Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 59 20.34% 12.63 33.9% -0.891 -0.7333 -1.095
Blitz 0 324 30.75% 21.7 45.06% -0.655 -0.3929 -0.986
Dahan Insurrection 4 2019 21.64% 65.69 61.02% 2.657 2.4314 1.203
Despicable Theft 2 173 35.26% 23.94 42.2% -0.075 0.7348 -0.422
Elemental Invocation 1 242 37.6% 20.29 37.19% -1.815 -1.1182 -0.221
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2093 12.87% 50.69 74.87% 0.063 -0.5748 0.611
Powers Long Forgotten 1 312 38.14% 25.91 46.79% -0.876 0.0652 -0.696
Rituals of Terror 3 176 44.0% 42.43 54.55% 0.672 0.7419 0.497
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 115 46.96% 21.68 29.57% -0.599 0.2848 -1.587
Second Wave 0 1802 31.31% 27.79 71.92% 0.753 0.9412 0.314
The Great River 3 198 28.28% 15.52 20.71% -1.348 -0.2881 -1.975
Varied Terrains 2 96 36.46% 20.94 34.38% -0.325 0.4148 -1.277
Ward the Shores 2 215 30.05% 27.89 51.16% -0.285 0.9715 -1.45

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 35924 41.19% 29.8 52.45% 0.092 0.4047 -0.196
1 Thematic 1310 43.86% 28.41 48.4% 0.085 0.6474 0.765
2 Archipelago 87 42.53% 28.59 26.44% -0.895 -0.0688 -2.627
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9274 40.52% 32.74 65.25% 0.939 1.0674 -0.481
2 Coastline 1264 34.21% 29.95 64.56% 0.278 0.1489 -1.017
2 Fragment 229 50.0% 31.42 61.14% 0.297 0.0925 0.066
2 Heart 141 42.55% 35.79 48.94% 0.351 -0.0609 -1.332
2 Opposite Shores 2038 32.38% 27.84 63.89% 0.612 0.6928 -0.986
2 Thematic 647 31.22% 27.09 47.91% -0.181 0.173 -0.657
2 Top to Top 327 37.85% 34.13 64.83% 0.096 -0.0242 -0.979
3 Archipelago 43 51.16% 42.6 51.16% 0.523 -0.4865 -1.61
3 Coastline 71 35.71% 30.59 66.2% 0.141 -0.5441 -0.854
3 Other 300 32.33% 28.44 69.0% 0.6 -0.0374 -0.304
3 Round (Default) 5985 37.41% 33.49 64.63% 0.346 0.2736 -1.392
3 Sunrise 29 55.17% 34.0 79.31% -0.554 -0.7893 -0.308
3 Thematic 264 34.47% 42.87 55.3% 0.029 -0.0134 -0.404
4 Archipelago 39 48.72% 40.51 58.97% -0.493 -0.8045 -1.033
4 Coastline 33 15.63% 32.36 69.7% 0.476 0.5176 -0.834
4 Leaf 30 60.0% 40.93 70.0% 0.0 -0.2146 -0.666
4 Other 293 26.62% 41.1 81.91% 0.636 -0.1018 -1.227
4 Thematic 751 21.97% 59.32 80.29% -0.787 -1.0085 -1.194
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3870 30.3% 36.59 67.03% 0.287 0.1259 -2.37
5 Archipelago 16 37.5% 55.56 75.0% 0.0 0.4288 -0.877
5 Coastline 22 4.55% 30.18 81.82% 0.0 -0.7047 0.137
5 Other 502 25.05% 32.54 66.33% 0.551 -0.2221 -2.577
5 Thematic 134 47.01% 46.36 41.04% -0.091 -0.3675 -1.674
6 Archipelago 111 12.73% 49.75 63.96% -1.473 -2.2951 -2.603
6 Coastline 15 0.0% 26.87 46.67% -0.356 -0.942 -1.03
6 Other 270 20.07% 31.11 61.11% -0.921 -1.1353 -3.408
6 Star 95 30.53% 31.33 56.84% -0.895 -0.7658 -2.989
6 Thematic 549 26.84% 28.26 40.26% -1.121 -1.0565 -2.707
6 Two Centers (Default) 1550 16.55% 41.19 62.32% -0.804 -0.3057 -3.603
7 Archipelago 22 13.64% 55.77 68.18% 0.2 -0.0303 -0.559
7 Other 35 18.18% 11.43 20.0% -1.125 -1.6429 -2.745
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.142 -0.8029 0.031

