Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 41 24.39% 25.51 82.93% -0.579 -0.7157 0.0
Blitz 0 2125 29.98% 29.96 83.25% -0.202 -0.0002 -0.763
Dahan Insurrection 4 1113 32.43% 46.3 60.2% -1.627 -1.8329 0.112
Despicable Theft 2 157 38.85% 30.74 68.15% -1.331 -0.6164 -0.645
Elemental Invocation 1 342 52.05% 31.58 70.47% -0.534 0.1831 -0.939
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 5071 13.66% 44.47 77.74% 0.633 0.0384 0.731
Powers Long Forgotten 1 551 61.82% 31.85 63.88% -1.054 -0.5691 -0.826
Rituals of Terror 3 469 53.95% 38.0 64.61% -0.676 -0.735 -0.028
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 379 72.56% 37.02 60.42% -0.15 0.7925 -0.231
Second Wave 0 7390 31.29% 31.44 85.39% 0.591 0.6804 -0.099
The Great River 3 370 52.97% 31.77 70.27% -0.494 0.9178 -1.194
Varied Terrains 2 63 47.62% 30.0 69.84% -0.732 -0.2158 -1.191
Ward the Shores 2 707 44.06% 32.87 57.85% -0.508 0.6427 -1.385

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 66394 35.44% 31.41 80.86% -0.062 0.2141 -0.132
1 Thematic 3663 36.62% 36.81 74.94% 0.106 0.7572 0.163
2 Archipelago 47 31.91% 32.62 85.11% 0.898 1.4299 0.13
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 19187 42.58% 31.07 78.14% -0.154 0.0524 0.009
2 Coastline 2385 38.43% 30.85 80.8% -0.031 0.0664 0.169
2 Fragment 520 45.64% 28.07 78.85% 0.238 0.1639 0.487
2 Heart 289 42.65% 29.13 77.85% 0.127 -0.2084 0.144
2 Opposite Shores 3844 35.91% 30.68 79.4% -0.297 -0.0896 -0.551
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.691 0.6741 0.0
2 Thematic 1769 47.44% 34.38 63.14% -0.439 0.1622 -0.881
2 Top to Top 443 37.91% 30.79 80.59% 0.591 0.7111 0.514
3 Archipelago 20 55.0% 33.35 85.0% 0.178 -0.5988 0.0
3 Coastline 109 53.7% 31.53 72.48% 0.078 -0.2354 -0.246
3 Other 479 33.62% 29.63 84.34% 0.329 -0.0359 -0.291
3 Round (Default) 10576 37.86% 33.12 79.12% -0.41 -0.4237 -0.14
3 Sunrise 72 38.89% 42.61 81.94% 0.458 0.6955 0.728
3 Thematic 412 46.72% 34.88 65.78% -0.76 -0.9256 0.577
4 Archipelago 40 35.9% 32.55 87.5% -0.418 -0.3121 -0.385
4 Coastline 79 43.04% 30.15 75.95% 0.774 0.7826 0.855
4 Leaf 47 45.65% 29.23 76.6% -0.334 -0.5703 -0.018
4 Other 334 33.02% 31.16 87.13% 0.2 -0.5847 1.034
4 Reverse Snake 2 0.0% 37.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.2908 0.0
4 Snake 3 33.33% 28.67 66.67% 0.0 0.3458 0.0
4 Thematic 1312 35.02% 39.62 71.19% -0.045 -0.1766 -0.306
4 Trapezoid (Default) 7910 30.78% 33.6 82.04% -0.26 -0.473 -0.022
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 28.0 60.0% 0.0 -1.0937 0.0
5 Coastline 15 6.67% 35.93 93.33% 0.836 0.6337 0.0
5 Other 287 27.21% 32.75 88.15% 0.4 -0.1125 0.03
5 Thematic 33 51.52% 31.09 75.76% 0.294 -0.0406 0.746
6 Archipelago 25 0.0% 30.64 92.0% -1.371 -1.4202 0.0
6 Coastline 29 16.67% 28.34 96.55% -0.05 -0.8344 0.0
6 Other 176 16.77% 24.87 89.77% -0.313 -0.8101 0.287
6 Star 88 21.59% 28.35 73.86% -0.754 -0.3127 -1.376
6 Thematic 225 28.0% 29.25 77.33% -1.252 -0.9307 -1.58
6 Two Centers (Default) 550 19.08% 28.55 87.45% -0.452 -0.1638 -0.169
7 Archipelago 4 75.0% 37.0 75.0% 0.171 -0.3331 -0.189
7 Other 8 0.0% 42.75 100.0% 0.35 -0.5309 0.373

