Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 84 23.81% 23.02 69.05% -0.862 -0.7655 -0.171
Blitz 0 2483 28.71% 28.86 80.63% 0.019 0.3154 -0.743
Dahan Insurrection 4 1312 29.51% 42.78 56.78% -0.451 -0.6358 0.234
Despicable Theft 2 254 33.86% 26.0 55.91% -0.335 0.5526 -0.725
Elemental Invocation 1 536 48.22% 29.13 61.94% -0.702 0.2347 -1.41
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5870 14.15% 43.84 75.95% 0.617 0.0018 0.94
Powers Long Forgotten 1 658 55.34% 29.64 60.49% -0.885 -0.02 -0.65
Rituals of Terror 3 554 51.39% 35.41 60.83% -1.12 -1.0794 -0.14
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 449 66.59% 32.82 53.23% -1.864 -0.8142 -0.324
Second Wave 0 8653 30.97% 30.92 83.99% 0.45 0.4889 0.254
The Great River 3 479 50.31% 29.69 65.14% -0.736 0.6839 -0.972
Varied Terrains 2 143 48.25% 24.35 54.55% -0.764 -0.0157 -1.042
Ward the Shores 2 828 41.83% 30.68 55.68% -0.677 0.3874 -1.226

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 79989 35.06% 30.0 77.3% 0.262 0.5876 0.099
1 Thematic 4275 35.69% 35.81 71.98% 0.368 0.7984 0.417
2 Archipelago 63 28.57% 30.59 79.37% 0.544 0.9744 -0.131
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 23758 41.59% 29.37 74.1% 0.08 0.3369 0.219
2 Coastline 3110 34.33% 29.33 80.0% 0.515 0.5423 0.419
2 Fragment 639 47.14% 26.78 75.74% 0.038 -0.2344 0.561
2 Heart 348 43.07% 28.47 75.0% -0.256 -0.2564 0.389
2 Opposite Shores 4692 35.95% 29.23 75.79% 0.685 0.7298 -0.224
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2111 45.78% 32.27 59.73% -0.875 -0.6239 -0.521
2 Top to Top 537 37.48% 29.5 76.91% 0.543 0.4883 0.249
3 Archipelago 31 51.61% 30.68 77.42% -0.511 -1.2529 0.0
3 Coastline 135 47.76% 28.95 67.41% 0.417 -0.285 0.582
3 Other 561 32.97% 27.94 80.04% -0.058 -0.5129 0.012
3 Round (Default) 12980 37.29% 31.62 76.11% 0.351 0.2031 0.057
3 Sunrise 82 39.51% 39.66 76.83% 0.0 0.0801 0.834
3 Thematic 498 44.06% 32.58 62.65% 0.206 -0.226 0.593
4 Archipelago 65 26.56% 32.85 89.23% 0.873 1.1621 -0.403
4 Coastline 89 40.45% 29.57 75.28% 0.212 -0.3143 -0.063
4 Leaf 65 39.06% 27.03 66.15% -1.215 -1.4915 -0.016
4 Other 445 29.43% 27.81 76.63% -1.069 -1.2672 1.009
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 25.0 66.67% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 -1.1362 0.0
4 Thematic 1434 34.36% 38.5 69.87% -0.279 -0.2498 -0.258
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9364 29.7% 31.45 77.61% -0.061 0.2165 -0.17
5 Archipelago 8 50.0% 25.38 50.0% 0.347 0.4608 0.0
5 Coastline 31 16.13% 27.61 74.19% -0.184 -0.2644 -0.552
5 Other 495 28.99% 28.15 76.77% 0.163 -0.3235 -0.434
5 Thematic 41 46.34% 30.34 73.17% -0.518 -1.0303 0.66
6 Archipelago 39 6.9% 28.85 82.05% 0.037 -0.8549 0.0
6 Coastline 38 20.0% 26.66 86.84% 0.0 -0.77 0.0
6 Other 331 18.07% 22.24 76.13% -0.492 -0.0055 0.692
6 Star 132 21.21% 25.53 73.48% 0.218 0.4469 -1.298
6 Thematic 491 24.74% 22.81 52.55% -0.84 -1.0103 -1.353
6 Two Centers (Default) 956 16.52% 24.94 75.84% 0.113 -0.0541 -0.564
7 Archipelago 9 37.5% 16.44 33.33% -0.302 0.7774 -0.769
7 Other 22 4.76% 23.27 59.09% 0.474 -0.5946 0.113

