Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 102 18.63% 25.57 72.55% -0.114 -0.0992 -0.142
Blitz 0 443 25.57% 31.3 60.72% -1.081 -0.7925 -0.684
Dahan Insurrection 4 368 16.03% 31.87 42.66% -1.059 -1.2359 -0.686
Despicable Theft 2 117 24.79% 23.49 52.14% -0.688 0.1731 -0.616
Elemental Invocation 1 179 21.91% 25.68 63.13% -1.224 -0.2913 -1.63
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1822 13.74% 42.11 65.81% -0.002 -0.6481 0.565
Powers Long Forgotten 1 126 19.84% 17.33 42.86% -1.973 -1.0269 -0.716
Rituals of Terror 3 74 22.97% 29.01 58.11% -0.569 -0.493 0.542
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 42.25% 20.93 45.07% -0.998 0.1173 -0.936
Second Wave 0 861 29.11% 29.62 75.84% 0.653 0.6838 0.075
The Great River 3 195 30.77% 28.99 57.44% -1.293 0.1321 -0.936
Varied Terrains 2 221 36.2% 28.94 60.18% -0.065 0.7099 -0.348
Ward the Shores 2 152 19.08% 23.95 47.37% -0.432 0.6128 -0.36

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 28617 33.55% 34.39 67.26% 0.701 0.9611 0.772
1 Thematic 809 27.32% 30.98 56.61% -0.103 0.363 0.381
2 Archipelago 55 30.91% 30.89 61.82% 0.038 0.5114 -0.009
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7020 36.5% 30.22 63.87% -0.167 0.0185 0.1
2 Coastline 1067 33.84% 30.55 70.2% 0.127 0.1101 0.552
2 Fragment 159 50.32% 29.4 59.12% 0.794 0.4773 0.742
2 Heart 192 61.58% 36.78 56.25% 0.094 0.0001 0.488
2 Opposite Shores 1741 35.89% 29.34 61.46% 0.225 0.186 0.107
2 Thematic 684 28.22% 21.96 43.42% -0.428 -0.1417 0.279
2 Top to Top 283 46.98% 33.49 67.14% 0.287 0.2429 0.179
3 Archipelago 37 45.95% 38.43 83.78% 0.564 -0.5762 0.36
3 Coastline 62 33.87% 33.58 67.74% 0.643 -0.1073 0.819
3 Other 262 19.69% 15.56 39.69% -0.132 -0.5948 0.881
3 Round (Default) 4926 36.12% 30.46 62.73% 0.289 0.0694 -0.022
3 Sunrise 21 52.38% 37.48 76.19% -0.698 -0.6227 -0.173
3 Thematic 119 34.45% 28.39 65.55% 1.193 0.9006 -0.167
4 Archipelago 34 23.53% 45.26 88.24% 0.477 0.6701 0.089
4 Coastline 19 36.84% 25.05 63.16% 0.22 -0.1396 -0.886
4 Leaf 36 50.0% 30.89 66.67% -1.158 -1.2662 -0.472
4 Other 102 45.1% 28.03 68.63% -0.394 -0.6511 1.409
4 Thematic 308 21.1% 26.19 44.81% -0.748 -0.4958 -0.605
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1843 34.75% 29.76 64.95% 0.279 0.493 -0.518
5 Archipelago 16 37.5% 25.25 68.75% -0.327 -0.0539 -0.244
5 Coastline 13 0.0% 24.54 61.54% 0.344 0.2394 -0.062
5 Other 303 38.8% 26.52 66.34% 0.365 -0.2004 -0.146
5 Thematic 15 33.33% 20.0 33.33% -1.462 -1.8825 -0.528
6 Archipelago 32 6.25% 32.53 59.38% -0.108 -1.0407 -0.287
6 Coastline 9 44.44% 36.11 66.67% 0.147 -0.6506 0.28
6 Other 155 39.35% 24.8 56.77% -0.589 -0.1627 -0.716
6 Star 103 35.92% 26.83 63.11% -0.137 -0.0246 -0.107
6 Thematic 442 33.03% 26.24 47.74% -0.247 -0.1461 -0.214
6 Two Centers (Default) 424 21.51% 25.18 63.21% -0.433 -0.6896 -1.713
7 Archipelago 4 25.0% 2.0 0.0% -0.619 0.4518 0.0
7 Other 21 14.29% 14.52 38.1% 0.969 -0.0465 -0.606

