Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 12 25.0% 36.83 83.33% 1.181 1.2331 -0.043
Blitz 0 54 49.06% 29.37 53.7% -0.375 -0.1747 -0.261
Dahan Insurrection 4 54 37.04% 38.78 46.3% -0.304 -0.5157 0.141
Despicable Theft 2 21 52.38% 31.19 57.14% 0.012 0.856 -0.15
Elemental Invocation 1 28 28.57% 24.43 50.0% -0.911 0.1603 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 586 27.13% 50.23 72.01% 0.905 0.1804 1.077
Powers Long Forgotten 1 21 47.62% 29.57 61.9% -0.015 0.8913 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 19 47.37% 29.53 36.84% 0.058 0.0884 -0.781
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 11 40.0% 13.36 27.27% -0.694 0.4948 -0.056
Second Wave 0 94 46.24% 26.26 65.96% 0.096 0.1771 -0.044
The Great River 3 13 53.85% 37.46 84.62% -0.063 1.3248 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 26 38.46% 30.88 76.92% -1.182 -0.2809 0.0
Ward the Shores 2 9 11.11% 5.67 22.22% -0.203 0.8519 -0.226

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 5695 51.53% 32.09 60.07% -0.155 -0.1238 0.372
1 Thematic 130 35.66% 36.79 63.08% 0.068 0.5001 0.003
2 Archipelago 10 50.0% 23.4 40.0% -0.524 -0.0308 -0.882
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1081 51.02% 33.51 66.33% -0.099 -0.148 0.338
2 Coastline 132 47.73% 37.76 82.58% 0.128 0.0277 1.423
2 Fragment 29 37.93% 27.83 62.07% -0.411 -0.824 0.42
2 Heart 16 56.25% 41.63 81.25% 0.441 0.3514 0.921
2 Opposite Shores 301 33.22% 26.39 68.77% 0.198 0.0179 -0.404
2 Thematic 42 45.24% 33.48 54.76% 0.001 0.1878 -0.551
2 Top to Top 39 58.97% 26.44 53.85% 0.626 0.4263 -0.503
3 Archipelago 3 66.67% 50.33 100.0% 0.523 -0.5977 0.0
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 33.3 80.0% 0.394 -0.2681 -0.486
3 Other 22 36.36% 22.59 72.73% -0.756 -1.0896 0.275
3 Round (Default) 636 45.2% 34.5 65.72% -0.135 -0.4015 0.066
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.2 0.7106 0.0
3 Thematic 8 25.0% 28.13 75.0% 0.191 -0.255 0.0
4 Archipelago 10 40.0% 33.3 70.0% 0.557 -0.0006 -0.187
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 45.0 100.0% 0.256 -0.3627 0.536
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 20.2 60.0% 0.0 0.8461 0.0
4 Other 18 27.78% 30.72 88.89% 0.646 -0.0916 0.0
4 Thematic 18 38.89% 34.0 61.11% -0.623 -0.42 -0.045
4 Trapezoid (Default) 300 38.67% 37.0 74.33% 0.207 0.5476 -0.437
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.0008 0.0
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 29.0 100.0% 0.089 -0.4387 0.0
5 Other 29 13.79% 28.07 79.31% -0.132 -0.8535 -0.988
5 Thematic 2 0.0% 33.0 50.0% 0.098 0.2582 0.0
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.228 -0.4872 0.0
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 60.0 100.0% 0.075 -0.4138 0.284
6 Other 24 33.33% 30.0 66.67% -0.46 -0.0198 0.416
6 Star 17 17.65% 34.88 82.35% -0.705 -0.4073 0.3
6 Thematic 90 34.48% 30.93 50.0% -0.683 -0.6582 -1.171
6 Two Centers (Default) 61 34.43% 30.92 72.13% -0.47 -0.3725 0.271
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.283 -1.1331 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 194 36.59 52.58% 0.313 0.4521 0.319
Aid From Lesser Spirits 150 41.15 64.0% 0.253 0.1938 0.848
All Things Weaken 239 35.37 54.39% 0.297 0.6513 0.112
Attenuated Essence 214 37.35 56.54% -0.157 -0.0458 0.179
Back Against the Wall 148 40.88 61.49% 0.416 0.4925 0.739
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 204 35.74 54.41% -0.004 0.2063 0.052
Burn Brightest Before the End 188 37.41 54.79% 0.046 0.1669 0.21
Disintegrating Ecosystem 218 29.66 45.87% -0.232 0.1367 -0.273
Downward Spiral 229 35.68 54.59% -0.198 -0.0015 0.125
Erosion of Will 203 36.57 55.17% -0.072 0.1951 0.124
Intensifying Exploitation 271 34.07 52.4% -0.125 0.1453 -0.105
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 78 34.99 67.95% 0.776 0.2645 0.22
Memory Fades to Dust 251 38.83 60.16% 0.208 0.5199 0.452
Power Corrodes the Spirit 226 30.78 48.67% -0.692 -0.3975 -0.436
Promising Farmlands 212 31.91 46.23% -0.264 0.0725 -0.36
Shattered Fragments of Power 150 37.2 61.33% 0.212 0.3204 -0.005
Slow Dissolution of Will 197 33.72 48.73% -0.44 -0.0396 0.207
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 48 41.56 83.33% 1.492 0.879 1.319
The Border of Life and Death 48 34.13 70.83% 0.213 -0.079 0.551
Thriving Communities 232 31.09 44.83% -0.479 -0.1461 0.018
Thriving Crops 100 31.39 65.0% 0.07 -0.0168 0.372
Unnatural Proliferation 235 36.89 57.87% 0.492 0.6393 0.072
Untended Land Crumbles 217 31.67 47.93% -0.019 0.2878 -0.403

