Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 65 21.54% 27.42 89.23% 0.366 0.2244 -0.537
Blitz 0 1783 27.81% 31.79 80.09% -0.466 -0.1278 -0.982
Dahan Insurrection 4 5958 16.24% 62.36 81.81% 0.085 -0.155 0.465
Despicable Theft 2 226 25.66% 38.5 87.61% -0.756 -0.1571 0.465
Elemental Invocation 1 253 33.99% 33.7 81.03% 0.213 1.0448 -0.667
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5240 11.28% 43.46 77.77% -0.235 -0.6015 0.092
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1327 40.09% 35.88 80.26% -0.357 0.1096 -0.382
Rituals of Terror 3 1006 43.2% 48.94 75.35% 1.216 0.9425 0.105
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 415 67.48% 39.53 65.78% -0.477 0.2178 -1.639
Second Wave 0 9046 26.79% 33.53 87.84% -0.259 -0.0724 0.251
The Great River 3 157 35.03% 30.92 52.87% -1.855 -0.283 -1.207
Varied Terrains 2 60 45.0% 36.92 85.0% 0.165 0.7716 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 827 37.83% 34.94 65.66% -0.737 0.1229 -0.782

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 90271 24.84% 37.26 86.46% 0.462 0.7261 0.122
1 Thematic 5137 29.39% 45.1 78.35% -0.006 0.6367 -0.129
2 Archipelago 91 21.11% 68.09 94.51% 0.843 1.8046 0.809
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26229 34.63% 34.04 83.37% 0.03 0.2386 -0.044
2 Coastline 4104 25.26% 35.11 88.13% 0.36 0.5093 0.273
2 Fragment 690 31.93% 29.71 85.36% 0.296 0.2519 -0.242
2 Heart 410 34.35% 29.48 83.41% 0.74 0.6585 0.291
2 Opposite Shores 5192 30.12% 33.96 84.63% 0.22 0.3836 -0.474
2 Thematic 2083 44.08% 42.82 71.39% -0.009 0.6431 -0.443
2 Top to Top 784 29.57% 37.02 85.59% -0.381 -0.2108 -0.034
3 Archipelago 57 40.35% 46.14 85.96% 0.14 -0.0935 -0.697
3 Coastline 157 24.68% 40.23 89.81% 0.073 -0.2369 1.173
3 Other 688 29.51% 31.28 87.5% 0.048 -0.5781 -0.196
3 Round (Default) 14444 31.36% 34.07 83.85% 0.218 0.1741 -0.271
3 Sunrise 62 32.26% 32.97 79.03% 0.033 -0.1559 -0.16
3 Thematic 514 40.55% 36.51 74.71% -0.823 -0.7536 -0.426
4 Archipelago 42 22.5% 38.0 92.86% -0.678 -0.3206 0.436
4 Coastline 76 18.42% 35.45 80.26% -0.102 -0.5475 1.329
4 Leaf 70 30.88% 31.4 85.71% 0.28 -0.1029 0.487
4 Other 405 36.18% 35.54 87.16% 0.382 -0.3388 0.041
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.144 0.0
4 Snake 9 77.78% 27.44 55.56% -0.542 -0.0263 -0.622
4 Thematic 1567 38.74% 41.3 74.35% -0.298 -0.3091 -0.244
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9426 27.54% 36.18 84.82% -0.106 -0.2512 -0.065
5 Archipelago 11 45.45% 44.0 90.91% 0.117 -0.6249 0.407
5 Coastline 30 10.0% 57.1 96.67% 0.204 -0.1345 1.084
5 Other 440 22.58% 33.41 90.23% 0.229 -0.3625 0.169
5 Thematic 54 44.44% 38.5 81.48% -0.728 -1.0325 0.091
6 Archipelago 20 10.0% 40.7 90.0% -0.769 -0.6038 0.023
6 Coastline 11 0.0% 63.18 100.0% 0.0 -0.75 0.59
6 Other 144 21.99% 35.33 83.33% -0.021 -0.3988 0.122
6 Star 85 21.18% 33.99 85.88% -0.333 0.3075 -0.031
6 Thematic 352 29.14% 34.25 80.4% -0.086 -0.0063 -1.348
6 Two Centers (Default) 667 19.45% 34.85 86.51% -0.495 -0.065 -0.142
7 Archipelago 7 57.14% 51.29 71.43% 0.207 -0.7996 -0.138
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 7 14.29% 28.71 85.71% 0.704 0.4046 -0.216

