Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 45 26.67% 26.13 80.0% -0.495 -0.5471 -0.094
Blitz 0 2139 29.81% 29.9 83.12% -0.114 0.0448 -0.799
Dahan Insurrection 4 1121 32.38% 46.2 60.12% -1.574 -1.7305 0.124
Despicable Theft 2 161 37.89% 30.34 67.08% -1.69 -0.975 -0.647
Elemental Invocation 1 345 52.17% 31.47 70.43% -0.426 0.2812 -0.952
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5123 13.58% 44.48 77.61% 0.908 0.2696 0.735
Powers Long Forgotten 1 554 61.48% 31.74 63.72% -0.873 -0.4212 -0.824
Rituals of Terror 3 470 53.83% 38.05 64.68% -0.635 -0.6642 -0.018
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 380 72.63% 36.94 60.26% -0.729 0.2022 -0.218
Second Wave 0 7444 31.24% 31.41 85.3% 0.629 0.6966 -0.085
The Great River 3 374 52.41% 31.63 70.05% -0.683 0.6983 -1.295
Varied Terrains 2 66 48.48% 29.21 68.18% -0.54 -0.0043 -1.164
Ward the Shores 2 710 44.02% 32.86 57.89% -0.409 0.7929 -1.37

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66913 35.42% 31.36 80.72% 0.016 0.2562 -0.107
1 Thematic 3693 36.48% 36.79 74.63% -0.136 0.5099 0.185
2 Archipelago 47 31.91% 32.62 85.11% 1.016 1.444 0.134
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19351 42.54% 30.99 77.95% -0.119 0.0619 0.011
2 Coastline 2416 38.04% 30.78 80.75% 0.058 0.1179 0.18
2 Fragment 522 45.45% 27.96 78.54% -0.252 -0.3629 0.456
2 Heart 290 42.86% 29.21 77.93% 0.247 0.0458 0.146
2 Opposite Shores 3876 35.9% 30.6 79.18% -0.262 -0.0872 -0.552
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.667 0.6098 0.0
2 Thematic 1782 47.26% 34.34 63.13% -0.253 0.3819 -0.86
2 Top to Top 444 37.83% 30.81 80.63% 0.582 0.6467 0.511
3 Archipelago 21 52.38% 33.62 85.71% 0.499 -0.4053 0.0
3 Coastline 111 52.73% 30.96 71.17% -0.032 -0.4028 0.222
3 Other 483 33.33% 29.58 84.27% 0.331 0.1723 -0.321
3 Round (Default) 10657 37.84% 33.08 78.97% -0.317 -0.3266 -0.158
3 Sunrise 72 38.89% 42.61 81.94% 0.488 0.7445 0.708
3 Thematic 418 46.76% 34.75 65.55% -0.657 -0.7074 0.553
4 Archipelago 40 35.9% 32.55 87.5% -0.37 -0.5246 -0.392
4 Coastline 79 43.04% 30.15 75.95% 0.837 0.9679 0.84
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.308 -0.6139 -0.038
4 Other 336 33.13% 31.15 87.2% 0.248 -0.6533 1.011
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3524 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 0.0161 0.0
4 Thematic 1314 34.97% 39.62 71.23% -0.036 -0.0202 -0.32
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7973 30.69% 33.51 81.85% -0.348 -0.5311 -0.054
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.1833 0.0
5 Coastline 15 6.67% 35.93 93.33% 0.705 0.6058 0.0
5 Other 295 28.21% 32.32 86.78% 0.25 -0.2371 -0.004
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 31.09 75.76% 0.34 -0.1392 0.745
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.16 -1.3764 0.0
6 Coastline 30 28.57% 28.23 96.67% 0.161 -0.5958 0.0
6 Other 184 16.57% 24.43 88.59% -0.323 -0.8198 0.258
6 Star 91 20.88% 27.91 73.63% -0.992 -0.5642 -1.405
6 Thematic 230 28.26% 29.19 76.52% -1.233 -0.7591 -1.704
6 Two Centers (Default) 574 18.8% 28.39 86.93% -0.499 -0.4 -0.249
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.158 -0.4038 -0.204
7 Other 10 0.0% 34.2 80.0% -0.514 -1.2578 0.368

