Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 45 28.89% 28.49 82.22% 0.361 0.5524 0.645
Blitz 0 86 25.88% 24.48 56.98% 0.443 0.6608 -0.396
Dahan Insurrection 4 79 15.19% 25.77 35.44% -1.291 -1.5436 0.032
Despicable Theft 2 39 23.08% 24.95 61.54% -0.092 0.4943 -0.205
Elemental Invocation 1 52 48.08% 18.75 48.08% -1.099 -0.3594 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 494 11.54% 48.47 84.82% 0.625 0.0639 1.064
Powers Long Forgotten 1 47 40.43% 17.68 42.55% 0.074 0.8338 -0.758
Rituals of Terror 3 30 36.67% 25.77 46.67% 0.259 0.3792 -0.308
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 58.33% 26.96 58.33% -0.511 0.3965 0.565
Second Wave 0 216 45.24% 27.04 64.81% 0.126 0.2649 0.679
The Great River 3 21 33.33% 17.9 33.33% -0.324 0.7758 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 74 50.0% 20.43 44.59% -1.443 -0.6674 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 37 35.14% 15.49 29.73% -0.588 0.4865 -0.199

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4462 48.55% 25.11 60.65% 0.434 0.7669 -0.285
1 Thematic 185 47.03% 21.91 36.22% -0.821 -0.1348 -0.335
2 Archipelago 2 0.0% 36.5 100.0% 0.0 0.6076 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1305 46.45% 25.48 59.92% 0.213 0.3326 0.496
2 Coastline 208 42.44% 30.25 71.15% -0.298 -0.3703 0.351
2 Fragment 34 75.0% 26.29 58.82% 0.0 -0.1848 -0.357
2 Heart 37 64.86% 29.24 51.35% 0.49 0.3328 0.857
2 Opposite Shores 358 33.8% 34.37 77.65% 0.21 0.3611 0.523
2 Thematic 111 43.93% 25.89 51.35% 0.802 1.3103 -0.492
2 Top to Top 56 53.57% 29.59 62.5% -0.799 -0.8576 -0.382
3 Archipelago 8 50.0% 37.0 62.5% 0.0 -0.9517 0.7
3 Coastline 6 16.67% 27.17 83.33% 0.243 -0.1669 0.452
3 Other 40 38.46% 23.8 67.5% -0.151 -0.9223 -0.109
3 Round (Default) 930 42.13% 30.91 66.99% -0.202 -0.2933 -0.02
3 Sunrise 8 37.5% 34.25 87.5% 0.0 -0.096 0.0
3 Thematic 44 40.91% 22.7 45.45% -0.346 -0.3253 -0.011
4 Archipelago 4 50.0% 37.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5301 0.0
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 38.0 66.67% 0.0 -0.0857 0.0
4 Leaf 3 66.67% 16.0 33.33% 0.0 -0.1615 -0.305
4 Other 23 60.87% 26.04 69.57% 0.339 -0.3715 -0.095
4 Thematic 39 48.72% 31.44 46.15% -0.132 -0.0091 -0.438
4 Trapezoid (Default) 382 32.8% 29.01 66.75% -0.046 -0.0483 0.089
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0301 0.0
5 Coastline 2 50.0% 3.5 0.0% 0.0 -0.1459 0.154
5 Other 75 17.33% 30.01 68.0% 1.075 0.5613 0.81
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0571 0.0
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 28.5 75.0% 0.0 -1.0381 0.0
6 Coastline 6 16.67% 33.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.0
6 Other 55 29.09% 28.6 67.27% 0.172 0.0686 -0.333
6 Star 27 37.04% 30.93 62.96% 0.02 0.006 -0.189
6 Thematic 83 22.89% 20.39 37.35% -0.113 0.1728 -0.384
6 Two Centers (Default) 110 19.27% 23.09 56.36% -1.098 -0.565 -0.323
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0647 0.0
7 Other 4 0.0% 12.25 25.0% 0.0 -0.5585 -0.402

