Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 92 20.65% 25.73 83.7% 0.179 -0.0766 -0.932
Blitz 0 1845 27.62% 31.49 79.46% -0.293 -0.0956 -0.855
Dahan Insurrection 4 6188 15.93% 61.78 81.48% -0.085 -0.5273 0.506
Despicable Theft 2 246 25.61% 37.1 84.15% -0.951 -0.1389 0.374
Elemental Invocation 1 288 33.33% 32.09 77.78% -0.728 -0.0256 -0.766
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5377 11.4% 43.33 77.5% 0.266 -0.3783 0.15
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1367 39.65% 35.36 79.01% -1.209 -0.5733 -0.394
Rituals of Terror 3 1034 43.19% 48.52 74.56% -0.607 -0.506 0.135
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 428 66.12% 38.91 64.72% -1.274 -0.2648 -1.571
Second Wave 0 9452 26.82% 33.39 87.6% 0.361 0.427 0.275
The Great River 3 169 34.32% 29.47 49.7% -2.441 -1.2232 -1.287
Varied Terrains 2 76 40.79% 35.41 81.58% -0.37 0.2535 -0.485
Ward the Shores 2 859 37.7% 34.46 64.96% -0.606 0.4787 -0.804

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 94521 24.8% 36.94 85.74% 0.283 0.3374 0.187
1 Thematic 5230 29.22% 44.88 78.24% 0.091 0.5687 -0.088
2 Archipelago 96 22.11% 66.74 93.75% 0.809 0.9125 0.908
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 27618 34.33% 33.61 82.35% 0.019 0.1006 -0.056
2 Coastline 4372 25.0% 34.65 86.94% 0.269 0.1144 0.198
2 Fragment 716 32.46% 29.29 84.08% -0.3 -0.5495 -0.209
2 Heart 434 34.38% 29.34 82.95% 0.394 0.1069 0.519
2 Opposite Shores 5461 30.3% 33.74 83.72% 0.237 0.2599 -0.453
2 Thematic 2198 43.28% 42.13 70.47% -0.519 -0.1152 -0.43
2 Top to Top 824 30.34% 36.63 84.83% 0.457 0.2903 -0.08
3 Archipelago 61 37.7% 46.61 86.89% 0.56 -0.9893 -0.661
3 Coastline 163 23.75% 39.58 87.73% 0.301 -0.2131 1.238
3 Other 733 28.99% 30.56 85.27% -0.524 0.017 -0.189
3 Round (Default) 15222 31.41% 33.74 83.03% 0.211 0.0953 -0.265
3 Sunrise 63 33.33% 32.7 77.78% -0.354 -0.0742 -0.14
3 Thematic 540 39.7% 35.76 73.33% -0.867 -0.787 -0.636
4 Archipelago 45 27.91% 39.62 93.33% 0.81 0.1359 0.429
4 Coastline 79 17.72% 34.97 81.01% 0.127 0.3581 1.406
4 Leaf 74 30.56% 30.8 83.78% -0.184 -0.5276 0.458
4 Other 417 36.1% 35.17 86.33% 0.628 -0.4559 0.064
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 77.78% 27.44 55.56% 0.0 -0.3465 -0.592
4 Thematic 1598 38.74% 41.18 74.03% -0.357 -0.6195 -0.338
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9790 27.4% 35.71 83.95% -0.21 -0.2926 -0.095
5 Archipelago 12 41.67% 40.33 83.33% -0.826 -1.7423 0.462
5 Coastline 33 9.09% 53.52 93.94% -0.206 -0.8573 0.681
5 Other 511 22.82% 32.22 89.24% 0.767 0.4823 0.33
5 Thematic 57 42.11% 38.7 80.7% 0.217 0.1232 0.077
6 Archipelago 24 12.5% 37.71 83.33% -0.609 -0.4576 0.013
6 Coastline 13 7.69% 55.38 92.31% 0.007 -0.794 0.363
6 Other 168 21.21% 33.5 80.95% -0.471 -0.7035 0.001
6 Star 105 24.76% 31.88 86.67% 0.784 0.7709 -0.032
6 Thematic 421 28.88% 32.37 75.53% -0.683 -0.2626 -1.349
6 Two Centers (Default) 793 19.01% 33.74 83.98% -0.124 -0.02 -0.112
7 Archipelago 8 50.0% 44.88 62.5% -0.475 -0.4942 -0.211
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 12 16.67% 19.25 58.33% -0.707 -1.32 -0.277