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3380 30.92 57.16% -0.02 0.2689 -0.355
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2985 32.78 58.79% -0.012 0.0719 -0.123
All Things Weaken 1978 29.49 51.11% -0.749 -0.2713 -0.846
Attenuated Essence 27 28.85 48.15% -0.173 0.1292 -0.231
Back Against the Wall 2884 32.0 56.48% -0.136 0.0662 -0.171
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 40 33.08 60.0% 0.428 0.9189 0.425
Burn Brightest Before the End 26 27.73 61.54% -0.093 0.2425 -0.179
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3258 28.36 54.94% -0.293 0.2647 -0.568
Downward Spiral 5833 27.79 63.43% -0.299 0.0712 -0.324
Erosion of Will 3252 30.58 55.41% -0.274 0.19 -0.513
Intensifying Exploitation 40 24.43 42.5% -0.703 -0.2659 -0.694
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 838 34.31 80.07% 0.364 -0.1231 -0.361
Memory Fades to Dust 6035 27.36 61.31% -0.523 -0.0204 -0.552
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1851 29.34 55.0% -0.106 0.2087 -0.344
Promising Farmlands 3175 29.11 54.71% -0.351 0.2718 -0.692
Shattered Fragments of Power 42 27.17 38.1% -0.502 -0.2502 -0.668
Slow Dissolution of Will 36 30.36 66.67% 0.185 0.7549 -0.697
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 535 34.42 83.55% 0.593 -0.1035 0.293
The Border of Life and Death 7 29.14 85.71% 0.62 0.5378 0.0
Thriving Communities 1841 29.4 56.33% -0.416 0.1056 -0.391
Thriving Crops 12 39.33 66.67% 0.46 0.626 1.019
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1338 -0.501
Unnatural Proliferation 1991 30.75 55.05% 0.218 0.5498 -0.709
Untended Land Crumbles 1880 29.24 56.17% -0.786 -0.3962 -0.531

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27445 36.34% 31.2 80.08% -0.077 0.7754 0.979
B 29391 35.77% 31.86 80.21% -0.139 0.6412 0.744
C 28855 35.17% 32.59 80.82% -0.206 0.4549 0.79
D 25128 36.16% 31.43 80.41% -0.16 0.6452 0.652
E 13753 38.78% 31.63 78.91% -0.181 0.453 0.751
F 24207 36.26% 31.71 80.62% -0.02 0.7056 0.953
G 23905 35.85% 31.96 79.9% -0.238 0.5215 0.709
H 23623 36.36% 31.3 80.13% -0.134 0.5341 0.715
East 5283 39.11% 37.42 70.74% -0.353 0.2473 0.241
Northeast 3509 37.59% 37.8 70.36% -0.851 0.0095 0.387
Northwest 2784 37.39% 37.5 69.25% 0.005 0.6707 -0.111
Southeast 1106 38.26% 34.07 73.42% -0.341 0.3365 0.413
Southwest 1043 39.36% 31.65 71.52% -0.42 0.7437 -0.088
West 4611 40.22% 36.18 68.64% -0.015 0.9414 -0.141

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5099 0.0% 21.77 83.08% -1.125 -0.2141 -0.691
Not Using Events or Tokens 14723 30.12% 25.67 85.23% -0.027 0.2892 -0.225
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4409 9.76% 37.76 94.65% 0.59 0.0435 0.426
Start of Game Growth 6192 12.78% 37.35 92.22% -0.063 -0.4013 0.595
Unlimited Undo 12804 27.16% 33.95 87.71% -0.137 -0.1683 0.944
Using Tokens but Not Events 17103 21.6% 30.12 88.6% 0.689 0.6239 -0.177

