Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Habsburg Mining Expedition 0 1 55 3.64% 25.31 -5.591 60.0% -0.747 -0.3228
Habsburg Mining Expedition 1 3 51 5.88% 33.43 0.223 70.59% -0.109 -0.1103
Habsburg Mining Expedition 2 4 51 11.76% 33.06 -2.727 60.78% -0.662 -0.5317
Habsburg Mining Expedition 3 5 85 10.59% 33.66 -0.025 56.47% -0.73 -0.6737
Habsburg Mining Expedition 4 7 77 23.38% 35.56 0.002 45.45% -1.365 -0.9711
Habsburg Mining Expedition 5 9 46 30.43% 46.5 6.069 54.35% -0.524 0.3247
Habsburg Mining Expedition 6 10 194 48.97% 29.41 -2.011 26.8% -2.151 -0.3645
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 1024 9.18% 32.84 -3.6 75.1% -0.074 0.3705
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 653 11.27% 32.58 -2.382 61.72% -0.955 -0.7103
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 1052 13.21% 42.19 1.501 70.06% -0.638 -0.0856
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 998 18.48% 43.36 -1.204 64.23% -1.145 -0.1975
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 659 26.56% 49.14 0.274 60.09% -1.607 -0.2852
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 247 28.34% 40.67 5.058 37.65% -0.658 0.8483
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 3204 28.59% 47.21 -1.501 42.95% -2.041 -0.2385
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 2546 8.6% 29.28 -3.283 81.3% 0.091 0.3088
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 2666 10.84% 35.65 0.76 78.06% 0.273 0.2175
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 3869 9.96% 45.56 2.043 84.18% -0.176 -0.1739
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 4404 13.15% 49.95 3.736 80.68% -0.227 -0.0225
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 2958 13.37% 53.39 6.148 85.67% -0.039 0.1802
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 2239 14.94% 59.94 9.577 86.42% 0.008 0.4044
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 5223 35.5% 53.43 4.349 66.3% -1.098 0.1252
The Kingdom of England 0 1 2793 10.45% 30.9 -4.342 81.7% -0.202 0.1157
The Kingdom of England 1 3 1993 11.31% 35.68 -3.252 73.36% -0.823 -0.5324
The Kingdom of England 2 4 2828 14.87% 37.72 -1.398 70.9% -0.62 -0.143
The Kingdom of England 3 6 2740 19.88% 40.29 -0.118 57.99% -1.15 -0.1108
The Kingdom of England 4 7 8432 8.08% 51.58 4.04 77.62% -0.895 0.0864
The Kingdom of England 5 9 1605 18.1% 50.8 2.378 56.82% -1.823 -0.2914
The Kingdom of England 6 11 20661 21.54% 53.67 3.503 54.02% -1.417 0.4065
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 1613 12.06% 33.16 -7.537 79.23% -1.165 -0.811
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1279 22.78% 33.04 -5.176 70.52% -0.857 -0.028
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 1785 18.48% 39.99 2.409 65.04% -0.701 0.4633
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 1746 21.55% 48.74 3.185 69.36% -0.884 0.2874
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 1368 18.23% 52.04 7.081 66.89% -0.522 0.8007
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 2893 33.36% 62.43 10.327 81.2% -0.565 0.6791
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 11087 27.52% 60.93 6.877 66.83% -0.889 0.4961
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 270 12.59% 28.07 -6.193 67.41% -0.854 -0.6007
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 339 12.68% 29.48 -4.817 56.34% -1.042 -0.5997
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 414 18.6% 32.99 0.533 57.0% -0.204 0.1337
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 606 18.84% 40.58 1.067 56.11% -0.492 -0.5137
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 629 22.73% 46.71 0.62 68.84% -0.856 -0.3472
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 2023 29.12% 49.12 5.32 63.12% -0.46 -0.0107
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 2921 36.95% 43.93 -0.919 39.75% -2.146 -1.1013
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 2296 8.51% 28.31 -7.913 76.87% -1.129 -0.8622
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 2168 9.72% 38.2 2.59 75.14% -0.014 0.0223
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2305 18.34% 33.09 -2.126 67.85% -0.404 -0.2154
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 2335 23.84% 41.25 2.823 72.21% -0.187 0.0389
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 1351 23.85% 41.86 -3.601 66.4% -1.058 -0.3145
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 902 27.68% 46.65 2.46 68.4% -0.591 0.394
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 9325 23.31% 53.04 5.475 72.25% -0.399 0.4837
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 816 10.8% 29.85 -4.753 78.31% -0.236 -0.0321
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 666 22.29% 33.36 -5.665 67.72% -1.045 -0.2578
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 844 23.82% 39.72 -5.488 75.47% -1.23 -0.96
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 993 34.74% 45.56 -0.927 72.21% -0.82 0.2842
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 813 26.57% 51.26 3.97 71.71% -0.649 0.3045
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 651 30.88% 55.28 10.871 65.28% -0.09 1.3032
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 2988 44.52% 48.16 -3.548 41.73% -2.05 -0.507

