Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 78 19.23% 25.23 74.36% 0.926 0.7867 -0.432
Blitz 0 248 22.22% 35.52 64.52% 0.542 0.6533 -0.242
Dahan Insurrection 4 327 18.04% 42.02 55.05% 0.203 -0.0322 0.322
Despicable Theft 2 72 36.11% 22.65 45.83% -0.975 -0.3318 -0.139
Elemental Invocation 1 122 28.93% 22.11 49.18% -0.11 0.6924 -1.989
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1076 12.08% 37.68 56.41% 0.022 -0.7524 0.404
Powers Long Forgotten 1 58 36.21% 20.72 39.66% -0.658 0.1143 -0.637
Rituals of Terror 3 64 17.19% 41.73 76.56% 1.247 1.2631 0.684
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 50.0% 23.38 38.46% -0.386 0.671 -0.432
Second Wave 0 708 28.26% 27.29 75.28% 0.321 0.4014 0.775
The Great River 3 62 35.48% 23.15 33.87% -0.669 0.4597 -1.29
Varied Terrains 2 199 44.22% 25.22 54.27% -0.248 0.4443 -0.422
Ward the Shores 2 134 28.79% 19.73 35.82% -0.935 -0.0717 -1.724

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 15266 34.82% 26.47 57.07% 0.021 0.2222 0.51
1 Thematic 435 36.09% 27.72 47.82% 0.156 0.8754 0.105
2 Archipelago 33 30.3% 25.67 51.52% 0.211 0.4661 -0.536
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4637 37.31% 28.93 64.76% 0.074 0.0821 0.423
2 Coastline 705 31.57% 30.18 69.5% 0.589 0.3836 0.995
2 Fragment 158 48.72% 27.09 58.86% 0.037 -0.2399 1.526
2 Heart 115 51.3% 32.75 54.78% 0.356 0.1359 0.462
2 Opposite Shores 1161 31.35% 28.3 65.46% 0.018 0.0748 0.032
2 Thematic 395 24.37% 25.18 51.65% -0.157 0.2944 0.2
2 Top to Top 231 32.61% 34.87 70.13% -0.464 -0.562 1.189
3 Archipelago 27 44.44% 37.78 59.26% -0.012 -0.8029 -0.516
3 Coastline 40 35.0% 23.38 62.5% 0.221 -0.346 -0.06
3 Other 109 35.85% 23.58 59.63% 0.189 0.1601 0.893
3 Round (Default) 3387 34.58% 30.56 64.78% -0.13 -0.356 0.18
3 Sunrise 7 42.86% 25.57 42.86% 0.0 -0.9848 0.0
3 Thematic 110 36.36% 32.15 57.27% -0.414 -0.2168 0.355
4 Archipelago 33 27.27% 45.12 60.61% -0.122 -1.3078 0.219
4 Coastline 15 6.67% 31.4 93.33% 0.99 0.4036 0.509
4 Leaf 22 40.91% 34.45 50.0% 0.552 -0.1468 -1.107
4 Other 74 31.08% 26.09 78.38% 0.692 -0.6655 0.422
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1795 0.289
4 Thematic 151 33.11% 38.54 53.64% -0.259 -0.4573 -0.793
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1881 34.23% 32.48 60.29% -0.021 -0.2647 -0.868
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 38.6 60.0% -0.174 0.1422 -0.308
5 Coastline 5 0.0% 32.2 80.0% -0.381 -0.1882 -0.608
5 Other 264 24.71% 28.48 71.21% -0.388 -1.4445 -0.651
5 Thematic 30 50.0% 48.2 70.0% 0.945 0.4664 0.143
6 Archipelago 14 15.38% 37.64 71.43% -0.595 -1.3311 -0.57
6 Coastline 11 12.5% 40.73 90.91% 0.179 -0.061 0.406
6 Other 145 32.17% 32.7 64.83% -0.745 -1.4817 -1.911
6 Star 120 26.67% 34.49 63.33% -1.594 -1.6511 -0.772
6 Thematic 422 18.07% 27.62 40.76% -1.393 -0.6392 -2.182
6 Two Centers (Default) 426 21.67% 36.69 68.54% 0.187 -0.3926 -1.365
7 Archipelago 8 12.5% 61.38 62.5% 0.0 0.7765 -0.54
7 Other 14 15.38% 19.71 57.14% -0.718 -1.1296 -0.507

