Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 101 28.71% 21.21 53.47% -0.05 -0.0794 -0.472
Blitz 0 180 15.73% 14.83 28.89% -0.102 0.141 -0.85
Dahan Insurrection 4 287 27.97% 31.78 46.34% 0.54 0.5535 -0.385
Despicable Theft 2 293 35.49% 15.4 37.88% 0.691 1.457 -0.025
Elemental Invocation 1 154 31.17% 13.81 31.17% 0.0 0.753 -0.392
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1425 15.66% 37.72 69.89% 1.292 0.6957 0.748
Powers Long Forgotten 1 196 28.06% 12.04 22.96% -0.116 0.6321 -0.522
Rituals of Terror 3 140 33.57% 24.32 38.57% 0.229 0.7071 -0.187
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 109 35.78% 18.34 26.61% -0.271 0.4166 -0.39
Second Wave 0 829 36.87% 22.8 60.8% 0.48 0.4751 -0.039
The Great River 3 107 39.25% 14.99 20.56% -0.799 0.3308 -0.233
Varied Terrains 2 201 47.0% 20.46 42.29% -0.033 0.7473 -0.35
Ward the Shores 2 140 32.86% 19.41 37.86% -0.134 0.7356 -1.141

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 15815 49.02% 15.96 36.05% -0.433 -0.2294 -0.023
1 Thematic 578 35.01% 15.28 26.64% -0.319 0.2905 -0.571
2 Archipelago 125 30.4% 24.09 45.6% 0.0 0.1705 0.806
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6709 41.56% 22.9 49.31% -0.296 -0.216 0.235
2 Coastline 1461 37.46% 22.51 52.98% -0.113 -0.2081 0.715
2 Fragment 197 47.21% 21.32 47.72% -0.136 -0.1788 1.216
2 Heart 124 54.84% 23.68 54.03% 0.364 -0.0965 0.143
2 Opposite Shores 2644 33.63% 21.9 56.51% 0.271 0.4027 -0.391
2 Thematic 488 36.48% 20.93 38.52% 0.391 0.75 -0.631
2 Top to Top 430 40.71% 23.66 46.98% 0.245 0.1561 0.6
3 Archipelago 86 31.4% 38.03 69.77% 0.022 -0.1475 -0.182
3 Coastline 56 37.5% 25.23 60.71% -0.278 -0.4507 1.633
3 Other 157 31.17% 18.07 50.96% 1.191 0.8059 0.642
3 Round (Default) 4442 39.27% 26.48 58.71% 0.764 0.7696 -0.265
3 Sunrise 17 41.18% 21.65 64.71% 0.0 -0.6066 -0.181
3 Thematic 198 45.18% 26.97 59.6% 0.193 -0.2379 -0.158
4 Archipelago 97 39.18% 37.28 64.95% 0.0 -0.2406 -0.355
4 Coastline 26 38.46% 24.23 53.85% -0.073 -0.6712 0.849
4 Leaf 32 34.38% 20.56 40.63% -0.069 -1.0914 0.0
4 Other 264 16.67% 17.07 42.42% 0.498 -0.3451 0.234
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 209 37.8% 28.12 41.15% 0.061 -0.1414 0.421
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2328 33.62% 28.55 55.28% 0.065 0.2548 -0.765
5 Archipelago 14 14.29% 43.64 78.57% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 12 25.0% 23.75 75.0% 0.168 -0.4913 0.0
5 Other 330 37.39% 25.83 62.12% -0.553 -0.7131 0.202
5 Thematic 44 29.55% 25.16 45.45% 0.0 0.3382 -0.054
6 Archipelago 147 13.01% 48.38 66.67% -0.168 -0.8215 -0.678
6 Coastline 11 27.27% 28.09 54.55% 0.0 -0.4503 -0.616
6 Other 221 27.6% 27.18 59.73% -0.258 -0.2965 -1.078
6 Star 101 19.8% 27.77 52.48% -0.953 -0.4868 -1.183
6 Thematic 620 44.41% 31.6 50.0% -0.335 -0.087 -0.168
6 Two Centers (Default) 628 23.04% 26.28 51.75% -0.224 0.9778 -2.011
7 Archipelago 18 16.67% 51.83 50.0% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Other 31 23.33% 13.45 41.94% -0.049 0.1329 -0.159

