Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 146 27.4% 24.8 58.9% -0.126 0.244 0.0
Blitz 0 674 34.93% 24.13 57.86% -1.165 -0.7328 -0.084
Dahan Insurrection 4 1705 15.54% 39.59 54.19% -0.562 -0.5879 0.622
Despicable Theft 2 347 40.92% 21.84 39.19% -0.358 0.302 -0.177
Elemental Invocation 1 433 39.81% 20.73 43.19% -0.506 -0.0582 -0.566
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2852 20.52% 41.37 64.97% 0.179 -0.4206 0.087
Powers Long Forgotten 1 315 41.08% 18.23 36.19% -1.572 -0.9635 -0.502
Rituals of Terror 3 160 39.24% 24.73 44.38% 0.327 0.4516 -0.505
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 168 53.57% 20.58 38.1% -1.005 -0.2671 -0.472
Second Wave 0 2448 39.57% 25.89 68.75% 0.383 0.4889 1.084
The Great River 3 251 49.0% 21.7 34.66% 0.605 1.7798 -0.518
Varied Terrains 2 268 50.75% 22.94 41.42% -0.537 0.1995 0.141
Ward the Shores 2 282 39.72% 21.69 37.94% -0.36 0.3225 -0.892

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 51019 45.73% 29.79 64.57% 0.007 0.232 0.24
1 Thematic 1890 36.18% 30.38 51.22% -0.058 0.4926 0.661
2 Archipelago 104 56.73% 33.64 56.73% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12710 47.73% 30.31 63.72% 0.377 0.4881 0.604
2 Coastline 1490 47.75% 30.3 62.21% 0.544 0.4548 0.25
2 Fragment 421 53.0% 32.12 69.83% 0.945 0.6059 0.041
2 Heart 209 54.07% 33.65 66.51% 0.211 -0.1166 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 2344 43.98% 27.46 64.97% 0.718 0.7543 -0.542
2 Thematic 1027 41.72% 24.9 46.84% -0.562 -0.0332 -0.683
2 Top to Top 369 45.36% 33.99 69.38% -0.226 -0.4323 0.063
3 Archipelago 76 56.16% 34.7 61.84% 0.0 0.1006 -0.451
3 Coastline 94 38.3% 22.93 44.68% -0.576 -1.0973 -0.129
3 Other 227 45.81% 24.04 64.32% 0.475 -0.2669 0.32
3 Round (Default) 7502 45.85% 29.72 63.2% -0.214 -0.3101 0.212
3 Sunrise 37 43.24% 31.24 72.97% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 406 46.06% 24.79 44.09% -0.977 -0.7354 -0.839
4 Archipelago 64 38.71% 33.5 75.0% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 39 48.72% 29.38 69.23% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 55 61.82% 28.4 67.27% 0.0 -0.5543 -0.343
4 Other 173 36.99% 28.17 72.25% -0.3 -0.8477 -0.58
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 19.67 66.67% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 2 100.0% 28.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 802 25.72% 28.23 49.63% -0.115 0.3582 -0.074
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3506 36.31% 29.64 65.35% -0.071 -0.2596 0.553
5 Archipelago 13 33.33% 28.85 84.62% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 21 38.1% 30.24 80.95% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 562 39.05% 28.42 70.11% 0.825 0.4981 1.382
5 Thematic 42 42.86% 22.26 50.0% 0.278 -0.2131 0.0
6 Archipelago 46 8.89% 25.76 47.83% 0.181 -0.7442 0.0
6 Coastline 11 9.09% 20.36 27.27% 0.0 0.3287 0.2
6 Other 227 20.7% 21.83 61.23% -0.085 0.1843 -0.023
6 Star 129 32.56% 27.67 59.69% -0.682 0.1142 -0.155
6 Thematic 789 23.89% 21.77 38.78% -0.256 0.3251 -0.295
6 Two Centers (Default) 951 29.75% 26.11 59.2% -0.073 -0.0961 -0.712
7 Archipelago 8 12.5% 13.13 0.0% -0.352 0.0539 -0.053
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 31 16.67% 8.9 22.58% 0.0 -0.2555 0.321
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 2414 30.51 51.28% -0.612 -0.3013 0.345
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2014 34.18 57.65% 0.09 0.103 0.68
All Things Weaken 2741 30.45 51.26% -0.893 -0.4189 0.397
Attenuated Essence 722 29.18 48.89% 0.031 0.1777 -0.085
Back Against the Wall 1980 32.46 52.53% -0.049 0.0808 -0.031
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 793 26.15 44.39% -0.425 -0.1049 -0.437
Burn Brightest Before the End 616 27.86 47.24% -0.456 -0.2787 0.229
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2285 28.45 49.1% 0.3 0.68 -0.166
Downward Spiral 2709 29.17 53.38% -0.088 0.1057 0.341
Erosion of Will 2371 30.25 49.73% 0.184 0.5216 -0.005
Intensifying Exploitation 749 24.62 41.66% -0.244 0.1085 -0.453
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1041 34.29 77.23% 1.651 1.2876 0.38
Memory Fades to Dust 2646 28.6 50.94% -0.792 -0.4624 0.082
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2606 29.15 52.15% -0.116 0.1503 0.45
Promising Farmlands 2361 28.17 48.16% -0.138 0.3092 -0.139
Shattered Fragments of Power 605 29.5 49.75% 0.75 0.7493 0.033
Slow Dissolution of Will 741 27.17 40.76% -0.588 -0.1765 0.212
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 759 36.14 83.0% 0.798 0.2394 1.849
The Border of Life and Death 207 28.31 61.84% -1.021 -1.2661 -0.636
Thriving Communities 2724 27.86 49.45% 0.064 0.3421 -0.13
Thriving Crops 354 25.8 53.39% 0.247 0.1518 0.026
Unnatural Proliferation 2839 30.11 49.7% -0.05 0.155 0.09
Untended Land Crumbles 2589 28.8 49.83% -0.329 -0.0293 0.381

