Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 90 30.0% 20.63 52.22% -0.351 -0.1603 -0.81
Blitz 0 138 16.91% 17.89 33.33% -0.352 -0.135 -0.818
Dahan Insurrection 4 242 28.63% 31.14 42.98% -0.004 -0.2564 -0.076
Despicable Theft 2 238 35.29% 15.45 37.82% -0.097 0.4894 -0.748
Elemental Invocation 1 137 32.85% 13.93 30.66% -0.974 -0.2349 -0.969
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1246 15.24% 38.29 69.58% 0.399 -0.163 1.139
Powers Long Forgotten 1 156 30.13% 11.26 21.79% -1.637 -0.8775 -0.943
Rituals of Terror 3 116 36.21% 25.07 37.93% -0.398 -0.2777 -0.801
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 85 34.12% 20.28 32.94% 0.15 1.057 0.002
Second Wave 0 701 36.71% 23.44 62.62% 0.367 0.5051 -0.386
The Great River 3 87 42.53% 16.09 20.69% -0.974 0.1257 -1.38
Varied Terrains 2 171 47.37% 20.59 41.52% 1.184 1.9598 -0.885
Ward the Shores 2 106 30.19% 21.27 43.4% -0.508 0.5666 -0.819

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13322 49.8% 16.59 37.74% -0.625 -0.2924 -0.005
1 Thematic 482 36.17% 16.79 28.63% -0.484 0.2018 0.027
2 Archipelago 89 31.46% 28.34 55.06% 0.649 1.2564 0.751
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 5640 41.57% 23.64 50.94% 0.075 0.1947 0.307
2 Coastline 1250 37.22% 23.36 54.56% 0.155 0.0832 0.191
2 Fragment 170 48.82% 22.41 50.0% 1.048 0.8634 0.7
2 Heart 95 53.68% 25.02 56.84% 0.081 -0.0761 0.67
2 Opposite Shores 2250 34.36% 22.51 56.93% -0.014 0.1368 -0.288
2 Thematic 402 37.81% 21.66 39.8% 0.179 0.6872 0.068
2 Top to Top 368 39.84% 23.44 47.55% 0.287 0.2282 -0.144
3 Archipelago 75 30.67% 40.25 73.33% 0.56 -0.3916 0.378
3 Coastline 45 35.56% 24.76 64.44% 1.301 0.8911 1.481
3 Other 134 27.07% 18.51 49.25% 1.119 0.3474 1.065
3 Round (Default) 3732 39.87% 27.02 58.79% 0.265 0.1739 -0.202
3 Sunrise 16 43.75% 23.0 68.75% -0.426 -0.5218 0.0
3 Thematic 168 43.11% 27.87 60.12% 0.347 0.3681 0.632
4 Archipelago 91 41.76% 36.86 62.64% -0.264 -0.794 -0.478
4 Coastline 22 40.91% 27.36 59.09% 0.0 -0.0857 0.076
4 Leaf 28 39.29% 23.5 46.43% -0.78 -0.9412 -0.778
4 Other 229 16.16% 16.34 41.92% -0.006 -0.7173 0.904
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4433 0.0
4 Thematic 183 39.34% 28.55 39.34% -0.239 -0.1158 -1.218
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1887 33.32% 28.91 56.92% 0.035 0.0325 -0.752
5 Archipelago 14 14.29% 43.64 78.57% -0.275 -0.3049 -0.216
5 Coastline 9 22.22% 26.56 77.78% 0.463 0.3166 0.128
5 Other 290 36.68% 25.72 64.14% 1.178 0.6641 -0.741
5 Thematic 36 36.11% 24.5 41.67% -0.413 -0.47 -0.534
6 Archipelago 131 13.08% 49.29 67.18% -0.466 -1.5044 -1.756
6 Coastline 9 33.33% 31.11 55.56% -0.072 -1.0317 -1.106
6 Other 196 27.04% 27.08 60.71% -1.195 -1.2985 -1.598
6 Star 84 20.24% 30.45 58.33% -0.97 -0.9841 -1.826
6 Thematic 554 44.83% 32.16 50.36% -0.035 0.2505 -0.875
6 Two Centers (Default) 510 22.05% 28.14 54.71% -1.134 -0.6015 -1.928
7 Archipelago 15 20.0% 58.13 53.33% -0.454 -0.3897 -0.559
7 Other 29 25.0% 14.38 44.83% 0.091 -0.4672 -1.018