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 900 25.4 42.22% 0.372 0.5206 0.513
Aid From Lesser Spirits 785 29.34 52.36% 0.481 0.3685 1.654
All Things Weaken 980 23.84 40.31% 0.729 1.1038 0.476
Attenuated Essence 467 23.22 39.83% 0.947 1.0729 0.929
Back Against the Wall 796 28.16 50.0% 0.453 0.4942 1.12
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 512 21.46 38.28% -0.382 -0.1765 0.556
Burn Brightest Before the End 432 26.38 44.91% 0.535 0.5794 0.576
Disintegrating Ecosystem 899 24.07 41.6% 0.025 0.5227 0.344
Downward Spiral 1198 22.22 40.82% -1.432 -1.1817 0.707
Erosion of Will 954 24.03 38.26% 0.241 0.4984 -0.348
Intensifying Exploitation 504 22.45 39.29% 1.273 1.4918 0.882
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 324 27.41 64.81% 0.974 0.5881 0.403
Memory Fades to Dust 1245 21.46 40.08% 0.513 0.7184 0.431
Power Corrodes the Spirit 935 22.39 39.89% -0.157 0.0412 0.548
Promising Farmlands 842 23.48 40.74% -0.544 -0.1882 0.687
Shattered Fragments of Power 421 26.19 41.33% 0.307 0.5243 1.12
Slow Dissolution of Will 521 22.67 35.51% 0.608 1.0372 0.504
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 247 29.04 71.66% 0.569 -0.0555 0.977
The Border of Life and Death 112 27.02 55.36% -0.171 -0.4913 0.41
Thriving Communities 964 22.96 39.73% 0.993 1.3122 0.666
Thriving Crops 210 22.16 43.81% 0.705 0.5859 0.684
Unnatural Proliferation 1008 26.91 46.33% 0.47 0.5599 0.99
Untended Land Crumbles 957 22.89 40.23% 0.355 0.5807 0.357

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10618 37.53% 22.71 49.71% -0.311 0.488 -0.066
B 10227 38.32% 23.45 50.34% 0.009 0.7392 0.293
C 11100 39.43% 23.42 49.99% 0.294 0.8979 0.546
D 9496 37.65% 22.24 49.35% 0.006 0.7627 0.363
E 9156 39.86% 24.03 50.94% -0.246 0.338 -0.244
F 8113 38.16% 23.97 51.51% 0.037 0.7397 0.522
G 7060 39.23% 23.43 50.69% 0.133 0.8905 -0.371
H 7215 38.55% 23.2 50.44% 0.066 0.6974 0.07
East 1734 41.02% 25.88 44.29% -0.21 0.574 -0.899
Northeast 1206 41.58% 28.08 47.26% 0.308 1.07 0.066
Northwest 1180 40.82% 28.26 46.69% 0.099 0.9414 0.004
Southeast 1012 41.9% 28.23 47.63% -0.118 0.5217 -0.353
Southwest 1004 41.63% 26.88 45.22% 0.255 1.3007 -0.366
West 1703 40.14% 25.14 42.92% -0.344 0.4314 0.388

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 290 0.0% 8.5 30.69% -0.556 0.3178 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 796 39.33% 10.08 32.41% -1.182 -0.805 0.689
Skip Initial Invader Actions 962 13.76% 35.7 63.2% -0.315 -0.6067 0.723
Start of Game Growth 1405 17.01% 31.45 58.79% -0.827 -1.3837 1.168
Unlimited Undo 3853 32.02% 24.88 48.87% 0.234 0.2976 0.339
Using Tokens but Not Events 4601 27.03% 19.19 56.4% 0.237 0.11 0.111

