Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 18 27.78% 17.61 50.0% -0.099 -0.2385 -0.773
Blitz 0 227 35.56% 26.3 55.51% -0.749 -0.6377 -0.72
Dahan Insurrection 4 1428 22.55% 72.06 68.07% 0.643 0.4079 1.101
Despicable Theft 2 102 43.14% 29.77 54.9% -0.232 0.411 0.232
Elemental Invocation 1 159 46.54% 26.06 49.69% -0.178 0.6244 -0.305
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1734 12.77% 54.97 80.28% 0.87 0.0966 0.651
Powers Long Forgotten 1 210 47.62% 32.88 58.57% -0.54 0.2323 -0.256
Rituals of Terror 3 127 50.0% 47.86 59.84% -0.345 -0.3288 0.548
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 75 57.33% 29.77 40.0% -0.653 0.4036 -1.115
Second Wave 0 1327 33.0% 28.18 75.51% 0.758 0.838 -0.827
The Great River 3 92 45.65% 26.18 38.04% -0.455 0.6731 -1.26
Varied Terrains 2 48 35.42% 24.5 43.75% 0.105 0.7971 -1.565
Ward the Shores 2 155 36.36% 31.6 58.06% -1.243 -0.3804 -1.384

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 26358 45.1% 34.45 60.39% -0.317 -0.1165 0.087
1 Thematic 996 48.74% 32.01 54.92% -0.56 0.1591 0.874
2 Archipelago 61 55.74% 39.44 36.07% -0.628 -0.3734 -1.688
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7274 42.66% 35.53 70.28% -0.103 -0.0951 -0.203
2 Coastline 926 37.4% 33.69 73.0% 0.152 -0.0532 -0.234
2 Fragment 179 55.06% 35.28 65.36% 1.388 1.1107 0.4
2 Heart 119 46.22% 39.43 52.1% -0.79 -1.0105 -1.312
2 Opposite Shores 1415 33.69% 30.84 72.37% -0.242 -0.1845 -0.6
2 Thematic 452 36.28% 31.8 55.31% -0.58 -0.1278 -0.836
2 Top to Top 257 40.23% 35.93 68.87% 1.408 1.31 -0.761
3 Archipelago 31 48.39% 40.32 58.06% -0.343 -1.1343 -0.949
3 Coastline 51 38.0% 33.14 74.51% 0.557 -0.0095 -0.447
3 Other 248 33.47% 30.02 73.39% -1.106 -1.1346 -0.145
3 Round (Default) 4385 39.0% 36.8 69.74% -0.37 -0.5955 -0.997
3 Sunrise 22 59.09% 38.36 86.36% 0.076 -0.909 -0.106
3 Thematic 179 35.2% 54.94 67.6% 0.426 0.6224 -0.289
4 Archipelago 35 51.43% 45.14 65.71% 0.44 -0.7455 -0.631
4 Coastline 25 8.33% 32.92 76.0% -0.084 -0.6708 -0.219
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 44.0 83.33% 0.0 -0.6987 -0.782
4 Other 259 26.25% 43.11 83.4% 1.186 -0.1718 -0.806
4 Thematic 685 20.29% 61.83 83.94% 0.082 -0.1167 -0.893
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2775 31.78% 40.24 75.53% -0.476 -0.7193 -1.753
5 Archipelago 13 46.15% 56.0 69.23% 0.0 0.3165 -0.698
5 Coastline 18 5.56% 30.06 77.78% -0.089 0.1041 0.227
5 Other 333 25.69% 35.71 68.47% -1.578 -2.6344 -2.197
5 Thematic 90 47.78% 54.7 52.22% 0.28 -0.1984 -0.621
6 Archipelago 65 10.94% 56.68 75.38% 0.058 -0.6787 -1.903
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 41.13 75.0% 0.0 -0.2405 -1.156
6 Other 157 22.44% 38.28 73.89% -1.114 -1.8511 -2.523
6 Star 72 29.17% 38.47 68.06% -0.895 -0.9518 -2.148
6 Thematic 295 26.53% 32.67 49.83% -1.326 -0.5718 -2.245
6 Two Centers (Default) 802 16.75% 44.43 67.08% -0.301 -0.8809 -2.792
7 Archipelago 17 17.65% 63.12 82.35% -0.39 0.3868 -0.489
7 Other 20 15.79% 10.5 25.0% -0.599 -1.0104 -2.177

