Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 89 14.61% 26.52 78.65% 0.01 -0.0666 -0.079
Blitz 0 1631 33.25% 28.26 72.9% -0.694 -0.4782 -1.086
Dahan Insurrection 4 2368 22.39% 52.53 71.83% -0.134 -0.3576 0.492
Despicable Theft 2 252 37.3% 33.99 67.06% -0.461 0.3426 0.183
Elemental Invocation 1 307 44.95% 27.02 62.21% -0.857 0.1471 -1.18
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10961 11.08% 50.13 83.08% 1.129 0.4201 1.242
Powers Long Forgotten 1 918 50.88% 31.37 65.36% 0.155 1.0151 -1.083
Rituals of Terror 3 737 33.99% 41.01 77.75% 0.291 0.1432 0.382
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 427 61.41% 36.72 66.04% -0.906 0.2006 0.011
Second Wave 0 8584 29.0% 31.56 84.84% 0.133 0.2402 0.217
The Great River 3 409 38.97% 31.91 63.33% -1.154 0.2745 -1.255
Varied Terrains 2 223 36.49% 26.7 62.78% -0.802 0.031 -1.146
Ward the Shores 2 1054 38.03% 34.57 66.98% -0.906 0.071 -0.486

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 81967 31.02% 34.17 81.21% 0.456 0.5347 -0.025
1 Thematic 5033 35.73% 40.06 71.91% 0.386 0.8403 -0.25
2 Archipelago 69 30.43% 34.33 75.36% -0.556 -0.0505 0.721
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24584 38.17% 31.7 77.42% 0.144 0.1224 -0.173
2 Coastline 3403 35.05% 32.14 78.84% 0.5 0.4037 -0.22
2 Fragment 775 37.88% 29.83 77.29% -0.349 -0.7576 -0.029
2 Heart 450 38.16% 29.88 78.44% 0.157 0.0093 0.271
2 Opposite Shores 4996 34.44% 31.56 76.9% 0.429 0.2676 -0.637
2 Thematic 2213 45.19% 37.47 63.71% -0.438 -0.2023 -0.404
2 Top to Top 707 39.48% 32.18 76.66% 0.632 0.476 -0.05
3 Archipelago 59 45.76% 32.8 76.27% -0.537 -1.8097 -0.426
3 Coastline 129 37.21% 35.42 79.84% 0.428 -0.3014 -0.044
3 Other 774 38.4% 34.58 83.98% 0.733 0.4174 0.47
3 Round (Default) 12807 36.08% 32.62 77.47% 0.185 -0.0967 -0.231
3 Sunrise 73 31.94% 30.18 76.71% 0.576 0.6026 0.786
3 Thematic 559 43.09% 34.15 66.55% -0.51 -0.8432 -0.396
4 Archipelago 48 21.28% 35.73 83.33% -0.371 -0.817 0.0
4 Coastline 102 13.73% 28.43 92.16% 0.083 -0.5679 0.3
4 Leaf 62 32.79% 27.06 77.42% 0.686 1.0016 -1.271
4 Other 439 35.51% 31.93 87.02% 1.333 0.6693 0.67
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5757 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9931 0.0
4 Thematic 1756 29.83% 43.3 78.99% 0.044 0.4515 -0.208
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8763 29.66% 32.18 78.4% -0.38 -0.0817 -0.436
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 -0.0615 0.0
5 Coastline 31 6.45% 24.52 77.42% -0.171 -0.6025 -0.796
5 Other 597 33.62% 29.77 78.06% -0.283 -0.888 -0.149
5 Thematic 77 30.26% 37.13 74.03% -1.188 -0.8992 0.149
6 Archipelago 116 2.61% 60.66 76.72% 0.026 -0.878 0.428
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 15.7 40.0% 0.149 -0.1988 -1.773
6 Other 250 15.79% 37.14 78.8% -0.273 0.0702 0.333
6 Star 118 29.66% 27.25 72.88% -0.115 -0.1589 -0.962
6 Thematic 731 12.74% 41.51 62.38% -0.874 -0.8827 -0.79
6 Two Centers (Default) 874 17.38% 26.04 73.0% -1.269 -1.3581 -0.82
7 Archipelago 6 40.0% 20.17 33.33% -0.216 0.6617 -0.557
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.324
7 Other 23 18.18% 11.65 34.78% 0.253 -1.3045 -1.107

