Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Blitz 0 1574 30.81% 30.56 0.005 83.93% -0.263 0.3031
Dahan Insurrection 4 894 34.12% 47.08 -0.1 59.51% -1.513 -1.1131
Despicable Theft 2 75 36.0% 34.59 -0.014 80.0% -0.663 -0.3887
Elemental Invocation 1 182 54.95% 31.21 -0.026 72.53% -0.332 0.1705
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4126 13.41% 44.41 -0.006 78.21% -0.346 0.019
Powers Long Forgotten 1 459 61.57% 32.51 -0.066 64.92% -0.851 -0.4047
Rituals of Terror 3 394 56.17% 38.2 -0.076 63.96% -1.021 -0.376
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 320 71.88% 37.37 -0.078 59.69% -0.778 -0.1312
Second Wave 0 5558 32.34% 31.71 0.004 85.01% -0.534 -0.1038
The Great River 3 228 51.75% 32.51 -0.041 73.68% -1.187 0.286
Ward the Shores 2 579 44.43% 33.64 -0.115 56.13% -1.566 -0.5346

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
1 Single Board 49312 35.42% 32.0 0.007 81.69% 0.003 0.0898
1 Thematic 2937 36.87% 37.17 -0.015 75.66% -0.439 -0.1623
2 Archipelago 14 42.86% 32.14 -0.039 71.43% -0.348 -0.3412
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 14353 42.5% 31.66 -0.006 78.72% -0.046 -0.0206
2 Coastline 1731 39.45% 31.06 -0.001 80.88% -0.101 -0.1257
2 Fragment 377 45.53% 27.19 -0.009 78.78% -0.255 -0.0321
2 Heart 194 40.32% 28.12 -0.012 78.35% -0.289 -0.1891
2 Opposite Shores 2917 35.21% 31.06 -0.005 80.29% -0.141 -0.0759
2 Thematic 1405 47.71% 34.99 -0.062 63.2% -0.765 -0.832
2 Top to Top 298 38.73% 30.22 -0.007 79.53% -0.177 -0.2454
3 Archipelago 5 100.0% 38.8 0.031 80.0% 0.238 1.0422
3 Coastline 66 52.31% 33.65 -0.017 74.24% -0.047 -0.1972
3 Other 347 34.59% 30.88 0.011 84.44% -0.05 0.1225
3 Round (Default) 7890 37.82% 34.07 0.005 79.77% 0.229 0.1901
3 Sunrise 61 37.7% 42.84 0.016 78.69% 0.359 0.0991
3 Thematic 307 48.04% 35.97 -0.058 62.87% -0.643 -1.0088
4 Archipelago 10 11.11% 33.4 0.025 90.0% 0.133 0.6804
4 Coastline 52 42.31% 31.71 -0.009 76.92% -0.25 -0.1303
4 Leaf 29 46.43% 33.69 0.025 82.76% 0.588 0.6603
4 Other 247 33.88% 33.22 0.031 87.85% 0.466 0.397
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 0.086 100.0% 0.382 -0.4196
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 -0.051 66.67% -0.117 0.009
4 Thematic 1130 33.42% 40.27 -0.015 71.24% -0.177 -1.1736
4 Trapezoid (Default) 6385 30.43% 33.83 0.009 81.97% 0.107 0.1154
5 Other 80 38.16% 37.7 0.054 91.25% 0.932 0.4717
5 Thematic 15 46.67% 36.13 0.025 80.0% 0.462 -1.9301
6 Thematic 1 0.0% 37.0 0.038 100.0% 0.013 -0.1919

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Pall Upon the Land 2531 31.33 -0.11 58.44% -1.816 0.2536
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2321 33.07 -0.104 59.03% -1.714 0.1989
All Things Weaken 1287 29.57 -0.143 50.43% -2.097 0.0621
Back Against the Wall 2216 32.34 -0.115 56.81% -1.837 0.2504
Disintegrating Ecosystem 2518 28.45 -0.13 54.09% -1.99 0.2317
Downward Spiral 4479 28.34 -0.095 63.99% -1.751 0.2703
Erosion of Will 2484 30.89 -0.12 55.76% -1.887 0.3211
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 542 35.08 -0.003 81.55% -0.59 0.0886
Memory Fades to Dust 4702 27.97 -0.108 61.4% -1.897 0.3182
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1159 29.34 -0.126 54.36% -1.961 0.0596
Promising Farmlands 2412 29.3 -0.13 54.44% -2.007 0.2009
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 356 34.85 0.006 83.99% -0.479 -0.068
Thriving Communities 1226 29.32 -0.118 56.44% -1.923 0.1648
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 -0.136 52.44% -1.954 0.271
Unnatural Proliferation 1278 30.52 -0.127 54.38% -1.983 0.0976
Untended Land Crumbles 1179 29.81 -0.115 57.0% -1.881 0.221

