Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 50 28.0% 26.22 80.0% -0.153 -0.3775 0.35
Blitz 0 2167 29.55% 29.87 83.11% 0.262 0.4077 -0.806
Dahan Insurrection 4 1135 32.16% 45.94 59.91% -1.392 -1.644 0.11
Despicable Theft 2 164 37.2% 29.78 65.85% -1.9 -1.1302 -0.627
Elemental Invocation 1 352 51.57% 31.35 70.17% -0.587 0.1701 -1.081
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5188 13.6% 44.45 77.54% 0.954 0.3268 0.758
Powers Long Forgotten 1 556 61.26% 31.74 63.85% -0.837 -0.3156 -0.83
Rituals of Terror 3 476 54.0% 37.92 64.71% -0.412 -0.3627 -0.016
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 382 72.77% 36.91 60.21% -0.888 0.1194 -0.221
Second Wave 0 7519 31.21% 31.38 85.2% 0.506 0.5653 -0.075
The Great River 3 377 52.25% 31.71 70.29% -0.518 0.8295 -1.271
Varied Terrains 2 70 50.0% 29.69 68.57% -0.535 -0.0086 -1.156
Ward the Shores 2 716 43.93% 32.71 57.82% -0.412 0.7387 -1.344

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 67620 35.4% 31.3 80.52% -0.053 0.1494 -0.059
1 Thematic 3717 36.38% 36.71 74.39% -0.5 0.1129 0.195
2 Archipelago 49 30.61% 31.96 83.67% 0.949 1.2858 -0.022
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19578 42.54% 30.92 77.79% -0.086 0.0551 0.07
2 Coastline 2459 37.6% 30.68 80.68% 0.194 0.1941 0.26
2 Fragment 527 45.8% 27.83 78.18% -0.517 -0.6063 0.439
2 Heart 293 43.46% 29.39 77.82% 0.253 -0.0946 0.265
2 Opposite Shores 3915 35.99% 30.54 79.03% -0.234 -0.1497 -0.517
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.579 0.6043 0.0
2 Thematic 1800 47.29% 34.2 62.89% -0.37 0.2827 -0.847
2 Top to Top 446 37.88% 30.82 80.72% 0.537 0.504 0.558
3 Archipelago 24 45.83% 33.58 87.5% 0.686 -0.7388 0.0
3 Coastline 113 51.79% 30.96 71.68% 0.115 -0.4056 0.254
3 Other 489 33.54% 29.39 83.84% 0.16 0.3802 -0.283
3 Round (Default) 10770 37.82% 33.03 78.85% -0.141 -0.2752 -0.1
3 Sunrise 73 39.73% 42.33 80.82% -0.012 0.0468 0.729
3 Thematic 419 46.65% 34.67 65.39% -0.626 -0.604 0.499
4 Archipelago 42 34.15% 33.0 88.1% 0.261 -0.334 -0.401
4 Coastline 81 44.44% 30.15 74.07% 0.191 0.4678 -0.027
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.181 -0.8616 -0.02
4 Other 336 33.13% 31.15 87.2% 0.496 -0.5534 1.02
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.4597 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.4042 0.0
4 Thematic 1321 34.86% 39.61 71.31% 0.217 0.115 -0.336
4 Trapezoid (Default) 8062 30.62% 33.36 81.54% -0.394 -0.6251 -0.016
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.0355 0.0
5 Coastline 17 5.88% 36.82 94.12% 0.446 0.2264 0.0
5 Other 309 26.87% 31.62 85.11% 0.267 -0.2906 -0.349
5 Thematic 34 52.94% 32.29 76.47% 0.677 0.6199 0.958
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.032 -0.763 0.0
6 Coastline 30 28.57% 28.23 96.67% -0.177 -0.9272 0.0
6 Other 197 15.96% 24.27 87.31% -0.811 -1.229 0.319
6 Star 99 24.24% 27.71 72.73% -1.082 -1.0525 -1.375
6 Thematic 248 29.84% 29.04 74.19% -1.05 -0.6277 -1.186
6 Two Centers (Default) 599 19.2% 28.04 85.64% -0.565 -0.6106 -0.21
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.198 -0.1544 -0.224
7 Other 10 0.0% 34.2 80.0% -0.318 -1.2895 0.369

