Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 21.88% 22.16 71.88% 0.487 0.6784 -0.352
Blitz 0 200 47.0% 22.29 67.5% 0.176 0.3935 -0.397
Dahan Insurrection 4 112 38.39% 39.37 37.5% 0.195 -0.0581 -0.205
Despicable Theft 2 14 42.86% 16.36 35.71% -0.635 -0.0488 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 42 59.52% 24.88 52.38% -1.053 -0.3136 0.115
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 676 21.48% 28.29 38.76% -0.143 -0.7041 -0.064
Powers Long Forgotten 1 17 41.18% 12.12 29.41% -0.026 0.7334 -0.536
Rituals of Terror 3 21 57.89% 17.62 57.14% -0.685 -0.5651 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 9 22.22% 21.44 55.56% -0.322 0.5856 0.0
Second Wave 0 183 50.63% 30.38 71.58% 0.447 0.5856 0.992
The Great River 3 16 31.25% 24.63 31.25% -1.385 -0.2855 -0.999
Varied Terrains 2 36 55.56% 17.14 38.89% -1.028 -0.2518 -0.503
Ward the Shores 2 111 54.13% 12.68 17.12% -1.872 -0.7978 -1.354

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 13180 68.2% 21.08 42.92% -0.552 -0.2189 -0.557
1 Thematic 517 32.3% 25.73 51.45% -0.137 0.5492 0.192
2 Archipelago 51 49.02% 16.27 33.33% -1.582 -0.9748 -0.233
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2608 51.49% 27.82 59.7% -0.047 0.0728 -0.262
2 Coastline 548 44.07% 27.13 68.25% 0.026 -0.0457 0.03
2 Fragment 77 48.0% 24.04 57.14% 0.07 -0.1153 1.074
2 Heart 138 77.54% 37.42 57.97% -0.176 -0.3331 0.25
2 Opposite Shores 1363 39.32% 26.89 62.0% -0.264 -0.1126 -0.259
2 Thematic 434 32.78% 21.57 54.84% -0.307 0.2013 -0.468
2 Top to Top 281 44.64% 26.56 58.36% -0.024 -0.0825 0.025
3 Archipelago 13 38.46% 26.69 69.23% -0.396 -1.3478 -0.504
3 Coastline 23 30.43% 22.52 60.87% -0.142 -0.5517 1.197
3 Other 49 38.78% 26.22 73.47% 0.436 -0.3352 -0.018
3 Round (Default) 2031 44.01% 29.77 60.81% -0.426 -0.5172 -0.807
3 Sunrise 11 36.36% 25.82 45.45% 0.1 0.0043 -0.114
3 Thematic 81 30.38% 29.23 59.26% -0.114 -0.0931 -0.863
4 Archipelago 4 25.0% 30.75 75.0% 0.217 -0.3128 -0.49
4 Coastline 14 28.57% 31.64 50.0% -0.074 -0.1593 -0.061
4 Leaf 19 42.11% 21.0 36.84% -0.453 -0.6149 -0.873
4 Other 51 29.41% 22.82 43.14% 0.356 -0.3548 0.812
4 Thematic 81 44.44% 31.85 51.85% -0.365 -0.2417 -0.769
4 Trapezoid (Default) 744 36.93% 28.98 61.83% -0.659 -0.6615 -0.68
5 Archipelago 5 80.0% 38.4 80.0% 0.308 0.2775 0.0
5 Coastline 6 0.0% 10.0 16.67% -0.597 -0.7427 -0.547
5 Other 105 40.95% 26.21 71.43% 0.033 -0.4808 -1.595
5 Thematic 10 60.0% 61.1 70.0% -0.075 -0.132 1.266
6 Archipelago 12 8.33% 22.42 50.0% -0.539 -1.5769 -0.306
6 Coastline 8 0.0% 59.88 87.5% 0.581 -0.3783 0.475
6 Other 84 38.1% 28.39 59.52% -0.54 -0.6437 -0.462
6 Star 34 20.59% 30.59 64.71% -0.528 -0.5417 -0.287
6 Thematic 198 25.25% 30.48 41.41% -0.652 -0.3663 -0.741
6 Two Centers (Default) 251 23.2% 25.8 52.99% -1.909 -1.3758 -1.647
7 Other 9 22.22% 26.56 33.33% -0.423 -0.9816 0.313

