Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 27.27% 26.73 81.82% -0.23 -0.3717 0.0
Blitz 0 2129 29.92% 29.97 83.23% -0.167 0.0148 -0.756
Dahan Insurrection 4 1116 32.43% 46.28 60.22% -1.525 -1.7007 0.117
Despicable Theft 2 158 38.61% 30.73 67.72% -1.421 -0.7292 -0.636
Elemental Invocation 1 342 52.05% 31.58 70.47% -0.504 0.2165 -0.936
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5091 13.65% 44.49 77.71% 0.791 0.1974 0.733
Powers Long Forgotten 1 551 61.82% 31.85 63.88% -0.927 -0.4548 -0.824
Rituals of Terror 3 470 53.83% 38.05 64.68% -0.567 -0.6598 -0.025
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 379 72.56% 37.02 60.42% -0.212 0.7141 -0.226
Second Wave 0 7409 31.28% 31.42 85.33% 0.575 0.6514 -0.094
The Great River 3 372 52.69% 31.8 70.43% -0.323 1.0124 -1.192
Varied Terrains 2 65 49.23% 29.66 69.23% -0.546 -0.0548 -1.187
Ward the Shores 2 707 44.06% 32.87 57.85% -0.609 0.5443 -1.383

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66613 35.44% 31.4 80.81% -0.027 0.2251 -0.123
1 Thematic 3676 36.54% 36.82 74.81% -0.031 0.6343 0.16
2 Archipelago 47 31.91% 32.62 85.11% 0.89 1.4153 0.133
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19249 42.61% 31.05 78.07% -0.127 0.0592 0.017
2 Coastline 2398 38.29% 30.82 80.78% 0.014 0.0824 0.177
2 Fragment 521 45.55% 28.01 78.69% -0.151 -0.2366 0.458
2 Heart 290 42.86% 29.21 77.93% 0.218 -0.0006 0.146
2 Opposite Shores 3858 35.86% 30.66 79.32% -0.265 -0.0845 -0.548
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.671 0.6551 0.0
2 Thematic 1774 47.42% 34.36 63.13% -0.394 0.1755 -0.878
2 Top to Top 443 37.91% 30.79 80.59% 0.526 0.6378 0.52
3 Archipelago 20 55.0% 33.35 85.0% 0.171 -0.6245 0.0
3 Coastline 109 53.7% 31.53 72.48% 0.03 -0.3019 -0.244
3 Other 482 33.4% 29.64 84.44% 0.363 0.0437 -0.29
3 Round (Default) 10608 37.84% 33.11 79.05% -0.324 -0.3468 -0.134
3 Sunrise 72 38.89% 42.61 81.94% 0.458 0.7573 0.727
3 Thematic 414 46.73% 34.81 65.7% -0.694 -0.8003 0.57
4 Archipelago 40 35.9% 32.55 87.5% -0.393 -0.275 -0.386
4 Coastline 79 43.04% 30.15 75.95% 0.731 0.7186 0.854
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.34 -0.569 -0.017
4 Other 334 33.02% 31.16 87.13% 0.237 -0.6656 1.034
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3145 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 0.0493 0.0
4 Thematic 1314 34.97% 39.62 71.23% 0.04 -0.003 -0.311
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7929 30.76% 33.58 81.99% -0.211 -0.4076 -0.023
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.147 0.0
5 Coastline 15 6.67% 35.93 93.33% 0.791 0.664 0.0
5 Other 289 27.01% 32.67 88.24% 0.497 -0.0313 0.027
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 31.09 75.76% 0.312 -0.0831 0.746
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.281 -1.4645 0.0
6 Coastline 29 16.67% 28.34 96.55% -0.01 -0.6158 0.0
6 Other 178 16.57% 24.69 89.33% -0.419 -0.9121 0.285
6 Star 89 21.35% 28.29 74.16% -0.62 -0.1848 -1.377
6 Thematic 225 28.0% 29.25 77.33% -1.21 -0.819 -1.562
6 Two Centers (Default) 561 19.07% 28.63 87.52% -0.325 -0.1014 -0.178
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.151 -0.3471 -0.19
7 Other 9 0.0% 38.0 88.89% -0.174 -1.1819 0.373

