Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 44 27.27% 26.73 81.82% -0.262 -0.3458 0.0
Blitz 0 2129 29.92% 29.97 83.23% -0.126 0.0477 -0.807
Dahan Insurrection 4 1117 32.41% 46.25 60.16% -1.603 -1.7521 0.117
Despicable Theft 2 158 38.61% 30.73 67.72% -1.384 -0.7302 -0.648
Elemental Invocation 1 342 52.05% 31.58 70.47% -0.535 0.1698 -0.938
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5099 13.63% 44.49 77.7% 0.825 0.2195 0.735
Powers Long Forgotten 1 553 61.59% 31.73 63.65% -1.109 -0.6146 -0.829
Rituals of Terror 3 470 53.83% 38.05 64.68% -0.509 -0.5912 -0.027
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 379 72.56% 37.02 60.42% -0.221 0.7054 -0.224
Second Wave 0 7423 31.25% 31.41 85.32% 0.6 0.6625 -0.093
The Great River 3 373 52.55% 31.72 70.24% -0.65 0.7286 -1.297
Varied Terrains 2 66 48.48% 29.21 68.18% -0.744 -0.1673 -1.2
Ward the Shores 2 707 44.06% 32.87 57.85% -0.569 0.6266 -1.378

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66717 35.42% 31.38 80.79% -0.014 0.2334 -0.105
1 Thematic 3677 36.53% 36.81 74.79% -0.004 0.6484 0.188
2 Archipelago 47 31.91% 32.62 85.11% 0.883 1.3934 0.135
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19284 42.56% 31.03 78.05% -0.131 0.056 0.015
2 Coastline 2400 38.26% 30.82 80.79% 0.012 0.0655 0.178
2 Fragment 521 45.55% 28.01 78.69% -0.116 -0.2487 0.454
2 Heart 290 42.86% 29.21 77.93% 0.243 0.0249 0.135
2 Opposite Shores 3867 35.9% 30.61 79.23% -0.341 -0.1543 -0.558
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.669 0.6384 0.0
2 Thematic 1775 47.4% 34.34 63.1% -0.422 0.1682 -0.872
2 Top to Top 444 37.83% 30.81 80.63% 0.556 0.6514 0.511
3 Archipelago 21 52.38% 33.62 85.71% 0.462 -0.4845 0.0
3 Coastline 110 53.21% 31.25 71.82% 0.214 -0.169 0.21
3 Other 482 33.4% 29.64 84.44% 0.364 0.0953 -0.327
3 Round (Default) 10634 37.81% 33.1 79.01% -0.374 -0.3766 -0.159
3 Sunrise 72 38.89% 42.61 81.94% 0.443 0.8228 0.709
3 Thematic 414 46.73% 34.81 65.7% -0.668 -0.7784 0.558
4 Archipelago 40 35.9% 32.55 87.5% -0.422 -0.195 -0.393
4 Coastline 79 43.04% 30.15 75.95% 0.799 0.9013 0.84
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.357 -0.6518 -0.041
4 Other 335 32.92% 31.15 87.16% 0.216 -0.6442 1.008
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3212 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 0.0384 0.0
4 Thematic 1314 34.97% 39.62 71.23% -0.044 -0.0781 -0.345
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7949 30.74% 33.56 81.91% -0.376 -0.546 -0.065
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.1617 0.0
5 Coastline 15 6.67% 35.93 93.33% 0.779 0.6304 0.0
5 Other 290 26.91% 32.72 88.28% 0.479 -0.0938 -0.01
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 31.09 75.76% 0.312 -0.0954 0.74
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.27 -1.6423 0.0
6 Coastline 29 16.67% 28.34 96.55% 0.014 -0.714 0.0
6 Other 178 16.57% 24.69 89.33% -0.445 -0.9239 0.254
6 Star 89 21.35% 28.29 74.16% -0.716 -0.3233 -1.42
6 Thematic 225 28.0% 29.25 77.33% -1.33 -0.9199 -1.611
6 Two Centers (Default) 562 19.03% 28.58 87.37% -0.422 -0.2097 -0.238
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.131 -0.3824 -0.201
7 Other 9 0.0% 38.0 88.89% -0.166 -1.0695 0.369

