Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 28.57% 27.43 71.43% -0.075 -0.2768 0.0
Blitz 0 156 42.95% 30.3 81.41% 0.217 0.4744 -0.458
Dahan Insurrection 4 162 37.65% 58.22 77.16% 0.142 0.5555 0.633
Despicable Theft 2 118 58.47% 31.75 54.24% -1.519 -1.0731 -2.379
Elemental Invocation 1 109 56.88% 30.98 66.06% 0.53 1.0162 0.377
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1193 19.38% 45.22 75.19% -1.315 -1.0093 -0.22
Powers Long Forgotten 1 46 58.7% 32.24 73.91% 0.171 0.3529 -0.759
Rituals of Terror 3 35 51.52% 41.91 74.29% 0.325 0.4465 -0.006
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 88.46% 34.31 69.23% 0.0 0.4151 -0.604
Second Wave 0 602 43.27% 27.85 76.08% -0.715 -0.1496 -0.163
The Great River 3 53 66.04% 29.43 47.17% -0.405 0.9925 -1.452
Varied Terrains 2 20 55.0% 39.55 65.0% -0.243 0.2829 -0.362
Ward the Shores 2 56 60.71% 31.07 53.57% -0.645 0.5168 -0.65

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 18321 52.18% 36.04 74.23% 0.049 1.0656 0.356
1 Thematic 446 48.98% 35.02 69.96% -0.102 1.0705 -0.407
2 Archipelago 48 60.42% 33.15 70.83% -0.7 0.2835 -0.208
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3798 50.12% 36.61 75.93% 0.041 0.7926 0.218
2 Coastline 477 51.15% 35.97 73.79% -0.063 0.5392 0.176
2 Fragment 133 56.39% 46.29 83.46% -0.154 0.2933 1.494
2 Heart 37 62.16% 40.49 78.38% 0.9 1.4383 0.593
2 Opposite Shores 714 44.26% 32.81 77.17% -0.452 0.5401 -0.647
2 Thematic 211 49.05% 34.64 75.36% 0.245 0.9437 -0.222
2 Top to Top 118 57.26% 40.68 79.66% 0.591 1.101 0.33
3 Archipelago 20 65.0% 38.2 65.0% -0.479 -0.306 -0.546
3 Coastline 17 52.94% 29.65 52.94% 0.743 -0.04 -0.533
3 Other 78 38.46% 31.81 85.9% 0.864 0.8283 1.114
3 Round (Default) 1790 52.86% 35.01 73.91% 0.061 0.6561 -0.108
3 Sunrise 4 50.0% 43.5 100.0% 0.669 0.7056 0.0
3 Thematic 98 71.43% 31.64 35.71% -0.402 -0.4392 -1.448
4 Archipelago 13 50.0% 36.69 92.31% 0.379 -0.3326 -0.391
4 Coastline 10 20.0% 36.1 90.0% 0.114 0.2306 0.0
4 Leaf 11 63.64% 32.27 81.82% -0.278 0.2842 -0.342
4 Other 64 32.81% 31.52 84.38% -0.592 -0.8458 0.657
4 Thematic 175 42.29% 44.61 78.29% -0.661 -0.1323 0.212
4 Trapezoid (Default) 989 37.44% 37.95 80.89% 0.145 0.1174 -0.04
5 Archipelago 3 33.33% 55.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5788 0.419
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 34.2 100.0% 0.0 -0.5647 0.0
5 Other 107 40.95% 31.39 79.44% 0.087 0.255 0.397
5 Thematic 12 58.33% 27.08 83.33% 0.277 -0.0001 0.678
6 Archipelago 5 0.0% 38.6 100.0% 0.0 -0.2557 0.0
6 Other 47 23.4% 34.66 85.11% -0.622 0.1876 0.55
6 Star 31 29.03% 41.42 87.1% -0.263 0.5202 0.292
6 Thematic 136 29.63% 35.29 83.82% -0.448 -0.7264 -0.724
6 Two Centers (Default) 176 31.82% 36.9 82.95% 0.093 -0.0006 -0.378
7 Archipelago 1 100.0% 52.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5774 -0.451
7 Other 4 50.0% 28.5 25.0% 0.03 -1.1219 -1.033

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1013 33.64 54.79% -1.704 0.1993 -1.241
Aid From Lesser Spirits 856 36.4 59.46% -1.473 0.2572 -0.78
All Things Weaken 1113 34.83 56.06% -1.964 0.0211 -0.846
Back Against the Wall 897 33.76 52.84% -1.604 0.2124 -1.11
Disintegrating Ecosystem 942 32.11 55.31% -1.661 0.389 -1.111
Downward Spiral 1148 33.25 57.93% -1.894 0.0988 -0.999
Erosion of Will 986 33.89 54.16% -1.533 0.5501 -1.045
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 439 39.92 87.93% -0.33 0.111 0.349
Memory Fades to Dust 1054 32.69 56.93% -1.932 0.1526 -1.172
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1082 32.88 56.65% -2.072 -0.1336 -1.331
Promising Farmlands 945 31.88 53.54% -1.906 0.1397 -1.333
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 315 40.12 90.79% -0.899 -0.4742 0.238
Thriving Communities 1095 31.42 55.16% -1.474 0.5096 -1.318
Unnatural Proliferation 1195 32.43 50.96% -1.986 -0.022 -1.284
Untended Land Crumbles 1103 32.28 53.76% -2.048 -0.0549 -1.264