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 18661 44.82% 29.07 62.87% 0.323 1.3148 0.13
B 19155 44.39% 29.99 63.74% 0.092 0.9569 -0.112
C 22184 41.91% 30.0 66.47% 0.107 0.859 0.315
D 16864 43.48% 29.19 64.17% 0.339 1.2835 0.071
E 17018 44.23% 29.45 63.49% 0.228 0.9833 0.11
F 15363 44.92% 29.03 63.14% 0.364 1.2389 0.53
G 14026 44.27% 29.46 63.75% 0.132 0.9943 -0.069
H 13825 44.46% 29.36 63.59% 0.117 0.9241 0.223
East 3707 33.86% 25.7 46.72% -1.337 -0.5916 -0.093
Northeast 2215 32.71% 26.21 47.67% -0.067 0.8264 -0.58
Northwest 2189 27.92% 28.81 48.06% -0.067 0.6764 0.511
Southeast 1822 29.96% 23.29 41.99% 0.067 1.0759 -1.04
Southwest 1727 31.15% 22.14 41.34% 0.599 1.7558 0.357
West 3726 33.36% 26.77 45.84% -0.885 0.0971 -0.385

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 488 0.0% 19.34 69.47% -0.198 0.522 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 57 39.62% 21.09 64.91% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1532 18.26% 35.84 79.77% 0.364 -0.4404 0.816
Start of Game Growth 2318 22.65% 35.95 76.14% 0.15 -0.4163 0.133
Unlimited Undo 7852 38.37% 32.8 68.7% 0.248 0.2753 0.456
Using Tokens but Not Events 9644 23.26% 27.99 75.91% 0.218 0.1908 0.064

