Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 73 15.07% 27.14 79.45% -0.05 -0.1837 -0.038
Blitz 0 1540 34.2% 28.82 73.96% -0.211 -0.104 -1.068
Dahan Insurrection 4 2243 22.74% 53.22 72.85% -0.367 -0.6195 0.417
Despicable Theft 2 227 40.09% 35.51 69.6% 0.033 0.6937 0.186
Elemental Invocation 1 271 45.39% 28.54 65.68% -1.161 -0.3319 -0.946
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10404 11.15% 50.34 83.48% 1.298 0.5599 1.155
Powers Long Forgotten 1 862 52.91% 32.12 66.01% -0.733 0.0507 -1.086
Rituals of Terror 3 682 34.4% 41.89 78.45% 0.153 0.2293 0.342
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 405 63.03% 37.85 68.15% -1.817 -0.7684 -0.06
Second Wave 0 8128 28.83% 31.77 85.25% 0.305 0.3894 0.179
The Great River 3 374 40.75% 32.91 65.51% -1.441 -0.2103 -1.16
Varied Terrains 2 174 37.93% 27.85 64.94% -0.347 0.4341 -0.967
Ward the Shores 2 999 37.51% 35.35 68.57% -0.907 0.0111 -0.515

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 77316 31.05% 34.66 82.25% 0.215 0.3792 -0.11
1 Thematic 4734 36.4% 40.64 73.28% -0.058 0.5888 -0.325
2 Archipelago 59 32.2% 35.86 77.97% -0.627 -0.4172 0.72
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 23082 38.44% 32.2 78.43% -0.073 -0.0755 -0.243
2 Coastline 3174 35.41% 32.66 79.68% 0.341 0.1117 -0.274
2 Fragment 733 37.71% 30.36 78.31% 0.177 -0.1865 -0.046
2 Heart 412 39.25% 30.17 79.37% -0.171 -0.4203 0.308
2 Opposite Shores 4677 34.14% 31.8 77.44% -0.17 -0.1487 -0.728
2 Thematic 2128 45.45% 38.13 64.71% -0.943 -0.5015 -0.589
2 Top to Top 653 39.15% 32.52 77.95% 0.183 0.1002 -0.066
3 Archipelago 51 43.14% 33.16 76.47% -0.257 -1.1479 -0.417
3 Coastline 117 39.32% 36.09 82.91% 1.584 0.8532 -0.031
3 Other 735 39.09% 35.06 84.35% 0.314 0.2745 0.364
3 Round (Default) 11864 35.98% 33.03 78.31% 0.345 0.1193 -0.207
3 Sunrise 65 35.38% 30.91 76.92% -1.084 -2.0259 0.773
3 Thematic 529 44.13% 34.91 67.67% -0.423 -0.168 -0.38
4 Archipelago 45 20.45% 36.16 84.44% -0.443 -1.5745 0.0
4 Coastline 80 12.5% 29.21 95.0% 0.486 0.4015 0.5
4 Leaf 55 35.19% 26.02 76.36% 0.419 -0.2232 -1.223
4 Other 412 35.66% 32.0 86.41% 0.841 -0.4146 0.699
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1487 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1708 30.15% 43.59 78.86% -0.325 -0.5516 -0.184
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8245 29.91% 32.76 79.67% 0.085 -0.1147 -0.25
5 Archipelago 10 30.0% 34.7 90.0% 0.0 0.398 0.0
5 Coastline 27 3.7% 26.19 81.48% -0.432 -0.5837 -0.314
5 Other 486 33.12% 30.14 79.42% -0.08 -1.05 0.206
5 Thematic 66 32.31% 39.7 81.82% 0.206 -0.1285 0.246
6 Archipelago 38 5.41% 39.42 63.16% -0.438 -1.0001 -0.551
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 14.63 37.5% -0.139 -0.154 -1.653
6 Other 224 14.86% 38.84 80.36% 0.658 0.0127 0.593
6 Star 108 28.7% 26.58 73.15% 0.568 0.6122 -1.05
6 Thematic 593 13.85% 41.92 64.25% -0.571 0.0923 -0.706
6 Two Centers (Default) 738 16.1% 27.21 76.29% -0.538 -0.9057 -0.862
7 Archipelago 5 40.0% 24.2 40.0% -0.856 -0.511 -0.256
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0598 -0.309
7 Other 13 0.0% 10.85 30.77% -0.287 -0.9777 -1.068

