Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 33 27.27% 31.06 87.88% 0.625 0.6763 0.11
Blitz 0 62 31.15% 27.31 64.52% 0.809 1.0093 0.34
Dahan Insurrection 4 58 12.07% 25.45 34.48% 0.075 -0.1367 0.133
Despicable Theft 2 22 18.18% 22.32 59.09% -1.042 -0.1976 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 42 42.86% 20.0 50.0% -0.356 0.7152 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 343 13.99% 48.35 85.71% 1.035 0.3104 1.246
Powers Long Forgotten 1 30 36.67% 19.03 50.0% -0.145 0.7614 -0.135
Rituals of Terror 3 15 33.33% 31.67 53.33% 0.168 0.198 0.315
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 15 53.33% 28.73 60.0% -0.174 1.0142 0.492
Second Wave 0 158 41.56% 27.75 67.09% 0.486 0.5669 0.722
The Great River 3 13 38.46% 24.92 46.15% 0.513 1.9004 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 50 56.0% 22.12 50.0% -1.207 -0.3056 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 19 31.58% 15.63 31.58% -0.767 0.2882 -0.098

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3388 48.9% 26.06 61.92% -0.058 -0.027 -0.328
1 Thematic 115 46.09% 22.45 37.39% -1.163 -0.7305 -0.703
2 Archipelago 1 0.0% 36.0 100.0% 0.248 0.7409 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 890 46.14% 26.76 63.71% 0.259 0.2105 0.507
2 Coastline 145 42.96% 32.07 71.72% -0.232 -0.333 0.241
2 Fragment 22 68.18% 29.32 54.55% 0.146 -0.2672 -0.334
2 Heart 28 71.43% 31.18 46.43% -0.256 -0.3455 0.944
2 Opposite Shores 218 32.57% 32.07 79.82% 0.817 0.6378 0.268
2 Thematic 61 29.82% 25.61 57.38% 0.315 0.5016 -0.497
2 Top to Top 40 67.5% 34.2 67.5% -0.155 -0.3549 0.327
3 Archipelago 7 57.14% 42.29 71.43% 0.0 -1.1208 0.609
3 Coastline 4 25.0% 32.75 100.0% 0.234 -0.4277 0.399
3 Other 32 31.25% 26.03 78.13% 0.26 -0.0742 -0.271
3 Round (Default) 666 42.47% 32.14 71.47% 0.649 0.383 -0.099
3 Sunrise 8 37.5% 34.25 87.5% 0.0 0.5109 0.0
3 Thematic 28 39.29% 26.86 53.57% 0.257 -0.189 0.108
4 Archipelago 3 66.67% 37.0 100.0% 0.183 -0.3739 0.0
4 Coastline 2 0.0% 13.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.6183 0.0
4 Leaf 1 0.0% 24.0 100.0% 0.0 0.8461 0.0
4 Other 17 52.94% 29.41 88.24% 0.0 -0.7375 -0.105
4 Thematic 22 45.45% 37.23 54.55% 0.391 0.5943 -0.293
4 Trapezoid (Default) 288 34.64% 31.05 70.49% -0.365 -0.0247 -0.216
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 38.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0008 0.0
5 Coastline 1 100.0% 7.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5279 0.261
5 Other 52 23.08% 29.42 65.38% -0.114 -0.8355 0.978
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.1602 0.0
6 Archipelago 4 0.0% 28.5 75.0% 0.0 -0.7151 0.0
6 Coastline 2 50.0% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4888 0.0
6 Other 33 30.3% 29.21 75.76% -0.468 -0.0283 -0.083
6 Star 24 37.5% 28.83 58.33% 0.0 0.298 -0.588
6 Thematic 69 20.29% 22.33 37.68% 0.0 0.0253 -0.412
6 Two Centers (Default) 75 21.62% 25.57 56.0% -0.474 -0.3766 -0.435
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.445 0.0817 0.0
7 Other 3 0.0% 16.33 33.33% 0.0 -1.4162 -0.305

