Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 968 36.28% 29.91 -0.031 76.76% -0.744 -0.1631
Dahan Insurrection 4 1416 25.02% 55.13 -0.029 75.0% -0.537 -0.1337
Despicable Theft 2 42 45.24% 43.71 -0.016 76.19% -0.031 0.3191
Elemental Invocation 1 67 46.27% 31.55 -0.019 76.12% -0.43 -0.0582
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6207 11.63% 48.58 0.013 83.76% -0.062 0.3029
Powers Long Forgotten 1 625 56.11% 33.23 -0.07 64.32% -0.825 -0.3842
Rituals of Terror 3 465 37.14% 42.65 -0.027 77.63% -0.663 -0.0283
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 291 64.01% 40.95 -0.038 71.82% -0.564 0.0771
Second Wave 0 4894 30.42% 32.65 0.001 85.59% -0.664 -0.2396
The Great River 3 160 43.75% 36.3 -0.043 75.63% -1.34 0.0807
Ward the Shores 2 643 39.27% 37.18 -0.06 69.98% -1.148 -0.107

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 45192 31.68% 35.41 0.01 83.83% -1.02 -0.6926
1 Thematic 2931 38.61% 40.81 -0.022 74.41% -1.054 -0.5799
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 13779 38.65% 33.35 -0.004 80.62% -0.557 -0.3603
2 Coastline 1678 39.37% 32.86 -0.002 80.87% -0.613 -0.4619
2 Fragment 429 38.07% 32.02 -0.006 79.95% -0.596 -0.1913
2 Heart 244 40.17% 29.88 -0.004 81.56% -0.964 -0.6515
2 Opposite Shores 2622 32.71% 33.29 -0.008 80.59% -0.778 -0.5551
2 Thematic 1259 46.49% 37.49 -0.054 66.24% -0.88 -0.8515
2 Top to Top 353 43.23% 31.46 -0.033 73.65% -1.062 -0.9217
3 Coastline 58 39.66% 39.4 0.014 82.76% 0.511 0.4641
3 Other 516 41.1% 38.12 0.028 85.27% 0.369 0.8072
3 Round (Default) 7073 35.56% 34.02 -0.001 80.26% 0.121 0.1789
3 Sunrise 51 33.33% 31.94 -0.021 76.47% -0.3 -0.497
3 Thematic 340 44.25% 36.57 -0.052 66.47% -0.279 -0.6403
4 Coastline 14 21.43% 38.57 0.05 92.86% 1.036 1.2069
4 Leaf 33 28.13% 28.61 -0.024 78.79% -0.092 -0.0285
4 Other 246 35.15% 34.63 0.032 86.99% 1.021 1.1523
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 0.075 100.0% 0.301 -0.4791
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 0.146 100.0% 0.518 0.6733
4 Thematic 1199 30.98% 43.71 0.007 78.23% 1.105 0.0449
4 Trapezoid (Default) 5340 29.87% 33.74 -0.002 80.32% 0.629 0.6668
5 Other 87 34.88% 36.92 0.081 95.4% 2.357 2.158
5 Thematic 16 37.5% 40.0 0.081 93.75% 1.266 -1.691

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2265 34.08 -0.108 59.96% -1.765 0.3053
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2094 35.01 -0.106 60.22% -1.739 0.1826
All Things Weaken 927 32.14 -0.143 52.1% -2.128 0.0251
Back Against the Wall 1966 33.36 -0.128 55.85% -1.959 0.1378
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2220 30.75 -0.137 54.01% -2.043 0.1828
Downward Spiral 3822 31.55 -0.103 63.61% -1.865 0.1539
Erosion of Will 2262 32.72 -0.13 55.88% -1.999 0.2118
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 425 36.84 -0.021 78.59% -0.857 -0.1638
Memory Fades to Dust 3947 31.54 -0.118 60.37% -1.993 0.2224
Power Corrodes the Spirit 958 33.59 -0.109 58.98% -1.756 0.2612
Promising Farmlands 2214 30.39 -0.147 52.26% -2.159 0.0547
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 269 37.8 -0.011 80.67% -0.706 -0.2755
Thriving Communities 975 31.84 -0.126 55.69% -1.925 0.1708
Tipping Point 992 33.38 -0.12 57.46% -1.813 0.4086
Unnatural Proliferation 1040 33.32 -0.118 56.92% -1.849 0.2371
Untended Land Crumbles 960 31.96 -0.126 55.21% -1.915 0.1806