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 222 30.54 52.25% -0.226 0.0249 0.464
Aid From Lesser Spirits 185 30.66 58.92% -0.002 -0.0599 0.813
All Things Weaken 257 25.54 51.75% 0.745 1.0797 0.075
Attenuated Essence 98 25.12 48.98% 0.721 0.7547 -0.13
Back Against the Wall 192 35.46 61.98% 1.17 1.2049 0.72
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 80 24.0 42.5% -1.102 -0.8846 -0.256
Burn Brightest Before the End 75 29.0 42.67% -0.722 -0.711 0.281
Disintegrating Ecosystem 259 27.68 50.97% -0.224 0.1203 0.429
Downward Spiral 281 26.04 63.7% 0.19 0.3072 0.202
Erosion of Will 219 25.98 48.86% -0.435 -0.1606 -0.373
Intensifying Exploitation 98 25.46 52.04% 0.362 0.5728 0.367
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 95 34.71 83.16% 0.135 -0.4381 0.561
Memory Fades to Dust 319 26.2 54.86% 0.076 0.3282 -0.242
Power Corrodes the Spirit 228 31.06 57.02% 0.519 0.7237 0.355
Promising Farmlands 223 25.85 47.98% 0.053 0.3071 -0.322
Shattered Fragments of Power 65 25.0 47.69% -0.209 -0.1348 0.017
Slow Dissolution of Will 89 21.0 42.7% -0.042 0.3393 -0.062
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 60 30.07 70.0% 0.087 -0.5872 0.322
The Border of Life and Death 16 30.5 56.25% 0.169 -0.4319 0.197
Thriving Communities 203 27.09 48.77% -0.582 -0.3003 0.326
Thriving Crops 39 23.56 53.85% 0.505 0.3651 -0.362
Unnatural Proliferation 252 30.56 53.17% 0.39 0.594 0.095
Untended Land Crumbles 236 24.32 47.46% 0.141 0.3316 -0.536

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2138 38.2% 27.86 63.56% 0.249 1.247 -0.133
B 2088 43.03% 27.38 63.7% 0.357 1.2794 0.212
C 2316 39.88% 29.39 66.75% 0.293 1.0223 0.344
D 1926 39.02% 27.33 64.49% -0.107 0.8524 0.375
E 1848 42.22% 27.87 64.18% 0.086 0.9056 0.502
F 1583 43.1% 26.37 62.67% -0.223 0.6588 0.316
G 1389 45.37% 26.25 61.27% -0.092 0.7336 -0.131
H 1450 44.37% 26.74 62.0% 0.038 0.8771 0.145
East 348 38.95% 25.23 45.4% -0.241 0.634 -0.247
Northeast 228 39.11% 23.7 41.67% 0.466 1.2184 -0.199
Northwest 206 37.93% 23.95 42.72% -0.913 -0.0206 -0.506
Southeast 162 27.16% 23.77 46.3% 0.269 1.1075 0.484
Southwest 152 29.61% 19.45 36.84% 0.077 1.3816 -0.769
West 327 39.32% 22.59 41.28% -0.267 0.6824 -0.423

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 178 0.0% 8.66 34.27% -1.224 -0.4955 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 325 43.22% 12.59 44.31% -0.397 -0.0515 0.546
Skip Initial Invader Actions 204 13.66% 37.55 75.0% 0.742 0.1392 0.224
Start of Game Growth 293 16.35% 34.71 72.35% -0.154 -0.6585 0.287
Unlimited Undo 735 42.25% 27.7 60.82% -0.255 -0.3617 0.326
Using Tokens but Not Events 934 26.98% 26.49 70.02% 0.309 0.2792 -0.591

