Guard the Isle's Heart

Difficulty	Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
0	103269	18.8%	45.72	75.2%

Results using Spirits

Spirit	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	10550	11.87%	44.95	76.38%	-0.351	-0.4797	-0.03
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	3195	22.63%	39.52	69.11%	-0.321	-0.2792	-0.644
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	5035	13.7%	44.55	77.8%	0.114	-0.0352	-0.144
Downpour Drenches the World	629	12.24%	45.52	68.36%	-0.317	-0.0403	-0.35
Ember-Eyed Behemoth	419	21.05%	46.56	71.12%	0.305	-0.0716	0.24
Eyes Watch From the Trees	5257	11.32%	43.46	77.69%	0.096	-0.4163	0.077
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	9299	11.17%	50.76	84.76%	0.904	0.4608	1.028
Finder of Paths Unseen	469	14.62%	47.45	78.04%	0.211	0.8296	0.243
Fractured Days Split the Sky	1575	12.91%	57.15	82.73%	0.152	0.6477	0.313
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	1682	19.81%	45.74	71.76%	-0.309	-0.4486	-0.082
Heart of the Wildfire	6380	32.64%	47.49	78.71%	0.442	0.6279	0.396
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	21488	15.72%	51.85	78.81%	0.179	-0.3825	0.503
Lightning's Swift Strike	7079	18.37%	43.6	69.84%	-0.259	0.0079	-0.492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	827	32.16%	53.05	67.84%	0.665	-0.1051	0.081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	1638	23.87%	43.16	60.13%	-0.743	-1.1309	-0.77
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	1268	12.96%	51.65	83.28%	0.412	0.1546	0.389
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	5890	18.24%	50.92	80.7%	0.412	0.2203	0.388
Many Minds Move as One	2022	12.8%	46.56	83.33%	-0.141	-0.4938	0.218
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	11037	9.32%	50.76	75.28%	0.117	0.0325	0.315
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	5411	14.1%	46.55	80.65%	0.091	-0.0071	0.117
River Surges in Sunlight	10016	12.18%	45.64	80.53%	0.756	0.6741	0.27
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	2395	12.59%	49.48	80.29%	0.416	0.5828	0.065
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	470	14.04%	54.86	79.15%	0.706	0.47	-0.488
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	8783	13.82%	48.37	72.15%	-0.029	-0.1927	0.011
Shadows Flicker Like Flame	5086	29.77%	40.66	64.24%	-0.538	-0.121	-0.297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous	112	20.54%	43.06	80.36%	-0.099	-0.0332	0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding	192	17.19%	48.68	87.5%	-0.454	-0.4467	0.31
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness	1127	22.91%	47.29	77.2%	0.884	0.8324	0.313
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach	837	29.46%	44.29	70.97%	0.426	0.5631	0.16
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	9350	10.49%	54.14	84.84%	0.977	0.7851	0.981
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained	79	18.99%	42.97	67.09%	-0.024	-0.0776	-0.495
Shifting Memory of Ages	1333	17.36%	41.54	71.94%	-0.829	-0.5683	-0.147
Shroud of Silent Mist	1090	21.57%	41.18	73.12%	-0.411	-0.1293	0.157
Starlight Seeks its Form	1614	15.69%	48.83	72.55%	-0.188	-0.3665	0.017
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	5606	19.62%	47.74	72.96%	-0.105	-0.6167	-0.241
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	5283	13.08%	47.93	84.08%	0.344	0.4147	0.469
Thunderspeaker	6893	9.45%	47.12	81.21%	0.118	0.059	0.113
Thunderspeaker — Tactician	52	21.15%	31.19	59.62%	-0.895	-0.7499	-0.489
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	2865	33.72%	40.15	69.67%	0.114	0.0931	-0.435
Vital Strength of the Earth	5675	15.37%	40.15	66.63%	-0.684	-0.0763	-0.68
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	404	17.62%	47.59	75.0%	0.021	0.3371	-0.187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	874	23.23%	40.18	58.47%	-1.488	-0.5182	-1.509
Volcano Looming High	2492	22.49%	48.0	77.57%	-0.258	-0.2618	0.134

