Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 870 9.31% 33.21 -3.597 76.67% -0.454 -0.108
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 565 12.14% 32.87 -2.148 63.19% -0.689 -0.3676
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 924 13.53% 42.63 3.928 71.21% -0.199 0.6546
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 905 18.62% 44.41 -1.367 66.19% -0.966 -0.0127
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 579 26.42% 49.23 6.101 60.97% -0.796 0.5405
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 206 31.55% 40.61 10.32 36.89% -0.097 1.4821
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 2837 29.82% 48.64 6.696 44.41% -1.246 0.7413
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 2388 8.49% 29.72 -4.396 82.58% -0.429 -0.1927
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 2311 10.28% 35.69 -3.163 79.75% -0.516 -0.4234
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 3350 10.51% 45.52 4.788 85.04% 0.392 0.4819
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 3796 12.35% 50.15 6.009 82.72% 0.36 0.5515
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 2708 13.23% 53.6 6.368 86.63% -0.06 0.2534
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 1830 16.54% 59.88 10.441 86.23% 0.352 0.8381
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 4680 35.78% 54.6 1.491 67.95% -1.23 0.0873
The Kingdom of England 0 1 2554 10.33% 31.41 -1.183 83.48% -0.013 0.4557
The Kingdom of England 1 3 1760 11.21% 36.79 -0.32 76.02% -0.267 0.0537
The Kingdom of England 2 4 2578 13.91% 38.36 -1.22 72.73% -0.633 0.0009
The Kingdom of England 3 6 2528 20.42% 40.57 -0.934 58.82% -1.145 -0.0225
The Kingdom of England 4 7 6891 8.96% 52.89 1.824 79.47% -0.984 0.1304
The Kingdom of England 5 9 1424 18.93% 51.77 2.16 58.08% -1.38 0.1402
The Kingdom of England 6 11 18587 22.32% 54.47 5.34 54.61% -1.381 0.6054
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 1532 12.09% 33.63 -4.446 80.87% -0.615 -0.1644
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 1153 23.45% 33.56 -4.109 71.73% -0.839 -0.1709
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 1603 18.02% 40.17 -0.958 65.38% -0.883 0.0834
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 1551 21.62% 49.98 5.9 71.82% -0.2 1.0733
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 1276 18.52% 52.46 11.092 67.55% 0.152 1.4422
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 2459 32.74% 63.19 13.378 83.25% 0.232 1.1092
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 10088 27.79% 61.56 6.606 67.59% -0.961 0.4907
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 207 12.08% 28.33 -4.132 69.57% -0.284 -0.0533
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 210 11.9% 29.52 -4.145 56.67% -1.041 -0.6193
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 298 17.79% 32.89 -0.572 56.71% -0.697 -0.293
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 434 18.71% 40.81 1.232 55.99% -0.991 -0.6193
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 505 22.57% 47.39 -2.162 71.09% -1.496 -0.8592
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 1427 28.03% 50.81 8.711 66.71% -0.448 0.089
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 2251 40.36% 45.62 3.536 40.69% -1.487 -0.4126
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 2137 8.44% 29.01 -5.68 78.99% -0.744 -0.4447
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 1760 11.17% 35.2 1.669 75.91% -0.23 -0.1575
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 2038 18.53% 33.29 -2.342 68.74% -0.636 -0.5216
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 2041 23.21% 41.75 1.085 73.74% -0.364 -0.0223
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 1211 24.54% 42.64 0.419 67.8% -0.91 -0.2799
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 812 27.92% 47.39 -1.403 69.46% -1.14 -0.0447
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 8178 23.52% 53.75 8.023 73.31% -0.185 0.7807
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 702 10.68% 30.31 -1.569 80.77% 0.207 0.3056
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 537 21.12% 35.41 0.531 73.74% 0.183 1.0682
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 727 25.03% 40.76 0.478 77.99% -0.311 0.1973
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 881 34.39% 46.6 5.771 74.8% -0.138 0.8137
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 710 26.9% 51.87 4.356 73.8% -0.648 0.2088
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 581 32.19% 54.95 6.997 64.37% -0.516 0.8624
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 2693 44.98% 49.56 -0.297 42.74% -2.162 -0.4031