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 81119 21.31 42.67 71.02% 0.191 0.5596 -0.351
1 Thematic 13270 22.58 44.3 62.89% -0.109 0.5706 -0.652
2 Archipelago 161 28.57 36.57 46.58% -0.553 0.1734 -1.069
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10778 8.21 40.02 77.73% -0.267 -0.1234 -0.178
2 Coastline 2261 21.96 38.55 64.48% 0.251 0.2134 -1.213
2 Fragment 349 17.1 37.77 72.21% 0.704 0.5638 -0.054
2 Heart 209 18.27 37.24 75.6% -0.789 -0.8868 -0.871
2 Opposite Shores 6877 14.46 41.65 77.49% 0.708 0.9057 -0.486
2 Thematic 3304 12.13 49.58 64.41% -0.103 0.4071 0.169
2 Top to Top 280 12.18 39.77 72.86% -0.169 -0.1948 -0.009
3 Archipelago 71 29.58 58.45 80.28% 0.629 -0.157 0.314
3 Coastline 42 7.32 40.67 73.81% 0.114 -0.2318 0.996
3 Other 425 7.76 26.88 55.29% 0.3 -0.355 -0.043
3 Round (Default) 11097 17.73 44.78 71.89% 0.318 0.2721 -0.242
3 Sunrise 55 12.73 60.22 85.45% 0.921
3 Thematic 542 18.3 42.49 69.56% -1.157 -1.1701 0.297
4 Archipelago 67 20.9 43.93 61.19% -0.968
4 Coastline 7 0.0 57.0 71.43% 0.067
4 Leaf 35 17.14 40.86 60.0% -0.904
4 Other 271 14.76 54.15 92.62% 1.011 0.4412 1.118
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0 49.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 3040 9.19 62.46 82.07% -0.254 -0.2095 0.668
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9160 9.08 49.88 79.29% -0.319 -0.2769 0.153
5 Archipelago 15 13.33 42.93 60.0% -0.858 -1.1324 0.478
5 Coastline 1 0.0 63.0 100.0% 0.242
5 Other 272 16.91 42.89 69.12% 0.124 -0.3333 0.401
5 Thematic 98 6.12 69.33 83.67% 1.998
6 Archipelago 439 2.51 66.68 77.68% 0.116 -0.8608 -1.014
6 Coastline 2 0.0 15.5 50.0%
6 Other 237 1.27 46.71 67.09% -0.12 -0.1729 -0.948
6 Star 155 5.16 33.71 60.0% -0.687 -0.6843 -0.799
6 Thematic 1163 3.1 47.17 58.13% 0.163 0.3132 0.042
6 Two Centers (Default) 688 2.76 36.7 58.28% -0.974 -0.4554 -1.81
7 Archipelago 3 0.0 49.33 33.33% 0.405 0.1025 0.924
7 Other 7 0.0 21.71 28.57% -0.288 -0.7446 -0.343

