Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 184 18.48% 24.82 75.54% 0.746 0.2446 -0.565
Blitz 0 2267 25.57% 29.75 75.56% -0.11 0.2664 -0.776
Dahan Insurrection 4 7837 16.13% 60.11 77.7% 0.569 0.0897 0.815
Despicable Theft 2 375 23.2% 32.11 72.0% 0.058 0.5938 0.336
Elemental Invocation 1 468 30.13% 28.38 67.09% -0.486 0.2563 -0.959
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7350 9.59% 41.32 73.18% 0.069 -0.5942 0.472
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1646 37.83% 32.86 74.18% -1.174 -0.6009 -0.354
Rituals of Terror 3 1283 40.13% 46.81 70.23% 0.136 -0.0179 0.368
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 528 61.52% 35.4 60.23% -0.591 0.1905 -1.616
Second Wave 0 11465 26.44% 32.89 86.24% 0.032 0.1243 0.318
The Great River 3 272 30.15% 23.69 40.81% -1.462 -0.2929 -1.713
Varied Terrains 2 194 35.05% 27.09 62.37% 0.251 1.1457 -1.409
Ward the Shores 2 1009 35.16% 31.88 61.05% -0.993 -0.1152 -0.863

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 120096 24.55% 35.56 81.57% 1.059 1.4629 1.587
1 Thematic 6047 28.24% 42.71 75.13% 0.71 1.4191 1.336
2 Archipelago 189 23.4% 45.23 65.61% -0.162 0.502 0.162
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 35625 33.19% 31.77 78.1% 0.397 0.5861 0.826
2 Coastline 5724 25.71% 32.99 82.25% 0.692 0.5222 1.137
2 Fragment 970 33.19% 28.06 80.62% 0.122 0.1156 0.261
2 Heart 546 33.85% 28.67 80.95% 0.199 -0.0805 1.002
2 Opposite Shores 7415 33.52% 32.24 76.25% 0.397 0.536 0.223
2 Thematic 2718 41.1% 39.85 67.37% 0.766 1.4008 0.632
2 Top to Top 1069 31.75% 34.63 79.51% 0.167 0.0935 0.813
3 Archipelago 106 40.78% 43.66 78.3% 1.049 0.3294 -0.116
3 Coastline 217 25.23% 35.82 79.72% 0.555 -0.2843 0.895
3 Other 940 29.37% 28.93 80.32% 0.873 0.0358 0.443
3 Round (Default) 20287 31.28% 32.2 79.36% 0.276 0.2668 0.184
3 Sunrise 96 36.84% 30.34 69.79% -0.212 -0.5172 0.273
3 Thematic 764 38.06% 33.03 66.88% -0.151 -0.3905 0.004
4 Archipelago 79 28.95% 34.63 82.28% 0.0 -0.0373 0.059
4 Coastline 108 14.95% 30.72 75.0% 0.04 0.2356 0.632
4 Leaf 106 33.65% 27.8 70.75% -0.535 0.0804 0.271
4 Other 509 35.33% 34.21 83.5% 0.987 0.3124 0.446
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.0475 0.0
4 Snake 10 70.0% 24.7 50.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.511
4 Thematic 1834 37.59% 39.46 72.25% -0.04 0.0322 -0.419
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14549 24.55% 29.33 69.41% -0.722 -0.6888 -1.069
5 Archipelago 25 52.0% 35.92 72.0% -0.73 -0.9236 0.23
5 Coastline 57 10.53% 43.88 84.21% -0.479 -1.2651 -0.04
5 Other 984 25.18% 28.69 80.08% -0.487 -0.7663 -0.297
5 Thematic 85 42.35% 35.46 63.53% -0.382 -0.6268 -0.369
6 Archipelago 43 9.52% 36.63 79.07% 0.0 -1.113 -0.174
6 Coastline 27 11.11% 34.67 59.26% -0.118 -1.3167 -0.456
6 Other 319 21.9% 27.91 68.34% -1.208 -1.2243 -1.495
6 Star 205 20.98% 27.66 76.1% -1.26 -0.6418 -1.637
6 Thematic 750 25.13% 26.68 60.93% -1.236 -1.1818 -2.834
6 Two Centers (Default) 1542 17.12% 30.34 75.03% -1.248 -0.8451 -1.413
7 Archipelago 11 36.36% 32.64 45.45% 0.0 -0.3215 -0.286
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 28 21.43% 16.46 46.43% 0.249 -0.4598 -0.57
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4198 35.12 60.05% -0.416 -0.3613 -0.39
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3834 37.15 62.42% -0.352 -0.4801 -0.068
All Things Weaken 2687 34.78 56.31% -0.146 0.0218 -0.589
Attenuated Essence 463 33.24 55.51% -0.269 -0.2107 -0.48
Back Against the Wall 3818 35.89 60.27% 0.431 0.4021 -0.238
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 496 31.62 49.6% -0.04 0.1202 -0.832
Burn Brightest Before the End 432 32.94 47.45% 0.086 0.1102 -0.735
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4101 32.96 57.94% -0.109 0.1826 -0.419
Downward Spiral 7634 32.83 64.87% 0.002 0.083 -0.441
Erosion of Will 4235 34.68 59.24% 0.016 0.1694 -0.433
Intensifying Exploitation 471 30.15 45.44% -0.268 -0.0909 -0.978
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1313 38.52 74.71% -0.508 -0.9698 0.026
Memory Fades to Dust 7528 32.34 61.68% -0.167 0.0508 -0.521
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2687 35.33 59.32% 0.358 0.4566 -0.53
Promising Farmlands 4145 33.13 58.53% 0.023 0.35 -0.59
Shattered Fragments of Power 379 33.49 49.87% -0.44 -0.3703 -0.629
Slow Dissolution of Will 462 31.72 45.67% -0.505 -0.0514 -0.83
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 909 39.54 82.62% 0.374 -0.3022 0.554
The Border of Life and Death 117 32.79 64.96% 0.193 -0.2744 -0.461
Thriving Communities 2657 33.91 56.72% -0.341 -0.1316 -0.607
Thriving Crops 236 33.11 60.17% 0.131 -0.0718 0.054
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 0.1113 -0.242
Unnatural Proliferation 2803 35.76 56.94% 0.346 0.4373 -0.512
Untended Land Crumbles 2726 33.79 56.16% -0.181 0.0129 -0.658