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 3364 30.98 57.25% -0.015 0.372 -0.371
Aid From Lesser Spirits 2975 32.79 58.76% -0.284 -0.0487 -0.136
All Things Weaken 1955 29.56 51.05% -1.002 -0.4167 -0.864
Attenuated Essence 21 30.9 57.14% -0.082 0.3507 0.196
Back Against the Wall 2871 32.03 56.5% -0.096 0.2257 -0.185
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 30 35.23 66.67% 0.54 1.191 0.656
Burn Brightest Before the End 19 26.74 52.63% -0.403 0.1107 -0.187
Disintegrating Ecosystem 3242 28.37 54.9% -0.471 0.1892 -0.589
Downward Spiral 5799 27.82 63.49% -0.379 0.1034 -0.353
Erosion of Will 3234 30.63 55.53% -0.144 0.4684 -0.532
Intensifying Exploitation 28 26.43 46.43% -0.794 -0.1758 -0.446
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 837 34.28 80.05% 0.291 -0.0872 -0.38
Memory Fades to Dust 6004 27.4 61.39% -0.654 -0.0358 -0.572
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1839 29.41 55.19% -0.067 0.3529 -0.365
Promising Farmlands 3153 29.14 54.71% -0.187 0.5403 -0.702
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 29.29 48.39% -0.392 -0.0409 -0.287
Slow Dissolution of Will 26 33.04 73.08% 0.366 1.1218 -0.218
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 534 34.48 83.71% 0.552 -0.1386 0.27
The Border of Life and Death 4 29.25 75.0% 0.226 0.3363 0.0
Thriving Communities 1832 29.39 56.33% -0.528 0.116 -0.403
Thriving Crops 6 35.33 50.0% -0.505 -0.1219 0.701
Tipping Point 1108 30.83 52.44% 0.0 -0.1122 -0.523
Unnatural Proliferation 1972 30.7 54.97% 0.014 0.4611 -0.747
Untended Land Crumbles 1864 29.27 56.33% -0.843 -0.3173 -0.535

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 27226 36.4% 31.27 80.21% -0.044 0.8325 0.971
B 29139 35.83% 31.92 80.38% -0.032 0.7503 0.746
C 28612 35.27% 32.66 81.0% -0.119 0.5204 0.787
D 24887 36.26% 31.49 80.56% -0.145 0.6864 0.633
E 13554 38.84% 31.79 79.31% -0.014 0.635 0.759
F 24012 36.27% 31.79 80.8% 0.019 0.7608 0.959
G 23703 35.89% 32.03 80.05% -0.27 0.4923 0.701
H 23403 36.42% 31.37 80.32% -0.076 0.6125 0.711
East 5239 39.24% 37.46 70.91% -0.525 0.1728 0.268
Northeast 3488 37.65% 37.86 70.47% -0.73 0.159 0.393
Northwest 2763 37.5% 37.56 69.42% -0.059 0.5777 -0.097
Southeast 1094 38.41% 34.11 73.86% -0.378 0.3176 0.489
Southwest 1033 39.26% 31.76 71.93% -0.465 0.7778 -0.045
West 4578 40.29% 36.24 68.79% 0.061 1.0761 -0.129

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5068 0.0% 21.84 83.35% -1.189 -0.1834 -0.728
Not Using Events or Tokens 14610 30.19% 25.73 85.4% 0.022 0.2988 -0.235
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4361 9.82% 37.93 95.05% 0.859 0.3364 0.484
Start of Game Growth 6120 12.88% 37.56 92.66% 0.007 -0.3684 0.593
Unlimited Undo 12666 27.21% 34.08 88.09% -0.19 -0.2657 0.989
Using Tokens but Not Events 16962 21.61% 30.14 88.72% 0.64 0.5933 -0.186

