Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1994	48.06%	33.73	79.39%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	839	28.35%	23.83	0.000	95.47%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	10	40.0%	33.5	-0.308	80.0%	-0.413	0.1007
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	6	33.33%	35.67	2.755	66.67%	0.325	0.7948
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	4	75.0%	35.0	0.0	75.0%	0.0	0.9772
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	5	60.0%	50.6	7.374	100.0%	0.184	1.506
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	15	73.33%	45.93	3.605	66.67%	-0.394	1.326
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	2	100.0%	36.5	3.708	50.0%	-0.215	1.1613
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	9	88.89%	49.44	8.94	55.56%	-0.766	1.4083
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	33	27.27%	27.91	-2.122	90.91%	0.339	0.5154
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	34	38.24%	35.24	0.831	91.18%	0.577	0.3019
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	59	46.55%	42.58	5.656	91.53%	0.862	1.1103
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	55	61.82%	45.65	3.69	85.45%	-0.891	-0.4233
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	54	51.85%	51.52	10.304	92.59%	0.684	1.1758
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	26	46.15%	56.92	10.136	84.62%	-0.053	1.2682
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	43	83.72%	46.47	9.239	55.81%	-0.53	0.9647
The Kingdom of England	0	1	25	36.0%	28.64	-3.607	72.0%	-0.766	-0.273
The Kingdom of England	1	3	13	46.15%	40.08	4.533	84.62%	0.048	0.7976
The Kingdom of England	2	4	19	47.37%	36.32	-1.612	73.68%	-0.724	0.4116
The Kingdom of England	3	6	18	72.22%	31.72	4.166	44.44%	-0.353	1.3355
The Kingdom of England	4	7	13	76.92%	35.15	3.601	46.15%	-0.483	1.0759
The Kingdom of England	6	11	27	77.78%	42.78	4.226	37.04%	-1.413	1.1249
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	14	64.29%	29.14	0.332	92.86%	0.86	1.6006
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	8	50.0%	31.25	-5.456	62.5%	-0.812	0.1025
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	16	56.25%	42.44	4.277	75.0%	-0.548	1.7615
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	27	70.37%	37.48	4.125	44.44%	-1.203	1.0823
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	38	73.68%	31.79	-2.822	21.05%	-2.586	-0.1977
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	38	50.0%	62.58	8.318	86.84%	-0.653	1.2641
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	63	53.97%	53.62	7.348	53.97%	-1.857	0.2982
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	24	41.67%	29.08	-0.743	87.5%	0.583	0.7132
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	35	40.0%	31.94	1.921	71.43%	0.141	1.1062
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	32	68.75%	30.28	1.566	56.25%	-0.567	0.438
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	57	61.4%	40.42	1.521	68.42%	-0.887	-0.0336
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	43	67.44%	42.53	6.943	65.12%	-0.476	0.8728
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	15	60.0%	42.67	5.229	60.0%	-0.839	0.4034
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	79	84.81%	46.42	7.776	49.37%	-1.411	0.0639
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	13	7.69%	28.31	-3.508	76.92%	-0.325	-0.1247
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	20	50.0%	27.55	-1.628	80.0%	-0.336	-0.1846
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	20	55.0%	37.55	2.237	100.0%	0.609	0.949
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	21	66.67%	38.0	3.308	71.43%	-0.405	-0.0496
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	16	81.25%	43.44	6.119	81.25%	-0.048	0.7262
