Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 96 13.54% 26.42 75.0% -0.887 -1.1072 0.279
Blitz 0 1698 33.07% 27.79 71.73% -0.978 -0.6916 -1.111
Dahan Insurrection 4 2459 21.94% 51.82 70.96% -0.246 -0.3613 0.517
Despicable Theft 2 269 36.06% 33.46 66.54% -0.534 0.2045 0.134
Elemental Invocation 1 335 43.58% 26.31 60.6% -0.82 -0.0639 -1.194
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 11217 11.02% 49.93 82.83% 0.644 0.0628 1.301
Powers Long Forgotten 1 939 50.27% 30.94 64.54% -1.778 -0.924 -1.069
Rituals of Terror 3 753 33.29% 40.89 77.95% 0.358 0.1881 0.4
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 432 60.93% 36.59 65.74% -0.575 0.3356 0.018
Second Wave 0 8821 28.99% 31.49 84.63% 0.184 0.263 0.275
The Great River 3 435 38.94% 30.98 61.38% -1.511 -0.1476 -1.313
Varied Terrains 2 244 35.8% 27.02 62.7% -0.145 0.7348 -1.155
Ward the Shores 2 1081 37.72% 34.35 66.51% -0.809 0.1727 -0.474

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 84468 31.03% 33.97 80.72% 0.551 0.8948 0.064
1 Thematic 5149 35.59% 39.91 71.84% 0.605 1.1329 -0.158
2 Archipelago 75 30.67% 33.64 76.0% 0.572 1.0713 0.813
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 25427 38.07% 31.4 76.77% -0.061 0.2237 -0.133
2 Coastline 3568 34.92% 31.82 78.0% 0.231 0.2603 -0.135
2 Fragment 802 37.47% 29.51 76.18% 0.121 -0.1163 -0.011
2 Heart 468 38.19% 29.72 78.21% 0.421 0.2729 0.267
2 Opposite Shores 5185 34.51% 31.38 76.34% -0.013 0.0457 -0.554
2 Thematic 2261 44.76% 37.09 63.29% -0.522 -0.1517 -0.244
2 Top to Top 740 39.36% 32.04 76.49% 0.664 0.7874 0.041
3 Archipelago 67 46.88% 33.46 77.61% 0.437 -0.3608 -0.398
3 Coastline 137 37.96% 34.22 76.64% 0.028 -0.5214 -0.026
3 Other 792 38.28% 34.38 83.59% 0.753 0.2153 0.584
3 Round (Default) 13250 35.84% 32.41 77.13% 0.256 0.1627 -0.208
3 Sunrise 73 31.94% 30.18 76.71% 0.0 0.151 0.853
3 Thematic 585 43.22% 33.57 65.47% -0.633 -1.151 -0.335
4 Archipelago 50 20.83% 34.3 80.0% -1.002 -0.5687 0.0
4 Coastline 109 12.84% 28.99 91.74% -0.089 -0.8496 0.334
4 Leaf 65 32.81% 27.45 76.92% 0.308 0.0962 -1.108
4 Other 449 35.39% 31.84 86.41% 0.122 0.1296 0.561
4 Reverse Snake 3 33.33% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1787 29.82% 42.96 78.68% -0.089 0.0443 -0.224
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9166 29.45% 31.83 77.56% -0.148 -0.0406 -0.607
5 Archipelago 11 27.27% 34.55 90.91% 0.179 0.3472 0.0
5 Coastline 34 5.88% 23.85 73.53% 0.164 -0.3422 -0.9
5 Other 632 33.01% 29.27 77.53% 0.173 -0.3419 -0.265
5 Thematic 79 30.77% 36.65 72.15% -0.511 -1.4937 -0.052
6 Archipelago 147 2.05% 61.53 76.87% -0.644 -1.3736 0.082
6 Coastline 10 0.0% 15.7 40.0% 0.0 -1.0392 -1.731
6 Other 264 15.33% 36.13 77.27% -0.515 0.1199 0.035
6 Star 123 30.08% 27.02 73.17% 0.449 0.6937 -1.043
6 Thematic 813 12.81% 39.93 60.27% -1.057 -0.7337 -0.825
6 Two Centers (Default) 964 17.95% 25.74 72.3% -0.644 -0.7478 -0.954
7 Archipelago 8 28.57% 15.13 25.0% -0.922 -0.3306 -0.438
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3414 -0.352
7 Other 24 17.39% 11.17 33.33% -0.086 -1.5229 -1.162