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3375 30.94 57.21% -0.057 0.2572 -0.364
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2982 32.77 58.79% -0.175 -0.0418 -0.132
All Things Weaken 1971 29.48 51.09% -0.922 -0.4001 -0.856
Attenuated Essence 24 29.79 50.0% -0.222 0.1383 -0.127
Back Against the Wall 2877 32.01 56.48% -0.204 0.0459 -0.179
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 35 34.0 62.86% 0.469 1.0224 0.642
Burn Brightest Before the End 23 25.65 56.52% -0.318 0.1169 -0.18
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3250 28.35 54.89% -0.473 0.1258 -0.579
Downward Spiral 5816 27.8 63.48% -0.315 0.0905 -0.34
Erosion of Will 3247 30.61 55.5% -0.11 0.4268 -0.522
Intensifying Exploitation 36 24.69 44.44% -0.785 -0.2699 -0.599
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 837 34.28 80.05% 0.311 -0.1314 -0.374
Memory Fades to Dust 6023 27.38 61.35% -0.602 -0.068 -0.559
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1843 29.4 55.18% 0.012 0.3644 -0.354
Promising Farmlands 3165 29.12 54.72% -0.291 0.3826 -0.692
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 26.81 40.54% -0.599 -0.2977 -0.637
Slow Dissolution of Will 30 31.53 70.0% 0.277 0.9241 -0.491
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 535 34.42 83.55% 0.533 -0.1338 0.283
The Border of Life and Death 6 30.33 83.33% 0.51 0.4845 0.0
Thriving Communities 1838 29.4 56.31% -0.45 0.127 -0.404
Thriving Crops 11 37.27 63.64% 0.222 0.4703 0.711
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1252 -0.513
Unnatural Proliferation 1984 30.75 55.09% 0.256 0.6328 -0.711
Untended Land Crumbles 1876 29.25 56.24% -0.823 -0.3933 -0.539

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27357 36.36% 31.23 80.14% -0.063 0.7964 0.978
B 29275 35.78% 31.9 80.32% -0.057 0.7222 0.746
C 28767 35.22% 32.63 80.89% -0.166 0.4865 0.787
D 25031 36.19% 31.46 80.48% -0.105 0.7097 0.646
E 13664 38.85% 31.72 79.11% -0.05 0.5904 0.752
F 24123 36.25% 31.75 80.72% 0.005 0.7367 0.958
G 23835 35.84% 31.99 79.96% -0.227 0.53 0.703
H 23544 36.36% 31.34 80.21% -0.112 0.5554 0.712
East 5256 39.17% 37.45 70.85% -0.421 0.2065 0.288
Northeast 3496 37.62% 37.84 70.45% -0.808 0.0888 0.388
Northwest 2771 37.46% 37.56 69.4% -0.069 0.575 -0.085
Southeast 1101 38.25% 34.1 73.57% -0.36 0.3214 0.402
Southwest 1036 39.24% 31.68 71.72% -0.508 0.6724 -0.084
West 4591 40.24% 36.22 68.72% 0.012 1.0039 -0.123

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5086 0.0% 21.81 83.21% -1.146 -0.183 -0.705
Not Using Events or Tokens 14684 30.12% 25.7 85.33% 0.02 0.3191 -0.229
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4388 9.81% 37.85 94.83% 0.684 0.1497 0.419
Start of Game Growth 6165 12.83% 37.43 92.38% -0.035 -0.3891 0.586
Unlimited Undo 12737 27.16% 34.01 87.92% -0.177 -0.2109 0.981
Using Tokens but Not Events 17051 21.59% 30.14 88.65% 0.672 0.6101 -0.185

