Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 120 30.83% 24.88 58.33% -0.191 -0.0003 -0.88
Blitz 0 582 34.95% 25.6 61.0% -0.748 -0.5308 -0.359
Dahan Insurrection 4 1307 16.53% 38.61 54.63% -0.13 -0.3833 0.215
Despicable Theft 2 291 43.99% 22.89 40.21% -0.901 -0.3143 -1.991
Elemental Invocation 1 336 41.49% 21.95 44.64% -1.046 -0.3064 -0.112
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2546 20.63% 42.19 65.99% -0.288 -0.8493 0.342
Powers Long Forgotten 1 253 42.06% 20.34 39.13% -1.071 -0.3112 -0.17
Rituals of Terror 3 127 38.4% 25.91 44.09% -0.67 -0.5501 -0.286
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 131 55.73% 21.69 38.93% -0.561 0.3464 -0.701
Second Wave 0 2102 39.91% 25.99 69.55% 0.39 0.5287 -0.395
The Great River 3 211 49.76% 21.93 35.07% -1.355 -0.255 -1.604
Varied Terrains 2 209 50.24% 22.6 41.63% -0.791 -0.0149 -0.385
Ward the Shores 2 230 43.48% 23.4 40.87% -1.053 0.0216 -0.494

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 44581 46.14% 30.45 66.04% 0.163 0.4955 0.435
1 Thematic 1434 39.75% 28.94 52.79% 0.16 0.8458 -0.212
2 Archipelago 95 57.89% 34.64 56.84% 0.508 1.1157 -1.033
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10955 47.56% 30.91 65.04% 0.083 0.203 0.327
2 Coastline 1320 48.44% 31.12 63.18% -0.079 -0.1511 0.302
2 Fragment 376 52.96% 33.09 71.28% 0.398 0.213 1.6
2 Heart 200 54.0% 34.23 67.0% 0.553 0.3954 0.861
2 Opposite Shores 2003 44.59% 28.42 66.85% 0.236 0.3871 0.003
2 Thematic 861 43.72% 26.0 49.01% -0.212 0.2959 -1.103
2 Top to Top 307 46.38% 35.66 73.29% 0.671 0.6127 0.802
3 Archipelago 69 60.61% 36.25 63.77% -0.353 -1.3045 -0.059
3 Coastline 82 35.37% 23.38 48.78% 0.336 -0.0735 -0.243
3 Other 207 46.86% 24.8 65.7% -0.741 -1.5127 0.678
3 Round (Default) 6312 46.35% 30.24 63.67% -0.128 -0.2193 0.183
3 Sunrise 33 45.45% 33.12 75.76% 0.429 0.3331 0.315
3 Thematic 311 45.98% 25.83 45.66% 0.204 0.2251 -1.555
4 Archipelago 54 32.08% 33.02 74.07% -0.229 -0.7591 -0.486
4 Coastline 35 45.71% 30.66 71.43% 0.093 0.0077 0.392
4 Leaf 48 64.58% 29.1 72.92% -0.215 -0.3762 -0.054
4 Other 155 36.13% 29.34 74.84% 1.254 0.5433 1.681
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 19.67 66.67% 0.379 0.0419 0.0
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4433 -0.603
4 Thematic 676 28.0% 29.64 51.92% -0.994 -0.8706 -0.15
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2963 37.39% 30.39 66.93% -0.003 -0.0056 0.002
5 Archipelago 13 33.33% 28.85 84.62% 0.162 0.1315 0.529
5 Coastline 20 35.0% 30.8 80.0% 0.564 0.4176 -0.212
5 Other 505 39.31% 28.56 72.08% -0.175 -0.6886 0.142
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 24.0 54.55% 0.715 0.6583 0.557
6 Archipelago 34 6.06% 29.0 52.94% 0.275 -0.7635 0.157
6 Coastline 9 11.11% 17.11 22.22% 0.0 -0.9594 -0.16
6 Other 190 23.16% 22.76 65.79% -0.832 -0.9355 0.406
6 Star 107 30.84% 26.48 59.81% 0.251 0.2376 0.337
6 Thematic 697 23.45% 22.43 40.32% -1.764 -1.4786 -1.653
6 Two Centers (Default) 806 29.51% 27.12 61.91% -1.299 -0.7657 -0.348
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 26.25 0.0% 0.0 0.0647 -0.404
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.267
7 Other 26 20.0% 10.62 26.92% -0.42 -0.9781 -1.184
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2171 30.9 51.64% -0.499 -0.248 -0.269
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1802 34.41 57.49% 0.283 0.2253 0.262
All Things Weaken 2445 31.07 52.07% -0.283 0.0513 0.042
Attenuated Essence 531 29.66 50.66% 0.108 0.1415 -0.154
Back Against the Wall 1792 32.45 52.51% -0.124 -0.0893 -0.085
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 604 26.49 44.54% -0.258 -0.0409 -0.502
Burn Brightest Before the End 466 28.33 48.71% -0.239 -0.2288 -0.414
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2055 28.93 49.49% -0.201 0.1436 -0.208
Downward Spiral 2391 29.58 53.53% -0.639 -0.5212 -0.195
Erosion of Will 2107 30.79 50.5% -0.61 -0.3358 -0.249
Intensifying Exploitation 563 25.23 43.16% -0.525 -0.3143 -0.5
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 914 35.08 78.67% 0.515 -0.0574 0.596
Memory Fades to Dust 2338 28.92 51.15% -0.623 -0.3711 -0.24
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2326 29.52 52.45% -0.21 -0.0056 -0.323
Promising Farmlands 2083 28.75 49.11% -0.35 -0.0959 -0.34
Shattered Fragments of Power 461 30.36 52.06% 0.323 0.3975 -0.167
Slow Dissolution of Will 574 27.04 40.77% -0.276 0.1052 -0.416
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 662 36.27 83.38% 0.279 -0.395 1.097
The Border of Life and Death 161 28.91 62.11% 0.266 -0.3348 -0.162
Thriving Communities 2416 28.4 50.33% -0.727 -0.4458 -0.331
Thriving Crops 276 25.89 53.26% 0.09 -0.0501 -1.052
Unnatural Proliferation 2542 30.29 50.0% -0.24 -0.0363 -0.212
Untended Land Crumbles 2279 29.1 49.41% -0.596 -0.4056 -0.352

