Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 121 16.53% 24.15 68.6% -0.565 -0.4683 0.358
Blitz 0 1836 32.23% 27.28 71.02% -0.122 0.1107 -1.016
Dahan Insurrection 4 2708 20.73% 51.61 71.09% 0.89 0.6657 0.59
Despicable Theft 2 323 35.91% 31.76 63.78% -0.541 0.1134 0.085
Elemental Invocation 1 410 42.2% 24.95 56.34% -1.005 -0.325 -1.402
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12627 10.74% 50.12 82.05% 1.336 0.7695 1.397
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1014 48.61% 29.9 62.72% -0.782 0.1122 -1.121
Rituals of Terror 3 817 32.23% 39.99 76.5% -0.774 -0.683 0.423
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 476 58.65% 34.97 63.45% -0.652 0.2409 0.072
Second Wave 0 9558 28.86% 31.3 84.06% 0.102 0.2612 0.255
The Great River 3 487 37.04% 30.25 59.96% -0.786 0.3526 -1.272
Varied Terrains 2 336 36.42% 26.29 61.61% -0.355 0.377 -0.951
Ward the Shores 2 1176 36.36% 33.36 64.88% -0.796 0.3345 -0.402

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 92962 30.96% 33.34 79.45% 0.089 0.3607 0.14
1 Thematic 5727 34.72% 39.8 70.42% -0.001 0.6054 -0.06
2 Archipelago 88 32.95% 32.09 71.59% -0.353 0.3205 0.32
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 28523 37.61% 30.78 74.81% -0.156 -0.0556 -0.183
2 Coastline 3939 34.5% 31.32 77.25% -0.253 -0.3308 -0.182
2 Fragment 873 38.0% 28.92 76.29% 1.41 1.1936 -0.01
2 Heart 530 36.7% 29.34 76.98% 0.224 -0.0754 0.226
2 Opposite Shores 5863 34.65% 30.75 74.54% -0.312 -0.2192 -0.687
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.666 0.962 0.0
2 Thematic 2455 43.78% 36.0 62.16% -0.31 0.1351 -0.18
2 Top to Top 868 40.19% 31.25 74.31% -0.104 -0.1626 -0.073
3 Archipelago 69 45.45% 32.97 76.81% -0.578 -1.3983 -0.371
3 Coastline 148 36.49% 33.64 76.35% 0.374 -0.2375 -0.017
3 Other 844 38.63% 33.63 82.35% 0.908 0.1782 0.663
3 Round (Default) 14943 35.59% 31.84 75.94% 0.181 0.101 -0.239
3 Sunrise 80 31.65% 28.77 73.75% 0.517 0.3722 0.84
3 Thematic 658 40.24% 31.51 61.55% -0.916 -0.8823 -0.495
4 Archipelago 56 18.52% 33.21 78.57% -0.545 -0.9171 0.0
4 Coastline 131 13.85% 28.8 90.84% -0.465 -0.3864 0.835
4 Leaf 75 35.14% 27.49 78.67% -0.291 -0.3593 -1.154
4 Other 483 35.67% 31.45 86.13% 0.4 -0.2489 0.49
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3448 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4516 0.0
4 Thematic 1871 29.76% 42.18 78.25% -0.674 -0.6613 -0.283
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10154 29.28% 30.95 75.41% -0.473 -0.5113 -0.754
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 33.43 78.57% 0.369 0.6695 0.384
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 25.62 75.68% 0.064 -0.3174 -0.6
5 Other 772 31.92% 28.95 75.78% 0.092 -0.4712 -0.126
5 Thematic 99 33.67% 37.39 66.67% 0.549 0.1225 -0.233
6 Archipelago 356 1.13% 68.16 80.06% 1.474 0.381 -0.127
6 Coastline 17 6.25% 20.29 41.18% -0.268 -1.0529 -1.816
6 Other 330 14.07% 32.81 75.15% -0.123 -0.2344 -0.324
6 Star 174 25.86% 25.36 68.97% -0.362 -0.1831 -1.232
6 Thematic 1032 12.0% 41.48 60.47% -0.039 0.2714 -1.019
6 Two Centers (Default) 1178 17.65% 24.69 67.4% -0.385 0.21 -1.036
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 13.44 22.22% 0.0 -0.2735 -0.258
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.335
7 Other 32 16.67% 10.5 31.25% -0.383 -0.7448 -1.398