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3818 30.41 56.0% -0.517 -0.34 -0.082
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3362 32.28 58.66% 0.014 -0.0374 0.204
All Things Weaken 2316 28.88 49.48% -0.526 -0.2182 -0.514
Attenuated Essence 244 26.75 47.13% 0.06 0.1311 -0.157
Back Against the Wall 3255 31.44 55.82% -0.06 -0.0002 0.178
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 273 26.81 47.62% -0.273 -0.0631 -0.295
Burn Brightest Before the End 205 28.65 53.17% -0.021 0.1669 0.119
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3697 27.75 53.72% -0.533 -0.1223 -0.281
Downward Spiral 6695 27.03 62.6% 0.085 0.2137 0.028
Erosion of Will 3709 30.08 54.62% -0.239 0.0528 -0.201
Intensifying Exploitation 265 24.94 41.89% -0.205 0.0491 -0.068
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1004 33.03 78.19% 0.97 0.4509 -0.127
Memory Fades to Dust 6919 26.71 60.43% 0.037 0.272 -0.235
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2243 28.87 54.75% 0.284 0.4943 -0.106
Promising Farmlands 3647 28.62 53.8% -0.252 0.05 -0.381
Shattered Fragments of Power 211 29.4 47.87% 0.238 0.4239 -0.433
Slow Dissolution of Will 272 25.86 45.22% -0.139 0.2629 -1.098
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 638 33.59 81.97% 0.981 0.339 0.501
The Border of Life and Death 64 26.72 59.38% 0.36 -0.1995 -0.408
Thriving Communities 2246 28.58 54.54% -0.06 0.2823 -0.073
Thriving Crops 116 25.84 54.31% 0.161 0.161 -0.389
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 0.0 -0.142
Unnatural Proliferation 2390 30.21 54.14% 0.281 0.4147 -0.361
Untended Land Crumbles 2285 28.72 55.4% -0.23 0.1901 -0.133

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 33588 35.34% 29.41 75.94% -0.285 0.5683 0.79
B 35479 34.8% 30.25 76.64% -0.124 0.6798 0.677
C 35188 34.13% 30.77 77.0% -0.05 0.6077 0.617
D 30486 35.04% 29.8 76.63% -0.345 0.4523 0.559
E 18089 37.42% 29.56 74.22% -0.153 0.5034 0.619
F 29336 35.57% 30.04 77.02% 0.099 0.8763 0.902
G 29082 35.23% 30.36 76.28% -0.221 0.6056 0.626
H 28833 35.55% 29.72 76.54% -0.015 0.7405 0.644
East 6340 37.49% 35.17 66.64% -0.856 0.038 0.226
Northeast 4244 35.91% 35.15 65.48% -0.584 0.2252 0.306
Northwest 3404 35.53% 34.65 64.13% -0.291 0.5834 -0.127
Southeast 1576 35.1% 30.17 64.02% 0.107 1.0 0.481
Southwest 1495 34.63% 27.78 61.67% -0.505 0.8317 0.097
West 5552 38.35% 33.89 64.45% -0.439 0.5841 -0.04

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6327 0.0% 19.95 76.34% -1.11 -0.3085 -0.408
Not Using Events or Tokens 18318 29.28% 23.97 80.28% -0.036 0.3376 -0.284
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5275 9.73% 36.35 91.37% 0.571 -0.0614 0.893
Start of Game Growth 7589 12.63% 35.17 87.69% 0.344 -0.251 0.655
Unlimited Undo 15842 26.19% 31.83 82.19% -0.149 -0.1015 0.664
Using Tokens but Not Events 20560 21.18% 28.94 85.43% 0.287 0.2213 -0.244