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	7	85.71%	39.86	14.157	57.14%	0.148	0.9082
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	52	82.69%	37.85	2.632	46.15%	-1.137	0.0291
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	14	42.86%	31.57	0.17	100.0%	0.468	0.188
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	6	66.67%	26.17	-5.57	50.0%	-0.504	0.4468
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	14	50.0%	36.14	3.193	78.57%	-0.112	0.2272
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	15	86.67%	47.0	8.291	86.67%	0.602	1.6021
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	14	71.43%	37.29	17.805	28.57%	0.072	1.2668
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	9	88.89%	32.44	-3.0	22.22%	-1.668	0.2132
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	28	92.86%	49.07	8.004	35.71%	-1.429	0.3892

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	14	35.71%	27.21	85.71%	0.338	0.7781	0.493
Blitz	0	14	38.46%	25.5	85.71%	0.316	0.5725	0.0
Dahan Insurrection	4	8	12.5%	57.88	87.5%	-0.399	-0.097	0.184
Despicable Theft	2	7	28.57%	33.43	100.0%	0.277	0.8219	0.0
Elemental Invocation	1	11	54.55%	25.27	63.64%	-0.438	0.1733	0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	129	17.05%	50.95	91.47%	0.906	1.1002	0.892
Powers Long Forgotten	1	3	33.33%	39.33	100.0%	0.259	0.5046	0.0
Rituals of Terror	3	6	66.67%	50.0	66.67%	0.232	-0.6042	0.035
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	2	100.0%	25.0	50.0%	0.118	0.6439	0.0
Second Wave	0	41	58.54%	29.34	73.17%	-0.623	-0.0508	0.281
Varied Terrains	2	23	69.57%	27.65	60.87%	-0.122	0.623	0.0
Ward the Shores	2	4	50.0%	27.25	50.0%	0.0	1.0547	0.0

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	1178	50.04%	31.46	77.59%	0.164	0.6094	-0.419
1	Thematic	11	63.64%	32.09	63.64%	-0.292	0.34	-0.499
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	224	49.77%	33.57	79.46%	-0.137	0.2079	0.156
2	Coastline	53	52.83%	37.26	75.47%	0.635	0.7177	-0.712
2	Fragment	9	77.78%	36.0	77.78%	-0.678	-0.5899	0.0
2	Heart	13	76.92%	34.15	38.46%	-0.186	0.426	0.601
2	Opposite Shores	74	44.59%	32.58	89.19%	-0.016	0.3626	0.207
2	Thematic	17	38.46%	32.18	76.47%	-0.027	0.4902	0.0
2	Top to Top	15	66.67%	38.2	86.67%	0.11	0.2493	0.606
3	Archipelago	2	50.0%	54.5	100.0%	0.015	-0.9624	0.118
3	Coastline	2	50.0%	34.5	100.0%	0.52	-0.1292	0.297
3	Other	13	46.15%	31.15	84.62%	0.048	-1.0231	-0.591
3	Round (Default)	207	40.1%	39.12	82.61%	0.017	0.2093	-0.359
3	Sunrise	1	100.0%	45.0	100.0%	0.0	0.3199	0.0
3	Thematic	2	100.0%	37.5	100.0%	0.0	-0.2456	0.0
4	Archipelago	1	0.0%	31.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.4019	0.0
4	Other	6	16.67%	34.0	100.0%	0.443	-0.0978	0.167
4	Thematic	5	60.0%	67.6	80.0%	0.094	0.0994	0.496
4	Trapezoid (Default)	92	33.7%	41.02	86.96%	-0.586	-0.7272	0.258
5	Archipelago	2	0.0%	38.0	100.0%	0.011	-0.3057	0.0
5	Coastline	1	100.0%	7.0	0.0%	-0.466	-0.7234	0.0
5	Other	11	36.36%	46.64	100.0%	0.616	0.4406	0.502
5	Thematic	1	0.0%	24.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.0346	0.0
6	Archipelago	1	0.0%	29.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.7508	0.0
6	Other	8	62.5%	28.38	75.0%	-0.259	0.438	-0.512
6	Star	12	66.67%	46.25	75.0%	0.359	0.8916	-0.501
6	Thematic	13	7.69%	50.31	92.31%	0.168	0.6664	-0.088
6	Two Centers (Default)	19	38.89%	41.0	89.47%	-0.514	-0.2876	0.265
7	Other	1	0.0%	49.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.7715	0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	71	34.15	60.56%	-1.317	0.5921	0.56
Aid From Lesser Spirits	52	35.38	73.08%	-0.839	0.8459	0.366
All Things Weaken	69	30.77	57.97%	-1.29	0.71	-0.305
Back Against the Wall	68	36.18	67.65%	-0.988	0.9603	-0.162
Disintegrating Ecosystem	75	32.68	60.0%	-1.314	0.7519	-0.164
Downward Spiral	83	31.33	72.29%	-0.711	1.2522	0.26
Erosion of Will	57	33.93	61.4%	-0.579	1.5285	-0.523
