Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 22.0% 30.78 86.0% 0.296 0.0407 0.374
Blitz 0 1441 35.5% 29.44 75.43% -0.948 -0.751 -1.066
Dahan Insurrection 4 2056 23.9% 55.06 75.15% -0.295 -0.7374 0.393
Despicable Theft 2 188 43.62% 37.71 72.87% -0.702 0.1106 0.2
Elemental Invocation 1 224 47.32% 31.09 72.77% -0.389 0.3138 -1.004
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 9772 11.25% 50.64 83.97% 1.45 0.8056 1.011
Powers Long Forgotten 1 817 53.87% 32.81 67.32% -0.446 0.189 -1.102
Rituals of Terror 3 626 36.45% 42.74 79.07% -0.2 -0.0988 0.394
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 390 63.66% 38.83 69.74% -1.898 -0.8888 -0.022
Second Wave 0 7605 28.86% 32.06 85.84% 0.102 0.1686 0.262
The Great River 3 333 42.17% 34.74 69.07% -1.562 -0.3446 -0.81
Varied Terrains 2 132 43.94% 29.21 66.67% -0.433 0.1898 -0.966
Ward the Shores 2 930 38.33% 36.66 70.43% -0.971 0.1137 -0.418

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 72303 31.22% 35.21 83.37% -0.053 0.0008 -0.14
1 Thematic 4449 36.88% 41.14 74.71% -0.795 -0.3171 -0.372
2 Archipelago 54 33.33% 37.5 79.63% 0.201 0.3049 0.679
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 21373 38.67% 32.91 80.02% -0.417 -0.3355 -0.295
2 Coastline 2908 35.7% 33.28 80.85% 0.084 -0.0697 -0.344
2 Fragment 662 37.52% 31.15 80.06% 0.246 -0.0035 0.055
2 Heart 364 37.57% 31.04 81.59% 0.705 0.4179 0.235
2 Opposite Shores 4270 33.66% 32.7 79.65% -0.396 -0.3728 -0.721
2 Thematic 2022 45.73% 38.96 66.02% -0.528 -0.1241 -0.778
2 Top to Top 602 39.66% 32.73 78.57% 0.085 -0.0807 -0.15
3 Archipelago 44 45.45% 33.61 77.27% 0.123 -1.4258 -0.557
3 Coastline 107 40.19% 36.32 82.24% 1.335 0.8212 -0.228
3 Other 709 38.57% 35.67 85.61% 0.714 1.2544 0.301
3 Round (Default) 10957 35.99% 33.58 79.29% -0.311 -0.4264 -0.291
3 Sunrise 63 36.51% 31.89 79.37% -0.354 -0.0741 0.706
3 Thematic 497 44.76% 35.56 69.22% 0.669 0.7496 -0.369
4 Archipelago 39 23.68% 36.64 84.62% -0.536 -1.2106 0.0
4 Coastline 69 13.04% 29.7 94.2% 0.264 0.4954 0.464
4 Leaf 52 37.25% 25.81 75.0% -0.338 -0.6814 -1.255
4 Other 389 35.19% 33.09 88.17% 0.377 -0.7072 0.72
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3465 0.0
4 Thematic 1667 30.33% 44.02 79.48% 0.359 0.0967 -0.234
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7636 30.27% 33.55 81.09% -0.415 -0.4972 -0.243
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 -0.9161 0.0
5 Coastline 22 0.0% 31.14 95.45% 0.252 -0.3999 0.0
5 Other 369 28.81% 32.31 86.18% -0.091 -0.3761 0.325
5 Thematic 60 33.9% 38.95 80.0% -0.114 -0.2073 0.167
6 Archipelago 17 6.25% 31.65 82.35% 0.433 0.5838 -0.408
6 Coastline 5 0.0% 23.4 60.0% -0.122 -0.9227 -1.087
6 Other 170 12.5% 38.76 81.18% -0.459 -0.6924 0.368
6 Star 78 29.49% 29.92 80.77% -0.199 -0.212 -0.125
6 Thematic 452 14.41% 44.14 69.69% -0.942 -0.5217 -0.481
6 Two Centers (Default) 600 15.1% 29.4 80.5% -0.663 -0.5593 -0.835
7 Archipelago 4 50.0% 30.25 50.0% -0.521 -0.5395 -0.232
7 Other 7 0.0% 20.14 57.14% -0.221 -0.8338 -1.185