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 71997 21.83 43.29 72.15% 0.075 0.4274 -0.377
1 Thematic 11618 22.79 44.66 64.25% -0.048 0.446 -0.646
2 Archipelago 109 22.94 39.14 53.21% 0.04 0.5414 -0.882
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9807 8.19 40.67 79.46% -0.405 -0.1307 -0.08
2 Coastline 1961 24.0 38.74 63.08% -0.199 -0.1546 -1.303
2 Fragment 320 17.72 38.4 71.88% 0.189 -0.0532 0.031
2 Heart 191 17.8 38.57 78.01% 0.851 0.7101 -0.822
2 Opposite Shores 6002 14.44 41.91 77.36% -0.35 -0.28 -0.525
2 Thematic 2924 12.09 51.14 67.0% 0.164 0.4137 0.242
2 Top to Top 255 12.6 40.47 73.73% 0.693 0.7608 0.035
3 Archipelago 55 32.73 58.89 80.0% 0.181 -0.5666 -0.087
3 Coastline 38 8.11 42.11 78.95% 0.353 -0.2533 1.156
3 Other 414 7.73 26.89 55.07% 0.729 0.1813 -0.094
3 Round (Default) 9662 17.41 45.4 72.95% -0.192 -0.3127 -0.254
3 Sunrise 54 11.11 60.72 85.19% 0.907
3 Thematic 478 15.93 44.0 72.59% -0.008 -0.54 0.506
4 Archipelago 56 19.64 46.02 64.29% 0.094 0.6463 -0.906
4 Coastline 6 0.0 62.0 83.33% 0.471
4 Leaf 33 18.18 41.09 60.61% 0.354 -0.0608 -1.017
4 Other 270 14.81 54.09 92.59% -0.877 -0.9695 0.941
4 Reverse Snake 1 0.0 49.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 2865 8.6 63.94 84.19% -0.301 -0.3064 0.752
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8412 9.19 50.36 80.05% -0.619 -0.426 0.21
5 Archipelago 10 20.0 57.4 80.0% 0.287
5 Coastline 1 0.0 63.0 100.0% 0.221
5 Other 206 19.42 44.31 73.3% -0.307 -0.7075 0.426
5 Thematic 94 5.32 69.63 85.11% 0.718 0.1524 1.723
6 Archipelago 189 3.7 63.96 76.19% 0.802 0.0828 -1.036
6 Coastline 1 0.0 31.0 100.0%
6 Other 180 0.56 53.57 75.56% -0.636 -0.0416 -0.591
6 Star 114 5.26 35.89 64.04% 0.345 0.7865 -0.354
6 Thematic 839 2.38 47.62 59.24% -0.778 -0.6544 0.01
6 Two Centers (Default) 607 2.64 39.66 61.12% -0.978 -1.1338 -1.607
7 Archipelago 3 0.0 49.33 33.33% 0.343 0.9576 0.589
7 Other 3 0.0 36.67 33.33% 0.054 -1.1584 -0.262

