Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 170 20.0% 24.96 75.29% 0.648 0.8391 0.042
Blitz 0 622 23.83% 28.76 62.22% 0.265 0.4828 -0.585
Dahan Insurrection 4 654 13.46% 27.55 38.23% -0.842 -1.0952 -0.571
Despicable Theft 2 173 25.43% 24.3 56.65% 0.217 0.8037 -0.712
Elemental Invocation 1 289 24.31% 28.52 65.74% 0.053 0.7925 -1.371
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2400 13.48% 41.37 67.17% 0.544 -0.0173 0.525
Powers Long Forgotten 1 189 20.63% 18.33 41.8% -0.548 0.2112 -0.542
Rituals of Terror 3 110 20.91% 30.13 60.0% -0.147 -0.027 0.436
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 101 39.6% 19.65 42.57% -0.863 0.0446 -0.558
Second Wave 0 1445 29.63% 29.83 75.92% 0.592 0.7304 0.229
The Great River 3 313 30.99% 28.71 58.79% -0.083 1.017 -1.154
Varied Terrains 2 323 37.77% 29.22 60.06% -0.141 0.6351 -0.571
Ward the Shores 2 210 18.57% 23.13 46.19% -0.35 0.7245 -0.167

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 38198 33.19% 34.0 67.15% 0.589 0.922 0.875
1 Thematic 1119 26.81% 30.37 58.36% 0.302 0.9875 0.595
2 Archipelago 71 30.99% 28.9 60.56% -0.356 0.252 0.136
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10258 36.17% 30.06 64.03% 0.486 0.6061 0.17
2 Coastline 1501 32.75% 30.21 70.82% 0.264 0.1918 0.561
2 Fragment 231 43.42% 29.29 63.2% 0.607 0.4219 0.917
2 Heart 236 58.55% 36.24 57.2% 0.207 0.05 0.494
2 Opposite Shores 2533 36.92% 29.25 62.81% 0.738 0.8888 0.06
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.563 0.5184 0.0
2 Thematic 919 28.52% 23.55 46.35% -0.129 0.3787 0.277
2 Top to Top 395 42.6% 32.64 68.86% 1.107 1.049 0.451
3 Archipelago 50 48.0% 37.36 76.0% 0.228 -0.7241 0.339
3 Coastline 106 34.91% 31.23 66.04% -0.793 -1.2028 1.043
3 Other 322 22.15% 17.64 46.27% 0.716 -0.0548 0.979
3 Round (Default) 7460 36.71% 29.94 61.76% 0.239 0.1482 -0.191
3 Sunrise 35 48.57% 30.03 65.71% -0.488 -0.584 -0.321
3 Thematic 291 35.74% 24.14 46.39% -0.104 -0.0831 -0.699
4 Archipelago 39 20.51% 42.59 82.05% -0.215 -0.7446 0.199
4 Coastline 31 32.26% 26.94 61.29% -0.012 -0.0976 -0.305
4 Leaf 54 53.7% 29.15 64.81% -1.08 -1.2416 -0.686
4 Other 156 46.45% 27.72 63.46% 0.03 -0.6812 1.559
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.392
4 Thematic 541 17.56% 23.6 41.96% -0.126 -0.0034 -0.631
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3040 33.51% 27.86 61.61% -0.461 -0.4641 -0.69
5 Archipelago 18 33.33% 22.44 61.11% 0.0 -0.0301 -0.121
5 Coastline 16 6.25% 23.13 62.5% 0.0 -0.1459 -0.023
5 Other 510 39.33% 28.55 69.22% 0.775 0.2616 -0.007
5 Thematic 30 44.83% 26.77 40.0% 0.191 0.134 -0.433
6 Archipelago 55 5.45% 32.76 60.0% -0.084 -1.1222 -0.15
6 Coastline 11 36.36% 33.09 63.64% -0.505 -1.464 0.335
6 Other 241 36.51% 24.69 57.68% 0.551 0.4477 -0.882
6 Star 184 31.52% 28.29 65.76% 0.047 0.0331 -0.94
6 Thematic 683 34.62% 26.06 47.0% -0.566 -0.2797 -0.333
6 Two Centers (Default) 820 24.18% 25.51 60.24% -0.972 -0.4396 -1.868
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 1.6 0.0% 0.0 0.0647 0.0
7 Other 25 12.0% 13.64 32.0% -0.621 -1.1797 -1.162

