Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 49 22.45% 31.41 87.76% 0.873 0.6691 0.329
Blitz 0 1429 35.38% 29.48 75.65% -0.721 -0.5683 -1.046
Dahan Insurrection 4 2036 23.89% 55.17 75.39% -0.324 -0.5639 0.385
Despicable Theft 2 185 44.32% 37.72 72.97% -0.826 -0.0501 0.187
Elemental Invocation 1 219 47.03% 31.29 73.52% -0.296 0.4869 -1.012
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9630 11.24% 50.62 84.06% 1.283 0.6678 0.998
Powers Long Forgotten 1 813 53.89% 32.86 67.53% 0.014 0.5265 -1.107
Rituals of Terror 3 617 36.33% 42.98 79.42% -0.325 -0.2566 0.374
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 386 64.32% 39.23 70.47% -1.462 -0.4619 -0.024
Second Wave 0 7531 28.91% 32.08 85.94% 0.241 0.3069 0.244
The Great River 3 330 41.95% 34.75 69.39% -1.623 -0.2687 -0.758
Varied Terrains 2 118 44.92% 30.08 67.8% -0.586 -0.0404 -0.993
Ward the Shores 2 922 38.34% 36.73 70.5% -1.016 0.1343 -0.434

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 71522 31.23% 35.28 83.59% 0.082 0.3065 -0.108
1 Thematic 4416 36.93% 41.23 74.95% -0.662 -0.0401 -0.327
2 Archipelago 53 32.08% 37.96 81.13% -0.529 -0.1159 0.681
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21171 38.7% 32.98 80.21% -0.234 -0.0853 -0.267
2 Coastline 2857 35.82% 33.29 80.96% 0.166 0.199 -0.341
2 Fragment 653 37.84% 31.27 80.09% 0.09 0.0096 0.059
2 Heart 361 37.61% 31.1 81.72% 1.043 0.6897 0.241
2 Opposite Shores 4197 33.31% 32.88 80.25% -0.262 -0.1565 -0.677
2 Thematic 2004 45.8% 39.05 66.07% -0.642 0.0382 -0.766
2 Top to Top 597 39.66% 32.78 78.56% 0.252 0.2379 -0.146
3 Archipelago 44 45.45% 33.61 77.27% 0.167 -1.2448 -0.555
3 Coastline 106 39.62% 36.2 82.08% 0.216 -0.268 -0.422
3 Other 708 38.63% 35.72 85.73% 0.836 1.0107 0.314
3 Round (Default) 10806 35.93% 33.61 79.59% -0.119 -0.2467 -0.27
3 Sunrise 63 36.51% 31.89 79.37% -0.291 -0.1499 0.719
3 Thematic 492 44.4% 35.37 69.11% -0.122 -0.0914 -0.479
4 Archipelago 39 23.68% 36.64 84.62% -0.755 -1.3302 0.0
4 Coastline 67 13.43% 29.84 94.03% 0.0 0.3094 0.471
4 Leaf 52 37.25% 25.81 75.0% -0.268 -0.8943 -1.26
4 Other 387 35.37% 33.26 88.63% 0.832 -0.2315 0.721
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.4584 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3966 0.0
4 Thematic 1652 30.43% 43.93 79.48% 0.234 0.1565 -0.276
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7585 30.31% 33.61 81.2% -0.157 -0.4038 -0.244
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 -1.0477 0.0
5 Coastline 21 0.0% 31.43 95.24% 0.264 0.1541 0.0
5 Other 357 28.94% 32.67 86.27% 0.309 -0.3126 0.408
5 Thematic 58 33.33% 38.66 81.03% -0.542 -0.6639 0.117
6 Archipelago 17 6.25% 31.65 82.35% -0.182 -0.0005 -0.423
6 Coastline 4 0.0% 29.25 75.0% 0.235 -0.6135 -0.648
6 Other 162 13.13% 38.22 80.86% -0.145 -0.6165 0.317
6 Star 76 30.26% 30.42 81.58% -0.152 -0.1101 -0.126
6 Thematic 427 14.32% 44.7 71.43% -0.572 -0.2235 -0.509
6 Two Centers (Default) 570 14.81% 29.72 81.58% -0.775 -0.883 -0.827
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.25 50.0% -0.112 -0.4826 -0.219
7 Other 7 0.0% 20.14 57.14% -0.473 -1.4127 -1.187

