Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 39 30.77% 27.92 76.92% -0.039 0.4013 -0.201
Blitz 0 60 32.0% 32.42 66.67% -0.669 -0.4134 -1.16
Dahan Insurrection 4 81 19.75% 55.4 76.54% -0.032 0.2698 0.546
Despicable Theft 2 15 40.0% 39.27 100.0% 0.553 1.0976 0.585
Elemental Invocation 1 22 22.73% 30.14 86.36% 0.213 0.8247 -0.778
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 405 10.86% 46.39 73.83% -0.023 0.171 -0.132
Powers Long Forgotten 1 9 44.44% 22.33 44.44% -0.903 -0.6578 -0.467
Rituals of Terror 3 19 26.32% 43.16 84.21% 0.847 0.0108 -0.525
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 8 62.5% 34.38 50.0% -0.034 0.491 0.176
Second Wave 0 186 26.52% 29.27 82.26% -0.211 0.3611 -0.22
The Great River 3 20 60.0% 31.7 30.0% -1.473 0.1659 -1.498
Varied Terrains 2 81 54.32% 29.88 64.2% -0.904 -0.1587 0.492
Ward the Shores 2 23 40.91% 33.22 69.57% -0.846 0.209 -0.234

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6522 36.68% 32.44 70.07% 0.737 1.1824 0.089
1 Thematic 130 35.38% 35.22 70.0% 0.566 1.1984 0.322
2 Archipelago 17 41.18% 32.94 70.59% -0.337 -0.3243 -0.882
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1631 41.8% 34.81 75.97% 0.464 0.8081 0.265
2 Coastline 280 31.79% 35.67 79.29% 0.965 1.0481 0.802
2 Fragment 50 50.0% 37.12 72.0% 1.037 1.1255 1.372
2 Heart 35 57.14% 31.2 51.43% 0.005 0.6167 -0.365
2 Opposite Shores 439 32.12% 32.26 79.5% 0.432 0.8107 -0.48
2 Thematic 111 30.91% 35.23 74.77% -0.121 0.396 -0.573
2 Top to Top 97 36.08% 37.77 70.1% 0.321 0.4605 0.545
3 Archipelago 6 83.33% 27.5 16.67% -0.244 -1.2213 -0.475
3 Coastline 16 50.0% 27.19 75.0% 0.722 0.0736 0.621
3 Other 40 35.0% 28.38 70.0% 0.16 -0.9114 0.419
3 Round (Default) 1129 34.58% 35.16 80.87% 0.221 0.4128 0.282
3 Sunrise 5 20.0% 29.4 60.0% -0.181 0.1392 0.0
3 Thematic 37 29.73% 39.16 81.08% 0.258 0.0125 1.081
4 Archipelago 7 28.57% 37.29 71.43% -0.26 -0.6621 -0.144
4 Coastline 4 0.0% 35.5 100.0% 0.104 0.3018 0.272
4 Leaf 2 50.0% 25.5 100.0% 0.028 0.5185 0.0
4 Other 16 25.0% 24.81 93.75% 0.11 -0.4306 0.262
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 69.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.375
4 Thematic 33 33.33% 39.09 69.7% 0.096 0.1015 0.107
4 Trapezoid (Default) 527 41.06% 44.06 79.7% -0.349 -0.4896 -0.606
5 Archipelago 1 100.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.05 -0.267 0.029
5 Coastline 2 0.0% 50.0 100.0% -0.536 -0.794 -0.539
5 Other 60 23.33% 33.83 85.0% 0.096 -0.0797 -0.856
5 Thematic 7 85.71% 48.29 57.14% 0.032 -0.0024 -1.029
6 Archipelago 5 25.0% 51.6 100.0% 0.145 -0.6057 0.161
6 Coastline 6 0.0% 42.83 100.0% 0.058 -0.6496 0.222
6 Other 63 29.03% 39.83 66.67% -1.877 -1.1798 -1.555
6 Star 38 28.95% 40.03 73.68% -0.92 -0.3878 -0.994
6 Thematic 108 25.93% 52.01 70.37% -1.994 -1.4949 -1.669
6 Two Centers (Default) 108 27.62% 54.51 92.59% -0.447 -0.2207 -0.032
7 Archipelago 1 0.0% 105.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7346 0.093
7 Other 3 0.0% 29.67 100.0% 0.226 -0.5457 0.51

