Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 143 20.98% 23.44 73.43% -0.866 -0.8139 -1.156
Blitz 0 2078 26.52% 30.26 76.9% -0.339 -0.1385 -0.646
Dahan Insurrection 4 7023 15.75% 60.77 79.48% 0.523 0.3122 0.795
Despicable Theft 2 311 24.44% 33.21 75.88% -0.883 -0.0386 0.155
Elemental Invocation 1 380 31.05% 29.76 71.84% -0.841 0.2303 -0.88
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5944 11.03% 42.43 75.94% 0.018 -0.7063 0.398
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1512 38.78% 34.09 76.79% -0.735 0.1711 -0.312
Rituals of Terror 3 1188 41.62% 47.66 71.3% 0.274 0.3045 0.252
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 480 62.05% 36.63 61.67% -0.944 0.2448 -1.678
Second Wave 0 10587 26.65% 33.05 86.84% 0.379 0.4601 0.326
The Great River 3 222 30.18% 25.5 42.79% -2.03 -0.6428 -1.647
Varied Terrains 2 149 34.23% 28.44 65.77% -0.272 0.6292 -1.46
Ward the Shores 2 949 36.33% 32.58 61.85% -1.52 -0.4643 -0.948

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 107899 24.74% 36.05 83.34% 1.306 1.3372 1.05
1 Thematic 5700 28.58% 43.42 76.02% 0.668 1.1005 0.804
2 Archipelago 140 24.46% 56.23 80.71% -0.041 0.4523 0.663
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32011 33.7% 32.52 79.97% 0.852 0.8035 0.512
2 Coastline 5196 25.35% 33.58 83.56% 0.887 0.7868 0.813
2 Fragment 862 32.65% 28.67 82.6% 1.218 0.8053 0.088
2 Heart 514 34.36% 28.9 81.32% 1.08 0.9904 0.737
2 Opposite Shores 6537 32.92% 32.91 78.58% 0.954 0.774 -0.116
2 Thematic 2499 42.64% 40.59 67.99% 0.488 0.6747 0.262
2 Top to Top 946 31.26% 35.55 81.71% -0.359 -0.5587 0.52
3 Archipelago 90 44.44% 45.6 78.89% 0.696 -0.4251 -0.329
3 Coastline 192 24.34% 36.86 83.33% 0.794 0.1322 0.677
3 Other 864 29.3% 29.61 81.83% 0.401 0.0667 0.143
3 Round (Default) 18037 31.27% 32.81 80.94% 0.918 0.6524 -0.013
3 Sunrise 86 36.47% 31.65 70.93% -1.448 -0.9374 0.173
3 Thematic 649 38.02% 34.44 69.49% -0.628 -1.0741 -0.271
4 Archipelago 69 31.34% 36.57 85.51% -1.093 -1.6508 0.643
4 Coastline 98 15.31% 32.49 77.55% 0.179 -0.4395 1.507
4 Leaf 92 34.44% 29.18 72.83% -1.521 -0.6749 0.436
4 Other 471 35.42% 34.69 84.93% 1.486 0.7489 0.336
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 0.5653 0.0
4 Snake 9 77.78% 27.44 55.56% 0.0 -0.9688 -0.499
4 Thematic 1738 38.06% 40.21 72.67% -0.08 0.1236 -0.329
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12422 25.7% 31.39 74.14% -0.807 -0.4669 -0.882
5 Archipelago 21 52.38% 36.05 76.19% -0.749 -0.7499 0.401
5 Coastline 50 12.0% 46.92 88.0% 0.0 -0.5279 -0.082
5 Other 741 23.0% 29.96 83.54% 0.112 -0.6096 -0.417
5 Thematic 79 41.77% 37.63 68.35% -0.681 -0.5211 -0.553
6 Archipelago 34 12.12% 35.88 76.47% -0.667 -1.3823 -0.131
6 Coastline 20 10.0% 41.9 70.0% -0.116 -0.6045 -0.177
6 Other 226 22.07% 30.74 76.99% -0.659 -0.2189 -0.387
6 Star 152 23.03% 30.14 80.92% -0.623 -0.3247 -0.79
6 Thematic 619 25.9% 28.18 64.62% -0.97 -0.9449 -2.456
6 Two Centers (Default) 1181 17.19% 31.38 78.75% -1.053 -0.9554 -0.85
7 Archipelago 10 40.0% 35.9 50.0% 0.0 0.5266 -0.318
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 25 24.0% 17.52 48.0% 0.236 -1.1806 -0.491
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.76 -0.5052 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3891 35.42 60.22% -0.054 0.085 -0.493
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3586 37.32 63.13% 0.527 0.4678 -0.17
All Things Weaken 2410 34.99 57.05% 0.217 0.5714 -0.682
Attenuated Essence 277 33.96 55.23% 0.239 0.3503 -0.838
Back Against the Wall 3541 35.64 59.79% 0.425 0.5009 -0.407
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 275 31.43 49.45% 0.106 0.3163 -1.041
Burn Brightest Before the End 273 33.09 48.35% -0.121 -0.0003 -1.004
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3807 33.26 58.66% -0.34 0.0288 -0.534
Downward Spiral 7018 33.19 65.59% -0.148 0.0486 -0.565
Erosion of Will 3916 34.78 59.75% 0.171 0.4384 -0.54
Intensifying Exploitation 269 29.61 41.64% -0.382 -0.1115 -0.998
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1184 39.51 76.18% -0.09 -0.6006 0.039
Memory Fades to Dust 6978 32.75 62.35% 0.021 0.3327 -0.634
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2436 35.5 59.89% 0.06 0.3548 -0.673
Promising Farmlands 3814 33.54 59.73% -0.287 0.0492 -0.672
Shattered Fragments of Power 213 35.51 52.58% -0.066 0.0426 -0.766
Slow Dissolution of Will 283 30.92 44.17% -0.206 0.1946 -1.1
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 825 39.99 83.76% 0.921 0.308 0.524
The Border of Life and Death 76 34.24 63.16% 0.295 0.0024 -0.58
Thriving Communities 2391 34.45 57.8% -0.683 -0.3506 -0.696
Thriving Crops 144 32.0 59.03% -0.239 -0.3254 -0.036
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 0.5146 -0.381
Unnatural Proliferation 2530 36.03 57.94% 0.183 0.331 -0.596
Untended Land Crumbles 2450 34.16 57.02% -0.083 0.2244 -0.781

