Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 30 40.0% 35.77 90.0% 0.682 0.726 0.366
Blitz 0 96 48.42% 26.97 56.25% -0.599 -0.3843 -0.34
Dahan Insurrection 4 108 26.85% 35.55 47.22% 0.12 -0.1679 -0.014
Despicable Theft 2 43 48.84% 27.93 55.81% 0.343 1.0539 -0.046
Elemental Invocation 1 65 36.92% 25.08 50.77% -0.484 0.2171 -0.514
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 946 26.0% 50.88 72.62% 0.231 -0.3688 1.105
Powers Long Forgotten 1 43 51.16% 23.09 51.16% -0.677 0.1603 -0.681
Rituals of Terror 3 42 47.62% 37.38 45.24% 0.883 0.9437 -0.131
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 31 73.33% 32.61 67.74% -0.222 0.7647 1.369
Second Wave 0 259 43.97% 25.36 64.48% -0.448 -0.1984 -0.4
The Great River 3 26 42.31% 29.27 61.54% -1.171 -0.1048 -0.257
Varied Terrains 2 55 47.27% 28.07 60.0% -1.75 -0.921 1.218
Ward the Shores 2 25 32.0% 16.2 36.0% -1.463 -0.2797 -0.395

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 10247 51.3% 31.2 59.7% -0.2 0.073 0.044
1 Thematic 478 26.08% 32.51 70.08% 0.417 0.9914 -0.289
2 Archipelago 19 57.89% 23.58 42.11% -1.05 -0.3727 -1.225
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 2109 50.31% 32.2 64.77% -0.177 -0.109 0.009
2 Coastline 295 45.42% 34.82 73.9% 0.028 -0.1909 0.693
2 Fragment 57 45.61% 30.0 63.16% 0.21 -0.0567 0.676
2 Heart 37 62.16% 45.41 81.08% 1.398 0.9282 0.978
2 Opposite Shores 614 31.92% 27.1 72.48% 0.039 0.0173 0.14
2 Thematic 125 42.4% 29.3 53.6% -0.863 -0.4901 -0.509
2 Top to Top 91 51.65% 30.22 54.95% -0.248 -0.505 -0.551
3 Archipelago 6 66.67% 55.83 100.0% 0.0 -0.923 0.28
3 Coastline 18 16.67% 28.39 72.22% 0.077 -0.8869 0.459
3 Other 44 36.36% 25.93 75.0% -0.219 -0.9826 0.271
3 Round (Default) 1317 45.06% 34.19 67.43% 0.673 0.5199 -0.151
3 Sunrise 3 0.0% 28.33 100.0% 0.0 -0.078 0.0
3 Thematic 54 40.74% 29.26 57.41% 0.175 0.0278 -0.193
4 Archipelago 14 28.57% 33.21 71.43% 0.265 -0.2623 0.072
4 Coastline 6 50.0% 35.67 83.33% 0.017 -0.04 0.546
4 Leaf 9 33.33% 22.33 55.56% -0.472 -0.5624 0.468
4 Other 26 34.62% 28.69 84.62% 0.508 -0.1769 0.853
4 Thematic 57 47.37% 34.23 59.65% -0.093 -0.2701 -0.19
4 Trapezoid (Default) 643 36.24% 32.9 68.43% -0.021 -0.3507 -0.496
5 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.2714 0.0
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 29.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.0
5 Other 57 15.79% 29.02 71.93% 0.215 -0.5343 -0.889
5 Thematic 7 42.86% 28.86 42.86% 0.267 -0.1193 0.459
6 Archipelago 3 33.33% 42.67 100.0% 0.0 -0.9706 0.0
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 56.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5799 0.281
6 Other 65 26.15% 22.97 64.62% 0.313 -0.104 -0.319
6 Star 34 11.76% 30.38 73.53% -0.632 -0.2971 0.069
6 Thematic 219 18.06% 39.33 58.9% 0.313 0.265 -1.05
6 Two Centers (Default) 180 32.78% 24.86 57.78% -0.455 -0.2409 -0.217
7 Other 5 20.0% 4.0 20.0% -0.443 -1.5242 -0.248