Results with Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	698	10.32%	33.76	-6.716	78.94%	-0.724	-0.5663
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	429	13.21%	34.67	-4.775	68.53%	-0.995	-0.6891
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	766	13.72%	43.98	0.033	74.28%	-0.657	0.0076
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	721	19.19%	45.57	3.178	68.65%	-0.857	0.2015
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	411	25.79%	48.86	1.398	62.04%	-1.206	-0.1533
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	149	31.54%	42.28	-3.355	38.93%	-1.375	0.1848
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	2095	32.03%	48.89	2.119	42.43%	-1.666	0.2628
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	2065	8.59%	30.8	-6.116	86.39%	-0.401	-0.4157
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	1795	11.09%	37.75	1.824	83.4%	0.828	0.6926
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	2613	10.63%	45.42	2.269	86.76%	0.26	0.1568
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	2899	10.96%	52.41	4.286	89.03%	-0.447	-0.1823
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	2254	12.75%	54.55	6.988	89.49%	0.58	0.5609
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	1297	18.95%	61.01	8.223	87.82%	-0.195	0.3314
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	3629	38.09%	56.67	6.872	69.74%	-0.635	0.5639
The Kingdom of England	0	1	2003	10.05%	30.94	-9.218	85.52%	-0.987	-0.8043
The Kingdom of England	1	3	1385	11.56%	38.62	-1.475	80.07%	-0.285	-0.0398
The Kingdom of England	2	4	2092	14.72%	39.21	-1.245	74.43%	-0.425	0.3917
The Kingdom of England	3	6	2085	20.85%	41.99	-0.019	61.25%	-1.179	0.0104
The Kingdom of England	4	7	5675	9.26%	55.14	4.613	83.19%	-0.693	0.3101
The Kingdom of England	5	9	1104	19.89%	53.6	5.523	60.51%	-1.011	0.4827
The Kingdom of England	6	11	15475	23.24%	56.1	6.477	55.83%	-1.366	0.6323
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	1352	11.93%	34.71	-5.291	84.17%	-0.712	-0.3841
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	908	24.83%	35.01	-5.483	74.89%	-0.817	0.2681
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	1319	19.4%	41.68	0.059	68.31%	-0.531	0.6465
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	1340	21.99%	50.42	3.505	72.54%	-0.695	0.8906
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	1072	18.6%	53.27	3.133	69.4%	-0.738	0.6516
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	1866	32.1%	63.33	9.749	84.03%	0.009	1.0483
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	8308	28.97%	62.9	8.705	69.01%	-0.836	0.651
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	85	9.41%	33.53	-3.057	85.88%	0.254	-0.0162
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	64	9.38%	35.38	-4.375	71.88%	-0.598	0.0449
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	107	12.15%	37.92	-4.432	68.22%	-1.23	-0.7032
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	157	20.38%	45.16	-0.149	65.61%	-1.078	-0.7429
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	263	21.29%	50.81	0.956	78.33%	-1.137	-0.4641
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	427	38.88%	54.32	5.189	70.73%	-0.626	0.2134
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	1101	41.96%	47.48	1.752	39.33%	-1.737	-0.4401
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	1841	8.44%	30.28	-5.482	83.22%	-0.147	-0.0976
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	1275	12.9%	33.54	-1.589	79.61%	0.28	0.1894
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	1634	17.9%	34.37	-4.38	71.73%	-1.197	-0.9932
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	1716	23.86%	43.28	-1.155	77.33%	-0.572	-0.3856
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	994	24.27%	44.21	-1.491	71.53%	-1.238	-0.6401
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	696	26.52%	49.43	2.124	73.85%	-0.648	0.3434
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	6266	23.78%	54.61	4.848	74.58%	-0.496	0.2325
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	558	11.29%	31.26	-4.83	85.48%	-0.058	-0.283
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	389	21.65%	37.59	-0.897	79.69%	-0.012	0.4768
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	539	25.6%	43.19	-2.923	82.93%	-0.571	-0.4092
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	735	34.97%	47.93	3.82	77.41%	-0.095	0.954
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	512	25.98%	53.08	0.161	77.93%	-1.331	-0.2837
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	385	34.55%	58.8	-0.517	68.05%	-1.492	-0.0487
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	1914	47.78%	55.58	1.81	47.96%	-1.778	-0.0053