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1690 25.91% 31.03 64.67% -0.212 -0.3079 0.273
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 565 20.43% 24.75 45.84% 1.47 1.144 0.844
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 12 41.67% 23.08 33.33% -0.264 -0.5259 -0.308
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 97 37.5% 24.35 52.58% 1.043 0.322 0.382
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 614 40.79% 21.57 44.46% 0.008 0.3063 -0.591
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 389 38.24% 29.8 52.19% 0.147 -0.4426 0.116
Dances Up Earthquakes 354 36.44% 29.22 59.6% 0.638 0.8201 0.062
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 659 42.29% 20.5 49.47% -0.414 -0.5931 0.173
Downpour Drenches the World 2148 28.4% 24.65 53.91% -0.613 -0.254 0.411
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1540 36.85% 25.37 54.61% -0.101 -0.5405 -0.156
Eyes Watch From the Trees 805 30.82% 24.51 59.5% -0.469 -0.8181 1.574
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 597 35.32% 22.74 52.6% -0.449 -0.849 -0.69
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1410 24.2% 34.65 50.5% -0.88 -0.424 0.432
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 609 40.17% 23.58 49.26% 0.52 0.4292 -0.751
Heart of the Wildfire 878 49.48% 22.5 47.04% -0.128 0.3033 0.258
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1745 37.56% 31.14 67.05% 1.013 0.5705 0.302
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 295 30.17% 25.44 54.58% -0.429 -0.9381 0.501
Lightning's Swift Strike 415 37.04% 20.75 55.18% -0.283 -0.1195 -0.098
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 624 40.48% 32.11 66.67% 0.0 -0.6787 -0.346
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 203 43.35% 23.9 47.29% -0.24 -0.599 -0.046
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 362 40.33% 31.2 58.56% 0.402 0.2557 -0.379
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1663 42.45% 26.26 56.46% 0.007 -0.1702 -0.612
Many Minds Move as One 706 34.61% 27.55 57.37% -0.073 -0.208 0.39
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3123 30.22% 22.16 49.57% -0.01 -0.0866 -0.751
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 832 38.3% 22.63 47.72% 0.041 0.2325 0.692
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 983 39.96% 26.07 56.87% 0.81 0.7508 0.945
River Surges in Sunlight 544 35.2% 28.63 65.26% -0.236 -0.1918 0.048
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 111 43.24% 28.59 60.36% 0.346 0.5758 0.499
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 243 30.99% 19.66 46.91% -0.289 -0.2402 -0.654
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 804 37.61% 30.92 56.47% -1.034 -0.8678 0.013
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1499 28.28% 32.0 54.44% -0.805 -0.9989 0.369
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 180 41.34% 31.25 49.44% -0.311 -0.3259 0.658
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 84 52.5% 19.2 54.76% -0.325 0.2994 0.097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 141 34.04% 25.01 65.25% -0.668 -0.6521 -0.271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 154 44.16% 24.59 59.09% 0.253 -0.1818 0.124
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 173 37.79% 28.36 67.05% 0.325 0.3475 -0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 88 39.77% 20.23 60.23% 0.0 -0.0871 -0.292
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 91 22.22% 17.91 51.65% -0.502 -0.0937 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 556 34.67% 28.65 60.43% 0.799 0.8569 0.297
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 7 57.14% 28.43 71.43% 0.165 -0.3392 -0.167
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 324 31.17% 22.69 49.38% -0.06 -0.0974 -0.848
Shifting Memory of Ages 718 34.46% 27.66 52.37% 0.731 1.0936 -0.24
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 789 21.25% 31.19 43.09% 0.069 0.0515 -0.033
Shroud of Silent Mist 629 36.17% 19.43 45.95% -1.068 -0.5438 -0.567
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 25 56.0% 30.76 40.0% 0.069 -0.2714 0.264
Starlight Seeks its Form 1652 37.56% 32.02 58.6% -0.511 -0.7095 0.643
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1624 36.21% 27.45 56.16% -0.579 -1.1941 0.238
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 602 36.01% 25.62 55.65% 0.595 0.8277 -0.694
Thunderspeaker 1005 36.35% 26.98 57.21% 0.118 0.1008 0.126
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 259 40.08% 20.82 44.79% -0.688 -0.4878 0.151
Towering Roots of the Jungle 479 36.4% 22.57 46.76% -0.138 0.0286 -0.351
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 797 51.51% 24.88 51.07% 0.036 0.0863 0.047
Vital Strength of the Earth 242 25.21% 16.37 43.39% 0.221 0.691 -0.349
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 501 36.77% 25.07 50.3% -0.056 0.3534 -0.462
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 131 30.77% 19.51 49.62% 0.323 0.9899 -0.701
Volcano Looming High 2428 51.28% 25.85 51.03% 0.633 0.6171 -0.219
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 721 24.34% 24.66 64.91% 1.094 0.8138 0.136

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Circuitous and Wending Journey 83.98%
Aid From the Spirit-Speakers 87.64%
Offer Passage Between Worlds 90.53%
Paths Tied by Nature 81.49%
Traveler's Boon 77.04%
Ways of Shore and Heartland 81.61%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18559 12.44 9.41%
II 10404 29.94 67.77%
III 7501 34.9 89.72%
IV 2244 38.84 99.55%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1740
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6542
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6816
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2182
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13052
Lose: Invader deck ran out 482
Lose: Adversary condition 2161
Win: Sacrifice victory 296
Lose: Scenario condition 155
Win: Scenario condition 186
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4395
Lose: Spirit destroyed 701

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.199 Win Model: -0.078

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.566 Win Model: 0.017
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 16672 48.32% 15.88 35.72%
2 12083 39.38% 22.77 51.1%
3 4875 39.19% 26.59 59.3%
4 2939 32.17% 27.64 53.49%
5 426 37.97% 27.07 54.23%
6 1713 29.46% 30.48 54.82%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)