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5813 100.0% 33.11 100.0% 0.457 0.3156 0.05
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2211 100.0% 29.74 100.0% 0.056 0.1562 -0.414
Downpour Drenches the World 308 100.0% 28.1 100.0% 0.18 0.3818 -0.629
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 209 100.0% 28.46 100.0% 0.284 -0.3793 0.162
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7970 100.0% 31.93 100.0% 0.227 -0.3642 0.055
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6411 100.0% 31.54 100.0% 0.091 -0.3567 -0.392
Finder of Paths Unseen 180 100.0% 28.31 100.0% -0.923 -0.2257 0.267
Fractured Days Split the Sky 624 100.0% 32.22 100.0% -0.457 0.265 0.088
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 594 100.0% 32.53 100.0% -0.563 -0.6748 0.394
Heart of the Wildfire 2984 100.0% 31.52 100.0% -0.077 0.1862 -0.073
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5335 100.0% 35.94 100.0% 0.215 -0.2567 0.433
Lightning's Swift Strike 4821 119.95% 32.35 105.5% -0.106 0.1103 0.168
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 140 34.31% 35.79 86.43% 0.942 0.2062 1.102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 413 37.16% 35.95 83.29% 0.859 0.5287 0.758
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 967 34.6% 36.89 81.7% -0.127 -0.3219 0.63
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1950 100.0% 32.92 100.0% 0.082 -0.103 -0.161
Many Minds Move as One 1341 100.0% 33.44 100.0% -0.025 -0.263 -0.269
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3776 100.0% 33.61 100.0% 0.069 0.0434 0.228
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7382 100.0% 31.39 100.0% -0.191 -0.3079 -0.261
River Surges in Sunlight 4478 111.39% 32.34 104.42% -0.17 -0.1907 0.285
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 741 38.15% 30.63 78.41% -0.019 0.2042 0.023
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 142 36.69% 34.06 73.24% -0.268 -0.4261 0.234
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3947 100.0% 36.38 100.0% 0.666 0.4622 0.264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1703 126.95% 27.72 110.98% -0.132 0.3058 -0.453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 26.23% 28.45 80.65% -0.23 -0.2548 -0.287
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 46 40.48% 26.89 67.39% -0.83 -0.7902 -0.598
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 381 39.78% 30.61 79.79% -0.16 -0.1811 0.277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 368 45.76% 28.88 77.45% -0.188 -0.1105 0.135
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3470 101.1% 36.29 100.52% 0.734 0.5918 0.464
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 46 17.39% 23.87 60.87% 0.183 -0.1179 -0.563
Shifting Memory of Ages 649 100.0% 29.43 100.0% -0.168 0.2084 -0.002
Shroud of Silent Mist 760 100.0% 30.49 100.0% 0.116 0.4404 0.018
Starlight Seeks its Form 633 100.0% 32.87 100.0% 0.195 -0.0656 -0.061
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2336 100.0% 32.44 100.0% 0.015 -0.4911 -0.419
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5101 100.0% 32.75 100.0% 0.537 0.5828 0.453
Thunderspeaker 3140 100.54% 33.55 100.48% -0.188 -0.2225 0.465
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 32.0% 13.68 40.0% -0.46 -0.449 0.02
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1605 100.0% 31.54 100.0% -0.049 -0.0048 0.037
Vital Strength of the Earth 3198 110.33% 27.73 105.63% -0.184 0.3711 -0.253
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 134 42.54% 27.69 67.91% -0.542 -0.3032 -0.907
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 445 40.7% 28.24 69.21% -0.257 0.6479 -0.949
Volcano Looming High 1120 100.0% 32.28 100.0% 0.333 0.3382 -0.096

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.38%
Gift of Furious Might 93.81%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.26%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10379 21.26 19.04%
II 44300 31.05 73.04%
III 51466 34.73 91.63%
IV 15905 38.01 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1975
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46506
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31828
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15713
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1205
Lose: Invader deck ran out 728
Lose: Adversary condition 7964
Win: Sacrifice victory 164
Lose: Scenario condition 1064
Win: Scenario condition 1081
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13248
Lose: Spirit destroyed 574

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.631 Win Model: -0.167

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.128 Win Model: -0.039
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70527 35.51% 31.66 80.45%
2 28664 41.58% 31.1 77.61%
3 11718 38.02% 33.08 78.8%
4 9809 31.51% 34.24 80.64%
5 228 25.35% 31.84 88.16%
6 1104 20.19% 28.01 85.05%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-25 04:12:57 (Pacific Time)