Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 191 18.85% 24.94 76.44% 1.279 1.2724 -0.551
Blitz 0 2331 25.24% 30.05 75.29% 0.707 0.9333 -0.766
Dahan Insurrection 4 7980 16.27% 60.0 77.43% 0.625 0.3096 0.802
Despicable Theft 2 386 22.8% 31.96 72.02% 0.364 1.1485 0.294
Elemental Invocation 1 480 29.58% 28.08 66.46% -0.931 -0.2291 -0.986
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 7514 9.49% 41.29 72.96% 0.045 -0.5703 0.481
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1666 37.91% 32.66 73.65% -1.278 -0.484 -0.371
Rituals of Terror 3 1297 40.23% 46.9 70.01% 0.157 0.1629 0.386
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 530 61.67% 35.27 60.0% -1.244 -0.3391 -1.57
Second Wave 0 11635 26.51% 32.84 86.12% -0.047 0.1771 0.319
The Great River 3 276 29.71% 23.51 40.22% -2.076 -1.0031 -1.736
Varied Terrains 2 204 34.8% 26.91 61.76% -0.567 0.2507 -1.452
Ward the Shores 2 1022 34.81% 31.75 60.86% -1.018 0.0652 -0.871

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 122307 24.52% 35.45 81.33% 0.858 1.092 1.598
1 Thematic 6113 28.26% 42.61 75.02% 0.865 1.3834 1.356
2 Archipelago 193 22.92% 44.61 65.28% -0.245 0.2868 0.18
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 36310 33.13% 31.63 77.87% 0.395 0.4126 0.836
2 Coastline 5816 25.68% 32.87 82.03% 0.679 0.4011 1.157
2 Fragment 993 32.98% 27.93 80.26% 0.248 0.0056 0.269
2 Heart 566 34.64% 28.52 80.57% 0.152 -0.4009 1.073
2 Opposite Shores 7574 33.43% 32.08 76.06% 0.452 0.3762 0.245
2 Thematic 2762 41.13% 39.92 67.2% 0.8 1.1806 0.627
2 Top to Top 1103 31.61% 34.4 79.42% 0.698 0.4135 0.825
3 Archipelago 106 40.78% 43.66 78.3% 0.838 0.1979 -0.122
3 Coastline 217 25.23% 35.82 79.72% 0.954 -0.0333 0.964
3 Other 949 29.19% 28.87 80.3% 0.817 0.0091 0.41
3 Round (Default) 20868 31.01% 31.87 78.59% 0.156 -0.0193 0.115
3 Sunrise 96 36.84% 30.34 69.79% 0.0 -0.5949 0.285
3 Thematic 784 38.36% 33.2 66.33% -0.112 -0.3276 -0.025
4 Archipelago 80 28.57% 34.2 81.25% -0.589 -0.7367 0.06
4 Coastline 109 14.81% 30.82 75.23% 0.144 0.2744 0.654
4 Leaf 108 33.02% 27.66 71.3% 0.355 0.6475 0.258
4 Other 516 35.31% 33.96 83.14% 0.587 -0.155 0.465
4 Reverse Snake 6 33.33% 32.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.5377 0.0
4 Snake 10 70.0% 24.7 50.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.505
4 Thematic 1846 37.62% 39.38 72.16% -0.459 -0.5023 -0.4
4 Trapezoid (Default) 14773 24.58% 29.22 69.36% -0.3 -0.6171 -0.99
5 Archipelago 25 52.0% 35.92 72.0% -0.692 0.5316 0.212
5 Coastline 58 10.34% 43.55 84.48% -0.382 -1.2314 0.041
5 Other 1028 25.07% 28.46 79.38% -0.547 -1.2 -0.48
5 Thematic 88 43.18% 35.4 63.64% -0.736 -0.7051 -0.39
6 Archipelago 43 9.52% 36.63 79.07% 0.0 -0.9188 -0.177
6 Coastline 28 10.71% 33.43 57.14% -0.574 -1.6068 -0.418
6 Other 333 21.88% 27.73 67.57% -0.707 -1.1955 -1.568
6 Star 218 21.1% 27.44 75.23% -1.05 -0.5649 -1.703
6 Thematic 770 24.61% 26.48 60.39% -0.786 -0.8862 -2.851
6 Two Centers (Default) 1627 17.16% 30.0 73.51% -1.374 -1.1968 -1.413
7 Archipelago 11 36.36% 32.64 45.45% 0.0 0.3732 -0.308
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 22.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 Other 28 21.43% 16.46 46.43% 0.296 -0.4506 -0.581
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9352 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4243 35.1 59.98% -0.447 -0.4161 -0.369
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3890 37.19 62.54% 0.123 0.0151 -0.042
All Things Weaken 2736 34.69 56.29% -0.29 -0.0864 -0.574
Attenuated Essence 498 33.03 54.02% -0.418 -0.4308 -0.553
Back Against the Wall 3863 35.81 60.16% -0.053 -0.0198 -0.22
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 529 31.52 49.53% -0.17 -0.0317 -0.769
Burn Brightest Before the End 452 33.14 47.57% -0.07 -0.0544 -0.743
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4151 32.92 57.94% 0.121 0.2841 -0.414
Downward Spiral 7742 32.76 64.92% 0.243 0.3099 -0.418
Erosion of Will 4287 34.7 59.25% 0.021 0.14 -0.409
Intensifying Exploitation 498 29.98 44.98% -0.6 -0.4878 -0.956
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1339 38.36 74.76% -0.227 -0.8369 0.041
Memory Fades to Dust 7625 32.24 61.57% -0.552 -0.3388 -0.511
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2751 35.12 59.11% -0.09 0.0331 -0.524
Promising Farmlands 4210 33.11 58.55% 0.287 0.4808 -0.568
Shattered Fragments of Power 399 33.34 50.38% -0.189 -0.1867 -0.645
Slow Dissolution of Will 495 31.71 46.67% -0.26 0.0554 -0.824
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 926 39.36 82.61% 0.405 -0.3137 0.566
The Border of Life and Death 123 32.86 65.85% 0.566 0.1311 -0.436
Thriving Communities 2706 33.79 56.65% -0.381 -0.2567 -0.598
Thriving Crops 262 33.58 61.83% 0.281 0.0119 0.177
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 62.51% 0.0 0.5148 -0.226
Unnatural Proliferation 2856 35.79 56.93% 0.181 0.265 -0.482
Untended Land Crumbles 2764 33.59 55.97% -0.499 -0.3287 -0.659

