Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 92 14.13% 25.65 76.09% -0.677 -0.7692 -0.076
Blitz 0 1694 33.15% 27.84 71.84% -0.939 -0.6408 -1.118
Dahan Insurrection 4 2445 22.05% 51.86 70.92% -0.32 -0.4473 0.513
Despicable Theft 2 266 36.47% 33.45 66.54% -0.847 -0.1039 0.132
Elemental Invocation 1 333 43.84% 26.47 60.96% -0.551 0.3069 -1.197
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11181 11.03% 49.94 82.83% 0.504 -0.0506 1.294
Powers Long Forgotten 1 935 50.48% 31.01 64.71% -1.403 -0.4939 -1.075
Rituals of Terror 3 750 33.43% 40.89 77.87% 0.218 0.0578 0.397
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 430 61.21% 36.59 65.81% -0.53 0.333 0.013
Second Wave 0 8791 29.0% 31.51 84.68% 0.132 0.2256 0.273
The Great River 3 429 39.02% 31.26 62.0% -1.357 0.1889 -1.276
Varied Terrains 2 239 34.87% 27.12 63.6% -0.061 0.7556 -1.159
Ward the Shores 2 1075 37.75% 34.37 66.6% -0.631 0.3904 -0.475

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 84057 31.05% 34.01 80.8% 0.403 0.7548 0.053
1 Thematic 5131 35.65% 39.98 71.92% 0.7 1.1943 -0.165
2 Archipelago 74 31.08% 33.66 75.68% 0.391 0.8919 0.805
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25294 38.13% 31.45 76.87% -0.111 0.1638 -0.131
2 Coastline 3529 34.95% 31.87 78.18% 0.244 0.2884 -0.148
2 Fragment 797 37.58% 29.43 76.29% -0.289 -0.5305 -0.031
2 Heart 464 38.31% 29.81 78.23% 0.529 0.3882 0.261
2 Opposite Shores 5156 34.48% 31.42 76.44% -0.009 0.0615 -0.562
2 Thematic 2254 44.77% 37.12 63.31% -0.549 -0.2993 -0.274
2 Top to Top 736 39.33% 31.95 76.36% 0.541 0.6088 0.037
3 Archipelago 67 46.88% 33.46 77.61% 0.376 -0.3716 -0.4
3 Coastline 136 38.24% 34.47 77.21% 0.323 -0.2832 -0.028
3 Other 787 38.27% 34.4 83.86% 1.076 0.5288 0.606
3 Round (Default) 13190 35.87% 32.42 77.13% 0.137 0.0156 -0.209
3 Sunrise 73 31.94% 30.18 76.71% 0.732 0.8989 0.85
3 Thematic 582 43.28% 33.59 65.64% -0.5 -1.0319 -0.344
4 Archipelago 50 20.83% 34.3 80.0% -0.875 -0.3229 0.0
4 Coastline 109 12.84% 28.99 91.74% -0.084 -0.6152 0.342
4 Leaf 65 32.81% 27.45 76.92% 0.856 0.4407 -1.104
4 Other 447 35.55% 31.72 86.35% 0.078 -0.0143 0.56
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.1264 0.0
4 Thematic 1784 29.81% 42.97 78.64% -0.088 -0.093 -0.228
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9124 29.49% 31.87 77.63% -0.146 0.0478 -0.609
5 Archipelago 11 27.27% 34.55 90.91% 0.271 0.118 0.0
5 Coastline 34 5.88% 23.85 73.53% -0.178 0.002 -0.9
5 Other 628 32.9% 29.37 77.87% 0.363 -0.0373 -0.248
5 Thematic 79 30.77% 36.65 72.15% -0.787 -1.3526 -0.032
6 Archipelago 144 2.1% 60.97 76.39% -0.427 -1.1455 0.068
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 15.7 40.0% 0.0 -0.854 -1.745
6 Other 261 15.5% 36.08 77.39% -0.739 -0.1446 0.047
6 Star 122 30.33% 27.06 72.95% -0.199 0.2428 -1.029
6 Thematic 799 13.03% 39.82 59.82% -1.013 -0.8893 -0.815
6 Two Centers (Default) 956 18.0% 25.77 72.28% -0.434 -0.5902 -0.925
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 15.13 25.0% -0.787 -0.1723 -0.425
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3167 -0.345
7 Other 24 17.39% 11.17 33.33% 0.056 -1.157 -1.147

