Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 45 26.67% 26.13 80.0% -0.353 -0.4184 -0.094
Blitz 0 2136 29.86% 29.91 83.15% -0.153 0.0218 -0.801
Dahan Insurrection 4 1121 32.38% 46.2 60.12% -1.629 -1.8 0.116
Despicable Theft 2 160 38.13% 30.52 67.5% -1.399 -0.7289 -0.65
Elemental Invocation 1 342 52.05% 31.58 70.47% -0.496 0.1867 -0.937
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5106 13.61% 44.48 77.67% 0.82 0.1978 0.74
Powers Long Forgotten 1 554 61.48% 31.74 63.72% -1.033 -0.5729 -0.83
Rituals of Terror 3 470 53.83% 38.05 64.68% -0.489 -0.5483 -0.029
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 379 72.56% 37.02 60.42% -0.332 0.6129 -0.223
Second Wave 0 7431 31.26% 31.42 85.33% 0.657 0.7238 -0.09
The Great River 3 374 52.41% 31.63 70.05% -0.778 0.573 -1.292
Varied Terrains 2 66 48.48% 29.21 68.18% -0.74 -0.1876 -1.161
Ward the Shores 2 709 44.08% 32.84 57.83% -0.518 0.6918 -1.374

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66814 35.43% 31.37 80.75% 0.03 0.2793 -0.109
1 Thematic 3681 36.52% 36.83 74.82% 0.024 0.6808 0.199
2 Archipelago 47 31.91% 32.62 85.11% 0.963 1.4471 0.135
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19311 42.54% 31.01 78.01% -0.11 0.0755 0.016
2 Coastline 2405 38.22% 30.83 80.79% 0.08 0.1403 0.179
2 Fragment 522 45.45% 27.96 78.54% -0.278 -0.368 0.453
2 Heart 290 42.86% 29.21 77.93% 0.283 0.0596 0.142
2 Opposite Shores 3869 35.91% 30.6 79.19% -0.316 -0.1398 -0.558
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.66 0.6395 0.0
2 Thematic 1778 47.31% 34.34 63.1% -0.282 0.3273 -0.875
2 Top to Top 444 37.83% 30.81 80.63% 0.563 0.644 0.51
3 Archipelago 21 52.38% 33.62 85.71% 0.49 -0.4625 0.0
3 Coastline 111 52.73% 30.96 71.17% 0.008 -0.3594 0.22
3 Other 482 33.4% 29.64 84.44% 0.416 0.3002 -0.323
3 Round (Default) 10650 37.84% 33.08 79.0% -0.323 -0.3221 -0.157
3 Sunrise 72 38.89% 42.61 81.94% 0.453 0.7305 0.709
3 Thematic 414 46.73% 34.81 65.7% -0.684 -0.7276 0.558
4 Archipelago 40 35.9% 32.55 87.5% -0.42 -0.3986 -0.392
4 Coastline 79 43.04% 30.15 75.95% 0.853 1.0474 0.838
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.35 -0.6316 -0.038
4 Other 336 33.13% 31.15 87.2% 0.301 -0.5993 1.007
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3473 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 0.0269 0.0
4 Thematic 1314 34.97% 39.62 71.23% -0.078 -0.0568 -0.342
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7959 30.73% 33.54 81.89% -0.35 -0.5361 -0.06
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.175 0.0
5 Coastline 15 6.67% 35.93 93.33% 0.771 0.6543 0.0
5 Other 295 28.21% 32.32 86.78% 0.183 -0.2845 -0.003
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 31.09 75.76% 0.294 -0.1776 0.739
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.219 -1.6239 0.0
6 Coastline 29 16.67% 28.34 96.55% 0.092 -0.6151 0.0
6 Other 181 16.86% 24.61 88.95% -0.451 -0.935 0.255
6 Star 89 21.35% 28.29 74.16% -0.95 -0.5534 -1.416
6 Thematic 229 28.38% 29.19 76.86% -1.258 -0.8093 -1.669
6 Two Centers (Default) 569 18.97% 28.48 86.99% -0.507 -0.3574 -0.231
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.142 -0.4026 -0.2
7 Other 9 0.0% 38.0 88.89% -0.175 -1.0459 0.373

