Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 26.09% 25.57 78.26% -0.538 -0.5992 -0.093
Blitz 0 2142 29.82% 29.9 83.1% -0.092 0.0475 -0.789
Dahan Insurrection 4 1122 32.35% 46.16 60.07% -1.575 -1.7481 0.131
Despicable Theft 2 162 37.65% 30.15 66.67% -1.721 -1.0545 -0.634
Elemental Invocation 1 346 52.31% 31.51 70.52% -0.448 0.2822 -0.95
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5132 13.58% 44.46 77.57% 0.917 0.2843 0.742
Powers Long Forgotten 1 554 61.48% 31.74 63.72% -1.206 -0.7357 -0.82
Rituals of Terror 3 470 53.83% 38.05 64.68% -0.613 -0.6012 -0.017
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 381 72.7% 36.97 60.37% -0.809 0.1399 -0.217
Second Wave 0 7460 31.29% 31.4 85.25% 0.569 0.6461 -0.089
The Great River 3 374 52.41% 31.63 70.05% -0.745 0.622 -1.286
Varied Terrains 2 66 48.48% 29.21 68.18% -0.59 -0.0205 -1.147
Ward the Shores 2 712 44.03% 32.76 57.72% -0.663 0.5724 -1.367

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 67036 35.43% 31.35 80.66% 0.011 0.2446 -0.103
1 Thematic 3694 36.47% 36.79 74.61% -0.199 0.4277 0.193
2 Archipelago 47 31.91% 32.62 85.11% 1.035 1.4247 0.133
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19379 42.52% 30.98 77.93% -0.107 0.0706 0.014
2 Coastline 2419 37.99% 30.75 80.69% -0.01 0.0542 0.186
2 Fragment 522 45.45% 27.96 78.54% -0.218 -0.3056 0.46
2 Heart 291 43.06% 29.16 77.66% 0.044 -0.1415 0.148
2 Opposite Shores 3883 35.94% 30.59 79.17% -0.223 -0.0602 -0.559
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.658 0.6007 0.0
2 Thematic 1784 47.27% 34.34 63.17% -0.234 0.3721 -0.856
2 Top to Top 444 37.83% 30.81 80.63% 0.613 0.6733 0.516
3 Archipelago 21 52.38% 33.62 85.71% 0.503 -0.4982 0.0
3 Coastline 111 52.73% 30.96 71.17% 0.011 -0.4097 0.214
3 Other 485 33.19% 29.56 84.33% 0.386 0.1899 -0.316
3 Round (Default) 10673 37.8% 33.09 78.98% -0.255 -0.2725 -0.155
3 Sunrise 72 38.89% 42.61 81.94% 0.509 0.7377 0.71
3 Thematic 418 46.76% 34.75 65.55% -0.663 -0.6453 0.551
4 Archipelago 40 35.9% 32.55 87.5% -0.345 -0.5311 -0.396
4 Coastline 79 43.04% 30.15 75.95% 0.891 1.0525 0.845
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.268 -0.6316 -0.039
4 Other 336 33.13% 31.15 87.2% 0.315 -0.5427 1.007
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3626 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 -0.0065 0.0
4 Thematic 1316 34.91% 39.64 71.28% 0.032 0.0426 -0.323
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7984 30.69% 33.48 81.79% -0.404 -0.5872 -0.056
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.1911 0.0
5 Coastline 15 6.67% 35.93 93.33% 0.487 0.4756 0.0
5 Other 297 28.01% 32.1 86.2% 0.195 -0.2665 -0.008
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 31.09 75.76% 0.408 0.005 0.748
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.155 -1.4048 0.0
6 Coastline 30 28.57% 28.23 96.67% 0.167 -0.5218 0.0
6 Other 184 16.57% 24.43 88.59% -0.313 -0.7761 0.247
6 Star 91 20.88% 27.91 73.63% -0.943 -0.4576 -1.402
6 Thematic 232 28.02% 28.94 75.86% -1.239 -0.7895 -1.701
6 Two Centers (Default) 577 18.87% 28.28 86.66% -0.522 -0.4165 -0.256
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.166 -0.4243 -0.208
7 Other 10 0.0% 34.2 80.0% -0.486 -1.1657 0.365