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	57023	22.4	44.26	73.95%	0.343	0.6551	-0.331
1	Thematic	8459	23.06	46.19	68.09%	-0.061	0.6082	-0.556
2	Archipelago	84	23.81	43.5	58.33%	-0.636	0.2413	-0.731
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	8200	8.0	42.4	82.99%	0.461	0.7123	0.076
2	Coastline	1674	24.69	40.33	64.4%	-0.1	0.0874	-1.276
2	Fragment	289	17.13	39.56	72.32%	-0.028	-0.0098	0.107
2	Heart	150	18.67	42.03	81.33%	-0.41	-0.4994	-0.721
2	Opposite Shores	4883	15.18	42.7	78.91%	0.622	0.84	-0.515
2	Thematic	2381	12.16	53.72	70.22%	0.378	1.0461	0.085
2	Top to Top	202	12.44	42.62	74.75%	-0.265	-0.0087	-0.089
3	Archipelago	37	32.43	57.49	81.08%	0.443	0.0397	-0.362
3	Coastline	34	6.06	46.26	88.24%	0.682	0.369	1.546
3	Other	259	10.42	39.51	79.92%	0.23	-0.3161	-0.021
3	Round (Default)	7742	17.57	46.22	74.35%	-0.09	-0.0701	-0.148
3	Sunrise	53	11.32	61.87	86.79%			1.004
3	Thematic	361	17.5	47.24	78.39%	0.272	0.063	0.44
4	Archipelago	36	27.78	46.56	58.33%	0.405	0.5729	-1.188
4	Coastline	4	0.0	39.5	75.0%			0.336
4	Leaf	31	19.35	41.29	61.29%			-1.065
4	Other	259	15.44	54.31	93.44%	0.516	-0.1712	1.0
4	Reverse Snake	1	0.0	49.0	100.0%
4	Thematic	2653	7.4	65.86	86.36%	-0.159	-0.1966	0.535
4	Trapezoid (Default)	7196	9.39	51.9	81.96%	0.123	-0.0255	0.356
5	Archipelago	7	14.29	50.43	71.43%	0.281	-0.6367	0.179
5	Coastline	1	0.0	63.0	100.0%			0.323
5	Other	166	23.49	48.78	78.92%	-0.037	-0.4717	0.249
5	Thematic	79	6.33	75.05	93.67%	0.118	-0.2725	1.829
6	Archipelago	36	8.33	56.89	72.22%	-0.489	-0.2475	-0.787
6	Coastline	1	0.0	31.0	100.0%
6	Other	103	0.97	53.18	74.76%	-0.495	-0.855	-0.548
6	Star	75	6.67	36.91	66.67%	-0.332	0.3065	-0.404
6	Thematic	371	3.77	61.28	77.63%	-0.637	-0.4575	0.129
6	Two Centers (Default)	398	3.27	49.34	74.37%	-1.151	-0.6374	-0.744
7	Archipelago	2	0.0	74.0	50.0%	0.546	-0.8243	0.392
7	Other	3	0.0	36.67	33.33%			-0.399

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	1465	42.32	57.41%	0.101	0.8274	-0.603
Aid From Lesser Spirits	1232	43.94	57.87%	-0.397	0.1187	-0.595
All Things Weaken	1013	41.78	56.76%	-0.416	0.4284	-0.744
Attenuated Essence	16	44.88	56.25%	-0.568	0.145	-0.513
Back Against the Wall	1198	42.45	55.84%	-0.201	0.3926	-0.627
Blight Corrodes the Spirit	11	34.0	36.36%	-0.718	0.3202	-0.093
Burn Brightest Before the End	13	42.46	61.54%	-0.324	0.5011	0.062
Disintegrating Ecosystem	1303	38.35	53.26%	-0.253	0.6718	-1.02
Downward Spiral	2612	39.71	59.61%	-0.396	0.3455	-0.619
Erosion of Will	1324	39.85	53.17%	-0.257	0.6035	-0.822
Intensifying Exploitation	4	50.25	75.0%	-0.003	1.0012	-0.088
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	553	45.97	69.08%	-0.469	-0.6668	-0.345
Memory Fades to Dust	2488	39.0	57.36%	-0.694	0.192	-0.734
Power Corrodes the Spirit	994	43.59	60.46%	-0.228	0.469	-0.531
Promising Farmlands	1278	37.49	47.18%	-1.259	-0.3107	-1.043
Shattered Fragments of Power	16	42.63	68.75%	0.254	0.9361	-0.369
Slow Dissolution of Will	8	42.25	37.5%	-0.678	0.3845	-0.547
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	391	47.13	77.49%	0.082	-0.3641	0.02
The Border of Life and Death	3	56.67	100.0%	0.53	0.773	0.207
Thriving Communities	950	37.84	46.0%	-0.285	0.6428	-1.08
Thriving Crops	7	26.71	42.86%	-0.532	0.0674	-1.101
Tipping Point	350	36.95	47.14%			-1.054
Unnatural Proliferation	1007	40.43	52.23%	-0.906	-0.1893	-0.906
Untended Land Crumbles	1003	42.29	59.62%	-0.146	0.642	-0.66