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2325 34.56% 29.04 65.85% -0.362 -0.7794 -0.132
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 288 38.16% 30.12 59.38% 0.177 -0.4788 0.243
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 33 27.27% 25.39 66.67% -0.436 -0.5936 -0.372
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 206 35.92% 31.33 68.93% 0.545 -0.3157 1.374
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 924 42.39% 23.84 55.95% -0.588 -0.4505 -0.054
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 323 36.65% 27.85 52.32% 0.224 -0.8051 0.204
Dances Up Earthquakes 331 43.64% 27.75 56.5% 0.3 0.2637 0.18
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1475 39.48% 26.56 62.24% -0.792 -1.146 -0.581
Downpour Drenches the World 1350 35.14% 24.65 54.89% -0.557 -0.4331 0.171
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2073 32.43% 26.15 51.95% -0.094 -0.6651 0.058
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2186 35.33% 30.89 69.17% 0.61 -0.0366 0.383
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1691 36.6% 28.38 66.88% -0.492 -0.9862 -0.386
Finder of Paths Unseen 628 39.52% 23.07 48.41% -0.429 0.1598 -0.223
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1174 35.64% 26.99 54.77% -1.604 -1.157 -0.001
Heart of the Wildfire 1519 54.95% 25.09 52.93% 0.32 0.4631 -0.533
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2885 39.3% 32.78 68.77% 1.002 0.3281 0.595
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 573 33.68% 25.88 50.96% 0.16 -0.3681 -0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike 839 48.48% 24.44 65.44% -0.174 -0.1412 0.206
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 446 44.39% 32.14 61.66% -1.329 -1.9812 0.31
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1081 43.18% 34.33 65.12% 0.103 -0.393 -0.16
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 643 39.87% 32.62 67.34% 0.961 0.7212 0.95
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3373 41.11% 29.31 63.36% 0.274 -0.1521 -0.412
Many Minds Move as One 1826 37.5% 27.93 66.05% 0.533 0.024 0.264
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2143 38.5% 30.59 60.66% 0.937 0.6678 0.318
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 372 43.87% 31.04 65.86% 0.186 0.0718 1.72
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1727 41.77% 29.08 65.78% 0.109 -0.1845 0.075
River Surges in Sunlight 1381 35.43% 35.33 69.37% 0.706 0.5351 -0.553
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 193 44.27% 30.1 56.48% -0.108 -0.2188 -1.027
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 699 50.0% 27.46 56.08% -0.062 -0.1273 -0.784
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 887 38.6% 38.68 63.02% 0.623 0.4928 0.534
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1716 35.99% 30.6 64.22% 1.139 0.8752 -0.105
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 178 30.9% 28.56 52.81% 0.469 0.0389 0.33
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 260 54.94% 22.34 63.46% 0.445 0.8735 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 186 36.02% 28.87 58.06% 0.347 0.3509 -0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 344 40.29% 29.44 61.34% 0.22 -0.533 0.019
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 181 39.23% 26.52 61.33% -0.152 -0.4712 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 669 47.09% 28.43 58.59% 0.166 -0.013 0.663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 290 45.49% 25.45 61.38% -0.605 -0.648 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1833 35.53% 32.23 70.49% -0.547 -0.9131 -0.974
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 31 29.03% 27.1 64.52% -0.096 -0.6373 0.152
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 659 35.46% 24.94 54.17% 0.126 -0.1184 -0.044
Shifting Memory of Ages 1881 46.22% 26.93 62.41% -1.357 -1.0625 0.219
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 331 37.16% 26.12 54.68% -0.689 -0.8522 0.838
Shroud of Silent Mist 1475 41.58% 23.27 59.73% -0.871 -0.6893 -0.695
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 30 46.43% 28.67 63.33% -0.412 -0.8219 0.852
Starlight Seeks its Form 2665 45.3% 30.92 61.13% -0.149 -0.3912 -0.05
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2396 42.4% 26.45 60.06% 0.333 -0.6189 0.029
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1357 36.51% 30.41 65.73% -0.124 -0.0811 -0.46
Thunderspeaker 1715 37.68% 30.52 65.71% 0.494 0.299 -0.232
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 379 40.21% 22.3 44.06% 0.872 0.7039 -1.126
Towering Roots of the Jungle 766 23.75% 19.41 40.99% -0.076 -0.1869 -0.397
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1533 56.8% 25.77 56.36% 0.087 -0.0635 0.065
Vital Strength of the Earth 797 40.18% 24.92 64.49% 0.161 0.5196 -1.187
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 482 37.34% 25.98 53.94% 0.082 0.3257 -0.658
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 390 44.62% 22.68 49.49% -0.352 0.3297 -0.067
Volcano Looming High 1970 46.51% 28.04 62.08% -0.538 -0.8619 0.353
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1968 32.99% 26.88 48.73% 0.21 -0.3081 0.408

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Impersonate Authority 94.99%
Incite the Mob 95.81%
Overenthusiastic Arson 71.31%
Unexpected Tigers 70.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18208 12.25 8.99%
II 30666 29.91 62.63%
III 26743 34.94 85.13%
IV 11787 38.9 99.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22473
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 18313
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11675
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14195
Lose: Invader deck ran out 496
Lose: Adversary condition 4646
Win: Sacrifice victory 232
Lose: Scenario condition 625
Win: Scenario condition 1031
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11277
Lose: Spirit destroyed 805

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.747 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.093 Win Model: -0.059
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 53218 45.34% 29.75 63.9%
2 18611 47.39% 29.98 63.26%
3 8194 45.75% 29.37 62.74%
4 4610 34.58% 29.35 63.32%
5 608 37.44% 26.92 67.93%
6 2163 26.15% 24.01 51.32%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)