Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1398 28.25% 32.09 -0.027 80.54% -0.743 -0.1777
Dahan Insurrection 4 4879 16.25% 63.23 -0.012 82.29% -0.368 0.032
Despicable Theft 2 103 25.24% 37.8 0.02 92.23% 0.028 0.3021
Elemental Invocation 1 153 35.95% 32.42 -0.03 79.08% -0.812 -0.3096
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4371 11.38% 43.56 -0.034 78.4% -0.788 -0.4235
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1096 41.58% 35.99 -0.023 79.38% -0.581 -0.1346
Rituals of Terror 3 745 38.24% 40.94 -0.032 78.39% -0.817 -0.1724
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 336 70.27% 39.95 -0.065 65.77% -0.672 -0.0256
Second Wave 0 6801 27.5% 33.68 -0.001 87.97% -0.7 -0.2703
The Great River 3 102 37.25% 31.96 -0.157 55.88% -2.791 -1.3175
Ward the Shores 2 667 38.22% 35.41 -0.096 65.37% -1.591 -0.5594

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 68461 24.64% 37.6 0.008 86.91% -0.738 -0.6521
1 Thematic 4320 29.48% 45.86 -0.024 77.73% -0.959 -0.6816
2 Archipelago 35 2.94% 89.09 0.087 100.0% 1.09 1.0965
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19817 34.94% 34.3 -0.007 83.31% -0.553 -0.5273
2 Coastline 2927 26.91% 34.98 0.009 87.43% -0.372 -0.3967
2 Fragment 544 31.56% 29.29 -0.01 84.19% -0.84 -0.6171
2 Heart 304 30.07% 29.07 -0.014 83.88% -1.094 -0.9939
2 Opposite Shores 3861 28.45% 33.81 -0.001 85.88% -0.632 -0.5667
2 Thematic 1538 42.03% 40.07 -0.041 72.56% -0.778 -0.8452
2 Top to Top 578 28.04% 37.95 0.006 86.51% -0.281 -0.3503
3 Archipelago 17 35.29% 71.06 0.021 88.24% 0.353 1.1574
3 Coastline 108 24.76% 41.01 0.023 88.89% 0.582 0.4311
3 Other 498 32.31% 32.69 0.011 87.75% -0.132 0.0405
3 Round (Default) 10850 31.88% 34.28 -0.001 83.82% -0.086 -0.1246
3 Sunrise 48 35.42% 32.92 -0.046 75.0% -0.942 -1.2021
3 Thematic 373 41.13% 36.72 -0.028 75.87% -0.417 -0.7836
4 Archipelago 10 22.22% 40.1 0.062 100.0% 0.753 1.3008
4 Coastline 37 21.62% 35.03 -0.013 75.68% 0.272 0.3916
4 Leaf 45 30.23% 34.93 0.025 88.89% 0.775 0.8468
4 Other 324 37.11% 37.51 0.019 86.73% 0.617 0.5477
4 Reverse Snake 5 20.0% 33.6 0.061 100.0% 0.308 -0.4937
4 Snake 8 75.0% 28.63 -0.076 62.5% -0.371 -0.2451
4 Thematic 1307 38.26% 41.42 -0.018 75.13% 0.304 -0.6926
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7542 27.57% 36.3 0.003 84.62% 0.252 0.2598
5 Archipelago 2 0.0% 50.5 0.05 100.0% 0.044 1.2036
5 Other 105 39.42% 40.92 0.051 92.38% 1.32 0.8593
5 Thematic 15 46.67% 40.27 0.096 100.0% 1.363 -1.0292
6 Archipelago 1 100.0% 55.0 0.094 100.0% 0.147 0.5127

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2643 36.17 -0.11 62.54% -1.704 0.3653
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2346 37.39 -0.103 63.77% -1.639 0.2738
All Things Weaken 1325 35.28 -0.132 57.58% -1.945 0.2148
Back Against the Wall 2411 36.33 -0.115 61.18% -1.744 0.3432
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2559 33.77 -0.122 59.95% -1.796 0.4264
Downward Spiral 4728 34.6 -0.094 67.55% -1.626 0.3959
Erosion of Will 2707 35.22 -0.122 59.96% -1.819 0.3885
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 637 40.3 -0.033 78.02% -0.812 -0.133
Memory Fades to Dust 4703 34.12 -0.11 64.43% -1.814 0.4007
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1346 36.05 -0.111 61.44% -1.696 0.3254
Promising Farmlands 2593 33.91 -0.118 61.16% -1.805 0.4034
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 450 40.21 0.004 86.67% -0.345 0.0662
Thriving Communities 1300 35.05 -0.117 60.38% -1.752 0.3361
Tipping Point 1051 35.6 -0.109 62.51% -1.631 0.594
Unnatural Proliferation 1377 36.16 -0.121 59.77% -1.801 0.2795
Untended Land Crumbles 1308 34.54 -0.13 57.8% -1.919 0.1831

