Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 36 27.78% 12.78 36.11% -0.629 -0.6137 -1.125
Blitz 0 272 33.7% 24.16 50.74% 0.317 0.6048 -1.02
Dahan Insurrection 4 1715 22.45% 65.58 61.28% 0.245 0.0684 0.914
Despicable Theft 2 133 37.59% 25.86 46.62% -0.652 0.2091 -0.285
Elemental Invocation 1 195 43.08% 22.68 43.08% -1.382 -0.4493 -0.211
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1890 12.82% 53.15 78.1% 0.855 0.2086 0.685
Powers Long Forgotten 1 246 43.5% 29.46 52.44% -0.663 0.2826 -0.47
Rituals of Terror 3 145 46.53% 44.88 57.93% 0.244 0.3201 0.571
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 97 52.58% 23.91 30.93% -0.547 0.5686 -1.437
Second Wave 0 1504 32.08% 27.81 74.6% 0.732 0.7626 -0.483
The Great River 3 151 31.79% 18.25 25.17% -1.719 -0.2934 -1.987
Varied Terrains 2 62 35.48% 22.76 38.71% -1.229 -0.4541 -1.587
Ward the Shores 2 180 34.08% 30.68 56.11% -0.366 0.6785 -1.503

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 29558 43.89% 32.61 57.21% 0.026 0.2864 0.072
1 Thematic 1129 46.12% 30.3 51.82% -0.503 -0.0376 0.898
2 Archipelago 69 52.17% 36.04 33.33% -0.527 -0.054 -1.773
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8074 41.83% 34.28 67.9% 0.064 0.2497 -0.267
2 Coastline 1086 34.26% 30.69 67.03% -0.246 -0.262 -0.824
2 Fragment 207 52.43% 32.99 63.77% 0.724 0.4074 0.294
2 Heart 127 44.88% 37.35 50.39% -0.775 -0.8696 -1.139
2 Opposite Shores 1679 33.39% 29.31 67.3% -0.003 -0.0425 -0.807
2 Thematic 514 35.21% 30.68 53.11% 0.372 0.6583 -0.426
2 Top to Top 291 39.66% 34.96 66.32% 0.605 0.5611 -0.915
3 Archipelago 38 55.26% 43.13 50.0% 0.42 -0.7203 -1.342
3 Coastline 56 38.18% 32.41 71.43% 0.488 -0.2618 -0.906
3 Other 269 34.57% 28.88 70.63% 0.446 -0.0166 -0.241
3 Round (Default) 5010 37.9% 35.51 67.96% -0.034 -0.2537 -1.157
3 Sunrise 24 54.17% 37.17 87.5% 0.0 0.0754 -0.2
3 Thematic 210 33.33% 49.88 61.43% 0.098 -0.194 -0.274
4 Archipelago 36 50.0% 43.89 63.89% -0.229 -0.0363 -0.749
4 Coastline 29 14.29% 30.79 72.41% 0.082 -0.2773 -0.23
4 Leaf 18 38.89% 44.0 83.33% 0.0 -0.1085 -0.893
4 Other 272 26.84% 42.36 83.46% 0.706 0.4496 -1.018
4 Thematic 719 21.42% 60.73 82.06% 0.603 0.8552 -0.989
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3134 31.57% 38.6 72.5% 0.013 0.2274 -2.048
5 Archipelago 16 37.5% 55.56 75.0% 0.105 0.3782 -0.818
5 Coastline 21 4.76% 30.43 80.95% 0.343 0.2381 0.147
5 Other 400 24.11% 33.99 67.25% -0.364 -0.9296 -2.509
5 Thematic 121 47.11% 47.02 40.5% -0.84 -1.2603 -1.486
6 Archipelago 76 9.33% 52.75 71.05% -0.404 -1.3365 -2.298
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 32.9 60.0% 0.0 -0.7976 -1.098
6 Other 174 21.39% 36.55 73.56% 0.07 0.4955 -2.924
6 Star 74 28.38% 37.43 66.22% -1.011 -0.8982 -2.407
6 Thematic 409 24.94% 28.07 41.56% -1.346 -1.2445 -2.765
6 Two Centers (Default) 1133 16.89% 43.11 65.58% 0.08 -0.1768 -3.315
7 Archipelago 20 15.0% 53.65 70.0% -0.495 0.5756 -0.611
7 Other 25 25.0% 12.84 24.0% -0.724 -1.7401 -2.376
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.006