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 794 34.25 54.28% 0.122 0.2972 -0.227
Aid From Lesser Spirits 699 40.32 62.23% 0.719 0.6645 0.303
All Things Weaken 873 32.01 47.19% -0.564 -0.2707 -0.26
Attenuated Essence 835 34.32 55.09% -0.108 -0.024 -0.068
Back Against the Wall 678 36.98 59.14% 0.19 0.237 0.155
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 821 34.6 56.52% 0.161 0.364 -0.041
Burn Brightest Before the End 723 34.47 51.04% -0.195 -0.0078 -0.163
Disintegrating Ecosystem 830 33.34 53.73% 0.083 0.4916 -0.238
Downward Spiral 850 34.83 59.29% -0.062 0.0654 0.192
Erosion of Will 871 34.83 52.47% 0.174 0.4569 -0.117
Intensifying Exploitation 901 31.62 49.28% -0.623 -0.3753 -0.195
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 371 34.9 67.92% -0.073 -0.5885 0.234
Memory Fades to Dust 874 32.28 51.83% 0.014 0.2506 -0.101
Power Corrodes the Spirit 837 34.1 53.41% 0.338 0.5555 -0.038
Promising Farmlands 785 31.33 48.66% -0.211 0.0842 -0.278
Shattered Fragments of Power 711 36.49 53.59% -0.35 -0.1491 0.22
Slow Dissolution of Will 851 32.81 46.77% -0.419 -0.0343 -0.22
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 273 36.02 71.06% 0.609 0.0279 0.475
The Border of Life and Death 230 36.88 72.61% 0.341 -0.1766 0.655
Thriving Communities 939 32.86 51.86% -0.014 0.3254 -0.045
Thriving Crops 458 33.57 58.52% -0.313 -0.3552 -0.064
Unnatural Proliferation 923 34.92 53.52% -0.161 -0.0208 -0.127
Untended Land Crumbles 872 32.56 52.41% -0.511 -0.0623 -0.269

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11682 34.01% 31.17 65.89% 0.422 1.2834 0.121
B 11396 34.57% 31.59 64.65% 0.147 0.9635 0.071
C 12321 34.2% 32.19 65.62% 0.174 0.8526 0.149
D 9343 34.43% 30.28 64.07% 0.19 0.9945 -0.026
E 9981 35.24% 31.25 64.29% 0.301 0.9697 0.205
F 8632 35.62% 30.81 64.3% 0.148 0.9468 0.145
G 8012 35.94% 31.19 64.54% 0.511 1.3371 0.084
H 8511 34.52% 31.27 63.82% -0.092 0.6803 0.068
East 1833 27.58% 27.0 50.03% -0.174 0.6719 -0.395
Northeast 1293 26.17% 25.4 47.72% -0.156 0.6147 -0.257
Northwest 1161 28.21% 24.57 45.74% -0.594 0.2136 -0.066
Southeast 755 32.57% 27.65 50.6% -0.826 0.043 -0.102
Southwest 889 32.39% 25.81 49.61% 0.04 1.3214 0.175
West 1780 28.74% 25.08 47.7% -0.085 0.9106 -0.209

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 266 0.0% 20.08 66.17% -0.657 0.1389 -0.474
Not Using Events or Tokens 31 52.0% 28.71 87.1% 0.993 1.3811 0.304
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1095 7.78% 46.73 82.37% 0.516 -0.099 1.783
Start of Game Growth 1913 13.55% 44.73 78.67% 0.696 0.1144 0.025
Unlimited Undo 5357 27.36% 32.58 67.13% 0.097 0.1408 0.224
Using Tokens but Not Events 5256 17.43% 27.56 68.4% -0.218 -0.2762 -0.672

