Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 113 15.93% 24.77 69.91% -0.429 -0.613 0.335
Blitz 0 1800 32.59% 27.41 71.22% -0.208 0.0665 -1.014
Dahan Insurrection 4 2622 21.15% 51.64 70.59% 0.219 -0.1446 0.575
Despicable Theft 2 316 35.44% 31.75 63.61% -0.997 -0.2891 0.039
Elemental Invocation 1 393 41.98% 25.04 57.25% -0.978 -0.3532 -1.401
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12346 10.83% 50.06 82.16% 1.613 0.9826 1.372
Powers Long Forgotten 1 997 48.54% 30.06 62.89% -1.435 -0.6434 -1.106
Rituals of Terror 3 810 32.52% 40.19 76.79% -0.12 -0.1934 0.426
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 460 59.17% 35.14 63.26% -1.329 -0.4424 0.061
Second Wave 0 9356 28.92% 31.39 84.28% 0.479 0.6627 0.286
The Great River 3 478 37.53% 30.26 60.25% -0.852 0.1329 -1.276
Varied Terrains 2 314 37.06% 25.93 60.51% -0.73 0.1339 -0.939
Ward the Shores 2 1135 36.89% 33.74 65.46% -1.19 -0.0896 -0.477

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 90676 30.94% 33.48 79.77% 0.411 0.6902 0.111
1 Thematic 5616 34.84% 39.87 70.53% 0.278 0.8534 -0.083
2 Archipelago 85 32.94% 32.69 72.94% -0.594 0.0605 0.313
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27697 37.67% 30.94 75.33% 0.053 0.1351 -0.18
2 Coastline 3846 34.58% 31.54 77.77% 0.192 -0.0422 -0.162
2 Fragment 852 38.08% 29.04 76.06% 0.79 0.6407 0.01
2 Heart 516 37.13% 29.41 76.74% -0.075 -0.4584 0.168
2 Opposite Shores 5668 34.47% 30.98 75.18% 0.183 0.178 -0.672
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.592 0.8232 0.0
2 Thematic 2413 44.25% 36.23 62.41% -0.092 0.3418 -0.213
2 Top to Top 835 39.98% 31.48 75.09% 0.21 -0.0084 -0.055
3 Archipelago 69 45.45% 32.97 76.81% -0.356 -1.059 -0.405
3 Coastline 146 36.3% 33.94 76.71% 0.844 -0.2041 -0.033
3 Other 826 38.38% 33.93 82.69% 0.501 -0.2509 0.58
3 Round (Default) 14526 35.54% 32.0 76.18% 0.173 0.0687 -0.286
3 Sunrise 78 32.47% 28.51 73.08% -0.249 -0.6339 0.819
3 Thematic 630 41.56% 32.26 62.7% -0.972 -1.1847 -0.465
4 Archipelago 56 18.52% 33.21 78.57% -0.683 -1.0508 0.0
4 Coastline 124 13.01% 28.94 91.13% 0.0 -0.0527 0.851
4 Leaf 74 35.62% 27.86 79.73% 0.105 0.5657 -1.175
4 Other 469 36.03% 31.92 86.99% 0.914 0.2124 0.469
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5197 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1857 29.77% 42.25 78.35% 0.012 0.0259 -0.302
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9889 29.33% 31.22 75.99% -0.617 -0.8285 -0.788
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 33.43 78.57% -0.729 0.3007 0.323
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 25.62 75.68% 0.326 -0.4505 -0.607
5 Other 737 32.22% 28.96 76.39% 0.305 -0.1404 -0.161
5 Thematic 95 35.11% 37.63 68.42% -0.164 -0.1785 -0.179
6 Archipelago 308 1.3% 66.67 78.57% 0.476 -0.4604 -0.205
6 Coastline 16 6.67% 21.56 43.75% -0.041 -1.1312 -1.831
6 Other 305 14.57% 34.17 76.72% 0.443 0.0912 -0.305
6 Star 164 25.61% 25.47 69.51% -1.039 -0.4119 -1.219
6 Thematic 980 12.23% 41.23 60.31% -0.361 -0.4523 -1.003
6 Two Centers (Default) 1125 17.95% 25.09 68.71% -0.497 -0.2462 -0.999
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 13.44 22.22% -0.533 -0.117 -0.269
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.357
7 Other 30 17.86% 11.2 33.33% -0.682 -1.658 -1.291

