Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 90 14.44% 26.22 77.78% 0.229 0.1954 -0.094
Blitz 0 1649 33.08% 28.1 72.53% -0.913 -0.5983 -1.07
Dahan Insurrection 4 2401 22.25% 52.14 71.39% -0.247 -0.4609 0.511
Despicable Theft 2 260 36.54% 33.46 66.15% -0.856 0.1282 0.145
Elemental Invocation 1 315 44.44% 26.63 61.59% -0.955 0.0164 -1.171
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11064 11.09% 50.0 82.92% 0.985 0.3138 1.271
Powers Long Forgotten 1 924 50.76% 31.2 65.04% -0.757 0.2058 -1.096
Rituals of Terror 3 741 33.8% 41.0 77.87% 0.392 0.4263 0.38
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 428 61.5% 36.64 65.89% -0.557 0.5561 0.002
Second Wave 0 8646 29.05% 31.53 84.76% 0.108 0.178 0.24
The Great River 3 414 39.23% 31.77 63.04% -0.967 0.4254 -1.249
Varied Terrains 2 229 35.96% 26.98 63.32% -0.596 0.303 -1.179
Ward the Shores 2 1063 37.89% 34.43 66.7% -1.014 -0.0378 -0.483

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 82688 30.99% 34.11 81.11% 0.616 0.7631 0.002
1 Thematic 5073 35.7% 40.0 71.89% 0.575 1.0176 -0.232
2 Archipelago 70 31.43% 34.24 75.71% -0.044 0.5106 0.774
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24824 38.16% 31.6 77.23% 0.153 0.2339 -0.142
2 Coastline 3433 34.97% 32.09 78.82% 0.571 0.4642 -0.169
2 Fragment 785 37.78% 29.77 77.2% 0.107 -0.2087 -0.018
2 Heart 454 38.27% 29.87 78.19% -0.155 -0.2203 0.288
2 Opposite Shores 5041 34.43% 31.51 76.81% 0.447 0.3411 -0.584
2 Thematic 2228 45.11% 37.34 63.6% -0.27 -0.072 -0.31
2 Top to Top 716 39.54% 32.11 76.68% 0.637 0.5685 -0.004
3 Archipelago 59 45.76% 32.8 76.27% -0.082 -1.3991 -0.41
3 Coastline 131 37.4% 35.15 79.39% 0.584 -0.2385 -0.048
3 Other 782 38.26% 34.44 83.89% 1.096 0.8277 0.532
3 Round (Default) 12947 35.95% 32.54 77.36% 0.212 0.0264 -0.199
3 Sunrise 73 31.94% 30.18 76.71% 0.417 0.613 0.852
3 Thematic 564 43.06% 33.91 66.13% -1.34 -1.5733 -0.356
4 Archipelago 48 21.28% 35.73 83.33% -0.585 -0.4953 0.0
4 Coastline 106 13.21% 28.14 91.51% -0.377 -0.866 0.275
4 Leaf 63 32.26% 27.11 77.78% 0.723 0.9899 -1.274
4 Other 440 35.43% 31.86 86.82% 1.53 1.1479 0.683
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2465 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1149 0.0
4 Thematic 1770 29.88% 43.1 78.81% 0.263 0.5103 -0.197
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8940 29.46% 31.96 77.76% -0.17 0.1915 -0.552
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 0.1502 0.0
5 Coastline 32 6.25% 23.75 75.0% -0.442 -0.6686 -0.831
5 Other 606 33.79% 29.53 77.89% 0.213 -0.2433 -0.195
5 Thematic 77 30.26% 37.13 74.03% -1.061 -1.3168 0.189
6 Archipelago 131 2.31% 59.6 74.81% -0.349 -1.2753 0.114
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 15.7 40.0% 0.11 -0.3688 -1.702
6 Other 256 15.42% 36.57 78.13% -0.594 0.0826 0.173
6 Star 120 30.0% 27.15 72.5% -0.312 -0.4632 -0.975
6 Thematic 765 13.22% 40.29 60.52% -0.869 -0.6972 -0.76
6 Two Centers (Default) 904 17.59% 25.84 72.46% -0.962 -1.0975 -0.902
7 Archipelago 6 40.0% 20.17 33.33% 0.0 0.6454 -0.607
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.335
7 Other 24 17.39% 11.17 33.33% 0.143 -1.2161 -1.12

