Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 95 20.0% 24.46 69.47% 0.48 0.2594 -0.438
Blitz 0 360 21.74% 31.74 57.5% -0.255 0.0312 0.048
Dahan Insurrection 4 485 13.61% 38.65 53.81% 0.231 0.116 0.436
Despicable Theft 2 106 33.02% 24.96 50.94% 0.633 1.3715 0.305
Elemental Invocation 1 170 28.4% 20.36 45.29% 0.021 0.7771 -1.964
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1378 11.47% 37.08 57.91% 1.037 0.4549 0.692
Powers Long Forgotten 1 112 41.96% 19.72 41.07% -0.232 0.622 -0.669
Rituals of Terror 3 90 22.22% 36.99 68.89% 0.033 -0.1376 0.04
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 42 38.1% 16.57 26.19% -0.694 0.2168 -0.664
Second Wave 0 1000 29.52% 25.88 69.4% 0.007 0.0866 0.597
The Great River 3 89 37.08% 19.97 26.97% -1.142 0.2214 -1.436
Varied Terrains 2 251 43.82% 23.75 51.79% -0.853 0.0267 -0.304
Ward the Shores 2 170 28.57% 19.78 38.24% -0.623 0.3586 -1.648

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 20429 34.21% 24.87 53.43% 0.068 0.4118 0.543
1 Thematic 635 29.92% 24.33 45.2% 0.168 0.6953 0.16
2 Archipelago 50 38.0% 24.38 42.0% -0.013 0.486 -1.01
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 6250 36.16% 27.31 61.38% 0.2 0.484 0.462
2 Coastline 945 31.59% 28.45 66.35% 0.366 0.395 1.015
2 Fragment 195 47.67% 26.42 58.46% 0.995 0.7573 1.578
2 Heart 151 46.98% 30.69 54.97% 0.785 0.637 0.541
2 Opposite Shores 1607 30.67% 27.18 63.47% 0.32 0.3794 0.31
2 Thematic 542 25.51% 24.89 49.63% 0.184 0.5542 0.079
2 Top to Top 307 34.31% 31.15 63.19% 0.643 0.7666 0.879
3 Archipelago 37 51.35% 34.3 59.46% -0.161 -0.9588 -0.478
3 Coastline 52 34.62% 20.5 53.85% 0.609 0.0603 0.265
3 Other 152 28.19% 21.34 55.92% 0.436 -0.1015 1.007
3 Round (Default) 4724 35.3% 29.55 62.98% 0.145 0.0523 0.247
3 Sunrise 21 38.1% 19.71 42.86% -0.736 -0.5854 0.0
3 Thematic 190 36.84% 29.09 60.0% 0.934 0.4155 0.185
4 Archipelago 44 27.27% 40.16 59.09% -0.335 0.0975 0.196
4 Coastline 19 10.53% 30.84 89.47% 0.0 -0.7601 0.632
4 Leaf 27 37.04% 34.33 55.56% 0.0 -0.2114 -1.105
4 Other 123 32.79% 22.46 63.41% -0.35 -0.3419 1.085
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 34.5 50.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.304
4 Thematic 230 33.91% 31.52 44.35% -0.589 -0.4559 -1.084
4 Trapezoid (Default) 2725 33.95% 29.8 56.84% -0.351 -0.2437 -0.914
5 Archipelago 5 60.0% 38.6 60.0% 0.0 0.168 -0.297
5 Coastline 9 0.0% 25.56 66.67% 0.281 -0.2259 -0.621
5 Other 349 25.29% 27.61 66.76% -0.701 -1.2158 -0.896
5 Thematic 41 48.78% 43.98 60.98% 0.0 -0.9822 0.031
6 Archipelago 17 18.75% 33.18 58.82% -0.068 -0.798 -0.878
6 Coastline 15 16.67% 36.6 73.33% 0.229 -0.8103 -0.201
6 Other 209 28.02% 28.6 56.94% -0.739 -0.1044 -1.927
6 Star 139 25.9% 33.32 61.87% -0.48 -0.2349 -1.06
6 Thematic 629 15.32% 23.94 36.25% -2.017 -1.6941 -1.988
6 Two Centers (Default) 636 20.0% 34.77 64.94% -0.358 -0.4619 -1.535
7 Archipelago 10 10.0% 49.1 50.0% -0.559 0.0328 -0.525
7 Other 19 16.67% 25.58 57.89% 0.38 -1.057 -0.29