Results Starting on Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A 12171 36.96% 31.31 0.002 80.95% 0.056 -0.6319
B 12310 36.38% 31.94 0.0 80.71% 0.026 -0.7572
C 13162 35.37% 33.5 0.009 82.05% 0.215 -0.7975
D 10648 36.49% 31.67 0.003 81.17% 0.072 -0.7054
E 4820 40.99% 32.63 -0.0 78.86% 0.142 -0.7522
F 10601 36.91% 32.08 0.004 81.37% 0.099 -0.7421
G 10646 35.6% 32.94 -0.001 80.81% 0.034 -0.7982
H 10382 37.11% 31.45 -0.002 80.27% 0.0 -0.839
East 1076 42.56% 38.62 -0.035 69.33% -0.106 -0.682
Northeast 1450 38.09% 39.33 -0.02 71.93% 0.068 -0.4562
Northwest 1210 34.3% 38.51 -0.027 71.24% -0.131 -0.7265
Southeast 334 42.34% 36.26 -0.021 72.46% 0.044 -0.5856
Southwest 327 40.74% 32.03 -0.026 72.78% -0.196 -0.3941
West 1031 43.05% 36.66 -0.042 68.09% -0.255 -0.5824

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
No Blight Card 3806 0.0% 22.3 -0.028 85.05% -1.533 0.5196
Not Using Events or Tokens 10866 30.6% 26.39 0.013 86.08% -0.076 0.1384
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3379 9.45% 39.21 0.046 95.83% 1.106 0.4196
Start of Game Growth 4615 11.79% 38.91 0.041 93.65% 0.729 0.26
Unlimited Undo 9463 27.11% 35.08 0.026 88.6% 0.394 -0.0289
Using Tokens but Not Events 12267 22.62% 30.92 0.027 88.86% 0.103 0.0517

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
A Spread of Rampant Green 4304 30.47% 33.61 0.007 81.48% 0.063 0.167
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 1661 50.71% 30.36 -0.034 71.1% -0.425 -0.2275
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5927 28.27% 32.86 0.02 85.36% 0.236 -0.1683
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 4874 30.65% 32.32 0.011 83.14% 0.14 -0.1655
Fractured Days Split the Sky 398 44.95% 33.23 -0.012 75.88% -0.19 0.1585
Heart of the Wildfire 2331 53.36% 32.47 -0.021 72.5% -0.073 0.2455
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 4134 35.31% 36.58 0.009 80.19% 0.215 -0.1274
Lightning's Swift Strike 4484 34.15% 34.38 0.008 81.11% 0.199 0.4251
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1014 41.45% 34.3 0.003 78.21% 0.135 -0.1518
Many Minds Move as One 925 37.28% 34.58 0.009 82.05% 0.032 -0.5006
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 2892 36.96% 34.46 0.0 78.53% 0.102 -0.1229
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 5443 39.62% 32.29 -0.012 76.8% -0.114 -0.0997
River Surges in Sunlight 3751 35.01% 33.37 -0.003 79.98% -0.105 0.0154
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3129 36.36% 37.19 0.001 78.04% 0.156 0.259
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1849 46.85% 29.38 -0.025 74.63% -0.377 0.0278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 2716 33.46% 36.87 0.004 79.49% 0.101 -0.0115
Shifting Memory of Ages 138 38.97% 31.23 -0.014 76.81% -0.365 -0.2407
Shroud of Silent Mist 343 46.93% 33.74 0.022 83.38% 0.424 0.4804
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1682 45.0% 32.99 -0.014 73.48% -0.083 -0.1427
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 3686 29.39% 34.12 0.016 84.16% 0.207 0.367
Thunderspeaker 2337 40.15% 34.47 -0.006 77.02% 0.021 0.0449
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1192 60.98% 31.34 -0.031 68.54% -0.106 -0.1343
Vital Strength of the Earth 2629 34.39% 28.85 -0.018 77.79% -0.472 0.3723
Volcano Looming High 526 44.17% 34.13 0.003 78.52% 0.192 0.2027

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.46%
Gift of Furious Might 93.84%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.22%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.3%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7105 22.37 21.32%
II 32735 30.88 73.02%
III 38422 34.39 91.64%
IV 11906 37.55 99.11%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1514
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34680
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 23505
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 11755
Lose: Invader deck ran out 564
Lose: Adversary condition 6037
Win: Sacrifice victory 117
Lose: Scenario condition 848
Win: Scenario condition 857
Lose: Blight pool ran out 9847
Lose: Spirit destroyed 444

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.298 Win Model: -0.28

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.0 Win Model: -0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 52272 35.51% 32.29 81.34%
2 21319 41.59% 31.63 78.11%
3 8685 38.2% 34.1 79.32%
4 7892 31.03% 34.73 80.68%

Power Progression

Score Model: -0.022 Win Model: -0.865
Power Progression? Completed Average Score Win Rate
Standard 85314 33.13 80.26%
Power Progression 4854 21.76 81.52%

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.
Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Layouts for completed games are shown as the same as what they were when the game was started, despite powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-04-15 02:07:53 (Pacific Time)