Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 81 32.1% 23.99 59.26% 0.106 0.121 -1.014
Blitz 0 454 34.44% 27.18 64.98% -0.479 -0.1906 -0.488
Dahan Insurrection 4 636 27.52% 37.54 44.18% -1.663 -1.8401 0.059
Despicable Theft 2 230 45.22% 24.93 43.48% -0.894 -0.0329 -2.005
Elemental Invocation 1 274 42.49% 23.07 47.08% -1.939 -1.0063 -0.006
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2214 20.65% 43.47 67.8% 0.47 -0.1762 0.162
Powers Long Forgotten 1 175 44.0% 22.78 44.57% -0.584 0.3615 -0.339
Rituals of Terror 3 89 42.53% 27.71 44.94% -1.0 -0.9232 -0.069
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 82 64.63% 23.06 41.46% 0.184 1.2991 -0.704
Second Wave 0 1602 39.99% 26.28 72.16% -0.22 -0.1892 -0.598
The Great River 3 149 55.03% 22.17 32.89% -1.116 0.3092 -1.971
Varied Terrains 2 151 51.66% 24.97 46.36% -0.916 -0.141 -0.088
Ward the Shores 2 169 42.01% 24.22 40.83% 0.211 1.2556 -0.604

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 35397 47.79% 31.9 68.11% 0.413 0.6732 0.409
1 Thematic 1039 42.36% 27.53 52.65% -0.341 0.1247 -0.414
2 Archipelago 85 62.35% 35.76 56.47% -0.492 -0.0188 -0.886
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8656 48.45% 32.03 67.06% 0.221 0.4066 0.247
2 Coastline 1054 50.43% 31.83 64.52% -0.598 -0.6147 0.236
2 Fragment 307 53.77% 35.63 74.59% 0.909 0.5927 1.577
2 Heart 150 49.33% 34.39 71.33% 0.465 0.3709 0.713
2 Opposite Shores 1558 44.57% 29.4 68.61% 0.165 0.1254 0.069
2 Thematic 576 46.09% 27.65 53.99% -0.175 0.1117 -0.825
2 Top to Top 242 48.95% 35.52 71.49% 0.094 0.0501 0.641
3 Archipelago 57 57.89% 38.18 64.91% 0.255 -0.885 -0.078
3 Coastline 59 38.98% 22.42 45.76% 0.567 -0.1827 -0.26
3 Other 169 49.11% 26.72 71.01% -0.04 -0.5024 0.623
3 Round (Default) 4714 48.32% 31.55 65.7% 0.226 0.0063 0.174
3 Sunrise 28 50.0% 34.04 78.57% 0.863 0.9383 -0.276
3 Thematic 226 50.0% 26.88 45.13% 0.36 0.068 -1.585
4 Archipelago 45 34.09% 34.71 77.78% 0.087 0.2803 -0.3
4 Coastline 24 45.83% 26.54 62.5% 0.462 0.1021 0.387
4 Leaf 34 64.71% 34.06 85.29% 0.0 -0.1085 -0.106
4 Other 126 34.13% 32.27 80.95% -0.24 -0.4968 1.973
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 18.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 468 32.98% 34.11 61.32% -0.276 -0.0238 -0.078
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2273 37.9% 32.46 70.35% -0.391 -0.1769 -0.073
5 Archipelago 12 36.36% 28.5 83.33% -0.569 -0.2956 0.493
5 Coastline 16 25.0% 28.31 75.0% 0.156 0.051 -0.258
5 Other 379 38.92% 28.14 72.03% -0.663 -1.2285 -0.198
5 Thematic 21 47.62% 21.71 61.9% 0.0 -0.4203 0.623
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.48 60.0% -0.016 -0.9488 0.228
6 Coastline 7 14.29% 10.57 14.29% -0.233 -1.0309 -0.356
6 Other 121 19.83% 25.11 75.21% 0.394 0.8198 0.622
6 Star 85 31.76% 28.47 63.53% -0.437 -0.3243 0.307
6 Thematic 500 25.05% 26.71 47.6% -1.023 -0.9214 -1.59
6 Two Centers (Default) 540 29.05% 29.54 67.59% -0.37 -0.627 -0.491
7 Archipelago 3 33.33% 17.33 0.0% 0.0 1.0709 -0.247
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 -0.259
7 Other 21 23.81% 13.14 33.33% 0.243 -0.7726 -1.056
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1803 31.83 53.08% -0.134 0.041 -0.468
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1506 34.83 57.17% -0.01 -0.0641 -0.017
All Things Weaken 2048 31.81 52.39% -0.571 -0.2779 -0.19
Attenuated Essence 323 29.46 49.23% -0.336 -0.2528 -0.455
Back Against the Wall 1532 33.14 53.0% -0.185 -0.1374 -0.314
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 367 27.36 45.5% -0.71 -0.5066 -0.846
Burn Brightest Before the End 258 28.14 48.06% -0.224 -0.0367 -0.475
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1707 29.96 51.08% -0.248 0.1605 -0.445
Downward Spiral 1963 30.73 54.92% -0.108 0.0199 -0.377
Erosion of Will 1759 31.39 50.77% 0.133 0.4155 -0.518
Intensifying Exploitation 339 25.63 43.36% -0.195 0.0523 -0.611
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 751 36.51 81.36% 0.623 0.1079 0.479
Memory Fades to Dust 1958 29.84 51.89% -1.151 -0.9138 -0.454
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1966 30.24 53.05% -0.354 -0.1358 -0.574
Promising Farmlands 1735 29.52 49.97% -0.37 -0.0755 -0.567
Shattered Fragments of Power 265 29.57 49.81% -0.149 0.0519 -0.58
Slow Dissolution of Will 301 25.98 37.54% -0.607 -0.2223 -0.575
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 541 37.54 85.4% 0.278 -0.3029 0.922
The Border of Life and Death 102 27.81 57.84% 0.551 0.0336 -0.411
Thriving Communities 2001 29.5 51.32% -0.689 -0.3504 -0.615
Thriving Crops 170 26.07 52.35% -0.673 -0.7157 -1.049
Unnatural Proliferation 2111 30.76 50.02% -0.727 -0.5871 -0.46
Untended Land Crumbles 1949 30.06 50.28% -0.655 -0.2064 -0.609

