Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 21 33.33% 16.48 42.86% -1.113 -0.9219 0.588
Blitz 0 50 28.0% 20.94 38.0% -1.137 -0.92 -0.477
Dahan Insurrection 4 66 28.79% 41.79 43.94% -0.029 -0.2822 -0.657
Despicable Theft 2 16 18.75% 18.56 37.5% -0.404 0.1826 -0.255
Elemental Invocation 1 36 27.78% 11.5 27.78% -1.427 -0.6876 -0.336
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 392 14.36% 33.2 54.08% -0.051 -0.6124 0.367
Powers Long Forgotten 1 23 39.13% 19.96 43.48% -0.128 0.6312 0.038
Rituals of Terror 3 21 38.1% 22.24 42.86% -0.665 -0.5453 0.204
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 6 50.0% 30.33 66.67% 0.073 0.9802 0.0
Second Wave 0 164 38.41% 25.34 60.98% 0.159 0.2974 -0.708
The Great River 3 18 38.89% 12.72 27.78% -1.157 -0.0574 -0.178
Varied Terrains 2 65 46.15% 11.72 20.0% -0.959 -0.1829 -0.755
Ward the Shores 2 26 38.46% 18.73 42.31% -0.73 0.3447 -0.22

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 8815 43.74% 25.56 53.62% -0.165 0.1675 0.375
1 Thematic 175 38.86% 14.06 33.14% -1.28 -0.5938 -0.519
2 Archipelago 36 86.11% 24.19 50.0% -0.088 0.5191 -0.746
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1671 41.97% 28.1 60.74% 0.006 0.1259 0.114
2 Coastline 296 35.47% 27.03 67.91% 0.175 0.1033 -0.228
2 Fragment 26 46.15% 25.46 73.08% 0.747 0.5625 1.147
2 Heart 67 53.03% 35.99 67.16% 0.412 0.2547 1.003
2 Opposite Shores 416 36.96% 26.1 63.7% -0.066 0.0853 -0.081
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0816 0.0
2 Thematic 140 34.29% 23.66 50.71% 0.376 0.8845 0.285
2 Top to Top 65 43.08% 30.2 60.0% 0.31 0.2513 -0.345
3 Archipelago 2 100.0% 15.5 50.0% 0.301 -0.6511 -0.22
3 Coastline 9 0.0% 24.89 88.89% 0.467 0.0573 1.031
3 Other 39 18.92% 27.74 76.92% 0.641 -0.1308 1.427
3 Round (Default) 1731 37.52% 24.71 53.03% -0.027 -0.1184 -0.49
3 Sunrise 3 33.33% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.096 0.0
3 Thematic 38 50.0% 28.68 60.53% -0.272 -0.2516 -0.508
4 Archipelago 3 33.33% 34.0 66.67% -0.635 -1.165 0.443
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 22.25 75.0% 0.455 0.3692 0.0
4 Leaf 13 23.08% 21.38 69.23% 0.465 0.3035 -0.383
4 Other 27 62.96% 29.59 70.37% 0.392 -0.3189 0.923
4 Reverse Snake 1 100.0% 65.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3367 0.46
4 Thematic 31 38.71% 28.68 45.16% 0.286 0.4092 -1.425
4 Trapezoid (Default) 615 34.69% 30.62 64.07% 0.129 0.1263 -0.4
5 Archipelago 4 25.0% 42.0 75.0% 0.148 0.1175 -0.254
5 Coastline 4 75.0% 38.5 100.0% 0.413 0.267 0.0
5 Other 139 40.29% 32.89 72.66% 0.194 -0.3198 -0.004
5 Thematic 3 66.67% 44.0 66.67% 0.157 0.0994 0.0
6 Archipelago 23 17.39% 42.7 52.17% -0.719 -1.7573 -0.866
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9594 0.0
6 Other 65 47.69% 27.15 58.46% -0.386 -0.4902 -0.896
6 Star 36 25.0% 21.14 50.0% -0.646 -0.6593 -1.004
6 Thematic 73 52.05% 40.55 56.16% -0.701 -0.4156 0.687
6 Two Centers (Default) 194 22.16% 42.68 58.76% -0.782 -0.249 -0.455
7 Archipelago 3 0.0% 51.33 33.33% -0.219 -0.1548 -0.063
7 Other 6 20.0% 15.0 16.67% -1.158 -1.7168 -0.098

