Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 72 25.0% 24.42 75.0% 0.059 -0.1276 0.127
Blitz 0 2408 28.72% 29.03 81.15% 0.009 0.1399 -0.809
Dahan Insurrection 4 1264 30.06% 43.51 57.44% -1.025 -1.2803 0.2
Despicable Theft 2 224 33.93% 26.62 56.7% -0.871 -0.3301 -0.569
Elemental Invocation 1 497 50.4% 30.03 63.38% 0.077 0.9335 -1.416
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5663 14.24% 44.07 76.37% 0.826 0.0548 0.869
Powers Long Forgotten 1 629 57.1% 30.11 61.53% -0.85 0.0843 -0.803
Rituals of Terror 3 540 51.99% 36.03 61.85% -0.575 -0.4793 -0.128
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 435 68.51% 33.79 54.71% -1.553 -0.3567 -0.308
Second Wave 0 8301 31.03% 31.02 84.33% 0.43 0.5154 0.084
The Great River 3 442 51.81% 30.47 66.29% -1.356 0.0052 -0.735
Varied Terrains 2 118 48.31% 26.25 59.32% -0.817 -0.0289 -0.94
Ward the Shores 2 792 42.35% 31.29 56.57% -0.802 0.2296 -1.337

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 76140 35.14% 30.34 78.27% 0.902 1.0934 0.06
1 Thematic 4125 36.02% 36.11 72.44% 0.728 1.3727 0.368
2 Archipelago 60 28.33% 30.35 80.0% 0.145 0.5773 0.044
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 22400 41.86% 29.78 75.25% 0.623 0.6196 0.13
2 Coastline 2921 35.25% 29.66 80.28% 1.079 1.1352 0.373
2 Fragment 598 47.46% 27.13 76.42% 0.406 0.1395 0.513
2 Heart 332 42.09% 28.83 76.2% 0.816 0.7769 0.397
2 Opposite Shores 4517 36.02% 29.33 76.09% 0.561 0.5748 -0.393
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.7199 0.0
2 Thematic 2030 46.55% 32.87 60.59% 0.023 0.2196 -0.649
2 Top to Top 506 37.32% 30.03 78.06% 0.09 -0.0081 0.34
3 Archipelago 28 50.0% 32.11 78.57% 0.183 -0.2634 0.0
3 Coastline 122 49.59% 30.3 70.49% 0.593 -0.4312 0.416
3 Other 537 33.33% 28.18 80.63% -0.424 -0.8162 -0.174
3 Round (Default) 12346 37.72% 31.97 76.68% 0.735 0.3998 -0.058
3 Sunrise 82 39.51% 39.66 76.83% -0.477 -0.2339 0.773
3 Thematic 461 45.22% 33.27 63.34% -0.09 -0.3742 0.621
4 Archipelago 61 28.33% 33.08 90.16% 0.591 0.4341 -0.413
4 Coastline 84 42.86% 29.93 75.0% 0.129 -0.8095 -0.038
4 Leaf 59 43.1% 28.69 72.88% -0.324 -0.472 -0.023
4 Other 389 32.19% 29.49 82.52% 0.428 -0.9013 0.93
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 0.3516 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 0.1011 0.0
4 Thematic 1390 34.66% 39.02 70.43% 0.194 0.1145 -0.308
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8927 30.3% 32.12 78.94% 0.14 -0.0168 -0.179
5 Archipelago 7 57.14% 23.57 42.86% -0.411 0.2637 0.0
5 Coastline 25 20.0% 32.0 84.0% 0.65 -0.2616 0.0
5 Other 439 27.38% 29.29 79.04% 0.587 -0.4872 -0.457
5 Thematic 37 51.35% 32.81 78.38% 0.371 0.3642 0.822
6 Archipelago 36 7.69% 28.83 83.33% -0.37 -1.6689 0.0
6 Coastline 37 21.43% 26.3 86.49% -0.676 -1.4245 0.0
6 Other 286 18.48% 23.13 78.32% -1.412 -1.6157 0.567
6 Star 128 21.88% 25.72 73.44% 0.417 0.5165 -1.353
6 Thematic 425 26.65% 23.6 55.29% -1.399 -0.7497 -1.353
6 Two Centers (Default) 872 17.3% 25.4 77.29% -0.659 -0.9931 -0.58
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 21.14 42.86% -1.043 -0.982 -0.275
7 Other 18 5.88% 23.78 61.11% -1.29 -0.8942 0.089

