Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 8 0.0% 15.5 62.5% -0.228 -0.7858 0.0
Blitz 0 54 50.0% 22.26 68.52% 0.201 0.6237 -0.546
Dahan Insurrection 4 54 27.78% 25.87 25.93% -0.979 -1.4607 -1.145
Despicable Theft 2 3 0.0% 27.33 66.67% -0.107 0.4354 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 10 50.0% 29.4 70.0% 0.136 0.8738 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 238 23.11% 28.75 44.54% -0.067 -0.7231 0.634
Powers Long Forgotten 1 6 16.67% 5.0 16.67% -0.921 -0.3591 -0.48
Rituals of Terror 3 7 85.71% 25.14 71.43% 0.205 0.0625 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 1 100.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.357 1.1055 0.0
Second Wave 0 46 53.33% 29.37 71.74% 0.201 0.2953 0.0
The Great River 3 3 33.33% 16.0 0.0% -1.301 -0.0558 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 5 80.0% 9.8 20.0% -0.844 0.0242 -0.191
Ward the Shores 2 47 51.06% 9.09 6.38% -1.922 -1.0675 -1.394

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5600 68.66% 20.65 45.39% -1.009 -0.6353 -0.261
1 Thematic 184 30.43% 22.73 45.11% -0.924 -0.2098 -1.171
2 Archipelago 16 37.5% 17.44 37.5% -1.305 -0.7815 -0.154
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1039 49.47% 28.73 63.14% -0.269 -0.1074 0.143
2 Coastline 230 43.61% 28.8 74.78% 0.297 0.1038 0.455
2 Fragment 27 37.04% 28.7 70.37% 0.202 0.1534 1.456
2 Heart 59 81.36% 38.37 57.63% -0.081 -0.2929 0.213
2 Opposite Shores 524 35.77% 26.74 65.84% -0.26 -0.1281 -0.027
2 Thematic 168 32.14% 21.9 58.33% -0.741 -0.0211 0.252
2 Top to Top 84 42.86% 26.7 64.29% -0.331 -0.4154 0.309
3 Archipelago 2 50.0% 12.5 50.0% -0.041 -0.5849 -0.223
3 Coastline 8 0.0% 12.5 62.5% 0.11 -0.5203 0.506
3 Other 17 29.41% 24.82 82.35% 0.964 0.0878 -0.248
3 Round (Default) 724 42.32% 29.11 64.23% -0.272 -0.2953 -0.711
3 Sunrise 6 66.67% 18.67 33.33% -0.564 -1.0106 -1.04
3 Thematic 25 40.0% 21.44 52.0% 0.038 0.046 -0.122
4 Coastline 6 33.33% 31.83 50.0% -0.147 -0.018 -0.101
4 Leaf 8 37.5% 21.75 50.0% -0.183 0.2529 -0.507
4 Other 22 18.18% 12.59 22.73% -0.403 -0.9715 0.287
4 Thematic 19 26.32% 32.63 57.89% 0.057 0.1203 -0.209
4 Trapezoid (Default) 191 33.51% 31.57 71.73% -0.088 -0.0829 -0.064
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 60.0 100.0% 0.856 -0.1648 0.442
5 Other 33 45.45% 29.85 84.85% 0.455 0.1312 -0.297
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 58.33 100.0% 0.746 0.6027 0.504
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 66.5 100.0% 0.532 -0.5262 0.37
6 Other 18 38.89% 37.5 55.56% -0.236 -0.2806 -0.04
6 Star 8 25.0% 26.5 50.0% -1.017 -0.3849 0.0
6 Thematic 74 22.97% 24.28 29.73% -0.595 -0.3916 -0.984
6 Two Centers (Default) 63 29.03% 32.54 52.38% -0.973 -0.499 -0.68
7 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.338 -2.014 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 259 25.04 50.19% 0.085 0.1565 0.596
Aid From Lesser Spirits 179 29.7 51.96% 0.17 0.0599 0.774
All Things Weaken 261 23.87 41.0% -0.239 -0.0623 0.292
Attenuated Essence 315 24.11 49.84% 0.134 0.1862 0.401
Back Against the Wall 169 28.98 52.66% 0.283 0.2675 0.716
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 307 24.22 49.51% 0.18 0.3637 0.599
Burn Brightest Before the End 188 25.02 47.34% -0.084 0.003 0.209
Disintegrating Ecosystem 241 23.52 47.3% 0.065 0.3566 0.203
Downward Spiral 295 25.43 51.86% 0.295 0.401 0.654
Erosion of Will 279 26.63 49.82% 0.265 0.4306 0.554
Intensifying Exploitation 290 24.64 50.69% 0.198 0.3861 0.766
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 81 28.4 72.84% 0.915 0.4867 0.804
Memory Fades to Dust 307 24.6 50.49% 0.198 0.4331 0.556
Power Corrodes the Spirit 288 26.22 55.56% 0.399 0.4945 0.296
Promising Farmlands 276 22.87 42.39% -0.133 0.2316 0.049
Shattered Fragments of Power 177 24.8 44.07% -0.134 -0.0683 0.193
Slow Dissolution of Will 292 23.59 41.1% -0.229 0.2346 0.022
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 57 24.7 82.46% 1.194 0.5928 0.187
The Border of Life and Death 60 26.23 70.0% 0.718 0.2426 -0.399
Thriving Communities 298 24.52 45.97% 0.076 0.3012 0.419
Thriving Crops 116 25.24 59.48% 0.543 0.3186 0.412
Unnatural Proliferation 293 26.69 47.78% 0.017 0.1392 0.272
Untended Land Crumbles 285 23.53 45.61% -0.045 0.1874 0.385