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3672 33.53 58.88% 0.068 0.2438 -0.535
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3342 34.55 60.32% -0.143 -0.1978 -0.206
All Things Weaken 2082 31.83 52.69% -0.646 -0.369 -0.847
Attenuated Essence 269 30.13 45.72% -0.854 -0.7665 -0.841
Back Against the Wall 3246 32.78 56.1% -0.184 -0.1082 -0.433
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 247 27.73 48.99% -0.319 -0.1299 -1.166
Burn Brightest Before the End 189 33.05 55.03% 0.059 0.2962 -0.526
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3590 30.28 53.59% 0.076 0.4613 -0.876
Downward Spiral 6378 31.2 63.69% -0.198 -0.0583 -0.393
Erosion of Will 3691 32.37 56.19% -0.21 0.0783 -0.517
Intensifying Exploitation 269 26.42 46.1% 0.211 0.44 -1.229
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 925 36.38 77.3% 0.58 0.0415 0.055
Memory Fades to Dust 6572 30.61 60.01% -0.135 0.1256 -0.46
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2155 32.75 57.73% -0.088 0.1742 -0.588
Promising Farmlands 3533 29.97 52.48% -0.645 -0.3331 -0.843
Shattered Fragments of Power 202 32.94 55.45% 0.061 0.2463 -0.441
Slow Dissolution of Will 261 30.09 48.66% 0.371 0.7175 -1.281
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 630 37.09 82.86% 0.958 0.3276 0.408
The Border of Life and Death 60 32.07 66.67% 0.627 0.1697 -0.349
Thriving Communities 2123 30.76 54.12% -0.239 0.0997 -0.73
Thriving Crops 115 32.28 61.74% 0.325 0.3381 -0.444
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.508
Unnatural Proliferation 2358 33.21 56.66% -0.465 -0.33 -0.791
Untended Land Crumbles 2147 31.78 55.05% -0.069 0.312 -0.674

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 33198 33.53% 31.97 78.48% -0.223 0.5959 -0.088
B 35658 32.51% 33.04 78.78% 0.001 0.7697 0.094
C 39504 32.67% 33.87 78.96% -0.009 0.6243 0.013
D 31057 32.63% 32.47 79.17% -0.245 0.5357 -0.008
E 19241 33.77% 32.94 77.85% 0.002 0.6202 0.206
F 28811 33.18% 31.67 78.48% -0.247 0.4838 -0.096
G 28986 33.13% 31.97 78.59% -0.339 0.4612 -0.05
H 29938 32.83% 32.38 78.53% -0.116 0.6072 -0.013
East 7922 34.24% 41.3 69.84% -0.822 0.0114 -0.01
Northeast 5225 32.27% 42.25 69.68% -0.441 0.251 -0.361
Northwest 3684 32.73% 39.23 69.14% -1.056 -0.2511 -0.312
Southeast 2036 25.78% 38.23 68.71% -0.709 0.0218 -0.552
Southwest 1976 26.26% 37.66 68.12% 0.399 1.6987 -0.715
West 6115 35.87% 38.0 68.96% -0.073 0.8362 -0.514

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5583 0.0% 21.67 81.53% -0.807 -0.0176 -0.826
Not Using Events or Tokens 21084 20.83% 30.52 86.47% -0.39 0.0108 -0.143
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4506 8.02% 37.99 91.59% -0.04 -0.673 0.163
Start of Game Growth 6934 10.61% 39.74 89.76% 0.623 0.0728 0.413
Unlimited Undo 15526 26.98% 35.87 83.08% -0.375 -0.3316 0.761
Using Tokens but Not Events 21369 19.72% 32.53 85.68% 0.177 0.14 -0.317