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3724 33.5 58.78% -0.102 0.0021 -0.509
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3396 34.53 60.16% -0.018 -0.1632 -0.196
All Things Weaken 2134 31.69 52.34% -0.87 -0.5038 -0.827
Attenuated Essence 310 30.01 45.81% -0.01 -0.0117 -0.817
Back Against the Wall 3287 32.76 56.16% 0.011 0.0764 -0.399
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 284 28.13 49.3% -0.109 0.1256 -1.037
Burn Brightest Before the End 220 32.34 53.64% -0.338 -0.1773 -0.535
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3630 30.2 53.42% -0.621 -0.2451 -0.851
Downward Spiral 6485 31.12 63.58% -0.177 -0.1046 -0.36
Erosion of Will 3759 32.31 56.08% 0.028 0.2845 -0.496
Intensifying Exploitation 304 26.34 44.74% -0.381 -0.1066 -1.279
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 951 36.22 76.97% 0.7 0.2131 0.077
Memory Fades to Dust 6678 30.58 59.87% -0.249 -0.0664 -0.43
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2217 32.69 57.37% -0.214 -0.0012 -0.577
Promising Farmlands 3584 29.99 52.4% -0.333 -0.0105 -0.809
Shattered Fragments of Power 229 33.35 55.9% -0.204 -0.0339 -0.356
Slow Dissolution of Will 293 29.41 46.76% -0.213 0.1712 -1.383
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 641 37.0 82.53% 0.247 -0.4291 0.409
The Border of Life and Death 74 33.62 67.57% 0.423 -0.0931 -0.177
Thriving Communities 2213 30.64 53.68% -0.34 -0.0163 -0.72
Thriving Crops 134 32.39 60.45% -0.021 -0.0199 -0.434
Tipping Point 994 33.4 57.55% 0.0 0.0 -0.481
Unnatural Proliferation 2400 33.2 56.38% -0.339 -0.1527 -0.722
Untended Land Crumbles 2207 31.78 54.92% 0.027 0.3657 -0.632

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 34085 33.46% 31.84 78.15% -0.389 0.4741 -0.09
B 36541 32.57% 32.9 78.36% -0.369 0.452 0.091
C 40464 32.65% 33.72 78.52% -0.331 0.3669 0.005
D 31816 32.55% 32.34 78.81% -0.404 0.4518 -0.011
E 19849 33.65% 32.76 77.47% -0.092 0.5964 0.203
F 29525 33.09% 31.51 78.14% -0.437 0.3809 -0.097
G 29716 33.0% 31.82 78.27% -0.516 0.3648 -0.046
H 30679 32.76% 32.23 78.19% -0.299 0.4811 -0.022
East 8075 33.99% 41.09 69.57% -1.101 -0.3086 -0.038
Northeast 5326 32.01% 42.03 69.38% -0.665 0.2163 -0.378
Northwest 3778 32.34% 39.03 68.87% -0.664 0.2071 -0.327
Southeast 2110 25.3% 38.07 68.44% 0.149 1.0075 -0.555
Southwest 2050 25.8% 37.48 67.8% 0.807 2.0165 -0.696
West 6258 35.6% 37.78 68.65% -0.732 0.3282 -0.553

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5755 0.0% 21.56 80.87% -0.815 -0.0995 -0.792
Not Using Events or Tokens 21558 20.89% 30.32 85.99% -0.283 0.191 -0.147
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4587 7.97% 37.99 91.39% 0.493 -0.0741 0.197
Start of Game Growth 7062 10.53% 39.69 89.63% 0.866 0.2013 0.435
Unlimited Undo 15842 26.98% 35.67 82.65% -0.32 -0.2966 0.761
Using Tokens but Not Events 21979 19.99% 32.43 85.1% 0.128 0.1759 -0.359

