Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 14 28.57% 37.79 85.71% 0.357 0.3727 -0.119
Blitz 0 63 50.0% 29.51 57.14% 1.0 1.2882 -0.609
Dahan Insurrection 4 61 34.43% 37.28 45.9% -0.641 -0.8175 0.116
Despicable Theft 2 22 54.55% 32.95 59.09% -0.636 0.2249 -0.115
Elemental Invocation 1 33 36.36% 28.06 57.58% 0.875 1.8081 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 645 26.36% 50.56 73.18% 0.876 0.2295 1.091
Powers Long Forgotten 1 25 48.0% 27.04 60.0% -0.558 0.3882 -0.315
Rituals of Terror 3 22 54.55% 28.95 40.91% -0.3 -0.2239 -0.797
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 13 50.0% 16.92 38.46% -0.225 0.8905 -0.061
Second Wave 0 126 43.2% 25.54 65.87% -0.131 -0.1011 -0.085
The Great River 3 13 53.85% 37.46 84.62% 0.102 1.5268 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 30 36.67% 30.17 73.33% -0.071 0.7032 0.622
Ward the Shores 2 9 11.11% 5.67 22.22% -0.312 0.7323 -0.242

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 6487 52.23% 32.14 59.69% -0.435 -0.1746 0.282
1 Thematic 143 38.03% 35.56 64.34% 0.373 0.8384 -0.099
2 Archipelago 14 64.29% 24.93 35.71% -0.282 0.1915 -1.138
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1261 49.96% 33.26 66.3% -0.501 -0.3153 0.322
2 Coastline 155 50.32% 37.02 81.94% 0.777 0.7608 1.153
2 Fragment 35 37.14% 29.51 65.71% 0.514 0.1979 0.584
2 Heart 20 65.0% 41.3 80.0% 0.261 0.1673 0.799
2 Opposite Shores 356 31.74% 27.35 70.79% 0.521 0.4816 -0.061
2 Thematic 49 48.98% 32.84 55.1% -0.184 0.1027 -0.502
2 Top to Top 45 55.56% 26.51 55.56% -0.166 -0.2101 -0.277
3 Archipelago 4 50.0% 54.0 100.0% 0.067 -1.0729 0.0
3 Coastline 10 30.0% 33.3 80.0% 0.216 -0.5339 -0.421
3 Other 30 30.0% 22.53 73.33% -0.297 -0.7599 0.259
3 Round (Default) 751 43.33% 35.03 67.11% 0.346 0.1264 0.215
3 Sunrise 2 0.0% 26.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0754 0.0
3 Thematic 16 25.0% 23.94 62.5% -0.662 -0.9544 0.0
4 Archipelago 10 40.0% 33.3 70.0% 0.098 0.2909 -0.114
4 Coastline 4 50.0% 45.0 100.0% 0.095 -0.2648 0.608
4 Leaf 5 40.0% 20.2 60.0% 0.0 -0.1085 0.0
4 Other 18 27.78% 30.72 88.89% 0.614 0.357 0.0
4 Thematic 25 44.0% 37.2 64.0% -0.078 0.1748 -0.166
4 Trapezoid (Default) 349 38.68% 37.41 75.07% 0.227 0.4409 -0.275
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2735 0.0
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 29.0 100.0% 0.198 0.0933 0.0
5 Other 36 11.11% 24.97 72.22% -0.543 -1.1089 -1.072
5 Thematic 3 33.33% 22.0 33.33% -0.522 -0.9421 0.0
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.167 -0.7658 0.0
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 56.0 100.0% 0.387 -0.411 0.283
6 Other 34 35.29% 27.85 61.76% -0.826 -0.3997 -0.039
6 Star 18 16.67% 32.94 77.78% -0.481 -0.3684 0.336
6 Thematic 116 29.2% 31.38 54.31% 0.01 0.1113 -1.089
6 Two Centers (Default) 78 35.9% 27.78 67.95% -0.413 -0.6702 0.382
7 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.569 -0.447 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 235 36.63 54.04% -0.209 -0.0341 0.17
Aid From Lesser Spirits 175 41.02 63.43% 0.254 0.2 0.808
All Things Weaken 276 34.59 53.26% -0.028 0.265 0.058
Attenuated Essence 252 37.49 58.33% 0.244 0.3275 0.339
Back Against the Wall 173 41.98 62.43% 0.619 0.6662 0.862
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 234 35.54 53.42% -0.041 0.1625 0.034
Burn Brightest Before the End 219 37.12 54.79% -0.128 0.0598 0.128
Disintegrating Ecosystem 254 29.83 44.88% -0.614 -0.2048 -0.275
Downward Spiral 261 36.23 55.56% 0.15 0.2779 0.164
Erosion of Will 232 36.89 55.6% -0.095 0.1874 0.185
Intensifying Exploitation 316 34.41 52.85% -0.128 0.1198 -0.134
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 92 34.93 67.39% 0.521 0.0056 0.035
Memory Fades to Dust 296 38.46 60.14% 0.341 0.5777 0.338
Power Corrodes the Spirit 259 31.54 49.81% 0.17 0.3883 -0.309
Promising Farmlands 245 32.67 47.35% -0.237 0.0577 -0.337
Shattered Fragments of Power 175 38.17 61.71% 0.293 0.4939 0.129
Slow Dissolution of Will 224 33.21 48.21% -0.594 -0.2096 0.125
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 52 39.81 80.77% 0.641 0.0604 1.083
The Border of Life and Death 57 34.47 73.68% 0.781 0.2639 0.807
Thriving Communities 257 31.34 45.91% -0.267 0.0723 -0.053
Thriving Crops 108 31.55 63.89% 0.091 0.0489 0.368
Unnatural Proliferation 276 36.29 56.52% 0.009 0.1489 0.094
Untended Land Crumbles 245 32.18 47.76% 0.098 0.5467 -0.221