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 292 30.87 52.4% 0.425 0.6762 0.682
Aid From Lesser Spirits 219 35.14 55.25% 0.406 0.348 1.082
All Things Weaken 306 30.21 52.61% 0.026 0.3607 0.959
Attenuated Essence 302 28.25 49.34% -0.003 0.0301 0.42
Back Against the Wall 197 32.95 56.35% 0.262 0.2968 0.65
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 354 27.12 46.89% 0.108 0.3247 0.363
Burn Brightest Before the End 248 31.89 54.84% 0.228 0.2386 0.664
Disintegrating Ecosystem 326 29.41 49.08% 0.219 0.5638 0.634
Downward Spiral 293 29.13 52.56% 0.249 0.3659 0.963
Erosion of Will 276 30.78 51.09% 0.18 0.4543 0.661
Intensifying Exploitation 322 28.93 46.27% 0.159 0.3696 0.76
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 141 35.31 70.21% 1.087 0.5146 1.004
Memory Fades to Dust 320 30.1 53.13% 0.541 0.7936 0.622
Power Corrodes the Spirit 303 29.79 50.5% -0.027 0.1776 0.185
Promising Farmlands 312 27.76 50.96% 0.066 0.3198 0.446
Shattered Fragments of Power 225 32.12 57.33% 0.431 0.5048 0.862
Slow Dissolution of Will 317 28.15 47.63% 0.114 0.4951 0.588
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 99 31.1 73.74% 0.624 -0.0502 -0.114
The Border of Life and Death 117 33.99 68.38% 0.638 0.0376 1.103
Thriving Communities 326 31.11 52.15% 0.417 0.6984 0.388
Thriving Crops 142 29.49 56.34% 0.106 -0.0345 0.63
Unnatural Proliferation 348 30.39 52.59% 0.153 0.3568 0.739
Untended Land Crumbles 324 29.81 50.0% 0.122 0.3124 0.444

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 3426 40.87% 26.08 55.72% 0.068 1.0664 0.068
B 3225 40.71% 26.91 54.88% 0.084 1.0066 0.005
C 3957 38.66% 28.18 58.66% 0.359 1.0884 0.487
D 3077 40.25% 26.18 55.9% 0.218 1.1772 0.034
E 3029 39.16% 28.23 59.06% 0.324 1.1436 0.377
F 2735 39.93% 27.45 57.88% 0.064 0.9454 0.089
G 2642 36.54% 29.94 59.99% 0.268 1.0938 0.381
H 2587 39.71% 27.09 56.78% 0.046 0.8846 0.011
East 330 42.12% 27.58 52.12% -0.226 0.6486 0.33
Northeast 233 42.49% 30.08 54.51% -0.013 0.7386 -0.193
Northwest 234 42.31% 27.28 47.01% -0.203 0.6888 -0.443
Southeast 143 48.25% 32.67 53.15% -1.103 -0.264 -0.218
Southwest 134 46.27% 31.26 49.25% 0.103 1.4078 -0.432
West 340 41.47% 24.47 44.12% 0.009 0.9587 -0.524

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 121 0.0% 11.85 47.93% -1.064 -0.3355 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 18 40.0% 10.61 33.33% -0.702 -0.3562 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 325 13.44% 38.32 64.62% 0.306 -0.2969 -0.119
Start of Game Growth 549 16.23% 34.92 63.57% 0.516 0.0121 0.321
Unlimited Undo 1804 27.08% 30.7 58.7% 0.116 0.0088 0.869
Using Tokens but Not Events 1424 22.36% 26.41 68.89% 0.122 0.0924 -0.136

