Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 874 9.38% 33.23 -4.139 76.66% -0.614 -0.2474
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 577 11.89% 32.74 -2.631 62.74% -0.853 -0.5379
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 928 13.58% 42.69 4.616 71.34% 0.006 0.7716
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 916 18.61% 44.34 -0.016 66.05% -0.811 0.1459
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 588 26.19% 49.22 5.927 60.88% -0.729 0.5771
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 207 31.4% 40.42 3.763 36.71% -0.463 1.2056
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 2859 29.66% 48.65 5.835 44.49% -1.326 0.6511
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 2392 8.47% 29.72 -4.566 82.57% -0.429 -0.215
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 2331 10.2% 35.66 -2.387 79.62% -0.418 -0.3088
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 3369 10.54% 45.57 5.72 85.07% 0.592 0.6673
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3801 12.34% 50.14 7.558 82.72% 0.596 0.7776
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 2719 13.25% 53.55 5.686 86.54% -0.157 0.2334
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1853 16.44% 59.97 11.368 86.4% 0.37 0.9063
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 4695 35.75% 54.58 1.637 67.92% -1.238 0.0492
The Kingdom of England 0 1 2557 10.32% 31.4 -1.91 83.46% -0.254 0.1591
The Kingdom of England 1 3 1776 11.22% 36.72 -1.015 75.9% -0.354 -0.074
The Kingdom of England 2 4 2589 14.01% 38.36 -1.308 72.61% -0.713 -0.1341
The Kingdom of England 3 6 2536 20.39% 40.59 -0.944 58.79% -1.198 -0.0439
The Kingdom of England 4 7 6969 8.92% 52.73 1.649 79.25% -1.019 0.0712
The Kingdom of England 5 9 1434 18.86% 51.74 1.616 58.02% -1.576 -0.1807
The Kingdom of England 6 11 18675 22.28% 54.46 6.158 54.62% -1.244 0.7383
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 1533 12.08% 33.63 -3.625 80.89% -0.314 0.1507
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1160 23.48% 33.51 -4.486 71.55% -0.962 -0.3076
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 1605 17.99% 40.12 -1.596 65.3% -1.025 -0.0388
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 1556 21.55% 49.96 5.771 71.79% -0.211 1.1486
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 1279 18.48% 52.42 9.366 67.47% -0.166 1.1798
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 2483 32.86% 63.11 12.236 83.08% 0.146 1.124
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 10135 27.81% 61.58 8.021 67.6% -0.845 0.5768
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 212 11.79% 28.43 -2.915 69.81% 0.048 0.1868
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 215 11.63% 29.67 -1.665 56.74% -0.459 -0.0363
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 302 17.55% 32.63 -2.608 56.29% -0.905 -0.5197
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 436 18.62% 40.88 1.657 56.19% -0.854 -0.4656
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 508 22.83% 47.51 -1.902 71.26% -1.275 -0.602
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 1461 27.93% 50.99 8.001 66.8% -0.547 0.0881
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 2292 40.33% 45.61 3.432 40.84% -1.389 -0.3371
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 2139 8.43% 28.99 -6.166 78.96% -0.952 -0.6495
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 1771 11.16% 35.25 0.8 75.89% -0.224 -0.1561
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2047 18.49% 33.28 -2.223 68.73% -0.665 -0.5426
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 2050 23.2% 41.69 -0.635 73.61% -0.64 -0.2633
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 1223 24.55% 42.59 1.045 67.78% -0.713 -0.1252
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 816 27.78% 47.26 -1.262 69.24% -1.14 -0.0508
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 8236 23.5% 53.74 7.89 73.26% -0.214 0.7301
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 706 10.62% 30.28 -3.341 80.74% 0.058 0.1221
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 541 20.96% 35.65 3.115 73.94% 0.651 1.4464
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 735 24.9% 40.72 0.548 77.82% -0.318 0.1891
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 891 34.68% 46.6 5.297 74.75% -0.14 0.8127
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 717 26.78% 51.79 2.464 73.64% -0.822 0.0555
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 585 32.14% 54.76 4.89 64.1% -0.87 0.5017
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 2704 45.02% 49.66 1.097 42.86% -1.942 -0.1225

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 72416 21.8 43.28 72.12% 0.243 0.5871 -0.384
1 Thematic 11685 22.77 44.68 64.24% 0.063 0.591 -0.655
2 Archipelago 110 22.73 39.2 53.64% 0.308 0.8073 -0.878
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9839 8.2 40.64 79.41% -0.177 0.1071 -0.094
2 Coastline 1966 23.99 38.69 62.97% -0.362 -0.3329 -1.299
2 Fragment 326 17.39 38.24 72.39% 0.737 0.5 0.03
2 Heart 192 17.71 38.36 77.6% 0.427 0.2794 -0.833
2 Opposite Shores 6062 14.45 41.94 77.42% -0.155 -0.0954 -0.516
2 Thematic 2946 12.14 51.01 66.84% 0.165 0.5353 0.254
2 Top to Top 256 12.96 40.49 73.83% 0.854 0.977 0.033
3 Archipelago 55 32.73 58.89 80.0% 0.233 -0.5642 -0.078
3 Coastline 38 8.11 42.11 78.95% 0.474 -0.075 1.177
3 Other 414 7.73 26.89 55.07% 0.766 0.2283 -0.095
3 Round (Default) 9725 17.45 45.34 72.85% -0.094 -0.1869 -0.251
3 Sunrise 54 11.11 60.72 85.19% 0.911
3 Thematic 481 15.83 43.93 72.56% -0.502 -1.02 0.529
4 Archipelago 57 21.05 45.21 63.16% -0.029 0.4036 -0.975
4 Coastline 6 0.0 62.0 83.33% 0.476
4 Leaf 33 18.18 41.09 60.61% 0.32 0.1089 -1.011
4 Other 270 14.81 54.09 92.59% -1.332 -1.3246 0.939
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0 49.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 2879 8.59 63.72 83.92% -0.38 -0.2469 0.76
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8446 9.19 50.37 80.09% -0.412 -0.3051 0.225
5 Archipelago 10 20.0 57.4 80.0% 0.3
5 Coastline 1 0.0 63.0 100.0% 0.228
5 Other 207 19.32 44.1 72.95% -0.529 -1.0433 0.434
5 Thematic 97 5.15 69.89 84.54% 0.777 -0.2055 1.661
6 Archipelago 194 3.61 64.59 76.8% 0.633 -0.0963 -0.998
6 Coastline 1 0.0 31.0 100.0%
6 Other 181 0.55 53.43 75.14% -0.445 0.1905 -0.603
6 Star 115 6.09 35.57 63.48% 0.064 0.3089 -0.42
6 Thematic 855 2.34 47.61 59.42% -0.697 -0.3742 0.058
6 Two Centers (Default) 608 2.63 39.59 61.02% -1.019 -1.1223 -1.583
7 Archipelago 3 0.0 49.33 33.33% 0.366 0.958 0.598
7 Other 3 0.0 36.67 33.33% 0.077 -1.3596 -0.259