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1365 34.2 46.67% -0.215 -0.0556 -0.625
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1223 37.1 49.55% 0.422 0.336 -0.429
All Things Weaken 1618 31.43 41.97% 0.254 0.5956 -0.677
Attenuated Essence 102 29.03 39.22% 0.419 0.4928 -0.843
Back Against the Wall 1328 36.0 49.85% 0.515 0.5898 -0.469
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 104 27.26 36.54% -0.276 -0.0854 -0.895
Burn Brightest Before the End 95 35.31 42.11% 0.692 0.8161 -0.669
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1309 31.73 45.0% 0.159 0.5317 -0.636
Downward Spiral 1498 31.23 45.53% -0.466 -0.3293 -0.694
Erosion of Will 1378 33.44 43.25% -0.251 0.0436 -0.808
Intensifying Exploitation 106 23.58 29.25% -0.23 0.0089 -0.951
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 568 39.66 72.71% 0.861 0.3285 0.267
Memory Fades to Dust 1506 32.78 47.74% 0.17 0.4506 -0.552
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1454 30.93 45.6% 0.562 0.7147 -0.875
Promising Farmlands 1312 31.96 40.85% -0.662 -0.3155 -0.909
Shattered Fragments of Power 70 30.64 38.57% 0.029 0.224 -1.121
Slow Dissolution of Will 100 23.19 29.0% -0.405 0.0461 -1.252
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 398 41.8 80.4% 1.689 0.9488 0.515
The Border of Life and Death 30 17.37 40.0% -0.303 -0.736 -0.749
Thriving Communities 1461 33.3 46.0% -0.409 -0.1108 -0.47
Thriving Crops 62 31.13 48.39% -0.054 -0.1569 -0.537
Unnatural Proliferation 1518 33.67 43.41% 0.254 0.3992 -0.648
Untended Land Crumbles 1475 29.51 40.61% -0.31 -0.011 -0.884

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11372 37.93% 35.2 67.29% 0.413 1.4071 0.39
B 10977 38.15% 36.17 67.99% 0.398 1.3164 0.649
C 12890 37.89% 38.49 68.36% 0.371 1.1138 0.903
D 9802 37.96% 35.64 67.57% 0.255 1.2063 0.551
E 11370 38.43% 36.84 67.77% 0.2 0.9807 0.678
F 9296 38.64% 35.37 65.15% 0.12 1.013 0.509
G 8083 39.34% 35.89 67.45% 0.008 0.8637 0.587
H 8120 38.92% 36.48 67.97% -0.104 0.7444 0.824
East 2030 31.25% 45.89 65.22% -0.303 0.466 -1.235
Northeast 1294 29.7% 47.77 66.15% -0.157 0.6302 -0.828
Northwest 1050 32.82% 45.18 61.71% 0.019 1.003 -0.975
Southeast 926 29.51% 42.14 60.37% -0.705 0.1695 -1.469
Southwest 815 28.5% 39.47 61.6% -0.452 0.7553 -0.957
West 1845 31.74% 45.45 64.12% -0.08 0.8541 -0.121

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 347 0.0% 20.37 60.52% -0.176 0.4533 -0.028
Not Using Events or Tokens 406 27.27% 28.94 75.62% -0.035 0.4712 -0.19
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1639 12.05% 53.79 79.68% -0.186 -0.8208 -1.025
Start of Game Growth 2064 14.96% 50.3 77.96% -0.033 -0.4224 0.148
Unlimited Undo 5581 32.98% 44.43 75.22% 0.022 0.0661 1.085
Using Tokens but Not Events 4753 24.84% 29.68 71.16% -0.472 -0.4994 -0.898