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 631 32.35 48.18% -0.486 -0.3259 0.222
Aid From Lesser Spirits 606 34.02 53.47% 0.199 0.1123 0.181
All Things Weaken 640 31.38 47.81% 0.218 0.5602 0.256
Attenuated Essence 174 26.38 36.78% -0.08 -0.0055 -0.796
Back Against the Wall 598 34.25 53.34% 0.125 0.1996 0.385
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 179 25.19 30.17% -0.238 -0.0472 -0.968
Burn Brightest Before the End 147 26.86 39.46% 0.142 0.2662 -0.716
Disintegrating Ecosystem 666 27.85 44.44% 0.403 0.7756 -0.124
Downward Spiral 795 28.53 48.18% -0.058 0.0787 0.132
Erosion of Will 667 29.64 41.68% -0.404 -0.1095 -0.206
Intensifying Exploitation 190 27.08 41.05% 0.036 0.2744 -0.193
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 280 34.89 66.43% 0.1 -0.4322 0.476
Memory Fades to Dust 739 26.49 45.6% 0.07 0.3506 -0.351
Power Corrodes the Spirit 695 29.37 48.2% 0.08 0.2329 -0.063
Promising Farmlands 665 29.55 44.96% -0.244 0.1024 -0.022
Shattered Fragments of Power 125 30.35 44.0% 0.432 0.6266 -0.428
Slow Dissolution of Will 169 24.95 33.73% -0.067 0.3846 -0.701
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 220 33.82 69.09% 0.612 -0.1286 0.562
The Border of Life and Death 48 24.21 50.0% 0.288 -0.1451 -0.667
Thriving Communities 656 28.42 46.8% -0.191 0.1079 -0.1
Thriving Crops 105 27.11 39.05% -0.566 -0.6684 -0.487
Unnatural Proliferation 713 32.56 48.81% -0.455 -0.3093 -0.006
Untended Land Crumbles 644 27.48 40.37% -0.298 0.0013 -0.173

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 8416 34.7% 29.48 61.06% 0.006 1.0002 0.35
B 7093 34.0% 29.5 61.54% 0.166 1.0842 0.221
C 8844 33.64% 29.39 61.58% 0.276 1.0189 0.305
D 6640 31.87% 28.62 62.32% 0.05 1.0019 0.015
E 6147 33.23% 30.17 63.32% 0.231 1.0114 0.426
F 5766 35.41% 29.6 62.76% 0.23 1.123 0.28
G 5330 34.82% 29.52 62.65% 0.052 0.9076 0.209
H 5423 33.26% 29.31 63.51% 0.1 0.9484 0.304
East 1328 27.27% 29.58 48.64% 0.355 1.124 -0.417
Northeast 931 24.49% 28.72 46.19% -0.171 0.6162 0.277
Northwest 805 23.18% 27.79 44.22% -0.252 0.7314 -0.842
Southeast 720 27.07% 30.29 45.97% -0.06 0.8142 -0.45
Southwest 624 23.34% 28.71 47.44% -0.338 0.8692 -0.435
West 1125 26.12% 28.18 47.56% -0.655 0.2793 -0.303

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 328 0.0% 16.36 56.4% -0.057 0.5729 -0.535
Not Using Events or Tokens 610 20.91% 19.22 59.02% -0.457 0.0495 -0.455
Skip Initial Invader Actions 842 13.73% 41.38 71.38% 0.332 -0.3026 1.782
Start of Game Growth 1175 15.54% 37.83 67.91% 0.135 -0.255 -0.519
Unlimited Undo 3463 29.94% 30.78 61.57% 0.104 0.1483 0.37
Using Tokens but Not Events 2896 16.59% 23.08 67.65% -0.238 -0.265 -0.022