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 304 35.06 51.32% -1.212 0.6975 -0.396
Aid From Lesser Spirits 293 35.18 55.29% -1.214 0.4711 -0.471
All Things Weaken 305 34.44 51.48% -1.209 0.7905 -0.509
Back Against the Wall 303 36.49 58.75% -1.267 0.6805 -0.421
Disintegrating Ecosystem 289 30.97 50.52% -1.178 0.8872 -0.603
Downward Spiral 352 32.48 50.85% -1.339 0.624 -0.482
Erosion of Will 315 33.97 45.4% -1.394 0.7131 -0.781
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 117 36.03 67.52% -0.796 -0.1794 -0.495
Memory Fades to Dust 314 31.73 53.82% -0.96 1.0977 -0.662
Power Corrodes the Spirit 306 31.52 50.33% -1.795 0.1838 -0.884
Promising Farmlands 328 32.8 51.52% -1.479 0.623 -0.693
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 100 35.36 77.0% 0.437 0.7662 0.206
Thriving Communities 281 31.56 46.26% -1.529 0.5206 -0.794
Unnatural Proliferation 321 34.95 52.02% -1.074 0.8704 -0.573
Untended Land Crumbles 290 30.01 45.52% -1.616 0.4102 -0.737

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2950 37.51% 35.9 74.34% 0.123 0.8826 0.212
B 2489 37.3% 35.6 75.17% 0.074 0.7508 0.103
C 3226 37.71% 35.49 74.52% 0.242 0.7667 0.202
D 2278 33.3% 34.73 76.38% 0.012 0.7388 -0.076
E 2273 35.46% 35.89 76.95% 0.218 0.7782 0.489
F 2020 38.54% 36.06 77.08% 0.097 0.7865 0.323
G 1817 35.74% 35.54 77.11% 0.404 1.0989 0.164
H 1900 36.01% 34.98 75.63% -0.01 0.6511 0.312
East 359 30.45% 41.73 72.42% -0.188 0.4909 -0.224
Northeast 229 31.14% 44.55 70.31% -0.119 0.451 -0.229
Northwest 189 32.28% 47.08 72.49% -0.187 0.6552 -0.326
Southeast 193 30.05% 45.15 69.95% 0.364 0.8907 0.172
Southwest 172 30.81% 44.73 73.26% -0.295 0.6457 -0.655
West 292 32.53% 41.97 72.6% -0.737 0.2626 -0.497

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 81 0.0% 21.96 87.65% -0.561 1.5579 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 137 26.72% 24.28 81.75% 0.043 0.2832 -0.495
Skip Initial Invader Actions 342 14.9% 45.76 82.16% 0.603 0.2345 0.472
Start of Game Growth 416 15.12% 44.16 82.21% -0.063 -0.6858 -0.4
Unlimited Undo 1276 32.47% 39.96 79.86% 0.602 -0.0284 0.73
Using Tokens but Not Events 937 14.97% 27.49 83.35% -0.258 -0.2148 0.114