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4005 33.3 58.73% 0.125 0.3337 -0.349
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3627 34.42 60.19% -0.108 -0.1372 -0.031
All Things Weaken 2411 31.44 52.14% -0.818 -0.5099 -0.734
Attenuated Essence 485 29.77 47.42% -0.483 -0.4405 -0.712
Back Against the Wall 3496 32.7 56.32% 0.208 0.2475 -0.26
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 458 29.48 51.09% -0.066 0.0999 -0.603
Burn Brightest Before the End 385 32.2 48.57% -0.049 0.0181 -0.43
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3864 29.99 53.26% 0.129 0.4099 -0.714
Downward Spiral 7019 30.76 63.17% -0.015 0.0921 -0.232
Erosion of Will 4046 32.07 55.73% -0.078 0.165 -0.35
Intensifying Exploitation 454 25.54 43.83% -0.475 -0.2214 -1.102
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1060 35.94 76.89% 0.934 0.3229 0.268
Memory Fades to Dust 7231 30.35 59.23% -0.439 -0.1936 -0.295
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2451 32.33 57.2% -0.061 0.1415 -0.502
Promising Farmlands 3859 29.66 51.96% -0.255 -0.0055 -0.718
Shattered Fragments of Power 367 34.93 57.77% -0.064 0.0201 -0.053
Slow Dissolution of Will 445 29.18 45.84% -0.604 -0.2336 -0.987
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 724 35.96 81.77% 0.325 -0.3416 0.431
The Border of Life and Death 120 33.23 66.67% 0.714 0.1587 -0.05
Thriving Communities 2457 30.3 53.68% -0.315 -0.0826 -0.599
Thriving Crops 203 31.56 63.05% 0.044 -0.1765 -0.256
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.3812 -0.351
Unnatural Proliferation 2654 32.72 55.61% -0.589 -0.3685 -0.587
Untended Land Crumbles 2448 31.4 54.53% -0.126 0.1031 -0.496

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 38323 33.07% 31.4 76.43% 0.006 0.9642 -0.124
B 40848 32.16% 32.41 76.85% 0.215 1.0924 0.094
C 45222 32.36% 33.18 76.93% 0.289 0.9885 0.001
D 35637 32.21% 31.8 77.13% 0.049 0.97 -0.03
E 22847 33.15% 32.05 75.67% 0.157 0.9325 0.201
F 33165 32.82% 30.78 76.37% -0.008 0.8274 -0.137
G 33267 32.53% 31.34 76.57% -0.127 0.6804 -0.073
H 34314 32.22% 31.81 76.67% 0.192 1.0031 -0.023
East 9029 32.98% 40.69 68.12% 0.01 0.8127 -0.079
Northeast 6031 30.95% 41.91 67.78% 0.112 0.84 -0.401
Northwest 4235 30.55% 38.67 67.65% -0.356 0.4925 -0.441
Southeast 2490 24.3% 38.11 66.79% -0.432 0.4013 -0.644
Southwest 2413 24.67% 37.45 65.85% -0.25 1.0129 -0.694
West 6947 34.22% 37.2 67.25% -0.475 0.4896 -0.582

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6525 0.0% 20.75 77.79% -0.965 -0.241 -0.665
Not Using Events or Tokens 23958 21.24% 29.57 83.66% 0.034 0.4052 -0.251
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5011 7.71% 37.18 89.94% 0.505 -0.1251 0.334
Start of Game Growth 7802 10.18% 39.07 88.04% 0.203 -0.3435 0.328
Unlimited Undo 17572 26.62% 34.76 80.83% 0.269 0.1838 0.72
Using Tokens but Not Events 24567 19.92% 32.41 84.08% 0.367 0.3505 -0.313