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3413 35.94 61.3% -0.901 0.0704 -0.825
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3133 37.45 63.58% -0.805 -0.0191 -0.546
All Things Weaken 1992 35.55 58.08% -0.956 0.1324 -1.03
Attenuated Essence 14 33.29 71.43% -0.323 0.5647 -1.324
Back Against the Wall 3119 36.06 60.85% -0.744 0.0845 -0.726
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 7 29.43 28.57% -1.316 -0.0653 0.0
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 38.62 61.54% -0.572 0.3688 0.479
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3283 33.75 59.67% -0.854 0.2656 -0.877
Downward Spiral 5977 34.32 67.49% -0.545 0.4178 -0.901
Erosion of Will 3478 35.22 60.21% -0.924 0.1926 -0.907
Intensifying Exploitation 12 30.92 50.0% -0.626 0.4482 -1.256
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 976 40.72 78.18% -0.098 -0.2135 -0.249
Memory Fades to Dust 5976 33.84 64.42% -0.853 0.2603 -0.921
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2018 36.15 61.1% -0.955 0.0012 -0.938
Promising Farmlands 3312 34.01 60.66% -0.957 0.1788 -1.05
Shattered Fragments of Power 8 40.38 87.5% 0.542 1.4639 0.0
Slow Dissolution of Will 9 24.11 22.22% -1.897 -0.6277 -1.268
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 702 40.43 85.61% -0.043 -0.3317 0.218
The Border of Life and Death 1 19.0 100.0% 0.083 0.4947 0.0
Thriving Communities 1935 35.78 60.52% -0.476 0.6709 -0.969
Thriving Crops 9 29.11 55.56% -0.51 0.3657 -1.022
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 -0.0581 -0.793
Unnatural Proliferation 2094 36.54 59.03% -1.028 -0.0628 -0.965
Untended Land Crumbles 1975 35.11 58.84% -0.899 0.1333 -1.005

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 33522 28.7% 34.74 84.9% -0.129 0.7406 -0.103
B 39499 29.48% 35.93 84.74% 0.172 0.9389 0.256
C 36544 28.04% 35.61 85.55% 0.22 0.8149 0.119
D 32854 27.89% 35.01 85.84% -0.079 0.7408 0.128
E 21340 29.76% 36.86 84.04% 0.423 1.0763 0.089
F 33879 27.6% 35.42 85.54% -0.015 0.7162 0.049
G 28942 30.28% 34.35 84.27% -0.058 0.6582 -0.146
H 33860 27.7% 36.64 85.95% 0.254 0.9511 0.334
East 6616 36.09% 42.48 75.27% 0.008 0.6689 -0.417
Northeast 4242 35.45% 41.54 76.0% -0.185 0.6793 -0.451
Northwest 3165 37.52% 40.46 74.47% -0.32 0.2654 -0.981
Southeast 1484 33.9% 38.95 78.3% -0.217 0.475 -0.615
Southwest 1310 41.73% 33.93 70.38% -0.856 0.386 -0.984
West 5871 37.23% 43.32 74.66% -0.382 0.6339 0.474

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5412 0.0% 24.55 90.37% -1.431 0.0574 -0.646
Not Using Events or Tokens 20425 18.69% 31.82 91.33% 0.156 0.3466 0.042
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4059 8.36% 38.44 93.99% -0.071 -0.7869 -0.11
Start of Game Growth 6582 11.74% 39.52 91.52% 0.082 -0.3903 -0.021
Unlimited Undo 16116 22.03% 35.97 89.94% 0.006 -0.2455 0.564
Using Tokens but Not Events 22922 16.87% 35.59 90.02% 0.459 0.4601 0.313

