Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 188 19.15% 24.82 76.06% 0.982 0.6551 -0.568
Blitz 0 2297 25.4% 29.86 75.4% 0.472 0.7776 -0.789
Dahan Insurrection 4 7918 16.27% 60.01 77.48% 0.456 0.0288 0.799
Despicable Theft 2 382 23.04% 31.99 71.99% -0.11 0.532 0.342
Elemental Invocation 1 471 29.94% 28.26 66.88% -0.516 0.1353 -0.955
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7414 9.56% 41.34 73.15% 0.077 -0.5508 0.464
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1655 37.99% 32.79 74.02% -1.394 -0.7815 -0.355
Rituals of Terror 3 1285 40.06% 46.73 70.12% -0.567 -0.4851 0.365
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 529 61.6% 35.33 60.11% -0.852 -0.0593 -1.599
Second Wave 0 11535 26.46% 32.87 86.16% -0.057 0.0731 0.329
The Great River 3 272 30.15% 23.69 40.81% -1.816 -0.8276 -1.733
Varied Terrains 2 198 34.85% 27.31 62.63% -0.04 0.7925 -1.404
Ward the Shores 2 1013 35.02% 31.79 60.91% -1.231 -0.2342 -0.864

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 121070 24.54% 35.52 81.47% 0.943 1.2928 1.594
1 Thematic 6069 28.29% 42.68 75.1% 0.732 1.3776 1.351
2 Archipelago 189 23.4% 45.23 65.61% -0.104 0.7087 0.178
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 35932 33.16% 31.7 78.01% 0.372 0.5207 0.825
2 Coastline 5763 25.75% 32.94 82.08% 0.646 0.4472 1.155
2 Fragment 979 33.12% 27.99 80.59% 0.264 0.2166 0.268
2 Heart 557 34.29% 28.66 80.61% 0.105 -0.2111 1.067
2 Opposite Shores 7490 33.44% 32.15 76.14% 0.353 0.4113 0.242
2 Thematic 2730 41.06% 39.87 67.33% 0.633 1.1191 0.645
2 Top to Top 1085 31.68% 34.49 79.35% 0.488 0.3721 0.801
3 Archipelago 106 40.78% 43.66 78.3% 1.087 0.2058 -0.111
3 Coastline 217 25.23% 35.82 79.72% 0.978 0.0589 0.96
3 Other 948 29.22% 28.86 80.27% 0.571 -0.1822 0.414
3 Round (Default) 20474 31.22% 32.16 79.29% 0.293 0.2535 0.159
3 Sunrise 96 36.84% 30.34 69.79% -0.346 -0.9986 0.279
3 Thematic 772 38.18% 33.08 66.84% 0.016 -0.3237 0.0
4 Archipelago 79 28.95% 34.63 82.28% 0.0 0.1629 0.058
4 Coastline 109 14.81% 30.82 75.23% 0.146 0.0936 0.639
4 Leaf 108 33.02% 27.66 71.3% 0.308 0.9231 0.258
4 Other 512 35.32% 34.14 83.4% 0.683 -0.1024 0.45
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.092 0.0
4 Snake 10 70.0% 24.7 50.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.514
4 Thematic 1841 37.66% 39.41 72.13% -0.465 -0.4086 -0.409
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14643 24.54% 29.27 69.34% -0.545 -0.6325 -1.042
5 Archipelago 25 52.0% 35.92 72.0% -0.72 -0.2447 0.22
5 Coastline 58 10.34% 43.55 84.48% -0.348 -1.0178 0.0
5 Other 997 24.95% 28.63 79.64% -0.895 -1.262 -0.425
5 Thematic 87 42.53% 35.32 63.22% -0.575 -0.6189 -0.404
6 Archipelago 43 9.52% 36.63 79.07% 0.0 -0.9966 -0.193
6 Coastline 27 11.11% 34.67 59.26% -0.585 -1.7493 -0.433
6 Other 325 21.81% 27.85 68.62% -0.786 -0.9289 -1.518
6 Star 210 20.48% 27.46 75.71% -1.203 -0.4434 -1.643
6 Thematic 758 24.87% 26.62 60.82% -1.129 -1.2298 -2.858
6 Two Centers (Default) 1582 17.32% 30.24 74.15% -1.343 -1.0627 -1.418
7 Archipelago 11 36.36% 32.64 45.45% 0.0 -0.2579 -0.29
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 28 21.43% 16.46 46.43% 0.247 -0.5834 -0.593
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9175 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4216 35.11 59.96% -0.577 -0.5419 -0.388
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3865 37.16 62.46% 0.059 -0.0755 -0.059
All Things Weaken 2706 34.82 56.47% -0.058 0.0714 -0.579
Attenuated Essence 477 32.95 54.72% -0.369 -0.3826 -0.509
Back Against the Wall 3845 35.87 60.26% 0.247 0.2181 -0.228
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 514 31.47 49.81% -0.058 0.1192 -0.8
Burn Brightest Before the End 441 32.76 46.71% -0.28 -0.2655 -0.784
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4120 32.95 57.91% -0.059 0.1641 -0.422
Downward Spiral 7669 32.82 64.86% 0.11 0.164 -0.432
Erosion of Will 4258 34.69 59.23% 0.068 0.2113 -0.427
Intensifying Exploitation 483 29.94 44.93% -0.476 -0.3668 -0.97
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1322 38.47 74.81% -0.237 -0.759 0.041
Memory Fades to Dust 7572 32.28 61.63% -0.417 -0.2231 -0.518
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2713 35.25 59.23% 0.108 0.1941 -0.528
Promising Farmlands 4180 33.15 58.64% 0.259 0.4825 -0.579
Shattered Fragments of Power 386 33.66 50.0% -0.119 -0.0614 -0.665
Slow Dissolution of Will 480 31.72 46.25% -0.223 0.1508 -0.822
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 920 39.39 82.72% 0.633 -0.044 0.562
The Border of Life and Death 120 32.25 65.0% 0.292 -0.1192 -0.52
Thriving Communities 2672 33.91 56.74% -0.385 -0.1726 -0.609
Thriving Crops 248 33.34 60.48% -0.135 -0.4073 0.09
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 0.5848 -0.237
Unnatural Proliferation 2820 35.78 56.95% 0.401 0.4436 -0.497
Untended Land Crumbles 2749 33.69 56.13% -0.404 -0.1913 -0.663

