Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 112 18.75% 25.62 72.32% 0.884 0.3261 -0.493
Blitz 0 465 23.33% 29.0 50.75% -0.701 -0.2782 -0.026
Dahan Insurrection 4 582 14.78% 38.14 52.92% -0.663 -1.1452 0.624
Despicable Theft 2 117 33.33% 24.75 50.43% 0.044 0.5866 0.309
Elemental Invocation 1 187 27.96% 21.52 47.59% 0.268 1.0054 -1.456
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1622 11.6% 36.39 56.72% 0.652 -0.0049 0.776
Powers Long Forgotten 1 133 42.11% 19.5 39.85% -0.581 -0.0188 -0.348
Rituals of Terror 3 119 21.85% 32.92 61.34% -0.523 -0.6648 0.008
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 51 39.22% 16.14 25.49% -0.293 0.4563 -0.564
Second Wave 0 1258 30.16% 25.42 67.49% 0.209 0.3038 0.483
The Great River 3 118 41.53% 20.48 30.51% -0.578 0.6673 -1.607
Varied Terrains 2 285 43.51% 23.84 49.47% -0.537 0.3315 -0.463
Ward the Shores 2 195 27.46% 19.49 38.46% 0.035 0.8895 -1.588

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24011 33.7% 24.04 52.08% 0.017 0.3907 0.54
1 Thematic 758 29.06% 23.84 45.25% -0.169 0.5454 0.197
2 Archipelago 58 39.66% 24.34 43.1% 0.497 1.0203 -0.883
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 7302 36.08% 26.92 60.63% 0.389 0.5504 0.426
2 Coastline 1071 30.39% 27.44 64.33% 0.18 -0.0128 0.989
2 Fragment 228 46.46% 26.62 59.21% 0.199 0.151 1.579
2 Heart 172 43.53% 29.94 54.07% 0.818 0.6061 0.474
2 Opposite Shores 1924 31.05% 26.54 61.49% -0.017 0.1155 0.195
2 Thematic 648 25.19% 25.07 48.92% 0.081 0.8015 -0.18
2 Top to Top 354 33.71% 30.6 62.43% 0.513 0.4289 0.661
3 Archipelago 41 48.78% 35.0 60.98% 0.0 -0.5435 -0.207
3 Coastline 54 33.33% 19.74 51.85% 1.044 0.4134 0.278
3 Other 168 29.7% 20.98 54.76% 0.569 -0.3075 0.983
3 Round (Default) 5738 34.38% 28.47 60.81% 0.214 0.1909 0.167
3 Sunrise 26 30.77% 23.96 53.85% 0.384 -0.0626 0.0
3 Thematic 223 39.91% 29.26 57.85% 0.145 0.1529 0.46
4 Archipelago 47 31.91% 43.66 61.7% 0.0 -0.1516 0.622
4 Coastline 27 22.22% 29.19 77.78% 0.178 0.3075 0.885
4 Leaf 41 36.59% 27.9 43.9% -0.951 -0.5157 -1.603
4 Other 139 31.16% 22.42 63.31% 1.001 0.4333 1.307
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 34.5 50.0% 0.0 0.446 0.301
4 Thematic 257 33.07% 30.85 43.58% -0.41 -0.3469 -0.794
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3363 32.66% 28.48 53.79% -0.485 -0.4795 -1.091
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 38.6 60.0% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.405
5 Coastline 16 31.25% 26.38 75.0% 0.0 -1.0209 -0.627
5 Other 434 25.87% 27.63 66.82% -0.334 -0.658 -1.009
5 Thematic 42 50.0% 43.24 59.52% -0.167 -0.3101 -0.091
6 Archipelago 28 11.11% 33.96 64.29% 0.0 -1.0381 -0.976
6 Coastline 16 15.38% 38.63 75.0% 0.0 -1.0581 -0.159
6 Other 298 25.6% 24.94 46.31% -1.353 -1.3979 -2.58
6 Star 176 23.3% 31.85 60.8% -0.081 0.5519 -1.302
6 Thematic 768 13.32% 23.09 34.64% -1.08 -0.876 -2.307
6 Two Centers (Default) 754 19.84% 33.96 63.0% -0.568 -0.0939 -1.403
7 Archipelago 12 16.67% 40.92 41.67% -0.473 -0.7969 -0.516
7 Other 28 14.81% 18.07 42.86% -0.164 -0.8394 -0.387