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1705 42.29 58.24% 0.768 0.8716 -0.478
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1425 43.99 58.53% 0.758 0.6137 -0.496
All Things Weaken 1261 41.09 55.19% -0.904 -0.5379 -0.68
Attenuated Essence 201 40.8 57.71% 0.029 0.0276 -0.599
Back Against the Wall 1403 42.68 56.09% -0.062 0.0032 -0.523
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 152 38.62 49.34% 0.191 0.4262 -0.801
Burn Brightest Before the End 126 37.32 43.65% -1.044 -0.8832 -0.689
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1552 37.99 52.32% -0.527 -0.1516 -0.9
Downward Spiral 3116 39.07 59.11% 0.222 0.2939 -0.505
Erosion of Will 1545 39.84 53.4% -0.201 0.0559 -0.757
Intensifying Exploitation 167 39.53 53.89% 0.884 1.1578 -0.616
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 692 45.07 69.08% 0.222 -0.2647 -0.253
Memory Fades to Dust 2986 38.67 57.13% 0.003 0.1855 -0.607
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1201 42.98 59.62% 0.132 0.3445 -0.462
Promising Farmlands 1491 37.19 47.15% 0.03 0.3534 -0.979
Shattered Fragments of Power 145 42.2 51.72% -0.109 0.0617 -0.691
Slow Dissolution of Will 160 35.29 41.25% -0.537 -0.1535 -1.008
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 480 47.69 77.5% 0.842 0.1659 0.141
The Border of Life and Death 56 38.71 66.07% -0.199 -0.7153 -0.198
Thriving Communities 1179 38.09 46.99% -0.463 -0.1394 -0.897
Thriving Crops 88 35.34 48.86% -0.679 -0.6773 -0.692
Tipping Point 350 36.95 47.14% -0.997
Unnatural Proliferation 1219 40.39 51.68% -0.787 -0.6002 -0.762
Untended Land Crumbles 1216 41.69 57.73% -0.132 0.2067 -0.567

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 30929 16.16% 44.9 74.8% -0.344 0.5196 -0.427
B 31303 15.79% 44.97 75.89% -0.181 0.64 -0.26
C 31220 13.84% 44.2 76.59% -0.46 0.2382 -0.32
D 22896 15.66% 42.15 74.31% -0.462 0.3938 -0.444
E 14293 16.24% 45.24 72.41% -0.343 0.3451 -0.342
F 18813 17.74% 45.6 73.36% -0.375 0.443 -0.408
G 17300 18.73% 43.78 70.87% -0.764 0.1161 -0.609
H 17252 15.71% 45.3 73.42% -0.332 0.4486 -0.349
East 13055 15.31% 50.89 69.49% -0.556 0.2364 -0.295
Northeast 7989 14.53% 52.08 68.93% -0.187 0.6942 -0.408
Northwest 6415 15.06% 52.77 70.48% -0.599 0.2726 -0.286
Southeast 3330 8.51% 50.08 71.5% -0.772 0.0869 -0.327
Southwest 3148 11.2% 47.21 68.3% -0.074 1.135 -0.958
West 11469 15.61% 50.54 69.74% -0.743 0.317 -0.426

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1086 0.0% 34.01 82.97% -0.298 0.4174 -0.548
Not Using Events or Tokens 12799 16.21% 37.98 67.15% -0.271 0.2027 -0.147
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8995 5.32% 59.45 84.69% 0.133 -0.4339 0.76
Start of Game Growth 12710 5.82% 57.44 82.67% 0.71 0.0458 -0.571
Unlimited Undo 11200 12.79% 48.59 81.87% -0.021 0.0023 0.555
Using Tokens but Not Events 18595 11.26% 45.17 83.52% 0.018 0.0655 0.506

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 48784 15.45 46.71%
II 58148 30.45 85.61%
III 19538 34.8 93.13%
IV 4104 38.47 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.073 Win Model: 0.456
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 84784 21.95% 43.43 70.94%
2 21296 12.08% 42.33 75.71%
3 10638 16.93% 44.67 72.46%
4 11769 9.16% 53.88 81.28%
5 155 12.9% 34.54 53.55%
6 1931 2.69% 47.19 64.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 22766
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18117
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 49677
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4058
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5708
Lose: Invader deck ran out 398
Lose: Adversary condition 4771
Win: Sacrifice victory 251
Lose: Scenario condition 20144
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4531
Lose: Spirit destroyed 153

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)