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 377 36.71 56.5% 0.167 0.2386 0.29
Aid From Lesser Spirits 283 39.39 63.25% 0.4 0.3291 0.756
All Things Weaken 432 34.66 53.47% -0.338 -0.0784 0.189
Attenuated Essence 412 36.37 56.07% 0.253 0.217 0.385
Back Against the Wall 279 40.33 60.22% 0.088 0.1413 0.78
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 391 33.25 50.38% -0.136 0.0098 -0.018
Burn Brightest Before the End 328 35.35 51.22% 0.145 0.1616 -0.006
Disintegrating Ecosystem 389 30.57 46.53% -0.41 -0.2222 -0.095
Downward Spiral 439 34.44 54.67% -0.023 0.0514 0.163
Erosion of Will 382 35.51 55.24% 0.083 0.2372 0.255
Intensifying Exploitation 483 33.37 53.83% -0.306 -0.1697 -0.023
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 154 36.06 70.78% 0.092 -0.5224 0.395
Memory Fades to Dust 466 36.29 59.66% 0.002 0.2048 0.301
Power Corrodes the Spirit 417 31.74 50.12% -0.094 0.0806 -0.144
Promising Farmlands 382 30.86 47.38% -0.21 -0.0122 -0.275
Shattered Fragments of Power 294 36.93 59.18% 0.237 0.2402 0.294
Slow Dissolution of Will 362 32.38 48.62% -0.071 0.2275 0.055
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 86 38.43 81.4% 0.731 0.0342 1.539
The Border of Life and Death 90 36.43 76.67% 0.641 0.1433 1.26
Thriving Communities 439 31.52 47.15% -0.27 -0.1138 0.108
Thriving Crops 170 30.25 61.18% 0.092 -0.2198 0.061
Unnatural Proliferation 428 35.07 54.21% 0.01 0.1182 0.159
Untended Land Crumbles 403 32.98 49.63% -0.234 -0.0525 0.163

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3539 46.05% 31.15 62.73% -0.167 0.8081 0.123
B 3535 46.38% 30.97 63.99% -0.07 0.8196 0.123
C 3980 45.0% 32.07 64.9% -0.07 0.6219 0.352
D 3049 43.68% 31.37 65.53% 0.232 1.1277 0.264
E 3664 46.06% 32.66 64.36% 0.103 0.8323 0.536
F 2906 45.57% 30.9 63.9% -0.247 0.5844 0.176
G 2528 45.53% 31.55 64.72% 0.102 0.8811 0.165
H 2461 44.22% 30.22 61.68% -0.057 0.7257 0.004
East 671 27.25% 34.83 64.68% 1.27 2.079 0.434
Northeast 480 26.47% 34.9 64.38% 0.102 0.8996 -0.424
Northwest 423 26.0% 35.8 60.52% 0.135 0.8689 -0.521
Southeast 345 24.12% 36.47 60.29% -0.195 0.6981 -0.476
Southwest 364 26.11% 33.83 56.87% -0.478 0.7804 -0.388
West 662 30.81% 33.64 59.21% -0.617 0.3805 -0.398

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 214 0.0% 24.3 55.14% -1.063 -0.3951 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 41 40.0% 7.17 29.27% 0.079 0.5003 -0.103
Skip Initial Invader Actions 318 16.97% 39.45 67.92% 0.53 -0.2389 0.404
Start of Game Growth 619 19.15% 41.93 72.37% 0.561 0.1236 0.803
Unlimited Undo 1788 47.18% 31.56 57.94% -0.434 -0.4997 0.412
Using Tokens but Not Events 1574 29.12% 25.56 68.42% 0.235 0.1922 -0.444

