Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 127 19.69% 25.12 72.44% 0.497 0.6879 -0.469
Blitz 0 499 22.93% 28.37 50.9% -0.364 -0.1467 -0.053
Dahan Insurrection 4 652 13.96% 38.28 53.07% 0.062 -0.1909 0.656
Despicable Theft 2 135 32.59% 24.02 50.37% 0.19 0.7758 0.111
Elemental Invocation 1 203 27.72% 21.1 47.29% -0.438 0.301 -1.557
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1762 11.36% 36.07 56.64% 0.601 0.0398 0.752
Powers Long Forgotten 1 161 39.75% 17.98 36.02% -1.209 -0.4495 -0.701
Rituals of Terror 3 129 21.71% 32.43 58.91% -0.602 -0.4817 0.201
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 61 42.62% 18.39 31.15% 0.735 1.6424 -0.534
Second Wave 0 1410 29.96% 25.39 67.45% 0.363 0.5017 0.71
The Great River 3 128 40.63% 19.48 28.91% -1.755 -0.6546 -1.506
Varied Terrains 2 300 42.33% 23.83 49.33% -0.016 0.7597 -0.366
Ward the Shores 2 216 27.57% 20.79 41.67% 0.71 1.7849 -1.593

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 27109 33.55% 23.48 50.88% 0.014 0.3466 0.616
1 Thematic 838 28.91% 23.72 45.58% 0.36 1.0455 0.247
2 Archipelago 74 40.54% 22.66 44.59% 0.491 1.0986 -0.814
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 8196 36.34% 26.56 59.52% 0.148 0.2681 0.477
2 Coastline 1168 30.22% 27.0 63.18% 0.356 0.2841 1.023
2 Fragment 252 46.8% 26.19 59.92% 0.928 0.7433 1.534
2 Heart 189 43.32% 29.54 53.97% 0.151 -0.0062 0.557
2 Opposite Shores 2167 30.88% 25.87 59.99% -0.001 0.15 0.232
2 Thematic 686 24.82% 25.05 49.27% 0.832 1.3402 -0.127
2 Top to Top 397 33.67% 30.06 60.96% 0.166 0.1075 0.53
3 Archipelago 44 50.0% 35.14 61.36% -0.33 -1.2816 0.117
3 Coastline 61 31.15% 20.03 52.46% 0.734 0.324 0.369
3 Other 184 30.39% 20.64 53.8% 0.454 -0.3176 1.002
3 Round (Default) 6414 34.73% 28.36 61.16% 0.561 0.4702 0.206
3 Sunrise 39 33.33% 21.77 53.85% 0.475 0.3795 0.247
3 Thematic 253 40.32% 28.36 56.13% -0.396 -0.3758 0.477
4 Archipelago 50 30.0% 43.02 64.0% 0.469 -0.0606 0.61
4 Coastline 31 29.03% 30.42 77.42% -0.25 -0.3355 0.587
4 Leaf 48 37.5% 28.88 47.92% -0.08 -0.2411 -1.631
4 Other 164 32.52% 22.66 64.02% 0.331 -0.3802 1.27
4 Reverse Snake 2 50.0% 34.5 50.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.292
4 Thematic 292 31.85% 29.44 41.78% -0.604 -0.4808 -0.736
4 Trapezoid (Default) 3837 32.43% 28.45 53.69% -0.389 -0.3919 -0.986
5 Archipelago 6 50.0% 32.17 50.0% -0.247 -0.2776 -0.792
5 Coastline 19 42.11% 29.0 78.95% 0.528 0.3824 -0.618
5 Other 481 25.21% 27.49 65.9% -0.038 -0.5515 -1.003
5 Thematic 53 45.28% 37.55 50.94% -0.774 -0.8308 -0.311
6 Archipelago 29 14.29% 33.66 65.52% 0.0 -1.0381 -0.985
6 Coastline 17 14.29% 38.12 76.47% 0.06 -0.8995 -0.196
6 Other 348 26.82% 25.37 47.7% -0.897 -1.0008 -2.335
6 Star 199 24.62% 30.79 57.79% -1.532 -1.546 -1.477
6 Thematic 850 13.59% 22.88 34.24% -1.122 -0.8365 -2.301
6 Two Centers (Default) 850 20.9% 32.64 61.53% -1.152 -0.6194 -1.488
7 Archipelago 15 13.33% 43.0 40.0% -0.62 -0.5552 -1.134
7 Other 33 12.5% 19.88 42.42% -0.596 -1.1549 -0.57

