Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 145 32.41% 26.81 -2.846 55.17% -0.563 -0.1188
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 88 43.18% 27.7 -3.696 51.14% -0.773 -0.4659
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 56 60.71% 30.43 -5.414 41.07% -1.166 -0.3909
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 19 57.89% 31.16 -9.119 42.11% -0.761 0.2065
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 28 64.29% 25.43 -7.287 21.43% -0.821 0.6055
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 10 80.0% 30.2 0.0 20.0%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 29 89.66% 34.69 0.0 17.24%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 193 30.05% 27.36 2.399 64.77% 0.29 0.5297
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 180 37.78% 29.62 -0.354 62.78% -0.314 -0.1989
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 96 52.08% 37.51 2.57 64.58% -0.101 0.0079
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 104 55.77% 39.99 0.079 52.88% -0.549 -0.3267
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 42 54.76% 39.29 -4.054 47.62% -0.762 -0.4733
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 9 44.44% 40.78 0.0 44.44%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 31 61.29% 36.48 -0.785 25.81% -0.627 0.859
The Kingdom of England 0 1 171 33.92% 26.24 -2.271 59.06% -0.777 -0.4485
The Kingdom of England 1 3 121 40.5% 28.79 0.163 48.76% -1.007 -0.7038
The Kingdom of England 2 4 59 57.63% 24.03 -2.631 33.9% -0.662 0.0657
The Kingdom of England 3 6 48 52.08% 24.83 -1.637 25.0% -0.684 0.5111
The Kingdom of England 4 7 28 50.0% 24.18 -4.233 28.57% -0.825 0.3927
The Kingdom of England 5 9 17 94.12% 34.47 0.0 23.53%
The Kingdom of England 6 11 53 55.77% 36.53 0.0 26.42%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 125 40.0% 25.82 -3.875 50.4% -0.658 -0.1029
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 100 43.0% 26.83 -1.921 46.0% -0.673 0.0084
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 131 54.2% 31.22 -8.322 33.59% -0.991 0.111
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 40 47.5% 37.63 -13.333 40.0% -0.335 1.0568
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 25 36.0% 28.8 -0.478 20.0% -0.42 1.0462
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 16 50.0% 36.69 -8.297 37.5% -0.321 0.7498
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 43 67.44% 47.42 3.918 32.56% -1.303 0.1169
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 76 18.42% 15.29 -3.275 32.89% -0.751 -0.505
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 67 43.28% 21.76 1.687 31.34% -0.376 0.2542
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 42 47.62% 22.17 -9.324 16.67% -0.757 -0.2947
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 19 31.58% 33.53 4.605 42.11% -0.479 -0.0132
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 18 38.89% 19.39 -6.896 16.67% -1.078 -0.2778
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 27 70.37% 22.3 -9.007 14.81% -0.313 0.2508
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 19 63.16% 37.47 -0.36 36.84% -0.637 0.3301
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 140 28.57% 22.27 -1.129 54.29% -0.149 0.0555
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 128 43.75% 26.6 6.032 53.91% 0.707 0.743
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 135 48.15% 28.14 -1.765 54.81% -0.717 -0.5034
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 75 60.0% 37.24 6.441 53.33% 0.333 0.6926
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 26 57.69% 37.85 0.0 50.0%
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 25 48.0% 29.4 3.098 36.0% -0.304 0.4923
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 65 56.92% 28.55 -4.063 27.69% -0.807 0.2998
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 158 32.28% 24.26 -4.412 53.16% -1.185 -1.0151
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 112 47.32% 22.56 -1.631 36.61% -0.68 0.1596
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 69 60.87% 36.26 10.982 55.07% 0.354 0.5732
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 25 60.0% 34.88 -12.95 44.0% -0.464 0.6322
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 36 58.33% 31.94 2.952 36.11% -0.232 0.7445
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 16 56.25% 36.94 -1.284 31.25% -0.551 1.1165
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 12 54.55% 38.75 0.0 25.0%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3227 39.89 28.58 64.89% 0.184 0.2151 0.102
1 Thematic 417 41.49 29.29 48.92% -0.1 0.3326 0.428
2 Archipelago 7 28.57 17.57 28.57% 0.469 0.9617
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 608 44.24 28.06 56.58% -0.415 -0.464 -0.28
2 Coastline 126 41.27 29.59 69.84% 0.662 0.5613 0.222
2 Fragment 15 46.67 19.4 33.33%
2 Heart 4 75.0 36.75 50.0%
2 Opposite Shores 173 50.29 31.99 61.27% -0.594 -0.7732 -0.707
2 Thematic 151 37.75 27.14 46.36% -0.777 -0.5902 -0.89
2 Top to Top 20 50.0 32.0 70.0% 0.514
3 Archipelago 2 50.0 43.5 50.0% 0.305
3 Coastline 8 37.5 36.75 100.0% 0.383 -0.2784
3 Other 4 100.0 22.75 75.0%
3 Round (Default) 265 40.15 30.77 64.91% -0.06 -0.3259 0.362
3 Thematic 33 54.55 30.15 39.39% -0.068 -0.5143 -0.197
4 Archipelago 4 0.0 28.5 75.0% 0.237 -0.3207
4 Other 3 33.33 30.0 66.67% 0.852
4 Snake 3 0.0 46.0 100.0% 0.827 -0.1416
4 Thematic 17 29.41 28.59 47.06% -0.1 0.1034 -0.451
4 Trapezoid (Default) 122 33.88 25.86 60.66% -0.463 -0.1228 -1.414
5 Other 8 0.0 13.0 25.0% -0.307 -1.0277 0.13
5 Thematic 2 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.165
6 Other 2 50.0 28.5 50.0%
6 Thematic 11 36.36 22.45 45.45% 0.713
6 Two Centers (Default) 11 27.27 10.82 18.18% -0.449 -0.3513 -0.13