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3384 30.93 57.18% 0.03 0.3031 -0.335
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2988 32.79 58.84% 0.002 0.0664 -0.109
All Things Weaken 1982 29.47 51.06% -0.754 -0.2844 -0.833
Attenuated Essence 30 28.17 46.67% -0.22 0.0393 -0.307
Back Against the Wall 2887 31.99 56.46% -0.18 0.0026 -0.156
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 42 32.83 61.9% 0.497 0.9605 0.441
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 27.41 55.17% -0.181 0.1423 -0.561
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3259 28.36 54.92% -0.295 0.2491 -0.555
Downward Spiral 5837 27.79 63.42% -0.344 0.0127 -0.313
Erosion of Will 3258 30.57 55.34% -0.402 0.0521 -0.5
Intensifying Exploitation 40 24.43 42.5% -0.692 -0.2835 -0.671
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 843 34.26 80.07% 0.469 -0.0425 -0.368
Memory Fades to Dust 6042 27.36 61.29% -0.502 -0.0022 -0.544
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1853 29.33 54.99% -0.097 0.213 -0.33
Promising Farmlands 3180 29.09 54.62% -0.473 0.1124 -0.679
Shattered Fragments of Power 45 27.71 42.22% -0.368 -0.1653 -0.661
Slow Dissolution of Will 38 29.45 63.16% 0.141 0.7022 -0.697
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 536 34.44 83.58% 0.658 -0.0638 0.305
The Border of Life and Death 8 28.63 75.0% 0.572 0.4641 -0.44
Thriving Communities 1844 29.37 56.24% -0.504 0.0029 -0.381
Thriving Crops 13 36.31 61.54% 0.312 0.4295 0.655
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1361 -0.486
Unnatural Proliferation 1994 30.76 55.02% 0.186 0.504 -0.699
Untended Land Crumbles 1884 29.22 56.05% -0.911 -0.5311 -0.532

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27494 36.34% 31.18 80.03% -0.151 0.7192 0.969
B 29441 35.76% 31.84 80.16% -0.191 0.6127 0.735
C 28902 35.16% 32.58 80.79% -0.263 0.4172 0.792
D 25175 36.16% 31.41 80.36% -0.213 0.6163 0.654
E 13779 38.78% 31.61 78.85% -0.23 0.4261 0.753
F 24243 36.24% 31.69 80.58% -0.044 0.6998 0.942
G 23950 35.83% 31.94 79.85% -0.3 0.4807 0.707
H 23651 36.34% 31.29 80.12% -0.15 0.5369 0.711
East 5288 39.09% 37.42 70.73% -0.339 0.2833 0.236
Northeast 3513 37.55% 37.78 70.34% -0.851 0.0581 0.392
Northwest 2790 37.31% 37.48 69.21% 0.051 0.7239 -0.124
Southeast 1108 38.19% 34.01 73.29% -0.249 0.4476 0.415
Southwest 1045 39.29% 31.59 71.39% -0.502 0.6985 -0.091
West 4618 40.18% 36.17 68.62% -0.006 0.9772 -0.143

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5103 0.0% 21.77 83.07% -1.083 -0.1763 -0.673
Not Using Events or Tokens 14747 30.07% 25.67 85.21% -0.042 0.274 -0.214
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4418 9.74% 37.74 94.64% 0.69 0.129 0.434
Start of Game Growth 6209 12.76% 37.3 92.14% -0.144 -0.4553 0.605
Unlimited Undo 12841 27.14% 33.9 87.56% -0.128 -0.1538 0.896
Using Tokens but Not Events 17133 21.61% 30.1 88.55% 0.676 0.6106 -0.173