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3301 34.11 59.83% 0.191 0.4018 -0.832
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3035 34.83 60.79% -0.356 -0.3877 -0.541
All Things Weaken 1778 32.31 53.66% -0.703 -0.2908 -1.19
Attenuated Essence 53 27.74 47.17% -0.425 -0.2726 -1.645
Back Against the Wall 2899 33.29 56.43% 0.004 0.1113 -0.756
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 51 28.49 52.94% -0.058 0.2798 -1.469
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 33.83 62.07% 0.056 0.2932 -0.887
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3217 30.58 54.06% -0.751 -0.2794 -1.229
Downward Spiral 5671 31.83 64.29% -0.53 -0.2431 -0.765
Erosion of Will 3312 32.86 56.76% -0.237 0.1118 -0.833
Intensifying Exploitation 56 26.54 44.64% -0.652 -0.3058 -1.259
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 788 37.35 79.31% 0.757 0.2291 -0.254
Memory Fades to Dust 5811 31.37 60.71% -0.294 0.1232 -0.797
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1853 32.99 58.39% -0.288 -0.0292 -0.924
Promising Farmlands 3172 30.53 53.15% -0.484 0.0344 -1.183
Shattered Fragments of Power 41 37.95 65.85% 0.332 0.4412 -0.141
Slow Dissolution of Will 61 28.1 42.62% -0.613 -0.1399 -1.384
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 535 38.37 84.86% 0.589 -0.0276 0.252
The Border of Life and Death 11 22.36 36.36% -0.551 -0.8538 -0.687
Thriving Communities 1812 31.57 55.63% -0.635 -0.2344 -0.976
Thriving Crops 30 32.03 66.67% 0.584 0.5563 -0.908
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 -0.1615 -0.846
Unnatural Proliferation 2041 33.7 57.47% -0.14 0.0967 -1.114
Untended Land Crumbles 1822 32.23 55.71% -0.247 0.054 -1.021

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27829 33.84% 33.25 81.46% -0.224 0.6262 -0.006
B 30250 32.87% 34.35 81.78% -0.021 0.7917 0.226
C 33304 33.04% 35.17 81.68% -0.133 0.5511 0.078
D 26164 33.15% 33.74 82.07% -0.299 0.5255 0.14
E 15109 34.93% 34.55 80.83% 0.053 0.7008 0.304
F 24323 33.47% 33.21 81.9% -0.021 0.725 0.035
G 24481 33.33% 33.23 81.62% -0.124 0.6426 0.033
H 25222 33.28% 33.68 81.57% -0.288 0.3932 0.109
East 6768 35.97% 42.87 73.15% -0.06 0.584 0.049
Northeast 4389 34.47% 43.78 73.32% -0.25 0.569 -0.214
Northwest 3066 35.12% 40.79 72.9% -0.491 0.2405 -0.25
Southeast 1505 28.15% 40.73 75.95% -0.976 -0.2455 -0.239
Southwest 1444 29.44% 40.11 75.83% 0.422 1.5159 -0.33
West 5190 37.85% 39.61 72.47% -0.733 0.22 -0.367

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4615 0.0% 23.14 86.67% -0.84 -0.0057 -0.71
Not Using Events or Tokens 17922 20.56% 31.95 90.13% 0.004 0.3336 -0.015
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3917 7.79% 39.48 94.38% 0.357 -0.2287 0.472
Start of Game Growth 5974 10.76% 40.88 92.17% 0.149 -0.1215 0.121
Unlimited Undo 13158 27.83% 37.99 87.36% -0.215 -0.2214 0.977
Using Tokens but Not Events 18132 19.67% 33.6 88.55% 0.53 0.4603 -0.271

