Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 73 32.88% 21.78 54.79% -1.062 -1.0107 -1.021
Blitz 0 437 35.1% 27.65 66.13% -0.1 0.1008 -0.52
Dahan Insurrection 4 569 30.23% 39.97 46.75% -1.778 -1.9895 0.059
Despicable Theft 2 217 46.54% 25.34 44.24% -1.807 -0.9627 -1.986
Elemental Invocation 1 256 44.71% 24.29 49.61% -1.524 -0.4535 0.125
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2152 20.78% 43.63 68.12% 0.736 0.011 0.138
Powers Long Forgotten 1 167 44.91% 23.5 46.11% 0.16 1.0654 -0.363
Rituals of Terror 3 81 39.24% 29.21 49.38% -0.989 -0.9588 -0.092
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 78 64.1% 23.35 42.31% -0.91 0.279 -0.966
Second Wave 0 1510 39.97% 26.49 73.18% -0.196 -0.1145 -0.605
The Great River 3 139 55.4% 22.6 34.53% -0.195 1.1928 -1.996
Varied Terrains 2 142 51.41% 25.25 46.48% -1.089 -0.1883 -0.117
Ward the Shores 2 161 43.48% 24.14 39.75% -0.843 0.2119 -0.616

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 33961 48.12% 32.17 68.46% 0.255 0.2852 0.371
1 Thematic 978 42.03% 28.23 53.68% -0.662 -0.23 -0.436
2 Archipelago 85 62.35% 35.76 56.47% -0.551 -0.0577 -0.957
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8300 48.58% 32.35 67.64% 0.254 0.2051 0.181
2 Coastline 1021 50.73% 32.29 65.43% -0.571 -0.6712 0.227
2 Fragment 288 52.08% 36.2 74.65% 0.463 0.0499 1.636
2 Heart 141 50.35% 35.11 72.34% 1.202 1.1125 0.722
2 Opposite Shores 1500 44.49% 29.62 68.93% 0.3 0.1206 0.004
2 Thematic 525 46.18% 28.36 56.0% -0.215 -0.0279 -0.661
2 Top to Top 229 47.79% 36.51 72.93% 0.688 0.4889 0.616
3 Archipelago 56 57.14% 38.3 66.07% 0.132 -0.989 -0.051
3 Coastline 58 37.93% 22.5 46.55% -0.926 -1.5878 -0.32
3 Other 160 48.75% 27.13 73.13% 0.417 0.0833 0.873
3 Round (Default) 4499 48.72% 31.71 65.84% 0.245 -0.021 0.09
3 Sunrise 25 56.0% 32.68 76.0% 0.484 0.9948 -0.297
3 Thematic 205 50.24% 26.9 43.41% 0.151 -0.2957 -1.623
4 Archipelago 44 34.88% 35.5 79.55% 1.615 1.0576 -0.007
4 Coastline 24 45.83% 26.54 62.5% 0.0 -0.6183 0.37
4 Leaf 34 64.71% 34.06 85.29% 0.938 1.7844 -0.145
4 Other 119 34.45% 33.32 83.19% 1.739 1.0016 2.107
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9688 0.0
4 Thematic 412 36.98% 35.65 65.05% -0.496 -0.2921 -0.065
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2142 38.12% 32.9 71.52% -0.277 0.0633 -0.145
5 Archipelago 11 36.36% 31.09 90.91% 0.0 -0.0008 0.492
5 Coastline 16 25.0% 28.31 75.0% 0.225 -0.3025 -0.286
5 Other 353 38.08% 28.32 73.94% 0.018 -0.7036 -0.028
5 Thematic 21 47.62% 21.71 61.9% -0.624 -0.4641 0.593
6 Archipelago 23 0.0% 30.3 60.87% -1.215 -1.9304 0.12
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 7.33 16.67% 0.058 -0.4313 -0.339
6 Other 114 20.18% 25.46 75.44% -0.573 -0.1326 0.563
6 Star 82 32.93% 28.91 63.41% -0.977 -0.6789 0.211
6 Thematic 474 26.43% 27.96 49.58% -0.6 -0.5743 -1.611
6 Two Centers (Default) 499 28.43% 29.99 68.34% -0.179 -0.0807 -0.532
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 17.33 0.0% 0.0 0.5266 -0.256
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.289
7 Other 21 23.81% 13.14 33.33% -0.773 -2.1896 -1.143
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.54 -0.2846 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1734 32.02 53.0% -0.548 -0.4093 -0.482
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1457 35.03 57.58% -0.037 -0.096 -0.037
All Things Weaken 1990 31.98 52.96% -0.181 0.1739 -0.207
Attenuated Essence 283 29.51 48.41% -0.347 -0.2365 -0.452
Back Against the Wall 1480 33.14 52.91% -0.086 -0.01 -0.327
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 337 27.65 45.7% -0.258 -0.0472 -0.794
Burn Brightest Before the End 235 28.21 47.23% -0.103 0.0174 -0.604
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1647 30.02 51.06% -0.736 -0.3672 -0.503
Downward Spiral 1903 30.83 55.07% -0.027 0.1693 -0.422
Erosion of Will 1710 31.42 50.58% -0.178 0.0891 -0.55
Intensifying Exploitation 296 26.03 42.91% -0.732 -0.4618 -0.567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 720 36.78 81.53% -0.311 -0.8223 0.465
Memory Fades to Dust 1895 30.16 52.88% -0.274 0.038 -0.477
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1904 30.34 53.1% -0.481 -0.1867 -0.599
Promising Farmlands 1679 29.67 49.85% -0.193 0.1435 -0.577
Shattered Fragments of Power 232 30.54 49.14% -0.465 -0.3563 -0.618
Slow Dissolution of Will 267 25.31 36.33% -0.865 -0.4644 -0.505
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 528 37.77 85.61% 0.432 -0.1814 0.947
The Border of Life and Death 90 27.83 56.67% -0.267 -0.5598 -0.332
Thriving Communities 1937 29.78 51.83% -0.367 -0.0341 -0.623
Thriving Crops 151 26.58 53.64% -0.207 -0.2932 -0.951
Unnatural Proliferation 2061 30.94 50.32% -0.412 -0.2644 -0.493
Untended Land Crumbles 1885 30.33 50.93% -0.203 0.1043 -0.638

