44% 0.412 0.4933
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 33 63.64% 43.97 5.62 60.61% 1.001 0.9229
River Surges in Sunlight 17 58.82% 47.53 5.299 58.82% 0.6 0.7254
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 32 84.38% 22.72 -6.801 15.63% -1.083 -0.9051
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 8 25.0% 36.25 -15.909 50.0% -0.762 -0.4827
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 18 88.89% 37.33 3.18 50.0% 0.58 0.4574
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 22 45.45% 41.95 7.389 54.55% 0.626 0.4995
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 56 64.29% 44.36 4.856 58.93% 0.944 0.8312
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2 100.0% 56.0 10.43 100.0% 0.762 1.2775
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 2 100.0% 48.5 7.035 50.0% 0.176 0.1571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 13 76.92% 33.54 1.982 38.46% 0.372 -0.1315
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 4 50.0% 31.0 1.823 25.0% 0.191 -0.001
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 1 0.0% 71.0 0.0 100.0%
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 2 50.0% 11.0 -13.296 0.0% -0.621 -0.5394
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 22 40.91% 34.45 -2.615 40.91% -0.358 -0.2788
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 13 76.92% 34.69 -1.163 38.46% -0.517 -0.7036
Shifting Memory of Ages 7 0.0% 37.71 -4.09 57.14% -0.156 0.1114
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 31 67.74% 38.32 -2.147 45.16% -0.817 -0.9357
Shroud of Silent Mist 8 75.0% 23.38 -7.729 25.0% -0.795 -0.4441
Starlight Seeks its Form 60 65.0% 36.65 -0.84 45.0% -0.047 -0.1651
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 49 57.14% 38.29 -0.385 51.02% 0.171 -0.3422
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 31 70.97% 35.45 -6.114 41.94% -0.977 -0.8599
Thunderspeaker 23 82.61% 30.78 -3.312 30.43% -0.913 -0.8809
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 8 75.0% 28.38 -6.633 25.0% -0.736 -0.7222
Towering Roots of the Jungle 55 56.36% 29.47 -8.335 34.55% -1.229 -1.0994
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 41 90.24% 47.8 4.375 60.98% 0.542 0.6684
Vital Strength of the Earth 10 100.0% 33.1 0.316 20.0% -0.139 0.4613
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 13 69.23% 41.62 0.004 46.15% -0.236 0.2573
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 2 50.0% 30.5 7.214 50.0% 0.221 0.9188
Volcano Looming High 41 58.54% 40.59 4.123 56.1% 0.79 0.8377
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 32 71.88% 32.28 0.285 37.5% -0.028 -0.3176

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 3 0.0% 0.0 -19.268 0.0% -0.745 -0.5278
Dahan Insurrection 4 6 50.0% 43.33 -12.585 50.0% -0.319 -0.5719
Despicable Theft 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.286 0.0% -0.313 0.2733
Elemental Invocation 1 3 33.33% 8.67 -13.779 0.0% -0.802 -0.0624
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 45 28.89% 46.09 1.792 53.33% -0.304 -0.8653
Powers Long Forgotten 1 3 33.33% 7.67 -18.092 0.0% -0.577 0.1825
Rituals of Terror 3 1 100.0% 20.0 -0.148 0.0% -0.036 0.0841
Second Wave 0 6 50.0% 40.5 -0.502 50.0% -0.014 0.1247
The Great River 3 1 0.0% 0.0 -19.712 0.0% -0.439 0.6613
Ward the Shores 2 1 0.0% 0.0 -14.691 0.0% -0.153 0.9212

