Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 63 28.57% 20.83 57.14% -0.432 -0.618 -0.567
Blitz 0 75 17.57% 28.24 49.33% 0.01 0.1408 -0.705
Dahan Insurrection 4 137 30.15% 34.09 48.91% -1.045 -1.3004 0.27
Despicable Theft 2 122 43.44% 17.89 42.62% -0.442 0.0993 -0.549
Elemental Invocation 1 62 29.03% 17.11 40.32% -0.73 0.1264 -1.098
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 844 14.29% 40.53 73.7% 1.371 0.5999 1.161
Powers Long Forgotten 1 81 28.4% 11.69 24.69% -1.048 -0.1136 -1.019
Rituals of Terror 3 59 33.9% 31.36 49.15% -0.591 -0.4955 -0.602
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 43.14% 19.06 29.41% -0.671 0.5254 -0.436
Second Wave 0 406 37.31% 24.62 68.72% 0.295 0.3811 -0.258
The Great River 3 41 43.9% 21.39 29.27% -1.284 0.0777 -1.083
Varied Terrains 2 112 51.79% 24.21 47.32% -0.602 0.1862 -0.491
Ward the Shores 2 58 31.03% 23.28 53.45% -0.451 0.5815 -0.238

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8010 51.79% 17.78 41.94% -0.765 -0.5741 -0.132
1 Thematic 248 42.11% 19.13 36.29% -1.094 -0.4485 -0.516
2 Archipelago 66 28.79% 30.14 57.58% -0.172 0.2594 0.494
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3583 43.09% 25.95 56.15% -0.07 -0.074 0.095
2 Coastline 815 36.87% 25.32 60.61% -0.037 0.0184 0.063
2 Fragment 110 50.0% 25.11 53.64% 0.915 0.6489 0.427
2 Heart 64 60.94% 25.64 57.81% 0.52 0.4811 0.356
2 Opposite Shores 1387 34.03% 23.96 60.85% -0.261 -0.2469 -0.621
2 Thematic 206 39.81% 23.99 45.15% -0.072 0.125 -0.092
2 Top to Top 256 38.98% 24.09 46.09% 0.158 0.0598 -0.403
3 Archipelago 43 34.88% 44.0 79.07% -0.523 -0.9702 0.375
3 Coastline 30 40.0% 27.7 73.33% 0.686 -0.3381 1.087
3 Other 85 32.14% 18.38 44.71% -0.834 -1.2266 0.988
3 Round (Default) 2232 40.76% 28.54 61.56% 0.2 -0.1356 -0.481
3 Sunrise 6 16.67% 28.33 83.33% 0.0 0.2427 0.0
3 Thematic 75 34.67% 32.31 62.67% 0.052 -0.2319 0.302
4 Archipelago 63 44.44% 39.71 71.43% -0.472 -0.6293 0.472
4 Coastline 11 27.27% 32.18 81.82% 0.454 -0.4849 0.374
4 Leaf 6 33.33% 21.17 50.0% -0.598 -0.7466 -0.652
4 Other 52 40.38% 26.81 78.85% 0.803 -0.5265 0.554
4 Thematic 105 41.9% 31.66 45.71% -0.369 -0.448 -0.842
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1049 34.46% 28.12 62.63% -0.415 -0.5717 -0.582
5 Archipelago 10 20.0% 45.2 80.0% -0.074 0.6005 -0.318
5 Coastline 4 50.0% 31.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.9121 0.41
5 Other 189 29.26% 25.41 69.84% -0.144 -1.2187 -0.978
5 Thematic 21 38.1% 33.48 52.38% -0.383 -0.3895 -0.031
6 Archipelago 74 12.16% 53.85 74.32% -0.621 -1.9207 -1.524
6 Coastline 5 20.0% 34.4 60.0% 0.0 -0.748 -0.94
6 Other 108 32.41% 36.03 76.85% -0.467 -0.6706 -1.536
6 Star 43 25.58% 45.28 79.07% 0.0 0.0994 0.126
6 Thematic 351 50.44% 37.39 57.83% -0.782 -0.1336 -0.61
6 Two Centers (Default) 316 23.49% 33.79 64.24% -0.372 -0.7066 -1.603
7 Archipelago 12 25.0% 59.83 58.33% 0.0 0.0605 -0.653
7 Other 15 20.0% 13.6 46.67% -0.274 0.1216 -0.711