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3322 34.06 59.69% -0.005 0.2371 -0.827
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3053 34.75 60.66% -0.388 -0.4653 -0.535
All Things Weaken 1805 32.28 53.52% -0.537 -0.1442 -1.195
Attenuated Essence 76 28.47 50.0% -0.186 -0.0793 -1.371
Back Against the Wall 2923 33.21 56.38% -0.149 -0.0917 -0.75
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 32.11 56.34% 0.035 0.2372 -1.756
Burn Brightest Before the End 41 36.9 63.41% 0.308 0.5179 -0.579
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3231 30.59 54.04% -0.545 -0.1216 -1.213
Downward Spiral 5709 31.86 64.32% -0.061 0.1743 -0.739
Erosion of Will 3340 32.82 56.62% -0.252 0.0574 -0.823
Intensifying Exploitation 75 26.96 42.67% -0.618 -0.3307 -1.514
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 797 37.31 79.3% 0.848 0.3538 -0.276
Memory Fades to Dust 5854 31.33 60.73% -0.059 0.2771 -0.782
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1869 32.91 58.11% -0.408 -0.1878 -0.917
Promising Farmlands 3201 30.44 53.01% -0.567 -0.1142 -1.179
Shattered Fragments of Power 55 36.04 61.82% 0.504 0.5548 0.065
Slow Dissolution of Will 76 27.29 43.42% -0.473 -0.0736 -1.424
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 543 38.12 84.71% 0.226 -0.4845 0.24
The Border of Life and Death 14 22.14 35.71% -0.684 -1.0199 -0.829
Thriving Communities 1830 31.51 55.36% -0.758 -0.3953 -0.962
Thriving Crops 37 30.95 64.86% 0.456 0.2581 -1.101
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.832
Unnatural Proliferation 2070 33.7 57.29% -0.475 -0.26 -1.117
Untended Land Crumbles 1854 32.19 55.45% -0.092 0.1896 -1.02

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 28162 33.81% 33.18 81.26% -0.034 0.706 -0.006
B 30542 32.87% 34.29 81.57% -0.081 0.6448 0.216
C 33688 33.03% 35.09 81.47% -0.091 0.4913 0.071
D 26482 33.16% 33.67 81.87% -0.244 0.467 0.136
E 15430 34.82% 34.45 80.48% 0.173 0.738 0.308
F 24601 33.41% 33.12 81.64% 0.055 0.7249 0.01
G 24743 33.31% 33.16 81.4% -0.022 0.6302 0.029
H 25491 33.3% 33.6 81.3% -0.343 0.2274 0.102
East 6848 35.9% 42.84 72.96% 0.322 0.8606 0.045
Northeast 4442 34.31% 43.73 73.1% -0.093 0.5422 -0.207
Northwest 3122 34.9% 40.69 72.45% -0.352 0.4573 -0.254
Southeast 1544 28.15% 40.76 75.32% -0.521 0.1849 -0.306
Southwest 1480 29.26% 40.01 75.14% 0.286 1.2761 -0.333
West 5264 37.74% 39.55 72.19% -0.993 -0.0889 -0.34

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 4655 0.0% 23.06 86.32% -0.912 -0.1359 -0.691
Not Using Events or Tokens 18113 20.49% 31.92 89.91% -0.118 0.2615 -0.025
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3946 7.82% 39.43 94.15% 0.609 -0.0087 0.376
Start of Game Growth 6036 10.88% 40.81 91.88% 0.066 -0.2824 0.053
Unlimited Undo 13283 27.84% 37.92 87.16% -0.205 -0.2113 0.984
Using Tokens but Not Events 18318 19.67% 33.55 88.39% 0.566 0.556 -0.276