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 41907 28.24% 32.73 79.81% -0.504 0.4009 -0.289
B 49289 29.02% 33.59 79.18% -0.434 0.3948 0.146
C 45191 27.56% 33.74 81.42% -0.28 0.3999 -0.016
D 41055 27.21% 32.99 81.13% -0.3 0.5537 -0.001
E 28287 29.22% 35.41 80.09% -0.112 0.5896 0.079
F 42082 27.17% 33.47 81.08% -0.359 0.4226 -0.076
G 36057 29.61% 32.33 79.5% -0.592 0.1796 -0.172
H 41568 27.35% 34.57 81.4% -0.382 0.3861 0.15
East 7899 34.83% 40.11 71.4% -0.337 0.5248 -0.345
Northeast 5103 33.65% 39.2 71.92% -0.296 0.4505 -0.56
Northwest 3842 35.49% 37.68 69.83% 0.124 0.9575 -1.165
Southeast 2012 32.05% 34.57 69.43% -0.31 0.4654 -0.809
Southwest 1806 37.14% 30.1 63.34% -1.605 -0.2855 -1.064
West 6964 35.79% 40.62 70.76% -0.513 0.4928 0.351

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6733 0.0% 22.84 84.09% -0.497 0.3337 -0.356
Not Using Events or Tokens 25023 19.29% 30.14 86.77% -0.198 0.243 -0.111
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4713 8.02% 36.98 90.86% -0.114 -0.6763 -0.121
Start of Game Growth 7754 11.4% 37.59 88.3% 0.166 -0.3725 0.141
Unlimited Undo 20134 21.18% 32.85 81.95% -0.334 -0.2927 0.045
Using Tokens but Not Events 28167 16.75% 34.03 87.08% 0.087 0.0631 0.382

