Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 263 17.87% 24.75 74.14% 0.148 -0.0734 0.408
Blitz 0 2650 24.12% 30.23 73.89% 0.456 0.6745 -0.68
Dahan Insurrection 4 8913 15.69% 58.95 76.01% -0.874 -0.6982 1.114
Despicable Theft 2 472 22.72% 30.84 68.86% -0.272 0.2035 -0.005
Elemental Invocation 1 599 28.26% 26.75 61.44% -1.006 -0.4257 -0.904
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 8512 9.21% 41.0 71.78% -0.269 -0.7695 0.475
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1840 36.55% 31.76 71.25% -0.489 0.3963 -0.587
Rituals of Terror 3 1451 40.03% 45.93 68.3% -0.935 -0.3791 0.557
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 583 59.48% 34.38 58.66% 0.104 0.9347 -0.234
Second Wave 0 12682 26.25% 32.63 85.62% 0.353 0.2947 1.287
The Great River 3 325 28.31% 22.36 36.62% -1.862 -0.6691 -0.206
Varied Terrains 2 281 33.81% 26.07 58.01% 0.107 0.6717 -1.131
Ward the Shores 2 1141 34.24% 30.49 58.46% -1.581 -0.6586 -0.609

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 136526 24.47% 34.89 79.73% 0.518 0.9106 1.741
1 Thematic 6603 28.2% 41.55 73.48% -0.65 0.0868 0.954
2 Archipelago 217 22.79% 42.06 64.06% -0.852 -0.9874 -0.256
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 40718 32.81% 30.93 76.43% 0.218 0.4805 0.817
2 Coastline 6476 25.95% 32.42 80.25% 0.096 0.1929 1.1
2 Fragment 1106 33.96% 27.35 79.02% 0.63 1.121 1.745
2 Heart 633 34.39% 28.39 80.09% 0.629 0.3603 1.042
2 Opposite Shores 8524 33.08% 31.74 75.28% 0.234 0.4455 0.761
2 Thematic 3089 39.48% 39.17 66.04% 1.053 1.6101 0.919
2 Top to Top 1271 32.06% 33.29 77.58% -0.772 -0.8961 0.965
3 Archipelago 122 38.66% 43.11 78.69% 0.438 0.8634 0.123
3 Coastline 243 26.36% 34.89 76.54% 0.753 -0.1207 1.326
3 Other 1088 28.5% 27.63 78.49% 0.343 0.1308 1.143
3 Round (Default) 24136 30.52% 31.01 76.51% 0.446 0.6591 -0.163
3 Sunrise 111 35.45% 30.19 72.07% 0.277 -0.0994 0.0
3 Thematic 892 37.87% 32.06 62.78% -0.039 -0.2227 -1.254
4 Archipelago 85 28.05% 33.88 81.18% -0.513 -1.145 0.0
4 Coastline 115 14.91% 30.12 74.78% 0.299 0.1394 -0.357
4 Leaf 125 33.33% 27.7 72.0% 0.093 -0.1807 -0.284
4 Other 564 34.77% 32.92 81.91% -0.072 -0.4716 -0.033
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 10 70.0% 24.7 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 1970 37.12% 38.74 70.51% -0.358 -0.1689 -0.03
4 Trapezoid (Default) 16981 24.45% 28.12 66.9% -0.074 0.1892 -1.145
5 Archipelago 37 45.95% 36.95 78.38% 0.114 0.526 0.0
5 Coastline 65 9.23% 41.06 83.08% 0.203 -0.6338 -0.556
5 Other 1270 24.3% 27.9 78.43% 0.957 0.6965 -0.833
5 Thematic 98 38.78% 34.07 64.29% 0.0 -0.2068 -0.213
6 Archipelago 60 16.95% 35.43 80.0% 0.006 -0.7242 -0.998
6 Coastline 29 10.34% 33.69 58.62% 0.0 -0.1191 0.0
6 Other 423 21.53% 27.34 66.9% -0.754 -0.7537 -1.557
6 Star 272 18.75% 28.31 74.63% -0.68 -0.4396 -0.406
6 Thematic 983 26.1% 25.68 56.36% -0.525 -0.2625 -2.354
6 Two Centers (Default) 2097 17.26% 28.1 68.48% -0.506 0.5736 -2.183
7 Archipelago 15 26.67% 28.0 40.0% -0.626 0.4356 0.0
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4009 0.0
7 Other 35 17.14% 15.23 42.86% -0.456 -0.417 0.0
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4612 34.8 59.22% -0.168 -0.0957 0.468
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4224 37.09 62.26% 0.174 0.1276 0.706
All Things Weaken 3090 34.19 55.24% -0.355 0.0136 0.107
Attenuated Essence 717 32.29 53.14% 0.147 0.1752 0.326
Back Against the Wall 4194 35.73 60.01% 0.136 0.0554 0.731
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 739 31.94 51.69% 0.076 0.2787 0.157
Burn Brightest Before the End 659 34.16 49.47% -0.548 -0.4475 0.738
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4524 32.58 57.12% 0.04 0.4017 0.137
Downward Spiral 8482 32.47 64.76% -0.108 0.0944 0.784
Erosion of Will 4623 34.44 58.62% -0.55 -0.2247 -0.002
Intensifying Exploitation 719 29.29 45.06% -0.565 -0.2475 -0.138
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1519 37.6 73.93% 0.504 -0.0153 -0.091
Memory Fades to Dust 8368 31.87 61.45% -0.129 0.147 0.48
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3071 34.51 58.38% -0.323 -0.1251 0.393
Promising Farmlands 4586 32.86 58.02% -0.305 0.0667 0.05
Shattered Fragments of Power 576 33.92 51.22% 0.242 0.4335 0.225
Slow Dissolution of Will 756 31.34 46.3% 0.204 0.5799 0.015
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1024 38.56 80.86% 0.047 -0.5368 0.553
The Border of Life and Death 197 31.27 62.44% 0.017 -0.6435 -0.092
Thriving Communities 3030 33.1 55.35% 0.051 0.2721 -0.022
Thriving Crops 369 33.89 59.62% 0.352 0.2449 0.417
Tipping Point 1052 35.57 62.45% -0.556 0.0167 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3218 35.53 57.12% 0.592 0.6888 0.971
Untended Land Crumbles 3113 33.25 55.48% -0.492 -0.2923 0.487