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 752 60.51% 39.13 0.137 50.0% 0.203 0.5358
1 Thematic 47 63.83% 30.19 -3.218 27.66% -0.69 -0.0037
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 127 70.87% 37.65 -0.191 48.03% -0.132 -0.0127
2 Coastline 21 71.43% 50.14 6.573 71.43% 0.636 0.5636
2 Heart 3 66.67% 43.0 0.0 66.67%
2 Opposite Shores 36 77.78% 38.25 0.414 41.67% -0.031 0.12
2 Thematic 4 25.0% 6.5 -10.67 0.0% -0.725 -0.2174
2 Top to Top 4 100.0% 33.0 0.0 25.0%
3 Other 2 50.0% 0.0 -21.241 0.0% -0.556 -1.3269
3 Round (Default) 60 65.0% 49.33 3.465 66.67% 0.664 0.5732
3 Thematic 3 33.33% 23.33 0.0 33.33%
4 Leaf 1 100.0% 0.0 -16.126 0.0% -0.171 -0.3327
4 Other 1 100.0% 24.0 8.643 0.0% 0.246 -0.4652
4 Thematic 9 66.67% 42.0 0.496 44.44% 0.081 0.2037
4 Trapezoid (Default) 18 77.78% 42.94 -3.418 61.11% -0.267 -0.2695
5 Other 5 20.0% 43.6 1.408 60.0% 0.232 -0.2821
6 Other 3 33.33% 30.67 -1.227 33.33% 0.032 -0.0718
6 Star 2 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0%
6 Two Centers (Default) 5 80.0% 50.4 -3.797 60.0% -0.374 0.159
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 -15.03 0.0% -0.242 -0.8008

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 24 30.5 -7.042 29.17% -1.402 -1.1511
Aid From Lesser Spirits 22 43.91 5.289 50.0% 0.536 0.4783
All Things Weaken 42 33.45 -0.142 35.71% -0.205 0.1297
Attenuated Essence 34 39.56 -2.3 52.94% -0.26 -0.2261
Back Against the Wall 24 43.5 -1.044 50.0% -0.552 -0.5166
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 32 28.38 -0.361 31.25% -0.335 -0.1175
Burn Brightest Before the End 22 42.77 -0.658 45.45% -0.596 -0.5855
Disintegrating Ecosystem 34 41.03 -0.548 47.06% -0.447 -0.1028
Downward Spiral 47 41.17 1.801 55.32% 0.168 0.2852
Erosion of Will 42 34.1 -3.003 38.1% -0.609 -0.3345
Intensifying Exploitation 29 30.21 -5.149 34.48% -0.817 -0.6059
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 10 46.3 -0.893 70.0% 0.006 -0.5664
Memory Fades to Dust 31 31.97 -3.155 32.26% -0.692 -0.44
Power Corrodes the Spirit 40 45.2 5.826 60.0% 0.824 1.0282
Promising Farmlands 33 38.24 -1.333 45.45% -0.155 0.0993
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 38.61 -1.885 41.94% -0.628 -0.5536
Slow Dissolution of Will 45 31.0 -1.7 31.11% -0.619 -0.2378
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 8 61.5 12.378 100.0% 1.375 0.7009
The Border of Life and Death 7 46.14 -1.98 57.14% -0.444 -1.0447
Thriving Communities 43 32.91 -4.513 37.21% -0.804 -0.5226
Thriving Crops 15 44.67 5.514 66.67% 0.688 0.5476
Unnatural Proliferation 41 44.85 1.401 56.1% -0.038 0.1658
Untended Land Crumbles 38 43.13 4.851 55.26% 0.472 0.6618

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 161 63.35% 38.09 0.974 48.45% 0.216 1.2137
B 219 63.01% 39.56 1.423 49.32% 0.096 1.0187
C 241 65.15% 38.67 -2.389 49.79% -0.539 0.1902
D 176 72.16% 36.97 1.185 47.16% 0.183 1.1422
E 192 65.1% 39.27 0.53 50.52% 0.169 0.9878
F 219 54.79% 41.25 -1.52 53.88% -0.325 0.5569
G 144 65.28% 43.15 0.024 55.56% -0.087 0.7382
H 141 63.83% 45.33 2.047 59.57% 0.274 1.1126
East 39 46.15% 32.59 0.446 35.9% -0.199 0.6757
Northeast 16 50.0% 33.88 -2.714 37.5% -0.353 0.3989
Northwest 10 80.0% 33.4 -4.543 30.0% -0.79 0.1026
Southeast 21 42.86% 29.52 -5.415 33.33% -0.446 0.3932
Southwest 22 86.36% 19.73 -5.079 9.09% -0.697 0.608
West 35 74.29% 28.57 5.716 22.86% 0.667 1.6169

