Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 104 27.88% 20.82 52.88% -0.356 0.0138 -0.308
Blitz 0 190 15.43% 14.07 27.37% -0.816 -0.3847 -0.684
Dahan Insurrection 4 297 27.36% 31.14 45.45% -0.351 -0.3766 -0.59
Despicable Theft 2 299 35.45% 15.55 38.13% 0.529 1.1882 0.464
Elemental Invocation 1 160 30.63% 13.39 30.63% -0.689 -0.2414 -0.25
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1457 15.59% 37.47 69.46% 0.704 0.1044 0.874
Powers Long Forgotten 1 211 27.96% 12.09 22.75% -0.675 -0.0666 -0.577
Rituals of Terror 3 142 34.51% 24.61 39.44% 0.694 0.8187 -0.128
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 112 34.82% 17.85 25.89% -0.403 0.3349 -1.072
Second Wave 0 866 37.15% 22.93 60.62% 0.485 0.5916 0.917
The Great River 3 108 38.89% 14.85 20.37% -0.249 0.9259 -0.247
Varied Terrains 2 203 46.53% 20.26 41.87% -0.409 0.3274 -0.052
Ward the Shores 2 144 33.33% 19.42 38.19% -0.079 0.6038 -1.058

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 16342 48.95% 15.89 35.79% -0.003 0.2214 -0.045
1 Thematic 602 34.44% 14.92 25.91% -0.653 -0.1024 -0.618
2 Archipelago 127 29.92% 23.71 44.88% -0.612 -0.9656 0.632
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6890 41.76% 22.8 49.09% 0.027 0.1379 0.054
2 Coastline 1498 37.8% 22.47 52.94% 0.152 0.0624 0.809
2 Fragment 206 47.09% 21.58 47.57% 0.711 0.3724 0.97
2 Heart 127 55.91% 23.79 54.33% 0.0 -0.3272 0.43
2 Opposite Shores 2732 33.95% 21.8 55.93% 0.343 0.3791 -0.582
2 Thematic 498 36.35% 21.04 38.96% 0.53 1.0585 -0.87
2 Top to Top 445 40.0% 23.68 47.19% 0.653 0.4467 0.746
3 Archipelago 90 31.11% 37.37 68.89% 0.127 0.2278 -0.074
3 Coastline 56 37.5% 25.23 60.71% 0.0 -0.5211 1.407
3 Other 161 30.38% 17.93 50.93% 0.257 -0.4853 -0.08
3 Round (Default) 4590 39.21% 26.4 58.47% 0.143 0.0472 -0.168
3 Sunrise 19 36.84% 21.79 63.16% 0.162 -0.5777 -0.182
3 Thematic 204 45.81% 26.83 58.82% -0.145 0.0967 -0.367
4 Archipelago 98 39.18% 36.9 64.29% -0.598 -0.5176 0.0
4 Coastline 26 38.46% 24.23 53.85% 0.0 0.2598 0.477
4 Leaf 33 36.36% 20.61 39.39% -0.453 -1.0069 0.0
4 Other 268 16.79% 17.09 42.54% 1.077 0.5301 0.226
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 217 36.87% 27.61 41.01% -0.062 0.4118 0.004
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2417 33.56% 28.32 54.78% -0.366 -0.5547 -1.036
5 Archipelago 16 12.5% 38.19 68.75% -0.515 0.9311 0.0
5 Coastline 13 23.08% 27.0 76.92% 0.276 -0.3347 0.271
5 Other 350 39.26% 25.51 60.86% -0.191 -0.5173 0.21
5 Thematic 44 29.55% 25.16 45.45% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 149 13.51% 47.92 66.44% 0.157 -0.7679 -0.724
6 Coastline 12 33.33% 28.17 50.0% -0.276 0.0527 -0.891
6 Other 228 27.19% 26.82 59.65% 0.209 0.4786 -0.552
6 Star 105 20.0% 28.11 52.38% -0.921 -0.1245 -0.532
6 Thematic 631 43.94% 31.31 49.6% -0.376 0.2043 0.065
6 Two Centers (Default) 646 23.02% 26.41 52.63% 0.27 0.2469 -1.918
7 Archipelago 18 16.67% 51.83 50.0% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Coastline 1 100.0% 73.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.075
7 Other 32 22.58% 13.03 40.63% -0.708 -0.9635 -0.116