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7305 26.51% 33.05 74.15% -0.245 -0.3049 -0.456
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 265 37.26% 30.06 60.75% 0.939 0.4697 0.215
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2441 45.07% 28.54 69.64% -0.836 -0.6947 -0.163
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 252 32.93% 29.86 65.48% 0.85 0.0364 -0.071
Dances Up Earthquakes 169 23.67% 29.01 63.91% 0.549 0.5203 0.214
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8589 28.18% 28.81 77.77% -0.139 -0.292 -0.412
Downpour Drenches the World 1149 27.34% 25.43 62.23% -0.671 -0.4492 -0.469
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1339 33.01% 29.57 66.24% 0.091 -0.5243 0.111
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10725 24.91% 30.61 79.68% 0.091 -0.3143 -0.144
Finder of Paths Unseen 505 32.59% 23.46 55.25% -0.657 0.0854 -0.26
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1123 30.76% 30.94 69.55% -0.139 0.5226 -0.206
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1445 37.57% 29.28 69.9% -0.075 -0.2093 0.349
Heart of the Wildfire 3872 45.37% 30.41 71.23% -0.449 -0.1138 -0.214
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8916 27.23% 39.3 79.64% 0.194 -0.2059 0.439
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 387 23.82% 25.91 51.94% -0.436 -0.7634 -0.701
Lightning's Swift Strike 5922 33.94% 32.74 75.09% 0.013 0.253 0.302
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1105 23.02% 47.64 69.14% 0.271 -0.0711 0.164
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 718 35.91% 32.29 76.6% 0.112 -0.1903 0.576
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1251 30.22% 33.82 67.23% -0.083 -0.1818 0.093
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4362 32.57% 34.21 70.45% 0.508 0.302 -0.353
Many Minds Move as One 1817 31.98% 31.48 77.77% -0.062 -0.2882 0.584
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7254 32.89% 36.91 75.68% -0.13 0.0299 0.535
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 225 40.0% 33.89 66.67% 0.36 0.4314 0.89
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8640 30.64% 30.81 76.27% 0.073 -0.0396 -0.032
River Surges in Sunlight 6342 29.16% 35.14 77.67% 0.242 0.3388 0.301
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 148 29.86% 26.24 54.73% -0.634 -0.4795 0.264
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1241 30.88% 30.88 71.64% -0.605 -0.3229 -0.577
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 696 33.04% 33.2 68.25% 0.162 0.0489 0.178
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4668 31.98% 33.17 72.47% 0.873 0.7283 0.131
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 80 25.0% 30.36 66.25% 0.624 0.4716 0.52
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2452 40.99% 27.37 72.84% -0.155 0.3664 -0.425
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 196 30.93% 26.72 61.22% -1.296 -1.4038 0.106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 326 28.09% 36.07 71.78% 0.256 -0.2338 0.58
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 220 31.43% 23.01 57.73% -0.726 -0.8375 -1.687
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 582 37.81% 27.66 70.1% -0.405 -0.4702 -0.269
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 488 42.74% 26.94 64.75% -0.52 -0.3698 0.125
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4760 30.37% 35.87 77.16% 0.348 0.4398 0.209
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 560 17.53% 39.95 74.11% 0.454 0.2949 0.497
Shifting Memory of Ages 1259 36.81% 27.49 68.63% -0.013 0.268 -0.267
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 258 31.52% 25.41 56.59% -0.886 -0.9968 0.121
Shroud of Silent Mist 1372 42.46% 28.46 71.65% 0.113 0.4368 -0.287
Starlight Seeks its Form 1521 33.09% 30.4 68.84% 0.399 0.2846 -0.06
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3633 36.02% 32.97 71.35% 0.532 0.0403 0.211
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6493 28.61% 29.82 78.13% -0.084 0.0558 0.438
Thunderspeaker 5293 31.47% 35.19 76.86% 0.495 0.5409 0.119
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 268 26.49% 28.66 56.72% 0.728 0.8355 -0.548
Towering Roots of the Jungle 368 31.34% 25.71 60.87% -0.166 -0.05 -0.357
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2279 51.26% 29.79 67.35% 0.067 0.1523 -0.226
Vital Strength of the Earth 3805 28.89% 27.37 76.74% -0.059 0.531 -0.281
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 443 34.11% 26.0 59.82% -0.233 0.2424 0.066
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 603 36.7% 25.07 63.85% -0.357 0.3229 -0.184
Volcano Looming High 1954 41.1% 29.66 70.47% 0.07 0.1184 0.231
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 556 29.45% 28.27 62.41% 0.453 0.1372 0.156

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.58%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.26%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.33%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22514 13.51 12.68%
II 62834 30.15 75.67%
III 69304 34.83 92.51%
IV 20859 38.66 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2853
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 62937
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 45805
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20587
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11832
Lose: Invader deck ran out 860
Lose: Adversary condition 9959
Win: Sacrifice victory 389
Lose: Scenario condition 1486
Win: Scenario condition 2686
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15754
Lose: Spirit destroyed 363

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.495 Win Model: -0.154

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.034 Win Model: -0.151
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 99596 31.26% 33.7 78.86%
2 42743 37.35% 31.07 74.35%
3 16575 35.88% 31.96 75.88%
4 12738 29.18% 32.54 76.44%
5 762 29.81% 26.72 70.73%
6 3097 13.84% 36.38 67.1%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-28 04:00:50 (Pacific Time)