Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 143 18.18% 24.19 72.73% 0.405 -0.1535 -0.108
Blitz 0 545 24.45% 29.34 61.1% -0.677 -0.2536 -0.647
Dahan Insurrection 4 571 13.66% 27.8 38.18% -0.81 -1.2919 -0.506
Despicable Theft 2 154 24.68% 23.43 55.19% 0.556 1.0989 -0.794
Elemental Invocation 1 259 22.09% 28.25 65.64% -0.119 0.6189 -1.224
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2204 13.58% 41.34 66.29% 0.644 -0.0127 0.483
Powers Long Forgotten 1 161 20.5% 18.42 41.61% -1.139 -0.5771 -0.337
Rituals of Terror 3 100 21.0% 30.84 61.0% 0.006 -0.1362 0.422
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 89 38.2% 19.69 41.57% -1.619 -0.8696 -0.33
Second Wave 0 1247 28.87% 29.76 75.38% 0.046 0.1408 0.2
The Great River 3 269 32.34% 28.57 57.25% -1.223 0.0224 -1.024
Varied Terrains 2 287 37.28% 29.09 59.93% -0.548 0.3199 -0.455
Ward the Shores 2 188 18.09% 22.61 45.74% -0.511 0.343 -0.308

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 34604 33.24% 34.09 67.05% 0.116 0.4893 0.808
1 Thematic 1038 26.49% 30.6 57.9% 0.221 0.9356 0.584
2 Archipelago 62 32.26% 30.53 61.29% 0.0 0.5238 0.092
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 9077 36.26% 30.01 63.6% 0.162 0.3231 0.093
2 Coastline 1345 31.86% 30.27 71.3% 1.063 0.8697 0.497
2 Fragment 201 45.96% 29.43 62.19% 0.593 0.5446 0.795
2 Heart 217 59.07% 37.06 57.6% 0.917 0.7052 0.457
2 Opposite Shores 2254 36.2% 29.4 62.73% -0.067 0.0658 0.089
2 Thematic 833 28.45% 23.18 45.5% 0.238 0.9587 0.331
2 Top to Top 355 43.63% 32.63 67.89% -0.011 -0.0953 0.309
3 Archipelago 49 48.98% 37.24 75.51% 0.0 -0.5435 0.334
3 Coastline 102 34.31% 31.6 65.69% 0.086 -0.5443 0.984
3 Other 289 19.79% 16.52 43.94% 1.325 0.4483 0.905
3 Round (Default) 6548 36.61% 29.72 61.01% 0.06 0.0363 -0.223
3 Sunrise 29 41.38% 32.55 68.97% 0.006 -0.4402 -0.326
3 Thematic 267 34.83% 23.54 46.07% -0.491 -0.4829 -0.617
4 Archipelago 38 21.05% 43.71 84.21% -0.49 -0.6413 0.219
4 Coastline 27 29.63% 26.96 62.96% -0.514 -0.3842 -0.271
4 Leaf 53 54.72% 29.7 66.04% 0.529 0.9639 -0.663
4 Other 137 49.26% 29.26 67.15% 0.472 -0.0964 1.869
4 Thematic 463 17.49% 23.51 40.82% -1.072 -1.009 -0.655
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2598 35.21% 28.69 62.59% -0.384 -0.3787 -0.662
5 Archipelago 18 33.33% 22.44 61.11% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.139
5 Coastline 15 0.0% 23.07 60.0% 0.0 -1.0209 -0.021
5 Other 438 40.55% 27.93 67.35% -0.492 -0.8157 -0.012
5 Thematic 28 40.74% 26.32 39.29% -0.201 -0.3444 -0.635
6 Archipelago 42 4.76% 34.17 61.9% -0.579 -1.6167 -0.171
6 Coastline 10 40.0% 36.4 70.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.329
6 Other 201 37.81% 23.95 55.22% -0.493 -0.5371 -0.827
6 Star 148 33.78% 28.2 65.54% 0.341 0.9735 -0.757
6 Thematic 593 33.79% 25.75 46.88% -0.526 -0.3224 -0.252
6 Two Centers (Default) 659 24.16% 26.23 62.37% -0.53 -0.0558 -1.603
7 Archipelago 5 20.0% 1.6 0.0% -0.304 -0.6278 0.0
7 Other 22 13.64% 13.86 36.36% 0.042 -0.6332 -0.918