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 47542 27.86% 31.87 77.58% -0.275 0.6518 -0.324
B 55791 28.46% 32.49 76.36% -0.262 0.5893 0.05
C 50876 27.29% 32.91 79.14% -0.047 0.6476 -0.102
D 46344 26.96% 32.05 78.56% -0.144 0.7061 -0.104
E 32500 29.03% 34.61 78.27% 0.222 0.8905 0.018
F 47716 26.86% 32.61 78.61% -0.2 0.5769 -0.154
G 40835 29.0% 31.3 76.93% -0.312 0.4497 -0.251
H 46936 26.86% 33.55 78.91% 0.131 0.8617 0.061
East 8629 34.06% 39.12 70.3% -0.182 0.6504 -0.334
Northeast 5573 33.06% 38.15 70.38% 0.049 0.7684 -0.56
Northwest 4216 34.64% 36.56 68.29% -0.263 0.5549 -1.114
Southeast 2300 31.06% 33.34 67.48% -0.232 0.6041 -0.788
Southwest 2077 35.43% 28.81 60.95% -0.251 1.1708 -1.177
West 7617 35.08% 39.32 69.28% -0.647 0.2107 0.326

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7628 0.0% 21.95 80.87% -0.347 0.36 -0.314
Not Using Events or Tokens 27767 19.18% 29.3 84.78% 0.219 0.7083 -0.1
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5157 7.75% 36.23 88.77% 0.217 -0.5192 0.049
Start of Game Growth 8798 11.3% 37.03 85.77% -0.011 -0.468 0.182
Unlimited Undo 22973 20.46% 31.17 77.45% -0.093 -0.1199 -0.072
Using Tokens but Not Events 32400 16.28% 33.55 84.81% 0.309 0.1527 0.323

