Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 4 25.0% 27.5 100.0% 0.066 0.1744 0.0
Blitz 0 147 44.22% 32.05 70.75% -0.618 -0.3508 -0.436
Dahan Insurrection 4 810 22.84% 77.52 78.02% 0.158 0.4912 0.896
Despicable Theft 2 57 50.88% 39.07 75.44% -0.294 -0.0433 0.006
Elemental Invocation 1 106 49.06% 31.18 64.15% -0.921 -0.2724 -0.333
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1465 12.59% 57.87 83.28% -0.401 -0.2348 -0.199
Powers Long Forgotten 1 162 52.47% 36.8 66.05% 0.362 0.6877 0.497
Rituals of Terror 3 93 52.69% 51.67 68.82% 0.303 0.193 0.451
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 45 77.78% 36.02 51.11% 0.332 0.9889 -0.231
Second Wave 0 919 34.21% 28.58 77.15% -0.665 -0.1943 -1.645
The Great River 3 52 53.85% 31.4 42.31% -0.831 0.6696 -0.334
Varied Terrains 2 8 50.0% 45.25 75.0% 0.252 0.7876 -0.125
Ward the Shores 2 116 39.66% 37.6 68.97% -0.245 0.9418 -1.369

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 20155 48.27% 37.72 66.4% -0.026 0.4215 0.228
1 Thematic 794 52.99% 35.17 60.71% 0.003 0.6058 1.053
2 Archipelago 31 67.74% 52.52 48.39% 0.149 0.8153 -1.328
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5543 44.13% 38.18 75.55% -0.015 0.376 -0.046
2 Coastline 687 38.12% 36.26 79.33% 0.654 0.7424 -0.219
2 Fragment 148 55.78% 37.82 69.59% -0.769 -0.7032 0.604
2 Heart 97 38.14% 42.14 51.55% -0.029 0.2434 -1.667
2 Opposite Shores 1066 35.4% 33.09 77.95% -0.391 0.1019 -0.687
2 Thematic 303 40.92% 36.72 67.66% 0.241 0.7091 -0.819
2 Top to Top 170 40.24% 40.39 74.12% 0.092 0.3738 -0.493
3 Archipelago 11 45.45% 41.09 72.73% -0.919 -1.3023 0.439
3 Coastline 26 30.77% 40.73 92.31% 0.11 -0.5296 0.371
3 Other 193 35.75% 34.45 84.46% 0.518 -0.5709 -0.075
3 Round (Default) 3135 40.26% 40.09 76.2% 0.594 0.8624 -0.832
3 Sunrise 19 52.63% 38.26 89.47% 0.0 -0.2196 0.159
3 Thematic 135 36.3% 61.81 75.56% 0.274 0.0509 0.07
4 Archipelago 17 52.94% 43.06 70.59% 0.082 -0.7698 -0.3
4 Coastline 14 7.14% 41.71 78.57% 0.161 0.1687 0.384
4 Leaf 14 42.86% 45.43 85.71% 0.06 0.3003 -0.287
4 Other 217 24.42% 45.94 85.25% 0.544 0.0979 -0.619
4 Thematic 620 19.35% 64.84 88.23% -1.069 -0.9725 -0.761
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2049 32.35% 43.09 82.04% -0.065 -0.2017 -1.328
5 Archipelago 8 62.5% 59.75 75.0% -0.21 -0.6267 0.108
5 Coastline 9 0.0% 37.44 100.0% 0.336 -0.1759 0.152
5 Other 153 23.68% 42.61 86.27% -1.194 -0.9248 -0.837
5 Thematic 56 42.86% 56.39 62.5% -0.386 -0.4933 -0.848
6 Archipelago 6 33.33% 35.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.5152 0.017
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 51.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4398 0.0
6 Other 61 20.0% 41.93 86.89% -0.921 -0.0331 -1.571
6 Star 28 46.43% 41.71 75.0% -0.476 0.4186 -1.805
6 Thematic 92 27.17% 46.43 83.7% -0.467 -0.1036 -1.555
6 Two Centers (Default) 254 21.65% 62.25 90.16% -0.561 -0.1833 -1.803
7 Archipelago 7 28.57% 68.29 100.0% 0.0 -0.8404 0.0
7 Other 2 0.0% 41.0 50.0% 0.06 -0.8763 -1.247

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1128 34.82 46.72% -1.676 0.1554 -1.087
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1022 37.25 50.0% -0.959 0.6955 -0.962
All Things Weaken 1345 32.25 42.45% -1.566 0.411 -1.221
Back Against the Wall 1118 36.48 50.27% -1.588 0.2706 -0.963
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1071 32.28 46.59% -1.908 0.0666 -1.107
Downward Spiral 1192 32.65 48.15% -1.883 0.0186 -1.075
Erosion of Will 1131 34.04 44.83% -1.312 0.7313 -1.272
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 447 42.13 77.4% 0.405 0.9774 -0.146
Memory Fades to Dust 1270 33.67 49.21% -1.667 0.3126 -1.023
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1186 31.93 47.39% -1.457 0.4345 -1.351
Promising Farmlands 1066 32.94 42.59% -1.597 0.4421 -1.3
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 324 42.55 82.72% -0.637 -0.1958 0.149
Thriving Communities 1167 34.51 48.07% -1.375 0.5897 -0.916
Unnatural Proliferation 1249 34.77 44.6% -1.818 0.0881 -1.164
Untended Land Crumbles 1221 30.12 41.85% -1.835 0.1995 -1.363

