Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 151 20.53% 22.87 72.19% -0.55 -0.5343 -1.143
Blitz 0 2116 26.26% 30.04 76.42% -0.347 -0.0583 -0.742
Dahan Insurrection 4 7295 16.2% 60.65 78.74% 0.316 0.1389 0.791
Despicable Theft 2 333 24.62% 32.68 74.17% -1.062 -0.2014 0.161
Elemental Invocation 1 398 30.4% 29.42 70.85% -0.907 0.0265 -0.882
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 6307 10.58% 41.84 74.71% -0.14 -0.7863 0.376
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1531 38.62% 33.91 76.29% -0.829 0.1165 -0.325
Rituals of Terror 3 1207 41.38% 47.55 70.92% -0.107 -0.0304 0.265
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 497 62.35% 36.27 61.17% -0.779 0.3361 -1.687
Second Wave 0 10748 26.61% 33.01 86.75% 0.601 0.6312 0.335
The Great River 3 236 30.08% 24.77 41.95% -1.329 0.0963 -1.615
Varied Terrains 2 157 33.76% 27.47 63.06% -1.276 -0.5016 -1.46
Ward the Shores 2 957 36.03% 32.44 61.65% -0.894 0.1507 -0.971

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 110378 24.7% 35.94 82.96% 0.716 0.9757 1.123
1 Thematic 5791 28.49% 43.21 75.74% 0.119 0.5849 0.882
2 Archipelago 160 23.27% 50.87 72.5% -0.849 -0.3753 0.1
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32848 33.58% 32.3 79.45% 0.171 0.3558 0.563
2 Coastline 5317 25.81% 33.44 83.04% 0.395 0.3787 0.849
2 Fragment 880 32.19% 28.56 82.73% 1.41 1.0936 0.154
2 Heart 520 34.35% 28.92 81.35% 0.35 0.2558 0.788
2 Opposite Shores 6710 32.89% 32.76 78.15% 0.531 0.4916 -0.037
2 Thematic 2552 42.26% 40.3 67.63% 0.122 0.4085 0.345
2 Top to Top 967 31.13% 35.39 81.59% 0.067 0.023 0.606
3 Archipelago 93 44.09% 45.11 78.49% 0.006 -1.1338 -0.286
3 Coastline 200 23.35% 36.04 81.0% -0.271 -1.0205 0.707
3 Other 873 29.23% 29.49 81.44% 0.168 -0.2953 0.166
3 Round (Default) 18546 31.22% 32.63 80.65% 0.58 0.3605 0.061
3 Sunrise 90 38.2% 31.51 71.11% -0.406 -0.3305 0.212
3 Thematic 673 38.75% 34.1 68.8% -0.153 -0.4452 -0.225
4 Archipelago 75 28.77% 35.48 85.33% -0.105 0.0877 0.643
4 Coastline 101 14.85% 32.29 78.22% 0.06 -0.2996 1.517
4 Leaf 96 32.98% 29.34 73.96% -0.399 -0.5079 0.431
4 Other 478 35.32% 34.44 84.52% 1.216 0.9595 0.357
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 9 77.78% 27.44 55.56% 0.0 -1.136 -0.489
4 Thematic 1753 37.9% 40.01 72.39% -0.673 -0.4207 -0.303
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13018 25.05% 30.55 72.17% -0.256 -0.0413 -0.919
5 Archipelago 21 52.38% 36.05 76.19% 0.0 0.2735 0.409
5 Coastline 52 11.54% 45.12 84.62% -0.643 -0.7471 -0.097
5 Other 777 22.97% 29.85 83.14% 0.828 0.2619 -0.372
5 Thematic 82 41.46% 36.56 65.85% -0.629 -1.0497 -0.511
6 Archipelago 35 11.76% 35.94 77.14% 0.111 -0.8222 -0.097
6 Coastline 21 14.29% 41.24 71.43% 0.204 -0.5935 -0.21
6 Other 238 21.79% 29.77 74.79% -0.753 -0.3274 -0.681
6 Star 157 22.93% 30.17 80.89% 0.315 0.4273 -0.769
6 Thematic 648 25.66% 27.69 62.65% -1.309 -1.2072 -2.509
6 Two Centers (Default) 1245 17.03% 31.2 77.91% -0.251 -0.5085 -1.044
7 Archipelago 10 40.0% 35.9 50.0% 0.0 1.0709 -0.302
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.314 0.0
7 Other 26 23.08% 17.73 50.0% 0.41 -0.6059 -0.465
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3974 35.33 60.22% 0.159 0.3339 -0.465
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3639 37.26 62.9% -0.157 -0.2109 -0.143
All Things Weaken 2459 35.05 57.18% 0.248 0.5412 -0.641
Attenuated Essence 327 33.92 55.96% 0.131 0.2148 -0.648
Back Against the Wall 3602 35.81 60.02% 0.81 0.8577 -0.346
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 311 31.01 49.2% -0.52 -0.3161 -0.985
Burn Brightest Before the End 303 33.09 48.84% -0.155 0.0326 -0.941
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3879 33.15 58.42% -0.198 0.2106 -0.52
Downward Spiral 7158 33.05 65.37% -0.21 -0.0826 -0.543
Erosion of Will 3976 34.72 59.63% -0.188 0.0951 -0.516
Intensifying Exploitation 306 30.39 44.44% 0.184 0.4315 -0.941
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1215 39.46 76.3% 0.779 0.2631 0.044
Memory Fades to Dust 7090 32.67 62.24% -0.07 0.1667 -0.606
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2486 35.45 59.77% -0.11 0.1077 -0.644
Promising Farmlands 3894 33.47 59.5% -0.283 0.0119 -0.644
Shattered Fragments of Power 247 35.92 54.66% 0.563 0.7645 -0.576
Slow Dissolution of Will 306 31.7 46.41% 0.647 1.0312 -1.018
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 848 39.83 83.37% 0.312 -0.269 0.528
The Border of Life and Death 83 33.59 62.65% 0.493 -0.0247 -0.621
Thriving Communities 2441 34.34 57.72% -0.365 -0.0262 -0.681
Thriving Crops 156 31.97 60.26% -0.051 -0.0929 0.007
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 0.0 -0.346
Unnatural Proliferation 2578 35.98 57.64% -0.181 -0.041 -0.575
Untended Land Crumbles 2508 34.13 56.86% -0.315 0.1337 -0.748