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 993 35.06 56.19% 0.793 0.8642 -0.012
Aid From Lesser Spirits 871 39.73 61.77% 0.229 0.1192 0.296
All Things Weaken 1104 32.07 48.1% -0.102 0.0748 -0.181
Attenuated Essence 1038 34.28 55.01% 0.263 0.3146 0.047
Back Against the Wall 861 36.9 58.54% -0.468 -0.4833 0.263
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1061 33.91 55.7% -0.215 -0.031 -0.029
Burn Brightest Before the End 899 34.54 51.17% -0.706 -0.6193 -0.058
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1017 33.07 54.38% -0.092 0.199 -0.175
Downward Spiral 1062 33.82 57.82% -0.151 -0.0446 0.159
Erosion of Will 1078 34.17 52.13% -0.256 -0.0901 -0.092
Intensifying Exploitation 1145 31.32 49.17% 0.033 0.2208 -0.183
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 467 34.96 68.31% 0.101 -0.3272 0.343
Memory Fades to Dust 1106 32.11 51.81% -0.314 -0.0789 -0.09
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1053 33.36 52.23% -0.537 -0.4408 -0.09
Promising Farmlands 970 30.86 48.66% 0.08 0.4443 -0.296
Shattered Fragments of Power 878 35.91 53.64% -0.566 -0.5006 0.247
Slow Dissolution of Will 1075 32.25 45.95% -0.147 0.3167 -0.216
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 327 35.48 70.95% 0.207 -0.3942 0.546
The Border of Life and Death 288 35.94 70.83% -0.514 -0.9899 0.713
Thriving Communities 1174 32.22 51.7% -0.221 0.0048 -0.084
Thriving Crops 575 32.89 57.91% -0.08 -0.3046 -0.108
Unnatural Proliferation 1120 34.59 53.13% -0.178 -0.0566 -0.108
Untended Land Crumbles 1082 31.64 50.83% -0.75 -0.5173 -0.265

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15054 33.97% 30.78 65.18% 0.129 1.0472 0.14
B 14738 34.68% 31.31 64.36% 0.325 1.1666 0.177
C 15615 34.47% 31.57 64.78% 0.179 0.8623 0.186
D 12075 34.59% 29.74 63.16% 0.048 0.8906 -0.008
E 12714 35.02% 30.72 63.74% 0.056 0.7071 0.214
F 11344 35.48% 30.52 63.71% 0.442 1.2022 0.26
G 10353 35.63% 30.79 64.12% 0.3 1.0571 0.134
H 11086 34.61% 30.84 63.19% 0.371 1.0892 0.086
East 2526 27.55% 26.24 48.69% -0.876 -0.0628 -0.397
Northeast 1744 27.12% 25.24 47.13% -0.689 -0.022 -0.267
Northwest 1554 28.52% 24.58 44.98% 0.281 1.0859 -0.08
Southeast 1114 30.92% 26.27 48.56% -0.369 0.3365 -0.272
Southwest 1244 31.36% 24.71 46.95% -0.125 1.2646 0.091
West 2457 28.5% 24.65 46.32% -0.052 0.742 -0.319

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 352 0.0% 20.42 67.33% 0.361 1.0802 -0.365
Not Using Events or Tokens 52 62.79% 25.58 80.77% -0.516 -0.0308 0.356
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1301 7.82% 44.72 80.25% 0.197 -0.5334 1.783
Start of Game Growth 2337 13.83% 42.99 77.19% 0.095 -0.3514 0.037
Unlimited Undo 6578 27.6% 32.12 66.45% -0.171 -0.204 0.29
Using Tokens but Not Events 6623 18.33% 27.65 68.2% -0.036 -0.1982 -0.644

