Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 22.45% 31.41 87.76% 0.749 0.5605 0.35
Blitz 0 1434 35.47% 29.44 75.45% -0.995 -0.8106 -1.11
Dahan Insurrection 4 2046 23.82% 55.13 75.32% -0.275 -0.5894 0.387
Despicable Theft 2 186 44.09% 37.52 72.58% -0.893 -0.1485 0.192
Elemental Invocation 1 221 47.06% 31.14 73.3% -0.497 0.275 -1.01
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9693 11.22% 50.62 84.04% 1.394 0.7732 1.006
Powers Long Forgotten 1 817 53.87% 32.81 67.32% -0.065 0.4775 -1.105
Rituals of Terror 3 623 36.64% 42.95 79.45% -0.0 0.1067 0.387
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 387 64.16% 39.13 70.28% -1.43 -0.4594 -0.024
Second Wave 0 7562 28.92% 32.08 85.9% 0.293 0.3608 0.252
The Great River 3 332 42.3% 34.78 69.28% -1.594 -0.2968 -0.78
Varied Terrains 2 122 44.26% 29.94 67.21% -0.628 -0.054 -1.0
Ward the Shores 2 928 38.3% 36.66 70.37% -0.972 0.1616 -0.433

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 71875 31.2% 35.24 83.49% 0.069 0.1814 -0.115
1 Thematic 4429 36.87% 41.21 74.89% -0.69 -0.1259 -0.333
2 Archipelago 53 32.08% 37.96 81.13% -0.484 -0.1594 0.684
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21267 38.64% 32.96 80.16% -0.22 -0.1259 -0.26
2 Coastline 2883 35.7% 33.26 80.99% 0.328 0.268 -0.334
2 Fragment 656 37.72% 31.19 80.03% 0.062 -0.0915 0.106
2 Heart 363 37.68% 31.06 81.54% 0.875 0.5529 0.238
2 Opposite Shores 4229 33.47% 32.77 79.95% -0.341 -0.2812 -0.677
2 Thematic 2012 45.76% 38.97 65.95% -0.68 -0.1209 -0.768
2 Top to Top 598 39.76% 32.76 78.6% 0.25 0.1731 -0.144
3 Archipelago 44 45.45% 33.61 77.27% 0.237 -1.3617 -0.528
3 Coastline 107 40.19% 36.32 82.24% 0.729 0.2828 -0.41
3 Other 708 38.63% 35.72 85.73% 0.904 1.4409 0.325
3 Round (Default) 10876 35.94% 33.58 79.42% -0.101 -0.2608 -0.262
3 Sunrise 63 36.51% 31.89 79.37% -0.332 -0.1647 0.725
3 Thematic 495 44.74% 35.47 69.09% 0.117 0.1827 -0.376
4 Archipelago 39 23.68% 36.64 84.62% -0.865 -1.5213 0.0
4 Coastline 69 13.04% 29.7 94.2% 0.269 0.4935 0.49
4 Leaf 52 37.25% 25.81 75.0% -0.292 -0.8328 -1.245
4 Other 388 35.28% 33.17 88.4% 0.65 -0.4664 0.737
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.388 0.0
4 Thematic 1661 30.38% 43.99 79.41% 0.311 0.1374 -0.247
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7607 30.34% 33.59 81.15% -0.113 -0.3154 -0.215
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 -1.1404 0.0
5 Coastline 22 0.0% 31.14 95.45% 0.277 -0.1613 0.0
5 Other 362 29.1% 32.5 86.19% 0.241 -0.2236 0.427
5 Thematic 58 33.33% 38.66 81.03% -0.472 -0.4477 0.137
6 Archipelago 17 6.25% 31.65 82.35% -0.154 0.2147 -0.414
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 23.4 60.0% 0.101 -0.5182 -1.059
6 Other 164 12.96% 38.36 81.1% -0.181 -0.5498 0.344
6 Star 76 30.26% 30.42 81.58% -0.231 -0.0547 -0.118
6 Thematic 438 14.42% 44.45 70.55% -0.695 -0.2224 -0.525
6 Two Centers (Default) 581 14.9% 29.64 81.07% -0.775 -0.693 -0.804
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.25 50.0% -0.319 -0.4229 -0.225
7 Other 7 0.0% 20.14 57.14% -0.472 -1.2356 -1.167

