Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 59 33.9% 27.29 72.88% 0.563 0.9327 0.285
Blitz 0 324 52.16% 21.54 61.73% 0.07 0.5021 0.152
Dahan Insurrection 4 215 39.07% 42.95 47.44% 1.357 1.3307 0.43
Despicable Theft 2 48 50.0% 15.75 31.25% -0.828 -0.1687 -0.224
Elemental Invocation 1 113 53.1% 21.41 48.67% 0.096 0.5442 -0.679
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1748 21.29% 30.3 36.67% 0.466 -0.1337 0.575
Powers Long Forgotten 1 34 50.0% 12.21 38.24% -0.109 0.4993 -0.289
Rituals of Terror 3 32 53.33% 18.63 53.13% -0.583 -0.4584 -0.244
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 26 34.62% 14.73 30.77% -0.344 0.3943 -0.806
Second Wave 0 472 48.0% 29.32 68.64% 0.598 0.704 0.103
The Great River 3 45 42.22% 21.69 26.67% -0.853 0.3213 -0.726
Varied Terrains 2 67 62.69% 20.03 46.27% -0.039 0.6974 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 291 55.94% 14.89 25.43% -0.746 -0.0638 -1.072

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 24539 67.07% 22.06 41.39% -0.324 -0.0998 -0.967
1 Thematic 977 36.64% 25.09 52.61% -1.033 -0.4823 -0.734
2 Archipelago 133 42.11% 13.53 27.07% 0.0 -0.3536 -0.057
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 4984 51.12% 26.88 56.24% -0.069 0.0427 -0.393
2 Coastline 1142 46.8% 25.43 59.63% 0.188 0.0986 -0.375
2 Fragment 154 48.0% 24.23 54.55% 0.239 -0.0997 1.477
2 Heart 212 68.87% 36.13 65.57% 1.017 0.6902 1.472
2 Opposite Shores 2648 40.91% 25.94 59.06% 0.164 0.2008 -0.363
2 Thematic 1136 35.04% 23.05 51.76% -0.122 0.4063 -0.611
2 Top to Top 490 50.31% 27.61 56.33% -0.78 -0.9861 -0.109
3 Archipelago 42 28.57% 24.6 54.76% 0.018 0.1189 -0.279
3 Coastline 49 36.73% 25.63 57.14% -0.225 -0.746 -0.134
3 Other 111 48.65% 25.29 58.56% 1.072 0.3305 0.784
3 Round (Default) 4144 44.09% 29.79 61.53% -0.128 -0.2236 -0.553
3 Sunrise 15 40.0% 18.93 33.33% 0.0 -0.7396 -0.759
3 Thematic 149 31.91% 28.99 59.73% 0.515 0.7565 -0.946
4 Archipelago 17 23.53% 32.0 76.47% -0.418 -0.3373 0.0
4 Coastline 24 37.5% 31.13 45.83% 0.308 0.5675 0.865
4 Leaf 29 48.28% 24.07 44.83% 0.0 -0.5543 -0.643
4 Other 121 43.7% 32.83 60.33% 0.305 -0.2424 0.402
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 47.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Thematic 179 37.08% 32.15 58.1% 0.406 0.8789 0.068
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1550 38.35% 28.28 60.52% -0.576 -0.7645 -0.619
5 Archipelago 6 66.67% 32.0 66.67% -0.622 0.8242 0.0
5 Coastline 13 30.77% 38.62 61.54% 0.0 -0.6104 1.143
5 Other 197 43.15% 26.89 70.56% -0.173 -0.4996 -1.017
5 Thematic 27 33.33% 37.41 70.37% 0.0 -0.4906 -0.145
6 Archipelago 22 31.82% 27.41 54.55% 0.0 -0.9253 -0.34
6 Coastline 25 20.0% 51.96 80.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.439
6 Other 187 37.36% 29.74 59.89% -0.217 0.0529 -0.601
6 Star 57 29.82% 30.88 59.65% -0.133 0.6628 -0.743
6 Thematic 384 21.88% 31.67 49.74% -0.324 0.2563 -0.649
6 Two Centers (Default) 565 26.02% 26.22 52.39% -0.59 -0.6134 -1.344
7 Archipelago 15 40.0% 50.73 26.67% -0.463 -0.0562 -0.764
7 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.381
7 Other 20 20.0% 25.4 40.0% 0.0 -0.2552 0.789