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6922 29.85% 31.66 78.92% 0.121 -0.0415 0.144
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 54 31.48% 25.54 59.26% 0.273 -0.4194 0.415
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2533 47.84% 28.66 70.11% 0.276 0.5524 -0.21
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 76 32.0% 26.68 67.11% 0.06 -0.7338 0.265
Downpour Drenches the World 779 27.03% 23.15 59.44% -0.234 0.0214 -0.936
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 882 34.25% 27.43 61.56% 0.13 -0.2936 0.375
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9703 25.91% 29.89 81.07% 0.208 -0.1475 -0.059
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7717 28.85% 29.63 79.62% 0.266 -0.1743 -0.189
Finder of Paths Unseen 428 42.49% 21.88 53.27% 0.061 0.7594 0.604
Fractured Days Split the Sky 830 38.26% 29.44 69.52% -0.133 0.4465 0.156
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 965 40.73% 28.88 67.88% -0.222 -0.2815 0.234
Heart of the Wildfire 3409 52.03% 30.14 69.96% 0.004 0.3156 0.043
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6306 34.3% 34.25 77.01% -0.304 -0.5966 0.426
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 232 23.71% 20.47 52.16% -0.105 -0.5011 -0.494
Lightning's Swift Strike 5757 31.38% 29.88 76.01% -0.472 -0.1412 -0.024
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 350 36.58% 29.56 68.0% -0.279 -0.7442 0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 559 35.39% 33.06 76.21% -0.578 -0.9176 0.637
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1289 33.78% 34.16 75.8% 0.263 0.2848 0.631
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2579 38.05% 30.23 71.93% -0.451 -0.7453 -0.231
Many Minds Move as One 1732 34.16% 32.22 79.33% 0.434 0.3146 -0.063
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4488 34.54% 31.69 74.58% 0.134 0.0551 0.332
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8747 36.7% 29.69 73.79% -0.383 -0.5468 -0.126
River Surges in Sunlight 5542 29.56% 30.21 77.72% 0.303 0.3972 0.459
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 19 21.05% 29.58 73.68% 0.407 0.2626 0.066
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1050 34.88% 26.83 68.0% -0.303 0.1902 0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 381 36.6% 28.67 64.04% 0.076 0.0519 0.659
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4548 35.72% 34.8 75.46% 0.534 0.3026 0.448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1946 44.9% 26.25 69.73% 0.536 1.0455 -0.526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 140 32.33% 22.62 60.71% -0.134 -0.0256 -0.948
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 110 30.28% 27.48 70.0% 0.58 -0.0127 -0.488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 128 38.33% 22.41 59.38% -0.597 -0.2436 -0.709
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 487 36.86% 27.84 74.33% 0.778 0.7101 0.258
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 443 42.0% 26.56 70.2% -0.925 -0.6711 0.139
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3863 32.51% 35.16 77.89% 0.564 0.4479 0.541
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 332 28.48% 28.35 65.36% 0.16 0.0232 -0.771
Shifting Memory of Ages 1086 34.63% 25.09 64.64% -0.4 -0.0602 -0.102
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 46 21.74% 27.61 60.87% 0.397 0.095 1.106
Shroud of Silent Mist 1088 42.3% 27.25 73.9% -0.068 0.2553 -0.355
Starlight Seeks its Form 1136 35.48% 29.23 73.59% -0.066 -0.2465 0.514
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2837 40.85% 30.68 70.53% 0.028 -0.6701 -0.398
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6217 28.28% 30.68 78.8% 0.017 0.2504 0.466
Thunderspeaker 3621 36.94% 31.96 75.14% 0.507 0.486 0.46
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 144 38.19% 17.45 40.28% -1.016 -0.8315 -0.745
Towering Roots of the Jungle 71 47.89% 22.63 57.75% 0.017 -0.0034 0.186
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1902 57.45% 30.2 67.61% 0.415 0.4873 0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth 3843 30.66% 25.88 76.16% -0.636 -0.0841 -0.084
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 319 32.05% 21.29 51.72% -0.893 -0.3244 -0.839
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 608 36.18% 24.76 62.01% 0.145 0.8795 -1.008
Volcano Looming High 1549 40.09% 29.75 72.5% 0.247 0.3706 0.154
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 245 25.21% 24.04 64.9% 0.179 -0.1118 -0.577

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.36%
Gift of Furious Might 93.96%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.67%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.38%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 17757 15.69 12.82%
II 52202 30.47 71.83%
III 59448 34.79 91.43%
IV 18554 38.42 99.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2275
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 53627
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36896
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18342
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8173
Lose: Invader deck ran out 828
Lose: Adversary condition 9178
Win: Sacrifice victory 190
Lose: Scenario condition 1212
Win: Scenario condition 1206
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15394
Lose: Spirit destroyed 640

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.09 Win Model: -0.156

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.27 Win Model: -0.044
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 84502 35.1% 30.27 76.95%
2 35262 40.51% 29.51 74.18%
3 14242 37.44% 31.56 75.81%
4 11514 30.31% 32.17 76.7%
5 455 28.41% 26.26 72.31%
6 1986 18.75% 24.06 70.29%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-04 05:48:05 (Pacific Time)