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 47978 27.82% 31.8 77.45% -0.223 0.7155 -0.328
B 56267 28.43% 32.42 76.23% -0.26 0.5953 0.046
C 51281 27.27% 32.87 79.04% -0.011 0.6822 -0.097
D 46754 26.91% 32.0 78.42% -0.124 0.7244 -0.108
E 32855 29.05% 34.56 78.18% 0.374 1.0518 0.011
F 48099 26.82% 32.56 78.51% -0.152 0.6272 -0.154
G 41214 28.95% 31.25 76.83% -0.258 0.4941 -0.25
H 47331 26.86% 33.51 78.82% 0.045 0.7684 0.062
East 8676 34.08% 39.09 70.23% -0.342 0.4679 -0.335
Northeast 5609 33.09% 38.15 70.33% 0.044 0.8441 -0.547
Northwest 4242 34.57% 36.56 68.25% -0.045 0.7146 -1.094
Southeast 2319 31.02% 33.25 67.31% -0.477 0.3742 -0.799
Southwest 2097 35.43% 28.71 60.71% -0.842 0.4928 -1.189
West 7661 35.07% 39.28 69.21% -0.222 0.6612 0.333

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7727 0.0% 21.86 80.61% -0.326 0.3335 -0.309
Not Using Events or Tokens 27994 19.15% 29.24 84.65% 0.174 0.6507 -0.101
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5221 7.75% 36.12 88.43% 0.235 -0.5339 0.091
Start of Game Growth 8899 11.29% 36.89 85.44% -0.152 -0.5607 0.161
Unlimited Undo 23186 20.4% 31.07 77.23% -0.161 -0.2097 -0.089
Using Tokens but Not Events 32659 16.3% 33.51 84.72% 0.31 0.1936 0.32