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	28	42.11	96.43%	0.222	0.8378	0.656
Memory Fades to Dust	91	30.95	60.44%	-0.93	1.1277	-0.59
Power Corrodes the Spirit	71	32.45	56.34%	-1.487	0.4922	-0.672
Promising Farmlands	65	31.6	61.54%	-1.402	0.7003	0.01
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	18	40.06	83.33%	-0.436	-0.1061	0.049
Thriving Communities	63	28.02	50.79%	-1.805	0.2444	-0.399
Unnatural Proliferation	73	37.41	65.75%	-0.892	1.052	-0.246
Untended Land Crumbles	69	27.36	55.07%	-0.783	1.2436	-0.768

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	466	46.87%	35.58	77.04%	-0.471	0.2882	-0.034
B	464	47.19%	34.58	80.82%	0.372	1.0485	-0.353
C	566	45.47%	36.06	82.69%	-0.234	0.2916	0.03
D	435	39.49%	35.27	82.3%	0.565	1.2917	0.178
E	421	47.38%	36.25	82.66%	0.091	0.6511	0.658
F	356	46.48%	35.07	82.58%	0.038	0.7281	-0.189
G	299	49.33%	35.4	79.93%	-0.478	0.2178	0.062
H	336	47.01%	35.11	80.65%	0.214	0.8746	-0.271
East	41	40.54%	42.34	82.93%	-0.484	0.1957	-0.004
Northeast	26	34.78%	45.69	84.62%	0.332	0.9019	0.0
Northwest	24	23.81%	46.63	79.17%	0.063	0.9048	0.0
Southeast	22	18.18%	44.64	95.45%	0.364	0.8903	-0.088
Southwest	22	18.18%	44.73	95.45%	0.064	1.005	0.0
West	41	35.14%	43.29	82.93%	-0.397	0.603	0.0

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	11	0.0%	25.82	90.91%	-0.039	2.0804	0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens	26	33.33%	25.88	88.46%	0.343	0.5835	0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions	44	12.2%	40.18	95.45%	0.832	0.4633	0.0
Start of Game Growth	64	16.39%	40.8	90.63%	-0.143	-0.7655	-0.088
Unlimited Undo	172	50.91%	38.6	86.05%	0.193	-0.4377	0.239
Using Tokens but Not Events	144	31.85%	29.36	90.97%	0.092	0.1357	-0.698

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	77	100.0%	31.31	100.0%	0.421	0.3735	0.648
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	50	100.0%	37.04	100.0%	-0.278	-0.2143	-0.327
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	20	100.0%	33.35	100.0%	0.698	0.46	0.027
Downpour Drenches the World	95	100.0%	35.49	100.0%	-0.525	-0.1338	-0.198
Eyes Watch From the Trees	43	100.0%	37.44	100.0%	-0.598	-1.0128	-0.265
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	44	100.0%	36.23	100.0%	-0.278	-0.8724	-0.925
Finder of Paths Unseen	57	100.0%	36.58	100.0%	0.273	0.6779	0.128
Fractured Days Split the Sky	10	100.0%	39.3	100.0%	-0.54	-0.4982	-0.164
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	22	100.0%	33.68	100.0%	-0.485	-0.5019	0.123
Heart of the Wildfire	22	100.0%	38.45	100.0%	-0.267	0.0617	-0.584
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	58	100.0%	40.83	100.0%	0.078	-0.5566	-0.486
Lightning's Swift Strike	10	1120.0%	35.1	310.0%	0.143	0.4157	0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	98	34.69%	35.47	85.71%	-0.419	-1.2516	-1.038
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	31	29.03%	48.77	96.77%	0.725	0.153	0.082
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	32	50.0%	45.22	81.25%	1.269	0.844	0.624
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	45	100.0%	39.67	100.0%	-0.186	-0.3933	-0.114
Many Minds Move as One	16	100.0%	36.06	100.0%	-0.13	-0.6422	0.107
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	104	100.0%	46.24	100.0%	0.806	0.5234	1.099
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	24	100.0%	28.04	100.0%	-0.835	-0.8021	-0.48
River Surges in Sunlight	13	625.0%	29.15	315.38%	-0.514	-0.5077	0.027
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	20	41.18%	31.75	75.0%	-0.841	-0.397	0.226
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	134	44.78%	43.63	82.84%	0.04	-0.203	-0.653
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	17	100.0%	37.12	100.0%	0.14	-0.0032	0.427