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3309 34.09 59.78% 0.205 0.4032 -0.825
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3044 34.79 60.71% -0.28 -0.3466 -0.536
All Things Weaken 1786 32.27 53.53% -0.582 -0.2145 -1.183
Attenuated Essence 64 27.3 48.44% -0.37 -0.2994 -1.702
Back Against the Wall 2908 33.27 56.43% 0.044 0.1128 -0.753
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 58 30.47 56.9% 0.1 0.3572 -1.473
Burn Brightest Before the End 35 34.74 62.86% 0.25 0.425 -0.76
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3224 30.58 54.06% -0.555 -0.1161 -1.217
Downward Spiral 5685 31.83 64.29% -0.279 -0.0328 -0.755
Erosion of Will 3326 32.82 56.61% -0.326 -0.0081 -0.83
Intensifying Exploitation 61 26.75 45.9% -0.545 -0.2752 -1.066
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 791 37.36 79.39% 0.716 0.2066 -0.245
Memory Fades to Dust 5836 31.35 60.73% -0.143 0.2207 -0.788
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1861 32.93 58.19% -0.535 -0.2983 -0.921
Promising Farmlands 3181 30.5 53.13% -0.476 -0.0154 -1.182
Shattered Fragments of Power 49 36.1 61.22% 0.242 0.2967 0.106
Slow Dissolution of Will 68 27.65 44.12% -0.519 -0.1111 -1.379
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 538 38.18 84.57% 0.333 -0.3097 0.236
The Border of Life and Death 11 22.36 36.36% -0.507 -0.8942 -0.685
Thriving Communities 1820 31.58 55.55% -0.54 -0.1826 -0.96
Thriving Crops 31 32.26 67.74% 0.653 0.538 -0.901
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 -0.1815 -0.838
Unnatural Proliferation 2050 33.68 57.37% -0.182 -0.009 -1.116
Untended Land Crumbles 1834 32.2 55.67% -0.088 0.1602 -1.011

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27965 33.83% 33.23 81.39% -0.23 0.6025 -0.008
B 30374 32.86% 34.33 81.7% -0.099 0.7006 0.22
C 33473 33.03% 35.13 81.58% -0.196 0.4612 0.071
D 26324 33.17% 33.71 81.97% -0.333 0.4607 0.13
E 15251 34.87% 34.52 80.7% 0.051 0.6789 0.301
F 24449 33.43% 33.16 81.79% -0.077 0.6364 0.008
G 24603 33.3% 33.19 81.52% -0.141 0.5975 0.028
H 25343 33.28% 33.64 81.43% -0.35 0.3091 0.097
East 6805 35.95% 42.86 73.05% 0.055 0.6634 0.051
Northeast 4413 34.42% 43.75 73.17% -0.326 0.4229 -0.212
Northwest 3093 34.97% 40.71 72.62% -0.62 0.196 -0.237
Southeast 1523 28.15% 40.78 75.71% -0.769 -0.0407 -0.206
Southwest 1459 29.34% 40.11 75.53% 0.244 1.309 -0.331
West 5226 37.78% 39.58 72.29% -0.694 0.2553 -0.358

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4633 0.0% 23.09 86.45% -0.815 -0.0017 -0.711
Not Using Events or Tokens 18020 20.55% 31.92 89.98% -0.119 0.2174 -0.025
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3930 7.79% 39.47 94.35% 0.345 -0.2886 0.484
Start of Game Growth 6004 10.78% 40.85 92.12% 0.174 -0.116 0.125
Unlimited Undo 13222 27.8% 37.97 87.32% -0.13 -0.1271 0.982
Using Tokens but Not Events 18225 19.65% 33.57 88.47% 0.54 0.4653 -0.274