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 55534 27.36% 30.87 75.36% -0.0 0.9074 0.041
B 64560 28.07% 31.45 74.01% 0.195 1.0248 0.455
C 58965 26.97% 32.0 76.9% 0.201 0.9525 0.202
D 53817 26.52% 31.04 76.24% 0.036 0.9072 0.199
E 38567 28.85% 33.56 76.22% 0.162 0.8645 0.57
F 55146 26.58% 31.72 76.56% 0.169 0.9804 0.073
G 47351 28.68% 30.31 74.57% -0.177 0.6438 0.063
H 53947 26.61% 32.6 76.72% 0.128 0.8863 0.387
East 9781 33.48% 37.99 67.99% -0.479 0.4419 -0.009
Northeast 6341 32.39% 37.11 68.06% 0.181 0.9043 0.273
Northwest 4809 33.54% 35.53 66.42% -0.077 0.9063 -0.82
Southeast 2796 31.19% 31.79 63.7% -0.775 0.0771 -0.483
Southwest 2512 34.39% 27.63 57.72% -0.289 0.9875 -1.016
West 8590 34.44% 38.09 67.03% -0.56 0.131 0.078

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 9044 0.0% 21.11 77.32% -1.1 -0.1913 -1.022
Not Using Events or Tokens 31822 19.23% 28.48 82.91% 0.066 0.4542 0.252
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5978 7.23% 35.22 85.46% 0.667 -0.0559 -0.275
Start of Game Growth 10080 10.87% 35.98 83.24% -0.304 -0.7919 0.996
Unlimited Undo 26790 19.7% 29.86 73.89% -0.587 -0.5065 -0.098
Using Tokens but Not Events 37654 16.3% 32.82 83.33% 0.403 0.3593 0.289

