Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 37.5% 34.22 87.5% -0.14 0.0507 0.364
Blitz 0 103 46.08% 27.54 58.25% -0.118 0.0989 -0.402
Dahan Insurrection 4 113 25.66% 35.15 46.9% -0.085 -0.3379 0.11
Despicable Theft 2 46 47.83% 26.85 54.35% -0.012 0.5747 -0.096
Elemental Invocation 1 76 34.21% 25.72 55.26% -0.093 0.6465 -0.778
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 1027 25.41% 49.41 71.18% -0.078 -0.64 1.057
Powers Long Forgotten 1 45 51.11% 22.78 51.11% -0.95 -0.1901 -0.663
Rituals of Terror 3 44 50.0% 38.11 47.73% 0.71 0.8302 0.029
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 43 66.67% 33.26 72.09% 0.347 1.2545 1.355
Second Wave 0 296 43.54% 26.04 66.55% 0.184 0.3223 -0.341
The Great River 3 27 40.74% 29.59 62.96% -0.589 0.5111 -0.234
Varied Terrains 2 68 48.53% 26.56 55.88% -1.446 -0.6697 0.749
Ward the Shores 2 31 32.26% 16.45 38.71% -0.279 0.7956 -0.381

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 11108 51.03% 31.27 60.04% 0.12 0.4526 0.056
1 Thematic 607 24.56% 32.65 71.33% 0.24 0.9259 -0.028
2 Archipelago 20 55.0% 22.4 40.0% -1.034 -0.4259 -1.209
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2270 50.38% 31.94 64.71% -0.011 0.1087 -0.003
2 Coastline 313 45.37% 34.29 72.84% -0.523 -0.595 0.61
2 Fragment 60 46.67% 29.72 63.33% 0.454 0.2693 0.731
2 Heart 38 60.53% 45.68 81.58% 0.679 0.5217 0.986
2 Opposite Shores 687 31.59% 27.48 72.93% 0.283 0.4342 0.063
2 Thematic 141 41.13% 30.15 56.03% -0.601 -0.093 -0.557
2 Top to Top 93 50.54% 30.02 54.84% 0.206 0.1475 -0.563
3 Archipelago 8 62.5% 49.0 87.5% 0.148 -0.8041 -0.206
3 Coastline 20 15.0% 28.05 75.0% 0.57 0.1598 0.859
3 Other 44 36.36% 25.93 75.0% 0.197 -0.5747 0.556
3 Round (Default) 1445 45.22% 34.04 67.68% 0.458 0.3671 -0.145
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 28.33 100.0% 0.0 -0.096 0.0
3 Thematic 58 41.38% 29.91 56.9% -0.297 -0.2764 -0.271
4 Archipelago 15 26.67% 31.0 66.67% -0.324 -0.8537 0.048
4 Coastline 6 50.0% 35.67 83.33% 0.085 -0.0003 0.578
4 Leaf 10 40.0% 20.1 50.0% -0.456 -0.6173 0.456
4 Other 28 32.14% 27.61 82.14% -0.147 -0.8577 0.848
4 Thematic 64 46.88% 34.05 60.94% 0.305 0.4275 -0.204
4 Trapezoid (Default) 717 34.45% 31.57 65.83% -0.286 -0.2884 -0.57
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0301 0.0
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 29.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.1459 0.0
5 Other 61 16.39% 29.51 73.77% 0.879 0.3646 -0.816
5 Thematic 9 55.56% 28.22 55.56% 0.229 0.172 0.484
6 Archipelago 4 25.0% 32.0 75.0% -0.445 -1.4828 0.0
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 56.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.312
6 Other 78 28.21% 22.56 64.1% 0.403 0.2991 -0.593
6 Star 40 12.5% 29.4 72.5% -0.016 -0.0294 0.357
6 Thematic 242 19.67% 38.94 57.85% -0.074 0.2123 -1.208
6 Two Centers (Default) 198 31.31% 24.8 58.08% -0.474 0.0589 -0.313
7 Other 5 20.0% 4.0 20.0% -0.514 -1.0721 -0.29