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1629 33.0 45.0% 0.551 0.6653 -0.202
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1426 36.35 49.16% 0.361 0.2854 -0.015
All Things Weaken 1932 29.77 40.42% -0.276 -0.0003 -0.279
Attenuated Essence 332 29.71 42.77% -0.16 -0.1945 -0.194
Back Against the Wall 1563 35.56 49.97% 0.704 0.7486 -0.045
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 291 26.01 40.21% 0.69 0.8581 -0.24
Burn Brightest Before the End 254 30.88 39.76% -0.728 -0.7259 -0.418
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1575 30.42 43.43% 0.176 0.4127 -0.213
Downward Spiral 1794 29.68 43.42% 0.238 0.3316 -0.257
Erosion of Will 1630 32.59 42.7% -0.412 -0.1999 -0.298
Intensifying Exploitation 308 24.49 31.82% -0.239 -0.0292 -0.504
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 682 38.37 70.82% 0.65 0.0755 0.739
Memory Fades to Dust 1838 30.63 44.99% -0.05 0.1597 -0.185
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1759 29.67 43.77% -0.226 -0.0038 -0.425
Promising Farmlands 1572 30.2 39.19% -0.019 0.221 -0.515
Shattered Fragments of Power 231 29.12 37.23% -0.074 -0.0532 -0.676
Slow Dissolution of Will 308 23.92 30.19% -0.304 -0.0051 -1.059
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 490 39.6 75.92% 1.153 0.4801 0.723
The Border of Life and Death 95 21.83 42.11% -0.15 -0.7052 -0.996
Thriving Communities 1799 31.42 43.58% 0.177 0.3887 -0.098
Thriving Crops 145 28.12 42.07% 0.356 0.0594 -0.559
Unnatural Proliferation 1849 32.6 42.08% 0.093 0.2557 -0.229
Untended Land Crumbles 1792 28.16 38.28% -0.448 -0.2477 -0.496

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15928 35.11% 31.65 60.25% 0.154 1.1229 0.283
B 15450 35.05% 32.36 60.81% -0.101 0.7775 0.48
C 17795 34.92% 35.09 61.75% 0.268 0.9613 0.84
D 13756 34.83% 31.89 60.16% 0.12 1.0352 0.363
E 15728 35.68% 33.23 61.08% 0.169 0.9287 0.556
F 12972 35.69% 31.8 58.6% -0.001 0.8419 0.468
G 10995 36.67% 32.84 61.4% 0.085 0.8918 0.432
H 11211 35.72% 33.18 61.56% -0.112 0.705 0.474
East 2807 30.63% 39.16 55.75% -0.781 0.1073 -1.298
Northeast 1824 29.65% 40.61 55.81% 0.17 0.9623 -1.121
Northwest 1536 31.76% 38.01 51.37% -0.593 0.2343 -1.103
Southeast 1388 28.85% 35.42 50.58% 0.056 0.9146 -1.557
Southwest 1251 28.41% 32.86 49.96% -0.475 0.8246 -1.292
West 2557 30.97% 38.62 54.4% -0.445 0.5977 -0.491

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 476 0.0% 17.39 51.47% -1.672 -0.9706 -0.424
Not Using Events or Tokens 614 26.65% 23.46 64.5% 0.115 0.5046 -0.335
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2195 11.26% 49.79 72.3% 0.725 0.0249 -0.107
Start of Game Growth 2927 13.79% 44.38 68.84% 0.164 -0.3432 -0.236
Unlimited Undo 7917 29.81% 39.1 65.74% 0.198 0.1108 0.829
Using Tokens but Not Events 6759 22.59% 25.46 62.79% 0.146 0.1212 -0.734