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1834 29.02% 28.57 64.99% -0.161 -0.3052 0.438
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 81 29.63% 32.88 71.6% 0.304 -0.4085 -0.205
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 352 39.48% 28.91 67.05% 0.518 0.782 0.008
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 253 35.57% 30.17 64.43% -0.169 -0.978 0.487
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 871 34.34% 27.48 61.54% -0.342 -0.507 0.204
Downpour Drenches the World 1406 25.34% 23.88 52.28% 0.011 0.2847 -0.166
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1548 26.91% 29.94 68.67% 0.294 -0.0659 -0.42
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 865 36.9% 29.93 66.13% 0.233 -0.2113 -0.07
Finder of Paths Unseen 1042 38.08% 25.77 53.93% -0.363 0.3251 0.072
Fractured Days Split the Sky 524 27.83% 25.09 49.81% -0.015 0.5735 0.265
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1127 34.55% 28.19 55.46% -0.168 -0.2318 -0.07
Heart of the Wildfire 726 43.71% 25.75 55.65% 0.169 0.4963 -0.172
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2845 39.75% 31.53 60.25% -0.263 -0.5577 0.048
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 507 30.88% 31.88 63.71% 0.034 -0.3365 -0.225
Lightning's Swift Strike 502 33.87% 26.79 70.12% -0.194 0.1459 -0.415
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 554 44.46% 30.11 56.86% -0.187 -0.6607 -0.377
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 380 22.11% 23.35 46.84% -0.602 -0.9626 0.415
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 464 35.06% 34.66 63.79% -0.117 -0.1102 0.733
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1760 36.84% 29.4 60.85% 0.181 -0.1137 -0.161
Many Minds Move as One 730 29.85% 28.49 64.66% 0.314 0.1686 0.195
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1285 33.57% 30.12 62.41% -0.158 -0.2158 0.242
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 783 35.79% 29.94 67.31% 0.266 0.102 0.327
River Surges in Sunlight 638 35.87% 30.88 69.59% 0.48 0.5782 -0.067
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 37 35.14% 30.76 70.27% 0.134 -0.0009 0.488
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 246 27.35% 28.29 63.41% -0.88 -0.4035 -0.122
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 651 35.18% 33.86 63.75% 0.184 0.1489 0.099
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1161 30.26% 30.37 61.67% 0.489 0.2337 0.489
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 101 47.52% 21.23 62.38% 0.255 0.7769 -0.578
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 96 44.79% 29.04 68.75% 0.186 0.327 0.404
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 230 41.3% 38.07 77.83% 1.329 0.7504 0.706
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 90 40.0% 24.83 55.56% -0.842 -0.492 0.144
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 114 42.11% 27.5 67.54% -0.34 -0.3557 -0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 58 41.38% 23.81 62.07% 0.234 0.4832 -0.686
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 578 32.75% 29.89 63.32% 1.114 1.0046 -0.358
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1121 35.3% 32.47 67.62% -0.112 -0.2736 0.108
Shifting Memory of Ages 874 36.14% 23.46 51.6% -0.644 -0.2999 -0.546
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 68 33.82% 30.26 64.71% 0.101 -0.2083 0.768
Shroud of Silent Mist 460 39.13% 23.96 57.39% -1.107 -0.7761 -0.528
Starlight Seeks its Form 1887 32.13% 30.4 65.08% -0.44 -0.6149 0.299
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1368 33.16% 29.25 61.99% -0.032 -0.7412 -0.085
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 674 30.1% 29.06 64.69% 0.171 0.3824 0.099
Thunderspeaker 659 34.35% 26.97 58.12% -0.231 -0.2515 -0.729
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 716 31.84% 28.93 64.11% 0.091 0.2893 0.417
Towering Roots of the Jungle 227 32.6% 25.67 64.32% 0.259 0.2313 -0.053
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 507 52.48% 29.57 57.0% 0.093 0.1588 0.053
Vital Strength of the Earth 304 31.67% 21.47 68.09% 0.315 0.849 -1.183
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 304 37.17% 30.42 59.87% 0.141 0.708 -0.032
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 138 27.01% 23.96 63.04% -0.156 0.6023 0.297
Volcano Looming High 1126 46.48% 29.22 58.26% -0.223 -0.086 -0.123
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1253 27.93% 29.32 61.37% -0.077 -0.3878 -0.113

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12639 15.74 11.97%
II 19617 30.48 74.18%
III 14000 34.79 90.86%
IV 3677 38.41 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1513
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12601
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 14394
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3657
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10116
Lose: Invader deck ran out 306
Lose: Adversary condition 3014
Win: Sacrifice victory 61
Lose: Scenario condition 196
Win: Scenario condition 229
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3761
Lose: Spirit destroyed 85

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.49 Win Model: -0.165

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.373 Win Model: 0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 29550 33.37% 34.22 66.81%
2 11163 36.64% 29.94 63.06%
3 5381 35.3% 29.79 61.94%
4 2330 32.98% 29.34 63.05%
5 335 38.37% 25.88 62.39%
6 1174 29.12% 25.88 56.39%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)