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7609 25.47% 32.19 78.78% -0.079 -0.182 0.053
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4240 37.03% 29.62 75.38% -0.103 0.0567 -0.15
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 158 33.12% 34.48 67.09% 0.609 -0.2269 1.137
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 9365 26.31% 30.29 81.93% -0.128 -0.2593 -0.052
Downpour Drenches the World 906 25.98% 28.39 71.74% 0.382 0.7003 0.229
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1410 27.42% 30.21 69.08% 0.441 -0.0432 -0.625
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 9233 25.51% 31.76 82.45% 0.152 -0.2999 -0.009
Finder of Paths Unseen 505 33.93% 26.19 64.36% -0.807 -0.1404 0.002
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2055 27.98% 37.31 78.98% -0.228 0.4502 0.241
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1470 36.68% 33.1 74.35% -0.198 -0.1362 -0.126
Heart of the Wildfire 3713 50.16% 31.82 72.04% 0.135 0.395 -0.363
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 11621 25.39% 33.3 77.89% -0.146 -0.5398 0.094
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 291 15.86% 25.75 73.2% 0.675 0.2802 -0.569
Lightning's Swift Strike 7233 27.33% 27.1 71.42% -0.499 -0.2452 -0.877
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 462 33.93% 29.81 70.13% 0.653 0.0997 0.732
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 942 34.42% 35.85 78.45% 0.08 -0.1561 0.871
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1076 31.36% 35.84 77.97% 0.347 0.0956 0.604
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3812 31.72% 34.21 77.94% 0.132 -0.1924 -0.236
Many Minds Move as One 2560 28.63% 35.01 83.36% 0.434 0.2338 0.466
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 8218 28.06% 34.15 78.5% 0.167 0.139 0.48
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8346 28.71% 31.12 80.27% 0.154 0.0125 -0.027
River Surges in Sunlight 9145 26.96% 35.1 79.95% 0.026 0.1433 0.229
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1774 20.49% 30.24 83.2% -0.334 0.0034 -0.282
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 995 36.16% 38.59 70.85% -0.067 -0.2149 0.327
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5892 28.52% 33.22 73.49% 0.161 -0.0062 -0.112
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2830 39.72% 28.14 78.3% -0.339 0.2052 -0.04
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 141 31.11% 27.42 75.18% 0.432 0.5174 -0.345
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 120 29.66% 32.38 77.5% 0.546 0.1761 -0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 174 31.58% 28.52 67.24% 0.14 0.3058 -0.356
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 641 37.5% 30.86 77.54% -0.453 -0.4217 -0.291
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 515 36.11% 28.33 73.4% -0.525 -0.3548 -0.237
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4909 30.48% 35.29 81.5% -0.026 -0.1211 0.491
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 301 28.24% 31.18 76.08% 0.958 0.717 -0.229
Shifting Memory of Ages 1147 34.42% 30.36 73.5% -0.155 0.2235 0.052
Shroud of Silent Mist 1497 34.67% 29.09 77.49% 0.23 0.6009 -0.155
Starlight Seeks its Form 1739 27.64% 33.82 76.19% -0.042 -0.2483 -0.057
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3868 36.57% 33.83 75.05% -0.334 -1.0508 -0.151
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6799 24.83% 34.01 82.34% 0.184 0.3657 0.585
Thunderspeaker 9961 29.74% 36.06 78.34% -0.02 -0.0059 0.092
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 263 34.35% 29.6 55.13% -1.103 -0.9975 -1.036
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1971 50.69% 32.04 73.97% -0.226 -0.0857 0.209
Vital Strength of the Earth 3666 28.05% 29.0 78.59% -0.17 0.3718 -0.531
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 349 32.05% 30.47 65.62% -0.444 -0.1063 0.244
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 561 29.83% 28.8 73.62% -0.704 0.0125 -0.186
Volcano Looming High 2188 39.01% 32.91 78.24% -0.154 -0.1867 0.361
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 382 35.28% 32.2 72.51% 0.572 0.135 0.037

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.16%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.67%
Mysterious Abductions 85.93%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 91.14%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15315 16.23 4.42%
II 47972 30.54 67.06%
III 87842 34.77 92.2%
IV 49245 38.37 99.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 677
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 79055
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 27905
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 48558
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 9124
Lose: Invader deck ran out 885
Lose: Adversary condition 12283
Win: Sacrifice victory 308
Lose: Scenario condition 1542
Win: Scenario condition 6168
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13408
Lose: Spirit destroyed 461

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.962 Win Model: -0.186

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.696 Win Model: 0.321
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 114113 25.02% 36.5 82.89%
2 48536 33.02% 32.92 79.79%
3 19836 31.34% 32.78 80.58%
4 14925 27.44% 32.56 74.57%
5 750 21.09% 29.74 79.87%
6 2214 20.43% 30.22 74.44%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)