Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 54 27.78% 26.17 79.63% 0.062 -0.1936 0.403
Blitz 0 2202 29.34% 29.76 82.92% 0.243 0.4398 -0.821
Dahan Insurrection 4 1147 31.82% 45.74 59.81% -0.958 -1.4 0.115
Despicable Theft 2 168 36.31% 29.22 64.29% -2.407 -1.5946 -0.6
Elemental Invocation 1 358 51.54% 31.16 69.83% -0.266 0.4372 -1.065
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5231 13.7% 44.47 77.6% 1.06 0.4159 0.8
Powers Long Forgotten 1 563 61.03% 31.57 63.59% -0.821 -0.1854 -0.829
Rituals of Terror 3 477 54.09% 37.97 64.78% -0.147 -0.0457 -0.009
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 384 72.92% 36.94 60.16% -0.98 0.0289 -0.188
Second Wave 0 7595 31.18% 31.34 85.08% 0.436 0.5021 -0.075
The Great River 3 388 53.09% 31.91 69.85% -0.014 1.2032 -0.85
Varied Terrains 2 75 52.0% 29.61 69.33% -0.324 0.2991 -1.19
Ward the Shores 2 719 43.88% 32.61 57.72% -0.101 0.9835 -1.326

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 68412 35.42% 31.22 80.24% -0.068 -0.014 -0.058
1 Thematic 3751 36.53% 36.7 74.35% -0.376 0.1019 0.239
2 Archipelago 50 30.0% 32.42 84.0% 0.843 0.9465 -0.024
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19829 42.44% 30.82 77.48% -0.046 0.0364 0.059
2 Coastline 2492 37.42% 30.59 80.5% 0.467 0.3133 0.252
2 Fragment 534 46.55% 27.83 77.9% -0.338 -0.5868 0.436
2 Heart 295 43.51% 29.44 77.63% 0.412 0.1252 0.318
2 Opposite Shores 3975 36.14% 30.35 78.44% -0.356 -0.3332 -0.502
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8237 0.0
2 Thematic 1816 47.21% 34.11 62.72% -0.682 -0.2782 -0.835
2 Top to Top 455 38.02% 30.78 80.44% 0.838 0.6722 0.548
3 Archipelago 24 45.83% 33.58 87.5% 0.648 -0.9007 0.0
3 Coastline 114 51.33% 30.69 71.05% -0.007 -0.5211 0.161
3 Other 497 33.2% 29.26 83.7% -0.136 0.4047 -0.28
3 Round (Default) 10903 37.8% 32.88 78.56% -0.027 -0.1419 -0.101
3 Sunrise 73 39.73% 42.33 80.82% -0.512 -0.2326 0.711
3 Thematic 423 46.92% 34.59 65.25% -0.593 -0.5127 0.505
4 Archipelago 43 33.33% 33.65 88.37% 0.276 -0.3988 -0.399
4 Coastline 81 44.44% 30.15 74.07% 0.145 0.3764 0.033
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.264 -0.6074 -0.032
4 Other 337 33.03% 31.05 86.94% 0.703 -0.3807 0.999
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.3465 0.0
4 Thematic 1325 34.98% 39.59 71.4% 0.438 0.1761 -0.353
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8119 30.57% 33.26 81.34% -0.351 -0.4337 -0.037
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -0.9161 0.0
5 Coastline 17 5.88% 36.82 94.12% 1.173 0.5213 0.0
5 Other 321 27.45% 31.14 83.8% 0.081 -0.2041 -0.38
5 Thematic 34 52.94% 32.29 76.47% 0.564 0.4702 1.0
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -0.882 -0.7304 0.0
6 Coastline 31 25.0% 27.9 96.77% -0.467 -1.2678 0.0
6 Other 204 16.41% 24.49 86.76% -0.374 -0.6073 0.415
6 Star 101 23.76% 27.69 73.27% -0.566 -0.5787 -1.363
6 Thematic 261 30.27% 28.72 72.03% -1.112 -0.6914 -1.232
6 Two Centers (Default) 628 18.94% 27.95 85.19% -0.093 0.0112 -0.249
7 Archipelago 5 60.0% 29.6 60.0% -0.654 -0.6732 -0.237
7 Other 11 10.0% 33.45 81.82% -0.245 -0.8578 0.37