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5356 100.0% 33.52 100.0% -0.031 -0.182 -0.38
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1998 100.0% 30.78 100.0% -0.723 -0.5997 -0.153
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6508 100.0% 31.37 100.0% -0.094 -0.25 -0.476
Downpour Drenches the World 418 100.0% 30.71 100.0% 0.209 0.3973 -0.073
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 262 100.0% 30.31 100.0% 0.765 -0.0682 -0.47
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8017 100.0% 33.07 100.0% 0.133 -0.4679 0.128
Finder of Paths Unseen 196 100.0% 30.32 100.0% -0.385 0.2834 -0.105
Fractured Days Split the Sky 689 100.0% 35.27 100.0% 0.171 0.7912 0.28
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 714 100.0% 32.34 100.0% -0.148 -0.2382 0.372
Heart of the Wildfire 2958 100.0% 32.12 100.0% -0.224 0.0254 -0.288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7093 100.0% 40.45 100.0% -0.02 -0.4468 0.457
Lightning's Swift Strike 4639 121.03% 36.15 107.5% -0.012 0.2132 0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 298 35.91% 44.47 73.15% 0.686 0.0497 0.426
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 503 36.44% 34.99 80.91% 0.115 -0.0322 0.542
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 751 35.15% 35.72 77.1% -0.484 -0.6056 -0.112
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2797 100.0% 36.97 100.0% -0.042 -0.1822 -0.294
Many Minds Move as One 1288 100.0% 34.13 100.0% 0.092 -0.1049 0.875
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5230 100.0% 36.46 100.0% 0.477 0.4822 0.427
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6317 100.0% 31.54 100.0% 0.12 -0.0211 -0.215
River Surges in Sunlight 4728 114.87% 34.39 105.27% 0.136 0.202 0.129
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 863 34.01% 33.12 78.45% -0.871 -0.6359 -0.543
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 233 33.33% 34.82 72.96% 0.136 0.0185 0.428
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3651 100.0% 35.64 100.0% -0.322 -0.5647 0.164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1993 126.28% 29.5 112.54% -0.289 0.215 -0.071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 26.47% 35.1 73.91% 0.078 0.0223 0.643
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 29.47% 28.39 68.04% -0.938 -0.9705 -1.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 412 42.68% 30.91 75.73% 0.516 0.4626 -0.439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 361 47.85% 30.55 72.02% -0.058 0.0711 0.228
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4065 101.55% 37.87 100.44% 0.371 0.2286 0.099
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 77 18.18% 39.09 76.62% 0.706 0.2558 0.332
Shifting Memory of Ages 780 100.0% 31.12 100.0% -0.106 0.2782 -0.083
Shroud of Silent Mist 790 100.0% 32.23 100.0% -0.111 0.1722 0.006
Starlight Seeks its Form 754 100.0% 34.06 100.0% 0.396 0.1614 0.221
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2604 100.0% 35.42 100.0% -0.032 -0.532 0.209
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4979 100.0% 32.32 100.0% -0.24 -0.1916 0.427
Thunderspeaker 4253 101.03% 36.78 100.47% 0.392 0.3835 -0.039
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 52 15.38% 29.67 61.54% -0.194 -0.3192 -0.75
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1771 100.0% 31.06 100.0% 0.093 0.1746 -0.239
Vital Strength of the Earth 2948 110.69% 29.25 104.85% -0.481 0.0686 -0.301
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 143 38.13% 33.42 73.43% 0.625 0.8533 -0.059
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 388 38.4% 28.18 72.94% -0.803 0.0725 -0.891
Volcano Looming High 1143 100.0% 33.1 100.0% 0.209 0.1924 0.276

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 77.86%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 84.68%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11243 20.63 19.65%
II 49268 31.02 77.21%
III 55181 34.75 92.74%
IV 16583 38.05 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2208
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 50227
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36625
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16354
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1510
Lose: Invader deck ran out 688
Lose: Adversary condition 8014
Win: Sacrifice victory 310
Lose: Scenario condition 1235
Win: Scenario condition 2193
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12627
Lose: Spirit destroyed 284

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.384 Win Model: -0.14

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.145 Win Model: -0.114
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 76834 31.62% 35.6 82.98%
2 31905 38.17% 33.24 79.29%
3 12164 36.34% 33.8 79.49%
4 9808 30.17% 35.23 81.23%
5 291 24.13% 29.7 82.82%
6 1273 15.19% 36.23 77.53%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-07 04:03:52 (Pacific Time)