Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 91 14.29% 25.93 76.92% -0.102 -0.0866 -0.077
Blitz 0 1669 33.05% 28.06 72.38% -0.644 -0.3557 -1.061
Dahan Insurrection 4 2418 22.09% 52.07 71.3% -0.37 -0.5466 0.521
Despicable Theft 2 263 36.5% 33.5 66.54% -1.017 -0.1564 0.15
Elemental Invocation 1 323 44.27% 26.5 61.3% -0.596 0.3374 -1.207
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11102 11.06% 49.98 82.91% 0.946 0.2999 1.282
Powers Long Forgotten 1 931 50.49% 31.06 64.77% -0.732 0.2135 -1.084
Rituals of Terror 3 745 33.66% 40.93 77.85% 0.059 0.1349 0.389
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 428 61.5% 36.64 65.89% -0.508 0.6076 0.005
Second Wave 0 8710 29.02% 31.52 84.72% 0.215 0.2458 0.273
The Great River 3 419 39.0% 31.6 62.77% -1.036 0.3892 -1.272
Varied Terrains 2 232 35.5% 27.27 63.79% -0.193 0.5818 -1.166
Ward the Shores 2 1066 37.88% 34.37 66.51% -1.195 -0.151 -0.478

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 83347 31.03% 34.05 80.93% 0.376 0.6365 0.011
1 Thematic 5094 35.72% 40.0 71.91% 0.393 0.8592 -0.215
2 Archipelago 73 30.14% 33.55 75.34% -0.18 0.2938 0.783
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25049 38.12% 31.54 77.1% 0.082 0.2674 -0.135
2 Coastline 3479 35.03% 31.9 78.33% -0.02 -0.0365 -0.184
2 Fragment 790 37.8% 29.64 76.84% -0.027 -0.3431 -0.023
2 Heart 458 38.37% 29.8 78.17% 0.225 0.131 0.264
2 Opposite Shores 5087 34.41% 31.48 76.72% 0.14 0.101 -0.565
2 Thematic 2241 44.89% 37.27 63.5% -0.358 -0.0714 -0.295
2 Top to Top 729 39.15% 32.08 76.41% 0.57 0.5262 0.024
3 Archipelago 62 46.77% 33.95 77.42% 0.355 -0.7846 -0.416
3 Coastline 131 37.4% 35.15 79.39% 0.547 -0.2033 -0.024
3 Other 784 38.29% 34.43 83.8% 0.732 0.2692 0.587
3 Round (Default) 13057 35.92% 32.5 77.28% 0.391 0.1707 -0.186
3 Sunrise 73 31.94% 30.18 76.71% 0.491 0.5659 0.858
3 Thematic 572 43.33% 33.75 65.56% -0.934 -1.2262 -0.34
4 Archipelago 49 20.83% 35.0 81.63% -0.944 -0.7513 0.0
4 Coastline 107 13.08% 28.12 91.59% -0.503 -0.8631 0.28
4 Leaf 63 32.26% 27.11 77.78% 0.902 0.793 -1.264
4 Other 444 35.8% 31.77 86.26% 0.388 0.1314 0.59
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 1774 29.87% 43.04 78.75% 0.277 0.5294 -0.187
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9023 29.51% 31.92 77.68% 0.049 0.2637 -0.563
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 0.2735 0.0
5 Coastline 34 5.88% 23.85 73.53% -0.179 -0.2835 -0.885
5 Other 612 33.61% 29.52 77.94% 0.31 -0.2561 -0.216
5 Thematic 78 31.17% 37.12 73.08% -0.686 -1.1068 0.086
6 Archipelago 134 2.26% 59.81 75.37% -0.264 -1.1966 0.125
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 15.7 40.0% 0.0 -0.7976 -1.687
6 Other 257 15.75% 36.54 78.21% -0.597 -0.1707 0.176
6 Star 120 30.0% 27.15 72.5% -0.269 -0.1565 -0.963
6 Thematic 780 13.22% 40.09 60.26% -0.636 -0.5347 -0.761
6 Two Centers (Default) 925 17.52% 25.71 72.43% -0.212 -0.4688 -0.917
7 Archipelago 7 33.33% 17.29 28.57% -0.604 0.4664 -0.605
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 -0.345
7 Other 24 17.39% 11.17 33.33% 0.366 -0.6497 -1.103

