Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 110 18.18% 25.55 72.73% 0.153 -0.0671 -0.141
Blitz 0 460 25.05% 30.77 60.65% -0.679 -0.3926 -0.699
Dahan Insurrection 4 423 14.42% 29.64 40.19% -1.129 -1.2444 -0.747
Despicable Theft 2 123 23.58% 23.43 52.85% 0.018 0.7563 -0.766
Elemental Invocation 1 193 22.4% 25.73 62.69% -0.496 0.26 -1.617
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1896 13.89% 42.12 66.19% 0.442 -0.1397 0.592
Powers Long Forgotten 1 137 20.44% 17.9 42.34% -1.264 -0.4106 -0.385
Rituals of Terror 3 79 21.52% 29.47 59.49% -0.21 -0.3805 0.542
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 73 41.1% 20.36 43.84% -1.516 -0.6047 -0.918
Second Wave 0 928 28.76% 29.6 76.08% 0.224 0.3032 0.06
The Great River 3 213 30.99% 29.4 58.22% -0.794 0.5692 -1.047
Varied Terrains 2 232 36.21% 28.58 59.05% -0.024 0.8555 -0.488
Ward the Shores 2 158 18.99% 23.58 46.84% -0.462 0.5192 -0.401

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 29755 33.41% 34.34 67.28% 0.423 0.7672 0.764
1 Thematic 839 27.18% 30.74 56.73% -0.48 0.0474 0.375
2 Archipelago 58 31.03% 30.98 62.07% 0.578 1.0769 0.084
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7393 36.58% 30.03 63.49% -0.153 0.1309 0.051
2 Coastline 1130 33.45% 30.4 69.91% 0.259 0.288 0.546
2 Fragment 165 49.69% 29.3 59.39% 0.179 -0.0581 0.73
2 Heart 195 60.62% 36.7 56.92% -0.046 -0.1939 0.48
2 Opposite Shores 1845 35.57% 29.1 61.41% 0.218 0.2774 0.102
2 Thematic 718 28.55% 22.18 43.73% -0.499 -0.1286 0.299
2 Top to Top 297 46.78% 33.4 67.34% 0.514 0.637 0.133
3 Archipelago 38 44.74% 38.61 84.21% 0.391 -0.4062 0.341
3 Coastline 73 34.25% 34.59 69.86% 0.277 -0.2719 0.831
3 Other 266 19.39% 15.76 40.6% -0.009 -0.5469 0.87
3 Round (Default) 5221 36.21% 30.38 62.78% 0.138 0.0457 -0.042
3 Sunrise 24 45.83% 35.63 66.67% -1.017 -0.8659 -0.344
3 Thematic 144 33.33% 27.28 64.58% 0.715 0.1967 -0.289
4 Archipelago 34 23.53% 45.26 88.24% 0.099 0.5324 0.088
4 Coastline 20 40.0% 27.4 65.0% 0.559 -0.2015 -0.48
4 Leaf 37 48.65% 30.62 67.57% 0.153 -0.0583 -0.481
4 Other 104 45.19% 27.9 68.27% -0.316 -0.3084 1.672
4 Thematic 354 19.77% 25.23 43.79% -0.391 -0.2582 -0.553
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1995 35.51% 29.29 63.56% 0.109 0.2159 -0.61
5 Archipelago 17 35.29% 23.76 64.71% -0.156 0.0118 -0.289
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 24.54 61.54% 0.23 -0.2767 -0.027
5 Other 327 38.7% 26.49 65.75% -0.045 -0.5596 -0.139
5 Thematic 18 29.41% 25.67 33.33% -0.591 -1.5727 -0.62
6 Archipelago 34 5.88% 32.88 58.82% -0.025 -0.7549 -0.239
6 Coastline 9 44.44% 36.11 66.67% 0.165 -0.8747 0.314
6 Other 166 37.95% 24.59 55.42% -0.596 0.0391 -0.707
6 Star 107 35.51% 26.93 63.55% 0.537 0.7816 -0.38
6 Thematic 471 32.68% 26.05 47.35% -0.244 0.0787 -0.154
6 Two Centers (Default) 452 21.95% 25.0 62.61% -0.718 -0.8218 -1.719
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 2.0 0.0% -0.732 -0.1407 0.0
7 Other 21 14.29% 14.52 38.1% 0.497 -0.9393 -0.644