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 552 26.58 43.12% 0.312 0.4417 0.058
Aid From Lesser Spirits 455 29.2 53.41% 0.757 0.6388 0.743
All Things Weaken 556 24.46 40.29% -0.108 0.1995 0.104
Attenuated Essence 161 20.32 36.65% -0.115 -0.0828 -0.674
Back Against the Wall 474 30.01 54.22% 0.817 0.8473 0.469
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 179 21.04 40.22% 0.683 0.8696 -0.07
Burn Brightest Before the End 146 25.15 37.67% 0.373 0.443 0.179
Disintegrating Ecosystem 519 25.5 44.89% 0.246 0.622 0.542
Downward Spiral 668 23.92 44.16% 0.427 0.5927 0.21
Erosion of Will 579 25.07 41.62% 0.618 0.832 0.018
Intensifying Exploitation 180 23.19 41.11% 0.358 0.5992 0.192
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 186 31.8 76.34% 1.166 0.5845 0.953
Memory Fades to Dust 687 23.77 46.0% 0.43 0.7232 0.759
Power Corrodes the Spirit 516 22.86 43.99% 0.034 0.1949 0.111
Promising Farmlands 483 25.16 43.27% 0.484 0.78 0.228
Shattered Fragments of Power 147 21.7 29.93% 0.217 0.3054 -0.053
Slow Dissolution of Will 175 21.39 37.71% 0.276 0.6686 -0.206
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 146 30.68 76.71% 1.264 0.5527 0.842
The Border of Life and Death 46 23.98 50.0% 0.743 0.2638 -0.244
Thriving Communities 561 24.06 42.78% -0.068 0.2315 0.067
Thriving Crops 81 24.47 50.62% 0.658 0.556 0.574
Unnatural Proliferation 592 27.53 49.66% 0.439 0.608 0.277
Untended Land Crumbles 569 24.97 45.17% 0.277 0.5348 0.04

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5304 39.81% 25.33 56.58% 0.598 1.7406 0.089
B 5052 40.38% 26.13 57.22% 0.299 1.3542 0.2
C 5681 41.59% 25.52 55.5% 0.07 0.9583 0.405
D 4632 39.5% 24.63 55.12% 0.107 1.1613 0.124
E 4664 40.11% 26.57 57.5% 0.258 1.1624 0.095
F 4168 40.5% 26.81 58.71% 0.359 1.3636 0.021
G 3570 39.89% 26.24 58.12% 0.432 1.3999 -0.047
H 3731 40.44% 25.51 56.82% 0.291 1.2841 0.08
East 845 44.55% 30.91 51.36% -0.474 0.5145 -0.256
Northeast 603 45.7% 33.14 54.06% -0.676 0.2736 -0.021
Northwest 590 45.94% 34.23 54.24% 0.2 1.2412 -0.307
Southeast 528 46.53% 33.97 55.11% 0.119 1.0374 0.162
Southwest 503 48.68% 33.32 54.47% -1.055 0.4022 -0.274
West 802 45.01% 30.92 51.0% -0.546 0.5606 -0.309

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 132 0.0% 10.6 33.33% -1.016 -0.3524 -0.241
Not Using Events or Tokens 323 44.48% 11.26 37.77% -0.521 -0.0266 -0.485
Skip Initial Invader Actions 521 15.97% 42.0 74.66% 1.011 0.3888 1.967
Start of Game Growth 695 19.44% 38.8 73.09% 0.452 0.0396 -0.265
Unlimited Undo 1946 36.1% 29.51 59.51% 0.02 -0.0754 0.775
Using Tokens but Not Events 2255 26.62% 20.73 60.75% 0.835 0.9107 0.017