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 920 25.43 42.28% 0.436 0.7466 0.71
Aid From Lesser Spirits 804 29.23 52.11% 0.172 0.1856 1.452
All Things Weaken 1007 23.82 40.22% -0.358 0.116 0.669
Attenuated Essence 498 22.97 39.36% -0.185 -0.0385 0.704
Back Against the Wall 822 28.33 50.36% 0.921 1.0507 1.312
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 529 21.56 38.56% 0.367 0.6872 0.603
Burn Brightest Before the End 449 26.44 44.77% 0.351 0.5282 0.776
Disintegrating Ecosystem 930 23.99 41.4% -0.266 0.1149 0.545
Downward Spiral 1238 22.1 40.55% 0.442 0.6358 0.575
Erosion of Will 979 24.1 38.3% 0.541 0.8792 -0.109
Intensifying Exploitation 526 22.72 39.35% 0.137 0.4899 0.944
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 330 27.47 65.45% 1.147 0.7839 1.138
Memory Fades to Dust 1291 21.42 40.28% 0.469 0.7982 0.276
Power Corrodes the Spirit 959 22.51 39.94% 0.644 0.9109 0.778
Promising Farmlands 866 23.33 40.42% 0.167 0.6141 -0.324
Shattered Fragments of Power 438 26.25 41.32% 0.098 0.0974 0.979
Slow Dissolution of Will 547 22.73 34.92% -0.452 -0.0412 0.454
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 253 28.81 70.75% -0.092 -0.6508 1.783
The Border of Life and Death 118 27.63 55.93% 0.433 0.188 0.464
Thriving Communities 987 23.01 39.92% 0.355 0.6322 0.709
Thriving Crops 219 22.89 44.75% 0.921 0.8257 0.521
Unnatural Proliferation 1036 26.9 46.53% 0.613 0.8178 0.323
Untended Land Crumbles 988 22.89 39.98% 0.477 0.7762 0.419

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 10991 37.49% 22.59 49.39% 0.33 1.3213 0.171
B 10540 38.44% 23.33 50.08% -0.04 0.8252 0.362
C 11477 39.66% 23.3 49.55% -0.481 0.2705 0.184
D 9826 37.71% 22.13 49.1% 0.449 1.3938 0.24
E 9422 39.91% 23.94 50.74% 0.482 1.2371 0.155
F 8347 38.17% 23.93 51.4% 0.416 1.2908 0.74
G 7288 39.22% 23.27 50.49% -0.014 0.8483 -0.063
H 7441 38.78% 23.2 50.28% -0.473 0.334 -0.051
East 1777 40.65% 25.6 43.89% -0.322 0.4234 -0.488
Northeast 1234 41.28% 27.77 46.76% -0.45 0.4433 -0.256
Northwest 1209 40.42% 27.93 46.24% -0.359 0.3842 -0.166
Southeast 1034 41.49% 27.98 47.39% 0.482 1.4904 -0.559
Southwest 1022 41.19% 26.71 45.11% -0.324 0.8328 -0.234
West 1747 39.76% 24.89 42.59% 0.267 1.2501 -0.083

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 308 0.0% 8.51 30.52% 0.237 0.9568 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 836 39.3% 9.96 32.42% 0.177 0.6518 -0.443
Skip Initial Invader Actions 998 13.98% 35.13 62.73% 0.064 -0.7406 0.134
Start of Game Growth 1463 17.32% 31.02 58.24% 0.536 -0.0309 1.621
Unlimited Undo 3976 31.89% 24.67 48.72% 0.172 0.199 0.272
Using Tokens but Not Events 4767 27.25% 19.22 56.01% 0.194 0.1666 0.728

