Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 78 23.08% 24.13 73.08% -0.114 -0.0267 -0.135
Blitz 0 2450 28.68% 28.94 80.78% 0.05 0.2709 -0.725
Dahan Insurrection 4 1286 29.72% 43.25 57.39% -0.287 -0.5177 0.221
Despicable Theft 2 241 34.02% 26.03 55.6% -0.79 0.0331 -0.724
Elemental Invocation 1 516 48.74% 29.48 62.79% -0.526 0.5368 -1.394
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5756 14.24% 44.03 76.16% 1.033 0.3053 0.92
Powers Long Forgotten 1 643 56.16% 29.89 61.12% -0.529 0.3463 -0.652
Rituals of Terror 3 548 51.78% 35.68 61.31% -0.572 -0.553 -0.12
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 442 67.65% 33.34 54.07% -1.196 -0.0348 -0.327
Second Wave 0 8489 31.01% 30.98 84.16% 0.526 0.6323 0.234
The Great River 3 462 50.65% 30.19 66.02% -0.822 0.5516 -0.929
Varied Terrains 2 128 49.22% 25.27 57.03% -1.353 -0.4878 -0.943
Ward the Shores 2 813 41.99% 30.86 55.72% -1.262 -0.2099 -1.218

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 78306 35.11% 30.15 77.65% 1.105 1.1228 0.121
1 Thematic 4204 35.89% 35.91 72.07% 0.615 1.0295 0.431
2 Archipelago 62 29.03% 30.58 79.03% -0.177 0.3645 -0.14
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 23121 41.88% 29.57 74.54% 0.699 0.6344 0.222
2 Coastline 3020 34.62% 29.51 80.23% 1.329 1.2028 0.438
2 Fragment 613 47.35% 27.06 76.35% 0.829 0.3762 0.604
2 Heart 339 42.41% 28.66 75.52% -0.047 -0.1511 0.429
2 Opposite Shores 4636 35.98% 29.26 75.8% 0.756 0.5632 -0.246
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6381 0.0
2 Thematic 2068 46.33% 32.66 60.35% -0.051 0.1016 -0.527
2 Top to Top 523 37.85% 29.67 76.86% 0.101 -0.1124 0.29
3 Archipelago 30 53.33% 31.7 80.0% 0.527 -0.6856 0.0
3 Coastline 127 48.41% 29.44 68.5% 0.344 -0.3937 0.397
3 Other 550 32.72% 28.24 80.55% 0.754 0.4211 0.025
3 Round (Default) 12652 37.54% 31.79 76.36% 0.714 0.411 0.039
3 Sunrise 82 39.51% 39.66 76.83% 0.0 0.5536 0.851
3 Thematic 476 44.63% 33.12 63.24% 0.402 0.0313 0.606
4 Archipelago 63 27.42% 32.6 88.89% 0.373 -0.1205 -0.418
4 Coastline 87 41.38% 29.84 75.86% 0.244 -0.4763 -0.065
4 Leaf 64 39.68% 27.45 67.19% -1.614 -0.9031 0.0
4 Other 419 30.81% 28.32 78.76% -0.529 -1.2812 1.001
4 Reverse Snake 3 0.0% 25.0 66.67% -0.14 0.4233 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.9773 0.0
4 Thematic 1413 34.52% 38.76 70.21% -0.189 0.1013 -0.246
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9113 30.02% 31.84 78.38% -0.517 -0.2009 -0.095
5 Archipelago 8 50.0% 25.38 50.0% 0.205 0.1759 0.0
5 Coastline 29 17.24% 29.52 79.31% 0.074 -0.3138 -0.466
5 Other 463 26.58% 28.78 78.19% 0.181 -0.5017 -0.406
5 Thematic 41 46.34% 30.34 73.17% -0.546 -0.4314 0.642
6 Archipelago 36 7.69% 28.83 83.33% -0.349 -1.1008 0.0
6 Coastline 38 20.0% 26.66 86.84% 0.236 -0.2725 0.0
6 Other 313 17.82% 22.37 77.0% -1.149 -0.7251 0.608
6 Star 130 21.54% 25.54 73.08% 0.022 0.2772 -1.338
6 Thematic 456 26.21% 23.62 54.39% -1.363 -1.3654 -1.414
6 Two Centers (Default) 912 16.99% 25.21 76.54% -1.106 -1.0772 -0.579
7 Archipelago 8 42.86% 18.5 37.5% -0.07 0.4544 -0.733
7 Other 21 5.0% 24.38 61.9% 0.34 -1.0854 0.12