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 48619 27.78% 31.68 77.24% -0.11 0.874 -0.332
B 56905 28.36% 32.32 76.01% -0.127 0.7716 0.046
C 51912 27.22% 32.77 78.8% 0.033 0.7416 -0.096
D 47351 26.87% 31.87 78.15% -0.03 0.8713 -0.112
E 33313 29.04% 34.43 78.0% 0.252 0.9769 0.006
F 48730 26.77% 32.44 78.32% -0.016 0.8206 -0.164
G 41712 28.9% 31.13 76.58% -0.262 0.5276 -0.246
H 47843 26.8% 33.41 78.61% 0.079 0.8687 0.064
East 8764 34.08% 39.06 70.06% -0.028 0.7134 -0.33
Northeast 5665 33.08% 38.09 70.1% -0.502 0.3671 -0.548
Northwest 4278 34.54% 36.55 68.16% -0.227 0.5026 -1.089
Southeast 2349 30.92% 33.16 67.18% -0.307 0.5767 -0.807
Southwest 2117 35.28% 28.72 60.6% -0.292 1.0136 -1.189
West 7729 35.06% 39.28 69.09% -0.188 0.8098 0.321

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7869 0.0% 21.74 80.3% -0.567 0.0756 -0.301
Not Using Events or Tokens 28276 19.16% 29.13 84.5% 0.23 0.6592 -0.098
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5300 7.68% 36.06 88.09% 0.553 -0.2271 0.125
Start of Game Growth 9018 11.26% 36.8 85.1% -0.273 -0.7229 0.145
Unlimited Undo 23556 20.23% 30.83 76.61% -0.223 -0.2557 -0.117
Using Tokens but Not Events 33077 16.31% 33.44 84.62% 0.456 0.3811 0.325