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 791 25.53 41.85% 0.283 0.5339 0.244
Aid From Lesser Spirits 682 29.04 52.2% 0.683 0.6248 0.969
All Things Weaken 841 24.18 40.78% -0.136 0.1983 0.337
Attenuated Essence 364 22.3 38.46% 0.527 0.5604 -0.093
Back Against the Wall 694 28.81 51.87% 0.475 0.5097 0.611
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 420 21.75 38.81% 0.388 0.6055 0.059
Burn Brightest Before the End 343 26.45 44.61% 0.403 0.4134 0.522
Disintegrating Ecosystem 780 25.21 44.1% 0.708 1.0524 0.665
Downward Spiral 1032 22.74 41.76% -0.037 0.0803 0.472
Erosion of Will 829 24.79 39.45% -0.083 0.1911 0.109
Intensifying Exploitation 400 22.79 39.75% -0.225 -0.0135 0.403
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 276 28.64 67.75% 0.19 -0.3824 0.673
Memory Fades to Dust 1057 22.04 41.06% 0.019 0.2709 0.559
Power Corrodes the Spirit 807 22.32 40.02% -0.054 0.1508 0.137
Promising Farmlands 740 23.79 41.62% 0.476 0.7296 0.398
Shattered Fragments of Power 321 25.84 39.25% 0.532 0.606 0.326
Slow Dissolution of Will 409 22.51 34.96% -0.535 -0.154 -0.037
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 212 30.21 74.53% 1.268 0.5942 0.799
The Border of Life and Death 98 27.83 55.1% 1.759 1.1587 0.707
Thriving Communities 808 23.67 41.21% 0.345 0.6268 0.229
Thriving Crops 167 21.74 45.51% 0.744 0.6035 0.441
Unnatural Proliferation 889 27.09 47.24% 0.684 0.8876 0.354
Untended Land Crumbles 834 23.12 40.77% -0.037 0.1531 0.221

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8919 37.99% 23.47 51.42% 0.041 1.0388 0.134
B 8540 38.33% 24.07 51.85% 0.258 1.1805 0.272
C 9439 39.7% 24.05 51.29% 0.21 0.9393 0.284
D 7917 38.21% 22.97 50.45% 0.174 1.1327 0.196
E 7654 39.64% 24.76 52.44% -0.064 0.7548 0.123
F 6828 38.44% 24.67 52.87% -0.114 0.7676 0.099
G 5991 39.42% 24.14 52.01% -0.027 0.7982 -0.105
H 6072 38.62% 23.86 51.53% 0.147 0.9862 0.011
East 1485 41.78% 26.79 44.98% -0.044 0.831 -0.008
Northeast 1041 42.51% 28.69 47.65% -0.182 0.5701 -0.057
Northwest 1030 41.54% 28.91 46.89% -0.344 0.5479 -0.382
Southeast 878 42.61% 29.25 48.29% 0.362 1.2006 -0.083
Southwest 875 42.41% 27.7 45.6% -0.72 0.5842 -0.275
West 1464 40.9% 26.03 43.44% 0.285 1.2343 -0.254

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 249 0.0% 8.65 29.72% -1.024 -0.2952 -1.084
Not Using Events or Tokens 616 42.88% 10.82 33.77% -0.641 -0.2953 -0.138
Skip Initial Invader Actions 823 14.84% 37.7 65.98% 0.865 0.2619 1.906
Start of Game Growth 1237 17.75% 32.44 59.9% 0.269 -0.2346 -0.171
Unlimited Undo 3384 32.59% 25.13 49.56% -0.242 -0.3492 0.615
Using Tokens but Not Events 3822 26.75% 19.63 57.82% -0.314 -0.3432 0.124