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3768 30.47 56.05% -0.474 -0.3297 -0.111
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3322 32.33 58.61% 0.324 0.2905 0.162
All Things Weaken 2285 28.95 49.63% -0.467 -0.0973 -0.556
Attenuated Essence 221 26.26 45.7% -0.066 0.0519 -0.241
Back Against the Wall 3215 31.43 55.89% -0.593 -0.5062 0.124
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 231 27.71 47.62% -0.378 -0.1548 -0.194
Burn Brightest Before the End 189 28.86 53.44% 0.709 0.8136 0.16
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3634 27.87 53.96% 0.009 0.3818 -0.32
Downward Spiral 6592 27.09 62.61% 0.141 0.3321 -0.0
Erosion of Will 3661 30.13 54.68% 0.082 0.3715 -0.243
Intensifying Exploitation 238 25.21 40.76% -0.414 -0.1416 -0.066
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 986 33.07 78.19% 0.31 -0.2428 -0.143
Memory Fades to Dust 6810 26.75 60.38% 0.007 0.3173 -0.268
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2203 28.9 54.52% -0.112 0.1912 -0.124
Promising Farmlands 3584 28.68 53.82% -0.403 -0.0617 -0.425
Shattered Fragments of Power 195 29.78 46.67% 0.17 0.28 -0.445
Slow Dissolution of Will 235 25.27 43.4% -0.466 -0.0418 -1.265
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 625 33.69 81.92% 0.348 -0.2555 0.491
The Border of Life and Death 56 26.8 58.93% 0.223 -0.036 -0.614
Thriving Communities 2195 28.61 54.53% -0.249 0.0729 -0.087
Thriving Crops 103 25.93 51.46% 0.089 0.0341 -0.395
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 0.5138 -0.183
Unnatural Proliferation 2345 30.27 53.94% 0.309 0.4624 -0.415
Untended Land Crumbles 2230 28.82 55.47% -0.149 0.1605 -0.162

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 32763 35.47% 29.62 76.42% -0.514 0.3793 0.798
B 34600 34.99% 30.45 77.16% -0.151 0.6623 0.659
C 34396 34.31% 30.96 77.35% -0.16 0.5079 0.617
D 29771 35.22% 30.02 77.11% -0.26 0.5699 0.567
E 17489 37.68% 29.81 74.64% -0.276 0.4117 0.619
F 28602 35.75% 30.25 77.39% -0.002 0.769 0.892
G 28285 35.51% 30.6 76.74% -0.251 0.5049 0.63
H 28064 35.8% 29.94 76.97% -0.348 0.407 0.644
East 6189 37.89% 35.54 67.15% -0.659 0.1998 0.271
Northeast 4141 36.37% 35.58 66.1% -0.439 0.2878 0.305
Northwest 3322 36.09% 35.11 64.81% 0.268 1.0716 -0.131
Southeast 1502 35.83% 30.6 64.78% -0.772 -0.0752 0.479
Southwest 1426 35.45% 28.33 62.9% -0.619 0.7397 0.043
West 5421 38.81% 34.26 64.99% 0.134 1.1139 -0.052

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 6115 0.0% 20.23 77.43% -0.632 0.2078 -0.462
Not Using Events or Tokens 17830 29.36% 24.17 80.85% -0.433 0.0049 -0.3
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5141 9.76% 36.51 91.85% 0.517 -0.0547 0.78
Start of Game Growth 7369 12.63% 35.45 88.34% 0.18 -0.366 0.664
Unlimited Undo 15390 26.59% 32.16 83.03% -0.13 -0.0861 0.75
Using Tokens but Not Events 20106 21.23% 29.05 85.82% 0.247 0.2165 -0.265