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5397 100.0% 33.53 100.0% -0.092 -0.2403 -0.359
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2009 100.0% 30.69 100.0% -0.812 -0.6808 -0.16
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6545 100.0% 31.32 100.0% -0.193 -0.3378 -0.467
Downpour Drenches the World 427 100.0% 30.66 100.0% 0.105 0.2845 -0.205
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 297 100.0% 30.83 100.0% 0.676 -0.0886 -0.154
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8057 100.0% 33.02 100.0% 0.107 -0.4817 0.119
Finder of Paths Unseen 201 100.0% 30.45 100.0% -0.211 0.4532 -0.061
Fractured Days Split the Sky 700 100.0% 34.96 100.0% -0.002 0.584 0.271
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 725 100.0% 32.25 100.0% 0.006 -0.0885 0.408
Heart of the Wildfire 2987 100.0% 32.15 100.0% -0.421 -0.1796 -0.245
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7132 100.0% 40.43 100.0% 0.113 -0.3295 0.464
Lightning's Swift Strike 4670 121.4% 36.06 107.73% -0.067 0.1161 0.422
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 318 35.85% 44.15 72.33% 0.636 0.149 0.405
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 509 36.47% 34.95 80.94% 0.636 0.4686 0.557
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 761 34.95% 35.65 76.87% -0.18 -0.2934 -0.06
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2826 100.0% 36.87 100.0% -0.152 -0.2839 -0.275
Many Minds Move as One 1293 100.0% 34.06 100.0% -0.478 -0.6993 0.853
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5272 100.0% 36.51 100.0% 0.733 0.6908 0.422
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6352 100.0% 31.52 100.0% 0.137 -0.0413 -0.207
River Surges in Sunlight 4759 115.04% 34.42 105.53% 0.258 0.3283 0.144
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 874 33.8% 33.07 78.03% -0.8 -0.4899 -0.516
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 245 35.0% 34.15 71.02% 0.001 -0.1121 0.235
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3662 100.0% 35.62 100.0% -0.297 -0.5349 0.168
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2005 126.61% 29.48 112.72% -0.301 0.229 -0.116
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 26.76% 34.43 72.22% -0.17 -0.2452 0.643
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 99 29.9% 28.81 68.69% -1.091 -1.197 -1.223
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 417 42.16% 30.72 75.54% 0.077 0.0584 -0.438
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 363 47.58% 30.47 71.9% 0.15 0.327 0.23
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4070 101.65% 37.85 100.47% 0.196 0.0064 0.107
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 82 18.29% 38.78 76.83% 0.921 0.5402 0.396
Shifting Memory of Ages 791 100.0% 31.15 100.0% -0.111 0.2419 -0.107
Shroud of Silent Mist 795 100.0% 32.09 100.0% -0.289 -0.0392 0.033
Starlight Seeks its Form 767 100.0% 34.02 100.0% 0.5 0.2389 0.241
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2627 100.0% 35.35 100.0% 0.162 -0.3148 0.237
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5011 100.0% 32.22 100.0% -0.316 -0.2529 0.441
Thunderspeaker 4278 101.1% 36.76 100.56% 0.138 0.1036 -0.041
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 56 16.07% 28.05 57.14% -0.133 -0.1725 -1.045
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1775 100.0% 31.06 100.0% 0.359 0.4522 -0.245
Vital Strength of the Earth 2964 110.8% 29.21 104.96% 0.005 0.5301 -0.308
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 148 37.5% 32.89 72.3% 0.297 0.5575 -0.055
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 390 38.46% 28.16 72.82% -0.74 0.0365 -0.891
Volcano Looming High 1162 100.0% 33.18 100.0% 0.509 0.466 0.263

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 77.89%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 84.7%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.18%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11457 20.4 19.36%
II 49553 31.01 77.15%
III 55437 34.76 92.74%
IV 16642 38.07 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2217
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 50457
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36812
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16413
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1702
Lose: Invader deck ran out 691
Lose: Adversary condition 8054
Win: Sacrifice victory 312
Lose: Scenario condition 1246
Win: Scenario condition 2199
Lose: Blight pool ran out 12702
Lose: Spirit destroyed 284

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.424 Win Model: -0.144

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.084 Win Model: -0.074
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 77289 31.63% 35.57 82.86%
2 32096 38.2% 33.19 79.14%
3 12246 36.39% 33.8 79.38%
4 9844 30.1% 35.2 81.19%
5 300 24.07% 29.43 82.67%
6 1314 15.17% 36.09 76.94%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)