Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 207 21.26% 25.57 75.36% 0.364 0.7337 1.011
Blitz 0 756 22.25% 27.65 62.3% -0.459 -0.0273 -1.037
Dahan Insurrection 4 875 12.11% 26.65 38.74% -1.913 -1.939 -1.404
Despicable Theft 2 218 24.31% 25.48 57.8% -1.066 -0.4063 0.489
Elemental Invocation 1 353 25.28% 27.39 63.17% -1.3 -0.852 -0.044
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2923 13.37% 41.04 67.53% 0.801 0.2019 0.61
Powers Long Forgotten 1 247 23.08% 19.7 43.32% -1.22 -0.6117 -0.367
Rituals of Terror 3 163 23.31% 32.83 58.9% -0.886 -0.7612 0.73
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 135 40.74% 19.2 40.0% 0.459 1.1975 0.012
Second Wave 0 1834 30.06% 29.45 74.92% 0.163 0.2689 0.43
The Great River 3 392 33.67% 28.59 59.18% -0.086 1.0888 0.02
Varied Terrains 2 405 38.52% 29.62 59.75% -0.944 -0.2076 -0.713
Ward the Shores 2 275 18.91% 22.6 45.45% -0.769 -0.0863 -0.014

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 46112 33.4% 33.77 66.78% 0.322 0.5465 0.692
1 Thematic 1440 25.83% 29.71 58.82% 0.477 1.0272 0.129
2 Archipelago 82 32.93% 29.83 60.98% 0.0 -0.3536 -0.583
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 12874 36.93% 30.27 64.32% 0.17 0.2809 0.264
2 Coastline 1825 33.26% 30.11 70.25% 0.117 0.0275 0.446
2 Fragment 304 42.86% 28.43 63.49% -0.378 -0.7166 0.522
2 Heart 272 57.78% 35.07 56.99% -0.527 -0.8542 0.446
2 Opposite Shores 3165 36.78% 29.08 63.03% 0.297 0.3335 0.23
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 1108 29.9% 24.01 47.02% -0.236 0.2927 -0.497
2 Top to Top 475 40.98% 33.43 70.32% 0.014 -0.1921 1.225
3 Archipelago 52 46.15% 37.48 75.0% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 137 35.04% 28.69 62.77% 0.236 -0.2847 -0.105
3 Other 358 23.58% 18.34 48.88% 0.094 -0.6484 0.421
3 Round (Default) 9166 36.25% 30.16 62.88% 0.395 0.2987 -0.192
3 Sunrise 40 45.0% 30.25 67.5% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 350 35.43% 24.6 46.86% 0.26 0.5021 -1.271
4 Archipelago 48 21.28% 41.85 81.25% 0.0 0.0808 0.29
4 Coastline 46 32.61% 27.57 65.22% 0.0 0.2598 0.096
4 Leaf 68 57.35% 28.68 66.18% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 188 44.39% 27.32 63.3% 0.57 0.023 -0.323
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 2 0.0% 44.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 701 17.69% 23.09 40.37% -1.304 -0.8303 -0.027
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4077 33.61% 27.62 60.8% -0.161 -0.3495 -0.506
5 Archipelago 19 31.58% 24.32 63.16% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 22 18.18% 26.27 63.64% 0.49 -0.12 0.347
5 Other 664 36.36% 29.02 70.63% -0.04 -0.3666 0.606
5 Thematic 45 31.82% 29.36 51.11% 0.591 0.1002 -0.389
6 Archipelago 67 8.96% 31.64 59.7% 0.0 -0.9253 0.382
6 Coastline 14 42.86% 31.21 64.29% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 325 35.19% 25.97 59.08% 0.215 0.4845 0.205
6 Star 227 33.04% 29.63 66.52% -0.523 0.2736 -0.964
6 Thematic 869 34.04% 25.81 47.18% -0.434 0.1463 0.27
6 Two Centers (Default) 1088 24.61% 25.12 58.73% -0.188 -0.2114 -1.706
7 Archipelago 9 11.11% 7.67 11.11% -0.791 -0.3844 0.0
7 Other 29 10.34% 13.0 31.03% 0.356 0.1008 -0.037