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11692 46.8% 31.47 67.21% 0.142 1.047 -0.679
B 12238 46.36% 32.54 68.15% -0.072 0.7565 -0.614
C 14524 43.73% 31.84 70.57% 0.335 1.0149 -0.595
D 10706 45.35% 31.66 68.96% 0.029 0.8825 -0.662
E 10828 45.76% 32.12 68.09% 0.126 0.8274 -0.538
F 9652 47.31% 31.53 67.13% -0.056 0.7256 -0.699
G 9034 46.48% 31.98 67.91% 0.153 0.9247 -0.663
H 8862 46.73% 31.71 67.81% -0.048 0.7199 -0.491
East 2014 37.98% 30.09 55.86% -0.295 0.5668 -0.237
Northeast 1300 36.03% 30.38 55.23% -0.122 0.6245 -0.685
Northwest 1110 34.69% 29.3 53.24% -0.561 0.2725 -0.445
Southeast 994 34.27% 29.0 52.11% -0.223 0.5529 -0.747
Southwest 919 35.77% 27.77 52.23% -0.575 0.7444 -1.017
West 1860 39.78% 29.11 53.33% -0.67 0.3364 -0.673

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 319 0.0% 21.41 74.29% 0.02 0.8504 -0.877
Not Using Events or Tokens 17 30.77% 20.88 58.82% 0.574 1.0153 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1139 18.49% 37.47 84.72% -0.003 -0.5648 1.036
Start of Game Growth 1589 23.31% 38.75 82.13% 0.706 0.1674 1.152
Unlimited Undo 5400 40.26% 35.1 73.26% -0.188 -0.1472 0.459
Using Tokens but Not Events 5977 24.27% 28.12 80.73% 0.331 0.3075 0.009