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 1244 27.42 46.86% -0.218 0.093 0.356
Aid From Lesser Spirits 845 30.16 46.27% -0.257 -0.2436 0.494
All Things Weaken 1277 25.52 39.7% -0.337 0.1366 0.571
Attenuated Essence 1342 26.9 48.21% 0.168 0.3145 0.658
Back Against the Wall 829 29.69 47.53% -0.136 -0.0062 0.623
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 1388 25.57 44.67% 0.24 0.5596 0.345
Burn Brightest Before the End 886 27.97 47.52% 0.151 0.3282 0.45
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1269 24.6 41.06% -0.645 -0.2647 0.387
Downward Spiral 1441 26.27 48.99% 0.512 0.7057 0.599
Erosion of Will 1177 25.73 42.99% -0.619 -0.2812 0.253
Intensifying Exploitation 1314 23.03 42.62% -0.371 -0.0188 -0.071
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 441 31.03 67.57% 0.592 0.2285 0.776
Memory Fades to Dust 1453 25.37 47.08% 0.097 0.4258 0.457
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1414 26.43 46.89% -0.37 -0.1028 0.594
Promising Farmlands 1260 25.6 42.78% 0.132 0.5794 0.277
Shattered Fragments of Power 937 27.97 44.93% 0.403 0.4029 0.506
Slow Dissolution of Will 1351 24.75 40.04% 0.047 0.4584 0.333
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 288 27.38 67.36% -0.08 -0.6386 0.541
The Border of Life and Death 277 29.0 64.26% 0.512 0.2673 0.135
Thriving Communities 1312 25.76 45.43% 0.077 0.3545 0.705
Thriving Crops 521 28.07 57.39% 0.145 0.0494 0.402
Unnatural Proliferation 1355 28.65 45.76% 0.377 0.5815 0.754
Untended Land Crumbles 1258 24.83 43.48% -0.641 -0.3413 0.396

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 9544 50.73% 25.17 52.55% -0.132 0.8594 0.276
B 9550 50.13% 26.38 53.19% 0.435 1.3005 0.4
C 9776 51.83% 25.88 52.61% 0.105 0.8568 0.348
D 12208 52.36% 23.84 47.58% -0.304 0.6412 0.21
E 7835 51.86% 25.97 52.74% 0.034 0.7891 0.343
F 7381 51.56% 26.26 54.59% 0.212 1.0867 0.444
G 6892 52.35% 26.95 54.92% -0.177 0.6854 0.279
H 7253 51.02% 27.24 55.83% 0.405 1.2119 0.693
East 2257 33.67% 26.74 53.3% 0.037 0.7829 -0.916
Northeast 1555 31.31% 26.81 54.66% 0.541 1.434 -0.319
Northwest 1094 28.2% 29.01 56.58% -0.764 -0.0209 -0.044
Southeast 803 32.19% 27.73 51.81% 0.58 1.5887 -0.363
Southwest 782 31.82% 26.19 46.8% -1.104 0.0527 -1.118
West 1844 32.05% 26.5 51.3% 0.151 1.1336 -0.256

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 466 0.0% 17.76 53.0% -0.015 0.7051 0.563
Not Using Events or Tokens 288 50.74% 15.78 40.28% -1.584 -1.1092 0.042
Skip Initial Invader Actions 1353 27.19% 34.95 67.78% 0.409 -0.3962 0.323
Start of Game Growth 3206 45.08% 35.54 58.14% 0.589 0.0225 0.896
Unlimited Undo 3684 45.56% 25.49 53.18% -0.313 -0.2861 0.331
Using Tokens but Not Events 3939 44.31% 19.9 57.25% -0.463 -0.49 0.008