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 43160 28.01% 32.47 79.21% -0.35 0.5115 -0.307
B 50825 28.74% 33.23 78.3% -0.471 0.3457 0.136
C 46467 27.42% 33.5 80.79% -0.236 0.4433 -0.023
D 42321 27.03% 32.68 80.3% -0.281 0.5238 -0.015
E 29144 29.15% 35.25 79.71% -0.136 0.5324 0.075
F 43263 27.16% 33.26 80.53% -0.226 0.5719 -0.075
G 37164 29.44% 32.01 78.72% -0.683 0.1426 -0.196
H 42732 27.17% 34.24 80.64% -0.293 0.4793 0.138
East 8063 34.62% 39.8 70.92% -0.929 -0.083 -0.334
Northeast 5219 33.44% 38.82 71.24% -0.157 0.6137 -0.561
Northwest 3928 35.23% 37.37 69.2% -0.454 0.3533 -1.146
Southeast 2079 31.88% 34.22 68.45% -0.153 0.7165 -0.832
Southwest 1864 36.95% 29.73 62.23% -1.327 -0.0452 -1.095
West 7112 35.7% 40.27 70.19% -0.343 0.6529 0.359

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6918 0.0% 22.63 83.42% -0.616 0.1795 -0.308
Not Using Events or Tokens 25593 19.25% 29.95 86.3% -0.147 0.2406 -0.106
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4800 8.0% 36.79 90.4% -0.073 -0.6871 -0.041
Start of Game Growth 7909 11.41% 37.35 87.8% 0.238 -0.3436 0.147
Unlimited Undo 20822 20.88% 32.25 80.38% -0.422 -0.3784 0.005
Using Tokens but Not Events 29103 16.49% 33.83 86.49% 0.183 0.1248 0.369