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3697 33.51 58.83% -0.286 -0.1111 -0.526
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3362 34.54 60.26% -0.232 -0.2858 -0.197
All Things Weaken 2108 31.73 52.42% -0.979 -0.6856 -0.849
Attenuated Essence 287 29.84 45.64% -0.816 -0.7323 -0.877
Back Against the Wall 3259 32.78 56.09% -0.016 0.0312 -0.42
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 259 27.46 48.65% -0.549 -0.3454 -1.128
Burn Brightest Before the End 203 32.91 55.17% 0.032 0.2197 -0.522
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3602 30.26 53.55% 0.054 0.4633 -0.868
Downward Spiral 6421 31.15 63.6% -0.325 -0.1969 -0.383
Erosion of Will 3717 32.35 56.12% -0.221 0.0614 -0.517
Intensifying Exploitation 280 26.37 45.36% -0.021 0.2266 -1.248
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 931 36.35 77.12% 0.937 0.4213 0.059
Memory Fades to Dust 6613 30.61 59.94% -0.121 0.1163 -0.444
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2176 32.73 57.54% -0.122 0.0961 -0.588
Promising Farmlands 3556 29.96 52.36% -0.594 -0.2996 -0.833
Shattered Fragments of Power 211 32.86 54.98% -0.141 0.0604 -0.458
Slow Dissolution of Will 273 29.75 47.62% -0.087 0.297 -1.319
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 636 37.04 82.55% 0.368 -0.213 0.392
The Border of Life and Death 67 32.21 67.16% 0.64 0.1232 -0.342
Thriving Communities 2159 30.68 53.91% -0.493 -0.1537 -0.735
Thriving Crops 127 32.3 60.63% 0.036 -0.0063 -0.509
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.5
Unnatural Proliferation 2375 33.25 56.59% -0.215 -0.0748 -0.756
Untended Land Crumbles 2170 31.78 55.07% -0.158 0.2908 -0.658

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 33484 33.49% 31.93 78.4% -0.086 0.7755 -0.09
B 36003 32.58% 32.97 78.55% -0.092 0.7249 0.08
C 39826 32.65% 33.82 78.82% -0.075 0.6039 0.009
D 31349 32.6% 32.4 79.0% -0.293 0.5113 -0.005
E 19442 33.78% 32.88 77.77% 0.068 0.7362 0.204
F 29046 33.18% 31.61 78.34% -0.275 0.5236 -0.101
G 29249 33.12% 31.92 78.5% -0.245 0.5811 -0.049
H 30234 32.84% 32.31 78.37% -0.043 0.7302 -0.016
East 7970 34.19% 41.23 69.71% -0.727 0.1188 -0.009
Northeast 5258 32.21% 42.16 69.51% -0.408 0.3624 -0.364
Northwest 3715 32.62% 39.14 68.99% -0.604 0.2037 -0.321
Southeast 2059 25.73% 38.18 68.48% -0.618 0.2516 -0.564
Southwest 2000 26.24% 37.57 67.9% 0.659 1.9409 -0.689
West 6162 35.85% 37.92 68.81% -0.246 0.7495 -0.532

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5639 0.0% 21.58 81.27% -0.854 -0.0586 -0.798
Not Using Events or Tokens 21238 20.86% 30.44 86.29% -0.396 -0.0082 -0.15
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4531 8.0% 37.94 91.41% -0.034 -0.6485 0.179
Start of Game Growth 6970 10.61% 39.68 89.64% 0.449 -0.133 0.404
Unlimited Undo 15645 26.97% 35.8 82.9% -0.376 -0.3324 0.759
Using Tokens but Not Events 21619 19.88% 32.49 85.4% 0.17 0.112 -0.336

