Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 46 32.61% 17.63 52.17% -0.373 -0.0027 0.0
Blitz 0 105 28.16% 17.11 37.14% -0.879 -0.4476 -0.736
Dahan Insurrection 4 143 23.78% 34.94 43.36% -0.681 -0.707 -0.027
Despicable Theft 2 49 28.57% 19.88 44.9% -0.156 0.5036 -0.252
Elemental Invocation 1 89 40.45% 15.75 33.71% -0.054 0.3939 -0.269
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 756 14.06% 34.77 54.5% 0.332 -0.2676 0.486
Powers Long Forgotten 1 54 29.63% 15.13 27.78% -0.875 -0.2665 -0.646
Rituals of Terror 3 40 27.5% 25.38 45.0% -0.791 -0.6666 0.267
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 24 45.83% 25.63 50.0% -0.212 0.5265 0.339
Second Wave 0 372 38.01% 24.78 61.83% 0.091 0.1971 1.671
The Great River 3 43 34.88% 12.81 27.91% -0.957 0.2174 -0.474
Varied Terrains 2 101 47.52% 14.35 22.77% -0.581 0.1559 -1.525
Ward the Shores 2 67 43.28% 17.6 35.82% -1.276 -0.5937 -0.449

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 14588 44.15% 24.76 51.31% -0.099 0.1256 -0.254
1 Thematic 371 37.2% 19.7 37.74% -0.323 0.2273 -0.684
2 Archipelago 36 86.11% 24.19 50.0% 0.0 -0.3536 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3296 43.07% 27.68 57.28% -0.43 -0.3185 0.146
2 Coastline 516 38.06% 25.57 62.6% 0.22 0.1306 0.506
2 Fragment 64 46.88% 21.23 53.13% -0.127 -0.4655 0.51
2 Heart 88 48.28% 34.28 64.77% 0.0 -0.3272 0.285
2 Opposite Shores 790 40.15% 25.97 58.35% 0.845 0.8815 -0.011
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 284 34.51% 22.61 45.77% 0.379 0.9078 -0.335
2 Top to Top 117 42.24% 31.81 64.96% 1.507 1.3 0.535
3 Archipelago 6 50.0% 16.67 50.0% 0.088 0.1882 -0.327
3 Coastline 26 38.46% 20.88 50.0% -1.061 -1.5825 0.07
3 Other 71 21.74% 22.17 70.42% 0.505 -0.237 0.293
3 Round (Default) 2848 39.25% 25.73 54.74% -0.25 -0.3459 -0.68
3 Sunrise 8 12.5% 29.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 77 48.05% 27.96 54.55% -0.376 -0.1342 -0.618
4 Archipelago 6 33.33% 27.0 50.0% 0.0 0.0808 -0.436
4 Coastline 9 66.67% 26.56 44.44% 0.0 0.2598 -0.864
4 Leaf 25 36.0% 27.2 80.0% 0.135 -0.4191 0.192
4 Other 65 47.69% 26.17 69.23% 1.257 0.7101 1.32
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2322 0.0
4 Snake 1 0.0% 58.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 120 28.33% 24.19 42.5% -0.574 -0.101 0.456
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1252 37.26% 27.49 56.07% 0.187 -0.002 -0.576
5 Archipelago 5 20.0% 45.2 80.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 7 57.14% 33.57 71.43% 0.0 -0.6104 -0.196
5 Other 239 40.17% 31.29 69.46% 0.236 -0.0904 0.752
5 Thematic 17 29.41% 37.47 88.24% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 45 26.67% 36.76 53.33% 0.0 -0.9253 -0.875
6 Coastline 3 33.33% 26.33 66.67% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 131 38.93% 26.86 56.49% -0.328 -0.0583 -0.503
6 Star 66 36.36% 31.26 60.61% -0.259 0.5374 -0.144
6 Thematic 153 47.62% 31.88 45.75% -1.402 -0.8214 0.35
6 Two Centers (Default) 448 23.09% 37.74 54.24% -0.056 -0.0795 -0.636
7 Archipelago 4 0.0% 38.5 25.0% -0.188 0.2179 -0.211
7 Other 13 8.33% 12.23 23.08% 0.106 -0.1495 0.139