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15944 45.44% 29.64 64.13% 0.22 1.2179 -0.81
B 16503 44.83% 30.77 65.26% 0.314 1.2359 -0.747
C 19446 42.04% 30.61 68.01% 0.108 0.8373 -0.724
D 14431 44.14% 30.01 65.94% 0.219 1.1778 -0.816
E 14646 44.2% 30.11 64.87% 0.356 1.1752 -0.711
F 13217 45.68% 29.59 64.21% 0.348 1.2299 -0.824
G 12117 44.66% 30.2 65.32% 0.201 1.0261 -0.709
H 11906 45.08% 29.96 64.92% 0.116 0.9552 -0.65
East 3120 34.43% 26.81 49.01% -0.491 0.3843 -0.331
Northeast 1911 32.69% 27.02 49.45% 0.11 0.8624 -0.681
Northwest 1720 29.78% 27.13 48.31% -0.028 0.8642 -0.304
Southeast 1513 30.46% 24.45 44.22% -0.47 0.3687 -0.889
Southwest 1429 31.84% 23.07 43.11% -0.743 0.5617 -1.106
West 2966 35.64% 26.31 46.83% -0.269 0.6808 -0.805

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 427 0.0% 19.97 70.73% -0.549 0.1801 -0.834
Not Using Events or Tokens 44 40.0% 19.14 61.36% 0.0 0.3457 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1384 18.72% 36.59 81.29% 0.105 -0.4982 1.155
Start of Game Growth 2076 22.84% 37.0 78.03% 0.589 0.0846 1.222
Unlimited Undo 6808 39.77% 33.52 70.06% 0.034 -0.0735 0.541
Using Tokens but Not Events 8086 23.16% 28.09 78.78% -0.012 -0.0417 0.026