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 810 31.06 45.68% -0.589 -0.4851 0.324
Aid From Lesser Spirits 766 33.07 51.31% 0.037 -0.1079 0.359
All Things Weaken 847 30.09 46.64% -0.321 0.0451 0.332
Attenuated Essence 302 25.99 35.1% -0.455 -0.457 -0.165
Back Against the Wall 769 32.56 51.37% -0.134 -0.0684 0.473
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 315 24.37 31.43% -0.269 -0.0339 -0.599
Burn Brightest Before the End 258 29.02 42.64% -0.164 -0.0031 -0.405
Disintegrating Ecosystem 855 27.17 43.74% -0.441 -0.0653 0.045
Downward Spiral 1024 27.63 47.07% -0.029 0.043 0.258
Erosion of Will 832 29.25 42.79% 0.098 0.3544 0.056
Intensifying Exploitation 311 25.69 36.98% -0.488 -0.214 -0.273
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 368 32.74 61.41% -0.164 -0.6502 0.401
Memory Fades to Dust 966 25.33 44.0% -0.579 -0.3964 -0.21
Power Corrodes the Spirit 875 28.45 46.4% 0.085 0.2975 0.082
Promising Farmlands 851 28.04 43.71% -0.25 0.0725 0.072
Shattered Fragments of Power 238 29.16 43.28% -0.163 0.0077 -0.451
Slow Dissolution of Will 304 23.85 33.22% -0.159 0.2245 -0.553
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 277 32.95 68.95% 0.537 -0.1395 0.778
The Border of Life and Death 85 21.98 48.24% 0.114 -0.4018 -0.625
Thriving Communities 854 27.37 44.03% -0.241 0.0828 -0.032
Thriving Crops 162 25.91 38.89% 0.176 0.1774 -0.49
Unnatural Proliferation 922 31.69 48.26% 0.461 0.6479 0.137
Untended Land Crumbles 862 26.57 39.1% -0.356 -0.0174 -0.018

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 11756 34.59% 27.71 57.13% 0.073 0.9362 0.314
B 9761 33.69% 27.91 58.75% 0.237 1.0577 0.298
C 12038 32.97% 27.69 58.36% 0.178 0.8758 0.336
D 9267 31.5% 26.83 58.76% -0.184 0.6726 0.065
E 8388 32.48% 28.73 60.47% 0.206 0.8946 0.449
F 7879 34.37% 27.99 59.86% 0.164 0.9814 0.335
G 7307 34.11% 27.83 59.63% 0.257 1.1376 0.332
H 7515 32.8% 27.99 60.27% 0.367 1.1476 0.431
East 1946 25.57% 26.6 45.53% -0.069 0.7236 -0.511
Northeast 1349 23.3% 26.11 43.29% 0.036 0.9165 -0.052
Northwest 1164 22.51% 25.05 41.07% -0.609 0.2626 -0.828
Southeast 1079 23.83% 26.39 41.8% -0.038 0.8207 -0.282
Southwest 959 21.79% 24.32 40.88% -0.85 0.359 -0.796
West 1654 25.23% 25.11 43.83% 0.21 1.2707 -0.147

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 421 0.0% 15.54 54.39% -0.128 0.5878 -0.724
Not Using Events or Tokens 970 19.93% 17.88 56.08% -0.312 0.1624 -0.506
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1050 12.55% 40.64 69.24% 0.907 0.3401 1.545
Start of Game Growth 1537 15.12% 35.66 63.63% -0.075 -0.7395 -0.456
Unlimited Undo 4523 28.42% 29.02 58.88% 0.299 0.3223 0.434
Using Tokens but Not Events 4022 17.74% 21.92 65.04% 0.032 0.0796 -0.172