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1621 36.86% 32.23 70.94% -0.287 -0.3894 0.319
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 629 44.03% 26.5 61.37% -0.555 -0.3948 -0.435
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 111 30.91% 27.86 50.45% -0.17 -1.006 -0.364
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 915 41.1% 29.37 69.18% 0.136 0.0049 0.057
Downpour Drenches the World 758 35.45% 27.45 60.42% -0.02 0.2986 -0.126
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1022 35.26% 28.62 56.16% 0.083 -0.4017 -0.142
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1470 36.68% 33.1 74.35% 0.424 -0.0296 0.087
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1136 38.66% 30.42 72.62% 0.487 0.0344 0.245
Finder of Paths Unseen 345 42.15% 27.14 56.52% -0.397 0.2696 0.757
Fractured Days Split the Sky 725 36.79% 30.92 60.83% -0.087 0.5911 -0.27
Heart of the Wildfire 934 56.71% 27.55 57.82% 0.059 0.319 -0.468
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2075 41.01% 34.69 72.72% 0.442 0.0487 0.373
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 204 31.86% 25.74 50.0% 0.185 -0.2102 -0.794
Lightning's Swift Strike 524 50.39% 25.85 68.13% 0.288 0.5415 0.121
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 256 48.83% 32.54 64.45% -0.226 -0.7799 0.36
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 754 45.88% 37.19 69.1% -0.078 -0.3141 0.553
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 403 42.57% 34.51 68.24% 0.048 -0.2029 0.526
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2238 42.59% 31.96 68.72% -0.022 -0.3458 0.046
Many Minds Move as One 1098 38.17% 30.33 70.86% 0.185 -0.0146 0.351
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1354 41.55% 33.55 64.77% -0.061 -0.0886 0.297
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1076 43.32% 32.68 72.86% -0.395 -0.5372 0.253
River Surges in Sunlight 1031 34.73% 39.1 72.74% 0.157 0.2742 -0.221
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 426 48.82% 28.87 61.27% -0.78 -0.4425 -1.015
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 586 36.07% 42.32 67.92% 0.355 0.2073 0.261
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1133 36.96% 32.14 67.26% 0.17 0.003 0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 180 51.45% 24.53 70.56% 0.3 0.8438 -0.22
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 109 37.61% 32.63 63.3% 0.224 0.3098 0.233
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 82 47.56% 36.7 68.29% 0.5 0.1308 0.795
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 110 40.91% 29.39 69.09% 0.003 0.1689 0.08
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 475 50.32% 31.67 64.63% 0.113 0.1447 -0.144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 207 49.27% 27.57 67.15% -0.655 -0.4839 0.078
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1289 36.97% 35.68 77.35% -0.046 -0.1415 0.679
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 300 38.33% 28.95 57.33% 0.418 0.1776 -0.176
Shifting Memory of Ages 1432 47.97% 30.0 68.02% -0.153 0.2253 -0.008
Shroud of Silent Mist 983 45.5% 25.87 65.72% -0.259 0.1122 -0.284
Starlight Seeks its Form 1854 47.6% 32.98 64.13% -0.355 -0.561 0.231
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1617 42.8% 28.53 64.13% 0.03 -0.6869 -0.309
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 862 38.42% 33.32 72.39% 0.106 0.2883 0.426
Thunderspeaker 1184 38.85% 33.68 71.28% -0.095 -0.0813 0.027
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 195 43.81% 20.41 35.9% -0.255 -0.1494 -0.491
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 960 61.51% 29.16 61.56% -0.527 -0.3862 -0.119
Vital Strength of the Earth 565 39.03% 26.97 68.67% 0.307 0.8492 -0.448
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 244 36.07% 26.96 60.25% 0.111 0.4488 0.194
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 229 49.78% 24.7 55.02% -0.173 0.5436 -1.079
Volcano Looming High 1321 48.02% 30.5 67.75% -0.065 -0.0982 0.008
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 665 35.04% 29.34 51.58% 0.616 0.1783 -0.261

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Impersonate Authority 94.82%
Incite the Mob 95.59%
Overenthusiastic Arson 70.55%
Unexpected Tigers 69.58%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9391 16.23 12.25%
II 20563 30.54 64.31%
III 18316 34.77 85.5%
IV 8164 38.37 99.77%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15463
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12980
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8090
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5510
Lose: Invader deck ran out 377
Lose: Adversary condition 3281
Win: Sacrifice victory 168
Lose: Scenario condition 462
Win: Scenario condition 330
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8062
Lose: Spirit destroyed 561

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.184 Win Model: -0.171

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.005 Win Model: 0.097
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 35096 47.96% 32.03 67.93%
2 12114 48.51% 32.14 67.28%
3 4877 48.43% 31.33 65.82%
4 2776 37.87% 33.37 71.47%
5 364 34.75% 26.51 73.35%
6 1207 26.6% 28.44 60.56%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)