Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 24.39% 12.02 34.15% -0.704 -0.9238 -1.124
Blitz 0 275 33.7% 24.06 50.55% 0.278 0.5651 -1.012
Dahan Insurrection 4 1738 22.38% 65.2 60.99% -0.076 -0.1906 0.921
Despicable Theft 2 138 36.96% 25.54 45.65% -1.031 -0.2925 -0.311
Elemental Invocation 1 202 42.08% 22.59 42.57% -0.643 0.1129 -0.104
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1918 12.79% 52.98 77.79% 0.847 0.2649 0.673
Powers Long Forgotten 1 252 42.86% 29.24 51.59% -0.821 0.0328 -0.439
Rituals of Terror 3 147 45.89% 44.85 58.5% 0.53 0.3597 0.567
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 51.49% 24.08 31.68% -0.104 0.8071 -1.493
Second Wave 0 1533 31.95% 27.91 74.56% 0.879 0.958 -0.491
The Great River 3 181 28.73% 16.04 21.55% -1.092 0.2719 -2.108
Varied Terrains 2 67 35.82% 23.07 38.81% -0.183 0.6961 -1.223
Ward the Shores 2 182 33.7% 30.34 55.49% -0.579 0.4022 -1.486

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 30598 43.09% 31.92 56.11% -0.107 0.2369 0.042
1 Thematic 1160 45.83% 29.81 51.29% 0.028 0.5557 0.913
2 Archipelago 69 52.17% 36.04 33.33% -0.29 0.209 -1.788
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8212 41.67% 34.0 67.38% 0.026 0.3104 -0.287
2 Coastline 1117 34.21% 30.45 66.34% 0.158 0.187 -0.883
2 Fragment 211 52.38% 32.79 63.51% 0.815 0.5779 0.248
2 Heart 128 45.31% 37.33 50.78% -0.132 -0.2801 -1.144
2 Opposite Shores 1749 33.1% 29.2 66.72% 0.316 0.3747 -0.788
2 Thematic 532 34.96% 30.05 52.26% -0.111 0.2592 -0.474
2 Top to Top 298 39.39% 34.57 65.77% 0.265 0.3878 -0.92
3 Archipelago 39 53.85% 42.03 48.72% -0.293 -1.0904 -1.348
3 Coastline 56 38.18% 32.41 71.43% 0.859 0.3096 -0.834
3 Other 276 33.7% 28.63 69.93% 0.31 -0.2277 -0.208
3 Round (Default) 5141 37.75% 35.26 67.65% -0.134 -0.227 -1.162
3 Sunrise 24 54.17% 37.17 87.5% 0.0 0.151 -0.194
3 Thematic 213 33.8% 49.51 61.5% 0.26 -0.2581 -0.235
4 Archipelago 37 51.35% 42.7 62.16% -0.716 -0.2829 -0.924
4 Coastline 30 13.79% 32.43 73.33% 0.371 -0.3891 -0.219
4 Leaf 21 47.62% 38.62 71.43% -1.243 -1.4542 -1.128
4 Other 277 26.71% 42.41 83.03% 0.193 0.2005 -1.119
4 Thematic 726 21.35% 60.56 81.82% 0.722 0.8549 -1.004
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3237 31.19% 38.42 71.67% -0.202 -0.0953 -2.051
5 Archipelago 16 37.5% 55.56 75.0% 0.0 0.168 -0.81
5 Coastline 21 4.76% 30.43 80.95% 0.0 -0.5066 0.146
5 Other 406 23.75% 33.84 67.0% 0.118 -0.3964 -2.478
5 Thematic 123 46.34% 46.74 40.65% 0.162 -0.8201 -1.53
6 Archipelago 84 9.64% 52.19 69.05% -1.062 -1.7917 -2.435
6 Coastline 11 0.0% 29.91 54.55% -0.24 -1.2791 -1.081
6 Other 179 20.79% 35.98 73.18% -1.029 -0.3939 -2.909
6 Star 75 28.0% 36.93 65.33% -0.907 -0.6627 -2.376
6 Thematic 436 24.77% 28.86 41.74% -1.464 -1.1414 -2.678
6 Two Centers (Default) 1195 16.93% 43.12 65.69% -0.03 -0.1337 -3.328
7 Archipelago 21 14.29% 51.1 66.67% -0.951 -0.3595 -0.6
7 Other 26 24.0% 15.38 26.92% -0.21 -1.6467 -2.358
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.006

