Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 95 13.68% 26.69 75.79% -0.231 -0.451 0.279
Blitz 0 1697 33.09% 27.8 71.77% -0.92 -0.6173 -1.112
Dahan Insurrection 4 2456 21.97% 51.85 70.97% -0.268 -0.4136 0.516
Despicable Theft 2 268 36.19% 33.38 66.42% -0.506 0.1798 0.134
Elemental Invocation 1 334 43.71% 26.39 60.78% -0.678 0.1066 -1.194
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11207 11.02% 49.94 82.83% 0.63 0.0624 1.299
Powers Long Forgotten 1 938 50.32% 30.97 64.61% -1.404 -0.5228 -1.068
Rituals of Terror 3 753 33.29% 40.89 77.95% 0.307 0.1593 0.399
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 431 61.07% 36.5 65.66% -0.91 0.016 0.017
Second Wave 0 8813 29.01% 31.5 84.65% 0.168 0.2331 0.275
The Great River 3 435 38.94% 30.98 61.38% -1.48 -0.084 -1.313
Varied Terrains 2 241 35.0% 27.07 63.49% 0.026 0.8949 -1.159
Ward the Shores 2 1079 37.79% 34.33 66.45% -0.964 0.0525 -0.474

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 84315 31.04% 33.99 80.76% 0.503 0.8762 0.059
1 Thematic 5146 35.61% 39.92 71.84% 0.679 1.2003 -0.165
2 Archipelago 75 30.67% 33.64 76.0% 0.512 1.0172 0.807
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25377 38.09% 31.42 76.81% -0.108 0.178 -0.136
2 Coastline 3553 34.95% 31.81 77.93% 0.183 0.2372 -0.139
2 Fragment 801 37.52% 29.51 76.15% -0.089 -0.3294 -0.015
2 Heart 466 38.14% 29.8 78.33% 0.567 0.4016 0.263
2 Opposite Shores 5175 34.52% 31.39 76.37% 0.024 0.0873 -0.558
2 Thematic 2256 44.73% 37.1 63.3% -0.563 -0.2782 -0.248
2 Top to Top 739 39.42% 32.04 76.45% 0.631 0.7531 0.037
3 Archipelago 67 46.88% 33.46 77.61% 0.41 -0.3707 -0.396
3 Coastline 137 37.96% 34.22 76.64% 0.082 -0.5094 -0.027
3 Other 790 38.25% 34.35 83.67% 0.886 0.3344 0.582
3 Round (Default) 13226 35.84% 32.42 77.14% 0.142 0.0375 -0.209
3 Sunrise 73 31.94% 30.18 76.71% 0.465 0.569 0.852
3 Thematic 585 43.22% 33.57 65.47% -0.608 -1.1673 -0.337
4 Archipelago 50 20.83% 34.3 80.0% -0.923 -0.4289 0.0
4 Coastline 109 12.84% 28.99 91.74% -0.068 -0.9989 0.336
4 Leaf 65 32.81% 27.45 76.92% 0.792 0.3853 -1.105
4 Other 449 35.39% 31.84 86.41% 0.219 0.1393 0.56
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9629 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.4004 0.0
4 Thematic 1785 29.8% 42.97 78.66% 0.062 0.011 -0.221
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9151 29.44% 31.84 77.6% -0.143 -0.0534 -0.605
5 Archipelago 11 27.27% 34.55 90.91% 0.219 0.3579 0.0
5 Coastline 34 5.88% 23.85 73.53% -0.233 -0.4868 -0.898
5 Other 632 33.01% 29.27 77.53% 0.255 -0.2844 -0.261
5 Thematic 79 30.77% 36.65 72.15% -0.895 -1.5933 -0.045
6 Archipelago 147 2.05% 61.53 76.87% -0.487 -1.3666 0.085
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 15.7 40.0% 0.0 -0.9595 -1.729
6 Other 264 15.33% 36.13 77.27% -0.491 0.1227 0.039
6 Star 123 30.08% 27.02 73.17% 0.079 0.239 -1.034
6 Thematic 810 12.86% 39.95 60.25% -0.908 -0.8388 -0.81
6 Two Centers (Default) 960 17.92% 25.72 72.19% -0.664 -0.8623 -0.949
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 15.13 25.0% -0.871 -0.3202 -0.435
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3187 -0.349
7 Other 24 17.39% 11.17 33.33% -0.031 -1.3392 -1.154