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 4248 26.34% 41.63 71.89% -0.128 -0.2105 0.469
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 560 19.14% 35.75 46.61% 0.269 -0.2431 -0.479
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 913 42.68% 30.41 62.43% -0.282 -0.1036 0.329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 214 30.05% 27.65 45.79% -0.053 -0.9442 0.028
Dances Up Earthquakes 224 28.83% 41.29 54.02% 0.347 0.2791 1.009
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 966 36.94% 28.26 67.08% 0.11 -0.0943 0.08
Downpour Drenches the World 1159 22.9% 29.93 47.97% -0.033 0.2456 -0.367
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 723 27.5% 24.79 51.31% 0.419 -0.1564 0.089
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2378 28.11% 36.37 76.37% 0.409 -0.0197 0.438
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1115 30.8% 30.98 69.6% -0.317 -0.7788 -0.176
Finder of Paths Unseen 1140 23.79% 36.43 52.28% -0.233 0.4644 0.223
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 984 35.71% 28.59 57.52% 0.029 -0.0879 -0.564
Heart of the Wildfire 1292 43.37% 29.6 60.29% -0.653 -0.3186 -0.192
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3026 29.81% 39.69 70.82% 0.82 0.4268 0.281
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 295 19.05% 19.75 36.95% -0.25 -0.5625 -0.991
Lightning's Swift Strike 607 38.51% 27.66 70.18% -0.172 0.0506 0.062
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 362 37.67% 38.79 59.39% -0.516 -0.8521 0.13
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 676 34.12% 35.3 72.93% 0.108 -0.2226 0.99
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 910 28.84% 38.8 70.0% -0.034 -0.0204 1.047
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2429 30.75% 37.86 70.81% 0.048 -0.149 0.396
Many Minds Move as One 1484 29.67% 34.33 73.72% -0.009 -0.1962 0.584
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1988 32.07% 35.7 63.38% -0.081 0.0642 0.046
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 170 36.69% 29.92 46.47% 0.089 0.1212 0.005
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1098 33.95% 30.23 68.4% -0.874 -0.9701 0.22
River Surges in Sunlight 1415 33.05% 40.87 75.9% 0.148 0.1847 0.594
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 184 22.83% 40.35 46.74% 0.645 0.8945 0.705
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 722 28.43% 41.21 75.07% -0.255 -0.0654 0.37
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 688 32.99% 34.25 48.84% -0.396 -0.5918 -0.228
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5027 24.38% 46.23 65.07% 0.794 0.6291 0.685
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 60 28.81% 35.83 51.67% -0.068 -0.3374 -0.35
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 207 45.85% 24.79 69.57% 0.435 1.0079 -0.914
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 76 29.33% 25.92 60.53% -0.037 -0.1097 0.323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 120 29.17% 27.52 62.5% -0.069 -0.5497 0.429
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 92 47.83% 24.63 51.09% -0.828 -0.8434 -0.395
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 445 39.18% 34.05 72.81% 0.533 0.4445 0.116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 319 37.66% 28.27 64.58% 0.074 0.2809 -0.988
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1086 29.8% 38.54 74.49% 0.369 0.4286 0.39
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 262 22.14% 29.16 59.92% 0.824 0.6898 -0.475
Shifting Memory of Ages 2482 29.37% 39.25 56.81% -0.115 0.195 -0.278
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 539 24.12% 38.98 47.87% 0.328 0.3348 -0.181
Shroud of Silent Mist 918 34.36% 28.25 60.78% -0.319 0.0155 -0.546
Starlight Seeks its Form 2981 24.54% 35.57 61.52% 0.22 0.1379 0.06
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2200 36.94% 33.14 63.77% -0.186 -0.6716 -0.066
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1079 28.21% 32.46 68.21% 0.073 0.2739 0.218
Thunderspeaker 1997 33.95% 35.45 66.9% 0.16 0.2113 -0.008
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 302 31.13% 28.32 48.34% -0.038 0.1089 -0.385
Towering Roots of the Jungle 240 24.27% 22.5 43.75% -0.214 -0.095 -0.248
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1358 49.37% 31.65 59.65% -0.051 -0.0054 -0.02
Vital Strength of the Earth 663 27.58% 29.65 66.52% -0.177 0.4166 -0.407
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 516 32.75% 36.49 46.51% 0.3 0.7801 -0.205
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 415 41.16% 29.11 55.66% -0.379 0.249 -0.489
Volcano Looming High 1572 41.34% 31.44 58.91% -0.455 -0.4012 -0.255
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 426 26.48% 27.83 48.59% 0.016 -0.3388 -0.491

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absolute Stasis 95.07%
Blur the Arc of Years 94.7%
Pour Time Sideways 41.62%
The Past Returns Again 74.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20224 13.65 9.81%
II 22398 30.17 66.44%
III 17326 34.82 86.27%
IV 6442 38.64 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1949
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14604
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 13516
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6337
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 12901
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1090
Lose: Adversary condition 4895
Win: Sacrifice victory 489
Lose: Scenario condition 276
Win: Scenario condition 1340
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7831
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1162

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.483 Win Model: -0.048

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.496 Win Model: 0.297
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 37708 41.18% 29.69 51.98%
2 13850 38.83% 31.89 64.85%
3 6697 37.26% 33.87 64.6%
4 4992 28.91% 40.58 69.87%
5 583 28.35% 32.27 61.75%
6 2560 18.31% 37.18 57.73%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-19 03:08:32 (Pacific Time)