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1862 53.37% 24.91 57.84% 0.177 1.0954 0.084
B 1780 51.83% 26.6 57.75% 0.308 1.1493 0.702
C 1844 52.62% 25.72 56.62% 0.204 0.8868 0.267
D 2583 54.1% 22.84 51.49% -0.062 0.7804 -0.293
E 1448 52.95% 25.43 54.7% -0.012 0.6395 -0.256
F 1366 51.65% 26.63 58.64% 0.312 1.072 0.298
G 1277 54.28% 27.17 60.77% 0.341 1.0987 0.76
H 1326 51.78% 26.53 57.92% 0.189 0.907 0.131
East 359 31.2% 23.94 49.3% 0.069 0.8828 -0.299
Northeast 273 30.4% 23.85 49.08% -0.104 0.5637 -0.453
Northwest 244 28.69% 24.52 50.82% -0.482 0.3232 -0.29
Southeast 128 30.47% 23.4 36.72% -0.354 0.3511 0.173
Southwest 131 29.01% 22.98 35.11% -0.673 0.7171 -0.778
West 358 30.45% 23.35 48.6% 0.124 0.9172 -0.082

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 49 0.0% 15.2 63.27% -0.336 0.3833 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 26 52.17% 11.85 50.0% -0.499 -0.0143 0.529
Skip Initial Invader Actions 259 31.25% 32.6 59.46% 0.785 0.0543 1.076
Start of Game Growth 396 30.28% 29.92 60.35% 0.39 -0.0567 1.002
Unlimited Undo 899 49.59% 25.03 52.61% -0.013 -0.0458 0.348
Using Tokens but Not Events 796 45.07% 18.39 58.54% -0.079 -0.2419 -0.128

