Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 90 22.22% 23.1 68.89% -0.38 -0.6002 -0.173
Blitz 0 2520 28.6% 28.79 80.24% 0.531 0.8175 -0.811
Dahan Insurrection 4 1332 29.29% 42.48 56.23% -1.041 -1.1561 0.217
Despicable Theft 2 264 33.33% 25.57 55.3% -0.498 0.2401 -0.732
Elemental Invocation 1 541 48.33% 28.94 61.37% -1.385 -0.6287 -1.409
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5946 14.07% 43.67 75.7% 0.242 -0.34 0.936
Powers Long Forgotten 1 667 55.12% 29.37 60.12% -1.021 -0.167 -0.665
Rituals of Terror 3 559 50.92% 35.38 61.0% -0.519 -0.6888 -0.154
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 455 66.15% 32.62 52.97% -1.581 -0.6701 -0.291
Second Wave 0 8747 30.98% 30.91 83.96% 0.64 0.7192 0.276
The Great River 3 485 50.1% 29.49 64.74% -0.794 0.5692 -0.986
Varied Terrains 2 146 48.28% 24.13 54.11% -0.768 0.1119 -1.029
Ward the Shores 2 833 41.7% 30.5 55.34% -0.817 0.1642 -1.24

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 80959 35.02% 29.93 77.1% 0.315 0.6586 0.071
1 Thematic 4304 35.62% 35.78 71.91% 0.61 1.1377 0.384
2 Archipelago 65 27.69% 29.65 76.92% -0.376 0.123 -0.138
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24062 41.52% 29.3 73.92% 0.1 0.3848 0.212
2 Coastline 3164 34.4% 29.37 79.74% 0.471 0.4998 0.502
2 Fragment 655 47.37% 26.83 75.57% 0.304 0.0671 0.584
2 Heart 353 42.43% 28.49 75.35% 0.639 0.491 0.386
2 Opposite Shores 4750 35.97% 29.14 75.6% 0.677 0.7364 -0.24
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 2136 45.4% 32.07 59.5% -0.676 -0.3062 -0.553
2 Top to Top 545 37.48% 29.33 76.33% 0.235 0.358 0.241
3 Archipelago 35 53.13% 31.2 80.0% 0.785 -0.0129 0.0
3 Coastline 136 48.15% 28.74 66.91% 0.003 -0.5457 0.584
3 Other 566 32.68% 27.84 79.86% -0.1 -0.6377 0.02
3 Round (Default) 13162 37.23% 31.52 75.8% 0.276 0.1828 0.06
3 Sunrise 83 40.24% 39.27 75.9% -0.523 -0.3718 0.835
3 Thematic 513 43.75% 32.13 61.99% -0.144 -0.6625 0.598
4 Archipelago 69 25.76% 31.77 85.51% 0.015 0.4484 -0.392
4 Coastline 89 40.45% 29.57 75.28% 0.146 -0.6139 -0.05
4 Leaf 66 38.46% 26.62 65.15% -0.79 -1.0017 -0.004
4 Other 458 29.02% 27.59 75.55% -0.571 -0.5629 1.027
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 25.0 66.67% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1446 34.42% 38.41 69.78% -0.149 -0.0155 -0.239
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9474 29.72% 31.31 77.36% -0.062 0.0446 -0.156
5 Archipelago 8 50.0% 25.38 50.0% 0.0 0.168 0.0
5 Coastline 31 16.13% 27.61 74.19% -0.005 -0.5112 -0.538
5 Other 507 28.89% 27.96 76.33% 0.005 -0.5093 -0.387
5 Thematic 42 47.62% 29.62 71.43% -0.109 -1.0909 0.649
6 Archipelago 39 6.9% 28.85 82.05% -0.161 -0.8903 0.0
6 Coastline 38 20.0% 26.66 86.84% 0.0 -1.0392 0.0
6 Other 361 17.95% 21.92 72.58% -0.791 -0.1563 0.49
6 Star 136 21.32% 25.19 72.79% 0.396 0.6406 -1.325
6 Thematic 515 23.59% 22.22 51.65% -0.957 -0.6337 -1.267
6 Two Centers (Default) 987 16.63% 24.86 75.48% 0.064 -0.0398 -0.584
7 Archipelago 9 37.5% 16.44 33.33% -0.328 0.2637 -0.759
7 Other 22 4.76% 23.27 59.09% 0.259 -1.1774 0.144