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 658 25.55 44.98% -0.008 0.2432 0.512
Aid From Lesser Spirits 456 29.55 48.46% 0.219 0.1608 0.71
All Things Weaken 670 24.7 38.96% -0.173 0.1618 0.399
Attenuated Essence 719 26.05 48.96% 0.438 0.4714 0.604
Back Against the Wall 429 29.96 48.72% 0.175 0.2101 0.685
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 721 24.96 47.16% -0.047 0.1697 0.477
Burn Brightest Before the End 451 26.82 48.34% 0.135 0.146 0.482
Disintegrating Ecosystem 676 24.69 44.08% 0.049 0.3931 0.489
Downward Spiral 767 24.85 49.15% 0.161 0.2782 0.497
Erosion of Will 643 25.99 44.79% -0.066 0.2082 0.341
Intensifying Exploitation 723 23.76 46.47% 0.083 0.2945 0.333
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 208 29.96 70.19% 0.928 0.3554 0.989
Memory Fades to Dust 755 24.3 48.48% 0.066 0.3184 0.409
Power Corrodes the Spirit 734 26.04 48.5% -0.04 0.1644 0.423
Promising Farmlands 640 24.3 42.03% -0.114 0.1403 0.451
Shattered Fragments of Power 462 26.56 46.1% 0.043 0.117 0.475
Slow Dissolution of Will 713 24.48 41.94% -0.081 0.3007 0.11
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 136 25.84 72.06% 0.699 0.025 0.07
The Border of Life and Death 146 28.64 63.7% 0.576 -0.0247 0.43
Thriving Communities 726 24.94 46.42% 0.221 0.5029 0.417
Thriving Crops 278 27.58 60.79% 0.638 0.498 0.539
Unnatural Proliferation 728 26.95 45.74% -0.055 0.1481 0.584
Untended Land Crumbles 687 23.91 43.81% 0.086 0.2764 0.281

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 4851 51.9% 24.97 53.51% 0.077 1.0753 0.11
B 4933 51.41% 26.67 54.65% 0.235 1.1568 0.585
C 4932 51.62% 25.78 54.6% 0.202 0.9311 0.193
D 6343 53.34% 23.2 49.53% 0.039 0.9981 -0.147
E 4032 51.63% 25.31 52.83% 0.12 0.9393 -0.084
F 3838 51.57% 26.02 54.61% 0.142 1.0239 0.032
G 3381 52.09% 27.01 58.0% 0.398 1.2238 0.556
H 3642 50.36% 26.52 56.78% 0.458 1.2973 0.11
East 1006 33.4% 26.8 52.19% -0.679 0.196 0.495
Northeast 730 33.29% 26.65 52.05% -0.082 0.6703 -0.533
Northwest 562 29.75% 28.78 54.27% 0.038 0.93 -0.269
Southeast 367 33.33% 28.17 44.69% -0.054 0.7846 -0.293
Southwest 381 31.3% 26.22 40.68% -0.519 0.7857 -1.106
West 906 30.47% 26.35 50.99% -0.353 0.5971 0.323

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 216 0.0% 15.61 50.93% -0.885 -0.1564 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 113 53.77% 16.11 48.67% -0.092 0.2539 0.074
Skip Initial Invader Actions 696 25.63% 34.4 63.65% 0.393 -0.2093 1.597
Start of Game Growth 1210 34.17% 32.94 64.13% 0.934 0.4295 0.956
Unlimited Undo 2056 48.05% 24.92 52.24% -0.238 -0.3449 0.335
Using Tokens but Not Events 2064 43.23% 18.8 57.36% -0.249 -0.2783 -0.519