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6448 27.27% 32.85 76.13% 0.027 -0.1696 -0.324
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 68 28.36% 25.79 60.29% 0.139 -0.5752 0.09
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2305 46.06% 29.23 71.28% -0.089 0.1798 -0.083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 143 32.14% 28.77 64.34% -0.258 -0.8258 -0.422
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7823 28.71% 29.55 79.5% 0.013 -0.118 -0.37
Downpour Drenches the World 884 27.21% 26.51 66.29% -0.272 -0.0024 -0.314
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 910 36.06% 29.79 66.26% 0.698 0.2666 -0.036
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9648 25.18% 31.37 81.71% 0.413 -0.0104 -0.088
Finder of Paths Unseen 377 31.72% 25.16 57.29% -0.654 0.0034 -0.215
Fractured Days Split the Sky 974 31.92% 31.99 71.97% 0.21 1.0182 -0.058
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1245 38.16% 30.11 71.81% 0.418 0.3008 0.362
Heart of the Wildfire 3570 45.73% 30.88 72.3% -0.199 0.0886 -0.229
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 8112 28.21% 39.27 80.68% 0.198 -0.1952 0.465
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 235 27.66% 23.72 45.53% -0.941 -1.3455 -0.81
Lightning's Swift Strike 5498 33.63% 33.73 76.41% -0.304 -0.0368 0.327
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 737 27.5% 43.22 67.03% 0.302 -0.0498 0.082
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 642 36.52% 33.49 79.28% 0.66 0.2193 0.654
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1031 31.94% 33.4 70.13% 0.359 0.316 0.059
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3768 33.34% 34.54 71.55% -0.287 -0.5372 -0.365
Many Minds Move as One 1614 33.0% 32.13 78.93% -0.161 -0.3909 0.632
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6365 34.36% 36.3 76.95% 0.337 0.2334 0.577
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7646 32.08% 30.71 77.9% 0.014 -0.1422 -0.007
River Surges in Sunlight 5652 30.2% 34.34 79.05% 0.437 0.5257 0.336
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 32 15.63% 29.88 75.0% 0.572 0.4607 -0.258
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1086 32.0% 31.53 74.31% -0.491 -0.1012 -0.421
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 502 33.6% 32.89 66.33% -0.12 0.0177 0.006
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4317 32.69% 33.81 73.82% -0.16 -0.3535 0.198
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2284 40.97% 28.02 73.95% -0.521 -0.0354 -0.367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 152 27.81% 29.32 68.42% -0.264 -0.2087 0.351
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 146 34.25% 33.53 74.66% 1.699 1.2308 0.279
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 180 33.71% 24.57 60.56% 0.174 0.3897 -1.55
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 516 38.25% 28.66 72.29% -0.264 -0.2344 -0.337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 441 44.0% 27.88 66.89% -0.545 -0.3726 0.02
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4516 30.64% 36.35 77.66% 0.018 -0.1341 0.164
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 363 19.89% 38.94 72.45% 0.27 0.0709 0.546
Shifting Memory of Ages 1111 36.21% 28.33 70.39% -0.353 0.0958 -0.103
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 85 31.76% 26.65 60.0% 0.326 0.0211 0.526
Shroud of Silent Mist 1150 43.73% 29.61 74.7% -0.01 0.3264 -0.074
Starlight Seeks its Form 1218 33.78% 32.17 72.58% 0.009 -0.0459 0.268
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3289 36.29% 33.72 72.64% -0.135 -0.7576 0.21
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5891 28.78% 30.65 80.12% -0.529 -0.3357 0.537
Thunderspeaker 4901 31.83% 35.57 77.51% 0.713 0.6587 0.121
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 183 24.59% 25.46 50.82% -0.23 -0.0955 -0.759
Towering Roots of the Jungle 128 33.59% 25.8 60.16% -0.13 -0.1207 0.632
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2070 52.21% 30.15 67.73% -0.786 -0.703 -0.135
Vital Strength of the Earth 3515 28.9% 28.18 78.63% 0.109 0.7031 -0.214
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 324 35.24% 26.48 60.19% -0.524 -0.0844 0.27
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 517 37.35% 26.08 67.12% -0.137 0.5543 -0.352
Volcano Looming High 1642 41.44% 30.68 72.72% 0.208 0.3111 0.306
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 309 33.55% 28.06 63.11% 0.057 -0.1953 -0.157

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Tangled Growth 78.26%
Foul Vapors and Fetid Muck 85.03%
Intractable Thickets and Thorns 98.2%
Open Shifting Waterways 91.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17855 15.45 14.01%
II 57291 30.45 76.09%
III 63577 34.8 92.59%
IV 19156 38.47 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2501
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 57797
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 42002
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18895
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7619
Lose: Invader deck ran out 788
Lose: Adversary condition 9212
Win: Sacrifice victory 356
Lose: Scenario condition 1380
Win: Scenario condition 2462
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14540
Lose: Spirit destroyed 327

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.334 Win Model: -0.174

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.147 Win Model: 0.059
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 90373 31.38% 34.31 80.17%
2 38223 37.74% 31.71 76.05%
3 14758 36.17% 32.6 77.19%
4 11604 29.3% 33.45 78.21%
5 593 29.71% 26.6 72.51%
6 2328 15.51% 34.34 68.64%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)