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1460 33.94 46.44% 0.197 0.3727 -0.406
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1300 36.71 49.23% 0.738 0.6844 -0.267
All Things Weaken 1736 30.59 41.07% -0.516 -0.2223 -0.549
Attenuated Essence 183 27.2 37.7% -0.245 -0.1612 -0.86
Back Against the Wall 1421 35.72 49.61% 0.419 0.4661 -0.301
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 164 25.79 35.98% -0.268 -0.0643 -0.847
Burn Brightest Before the End 158 33.23 42.41% -0.474 -0.2861 -0.727
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1423 31.27 43.71% -0.217 0.1921 -0.504
Downward Spiral 1620 30.55 44.57% -0.648 -0.5199 -0.511
Erosion of Will 1462 32.93 42.48% 0.388 0.6709 -0.635
Intensifying Exploitation 193 24.52 31.09% -0.331 -0.0835 -1.118
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 616 39.19 72.56% 0.895 0.3797 0.425
Memory Fades to Dust 1639 31.75 46.25% -0.691 -0.4544 -0.399
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1563 30.45 44.85% -0.57 -0.3517 -0.651
Promising Farmlands 1407 31.28 40.37% 0.208 0.5026 -0.737
Shattered Fragments of Power 131 29.88 41.22% 0.251 0.452 -0.784
Slow Dissolution of Will 178 22.67 29.21% -0.377 0.007 -1.31
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 435 40.5 77.01% 0.758 0.1767 0.526
The Border of Life and Death 58 21.91 46.55% 0.913 0.3954 -0.781
Thriving Communities 1594 32.43 44.42% -0.303 0.0364 -0.331
Thriving Crops 90 29.44 43.33% -1.36 -1.4024 -0.515
Unnatural Proliferation 1643 33.14 42.54% -0.107 0.0331 -0.483
Untended Land Crumbles 1607 29.08 39.58% -0.762 -0.3135 -0.759

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 13060 36.85% 33.77 64.56% -0.229 0.633 0.315
B 12652 36.84% 34.56 64.97% -0.213 0.6042 0.526
C 14696 36.78% 36.95 65.69% 0.028 0.7069 0.869
D 11338 36.3% 33.96 64.33% -0.426 0.3784 0.398
E 12913 37.57% 35.34 64.98% -0.18 0.4885 0.573
F 10603 37.54% 34.05 62.82% -0.094 0.7041 0.435
G 9164 38.2% 34.62 65.1% -0.071 0.7546 0.468
H 9265 37.38% 35.12 65.58% 0.125 0.8974 0.596
East 2367 30.61% 42.52 60.08% 0.035 0.8811 -1.192
Northeast 1533 29.65% 44.04 60.14% 0.043 0.8133 -1.039
Northwest 1267 32.65% 41.11 55.25% -0.329 0.4779 -0.901
Southeast 1126 27.9% 38.03 54.09% 0.302 1.1717 -1.51
Southwest 1006 27.94% 35.25 53.98% -0.648 0.6342 -1.128
West 2149 31.62% 41.86 58.4% -0.871 0.125 -0.374

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 382 0.0% 19.5 56.81% -0.852 -0.0558 -0.471
Not Using Events or Tokens 471 27.01% 26.57 70.28% -0.887 -0.4993 -0.184
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1867 11.74% 52.1 76.27% -0.241 -0.8553 -0.603
Start of Game Growth 2439 14.71% 47.19 72.82% 0.206 -0.3757 -0.039
Unlimited Undo 6354 31.59% 42.1 70.55% 0.289 0.3326 0.86
Using Tokens but Not Events 5388 23.98% 27.9 67.72% 0.041 -0.0172 -0.798