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3526 35.8 61.12% -0.25 -0.0073 -0.732
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3233 37.33 63.53% 0.174 0.097 -0.46
All Things Weaken 2088 35.16 57.23% -0.703 -0.3103 -0.957
Attenuated Essence 77 28.83 48.05% -0.42 -0.3127 -1.408
Back Against the Wall 3213 36.01 60.72% -0.201 -0.1438 -0.632
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 71 29.76 40.85% -0.447 -0.2451 -1.393
Burn Brightest Before the End 75 35.33 54.67% -0.406 -0.1958 -0.43
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3388 33.66 59.5% -0.271 0.1529 -0.795
Downward Spiral 6176 34.12 67.05% -0.435 -0.1997 -0.833
Erosion of Will 3569 35.05 60.13% -0.246 0.0632 -0.808
Intensifying Exploitation 76 29.46 46.05% -0.365 -0.078 -1.361
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1034 40.26 77.85% 0.699 0.2055 -0.222
Memory Fades to Dust 6195 33.6 63.99% -0.631 -0.2949 -0.869
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2110 35.87 60.57% -0.4 -0.1798 -0.855
Promising Farmlands 3429 33.94 60.54% -0.108 0.3454 -0.941
Shattered Fragments of Power 56 30.93 55.36% -0.312 -0.2609 -1.048
Slow Dissolution of Will 72 29.56 41.67% -0.472 -0.073 -1.476
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 726 40.52 85.4% 0.927 0.2162 0.337
The Border of Life and Death 15 35.8 73.33% 0.491 0.1551 -0.897
Thriving Communities 2050 35.42 59.95% -0.424 -0.0607 -0.9
Thriving Crops 37 32.78 62.16% 0.267 0.0689 0.067
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 0.0 -0.702
Unnatural Proliferation 2201 36.45 58.88% -0.35 -0.1348 -0.86
Untended Land Crumbles 2081 34.76 58.39% -0.433 -0.151 -0.973

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 35265 28.56% 34.36 84.03% -0.42 0.3201 -0.109
B 41464 29.41% 35.51 83.89% -0.499 0.2269 0.247
C 38456 27.97% 35.2 84.74% -0.255 0.3272 0.085
D 34533 27.8% 34.62 84.97% -0.282 0.4295 0.105
E 22951 29.47% 36.32 82.83% -0.15 0.4158 0.091
F 35665 27.43% 35.0 84.64% -0.2 0.4704 0.028
G 30402 30.13% 33.93 83.35% -0.404 0.2478 -0.146
H 35503 27.69% 36.21 85.04% -0.199 0.3712 0.304
East 6904 35.72% 41.92 74.49% -0.1 0.4393 -0.339
Northeast 4438 35.0% 41.03 75.21% 0.123 0.7576 -0.377
Northwest 3316 37.04% 39.82 73.61% -0.545 0.2644 -0.968
Southeast 1607 33.29% 37.74 76.04% -0.792 -0.0858 -0.559
Southwest 1431 40.15% 32.9 68.83% -0.7 0.2898 -1.013
West 6107 36.87% 42.71 73.98% -0.03 0.8734 0.513

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5641 0.0% 24.23 88.99% -1.123 -0.3465 -0.506
Not Using Events or Tokens 21310 18.74% 31.52 90.46% 0.052 0.4311 0.035
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4218 8.24% 38.15 93.22% 0.794 0.1764 0.051
Start of Game Growth 6868 11.64% 38.95 90.39% -0.324 -0.6729 -0.14
Unlimited Undo 16881 21.97% 35.55 88.75% -0.243 -0.2496 0.494
Using Tokens but Not Events 24266 16.81% 35.18 89.34% 0.439 0.4282 0.302