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1367 34.71 55.16% -0.712 -0.4016 -0.096
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1200 39.07 61.08% -0.244 -0.231 0.24
All Things Weaken 1509 32.33 48.64% -1.223 -0.749 0.038
Attenuated Essence 1444 34.48 56.72% 0.354 0.5008 -0.022
Back Against the Wall 1187 36.66 58.38% 0.058 0.1871 0.153
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1452 33.51 56.06% 0.06 0.3799 0.302
Burn Brightest Before the End 1228 34.36 51.38% -0.395 -0.2186 -0.488
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1377 33.02 53.96% -0.446 -0.066 0.025
Downward Spiral 1473 33.75 57.5% 0.041 0.234 -0.105
Erosion of Will 1481 33.87 51.99% -0.515 -0.1775 -0.252
Intensifying Exploitation 1557 31.1 49.58% -0.832 -0.4793 -0.085
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 632 35.71 68.83% 0.718 0.3547 0.636
Memory Fades to Dust 1560 32.35 52.12% -0.334 -0.0048 -0.013
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1476 33.02 52.1% -0.219 0.0481 -0.297
Promising Farmlands 1342 30.91 49.33% -1.371 -0.9235 -0.474
Shattered Fragments of Power 1245 35.41 53.65% -0.168 -0.1685 0.141
Slow Dissolution of Will 1475 31.71 45.83% -0.572 -0.1604 -0.253
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 452 35.8 72.35% 0.407 -0.1514 1.535
The Border of Life and Death 421 35.41 70.07% -0.024 -0.2691 0.324
Thriving Communities 1605 32.45 52.4% 0.309 0.5861 0.086
Thriving Crops 763 33.29 59.5% -0.574 -0.6694 0.492
Unnatural Proliferation 1524 34.87 54.07% -0.288 -0.0832 0.296
Untended Land Crumbles 1462 32.21 51.78% 0.124 0.4237 0.079

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 21113 34.08% 30.48 64.85% 0.419 1.4106 0.281
B 20756 34.3% 31.03 64.39% -0.006 0.8592 0.209
C 21542 34.62% 31.3 64.86% 0.093 0.8449 0.109
D 17341 34.09% 29.41 63.09% -0.234 0.7107 0.11
E 17905 35.15% 30.59 63.66% -0.271 0.4842 0.1
F 16048 35.12% 30.3 63.84% 0.022 0.8965 0.359
G 14699 35.08% 30.63 64.64% 0.372 1.2342 0.286
H 15767 34.31% 30.7 63.84% 0.274 1.0812 0.301
East 3561 27.69% 26.24 49.23% -0.228 0.5179 -0.608
Northeast 2405 28.82% 25.87 48.57% -0.66 0.2334 -1.031
Northwest 2150 29.02% 25.51 47.26% 0.746 1.4893 0.592
Southeast 1701 29.31% 25.64 48.21% -0.522 0.4863 -0.891
Southwest 1814 30.07% 24.27 46.31% 0.321 1.4776 0.094
West 3452 28.5% 24.97 47.42% -0.303 0.6796 0.06

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 605 0.0% 21.31 69.92% -0.381 0.3388 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 76 58.33% 22.92 81.58% 0.0 0.4745 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1733 7.69% 42.35 80.03% 0.725 -0.0797 -0.274
Start of Game Growth 3000 13.93% 40.84 75.97% -0.246 -0.8127 -0.068
Unlimited Undo 8586 27.59% 31.79 66.38% 0.051 0.0786 0.018
Using Tokens but Not Events 9188 19.4% 27.28 68.56% -0.33 -0.3576 -0.292