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 405 36.43 56.05% -0.053 0.1981 0.283
Aid From Lesser Spirits 314 39.62 63.06% 0.63 0.5723 0.77
All Things Weaken 463 34.33 52.48% -0.615 -0.2799 0.153
Attenuated Essence 454 36.59 56.83% 0.419 0.4527 0.457
Back Against the Wall 304 40.17 60.2% -0.087 -0.0523 0.729
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 419 33.39 51.07% -0.031 0.186 -0.006
Burn Brightest Before the End 353 35.26 52.41% 0.275 0.2859 -0.006
Disintegrating Ecosystem 415 30.13 45.78% -0.747 -0.4021 -0.092
Downward Spiral 475 34.47 54.95% 0.017 0.1345 0.212
Erosion of Will 401 35.49 55.11% -0.088 0.1866 0.29
Intensifying Exploitation 521 33.25 53.93% -0.199 0.0117 -0.073
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 165 35.45 69.7% -0.045 -0.6174 0.389
Memory Fades to Dust 509 36.46 59.92% -0.069 0.1838 0.274
Power Corrodes the Spirit 449 32.08 51.67% 0.058 0.2626 -0.079
Promising Farmlands 423 30.7 46.81% -0.593 -0.3394 -0.228
Shattered Fragments of Power 318 36.69 58.81% -0.274 -0.1998 0.33
Slow Dissolution of Will 384 32.49 48.44% -0.273 0.1083 0.031
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 96 39.07 83.33% 1.232 0.5578 1.658
The Border of Life and Death 96 37.29 77.08% 0.316 -0.2848 1.199
Thriving Communities 465 31.69 47.31% -0.323 -0.0414 0.116
Thriving Crops 189 30.39 60.32% 0.061 -0.0793 0.107
Unnatural Proliferation 462 35.09 54.33% 0.013 0.2164 0.168
Untended Land Crumbles 456 32.75 49.78% -0.404 -0.2138 0.135

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3845 45.51% 31.04 62.89% 0.195 1.1926 0.122
B 3858 46.31% 30.74 63.58% -0.086 0.8363 0.087
C 4342 44.53% 31.8 64.83% 0.034 0.7634 0.353
D 3332 43.56% 31.05 65.16% 0.019 0.9786 0.267
E 4005 45.77% 32.35 63.97% 0.082 0.9012 0.559
F 3162 45.02% 30.68 63.92% -0.075 0.8071 0.159
G 2760 44.93% 31.46 64.75% 0.16 0.9851 0.201
H 2681 43.38% 30.04 61.95% -0.076 0.7626 0.004
East 791 27.28% 34.73 65.99% 0.264 1.1389 0.429
Northeast 565 26.38% 34.66 65.31% -0.079 0.6735 -0.562
Northwest 488 26.45% 35.61 60.25% -0.419 0.4731 -0.216
Southeast 390 25.45% 36.5 61.03% 0.739 1.5777 -0.49
Southwest 410 26.6% 33.46 57.07% -0.594 0.7105 -0.501
West 763 30.38% 33.57 59.76% -0.109 0.8408 -0.442

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 227 0.0% 23.41 54.19% -2.0 -1.2712 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 48 33.33% 6.6 27.08% -0.51 -0.1647 -0.121
Skip Initial Invader Actions 365 17.24% 39.3 69.32% 0.507 -0.0958 0.366
Start of Game Growth 796 25.07% 41.95 70.98% 0.634 0.1299 0.907
Unlimited Undo 2012 47.38% 32.14 58.5% -0.65 -0.7566 0.446
Using Tokens but Not Events 1818 29.69% 26.3 69.09% 0.265 0.2354 -0.29