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Skip Initial Invader Actions 25 32.0% 61.8 8.82 80.0% 0.882 0.2793
Start of Game Growth 36 36.11% 48.06 5.901 61.11% 0.271 -0.2331
Unlimited Undo 86 48.84% 39.37 3.356 50.0% 0.614 0.5067
Using Tokens but Not Events 55 80.0% 28.84 5.818 40.0% 0.755 0.7258

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 235 13.42 0.0%
II 342 30.13 25.44%
III 369 34.83 81.57%
IV 159 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.138 Win Model: 0.07
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 805 60.37% 38.48 48.57%
2 190 73.16% 39.13 48.95%
3 65 63.08% 46.62 63.08%
4 29 75.86% 40.52 51.72%
5 5 20.0% 43.6 60.0%
6 11 45.45% 33.55 36.36%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 296
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 86
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 159
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 253
Lose: Adversary condition 84
Win: Sacrifice victory 3
Lose: Scenario condition 9
Win: Scenario condition 3
Lose: Blight pool ran out 203
Lose: Spirit destroyed 9

Habsburg Mining Expedition — Level 6

Results vs. Spirits

Spirit Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 163 54.6% 28.9 -0.406 26.38% 0.304 0.2087
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 181 52.49% 27.02 -4.773 27.07% -0.643 -1.1191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 60 66.67% 33.95 -0.117 28.33% 0.097 0.2095
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 257 59.53% 40.48 5.12 47.86% 1.055 0.2419
Dances Up Earthquakes 561 75.04% 33.01 2.219 33.51% 0.246 0.2366
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 110 85.45% 23.12 -0.597 16.36% -0.517 -0.6573
Downpour Drenches the World 173 67.05% 25.4 -3.454 23.12% -0.358 -0.1301
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 349 78.22% 31.46 2.764 32.66% 0.485 -0.084
Eyes Watch From the Trees 590 60.85% 24.74 -1.578 24.75% 0.137 -0.2508
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 113 66.37% 23.9 1.354 20.35% 0.102 -0.2915
Finder of Paths Unseen 77 46.75% 19.22 -2.761 19.48% -0.449 0.2789
Fractured Days Split the Sky 167 53.89% 27.02 -1.095 25.15% 0.023 0.6632
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 132 84.09% 25.34 -0.246 15.91% -0.426 -0.5593
Heart of the Wildfire 200 73.0% 18.52 -4.398 15.5% -0.646 -0.3167
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 488 71.31% 33.13 2.828 35.45% 0.613 0.19
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 146 76.03% 22.02 -4.981 11.64% -0.925 -1.2314
Lightning's Swift Strike 97 83.51% 17.11 -6.68 9.28% -1.432 -1.194
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 249 63.86% 31.4 -0.092 32.93% 0.237 -0.1702
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 49 75.0% 33.02 0.847 38.78% 0.533 0.2134
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 121 65.29% 27.69 3.884 30.58% 1.055 0.9742
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 491 64.56% 29.83 2.144 30.14% 0.453 0.2602
Many Minds Move as One 152 59.87% 44.01 9.754 49.34% 1.486 1.27
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 156 69.87% 39.01 3.023 42.95% 0.414 0.5538
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 901 74.25% 27.72 -0.651 27.08% 0.035 0.1158
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 170 76.47% 24.63 -1.873 16.47% -0.662 -0.7403
River Surges in Sunlight 115 66.96% 35.53 3.313 27.83% 0.094 0.2196
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 111 60.36% 23.75 -0.661 19.82% 0.034 0.2122
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 79 70.89% 17.75 -5.54 5.06% -1.565 -1.2861
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 191 68.95% 30.89 -0.234 32.46% -0.001 -0.1233
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 314 48.73% 37.51 1.268 43.63% 0.23 0.1033
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 184 69.57% 37.21 3.452 44.57% 1.055 0.9427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 24 79.17% 25.25 -1.437 20.83% -0.16 0.3559
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 9 88.89% 33.78 6.267 33.33% 0.63 0.6114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 165 80.61% 30.35 1.327 29.7% 0.183 -0.3199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 12 91.67% 38.92 4.357 33.33% 0.051 -0.1411
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 16 93.75% 18.88 -1.174 12.5% -0.268 -0.3272
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 18 88.89% 23.56 -0.962 16.67% -0.108 -0.0268
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 107 62.62% 30.72 1.465 33.64% 0.473 0.5526
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 82 62.2% 31.28 1.135 29.27% 0.117 -0.0693
Shifting Memory of Ages 123 56.91% 27.85 -3.551 26.83% -0.602 -0.3342
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 170 60.0% 27.73 0.915 27.65% 0.165 0.0465
Shroud of Silent Mist 96 81.25% 35.96 2.862 36.46% 0.429 0.7798
Starlight Seeks its Form 394 68.53% 32.95 2.548 36.55% 0.574 0.4565
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 616 62.66% 29.09 0.313 27.6% 0.377 -0.136
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 193 74.61% 19.5 -5.235 13.99% -0.795 -0.6771
Thunderspeaker 107 71.03% 25.35 -2.672 19.63% -0.436 -0.4038
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 20 75.0% 22.05 1.204 20.0% 0.288 0.3018
Towering Roots of the Jungle 216 72.69% 21.84 -3.387 16.67% -0.53 -0.4002
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 402 87.31% 37.74 3.819 44.78% 0.666 0.7919
Vital Strength of the Earth 51 80.39% 22.78 -2.975 17.65% -0.52 0.0795
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 112 62.5% 19.88 -3.256 16.96% -0.327 0.1669
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 73 71.23% 22.07 -4.054 16.44% -1.133 -0.4348
Volcano Looming High 258 77.13% 30.37 0.773 31.01% 0.367 0.4144
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 139 67.63% 24.17 -3.797 22.3% -0.318 -0.6084