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	49	100.0%	49.59	100.0%	0.652	0.3907	0.402
Shifting Memory of Ages	32	100.0%	30.13	100.0%	0.09	0.1124	-0.201
Shroud of Silent Mist	28	100.0%	36.14	100.0%	-0.018	0.2273	0.399
Starlight Seeks its Form	39	100.0%	40.46	100.0%	0.164	-0.0476	1.043
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	55	100.0%	46.82	100.0%	-0.0	-0.1695	-0.013
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	37	100.0%	48.57	100.0%	0.316	0.4264	0.897
Thunderspeaker	28	100.0%	36.71	100.0%	0.079	-0.0168	0.015
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	21	100.0%	38.33	100.0%	0.823	0.7255	-0.263
Vital Strength of the Earth	4	1850.0%	37.0	800.0%	0.007	0.8899	0.248
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	119	43.7%	35.46	76.47%	-0.828	-0.4268	-0.13
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	4	25.0%	24.75	100.0%	0.093	1.1352	0.0
Volcano Looming High	33	100.0%	36.61	100.0%	0.187	0.1714	-0.374

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	21	2.952	31.429	80.95%
Animated Wrackroot	131	3.733	35.779	85.5%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	111	3.712	34.477	85.59%
Birds Cry Warning	40	5.85	44.05	82.5%
Blood Draws Predators	25	3.8	39.2	96.0%
Call of the Dahan Ways	145	3.393	34.345	82.07%
Call To Bloodshed	52	3.0	30.692	78.85%
Call to Ferocity	35	3.714	32.571	82.86%
Call to Guard	109	3.706	31.936	77.98%
Call To Isolation	49	4.184	32.633	75.51%
Call To Migrate	40	2.775	30.275	85.0%
Call To Tend	16	3.25	27.375	68.75%
Call to Trade	13	3.923	37.231	92.31%
Carapaced Land	61	4.475	35.164	77.05%
Confounding Mists	99	3.717	31.505	77.78%
Cycles of Time and Tide	72	4.208	35.167	77.78%
Dark and Tangled Woods	121	2.264	28.909	80.17%
Delusions of Danger	104	3.683	32.26	78.85%
Dessicating Winds	38	4.079	36.579	81.58%
Devouring Ants	5	2.0	27.2	80.0%
Dire Metamorphosis	29	2.552	32.379	86.21%
Disorienting Landscape	58	2.897	30.983	86.21%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	213	4.202	36.385	82.63%
Drift Down Into Slumber	92	3.728	33.62	77.17%
Drought	5	1.8	24.6	80.0%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	48	1.458	27.917	89.58%
Elemental Boon	115	3.704	37.591	91.3%
Elusive Ambushes	80	3.35	32.175	80.0%
Encompassing Ward	32	2.25	27.375	90.63%
Enticing Splendor	46	3.022	27.935	76.09%
Entrancing Apparitions	126	2.206	31.865	93.65%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	18	5.333	27.444	55.56%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	91	4.0	34.802	83.52%
Fire in the Sky	152	3.428	34.072	86.84%
Fleshrot Fever	38	3.053	33.868	89.47%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	16	3.25	27.688	68.75%
Gift of Constancy	55	5.382	34.782	67.27%
Gift of Living Energy	33	5.485	42.697	81.82%
Gift of Nature's Connection	96	4.073	35.052	83.33%
Gift of Power	53	3.887	36.717	84.91%
Gift of Twinned Days	74	4.419	34.608	72.97%
Gnawing Rootbiters	11	3.364	33.273	81.82%
Gold's Allure	26	3.462	33.077	84.62%
Guardian Serpents	75	3.427	34.173	86.67%
Haunted by Primal Memories	173	3.341	33.064	83.82%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	98	4.296	38.112	85.71%
Here There be Monsters	107	3.71	34.224	84.11%
Infested Aquifers	13	2.769	37.615	100.0%
Inflame the Fires of Life	142	3.275	34.683	87.32%
Land of Haunts and Embers	112	2.714	31.411	85.71%
Like Calls to Like	3	3.667	32.0	100.0%
Lure of the Unknown	223	4.143	37.933	86.1%
Mesmerized Tranquility	45	4.089	34.422	80.0%
Nature's Resilience	103	3.583	32.252	78.64%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	28	4.821	34.607	75.0%
Poisoned Dew	13	4.615	36.154	76.92%
Portents of Disaster	130	3.5	34.231	84.62%
Promises of Protection	39	5.051	40.205	76.92%
Prowling Panthers	81	3.617	37.346	87.65%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	12	4.75	39.833	83.33%
