Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 107 14.95% 25.26 71.03% -0.875 -1.3157 0.322
Blitz 0 1767 32.75% 27.53 71.36% -0.21 0.1877 -1.037
Dahan Insurrection 4 2584 21.26% 51.74 70.74% 0.292 -0.2056 0.562
Despicable Theft 2 306 35.62% 32.3 64.71% -0.609 -0.0694 0.021
Elemental Invocation 1 376 42.82% 25.25 57.71% -1.175 -0.4088 -1.34
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12168 10.86% 50.04 82.28% 1.51 0.8597 1.356
Powers Long Forgotten 1 985 48.93% 30.34 63.55% -0.665 -0.0905 -1.101
Rituals of Terror 3 800 32.68% 40.34 77.13% 0.032 -0.1052 0.399
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 453 59.65% 35.54 63.8% -0.722 0.0391 0.054
Second Wave 0 9258 28.92% 31.41 84.32% 0.347 0.4476 0.275
The Great River 3 470 37.74% 30.36 60.43% -0.869 0.3528 -1.415
Varied Terrains 2 298 36.03% 25.91 61.41% -0.661 0.2289 -1.229
Ward the Shores 2 1129 37.0% 33.88 65.72% -0.828 0.0206 -0.494

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 89201 30.92% 33.62 80.01% 0.518 0.8926 0.126
1 Thematic 5516 34.98% 40.01 70.83% 0.685 1.3887 -0.06
2 Archipelago 82 32.93% 33.09 73.17% -0.91 -0.3231 0.338
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27196 37.7% 31.05 75.68% -0.064 0.1014 -0.158
2 Coastline 3770 34.6% 31.72 78.06% 0.742 0.5413 -0.112
2 Fragment 836 38.29% 29.14 76.08% 1.059 1.0203 0.025
2 Heart 508 37.32% 29.62 77.17% 0.968 0.76 0.179
2 Opposite Shores 5562 34.23% 31.09 75.48% 0.057 0.1891 -0.634
2 Thematic 2384 44.27% 36.35 62.46% -0.068 0.5705 -0.224
2 Top to Top 809 39.64% 31.72 75.53% 0.327 0.2367 0.026
3 Archipelago 68 46.15% 33.46 77.94% 0.137 -0.4048 -0.423
3 Coastline 144 36.81% 33.94 77.08% 0.56 -0.3002 -0.024
3 Other 818 38.39% 34.0 82.64% 0.276 -0.5557 0.582
3 Round (Default) 14269 35.67% 32.05 76.28% 0.103 0.0748 -0.278
3 Sunrise 78 32.47% 28.51 73.08% -0.165 -0.6102 0.828
3 Thematic 620 41.91% 32.52 63.39% -0.857 -1.0678 -0.404
4 Archipelago 55 18.87% 33.82 80.0% -0.908 -1.0631 0.0
4 Coastline 123 13.11% 28.99 91.06% 0.0 0.1307 0.849
4 Leaf 73 36.11% 27.97 79.45% 0.549 0.9691 -1.168
4 Other 464 36.2% 31.94 86.85% 1.163 0.5635 0.466
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.451 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1847 29.88% 42.38 78.56% 0.321 0.3537 -0.312
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9781 29.22% 31.29 76.11% -0.547 -0.5355 -0.776
5 Archipelago 14 35.71% 33.43 78.57% -0.404 -0.6096 0.344
5 Coastline 37 5.41% 25.62 75.68% 0.232 -0.66 -0.579
5 Other 724 32.53% 28.97 76.66% 0.456 0.1688 -0.208
5 Thematic 92 34.07% 36.83 67.39% -1.123 -1.4746 -0.188
6 Archipelago 292 1.03% 67.1 79.11% 0.526 -0.5555 -0.123
6 Coastline 16 6.67% 21.56 43.75% 0.143 -1.0648 -1.809
6 Other 297 14.63% 34.11 76.77% 0.139 0.0613 -0.242
6 Star 159 25.79% 25.72 69.81% -0.641 -0.0491 -1.216
6 Thematic 956 12.43% 40.83 60.04% -1.259 -1.1366 -1.044
6 Two Centers (Default) 1087 17.69% 25.12 69.46% -1.061 -0.6179 -1.0
7 Archipelago 9 25.0% 13.44 22.22% -0.314 -0.6355 -0.252
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.317
7 Other 30 17.86% 11.2 33.33% -0.912 -1.7055 -1.299