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3720 33.51 58.76% -0.109 0.0088 -0.51
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3395 34.53 60.15% -0.011 -0.1517 -0.199
All Things Weaken 2130 31.7 52.35% -0.912 -0.5619 -0.83
Attenuated Essence 308 29.9 45.78% -0.234 -0.2461 -0.837
Back Against the Wall 3285 32.77 56.16% 0.113 0.1489 -0.401
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 279 28.14 49.82% 0.006 0.237 -1.023
Burn Brightest Before the End 219 32.36 53.88% -0.128 0.0542 -0.515
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3628 30.21 53.45% -0.588 -0.1885 -0.853
Downward Spiral 6477 31.12 63.56% -0.276 -0.2036 -0.364
Erosion of Will 3752 32.32 56.13% 0.039 0.2828 -0.499
Intensifying Exploitation 302 26.25 44.37% -0.369 -0.0748 -1.282
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 950 36.22 76.95% 0.699 0.1979 0.075
Memory Fades to Dust 6671 30.59 59.86% -0.264 -0.055 -0.432
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2213 32.7 57.39% -0.212 -0.0155 -0.575
Promising Farmlands 3583 29.98 52.39% -0.373 -0.051 -0.815
Shattered Fragments of Power 228 33.24 55.7% -0.228 -0.061 -0.357
Slow Dissolution of Will 291 29.37 46.74% -0.307 0.0815 -1.384
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 641 37.0 82.53% 0.144 -0.564 0.407
The Border of Life and Death 71 32.86 66.2% 0.352 -0.1396 -0.179
Thriving Communities 2204 30.7 53.77% -0.21 0.0991 -0.714
Thriving Crops 133 32.26 60.15% -0.084 -0.0876 -0.437
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.484
Unnatural Proliferation 2398 33.2 56.34% -0.555 -0.3811 -0.73
Untended Land Crumbles 2202 31.82 55.04% 0.182 0.5376 -0.63

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 34014 33.48% 31.85 78.17% -0.285 0.5826 -0.09
B 36498 32.56% 32.91 78.37% -0.208 0.6172 0.089
C 40374 32.65% 33.74 78.57% -0.204 0.4919 0.006
D 31762 32.54% 32.35 78.83% -0.26 0.5974 -0.01
E 19806 33.68% 32.77 77.49% 0.08 0.7797 0.201
F 29459 33.11% 31.52 78.16% -0.268 0.5609 -0.097
G 29665 33.02% 31.83 78.3% -0.401 0.4772 -0.045
H 30627 32.78% 32.25 78.21% -0.112 0.6695 -0.018
East 8063 33.99% 41.1 69.56% -1.133 -0.2712 -0.035
Northeast 5320 32.01% 42.04 69.36% -0.528 0.334 -0.378
Northwest 3773 32.36% 39.04 68.86% -0.548 0.3661 -0.328
Southeast 2104 25.37% 38.07 68.39% -0.034 0.8807 -0.557
Southwest 2046 25.85% 37.48 67.79% 0.749 1.981 -0.7
West 6249 35.61% 37.8 68.67% -0.74 0.3366 -0.552

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5740 0.0% 21.61 81.05% -0.797 -0.0819 -0.788
Not Using Events or Tokens 21515 20.89% 30.34 86.06% -0.223 0.2224 -0.145
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4582 7.98% 38.0 91.42% 0.54 -0.0091 0.213
Start of Game Growth 7046 10.54% 39.71 89.67% 0.742 0.0867 0.415
Unlimited Undo 15808 26.97% 35.7 82.73% -0.274 -0.2746 0.761
Using Tokens but Not Events 21937 19.97% 32.44 85.14% 0.187 0.2091 -0.36