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3693 30.5 56.46% -0.025 0.1044 -0.191
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3273 32.39 58.72% 0.283 0.1648 0.073
All Things Weaken 2214 29.12 50.05% -0.366 -0.058 -0.641
Attenuated Essence 180 26.0 46.67% 0.33 0.3624 -0.227
Back Against the Wall 3163 31.5 56.18% -0.227 -0.1971 0.048
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 199 28.92 48.74% 0.028 0.2144 -0.215
Burn Brightest Before the End 168 29.11 52.98% 0.105 0.1752 0.063
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3567 27.87 54.02% -0.167 0.2084 -0.403
Downward Spiral 6463 27.13 62.79% -0.088 0.078 -0.069
Erosion of Will 3587 30.11 54.67% -0.278 -0.064 -0.346
Intensifying Exploitation 190 24.98 42.11% -0.444 -0.2025 -0.208
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 960 33.33 78.96% 0.944 0.3625 -0.222
Memory Fades to Dust 6665 26.81 60.5% -0.126 0.1669 -0.341
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2138 29.07 54.82% 0.368 0.5294 -0.192
Promising Farmlands 3508 28.79 53.96% -0.124 0.1721 -0.51
Shattered Fragments of Power 174 29.71 47.13% 0.36 0.4483 -0.612
Slow Dissolution of Will 206 25.46 44.66% -0.4 -0.0073 -1.295
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 609 33.86 82.27% 0.231 -0.481 0.463
The Border of Life and Death 45 27.53 60.0% 0.3 -0.1793 -0.599
Thriving Communities 2129 28.62 54.49% -0.608 -0.3079 -0.195
Thriving Crops 84 25.51 52.38% -0.074 -0.1759 -0.433
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 0.933 -0.266
Unnatural Proliferation 2275 30.24 53.8% -0.124 0.0454 -0.503
Untended Land Crumbles 2165 29.0 55.89% -0.031 0.2268 -0.232

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 31833 35.6% 29.87 77.17% -0.193 0.9493 0.886
B 33779 35.13% 30.65 77.65% 0.11 1.1653 0.679
C 33322 34.53% 31.3 78.17% 0.021 0.9087 0.724
D 28992 35.41% 30.21 77.66% -0.028 1.0266 0.601
E 16812 37.86% 30.06 75.33% 0.1 1.0045 0.63
F 27812 35.86% 30.45 77.84% 0.096 1.1002 0.914
G 27524 35.61% 30.76 77.24% 0.055 1.0231 0.646
H 27309 35.95% 30.14 77.45% -0.037 0.9553 0.645
East 6036 38.18% 35.83 67.59% 0.009 0.9973 0.243
Northeast 4041 36.64% 35.9 66.59% -0.186 0.7638 0.329
Northwest 3251 36.32% 35.34 65.12% -0.163 0.8783 -0.116
Southeast 1432 36.44% 30.97 65.5% -0.345 0.5732 0.5
Southwest 1360 36.34% 28.61 63.6% 0.191 1.6481 0.083
West 5298 39.09% 34.5 65.31% -0.119 0.9881 -0.032

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5963 0.0% 20.39 78.08% -1.158 -0.4943 -0.365
Not Using Events or Tokens 17319 29.35% 24.35 81.45% -0.266 0.2286 -0.315
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5027 9.73% 36.67 92.42% 1.48 0.857 0.553
Start of Game Growth 7164 12.69% 35.73 89.03% -0.111 -0.523 0.635
Unlimited Undo 14945 26.86% 32.38 83.71% 0.012 -0.0832 0.757
Using Tokens but Not Events 19607 21.36% 29.12 86.12% 0.123 0.1988 -0.297