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2187 28.55% 28.21 64.11% 0.072 -0.0345 0.449
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 329 34.45% 31.03 65.65% -0.067 -0.5558 0.547
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 426 38.24% 28.33 67.61% 0.373 0.5158 -0.056
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 425 39.29% 28.71 58.35% -0.163 -0.9117 0.165
Dances Up Earthquakes 160 31.01% 29.74 68.13% 0.114 -0.0628 0.021
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1182 33.16% 27.5 61.93% -0.069 -0.2764 0.182
Downpour Drenches the World 1713 26.0% 24.5 54.12% -0.169 0.151 -0.017
Eyes Watch From the Trees 2084 27.79% 30.42 69.19% 0.541 0.1975 -0.225
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1189 33.73% 29.75 66.61% 0.18 -0.1746 0.284
Finder of Paths Unseen 1251 36.97% 25.43 54.04% -0.694 0.0907 0.094
Fractured Days Split the Sky 667 27.26% 24.65 50.52% -0.348 0.1005 0.153
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1588 32.96% 26.71 52.77% -0.128 -0.1518 -0.203
Heart of the Wildfire 948 44.44% 25.49 54.32% -0.731 -0.4041 -0.064
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3609 39.84% 31.24 58.69% 0.13 -0.3651 0.134
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 836 31.24% 31.7 64.0% 0.651 0.088 -0.237
Lightning's Swift Strike 711 34.38% 25.96 67.09% 0.219 0.4174 -0.262
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 694 45.01% 30.68 56.92% 0.489 0.0407 -0.178
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 442 24.72% 24.13 47.96% 0.052 -0.2679 0.61
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 580 36.33% 32.87 61.72% 0.302 0.4271 0.77
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2256 36.49% 29.22 60.46% 0.072 -0.0837 -0.027
Many Minds Move as One 968 30.19% 28.58 64.98% 0.27 0.0632 0.332
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1782 34.1% 28.31 58.19% -0.724 -0.5951 0.006
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 158 37.18% 29.35 65.82% 0.217 0.3223 -0.282
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1042 35.08% 29.42 66.99% 0.137 0.087 0.507
River Surges in Sunlight 860 36.9% 31.18 68.26% 0.264 0.2974 -0.023
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 171 33.93% 27.86 54.39% -0.293 -0.0848 -0.13
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 392 33.25% 28.32 59.44% 0.606 0.757 -0.552
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 825 34.67% 31.48 59.64% -0.246 -0.2368 -0.019
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1529 31.45% 30.13 61.35% -0.224 -0.323 0.723
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 55 27.27% 32.6 61.82% 0.383 -0.1078 0.644
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 142 46.1% 21.51 63.38% 0.035 0.5465 -0.226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 121 39.82% 29.61 70.25% -0.069 -0.1123 0.461
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 383 40.21% 34.48 71.8% 0.475 0.0272 0.743
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 112 39.29% 24.68 52.68% -0.415 -0.3568 0.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 140 40.29% 27.03 66.43% -0.155 -0.3455 -0.101
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 78 43.59% 24.56 61.54% -0.091 -0.007 -0.739
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 733 32.51% 29.4 62.76% -0.521 -0.6185 -0.294
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 1302 35.77% 31.95 66.67% 0.5 0.3052 0.299
Shifting Memory of Ages 1031 37.34% 23.48 50.63% -1.186 -0.7965 -0.295
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 333 31.63% 24.21 50.75% 0.283 0.2316 0.035
Shroud of Silent Mist 584 39.38% 23.5 56.16% -0.494 -0.0802 -0.771
Starlight Seeks its Form 2354 32.64% 30.14 64.44% 0.345 0.3051 0.432
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1807 34.17% 29.07 61.59% 0.481 -0.0219 0.01
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 886 32.12% 29.06 64.45% -0.318 -0.2346 0.116
Thunderspeaker 943 34.72% 27.32 58.22% 0.377 0.371 -0.889
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 836 33.49% 28.18 61.36% -0.612 -0.2233 0.146
Towering Roots of the Jungle 863 29.65% 25.12 57.13% -0.235 -0.0243 0.433
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 672 54.03% 29.46 58.18% 0.285 0.3624 0.077
Vital Strength of the Earth 503 32.67% 18.98 56.26% -0.246 0.2032 -2.765
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 440 38.86% 29.77 56.14% -0.092 0.4019 0.094
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 182 32.22% 24.65 60.99% 0.37 1.0626 0.152
Volcano Looming High 1513 44.62% 28.63 57.83% -0.05 0.0145 -0.05
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1868 28.06% 28.4 59.53% 0.062 -0.1868 -0.02

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16130 14.25 11.16%
II 24165 30.3 73.77%
III 17723 34.84 90.97%
IV 4747 38.61 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1799
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 15968
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 17616
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4716
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13088
Lose: Invader deck ran out 376
Lose: Adversary condition 3806
Win: Sacrifice victory 78
Lose: Scenario condition 249
Win: Scenario condition 304
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4652
Lose: Spirit destroyed 113

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.181 Win Model: -0.189

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.225 Win Model: -0.038
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 35802 33.05% 33.91 66.61%
2 14291 36.15% 29.84 63.46%
3 7226 35.79% 29.06 60.02%
4 3301 33.06% 28.11 60.19%
5 486 40.25% 26.9 62.96%
6 1659 29.61% 26.21 56.3%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)