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 10589 34.55% 33.51 0.002 82.6% 0.232 -0.8698
B 10855 33.42% 34.7 0.0 82.13% 0.195 -1.0008
C 14181 33.4% 36.38 0.005 82.19% 0.362 -1.0669
D 9669 31.9% 34.43 0.006 83.74% 0.274 -0.9172
E 4269 36.41% 36.09 0.004 81.21% 0.348 -0.9508
F 8837 32.9% 33.52 0.0 83.01% 0.147 -1.1076
G 9603 33.94% 33.84 -0.002 81.82% 0.181 -1.061
H 10003 33.24% 34.54 0.003 82.72% 0.26 -0.9973
East 1675 37.86% 43.96 -0.021 73.25% -0.051 -1.0107
Northeast 1287 37.3% 43.15 -0.015 75.14% -0.14 -1.041
Northwest 844 40.8% 38.64 -0.039 70.02% -0.394 -1.3688
Southeast 311 39.23% 36.98 -0.013 76.85% -0.293 -1.2977
Southwest 286 40.35% 34.08 -0.026 74.48% -0.491 -1.0906
West 1058 44.14% 38.05 -0.05 67.01% -0.539 -1.2391

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 2914 0.0% 23.67 -0.022 88.13% -1.58 0.4686
Not Using Events or Tokens 10549 21.81% 31.37 0.027 90.67% 0.222 0.4425
Skip Initial Invader Actions 2642 7.49% 40.99 0.038 95.57% 0.768 0.0635
Start of Game Growth 3940 9.96% 41.35 0.034 93.25% 0.496 0.0445
Unlimited Undo 7925 28.18% 38.32 0.026 88.14% 0.565 0.148
Using Tokens but Not Events 10991 20.65% 33.01 0.022 89.14% 0.085 0.0337

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 3435 28.9% 33.71 -0.014 78.22% -0.332 -0.1965
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1392 48.24% 31.65 -0.02 75.22% -0.258 -0.0268
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 4354 30.78% 32.4 0.003 82.66% -0.035 -0.1212
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5204 26.55% 33.82 0.016 85.51% 0.206 -0.1645
Fractured Days Split the Sky 317 35.35% 36.57 0.013 82.02% 0.215 0.5763
Heart of the Wildfire 2111 49.06% 31.97 -0.017 75.08% -0.105 0.2441
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4670 30.76% 39.93 0.015 83.25% 0.296 -0.0056
Lightning's Swift Strike 3702 36.78% 35.53 -0.002 79.28% 0.065 0.3265
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 961 38.58% 36.98 -0.009 77.63% -0.067 -0.3563
Many Minds Move as One 663 35.55% 35.74 0.023 84.16% 0.419 -0.1077
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3436 37.25% 36.42 0.003 79.74% 0.168 -0.0283
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 4193 34.23% 31.88 -0.007 80.28% -0.213 -0.1688
River Surges in Sunlight 3552 35.42% 34.14 -0.007 79.59% -0.177 -0.0242
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2477 34.34% 35.52 -0.015 76.75% -0.2 -0.0554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1906 43.91% 30.72 -0.022 76.44% -0.386 0.0558
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2787 32.03% 37.38 -0.005 79.58% -0.157 -0.2288
Shroud of Silent Mist 142 51.08% 34.35 0.018 83.1% 0.357 0.3334
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1604 39.39% 34.71 -0.012 75.56% -0.073 -0.0934
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3314 31.44% 33.76 0.01 83.71% 0.119 0.3283
Thunderspeaker 2803 35.26% 36.57 -0.014 77.31% -0.142 -0.0884
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1144 55.05% 30.84 -0.042 67.74% -0.344 -0.3307
Vital Strength of the Earth 2172 32.31% 30.08 -0.009 80.11% -0.301 0.5671
Volcano Looming High 350 43.84% 35.81 0.003 78.86% 0.25 0.2208

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 77.79%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 84.23%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.23%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.08%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6517 22.33 20.32%
II 30801 30.75 76.42%
III 35443 34.25 92.54%
IV 10706 37.47 99.3%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1323
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 32148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 22585
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10542
Lose: Invader deck ran out 460
Lose: Adversary condition 5377
Win: Sacrifice victory 184
Lose: Scenario condition 873
Win: Scenario condition 1512
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8281
Lose: Spirit destroyed 182

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.445 Win Model: -0.277

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.002 Win Model: -0.606
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 48373 32.18% 35.75 83.27%
2 20324 38.55% 33.44 79.63%
3 7945 36.16% 34.4 79.97%
4 6825 30.06% 35.45 80.26%

Power Progression

Score Model: -0.007 Win Model: -0.804
Power Progression? Completed Average Score Win Rate
Standard 78565 35.69 81.56%
Power Progression 4902 24.59 86.01%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-01-22 01:48:30 (Pacific Time)