Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 107 14.95% 25.26 71.03% -0.743 -1.394 0.319
Blitz 0 1753 32.9% 27.61 71.59% 0.149 0.5844 -1.031
Dahan Insurrection 4 2565 21.34% 51.83 70.84% 0.12 -0.3802 0.562
Despicable Theft 2 299 36.12% 32.24 64.55% -0.941 -0.4042 0.062
Elemental Invocation 1 372 43.01% 25.45 58.06% -1.213 -0.3977 -1.325
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12101 10.87% 50.08 82.34% 1.489 0.8486 1.345
Powers Long Forgotten 1 981 48.93% 30.34 63.51% -1.003 -0.4032 -1.103
Rituals of Terror 3 798 32.77% 40.31 77.07% -0.347 -0.4305 0.393
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 453 59.65% 35.54 63.8% -0.991 -0.1941 0.05
Second Wave 0 9219 28.94% 31.42 84.35% 0.346 0.4501 0.269
The Great River 3 469 37.82% 30.42 60.55% -0.883 0.4179 -1.398
Varied Terrains 2 293 35.96% 25.97 61.77% -0.504 0.2118 -1.2
Ward the Shores 2 1125 36.95% 33.9 65.78% -0.925 -0.1571 -0.479

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 88767 30.92% 33.65 80.08% 0.421 0.6735 0.118
1 Thematic 5499 35.01% 40.04 70.87% 0.516 1.1181 -0.072
2 Archipelago 81 33.33% 33.28 74.07% -0.34 0.1069 0.328
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26994 37.72% 31.1 75.88% -0.053 0.0422 -0.146
2 Coastline 3753 34.55% 31.76 78.18% 0.969 0.6823 -0.114
2 Fragment 831 37.91% 29.2 75.93% 1.039 0.9993 0.017
2 Heart 507 37.4% 29.59 77.12% 0.599 0.408 0.169
2 Opposite Shores 5528 34.2% 31.11 75.43% -0.431 -0.3365 -0.647
2 Thematic 2372 44.24% 36.45 62.61% 0.055 0.7038 -0.22
2 Top to Top 796 39.53% 31.88 76.01% 0.151 -0.1544 0.012
3 Archipelago 68 46.15% 33.46 77.94% 0.13 -0.006 -0.417
3 Coastline 144 36.81% 33.94 77.08% 0.644 0.2089 -0.029
3 Other 816 38.36% 34.0 82.72% 0.557 -0.4871 0.579
3 Round (Default) 14156 35.72% 32.09 76.42% 0.134 0.0793 -0.28
3 Sunrise 77 32.89% 28.61 72.73% -0.937 -1.1236 0.828
3 Thematic 617 41.79% 32.64 63.7% -1.031 -1.0919 -0.398
4 Archipelago 55 18.87% 33.82 80.0% -0.862 -1.333 0.0
4 Coastline 123 13.11% 28.99 91.06% 0.586 -0.0184 0.851
4 Leaf 73 36.11% 27.97 79.45% 0.646 1.1333 -1.165
4 Other 457 35.2% 31.85 86.65% 1.174 0.3859 0.492
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.4685 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1844 29.87% 42.41 78.58% 0.674 0.7537 -0.298
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9728 29.25% 31.33 76.27% -0.484 -0.5044 -0.764
5 Archipelago 13 38.46% 36.0 84.62% 0.207 -0.0274 0.337
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 25.62 75.68% 0.238 -0.7208 -0.578
5 Other 716 32.33% 28.86 76.68% 0.018 -0.272 -0.212
5 Thematic 91 34.44% 36.14 67.03% -1.195 -1.2719 -0.197
6 Archipelago 289 1.04% 67.19 79.24% 0.2 -0.8746 -0.155
6 Coastline 15 7.14% 23.0 46.67% 0.386 -0.6296 -1.805
6 Other 291 14.58% 34.43 76.63% 0.325 0.2816 -0.25
6 Star 149 27.52% 26.54 72.48% -0.363 0.1907 -1.145
6 Thematic 944 12.27% 40.75 59.96% -1.272 -0.8738 -1.034
6 Two Centers (Default) 1079 17.82% 25.13 69.69% -1.16 -0.6561 -0.957
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 13.44 22.22% -0.235 -0.5288 -0.261
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.317
7 Other 30 17.86% 11.2 33.33% -1.293 -1.7964 -1.296