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7810 25.31% 31.9 78.21% 0.086 -0.0573 0.087
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 38 36.84% 26.82 57.89% -0.171 -0.8842 -1.038
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4402 36.13% 28.91 73.51% -0.088 0.1761 -0.301
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 203 33.66% 32.7 65.02% 0.295 -0.5133 0.86
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9663 25.96% 29.93 81.12% -0.003 -0.1676 -0.027
Downpour Drenches the World 962 25.4% 28.17 71.62% 0.33 0.6038 0.31
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1548 26.91% 29.94 68.67% 0.242 -0.1842 -0.649
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9513 25.3% 31.47 81.79% 0.279 -0.1656 -0.001
Finder of Paths Unseen 535 33.71% 25.58 62.62% -0.998 -0.3095 -0.101
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2096 27.91% 37.08 78.48% -0.187 0.4015 0.282
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1517 36.66% 32.83 73.76% -0.265 -0.3291 -0.128
Heart of the Wildfire 3773 49.87% 31.7 71.88% 0.032 0.3594 -0.339
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 12164 24.77% 32.35 75.58% -0.457 -0.7523 0.072
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 347 17.63% 27.04 72.62% 0.481 0.1101 -0.355
Lightning's Swift Strike 7671 26.45% 26.23 69.14% -0.522 -0.1814 -0.873
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 494 33.96% 30.53 71.46% 1.609 1.1349 0.814
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 961 34.15% 35.62 78.15% -0.038 -0.399 0.921
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1104 31.94% 35.87 77.81% 1.153 1.1603 0.701
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3912 31.65% 34.1 77.63% 0.208 -0.0864 -0.217
Many Minds Move as One 2648 28.62% 34.61 82.63% 0.205 0.0598 0.472
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8457 27.66% 33.67 77.51% -0.119 -0.1768 0.486
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8507 28.65% 30.92 79.84% -0.286 -0.4502 0.011
River Surges in Sunlight 9283 27.01% 34.98 79.75% 0.112 0.2109 0.248
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 42 33.33% 29.74 69.05% 0.111 -0.0247 0.756
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1810 20.43% 30.16 82.43% -0.489 -0.0126 -0.296
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1061 36.12% 37.73 69.65% -0.149 -0.1843 0.273
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6000 28.42% 33.1 73.2% 0.04 -0.2149 -0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2878 39.73% 27.97 78.01% -0.295 0.2265 -0.007
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 157 30.46% 27.5 73.89% -0.237 -0.0956 -0.268
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 151 29.53% 32.68 80.13% 1.204 0.6254 -0.208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 184 31.67% 27.96 66.85% -0.063 0.287 -0.364
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 666 37.81% 30.73 77.03% 0.16 0.1439 -0.189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 523 36.0% 28.07 72.66% -1.332 -1.0831 -0.195
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5007 30.26% 35.02 81.07% 0.326 0.2164 0.505
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 335 26.27% 30.5 74.93% 0.59 0.4282 -0.272
Shifting Memory of Ages 1176 34.08% 30.18 73.13% -0.097 0.247 0.064
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 43 48.84% 28.49 72.09% 0.174 -0.1356 0.007
Shroud of Silent Mist 1536 34.37% 28.95 77.15% 0.001 0.3323 -0.121
Starlight Seeks its Form 1806 27.05% 33.45 75.75% -0.189 -0.3638 0.013
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3971 36.56% 33.64 74.57% -0.007 -0.7165 -0.094
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7025 24.79% 33.6 81.25% 0.167 0.3786 0.536
Thunderspeaker 10189 29.59% 35.76 77.66% -0.454 -0.4752 0.118
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 291 33.45% 28.95 54.64% -0.772 -0.5736 -1.046
Towering Roots of the Jungle 120 29.17% 28.25 66.67% 0.279 0.2508 -0.49
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1999 50.63% 31.94 73.79% 0.134 0.2005 0.199
Vital Strength of the Earth 3766 27.69% 28.62 77.54% -0.318 0.2161 -0.518
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 372 32.4% 29.83 64.78% -0.697 -0.1294 0.294
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 576 29.56% 28.41 72.92% -1.066 -0.3069 -0.149
Volcano Looming High 2272 38.63% 32.7 77.82% 0.401 0.5375 0.367
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 435 35.35% 31.69 72.41% 0.729 0.4179 0.128

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.17%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.7%
Mysterious Abductions 86.01%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 91.2%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16738 15.74 4.26%
II 49183 30.48 66.89%
III 89501 34.79 92.16%
IV 50123 38.41 99.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 80527
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 28486
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 49427
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10670
Lose: Invader deck ran out 897
Lose: Adversary condition 12462
Win: Sacrifice victory 312
Lose: Scenario condition 1574
Win: Scenario condition 6333
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13670
Lose: Spirit destroyed 474

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.833 Win Model: -0.181

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.741 Win Model: 0.084
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 116724 24.98% 36.38 82.5%
2 49760 32.96% 32.72 79.32%
3 20388 31.32% 32.6 80.26%
4 15555 26.79% 31.79 72.87%
5 792 21.24% 29.48 79.04%
6 2326 20.26% 29.91 73.34%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)