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3717 33.5 58.76% -0.223 -0.0819 -0.522
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3390 34.5 60.09% -0.168 -0.2628 -0.204
All Things Weaken 2127 31.71 52.42% -0.852 -0.5376 -0.826
Attenuated Essence 307 29.83 45.6% -0.424 -0.3977 -0.843
Back Against the Wall 3281 32.77 56.14% 0.159 0.2033 -0.407
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 273 27.73 48.72% -0.357 -0.13 -1.118
Burn Brightest Before the End 217 32.38 53.92% -0.117 0.0727 -0.519
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3620 30.22 53.45% -0.588 -0.1776 -0.857
Downward Spiral 6463 31.12 63.55% -0.329 -0.2778 -0.368
Erosion of Will 3747 32.32 56.15% -0.005 0.2595 -0.508
Intensifying Exploitation 298 26.16 44.3% -0.322 -0.0115 -1.326
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 943 36.27 77.09% 0.839 0.3611 0.065
Memory Fades to Dust 6657 30.58 59.88% -0.268 -0.0471 -0.433
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2205 32.67 57.23% -0.429 -0.2423 -0.589
Promising Farmlands 3578 29.99 52.38% -0.369 -0.0733 -0.819
Shattered Fragments of Power 225 32.93 55.11% -0.377 -0.164 -0.457
Slow Dissolution of Will 287 29.36 46.69% -0.271 0.1078 -1.376
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 639 37.0 82.63% 0.374 -0.3867 0.402
The Border of Life and Death 70 33.01 67.14% 0.606 0.054 -0.185
Thriving Communities 2196 30.71 53.83% -0.123 0.1903 -0.724
Thriving Crops 132 32.02 59.85% -0.177 -0.1263 -0.498
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.491
Unnatural Proliferation 2392 33.22 56.4% -0.614 -0.4304 -0.735
Untended Land Crumbles 2194 31.77 54.92% 0.002 0.3643 -0.638

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 33880 33.49% 31.87 78.22% -0.276 0.5756 -0.093
B 36389 32.57% 32.92 78.4% -0.26 0.5606 0.081
C 40235 32.67% 33.77 78.64% -0.143 0.5372 0.006
D 31655 32.58% 32.37 78.88% -0.198 0.6292 -0.005
E 19715 33.72% 32.79 77.55% 0.086 0.7727 0.195
F 29365 33.16% 31.54 78.21% -0.281 0.5215 -0.096
G 29571 33.08% 31.85 78.35% -0.345 0.5102 -0.043
H 30549 32.81% 32.25 78.22% -0.106 0.6584 -0.021
East 8037 34.07% 41.12 69.58% -0.939 -0.064 -0.01
Northeast 5305 32.08% 42.04 69.33% -0.643 0.2023 -0.378
Northwest 3760 32.45% 39.01 68.8% -0.567 0.3141 -0.324
Southeast 2091 25.53% 38.01 68.24% -0.108 0.7383 -0.554
Southwest 2034 26.0% 37.41 67.65% 0.811 2.0893 -0.713
West 6226 35.69% 37.81 68.66% -0.79 0.2441 -0.545

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5711 0.0% 21.63 81.16% -0.726 -0.0045 -0.783
Not Using Events or Tokens 21445 20.87% 30.37 86.13% -0.241 0.191 -0.151
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4572 7.99% 37.96 91.4% 0.355 -0.2536 0.187
Start of Game Growth 7028 10.56% 39.68 89.66% 0.658 0.0343 0.415
Unlimited Undo 15758 27.0% 35.74 82.81% -0.302 -0.2958 0.765
Using Tokens but Not Events 21868 19.99% 32.45 85.18% 0.216 0.2322 -0.355