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3800 26.35% 44.37 75.61% 0.556 0.4118 0.553
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 71 22.54% 47.08 52.11% 0.401 -0.3122 0.661
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 807 42.91% 32.06 65.06% -0.867 -0.6034 0.315
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 105 34.29% 29.7 49.52% -0.027 -0.8357 0.094
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 829 38.3% 29.48 69.6% 0.26 0.0949 -0.008
Downpour Drenches the World 841 23.56% 33.82 54.1% -0.174 0.0988 -0.013
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 524 27.83% 25.09 49.81% 0.426 -0.0006 0.329
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2096 27.91% 37.08 78.48% 0.427 0.0676 0.384
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 945 32.26% 32.15 72.38% -0.138 -0.5823 -0.102
Finder of Paths Unseen 715 23.46% 36.76 57.2% -0.526 0.1627 0.392
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 763 36.79% 30.63 60.55% 0.165 0.1005 -0.434
Heart of the Wildfire 1114 43.99% 31.55 63.38% -0.198 0.1292 -0.19
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2750 29.62% 40.56 72.22% 0.349 0.0543 0.28
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 180 22.35% 20.02 35.0% -0.627 -0.9978 -0.84
Lightning's Swift Strike 521 39.41% 28.7 73.51% 0.533 0.8728 0.304
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 269 39.93% 42.41 63.2% 0.632 0.1579 0.106
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 633 35.28% 36.3 74.88% 0.779 0.4187 0.924
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 776 30.74% 42.19 75.0% 0.496 0.5034 1.075
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2147 31.9% 39.39 72.89% 0.396 0.1009 0.38
Many Minds Move as One 1293 29.98% 35.59 76.18% -0.23 -0.376 0.614
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1701 32.8% 37.8 66.78% -0.563 -0.6215 0.219
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 932 34.31% 31.59 72.1% -0.438 -0.6022 0.442
River Surges in Sunlight 1270 34.27% 43.18 78.43% -0.118 -0.019 0.574
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 40 10.0% 50.35 52.5% 0.854 0.7185 -0.021
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 657 28.81% 43.11 77.32% -0.275 0.2015 0.384
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 534 35.46% 36.93 52.62% 0.148 0.1131 -0.068
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4115 25.58% 48.68 69.67% 0.214 -0.0412 0.757
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 171 44.97% 25.94 72.51% -0.671 -0.1497 -1.101
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 54 37.74% 28.96 66.67% 0.309 0.4499 0.226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 72 34.72% 27.13 65.28% 0.785 0.2069 0.196
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 43.59% 25.44 55.13% -0.644 -0.2934 -0.311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 407 38.21% 34.57 73.96% -0.228 -0.2439 0.022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 288 38.6% 30.0 67.71% -0.673 -0.4238 -0.986
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 975 29.67% 39.62 76.82% 0.61 0.5004 0.261
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 185 17.84% 30.18 62.16% 0.018 -0.1435 -0.404
Shifting Memory of Ages 2062 31.39% 40.74 59.7% -0.189 0.1556 -0.358
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 68 14.71% 36.74 50.0% 0.739 0.4298 -0.5
Shroud of Silent Mist 760 34.93% 29.99 63.82% 0.025 0.3561 -0.528
Starlight Seeks its Form 2337 25.84% 38.46 65.73% 0.34 0.1654 -0.069
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1896 36.48% 34.68 66.51% 0.587 -0.1229 -0.084
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 939 29.84% 34.43 71.78% -0.536 -0.3242 0.452
Thunderspeaker 1719 33.68% 37.69 69.28% 0.08 0.0589 0.019
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 170 31.18% 26.24 44.71% -0.66 -0.4619 -0.591
Towering Roots of the Jungle 63 15.87% 21.63 34.92% -0.609 -0.6372 -0.494
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1205 50.96% 32.47 61.33% 0.327 0.3931 -0.065
Vital Strength of the Earth 588 28.03% 30.98 69.39% 0.445 0.9794 -0.488
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 393 34.35% 37.99 47.33% -1.054 -0.4871 -0.446
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 367 41.1% 30.53 57.49% -0.657 0.1015 -0.458
Volcano Looming High 1346 41.94% 33.26 61.81% -0.548 -0.4111 -0.26
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 270 26.39% 29.16 47.78% -0.012 -0.3234 -0.571

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absolute Stasis 94.97%
Blur the Arc of Years 94.51%
Pour Time Sideways 38.98%
The Past Returns Again 73.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14277 15.74 12.51%
II 19734 30.48 67.32%
III 15434 34.79 86.36%
IV 5668 38.41 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1755
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13026
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12115
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5579
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7304
Lose: Invader deck ran out 992
Lose: Adversary condition 4453
Win: Sacrifice victory 427
Lose: Scenario condition 249
Win: Scenario condition 1150
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7003
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1060

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.772 Win Model: -0.079

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.596 Win Model: 0.232
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 31060 43.87% 32.46 56.63%
2 11945 40.18% 33.41 67.62%
3 5605 37.86% 36.01 68.03%
4 4191 29.36% 42.94 74.97%
5 447 25.45% 32.13 62.42%
6 1865 18.57% 39.39 61.72%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)