Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 159 19.5% 25.19 70.44% 0.395 0.7647 1.121
Blitz 0 597 21.65% 26.43 51.09% -0.487 -0.0552 0.143
Dahan Insurrection 4 762 13.52% 37.38 52.36% 0.114 0.0879 -0.231
Despicable Theft 2 176 32.95% 22.27 47.16% -0.977 -0.3179 -0.656
Elemental Invocation 1 268 29.96% 21.27 48.13% -0.257 0.1908 -0.579
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 2141 11.3% 35.36 55.63% 0.175 -0.4248 0.475
Powers Long Forgotten 1 214 35.98% 16.85 34.11% -0.485 0.1235 -0.65
Rituals of Terror 3 169 22.02% 36.46 62.72% 0.69 0.8141 1.824
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 71 40.85% 17.93 29.58% -0.248 0.4902 -0.273
Second Wave 0 1733 28.87% 25.63 67.57% 0.281 0.3873 1.523
The Great River 3 161 37.89% 20.73 31.06% -0.463 0.7121 -0.39
Varied Terrains 2 349 43.1% 23.49 46.99% -0.133 0.6037 -1.278
Ward the Shores 2 281 24.73% 19.62 38.79% -1.133 -0.4511 -0.433

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 33134 33.21% 22.7 49.27% -0.012 0.2125 0.761
1 Thematic 1067 27.17% 22.41 42.64% -0.856 -0.3053 0.273
2 Archipelago 84 35.71% 22.64 47.62% 0.574 0.2204 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 10200 36.24% 25.95 57.92% -0.019 0.0925 0.629
2 Coastline 1442 30.55% 27.09 61.51% -0.053 -0.142 1.191
2 Fragment 304 46.33% 25.02 57.89% 0.676 0.3371 1.493
2 Heart 207 44.39% 28.25 51.69% -0.167 -0.4945 0.245
2 Opposite Shores 2687 30.0% 25.91 59.58% 0.615 0.6516 0.332
2 Thematic 825 25.61% 24.13 47.15% 0.45 0.9788 -0.455
2 Top to Top 477 33.54% 28.81 58.07% 0.366 0.1594 0.306
3 Archipelago 54 48.15% 36.43 55.56% -0.791 -0.6908 0.991
3 Coastline 76 31.58% 24.91 59.21% 0.0 -0.5211 2.029
3 Other 227 30.32% 20.03 51.54% -0.434 -1.1764 0.348
3 Round (Default) 7831 35.0% 28.08 60.87% 0.108 0.0121 0.375
3 Sunrise 45 33.33% 22.02 55.56% 0.306 -0.4337 0.0
3 Thematic 317 42.27% 26.92 52.68% -0.013 0.2286 -0.767
4 Archipelago 61 36.07% 43.43 68.85% 0.872 0.9526 0.226
4 Coastline 34 32.35% 29.26 73.53% -0.334 -0.074 -0.503
4 Leaf 54 40.74% 29.19 50.0% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 211 32.86% 23.54 64.45% 1.321 0.7735 -0.131
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 34.5 50.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 361 28.81% 30.4 44.32% 0.457 0.9306 0.114
4 Trapezoid (Default) 4777 31.61% 28.03 52.96% -0.014 -0.2029 -0.113
5 Archipelago 11 27.27% 36.27 72.73% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 24 33.33% 31.21 83.33% 0.302 -0.3088 0.385
5 Other 589 28.82% 29.09 65.7% -0.022 -0.3483 -0.042
5 Thematic 67 37.31% 36.15 55.22% -0.714 -1.2043 0.046
6 Archipelago 41 15.0% 32.17 56.1% -0.469 -1.3947 -0.086
6 Coastline 17 14.29% 38.12 76.47% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 408 26.87% 24.43 46.81% -0.284 -0.0149 -1.663
6 Star 256 21.88% 28.92 54.69% -0.552 0.2441 -1.421
6 Thematic 973 14.24% 23.29 35.05% -0.779 -0.1989 -1.053
6 Two Centers (Default) 1156 23.09% 29.74 55.54% -0.209 -0.232 -2.2
7 Archipelago 18 16.67% 39.78 38.89% -0.012 0.3942 -0.746
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.255
7 Other 43 11.9% 18.16 34.88% -0.818 -1.0739 -0.909