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3378 30.93 57.19% -0.042 0.2549 -0.359
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2982 32.77 58.79% -0.121 -0.0193 -0.124
All Things Weaken 1975 29.47 51.09% -0.885 -0.3879 -0.847
Attenuated Essence 25 28.6 48.0% -0.208 0.1216 -0.116
Back Against the Wall 2882 31.99 56.49% -0.143 0.0862 -0.173
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 37 32.86 59.46% 0.419 0.9462 0.349
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 27.73 61.54% -0.156 0.2099 -0.181
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3256 28.36 54.94% -0.298 0.2852 -0.57
Downward Spiral 5824 27.81 63.5% -0.26 0.122 -0.329
Erosion of Will 3248 30.6 55.48% -0.117 0.3763 -0.514
Intensifying Exploitation 37 25.16 45.95% -0.636 -0.166 -0.593
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 837 34.28 80.05% 0.339 -0.1309 -0.364
Memory Fades to Dust 6031 27.37 61.32% -0.6 -0.0892 -0.555
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1850 29.35 55.03% -0.17 0.1738 -0.346
Promising Farmlands 3169 29.11 54.72% -0.366 0.2712 -0.684
Shattered Fragments of Power 39 27.87 41.03% -0.44 -0.1691 -0.447
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 31.53 70.0% 0.293 0.8895 -0.481
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 535 34.42 83.55% 0.567 -0.12 0.29
The Border of Life and Death 7 29.14 85.71% 0.607 0.5555 0.0
Thriving Communities 1840 29.41 56.36% -0.369 0.1792 -0.394
Thriving Crops 12 39.33 66.67% 0.404 0.6163 1.003
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1286 -0.505
Unnatural Proliferation 1988 30.78 55.13% 0.285 0.6382 -0.706
Untended Land Crumbles 1876 29.25 56.24% -0.732 -0.3297 -0.529

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27402 36.37% 31.21 80.11% -0.091 0.766 0.978
B 29328 35.79% 31.88 80.26% -0.139 0.6407 0.74
C 28808 35.21% 32.61 80.85% -0.211 0.4442 0.789
D 25069 36.19% 31.45 80.45% -0.14 0.6682 0.647
E 13705 38.83% 31.68 79.01% -0.12 0.5147 0.747
F 24170 36.27% 31.73 80.68% 0.004 0.728 0.949
G 23875 35.87% 31.97 79.93% -0.24 0.5114 0.703
H 23584 36.36% 31.32 80.17% -0.147 0.5194 0.715
East 5266 39.16% 37.45 70.85% -0.384 0.247 0.301
Northeast 3503 37.63% 37.82 70.43% -0.818 0.0542 0.384
Northwest 2778 37.44% 37.53 69.37% -0.047 0.581 -0.093
Southeast 1105 38.29% 34.07 73.48% -0.395 0.2822 0.391
Southwest 1040 39.29% 31.66 71.63% -0.419 0.7579 -0.088
West 4599 40.21% 36.21 68.71% 0.079 1.0329 -0.128

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5094 0.0% 21.79 83.14% -1.123 -0.1911 -0.691
Not Using Events or Tokens 14700 30.12% 25.69 85.28% -0.02 0.2919 -0.227
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4402 9.77% 37.79 94.71% 0.671 0.1466 0.422
Start of Game Growth 6181 12.8% 37.38 92.28% -0.068 -0.4217 0.593
Unlimited Undo 12779 27.16% 33.98 87.77% -0.171 -0.2045 0.946
Using Tokens but Not Events 17078 21.6% 30.13 88.63% 0.695 0.6312 -0.179

