Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
Habsburg Mining Expedition 0 1 6 0.0% 5.83 -5.21 16.67% -0.385 -0.4968
Habsburg Mining Expedition 1 3 4 0.0% 23.25 3.19 50.0% 0.127 -0.3315
Habsburg Mining Expedition 3 5 1 0.0% 0.0 -9.855 0.0% -0.342 -0.5253
Habsburg Mining Expedition 4 7 2 50.0% 47.5 12.527 50.0% -0.149 0.4083
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 179 31.28% 23.96 3.176 48.04% 0.058 0.4782
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 123 39.02% 25.3 0.579 47.97% 0.158 0.602
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 81 54.32% 26.64 -3.164 38.27% -0.481 0.0026
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 25 48.0% 26.88 1.021 36.0% -0.077 0.8009
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 41 60.98% 23.61 4.04 19.51% -0.232 1.3634
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 12 66.67% 25.17 0.0 16.67%
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 31 83.87% 32.45 0.0 16.13%
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 246 30.89% 26.2 -1.417 61.38% -0.242 -0.0519
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 230 34.35% 28.04 -1.193 59.57% -0.163 -0.1212
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 139 50.36% 34.76 2.839 59.71% -0.087 0.0543
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 121 57.02% 38.44 4.108 52.07% 0.112 0.3811
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 48 54.17% 39.58 16.151 50.0% 0.347 0.6522
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 13 46.15% 38.38 26.525 38.46% 0.286 0.6239
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 32 62.5% 36.41 0.0 25.0%
The Kingdom of England 0 1 241 30.29% 22.98 -4.33 51.45% -1.202 -0.8222
The Kingdom of England 1 3 165 40.0% 27.19 4.49 46.06% 0.274 0.8387
The Kingdom of England 2 4 80 50.0% 21.68 -4.691 31.25% -0.677 -0.0508
The Kingdom of England 3 6 55 54.55% 24.15 -3.678 23.64% -1.119 0.0065
The Kingdom of England 4 7 30 46.67% 24.7 8.374 30.0% 0.169 1.175
The Kingdom of England 5 9 21 76.19% 27.9 0.0 19.05%
The Kingdom of England 6 11 56 56.36% 35.55 0.0 25.0%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 163 35.58% 24.07 -4.824 47.24% -1.015 -0.4617
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 146 41.78% 25.18 -0.173 42.47% -0.814 0.1279
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 143 51.75% 30.47 4.567 33.57% -0.055 1.144
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 45 42.22% 34.84 -9.669 37.78% -0.299 0.9693
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 30 33.33% 29.0 0.0 23.33%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 18 50.0% 36.67 0.0 38.89%
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 55 69.09% 42.29 -1.465 25.45% -0.875 0.6222
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 119 21.01% 16.51 -5.5 36.13% -0.479 -0.1436
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 94 40.43% 21.28 0.755 32.98% -0.271 0.0766
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 57 43.86% 19.72 -10.55 15.79% -0.523 -0.1951
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 28 35.71% 31.43 12.226 39.29% 0.232 0.4966
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 29 34.48% 15.76 -4.143 13.79% -0.773 0.0385
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 34 67.65% 21.26 -1.032 14.71% -0.335 0.2242
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 26 57.69% 40.65 14.639 42.31% -0.007 1.0949
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 195 30.26% 20.02 -3.148 47.18% -0.549 -0.3001
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 174 37.36% 23.36 -2.179 47.7% -0.43 -0.1809
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 177 47.46% 25.21 -1.57 46.89% -0.356 -0.0524
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 88 55.68% 33.76 -6.049 48.86% -0.534 -0.1013
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 32 46.88% 32.5 -10.212 40.63% -0.758 -0.0101
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 30 50.0% 31.5 10.503 40.0% 0.22 1.4019
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 77 62.34% 28.97 1.109 27.27% -0.383 0.6628
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 212 29.25% 21.93 -1.61 48.58% -0.175 0.1032
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 143 41.26% 20.16 -0.997 32.87% -0.03 0.6774
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 90 53.33% 30.38 -9.943 45.56% -1.365 -0.9066
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 39 51.28% 34.64 -4.678 43.59% -0.71 0.112
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 41 56.1% 29.2 0.0 31.71%
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 21 61.9% 35.9 3.688 28.57% -0.318 1.6713
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 13 50.0% 35.77 0.0 23.08%