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6443 27.26% 32.86 76.14% 0.021 -0.1769 -0.322
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 65 28.13% 24.78 60.0% 0.092 -0.6199 -0.085
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2302 46.08% 29.25 71.29% 0.007 0.3098 -0.081
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 142 31.65% 28.74 64.08% -0.168 -0.7794 -0.425
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7814 28.7% 29.55 79.5% 0.041 -0.1111 -0.369
Downpour Drenches the World 883 27.24% 26.54 66.36% -0.286 -0.0382 -0.314
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 908 36.03% 29.79 66.3% 0.64 0.2236 -0.063
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9629 25.21% 31.38 81.68% 0.257 -0.1577 -0.087
Finder of Paths Unseen 375 31.62% 24.97 57.07% -0.76 -0.1018 -0.214
Fractured Days Split the Sky 970 31.95% 31.94 71.86% -0.055 0.722 -0.057
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1241 38.13% 30.13 71.8% 0.356 0.2673 0.362
Heart of the Wildfire 3566 45.7% 30.89 72.35% -0.036 0.2527 -0.227
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8100 28.23% 39.28 80.69% 0.212 -0.1738 0.475
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 228 27.19% 23.54 45.61% -1.063 -1.4975 -0.781
Lightning's Swift Strike 5489 33.63% 33.75 76.43% -0.331 -0.063 0.328
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 735 27.53% 43.33 67.21% 0.406 0.062 0.085
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 642 36.52% 33.49 79.28% 0.836 0.3832 0.654
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1030 31.97% 33.39 70.1% 0.295 0.2826 0.058
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3758 33.41% 34.54 71.5% -0.387 -0.6483 -0.359
Many Minds Move as One 1610 33.08% 32.13 78.94% -0.368 -0.5726 0.632
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6355 34.37% 36.29 76.93% 0.326 0.2173 0.572
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7634 32.04% 30.73 77.95% -0.062 -0.2001 0.002
River Surges in Sunlight 5649 30.2% 34.34 79.04% 0.318 0.4091 0.339
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 30 16.67% 30.2 73.33% 0.51 0.3967 -0.258
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1081 32.16% 31.59 74.47% -0.452 -0.0226 -0.418
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 501 33.67% 32.91 66.27% -0.087 0.0354 0.01
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4313 32.68% 33.8 73.8% -0.189 -0.3878 0.199
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2283 40.99% 28.03 73.98% -0.19 0.2912 -0.365
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 152 27.81% 29.32 68.42% -0.136 -0.0686 0.349
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 34.48% 33.22 74.48% 1.686 1.2016 0.259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 179 33.91% 24.58 60.34% 0.095 0.3082 -1.549
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 515 38.32% 28.65 72.23% -0.377 -0.4437 -0.336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 441 44.0% 27.88 66.89% -0.451 -0.2618 0.021
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4515 30.63% 36.36 77.67% 0.048 -0.1084 0.166
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 359 19.83% 38.88 72.14% 0.164 0.0141 0.543
Shifting Memory of Ages 1111 36.21% 28.33 70.39% -0.3 0.1376 -0.102
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 83 32.53% 27.0 61.45% 0.413 0.0875 0.617
Shroud of Silent Mist 1144 43.78% 29.65 74.74% 0.097 0.4214 -0.074
Starlight Seeks its Form 1213 33.92% 32.2 72.63% -0.097 -0.1724 0.273
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3280 36.27% 33.74 72.65% -0.224 -0.8176 0.211
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5877 28.77% 30.68 80.21% -0.452 -0.2355 0.542
Thunderspeaker 4896 31.85% 35.58 77.51% 0.677 0.634 0.122
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 181 24.31% 25.39 50.83% -0.2 -0.0585 -0.761
Towering Roots of the Jungle 124 33.87% 25.73 58.87% -0.177 -0.1682 0.63
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2065 52.29% 30.15 67.7% -0.674 -0.5961 -0.134
Vital Strength of the Earth 3508 28.93% 28.17 78.59% 0.138 0.7275 -0.212
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 324 35.24% 26.48 60.19% -0.327 0.1556 0.272
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 514 37.17% 26.15 67.12% -0.266 0.4325 -0.348
Volcano Looming High 1637 41.32% 30.68 72.82% 0.232 0.3261 0.308
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 307 33.77% 28.25 63.52% 0.273 0.0016 -0.123

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.26%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.02%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17782 15.48 14.05%
II 57192 30.46 76.11%
III 63490 34.8 92.59%
IV 19125 38.46 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2498
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57720
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41934
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18864
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7545
Lose: Invader deck ran out 785
Lose: Adversary condition 9197
Win: Sacrifice victory 356
Lose: Scenario condition 1380
Win: Scenario condition 2458
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14525
Lose: Spirit destroyed 327

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.395 Win Model: -0.168

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.161 Win Model: 0.049
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 90214 31.39% 34.33 80.2%
2 38140 37.76% 31.72 76.07%
3 14734 36.18% 32.6 77.19%
4 11587 29.29% 33.46 78.24%
5 593 29.71% 26.6 72.51%
6 2321 15.52% 34.34 68.59%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-14 06:18:04 (Pacific Time)