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 501 31.48 51.3% -0.312 -0.0018 0.941
Aid From Lesser Spirits 395 35.38 56.71% 0.221 0.2339 1.388
All Things Weaken 553 29.2 50.27% -0.215 0.2585 0.537
Attenuated Essence 547 28.88 48.45% -0.184 -0.0375 0.777
Back Against the Wall 377 31.98 54.91% 0.08 0.2091 0.765
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 608 27.52 47.86% 0.831 1.1505 0.698
Burn Brightest Before the End 449 30.62 51.0% 0.54 0.7165 0.638
Disintegrating Ecosystem 532 28.79 48.87% -0.339 0.0416 0.629
Downward Spiral 538 28.94 52.6% 0.442 0.6355 0.823
Erosion of Will 516 30.24 49.81% 1.205 1.5432 0.047
Intensifying Exploitation 560 28.15 43.93% -0.932 -0.5793 0.66
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 231 35.84 68.4% 1.075 0.7114 0.846
Memory Fades to Dust 621 29.82 52.33% 0.462 0.7914 0.761
Power Corrodes the Spirit 518 29.58 49.23% -0.506 -0.2392 0.613
Promising Farmlands 542 27.79 47.23% -0.197 0.2509 0.585
Shattered Fragments of Power 428 32.02 53.97% -0.205 -0.2052 0.385
Slow Dissolution of Will 528 28.62 47.92% 0.06 0.4708 0.434
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 173 32.29 74.57% 0.984 0.4249 1.267
The Border of Life and Death 192 29.69 56.25% 0.141 -0.1043 0.189
Thriving Communities 561 30.32 49.38% -0.241 0.0368 0.581
Thriving Crops 247 28.35 57.09% 0.24 0.1442 0.254
Unnatural Proliferation 590 30.94 53.05% 0.471 0.6754 0.588
Untended Land Crumbles 586 29.43 49.32% -0.244 0.0551 0.354

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6127 40.57% 25.4 53.78% 0.316 1.3077 -0.21
B 5861 40.84% 26.36 53.13% 0.172 1.0367 -0.182
C 6995 39.97% 27.91 56.33% 0.54 1.2918 0.663
D 5456 39.91% 25.75 53.83% -0.106 0.8388 0.193
E 5485 40.22% 27.41 56.7% -0.15 0.6049 0.029
F 4955 40.71% 27.26 56.15% 0.393 1.2671 0.264
G 4759 39.24% 28.9 57.03% 0.505 1.3676 -0.014
H 4593 40.16% 26.71 53.82% 0.618 1.4251 0.052
East 785 37.74% 25.1 45.73% -0.762 -0.0169 -0.414
Northeast 554 36.68% 25.67 46.39% -0.351 0.5423 -0.088
Northwest 497 35.64% 25.75 45.67% -0.396 0.3469 -0.023
Southeast 322 43.35% 28.85 48.45% 0.105 1.114 -0.079
Southwest 293 43.55% 29.01 48.12% -0.531 0.6261 -0.002
West 741 37.69% 24.42 44.26% -0.361 0.6213 -0.226

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 206 0.0% 12.03 46.12% -0.982 -0.2623 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 68 31.67% 11.56 44.12% -0.431 0.0434 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 682 14.93% 36.31 64.96% 0.548 -0.2571 0.762
Start of Game Growth 1064 15.89% 34.79 60.71% 0.331 -0.2353 -0.285
Unlimited Undo 2979 29.38% 29.97 57.3% -0.514 -0.4868 0.488
Using Tokens but Not Events 2487 27.3% 25.64 64.74% -0.055 -0.0825 -0.228