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2119 100.0% 33.89 100.0% 0.565 0.4426 0.621
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 411 107.06% 24.27 104.14% -0.394 -0.1536 -0.436
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 46 36.96% 35.52 63.04% 0.434 -0.5674 -0.432
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 525 100.0% 25.48 100.0% -0.099 -0.3261 -0.551
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1097 100.0% 23.12 100.0% -0.05 -0.5492 -0.183
Eyes Watch From the Trees 729 100.0% 28.6 100.0% 0.167 -0.2941 0.162
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 624 100.0% 27.57 100.0% 0.176 -0.2531 -0.222
Finder of Paths Unseen 1291 100.0% 29.91 100.0% -0.63 0.1923 0.743
Fractured Days Split the Sky 648 100.0% 35.9 100.0% -0.196 0.4012 0.014
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 611 100.0% 28.4 100.0% -0.041 -0.0423 -0.119
Heart of the Wildfire 794 100.0% 25.34 100.0% -0.322 0.0627 -0.507
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1601 103.25% 33.14 102.62% 0.25 -0.2454 0.68
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 61 14.75% 20.3 31.15% -0.464 -1.0113 -0.771
Lightning's Swift Strike 398 328.47% 25.44 244.22% 0.083 0.2657 0.372
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 525 42.11% 35.2 72.76% 0.602 0.0646 0.414
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 193 23.44% 28.54 62.18% -1.151 -1.4417 0.786
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 777 36.29% 39.33 53.93% 0.313 0.1655 0.422
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1052 100.0% 32.93 100.0% 0.412 0.1611 -0.125
Many Minds Move as One 519 100.0% 32.59 100.0% -0.056 -0.2127 0.297
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 1384 100.0% 32.78 100.0% 0.313 0.3231 0.28
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 533 100.0% 26.39 100.0% 0.355 0.2092 -0.099
River Surges in Sunlight 585 277.46% 29.87 216.92% 0.496 0.5341 -0.223
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 447 21.85% 26.96 56.38% -0.399 -0.1391 0.265
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1171 38.28% 38.41 58.24% -0.307 -0.3575 0.065
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1369 100.0% 33.7 100.0% 0.364 0.1894 -0.084
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 99 381.31% 22.66 263.64% 0.307 0.9192 -0.879
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 129 36.72% 28.98 77.52% -0.54 -0.4368 0.456
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 36 19.44% 28.17 55.56% 0.064 -0.5179 0.699
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 188 41.62% 30.48 63.3% -0.222 -0.176 -0.089
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 74 36.99% 24.74 64.86% 0.121 0.2013 -0.082
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 59 33.93% 19.07 62.71% -0.478 -0.2705 -1.196
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 527 122.39% 32.9 113.09% 0.312 0.3916 0.711
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 174 32.18% 31.28 60.34% 0.487 0.1644 0.279
Shifting Memory of Ages 801 100.0% 28.38 100.0% -0.672 -0.4067 -0.689
Shroud of Silent Mist 545 100.0% 24.84 100.0% -0.264 0.1031 -0.414
Starlight Seeks its Form 1698 100.0% 37.33 100.0% 0.285 0.0574 0.367
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 797 100.0% 29.09 100.0% -0.452 -0.8083 -0.165
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 427 100.0% 30.46 100.0% 0.4 0.5327 0.532
Thunderspeaker 564 117.91% 31.78 114.36% -0.031 -0.0019 0.108
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 149 32.21% 20.71 45.64% -0.438 -0.1983 -0.061
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 484 100.0% 29.28 100.0% -0.065 0.1256 0.257
Vital Strength of the Earth 187 351.56% 24.95 260.96% 0.426 0.9831 0.634
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 592 28.18% 32.56 57.6% -0.097 0.3129 0.294
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 102 40.0% 23.53 50.98% -0.326 0.4025 -1.182
Volcano Looming High 876 100.0% 28.59 100.0% 0.265 0.2844 -0.349
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 133 100.0% 31.02 100.0% 0.636 0.0419 -0.11

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dark Skies Loose a Stinging Rain 88.04%
Foundations Sink Into Mud 92.74%
Gift of Abundance 91.0%
Unbearable Deluge 96.76%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8082 17.67 4.02%
II 8343 30.7 60.97%
III 8719 34.75 86.76%
IV 5319 38.22 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 325
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 7483
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4918
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 5286
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5230
Lose: Invader deck ran out 541
Lose: Adversary condition 3356
Win: Sacrifice victory 46
Lose: Scenario condition 218
Win: Scenario condition 228
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2659
Lose: Spirit destroyed 173

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.049 Win Model: -0.149

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.172 Win Model: 0.126
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 15760 34.83% 26.48 56.76%
2 7434 35.56% 29.05 64.6%
3 3662 34.68% 30.4 64.34%
4 2184 33.5% 32.71 60.81%
5 274 27.51% 29.62 66.79%
6 1149 21.97% 33.03 58.4%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-01-31 03:48:31 (Pacific Time)