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5842 100.0% 33.08 100.0% 0.589 0.4371 0.072
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2219 100.0% 29.67 100.0% 0.115 0.2247 -0.393
Downpour Drenches the World 318 100.0% 27.72 100.0% 0.126 0.3074 -0.63
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 245 100.0% 27.67 100.0% 0.274 -0.4416 0.163
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8011 100.0% 31.88 100.0% 0.238 -0.3467 0.07
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6435 100.0% 31.5 100.0% 0.109 -0.3698 -0.375
Finder of Paths Unseen 186 100.0% 27.96 100.0% -0.902 -0.1997 0.32
Fractured Days Split the Sky 627 100.0% 32.07 100.0% -0.594 0.1 0.112
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 606 100.0% 32.25 100.0% -0.563 -0.6596 0.418
Heart of the Wildfire 2989 100.0% 31.48 100.0% -0.021 0.2375 -0.05
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5362 100.0% 35.88 100.0% 0.183 -0.2726 0.455
Lightning's Swift Strike 4851 120.03% 32.27 105.67% 0.029 0.2311 0.196
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 150 34.69% 34.81 84.0% 0.724 0.0155 0.882
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 417 37.29% 35.75 82.97% 0.663 0.3537 0.719
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 971 34.66% 36.82 81.46% -0.13 -0.3055 0.654
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1965 100.0% 32.88 100.0% 0.249 0.0936 -0.145
Many Minds Move as One 1353 100.0% 33.34 100.0% -0.142 -0.3589 -0.241
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3793 100.0% 33.51 100.0% -0.049 -0.067 0.24
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7411 100.0% 31.37 100.0% -0.062 -0.1982 -0.238
River Surges in Sunlight 4503 111.68% 32.24 104.55% -0.216 -0.2114 0.311
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 751 37.75% 30.45 78.16% -0.027 0.2267 0.04
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 149 34.93% 33.47 72.48% -0.168 -0.2995 0.208
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3968 100.0% 36.33 100.0% 0.715 0.5026 0.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1707 127.4% 27.7 111.48% 0.029 0.477 -0.433
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 25.4% 27.56 78.13% -0.198 -0.2178 -0.401
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 51 38.3% 25.73 64.71% -0.86 -0.845 -0.676
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 385 39.63% 30.51 79.74% -0.164 -0.2217 0.304
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 371 46.25% 28.71 76.82% -0.217 -0.1487 0.082
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3480 101.21% 36.25 100.57% 0.61 0.4823 0.495
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 51 16.0% 22.98 60.78% 0.331 -0.0171 -0.818
Shifting Memory of Ages 656 100.0% 29.33 100.0% -0.027 0.3418 0.032
Shroud of Silent Mist 771 100.0% 30.29 100.0% -0.086 0.2294 0.046
Starlight Seeks its Form 639 100.0% 32.71 100.0% 0.027 -0.2399 -0.025
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2347 100.0% 32.4 100.0% 0.232 -0.2557 -0.398
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5127 100.0% 32.7 100.0% 0.463 0.5019 0.473
Thunderspeaker 3150 100.57% 33.51 100.57% -0.054 -0.0816 0.489
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 29 37.93% 13.52 37.93% -0.377 -0.4234 0.017
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1610 100.0% 31.5 100.0% -0.034 0.0264 0.058
Vital Strength of the Earth 3217 110.4% 27.67 105.72% -0.229 0.3329 -0.227
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 139 42.45% 27.4 67.63% -0.584 -0.3275 -0.893
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 447 40.74% 28.11 68.9% -0.343 0.541 -0.926
Volcano Looming High 1131 100.0% 32.14 100.0% 0.224 0.248 -0.068

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.37%
Gift of Furious Might 93.83%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.27%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.3%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10564 21.09 18.77%
II 44493 31.04 73.01%
III 51626 34.73 91.61%
IV 15968 38.01 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1982
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46640
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31951
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15776
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1355
Lose: Invader deck ran out 728
Lose: Adversary condition 8015
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 1070
Win: Scenario condition 1085
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13310
Lose: Spirit destroyed 575

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.483 Win Model: -0.167

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.154 Win Model: -0.076
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70863 35.52% 31.63 80.32%
2 28807 41.53% 31.05 77.51%
3 11763 38.0% 33.07 78.76%
4 9847 31.46% 34.18 80.55%
5 235 26.79% 31.08 85.53%
6 1136 20.15% 27.69 84.15%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-28 03:51:06 (Pacific Time)