Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 118 16.1% 24.25 67.8% -0.726 -0.6822 0.342
Blitz 0 1806 32.54% 27.37 71.15% -0.493 -0.292 -1.011
Dahan Insurrection 4 2644 21.01% 51.64 70.69% 0.122 -0.1949 0.59
Despicable Theft 2 318 35.53% 31.82 63.84% -0.607 0.1511 0.052
Elemental Invocation 1 398 41.71% 24.89 56.78% -1.185 -0.498 -1.398
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12456 10.81% 50.09 82.11% 1.326 0.7245 1.383
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1006 48.5% 29.98 62.82% -1.104 -0.2414 -1.11
Rituals of Terror 3 815 32.32% 40.03 76.56% -0.738 -0.6353 0.416
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 464 59.09% 35.12 63.36% -1.022 -0.0702 0.07
Second Wave 0 9439 28.92% 31.34 84.15% 0.226 0.4233 0.274
The Great River 3 482 37.21% 30.21 60.17% -0.803 0.2469 -1.258
Varied Terrains 2 321 36.56% 26.01 60.75% -0.574 0.2481 -0.956
Ward the Shores 2 1141 36.69% 33.67 65.29% -1.259 -0.0924 -0.43

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 91612 30.97% 33.41 79.64% 0.356 0.6677 0.11
1 Thematic 5668 34.78% 39.85 70.5% 0.217 0.8067 -0.083
2 Archipelago 86 33.72% 32.56 72.09% -0.6 0.1898 0.321
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 28073 37.62% 30.85 75.05% -0.039 0.0752 -0.196
2 Coastline 3896 34.62% 31.42 77.41% -0.173 -0.34 -0.181
2 Fragment 859 38.0% 28.99 76.02% 0.813 0.591 -0.015
2 Heart 523 36.81% 29.41 77.06% 0.247 -0.2374 0.205
2 Opposite Shores 5749 34.63% 30.89 74.85% 0.126 0.161 -0.699
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.603 0.9252 0.0
2 Thematic 2426 44.14% 36.11 62.28% -0.458 -0.0699 -0.207
2 Top to Top 853 40.31% 31.42 74.79% 0.136 -0.0383 -0.065
3 Archipelago 69 45.45% 32.97 76.81% -0.471 -1.4857 -0.398
3 Coastline 147 36.73% 33.71 76.19% 0.49 -0.3893 -0.032
3 Other 831 38.51% 33.83 82.55% 0.929 0.2628 0.634
3 Round (Default) 14683 35.58% 31.93 76.06% 0.263 0.171 -0.272
3 Sunrise 78 32.47% 28.51 73.08% 0.364 0.2476 0.82
3 Thematic 648 40.56% 31.75 61.73% -1.304 -1.3815 -0.514
4 Archipelago 56 18.52% 33.21 78.57% -0.616 -0.9842 0.0
4 Coastline 129 13.28% 28.94 91.47% 0.0 0.0095 0.831
4 Leaf 75 35.14% 27.49 78.67% -0.353 -0.465 -1.175
4 Other 475 35.85% 31.68 86.53% 0.405 -0.2863 0.473
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7261 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2348 0.0
4 Thematic 1862 29.69% 42.25 78.36% -0.34 -0.4889 -0.301
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9982 29.35% 31.15 75.86% -0.45 -0.6901 -0.78
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 33.43 78.57% -0.625 0.6985 0.314
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 25.62 75.68% 0.0 -0.4875 -0.601
5 Other 749 31.97% 29.08 76.37% 0.837 0.0842 -0.147
5 Thematic 96 34.74% 37.52 67.71% 0.494 -0.0419 -0.176
6 Archipelago 323 1.24% 67.32 79.26% 0.817 -0.0863 -0.142
6 Coastline 17 6.25% 20.29 41.18% -0.225 -1.0065 -1.826
6 Other 311 14.29% 33.85 76.53% 0.163 -0.1513 -0.28
6 Star 167 25.75% 25.26 69.46% -1.107 -0.6701 -1.195
6 Thematic 999 12.1% 41.44 60.46% 0.186 0.1989 -0.996
6 Two Centers (Default) 1148 18.12% 25.12 68.64% -0.051 0.19 -1.011
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 13.44 22.22% -0.462 -0.5388 -0.264
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.348
7 Other 32 16.67% 10.5 31.25% -0.397 -1.7051 -1.434