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6632 30.12% 31.99 79.66% 0.21 0.1741 0.145
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2478 48.06% 28.76 70.3% -0.041 0.1179 -0.198
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 50 36.0% 28.36 74.0% 0.587 -0.4255 -0.232
Downpour Drenches the World 644 28.37% 24.62 61.49% -0.165 0.0824 -0.817
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 708 35.56% 28.12 61.3% 0.3 -0.2625 0.223
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9125 26.62% 30.57 82.51% 0.375 -0.1044 0.205
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7346 29.22% 30.09 80.4% 0.085 -0.3214 -0.231
Finder of Paths Unseen 374 44.09% 22.3 53.74% -1.37 -0.6076 0.795
Fractured Days Split the Sky 773 39.01% 30.06 70.38% -0.519 0.143 0.296
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 866 41.65% 30.04 70.09% 0.335 0.3322 0.362
Heart of the Wildfire 3310 52.23% 30.35 70.36% 0.073 0.4427 0.049
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6041 34.89% 34.9 78.38% 0.345 -0.0818 0.593
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 115 23.48% 20.72 46.09% 0.005 -0.4874 -0.692
Lightning's Swift Strike 5480 32.22% 30.74 78.01% -0.088 0.1251 0.28
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 294 38.46% 29.57 69.05% 0.186 -0.4293 0.247
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 525 37.14% 33.94 77.71% 0.249 -0.0363 0.725
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1210 34.23% 34.51 76.28% 0.032 -0.0704 0.67
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2430 38.81% 30.97 73.37% -0.096 -0.3419 -0.151
Many Minds Move as One 1616 34.23% 32.39 79.95% 0.102 -0.0589 -0.062
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4274 35.07% 32.2 75.53% -0.049 -0.0148 0.369
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8411 37.04% 30.1 74.62% -0.123 -0.2898 -0.08
River Surges in Sunlight 5249 30.16% 30.66 78.51% 0.076 0.1038 0.455
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 977 35.72% 27.37 69.5% -0.766 -0.4267 -0.061
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 327 36.22% 29.41 65.44% 0.126 0.0947 0.606
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4388 36.02% 35.13 76.09% 0.217 0.1064 0.457
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1904 45.47% 26.39 69.59% -0.435 0.1407 -0.494
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 125 32.77% 23.46 63.2% -0.248 -0.2246 -0.843
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 59 30.51% 29.68 72.88% 0.444 -0.0083 -0.252
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 115 40.74% 22.97 60.0% -0.411 -0.1747 -0.597
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 453 38.36% 28.5 75.28% -0.212 -0.2997 0.299
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 422 43.57% 27.35 72.51% 0.072 0.2674 0.199
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3761 32.99% 35.39 78.17% -0.08 -0.1015 0.524
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 240 31.78% 30.46 66.25% 0.787 0.4549 -0.537
Shifting Memory of Ages 959 35.64% 26.14 67.26% -0.195 0.0867 -0.149
Shroud of Silent Mist 1012 42.68% 27.7 75.3% 0.341 0.614 -0.314
Starlight Seeks its Form 1002 37.04% 30.07 75.55% 0.454 0.2338 0.553
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2726 41.75% 31.05 71.2% 0.278 -0.1693 -0.401
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5849 27.95% 31.29 80.65% 0.052 0.1741 0.484
Thunderspeaker 3491 37.3% 32.27 75.65% 0.115 0.1333 0.543
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 120 40.0% 18.15 42.5% -0.207 -0.0031 -0.616
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1829 57.49% 30.35 67.58% -0.209 -0.0347 0.259
Vital Strength of the Earth 3680 31.27% 26.3 77.26% 0.005 0.5767 -0.096
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 269 35.74% 22.42 55.76% -0.607 -0.2256 -0.951
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 561 38.38% 25.47 62.03% -0.728 0.0294 -0.988
Volcano Looming High 1425 40.89% 30.3 73.33% 0.145 0.1188 0.167
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 156 24.03% 24.34 69.87% 0.675 0.1413 -0.584

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.36%
Gift of Furious Might 93.91%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.57%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.38%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15561 16.77 14.13%
II 50036 30.59 72.19%
III 57146 34.74 91.48%
IV 17778 38.3 99.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2198
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 51572
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 35540
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17571
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 6025
Lose: Invader deck ran out 795
Lose: Adversary condition 8841
Win: Sacrifice victory 184
Lose: Scenario condition 1174
Win: Scenario condition 1174
Lose: Blight pool ran out 14827
Lose: Spirit destroyed 620

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.053 Win Model: -0.184

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.166 Win Model: 0.094
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 80479 35.19% 30.61 77.9%
2 33371 40.82% 29.87 75.08%
3 13543 37.87% 31.93 76.42%
4 10952 30.99% 32.9 78.1%
5 392 27.59% 27.81 76.02%
6 1784 19.75% 24.64 72.2%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-21 04:03:14 (Pacific Time)