Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 108 14.81% 25.39 71.3% -0.648 -1.0591 0.322
Blitz 0 1783 32.62% 27.47 71.28% -0.001 0.3173 -1.034
Dahan Insurrection 4 2598 21.19% 51.67 70.63% 0.268 -0.1616 0.55
Despicable Theft 2 311 35.69% 32.15 64.31% -0.691 -0.0555 0.021
Elemental Invocation 1 383 42.04% 25.15 57.44% -0.987 -0.3176 -1.337
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12239 10.82% 50.08 82.29% 1.606 0.9879 1.361
Powers Long Forgotten 1 992 48.79% 30.21 63.21% -1.049 -0.4226 -1.098
Rituals of Terror 3 805 32.6% 40.24 76.89% -0.044 -0.0569 0.384
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 456 59.69% 35.45 63.82% -0.105 0.6367 0.054
Second Wave 0 9310 28.92% 31.4 84.27% 0.503 0.6136 0.281
The Great River 3 471 37.66% 30.44 60.51% -0.393 0.6046 -1.411
Varied Terrains 2 304 36.3% 26.22 61.51% -0.156 0.6321 -0.935
Ward the Shores 2 1131 36.93% 33.86 65.69% -0.552 0.44 -0.492

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 89890 30.92% 33.54 79.89% 0.516 0.8436 0.098
1 Thematic 5548 34.97% 39.97 70.84% 0.551 1.1681 -0.077
2 Archipelago 84 33.33% 32.81 72.62% -0.906 -0.2663 0.317
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27445 37.68% 30.98 75.5% 0.116 0.2561 -0.179
2 Coastline 3811 34.61% 31.59 77.83% 0.273 0.0596 -0.144
2 Fragment 846 38.24% 29.02 75.89% 0.418 0.3563 0.006
2 Heart 512 37.22% 29.47 76.76% 0.276 -0.0378 0.162
2 Opposite Shores 5589 34.3% 31.1 75.47% 0.284 0.3618 -0.654
2 Thematic 2391 44.28% 36.31 62.4% -0.157 0.3567 -0.246
2 Top to Top 823 39.83% 31.64 75.46% 0.476 0.3809 -0.012
3 Archipelago 68 46.15% 33.46 77.94% 0.165 -0.7902 -0.431
3 Coastline 145 36.55% 34.17 77.24% 0.551 -0.2207 -0.034
3 Other 825 38.42% 33.95 82.67% 0.385 -0.3863 0.57
3 Round (Default) 14398 35.6% 32.06 76.25% 0.155 0.1148 -0.293
3 Sunrise 78 32.47% 28.51 73.08% -0.094 -0.5647 0.82
3 Thematic 622 41.94% 32.41 63.18% -0.494 -0.8425 -0.423
4 Archipelago 55 18.87% 33.82 80.0% -0.932 -0.7022 0.0
4 Coastline 123 13.11% 28.99 91.06% 0.0 -0.1216 0.85
4 Leaf 73 36.11% 27.97 79.45% 0.0 0.5998 -1.174
4 Other 467 35.96% 31.89 86.94% 0.83 0.0825 0.463
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0986 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1852 29.85% 42.33 78.51% 0.605 0.6052 -0.323
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9833 29.26% 31.26 76.03% -0.557 -0.5934 -0.793
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 33.43 78.57% -0.675 -0.1864 0.341
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 25.62 75.68% 0.288 -0.3393 -0.584
5 Other 732 32.45% 28.98 76.37% 0.319 0.0548 -0.171
5 Thematic 92 34.07% 36.83 67.39% -1.228 -1.2166 -0.21
6 Archipelago 303 0.99% 66.73 78.55% 0.114 -0.7992 -0.164
6 Coastline 16 6.67% 21.56 43.75% 0.046 -1.0715 -1.814
6 Other 299 14.86% 34.0 76.92% 0.372 0.23 -0.24
6 Star 162 25.31% 25.66 69.75% -0.848 -0.0397 -1.208
6 Thematic 970 12.25% 41.05 60.31% -0.539 -0.6233 -1.041
6 Two Centers (Default) 1096 17.63% 25.04 69.16% -0.721 -0.445 -1.109
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 13.44 22.22% -0.257 -0.4924 -0.249
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.333
7 Other 30 17.86% 11.2 33.33% -0.597 -1.4852 -1.285