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8645 24.94% 31.12 76.68% 0.262 0.1713 0.15
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 258 35.8% 32.3 69.38% 1.294 0.7841 -0.056
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 4835 34.62% 27.72 70.53% -0.364 -0.1837 -0.339
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 340 35.21% 31.83 65.88% 0.106 -0.7201 0.922
Dances Up Earthquakes 151 30.46% 29.92 69.54% 0.361 0.1547 -0.304
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 10797 25.2% 28.81 78.55% -0.41 -0.6371 0.0
Downpour Drenches the World 1202 25.44% 27.84 70.3% -0.274 0.0898 0.326
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2213 27.21% 30.37 69.81% 0.567 0.0524 -0.422
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 10476 24.95% 30.8 80.19% 0.074 -0.3681 0.062
Finder of Paths Unseen 676 31.93% 24.53 60.36% -0.271 0.3832 -0.242
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2349 27.98% 36.39 76.54% -0.155 0.3808 0.419
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1825 36.02% 31.78 71.23% -0.228 -0.3076 0.008
Heart of the Wildfire 4102 49.39% 31.08 71.04% 0.141 0.4545 -0.232
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 13527 24.59% 31.35 72.6% -0.206 -0.6754 0.067
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 645 16.36% 26.51 76.12% 0.617 0.2926 0.074
Lightning's Swift Strike 8400 25.99% 25.43 67.76% -0.479 -0.2451 -0.715
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 708 39.33% 28.81 62.43% -0.737 -1.076 -0.022
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1090 34.43% 35.0 77.34% 0.66 0.3086 1.098
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1259 31.41% 34.43 74.42% -0.95 -0.787 0.589
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4507 31.61% 33.35 75.73% 0.177 -0.0025 -0.143
Many Minds Move as One 3008 29.27% 33.77 80.19% 0.303 0.0761 0.278
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 9429 27.11% 32.47 75.02% -0.484 -0.3592 0.521
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 208 26.44% 33.14 76.92% 0.479 0.5173 -0.488
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9395 28.11% 30.09 78.25% 0.205 0.071 0.106
River Surges in Sunlight 10175 26.65% 33.71 77.2% 0.171 0.1333 0.232
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 186 32.97% 26.38 50.54% -0.784 -0.5322 -0.142
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2104 20.87% 29.37 79.85% 0.48 0.6555 -0.314
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1384 34.61% 35.33 66.55% 0.21 -0.0056 0.191
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6891 26.72% 31.15 68.64% -0.001 -0.1756 -0.159
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 67 14.93% 30.28 80.6% 0.771 0.2809 -0.568
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 3106 40.02% 27.27 76.72% 0.223 0.7722 0.088
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 203 30.21% 26.25 69.46% -0.284 -0.239 -0.09
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 278 27.01% 30.12 72.66% 0.114 -0.282 -0.41
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 226 30.91% 26.75 63.27% -0.251 -0.1523 -0.087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 710 37.54% 29.97 75.63% -0.851 -0.9899 -0.166
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 561 35.21% 27.44 70.77% -1.0 -0.7862 -0.082
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5376 29.86% 34.37 80.08% 0.277 0.2687 0.567
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 485 27.01% 29.52 73.61% 0.009 -0.1124 -0.159
Shifting Memory of Ages 1369 34.14% 29.04 69.91% 0.206 0.5295 0.185
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 236 26.92% 29.68 73.31% 0.133 0.2034 -0.128
Shroud of Silent Mist 1786 34.85% 28.12 75.25% -0.1 0.29 -0.164
Starlight Seeks its Form 2203 26.65% 32.39 74.35% -0.222 -0.3113 0.138
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 4344 36.56% 33.17 73.14% 0.375 -0.139 0.048
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 7819 24.64% 32.48 78.92% -0.087 0.049 0.547
Thunderspeaker 11127 29.06% 34.85 76.13% 0.176 0.1772 0.166
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 441 33.49% 27.3 52.83% -0.101 0.2416 -1.007
Towering Roots of the Jungle 435 31.55% 27.95 65.98% 0.396 0.592 -0.192
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2162 50.33% 31.36 72.62% 0.158 0.1513 0.271
Vital Strength of the Earth 4281 26.29% 26.91 73.46% -0.324 0.2303 -0.577
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 496 33.26% 29.36 61.69% -0.452 0.0459 0.188
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 666 30.03% 27.48 69.67% -0.48 0.1627 -0.196
Volcano Looming High 2675 38.46% 32.3 77.12% 0.681 0.743 0.49
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 674 33.53% 30.82 71.51% 0.119 -0.1893 0.149

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.19%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.71%
Mysterious Abductions 86.21%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 91.33%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22248 13.87 3.83%
II 54640 30.21 66.04%
III 97377 34.83 91.97%
IV 54340 38.63 99.17%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 851
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 87451
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31359
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 53591
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16481
Lose: Invader deck ran out 978
Lose: Adversary condition 13593
Win: Sacrifice victory 334
Lose: Scenario condition 1713
Win: Scenario condition 6800
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14949
Lose: Spirit destroyed 505

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.357 Win Model: -0.159

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.345 Win Model: 0.232
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 129101 24.78% 35.85 80.91%
2 55072 32.69% 32.07 77.77%
3 22913 31.15% 31.85 78.26%
4 17458 26.26% 30.48 70.33%
5 1066 23.98% 28.04 75.61%
6 2995 19.72% 28.62 69.48%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-08 07:48:33 (Pacific Time)