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12242 46.71% 31.2 66.69% 0.029 0.8909 -0.683
B 12814 46.11% 32.24 67.54% 0.004 0.8208 -0.646
C 15262 43.42% 31.56 70.1% 0.208 0.8873 -0.631
D 11199 45.05% 31.39 68.44% 0.083 0.8873 -0.684
E 11338 45.55% 31.78 67.62% 0.102 0.7708 -0.569
F 10099 46.95% 31.26 66.75% 0.184 0.9829 -0.704
G 9406 46.26% 31.65 67.32% -0.029 0.7967 -0.673
H 9285 46.63% 31.37 67.16% -0.122 0.6506 -0.524
East 2201 37.16% 29.17 54.11% -0.181 0.6651 -0.173
Northeast 1420 34.6% 29.38 53.52% 0.1 0.871 -0.747
Northwest 1216 32.56% 28.37 51.73% -0.362 0.445 -0.474
Southeast 1053 33.87% 28.07 50.71% -0.311 0.5587 -0.746
Southwest 977 35.08% 26.77 50.46% -0.419 0.8631 -1.011
West 2031 38.45% 28.23 51.65% -0.282 0.7136 -0.717

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 329 0.0% 21.12 73.56% -0.351 0.4452 -0.855
Not Using Events or Tokens 24 45.0% 21.13 50.0% -0.27 0.1175 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1180 18.53% 37.41 83.98% 0.221 -0.3931 1.039
Start of Game Growth 1641 23.11% 38.49 81.41% -0.019 -0.6009 1.193
Unlimited Undo 5587 40.01% 34.75 72.65% -0.243 -0.1995 0.462
Using Tokens but Not Events 6327 23.98% 27.78 80.26% 0.403 0.3448 -0.038