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1810 47.62% 32.71 63.92% 0.096 1.001 0.053
B 1831 47.07% 32.57 65.92% 0.361 1.1893 0.266
C 2069 44.3% 32.8 65.25% 0.211 0.8908 0.327
D 1502 46.23% 33.43 67.51% -0.039 0.8147 0.308
E 1924 48.28% 33.98 64.81% 0.023 0.7241 0.51
F 1389 45.66% 32.26 65.51% 0.059 0.8402 0.128
G 1329 48.41% 32.59 65.46% 0.198 0.9699 -0.026
H 1219 45.39% 31.8 64.15% 0.093 0.8611 0.171
East 212 37.8% 33.76 57.55% -0.192 0.6701 -0.037
Northeast 153 38.0% 32.2 56.86% 0.056 0.803 -0.172
Northwest 141 34.06% 31.63 56.03% 0.307 1.1405 -0.929
Southeast 124 33.88% 32.02 52.42% -0.385 0.3909 -0.464
Southwest 130 35.43% 30.58 49.23% -0.843 0.4765 -0.08
West 217 35.21% 33.01 55.3% 0.107 1.1135 -0.081

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 37 0.0% 18.38 59.46% -0.236 0.5944 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 12 0.0% 9.5 33.33% -1.854 -1.4128 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 126 19.13% 43.04 74.6% -0.066 -0.6283 1.771
Start of Game Growth 220 21.26% 44.22 75.45% 0.906 0.3674 0.277
Unlimited Undo 863 50.0% 31.9 57.36% -0.191 -0.1503 0.298
Using Tokens but Not Events 701 29.38% 27.32 71.75% -0.282 -0.3053 -0.032