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 665 27.83% 24.97 63.01% 0.508 0.0907 0.294
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 718 30.01% 37.86 60.86% 0.482 -0.1742 0.59
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 44 39.53% 30.48 65.91% -0.961 -1.1186 -0.463
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 403 35.48% 30.42 58.31% 0.245 -0.6154 1.185
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 118 41.03% 20.64 50.0% -0.296 -0.1581 -0.201
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 244 45.68% 33.91 63.93% 0.763 -0.2667 1.599
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 322 35.71% 25.13 64.6% -0.174 -0.5288 -0.192
Downpour Drenches the World 593 29.9% 22.32 46.88% -0.606 -0.4826 0.024
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 889 36.59% 31.1 63.89% 0.397 -0.1731 0.707
Eyes Watch From the Trees 532 32.58% 28.67 64.47% 0.445 -0.2009 0.455
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 406 29.63% 28.06 63.3% 0.356 -0.1378 0.181
Finder of Paths Unseen 373 35.75% 28.61 58.71% -0.011 0.5776 0.704
Fractured Days Split the Sky 519 27.04% 31.89 46.44% 0.093 0.5397 -0.553
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 331 43.64% 27.75 56.5% 0.36 0.1746 0.11
Heart of the Wildfire 264 49.62% 22.45 50.38% -0.405 -0.2623 -1.38
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 740 30.27% 28.9 57.7% -0.407 -1.0815 0.362
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 319 39.35% 26.87 55.8% -0.542 -1.0699 -0.773
Lightning's Swift Strike 231 43.29% 20.59 45.89% -0.313 -0.2808 -1.286
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 250 48.4% 31.45 54.4% 0.392 -0.2605 0.203
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 77 51.95% 20.61 41.56% -0.739 -1.2342 -0.378
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 213 43.66% 34.43 60.56% -0.394 -0.633 -0.311
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 740 43.11% 25.02 47.57% 1.036 0.6098 -0.153
Many Minds Move as One 413 40.92% 26.19 50.61% 0.448 -0.0605 0.115
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 283 43.46% 28.7 49.12% -0.087 -0.3564 0.764
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1542 47.21% 27.86 59.6% 0.302 0.1879 0.374
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 316 38.61% 28.19 61.08% 0.968 0.6741 0.834
River Surges in Sunlight 257 35.55% 25.36 64.98% 0.03 -0.1406 0.07
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 163 42.33% 26.75 53.37% 0.016 -0.0955 -0.394
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 128 34.92% 23.63 54.69% -0.653 -0.7186 -0.632
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 264 40.53% 30.56 50.38% -0.295 -0.425 1.405
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 661 24.24% 36.09 55.52% 0.19 -0.0742 -0.28
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 851 39.6% 28.22 55.93% 0.084 -0.346 -0.097
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 37 55.56% 18.35 59.46% 0.189 0.6169 0.505
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 36 40.0% 21.31 47.22% 0.232 0.236 -0.337
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 169 40.83% 28.85 60.95% 0.002 -0.7506 -0.353
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 33 33.33% 22.48 54.55% 0.049 -0.27 -0.215
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 25 29.17% 15.4 44.0% 0.0 -0.1787 -0.386
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 28 53.57% 23.82 53.57% 0.242 0.199 -0.674
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 175 35.63% 32.15 64.57% -0.191 -0.5574 -0.129
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 29 44.83% 31.72 82.76% 0.768 0.2268 0.357
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 303 34.65% 30.19 51.82% -0.474 -0.7188 -0.517
Shifting Memory of Ages 293 29.58% 35.79 54.61% 0.731 1.0257 0.11
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 606 39.17% 28.53 49.83% -0.911 -1.0738 -0.151
Shroud of Silent Mist 255 43.92% 21.61 46.67% -0.577 -0.3948 -0.375
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 45 44.44% 31.04 66.67% 0.295 -0.1153 -0.68
Starlight Seeks its Form 953 34.14% 28.37 51.63% 0.664 0.4218 0.566
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 610 44.39% 29.31 56.23% 1.202 0.2502 0.039
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 308 35.95% 30.47 56.17% -0.062 -0.0198 1.075
Thunderspeaker 325 39.51% 30.61 65.23% 0.584 0.3888 -0.333
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 113 38.05% 26.99 50.44% -0.499 -0.6675 -0.675
Towering Roots of the Jungle 731 35.21% 25.3 57.05% -0.337 -0.4476 -0.144
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 328 47.71% 28.2 55.18% -1.444 -1.5949 -0.4
Vital Strength of the Earth 174 34.88% 18.87 56.32% -1.255 -0.8969 -0.967
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 147 34.04% 30.27 53.06% 0.485 0.7281 0.522
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 73 20.55% 24.75 52.05% -0.753 -0.0721 -0.216
Volcano Looming High 496 50.0% 28.11 62.1% -0.609 -0.9329 0.307
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 621 34.89% 26.57 55.07% 0.488 -0.0295 0.198

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Echoed Steps 82.24%
Gift of Seismic Energy 95.44%
Inspire a Winding Dance 84.36%
Radiating Tremors 97.47%
Resounding Footfalls Sow Dismay 98.79%
Rumblings Portend a Greater Quake 80.78%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 9109 12.25 1.1%
II 7519 29.91 66.91%
III 6915 34.94 92.31%
IV 2277 38.9 99.69%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 99
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 6312
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4974
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 2253
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7452
Lose: Invader deck ran out 80
Lose: Adversary condition 1966
Win: Sacrifice victory 60
Lose: Scenario condition 157
Win: Scenario condition 86
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 2229
Lose: Spirit destroyed 152

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.374 Win Model: -0.112

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.291 Win Model: 0.041
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 15164 44.04% 24.67 51.07%
2 5056 41.79% 27.0 57.46%
3 3044 39.22% 25.84 55.45%
4 1430 36.96% 26.92 56.08%
5 282 40.07% 32.33 68.44%
6 844 30.18% 34.23 53.55%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)