Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 53 16.98% 25.0 67.92% 0.246 -0.0096 -0.752
Blitz 0 205 28.78% 38.02 59.51% -0.575 -0.3781 -0.385
Dahan Insurrection 4 100 27.0% 50.18 61.0% -0.265 -0.7072 -0.277
Despicable Theft 2 33 21.21% 23.88 54.55% -0.883 -0.0709 -0.314
Elemental Invocation 1 60 25.0% 27.02 71.67% -0.263 0.4402 -0.735
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 934 17.81% 43.12 64.78% 0.37 -0.2744 0.716
Powers Long Forgotten 1 51 25.49% 27.51 72.55% 0.213 0.8482 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 28 25.0% 38.07 64.29% -0.492 -0.3913 0.751
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 50.0% 23.13 54.17% -1.196 -0.1867 -0.513
Second Wave 0 274 34.32% 29.17 74.45% -0.044 0.0218 -1.423
The Great River 3 76 27.63% 29.38 59.21% -0.748 0.4689 -1.601
Varied Terrains 2 112 35.71% 30.64 61.61% -0.776 -0.1534 -0.132
Ward the Shores 2 68 22.06% 16.29 35.29% -1.02 0.0641 -0.976

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 15876 34.34% 34.71 68.17% 0.852 0.9063 0.418
1 Thematic 414 32.13% 36.0 59.42% 0.468 0.946 -0.146
2 Archipelago 28 32.14% 33.39 60.71% -0.026 0.078 -0.42
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2945 37.54% 32.66 66.96% 0.44 0.5218 0.201
2 Coastline 487 28.87% 30.56 72.28% 0.533 0.3793 0.607
2 Fragment 88 54.55% 33.28 61.36% 1.012 0.7628 0.705
2 Heart 141 66.91% 38.92 54.61% 0.452 0.1647 0.497
2 Opposite Shores 789 32.74% 30.49 63.12% 0.2 0.2232 -0.306
2 Thematic 332 25.3% 21.9 42.77% -0.6 -0.1966 0.052
2 Top to Top 129 45.67% 32.54 65.12% 0.465 0.2989 -0.002
3 Archipelago 16 50.0% 36.44 75.0% 0.317 -1.2323 0.285
3 Coastline 15 20.0% 29.67 53.33% 0.513 -0.0004 0.787
3 Other 168 17.47% 13.42 33.33% -1.068 -0.5274 0.412
3 Round (Default) 1901 36.62% 32.48 66.49% 0.24 0.1242 -0.168
3 Sunrise 7 28.57% 53.43 71.43% -0.072 0.2082 0.065
3 Thematic 42 38.1% 29.29 69.05% 0.112 0.1925 0.119
4 Archipelago 18 33.33% 37.33 83.33% 0.577 -0.0977 -0.329
4 Coastline 6 50.0% 28.0 50.0% 0.18 0.4113 -0.63
4 Leaf 17 58.82% 29.18 76.47% -0.274 -0.6169 0.0
4 Other 37 54.05% 25.24 67.57% 0.202 -0.8819 1.057
4 Thematic 59 37.29% 30.42 55.93% -0.235 -0.497 -0.137
4 Trapezoid (Default) 611 34.98% 31.1 67.92% 0.082 -0.001 -0.256
5 Archipelago 6 0.0% 28.33 50.0% -0.28 -1.196 -0.205
5 Coastline 4 0.0% 36.75 50.0% 0.245 -0.4071 0.32
5 Other 95 45.26% 22.95 60.0% -0.25 -0.5345 0.103
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 45.0 66.67% 0.211 0.1176 -0.307
6 Archipelago 11 9.09% 33.09 45.45% -0.326 -0.1747 -0.441
6 Coastline 5 40.0% 27.8 60.0% -0.314 -1.115 0.162
6 Other 52 42.31% 30.06 73.08% 0.42 0.1876 -0.12
6 Star 40 47.5% 20.85 55.0% -0.762 -0.7743 -0.935
6 Thematic 181 42.2% 34.34 54.7% -0.688 -0.2675 0.381
6 Two Centers (Default) 151 20.53% 27.23 65.56% -0.618 -0.5136 -1.366
7 Archipelago 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.336 -1.3553 0.0
7 Other 10 10.0% 20.2 50.0% -0.675 -1.2881 -0.43