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5830 100.0% 33.09 100.0% 0.513 0.364 0.067
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2218 100.0% 29.69 100.0% 0.092 0.1909 -0.404
Downpour Drenches the World 317 100.0% 27.73 100.0% 0.105 0.2954 -0.637
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 236 100.0% 27.44 100.0% 0.232 -0.4647 0.108
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7997 100.0% 31.89 100.0% 0.215 -0.3704 0.059
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6429 100.0% 31.51 100.0% 0.117 -0.3593 -0.381
Finder of Paths Unseen 184 100.0% 27.84 100.0% -0.994 -0.2934 0.302
Fractured Days Split the Sky 625 100.0% 32.17 100.0% -0.573 0.1273 0.107
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 603 100.0% 32.39 100.0% -0.493 -0.6013 0.415
Heart of the Wildfire 2988 100.0% 31.49 100.0% -0.01 0.2569 -0.057
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5354 100.0% 35.91 100.0% 0.251 -0.205 0.447
Lightning's Swift Strike 4841 120.01% 32.29 105.58% 0.003 0.2069 0.186
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 146 34.97% 35.58 85.62% 0.85 0.1498 0.962
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 416 37.14% 35.83 83.17% 0.751 0.4396 0.775
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 970 34.6% 36.83 81.55% -0.085 -0.272 0.65
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1959 100.0% 32.88 100.0% 0.147 -0.0127 -0.152
Many Minds Move as One 1352 100.0% 33.37 100.0% -0.131 -0.3654 -0.25
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3788 100.0% 33.55 100.0% -0.008 -0.0282 0.238
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7401 100.0% 31.37 100.0% -0.105 -0.2327 -0.246
River Surges in Sunlight 4496 111.57% 32.27 104.49% -0.214 -0.2093 0.302
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 747 37.82% 30.54 78.31% -0.048 0.1875 0.035
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 146 35.66% 33.45 72.6% -0.243 -0.3881 0.269
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3963 100.0% 36.34 100.0% 0.709 0.4998 0.274
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1705 127.43% 27.7 111.44% -0.02 0.4281 -0.439
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 64 25.4% 27.56 78.13% -0.228 -0.239 -0.421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 51 38.3% 25.73 64.71% -0.803 -0.7682 -0.68
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 385 39.63% 30.51 79.74% -0.118 -0.1706 0.293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 370 46.08% 28.73 77.03% -0.252 -0.1713 0.145
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3479 101.09% 36.24 100.52% 0.628 0.4867 0.485
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 46 17.39% 23.87 60.87% 0.301 -0.0353 -0.714
Shifting Memory of Ages 654 100.0% 29.36 100.0% -0.07 0.2994 0.021
Shroud of Silent Mist 769 100.0% 30.35 100.0% -0.066 0.2554 0.036
Starlight Seeks its Form 637 100.0% 32.78 100.0% 0.054 -0.2131 -0.035
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2344 100.0% 32.43 100.0% 0.16 -0.3221 -0.407
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5121 100.0% 32.72 100.0% 0.498 0.5354 0.467
Thunderspeaker 3150 100.54% 33.51 100.51% -0.064 -0.0925 0.481
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 27 37.04% 14.52 40.74% -0.293 -0.3327 0.016
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1609 100.0% 31.52 100.0% -0.056 -0.0053 0.048
Vital Strength of the Earth 3217 110.37% 27.67 105.69% -0.273 0.2863 -0.237
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 139 42.45% 27.4 67.63% -0.46 -0.2264 -0.901
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 446 40.84% 28.17 69.06% -0.329 0.5815 -0.934
Volcano Looming High 1127 100.0% 32.2 100.0% 0.219 0.2399 -0.079

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.38%
Gift of Furious Might 93.82%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.27%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.29%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10499 21.15 18.84%
II 44426 31.04 73.02%
III 51572 34.73 91.61%
IV 15951 38.01 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1977
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46594
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31909
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15759
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1308
Lose: Invader deck ran out 728
Lose: Adversary condition 7998
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 1070
Win: Scenario condition 1085
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13282
Lose: Spirit destroyed 574

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.544 Win Model: -0.165

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.15 Win Model: -0.06
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70739 35.51% 31.64 80.37%
2 28765 41.54% 31.07 77.53%
3 11746 38.04% 33.06 78.75%
4 9834 31.47% 34.2 80.6%
5 233 27.03% 31.35 86.27%
6 1131 20.15% 27.8 84.44%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-27 04:08:23 (Pacific Time)