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1261 28.31 43.22% -0.556 -0.2458 0.257
Aid From Lesser Spirits 1151 31.93 50.22% -0.699 -0.6854 1.075
All Things Weaken 1275 27.91 42.59% -0.023 0.4505 -0.076
Attenuated Essence 641 26.05 39.0% 0.304 0.4504 0.653
Back Against the Wall 1108 31.78 50.27% 0.038 0.1679 0.62
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 628 25.29 34.39% 0.111 0.4308 0.06
Burn Brightest Before the End 537 29.78 44.13% 0.227 0.4035 0.088
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1279 25.93 41.83% -0.817 -0.4369 0.453
Downward Spiral 1576 26.08 45.3% -0.084 0.1097 0.509
Erosion of Will 1282 27.46 40.33% -0.657 -0.3195 0.367
Intensifying Exploitation 626 24.71 37.7% 0.285 0.6374 0.225
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 561 30.92 58.29% 0.471 0.1079 0.742
Memory Fades to Dust 1583 24.56 44.09% 0.154 0.4836 0.192
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1319 27.44 44.43% 0.308 0.575 0.602
Promising Farmlands 1261 26.74 42.11% -0.681 -0.233 0.013
Shattered Fragments of Power 477 29.08 44.86% 0.244 0.2433 0.646
Slow Dissolution of Will 631 24.63 34.23% -0.708 -0.2973 0.563
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 399 31.56 66.17% 0.647 0.0888 0.449
The Border of Life and Death 170 23.2 46.47% -0.329 -0.5744 0.264
Thriving Communities 1302 26.22 41.86% -0.255 0.0226 0.729
Thriving Crops 330 24.28 42.73% -0.035 -0.1305 -0.277
Unnatural Proliferation 1374 30.69 46.65% -0.362 -0.157 0.955
Untended Land Crumbles 1319 25.35 38.06% -0.664 -0.3644 0.199

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 19459 33.47% 25.72 53.26% 0.47 1.4615 0.065
B 16256 32.72% 26.12 55.26% 0.029 0.8946 0.014
C 19915 32.06% 25.8 54.1% 0.132 0.8836 0.155
D 15539 31.26% 25.05 55.1% 0.301 1.2459 0.156
E 14064 32.01% 26.66 55.92% 0.262 1.0164 0.303
F 13438 33.52% 26.05 55.64% -0.001 0.8739 0.315
G 12129 33.93% 26.23 56.01% -0.177 0.6858 0.385
H 12573 32.53% 26.49 56.59% 0.438 1.2451 0.389
East 3091 24.15% 25.27 43.45% 0.888 1.6335 0.077
Northeast 2087 22.38% 25.16 41.4% -0.538 0.3549 -1.084
Northwest 1823 22.03% 24.21 39.11% -0.05 0.6928 0.014
Southeast 1687 22.2% 25.24 41.26% -0.757 0.2515 -0.078
Southwest 1499 20.32% 23.25 38.76% -0.166 0.9903 -0.566
West 2616 24.64% 24.06 41.4% -0.83 0.1523 -0.205

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 996 0.0% 15.2 52.01% -1.203 -0.4835 -0.237
Not Using Events or Tokens 1931 23.38% 17.75 54.27% 0.31 0.784 -0.714
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1710 10.69% 37.36 65.67% 1.274 0.4687 0.25
Start of Game Growth 2512 14.9% 33.6 60.99% 0.13 -0.4364 0.706
Unlimited Undo 6969 27.11% 27.28 55.27% 0.116 0.1432 0.522
Using Tokens but Not Events 6799 18.72% 21.66 61.52% 0.642 0.6148 0.403