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3876 33.35 58.69% -0.206 -0.1366 -0.416
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3534 34.54 60.27% 0.481 0.3541 -0.089
All Things Weaken 2298 31.76 52.83% 0.463 0.6208 -0.754
Attenuated Essence 404 29.92 48.02% -0.348 -0.2975 -0.79
Back Against the Wall 3419 32.74 56.24% -0.339 -0.3592 -0.327
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 368 29.31 50.54% 0.346 0.5247 -0.876
Burn Brightest Before the End 308 31.78 49.68% -0.176 -0.1266 -0.421
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3752 30.05 53.17% -0.599 -0.3241 -0.779
Downward Spiral 6781 30.94 63.25% -0.508 -0.4138 -0.282
Erosion of Will 3904 32.19 55.89% -0.678 -0.5221 -0.418
Intensifying Exploitation 391 25.95 44.76% -0.772 -0.5829 -1.03
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1005 35.95 76.82% 0.403 -0.0249 0.16
Memory Fades to Dust 6984 30.53 59.59% -0.048 0.1772 -0.325
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2348 32.56 57.24% -0.039 0.0422 -0.528
Promising Farmlands 3741 29.83 52.15% -0.588 -0.2365 -0.741
Shattered Fragments of Power 311 34.73 58.2% 0.837 0.8901 -0.18
Slow Dissolution of Will 372 29.02 46.77% -0.739 -0.2771 -1.247
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 691 36.5 82.2% 0.437 -0.2033 0.456
The Border of Life and Death 99 32.29 64.65% -0.311 -0.8254 -0.198
Thriving Communities 2350 30.45 53.7% -0.238 -0.0289 -0.658
Thriving Crops 171 31.22 61.99% 0.352 0.1213 -0.264
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.1111 -0.403
Unnatural Proliferation 2542 32.95 55.9% -0.32 -0.2216 -0.643
Untended Land Crumbles 2335 31.58 54.86% -0.166 0.0528 -0.549

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 36484 33.14% 31.61 77.17% -0.333 0.58 -0.104
B 39103 32.24% 32.65 77.42% -0.104 0.734 0.1
C 43187 32.38% 33.42 77.56% -0.4 0.2788 -0.008
D 34014 32.24% 32.1 77.89% 0.055 0.8921 -0.01
E 21606 33.19% 32.38 76.46% 0.111 0.7612 0.197
F 31684 32.86% 31.06 77.04% -0.314 0.4452 -0.143
G 31856 32.57% 31.59 77.35% -0.083 0.6654 -0.056
H 32854 32.35% 32.01 77.25% -0.212 0.4992 -0.027
East 8707 33.42% 40.88 68.5% -0.54 0.2712 -0.034
Northeast 5800 31.49% 42.0 68.14% -0.455 0.2219 -0.422
Northwest 4057 31.33% 38.8 68.1% 0.477 1.2853 -0.394
Southeast 2352 24.8% 38.09 67.13% -0.605 0.1904 -0.569
Southwest 2280 25.19% 37.53 66.58% -0.495 0.9081 -0.69
West 6677 34.81% 37.4 67.78% -0.682 0.1431 -0.575

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6185 0.0% 21.02 78.84% -1.245 -0.5356 -0.725
Not Using Events or Tokens 22930 21.02% 29.94 84.53% 0.105 0.5884 -0.228
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4836 7.79% 37.48 90.28% 0.619 -0.084 0.294
Start of Game Growth 7504 10.22% 39.31 88.55% 0.028 -0.4388 0.431
Unlimited Undo 16876 26.68% 35.06 81.33% 0.039 0.01 0.73
Using Tokens but Not Events 23490 19.9% 32.46 84.47% 0.437 0.2817 -0.377