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 930 30.34 45.7% 0.288 0.3586 0.385
Aid From Lesser Spirits 868 32.85 51.27% 0.034 -0.0763 0.468
All Things Weaken 961 29.66 45.27% -0.259 -0.0821 0.386
Attenuated Essence 379 26.93 36.94% -0.14 -0.0879 0.048
Back Against the Wall 862 32.71 51.97% 0.223 0.207 0.547
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 398 24.99 32.66% -0.103 0.0812 -0.564
Burn Brightest Before the End 338 29.48 44.97% 0.382 0.4691 -0.143
Disintegrating Ecosystem 956 26.72 43.83% 0.014 0.3053 0.123
Downward Spiral 1162 27.23 46.56% 0.195 0.3007 0.32
Erosion of Will 940 28.51 42.23% -0.489 -0.3235 0.151
Intensifying Exploitation 392 25.22 37.76% -0.213 -0.0247 -0.24
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 406 32.05 59.85% -0.022 -0.4499 0.39
Memory Fades to Dust 1140 24.92 43.16% -0.374 -0.1394 -0.064
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1013 27.98 45.9% -0.108 -0.0124 0.176
Promising Farmlands 978 27.53 43.15% -0.442 -0.0776 0.071
Shattered Fragments of Power 308 29.18 44.48% 0.412 0.4778 -0.327
Slow Dissolution of Will 399 23.84 33.58% -0.31 0.1533 -0.357
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 319 32.36 68.34% 0.069 -0.5322 0.823
The Border of Life and Death 103 23.56 49.51% 0.243 -0.233 -0.371
Thriving Communities 969 27.1 43.03% -0.379 -0.1537 0.07
Thriving Crops 214 25.29 40.19% -0.564 -0.7886 -0.364
Unnatural Proliferation 1051 31.39 48.05% 0.003 0.1248 0.18
Untended Land Crumbles 998 26.08 38.48% -0.243 -0.011 0.056

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 14071 33.58% 26.74 55.31% 0.119 1.0378 0.341
B 11653 32.9% 27.16 57.25% 0.135 0.976 0.33
C 14476 32.17% 26.65 56.09% 0.016 0.6989 0.289
D 11100 30.99% 25.99 56.95% 0.22 1.0629 0.052
E 10057 32.08% 27.74 58.37% 0.137 0.7884 0.409
F 9513 33.42% 27.05 57.88% 0.315 1.0744 0.346
G 8692 33.83% 27.12 58.0% 0.365 1.123 0.34
H 8988 32.36% 27.33 58.56% 0.271 0.9899 0.537
East 2316 24.31% 26.07 44.56% -0.395 0.4189 -0.489
Northeast 1602 22.06% 25.52 42.01% 0.049 0.7167 -0.096
Northwest 1390 21.74% 24.39 39.5% 0.249 1.0542 -0.761
Southeast 1289 22.28% 25.64 40.65% 0.459 1.165 -0.12
Southwest 1154 20.19% 23.63 38.91% -1.356 0.0334 -0.937
West 1971 24.63% 24.7 42.52% -0.606 0.1872 -0.31

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 658 0.0% 14.66 51.98% -0.638 0.0808 -0.99
Not Using Events or Tokens 1205 21.4% 17.44 55.02% 0.092 0.5773 -0.648
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1249 12.1% 39.09 66.69% 1.139 0.4084 1.621
Start of Game Growth 1814 15.32% 34.5 61.58% -0.414 -0.8599 -0.537
Unlimited Undo 5396 27.21% 27.97 56.71% 0.064 0.0305 0.513
Using Tokens but Not Events 4925 18.32% 21.78 63.27% 0.104 -0.0586 -0.053