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1096 34.76 55.93% -0.275 -0.0237 -0.015
Aid From Lesser Spirits 973 39.06 60.95% -0.212 -0.2696 0.301
All Things Weaken 1221 32.38 49.14% -0.211 0.1233 -0.118
Attenuated Essence 1160 34.61 56.38% 0.426 0.4596 0.086
Back Against the Wall 951 37.02 58.78% 0.495 0.5297 0.272
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1191 33.54 55.33% -0.4 -0.1828 -0.045
Burn Brightest Before the End 1000 35.05 52.2% 0.105 0.1159 0.084
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1152 33.54 55.47% 0.121 0.4656 -0.04
Downward Spiral 1190 33.71 58.07% 0.238 0.3554 0.191
Erosion of Will 1210 33.97 51.9% -0.357 -0.083 -0.088
Intensifying Exploitation 1269 31.28 49.25% -0.545 -0.334 -0.174
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 524 35.26 68.13% 0.172 -0.4008 0.452
Memory Fades to Dust 1253 31.65 51.48% -0.538 -0.2852 -0.107
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1176 33.26 52.55% -0.363 -0.1584 -0.08
Promising Farmlands 1086 31.3 49.82% -0.053 0.2011 -0.215
Shattered Fragments of Power 989 35.53 53.69% -0.361 -0.2867 0.174
Slow Dissolution of Will 1188 32.08 45.79% -0.8 -0.4183 -0.224
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 364 35.14 70.6% 0.25 -0.4234 0.509
The Border of Life and Death 336 35.13 70.24% 0.471 -0.1293 0.56
Thriving Communities 1294 32.18 51.62% -0.465 -0.1834 -0.089
Thriving Crops 645 33.05 58.76% 0.458 0.3175 -0.06
Unnatural Proliferation 1241 34.76 53.34% -0.412 -0.2081 -0.1
Untended Land Crumbles 1196 31.85 51.42% 0.16 0.3507 -0.264

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 17078 34.0% 30.59 64.98% 0.135 1.1328 0.129
B 16668 34.52% 31.2 64.43% 0.016 0.9377 0.174
C 17566 34.61% 31.45 64.77% 0.099 0.8279 0.192
D 13785 34.1% 29.49 63.24% -0.159 0.8001 -0.001
E 14289 34.77% 30.62 63.87% 0.194 1.0134 0.212
F 12837 35.04% 30.35 63.87% 0.105 0.9864 0.244
G 11793 34.99% 30.63 64.36% 0.149 0.9747 0.149
H 12619 34.15% 30.73 63.37% -0.103 0.7358 0.062
East 2836 28.0% 26.37 49.15% -0.724 0.1507 -0.322
Northeast 1943 28.34% 25.62 47.97% -0.102 0.65 -0.202
Northwest 1731 29.07% 25.08 45.93% 0.148 1.0405 -0.11
Southeast 1299 30.95% 26.15 48.42% 0.035 0.8737 -0.311
Southwest 1422 31.52% 24.73 46.77% -0.335 0.9701 -0.005
West 2743 28.81% 24.89 46.85% 0.546 1.4954 -0.273

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 407 0.0% 20.53 67.57% -0.912 -0.1826 -0.397
Not Using Events or Tokens 62 58.0% 24.26 80.65% 0.276 0.6222 0.363
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1442 7.41% 43.75 80.65% 1.04 0.437 1.735
Start of Game Growth 2552 13.45% 42.08 76.84% 0.202 -0.3023 0.074
Unlimited Undo 7147 27.46% 32.18 66.84% 0.154 0.047 0.329
Using Tokens but Not Events 7500 18.38% 27.6 68.76% 0.031 0.0009 -0.63