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 14312 27.36% 34.61 -0.002 85.3% 0.116 -0.5723
B 17937 29.19% 37.26 0.002 85.15% 0.281 -0.5025
C 16524 26.47% 36.01 0.004 86.52% 0.254 -0.759
D 14267 26.98% 35.65 0.004 86.49% 0.262 -0.5153
E 8330 29.22% 38.04 0.003 84.8% 0.34 -0.5541
F 16204 26.11% 36.55 0.002 86.28% 0.264 -0.5766
G 12600 29.69% 34.45 -0.005 84.53% 0.083 -0.7489
H 16490 26.59% 38.45 0.009 86.81% 0.42 -0.4196
East 1452 39.59% 44.96 -0.033 72.87% -0.137 -0.7127
Northeast 1907 31.31% 42.9 -0.027 76.56% -0.294 -0.8185
Northwest 1074 35.82% 40.75 -0.041 73.18% -0.377 -0.9717
Southeast 483 31.87% 40.48 -0.018 78.47% -0.212 -0.8413
Southwest 340 52.21% 30.91 -0.077 62.65% -0.727 -0.9252
West 1761 32.53% 50.38 -0.02 78.76% -0.203 -0.5304

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 4142 0.0% 24.68 -0.011 90.99% -1.25 0.8033
Not Using Events or Tokens 14971 19.82% 32.07 0.013 90.94% -0.067 0.1482
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3235 9.31% 39.39 0.025 94.25% 0.578 -0.108
Start of Game Growth 5214 11.77% 40.3 0.019 91.73% 0.315 -0.1544
Unlimited Undo 12417 22.22% 36.34 0.015 89.99% 0.28 -0.1429
Using Tokens but Not Events 17644 17.15% 36.31 0.017 89.98% 0.167 0.1158

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4319 27.04% 34.78 -0.002 84.14% -0.126 -0.0221
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2709 41.68% 32.29 -0.014 81.17% -0.312 -0.1142
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5927 28.27% 32.86 0.001 85.36% -0.05 -0.1638
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5891 26.34% 33.72 0.003 85.76% 0.015 -0.2906
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1012 29.46% 39.94 0.012 85.67% 0.244 0.5927
Heart of the Wildfire 2565 52.69% 33.85 -0.026 75.4% -0.157 0.1612
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6888 27.19% 36.64 0.008 85.54% 0.158 -0.185
Lightning's Swift Strike 4947 32.05% 34.23 0.0 84.6% -0.029 0.1973
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1468 35.01% 38.22 0.007 83.86% 0.3 0.0134
Many Minds Move as One 1391 30.25% 38.1 0.017 87.92% 0.311 -0.2221
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4920 30.73% 37.13 0.005 84.0% 0.202 -0.0223
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5249 30.37% 32.69 -0.006 83.56% -0.188 -0.1738
River Surges in Sunlight 6725 28.41% 37.22 -0.003 83.87% -0.084 0.0372
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3413 32.93% 37.24 -0.007 81.75% -0.028 0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 2567 40.91% 30.97 -0.016 81.18% -0.372 0.0323
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3442 31.55% 37.39 0.001 83.59% 0.1 -0.0115
Shifting Memory of Ages 175 37.71% 34.71 0.001 84.57% -0.016 0.1083
Shroud of Silent Mist 536 38.26% 33.07 0.003 84.51% 0.042 0.098
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2245 36.55% 35.5 -0.012 79.51% -0.084 -0.1433
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4225 25.74% 37.12 0.007 86.2% 0.088 0.2481
Thunderspeaker 5985 31.75% 38.9 -0.001 83.31% 0.093 0.1165
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1239 54.07% 33.59 -0.019 76.51% -0.049 -0.0772
Vital Strength of the Earth 2738 30.27% 31.21 -0.02 80.79% -0.45 0.3944
Volcano Looming High 726 41.47% 35.06 -0.006 81.4% -0.004 0.0063

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Boon of Watchful Guarding 98.1%
Eerie Noises and Moving Trees 89.62%
Mysterious Abductions 85.44%
Whispered Guidance Through the Night 90.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 4993 22.37 9.07%
II 29703 30.88 69.19%
III 56689 34.39 92.44%
IV 32296 37.55 99.1%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 453
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51032
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17456
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 31830
Lose: Invader deck ran out 594
Lose: Adversary condition 7752
Win: Sacrifice victory 191
Lose: Scenario condition 1121
Win: Scenario condition 4451
Lose: Blight pool ran out 8516
Lose: Spirit destroyed 285

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.826 Win Model: -0.254

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.001 Win Model: -0.327
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 72864 24.94% 38.12 86.36%
2 29643 33.45% 34.56 83.63%
3 11863 32.11% 34.33 83.73%
4 9311 29.41% 37.08 83.4%

Power Progression

Score Model: 0.0 Win Model: -0.635
Power Progression? Completed Average Score Win Rate
Standard 117888 37.39 84.99%
Power Progression 5793 25.22 90.02%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)