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9656 24.55% 30.46 74.95% 0.093 -0.0385 0.128
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 452 32.21% 30.66 65.49% -0.326 -0.655 0.544
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 50 48.0% 31.48 74.0% -0.018 -0.2466 0.299
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 266 24.81% 31.42 74.06% 0.647 0.0059 0.772
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 5469 33.66% 26.54 67.84% -0.512 -0.2856 -0.512
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 549 35.9% 32.25 65.39% 0.17 -0.4883 1.286
Dances Up Earthquakes 508 32.14% 28.58 64.37% 0.06 0.2622 0.694
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 12318 24.28% 27.74 76.42% 0.082 -0.1052 -0.4
Downpour Drenches the World 1572 25.1% 27.67 68.58% -0.319 0.0299 0.633
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2997 26.76% 30.13 69.77% 0.338 -0.1449 -0.077
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 11781 24.69% 29.9 78.02% -0.006 -0.3698 -0.312
Finder of Paths Unseen 816 30.65% 24.54 59.44% -0.28 0.6463 1.082
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2642 28.11% 35.67 74.15% -0.546 -0.0789 0.601
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2154 35.49% 30.95 69.17% 0.382 0.3554 -0.155
Heart of the Wildfire 4517 49.07% 30.35 69.65% -0.227 0.1364 -0.415
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 14939 24.39% 30.41 70.0% -0.465 -0.8527 -0.146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1035 14.73% 26.15 77.49% 0.568 0.2223 -0.37
Lightning's Swift Strike 9438 25.69% 24.55 66.34% -0.353 -0.1965 0.268
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 849 38.69% 28.45 62.31% -0.017 -0.6227 0.012
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1235 35.3% 34.31 74.9% -0.356 -0.6661 -0.117
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1490 30.01% 33.35 72.95% -0.114 -0.3714 0.386
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5141 31.57% 32.52 73.86% -0.369 -0.504 -0.43
Many Minds Move as One 3447 29.16% 33.47 78.79% 0.248 0.2314 0.598
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 10535 27.06% 31.65 73.57% 0.363 0.3151 0.316
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 707 28.33% 29.6 66.62% -0.17 -0.0103 0.009
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 10570 27.65% 29.32 76.42% -0.115 -0.3333 0.41
River Surges in Sunlight 11265 26.43% 32.66 75.38% 0.078 0.1052 -0.289
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 327 30.03% 26.05 56.27% 0.056 0.1809 0.225
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2494 20.06% 28.68 78.19% 0.527 0.6755 -0.58
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1870 33.37% 33.86 64.92% 0.102 0.2178 -0.079
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7860 25.67% 29.75 65.29% -0.06 -0.3129 -0.453
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 183 27.32% 26.93 63.93% -0.673 -0.8728 -0.234
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3515 38.08% 25.81 73.49% 0.107 0.6947 -1.25
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 278 30.86% 26.91 67.63% 0.597 0.6309 0.913
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 434 27.34% 28.73 67.51% 0.597 0.2135 -0.065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 285 30.15% 26.38 64.56% 0.988 1.0123 -0.322
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 796 37.47% 29.22 73.49% -0.005 -0.1043 -0.516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 629 34.06% 26.73 69.48% 0.138 0.4045 -0.694
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5794 29.94% 33.79 78.93% -0.687 -0.8484 0.425
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 47 33.33% 24.13 63.83% 0.674 0.1797 0.049
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 668 27.47% 28.9 71.41% 0.26 0.28 -0.58
Shifting Memory of Ages 1571 34.87% 28.03 67.09% -0.084 0.2632 0.047
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 466 31.39% 29.98 66.09% 0.553 0.5818 1.122
Shroud of Silent Mist 2044 34.34% 27.23 73.19% -0.285 0.2847 -0.164
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 51 29.41% 30.69 74.51% 0.501 0.1908 0.052
Starlight Seeks its Form 2749 26.51% 31.36 72.64% 0.258 0.1642 0.369
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4816 36.41% 32.49 71.51% 0.268 -0.2927 -0.011
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 8747 24.16% 31.39 76.54% -0.604 -0.4099 0.146
Thunderspeaker 12456 28.22% 33.9 74.45% -0.306 -0.2938 -0.632
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 635 30.74% 26.89 54.8% -0.601 -0.5537 -1.578
Towering Roots of the Jungle 699 33.91% 28.3 65.67% -0.029 0.1476 -0.179
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2435 49.83% 30.91 71.29% -0.405 -0.3861 -0.063
Vital Strength of the Earth 4982 25.53% 25.59 70.29% -0.24 0.2718 -0.993
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 651 33.76% 28.37 59.75% -0.541 -0.1921 0.181
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 755 29.76% 26.58 67.81% -0.219 0.5802 -0.141
Volcano Looming High 3138 38.33% 31.36 74.86% 0.532 0.5021 0.785
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 971 31.64% 29.82 70.13% -0.268 -0.5194 0.152

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.24%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.7%
Mysterious Abductions 86.4%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 91.43%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 28900 12.37 3.36%
II 61151 29.93 65.03%
III 107346 34.92 91.77%
IV 59775 38.86 99.18%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 970
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 96189
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 34604
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 58952
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 23762
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1064
Lose: Adversary condition 14893
Win: Sacrifice victory 369
Lose: Scenario condition 1893
Win: Scenario condition 7441
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 16465
Lose: Spirit destroyed 570

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.399 Win Model: -0.226

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.6 Win Model: 0.009
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 143966 24.72% 35.24 79.3%
2 61710 32.42% 31.45 76.44%
3 26466 30.67% 30.98 76.17%
4 19855 25.96% 29.35 68.0%
5 1338 23.2% 27.58 75.11%
6 3837 19.98% 27.38 65.68%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)