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 405 34.47 52.59% -0.368 -0.126 0.043
Aid From Lesser Spirits 344 40.95 64.53% 0.417 0.3398 0.331
All Things Weaken 460 32.55 48.7% -0.408 -0.0151 -0.315
Attenuated Essence 402 35.35 57.96% 0.076 0.1828 -0.008
Back Against the Wall 333 37.69 60.06% -0.164 -0.1062 0.089
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 417 34.7 54.44% -0.112 0.0899 0.01
Burn Brightest Before the End 393 34.68 50.13% -0.419 -0.2089 -0.246
Disintegrating Ecosystem 433 33.58 53.12% -0.254 0.17 -0.188
Downward Spiral 452 37.42 62.17% 0.234 0.4691 0.441
Erosion of Will 457 35.76 54.27% -0.098 0.2113 0.031
Intensifying Exploitation 453 32.17 50.11% -0.283 0.0044 -0.169
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 175 34.12 64.0% -0.041 -0.5353 -0.115
Memory Fades to Dust 452 32.43 51.11% -0.203 0.1334 -0.036
Power Corrodes the Spirit 431 35.45 53.83% -0.217 0.0035 0.126
Promising Farmlands 407 31.88 46.93% -0.561 -0.1079 -0.24
Shattered Fragments of Power 357 37.77 56.3% -0.063 -0.0121 0.236
Slow Dissolution of Will 403 34.57 48.88% -0.59 -0.1909 -0.078
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 130 35.78 71.54% 0.544 -0.167 0.649
The Border of Life and Death 106 40.27 77.36% 0.61 0.2744 0.656
Thriving Communities 451 33.09 50.78% -0.446 -0.0835 -0.102
Thriving Crops 230 34.83 60.0% -0.119 -0.3171 -0.141
Unnatural Proliferation 469 36.24 55.01% -0.19 0.0248 -0.125
Untended Land Crumbles 409 34.01 55.01% -0.237 0.0452 -0.132

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 5303 34.7% 32.74 68.36% 0.138 0.8779 0.064
B 5091 34.85% 32.33 66.08% 0.011 0.7366 -0.002
C 5896 33.74% 33.44 67.28% 0.212 0.7939 0.062
D 4129 35.82% 31.84 66.48% 0.018 0.7296 -0.219
E 4574 35.06% 32.13 65.0% 0.117 0.6826 0.1
F 3860 36.46% 32.71 66.48% 0.096 0.7663 0.117
G 3648 36.48% 32.26 65.79% 0.031 0.6828 -0.087
H 3829 35.52% 33.34 66.62% 0.107 0.6775 -0.028
East 723 32.03% 31.48 54.91% -0.155 0.3835 -0.314
Northeast 481 32.14% 29.61 53.22% -0.118 0.5166 -0.389
Northwest 419 36.5% 29.3 50.36% -0.346 0.4629 -0.145
Southeast 309 38.87% 35.54 57.61% 0.258 0.9643 0.299
Southwest 415 35.63% 30.36 52.77% -0.167 0.8227 0.24
West 734 33.33% 28.85 51.5% -0.202 0.7012 0.271

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 112 0.0% 21.65 70.54% -0.872 -0.0963 -0.238
Not Using Events or Tokens 8 100.0% 38.25 100.0% 1.048 1.4273 0.788
Skip Initial Invader Actions 569 7.74% 49.3 83.66% 1.244 0.6267 1.987
Start of Game Growth 1035 12.88% 45.8 78.16% 0.603 0.2545 -0.59
Unlimited Undo 2874 28.47% 33.99 68.23% -0.124 -0.1307 0.098
Using Tokens but Not Events 2502 17.43% 29.04 69.78% -0.095 -0.1049 -0.644