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 339 37.31% 33.07 73.16% 0.502 0.4081 0.205
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 175 30.29% 32.86 73.14% 1.016 0.508 0.042
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 71 63.38% 27.76 67.61% 1.077 1.2744 0.491
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 705 40.0% 34.41 70.78% -0.221 -1.0937 0.317
Dances Up Earthquakes 71 47.89% 36.14 77.46% 0.742 0.6032 -0.289
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 219 31.02% 26.99 69.86% 0.23 0.0076 -0.095
Downpour Drenches the World 214 35.05% 29.84 61.21% -0.862 -0.5563 0.573
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 429 39.16% 33.97 69.93% 0.322 -0.232 0.352
Eyes Watch From the Trees 285 27.4% 29.99 72.28% -0.028 -0.4551 -0.561
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 287 28.42% 37.2 73.87% 1.033 0.6196 0.427
Finder of Paths Unseen 114 44.74% 23.31 55.26% 0.207 0.8624 -0.423
Fractured Days Split the Sky 117 28.21% 27.61 63.25% -0.2 0.3454 -0.157
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 223 38.12% 31.77 63.68% -0.066 -0.1506 -0.145
Heart of the Wildfire 196 46.67% 29.72 62.76% -0.094 0.2211 0.38
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 386 30.57% 37.88 63.99% 0.055 -0.3883 -0.02
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 645 36.49% 32.54 67.6% 0.174 -0.1191 -0.187
Lightning's Swift Strike 141 39.13% 28.75 68.79% -0.102 0.1605 0.504
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 178 42.29% 33.51 60.11% -1.01 -1.3371 -0.086
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 89 37.08% 36.16 77.53% 0.408 0.0325 0.585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 153 37.5% 31.17 57.52% -0.203 -0.1028 0.574
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 474 41.61% 37.79 63.5% -0.396 -0.5949 -0.421
Many Minds Move as One 178 44.25% 32.15 70.22% 0.135 -0.0795 -0.454
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 430 34.97% 37.09 66.05% -0.316 -0.1681 0.141
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 153 46.41% 25.4 51.63% -0.501 -0.4568 -0.935
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 198 41.45% 25.8 59.6% 0.229 0.1263 -0.899
River Surges in Sunlight 146 40.69% 29.08 65.07% -0.407 -0.4097 -0.23
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 126 38.4% 31.09 59.52% -1.848 -1.5598 0.016
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 123 24.39% 29.1 60.98% -0.663 -0.4595 -1.297
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 230 46.96% 34.99 60.0% -0.113 -0.3265 0.126
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 266 39.47% 31.15 66.54% -0.354 -0.5119 0.13
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 58 31.03% 33.67 70.69% 0.119 -0.2637 1.24
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 97 37.11% 33.02 70.1% 1.158 1.1909 -0.47
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 260 30.0% 40.51 66.15% -0.832 -0.9778 0.302
Shifting Memory of Ages 134 43.28% 27.13 66.42% 0.299 0.6236 -0.24
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 195 35.9% 29.79 62.05% 0.135 0.183 0.297
Shroud of Silent Mist 169 42.01% 27.4 64.5% 0.321 0.6888 -0.344
Starlight Seeks its Form 344 43.02% 29.77 61.63% 0.042 -0.0243 0.35
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 328 37.8% 32.69 65.55% 0.075 -0.4084 -0.18
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 259 32.68% 29.64 63.71% 0.57 0.7298 -0.168
Thunderspeaker 131 43.51% 32.18 67.94% 0.007 0.0376 0.548
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 106 33.96% 28.1 61.32% -0.588 -0.3979 0.24
Towering Roots of the Jungle 220 39.27% 34.25 70.0% 0.246 0.3923 0.254
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 182 65.0% 29.33 51.1% -0.627 -0.607 -0.376
Vital Strength of the Earth 83 30.49% 24.54 67.47% -0.094 0.4873 0.067
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 165 36.81% 28.3 58.79% 0.616 1.0997 -0.274
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 55 41.51% 24.47 52.73% -0.135 0.4838 -0.155
Volcano Looming High 252 46.43% 31.6 65.08% -0.072 -0.0366 0.217
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 836 37.17% 30.89 66.75% -0.182 -0.4996 0.238

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 82.19%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.98%
Favors Called Due 88.6%
Mantle of Dread 93.17%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 3145 13.76 2.35%
II 5278 30.19 50.59%
III 6126 34.82 89.5%
IV 2296 38.63 99.65%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 74
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 5432
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 2630
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2268
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3395
Lose: Invader deck ran out 14
Lose: Adversary condition 910
Win: Sacrifice victory 51
Lose: Scenario condition 89
Win: Scenario condition 60
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1910
Lose: Spirit destroyed 12

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.364 Win Model: -0.206

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.143 Win Model: -0.152
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 10761 50.2% 31.28 60.12%
2 3327 46.37% 31.36 66.58%
3 1436 44.46% 33.66 67.34%
4 750 36.4% 32.74 68.53%
5 69 20.29% 29.62 66.67%
6 502 24.05% 31.23 60.36%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)