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 371 36.89% 32.58 72.51% 0.786 0.6914 0.286
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 202 32.67% 32.32 71.78% 0.73 0.2545 -0.175
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 83 57.83% 25.66 63.86% -1.332 -1.2191 0.508
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 727 40.03% 34.24 70.56% 0.094 -0.7192 0.375
Dances Up Earthquakes 89 41.57% 32.46 69.66% -0.182 -0.1914 -0.352
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 253 30.52% 27.08 69.17% 0.026 -0.1143 -0.365
Downpour Drenches the World 229 35.81% 29.87 62.01% -0.116 0.1111 0.584
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 464 37.93% 33.86 70.26% 0.23 -0.3394 0.46
Eyes Watch From the Trees 309 29.84% 29.57 70.23% -0.151 -0.5388 -0.605
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 332 28.18% 35.87 72.29% 0.518 0.1245 0.49
Finder of Paths Unseen 127 42.52% 22.66 55.12% -0.401 0.3272 -0.413
Fractured Days Split the Sky 131 31.3% 28.21 63.36% 0.54 1.1808 0.062
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 243 38.43% 31.84 64.61% 1.086 0.9527 -0.11
Heart of the Wildfire 211 46.67% 30.44 63.51% 0.17 0.4998 0.502
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 420 30.48% 38.09 64.29% 0.593 0.1694 0.036
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 657 36.89% 32.37 66.82% -0.322 -0.6285 -0.16
Lightning's Swift Strike 147 38.89% 28.04 68.03% -0.635 -0.3969 0.624
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 210 40.78% 31.11 56.19% -0.828 -1.2359 -0.155
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 99 36.36% 34.59 75.76% -0.002 -0.3214 0.517
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 175 35.63% 29.01 54.29% -0.336 -0.4169 0.43
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 516 40.94% 37.66 63.57% -0.055 -0.2475 -0.395
Many Minds Move as One 206 43.56% 31.74 69.42% 0.095 -0.1215 -0.296
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 447 34.75% 37.61 67.34% 0.523 0.6625 0.255
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 204 44.12% 25.61 57.84% 0.165 0.2455 -0.94
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 232 40.18% 25.77 58.19% 0.221 0.1426 -0.856
River Surges in Sunlight 155 41.56% 28.83 64.52% 0.051 0.1761 -0.269
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 144 37.76% 28.55 54.86% -1.372 -1.1934 -0.188
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 147 22.45% 28.35 59.86% -0.285 -0.0058 -1.34
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 250 47.2% 34.15 59.2% 0.329 0.206 0.197
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 288 37.85% 30.8 67.01% 0.102 -0.025 0.166
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 94 37.23% 32.41 71.28% -0.102 -0.2143 1.017
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 105 35.24% 32.21 69.52% 0.299 0.3786 -0.397
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 293 29.01% 40.3 67.24% -0.116 -0.303 0.403
Shifting Memory of Ages 143 44.76% 27.69 67.13% 0.453 0.7208 -0.193
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 239 34.73% 28.76 59.83% -0.491 -0.609 0.552
Shroud of Silent Mist 184 42.39% 27.51 65.22% 0.221 0.5724 -0.391
Starlight Seeks its Form 386 42.49% 29.68 61.4% -0.332 -0.45 0.345
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 352 37.5% 32.52 65.34% -0.505 -1.0184 -0.202
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 288 32.63% 28.58 62.15% -0.369 -0.2518 -0.198
Thunderspeaker 150 44.67% 31.47 65.33% 0.112 0.1444 0.725
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 109 33.94% 28.95 61.47% 0.164 0.1776 0.268
Towering Roots of the Jungle 249 39.52% 33.83 69.48% 0.025 0.1548 0.359
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 202 63.0% 28.58 52.48% 0.043 0.1692 -0.195
Vital Strength of the Earth 107 30.48% 21.18 58.88% -0.197 0.4033 -1.053
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 180 35.39% 28.31 60.0% 0.36 0.8533 -0.118
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 60 39.66% 24.63 55.0% -0.132 0.566 -0.137
Volcano Looming High 289 45.33% 31.23 64.36% -0.149 -0.101 0.203
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 856 37.0% 31.06 67.06% 0.265 -0.0248 0.32

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 82.37%
Crops Wither and Fade 91.09%
Favors Called Due 88.8%
Mantle of Dread 93.31%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3438 13.42 2.33%
II 5725 30.13 51.07%
III 6731 34.83 89.48%
IV 2504 38.67 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 80
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5969
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2880
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2474
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3719
Lose: Invader deck ran out 18
Lose: Adversary condition 968
Win: Sacrifice victory 55
Lose: Scenario condition 94
Win: Scenario condition 65
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2064
Lose: Spirit destroyed 12

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.253 Win Model: -0.219

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.29 Win Model: -0.152
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 11752 49.68% 31.35 60.58%
2 3604 46.14% 31.22 66.65%
3 1572 44.56% 33.59 67.62%
4 837 35.01% 31.47 66.31%
5 70 20.0% 29.56 67.14%
6 563 24.46% 30.79 59.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)