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1738 26.06% 30.76 64.15% -0.263 -0.6805 -0.398
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 589 21.29% 25.29 46.52% 0.73 0.0737 0.71
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 27 51.85% 29.59 44.44% 0.426 0.2688 -0.454
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 177 36.0% 25.93 58.19% 0.595 -0.2653 0.214
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 629 40.45% 21.45 44.2% -0.308 -0.1705 -0.29
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 405 38.46% 29.74 51.85% 0.057 -0.9724 0.288
Dances Up Earthquakes 373 35.75% 28.61 58.71% -0.232 -0.2679 0.531
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 680 42.52% 20.31 49.12% -0.39 -0.7444 -1.017
Downpour Drenches the World 2196 28.39% 24.51 53.69% -0.291 -0.1668 0.041
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1580 36.89% 25.43 54.62% -0.574 -1.1442 0.005
Eyes Watch From the Trees 833 30.38% 24.42 59.3% 0.687 0.0411 1.884
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 625 35.34% 22.39 52.0% -0.205 -0.6992 -0.705
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1444 23.99% 34.31 50.07% -0.756 -0.3099 0.321
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 628 39.52% 23.07 48.41% -0.091 -0.2761 -0.536
Heart of the Wildfire 914 49.17% 22.32 46.83% -0.188 -0.0451 0.131
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1763 37.81% 31.14 66.93% -0.079 -0.7532 0.419
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 300 30.33% 25.48 54.67% 0.17 -0.358 0.704
Lightning's Swift Strike 436 37.09% 20.13 53.67% -1.242 -1.2094 -0.444
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 630 40.32% 31.86 66.19% -0.046 -0.6983 -0.691
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 208 42.79% 23.43 46.63% -0.812 -1.3073 -0.381
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 374 40.91% 31.2 58.56% 0.436 0.1965 -0.295
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1708 42.51% 26.26 56.62% 0.658 0.2316 -0.361
Many Minds Move as One 721 34.31% 27.43 57.42% -0.565 -1.0741 0.003
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3198 30.17% 22.07 49.62% 0.344 0.0742 -0.679
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 890 39.52% 22.8 47.08% -0.2 -0.3143 0.774
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1005 39.98% 25.9 56.42% -0.164 -0.4576 0.829
River Surges in Sunlight 573 35.34% 28.76 64.57% 0.671 0.5 0.428
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 117 42.74% 28.0 59.83% -0.122 -0.2326 -0.078
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 248 31.17% 19.63 46.37% 0.146 0.0809 -0.556
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 829 37.92% 30.7 55.97% -0.783 -0.9133 -0.594
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1535 28.27% 31.89 54.27% -0.029 -0.2931 0.374
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 188 40.64% 30.83 49.47% 0.087 -0.3432 0.127
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 91 55.17% 18.67 52.75% 0.0 0.4284 0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 148 33.78% 24.28 63.51% -0.807 -0.8026 -0.342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 169 40.83% 25.4 60.36% 0.674 -0.0787 0.716
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 177 38.64% 28.46 67.23% 0.159 -0.1595 -0.026
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 91 41.76% 20.75 61.54% 0.862 0.6834 -0.156
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 91 22.22% 17.91 51.65% 0.0 -0.0428 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 574 35.16% 28.41 59.76% -0.235 -0.6012 0.347
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 14 38.46% 32.07 78.57% 0.368 -0.1733 0.374
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 336 30.65% 22.29 49.11% -0.675 -0.9189 -0.488
Shifting Memory of Ages 722 34.41% 27.69 52.35% 0.58 0.8745 -0.095
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 822 22.22% 31.1 43.43% 0.38 0.2166 0.376
Shroud of Silent Mist 639 36.23% 19.24 45.23% -0.858 -0.6763 -0.704
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 39 58.97% 34.08 46.15% 1.084 0.6741 0.781
Starlight Seeks its Form 1679 37.84% 32.06 58.73% 0.622 0.3794 0.925
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1659 36.29% 27.54 56.36% 1.021 0.069 -0.066
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 637 36.39% 25.2 54.63% -0.063 -0.0209 -0.409
Thunderspeaker 1024 36.35% 26.96 57.32% 1.274 1.0793 0.238
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 272 38.89% 20.51 44.85% -0.3 -0.4684 0.317
Towering Roots of the Jungle 498 36.22% 22.25 46.39% -0.59 -0.7005 -0.592
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 812 51.54% 24.79 50.74% -0.372 -0.523 0.144
Vital Strength of the Earth 250 24.8% 16.23 43.2% -0.018 0.3409 -0.465
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 515 36.54% 24.59 49.51% -0.638 -0.3947 -1.027
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 134 30.83% 19.4 49.25% 0.29 0.9714 -0.447
Volcano Looming High 2487 50.99% 25.63 50.78% -0.083 -0.4073 0.154
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 744 24.66% 24.47 64.11% 0.059 -0.4586 0.098

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
A Circuitous and Wending Journey 83.94%
Aid From the Spirit-Speakers 87.62%
Offer Passage Between Worlds 90.57%
Paths Tied by Nature 81.57%
Traveler's Boon 77.11%
Ways of Shore and Heartland 81.69%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19215 12.25 9.26%
II 10710 29.91 67.45%
III 7703 34.94 89.76%
IV 2312 38.9 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1772
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6722
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6985
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2247
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13592
Lose: Invader deck ran out 491
Lose: Adversary condition 2217
Win: Sacrifice victory 304
Lose: Scenario condition 159
Win: Scenario condition 190
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4544
Lose: Spirit destroyed 717

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.277 Win Model: -0.069

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.779 Win Model: 0.366
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 17233 48.24% 15.81 35.44%
2 12428 39.58% 22.71 50.87%
3 5037 39.05% 26.47 58.98%
4 3039 32.15% 27.46 53.14%
5 449 38.93% 26.79 53.67%
6 1754 29.34% 30.36 54.9%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)