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3956 33.32 58.82% 0.284 0.3683 -0.364
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3598 34.45 60.2% -0.007 -0.0912 -0.047
All Things Weaken 2364 31.51 52.2% -0.584 -0.3269 -0.743
Attenuated Essence 453 29.62 47.46% -0.222 -0.2388 -0.746
Back Against the Wall 3475 32.69 56.26% 0.125 0.1726 -0.283
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 426 29.5 50.94% 0.12 0.2772 -0.744
Burn Brightest Before the End 356 32.24 49.44% 0.179 0.1875 -0.398
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3832 29.97 53.24% -0.045 0.1515 -0.746
Downward Spiral 6939 30.81 63.15% -0.06 0.0218 -0.244
Erosion of Will 3996 32.09 55.81% -0.164 0.0065 -0.387
Intensifying Exploitation 430 25.4 43.72% -0.787 -0.6413 -1.129
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1049 35.86 76.84% 0.935 0.3062 0.213
Memory Fades to Dust 7145 30.42 59.4% -0.208 -0.0085 -0.302
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2413 32.41 57.36% 0.152 0.3508 -0.509
Promising Farmlands 3819 29.68 51.92% -0.404 -0.2075 -0.728
Shattered Fragments of Power 350 34.95 58.29% 0.396 0.4039 -0.075
Slow Dissolution of Will 419 29.04 45.58% -0.387 -0.1116 -1.12
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 714 36.09 81.93% 0.199 -0.5148 0.454
The Border of Life and Death 109 32.78 65.14% 0.747 0.2393 -0.153
Thriving Communities 2421 30.28 53.61% -0.055 0.1174 -0.629
Thriving Crops 190 31.38 63.16% 1.262 0.9556 -0.254
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.4041 -0.369
Unnatural Proliferation 2613 32.75 55.72% -0.603 -0.4858 -0.632
Untended Land Crumbles 2408 31.48 54.69% 0.057 0.2281 -0.508

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 37653 33.11% 31.46 76.71% -0.078 0.8739 -0.129
B 40180 32.23% 32.5 77.08% 0.02 0.8821 0.105
C 44468 32.46% 33.27 77.18% 0.073 0.736 0.004
D 35021 32.26% 31.9 77.43% -0.123 0.7521 -0.024
E 22356 33.22% 32.19 76.01% 0.132 0.8396 0.198
F 32602 32.83% 30.89 76.65% -0.207 0.6039 -0.147
G 32724 32.59% 31.41 76.85% -0.218 0.5406 -0.059
H 33774 32.28% 31.86 76.87% -0.086 0.6753 -0.027
East 8922 33.12% 40.75 68.2% -0.054 0.7598 -0.061
Northeast 5957 31.1% 41.94 67.85% 0.041 0.8051 -0.413
Northwest 4172 30.87% 38.75 67.86% -0.343 0.4094 -0.438
Southeast 2431 24.48% 38.15 66.89% -0.533 0.3296 -0.629
Southwest 2354 24.78% 37.57 66.23% 0.015 1.276 -0.695
West 6850 34.47% 37.26 67.45% -0.331 0.6356 -0.585

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6425 0.0% 20.85 78.24% -0.814 -0.1344 -0.682
Not Using Events or Tokens 23597 21.2% 29.67 83.93% -0.013 0.3902 -0.25
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4950 7.76% 37.33 90.18% 1.039 0.2679 0.409
Start of Game Growth 7706 10.24% 39.18 88.22% 0.071 -0.3918 0.33
Unlimited Undo 17325 26.68% 34.87 80.96% 0.127 0.0581 0.725
Using Tokens but Not Events 24086 19.94% 32.4 84.26% 0.373 0.3182 -0.353