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2103 46.83% 32.65 64.29% 0.092 0.9534 0.088
B 2138 47.28% 32.23 65.25% -0.017 0.8001 0.207
C 2367 44.26% 33.09 65.82% 0.411 1.0902 0.34
D 1750 45.24% 33.09 67.03% -0.076 0.729 0.393
E 2197 48.17% 33.86 64.63% 0.351 1.0195 0.509
F 1673 46.42% 32.19 65.51% 0.037 0.8355 0.181
G 1545 47.85% 32.62 65.05% 0.093 0.9192 -0.073
H 1419 44.94% 32.19 64.41% 0.22 0.993 0.18
East 262 36.29% 33.24 58.78% 0.449 1.2953 0.012
Northeast 195 35.42% 31.65 57.44% -0.431 0.3402 -0.368
Northwest 177 32.18% 31.3 57.06% -0.177 0.6302 -0.896
Southeast 161 31.65% 32.06 56.52% -0.837 0.032 -0.351
Southwest 168 33.33% 30.93 54.17% -0.354 0.9276 -0.114
West 272 35.07% 32.63 57.72% 0.287 1.2828 -0.137

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 44 0.0% 17.09 56.82% -0.239 0.557 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 19 0.0% 8.53 31.58% -1.1 -0.712 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 142 19.23% 42.47 73.24% 0.417 -0.1977 1.851
Start of Game Growth 262 20.97% 42.95 74.43% 0.291 -0.2901 0.143
Unlimited Undo 1041 49.22% 32.32 58.02% -0.206 -0.1622 0.476
Using Tokens but Not Events 799 29.61% 26.76 70.71% -0.336 -0.3946 -0.067