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 152 32.24% 25.27 67.76% 0.104 -0.0031 -0.559
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 251 30.4% 30.01 56.18% 0.145 -0.3431 0.367
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 43 46.51% 31.67 79.07% 0.3 0.4429 0.3
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 144 39.58% 31.07 61.81% 0.288 -0.4605 -0.235
Dances Up Earthquakes 637 46.47% 28.35 65.31% -0.128 -0.3045 -0.098
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 54 33.33% 27.15 70.37% 0.068 -0.1388 -0.799
Downpour Drenches the World 90 21.35% 22.86 45.56% -0.322 -0.0018 0.228
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 158 37.18% 29.35 65.82% 0.131 -0.309 -0.261
Eyes Watch From the Trees 79 30.38% 35.85 81.01% 0.695 0.3517 0.273
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 54 38.89% 36.5 72.22% 0.39 0.0358 1.342
Finder of Paths Unseen 134 31.58% 19.79 52.99% -0.652 0.1329 -0.742
Fractured Days Split the Sky 60 38.33% 30.9 45.0% 0.383 0.8311 -0.067
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 64 40.63% 32.05 62.5% 0.204 0.1802 0.289
Heart of the Wildfire 67 53.73% 26.37 65.67% -0.261 0.0661 -0.126
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 187 35.83% 32.42 61.5% 0.181 -0.3139 0.58
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 39 48.72% 32.23 71.79% 0.215 -0.3477 -0.246
Lightning's Swift Strike 36 31.43% 31.81 86.11% 0.81 1.008 0.654
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 60 38.33% 31.0 60.0% 0.052 -0.3964 0.26
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 19 47.37% 39.47 68.42% 0.113 -0.2069 0.497
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 88 18.39% 36.64 62.5% 0.135 0.2593 0.346
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 154 30.72% 22.97 57.14% -0.45 -0.6056 -0.583
Many Minds Move as One 54 35.19% 30.2 61.11% -0.209 -0.4152 0.069
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 47 50.0% 33.83 80.85% 0.628 0.5782 0.043
River Surges in Sunlight 149 37.84% 30.92 64.43% 0.011 0.0436 0.02
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 60 25.0% 23.65 60.0% -0.456 -0.2476 0.128
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 72 38.89% 29.26 59.72% -0.125 0.0265 -0.595
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 232 40.26% 26.15 45.69% -0.559 -0.5501 -0.425
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 165 31.1% 21.36 38.18% -0.636 -0.7353 -1.222
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 508 42.72% 30.81 69.09% 0.131 -0.3602 0.412
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9 100.0% 16.78 100.0% 0.627 1.1387 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 6 50.0% 25.33 66.67% -0.42 -0.4632 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 60 46.67% 27.43 58.33% -0.35 -0.7985 -0.05
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 2 0.0% 32.0 100.0% 0.273 0.3319 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 4 50.0% 16.25 75.0% 0.007 -0.1839 -0.325
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 4 75.0% 10.0 50.0% -0.489 -0.4049 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 35 54.29% 26.74 68.57% -0.062 -0.1603 -0.022
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 45 33.33% 35.24 73.33% 0.347 0.1525 -0.337
Shifting Memory of Ages 49 42.55% 29.45 61.22% 0.275 0.6644 0.167
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 233 37.77% 28.32 52.36% -0.265 -0.3167 0.191
Shroud of Silent Mist 34 47.06% 21.24 70.59% -0.051 0.3632 0.653
Starlight Seeks its Form 121 42.98% 29.82 64.46% -0.082 -0.1224 0.256
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 158 41.14% 25.12 58.23% -0.181 -0.6834 -0.658
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 127 30.16% 30.98 71.65% 0.146 0.2293 0.53
Thunderspeaker 52 46.15% 37.1 78.85% 0.406 0.4005 1.313
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 31 29.03% 23.48 35.48% -0.226 0.1626 -0.609
Towering Roots of the Jungle 71 50.0% 27.52 64.79% -0.159 0.0517 -0.464
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 56 67.86% 25.09 33.93% -1.07 -0.9928 -0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth 14 42.86% 35.93 85.71% 0.317 0.7661 -0.277
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 32 25.0% 26.5 50.0% 0.387 0.8814 0.361
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 5 80.0% 20.8 40.0% -0.727 -0.0345 0.0
Volcano Looming High 79 41.77% 35.06 69.62% 0.272 0.3365 0.417
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 228 30.7% 25.39 58.77% -0.116 -0.3655 -0.601

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 86.74%
Grasping Tide 95.26%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 88.77%
Tidal Boon 90.48%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2743 14.25 2.15%
II 2976 30.3 51.88%
III 2748 34.84 90.1%
IV 725 38.61 99.45%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 59
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2442
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1525
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 714
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2202
Lose: Invader deck ran out 72
Lose: Adversary condition 587
Win: Sacrifice victory 43
Lose: Scenario condition 48
Win: Scenario condition 17
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1434
Lose: Spirit destroyed 49

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.476 Win Model: -0.157

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.536 Win Model: 0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 5909 67.59% 20.93 46.08%
2 2062 43.01% 27.62 63.87%
3 779 41.9% 28.78 64.06%
4 240 32.08% 29.89 66.25%
5 38 44.74% 35.53 89.47%
6 164 25.77% 28.34 41.46%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)