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 5782 100.0% 33.15 100.0% 0.523 0.3723 0.039
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 2197 100.0% 29.72 100.0% -0.058 0.0511 -0.407
Downpour Drenches the World 302 100.0% 28.22 100.0% 0.031 0.2323 -0.623
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 184 100.0% 28.03 100.0% 0.155 -0.4241 -0.034
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7938 100.0% 31.97 100.0% 0.265 -0.3214 0.063
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6389 100.0% 31.56 100.0% 0.139 -0.3282 -0.4
Finder of Paths Unseen 171 100.0% 28.36 100.0% -0.893 -0.2323 0.338
Fractured Days Split the Sky 622 100.0% 32.29 100.0% -0.495 0.159 0.082
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 589 100.0% 32.62 100.0% -0.484 -0.6192 0.402
Heart of the Wildfire 2979 100.0% 31.52 100.0% -0.14 0.1184 -0.069
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5314 100.0% 35.92 100.0% 0.156 -0.3342 0.432
Lightning's Swift Strike 4792 119.99% 32.42 105.47% -0.139 0.0766 0.172
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 34.59% 36.1 87.5% 0.98 0.2159 1.146
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 411 37.1% 36.01 83.45% 1.054 0.7099 0.829
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 967 34.6% 36.89 81.7% -0.2 -0.382 0.637
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1936 100.0% 32.98 100.0% 0.13 -0.0603 -0.147
Many Minds Move as One 1337 100.0% 33.51 100.0% 0.008 -0.253 -0.273
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 3755 100.0% 33.61 100.0% 0.094 0.0742 0.23
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7347 100.0% 31.43 100.0% -0.215 -0.3169 -0.251
River Surges in Sunlight 4454 111.34% 32.41 104.33% -0.188 -0.2183 0.279
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 737 38.08% 30.61 78.43% -0.083 0.1596 0.022
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 133 34.62% 34.11 74.44% -0.37 -0.5446 0.078
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 3930 100.0% 36.4 100.0% 0.678 0.4749 0.262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 1697 126.83% 27.77 110.84% -0.056 0.3711 -0.437
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 57 25.0% 29.39 82.46% -0.274 -0.3035 -0.24
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 45 40.48% 27.49 68.89% -1.052 -0.9963 -0.651
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 380 39.89% 30.63 79.74% -0.25 -0.2867 0.271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 368 45.76% 28.88 77.45% -0.277 -0.2272 0.124
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3459 100.93% 36.25 100.46% 0.396 0.2432 0.457
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 39 17.95% 23.38 58.97% 0.072 -0.1517 -0.562
Shifting Memory of Ages 633 100.0% 29.62 100.0% 0.041 0.3936 0.092
Shroud of Silent Mist 753 100.0% 30.7 100.0% 0.255 0.5806 0.013
Starlight Seeks its Form 625 100.0% 33.09 100.0% 0.221 0.0081 -0.06
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2324 100.0% 32.48 100.0% -0.034 -0.5503 -0.415
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5071 100.0% 32.8 100.0% 0.612 0.6334 0.457
Thunderspeaker 3133 100.54% 33.54 100.48% -0.197 -0.2317 0.465
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 25 32.0% 13.68 40.0% -0.474 -0.4216 0.088
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1594 100.0% 31.57 100.0% 0.221 0.2778 -0.002
Vital Strength of the Earth 3181 110.23% 27.79 105.56% -0.163 0.4077 -0.255
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 130 43.85% 27.69 67.69% -0.373 -0.117 -0.903
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 442 40.65% 28.36 69.46% -0.029 0.8752 -0.95
Volcano Looming High 1115 100.0% 32.36 100.0% 0.317 0.3335 -0.097

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Ferocious Rampage 97.39%
Gift of Furious Might 93.8%
Herd Towards the Lurking Maw 83.25%
Mark Territory With Scars and Teeth 96.28%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 10237 21.43 19.24%
II 44115 31.06 73.08%
III 51241 34.72 91.63%
IV 15847 38.0 99.19%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 1969
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 46306
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 31711
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 15656
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1080
Lose: Invader deck ran out 721
Lose: Adversary condition 7935
Win: Sacrifice victory 162
Lose: Scenario condition 1056
Win: Scenario condition 1079
Lose: Blight pool ran out 13193
Lose: Spirit destroyed 572

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.705 Win Model: -0.167

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.137 Win Model: -0.054
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 70184 35.53% 31.69 80.53%
2 28522 41.62% 31.14 77.69%
3 11652 38.07% 33.11 78.9%
4 9769 31.54% 34.27 80.73%
5 225 25.7% 31.87 88.0%
6 1088 20.31% 28.05 85.2%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-22 03:28:22 (Pacific Time)