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3933 38.3 27.07 61.1% 0.438 0.791 0.198
1 Thematic 562 37.37 26.8 45.2% 0.465 1.1079 0.4
2 Archipelago 9 33.33 24.11 44.44%
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 783 40.61 25.75 53.0% 0.221 0.3803 -0.403
2 Coastline 159 40.88 28.29 64.78% -0.289 -0.5223 -0.114
2 Fragment 23 56.52 22.43 39.13% -0.175 -0.1937
2 Heart 4 75.0 36.75 50.0%
2 Opposite Shores 212 44.34 29.93 60.38% 0.533 0.6171 -0.486
2 Thematic 205 34.15 22.6 39.51% -0.181 0.3696 -0.959
2 Top to Top 23 47.83 29.83 65.22% 0.512
3 Archipelago 3 66.67 49.0 66.67% 0.327
3 Coastline 8 37.5 36.75 100.0%
3 Other 5 80.0 18.2 60.0% -0.568 -1.3359
3 Round (Default) 345 39.53 29.54 63.19% 0.294 0.2511 0.475
3 Thematic 42 52.38 27.57 35.71% -0.275 -0.6319 -0.123
4 Archipelago 4 0.0 28.5 75.0%
4 Leaf 1 100.0 50.0 100.0%
4 Other 4 25.0 22.5 50.0% -0.198 -0.9158 0.885
4 Snake 3 0.0 46.0 100.0%
4 Thematic 21 28.57 26.9 42.86% -0.179 -0.1693 -0.427
4 Trapezoid (Default) 141 32.14 24.18 56.03% -0.64 -0.6697 -1.374
5 Other 15 13.33 25.2 46.67% 0.467 0.1464 0.081
5 Thematic 6 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.087 -0.1019 -0.298
6 Other 3 66.67 29.67 66.67%
6 Star 1 0.0 31.0 100.0%
6 Thematic 12 33.33 26.08 50.0% 0.754
6 Two Centers (Default) 14 28.57 15.86 28.57% 0.151 0.4321 -0.146

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 183 27.91 48.63% 0.484 0.5287 -0.442
Aid From Lesser Spirits 125 32.02 55.2% 0.314 0.1696 0.985
All Things Weaken 187 28.6 49.73% 0.015 0.2161 0.127
Attenuated Essence 35 22.91 40.0% -0.329 -0.2975 -0.405
Back Against the Wall 131 31.76 48.85% 0.771 0.7133 0.661
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 36 24.92 44.44% 0.086 0.2597 0.622
Burn Brightest Before the End 30 27.73 53.33% 0.176 0.1971 0.038
Disintegrating Ecosystem 152 26.02 42.76% 0.384 0.6771 0.127
Downward Spiral 191 28.16 50.26% 1.055 1.1243 -0.051
Erosion of Will 158 26.49 39.87% -0.261 -0.1073 0.284
Intensifying Exploitation 34 24.59 50.0% -0.104 0.0252 -0.143
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 64 32.72 81.25% -0.007 -0.4779 0.378
Memory Fades to Dust 180 28.2 50.56% 0.455 0.67 -0.069
Power Corrodes the Spirit 186 27.17 54.3% -0.058 0.0504 -0.109
Promising Farmlands 165 28.4 50.91% 0.471 0.7747 0.07
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 28.87 48.39% -0.293 -0.2292 0.418
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 32.79 55.88% 0.025 0.4732 0.039
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 50 34.84 84.0% 0.765 0.1293 1.153
The Border of Life and Death 13 27.92 61.54% 0.255 -0.1538 0.283
Thriving Communities 170 25.09 40.0% -0.532 -0.305 -0.212
Thriving Crops 20 22.45 55.0% -0.408 -0.6214 -0.187
Unnatural Proliferation 184 30.4 52.72% 0.602 0.6527 0.619
Untended Land Crumbles 166 27.1 53.61% 0.163 0.3839 0.526

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1180 36.73% 27.3 61.69% -0.083 0.8411 0.081
B 1150 41.38% 26.79 57.65% -0.505 0.336 -0.156
C 1245 38.21% 27.47 60.56% 0.671 1.3541 -0.069
D 1011 38.45% 26.26 59.05% -0.063 0.7779 -0.433
E 1044 38.48% 26.75 58.43% -0.084 0.5785 -0.213
F 951 39.79% 27.93 59.31% 0.178 0.9468 0.259
G 819 39.56% 26.6 56.17% 0.138 0.8782 -0.326
H 834 37.29% 27.29 59.59% -0.162 0.5492 0.05
East 515 35.15% 27.88 46.21% -0.512 0.3203 1.011
Northeast 224 41.07% 27.87 45.09% -0.634 0.0695 0.405
Northwest 227 42.29% 25.52 42.29% -0.267 0.5653 -0.264
Southeast 175 32.57% 25.07 42.86% -0.301 0.5041 -0.084
Southwest 166 33.13% 18.44 36.14% 0.469 1.8375 -0.509
West 502 38.84% 22.59 38.84% -0.627 0.211 -1.121

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 5 0.0% 34.4 60.0% 0.378
Not Using Events or Tokens 59 32.2% 20.66 50.85% 0.027 0.5132 0.172
Skip Initial Invader Actions 76 13.7% 38.2 80.26% 0.744 0.0122 0.378
Start of Game Growth 159 18.59% 36.89 82.39% 0.744 0.3181 0.55
Unlimited Undo 443 28.18% 20.52 40.18% -1.816 -1.8631 0.12
Using Tokens but Not Events 585 24.31% 26.94 65.13% 0.899 0.7513 -0.472

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1983 14.15 10.59%
II 2208 30.28 66.17%
III 1715 34.84 85.77%
IV 637 38.62 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.705 Win Model: 0.239
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 4618 38.01% 26.71 58.1%
2 1317 42.07% 27.39 56.26%
3 390 39.85% 29.17 61.28%
4 172 30.41% 25.91 58.14%
5 16 0.0% 11.63 18.75%
6 30 33.33% 21.83 43.33%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 209
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 1460
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1452
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 634
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1498
Lose: Invader deck ran out 246
Lose: Adversary condition 250
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Blight pool ran out 732
Lose: Spirit destroyed 38

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-06-27 03:41:13 (Pacific Time)