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1054 29.31 44.31% -0.51 -0.2587 0.308
Aid From Lesser Spirits 958 32.32 51.25% 0.154 0.0957 0.488
All Things Weaken 1085 28.75 43.69% -0.741 -0.4066 0.381
Attenuated Essence 455 26.18 37.36% -0.167 -0.133 0.076
Back Against the Wall 946 32.66 51.69% 0.603 0.6381 0.593
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 485 25.15 34.02% -0.028 0.1886 -0.448
Burn Brightest Before the End 406 30.69 46.31% 0.574 0.585 0.061
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1075 26.26 43.16% -0.102 0.2422 0.164
Downward Spiral 1288 26.89 46.51% -0.047 0.0699 0.351
Erosion of Will 1045 28.11 41.53% -0.137 0.1375 0.174
Intensifying Exploitation 465 24.55 38.06% -0.176 0.035 -0.208
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 457 31.58 59.3% 0.422 -0.1504 0.487
Memory Fades to Dust 1287 24.8 43.75% 0.088 0.3399 -0.004
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1131 27.55 45.53% 0.339 0.5437 0.21
Promising Farmlands 1066 27.15 42.59% -0.38 -0.1261 0.085
Shattered Fragments of Power 362 28.74 43.09% -0.4 -0.3255 -0.228
Slow Dissolution of Will 467 24.44 35.55% 0.17 0.551 -0.212
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 351 31.69 67.24% 0.099 -0.5747 0.805
The Border of Life and Death 121 23.31 48.76% -0.015 -0.6152 -0.336
Thriving Communities 1078 26.65 42.49% -0.602 -0.3207 0.068
Thriving Crops 254 24.48 40.94% -0.175 -0.3154 -0.367
Unnatural Proliferation 1161 31.0 47.29% -0.256 -0.0526 0.205
Untended Land Crumbles 1111 25.84 39.24% -0.119 0.0713 0.124

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 15785 33.63% 26.36 54.76% 0.301 1.2986 0.36
B 13103 32.93% 26.83 56.62% 0.23 1.1524 0.34
C 16280 32.16% 26.34 55.44% 0.315 1.0436 0.295
D 12508 31.3% 25.61 56.33% 0.193 1.1517 0.057
E 11381 32.09% 27.25 57.51% 0.132 0.9514 0.408
F 10796 33.65% 26.69 57.1% 0.147 1.0284 0.353
G 9813 34.16% 26.8 57.27% 0.151 0.9767 0.347
H 10141 32.54% 26.97 57.77% 0.211 1.0503 0.523
East 2549 23.97% 25.58 43.94% -0.46 0.415 -0.579
Northeast 1759 22.1% 25.06 41.16% -0.292 0.4596 -0.069
Northwest 1544 21.92% 24.02 38.73% -0.962 -0.0695 -0.827
Southeast 1432 22.03% 25.23 40.36% 0.389 1.2275 -0.122
Southwest 1286 20.31% 23.36 38.49% 0.232 1.5361 -0.771
West 2191 24.68% 24.39 41.9% -0.611 0.3392 -0.384

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 742 0.0% 14.7 52.43% -0.368 0.3607 -0.948
Not Using Events or Tokens 1420 23.43% 17.94 55.28% 0.486 0.8313 0.03
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1371 11.76% 38.34 66.45% 0.141 -0.4622 1.636
Start of Game Growth 2018 14.88% 33.81 61.5% 0.622 0.1178 -0.438
Unlimited Undo 5879 26.75% 27.57 56.22% -0.111 -0.2177 0.493
Using Tokens but Not Events 5431 18.28% 21.65 62.6% 0.09 0.0601 -0.028