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3848 30.41 56.0% -0.07 0.0337 -0.063
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3391 32.25 58.6% 0.094 -0.0503 0.199
All Things Weaken 2347 28.85 49.51% -0.713 -0.3473 -0.508
Attenuated Essence 255 26.89 47.45% 0.176 0.1741 -0.11
Back Against the Wall 3285 31.4 55.89% 0.045 0.1099 0.189
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 290 26.6 47.24% -0.582 -0.3466 -0.339
Burn Brightest Before the End 222 29.67 54.5% 0.139 0.2998 0.211
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3731 27.71 53.66% -0.539 -0.1628 -0.29
Downward Spiral 6761 26.96 62.51% -0.095 -0.0233 0.031
Erosion of Will 3748 30.09 54.64% -0.274 -0.0177 -0.177
Intensifying Exploitation 284 25.06 41.9% -0.162 0.1121 -0.06
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1017 33.13 78.37% 1.062 0.5751 -0.078
Memory Fades to Dust 6984 26.71 60.35% -0.102 0.0813 -0.228
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2269 28.87 54.65% 0.091 0.3033 -0.08
Promising Farmlands 3671 28.55 53.64% -0.663 -0.34 -0.378
Shattered Fragments of Power 230 29.47 48.7% 0.246 0.4165 -0.429
Slow Dissolution of Will 287 25.79 44.95% -0.252 0.1314 -0.958
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 648 33.36 81.33% 0.624 -0.0527 0.488
The Border of Life and Death 68 26.96 60.29% 0.918 0.4021 -0.525
Thriving Communities 2270 28.54 54.32% -0.105 0.2194 -0.071
Thriving Crops 124 26.32 55.65% 0.638 0.6391 -0.322
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 0.0 -0.132
Unnatural Proliferation 2417 30.17 53.99% -0.071 0.1162 -0.338
Untended Land Crumbles 2301 28.73 55.41% -0.085 0.2538 -0.127

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 34100 35.24% 29.3 75.63% -0.298 0.5651 0.789
B 35962 34.75% 30.14 76.33% -0.228 0.5933 0.675
C 35614 34.11% 30.69 76.83% -0.051 0.6466 0.624
D 30943 34.96% 29.71 76.34% -0.385 0.4707 0.566
E 18437 37.29% 29.46 73.92% -0.166 0.522 0.625
F 29741 35.49% 29.94 76.76% 0.104 0.922 0.894
G 29476 35.22% 30.24 75.96% -0.187 0.6939 0.629
H 29202 35.53% 29.63 76.29% -0.104 0.6766 0.627
East 6427 37.21% 34.94 66.3% -0.622 0.1702 0.231
Northeast 4307 35.63% 34.88 65.08% -0.586 0.2949 0.31
Northwest 3463 35.25% 34.37 63.85% 0.022 0.8933 -0.121
Southeast 1613 34.41% 29.83 63.55% 0.189 1.0477 0.489
Southwest 1534 34.01% 27.45 61.15% 0.306 1.5155 0.091
West 5637 38.11% 33.66 64.18% -0.733 0.3274 -0.041

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6437 0.0% 19.83 75.78% -1.173 -0.4577 -0.393
Not Using Events or Tokens 18609 29.22% 23.88 79.91% -0.166 0.3082 -0.281
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5336 9.79% 36.18 90.99% 0.468 -0.0997 0.974
Start of Game Growth 7702 12.67% 34.99 87.31% 0.288 -0.3768 0.609
Unlimited Undo 16030 26.18% 31.72 81.93% -0.183 -0.1597 0.662
Using Tokens but Not Events 20818 21.16% 28.86 85.16% 0.091 0.1387 -0.226