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1822 42.16 58.07% -0.098 0.1558 -0.423
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1536 44.54 59.57% 1.232 1.1588 -0.377
All Things Weaken 1383 40.62 54.37% -0.202 0.1165 -0.634
Attenuated Essence 293 40.2 56.66% -0.564 -0.5136 -0.433
Back Against the Wall 1487 42.81 56.29% 0.427 0.4541 -0.473
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 226 39.66 53.1% 0.596 0.8087 -0.59
Burn Brightest Before the End 194 38.65 44.33% -0.392 -0.3714 -0.779
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1684 37.71 52.02% -0.349 -0.0062 -0.842
Downward Spiral 3383 38.81 58.91% -0.06 0.0584 -0.426
Erosion of Will 1670 40.03 53.77% 0.176 0.4632 -0.657
Intensifying Exploitation 250 38.76 54.0% 0.005 0.231 -0.556
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 757 44.78 69.09% 0.542 -0.026 -0.153
Memory Fades to Dust 3264 38.44 56.31% -0.745 -0.5015 -0.535
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1322 42.33 58.32% -0.146 0.0524 -0.439
Promising Farmlands 1614 36.89 46.96% -0.145 0.1286 -0.947
Shattered Fragments of Power 211 40.8 49.29% 0.054 0.1418 -0.675
Slow Dissolution of Will 266 36.67 45.11% -0.269 0.1181 -0.908
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 525 47.27 76.38% 1.013 0.3619 0.138
The Border of Life and Death 97 39.02 60.82% 0.477 -0.122 -0.353
Thriving Communities 1292 37.84 46.52% -0.222 0.093 -0.854
Thriving Crops 141 35.04 47.52% -0.553 -0.6945 -0.685
Tipping Point 350 36.95 47.14% -0.962
Unnatural Proliferation 1353 40.18 51.59% -0.278 -0.0807 -0.692
Untended Land Crumbles 1338 41.56 57.17% 0.917 1.1222 -0.496

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 34625 15.78% 44.46 74.02% -0.492 0.4984 -0.653
B 35211 15.6% 44.53 74.85% -0.443 0.4682 -0.46
C 35216 13.74% 43.82 75.47% -0.527 0.1961 -0.547
D 25699 15.47% 41.59 72.76% -0.47 0.4792 -0.689
E 16397 16.0% 44.2 70.92% -0.751 0.0576 -0.578
F 21172 17.33% 44.8 72.17% -0.52 0.356 -0.659
G 19270 18.33% 43.48 70.24% -0.786 0.0276 -0.838
H 19487 15.41% 44.88 72.27% -0.568 0.2525 -0.6
East 14911 15.58% 49.81 67.13% -0.67 0.2303 -0.575
Northeast 9185 15.05% 50.92 66.58% -0.511 0.277 -0.687
Northwest 7193 15.03% 51.47 68.37% -0.631 0.2969 -0.529
Southeast 4032 8.72% 48.95 68.2% -0.298 0.5174 -0.63
Southwest 3748 11.26% 45.94 65.61% -1.201 0.1342 -1.265
West 12816 15.68% 49.39 67.87% -0.445 0.5349 -0.6

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1177 0.0% 32.81 80.8% -0.717 0.0137 -0.432
Not Using Events or Tokens 14455 16.18% 36.91 65.31% -0.07 0.2775 -0.12
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9848 5.44% 58.7 83.33% 0.68 0.1035 0.699
Start of Game Growth 13970 5.9% 56.8 81.27% 0.563 0.0611 -0.467
Unlimited Undo 12264 13.47% 47.43 79.62% -0.034 -0.1483 0.438
Using Tokens but Not Events 21492 10.75% 45.14 81.72% 0.447 0.4164 0.419

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 56300 13.4 45.01%
II 64261 30.12 85.43%
III 21490 34.83 93.05%
IV 4530 38.67 99.98%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.352 Win Model: 0.656
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 95318 21.5% 42.81 69.71%
2 23651 11.97% 41.9 75.01%
3 12078 17.34% 44.19 71.53%
4 12648 9.2% 53.13 80.22%
5 236 11.02% 37.61 54.66%
6 2649 2.95% 47.09 62.85%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 25314
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19910
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 54776
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4478
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9132
Lose: Invader deck ran out 441
Lose: Adversary condition 5135
Win: Sacrifice victory 284
Lose: Scenario condition 22036
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4900
Lose: Spirit destroyed 175

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-08-03 03:34:55 (Pacific Time)