Purifying Flame	35	4.143	35.829	85.71%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	209	4.11	36.646	84.69%
Rain of Blood	47	3.936	31.468	74.47%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	38	3.579	31.079	73.68%
Reaching Grasp	30	2.9	31.667	90.0%
Renewing Boon	12	3.583	25.917	66.67%
Renewing Rain	17	2.353	23.706	64.71%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	136	4.11	38.743	86.76%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	162	4.537	38.42	82.72%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	30	2.9	34.667	90.0%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	108	3.556	32.843	82.41%
Savage Mawbeasts	19	5.895	33.0	57.89%
Scour the Land	12	5.5	39.083	75.0%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	15	4.8	42.133	93.33%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	28	5.357	41.393	85.71%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	35	2.343	31.343	91.43%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	182	3.604	33.505	79.67%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	40	3.875	34.925	80.0%
Sky Stretches to Shore	59	4.475	36.458	83.05%
Song of Sanctity	4	3.5	33.75	75.0%
Spur On with Words of Fire	71	4.676	36.887	83.1%
Steam Vents	67	1.836	28.925	91.04%
Strong and Constant Currents	11	3.636	33.818	81.82%
Sucking Ooze	51	3.569	36.588	90.2%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	57	3.316	34.14	85.96%
Swarming Wasps	62	3.903	39.694	91.94%
Teeming Rivers	20	3.4	39.75	95.0%
Territorial Strife	38	4.789	38.316	81.58%
Terror Turns to Madness	94	3.713	33.074	76.6%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	17	4.529	40.294	88.24%
Thriving Chokefungus	6	2.5	33.667	100.0%
Tormenting Rotflies	14	3.0	32.857	85.71%
Treacherous Waterways	43	3.349	35.977	88.37%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	58	3.603	36.224	86.21%
Uncanny Melting	28	3.929	32.571	78.57%
Unquenchable Flames	141	3.553	37.149	89.36%
Veil the Night's Hunt	166	3.596	34.048	84.94%
Visions of Fiery Doom	215	3.749	35.851	85.58%
Voracious Growth	20	2.55	29.05	90.0%
Weep for What is Lost	15	3.267	31.867	73.33%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	11	5.0	38.636	81.82%
Angry Bears	19	3.737	32.632	73.68%
Bargains of Power and Protection	13	4.615	35.462	76.92%
Blazing Renewal	33	4.576	30.182	69.7%
Bloodwrack Plague	21	2.714	31.286	85.71%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	9	3.333	26.556	66.67%
Cleansing Floods	11	4.455	42.545	90.91%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	25	3.28	34.2	88.0%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	8	4.125	40.0	87.5%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	16	4.063	34.375	87.5%
Dream of the Untouched Land	28	3.25	36.321	89.29%
Entwined Power	9	4.111	35.222	88.89%
Fire and Flood	11	2.545	28.364	81.82%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	17	3.941	34.0	82.35%
Focus the Land's Anguish	7	5.714	25.429	42.86%
Forests of Living Obsidian	30	3.667	37.667	90.0%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	48	4.063	34.146	83.33%
Indomitable Claim	65	4.108	32.123	73.85%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	52	5.404	37.192	73.08%
Infinite Vitality	36	4.083	27.333	58.33%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	16	4.313	40.938	93.75%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	65	4.308	33.415	73.85%
Irresistible Call	14	3.857	36.643	85.71%
Manifest Incarnation	13	2.769	35.462	92.31%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	24	5.083	36.292	75.0%
Mists of Oblivion	26	3.923	35.077	76.92%
Paralyzing Fright	79	4.722	33.013	70.89%
Pent-Up Calamity	116	4.776	39.371	85.34%
Pillar of Living Flame	23	2.826	34.217	91.3%
Poisoned Land	10	6.1	39.0	60.0%
Powerstorm	43	4.093	34.302	79.07%
Pyroclastic Flow	46	4.043	36.304	84.78%