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3405 30.91 57.18% -0.022 0.1675 -0.316
Aid From Lesser Spirits 3001 32.75 58.85% 0.151 0.0974 -0.096
All Things Weaken 2002 29.47 51.1% -0.362 0.0383 -0.812
Attenuated Essence 38 26.18 39.47% -0.399 -0.2772 -0.407
Back Against the Wall 2904 31.96 56.44% -0.148 -0.0597 -0.139
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 57 30.65 56.14% 0.35 0.6579 0.371
Burn Brightest Before the End 49 28.76 53.06% -0.06 0.1612 -0.209
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3277 28.34 54.96% -0.071 0.3629 -0.523
Downward Spiral 5872 27.77 63.42% -0.16 0.1014 -0.291
Erosion of Will 3285 30.52 55.34% -0.179 0.1538 -0.495
Intensifying Exploitation 48 26.4 45.83% -0.321 0.0035 -0.181
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 847 34.23 79.93% 0.323 -0.2061 -0.337
Memory Fades to Dust 6080 27.36 61.27% -0.4 0.0055 -0.521
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1869 29.26 54.79% -0.312 -0.0686 -0.332
Promising Farmlands 3200 29.09 54.56% -0.322 0.1881 -0.662
Shattered Fragments of Power 51 28.49 43.14% -0.213 -0.1241 -0.653
Slow Dissolution of Will 55 27.35 52.73% -0.0 0.4445 -1.084
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 544 34.43 83.64% 0.834 0.1963 0.396
The Border of Life and Death 9 30.89 77.78% 0.735 0.403 -0.435
Thriving Communities 1860 29.37 56.29% -0.179 0.201 -0.377
Thriving Crops 17 33.53 47.06% 0.046 0.018 0.146
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1662 -0.465
Unnatural Proliferation 2018 30.78 55.05% 0.305 0.5227 -0.651
Untended Land Crumbles 1911 29.34 56.2% -0.547 -0.2641 -0.464

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27792 36.27% 31.12 79.92% -0.087 0.7627 0.94
B 29727 35.76% 31.76 79.93% -0.249 0.5651 0.713
C 29237 35.12% 32.5 80.61% -0.159 0.5242 0.763
D 25419 36.09% 31.33 80.2% -0.185 0.6376 0.624
E 14011 38.76% 31.53 78.6% -0.223 0.4237 0.72
F 24472 36.21% 31.63 80.42% -0.081 0.6649 0.929
G 24176 35.73% 31.87 79.69% -0.212 0.5488 0.677
H 23921 36.36% 31.21 79.89% -0.092 0.5937 0.688
East 5335 39.08% 37.31 70.52% -0.413 0.2287 0.287
Northeast 3542 37.55% 37.68 70.16% -0.853 -0.0499 0.415
Northwest 2825 37.38% 37.34 68.88% -0.127 0.6281 -0.089
Southeast 1134 38.55% 33.95 72.84% -0.112 0.6272 0.467
Southwest 1073 39.57% 31.59 71.02% -0.47 0.6131 0.072
West 4666 40.22% 36.07 68.39% -0.0 0.9478 -0.047

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5141 0.0% 21.73 82.92% -0.983 -0.1556 -0.617
Not Using Events or Tokens 14867 30.1% 25.64 85.08% -0.075 0.2572 -0.214
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4456 9.72% 37.69 94.55% 0.961 0.3829 0.501
Start of Game Growth 6279 12.74% 37.16 91.88% -0.458 -0.7321 0.616
Unlimited Undo 12989 27.08% 33.81 87.33% -0.035 -0.0457 0.887
Using Tokens but Not Events 17308 21.51% 30.04 88.37% 0.561 0.492 -0.211