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2836 26.65% 27.79 64.07% 0.134 -0.2839 0.072
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 804 31.54% 31.43 65.55% -0.02 -0.6763 0.669
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 101 36.0% 28.99 63.37% 0.11 -0.0472 0.123
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 573 27.4% 30.63 64.4% 0.216 -0.6441 0.676
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 528 39.96% 27.67 67.61% 0.539 0.6767 -0.303
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 692 41.62% 30.4 59.83% -0.12 -1.1498 0.685
Dances Up Earthquakes 889 36.59% 31.1 63.89% 0.197 0.1607 0.803
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1738 31.04% 26.42 60.87% -0.735 -1.0897 -0.442
Downpour Drenches the World 2348 26.55% 25.05 55.88% -0.158 -0.0339 0.262
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3077 26.83% 29.97 69.29% -0.389 -1.0351 -0.397
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1770 32.35% 28.49 64.12% -0.624 -1.1177 -0.344
Finder of Paths Unseen 1580 36.89% 25.43 54.62% -0.569 0.019 -0.472
Fractured Days Split the Sky 925 27.9% 25.54 54.05% 0.202 0.6487 0.29
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2073 32.43% 26.15 51.95% -0.503 -0.6883 -0.605
Heart of the Wildfire 1473 44.49% 25.43 53.02% -0.218 -0.0754 -0.461
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4641 38.97% 31.21 59.66% 0.285 -0.3889 0.271
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 1264 28.64% 31.67 65.03% -0.421 -0.9489 -0.231
Lightning's Swift Strike 1004 32.66% 26.13 69.32% 0.407 0.44 -0.911
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1000 41.22% 30.13 58.2% 1.138 0.4856 0.472
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 587 28.94% 25.78 51.28% 0.153 -0.343 0.081
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 826 35.19% 32.47 63.08% 0.556 0.3168 0.84
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 3297 36.46% 28.84 60.36% 0.018 -0.4084 0.375
Many Minds Move as One 1381 30.15% 28.45 64.3% -0.188 -0.6969 0.214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2195 33.81% 28.76 59.95% -0.036 -0.3052 0.497
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 952 36.06% 29.91 65.13% 0.016 -0.0979 0.269
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1613 35.54% 29.2 65.41% 0.023 -0.2711 0.556
River Surges in Sunlight 1225 35.48% 30.14 66.04% 0.572 0.4008 -0.206
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 400 33.59% 27.28 53.5% 0.836 0.7251 -0.257
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 528 32.12% 29.21 61.93% 0.63 0.5642 0.432
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1098 36.79% 32.02 60.47% -0.169 -0.2993 0.388
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1999 30.96% 29.44 60.38% -1.099 -1.3632 -0.015
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 365 35.26% 33.95 67.12% 0.409 -0.0213 0.477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 200 44.33% 21.14 69.5% 0.0 0.4284 -0.363
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 185 40.0% 29.84 71.89% 0.127 0.1307 0.32
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 600 38.67% 33.86 69.33% 0.126 -0.6265 0.191
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 147 35.86% 25.41 57.14% 0.853 0.534 0.542
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 173 41.18% 26.86 65.9% -0.035 -0.2138 -0.493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 117 45.3% 25.24 64.96% 0.036 -0.0067 -0.782
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 1025 32.58% 29.07 62.93% 0.16 -0.2058 -0.633
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 68 32.31% 26.71 63.24% -0.527 -1.0675 -0.911
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1633 35.46% 31.23 65.77% 0.055 -0.1895 0.234
Shifting Memory of Ages 1252 37.43% 24.0 52.4% -0.306 -0.0114 0.421
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 701 34.81% 27.78 58.35% -0.091 -0.2539 0.745
Shroud of Silent Mist 765 38.48% 23.39 57.52% -0.104 0.078 0.104
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 83 27.71% 33.12 75.9% -0.281 -0.6911 -0.159
Starlight Seeks its Form 3085 33.0% 30.27 64.15% -0.537 -0.7792 0.353
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2504 34.38% 28.92 61.06% -0.239 -1.1908 -0.577
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1303 31.33% 28.47 64.54% -0.274 -0.2313 -0.607
Thunderspeaker 1377 35.38% 28.49 61.07% 0.726 0.5313 0.032
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 1005 34.67% 28.34 61.49% -0.017 -0.1852 -0.299
Towering Roots of the Jungle 1793 29.38% 24.93 53.88% -0.928 -1.0393 -0.2
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 974 53.61% 29.05 58.32% 0.185 0.0343 -0.301
Vital Strength of the Earth 729 30.75% 19.53 58.85% -0.478 -0.1199 -1.025
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 603 40.23% 29.05 54.23% 0.217 0.4601 0.281
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 277 31.39% 23.27 61.37% 0.746 1.4275 -0.652
Volcano Looming High 2222 43.33% 28.04 57.43% -0.548 -0.8721 0.049
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 2714 27.09% 27.73 58.62% 0.066 -0.4515 0.097

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21832 12.25 10.89%
II 32960 29.91 73.05%
III 24809 34.94 90.99%
IV 6669 38.9 99.66%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2376
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 22366
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23743
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6625
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18028
Lose: Invader deck ran out 519
Lose: Adversary condition 5164
Win: Sacrifice victory 101
Lose: Scenario condition 341
Win: Scenario condition 464
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6379
Lose: Spirit destroyed 164

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.53 Win Model: -0.177

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.22 Win Model: 0.148
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 47797 33.15% 33.56 66.35%
2 20005 36.82% 29.97 64.03%
3 10038 35.76% 29.62 62.03%
4 5090 31.63% 27.06 58.57%
5 734 36.3% 28.44 67.44%
6 2606 29.33% 26.02 55.56%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)