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 6804 29.96% 31.79 79.26% 0.303 0.1935 0.145
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2509 47.94% 28.69 70.23% -0.295 -0.1361 -0.191
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 63 33.87% 26.35 68.25% 0.056 -0.7664 0.047
Downpour Drenches the World 711 27.23% 23.73 59.92% -0.579 -0.2673 -0.9
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 786 34.74% 27.8 60.94% 0.217 -0.2644 0.336
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9375 26.3% 30.28 81.93% 0.261 -0.1791 0.157
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7512 28.96% 29.89 80.06% 0.192 -0.2645 -0.211
Finder of Paths Unseen 406 43.07% 22.14 53.2% -0.656 0.0044 0.761
Fractured Days Split the Sky 803 38.67% 29.82 70.11% 0.28 0.9392 0.238
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 917 41.01% 29.33 69.03% -0.049 0.0117 0.276
Heart of the Wildfire 3354 52.08% 30.29 70.24% 0.299 0.5568 0.046
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6151 34.82% 34.74 78.07% 0.168 -0.2175 0.609
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 174 21.84% 20.56 51.72% 0.041 -0.3366 -0.552
Lightning's Swift Strike 5597 31.98% 30.42 77.22% -0.627 -0.3678 0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 333 37.15% 30.02 69.07% 0.665 0.1217 0.338
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 541 36.59% 33.63 76.89% -0.004 -0.2368 0.681
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1256 34.12% 34.37 75.96% 0.288 0.0228 0.679
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2523 38.29% 30.58 72.61% -0.173 -0.4956 -0.191
Many Minds Move as One 1682 34.14% 32.25 79.55% 0.346 0.1394 -0.001
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 4400 34.71% 31.89 74.93% 0.325 0.2938 0.364
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8567 36.94% 29.95 74.22% -0.16 -0.3067 -0.088
River Surges in Sunlight 5416 29.71% 30.42 78.06% 0.13 0.24 0.464
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1023 35.3% 26.99 68.52% -0.201 0.1536 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 360 37.08% 29.42 65.0% 0.392 0.2658 0.627
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4485 35.71% 34.89 75.59% 0.597 0.4177 0.426
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1923 45.24% 26.35 69.68% 0.57 1.1186 -0.489
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 134 33.07% 23.13 61.94% -0.191 -0.0726 -0.895
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 81 32.1% 27.57 67.9% -0.129 -0.5012 -0.644
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 120 40.71% 23.42 61.67% 0.328 0.4704 -0.625
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 465 37.78% 28.2 74.84% 0.174 0.201 0.254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 436 42.49% 26.89 71.1% -0.723 -0.5707 0.15
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3811 32.82% 35.23 77.83% -0.438 -0.5431 0.537
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 294 29.18% 29.02 64.97% 0.059 -0.1649 -0.711
Shifting Memory of Ages 1045 35.13% 25.63 65.84% -0.186 0.1901 -0.065
Shroud of Silent Mist 1049 42.45% 27.5 74.36% -0.065 0.3015 -0.267
Starlight Seeks its Form 1076 36.44% 29.7 74.63% 0.115 -0.0829 0.599
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2786 41.31% 30.9 71.0% 0.457 -0.256 -0.391
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6071 28.29% 30.85 79.21% 0.062 0.2177 0.484
Thunderspeaker 3545 37.43% 32.09 75.29% 0.062 0.0799 0.498
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 134 39.55% 17.92 41.79% -0.209 -0.1034 -0.544
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1866 57.27% 30.27 67.47% 0.624 0.7584 0.225
Vital Strength of the Earth 3767 30.84% 26.11 76.75% -0.292 0.2483 -0.084
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 291 33.8% 22.04 53.95% -0.956 -0.6184 -0.849
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 579 37.5% 25.12 62.0% -0.876 -0.1496 -0.977
Volcano Looming High 1475 40.79% 30.08 72.75% 0.04 0.021 0.196
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 190 25.13% 24.5 67.37% -0.008 -0.4396 -0.515

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.34%
Gift of Furious Might 93.93%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.59%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.36%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 16736 16.21 13.3%
II 51222 30.54 71.95%
III 58409 34.77 91.41%
IV 18148 38.38 99.22%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2225
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 52673
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 36261
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 17937
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7198
Lose: Invader deck ran out 820
Lose: Adversary condition 9051
Win: Sacrifice victory 189
Lose: Scenario condition 1191
Win: Scenario condition 1191
Lose: Blight pool ran out 15149
Lose: Spirit destroyed 630

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.971 Win Model: -0.184

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.224 Win Model: 0.201
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 82734 35.16% 30.42 77.29%
2 34383 40.76% 29.7 74.54%
3 13883 37.67% 31.75 76.09%
4 11208 30.64% 32.56 77.44%
5 422 26.54% 27.11 74.41%
6 1885 19.29% 24.41 71.35%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-14 05:47:50 (Pacific Time)