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5877 100.0% 33.05 100.0% 0.514 0.3638 0.105
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2235 100.0% 29.64 100.0% 0.022 0.135 -0.374
Downpour Drenches the World 341 100.0% 27.91 100.0% 0.298 0.4932 -0.577
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 308 100.0% 27.82 100.0% 0.317 -0.4836 0.227
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8101 100.0% 31.81 100.0% 0.177 -0.4081 0.1
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6483 100.0% 31.42 100.0% 0.047 -0.4392 -0.35
Finder of Paths Unseen 211 100.0% 27.59 100.0% -0.72 -0.0474 0.298
Fractured Days Split the Sky 637 100.0% 31.84 100.0% -0.761 -0.1142 0.15
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 631 100.0% 32.23 100.0% -0.159 -0.2472 0.541
Heart of the Wildfire 3010 100.0% 31.38 100.0% -0.052 0.1979 -0.055
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5423 100.0% 35.82 100.0% 0.207 -0.216 0.506
Lightning's Swift Strike 4921 120.13% 32.06 105.95% -0.1 0.1286 0.215
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 157 35.71% 34.39 81.53% 0.435 -0.2254 0.749
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 422 37.32% 35.6 82.7% 0.355 0.1333 0.687
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 999 35.2% 36.8 80.88% 0.206 0.0623 0.597
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1998 100.0% 32.75 100.0% 0.142 0.0015 -0.135
Many Minds Move as One 1368 100.0% 33.31 100.0% -0.174 -0.36 -0.214
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3816 100.0% 33.43 100.0% -0.176 -0.1751 0.258
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7483 100.0% 31.31 100.0% -0.149 -0.2983 -0.217
River Surges in Sunlight 4567 111.84% 32.11 104.6% 0.023 0.0694 0.363
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 756 37.62% 30.38 78.04% -0.146 0.1291 0.043
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 162 33.33% 32.9 72.84% 0.157 0.0437 0.27
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3995 100.0% 36.28 100.0% 0.619 0.4051 0.307
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1719 128.29% 27.68 111.93% -0.248 0.2396 -0.384
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 69 23.53% 26.41 75.36% -0.272 -0.2965 -0.495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 57 39.62% 25.58 64.91% -0.491 -0.5416 -0.737
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 392 38.9% 30.56 80.1% 0.039 -0.0313 0.336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 378 46.18% 28.48 76.19% -0.381 -0.31 0.019
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3494 101.4% 36.25 100.72% 0.722 0.6076 0.546
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 64 22.22% 23.08 60.94% 0.371 -0.0677 -0.954
Shifting Memory of Ages 665 100.0% 29.24 100.0% -0.155 0.2344 0.064
Shroud of Silent Mist 787 100.0% 29.82 100.0% -0.279 0.0224 -0.205
Starlight Seeks its Form 672 100.0% 32.49 100.0% 0.111 -0.1509 0.069
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2376 100.0% 32.34 100.0% 0.151 -0.35 -0.388
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5200 100.0% 32.55 100.0% 0.268 0.3242 0.471
Thunderspeaker 3174 100.63% 33.41 100.6% -0.07 -0.084 0.521
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 35 42.86% 16.37 45.71% -0.089 -0.2074 -0.124
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1634 100.0% 31.39 100.0% -0.026 0.0211 0.115
Vital Strength of the Earth 3249 110.51% 27.55 105.82% -0.267 0.2846 -0.196
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 150 42.28% 27.3 66.67% -0.397 -0.1252 -1.062
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 448 40.65% 28.12 68.97% -0.247 0.6407 -0.905
Volcano Looming High 1153 100.0% 32.07 100.0% 0.07 0.0799 -0.007

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.37%
Gift of Furious Might 93.84%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.3%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10873 20.77 18.5%
II 44878 31.02 72.98%
III 51996 34.74 91.6%
IV 16079 38.04 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 2011
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46971
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 32212
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15886
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1618
Lose: Invader deck ran out 730
Lose: Adversary condition 8077
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 1078
Win: Scenario condition 1094
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13408
Lose: Spirit destroyed 577

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.372 Win Model: -0.162

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.137 Win Model: -0.066
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 71475 35.48% 31.57 80.17%
2 29104 41.52% 31.0 77.37%
3 11868 38.03% 33.01 78.62%
4 9934 31.41% 34.07 80.35%
5 250 25.1% 30.6 84.4%
6 1195 21.05% 27.59 82.93%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-04 02:47:44 (Pacific Time)