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 326 25.93% 26.85 72.09% 0.169 0.074 0.548
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 45 42.22% 28.64 66.67% 0.917 0.4409 0.453
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 244 38.27% 26.48 64.75% 0.675 0.787 -0.566
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 90 31.11% 26.43 57.78% 0.304 -0.5088 -0.248
Dances Up Earthquakes 16 37.5% 23.5 62.5% -0.243 -0.2522 -0.011
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 164 34.19% 21.39 56.71% -0.608 -0.7481 -0.254
Downpour Drenches the World 259 41.57% 29.93 62.55% -0.512 -0.2848 0.203
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 123 39.02% 25.02 52.85% 0.299 -0.271 -0.053
Eyes Watch From the Trees 242 31.06% 27.21 64.46% 1.211 0.8232 0.078
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 221 31.75% 23.06 57.92% -0.792 -1.1863 -1.786
Finder of Paths Unseen 156 40.0% 29.37 69.23% 0.786 1.5144 0.355
Fractured Days Split the Sky 94 46.81% 24.11 50.0% -1.128 -0.4871 -0.335
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 157 41.4% 26.3 59.87% -0.037 -0.1703 0.244
Heart of the Wildfire 142 48.57% 24.17 54.23% 0.879 1.2084 -0.261
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 248 35.92% 30.98 68.55% -0.661 -1.0841 0.277
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 59 18.64% 16.2 37.29% -0.154 -0.4605 -0.546
Lightning's Swift Strike 100 43.16% 21.01 55.0% 0.453 0.6911 -0.317
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 259 36.65% 29.52 73.36% -0.371 -0.7784 -0.166
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 120 37.82% 30.72 75.0% 0.197 -0.1224 0.517
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 181 30.0% 31.86 65.75% 1.138 1.057 0.756
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 231 41.05% 25.25 50.22% -0.64 -0.8324 -0.655
Many Minds Move as One 141 34.04% 30.6 67.38% 0.586 0.3702 0.298
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 451 30.96% 38.25 72.06% 0.187 0.3262 1.377
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 35 42.86% 24.2 60.0% -0.313 -0.2317 -0.745
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 177 28.05% 21.58 57.06% -0.433 -0.5114 -0.555
River Surges in Sunlight 90 33.73% 23.99 58.89% -0.446 -0.3209 0.64
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 34 35.29% 22.15 64.71% 0.307 0.4849 -0.433
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 203 20.6% 37.27 70.44% 0.786 1.0653 0.116
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 355 40.0% 34.19 70.99% 0.427 0.3045 0.486
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 141 29.5% 24.76 57.45% 0.37 0.2429 -0.26
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 12 41.67% 32.0 66.67% 0.062 -0.0507 0.278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 137 40.0% 36.03 71.53% 0.169 0.2481 0.735
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 85 27.06% 25.49 65.88% -0.325 -0.5114 0.266
Shifting Memory of Ages 159 41.77% 25.53 60.38% -1.089 -0.8219 -0.043
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 41 47.5% 26.61 58.54% 0.44 0.3219 0.401
Shroud of Silent Mist 157 48.41% 25.02 59.24% 0.047 0.3979 0.143
Starlight Seeks its Form 168 43.45% 27.92 66.07% -0.541 -0.6587 0.702
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 177 42.05% 31.22 59.89% -0.775 -1.2877 0.481
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 197 31.75% 28.08 61.42% 0.219 0.3361 0.488
Thunderspeaker 143 42.14% 29.14 70.63% 0.523 0.5549 0.068
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 116 52.59% 23.02 37.07% -0.67 -0.6564 -1.589
Towering Roots of the Jungle 38 36.84% 21.63 47.37% 0.009 0.1382 -0.612
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 101 52.0% 28.13 57.43% -0.919 -0.7928 0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth 78 38.89% 17.38 53.85% -0.621 -0.0213 0.059
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 273 32.33% 28.22 65.93% -0.238 0.2553 -0.388
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 68 37.5% 19.97 61.76% 0.018 0.716 0.167
Volcano Looming High 135 57.78% 27.69 58.52% 0.157 0.2044 -0.454
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 70 22.06% 24.33 62.86% 0.431 0.1411 0.002

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 81.16%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.35%
Favors Called Due 90.01%
Mantle of Dread 89.98%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1830 13.42 3.17%
II 2259 30.13 47.45%
III 3030 34.83 88.55%
IV 1500 38.67 99.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 58
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2649
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1051
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1486
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1654
Lose: Invader deck ran out 19
Lose: Adversary condition 512
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 36
Win: Scenario condition 38
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1048
Lose: Spirit destroyed 41

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.525 Win Model: -0.159

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.224 Win Model: 0.241
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4671 48.35% 24.91 59.47%
2 2105 44.79% 27.81 63.94%
3 1034 41.8% 30.6 66.15%
4 439 36.13% 28.73 65.38%
5 81 17.28% 29.38 67.9%
6 289 22.92% 24.36 55.02%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)