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 335 27.54% 25.9 66.27% -0.134 -0.2291 0.255
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 403 27.68% 40.52 67.0% 0.837 0.3608 1.083
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 44 50.0% 24.59 61.36% -0.496 -0.3832 -0.458
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 102 39.22% 28.54 59.8% -0.048 -0.8608 0.314
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 133 35.34% 27.59 72.18% 0.085 -0.0547 -0.271
Downpour Drenches the World 334 24.92% 20.52 43.41% -0.208 0.019 0.644
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 486 32.78% 31.69 69.14% 0.36 -0.209 0.426
Eyes Watch From the Trees 241 30.0% 29.15 65.56% 0.309 -0.0786 -0.058
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 185 23.78% 29.35 64.32% 0.473 0.0791 0.616
Finder of Paths Unseen 178 33.15% 33.15 62.36% 0.159 0.8871 0.584
Fractured Days Split the Sky 272 29.26% 39.38 54.78% 0.18 0.8202 -0.175
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 167 45.78% 27.22 56.89% -0.1 -0.234 -0.159
Heart of the Wildfire 124 50.0% 23.42 54.03% -0.014 0.3158 0.236
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 452 27.88% 27.08 58.85% -0.167 -0.5906 0.083
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 178 39.33% 29.93 64.04% -0.022 -0.3283 0.6
Lightning's Swift Strike 91 47.25% 21.21 61.54% 0.365 0.6031 -0.486
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 136 45.59% 30.99 53.68% 0.366 -0.0414 0.104
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 35 37.14% 21.43 42.86% 0.045 -0.2741 -0.757
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 109 38.53% 34.5 62.39% 0.304 0.2231 0.75
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 354 42.09% 22.58 43.79% -0.772 -0.9645 -0.592
Many Minds Move as One 247 40.89% 26.81 51.42% 0.127 -0.0893 -0.291
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 118 41.53% 28.05 42.37% -0.83 -0.6906 -0.719
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1150 46.21% 28.57 62.35% 0.067 0.1479 -0.023
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 145 44.14% 29.7 66.21% 0.095 0.0165 0.39
River Surges in Sunlight 117 35.04% 29.03 68.38% 0.33 0.4554 -0.208
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 73 35.62% 25.22 50.68% -0.775 -0.5966 -0.606
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 56 35.71% 21.93 44.64% -0.43 -0.1508 -0.331
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 145 47.59% 32.06 48.97% -0.028 -0.1508 0.103
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 349 22.13% 36.8 54.44% -0.399 -0.5264 -0.082
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 576 40.97% 29.45 63.37% -0.236 -0.3484 0.021
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 14 64.29% 20.0 57.14% -0.681 -0.1654 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 14 23.08% 10.29 35.71% -0.502 -0.52 0.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 89 41.57% 32.46 69.66% 0.454 -0.0495 -0.062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 16 37.5% 23.5 62.5% -0.228 -0.4198 0.204
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 11 27.27% 14.55 45.45% -0.717 -0.7761 -0.162
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 14 57.14% 32.36 71.43% 0.337 0.4184 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 96 27.37% 35.27 65.63% 0.352 0.4311 0.471
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 154 45.45% 27.14 47.4% 0.001 -0.1854 -0.376
Shifting Memory of Ages 142 27.46% 45.0 63.38% 0.5 0.7676 -0.349
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 360 36.49% 28.57 50.83% 0.019 -0.0995 -0.099
Shroud of Silent Mist 155 48.39% 23.44 50.32% -0.502 -0.1512 -1.353
Starlight Seeks its Form 523 29.17% 28.68 51.82% 0.469 0.3512 0.754
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 280 41.58% 31.99 63.57% 0.119 -0.3943 0.784
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 148 30.14% 26.64 54.73% -0.646 -0.5286 -0.283
Thunderspeaker 161 33.75% 35.59 71.43% 0.542 0.5736 1.157
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 64 42.19% 31.38 59.38% 0.524 0.5378 0.473
Towering Roots of the Jungle 410 35.37% 24.95 61.71% -0.039 0.09 -0.153
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 169 52.07% 30.4 61.54% -0.07 0.0566 -0.435
Vital Strength of the Earth 64 32.81% 25.38 73.44% 0.542 1.1422 -0.363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 69 36.23% 29.65 50.72% 0.594 1.0878 -0.537
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 43 30.23% 24.21 58.14% -0.386 0.3119 -0.229
Volcano Looming High 273 49.82% 28.69 64.84% -0.041 0.0067 -0.234
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 309 39.29% 28.07 59.55% 0.008 -0.2817 -0.009

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Exaltation of Echoed Steps 82.33%
Gift of Seismic Energy 95.03%
Inspire a Winding Dance 84.72%
Radiating Tremors 97.52%
Resounding Footfalls Sow Dismay 98.75%
Rumblings Portend a Greater Quake 81.2%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 5013 13.42 1.24%
II 4487 30.13 69.89%
III 4035 34.83 93.78%
IV 1254 38.67 99.68%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 61
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 3741
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3110
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1239
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 4009
Lose: Invader deck ran out 40
Lose: Adversary condition 1109
Win: Sacrifice victory 41
Lose: Scenario condition 74
Win: Scenario condition 40
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1237
Lose: Spirit destroyed 88

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.799 Win Model: -0.1

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.202 Win Model: 0.09
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 9096 43.8% 25.38 53.4%
2 2648 40.43% 27.52 61.25%
3 1809 37.38% 24.89 54.17%
4 687 35.42% 30.4 63.9%
5 159 42.77% 33.63 71.07%
6 390 30.59% 37.49 56.67%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-02 03:17:06 (Pacific Time)