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3644 33.56 58.84% -0.206 -0.0112 -0.562
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3317 34.59 60.36% -0.17 -0.1787 -0.232
All Things Weaken 2071 31.9 52.87% -0.311 0.0419 -0.868
Attenuated Essence 263 29.93 45.63% -0.67 -0.519 -0.875
Back Against the Wall 3221 32.76 56.07% -0.148 -0.0552 -0.468
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 228 28.05 48.25% -0.449 -0.2306 -1.134
Burn Brightest Before the End 176 33.03 55.11% -0.421 -0.2429 -0.638
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3575 30.3 53.59% 0.036 0.4241 -0.908
Downward Spiral 6345 31.25 63.78% -0.121 0.0713 -0.416
Erosion of Will 3672 32.37 56.18% -0.281 0.0202 -0.547
Intensifying Exploitation 257 25.83 44.36% -0.214 0.0716 -1.272
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 916 36.31 77.18% 0.38 -0.1814 0.026
Memory Fades to Dust 6524 30.67 60.01% -0.234 0.0956 -0.478
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2132 32.76 57.69% -0.217 0.0925 -0.615
Promising Farmlands 3516 30.01 52.5% -0.394 -0.0329 -0.87
Shattered Fragments of Power 190 33.28 56.84% 0.435 0.579 -0.466
Slow Dissolution of Will 247 29.48 47.37% -0.181 0.2703 -1.357
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 626 37.22 83.07% 0.406 -0.1508 0.413
The Border of Life and Death 57 32.93 66.67% 0.827 0.5325 -0.249
Thriving Communities 2100 30.8 54.0% -0.386 -0.0583 -0.736
Thriving Crops 108 32.45 62.96% 0.597 0.5536 -0.457
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.5304 -0.543
Unnatural Proliferation 2336 33.26 56.76% -0.474 -0.2868 -0.818
Untended Land Crumbles 2118 31.79 54.91% 0.016 0.3457 -0.7

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 32788 33.6% 32.06 78.7% -0.276 0.6184 -0.085
B 35245 32.59% 33.14 79.01% 0.008 0.8303 0.125
C 39030 32.73% 33.98 79.16% 0.236 0.9053 0.022
D 30692 32.75% 32.58 79.45% -0.043 0.785 -0.002
E 18984 33.89% 33.04 77.98% -0.006 0.6867 0.211
F 28469 33.29% 31.77 78.7% -0.296 0.4818 -0.095
G 28647 33.24% 32.08 78.84% -0.167 0.597 -0.039
H 29570 32.92% 32.48 78.78% -0.033 0.7248 -0.01
East 7827 34.26% 41.55 70.14% -0.618 0.2289 -0.052
Northeast 5160 32.32% 42.53 70.04% -0.598 0.0768 -0.349
Northwest 3634 32.8% 39.57 69.65% -0.737 0.0769 -0.274
Southeast 1979 25.61% 38.86 69.63% -0.857 -0.1714 -0.519
Southwest 1931 26.3% 38.17 68.98% 0.348 1.7245 -0.734
West 6039 35.99% 38.26 69.35% -0.118 0.8394 -0.484

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5519 0.0% 21.75 81.86% -0.788 0.0514 -0.866
Not Using Events or Tokens 20890 20.78% 30.62 86.67% -0.427 0.0227 -0.139
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4477 8.07% 38.03 91.71% -0.063 -0.6302 0.186
Start of Game Growth 6892 10.66% 39.82 89.93% 0.637 0.1163 0.366
Unlimited Undo 15326 27.14% 36.08 83.53% -0.176 -0.1377 0.832
Using Tokens but Not Events 21120 19.7% 32.6 85.89% 0.142 0.1091 -0.354