Savage Transformation	19	3.579	33.0	78.95%
Sea Monsters	27	4.593	43.815	96.3%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	22	4.0	34.727	81.82%
Sleep and Never Waken	94	5.287	40.819	86.17%
Smothering Infestation	11	4.909	35.636	81.82%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	19	2.0	30.368	89.47%
Storm-Swath	24	2.667	27.833	75.0%
Strangling Firevine	19	4.368	40.789	89.47%
Sweep into the Sea	16	4.625	31.188	68.75%
Talons of Lightning	60	3.117	31.817	85.0%
Terrifying Nightmares	97	3.103	30.103	79.38%
The Jungle Hungers	74	2.23	28.405	79.73%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	39	3.436	33.821	87.18%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	36	4.222	33.083	72.22%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	18	4.167	30.722	72.22%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	35	4.543	33.086	74.29%
Tigers Hunting	39	3.641	35.615	87.18%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	22	3.455	32.227	77.27%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	37	4.622	33.0	70.27%
Tsunami	8	3.625	38.25	87.5%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	33	3.606	32.455	75.76%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	68	4.059	36.5	86.76%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	29	3.345	35.586	89.66%
Unrelenting Growth	24	2.667	33.0	87.5%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	24	4.167	36.167	87.5%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	42	3.214	30.31	80.95%
Vengeance of the Dead	44	5.045	38.795	77.27%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	61	5.508	41.049	80.33%
Voice of Command	51	3.471	35.02	88.24%
Volcanic Eruption	6	5.833	44.167	83.33%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	41	4.341	37.561	80.49%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	30	5.267	40.6	83.33%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	76	4.395	33.026	75.0%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	64	4.688	34.297	71.88%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Concealing Shadows	78.18%
Crops Wither and Fade	87.56%
Favors Called Due	89.57%
Mantle of Dread	89.12%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	112	22.62	8.93%
II	518	31.05	58.88%
III	939	34.62	89.78%
IV	425	37.86	100.0%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	10
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	836
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	300
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	422
Lose: Invader deck ran out	4
Lose: Adversary condition	129
Win: Sacrifice victory	6
Lose: Scenario condition	7
Win: Scenario condition	9
Lose: Blight pool ran out	262
Lose: Spirit destroyed	9

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.347 Win Model: -0.271

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	23	0.0%	29.39	100.0%	96.69%
-2	5	0.0%	29.2	100.0%	95.71%
-1	10	30.0%	23.5	70.0%	94.45%
0	756	28.32%	23.35	95.63%	92.84%
1	91	34.09%	26.73	94.51%	90.82%
2	91	47.25%	29.09	86.81%	88.3%
3	83	46.99%	33.37	84.34%	85.2%
4	109	48.62%	37.53	82.57%	81.45%
5	52	56.86%	38.17	69.23%	77.01%
6	167	67.66%	41.51	74.25%	71.87%
7	159	64.78%	44.36	69.18%	66.09%
8	114	77.19%	36.77	42.98%	59.78%
9	76	55.26%	56.78	78.95%	53.13%
10	189	76.19%	47.25	50.79%	46.38%
11	55	76.36%	44.84	36.36%	39.75%
12	11	81.82%	37.36	18.18%	33.47%
13	1	100.0%	76.0	100.0%	27.74%
15	1	0.0%	95.0	100.0%	18.25%
25	1	100.0%	158.0	100.0%	1.47%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.441 Win Model: 0.304

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	1193	50.34%	31.49	77.45%
2	404	50.63%	33.97	79.7%
3	225	41.33%	39.4	83.11%
4	103	33.01%	40.67	87.38%
5	17	35.29%	39.0	88.24%
6	52	39.22%	43.27	86.54%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.