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 1035 31.32% 25.36 58.45% -0.25 -0.6677 -0.533
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 1344 36.35% 32.42 60.42% 0.178 -0.4785 0.546
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 80 21.79% 28.45 65.0% -0.205 -0.3631 0.182
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 527 38.89% 31.43 63.57% 0.289 -0.5711 0.584
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 358 42.9% 22.02 54.47% -0.826 -0.6881 -1.578
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 1071 45.84% 29.3 57.52% 0.411 -0.618 0.255
Dances Up Earthquakes 1542 47.21% 27.86 59.6% 0.227 0.1912 -0.02
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 351 41.26% 26.03 59.26% -0.731 -1.0852 -0.014
Downpour Drenches the World 639 33.49% 25.86 51.33% -0.613 -0.4891 -0.353
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 952 36.06% 29.91 65.13% 0.356 -0.2143 0.315
Eyes Watch From the Trees 747 27.75% 29.33 66.93% 0.428 -0.2184 -0.005
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 529 38.83% 31.26 64.65% 0.082 -0.4117 -0.301
Finder of Paths Unseen 890 39.52% 22.8 47.08% -0.456 0.1324 0.154
Fractured Days Split the Sky 448 33.56% 26.51 48.88% 0.058 0.505 -0.315
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 372 43.87% 31.04 65.86% 0.401 0.2162 1.148
Heart of the Wildfire 414 43.77% 22.47 57.49% -0.398 -0.2553 -0.322
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 1114 36.12% 31.7 57.9% -0.279 -0.9533 0.409
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 442 44.95% 30.83 60.41% 0.067 -0.4601 1.351
Lightning's Swift Strike 290 45.88% 20.82 55.86% 0.049 0.0821 -0.36
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 364 40.38% 32.19 61.54% 0.342 -0.31 0.583
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 154 40.13% 30.65 57.14% -0.138 -0.6336 -0.269
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 533 31.8% 35.54 59.66% -0.155 -0.3948 1.107
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1210 41.01% 23.74 51.57% -0.403 -0.8287 -0.958
Many Minds Move as One 486 42.18% 29.67 62.14% 0.146 -0.3626 0.51
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 463 46.05% 28.34 65.23% 0.233 -0.0605 0.039
River Surges in Sunlight 958 41.25% 30.01 56.16% -0.112 -0.283 0.008
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 406 39.95% 25.33 55.17% 0.052 -0.0587 -0.598
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 729 34.14% 24.99 58.44% 0.314 0.2489 -0.618
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1370 44.62% 30.44 52.55% 0.063 -0.0675 -0.217
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 961 31.02% 29.55 54.11% -0.107 -0.3711 0.047
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 1379 44.25% 29.34 55.47% 0.1 -0.3305 -0.324
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 68 68.18% 15.71 54.41% 0.275 0.703 -0.535
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 68 41.54% 24.29 63.24% -0.984 -0.9799 0.402
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 381 42.22% 25.72 59.06% -0.259 -1.012 -0.806
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 82 36.59% 26.27 63.41% 0.297 -0.0221 -0.202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 58 47.37% 23.83 58.62% -0.152 -0.3306 0.563
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 29 44.83% 25.9 68.97% -0.486 -0.5292 -0.521
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 166 43.29% 29.22 65.06% 0.175 -0.1913 1.258
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 58 44.83% 32.17 74.14% 1.023 0.4819 -0.114
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 353 34.84% 27.95 58.07% -0.316 -0.56 -0.369
Shifting Memory of Ages 236 47.56% 23.92 55.93% 0.9 1.1942 -0.359
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 1057 41.23% 28.65 52.6% 0.141 -0.0224 0.477
Shroud of Silent Mist 301 43.19% 23.42 58.14% 0.629 0.8115 0.622
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 113 58.41% 36.36 68.14% -0.233 -0.6427 0.607
Starlight Seeks its Form 1105 42.16% 28.85 59.37% 0.177 -0.0647 0.146
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 767 40.37% 25.44 55.8% 0.427 -0.525 0.21
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 1005 38.39% 30.16 63.38% 0.053 0.0952 -0.424
Thunderspeaker 376 42.63% 29.3 61.97% 0.035 -0.1602 -0.74
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 225 37.44% 31.03 54.67% 0.301 0.1322 -0.127
Towering Roots of the Jungle 502 38.87% 25.53 57.97% -0.02 -0.1309 -0.045
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 367 59.61% 27.9 53.95% -0.148 -0.299 0.291
Vital Strength of the Earth 226 22.64% 22.88 61.95% -0.417 -0.058 0.153
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 289 37.85% 30.28 51.56% -0.025 0.2185 -0.247
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 97 33.33% 22.42 62.89% -0.089 0.5927 -0.171
Volcano Looming High 667 48.62% 26.19 53.22% -0.535 -0.8589 -0.169
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1668 36.73% 29.11 66.07% 0.176 -0.3417 -0.19

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 87.14%
Grasping Tide 96.01%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 88.67%
Tidal Boon 90.74%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 14552 12.25 1.84%
II 13786 29.91 48.68%
III 12515 34.94 88.91%
IV 3624 38.9 99.53%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 268
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 10942
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6585
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 3572
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 11310
Lose: Invader deck ran out 294
Lose: Adversary condition 3390
Win: Sacrifice victory 172
Lose: Scenario condition 581
Win: Scenario condition 174
Lose: Unique spirit condition 5
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6918
Lose: Spirit destroyed 266

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.713 Win Model: -0.136

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.365 Win Model: 0.092
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 26126 65.97% 22.37 42.5%
2 10496 45.49% 25.96 56.13%
3 4443 43.73% 29.71 61.47%
4 1890 38.76% 28.8 59.95%
5 240 42.08% 28.38 68.33%
6 1282 26.32% 29.52 53.82%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)