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6263 27.35% 32.91 76.5% -0.027 -0.1554 -0.366
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2266 46.31% 29.38 71.49% -0.603 -0.4367 -0.146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 118 35.65% 30.95 66.1% 0.724 -0.1375 -0.037
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7538 28.96% 29.88 80.05% -0.183 -0.3081 -0.429
Downpour Drenches the World 768 28.21% 27.45 67.84% -0.352 -0.0504 -0.307
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 785 37.36% 30.02 65.48% 0.461 0.0023 0.005
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9284 25.44% 31.72 82.41% 0.01 -0.4153 0.077
Finder of Paths Unseen 351 32.66% 25.6 58.4% -0.007 0.6394 -0.267
Fractured Days Split the Sky 902 32.59% 32.54 73.06% -0.271 0.3977 -0.013
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1150 38.71% 30.36 72.35% 0.105 0.1485 0.42
Heart of the Wildfire 3442 46.0% 31.17 73.01% -0.117 0.1197 -0.22
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7870 28.61% 39.74 81.51% 0.499 0.1171 0.615
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 167 28.74% 26.63 51.5% 0.253 -0.1576 -0.28
Lightning's Swift Strike 5309 33.92% 34.3 77.34% -0.294 -0.0418 0.472
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 664 28.96% 43.17 66.87% 0.603 0.053 0.045
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 614 36.73% 33.77 79.15% 0.894 0.6344 0.631
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 969 32.66% 33.52 70.9% -0.009 -0.2805 0.019
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3594 33.44% 34.94 72.31% 0.016 -0.3119 -0.4
Many Minds Move as One 1554 33.64% 32.54 79.79% -0.265 -0.4528 0.622
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6104 34.78% 36.32 77.38% 0.299 0.2559 0.521
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7362 32.33% 30.86 78.44% -0.077 -0.2216 -0.05
River Surges in Sunlight 5455 30.13% 34.29 79.41% 0.261 0.3665 0.304
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1033 33.07% 31.84 75.31% -0.58 -0.2224 -0.454
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 442 34.02% 33.46 67.65% 0.361 0.2249 -0.079
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4207 32.78% 33.99 74.26% 0.105 -0.0737 0.114
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2249 40.96% 28.19 74.26% 0.012 0.5506 -0.393
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 132 28.24% 31.39 71.21% 0.715 0.8352 0.492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 31.82% 32.2 70.0% -0.073 -0.4477 -0.106
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 170 33.13% 24.43 60.0% -0.349 -0.2119 -1.545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 497 38.84% 29.06 73.04% -0.377 -0.3303 -0.412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 419 45.16% 28.69 68.74% -0.179 -0.0006 0.195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4447 30.57% 36.55 77.9% -0.187 -0.2899 0.122
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 312 18.97% 40.61 74.36% 0.224 0.0457 0.604
Shifting Memory of Ages 1060 36.35% 28.68 71.13% -0.485 -0.1245 -0.137
Shroud of Silent Mist 1066 44.37% 29.99 75.8% 0.534 0.8928 -0.058
Starlight Seeks its Form 1148 34.98% 32.65 73.43% 0.175 -0.035 0.303
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3163 36.35% 34.09 73.38% -0.029 -0.716 0.249
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5714 28.85% 30.99 81.01% -0.229 -0.0729 0.538
Thunderspeaker 4782 31.97% 35.71 77.56% -0.033 -0.0076 0.061
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 161 25.47% 26.68 51.55% -0.193 -0.0828 -0.765
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2023 52.73% 30.45 68.31% 0.099 0.2212 -0.145
Vital Strength of the Earth 3424 28.85% 28.33 78.97% 0.144 0.6696 -0.221
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 280 36.4% 27.53 62.14% -0.272 0.1305 0.163
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 489 37.71% 26.55 67.48% -1.281 -0.5504 -0.39
Volcano Looming High 1531 41.8% 30.8 73.48% 0.295 0.2689 0.378
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 232 33.91% 28.27 63.79% -0.192 -0.5834 0.193

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.2%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 84.96%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.25%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16517 16.17 14.82%
II 55653 30.54 76.34%
III 61919 34.77 92.6%
IV 18612 38.39 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2447
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 56294
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 40924
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18356
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6391
Lose: Invader deck ran out 765
Lose: Adversary condition 8922
Win: Sacrifice victory 352
Lose: Scenario condition 1349
Win: Scenario condition 2405
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14175
Lose: Spirit destroyed 321

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.375 Win Model: -0.173

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.135 Win Model: 0.162
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 87713 31.38% 34.51 80.63%
2 36920 37.86% 31.99 76.68%
3 14265 36.36% 32.81 77.56%
4 11147 29.48% 33.82 78.98%
5 551 30.35% 27.03 73.14%
6 2105 15.49% 34.89 69.83%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-16 05:27:44 (Pacific Time)