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8575 24.92% 31.18 76.83% 0.44 0.3254 0.144
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 234 36.05% 31.75 68.8% 1.315 0.7783 -0.022
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4747 35.04% 28.04 71.37% 0.089 0.2343 -0.282
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 335 34.53% 31.84 65.97% 0.28 -0.5331 0.925
Dances Up Earthquakes 106 32.08% 31.16 67.92% 0.267 0.097 -0.819
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 10667 25.2% 28.94 78.82% -0.407 -0.6443 -0.0
Downpour Drenches the World 1179 25.34% 28.01 70.99% 0.535 0.8634 0.329
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2147 27.44% 30.36 69.4% 0.476 0.0022 -0.478
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 10372 24.91% 30.83 80.36% 0.133 -0.2562 0.05
Finder of Paths Unseen 662 32.31% 24.64 60.73% -0.738 -0.0533 -0.247
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2318 28.19% 36.56 76.83% 0.122 0.5727 0.414
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1803 35.85% 31.89 71.6% 0.058 0.0127 -0.004
Heart of the Wildfire 4081 49.45% 31.07 71.01% 0.004 0.3261 -0.251
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13282 24.82% 31.72 73.48% 0.015 -0.4853 0.113
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 631 16.56% 26.53 76.07% 0.765 0.3714 0.081
Lightning's Swift Strike 8240 26.34% 25.73 68.53% -0.369 -0.1746 -0.693
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 698 39.18% 28.86 62.32% -0.935 -1.2988 -0.065
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1071 34.38% 35.2 77.4% 0.423 0.118 1.064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1245 31.53% 34.57 74.78% -0.982 -0.7646 0.562
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4449 31.58% 33.4 75.86% 0.108 -0.0901 -0.143
Many Minds Move as One 2968 29.16% 33.87 80.39% 0.249 0.027 0.294
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9344 27.16% 32.6 75.29% -0.333 -0.2124 0.534
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 153 24.84% 34.64 75.82% 0.425 0.513 -0.206
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9305 28.16% 30.17 78.32% 0.19 0.1035 0.095
River Surges in Sunlight 10083 26.68% 33.83 77.33% 0.182 0.1452 0.226
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 180 33.33% 26.87 51.11% -0.335 -0.0665 -0.179
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2083 20.94% 29.4 79.98% 0.215 0.3336 -0.327
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1360 34.63% 35.46 66.76% 0.04 -0.1212 0.167
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6855 26.79% 31.18 68.64% -0.169 -0.3432 -0.176
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 53 13.21% 29.96 81.13% 0.755 0.2575 -0.338
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3084 39.88% 27.28 76.59% -0.251 0.2372 0.087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 194 30.6% 26.23 70.1% -0.338 -0.3489 -0.105
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 270 26.97% 30.23 72.59% -0.107 -0.5404 -0.392
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 223 30.41% 26.72 62.78% -0.883 -0.6422 -0.102
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 706 37.41% 30.09 75.92% -0.725 -0.7957 -0.181
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 558 35.4% 27.42 70.61% -1.11 -0.9564 -0.09
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5333 29.86% 34.44 80.09% 0.134 0.0105 0.54
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 476 27.52% 29.69 73.95% -0.001 -0.1462 -0.119
Shifting Memory of Ages 1344 33.73% 29.11 69.94% 0.187 0.5458 0.138
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 217 27.44% 30.51 75.12% 0.497 0.6004 0.26
Shroud of Silent Mist 1761 34.68% 28.15 75.24% -0.415 0.013 -0.181
Starlight Seeks its Form 2149 26.71% 32.69 74.97% 0.017 -0.0437 0.163
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4314 36.69% 33.15 73.06% 0.089 -0.4143 0.026
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7726 24.68% 32.64 79.24% 0.24 0.3103 0.54
Thunderspeaker 11013 29.04% 34.9 76.28% 0.452 0.4331 0.162
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 431 33.33% 27.4 53.13% -0.227 0.1255 -1.017
Towering Roots of the Jungle 411 31.45% 28.23 66.18% 0.751 0.9324 -0.286
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2143 50.54% 31.39 72.56% -0.307 -0.2794 0.264
Vital Strength of the Earth 4216 26.34% 27.08 73.74% -0.373 0.1208 -0.601
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 482 33.19% 29.57 61.83% -0.201 0.3173 0.176
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 659 30.16% 27.58 69.65% -0.539 0.153 -0.207
Volcano Looming High 2612 38.62% 32.39 77.11% 0.389 0.4536 0.487
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 658 33.74% 30.91 71.28% 0.15 -0.1418 0.15

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.2%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.72%
Mysterious Abductions 86.19%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 91.32%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21596 14.06 3.92%
II 54105 30.26 66.11%
III 96502 34.84 91.98%
IV 53872 38.62 99.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 846
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 86670
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31073
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 53126
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15802
Lose: Invader deck ran out 975
Lose: Adversary condition 13487
Win: Sacrifice victory 332
Lose: Scenario condition 1695
Win: Scenario condition 6751
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14819
Lose: Spirit destroyed 499

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.335 Win Model: -0.165

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.279 Win Model: 0.238
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 127806 24.8% 35.92 81.05%
2 54486 32.72% 32.13 77.88%
3 22508 31.34% 32.11 78.91%
4 17318 26.24% 30.54 70.34%
5 1035 23.63% 28.17 75.75%
6 2922 19.86% 28.79 70.05%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-30 13:18:54 (Pacific Time)