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7172 26.55% 33.07 74.54% -0.179 -0.2765 -0.429
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 230 37.72% 30.12 61.3% 0.919 0.391 0.194
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2427 45.33% 28.68 69.96% -0.679 -0.4819 -0.135
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 242 33.05% 29.66 64.88% 0.428 -0.4591 -0.104
Dances Up Earthquakes 131 22.9% 29.4 62.6% 0.387 0.2778 -0.046
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8467 28.31% 28.97 78.01% -0.287 -0.4911 -0.406
Downpour Drenches the World 1106 27.41% 25.79 63.29% -0.346 -0.036 -0.434
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1277 33.2% 29.6 66.25% 0.355 -0.2153 0.049
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10552 24.96% 30.76 80.07% 0.248 -0.1736 -0.131
Finder of Paths Unseen 484 32.14% 23.82 55.79% -0.419 0.2465 -0.199
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1104 30.83% 31.05 69.75% -0.532 0.015 -0.158
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1406 37.47% 29.36 70.34% 0.047 -0.0348 0.343
Heart of the Wildfire 3819 45.5% 30.6 71.62% -0.156 0.1525 -0.2
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8788 27.39% 39.34 79.77% 0.39 -0.0378 0.436
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 362 22.91% 25.94 51.93% -0.232 -0.5305 -0.776
Lightning's Swift Strike 5857 33.93% 32.91 75.28% -0.024 0.2319 0.318
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1033 23.66% 47.26 69.12% 0.324 -0.0068 0.154
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 698 36.32% 32.62 77.51% -0.236 -0.6135 0.636
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1217 30.13% 34.0 67.79% 0.206 0.2873 0.073
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4276 32.69% 34.34 70.56% 0.068 -0.1258 -0.326
Many Minds Move as One 1791 32.23% 31.67 78.11% 0.231 0.026 0.585
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7127 33.14% 36.93 75.98% 0.073 0.236 0.554
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 172 35.47% 33.72 68.6% 0.438 0.4705 0.866
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8489 30.88% 30.76 76.37% -0.294 -0.4066 -0.025
River Surges in Sunlight 6241 29.33% 35.03 77.87% 0.383 0.4002 0.307
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 133 28.68% 26.67 55.64% -0.698 -0.4114 0.179
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1219 31.09% 31.03 72.19% -0.742 -0.5378 -0.578
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 664 33.59% 33.25 68.83% 0.509 0.3101 0.148
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4628 32.04% 33.21 72.54% 0.706 0.5625 0.129
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 65 26.15% 29.45 66.15% 0.586 0.2089 0.789
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2425 40.98% 27.43 72.95% -0.473 0.1013 -0.412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 189 31.02% 27.06 61.9% -1.292 -1.3452 0.105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 289 28.22% 37.01 73.7% 0.828 0.3898 0.546
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 219 31.58% 23.12 57.99% -1.093 -1.0779 -1.698
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 575 37.92% 27.84 70.26% -0.094 -0.1486 -0.259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 480 43.04% 27.13 65.0% -0.481 -0.2885 0.134
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4728 30.43% 35.9 77.24% 0.574 0.6268 0.21
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 539 17.84% 39.81 74.03% 0.501 0.3621 0.498
Shifting Memory of Ages 1228 36.89% 27.61 68.73% -0.446 -0.1234 -0.228
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 232 31.6% 26.96 60.34% -0.169 -0.126 0.162
Shroud of Silent Mist 1337 42.67% 28.54 72.03% -0.234 0.1354 -0.271
Starlight Seeks its Form 1477 33.72% 30.61 68.79% -0.139 -0.2119 -0.02
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3583 36.08% 33.12 71.53% 0.439 -0.0491 0.205
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6380 28.5% 29.97 78.62% 0.189 0.3496 0.477
Thunderspeaker 5243 31.54% 35.25 76.96% 0.584 0.6205 0.124
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 252 26.59% 26.62 54.76% 0.163 0.3501 -0.703
Towering Roots of the Jungle 330 34.35% 26.41 61.82% -0.164 -0.0251 -0.283
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2251 51.36% 29.89 67.53% 0.568 0.5876 -0.209
Vital Strength of the Earth 3761 28.89% 27.5 77.08% -0.066 0.5149 -0.267
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 422 35.04% 26.05 59.0% -0.585 -0.0987 0.111
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 585 36.74% 25.36 64.62% -0.262 0.3439 -0.188
Volcano Looming High 1909 41.34% 29.87 71.03% 0.225 0.2612 0.238
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 521 28.16% 28.23 63.34% -0.148 -0.4974 -0.027

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.56%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.23%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.33%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21793 13.74 12.83%
II 61916 30.19 75.74%
III 68444 34.82 92.51%
IV 20644 38.64 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2794
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 62166
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 45207
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20373
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11172
Lose: Invader deck ran out 851
Lose: Adversary condition 9826
Win: Sacrifice victory 387
Lose: Scenario condition 1475
Win: Scenario condition 2612
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15580
Lose: Spirit destroyed 354

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.381 Win Model: -0.163

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.075 Win Model: -0.057
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 98165 31.28% 33.77 79.05%
2 42080 37.39% 31.15 74.58%
3 16292 35.88% 32.06 76.01%
4 12548 29.21% 32.73 76.83%
5 736 30.06% 26.9 71.47%
6 2976 14.17% 36.27 67.51%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-14 03:10:23 (Pacific Time)