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7005 29.81% 31.57 78.56% 0.302 0.1058 0.183
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 96 21.88% 24.82 62.5% 0.417 -0.2972 0.439
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2559 47.78% 28.46 69.64% -0.741 -0.4721 -0.174
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 106 32.38% 25.23 54.72% -0.36 -0.9272 -0.445
Downpour Drenches the World 823 26.3% 22.92 59.66% 0.147 0.4166 -1.028
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 924 34.53% 27.46 61.47% 0.812 0.3798 0.316
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9831 25.83% 29.77 80.87% 0.307 -0.1157 -0.029
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7823 28.71% 29.55 79.5% 0.476 0.0308 -0.166
Finder of Paths Unseen 443 42.4% 21.71 52.82% 0.024 0.6812 0.622
Fractured Days Split the Sky 856 37.91% 29.17 69.39% 0.044 0.8516 0.209
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1027 40.12% 28.3 66.11% -0.09 -0.2079 0.239
Heart of the Wildfire 3461 51.97% 29.96 69.78% 0.148 0.4355 0.04
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6348 34.25% 34.18 76.87% -0.308 -0.7009 0.454
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 251 24.3% 20.29 52.59% -0.031 -0.4351 -0.472
Lightning's Swift Strike 5817 31.56% 29.83 75.78% -0.224 0.0436 0.042
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 361 36.0% 29.35 67.87% 0.033 -0.3188 0.134
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 566 35.3% 32.85 75.97% -0.123 -0.564 0.64
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1315 33.57% 33.96 75.51% 0.463 0.4204 0.659
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2607 37.99% 30.14 71.65% -0.399 -0.6493 -0.183
Many Minds Move as One 1771 34.3% 32.16 79.22% 0.806 0.5758 0.074
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4547 34.33% 31.59 74.22% 0.331 0.2272 0.37
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8863 36.57% 29.55 73.38% -0.142 -0.2981 -0.103
River Surges in Sunlight 5612 29.36% 30.08 77.33% 0.134 0.2226 0.481
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 31 22.58% 25.16 61.29% 0.272 0.1603 -0.07
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1077 34.45% 26.68 67.78% -0.115 0.2747 0.047
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 399 35.55% 28.15 63.41% -0.49 -0.3529 0.667
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4577 35.65% 34.75 75.49% 0.885 0.6917 0.481
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1957 44.91% 26.16 69.49% 0.028 0.5136 -0.491
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 144 31.39% 22.57 59.03% -0.76 -0.7039 -0.925
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 137 31.85% 27.01 70.07% 0.742 0.2737 -0.311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 132 37.9% 21.88 57.58% -1.31 -1.0949 -0.687
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 504 35.99% 27.1 72.42% -0.519 -0.49 0.291
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 448 41.83% 26.38 69.64% -1.379 -1.2063 0.168
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3889 32.5% 35.04 77.58% 0.473 0.32 0.557
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 349 28.35% 28.13 65.04% 0.216 0.0167 -0.78
Shifting Memory of Ages 1117 34.11% 24.74 63.83% -0.455 -0.0061 -0.106
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 74 25.68% 25.45 55.41% 0.176 -0.1284 1.259
Shroud of Silent Mist 1111 41.87% 27.18 73.63% 0.013 0.3491 -0.327
Starlight Seeks its Form 1164 35.23% 29.19 73.54% 0.224 0.1692 0.594
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2863 40.69% 30.64 70.49% 0.043 -0.5805 -0.37
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6307 28.28% 30.56 78.42% 0.179 0.3727 0.493
Thunderspeaker 3650 37.07% 31.9 75.12% 0.551 0.4967 0.495
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 153 36.6% 17.76 41.83% 0.153 0.2869 -0.723
Towering Roots of the Jungle 97 50.52% 21.9 49.48% -0.105 -0.0961 -0.412
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1921 57.29% 30.15 67.41% 0.179 0.2615 0.197
Vital Strength of the Earth 3876 30.56% 25.84 76.06% -0.411 0.184 -0.071
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 338 32.01% 20.88 51.18% -0.731 -0.2919 -0.788
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 618 36.13% 24.65 61.49% -0.099 0.5924 -0.976
Volcano Looming High 1585 40.22% 29.56 71.99% -0.073 0.0302 0.154
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 292 27.34% 22.68 59.59% 0.122 -0.13 -0.505

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.37%
Gift of Furious Might 93.97%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.7%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.39%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 18322 15.45 12.58%
II 52779 30.45 71.74%
III 60002 34.8 91.41%
IV 18781 38.47 99.23%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2303
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 54120
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 37262
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 18567
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 8686
Lose: Invader deck ran out 836
Lose: Adversary condition 9276
Win: Sacrifice victory 193
Lose: Scenario condition 1232
Win: Scenario condition 1210
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15554
Lose: Spirit destroyed 645

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.261 Win Model: -0.139

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.308 Win Model: -0.129
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 85513 35.05% 30.2 76.76%
2 35731 40.45% 29.44 73.98%
3 14446 37.38% 31.45 75.51%
4 11652 30.3% 32.03 76.42%
5 467 28.54% 26.02 71.73%
6 2075 18.53% 23.76 69.2%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)