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1700 42.32 58.29% 0.799 0.9393 -0.476
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1421 43.98 58.48% 0.482 0.3874 -0.496
All Things Weaken 1255 41.22 55.46% -0.543 -0.228 -0.659
Attenuated Essence 200 40.9 57.5% -0.283 -0.2572 -0.595
Back Against the Wall 1393 42.69 55.99% -0.347 -0.3025 -0.524
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 144 37.67 48.61% 0.012 0.2383 -0.817
Burn Brightest Before the End 125 37.4 44.0% -1.054 -0.8644 -0.659
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1547 38.05 52.42% -0.035 0.3751 -0.892
Downward Spiral 3106 39.06 59.08% 0.076 0.1268 -0.501
Erosion of Will 1541 39.79 53.28% -0.306 -0.0417 -0.759
Intensifying Exploitation 165 39.24 53.33% 0.322 0.6323 -0.635
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 689 45.16 69.23% 0.613 0.1352 -0.244
Memory Fades to Dust 2976 38.66 57.16% 0.132 0.352 -0.603
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1195 42.98 59.58% 0.264 0.4513 -0.458
Promising Farmlands 1486 37.18 47.11% -0.184 0.1113 -0.979
Shattered Fragments of Power 138 40.99 50.0% -0.804 -0.5907 -0.8
Slow Dissolution of Will 157 35.53 41.4% -0.62 -0.2408 -1.019
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 478 47.71 77.41% 0.328 -0.4331 0.144
The Border of Life and Death 56 38.71 66.07% -0.112 -0.6641 -0.197
Thriving Communities 1168 38.03 46.92% -0.356 -0.0423 -0.897
Thriving Crops 87 35.75 49.43% -0.709 -0.6582 -0.687
Tipping Point 350 36.95 47.14% -0.997
Unnatural Proliferation 1211 40.35 51.69% -0.69 -0.5064 -0.758
Untended Land Crumbles 1209 41.71 57.73% -0.226 0.1363 -0.571

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 30774 16.16% 44.92 74.81% -0.074 0.7773 -0.436
B 31142 15.76% 44.98 75.91% -0.096 0.724 -0.27
C 31058 13.83% 44.19 76.58% -0.386 0.294 -0.329
D 22775 15.64% 42.17 74.37% -0.26 0.567 -0.454
E 14196 16.25% 45.26 72.46% -0.146 0.5405 -0.355
F 18678 17.82% 45.66 73.43% -0.121 0.6817 -0.415
G 17227 18.75% 43.81 70.92% -0.479 0.3763 -0.617
H 17147 15.69% 45.28 73.43% -0.222 0.5428 -0.359
East 12965 15.33% 50.94 69.56% -0.425 0.4499 -0.304
Northeast 7919 14.53% 52.14 69.05% -0.147 0.6983 -0.408
Northwest 6357 15.09% 52.89 70.63% -0.386 0.4956 -0.295
Southeast 3296 8.56% 50.11 71.54% -0.648 0.1983 -0.331
Southwest 3120 11.27% 47.25 68.33% -0.015 1.2633 -0.974
West 11389 15.63% 50.62 69.85% -0.407 0.6273 -0.426

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1077 0.0% 34.21 83.38% 0.06 0.7815 -0.551
Not Using Events or Tokens 12760 16.23% 38.02 67.17% -0.311 0.121 -0.149
Skip Initial Invader Actions 8927 5.31% 59.44 84.78% -0.045 -0.654 0.784
Start of Game Growth 12637 5.84% 57.43 82.72% 0.76 0.1367 -0.578
Unlimited Undo 11134 12.79% 48.64 82.02% 0.185 0.1913 0.566
Using Tokens but Not Events 18444 11.29% 45.18 83.66% 0.091 0.1075 0.511

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 48448 15.54 46.75%
II 57842 30.46 85.62%
III 19438 34.79 93.12%
IV 4089 38.44 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.078 Win Model: 0.252
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 84286 21.98% 43.44 70.97%
2 21179 12.06% 42.34 75.72%
3 10573 16.89% 44.73 72.54%
4 11717 9.15% 53.92 81.33%
5 154 12.99% 34.77 53.9%
6 1907 2.68% 47.15 64.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 22628
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18022
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 49421
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4043
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5559
Lose: Invader deck ran out 398
Lose: Adversary condition 4758
Win: Sacrifice victory 250
Lose: Scenario condition 20071
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4514
Lose: Spirit destroyed 153

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-11 06:22:48 (Pacific Time)