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 772 100.0% 30.06 100.0% 0.111 -0.0371 0.296
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 172 100.0% 30.73 100.0% 0.155 0.286 0.021
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 338 100.0% 28.94 100.0% -0.191 -0.3356 0.043
Downpour Drenches the World 538 100.0% 27.6 100.0% -0.125 0.0542 -0.188
Eyes Watch From the Trees 486 100.0% 28.64 100.0% 0.081 -0.5073 -0.592
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 297 100.0% 30.83 100.0% 0.148 -0.3486 -0.175
Finder of Paths Unseen 496 100.0% 26.65 100.0% -0.55 0.1137 -0.013
Fractured Days Split the Sky 198 100.0% 28.87 100.0% 0.001 0.5871 0.412
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 388 100.0% 32.2 100.0% -0.021 -0.1162 -0.101
Heart of the Wildfire 231 100.0% 26.79 100.0% -0.201 0.0405 -0.305
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1336 100.0% 34.23 100.0% 0.111 -0.3313 0.137
Lightning's Swift Strike 194 332.66% 26.96 259.79% 0.226 0.4091 -0.119
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 245 45.87% 35.49 63.67% 0.22 -0.2672 -0.113
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 233 18.03% 20.12 39.48% -1.061 -1.2292 0.208
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 204 30.2% 35.0 60.78% 0.006 -0.1078 0.265
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 818 100.0% 30.09 100.0% -0.13 -0.2624 -0.312
Many Minds Move as One 262 100.0% 32.2 100.0% 0.498 0.2766 0.472
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 491 100.0% 31.76 100.0% -0.065 -0.1079 0.051
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 343 100.0% 30.71 100.0% 0.322 0.1441 0.261
River Surges in Sunlight 264 202.64% 30.33 154.17% -0.156 -0.0857 -0.513
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 83 29.27% 30.06 68.67% -0.129 0.1812 0.375
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 320 33.13% 34.45 63.44% 0.26 0.1467 -0.029
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 374 100.0% 32.08 100.0% 0.114 -0.1233 0.15
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 29 424.14% 18.48 286.21% -0.011 0.5185 -0.296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 45 42.22% 33.89 75.56% 0.161 0.0862 0.349
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 50 36.0% 28.3 60.0% -0.438 -0.5443 -0.355
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 52 42.31% 25.31 65.38% 0.159 0.1408 0.785
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 17 64.71% 29.18 70.59% -0.091 0.0856 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 247 277.82% 33.03 174.09% 0.302 0.1123 -0.098
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 682 35.24% 34.88 73.17% 0.423 0.0415 0.348
Shifting Memory of Ages 397 100.0% 24.8 100.0% -0.289 0.0638 -0.509
Shroud of Silent Mist 195 100.0% 25.96 100.0% -0.328 -0.0778 -0.349
Starlight Seeks its Form 799 100.0% 32.79 100.0% 0.273 0.012 0.008
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 573 100.0% 33.63 100.0% 0.452 -0.0257 0.201
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 283 100.0% 32.6 100.0% 0.312 0.3746 0.583
Thunderspeaker 186 259.04% 26.08 176.88% -0.222 -0.2557 -0.133
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 463 35.14% 31.85 69.11% 0.002 -0.0371 0.455
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 204 100.0% 31.21 100.0% -0.116 -0.0232 0.141
Vital Strength of the Earth 111 208.11% 21.65 164.86% -0.302 0.2222 -0.803
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 145 42.07% 34.17 64.83% -0.0 0.2601 -0.44
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 34.55% 23.55 61.82% 0.164 0.9398 0.033
Volcano Looming High 449 100.0% 31.29 100.0% 0.049 0.0058 0.034

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5859 20.4 13.77%
II 10278 31.01 75.32%
III 6898 34.76 91.04%
IV 1651 38.07 99.94%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 807
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6240
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7672
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1646
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4574
Lose: Invader deck ran out 147
Lose: Adversary condition 1434
Win: Sacrifice victory 28
Lose: Scenario condition 93
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1931
Lose: Spirit destroyed 29

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.629 Win Model: -0.179

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.345 Win Model: 0.118
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 16334 34.3% 34.72 67.9%
2 4934 36.4% 31.59 64.73%
3 2117 34.95% 31.01 64.1%
4 750 36.5% 30.93 67.73%
5 108 43.52% 23.58 53.7%
6 443 33.56% 30.04 60.95%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)