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7959 41.18% 38.44 74.0% 0.313 1.0813 0.578
B 7919 41.03% 39.49 74.2% 0.491 1.1832 0.893
C 9136 40.98% 40.97 74.72% 0.835 1.3992 0.989
D 6906 40.54% 38.59 74.56% 0.432 1.2004 0.847
E 8146 41.13% 40.27 74.61% 0.648 1.2467 0.936
F 6492 42.82% 39.16 72.7% -0.012 0.6981 0.803
G 5708 42.17% 38.84 73.9% 0.006 0.7315 0.83
H 5816 42.35% 39.6 74.42% 0.173 0.8628 1.029
East 1454 32.05% 53.19 76.69% -0.037 0.5853 -0.876
Northeast 891 29.74% 56.14 79.35% 0.294 0.9754 -0.7
Northwest 698 33.86% 53.27 74.79% -1.103 -0.0358 -0.735
Southeast 552 28.99% 52.58 78.8% -0.315 0.4129 -0.634
Southwest 494 29.35% 49.28 80.77% 0.501 1.4716 -0.531
West 1319 32.25% 52.87 76.27% -0.743 0.2599 -0.131

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 158 0.0% 22.49 70.25% -0.569 1.4419 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 294 31.46% 31.37 82.65% 0.696 0.91 -0.331
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1212 13.21% 60.12 90.02% 1.063 0.9699 0.497
Start of Game Growth 1487 16.07% 57.07 88.7% -0.155 -0.8627 0.541
Unlimited Undo 4193 35.39% 49.17 83.28% 0.694 -0.0057 1.187
Using Tokens but Not Events 3344 26.39% 34.29 81.4% -0.042 -0.0875 0.177

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2328 100.0% 49.24 100.0% 0.772 0.6373 0.45
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 559 100.0% 36.66 100.0% -0.2 -0.1542 0.07
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 550 100.0% 32.75 100.0% 0.353 0.2336 -0.454
Downpour Drenches the World 121 100.0% 53.65 100.0% 0.014 0.363 -0.016
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1511 100.0% 39.73 100.0% 0.352 -0.0692 0.15
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 583 100.0% 36.82 100.0% -0.006 -0.5679 0.087
Finder of Paths Unseen 105 100.0% 57.15 100.0% 0.225 0.6265 0.84
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 319 100.0% 37.82 100.0% 0.009 0.0003 -0.366
Heart of the Wildfire 732 100.0% 37.99 100.0% 0.547 0.7739 0.173
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1719 100.0% 44.65 100.0% -0.627 -1.1497 0.332
Lightning's Swift Strike 335 293.81% 32.61 151.94% -0.546 -0.3029 0.472
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 29 37.93% 55.59 93.1% 0.996 0.1419 0.71
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 497 38.83% 40.76 83.3% 0.403 -0.2062 0.571
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 516 34.57% 45.36 82.75% -0.557 -0.9342 0.597
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1419 100.0% 44.43 100.0% -0.124 -0.3422 0.515
Many Minds Move as One 830 100.0% 38.92 100.0% -0.064 -0.603 0.562
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1024 100.0% 43.48 100.0% 0.039 -0.2782 -0.02
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 610 100.0% 36.06 100.0% 0.193 0.1774 0.465
River Surges in Sunlight 968 143.55% 46.8 111.05% -0.389 -0.3364 0.589
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 538 30.54% 48.12 82.9% -0.4 -0.0426 0.127
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 74 33.78% 55.93 79.73% 0.119 -0.1116 0.184
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2431 100.0% 55.73 100.0% 0.088 0.0537 0.351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 122 377.42% 28.51 214.75% 0.34 0.8072 -0.807
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 13 38.46% 24.69 76.92% -0.284 -0.1866 -0.471
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 9 44.44% 40.78 88.89% 0.116 -0.0588 0.558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 339 41.42% 36.96 76.99% 0.245 0.1855 -0.301
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 234 42.92% 33.29 75.21% 0.105 0.2654 -0.934
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 738 100.0% 42.93 100.0% 0.9 0.5978 -0.024
Shifting Memory of Ages 812 100.0% 51.16 100.0% 0.064 0.1033 -0.542
Shroud of Silent Mist 432 100.0% 37.51 100.0% 0.104 0.4289 -0.548
Starlight Seeks its Form 845 100.0% 47.21 100.0% 0.62 0.4152 -0.118
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1234 100.0% 38.32 100.0% -0.848 -1.0341 -0.447
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 612 100.0% 40.9 100.0% -0.405 -0.3202 0.598
Thunderspeaker 1110 100.0% 41.86 100.0% 0.304 0.2726 -0.194
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 724 100.0% 36.08 100.0% -0.048 -0.0919 -0.036
Vital Strength of the Earth 392 150.77% 34.78 133.42% -0.553 0.242 -0.93
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 79 41.77% 56.84 63.29% -0.686 -0.2336 -0.581
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 281 45.55% 34.63 63.7% -0.181 0.8504 -0.937
Volcano Looming High 778 100.0% 38.81 100.0% -0.71 -0.6837 -0.058

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Absolute Stasis 94.75%
Blur the Arc of Years 94.33%
Pour Time Sideways 32.63%
The Past Returns Again 71.44%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5772 22.6 23.98%
II 14530 31.02 69.28%
III 11608 34.59 86.21%
IV 4228 37.83 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1359
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9788
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9330
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4159
Lose: Invader deck ran out 809
Lose: Adversary condition 3340
Win: Sacrifice victory 326
Lose: Scenario condition 198
Win: Scenario condition 710
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5306
Lose: Spirit destroyed 813

Difficulty

Score Model: 3.233 Win Model: -0.113

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.297 Win Model: 0.314
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 21070 48.47% 37.7 66.0%
2 8065 42.51% 37.3 75.73%
3 3524 39.84% 40.96 76.84%
4 2915 28.49% 48.32 84.36%
5 126 20.63% 33.79 81.75%
6 438 24.26% 54.95 88.58%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-09-16 02:17:41 (Pacific Time)