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 631 100.0% 40.94 100.0% 0.205 0.1577 0.571
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 135 100.0% 34.78 100.0% 0.019 0.0824 0.392
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 172 100.0% 29.05 100.0% -0.356 -0.5937 -1.49
Eyes Watch From the Trees 247 100.0% 33.37 100.0% 0.122 -0.2928 0.109
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 205 100.0% 31.51 100.0% -0.142 -0.7363 -0.125
Finder of Paths Unseen 647 100.0% 35.15 100.0% -0.066 0.3385 0.781
Fractured Days Split the Sky 168 100.0% 53.3 100.0% 0.206 0.2478 0.31
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 219 100.0% 36.03 100.0% 0.428 0.4115 -0.151
Heart of the Wildfire 189 100.0% 33.71 100.0% -0.71 -0.3815 -0.985
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 580 100.0% 37.87 100.0% 0.498 -0.1361 0.488
Lightning's Swift Strike 102 385.98% 33.91 208.82% -0.396 -0.1229 0.267
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 262 44.75% 36.58 81.68% 0.735 -0.0977 0.173
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 62 22.58% 35.24 83.87% -0.039 -0.6111 -0.222
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 218 46.79% 58.22 75.69% 0.872 0.4476 0.387
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 374 100.0% 39.68 100.0% 0.255 0.0482 -0.012
Many Minds Move as One 138 100.0% 37.72 100.0% -0.515 -1.0275 0.175
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 457 100.0% 41.07 100.0% -0.163 -0.446 0.084
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 152 100.0% 29.74 100.0% -0.373 -0.34 -0.586
River Surges in Sunlight 222 256.5% 34.73 151.35% -0.059 -0.0534 -0.614
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 139 23.02% 39.89 85.61% 1.337 1.7813 1.531
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 429 43.46% 49.53 78.09% 0.835 0.592 0.178
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 338 100.0% 47.36 100.0% 0.461 0.3178 0.323
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10 1100.0% 27.9 570.0% -0.857 -0.3555 -0.571
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 71 47.89% 31.82 84.51% 0.789 0.9272 0.495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 95 48.42% 35.49 75.79% -0.217 -0.294 0.148
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 23 34.78% 27.87 69.57% -1.253 -1.2554 -0.421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 17 43.75% 22.94 64.71% -0.896 -0.8273 -0.711
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 163 100.0% 37.82 100.0% 0.483 0.2214 0.495
Shifting Memory of Ages 221 100.0% 37.27 100.0% -0.794 -0.7717 -0.995
Shroud of Silent Mist 164 100.0% 32.21 100.0% -0.542 -0.297 -0.073
Starlight Seeks its Form 615 100.0% 47.26 100.0% 0.207 -0.0043 0.423
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 235 100.0% 35.89 100.0% 0.199 0.0295 -0.311
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 155 100.0% 35.04 100.0% 0.014 0.1245 0.681
Thunderspeaker 172 100.0% 37.24 100.0% -0.42 -0.5155 -0.241
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 159 100.0% 40.38 100.0% 0.597 0.5 0.498
Vital Strength of the Earth 51 441.18% 29.53 260.78% 0.874 1.7562 0.451
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 255 36.86% 40.81 70.59% -0.48 -0.0788 -0.13
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 25 48.0% 27.88 72.0% -0.038 1.0042 -0.687
Volcano Looming High 281 100.0% 35.28 100.0% -0.212 -0.2273 -0.28

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dark Skies Loose a Stinging Rain 87.64%
Foundations Sink Into Mud 92.0%
Gift of Abundance 89.72%
Unbearable Deluge 96.67%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1673 22.62 9.5%
II 3603 31.05 69.05%
III 3842 34.62 88.44%
IV 2420 37.86 100.0%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 159
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3374
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2428
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2413
Lose: Invader deck ran out 241
Lose: Adversary condition 1536
Win: Sacrifice victory 13
Lose: Scenario condition 83
Win: Scenario condition 78
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1142
Lose: Spirit destroyed 71

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.483 Win Model: -0.224

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.576 Win Model: 0.607
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6662 36.66% 32.49 70.02%
2 2661 38.89% 34.59 76.29%
3 1231 35.05% 34.94 80.02%
4 592 39.42% 42.84 80.24%
5 61 26.23% 36.25 77.05%
6 331 26.93% 49.45 79.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-09-29 02:31:34 (Pacific Time)