Results Using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	25294	16.58%	46.15	76.53%	-0.401	0.4993	-0.192
B	25126	16.12%	46.28	78.39%	-0.177	0.6265	-0.028
C	24858	14.0%	45.64	79.72%	-0.399	0.2485	-0.047
D	18472	15.84%	43.5	77.21%	-0.305	0.5503	-0.137
E	10498	17.57%	47.38	75.32%	-0.357	0.3373	-0.098
F	15272	18.34%	47.09	75.44%	-0.429	0.3497	-0.193
G	14070	19.08%	44.99	72.63%	-0.364	0.3962	-0.358
H	13751	16.08%	46.42	75.81%	-0.324	0.394	-0.08
East	9780	14.83%	54.45	75.13%	-0.827	-0.0072	0.025
Northeast	5961	14.16%	56.21	75.16%	-0.531	0.3935	0.073
Northwest	5084	15.01%	56.69	75.77%	-0.367	0.2492	0.025
Southeast	2165	8.79%	55.82	81.62%	0.133	0.8446	0.006
Southwest	2110	12.17%	52.29	77.25%	-0.393	0.8793	-0.672
West	8972	15.44%	53.84	74.58%	-0.369	0.7287	-0.016

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	940	0.0%	34.99	84.68%	-0.895	0.3555	-0.378
Not Using Events or Tokens	9610	16.99%	40.7	70.49%	0.045	0.2785	-0.095
Skip Initial Invader Actions	7064	5.4%	60.93	88.49%	0.572	-0.034	1.433
Start of Game Growth	10229	5.81%	58.59	85.9%	-0.175	-0.6303	-1.032
Unlimited Undo	9412	13.23%	50.1	85.24%	-0.498	-0.6902	0.771
Using Tokens but Not Events	14608	11.99%	46.32	88.05%	0.481	0.4449	0.661

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	36464	21.93	51.04%
II	47343	31.09	86.02%
III	16079	34.71	92.93%
IV	3383	37.98	100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.052 Win Model: 0.417

Num.	Completed	Blight Flipped	Average Score	Win Rate
1	65889	22.51%	44.52	73.18%
2	17647	12.26%	43.75	78.13%
3	8390	17.32%	46.15	75.02%
4	10270	9.04%	55.72	83.34%
5	87	20.69%	46.14	70.11%
6	985	3.56%	53.6	75.03%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	18596
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	14874
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	40645
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	3345
Game abandoned (v.3.0+)	285
Lose: Invader deck ran out	343
Lose: Adversary condition	4112
Win: Sacrifice victory	201
Lose: Scenario condition	16963
Lose: Blight pool ran out	3774
Lose: Spirit destroyed	131

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Guard the Isle's Heart

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-11-15 02:23:33 (Pacific Time)

Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:Guard the Isle's Heart

Results using Spirits

Results with Adversaries

Results using Layouts

Results using Blight Cards

Results Using Boards

Results Using Options

Terror Level

Number of Players

Results

Notes

Score Model

Win Model

Differential

Model (Diff ≥10)

Layouts

Data last updated: 2025-11-15 02:23:33 (Pacific Time)

Detailed Statistics:
Guard the Isle's Heart