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3859 33.37 58.72% -0.27 -0.1269 -0.43
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3522 34.53 60.31% 0.485 0.4089 -0.104
All Things Weaken 2291 31.71 52.73% 0.232 0.4799 -0.776
Attenuated Essence 398 29.95 48.24% -0.089 -0.0174 -0.774
Back Against the Wall 3410 32.72 56.16% -0.486 -0.5056 -0.337
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 353 29.25 50.42% 0.243 0.4269 -0.86
Burn Brightest Before the End 301 31.47 49.5% -0.679 -0.5311 -0.513
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3738 30.09 53.21% -0.725 -0.3861 -0.781
Downward Spiral 6751 30.98 63.31% -0.43 -0.3133 -0.292
Erosion of Will 3885 32.2 55.98% -0.484 -0.2815 -0.43
Intensifying Exploitation 383 26.06 45.17% -0.374 -0.1576 -1.024
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1002 35.98 76.85% 0.425 0.0711 0.163
Memory Fades to Dust 6945 30.56 59.64% -0.188 0.0726 -0.332
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2339 32.6 57.37% 0.057 0.1932 -0.528
Promising Farmlands 3721 29.8 52.08% -0.749 -0.3478 -0.754
Shattered Fragments of Power 298 34.53 58.72% 0.85 1.0181 -0.134
Slow Dissolution of Will 362 28.91 46.69% -0.779 -0.2258 -1.265
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 683 36.59 82.28% 0.955 0.3829 0.466
The Border of Life and Death 97 31.66 63.92% -0.477 -0.8523 -0.279
Thriving Communities 2336 30.4 53.72% -0.56 -0.2598 -0.677
Thriving Crops 165 31.3 60.61% -0.118 -0.3264 -0.323
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.2551 -0.415
Unnatural Proliferation 2531 33.03 56.06% -0.196 -0.0326 -0.649
Untended Land Crumbles 2318 31.62 54.7% -0.601 -0.3333 -0.561

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 36259 33.18% 31.65 77.27% -0.131 0.7907 -0.098
B 38832 32.25% 32.69 77.53% 0.051 0.886 0.104
C 42884 32.35% 33.48 77.73% -0.166 0.5343 0.001
D 33789 32.22% 32.14 78.05% 0.349 1.2003 -0.004
E 21442 33.24% 32.41 76.59% 0.201 0.8708 0.2
F 31476 32.87% 31.11 77.17% -0.023 0.7449 -0.129
G 31662 32.61% 31.63 77.48% 0.023 0.809 -0.053
H 32664 32.39% 32.05 77.35% -0.102 0.6476 -0.024
East 8672 33.4% 40.91 68.58% -0.508 0.3287 -0.038
Northeast 5776 31.46% 42.02 68.2% -0.496 0.1087 -0.431
Northwest 4036 31.34% 38.8 68.11% -0.163 0.7453 -0.39
Southeast 2332 24.71% 38.08 67.24% -0.248 0.4175 -0.573
Southwest 2258 25.17% 37.54 66.74% -0.137 1.1723 -0.678
West 6639 34.82% 37.44 67.87% -0.703 0.0727 -0.586

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6144 0.0% 21.08 79.07% -1.082 -0.3796 -0.737
Not Using Events or Tokens 22814 20.99% 30.0 84.68% 0.067 0.5644 -0.203
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4819 7.81% 37.52 90.31% 0.063 -0.4162 0.258
Start of Game Growth 7460 10.25% 39.37 88.69% 0.278 -0.2667 0.457
Unlimited Undo 16757 26.68% 35.12 81.49% 0.033 -0.0523 0.739
Using Tokens but Not Events 23345 19.92% 32.48 84.54% 0.409 0.2765 -0.379