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3011 24.05% 30.65 61.44% -0.109 -0.2159 0.547
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 650 19.72% 21.97 32.62% 0.273 -0.2151 -0.601
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 641 37.74% 21.23 46.8% -0.177 -0.0333 -0.387
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 338 28.7% 22.91 41.42% -0.137 -0.8858 -0.243
Dances Up Earthquakes 164 18.9% 12.43 26.83% -0.615 -0.7916 0.343
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 974 25.92% 22.94 58.21% 0.236 0.0288 -1.015
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1713 26.0% 24.5 54.12% 0.668 0.2275 -0.112
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1159 25.61% 28.09 71.1% 0.703 0.36 0.577
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1040 26.93% 26.08 64.62% -0.128 -0.4821 -0.142
Finder of Paths Unseen 1781 28.28% 26.06 57.16% -1.245 -0.4609 0.598
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1080 22.16% 30.08 47.87% -0.561 -0.1125 -0.145
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1024 35.46% 26.0 57.23% 0.641 0.6177 0.062
Heart of the Wildfire 1403 41.63% 21.99 51.75% -0.382 -0.0555 -0.785
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2369 26.22% 31.13 66.82% 0.532 0.0363 0.681
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 363 24.24% 24.71 51.79% 0.17 -0.3931 -0.545
Lightning's Swift Strike 687 34.73% 24.29 66.67% 0.927 1.1251 0.165
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 770 38.2% 32.99 67.01% 0.244 -0.2036 0.379
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 304 29.7% 26.01 56.91% -0.879 -1.1987 0.451
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1190 36.92% 37.67 51.34% 0.861 0.9853 0.497
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1708 35.78% 29.18 57.49% -0.265 -0.4213 -0.199
Many Minds Move as One 881 28.28% 29.47 62.09% -0.257 -0.464 0.287
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2403 27.25% 29.1 55.85% 0.037 0.166 0.42
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 90 21.35% 22.86 45.56% -0.166 -0.0607 0.263
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 875 29.63% 25.37 61.03% 0.519 0.4697 0.142
River Surges in Sunlight 965 30.16% 26.53 60.21% 0.039 0.0726 -0.381
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 143 34.53% 31.37 49.65% 0.134 0.3426 0.235
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 701 24.86% 25.39 52.64% 0.19 0.3408 -0.4
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1656 37.33% 36.77 54.77% -0.138 -0.129 -0.043
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2288 23.48% 30.08 52.71% -0.077 -0.1764 -0.116
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 26 38.46% 32.08 57.69% 0.508 0.0166 0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 161 46.58% 21.73 65.22% -0.649 -0.1374 -1.033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 184 33.91% 25.78 69.02% -0.002 -0.0452 0.388
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 191 32.98% 30.69 62.83% 0.228 -0.2202 0.964
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 242 39.92% 29.9 64.05% 0.424 0.4826 0.21
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 105 40.38% 24.35 59.05% -0.349 -0.5393 0.048
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 86 34.94% 20.23 59.3% -0.378 -0.2948 -1.226
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 745 26.95% 30.46 67.25% -0.183 -0.2809 0.529
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 447 30.87% 28.06 58.17% -0.532 -0.7266 0.063
Shifting Memory of Ages 1209 30.72% 26.82 49.13% 0.566 0.956 -0.67
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 376 22.87% 25.28 42.29% 0.191 0.1391 0.375
Shroud of Silent Mist 963 35.74% 22.6 54.93% 0.323 0.737 -0.511
Starlight Seeks its Form 2641 31.71% 33.85 56.42% -0.281 -0.3213 0.474
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1515 30.8% 25.88 53.14% -0.587 -1.0893 -0.206
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 748 29.31% 28.83 64.04% 0.597 0.6802 0.314
Thunderspeaker 904 31.98% 30.93 63.94% 0.553 0.5477 0.32
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 240 32.5% 20.66 47.92% -0.19 0.1991 -0.244
Towering Roots of the Jungle 412 28.05% 21.23 47.33% -0.247 -0.0362 -0.124
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 784 52.9% 25.88 52.93% -0.363 -0.2856 0.212
Vital Strength of the Earth 343 27.55% 22.54 66.76% -0.127 0.3223 0.619
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 937 24.12% 27.94 48.99% 0.13 0.6241 0.353
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 186 35.87% 22.92 48.92% 0.024 0.7165 -0.836
Volcano Looming High 1384 41.65% 26.51 55.64% -0.626 -0.5618 -0.236
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 677 27.49% 26.28 59.23% 0.122 -0.127 -0.066

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dark Skies Loose a Stinging Rain 88.27%
Foundations Sink Into Mud 92.97%
Gift of Abundance 91.65%
Unbearable Deluge 96.89%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15359 14.25 3.16%
II 12797 30.3 57.87%
III 13057 34.84 86.28%
IV 8025 38.61 99.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 486
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 11150
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7109
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 7976
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11758
Lose: Invader deck ran out 809
Lose: Adversary condition 4953
Win: Sacrifice victory 62
Lose: Scenario condition 293
Win: Scenario condition 383
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3994
Lose: Spirit destroyed 265

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.891 Win Model: -0.163

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.092 Win Model: 0.168
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 24922 33.49% 23.99 51.76%
2 11701 34.54% 27.09 60.6%
3 6233 34.53% 28.34 60.53%
4 3866 32.45% 28.47 53.72%
5 468 28.73% 28.46 63.25%
6 2048 18.17% 28.5 50.24%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)