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3492 33.72 59.08% -0.32 -0.1894 -0.667
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3189 34.72 60.49% 0.251 0.2153 -0.35
All Things Weaken 1932 31.97 53.0% -0.355 0.0076 -1.032
Attenuated Essence 163 30.63 50.31% 0.115 0.1767 -1.005
Back Against the Wall 3093 32.93 56.13% 0.122 0.2123 -0.593
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 142 28.77 47.89% -1.097 -0.8926 -1.258
Burn Brightest Before the End 119 33.44 55.46% -0.189 -0.0523 -0.645
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3430 30.33 53.67% -0.325 0.075 -1.049
Downward Spiral 6048 31.53 64.05% 0.244 0.3901 -0.547
Erosion of Will 3525 32.5 56.28% -0.138 0.1698 -0.674
Intensifying Exploitation 172 25.62 42.44% -0.284 -0.0738 -1.407
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 867 36.69 77.85% 0.045 -0.4338 -0.076
Memory Fades to Dust 6195 30.98 60.37% 0.068 0.3633 -0.585
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2022 32.8 57.81% -0.058 0.0848 -0.759
Promising Farmlands 3356 30.2 52.68% -0.413 -0.0821 -1.015
Shattered Fragments of Power 126 33.14 57.14% 0.121 0.3157 -0.541
Slow Dissolution of Will 161 28.08 45.34% 0.161 0.6175 -1.63
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 588 37.41 83.67% 0.113 -0.6001 0.275
The Border of Life and Death 34 31.76 61.76% 0.194 -0.2069 -0.216
Thriving Communities 1951 31.12 54.69% -0.541 -0.2784 -0.846
Thriving Crops 73 30.36 63.01% 0.452 0.3731 -0.795
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.662
Unnatural Proliferation 2195 33.5 57.22% 0.031 0.1793 -0.945
Untended Land Crumbles 1966 31.98 54.93% -0.594 -0.2886 -0.847

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 30554 33.74% 32.49 79.77% -0.191 0.7805 -0.074
B 32998 32.76% 33.55 80.0% -0.111 0.7772 0.131
C 36487 32.85% 34.37 80.11% 0.03 0.7444 -0.003
D 28633 32.96% 33.0 80.48% -0.047 0.8758 0.028
E 17314 34.2% 33.69 79.13% 0.106 0.8404 0.247
F 26622 33.31% 32.27 79.86% -0.354 0.5009 -0.079
G 26696 33.31% 32.49 80.0% -0.192 0.6295 -0.026
H 27583 33.11% 32.93 79.89% -0.143 0.6581 0.01
East 7346 35.14% 42.13 71.28% -0.691 0.0494 0.021
Northeast 4823 33.34% 42.98 71.16% 0.044 0.807 -0.345
Northwest 3375 33.89% 39.99 70.7% -0.397 0.5833 -0.232
Southeast 1759 26.75% 39.49 71.69% -0.648 0.2185 -0.466
Southwest 1700 28.12% 38.89 71.71% -0.209 0.9678 -0.287
West 5639 37.03% 38.82 70.53% -0.463 0.4922 -0.407

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5146 0.0% 22.31 83.75% -0.868 -0.206 -0.601
Not Using Events or Tokens 19571 20.56% 31.24 88.16% -0.082 0.4137 -0.112
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4239 8.1% 38.53 92.95% 0.355 -0.3129 0.28
Start of Game Growth 6488 10.71% 40.16 90.92% 0.623 0.2044 0.319
Unlimited Undo 14424 27.44% 36.79 84.84% -0.212 -0.1476 0.864
Using Tokens but Not Events 19711 19.62% 32.95 87.04% 0.16 0.123 -0.341