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5969 100.0% 34.56 100.0% 0.27 0.1162 -0.069
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3412 100.0% 32.24 100.0% -0.359 -0.3079 -0.03
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7801 100.0% 32.16 100.0% -0.028 -0.234 -0.272
Downpour Drenches the World 380 100.0% 32.2 100.0% -0.122 0.2237 0.164
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 100 100.0% 31.75 100.0% -0.086 -0.2996 -0.828
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7720 100.0% 33.35 100.0% 0.085 -0.3363 -0.251
Finder of Paths Unseen 202 100.0% 31.79 100.0% 0.241 0.762 0.111
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1614 100.0% 39.94 100.0% 0.481 0.8062 0.219
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 906 100.0% 36.89 100.0% -0.036 -0.1538 0.249
Heart of the Wildfire 3135 100.0% 33.52 100.0% 0.025 0.2256 -0.368
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9210 100.0% 36.5 100.0% 0.124 -0.4792 0.276
Lightning's Swift Strike 5163 121.2% 32.44 105.38% -0.216 0.0638 0.078
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 170 36.9% 35.75 81.76% -0.215 -0.9628 0.5
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 725 35.25% 39.43 84.97% 0.372 -0.0869 0.707
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 823 33.46% 38.74 83.23% -0.803 -1.0896 0.454
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2896 100.0% 36.79 100.0% -0.292 -0.4526 -0.18
Many Minds Move as One 2085 100.0% 37.09 100.0% 0.741 0.3127 0.319
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6550 100.0% 37.0 100.0% 0.219 0.1039 0.331
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6862 100.0% 32.54 100.0% 0.153 0.0882 -0.452
River Surges in Sunlight 7740 116.56% 37.6 102.98% 0.724 0.6381 0.161
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1356 20.61% 31.67 87.98% 0.427 0.5663 -0.22
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 394 37.34% 45.81 82.74% 0.285 0.0222 0.253
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4498 100.0% 37.0 100.0% 0.058 -0.09 -0.128
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2435 124.54% 29.82 107.68% -0.409 -0.0048 -0.29
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 48 27.66% 35.31 93.75% 0.619 0.6698 0.325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 70 38.24% 33.16 77.14% -0.922 -0.8977 -0.152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 491 38.36% 33.1 82.69% -0.613 -0.6682 -0.334
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 399 38.22% 31.37 79.2% -0.198 -0.0893 -0.328
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4339 100.46% 36.94 100.21% 0.243 0.0516 0.314
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 30 33.33% 23.6 70.0% -0.559 -0.5229 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 740 100.0% 33.72 100.0% 0.237 0.5119 -0.193
Shroud of Silent Mist 1081 100.0% 31.77 100.0% 0.532 0.7855 0.045
Starlight Seeks its Form 981 100.0% 36.74 100.0% -0.09 -0.2723 -0.081
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3083 100.0% 35.46 100.0% -0.066 -0.5107 -0.296
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5731 100.0% 36.12 100.0% -0.131 -0.0407 0.348
Thunderspeaker 8027 100.2% 38.44 100.05% 0.343 0.2903 0.179
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 22 27.27% 35.45 81.82% 0.403 0.6534 0.348
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1643 100.0% 33.51 100.0% -0.246 -0.3695 0.057
Vital Strength of the Earth 3103 111.23% 30.64 103.61% -0.322 0.3178 -0.783
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 148 35.37% 35.36 75.68% -0.151 0.2268 0.148
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 404 32.98% 31.52 81.19% -0.995 0.0322 -0.388
Volcano Looming High 1524 100.0% 35.05 100.0% 0.219 0.2144 0.019

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.09%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.55%
Mysterious Abductions 85.44%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 90.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 6937 22.19 8.35%
II 39682 31.1 69.08%
III 75207 34.71 92.5%
IV 42547 37.97 99.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 579
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 67870
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23671
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 41955
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 370
Lose: Invader deck ran out 753
Lose: Adversary condition 10461
Win: Sacrifice victory 257
Lose: Scenario condition 1404
Win: Scenario condition 5417
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11285
Lose: Spirit destroyed 351

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.447 Win Model: -0.203

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.285 Win Model: -0.009
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 95712 25.18% 37.79 85.98%
2 39516 33.32% 34.38 83.59%
3 15855 31.47% 34.1 83.73%
4 11638 29.25% 36.81 83.61%
5 390 18.18% 33.65 88.97%
6 1262 22.28% 34.66 84.63%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-12 02:39:41 (Pacific Time)