Results in Scenarios

Scenario Difficulty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 35 22.86% 53.71 4.988 51.43% 0.14 0.3578
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 29.51% 19.95 -7.765 14.75% -0.571 -0.8237
Elemental Invocation 1 2 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 185 48.11% 30.01 2.414 28.11% 0.394 -0.1673
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
Rituals of Terror 3 48 35.42% 76.56 20.655 54.17% 1.057 1.1772
Second Wave 0 8 75.0% 19.0 -4.946 12.5% -0.407 -0.2683
The Great River 3 1 100.0% 0.0 -11.536 0.0% -0.14 0.9597
Varied Terrains 2 5 60.0% 16.2 0.0 0.0%
Ward the Shores 2 3 33.33% 37.0 5.387 33.33% 0.363 1.4376

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 6490 72.77% 27.13 -0.659 26.55% -0.078 0.2542
1 Thematic 158 58.23% 29.56 -2.658 29.75% -1.018 -0.3319
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 -8.238 0.0% -0.037 0.5705
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 520 74.62% 30.49 0.317 30.38% -0.314 -0.1943
2 Coastline 133 62.12% 39.32 2.302 48.87% 0.056 -0.0163
2 Fragment 6 66.67% 21.67 3.086 33.33% 0.53 0.3451
2 Heart 34 91.18% 40.38 2.85 38.24% 0.323 0.1663
2 Opposite Shores 198 66.67% 37.39 4.986 40.4% 0.246 0.3969
2 Thematic 40 35.0% 47.65 0.388 35.0% -0.267 0.2409
2 Top to Top 33 72.73% 33.09 2.652 33.33% 0.175 0.116
3 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%
3 Other 3 100.0% 53.67 2.919 66.67% -0.344 -1.1149
3 Round (Default) 314 68.15% 32.02 0.737 31.21% -0.119 -0.2097
3 Sunrise 5 80.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0%
3 Thematic 14 14.29% 73.0 27.852 42.86% 0.411 0.432
4 Coastline 5 60.0% 13.2 17.3 20.0% 0.435 0.3496
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0%
4 Other 3 66.67% 49.0 17.278 66.67% 1.25 0.539
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 0.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 17 29.41% 40.82 -0.74 29.41% 0.105 0.2275
4 Trapezoid (Default) 107 56.07% 32.11 -5.352 34.58% -1.215 -1.2177
5 Other 9 0.0% 15.0 -11.812 0.0% -0.443 -0.9572
6 Other 10 70.0% 41.3 5.649 50.0% 0.205 0.1015
6 Star 9 33.33% 10.0 0.0 11.11%
6 Thematic 15 6.67% 4.13 -15.113 0.0% -0.39 -0.1038
6 Two Centers (Default) 39 43.59% 47.74 2.6 48.72% -0.44 0.0933