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3897 33.33 58.74% 0.044 0.0724 -0.414
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3555 34.54 60.31% 0.775 0.6287 -0.074
All Things Weaken 2315 31.74 52.74% 0.404 0.5453 -0.748
Attenuated Essence 415 30.13 48.43% 0.025 0.0226 -0.748
Back Against the Wall 3434 32.71 56.26% 0.008 -0.0205 -0.322
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 385 29.11 50.13% 0.046 0.2324 -0.889
Burn Brightest Before the End 327 31.99 49.24% -0.204 -0.1991 -0.496
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3772 30.03 53.18% -0.424 -0.1652 -0.773
Downward Spiral 6832 30.87 63.19% -0.303 -0.2357 -0.275
Erosion of Will 3929 32.14 55.84% -0.364 -0.2027 -0.419
Intensifying Exploitation 403 25.65 44.17% -0.809 -0.7199 -1.074
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1018 35.86 76.72% 0.606 0.0749 0.147
Memory Fades to Dust 7032 30.49 59.53% -0.085 0.1246 -0.316
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2357 32.56 57.28% 0.164 0.2565 -0.519
Promising Farmlands 3759 29.8 52.11% -0.601 -0.3502 -0.74
Shattered Fragments of Power 318 34.81 58.81% 1.158 1.2251 -0.157
Slow Dissolution of Will 377 29.31 47.21% -0.623 -0.2311 -1.173
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 695 36.38 82.16% 0.374 -0.297 0.463
The Border of Life and Death 101 32.33 64.36% -0.188 -0.595 -0.189
Thriving Communities 2370 30.42 53.76% 0.192 0.4109 -0.649
Thriving Crops 177 31.68 63.28% 1.008 0.7608 -0.22
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.5874 -0.396
Unnatural Proliferation 2559 32.91 56.0% -0.298 -0.2528 -0.637
Untended Land Crumbles 2352 31.56 54.76% -0.246 -0.0379 -0.539

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 36814 33.13% 31.57 77.04% -0.01 0.9292 -0.11
B 39388 32.19% 32.62 77.35% 0.09 0.9464 0.099
C 43532 32.4% 33.37 77.44% -0.219 0.4787 -0.009
D 34281 32.23% 32.04 77.74% 0.135 0.9831 -0.011
E 21817 33.16% 32.34 76.37% 0.166 0.8378 0.199
F 31965 32.84% 31.01 76.93% -0.039 0.7444 -0.147
G 32087 32.6% 31.54 77.2% -0.02 0.7356 -0.063
H 33112 32.31% 31.96 77.13% -0.003 0.719 -0.027
East 8747 33.38% 40.86 68.5% -0.046 0.754 -0.03
Northeast 5830 31.42% 41.99 68.15% -0.289 0.526 -0.424
Northwest 4086 31.25% 38.82 68.09% 0.275 1.0611 -0.388
Southeast 2370 24.65% 38.16 67.22% -0.464 0.4102 -0.574
Southwest 2300 25.01% 37.59 66.61% -0.171 1.1741 -0.682
West 6720 34.73% 37.39 67.75% -0.567 0.3261 -0.575

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6257 0.0% 20.96 78.62% -1.132 -0.4486 -0.715
Not Using Events or Tokens 23142 21.1% 29.83 84.32% 0.077 0.5509 -0.237
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4868 7.81% 37.45 90.2% 0.684 -0.0718 0.34
Start of Game Growth 7562 10.26% 39.27 88.4% -0.158 -0.5598 0.378
Unlimited Undo 17009 26.69% 35.0 81.2% 0.22 0.1618 0.731
Using Tokens but Not Events 23637 19.86% 32.45 84.39% 0.312 0.1928 -0.374