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2080 35.45% 29.71 66.68% -0.194 -0.2889 0.216
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 196 40.31% 29.91 60.2% -0.066 -0.5416 0.344
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 810 42.68% 25.07 58.77% -0.468 -0.3552 -0.407
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 244 34.98% 27.75 52.87% 0.702 -0.111 -0.363
Dances Up Earthquakes 167 45.78% 27.22 56.89% -0.071 -0.0804 -0.246
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1272 38.78% 27.24 64.54% 0.344 0.2038 0.131
Downpour Drenches the World 1144 35.23% 25.46 56.82% -0.3 -0.0724 -0.037
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1753 32.53% 26.58 52.54% -0.227 -0.7968 -0.215
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1908 35.93% 31.66 70.96% 0.264 -0.1233 0.2
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1456 37.49% 29.14 69.51% -0.295 -0.6894 0.264
Finder of Paths Unseen 519 40.04% 23.74 48.36% -0.567 0.1614 0.364
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1012 35.91% 28.53 57.81% -0.192 0.4486 -0.168
Heart of the Wildfire 1277 55.03% 26.27 55.83% -0.285 0.0447 -0.353
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2612 39.99% 33.22 69.72% 0.126 -0.2978 0.486
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 475 35.16% 25.7 49.89% 0.321 0.0148 -0.649
Lightning's Swift Strike 708 48.64% 24.91 66.24% -0.003 0.2349 -0.095
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 357 45.38% 32.46 63.03% -0.374 -0.7819 0.5
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 974 44.33% 35.24 66.43% 0.222 -0.0967 0.63
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 564 40.5% 32.91 67.55% 1.279 1.1983 0.784
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2938 41.57% 30.01 65.08% -0.199 -0.3921 0.15
Many Minds Move as One 1530 37.96% 28.52 67.39% 0.278 0.0618 0.032
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1924 38.73% 31.01 61.54% 0.241 0.3804 0.252
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 171 47.95% 30.09 64.33% 0.418 0.499 0.696
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1481 41.88% 29.64 66.91% -0.492 -0.57 0.188
River Surges in Sunlight 1250 35.14% 36.53 71.12% 0.41 0.5353 -0.256
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 115 34.21% 32.22 62.61% 0.139 0.3174 0.23
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 602 50.0% 27.72 57.81% -0.408 -0.1289 -0.992
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 789 37.69% 39.14 63.24% -0.058 -0.1805 0.281
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1538 36.19% 30.72 64.56% 0.328 0.2011 0.23
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 87 24.14% 28.0 59.77% -0.051 -0.1638 0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 225 53.67% 23.21 65.33% 0.214 0.73 -0.477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 157 35.67% 29.15 56.69% 0.157 0.138 0.134
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 243 38.43% 31.84 64.61% 1.213 0.7102 0.215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 157 41.4% 26.3 59.87% 0.234 0.0423 -0.133
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 594 48.48% 28.65 59.26% -0.088 -0.1474 -0.131
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 248 47.15% 26.44 64.11% 0.182 0.2634 0.174
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1616 36.47% 33.48 72.71% -0.361 -0.2815 0.521
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 514 36.38% 25.58 53.7% -0.084 -0.2703 0.156
Shifting Memory of Ages 1716 46.5% 27.77 63.99% -0.519 -0.2516 0.058
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 232 37.93% 25.19 56.03% 0.31 0.1913 -0.255
Shroud of Silent Mist 1291 42.4% 23.96 61.35% -0.566 -0.2146 -0.375
Starlight Seeks its Form 2336 46.4% 31.7 62.16% -0.353 -0.4706 0.378
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2110 42.02% 26.93 61.18% -0.221 -0.7338 -0.261
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1178 37.05% 31.31 67.66% 0.359 0.4766 0.398
Thunderspeaker 1514 38.06% 31.33 67.11% -0.11 -0.0777 -0.083
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 315 39.81% 21.99 42.86% 0.32 0.3338 -0.111
Towering Roots of the Jungle 531 23.11% 19.47 40.68% -0.274 -0.1449 -0.828
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1331 57.61% 26.56 57.4% -0.326 -0.1999 -0.363
Vital Strength of the Earth 698 39.16% 25.57 66.19% -0.543 0.0566 -0.526
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 426 38.5% 26.04 54.46% 0.223 0.7165 0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 330 47.27% 23.58 51.82% -0.204 0.4933 -0.716
Volcano Looming High 1730 46.96% 28.75 63.99% -0.269 -0.2214 0.016
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1555 32.24% 26.8 48.94% 0.076 -0.2141 -0.275

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Impersonate Authority 95.0%
Incite the Mob 95.79%
Overenthusiastic Arson 71.27%
Unexpected Tigers 70.23%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14780 13.42 9.95%
II 26866 30.13 63.57%
III 23484 34.83 85.35%
IV 10401 38.67 99.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1470
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 19781
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 16396
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10300
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10731
Lose: Invader deck ran out 455
Lose: Adversary condition 4115
Win: Sacrifice victory 209
Lose: Scenario condition 558
Win: Scenario condition 808
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9999
Lose: Spirit destroyed 709

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.517 Win Model: -0.143

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.193 Win Model: 0.184
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 46255 45.92% 30.35 65.46%
2 16096 47.54% 30.69 64.64%
3 6872 46.09% 29.91 63.49%
4 3920 35.86% 30.23 65.03%
5 540 37.9% 27.32 70.74%
6 1848 26.06% 24.76 53.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)