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 3218 23.85% 30.18 61.44% 0.219 0.1246 0.533
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 822 20.83% 24.17 36.62% 0.715 0.2386 -0.536
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 713 38.02% 20.49 46.14% -1.267 -1.1543 -0.423
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 396 31.14% 22.7 41.16% -0.059 -0.8714 -0.473
Dances Up Earthquakes 334 24.92% 20.52 43.41% 0.123 0.1144 0.528
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 1106 25.76% 22.89 58.23% 0.086 -0.0539 -0.926
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1917 25.99% 24.41 54.46% -0.016 -0.5852 -0.081
Eyes Watch From the Trees 1292 25.63% 27.78 69.74% 0.298 -0.0892 0.574
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1171 27.42% 25.28 61.91% -0.584 -0.9775 -0.31
Finder of Paths Unseen 1907 28.31% 25.51 55.37% -0.95 -0.2221 0.585
Fractured Days Split the Sky 1201 23.35% 29.94 48.29% 0.086 0.7269 -0.087
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1144 35.23% 25.46 56.82% -0.108 -0.2417 -0.003
Heart of the Wildfire 1574 42.28% 21.85 51.46% -0.399 -0.0693 -0.618
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 2600 25.87% 30.62 65.73% 0.096 -0.328 0.69
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 409 24.69% 24.81 50.86% -0.428 -0.7348 -0.497
Lightning's Swift Strike 750 34.61% 23.59 66.0% -0.334 -0.0964 0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 863 39.79% 33.04 66.4% 0.585 0.1776 0.468
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 333 30.42% 25.29 55.86% 0.093 -0.2261 0.531
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1386 36.39% 37.34 51.73% 0.202 0.1208 0.487
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1937 35.16% 28.45 55.86% -0.042 -0.2342 -0.222
Many Minds Move as One 975 27.91% 28.83 62.26% 0.234 0.0177 0.313
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2612 27.97% 28.64 55.86% 0.022 0.1618 0.468
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 311 29.35% 24.13 50.8% 0.157 0.2379 0.314
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 979 29.78% 24.72 59.96% -0.114 -0.192 0.052
River Surges in Sunlight 1055 30.04% 26.38 60.38% 0.366 0.4919 -0.357
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 196 34.9% 29.8 51.53% 0.443 0.6211 0.081
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 791 25.06% 25.02 50.95% -0.936 -0.6567 -0.483
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1870 36.58% 36.85 55.19% 0.91 0.7877 0.059
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 2462 23.66% 30.0 52.92% 0.174 0.047 -0.032
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 96 33.33% 29.04 58.33% 0.202 0.0897 0.402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 184 48.91% 23.3 69.02% 1.9 2.4153 -1.014
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 216 35.26% 25.76 68.52% 0.065 0.0462 0.272
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 229 35.81% 29.87 62.01% 0.251 -0.2515 0.901
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 259 41.57% 29.93 62.55% -0.191 -0.3828 0.108
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 115 39.47% 23.83 58.26% -0.296 -0.355 0.06
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 100 36.08% 21.5 62.0% 0.921 1.0021 -1.282
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 797 27.37% 29.93 66.12% -0.132 -0.0526 0.587
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 514 29.38% 27.88 58.37% 0.457 0.2705 0.026
Shifting Memory of Ages 1292 31.46% 26.6 49.07% -0.363 -0.0954 -0.635
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 515 24.47% 26.63 45.83% 0.387 0.2684 0.438
Shroud of Silent Mist 1106 36.4% 22.49 55.42% -0.11 0.2416 -0.592
Starlight Seeks its Form 2975 31.62% 33.44 55.7% 0.051 -0.0665 0.385
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1671 31.46% 25.92 53.38% 0.201 -0.3125 -0.089
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 846 29.58% 28.14 62.88% -0.163 -0.0455 0.376
Thunderspeaker 1019 31.21% 30.45 62.81% 0.244 0.276 0.289
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 279 31.54% 21.46 49.82% 0.345 0.3588 -0.114
Towering Roots of the Jungle 502 31.06% 21.9 48.01% -0.23 -0.1007 -0.192
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 901 52.18% 25.32 52.16% -0.365 -0.2386 0.109
Vital Strength of the Earth 409 28.65% 21.68 62.84% -0.952 -0.3525 0.671
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1022 24.85% 27.59 48.04% -0.459 0.0345 0.326
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 206 34.31% 22.07 46.6% -0.913 -0.215 -0.762
Volcano Looming High 1518 41.66% 26.48 55.86% 0.157 0.2044 -0.156
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 805 28.13% 25.84 57.76% -0.327 -0.6166 -0.248

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Dark Skies Loose a Stinging Rain 88.2%
Foundations Sink Into Mud 92.88%
Gift of Abundance 91.73%
Unbearable Deluge 96.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17675 13.42 3.0%
II 14319 30.13 57.04%
III 14479 34.83 86.16%
IV 8932 38.67 99.8%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 531
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 12351
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7820
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 8876
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 13891
Lose: Invader deck ran out 876
Lose: Adversary condition 5475
Win: Sacrifice victory 73
Lose: Scenario condition 320
Win: Scenario condition 436
Lose: Blight pool ran out 4460
Lose: Spirit destroyed 296

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.325 Win Model: -0.131

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.299 Win Model: 0.231
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 28119 33.35% 23.44 50.61%
2 13066 34.69% 26.68 59.58%
3 6971 34.89% 28.19 60.75%
4 4414 32.25% 28.33 53.56%
5 525 28.08% 28.21 62.48%
6 2310 19.07% 27.92 49.57%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)