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 262 31.77 3.147 28.24% 0.42 0.6711
Aid From Lesser Spirits 210 41.12 5.559 44.29% 0.869 0.8115
All Things Weaken 342 33.5 4.361 31.87% 0.708 1.0424
Attenuated Essence 325 31.25 2.63 29.85% 0.572 0.6051
Back Against the Wall 205 37.9 6.082 38.05% 0.875 0.9095
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 333 34.58 4.243 35.44% 0.884 1.1009
Burn Brightest Before the End 225 37.53 7.995 35.56% 1.183 1.1935
Disintegrating Ecosystem 317 33.71 3.671 35.33% 0.727 1.0716
Downward Spiral 317 30.99 3.168 30.91% 0.755 0.8724
Erosion of Will 302 33.48 4.199 30.46% 0.643 0.9171
Intensifying Exploitation 340 29.64 2.481 30.88% 0.817 1.0277
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 79 33.22 3.393 39.24% 0.79 0.2176
Memory Fades to Dust 365 32.05 2.407 30.14% 0.402 0.6542
Power Corrodes the Spirit 359 30.17 1.393 27.86% 0.303 0.507
Promising Farmlands 280 28.84 0.277 27.14% 0.269 0.523
Shattered Fragments of Power 189 33.32 2.702 30.69% 0.545 0.6187
Slow Dissolution of Will 294 31.05 1.769 26.87% 0.267 0.6481
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 36 42.89 12.332 55.56% 1.925 1.2511
The Border of Life and Death 48 33.44 9.754 37.5% 1.437 0.8366
Thriving Communities 294 30.71 3.632 30.27% 0.934 1.2155
Thriving Crops 71 33.63 5.302 39.44% 0.968 0.8274
Unnatural Proliferation 293 34.88 3.899 32.08% 0.651 0.8542
Untended Land Crumbles 335 31.77 3.642 30.15% 0.729 0.9195

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 1237 69.77% 27.28 -0.788 26.84% -0.221 0.7773
B 1365 67.55% 28.15 0.341 28.21% -0.112 0.8105
C 1690 70.93% 30.63 1.463 30.83% -0.042 0.6867
D 1310 72.6% 27.02 -1.036 26.03% -0.325 0.6339
E 1582 66.88% 29.1 0.08 29.71% -0.095 0.7242
F 1090 71.9% 30.59 1.041 30.28% -0.05 0.8319
G 890 70.9% 30.48 -0.298 30.56% -0.196 0.6292
H 997 72.12% 31.52 0.101 32.2% -0.21 0.6294
East 145 36.55% 37.48 2.022 29.66% 0.021 0.8959
Northeast 83 28.92% 40.84 0.545 28.92% -0.557 0.195
Northwest 53 28.3% 37.04 3.27 33.96% 0.532 1.4239
Southeast 46 30.43% 13.89 -7.959 13.04% -1.055 -0.2159
Southwest 67 40.3% 16.07 -5.694 17.91% -0.594 0.7109
West 169 47.34% 34.03 1.103 27.81% -0.584 0.3655

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 1 0.0% 0.0 -25.66 0.0% -0.738 -0.0088
Skip Initial Invader Actions 236 37.45% 52.0 9.504 60.59% 0.915 0.3119
Start of Game Growth 316 39.68% 50.96 10.505 61.08% 1.39 0.8859
Unlimited Undo 680 62.74% 42.66 7.685 54.12% 1.136 1.0287
Using Tokens but Not Events 450 51.45% 17.55 -6.075 19.33% -0.71 -0.7398

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3348 13.42 0.03%
II 2517 30.13 14.46%
III 1717 34.83 78.04%
IV 594 38.67 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.232 Win Model: 0.188
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 6706 72.38% 27.42 26.9%
2 928 69.47% 33.96 34.91%
3 334 67.37% 32.6 31.14%
4 127 55.12% 30.57 33.07%
5 8 0.0% 16.88 0.0%
6 73 38.36% 33.25 34.25%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1312
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 349
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 569
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3014
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5
Lose: Adversary condition 786
Win: Sacrifice victory 58
Lose: Scenario condition 24
Win: Scenario condition 10
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1960
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)