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1477 33.77 46.04% -0.207 -0.103 -0.384
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1314 36.68 49.24% 0.93 0.7856 -0.242
All Things Weaken 1763 30.52 41.12% 0.265 0.6315 -0.51
Attenuated Essence 198 28.43 40.4% 0.736 0.7342 -0.666
Back Against the Wall 1437 35.67 49.62% 0.466 0.5316 -0.272
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 185 25.71 36.76% 0.266 0.5012 -0.8
Burn Brightest Before the End 172 32.84 41.86% -0.029 0.1316 -0.683
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1443 31.18 43.66% 0.028 0.4038 -0.471
Downward Spiral 1646 30.44 44.41% -0.277 -0.2045 -0.489
Erosion of Will 1485 33.0 42.76% 0.921 1.1778 -0.571
Intensifying Exploitation 210 24.08 30.48% -0.123 0.1512 -1.04
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 623 39.07 72.23% 0.616 0.1291 0.445
Memory Fades to Dust 1663 31.7 46.12% 0.251 0.434 -0.385
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1584 30.27 44.57% -0.209 0.0034 -0.631
Promising Farmlands 1428 31.13 40.06% -0.28 0.0428 -0.716
Shattered Fragments of Power 142 29.72 40.14% -0.306 -0.1353 -0.767
Slow Dissolution of Will 192 22.7 30.73% 0.039 0.4229 -1.28
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 441 40.28 77.1% 1.194 0.5175 0.548
The Border of Life and Death 63 21.21 46.03% 0.732 0.2158 -0.947
Thriving Communities 1628 32.22 44.23% 0.067 0.391 -0.297
Thriving Crops 97 29.33 42.27% -0.641 -0.6398 -0.584
Unnatural Proliferation 1662 33.09 42.72% 0.255 0.442 -0.445
Untended Land Crumbles 1625 29.02 39.51% -0.09 0.2491 -0.726

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 13463 36.5% 33.51 63.9% -0.132 0.7307 0.315
B 13052 36.37% 34.25 64.37% 0.036 0.8572 0.523
C 15073 36.42% 36.63 65.16% 0.132 0.8298 0.855
D 11680 35.91% 33.62 63.66% -0.087 0.7689 0.394
E 13326 37.15% 34.96 64.13% 0.091 0.779 0.554
F 11026 36.74% 33.52 61.78% -0.28 0.5381 0.431
G 9428 37.94% 34.3 64.45% -0.177 0.7039 0.454
H 9533 37.03% 34.84 65.03% 0.164 0.9443 0.571
East 2438 30.5% 42.05 59.47% -0.511 0.2814 -1.259
Northeast 1581 29.44% 43.63 59.71% 0.105 0.9859 -0.999
Northwest 1313 32.19% 40.66 54.76% -0.289 0.5822 -0.922
Southeast 1168 27.84% 37.86 53.6% 0.256 1.1145 -1.444
Southwest 1045 27.86% 35.22 53.4% -0.307 0.9026 -0.984
West 2214 31.46% 41.51 57.99% -0.07 0.9905 -0.376

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 388 0.0% 19.44 56.7% -0.208 0.5078 -0.506
Not Using Events or Tokens 481 27.15% 26.34 69.44% -0.873 -0.3992 -0.282
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1921 11.52% 51.91 75.69% -0.765 -1.3327 -0.597
Start of Game Growth 2575 14.33% 46.18 71.81% 0.384 -0.2803 0.022
Unlimited Undo 6496 31.36% 41.96 70.23% 0.551 0.5744 0.872
Using Tokens but Not Events 5701 23.35% 26.98 65.46% -0.409 -0.3608 -0.771