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 846 34.31 54.49% -0.019 0.0848 -0.184
Aid From Lesser Spirits 715 40.3 62.24% 0.252 0.1071 0.324
All Things Weaken 920 31.97 47.17% -0.392 -0.0257 -0.237
Attenuated Essence 877 34.38 55.42% 0.331 0.3295 -0.05
Back Against the Wall 706 36.58 58.64% -0.212 -0.147 0.174
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 882 34.53 56.35% 0.006 0.2413 0.007
Burn Brightest Before the End 748 34.61 51.47% 0.027 0.1873 -0.132
Disintegrating Ecosystem 865 33.36 54.1% 0.123 0.4991 -0.178
Downward Spiral 891 34.69 59.37% 0.218 0.2904 0.216
Erosion of Will 913 34.63 52.46% 0.27 0.527 -0.119
Intensifying Exploitation 942 31.41 48.83% -0.492 -0.2181 -0.196
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 389 35.14 68.38% 0.888 0.401 0.35
Memory Fades to Dust 915 32.36 52.35% 0.228 0.4113 -0.092
Power Corrodes the Spirit 868 34.09 53.46% 0.224 0.4363 -0.034
Promising Farmlands 817 31.27 48.84% -0.232 0.0912 -0.273
Shattered Fragments of Power 744 36.41 54.03% -0.179 -0.0086 0.262
Slow Dissolution of Will 893 32.56 46.25% -0.695 -0.3113 -0.196
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 280 35.88 70.71% 0.331 -0.3456 0.513
The Border of Life and Death 238 36.63 72.27% 0.261 -0.255 0.635
Thriving Communities 979 32.91 52.09% 0.14 0.4645 -0.02
Thriving Crops 474 33.39 58.02% -0.689 -0.6872 -0.085
Unnatural Proliferation 965 34.83 53.68% -0.158 0.0287 -0.097
Untended Land Crumbles 913 32.45 51.7% -0.484 -0.1453 -0.249

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 12279 33.93% 31.09 65.72% 0.407 1.2703 0.127
B 12016 34.63% 31.53 64.63% 0.256 1.0772 0.094
C 12912 34.22% 32.0 65.45% 0.25 0.9478 0.167
D 9824 34.4% 29.99 63.51% -0.098 0.7586 -0.016
E 10488 35.2% 31.1 64.03% 0.246 0.9342 0.208
F 9108 35.75% 30.72 64.05% 0.109 0.9264 0.177
G 8471 35.86% 31.06 64.33% 0.434 1.3143 0.087
H 9010 34.61% 31.07 63.54% -0.091 0.6898 0.061
East 1979 27.32% 26.75 49.87% 0.308 1.1011 -0.42
Northeast 1397 25.88% 25.09 47.17% -0.465 0.4157 -0.281
Northwest 1259 27.46% 24.4 45.27% -0.236 0.6347 -0.116
Southeast 823 32.35% 27.73 51.28% -0.489 0.3695 -0.07
Southwest 947 32.3% 25.63 49.42% -0.319 0.8899 0.192
West 1923 28.28% 24.85 47.37% -0.288 0.7725 -0.246

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 274 0.0% 20.14 66.06% -0.711 0.005 -0.642
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 52.0% 28.71 87.1% 0.907 1.3811 0.317
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1148 7.79% 46.25 81.62% 0.17 -0.3974 1.719
Start of Game Growth 2032 13.57% 44.37 78.44% 0.815 0.1507 0.1
Unlimited Undo 5573 27.35% 32.46 67.02% 0.018 0.0412 0.233
Using Tokens but Not Events 5525 17.31% 27.46 68.13% -0.16 -0.1126 -0.659