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7013 26.58% 33.15 74.99% -0.228 -0.3415 -0.403
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 203 36.82% 29.13 60.59% 0.859 0.3435 -0.098
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2402 45.31% 28.79 70.19% -0.983 -0.8307 -0.15
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 228 32.88% 29.53 64.04% 0.667 -0.1444 -0.185
Dances Up Earthquakes 84 22.62% 29.86 64.29% 0.525 0.345 0.251
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8310 28.31% 29.1 78.51% 0.03 -0.2031 -0.437
Downpour Drenches the World 1058 26.85% 25.98 64.08% -0.625 -0.2814 -0.385
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1219 33.55% 29.83 66.78% 0.667 0.2123 0.1
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10358 24.91% 30.82 80.35% 0.218 -0.1675 -0.172
Finder of Paths Unseen 458 32.74% 24.09 56.55% 0.174 0.8522 -0.129
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1077 31.05% 31.08 70.1% -1.055 -0.596 -0.169
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1374 37.66% 29.56 70.82% 0.489 0.4396 0.335
Heart of the Wildfire 3780 45.61% 30.69 71.75% -0.135 0.1896 -0.237
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8652 27.51% 39.36 79.96% 0.616 0.108 0.416
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 339 24.18% 25.55 51.03% -0.129 -0.5353 -0.766
Lightning's Swift Strike 5777 33.89% 33.1 75.54% -0.04 0.1492 0.306
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 997 23.31% 46.83 69.01% 0.65 0.2215 0.081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 682 36.54% 32.77 77.71% -0.617 -0.9123 0.57
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1176 30.17% 34.06 68.03% 0.132 0.347 0.043
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4163 32.71% 34.35 70.57% -0.375 -0.5659 -0.338
Many Minds Move as One 1767 32.27% 31.74 78.21% 0.154 -0.0571 0.545
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 7017 33.33% 36.92 76.19% 0.369 0.4726 0.547
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 96 38.54% 35.2 65.63% 0.451 0.5422 1.043
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8333 30.97% 30.85 76.64% -0.284 -0.3479 -0.06
River Surges in Sunlight 6119 29.41% 35.09 78.02% 0.184 0.1544 0.283
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 121 30.77% 27.53 56.2% -0.501 -0.21 0.122
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1190 31.24% 31.09 72.69% -0.496 -0.3696 -0.523
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 638 32.74% 33.43 69.28% 1.051 0.8932 0.168
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4569 32.1% 33.23 72.51% -0.118 -0.284 0.094
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 42 28.57% 29.81 61.9% 0.293 -0.2059 1.628
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2390 41.06% 27.59 73.18% -0.085 0.4155 -0.413
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 176 29.89% 27.95 65.91% -0.86 -0.8764 0.147
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 256 30.2% 36.14 73.05% 0.399 -0.0397 0.565
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 210 32.5% 23.75 59.05% -0.936 -0.7171 -1.73
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 566 37.57% 27.98 70.49% -0.207 -0.3055 -0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 461 42.99% 27.39 65.73% -0.205 -0.07 0.02
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4685 30.41% 36.03 77.33% 0.546 0.41 0.162
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 507 18.18% 39.64 73.77% 0.808 0.6614 0.492
Shifting Memory of Ages 1201 36.3% 27.76 69.19% -0.206 0.1532 -0.254
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 207 30.58% 26.55 60.87% 0.021 0.1317 -0.149
Shroud of Silent Mist 1294 42.78% 28.66 72.26% -0.329 0.0954 -0.276
Starlight Seeks its Form 1438 33.73% 30.76 69.05% -0.678 -0.7275 -0.019
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3524 36.12% 33.22 71.68% -0.138 -0.6455 0.174
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6277 28.53% 30.1 78.89% 0.116 0.1952 0.47
Thunderspeaker 5170 31.5% 35.34 77.12% 0.778 0.7626 0.083
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 235 27.23% 26.17 53.62% 0.473 0.7739 -0.83
Towering Roots of the Jungle 293 34.25% 26.78 63.48% 0.361 0.5355 0.034
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2219 51.56% 29.93 67.55% 0.283 0.3073 -0.206
Vital Strength of the Earth 3694 28.7% 27.64 77.34% -0.325 0.1562 -0.311
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 394 34.73% 26.35 60.15% -0.289 0.2442 0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 567 36.48% 25.23 64.55% -1.053 -0.3471 -0.374
Volcano Looming High 1846 41.23% 29.92 71.29% -0.155 -0.083 0.224
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 492 27.98% 27.98 63.41% -0.237 -0.5274 -0.073

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.52%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.21%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.34%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20914 14.08 13.07%
II 60827 30.26 75.91%
III 67313 34.84 92.52%
IV 20294 38.62 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2733
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 61151
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44507
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 20025
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10369
Lose: Invader deck ran out 837
Lose: Adversary condition 9665
Win: Sacrifice victory 378
Lose: Scenario condition 1457
Win: Scenario condition 2576
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15302
Lose: Spirit destroyed 348

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.748 Win Model: -0.12

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.08 Win Model: 0.029
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 96295 31.24% 33.9 79.3%
2 41135 37.4% 31.31 75.01%
3 15972 35.94% 32.22 76.28%
4 12376 29.18% 32.86 77.0%
5 713 30.19% 26.64 71.39%
6 2857 14.14% 36.07 67.62%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-29 14:58:43 (Pacific Time)