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5335 100.0% 33.55 100.0% -0.026 -0.1742 -0.386
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1989 100.0% 30.84 100.0% -0.682 -0.5741 -0.151
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6472 100.0% 31.44 100.0% -0.098 -0.2675 -0.479
Downpour Drenches the World 406 100.0% 30.64 100.0% 0.063 0.2577 -0.152
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 246 100.0% 30.77 100.0% 0.706 -0.0758 -0.443
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7973 100.0% 33.13 100.0% 0.153 -0.4348 0.122
Finder of Paths Unseen 192 100.0% 30.68 100.0% -0.308 0.3758 -0.007
Fractured Days Split the Sky 683 100.0% 35.41 100.0% 0.144 0.7944 0.274
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 701 100.0% 32.55 100.0% 0.068 -0.0196 0.354
Heart of the Wildfire 2928 100.0% 32.08 100.0% -0.294 -0.0396 -0.287
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7056 100.0% 40.48 100.0% -0.027 -0.4505 0.455
Lightning's Swift Strike 4621 120.87% 36.17 107.38% 0.052 0.2835 0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 289 36.33% 44.41 73.01% 0.624 -0.0435 0.423
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 501 36.38% 35.03 81.04% 0.18 -0.0353 0.543
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 745 35.03% 35.83 77.45% -0.552 -0.678 -0.082
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2775 100.0% 37.05 100.0% 0.051 -0.0806 -0.299
Many Minds Move as One 1284 100.0% 34.13 100.0% -0.004 -0.2038 0.874
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5195 100.0% 36.45 100.0% 0.394 0.3846 0.432
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6294 100.0% 31.55 100.0% 0.039 -0.1088 -0.236
River Surges in Sunlight 4687 114.79% 34.42 105.18% 0.15 0.1851 0.11
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 856 34.13% 33.2 78.62% -0.745 -0.4813 -0.539
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 224 32.88% 34.58 73.21% 0.007 -0.1061 0.378
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3637 100.0% 35.68 100.0% -0.458 -0.6814 0.159
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1986 126.02% 29.52 112.29% -0.294 0.1715 -0.069
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 65 26.56% 35.83 75.38% 0.174 0.148 0.629
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 93 27.47% 28.85 70.97% -0.842 -0.8966 -1.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 407 42.71% 30.95 75.43% 0.593 0.5422 -0.447
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 360 47.7% 30.59 71.94% 0.139 0.1918 0.225
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4056 101.38% 37.86 100.39% 0.319 0.1981 0.092
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 66 15.15% 39.21 75.76% 0.669 0.2442 0.358
Shifting Memory of Ages 771 100.0% 31.18 100.0% -0.193 0.1946 -0.103
Shroud of Silent Mist 784 100.0% 32.27 100.0% -0.044 0.2678 0.047
Starlight Seeks its Form 746 100.0% 34.09 100.0% 0.407 0.1476 0.176
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2593 100.0% 35.42 100.0% -0.253 -0.7475 0.195
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4954 100.0% 32.38 100.0% -0.233 -0.1819 0.451
Thunderspeaker 4237 100.97% 36.78 100.45% 0.445 0.4267 -0.042
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 48 14.58% 27.4 60.42% -0.396 -0.5003 -0.693
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1769 100.0% 31.06 100.0% 0.033 0.081 -0.238
Vital Strength of the Earth 2939 110.59% 29.24 104.7% -0.513 0.033 -0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 139 38.52% 33.74 74.1% 0.757 1.0332 -0.04
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 385 38.34% 28.34 73.51% -0.627 0.257 -0.886
Volcano Looming High 1135 100.0% 33.11 100.0% 0.231 0.2491 0.278

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 77.83%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 84.68%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11070 20.82 19.83%
II 49043 31.03 77.24%
III 54956 34.74 92.76%
IV 16533 38.03 99.44%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2194
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 50034
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36470
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16304
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1352
Lose: Invader deck ran out 684
Lose: Adversary condition 7987
Win: Sacrifice victory 309
Lose: Scenario condition 1231
Win: Scenario condition 2185
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12570
Lose: Spirit destroyed 282

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.449 Win Model: -0.142

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.162 Win Model: -0.108
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 76463 31.64% 35.64 83.08%
2 31742 38.2% 33.28 79.36%
3 12090 36.32% 33.82 79.64%
4 9775 30.15% 35.24 81.29%
5 285 23.93% 29.88 82.81%
6 1247 15.17% 36.3 78.11%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-03 04:12:43 (Pacific Time)