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6385 27.33% 32.83 76.13% 0.23 0.086 -0.342
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 30 33.33% 21.37 56.67% -0.073 -0.7857 0.149
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2293 46.13% 29.27 71.35% -0.027 0.2371 -0.093
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 127 33.06% 29.94 63.78% -0.145 -0.9533 -0.258
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7697 28.88% 29.67 79.67% 0.049 -0.1158 -0.376
Downpour Drenches the World 830 28.03% 26.78 66.02% -0.741 -0.4675 -0.317
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 865 36.9% 29.93 66.13% 0.51 0.0836 -0.027
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9513 25.3% 31.47 81.79% 0.146 -0.2138 -0.103
Finder of Paths Unseen 365 31.94% 25.52 58.08% -0.057 0.6316 -0.205
Fractured Days Split the Sky 945 32.26% 32.15 72.38% 0.416 1.0052 -0.028
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1204 38.72% 30.24 72.01% 0.375 0.3111 0.365
Heart of the Wildfire 3512 45.71% 31.0 72.55% -0.339 -0.0115 -0.242
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8022 28.36% 39.35 80.83% 0.456 0.1613 0.482
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 202 26.24% 24.35 47.03% -0.524 -0.8943 -0.543
Lightning's Swift Strike 5446 33.6% 33.8 76.48% -0.336 0.0045 0.305
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 700 28.2% 43.02 66.86% 0.196 -0.2774 0.053
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 624 36.95% 33.67 79.17% 0.624 0.2637 0.618
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1003 32.55% 33.37 70.29% 0.506 0.5134 0.032
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3675 33.42% 34.66 71.84% -0.126 -0.4207 -0.383
Many Minds Move as One 1589 33.14% 32.22 79.17% -0.381 -0.5266 0.636
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6268 34.54% 36.23 76.93% 0.223 0.1647 0.539
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7505 32.12% 30.81 78.24% -0.067 -0.2308 -0.003
River Surges in Sunlight 5578 30.31% 34.27 79.11% 0.478 0.5765 0.344
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 16.67% 28.39 72.22% 0.662 0.5266 -0.548
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1050 32.71% 31.72 74.86% -0.107 0.3687 -0.46
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 474 33.48% 32.76 66.46% -0.18 -0.2145 -0.126
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4275 32.76% 33.83 73.94% -0.298 -0.5534 0.201
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2271 41.03% 28.08 74.11% -0.225 0.2961 -0.372
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 144 27.97% 30.21 70.14% 0.348 0.4887 0.412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 135 32.59% 32.78 74.07% 1.52 0.942 0.213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 174 33.53% 24.25 59.2% 0.04 0.3903 -1.539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 505 38.82% 28.84 72.67% -0.402 -0.4182 -0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 427 44.53% 28.36 67.92% -0.978 -0.7288 0.172
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4481 30.56% 36.42 77.73% -0.424 -0.5339 0.149
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 335 19.46% 39.6 73.43% 0.191 0.0295 0.665
Shifting Memory of Ages 1092 36.57% 28.54 70.88% -0.146 0.1984 -0.094
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 56 33.93% 26.59 60.71% 0.54 0.2309 0.492
Shroud of Silent Mist 1112 44.24% 29.66 75.09% 0.237 0.5689 -0.059
Starlight Seeks its Form 1184 34.42% 32.26 72.97% 0.27 0.0957 0.285
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3212 36.26% 33.91 73.01% -0.858 -1.5673 0.248
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5804 28.76% 30.78 80.5% -0.51 -0.2979 0.53
Thunderspeaker 4855 31.96% 35.61 77.51% 0.694 0.6732 0.099
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 174 24.71% 25.93 51.72% -0.066 0.1316 -0.781
Towering Roots of the Jungle 79 29.11% 26.44 63.29% -0.026 -0.0545 0.456
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2050 52.38% 30.2 67.85% -0.432 -0.3654 -0.144
Vital Strength of the Earth 3481 28.96% 28.18 78.66% 0.231 0.7649 -0.216
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 314 35.41% 26.32 59.55% -0.546 0.0209 0.197
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 499 37.5% 26.37 67.33% -0.926 -0.1677 -0.371
Volcano Looming High 1598 40.95% 30.66 72.97% -0.127 0.0099 0.319
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 282 34.29% 28.21 63.83% -0.003 -0.3141 -0.027

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.25%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.01%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17278 15.74 14.35%
II 56566 30.48 76.2%
III 62811 34.79 92.59%
IV 18919 38.41 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2479
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57104
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41523
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18660
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7090
Lose: Invader deck ran out 777
Lose: Adversary condition 9081
Win: Sacrifice victory 355
Lose: Scenario condition 1365
Win: Scenario condition 2431
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14386
Lose: Spirit destroyed 323

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.384 Win Model: -0.169

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.115 Win Model: -0.075
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 89177 31.39% 34.39 80.37%
2 37614 37.79% 31.83 76.38%
3 14541 36.23% 32.69 77.35%
4 11438 29.37% 33.54 78.33%
5 571 30.16% 26.73 72.85%
6 2233 15.64% 34.27 68.65%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)