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3373 30.95 57.25% -0.039 0.3109 -0.368
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2979 32.79 58.78% -0.192 -0.017 -0.135
All Things Weaken 1965 29.5 50.99% -0.97 -0.4332 -0.858
Attenuated Essence 22 30.77 54.55% -0.135 0.2382 -0.019
Back Against the Wall 2875 32.01 56.49% -0.133 0.15 -0.18
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 33 35.09 63.64% 0.519 1.1021 0.652
Burn Brightest Before the End 22 25.82 54.55% -0.377 0.0905 -0.187
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3246 28.35 54.87% -0.503 0.1247 -0.584
Downward Spiral 5811 27.8 63.48% -0.321 0.1069 -0.343
Erosion of Will 3242 30.64 55.58% 0.058 0.6319 -0.521
Intensifying Exploitation 35 24.77 42.86% -0.87 -0.3059 -0.587
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 837 34.28 80.05% 0.267 -0.1815 -0.377
Memory Fades to Dust 6017 27.39 61.36% -0.654 -0.0916 -0.567
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1843 29.4 55.18% 0.029 0.4059 -0.359
Promising Farmlands 3162 29.12 54.71% -0.345 0.3471 -0.697
Shattered Fragments of Power 35 28.06 42.86% -0.478 -0.1589 -0.582
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 31.53 70.0% 0.268 0.9724 -0.49
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 535 34.42 83.55% 0.466 -0.202 0.277
The Border of Life and Death 5 32.2 80.0% 0.448 0.4783 0.0
Thriving Communities 1838 29.4 56.31% -0.493 0.1183 -0.408
Thriving Crops 9 36.22 55.56% -0.091 0.2038 0.702
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1217 -0.518
Unnatural Proliferation 1980 30.72 55.0% 0.058 0.4702 -0.742
Untended Land Crumbles 1875 29.25 56.21% -0.898 -0.4462 -0.544

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27306 36.39% 31.25 80.17% -0.051 0.8098 0.977
B 29219 35.81% 31.91 80.34% -0.032 0.7386 0.745
C 28714 35.24% 32.64 80.93% -0.152 0.4898 0.784
D 24976 36.24% 31.48 80.53% -0.109 0.7061 0.642
E 13630 38.82% 31.74 79.21% -0.022 0.616 0.756
F 24088 36.27% 31.77 80.75% 0.044 0.7731 0.957
G 23789 35.86% 32.01 80.0% -0.22 0.5279 0.704
H 23499 36.39% 31.35 80.25% -0.107 0.5612 0.712
East 5255 39.18% 37.45 70.87% -0.42 0.1941 0.296
Northeast 3495 37.63% 37.85 70.47% -0.69 0.2012 0.396
Northwest 2770 37.47% 37.57 69.42% 0.038 0.6624 -0.078
Southeast 1101 38.25% 34.1 73.57% -0.388 0.3001 0.408
Southwest 1036 39.24% 31.68 71.72% -0.526 0.6441 -0.075
West 4590 40.25% 36.23 68.74% 0.009 1.0246 -0.117

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5081 0.0% 21.82 83.25% -1.179 -0.2035 -0.716
Not Using Events or Tokens 14653 30.15% 25.72 85.37% 0.024 0.323 -0.243
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4377 9.81% 37.9 94.95% 0.823 0.3071 0.486
Start of Game Growth 6148 12.85% 37.5 92.52% -0.026 -0.4054 0.594
Unlimited Undo 12711 27.19% 34.05 88.0% -0.142 -0.1922 0.985
Using Tokens but Not Events 17021 21.58% 30.14 88.68% 0.66 0.598 -0.186