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3431 30.87 57.04% -0.212 0.0302 -0.294
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3026 32.7 58.76% 0.186 0.1083 -0.069
All Things Weaken 2026 29.4 50.94% -0.113 0.2794 -0.799
Attenuated Essence 51 24.41 37.25% -0.561 -0.4547 -0.68
Back Against the Wall 2926 31.91 56.36% -0.093 -0.0352 -0.108
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 67 29.82 50.75% 0.082 0.2837 0.284
Burn Brightest Before the End 64 27.7 46.88% -0.198 0.0119 -0.553
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3303 28.28 54.8% -0.179 0.2446 -0.492
Downward Spiral 5923 27.7 63.19% -0.185 0.0509 -0.257
Erosion of Will 3321 30.49 55.28% -0.057 0.2521 -0.453
Intensifying Exploitation 71 25.72 45.07% -0.143 0.1445 -0.078
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 857 34.12 79.7% 0.277 -0.217 -0.312
Memory Fades to Dust 6134 27.3 61.13% -0.539 -0.2028 -0.497
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1904 29.2 54.57% -0.178 0.042 -0.335
Promising Farmlands 3229 29.11 54.51% -0.305 0.1482 -0.623
Shattered Fragments of Power 63 28.7 42.86% 0.063 0.1138 -0.929
Slow Dissolution of Will 68 28.31 52.94% 0.206 0.6049 -0.833
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 550 34.4 83.64% 1.067 0.3567 0.384
The Border of Life and Death 16 31.25 62.5% 0.515 0.1794 -0.679
Thriving Communities 1894 29.24 55.91% -0.141 0.2218 -0.338
Thriving Crops 25 33.84 52.0% 0.253 0.0556 -0.064
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 0.0 -0.431
Unnatural Proliferation 2045 30.74 54.82% -0.002 0.2128 -0.635
Untended Land Crumbles 1925 29.31 56.31% -0.285 -0.003 -0.41

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 28152 36.26% 30.99 79.56% -0.193 0.5472 0.926
B 30061 35.75% 31.65 79.66% -0.424 0.3019 0.696
C 29586 35.04% 32.39 80.37% -0.327 0.2556 0.765
D 25738 36.02% 31.21 79.89% -0.267 0.4445 0.613
E 14295 38.62% 31.34 78.16% -0.4 0.1656 0.69
F 24755 36.17% 31.54 80.16% -0.238 0.4327 0.917
G 24452 35.8% 31.78 79.39% -0.358 0.2938 0.663
H 24201 36.32% 31.12 79.68% -0.246 0.3245 0.671
East 5389 39.12% 37.24 70.42% -0.364 0.1747 0.264
Northeast 3577 37.52% 37.63 70.06% -0.378 0.2568 0.412
Northwest 2854 37.49% 37.25 68.64% -0.35 0.4594 -0.122
Southeast 1159 38.75% 33.7 72.13% -0.154 0.5515 0.464
Southwest 1096 39.74% 31.44 70.44% -0.543 0.4471 0.153
West 4710 40.37% 35.99 68.2% -0.244 0.6599 -0.047

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5199 0.0% 21.63 82.55% -1.01 -0.2337 -0.572
Not Using Events or Tokens 15020 30.13% 25.59 84.79% -0.1 0.2789 -0.212
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4502 9.67% 37.61 94.38% 0.996 0.3788 0.535
Start of Game Growth 6362 12.61% 36.99 91.53% -0.299 -0.6471 0.637
Unlimited Undo 13195 27.07% 33.63 86.79% -0.019 -0.0252 0.838
Using Tokens but Not Events 17503 21.43% 29.96 88.21% 0.494 0.4841 -0.234