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3677 24.5% 29.28 60.13% 0.166 -0.2515 -0.683
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1208 22.81% 27.36 40.73% 0.889 0.2333 -0.037
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 45 46.34% 26.04 55.56% -0.295 -0.4531 0.233
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 258 19.84% 29.08 61.24% 0.687 -0.1737 0.106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 824 38.71% 20.29 46.48% -0.601 -0.4637 -0.115
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 489 31.35% 23.28 43.15% 0.503 -0.5267 0.548
Dances Up Earthquakes 593 29.9% 22.32 46.88% -0.261 -0.2976 0.232
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1357 26.24% 22.45 57.26% -0.108 -0.4628 -0.471
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2348 26.55% 25.05 55.88% 0.398 -0.173 0.403
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1610 25.22% 27.64 68.45% 0.427 -0.219 0.765
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1484 26.45% 24.36 60.31% 0.092 -0.4023 -0.456
Finder of Paths Unseen 2196 28.39% 24.51 53.69% -0.385 0.2029 -0.001
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1519 23.0% 30.1 47.6% -0.797 -0.3503 0.022
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1350 35.14% 24.65 54.89% -0.281 -0.4663 -0.392
Heart of the Wildfire 1913 41.5% 21.42 49.71% -0.29 -0.1472 0.027
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 3114 25.95% 30.39 64.39% -0.117 -0.7918 0.335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 530 26.0% 25.75 51.89% 0.081 -0.4467 -0.124
Lightning's Swift Strike 920 35.61% 23.17 64.57% 0.105 0.1372 -1.485
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1018 40.06% 32.18 65.03% 0.84 0.1874 0.059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 403 31.84% 25.05 54.84% -0.453 -0.9487 0.557
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1697 36.17% 36.24 51.03% 0.1 -0.1397 0.082
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2321 35.12% 27.95 55.88% 0.152 -0.2744 0.21
Many Minds Move as One 1228 28.92% 28.13 61.56% -0.228 -0.7369 0.193
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2975 28.13% 28.37 55.63% -0.038 -0.3079 0.326
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 639 33.49% 25.86 51.33% -0.261 -0.3752 -0.389
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 1235 30.42% 24.88 59.76% 0.77 0.476 0.154
River Surges in Sunlight 1261 29.79% 25.31 59.56% -0.028 -0.1992 -0.056
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 274 31.84% 29.49 52.55% -0.527 -0.6379 0.384
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 890 25.88% 25.27 50.45% 0.445 0.3798 -0.848
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 2290 36.16% 35.75 53.49% 0.136 0.006 -0.072
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3001 24.97% 30.16 52.22% 0.328 0.064 0.084
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 255 29.53% 23.78 46.67% -0.659 -1.0899 -0.866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 246 45.68% 21.74 65.85% -1.296 -0.8676 0.386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 248 33.18% 25.02 66.94% 0.381 0.3854 0.695
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 313 36.74% 29.43 60.7% -0.061 -0.8134 0.256
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 286 41.43% 28.81 61.19% -0.147 -0.4656 0.409
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 143 37.32% 22.71 55.94% 0.301 0.1221 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 121 36.44% 23.3 63.64% 0.0 -0.0428 0.354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 930 26.62% 29.0 64.19% 0.054 -0.312 -0.08
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 23 43.48% 33.0 78.26% 0.541 0.0005 -0.221
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 654 27.83% 27.42 56.42% -0.233 -0.4775 0.379
Shifting Memory of Ages 1439 31.11% 26.77 48.3% -0.115 0.1792 -0.208
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 789 26.14% 28.44 47.91% 0.852 0.6892 0.398
Shroud of Silent Mist 1346 36.46% 21.77 54.61% -0.868 -0.6862 -0.429
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 57 32.14% 27.89 64.91% 0.275 -0.1353 -0.792
Starlight Seeks its Form 3647 32.48% 32.6 54.18% 0.26 0.0175 -0.092
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2001 31.78% 25.53 52.57% 0.226 -0.7257 -0.537
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1072 29.27% 26.78 60.07% 0.316 0.3582 0.512
Thunderspeaker 1297 31.25% 28.95 59.52% -0.078 -0.2727 -0.389
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 364 30.49% 23.24 51.92% -0.055 -0.2231 1.545
Towering Roots of the Jungle 709 31.16% 23.7 50.21% -0.864 -0.9753 -0.018
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1138 49.65% 24.73 52.37% -0.203 -0.3541 0.101
Vital Strength of the Earth 521 31.36% 21.44 61.42% 0.085 0.4436 0.419
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1169 24.11% 26.64 46.88% -0.725 -0.482 -0.352
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 247 32.65% 20.58 44.53% 0.113 0.7942 -0.354
Volcano Looming High 1889 40.16% 25.77 54.31% 0.12 -0.2045 0.399
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1021 27.77% 24.29 54.95% 0.304 -0.2133 -0.428

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dark Skies Loose a Stinging Rain 87.99%
Foundations Sink Into Mud 92.64%
Gift of Abundance 91.76%
Unbearable Deluge 96.94%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 22453 12.25 2.83%
II 17449 29.91 55.79%
III 17518 34.94 85.92%
IV 10674 38.9 99.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 14897
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 9337
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 10602
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18284
Lose: Invader deck ran out 1034
Lose: Adversary condition 6549
Win: Sacrifice victory 95
Lose: Scenario condition 394
Win: Scenario condition 508
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 5397
Lose: Spirit destroyed 361

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.844 Win Model: -0.161

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.105 Win Model: -0.032
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 34425 32.94% 22.62 48.92%
2 16161 34.58% 26.2 58.14%
3 8498 35.17% 27.97 60.5%
4 5476 31.49% 28.06 53.14%
5 663 30.14% 29.67 63.2%
6 2871 20.06% 26.82 47.61%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)