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 151 28.61 50.33% 1.412 1.5511 -0.77
Aid From Lesser Spirits 112 32.6 57.14% 0.112 0.0529 0.912
All Things Weaken 168 28.17 48.81% 0.504 0.8587 -0.178
Attenuated Essence 20 20.95 40.0% 0.152 0.263 -0.446
Back Against the Wall 109 30.45 44.95% -0.295 -0.2187 0.357
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 21 19.0 33.33% -0.61 -0.3994 -0.08
Burn Brightest Before the End 16 23.94 43.75% -0.316 -0.1954 -0.047
Disintegrating Ecosystem 136 26.01 41.91% 0.285 0.6539 0.05
Downward Spiral 163 28.06 46.63% -0.89 -0.6938 -0.075
Erosion of Will 134 26.9 39.55% 0.601 0.8686 0.269
Intensifying Exploitation 19 23.16 42.11% 0.086 0.3559 -0.176
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 57 34.07 85.96% 0.654 0.1429 0.263
Memory Fades to Dust 152 28.86 52.63% 0.539 0.851 -0.3
Power Corrodes the Spirit 160 27.77 54.37% 0.204 0.4984 -0.239
Promising Farmlands 150 28.18 50.0% -0.298 0.0384 -0.27
Shattered Fragments of Power 22 29.09 45.45% 0.002 0.1106 0.372
Slow Dissolution of Will 19 37.26 63.16% 0.741 1.1413 0.425
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 42 35.79 90.48% -0.441 -1.0544 0.806
The Border of Life and Death 7 26.57 71.43% 0.603 0.3111 -0.238
Thriving Communities 152 26.02 42.11% -0.274 0.0586 -0.313
Thriving Crops 13 30.69 76.92% 0.545 0.4584
Unnatural Proliferation 173 30.64 54.34% 0.319 0.4672 0.6
Untended Land Crumbles 138 27.45 55.8% -1.085 -0.7781 0.475

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 945 38.77% 28.84 65.08% -0.153 0.7521 0.229
B 915 43.04% 28.28 61.75% -0.63 0.1987 -0.068
C 1019 39.72% 28.36 61.92% 0.244 0.9241 -0.017
D 794 40.4% 27.69 63.22% 0.028 0.8809 -0.794
E 854 40.14% 28.5 62.06% -0.077 0.6242 -0.183
F 757 40.61% 29.54 62.62% 0.375 1.1564 0.192
G 657 42.92% 28.2 58.3% 0.138 0.9101 -0.285
H 671 39.05% 28.76 62.44% -0.352 0.4163 0.151
East 394 39.59% 31.27 51.78% -0.225 0.6365 0.971
Northeast 176 45.45% 31.55 51.7% -0.561 0.1855 0.354
Northwest 159 49.06% 28.3 45.91% 0.455 1.2886 -0.293
Southeast 139 38.13% 27.58 46.04% -0.377 0.399 0.087
Southwest 126 38.1% 18.55 35.71% -0.66 0.6594 -0.643
West 362 43.65% 25.2 42.82% -0.889 0.1169 -0.767

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 34.4 60.0% 0.419
Not Using Events or Tokens 39 33.33% 25.72 64.1% 0.771 1.2121 0.161
Skip Initial Invader Actions 65 12.9% 40.06 84.62% 0.076 -0.4862 0.419
Start of Game Growth 140 18.25% 37.89 84.29% 1.603 1.0643 0.58
Unlimited Undo 347 31.1% 22.87 45.24% -0.74 -0.6995 0.192
Using Tokens but Not Events 471 24.68% 28.3 69.21% 0.214 0.1907 -0.773

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1379 16.23 12.98%
II 1863 30.54 67.36%
III 1455 34.77 85.64%
IV 548 38.37 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.089 Win Model: -0.007
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 3719 40.1% 28.5 62.38%
2 1048 44.94% 29.32 59.06%
3 302 40.2% 30.24 62.91%
4 144 30.77% 27.67 63.19%
5 8 0.0% 0.0 0.0%
6 24 33.33% 17.63 33.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 178
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1236
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1246
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 545
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 920
Lose: Invader deck ran out 202
Lose: Adversary condition 218
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Blight pool ran out 644
Lose: Spirit destroyed 33

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)