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3924 33.34 58.77% 0.415 0.4231 -0.383
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3573 34.52 60.29% 0.292 0.1748 -0.056
All Things Weaken 2339 31.64 52.46% -0.013 0.1481 -0.749
Attenuated Essence 433 29.76 47.81% -0.148 -0.2018 -0.782
Back Against the Wall 3449 32.67 56.31% 0.074 0.0696 -0.306
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 404 29.35 50.74% 0.282 0.3866 -0.833
Burn Brightest Before the End 338 31.89 48.82% -0.004 -0.0064 -0.48
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3791 30.02 53.2% -0.192 -0.0028 -0.759
Downward Spiral 6884 30.9 63.26% 0.15 0.2064 -0.251
Erosion of Will 3967 32.14 55.89% -0.159 -0.029 -0.399
Intensifying Exploitation 418 25.55 44.02% -0.832 -0.7172 -1.089
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1028 35.82 76.75% 0.476 -0.1126 0.176
Memory Fades to Dust 7087 30.47 59.49% -0.157 0.0478 -0.298
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2377 32.51 57.21% -0.01 0.1054 -0.521
Promising Farmlands 3784 29.74 51.98% -0.647 -0.4577 -0.738
Shattered Fragments of Power 335 35.24 59.4% 1.049 1.0446 -0.051
Slow Dissolution of Will 386 29.44 47.41% 0.042 0.3376 -1.109
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 703 36.29 82.08% 0.038 -0.664 0.461
The Border of Life and Death 105 31.92 63.81% 0.355 -0.0661 -0.246
Thriving Communities 2394 30.35 53.55% -0.208 -0.0931 -0.646
Thriving Crops 187 31.09 62.57% 1.063 0.7594 -0.288
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.5332 -0.382
Unnatural Proliferation 2586 32.84 55.92% -0.297 -0.2209 -0.634
Untended Land Crumbles 2375 31.51 54.86% 0.065 0.2385 -0.522

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 37194 33.15% 31.51 76.87% -0.054 0.9065 -0.119
B 39721 32.23% 32.57 77.24% 0.053 0.9245 0.106
C 43919 32.43% 33.33 77.35% -0.013 0.6774 -0.003
D 34595 32.28% 31.98 77.64% 0.04 0.9184 -0.016
E 22044 33.16% 32.3 76.24% 0.27 0.9595 0.205
F 32237 32.8% 30.96 76.82% -0.205 0.5936 -0.151
G 32367 32.58% 31.48 77.05% -0.157 0.6098 -0.059
H 33403 32.3% 31.91 77.01% -0.143 0.6152 -0.022
East 8841 33.3% 40.8 68.3% 0.115 0.8491 -0.049
Northeast 5895 31.27% 41.96 67.92% -0.187 0.678 -0.41
Northwest 4126 31.1% 38.77 67.96% -0.197 0.5078 -0.439
Southeast 2400 24.72% 38.17 67.08% -0.73 0.1997 -0.617
Southwest 2319 24.93% 37.59 66.41% 0.149 1.4413 -0.696
West 6777 34.65% 37.33 67.61% -0.448 0.5023 -0.584

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6334 0.0% 20.94 78.54% -0.756 -0.1186 -0.689
Not Using Events or Tokens 23376 21.17% 29.75 84.09% -0.057 0.3991 -0.26
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4901 7.76% 37.4 90.23% 1.289 0.4862 0.356
Start of Game Growth 7622 10.27% 39.25 88.38% -0.11 -0.5498 0.367
Unlimited Undo 17162 26.68% 34.93 81.06% 0.092 0.0653 0.719
Using Tokens but Not Events 23816 19.88% 32.42 84.37% 0.382 0.3056 -0.368