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5849 100.0% 32.97 100.0% 0.197 0.0591 -0.392
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2175 100.97% 29.88 100.87% -0.524 -0.2792 -0.115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 38 44.74% 30.21 50.0% 0.124 -0.8095 0.353
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7061 100.0% 30.45 100.0% -0.176 -0.3624 -0.488
Downpour Drenches the World 612 100.0% 27.87 100.0% 0.031 0.3663 -0.32
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 569 100.0% 29.7 100.0% -0.085 -0.6057 -0.108
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8686 100.0% 32.36 100.0% 0.094 -0.3704 0.184
Finder of Paths Unseen 280 100.0% 25.98 100.0% -0.906 -0.04 -0.512
Fractured Days Split the Sky 794 100.0% 33.88 100.0% 0.383 0.9652 0.183
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 933 100.0% 31.25 100.0% 0.839 0.8377 0.523
Heart of the Wildfire 3252 100.0% 31.6 100.0% 0.049 0.3955 -0.233
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7534 100.48% 39.93 100.38% 0.044 -0.4321 0.552
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 48 25.0% 22.21 39.58% -0.48 -1.0333 -0.522
Lightning's Swift Strike 5024 123.91% 35.07 109.47% -0.218 -0.0447 0.463
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 446 31.46% 42.59 69.51% 0.349 -0.169 0.236
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 569 35.97% 34.11 79.26% 0.151 -0.1516 0.504
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 848 33.9% 34.19 73.82% -0.23 -0.3928 0.02
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3231 100.0% 35.51 100.0% -0.23 -0.4731 -0.39
Many Minds Move as One 1430 100.0% 33.31 100.0% 0.196 0.0016 0.667
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 5705 100.0% 36.05 100.0% 0.099 0.1273 0.466
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6858 100.0% 30.88 100.0% -0.077 -0.2564 -0.178
River Surges in Sunlight 5092 116.26% 34.08 106.44% 0.154 0.2025 0.199
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 945 33.41% 32.4 76.4% 0.032 0.335 -0.559
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 336 33.43% 32.97 68.75% 0.642 0.5895 0.037
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3964 100.0% 34.49 100.0% 0.008 -0.1659 0.13
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2159 130.24% 28.53 115.56% -0.6 0.0088 -0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 111 28.18% 32.32 68.47% 0.012 0.0825 0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 27 29.63% 37.0 74.07% 0.79 0.198 0.618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 150 33.56% 25.39 62.0% 0.154 0.103 -1.504
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 453 40.72% 29.65 73.95% -0.245 -0.2347 -0.369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 397 46.48% 29.3 70.03% -0.494 -0.3297 0.19
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4283 103.71% 36.98 101.17% -0.486 -0.3939 0.066
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 193 17.62% 39.13 74.09% 0.373 0.0884 0.228
Shifting Memory of Ages 915 100.0% 29.8 100.0% -0.432 -0.1789 -0.071
Shroud of Silent Mist 936 100.0% 30.49 100.0% -0.099 0.3031 -0.086
Starlight Seeks its Form 945 100.0% 33.16 100.0% 0.425 0.2088 0.375
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2904 100.0% 34.54 100.0% 0.037 -0.2758 0.321
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5387 100.0% 31.48 100.0% 0.014 0.1587 0.48
Thunderspeaker 4557 101.84% 36.07 101.08% -0.026 0.0187 -0.03
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 109 22.94% 28.31 55.05% -0.024 0.1741 -0.441
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1878 100.0% 30.69 100.0% 0.137 0.3548 -0.196
Vital Strength of the Earth 3211 112.21% 28.64 106.38% 0.059 0.5898 -0.247
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 213 36.1% 29.36 66.2% -0.287 0.1072 0.263
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 442 38.17% 27.14 69.91% -0.533 0.1933 -0.669
Volcano Looming High 1339 100.0% 31.89 100.0% 0.275 0.339 0.328
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 95 100.0% 28.64 100.0% 0.409 -0.1672 -0.121

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.09%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 84.87%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.21%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.23%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14108 17.88 16.61%
II 52755 30.73 76.7%
III 58771 34.75 92.66%
IV 17638 38.2 99.46%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2342
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 53461
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 38960
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17396
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4183
Lose: Invader deck ran out 728
Lose: Adversary condition 8488
Win: Sacrifice victory 332
Lose: Scenario condition 1295
Win: Scenario condition 2317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13468
Lose: Spirit destroyed 302

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.014 Win Model: -0.198

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.167 Win Model: -0.043
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 82685 31.45% 35.01 81.71%
2 34699 38.08% 32.47 77.56%
3 13221 36.36% 33.24 78.38%
4 10535 29.78% 34.39 79.95%
5 423 29.68% 27.41 75.18%
6 1709 15.55% 34.21 71.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-27 03:19:03 (Pacific Time)