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1063 26.36% 36.06 71.21% 0.235 0.1995 0.85
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 343 46.02% 26.26 51.9% 0.009 0.1676 -0.013
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 98 45.92% 34.09 57.14% 0.677 -0.3352 0.166
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 374 44.09% 22.3 53.74% -1.318 -1.5309 0.224
Downpour Drenches the World 1404 28.62% 28.72 63.82% -0.255 -0.0076 0.472
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 908 37.15% 25.72 54.41% 0.227 -0.3355 -0.109
Eyes Watch From the Trees 465 34.34% 26.63 66.88% -0.183 -0.6621 0.218
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 321 32.91% 25.5 58.88% -0.015 -0.4212 -0.373
Fractured Days Split the Sky 614 24.71% 37.9 59.77% -0.126 0.5364 0.357
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 302 43.38% 28.33 59.6% -0.191 -0.1933 0.552
Heart of the Wildfire 519 52.73% 25.23 51.25% -0.08 0.2902 -0.304
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1184 35.28% 33.6 73.82% 0.879 0.4522 0.644
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 84 44.05% 26.08 47.62% -0.059 -0.5518 -1.247
Lightning's Swift Strike 228 36.49% 22.57 58.33% 0.49 0.7029 -0.223
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 392 41.24% 33.3 69.13% 0.412 -0.2038 0.393
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 99 38.38% 20.52 44.44% -1.084 -1.3702 0.086
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 191 40.84% 35.88 63.35% 0.553 0.4505 0.583
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 949 41.83% 30.07 64.38% 0.025 -0.2211 -0.033
Many Minds Move as One 375 32.89% 31.9 66.13% 0.092 -0.0691 0.465
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1602 34.49% 26.25 54.24% -0.387 -0.3528 0.031
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 581 37.48% 28.36 61.62% 0.067 -0.1003 -0.032
River Surges in Sunlight 289 37.1% 29.95 67.82% 0.199 0.2267 0.351
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 114 31.86% 23.23 55.26% -0.115 0.2236 -0.709
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 503 41.43% 35.03 64.61% 0.412 0.3808 0.391
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 659 30.32% 32.53 63.73% 0.398 0.2875 -0.008
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 42 63.16% 22.4 57.14% 0.784 1.3591 -0.695
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 97 34.02% 28.78 74.23% 0.632 0.6555 0.438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 44 54.55% 24.64 54.55% 0.493 0.0412 -0.301
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 115 38.6% 31.17 70.43% 0.11 0.3462 0.436
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 45 28.89% 20.27 64.44% -0.212 -0.2988 -0.457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 43 23.26% 18.12 55.81% 0.316 0.5114 -0.03
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 367 36.36% 30.68 65.4% -0.313 -0.3345 -0.642
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 123 37.4% 25.62 52.03% -0.345 -0.6774 -0.749
Shifting Memory of Ages 498 35.57% 31.28 57.83% -0.737 -0.4562 -0.193
Shroud of Silent Mist 340 39.23% 21.48 50.29% -0.211 0.0617 -0.962
Starlight Seeks its Form 928 38.04% 37.33 69.29% 0.201 -0.0188 0.841
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 909 34.73% 31.49 64.14% 0.179 -0.2679 0.358
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 296 36.73% 29.17 64.19% -0.213 -0.0915 0.359
Thunderspeaker 557 41.16% 29.71 61.58% 0.145 0.1637 0.35
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 133 36.36% 20.58 42.11% -0.157 0.0469 -0.359
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 477 52.41% 27.02 55.35% -0.456 -0.282 -0.142
Vital Strength of the Earth 125 29.27% 20.79 52.8% -0.445 0.1268 -0.047
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 275 44.44% 29.63 61.09% -0.296 0.0861 0.08
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 69 32.35% 20.38 50.72% 0.037 0.7943 -0.644
Volcano Looming High 1270 51.85% 29.12 57.8% -0.436 -0.4624 0.236
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 158 40.76% 26.35 53.16% 0.313 -0.2203 -0.282

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Circuitous and Wending Journey 82.75%
Aid From the Spirit-Speakers 86.66%
Offer Passage Between Worlds 89.22%
Paths Tied by Nature 79.68%
Traveler's Boon 75.12%
Ways of Shore and Heartland 79.07%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8123 16.77 11.19%
II 5897 30.59 69.51%
III 4353 34.74 90.47%
IV 1308 38.3 99.54%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 904
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3832
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3966
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1269
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5078
Lose: Invader deck ran out 294
Lose: Adversary condition 1129
Win: Sacrifice victory 179
Lose: Scenario condition 98
Win: Scenario condition 98
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2443
Lose: Spirit destroyed 391

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.065 Win Model: -0.104

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.618 Win Model: 0.235
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 8383 51.45% 17.81 41.83%
2 6448 40.3% 25.51 57.26%
3 2444 40.02% 28.57 61.78%
4 1286 35.19% 28.93 62.91%
5 222 32.13% 27.88 62.16%
6 898 33.82% 38.05 65.92%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)