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7076 26.63% 33.11 74.75% -0.37 -0.4692 -0.403
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 212 37.62% 29.56 59.91% 0.847 0.3202 -0.023
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2413 45.33% 28.76 70.16% -0.804 -0.6107 -0.139
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 237 32.9% 29.43 64.56% 0.241 -0.6052 -0.105
Dances Up Earthquakes 110 20.91% 29.31 62.73% 0.479 0.2781 0.147
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8364 28.26% 29.05 78.37% 0.029 -0.2175 -0.43
Downpour Drenches the World 1072 26.96% 25.87 63.9% -0.439 -0.0729 -0.411
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1240 33.31% 29.82 66.77% 0.699 0.1696 0.078
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10433 24.96% 30.81 80.28% 0.384 -0.0335 -0.137
Finder of Paths Unseen 473 32.61% 24.18 56.24% -0.204 0.451 -0.203
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1086 30.88% 31.0 69.98% -0.891 -0.3788 -0.164
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1385 37.58% 29.52 70.69% 0.289 0.2406 0.353
Heart of the Wildfire 3798 45.58% 30.64 71.7% 0.069 0.3792 -0.218
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8701 27.42% 39.36 79.89% 0.395 -0.08 0.424
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 350 23.7% 25.87 51.14% -0.341 -0.6699 -0.79
Lightning's Swift Strike 5825 33.99% 33.0 75.43% 0.191 0.4075 0.312
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1006 23.5% 46.95 68.99% 0.493 0.1687 0.134
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 687 36.42% 32.76 77.73% -0.559 -0.9022 0.62
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1189 30.09% 34.02 67.79% 0.039 0.2619 0.051
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4216 32.7% 34.39 70.54% -0.069 -0.2644 -0.333
Many Minds Move as One 1779 32.22% 31.69 78.13% 0.09 -0.1418 0.557
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7066 33.27% 36.92 76.08% 0.373 0.4719 0.556
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 126 35.71% 33.31 65.08% 0.414 0.4683 0.834
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8395 30.94% 30.8 76.61% -0.199 -0.3098 -0.044
River Surges in Sunlight 6170 29.39% 35.04 77.94% 0.214 0.1751 0.289
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 129 29.6% 26.78 55.04% -0.712 -0.4864 0.162
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1202 31.2% 31.02 72.38% -0.827 -0.6202 -0.565
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 644 32.59% 33.35 69.1% 1.07 0.8839 0.131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4595 32.07% 33.19 72.45% 0.105 -0.0555 0.106
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 48 27.08% 30.52 62.5% 0.307 -0.2032 1.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2412 41.06% 27.47 73.01% -0.305 0.2258 -0.42
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 179 29.38% 27.49 64.8% -0.956 -0.9407 0.144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 272 29.63% 36.93 73.53% 0.651 0.275 0.537
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 210 32.5% 23.75 59.05% -1.037 -0.9315 -1.711
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 567 37.68% 27.96 70.55% -0.08 -0.1954 -0.27
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 463 43.24% 27.33 65.44% -0.759 -0.5785 0.038
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4703 30.49% 35.97 77.35% 0.59 0.5499 0.182
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 519 18.34% 39.74 73.99% 0.894 0.7591 0.495
Shifting Memory of Ages 1220 36.81% 27.68 68.85% -0.302 0.0393 -0.238
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 218 30.88% 27.1 61.01% 0.072 0.1913 0.041
Shroud of Silent Mist 1311 42.84% 28.62 72.23% -0.204 0.1571 -0.279
Starlight Seeks its Form 1456 33.87% 30.76 69.02% -0.227 -0.3138 -0.015
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3560 36.17% 33.17 71.54% 0.23 -0.2868 0.177
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6319 28.53% 30.06 78.83% 0.122 0.2506 0.482
Thunderspeaker 5200 31.47% 35.32 77.12% 0.885 0.8915 0.103
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 240 27.5% 25.99 53.33% -0.266 0.1154 -0.802
Towering Roots of the Jungle 306 35.08% 26.47 62.75% 0.125 0.3026 -0.156
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2238 51.48% 29.89 67.43% 0.392 0.373 -0.226
Vital Strength of the Earth 3724 28.83% 27.56 77.26% -0.107 0.4231 -0.28
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 405 34.77% 26.25 59.51% -0.317 0.1988 0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 578 36.66% 25.35 64.71% -0.507 0.1487 -0.199
Volcano Looming High 1873 41.23% 29.9 71.06% -0.046 0.0053 0.258
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 509 28.63% 28.25 63.26% -0.229 -0.5184 -0.003

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.54%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.22%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.34%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21296 13.93 12.94%
II 61305 30.23 75.84%
III 67825 34.83 92.51%
IV 20457 38.62 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2755
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 61606
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44816
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20188
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10727
Lose: Invader deck ran out 843
Lose: Adversary condition 9738
Win: Sacrifice victory 384
Lose: Scenario condition 1464
Win: Scenario condition 2592
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15421
Lose: Spirit destroyed 349

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.499 Win Model: -0.15

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.046 Win Model: -0.041
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 97163 31.25% 33.84 79.17%
2 41539 37.41% 31.24 74.85%
3 16112 35.86% 32.16 76.18%
4 12439 29.22% 32.81 76.95%
5 721 30.13% 26.79 71.57%
6 2909 14.29% 36.1 67.45%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-05 10:04:38 (Pacific Time)