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 172 31.62 54.65% -0.358 -0.2189 0.569
Aid From Lesser Spirits 143 31.24 58.04% 0.236 0.1768 0.644
All Things Weaken 191 26.1 52.88% -0.532 -0.1774 -0.103
Attenuated Essence 54 24.63 46.3% 0.109 0.2195 -0.626
Back Against the Wall 147 36.71 63.27% -0.56 -0.4835 0.879
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 50 27.2 52.0% 0.442 0.6527 0.169
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 28.24 44.9% -0.202 -0.0817 0.276
Disintegrating Ecosystem 190 28.29 50.0% -0.553 -0.184 0.245
Downward Spiral 215 26.92 64.19% 1.366 1.5625 0.226
Erosion of Will 157 28.39 52.87% -0.086 0.1809 -0.151
Intensifying Exploitation 50 26.14 50.0% -0.015 0.2549 -0.081
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 79 36.2 84.81% 0.26 -0.2513 0.549
Memory Fades to Dust 234 28.15 60.68% 0.158 0.4697 -0.312
Power Corrodes the Spirit 177 31.57 56.5% 0.665 0.9598 -0.042
Promising Farmlands 176 27.66 50.0% -0.553 -0.2166 -0.215
Shattered Fragments of Power 43 25.14 46.51% 0.531 0.6396 -0.132
Slow Dissolution of Will 48 20.77 37.5% -1.529 -1.1292 -0.53
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 47 32.51 72.34% 0.213 -0.3998 0.316
The Border of Life and Death 8 21.75 50.0% -0.564 -0.856 -0.166
Thriving Communities 165 27.15 48.48% -0.058 0.2752 0.225
Thriving Crops 23 25.17 60.87% -0.295 -0.3812 -0.364
Unnatural Proliferation 183 32.24 55.19% -0.404 -0.2558 0.048
Untended Land Crumbles 182 23.98 48.9% -0.974 -0.667 -0.973

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1474 39.79% 28.52 65.6% -0.356 0.5485 0.149
B 1526 43.59% 28.32 66.06% 0.015 0.8431 0.0
C 1682 40.81% 29.8 68.73% -0.044 0.6362 0.281
D 1406 39.48% 28.33 66.29% -0.245 0.608 0.473
E 1342 42.94% 29.16 67.29% 0.257 0.9582 0.692
F 1139 43.67% 27.37 65.85% 0.003 0.7843 0.282
G 989 46.19% 28.59 64.71% 0.048 0.8193 -0.072
H 1042 45.13% 28.25 65.26% 0.551 1.3195 -0.036
East 229 32.0% 25.75 46.72% -0.412 0.4498 -0.318
Northeast 152 30.2% 24.09 43.42% 0.146 0.8929 -0.301
Northwest 140 31.39% 26.41 46.43% 0.037 0.8708 -0.219
Southeast 121 21.49% 24.93 47.93% 0.125 0.9008 0.455
Southwest 108 26.85% 22.72 42.59% -0.501 0.8181 -0.765
West 214 34.29% 24.79 45.33% 0.405 1.4109 -0.65

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 103 0.0% 8.74 33.98% -0.402 0.4286 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 184 36.75% 12.45 46.2% -1.253 -0.8116 -0.179
Skip Initial Invader Actions 141 12.5% 37.83 78.01% 0.441 -0.1215 -0.315
Start of Game Growth 205 16.04% 35.08 73.17% 0.283 -0.256 -0.147
Unlimited Undo 538 44.99% 30.16 64.13% -0.523 -0.4825 0.241
Using Tokens but Not Events 659 26.48% 25.32 68.29% -0.56 -0.5839 -0.867