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6944 26.53% 33.22 75.26% -0.32 -0.4288 -0.371
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 199 36.55% 29.04 60.8% 0.609 0.1195 -0.04
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2389 45.47% 28.85 70.36% -0.961 -0.8022 -0.142
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 218 32.08% 29.28 63.76% 0.208 -0.5606 -0.042
Dances Up Earthquakes 58 18.97% 27.0 63.79% 0.222 0.0457 0.019
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8259 28.31% 29.13 78.58% 0.06 -0.1428 -0.434
Downpour Drenches the World 1045 26.99% 26.13 64.5% -0.293 0.0452 -0.361
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1189 33.73% 29.75 66.61% 0.672 0.1981 0.088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 10287 24.9% 30.87 80.53% 0.349 -0.0005 -0.158
Finder of Paths Unseen 455 32.96% 24.12 56.26% 0.19 0.9586 -0.119
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1073 30.98% 31.08 70.18% -0.523 -0.1001 -0.151
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1359 37.71% 29.53 70.71% 0.015 -0.0154 0.351
Heart of the Wildfire 3760 45.64% 30.72 71.86% -0.098 0.2291 -0.235
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8605 27.63% 39.31 79.97% 0.514 0.0167 0.429
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 322 23.2% 25.16 50.62% 0.273 -0.2572 -0.85
Lightning's Swift Strike 5748 33.75% 33.14 75.56% -0.184 0.0095 0.316
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 978 23.25% 46.78 69.02% 0.764 0.3178 0.096
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 679 36.71% 32.76 77.76% -0.675 -1.0033 0.577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1159 30.35% 34.09 68.16% 0.549 0.6604 0.054
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4136 32.61% 34.33 70.58% -0.46 -0.6119 -0.337
Many Minds Move as One 1754 32.4% 31.71 78.28% 0.153 -0.0371 0.591
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6972 33.47% 36.93 76.23% 0.302 0.419 0.557
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 61 39.34% 36.85 72.13% 0.808 0.9092 0.789
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8267 31.1% 30.87 76.75% -0.276 -0.3416 -0.055
River Surges in Sunlight 6086 29.48% 35.05 78.06% -0.076 -0.0471 0.285
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 112 32.41% 27.54 56.25% -0.691 -0.4723 0.082
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1181 31.46% 31.1 72.73% -0.68 -0.5527 -0.504
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 625 32.46% 33.22 68.96% 0.723 0.7221 0.151
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4557 32.14% 33.24 72.5% -0.349 -0.4511 0.094
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 34 26.47% 29.74 61.76% 0.366 -0.119 1.545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2380 41.05% 27.64 73.19% 0.032 0.5732 -0.404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 175 30.06% 28.11 66.29% -0.508 -0.4287 0.158
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 247 30.89% 35.47 72.47% 0.213 -0.2246 0.663
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 205 32.99% 23.93 60.0% -0.432 -0.3797 -1.723
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 564 37.7% 28.07 70.74% -0.337 -0.4807 -0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 460 43.08% 27.38 65.65% -0.478 -0.3943 0.03
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4671 30.31% 36.07 77.37% 0.538 0.4304 0.161
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 488 18.07% 39.36 73.16% 0.654 0.4524 0.418
Shifting Memory of Ages 1186 36.6% 27.86 69.56% 0.045 0.4183 -0.222
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 196 30.26% 26.65 60.71% 0.048 -0.0067 -0.01
Shroud of Silent Mist 1282 42.55% 28.73 72.62% -0.296 0.1249 -0.277
Starlight Seeks its Form 1419 33.76% 30.9 69.27% -0.564 -0.5963 0.001
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3504 36.21% 33.25 71.72% -0.209 -0.7282 0.192
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6239 28.54% 30.14 78.92% -0.098 -0.0244 0.471
Thunderspeaker 5139 31.56% 35.39 77.19% 0.992 0.983 0.1
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 233 27.47% 25.89 53.22% 0.204 0.5786 -0.829
Towering Roots of the Jungle 279 35.61% 27.09 64.52% 0.692 0.8917 0.035
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2210 51.64% 29.94 67.51% 0.403 0.4734 -0.196
Vital Strength of the Earth 3674 28.64% 27.66 77.3% -0.418 0.0293 -0.303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 387 34.57% 26.27 59.95% -0.206 0.3024 0.147
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 562 36.31% 25.34 64.95% -1.007 -0.3097 -0.37
Volcano Looming High 1834 41.34% 29.93 71.37% -0.16 -0.0986 0.23
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 472 27.9% 27.53 62.71% -0.258 -0.5247 -0.186

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.51%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.19%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.22%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.35%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20569 14.23 13.18%
II 60421 30.29 75.94%
III 66887 34.84 92.55%
IV 20149 38.61 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2711
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 60780
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 44220
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 19882
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10042
Lose: Invader deck ran out 829
Lose: Adversary condition 9621
Win: Sacrifice victory 374
Lose: Scenario condition 1450
Win: Scenario condition 2568
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15202
Lose: Spirit destroyed 347

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.848 Win Model: -0.105

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.024 Win Model: 0.05
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 95565 31.24% 33.98 79.41%
2 40785 37.41% 31.37 75.16%
3 15837 36.0% 32.22 76.31%
4 12316 29.16% 32.88 77.06%
5 705 30.25% 26.61 71.63%
6 2818 14.27% 35.98 67.67%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-23 02:50:12 (Pacific Time)