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1492 26.79% 32.31 66.02% 0.176 0.0808 0.698
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 414 17.68% 22.8 42.27% 0.559 0.0834 -0.126
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 535 40.83% 21.58 43.55% -0.596 -0.4838 -0.196
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 305 37.5% 30.07 52.13% -0.21 -1.0231 -0.075
Dances Up Earthquakes 178 33.15% 33.15 62.36% 0.39 0.3807 0.131
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 558 42.45% 21.17 51.61% 0.364 0.224 0.343
Downpour Drenches the World 1907 28.31% 25.51 55.37% -0.813 -0.5857 0.434
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1363 37.01% 25.28 53.93% 0.205 -0.364 -0.121
Eyes Watch From the Trees 715 31.49% 24.39 59.58% -0.101 -0.4883 -0.046
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 510 32.87% 23.3 54.9% -0.182 -0.5761 -0.253
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1179 24.02% 35.83 51.91% 0.218 0.8582 0.291
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 519 40.04% 23.74 48.36% -0.483 -0.617 0.168
Heart of the Wildfire 748 49.18% 22.73 47.59% 0.01 0.339 -0.124
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1566 37.71% 31.89 68.65% -0.202 -0.626 0.856
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 237 32.07% 25.51 54.01% 0.366 0.0595 -0.848
Lightning's Swift Strike 365 36.34% 21.85 57.53% -0.608 -0.3698 -0.364
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 564 41.79% 33.33 68.09% 0.465 0.0569 0.66
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 180 43.33% 24.52 47.78% 0.113 -0.2065 -0.033
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 307 39.41% 32.89 61.56% 0.795 0.7144 0.726
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1427 42.12% 27.14 58.16% 0.173 -0.0197 -0.237
Many Minds Move as One 614 33.61% 28.15 59.12% -0.306 -0.5227 0.557
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2700 31.33% 22.9 50.41% -0.351 -0.2114 0.036
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 421 37.38% 23.68 49.41% -0.295 -0.2139 -0.528
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 862 39.44% 26.2 56.96% -0.044 -0.1224 0.126
River Surges in Sunlight 443 37.3% 30.26 67.49% 1.071 1.1964 0.33
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 88 40.91% 26.08 56.82% 0.546 0.7237 -0.548
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 210 31.58% 20.07 47.62% 0.063 0.3419 -1.186
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 701 38.57% 32.43 59.63% 0.725 0.6027 0.35
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1275 28.7% 32.79 56.31% 0.174 0.0467 0.202
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 115 39.47% 31.91 49.57% -0.473 -0.5851 0.733
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 63 57.63% 21.11 57.14% 0.418 0.9338 -0.889
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 125 36.0% 26.69 68.8% 0.021 0.0026 0.563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 127 42.52% 22.66 55.12% 0.242 -0.2615 -0.188
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 156 40.0% 29.37 69.23% 1.215 1.0234 0.529
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 79 41.77% 21.78 65.82% 0.62 0.561 -0.54
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 79 23.08% 18.41 53.16% 0.126 0.2079 -0.011
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 498 34.08% 29.06 61.04% 0.51 0.5896 -0.402
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 286 32.17% 23.15 50.0% -0.043 -0.2295 -0.201
Shifting Memory of Ages 644 35.16% 28.61 53.57% -1.018 -0.7512 -0.119
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 604 20.27% 31.07 40.56% -0.121 -0.2393 0.345
Shroud of Silent Mist 538 36.77% 19.8 46.1% -0.915 -0.5637 -0.845
Starlight Seeks its Form 1417 37.48% 33.2 60.55% -0.313 -0.4306 0.557
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1411 35.01% 28.37 58.75% 0.143 -0.3698 0.435
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 510 35.84% 26.31 58.04% -0.536 -0.4188 0.247
Thunderspeaker 845 36.4% 27.92 58.22% 0.281 0.3132 0.323
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 219 39.63% 20.54 42.47% 0.068 0.0818 -0.273
Towering Roots of the Jungle 351 40.29% 23.81 45.3% -0.446 -0.317 -0.462
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 685 52.05% 25.15 51.39% -0.281 -0.1543 -0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth 218 24.3% 16.5 43.12% -0.445 0.1545 -0.282
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 433 37.15% 25.91 53.81% -0.249 0.2447 0.28
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 31.68% 19.58 48.04% -1.081 -0.3827 -0.289
Volcano Looming High 2075 51.69% 26.45 51.76% -0.631 -0.5829 0.052
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 560 26.16% 24.78 62.32% 0.87 0.5803 -0.315

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Circuitous and Wending Journey 83.92%
Aid From the Spirit-Speakers 87.39%
Offer Passage Between Worlds 90.32%
Paths Tied by Nature 80.87%
Traveler's Boon 76.52%
Ways of Shore and Heartland 81.03%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15144 13.42 9.83%
II 9038 30.13 68.1%
III 6476 34.83 90.06%
IV 1942 38.67 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1482
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5678
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 5959
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1885
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10413
Lose: Invader deck ran out 426
Lose: Adversary condition 1816
Win: Sacrifice victory 254
Lose: Scenario condition 149
Win: Scenario condition 150
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3791
Lose: Spirit destroyed 597

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.745 Win Model: -0.065

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.565 Win Model: 0.163
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14040 49.13% 16.55 37.42%
2 10175 39.51% 23.51 52.6%
3 4117 39.5% 27.12 59.24%
4 2428 32.14% 27.93 54.57%
5 370 38.04% 27.16 55.14%
6 1470 29.62% 31.79 56.73%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)