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 2690 24.41% 31.72 63.49% -0.032 -0.2282 0.596
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 235 20.85% 21.65 31.06% 0.1 -0.6148 -0.677
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 563 40.58% 22.59 48.13% -0.397 -0.1288 -0.455
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 236 28.39% 23.33 44.07% -0.539 -1.1061 -0.011
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 823 26.3% 22.92 59.66% -0.085 -0.2156 -0.904
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1458 26.09% 23.9 52.19% -0.057 -0.4889 -0.133
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1019 25.15% 28.11 72.03% 0.61 0.1869 0.693
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 884 27.21% 26.51 66.29% -0.173 -0.6182 -0.179
Finder of Paths Unseen 1584 28.46% 27.47 60.98% -0.911 -0.2543 0.707
Fractured Days Split the Sky 873 23.96% 33.95 54.3% 0.027 0.8348 0.195
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 855 35.05% 26.4 58.6% -0.116 -0.2338 -0.042
Heart of the Wildfire 1155 43.11% 23.05 52.38% -0.504 -0.2165 -0.647
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2039 26.91% 31.67 67.29% 0.096 -0.2966 0.621
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 238 21.43% 23.65 48.74% -0.901 -1.3056 -0.758
Lightning's Swift Strike 572 36.62% 25.0 68.18% -0.024 0.2431 0.221
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 668 40.64% 34.24 69.46% 0.98 0.6284 0.435
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 266 27.92% 27.11 60.15% 0.509 0.0678 0.712
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 999 35.84% 38.15 52.45% 0.266 0.2229 0.505
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1472 37.06% 29.57 58.36% -0.446 -0.6966 -0.24
Many Minds Move as One 716 28.05% 30.73 64.94% 0.183 -0.0473 0.126
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2005 28.25% 30.19 58.0% -0.204 -0.3082 0.422
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 751 30.48% 25.16 61.25% 0.022 -0.1336 0.125
River Surges in Sunlight 801 31.51% 27.95 63.55% -0.268 -0.179 -0.301
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 45 33.33% 42.6 64.44% 0.751 0.639 1.302
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 612 23.32% 25.53 54.08% 0.465 0.8548 -0.288
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1453 37.15% 36.78 55.54% -0.291 -0.1532 0.023
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 1894 24.42% 32.05 56.12% 0.059 -0.1346 0.01
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 143 47.55% 21.67 67.13% 0.223 0.709 -0.897
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 158 37.18% 26.59 70.89% -0.084 -0.0284 0.296
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 125 31.2% 31.65 63.2% 0.858 0.3892 1.003
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 219 42.59% 29.76 63.47% 0.356 0.5721 0.075
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 96 41.05% 24.23 59.38% -0.632 -0.6032 -0.238
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 75 31.94% 19.21 60.0% 0.121 0.2927 -1.199
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 656 29.04% 31.15 68.45% 0.506 0.3536 0.657
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 322 31.68% 30.58 63.35% 0.832 0.6328 0.315
Shifting Memory of Ages 1113 31.31% 27.08 49.24% 0.131 0.5801 -0.773
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 166 28.31% 25.52 42.17% 0.088 -0.217 0.257
Shroud of Silent Mist 812 37.08% 22.89 55.54% -0.097 0.2388 -0.558
Starlight Seeks its Form 2187 32.11% 35.87 60.49% -0.114 -0.1687 0.418
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1227 32.38% 26.74 56.15% -0.003 -0.6262 -0.089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 620 29.85% 28.91 64.19% 0.473 0.6671 0.401
Thunderspeaker 764 32.98% 30.19 63.35% 0.173 0.1196 0.105
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 198 34.34% 21.21 47.98% 0.094 0.2285 -0.259
Towering Roots of the Jungle 174 28.49% 20.78 42.53% -0.555 -0.5455 -0.535
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 662 54.63% 26.47 53.93% 0.239 0.3221 0.22
Vital Strength of the Earth 295 27.24% 23.06 68.47% -0.576 0.018 0.616
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 811 26.27% 28.7 50.43% -0.361 0.0783 0.218
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 149 38.1% 22.26 49.66% -0.88 -0.1888 -1.245
Volcano Looming High 1174 41.71% 27.69 58.77% 0.073 0.1767 -0.207
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 515 27.98% 26.33 59.22% 0.337 0.0851 -0.142

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dark Skies Loose a Stinging Rain 88.12%
Foundations Sink Into Mud 92.97%
Gift of Abundance 91.39%
Unbearable Deluge 96.84%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12311 15.45 3.49%
II 10978 30.45 58.42%
III 11288 34.8 86.37%
IV 6966 38.47 99.81%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 430
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9652
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6158
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 6926
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8944
Lose: Invader deck ran out 711
Lose: Adversary condition 4354
Win: Sacrifice victory 54
Lose: Scenario condition 253
Win: Scenario condition 326
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3497
Lose: Spirit destroyed 238

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.907 Win Model: -0.156

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.126 Win Model: 0.301
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 21188 34.02% 24.81 53.09%
2 10004 34.77% 27.54 61.63%
3 5165 35.23% 29.22 62.46%
4 3161 33.55% 29.8 56.69%
5 375 28.11% 28.6 61.87%
6 1650 19.47% 29.99 53.52%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)