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5460 50.3% 35.72 74.71% 0.228 1.0258 -0.493
B 5805 48.68% 36.82 76.73% 0.203 0.9468 -0.326
C 6752 48.66% 36.1 76.54% 0.356 0.924 -0.222
D 5134 46.76% 35.68 77.04% 0.231 1.0269 -0.423
E 5129 49.36% 36.51 75.12% 0.19 0.8371 -0.318
F 4616 50.61% 35.86 75.5% 0.109 0.8335 -0.406
G 4320 48.71% 36.06 76.09% -0.039 0.6929 -0.489
H 4170 50.08% 35.45 75.08% 0.167 0.8793 -0.239
East 790 44.78% 37.9 73.16% 0.342 1.1109 -0.334
Northeast 504 44.11% 37.81 72.82% 0.127 0.9872 0.078
Northwest 393 43.59% 37.98 75.57% -0.333 0.7439 0.281
Southeast 383 42.78% 36.19 68.41% -0.203 0.5031 -0.855
Southwest 312 42.44% 35.55 78.53% -0.116 1.0097 -0.056
West 688 47.95% 37.05 73.11% -0.909 0.045 -1.025

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 154 0.0% 24.56 83.12% -1.226 0.9035 0.308
Not Using Events or Tokens 2 0.0% 14.5 50.0% 0.0 0.175 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 553 17.37% 37.6 91.86% -0.371 -0.5131 0.742
Start of Game Growth 801 23.82% 39.77 87.64% 0.454 -0.3065 -0.116
Unlimited Undo 2857 40.68% 40.67 85.19% 0.473 -0.1307 0.862
Using Tokens but Not Events 2621 27.54% 32.95 87.64% 0.218 0.0613 0.022

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 755 100.0% 36.47 100.0% 0.241 0.1261 0.116
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 271 100.0% 32.44 100.0% -0.962 -0.8658 -0.297
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 403 100.0% 33.78 100.0% 0.434 0.2732 0.804
Downpour Drenches the World 133 100.0% 33.93 100.0% -0.242 0.0102 -0.179
Eyes Watch From the Trees 669 100.0% 37.65 100.0% 0.39 -0.048 0.235
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 449 100.0% 33.77 100.0% 0.292 -0.1961 0.13
Finder of Paths Unseen 48 100.0% 34.67 100.0% 0.09 0.4534 0.45
Fractured Days Split the Sky 299 100.0% 38.12 100.0% 0.017 0.0726 -0.068
Heart of the Wildfire 442 100.0% 31.86 100.0% -0.537 -0.3622 -0.833
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 979 100.0% 38.9 100.0% 0.552 0.0958 0.354
Lightning's Swift Strike 243 236.07% 29.29 146.09% -0.389 -0.1144 0.19
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 20 50.0% 36.45 80.0% 0.26 -0.5164 -0.509
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 387 42.89% 43.05 80.88% 0.463 -0.1799 0.66
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 193 47.4% 41.48 82.38% -0.783 -1.0494 1.089
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1114 100.0% 36.49 100.0% -0.212 -0.4784 0.104
Many Minds Move as One 454 100.0% 35.44 100.0% 0.175 -0.4282 0.665
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 571 100.0% 39.1 100.0% 0.049 -0.1363 -0.149
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 511 100.0% 35.57 100.0% -0.426 -0.4056 -0.248
River Surges in Sunlight 650 125.92% 44.68 111.08% -0.146 -0.1798 -0.302
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 193 45.03% 32.98 72.02% 0.858 1.2895 -1.511
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 94 31.91% 52.3 80.85% 0.748 0.448 0.173
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 484 100.0% 37.8 100.0% 0.275 0.2221 0.161
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 69 372.46% 31.26 236.23% 0.38 0.79 -0.262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 15 53.33% 43.67 80.0% 0.138 0.1447 1.267
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 13 46.15% 35.08 92.31% 0.264 -0.0829 0.55
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 228 50.0% 36.92 74.12% -0.235 -0.2159 -0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 124 51.61% 30.33 75.0% 0.26 0.4434 0.203
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 721 100.0% 39.48 100.0% 0.672 0.3848 0.804
Shifting Memory of Ages 772 100.0% 33.39 100.0% -0.725 -0.65 -0.34
Shroud of Silent Mist 460 100.0% 29.97 100.0% -0.432 -0.1956 -0.46
Starlight Seeks its Form 861 100.0% 35.99 100.0% -0.74 -0.8792 0.25
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 655 100.0% 34.01 100.0% 0.165 -0.0165 -0.261
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 396 100.0% 39.36 100.0% 0.332 0.517 0.613
Thunderspeaker 559 100.0% 36.23 100.0% -0.258 -0.194 -0.705
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 440 100.0% 33.9 100.0% -0.111 -0.2012 -0.03
Vital Strength of the Earth 206 133.98% 29.86 117.48% -0.287 0.5217 -0.921
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 33 36.36% 36.3 87.88% 0.518 0.9046 0.003
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 99 50.51% 29.33 67.68% -1.247 -0.0727 -1.166
Volcano Looming High 595 100.0% 34.49 100.0% 0.308 0.3039 -0.077

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Impersonate Authority 94.5%
Incite the Mob 95.56%
Overenthusiastic Arson 69.3%
Unexpected Tigers 68.6%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2703 22.56 24.34%
II 10808 30.98 66.66%
III 10065 34.53 86.01%
IV 4523 37.77 99.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 658
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 8558
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7082
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4486
Lose: Invader deck ran out 229
Lose: Adversary condition 1719
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 242
Win: Scenario condition 155
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4546
Lose: Spirit destroyed 329

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.013 Win Model: -0.274

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.089 Win Model: 0.221
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 18828 52.18% 36.02 74.05%
2 5583 50.11% 36.2 75.51%
3 1925 52.32% 34.92 74.65%
4 1274 37.81% 38.5 80.53%
5 92 35.56% 28.61 86.96%
6 397 29.8% 36.51 83.63%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-09-02 02:08:59 (Pacific Time)