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 210 39.13% 35.83 77.62% 0.483 0.3802 0.616
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 24 66.67% 24.63 50.0% -0.243 -0.0829 -0.311
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 488 39.75% 35.75 72.95% -0.006 -0.8418 0.612
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 80 32.5% 27.91 68.75% -0.447 -0.5783 -0.699
Downpour Drenches the World 82 23.17% 31.61 62.2% 0.305 0.6231 0.684
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 191 42.41% 37.19 75.92% 0.517 0.0323 0.159
Eyes Watch From the Trees 120 29.66% 32.38 77.5% 0.466 0.0132 -0.378
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 99 31.31% 32.22 69.7% -0.291 -0.7429 0.338
Finder of Paths Unseen 54 57.41% 24.78 51.85% -0.147 0.5195 -0.611
Fractured Days Split the Sky 68 36.76% 26.79 64.71% -0.111 0.5665 -0.276
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 82 47.56% 36.7 68.29% 0.268 0.3293 0.439
Heart of the Wildfire 83 53.66% 33.73 66.27% 0.674 0.9343 0.925
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 151 35.76% 33.44 58.94% 0.009 -0.385 0.2
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 495 40.08% 33.74 68.69% -0.075 -0.47 -0.176
Lightning's Swift Strike 60 44.83% 30.58 78.33% 0.344 0.598 0.075
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 87 45.88% 35.59 60.92% -0.06 -0.6138 -0.229
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 52 34.62% 38.67 76.92% 0.092 -0.1442 0.672
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 71 47.14% 33.32 53.52% -0.663 -0.9139 0.559
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 196 45.08% 37.04 69.39% 0.336 0.0118 -0.199
Many Minds Move as One 81 45.0% 34.4 71.6% 0.225 0.0249 -0.718
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 195 46.39% 36.15 68.21% 0.447 0.4193 0.349
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 84 46.99% 29.18 60.71% 0.229 0.0874 -0.229
River Surges in Sunlight 69 44.12% 29.64 75.36% 0.076 0.1926 -0.67
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 51 27.45% 36.92 74.51% -0.066 0.2717 -1.387
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 121 52.07% 37.52 62.81% -0.21 -0.3578 0.107
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 118 39.83% 33.46 74.58% -0.152 -0.3193 0.607
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 33 33.33% 35.91 69.7% -0.386 -0.4813 -0.046
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 82 32.93% 37.57 69.51% -0.073 -0.3137 0.126
Shifting Memory of Ages 86 43.02% 28.06 66.28% 0.063 0.4416 -0.087
Shroud of Silent Mist 84 33.33% 27.42 57.14% 0.33 0.7011 -0.205
Starlight Seeks its Form 141 51.06% 32.3 67.38% 0.297 0.0908 0.647
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 165 37.58% 33.69 69.09% -0.412 -1.1285 -0.196
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 113 33.63% 28.61 61.95% -0.112 0.0703 -0.203
Thunderspeaker 53 49.06% 29.77 56.6% -0.215 -0.2007 0.097
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 46 32.61% 31.09 63.04% -0.654 -0.5489 -0.191
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 85 67.47% 27.48 42.35% -1.293 -1.153 -0.741
Vital Strength of the Earth 27 34.62% 31.11 77.78% 0.163 0.7047 0.356
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 75 37.33% 30.92 57.33% 0.593 0.9311 -0.355
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 20 40.0% 22.35 50.0% -0.541 0.1756 -0.576
Volcano Looming High 107 46.73% 35.87 72.9% 0.248 0.2153 0.75
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 643 38.85% 32.03 67.81% -0.015 -0.4526 0.355

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 81.74%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.25%
Favors Called Due 88.37%
Mantle of Dread 93.03%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1576 16.23 2.92%
II 2818 30.54 50.43%
III 3099 34.77 89.25%
IV 1250 38.37 99.92%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 46
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2746
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1405
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1237
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1693
Lose: Invader deck ran out 9
Lose: Adversary condition 492
Win: Sacrifice victory 21
Lose: Scenario condition 40
Win: Scenario condition 27
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1021
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.346 Win Model: -0.191

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.049 Win Model: 0.048
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 5841 51.14% 32.2 60.13%
2 1640 47.46% 32.25 67.5%
3 678 44.46% 34.1 66.52%
4 355 38.03% 36.33 74.65%
5 34 14.71% 28.65 76.47%
6 195 32.29% 31.34 62.05%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)