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3855 26.39% 43.99 74.94% 0.041 -0.1559 0.534
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 149 20.81% 44.74 56.38% 0.315 -0.3993 0.601
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 813 42.71% 31.96 65.07% -0.948 -0.6798 0.329
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 116 34.48% 30.26 49.14% -0.366 -0.9338 0.068
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 856 37.91% 29.17 69.39% 0.323 0.1923 -0.018
Downpour Drenches the World 873 23.96% 33.95 54.3% -0.01 0.26 -0.011
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 549 27.29% 25.13 50.46% 0.355 -0.0766 0.333
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2126 28.04% 36.96 78.32% 0.54 0.1168 0.386
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 974 31.92% 31.99 71.97% 0.402 -0.043 -0.133
Finder of Paths Unseen 792 22.31% 37.35 56.69% -0.042 0.6154 0.376
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 795 36.44% 30.51 60.63% -0.07 -0.1876 -0.489
Heart of the Wildfire 1130 44.21% 31.41 63.36% -0.391 -0.1038 -0.198
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2776 29.56% 40.42 72.08% -0.073 -0.4658 0.279
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 212 22.27% 19.63 34.43% -0.3 -0.7042 -0.878
Lightning's Swift Strike 536 39.81% 28.7 73.13% 0.477 0.744 0.307
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 282 38.43% 42.7 63.12% 0.73 0.379 0.122
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 637 35.06% 36.2 74.57% 0.814 0.3728 0.931
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 798 30.14% 41.46 73.93% 0.28 0.2374 1.056
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2190 31.82% 39.19 72.6% 0.448 0.1978 0.364
Many Minds Move as One 1321 30.18% 35.44 76.0% 0.136 -0.094 0.606
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1731 32.75% 37.61 66.26% -0.287 -0.3912 0.214
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 947 34.29% 31.36 71.38% -0.827 -0.9829 0.36
River Surges in Sunlight 1294 33.86% 42.68 77.82% 0.012 0.1013 0.57
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 71 9.86% 55.8 57.75% 0.673 0.5616 0.2
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 671 28.36% 42.77 76.9% -0.063 0.3265 0.392
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 544 35.36% 36.68 52.21% -0.093 0.0446 -0.084
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4286 25.24% 48.34 68.95% 0.098 -0.0956 0.738
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 175 43.93% 25.63 72.0% -0.395 0.091 -1.096
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 59 36.21% 28.0 64.41% -0.139 -0.0838 0.306
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 80 31.25% 27.0 65.0% 0.538 0.0698 0.065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 78 43.59% 25.44 55.13% -0.252 -0.0367 -0.328
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 409 38.27% 34.5 73.84% -0.075 -0.0458 0.028
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 294 37.8% 29.68 67.01% -0.531 -0.3588 -0.979
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 986 29.64% 39.7 76.77% 1.112 0.9597 0.321
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 197 17.26% 30.33 61.42% -0.397 -0.5958 -0.482
Shifting Memory of Ages 2111 30.82% 40.71 59.59% 0.242 0.6911 -0.364
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 180 18.89% 41.39 50.56% 0.566 0.2612 -0.341
Shroud of Silent Mist 788 34.96% 29.85 63.71% -0.191 0.1451 -0.58
Starlight Seeks its Form 2435 25.7% 37.94 64.85% -0.066 -0.1207 -0.052
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1947 36.4% 34.58 66.31% 0.496 -0.1269 -0.075
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 951 29.78% 34.35 71.4% -0.323 -0.1292 0.409
Thunderspeaker 1755 33.62% 37.46 69.34% 0.735 0.6814 0.035
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 178 30.9% 27.29 46.07% -0.018 0.1165 -0.44
Towering Roots of the Jungle 84 17.86% 24.82 40.48% -0.292 -0.2825 -0.438
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1222 50.66% 32.31 60.88% -0.226 -0.1431 -0.073
Vital Strength of the Earth 602 28.05% 30.92 69.27% 0.113 0.7076 -0.474
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 408 34.56% 37.15 46.81% -1.026 -0.587 -0.417
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 371 41.19% 30.31 56.87% -0.607 0.0847 -0.504
Volcano Looming High 1375 41.49% 33.16 61.6% -0.574 -0.4703 -0.273
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 293 25.77% 28.15 46.76% -0.516 -0.7679 -0.631

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absolute Stasis 95.0%
Blur the Arc of Years 94.59%
Pour Time Sideways 39.56%
The Past Returns Again 73.59%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15275 15.45 11.89%
II 20092 30.45 67.28%
III 15682 34.8 86.31%
IV 5786 38.47 99.72%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1784
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13227
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 12335
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5696
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8248
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1007
Lose: Adversary condition 4519
Win: Sacrifice victory 437
Lose: Scenario condition 253
Win: Scenario condition 1159
Lose: Blight pool ran out 7096
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1074

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.023 Win Model: -0.055

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.766 Win Model: 0.337
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 32139 43.1% 31.79 55.58%
2 12211 39.98% 33.14 67.06%
3 5751 37.68% 35.73 67.69%
4 4306 29.16% 42.69 74.2%
5 469 25.32% 32.52 61.41%
6 1959 18.34% 39.41 61.77%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)