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1895 28.82% 28.5 64.75% -0.165 -0.3618 0.457
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 141 31.21% 31.98 71.63% 0.674 -0.0406 -0.162
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 364 40.11% 28.65 66.76% 0.191 0.4597 0.003
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 332 38.25% 27.48 56.93% 0.0 -0.5672 0.032
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 924 34.53% 27.46 61.47% 0.138 0.0069 0.214
Downpour Drenches the World 1458 26.09% 23.9 52.19% -0.209 0.0606 -0.081
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1630 26.6% 30.03 69.02% 0.5 0.0766 -0.395
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 910 36.06% 29.79 66.26% 0.622 0.177 -0.058
Finder of Paths Unseen 1078 38.3% 25.62 53.9% -0.579 0.0782 0.095
Fractured Days Split the Sky 549 27.29% 25.13 50.46% 0.043 0.8515 0.278
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1210 33.5% 27.61 54.46% -0.202 -0.3197 -0.084
Heart of the Wildfire 761 43.54% 25.58 55.72% 0.441 0.728 -0.207
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3032 39.34% 30.87 59.0% -0.167 -0.5599 -0.016
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 559 29.6% 31.39 62.79% 0.054 -0.351 -0.287
Lightning's Swift Strike 538 33.9% 26.77 68.59% -0.518 -0.251 -0.482
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 580 44.02% 30.34 57.24% 0.424 0.0725 -0.347
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 397 22.92% 23.22 46.35% -0.957 -1.3982 0.492
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 480 34.73% 34.01 62.71% -0.297 -0.3403 0.666
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1836 36.84% 29.42 60.95% 0.454 0.2036 -0.107
Many Minds Move as One 774 30.48% 28.53 64.34% 0.127 -0.1031 0.255
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1344 33.06% 29.97 62.2% 0.092 -0.0125 0.262
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 841 35.82% 30.07 67.42% 0.241 0.0853 0.415
River Surges in Sunlight 668 36.42% 31.1 69.16% 0.42 0.5093 0.014
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 59 38.98% 31.63 66.1% 0.116 0.0042 0.38
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 265 26.89% 27.72 62.26% -0.791 -0.4007 -0.066
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 673 35.22% 33.43 63.0% 0.015 0.1521 0.117
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1228 30.07% 30.65 62.62% 0.741 0.5479 0.558
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 106 50.0% 21.23 60.38% -0.71 -0.2247 -0.563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 100 44.0% 28.98 68.0% 0.649 0.7042 0.381
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 265 40.75% 36.82 75.85% 1.057 0.5889 0.733
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 39.18% 24.92 54.64% -1.171 -0.9552 0.152
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 119 42.02% 26.97 66.39% -0.82 -0.7905 -0.189
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 60 43.33% 24.18 63.33% 0.411 0.5829 -0.676
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 599 32.61% 30.1 63.94% 1.002 0.8495 -0.345
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1154 35.07% 32.29 67.16% -0.219 -0.418 0.17
Shifting Memory of Ages 908 36.89% 23.65 51.43% -0.528 -0.0786 -0.449
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 122 34.71% 28.48 60.66% 0.171 -0.1335 0.413
Shroud of Silent Mist 476 38.24% 23.62 56.72% -0.836 -0.5004 -0.585
Starlight Seeks its Form 1985 32.21% 30.01 64.23% -0.314 -0.3687 0.297
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1463 33.61% 29.0 61.24% 0.366 -0.2574 -0.071
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 702 30.62% 29.13 64.53% 0.128 0.3215 0.117
Thunderspeaker 715 34.32% 26.76 57.9% -0.287 -0.3406 -0.755
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 729 31.68% 28.79 63.92% 0.418 0.5521 0.47
Towering Roots of the Jungle 411 33.41% 25.41 60.58% 0.3 0.3089 0.228
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 542 53.15% 29.61 57.38% 0.12 0.2031 0.094
Vital Strength of the Earth 322 31.76% 21.5 68.01% 0.211 0.8059 -1.201
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 319 37.93% 29.64 57.68% -1.514 -1.0746 -0.023
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 152 27.81% 24.71 61.84% 0.09 0.7809 0.273
Volcano Looming High 1208 46.55% 29.15 58.2% -0.058 0.0458 -0.083
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1397 28.13% 28.74 60.27% 0.022 -0.2305 -0.108

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 13320 15.45 11.84%
II 20457 30.45 74.08%
III 14682 34.8 90.87%
IV 3885 38.47 99.79%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1577
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 13211
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14987
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3861
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10718
Lose: Invader deck ran out 318
Lose: Adversary condition 3141
Win: Sacrifice victory 70
Lose: Scenario condition 205
Win: Scenario condition 244
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3920
Lose: Spirit destroyed 92

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.37 Win Model: -0.163

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.401 Win Model: -0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 30721 33.23% 34.17 66.83%
2 11766 36.58% 29.77 62.82%
3 5715 35.33% 29.75 62.06%
4 2534 33.25% 28.85 61.6%
5 361 38.1% 25.65 61.5%
6 1247 28.94% 25.75 55.89%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)