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 248 23.58% 28.04 76.61% -0.175 -0.2779 0.489
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 190 36.51% 27.68 66.32% 0.3 0.4597 -0.645
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 34 20.59% 25.88 50.0% 0.05 -0.7859 -0.054
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 119 41.07% 23.23 61.34% 0.335 0.2034 -0.516
Downpour Drenches the World 208 41.46% 29.59 63.46% 0.058 0.3763 0.163
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 83 37.35% 25.94 59.04% -0.119 -0.6033 0.114
Eyes Watch From the Trees 174 31.58% 28.52 67.24% 0.524 0.0708 -0.214
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 168 33.54% 24.52 60.12% -0.435 -0.8871 -1.679
Finder of Paths Unseen 123 40.16% 30.43 69.92% 0.11 0.7764 0.1
Fractured Days Split the Sky 74 41.89% 25.5 56.76% 0.438 1.1159 -0.145
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 110 40.91% 29.39 69.09% 0.39 0.4512 0.209
Heart of the Wildfire 100 55.1% 25.29 53.0% 0.29 0.5494 -0.731
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 197 38.14% 31.85 69.54% 0.227 -0.167 0.0
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 27 7.41% 10.7 25.93% 0.259 -0.1364 -0.531
Lightning's Swift Strike 68 49.21% 21.84 57.35% -0.997 -0.7429 -0.056
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 38.24% 30.69 74.64% -0.303 -0.8565 -0.131
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 92 36.26% 32.42 76.09% -0.042 -0.2776 0.408
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 136 35.56% 31.68 65.44% 0.154 -0.0973 0.618
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 182 38.33% 26.73 53.3% -1.86 -2.1839 -0.706
Many Minds Move as One 91 32.97% 28.69 64.84% 0.359 0.1597 0.268
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 341 30.09% 37.95 72.43% 0.544 0.5159 1.111
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 115 32.71% 23.04 59.13% -0.667 -0.8084 -0.388
River Surges in Sunlight 55 39.22% 27.53 72.73% 0.38 0.4966 0.76
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 126 21.95% 30.64 64.29% -0.458 -0.1204 0.017
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 290 40.21% 36.39 76.21% 0.5 0.3516 0.482
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 93 31.87% 25.83 58.06% 0.246 0.0789 -0.303
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 121 40.34% 37.43 73.55% -0.603 -0.6984 0.872
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 59 23.73% 25.95 69.49% 0.073 -0.1677 0.121
Shifting Memory of Ages 131 42.75% 26.68 64.12% 0.144 0.5224 -0.353
Shroud of Silent Mist 111 46.85% 25.59 62.16% 0.611 0.9817 0.493
Starlight Seeks its Form 127 44.88% 30.38 71.65% 0.766 0.5595 0.539
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 130 41.86% 34.83 65.38% 0.602 -0.1147 0.299
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 143 32.12% 29.59 63.64% 0.375 0.5567 0.748
Thunderspeaker 97 41.67% 31.95 73.2% -0.199 -0.1852 0.278
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 62 30.65% 20.63 53.23% 0.105 0.2108 0.239
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 73 50.0% 30.79 64.38% -0.318 -0.1775 0.037
Vital Strength of the Earth 42 31.58% 16.4 50.0% 0.38 0.9219 -0.23
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 225 34.53% 29.88 68.0% -0.432 -0.0936 -0.376
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 39 45.95% 20.82 66.67% -0.483 0.2333 -0.288
Volcano Looming High 101 57.43% 30.03 63.37% -0.384 -0.4168 -0.248
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 26 15.38% 19.04 50.0% -0.833 -1.27 -0.609

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 80.48%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.13%
Favors Called Due 89.69%
Mantle of Dread 89.57%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1172 16.23 3.5%
II 1633 30.54 46.36%
III 2332 34.77 89.19%
IV 1117 38.37 99.73%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 41
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2057
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 742
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1107
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1037
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13
Lose: Adversary condition 379
Win: Sacrifice victory 20
Lose: Scenario condition 29
Win: Scenario condition 25
Lose: Blight pool ran out 778
Lose: Spirit destroyed 26

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.983 Win Model: -0.186

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.212 Win Model: -0.06
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3517 48.75% 25.91 61.02%
2 1405 44.41% 28.51 66.76%
3 739 41.93% 32.0 71.04%
4 326 36.48% 30.89 70.55%
5 56 23.21% 29.63 67.86%
6 211 23.33% 25.59 54.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)