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6246 100.0% 34.28 100.0% 0.501 0.3529 0.014
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 3562 100.0% 31.83 100.0% -0.284 -0.1529 0.011
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8189 100.0% 31.7 100.0% -0.067 -0.2118 -0.215
Downpour Drenches the World 514 100.0% 30.76 100.0% 0.116 0.2951 -0.065
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 486 100.0% 28.64 100.0% 0.314 -0.4514 -0.795
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8057 100.0% 33.02 100.0% -0.05 -0.5464 -0.165
Finder of Paths Unseen 265 100.0% 29.99 100.0% -0.282 0.3825 0.458
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1704 100.0% 39.23 100.0% 0.089 0.6751 0.334
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1029 100.0% 35.46 100.0% 0.073 -0.0214 0.19
Heart of the Wildfire 3307 100.0% 33.02 100.0% -0.062 0.1789 -0.42
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 9627 100.0% 36.08 100.0% 0.009 -0.4325 0.327
Lightning's Swift Strike 5445 121.92% 31.85 106.24% -0.372 -0.1888 0.147
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 224 37.56% 33.56 75.45% -0.22 -0.7067 0.153
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 782 35.76% 38.2 82.86% -0.328 -0.496 0.751
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 867 32.54% 38.16 82.58% 0.459 0.3459 0.481
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3128 100.0% 36.07 100.0% 0.076 -0.0567 -0.183
Many Minds Move as One 2209 100.0% 36.54 100.0% 0.192 -0.0294 0.273
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 6836 100.0% 36.56 100.0% 0.266 0.224 0.357
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7199 100.0% 32.2 100.0% 0.043 -0.1347 -0.319
River Surges in Sunlight 8027 118.41% 37.11 103.8% 0.156 0.2264 0.223
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1457 20.64% 31.36 87.1% 0.085 0.3956 -0.206
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 550 33.09% 43.2 78.73% 0.442 0.329 0.115
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4647 100.0% 36.74 100.0% 0.348 0.1101 -0.039
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2519 126.81% 29.42 109.01% -0.897 -0.3671 -0.246
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 30.43% 31.85 83.33% 0.215 0.1398 -0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 31.52% 31.88 75.53% 0.167 0.0614 -0.166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 524 37.84% 32.52 81.49% -0.171 -0.1895 -0.486
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 426 37.16% 30.63 77.7% -0.53 -0.3528 -0.179
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4480 101.67% 36.47 100.67% -0.286 -0.476 0.333
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 108 30.56% 28.56 72.22% 0.323 -0.0582 -0.515
Shifting Memory of Ages 831 100.0% 32.67 100.0% -0.332 0.0209 -0.02
Shroud of Silent Mist 1168 100.0% 30.91 100.0% -0.475 -0.2249 0.123
Starlight Seeks its Form 1130 100.0% 35.91 100.0% 0.405 0.1436 -0.104
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 3251 100.0% 35.09 100.0% 0.417 -0.0606 -0.248
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5980 100.0% 35.6 100.0% -0.107 -0.0446 0.393
Thunderspeaker 8383 100.69% 38.03 100.37% 0.307 0.2727 0.191
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 90 35.56% 29.54 65.56% -0.216 -0.2554 0.084
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1723 100.0% 33.02 100.0% -0.145 -0.052 0.07
Vital Strength of the Earth 3215 112.27% 30.34 104.39% -0.054 0.4708 -0.737
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 193 33.86% 33.36 73.06% -0.132 0.1284 0.203
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 431 32.59% 30.77 79.35% -0.393 0.3835 -0.283
Volcano Looming High 1653 100.0% 34.64 100.0% 0.264 0.2215 0.145

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.11%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.57%
Mysterious Abductions 85.53%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 90.95%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8526 20.4 7.04%
II 41754 31.01 68.78%
III 78138 34.76 92.44%
IV 44054 38.07 99.16%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 600
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 70473
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 24853
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 43439
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2038
Lose: Invader deck ran out 776
Lose: Adversary condition 10866
Win: Sacrifice victory 265
Lose: Scenario condition 1444
Win: Scenario condition 5600
Lose: Blight pool ran out 11751
Lose: Spirit destroyed 367

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.53 Win Model: -0.167

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.291 Win Model: -0.087
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 100096 25.12% 37.45 85.29%
2 41639 33.1% 33.97 82.59%
3 16709 31.46% 33.75 82.85%
4 12050 29.11% 36.41 82.87%
5 469 19.01% 31.86 87.42%
6 1509 22.21% 33.06 81.31%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)