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 500 31.05% 26.95 65.0% 0.278 0.1835 0.217
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 681 34.81% 32.07 60.21% 0.443 -0.0326 0.657
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 147 44.44% 22.35 58.5% -0.519 -0.4062 -0.202
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 524 39.69% 28.87 58.59% 0.044 -0.7694 0.076
Dances Up Earthquakes 1150 46.21% 28.57 62.35% -0.009 -0.0182 -0.143
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 137 40.88% 26.28 62.77% -0.413 -0.553 -0.933
Downpour Drenches the World 311 29.35% 24.13 50.8% -0.209 0.0189 -0.023
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 461 37.99% 30.2 66.16% 0.312 -0.2578 0.259
Eyes Watch From the Trees 338 27.6% 31.24 71.6% 0.223 -0.1641 0.131
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 238 40.34% 33.32 66.81% 0.433 0.0391 1.067
Finder of Paths Unseen 421 37.38% 23.68 49.41% -0.738 -0.0099 -0.461
Fractured Days Split the Sky 222 33.48% 29.04 50.9% -0.182 0.4589 -0.032
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 171 47.95% 30.09 64.33% 0.203 0.0692 0.801
Heart of the Wildfire 189 42.7% 22.45 59.26% 0.006 0.3356 -0.433
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 599 32.94% 29.69 55.43% -0.09 -0.5137 0.26
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 190 40.53% 28.22 57.89% -0.072 -0.3789 -0.586
Lightning's Swift Strike 106 39.22% 20.71 62.26% -0.56 -0.3221 0.069
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 36.41% 33.18 63.04% -0.018 -0.4254 0.687
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 53 35.85% 29.08 60.38% -0.017 -0.336 0.191
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 276 28.89% 33.36 57.61% 0.239 0.1583 0.341
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 536 38.13% 24.44 51.12% -0.319 -0.512 -0.633
Many Minds Move as One 247 43.32% 29.59 58.7% 0.137 -0.0793 0.466
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 227 46.67% 29.6 70.04% 0.193 0.1145 1.201
River Surges in Sunlight 449 39.27% 30.67 61.47% -0.02 0.1057 0.164
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 185 30.43% 23.61 55.14% -0.062 0.1167 -0.189
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 327 30.15% 25.44 56.27% -0.243 0.0362 -0.912
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 697 47.34% 30.67 51.94% 0.024 -0.0983 0.127
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 451 33.86% 25.41 49.45% 0.46 0.3332 -0.216
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 925 45.35% 30.57 62.05% -0.033 -0.1455 0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 30 93.33% 18.73 73.33% -0.122 0.3935 -0.783
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 32.35% 27.05 56.76% -0.832 -0.8507 0.092
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 204 44.12% 25.61 57.84% 0.471 -0.0325 -0.492
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 35 42.86% 24.2 60.0% -0.556 -0.7472 -0.545
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 17 47.06% 28.94 82.35% 0.198 0.1393 -0.262
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 13 38.46% 17.62 61.54% 0.275 0.3562 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 87 43.53% 27.11 59.77% -0.068 0.0119 0.523
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 180 35.56% 31.07 63.33% -0.102 -0.2884 0.154
Shifting Memory of Ages 114 40.0% 25.03 56.14% -0.359 -0.092 -0.364
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 642 40.41% 27.16 49.38% -0.1 -0.2186 0.035
Shroud of Silent Mist 160 48.13% 22.8 55.0% -0.784 -0.4329 -0.24
Starlight Seeks its Form 490 38.16% 29.02 59.8% 0.132 0.0138 0.219
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 384 38.64% 26.33 57.81% -0.085 -0.5985 -0.085
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 466 38.26% 30.68 67.38% 0.359 0.4766 0.592
Thunderspeaker 213 44.08% 30.72 61.5% -0.018 0.0144 -0.066
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 115 44.35% 31.34 49.57% 0.407 0.4204 -0.787
Towering Roots of the Jungle 248 38.46% 28.96 63.71% 0.368 0.4979 0.002
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 178 64.71% 28.22 48.31% -0.031 0.0958 0.345
Vital Strength of the Earth 80 27.03% 22.09 63.75% -0.184 0.4159 -0.382
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 140 30.94% 30.07 52.86% 0.752 1.2458 0.128
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 37 37.84% 25.0 67.57% 0.952 1.6497 0.0
Volcano Looming High 356 46.99% 27.65 53.65% -0.363 -0.3152 0.011
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 663 34.19% 27.05 63.05% 0.373 0.0832 -0.161

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call of the Deeps 86.97%
Grasping Tide 95.67%
Swallow the Land-Dwellers 88.2%
Tidal Boon 90.87%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7381 13.42 1.91%
II 7201 30.13 50.3%
III 6648 34.83 89.62%
IV 1871 38.67 99.41%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 141
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5868
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3573
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1845
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 5842
Lose: Invader deck ran out 162
Lose: Adversary condition 1645
Win: Sacrifice victory 93
Lose: Scenario condition 180
Win: Scenario condition 61
Lose: Blight pool ran out 3561
Lose: Spirit destroyed 130

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.432 Win Model: -0.156

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.372 Win Model: 0.2
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 14008 67.03% 21.46 43.93%
2 5292 44.94% 26.95 59.85%
3 2182 43.43% 29.77 61.14%
4 896 37.02% 28.66 59.49%
5 128 40.63% 28.27 68.75%
6 595 25.08% 28.46 51.26%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)