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8515 24.95% 31.19 76.81% 0.092 0.0 0.127
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 211 34.29% 31.02 67.77% 0.846 0.3414 -0.118
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4736 35.02% 28.07 71.43% 0.294 0.465 -0.279
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 326 34.88% 31.92 65.64% 0.299 -0.4984 0.897
Dances Up Earthquakes 73 34.25% 30.92 69.86% 0.334 0.1658 -0.631
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 10580 25.27% 29.0 78.98% -0.523 -0.7139 -0.011
Downpour Drenches the World 1160 25.59% 28.09 71.12% 0.599 0.9456 0.318
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2104 27.77% 30.43 69.2% 0.569 0.0975 -0.497
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 10297 24.89% 30.85 80.48% 0.12 -0.2362 0.036
Finder of Paths Unseen 656 31.84% 24.59 60.37% -0.967 -0.2243 -0.265
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2301 28.05% 36.62 76.97% 0.188 0.6064 0.4
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1772 35.75% 31.95 71.61% -0.057 -0.06 -0.042
Heart of the Wildfire 4063 49.32% 31.09 71.11% 0.007 0.3301 -0.266
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13201 24.84% 31.74 73.53% 0.011 -0.4762 0.12
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 618 16.42% 26.47 76.05% 0.755 0.2378 0.039
Lightning's Swift Strike 8189 26.41% 25.82 68.73% -0.235 -0.0353 -0.655
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 685 38.44% 28.76 62.34% -0.99 -1.4499 -0.079
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1055 34.43% 35.34 77.54% 0.037 -0.2812 1.052
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1233 31.67% 34.76 75.1% -0.578 -0.4852 0.586
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4412 31.52% 33.44 75.88% -0.118 -0.2649 -0.15
Many Minds Move as One 2952 29.12% 33.9 80.42% 0.084 -0.0671 0.269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9281 27.21% 32.72 75.55% -0.278 -0.1675 0.53
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 99 31.31% 36.63 82.83% 0.807 0.9191 0.355
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9235 28.26% 30.21 78.38% 0.146 0.0851 0.076
River Surges in Sunlight 10010 26.8% 33.9 77.4% -0.159 -0.1353 0.216
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 167 33.53% 26.96 50.9% -0.225 0.0128 -0.174
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2069 20.92% 29.46 80.04% 0.427 0.5667 -0.34
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1339 34.93% 35.52 66.69% -0.012 -0.0207 0.164
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6811 26.88% 31.28 68.82% -0.22 -0.3501 -0.185
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 35 14.29% 30.4 80.0% 0.588 0.1158 -0.344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3061 40.0% 27.36 76.64% -0.28 0.2443 0.077
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 189 30.9% 26.32 70.9% -0.163 -0.1335 -0.277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 263 27.31% 30.49 73.38% 0.097 -0.3124 -0.385
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 220 30.37% 26.89 63.18% -0.606 -0.568 -0.119
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 701 37.68% 30.1 76.03% -0.559 -0.7138 -0.202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 553 35.48% 27.6 71.07% -0.896 -0.7935 -0.102
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5315 29.88% 34.5 80.17% 0.143 0.0375 0.526
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 461 27.98% 29.81 73.54% -0.252 -0.4637 -0.129
Shifting Memory of Ages 1335 33.89% 29.23 70.11% 0.192 0.5816 0.137
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 209 28.5% 30.8 76.08% 0.879 0.8311 0.34
Shroud of Silent Mist 1735 34.33% 28.28 75.73% 0.188 0.6119 -0.157
Starlight Seeks its Form 2108 26.76% 32.89 75.19% 0.166 0.1279 0.146
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4289 36.78% 33.2 73.21% 0.212 -0.3287 0.034
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7662 24.67% 32.71 79.31% 0.244 0.3278 0.536
Thunderspeaker 10949 28.97% 34.91 76.37% 0.499 0.4886 0.148
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 413 33.58% 27.33 52.3% -0.417 -0.0449 -1.165
Towering Roots of the Jungle 390 31.87% 27.97 65.9% 0.533 0.718 -0.146
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2130 50.57% 31.45 72.58% -0.608 -0.5599 0.24
Vital Strength of the Earth 4149 26.67% 27.33 74.36% -0.4 0.0529 -0.6
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 472 33.04% 29.33 61.86% -0.205 0.2747 0.171
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 646 29.77% 27.61 70.43% -0.415 0.2958 -0.244
Volcano Looming High 2584 38.61% 32.4 77.09% 0.3 0.3693 0.461
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 638 33.39% 30.73 70.85% -0.146 -0.4111 0.043

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.2%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.73%
Mysterious Abductions 86.18%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 91.33%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21209 14.21 3.92%
II 53700 30.29 66.16%
III 95803 34.84 91.99%
IV 53512 38.62 99.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 832
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 86053
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 30860
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 52776
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15381
Lose: Invader deck ran out 967
Lose: Adversary condition 13423
Win: Sacrifice victory 330
Lose: Scenario condition 1687
Win: Scenario condition 6704
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14714
Lose: Spirit destroyed 497

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.365 Win Model: -0.164

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.287 Win Model: 0.335
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 126805 24.81% 35.96 81.15%
2 54021 32.74% 32.2 77.99%
3 22304 31.4% 32.15 78.97%
4 17212 26.25% 30.6 70.41%
5 1018 23.83% 28.24 76.23%
6 2864 19.88% 28.86 70.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-24 05:20:05 (Pacific Time)