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6877 26.42% 33.29 75.6% -0.254 -0.3566 -0.311
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 186 36.96% 28.47 59.68% 0.537 0.0624 -0.021
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2378 45.43% 28.92 70.61% -0.586 -0.4126 -0.086
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 214 32.21% 29.54 64.02% 0.489 -0.181 -0.021
Dances Up Earthquakes 38 15.79% 25.18 57.89% -0.207 -0.4315 0.038
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8214 28.28% 29.21 78.79% 0.089 -0.0865 -0.386
Downpour Drenches the World 1028 26.92% 26.03 64.4% -0.656 -0.3882 -0.323
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1161 33.51% 29.67 66.15% 0.255 -0.1764 0.12
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10247 24.95% 30.9 80.6% 0.125 -0.2368 -0.124
Finder of Paths Unseen 447 32.42% 24.22 56.15% -0.105 0.6545 -0.117
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1069 31.1% 31.15 70.35% -0.13 0.4631 -0.12
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1355 37.68% 29.56 70.7% -0.266 -0.3229 0.379
Heart of the Wildfire 3750 45.6% 30.72 71.89% -0.083 0.2559 -0.199
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8570 27.68% 39.26 79.94% 0.2 -0.2743 0.461
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 310 23.78% 25.25 50.32% 0.185 -0.4111 -0.817
Lightning's Swift Strike 5734 33.72% 33.17 75.62% -0.336 -0.1294 0.344
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 968 23.28% 46.96 69.42% 1.053 0.5525 0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 677 36.67% 32.86 77.99% -0.387 -0.7272 0.609
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1137 30.54% 34.14 68.78% 0.854 0.9259 0.106
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4084 32.78% 34.45 70.94% -0.13 -0.2796 -0.325
Many Minds Move as One 1746 32.37% 31.7 78.35% 0.213 0.0344 0.618
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6947 33.55% 36.91 76.23% 0.177 0.3291 0.589
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 27 18.52% 35.11 70.37% 0.721 0.9402 0.479
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8234 31.11% 30.89 76.86% -0.364 -0.4153 -0.007
River Surges in Sunlight 6054 29.48% 35.05 78.15% -0.081 -0.0402 0.321
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 106 33.33% 28.3 57.55% -0.499 -0.2911 -0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1171 31.62% 31.27 73.01% -0.404 -0.2729 -0.474
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 614 33.0% 33.32 69.38% 1.047 1.0838 0.208
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4540 32.2% 33.27 72.53% -0.336 -0.4338 0.123
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 14 14.29% 17.29 50.0% -0.654 -1.0824 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2366 41.02% 27.73 73.37% 0.377 0.9054 -0.371
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 172 30.41% 28.35 66.28% -0.228 -0.3346 0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 239 31.09% 35.13 71.97% -0.211 -0.6721 0.686
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 201 33.51% 24.09 60.7% 0.003 -0.0103 -1.708
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 558 37.94% 28.12 70.97% -0.264 -0.4357 -0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 459 43.18% 27.44 65.8% -0.237 0.0171 0.057
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4656 30.32% 36.06 77.36% 0.151 0.0733 0.196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 479 18.41% 39.3 72.86% 0.429 0.2521 0.456
Shifting Memory of Ages 1174 36.25% 28.02 69.93% 0.184 0.536 -0.146
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 186 28.65% 26.91 61.83% 0.142 -0.0139 0.221
Shroud of Silent Mist 1270 42.8% 28.92 72.99% -0.309 0.1085 -0.242
Starlight Seeks its Form 1392 34.13% 31.05 69.68% -0.651 -0.7301 0.087
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3479 36.24% 33.37 71.92% 0.002 -0.4831 0.227
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6206 28.5% 30.16 79.0% -0.204 -0.1368 0.511
Thunderspeaker 5119 31.56% 35.39 77.22% 1.064 1.0585 0.131
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 230 27.39% 26.03 53.04% 0.422 0.7314 -0.8
Towering Roots of the Jungle 269 35.45% 26.7 63.94% 0.214 0.4109 0.08
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2190 51.61% 29.95 67.4% 0.248 0.3809 -0.165
Vital Strength of the Earth 3655 28.73% 27.72 77.46% -0.285 0.1928 -0.273
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 377 34.15% 26.35 60.21% -0.134 0.3225 0.167
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 557 36.28% 25.53 65.35% -0.857 -0.2259 -0.34
Volcano Looming High 1816 41.48% 30.04 71.7% -0.276 -0.209 0.268
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 427 28.74% 28.36 65.34% 0.007 -0.2992 -0.093

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.49%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.18%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.34%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20271 14.38 13.28%
II 60142 30.32 75.96%
III 66573 34.84 92.56%
IV 20071 38.6 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2692
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 60503
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44030
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19804
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9781
Lose: Invader deck ran out 821
Lose: Adversary condition 9572
Win: Sacrifice victory 373
Lose: Scenario condition 1448
Win: Scenario condition 2555
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15132
Lose: Spirit destroyed 346

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.926 Win Model: -0.099

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.025 Win Model: 0.062
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 95109 31.25% 34.02 79.49%
2 40501 37.4% 31.42 75.31%
3 15720 36.03% 32.26 76.44%
4 12253 29.15% 32.93 77.2%
5 696 30.06% 26.55 71.7%
6 2778 14.33% 36.04 67.85%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-16 03:12:48 (Pacific Time)