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5930 100.0% 32.98 100.0% 0.348 0.2003 0.106
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2259 100.0% 29.57 100.0% -0.011 0.1199 -0.342
Downpour Drenches the World 356 100.0% 27.62 100.0% 0.215 0.3948 -0.539
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 338 100.0% 28.94 100.0% 0.516 -0.249 0.389
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8189 100.0% 31.7 100.0% 0.268 -0.3205 0.129
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6545 100.0% 31.32 100.0% 0.059 -0.4379 -0.327
Finder of Paths Unseen 225 100.0% 26.98 100.0% -0.578 0.0859 0.358
Fractured Days Split the Sky 650 100.0% 31.71 100.0% -0.697 -0.1111 0.198
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 657 100.0% 32.19 100.0% 0.132 0.0374 0.504
Heart of the Wildfire 3035 100.0% 31.32 100.0% -0.049 0.1921 -0.062
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5493 100.0% 35.74 100.0% 0.471 0.0292 0.536
Lightning's Swift Strike 4987 120.3% 31.82 106.22% -0.253 -0.0697 0.202
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 170 36.14% 33.58 79.41% 0.224 -0.2624 0.728
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 431 37.32% 35.52 82.37% 0.289 0.1212 0.703
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1014 35.11% 36.6 80.37% 0.332 0.2183 0.635
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 2034 100.0% 32.58 100.0% 0.053 -0.0793 -0.17
Many Minds Move as One 1383 100.0% 33.23 100.0% -0.038 -0.2593 -0.195
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3850 100.0% 33.35 100.0% 0.007 -0.0352 0.288
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7551 100.0% 31.2 100.0% -0.029 -0.2068 -0.198
River Surges in Sunlight 4629 111.96% 31.84 104.88% -0.26 -0.1897 0.337
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 771 37.78% 30.03 77.3% -0.471 -0.1608 -0.005
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 175 34.5% 32.44 70.86% 0.252 0.139 0.298
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 4024 100.0% 36.21 100.0% 0.75 0.5123 0.331
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1738 128.89% 27.54 112.49% -0.306 0.2238 -0.369
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 74 25.0% 26.99 74.32% -0.28 -0.3552 -0.49
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 62 38.6% 24.87 66.13% -0.345 -0.4506 -0.725
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 400 38.62% 30.46 80.0% 0.506 0.4873 0.273
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 386 45.53% 27.95 74.87% -0.637 -0.4598 -0.144
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3516 101.73% 36.16 100.97% 0.579 0.3894 0.547
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 82 24.69% 22.89 58.54% 0.256 -0.1253 -1.062
Shifting Memory of Ages 694 100.0% 29.46 100.0% 0.036 0.3894 0.081
Shroud of Silent Mist 803 100.0% 29.63 100.0% -0.445 -0.1945 -0.178
Starlight Seeks its Form 713 100.0% 31.93 100.0% 0.531 0.2698 0.116
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2411 100.0% 32.22 100.0% 0.236 -0.2409 -0.413
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5250 100.0% 32.45 100.0% 0.171 0.2341 0.471
Thunderspeaker 3199 100.72% 33.29 100.72% 0.066 0.0325 0.521
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 41 43.9% 16.46 43.9% -0.448 -0.4877 -0.207
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1653 100.0% 31.19 100.0% -0.057 0.0357 0.152
Vital Strength of the Earth 3278 110.73% 27.43 106.31% -0.154 0.3705 -0.171
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 161 41.51% 26.61 64.6% -0.6 -0.3392 -1.079
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 461 41.08% 27.85 67.46% -0.75 0.0261 -1.045
Volcano Looming High 1172 100.0% 31.92 100.0% -0.07 -0.1128 -0.007

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.36%
Gift of Furious Might 93.85%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.31%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 11303 20.4 17.94%
II 45368 31.01 72.86%
III 52429 34.76 91.56%
IV 16208 38.07 99.2%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2027
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 47344
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32513
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 16015
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2016
Lose: Invader deck ran out 735
Lose: Adversary condition 8161
Win: Sacrifice victory 165
Lose: Scenario condition 1082
Win: Scenario condition 1101
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13568
Lose: Spirit destroyed 581

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.21 Win Model: -0.173

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.14 Win Model: -0.127
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 72308 35.5% 31.49 79.91%
2 29478 41.47% 30.89 77.06%
3 12014 38.0% 32.85 78.34%
4 9996 31.36% 33.99 80.19%
5 264 26.48% 29.93 82.58%
6 1248 21.03% 27.5 82.21%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-12 04:02:30 (Pacific Time)