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6343 27.34% 32.87 76.27% 0.088 -0.0522 -0.357
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 22 31.82% 16.0 50.0% -0.338 -1.1126 -0.097
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2281 46.2% 29.3 71.33% -0.2 0.0111 -0.104
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 123 34.17% 30.46 65.04% 0.495 -0.3537 -0.176
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7632 28.97% 29.74 79.73% 0.001 -0.1389 -0.38
Downpour Drenches the World 800 28.46% 26.96 66.25% -0.974 -0.6575 -0.297
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 827 36.66% 29.94 65.66% 0.23 -0.2149 0.022
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9439 25.25% 31.52 81.9% 0.052 -0.3307 -0.117
Finder of Paths Unseen 361 31.74% 25.3 57.89% -0.592 0.0571 -0.296
Fractured Days Split the Sky 929 32.28% 32.21 72.23% -0.332 0.2452 -0.047
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1181 38.88% 30.45 72.4% 0.594 0.5934 0.42
Heart of the Wildfire 3477 45.76% 31.08 72.68% -0.536 -0.2503 -0.231
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7978 28.33% 39.41 80.91% 0.485 0.1362 0.473
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 189 27.51% 24.88 48.15% -0.197 -0.5124 -0.533
Lightning's Swift Strike 5417 33.66% 33.89 76.59% -0.242 0.0771 0.295
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 690 28.28% 43.05 66.81% 0.608 0.0988 0.026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 621 37.13% 33.71 79.07% 0.913 0.5991 0.604
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 985 32.74% 33.32 70.66% 0.376 0.2084 -0.005
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3653 33.37% 34.72 71.89% 0.024 -0.2768 -0.408
Many Minds Move as One 1577 33.21% 32.23 79.14% -0.732 -0.8983 0.624
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6197 34.54% 36.28 77.17% 0.416 0.3843 0.547
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7449 32.16% 30.84 78.28% -0.17 -0.3102 -0.025
River Surges in Sunlight 5513 30.03% 34.26 79.25% 0.178 0.2879 0.335
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 8 12.5% 24.38 75.0% 0.511 0.3575 -0.59
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1042 32.97% 31.72 74.95% -0.457 0.0204 -0.479
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 456 33.26% 33.09 67.32% 0.123 0.042 -0.103
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4251 32.78% 33.86 74.08% -0.008 -0.2223 0.173
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2262 41.15% 28.11 74.09% -0.313 0.2329 -0.382
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 28.89% 31.01 71.32% 0.753 1.032 0.46
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 127 33.86% 32.57 72.44% 0.99 0.5004 0.166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 172 33.33% 24.44 59.88% -0.337 -0.0284 -1.535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 504 38.7% 28.83 72.62% -0.338 -0.3485 -0.379
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 425 44.74% 28.49 68.24% -0.5 -0.251 0.154
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4468 30.54% 36.46 77.75% -0.338 -0.4467 0.143
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 325 19.75% 39.91 72.92% 0.117 -0.0043 0.612
Shifting Memory of Ages 1082 36.44% 28.57 70.98% -0.257 0.1127 -0.14
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 24 41.67% 25.54 58.33% 0.433 0.1362 0.712
Shroud of Silent Mist 1091 44.36% 29.78 75.25% 0.423 0.8064 -0.073
Starlight Seeks its Form 1168 34.63% 32.39 73.03% 0.058 -0.1215 0.302
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3187 36.23% 33.97 73.24% -0.158 -0.9132 0.249
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5762 28.75% 30.84 80.67% -0.445 -0.216 0.54
Thunderspeaker 4826 32.01% 35.63 77.48% 0.516 0.5196 0.088
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 169 24.26% 26.18 52.07% 0.379 0.5367 -0.782
Towering Roots of the Jungle 44 31.82% 24.41 56.82% -0.225 -0.2407 0.711
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2041 52.46% 30.28 68.01% 0.068 0.135 -0.158
Vital Strength of the Earth 3459 29.03% 28.25 78.81% 0.151 0.6963 -0.216
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 299 36.21% 26.48 59.53% -0.648 -0.1087 0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 496 37.24% 26.48 67.54% -0.963 -0.1937 -0.386
Volcano Looming High 1569 41.2% 30.66 73.17% 0.221 0.3532 0.37
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 267 34.34% 28.39 64.04% 0.166 -0.1471 0.052

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.24%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.01%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16952 15.91 14.56%
II 56118 30.5 76.29%
III 62413 34.78 92.6%
IV 18788 38.4 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2467
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 56747
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41243
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18531
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6804
Lose: Invader deck ran out 771
Lose: Adversary condition 8984
Win: Sacrifice victory 352
Lose: Scenario condition 1364
Win: Scenario condition 2421
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14266
Lose: Spirit destroyed 321

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.44 Win Model: -0.164

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.066 Win Model: 0.09
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 88491 31.35% 34.45 80.53%
2 37262 37.84% 31.91 76.54%
3 14419 36.24% 32.72 77.44%
4 11344 29.31% 33.59 78.44%
5 563 30.42% 26.72 72.82%
6 2192 15.66% 34.4 68.75%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-26 05:36:00 (Pacific Time)