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5822 100.0% 33.1 100.0% 0.477 0.3306 0.056
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2215 100.0% 29.71 100.0% 0.097 0.1904 -0.414
Downpour Drenches the World 312 100.0% 28.0 100.0% 0.185 0.3797 -0.614
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 229 100.0% 28.11 100.0% 0.248 -0.4344 0.118
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7978 100.0% 31.93 100.0% 0.211 -0.3731 0.061
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6417 100.0% 31.52 100.0% 0.089 -0.3603 -0.387
Finder of Paths Unseen 184 100.0% 27.84 100.0% -0.964 -0.2585 0.273
Fractured Days Split the Sky 624 100.0% 32.22 100.0% -0.565 0.1432 0.096
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 600 100.0% 32.41 100.0% -0.614 -0.7089 0.401
Heart of the Wildfire 2984 100.0% 31.52 100.0% 0.025 0.2931 -0.066
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5348 100.0% 35.91 100.0% 0.228 -0.2404 0.442
Lightning's Swift Strike 4835 119.93% 32.32 105.5% -0.013 0.1957 0.175
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 142 34.53% 35.85 86.62% 0.985 0.2735 1.112
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 414 37.32% 35.95 83.33% 0.937 0.6108 0.76
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 969 34.63% 36.86 81.63% -0.053 -0.2419 0.636
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1955 100.0% 32.92 100.0% 0.146 -0.0245 -0.163
Many Minds Move as One 1344 100.0% 33.46 100.0% -0.027 -0.2717 -0.263
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3784 100.0% 33.55 100.0% -0.005 -0.0288 0.234
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7394 100.0% 31.37 100.0% -0.169 -0.2993 -0.256
River Surges in Sunlight 4486 111.46% 32.31 104.44% -0.191 -0.2003 0.291
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 744 37.99% 30.63 78.49% 0.003 0.2464 0.03
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 143 36.43% 33.83 72.73% -0.227 -0.3756 0.263
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3950 100.0% 36.39 100.0% 0.695 0.4839 0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1705 127.15% 27.7 111.14% -0.064 0.3776 -0.448
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 63 25.81% 28.0 79.37% -0.271 -0.28 -0.426
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 47 39.53% 26.79 68.09% -0.672 -0.6475 -0.609
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 384 39.73% 30.54 79.69% -0.215 -0.2573 0.282
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 369 45.92% 28.8 77.24% -0.249 -0.1773 0.14
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3471 101.09% 36.28 100.52% 0.7 0.5566 0.471
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 46 17.39% 23.87 60.87% 0.234 -0.0916 -0.545
Shifting Memory of Ages 651 100.0% 29.43 100.0% -0.158 0.2128 0.001
Shroud of Silent Mist 765 100.0% 30.35 100.0% -0.137 0.1918 0.027
Starlight Seeks its Form 635 100.0% 32.83 100.0% 0.194 -0.0764 -0.054
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2339 100.0% 32.45 100.0% 0.06 -0.4255 -0.415
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5109 100.0% 32.74 100.0% 0.53 0.5761 0.454
Thunderspeaker 3146 100.54% 33.52 100.51% -0.117 -0.1497 0.471
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 37.04% 14.52 40.74% -0.313 -0.3241 -0.026
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1606 100.0% 31.53 100.0% -0.035 0.0106 0.043
Vital Strength of the Earth 3210 110.36% 27.68 105.7% -0.325 0.2337 -0.246
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 137 42.34% 27.44 67.15% -0.532 -0.2968 -0.922
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 446 40.84% 28.17 69.06% -0.361 0.5449 -0.946
Volcano Looming High 1124 100.0% 32.18 100.0% 0.163 0.1854 -0.093

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.38%
Gift of Furious Might 93.82%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.26%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10434 21.2 18.95%
II 44355 31.05 73.04%
III 51517 34.73 91.62%
IV 15930 38.01 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1976
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46547
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31864
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15738
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1255
Lose: Invader deck ran out 728
Lose: Adversary condition 7981
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 1065
Win: Scenario condition 1084
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13260
Lose: Spirit destroyed 574

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.597 Win Model: -0.163

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.135 Win Model: -0.034
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70628 35.51% 31.65 80.42%
2 28703 41.56% 31.09 77.57%
3 11734 38.04% 33.07 78.79%
4 9820 31.51% 34.22 80.63%
5 233 27.03% 31.35 86.27%
6 1118 20.31% 27.93 84.7%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-26 03:47:51 (Pacific Time)