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 233 37.39% 35.29 75.97% 0.091 -0.0525 0.574
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 33 15.15% 32.15 69.7% -0.058 -0.7707 -0.573
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 28 57.14% 21.96 46.43% -0.972 -0.7086 -0.313
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 526 40.11% 35.67 73.19% 0.219 -0.59 0.548
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 109 29.63% 27.68 70.64% 0.035 -0.1297 -0.516
Downpour Drenches the World 109 28.44% 32.31 61.47% -0.926 -0.6529 0.637
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 230 41.3% 38.07 77.83% 1.203 0.7759 0.406
Eyes Watch From the Trees 151 29.53% 32.68 80.13% 0.842 0.4823 -0.398
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 135 32.59% 32.78 74.07% 0.976 0.5315 0.564
Finder of Paths Unseen 65 53.85% 24.62 55.38% 0.329 1.0172 -0.61
Fractured Days Split the Sky 72 34.72% 27.13 65.28% -0.304 0.2848 -0.196
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 100 46.0% 35.67 67.0% 0.346 0.2823 0.47
Heart of the Wildfire 108 47.66% 31.44 63.89% -0.209 0.1183 0.62
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 180 36.11% 34.81 62.22% -0.107 -0.4016 0.109
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 524 39.39% 33.32 67.75% -0.457 -0.8277 -0.227
Lightning's Swift Strike 71 41.18% 29.08 74.65% -0.152 0.1884 -0.207
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 107 43.81% 35.23 63.55% -0.083 -0.5567 -0.51
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 55 34.55% 38.09 76.36% 0.617 0.256 0.707
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 82 49.38% 33.85 57.32% -0.527 -0.5201 0.577
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 235 43.53% 36.13 68.09% 0.028 -0.2667 -0.268
Many Minds Move as One 92 46.15% 32.36 67.39% -0.445 -0.5901 -0.841
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 238 45.57% 36.58 68.49% 0.475 0.4171 0.391
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 100 42.86% 28.78 63.0% -0.153 -0.3173 -0.307
River Surges in Sunlight 77 42.11% 29.64 74.03% 0.132 0.2306 -0.389
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 33 39.39% 35.76 75.76% 0.205 0.0696 -0.225
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 61 24.59% 38.26 75.41% 0.087 0.5629 -1.377
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 145 48.97% 35.55 61.38% -0.227 -0.2617 0.037
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 149 40.94% 33.95 73.83% 0.369 0.1142 0.331
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 40 35.0% 34.38 72.5% 0.485 0.3759 -0.018
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 110 32.73% 36.45 66.36% -0.528 -0.6899 0.173
Shifting Memory of Ages 98 46.94% 27.97 66.33% 0.306 0.6503 -0.057
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 45 37.78% 34.29 66.67% 0.062 -0.2477 0.166
Shroud of Silent Mist 103 33.98% 27.81 63.11% 1.044 1.3754 -0.233
Starlight Seeks its Form 175 49.71% 32.98 68.57% 0.455 0.2809 0.632
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 188 37.23% 33.01 67.55% -0.297 -1.0065 -0.298
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 132 32.06% 30.02 65.15% 0.392 0.6036 -0.132
Thunderspeaker 66 43.94% 29.88 57.58% 0.519 0.4984 0.426
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 58 34.48% 29.09 60.34% -0.442 -0.2443 -0.202
Towering Roots of the Jungle 56 33.93% 36.2 71.43% 0.002 -0.0259 0.185
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 96 64.89% 28.55 44.79% -0.572 -0.5064 -0.539
Vital Strength of the Earth 34 27.27% 27.85 70.59% -1.238 -0.7042 0.58
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 102 36.27% 28.92 56.86% -0.702 -0.1344 -0.496
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 28 40.74% 27.25 53.57% -0.449 0.3094 -0.003
Volcano Looming High 125 44.8% 34.24 70.4% 0.046 0.1827 0.705
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 681 38.0% 31.79 67.55% -0.551 -0.862 0.244

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 81.76%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.34%
Favors Called Due 88.19%
Mantle of Dread 92.9%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1821 15.74 2.8%
II 3213 30.48 50.51%
III 3628 34.79 88.86%
IV 1422 38.41 99.93%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 51
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3201
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1602
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1408
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1959
Lose: Invader deck ran out 11
Lose: Adversary condition 568
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 43
Win: Scenario condition 30
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1178
Lose: Spirit destroyed 6

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.582 Win Model: -0.184

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.011 Win Model: -0.086
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 6650 51.9% 32.23 59.79%
2 1923 46.78% 32.22 67.86%
3 810 42.4% 34.37 67.41%
4 410 38.05% 36.87 75.37%
5 43 13.95% 25.28 69.77%
6 248 31.43% 30.23 61.69%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)