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5801 100.0% 33.13 100.0% 0.472 0.3339 0.039
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2199 100.0% 29.72 100.0% 0.007 0.0999 -0.408
Downpour Drenches the World 305 100.0% 28.22 100.0% 0.131 0.3342 -0.623
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 202 100.0% 28.15 100.0% 0.198 -0.4361 0.007
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7959 100.0% 31.96 100.0% 0.277 -0.3142 0.061
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6404 100.0% 31.56 100.0% 0.186 -0.2697 -0.4
Finder of Paths Unseen 178 100.0% 28.41 100.0% -0.837 -0.1493 0.269
Fractured Days Split the Sky 623 100.0% 32.27 100.0% -0.447 0.2701 0.086
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 593 100.0% 32.54 100.0% -0.591 -0.6942 0.402
Heart of the Wildfire 2980 100.0% 31.52 100.0% -0.14 0.1332 -0.07
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5329 100.0% 35.91 100.0% 0.221 -0.2487 0.433
Lightning's Swift Strike 4810 119.95% 32.4 105.47% -0.121 0.091 0.175
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 137 34.33% 36.01 87.59% 0.998 0.2528 1.158
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 413 37.16% 35.95 83.29% 0.842 0.5309 0.764
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 967 34.6% 36.89 81.7% -0.138 -0.3417 0.638
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1946 100.0% 32.96 100.0% 0.182 -0.0094 -0.156
Many Minds Move as One 1338 100.0% 33.5 100.0% 0.016 -0.2355 -0.271
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3771 100.0% 33.59 100.0% 0.078 0.056 0.23
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7368 100.0% 31.42 100.0% -0.171 -0.2834 -0.253
River Surges in Sunlight 4468 111.39% 32.38 104.39% -0.138 -0.1627 0.287
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 741 38.15% 30.63 78.41% 0.023 0.2316 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 138 35.56% 33.96 73.91% -0.273 -0.4265 0.091
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3947 100.0% 36.38 100.0% 0.626 0.4264 0.262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1702 126.97% 27.72 110.99% -0.115 0.3183 -0.453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 26.23% 28.45 80.65% -0.268 -0.264 -0.242
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 46 40.48% 26.89 67.39% -1.063 -1.0148 -0.615
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 381 39.78% 30.61 79.79% -0.209 -0.2464 0.277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 368 45.76% 28.88 77.45% -0.209 -0.1625 0.137
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3466 100.98% 36.27 100.49% 0.61 0.457 0.464
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 42 19.05% 24.36 59.52% 0.172 -0.1202 -0.563
Shifting Memory of Ages 645 100.0% 29.49 100.0% -0.052 0.318 0.091
Shroud of Silent Mist 757 100.0% 30.59 100.0% 0.107 0.415 0.017
Starlight Seeks its Form 632 100.0% 32.85 100.0% 0.142 -0.1052 -0.054
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2333 100.0% 32.44 100.0% 0.01 -0.4992 -0.413
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5090 100.0% 32.77 100.0% 0.535 0.5765 0.453
Thunderspeaker 3138 100.54% 33.55 100.48% -0.18 -0.2112 0.467
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 32.0% 13.68 40.0% -0.493 -0.4726 0.077
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1599 100.0% 31.52 100.0% 0.01 0.0561 0.003
Vital Strength of the Earth 3193 110.26% 27.76 105.64% -0.153 0.4009 -0.253
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 132 43.18% 27.4 67.42% -0.454 -0.2178 -0.896
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 444 40.79% 28.24 69.14% -0.293 0.6399 -0.948
Volcano Looming High 1116 100.0% 32.35 100.0% 0.385 0.3971 -0.093

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.39%
Gift of Furious Might 93.81%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.25%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10326 21.31 19.13%
II 44246 31.05 73.06%
III 51389 34.72 91.62%
IV 15885 38.0 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1974
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31795
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15694
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1154
Lose: Invader deck ran out 728
Lose: Adversary condition 7957
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 1061
Win: Scenario condition 1081
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13233
Lose: Spirit destroyed 573

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.657 Win Model: -0.168

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.138 Win Model: -0.077
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70419 35.52% 31.67 80.47%
2 28618 41.61% 31.12 77.63%
3 11690 38.05% 33.1 78.85%
4 9789 31.52% 34.25 80.7%
5 227 25.46% 31.77 88.11%
6 1103 20.21% 28.03 85.13%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-24 03:32:57 (Pacific Time)