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2439 27.03% 27.96 64.25% -0.092 -0.1868 0.407
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 509 30.24% 30.95 65.82% 0.07 -0.4061 0.494
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 458 38.85% 28.36 67.9% -0.022 0.0903 -0.045
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 507 38.26% 28.24 57.4% -0.268 -1.0808 0.078
Dances Up Earthquakes 486 32.78% 31.69 69.14% 0.057 0.0484 0.424
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1375 32.07% 26.83 60.87% -0.483 -0.6226 0.25
Downpour Drenches the World 1917 25.99% 24.41 54.46% -0.26 -0.0329 -0.034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2412 27.06% 30.22 69.44% 0.543 0.1559 -0.22
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1365 32.97% 29.35 65.79% -0.233 -0.6268 0.335
Finder of Paths Unseen 1363 37.01% 25.28 53.93% -0.688 0.0401 0.094
Fractured Days Split the Sky 759 27.78% 24.88 51.52% -0.24 0.401 0.072
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1753 32.53% 26.58 52.54% -0.415 -0.5484 -0.173
Heart of the Wildfire 1078 44.28% 25.24 53.8% 0.003 0.3318 0.07
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3945 39.57% 31.23 59.09% 0.402 -0.022 0.126
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 973 31.22% 31.53 64.85% 0.575 0.2688 -0.17
Lightning's Swift Strike 802 33.84% 25.67 66.83% -0.172 0.0657 -0.258
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 794 42.98% 30.36 57.18% -0.247 -0.6542 -0.119
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 481 26.04% 24.58 49.9% 0.99 0.6709 0.692
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 664 36.71% 33.3 62.95% 0.555 0.4745 0.788
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2578 36.55% 28.63 59.46% -0.296 -0.4888 -0.093
Many Minds Move as One 1101 29.47% 28.36 64.31% -0.126 -0.3422 0.342
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1896 34.13% 28.29 58.91% 0.481 0.6211 0.036
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 461 37.99% 30.2 66.16% 0.261 0.3423 0.239
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1257 35.77% 29.37 65.63% -0.286 -0.3648 0.437
River Surges in Sunlight 968 35.97% 30.24 66.53% -0.364 -0.2384 -0.122
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 263 37.69% 26.49 50.95% -0.167 0.0114 -0.726
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 440 32.35% 28.3 58.86% -0.344 -0.0652 -0.701
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 931 35.34% 31.61 59.72% 0.122 -0.001 0.036
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1685 31.03% 29.92 61.66% 0.126 -0.0014 0.648
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 207 38.65% 36.4 69.08% 0.609 0.4962 0.64
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 163 45.28% 21.35 66.87% 1.167 1.6829 -0.208
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 149 39.02% 29.17 71.14% 0.475 0.457 0.481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 464 37.93% 33.86 70.26% 0.286 -0.2168 0.759
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 123 39.02% 25.02 52.85% -0.128 -0.3193 0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 153 39.74% 26.48 66.01% 0.024 -0.0349 -0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 90 45.56% 24.46 60.0% -0.442 -0.3602 -0.799
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 818 32.31% 29.64 63.45% 0.29 0.3689 -0.287
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1408 36.09% 31.58 65.98% -0.413 -0.5996 0.209
Shifting Memory of Ages 1100 37.27% 23.66 51.55% 0.223 0.4899 -0.292
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 473 31.42% 25.57 54.97% 0.362 0.2439 0.06
Shroud of Silent Mist 649 38.98% 23.18 55.47% -0.868 -0.5165 -0.849
Starlight Seeks its Form 2594 32.7% 30.24 64.53% 0.065 -0.053 0.506
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2034 34.29% 29.26 61.9% -0.065 -0.5782 0.062
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1026 31.47% 28.82 64.52% -0.122 -0.004 0.186
Thunderspeaker 1084 34.63% 27.81 59.87% 0.279 0.3106 -0.834
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 876 34.02% 28.13 61.07% -0.32 -0.3068 0.176
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1180 29.59% 25.03 55.76% -0.163 -0.0331 0.319
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 774 54.16% 29.06 58.01% 0.064 0.1901 0.03
Vital Strength of the Earth 560 31.29% 18.92 56.61% -0.267 0.3329 -2.785
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 489 39.06% 29.52 55.42% -0.655 -0.1618 0.054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 203 30.85% 23.87 60.59% 0.099 0.7972 0.113
Volcano Looming High 1801 43.14% 28.25 57.97% 0.031 0.0788 -0.055
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2186 27.31% 28.13 59.56% -0.019 -0.3091 0.044

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17934 13.42 11.03%
II 26915 30.13 73.71%
III 20013 34.83 91.16%
IV 5324 38.67 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1977
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 18075
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 19593
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5289
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14641
Lose: Invader deck ran out 421
Lose: Adversary condition 4185
Win: Sacrifice victory 84
Lose: Scenario condition 273
Win: Scenario condition 347
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5174
Lose: Spirit destroyed 127

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.762 Win Model: -0.138

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.422 Win Model: -0.001
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 39498 33.0% 33.81 66.73%
2 16080 36.24% 29.84 63.76%
3 8206 36.07% 29.34 60.85%
4 3837 31.64% 27.39 59.34%
5 564 39.29% 27.52 65.07%
6 2001 29.35% 26.11 55.92%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)