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6429 27.24% 32.85 76.15% 0.087 -0.1012 -0.319
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 59 29.31% 26.15 62.71% 0.343 -0.3565 0.027
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2301 46.1% 29.25 71.27% -0.083 0.2261 -0.075
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 140 32.12% 28.94 64.29% -0.09 -0.7697 -0.426
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7785 28.74% 29.56 79.51% -0.005 -0.1514 -0.378
Downpour Drenches the World 868 27.6% 26.5 66.24% -0.379 -0.1671 -0.343
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 902 36.16% 29.74 66.19% 0.59 0.1875 -0.043
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9598 25.25% 31.4 81.73% 0.287 -0.1019 -0.084
Finder of Paths Unseen 373 31.79% 25.1 57.37% -0.453 0.2118 -0.211
Fractured Days Split the Sky 962 32.21% 31.99 71.83% -0.033 0.6592 -0.077
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1230 38.39% 30.14 71.71% 0.248 0.1721 0.358
Heart of the Wildfire 3559 45.71% 30.88 72.32% -0.105 0.1675 -0.226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8076 28.32% 39.32 80.78% 0.319 -0.0339 0.498
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 225 26.67% 23.51 45.78% -0.901 -1.3496 -0.723
Lightning's Swift Strike 5475 33.66% 33.77 76.46% -0.286 -0.0087 0.325
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 728 27.8% 43.23 67.03% 0.401 0.0327 0.088
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 640 36.32% 33.45 79.22% 0.719 0.2904 0.656
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1022 32.03% 33.32 70.16% 0.33 0.3078 0.045
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3735 33.48% 34.56 71.54% -0.424 -0.693 -0.359
Many Minds Move as One 1606 33.17% 32.14 79.02% -0.258 -0.4202 0.632
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6337 34.42% 36.27 76.91% 0.312 0.2153 0.572
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7599 32.0% 30.74 78.0% -0.11 -0.2833 0.007
River Surges in Sunlight 5631 30.3% 34.3 79.03% 0.295 0.3853 0.341
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 26 19.23% 31.15 73.08% 0.535 0.4085 -0.263
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1074 32.25% 31.63 74.58% -0.486 -0.044 -0.451
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 497 33.54% 32.93 66.6% -0.003 0.0785 0.009
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4301 32.75% 33.79 73.82% -0.286 -0.4944 0.206
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2282 41.01% 28.04 74.01% -0.098 0.414 -0.36
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 150 28.19% 29.71 69.33% 0.078 0.1509 0.353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 145 34.48% 33.22 74.48% 1.476 1.0108 0.264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 179 33.91% 24.58 60.34% 0.133 0.4212 -1.544
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 511 38.35% 28.69 72.41% -0.461 -0.5285 -0.337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 439 44.21% 27.89 66.74% -0.663 -0.4051 0.025
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4508 30.65% 36.36 77.66% -0.186 -0.3596 0.155
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 352 19.66% 38.94 72.44% 0.047 -0.0857 0.517
Shifting Memory of Ages 1103 36.38% 28.39 70.53% -0.187 0.2054 -0.096
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 75 34.67% 27.44 61.33% 0.452 0.1537 0.489
Shroud of Silent Mist 1138 44.02% 29.53 74.6% -0.051 0.2708 -0.103
Starlight Seeks its Form 1208 34.06% 32.17 72.6% -0.186 -0.2975 0.266
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3266 36.27% 33.75 72.75% -0.125 -0.7457 0.21
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5862 28.78% 30.68 80.23% -0.518 -0.3226 0.546
Thunderspeaker 4887 31.9% 35.59 77.49% 0.594 0.5567 0.123
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 180 24.44% 25.39 51.11% -0.188 -0.0213 -0.751
Towering Roots of the Jungle 116 35.34% 26.39 59.48% -0.138 -0.1417 0.62
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2061 52.39% 30.18 67.78% -0.327 -0.2457 -0.12
Vital Strength of the Earth 3501 28.96% 28.17 78.58% 0.164 0.7591 -0.211
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 321 35.58% 26.51 59.81% -0.442 0.0821 0.279
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 513 37.25% 26.2 67.25% -0.41 0.3026 -0.338
Volcano Looming High 1635 41.37% 30.67 72.78% 0.225 0.3251 0.312
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 302 33.0% 28.14 63.58% 0.229 -0.0753 -0.125

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.25%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.02%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17649 15.54 14.13%
II 57047 30.46 76.11%
III 63322 34.79 92.58%
IV 19061 38.44 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2492
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57566
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 41834
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18801
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7419
Lose: Invader deck ran out 783
Lose: Adversary condition 9171
Win: Sacrifice victory 356
Lose: Scenario condition 1378
Win: Scenario condition 2448
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14504
Lose: Spirit destroyed 327

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.336 Win Model: -0.169

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.163 Win Model: 0.015
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 89937 31.41% 34.35 80.24%
2 38004 37.79% 31.75 76.15%
3 14693 36.22% 32.6 77.19%
4 11557 29.34% 33.49 78.26%
5 589 29.57% 26.68 72.84%
6 2299 15.67% 34.24 68.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-11 06:22:48 (Pacific Time)