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1687 36.96% 31.86 69.89% -0.24 -0.3841 0.322
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 31 19.35% 24.71 51.61% -0.271 -0.9842 -0.23
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 654 44.19% 26.07 60.09% -0.739 -0.4754 -0.442
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 128 29.92% 28.73 50.78% -0.176 -0.9849 -0.232
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 962 40.86% 28.89 67.88% -0.106 -0.2706 0.092
Downpour Drenches the World 815 34.69% 26.76 59.39% -0.266 0.0076 -0.072
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1127 34.55% 28.19 55.46% 0.277 -0.1496 -0.157
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1517 36.66% 32.83 73.76% 0.159 -0.2011 0.055
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1204 38.72% 30.24 72.01% 0.527 0.0823 0.235
Finder of Paths Unseen 365 40.38% 26.36 55.34% -0.274 0.4145 0.736
Fractured Days Split the Sky 763 36.79% 30.63 60.55% 0.266 0.8548 -0.17
Heart of the Wildfire 978 55.81% 27.07 56.95% -0.458 -0.1299 -0.44
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2139 40.81% 34.47 72.14% 0.135 -0.1603 0.406
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 251 29.88% 24.28 49.0% -0.58 -0.951 -0.675
Lightning's Swift Strike 542 50.94% 25.66 67.71% 0.151 0.4909 0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 273 47.99% 33.89 65.93% 1.191 0.7176 0.499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 781 45.96% 36.86 68.89% 0.354 -0.0064 0.548
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 424 41.39% 33.58 66.98% -0.098 -0.091 0.58
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2325 42.37% 31.65 68.17% 0.122 -0.1726 0.11
Many Minds Move as One 1148 38.11% 29.92 70.3% -0.02 -0.1655 0.339
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1437 40.91% 33.17 63.74% 0.009 -0.0496 0.28
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1137 43.55% 32.07 71.42% -0.415 -0.5791 0.287
River Surges in Sunlight 1073 35.21% 38.56 72.32% 0.882 0.9801 -0.202
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 21 14.29% 42.05 85.71% 1.219 1.0837 1.267
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 442 48.18% 28.67 61.31% -0.053 0.4236 -0.969
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 615 35.83% 41.91 67.64% 0.361 0.3264 0.297
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1209 35.63% 31.74 65.76% -0.102 -0.3568 0.142
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 183 51.7% 24.38 69.4% -0.179 0.3429 -0.264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 113 36.28% 32.44 62.83% 0.207 0.3477 0.281
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 100 46.0% 35.67 67.0% 0.529 -0.0493 0.877
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 117 43.59% 28.65 65.81% -0.84 -0.4897 0.169
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 495 50.3% 31.17 63.43% -0.391 -0.4068 -0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 215 49.3% 27.24 66.05% -0.727 -0.4785 0.105
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1328 36.94% 35.49 76.73% 0.14 0.0308 0.687
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 327 39.14% 28.44 57.19% 0.509 0.3473 -0.215
Shifting Memory of Ages 1485 48.21% 29.68 67.21% -0.137 0.2077 0.012
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 30 26.67% 19.97 50.0% -0.492 -0.8016 -0.941
Shroud of Silent Mist 1042 45.37% 25.34 64.59% -0.283 0.0487 -0.259
Starlight Seeks its Form 1918 47.37% 32.79 63.71% 0.05 -0.1241 0.254
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1707 42.3% 28.17 63.74% -0.005 -0.7149 -0.23
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 895 38.12% 33.0 71.17% -0.343 -0.1312 0.387
Thunderspeaker 1229 38.56% 33.26 70.46% -0.078 -0.0984 -0.024
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 212 41.71% 20.75 39.62% 0.364 0.5617 -0.483
Towering Roots of the Jungle 78 30.77% 22.32 47.44% 0.001 -0.0267 -1.022
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1006 61.38% 28.98 61.53% -0.178 -0.1124 -0.21
Vital Strength of the Earth 591 39.0% 26.94 68.53% 0.087 0.6215 -0.41
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 264 35.98% 26.42 59.85% 0.007 0.5743 0.196
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 243 48.56% 24.12 53.91% -0.627 0.1317 -1.105
Volcano Looming High 1382 47.86% 30.41 67.44% 0.155 0.2921 0.012
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 789 34.01% 28.23 49.94% 0.484 0.1727 -0.313

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Impersonate Authority 94.87%
Incite the Mob 95.65%
Overenthusiastic Arson 70.77%
Unexpected Tigers 69.83%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10141 15.74 11.77%
II 21432 30.48 64.26%
III 18993 34.79 85.44%
IV 8456 38.41 99.75%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1194
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 16017
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13517
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8378
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6194
Lose: Invader deck ran out 388
Lose: Adversary condition 3406
Win: Sacrifice victory 174
Lose: Scenario condition 479
Win: Scenario condition 350
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8347
Lose: Spirit destroyed 578

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.21 Win Model: -0.184

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.036 Win Model: 0.123
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 36603 47.64% 31.74 67.53%
2 12650 48.46% 31.79 66.66%
3 5122 48.12% 31.19 65.64%
4 2971 37.01% 32.72 69.71%
5 390 36.05% 26.52 71.54%
6 1286 26.21% 27.74 59.56%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)