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3363 100.0% 45.71 100.0% 0.359 0.2367 0.583
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 753 103.05% 33.16 102.12% -0.09 0.1506 0.204
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 42 45.24% 39.79 61.9% 0.645 -0.3567 -0.014
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 731 100.0% 30.45 100.0% 0.146 -0.0806 0.063
Downpour Drenches the World 648 100.0% 35.9 100.0% -0.383 -0.058 -0.069
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 389 100.0% 24.23 100.0% -0.377 -0.876 0.462
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1892 100.0% 38.29 100.0% 0.281 -0.1802 0.388
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 805 100.0% 33.56 100.0% 0.138 -0.2917 -0.037
Finder of Paths Unseen 570 100.0% 39.29 100.0% -0.202 0.6208 0.394
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 622 100.0% 32.51 100.0% -0.393 -0.3936 -0.621
Heart of the Wildfire 970 100.0% 33.54 100.0% -1.291 -0.9064 -0.185
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2459 101.91% 41.03 101.71% -0.162 -0.6574 0.161
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 62 24.19% 21.23 32.26% -0.664 -1.2113 -0.687
Lightning's Swift Strike 464 308.28% 29.82 181.68% 0.437 0.6201 0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 41.83% 44.11 63.16% 0.016 -0.5206 -0.065
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 605 36.26% 37.2 76.53% -0.464 -0.7546 0.9
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 698 31.46% 43.31 77.08% 0.699 0.5506 0.924
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1940 100.0% 40.49 100.0% 0.001 -0.25 0.377
Many Minds Move as One 1116 100.0% 36.83 100.0% 0.221 0.0642 0.937
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1492 100.0% 39.77 100.0% -0.639 -0.6283 0.127
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 804 100.0% 33.18 100.0% -0.092 -0.2379 0.472
River Surges in Sunlight 1195 156.64% 44.42 124.27% 0.557 0.595 0.591
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 610 29.23% 45.14 80.49% 0.168 0.4278 0.473
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 399 37.94% 39.35 57.14% 0.294 0.2432 -0.042
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3592 100.0% 50.37 100.0% 0.466 0.292 0.629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 157 389.02% 26.33 247.13% 0.508 1.1201 -1.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 41 42.5% 32.68 70.73% 0.34 0.4438 0.369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 18 16.67% 22.94 44.44% -0.325 -0.9068 0.457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 63 39.68% 26.81 55.56% 0.096 0.1423 -0.348
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 388 38.8% 35.51 75.0% 0.559 0.6402 -0.024
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 272 39.63% 30.64 69.12% -0.258 -0.0497 -0.997
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 914 110.94% 40.47 105.03% 0.411 0.4904 0.214
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 115 13.04% 28.89 60.0% -0.133 -0.4557 -0.86
Shifting Memory of Ages 1645 100.0% 42.71 100.0% 0.233 0.4981 -0.32
Shroud of Silent Mist 628 100.0% 32.38 100.0% -0.517 -0.1493 -0.375
Starlight Seeks its Form 1888 100.0% 39.94 100.0% 0.243 0.0154 -0.168
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1686 100.0% 35.63 100.0% -0.06 -0.4162 -0.184
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 851 100.0% 36.22 100.0% -0.503 -0.3697 0.597
Thunderspeaker 1549 104.13% 39.25 103.23% 0.214 0.2434 -0.07
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 100 36.0% 28.29 50.0% 0.421 0.6608 -0.847
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1054 100.0% 34.19 100.0% -0.059 0.1321 0.099
Vital Strength of the Earth 511 176.41% 31.56 156.75% -0.091 0.466 -0.637
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 309 35.92% 41.0 50.16% -0.132 0.2778 -0.511
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 338 42.26% 31.85 59.76% -0.492 0.2356 -0.483
Volcano Looming High 1130 100.0% 35.59 100.0% -0.453 -0.4334 -0.049
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 102 100.0% 33.99 100.0% 0.685 0.0913 -0.438

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absolute Stasis 94.92%
Blur the Arc of Years 94.41%
Pour Time Sideways 37.12%
The Past Returns Again 72.7%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11105 17.67 15.11%
II 18145 30.7 68.29%
III 14280 34.75 86.33%
IV 5171 38.22 99.71%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1648
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12052
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 11305
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5089
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4369
Lose: Invader deck ran out 938
Lose: Adversary condition 4168
Win: Sacrifice victory 399
Lose: Scenario condition 228
Win: Scenario condition 1060
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6458
Lose: Spirit destroyed 987

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.896 Win Model: -0.094

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.491 Win Model: 0.344
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 27607 45.24% 34.38 59.91%
2 10658 41.03% 34.7 70.3%
3 4923 38.87% 37.36 69.9%
4 3765 29.11% 44.83 78.17%
5 350 24.42% 33.32 65.14%
6 1398 19.38% 41.48 64.95%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)